Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641517
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be below 700 million?
Volume: 11413.018312
Price History:
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.5150
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.4850
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.5150
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.4850
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0350
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9650
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9650
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0350
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0405
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 206.06, Sell volume: 70.12, Average price: 0.2322, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641517
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be below 700 million?
Volume: 11413.018312
Price History:
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9595
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0405
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9595
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0405
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9595
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0405
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9595
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0405
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9595
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0405
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9545
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0455
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9545
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0455
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9545
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0455
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9545
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0455
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9545
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0455
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9545
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0455
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9545
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9545
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9545
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9690, Price range: 0.9690 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641517
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be below 700 million?
Volume: 11413.018312
Price History:
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9545
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9545
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9545
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9545
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9545
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9545
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9545
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9545
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9545
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9545
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9540
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0460
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9545
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9545
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9545
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 54.00, Average price: 0.0310, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.0310
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641517
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be below 700 million?
Volume: 11413.018312
Price History:
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9545
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9545
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9510
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0490
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0490
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9510
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9510
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0490
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9510
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0490
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9510
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0490
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9510
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0490
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9510
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0490
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9510
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0490
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9505
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0495
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9510
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 18.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6060, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641517
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be below 700 million?
Volume: 11413.018312
Price History:
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9510
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0490
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9510
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0490
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9510
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0490
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9560
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0440
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9560
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0440
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9555
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0445
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9555
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0445
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9555
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0445
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9560
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0440
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9560
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0440
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9560
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0440
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9560
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0440
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9560
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0440
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9550
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.70, Sell volume: 2.20, Average price: 0.9655, Price range: 0.9320 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641517
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be below 700 million?
Volume: 11413.018312
Price History:
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9540
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0460
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9540
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0460
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9550
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9545
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0455
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9570
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0430
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9555
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0445
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9570
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0430
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9575
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0425
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 11260.61, Sell volume: 152.41, Average price: 0.6551, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641517
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be below 700 million?
Volume: 11413.018312
Price History:
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9560
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0440
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9590
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0410
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9535
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0465
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9530
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0470
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9405
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0595
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9405
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0595
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9405
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0595
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9405
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0595
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9405
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0595
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9405
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0595
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9405
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0595
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9405
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0595
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9405
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0595
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9405
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 11260.61, Sell volume: 152.41, Average price: 0.6551, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641517
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be below 700 million?
Volume: 11413.018312
Price History:
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 11260.61, Sell volume: 152.41, Average price: 0.6551, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641517
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be below 700 million?
Volume: 11413.018312
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0595
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9405
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0595
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9405
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0595
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9405
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0595
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9405
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0595
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9405
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 11260.61, Sell volume: 152.41, Average price: 0.6551, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641517
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be below 700 million?
Volume: 11413.018312
Price History:
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9405
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0595
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9405
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0595
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9405
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0595
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9405
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0595
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9405
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0595
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9405
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0595
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9405
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0595
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9405
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0595
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9405
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0595
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9390
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0610
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9390
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0610
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9390
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0610
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9390
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0610
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9390
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 75.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0683, Price range: 0.0670 - 0.0697
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641517
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be below 700 million?
Volume: 11413.018312
Price History:
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9390
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0610
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9390
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0610
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9390
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0610
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9390
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0610
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9390
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0610
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9390
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0610
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9390
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0610
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9390
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0610
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9390
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0610
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9390
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0610
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9390
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0610
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9390
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0610
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9390
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0610
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9550
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 11260.61, Sell volume: 152.41, Average price: 0.6551, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641517
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be below 700 million?
Volume: 11413.018312
Price History:
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9550
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9550
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0450
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0450
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9580
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0420
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9550
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.5690
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.4310
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.5685
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.4315
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.5690
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.4310
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.5685
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.4315
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.5715
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.4285
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.5695
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.4305
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.5695
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.4305
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.5695
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.4305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 419.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6097, Price range: 0.2443 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641517
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be below 700 million?
Volume: 11413.018312
Price History:
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.5695
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.4305
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.5695
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.4305
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.5695
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.4305
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.5695
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.4305
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.5695
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.4305
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.5695
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4305
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.5695
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.4305
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.5695
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.4305
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.5775
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.4225
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.5905
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.4095
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.6135
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.3865
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.6435
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.3565
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 10521.27, Sell volume: 26.09, Average price: 0.9379, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.5100
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.5100
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.4850
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.5150
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 9.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.1100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 142.09, Sell volume: 19.00, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9100
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 15.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 142.09, Sell volume: 19.00, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 142.09, Sell volume: 19.00, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 142.09, Sell volume: 19.00, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 142.09, Sell volume: 19.00, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 142.09, Sell volume: 19.00, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 142.09, Sell volume: 19.00, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 142.09, Sell volume: 19.00, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 99.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 7.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9795, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.5100
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.5100
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.4850
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.5150
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 9.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.1100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 142.09, Sell volume: 19.00, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9100
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 15.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 142.09, Sell volume: 19.00, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 142.09, Sell volume: 19.00, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 142.09, Sell volume: 19.00, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 142.09, Sell volume: 19.00, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 142.09, Sell volume: 19.00, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 142.09, Sell volume: 19.00, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 142.09, Sell volume: 19.00, Average price: 0.6284, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 99.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641520
Question: Will MapLight Therapeutics Inc IPO closing market capitalization be above 1.3 billion?
Volume: 161.0879
Price History:
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 7.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9795, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.4500
2025-01-01 00:00: 0.1050
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.1150
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.1150
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.1050
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.1150
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.1150
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.1150
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.1150
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.1200
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.1150
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.1150
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.1150
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.1150
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.1150
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.1150
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.1150
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.1150
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.1150
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.1150
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.1000
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.1000
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.1050
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.1050
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.1050
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.1050
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.1050
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.1050
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.1050
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.1050
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.1050
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.1050
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.1050
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.1050
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.1050
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.1050
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.1050
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.1100
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.1100
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.1450
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.1650
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.1500
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.1550
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.1500
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.1500
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.1500
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.1550
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.1650
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.1600
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.8650
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.8650
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.8650
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.8650
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.8700
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.8650
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.8650
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.8650
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.8650
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.8650
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.8650
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.8650
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.8650
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.8650
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.8650
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.8650
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.8650
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.8650
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.8750
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.8750
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.8750
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.8750
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.8750
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.8750
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.8750
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.8750
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.8750
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.8750
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.8850
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.8850
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.8850
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.8800
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.8850
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.8850
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.8800
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.8800
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.8850
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.8850
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.8850
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.8850
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.8850
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.8850
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.8850
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.8850
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.8750
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.8750
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.8750
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.8750
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.8750
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.1450
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.1700
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.1450
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.1550
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.1600
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.1450
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.1450
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.1450
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.1450
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.1450
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.1450
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.1450
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.1450
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.1450
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.1450
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.1450
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.1350
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.1350
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.1350
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.1350
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.1350
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.1350
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.1350
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.1350
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.1350
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.1350
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.1350
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.1350
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.1350
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.1350
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.1350
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.1350
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.1350
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.1350
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.1350
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.1350
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.1150
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.1150
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.1150
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.1150
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.1150
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.1150
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.1150
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.1150
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.1150
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.1300
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.1200
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.8850
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.8850
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.8850
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.8850
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.8850
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.8900
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9050
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9050
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9050
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.8950
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.8950
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.8950
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.8750
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.8750
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.8800
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.8750
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.8850
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.8950
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.8950
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.8950
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.8850
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.8950
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.8900
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.8900
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.8950
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.9100
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.9100
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.9050
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.9050
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.9050
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.9100
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.9150
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.9150
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.9100
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.9150
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9150
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.9100
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9100
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.8950
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.9050
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.9050
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9100
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.9050
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9100
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.0800
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.0800
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.0700
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.0750
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.0750
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0750
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.0750
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0750
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0750
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.0750
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.0750
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.0550
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0550
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.0550
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0750
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0700
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0700
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0750
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0750
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0750
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0750
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9350
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9300
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9350
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9350
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9250
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9250
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9050
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9050
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9050
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9100
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9250
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9250
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9250
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9250
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9250
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9350
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9250
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9250
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9250
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9250
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9250
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9350
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9300
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9350
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9300
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9350
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9400
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9300
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9400
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9450
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9400
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9350
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.9400
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.9400
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0650
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.0800
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0800
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0850
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.0850
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0900
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0900
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0550
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0550
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0700
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0700
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0700
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0950
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0950
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9250
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9250
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9250
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9250
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9200
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9250
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9350
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.9450
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9450
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.9450
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9400
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.9450
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.9450
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9450
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.9500
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9450
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9500
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9450
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9450
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.9400
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9400
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.9450
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.9450
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9400
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.9450
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9450
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9400
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9500
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9500
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9500
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9500
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.9400
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.9500
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9450
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9400
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9450
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9550
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.9350
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9450
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9450
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9450
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.9300
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9250
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9350
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0545
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0950
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0580
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0955
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.0805
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.1010
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0970
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.1010
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.1250
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.1110
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.1125
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.1105
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.1185
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.1145
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.1095
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.1045
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0975
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.1090
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0970
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0960
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0945
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.0910
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0930
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0885
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0880
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0945
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.1050
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0960
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0940
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0895
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0925
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0870
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0750
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0695
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0840
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0785
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0755
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0745
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0765
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0780
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0785
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0725
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0705
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0770
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0720
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0775
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0825
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.0695
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0770
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.9380
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9310
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9355
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9435
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9355
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9335
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9295
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9335
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9345
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9365
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9365
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9390
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9415
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9400
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.9415
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9415
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9415
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.9420
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.9425
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.9390
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.9420
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.9455
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.9460
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.9450
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.9480
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.9465
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.9450
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.9525
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.9480
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.9460
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.9435
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9285
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.9265
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.9280
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.9295
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.9355
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.9385
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9375
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.9475
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.9510
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.9425
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.9430
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.9455
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.9415
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9445
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.9475
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.9455
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.9460
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.9460
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9420
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.0635
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0615
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.9225
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9225
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0715
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0795
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.1105
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.8965
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.8890
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8940
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.8770
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.1055
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.8830
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.1145
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.8855
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.8905
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.1015
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.8905
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.8920
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.8795
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.8755
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.8870
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.1250
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.8990
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.8960
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.8925
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.1110
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.8830
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.1170
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.1080
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.8565
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.8735
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.8595
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.8725
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.1325
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.8690
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.8715
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8920
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.8985
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.1030
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.8930
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.8965
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.8925
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.8970
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.8975
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.8980
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.9090
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.0890
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9085
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.9210
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0825
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9155
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9055
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0960
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0880
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0870
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9140
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0860
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9120
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9125
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9180
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0815
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0810
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0810
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0780
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9335
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9355
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9390
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9420
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0540
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0420
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0475
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9520
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9560
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0465
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0520
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9545
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0485
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0460
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9570
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0470
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0505
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0520
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9450
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9470
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9465
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0550
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9500
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0490
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9500
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9540
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0470
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9535
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9520
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9505
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9550
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0410
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0445
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0365
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0340
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9665
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9675
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9675
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9685
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9720
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0280
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0290
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0255
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0285
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0285
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0300
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9715
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0280
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0330
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0295
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0300
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0335
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9680
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0355
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0370
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0405
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9585
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0355
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0390
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9625
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0395
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9570
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9455
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0415
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0250
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9740
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0270
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9725
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9740
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0395
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0395
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0415
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0460
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0515
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0465
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9685
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9745
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0205
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0200
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0250
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9310
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.4500
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.1100
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.1150
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.1150
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.1150
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.1200
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.1150
2025-01-05 13:00: 0.1150
2025-01-06 06:00: 0.1150
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.1250
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.1150
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.1150
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.1000
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.1050
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.1050
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.1050
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.1050
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.1050
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.1050
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.1050
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.1050
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.1050
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.1100
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.1450
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.1400
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.1450
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.1550
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.1550
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.1750
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.8650
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.8650
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.8650
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.8650
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.8650
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.8650
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.8650
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.8650
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.8650
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.8650
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.8750
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.8750
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.8750
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.8750
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.8750
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.8750
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.8850
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.8850
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.8850
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.8800
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.8850
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.8850
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.8850
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.8850
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.8850
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.8750
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.8750
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.8750
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.1450
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.1750
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.1700
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.1550
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.1450
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.1450
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.1450
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.1450
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.1450
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.1450
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.1450
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.1350
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.1350
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.1350
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.1350
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.1350
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.1350
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.1350
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.1350
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.1350
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.1350
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.1350
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.1150
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.1150
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.1150
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.1150
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.1150
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.1150
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.1200
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.8850
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.8850
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.8850
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.8900
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9050
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.8950
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.8950
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.8750
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.8750
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.8850
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.8950
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.8850
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.8900
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.8900
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.9100
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.9100
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.9050
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.9100
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9100
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.9100
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9100
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9100
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.8950
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.9100
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9100
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.9100
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.0800
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0700
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.0750
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0750
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.0750
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.0750
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.0750
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.0750
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.0700
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0750
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0750
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9350
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9350
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9250
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9050
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9050
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9100
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9250
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9250
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9250
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9250
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9250
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9250
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9350
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9350
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9300
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9350
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9350
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.9400
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0800
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0800
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0900
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0850
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0550
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0700
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0950
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9250
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9200
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9250
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.9300
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.9450
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.9450
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9400
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.9450
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9500
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.9400
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9450
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9400
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.9450
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9450
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.9450
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9450
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.9500
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9500
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.9400
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9400
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9400
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9550
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9400
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.9400
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9300
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9350
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0545
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0685
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.0930
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0995
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0900
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.1125
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.1215
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.1185
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.1140
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.1020
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0890
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.1015
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0900
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0875
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0925
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.1030
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0935
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0900
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0925
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0695
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0810
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0765
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0765
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0730
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0740
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0725
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0785
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0700
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0735
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.9380
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.9350
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9380
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9335
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9305
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9335
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9375
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9420
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.9405
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.9430
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.9420
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9390
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.9425
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.9460
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.9460
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.9445
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.9490
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.9460
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.9425
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.9310
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.9295
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.9375
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.9410
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.9480
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.9485
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.9415
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9465
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.9440
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.9445
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.9425
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.0635
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.0710
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9265
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0710
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.0960
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.8930
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.1115
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.1055
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.8780
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.1135
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.1015
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.1125
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.8740
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.8875
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.1020
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.1110
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.1185
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.8835
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.1415
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.1460
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.8725
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.8715
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.8835
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.1010
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.1075
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.1080
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.8985
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9105
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.9095
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.9210
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9135
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0935
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0895
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0860
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0870
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9140
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0815
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0770
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9260
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9355
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0570
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0545
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0470
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0450
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9500
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9540
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0450
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0460
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0510
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9450
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0535
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0510
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9505
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0460
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9540
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9550
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0485
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9575
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516944
Question: Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 29847196.049885
Price History:
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0365
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0335
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9685
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9680
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9720
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0265
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0290
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0290
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0270
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0300
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0300
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0320
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0355
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9580
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9615
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0375
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9570
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9475
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9680
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0230
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0270
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9730
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9560
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0475
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0465
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0425
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9740
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9780
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0210
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9425
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.0390
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0305
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0335
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0360
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0395
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0405
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0395
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0385
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0395
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0395
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0395
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0395
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0410
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0415
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0415
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0420
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0420
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0395
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0405
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0405
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0405
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0405
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0405
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0405
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0405
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0410
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0415
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0425
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0425
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0425
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0425
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0425
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0420
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0420
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0415
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0415
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0415
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0415
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0415
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0410
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0410
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0410
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0410
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0410
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0410
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0410
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0410
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0410
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0410
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0410
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0410
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0410
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0410
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0415
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0415
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.0405
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.0410
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.0410
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0410
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.0410
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.0410
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0410
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.0410
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0410
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.0410
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0410
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0410
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0410
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0380
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0380
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0380
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0380
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.0375
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.0380
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0380
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0380
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0380
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0370
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0370
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0370
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0370
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0350
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0350
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0350
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0350
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0345
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0345
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0350
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0350
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0350
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0350
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0345
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0350
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0350
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0340
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0340
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0340
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0340
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0340
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0345
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0345
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0340
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0340
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.0345
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.0345
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0345
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.0345
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.0345
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.0345
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.0345
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0345
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.0345
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0345
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.0345
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0345
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0345
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0345
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.0345
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0340
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0340
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0340
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0340
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0345
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0340
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0340
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0340
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0340
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.0340
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0340
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0340
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0340
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0340
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0340
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.0340
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0340
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.0340
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0340
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.0340
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.0340
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.0340
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0340
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0340
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0340
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.0340
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0340
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.0340
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.0340
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0340
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.0355
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.0355
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.0355
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0355
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0375
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.0375
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.0375
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.0375
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.0375
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0375
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.0375
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.0375
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0375
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.0370
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0370
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.0340
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0240
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.0225
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.0225
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0225
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0245
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.0225
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.0225
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0225
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0225
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0175
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.0175
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0150
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0140
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0140
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0140
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0130
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0130
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0130
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0105
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0095
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0090
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0110
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0110
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0110
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0110
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0110
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0110
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0130
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0115
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0110
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0130
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0110
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0160
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0155
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0195
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0170
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0165
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0190
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0185
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0195
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0180
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0170
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0130
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0130
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0135
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0180
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0135
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0135
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0130
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0125
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0125
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0125
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0125
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0125
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0155
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0130
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0165
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.0165
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0110
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0165
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0185
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.0180
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.0180
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.0125
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.0150
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0115
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.0120
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0160
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0160
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0140
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0160
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0125
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0120
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0115
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0115
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0105
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.0105
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0105
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0105
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0115
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.0115
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0115
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0120
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0120
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0115
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0115
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0115
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0115
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0115
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0110
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0115
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0110
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0110
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0110
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0110
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0095
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0095
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0095
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0095
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0170
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0160
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0155
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0150
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0160
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0225
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0225
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0225
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0230
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0235
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0235
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0230
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0230
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0230
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0230
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0230
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0230
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0230
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0230
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0230
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0225
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0210
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0220
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0210
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0220
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0220
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0225
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0215
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0220
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0220
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0225
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0230
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0230
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0225
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0230
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0235
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0235
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0200
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0205
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0245
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0250
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0305
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0330
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0330
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0345
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0345
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0345
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0345
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0345
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0345
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0345
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0345
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0345
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0360
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0360
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0350
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0365
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0350
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0360
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0350
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0330
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0350
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0350
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.0350
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0345
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0350
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0360
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0365
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0355
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0365
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0360
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0360
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0360
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0365
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.0365
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0365
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0360
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0360
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.0365
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0370
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0370
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0225
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0240
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0240
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0225
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0225
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.0230
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0230
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0230
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0235
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0235
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0240
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0250
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0245
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0245
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0235
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0215
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0245
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0175
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0185
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0200
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0195
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.0200
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0185
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0210
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0200
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0200
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0190
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0185
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0195
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0245
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0235
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0220
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0245
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0220
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0230
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0230
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0185
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0235
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0210
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0195
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0215
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0200
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0195
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0195
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0190
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0210
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0205
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0205
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0205
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0205
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0225
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0215
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0210
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0210
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0210
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0200
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0225
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0225
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.0205
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0260
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.0235
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0255
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0245
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0205
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0175
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.0265
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0175
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0165
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0155
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.0150
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0175
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0120
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0135
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0135
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.0160
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.0155
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.0155
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.0200
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.0155
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0145
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0115
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.0125
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.0165
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.0155
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.0145
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.0165
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0145
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.0135
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0135
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9865
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.0120
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9855
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9855
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.0155
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0150
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0155
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0160
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.9825
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0180
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0185
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9815
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0185
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0165
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.9835
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0180
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9820
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9820
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9820
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9820
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0165
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9840
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0175
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9825
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9825
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0180
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9825
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.9825
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9820
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0185
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9815
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0185
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9815
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9815
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0185
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0180
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0180
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0185
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0185
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0185
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0185
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0185
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0185
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.9815
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0185
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.9815
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9815
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.0185
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.0180
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0190
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0185
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.0180
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.0185
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0175
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9825
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9825
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0175
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0165
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9835
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9835
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9835
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9835
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0165
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9830
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0170
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9830
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0165
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9835
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9835
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9835
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0160
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9840
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0160
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9835
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9840
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9840
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0105
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9885
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9880
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0115
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0110
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0120
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0115
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0115
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0115
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9880
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0105
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9890
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9890
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0105
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0100
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9895
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9895
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0085
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0080
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0065
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0090
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0085
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9940
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0055
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.0055
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9935
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0065
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.0070
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9935
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9945
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0065
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0065
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0065
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0070
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9930
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9930
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9925
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9915
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9915
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9920
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9920
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9895
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9910
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0040
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0040
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0040
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9910
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.0390
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.9655
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0400
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.9600
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0395
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.9605
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0395
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.9605
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0415
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9585
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0395
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9595
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0405
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9595
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0405
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9595
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0425
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9575
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0425
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.9575
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0420
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9585
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0415
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.9585
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0410
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9590
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0410
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.9590
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0410
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9590
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520928
Question: Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Volume: 974932.1607
Price History:
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0410
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9590
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0410
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9585
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0415
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.9590
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.0410
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.9590
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0410
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.9590
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0410
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9590
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.0380
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9625
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0380
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9625
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0380
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9630
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0370
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9650
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0345
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9650
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0350
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9650
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0350
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9650
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0350
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes