Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513152
Question: Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 3195690.654341
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.0025
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.0025
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0025
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.0025
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.0025
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.0025
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.0025
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0065
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0065
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.0065
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.0065
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.0065
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.0065
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0065
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0065
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.0065
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.0065
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.0065
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.0065
2024-12-21 04:00: 0.0065
2024-12-21 08:00: 0.0065
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 53780552.02, Sell volume: 34564846.21, Average price: 0.6599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513152
Question: Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 3195690.654341
Price History:
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0025
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.0025
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0110
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.0120
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.0120
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0120
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.0135
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.0155
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0150
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0155
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.0150
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0175
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.0175
2024-12-24 00:00: 0.0120
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0150
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.0175
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0130
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.0125
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0190
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.0195
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0185
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.0170
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.0180
2024-12-25 16:00: 0.0185
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0170
2024-12-26 00:00: 0.0180
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.0190
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.0190
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.0475
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 545454, Buy volume: 42824406.84, Sell volume: 9210100.68, Average price: 0.7593, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513152
Question: Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 3195690.654341
Price History:
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0545
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.0325
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.0320
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0290
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.0280
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0280
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0305
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.0115
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0095
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0075
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0085
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.0110
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0085
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.0100
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0075
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0060
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.0035
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0045
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0025
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0025
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0025
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.0025
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0050
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0155
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.0150
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 453600, Buy volume: 10612324.37, Sell volume: 25299274.22, Average price: 0.5404, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513152
Question: Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 3195690.654341
Price History:
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0150
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0125
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0105
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.0110
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0115
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0110
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0115
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0065
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.0050
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0090
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0060
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.0065
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.0065
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.0075
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0110
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0095
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.0090
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0090
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.0080
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0090
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.0100
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0105
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.0080
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.0075
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0075
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.0065
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.0070
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 179, Buy volume: 1405.46, Sell volume: 5764.74, Average price: 0.3866, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513152
Question: Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 3195690.654341
Price History:
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0070
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0070
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.0065
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.0055
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0070
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0070
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0070
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0070
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.0070
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0085
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0085
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.0085
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0080
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0070
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0070
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0070
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.0065
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0055
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0050
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.0060
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0065
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.0060
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 2312.36, Sell volume: 534.16, Average price: 0.4909, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513152
Question: Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 3195690.654341
Price History:
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0060
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0065
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0060
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0060
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0065
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0065
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0060
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0060
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0060
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0060
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0060
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0060
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0060
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0060
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0060
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0050
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0060
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0060
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0060
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0075
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.0075
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.0075
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 23378.71, Sell volume: 4267.82, Average price: 0.3733, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513152
Question: Will Jose Oliva be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 3195690.654341
Price History:
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0040
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 617, Buy volume: 315124.69, Sell volume: 44564.83, Average price: 0.7999, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.5450
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.5150
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.5400
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.3150
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.3800
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.4850
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.4350
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.4800
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.4450
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.4100
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.3800
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.3950
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.3850
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.3900
2024-11-16 20:00: 0.3950
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.3850
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.3850
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.3850
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.3850
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.3900
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.3850
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.3750
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.3750
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.3750
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.3550
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.3300
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.3600
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.3400
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.3650
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.3650
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.3600
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.3700
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.3550
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.3650
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.3650
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.3450
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.3450
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.3450
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.3700
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.3700
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.3400
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.3400
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.3400
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.3650
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.3650
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.3650
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.3500
2024-11-19 14:00: 0.3350
2024-11-19 16:00: 0.3400
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 2581792377.17, Sell volume: 22955895.95, Average price: 0.1247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.3400
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.3300
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.3450
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.3500
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.3500
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.3550
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.3550
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.3450
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.3750
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.2650
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.3350
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.2750
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.2700
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.2900
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.2900
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.2950
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.3000
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.3000
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.2850
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.3750
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.4050
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.4000
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.3950
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.3950
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.3750
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.3750
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.3850
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.3750
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.3750
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.3750
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.3700
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.3650
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.3450
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.3450
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.3400
2024-11-23 18:00: 0.3400
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.3350
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.3400
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.3400
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.3400
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.3400
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.3450
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.3450
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.3450
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.3700
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.3800
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.3800
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.4050
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.4050
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 2581792377.17, Sell volume: 22955895.95, Average price: 0.1247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.4300
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.4150
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.4250
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.4250
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.4250
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.4250
2024-11-26 12:00: 0.4250
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.4150
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.3950
2024-11-26 18:00: 0.4050
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.3950
2024-11-26 22:00: 0.3950
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.3850
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.3850
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.3850
2024-11-27 06:00: 0.3850
2024-11-27 08:00: 0.3650
2024-11-27 10:00: 0.3850
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.3850
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.3850
2024-11-27 16:00: 0.3650
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.3650
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.3650
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.3650
2024-11-28 00:00: 0.3700
2024-11-28 02:00: 0.3700
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.3650
2024-11-28 06:00: 0.3400
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.3350
2024-11-28 10:00: 0.3400
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.3450
2024-11-28 14:00: 0.3450
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.3450
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.3550
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.3600
2024-11-28 22:00: 0.3650
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.3650
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.3650
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.3650
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.3650
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.3600
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.3650
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.3550
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.3550
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.3550
2024-11-29 18:00: 0.3500
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.3550
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.3550
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.3500
2024-11-30 02:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 2581792377.17, Sell volume: 22955895.95, Average price: 0.1247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.3550
2024-12-01 06:00: 0.3550
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.3550
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.3750
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.3650
2024-12-01 14:00: 0.3750
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.3600
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.3650
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.4250
2024-12-01 22:00: 0.3850
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.3950
2024-12-02 02:00: 0.3950
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.3950
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.3750
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.4050
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.4000
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.3850
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.3750
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.3850
2024-12-02 18:00: 0.3850
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.3750
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.3700
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.3750
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.3700
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.3650
2024-12-03 06:00: 0.3650
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.3650
2024-12-03 10:00: 0.3650
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.3650
2024-12-03 14:00: 0.3650
2024-12-03 16:00: 0.3750
2024-12-03 18:00: 0.3750
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.3750
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.3750
2024-12-04 00:00: 0.4150
2024-12-04 02:00: 0.4050
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.4050
2024-12-04 06:00: 0.4050
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.4150
2024-12-04 10:00: 0.4350
2024-12-04 12:00: 0.4250
2024-12-04 14:00: 0.4250
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.4250
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.4250
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.4500
2024-12-04 22:00: 0.4350
2024-12-05 00:00: 0.4100
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.4200
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.4050
2024-12-05 06:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 2581792377.17, Sell volume: 22955895.95, Average price: 0.1247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.4350
2024-12-06 10:00: 0.4350
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.4350
2024-12-06 14:00: 0.4350
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.4350
2024-12-06 18:00: 0.4250
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.4250
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.4250
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.4350
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.4350
2024-12-07 04:00: 0.4350
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.4350
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.4350
2024-12-07 10:00: 0.3950
2024-12-07 12:00: 0.3900
2024-12-07 14:00: 0.3900
2024-12-07 16:00: 0.4050
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.4050
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.4050
2024-12-07 22:00: 0.4050
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.4050
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.4050
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.4050
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.4100
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.4350
2024-12-08 10:00: 0.4050
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.4100
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.4050
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.4050
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.4050
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.4050
2024-12-08 22:00: 0.4050
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.4500
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.4550
2024-12-09 04:00: 0.4550
2024-12-09 06:00: 0.4650
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.4750
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.4900
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.5850
2024-12-09 14:00: 0.6700
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.6750
2024-12-09 18:00: 0.6400
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.6250
2024-12-09 22:00: 0.6250
2024-12-10 00:00: 0.6250
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.6600
2024-12-10 04:00: 0.6700
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.6600
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.6700
2024-12-10 10:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 2581792377.17, Sell volume: 22955895.95, Average price: 0.1247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.5200
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.5200
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.5200
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.5200
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.5250
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.5100
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.6850
2024-12-12 02:00: 0.6850
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.6500
2024-12-12 06:00: 0.6700
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.6400
2024-12-12 10:00: 0.6600
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.6450
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.5600
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.6400
2024-12-12 18:00: 0.6150
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.6500
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.6150
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.6150
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.6350
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.5750
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.5750
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.5700
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.5750
2024-12-13 12:00: 0.5800
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.5750
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.5650
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.5650
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.5650
2024-12-13 22:00: 0.5700
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.5750
2024-12-14 02:00: 0.5650
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.5700
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.5700
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.5750
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.5750
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.5750
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.5750
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.5750
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.5500
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.5350
2024-12-14 22:00: 0.5450
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.5450
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.5450
2024-12-15 04:00: 0.5400
2024-12-15 06:00: 0.5450
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.5450
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.5600
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.5650
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 2581792377.17, Sell volume: 22955895.95, Average price: 0.1247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.2100
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.1700
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.1950
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.2000
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.2450
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.2450
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.2500
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.2600
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.2600
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.2200
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.2150
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.2400
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.2150
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.2250
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.2350
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.2300
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.1950
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.1900
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.1900
2024-12-18 06:00: 0.1900
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.1350
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.1700
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.1450
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.1700
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.1500
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.1750
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.1450
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.1500
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.1550
2024-12-19 02:00: 0.1550
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.1600
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.1600
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.1650
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.1750
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.1500
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.1500
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.1500
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.1350
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.1400
2024-12-19 22:00: 0.1350
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.1350
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.1350
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.1450
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.1500
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.1500
2024-12-20 10:00: 0.1600
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.1600
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.1600
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.1600
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 2581792377.17, Sell volume: 22955895.95, Average price: 0.1247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0125
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.0075
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.0115
2024-12-22 02:00: 0.0075
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0130
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.0155
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.0145
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.0150
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.0075
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.0080
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0075
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.0075
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.0085
2024-12-22 22:00: 0.0075
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.0075
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.0075
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0075
2024-12-23 06:00: 0.0065
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0065
2024-12-23 10:00: 0.0065
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-23 14:00: 0.0075
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0080
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.0080
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.0080
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.0080
2024-12-24 00:00: 0.0080
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0075
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0075
2024-12-24 06:00: 0.0075
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-24 10:00: 0.0075
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.0075
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.0075
2024-12-24 18:00: 0.0075
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0075
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.0075
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.0075
2024-12-25 02:00: 0.0075
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0075
2024-12-25 06:00: 0.0070
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.0070
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.0065
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.0065
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.0065
2024-12-25 16:00: 0.0065
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.0065
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0065
2024-12-25 22:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 2581792377.17, Sell volume: 22955895.95, Average price: 0.1247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0075
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.0075
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.0075
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.0075
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.0075
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0075
2024-12-27 14:00: 0.0075
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.0075
2024-12-27 18:00: 0.0075
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0075
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.0070
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0070
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.0070
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.0070
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.0070
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-28 10:00: 0.0080
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.0080
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0080
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.0080
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.0080
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.0105
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0110
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.0110
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.0100
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0110
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0085
2024-12-29 10:00: 0.0085
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0085
2024-12-29 14:00: 0.0085
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0095
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.0095
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0095
2024-12-29 22:00: 0.0095
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.0095
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.0090
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.0105
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0100
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0100
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.0090
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0090
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.0085
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0095
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.0095
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0095
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.0095
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0095
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 623376, Buy volume: 2179126759.10, Sell volume: 9569061.36, Average price: 0.1114, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0105
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.0105
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0105
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.0090
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0090
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.0090
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.0090
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0085
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0095
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.0085
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0075
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0085
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0085
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.0085
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0075
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.0085
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.0075
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.0075
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0075
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.0075
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0080
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.0075
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.0075
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0090
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.0075
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.0090
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.0035
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.0050
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0050
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.0045
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.0045
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.0060
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.0060
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.0050
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0050
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.0050
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-04 22:00: 0.0050
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0050
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.0040
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361755, Buy volume: 394446487.71, Sell volume: 12170849.64, Average price: 0.1289, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.0045
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.0045
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0045
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 10:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.0050
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.0045
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0050
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.0050
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0050
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0050
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.0055
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.0055
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0050
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.0050
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0050
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0050
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.0050
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.0050
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0050
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.0050
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0050
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 2992.49, Sell volume: 867.96, Average price: 0.6393, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0045
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.0045
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.0050
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0050
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.0050
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0050
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.0055
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0055
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.0055
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0055
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0055
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0055
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.0050
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.0045
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0060
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0050
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 54041.95, Sell volume: 19695.72, Average price: 0.6954, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0100
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0040
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.0035
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0040
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0040
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0040
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 699, Buy volume: 249475.20, Sell volume: 106331.45, Average price: 0.7930, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.5450
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.5400
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.3800
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.4350
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.4450
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.3800
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.3850
2024-11-16 20:00: 0.3950
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.3850
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.3850
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.3850
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.3750
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.3550
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.3600
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.3650
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.3600
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.3550
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.3650
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.3450
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.3700
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.3400
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.3400
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.3650
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.3500
2024-11-19 16:00: 0.3400
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.3400
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.3400
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.3150
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.3300
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 2581792377.17, Sell volume: 22955895.95, Average price: 0.1247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.3400
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.3450
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.3500
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.3550
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.3750
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.3350
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.2700
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.2900
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.3000
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.2850
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.4050
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.3950
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.3750
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.3850
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.3750
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.3700
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.3450
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.3400
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.3350
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.3400
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.3400
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.3450
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.3700
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.3800
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.4050
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.4150
2024-11-25 04:00: 0.4600
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.4600
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.4550
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 2581792377.17, Sell volume: 22955895.95, Average price: 0.1247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.4300
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.4250
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.4250
2024-11-26 12:00: 0.4250
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.3950
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.3950
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.3850
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.3850
2024-11-27 08:00: 0.3650
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.3850
2024-11-27 16:00: 0.3650
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.3650
2024-11-28 00:00: 0.3700
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.3650
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.3350
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.3450
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.3450
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.3600
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.3650
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.3650
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.3600
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.3550
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.3550
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.3550
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.3500
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.3550
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.3550
2024-11-30 12:00: 0.3550
2024-11-30 16:00: 0.3550
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 2581792377.17, Sell volume: 22955895.95, Average price: 0.1247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.3550
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.3550
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.3650
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.3600
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.4250
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.3950
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.3950
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.4050
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.3850
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.3850
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.3750
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.3750
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.3650
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.3650
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.3650
2024-12-03 16:00: 0.3750
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.3750
2024-12-04 00:00: 0.4150
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.4050
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.4150
2024-12-04 12:00: 0.4250
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.4250
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.4500
2024-12-05 00:00: 0.4100
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.4050
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.4200
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.4200
2024-12-05 16:00: 0.4250
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.4300
2024-12-06 00:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 2581792377.17, Sell volume: 22955895.95, Average price: 0.1247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.4350
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.4350
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.4350
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.4250
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.4350
2024-12-07 04:00: 0.4350
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.4350
2024-12-07 12:00: 0.3900
2024-12-07 16:00: 0.4050
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.4050
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.4050
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.4050
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.4350
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.4100
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.4050
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.4050
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.4500
2024-12-09 04:00: 0.4550
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.4750
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.5850
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.6750
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.6250
2024-12-10 00:00: 0.6250
2024-12-10 04:00: 0.6700
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.6700
2024-12-10 12:00: 0.7000
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.6800
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.6550
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.6000
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 2581792377.17, Sell volume: 22955895.95, Average price: 0.1247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.5200
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.5200
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.5250
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.6850
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.6500
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.6400
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.6450
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.6400
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.6500
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.6150
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.5750
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.5700
2024-12-13 12:00: 0.5800
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.5650
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.5650
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.5750
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.5700
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.5750
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.5750
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.5750
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.5350
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.5450
2024-12-15 04:00: 0.5400
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.5450
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.5650
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.5850
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.5700
2024-12-16 00:00: 0.5600
2024-12-16 04:00: 0.5550
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 2581792377.17, Sell volume: 22955895.95, Average price: 0.1247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.2100
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.1950
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.2450
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.2500
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.2600
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.2150
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.2150
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.2350
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.1950
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.1900
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.1350
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.1450
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.1500
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.1450
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.1550
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.1600
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.1650
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.1500
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.1500
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.1400
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.1350
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.1450
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.1500
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.1600
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.1600
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.1650
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.1700
2024-12-21 04:00: 0.1650
2024-12-21 08:00: 0.1600
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 2581792377.17, Sell volume: 22955895.95, Average price: 0.1247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0125
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.0115
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0130
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.0145
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.0075
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0075
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.0085
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.0075
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0075
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0065
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0080
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.0080
2024-12-24 00:00: 0.0080
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0075
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.0075
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0075
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.0075
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0075
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.0070
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.0065
2024-12-25 16:00: 0.0065
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0065
2024-12-26 00:00: 0.0070
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.0075
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 2581792377.17, Sell volume: 22955895.95, Average price: 0.1247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0075
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.0075
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0075
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.0075
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0075
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0070
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.0070
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0080
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0080
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.0080
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0110
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.0100
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0085
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0085
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0095
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0095
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.0095
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.0105
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0100
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0090
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0095
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0095
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0095
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.0105
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 623376, Buy volume: 2179126759.10, Sell volume: 9569061.36, Average price: 0.1114, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0105
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0105
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0090
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.0090
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0095
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0085
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0085
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0075
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.0075
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0075
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0080
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.0075
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.0075
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0050
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.0060
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0050
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0050
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.0050
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361755, Buy volume: 394446487.71, Sell volume: 12170849.64, Average price: 0.1289, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0050
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0050
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.0055
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0050
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0050
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0050
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0050
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.0045
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 2992.49, Sell volume: 867.96, Average price: 0.6393, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0050
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0050
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0055
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0055
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0055
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0060
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0045
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0050
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0065
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.0065
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.0065
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 54041.95, Sell volume: 19695.72, Average price: 0.6954, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513140
Question: Will Lara Trump be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 4803455.605393
Price History:
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0040
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0040
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0040
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 699, Buy volume: 249475.20, Sell volume: 106331.45, Average price: 0.7930, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.4350
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.7700
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.2100
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.7900
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.2100
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.7950
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.2000
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.8000
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.1950
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.8050
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.2050
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.8000
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.2000
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.8000
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.2000
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.8000
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.1850
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.8150
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.1700
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.8300
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.1700
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.8300
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.1700
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.8300
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.1500
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.8500
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0850
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.8950
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.0950
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.8950
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.1050
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.8950
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.1050
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.8950
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.1050
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.8950
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.1050
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.8850
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.1100
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.8950
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.1050
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.8600
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.8400
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.1500
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.8500
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.1550
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.8500
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.1500
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 342090822.94, Sell volume: 17380712.11, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.1550
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.8450
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.1600
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.8400
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.1600
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.8450
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.1500
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.8500
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.1500
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.8450
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.1550
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.8450
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.1550
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.8450
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.1550
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.8450
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.1550
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.8450
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.1650
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.8350
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.1650
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.8350
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.1650
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.8350
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.1650
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.8350
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.1650
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.8350
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.1500
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.8450
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.1500
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.8450
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.8750
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.8750
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.1250
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.8850
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.1150
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.8850
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.1150
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.8850
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.1150
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.8850
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.0550
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.9400
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0600
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.9450
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.0600
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 342090822.94, Sell volume: 17380712.11, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0650
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.9350
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.9350
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.0800
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.8850
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0750
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9250
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0800
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9200
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.8900
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.1150
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.8850
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.1050
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.8950
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.1000
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.1000
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9000
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.1050
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.9000
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.1050
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.8950
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.1050
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.8950
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.1050
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.8950
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.1050
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.8950
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.1050
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.8950
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.8950
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.8950
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.1050
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.8850
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.1200
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.8800
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.1200
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.8750
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.1200
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.8800
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.1150
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.8850
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.1100
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 342090822.94, Sell volume: 17380712.11, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.1050
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.8950
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.1100
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.8900
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.1150
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.8850
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.1300
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.8300
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.1700
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.8350
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.1650
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.8350
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.1650
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.8300
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.1500
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.8550
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.1550
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8650
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.1450
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.8700
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.8700
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.1150
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.8800
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.1150
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.8950
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.1050
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.8950
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.1000
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.9150
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0750
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9200
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0700
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9300
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.9350
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0750
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.9250
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.0750
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 342090822.94, Sell volume: 17380712.11, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.9250
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.9250
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.9250
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9250
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.9300
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0700
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.9300
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9350
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9450
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9400
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0550
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9450
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0550
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9450
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0550
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9450
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0550
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9450
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9500
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0450
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9500
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9550
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.9550
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0450
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9550
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0450
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 342090822.94, Sell volume: 17380712.11, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0450
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9550
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0450
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9550
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0400
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9585
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0345
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9705
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0310
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.9685
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.0215
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.9820
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0205
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9760
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.0240
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.9760
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0250
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.9770
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.0260
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.9745
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0250
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9730
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.0245
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9755
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.0210
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9780
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0205
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9800
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0240
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.9780
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0260
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.9795
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0225
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9775
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0225
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.9760
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.0245
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.9780
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.0315
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9730
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.0300
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.9685
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0315
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9670
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.0325
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.9670
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0315
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9665
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0325
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 342090822.94, Sell volume: 17380712.11, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0325
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.9670
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0330
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9670
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0330
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9675
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0330
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9670
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0330
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.9670
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0330
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9670
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0330
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9670
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0290
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9735
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0135
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9920
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.0075
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9915
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0060
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9925
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.0060
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.9940
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0075
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.9865
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.0090
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.9925
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.0090
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9910
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0080
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.9905
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0115
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9910
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0115
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.9900
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.9860
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0155
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9860
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0125
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.9845
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0140
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9700
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0265
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.9725
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.0225
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.9845
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0140
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 342090822.94, Sell volume: 17380712.11, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0155
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.9785
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.0210
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.9780
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0200
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9840
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.0170
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.9835
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0140
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.9860
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0135
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9870
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0130
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.9865
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0135
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9865
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.0135
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0135
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9865
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0135
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9865
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0140
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9865
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0140
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9845
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0155
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9855
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0145
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9855
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0135
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.9870
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0130
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9870
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0135
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9865
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0135
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9870
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0130
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9870
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0135
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9875
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9885
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9915
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0085
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9915
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0085
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 342090822.94, Sell volume: 17380712.11, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9915
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0090
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0090
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0115
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9890
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9910
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9925
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0030
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9980
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9970
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 461538, Buy volume: 150316257.28, Sell volume: 16243740.00, Average price: 0.9540, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0030
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9970
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0030
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9965
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9965
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9965
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9970
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0035
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.9965
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0030
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.9955
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.9955
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0045
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.9955
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.9970
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0030
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9970
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0030
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.9970
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 537810, Buy volume: 190861223.75, Sell volume: 1093959.14, Average price: 0.9821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 575, Buy volume: 76559.68, Sell volume: 41517.55, Average price: 0.9380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 523409.00, Sell volume: 8.16, Average price: 0.1119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 312330.00, Sell volume: 1371.20, Average price: 0.0580, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.4350
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.7900
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.2100
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.7900
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.2000
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.8050
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.2000
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.8000
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.2000
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.8000
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.1850
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.8300
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.1700
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.8300
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.1700
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.8500
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.1450
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.8800
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.1050
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.8950
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.1050
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.8950
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.1050
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.8850
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.1150
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.8950
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.1550
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.8450
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.1500
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 342090822.94, Sell volume: 17380712.11, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.1550
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.8450
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.1600
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.8450
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.1500
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.8500
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.1550
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.8450
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.1550
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.8450
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.1550
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.8350
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.1650
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.8350
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.1650
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.8350
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.1650
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.8350
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.1550
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.8450
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.1300
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.8750
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.1250
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.8850
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.1150
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.8850
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.1150
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9400
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.0600
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 342090822.94, Sell volume: 17380712.11, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.9350
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.9350
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.1250
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9250
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0800
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.9200
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.1100
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.8850
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.1100
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9000
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.1000
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9000
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.1050
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.8950
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.1050
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.8950
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.1050
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.8950
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.1050
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.8950
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.1050
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.8950
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.1150
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.8850
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.1200
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.8750
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.1200
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 342090822.94, Sell volume: 17380712.11, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.1050
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.8950
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.1150
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.8850
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.1350
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.8300
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.1650
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.8350
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.1700
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.8550
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.1550
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.8550
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.8700
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.1300
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.1150
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.8900
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.1050
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.8950
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.1000
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.9250
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0650
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9200
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0850
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.9300
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.9350
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.0700
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 342090822.94, Sell volume: 17380712.11, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.9250
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.9250
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0700
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.9300
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0700
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.9350
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0600
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.9450
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0550
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9450
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0550
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9450
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0450
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9500
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9500
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0450
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 342090822.94, Sell volume: 17380712.11, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0450
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9550
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0400
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9585
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0330
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9690
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0295
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.9825
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0240
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9735
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0245
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.9755
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0230
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9730
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.0235
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.9770
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.0200
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.9720
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0205
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9805
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.0230
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9780
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0245
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.9780
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.0235
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9695
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0315
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9655
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0330
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 342090822.94, Sell volume: 17380712.11, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0325
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.9670
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0330
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.9670
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0325
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9670
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.0330
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9675
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0330
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9730
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0145
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0075
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9925
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0055
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.9925
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0115
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9895
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.0105
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.9915
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0110
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.9895
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9875
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9850
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0140
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9705
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0290
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 342090822.94, Sell volume: 17380712.11, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0155
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.9795
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.0195
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.9805
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9860
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.0140
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.9870
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0135
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9865
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0135
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9865
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0135
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9865
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0135
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9845
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0155
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9855
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0145
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.9865
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0130
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9865
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0130
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.9870
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0135
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9870
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9910
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0085
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 342090822.94, Sell volume: 17380712.11, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0110
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9910
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 461538, Buy volume: 150316257.28, Sell volume: 16243740.00, Average price: 0.9540, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0030
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9970
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9960
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9965
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.9970
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.9955
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.9955
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0030
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.9970
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.0030
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 537810, Buy volume: 190861223.75, Sell volume: 1093959.14, Average price: 0.9821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 575, Buy volume: 76559.68, Sell volume: 41517.55, Average price: 0.9380, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 523409.00, Sell volume: 8.16, Average price: 0.1119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516786
Question: Will Eric Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1555322.754999
Price History:
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 312330.00, Sell volume: 1371.20, Average price: 0.0580, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512704
Question: Will Person A be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: nan
Price History:
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512704
Question: Will Person A be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: nan
Price History:
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512706
Question: Will Person B be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: nan
Price History:
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512706
Question: Will Person B be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: nan
Price History:
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512718
Question: Will someone be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: nan
Price History:
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512718
Question: Will someone be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: nan
Price History:
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512709
Question: Will Person C be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: nan
Price History:
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512709
Question: Will Person C be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: nan
Price History:
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512713
Question: Will Person D be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: nan
Price History:
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512713
Question: Will Person D be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: nan
Price History:
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.3750
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0850
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0900
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.5300
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.4100
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.2100
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.3200
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.3000
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.3550
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.2950
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.2400
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.2450
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.2500
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.2550
2024-11-16 20:00: 0.2650
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.2550
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.2550
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.2550
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.2550
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.2650
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.2550
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.2550
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.2550
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.2550
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.2500
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.2450
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.2450
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.2450
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.2500
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.2500
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.2500
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.2450
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.2450
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.2600
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.2450
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.2450
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.2450
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.2450
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.2400
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.2500
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.2450
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.2500
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.2500
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.2500
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.2500
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.2400
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.2450
2024-11-19 14:00: 0.2300
2024-11-19 16:00: 0.2300
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0950
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.1350
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.1700
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.2400
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.1850
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.2200
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.1850
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.2400
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.2300
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.1800
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.2650
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.2150
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.2950
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.2300
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.2700
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.2800
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.2650
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.2600
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.1900
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.2800
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.2000
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.2000
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.2000
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.2000
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.2100
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.2350
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.2300
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.2300
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.2300
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.2300
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.2250
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.2250
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.1900
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.1750
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.1750
2024-11-23 18:00: 0.1750
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.1900
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.2000
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.2100
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.2100
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.2100
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.2200
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.2200
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.2100
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.2050
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.1800
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.1800
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.1800
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.1800
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.1950
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.1850
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.1950
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.1800
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.1800
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.1850
2024-11-26 12:00: 0.2000
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.2000
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.2050
2024-11-26 18:00: 0.1850
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.1800
2024-11-26 22:00: 0.1800
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.1950
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.1800
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.1800
2024-11-27 06:00: 0.1800
2024-11-27 08:00: 0.1800
2024-11-27 10:00: 0.1800
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.1850
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.1800
2024-11-27 16:00: 0.1850
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.1950
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.1800
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.1800
2024-11-28 00:00: 0.1800
2024-11-28 02:00: 0.1950
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.1950
2024-11-28 06:00: 0.1950
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.1900
2024-11-28 10:00: 0.1850
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.1550
2024-11-28 14:00: 0.1650
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.1650
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.1300
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.1500
2024-11-28 22:00: 0.1500
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.1400
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.1400
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.1400
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.1850
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.1750
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.1300
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.1400
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.1300
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.1400
2024-11-29 18:00: 0.1300
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.1350
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.1550
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.1300
2024-11-30 02:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.1350
2024-12-01 06:00: 0.1350
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.1300
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.1200
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.1300
2024-12-01 14:00: 0.1350
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.1350
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.1650
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.1250
2024-12-01 22:00: 0.1300
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.1250
2024-12-02 02:00: 0.1200
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.1200
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.1200
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.1150
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.1200
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.1150
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.1250
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.1300
2024-12-02 18:00: 0.1200
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.1250
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.1300
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.1250
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.1300
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.1200
2024-12-03 06:00: 0.1200
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.1200
2024-12-03 10:00: 0.1200
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.1350
2024-12-03 14:00: 0.1400
2024-12-03 16:00: 0.1400
2024-12-03 18:00: 0.1400
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.1400
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.1400
2024-12-04 00:00: 0.1250
2024-12-04 02:00: 0.1350
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.1350
2024-12-04 06:00: 0.1600
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.1600
2024-12-04 10:00: 0.1500
2024-12-04 12:00: 0.1550
2024-12-04 14:00: 0.1250
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.1200
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.1050
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.1100
2024-12-04 22:00: 0.1100
2024-12-05 00:00: 0.1300
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.1300
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.1300
2024-12-05 06:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.0800
2024-12-06 10:00: 0.0800
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.1000
2024-12-06 14:00: 0.0900
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.0950
2024-12-06 18:00: 0.0950
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0950
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.0950
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.1000
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.1000
2024-12-07 04:00: 0.1000
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.1000
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.1000
2024-12-07 10:00: 0.1000
2024-12-07 12:00: 0.1000
2024-12-07 14:00: 0.1000
2024-12-07 16:00: 0.0900
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.0700
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0750
2024-12-07 22:00: 0.0650
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.0650
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.1000
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0650
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.0650
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0650
2024-12-08 10:00: 0.0750
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.0950
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.1350
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.0850
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.0850
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0900
2024-12-08 22:00: 0.0900
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0900
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.0900
2024-12-09 04:00: 0.0900
2024-12-09 06:00: 0.0900
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0750
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.0650
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.0650
2024-12-09 14:00: 0.0550
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.0145
2024-12-09 18:00: 0.0140
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0150
2024-12-09 22:00: 0.0150
2024-12-10 00:00: 0.0145
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.0140
2024-12-10 04:00: 0.0145
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.0275
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.0265
2024-12-10 10:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.1250
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.1255
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.1255
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.1260
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.1200
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.1195
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0075
2024-12-12 02:00: 0.0075
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.0910
2024-12-12 06:00: 0.0890
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0765
2024-12-12 10:00: 0.0755
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0440
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.0450
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0455
2024-12-12 18:00: 0.0450
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.0495
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.0500
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.0505
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.0495
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0500
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.0505
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0525
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.0510
2024-12-13 12:00: 0.0510
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0485
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.0495
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.0475
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0490
2024-12-13 22:00: 0.0425
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0465
2024-12-14 02:00: 0.0535
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.0430
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.0440
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0425
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.0430
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.0425
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.0325
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.0295
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.0295
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0295
2024-12-14 22:00: 0.0310
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0165
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.0170
2024-12-15 04:00: 0.0155
2024-12-15 06:00: 0.0175
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0170
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.0135
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0105
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.0320
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.0320
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0330
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.0350
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0335
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.0355
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.0365
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.0365
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.0355
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.0370
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.0365
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.0380
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.0385
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.0385
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.0390
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.0390
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.0390
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.0390
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.0390
2024-12-18 06:00: 0.0390
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0380
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.0610
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.0625
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.0630
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.0625
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.0645
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.0645
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.0675
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.0660
2024-12-19 02:00: 0.0535
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0510
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.0545
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0555
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.0555
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.0555
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.0555
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.0550
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.0560
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.0550
2024-12-19 22:00: 0.0560
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.0630
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.0640
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0640
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.0610
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0615
2024-12-20 10:00: 0.0585
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.0560
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.0540
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.0565
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.0545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0385
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.0425
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.0345
2024-12-22 02:00: 0.0305
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0300
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.0430
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.0390
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.0425
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.0440
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.0405
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0400
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.0435
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.0450
2024-12-22 22:00: 0.0475
2024-12-23 00:00: 0.0480
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.0425
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0410
2024-12-23 06:00: 0.0405
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0395
2024-12-23 10:00: 0.0395
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.0400
2024-12-23 14:00: 0.0385
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0360
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.0395
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.0585
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.0590
2024-12-24 00:00: 0.0510
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0535
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0580
2024-12-24 06:00: 0.0545
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.0565
2024-12-24 10:00: 0.0560
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0565
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.0575
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.0565
2024-12-24 18:00: 0.0570
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0565
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.0630
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.0660
2024-12-25 02:00: 0.0745
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0675
2024-12-25 06:00: 0.0735
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.0725
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.0685
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.0685
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.0715
2024-12-25 16:00: 0.0790
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.0795
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0830
2024-12-25 22:00: 0.0820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513142
Question: Will James Uthmeier be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 352290.49573
Price History:
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0635
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.0580
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.0570
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.0565
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.0645
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.0650
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0670
2024-12-27 14:00: 0.0655
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.0635
2024-12-27 18:00: 0.0640
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0610
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.0630
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0615
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.0595
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.0635
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.0585
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0580
2024-12-28 10:00: 0.0570
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0570
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.0570
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0570
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.0565
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.0570
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.0565
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0565
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.0570
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.0570
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0570
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0565
2024-12-29 10:00: 0.0620
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0620
2024-12-29 14:00: 0.0620
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0625
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.0610
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0620
2024-12-29 22:00: 0.0620
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.0625
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.0625
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.0630
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0630
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0620
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.0600
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0630
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.0630
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0630
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.0625
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0630
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.0630
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0615
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 7814059.66, Sell volume: 928546.37, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes