Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657246
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $90 in November?
Volume: 9682.024599
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 6655.83, Sell volume: 3026.19, Average price: 0.5840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657246
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $90 in November?
Volume: 9682.024599
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0500
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9450
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657246
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $90 in November?
Volume: 9682.024599
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9500
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 6655.83, Sell volume: 3026.19, Average price: 0.5840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657246
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $90 in November?
Volume: 9682.024599
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9500
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0500
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9500
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0500
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 6655.83, Sell volume: 3026.19, Average price: 0.5840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657246
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $90 in November?
Volume: 9682.024599
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 6655.83, Sell volume: 3026.19, Average price: 0.5840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657246
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $90 in November?
Volume: 9682.024599
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0550
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0600
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657246
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $90 in November?
Volume: 9682.024599
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9495
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0560
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9540
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0465
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9515
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0470
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0505
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9530
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0480
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0470
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9460
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0560
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9440
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0560
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9425
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0315
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9680
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0315
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9680
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0315
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 143.74, Sell volume: 5.36, Average price: 0.9427, Price range: 0.9010 - 0.9843
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657246
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $90 in November?
Volume: 9682.024599
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0315
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9685
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0315
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9680
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0350
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9670
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0330
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9670
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.5005
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5475
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.3630
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5455
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.4665
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5545
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.4255
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.6535
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.2940
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.7060
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.2745
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.7780
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0315
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9730
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0260
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9725
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0280
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0110
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9815
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0155
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 197.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9895, Price range: 0.9885 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657246
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $90 in November?
Volume: 9682.024599
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0820
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9915
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9915
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 5701.46, Sell volume: 2588.83, Average price: 0.5634, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6600
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.3400
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.6600
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3600
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.3600
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.3650
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.6350
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3700
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3700
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 45.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5286, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 36.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5154, Price range: 0.4174 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 21.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 4826.69, Sell volume: 298.82, Average price: 0.6808, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.6300
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3700
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.6300
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3700
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.6300
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.3700
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 11.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.4400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.12, Average price: 0.4974, Price range: 0.4974 - 0.4974

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 4826.69, Sell volume: 298.82, Average price: 0.6808, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5700
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4300
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 4826.69, Sell volume: 298.82, Average price: 0.6808, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 4826.69, Sell volume: 298.82, Average price: 0.6808, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 4826.69, Sell volume: 298.82, Average price: 0.6808, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 4826.69, Sell volume: 298.82, Average price: 0.6808, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.64, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.5044, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5188

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4400
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4550
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5450
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.6700
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.3300
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.6600
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.3400
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.6650
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.7650
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.2350
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.7150
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.2850
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.7750
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.2250
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0160
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9840
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1954.87, Sell volume: 251.26, Average price: 0.6881, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.9954

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1700
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 3706.94, Sell volume: 53.67, Average price: 0.9320, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1800
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1750
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1650
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1650
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1650
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8400, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 23.80, Average price: 0.1600, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.1600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0600
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0600
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 3706.94, Sell volume: 53.67, Average price: 0.9320, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 3706.94, Sell volume: 53.67, Average price: 0.9320, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 3706.94, Sell volume: 53.67, Average price: 0.9320, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 23.80, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0600
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0600
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0600
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 3706.94, Sell volume: 53.67, Average price: 0.9320, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0500
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0500
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0500
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0500
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0300
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0220
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0220
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0220
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0230
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0245
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0255
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0255
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0255
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0225
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0220
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0220
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0225
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0220
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0220
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0220
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0220
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0220
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0220
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0220
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 3706.94, Sell volume: 53.67, Average price: 0.9320, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0230
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0230
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0230
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0260
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0280
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0280
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0280
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0285
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0265
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0265
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0265
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0265
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.4995
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.4995
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5005
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5025
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5005
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5005
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5005
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5010
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.4910
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4665
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.4435
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.4330
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.3865
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.3455
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.3360
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.2985
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.2545
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.2505
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.2495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 132.46, Sell volume: 6.07, Average price: 0.8509, Price range: 0.4670 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.2335
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.2300
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.2290
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.2230
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.2170
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.2110
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.2060
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.2005
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.1970
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.1920
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.1865
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0140
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0135
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0135
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0115
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 3544.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9983, Price range: 0.9968 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6600
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.3400
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.6600
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3600
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.3600
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.3650
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.6350
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3700
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3700
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 45.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5286, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 36.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5154, Price range: 0.4174 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 21.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 4826.69, Sell volume: 298.82, Average price: 0.6808, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.6300
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3700
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.6300
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3700
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.6300
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.3700
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 11.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.4400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3300
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.12, Average price: 0.4974, Price range: 0.4974 - 0.4974
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 4826.69, Sell volume: 298.82, Average price: 0.6808, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5700
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4300
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 4826.69, Sell volume: 298.82, Average price: 0.6808, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 4826.69, Sell volume: 298.82, Average price: 0.6808, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 4826.69, Sell volume: 298.82, Average price: 0.6808, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 4826.69, Sell volume: 298.82, Average price: 0.6808, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.64, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.5044, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5188
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678640
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5125.510002
Price History:
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4400
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4550
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5450
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.6700
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.3300
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.6600
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.3400
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.6650
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.7650
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.2350
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.7150
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.2850
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.7750
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.2250
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0160
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9840
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1954.87, Sell volume: 251.26, Average price: 0.6881, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.9954
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.5100
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.8350
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1650
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 3706.94, Sell volume: 53.67, Average price: 0.9320, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1800
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8200
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8200
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1800
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8300
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8300
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8300
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8400, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9000
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 23.80, Average price: 0.1600, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.1600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9400
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 3706.94, Sell volume: 53.67, Average price: 0.9320, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 3706.94, Sell volume: 53.67, Average price: 0.9320, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9000
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9000
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.1000
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9000
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.1000
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 3706.94, Sell volume: 53.67, Average price: 0.9320, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 23.80, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9300
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 3706.94, Sell volume: 53.67, Average price: 0.9320, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9450
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0500
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9500
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9700
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0220
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9780
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0245
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9745
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0255
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9775
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0220
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9775
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0220
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 3706.94, Sell volume: 53.67, Average price: 0.9320, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0230
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9770
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0260
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9720
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0280
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9715
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0265
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9735
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.4995
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4975
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5005
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5010
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5090
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.4435
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5670
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.3865
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.6545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 132.46, Sell volume: 6.07, Average price: 0.8509, Price range: 0.4670 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657247
Question: Will Rocket Lab reach $82 in November?
Volume: 3760.605308
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.2335
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.7700
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.2230
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.7830
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.2060
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.7995
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.1920
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.8135
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0135
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9865
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 3544.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9983, Price range: 0.9968 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.6900
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 7.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5450, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 73.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5860, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.08, Sell volume: 51.03, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 7.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.4800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 48.90, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6036, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.6772

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.6400
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 3531.77, Sell volume: 122.11, Average price: 0.6479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 3531.77, Sell volume: 122.11, Average price: 0.6479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 3531.77, Sell volume: 122.11, Average price: 0.6479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 3531.77, Sell volume: 122.11, Average price: 0.6479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.2700
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.7300
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1450
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.8550
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.1450
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 166.03, Sell volume: 2.08, Average price: 0.7651, Price range: 0.6123 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1450
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.8550
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1650
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.8350
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.1650
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.8350
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.1700
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.8300
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.1700
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.8300
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.1600
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.8400
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.8200
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.8200
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.2000
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.8000
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.1450
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.8550
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.1800
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.8200
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0950
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9050
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0225
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9775
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 722.83, Sell volume: 59.00, Average price: 0.5478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.6900
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 7.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5450, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 73.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5860, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.08, Sell volume: 51.03, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 7.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.4800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3600
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 48.90, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6036, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.6772
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.6400
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 678642
Question: Will Leavitt say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" 10+ during the next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3653.882949
Price History:
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 3531.77, Sell volume: 122.11, Average price: 0.6479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No