Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518099
Question: Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 65410.143789
Price History:
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0920
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0970
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0980
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0985
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0995
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0985
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0990
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0990
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.1025
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.1010
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0995
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0890
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0840
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0845
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0840
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0845
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.1015
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0830
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0840
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0830
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0830
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0815
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0815
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0765
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0785
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0925
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0895
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0925
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.0895
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0520
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0350
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0340
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0215
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0205
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0195
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0200
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0200
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0195
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0195
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0175
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0165
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0165
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0160
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0160
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0145
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0150
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0175
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0180
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 1678.12, Sell volume: 3398.89, Average price: 0.4719, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9899

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518099
Question: Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 65410.143789
Price History:
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9925
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9925
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9925
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9925
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9925
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9940
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9940
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9925
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9935
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9945
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9925
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9935
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9930
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9935
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9930
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9935
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9955
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9950
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9930
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9935
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9965
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9965
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9965
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9965
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9970
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9970
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9970
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9970
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9970
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9970
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.9970
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9970
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1999.36, Sell volume: 493.37, Average price: 0.6298, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518099
Question: Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 65410.143789
Price History:
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0090
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0095
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0080
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0080
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0065
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0070
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0065
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0070
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0040
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 16297.58, Sell volume: 9787.00, Average price: 0.6203, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518099
Question: Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 65410.143789
Price History:
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.1600
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.1450
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.1450
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.1450
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.1450
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.1200
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.1100
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.1100
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.1100
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.1100
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.1100
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.1100
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.1100
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.1100
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.1100
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.1100
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.1100
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.1100
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.1100
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.0950
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0950
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.1050
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.1050
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.1050
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.1050
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.1050
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.1050
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 170.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518099
Question: Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 65410.143789
Price History:
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.8950
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.8950
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.8950
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9000
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.9000
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.9000
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.9000
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.9000
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.9000
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.9000
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.9000
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.9000
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.9000
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.9000
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9000
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.9000
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.9000
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.9000
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.9000
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.9000
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.9000
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.9000
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.9000
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9000
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.9000
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.9000
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.9000
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.9000
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.9000
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518099
Question: Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 65410.143789
Price History:
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0950
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.0950
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.0950
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.0950
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.0950
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.0950
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.0950
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.0950
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.0950
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.0950
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0950
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.0950
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0950
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.0950
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0950
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0950
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0950
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0950
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0950
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0950
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0950
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0950
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0950
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0950
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0950
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0950
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0950
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.0950
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0950
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 632.38, Sell volume: 7.62, Average price: 0.7063, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518099
Question: Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 65410.143789
Price History:
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.9050
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.9050
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.9000
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.9000
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.9000
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.9000
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.9000
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.9000
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.9050
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.9050
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9050
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.9050
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.9050
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.9050
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.9050
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.9050
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.9050
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.9050
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.9050
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.9050
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.9050
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.9050
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.9000
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.9000
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.9000
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.9000
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.9000
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.9000
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.9000
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 157.00, Sell volume: 49.66, Average price: 0.5586, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518099
Question: Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 65410.143789
Price History:
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.0950
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.0950
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.0950
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.0950
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.0950
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.1750
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.1100
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.0750
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0850
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.2050
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.1800
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.1700
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.1500
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.1150
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.1200
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.1150
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.1200
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.1200
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.1050
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.0950
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.0950
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.0950
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.0950
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1997.18, Sell volume: 147.26, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0843 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518099
Question: Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 65410.143789
Price History:
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9050
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9050
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9050
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9150
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9100
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9150
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9150
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9150
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9150
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9150
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9150
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9150
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9100
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9100
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9100
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.9100
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.9100
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1930.97, Sell volume: 249.11, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518099
Question: Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 65410.143789
Price History:
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.0900
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.0900
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.0900
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.0900
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.0900
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0950
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.0900
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.0950
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.0950
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.0900
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0900
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.0950
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.0900
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.0900
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.0900
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.0900
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.0900
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0800
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3967.09, Sell volume: 831.00, Average price: 0.7888, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9369
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518099
Question: Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 65410.143789
Price History:
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.9200
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.9300
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.9400
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9400
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.9400
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.9400
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9450
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.9450
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.9400
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9400
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.9400
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.9450
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9550
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.9700
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.9700
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9710
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.9705
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.9695
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.9700
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.9735
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.9755
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.9755
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9760
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.9750
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.9810
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.9815
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.9815
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.9825
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.9825
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 2341.43, Sell volume: 105.87, Average price: 0.7219, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518099
Question: Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 65410.143789
Price History:
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0160
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0165
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0165
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0150
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0150
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0150
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0155
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0155
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0155
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0145
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0145
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0150
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0145
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0150
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0155
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0155
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0200
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0260
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0265
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0275
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0500
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0570
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0630
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0625
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0520
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0530
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0445
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0340
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0340
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 6813.87, Sell volume: 3063.55, Average price: 0.6277, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518099
Question: Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 65410.143789
Price History:
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.9675
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9675
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.9665
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.9635
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.9660
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9650
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.9630
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.9630
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.9660
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9660
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9675
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9670
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9670
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.9670
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9620
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.9650
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.9640
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9640
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9640
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9650
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9545
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9625
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9570
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.6175
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.8995
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9000
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9095
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9110
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.8980
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.9090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 3948.23, Sell volume: 375.43, Average price: 0.4167, Price range: 0.0263 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518099
Question: Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 65410.143789
Price History:
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0920
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0980
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0995
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0990
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.1025
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0995
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0840
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0840
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.1015
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0840
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0830
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0815
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0785
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0895
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.0895
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0350
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0215
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0195
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0200
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0195
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0175
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0165
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0160
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0150
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0180
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0185
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0140
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0120
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 1678.12, Sell volume: 3398.89, Average price: 0.4719, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9899
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518099
Question: Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 65410.143789
Price History:
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9915
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9925
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9925
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9925
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9940
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9925
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9945
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9935
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9935
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9935
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9950
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9935
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9965
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9965
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9970
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9970
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9970
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.9970
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9950
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1999.36, Sell volume: 493.37, Average price: 0.6298, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518099
Question: Will 54 Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 65410.143789
Price History:
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0090
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0080
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0065
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0065
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 16297.58, Sell volume: 9787.00, Average price: 0.6203, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.1450
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.1150
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.1000
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.1000
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.1000
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.1000
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.1000
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.1000
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.1000
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.0900
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.0950
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.0950
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.0800
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.0800
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.0750
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0750
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.0750
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0750
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.0750
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0750
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0700
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0700
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.0700
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.0700
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.0700
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0700
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.0700
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.0700
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.0700
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0700
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.0750
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.0750
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.0750
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1332.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8150, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.9150
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.9050
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.9050
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.9050
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.9050
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.9050
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.9050
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.9050
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.9050
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.9050
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.9050
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.9050
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.9050
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9050
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.8950
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.8950
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 3246.11, Sell volume: 939.14, Average price: 0.4938, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.1100
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.1100
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.1100
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.1100
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.1100
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.1100
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.1100
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.1100
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.1100
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.1100
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.1300
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.1300
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.1300
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.1300
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.1300
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.1300
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 456.38, Sell volume: 318.49, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.8700
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.8700
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.8700
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.8700
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.8700
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.8700
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.8700
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.8700
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 291.74, Sell volume: 226.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.1213 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.2200
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.3050
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.1800
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.2000
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.1300
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.1300
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.1150
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.1150
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.1150
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.1150
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.1150
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.1150
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.1150
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.1150
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.1150
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.1150
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.0600
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0600
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.0700
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.0550
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.0750
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.0750
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.0950
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0950
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0550
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.0500
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.0600
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.0850
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.0850
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.0950
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.0950
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.1100
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.1100
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.1200
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.1200
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.1200
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.1200
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.1250
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.1200
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.1250
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.1200
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.1250
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.1100
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2261.19, Sell volume: 443.68, Average price: 0.5515, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9801

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9200
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9150
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9150
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9150
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9100
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9150
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9150
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9200
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9150
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9200
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9200
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9200
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9200
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9200
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9200
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9200
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9200
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9200
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9150
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9200
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9200
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9300
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9300
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.9350
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.9350
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.9350
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.9350
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.9300
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.9300
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.9350
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.9350
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.9300
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.9300
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.9300
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.9300
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.9300
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.9250
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.9250
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.9250
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 3811.58, Sell volume: 269.11, Average price: 0.5006, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.0700
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0700
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.1000
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.1050
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.1000
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.1050
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.1000
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.1000
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.1000
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.1000
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.1000
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.1000
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.1000
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.1000
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.1000
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.1000
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.1000
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.1000
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.1000
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 5582.19, Sell volume: 2166.16, Average price: 0.7652, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.9150
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.9150
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.9150
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9150
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.9150
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9150
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9200
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.9200
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.9200
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9200
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.9200
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.9200
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9250
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.9250
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.9250
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.9200
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.9200
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.9400
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9610
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.9690
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.9700
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.9695
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.9725
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.9730
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9790
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.9815
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.9825
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.9835
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.9845
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.9845
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9870
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.9825
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.9830
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.9830
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.9830
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.9830
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.9830
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.9830
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.9830
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.9830
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.9830
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9845
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.9850
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.9840
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9840
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.9810
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.9805
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.9800
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.9800
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 4548.31, Sell volume: 1435.65, Average price: 0.7780, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0520
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0525
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0540
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0540
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0540
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0550
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0540
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0545
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0545
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0525
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0520
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0555
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0565
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0565
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0570
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0795
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0595
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0615
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0615
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0640
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0820
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0860
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0815
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0850
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0735
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0735
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0725
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0720
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0705
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0705
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0695
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0700
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0690
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0695
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0530
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0515
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0520
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0515
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0515
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0515
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0510
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0480
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0395
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0495
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0455
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0395
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0385
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0400
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2279.33, Sell volume: 183.00, Average price: 0.7071, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.9600
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.9600
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9600
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.9615
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.9615
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.9615
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.9700
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.9605
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.9605
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.9610
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9630
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9685
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.9670
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.9670
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.9745
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.9735
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.9735
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9580
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9590
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9455
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9560
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9725
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9570
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9520
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9515
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.9425
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.9440
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.9635
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9640
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.9605
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.9695
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9700
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.9700
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9705
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9705
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.9705
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9750
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9495
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9655
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9500
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9610
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9645
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9645
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9650
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9340
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9335
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9310
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9105
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 4350.56, Sell volume: 358.57, Average price: 0.6861, Price range: 0.0255 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0525
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0590
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0580
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0580
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0585
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0575
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0565
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0550
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0550
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0430
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0465
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0440
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0425
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0465
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0540
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0530
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0520
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0520
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0515
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0515
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0495
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0495
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0515
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0520
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0520
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0515
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.0515
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0515
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0400
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0385
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0090
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0065
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0065
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0070
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0070
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0070
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0050
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0050
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 13019.18, Sell volume: 2417.63, Average price: 0.6557, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9970
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9970
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9970
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9970
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9970
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9970
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9980
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 960.63, Sell volume: 329.17, Average price: 0.7808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0055
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0060
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0075
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0085
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0085
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0065
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0040
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 176, Buy volume: 30025.66, Sell volume: 5553.67, Average price: 0.6129, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.1450
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.1000
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.1000
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.1000
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.1000
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.1000
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.0950
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.0800
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.0750
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.0750
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.0750
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.0700
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0700
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.0700
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.0700
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.0700
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.0700
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.0750
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.0750
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.0750
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.0750
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.0750
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.0750
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1332.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8150, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.9250
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.9050
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.9050
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.9050
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.9050
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.9050
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.9050
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.9050
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9050
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.8950
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.8950
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.8950
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.8900
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.8900
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 3246.11, Sell volume: 939.14, Average price: 0.4938, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.1100
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.1100
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.1100
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.1100
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.1100
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.1200
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.1300
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.1300
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.1300
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.1350
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.1350
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.1350
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.1350
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 456.38, Sell volume: 318.49, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.8700
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.8700
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.8700
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.8700
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.8650
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 291.74, Sell volume: 226.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.1213 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.3050
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.2000
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.1300
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.1150
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.1150
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.1150
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.1150
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.1150
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0600
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.0550
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.0750
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0950
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.0500
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.0850
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.0950
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.1100
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.1200
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.1200
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.1200
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.1200
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.1100
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.1050
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.1050
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.1050
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.1050
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2261.19, Sell volume: 443.68, Average price: 0.5515, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9801
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9200
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9150
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9100
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9150
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9150
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9200
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9200
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9200
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9200
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9150
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9300
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.9350
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.9350
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.9300
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.9350
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.9300
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.9300
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.9250
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.9250
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.9250
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.9300
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.9300
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.9300
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 3811.58, Sell volume: 269.11, Average price: 0.5006, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.0700
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.0750
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.0750
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.1000
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.1000
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.1000
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.1000
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.1000
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.1000
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.1000
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.1000
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.1000
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.1000
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.1000
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.1000
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.1000
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 5582.19, Sell volume: 2166.16, Average price: 0.7652, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.9150
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.9150
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.9150
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9200
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.9200
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.9200
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9250
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.9250
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.9200
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9610
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.9700
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.9725
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9790
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.9825
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.9845
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9870
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.9830
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.9830
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.9830
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.9830
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.9830
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.9850
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9840
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.9805
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.9800
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.9790
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.9795
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.9790
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.9800
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.9325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 4548.31, Sell volume: 1435.65, Average price: 0.7780, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0520
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0540
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0540
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0540
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0545
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0520
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0565
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0570
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0615
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0640
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0860
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0850
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0735
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0720
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0705
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0700
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0695
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0515
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0515
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0515
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0480
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0495
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0395
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0400
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0385
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0405
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0385
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0400
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2279.33, Sell volume: 183.00, Average price: 0.7071, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.9600
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9600
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.9615
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.9700
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.9605
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9630
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.9670
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.9745
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.9735
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9590
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9560
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9570
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9515
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.9440
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9640
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.9695
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.9700
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9705
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9495
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9500
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9645
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9650
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9335
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9105
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9360
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9345
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9360
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.9485
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.9505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 4350.56, Sell volume: 358.57, Average price: 0.6861, Price range: 0.0255 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0525
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0580
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0585
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0550
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0565
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0550
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0465
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0425
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0540
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0520
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0515
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0495
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0515
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0520
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.0515
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0400
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0090
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0110
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0065
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0070
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0050
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 13019.18, Sell volume: 2417.63, Average price: 0.6557, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9970
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9970
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9980
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.9975
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9980
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9970
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9960
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9950
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 960.63, Sell volume: 329.17, Average price: 0.7808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518100
Question: Will 55 or more Senators vote to confirm RFK as Secretary of HHS?
Volume: 86895.280235
Price History:
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0055
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0085
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0065
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0040
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 176, Buy volume: 30025.66, Sell volume: 5553.67, Average price: 0.6129, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.2550
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.2250
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 103308964.06, Sell volume: 19805249.13, Average price: 0.5556, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5700
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4300
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.6100
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.3900
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.6100
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.3900
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 103308964.06, Sell volume: 19805249.13, Average price: 0.5556, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6550
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.3450
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.5850
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.4150
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.3750
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27972, Buy volume: 1857041.07, Sell volume: 48571.38, Average price: 0.4831, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6567

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.6550
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.3450
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.6750
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.3250
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.6850
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.7000
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.3000
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.7000
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.3000
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.7000
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.3000
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.7000
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.3000
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.6850
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.7300
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.2700
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83916, Buy volume: 10110469.85, Sell volume: 2120317.56, Average price: 0.5280, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.1800
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.8300
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.1700
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.8350
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1800
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.2700
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2450
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2450
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2450
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2450
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59940, Buy volume: 1442073.38, Sell volume: 1398739.86, Average price: 0.4167, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.1800
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.8200
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.1800
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.8350
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.8350
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.8350
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.8350
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.8350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.8350
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.8350
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.1800
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67932, Buy volume: 1347347.23, Sell volume: 1830747.42, Average price: 0.6525, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.8500
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.1500
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1600
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1700
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8300
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1700
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1750
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8300
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1700
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8200
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1800
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1850
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65934, Buy volume: 11807183.08, Sell volume: 449370.18, Average price: 0.4543, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8000
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7700
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.2300
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.7750
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.2250
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.7750
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.2250
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.7750
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.7750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.2250
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.7750
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.2250
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99900, Buy volume: 34704640.77, Sell volume: 3386170.44, Average price: 0.5341, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1800
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1800
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1800
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1800
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1800
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.1800
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1700
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 253746, Buy volume: 21296172.77, Sell volume: 4660195.14, Average price: 0.6121, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.8200
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.8200
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.8200
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.8300
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.1700
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.8200
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.1650
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.8300
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.1700
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.8050
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.1950
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.8600
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.8600
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.1400
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.8600
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.1400
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.8600
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.1400
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.8750
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.1250
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.8650
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.1350
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1250
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9000
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.1000
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 335780, Buy volume: 20373481.28, Sell volume: 5808443.12, Average price: 0.5620, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9600
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9650
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0350
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9370
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0630
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9585
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0415
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9535
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0465
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9535
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0465
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9775
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0225
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9660
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0340
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9760
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0240
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9785
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0215
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9920
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9905
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0135
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9850
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0150
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9755
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 261, Buy volume: 37312.91, Sell volume: 8820.16, Average price: 0.6289, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0145
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9870
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0130
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 455, Buy volume: 203503.31, Sell volume: 46635.78, Average price: 0.5212, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 116214.92, Sell volume: 20524.83, Average price: 0.4427, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.7750
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.7700
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 103308964.06, Sell volume: 19805249.13, Average price: 0.5556, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4300
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.3900
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.3900
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 103308964.06, Sell volume: 19805249.13, Average price: 0.5556, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6550
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.5850
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.6200
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27972, Buy volume: 1857041.07, Sell volume: 48571.38, Average price: 0.4831, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6567
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.3450
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.3250
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.3150
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.3000
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.3000
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.3000
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.3000
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.2700
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.1450
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.1750
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83916, Buy volume: 10110469.85, Sell volume: 2120317.56, Average price: 0.5280, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.8300
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.8350
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7550
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7600
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7600
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.7650
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59940, Buy volume: 1442073.38, Sell volume: 1398739.86, Average price: 0.4167, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.1800
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.1800
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.1800
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.1750
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.1700
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.1950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67932, Buy volume: 1347347.23, Sell volume: 1830747.42, Average price: 0.6525, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.8500
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8300
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8300
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8200
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.7950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65934, Buy volume: 11807183.08, Sell volume: 449370.18, Average price: 0.4543, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.2050
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.2000
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.2300
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.2250
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.2150
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.2250
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.2250
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.2250
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.2250
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1950
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99900, Buy volume: 34704640.77, Sell volume: 3386170.44, Average price: 0.5341, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8200
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8150
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 253746, Buy volume: 21296172.77, Sell volume: 4660195.14, Average price: 0.6121, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.1700
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.1650
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.1700
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.1950
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.1400
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.1400
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.1400
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.1250
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.1350
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1250
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.1000
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.1000
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.1000
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 335780, Buy volume: 20373481.28, Sell volume: 5808443.12, Average price: 0.5620, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9600
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9650
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9370
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9585
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9535
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9535
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9775
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9660
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9760
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9785
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9920
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9905
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9850
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9755
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9630
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9705
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9675
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9835
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 261, Buy volume: 37312.91, Sell volume: 8820.16, Average price: 0.6289, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0145
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0130
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 455, Buy volume: 203503.31, Sell volume: 46635.78, Average price: 0.5212, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 667879
Question: Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 175m?
Volume: 541741.025171
Price History:
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 116214.92, Sell volume: 20524.83, Average price: 0.4427, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.4850
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.4750
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.4700
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4700
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.4700
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.4700
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.4700
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.5200
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.4000
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.1150
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.1150
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.1800
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.1150
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.1000
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.1150
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.1000
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.1000
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.1150
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.1200
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.1200
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.1200
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.1200
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.1200
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.1200
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.1200
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.1200
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.1250
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.1500
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.1500
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.1500
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.1550
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.1550
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.1550
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.1550
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.1600
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.1700
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.1650
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.1650
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.1650
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 619.64, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.1650
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.2700
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.2600
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.2550
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.1700
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.2600
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.2550
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.2100
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.2050
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.2600
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.1950
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.1700
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.1600
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.1600
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.1600
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.1900
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.1900
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.1800
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.1900
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.1900
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.1850
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.1850
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.1600
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.1600
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.1600
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 867.33, Sell volume: 440.45, Average price: 0.4906, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.1600
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.1650
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.1650
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.1600
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.1600
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.1600
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.1650
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.1650
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.1650
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.1650
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.1650
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.1650
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.1650
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.1650
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.1650
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.2150
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.3050
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.3200
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.3250
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.3250
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.3250
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.2950
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.2750
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.2150
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.2350
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.2200
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.2500
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.2550
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.2550
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.2450
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.2650
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.2850
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.2850
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.2800
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.2800
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.2800
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.2800
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.2900
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.2850
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.2850
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.2850
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.2800
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.2850
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 2237.17, Sell volume: 119.03, Average price: 0.3526, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520150
Question: Will 50 senators vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161155.718727
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.2750
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.2800
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.2800
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.2650
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.2700
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.2600
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.2700
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.2750
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.2700
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.2650
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.2650
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.2700
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.2650
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.2750
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.2750
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.2750
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.2700
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.2700
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.2700
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.2700
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.2700
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.2750
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.2750
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.2750
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.2750
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.2700
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.2650
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.2800
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.2800
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.2600
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.2600
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.2600
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.2600
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.2600
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.2600
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.2600
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.2600
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.2350
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.2350
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.2050
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.2100
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 1323.69, Sell volume: 545.18, Average price: 0.4314, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7900

Output: Yes