Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518537
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42948.056592
Price History:
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9440
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9455
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9445
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9435
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9425
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9420
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9415
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9485
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9485
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9485
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9485
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9485
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9515
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9505
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9510
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9510
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9510
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9510
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9590
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9590
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9595
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9590
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9590
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.9590
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9595
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9595
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9590
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9590
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9595
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9590
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9590
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9590
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.9595
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9590
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9590
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9590
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9630
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9630
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9630
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9630
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9630
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9630
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9620
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9600
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9600
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9595
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9555
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9625
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9615
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 2459.17, Sell volume: 687.62, Average price: 0.6631, Price range: 0.0279 - 0.9739

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518537
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42948.056592
Price History:
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9770
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9835
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.9820
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9820
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9830
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.9825
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.9820
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9825
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9890
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9855
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9735
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9735
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9735
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9785
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9775
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9785
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9775
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9765
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9775
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9775
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9780
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9775
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9800
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.9800
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9800
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9800
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9805
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9795
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.9820
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9825
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.9830
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.9835
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.9815
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9765
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.9925
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.9925
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9925
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9825
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.9805
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9805
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.9845
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.9940
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9945
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.9945
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.9965
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9970
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.9970
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9970
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.9970
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 15384.29, Sell volume: 2819.22, Average price: 0.7124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518537
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 42948.056592
Price History:
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.6200
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.3800
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.3400
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.3000
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.7250
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.3000
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.6900
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.3100
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.3050
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.2950
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.6900
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.3100
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.6900
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.3000
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.3050
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.3050
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.8250
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.1650
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.8300
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.1750
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.8300
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 218.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.2885, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.4467
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518537
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 42948.056592
Price History:
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.7700
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.7050
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.3000
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.6950
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.2850
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.6900
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.2950
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.6950
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.1850
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.8250
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.2050
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.7750
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.7750
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.7750
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.7650
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.2350
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.7650
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.2350
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.7650
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.2350
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.7650
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.2350
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.7650
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.2350
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.7650
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 798.07, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.5288, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518537
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 42948.056592
Price History:
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.7250
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.2750
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.7250
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.2750
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.7250
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.2750
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.7100
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.6750
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.3250
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.6750
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.3250
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.6750
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.3250
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.6750
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.3250
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.6750
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.3250
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.6750
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.3250
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.6800
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 142.27, Sell volume: 132.00, Average price: 0.5789, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518537
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 42948.056592
Price History:
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.6750
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.3250
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.6750
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.3200
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.6800
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.3200
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.6800
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.3200
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.6800
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.3200
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.6800
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.3200
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.6800
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.3200
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.6800
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.3200
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.6800
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.3250
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.6500
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.3350
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.6700
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.3150
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.6900
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.3050
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.6950
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.1850
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.5900
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.4750
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.5250
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 1296.34, Sell volume: 753.91, Average price: 0.5141, Price range: 0.0491 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518537
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 42948.056592
Price History:
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.7300
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.3200
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.6750
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.3050
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.6950
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.3850
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.6200
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.3800
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.6200
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.3900
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.6050
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.3400
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.6600
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.3400
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.7250
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.3200
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.7200
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.3200
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.6500
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.3350
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.6650
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.3350
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.6450
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.3550
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.6450
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.3350
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.6950
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.2600
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.7000
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 214.58, Sell volume: 226.96, Average price: 0.5321, Price range: 0.1861 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518537
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 42948.056592
Price History:
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.7550
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.7350
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.3050
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.7300
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.3000
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.7350
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.7400
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.2600
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.7400
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.2900
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.7250
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.7350
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.7200
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.2800
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.7000
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.7450
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.2550
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.7450
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.2550
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.7450
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.2600
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.7450
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.2650
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.7350
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 33.77, Sell volume: 59.00, Average price: 0.6462, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518537
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 42948.056592
Price History:
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.7250
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.2550
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.7300
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.2800
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.7350
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.3000
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.7500
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.2550
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.7350
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.2400
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.7650
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.2400
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.7100
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.2800
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.7250
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.3050
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.7600
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.3050
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.7350
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.2600
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.7850
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.2450
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.7650
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.2350
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.7700
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.2100
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.8000
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.2050
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.8100
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 512.47, Sell volume: 22.38, Average price: 0.5430, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518537
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 42948.056592
Price History:
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.7750
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.7850
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.2150
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.7800
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.2000
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.8250
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.2050
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.8350
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.2000
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.8050
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.2150
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.8450
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.1900
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.8050
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.2250
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.7900
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.1800
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.8000
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.1850
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.8150
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.1900
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.8250
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.1750
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.8250
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.1750
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.8300
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.1650
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.8400
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 1612.60, Sell volume: 384.11, Average price: 0.6598, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518537
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 42948.056592
Price History:
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.8150
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.1800
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.8200
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.1750
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.8200
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.1800
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.8150
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.8150
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.7700
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.2200
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.7700
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.2300
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.8000
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.8100
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.8100
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.8100
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.8050
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.1950
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.8100
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.1900
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.8050
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.1950
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.8700
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 2332.12, Sell volume: 139.48, Average price: 0.5452, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518537
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 42948.056592
Price History:
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.8500
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.1500
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.8500
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.1300
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9100
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0600
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9640
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0360
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9640
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0360
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9645
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0355
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9650
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0355
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9620
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0435
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9565
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0465
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.9535
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0465
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.9135
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0875
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.9420
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0605
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9540
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0460
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9540
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0520
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9525
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 3913.40, Sell volume: 488.33, Average price: 0.7026, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9630
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518537
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 42948.056592
Price History:
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9250
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0750
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.9245
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0755
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.9240
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0775
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9455
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0550
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9465
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0530
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.9475
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0520
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9485
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0515
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9480
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0540
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.9465
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0535
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.9465
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0435
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.9565
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0440
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.9570
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0430
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9570
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0430
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9560
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0520
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9480
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 126.52, Sell volume: 2455.81, Average price: 0.7902, Price range: 0.0396 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518537
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 42948.056592
Price History:
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9440
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0545
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9435
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0575
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9415
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0515
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9485
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0515
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9515
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0495
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9510
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0490
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9590
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0410
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9590
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0410
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9595
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0405
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9590
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0405
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9590
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0410
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9590
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0410
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9630
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0370
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9630
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0370
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9620
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 2459.17, Sell volume: 687.62, Average price: 0.6631, Price range: 0.0279 - 0.9739
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518537
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 42948.056592
Price History:
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9770
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0165
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9820
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0170
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.9820
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0175
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9855
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0265
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9735
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0215
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9785
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0225
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9775
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0225
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9775
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0200
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9800
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0200
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9795
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0180
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.9830
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0165
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9765
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9925
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0175
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9805
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0155
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9945
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 15384.29, Sell volume: 2819.22, Average price: 0.7124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5950
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.5950
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.3700
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.3700
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.6500
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.4000
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.4000
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.4000
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.4000
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.4000
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.4000
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.4050
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.6700
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.5900
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.4800
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.4750
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.4650
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.4800
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.4650
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.4650
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.3600
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.3900
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.3900
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.3950
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.4000
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.4000
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.4000
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.4000
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.3950
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.3900
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 212.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4985, Price range: 0.4460 - 0.5582

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.3650
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.4350
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.3850
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.4350
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.3850
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.3950
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.4150
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.4250
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.4250
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.4000
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.4000
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.4250
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.3950
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.4200
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.4000
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.4250
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.3400
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.3950
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.4000
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.3950
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.3950
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.4050
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.4150
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.4200
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.3700
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.3900
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.3900
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.3900
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.3900
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.3900
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.3900
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.3900
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.4300
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.4400
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.4300
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.4100
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.4250
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.5250
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.7550
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.4550
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.4350
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.4500
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.4500
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.4600
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.4600
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.4500
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.4500
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.4550
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.4700
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 747.09, Sell volume: 43.00, Average price: 0.4527, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.4600
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.4600
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.3950
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.3950
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.3950
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.3950
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.3950
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.4200
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.4200
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.6200
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.7550
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.5550
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.5550
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.5450
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.5450
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.5450
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.5450
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.4100
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.2750
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.4900
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.4700
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.2750
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.2700
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.2700
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.2700
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.2700
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.2700
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.3000
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.4200
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.4150
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.4150
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.4150
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.4150
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 917.46, Sell volume: 311.82, Average price: 0.4208, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.3500
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.4250
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.3850
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.4400
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.4150
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.3850
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.3750
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.3500
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.3700
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.3450
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.3550
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.4350
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.4350
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.4350
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.4350
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.4350
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.3950
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.3750
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.3350
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.3400
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.3250
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.3350
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.3350
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.3350
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.3250
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.3200
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.3200
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.3250
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.3350
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.3350
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.3400
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.3200
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 215.09, Sell volume: 105.58, Average price: 0.5734, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.2950
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.2950
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.2950
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.2850
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.2600
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.2500
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.2400
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.2400
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.2400
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.2400
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 301.26, Sell volume: 95.00, Average price: 0.6417, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.2350
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.2400
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.2350
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.2400
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.2350
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.2300
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.2300
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.2150
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.2150
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.1050
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.1200
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.1400
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.1350
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.1300
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.1500
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.1700
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.1850
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.1400
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.1300
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.1350
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.1300
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.1400
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.1400
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.1550
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.2350
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.3800
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.3500
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.3100
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.1700
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.1750
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.1750
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.1700
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.1700
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.1700
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.1700
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.1700
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.1700
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.1700
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.4350
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.4200
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.2750
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.2950
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.2600
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.2900
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.3050
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.3450
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.2500
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 1555.11, Sell volume: 565.72, Average price: 0.6826, Price range: 0.1490 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.5100
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.4500
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.6050
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.6050
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.5950
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.6000
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.5050
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.5650
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.5400
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.5300
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.5200
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.5700
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.5100
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.5300
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.5350
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.5700
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.5850
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.5550
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.5450
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.5800
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.5650
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.5750
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.5750
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.5750
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.5650
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.5600
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.6700
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.6200
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.5850
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.5850
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.5700
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.5750
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.5700
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.6200
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.5500
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.4550
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.4650
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.4650
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 2761.48, Sell volume: 1348.96, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.5500
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.5500
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.5500
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.5400
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.5400
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.5400
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.5400
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.5400
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.5450
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.5450
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.6500
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.6950
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.6750
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.5800
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.5650
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.5750
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.5700
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.5750
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.5550
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.5550
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.5650
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.5650
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.5700
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.5700
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.5700
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.5700
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.5550
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.5650
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.5550
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.5600
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.5450
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.5400
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.5450
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.5500
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.5400
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.5400
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.6350
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.6350
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.5950
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.6200
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.6150
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.6150
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.7050
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.6900
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.6900
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.7000
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.6900
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.6900
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.6900
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 5026.21, Sell volume: 1111.50, Average price: 0.4849, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.6250
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.6200
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.3750
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.5450
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.6000
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.6500
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.6250
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.7950
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.6900
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.7550
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.7550
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.8400
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.8400
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.8100
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.8100
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.8100
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.8150
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.8150
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.8150
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.8050
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.8050
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.8050
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.8050
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.6800
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.7200
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.7250
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.7250
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.7250
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.7350
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.7400
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.7450
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.7500
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.7700
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.7650
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.7350
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.7650
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.7650
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.7400
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.7450
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.7400
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.7350
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.7400
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.7400
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.7400
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.7400
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.7400
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.7400
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.7350
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 3203.01, Sell volume: 5195.74, Average price: 0.4873, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9626

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.7150
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.7250
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.7250
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.7350
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.7350
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.7400
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.7700
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.7800
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.7800
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.7800
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.7800
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.7800
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.7750
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.7750
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.7750
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.7750
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.7750
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.7750
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.7750
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.7750
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.7750
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.7750
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.7750
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.7450
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.7500
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.7550
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.7550
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.7500
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.7550
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.7550
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.7600
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.7600
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.7600
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.7350
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.7550
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.7550
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.7550
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.7550
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.7600
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.7600
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 3904.11, Sell volume: 630.47, Average price: 0.5546, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.7600
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.7600
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.7500
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.7500
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.7500
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.7450
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.7500
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.7600
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.7600
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.7600
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.7600
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.7600
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.7600
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.7600
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.7650
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.7650
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.7700
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.7700
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.7700
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.8550
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.8500
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.8550
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.8550
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9940
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9520
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9685
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9730
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 202, Buy volume: 6410.43, Sell volume: 1298.53, Average price: 0.7656, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9825
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9830
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.9875
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9865
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9865
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.9880
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.9835
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9850
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9880
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9850
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9820
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9850
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9800
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9800
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9805
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9810
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9810
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9810
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9885
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9885
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9885
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9890
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9890
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.9890
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9840
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9880
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9880
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9880
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.9895
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9895
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.9865
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.9860
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.9885
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9965
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.9925
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.9920
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9955
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.9975
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.9960
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9960
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.9960
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9960
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.9960
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 12940.03, Sell volume: 1159.25, Average price: 0.7806, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9983

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5950
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.4050
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.3700
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.3500
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.4000
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.6000
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.4000
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.6000
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.4000
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.5950
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.6700
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.4750
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.5300
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.4800
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.5350
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.4700
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.5300
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.3900
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.6100
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.4000
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.6000
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.4000
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.6050
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 212.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4985, Price range: 0.4460 - 0.5582
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.6000
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.6000
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.5650
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.6150
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.4350
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.6150
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.3950
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.5900
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.4250
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.6000
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.4000
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.6000
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.3950
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.5800
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.4250
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.6600
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.4000
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.6050
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.6050
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.4150
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.5800
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.3900
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.6100
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.3900
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.6100
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.6100
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.4400
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.5700
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.5800
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.4250
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.4200
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.5250
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.2450
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.3200
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.5650
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.4500
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 747.09, Sell volume: 43.00, Average price: 0.4527, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.4600
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.5400
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.3950
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.6050
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.3950
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.5800
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.4200
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.5250
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.5250
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.5250
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.6200
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.2450
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.5550
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.4500
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.4500
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.5450
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.4550
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.4650
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.4100
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.7250
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.4700
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.7250
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.2700
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.7300
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.2700
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 917.46, Sell volume: 311.82, Average price: 0.4208, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.3500
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.5750
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.4400
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.5850
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.3750
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.6350
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.3500
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.6350
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.3700
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.6550
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.3550
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.6350
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.6350
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.4350
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.5650
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.4350
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.6050
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.3350
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.6600
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.3350
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.6650
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.3250
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.6800
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.6700
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.3350
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.6650
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 215.09, Sell volume: 105.58, Average price: 0.5734, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.6900
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.6900
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.6900
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.6900
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.6900
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.3100
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.7050
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.2950
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.7150
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.7650
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.7650
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.7650
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.2600
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.7500
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.7700
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.7650
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.2300
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.7700
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 301.26, Sell volume: 95.00, Average price: 0.6417, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.2350
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.7600
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.2400
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.7650
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.2300
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.7850
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.1050
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.8800
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.1350
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.8700
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.1700
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.8200
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.1400
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.8700
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.1300
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.8600
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.1200
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.8450
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.3800
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.6500
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.1700
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.8250
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.1700
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.8300
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.1700
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.8300
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.1700
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.5650
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.2750
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 1555.11, Sell volume: 565.72, Average price: 0.6826, Price range: 0.1490 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.4900
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.6050
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.6000
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.4950
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.5650
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.4600
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.5200
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.5100
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.4700
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.5700
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.4150
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.4550
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.5650
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.4250
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.5750
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.4400
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.6700
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.5850
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.4300
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.5700
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 2761.48, Sell volume: 1348.96, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.5500
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.5400
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.5400
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.4600
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.5450
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.3500
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.6750
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.4200
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.5750
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.4300
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.5550
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.4450
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.5650
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.4300
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.5700
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.4300
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.5650
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.5450
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.4600
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.5500
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.4600
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.6350
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.3650
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.6200
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.3850
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.7050
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 5026.21, Sell volume: 1111.50, Average price: 0.4849, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.6250
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.3800
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.5450
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.4000
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.6250
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.2050
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.2450
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.8400
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.1600
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.8100
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.1900
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.8150
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.1850
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.8050
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.1950
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.6800
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.2800
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.7250
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.2750
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.7400
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.2550
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.7700
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.2350
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.7650
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.7450
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.2600
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.7400
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 3203.01, Sell volume: 5195.74, Average price: 0.4873, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9626
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.7150
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.2750
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.7350
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.2650
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.7700
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.2200
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.7800
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.2200
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.7750
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.2250
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.7750
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.2250
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.7750
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.2250
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.2150
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.2150
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.2150
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.7500
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.2450
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.7500
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.2450
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.7600
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.2400
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.7350
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 3904.11, Sell volume: 630.47, Average price: 0.5546, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.7600
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.2400
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.2400
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.2400
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.2400
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.2400
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.2400
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.2400
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.7600
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.2400
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.7500
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.2500
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.7450
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.2500
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.7600
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.2400
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.7600
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.2400
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.7650
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.2350
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.7700
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.2300
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.8500
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 202, Buy volume: 6410.43, Sell volume: 1298.53, Average price: 0.7656, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518534
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 52561.798509
Price History:
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9825
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0170
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9865
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0135
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.9835
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0150
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9850
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0180
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9800
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0200
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9810
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0190
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9885
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0115
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9890
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0110
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9840
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0120
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9880
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0105
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.9865
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0140
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9965
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0075
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 12940.03, Sell volume: 1159.25, Average price: 0.7806, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9983
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0550
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.9895
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0125
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9955
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9955
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9965
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9960
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9965
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9965
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.9970
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0035
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9965
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9965
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9965
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9965
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0035
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9965
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.9965
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0035
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9965
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9965
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0035
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9965
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0035
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.9965
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9965
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.9955
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.9955
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9965
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9965
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9965
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.9950
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0050
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.9950
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0050
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.9945
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9955
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9955
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9955
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0045
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.9960
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9955
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9960
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9960
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.9965
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9965
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.9965
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.9965
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9965
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9955
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.9955
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9955
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9950
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.9955
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.9960
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.9960
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.9965
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.9965
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.9965
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.9955
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.9960
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.9960
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9960
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0035
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9965
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.9965
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.9965
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.9965
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.9965
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.9965
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.9965
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0035
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.9965
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.9965
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.9965
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.9965
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.9965
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9960
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9955
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.0045
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.9960
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9955
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.9955
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9955
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0045
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9960
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0045
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.9960
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9960
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9960
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9965
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9965
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.9965
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.9965
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.9965
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9965
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9965
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.9965
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9965
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.9965
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.9965
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.9965
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.9955
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.9955
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.9965
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.9965
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9945
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.9940
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.0055
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.9935
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.9930
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.0070
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.9930
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0075
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.9930
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0070
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.9930
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0070
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.9930
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0070
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.9930
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.0070
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.9930
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0070
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9930
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0070
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.9930
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.9930
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0070
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.9930
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0070
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.9930
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0070
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.9930
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.0070
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.0065
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0070
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9930
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9930
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0070
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9930
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.0070
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9930
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0070
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9930
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0075
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0065
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0070
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0070
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.0070
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9930
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.0070
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0070
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0070
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0070
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9930
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9930
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9930
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9930
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9935
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9935
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.9935
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.0070
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0070
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0070
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0070
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9930
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0070
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9930
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0070
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9930
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9930
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.0070
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9930
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0070
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9930
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.0070
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9930
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.0065
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9930
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9930
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0070
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9930
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0070
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9930
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0070
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0070
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9930
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.0070
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0070
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9930
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.9930
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9930
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.0070
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9930
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.0070
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9945
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9930
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0070
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.0060
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0060
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9930
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.0075
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0075
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9920
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0075
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.9925
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.9925
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9925
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.9920
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9920
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.0080
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.9925
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.0070
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.9930
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.0070
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.9930
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9930
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0070
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9930
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9930
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9930
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0070
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0065
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9935
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0070
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0070
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0070
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9930
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0070
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0070
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0070
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0070
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9925
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0070
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0085
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9915
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9915
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9915
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0085
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0085
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9915
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0085
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9920
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0065
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0065
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0065
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9940
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9940
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0060
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9940
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0060
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0060
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9940
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0060
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9940
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0060
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9940
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0060
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9940
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9940
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0060
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9940
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9940
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.0055
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.9950
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9950
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0050
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0050
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9940
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9945
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0045
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0040
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0095
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9915
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9915
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9900
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0110
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9890
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0110
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0100
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0080
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9920
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9910
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0090
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9910
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9910
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9900
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9910
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0090
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0070
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9920
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9910
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0090
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9910
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9910
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0135
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0125
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9865
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9870
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0165
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9875
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9775
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0255
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9735
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0255
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9720
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0315
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9730
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0195
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9710
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9745
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9625
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0370
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9645
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0260
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9745
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0215
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9745
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0270
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9680
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0265
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9895
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0125
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0140
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9860
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0120
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0170
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9420
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0590
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0670
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9380
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0640
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9365
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.1075
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.8955
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.8985
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.3575
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.6255
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4050
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.6440
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.8385
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0220
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9420
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9840
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9900
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9895
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999997, Buy volume: 761458754.45, Sell volume: 250955031.84, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0550
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0125
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0035
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0050
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0055
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0050
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0045
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0045
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0045
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0040
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0060
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0060
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0065
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.0070
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.0070
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.0070
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.0070
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.0070
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.0070
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.0070
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0070
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0070
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0070
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.0070
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0070
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0070
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0070
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0070
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0070
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0070
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0070
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.0070
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0070
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.0070
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0070
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0075
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0065
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.9930
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.9930
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9930
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.9930
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9930
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9930
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.9935
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0065
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9930
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9930
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9930
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9930
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9930
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9930
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9930
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0070
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0070
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0070
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0070
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.9930
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9930
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9930
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9930
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9930
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9930
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9930
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.9930
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0070
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9930
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.9940
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9940
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0075
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9925
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0075
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0075
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0080
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0080
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9930
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9930
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0070
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9930
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0070
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9930
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9935
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9935
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9930
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0070
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9930
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0070
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0075
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0085
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0085
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9915
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9915
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9920
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0065
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0065
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9935
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0060
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0060
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9940
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9940
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0060
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9940
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0065
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9945
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0050
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0050
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9955
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0050
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0055
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0045
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9960
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9905
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9910
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9890
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0110
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0100
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9920
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0090
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9910
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9910
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0085
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9930
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9930
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0100
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0095
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.9900
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9910
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9910
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9865
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9865
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0130
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.9875
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9745
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0265
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0280
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0265
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0195
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0270
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0310
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0355
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0255
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0215
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 761508754.45, Sell volume: 250980591.41, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549625
Question: Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 5979751.010623
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0140
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0115
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0540
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0540
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0675
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0620
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0605
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.1095
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0990
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.3230
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.3860
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.3595
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.6665
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9420
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9825
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9920
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999997, Buy volume: 761458754.45, Sell volume: 250955031.84, Average price: 0.7951, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.5300
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.5850
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.5800
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.4200
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.5800
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.4200
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.5800
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.3100
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.6950
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.3300
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.5300
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.4700
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.4700
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.4700
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.5300
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.4700
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.5250
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.6450
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.5850
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5800
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.4450
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.5550
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.5800
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.5400
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.4600
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.5350
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.5050
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.5350
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.4700
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.4400
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.4500
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.4350
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.4450
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.4450
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4600
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.4600
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.4550
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.5450
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.5450
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.5450
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.5450
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.4550
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.5450
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.4050
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.5950
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 60164609.65, Sell volume: 22252373.02, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.5650
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.4350
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.4350
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.5650
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.5650
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.5650
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.5650
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.5650
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.5650
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.5650
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.5500
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.4050
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.3950
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.4200
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.4750
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.5550
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.5250
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.4750
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.5200
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.5750
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.4500
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.5350
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.5550
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.5550
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.4750
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.4750
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.4750
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.4550
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.4350
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.1250
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.2500
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.4100
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.4250
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.4850
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.5100
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.4900
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.4800
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.4800
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.4800
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.4800
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.4250
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 179820, Buy volume: 18784492.10, Sell volume: 5087667.24, Average price: 0.4989, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.4900
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.4900
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.4900
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.4750
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.4550
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.4450
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.4450
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.4300
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.5600
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.4300
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.4250
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.5750
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.5750
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.4050
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.4150
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.4150
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.4150
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.4150
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.4150
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.4200
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.6050
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.6050
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.6000
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.6000
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.3950
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.5950
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.4000
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.4000
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.4000
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 221778, Buy volume: 7884398.68, Sell volume: 9891198.90, Average price: 0.5120, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6100

Output: Yes