Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 76.60, Sell volume: 40.39, Average price: 0.5217, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5400
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4600
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4600
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5400
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5550
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.4450
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.5550
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.4450
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 56.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5821
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.6750
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.6750
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.6750
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.6700
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.6750
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 35.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5019, Price range: 0.1698 - 0.8340
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.60, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.7500
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 342.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3283, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.3400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.7500
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.2550
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.7650
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.2350
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.3500
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6500
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 45.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3456, Price range: 0.3456 - 0.3456
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3450
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3750
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 6.82, Sell volume: 320.00, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0645
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9355
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0385
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9615
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0735
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9265
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0300
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9700
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0300
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9700
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0280
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9720
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0235
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9765
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0185
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9815
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 23312.71, Sell volume: 13927.69, Average price: 0.2964, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6650
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.8500
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1500
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8500
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1500
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.8550
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1450
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1500
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.8500
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1500
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.8500
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9600
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9600
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9600
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 237.60, Sell volume: 52.97, Average price: 0.7911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9745
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9745
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9740
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0260
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9740
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0260
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9740
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0260
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9740
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9740
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9740
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9740
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9740
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9660
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0340
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9515
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0485
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9515
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0485
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9255
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0745
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9255
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0745
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9270
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0730
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9270
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0730
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9270
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0730
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 299.06, Sell volume: 16.73, Average price: 0.6750, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9280
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0720
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9280
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0720
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9280
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0720
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9280
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0720
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9280
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0720
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9280
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0720
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9280
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0720
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9280
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0720
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9280
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0720
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9275
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0725
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9290
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0710
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9380
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0620
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9380
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0620
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9395
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0605
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9415
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0585
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9415
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0585
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9440
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0560
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9440
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0560
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9425
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0575
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9425
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0575
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9425
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0575
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9440
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0560
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9440
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0560
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9465
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0535
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9460
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1200.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9514, Price range: 0.9508 - 0.9520

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0540
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9460
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0540
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9460
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0540
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9460
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0540
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9460
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0540
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9460
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0540
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9460
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0540
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9460
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0540
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9470
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0530
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2.07, Sell volume: 2.06, Average price: 0.9465, Price range: 0.9270 - 0.9660

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9465
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9465
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9465
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9465
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9465
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9465
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9465
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9465
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9480
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0520
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9480
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0520
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9480
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0520
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9480
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0520
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9480
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0520
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9480
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0520
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9490
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0510
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9490
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0510
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9490
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0510
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9490
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0510
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9520
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0480
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9510
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0490
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9495
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0505
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9535
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0465
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9535
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0465
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 30.99, Sell volume: 19.19, Average price: 0.9447, Price range: 0.9270 - 0.9681

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9360
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0640
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0670
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9330
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0670
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9330
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0670
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9330
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0670
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9330
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0670
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9330
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0670
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9330
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0670
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9330
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0670
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 30.16, Sell volume: 1.05, Average price: 0.4993, Price range: 0.0676 - 0.9310

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9425
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0575
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9495
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0505
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9495
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0505
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9495
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0505
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9515
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0485
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9515
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0485
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9515
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0485
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9510
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9510
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9510
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9510
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9510
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9510
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9520
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0480
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9515
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0485
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9515
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0485
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9515
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0485
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9515
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0485
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9505
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0495
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9525
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0475
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9520
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0480
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9525
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0475
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9525
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0475
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9520
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0480
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9520
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 16.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9683, Price range: 0.9680 - 0.9690

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0460
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9605
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0395
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9620
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0380
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9630
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0370
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9595
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0405
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9595
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0405
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9605
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0395
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9605
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0395
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9610
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0390
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9610
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0390
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9615
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0385
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9620
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0380
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9620
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0380
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9625
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0375
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9625
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0375
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9630
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0370
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9635
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0365
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9630
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0370
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9630
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0370
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9630
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0370
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9630
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0370
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9635
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0365
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9635
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0365
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 18000.87, Sell volume: 2371.56, Average price: 0.7422, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9655
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0345
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9655
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0345
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9660
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0340
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9660
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0340
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9660
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0340
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9670
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9670
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9655
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0345
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9655
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0345
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9645
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0355
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9665
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 18000.87, Sell volume: 2371.56, Average price: 0.7422, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9640
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0360
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9645
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0355
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9640
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0360
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9640
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0360
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0355
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0355
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0355
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9665
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0335
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9650
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9670
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0330
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9670
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0330
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9670
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0330
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9670
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0330
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9670
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0330
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9655
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0345
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9650
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0350
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9655
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0345
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9655
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0345
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9650
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0350
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9650
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0350
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9650
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0350
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9655
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0345
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.9790 - 0.9790

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9655
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0345
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9660
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0340
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9665
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0335
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9665
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0335
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9665
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0335
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9665
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0335
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9670
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0330
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9665
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0335
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9665
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0335
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9665
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0335
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9670
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0330
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9670
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0330
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9670
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0330
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9655
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0345
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9655
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0345
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9655
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0345
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9665
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0335
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9660
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0340
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9655
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0345
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9660
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0340
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9655
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0345
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9680
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0320
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9660
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 18000.87, Sell volume: 2371.56, Average price: 0.7422, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0345
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9660
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0340
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9675
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0325
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9645
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0355
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9655
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0345
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9670
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9670
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9670
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9670
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 18000.87, Sell volume: 2371.56, Average price: 0.7422, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9670
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9670
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9670
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9695
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9710
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0290
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9710
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0290
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9655
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0345
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9695
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0120
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 531.96, Sell volume: 350.00, Average price: 0.1474, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9808

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6650
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.8500
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1500
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8500
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1500
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.8550
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1450
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1500
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.8500
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1500
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.8500
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 237.60, Sell volume: 52.97, Average price: 0.7911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9745
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9745
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9740
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0260
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9740
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0260
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9740
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0260
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9740
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9740
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9740
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9740
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9740
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9660
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0340
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 299.06, Sell volume: 16.73, Average price: 0.6750, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9280
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0720
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9280
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0720
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9280
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0720
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9280
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0720
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9280
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0720
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9280
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0720
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9280
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0720
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9280
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0720
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9280
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0720
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9275
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0725
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9290
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0710
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9380
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0620
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9380
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0620
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9395
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0605
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9415
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1200.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9514, Price range: 0.9508 - 0.9520
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0540
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9460
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0540
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9460
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0540
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9460
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0540
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9460
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0540
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9460
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0540
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9460
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0540
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9460
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0540
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9470
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0530
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9465
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0535
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2.07, Sell volume: 2.06, Average price: 0.9465, Price range: 0.9270 - 0.9660
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9465
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9465
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9465
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9465
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9465
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9465
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9465
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9465
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9480
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0520
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9480
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0520
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9480
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0520
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9480
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0520
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9480
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0520
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9480
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0520
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9490
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 30.99, Sell volume: 19.19, Average price: 0.9447, Price range: 0.9270 - 0.9681
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9360
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0640
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 30.16, Sell volume: 1.05, Average price: 0.4993, Price range: 0.0676 - 0.9310
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9425
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0575
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9495
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0505
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9495
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0505
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9495
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0505
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9515
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0485
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9515
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0485
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9515
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0485
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9510
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9510
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9510
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9510
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9510
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9510
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0490
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9520
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0480
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9515
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 16.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9683, Price range: 0.9680 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0460
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9605
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0395
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9620
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0380
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9630
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0370
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9595
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0405
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9595
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0405
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9605
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0395
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9605
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0395
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9610
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0390
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9610
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0390
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9615
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0385
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9620
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0380
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9620
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0380
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9625
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0375
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 18000.87, Sell volume: 2371.56, Average price: 0.7422, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9655
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0345
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9655
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0345
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9660
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0340
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9660
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0340
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9660
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0340
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9670
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9670
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 18000.87, Sell volume: 2371.56, Average price: 0.7422, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9640
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0360
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9645
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0355
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9640
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0360
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9640
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0360
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0355
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0355
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0355
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9665
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0335
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9650
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9670
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0330
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9670
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0330
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9670
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0330
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9670
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0330
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9790, Price range: 0.9790 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9655
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0345
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9660
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0340
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9665
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0335
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9665
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0335
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9665
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0335
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9665
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0335
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9670
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0330
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9665
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0335
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9665
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0335
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9665
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0335
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9670
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0330
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9670
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0330
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9670
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0330
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9655
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0345
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9655
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 18000.87, Sell volume: 2371.56, Average price: 0.7422, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0345
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9660
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0340
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9675
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0325
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9645
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0355
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9655
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0345
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9665
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0335
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 18000.87, Sell volume: 2371.56, Average price: 0.7422, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666081
Question: Will Laura Bush attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20372.427945
Price History:
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9670
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9670
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9670
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9675
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 531.96, Sell volume: 350.00, Average price: 0.1474, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9808
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.5100
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.3500
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.7100
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.3250
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.7300
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0600
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.0600
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0600
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.8200
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.1900
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.8100
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.1900
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.8100
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.1900
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.8100
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.1900
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.8100
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.1900
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.8100
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.1900
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.7950
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.7550
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.7850
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.2400
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 189.25, Sell volume: 35.35, Average price: 0.4384, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.2750
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.7250
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.2950
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.7050
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.2950
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.2950
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.7050
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.2900
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.7250
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.2700
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.7250
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.7250
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.7300
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.2800
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.7400
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.7200
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.7350
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.7200
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.2800
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.8000
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.8000
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.8000
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.8000
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.8000
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.2000
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.8000
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.2000
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.2000
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.8000
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.7850
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.2100
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.2000
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.2000
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.7800
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2200
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.7800
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.7800
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.2200
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.7600
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.7800
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.7600
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 395, Buy volume: 63872.73, Sell volume: 24014.64, Average price: 0.4179, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.7500
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.2200
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7800
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.7800
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7800
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.7800
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7400
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.2900
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 31.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3082, Price range: 0.3082 - 0.3082

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7350
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2650
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2600
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7450
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2650
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.7350
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.7350
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.2600
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.2900
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.2900
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 395, Buy volume: 63872.73, Sell volume: 24014.64, Average price: 0.4179, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.7000
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.3300
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.3300
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.3350
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.3350
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.3350
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.3350
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.3350
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.3350
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.3350
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.6650
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.6650
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.6650
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.3350
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.6650
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.6650
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.6650
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.3450
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.3350
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.3350
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.6600
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.3400
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.3400
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.3400
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 395, Buy volume: 63872.73, Sell volume: 24014.64, Average price: 0.4179, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.6550
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.3550
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.6450
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.6500
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.3450
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.6550
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.3400
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.3350
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.6700
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.3300
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.6700
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.3300
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.7300
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.7350
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.2700
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.7300
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.2700
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.7300
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.2700
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.7300
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.2700
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.7300
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.7300
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.7300
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.7250
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.2750
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.7250
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.7400
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.2600
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.7400
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.2600
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.7250
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.2750
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2750
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.7250
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.7250
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 42.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7100, Price range: 0.7100 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.7550
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.7700
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.8000
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.2000
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.1950
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.8450
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 184.38, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.7050, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1350
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.8700
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.1300
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.8700
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.1350
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.1350
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 268.69, Sell volume: 255.35, Average price: 0.2752, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.8650
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.1350
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.8650
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1350
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.1350
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.8650
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1700
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1800
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.8200
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.1800
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.8100
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1900
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 148.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1500, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.1500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.1700
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.8300
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.1700
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.1800
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.1800
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.1800
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.1800
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1900
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1900
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.1900
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8100
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.8200
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.8200
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.1900
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.1800
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.1800
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.1800
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1900
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 395, Buy volume: 63872.73, Sell volume: 24014.64, Average price: 0.4179, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.7800
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.2500
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.7550
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.2450
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.7550
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.2500
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.7250
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.2750
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.7350
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.2650
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.2550
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.7550
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.4750
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.5350
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.4650
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.4850
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.5350
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.4450
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1089.58, Sell volume: 113.15, Average price: 0.4729, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.4800
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.5150
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.4600
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.5450
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.4550
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.4300
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.4500
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.5500
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.4500
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.5600
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.5450
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.4400
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.5500
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.4450
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.5450
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.4250
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.4350
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.5700
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.4650
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.5350
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.5350
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.4750
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.5350
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.4600
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.5200
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.5200
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.5050
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.5500
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.4050
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.6050
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.3500
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.6600
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.3350
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.6650
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.7350
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.2550
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.7500
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.7350
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.2650
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.7250
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 4727.11, Sell volume: 1784.39, Average price: 0.5992, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9875
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9920
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 248, Buy volume: 45910.65, Sell volume: 21511.40, Average price: 0.3637, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.4700
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3000
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.7100
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.7250
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0600
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.0600
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.1900
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.8100
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.1900
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.8100
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.1900
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.8100
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.1900
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.2050
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.7950
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.2150
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 189.25, Sell volume: 35.35, Average price: 0.4384, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.2750
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.2950
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.2950
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.7100
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.2700
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.7200
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.2800
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.7200
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.7200
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.8000
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.2000
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.2000
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.8000
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.2000
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.2000
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.7850
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.8000
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.8000
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2200
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.2200
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.2200
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 395, Buy volume: 63872.73, Sell volume: 24014.64, Average price: 0.4179, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.7500
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.7800
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.2250
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.7400
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 31.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3082, Price range: 0.3082 - 0.3082
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2650
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7350
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.7400
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2650
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.2650
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.7400
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.2700
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 395, Buy volume: 63872.73, Sell volume: 24014.64, Average price: 0.4179, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.3300
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.3350
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.3350
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.3350
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.6650
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.3350
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.6650
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.3350
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.3350
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.3450
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.3400
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.3350
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.6550
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 395, Buy volume: 63872.73, Sell volume: 24014.64, Average price: 0.4179, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.6550
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.6650
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.6600
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.6650
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.3300
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.3300
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.2700
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.7300
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.2700
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.7300
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.2700
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.7300
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.7300
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.2700
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.2600
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2750
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 42.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7100, Price range: 0.7100 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.7550
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.7850
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.7950
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.2050
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8000
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.1950
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.8050
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 184.38, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.7050, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1350
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.8700
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.8700
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.1300
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.8650
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 268.69, Sell volume: 255.35, Average price: 0.2752, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.8650
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.8650
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1800
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1700
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.8100
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 148.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1500, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.1500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.8300
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.1700
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.1800
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.1800
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.8200
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.8200
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 395, Buy volume: 63872.73, Sell volume: 24014.64, Average price: 0.4179, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.7800
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.7550
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.2450
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.2750
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.7350
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.2450
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.4150
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.4650
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.4650
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1089.58, Sell volume: 113.15, Average price: 0.4729, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.4800
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.5400
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.4550
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.5550
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.4300
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.5500
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.4500
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.5500
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.4650
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.5500
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.4550
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.5750
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.4350
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.5250
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.4650
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.5350
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.5400
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.5200
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.4900
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.6050
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.3400
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.6650
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.7450
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.2500
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.7350
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.2750
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 4727.11, Sell volume: 1784.39, Average price: 0.5992, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600443
Question: Will CDA win 21 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 87887.369698
Price History:
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 248, Buy volume: 45910.65, Sell volume: 21511.40, Average price: 0.3637, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.3950
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.7050
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.6900
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3000
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.2900
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.2600
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.2550
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.5550
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.7600
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2600
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.7250
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.6800
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.6800
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.3150
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.3150
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.6850
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.3150
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 877.68, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.4580, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.6900
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.3100
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.7100
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.2950
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.2950
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.2950
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.2950
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.3050
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.3050
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.3050
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.6850
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.6850
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.6850
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.6850
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.3050
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.3000
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 173.00, Average price: 0.4850, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.7000
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.7050
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 285, Buy volume: 45756.24, Sell volume: 8300.97, Average price: 0.3225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1400
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.2800, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.2800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.8500
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8100
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8200
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8200
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8200
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.8350
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.8400
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.1650
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.1600
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.8400
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.1600
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.8400
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.1600
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.8400
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.1600
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.8400
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.8450
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.8450
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.1550
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.8450
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.1550
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.8450
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.1500
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.1500
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.1500
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.1500
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.1500
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.8500
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.8500
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.1500
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.8500
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.1500
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.8500
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.1500
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.8500
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.1500
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.1950
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.8200
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.8050
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2150
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.7800
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 203.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1900, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.1900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.7800
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.7600
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.7600
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.2400
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.7600
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.2400
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.7600
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.7600
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.7600
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.2400
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.7600
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.2400
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.2400
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.2400
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.2400
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.2400
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.2500
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.7500
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.7450
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.7500
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.2500
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.2500
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.2500
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.7500
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.7500
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.1900
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 38.46, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2600, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.2600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.7800
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.1800
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8200
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.8200
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.8200
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.8200
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.8350
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.8100
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.8100
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8100
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.8200
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.8200
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.8200
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1800
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.1800
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.2650
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.2650
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.2650
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.7350
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.7400
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 235.58, Sell volume: 13.78, Average price: 0.3397, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.2550
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.7450
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.2550
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.2550
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.7450
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.2550
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.7450
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.2550
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.7450
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.2550
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.7450
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.2550
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.2550
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.2550
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.2550
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.7450
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.2550
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.7400
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.7400
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.7400
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.2600
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.2600
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.7400
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.7400
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.7400
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.2800
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.7200
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.7200
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.2800
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.2800
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.2800
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.2800
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.2800
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.7200
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.2800
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.7200
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.7200
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.7200
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.2800
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 24.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.2950
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.7100
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.2900
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.7000
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.3000
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.2900
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.7450
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.7450
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.7450
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.7300
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.2700
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.7250
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 121.29, Sell volume: 55.99, Average price: 0.2950, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.3200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.7350
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.2550
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.2750
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.2750
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.2550
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.7450
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7450
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.7450
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.7450
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.2600
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.2600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.7400
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.2600
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.2600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.7400
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.2600
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.7400
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2600
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7400
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 9.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.7650
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.2350
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2350
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.2450
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.7550
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.7600
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.7600
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.7600
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.7550
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.2500
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.2500
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.7500
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.7500
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.7500
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.2450
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 239.76, Sell volume: 12.90, Average price: 0.7570, Price range: 0.7400 - 0.7800

Output: No