Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4700
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5300
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4700
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5300
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4700
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5300
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4650
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5350
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2628.70, Sell volume: 1348.45, Average price: 0.5855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 21.39, Sell volume: 16.39, Average price: 0.4667, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.5550
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.4450
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.5700
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.4300
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.5700
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.4300
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.5700
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.4300
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2628.70, Sell volume: 1348.45, Average price: 0.5855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2628.70, Sell volume: 1348.45, Average price: 0.5855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.5350
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.4600
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2628.70, Sell volume: 1348.45, Average price: 0.5855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2628.70, Sell volume: 1348.45, Average price: 0.5855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2628.70, Sell volume: 1348.45, Average price: 0.5855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.4600
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2628.70, Sell volume: 1348.45, Average price: 0.5855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.6250
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.3750
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2628.70, Sell volume: 1348.45, Average price: 0.5855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5850
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4150
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5700
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4300
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.5450
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.4550
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6497, Price range: 0.6497 - 0.6497
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.4600
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0150
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9850
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9910
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 2566.42, Sell volume: 1331.06, Average price: 0.5840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6400
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6400
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1850
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.2150
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7850
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8100
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1800
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8200
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1650
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8350
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1800
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.10, Sell volume: 16.12, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1800
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8200
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1800
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1800
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2200
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.7800
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.2100
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.7900
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2150
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7850
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2250
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7750
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.1950
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8050
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.1950
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8050
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8150
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8150
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1700
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1700
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1700
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1700
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1700
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1750
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1750
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1800
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1700
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9500
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 22.57, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.6942, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9645
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0355
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9645
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9640
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9640
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9640
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9640
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9640
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0370
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9630
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0465
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9535
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0395
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9605
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0380
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9620
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0375
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9625
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0470
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9530
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0395
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9605
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9640
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0410
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9590
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0460
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9540
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0395
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9605
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0395
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9605
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0395
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9605
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0395
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9605
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0395
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9605
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0395
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9605
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0385
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9615
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0395
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9605
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0395
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9605
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0395
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9605
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0395
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9605
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0395
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9605
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0395
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9605
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0410
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9590
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0365
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9635
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0370
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9630
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0365
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9635
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0360
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9640
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0410
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9590
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0395
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9605
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0390
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9610
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0365
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9635
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0365
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9635
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0365
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9635
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0365
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9635
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0365
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9635
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0365
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0365
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0365
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0365
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0365
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0365
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0365
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0365
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0365
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0365
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0355
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9645
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0355
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9645
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0355
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9645
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0355
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9645
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0360
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9640
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0360
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9640
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0360
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9640
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0360
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9640
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0355
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9645
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0355
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9645
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0355
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9645
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0360
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9640
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0360
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9640
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0360
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9640
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0360
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9640
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0360
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9640
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0360
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9640
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0360
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9640
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0360
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9640
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0360
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9640
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0360
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9640
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0380
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9620
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0395
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0395
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9605
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0370
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9630
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0395
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9605
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0430
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9570
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0430
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9570
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0430
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9570
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0395
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9605
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0395
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9605
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0395
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9605
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0395
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9605
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0425
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9575
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0395
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9605
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0385
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9615
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0430
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9570
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0355
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9645
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0355
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9645
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0355
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9645
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0370
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9630
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0460
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9540
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0370
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9630
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0420
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9580
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.0415
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9585
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0460
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9540
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0380
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0380
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9620
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0415
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9585
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0350
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9650
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0350
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9650
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0355
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9645
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0340
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9660
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0340
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9660
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0340
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9660
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0340
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9660
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0340
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9660
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0335
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9665
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0335
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0340
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9660
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0340
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9660
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0325
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9675
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0325
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9675
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0325
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9675
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0325
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9675
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0325
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9675
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0325
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9675
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0325
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9675
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0325
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9675
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0325
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9675
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0325
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9675
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0320
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9680
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0320
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9680
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0320
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9680
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0320
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9680
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0320
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9680
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0315
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9685
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9700
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0295
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9705
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0295
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9705
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0290
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9710
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0285
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9715
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0280
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.12, Average price: 0.9370, Price range: 0.9370 - 0.9370

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0270
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9730
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0265
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9735
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0185
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9815
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0145
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9855
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 12065.93, Sell volume: 815.87, Average price: 0.8538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6400
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6400
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.10, Sell volume: 16.12, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1800
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8200
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1800
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1800
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2200
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.7800
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.2100
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.7900
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8150
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8150
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1800
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1700
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 22.57, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.6942, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9640
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9640
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9640
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9640
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0370
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9630
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0465
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9535
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0395
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9605
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0380
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9620
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0375
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9625
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0470
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9530
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0395
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9605
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9640
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0410
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9590
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0460
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9540
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0395
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0395
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9605
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0395
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9605
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0395
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9605
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0410
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9590
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0365
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9635
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0370
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9630
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0365
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9635
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0360
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9640
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0410
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9590
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0395
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9605
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0390
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9610
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0365
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9635
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0365
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9635
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0365
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0365
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0365
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0355
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9645
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0355
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9645
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0355
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9645
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0355
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9645
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0360
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9640
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0360
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9640
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0360
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9640
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0360
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9640
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0355
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9645
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0355
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9645
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0355
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9645
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0360
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9640
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0360
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0395
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9605
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0370
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9630
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0395
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9605
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0430
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9570
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0430
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9570
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0430
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9570
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0395
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9605
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0395
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9605
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0395
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9605
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0395
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9605
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0425
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9575
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0395
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9605
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0385
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9615
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0430
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9570
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0355
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0380
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9620
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0415
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9585
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0350
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9650
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0350
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9650
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0355
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9645
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0340
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9660
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0340
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9660
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0340
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9660
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0340
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9660
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0340
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9660
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0335
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9665
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0335
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 12099.83, Sell volume: 933.11, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0340
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9660
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0340
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9660
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0325
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9675
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0325
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9675
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0325
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9675
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0325
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9675
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0325
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9675
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0325
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9675
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0325
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9675
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0325
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9675
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0325
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9675
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0325
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9675
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0320
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9680
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0320
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9680
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0320
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.12, Average price: 0.9370, Price range: 0.9370 - 0.9370
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681421
Question: Will Mark J.N. Doyle be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 13032.941476
Price History:
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0270
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9730
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0265
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9735
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0185
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9815
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0145
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9855
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 12065.93, Sell volume: 815.87, Average price: 0.8538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5550
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4450
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7950
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.2050
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8000
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2000
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.7950
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.2050
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8200
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1800
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8200
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1800
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8600
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1400
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 11.22, Average price: 0.1500, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.1500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1700
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1700
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1700
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1700
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8450
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1450
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.8550
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.1450
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8550
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.1450
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.8550
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.1450
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9000
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.1000
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9000
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9000
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1000
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9000
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 14050.85, Sell volume: 828.21, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9000
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.1000
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9000
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.1000
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9000
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1000
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9000
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.1000
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9000
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.1000
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1700
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 14050.85, Sell volume: 828.21, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8900
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1200
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.49, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.4925, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9839

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9785
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0215
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9785
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0215
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9785
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0215
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9785
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0215
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9785
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0215
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9785
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0215
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9785
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0215
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9785
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0215
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9755
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9705
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 14050.85, Sell volume: 828.21, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9715
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0285
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9755
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9705
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0295
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9755
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9715
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0285
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9755
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9705
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0295
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9755
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9730
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0270
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9785
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0215
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9755
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0245
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9755
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0245
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9755
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0245
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9755
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0245
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9785
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9785
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 14050.85, Sell volume: 828.21, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9785
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0215
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0210
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9785
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0215
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9785
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0215
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9785
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0215
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9755
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0245
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9755
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0245
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9730
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0270
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9785
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0215
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9785
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 14050.85, Sell volume: 828.21, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0210
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9790
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0210
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9790
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0210
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9790
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0210
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0215
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9785
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0215
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9785
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0215
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9785
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0215
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9785
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9785
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0215
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9785
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0215
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9785
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0215
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9765
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0235
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9730
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 14050.85, Sell volume: 828.21, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9710
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0290
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9740
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0260
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9700
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0300
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9720
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0280
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9720
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0280
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9720
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0280
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9720
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0280
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9725
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0275
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9700
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0300
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9700
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0300
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9700
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0300
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9710
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0290
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9710
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0290
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9710
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0290
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9710
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0290
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9735
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0265
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9735
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0265
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9775
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0225
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9720
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0280
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9720
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0280
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9720
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0280
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9720
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.0280
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9720
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.0280
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9720
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0280
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9720
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 14050.85, Sell volume: 828.21, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9720
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0280
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9720
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0280
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9710
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0290
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9710
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0290
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9705
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0295
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9735
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0265
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9775
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0225
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9775
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0225
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0220
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9780
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0220
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9790
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0210
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9790
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 14050.85, Sell volume: 828.21, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9785
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0215
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9790
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9790
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9790
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9790
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9795
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0205
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9805
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0195
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0190
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9820
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0180
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9830
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0170
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9835
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0165
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9845
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0155
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9855
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0145
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9860
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0140
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9870
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0130
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9880
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 37.50, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0110
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 62.50, Average price: 0.0013, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.0013

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 14023.13, Sell volume: 711.99, Average price: 0.8717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5550
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4450
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 11.22, Average price: 0.1500, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.1500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1700
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1700
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1700
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1700
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8450
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 14050.85, Sell volume: 828.21, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9000
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.1000
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9000
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.1000
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9000
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1000
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9000
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.1000
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9000
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.1000
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1700
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 14050.85, Sell volume: 828.21, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8900
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1200
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.49, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.4925, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9839
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9785
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 14050.85, Sell volume: 828.21, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9715
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0285
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9755
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9705
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0295
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9755
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9715
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0285
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9755
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9705
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0295
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9755
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9780
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 14050.85, Sell volume: 828.21, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9785
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0215
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0210
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9785
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0215
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9785
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0215
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9785
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0215
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9755
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0245
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9755
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0245
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9730
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0270
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 14050.85, Sell volume: 828.21, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0210
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9790
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0210
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9790
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0210
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9790
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0210
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0215
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9785
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 14050.85, Sell volume: 828.21, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9710
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0290
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9740
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0260
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9700
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0300
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9720
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0280
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9720
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0280
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9720
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0280
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9720
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0280
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9725
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0275
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9700
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0300
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9700
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0300
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9700
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0300
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9710
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0290
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9710
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0290
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9710
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0290
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9710
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 14050.85, Sell volume: 828.21, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9720
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0280
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9720
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0280
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9710
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0290
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9710
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0290
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9705
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0295
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9735
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0265
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9775
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0225
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9775
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0225
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0220
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9780
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0220
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9790
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0210
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9790
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 14050.85, Sell volume: 828.21, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9785
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0215
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9790
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9790
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9790
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9790
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9795
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 37.50, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0110
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 62.50, Average price: 0.0013, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.0013
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681423
Question: Will Ivan O’Neal be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 14879.05885
Price History:
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 14023.13, Sell volume: 711.99, Average price: 0.8717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.3500
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.2200
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.2100
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.2450
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.2600
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.2650
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.2650
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.2650
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.2650
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.2550
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.2250
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1750
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.2150
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.2150
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.2200
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.2350
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.2350
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.2350
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.2300
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.2300
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.2600
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.2700
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.2750
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.3950
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.3750
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.3850
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.5050
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.4500
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.4600
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.4200
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.4500
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.4500
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.4500
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.4350
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.3900
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.3850
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.3900
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.3900
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.3900
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.3900
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.3850
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.3850
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.3850
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.3850
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.3850
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.3850
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.3850
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.3850
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.3850
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.3850
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.3700
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.3700
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.3550
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.3550
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.2900
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.2900
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.2900
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.2950
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.2950
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.2950
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.2950
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.2950
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.2950
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.2950
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.2950
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.2950
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.2950
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.3000
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.3000
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.3000
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.3000
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.3050
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.3100
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.4250
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.4600
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.4450
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.3250
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.3250
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.3250
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.3250
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.3250
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.4250
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.3400
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.3400
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.3450
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.3500
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.3500
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.4700
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.4900
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.4500
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.1900
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.3400
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.2550
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.3100
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.3150
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.3250
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.3250
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.3200
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.3300
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.3350
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.3350
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.3250
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.3450
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.3450
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.3400
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.3550
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.3800
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.3750
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.3450
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.3450
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.3400
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.3450
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.3350
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.3100
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.3100
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.3050
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.3050
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.3000
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.2950
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.3100
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.2950
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.3050
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.3050
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.3050
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.3050
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.3050
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.3050
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.3050
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.3100
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.3050
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.3050
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.3100
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.3100
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.3150
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.3150
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.3150
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.3150
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.3150
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.3100
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.3050
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.3100
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.3150
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.3150
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.3150
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.3150
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.3150
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.3850
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.3400
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.3450
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.3450
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.3350
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.3450
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.3450
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.3450
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.3500
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.3500
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.3450
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.3450
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.3350
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.3350
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.3350
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.3350
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.3350
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.3350
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.3250
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.3250
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.3100
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.3100
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.2950
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.3000
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.3000
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.3150
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.3500
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.3700
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.3350
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.3250
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.3300
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.3300
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.3350
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.3350
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.3450
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.3400
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.3400
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.3450
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.3450
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.3250
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.3250
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2950
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3100
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.3100
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.3100
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.2150
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2550
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.2450
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.3000
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.3100
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.3150
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.3100
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.3100
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.2650
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2600
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2600
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.2600
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.2600
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3000
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2950
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2450
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2400
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2400
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2400
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.2300
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2350
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.2300
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2300
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.2300
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.2300
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.2250
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.2250
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.2250
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2300
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2200
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.2200
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2150
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2450
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.2350
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2250
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.2250
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.2250
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.2200
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.2200
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.2200
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.2200
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.2150
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.2150
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.2150
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.2050
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.1850
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.1850
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.1850
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.1850
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.1850
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.1950
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.2000
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.2300
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.2400
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.2450
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.2450
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.2350
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.2450
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.2350
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.2350
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.2400
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.2650
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.2600
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.2650
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.2650
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.2650
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.2650
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.2550
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.2550
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.2550
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.2550
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.2550
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.2550
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.2550
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.3350
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.3000
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.3150
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.2950
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.2900
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.2950
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.3000
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.2850
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.2750
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.2850
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.2750
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.2750
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.2800
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.2800
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.2750
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522895
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 830318.639654
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.2750
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.2750
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.2700
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.2700
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.2500
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.2500
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.2500
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.2500
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.2550
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.2350
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.2350
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.2200
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.2150
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.1950
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.1950
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.1850
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.1800
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.1950
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.1850
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.1950
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.1900
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.1750
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.1850
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.1850
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.2050
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.1950
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.1950
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.1800
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.1800
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.1500
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.1500
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.1500
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.1500
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.1550
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.1800
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.1750
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.1750
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.1950
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.1850
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.1650
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.1650
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.1650
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.1650
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.1550
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.1550
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1550
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45009256.90, Sell volume: 80406798.23, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes