Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657172
Question: Will Meta dip to $600 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34017.795201
Price History:
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7450
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2550
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7650
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7600
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6800
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.3200
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.3650
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6350
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3650
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.6750
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3250
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 467.00, Sell volume: 139.54, Average price: 0.6254, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8460

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657172
Question: Will Meta dip to $600 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34017.795201
Price History:
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.7050
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.2950
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.6650
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.6650
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.6600
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.3400
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2550
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.2550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.7700
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2300
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.7700
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 23719.26, Sell volume: 2973.73, Average price: 0.6615, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657172
Question: Will Meta dip to $600 in November?
Volume: 34017.795201
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 216, Buy volume: 28498.83, Sell volume: 5518.97, Average price: 0.5848, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657172
Question: Will Meta dip to $600 in November?
Volume: 34017.795201
Price History:
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.2600
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.2600
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.7450
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.2500
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.7500
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.2550
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.7450
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.2550
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.7450
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.2550
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.2550
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.7450
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.2550
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.7450
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.2500
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.2500
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.7500
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.7500
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.2500
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 18.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2700, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.2700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657172
Question: Will Meta dip to $600 in November?
Volume: 34017.795201
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.2750
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.7250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.2750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.2750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7250
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.2750
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.7250
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.2750
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.2750
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.7250
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.2750
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.7250
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.2750
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.7250
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.2750
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.7250
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.2750
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.7250
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.2750
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.7250
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.2750
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.7250
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.2750
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.7250
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.7250
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 143.00, Sell volume: 103.71, Average price: 0.4267, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657172
Question: Will Meta dip to $600 in November?
Volume: 34017.795201
Price History:
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.7350
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.7350
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2700
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.7300
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 411.44, Sell volume: 88.64, Average price: 0.5288, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657172
Question: Will Meta dip to $600 in November?
Volume: 34017.795201
Price History:
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.6300
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.3700
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.6300
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.3700
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.6300
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.3700
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.5450
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.5400
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.4700
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5300
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 193.01, Sell volume: 381.74, Average price: 0.5114, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657172
Question: Will Meta dip to $600 in November?
Volume: 34017.795201
Price History:
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.4700
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.5300
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5150
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4400
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5600
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4400
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5600
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 414.84, Sell volume: 555.23, Average price: 0.4909, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657172
Question: Will Meta dip to $600 in November?
Volume: 34017.795201
Price History:
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.6350
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.3650
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6350
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.3650
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.6350
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.3650
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5850
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.4150
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1644.85, Sell volume: 238.21, Average price: 0.6007, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657172
Question: Will Meta dip to $600 in November?
Volume: 34017.795201
Price History:
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.3650
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.6350
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.3450
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5700
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.4300
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5950
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4050
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3200
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 405.25, Sell volume: 321.78, Average price: 0.4556, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657172
Question: Will Meta dip to $600 in November?
Volume: 34017.795201
Price History:
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.4300
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.4550
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.5450
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.4400
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4400
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.4050
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3750
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6250
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4100
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.3900
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4250
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 22.44, Sell volume: 144.93, Average price: 0.4648, Price range: 0.4059 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657172
Question: Will Meta dip to $600 in November?
Volume: 34017.795201
Price History:
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.3700
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.6300
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.3700
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.6300
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.3700
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.6300
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.3700
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.6300
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.3900
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.6100
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.4100
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5900
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4100
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5900
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 238.21, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5438, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6698
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657172
Question: Will Meta dip to $600 in November?
Volume: 34017.795201
Price History:
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.4400
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.5600
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.4400
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.5600
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.4300
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.5700
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.4300
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.5700
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.5750
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5350
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.4600
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5400
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4550
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5450
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 407.85, Sell volume: 109.55, Average price: 0.4846, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657172
Question: Will Meta dip to $600 in November?
Volume: 34017.795201
Price History:
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7450
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2550
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7650
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7600
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 467.00, Sell volume: 139.54, Average price: 0.6254, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8460
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657172
Question: Will Meta dip to $600 in November?
