Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541047
Question: Diddy convicted of a felony?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57425.163437
Price History:
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.9000
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9200
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9050
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.9050
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9450
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.9150
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9450
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9100
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.9100
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.9100
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9100
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.9100
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.9100
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9150
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.9150
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9150
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9150
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.9150
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.9150
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9150
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.9150
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.9150
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.9150
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.9150
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.9150
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9150
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9150
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.9150
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9150
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9150
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.9050
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9150
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9150
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9200
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.9150
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9100
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.9100
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.9100
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9150
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9250
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9250
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9250
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.9250
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.9200
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9200
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9250
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9250
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.9250
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.9250
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541047
Question: Diddy convicted of a felony?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57425.163437
Price History:
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.9200
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9200
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9200
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9200
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9200
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9200
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9200
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9150
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.9150
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9150
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9150
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9150
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9150
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9150
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9150
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9150
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.9150
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9150
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9150
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.9150
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9150
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9150
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.9150
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9150
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9150
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.9150
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9150
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9150
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9150
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9150
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9150
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9150
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9150
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.9150
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.9150
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9150
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9150
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9150
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9150
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9150
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9150
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9150
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9150
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9150
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9150
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9150
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9150
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.9150
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9150
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541047
Question: Diddy convicted of a felony?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57425.163437
Price History:
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.9150
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9150
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9150
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9050
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9050
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9050
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9150
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9150
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9150
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9150
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9150
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9200
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.9200
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9200
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.9200
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9200
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.9200
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.9250
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.9250
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9250
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9250
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.9250
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.9200
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.9150
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.9150
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.9100
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9100
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.9100
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.9100
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.8700
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.8700
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.8700
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.8550
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.8650
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.8750
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.8750
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.8750
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.8750
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.8700
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.8700
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.8550
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.8550
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.8950
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.8950
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.8900
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.8850
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.8850
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.8800
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.8800
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 541047
Question: Diddy convicted of a felony?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57425.163437
Price History:
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.8850
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.8850
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.8850
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.8900
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.8900
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.8900
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.8900
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.8800
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.8800
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.8800
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.8900
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9000
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.9000
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.9000
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.8950
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.8950
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.8900
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.8900
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.8900
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.8950
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.7500
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.7800
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.7750
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.8100
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.8200
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.8200
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.8200
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.8300
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.8900
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.8900
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.8900
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.8850
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.8850
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.8850
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.8850
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.8850
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.8850
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.8950
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.9200
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.9200
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.8700
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.8850
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.8650
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.8600
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.9150
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541047
Question: Diddy convicted of a felony?
Volume: 57425.163437
Price History:
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7000
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.8450
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.1400
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.8550
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.1450
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.1000
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.8950
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.1000
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.8950
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.1050
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.8950
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1200
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.8800
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.1200
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.8800
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1200
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.8800
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.1200
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.8800
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.1200
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.8800
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.8800
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.8800
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.1200
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541047
Question: Diddy convicted of a felony?
Volume: 57425.163437
Price History:
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9150
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.9200
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0800
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9200
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0800
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.9200
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0900
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.9000
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.1050
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.8900
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.1100
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.8850
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.1150
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.8850
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.1150
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.8900
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.1100
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.8900
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.1100
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.8800
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541047
Question: Diddy convicted of a felony?
Volume: 57425.163437
Price History:
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.8800
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.1200
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.8800
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.1200
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.8800
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.1200
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.8800
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.8800
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.8800
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.8800
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.8850
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.8850
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.1150
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.9000
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.1000
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9000
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.1000
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.9000
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.1000
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.8950
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.1050
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.8900
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.1100
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.8900
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541047
Question: Diddy convicted of a felony?
Volume: 57425.163437
Price History:
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.8950
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.1050
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.8950
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.1050
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.8950
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.1050
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.8950
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.1050
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.8950
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.1050
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.8950
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.1050
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.8950
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.1050
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.8950
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.8950
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.1050
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.8950
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.1050
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.9000
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.1000
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.9000
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.1000
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9000
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.1000
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.9000
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.1000
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9000
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541047
Question: Diddy convicted of a felony?
Volume: 57425.163437
Price History:
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9000
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.1000
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.9000
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.1000
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9000
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.1000
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9000
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.1000
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9000
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.1000
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9000
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.1000
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9000
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.1000
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9000
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.1000
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9000
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.1000
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9000
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.1000
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.1050
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.1050
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541047
Question: Diddy convicted of a felony?
Volume: 57425.163437
Price History:
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.8950
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.1050
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.8950
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.1050
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.8950
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.1050
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.8950
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.8950
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.1050
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.8950
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.1700
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.8400
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.1800
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.2100
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.8250
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.8200
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.1800
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.1900
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.8150
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.1850
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.8050
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541047
Question: Diddy convicted of a felony?
Volume: 57425.163437
Price History:
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.8150
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.1850
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.8050
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.1950
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.8150
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.1850
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.8150
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.1800
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.8150
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.1850
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.8150
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.1800
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.8150
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.1800
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.8150
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.1850
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.1850
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.8150
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.1850
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.8150
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.1850
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.1850
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.1850
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.8200
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541047
Question: Diddy convicted of a felony?
Volume: 57425.163437
Price History:
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.8200
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.1800
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.8200
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.1800
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.8200
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.1800
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.8200
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.1800
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.8200
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.1800
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.8250
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.1800
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.8200
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.1800
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.8200
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.1800
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.8200
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.1850
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.8250
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.1750
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.8150
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.1850
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.8200
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.1750
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.8250
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.1750
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.8250
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.1750
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.8250
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541047
Question: Diddy convicted of a felony?
Volume: 57425.163437
Price History:
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.8250
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.1750
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.8250
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.1750
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.8250
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.1750
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.8250
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.1750
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.8250
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.1750
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.8250
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.1800
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.8250
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.1750
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.8250
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.1750
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.8250
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.1750
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.8250
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.1750
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.8250
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.1750
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.8250
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.1750
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.8250
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.1800
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.8200
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.1800
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.8250
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541047
Question: Diddy convicted of a felony?
Volume: 57425.163437
Price History:
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.9000
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0800
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.9150
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0850
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9100
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0900
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9100
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0900
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.9150
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9150
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0850
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.9150
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0850
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9150
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0850
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9150
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0950
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.9150
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0800
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9100
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0900
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.9250
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.9250
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9250
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0750
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9250
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541047
Question: Diddy convicted of a felony?
Volume: 57425.163437
Price History:
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.9200
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0800
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9200
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0800
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9150
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0850
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9150
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0850
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9150
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0850
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9150
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9150
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9150
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0850
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9150
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0850
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9150
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0850
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9150
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0850
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.9150
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0850
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9150
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0850
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9150
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0850
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9150
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541047
Question: Diddy convicted of a felony?
Volume: 57425.163437
Price History:
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.9150
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0850
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9050
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0950
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9150
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0850
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9150
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0800
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.9200
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0800
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.9250
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.0750
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.9250
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.0850
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.9150
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0900
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.9100
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.1300
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.8650
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.1350
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.8750
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.8700
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.1450
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.8950
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.1100
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.8850
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.1200
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.8900
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541047
Question: Diddy convicted of a felony?
Volume: 57425.163437
Price History:
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.8850
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.1150
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.8900
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.1100
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.8800
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.1200
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9000
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.8950
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.1050
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.8900
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.1050
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.1150
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.7150
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.2250
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.8200
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.1900
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.8600
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.1100
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.8850
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.8850
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.9200
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0800
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.8400
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.1400
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9200
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.8700
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.6500
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.6950
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.6850
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.7250
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.8200
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.8150
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.8000
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.8000
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.8650
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.8600
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.8200
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.8100
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.8050
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.8050
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.8050
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.8250
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.8300
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.8300
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.8300
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.8300
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.8300
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.8300
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.8350
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.8350
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.8350
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.8600
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.8900
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.8900
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.8900
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.8850
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.8900
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.8900
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.8950
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.8850
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.8850
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.8900
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.8650
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.8750
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.8850
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.8950
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.8950
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.8950
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.8950
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.8950
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.8950
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.8950
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.8950
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 3078.26, Sell volume: 988.12, Average price: 0.6002, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.1250
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.1150
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.1150
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.1100
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.1100
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.1100
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.1100
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.1100
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.1100
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.1050
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.1100
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.1350
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 481.15, Sell volume: 45.66, Average price: 0.4633, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.8750
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.8700
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.8700
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.8700
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.8700
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.8700
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.8700
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 255.42, Sell volume: 104.75, Average price: 0.4280, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.1300
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.1150
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.1150
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.1150
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.1150
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.1150
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.1150
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.1150
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.1200
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 408.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5780, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.8700
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.8700
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.8700
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.8700
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.8700
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.8700
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.8700
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.6750
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.6350
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.7150
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.7200
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.7150
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.7200
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.7150
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.7150
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.7300
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.7300
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.7750
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.7950
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.8000
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.7950
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.8050
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.8000
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.7950
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.7950
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.8400
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.8900
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1559.88, Sell volume: 1237.06, Average price: 0.5520, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.1100
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.1100
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.1100
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.1100
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.1050
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.1050
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.1050
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.1050
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.1050
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.1050
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.1050
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.1150
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.1150
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.1150
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.1150
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.1200
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.1250
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.1250
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.1200
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.1250
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.1200
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.1200
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.1200
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.1100
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.1100
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.1050
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.1050
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.1050
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.1100
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.1100
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.1100
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.1100
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.1050
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.1050
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 64.81, Sell volume: 211.87, Average price: 0.6925, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.8900
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.8900
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.8950
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.8900
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.8900
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.8900
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.8900
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.8950
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.8900
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.8900
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.8900
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.8900
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.8950
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.8900
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.8900
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.8950
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.8900
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.8900
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.8900
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.8950
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.8900
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.8900
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.8900
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.8900
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9250
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9300
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.9300
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.9300
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9350
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.9350
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.9350
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9450
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9450
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.9450
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9450
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.9450
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.9450
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9450
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9450
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9450
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9450
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.9450
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9450
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9450
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.9450
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.9450
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.9450
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.9400
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.9400
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 2185.69, Sell volume: 146.16, Average price: 0.2629, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9139

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.1200
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.1250
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.1250
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.1200
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.1200
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.1200
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.1250
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.1250
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.1250
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.1250
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.1250
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.1250
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.1250
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.1250
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.1250
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.1250
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.1250
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.1250
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.1250
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.1250
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.1250
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.1250
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.1250
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.1250
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.1250
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.1250
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.1250
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.1150
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 401.59, Sell volume: 5.61, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.8750
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.8750
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.8750
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.8750
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.8750
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.8750
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.8750
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.8750
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.8750
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.8800
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9050
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9050
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9050
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 563.90, Sell volume: 111.00, Average price: 0.8062, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0950
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0850
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.0800
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0800
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0800
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0800
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0800
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0800
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0800
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0800
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0800
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0800
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0800
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0800
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0800
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0800
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0800
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 638.42, Sell volume: 23.24, Average price: 0.7125, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9300
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.9300
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9300
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9300
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.9300
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9400
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9450
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.9400
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9400
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.9400
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.9400
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.9400
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.9500
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9500
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9500
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.9500
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.9500
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9500
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.9500
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9500
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9500
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9500
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9500
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.9500
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9500
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9500
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9350
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.9150
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9150
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9300
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9300
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9300
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9300
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9300
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9300
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2754.85, Sell volume: 316.62, Average price: 0.7906, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0850
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0850
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0750
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0750
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0700
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.0700
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0700
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0750
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0850
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0500
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0500
