Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9845
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9850
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0150
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0150
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9850
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9850
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0150
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9850
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0150
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9850
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0150
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0150
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9850
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0110
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9890
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0130
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0125
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0125
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9880
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 13879.04, Sell volume: 2365.41, Average price: 0.9067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.5050
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.4950
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.2550
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.2550
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.9000
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.9000
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.9000
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.8900
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.1100
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.8900
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9700
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9000
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.1000
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.9200
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.0300
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9700
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.0300
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.9700
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 87.07, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.8183, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.0205
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.9795
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9795
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0200
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9795
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 59.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9984, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0160
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9845
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9845
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0155
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0155
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9845
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9845
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0155
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9845
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0155
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0155
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9845
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9850
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0150
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9850
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9850
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9850
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0150
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0110
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9875
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9880
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 13879.04, Sell volume: 2365.41, Average price: 0.9067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9650
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9645
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9695
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9705
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9705
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9705
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0280
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0260
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0285
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9715
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9715
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0285
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9720
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9720
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9715
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9740
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9735
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0425
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9575
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0425
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9575
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0425
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9570
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9570
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9570
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9570
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9570
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9570
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9570
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9575
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0430
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9570
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9570
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 412.01, Sell volume: 66.66, Average price: 0.3236, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9560

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.7445
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.2700
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.7300
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.7245
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2755
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1205
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.1185
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1190
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.1380
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1340
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.1275
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0705
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9125
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0880
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9115
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0885
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0885
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0885
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0885
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9120
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9120
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0820
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9175
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0790
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0785
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9210
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0755
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9260
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9295
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9215
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9210
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9210
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0785
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9215
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9215
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0785
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0780
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9230
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0765
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9240
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9255
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9260
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9265
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 4160.73, Sell volume: 1260.20, Average price: 0.6406, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9245
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9245
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9245
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9235
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0760
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0760
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9240
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9240
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9240
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9240
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9240
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9240
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9240
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9240
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9240
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9260
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9265
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9265
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9270
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9275
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9275
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9275
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9275
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9275
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0725
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9275
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0725
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0725
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0725
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0725
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0720
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0720
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9280
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0720
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9310
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0690
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9315
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9330
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0670
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0670
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9330
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9335
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0665
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0665
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0665
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0665
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9335
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9335
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 391.94, Sell volume: 117.50, Average price: 0.7368, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9350

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0675
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0675
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9325
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0675
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9325
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0675
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9325
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0675
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9325
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9305
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9305
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0695
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9305
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9305
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9305
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9305
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9305
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0930
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.1025
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.1040
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1210
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1210
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8705
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.1275
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.1260
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.1285
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8715
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.1280
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.1270
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.1455
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.1555
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.8450
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.1550
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.1555
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8285
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.1640
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.8435
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.8540
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.1390
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.8625
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.8725
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.8825
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.8755
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.8730
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.8695
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.8845
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.8890
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.1075
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 2624.62, Sell volume: 1175.77, Average price: 0.3359, Price range: 0.0209 - 0.9480

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9745
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9760
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9750
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9760
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9760
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9740
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9750
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9745
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0245
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9755
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9745
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9735
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0260
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0265
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9750
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0240
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9745
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9745
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9785
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0215
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9785
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9785
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0210
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1040.55, Sell volume: 133.38, Average price: 0.7651, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0170
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9835
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9835
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9840
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0135
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0130
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0130
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 420.00, Sell volume: 191.77, Average price: 0.4975, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9900
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 205.31, Sell volume: 791.96, Average price: 0.3346, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 1406.62, Sell volume: 184.00, Average price: 0.9652, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9915
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 12888.17, Sell volume: 6518.09, Average price: 0.8025, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9865
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9870
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0130
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9870
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0115
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9880
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9880
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0100
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9890
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9900
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9900
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9900
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9900
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9900
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9920
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 160, Buy volume: 14271.24, Sell volume: 7998.44, Average price: 0.8114, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 407.98, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 211.90, Sell volume: 5218.20, Average price: 0.5384, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.6100
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.3900
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.6100
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.3900
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.6100
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.3900
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.6100
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.6050
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.3950
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.5400
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4600
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.5900
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.4100
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.6400
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.3600
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.6400
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.3600
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.4450
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.6150
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.3850
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.6500
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.3500
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 864, Buy volume: 116967.12, Sell volume: 64064.82, Average price: 0.4319, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.3500
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.6500
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.3500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.6500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.3500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.6500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.3500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.6950
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.3050
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.6900
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.3100
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6900
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.3100
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.6900
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.6850
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.3150
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.6850
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.3150
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.6850
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.3150
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.6850
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.3150
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.6850
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.3150
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.6850
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.3150
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.5050
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.4950
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.5050
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.5050
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.4950
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.5050
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 381.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.5050
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.4950
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.5050
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.4950
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.5750
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.4250
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.4450
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.5450
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.4550
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.6300
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.3700
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.6300
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.3700
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.6150
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.3850
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.6150
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.6150
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.3850
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.6050
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.5950
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.4050
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 68.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5149

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.4050
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.5750
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.5750
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.5750
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.5850
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.4150
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.5700
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.5700
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.4350
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 9.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.4350
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.5600
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.4400
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.5600
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.4400
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.5600
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.4400
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.5600
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.4400
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.5650
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.4350
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.5550
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.4450
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.5450
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.4550
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.5450
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.4550
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.5450
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.4550
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.5450
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.4550
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9660
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0340
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9600
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0400
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9695
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0305
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9645
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0355
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9525
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0475
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9540
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0460
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9495
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0505
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 843.34, Sell volume: 289.39, Average price: 0.6133, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1135
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.8795
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1205
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.8790
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1210
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.8815
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1185
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.8830
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1170
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9185
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0815
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9440
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0560
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9435
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0565
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9375
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0625
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.8795
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.1205
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.8860
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.1140
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.8960
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.1040
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9010
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0990
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9005
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0995
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9005
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0995
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9020
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0980
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9260
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0740
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9480
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1014.44, Sell volume: 795.25, Average price: 0.5948, Price range: 0.0473 - 0.9350

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9480
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0520
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9485
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0515
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9220
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0780
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9275
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0725
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9355
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0645
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9470
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0530
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9470
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0530
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9525
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0475
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9510
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0490
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9660
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0340
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0230
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9605
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0395
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9570
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0430
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9590
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0410
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9595
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0405
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9540
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0460
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9640
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0360
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1191.85, Sell volume: 285.26, Average price: 0.5369, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0555
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9425
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0575
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9430
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0570
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9450
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9585
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0415
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9625
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0375
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9420
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0580
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9585
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0415
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9475
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0525
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9535
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0465
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9660
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0340
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9825
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0175
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9835
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0165
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9950
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 4046.41, Sell volume: 1331.52, Average price: 0.5509, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0235
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9950
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0235
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9810
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0190
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9805
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0195
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9830
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0170
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0230
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9815
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0185
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9815
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0185
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9850
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0150
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9850
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0150
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9805
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0195
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9845
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0155
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9800
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0200
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9815
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0185
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9840
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0160
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 5560.01, Sell volume: 1472.94, Average price: 0.5958, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9835
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0165
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9840
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9890
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0110
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9890
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0110
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9910
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 180, Buy volume: 26413.08, Sell volume: 16095.37, Average price: 0.2140, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0060
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0040
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9895
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0105
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0195
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9760
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0240
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9835
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0165
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0105
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9895
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0105
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9895
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0105
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9895
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0105
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 15896.30, Sell volume: 5602.88, Average price: 0.5804, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0125
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9880
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0120
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9875
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0125
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9880
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9880
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0120
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9880
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0120
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9845
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0155
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9815
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0185
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0140
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9880
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0120
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9895
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0105
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 17582.51, Sell volume: 688.29, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9900
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0100
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9895
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0105
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 40509.13, Sell volume: 36827.56, Average price: 0.1790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9650
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0355
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9705
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0295
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0280
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9740
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0275
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0285
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0285
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0285
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0280
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9715
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0260
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0425
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0425
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9575
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9575
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9570
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0430
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9570
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 412.01, Sell volume: 66.66, Average price: 0.3236, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9560
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.7445
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.7245
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.7245
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.1185
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8810
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1340
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.8725
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0875
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0880
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0885
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0885
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9115
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9120
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0880
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9175
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9210
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9210
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9245
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9295
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0785
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9210
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9215
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9215
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9215
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9230
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 4160.73, Sell volume: 1260.20, Average price: 0.6406, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0755
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9245
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0765
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0760
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0760
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9240
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0760
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9240
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0760
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9240
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0740
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9265
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0730
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9275
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0725
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9275
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9275
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0725
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9275
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0725
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9280
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9280
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9280
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0690
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0685
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0670
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9330
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9335
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 391.94, Sell volume: 117.50, Average price: 0.7368, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9350
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0675
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9325
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0675
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0675
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9325
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9325
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9305
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0695
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9305
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0695
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9305
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0695
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.1025
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.8960
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1210
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.1275
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8740
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8715
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.8720
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.1455
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.8445
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.1550
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.8445
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.1640
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.1565
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.1390
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.1375
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.8825
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.1245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 2624.62, Sell volume: 1175.77, Average price: 0.3359, Price range: 0.0209 - 0.9480
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0235
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9760
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0240
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0260
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9745
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0245
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9745
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9745
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9740
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9750
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9760
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0215
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0215
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9790
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1040.55, Sell volume: 133.38, Average price: 0.7651, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0170
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0165
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9840
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0130
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0130
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0130
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0130
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0130
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0130
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9870
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 420.00, Sell volume: 191.77, Average price: 0.4975, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0100
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 205.31, Sell volume: 791.96, Average price: 0.3346, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 1406.62, Sell volume: 184.00, Average price: 0.9652, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 12888.17, Sell volume: 6518.09, Average price: 0.8025, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0135
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9870
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9870
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0100
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0110
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0100
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9900
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9920
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 160, Buy volume: 14271.24, Sell volume: 7998.44, Average price: 0.8114, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 407.98, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 211.90, Sell volume: 5218.20, Average price: 0.5384, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641811
Question: Will Keyboard Monkey win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 62748.171625
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.6100
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.3900
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.6100
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.3900
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.6100
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.3900
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.6100
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.6050
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.3950
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.5400
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4600
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.5900
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.4100
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.6400
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.3600
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.6400
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 864, Buy volume: 116967.12, Sell volume: 64064.82, Average price: 0.4319, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.3500
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.6500
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.3500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.6500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.3500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.6500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.3500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.6950
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.3050
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.6900
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.3100
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6900
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.3100
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.6900
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.6850
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.3150
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.6850
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.3150
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.6850
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.3150
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.6850
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.3150
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.6850
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.3150
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 381.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.5050
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.4950
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.5050
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.4950
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.5750
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.4250
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.4450
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.5450
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.4550
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.6300
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.3700
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.6300
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.3700
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.6150
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 68.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5149
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.4050
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.5750
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.5750
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.5750
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.4250
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.5850
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.4150
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.5700
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.5700
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.4300
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 9.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.4350
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.5600
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.4400
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.5600
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.4400
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.5600
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.4400
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.5600
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.4400
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.5650
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.4350
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.5550
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.4450
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.5450
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.4550
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.5450
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.4550
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.5450
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.4550
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.5450
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.4550
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9660
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0340
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9600
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0400
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9695
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 843.34, Sell volume: 289.39, Average price: 0.6133, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1135
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.8795
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1205
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.8790
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1210
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.8815
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1185
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.8830
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1170
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9185
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0815
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9440
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0560
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9435
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0565
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9375
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0625
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.8795
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.1205
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.8860
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.1140
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.8960
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.1040
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9010
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0990
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1014.44, Sell volume: 795.25, Average price: 0.5948, Price range: 0.0473 - 0.9350
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9480
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0520
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9485
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0515
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9220
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0780
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9275
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0725
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9355
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0645
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9470
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0530
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9470
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0530
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9525
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0475
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9510
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0490
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9660
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0340
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0230
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9605
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0395
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9570
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1191.85, Sell volume: 285.26, Average price: 0.5369, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0555
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9425
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0575
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9430
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0570
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9450
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9585
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0415
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9625
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0375
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9420
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0580
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9585
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0415
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9475
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0525
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9535
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0465
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9660
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0340
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9825
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0175
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9835
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0165
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 4046.41, Sell volume: 1331.52, Average price: 0.5509, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0235
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9950
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0235
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9810
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0190
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9805
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0195
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9830
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0170
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0230
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9815
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0185
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9815
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0185
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9850
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0150
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9850
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0150
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9805
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 5560.01, Sell volume: 1472.94, Average price: 0.5958, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9835
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0165
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9840
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9890
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0110
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9890
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0110
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 180, Buy volume: 26413.08, Sell volume: 16095.37, Average price: 0.2140, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0060
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0040
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9895
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0105
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0195
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9760
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0240
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9835
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 15896.30, Sell volume: 5602.88, Average price: 0.5804, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0125
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9880
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0120
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9875
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0125
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9880
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9880
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0120
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9880
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0120
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9845
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0155
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9815
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0185
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0140
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 17582.51, Sell volume: 688.29, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643003
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Volume: 181031.942848
Price History:
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9900
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0100
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9895
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0105
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 40509.13, Sell volume: 36827.56, Average price: 0.1790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 579001
Question: Will Keith Andrews be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15450.643333
Price History:
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.5050
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.4950
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.5050
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.4950
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.7450
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.2550
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.2550
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.7450
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.3500
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.6500
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.3500
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.6500
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.3500
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.6500
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.3500
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.6500
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.3400
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.6600
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.6600
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.3400
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.3400
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.6600
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.3400
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 14008.48, Sell volume: 1442.16, Average price: 0.8782, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 579001
Question: Will Keith Andrews be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15450.643333
Price History:
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.7850
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.8150
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.1850
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.2100
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.7900
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.2350
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.7650
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.7700
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.1950
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.8050
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.1950
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.8750
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.1250
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.2500
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.7600
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.2400
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.1400
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.8600
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.0450
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.9550
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.0700
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9300
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.9640
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0360
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9685
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0315
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0315
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9685
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.0315
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9685
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0315
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9685
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0255
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9745
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.0365
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9635
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0365
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9635
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.0400
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.9600
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0400
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9600
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 579001
Question: Will Keith Andrews be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15450.643333
Price History:
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.0400
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.9600
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.0400
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.9600
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.0400
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9600
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.9600
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9600
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0400
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 14008.48, Sell volume: 1442.16, Average price: 0.8782, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No