Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.3550
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 32.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5402, Price range: 0.3904 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.4400
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.5600
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.3350
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 77.46, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.5625, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 94.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6325, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.3800
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.3800
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.3800
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.6200
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.3800
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.3800
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.6200
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.6250
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.3750
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.6250
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.3750
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.6250
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.3750
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.6250
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.3750
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.3750
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.6250
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.6250
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.3750
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.6000
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.6000
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.6000
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 18.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6650, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.6000
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.6000
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.3750
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.3500
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.6500
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.6500
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.3500
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.3350
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.6700
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.3300
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.6600
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.3400
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.6600
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.3400
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.6600
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.3400
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.3400
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.7250
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.2750
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.2750
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 177.06, Sell volume: 13.78, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7328

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.2500
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.7500
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.7500
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.2500
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.7500
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.2500
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.2700
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.7300
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.7300
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.2700
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.7300
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.3150
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.6850
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.6850
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.7000
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.2900
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.7100
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.2500
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.7500
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.2300
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.7700
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 269.53, Sell volume: 69.75, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.2267 - 0.8253

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.7700
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.7700
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.2300
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.2300
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.7700
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.7700
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 431.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.7650
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.2350
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.8000
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.2000
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.8050
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.1950
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 220.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8096, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.8289

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.7650
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.7500
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.2500
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.7400
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.2600
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.7100
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.2900
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.2800
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.7200
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.7100
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.2900
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.6700
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.3300
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.3300
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.6800
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.3200
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.6800
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.3200
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 474.52, Sell volume: 193.20, Average price: 0.5298, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7394

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.6750
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.3250
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.6700
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.3300
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.6750
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.6700
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.3300
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.3350
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.3600
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.6400
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.3600
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.6400
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.3550
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.3550
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.6450
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.3600
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.6400
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.3550
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.6450
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 321.80, Sell volume: 44.00, Average price: 0.4574, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.5500
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.6400
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.3600
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.7200
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.2800
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.2800
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.3700
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.6300
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.3600
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.6400
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.3600
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.6400
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.3600
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.6400
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.6400
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.3600
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.3500
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.6500
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.3400
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.6600
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 765.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6574, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.7820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.6550
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.6600
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.3400
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.6650
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.3900
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.6100
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.3950
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.6050
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.6150
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.3900
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.6100
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.6150
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.6150
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.6150
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.6150
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.6150
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 211.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6334, Price range: 0.4528 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.3550
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.3550
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.6250
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.3750
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.3750
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.6250
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.3750
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.6250
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.3550
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.3550
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 242.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6378, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.3550
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.3500
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 32.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5402, Price range: 0.3904 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.4400
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.5600
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.3350
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 77.46, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.5625, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 94.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6325, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.6150
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.3800
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.3800
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.3800
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.6200
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.3800
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.3800
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.6200
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.6250
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.3750
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.6250
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.3750
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.6250
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.3750
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.6250
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.3750
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.3750
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.6250
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.6250
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.3750
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.6000
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.6000
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 18.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6650, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.6000
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.6000
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.3750
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.3500
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.6500
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.6500
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.3500
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.3350
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.6700
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.3300
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.6600
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.3400
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.6600
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.3400
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.6600
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.3400
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.3400
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 177.06, Sell volume: 13.78, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7328
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.2500
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.7500
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.7500
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.2500
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.7500
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.2500
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.2700
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.7300
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.7300
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.2700
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.7300
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.3150
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.6850
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.6850
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.7000
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.2900
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.7100
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.2500
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.7500
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 269.53, Sell volume: 69.75, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.2267 - 0.8253
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.7700
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.7700
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.2300
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.2300
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.7700
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.7700
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 431.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.7650
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.2350
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.8000
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.2000
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.8050
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.1950
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.7700
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 220.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8096, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.8289
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.7650
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.7500
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.2500
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.7400
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.2600
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.7100
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.2900
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.2800
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.7200
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.7100
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.2900
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.6700
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.3300
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.3300
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.6800
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.3200
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 474.52, Sell volume: 193.20, Average price: 0.5298, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7394
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 586324
Question: France debt downgrade by December 31?
Volume: 10980.839879
Price History:
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.6750
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.3250
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.6700
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.3300
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.6750
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.6700
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.3300
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.3350
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.3600
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.6400
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.3600
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.6400
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.3550
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.3550
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.6450
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.6500
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.3600
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 321.80, Sell volume: 44.00, Average price: 0.4574, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.7500
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9600
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0400
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9650
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0350
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0300
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9700
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0295
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9705
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9750
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9750
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9750
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9750
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9755
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0245
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0245
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9755
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9760
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0240
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9795
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0205
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0205
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9795
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0205
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9795
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0205
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9795
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0205
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9795
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9795
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0205
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9795
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0205
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0205
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 7.07, Sell volume: 7.07, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9795
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0205
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9795
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9795
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0205
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.0205
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9795
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0205
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9795
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0155
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9845
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0160
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9840
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9835
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9835
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9835
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9835
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9835
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9835
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9835
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9835
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9835
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9835
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9835
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0170
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9830
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0170
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9830
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0170
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9830
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0170
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9830
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0170
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9830
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9830
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0170
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9830
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9830
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0170
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9820
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0185
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9815
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9835
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0165
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9815
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0185
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9820
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0180
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0165
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9835
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9835
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0165
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9835
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0165
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0165
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9835
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0180
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0180
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0180
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0180
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0180
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1845
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.8155
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.8090
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.1910
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.5350
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.6545
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.3455
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9610
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9610
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9610
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0390
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 208, Buy volume: 53840.61, Sell volume: 103844.74, Average price: 0.2534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9600
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9650
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0300
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0295
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9750
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9755
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0245
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9760
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9795
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0205
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0205
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0205
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0205
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9795
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9795
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0205
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0205
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0205
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9795
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0205
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 7.07, Sell volume: 7.07, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9795
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9795
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0205
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9795
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9795
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9845
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9840
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9835
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9835
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9830
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9830
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9830
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9830
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9830
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9830
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.9830
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9830
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0170
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9830
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9830
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0160
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9825
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9820
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9815
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0165
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9840
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0185
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0180
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9835
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9840
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9840
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0160
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9840
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0160
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9840
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9840
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9840
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9840
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0165
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0165
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9835
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9825
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 53849.11, Sell volume: 103851.81, Average price: 0.2593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607774
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 3 million views on day 1?
Volume: 157700.924868
Price History:
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9820
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1845
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.8090
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.6545
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9610
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9610
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 208, Buy volume: 53840.61, Sell volume: 103844.74, Average price: 0.2534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.1950
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.1900
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.8100
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 47.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2100, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.2100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 13980.93, Sell volume: 35479.60, Average price: 0.4073, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.8100
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.1900
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.1900
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.8100
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2000
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.8000
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.1950
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.1950
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.8050
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.1950
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.8050
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.8050
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.1950
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2000
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.8000
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.1950
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.8050
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.8000
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 13980.93, Sell volume: 35479.60, Average price: 0.4073, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2000
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.2000
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.2000
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.2000
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.2000
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.2000
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.2000
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.2100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.2100
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.2100
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.2100
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.7850
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.2150
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7850
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 50.22, Average price: 0.1897, Price range: 0.1895 - 0.1900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.2350
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.2350
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7650
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2350
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7650
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.2350
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7650
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.2350
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7650
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7650
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.2350
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7650
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 13980.93, Sell volume: 35479.60, Average price: 0.4073, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 13980.93, Sell volume: 35479.60, Average price: 0.4073, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.2800
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.7200
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3400
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7100
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7100
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3400
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.6600
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.7450
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7250
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.7100
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.6650
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 13980.93, Sell volume: 35479.60, Average price: 0.4073, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.6350
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.7600
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.2400
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.7600
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.2400
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.7600
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.2400
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.7600
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.2400
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.7600
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.2400
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.7600
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.2400
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.7600
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7400, Price range: 0.7400 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.6500
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.3500
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.6500
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.3500
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.6450
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.3550
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.6450
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.3550
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.2550
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.7300
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.2700
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.7300
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.6050
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.3950
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.3950
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.6050
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.6250
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.3750
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.6250
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.6250
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.3750
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.6250
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.3750
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.3750
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.3750
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.6450
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.3550
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.6450
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.3550
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.6450
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.6500
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.6500
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.6500
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.6500
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.6500
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.6500
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.6500
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.6500
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.6500
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2900, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.2900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.7050
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.2950
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.4900
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 26.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4375, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.00, Average price: 0.6685, Price range: 0.6685 - 0.6685

