Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547054
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 233680.528432
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547054
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?
Volume: 233680.528432
Price History:
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.2750
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.7250
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.2800
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.7200
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.2750
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.7250
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.1900
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547054
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?
Volume: 233680.528432
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.1650
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.8350
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.1600
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.8400
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.2050
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.1900
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547054
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?
Volume: 233680.528432
Price History:
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.1900
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.8100
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.2200
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.7800
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.2250
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.7750
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.2350
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547054
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?
Volume: 233680.528432
Price History:
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.2600
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.7400
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547054
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?
Volume: 233680.528432
Price History:
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.2400
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.7600
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.3250
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.6750
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.3900
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.6100
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.3700
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.6300
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.3750
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547054
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?
Volume: 233680.528432
Price History:
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.3650
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.6350
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.3650
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.6350
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.2650
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.7350
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.2250
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.7750
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.1500
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547054
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?
Volume: 233680.528432
Price History:
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.1700
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.8300
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.3050
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.6950
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.2000
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.8000
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0450
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9550
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0700
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547054
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?
Volume: 233680.528432
Price History:
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0150
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9850
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0155
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9845
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0305
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9695
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.9965
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547054
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?
Volume: 233680.528432
Price History:
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547054
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?
Volume: 233680.528432
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547054
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?
Volume: 233680.528432
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547054
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?
Volume: 233680.528432
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547054
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40m views on day 1?
Volume: 233680.528432
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.1850
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.8150
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.2400
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.7600
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.1950
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.8050
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.1900
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.1850
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.8150
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.1850
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.8150
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.4450
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.5550
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.2100
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.7900
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.1850
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.1850
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.8150
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.1900
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.8100
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.2450
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.2450
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.3000
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.2800
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.7200
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.3550
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.6450
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.3700
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.6300
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.3650
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.6350
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.3700
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.3750
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.6250
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.3850
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.6150
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.4650
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.5350
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.5050
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.4950
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.6600
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.6200
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.3800
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.6050
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.3950
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.6500
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.3500
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.7000
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.3000
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.7550
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.6000
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.4000
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.8300
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.1700
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.7700
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.2300
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.6600
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.3400
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.6850
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.6050
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.3950
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.1850
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.8150
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.2400
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.7600
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.1950
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.8050
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.1900
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.1850
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.8150
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.1850
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.8150
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.4450
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.5550
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.2100
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.7900
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.1850
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.1850
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.8150
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.1900
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.8100
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.2450
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.2450
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.3000
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.2800
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.7200
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.3550
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.6450
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.3700
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.6300
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.3650
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.6350
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.3700
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.3750
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.6250
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.3850
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.6150
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.4650
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.5350
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.5050
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.4950
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.6600
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.6200
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.3800
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.6050
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.3950
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.6500
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.3500
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.7000
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.3000
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.7550
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.6000
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.4000
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.8300
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.1700
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.7700
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.2300
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.6600
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.3400
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.6850
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.6050
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.3950
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547055
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45m views on day 1?
Volume: 204031.786279
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.2550
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.7450
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.2300
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.7700
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.2100
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.7900
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.2300
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.7700
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.2400
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.2400
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.7600
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.2300
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.7700
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.2650
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.2600
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.7400
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.2550
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.7450
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.2200
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.7800
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.2100
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.7900
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.2100
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.1900
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.8100
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.1800
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.8200
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.2700
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.7300
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.2700
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.2400
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.7600
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.1400
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.8600
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.1050
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.1550
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.1750
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.8250
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.1450
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.8550
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.3150
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.6900
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.2800
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.7200
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.1850
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.8500
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.1800
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.8200
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1700
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.4100
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.5900
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.1550
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.8450
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.2100
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.7900
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.3250
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.6750
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.2900
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.3450
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.6550
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0900
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9100
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.2550
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.7450
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.2300
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.7700
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.2100
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.7900
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.2300
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.7700
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.2400
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.2400
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.7600
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.2300
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.7700
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.2650
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.2600
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.7400
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.2550
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.7450
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.2200
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.7800
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.2100
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.7900
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.2100
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.1900
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.8100
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.1800
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.8200
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.2700
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.7300
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.2700
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.2400
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.7600
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.1400
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.8600
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.1050
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.1550
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.1750
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.8250
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.1450
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.8550
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.3150
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.6900
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.2800
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.7200
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.1850
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.8500
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.1800
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.8200
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1700
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.4100
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.5900
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.1550
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.8450
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.2100
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.7900
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.3250
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.6750
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.2900
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.3450
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.6550
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0900
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9100
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547056
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 45m or more views on day 1?
Volume: 467366.551081
Price History:
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.6100
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.3900
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.6050
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.3950
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.6850
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.5200
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.4800
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 147.71, Sell volume: 31.05, Average price: 0.5873, Price range: 0.3706 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.6550
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.3450
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.6500
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.5850
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.6000
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1288.21, Sell volume: 52.54, Average price: 0.4797, Price range: 0.3469 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.4100
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.5750
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.5800
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.5850
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 443.06, Sell volume: 64.43, Average price: 0.5471, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.5700
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.5650
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.4350
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.5650
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.4350
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.5650
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 477.27, Sell volume: 5.75, Average price: 0.5157, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.5600
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.4400
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.5500
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.4500
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.5550
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.4450
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 334.11, Sell volume: 81.30, Average price: 0.4722, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10000.90, Sell volume: 982.10, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10000.90, Sell volume: 982.10, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10000.90, Sell volume: 982.10, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10000.90, Sell volume: 982.10, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10000.90, Sell volume: 982.10, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10000.90, Sell volume: 982.10, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10000.90, Sell volume: 982.10, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10000.90, Sell volume: 982.10, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.6100
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.3900
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.6050
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.3950
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.6850
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.5200
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.4800
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 147.71, Sell volume: 31.05, Average price: 0.5873, Price range: 0.3706 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.6550
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.3450
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.6500
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.5850
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.6000
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1288.21, Sell volume: 52.54, Average price: 0.4797, Price range: 0.3469 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.4100
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.5750
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.5800
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.5850
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 443.06, Sell volume: 64.43, Average price: 0.5471, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.5700
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.5650
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.4350
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.5650
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.4350
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.5650
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 477.27, Sell volume: 5.75, Average price: 0.5157, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.5600
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.4400
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.5500
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.4500
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.5550
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.4450
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 334.11, Sell volume: 81.30, Average price: 0.4722, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10000.90, Sell volume: 982.10, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10000.90, Sell volume: 982.10, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10000.90, Sell volume: 982.10, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10000.90, Sell volume: 982.10, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10000.90, Sell volume: 982.10, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10000.90, Sell volume: 982.10, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10000.90, Sell volume: 982.10, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654210
Question: Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Volume: 16867.865004
Price History:
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10000.90, Sell volume: 982.10, Average price: 0.6974, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.4000
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.6000
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.4000
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.6000
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.4000
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.6000
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.1600
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8400
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1500
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.8500
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1734.99, Sell volume: 80.09, Average price: 0.6676, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 3084.93, Sell volume: 134.34, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2303.95, Sell volume: 325.34, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1191.90, Sell volume: 1124.78, Average price: 0.4209, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.1250
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.8750
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.1250
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8750
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.1250
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.8750
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 7991.29, Sell volume: 1268.99, Average price: 0.5071, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8450
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.8550
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1350
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.8650
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2319.69, Sell volume: 630.14, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 4326.69, Sell volume: 3041.25, Average price: 0.7203, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0400
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9595
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0405
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9600
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0400
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9610
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9700
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0300
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9700
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0300
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9745
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 9748.07, Sell volume: 354.55, Average price: 0.7073, Price range: 0.0161 - 0.9889

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9720
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0280
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9720
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0280
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9700
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0300
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9705
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0295
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9865
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0135
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9605
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0395
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9660
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0340
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9680
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0320
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9795
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0205
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9855
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0145
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9850
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0150
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 36554.95, Sell volume: 2059.75, Average price: 0.6119, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9870

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9855
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0145
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9865
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0135
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9890
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0110
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9865
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0135
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9875
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0125
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9870
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0130
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9870
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0130
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9865
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0135
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9875
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0125
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9850
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0150
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9880
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 8525.68, Sell volume: 2412.35, Average price: 0.7851, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9880
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0120
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9920
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0080
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9930
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0070
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9930
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0045
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9960
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0040
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9950
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0050
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 18246.44, Sell volume: 14038.84, Average price: 0.5180, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 7151.69, Sell volume: 6101.26, Average price: 0.8716, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 8873.44, Sell volume: 3626.22, Average price: 0.9335, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.4000
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.6000
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.4000
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.6000
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.4000
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.6000
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.2050
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.1600
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8400
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1500
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.8500
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1734.99, Sell volume: 80.09, Average price: 0.6676, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 3084.93, Sell volume: 134.34, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2303.95, Sell volume: 325.34, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1191.90, Sell volume: 1124.78, Average price: 0.4209, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.1250
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.8750
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.1250
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8750
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.1250
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.8750
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 7991.29, Sell volume: 1268.99, Average price: 0.5071, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8450
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.8550
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1350
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.8650
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2319.69, Sell volume: 630.14, Average price: 0.6076, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 4326.69, Sell volume: 3041.25, Average price: 0.7203, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0400
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9595
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0405
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9600
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0400
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9610
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9700
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0300
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9700
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0300
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9745
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 9748.07, Sell volume: 354.55, Average price: 0.7073, Price range: 0.0161 - 0.9889
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9720
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0280
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9720
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0280
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9700
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0300
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9705
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0295
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9865
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0135
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9605
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0395
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9660
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0340
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9680
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0320
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9795
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0205
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9855
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0145
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9850
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0150
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 36554.95, Sell volume: 2059.75, Average price: 0.6119, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9855
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0145
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9865
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0135
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9890
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0110
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9865
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0135
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9875
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0125
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9870
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0130
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9870
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0130
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9865
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0135
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9875
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0125
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9850
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0150
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9880
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 8525.68, Sell volume: 2412.35, Average price: 0.7851, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9880
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0120
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9920
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0080
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9930
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0070
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9930
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0045
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9960
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0040
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9950
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0050
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 18246.44, Sell volume: 14038.84, Average price: 0.5180, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 7151.69, Sell volume: 6101.26, Average price: 0.8716, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 638732
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
Volume: 150228.418683
Price History:
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 8873.44, Sell volume: 3626.22, Average price: 0.9335, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.5350
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.8050
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.3600
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.2850
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.7350
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2400
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.8550
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.2250
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7750
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2250
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.7700
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.2300
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.7750
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.7400
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.7500
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2500
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.3100
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.7350
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.1800
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.6900
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.2950
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.7050
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.2950
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.2950
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.7650
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.7750
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.2600
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.7300
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.7100
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.4950
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.4000
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.6650
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.2850
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 958, Buy volume: 230856.17, Sell volume: 25681.77, Average price: 0.4479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.7050
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.2950
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.7100
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.2850
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.7100
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.2900
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5750
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.3800
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.4900
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.5900
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.6020
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.0280
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9640
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.0285
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.9620
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.4300
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.5755
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.4620
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.6320
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.4720
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.5965
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4340
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.5750
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.4505
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.7125
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.2840
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.7320
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.3835
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.6570
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0375
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.9660
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.0755
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.6955
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.3730
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.9620
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.1950
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.5435
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.4445
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.9615
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.0415
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.9505
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 395.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8927, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.0340
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.9655
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.0245
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.5630
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.4065
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.5400
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.0350
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.9650
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.0350
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.9600
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.4605
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.5425
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.3380
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.9645
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.4145
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.5095
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0390
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.5450
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.0370
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.9665
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.4315
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9665
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0335
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9600
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.4620
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.9570
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0485
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.5360
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.0385
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.5685
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.4400
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.5690
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.0420
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9670
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0340
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.9655
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.0335
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.5445
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.4455
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.8480
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0350
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.5385
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.4605
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.9525
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.0650
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.9350
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0375
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9600
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.0405
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.7445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 958, Buy volume: 230856.17, Sell volume: 25681.77, Average price: 0.4479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9460
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.0385
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.9595
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.2480
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.9605
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0390
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.9635
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.0355
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.7500
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.0360
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.9600
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.2495
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.7505
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.0370
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9625
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.0360
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.9615
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.0375
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.9625
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0380
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.9610
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.0400
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.9595
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0380
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9605
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.2495
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.7505
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.0380
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.9625
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.0350
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.9670
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.0380
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.9660
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.0320
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9630
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0370
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.7630
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.2410
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.7850
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.2080
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.9685
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.0315
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.9700
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 958, Buy volume: 230856.17, Sell volume: 25681.77, Average price: 0.4479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2515
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.7735
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.2075
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.8275
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.1580
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.8440
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.4460
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.5825
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.4005
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.6135
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.3800
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.6335
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.3560
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9560
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.0260
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.0325
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.9685
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.0315
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9650
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0325
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.9695
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0335
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.9675
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.0330
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.9675
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0285
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.9680
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.0310
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9740
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0265
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9660
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0300
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.9680
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.0330
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.9365
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0535
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.9565
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0295
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9690
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0335
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9645
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0305
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.9705
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0265
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9645
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0310
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9665
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0335
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 958, Buy volume: 230856.17, Sell volume: 25681.77, Average price: 0.4479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9460
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.0480
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.9535
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.4275
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.9390
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0745
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.8880
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0445
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9465
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0295
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.6200
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.3150
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.9690
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0310
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9620
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.4990
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9695
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.4990
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9680
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0430
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9605
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0425
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.9645
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9660
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0370
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9650
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0420
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9560
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.5115
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.4990
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.5600
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0465
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9425
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.4990
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9505
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.4990
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.5010
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0530
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9615
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0385
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.5010
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.1600
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.8355
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0335
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9655
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0305
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9695
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 26.99, Sell volume: 2.20, Average price: 0.0296, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0493

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.6545
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.9650
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0385
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9615
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0345
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.7870
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0305
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9670
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0335
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9665
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0365
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9635
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0330
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9535
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0390
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.2530
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9235
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0755
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9310
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.1390
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9310
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9215
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0785
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9390
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.1365
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9260
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0445
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9665
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0335
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9665
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0335
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9665
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0335
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9665
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0335
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0330
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0330
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0340
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9665
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0340
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9665
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0300
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 19.46, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6957, Price range: 0.1230 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9665
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0525
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9265
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0735
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9370
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9445
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0300
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0290
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9755
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0260
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9735
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0255
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9745
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0260
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9670
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0340
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9610
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0400
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9600
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0395
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9680
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0340
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9665
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0340
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9700
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0335
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9685
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0330
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9700
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0330
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9685
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0325
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9685
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9550
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0305
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9685
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0320
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9630
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0325
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9690
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0305
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9695
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0320
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9685
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0320
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9690
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 958, Buy volume: 230856.17, Sell volume: 25681.77, Average price: 0.4479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0300
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9675
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0330
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9670
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0310
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9685
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0300
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9695
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0300
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9700
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0330
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.9725
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0315
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.9675
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.0300
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.9665
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0340
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.9670
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0290
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.9670
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.0330
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.9675
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0340
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.9665
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0300
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.9710
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.0315
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.9695
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0330
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.9700
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.0315
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.9675
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.0290
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.9685
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.0425
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9665
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.0300
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.9305
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.0325
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.9665
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0325
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.9685
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.0355
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.9690
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.0325
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.9700
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0310
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.9695
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0360
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.9325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 958, Buy volume: 230856.17, Sell volume: 25681.77, Average price: 0.4479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.9600
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0395
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.9610
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0390
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.9705
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0660
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9630
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0320
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.9675
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0660
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.9330
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.0660
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9330
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.0670
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.9330
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0670
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9335
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0665
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9335
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0650
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.9330
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0670
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9345
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0670
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9335
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0685
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9315
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0685
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9630
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0335
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9315
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.0380
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.9625
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0295
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9620
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0380
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9670
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0380
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.9635
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0235
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9695
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0305
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9690
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0245
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9755
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0305
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9660
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0300
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9740
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 52.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0895, Price range: 0.0590 - 0.1200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0305
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9730
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0305
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9695
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0260
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9705
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0285
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9695
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0310
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9695
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0345
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9705
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0260
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9695
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0285
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9740
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0250
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9700
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0310
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9650
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0310
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9645
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0305
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9695
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0305
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9695
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0355
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.9650
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0350
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9650
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0305
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9725
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0275
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9690
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0305
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9695
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0305
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9695
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0275
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9705
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0265
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9715
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0295
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9695
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0310
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9715
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0300
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9725
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 958, Buy volume: 230856.17, Sell volume: 25681.77, Average price: 0.4479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes