Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0225
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0230
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9770
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0230
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9775
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9775
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0225
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9775
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0225
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0225
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0225
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9775
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9795
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9795
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9800
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0200
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0200
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9800
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9800
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9800
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9800
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9800
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0200
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9800
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9800
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0200
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9800
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9800
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0200
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0205
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0205
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9795
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0205
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9795
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9795
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0200
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9795
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0200
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9795
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9795
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0210
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0190
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9795
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9795
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9795
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0205
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 5083.41, Sell volume: 875.27, Average price: 0.8751, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0260
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9740
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9740
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9740
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0260
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9740
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0260
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9745
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0260
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0200
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9805
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0195
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9800
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0195
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9805
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0200
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9805
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9805
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0195
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9800
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0195
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0205
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9810
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0200
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9800
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0200
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9800
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0180
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0200
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9810
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0200
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9800
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0205
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9795
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0210
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9790
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 18.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9920, Price range: 0.9870 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0210
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0210
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9795
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0210
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9795
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0205
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0205
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0205
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0205
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0195
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9805
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0205
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9795
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0190
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0195
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9805
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9800
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0210
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9805
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9795
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9800
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0215
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0220
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9790
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0240
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0235
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9755
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9755
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0255
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9745
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0255
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9745
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9745
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9750
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0255
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9745
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0255
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9745
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9745
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0250
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9745
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0250
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9745
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0255
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9745
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0235
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0210
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9860
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 45.00, Sell volume: 2.57, Average price: 0.8833, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9945
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9945
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9940
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9940
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0060
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9940
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0060
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0060
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0060
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9940
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9940
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9940
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9940
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9940
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9940
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9790
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0215
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0215
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0215
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0215
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0215
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9785
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9785
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0215
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0215
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9785
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0215
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9785
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9785
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9785
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.17, Average price: 0.9630, Price range: 0.9630 - 0.9630

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0210
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0220
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0220
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0220
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0215
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9785
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9785
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0210
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0210
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0210
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9790
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0215
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9785
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0225
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0225
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0225
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9775
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9775
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0220
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0235
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0230
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0230
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0230
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0230
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0230
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0230
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0230
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9770
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0230
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9770
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9770
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9770
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0230
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9770
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0230
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9770
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0230
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0235
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9765
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0235
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9765
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0235
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9765
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9765
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0235
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 5083.41, Sell volume: 875.27, Average price: 0.8751, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9765
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9765
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9765
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9765
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9765
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9765
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9765
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9765
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9765
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9765
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9765
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9765
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9765
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0230
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0230
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0230
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0230
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9775
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9775
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9775
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9775
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9775
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9775
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0225
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 5083.41, Sell volume: 875.27, Average price: 0.8751, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0230
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0225
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9780
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0220
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9780
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0220
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9780
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0215
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9785
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0220
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9780
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0220
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0230
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0230
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0230
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0230
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0230
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0230
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0230
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0230
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0230
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 342.48, Sell volume: 311.94, Average price: 0.8241, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9957

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0210
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9790
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0210
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9790
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0190
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9820
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0215
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9790
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0210
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9795
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0210
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9865
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9850
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0130
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9840
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0180
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9790
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0220
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9865
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0200
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0205
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0130
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9795
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9830
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0170
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9835
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0190
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9845
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0165
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9880
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9835
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9800
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9795
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9790
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9840
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0180
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0200
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0215
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 379.25, Sell volume: 5.38, Average price: 0.9823, Price range: 0.9640 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 486.62, Sell volume: 442.00, Average price: 0.7470, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.4850
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.0350
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9600
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9600
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0400
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0400
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0400
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9600
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9600
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9600
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0405
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9595
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0400
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0400
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9600
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9600
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9600
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9600
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9600
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9600
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9600
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0400
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9600
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 57.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9637, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0400
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9600
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9565
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9565
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.0400
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0400
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0395
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0395
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0395
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9605
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9605
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0395
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9575
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9600
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9600
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0400
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9600
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9600
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0400
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0400
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0400
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0400
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0400
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 5083.41, Sell volume: 875.27, Average price: 0.8751, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9600
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9600
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0400
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0400
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0400
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9600
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0395
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0400
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0400
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0400
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0400
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9600
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9600
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0400
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9600
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9600
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0400
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9600
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9600
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9605
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0390
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9610
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9610
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0390
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 66.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9897, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9615
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0385
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0385
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0385
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0385
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0385
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0385
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9615
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0385
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0385
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0400
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9600
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0400
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0400
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0345
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0345
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0345
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0345
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9775
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9775
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0225
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9775
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0225
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9775
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9775
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0225
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9775
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9775
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9775
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 186.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6832, Price range: 0.0680 - 0.9917
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0230
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0230
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9775
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9775
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0225
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9775
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9795
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9790
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0200
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9800
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9800
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9800
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9800
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0200
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9800
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0205
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9795
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9795
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0200
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0200
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9795
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0190
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9795
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0205
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0205
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0265
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0265
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9740
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 5083.41, Sell volume: 875.27, Average price: 0.8751, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0260
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9740
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0260
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0260
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0260
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9805
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9800
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9805
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9805
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0195
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0205
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9810
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0200
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0200
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0180
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9810
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9800
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9795
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9790
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9795
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9800
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9790
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9790
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 18.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9920, Price range: 0.9870 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0210
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9795
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9795
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0205
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0205
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9805
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9795
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0195
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9800
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9805
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9800
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0220
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0240
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9755
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0255
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0255
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9745
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0255
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0255
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9745
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0250
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0255
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0235
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9860
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0090
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 45.00, Sell volume: 2.57, Average price: 0.8833, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9945
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9940
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0060
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0060
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0060
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9940
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9940
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9940
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9940
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9790
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0215
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0215
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9785
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0215
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9785
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9785
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9785
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0210
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9785
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0220
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9785
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.17, Average price: 0.9630, Price range: 0.9630 - 0.9630
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0210
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0220
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0215
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9785
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0210
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9790
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9785
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0225
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9775
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0220
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0230
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0230
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0230
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0230
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9770
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9770
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9770
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9765
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9765
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9765
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0235
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9765
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0235
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9765
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9765
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 5083.41, Sell volume: 875.27, Average price: 0.8751, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9765
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9765
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9765
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0230
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0230
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0230
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0230
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0225
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0225
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0225
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0225
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0225
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 5083.41, Sell volume: 875.27, Average price: 0.8751, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9780
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9780
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9780
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9785
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9780
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 342.48, Sell volume: 311.94, Average price: 0.8241, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9957
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0210
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0210
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0190
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0215
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0210
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0210
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0130
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0180
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0220
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0200
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0205
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0130
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0170
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0190
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0165
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0180
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0200
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0215
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0185
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 379.25, Sell volume: 5.38, Average price: 0.9823, Price range: 0.9640 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 599449
Question: Will League of Cities and Communes (LOC) be part of the next Government of the Moldova?
Volume: 5958.678656
Price History:
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9880
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 486.62, Sell volume: 442.00, Average price: 0.7470, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.6650
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.2450
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.7550
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.2400
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.7100
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.2850
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.7200
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.2450
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.7550
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.2450
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.7550
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.2450
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.7550
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.2950
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.7300
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.2700
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.7850
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.2150
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.7850
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.1750
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.8300
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.1700
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.8350
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.1650
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.1700
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.8450
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.1150
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.8850
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.1050
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.8900
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.1150
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.8900
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.1050
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.9000
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.1000
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9000
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.1000
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9050
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0950
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9100
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0900
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9100
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0900
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.9100
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.8850
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0950
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9000
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 52.23, Sell volume: 12.88, Average price: 0.9156, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9050
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.1100
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.8900
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.1100
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.8950
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0950
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9000
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.1000
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9000
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.1000
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.9000
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.1000
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.9000
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.1000
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.9000
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.1000
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.8850
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.1150
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.8900
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.1100
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.8900
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.1100
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.9000
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.1000
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.8950
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.1000
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.9000
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.1000
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.1100
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.8950
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.1050
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.8950
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.1050
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.8950
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.1050
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.8950
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.1050
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.8950
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.1050
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.8950
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.1050
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.8950
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.1050
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.8950
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.1050
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.8950
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.1050
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.8950
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.22, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7275, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.9200
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.0800
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.9200
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0800
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.9200
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0800
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.9200
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.1100
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.8900
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.1100
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.8950
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.1050
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.1050
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.1050
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.8950
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.1050
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.1050
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.1050
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.1050
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.1050
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.8800
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.1200
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.8800
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.1200
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.8800
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.1200
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.8800
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.1050
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.1050
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.8950
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.1050
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.1050
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.8950
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.1050
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.1150
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8850
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.8850
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.1150
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.8850
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.2650
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.7350
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.2650
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.2650
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.2700
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.2700
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.2700
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.2600
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.2550
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.7600
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.2400
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.7600
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.2400
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.2400
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.2400
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.2400
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.7600
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.2400
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.2400
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.2400
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.8000
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.2000
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.8000
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.2000
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.8000
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.2250
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.2300
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.7700
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.2100
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7450
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 511.01, Sell volume: 24.26, Average price: 0.7041, Price range: 0.0736 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.8300
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.8300
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.1700
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.1700
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.8250
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.1750
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.8250
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.1750
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.1750
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.8250
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.1700
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.1700
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.8300
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.1650
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.8500
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.1550
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.1550
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.1550
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.1500
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.8450
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.8450
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.8450
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.1600
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.1600
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.8400
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.1600
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.8400
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.8350
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.8300
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.8350
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.8350
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.8350
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.8300
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.1700
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.1700
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.8200
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.1800
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1800
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.1800
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.1800
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9250, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.8200
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.1800
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.1800
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.1800
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.8200
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.1800
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.8200
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.8200
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.1800
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.1800
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.8200
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.8200
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.8200
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.1800
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.1800
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.8200
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.8200
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.1800
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.8200
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.8200
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.8650
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.1300
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.1300
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.1300
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.8700
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.1300
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.8700
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.8700
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.1300
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9000
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.8800
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.1200
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 22.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.8800
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.8800
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.1250
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.1000
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9000
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0950
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.1000
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9000
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9100
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9150
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9150
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9150
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9150
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9150
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0800
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9200
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0800
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0800
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0800
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.05, Average price: 0.8400, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9200
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0800
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9200
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0800
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0800
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9200
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0800
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9200
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9200
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9200
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0800
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9200
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0800
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0800
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9200
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0800
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9200
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0800
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9200
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0800
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9200
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0850
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9150
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9150
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0800
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9150
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0850
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0850
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.93, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0850
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9150
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0850
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0800
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9200
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0800
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0850
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0800
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9150
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0850
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 61.73, Sell volume: 2.04, Average price: 0.8067, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9550
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9790
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0205
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9795
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0205
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9795
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0205
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9795
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0205
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9795
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0215
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9795
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9760
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0220
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 105.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3874, Price range: 0.0775 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0235
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0220
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9780
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0230
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0220
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9780
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0220
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9760
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0240
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9760
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0240
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9760
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0240
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9785
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0215
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9760
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9760
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0240
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9765
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9760
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0240
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9760
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0215
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0220
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0215
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9785
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0215
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9785
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0210
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9790
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0210
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9775
