Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.5550
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.5400
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.4600
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.5450
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.5450
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.5450
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.5550
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.4450
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5300
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.4700
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.4600
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.5400
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.4600
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.7300
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.7050
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.3000
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.7000
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4050
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5950
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4050
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.4450
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.4500
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5300
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4700
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6300
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6300
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6300
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6300
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6250
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3750
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4250
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.7600
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.7900
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8000
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.1950
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.8050
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.1650
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.8350
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0395
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9605
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0420
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9580
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0420
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9580
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0385
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9615
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0375
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9625
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0365
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9635
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0415
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9585
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0420
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9580
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0405
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9595
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0455
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9545
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0480
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9520
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0565
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9435
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0420
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9580
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0485
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9515
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0335
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9665
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0325
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9675
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0290
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9710
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0285
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9715
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0305
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9695
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0310
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9690
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0300
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9700
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0305
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9695
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0350
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9650
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999751, Buy volume: 501163421.98, Sell volume: 96490974.26, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.8050
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.3600
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7450
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.1850
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.6700
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2500
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.3300
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7000
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.6750
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.3250
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.6600
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.1800
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.7300
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2600
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.7400
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2600
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.7400
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.3100
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.7700
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.6900
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.6700
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.2900
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.7400
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.7600
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.7600
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.8050
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.2750
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.3150
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.6850
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.2900
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.5150
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.4800
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.5200
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.3950
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.6800
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8908, Price range: 0.8908 - 0.8908

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.2350
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.7800
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.1500
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.9000
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.5650
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.3450
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5600
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.3950
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5350
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.1200
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.8800
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.0550
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.9250
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4050
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.5950
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.4100
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.8505
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0235
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.9440
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.0880
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.5355
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.4085
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.6300
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.3085
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.6545
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.4105
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.6705
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.4990
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.5450
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.3780
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.7020
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.2050
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.6250
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.4920
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.9430
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0480
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.6365
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0745
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.6405
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.0525
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.5490
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.4680
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.5535
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.0405
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9565
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.0495
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 531.00, Sell volume: 20.10, Average price: 0.8575, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.0315
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.9680
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0310
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.9500
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.4075
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.9495
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.0500
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.9500
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0530
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.9470
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.4625
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.5490
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.3810
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.9460
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0550
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.6405
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0410
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.5130
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.4480
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9545
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.4425
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9610
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0425
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9500
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.4535
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.5615
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0445
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.8930
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.4990
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.5045
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.4535
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.5735
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.2495
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.9555
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.0430
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9580
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.3305
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.5405
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.4405
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.9625
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0365
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9515
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0440
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9565
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0630
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9360
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.4300
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9450
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0500
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.9505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 0.10, Average price: 0.0200, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.0200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.0610
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.7450
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.2540
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.9550
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.0440
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.7505
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0360
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.7505
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.7505
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.1395
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.9635
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.2495
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.9555
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0415
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.9625
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.0415
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.9555
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0445
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.7505
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0900
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.9600
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.0380
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.9620
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.0380
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.7505
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0320
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.9605
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0350
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9655
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.0345
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.9685
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0360
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9635
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0355
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.8350
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.2495
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.7875
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.2365
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.7635
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.0555
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.9665
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.0285
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 143383.36, Sell volume: 8723.07, Average price: 0.4307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.0320
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.7560
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.2320
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.7940
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.1770
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.8235
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.5060
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.5605
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.4060
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.6090
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.3755
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.6510
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.3180
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.6900
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.9600
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.0340
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9665
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.9485
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0330
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.9665
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0340
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.9615
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.0370
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.9610
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.0320
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9655
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0345
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9700
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0315
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.9690
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0340
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9690
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0285
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.9655
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9655
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0345
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.9660
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9665
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0300
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.9695
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.0330
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.9680
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0340
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9635
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0330
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 143383.36, Sell volume: 8723.07, Average price: 0.4307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0505
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.9345
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.4965
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9495
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.4850
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9270
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0710
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.8805
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.4860
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.5020
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.4945
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.5760
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9690
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0340
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9660
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0425
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.5030
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.4975
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9615
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0380
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9625
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0355
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9655
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0370
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9645
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0305
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9760
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9665
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0395
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9560
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.8550
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.2800
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.8705
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.4980
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9425
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0595
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.6555
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0280
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.5015
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.1900
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.8005
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0410
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9650
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0460
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.9565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.20, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0375
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9625
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0375
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9640
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0345
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9610
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0370
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9660
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9640
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0340
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9655
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0390
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9645
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0385
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9625
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9625
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0380
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9625
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0380
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9640
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0395
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9650
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0355
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9640
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0375
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9660
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0365
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0370
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9670
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0340
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9670
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0320
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9680
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0330
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9665
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0335
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9670
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0335
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9670
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0315
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9640
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9665
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0345
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 143383.36, Sell volume: 8723.07, Average price: 0.4307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9680
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0355
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9710
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0300
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9705
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0275
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9730
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0275
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9710
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0280
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9710
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0275
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9725
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0285
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0290
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9725
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0290
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9625
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0370
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9625
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0380
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9715
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0385
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9670
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0360
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9640
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0350
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9655
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0330
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9665
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0360
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9640
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0355
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9650
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0360
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0345
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9650
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0345
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9655
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0335
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9660
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0370
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 143383.36, Sell volume: 8723.07, Average price: 0.4307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0355
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9625
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0340
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9635
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0370
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9665
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0335
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9645
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0365
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9635
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0360
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9645
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0330
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9610
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0375
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.9635
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0380
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9610
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0340
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.9625
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0380
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.9605
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0380
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.9635
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.0345
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.9615
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0365
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.9640
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.0395
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.9625
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0395
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.9610
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0370
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.9630
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.0385
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.9610
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0395
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.9625
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.0350
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.9620
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.0335
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.9605
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0385
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.9620
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0380
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.9610
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.0390
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.9650
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0385
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 19.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0510, Price range: 0.0510 - 0.0510

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0345
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.9665
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0390
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.9620
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.0340
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.9645
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0365
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.9660
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0340
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.9665
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.0345
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.9670
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.9650
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0375
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9650
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0365
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9640
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0380
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9645
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0375
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9645
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.0380
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9660
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0330
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9655
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0340
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9650
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0370
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9630
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0375
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9630
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0370
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9630
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0345
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.9630
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0365
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9655
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0375
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9660
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0315
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9630
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0360
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9665
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0315
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9635
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0370
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9640
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0340
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 143383.36, Sell volume: 8723.07, Average price: 0.4307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0330
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9635
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0320
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9685
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0360
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9635
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0360
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9640
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0360
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9660
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0370
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9630
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9730
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0365
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9660
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0355
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9680
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0360
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9665
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0365
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.9635
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0365
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9650
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0320
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9655
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0330
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9640
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0320
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9640
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0360
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9675
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0320
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9645
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0355
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9645
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0340
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0355
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0395
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9575
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0400
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9600
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0400
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9555
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0395
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9600
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1158.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0589, Price range: 0.0587 - 0.0590

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0605
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9395
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0650
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9400
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0605
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9400
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0600
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9345
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0655
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9345
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0605
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9395
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0605
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9395
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9545
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9600
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0410
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9595
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0440
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9585
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0435
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9670
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0325
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9660
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0340
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9640
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0310
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.9710
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0285
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9715
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0290
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.9710
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0260
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9720
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0240
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.9780
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0310
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.9680
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0320
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9695
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0320
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.9695
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0345
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 2804.20, Sell volume: 2404.83, Average price: 0.0614, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9670

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0310
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9685
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0315
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9685
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0315
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9745
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0305
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9695
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0360
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9640
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0350
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.9650
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0325
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.9670
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0385
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.9615
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0370
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9640
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0360
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9640
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0355
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.9645
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9645
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0360
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9660
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0345
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9655
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0340
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.9645
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0360
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.9630
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0435
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9630
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0685
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9355
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0615
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.9380
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0625
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9380
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0255
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9900
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9810
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0190
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9800
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0190
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9465
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 297, Buy volume: 138750.25, Sell volume: 6080.83, Average price: 0.4587, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.4800
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.5250
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.5100
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.2800
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.5800
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.5450
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.5450
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.4600
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.5400
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.4650
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.5350
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.4600
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.5500
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.5500
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.3950
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.4050
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.4050
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.5800
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.4200
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.4150
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.4150
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.5700
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.4450
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.4500
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.5500
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.5500
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.5500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.4500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.4500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.5450
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.4350
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.7500
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.3050
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.7350
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.2600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7350
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.7200
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.2800
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.6750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.3900
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.6150
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.3850
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.3750
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.3950
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.3950
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.6150
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.3750
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.6300
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.3700
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.3700
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.6300
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.6250
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.6150
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.3800
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.6200
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.3700
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.4000
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.5800
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.5500
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.4550
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.5500
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.4500
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.4450
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.5550
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.4400
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.5500
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.4550
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.5450
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.4400
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.5450
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.4550
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.5450
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.5450
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.4650
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.5300
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.4650
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.5450
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.4450
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.5500
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.4650
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.5350
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.5250
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.4700
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.5250
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.4700
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.5200
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.4600
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.5450
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.4600
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.5350
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.4750
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.5200
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.5150
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.4850
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.4850
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.5100
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.4900
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.5100
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.4900
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.5100
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.4900
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.4900
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.5400
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.4450
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.5550
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.5850
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4150
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.5800
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.5600
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.4400
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.5600
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.4400
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.5650
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.5500
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.4400
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.6300
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.3450
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.6550
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.3850
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.6150
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.3700
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.6200
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.3600
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.3400
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.6400
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.3600
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.3600
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.3700
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.6400
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.3600
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.6400
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.3600
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.3550
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.3700
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5600
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.3950
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5900
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.4450
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.5550
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.4450
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.5550
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.4600
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.5350
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.4750
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.4700
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.5300
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.5300
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.5450
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5300
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.5400
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.5700
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.3600
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.6650
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.3100
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.6850
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.7300
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4700
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.3700
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.3600
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6300
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2100
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8000
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.1650
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8650
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0395
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9580
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0385
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9625
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0415
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9580
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0455
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9520
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0420
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9515
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0325
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9710
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9695
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0300
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9695
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9675
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0365
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9640
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0215
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9820
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0210
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9865
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0175
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9760
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999751, Buy volume: 501163421.98, Sell volume: 96490974.26, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.5100
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.3300
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.3250
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.1500
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.2600
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.2600
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.3250
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2600
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.1950
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.3150
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.4000
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8908, Price range: 0.8908 - 0.8908
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.2350
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.1700
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.4150
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4400
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.3350
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4900
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.1200
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.0700
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.3900
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4900
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.1495
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.0495
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.3800
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.4085
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.3650
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.4295
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4990
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.4550
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.3370
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.4225
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.4920
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.0480
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.2595
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.3580
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.4510
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.4470
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.4490
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.0495
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 531.00, Sell volume: 20.10, Average price: 0.8575, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.0315
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.0305
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.4105
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4655
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0500
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.0530
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.4560
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.3810
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.0535
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.1155
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.4540
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0455
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.0395
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0430
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.4535
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0445
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.4590
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.4255
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.4265
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0410
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0435
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.3305
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.4425
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0400
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.4710
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0435
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.0640
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0905
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0500
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.4985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 0.10, Average price: 0.0200, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.0200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.0610
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.0490
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.0445
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.2495
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.0600
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.1395
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.2495
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.0445
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.0420
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.0440
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0445
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.2450
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.0395
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.2495
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.2495
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0370
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.0345
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.0345
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.0335
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.0345
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.0420
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.2125
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.2370
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.0475
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.0285
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 143383.36, Sell volume: 8723.07, Average price: 0.4307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.0320
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.2320
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.1865
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.1765
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.4395
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.3940
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.3600
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.3180
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.0565
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0310
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.0380
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.0515
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0330
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.0345
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.0370
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.0295
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0370
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0310
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0295
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0350
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0320
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0335
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0350
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0305
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0370
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0375
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0330
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 143383.36, Sell volume: 8723.07, Average price: 0.4307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0505
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.0495
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.4830
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0875
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.1195
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0545
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.3825
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.4000
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0340
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0340
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.4770
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0385
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0375
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0370
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0370
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0395
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.2050
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0400
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0405
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.2800
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.4990
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0595
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0475
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.4985
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.1995
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.1950
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0460
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.20, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0375
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0340
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0360
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0350
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0340
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0340
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0340
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0360
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0385
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0375
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0380
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0340
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0395
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0360
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0390
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0350
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0360
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0340
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0320
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0335
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0335
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0330
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0365
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0345
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0345
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 143383.36, Sell volume: 8723.07, Average price: 0.4307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0330
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0290
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0290
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0270
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0275
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0275
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0275
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0275
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0285
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0375
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0365
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0365
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0340
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0305
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0335
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0370
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0360
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0340
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0370
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0340
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0350
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0345
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0340
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0370
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 143383.36, Sell volume: 8723.07, Average price: 0.4307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0355
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0335
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0355
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0365
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0330
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0360
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0385
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0370
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0375
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0395
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0345
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.0345
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0370
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0405
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.0390
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.0405
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0365
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0395
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0380
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.0345
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0385
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0380
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.0335
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0395
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0385
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 19.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0510, Price range: 0.0510 - 0.0510
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0345
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0380
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0340
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0340
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0340
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0380
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0345
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0350
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0365
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0345
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0355
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0380
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0380
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0330
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0340
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0370
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0370
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0370
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0370
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0350
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0365
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0340
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0345
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0365
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0335
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0390
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0325
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0340
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 143383.36, Sell volume: 8723.07, Average price: 0.4307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0330
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0365
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0325
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0360
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0335
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0365
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0365
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0340
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0320
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0335
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0365
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0365
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0320
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0330
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0360
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0360
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0325
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0355
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0355
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0340
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0365
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0445
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0400
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1158.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0589, Price range: 0.0587 - 0.0590
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0605
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0605
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0605
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0600
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0600
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0655
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0605
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0605
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0605
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0450
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0440
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0455
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0325
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0340
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0360
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0290
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0295
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0290
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0280
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0220
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0290
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0320
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0305
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0320
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0345
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 2804.20, Sell volume: 2404.83, Average price: 0.0614, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525573
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 152106.42765
Price History:
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0310
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0315
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0315
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0255
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0305
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0360
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0350
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0325
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0385
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0385
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0360
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0360
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0355
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0360
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0345
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0335
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0355
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0370
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0380
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0775
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0615
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0630
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0260
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0150
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0190
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0195
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0130
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 297, Buy volume: 138750.25, Sell volume: 6080.83, Average price: 0.4587, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.6000
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.4000
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.4500
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.5500
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.2400
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.7600
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.1700
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.8300
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.1750
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 4518.83, Sell volume: 2.20, Average price: 0.3654, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.1950
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.8050
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.1950
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.8050
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.1950
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.8050
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.1950
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.8050
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.1950
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1320.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3220, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.1950
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.8050
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.1950
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.8050
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.1950
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.8050
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.1800
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.8200
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.1750
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 12742.65, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.3686, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.1750
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.8250
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.1750
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.8250
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.1850
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.8150
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.1850
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.8150
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.1850
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 264.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.1750
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.8250
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.1750
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.8250
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.1800
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.8200
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0500
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.9500
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0300
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 21279.12, Sell volume: 160.34, Average price: 0.4261, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0245
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.9755
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0405
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.9595
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.1400
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.8600
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7855
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2145
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 317, Buy volume: 450087.62, Sell volume: 35195.65, Average price: 0.3115, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7855
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2145
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 352439.76, Sell volume: 32521.45, Average price: 0.2229, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7855
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2145
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 352439.76, Sell volume: 32521.45, Average price: 0.2229, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7855
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2145
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 352439.76, Sell volume: 32521.45, Average price: 0.2229, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7855
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2145
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 352439.76, Sell volume: 32521.45, Average price: 0.2229, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7855
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2145
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 352439.76, Sell volume: 32521.45, Average price: 0.2229, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7855
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2145
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 352439.76, Sell volume: 32521.45, Average price: 0.2229, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7855
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2145
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 352439.76, Sell volume: 32521.45, Average price: 0.2229, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.6000
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.4000
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.4500
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.5500
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.2400
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.7600
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.1700
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.8300
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.1750
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 4518.83, Sell volume: 2.20, Average price: 0.3654, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.1950
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.8050
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.1950
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.8050
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.1950
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.8050
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.1950
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.8050
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.1950
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1320.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3220, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.1950
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.8050
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.1950
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.8050
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.1950
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.8050
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.1800
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.8200
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.1750
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 12742.65, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.3686, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.1750
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.8250
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.1750
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.8250
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.1850
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.8150
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.1850
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.8150
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.1850
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 264.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.1750
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.8250
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.1750
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.8250
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.1800
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.8200
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0500
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.9500
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0300
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 21279.12, Sell volume: 160.34, Average price: 0.4261, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0245
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.9755
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0405
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.9595
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.1400
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.8600
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7855
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2145
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 317, Buy volume: 450087.62, Sell volume: 35195.65, Average price: 0.3115, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7855
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2145
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 352439.76, Sell volume: 32521.45, Average price: 0.2229, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7855
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2145
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 352439.76, Sell volume: 32521.45, Average price: 0.2229, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7855
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2145
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 352439.76, Sell volume: 32521.45, Average price: 0.2229, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7855
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2145
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 352439.76, Sell volume: 32521.45, Average price: 0.2229, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7855
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2145
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 352439.76, Sell volume: 32521.45, Average price: 0.2229, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7855
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2145
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 352439.76, Sell volume: 32521.45, Average price: 0.2229, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525908
Question: Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 540113.472334
Price History:
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7855
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2145
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9620
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 352439.76, Sell volume: 32521.45, Average price: 0.2229, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525577
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26469.521409
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.5700
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.3000
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.7350
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.3700
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.1700
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.7150
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2250
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.7450
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.2050
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2950
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.6950
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.3050
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.6600
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.2200
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.7200
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2650
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.7350
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2650
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.7350
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.3100
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.7300
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.2150
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.8650
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.3200
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.7400
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.7650
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.7650
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.7800
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.2600
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.2600
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.7200
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.4950
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.4000
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.6800
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.3700
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 20148.27, Sell volume: 6321.25, Average price: 0.4121, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525577
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26469.521409
Price History:
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.6300
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.3700
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.4100
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5450
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.3700
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.6150
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.4550
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5550
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.4450
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.3100
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.9550
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.0250
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.7155
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.3725
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.5565
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.3470
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.6420
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.3915
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.5065
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4180
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.5100
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.4625
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.5870
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.4995
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.6320
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.3455
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.5730
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.4035
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.6110
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.4925
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.6360
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.3430
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.6585
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.4145
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.6020
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.4455
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.5855
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.4200
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.5930
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.3520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 531.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9842, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525577
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26469.521409
Price History:
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.4395
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.5065
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0210
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.8060
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.2505
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5880
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.4955
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.5045
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.4875
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5060
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.4920
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.5180
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.4735
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.5145
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.4635
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.5025
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.4740
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.5065
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.4985
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.5435
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.4015
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.5265
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.4970
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.5565
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.4410
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.5480
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.4995
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.6210
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.3315
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.5400
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.3785
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.6345
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.3655
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.5110
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.3765
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.6285
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.3390
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.6700
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.3300
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.6700
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.3300
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.6700
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.3300
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.6700
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.3300
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.6700
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.3300
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.6700
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.3300
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 20148.27, Sell volume: 6321.25, Average price: 0.4121, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525577
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26469.521409
Price History:
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.7555
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.2445
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.7555
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.2445
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.7555
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.2445
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.7555
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.2485
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.7515
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.2465
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.7525
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.2485
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.7510
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.2485
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.7515
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.2485
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.7515
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.2485
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.7515
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.2485
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.7515
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.2485
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.7515
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.2490
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.7515
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.2485
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.7515
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.2485
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.7515
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.2490
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.7510
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.2485
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.7515
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.2485
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.7515
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.2485
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.7515
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.2485
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.8075
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0470
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9740
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0260
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.9740
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.2485
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.7515
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.2230
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.7795
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.2000
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.8125
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.1310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 20148.27, Sell volume: 6321.25, Average price: 0.4121, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525577
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26469.521409
Price History:
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.0235
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9775
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0230
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.9775
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.2310
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.7760
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.2135
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.7865
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.2080
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.5205
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.4220
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.5960
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.3860
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.6240
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.3570
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.6480
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.3410
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.6610
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.4075
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.6090
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.3695
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.6565
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.4390
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.5820
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.4405
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.5755
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.4020
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.6315
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.3165
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.7070
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.2670
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.7430
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.2180
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.8000
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.1840
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.8235
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.1565
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.8535
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.5960
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.3735
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.6385
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.3425
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.6675
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.3215
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.6885
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.2895
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.7285
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.2605
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.7495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 20148.27, Sell volume: 6321.25, Average price: 0.4121, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525577
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26469.521409
Price History:
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.7795
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.2175
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.6200
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.3615
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.5265
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.4910
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.4960
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.4760
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.5890
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.4915
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.4950
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.4990
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.5320
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.5025
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.5935
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.5035
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.5045
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.4985
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.6090
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.5045
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.5110
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.4820
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.4965
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.4895
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.5010
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4990
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.6305
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.3125
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.7135
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.2465
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.7885
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.4700
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.5280
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.4990
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.5060
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.4950
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.5070
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.4990
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.5010
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.4990
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.5010
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.4985
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.5015
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.4855
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.5020
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.4635
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.5365
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.4850
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.5070
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.4985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 2.10, Sell volume: 10.10, Average price: 0.4402, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525577
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26469.521409
Price History:
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.3395
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.6635
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.3610
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.6390
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.3610
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.6390
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.3565
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.7475
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.1510
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9385
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0260
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9740
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.7480
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.2030
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.8460
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.1155
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9285
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0270
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.3055
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.7205
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.2115
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.8165
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.1290
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.8715
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0920
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9295
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0255
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9750
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.1160
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.8895
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0925
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.8940
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0845
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9260
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0530
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9685
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0245
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9755
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0240
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9745
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0255
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9750
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0245
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9750
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0245
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9745
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.1225
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.8780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 20148.27, Sell volume: 6321.25, Average price: 0.4121, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525577
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26469.521409
Price History:
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9745
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0245
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9745
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0230
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9745
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0260
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9715
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1265
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8755
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.1255
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.8745
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.1220
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.8770
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.1080
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.8930
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9035
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0965
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9070
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0845
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9265
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0660
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9390
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0620
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9390
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0610
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9395
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.1220
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.8870
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.1100
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.8940
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9140
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0820
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.8785
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.1060
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9005
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0885
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9270
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9340
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.1225
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.8855
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.1050
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9065
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.8775
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.1040
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.8780
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 20148.27, Sell volume: 6321.25, Average price: 0.4121, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525577
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26469.521409
Price History:
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0990
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9200
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0795
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9200
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0815
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9195
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0805
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9195
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0805
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9195
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0805
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9195
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0870
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9230
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0770
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9190
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0825
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9190
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0810
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9190
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0810
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.9190
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0810
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.9180
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0810
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.9190
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0805
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.9200
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0795
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.9150
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0770
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.9240
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0760
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.9230
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.9210
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0790
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.9210
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0845
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.9155
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0845
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.9195
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0810
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9190
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.0845
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.9155
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0845
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.9155
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0840
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.9160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 20148.27, Sell volume: 6321.25, Average price: 0.4121, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525577
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26469.521409
Price History:
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.9160
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.0845
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.9160
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0840
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.9160
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.0840
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.9160
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0760
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.9240
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0760
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.9240
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0760
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.9240
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0760
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.9240
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0760
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.9240
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0760
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.9240
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.0760
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.9240
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.0760
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9240
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9200
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0800
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9200
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9200
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0760
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9240
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0760
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9240
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0760
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9240
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0510
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9490
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0510
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.9490
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0510
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9590
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0400
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9600
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0395
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9600
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0355
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9650
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0390
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9630
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 20148.27, Sell volume: 6321.25, Average price: 0.4121, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525577
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26469.521409
Price History:
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0365
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9625
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0405
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9600
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0395
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9620
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0395
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.9560
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0430
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9610
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0390
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9600
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0395
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9620
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0405
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9605
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0410
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9615
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0385
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9620
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0445
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9595
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.0400
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9580
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0350
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9595
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0405
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9595
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0405
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9595
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0385
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9625
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0375
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9595
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0405
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.9595
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0415
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9625
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9625
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0395
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9605
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0395
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9605
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0400
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9660
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0390
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9600
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0530
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 20148.27, Sell volume: 6321.25, Average price: 0.4121, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525577
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26469.521409
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9485
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0455
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9530
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0485
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9515
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0355
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9670
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0320
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9665
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0345
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9695
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0385
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9630
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0335
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9635
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0100
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9745
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0240
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9795
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9965
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0160
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9840
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9840
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0210
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0180
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9800
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0200
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.9800
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0215
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.9825
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0170
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9830
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0165
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.9840
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0165
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.9835
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0190
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.9805
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 242.68, Sell volume: 146.48, Average price: 0.3457, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525577
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26469.521409
Price History:
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0160
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.9835
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0160
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9815
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0160
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.9835
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0165
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9815
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0165
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9835
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.9835
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9850
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0150
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9840
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0160
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.9840
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0160
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9840
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0160
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9810
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0185
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9820
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0210
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9805
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0195
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.9805
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0260
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9740
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0215
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.9785
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0220
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9780
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0205
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.9795
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0215
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.9820
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0205
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9795
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0205
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.9935
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.9955
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9980
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.9965
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 19372.49, Sell volume: 6164.67, Average price: 0.3010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525577
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 26469.521409
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.2650
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.2850
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.2400
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2050
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2950
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.2700
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.2750
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.2650
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.2650
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.2150
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2600
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.2800
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.2800
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.3950
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.3700
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 20148.27, Sell volume: 6321.25, Average price: 0.4121, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525577
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 26469.521409
Price History:
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.6300
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5850
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5750
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5700
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5550
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5650
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.9600
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.4975
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.5565
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.6450
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.6085
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5820
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.5535
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5960
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.5895
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.5730
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.6150
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.5515
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.6570
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.6535
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.5870
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.5870
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.5930
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 531.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9842, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525577
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 26469.521409
Price History:
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.4395
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.1525
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0205
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.3940
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.4955
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.4645
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.4920
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.4735
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.4865
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.4480
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.4585
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.4565
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.4990
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.4720
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.4410
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.4940
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.3565
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.4990
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.3655
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.4865
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.3765
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.3390
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.3300
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.3300
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.3300
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.3300
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.3300
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.3300
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.3300
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 20148.27, Sell volume: 6321.25, Average price: 0.4121, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No