Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.6235
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.5900
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.5790
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.6275
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.5300
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.5250
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.5140
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.5250
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.5230
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.5260
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.5265
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.5230
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.5190
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.5195
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.5230
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.5260
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.5105
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.5350
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.5385
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.5305
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.5485
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.5665
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.5650
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.5675
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.5640
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.5585
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.6095
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.5635
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.5635
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.5635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 302.93, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4610, Price range: 0.3910 - 0.5990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.4525
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.4490
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.4515
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.4540
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.4535
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.4535
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.4535
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.4535
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.7230
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.7130
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7175
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.7345
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.7420
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.7465
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.7070
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.6615
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.6645
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.6655
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.3725
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.3740
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.3735
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.2965
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.2935
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.3215
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.3245
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.3310
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.3800
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.3820
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.4380
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.6720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 923.01, Sell volume: 22.61, Average price: 0.5747, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7620
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.5835
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.5825
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.5880
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.6220
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.7075
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.6730
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.6495
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.6380
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.6715
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.6665
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.6760
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.6650
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.6925
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.6620
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.6650
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.6640
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.6775
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.6390
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.6390
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.6325
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.6280
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.6250
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.6670
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.6690
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.6730
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.7370
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.7295
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.7220
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.7220
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.7290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 336.41, Sell volume: 31.99, Average price: 0.6487, Price range: 0.2840 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.2510
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.2760
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.2730
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.2750
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.2720
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.2585
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.2540
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.2545
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.2525
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.2550
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.2300
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.2185
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.2435
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.2590
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.2275
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.1840
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.2060
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.2255
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.1915
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.1965
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.2365
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.2365
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.5430
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.3925
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.3890
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.3420
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.4020
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.3435
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.4615
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.3425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.80, Sell volume: 2.63, Average price: 0.5106, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.8570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.6560
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.6585
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.6830
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.7305
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.7000
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.7015
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.6830
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.6920
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.6920
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.6980
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.6980
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.7165
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.7185
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.7190
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.7195
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.7195
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.7205
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.7170
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.7145
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.7160
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.7140
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.7150
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.7215
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.7205
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.7220
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.7225
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.7205
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.7215
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.7230
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.7445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 206.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7270, Price range: 0.7260 - 0.7290
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.2625
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.2645
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.2620
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.2625
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.2640
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.2640
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.2645
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.2645
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.2650
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.2650
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.2650
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.2680
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.2605
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.2660
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.2700
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.2740
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.2775
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.2795
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.2860
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.2960
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.2990
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.2990
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.3020
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.3025
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.3000
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.2930
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.2905
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.2900
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.2895
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 35.25, Sell volume: 345.00, Average price: 0.6010, Price range: 0.2850 - 0.8190
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.7165
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.7140
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.7110
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.7110
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.7095
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.7105
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.6985
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.6985
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.6805
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.6815
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.6855
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.6885
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.6875
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.6830
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.6830
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.6810
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.6810
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.7130
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.7130
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.7070
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.7070
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.7070
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.6265
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.6150
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.6190
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.6025
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.4015
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.3885
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.3995
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.4430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1014.23, Sell volume: 482.19, Average price: 0.4909, Price range: 0.2890 - 0.7110
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.5710
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.5550
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.5640
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.6355
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.4415
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.4305
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.4395
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.4345
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.3550
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.3300
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.3315
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.3130
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.3135
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.3110
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.2835
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.2775
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.2825
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.2740
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.2600
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.2680
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.3030
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.3015
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.2965
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.2955
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.3060
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.2860
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.2860
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.2830
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.2840
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.3015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 6805.30, Sell volume: 1618.69, Average price: 0.5608, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.7618
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544098
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to no prison time?
Volume: 56017.296925
Price History:
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.6920
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.6970
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.6965
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.6195
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.6680
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.3655
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.6770
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.6005
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.7090
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.7005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.7145
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.6740
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.6770
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.6270
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.7450
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.7260
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.7055
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.6025
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.6615
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.6950
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.7135
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.6945
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.6875
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.6750
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.6875
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.7230
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.6900
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.6720
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.7120
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.6340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 11532.91, Sell volume: 5109.63, Average price: 0.5980, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.2500
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.2500
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.2500
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.2500
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.2500
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0450
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0400
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0400
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0350
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0355
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0355
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0350
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0350
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0350
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0350
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0305
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0300
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0305
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0285
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0285
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0285
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0285
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0285
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0285
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0285
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0315
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0345
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0345
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0345
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0345
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0340
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0340
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0285
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0285
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0285
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 381, Buy volume: 73283.22, Sell volume: 38320.56, Average price: 0.9115, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0280
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0280
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0275
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0275
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0200
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0200
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0200
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0200
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0200
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0200
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0200
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0145
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0145
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0140
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0135
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0135
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 99.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9907, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0130
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0125
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0130
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0120
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0125
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0125
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0125
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0125
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0115
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0125
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0120
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0110
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0110
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0110
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0090
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 144.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7962, Price range: 0.0128 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0090
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 26379.57, Sell volume: 13184.79, Average price: 0.9109, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116, Buy volume: 23346.94, Sell volume: 17503.87, Average price: 0.9762, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0080
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0120
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0120
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 645.87, Sell volume: 464.40, Average price: 0.9581, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9965

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 7653.87, Sell volume: 3813.68, Average price: 0.9209, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0130
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0130
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0130
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0130
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0275
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0155
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2344.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8802, Price range: 0.0059 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0120
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0120
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0120
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 677.97, Sell volume: 448.82, Average price: 0.7878, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 468.99, Sell volume: 5.54, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0070
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0085
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0090
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0080
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0110
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0275
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0140
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0115
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0130
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 3831.95, Sell volume: 2125.03, Average price: 0.7578, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 7575.43, Sell volume: 639.58, Average price: 0.8798, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.7500
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.2500
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.7500
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.2500
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.7500
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.7500
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.7500
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.7500
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.7500
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9600
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0350
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9645
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0350
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9650
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0350
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9650
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9650
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9650
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0350
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0305
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9720
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9720
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9720
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9720
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9720
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9720
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0280
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9715
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0285
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9715
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0285
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9715
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0315
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9655
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0345
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9655
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0340
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9715
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0285
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9700
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9700
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 381, Buy volume: 73283.22, Sell volume: 38320.56, Average price: 0.9115, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0280
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9720
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0275
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9795
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9795
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9795
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9795
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9800
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0200
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9800
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0200
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9800
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9850
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9850
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9850
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9850
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0145
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9855
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0135
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 99.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9907, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0130
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9875
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9870
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0125
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9875
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9875
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0125
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9890
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0110
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9920
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9915
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9915
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9915
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 144.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7962, Price range: 0.0128 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9910
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9915
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9915
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9915
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9915
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9915
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9915
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9915
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9915
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9915
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 26379.57, Sell volume: 13184.79, Average price: 0.9109, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9920
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9920
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9920
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9920
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9920
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9920
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9920
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9920
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9920
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116, Buy volume: 23346.94, Sell volume: 17503.87, Average price: 0.9762, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0080
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9920
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9930
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 645.87, Sell volume: 464.40, Average price: 0.9581, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9965
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9900
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9905
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 7653.87, Sell volume: 3813.68, Average price: 0.9209, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9870
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0130
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2344.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8802, Price range: 0.0059 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9900
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9900
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 677.97, Sell volume: 448.82, Average price: 0.7878, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 468.99, Sell volume: 5.54, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9930
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0070
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9915
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0080
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9890
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9860
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0130
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9930
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9925
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9925
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 3831.95, Sell volume: 2125.03, Average price: 0.7578, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657146
Question: Will Google reach $380 in November?
Volume: 111603.779167
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 7575.43, Sell volume: 639.58, Average price: 0.8798, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0350
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.1100
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.1100
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.1095
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.1095
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.1150
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.1150
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.1150
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.1180
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.1285
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.1280
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.1275
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.1275
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.1275
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.1275
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.1275
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.1275
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.1275
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.1275
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.1275
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.1270
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.1270
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.3030
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.3030
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.3035
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.3035
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.3035
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.3035
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.3035
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.3035
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.3035
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.3035
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.3035
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.3035
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.3195
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.3040
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.3195
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.2305
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.2305
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.1240
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.2185
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.2290
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.2025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 180.00, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.4930, Price range: 0.0680 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.7715
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.7705
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.8085
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.7985
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.7955
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.7710
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.8160
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.8055
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.8170
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.8235
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.8000
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.7690
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.7705
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.7920
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.8295
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.7920
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.8300
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.8205
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.8070
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.7885
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.8050
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.7875
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.8035
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.7810
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.8035
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.7875
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.8405
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.7810
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.7820
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.7810
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.7775
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.7790
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.7775
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.7920
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.7705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 42.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.5942, Price range: 0.2010 - 0.8170

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.2145
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.2580
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.2570
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.1645
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.1980
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.1585
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.1565
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.1595
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.1900
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.1665
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.2170
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.1860
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.3030
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.3030
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.1715
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.2190
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.2315
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.1935
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.1930
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.1965
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.1675
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.1625
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.1750
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.1870
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.2040
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.1035
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.1035
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.1035
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.1035
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.1035
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.1035
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.1035
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.1035
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.1035
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.1035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 119.58, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.7582, Price range: 0.1070 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9445
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9430
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9405
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9395
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9395
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9425
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9405
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.9440
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9425
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9410
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9400
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9450
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9420
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9405
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9440
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9420
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9410
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9440
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9410
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.8555
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.8825
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.8915
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.8765
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.8825
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.8275
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.8350
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.8430
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.8370
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.8505
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.8460
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.8370
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.8395
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.8755
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.8490
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.8450
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.8435
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.8420
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.8410
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.8435
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.8440
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.8430
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.8660
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.8775
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.8780
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.8810
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.8775
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.8785
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.8775
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.8780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 139.00, Sell volume: 57.22, Average price: 0.7823, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.2075
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.2320
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.2350
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.2120
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.2355
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.1910
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.1805
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.2350
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.2350
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.1985
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.3135
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.2265
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.2205
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.2340
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.2300
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.2330
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.2170
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1935
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.1930
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.2310
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.2300
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.2295
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.2305
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.1970
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.1960
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.2290
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.2310
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.1845
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.2310
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.1815
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.1785
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.1780
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.1765
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.1750
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.1710
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.1750
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.1720
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.1650
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.1680
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.1660
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.1650
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.1650
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.1650
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.1650
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.1670
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.1660
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.1660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 51.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6137, Price range: 0.1610 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.8235
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.8210
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.8235
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.8230
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.8235
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.8170
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.8290
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.8240
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.8215
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.8230
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.8180
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.8180
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.8180
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.8180
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.8205
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.8210
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.8185
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.8185
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.8185
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.8185
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.8210
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.8240
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.8230
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8265
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.8325
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.8360
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.8375
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.8385
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.8180
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.8180
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.8185
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.8925
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.8930
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.8930
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.8930
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.8930
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.8930
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8930
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.8910
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.8910
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.8910
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.8910
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.8910
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8910
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.8910
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.8910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 279.43, Sell volume: 1.22, Average price: 0.6333, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9730

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.1095
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.1095
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.1095
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.1095
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.1095
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0915
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.1085
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0680
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0540
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0580
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0590
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0565
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0915
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0880
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.1075
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0670
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0650
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0665
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0660
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0855
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0610
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0575
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0525
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0520
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0855
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0835
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0680
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0640
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0635
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0635
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0870
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0390
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0390
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0970
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0775
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0780
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0635
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0620
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0640
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0735
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0870
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0880
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0760
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0760
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 31.99, Average price: 0.6550, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.9590

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9655
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9655
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9655
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9650
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9635
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9650
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9645
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9655
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9645
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9650
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9655
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9660
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9655
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9655
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9690
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9720
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9715
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9585
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9590
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9585
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9585
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9580
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9580
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9575
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9570
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9565
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9565
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9565
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9565
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9570
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9570
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9565
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9555
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9550
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9550
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9550
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9540
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9535
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9540
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9540
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 617.65, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3297, Price range: 0.0443 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0460
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0460
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0460
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0460
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0460
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0460
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0460
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0460
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0460
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0460
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0460
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0455
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0455
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0455
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0445
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0450
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0435
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0435
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0430
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0420
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0440
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0435
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0435
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0440
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0445
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0450
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0450
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0455
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0445
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0455
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0450
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0450
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0460
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0460
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0460
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0460
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 302, Buy volume: 21384.64, Sell volume: 5731.08, Average price: 0.6062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9550
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.9545
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9545
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.9550
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9545
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9545
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9540
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.9545
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9550
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.9550
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9550
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.9540
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9540
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 38.31, Sell volume: 75.50, Average price: 0.3046, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9560

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0445
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0450
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0450
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0450
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0450
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0450
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0450
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0450
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0425
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0430
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0430
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0440
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0450
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0450
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0455
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0455
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0455
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0460
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0575
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0605
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0630
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0615
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0640
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1995.95, Sell volume: 362.92, Average price: 0.4652, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9580

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9010
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9005
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.9010
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.9000
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9005
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.9025
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.9050
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.9125
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.9125
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.9130
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9140
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9135
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9140
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.9140
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.9135
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9310
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.9375
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9490
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9730
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.9510
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.9655
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9750
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9755
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.9755
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9755
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9755
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.9760
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9765
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.9775
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.9780
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9780
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.9780
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9780
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9780
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9780
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.9780
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9780
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.9780
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.9780
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9710
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9700
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.9485
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9500
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9475
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9485
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9450
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.9440
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.9425
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9270
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.9260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 4007.92, Sell volume: 614.07, Average price: 0.5884, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0995
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0990
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.1245
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.1275
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.1275
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.1515
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.2155
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.2220
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.2455
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.2665
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.2960
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.2660
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.1540
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.2160
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.2120
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.1490
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.1215
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0975
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0925
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0800
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0855
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0960
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.1555
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.1815
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.1625
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.1660
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.2075
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.1825
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.1500
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.1555
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.1590
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.1810
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.1905
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.2420
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.2720
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.2605
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.2410
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.2730
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.2235
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.1945
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.1855
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.1815
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.1785
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.1780
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.1835
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.1845
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.1860
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.1940
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.1920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 3171.93, Sell volume: 4368.16, Average price: 0.6147, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0350
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.1095
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.1150
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.1285
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.1275
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.1275
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.1275
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.1275
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.1275
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.1270
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.3030
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.3035
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.3035
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.3035
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.3035
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.3035
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.3040
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.2305
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.1240
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.2290
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.2060
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.2235
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.2235
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.2295
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.2210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 180.00, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.4930, Price range: 0.0680 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.7715
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.8085
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.7955
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.8160
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.8170
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.8000
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.7705
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.8295
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.8300
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.8070
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.8050
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.7810
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.7875
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.7810
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.7810
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.7790
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.7775
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.7780
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.7705
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.7820
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.7675
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.7360
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 42.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.5942, Price range: 0.2010 - 0.8170
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.2145
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.2570
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.1980
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.1565
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.1900
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.2170
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.3030
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.1715
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.2315
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.1930
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.1675
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.1750
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.2040
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.1035
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.1035
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.1035
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.1035
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.1035
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 119.58, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.7582, Price range: 0.1070 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9445
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9405
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9395
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9405
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.9440
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9410
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9450
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9405
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9420
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9440
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.8555
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.8915
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.8825
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.8350
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.8370
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.8460
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.8395
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.8490
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.8435
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.8410
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.8440
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.8660
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.8780
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.8775
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.8775
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.8325
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.8535
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.8040
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.7670
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.7640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 139.00, Sell volume: 57.22, Average price: 0.7823, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.2075
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.2350
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.2355
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.2350
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.2350
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.1985
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.2265
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.2340
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.2330
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1935
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.2310
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.2295
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.1970
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.2290
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.1845
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.1815
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.1780
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.1750
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.1750
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.1650
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.1660
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.1650
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.1650
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.1660
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.1660
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.1825
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.1860
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.1860
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.1855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 51.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6137, Price range: 0.1610 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.8235
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.8235
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.8235
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.8290
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.8215
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.8180
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.8180
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.8205
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.8185
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.8185
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.8210
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.8230
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.8325
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.8375
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.8180
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.8185
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.8930
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.8930
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.8930
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.8910
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.8910
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.8910
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.8910
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.8910
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.8905
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.8875
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.8455
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.8910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 279.43, Sell volume: 1.22, Average price: 0.6333, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.1095
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.1095
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.1095
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.1085
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0540
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0590
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0915
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.1075
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0650
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0660
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0610
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0525
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0855
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0680
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0635
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0870
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0390
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0780
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0635
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0640
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0870
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0760
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0425
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0320
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0320
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0315
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 31.99, Average price: 0.6550, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.9590
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9655
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9655
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9635
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9645
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9650
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9660
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9655
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9720
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9585
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9585
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9580
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9575
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9565
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9565
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9570
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9565
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9550
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9550
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9535
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9540
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9540
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9530
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9525
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9520
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 617.65, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3297, Price range: 0.0443 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0460
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0460
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0460
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0460
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0460
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0460
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0455
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0445
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0450
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0435
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0420
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0435
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0440
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0450
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0455
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0450
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0455
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0460
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0460
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0450
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0460
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0455
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0455
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 302, Buy volume: 21384.64, Sell volume: 5731.08, Average price: 0.6062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9550
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9545
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9545
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9540
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9550
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9550
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.9540
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9535
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.9540
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.9540
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 38.31, Sell volume: 75.50, Average price: 0.3046, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9560
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0460
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0445
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0450
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0445
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0450
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0450
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0450
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0425
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0430
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0450
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0455
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0455
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0575
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0630
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0640
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0675
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0655
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0815
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0910
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1995.95, Sell volume: 362.92, Average price: 0.4652, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9010
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.9010
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9005
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.9050
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.9125
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9140
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9140
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.9135
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.9375
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9730
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.9655
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9755
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9755
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.9760
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.9775
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9780
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9780
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9780
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9780
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.9780
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9700
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9500
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9485
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.9440
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9270
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.9285
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9285
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9315
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.9225
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 4007.92, Sell volume: 614.07, Average price: 0.5884, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544099
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Volume: 27115.718588
Price History:
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0995
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.1245
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.1275
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.2155
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.2455
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.2960
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.1540
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.2120
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.1215
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0925
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0855
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.1555
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.1625
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.2075
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.1500
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.1590
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.1905
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.2720
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.2410
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.2235
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.1855
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.1780
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.1845
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.1940
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.1900
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.2035
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.2020
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.2005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.2115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 3171.93, Sell volume: 4368.16, Average price: 0.6147, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4750
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5250
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4000
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.6000
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0700
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9300
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0700
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9300
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0700
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9300
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 434.99, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.7450, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0400
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9600
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0350
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9650
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0350
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9650
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0400
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9600
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0400
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9600
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0400
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9600
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0350
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9650
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9600
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0400
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0400
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 332.84, Sell volume: 81.86, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0180
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9820
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0200
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9800
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0200
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9800
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0230
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9770
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9815
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0185
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9820
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0180
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9825
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0175
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0175
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9825
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9825
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0175
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9780
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0220
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0240
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9760
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0265
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9735
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0270
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9730
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9790
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0210
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9785
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0245
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9755
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9815
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0185
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0205
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9795
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9745
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0255
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0210
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9790
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9795
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 565.82, Sell volume: 115.00, Average price: 0.7253, Price range: 0.0195 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0185
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9815
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9835
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0165
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9835
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0165
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9840
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0160
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9840
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0160
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9840
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9840
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9865
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0135
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9865
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0135
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0135
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9865
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0125
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9875
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0125
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9875
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9880
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0120
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0120
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9880
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0120
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9880
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 119.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9958, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9974

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0060
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9940
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0120
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9880
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0110
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9890
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9890
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0110
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0110
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9890
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0110
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9890
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0110
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9890
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0110
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9890
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0080
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9895
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0105
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0105
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9895
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0105
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9895
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0100
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9900
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9895
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9930
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0085
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9915
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9930
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0105
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9895
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0080
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0085
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9915
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0085
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9915
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0085
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9915
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9915
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9880
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9880
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 218.26, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.6687, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9880
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0125
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9875
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9880
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9880
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9880
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9880
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 12211.22, Sell volume: 441.05, Average price: 0.7772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9875
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0125
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9875
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0125
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0125
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9875
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0125
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0125
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9875
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9875
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9875
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9875
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9875
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9875
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9875
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9875
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9875
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9880
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0120
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9880
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0120
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9880
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9880
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0120
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9880
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0120
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9880
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0120
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9880
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0120
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9880
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0120
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9880
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0120
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 8.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9880
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0120
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9880
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9885
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0115
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0115
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9885
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0115
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9885
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0115
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9880
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0120
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9880
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0125
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9875
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0120
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0120
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9880
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 10.75, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9810

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 12211.22, Sell volume: 441.05, Average price: 0.7772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 12211.22, Sell volume: 441.05, Average price: 0.7772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No