Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2519.66, Sell volume: 8011.54, Average price: 0.3048, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1080.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3343, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 74.55, Sell volume: 1542.12, Average price: 0.7139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680923
Question: Will between 230 and 234 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 31076.499246
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 100.60, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 726.50, Sell volume: 241.72, Average price: 0.7055, Price range: 0.0433 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 437.31, Sell volume: 867.10, Average price: 0.6660, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0355
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9645
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0355
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 421.08, Sell volume: 680.35, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0355
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9645
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0320
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9680
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0240
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9760
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9785
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0240
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9760
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0240
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1330.99, Average price: 0.0203, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0310

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0160
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9840
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 156.26, Sell volume: 239.64, Average price: 0.4021, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9820
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 545, Buy volume: 38406.30, Sell volume: 61642.08, Average price: 0.2891, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9820
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9820
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9820
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9820
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0145
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9855
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0145
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9855
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0125
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9875
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9897, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0120
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9880
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0120
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9880
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0120
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9880
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0120
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9880
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0120
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9880
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0195
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9805
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9820
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9820
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 266.45, Sell volume: 4.22, Average price: 0.0199, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.0265

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9815
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9815
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9815
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 184, Buy volume: 5719.01, Sell volume: 3047.44, Average price: 0.3499, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9984

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 4556.16, Sell volume: 15332.53, Average price: 0.1132, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 11178.91, Sell volume: 20007.00, Average price: 0.0169, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 10394.64, Sell volume: 11732.64, Average price: 0.1525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 386.06, Sell volume: 2852.01, Average price: 0.2006, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 726.50, Sell volume: 241.72, Average price: 0.7055, Price range: 0.0433 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 437.31, Sell volume: 867.10, Average price: 0.6660, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0355
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9645
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0355
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 421.08, Sell volume: 680.35, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0355
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9645
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0320
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9680
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0240
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9760
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9785
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0240
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9760
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0240
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1330.99, Average price: 0.0203, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0310
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9805
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0160
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9840
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 156.26, Sell volume: 239.64, Average price: 0.4021, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9820
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9820
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 545, Buy volume: 38406.30, Sell volume: 61642.08, Average price: 0.2891, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9820
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9820
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9820
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9820
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0145
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9855
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0145
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9855
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0125
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9875
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9897, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0120
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9880
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0120
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9880
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0120
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9880
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0120
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9880
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0120
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9880
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0195
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9805
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9820
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9820
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 266.45, Sell volume: 4.22, Average price: 0.0199, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.0265
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9815
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9815
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9815
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 184, Buy volume: 5719.01, Sell volume: 3047.44, Average price: 0.3499, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9984
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 4556.16, Sell volume: 15332.53, Average price: 0.1132, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 11178.91, Sell volume: 20007.00, Average price: 0.0169, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 10394.64, Sell volume: 11732.64, Average price: 0.1525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680925
Question: Will between 240 and 244 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 100048.378836
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 386.06, Sell volume: 2852.01, Average price: 0.2006, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9300
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 644.81, Sell volume: 181.51, Average price: 0.7630, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 421.51, Sell volume: 736.45, Average price: 0.6936, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 381.08, Sell volume: 453.92, Average price: 0.4737, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0355
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9645
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0395
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 997.55, Average price: 0.0350, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.0400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0405
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9595
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0405
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9595
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0405
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9595
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0405
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9595
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0405
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9595
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0405
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9595
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0365
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9635
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0370
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9630
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0380
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 217.48, Sell volume: 239.64, Average price: 0.3892, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9690

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0380
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9620
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0375
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9625
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0375
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9625
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0375
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9625
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0370
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9630
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0370
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9630
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0370
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9630
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0370
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.9685, Price range: 0.9670 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0370
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9630
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0370
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9630
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0395
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9605
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9605
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0365
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9635
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9625
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9625
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9625
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9650, Price range: 0.9650 - 0.9650

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9625
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9625
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9625
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9625
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9625
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0380
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9620
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0385
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9615
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0385
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9615
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0395
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 297.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0457, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.0460

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0400
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9600
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0250
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9750
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 179, Buy volume: 5476.40, Sell volume: 3793.08, Average price: 0.3567, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 6239.50, Sell volume: 6376.94, Average price: 0.2018, Price range: 0.0019 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 221.90, Sell volume: 848.90, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 605.05, Sell volume: 1057.76, Average price: 0.8991, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 796.91, Sell volume: 780.26, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0013

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9300
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 644.81, Sell volume: 181.51, Average price: 0.7630, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 421.51, Sell volume: 736.45, Average price: 0.6936, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0550
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 381.08, Sell volume: 453.92, Average price: 0.4737, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0355
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9645
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0400
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9600
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0395
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 997.55, Average price: 0.0350, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.0400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0405
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9595
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0405
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9595
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0405
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9595
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0405
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9595
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0405
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9595
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0405
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9595
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0365
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9635
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0370
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9630
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0380
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 217.48, Sell volume: 239.64, Average price: 0.3892, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0380
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9620
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9650
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0375
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9625
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0375
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9625
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0375
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9625
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0370
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9630
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0370
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9630
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0370
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9630
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0370
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.9685, Price range: 0.9670 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0370
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9630
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0370
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9630
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0395
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9605
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9605
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0365
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9635
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9625
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9625
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9625
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9650, Price range: 0.9650 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9625
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9625
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9625
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9625
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0375
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9625
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0380
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9620
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0385
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9615
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0385
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9615
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0395
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 297.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0457, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.0460
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0400
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9600
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0250
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9750
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 179, Buy volume: 5476.40, Sell volume: 3793.08, Average price: 0.3567, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 6239.50, Sell volume: 6376.94, Average price: 0.2018, Price range: 0.0019 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 221.90, Sell volume: 848.90, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 605.05, Sell volume: 1057.76, Average price: 0.8991, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680927
Question: Will between 250 and 254 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 34015.564531
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 796.91, Sell volume: 780.26, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0013
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 911.72, Sell volume: 215.67, Average price: 0.7384, Price range: 0.0721 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 524.82, Sell volume: 357.76, Average price: 0.5528, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0600
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 275.08, Sell volume: 543.69, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1352.30, Sell volume: 213.00, Average price: 0.0646, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0739

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2800.54, Sell volume: 381.95, Average price: 0.2218, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8800
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 76.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1300, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.1300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 297.86, Sell volume: 35.87, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 742.65, Sell volume: 4300.20, Average price: 0.2813, Price range: 0.0763 - 0.8700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0235
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9835
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0165
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9825
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0175
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9875
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0125
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 185, Buy volume: 4496.29, Sell volume: 4262.56, Average price: 0.3824, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9910
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1195.16, Sell volume: 3483.90, Average price: 0.2995, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 4919.97, Sell volume: 4950.00, Average price: 0.0319, Price range: 0.0021 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1404.88, Sell volume: 2832.18, Average price: 0.3496, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 9795.43, Sell volume: 2675.10, Average price: 0.2563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 911.72, Sell volume: 215.67, Average price: 0.7384, Price range: 0.0721 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 524.82, Sell volume: 357.76, Average price: 0.5528, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0600
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 275.08, Sell volume: 543.69, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1352.30, Sell volume: 213.00, Average price: 0.0646, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0739
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2800.54, Sell volume: 381.95, Average price: 0.2218, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8800
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1200
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 76.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1300, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.1300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 297.86, Sell volume: 35.87, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 742.65, Sell volume: 4300.20, Average price: 0.2813, Price range: 0.0763 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9765
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0235
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9835
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0165
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9825
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0175
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9875
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0125
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 185, Buy volume: 4496.29, Sell volume: 4262.56, Average price: 0.3824, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9910
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1195.16, Sell volume: 3483.90, Average price: 0.2995, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 4919.97, Sell volume: 4950.00, Average price: 0.0319, Price range: 0.0021 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1404.88, Sell volume: 2832.18, Average price: 0.3496, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680929
Question: Will between 260 and 269 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 55038.084496
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 9795.43, Sell volume: 2675.10, Average price: 0.2563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.8350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.8500
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.1500
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 889.53, Sell volume: 126.60, Average price: 0.7491, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 566.45, Sell volume: 134.42, Average price: 0.7476, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 707.37, Sell volume: 1289.01, Average price: 0.4785, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 223.00, Average price: 0.0925, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.1000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 119.83, Sell volume: 239.64, Average price: 0.3147, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.7520, Price range: 0.0799 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 123.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9700
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0300
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9845
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0155
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9880
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0120
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9880
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 179, Buy volume: 4270.38, Sell volume: 3192.80, Average price: 0.3666, Price range: 0.0086 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9890
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0110
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9890
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0110
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9910
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 806.47, Sell volume: 2406.54, Average price: 0.4356, Price range: 0.0041 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 2271.33, Sell volume: 34165.02, Average price: 0.0172, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 11015.66, Sell volume: 25012.43, Average price: 0.0975, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 6597.69, Sell volume: 5126.72, Average price: 0.2967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.8350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.8500
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.1500
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 889.53, Sell volume: 126.60, Average price: 0.7491, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 566.45, Sell volume: 134.42, Average price: 0.7476, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 707.37, Sell volume: 1289.01, Average price: 0.4785, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 223.00, Average price: 0.0925, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.1000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 119.83, Sell volume: 239.64, Average price: 0.3147, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.7520, Price range: 0.0799 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 123.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9700
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0300
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9845
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0155
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9880
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0120
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9880
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 179, Buy volume: 4270.38, Sell volume: 3192.80, Average price: 0.3666, Price range: 0.0086 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9890
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0110
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9890
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0110
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9910
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 806.47, Sell volume: 2406.54, Average price: 0.4356, Price range: 0.0041 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 2271.33, Sell volume: 34165.02, Average price: 0.0172, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 11015.66, Sell volume: 25012.43, Average price: 0.0975, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 680931
Question: Will between 280 and 289 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Volume: 105743.610233
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 6597.69, Sell volume: 5126.72, Average price: 0.2967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.8350
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.8350
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.1600
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 671.64, Sell volume: 120.51, Average price: 0.7032, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.1700
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.1700
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8300
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.1700
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.8300
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.1750
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1183.50, Sell volume: 249.02, Average price: 0.5610, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.1800
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.2350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.7650
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.2350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7650
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.2750
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6900
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1667.77, Sell volume: 961.22, Average price: 0.4163, Price range: 0.1963 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6550
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 572.46, Sell volume: 54.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.6550
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 720.55, Sell volume: 336.53, Average price: 0.4408, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 680933
Question: Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 146044.537923
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.3350
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6650
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6600
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3350
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 471.88, Sell volume: 309.66, Average price: 0.5567, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6700

Output: No