Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550020
Question: Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 152590.373192
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0215
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0205
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0205
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0210
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0200
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0205
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0195
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0185
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0185
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0180
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0185
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0185
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0285
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0275
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0300
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0360
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0365
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0375
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0375
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0370
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0395
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0350
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0285
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0375
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0375
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0385
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0385
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0375
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0385
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 5108.28, Sell volume: 180.09, Average price: 0.7716, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550020
Question: Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 152590.373192
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0380
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0380
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0385
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0385
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0385
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0390
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0385
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0380
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0390
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0425
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0460
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0480
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0605
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0520
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0515
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0515
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0490
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0490
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0490
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0490
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0505
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0485
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0485
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0495
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0495
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0495
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0500
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0500
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0505
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 3136.44, Sell volume: 1098.79, Average price: 0.3726, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.9640
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550020
Question: Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 152590.373192
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0525
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0515
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0520
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0530
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0570
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0565
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0565
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0565
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0560
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0560
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0550
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0575
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0580
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0585
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0605
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0605
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0620
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0570
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0610
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0610
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0610
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0610
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0610
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0610
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0610
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0615
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0610
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0605
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0615
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 558.12, Sell volume: 119.97, Average price: 0.7669, Price range: 0.0631 - 0.9510
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550020
Question: Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 152590.373192
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0580
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0580
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0600
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0610
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0550
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0560
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0560
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.0570
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0610
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0610
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0615
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0615
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0615
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0615
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0615
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0595
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0505
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0500
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0490
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0505
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0520
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0495
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0505
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0500
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0505
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0495
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0490
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0490
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0385
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 6096.02, Sell volume: 1293.82, Average price: 0.5034, Price range: 0.0462 - 0.9660
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550020
Question: Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 152590.373192
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0390
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0425
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.0335
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0355
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0345
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.0355
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0335
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0340
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0290
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0300
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0300
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0300
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.0340
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.9685
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9620
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0360
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.0355
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.0365
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0360
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.9675
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.0310
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.0310
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.0300
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0315
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0315
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0325
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0335
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9645
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0305
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2898.45, Sell volume: 1278.06, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550020
Question: Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 152590.373192
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0330
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9690
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9665
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0370
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0405
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9620
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9625
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9650
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9660
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9660
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9615
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9605
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.9605
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0390
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0390
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9620
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9590
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0375
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0380
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0385
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9630
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0365
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0390
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0325
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0340
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0340
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0365
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0355
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0385
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1108.96, Sell volume: 530.13, Average price: 0.5943, Price range: 0.0324 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550020
Question: Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 152590.373192
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0415
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.0400
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0395
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9605
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0415
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0415
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0355
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0340
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0310
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9675
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0335
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9660
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0325
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0330
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0325
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0335
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9680
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9670
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9670
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0330
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9670
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0330
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9670
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0335
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0330
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9635
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9845
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9855
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0135
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 2832.61, Sell volume: 2693.91, Average price: 0.7640, Price range: 0.0092 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550020
Question: Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 152590.373192
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9890
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9890
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0105
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0110
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0100
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0100
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9890
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0165
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0175
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9825
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0175
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0175
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0175
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9825
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0175
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0175
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0175
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0175
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0175
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0175
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0175
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0175
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0175
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0175
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0175
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9825
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1633.44, Sell volume: 1323.00, Average price: 0.5831, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550020
Question: Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 152590.373192
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9805
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0195
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0205
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9795
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9795
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9795
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0205
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9795
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0195
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0195
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9820
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9820
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9810
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9805
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0195
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9810
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0220
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9780
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0220
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9740
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9740
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0260
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0250
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9750
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9755
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3997.32, Sell volume: 133.58, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9829
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550020
Question: Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 152590.373192
Price History:
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9700
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9795
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9675
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9725
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0255
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0205
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9795
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9790
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9780
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0210
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9780
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9760
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9785
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9790
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0170
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0165
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9850
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9865
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9805
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9800
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0195
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 9313.56, Sell volume: 1138.97, Average price: 0.7536, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550020
Question: Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 152590.373192
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9805
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0190
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0185
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0190
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0200
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9795
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9850
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9850
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0165
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9785
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9800
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9840
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9865
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9875
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0125
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9875
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9875
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0100
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0100
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0100
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9925
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9925
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 269, Buy volume: 18774.77, Sell volume: 4212.07, Average price: 0.7803, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550020
Question: Will the JA21 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 152590.373192
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0040
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0040
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0040
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0040
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0055
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0060
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0050
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0050
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 399, Buy volume: 49562.49, Sell volume: 25355.17, Average price: 0.8234, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5400
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5400
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5400
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5400
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.5100
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 244.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.6800
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.7100
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.7750
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.7350
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.7400
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.6650
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.5700
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.5550
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.5400
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.5400
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 129.80, Sell volume: 207.56, Average price: 0.4618, Price range: 0.2250 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.6000
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.3450
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.3450
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3450
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.3500
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.3500
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3500
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 72.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.4100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.5900
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.3650
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.3650
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.3650
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.3800
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.3900
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.3900
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.3950
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3950
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.3650
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.4500
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4500
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.6350
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6350
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 236.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6964

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.6750
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6900
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.6900
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.6900
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.6900
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.6900
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.6900
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.6900
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8000
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8000
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8000
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.7950
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.8200
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7100, Price range: 0.7100 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.8200
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.8100
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.8150
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.8000
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.7900
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7900
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.8600
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.8600
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.8600
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.8600
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.8800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9000
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.8800
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 21.00, Sell volume: 120.80, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9100
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8800
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.8850
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 30.99, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8050
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8100
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.8100
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.8050
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8050
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.8150
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.8200
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.8400
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.8200
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.8150
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1435.56, Sell volume: 217.82, Average price: 0.2377, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.7650
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.7900
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.7900
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.7900
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.7900
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.7850
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.7800
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.7800
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.7850
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.7850
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.2300
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.7650
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.7650
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.1450
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.3300
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.4250
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.3850
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.3900
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.3900
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.3900
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 103.77, Sell volume: 444.04, Average price: 0.3288, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.5268

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.4900
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.4800
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.4850
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 556.15, Sell volume: 13.50, Average price: 0.5515, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.6400
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.7450
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.7600
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.7600
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.7450
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.7250
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.7250
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.7250
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.7250
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.7300
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.6200
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5900
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5300
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5200
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.7350
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.8350
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.8150
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.8100
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.7950
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.7950
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.8050
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.7900
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.7850
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.7900
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.7850
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.7700
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 846.38, Sell volume: 726.33, Average price: 0.6034, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.8700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.8850
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9200
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9450
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9450
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9500
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9735
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9800
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9850
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9850
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9850
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9860
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 4094.21, Sell volume: 183.18, Average price: 0.6760, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5400
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4600
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5400
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 244.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3200
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.7750
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 129.80, Sell volume: 207.56, Average price: 0.4618, Price range: 0.2250 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.6000
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.6650
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.6650
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.6550
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6500
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.6500
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 72.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.4100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6600
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.4100
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.4050
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.3650
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.6350
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.3900
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3950
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4500
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.3650
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 236.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6964
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.3250
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.3200
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.3150
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3200
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.3200
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.3100
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6900
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.6900
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.3100
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.6900
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.3100
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8000
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7100, Price range: 0.7100 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.8200
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.1900
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.8000
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.2100
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.1400
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.8600
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.1400
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.1350
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.8800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 21.00, Sell volume: 120.80, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.1000
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8800
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.1150
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 30.99, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1450
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1450
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1550
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1600
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.1600
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1950
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8100
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.1900
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8050
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.8150
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1435.56, Sell volume: 217.82, Average price: 0.2377, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.7650
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.2100
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.2100
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.7850
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.2200
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.2150
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.7650
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.3300
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.6150
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.3900
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 103.77, Sell volume: 444.04, Average price: 0.3288, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.5268
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.5100
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.4850
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.5100
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.5100
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 556.15, Sell volume: 13.50, Average price: 0.5515, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.6400
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.7600
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.2400
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.2550
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.2750
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.7250
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.2750
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.6200
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4100
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.4700
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.7350
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.8100
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.8050
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 846.38, Sell volume: 726.33, Average price: 0.6034, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657211
Question: Will Netflix dip to $101.50 in November?
Volume: 9936.253084
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9450
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9735
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 4094.21, Sell volume: 183.18, Average price: 0.6760, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.2500
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9695
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0155
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9940
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0020
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.9975
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.9980
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 3363.14, Sell volume: 1742.49, Average price: 0.8107, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9975
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 3588.53, Sell volume: 1658.42, Average price: 0.8829, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.9975
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.9975
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9975
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9975
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2490.83, Sell volume: 6633.98, Average price: 0.7486, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1836.03, Sell volume: 1831.83, Average price: 0.9986, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 19.42, Sell volume: 19.42, Average price: 0.9985, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.9990
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.9990
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.9990
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0010
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.9990
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0010
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9990
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 219.00, Sell volume: 120.00, Average price: 0.8561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9990
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0010
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0010
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9990
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0010
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9990
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9990
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 2212.64, Sell volume: 2047.35, Average price: 0.2867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0010
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 662.00, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.9039, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 266, Buy volume: 22435.74, Sell volume: 15520.49, Average price: 0.7364, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 266, Buy volume: 22435.74, Sell volume: 15520.49, Average price: 0.7364, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6044.15, Sell volume: 1451.00, Average price: 0.5462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.2500
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0155
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 3363.14, Sell volume: 1742.49, Average price: 0.8107, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 3588.53, Sell volume: 1658.42, Average price: 0.8829, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2490.83, Sell volume: 6633.98, Average price: 0.7486, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1836.03, Sell volume: 1831.83, Average price: 0.9986, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 19.42, Sell volume: 19.42, Average price: 0.9985, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0010
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.0010
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0010
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.9985
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 219.00, Sell volume: 120.00, Average price: 0.8561, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0010
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0010
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0010
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9990
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 2212.64, Sell volume: 2047.35, Average price: 0.2867, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 662.00, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.9039, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 266, Buy volume: 22435.74, Sell volume: 15520.49, Average price: 0.7364, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 266, Buy volume: 22435.74, Sell volume: 15520.49, Average price: 0.7364, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550021
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 37956.2325
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6044.15, Sell volume: 1451.00, Average price: 0.5462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657212
Question: Will Netflix dip to $96.30 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16804.436531
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4650
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.5300
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 14140.08, Sell volume: 2664.36, Average price: 0.5296, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657212
Question: Will Netflix dip to $96.30 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16804.436531
Price History:
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.2700
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.2700
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.2700
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.2700
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.2700
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.2550
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.2100
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.2100
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.2100
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1400
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1450
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 265.00, Sell volume: 992.32, Average price: 0.4756, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657212
Question: Will Netflix dip to $96.30 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16804.436531
Price History:
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1350
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.1100
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1100
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.1100
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 415.21, Sell volume: 55.00, Average price: 0.1222, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1309

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657212
Question: Will Netflix dip to $96.30 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16804.436531
Price History:
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1750
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.2450
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1850
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1800
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1500
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1450
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.1450
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1350
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1350
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.1350
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 336.77, Sell volume: 138.91, Average price: 0.4318, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657212
Question: Will Netflix dip to $96.30 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16804.436531
Price History:
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.1100
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 131.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657212
Question: Will Netflix dip to $96.30 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16804.436531
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 260.00, Sell volume: 97.95, Average price: 0.4133, Price range: 0.0540 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657212
Question: Will Netflix dip to $96.30 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16804.436531
Price History:
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0355
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0355
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0380
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0380
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0380
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0380
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0380
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0380
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0380
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0380
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0380
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0380
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0375
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0365
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0365
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0370
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0370
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0365
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0365
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0370
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0365
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0365
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 373.09, Sell volume: 11.75, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9600

Output: Yes