Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538686
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Philippines?
Volume: 16902.153082
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.7650
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.7650
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.8100
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.8000
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.8050
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.8050
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.8000
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.8050
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8050
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.8000
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.8000
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.8000
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.8000
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 584.64, Sell volume: 69.64, Average price: 0.4489, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538686
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Philippines?
Volume: 16902.153082
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.2050
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.1950
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.1950
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.2000
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.2000
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2100
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2300
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.2250
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.2350
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.2350
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.2350
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.2350
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2350
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.2350
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.2350
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2350
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.2350
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.2350
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.2300
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.2300
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 667.03, Sell volume: 174.16, Average price: 0.3814, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538686
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Philippines?
Volume: 16902.153082
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.7700
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.7700
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.7700
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.7700
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.7700
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7700
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.7700
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.7700
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.7700
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.7700
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.7700
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.7700
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7700
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.7700
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7650
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.7650
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.7650
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7650
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.7650
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.7650
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.7900
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.7900
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 604.43, Sell volume: 403.11, Average price: 0.6375, Price range: 0.2201 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538686
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Philippines?
Volume: 16902.153082
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.2100
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.2100
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.2100
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2100
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2100
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2100
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2100
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.2100
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2100
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2150
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2100
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2100
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2100
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2100
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.2050
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.2150
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2050
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.2050
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2050
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.2050
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.2050
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.2050
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.2050
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.2050
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.2050
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.2050
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.2050
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8000, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538686
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Philippines?
Volume: 16902.153082
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.7950
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.7950
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7950
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7950
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.7950
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7950
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.7950
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.7950
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.7950
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.7950
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.7950
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.7950
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.7900
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.7900
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7900
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.7900
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.7900
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7900
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.7900
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.7900
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7900
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.7900
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 567.71, Sell volume: 25.97, Average price: 0.4107, Price range: 0.2144 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538686
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Philippines?
Volume: 16902.153082
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.2100
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.1950
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.1950
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1950
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2100
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2100
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2100
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2100
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2100
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2100
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2100
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2150
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1820.52, Sell volume: 667.34, Average price: 0.4717, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538686
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Philippines?
Volume: 16902.153082
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.7800
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.7800
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.7850
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.7800
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.7800
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.7800
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.7800
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.7800
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7800
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7900
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7900
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7900
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7900
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 799.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7983, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538686
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Philippines?
Volume: 16902.153082
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 14.76, Sell volume: 14.52, Average price: 0.3543, Price range: 0.1974 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538686
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Philippines?
Volume: 16902.153082
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.8000
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.8000
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.8000
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.8000
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.8000
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.8000
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.8000
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.8000
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.8000
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.8050
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.8050
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.8150
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.8150
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.8150
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.8150
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.8150
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.8150
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.8150
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.8150
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.8150
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.8150
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.8200
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.8000
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.8000
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.8000
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.8000
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.8100
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.8050
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.8050
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 1033.10, Sell volume: 957.00, Average price: 0.7687, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538686
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Philippines?
Volume: 16902.153082
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.1950
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.1950
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.1950
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.1950
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.1900
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1950
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 767.47, Sell volume: 48.96, Average price: 0.5775, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538686
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Philippines?
Volume: 16902.153082
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.8050
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.8000
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.8000
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7800
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7550
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7850
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7650
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7600
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.7600
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7600
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.7600
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.7750
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7800
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.7650
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.7700
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.7700
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.7650
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.8250
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.7650
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 2207.64, Sell volume: 595.29, Average price: 0.5173, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8302
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538686
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from the Philippines?
Volume: 16902.153082
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.2050
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.2150
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.2050
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2050
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.2300
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.2150
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.2200
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.2000
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.2100
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2100
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2100
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2100
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2100
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2150
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.2150
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.2600
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.1450
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.1750
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.2800
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2800
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.2900
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.2300
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.1750
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.1950
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 3803.18, Sell volume: 769.91, Average price: 0.6451, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9250
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9250
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9200
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9200
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9200
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0800
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9100
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9050
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9050
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9050
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9050
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9050
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9050
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9050
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9050
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9000
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9000
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9000
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 23.30, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.6336, Price range: 0.0909 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9000
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 129.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.1000
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9000
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.1000
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9000
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.8950
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9050
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9150
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0440
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9560
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0425
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9575
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9580
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0435
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9565
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0410
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9590
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9580
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9580
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0430
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9570
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0440
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9560
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0485
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9515
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0445
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9555
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0445
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9555
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0425
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9575
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0430
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9570
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0435
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9565
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0425
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9575
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0405
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1406.58, Sell volume: 35.27, Average price: 0.6034, Price range: 0.0480 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9490
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0510
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9490
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0505
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9495
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0515
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9485
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0520
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9480
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0525
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9475
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0525
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9475
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0525
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9475
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0525
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9475
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0525
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9475
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0525
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 506.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3533, Price range: 0.0550 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0545
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9455
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0545
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9455
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0545
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9455
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9455
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9455
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9455
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9455
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9450
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9455
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9455
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9455
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9455
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9450
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0540
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9460
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0515
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9485
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9450
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0555
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9445
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0555
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9445
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0555
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9445
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0555
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9445
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9440
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9440
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9440
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9440
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1000.41, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.2809, Price range: 0.0561 - 0.9480

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9355
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0655
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9345
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0675
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9325
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0675
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9325
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0675
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9325
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0675
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9325
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0675
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9325
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0665
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9335
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9350
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0660
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9340
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0660
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9340
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0645
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9355
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0645
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9355
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0620
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9380
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0625
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9375
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0625
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9375
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0625
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9375
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0625
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9375
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0625
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9375
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0630
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9370
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0620
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9380
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0625
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9375
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0625
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9375
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0620
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9380
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0615
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9385
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 56.18, Sell volume: 346.00, Average price: 0.4145, Price range: 0.0627 - 0.9430

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0630
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9370
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0640
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9360
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0645
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9355
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0645
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9355
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0645
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9355
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0645
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9355
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0635
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9365
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0635
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9365
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0635
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9365
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0640
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9360
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 84.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6480, Price range: 0.0680 - 0.9380

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0645
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9355
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9350
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0645
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0645
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0645
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0645
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0645
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0655
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9345
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0655
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9345
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0650
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9350
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0665
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9335
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0660
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9340
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0660
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9340
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0660
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9340
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0665
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9335
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0660
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9340
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0660
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9340
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0660
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9340
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 103.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.0670 - 0.9380

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0660
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9340
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0660
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9340
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0665
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9335
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0645
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9355
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0645
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9355
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0655
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9345
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0655
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9345
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0645
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9355
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0645
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9355
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0655
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9345
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0650
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9350
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9350
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0655
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9345
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0650
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9350
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9350
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9350
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0660
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9340
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0655
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9345
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0645
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9355
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0645
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9355
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0645
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9355
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0655
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9345
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0645
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9355
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0655
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9345
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0655
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 64.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5015, Price range: 0.0680 - 0.9350

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9360
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0730
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9270
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0765
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9235
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0760
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9240
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0780
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9220
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0765
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9235
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0745
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9255
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0760
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9240
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0780
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9220
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0780
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9220
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0790
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9210
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0780
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9220
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0795
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9205
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0790
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9210
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0800
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9200
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0800
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9200
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0760
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9240
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0770
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9230
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0775
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9225
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0785
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9215
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0775
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9225
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0785
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9215
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0790
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9210
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 759.08, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.5009, Price range: 0.0694 - 0.9330

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0760
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9240
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9250
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0745
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9255
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0720
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9280
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0720
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9280
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0720
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9280
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0710
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9290
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9280
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0715
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9285
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0710
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9290
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0710
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9290
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9280
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9280
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0715
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9285
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0725
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9275
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9280
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9280
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0725
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9275
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0715
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9285
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0715
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9285
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0725
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9275
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9280
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9280
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9280
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 510.99, Sell volume: 186.93, Average price: 0.3162, Price range: 0.0670 - 0.9230

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9205
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0810
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9190
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0825
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9175
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0825
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9175
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0820
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9180
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0830
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9170
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0825
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9175
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0785
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9215
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0790
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9210
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0795
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9205
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0815
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9185
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0825
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9175
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0830
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9170
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0825
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9175
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0815
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9185
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0795
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9205
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0795
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9205
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0810
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9190
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0830
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9170
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0760
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9240
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0740
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9260
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0770
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9230
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0775
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9225
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0770
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9230
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0795
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9205
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 251.84, Sell volume: 274.00, Average price: 0.3228, Price range: 0.0725 - 0.9280

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0770
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9230
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0770
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9230
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0780
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9220
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0765
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9235
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0765
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9235
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0775
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9225
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0745
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9255
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0715
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9285
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0735
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9265
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0740
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9260
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0735
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9265
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0715
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9285
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0725
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9275
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0725
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9275
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0715
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9285
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0715
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9285
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0710
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9290
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0710
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9290
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0715
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9285
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0715
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9285
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0640
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9360
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0605
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9395
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0575
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9425
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0575
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9425
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0570
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 19596.35, Sell volume: 2785.78, Average price: 0.7354, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 23.30, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.6336, Price range: 0.0909 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9000
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9000
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9000
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9050
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9000
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 129.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.1000
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.1000
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0440
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0425
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0435
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0410
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0430
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0440
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0485
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0445
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0445
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0425
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0430
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0435
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0425
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0405
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0405
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0435
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0440
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0510
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1406.58, Sell volume: 35.27, Average price: 0.6034, Price range: 0.0480 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9490
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9490
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9495
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9485
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9480
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9475
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9475
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9475
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9475
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9475
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9450
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 506.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3533, Price range: 0.0550 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0545
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0545
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0540
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0515
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0555
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0555
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0555
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0555
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0525
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0565
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0565
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0575
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1000.41, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.2809, Price range: 0.0561 - 0.9480
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9355
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9345
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9325
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9325
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9325
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9325
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9325
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9335
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9350
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9340
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9340
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9355
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9355
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9380
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9375
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9375
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9375
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9375
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9375
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9370
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9380
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9375
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9375
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9380
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9385
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9385
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9385
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9380
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9385
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 56.18, Sell volume: 346.00, Average price: 0.4145, Price range: 0.0627 - 0.9430
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0630
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0640
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0645
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0645
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0645
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0645
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0635
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0635
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0635
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0640
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0645
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 84.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6480, Price range: 0.0680 - 0.9380
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9355
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9350
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9345
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9345
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9350
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9335
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9340
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9340
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9340
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9335
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9340
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9340
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9340
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9340
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9340
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9340
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9340
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 103.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.0670 - 0.9380
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0660
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0660
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0665
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0645
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0645
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0655
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0655
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0645
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0645
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0655
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0650
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0655
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0650
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0660
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0655
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0645
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0645
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0645
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0655
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0645
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0655
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0655
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0655
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0655
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0650
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 64.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5015, Price range: 0.0680 - 0.9350
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9360
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9270
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9235
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9240
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9220
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9235
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9255
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9240
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9220
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9220
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9210
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9220
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9205
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9210
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9200
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9200
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9240
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9230
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9225
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9215
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9225
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9215
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9210
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9200
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9220
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9220
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9220
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 759.08, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.5009, Price range: 0.0694 - 0.9330
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0760
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0745
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0720
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0720
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0710
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0715
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0710
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0710
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0715
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0725
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0725
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0715
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0715
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0725
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0720
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0735
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0795
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0800
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 510.99, Sell volume: 186.93, Average price: 0.3162, Price range: 0.0670 - 0.9230
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9205
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9190
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9175
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9175
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9180
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9170
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9175
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9215
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9210
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9205
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9185
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9175
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9170
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9175
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9185
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9205
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9205
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9190
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9170
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9240
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9260
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9230
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9225
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9230
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9205
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9225
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9210
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9230
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9235
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 251.84, Sell volume: 274.00, Average price: 0.3228, Price range: 0.0725 - 0.9280
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538687
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Hungary?
Volume: 28326.0039
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0770
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0770
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0780
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0765
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0765
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0775
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0745
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0715
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0735
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0740
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0735
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0715
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0725
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0725
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0715
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0715
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0710
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0710
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0715
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0715
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0640
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0605
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0575
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0575
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0570
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0570
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0570
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0605
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0520
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 19596.35, Sell volume: 2785.78, Average price: 0.7354, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4550
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5450
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.4450
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.5550
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.4650
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.5350
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.4700
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.5300
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.4700
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.5300
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.4750
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.5250
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.4550
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.5450
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.4550
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.5450
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.4550
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.5450
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.4550
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.5450
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.4450
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.5550
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.4450
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.5550
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.4450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.5550
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.4500
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.5500
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.4500
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.5500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.5050
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.4950
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.5050
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.5050
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.4950
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.5050
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.4950
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.5050
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.4950
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.4800
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.5200
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.4800
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.5200
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.4950
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.5050
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.5100
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 676.21, Sell volume: 57.11, Average price: 0.5219, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.5250
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.4950
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.4950
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.4950
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.4950
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.4950
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.4950
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.4950
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.4950
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.4950
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.4950
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.4950
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.4950
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.4900
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.5100
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.4900
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.5100
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.4850
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.5150
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.4850
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.5150
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.4850
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.4550
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.5450
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.4550
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.5450
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.4700
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.5300
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.4750
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.5250
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.4700
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.5300
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.4800
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.5200
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.4800
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.5200
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1072.12, Sell volume: 173.78, Average price: 0.4989, Price range: 0.4626 - 0.5476

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.4650
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.5350
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.4650
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.5350
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.5600
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.5750
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.5750
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.4550
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.5450
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.4550
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.5450
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.4650
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.5350
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.4950
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.5050
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.4800
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.5200
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.4800
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.5200
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.4800
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.5200
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.5150
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.4950
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.5050
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.4950
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.5050
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.4950
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.5050
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.4900
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.5100
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.4900
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.5100
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.4900
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.5100
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.4900
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.5100
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.4900
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.5100
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.4900
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.5100
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 1795.14, Sell volume: 39654.50, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4700
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4650
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5350
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4650
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5350
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4650
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5350
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4650
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5350
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4700
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4700
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4700
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4700
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 744.98, Sell volume: 280.57, Average price: 0.5088, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.4700
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.4700
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.4650
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.5250
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.5250
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.5250
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5250
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.5250
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.5250
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.4700
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.5300
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.5250
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.4700
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.5300
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.4700
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.5300
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.4700
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.5300
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.4700
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.5300
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 114.37, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.4750
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.5250
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.4750
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.5250
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.4750
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.5250
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.4750
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.5250
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4700
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4700
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.4700
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.4700
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.4700
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 24684.74, Sell volume: 24203.00, Average price: 0.4883, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.5400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.4700
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.4700
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.4700
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.4700
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.4800
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.5200
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.4750
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.5250
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.4800
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.5200
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.4850
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.5150
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.4850
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.5150
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.4850
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.5150
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.4800
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.5200
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.4750
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.5250
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.5250
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5250
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.5250
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5250
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5250
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.5250
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.5250
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.5250
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.5250
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5250
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.5200
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.4800
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 3346.79, Sell volume: 735.87, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.3878 - 0.5600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.4500
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.4550
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.5450
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.4550
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.5450
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.4550
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.5450
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.4850
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.4850
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.4850
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.4850
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.4850
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.4800
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.4800
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.4850
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.4800
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.4800
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.4750
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.5250
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.4750
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.5250
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.4750
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.5250
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.4700
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.5300
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.4700
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.5300
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.4750
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.5250
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 3715.45, Sell volume: 164.84, Average price: 0.5142, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.5400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.4700
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.5300
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.4800
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.5200
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.4850
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.5150
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.4850
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.5150
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.4850
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.5150
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.4850
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.5150
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.4850
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.5150
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.4850
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5150
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.4850
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 193.94, Sell volume: 1006.60, Average price: 0.5024, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.5100
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.4900
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 1696.96, Sell volume: 288.59, Average price: 0.5095, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.5500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.4750
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.4750
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.5200
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.4800
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5200
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.4800
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.4750
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.4750
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4750
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4750
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4750
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4750
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4750
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4750
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1899.02, Sell volume: 600.65, Average price: 0.5306, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.5600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.5800
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.4200
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.5750
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.5150
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.5150
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.5150
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.5100
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.4900
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.5100
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.4900
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.4950
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.5050
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.4950
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.5050
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.5100
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.4900
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.5050
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.4950
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.5050
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.4950
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.5250
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.4750
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.5300
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.4700
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.5300
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.4700
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.5200
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.4800
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5050
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4950
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5100
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4900
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5100
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4900
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.5100
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4900
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5100
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.4900
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5100
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4900
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.4950
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.5050
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 3741.90, Sell volume: 472.79, Average price: 0.5092, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5628

