Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9600
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0400
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9600
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0400
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9600
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0400
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1354.31, Sell volume: 328.23, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9590
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0410
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9580
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0420
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9575
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0425
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9580
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0420
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9695
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0305
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9735
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0265
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9720
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0280
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9660
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0340
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9675
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 140.00, Average price: 0.0337, Price range: 0.0337 - 0.0337
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9675
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0325
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9670
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9675
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0325
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9695
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0305
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9675
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0325
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9680
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0320
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9730
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0270
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9720
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0280
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9725
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0275
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9850
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0150
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9860
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9850
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0150
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9840
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1354.31, Sell volume: 328.23, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9760
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0240
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9795
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0205
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9770
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0230
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9765
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0235
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9780
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0220
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9785
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9795
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0205
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9825
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0175
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9815
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0185
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9865
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9845
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.02, Sell volume: 5.02, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9905
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9900
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0100
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9880
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0120
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9815
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0185
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9810
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0190
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9855
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9865
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9890
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0110
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9890
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0110
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9890
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0110
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9850
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0150
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9850
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1354.31, Sell volume: 328.23, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9830
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0170
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9835
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0165
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9830
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0170
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9795
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0205
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9780
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0220
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9720
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0280
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9720
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0280
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9720
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0280
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9720
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0280
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9720
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0240, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.0240
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9700
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0300
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0360
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9635
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0365
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9635
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0365
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9630
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0370
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0360
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0415, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.0480
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9680
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0320
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9660
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0340
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0360
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9650
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0350
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9645
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0355
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9705
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0295
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9725
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0275
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9735
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0265
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9710
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6679, Price range: 0.0397 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9715
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0285
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9740
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0260
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9740
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0260
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9790
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0210
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9750
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0250
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9760
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0240
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9755
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0245
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9775
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0225
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9775
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0225
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9800
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.9760 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9790
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0210
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9785
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0215
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9780
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9770
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0230
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9785
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0215
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9785
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0215
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9830
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0170
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9795
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 852.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8017, Price range: 0.0374 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9795
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9795
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9795
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9795
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9795
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9800
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0200
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9810
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0190
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9810
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0190
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9810
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0190
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9820
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0180
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9920
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 33.21, Average price: 0.9795, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.1750
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.8950
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.1050
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.8950
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.1150
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.8850
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.1050
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.8950
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.1050
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.8950
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.1050
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.8950
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.1050
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.8950
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.1050
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.8950
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.1000
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9100
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.9150
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0850
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.9150
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0850
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.9150
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0850
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0850
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9150
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.0850
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9150
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0850
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0850
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9150
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0900
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9100
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9050
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9000
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.1000
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9100
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0850
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9250
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0700
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9400
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0700
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0600
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9400
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0550
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9450
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0550
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9400
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9500
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0550
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9450
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0450
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9550
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0400
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9550
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0400
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9550
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0450
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9600
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0400
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9600
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0400
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9550
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0400
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9550
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0400
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9600
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0395
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9660
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0320
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9700
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0295
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9630
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0335
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9700
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0305
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9705
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0285
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9715
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0275
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9715
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0220
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0225
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9785
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0185
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9795
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0210
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9795
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0225
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9795
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0200
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9815
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0190
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9800
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0200
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9805
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0200
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9790
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0210
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9790
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0205
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9805
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0200
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9795
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0200
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9800
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0205
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9790
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0210
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9795
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.9800
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.0195
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9805
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.0205
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.9795
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0200
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9825
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0170
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9835
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0170
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9810
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0175
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.9790
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0195
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9800
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0200
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9795
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0205
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.9790
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.0170
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0215
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.9790
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.0190
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.9820
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0205
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.9815
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.9810
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.0185
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9825
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.0205
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9795
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.0205
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.9800
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.0215
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.9800
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.0195
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.9805
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0195
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.9815
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.0210
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.9815
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.9800
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0190
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.9795
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.0205
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9805
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.0200
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.9795
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.0220
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9780
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.0170
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.9835
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.0190
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.9810
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0180
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9810
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0185
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.9805
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0195
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.9810
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.0205
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9805
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.0190
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9805
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.0200
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.9805
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.0190
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0200
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.9820
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.0185
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.9825
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0185
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9805
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.0185
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.9810
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.0195
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9815
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.0185
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.9810
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.0190
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.9810
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.0185
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.9820
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.9805
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0200
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9805
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0185
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.9810
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0200
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9795
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0205
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.9800
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0215
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0220
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9785
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.0230
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9780
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0205
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9785
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0215
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9775
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0210
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9780
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0210
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0205
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.9785
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0215
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9795
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0210
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9785
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.0215
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.9780
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0210
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.9795
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0200
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9780
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.0215
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.9780
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.0210
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9785
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0215
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9780
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0210
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9805
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0215
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.9800
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.0200
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.9785
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0185
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9810
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0190
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9810
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.0175
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9810
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0175
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9810
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0210
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.9815
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0170
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9825
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0175
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9785
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0140
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.9815
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.0170
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.9860
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.0180
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.9860
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0175
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9825
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.0160
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9815
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.0165
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.9820
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.0150
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.9845
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0165
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9835
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.0160
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.9840
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0165
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0160
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.9845
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0165
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9840
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0160
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.9835
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0165
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.9845
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0165
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9835
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0165
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.9835
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0170
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9830
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0165
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.9835
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0165
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9830
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0165
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9840
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0165
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9825
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0170
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9835
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.0175
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.9840
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0165
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9810
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0175
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9815
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0185
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9825
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.0160
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9835
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0165
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9835
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0165
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9840
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0190
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.9830
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0190
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.9805
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0180
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9805
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0180
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9835
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0185
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9815
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0190
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0195
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.9820
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.0190
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9835
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0190
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.9805
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0195
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9815
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0180
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9825
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0180
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9835
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0180
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9835
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.0170
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9830
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0170
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9805
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0195
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.9805
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0190
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9810
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0170
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9800
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0200
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9810
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0200
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9810
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0190
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9810
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0190
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.9825
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0200
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.9810
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.0175
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9800
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0190
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9820
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0190
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9820
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0165
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9830
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0175
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9805
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0195
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9815
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.0175
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.9800
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0185
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0180
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9815
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0190
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9795
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0195
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9790
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0225
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9780
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0225
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9785
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0190
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9825
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0170
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9830
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0165
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9830
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0195
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9810
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0190
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9825
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0165
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9835
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0165
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.9815
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0175
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9810
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9815
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0180
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9805
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0220
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9825
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0185
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9835
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0165
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9825
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0220
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9840
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0180
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.9830
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0155
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9845
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0170
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9845
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0175
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9845
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0165
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9845
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0175
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0150
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9830
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0150
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9840
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0170
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9840
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0150
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9840
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0170
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9840
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0170
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9850
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0170
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0150
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9850
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0160
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9850
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0160
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9840
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9850
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9850
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0160
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9830
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0150
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9830
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0170
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9850
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0150
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9840
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0160
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9830
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0165
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9835
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0165
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9835
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0165
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9840
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0170
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9850
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0160
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9850
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0160
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9850
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9830
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0110
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0305
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9725
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0270
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9725
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0415
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9680
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0375
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9620
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0385
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9590
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9595
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0380
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9590
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0385
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9590
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9385
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0645
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9340
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0545
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9485
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0510
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9575
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9560
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0525
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9480
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0555
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9505
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0410
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9515
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9550
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0535
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9540
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0405
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9495
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0410
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9530
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0465
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9505
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0520
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9485
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0405
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9485
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0470
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9570
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0425
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9540
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0435
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9575
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0550
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9495
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9465
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0555
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9460
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0435
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9620
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9550
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0420
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9605
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9665
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9630
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0455
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9560
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0350
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9615
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0310
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9705
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0420
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9540
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0360
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9690
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0300
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9705
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0285
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9725
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0265
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9730
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0235
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9740
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0275
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9840
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0225
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9725
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0250
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9750
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0190
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0200
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9815
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0235
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0310
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9740
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0240
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9705
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0230
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9735
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0230
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9770
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9800
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0275
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9780
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0355
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9645
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0340
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9745
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0260
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9710
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0270
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9730
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0235
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9715
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0290
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9700
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0260
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9735
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0250
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9760
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0230
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9740
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0245
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9750
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0220
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9710
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0220
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9785
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0270
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9800
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0275
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9805
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0255
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9735
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0255
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9730
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0265
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9760
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0345
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.1750
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.8900
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.1200
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.8950
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.1050
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.8950
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.1050
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.8950
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.1050
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9000
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9150
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0850
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0850
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0850
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0850
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9150
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0900
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9100
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.1000
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9000
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9100
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0700
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9400
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0700
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9300
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9400
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0550
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9450
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9450
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0450
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9550
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0400
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9600
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0400
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9600
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0450
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9550
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0400
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9605
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0320
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9700
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0360
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9700
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0285
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9715
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0285
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9775
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0240
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0225
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9805
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0200
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9760
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0210
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9815
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0200
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9795
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0200
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9790
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0205
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9795
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0205
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9795
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0205
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9795
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0200
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.9795
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0205
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9800
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0170
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9830
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0180
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9790
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.0205
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9795
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0210
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9800
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0210
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0215
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9815
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.0210
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9790
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0215
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9825
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0205
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.9795
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.0205
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9805
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0195
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9795
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.0210
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.9795
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0185
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9805
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.0205
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.9790
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0190
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.9810
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0180
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.9815
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0190
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9795
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.0195
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9805
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0195
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9810
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0180
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0200
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.9810
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.0190
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9805
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0195
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9815
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.0190
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.9805
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.0185
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9800
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0200
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9805
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0195
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9800
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0210
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0215
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9770
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0220
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.9785
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0210
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9780
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0210
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9785
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0210
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9785
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0220
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9795
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0205
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0210
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.9790
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0210
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.9785
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0215
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9780
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0195
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9795
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0205
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9815
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0190
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9820
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0175
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.9785
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0210
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9825
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0215
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.9860
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0140
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.9820
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0175
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.9830
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0180
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9840
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0165
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9835
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0160
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.9840
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0175
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0160
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9840
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0165
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9825
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.0170
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9835
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0165
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9835
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0165
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9835
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0165
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.9830
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0175
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9835
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0170
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9810
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0185
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9815
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0160
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9835
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0165
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.9825
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0195
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9805
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0170
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9835
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9805
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0180
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0195
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.9825
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9805
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0195
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9825
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0165
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9820
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0170
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9830
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0195
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9810
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0175
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9805
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0190
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9810
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0190
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.9825
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0200
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9825
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0190
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9820
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0175
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9815
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0175
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9815
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0200
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9810
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0180
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9790
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0200
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9785
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0225
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9785
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0175
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9820
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0170
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9805
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0190
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9815
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.0175
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9820
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9815
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0195
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9810
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0175
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9835
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0220
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.9805
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0160
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9830
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0175
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9845
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0155
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9835
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0165
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0150
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9850
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0150
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9850
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0160
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9840
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0150
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9840
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0150
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9840
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0160
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9850
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0150
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9830
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0170
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9830
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0150
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9830
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0150
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9835
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0165
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9835
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0170
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9850
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0170
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9850
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0170
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0380
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0305
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9775
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0390
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9645
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0380
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9590
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0405
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9605
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0440
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0645
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9460
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0520
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9560
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0410
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9480
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0495
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9675
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9465
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0405
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9490
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9485
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0435
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9485
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0430
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9560
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0430
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9530
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0515
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9560
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0525
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9460
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0380
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9570
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0415
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9600
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0390
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9670
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0335
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9540
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0310
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9685
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0275
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9735
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0235
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9735
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9725
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0250
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0185
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0325
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525005
Question: Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Volume: 1632340.352799
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0310
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9705
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0255
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9765
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0220
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9800
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0220
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0285
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9740
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0270
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9765
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0270
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9730
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0265
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9760
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0260
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9740
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0245
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9780
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0270
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9720
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9770
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0315
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9730
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0240
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9720
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0240
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 96900673.10, Sell volume: 80295171.44, Average price: 0.4161, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9250
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0550
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9450
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0550
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9450
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0550
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9450
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9450
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0550
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9450
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9450
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0450
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 64811964.65, Sell volume: 41568401.25, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0500
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9500
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0450
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9550
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9550
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0450
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9550
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0450
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9550
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 64811964.65, Sell volume: 41568401.25, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0550
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9450
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9450
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0550
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9450
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0550
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9450
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9400
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9400
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9400
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9400
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9400
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9400
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9400
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9400
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 64811964.65, Sell volume: 41568401.25, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 64811964.65, Sell volume: 41568401.25, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9200
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9200
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9200
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.9200
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9200
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9200
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 64811964.65, Sell volume: 41568401.25, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9200
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9200
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0950
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.9100
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0900
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9100
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9100
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0900
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.9100
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.9100
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0900
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9100
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0900
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 64811964.65, Sell volume: 41568401.25, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9200
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9200
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9200
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9200
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.9200
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9200
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 64811964.65, Sell volume: 41568401.25, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9300
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9300
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9300
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 143856, Buy volume: 4226873.48, Sell volume: 1928229.84, Average price: 0.7286, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0345
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9655
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0355
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9645
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0355
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9645
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0315
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9685
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0315
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9685
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0315
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9685
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0340
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9660
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9670
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0345
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9655
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0345
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9655
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0345
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9655
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0345
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9655
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0335
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9665
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0335
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9665
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9670
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 431568, Buy volume: 34444384.82, Sell volume: 32139248.58, Average price: 0.6736, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9670
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0335
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9665
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0335
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9665
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0335
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9665
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0375
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0385
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9615
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0480
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9520
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0475
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9525
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0480
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9520
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0480
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9520
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0480
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9520
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0480
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9520
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0480
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9520
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0480
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9520
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0480
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9520
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0445
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9555
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0470
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9530
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0470
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9530
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0470
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9530
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0470
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9530
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0470
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9530
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0430
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9570
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0435
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9565
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0455
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 135864, Buy volume: 13246715.74, Sell volume: 2341036.62, Average price: 0.5801, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0455
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9545
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0410
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9590
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0410
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9590
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0405
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9595
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0405
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9595
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0405
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9595
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0465
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9535
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0505
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9495
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0505
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9495
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0475
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9525
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0460
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9540
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0470
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9530
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0460
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9540
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0325
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9675
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0345
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9655
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0465
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9535
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0455
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9545
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9550
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0465
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9535
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0455
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9545
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0450
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9550
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0445
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9555
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9565
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0445
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9555
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0445
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 271736, Buy volume: 12658208.84, Sell volume: 4986719.17, Average price: 0.7229, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9670

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0440
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9560
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0465
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9535
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0380
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9620
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0365
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9635
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0390
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9610
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0370
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9630
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0400
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9600
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0415
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9585
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9565
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0370
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9630
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0455
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9545
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0420
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9580
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9620
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0335
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0335
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0355
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9645
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0350
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9650
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0325
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9675
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0340
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9660
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0335
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0330
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9670
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9595
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0505
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 509, Buy volume: 22296.33, Sell volume: 7711.38, Average price: 0.6166, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0470
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9525
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0445
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9555
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0375
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9625
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0365
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9635
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0335
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0320
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9680
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0330
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9670
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0265
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9735
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0240
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9760
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0235
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9765
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0210
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0245
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9755
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0210
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0185
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9815
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0275
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9725
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 472, Buy volume: 30245.20, Sell volume: 9611.66, Average price: 0.5893, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9250
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0550
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9450
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0550
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9450
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0550
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9450
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9450
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0550
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9450
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9450
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 64811964.65, Sell volume: 41568401.25, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0500
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9500
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0450
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9550
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9550
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0450
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9550
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0450
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9550
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 64811964.65, Sell volume: 41568401.25, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0550
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9450
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0500
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9500
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9450
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0550
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9450
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0550
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9450
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9400
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9400
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9400
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9400
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9400
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9400
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 64811964.65, Sell volume: 41568401.25, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 64811964.65, Sell volume: 41568401.25, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9200
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9200
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9200
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.9200
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9200
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9200
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 64811964.65, Sell volume: 41568401.25, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9200
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9200
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 64811964.65, Sell volume: 41568401.25, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9200
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9200
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 64811964.65, Sell volume: 41568401.25, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9300
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 143856, Buy volume: 4226873.48, Sell volume: 1928229.84, Average price: 0.7286, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0345
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9655
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0355
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9645
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0355
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9645
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0315
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9685
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0315
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9685
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0315
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9685
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 431568, Buy volume: 34444384.82, Sell volume: 32139248.58, Average price: 0.6736, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9670
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0335
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9665
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0335
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9665
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0335
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9665
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0375
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0385
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9615
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0480
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9520
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0475
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9525
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0480
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9520
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0480
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9520
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0480
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9520
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0480
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9520
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0480
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9520
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0480
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 135864, Buy volume: 13246715.74, Sell volume: 2341036.62, Average price: 0.5801, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0455
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9545
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0410
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9590
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0410
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9590
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0405
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9595
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0405
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9595
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0405
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9595
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0465
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9535
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0505
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9495
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0505
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9495
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0475
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9525
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0460
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9540
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0470
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9530
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0460
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9540
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0325
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9675
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0345
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 271736, Buy volume: 12658208.84, Sell volume: 4986719.17, Average price: 0.7229, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0440
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9560
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0465
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9535
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0380
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9620
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0365
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9635
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0390
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9610
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0370
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9630
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0400
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9600
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0415
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9585
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9565
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0370
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9630
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0455
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9545
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0420
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9580
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0410
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 509, Buy volume: 22296.33, Sell volume: 7711.38, Average price: 0.6166, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546084
Question: Will another person win the South Korean election?
Volume: 186797.876977
Price History:
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0470
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9525
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0445
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9555
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0375
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9625
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0365
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9635
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0335
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0320
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9680
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0330
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9670
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0265
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9735
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0240
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9760
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0235
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9765
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0210
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0245
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9755
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0210
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0185
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9815
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 472, Buy volume: 30245.20, Sell volume: 9611.66, Average price: 0.5893, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 625811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4626435.407307
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.8300
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.1800
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.8100
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.1600
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.1550
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.8500
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.1650
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.8100
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.1900
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.8100
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.1900
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.1900
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.1900
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7950
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.2000
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.8000
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.2000
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.2050
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.8000
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.7850
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.2150
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.7850
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.2250
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.2250
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 239336049.08, Sell volume: 362691150.36, Average price: 0.6088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 625811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4626435.407307
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.7900
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.7750
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.7800
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.7850
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.2000
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.8000
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.2000
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.2000
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.2000
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.2000
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.8650
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.1250
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.1500
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.8150
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 239336049.08, Sell volume: 362691150.36, Average price: 0.6088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 625811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4626435.407307
Price History:
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.1900
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.1900
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.8050
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8100
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.8100
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.1900
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.8100
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.1400
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.8400
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.8450
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.8400
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1550
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.1450
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.8550
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8650
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.8550
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.1400
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.8750
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.8850
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1150
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 239336049.08, Sell volume: 362691150.36, Average price: 0.6088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 625811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4626435.407307
Price History:
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1250
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8700
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8200
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.3700
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.6850
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.3450
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.6500
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.6550
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.3600
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.6700
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.3300
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.7300
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.7150
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.2800
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.7200
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.7250
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.2700
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.7300
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.7300
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.2650
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.7350
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.2700
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.7300
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.2700
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.7550
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.7650
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.2500
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.2450
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 239336049.08, Sell volume: 362691150.36, Average price: 0.6088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 625811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4626435.407307
Price History:
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.8400
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.1900
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.8100
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1800
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.8050
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.1900
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8100
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.1650
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.8100
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.1800
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.1900
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.1900
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.8450
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.1650
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.8400
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.8100
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2000
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.8000
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.2400
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.7600
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.2150
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.3000
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.7250
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 239336049.08, Sell volume: 362691150.36, Average price: 0.6088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 625811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4626435.407307
Price History:
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.2700
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.2450
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.7550
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.7700
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.2450
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.7500
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.2300
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.7600
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.2400
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.7600
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.2700
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.2350
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.2550
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.7450
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.2650
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.2650
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.7350
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.2550
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.2650
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.7200
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.3100
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.6850
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.3050
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.3050
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 239336049.08, Sell volume: 362691150.36, Average price: 0.6088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 625811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4626435.407307
Price History:
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.3050
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.7100
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.7050
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.2700
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.7000
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.2950
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.7100
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.2900
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.7100
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.7350
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.3000
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.7150
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.2650
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.2800
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.2800
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.2500
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.7450
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.2450
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.7450
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.2550
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.7300
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.2700
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.2750
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.7250
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.2800
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.2900
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.7100
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.2900
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 239336049.08, Sell volume: 362691150.36, Average price: 0.6088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 625811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4626435.407307
Price History:
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.2950
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.7050
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.2950
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.7050
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.5600
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.3400
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.6650
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.3350
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.6500
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.3400
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.6600
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.6650
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.3450
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.6550
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.3450
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.6550
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.3450
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.6550
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.3050
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.7000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.3000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.6900
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.3250
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.6950
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.2850
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.2700
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.7300
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.2650
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.7350
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.7300
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.2750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7250
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.2600
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 239336049.08, Sell volume: 362691150.36, Average price: 0.6088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 625811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4626435.407307
Price History:
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.7400
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.8150
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.2300
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.7650
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.2050
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.7650
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1900
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8200
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8150
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1900
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.7950
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.3100
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8350
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.7150
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.7150
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.3350
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.6550
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.6650
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.3900
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.3300
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.6750
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.3100
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 239336049.08, Sell volume: 362691150.36, Average price: 0.6088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes