Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.4100
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.4100
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.4100
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.4100
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.2150
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.2150
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.2200
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.2200
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.2150
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.2200
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.2200
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.2150
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.2150
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.2250
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.2300
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.2300
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.2350
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.2350
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.2350
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.2350
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.2350
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.2350
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.2350
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.2350
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.4100
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.3950
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.2150
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.3600
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.3500
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.3500
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.3450
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.3450
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.3450
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.3450
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 129.00, Sell volume: 68.24, Average price: 0.6529, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.3450
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.3450
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.3450
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.3450
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.1700
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.3050
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.3050
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.3050
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.2650
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.2700
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.3050
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.3000
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.4400
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.5450
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.5600
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.5250
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.5250
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.5100
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.5850
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.4500
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.4200
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.6050
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.7200
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.7200
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.6250
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.5900
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.7250
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.5600
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.5900
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.5900
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.7000
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.7250
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.5200
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.5600
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.4650
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.4650
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.4650
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.5250
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.5250
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.5300
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.5200
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.5700
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.6350
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 169, Buy volume: 3982.84, Sell volume: 3396.77, Average price: 0.3703, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.5150
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.5100
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.5150
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.2800
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.2900
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.2800
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.2050
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.2450
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.2450
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.2500
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.2450
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.2500
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.2000
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.2050
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.2300
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.2300
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.2300
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.2200
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.2300
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.2700
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.2700
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.2700
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.2700
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.2250
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.2200
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.2200
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.1800
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.1800
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.1850
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.1500
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.1450
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.1450
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.1450
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.1450
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.1450
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.1950
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.2350
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 4707.60, Sell volume: 186.72, Average price: 0.4335, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.2600
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.2600
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.2600
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.2600
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.2600
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.2100
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.2100
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.2350
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.2150
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.2350
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.2250
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.2250
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.2350
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.2150
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.2050
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.1950
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.1950
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.2100
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.1950
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.2250
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.2200
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.2200
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1378.96, Sell volume: 446.60, Average price: 0.4773, Price range: 0.1882 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.1950
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.1850
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.1850
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.1850
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.1850
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.1800
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.1700
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.1700
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.1700
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.1650
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.1150
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.1250
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.1250
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.1200
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.0800
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0950
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0950
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0800
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0900
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0900
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0850
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.1050
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 9726.44, Sell volume: 708.91, Average price: 0.7339, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9599

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0500
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0350
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0750
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0745
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0745
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0750
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0745
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.1840
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.1835
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.1515
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.1285
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.1340
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.1135
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.1235
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.1175
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.1180
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.1220
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.1125
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.1415
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.1205
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.1200
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.1165
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.1105
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.1345
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.1850
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.1850
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.1850
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.1345
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.1425
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.1425
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.1365
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.1360
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.1385
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.1380
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.1380
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.1390
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.1390
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.1400
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.1400
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.1400
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.1320
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.1805
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.1815
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.1780
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.1715
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.1705
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.1560
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.1630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 12689.65, Sell volume: 578.80, Average price: 0.2692, Price range: 0.0403 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.1335
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.1645
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.1745
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.1710
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.1615
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.1655
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.1655
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.1255
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.1420
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.1415
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.1385
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.1380
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.2605
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.3905
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.3605
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.3505
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.3630
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.3635
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.3640
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.3625
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.2540
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.2540
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.2525
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.3095
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.2565
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.2575
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.2510
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.3235
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.2985
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.2920
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.3130
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.2255
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.2665
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.2645
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.2645
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.2735
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.2775
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.2775
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.2755
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.2755
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.2755
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.2790
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.2780
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.2780
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.2755
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.2795
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.2830
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.2840
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.2830
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.2840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 15580.16, Sell volume: 625.33, Average price: 0.2995, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9530

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.2975
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.3075
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.3100
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.5230
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.4555
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.6065
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.6070
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.5625
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.5655
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.6735
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.6690
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.6320
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.6005
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.6580
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.6570
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.6385
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.6500
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.6600
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.6755
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.6665
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.7680
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.7645
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.7195
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.7495
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.7695
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.7185
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.7360
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.7295
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.7305
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.7210
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.7955
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.8285
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.7115
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.7240
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.7610
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.7645
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.7140
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.7135
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.7465
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.7545
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.7580
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.7565
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.7560
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.7680
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.7765
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.7810
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.7125
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.7200
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.7175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 309, Buy volume: 14670.58, Sell volume: 8949.59, Average price: 0.5264, Price range: 0.1790 - 0.8096

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.7205
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.7210
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.7225
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.7260
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.7230
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.7440
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.7435
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.7475
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.7510
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.7405
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.7410
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.6905
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.6865
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.6855
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.6820
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.6875
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.6885
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.7250
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.7275
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.7275
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.7390
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.7300
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.7165
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.7195
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.7240
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.7305
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.7000
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.7060
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.7075
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.7150
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.7005
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.6885
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.6820
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.6820
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.6815
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.6815
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.6815
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.6815
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.6805
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.6815
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.6815
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.6850
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.6900
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.6755
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.6755
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.6630
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.6790
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.6585
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.6790
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.6735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 6735.29, Sell volume: 8692.80, Average price: 0.6278, Price range: 0.2379 - 0.7690

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.6720
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.6720
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.6720
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.6720
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.6700
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.6700
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.6705
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.6705
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.6755
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.6770
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.6725
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.6710
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.6715
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.6745
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.6740
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.6740
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.6740
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.6740
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.6740
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.6745
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.6755
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.6950
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.6985
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.6985
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.6980
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.6980
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.6980
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.6980
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.6980
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.6985
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.6985
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.6985
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.6985
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.6985
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.6985
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.6985
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.6985
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.6985
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.6985
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.7235
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.6985
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.7100
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.7180
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.7195
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.7245
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.7250
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.7250
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.7255
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.7250
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 15749.12, Sell volume: 3642.08, Average price: 0.4260, Price range: 0.2635 - 0.7470

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.7215
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.7240
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.7295
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.7320
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.7330
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.7275
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.7275
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.7640
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.7555
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.7610
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.7680
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.7575
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.7860
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.7840
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.7770
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.8205
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9930
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9895
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9880
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9890
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.9905
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9930
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9925
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.9925
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9925
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203, Buy volume: 106185.56, Sell volume: 29833.61, Average price: 0.5502, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9976

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.6000
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.4100
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.5800
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.5800
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.5800
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.6750
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.5000
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 125.89, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5167, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.4900
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.5100
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.4850
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.4150
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.2900
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.7100
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.2900
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.7150
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.3000
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.7150
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.3000
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.7100
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.2900
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.5900
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.5900
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.3650
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.5900
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.4800
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.6100
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.4350
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.5150
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.4850
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 133.27, Sell volume: 7.24, Average price: 0.5674, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.4100
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.5900
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.4100
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.7850
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.2200
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.7800
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.2200
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.7800
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.2150
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.7750
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.2300
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.7650
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.2350
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.7650
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.2350
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.7650
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.4100
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.6050
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.3600
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 129.00, Sell volume: 68.24, Average price: 0.6529, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.3450
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.6550
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.3450
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.8300
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.3050
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.6950
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.2700
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.6950
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.4400
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.5950
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.5450
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.4500
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.5250
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.5850
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.3950
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.7200
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.3750
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.7250
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.4400
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.5900
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.3000
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.4650
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.5350
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.4650
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 169, Buy volume: 3982.84, Sell volume: 3396.77, Average price: 0.3703, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.5150
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.4900
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.2800
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.7100
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.2050
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.7550
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.2500
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.7550
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.2000
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.7950
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.2350
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.7650
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.2300
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.7650
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.2200
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.7700
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.7600
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.2400
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.7600
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.2700
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.7300
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.2700
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.7650
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.2200
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.7800
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.1800
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.8150
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.1450
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 4707.60, Sell volume: 186.72, Average price: 0.4335, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.2600
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.7500
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.2600
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.7400
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.7350
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.7350
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.7350
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.7350
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.7350
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.2100
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.7900
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.2150
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.7650
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.2250
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.7650
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.7950
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.1950
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.7900
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.1950
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.8150
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.2250
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.7800
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.2200
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1378.96, Sell volume: 446.60, Average price: 0.4773, Price range: 0.1882 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.1950
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.8150
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.1850
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.8150
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.1750
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.8250
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.1700
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.8300
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.1150
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.8750
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.1200
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.9200
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.9250
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0950
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9250
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0900
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9100
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9050
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9050
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.9050
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.8850
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 9726.44, Sell volume: 708.91, Average price: 0.7339, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9599
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0500
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.9650
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.9250
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0745
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.9250
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.1840
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.8165
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.1285
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.8660
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.1235
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.8825
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.1220
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.8875
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.1205
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.8800
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.1105
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.8655
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.1850
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.8150
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.1425
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.8575
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.1360
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.8615
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.1380
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.8610
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.1400
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.8600
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.1320
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.8195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 12689.65, Sell volume: 578.80, Average price: 0.2692, Price range: 0.0403 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.1335
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.8355
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.1710
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.8385
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.1655
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.8745
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.1415
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.8615
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.2605
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.6095
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.3505
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.6370
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.3640
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.6375
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.2540
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.7475
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.2565
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.7425
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.3235
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.7015
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.3130
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.7745
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.2645
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.7355
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.2775
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.7225
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.2755
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.7245
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.2780
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.7220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 15580.16, Sell volume: 625.33, Average price: 0.2995, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9530
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.2975
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.6950
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.3100
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.4770
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.6065
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.3930
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.5655
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.3265
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.6320
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.3995
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.6570
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.3615
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.6600
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.3245
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.7680
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.2355
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.7495
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.2305
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.7360
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.2705
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.7210
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.2045
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.7115
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.2760
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.7645
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.2860
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.7465
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.2455
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.7565
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.2440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 309, Buy volume: 14670.58, Sell volume: 8949.59, Average price: 0.5264, Price range: 0.1790 - 0.8096
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.7205
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.2790
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.7260
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.2770
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.7435
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.2525
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.7405
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.2590
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.6865
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.3145
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.6875
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.3115
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.7275
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.2725
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.7300
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.2835
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.7240
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.2695
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.7060
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.2925
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.7005
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.3115
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.6820
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.3185
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.6815
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.3185
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.6815
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.3185
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.6900
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.3245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 6735.29, Sell volume: 8692.80, Average price: 0.6278, Price range: 0.2379 - 0.7690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.6720
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.3280
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.6720
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.3300
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.6705
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.3295
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.6770
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.3275
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.6715
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.3255
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.6740
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.3260
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.6740
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.3255
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.6950
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.3015
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.6980
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.3020
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.6980
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.3020
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.6985
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.3015
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.6985
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.3015
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.6985
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.3015
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.7235
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.3015
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.7180
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.2805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 15749.12, Sell volume: 3642.08, Average price: 0.4260, Price range: 0.2635 - 0.7470
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518543
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski  vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 261271.026818
Price History:
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.7215
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.2760
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.7320
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.2670
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.7275
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.2360
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.7610
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.2320
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.7860
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.2160
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.8205
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0070
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9880
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0110
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9930
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203, Buy volume: 106185.56, Sell volume: 29833.61, Average price: 0.5502, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9976
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.1800
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.2300
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.7100
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.3100
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.6950
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.2750
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.7250
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.2700
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.7300
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.2700
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.7400
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.2850
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.7150
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.2900
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.7150
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.2850
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.7150
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.2850
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.7150
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.2850
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.7150
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.3250
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.6500
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.3550
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.7600
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.2200
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.7050
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.3550
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.6550
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.3350
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.6200
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.3850
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.6200
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.4050
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.5850
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.3950
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.5850
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.4000
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.7850
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.7650
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.2550
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.7350
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.2400
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.7250
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.3100
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.7250
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.7200
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.3100
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.6800
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.3450
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.6550
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.6350
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.3650
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.6350
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.3700
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.6200
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.2800
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.7300
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.2700
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.7350
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.2700
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.7650
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7250
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.2700
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.7300
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.2750
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.6950
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.3100
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.6800
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.3250
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.6800
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.3200
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.6750
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.3250
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.6800
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.3250
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.6600
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.3400
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.6600
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.3400
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.6350
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.3550
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.6050
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.3900
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.6100
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.4150
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.5650
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.4350
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.5950
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.4000
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.4450
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.6050
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.4250
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.5600
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.4400
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.5650
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.4350
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.5700
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.4350
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.5700
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.4600
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.5450
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.4650
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.5350
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.4600
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.5450
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.4600
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.5400
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.5450
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.4550
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.5450
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.4550
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.5500
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.4400
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.4750
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.5300
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.4400
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.5600
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.4450
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.5550
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.4250
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5850
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.4250
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.5850
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.4250
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.5800
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.4250
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.5800
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.4250
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.5750
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.4250
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.5700
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4350
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5650
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4350
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5750
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.5750
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.4250
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.5750
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.4250
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5750
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4250
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.5750
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4250
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5750
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.4250
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5800
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.4200
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.5800
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.4200
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.5750
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.4300
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.5650
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.4850
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.5550
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5300
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.5500
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.4500
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.5450
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.4500
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.5400
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.4550
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.5450
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.4650
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.5350
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.4500
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.5400
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.4650
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.5400
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.4900
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.5550
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.4450
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.5600
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.4350
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.5650
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.4400
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.5600
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.4650
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.5450
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.4550
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.5500
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.5400
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.4600
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.5350
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.5350
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.5400
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.4600
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.5400
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.4600
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.5400
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.4750
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.5250
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.4750
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.5250
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.4750
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.5250
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.4750
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.5250
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.4750
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.5250
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.4750
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.5250
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.4750
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.5350
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.4650
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.6200
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.3850
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.6200
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.4150
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.5850
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.4150
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.5900
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.3800
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.6250
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.3750
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.6000
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.4100
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.5850
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.5950
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.4150
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.5850
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.4150
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.5850
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.4100
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.5950
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.4150
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.5850
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.4150
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.5850
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.4150
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.5850
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.4150
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.5800
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.4250
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.5800
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.4450
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.5600
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.5650
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.4350
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.5650
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.4350
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.5550
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.4450
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.5550
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.4450
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.5600
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.4400
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.5350
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.4650
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.5500
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.4600
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.5350
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.5550
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.4450
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.5550
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.4650
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.5350
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.4600
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.5400
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.4600
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.5250
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.4750
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.5450
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.5450
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.4550
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.5450
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.5450
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.4550
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.5450
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.4550
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.5450
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.4550
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.5450
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.4550
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.5450
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.5750
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.4400
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.5600
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.4400
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.5700
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.4300
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.5750
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.6000
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.4200
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.5850
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.4150
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.5950
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.4150
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.5850
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.4100
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.5850
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.4400
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.5550
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.4450
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.5650
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.4350
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.5550
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.4450
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.5450
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.4500
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.5450
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.4450
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.5550
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.4400
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.5600
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.4450
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.5550
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.4450
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.5650
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.5600
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.4400
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.5600
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.5600
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.4400
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.5650
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.4400
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.5650
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.4300
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.5700
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.4300
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.5700
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.4350
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.5650
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.4350
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.5650
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.4350
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.5700
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.4350
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.5650
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.4350
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.5650
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.4300
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.5850
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.4250
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.5700
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.4150
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.5900
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.4250
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.5800
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.4200
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.5800
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.4150
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.5850
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.4050
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.6000
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.4000
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.6000
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.3900
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.6150
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.3850
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.6150
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.3850
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.6150
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.6150
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.3850
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.6150
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.6250
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.3750
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.6250
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.3700
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.6300
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.3700
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3600
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.6400
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.3550
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.6450
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.6450
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.3550
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.6450
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.3550
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.6450
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.3550
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.6450
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.3550
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.6450
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.3550
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.3550
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.6450
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.6350
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.3650
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.3650
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.3650
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.3650
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.3750
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.6450
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.3550
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.6550
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.3450
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.3450
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.3450
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.3450
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.6600
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.3450
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.6550
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.3450
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.6550
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.3550
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.6450
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.6450
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.3400
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.6600
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.3400
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.6600
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.3400
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.6600
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.3400
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.6600
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.3400
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.6600
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.3400
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.6600
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.3400
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.6600
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.3400
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.6600
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.3400
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.6600
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.6600
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.6600
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.6600
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.6600
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.6550
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.3450
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.6550
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.3450
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9885
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0100
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0095
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9910
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0030
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0030
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0030
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9970
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0030
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9980
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.1800
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.7700
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.3250
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.7200
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.2700
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.7300
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.2600
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.7150
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.2900
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.7150
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.2850
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.7150
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.3400
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.6450
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.7050
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.3450
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.6450
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.3800
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.5950
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.3950
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.5950
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.2350
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.7450
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.7350
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.2750
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.2750
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.3150
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.6850
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.3450
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.6350
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.3650
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.3050
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.7300
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.2700
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.7950
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.2700
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.7300
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.3050
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.6800
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.3200
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.6750
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.3250
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.6750
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.3400
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.6650
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.3750
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.6150
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.3900
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.5650
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.4050
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.6000
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.4000
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.4450
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.5400
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.4400
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.5700
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.4350
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.5700
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.5350
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.4600
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.5400
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.5450
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.4550
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.5500
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.4450
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.5600
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.5600
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.4150
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.5850
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.4350
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.5750
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.4200
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.5750
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4350
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5650
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.4250
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.5700
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.5750
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.4250
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.5750
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4250
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.5750
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.4250
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.5800
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.4200
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.5750
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.4350
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.5550
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.4700
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.5400
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.4550
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.4550
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.5350
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.5400
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.4600
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.5550
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.4450
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.5650
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.4350
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.5600
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.4650
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.5450
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.4500
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.5500
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.5400
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.4600
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.5400
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.4600
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.5400
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.4600
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.5250
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.4750
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.5250
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.4750
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.5250
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.5250
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.4750
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.5350
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.3800
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.6200
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.4150
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.5850
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.3850
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.6250
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.4100
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.4150
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.5900
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.5950
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.4150
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.5850
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.4150
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.5850
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.4150
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.5850
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.4150
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.5750
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.4200
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.5600
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.4350
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.5650
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.4350
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.5550
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.5550
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.4400
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.5350
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.4500
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.5350
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.4450
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.5600
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.4600
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.5400
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.4600
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.5250
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.5450
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.5450
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.4550
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.5450
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.4550
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.5450
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.4550
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.5450
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.5750
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.4400
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.5700
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.4300
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.6150
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.4050
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.5950
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.4150
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.5900
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.4350
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.5600
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.4350
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.5550
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.4450
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.4400
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.5600
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.4450
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.5550
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.4350
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.5550
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.5600
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.4400
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.5550
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.4400
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.5600
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.4300
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.5700
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.4350
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.5650
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.4350
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.5700
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.4350
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.5650
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.4300
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.5950
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.4150
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.5750
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.4200
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.5800
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.4150
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.6000
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.4000
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.6100
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.3850
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.6150
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.6150
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.3850
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.6250
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.6250
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.3750
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.3700
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.6300
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.3600
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.6450
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.3550
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.6450
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.3550
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.6450
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.3550
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.6350
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.3650
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.6350
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.3500
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.6550
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.3450
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.3450
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.6550
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.3400
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.6550
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.6600
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.3450
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.6550
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.3550
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.6450
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.3400
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.6600
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.3400
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.6600
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.3400
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.6600
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.3400
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.6600
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.3400
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.6600
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.6600
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.6600
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.3450
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.6550
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9905
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9910
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525007
Question: Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
Volume: 2254075.406939
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0030
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9980
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 262605620.22, Sell volume: 127889010.43, Average price: 0.6593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.7900
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.7550
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.6050
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.6050
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.6000
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.6350
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.6350
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.6400
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.6450
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.6450
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.6450
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.6450
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.6450
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.6450
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.6450
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.6450
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.6450
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.6450
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.6450
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.6450
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.6450
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.6450
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.6450
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.6450
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.6450
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.6450
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.6450
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.6450
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.6450
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.6500
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.6500
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.6500
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.6500
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.6450
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.6350
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6400
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.6400
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.6400
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.6350
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.6350
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.6350
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.6400
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.6400
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.6400
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.6400
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.6400
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.6400
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.6350
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.6350
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.6350
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.6350
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.6350
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.6450
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.6350
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.6450
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.6450
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.6450
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.6450
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.6450
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.6500
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.6450
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.6450
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.6450
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.6450
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.6450
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.6450
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.6550
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.6600
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.6600
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.6650
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.6650
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.6650
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.6650
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.6650
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.6750
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.6750
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.6750
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.6750
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.6750
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.6750
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.6750
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.6750
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.6750
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.6750
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.6750
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.6750
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.6750
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.6750
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.6750
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.6750
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.6750
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.6750
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.6750
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.6850
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.6950
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.7000
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.6950
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.6950
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.7000
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.7050
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.7200
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.7200
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.7200
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.7200
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.7200
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.7200
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.7200
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.7250
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.7250
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.7250
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.7250
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.7250
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.7450
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.7450
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.7450
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.7550
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.7750
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.7800
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.7800
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.7800
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.7850
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.7800
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.7800
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.7800
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.7800
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.7800
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.7800
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.7800
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.7800
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.7800
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.7800
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7750
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.8000
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.8050
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.8050
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.8050
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.8100
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.8100
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.8150
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.8150
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.8150
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.8200
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.8200
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.7950
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.7950
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.7950
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.7950
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.7950
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.7950
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.7950
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.7950
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.7950
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.7950
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.7950
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.7950
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.8000
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.8000
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.8000
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.8000
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.8000
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.8000
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.8100
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.8200
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.8200
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.8250
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.8300
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.8300
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.8150
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.8350
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.8200
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.8300
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.8300
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.8300
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.8300
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.8300
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.8300
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.8300
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.8300
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.8300
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.8300
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.8300
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.8300
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.8350
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.8350
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.8350
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.8350
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.8350
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.8350
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.8350
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.8350
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.8250
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.8250
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.8150
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.8150
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.8150
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.8150
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.8150
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.8150
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.8150
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.8150
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.8150
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.8150
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.8150
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.8150
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.8100
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.8100
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.8100
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.8100
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.8100
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.8100
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.8100
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.8100
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.8100
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.8100
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.8100
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.8100
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.8100
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.8050
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.8050
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.8050
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.8050
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.8050
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.8050
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.8050
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.8050
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.8050
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.8050
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.8050
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.8050
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.8000
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.8000
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.8000
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.7950
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.8000
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.8000
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.8000
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.8000
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.8050
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.8050
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.8050
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.8050
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.8050
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.8050
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.8050
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.8050
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.8000
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.7950
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.7950
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.7950
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.7950
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.7950
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.7950
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.7950
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.7850
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.7850
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.7850
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.7850
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.7850
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.7850
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.7900
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.7900
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.7900
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.7950
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.7950
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.7950
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.7950
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.7900
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.7900
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.7900
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.7900
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.7850
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.7800
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.7800
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.7800
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.7800
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.7800
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.7800
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.7900
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.7750
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.7750
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.7550
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.7600
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.7300
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.7300
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.7250
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.7300
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.7300
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.7200
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.7200
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.7250
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.7250
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.7300
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.7300
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.7350
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.7350
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.7350
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.7350
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.7400
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.7350
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.7400
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.7400
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.7400
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.7400
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.7400
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.7450
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.7450
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.7450
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.7450
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.7350
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.7300
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.7350
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.7400
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.7350
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.7350
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.7350
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.7350
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.7500
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.7500
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.7550
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.7450
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.7700
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.7700
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.7900
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.7900
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.7850
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.8150
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.8150
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.8150
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.8200
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.8200
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.8200
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.8200
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.8300
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.8200
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.8200
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.8200
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.8250
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.8250
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.8250
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.8250
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.8250
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.8250
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.8350
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.8400
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.8400
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.8400
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.8400
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.8400
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.8350
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.8350
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.8400
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.8400
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.8400
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.8400
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.8400
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.8450
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.8500
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.8450
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.8500
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.8450
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.8500
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.8500
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.8500
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.8500
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.8650
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.8650
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.8650
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.8650
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.8650
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.8650
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.8650
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.8650
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.8650
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.8650
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.8650
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.8700
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.8650
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.8550
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.8550
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.8650
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.8600
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.8800
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.8650
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.8700
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.8700
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.8450
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.8450
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.8500
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.8650
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.8400
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.8450
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.8450
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.8500
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.8500
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.8650
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.8450
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.8450
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.8450
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.8350
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.8550
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.8750
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.8750
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.7950
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.1900
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.8200
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.8050
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7650
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.2350
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7650
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.2650
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.2700
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.7350
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.2650
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.2650
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.3200
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.2650
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.2700
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.8050
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.7750
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.8150
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.8000
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.1800
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.8300
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.1550
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.8200
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.1750
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.1750
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.1500
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.1500
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.1550
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.1600
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.8900
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.8800
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.8450
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.1850
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.8200
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.8200
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.2050
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7850
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.2000
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.8000
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.8050
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.7900
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.1650
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.1550
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.8450
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.8450
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.8500
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.8450
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.1500
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.1500
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.1900
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.8100
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.1900
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.8150
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.8150
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.8200
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.1850
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.2050
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.2050
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.2050
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.2100
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.7950
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.2050
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.7950
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.7950
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.8100
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.2000
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.2000
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.7950
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.7950
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.7950
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.7800
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.2200
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.2000
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.7950
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.2000
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.8000
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.1900
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.2050
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.1900
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.2000
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.8000
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.1800
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.8450
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.8550
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.8650
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.8650
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8650
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9100
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0700
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0650
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9350
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0650
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9350
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0650
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0700
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0600
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0600
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9635
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9580
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9460
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9450
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9340
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9290
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9185
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.8900
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.8905
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0845
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9160
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0880
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9125
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0945
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9165
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9355
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0695
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9325
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0620
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0575
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0615
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0645
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0645
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0785
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0785
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0715
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0650
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0690
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9280
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9370
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0760
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999997, Buy volume: 388147831.34, Sell volume: 103163406.05, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.7900
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.6200
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.6100
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.6350
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.6450
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.6450
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.6450
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.6450
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.6450
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.6450
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.6450
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.6450
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.6450
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.6450
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.6500
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.6500
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.6450
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.6350
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.6400
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6400
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.6400
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.6350
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.6400
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.6400
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.6400
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.6400
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.6400
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.6350
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.6350
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.6350
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.6350
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.6400
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.6450
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.6450
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.6500
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.6450
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.6450
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.6450
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.6550
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.6600
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.6700
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.6650
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.6750
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.6750
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.6750
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.6750
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.6750
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.6750
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.6750
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.6750
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.6750
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.6750
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.6750
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.6750
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.6750
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.6900
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.6950
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.6950
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.7050
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.7200
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.7200
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.7200
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.7200
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.7250
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.7250
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.7350
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.7450
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.7550
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.7800
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.7800
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.7850
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.7800
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.7800
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.7800
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.7800
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.7800
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.7800
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.8000
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.8050
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.8100
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.8100
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.8150
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.8200
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.7950
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.7950
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.7950
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.7950
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.7950
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.7950
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.7950
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.8000
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.8000
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.8000
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.8000
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.8200
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.8250
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.8250
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.8350
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.8300
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.8300
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.8300
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.8300
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.8300
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.8300
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.8300
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.8300
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.8300
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.8350
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.8350
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.8350
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.8350
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.8250
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.8150
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.8150
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.8150
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.8150
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.8150
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.8150
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.8150
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.8150
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.8100
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.8100
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.8100
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.8100
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.8100
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.8100
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.8100
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.8050
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.8050
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.8050
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.8050
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.8050
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.8050
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.8050
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.8050
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.8000
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.8000
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.7950
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.8000
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.8000
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.8050
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.8050
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.8050
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.8050
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.8000
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.7950
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.7950
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.7950
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.7850
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.7850
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.7850
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.7850
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.7900
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.7900
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.7950
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.7950
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.7900
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.7900
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.7850
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.7800
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.7800
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.7800
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.7850
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.7850
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes