Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516909
Question: Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 233210.26022
Price History:
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.1365
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.1350
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.8675
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.1365
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.8665
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.8690
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.1285
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.1300
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.8690
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.1305
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1300
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.8695
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.1305
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.8695
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9055
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9075
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9435
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9390
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9405
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0590
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0590
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9405
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9405
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0680
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0690
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9285
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9340
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0765
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0775
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9230
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9215
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0780
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0705
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0390
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9620
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0400
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0400
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0400
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9505
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0635
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9620
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9510
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9570
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9590
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9590
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0275
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116, Buy volume: 74444.04, Sell volume: 8149.02, Average price: 0.5718, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516909
Question: Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 233210.26022
Price History:
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.4750
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.6850
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.7100
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.6950
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.7000
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.7050
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.7050
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.7050
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.7100
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.7100
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.7100
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.7100
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.7100
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.7000
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.6950
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.6850
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.6800
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.6850
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.6850
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.6100
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.5750
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.5750
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.5900
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.5750
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.7050
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.6750
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.6550
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.8100
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 213, Buy volume: 20652.54, Sell volume: 4342.03, Average price: 0.5074, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516909
Question: Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 233210.26022
Price History:
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.8295
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.7260
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.7655
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.7975
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.7780
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.7820
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.6395
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.7355
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.7240
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.7250
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.7290
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.7345
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.7330
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.7345
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.8185
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.8285
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.8180
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.8095
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.8095
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.8095
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.7985
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.7990
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.7950
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.7950
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.7950
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.7950
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.8045
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.8045
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.8050
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 5887.60, Sell volume: 3904.02, Average price: 0.6538, Price range: 0.1127 - 0.8562
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516909
Question: Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 233210.26022
Price History:
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.8050
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.8050
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.8050
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.8050
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.8050
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.8050
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.8050
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8035
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.7770
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.7965
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.7955
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.7895
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.7765
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.7790
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.7790
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.7820
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.8025
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.8090
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.8085
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.8080
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.8015
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.7980
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.7925
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.7195
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.7300
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.7240
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.7305
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.7275
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.7275
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.7335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 4291.36, Sell volume: 9378.17, Average price: 0.5974, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8233
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516909
Question: Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 233210.26022
Price History:
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.7425
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.7200
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.7800
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.7595
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.7735
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.7750
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.7590
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.7580
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.7635
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.7610
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.7670
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.7630
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.7510
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.7500
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.7455
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.7200
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.7610
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.7530
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.7220
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.7585
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.7655
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.7575
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.7280
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.7240
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.7580
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.7670
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.7650
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.8350
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.8210
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.8225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 4599.12, Sell volume: 1232.31, Average price: 0.5959, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516909
Question: Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 233210.26022
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.8305
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.8405
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.8400
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.8385
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.8435
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.8325
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.8490
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.8665
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.8450
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.8435
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.8510
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.8515
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.8355
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.8195
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.8085
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.7975
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.7515
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.7435
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.7625
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.7295
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.7890
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.7305
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.7595
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.7530
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.7825
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.7455
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.7700
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.7675
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.7715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 4819.12, Sell volume: 2072.37, Average price: 0.5317, Price range: 0.1320 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516909
Question: Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 233210.26022
Price History:
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.7690
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.7800
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.7815
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.7890
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.7830
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.7820
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.7825
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.6950
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.7650
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.7680
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.7675
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.7680
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.7665
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.7655
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.7665
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.7455
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.8090
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.7885
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.7685
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.7435
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.7305
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.7060
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.7385
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.7245
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7810
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.7825
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.7800
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2175.04, Sell volume: 2206.57, Average price: 0.4550, Price range: 0.1815 - 0.7980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516909
Question: Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 233210.26022
Price History:
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.7775
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.7830
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7685
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.7905
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.7920
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.7920
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.7905
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7630
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.7675
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.7680
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7680
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.7680
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.7680
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.7680
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.7680
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.7685
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.7685
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.7685
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.7950
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.7930
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.7885
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.7970
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.7970
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.8240
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.8355
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.8330
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.8325
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.8300
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.8360
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.8345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 7713.15, Sell volume: 1622.51, Average price: 0.4896, Price range: 0.1440 - 0.8390
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516909
Question: Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 233210.26022
Price History:
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.8345
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.8280
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.8300
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.8295
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.8305
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.8300
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.8295
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.8315
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.8300
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.8365
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.8295
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.8295
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.8385
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.8965
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.8925
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.8915
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.8975
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9530
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9195
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9260
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9380
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9330
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.9285
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.8840
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.8855
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.8665
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.8755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 8894.78, Sell volume: 10002.55, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.0205 - 0.9380
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516909
Question: Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 233210.26022
Price History:
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.8675
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.8675
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.8565
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.8805
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.8855
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.8865
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.8845
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.8855
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.8895
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.8820
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.8720
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.8915
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9025
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9025
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.8960
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.8855
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.8920
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.8740
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.8785
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.8820
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.8790
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.7650
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.8395
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.8350
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.8305
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.7760
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.7605
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.7790
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.7795
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.7775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 2851.98, Sell volume: 7287.95, Average price: 0.5610, Price range: 0.0958 - 0.9070
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516909
Question: Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 233210.26022
Price History:
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.7725
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.8680
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.8730
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.8805
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.8710
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.8710
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.8710
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.8655
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.8825
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9015
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.9035
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.8960
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.9005
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9010
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9000
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.9020
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.8790
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.8775
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.8785
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.8765
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.8570
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.8430
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.8440
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.8440
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.8490
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.8535
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.8550
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.8605
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.8580
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.8565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 5250.24, Sell volume: 4819.61, Average price: 0.5119, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9070
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516909
Question: Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 233210.26022
Price History:
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.8605
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.8580
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.8580
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.8565
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.8530
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.8550
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.8525
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.8510
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.8640
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.8640
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.8690
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.8675
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.8640
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.8620
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.8620
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.8645
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.8620
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.8620
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.8625
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.8630
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.8660
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.8660
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.8660
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.8655
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.8630
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.5795
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.6600
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.2910
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.8740
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.1780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 14595.10, Sell volume: 9508.99, Average price: 0.4777, Price range: 0.0953 - 0.9060
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516909
Question: Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 233210.26022
Price History:
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.7455
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.2325
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.8375
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.7885
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.1875
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.7860
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.2180
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.7655
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.2585
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.7470
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.7345
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.2610
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2635
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.7415
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.7715
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.2245
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.7765
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.7835
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.2170
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.2155
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.8580
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.8410
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.7955
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.8090
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.8100
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.8090
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.8150
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.1840
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.8435
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.8665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 146, Buy volume: 10472.82, Sell volume: 1843.80, Average price: 0.4567, Price range: 0.1207 - 0.8910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516909
Question: Ripple ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 233210.26022
Price History:
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.1365
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.8655
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.8605
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.1300
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.8720
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.1305
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1305
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.1320
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0925
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0780
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9415
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9405
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9405
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9315
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0715
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0660
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0770
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9230
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9255
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0735
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9620
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9600
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9490
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9365
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9590
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9575
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0410
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116, Buy volume: 74444.04, Sell volume: 8149.02, Average price: 0.5718, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.2200
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.1300
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.1300
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.1350
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.1300
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.1300
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.1350
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.1350
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.1350
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.1450
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.1550
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.1550
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.1550
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.1550
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.1550
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.1550
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.1550
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.1550
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.1550
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.1550
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.1550
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.1550
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.1550
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.1550
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.1550
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.1350
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.1450
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.1450
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.1450
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.1450
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.1450
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.1450
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.1450
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.1450
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.1450
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.1450
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.1450
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.1450
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.1450
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 8133.71, Sell volume: 7097.14, Average price: 0.5864, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.1350
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.1350
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.1350
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.1350
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.1350
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.1350
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.1350
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.1350
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.1350
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.1350
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.1400
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.1400
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.1400
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.1400
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.1400
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.1400
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.1400
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.1400
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.1400
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.1400
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.1400
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.1400
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.1400
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.1400
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.1400
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.1400
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.1400
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.1400
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.1400
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.1400
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.1400
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.1400
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.1450
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.1400
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.1400
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.1450
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.1450
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1755.09, Sell volume: 13.29, Average price: 0.3048, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.1450
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.1450
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.1450
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.1450
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.1450
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.1450
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.1450
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.1450
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.1450
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.4700
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.1600
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.1750
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.1500
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.1500
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.1450
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.1550
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.1450
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.1450
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.1450
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.1450
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.1450
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.1450
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.1450
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.1450
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.1600
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.1650
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.1500
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.1550
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.1550
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.1500
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.1500
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.2400
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.2400
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.2400
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.2600
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.2100
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.2000
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.2000
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.2150
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.2800
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.3000
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.2850
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.2850
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.2850
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.2850
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.2850
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.2850
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.2850
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.2850
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 2052.62, Sell volume: 783.43, Average price: 0.4596, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.3350
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.3200
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.3200
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.3200
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.3200
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.3250
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.3250
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.3300
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.3300
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.3300
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.3300
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.3250