Volume: 34017.795201
Price History:
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.7900
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.2100
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.7050
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.2950
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.7200
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.2800
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.6650
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.6650
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.6600
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.3400
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2550
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 23719.26, Sell volume: 2973.73, Average price: 0.6615, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0450
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0700
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1480.73, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.5019, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 440.13, Sell volume: 466.78, Average price: 0.3184, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1800
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1650
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1550
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.1550
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.1550
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1550
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1800
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.1650
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1000
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1605.79, Sell volume: 932.29, Average price: 0.3891, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1000
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1000
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.1000
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.1000
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.1000
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1000
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.1000
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.1000
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 93.74, Sell volume: 1148.81, Average price: 0.1461, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 81.19, Sell volume: 208.49, Average price: 0.3616, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.1350
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.1450
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.1450
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.1550
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.1500
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.1500
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.1450
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.1450
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.1500
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.1500
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.1450
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.1450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.1450
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.1450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.1400
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.1350
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.1950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.1750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.1750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.1350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.1300
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 5347.79, Sell volume: 1311.44, Average price: 0.4243, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 917.11, Sell volume: 435.99, Average price: 0.5165, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1400
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1800
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2050
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1900
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1950
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.1950
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.1950
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.1950
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.1950
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.1950
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1950
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1950
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.2100
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.2100
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.2100
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.1950
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.2250
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.2800
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 3689.66, Sell volume: 1141.84, Average price: 0.3956, Price range: 0.1663 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.1900
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1800
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1650
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.1650
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.1700
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.2300
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.2350
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.2450
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.2700
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.2300
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.2350
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.2050
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.2150
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.2200
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.2400
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.2050
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.2750
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.1600
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.1500
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.1200
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.1750
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.1800
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.2000
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.1900
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 2793.48, Sell volume: 1907.52, Average price: 0.4626, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.1350
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.1350
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.1350
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.1350
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.1200
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.1300
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 212.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6433, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0355
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0270
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0260
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0270
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0310
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0310
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0310
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0310
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0300
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0300
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0240
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0240
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0240
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0170
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0160
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0135
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0140
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0135
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0145
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0140
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0150
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0155
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0155
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0155
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0155
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0155
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0160
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0160
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0160
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0160
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1224.02, Sell volume: 1472.61, Average price: 0.5111, Price range: 0.0071 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0135
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0130
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0130
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0135
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0135
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0135
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0135
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0120
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0130
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 5420.12, Sell volume: 31777.60, Average price: 0.3698, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9450
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9300
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0900
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1480.73, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.5019, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 440.13, Sell volume: 466.78, Average price: 0.3184, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1650
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8450
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8400
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.8400
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.8000
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.8350
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1605.79, Sell volume: 932.29, Average price: 0.3891, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9000
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9000
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9000
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9000
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1000
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9000
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 93.74, Sell volume: 1148.81, Average price: 0.1461, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 81.19, Sell volume: 208.49, Average price: 0.3616, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.1450
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.8550
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.1500
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.8500
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.8550
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.1500
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.8500
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.1450
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.8550
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.1450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.1750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 5347.79, Sell volume: 1311.44, Average price: 0.4243, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8800
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8800
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 917.11, Sell volume: 435.99, Average price: 0.5165, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1400
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8100
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8100
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.1950
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.8050
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.1950
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1950
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.8050
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.2100
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.7900
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 3689.66, Sell volume: 1141.84, Average price: 0.3956, Price range: 0.1663 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1650
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.8350
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.1700
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.2300
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.2350
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.7550
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.2050
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.7850
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.7650
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.7600
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.7950
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.1600
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.8500
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.1200
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 2793.48, Sell volume: 1907.52, Average price: 0.4626, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.8600
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.8650
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.1350
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.1350
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 212.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6433, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0355
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9730
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0270
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9690
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0310
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9690
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9910
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9760
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0240
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9755
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9830
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9865
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0135
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9865
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0140
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9850
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9845
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0155
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9845
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1224.02, Sell volume: 1472.61, Average price: 0.5111, Price range: 0.0071 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657173
Question: Will Meta dip to $550 in November?
Volume: 66437.732996
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0135
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9870
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0135
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9865
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0135
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9880
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9870
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9920
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 5420.12, Sell volume: 31777.60, Average price: 0.3698, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.4850
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.5750
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4250
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7400
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2650
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7350
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2650
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.7600
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2500
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.7500
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.7200
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7200
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.7400
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8000
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2000
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.8350
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1650
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8200
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.3400
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.6600
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.7200
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 172436614.17, Sell volume: 70255773.71, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.3250
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.6750
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.3250
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.6750
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.7450
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.2550
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3500
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.6500
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.3550
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.6800
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.3200
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.3850
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.6150
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.5950
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.4050
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.3800
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.6200
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.6350
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.3650
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.6450
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.3550
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.6150
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.3850
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.6550
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.3450
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.3450
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.6550
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.3300
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.3300
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.3300
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.3350
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.6600
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 172436614.17, Sell volume: 70255773.71, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.6500
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.3500
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.3150
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.3300
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.6700
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.6700
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.3300
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.3150
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.6800
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.3200
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.6800
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.3200
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.3350
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.6650
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.3150
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.3050
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.6950
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.3050
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.7200
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.2650
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.7350
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.7250
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.2600
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.1450
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.8550
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.8550
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.8550
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.1450
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.1550
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.8450
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.7800
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.2200
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.7350
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 172436614.17, Sell volume: 70255773.71, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.2050
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.7950
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.2650
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.2300
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.7700
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.2200
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.2450
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.7550
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.7650
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.2450
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.7550
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.7600
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.7500
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.2500
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.7500
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.2350
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.2300
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.7700
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.2300
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.7700
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.7850
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.7850
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.2550
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 172436614.17, Sell volume: 70255773.71, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.7900
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.8800
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.1200
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.8750
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.1250
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.7850
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.2150
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.1800
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.1700
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.8300
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.8300
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.1700
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.1700
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.8300
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.2200
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.7800
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.7850
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.1800
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.8200
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.8350
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.1650
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.1650
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 172436614.17, Sell volume: 70255773.71, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.8400
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.1600
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.8400
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.1600
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.8600
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.1400
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.1250
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.8750
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.8750
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.1250
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.1250
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.8750
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.8800
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.1200
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.1150
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.1000
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 172436614.17, Sell volume: 70255773.71, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.1350
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.8650
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.1400
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.8600
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.8800
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.1200
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.8850
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.1150
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.1150
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.8850
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.1100
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.1150
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.8850
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.1200
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.8800
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9100
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 172436614.17, Sell volume: 70255773.71, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9450
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 172436614.17, Sell volume: 70255773.71, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0355
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9645
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9745
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0255
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9740
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0260
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9635
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0365
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9615
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0385
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0415
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9585
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9545
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0455
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0425
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9575
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9680
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0320
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0220
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9780
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0220
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9780
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0275
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9725
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9695
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0305
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9700
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9630
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0370
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9610
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0410
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9590
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9590
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0410
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9585
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0415
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0430
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9570
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0285
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 281718, Buy volume: 40091753.43, Sell volume: 41936481.54, Average price: 0.6957, Price range: 0.0107 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0305
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9695
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0310
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9690
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0280
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9720
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0275
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9725
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0275
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9725
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0325
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9675
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0145
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9855
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0210
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9790
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0170
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9830
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9830
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0170
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9830
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0210
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9790
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9790
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0210
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9790
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.0210
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0210
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9790
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0210
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9790
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0210
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9790
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0210
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9790
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0215
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9785
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0215
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9785
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9780
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0220
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0225
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9775
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0245
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9755
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0235
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9765
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0235
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 323676, Buy volume: 55215064.24, Sell volume: 16711491.78, Average price: 0.8003, Price range: 0.0156 - 0.9869

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0240
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9760
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9760
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0240
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0230
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9770
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0225
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9775
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9755
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0245
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9755
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0245
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0245
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9755
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9760
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0240
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9760
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0240
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.9815
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0185
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0155
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9845
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9860
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0140
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0155
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9845
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9755
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0245
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.9755
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0245
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9700
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0300
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9665
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0335
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9605
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0395
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9630
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0370
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0145
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9855
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9900
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0100
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9815
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 379679, Buy volume: 76877915.67, Sell volume: 10958247.41, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9675
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0325
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9730
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0270
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0230
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9780
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0220
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9795
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0205
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9800
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0200
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9840
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9880
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0120
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0275
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9725
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0165
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9835
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9850
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0150
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9850
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0150
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9880
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0120
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0090
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9910
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0090
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9910
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0130
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9870
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0225
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9775
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0185
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9815
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0150
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9850
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0130
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9870
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0165
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9835
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9920
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 382, Buy volume: 58264.02, Sell volume: 27653.67, Average price: 0.4996, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9958

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0040
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0040
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9960
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 524, Buy volume: 89157.77, Sell volume: 117874.09, Average price: 0.6674, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.4850
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.5750
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4250
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7400
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2650
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7350
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2650
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.7600
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2500
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.7500
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.7200
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 172436614.17, Sell volume: 70255773.71, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.3250
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.6750
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.3250
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.6750
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.7450
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.2550
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3500
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.6500
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.3550
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.6800
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.3200
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.3850
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.6150
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.5950
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.4050
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.3800
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 172436614.17, Sell volume: 70255773.71, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.6500
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.3500
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.3150
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.3300
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.6700
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.6700
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.3300
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.3150
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.6800
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.3200
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.6800
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.3200
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.3350
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.6650
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.3150
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.3050
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.6950
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.3050
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 172436614.17, Sell volume: 70255773.71, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.2050
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.7950
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.2650
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.2300
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.7700
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.2200
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.2450
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.7550
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.7650
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.2450
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 172436614.17, Sell volume: 70255773.71, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.7900
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.8800
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.1200
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.8750
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.1250
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.7850
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.2150
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.1800
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.1700
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.8300
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.8300
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 172436614.17, Sell volume: 70255773.71, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.8400
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.1600
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.8400
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.1600
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.8600
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.1400
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.1250
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.8750
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.8750
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.1250
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.1250
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.8750
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.8800
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.1200
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.1150
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.1000
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 172436614.17, Sell volume: 70255773.71, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.1350
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.8650
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.1400
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.8600
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.8800
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.1200
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.8850
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.1150
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.1150
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 172436614.17, Sell volume: 70255773.71, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 172436614.17, Sell volume: 70255773.71, Average price: 0.7568, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0355
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9645
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9745
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0255
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9740
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0260
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9635
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0365
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9615
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0385
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0415
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9585
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9545
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0455
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0425
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9575
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9680
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0320
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0220
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9780
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0220
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 281718, Buy volume: 40091753.43, Sell volume: 41936481.54, Average price: 0.6957, Price range: 0.0107 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0305
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9695
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0310
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9690
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0280
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9720
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0275
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9725
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0275
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9725
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0325
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9675
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0145
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9855
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0210
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9790
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0170
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9830
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9830
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0170
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9830
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0210
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9790
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9790
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0210
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9790
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.0210
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0210
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 323676, Buy volume: 55215064.24, Sell volume: 16711491.78, Average price: 0.8003, Price range: 0.0156 - 0.9869
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0240
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9760
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9760
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0240
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0230
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9770
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0225
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9775
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9755
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0245
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9755
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0245
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0245
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9755
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9760
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0240
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9760
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0240
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.9815
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0185
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0155
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9845
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9860
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0140
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 379679, Buy volume: 76877915.67, Sell volume: 10958247.41, Average price: 0.7625, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9675
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0325
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9730
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0270
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0230
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9780
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0220
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9795
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0205
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9800
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0200
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9840
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9880
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0120
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0275
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9725
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0165
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9835
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9850
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0150
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9850
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0150
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9880
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0120
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0090
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 382, Buy volume: 58264.02, Sell volume: 27653.67, Average price: 0.4996, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9958
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618022
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
Volume: 867419.966981
Price History:
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0040
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0040
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9960
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 524, Buy volume: 89157.77, Sell volume: 117874.09, Average price: 0.6674, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.4650
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.7300
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.2700
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.7300
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.2950
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.7050
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.2950
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.7050
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2950
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.7050
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.2950
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.7050
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.3200
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.8750
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.1100
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.8900
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.1250
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.8750
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.1300
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.8950
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0550
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9450
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0550
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9450
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0550
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9450
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0500
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9705
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0255
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9745
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0205
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9760
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0175
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9830
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0175
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9830
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0170
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9830
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0170
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9830
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0280
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9685
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0365
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9635
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0355
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9630
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0380
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9640
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0380
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 851.50, Sell volume: 257.25, Average price: 0.5512, Price range: 0.0203 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9295
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0710
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9290
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0705
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9285
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0710
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9290
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0710
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9290
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0710
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9290
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9250
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0750
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9250
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0750
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9285
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0715
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9280
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0720
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9285
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0715
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9285
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0715
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9285
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0790
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9200
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0810
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9190
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0815
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9180
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0820
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.9185
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0815
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9180
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0820
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.9180
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0795
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9200
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0795
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.9200
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0800
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.9195
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0795
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9195
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0805
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.9195
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0805
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.9195
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.0795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 66.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.3249, Price range: 0.0790 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.0950
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.9050
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.0950
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.9050
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.9050
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.0945
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.9055
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0945
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.9050
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0980
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.9000
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.1010
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.8990
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.1015
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.9000
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.1010
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.8980
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.1020
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.8990
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.1015
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.8945
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.1055
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.8960
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.1005
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.8995
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.1050
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.8945
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.1065
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.8935
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.1065
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.8935
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.1060
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.8940
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.1065
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.8940
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.1070
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.8930
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.1075
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.8885
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.1140
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.8675
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.1400
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.8695
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.1460
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.8540
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.1485
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.8515
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.1480
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.8515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 60.28, Average price: 0.3682, Price range: 0.0830 - 0.8925

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.8515
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.1485
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.8515
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.1485
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.8515
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.1490
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.8510
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.1485
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.8510
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.1490
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.8510
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.1490
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.8515
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.1485
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.8510
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.1490
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.8510
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.1490
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.8510
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.1485
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.8510
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.1490
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.8510
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.1490
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.8510
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.1490
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.8510
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.1410
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.8600
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.1410
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.8590
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.1410
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.8595
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.1410
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.8590
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.1410
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.8590
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.1410
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.8590
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.1410
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.8595
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.1485
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.8515
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.1485
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.8520
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.1485
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.8515
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.1485
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.8515
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.1485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8830, Price range: 0.8830 - 0.8830

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.1490
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.8505
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.1490
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.8510
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.1495
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.8505
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.1495
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.8510
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.1495
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.8505
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.1495
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.8510
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.1495
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.8505
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.1495
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.8505
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.2055
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.7850
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.2150
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.7850
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.2150
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.7850
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.4825
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.5155
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.4800
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.5200
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.3550
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.3550
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.6545
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.3455
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.6500
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.3500
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.6500
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.3505
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.6495
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.3505
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.6495
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.3505
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.6495
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.3505
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.6495
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.3505
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.6495
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.3505
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.6495
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.3505
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.6495
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.3505
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.6495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 153.27, Sell volume: 141.75, Average price: 0.5194, Price range: 0.1760 - 0.8360

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.6495
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.3505
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.6495
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.3505
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.6495
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.3505
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.6495
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.3505
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.6495
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.3505
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.6495
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.3495
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.6505
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.3495
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.6505
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.3495
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.6505
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.3495
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.6510
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.3490
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.6510
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.3495
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.6510
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.3490
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.6510
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.3490
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.6510
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.3490
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.6510
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.3490
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.6510
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.3495
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.6510
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.3500
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.6480
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.3525
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.6475
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.3520
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.6500
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.3525
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.6475
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.3525
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.6475
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.3525
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.6480
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.3525
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.6475
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.3525
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.6475
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.3475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5020, Price range: 0.5020 - 0.5020

Output: No