Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 180.00, Sell volume: 480.00, Average price: 0.5539, Price range: 0.1175 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9400
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9400
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9400
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9400
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 513.94, Sell volume: 124.99, Average price: 0.4210, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9300
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 212.50, Sell volume: 830.32, Average price: 0.4514, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9226

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9450
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9450
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9450
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 7.73, Sell volume: 20.55, Average price: 0.4925, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.72, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9645
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9645
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9645
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9645
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9645
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9645
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9645
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9645
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9645
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9640
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9650
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9640
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9640
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9640
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9640
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9640
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9715
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9710
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9715
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9715
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9715
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9645
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.67, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9645
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9635
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9630
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9635
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9645
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9635
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9630
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9645
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9640
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9635
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9630
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9625
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9630
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9630
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9625
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9590
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9590
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9595
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9595
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9595
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9590
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9585
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9575
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9590
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9590
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9585
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9580
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9425
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9380
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9375
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 665.00, Sell volume: 254.26, Average price: 0.4925, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9410

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9370
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9355
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9345
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9345
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9375
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9375
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9370
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9375
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9375
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9370
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9380
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9190
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9185
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9160
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.5340
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.5345
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.5345
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.5345
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.5345
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.7900
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.7835
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.7735
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.7620
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.7595
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.7595
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.7585
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.7590
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.7590
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.7735
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.4715
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.4710
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.4705
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.4705
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.4690
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.4635
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.4585
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.4585
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.4585
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.4560
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.8690
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.8685
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.8690
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1004.68, Sell volume: 632.72, Average price: 0.3590, Price range: 0.0623 - 0.9230

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9090
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9090
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9090
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9085
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9090
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9055
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9055
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9055
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9055
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9055
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9010
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9010
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9010
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9010
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9005
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9005
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9010
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9010
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9010
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9005
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9005
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9005
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9005
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9010
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9010
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9010
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9105
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9105
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9110
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9190
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9405
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9405
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9420
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9420
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9115
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9115
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9115
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9110
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9115
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9115
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9115
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9115
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9110
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.4970
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.4970
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5205
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5190
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5205
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5190
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5240
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5205
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5330
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5375
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9805
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9800
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9800
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9800
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9800
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9800
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9800
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9800
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9820
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9825
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9820
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 427.98, Sell volume: 223.74, Average price: 0.4341, Price range: 0.0106 - 0.9906

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9825
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9825
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9820
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9815
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9820
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9820
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 4980.74, Sell volume: 1576.13, Average price: 0.2328, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.2900
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.2200
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.2300
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 450.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7470, Price range: 0.5400 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.8750
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1250
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 180.00, Sell volume: 480.00, Average price: 0.5539, Price range: 0.1175 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0600
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0600
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 513.94, Sell volume: 124.99, Average price: 0.4210, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 212.50, Sell volume: 830.32, Average price: 0.4514, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9226
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0600
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9450
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0500
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 7.73, Sell volume: 20.55, Average price: 0.4925, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9600
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.72, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9645
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0355
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9645
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0355
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9645
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0355
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0355
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0355
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9640
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0355
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9650
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0355
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0355
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9640
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0360
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0355
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9645
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0360
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0360
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9710
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.67, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9645
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0360
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9630
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0360
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9645
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0360
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9630
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9640
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0365
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9625
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0370
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9625
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0410
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9595
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0405
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9590
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0415
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9590
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0410
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9580
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0575
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9375
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0635
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0635
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0635
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9365
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 665.00, Sell volume: 254.26, Average price: 0.4925, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9410
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9370
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0645
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9345
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0625
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9370
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0625
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9370
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0620
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9185
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0840
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.5345
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.4655
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.5345
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.4655
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.2100
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.7735
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.2380
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.7595
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.2415
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.7590
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.2265
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.4710
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.5295
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.4690
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.5365
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.4585
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.5415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1004.68, Sell volume: 632.72, Average price: 0.3590, Price range: 0.0623 - 0.9230
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9090
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0910
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9085
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0910
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9055
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0945
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9055
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9010
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0990
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9005
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0995
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9010
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0990
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0990
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9005
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0995
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0990
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0990
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0990
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0990
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9010
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0990
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9005
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9010
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0895
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9110
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0810
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9405
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0580
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0885
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9115
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0890
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9115
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0885
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9110
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5030
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5205
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.4810
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5190
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4760
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5330
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4625
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9800
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0200
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9800
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0200
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9800
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0190
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 427.98, Sell volume: 223.74, Average price: 0.4341, Price range: 0.0106 - 0.9906
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657269
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $104 in November?
Volume: 12596.906175
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9825
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0175
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0185
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9820
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 4980.74, Sell volume: 1576.13, Average price: 0.2328, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9550
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9550
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9550
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 509.98, Sell volume: 75.00, Average price: 0.6996, Price range: 0.0575 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9650
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9650
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9655
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9655
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9655
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9655
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9655
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9670
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9670
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9680
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9680
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9680
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9680
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9680
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9680
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9680
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9680
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9680
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9680
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9680
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9680
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9680
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9675
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 595.46, Sell volume: 2.08, Average price: 0.9690, Price range: 0.9640 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9680
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9680
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9680
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9680
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9680
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9680
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9655
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9655
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9655
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9655
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9655
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9655
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9655
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9655
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9655
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9655
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9725
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9730
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9730
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9730
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9730
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9755
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 134.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9755
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9755
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9760
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9760
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9760
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9760
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9855
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9855
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9855
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9855
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9855
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9870
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9880
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9865
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9865
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9865
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9865
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9865
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9865
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 256.07, Sell volume: 0.36, Average price: 0.8804, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9895
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 8231.07, Sell volume: 4193.52, Average price: 0.9935, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9885
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9880
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9880
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9880
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9875
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9870
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9870
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9870
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9870
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9875
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9885
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9885
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9885
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9885
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9885
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9885
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9885
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9885
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9885
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9890
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9890
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9890
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 8267.92, Sell volume: 4348.91, Average price: 0.9151, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9900
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9910
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9920
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 5935.67, Sell volume: 5877.28, Average price: 0.9938, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 490.65, Sell volume: 167.41, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1009.27, Sell volume: 7.36, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 576.87, Sell volume: 2481.92, Average price: 0.7336, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 490.13, Sell volume: 36.86, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.7620
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 472.11, Sell volume: 484.76, Average price: 0.9019, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 5418.75, Sell volume: 261.31, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9550
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 509.98, Sell volume: 75.00, Average price: 0.6996, Price range: 0.0575 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0400
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9650
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0345
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9655
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0345
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9670
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0330
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9680
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0320
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9680
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0320
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9680
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0320
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0330
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0330
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0330
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0330
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9670
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 595.46, Sell volume: 2.08, Average price: 0.9690, Price range: 0.9640 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9680
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0320
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9680
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0320
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0345
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0345
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0345
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0345
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9655
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0345
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9655
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0345
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9655
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0345
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9655
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0345
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9725
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0270
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0270
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0270
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0270
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9730
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 134.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9755
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9760
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0240
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9855
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0145
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9855
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0145
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9870
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 256.07, Sell volume: 0.36, Average price: 0.8804, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0110
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9890
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0110
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0110
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0110
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0110
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0105
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 8231.07, Sell volume: 4193.52, Average price: 0.9935, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9880
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0120
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9870
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0130
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9875
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9885
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0115
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9885
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0115
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9885
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 8267.92, Sell volume: 4348.91, Average price: 0.9151, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9900
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9920
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0080
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9920
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 5935.67, Sell volume: 5877.28, Average price: 0.9938, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0080
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0105
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0105
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0105
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0105
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0105
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0105
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 490.65, Sell volume: 167.41, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1009.27, Sell volume: 7.36, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 576.87, Sell volume: 2481.92, Average price: 0.7336, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 490.13, Sell volume: 36.86, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.7620
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 472.11, Sell volume: 484.76, Average price: 0.9019, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657258
Question: Will Airbnb reach $168 in November?
Volume: 56220.204856
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 5418.75, Sell volume: 261.31, Average price: 0.9024, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 123.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3340, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.2350
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.2350
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.2350
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.2350
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.2350
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.2350
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.2350
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.2350
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 654.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2300, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.2300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2350
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.2350
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.2350
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.2350
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.2350
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.2350
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.3250
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.3250
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.3250
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.3250
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3250
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.3000
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.3050
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.3000
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 350.48, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.3928, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.3100
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.3200
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.3300
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.2550
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.2450
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2500
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2500
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 750.39, Sell volume: 13.04, Average price: 0.5738, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.2400
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.2400
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.2400
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.2400
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.2400
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.2350
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.2350
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2050
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.1950
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 2290.89, Sell volume: 205.65, Average price: 0.5489, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.1300
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.1300
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.1300
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0550
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0550
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 266.00, Sell volume: 370.97, Average price: 0.5031, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0365
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0365
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0365
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0365
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0365
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0365
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0340
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 66.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9533, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0345
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0345
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0345
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0345
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0345
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0345
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0340
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0340
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0335
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0335
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0335
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0335
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0240
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0240
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0230
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0220
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0215
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0210
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0210
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0210
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0210
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0210
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0265
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0265
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0265
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0250
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0250
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0250
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0250
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0240
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0245
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0245
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1230.73, Sell volume: 999.48, Average price: 0.6564, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0240
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0245
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0230
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0240
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0235
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0240
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0235
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0235
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0235
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0235
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0235
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0235
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0235
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0230
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0235
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0230
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0230
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0230
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0230
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0250
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0240
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0250
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0235
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0230
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0240
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0240
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0260
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0240
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0245
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0245
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0240
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0245
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0245
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0240
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0245
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0245
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0250
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0230
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0230
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0235
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0255
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0250
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0255
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0255
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0255
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 117.82, Average price: 0.9653, Price range: 0.9640 - 0.9670

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0250
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0250
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0250
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0255
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0250
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0255
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0255
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0255
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0255
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0250
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0250
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0250
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0245
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0245
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0245
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0245
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0245
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0240
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0235
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0240
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0240
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0240
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0235
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0235
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0235
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0235
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0235
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0235
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0240
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 35.92, Sell volume: 23.40, Average price: 0.9782, Price range: 0.9620 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0235
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0235
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0235
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0235
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0235
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0235
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0235
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0235
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0235
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0235
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0235
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0235
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0230
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0230
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0230
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0230
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0230
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0230
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0230
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0230
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0225
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0225
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0225
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0225
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0225
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0175
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0180
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0170
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0170
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0170
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0170
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0170
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0170
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0165
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 355.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9887, Price range: 0.9860 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0165
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0165
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0165
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0170
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0170
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0170
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0170
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0165
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0170
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0170
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0170
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0250
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0275
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0295
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0325
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0320
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0315
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0320
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0310
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0325
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0320
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0275
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0270
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0265
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0275
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0215
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0150
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0140
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0130
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0120
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0110
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 120.46, Sell volume: 120.59, Average price: 0.7463, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0085
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 7495.12, Sell volume: 19970.13, Average price: 0.0611, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.7750
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.7750
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.7750
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.7750
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 123.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3340, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.2250
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7750
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.7750
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.7750
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.7750
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.2250
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.7650
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.2350
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.7650
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.7650
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.7650
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.7650
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.7650
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.7650
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 654.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2300, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.2300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2350
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.2350
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.7650
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.6700
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.6750
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.6750
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.6750
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.7000
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.7000
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 350.48, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.3928, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.6700
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.6750
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2500
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 750.39, Sell volume: 13.04, Average price: 0.5738, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.2400
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.7600
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.2400
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.7600
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.7650
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.7650
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.7650
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.7650
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.7650
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.7650
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2050
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 2290.89, Sell volume: 205.65, Average price: 0.5489, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.1300
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.8700
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0550
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9450
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9400
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0600
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 266.00, Sell volume: 370.97, Average price: 0.5031, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9400
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9400
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9400
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9600
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0365
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 66.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9533, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657261
Question: Will Airbnb reach $142 in November?
Volume: 35760.608152
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9670
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9670
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9670
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9655
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0345
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9655
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0345
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9660
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0335
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9665
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0335
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9755
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9755
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9760
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0230
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9780
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0210
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9790
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0210
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9790
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0265
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9735
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0250
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1230.73, Sell volume: 999.48, Average price: 0.6564, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes