Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0210
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9775
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0220
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0175
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0240
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9765
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0205
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9780
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0205
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9800
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0200
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9805
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0190
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9795
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0195
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9800
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0205
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9830
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0180
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9800
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0185
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9805
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0210
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9800
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0200
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9790
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0210
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9765
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0210
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9785
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0210
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.9800
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0210
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.9810
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0225
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9775
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9795
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0215
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9790
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0200
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9810
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0185
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9775
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0200
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9800
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0175
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9895
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9885
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0095
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9895
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0125
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9890
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0125
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0125
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9835
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0145
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9870
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9850
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0445
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9820
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0170
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9790
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0210
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9780
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9825
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0155
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9845
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0150
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9820
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9845
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 231768, Buy volume: 14786160.62, Sell volume: 6140033.82, Average price: 0.8610, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9874

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9865
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9855
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0170
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9830
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0170
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9830
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0165
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9835
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9835
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0155
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9830
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0155
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0140
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0130
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9870
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9895
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9915
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9915
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0085
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9900
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9870
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0120
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9880
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0190
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9860
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 749549, Buy volume: 62822206.88, Sell volume: 14496855.92, Average price: 0.8991, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9890
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9900
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0075
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9930
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0110
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9890
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0135
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9865
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9850
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0115
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9885
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0130
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0115
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9895
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0105
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9885
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0090
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9900
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0100
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9890
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0105
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9890
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0070
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9930
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0070
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9925
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0075
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9920
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9900
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9845
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 701, Buy volume: 89671.08, Sell volume: 19646.07, Average price: 0.7171, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.1100
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.9100
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0340
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.9665
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0340
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.9660
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0350
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9650
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0350
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.9650
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0350
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.9650
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0350
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.9650
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.0350
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.9650
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.0350
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9730
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0255
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9765
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0230
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9780
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0215
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9840
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0160
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.9840
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0160
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9830
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0160
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0120
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9880
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0120
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9865
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0120
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9890
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9890
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0110
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9910
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0100
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9870
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0145
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9845
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0145
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9860
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0130
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9890
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0110
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0120
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0115
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0140
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9860
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0140
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9860
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0140
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0140
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9860
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0140
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9860
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0140
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9860
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0140
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9860
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0140
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9870
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0165
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9795
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0210
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9790
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0170
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.9845
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0095
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9905
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0095
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.9905
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0120
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.9880
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0110
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.9890
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0110
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.9840
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0160
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9840
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.0160
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.0160
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9840
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0160
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9840
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.0160
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.9845
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.0155
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.9840
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.0160
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.9840
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.0170
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.9830
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0170
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.9830
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.0170
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.9830
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0180
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9815
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.0185
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.9815
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0185
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.9830
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0170
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.9825
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0175
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.9820
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.0180
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9815
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0185
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0185
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9830
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0170
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.9825
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0175
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.9820
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0180
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.9815
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0185
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.9815
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0185
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.9825
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0170
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.9830
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0180
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9825
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.0185
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9830
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0175
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9825
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9820
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0180
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.9815
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0165
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.9830
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0170
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9830
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.0170
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0170
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9825
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.0175
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.9825
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0175
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.9825
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.0175
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.9825
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.0170
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.9835
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.0165
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.9835
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0165
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.9835
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0165
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.9835
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0165
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.9835
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.0165
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.9835
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.0175
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.9825
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.0175
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.9825
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.0175
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.9825
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0175
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9825
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.0175
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.0175
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.9825
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0175
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.9825
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.0175
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.9825
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.0175
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9825
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.0175
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.9825
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0175
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.9825
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0175
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.9825
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.0175
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9825
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.0175
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9825
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.0175
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.9825
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.0175
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.9825
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0175
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.9825
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.0175
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.9825
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.0175
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9825
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0170
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.9830
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0185
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.9820
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.0185
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.9815
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0185
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9815
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.0180
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.9815
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.0180
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.9820
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0185
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.9820
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0185
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.9820
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.0185
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.9815
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.0180
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.9815
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0185
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.9815
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0185
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.9820
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0170
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9830
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.0170
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9830
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0170
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0185
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.9815
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0190
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.9815
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0185
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9815
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0175
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9810
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0185
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9810
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0190
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.9810
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0180
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.9820
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0190
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9815
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0190
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9820
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.9830
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0170
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9830
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0230
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9770
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0215
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9790
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0230
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9770
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0250
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0210
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.9765
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9765
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0205
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9780
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0200
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9820
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0210
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9805
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0205
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9800
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0195
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9815
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0185
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9790
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0235
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9760
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0210
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.9790
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0225
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9810
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0225
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9820
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0200
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9775
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0200
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9840
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 78248779.63, Sell volume: 20656535.81, Average price: 0.8917, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9905
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0105
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9870
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0130
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9875
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0145
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9845
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0110
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9905
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0170
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9790
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0220
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9825
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0155
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9850
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9855
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0150
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 231768, Buy volume: 14786160.62, Sell volume: 6140033.82, Average price: 0.8610, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9874
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9865
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0170
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9830
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0165
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9835
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0165
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0155
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0155
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9835
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9895
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9915
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0085
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0085
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9835
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0120
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9805
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0100
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9870
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 749549, Buy volume: 62822206.88, Sell volume: 14496855.92, Average price: 0.8991, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525057
Question: Will the next Pope be from South America?
Volume: 267856.502489
Price History:
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9890
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9930
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0110
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0110
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9865
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9860
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0100
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0105
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9870
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0100
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9900
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0105
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9925
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9915
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9900
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9850
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 701, Buy volume: 89671.08, Sell volume: 19646.07, Average price: 0.7171, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.7500
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.7450
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.2700
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.7300
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.2700
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.7300
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.2600
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.7400
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.2600
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.7400
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.2600
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.7400
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.2600
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.7400
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.2550
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.7450
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.2550
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.7450
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.2250
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.7750
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.2200
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 23414.69, Sell volume: 23401.27, Average price: 0.3996, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.2250
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.7750
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.2250
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.7750
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.2250
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.7750
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.2250
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.7750
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.2250
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.7750
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.2000
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.8000
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.2100
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.7900
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.2100
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.7900
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.2100
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.7900
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.2100
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.7900
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.2050
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.7950
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.2050
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.7950
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.1450
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 91.02, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5829, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.1450
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.8550
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.1450
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.8550
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.1450
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.8550
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.1450
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.8550
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.1450
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.8550
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.1450
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.8550
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.1450
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.8550
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.1450
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.8550
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.1450
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.8550
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.1450
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.8550
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.1450
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.8550
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.1600
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.8400
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.1600
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 260.42, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1536, Price range: 0.1536 - 0.1536

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.1600
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.8400
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.1600
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.8400
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.1750
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.8250
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.1750
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.8250
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.1750
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.8250
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.1750
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.8250
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.1750
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.8250
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.1750
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.8250
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.2300
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.7700
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.2200
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.7800
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.2100
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.7900
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.7850
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 595.14, Sell volume: 55.00, Average price: 0.6095, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.7850
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.7850
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.7850
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.7850
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.2200
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.7800
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.2100
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.7900
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.2000
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.8000
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.2000
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.8000
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.8250
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.8250
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.8250
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.8250
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 486.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8250, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.1650
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.8350
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.1650
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.8350
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.1650
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.8350
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 595.88, Average price: 0.1503, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.1506

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.8400
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.1600
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.8400
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.8250
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.8250
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.8250
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.8250
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.8250
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.2350
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.7650
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.2350
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.7650
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.2000
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.8000
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.2000
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 938.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 325.26, Sell volume: 11.69, Average price: 0.6920, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.8050
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.1950
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.8050
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.1950
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.8050
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.2000
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.8000
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.1950
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.8050
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.1950
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.8050
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.2300
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.7700
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.2350
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.7650
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.2350
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.7650
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.7600
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.2300
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.7700
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.2350
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.7650
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.2350
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 166.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6425, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.7600
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.7600
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.2350
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.7650
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.7600
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.2350
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.7650
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.2250
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.7750
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.2350
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.7650
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.7600
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.7600
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.2450
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.7550
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.7600
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.7600
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.2250
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 17.77, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.6033, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.2300
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.7700
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.2300
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.7700
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.2350
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.7650
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.2350
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.7650
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.2350
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.7650
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.2350
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.7650
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.2350
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.7650
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.2350
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.7650
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.2300
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.7700
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.2250
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.7750
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.2250
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.7750
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.7800
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.92, Sell volume: 22.59, Average price: 0.6375, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.7800
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.7800
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.7800
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.7800
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.7800
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.7800
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.7800
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.2150
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.7850
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.2000
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.8000
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.2000
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.8000
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.2000
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.8000
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.2000
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.8000
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.2000
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 94.51, Sell volume: 1.29, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8099

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.2000
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.8000
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.1450
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.8550
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.1450
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.8550
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.1250
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.8750
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.1250
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.8750
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.1600
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.8400
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.1600
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.8400
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.1500
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.8500
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.1450
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.8550
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.1450
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.8550
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.1450
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.8550
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0850
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.9150
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1415.02, Sell volume: 7.53, Average price: 0.7920, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.7500
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.7450
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.2700
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.7300
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.2700
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.7300
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.2600
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.7400
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.2600
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.7400
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.2600
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.7400
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.2600
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.7400
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.2550
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.7450
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.2550
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.7450
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.2250
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.7750
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.2200
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 23414.69, Sell volume: 23401.27, Average price: 0.3996, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.2250
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.7750
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.2250
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.7750
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.2250
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.7750
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.2250
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.7750
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.2250
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.7750
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.2000
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.8000
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.2100
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.7900
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.2100
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.7900
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.2100
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.7900
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.2100
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.7900
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.2050
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.7950
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.2050
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.7950
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.1450
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 91.02, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5829, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.1450
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.8550
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.1450
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.8550
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.1450
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.8550
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.1450
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.8550
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.1450
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.8550
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.1450
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.8550
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.1450
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.8550
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.1450
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.8550
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.1450
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.8550
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.1450
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.8550
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.1450
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.8550
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.1600
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.8400
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.1600
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 260.42, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1536, Price range: 0.1536 - 0.1536
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.1600
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.8400
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.1600
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.8400
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.1750
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.8250
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.1750
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.8250
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.1750
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.8250
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.1750
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.8250
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.1750
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.8250
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.1750
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.8250
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.2300
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.7700
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.2200
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.7800
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.2100
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.7900
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.7850
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 595.14, Sell volume: 55.00, Average price: 0.6095, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.7850
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.7850
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.7850
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.7850
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.2200
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.7800
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.2100
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.7900
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.2000
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.8000
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.2000
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.8000
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.8250
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.8250
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.8250
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.8250
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 486.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8250, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.1650
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.8350
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.1650
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.8350
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.1650
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.8350
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 595.88, Average price: 0.1503, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.1506
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.8400
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.1600
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.8400
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.8250
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.8250
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.8250
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.8250
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.1750
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.8250
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.2350
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.7650
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.2350
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.7650
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.2000
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.8000
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.2000
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 938.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 325.26, Sell volume: 11.69, Average price: 0.6920, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.1950
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.8050
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.1950
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.8050
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.1950
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.8050
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.2000
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.8000
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.1950
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.8050
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.1950
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.8050
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.2300
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.7700
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.2350
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.7650
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.2350
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.7650
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.7600
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.2300
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.7700
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.2350
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.7650
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.2350
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 166.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6425, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.7600
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.7600
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.2350
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.7650
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.7600
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.2350
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.7650
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.2250
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.7750
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.2350
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.7650
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.7600
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.7600
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.2450
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.7550
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.7600
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.7600
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.2250
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 17.77, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.6033, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.2300
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.7700
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.2300
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.7700
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.2350
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.7650
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.2350
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.7650
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.2350
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.7650
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.2350
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.7650
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.2350
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.7650
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.2350
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.7650
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.2300
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.7700
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.2250
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.7750
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.2250
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.7750
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.7800
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.92, Sell volume: 22.59, Average price: 0.6375, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.7800
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.7800
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.7800
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.7800
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.7800
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.7800
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.2200
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.7800
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.2150
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.7850
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.2000
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.8000
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.2000
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.8000
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.2000
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.8000
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.2000
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.8000
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.2000
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 94.51, Sell volume: 1.29, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8099
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559271
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $130k before Ethereum hits $3k?
Volume: 53497.162248
Price History:
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.2000
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.8000
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.1450
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.8550
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.1450
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.8550
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.1250
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.8750
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.1250
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.8750
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.1600
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.8400
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.1600
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.8400
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.1500
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.8500
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.1450
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.8550
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.1450
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.8550
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.1450
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.8550
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0850
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.9150
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1415.02, Sell volume: 7.53, Average price: 0.7920, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.1600
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.7550
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.7550
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.7400
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.3600
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.7200
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2750
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.7250
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.2150
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.7850
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.7800
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2250
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.7700
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.2250
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.7700
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.2250
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.7750
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.2300
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.7850
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2100
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.7900
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.2100
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.7900
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.2100
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.7950
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.2050
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.7900
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.2100
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.7900
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.2100
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.7950
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.1700
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.8300
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.1650
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.8350
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.1650
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.1650
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.8350
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.1950
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.8400
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.1650
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.8350
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.1650
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.8400
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.1650
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1091.92, Sell volume: 50.27, Average price: 0.4455, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.1650
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.8350
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.1650
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.8350
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.1700
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.8300
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.1700
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.8300
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.1700
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.8300
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.8350
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.1700
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.8300
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.1650
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.8350
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.1700
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.8350
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.1650
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.8350
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.1650
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.8350
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.1650
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.8350
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.1650
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.8350
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.8550
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.1450
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.8550
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.1450
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.8550
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.1450
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.8550
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.1450
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.8550
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.1450
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.8550
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.1500
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.8550
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.1500
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.8500
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.8500
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.1500
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.8500
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.1500
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.8500
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.1500
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 29.05, Sell volume: 183.46, Average price: 0.5429, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.1500
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.8500
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.1550
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.8450
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.1550
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.8450
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.1550
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.8450
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.1550
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.8450
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.8450
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.8450
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.8450
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.8450
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.8450
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.1500
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.8500
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.1500
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.8500
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.1500
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.8500
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.1500
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.8500
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.1500
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.8500
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.1500
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.8500
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.8550
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.1450
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.8500
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.8550
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.1500
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.8500
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.8550
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.8550
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.8550
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.8550
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 128.78, Sell volume: 38.89, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.8550
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.8550
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.8500
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.8550
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.8550
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.8550
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.8550
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.8550
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.1500
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.8550
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.8550
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 61703.02, Sell volume: 963.07, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.8550
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.8550
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.8500
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.8550
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.8550
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.8550
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.8550
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.8550
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.1500
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 61703.02, Sell volume: 963.07, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.1450
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.8550
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.8550
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.8500
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.8550
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.8550
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.1450
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.8550
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.8500
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.8550
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.8550
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.8550
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.8550
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.8550
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 61703.02, Sell volume: 963.07, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.8550
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.8550
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.8550
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.8550
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.8550
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.8550
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.8550
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.8550
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.1450
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.8550
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.8750
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.1250
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.8750
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.1250
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.8750
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.1250
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.1250
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.1250
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.1250
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.8700
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.1300
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.1300
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.1350
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.1350
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.8650
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.8650
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.1350
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.1350
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.1350
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.8650
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.1350
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.8650
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.8650
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.8650
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.8700
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.8700
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.08, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.8575, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.8700
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.1300
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.8700
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.1300
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.8700
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.1300
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.1300
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.8700
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.8700
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.8700
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.8700
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.1300
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.8700
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.1300
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.8700
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.8700
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.8700
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.8700
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 28.00, Average price: 0.1100, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.1100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.1300
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.1300
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.1300
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.1300
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.8700
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.8700
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.8700
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.8700
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.8700
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.8700
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.8700
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.1300
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.1350
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.1350
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.8650
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.1350
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.8650
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.8650
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.1350
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.8650
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.8650
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.1350
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.1350
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8650
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.1350
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.8650
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.1350
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.1350
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.8650
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.8650
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 61703.02, Sell volume: 963.07, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.1350
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.8650
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.1350
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.1350
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.1350
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.1400
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.1400
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.1400
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.1400
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.1400
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.1400
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.1400
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.1400
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.8600
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.8600
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.1400
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.8600
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.1400
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.1400
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.8600
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.8600
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.8600
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.1400
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.8600
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.8600
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.1350
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.1350
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.1400
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.1400
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.8600
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.8600
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.1400
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.8600
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.1400
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.8600
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 66.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1500, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.1500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1400
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.1400
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.1400
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.1400
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.1400
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.1400
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1400
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8600
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.8650
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.8650
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1350
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.8650
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.1400
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.8600
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.1400
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 61703.02, Sell volume: 963.07, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.1400
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.1400
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.1400
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.1400
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.1400
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.1400
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.1400
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.1400
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.8650
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.8650
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 61703.02, Sell volume: 963.07, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.8600
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.1400
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.8650
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.1300
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.8700
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.1250
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.1250
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.1250
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.8700
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.8700
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.8700
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.8700
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.1300
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.1300
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.8700
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.1300
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.8700
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.8700
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.1300
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.1300
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1300
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.1300
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.1300
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.1300
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.1300
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.1300
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1300
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.8350
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 24373.45, Sell volume: 461.45, Average price: 0.5832, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.1600
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.7550
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.7400
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.2800
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.7250
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.2150
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.7850
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.7700
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2300
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.7750
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.2300
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.7850
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.2100
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.7900
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.2050
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.7950
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.2100
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.7900
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.2050
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.8300
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.1650
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.8350
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.1650
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.8350
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.1650
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.8350
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.1600
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1091.92, Sell volume: 50.27, Average price: 0.4455, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.1650
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.8350
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.1700
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.8300
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.1700
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.8300
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.8350
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.1650
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.8350
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.1650
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.1650
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.8350
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.1700
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.8350
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.1450
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.8550
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.1450
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.8550
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.1500
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.8550
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.1450
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.8500
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.1500
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.8500
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.1450
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.8500
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.1500
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 29.05, Sell volume: 183.46, Average price: 0.5429, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.1500
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.8500
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.1550
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.8450
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.1550
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.8450
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.8450
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.8450
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.8450
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.1500
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.8550
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.1500
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.8500
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.1500
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.8500
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.1500
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.8550
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.1500
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.8500
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.1450
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.8500
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.8500
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.8550
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 128.78, Sell volume: 38.89, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.8550
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.8550
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.8550
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.8550
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.8550
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.8550
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.8550
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 61703.02, Sell volume: 963.07, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.8550
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.1500
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.8550
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.8550
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 61703.02, Sell volume: 963.07, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.8550
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.1450
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.8500
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.8550
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.8550
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.1500
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.8550
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.8550
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 61703.02, Sell volume: 963.07, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.8550
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.8550
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.8550
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.8550
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.8550
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.8550
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.8750
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.1250
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.8750
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.8750
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.8750
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.8700
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.1300
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.8650
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.1350
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.1350
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.1350
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.1350
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.8650
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.8650
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.8650
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 29.08, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.8575, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.8700
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.8700
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.1300
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.1300
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.1300
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.1300
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.8700
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.1300
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.1300
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.1300
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.8700
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.8700
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.8700
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.8700
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 28.00, Average price: 0.1100, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.1100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.1300
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.1300
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.1300
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.1300
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.8700
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.8700
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.8700
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.8700
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.1350
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.8650
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.8650
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.8650
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.1350
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.1350
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.1350
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.1350
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.1350
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 61703.02, Sell volume: 963.07, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.1350
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.1350
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.1350
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.1400
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.8600
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.8600
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.1400
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.8600
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.8600
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.8600
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.1400
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.1400
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.1400
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.8600
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.1400
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.1400
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.1400
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.1350
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.1350
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.8600
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.8600
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.1400
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 66.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1500, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.1500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1400
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.1400
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.1400
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.1400
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.1400
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.8600
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.8600
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.8600
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8600
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.1350
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.8650
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.8600
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.1400
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 61703.02, Sell volume: 963.07, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.1400
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.1400
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.1400
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.1400
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.8650
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.1350
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 61703.02, Sell volume: 963.07, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 567267
Question: Trump revokes any US citizenship by December 31?
Volume: 62666.091699
Price History:
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.8600
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.8600
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.1300
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.8750
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.1250
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.1300
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.1300
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.8700
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.8700
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.1300
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.8700
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.1300
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8700
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.1300
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 24373.45, Sell volume: 461.45, Average price: 0.5832, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.1050
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0850
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0800
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.0700
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0600
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0265
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0225
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0440
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0510
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0420
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0445
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0455
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0620
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0735
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0680
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0530
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0610
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0460
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0300
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0310
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0310
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0240
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0225
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0250
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0260
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0230
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0235
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0235
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0250
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0225
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0235
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0210
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0250
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0285
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0425
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0385
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0385
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0320
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.0380
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0325
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0340
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0360
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0345
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0340
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0375
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0350
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 385, Buy volume: 36879.10, Sell volume: 4111.07, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9830

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9335
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.9450
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.9535
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.9585
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.9600
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9615
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.9580
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.9615
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.9560
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.9625
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.9625
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9595
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.9570
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.9770
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.9700
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.9730
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9725
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.9705
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.9705
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.9705
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.9765
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.9765
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.9760
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.9775
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.9800
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.9805
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.9820
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9820
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.9830
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.9830
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9830
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9820
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.9825
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9805
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9820
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.9820
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9800
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9810
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9830
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9820
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.9830
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.9815
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.9815
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.9825
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.9830
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9830
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.9835
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.9825
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.9830
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 5680.74, Sell volume: 3069.44, Average price: 0.6092, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0165
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0170
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0170
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0175
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0175
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0175
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0135
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0150
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0135
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0110
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0115
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0155
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0140
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0140
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0150
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0150
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0145
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0200
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0135
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.0135
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0135
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0125
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0135
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0125
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.0125
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0125
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0195
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0180
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0180
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0185
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0195
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0160
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.0175
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0180
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0165
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 181, Buy volume: 6592.46, Sell volume: 2540.49, Average price: 0.6105, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.9865
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9805
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9835
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9595
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 119, Buy volume: 32934.87, Sell volume: 33976.13, Average price: 0.6288, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 6200.00, Sell volume: 1.01, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 2915.00, Sell volume: 3300.52, Average price: 0.5996, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 8776.62, Sell volume: 202.38, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 5505.03, Sell volume: 8352.72, Average price: 0.5428, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 9894.00, Sell volume: 2664.00, Average price: 0.8564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes