Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 237762, Buy volume: 36049430.48, Sell volume: 10085204.70, Average price: 0.9147, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.9990
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.9990
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.9990
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7992, Buy volume: 6038515.44, Sell volume: 27972.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9985
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18234, Buy volume: 292420.78, Sell volume: 10708.40, Average price: 0.9979, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0010
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9975
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9975
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9980
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0020
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0025
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0020
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0020
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 70593.63, Sell volume: 30718.79, Average price: 0.6859, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9980
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0020
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9980
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9980
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0020
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9980
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0020
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9980
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0020
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9980
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.9980
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9980
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0020
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0020
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9985
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 31611.30, Sell volume: 15815.27, Average price: 0.8454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 166, Buy volume: 54979.80, Sell volume: 43920.49, Average price: 0.7283, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 242, Buy volume: 53678.47, Sell volume: 32162.39, Average price: 0.7595, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 53799.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0013

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 75081.17, Sell volume: 5292.40, Average price: 0.4923, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 54117.47, Sell volume: 4468.99, Average price: 0.2505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51015594.69, Sell volume: 30369929.63, Average price: 0.9504, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51015594.69, Sell volume: 30369929.63, Average price: 0.9504, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 735264, Buy volume: 8241074.68, Sell volume: 20113666.20, Average price: 0.9659, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 237762, Buy volume: 36049430.48, Sell volume: 10085204.70, Average price: 0.9147, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7992, Buy volume: 6038515.44, Sell volume: 27972.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18234, Buy volume: 292420.78, Sell volume: 10708.40, Average price: 0.9979, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9990
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9975
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0025
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9970
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 70593.63, Sell volume: 30718.79, Average price: 0.6859, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9980
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9980
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0020
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0020
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0020
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9980
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9980
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0020
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0020
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 31611.30, Sell volume: 15815.27, Average price: 0.8454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 166, Buy volume: 54979.80, Sell volume: 43920.49, Average price: 0.7283, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 242, Buy volume: 53678.47, Sell volume: 32162.39, Average price: 0.7595, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 53799.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0013
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 75081.17, Sell volume: 5292.40, Average price: 0.4923, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 54117.47, Sell volume: 4468.99, Average price: 0.2505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2024-12-16 19:00: 0.5150
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.4000
2024-12-16 23:00: 0.2350
2024-12-17 01:00: 0.1250
2024-12-17 03:00: 0.1400
2024-12-17 05:00: 0.2000
2024-12-17 07:00: 0.1750
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.1700
2024-12-17 11:00: 0.1750
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.1650
2024-12-17 15:00: 0.1700
2024-12-17 17:00: 0.1750
2024-12-17 19:00: 0.1750
2024-12-17 21:00: 0.1850
2024-12-17 23:00: 0.3400
2024-12-18 01:00: 0.3700
2024-12-18 03:00: 0.2900
2024-12-18 05:00: 0.2800
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.2750
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.3050
2024-12-18 11:00: 0.3400
2024-12-18 13:00: 0.3550
2024-12-18 15:00: 0.3150
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.2850
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.2850
2024-12-18 21:00: 0.2700
2024-12-18 23:00: 0.2850
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.2900
2024-12-19 03:00: 0.2900
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.2900
2024-12-19 07:00: 0.3250
2024-12-19 09:00: 0.3100
2024-12-19 11:00: 0.3550
2024-12-19 13:00: 0.3450
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.3450
2024-12-19 17:00: 0.3450
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.3500
2024-12-19 21:00: 0.3550
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.3550
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.3600
2024-12-20 03:00: 0.3600
2024-12-20 05:00: 0.3600
2024-12-20 07:00: 0.3600
2024-12-20 09:00: 0.3650
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.3250
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.3050
2024-12-20 15:00: 0.3400
2024-12-20 17:00: 0.3450
2024-12-20 19:00: 0.3250
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 16374.59, Sell volume: 3825.11, Average price: 0.5134, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2024-12-21 13:00: 0.6750
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.6800
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.6800
2024-12-21 19:00: 0.6800
2024-12-21 21:00: 0.6800
2024-12-21 23:00: 0.7050
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.7150
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.7700
2024-12-22 05:00: 0.7800
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.7700
2024-12-22 09:00: 0.7700
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.7700
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.7400
2024-12-22 15:00: 0.7400
2024-12-22 17:00: 0.7600
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.7650
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.7550
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.7300
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.7300
2024-12-23 03:00: 0.7300
2024-12-23 05:00: 0.7300
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.7300
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.7250
2024-12-23 11:00: 0.7250
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.7050
2024-12-23 15:00: 0.7050
2024-12-23 17:00: 0.6800
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.6750
2024-12-23 21:00: 0.6450
2024-12-23 23:00: 0.6600
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.6650
2024-12-24 03:00: 0.6650
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.6750
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.6750
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.6850
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.6700
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.6700
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.6700
2024-12-24 17:00: 0.7050
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.6850
2024-12-24 21:00: 0.7050
2024-12-24 23:00: 0.6900
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.6900
2024-12-25 03:00: 0.6900
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.6900
2024-12-25 07:00: 0.6900
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.6650
2024-12-25 11:00: 0.6650
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.6650
2024-12-25 15:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 35668.66, Sell volume: 677.29, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.2850
2024-12-26 10:00: 0.3100
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.3050
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.3050
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.3050
2024-12-26 18:00: 0.3000
2024-12-26 20:00: 0.3000
2024-12-26 22:00: 0.3050
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.3150
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.3150
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.3000
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.2950
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.3000
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.3000
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.3050
2024-12-27 14:00: 0.3050
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.3050
2024-12-27 18:00: 0.3050
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.2750
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.2950
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.3000
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.2750
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.2750
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.2650
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.2650
2024-12-28 10:00: 0.2650
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.2650
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.2650
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.2650
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.2350
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.2300
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.2300
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.2500
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.2450
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.2450
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.2450
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.2400
2024-12-29 10:00: 0.2400
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.2250
2024-12-29 14:00: 0.2400
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.2450
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.2350
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.2600
2024-12-29 22:00: 0.2600
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.2600
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.2600
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.2600
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.2600
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.2600
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 34688.76, Sell volume: 394.60, Average price: 0.5395, Price range: 0.2247 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.7500
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.7500
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.7500
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.7550
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.7550
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.7550
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.7550
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.7450
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.7400
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.7400
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.7450
2025-01-01 00:00: 0.7500
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.7500
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.7500
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.7950
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.8450
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.8300
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.8250
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.8200
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.8200
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.8200
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.8150
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.8250
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.8250
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.8100
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.8050
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.8500
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.8550
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.8600
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.8550
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.8650
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.8550
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.8550
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.8550
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.8600
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.8500
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.8550
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.8200
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.8150
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.8150
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.8150
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.8150
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.8150
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.8050
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.8050
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.8050
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.8050
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.8150
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.8150
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 28059.95, Sell volume: 2320.17, Average price: 0.4903, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.2500
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.2450
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.2500
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.2500
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.2500
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.2500
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.2600
2025-01-05 11:00: 0.2550
2025-01-05 13:00: 0.2550
2025-01-05 15:00: 0.2600
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.2550
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.2550
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.2700
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.2600
2025-01-06 01:00: 0.2950
2025-01-06 03:00: 0.2700
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.2700
2025-01-06 07:00: 0.2700
2025-01-06 09:00: 0.2700
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.2700
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.2700
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.2550
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.2550
2025-01-06 19:00: 0.2450
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.2600
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.2600
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.2600
2025-01-07 03:00: 0.2450
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.2450
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.2450
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.2600
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.2450
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.2500
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.2500
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.2650
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.2900
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.2550
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.2350
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.2700
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.2700
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.2850
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.2550
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.2550
2025-01-08 11:00: 0.2550
2025-01-08 13:00: 0.2550
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.2550
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.2550
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.2550
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.2550
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 40086.61, Sell volume: 14238.20, Average price: 0.5454, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7769

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.7400
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.7400
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.7400
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.7400
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.7350
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.7400
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.7400
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.7450
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.7400
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.7400
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.7450
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.7450
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.7400
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.7450
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.7400
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.7400
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.7400
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.7400
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.7450
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.7450
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.7550
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.7550
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.7550
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.7550
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.7450
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.7450
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.7350
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.7350
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.7400
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.7400
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.7400
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.7450
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.7450
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.7450
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.7450
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.7550
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.7550
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.7600
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.7600
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.7600
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.7600
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.7600
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.7600
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.7600
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.7450
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.7450
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.7450
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.7450
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.7450
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 23244.90, Sell volume: 3303.06, Average price: 0.5208, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.2400
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.2400
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.2400
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.2400
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.2400
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.2350
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.2350
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.2300
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.2300
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.2300
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.2300
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.2300
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.2300
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.2300
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.2300
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.2300
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.2300
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.2300
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.2300
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.2300
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.2300
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.2250
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.2250
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.2250
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.2250
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.2250
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.2250
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.2250
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.2250
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.2250
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.2300
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.2300
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.2050
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 4118.56, Sell volume: 578.96, Average price: 0.5291, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.7850
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.7850
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.7850
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.7850
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.7850
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.7700
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.7550
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.7200
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.7550
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.7550
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.7900
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.7900
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.7900
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.7950
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.7950
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.7900
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.7850
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.7000
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.6500
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.7200
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.7200
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.7100
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.7100
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.7100
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.6950
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.6950
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.6950
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.7050
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.7000
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.7050
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.7150
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.7000
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.7050
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.7050
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.7150
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.7000
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.6950
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.7650
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.7650
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.8050
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.7750
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.7900
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.7900
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.7950
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.7950
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 294, Buy volume: 129508.79, Sell volume: 31455.53, Average price: 0.4590, Price range: 0.0869 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0650
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0700
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0450
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0500
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.0550
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0900
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.0650
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.0600
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.0550
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.0550
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.0550
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.0550
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.0550
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.0550
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.0550
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.0650
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.0650
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.0600
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.0600
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.0650
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.0650
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0650
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.0600
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0600
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.0600
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0600
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0550
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0700
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.0700
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.0700
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 52400.09, Sell volume: 63213.38, Average price: 0.3678, Price range: 0.0142 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.9725
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9640
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.9520
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9740
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9650
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.9615
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9620
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.9625
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.9690
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.9510
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.9890
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.9830
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.9715
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.9705
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.9795
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.9745
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.9740
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.9795
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.9800
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.9800
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.9775
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.9780
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9820
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.9850
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.9885
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.9890
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.9900
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.9905
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9915
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.9910
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.9885
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.9900
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.9900
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.9890
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9895
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.9890
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.9890
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9885
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.9890
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.9890
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.9890
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.9880
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.9880
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9880
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.9875
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.9880
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.9890
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.9915
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.9920
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 197, Buy volume: 128092.20, Sell volume: 31954.85, Average price: 0.4344, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0075
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0075
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0070
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0070
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0085
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0180
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0195
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0180
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0160
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0175
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.0175
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.0170
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0180
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0205
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0280
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0610
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0395
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0385
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0335
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0290
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0385
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0350
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0360
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0350
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0130