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0210
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0210
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9870, Price range: 0.9870 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0210
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9790
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0210
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9780
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0220
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9780
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0220
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9780
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0220
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9780
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0215
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9785
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0215
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9780
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0215
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9785
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0220
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9780
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0215
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9780
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0220
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9780
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0695
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9305
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0695
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0690
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9315
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0675
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9365
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0610
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9395
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0575
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9425
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0595
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9405
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0605
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9395
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0605
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9395
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0210
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9630
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0105
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9840
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0130
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9845
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0310
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9835
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 5218.74, Sell volume: 86.31, Average price: 0.8175, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.6650
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.7550
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.7100
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.7150
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.7550
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.7550
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.7550
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.7550
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.7300
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.7850
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.7850
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.8300
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.8350
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.8350
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.8300
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.8850
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.8900
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.8900
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.8900
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9000
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.9000
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9000
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9100
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9100
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9100
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.8900
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.8850
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9000
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9050
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 52.23, Sell volume: 12.88, Average price: 0.9156, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9050
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.8900
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.8950
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9050
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.9000
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9000
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9000
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.9000
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9000
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.8850
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.8900
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.8900
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.9000
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.8950
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.9000
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.9000
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.8950
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.8950
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.8950
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.8950
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.8950
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.8950
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.8950
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.8950
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.8950
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.8950
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.8950
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.9200
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9.22, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7275, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.9200
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.9200
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.9200
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.9200
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.8900
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.8900
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.8800
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.8800
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.8800
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.8800
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.1050
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.1050
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.1050
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.1050
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.8850
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.8850
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.1150
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.8850
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.2650
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.2650
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.2700
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.2700
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.2400
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.7600
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.2400
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.2400
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.2400
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.2400
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.2000
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.8000
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.2100
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.7700
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.2300
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.2050
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.8200
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 511.01, Sell volume: 24.26, Average price: 0.7041, Price range: 0.0736 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.8300
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.1650
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.8300
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.8250
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.8300
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.1700
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.8350
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.8450
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8450
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.1550
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.1550
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.1600
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.8400
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.8400
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.8350
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.1650
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.8350
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.8350
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.8300
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.1800
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.1800
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9250, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.1800
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.8200
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.1800
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.8200
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.8200
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.1800
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.8200
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.8200
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.8200
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.8700
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.1300
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.8700
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.1300
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.1300
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.1000
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.1200
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.1200
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 22.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.1200
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.8950
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0950
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9150
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0800
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9200
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.05, Average price: 0.8400, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0800
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0800
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0800
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9150
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9150
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0850
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0850
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9150
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0850
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0800
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.93, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9150
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0800
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0800
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0800
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0850
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0800
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0800
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 61.73, Sell volume: 2.04, Average price: 0.8067, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9550
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9550
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0205
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0205
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0205
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0205
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0205
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0205
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0240
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0220
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0220
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 105.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3874, Price range: 0.0775 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0235
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0220
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0230
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0220
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0240
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0240
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0240
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0240
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0215
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0240
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0240
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0240
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0220
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0215
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0215
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0215
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0210
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0210
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0210
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0210
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9870, Price range: 0.9870 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561636
Question: Will Portugal win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 16294.873819
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0210
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0210
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0220
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0220
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0220
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0220
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0215
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0220
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0220
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0220
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0220
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0695
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0695
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0685
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0670
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0605
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0575
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0575
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0605
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0605
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0605
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0370
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0140
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0580
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 5218.74, Sell volume: 86.31, Average price: 0.8175, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.7550
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.2450
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.7750
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.2250
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.8100
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.1900
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.8100
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.1900
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.8100
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.1950
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.8050
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.1650
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.8350
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.8350
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.1650
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.8350
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.8450
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.1050
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.8950
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.1050
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9450
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0500
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9700
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0260
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9790
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0165
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9835
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9835
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0165
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9835
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0165
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9835
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0165
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9835
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0165
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9835
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0165
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9835
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0165
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9835
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0515
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9485
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0515
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0705
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9280
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0720
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.8815
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0860
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9150
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0860
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9285
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0865
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9250
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0735
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9150
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0690
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9180
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0685
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9325
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.1420
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.8675
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1225
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.8875
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.1110
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.9000
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0850
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.9240
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0695
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.9305
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0660
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.9345
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0430
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.9570
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0440
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9560
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0440
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.9560
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0440
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.9560
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0440
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.9555
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0445
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.9555
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9560
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0440
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.9560
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0440
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9560
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0440
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9560
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0440
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0315
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9685
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0315
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9680
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0395
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9595
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0340
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.9630
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0370
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9605
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.0420
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.9580
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0420
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.9580
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0420
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.9580
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0420
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.9580
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0420
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9580
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0420
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9580
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0420
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.9580
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0420
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.9580
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0420
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9580
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0425
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9570
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0430
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.9570
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0335
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9665
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0335
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.9630
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0415
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.9585
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0360
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9570
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0430
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.9570
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0430
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9570
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9570
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0430
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0435
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9565
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0440
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 6811.11, Sell volume: 6.17, Average price: 0.8518, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0440
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9560
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9565
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0415
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.9585
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0415
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9605
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0395
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0395
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9605
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9605
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9610
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0390
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9610
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9610
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9610
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9610
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0390
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0390
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9610
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9610
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9610
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0390
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0390
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9610
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.0390
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9610
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0390
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9610
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9610
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.0390
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9610
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0390
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9610
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.0390
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9610
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.0390
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9580
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0420
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9580
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.9580
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0395
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9605
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0395
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9605
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9605
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9560
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0440
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.0440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.15, Average price: 0.0080, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.0080

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9590
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0410
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9590
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0410
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0410
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0410
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0410
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0410
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.0410
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0410
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9590
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0370
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0370
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0370
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0370
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9630
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9625
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0370
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.0370
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.9630
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9630
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9630
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9630
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9630
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9630
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0370
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9630
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0370
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9630
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9645
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0355
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9645
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9645
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0355
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0355
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0355
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.9640
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9640
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0360
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0360
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.0365
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0365
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9635
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0365
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9635
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9635
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0365
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9635
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0365
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 6811.11, Sell volume: 6.17, Average price: 0.8518, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9635
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9635
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9635
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9635
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0365
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0365
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9635
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9635
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9635
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9635
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0365
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0365
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0365
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0365
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9635
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0365
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9635
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9635
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9635
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0365
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0365
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9635
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0365
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9635
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9635
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0365
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9635
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0365
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9635
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9660
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9805
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0175
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0165
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0165
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9835
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0165
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9835
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9835
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9835
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0165
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9835
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9835
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0165
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9835
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0165
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9835
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9835
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0105
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9895
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9895
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0105
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0105
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0105
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9895
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0105
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0105
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9895
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0105
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9895
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9895
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9895
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9895
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0105
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9895
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9895
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9900
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9900
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9900
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9900
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9900
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9900
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0100
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9900
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9900
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9900
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9900
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9900
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9900
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0100
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9900
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0100
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 6811.11, Sell volume: 6.17, Average price: 0.8518, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.0100
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.0100
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9900
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0100
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0100
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0100
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9900
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0100
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9900
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0100
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9900
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0100
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0100
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0100
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9900
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9900
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0100
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9900
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0100
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0100
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9900
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0100
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0100
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9900
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9900
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0100
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9900
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0100
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9900
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9900
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0100
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9900
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0100
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0100
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0100
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9900
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0100
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9900
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9900
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0100
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0100
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9900
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0100
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0100
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9900
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 6811.11, Sell volume: 6.17, Average price: 0.8518, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9900
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0100
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0100
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9900
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0100
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9900
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9900
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9900
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9900
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0100
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0100
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0100
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9900
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0100
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9900
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9900
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0100
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9900
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0100
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9900
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0100
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0100
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0100
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0100
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9900
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0100
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0100
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9900
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9900
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9900
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9900
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9900
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9900
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9900
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0100
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9900
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9900
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9900
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0100
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0105
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9895
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0105
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9895
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0105
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0105
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0105
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9895
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0105
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9895
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0105
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9895
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0105
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9895
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0105
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9895
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0105
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9895
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9895
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0105
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9895
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 31.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9910
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9910
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9910
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0105
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0135
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0135
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9865
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0135
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0135
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.4990
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.5010
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.4990
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.5075
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4835
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.5250
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.4735
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.6850
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0520
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9475
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0530
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9545
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0415
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9595
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9600
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9595
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9600
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0360
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9535
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0425
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9575
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0425
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9580
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0420
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 105.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7357, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9898

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0380
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9590
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0410
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9670
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.4615
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.5815
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0685
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9640
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0355
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9595
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0465
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9575
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0355
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9595
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0475
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9585
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0375
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9625
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0450
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4530
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5735
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.3395
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.7475
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.2155
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.2525
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.7535
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.2390
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.7550
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.2260
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.8140
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1490
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8645
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1265
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8620
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1435
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.5085
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.4810
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.4670
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.5455
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.4500
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.5570
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.5560
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.4360
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5660
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4230
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 105.56, Sell volume: 1.02, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0550
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9870
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 66.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.2450
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.2250
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.2000
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.1900
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.1900
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.1950
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.1650
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.1650
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.1550
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.1050
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0550
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0300
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0210
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0165
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0165
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0165
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0165
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0165
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0165
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0515
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0515
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0515
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0705
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0720
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0920
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0775
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0695
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0750
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0665
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0665
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0660
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.1420
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1225
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.1050
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0950
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0695
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.0695
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0650
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0430
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0440
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0440
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0440
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0440
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0440
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0440
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0440
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0440
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0440
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0390
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0315
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0315
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0360
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0350
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0370
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0395
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0420
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.0420
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0420
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0420
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0420
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0420
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0420
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.0420
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0420
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0420
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0430
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0430
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0335
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0335
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0370
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0405
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0430
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0430
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0430
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.9570
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0435
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0440
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9560
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 6811.11, Sell volume: 6.17, Average price: 0.8518, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0440
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9560
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0415
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0415
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.0395
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.9605
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0395
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9610
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0390
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9610
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0390
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0390
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9610
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9610
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0390
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0390
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0390
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9610
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9610
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9610
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9610
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9600
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9580
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0420
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0395
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0395
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0395
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0440
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0420
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.9590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.15, Average price: 0.0080, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.0080
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9590
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0410
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9590
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0410
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.9590
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9590
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0410
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0370
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.9630
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9625
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9630
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0370
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0370
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9630
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9630
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9630
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9645
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0355
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9645
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9645
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9640
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9640
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0360
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9635
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9635
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9635
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9635
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0365
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0365
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 6811.11, Sell volume: 6.17, Average price: 0.8518, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9635
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9635
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9635
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9635
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9635
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0365
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9635
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9635
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9635
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9635
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9635
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9635
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0365
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0365
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9635
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9635
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9635
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9825
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0165
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9835
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9835
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0165
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0165
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0165
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0165
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0165
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0165
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9895
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9895
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9895
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9895
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0105
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0105
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9895
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9895
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0105
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9895
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9895
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0100
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9900
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9900
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9900
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0100
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9900
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0100
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0100
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0100
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9900
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 6811.11, Sell volume: 6.17, Average price: 0.8518, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.0100
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9900
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9900
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9900
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9900
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9900
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0100
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0100
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0100
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9900
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9900
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0100
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0100
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9900
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9900
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0100
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9900
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9900
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0100
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0100
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9900
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0100
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0100
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0100
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0100
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0100
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9900
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 6811.11, Sell volume: 6.17, Average price: 0.8518, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0100
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0100
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0100
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0100
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0100
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9900
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0100
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0100
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0100
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9900
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0100
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0100
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0100
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0100
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0100
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0100
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9900
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9895
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9895
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0105
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0105
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0105
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0105
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0105
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0105
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9895
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9895
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9895
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9895
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9895
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9895
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 31.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9910
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0105
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9865
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9865
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.4990
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.4925
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.4745
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.4665
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0520
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0530
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0425
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0400
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0405
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0400
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0465
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0425
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0425
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0420
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0420
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 105.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7357, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9898
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes