Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550026
Question: Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46009.5755
Price History:
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 216, Buy volume: 37798.90, Sell volume: 8210.68, Average price: 0.8049, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550026
Question: Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46009.5755
Price History:
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550026
Question: Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46009.5755
Price History:
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 28000.00, Sell volume: 201.00, Average price: 0.3377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550026
Question: Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 46009.5755
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0500
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0160
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 3101.15, Sell volume: 2346.21, Average price: 0.7822, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550026
Question: Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 46009.5755
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1750.00, Sell volume: 1042.59, Average price: 0.8911, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550026
Question: Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 46009.5755
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 228.76, Sell volume: 3563.94, Average price: 0.9653, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550026
Question: Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 46009.5755
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550026
Question: Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 46009.5755
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0010
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0010
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 216, Buy volume: 37798.90, Sell volume: 8210.68, Average price: 0.8049, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550026
Question: Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 46009.5755
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0010
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0010
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.0010
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0010
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0010
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.0010
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.0010
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0010
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.0010
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.0010
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.9990
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 106.00, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.9986, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550026
Question: Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 46009.5755
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1917.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0011
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550026
Question: Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 46009.5755
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.9990
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9990
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 695.17, Sell volume: 540.94, Average price: 0.8742, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550026
Question: Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 46009.5755
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550026
Question: Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 46009.5755
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 216, Buy volume: 37798.90, Sell volume: 8210.68, Average price: 0.8049, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550026
Question: Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 46009.5755
Price History:
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 216, Buy volume: 37798.90, Sell volume: 8210.68, Average price: 0.8049, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550026
Question: Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 46009.5755
Price History:
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550026
Question: Will the Denk win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 46009.5755
Price History:
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 28000.00, Sell volume: 201.00, Average price: 0.3377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0450
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9845
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0155
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9940
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.9950
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.9950
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9970
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125, Buy volume: 9814.12, Sell volume: 2108.80, Average price: 0.8144, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2206.52, Sell volume: 3297.87, Average price: 0.9259, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9990
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9990
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.9990
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 16.01, Sell volume: 4544.42, Average price: 0.8740, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9995
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 212, Buy volume: 48621.95, Sell volume: 14402.72, Average price: 0.8101, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 212, Buy volume: 48621.95, Sell volume: 14402.72, Average price: 0.8101, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 710.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0014, Price range: 0.0014 - 0.0014

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9990
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9990
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0010
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0010
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0010
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0010
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0010
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0010
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9990
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0010
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9990
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0010
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9990
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9990
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0010
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1829.82, Sell volume: 524.43, Average price: 0.8687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 212, Buy volume: 48621.95, Sell volume: 14402.72, Average price: 0.8101, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 212, Buy volume: 48621.95, Sell volume: 14402.72, Average price: 0.8101, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 212, Buy volume: 48621.95, Sell volume: 14402.72, Average price: 0.8101, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0320
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 32045.00, Sell volume: 3927.20, Average price: 0.4176, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0450
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0155
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125, Buy volume: 9814.12, Sell volume: 2108.80, Average price: 0.8144, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2206.52, Sell volume: 3297.87, Average price: 0.9259, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 16.01, Sell volume: 4544.42, Average price: 0.8740, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 212, Buy volume: 48621.95, Sell volume: 14402.72, Average price: 0.8101, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 212, Buy volume: 48621.95, Sell volume: 14402.72, Average price: 0.8101, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 710.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0014, Price range: 0.0014 - 0.0014
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9990
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9990
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9990
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0010
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0010
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0010
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0010
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0010
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0010
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1829.82, Sell volume: 524.43, Average price: 0.8687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 212, Buy volume: 48621.95, Sell volume: 14402.72, Average price: 0.8101, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 212, Buy volume: 48621.95, Sell volume: 14402.72, Average price: 0.8101, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 212, Buy volume: 48621.95, Sell volume: 14402.72, Average price: 0.8101, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550027
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 63024.665349
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0320
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 32045.00, Sell volume: 3927.20, Average price: 0.4176, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.2500
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9745
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0160
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9945
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0050
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.9950
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.9980
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9980
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9980
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9980
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9980
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9980
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 2966.25, Sell volume: 2337.03, Average price: 0.7715, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1459.91, Sell volume: 1933.14, Average price: 0.8780, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 22.74, Sell volume: 4206.01, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9990
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9990
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.9990
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.9990
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.9990
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.9990
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.9990
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9990
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.9990
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.9990
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0010
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.9990
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0010
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9990
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0010
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 43088.41, Sell volume: 18827.32, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0010
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9990
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.9990
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.9990
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.9990
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0010
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.9990
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0010
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9990
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9990
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.9990
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.9990
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9990
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0010
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.0010
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.9990
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9990
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.9990
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.9990
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 106.00, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.9986, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 906.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.0011

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9990
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 5626.64, Sell volume: 4730.14, Average price: 0.8657, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 43088.41, Sell volume: 18827.32, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 43088.41, Sell volume: 18827.32, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 30000.00, Sell volume: 5105.00, Average price: 0.3359, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.2500
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0160
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0055
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 2966.25, Sell volume: 2337.03, Average price: 0.7715, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1459.91, Sell volume: 1933.14, Average price: 0.8780, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 22.74, Sell volume: 4206.01, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0010
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0010
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 43088.41, Sell volume: 18827.32, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0010
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0010
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0010
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.0010
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0010
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0010
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.9990
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.9990
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9990
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.0010
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.0010
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.0010
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 106.00, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.9986, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 906.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.0011
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 5626.64, Sell volume: 4730.14, Average price: 0.8657, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 43088.41, Sell volume: 18827.32, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 43088.41, Sell volume: 18827.32, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550028
Question: Will the Christian Union win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 61915.7285
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 30000.00, Sell volume: 5105.00, Average price: 0.3359, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501577
Question: Will the CDU/CSU receive more than 30% of votes?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27413.717143
Price History:
2024-05-15 10:00: 0.5000
2024-05-15 10:00: 0.5000
2024-05-15 11:00: 0.4700
2024-05-15 11:00: 0.5300
2024-05-15 12:00: 0.4700
2024-05-15 12:00: 0.5300
2024-05-15 13:00: 0.4850
2024-05-15 13:00: 0.5150
2024-05-15 14:00: 0.4750
2024-05-15 14:00: 0.5250
2024-05-15 15:00: 0.4750
2024-05-15 15:00: 0.5250
2024-05-15 16:00: 0.4800
2024-05-15 16:00: 0.5200
2024-05-15 17:00: 0.4800
2024-05-15 17:00: 0.5200
2024-05-15 18:00: 0.4800
2024-05-15 18:00: 0.5200
2024-05-15 19:00: 0.4800
2024-05-15 19:00: 0.5200
2024-05-15 20:00: 0.4800
2024-05-15 20:00: 0.5200
2024-05-15 21:00: 0.4800
2024-05-15 21:00: 0.5200
2024-05-15 22:00: 0.4800
2024-05-15 22:00: 0.5200
2024-05-15 23:00: 0.4800
2024-05-15 23:00: 0.5200
2024-05-16 00:00: 0.4800
2024-05-16 00:00: 0.5200
2024-05-16 01:00: 0.4800
2024-05-16 01:00: 0.5200
2024-05-16 02:00: 0.4800
2024-05-16 02:00: 0.5200
2024-05-16 03:00: 0.4800
2024-05-16 03:00: 0.5200
2024-05-16 04:00: 0.4850
2024-05-16 04:00: 0.5150
2024-05-16 05:00: 0.4850
2024-05-16 05:00: 0.5150
2024-05-16 06:00: 0.4850
2024-05-16 06:00: 0.5150
2024-05-16 07:00: 0.4850
2024-05-16 07:00: 0.5150
2024-05-16 08:00: 0.4850
2024-05-16 08:00: 0.5150
2024-05-16 09:00: 0.4850
2024-05-16 09:00: 0.5150
2024-05-16 10:00: 0.4850
2024-05-16 10:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 5610.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 501577
Question: Will the CDU/CSU receive more than 30% of votes?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27413.717143
Price History:
2024-05-17 09:00: 0.4400
2024-05-17 10:00: 0.5550
2024-05-17 10:00: 0.4450
2024-05-17 11:00: 0.5450
2024-05-17 11:00: 0.4550
2024-05-17 12:00: 0.5450
2024-05-17 12:00: 0.4550
2024-05-17 13:00: 0.5450
2024-05-17 13:00: 0.4550
2024-05-17 14:00: 0.5450
2024-05-17 14:00: 0.4550
2024-05-17 15:00: 0.5450
2024-05-17 15:00: 0.4550
2024-05-17 16:00: 0.5400
2024-05-17 16:00: 0.4600
2024-05-17 17:00: 0.5400
2024-05-17 17:00: 0.4600
2024-05-17 18:00: 0.5400
2024-05-17 18:00: 0.4600
2024-05-17 19:00: 0.5400
2024-05-17 19:00: 0.4600
2024-05-17 20:00: 0.5400
2024-05-17 20:00: 0.4600
2024-05-17 21:00: 0.5400
2024-05-17 21:00: 0.4600
2024-05-17 22:00: 0.5400
2024-05-17 22:00: 0.4600
2024-05-17 23:00: 0.5400
2024-05-17 23:00: 0.4600
2024-05-18 00:00: 0.5400
2024-05-18 00:00: 0.4600
2024-05-18 01:00: 0.5400
2024-05-18 01:00: 0.4600
2024-05-18 02:00: 0.5400
2024-05-18 02:00: 0.4600
2024-05-18 03:00: 0.5400
2024-05-18 03:00: 0.4600
2024-05-18 04:00: 0.5400
2024-05-18 04:00: 0.4600
2024-05-18 05:00: 0.5400
2024-05-18 05:00: 0.4600
2024-05-18 06:00: 0.5400
2024-05-18 06:00: 0.4600
2024-05-18 07:00: 0.5400
2024-05-18 07:00: 0.4600
2024-05-18 08:00: 0.5400
2024-05-18 08:00: 0.4600
2024-05-18 09:00: 0.5400
2024-05-18 09:00: 0.4600
2024-05-18 10:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 23.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5650, Price range: 0.5400 - 0.6000

Output: No