Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.9990
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 3533.02, Sell volume: 9242.81, Average price: 0.2701, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.9975
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.9975
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.9975
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.9975
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.9975
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 7596.00, Sell volume: 8453.13, Average price: 0.0012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0030

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 35961.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 86193.61, Sell volume: 10.84, Average price: 0.0254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 986, Buy volume: 2102784.90, Sell volume: 73286.04, Average price: 0.2983, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 986, Buy volume: 2102784.90, Sell volume: 73286.04, Average price: 0.2983, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.9990
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 660.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 326.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0013

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.9990
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 3995.68, Sell volume: 2938.16, Average price: 0.1437, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 440.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.0750
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.0500
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.0350
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.0400
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.1520
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.0315
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.0095
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.0210
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.0095
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.0095
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.0085
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.0085
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.0085
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.0125
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.0080
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.0210
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.0080
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.0075
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.0110
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.0170
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.0135
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.0100
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0095
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.0090
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.0065
2024-11-09 18:00: 0.0055
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.0055
2024-11-09 20:00: 0.0045
2024-11-09 21:00: 0.0045
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 292, Buy volume: 35834.85, Sell volume: 7412.11, Average price: 0.6841, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.0045
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.0030
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.0070
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.0035
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.0030
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.0045
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.0030
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 9326.51, Sell volume: 3361.97, Average price: 0.5902, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.0080
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.0040
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 384, Buy volume: 1915728.78, Sell volume: 41469.03, Average price: 0.0091, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.0045
2024-11-14 00:00: 0.0045
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 3533.02, Sell volume: 9242.81, Average price: 0.2701, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 7596.00, Sell volume: 8453.13, Average price: 0.0012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 35961.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 86193.61, Sell volume: 10.84, Average price: 0.0254, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 986, Buy volume: 2102784.90, Sell volume: 73286.04, Average price: 0.2983, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 986, Buy volume: 2102784.90, Sell volume: 73286.04, Average price: 0.2983, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 660.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 326.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0013
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 3995.68, Sell volume: 2938.16, Average price: 0.1437, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512459
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
Volume: 2176070.9386
Price History:
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 440.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.0450
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.9550
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.0300
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.9700
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.0160
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.9840
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.0065
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.9935
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.0240
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.9760
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.0060
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.9940
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.0065
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.9935
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.0065
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.9935
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.0055
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.9945
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.0060
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.9940
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.0050
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.9950
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.0050
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.9950
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.0050
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.9950
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.0060
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.9940
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.0035
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.9965
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.0035
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.9965
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.0045
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.9955
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.0055
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.9945
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.0055
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.9945
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.0120
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.9880
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.0105
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.9895
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.0075
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.9925
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0065
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.9935
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.0060
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.9940
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.0050
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1777849455.50, Sell volume: 1405.11, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.9965
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.9985
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.0045
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.9955
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.9980
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.9980
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.9980
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.9980
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.9985
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.9980
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.9975
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.9980
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.9980
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.9980
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.9975
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.9960
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.9975
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.9975
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.9980
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.9985
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.9975
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.9985
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.9990
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1777849455.50, Sell volume: 1405.11, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.9975
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1777849455.50, Sell volume: 1405.11, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.9990
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.9990
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.9990
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9990
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999896, Buy volume: 1777798422.13, Sell volume: 485.36, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 16622.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 12188.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.9990
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.9990
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.9990
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.9990
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.9990
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.9990
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.9990
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.9990
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.9990
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.9990
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 15588.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0011

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.9990
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1777849455.50, Sell volume: 1405.11, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1777849455.50, Sell volume: 1405.11, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 770.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 3160.25, Sell volume: 919.75, Average price: 0.1008, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1500.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.0450
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.0300
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.0160
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.0065
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.0240
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.0060
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.0065
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.0065
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.0055
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.0060
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.0050
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.0050
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.0050
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.0060
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.0035
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.0035
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.0045
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.0055
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.0055
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.0120
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.0105
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.0075
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0065
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.0060
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.0050
2024-11-09 18:00: 0.0060
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.0045
2024-11-09 20:00: 0.0030
2024-11-09 21:00: 0.0065
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1777849455.50, Sell volume: 1405.11, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.0045
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-11 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1777849455.50, Sell volume: 1405.11, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1777849455.50, Sell volume: 1405.11, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999896, Buy volume: 1777798422.13, Sell volume: 485.36, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 16622.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 12188.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 15588.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0011
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1777849455.50, Sell volume: 1405.11, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1777849455.50, Sell volume: 1405.11, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 770.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 3160.25, Sell volume: 919.75, Average price: 0.1008, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512460
Question: Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 2% or more?
Volume: 4120525.058315
Price History:
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1500.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.3350
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.6650
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.2600
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.7400
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.2650
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.7350
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.2250
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.7750
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.2150
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.7850
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.2350
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.7650
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.2650
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.7350
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.2650
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.7350
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.2600
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.7400
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.2450
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.7550
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.2050
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.7950
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.2100
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.7900
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.2200
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.7800
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.2300
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 1227.43, Sell volume: 26.54, Average price: 0.5087, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.2400
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.7600
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.1950
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.8050
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.2200
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.7800
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.2750
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.7250
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.2650
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.7350
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.2600
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.7400
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.2700
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.7300
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.2950
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.7050
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.2550
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.7450
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.2750
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.7250
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.2800
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.7200
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.2700
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.7300
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.2450
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.7550
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.2200
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 8425.30, Sell volume: 1274.80, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.1768 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.2100
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.7900
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.2850
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.7150
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.2750
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.7250
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.2950
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.7050
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.3150
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.6850
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.2800
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.7200
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.2650
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.7350
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.2350
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.7650
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.2250
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.7750
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.2500
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.7500
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.2500
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.7500
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.2850
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.7150
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.2700
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.7300
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.2650
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1410.05, Sell volume: 358.83, Average price: 0.5946, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.2650
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.7350
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.2850
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.7150
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.3150
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.6850
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.3050
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.6950
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.3300
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.6700
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.2400
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.7600
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.2350
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.7650
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.3050
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.6950
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.3350
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.6650
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.3150
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.6850
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.3000
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.7000
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.2850
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.7150
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.2850
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.7150
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.2850
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 11072.54, Sell volume: 39.39, Average price: 0.4146, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7388

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.2850
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.7150
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.2750
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.7250
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.2650
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.2600
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.7400
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.2700
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.7300
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.7500
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.2450
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.7550
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 260.53, Sell volume: 404.87, Average price: 0.4550, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.2600
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.7400
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.2600
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.7400
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.2600
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.7400
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.2600
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.7400
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.2600
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.7400
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.7450
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.2550
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 710.38, Sell volume: 525.00, Average price: 0.3952, Price range: 0.2576 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.2600
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.7400
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.2600
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.7400
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.2600
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.7400
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.2600
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.7400
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.2450
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.7550
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.2150
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.7850
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.2000
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.8000
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.1600
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.8400
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.1850
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.8150
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.1850
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.8150
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.1950
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.8050
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.2450
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.7550
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.2300
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.7700
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.2550
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1240.07, Sell volume: 969.88, Average price: 0.5184, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.2250
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.7750
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.2450
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.7550
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.2450
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.7550
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.2350
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.7650
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.1900
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.8100
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.1800
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.8200
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.1150
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.1300
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.1250
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.8750
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.1400
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.8600
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.1600
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.8400
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.2350
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.7650
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.2300
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2860.53, Sell volume: 520.31, Average price: 0.4341, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.2350
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.7650
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.2350
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.7650
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.2350
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.7650
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.2250
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.7750
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.2300
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.7700
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.2300
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.7700
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.3050
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.6950
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.2350
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.7650
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.2350
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.7650
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.2400
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.7600
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.2500
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.7500
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.2200
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.7800
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.2300
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.7700
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.2650
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 3073.55, Sell volume: 1245.49, Average price: 0.3641, Price range: 0.2385 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.2700
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.7300
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.2700
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.7300
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.2450
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.7550
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.2650
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.7350
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.2650
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.7350
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.2700
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.7300
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.2900
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.7100
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.2850
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.7150
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.2850
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.7150
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.2750
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.7250
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.3150
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.6850
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.3200
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.6800
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.3450
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.6550
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.3400
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1494.19, Sell volume: 18.22, Average price: 0.4847, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.3550
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.6450
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.3150
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.6850
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.4050
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.5950
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.3900
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.6100
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.3900
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.6100
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.3500
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.6500
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.4000
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.6000
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.4050
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.5950
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.3950
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.6050
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.4050
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.5950
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.4150
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.5850
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.4050
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.5950
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.4250
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.5750
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.4100
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1740.24, Sell volume: 1988.79, Average price: 0.4269, Price range: 0.2921 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.3900
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.6100
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.3600
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.6400
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.3450
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.6550
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.3250
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.6750
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.2950
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.7050
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.2600
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.7400
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.2200
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.7800
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.2050
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.7950
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.2100
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.7900
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.7550
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.7500
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.2300
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.7700
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.2050
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.7950
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.1350
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 4002.47, Sell volume: 1895.14, Average price: 0.5281, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0550
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9450
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0950
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9050
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0750
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9250
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.0550
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.9450
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0950
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9050
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0650
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9350
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0800
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9200
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.1250
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.8750
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.1050
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.8950
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0950
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.9050
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.1350
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.8650
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.1450
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.8550
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.1350
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.8650
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0750
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 6019.22, Sell volume: 2673.35, Average price: 0.6267, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.3350
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.6650
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.2600
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.7400
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.2650
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.7350
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.2250
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.7750
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.2150
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.7850
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.2350
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.7650
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.2650
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.7350
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.2650
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.7350
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.2600
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.7400
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.2450
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.7550
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.2050
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.7950
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.2100
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.7900
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.2200
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.7800
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.2300
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 1227.43, Sell volume: 26.54, Average price: 0.5087, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.2400
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.7600
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.1950
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.8050
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.2200
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.7800
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.2750
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.7250
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.2650
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.7350
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.2600
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.7400
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.2700
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.7300
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.2950
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.7050
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.2550
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.7450
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.2750
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.7250
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.2800
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.7200
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.2700
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.7300
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.2450
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.7550
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.2200
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 8425.30, Sell volume: 1274.80, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.1768 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.2100
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.7900
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.2850
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.7150
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.2750
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.7250
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.2950
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.7050
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.3150
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.6850
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.2800
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.7200
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.2650
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.7350
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.2350
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.7650
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.2250
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.7750
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.2500
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.7500
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.2500
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.7500
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.2850
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.7150
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.2700
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.7300
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.2650
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1410.05, Sell volume: 358.83, Average price: 0.5946, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.2650
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.7350
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.2850
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.7150
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.3150
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.6850
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.3050
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.6950
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.3300
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.6700
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.2400
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.7600
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.2350
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.7650
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.3050
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.6950
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.3350
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.6650
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.3150
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.6850
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.3000
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.7000
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.2850
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.7150
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.2850
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.7150
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.2850
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 11072.54, Sell volume: 39.39, Average price: 0.4146, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7388
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.2850
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.7150
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.2750
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.7250
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.2650
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.2600
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.7400
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.2700
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.7300
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.7500
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.2450
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.7550
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 260.53, Sell volume: 404.87, Average price: 0.4550, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.2600
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.7400
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.2600
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.7400
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.2600
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.7400
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.2600
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.7400
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.2600
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.7400
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.7450
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.2550
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.7450
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.2550
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 710.38, Sell volume: 525.00, Average price: 0.3952, Price range: 0.2576 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.2600
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.7400
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.2600
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.7400
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.2600
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.7400
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.2600
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.7400
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.2450
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.7550
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.2150
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.7850
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.2000
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.8000
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.1600
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.8400
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.1850
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.8150
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.1850
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.8150
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.1950
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.8050
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.2450
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.7550
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.2300
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.7700
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.2550
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1240.07, Sell volume: 969.88, Average price: 0.5184, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.2250
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.7750
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.2450
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.7550
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.2450
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.7550
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.2350
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.7650
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.1900
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.8100
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.1800
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.8200
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.1150
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.1300
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.1250
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.8750
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.1400
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.8600
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.1600
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.8400
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.2350
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.7650
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.2300
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2860.53, Sell volume: 520.31, Average price: 0.4341, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.2350
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.7650
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.2350
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.7650
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.2350
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.7650
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.2250
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.7750
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.2300
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.7700
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.2300
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.7700
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.3050
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.6950
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.2350
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.7650
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.2350
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.7650
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.2400
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.7600
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.2500
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.7500
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.2200
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.7800
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.2300
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.7700
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.2650
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 3073.55, Sell volume: 1245.49, Average price: 0.3641, Price range: 0.2385 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.2700
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.7300
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.2700
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.7300
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.2450
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.7550
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.2650
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.7350
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.2650
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.7350
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.2700
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.7300
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.2900
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.7100
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.2850
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.7150
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.2850
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.7150
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.2750
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.7250
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.3150
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.6850
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.3200
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.6800
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.3450
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.6550
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.3400
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1494.19, Sell volume: 18.22, Average price: 0.4847, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.3550
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.6450
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.3150
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.6850
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.4050
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.5950
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.3900
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.6100
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.3900
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.6100
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.3500
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.6500
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.4000
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.6000
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.4050
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.5950
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.3950
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.6050
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.4050
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.5950
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.4150
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.5850
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.4050
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.5950
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.4250
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.5750
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.4100
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1740.24, Sell volume: 1988.79, Average price: 0.4269, Price range: 0.2921 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.3900
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.6100
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.3600
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.6400
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.3450
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.6550
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.3250
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.6750
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.2950
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.7050
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.2600
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.7400
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.2200
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.7800
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.2050
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.7950
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.2100
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.7900
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.7550
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.7500
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.2300
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.7700
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.2050
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.7950
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.1350
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 4002.47, Sell volume: 1895.14, Average price: 0.5281, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555430
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 68603.986169
Price History:
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0550
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9450
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0950
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9050
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0750
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9250
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.0550
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.9450
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0950
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9050
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0650
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9350
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0800
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9200
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.1250
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.8750
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.1050
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.8950
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0950
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.9050
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.1350
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.8650
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.1450
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.8550
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.1350
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.8650
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0750
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 6019.22, Sell volume: 2673.35, Average price: 0.6267, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.3500
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.1550
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.8600
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.1650
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.8100
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.2050
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.8600
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.1400
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.8600
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.1500
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.8600
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.1350
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.8600
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.1600
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.8650
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.1600
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.8650
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.1350
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.8650
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.8650
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.1350
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.8650
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.1550
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.8600
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.1350
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.8650
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.1400
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.8600
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.1400
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.8600
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.1400
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.8600
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.1400
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.8600
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.1400
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.8600
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.1250
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.8750
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.1350
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.8700
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.1350
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.8650
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.8900
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.1100
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.8900
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0950
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525326
Question: Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 394879.811263
Price History:
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.0850
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.9100
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.0550
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.9545
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0350
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.9570
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.0665
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.9530
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0430
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.9590
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.0395
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.9585
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0455
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9465
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0550
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.9450
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0480
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.9530
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.0475
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.9525
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.0470
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.9560
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.0345
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9610
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0410
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9640
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.0330
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.9675
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0340
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.9670
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.0330
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9675
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0370
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.9670
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.0355
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.9650
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0245
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.9760
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.0225
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.9735
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0250
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.9765
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.0265
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.9740
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.0255
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.9745
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0255
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 25560554.95, Sell volume: 26330417.12, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes