Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559677
Question: Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16909750.456974
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559677
Question: Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 16909750.456974
Price History:
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.4900
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9830
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0110
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9880
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0120
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9880
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0120
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9890
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0105
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9895
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0105
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9895
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0105
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9905
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0095
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9905
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0100
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.9905
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0095
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.9905
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0095
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.9915
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0085
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9910
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0090
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.9910
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0075
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9930
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0070
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559677
Question: Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 16909750.456974
Price History:
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0065
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.9935
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0065
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9935
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0065
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9935
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0065
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.9935
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0065
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9935
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0065
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9935
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0065
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.9935
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0065
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9935
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.0060
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9940
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0060
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9940
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9945
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.9945
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9945
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559677
Question: Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 16909750.456974
Price History:
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.0045
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.0045
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0045
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9955
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0045
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0045
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9955
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0045
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0045
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0040
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.0035
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9965
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559677
Question: Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 16909750.456974
Price History:
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9965
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9960
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.9960
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0040
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9960
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9960
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0040
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9965
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0045
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9955
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0045
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0045
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9955
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0045
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9955
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559677
Question: Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 16909750.456974
Price History:
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9955
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0045
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0045
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9955
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9955
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9955
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0045
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9955
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0045
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9955
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0045
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9955
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9955
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9955
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0045
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9955
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0045
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9955
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559677
Question: Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 16909750.456974
Price History:
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0045
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9955
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0045
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559677
Question: Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 16909750.456974
Price History:
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9955
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0045
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559677
Question: Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 16909750.456974
Price History:
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0045
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0045
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0045
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9950
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0050
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9945
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0055
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0055
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9945
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0055
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9945
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9945
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9945
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9945
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0055
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0055
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9945
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9945
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0055
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559677
Question: Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 16909750.456974
Price History:
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9925
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0075
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9925
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559677
Question: Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 16909750.456974
Price History:
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9905
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9915
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559677
Question: Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 16909750.456974
Price History:
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559677
Question: Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 16909750.456974
Price History:
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559677
Question: Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 16909750.456974
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.1800
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.4950
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.2000
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.7850
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.2150
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.7950
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.2050
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.7950
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.2050
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.7950
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.2050
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.7950
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.2050
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.7950
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.2050
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.7950
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.2050
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.7950
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.2050
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.7950
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.2050
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.7950
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.2050
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.7950
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.2050
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.7950
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.2050
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.7950
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.2050
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.7950
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.2050
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.7950
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2050
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.7950
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2050
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.7950
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.2050
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.7950
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.2050
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.7950
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.2050
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.7950
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2050
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.7950
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.2050
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.7950
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2050
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.7950
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.2050
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.2050
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.7950
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.2050
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.7950
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2050
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.7950
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.2050
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.7950
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.2050
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.7950
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.2050
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.7950
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.2050
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.7950
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.2100
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.7950
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.2050
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.8050
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.1950
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.8050
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.1950
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.8050
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.1950
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.8050
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.1950
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.1950
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.8050
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.1950
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.8050
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.1950
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.8050
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.1950
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.8050
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.1950
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.8050
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.1950
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.8050
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.1950
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.8050
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.1950
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.1950
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.8050
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.1950
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.8050
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.1950
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.8050
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.1950
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.1950
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.8050
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.1950
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.8050
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.1950
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.8050
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.1950
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.1950
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.8050
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.1950
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.1950
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.1950
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.8150
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.1850
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.1850
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.8150
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.1850
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.8150
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.1850
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.1850
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.1850
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.1850
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.8150
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.1850
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.8150
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.1850
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.8150
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.1850
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.8150
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.1850
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.1850
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.8100
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.8100
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.8100
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.1850
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.1850
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.8100
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.1950
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.8150
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.8150
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.1850
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.8150
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.1850
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.8150
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.8150
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.1850
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.8150
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.1850
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.8150
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.8050
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.1950
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.1950
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.8050
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.7950
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.7850
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.2250
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.7650
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.7650
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.7650
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.7650
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.2850
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.7350
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.2700
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.2750
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.7250
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.2750
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.7250
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.7150
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.2850
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.7150
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.2850
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.2950
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.2950
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.2950
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.7050
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.7050
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.2950
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.7050
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.2950
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.6950
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.3050
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.3050
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.6950
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.3150
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.3350
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.6650
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.3250
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.6750
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.3300
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.6650
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.3150
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.6950
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.3050
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.3050
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.6950
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.3050
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.3150
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.6850
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.3100
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.3150
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.6850
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.3150
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.6850
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.6850
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.3150
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.3150
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.6850
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.3150
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.6850
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.6550
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.3400
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.6550
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.3450
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.6550
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.3450
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.3450
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.3450
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.6550
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.3450
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.6550
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.3450
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.3450
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.6550
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.3450
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.3450
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.6550
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.6550
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.3450
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.6550
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.3450
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.6550
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.3450
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.6550
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.3450
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.6550
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.6550
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.6550
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.6450
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.3550
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.6450
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.3550
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.6450
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.6450
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.3550
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.3550
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.3550
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.6450
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.3550
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.3550
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.6450
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.6450
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.6450
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.3550
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.3550
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.3550
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.3550
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.3550
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.6450
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.6450
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.6450
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.3550
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.6450
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.3550
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.6450
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.3550
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.6450
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.6500
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.3500
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.3500
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.3550
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.6450
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.6450
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.3550
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.6450
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.3550
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.6450
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.3550
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.3550
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.6450
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.3550
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.3550
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.3500
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.6550
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.6450
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.3550
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.3550
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.6450
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.3550
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.3550
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.3550
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.3550
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3550
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3550
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3550
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6450
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6350
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3700
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6350
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6350
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3700
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6350
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3750
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.3700
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3700
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.3700
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.6300
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.3700
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.6350
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.3650
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.3650
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.6350
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.3650
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.3450
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.3450
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.3500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.3450
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.3600
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.6300
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.6300
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.6300
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.3700
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.3650
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.3650
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.6250
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.6250
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.3800
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.6250
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.6250
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.6250
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.6350
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.3650
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.6400
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.3650
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.3650
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.6350
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.6450
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.3550
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.3550
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.3550
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.3550
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.6450
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.3550
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.3550
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.6450
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.3450
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.6500
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.3450
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.6550
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.6550
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.3450
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.6550
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.3450
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.6550
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.3450
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.6550
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.6550
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.6550
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.3450
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.6550
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.3450
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.3450
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.6550
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.3450
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.3450
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.6500
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.6550
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.3500
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.6500
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.3550
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.6500
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.3450
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.3450
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.6550
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.3450
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.6550
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.6550
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.3450
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.6550
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.3450
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.6550
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.3500
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.3450
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.6550
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.6500
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.3500
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.6500
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.3500
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.6350
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.3650
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.6350
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.3650
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.3700
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.6300
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.3650
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.3650
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.6250
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.6250
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.3650
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.6350
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.3650
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.6350
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.3650
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.6250
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.3650
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.6300
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.3650
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.6350
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.3650
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.6250
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.6250
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.3850
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.3850
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.6150
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.6150
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.3850
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.6150
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.3850
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.6250
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6250
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6350
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6300
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6300
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6300
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.6300
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0355
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9645
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0355
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9645
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0355
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9645
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0355
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9645
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0305
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 9335.01, Sell volume: 701.41, Average price: 0.8956, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9695
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0305
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9695
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0305
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9695
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0305
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9695
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0305
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 9335.01, Sell volume: 701.41, Average price: 0.8956, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 9335.01, Sell volume: 701.41, Average price: 0.8956, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0300
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 9335.01, Sell volume: 701.41, Average price: 0.8956, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0300
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.3410
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.6590
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.3350
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.6650
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.3270
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.6730
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.3130
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.6870
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0145
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9855
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0150
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9850
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0150
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0150
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9850
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 35.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 19.84, Sell volume: 2.89, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 9335.01, Sell volume: 701.41, Average price: 0.8956, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 71.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 61.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 59.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.0395
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.9605
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 9013.59, Sell volume: 698.52, Average price: 0.8478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.1800
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.8000
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.2150
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.7950
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.2050
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.7950
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.2050
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.7950
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.2050
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.7950
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.2050
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.7950
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.2050
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.7950
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.2050
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.7950
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.2050
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.7950
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.2050
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.7950
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.2050
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.7950
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2050
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.7950
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.2050
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.7950
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.2050
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.7950
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.2050
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.2050
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.7950
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.2050
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.7950
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2050
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.7950
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.2050
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.7950
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.2050
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.7950
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.1950
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.8050
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.1950
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.8050
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.1950
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.1950
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.8050
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.1950
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.8050
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.1950
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.8050
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.1950
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.8050
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.1950
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.8050
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.1950
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.8050
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.1950
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.1950
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.8050
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.1950
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.8050
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.8050
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.1950
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.8050
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.1950
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.8050
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.1850
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.1850
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.8150
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.1850
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.1850
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.1850
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.8150
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.8150
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.8150
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.1850
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.1850
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.8100
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.1850
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.8100
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.8150
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.1850
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.1850
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.8150
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.8150
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.8150
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.8150
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.1950
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.8050
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.7950
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.7750
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.2350
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.7650
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.2700
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.2750
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.7250
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.2850
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.2850
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.2950
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.7050
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.2950
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.7050
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.2950
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.2950
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.6950
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.3050
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.3150
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.3350
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.3350
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.3350
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.6900
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.3050
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.6950
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.3050
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.6850
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.6850
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.3150
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.6850
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3150
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.3150
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.6850
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.6850
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.3150
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.6550
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.6550
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.6550
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.3450
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.6550
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.6600
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.3450
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.3450
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.3450
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.3450
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.6550
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.6550
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.3450
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.6550
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.6550
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.6550
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.6550
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6450
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.6450
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.6450
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.3550
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.6450
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.3550
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.6450
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.3550
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.6450
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.3550
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.3550
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.6450
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.3550
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.3550
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.6450
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.3550
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.3500
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.6500
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.3500
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.3550
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.3550
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.6450
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.3500
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.3550
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.6450
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.6450
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.6450
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.3550
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.3450
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.6450
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.3550
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.6450
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.3550
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.3550
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.3550
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.3550
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6450
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3550
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.3550
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6450
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3650
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.6350
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.3700
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.6300
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.6350
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.6350
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.3650
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.3450
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.3500
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.6550
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.6300
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.6300
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.6300
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.3700
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.3650
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.3750
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.6250
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.6250
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.3700
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.6350
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.6400
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.6450
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.6450
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.6450
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.3550
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.6500
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.3550
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.6450
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.3450
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.3500
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.6550
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.6550
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.3450
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.6550
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.3450
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.3450
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.3450
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.6550
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.3450
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.3450
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.3500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.6550
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.3550
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.3500
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.3550
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6500
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.3550
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.6550
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.3450
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.3450
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.6550
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.3500
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.3450
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.6500
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.3500
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.6500
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.6350
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.3650
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.6350
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.3700
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.6300
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.3650
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.6250
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.3750
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.6250
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.3650
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.6350
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.3650
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.6250
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.3650
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.6350
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3650
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3900
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3850
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.6150
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.3850
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559652
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 3690333.419318
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6300
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3700
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6300
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0355
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9645
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0355
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9645
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0355
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9645
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0355
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9645
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0305
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 9335.01, Sell volume: 701.41, Average price: 0.8956, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9695
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0305
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9695
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0305
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9695
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0305
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9695
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0305
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 9335.01, Sell volume: 701.41, Average price: 0.8956, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 9335.01, Sell volume: 701.41, Average price: 0.8956, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0300
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 9335.01, Sell volume: 701.41, Average price: 0.8956, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0300
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.3410
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.6590
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.3350
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.6650
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.3270
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.6730
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.3130
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.6870
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0145
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9855
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0150
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9850
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0150
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0150
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9850
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 35.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 19.84, Sell volume: 2.89, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 9335.01, Sell volume: 701.41, Average price: 0.8956, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 71.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 61.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 59.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700160
Question: Will Franco Colapinto get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10036.4227
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.0395
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.9605
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 9013.59, Sell volume: 698.52, Average price: 0.8478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Outcomes: ["Boy", "Girl"]
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.4950
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.5050
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.4950
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.5050
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.5050
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.4950
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.5050
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.4950
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.5050
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.5050
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.5000
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.5000
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.4950
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.5050
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.5050
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.5050
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.4950
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.4950
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.5050
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.4950
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.5050
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.5050
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.4900
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.4950
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.5050
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.4950
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.4950
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.4950
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.5000
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.5050
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.4950
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.5000
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.4950
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.5050
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.4950
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.5050
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 28829.32, Sell volume: 27801.95, Average price: 0.5056, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.6300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Outcomes: ["Boy", "Girl"]
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.5050
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.5050
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.4950
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.5050
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.5000
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.4950
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.5000
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.6600
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.4800
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.5250
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.4750
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.5300
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.4700
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.5300
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.4700
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.5300
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.3550
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.5450
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.4650
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.5350
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.4700
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.5300
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.4650
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.5300
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.4700
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.5300
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.4700
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.5300
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.4700
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.5250
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.4700
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.5300
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.4950
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.5150
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.4850
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.5150
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.4850
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.5050
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.4850
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.5150
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.4800
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.5050
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.5000
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1674.68, Sell volume: 625.97, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.8382

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Outcomes: ["Boy", "Girl"]
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.5050
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.4900
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.5100
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.4950
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.5100
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.4900
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.5050
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.4950
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.5050
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.4950
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.5050
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.4950
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.5050
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.4950
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.5050
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.4950
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.5050
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.4950
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.5050
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.4950
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.5050
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.4950
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.4950
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.5050
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.4950
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.5050
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.4950
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.5050
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.4950
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.5050
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.4950
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.5050
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.4950
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.5050
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.4950
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.5050
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 478.28, Sell volume: 620.31, Average price: 0.4978, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.5200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Outcomes: ["Boy", "Girl"]
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.4950
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.5050
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.5000
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.5000
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.5000
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.5000
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.5000
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.5000
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.5000
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.5000
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.5000
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.5000
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.5000
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.5000
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.5000
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.5000
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.5000
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.5000
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.5000
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.5000
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.5000
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.5000
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.5000
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.5000
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.5000
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.5000
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.5050
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.4900
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.5100
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.4950
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.5050
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.4900
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.5050
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 66.81, Sell volume: 193.32, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Outcomes: ["Boy", "Girl"]
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.5000
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.5000
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.5050
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.4950
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.5050
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.4950
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.5050
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.4950
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.5050
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.4950
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.5050
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.4850
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.5150
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.4850
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.5150
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.4850
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.5100
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.4900
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.5100
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.4900
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.5100
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.4850
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.5100
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.4900
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.5000
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.5100
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.4950
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.5100
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.4950
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.5150
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.5050
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.5000
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.4850
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.5100
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.5050
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.4950
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.5050
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.4900
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.5100
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.4850
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.5150
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.4950
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.5150
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.4850
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.5050
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.4950
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 3245.73, Sell volume: 50.01, Average price: 0.5078, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.5300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Outcomes: ["Boy", "Girl"]
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.4850
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.5150
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.4900
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.5100
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.4900
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.5100
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.4900
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.5100
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.4900
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.5100
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.4900
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.5100
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.4900
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.5150
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.4850
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.5150
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.4850
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.5100
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.4900
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.5100
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.4900
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.5100
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.4900
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.5100
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.4900
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.5200
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.4800
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.5200
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.4800
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.5150
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.4850
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.5150
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.4900
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.5100
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.4900
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.5100
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.4900
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.5100
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.4900
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.5100
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.4900
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.5100
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.4900
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.5100
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.4900
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.5100
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.4900
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.5100
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.4900
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 129.98, Sell volume: 33.76, Average price: 0.5048, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Outcomes: ["Boy", "Girl"]
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.4900
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.5100
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.4900
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.5100
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.4900
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.5100
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.4900
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.5100
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.4900
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.5150
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.4850
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.5150
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.4850
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.5150
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.4750
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.5250
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.4750
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.5250
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.4750
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.5250
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.4750
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.5250
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.4750
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.5250
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.3900
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.5950
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.4050
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.5500
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.4500
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.5450
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.4500
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.5450
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.4350
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.5650
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.4350
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.5600
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.4500
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.5450
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.4650
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.5500
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.4500
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.5400
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.4550
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.5400
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.4500
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.5150
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.4850
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.5150
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.4800
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 589.48, Sell volume: 69.05, Average price: 0.5138, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Outcomes: ["Boy", "Girl"]
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.4800
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.5150
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.4850
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.5150
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.4850
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.5150
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.4800
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.5200
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.4800
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.5200
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.4800
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.5200
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.4800
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.5200
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.4950
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.4950
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.5050
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.4950
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.4950
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.5050
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.4950
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.5050
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.4950
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.5050
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.4950
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.5050
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.4950
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.5050
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.4900
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.5100
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.4900
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.5100
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.4900
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.5100
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.4850
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.5150
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.4850
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.4850
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.5100
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.5050
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.5050
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.4950
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.4950
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.5150
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.4550
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.5450
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.4600
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.5450
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.4500
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 109.34, Sell volume: 494.87, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Outcomes: ["Boy", "Girl"]
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.4550
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.4500
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.5500
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.4500
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.5600
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.4550
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.4750
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.5200
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.5250
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.5250
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.5250
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.5250
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.5250
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.5250
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.4750
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.5300
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.5300
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.5300
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.5450
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.4550
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.4600
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.4600
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.5450
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.4550
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.4500
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.4450
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.5450
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.4550
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.5450
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.4600
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.5400
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.5400
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.5400
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.5400
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.5450
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.5450
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.4550
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.5400
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.4650
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.5400
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.5400
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.4600
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.5400
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.4600
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.5450
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.5450
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.5450
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.5450
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.4550
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 187.20, Sell volume: 124.39, Average price: 0.4795, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Outcomes: ["Boy", "Girl"]
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.5350
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.5350
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.4700
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.5350
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.4650
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.5550
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.5500
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.5400
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.4600
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.5400
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.4550
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.5400
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.4600
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.5400
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.4600
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.5400
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.4450
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.4550
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.5450
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.4550
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.5450
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.4550
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.5450
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.5450
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.4550
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.5450
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.5450
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.4500
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.5500
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.5500
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.4500
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.5450
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4550
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.4550
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.5450
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.5450
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.4550
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.4550
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.4550
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.5450
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.4550
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.4550
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.5450
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.5450
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.5450
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.4550
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.4550
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.4600
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 284.11, Sell volume: 280.35, Average price: 0.5222, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5998

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Outcomes: ["Boy", "Girl"]
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.4600
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.4600
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.5400
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.4600
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.4600
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.5400
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.5150
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.5150
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.4850
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.4850
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.5150
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.4600
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.4600
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.4850
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.4850
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.4850
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.5150
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.4550
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.4600
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.4550
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.5450
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.4550
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.5450
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.4550
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.5450
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.4600
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.5350
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.4650
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.5350
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.5350
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.4650
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.5350
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.5350
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.4450
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.5300
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.4600
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.5450
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.5400
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.5400
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.3800
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.3800
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.3800
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.6550
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.6450
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1068.83, Sell volume: 337.92, Average price: 0.4822, Price range: 0.3660 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Outcomes: ["Boy", "Girl"]
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.3400
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.3400
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.3400
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.6650
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.6750
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.6250
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.6400
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.6050
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.3950
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.3650
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.6200
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.6150
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.3900
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.3750
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.3100
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.3200
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.2950
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.7100
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.7100
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.2950
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.7050
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.7050
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.2950
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.2950
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.7600
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.7000
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2800
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.2850
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 2452.31, Sell volume: 223.90, Average price: 0.5349, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Outcomes: ["Boy", "Girl"]
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.1080
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9945
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0090
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0085
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0115
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0080
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9920
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0080
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9945
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0045
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0055
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9945
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9945
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9945
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0055
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9950
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0045
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0060
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0110
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0055
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9900
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0095
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0090
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9905
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 1309.47, Sell volume: 4232.96, Average price: 0.5463, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.5050
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.5050
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.5050
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.5050
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.5050
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.4950
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.4950
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.5000
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.5050
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.5050
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.4950
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.4950
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.5000
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.4950
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.4950
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.4950
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.5050
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.4950
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.4950
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.4950
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.4950
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 28829.32, Sell volume: 27801.95, Average price: 0.5056, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.5050
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.5050
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.5050
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.5000
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.5050
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.4950
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.4800
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.4900
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.4700
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.4700
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.4700
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.3550
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.4650
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.4650
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.4700
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.4700
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.4700
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.4700
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.4700
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.4700
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.4700
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.4700
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.4850
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.4850
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.4850
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.4850
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.4850
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1674.68, Sell volume: 625.97, Average price: 0.5057, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.8382
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.4900
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.4950
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.4900
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.4900
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.4950
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.4950
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.5050
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.5050
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.5050
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.5050
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.5050
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.5050
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.5050
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.5050
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.5050
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.5050
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.5050
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.5050
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.5050
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.5050
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.5050
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.5050
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.5050
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 478.28, Sell volume: 620.31, Average price: 0.4978, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.5200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.4950
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.5000
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.5000
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.5000
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.5000
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.5000
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.5000
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.5000
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.5000
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.5000
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.5000
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.5000
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.5000
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.5000
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.5000
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.5000
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.5100
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.5100
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.5050
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 66.81, Sell volume: 193.32, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 542073
Question: Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?
Volume: 87348.209238
Price History:
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.5050
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.5050
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.5050
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.5050
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.5050
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.5150
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.5150
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.5150
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.5100
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.5100
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.5100
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.5150
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.5100
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.5000
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.4900
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.4950
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.4850
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.5000
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.4900
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.5000
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.4950
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.4900
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.4850
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.4950
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.4950
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 3245.73, Sell volume: 50.01, Average price: 0.5078, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No