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.3350
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.3400
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.3350
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.3400
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.3400
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.3650
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.3700
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.3650
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.3650
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.3650
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.4950
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.4350
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.4650
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.4650
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.4750
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.4450
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.4000
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.4000
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.4050
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.4050
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.4050
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.4050
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.3650
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.3750
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.3450
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.3650
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.3150
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.3300
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.3400
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.3350
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.3350
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 225, Buy volume: 27751.50, Sell volume: 5967.06, Average price: 0.5017, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6954

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.3700
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.3300
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.3250
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.3400
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.3550
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.3550
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.3450
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.4050
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.4500
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.4850
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.4700
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.4400
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.4550
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.4200
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.3300
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.3350
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.2500
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.1800
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.2200
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.2200
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.2200
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.3450
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.3150
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.2650
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.2450
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.2400
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.2400
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.2550
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.2650
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.2550
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.2500
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.2500
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.2450
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.2450
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.2450
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.2450
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.2550
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.2550
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.2550
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.2550
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.2550
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.2550
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.2550
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.2550
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.2550
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.2550
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 396, Buy volume: 45422.72, Sell volume: 43002.06, Average price: 0.4488, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.2650
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.2650
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.2600
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.2400
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.2450
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.2400
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.2450
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.2500
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.2500
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.2450
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.2400
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.2400
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.2500
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.2550
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.2500
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.2450
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 8752.25, Sell volume: 1832.21, Average price: 0.4165, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.2450
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.2500
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.2450
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.2450
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.2450
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.2450
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.2450
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.2450
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.2450
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.2450
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.2400
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.2350
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.2350
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.2350
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.2350
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.2350
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.2300
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.2300
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.2300
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.2300
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.2300
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.2300
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.2300
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.2300
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.1450
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.1550
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.1750
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.1600
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.1500
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.1500
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.1500
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.1500
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.1500
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.1500
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.1500
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.1500
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.1500
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.1500
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.1400
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 1230.58, Sell volume: 10754.55, Average price: 0.4859, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.1350
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.1350
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.1350
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.1350
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.1350
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.1350
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.1350
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.1350
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.1250
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.1250
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.1250
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.1250
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.1250
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.1250
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.1250
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.1250
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.1250
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.1250
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.1250
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.1250
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.1250
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.1250
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.1250
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.1250
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.1250
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.1250
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.1300
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.1300
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.1300
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.1300
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.1250
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.1300
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.1350
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.1350
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.1350
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.1350
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.1350
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.1350
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.1250
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.1250
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3542.40, Sell volume: 2219.31, Average price: 0.4542, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.1250
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.1250
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.1200
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.1200
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.1200
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.1200
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.1200
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.1150
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.1150
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.1150
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.1200
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.1200
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.1200
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.1200
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.1200
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.1200
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.1200
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.1200
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.1250
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.1250
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.1300
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.1300
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.1300
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.1250
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.1300
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.1300
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.1300
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.1300
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.1300
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.1300
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.1250
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.1300
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.1300
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.1300
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.1300
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.1300
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.1300
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.1300
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.1300
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.1300
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.1300
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.1300
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.1300
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.1300
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.1300
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.1300
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.1300
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.1300
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.1300
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 637.05, Sell volume: 170.32, Average price: 0.6747, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.1300
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.1300
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.1250
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.1350
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.1350
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.1350
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.1350
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.1350
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.1350
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.1350
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.1350
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.1350
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.1350
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.1350
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.1350
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.1350
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.1350
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.1350
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.1350
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.1200
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.1200
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.1200
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.1200
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.1200
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.1400
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.1400
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.1400
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.1400
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.1350
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.1400
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.1400
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.1400
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.1400
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.1400
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.1300
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.1300
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.1300
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.1200
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.1200
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.1150
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.0850
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2464.28, Sell volume: 2299.06, Average price: 0.3467, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0375
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0325
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0325
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0295
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0275
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0305
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0310
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0305
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.0250
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0245
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.0250
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0330
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0335
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0325
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0310
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0320
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0305
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0260
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0245
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0230
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0210
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0235
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0220
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0250
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0250
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0255
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0255
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0265
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0260
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0260
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0275
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0270
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0265
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0315
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0290
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0305
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0305
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0335
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 7438.85, Sell volume: 1040.79, Average price: 0.2825, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9760

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0360
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0365
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0370
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0360
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0355
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0370
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0360
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0375
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0385
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0375
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0375
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0390
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0395
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0395
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0400
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0390
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0395
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0390
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0370
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0385
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0365
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0340
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0370
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0380
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0390
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0365
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0395
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0365
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0345
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0360
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0355
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0295
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0310
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0285
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0315
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0365
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0310
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0320
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0305
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0310
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0315
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 2589.60, Sell volume: 176.78, Average price: 0.3159, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9690

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0315
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0305
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0365
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0365
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0360
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0360
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0380
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0380
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0405
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0415
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0455
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0470
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0475
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0475
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0445
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0465
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0470
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0465
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0460
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0470
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0455
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0470
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0450
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0475
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0465
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0470
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0370
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0525
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0630
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0395
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0415
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0410
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0400
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0360
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0545
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0555
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0440
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0485
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0435
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0525
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0505
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 14994.01, Sell volume: 3368.73, Average price: 0.2702, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.2200
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.8700
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.1350
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.8700
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.1350
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.8650
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.8650
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.1350
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.8500
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.1550
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.8450
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.1550
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.8450
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.1550
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.8450
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.1550
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.8450
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.1550
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.1450
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.8550
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.1450
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.8550
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.1450
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.8550
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.1450
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 8133.71, Sell volume: 7097.14, Average price: 0.5864, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.1350
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.8650
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.1350
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.8650
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.1350
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.8650
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.1350
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.8600
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.1400
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.8600
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.8600
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.8600
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.1400
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.8600
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.1400
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.8600
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.1400
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.8600
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.1400
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.8600
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.8600
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.8600
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.1400
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.8600
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.1400
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1755.09, Sell volume: 13.29, Average price: 0.3048, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.1450
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.8550
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.1450
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.8550
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.1450
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.8550
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.8300
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.1500
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.8500
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.1450
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.8550
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.1450
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.8550
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.1450
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.8400
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.1500
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.8500
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.1500
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.7450
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.2200
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.7400
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.2000
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.8000
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.2800
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.7000
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.2850
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.7150
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.2850
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 2052.62, Sell volume: 783.43, Average price: 0.4596, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.3350
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.6800
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.3200
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.6750
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.3250
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.6700
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.3300
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.6650
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.3400
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.6650
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.3600
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.6300
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.3650
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.6350
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.4300
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.5350
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.5150
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.4050
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.6200
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.4050
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.5950
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.3750
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.6550
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.3400
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.6150
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.3050
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.6650
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 225, Buy volume: 27751.50, Sell volume: 5967.06, Average price: 0.5017, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6954
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.3700
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.6500
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.3600
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.6450
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.3150
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.5950
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.4700
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.5500
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.4550
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.6500
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.3450
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.6900
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.7800
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.2200
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.6550
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.2650
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.7600
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.2400
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.7350
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.2550
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.7500
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.2450
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.7550
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.2550
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.7450
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.2550
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.7450
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.2550
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 396, Buy volume: 45422.72, Sell volume: 43002.06, Average price: 0.4488, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.7450
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.7400
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.2650
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.7600
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.2400
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.7500
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.2500
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.7500
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.7550
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.2450
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.7600
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.7650
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.2500
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.2500
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.7450
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.7550
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.7550
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 8752.25, Sell volume: 1832.21, Average price: 0.4165, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.2450
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.7450
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.7500
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.2450
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.7550
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.2450
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.7550
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.7550
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.2450
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.7600
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.2350
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.7650
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.2350
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.7700
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.7700
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.2300
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.7700
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.2300
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.8550
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.1750
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.8500
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.1500
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.8500
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.1500
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.8500
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.1500
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 1230.58, Sell volume: 10754.55, Average price: 0.4859, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.8650
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.1350
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.8650
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.8650
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.1350
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.8650
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.1350
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.8650
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.1250
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.8750
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.1250
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.8750
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.1250
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.8750
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.1250
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.8750
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.1250
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.8750
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.1250
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.8700
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.1350
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.8700
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.1300
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.8650
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.1350
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.8650
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.1350
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3542.40, Sell volume: 2219.31, Average price: 0.4542, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.1250
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.8800
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.1200
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.8800
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.1200
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.8850
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.1200
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.8800
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.1200
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.8800
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.1200
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.8750
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.1300
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.8700
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.1250
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.8700
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.1300
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.8700
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.1300
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.8700
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.1300
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.8700
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.1300
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.8700
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.1300
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.8700
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.1300
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.8700
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.1300
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 637.05, Sell volume: 170.32, Average price: 0.6747, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.1300
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.8700
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.1350
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.8650
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.1350
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.8650
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.1350
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.8650
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.1350
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.8650
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.1350
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.8650
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.1350
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.8650
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.1200
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.8800
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.1200
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.1400
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.8600
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.1350
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.8600
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.1400
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.8600
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.1300
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.8700
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.1200
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.9400
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2464.28, Sell volume: 2299.06, Average price: 0.3467, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9350
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.9400
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0300
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9675
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0305
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9715
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0310
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9745
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.0250
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9670
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0310
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9690
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0305
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9735
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0230
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9790
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0235
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9750
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0250
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9745
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0260
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.9740
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0275
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9725
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0305
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9695
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0310
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 7438.85, Sell volume: 1040.79, Average price: 0.2825, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0360
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9635
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0370
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9625
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0380
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9615
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0375
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9605
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0395
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9600
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9600
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0375
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9635
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9635
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0390
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9655
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0350
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9580
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0365
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9705
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9695
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0315
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9655
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0300
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9690
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0320
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 2589.60, Sell volume: 176.78, Average price: 0.3159, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518713
Question: Will Trump cut military spending?
Volume: 230118.493294
Price History:
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0315
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9640
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0360
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9620
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9585
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9545
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0470
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9525
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0470
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9530
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0475
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9525
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0470
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9550
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0470
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9635
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0785
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9605
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0385
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0545
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9515
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0490
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9475
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0445
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 14994.01, Sell volume: 3368.73, Average price: 0.2702, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.2100
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.7850
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8400
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1600
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9100
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.1500
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8450
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.2000
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1650
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1600
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.1550
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1450
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.1250
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.1250
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.1250
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.1250
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.1250
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.1250
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4113938.99, Sell volume: 641697.50, Average price: 0.9951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9650
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9675
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0310
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0305
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4113938.99, Sell volume: 641697.50, Average price: 0.9951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9870
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9890
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9890
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9890
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9890
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9820
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9825
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9815
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9825
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9825
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9775
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9775
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9790
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9775
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9920
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9865
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9860
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9860
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9850
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9850
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9865
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9865
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9870
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9830
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9825
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9825
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9825
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4113938.99, Sell volume: 641697.50, Average price: 0.9951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0190
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0190
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0195
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0330
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0330
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0355
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0355
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0345
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0330
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0320
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0315
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0295
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0310
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0360
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0360
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0340
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0345
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0345
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0330
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0345
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0340
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0340
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0360
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0365
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0365
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0370
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0375
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0375
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0440
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0445
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0445
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0445
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0445
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0640
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0580
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0605
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0565
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0745
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0640
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0565
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0545
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0555
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0525
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0510
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0570
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0585
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0495
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0495
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4113938.99, Sell volume: 641697.50, Average price: 0.9951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9535
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9540
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9535
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9535
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9480
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9485
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9485
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9480
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9525
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9505
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9505
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9460
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9480
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9475
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9475
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9475
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9515
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9520
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9530
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9540
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9540
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9540
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9540
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9540
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9575
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9575
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9590
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9590
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9590
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9590
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9590
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9615
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9615
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9690
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9685
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9680
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9605
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9615
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9625
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9615
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9615
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9620
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9620
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9635
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9630
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9620
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9620
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4113938.99, Sell volume: 641697.50, Average price: 0.9951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0280
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0280
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0280
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0280
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0280
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0280
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0280
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0180
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0175
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0165
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0165
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0180
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0180
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0180
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0245
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0235
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0245
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0290
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0270
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0275
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0265
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0275
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0295
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0260
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0270
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0285
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0285
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0260
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0245
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4113938.99, Sell volume: 641697.50, Average price: 0.9951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9560
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9565
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9575
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9635
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9545
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9545
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9670
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9590
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9585
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9815
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9765
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9735
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9730
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9735
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9730
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9725
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9725
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9730
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9635
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9630
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9640
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9640
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9640
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9615
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9645
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9610
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9605
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9580
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9590
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9515
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9555
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9695
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9715
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9595
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9600
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9635
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9540
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9585
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9580
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9590
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9600
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4113938.99, Sell volume: 641697.50, Average price: 0.9951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0170
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0105
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0090
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0090
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0100
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0100
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999641, Buy volume: 3520597.43, Sell volume: 430200.65, Average price: 0.9952, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 79327.24, Sell volume: 56151.00, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0021 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 30126.48, Sell volume: 14593.22, Average price: 0.5916, Price range: 0.0017 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 48684.86, Sell volume: 3327.37, Average price: 0.5459, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0180
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0130
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0110
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0110
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0110
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0110
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0260
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0315
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0420
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0510
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0400
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0320
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0320
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0250
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0215
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0250
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0310
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0300
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0175
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0190
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0230
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0190
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0185
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0160
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0200
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0195
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0195
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0195
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0190
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0180
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0180
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0150
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 88316.35, Sell volume: 10318.58, Average price: 0.3384, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9954

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9910
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9925
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9925
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9890
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9895
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9875
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9875
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9870
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9880
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9900
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9890
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 341718.58, Sell volume: 126550.55, Average price: 0.6227, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.2100
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1600
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8450
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.2000
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1600
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.1250
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.1250
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.1250
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4113938.99, Sell volume: 641697.50, Average price: 0.9951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9675
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0305
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0145
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4113938.99, Sell volume: 641697.50, Average price: 0.9951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9870
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9890
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9890
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9890
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9820
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9815
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9825
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9775
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9790
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9860
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9850
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9865
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9870
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9825
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9825
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9820
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9810
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9815
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4113938.99, Sell volume: 641697.50, Average price: 0.9951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0190
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0195
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0330
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0355
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0330
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0315
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0310
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0360
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0345
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0330
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0340
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0360
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0365
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0375
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0440
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0445
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0445
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0580
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0565
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0745
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0565
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0555
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0510
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0585
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0495
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0515
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0515
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0535
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4113938.99, Sell volume: 641697.50, Average price: 0.9951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9535
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9535
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9480
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9485
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9525
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9505
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9480
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9475
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9520
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9540
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9540
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9540
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9575
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9590
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9590
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9615
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9690
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9680
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9615
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9615
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9620
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9620
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9630
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9620
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9660
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9660
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9670
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9670
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4113938.99, Sell volume: 641697.50, Average price: 0.9951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0280
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0280
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0280
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0280
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0175
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0180
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0180
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0235
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0290
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0275
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0275
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0260
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0285
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0245
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0290
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0290
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0340
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4113938.99, Sell volume: 641697.50, Average price: 0.9951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9560
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9575
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9545
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9590
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9815
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9735
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9735
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9725
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9730
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9630
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9640
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9615
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9610
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9580
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9515
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9695
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9595
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9635
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9585
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9590
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 4113938.99, Sell volume: 641697.50, Average price: 0.9951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0105
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0090
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0100
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999641, Buy volume: 3520597.43, Sell volume: 430200.65, Average price: 0.9952, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 79327.24, Sell volume: 56151.00, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0021 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 30126.48, Sell volume: 14593.22, Average price: 0.5916, Price range: 0.0017 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 48684.86, Sell volume: 3327.37, Average price: 0.5459, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0180
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0110
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0110
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0420
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0400
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0320
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0215
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0310
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0175
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0230
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0185
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0195
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0195
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0180
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0160
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0160
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0120
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 88316.35, Sell volume: 10318.58, Average price: 0.3384, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9954
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637806
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15?
Volume: 1352832.571289
Price History:
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9910
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9895
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9875
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9870
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9900
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9885
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 341718.58, Sell volume: 126550.55, Average price: 0.6227, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.7300
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.2700
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.7050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8300
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1700
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8100
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1900
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8550
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1450
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1250
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8200
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1800
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8450
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.1550
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.8750
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.1250
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8550
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1450
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 345, Buy volume: 123342.09, Sell volume: 54067.30, Average price: 0.5323, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 30047.34, Sell volume: 9567.08, Average price: 0.7393, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 22580.31, Sell volume: 14271.37, Average price: 0.6429, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 10538.65, Sell volume: 7372.64, Average price: 0.7260, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9825
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0175
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0110
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9915
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9920
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9915
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 162, Buy volume: 111728.40, Sell volume: 62657.23, Average price: 0.6351, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 24048.06, Sell volume: 19479.51, Average price: 0.6115, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 664903
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 789511.424977
Price History:
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140, Buy volume: 75711.75, Sell volume: 59339.26, Average price: 0.6352, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No