Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585591
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 147885.662291
Price History:
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.8550
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.8550
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.8550
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.8550
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.8550
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.8550
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.1450
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.8550
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.8550
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.1450
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.1450
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.8550
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.1450
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.8550
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.8650
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.1350
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.8650
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.8650
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.1350
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.1350
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.8650
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.8650
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.1350
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.1350
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.8650
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.1300
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.8700
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.1350
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.8650
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.8650
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.1350
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9250
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9945
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0055
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0480
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 80762.32, Sell volume: 4670.78, Average price: 0.6728, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585591
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 147885.662291
Price History:
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0240
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9760
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0345
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9655
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0180
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9820
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9895
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0105
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9940
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 47717.08, Sell volume: 5342.30, Average price: 0.4706, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585591
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 147885.662291
Price History:
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.5600
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.4400
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.8450
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.1550
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.1550
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.8450
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.1550
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.8450
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.1550
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.8450
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.8600
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.1400
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.1250
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.8750
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.8750
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.1250
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.8750
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.1250
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.1250
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.8750
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.1250
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.8750
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.1250
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.8750
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.8750
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.1250
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.8750
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.1250
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.1250
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2694.90, Sell volume: 65.74, Average price: 0.4175, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585591
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 147885.662291
Price History:
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.8650
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.8650
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.1350
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.1450
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8550
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.1350
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.8650
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.1350
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.8650
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.1350
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.8650
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.8650
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.1350
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.8650
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.8650
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1350
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.8650
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.1350
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.1350
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.8650
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.1350
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.8650
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.8650
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1350
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.1350
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.8650
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 121.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585591
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 147885.662291
Price History:
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.8650
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.1350
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.1350
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.8650
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.8650
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.1350
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.8650
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.1350
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.8650
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.1350
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.8650
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.1350
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.8650
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.1350
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.8650
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.1350
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.8650
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.8650
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.1350
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.1350
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.8650
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.8500
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.1500
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.1350
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.8650
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.1450
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.8550
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.1450
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 411.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5467, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585591
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 147885.662291
Price History:
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.1450
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.1450
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.8550
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.1450
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.8550
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.1450
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8550
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.1450
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.8550
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.1450
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.8550
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.1450
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.1450
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.8550
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.8550
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1450
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.8550
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.1450
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.8550
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.1450
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.8500
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.1500
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.8500
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.1500
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.8500
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.1500
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.8500
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.1500
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 156.32, Sell volume: 13.33, Average price: 0.6233, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585591
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 147885.662291
Price History:
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.8500
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.1500
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.8500
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.1500
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.8500
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.1500
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.8500
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.1500
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.8450
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.1550
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.1500
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.8500
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.1500
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.8500
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.8450
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.1550
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.1550
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.8450
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.1450
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.8550
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.1450
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.8550
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.8550
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.1450
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.8550
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.1450
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.8550
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.1450
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.1450
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 97.43, Sell volume: 113.58, Average price: 0.5740, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585591
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 147885.662291
Price History:
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.1400
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.8600
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1400
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.1450
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.8600
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.1400
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.1400
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.8600
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.1400
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.8600
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.8550
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.8550
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.8550
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.1500
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.8500
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.8550
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.8500
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.1500
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.1500
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.8500
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.8500
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.1500
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.8500
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.1500
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 22.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8700, Price range: 0.8700 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585591
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 147885.662291
Price History:
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8550
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.8550
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.8550
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8550
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.8550
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.1450
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.8500
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.1500
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.8550
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.1450
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.8500
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.1500
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.8450
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.8550
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.1450
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.1450
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.8550
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.8550
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.1450
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.8550
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.1450
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.1450
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 159.50, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.6629, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585591
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 147885.662291
Price History:
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.1500
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.8450
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.1600
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.8400
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.1600
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.8400
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.8450
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.8450
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.1550
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.8450
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.1550
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.8450
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.8500
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.1500
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.8550
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.1450
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.8550
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.1450
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.1450
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.8550
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.1400
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.8600
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.8600
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.1400
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.1450
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.8550
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 113.63, Average price: 0.8597, Price range: 0.8288 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585591
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 147885.662291
Price History:
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.1450
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.8550
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.8600
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.1400
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.8550
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.1450
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.1450
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.8550
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.1450
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.8600
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.1400
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.8550
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.1450
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.8550
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.1450
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.1450
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.8550
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.1450
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.8550
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.8550
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.1450
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.8550
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.1450
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.1450
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.8550
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.1450
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.8550
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.8550
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 185.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8700, Price range: 0.8700 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585591
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 147885.662291
Price History:
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.1400
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.1400
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.8600
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.1400
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.8600
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.8600
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.1400
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.1400
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.8600
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.1400
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.8600
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.8600
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 313.93, Sell volume: 130.26, Average price: 0.4330, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585591
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 147885.662291
Price History:
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.8600
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.8600
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.1400
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.8600
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.1400
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.1400
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.8600
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.8600
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.1400
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.8600
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.1400
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.1400
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.8600
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.8600
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.1400
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.1400
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1215.49, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.7838, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585591
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 147885.662291
Price History:
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.8550
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.8550
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.8550
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.8550
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.8550
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.1450
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.8550
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.1450
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.8550
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.8550
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.1450
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.1450
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.8550
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.1450
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.8550
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.8650
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.1350
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.8650
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.8650
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.1350
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 80762.32, Sell volume: 4670.78, Average price: 0.6728, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585591
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 147885.662291
Price History:
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0240
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9760
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0345
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9655
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0180
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9820
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9895
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0105
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9940
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 47717.08, Sell volume: 5342.30, Average price: 0.4706, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.5150
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.5700
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.5600
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.5950
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.6900
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.6900
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.3950
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.3950
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.3500
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.3500
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.6500
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.2950
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7250
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.2600
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2350
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.1700
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.1450
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.1400
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.1350
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.1350
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.1400
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.8650
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.8650
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9100
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.8150
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.8200
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.8200
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.8200
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.8800
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.8750
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9000
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9000
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.1550
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.1250
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.8750
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.1250
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.1250
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.8750
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.1250
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.1250
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.1250
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.8250
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.7750
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.2250
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.7850
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.7900
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.2050
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.7950
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.2650
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.2150
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.2250
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.2250
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.2250
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.2250
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.2250
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.2250
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.2250
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.7750
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.2250
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.7700
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.2500
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.7500
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.2500
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.2500
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.2500
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.2500
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.7500
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.2500
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.7500
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.2500
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.8550
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.8500
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.1500
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.8550
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.1350
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.1400
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.8600
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.1350
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.8700
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.8700
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9200
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.1400
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.1450
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0850
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.8150
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.1500
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.1450
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.1550
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.8550
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.8550
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.8750
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.8700
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.1300
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.1300
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.8750
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.1250
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.8750
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8750
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.1350
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.1350
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.8600
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.8650
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.8650
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.8650
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0450
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0395
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9755
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9540
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0850
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9435
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0565
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0805
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0805
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0895
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0895
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9105
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0090
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0150
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9885
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0110
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0110
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0110
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0115
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9875
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9875
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9865
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9870
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0145
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0145
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9855
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0145
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0145
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9855
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0145
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9855
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9705
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9740
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9735
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9730
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9780
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9780
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9770
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9770
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9770
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9770
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9775
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9770
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9775
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9825
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0175
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0165
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9835
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0165
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9835
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9835
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9835
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9835
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9835
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9835
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0165
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9830
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9830
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9835
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9835
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0170
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9805
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0195
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9805
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9805
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9805
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9805
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0190
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9810
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9810
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.9810
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0190
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9810
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9810
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9810
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0180
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0180
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0180
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0165
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0165
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0165
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9860
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0140
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0140
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0140
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0145
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9855
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0145
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.9840
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9840
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9845
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.9820
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9825
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9825
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0175
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9835
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9835
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0280
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0295
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0300
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9700
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0285
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9730
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9770
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0195
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0200
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0200
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0060
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0045
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9950
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0050
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0050
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0050
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9950
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0040
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0060
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0060
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9950
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9950
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0050
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9950
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0050
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0050
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9950
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9950
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0050
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0050
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0050
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9950
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0060
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0060
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0065
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9875
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0115
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9850
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0125
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0135
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0110
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9880
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0090
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0190
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9810
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0185
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0185
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9815
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0180
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9830
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9830
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0170
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0155
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0165
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9945
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9945
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0055
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9885
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0150
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0135
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0110
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0110
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0110
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0110
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0110
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0135
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0130
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0125
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0125
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0125
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9880
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0120
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9880
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9870
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0135
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0040
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0040
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0045
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999290, Buy volume: 3212268.66, Sell volume: 2045258.24, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.0024 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0050
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 26115.39, Sell volume: 4320.83, Average price: 0.9446, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 20875.60, Sell volume: 14194.91, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 262, Buy volume: 9951.67, Sell volume: 21210.28, Average price: 0.9718, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.5150
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.5550
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.5950
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.7200
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.3950
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.6050
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.3500
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.6800
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.7250
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.1700
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.1400
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.8650
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.8650
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.8200
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.8150
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.8200
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.8200
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.8350
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.8700
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.8750
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9000
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.1250
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.1250
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.7950
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.2250
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.7850
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.2050
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.2650
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.2250
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.2250
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.2250
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.2250
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.2250
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.2250
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.2250
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.2300
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.2500
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.2500
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.2500
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.2500
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.7500
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.7500
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.2500
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.8600
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.1500
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.8550
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.1400
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.1400
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.1500
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.8150
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1550
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.8650
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.8700
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.8700
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.8750
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.1250
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8750
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.8650
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.8650
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0445
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9755
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0565
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0805
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0150
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0110
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0110
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0110
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9875
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9865
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9870
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9855
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9855
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9855
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9855
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9855
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9705
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9740
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9730
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9780
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9770
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9770
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9770
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9770
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9775
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9825
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0165
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0165
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9835
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9835
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9835
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9835
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0165
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0195
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9805
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9805
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9810
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9810
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0190
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0190
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9810
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9810
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0180
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0180
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0165
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0165
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9860
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0140
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9860
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9855
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9855
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9840
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0155
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9825
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.0175
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9835
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0260
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0295
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0295
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0285
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9755
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0195
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9950
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9950
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0050
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9950
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0040
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0060
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0050
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0050
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0050
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0050
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0050
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0050
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0060
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0085
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0115
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0110
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0135
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0090
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0195
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0185
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0165
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0055
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0055
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0135
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0180
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0110
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0100
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0110
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0110
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0135
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0130
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0125
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0130
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0120
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0120
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0135
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9955
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 3270414.07, Sell volume: 2084984.26, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0045
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999290, Buy volume: 3212268.66, Sell volume: 2045258.24, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.0024 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0050
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 26115.39, Sell volume: 4320.83, Average price: 0.9446, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 20875.60, Sell volume: 14194.91, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582848
Question: Will Meteora launch a token in 2025?
Volume: 311685.35016
Price History:
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 262, Buy volume: 9951.67, Sell volume: 21210.28, Average price: 0.9718, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0250
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9750
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9945
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0030
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 74155.32, Sell volume: 7782.19, Average price: 0.4578, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 28779.26, Sell volume: 1816.40, Average price: 0.7890, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 5530.77, Sell volume: 185.08, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 4776.83, Sell volume: 6003.50, Average price: 0.6921, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0030
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9970
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 25149.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7687, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 15154.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7266, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4747.02, Sell volume: 6.01, Average price: 0.8328, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 8923.03, Sell volume: 463.00, Average price: 0.8740, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 935.63, Sell volume: 62977.39, Average price: 0.7639, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 9000.00, Sell volume: 21708.88, Average price: 0.5998, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 93755.25, Sell volume: 2055.26, Average price: 0.6151, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9990
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9990
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9990
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9990
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9990
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 10499.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7498, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 8585.77, Sell volume: 322.36, Average price: 0.8327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0250
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9750
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9945
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0030
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 74155.32, Sell volume: 7782.19, Average price: 0.4578, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 28779.26, Sell volume: 1816.40, Average price: 0.7890, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 5530.77, Sell volume: 185.08, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 4776.83, Sell volume: 6003.50, Average price: 0.6921, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0030
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9970
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 25149.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7687, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9980
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 15154.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7266, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9980
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4747.02, Sell volume: 6.01, Average price: 0.8328, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 8923.03, Sell volume: 463.00, Average price: 0.8740, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 935.63, Sell volume: 62977.39, Average price: 0.7639, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 9000.00, Sell volume: 21708.88, Average price: 0.5998, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 93755.25, Sell volume: 2055.26, Average price: 0.6151, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9990
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0010
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9990
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9990
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9990
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9990
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0010
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9990
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 10499.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7498, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540695
Question: Will Donald Trump be the next Pope?
Volume: 439505.426497
Price History:
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 8585.77, Sell volume: 322.36, Average price: 0.8327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.4000
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.6000
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.4050
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.5950
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.4050
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.5950
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.4000
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.6000
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.4050
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.5950
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.5900
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.4700
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.5300
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.4700
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.5300
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.3700
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.6300
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.3700
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.6300
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.3700
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.6300
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 16.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.6250
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.3750
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.6250
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.3800
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.6200
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.3800
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.6200
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.42, Sell volume: 16.32, Average price: 0.3850, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.4800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.3800
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.6200
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.3800
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.6200
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.3450
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.6550
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.3450
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.6550
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.3750
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.6250
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.3750
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.6250
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.3750
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.6250
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.3750
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.6250
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.3750
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.6250
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.4000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.6200
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.3800
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.6200
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.3800
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.6200
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.3700
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.6300
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.3700
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.6300
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.3750
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.6250
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.3750
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.6250
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.3700
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.6300
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.3800
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.6200
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.4200
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.5800
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.4200
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.5800
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.4200
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.5800
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.4200
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.5800
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.4250
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.5750
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.4200
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.5800
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.4200
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.5800
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 42.27, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.5750
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.4250
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.5750
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.4250
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.5750
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.4250
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.5750
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.4250
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.5750
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.5650
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.4350
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.5600
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.5600
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.5600
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.4400
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.5550
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.4450
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.5550
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.4450
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.5600
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 276.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6390, Price range: 0.4867 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.5700
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.6050
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.3950
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.6700
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.3300
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.6650
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.3350
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.6700
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.3300
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.6450
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.3550
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.3550
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.6600
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.3400
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.6350
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.3650
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.6350
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.3650
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.6350
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.3650
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 828.16, Sell volume: 10.41, Average price: 0.5700, Price range: 0.3551 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.3650
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.6350
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.3650
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.6350
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.3650
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.6350
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.3650
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.6350
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.3650
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.6100
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.3900
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.5650
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.4350
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.5200
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.4800
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.5100
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.4900
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.5150
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.4850
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.5450
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.4550
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.5200
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 123.00, Sell volume: 63.77, Average price: 0.5409, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.5150
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.4850
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.5150
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.4850
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.4750
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.5250
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.4500
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.5500
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.4400
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.5600
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.4250
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.5750
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.4450
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.5550
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.4400
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.5600
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.4450
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.5550
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.4250
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.5750
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.4300
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.5700
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 118.93, Sell volume: 139.46, Average price: 0.4758, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.5650
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.4350
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.5650
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.4400
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.5600
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.4400
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.5600
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.4350
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.5650
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.4400
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.5600
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.4400
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.5600
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.4400
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.5600
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.5600
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.4650
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.5350
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.3300
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.6700
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.4000
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1035.42, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5750, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.3650
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.6350
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.4000
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.6000
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.3550
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.6450
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.6450
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.3550
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.6350
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.3650
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.6800
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.3050
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.6950
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.7050
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.2950
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.7000
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.3000
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.7000
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.3000
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.7550
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 339.03, Sell volume: 21.07, Average price: 0.5679, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.7550
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.7400
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.2600
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 148.46, Sell volume: 1110.50, Average price: 0.3876, Price range: 0.2135 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.2650
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.7350
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.3350
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.6650
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.3250
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.6750
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0095
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9905
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9975
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 24319.21, Sell volume: 2023.42, Average price: 0.7067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.4000
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.6000
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.4050
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.5950
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.4050
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.5950
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.4000
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.6000
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.4050
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.5950
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.5900
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.4700
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.5300
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.4700
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.5300
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.3700
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.6300
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.3700
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.6300
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.3700
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.6300
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 16.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.6250
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.3750
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.6250
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.3800
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.6200
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.3800
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.6200
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.42, Sell volume: 16.32, Average price: 0.3850, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.4800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.3850
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.6150
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.3800
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.6200
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.3800
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.6200
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.3450
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.6550
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.3450
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.6550
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.3750
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.6250
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.3750
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.6250
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.3750
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.6250
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.3750
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.6250
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.3750
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.6250
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.4000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.6200
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.3800
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.6200
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.3800
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.6200
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.3700
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.6300
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.3700
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.6300
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.3750
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.6250
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.3750
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.6250
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.3700
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.6300
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.3800
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.6200
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.4200
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.5800
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.4200
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.5800
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.4200
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.5800
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.4200
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.5800
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.4250
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.5750
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.4200
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.5800
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.4200
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.5800
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 42.27, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.5750
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.4250
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.5750
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.4250
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.5750
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.4250
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.5750
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.4250
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.5750
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.5650
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.4350
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.5600
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.5600
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.5600
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.4400
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.5550
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.4450
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.5550
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.4450
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.5600
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 276.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6390, Price range: 0.4867 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570977
Question: Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh to replace Kugler?
Volume: 30968.24681
Price History:
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.5700
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.6050
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.3950
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.6700
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.3300
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.6650
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.3350
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.6700
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.3300
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.6450
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.3550
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.3550
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.6600
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.3400
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.6350
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.3650
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.6350
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.3650
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.6350
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.3650
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 828.16, Sell volume: 10.41, Average price: 0.5700, Price range: 0.3551 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No