Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666077
Question: Will JD Vance attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 20234.606434
Price History:
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0260
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9740
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0270
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9730
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0260
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9740
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0160
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9840
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0160
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9840
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 12893.77, Sell volume: 2747.31, Average price: 0.5337, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3900
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.6550
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.7900
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.2100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.7850
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2150
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.2500
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 655.73, Sell volume: 142.00, Average price: 0.4501, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9594

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0600
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9400
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9300
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9400
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0500
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 176.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2520, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 27.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 139.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.3600, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 146.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5313, Price range: 0.1098 - 0.9528

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9000
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 6564.82, Sell volume: 222.00, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9300
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9400
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9400
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9400
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 6564.82, Sell volume: 222.00, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9500
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9500
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 6564.82, Sell volume: 222.00, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9450
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0550
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 6564.82, Sell volume: 222.00, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9600
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0400
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9600
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0400
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9600
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0400
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9555
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0445
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9555
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0445
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9555
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0445
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9555
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0445
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9555
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0445
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9555
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0445
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9555
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0445
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9560
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0440
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9555
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0445
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9555
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0445
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9555
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0445
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 6564.82, Sell volume: 222.00, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9555
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0445
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9555
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0445
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9555
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0445
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9560
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0440
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9555
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0445
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9555
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0445
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9555
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0445
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9560
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0440
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9555
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0445
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9555
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0445
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9715
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0285
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9715
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0285
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9695
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9695
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 114.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3900
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.6550
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.7900
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.2100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.7850
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2150
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.2500
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 655.73, Sell volume: 142.00, Average price: 0.4501, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9594
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0600
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9400
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9300
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9400
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0500
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 176.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2520, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 27.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 139.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.3600, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 146.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5313, Price range: 0.1098 - 0.9528
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9000
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9050
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 6564.82, Sell volume: 222.00, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9300
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 6564.82, Sell volume: 222.00, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 6564.82, Sell volume: 222.00, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 6564.82, Sell volume: 222.00, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9600
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0400
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9600
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0400
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9600
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0400
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9555
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0445
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9555
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0445
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 6564.82, Sell volume: 222.00, Average price: 0.4977, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666078
Question: Will Mike Pence attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 6786.817309
Price History:
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9555
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0445
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9555
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0445
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9555
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0445
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9560
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0440
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9555
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0445
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9555
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 114.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.4050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.4100
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5900
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.4050
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 237.12, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.5126, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8486

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.7800
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1800
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1000
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9400
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 110.08, Sell volume: 1.46, Average price: 0.2637, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 174.57, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.3343, Price range: 0.1140 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.4100
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 150.56, Sell volume: 0.68, Average price: 0.5191, Price range: 0.4118 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.6700
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.3300
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.6850
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.4300
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.4300
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.4700
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.4000
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.6000
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 363.59, Sell volume: 1.58, Average price: 0.4861, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.5964

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.5450
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.4550
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.5450
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.4550
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.5450
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.5450
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 157.00, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.4184, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5100
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1.79, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.4720, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.5400
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.5400
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 83.74, Sell volume: 198.99, Average price: 0.5121, Price range: 0.4299 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 64.76, Average price: 0.4368, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.5500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6400
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.2400
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7600
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.2300
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.7700
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.2300
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.7700
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 95.19, Sell volume: 49.75, Average price: 0.6882, Price range: 0.6300 - 0.7780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.2050
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.7950
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2350
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.7650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.2400
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.7600
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.2400
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7600
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2400
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1751.00, Sell volume: 16.56, Average price: 0.4264, Price range: 0.2746 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 304.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4467, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.3350
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.6650
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.6400
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.4000
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.6000
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5650
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5650
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9650
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0350
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 156, Buy volume: 15785.34, Sell volume: 5927.72, Average price: 0.4741, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 237.12, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.5126, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8486
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.7800
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1800
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1000
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 110.08, Sell volume: 1.46, Average price: 0.2637, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 174.57, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.3343, Price range: 0.1140 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 150.56, Sell volume: 0.68, Average price: 0.5191, Price range: 0.4118 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.6700
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.3300
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.6850
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.4300
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.5700
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.4300
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 363.59, Sell volume: 1.58, Average price: 0.4861, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.5964
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 157.00, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.4184, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5100
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1.79, Sell volume: 47.00, Average price: 0.4720, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 83.74, Sell volume: 198.99, Average price: 0.5121, Price range: 0.4299 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 64.76, Average price: 0.4368, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6400
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 95.19, Sell volume: 49.75, Average price: 0.6882, Price range: 0.6300 - 0.7780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.2050
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.7950
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2350
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.7650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.2400
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.7600
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.2400
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7600
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2400
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.2600
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1751.00, Sell volume: 16.56, Average price: 0.4264, Price range: 0.2746 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 304.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4467, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666079
Question: Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 25773.270934
Price History:
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.3350
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.6650
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.6400
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.4000
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.6000
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5650
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5650
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 156, Buy volume: 15785.34, Sell volume: 5927.72, Average price: 0.4741, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 76.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.7650
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.2800
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2450
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2450
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8000
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8050
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8300
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1700
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.1750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1700
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.8200
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1700
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.8450
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1550
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.8500
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.1500
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.8550
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1450
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 24051.88, Sell volume: 14356.68, Average price: 0.3518, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.8800
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1200
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1200
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.6350
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.3650
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.7300
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.2700
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.7300
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.2700
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.7200
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.2800
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.7300
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.2700
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.7400
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.2600
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.7450
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.7450
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.7650
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.2350
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.7650
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.7750
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 84.08, Sell volume: 48.00, Average price: 0.3406, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.5400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.6250
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.6250
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3450
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6550
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.7000
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3000
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6550
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.3450
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5450
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4550
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 8.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.5450
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.4550
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 8.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6200, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.5450
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.4550
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.5450
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.4550
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.5450
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 76.60, Sell volume: 40.39, Average price: 0.5217, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5400
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4600
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4600
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5400
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5550
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.4450
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.5550
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.4450
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 56.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5821

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.6750
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.6750
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.6750
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.6700
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.6750
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6750
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.6700
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.6500
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.6600
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3400
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 35.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5019, Price range: 0.1698 - 0.8340

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.2400
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.2400
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.2400
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.60, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.7500
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.2050
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7950
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.2050
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.7950
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.2050
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.7950
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.7400
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.7600
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.2550
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 342.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3283, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.3400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.7500
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.2550
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.7650
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.2350
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.3500
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6500
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.3500
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4050
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6100
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 45.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3456, Price range: 0.3456 - 0.3456

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3450
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3750
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.5700
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.4300
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.6300
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.3700
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 6.82, Sell volume: 320.00, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0645
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9355
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0385
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9615
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0735
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9265
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0300
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9700
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0300
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9700
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0280
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9720
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0235
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9765
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0185
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9815
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 23312.71, Sell volume: 13927.69, Average price: 0.2964, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 76.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.7650
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.2800
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2450
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2450
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8000
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8050
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8300
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1700
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 24051.88, Sell volume: 14356.68, Average price: 0.3518, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.8800
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1200
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1200
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.6350
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.3650
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.7300
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 84.08, Sell volume: 48.00, Average price: 0.3406, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.5400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.6250
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.6250
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3450
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6550
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.7000
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3000
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6550
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.3450
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5450
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4550
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 8.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666080
Question: Will Bill Clinton attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 38408.564765
Price History:
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 8.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6200, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No