Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.4550
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.5310
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.4690
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.4690
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.5310
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.4680
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.5320
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.4710
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.5290
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.4710
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.5290
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.5290
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.4710
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.4710
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.5290
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.4710
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.5290
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.4710
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.5290
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.4710
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.5290
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.4710
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.4710
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.4710
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.4710
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.4710
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.4710
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4710
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.4710
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.4715
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.5285
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.4710
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.4710
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.4710
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.4710
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.4710
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 83.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8088, Price range: 0.7790 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.5700
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.5700
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.5700
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.5855
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.4145
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.5855
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.4145
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.5650
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.5650
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.5655
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.4345
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.5655
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.4345
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.5655
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.4345
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.5655
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.4345
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.5655
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.4345
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.5655
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.4345
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.5655
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.4345
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.5655
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.4345
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.5655
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.4345
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.5655
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.4345
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.5655
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.4345
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.5655
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.4345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8000, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.4340
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.5680
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.4320
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.5680
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.4320
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.5680
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.4320
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.5680
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.4320
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.5680
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.4320
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.5030
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.4970
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.5030
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.4970
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.5030
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.4970
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.5030
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.4970
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.5030
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.4970
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.5030
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.4970
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.5025
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.4975
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.5030
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.4970
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.5025
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.4975
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.5025
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.4975
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.5025
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.4975
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.5050
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.4950
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.5050
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.5050
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.5050
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.5050
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.4950
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 25.04, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.4645, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.5990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.5895
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.4105
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.5895
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.4105
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.5900
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.4100
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.5895
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.4105
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.5900
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.4100
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.4100
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.5900
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.4100
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.5895
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.4105
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.3600
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.3600
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.3600
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.3600
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.3600
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.6405
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.3595
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.3600
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.6405
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.3595
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.6405
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.3595
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.6405
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.3595
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.6405
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.3595
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.6405
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.3595
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.6405
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.3595
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.6405
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.3595
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.6445
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.3555
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.6445
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.3555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 63.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4940, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.6450
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.6450
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.6450
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.6450
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.6895
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.3105
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.6940
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.3060
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.6940
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.3060
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.7035
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.2965
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.7090
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.2910
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.7090
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.2910
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.7160
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.2840
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.7240
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.2760
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.7390
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.2610
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.7450
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.2550
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.7515
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.2485
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.7290
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.2710
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.7205
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.2795
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.7230
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.2770
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.7710
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.2290
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.7735
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.2265
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.7740
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.2260
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.7695
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.2305
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.7860
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.2140
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.7860
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.2140
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.8025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 822.66, Sell volume: 273.70, Average price: 0.5260, Price range: 0.1717 - 0.8330

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.7665
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.2335
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.7675
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.2325
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.8015
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.1985
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.8015
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.1985
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.8015
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.1985
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.8015
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.1985
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.8015
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.1985
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.8015
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.1985
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.8015
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.1985
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.8015
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.1985
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.8015
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.1985
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.8015
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.1985
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.8015
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.1985
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.8015
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.1985
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.8015
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.1985
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.8015
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.1985
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.8015
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.1985
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.8015
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.1985
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.8210
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.1790
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.8200
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.1800
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.8830
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.1170
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.8820
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.1180
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.8830
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.1170
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.8985
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.1015
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.8585
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.1415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 10687.77, Sell volume: 2245.80, Average price: 0.4695, Price range: 0.0966 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1335
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.8665
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1335
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.8660
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1340
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8655
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.1345
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.8655
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1345
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.8775
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1225
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9195
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0805
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9240
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0760
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9025
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0975
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9275
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0725
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9270
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0730
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9290
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0710
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9325
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0675
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9305
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0695
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9280
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0720
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9270
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0730
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9270
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0730
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8920
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1080
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9055
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0945
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9175
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0825
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9230
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0770
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9415
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0585
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9305
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0695
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 7084.70, Sell volume: 699.65, Average price: 0.5395, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9550

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9125
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0875
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9185
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0815
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9245
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0755
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9195
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0805
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9170
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0830
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9180
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0820
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9255
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0745
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9290
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0710
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9265
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0735
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9195
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0805
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9160
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0840
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9145
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0855
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8940
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1060
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9060
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0940
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8910
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1090
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8940
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1060
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8860
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1140
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8860
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1140
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8860
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1140
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8860
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1140
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8860
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.1140
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8860
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.1140
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.8945
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.1055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 4700.86, Sell volume: 3331.12, Average price: 0.4959, Price range: 0.0513 - 0.9480

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1410
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8580
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1420
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8575
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1425
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8570
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1430
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8420
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1580
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8270
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1730
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.8405
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1595
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8445
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.1555
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.8565
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.1435
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8585
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1415
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8525
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1475
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.8525
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.1475
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.8525
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.1475
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.8510
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.1490
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.8050
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.1950
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.7975
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.2025
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.8025
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.1975
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.8010
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.1990
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.8010
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1990
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8020
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1980
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.8035
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1965
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.8035
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1965
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8015
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1985
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.8025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 5569.88, Sell volume: 2037.77, Average price: 0.4475, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8410

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8050
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.7925
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.2075
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.7945
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.2055
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8000
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.7985
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.2015
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7985
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.2015
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7990
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.2010
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8035
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1965
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8035
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1965
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8060
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1940
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8095
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1905
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8040
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1960
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.8040
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.1960
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8040
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1960
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8040
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.1960
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8325
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1675
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8595
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1405
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8590
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1410
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.8215
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.1785
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.8155
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1845
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.8140
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.1860
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.8155
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1845
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.8955
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1045
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.8920
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.1080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 9176.28, Sell volume: 616.73, Average price: 0.4024, Price range: 0.0870 - 0.8999

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0975
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9015
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0985
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9020
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0980
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9030
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0970
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9030
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0970
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0985
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9015
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0985
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9010
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0990
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9015
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0985
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9330
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0670
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9330
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0670
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9375
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0625
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9335
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0665
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9170
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0830
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9120
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0880
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9120
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0880
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9115
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0885
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9140
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0860
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9130
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0870
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8915
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1085
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8945
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1055
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 5866.35, Sell volume: 2078.38, Average price: 0.3418, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9205

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9220
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0780
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9195
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0805
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9495
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0505
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9520
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0480
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9685
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0315
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9510
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0490
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9580
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0420
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9595
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0405
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9590
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0410
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9305
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0695
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8810
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.1190
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8660
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.1340
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8380
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.1620
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.8260
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.1740
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8145
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.1855
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.8280
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.1720
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.8970
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.1030
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9145
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0855
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0510
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9455
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0545
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9355
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0645
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0670
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9525
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0475
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9710
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0290
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9625
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 40017.09, Sell volume: 19501.19, Average price: 0.5746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.7200
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.4850
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.4850
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0350
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.4895
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.5100
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.4900
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.4905
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.5060
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.5060
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.5055
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.4945
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.5055
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.5055
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.4860
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.4860
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.4860
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.4860
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.4860
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.4460
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.4600
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.4600
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.4600
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.4600
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.4590
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4580
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.4565
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 107.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2633, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.6599
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.4550
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.4690
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.5310
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.5320
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.5290
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.5290
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.4710
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.5290
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.5290
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.5290
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.5290
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.5285
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.5290
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.4935
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.4935
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.4935
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.4935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 83.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8088, Price range: 0.7790 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.5700
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.5700
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.5700
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.5855
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.5855
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.5650
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.5650
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.5655
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.5655
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.5655
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.5655
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.5655
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.5655
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.5655
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.5655
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.5655
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.5655
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.5655
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.5655
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.5655
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.5655
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.5655
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.5655
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.5655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8000, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.4340
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.4320
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.4320
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.4320
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.4320
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.4320
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.4970
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.4970
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.4970
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.4970
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.4970
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.4970
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.4975
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.4970
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.4975
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.4975
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.4975
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.4950
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.4950
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.4400
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 25.04, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.4645, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.5990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.5895
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.5895
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.5900
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.5895
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.5900
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.5900
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.5895
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.6405
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.6405
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.6405
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.6405
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.6405
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.6405
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.6405
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.6405
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.6445
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.6445
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.6445
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.6445
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.6445
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.6445
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.6415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 63.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4940, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.3105
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.3060
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.3060
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.2965
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.2910
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.2910
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.2840
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.2760
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.2610
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.2550
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.2485
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.2710
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.2795
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.2770
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.2290
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.2265
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.2260
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.2305
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.2140
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.2140
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.1975
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.1955
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.1935
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.1930
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.1920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 822.66, Sell volume: 273.70, Average price: 0.5260, Price range: 0.1717 - 0.8330
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.7665
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.7675
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.8015
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.8015
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.8015
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.8015
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.8015
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.8015
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.8015
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.8015
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.8015
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.8015
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.8015
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.8015
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.8015
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.8015
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.8015
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.8015
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.8210
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.8200
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.8830
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.8820
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.8830
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.8985
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.8585
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.8875
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.8735
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.8795
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.8825
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.8865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 10687.77, Sell volume: 2245.80, Average price: 0.4695, Price range: 0.0966 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1335
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1335
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1340
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.1345
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1345
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1225
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0805
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0760
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0975
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0725
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0730
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0710
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0675
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0695
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0720
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0730
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0730
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1080
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0945
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0825
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0770
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0585
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0695
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0670
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0465
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 7084.70, Sell volume: 699.65, Average price: 0.5395, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9550
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9125
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9185
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9245
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9195
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9170
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9180
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9255
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9290
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9265
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9195
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9160
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9145
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8940
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9060
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8910
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8940
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8860
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8860
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8860
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8860
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8860
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8860
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.8945
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8910
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.8720
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8430
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.8445
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 4700.86, Sell volume: 3331.12, Average price: 0.4959, Price range: 0.0513 - 0.9480
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1410
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1420
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1425
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1430
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1580
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1730
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1595
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.1555
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.1435
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1415
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1475
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.1475
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.1475
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.1490
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.1950
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.2025
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.1975
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.1990
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1990
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1980
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1965
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1965
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1985
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1975
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2045
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1970
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.2005
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 5569.88, Sell volume: 2037.77, Average price: 0.4475, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8410
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8050
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.7925
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.7945
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8000
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.7985
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7985
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7990
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8035
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8035
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8060
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8095
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8040
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.8040
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8040
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8040
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8325
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8595
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8590
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.8215
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.8155
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.8140
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.8155
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.8955
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.8920
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.8925
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.8920
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.8925
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.8920
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.8925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 9176.28, Sell volume: 616.73, Average price: 0.4024, Price range: 0.0870 - 0.8999
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0975
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0985
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0980
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0970
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0970
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0985
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0985
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0990
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0985
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0670
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0670
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0625
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0665
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0830
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0880
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0880
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0885
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0860
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0870
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1085
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1055
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1090
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1235
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1240
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.1215
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.1205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 5866.35, Sell volume: 2078.38, Average price: 0.3418, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9205
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639959
Question: Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Volume: 127563.232364
Price History:
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9220
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9195
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9495
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9520
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9685
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9510
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9580
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9595
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9590
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9305
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8810
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8660
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8380
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.8260
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8145
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.8280
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.8970
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9145
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9490
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9455
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9355
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9330
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9525
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9710
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9625
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9680
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9675
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9420
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 40017.09, Sell volume: 19501.19, Average price: 0.5746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.5300
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.5300
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.4700
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.5150
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.4850
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.6900
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.3300
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.6700
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.3350
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 174.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5929, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3400
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6600
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3400
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6600
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.6500
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.3700
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.6300
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3900
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.3900
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3900
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.3900
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.3900
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.3900
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.3900
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 196.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.4450
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.4550
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.5450
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 995.87, Sell volume: 66.18, Average price: 0.5275, Price range: 0.4773 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5750
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.4600
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5300
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.4700
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.6100
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 23.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6300
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3700
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6300
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.3700
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6300
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.3700
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6300
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3700
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6300
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3700
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3750
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6250
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3750
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6600
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6600
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 816.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5133, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6600
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.6550
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.6500
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.4300
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.4300
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 1.25, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6050
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.3950
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 438.00, Sell volume: 35.95, Average price: 0.4844, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.4350
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.4400
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.4400
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.4450
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.4450
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.5550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 809.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4747, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.4700
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5450
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.4550
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4550
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.4900
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.5100
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1924.49, Sell volume: 66.00, Average price: 0.5009, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 3926.32, Sell volume: 4480.75, Average price: 0.5115, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.7500
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.7750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.2250
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.7300
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.2700
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.8050
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.1950
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9645
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9720
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0280
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9650
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0350
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9645
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9590
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0410
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9590
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 9097.16, Sell volume: 1161.37, Average price: 0.7137, Price range: 0.0442 - 0.9863

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9750
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0250
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9755
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0245
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9805
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0195
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9775
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0225
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9795
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0205
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9795
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0205
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9640
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0360
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.8790
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.1210
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9770
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0230
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9920
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 14833.42, Sell volume: 11236.38, Average price: 0.5721, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.5300
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.5300
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.4700
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.5150
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.4850
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.6900
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 174.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5929, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3400
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6600
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3400
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6600
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.6500
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.3700
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.6300
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3900
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.3900
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3900
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 196.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.4450
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 995.87, Sell volume: 66.18, Average price: 0.5275, Price range: 0.4773 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5750
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.4600
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 23.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6300
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3700
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6300
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.3700
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6300
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.3700
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6300
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3700
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6300
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3700
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3750
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 816.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5133, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6600
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.6550
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.6500
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.4300
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.4300
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 1.25, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 438.00, Sell volume: 35.95, Average price: 0.4844, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.4350
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.4400
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.4400
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.4450
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 809.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4747, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.4700
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5450
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.4550
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4550
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.4900
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.5100
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1924.49, Sell volume: 66.00, Average price: 0.5009, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 3926.32, Sell volume: 4480.75, Average price: 0.5115, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.7500
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.7750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.2250
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.7300
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.2700
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.8050
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.1950
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9645
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9720
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 9097.16, Sell volume: 1161.37, Average price: 0.7137, Price range: 0.0442 - 0.9863
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660237
Question: Canton FDV above $5B one day after launch?
Volume: 53675.361424
Price History:
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9750
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0250
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9755
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0245
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9805
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0195
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9775
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0225
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9795
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0205
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9795
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0205
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9640
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0360
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.8790
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.1210
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9770
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0230
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9920
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 14833.42, Sell volume: 11236.38, Average price: 0.5721, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.5900
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.4100
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.5900
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 145.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2984, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.3269

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.7050
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.7200
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.2700
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.7300
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.7150
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.7150
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.2800
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.7150
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.7150
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.7150
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.7150
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.7150
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 359.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5889, Price range: 0.3627 - 0.8189

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.2500
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.7500
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.2500
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.7500
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.2500
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.7500
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2500
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.7500
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.2300
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.2300
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.2300
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.2300
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.2300
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.2300
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.2300
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.2200
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.7800
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.2200
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.7800
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.2200
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.7800
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.2200
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 259.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7696, Price range: 0.7696 - 0.7696

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8500
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1800
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1615.56, Sell volume: 49.99, Average price: 0.7289, Price range: 0.2415 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1800
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8200
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1700
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8300
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1350
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8650
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.1650
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.8350
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.1650
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.8350
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.1950
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.8050
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 56.75, Sell volume: 157.53, Average price: 0.8703, Price range: 0.8600 - 0.8811

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1950
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.8050
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.2100
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.7900
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.2100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7900
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.8000
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2000
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.8000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.2000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.2000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1900
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8050
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.2150
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.7850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.2150
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.7850
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.2150
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 517.17, Sell volume: 147.36, Average price: 0.6085, Price range: 0.2543 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.2150
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.7850
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.2150
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.7850
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.2200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.7800
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.2200
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.7800
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1650
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8350
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1650
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8350
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1650
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.8350
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1500
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1500
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8500
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8500
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1500
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8500
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1350
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.8650
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 60.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8262

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8650
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 51.18, Sell volume: 5.43, Average price: 0.9013, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.9315

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.8800
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9100
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 500.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7096, Price range: 0.1035 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 175.06, Sell volume: 62.57, Average price: 0.2359, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.7550
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.3000
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.7000
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.1700
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8300
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.1600
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.8400
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.1350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8650
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 8340.28, Sell volume: 4690.44, Average price: 0.6791, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0210
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9790
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0240
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9760
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0240
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9760
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9835
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0140
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9860
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0135
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9865
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0160
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9840
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9925
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9920
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0140
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9860
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 27746.68, Sell volume: 4111.42, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 4000.00, Sell volume: 1137.67, Average price: 0.6660, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.5900
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.4100
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.5900
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 145.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2984, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.3269
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.7050
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.7200
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.2700
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.7300
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.7150
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.7150
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.2800
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.7150
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.7150
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.7150
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 359.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5889, Price range: 0.3627 - 0.8189
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.2500
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.7500
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.2500
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.7500
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.2500
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.7500
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2500
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.7500
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.2300
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.2300
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.2300
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.2300
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.2300
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.2300
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.2300
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.7700
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.2200
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.7800
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.2200
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 259.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7696, Price range: 0.7696 - 0.7696
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.7800
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8500
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1615.56, Sell volume: 49.99, Average price: 0.7289, Price range: 0.2415 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1800
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8200
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1700
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8300
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1350
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8650
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.1650
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 56.75, Sell volume: 157.53, Average price: 0.8703, Price range: 0.8600 - 0.8811
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.8100
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1950
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.8050
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.2100
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.7900
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.2100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7900
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.8000
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.7950
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2000
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.8000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.2000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.2000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1900
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 517.17, Sell volume: 147.36, Average price: 0.6085, Price range: 0.2543 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.2150
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.7850
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.2150
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.7850
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.2200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.7800
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.2200
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.7800
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1650
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8350
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1650
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8350
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1650
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.8350
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1500
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1500
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8500
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 60.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8262
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8650
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 51.18, Sell volume: 5.43, Average price: 0.9013, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.9315
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.8800
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 500.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7096, Price range: 0.1035 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 175.06, Sell volume: 62.57, Average price: 0.2359, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.7550
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.3000
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.7000
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.1700
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8300
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.1600
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.8400
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.1350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 8340.28, Sell volume: 4690.44, Average price: 0.6791, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0210
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9790
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0240
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9760
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0240
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9760
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9835
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0140
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9860
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0135
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9865
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0160
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9840
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9925
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9920
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0140
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9860
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 27746.68, Sell volume: 4111.42, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660217
Question: Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?
Volume: 54191.916424
Price History:
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 4000.00, Sell volume: 1137.67, Average price: 0.6660, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3750
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3500
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6500
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 103.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9570, Price range: 0.9570 - 0.9570

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 61903.97, Sell volume: 6896.06, Average price: 0.6658, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes