Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3650
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3650
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.3650
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3650
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.3350
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.6650
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.4650
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.5350
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6000
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.4000
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5950
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.5850
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4150
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.5850
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.4150
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.2950
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2950
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.2950
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.2950
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.2950
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.2950
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3250
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6750
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3350
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6650
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3350
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6650
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 242.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5467, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4050
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.5950
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.4100
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.5900
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.3300
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.6700
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.4500
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 20.49, Sell volume: 0.32, Average price: 0.5364, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4200
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5050
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5050
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5050
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.5050
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.5050
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.5050
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.5050
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.5050
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.5050
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.5050
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.5050
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.77, Sell volume: 1.77, Average price: 0.5250, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6250
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6250
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6250
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6250
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6250
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.6250
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6250
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.6000
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.4000
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.6000
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.4000
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.77, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4550
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.5450
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.4550
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.5450
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.4500
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.5500
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.4350
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5650
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.4450
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5550
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.3500
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.6500
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.3500
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.6500
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.3500
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.6500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.3500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 9.58, Sell volume: 1.77, Average price: 0.5800, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.35, Average price: 0.2200, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.2200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.7400
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7400
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7400
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7400
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7400
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7400
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2750
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3450
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6550
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3450
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6550
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6500
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3500
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6500
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.4450
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.5550
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.4450
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.5550
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 203.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.4450
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.5550
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.4450
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.5550
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.4450
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.5550
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.4250
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.5750
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.4250
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.5750
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.4250
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.5750
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.4250
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.5750
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.4250
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.5750
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4250
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.5750
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1315.24, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4400
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.5600
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.4400
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4600
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5400
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4550
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5450
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.4550
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.5450
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.4550
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.5450
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.4550
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.5450
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1315.24, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5400
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4600
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5400
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.4600
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.5400
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.4600
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.5400
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.4600
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.5400
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.4600
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.5400
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.4600
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.5400
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.4600
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.5400
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.4600
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.5400
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.4600
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.5400
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.4600
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.5400
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.4600
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1315.24, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.5400
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.4650
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5350
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.6750
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.3650
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.3650
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.3650
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.3650
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.3650
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.3650
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.3700
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.6300
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.3700
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.6300
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.3700
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.6300
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.3700
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.3700
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.3700
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.3700
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.3700
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.3700
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.3700
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.3700
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.3700
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.4250
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.5750
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.5250
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.4750
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.5250
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.4750
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.5250
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.4750
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.5250
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.4750
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.3700
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4200
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5050
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5050
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5050
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.77, Sell volume: 1.77, Average price: 0.5250, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6250
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6250
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6250
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6250
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6250
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.6250
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6250
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.77, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4550
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.5450
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.4550
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.5450
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.4500
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.5500
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.4350
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5650
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 9.58, Sell volume: 1.77, Average price: 0.5800, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.35, Average price: 0.2200, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.2200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.7400
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7400
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7400
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7400
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7400
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7400
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2750
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3450
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6550
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3450
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6550
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6500
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3500
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6500
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 203.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.4450
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.5550
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.4450
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.5550
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.4450
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.5550
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.4250
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.5750
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.4250
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.5750
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.4250
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.5750
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.4250
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.5750
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.4250
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.5750
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4250
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.5750
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1315.24, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4400
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.5600
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4600
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5400
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4550
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5450
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.4550
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.5450
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.4550
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.5450
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.4550
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.5450
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1315.24, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5400
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4600
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1315.24, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.5400
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.4650
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5350
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.6750
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.3650
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.3650
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.3650
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.3650
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.3650
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.3650
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.3700
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.6300
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.3700
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.6300
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.3700
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.6300
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.3700
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.3700
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.3700
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "America First" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1331.903852
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4200
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5800
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4000
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.6000
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4000
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.3200
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.6800
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.2800
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.7200
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.2750
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.7250
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.2450
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.7550
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.2450
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.7550
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.2450
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.7550
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.2450
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.7550
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.2450
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.7550
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.2400
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.7600
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2450
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.7550
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.2450
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.7550
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2450
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.7550
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.2450
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.7550
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.2450
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7550
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.2450
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.7550
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.2350
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7650
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.2350
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.7650
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.2450
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.2450
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.2450
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.2450
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.2100
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.4750
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5250
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.3700
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.6300
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.3700
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.6300
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.3700
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.6300
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.3700
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.6300
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.3700
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.6300
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.3700
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.3750
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.6250
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.3750
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.6250
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.3750
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.3700
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.6300
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.6300
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3700
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.6300
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.3600
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.3600
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.3600
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.3600
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.3600
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.3600
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.3600
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.3600
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.6500
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7350
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.2650
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.7350
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.2650
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.7350
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.2650
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.7350
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.2650
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.7350
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.2650
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.7350
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.6550
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.3450
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.6550
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.3450
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.6550
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.3450
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.6550
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.3450
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.6550
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.3450
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.6550
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.3450
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.6550
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.3450
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.6550
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.3350
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.6650
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.3350
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.6650
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.3350
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.6650
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.3350
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.6650
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.3350
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.6650
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.3350
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.6650
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.3350
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4200
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5800
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4000
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.6000
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4000
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.3200
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.7550
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.2450
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.7550
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.2450
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.7550
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.2350
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7650
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.2350
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.7650
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.2450
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.2450
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.2450
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.2450
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.3700
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.6300
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.6300
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3700
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.6300
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.3600
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.3500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.6500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7350
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.2650
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.7400
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539780
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egg" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 11.297612
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.6550
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.3450
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.6550
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.3450
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.6550
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.3450
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.6550
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.3450
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6767, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4200
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4550
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5450
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4550
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4600
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4600
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4500
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5500
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.6100
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.3850
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.6150
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.3850
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.6150
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.6150
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.3850
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.6150
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.3850
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.6150
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.6150
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.3850
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.6150
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.3850
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.6150
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.3150
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.7350
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2650
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.7350
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2650
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.7350
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2650
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7350
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6150
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6150
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6150
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6150
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6150
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6250
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 23.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6700, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.6250
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.7250
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.2800
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.7200
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.2650
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.7350
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.3500
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.6500
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.3500
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.6500
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.3650
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.3550
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.6450
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9300
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0700
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9300
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0700
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9300
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9400
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.4500
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5500
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.3550
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.6450
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.3550
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.6450
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.3550
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.6450
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.3550
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 319.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5654, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3350
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6650
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.6500
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 811.73, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.6383, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3500
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6500
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3500
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6500
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3500
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.6500
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3600
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.6400
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3350
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6650
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.3350
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.6650
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.3350
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.6650
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.3400
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.6600
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.3400
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.6600
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.3400
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.6600
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.3400
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.6600
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.3400
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.6600
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.3400
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.6600
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.3400
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.6600
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.3400
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.6600
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.3400
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 811.73, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.6383, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.6600
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3400
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.6600
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3400
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.6600
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3400
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6600
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3400
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.6600
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3400
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6600
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3500
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6500
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3500
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6500
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3500
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6500
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3500
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6500
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.66, Average price: 0.6000, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 811.73, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.6383, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.3650
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.3650
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.3650
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.3650
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.3650
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.5900
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.4100
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 409.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5509, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.5750
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.4250
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.5750
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.4250
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.5600
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.4400
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.5550
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4450
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4000
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.6000
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.3950
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.6050
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.3900
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.6100
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.3900
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.6100
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.3900
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.6100
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.3950
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.5800
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.4200
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.5800
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.4200
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.5800
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.4200
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.5800
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.4200
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.5800
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.4200
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.5800
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.4200
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.5800
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.4200
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.5900
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 811.73, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.6383, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9900

Output: Yes