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.3550
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.6450
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.3600
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.6400
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.4250
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.5750
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.4300
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.5700
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.4350
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.5650
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.5550
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.4450
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.4350
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.5650
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.5950
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.4050
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.5950
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.4050
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.5950
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.4050
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9650
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0350
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9700
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9700
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0050
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0060
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0050
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 13865.88, Sell volume: 35423.38, Average price: 0.4036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.1900
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.2100
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.2150
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 47.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2100, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.2100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 13980.93, Sell volume: 35479.60, Average price: 0.4073, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.8100
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.1900
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2000
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.8050
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.1950
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.1950
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.8050
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2000
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.1950
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.8000
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.8000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 13980.93, Sell volume: 35479.60, Average price: 0.4073, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.2000
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.2000
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.8000
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.7850
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7850
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7850
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7850
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.7850
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.7850
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 50.22, Average price: 0.1897, Price range: 0.1895 - 0.1900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.2350
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.2350
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2350
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.2350
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.2350
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7650
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7650
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 13980.93, Sell volume: 35479.60, Average price: 0.4073, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3550
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 13980.93, Sell volume: 35479.60, Average price: 0.4073, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.2800
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3400
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3400
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 13980.93, Sell volume: 35479.60, Average price: 0.4073, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.6350
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.2400
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.2400
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.2400
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.2400
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.2400
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.2400
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7400, Price range: 0.7400 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.6500
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.6500
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.6450
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.6450
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.7300
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.7300
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.3950
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.6050
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.3750
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.3750
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.3750
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.3750
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.6450
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.6450
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.6500
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.6500
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.3500
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.6500
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.6500
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2900, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.2900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.7050
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.6950
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 26.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4375, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.3650
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.00, Average price: 0.6685, Price range: 0.6685 - 0.6685
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 607775
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 3–6 million views on day 1?
Volume: 49460.534941
Price History:
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.3550
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.3600
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.4250
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.4350
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.5550
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.4350
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.5950
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.5950
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.5950
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9650
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9700
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0050
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 13865.88, Sell volume: 35423.38, Average price: 0.4036, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes