Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9050
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9050
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0950
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0850
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9150
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0850
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0850
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9150
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0850
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0850
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0850
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9200
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9250
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0400
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9600
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0450
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9550
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 877.58, Sell volume: 238.49, Average price: 0.5123, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0450
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9550
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9550
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9550
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9600
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0400
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9550
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9595
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0390
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9610
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9610
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 154.14, Sell volume: 348.52, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0355
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0345
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0375
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0375
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0380
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0355
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0315
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9685
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0320
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0310
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0315
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9685
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9685
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9685
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9685
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9685
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0315
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9735
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9745
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9745
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0255
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9720
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0290
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0290
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0280
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9710
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9715
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0295
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0295
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 123.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7146, Price range: 0.0426 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0305
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0305
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0305
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0405
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0545
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0545
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0545
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0545
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9305
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0595
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0655
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0660
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9390
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9420
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9375
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9380
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9445
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9695
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9670
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9650
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0350
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9650
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0335
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0315
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0320
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9670
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9700
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 4304.71, Sell volume: 111.09, Average price: 0.3307, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0295
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0305
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0300
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0250
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0250
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0245
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0255
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0255
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9710
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9685
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9670
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9670
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9655
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9655
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9665
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0340
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0340
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9645
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9650
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0345
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0345
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9655
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0345
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0345
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0345
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0345
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0345
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0345
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 787.37, Sell volume: 555.37, Average price: 0.7016, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0345
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9660
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9655
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9655
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9685
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9685
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9690
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9685
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0310
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9685
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9690
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9690
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0310
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0315
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0315
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0315
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0290
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0285
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9710
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0290
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9725
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9720
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9725
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9735
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9750
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9735
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0250
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0220
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9785
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 308.87, Sell volume: 2035.96, Average price: 0.7523, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0215
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0215
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9785
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9785
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9785
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9785
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9805
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9810
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9805
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9810
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9810
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9810
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9810
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9810
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9815
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9815
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9810
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9805
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9740
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9465
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9520
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9525
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9525
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9530
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9560
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 3767.71, Sell volume: 753.95, Average price: 0.6226, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0410
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0410
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0360
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0360
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0380
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0370
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0370
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0370
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0385
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0395
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0365
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0375
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0365
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0380
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0385
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0365
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0370
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0185
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0185
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0350
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0340
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0325
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0325
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0300
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0295
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0305
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0305
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 985.25, Sell volume: 189.00, Average price: 0.5671, Price range: 0.0314 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9710
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9710
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9710
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9715
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9710
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9795
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9815
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9880
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9960
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9895
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9910
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9925
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 7346.80, Sell volume: 2074.87, Average price: 0.8501, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.4750
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.2700
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.7550
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2550
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.5100
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.5500
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.5500
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.5750
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.5750
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.4250
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.5750
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.5750
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.5750
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.4250
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.4250
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.4300
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.4300
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.4300
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.6200
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.3800
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.6650
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.3400
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.6650
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.3300
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.3500
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.3350
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.4350
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.4350
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.5900
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.4000
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.4000
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.6000
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.4000
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.3950
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.5950
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.5950
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.5950
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.3650
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.6550
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.3200
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.6650
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 902.02, Sell volume: 12.50, Average price: 0.4586, Price range: 0.2950 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.7200
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.2800
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.6700
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.3350
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.4000
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.6350
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.6100
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.3950
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.6050
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.3950
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.6050
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.4000
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.3950
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.5950
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.3950
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.5900
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.4000
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.6000
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.4000
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.6000
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.6150
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.3800
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.6100
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.6200
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.3750
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.6050
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.3850
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.6250
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.3950
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.6150
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.6150
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.3850
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.6150
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.3850
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.6100
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.3850
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.6150
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.6150
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.6050
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.3950
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.6050
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.3950
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.6100
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.6000
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 3137.17, Sell volume: 604.78, Average price: 0.4834, Price range: 0.3114 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.5150
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.5150
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.4850
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.5150
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.4800
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.5250
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.4750
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.4650
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.6250
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.4050
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.3850
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.6150
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.3850
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.3950
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.4150
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.4100
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.5850
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.4400
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.5150
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.4550
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.4550
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.4800
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.5350
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.5350
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.5250
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.4600
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.4650
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.5050
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.5050
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.4550
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.5350
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.4600
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.4600
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.4550
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 2399.45, Sell volume: 1003.42, Average price: 0.5164, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.5300
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5350
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.5400
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4400
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.4350
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.5850
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.5850
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.4150
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.5850
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.6200
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.6150
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.3850
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.6350
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.3600
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.3600
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.6450
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.3550
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.6450
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.6400
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.3600
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.6400
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.5600
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.4750
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.5250
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.4150
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.5950
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.4050
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.5950
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.4050
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.5950
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.4050
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5850
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.4150
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.5900
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.4150
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.5850
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.4150
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1766.28, Sell volume: 1369.05, Average price: 0.4590, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.3600
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.3600
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.6400
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.6150
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.3850
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.6150
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.3850
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.6050
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.4100
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.5900
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.4100
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.5600
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.4600
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.5400
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.4600
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.5250
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.4350
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.4350
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.5700
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.5400
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.4650
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.5350
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.4650
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.5350
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.5350
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.4550
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.5450
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.4200
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.5750
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.6050
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.4050
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.6200
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.3850
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.6150
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.3850
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.6250
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.3750
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.6300
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.3650
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.6350
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.3850
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2993.86, Sell volume: 1526.36, Average price: 0.4441, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.5550
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.4050
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.5950
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.4050
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.5950
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.4050
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.6050
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.3900
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.6100
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.3900
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.6100
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.3900
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.6100
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.3900
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.6100
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.3900
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.6150
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.3850
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.3950
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.6050
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5050
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5150
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.4850
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.5150
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.4850
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.5150
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.5250
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.4650
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.5350
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.4550
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.5550
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.4600
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.5450
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.4550
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5350
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.4750
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5200
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4800
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3056.52, Sell volume: 276.56, Average price: 0.4992, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4550
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.4550
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.5100
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.5100
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.5100
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.4600
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.5400
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.4150
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1671.21, Sell volume: 890.10, Average price: 0.5162, Price range: 0.3971 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.5900
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5900
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5900
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4100
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.6250
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.3700
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.3700
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.3850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.6150
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3545.47, Sell volume: 994.40, Average price: 0.5174, Price range: 0.3844 - 0.6207

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6250
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.6250
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.3600
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.3600
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.3600
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.6300
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.3700
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.6300
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.3700
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.6300
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.6400
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.3850
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.6150
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.6200
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.6200
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.3800
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.3650
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.6350
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.6350
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.3650
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.6350
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1350.90, Sell volume: 844.41, Average price: 0.5082, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.6350
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6350
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.3650
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.3500
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6650
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3950
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 4814.85, Sell volume: 1672.92, Average price: 0.4875, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2400
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.2150
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.2900
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.7650
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.2250
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7850
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1950
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8050
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8400
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1600
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8400
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8250
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8400
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.1600
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8450
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.7900
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.7750
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.7650
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.2350
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.7150
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3100
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6850
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 11790.74, Sell volume: 13312.55, Average price: 0.5452, Price range: 0.1019 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.1000
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1500
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.8300
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.8500
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.2150
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.7650
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.2150
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.7900
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.7750
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.2800
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.2900
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.7150
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.2900
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.7100
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.7250
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.2750
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.7000
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.3000
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.7450
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.2550
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.7450
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.2500
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.7650
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.7650
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.7650
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.7750
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.2250
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.7650
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 6568.04, Sell volume: 3110.49, Average price: 0.6348, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.2250
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.7650
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.2600
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.2850
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.2850
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.6800
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.3250
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.6850
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.3150
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.6850
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.3150
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.3250
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.6650
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.3350
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.6650
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.3250
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9770
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0290
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9725
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0270
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9515
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0260
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9865
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0105
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9855
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9860
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0145
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9860
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0150
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9825
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 20796.60, Sell volume: 12564.75, Average price: 0.5453, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9985

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.4750
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.3250
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.7300
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.2450
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.5100
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.5500
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.4250
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.4250
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.4250
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.4250
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.4250
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.5700
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.5700
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.3800
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.6600
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.3350
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.3500
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.5350
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.5750
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.6000
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.4000
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.3950
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.5950
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.4100
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.6550
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.3350
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 902.02, Sell volume: 12.50, Average price: 0.4586, Price range: 0.2950 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.3300
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.3950
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.3950
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.6050
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.3950
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.3950
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.3850
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.6000
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.4000
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.3850
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.6100
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.3800
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.6250
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.3850
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.6150
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.3850
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.6150
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.3900
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.6150
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.3950
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.6050
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.3950
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 3137.17, Sell volume: 604.78, Average price: 0.4834, Price range: 0.3114 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.5150
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.4850
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.5150
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.4800
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.5250
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.5350
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.6150
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.3850
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.3850
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.6050
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.3950
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.4100
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.5600
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.4350
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.4850
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.4600
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.5200
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.4750
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.5400
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.5050
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.4650
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.5400
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 2399.45, Sell volume: 1003.42, Average price: 0.5164, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.5300
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.5350
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.5650
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.5850
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.5850
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.4150
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.6150
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.3850
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.6400
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.3550
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.6450
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.3550
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.6450
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.3600
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.6400
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.4400
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.5250
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.4150
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.5950
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.4050
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.5950
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.4150
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.5850
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.4150
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.5850
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1766.28, Sell volume: 1369.05, Average price: 0.4590, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.3600
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.6400
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.3900
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.6150
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.3850
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.6150
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.4100
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.5900
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.4100
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.5600
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.4600
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.5400
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.4350
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.5400
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.4350
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.5400
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.4650
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.5350
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.5350
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.4400
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.5750
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.3950
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.5950
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.3850
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.6150
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.3750
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.6300
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2993.86, Sell volume: 1526.36, Average price: 0.4441, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.4450
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.4050
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.5950
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.3950
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.6100
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.3900
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.6100
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.3900
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.6100
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.3850
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.6150
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.3950
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.5650
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.5150
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.4850
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.5350
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.4650
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.5250
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.4450
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.5450
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4650
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5250
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4800
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3056.52, Sell volume: 276.56, Average price: 0.4992, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5100
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1671.21, Sell volume: 890.10, Average price: 0.5162, Price range: 0.3971 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.4150
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.4100
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5900
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5900
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5900
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4100
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3545.47, Sell volume: 994.40, Average price: 0.5174, Price range: 0.3844 - 0.6207
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.3750
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.6400
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.3600
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.6300
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.6400
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.3850
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.6200
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.3800
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.3800
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.6350
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.3650
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.6350
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.3650
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1350.90, Sell volume: 844.41, Average price: 0.5082, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6350
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.3650
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.3650
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.6550
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 4814.85, Sell volume: 1672.92, Average price: 0.4875, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.2150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.7100
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.2350
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7850
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8450
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1600
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8500
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.1750
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8400
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.1500
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8600
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.7900
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.2300
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.7750
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.2350
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 11790.74, Sell volume: 13312.55, Average price: 0.5452, Price range: 0.1019 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9000
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.1500
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.8300
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.7850
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.2150
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.2250
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.7100
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.2900
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.7150
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.2750
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.3000
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.7450
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.2550
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.7500
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.7650
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.7750
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 6568.04, Sell volume: 3110.49, Average price: 0.6348, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628927
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
Volume: 104458.257686
Price History:
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.2250
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.7400
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.7350
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.7150
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.2850
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.3150
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.6850
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.3150
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.6750
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.3350
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.6650
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.2400
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9760
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0270
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9740
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9865
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9840
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0145
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9850
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 20796.60, Sell volume: 12564.75, Average price: 0.5453, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9985
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4350
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5650
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4350
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4350
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4350
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.4400
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5600
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4400
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5600
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4400
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5600
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4400
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5600
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4400
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5600
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.4400
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5600
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.4400
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5600
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4400
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5600
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4300
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.7050
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.2950
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.6700
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.3300
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.6700
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.3300
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.6700
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 4292.79, Sell volume: 492.02, Average price: 0.4148, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.8550
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8550
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8550
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1450
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8550
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1450
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1450
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1450
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8550
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1450
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8500
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1500
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8500
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1500
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.8150
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.7900
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.2100
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.1950
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 5686.75, Sell volume: 471.18, Average price: 0.5128, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8550
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1450
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1450
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.1350
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8650
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8650
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1350
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8650
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1140.11, Sell volume: 105.11, Average price: 0.6856, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9000
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1000
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9000
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1088.89, Sell volume: 775.44, Average price: 0.5331, Price range: 0.0764 - 0.9266

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 928.99, Sell volume: 324.26, Average price: 0.6393, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8942

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.1350
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.8650
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.1350
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.8650
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.1350
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 452.32, Sell volume: 160.67, Average price: 0.6249, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8922

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.8800
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.8800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.8800
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.1200
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 377.62, Sell volume: 236.41, Average price: 0.5919, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.8300
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.1700
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.1800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7050
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 15592.03, Sell volume: 6185.53, Average price: 0.4430, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3400
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3350
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6650
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5400
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5900
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 119, Buy volume: 8439.41, Sell volume: 6390.56, Average price: 0.5244, Price range: 0.2283 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.7650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7650
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.2350
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.2350
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7650
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2350
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2300
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7750
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7750
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2050
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 174, Buy volume: 18916.38, Sell volume: 5877.79, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.2050 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.7750
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.2250
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.7850
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.2150
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.2500
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.7750
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.7750
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.2250
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.7550
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.2450
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.7450
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.2550
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.7500
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.2500
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.7500
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.2500
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.7500
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.2500
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.8000
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.2000
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.8000
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 4079.69, Sell volume: 3243.03, Average price: 0.3853, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.1950
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.8100
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.1900
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.8150
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.1850
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.7800
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.2200
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.7800
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.2200
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.8000
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.2000
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.7700
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.2300
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.2300
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.7900
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.2100
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.7950
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.7950
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.7950
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.7950
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.7950
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.7950
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.7900
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.2100
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.7900
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.2100
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.7900
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.2100
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.7900
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.2100
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.7950
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.7950
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.2050
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.7950
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.2050
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 2639.62, Sell volume: 4204.23, Average price: 0.3388, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.8450
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.1550
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.8400
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.1600
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.8400
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.1600
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.8400
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.1600
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.8400
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.1600
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.8450
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.1550
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.8500
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.1500
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.8500
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.1500
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.1450
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.8550
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.1450
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.3100
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0945
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9055
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.1670
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.8330
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0795
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9205
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0655
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9345
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.1205
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.8795
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.1165
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.8835
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.1115
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.8885
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0615
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9385
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0300
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9700
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0340
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 306, Buy volume: 42738.81, Sell volume: 17019.89, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4350
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4350
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4350
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5600
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5600
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4400
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5600
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4400
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.3300
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.6700
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.3300
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.3200
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.2400
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.8400
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 4292.79, Sell volume: 492.02, Average price: 0.4148, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8550
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1450
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1450
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8500
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1500
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.8150
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.2100
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8350
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1650
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8400
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1600
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8400
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8550
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 5686.75, Sell volume: 471.18, Average price: 0.5128, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1450
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1400
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8600
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8650
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1350
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8600
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1400
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.8750
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1140.11, Sell volume: 105.11, Average price: 0.6856, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1200
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1000
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1088.89, Sell volume: 775.44, Average price: 0.5331, Price range: 0.0764 - 0.9266
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 928.99, Sell volume: 324.26, Average price: 0.6393, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8942
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.8650
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.1350
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.1350
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.1350
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.1250
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 452.32, Sell volume: 160.67, Average price: 0.6249, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8922
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9100
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 377.62, Sell volume: 236.41, Average price: 0.5919, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7050
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.7100
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.2900
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.7100
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.2850
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3350
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6700
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 15592.03, Sell volume: 6185.53, Average price: 0.4430, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6650
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4450
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.7150
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.7400
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.2550
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.7600
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 119, Buy volume: 8439.41, Sell volume: 6390.56, Average price: 0.5244, Price range: 0.2283 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.2350
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2200
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.2100
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.3350
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 174, Buy volume: 18916.38, Sell volume: 5877.79, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.2050 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.7750
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.2150
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.7750
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.2250
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.7450
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.2500
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.7500
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.2400
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.8000
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.7900
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.2150
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.7750
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.7850
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.2150
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.7650
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.2200
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.7800
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 4079.69, Sell volume: 3243.03, Average price: 0.3853, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.1950
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.8150
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.7800
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.2300
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.7900
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.7950
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.7950
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.2100
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.7900
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.2100
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.7950
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.2050
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.8050
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.1950
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.8050
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.1800
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.8050
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.1950
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.1750
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.8350
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.1800
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.8300
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.1700
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 2639.62, Sell volume: 4204.23, Average price: 0.3388, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657464
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
Volume: 172214.37676
Price History:
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.1550
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.8400
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.1600
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.8450
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.1500
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.1450
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0945
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.8330
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0655
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.1165
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.8885
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0300
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0335
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9765
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9680
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0285
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9665
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0615
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9305
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0605
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9390
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0510
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0130
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 306, Buy volume: 42738.81, Sell volume: 17019.89, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561657
Question: Will Estonia win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9935.547974
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9200
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0800
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.9200
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.0550
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9895
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0105
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9895
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0105
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9895
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0105
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9895
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0105
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9895
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0105
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9895
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0105
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.9905
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0095
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9905
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0090
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9910
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0090
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9910
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0085
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9915
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0080
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9930
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0070
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9930
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0070
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9930
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9970
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0030
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9975
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9975
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 473.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561657
Question: Will Estonia win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9935.547974
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9975
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9975
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9975
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9975
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9975
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.9975
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.9975
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.9975
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.9970
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0030
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9970
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.9970
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0030
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.9970
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0030
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.9970
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0030
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9970
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.9970
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9970
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0030
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9970
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 8708.04, Sell volume: 1227.51, Average price: 0.8759, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561657
Question: Will Estonia win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9935.547974
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9975
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.9975
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.9975
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.9975
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9970
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.9970
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.9970
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0030
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9970
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.9985
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 78.50, Sell volume: 28.99, Average price: 0.8323, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561657
Question: Will Estonia win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9935.547974
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0025
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9975
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.9975
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9975
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.9975
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9975
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9975
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9980
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0020
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.9980
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0020
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9980
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0020
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9980
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0020
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.0020
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9980
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 75.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561657
Question: Will Estonia win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9935.547974
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.9975
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9975
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0025
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.0025
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9980
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.0020
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0020
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9980
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0020
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9980
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9980
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.0020
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0020
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561657
Question: Will Estonia win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9935.547974
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9985
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 59.78, Sell volume: 9.78, Average price: 0.9986, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561657
Question: Will Estonia win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9935.547974
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 8708.04, Sell volume: 1227.51, Average price: 0.8759, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561657
Question: Will Estonia win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9935.547974
Price History:
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 217.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561657
Question: Will Estonia win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9935.547974
Price History:
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 8708.04, Sell volume: 1227.51, Average price: 0.8759, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561657
Question: Will Estonia win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9935.547974
Price History:
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 421.37, Sell volume: 303.13, Average price: 0.9988, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561657
Question: Will Estonia win UEFA Group I for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9935.547974
Price History:
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes