Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 14289.24, Sell volume: 8259.66, Average price: 0.4516, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 84.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 6000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0650
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.8950
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0800
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.9350
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0600
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9735
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0440
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.9490
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0445
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.9545
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0735
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.9320
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0530
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.9390
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0300
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9690
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0240
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.9775
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0260
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.9770
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0235
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.9750
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0235
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.9790
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0285
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.9575
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0385
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9680
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0325
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 385, Buy volume: 36879.10, Sell volume: 4111.07, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9335
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0465
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.9585
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.0385
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.9580
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0440
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.9625
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0405
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.9570
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.0300
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.9730
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0295
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.9705
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.0235
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.9765
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0225
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.9800
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.0180
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9820
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0170
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9830
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0175
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9805
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0180
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9800
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0170
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9820
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0185
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.9815
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 5680.74, Sell volume: 3069.44, Average price: 0.6092, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0165
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.9830
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0175
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.9825
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0135
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.9850
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0135
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9890
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.9845
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0140
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.9860
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0150
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9855
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0135
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.9860
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.9860
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0135
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.9875
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.9860
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.9860
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0125
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.9875
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0195
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.9820
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0185
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 181, Buy volume: 6592.46, Sell volume: 2540.49, Average price: 0.6105, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.9865
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0165
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9595
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 119, Buy volume: 32934.87, Sell volume: 33976.13, Average price: 0.6288, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 6200.00, Sell volume: 1.01, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 2915.00, Sell volume: 3300.52, Average price: 0.5996, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9990
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 8776.62, Sell volume: 202.38, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 5505.03, Sell volume: 8352.72, Average price: 0.5428, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 9894.00, Sell volume: 2664.00, Average price: 0.8564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 14289.24, Sell volume: 8259.66, Average price: 0.4516, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 84.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555476
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 205230.488118
Price History:
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 6000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.1650
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.0900
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0400
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.0550
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0500
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0485
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0445
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0570
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0795
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0785
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0775
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0635
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0785
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0880
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0665
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0660
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0580
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0530
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0495
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0265
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0275
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0230
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0200
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0220
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0205
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0235
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0215
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0220
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0225
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0200
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0180
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0175
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0240
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0250
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0250
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0240
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0245
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0240
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0190
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.0225
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0215
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0235
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0250
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0250
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0340
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0375
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0365
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 372, Buy volume: 32587.66, Sell volume: 7046.52, Average price: 0.5036, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9867

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9560
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.9665
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.9655
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.9630
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.9635
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9630
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.9535
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.9565
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.9510
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.9510
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.9455
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9495
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.9495
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.9510
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.9530
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.9530
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9600
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.9575
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.9630
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.9635
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.9635
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.9610
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.9595
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.9555
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.9545
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.9545
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.9545
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9545
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.9545
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.9545
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9555
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9560
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.9560
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9560
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9600
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.9595
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9600
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9605
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9620
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9620
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.9600
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.9630
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.9630
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.9620
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.9625
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9625
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.9625
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.9625
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.9625
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 5745.23, Sell volume: 846.00, Average price: 0.5902, Price range: 0.0303 - 0.9717

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0370
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0370
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0370
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0370
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0370
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0370
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0335
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0330
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0215
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0175
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0190
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0195
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0205
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0200
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0210
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0195
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0210
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0210
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0220
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0220
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0305
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0305
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0295
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0295
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0305
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0300
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.0320
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0295
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0290
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0290
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0295
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0375
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.0375
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0380
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0380
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0260
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0220
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.0200
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0195
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0270
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0280
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0275
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0370
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0280
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0280
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0230
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.0275
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0280
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0270
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 158, Buy volume: 5126.32, Sell volume: 1107.22, Average price: 0.6577, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.9820
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9740
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9595
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9625
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 163, Buy volume: 21313.62, Sell volume: 11077.64, Average price: 0.6622, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 13000.00, Sell volume: 1813.86, Average price: 0.0723, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0020
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 9032.28, Sell volume: 2845.08, Average price: 0.4737, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2750.81, Sell volume: 2993.67, Average price: 0.7850, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4005.99, Sell volume: 3150.00, Average price: 0.3335, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 11000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 7894.43, Average price: 0.9981, Price range: 0.9981 - 0.9981

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 8409.81, Sell volume: 219.19, Average price: 0.4667, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.1650
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.9100
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.9600
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0500
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9515
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0570
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.9205
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0775
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.9365
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0880
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.9335
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0580
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.9470
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0265
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9725
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0200
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.9780
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0235
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.9785
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0225
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.9800
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0175
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.9760
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0250
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.9760
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0240
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9810
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0215
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 372, Buy volume: 32587.66, Sell volume: 7046.52, Average price: 0.5036, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9867
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9560
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0345
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.9630
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.0370
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.9535
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0490
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.9510
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0505
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.9495
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.0470
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.9530
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0425
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.9630
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.0365
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.9610
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0445
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.9545
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.0455
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9545
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0455
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9555
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0440
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9560
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0405
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9600
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0380
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9620
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0370
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.9630
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 5745.23, Sell volume: 846.00, Average price: 0.5902, Price range: 0.0303 - 0.9717
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0370
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.9630
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0370
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.9630
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0335
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.9670
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0175
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9810
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0205
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.9800
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0195
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.9790
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0220
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9780
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0305
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.9705
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0305
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.9700
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0295
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.9710
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0295
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.9625
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0380
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.9620
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0220
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.9800
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0270
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.9720
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0370
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 158, Buy volume: 5126.32, Sell volume: 1107.22, Average price: 0.6577, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.9820
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0405
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9625
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 163, Buy volume: 21313.62, Sell volume: 11077.64, Average price: 0.6622, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 13000.00, Sell volume: 1813.86, Average price: 0.0723, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9990
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9990
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0020
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 9032.28, Sell volume: 2845.08, Average price: 0.4737, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2750.81, Sell volume: 2993.67, Average price: 0.7850, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4005.99, Sell volume: 3150.00, Average price: 0.3335, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 11000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 7894.43, Average price: 0.9981, Price range: 0.9981 - 0.9981
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555477
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 8% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 155981.323556
Price History:
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 8409.81, Sell volume: 219.19, Average price: 0.4667, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.3600
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.2050
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.1950
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.2050
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.2050
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.2050
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.2050
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.2050
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.2050
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.1900
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.1850
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.1900
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.1900
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.1850
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.1300
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.1200
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0750
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.1250
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.1300
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0850
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0500
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0600
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0600
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0450
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0400
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0400
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0385
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0385
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0345
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0440
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0340
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0400
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0315
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0345
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0330
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0360
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0385
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0365
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0365
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0365
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0480
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.0485
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0535
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0680
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0645
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0675
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0995
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.1140
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.1230
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 306, Buy volume: 15519.29, Sell volume: 3988.61, Average price: 0.4696, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9110
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.8940
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.9195
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.8930
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.8950
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.8930
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.9145
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.9210
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.9195
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.9165
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.9185
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9175
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.9240
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.9250
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.9245
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.9250
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9255
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.9240
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.9300
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.9305
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.9365
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.9290
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.9335
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.9315
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.9315
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.9305
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.9305
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9290
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.9270
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.9275
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9230
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9230
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.9235
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9200
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9235
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.9255
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9230
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9210
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9230
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9225
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.9200
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.9215
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.9230
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.9215
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.9175
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9200
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.9200
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.9175
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.9180
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2536.88, Sell volume: 1056.20, Average price: 0.4797, Price range: 0.0660 - 0.9390

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0775
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0785
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0770
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0780
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0775
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0780
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0695
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0700
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0310
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0400
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0285
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0345
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0370
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0350
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0380
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0360
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0355
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0325
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0350
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0225
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0315
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0310
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0435
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0435
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0430
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0435
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.0450
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0415
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0420
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0430
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0495
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0645
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.0630
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0630
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0695
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0620
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0460
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.0420
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0455
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0460
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0505
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0545
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0625
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0540
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0605
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0625
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.0640
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0665
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0635
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 161, Buy volume: 5049.41, Sell volume: 1702.89, Average price: 0.5985, Price range: 0.0236 - 0.9735

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.9695
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9675
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9555
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9575
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 152, Buy volume: 25659.52, Sell volume: 6506.42, Average price: 0.6750, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3000.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 15000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7212.41, Sell volume: 400.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0017

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2759.99, Sell volume: 5.26, Average price: 0.2505, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 4000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 8000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 55.02, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 719, Buy volume: 91737.60, Sell volume: 13714.40, Average price: 0.5135, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.3600
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.7950
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.2050
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.7950
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.2050
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.7950
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.1900
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.8150
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.1900
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.8150
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.1200
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.9250
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.1300
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.9150
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0600
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9400
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0400
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.9600
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0385
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.9655
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0340
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.9600
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0345
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.9670
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0385
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.9635
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0365
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9520
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0535
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.9320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 306, Buy volume: 15519.29, Sell volume: 3988.61, Average price: 0.4696, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9110
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0805
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.8930
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.1070
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.9145
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0805
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.9165
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0825
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.9240
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.0755
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.9250
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0760
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.9300
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.0635
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.9290
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0685
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.9315
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.0695
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9290
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0725
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9230
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0765
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9200
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0745
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9230
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0770
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9225
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0785
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.9230
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2536.88, Sell volume: 1056.20, Average price: 0.4797, Price range: 0.0660 - 0.9390
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0775
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.9215
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0780
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.9225
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0695
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.9300
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0400
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9715
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0370
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.9650
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0360
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.9645
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0350
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9775
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0310
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.9565
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0430
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.9565
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0415
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.9580
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0495
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.9355
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0630
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.9305
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0460
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.9580
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0460
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.9495
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0625
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.9460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 161, Buy volume: 5049.41, Sell volume: 1702.89, Average price: 0.5985, Price range: 0.0236 - 0.9735
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.9695
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0445
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9575
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 152, Buy volume: 25659.52, Sell volume: 6506.42, Average price: 0.6750, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3000.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 15000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7212.41, Sell volume: 400.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0017
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.9990
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2759.99, Sell volume: 5.26, Average price: 0.2505, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 4000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 8000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 55.02, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 719, Buy volume: 91737.60, Sell volume: 13714.40, Average price: 0.5135, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555478
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 105452.002915
Price History:
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555479
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 10% and 11% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 718798.564426
Price History:
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.3600
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.2650
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.2750
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.2600
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.2450
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.2600
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.2700
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.2700
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.2700
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.2750
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.2650
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.2650
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.2550
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.2500
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.2400
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.2350
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.2350
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.2350
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.2300
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.2250
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.1550
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.1350
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0950
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0750
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0700
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0485
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0360
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0480
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0500
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0825
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.1035
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.1095
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.1065
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.1070
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.1055
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.1130
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.1155
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.1150
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.1125
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.1085
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.1020
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.0995
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.1000
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.1130
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.1170
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.1165
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.1195
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.1185
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.1185
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.1190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 297, Buy volume: 9259.85, Sell volume: 3974.98, Average price: 0.4830, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9790

Output: Yes