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5050
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.4950
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.5050
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4950
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5100
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4900
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5100
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4900
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4850
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5150
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4850
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5150
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4850
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5250
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4750
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.4950
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.5050
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.4900
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.5100
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.4900
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.5100
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.5200
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 6937.45, Sell volume: 2042.12, Average price: 0.5570, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4550
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.4450
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.4650
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.4700
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.4700
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.4750
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.4550
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.4550
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.4550
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.4550
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.4450
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.4450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.4450
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.4500
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.4500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.5050
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.5050
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.5050
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.5050
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.5050
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.4800
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.4800
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.4950
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.5100
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.5150
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.4900
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.4650
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 676.21, Sell volume: 57.11, Average price: 0.5219, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.5250
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.5050
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.5100
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.5100
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.5150
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.5150
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.5450
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.5450
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.5300
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.5250
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.5300
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.5200
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.5200
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.5200
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.5200
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.5200
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.5300
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1072.12, Sell volume: 173.78, Average price: 0.4989, Price range: 0.4626 - 0.5476
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.4650
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.4650
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.4550
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.4550
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.4650
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.4950
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.4800
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.4800
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.4800
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.4850
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.4950
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.4950
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.4950
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.4900
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.4900
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.4900
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.4900
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.4900
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.4900
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.4900
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 1795.14, Sell volume: 39654.50, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5350
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5350
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5350
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5350
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 744.98, Sell volume: 280.57, Average price: 0.5088, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.4700
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.4700
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.4700
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.4700
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.4700
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.4700
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.4700
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.4750
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.4750
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 114.37, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.5250
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.5250
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.5250
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.5250
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.5300
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 24684.74, Sell volume: 24203.00, Average price: 0.4883, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.5400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.4700
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.4700
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.4700
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.4700
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.4800
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.4750
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.4800
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.4850
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.4850
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.4850
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.4800
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.4800
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.4800
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.4800
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.4750
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.4650
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.4000
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 3346.79, Sell volume: 735.87, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.3878 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.5500
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.5450
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.5450
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.5450
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.5250
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.5250
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.5250
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.5300
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.5300
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.5250
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.5250
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.5250
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.5250
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 3715.45, Sell volume: 164.84, Average price: 0.5142, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.5400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.4700
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.4800
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.4850
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.4850
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.4850
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.4850
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.4850
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.4850
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.4850
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.4850
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 193.94, Sell volume: 1006.60, Average price: 0.5024, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.4900
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.4850
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.4850
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.4850
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.4550
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 1696.96, Sell volume: 288.59, Average price: 0.5095, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.5200
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5200
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.5450
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.5450
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1899.02, Sell volume: 600.65, Average price: 0.5306, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.4200
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.4900
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.4900
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.5050
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.5050
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.4900
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.4950
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.4950
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.4750
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.4700
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.4700
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.4800
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4950
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4900
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4900
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4900
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.4900
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4900
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.5050
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.5100
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.5100
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.5100
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.5100
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 3741.90, Sell volume: 472.79, Average price: 0.5092, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5628
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538688
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Italy?
Volume: 159498.104226
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5050
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.5050
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5100
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5100
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4850
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4850
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5250
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.4950
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.4900
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.4900
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.5200
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.5200
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.5250
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.7400
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 6937.45, Sell volume: 2042.12, Average price: 0.5570, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9250
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9250
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9250
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9250
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9250
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9250
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9300
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9250
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9300
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9300
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9300
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9300
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9300
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9300
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9300
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 270.01, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.4280, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 66.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9150
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9150
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9150
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9150
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9200
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9200
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9200
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9200
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9200
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9200
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9200
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9150
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0850
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9100
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.1200
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.8800
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.1200
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.8800
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.1200
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.8800
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.1300
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.8700
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.1300
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.8700
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.1250
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2015.15, Sell volume: 414.56, Average price: 0.5208, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.8800
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.1650
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.8350
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.1550
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.8450
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.1550
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.8450
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.1600
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.8400
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.1550
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.8450
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.1500
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.8500
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.1550
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.8450
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.1550
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.8450
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.1400
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.1450
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.8550
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.1500
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.8500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.1400
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.1400
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.1400
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.1450
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.8550
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.1400
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.1400
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.1400
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.1400
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.1400
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.1400
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.1400
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.1150
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.8850
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.1150
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.8850
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1527.59, Sell volume: 401.10, Average price: 0.7745, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1350
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.8650
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.1350
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.8650
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1350
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 98.00, Sell volume: 62.70, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.8650
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.1350
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.8650
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.1350
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.8650
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.8650
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1350
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.8650
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1250
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8750
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.1300
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.8700
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.1300
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.8700
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.8700
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1700
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.8300
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.1750
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.8250
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.1650
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.8350
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.1650
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.8350
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1650
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.8350
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1650
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.8350
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.1700
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8300
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1700
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.8300
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.1800
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.8200
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.8150
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.1800
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 121.81, Sell volume: 1060.87, Average price: 0.6429, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.1700
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.8300
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.1700
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.8300
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1700
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.8300
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.1450
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.8550
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.1550
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.8450
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.8150
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.1900
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.8100
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.8050
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.8050
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.8100
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.8150
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.8100
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.8050
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.8100
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.8150
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.8150
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1800
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 839.00, Sell volume: 640.98, Average price: 0.7422, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.8150
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1900
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.8100
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.8150
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.8150
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.1500
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.8500
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1600
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.8400
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.1450
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.8550
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.1600
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.8400
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.1600
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.8400
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.1600
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8400
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1600
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.8400
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.1650
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.1650
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.1650
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1650
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1650
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.1650
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.1650
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.1650
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 468.00, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.8387, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538689
Question: Will the next Pope after Francis be from Ghana?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18737.864783
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.1650
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.8350
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.8500
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.8500
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.1450
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.8550
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.8650
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.1400
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.8600
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.1450
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.8550
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.1350
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.8650
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.1350
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.8650
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.1350
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.8650
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.1400
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.8600
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.1400
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.8600
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.1400
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.8600
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.1350
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.8650
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.1450
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.8550
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.1400
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.8600
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1350
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 465.34, Average price: 0.1500, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.1500

Output: Yes