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0500
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0500
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.0500
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0500
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0750
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.1200
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0850
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0900
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0800
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0750
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0600
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0600
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0500
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 6725.95, Sell volume: 256.30, Average price: 0.8647, Price range: 0.0642 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9740
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.9775
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.9650
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.9755
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9625
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9550
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9555
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9550
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9550
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9545
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9400
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9330
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9665
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9695
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9685
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9705
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9730
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9690
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9715
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9675
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9670
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9695
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9840
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9840
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9855
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9940
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9950
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9955
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9945
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.9950
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9950
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9955
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.9960
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.9960
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9960
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.9960
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 15110.86, Sell volume: 12657.58, Average price: 0.7228, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.8700
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.3500
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.6850
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.2750
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.8150
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.2000
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.1350
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.8200
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.1900
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.8050
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.1950
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.8300
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.8300
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.1700
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.8350
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.1650
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.8600
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.1100
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.8900
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.1150
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.8900
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.1050
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.8850
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.1100
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.8750
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.1150
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.8950
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 3078.26, Sell volume: 988.12, Average price: 0.6002, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.1250
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.8850
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.8850
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.8850
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.8850
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.8850
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.8850
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.1150
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.8900
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.1100
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.8900
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.1100
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.8850
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.8950
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.8850
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.8850
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.8850
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.8850
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.1150
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 481.15, Sell volume: 45.66, Average price: 0.4633, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.1300
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.1300
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.1300
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.1300
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.1300
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.1300
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.1300
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.1300
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.1250
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.1300
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.1300
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.1300
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.1300
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.1300
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 255.42, Sell volume: 104.75, Average price: 0.4280, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.1300
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.8750
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.8750
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.8750
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.8850
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.1150
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.8850
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.1150
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.8800
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.8700
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.8700
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.8700
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.8700
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.8700
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.1300
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.8700
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.8700
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 408.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5780, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.8700
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.1300
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.1300
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.8700
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.1300
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.6350
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.2850
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.7150
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.2800
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.7150
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.2700
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.2700
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.7350
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.2250
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.8000
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.2050
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.8000
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.2050
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.8400
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.1150
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.1150
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.1150
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.1150
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1559.88, Sell volume: 1237.06, Average price: 0.5520, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.1100
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.8900
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.1100
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.8950
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.1050
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.8950
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.1050
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.8850
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.1150
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.8850
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.1200
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.8750
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.1200
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.8800
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.8800
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.8750
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.8850
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.8750
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.8850
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.1100
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.8750
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.1100
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.8950
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.1050
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 64.81, Sell volume: 211.87, Average price: 0.6925, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.8900
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.1100
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.8900
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.1100
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.8900
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.1050
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.8900
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.1100
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.8950
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.1100
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.8950
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.1100
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.8900
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.1050
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.8900
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.1100
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9250
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0700
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.9300
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0650
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.9350
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0550
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.9450
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0550
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.9450
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0550
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9450
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0550
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9450
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 2185.69, Sell volume: 146.16, Average price: 0.2629, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9139
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.1200
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.8750
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.1200
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.8800
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.8750
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.8850
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.8850
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.8850
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.8750
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.1250
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.8750
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.1250
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.8750
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.1250
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.8750
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.1250
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.8750
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.1250
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.8750
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.1250
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.8850
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.8800
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 401.59, Sell volume: 5.61, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.8750
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.1250
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.8750
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.1250
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.8750
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.1250
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.8800
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0950
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0950
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0950
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0950
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0950
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0950
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0950
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0950
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0950
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0950
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 563.90, Sell volume: 111.00, Average price: 0.8062, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9050
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9050
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9050
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9050
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9050
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0950
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.9100
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.9100
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9100
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.9100
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.9100
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0900
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.9150
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9200
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0800
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.9200
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0800
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9200
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0800
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 638.42, Sell volume: 23.24, Average price: 0.7125, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9300
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0700
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9300
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0700
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9450
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0550
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0550
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0550
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0550
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9450
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0550
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.9400
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0600
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.9400
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0600
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9500
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0500
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.9500
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0500
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9500
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0500
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9500
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0500
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9500
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0650
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9150
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2754.85, Sell volume: 316.62, Average price: 0.7906, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0850
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9250
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0750
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.9250
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0700
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9300
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0750
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9150
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9350
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9350
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0650
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9350
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9350
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.9350
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9350
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0650
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.9500
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0500
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.9500
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0500
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.8800
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0850
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 6725.95, Sell volume: 256.30, Average price: 0.8647, Price range: 0.0642 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 553444
Question: GENIUS Act signed into law in 2025?
Volume: 60178.313604
Price History:
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0260
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.9650
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0245
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9550
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0445
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9550
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0455
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9330
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0335
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9685
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0295
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9690
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0285
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9670
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0305
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9840
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0145
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9950
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.9950
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.9960
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.9960
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 15110.86, Sell volume: 12657.58, Average price: 0.7228, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Outcomes: ["Valimont", "Patronis"]
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0750
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.9250
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.9450
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0205
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.9795
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9800
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.0195
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.9805
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0250
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.9750
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.0255
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.9745
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.0265
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.9735
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0275
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.9725
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0280
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.9720
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.0270
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9730
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0275
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9725
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.0270
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9730
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0270
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.9730
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0275
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.9725
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.0240
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.9760
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.0245
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.9755
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0220
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.9780
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0215
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.9785
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.9805
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.0205
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9795
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.0210
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9790
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.0200
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Outcomes: ["Valimont", "Patronis"]
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0210
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.9790
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.0210
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9790
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.0260
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.9740
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0265
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.9735
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0260
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.9740
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0265
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.9735
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0265
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.9735
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0260
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9740
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0260
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9740
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0265
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.9735
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0200
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.9800
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0200
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.9800
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0200
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9800
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.0200
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.9800
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0200
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.9800
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.0200
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.9800
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.0200
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9800
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.0200
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9800
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.0200
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.9800
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.0200
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.9800
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9805
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0180
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.9820
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0180
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Outcomes: ["Valimont", "Patronis"]
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0195
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.9805
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0195
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9805
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.0195
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.9805
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0195
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9805
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0195
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9805
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0190
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.9810
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.0190
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.9810
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.0190
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.9810
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Outcomes: ["Valimont", "Patronis"]
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Outcomes: ["Valimont", "Patronis"]
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.0050
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.9950
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0050
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Outcomes: ["Valimont", "Patronis"]
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Outcomes: ["Valimont", "Patronis"]
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Outcomes: ["Valimont", "Patronis"]
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0130
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9870
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.0100
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.9900
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.0100
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.9900
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9920
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.0065
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.9935
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0065
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9935
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0080
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.0075
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.9925
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0075
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.9925
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.0075
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.0075
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.9925
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.0075
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.9925
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.9925
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.0175
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.9825
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.5050
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.5075
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.4925
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.5070
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.4930
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.0220
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.9780
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.0220
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Outcomes: ["Valimont", "Patronis"]
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.0220
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.9780
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.0220
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.9780
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.0280
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.9720
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.0250
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.9750
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0250
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.9750
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.0250
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.9750
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.0260
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9740
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0280
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.9720
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.0245
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.9755
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.0245
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.9755
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0220
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.9780
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0210
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9790
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.0185
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.9815
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0140
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.9860
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.0140
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.9860
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.0140
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.9860
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0150
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.9850
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.0135
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9865
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.0125
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.9875
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.0135
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.9865
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.0135
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.9865
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.0180
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.9820
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Outcomes: ["Valimont", "Patronis"]
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.0175
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9825
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.0220
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.9780
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.0225
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9775
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.0225
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.9775
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.0210
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.9790
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.0210
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.9790
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0205
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.9795
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.3500
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.6500
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.0745
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.9255
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0440
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.9560
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.0280
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.9720
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.0305
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Outcomes: ["Valimont", "Patronis"]
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0285
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.9715
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.0285
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.9715
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0285
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.9715
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0285
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.9715
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.0290
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.9710
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.0290
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.9710
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0245
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.9755
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.0315
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9685
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0210
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.9790
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0265
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.9735
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0265
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9735
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.0245
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.9755
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0250
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.9750
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0250
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.9750
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.0260
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.9740
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0235
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.9765
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.0170
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9830
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.0130
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.9870
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0150
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.9850
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.0135
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.9865
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.0160
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.9840
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.0155
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.9845
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.0135
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Outcomes: ["Valimont", "Patronis"]
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0145
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.9855
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0115
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.9885
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.0115
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9885
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0175
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.9825
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.0165
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.9835
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0165
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.9835
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.0145
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.9855
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0120
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.9880
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.0135
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.9865
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.0130
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.9870
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0130
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.9870
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0130
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9870
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.0120
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9880
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0125
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.9875
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.0125
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9875
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0130
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.9870
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0170
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.9830
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.0205
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.9795
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.0200
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.9800
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0190
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.9810
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0165
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9835
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.0200
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.9800
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.0145
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Outcomes: ["Valimont", "Patronis"]
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.0150
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9850
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0140
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.9860
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0145
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.9855
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9820
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.9925
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.9980
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0750
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.9250
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.9450
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0205
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.9795
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9800
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.0195
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.9805
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0250
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.9750
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.0255
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.9745
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.0265
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.9735
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0275
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.9725
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0280
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.9720
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.0270
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9730
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0275
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9725
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.0270
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9730
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0270
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.9730
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0275
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0210
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.9790
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.0210
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9790
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.0260
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.9740
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0265
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.9735
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0260
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.9740
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0265
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.9735
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0265
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.9735
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0260
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9740
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0260
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9740
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0265
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.9735
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0200
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.9800
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0200
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.9800
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0200
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9800
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.0200
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.9800
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0200
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0195
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.9805
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0195
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9805
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.0195
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.9805
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0195
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9805
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0195
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9805
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0190
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.9810
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.0190
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.0050
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.9950
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0050
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0050
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0130
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9870
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.0100
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.9900
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.0100
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.9900
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9920
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.0065
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.9935
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0065
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9935
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0080
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.0075
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.9925
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0075
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.9925
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.0075
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.0075
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.0220
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.9780
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.0220
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.9780
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.0280
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.9720
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.0250
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.9750
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0250
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.9750
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.0250
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.9750
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.0260
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9740
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0280
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.9720
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.0245
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.9755
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.0245
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.9755
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0220
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.9780
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0210
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9790
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.0185
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.9815
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0140
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.9860
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.0140
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.0175
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9825
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.9815
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.0220
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.9780
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.0225
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9775
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.0225
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0285
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.9715
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.0285
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.9715
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0285
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.9715
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0285
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.9715
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.0290
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.9710
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.0290
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.9710
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0245
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.9755
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.0315
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9685
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0210
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.9790
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0265
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.9735
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0265
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9735
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.0245
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.9755
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0250
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.9750
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0250
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.9750
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.0260
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0145
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.9855
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0115
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.9885
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.0115
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9885
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0175
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.9825
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.0165
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.9835
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0165
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.9835
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.0145
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.9855
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0120
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.9880
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.0135
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.9865
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.0130
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.9870
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0130
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.9870
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0130
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9870
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.0120
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9880
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0125
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.9875
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.0125
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529264
Question: FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R)
Volume: 351783.463594
Price History:
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.0150
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9850
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0140
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.9860
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0145
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.9855
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9820
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.9925
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.5000
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.7150
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.2450
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.7550
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.2450
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.7550
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.2450
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.7550
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.2450
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.7900
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.1950
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.8050
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.1700
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.8000
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.2000
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.8000
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.2050
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.7950
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.2050
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.7950
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.2050
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.7950
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.2050
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.7950
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.2150
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.7850
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.2050
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.7850
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.2200
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.7800
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.2600
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.7450
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.3800
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.6150
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.3700
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.6150
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.6450
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.4150
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.6300
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.3450
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.6400
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.3650
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.6450
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.3550
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.6400
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.3600
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.6600
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.3400
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.3400
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.5750
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.3900
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.6350
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.4350
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.5650
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.4350
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.5650
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.4450
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.5550
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.4450
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.5550
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.4450
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.5550
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.4150
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.4150
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.4150
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.5850
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.4150
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.5850
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.4150
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.5850
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.4150
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.5600
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.4650
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.5350
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.4400
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.5600
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.4400
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.5600
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.4650
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.5250
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.4800
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.5200
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.5500
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.4950
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.5200
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.4700
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.5200
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.5150
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.4500
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.5450
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.4700
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.5000
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.4950
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.4800
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.5200
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.4800
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.5200
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.4900
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.5100
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.4950
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.5100
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.4800
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.3950
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.5450
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.5350
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.4650
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.5200
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.4750
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.5300
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.4700
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.5350
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.4650
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.5350
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.5050
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.5200
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.4750
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.5250
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.4750
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.5350
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.4450
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.4950
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.4750
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.5500
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.4350
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.5600
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.4300
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.6000
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.4100
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.5850
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.4150
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.6100
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.3900
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.6050
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.3900
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.6100
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.3400
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.6600
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.6650
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.3700
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.6650
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.6700
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.3300
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.6650
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.3400
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.6250
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.4050
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.5850
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.4000
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.5850
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.4150
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.5950
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.3950
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.6600
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.3700
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.6350
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.3800
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.6200
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.3900
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.6300
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.3500
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.6550
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.3350
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.6900
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.3100
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.6850
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.3000
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.2950
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.7000
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.3100
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.7050
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.2900
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.7200
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.2800
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.7150
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.2850
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.6800
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.3200
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.6850
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.3200
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.6850
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.3150
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.6800
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.3150
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.6850
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.3150
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.6850
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.3150
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.6850
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.7300
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.2650
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.7500
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.2850
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.7400
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.2600
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.7400
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.2600
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.7550
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.2400
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.7550
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.2550
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.7450
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.2600
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.7400
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.2600
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.7350
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.2650
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.7350
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.2600
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.7400
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.2650
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.7200
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.6950
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.3050
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.7400
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.2600
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.7350
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.2800
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.7200
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.3200
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.7100
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.2450
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.7200
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.6650
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.3150
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.6400
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.3450
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.6350
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.3650
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.6350
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.3250
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.6550
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.3500
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.6950
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.2700
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.7250
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.2650
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.2550
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.7050
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.2950
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.7050
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.2950
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.7050
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.3300
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.6700
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.6650
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.6750
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.3350
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.6600
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.3450
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.6500
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.3500
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.6550
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.3550
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.6550
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.3450
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.6500
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.3450
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.6550
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.3450
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.6550
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.3500
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.6500
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.3450
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.6550
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.3450
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.6700
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.3150
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.6850
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.3100
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.6900
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.3050
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.6900
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.3100
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.3050
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.7150
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.2850
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.7350
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516785
Question: Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17826731.742495
Price History:
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.2650
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.2500
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.7450
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.2500
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.7600
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.2400
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.7450
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.2550
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.2150
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.7800
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.2050
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.2150
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.7850
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.2350
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.7700
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.2350
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.7600
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.2400
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.7650
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.2350
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.7750
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.2300
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.7800
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.2100
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.7850
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.2100
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.7900
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.2100
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.7850
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.2150
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.7850
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.2150
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.7850
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.2100
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.7900
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.2150
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.7900
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.2100
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.7950
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.2100
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.8000
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.1950
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.8050
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.1750
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.8350
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1279392397.76, Sell volume: 1110241425.68, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes