Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631058
Question: Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3487.116421
Price History:
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.6450
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.6450
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.6450
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.6450
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.6450
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.6450
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.6450
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.6450
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.6450
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.6450
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.6450
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.6450
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.6450
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.6450
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.6450
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.6450
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2888.22, Sell volume: 598.90, Average price: 0.5219, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631058
Question: Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3487.116421
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.3550
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.3550
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.3550
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.3550
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.3550
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.3550
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.3550
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.3550
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.3550
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.3550
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.3550
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.3550
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.3550
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.3550
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.3550
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.6600 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631058
Question: Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3487.116421
Price History:
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2888.22, Sell volume: 598.90, Average price: 0.5219, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631058
Question: Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3487.116421
Price History:
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.3550
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.3550
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.3550
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.3550
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2888.22, Sell volume: 598.90, Average price: 0.5219, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631058
Question: Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3487.116421
Price History:
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2888.22, Sell volume: 598.90, Average price: 0.5219, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631058
Question: Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3487.116421
Price History:
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.3500
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.3500
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.3500
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.3500
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.3500
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.6600 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631058
Question: Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3487.116421
Price History:
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.6500
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6500
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 621.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3700, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.3700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631058
Question: Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3487.116421
Price History:
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.3600
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3600
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3850
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 844.61, Sell volume: 100.10, Average price: 0.5118, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631058
Question: Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3487.116421
Price History:
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5900
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6550
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6550
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.6550
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6550
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.6550
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1299.57, Sell volume: 378.80, Average price: 0.5054, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.4600
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.5400
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.5150
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.4850
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.4950
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.5050
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.5050
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.4850
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.5150
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.5150
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.4850
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.4850
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.5150
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.4800
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.4700
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.5300
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.4800
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1383.23, Sell volume: 32.77, Average price: 0.5626, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.6937

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.4650
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.5350
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.4650
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5500
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4500
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5500
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 96.17, Sell volume: 127.22, Average price: 0.5169, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4200
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4200
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4200
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.4200
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 393.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4250, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.4300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4200
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.4200
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4250
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5750
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4250
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 696.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5046, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3700
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.6300
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3700
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6300
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3600
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6400
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 494.09, Sell volume: 143.02, Average price: 0.4844, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3300
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6700
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3600
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6400
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6700
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3300
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 827.82, Sell volume: 231.07, Average price: 0.5714, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.2850
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.7150
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.7150
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.2850
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.2750
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7350
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2650
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.2100
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.7900
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.8350
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1650
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8400
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8550
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.7950
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2050
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 769.51, Sell volume: 107.00, Average price: 0.6107, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2100
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.2300
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.7700
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.7700
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.2300
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.7700
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.2300
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.7700
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.2300
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.7700
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.2300
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.7900
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 5.13, Sell volume: 104.88, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.7900
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.7900
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.7900
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.7900
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.7900
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.7900
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.2000
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.8000
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.2000
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.8000
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.8000
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.2000
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.2000
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.8000
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 49.64, Sell volume: 5.85, Average price: 0.5159, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8237

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.7400
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.2600
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.2800
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.3150
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.3150
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.3100
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.6900
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.3100
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.7700
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2300
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.7600
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7350
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.2650
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.7500
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2500
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.2600
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.7500
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.2500
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.7400
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.2600
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.2450
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.7550
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.2450
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.7800
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.2200
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 82.77, Sell volume: 118.58, Average price: 0.5793, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.8100
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.1900
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.8050
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.1950
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.8050
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.1950
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.8200
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.1800
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.8200
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.1800
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.8200
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.8300
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.1700
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.1700
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.1700
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.8300
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.8300
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.1700
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.1700
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.8300
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.1700
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.8300
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.8300
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.1700
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.8200
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.1800
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.1800
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.8200
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.8200
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.8200
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.1800
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.8450
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.1550
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.8300
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.1700
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.1600
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.8400
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.1350
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1572.33, Sell volume: 144.55, Average price: 0.7020, Price range: 0.1317 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.1400
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.8750
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.1250
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.8850
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.1150
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.1150
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.8850
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.1100
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9195
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0805
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1373.01, Sell volume: 30.38, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0570
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9430
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9430
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0570
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9730
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0270
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9730
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0270
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0270
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9730
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9585
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0415
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9480
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0520
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0520
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9480
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0490
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9510
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9515
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0485
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0485
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9515
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0485
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9515
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0410
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9590
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9595
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0405
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9570
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0430
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0450
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9550
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0390
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9610
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0415
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9585
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0400
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9600
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 907.66, Sell volume: 1049.46, Average price: 0.5750, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.4600
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.5400
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.5150
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.4850
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.4950
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.5050
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.5050
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.4850
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.5150
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.5150
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1383.23, Sell volume: 32.77, Average price: 0.5626, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.6937
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.4650
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.5350
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.4650
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5500
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4500
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5500
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 96.17, Sell volume: 127.22, Average price: 0.5169, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 393.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4250, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.4300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4200
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.4200
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4250
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5750
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4250
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 696.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5046, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6100
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3900
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 494.09, Sell volume: 143.02, Average price: 0.4844, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3300
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6700
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3600
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6400
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6700
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3300
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 827.82, Sell volume: 231.07, Average price: 0.5714, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.2850
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.7150
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.7150
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.2850
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.2750
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 769.51, Sell volume: 107.00, Average price: 0.6107, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2100
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 5.13, Sell volume: 104.88, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.7900
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.7900
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.7900
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.7900
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.7900
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.7900
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.2000
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.8000
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.2000
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.8000
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.8000
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.2000
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.2000
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.8000
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 49.64, Sell volume: 5.85, Average price: 0.5159, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8237
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.7950
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.2050
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.7400
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.2600
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.2800
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.3150
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.3150
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.3100
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.6900
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.3100
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.7700
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2300
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.7600
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7350
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.2650
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.7500
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2500
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 82.77, Sell volume: 118.58, Average price: 0.5793, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.8100
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.1900
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.8050
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.1950
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.8050
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.1950
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.8200
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.1800
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.8200
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.1800
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.8200
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.8300
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.1700
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.1700
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.1700
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.8300
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.8300
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.1700
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.1700
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.8300
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.1700
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.8300
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.8300
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.1700
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.8200
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1572.33, Sell volume: 144.55, Average price: 0.7020, Price range: 0.1317 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.1400
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.8750
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.1250
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.8850
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.1150
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.1150
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.8850
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1373.01, Sell volume: 30.38, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611354
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
Volume: 22105.990283
Price History:
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0570
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9430
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9430
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0570
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9730
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0270
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9730
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0270
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0270
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9730
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9585
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0415
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9480
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0520
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0520
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9480
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0490
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9510
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9515
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0485
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0485
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 907.66, Sell volume: 1049.46, Average price: 0.5750, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.6350
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.3650
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.2900
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.7100
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.2950
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.7050
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.2950
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.2900
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.7100
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.2900
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.7100
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.7100
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.2900
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.7100
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.2900
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.2850
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.7150
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.2850
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.7250
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.2750
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.1800
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.8200
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2700
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.7300
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.2450
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.7550
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 138.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6973, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8586

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.2200
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.1750
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.8250
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.1850
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.8150
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.8150
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.1850
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.1850
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.8150
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7650
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2350
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.2900
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2800
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 43.05, Sell volume: 3.53, Average price: 0.5087, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.2800
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.2800
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.2800
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.7200
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.2800
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.7200
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.2800
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 7790.75, Sell volume: 477.15, Average price: 0.7918, Price range: 0.0479 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2900
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.7100
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 7790.75, Sell volume: 477.15, Average price: 0.7918, Price range: 0.0479 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7100
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2900
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7100
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2900
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7100
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2900
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.2800
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7400
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.7450
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.2550
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7550
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.2500
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.7500
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7550
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.2450
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.7550
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.2450
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7250
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.2750
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 405.83, Sell volume: 5.23, Average price: 0.7425, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.7250
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.2750
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.7250
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.2750
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2600
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.7400
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.2600
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.7700
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.2300
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.2100
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.7900
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.7900
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.2100
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.7750
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.2250
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.2100
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.7900
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8000
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 84.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.7694 - 0.7694

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.7950
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8000
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 32.56, Sell volume: 5.82, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 7790.75, Sell volume: 477.15, Average price: 0.7918, Price range: 0.0479 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 7790.75, Sell volume: 477.15, Average price: 0.7918, Price range: 0.0479 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.8700
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.1300
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.1300
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.8850
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.1150
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.1150
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 212.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9408, Price range: 0.9408 - 0.9408

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.1150
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.8850
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.1150
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.8800
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.1200
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.8800
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.1200
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.8800
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.1200
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.1200
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.8800
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.8800
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.1200
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.8800
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.1200
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.8800
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.1200
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.8800
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.1200
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.1200
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.8800
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.1200
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.8800
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.8800
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.1200
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 7790.75, Sell volume: 477.15, Average price: 0.7918, Price range: 0.0479 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.8850
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.1150
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.1150
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.8850
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9633, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0205
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9795
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0210
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9790
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9790
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0210
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9790
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0210
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0210
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9790
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9790
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0210
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0210
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9790
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9795
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0205
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9690
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0310
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0310
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9690
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9690
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0310
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0310
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9690
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9690
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0310
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9690
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0310
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0310
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9690
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0310
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9690
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0165
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9835
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9835
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0165
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0165
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9835
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 555.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8163, Price range: 0.0479 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.6350
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.3650
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.2900
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.7100
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.2950
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.7050
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.2950
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.2900
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.7100
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.2900
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 138.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6973, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8586
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.2200
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.1750
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.8250
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.1850
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.8150
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.8150
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.1850
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.1850
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.8150
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 43.05, Sell volume: 3.53, Average price: 0.5087, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.2800
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.2800
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.2800
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.7200
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.2800
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.7200
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.2800
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 7790.75, Sell volume: 477.15, Average price: 0.7918, Price range: 0.0479 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2900
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 7790.75, Sell volume: 477.15, Average price: 0.7918, Price range: 0.0479 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7100
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2900
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7100
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2900
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7100
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2900
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.2800
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7400
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.7450
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.2550
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7550
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.2500
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 405.83, Sell volume: 5.23, Average price: 0.7425, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.7250
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.2750
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.7250
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.2750
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2600
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.7400
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.2600
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.7700
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.2300
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.2100
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.7900
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.7900
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.2100
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 84.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7694, Price range: 0.7694 - 0.7694
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.7950
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8000
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 32.56, Sell volume: 5.82, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 7790.75, Sell volume: 477.15, Average price: 0.7918, Price range: 0.0479 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 7790.75, Sell volume: 477.15, Average price: 0.7918, Price range: 0.0479 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 212.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9408, Price range: 0.9408 - 0.9408
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.1150
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.8850
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.1150
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.8800
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.1200
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.8800
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.1200
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.8800
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.1200
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.1200
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 7790.75, Sell volume: 477.15, Average price: 0.7918, Price range: 0.0479 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.8850
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.1150
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.1150
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.8850
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9633, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 611355
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by March 31, 2026?
Volume: 8267.899107
Price History:
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0205
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9795
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0210
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9790
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9790
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0210
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9790
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0210
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0210
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9790
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9790
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0210
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0210
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9790
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9795
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0205
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9690
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0310
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0310
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9690
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9690
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 555.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8163, Price range: 0.0479 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611356
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9782.591593
Price History:
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5050
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.4950
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.7100
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.2900
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.2600
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7400
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.7450
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.7450
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.2550
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.2500
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.2500
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.2550
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.7450
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.2500
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.2450
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.7550
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.2450
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.7550
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.2550
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.7450
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.7400
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.2550
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.7450
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.2550
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.7450
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.2500
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.2550
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.7450
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2550
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.7450
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.2550
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.7450
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 9762.60, Sell volume: 19.99, Average price: 0.8217, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611356
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9782.591593
Price History:
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.2500
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.2450
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.7550
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7600
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.7600
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.7600
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.7600
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7600
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7800
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2200
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.2400
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7600
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.2200
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7800
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.2200
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7800
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.2200
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8600, Price range: 0.8600 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611356
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9782.591593
Price History:
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2200
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.7800
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7600
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.2400
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.2400
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.7600
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.7500
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.2500
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.2500
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7500
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.7500
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.2500
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.2500
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.7500
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.7500
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.2500
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.2500
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.7500
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.2500
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.7500
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.2500
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.7500
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611356
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9782.591593
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.2500
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.2500
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.7500
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.2350
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7650
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.2350
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.7650
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 31.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7977, Price range: 0.7977 - 0.7977

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611356
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9782.591593
Price History:
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2300
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7700
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2350
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7650
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.7850
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7850
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.1950
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.8050
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 213.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611356
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9782.591593
Price History:
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.1600
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8400
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.8400
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1600
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.1500
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8500
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1450
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8600
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.1400
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8700
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1300
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8600
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.1400
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.8600
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1400
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 78.86, Sell volume: 19.99, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611356
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9782.591593
Price History:
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.8650
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.1350
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1500
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.8500
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 945.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8678, Price range: 0.8600 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611356
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9782.591593
Price History:
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 9762.60, Sell volume: 19.99, Average price: 0.8217, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611356
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9782.591593
Price History:
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.1350
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.8650
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.1250
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.8750
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.8750
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.1250
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.8750
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.1250
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.1250
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.8750
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.1200
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.8800
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.8800
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.1200
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.8800
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.1200
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.8800
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.1200
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.1200
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.8800
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.8850
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.1150
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 9762.60, Sell volume: 19.99, Average price: 0.8217, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611356
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9782.591593
Price History:
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.1100
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 9762.60, Sell volume: 19.99, Average price: 0.8217, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611356
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9782.591593
Price History:
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 9762.60, Sell volume: 19.99, Average price: 0.8217, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611356
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9782.591593
Price History:
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 437.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9423, Price range: 0.9347 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 611356
Question: Will Gold hit $4000 by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9782.591593
Price History:
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9760
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0240
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0255
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9745
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0255
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9745
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0255
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9745
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9745
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0255
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9745
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0255
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0305
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0305
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9695
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0305
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9695
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0165
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9835
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9835
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0165
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0165
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9835
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1242.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9017, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9900

Output: No