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0050
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0080
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0060
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0070
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0060
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0080
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0090
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0090
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0090
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0080
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0055
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0060
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0105
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0090
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0090
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0065
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0055
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0055
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 66468.70, Sell volume: 59119.37, Average price: 0.4858, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9920
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9915
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9925
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.9920
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.9920
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9920
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.9945
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.9930
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9945
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9945
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9925
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9925
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9905
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9925
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9955
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 7428.54, Sell volume: 67345.07, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0020
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0020
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0020
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0010
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 99190.19, Sell volume: 57529.86, Average price: 0.5226, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0390
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0235
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0240
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.0240
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0170
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.0145
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0145
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.0125
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.0125
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0120
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.0120
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.0120
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0120
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.0120
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.0110
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0115
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.0100
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.0100
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.0100
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0095
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.0100
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.0105
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.0100
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.0095
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0095
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.0095
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0120
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0135
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0120
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.0135
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0130
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0125
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.0125
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0125
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0130
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.0130
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0125
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.0125
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.0110
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.0105
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.0125
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0105
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.0110
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.0125
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0125
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0130
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.0130
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.0130
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0125
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.0120
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.0125
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0130
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.0135
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.0105
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0105
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0105
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0105
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.0105
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.0105
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.0135
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0135
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.0135
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.0135
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.0135
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0135
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0130
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0130
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.0125
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0125
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0170
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0155
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.0145
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0175
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0160
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0160
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.0175
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0180
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0230
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0265
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0290
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0280
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0290
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0275
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0270
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0275
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0270
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0255
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0275
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0260
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0260
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0265
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0265
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0265
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0255
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0265
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0275
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0255
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0270
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0285
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0285
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0300
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0290
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0300
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0290
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0280
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0285
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0285
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0285
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0280
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0285
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0285
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0290
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0285
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0295
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0295
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0285
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0290
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0290
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0285
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0285
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0290
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0290
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0285
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0335
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0320
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0320
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0320
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0325
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0345
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0370
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0405
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0375
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0385
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0395
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0670
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0710
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0685
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0700
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0730
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0745
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0735
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0735
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0725
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.0460
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0425
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0480
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0455
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0455
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0455
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0470
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0445
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0425
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.0425
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0470
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0435
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.0435
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0435
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0435
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0435
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0435
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0425
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0425
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0425
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0440
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0435
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0445
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0435
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0435
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0435
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0440
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0455
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0435
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0435
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0430
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0425
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0425
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0425
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0525
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0535
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0535
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0530
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0530
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0690
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0970
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.1105
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.1080
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0635
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0560
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0580
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0730
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0625
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0760
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0555
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0685
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0695
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0665
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0550
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0555
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0555
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0570
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0580
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0555
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0570
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0610
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0545
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0540
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0545
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0545
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0560
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0525
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0545
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0545
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0545
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0545
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0525
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0540
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0525
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0525
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0545
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0535
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0535
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0535
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0535
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0535
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0535
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0505
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0505
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0505
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0505
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0450
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0425
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0430
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0435
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0460
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0415
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0305
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0270
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0555
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0350
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0325
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0315
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0140
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0095
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0120
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0110
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0125
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0115
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0140
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0170
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0135
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0130
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0100
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0165
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0140
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0140
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0130
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0130
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0130
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0135
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0135
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0120
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0130
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0130
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0115
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.0095
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0095
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0145
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0155
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0175
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0175
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0170
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0140
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0155
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0145
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0145
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0145
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0155
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0155
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0145
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0155
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0155
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0165
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0135
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0135
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0145
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0145
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0160
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0120
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0230
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0240
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0165
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0680
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0680
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0695
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0880
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0820
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0685
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0495
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0550
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0525
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0515
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0505
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0535
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0535
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0615
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0615
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0690
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0675
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0525
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0515
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0625
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0670
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0620
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0565
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0535
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0580
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.0550
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0500
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0255
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0260
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.0250
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0245
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0235
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0265
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0225
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0245
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0280
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0225
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0225
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0225
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0230
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0225
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0225
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0220
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0215
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0220
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0225
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0230
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0210
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0285
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0285
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0245
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0260
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0275
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0265
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0205
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0205
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.0080
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0085
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0085
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.0085
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0160
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0170
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0170
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0160
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.0160
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0130
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.0135
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0135
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0140
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.0140
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0140
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0120
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.0075
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0070
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0120
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.0075
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0075
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.0155
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0105
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0130
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.0125
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.0130
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0100
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0100
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0115
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0115
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.0105
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0105
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0105
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0100
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0145
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.0195
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0180
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0170
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0145
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0155
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0160
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0160
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.0185
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9810
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9810
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9815
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.9805
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0200
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0195
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.9815
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0185
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0190
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0175
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0155
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0160
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0175
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0090
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9905
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9825
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.0175
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9840
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0135
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0145
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0150
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0170
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0150
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9830
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.9845
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.9825
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0175
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0145
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0145
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.0135
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0120
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9860
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9850
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9845
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.9850
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9880
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.9850
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9860
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9825
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9880
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.9850
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.9510
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0295
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0295
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9565
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.9560
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0255
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9675
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9695
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9720
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9745
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.9630
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0400
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.0410
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.0400
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0400
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9475
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0485
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0315
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0335
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9715
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0240
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0290
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9750
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9685
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0270
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9800
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0190
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0185
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9815
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0180
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0170
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0150
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0130
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0130
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0130
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9865
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9850
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9740
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0215
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0210
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0200
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9830
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9945
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0050
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0045
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0050
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9950
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9890
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9910
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9920
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0050
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9950
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999998, Buy volume: 169678285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2024-12-16 19:00: 0.5150
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.6150
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.1350
2024-12-17 05:00: 0.8000
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.1700
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.8400
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.1750
2024-12-17 19:00: 0.8250
2024-12-17 23:00: 0.3400
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.6700
2024-12-18 06:00: 0.2750
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.6950
2024-12-18 13:00: 0.3550
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.7300
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.2850
2024-12-18 23:00: 0.7150
2024-12-19 03:00: 0.2900
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.6950
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.3650
2024-12-19 13:00: 0.6550
2024-12-19 17:00: 0.3450
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.6450
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.3550
2024-12-20 03:00: 0.6400
2024-12-20 07:00: 0.3600
2024-12-20 10:00: 0.6750
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.3200
2024-12-20 17:00: 0.6550
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.3200
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 16374.59, Sell volume: 3825.11, Average price: 0.5134, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2024-12-21 13:00: 0.6750
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.3200
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.6800
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.2850
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.7700
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.2300
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.7700
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.2600
2024-12-22 17:00: 0.7600
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.2450
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.7300
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.2700
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.7300
2024-12-23 11:00: 0.2750
2024-12-23 14:00: 0.7050
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.3200
2024-12-23 21:00: 0.6450
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.3350
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.6650
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.2850
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.6700
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.3300
2024-12-24 18:00: 0.6900
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.3100
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.6900
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.3100
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.6850
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.3350
2024-12-25 15:00: 0.6650
2024-12-25 19:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 35668.66, Sell volume: 677.29, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.2850
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.6950
2024-12-26 15:00: 0.3050
2024-12-26 18:00: 0.7000
2024-12-26 22:00: 0.3050
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.6800
2024-12-27 05:00: 0.2950
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.7000
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.3050
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.6950
2024-12-27 19:00: 0.3050
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.7050
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.2750
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.7250
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.2650
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.7350
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.2650
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.7700
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.2450
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.7550
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.2450
2024-12-29 09:00: 0.7600
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.2400
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.7550
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.2600
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.7400
2024-12-30 03:00: 0.2600
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.7400
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.2600
2024-12-30 13:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 34688.76, Sell volume: 394.60, Average price: 0.5395, Price range: 0.2247 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.7500
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.2500
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.7550
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.2450
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.7450
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.2600
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.7400
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.2500
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.7950
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.1700
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.8200
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.1800
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.8150
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.1750
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.8300
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.1450
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.8600
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.1350
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.8550
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.1550
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.8500
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.1800
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.8150
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.1900
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.8150
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.1950
2025-01-03 21:00: 0.8050
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.1850
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.8300
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 28059.95, Sell volume: 2320.17, Average price: 0.4903, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.2500
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.7500
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.2500
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.7500
2025-01-05 11:00: 0.2550
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.7400
2025-01-05 18:00: 0.2550
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.7300
2025-01-06 01:00: 0.2950
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.7300
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.2700
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.7300
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.2550
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.7550
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.2650
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.7400
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.2450
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.7550
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.2550
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.7500
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.2900
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.7800
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.2700
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.7150
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.2550
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.7450
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.2550
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.7450
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.2750
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 40086.61, Sell volume: 14238.20, Average price: 0.5454, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7769
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.7400
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.2600
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.6750
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.2600
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.7450
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.2600
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.7450
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.2600
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.7400
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.2600
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.7400
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.2450
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.7550
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.2450
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.7450
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.2650
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.7400
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.2600
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.7450
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.2550
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.7550
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.2400
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.7600
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.2400
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.7600
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.2550
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.7450
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.2550
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.7450
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 23244.90, Sell volume: 3303.06, Average price: 0.5208, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.2400
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.7600
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.2400
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.7650
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.2300
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.7700
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.2300
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.7700
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.2300
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.7700
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.2300
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.7700
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.2250
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.7750
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.2250
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.7750
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.2250
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.7750
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.2300
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.7750
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.7750
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.7750
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.7750
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.7750
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.1950
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 4118.56, Sell volume: 578.96, Average price: 0.5291, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.7850
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.2150
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.7850
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.2350
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.7200
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.2450
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.7600
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.2100
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.7950
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.2100
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.7000
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.2750
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.7200
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.2900
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.7100
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.3300
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.6950
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.3000
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.2950
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.7000
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.2950
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.7150
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.2950
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.7650
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.2250
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.7900
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.2050
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.7900
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 294, Buy volume: 129508.79, Sell volume: 31455.53, Average price: 0.4590, Price range: 0.0869 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0650
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0550
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9100
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.0650
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.9400
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.9450
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.0550
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.9450
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.0500
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.9350
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.0600
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.9400
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.0650
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.9400
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.0600
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.9450
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0700
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.9300
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.9300
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0650
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 52400.09, Sell volume: 63213.38, Average price: 0.3678, Price range: 0.0142 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.9725
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0480
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.9825
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0385
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.9625
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0490
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9840
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.0295
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.9795
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0260
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.9790
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0225
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.9780
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0150
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.9880
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0100
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9915
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0115
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.9900
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0110
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.9890
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0115
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.9890
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0110
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.9880
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0125
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.9895
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0080
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.9920
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 197, Buy volume: 128092.20, Sell volume: 31954.85, Average price: 0.4344, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0075
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.9930
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0085
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.9820
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0180
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.9825
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.0170
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9820
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.0280
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9605
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0380
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.9710
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0350
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.9650
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0055
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9950
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0060
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9940
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0085
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.9910
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0080
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.9940
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0105
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9910
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0065
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9945
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.9925
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 66468.70, Sell volume: 59119.37, Average price: 0.4858, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9920
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0075
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9920
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0080
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0055
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0075
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9925
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0045
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0045
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0045
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0045
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0045
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9955
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0055
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 7428.54, Sell volume: 67345.07, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 515823
Question: Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?
Volume: 1001426.001934
Price History:
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9965
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.9980
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0020
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9980
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.9995
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 99190.19, Sell volume: 57529.86, Average price: 0.5226, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.9785
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.0240
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.9830
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0130
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.9875
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.0125
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.9880
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.0125
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.9895
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.9905
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.0095
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9900
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0100
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.9900
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0095
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.9875
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0135
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.9865
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.0125
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.9875
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0130
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.9875
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0115
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.9890
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0120
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9885
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0125
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.0130
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.9865
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.0125
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.9870
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0135
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.9895
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0105
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.9895
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9895
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.9895
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.9865
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0135
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.9865
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0135
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.9875
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0125
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9875
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0130
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.9870
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0165
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.9845
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0165
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9840
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0165
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9835
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0265
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0290
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9730
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0260
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9725
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0260
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9745
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0260
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9735
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0265
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9735
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0260
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9730
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0280
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9700
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0300
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9715
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0290
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9715
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0285
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9720
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0285
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9710
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9710
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0285
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9710
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0285
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0335
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9680
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0320
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0405
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9625
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0375
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9385
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0660
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9300
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0695
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9265
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0730
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.9270
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0435
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.9490
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0455
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.9545
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0445
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9575
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0435
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.9565
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0435
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.9565
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0425
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.9575
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.0440
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9560
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0435
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0440
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9570
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9570
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0430
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9575
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0425
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9460
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0530
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9300
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0715
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.8940
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0710
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9435
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0620
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9245
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0555
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9305
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0675
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9445
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0555
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9415
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0565
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0545
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9455
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0525
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9455
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0545
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.9460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0525
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9455
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0525
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9465
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0535
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9465
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0535
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.9495
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0505
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.9545
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0425
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.9540
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0420
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.9720
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0310
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9675
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0140
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9890
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0095
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9895
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0190
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9895
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0170
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9880
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0115
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9835
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0165
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9870
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0130
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0135
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9870
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0125
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9905
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0150
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9855
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0170
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.9850
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0150
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.9855
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0155
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9850
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.9835
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0135
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9860
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0160
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9855
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0155
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9320
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0695
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9050
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0695
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.9460
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0510
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9490
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0540
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9395
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0690
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527797
Question: Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1434880.879138
Price History:
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0525
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9375
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0610
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9435
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0540
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9470
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0255
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.9755
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0270
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9740
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0250
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9770
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0225
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9775
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0225
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9780
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0220
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9775
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0215
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.9715
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0285
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.9735
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0205
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.9955
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.9915
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0170
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.9825
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0160
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 169689285.41, Sell volume: 179326369.30, Average price: 0.9389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes