Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9855
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0150
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9865
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0145
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9855
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0185
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9820
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0175
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9830
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0175
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.9820
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0175
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.9875
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0115
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.9880
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0130
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9870
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0130
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9870
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0130
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.9870
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0125
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9870
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0135
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9870
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0130
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9875
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0140
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.9860
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0140
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.9860
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0395
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9925
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9935
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.9970
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9955
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0130
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9925
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 24721.45, Sell volume: 1421.62, Average price: 0.5116, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.3750
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.2300
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.3100
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.2700
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.2500
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.1700
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.2750
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.2750
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.2800
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.2700
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.2700
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.3000
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.4200
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 25506.41, Sell volume: 2087.67, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.4100
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4500
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4250
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.4450
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.3720
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.4020
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.3970
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.3700
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.4850
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4930
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.4510
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.3335
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.4340
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.4015
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.4655
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.3725
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.3565
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.4030
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.4555
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.3340
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.3085
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.4010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 531.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9179, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.3655
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.0245
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.4170
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4045
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.4555
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.4020
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.3730
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.3665
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.4000
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.4440
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.3290
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.4280
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.4480
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.3555
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.4450
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.3640
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.4620
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.3810
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.3655
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.4165
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.3870
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.3660
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.3660
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.4085
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.3560
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.4010
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.3885
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.3655
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.3655
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.4220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 25506.41, Sell volume: 2087.67, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.2480
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.2495
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.2480
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.2495
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.2495
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.2495
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.2495
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.2495
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.2495
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.2495
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.2495
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.2495
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.1525
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.0250
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.0260
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.2495
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.2065
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.2160
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.2155
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.2155
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.2155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 25506.41, Sell volume: 2087.67, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.2155
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.2280
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.1700
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.1510
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.1125
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.0765
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.0605
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.0465
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.0335
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.4050
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.3780
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.3375
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.2935
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.4120
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.3685
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.3050
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.2595
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.2155
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.1955
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.1775
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.1555
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.4020
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.3550
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.3285
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.3110
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.2830
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.2580
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.2525
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.2425
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.2405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 25506.41, Sell volume: 2087.67, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.4900
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.4695
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.4810
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.5040
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.4975
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.4025
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.4940
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.4835
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.5040
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.4870
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.4670
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.3710
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.3120
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.1210
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0120
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 6.11, Sell volume: 6.10, Average price: 0.5473, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0200
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0185
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0200
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0235
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0200
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0210
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0235
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.3345
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.3130
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.3665
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.3580
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.2990
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.2900
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.2890
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.2870
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.3850
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.3380
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.3380
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.3360
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.3355
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.3360
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.3360
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.3385
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3365
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3500
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3215
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2900
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.2605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 39.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0255, Price range: 0.0255 - 0.0255
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1950
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.4875
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5115
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.5060
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.4345
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.4090
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3710
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3710
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.3590
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.3420
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3320
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.3285
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.4770
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3640
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2735
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.1990
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.1350
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0255
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0265
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.5055
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.4440
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.3470
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.3390
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.4465
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.3475
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.3445
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4445
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.3810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4960, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9620
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3115
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.3070
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.3010
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2875
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.2820
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2900
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.3695
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.3410
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.3180
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.3135
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.3110
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.3075
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.2935
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.2755
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.3115
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.3390
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.3060
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.3460
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.3275
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.3145
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.3155
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.3605
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.3615
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.3065
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.3040
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.2960
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.2910
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.2915
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.2915
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.2915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 25506.41, Sell volume: 2087.67, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.2855
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.3265
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.3230
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.3530
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.3200
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.2975
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.3300
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.3650
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.3295
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.3295
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.3400
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.3375
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.3340
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.3735
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.3290
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.3165
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.3170
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0510
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0510
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0510
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0450
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0450
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0450
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0455
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0410
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0410
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0410
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 25506.41, Sell volume: 2087.67, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0410
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0410
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0410
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0410
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0410
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0410
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0410
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0410
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0410
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0410
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0310
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0375
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0405
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0405
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0400
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0405
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0410
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0410
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0410
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0410
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0415
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0410
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0410
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0410
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0360
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 80.85, Sell volume: 39.20, Average price: 0.0536, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0798
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0360
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0360
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0405
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0405
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0405
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0405
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0405
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0405
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0165
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0170
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0155
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0155
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0175
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0150
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0150
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0170
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0150
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0160
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0150
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0150
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 117.82, Sell volume: 195.75, Average price: 0.1370, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525576
Question: Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27594.084375
Price History:
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0145
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0150
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0150
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0180
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0180
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0175
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0175
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0130
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0120
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0125
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0130
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0130
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0125
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0135
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0130
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0130
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0140
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0140
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0335
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 24721.45, Sell volume: 1421.62, Average price: 0.5116, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.5650
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.3100
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.8100
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.2750
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7300
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.2650
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.7350
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2700
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.7700
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.2550
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7450
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2550
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.2550
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.7450
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.7200
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.7550
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.7550
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.2850
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.7750
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.1300
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.6850
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.3150
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.6900
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.3150
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.6650
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.3100
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.2700
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.7300
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.2700
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.7300
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.7750
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.2800
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.6950
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.2900
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.6950
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.4950
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.4100
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.6600
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 963, Buy volume: 409145.07, Sell volume: 31358.25, Average price: 0.3837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.6150
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5850
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.4200
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.4900
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.5400
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5840
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.3805
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.6905
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.3090
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.6910
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.3080
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.6920
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.3090
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.6910
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.4290
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.6145
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4870
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.6025
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.4195
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.5875
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.3550
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.5460
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.4345
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.5630
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.3870
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.5295
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.3200
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.6550
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.6320
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.4130
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.5295
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.4370
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.6160
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.4185
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.6655
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.3820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 637.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9227, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.1435
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.6105
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.3310
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.5870
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.2845
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.6020
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.3915
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.5655
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.4250
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.5810
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.4110
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.5455
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.3655
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.6545
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.4625
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.6085
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.2160
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.5090
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.4540
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.5440
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.4350
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.5005
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.4115
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.5130
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.3630
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.5600
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.3290
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.5225
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.4420
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.6190
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.3675
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.5210
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.4325
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.6020
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.3810
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.6380
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.3995
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.6085
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.4910
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.5290
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.3850
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.5795
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.4055
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.5975
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.4570
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.5600
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.4030
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.6005
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.4000
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.5675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 963, Buy volume: 409145.07, Sell volume: 31358.25, Average price: 0.3837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.7550
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.7545
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.7515
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.2485
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.7515
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.2485
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.7515
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.2490
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.7510
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.2475
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.7515
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.2485
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.7515
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.2485
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.7515
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.2485
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.7515
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.2485
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.7525
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.2485
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.7515
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.2485
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.7515
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.2485
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.7515
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.2490
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.7515
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.2485
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.7515
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.2485
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.7515
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.2485
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.7515
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.2205
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.8810
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.0210
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.9785
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.1480
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9760
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.2485
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.7610
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.2235
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.8145
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.1640
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.8440
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.1560
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.8440
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.1560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 963, Buy volume: 409145.07, Sell volume: 31358.25, Average price: 0.3837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2445
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.7905
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.1765
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.8610
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.1125
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.8895
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.4285
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.6110
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.3645
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.6465
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.3405
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.6675
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.3215
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.6835
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.4045
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.6065
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.3735
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.6380
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.3365
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.6995
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.2675
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0030
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.9970
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.9970
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0030
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.9970
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9970
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9970
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.9970
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9835
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0160
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9830
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0165
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.9835
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0165
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9840
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0160
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9840
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0155
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 963, Buy volume: 409145.07, Sell volume: 31358.25, Average price: 0.3837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.5460
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.4990
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.5020
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.4355
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.5015
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.4895
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.5010
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.3965
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.5060
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.4900
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.6190
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.4605
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.5030
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.4740
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.5520
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.4865
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.5725
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.5555
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.4990
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.5010
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4980
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.5305
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.3085
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.7190
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.2235
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.8035
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.4985
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.5050
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.4565
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.5015
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.4900
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.5140
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.4990
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.5010
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.4990
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.5010
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.4990
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.5020
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.4630
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.5010
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.4990
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.5010
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.4750
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.5050
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.4835
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.6000
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.3625
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.6405
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.3080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 6.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7770, Price range: 0.6160 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.3405
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.6650
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.2120
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.8500
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0305
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9695
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0165
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.7000
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.2395
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.7940
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.1525
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.8925
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0525
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9800
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0185
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9850
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0155
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9840
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0165
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9855
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0145
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9855
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9855
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0140
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0140
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9860
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9855
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9860
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9860
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.57, Sell volume: 2.20, Average price: 0.2690, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.5370

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9860
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0140
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0155
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9845
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0150
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9850
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0150
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9850
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9850
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9850
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9845
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9850
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9845
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0155
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9850
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0150
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0155
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9850
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9850
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.79, Average price: 0.9720, Price range: 0.9720 - 0.9720

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9840
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9840
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.9830
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.9840
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.0160
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.9840
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0160
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.9840
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0160
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.9840
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.0160
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.9840
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0165
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.9840
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0150
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.0150
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.9860
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0140
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.9860
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.0140
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.9860
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.0140
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.9860
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.0145
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9860
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.0140
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.9850
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.0150
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.9850
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0150
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.0150
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.9850
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.0150
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.9850
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.9850
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0150
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 963, Buy volume: 409145.07, Sell volume: 31358.25, Average price: 0.3837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.9850
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0155
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.9850
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0150
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.9850
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0150
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9850
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.9850
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0155
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.9850
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.0150
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9845
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.0150
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.9850
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0150
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9850
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0150
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0145
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.9850
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0150
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9850
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.0140
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.9850
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0145
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0125
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9890
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0130
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.9885
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0135
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9875
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0085
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9875
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9865
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0145
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9920
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0130
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9855
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 963, Buy volume: 409145.07, Sell volume: 31358.25, Average price: 0.3837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9860
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0155
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9875
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0125
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9865
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9850
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0125
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9875
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0150
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9865
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0125
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9850
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0140
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9810
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0135
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9855
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0100
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9900
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0100
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9900
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0145
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9860
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0125
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9850
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.9865
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9855
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0120
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9860
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0140
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9860
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9865
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9860
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9895
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0150
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9865
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0120
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9865
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9880
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9905
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 963, Buy volume: 409145.07, Sell volume: 31358.25, Average price: 0.3837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9855
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0140
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9840
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0150
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9860
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9860
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9865
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0135
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9855
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0150
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9880
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0120
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9870
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0145
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9885
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9885
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0110
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9880
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9880
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9905
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0105
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.9905
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0115
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9895
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.9895
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.9895
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0105
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9895
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9895
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9895
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0105
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.9895
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0105
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9895
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.9895
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0105
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.9895
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 131.27, Sell volume: 111.44, Average price: 0.2117, Price range: 0.0058 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0090
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9910
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0090
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.9910
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0100
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9900
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0110
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9890
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0110
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.9885
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9895
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0110
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.9890
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0115
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9875
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0135
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9865
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0135
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.9865
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0130
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.9870
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0140
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9870
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0130
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.9870
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0130
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9870
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0130
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.9870
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0145
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.9635
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0510
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9610
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0090
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9915
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.9810
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.1245
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.8205
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.2060
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.7920
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.2080
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.7920
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.1975
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.8005
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.2395
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.6675
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.3360
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.6585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 937, Buy volume: 408367.43, Sell volume: 31242.82, Average price: 0.3743, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.1500
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.3750
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.2650
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.2050
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2550
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2550
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.2550
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.1800
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.2750
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.2150
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.1300
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.3150
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.3150
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2700
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.2700
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.3000
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.3050
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.4150
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 963, Buy volume: 409145.07, Sell volume: 31358.25, Average price: 0.3837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.6150
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5550
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.6200
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.6170
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.6910
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.6925
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.6920
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.6910
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.5340
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.5130
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.6400
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.5695
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.5630
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.5315
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.6315
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.6130
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.5685
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.5580
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.6655
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 637.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9227, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.1435
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.1715
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.3405
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.3670
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.4345
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.4245
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.4745
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.3655
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0330
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.4800
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.4555
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.4560
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.4965
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.3050
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.3630
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.3580
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.4110
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.3685
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.4790
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.4300
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.4775
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.3995
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.3915
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.4105
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.4035
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.4025
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.4435
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.4010
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.4000
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.4325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 963, Buy volume: 409145.07, Sell volume: 31358.25, Average price: 0.3837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.7515
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.7515
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.7515
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.7510
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.7515
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.7515
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.7515
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.7515
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.7515
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.7510
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.7515
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.7515
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.7515
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.7510
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.7515
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.7515
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.7515
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.7515
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.8810
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.9785
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.8885
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.7515
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.7615
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.8220
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.8430
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.8440
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.8440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 963, Buy volume: 409145.07, Sell volume: 31358.25, Average price: 0.3837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2445
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.2055
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.1190
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.1095
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.3890
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.3565
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.3375
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.3215
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.4755
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.3825
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.3555
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.3005
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.4415
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.0030
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.0030
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0160
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0165
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.0155
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0155
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 963, Buy volume: 409145.07, Sell volume: 31358.25, Average price: 0.3837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.5460
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.5025
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.5515
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.5105
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.5065
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.5685
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.6200
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.5030
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.5075
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.5990
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.5790
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5010
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.5650
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.7190
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.7925
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.5135
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.5435
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.5100
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.5010
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.5010
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.5010
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.5020
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.5080
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.5010
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.5250
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.5010
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.6295
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.6405
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.6940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 6.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7770, Price range: 0.6160 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.3405
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.2445
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0625
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0305
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3000
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.2150
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.1335
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0525
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0160
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0150
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0160
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0140
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0140
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0140
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.57, Sell volume: 2.20, Average price: 0.2690, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.5370
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9860
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9845
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9845
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9850
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9850
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9845
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9845
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9845
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9845
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9850
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9845
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9850
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9850
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9845
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.79, Average price: 0.9720, Price range: 0.9720 - 0.9720
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0150
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0150
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0140
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0140
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.0140
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0150
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0150
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0150
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0150
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0150
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 963, Buy volume: 409145.07, Sell volume: 31358.25, Average price: 0.3837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.9850
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.9845
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.9850
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.9850
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.9850
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9850
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.9850
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9845
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9850
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.9850
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.9850
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9875
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9850
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.9850
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9850
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.9850
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9855
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9890
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9900
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9870
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9915
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9905
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9920
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9920
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9855
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 963, Buy volume: 409145.07, Sell volume: 31358.25, Average price: 0.3837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0140
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0140
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0135
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0130
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0125
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0125
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0135
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0140
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0100
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0100
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0075
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0125
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0140
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0130
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0150
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 963, Buy volume: 409145.07, Sell volume: 31358.25, Average price: 0.3837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9855
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9875
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9850
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9865
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9855
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9850
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9855
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9875
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9855
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9855
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9920
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9880
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9885
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9880
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9900
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9890
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9885
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9895
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9895
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9895
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9895
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.9895
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.9895
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.9895
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.9895
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.9895
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.9895
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.9895
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 131.27, Sell volume: 111.44, Average price: 0.2117, Price range: 0.0058 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525586
Question: Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 440503.323929
Price History:
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0090
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0090
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0090
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0110
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0110
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0115
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0110
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0110
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0125
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0135
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0135
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0130
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0140
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0130
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0130
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0130
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0130
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0365
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0295
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0090
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.1055
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.1875
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.2075
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.2080
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.2070
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.2545
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.3360
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.3295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 937, Buy volume: 408367.43, Sell volume: 31242.82, Average price: 0.3743, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.5850
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.3250
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.8150
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.3750
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7450
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.1700
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.6800
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2700
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.8550
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.3350
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.6950
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.3100
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.6950
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.3050
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.6600
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.2200
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.7500
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.7550
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.7550
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.3100
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.7300
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.1800
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.6900
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.3100
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.6900
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.3100
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.7450
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.3200
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.7300
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.7550
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.2450
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.7550
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.7650
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.2600
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.2600
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.7200
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.4950
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.4050
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.6550
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.3300
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.6300
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.3700
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.3900
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5450
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.4000
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.5350
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.4550
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5650
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.4750
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.7400
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.6950
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.5600
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.4450
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.5850
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.3350
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.6200
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.3150
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.3500
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.8200
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.4300
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.6450
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.4985
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.5710
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.3700
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.6595
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.3400
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.6665
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.3340
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.6660
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.4105
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.5920
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.4030
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.5545
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.4250
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.5830
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.3535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 531.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.8613, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.4300
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.6020
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.2500
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.7000
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.2555
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5940
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.4655
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.5280
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.4630
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5460
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.4375
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.6255
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.4625
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.5310
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.4600
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.5550
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.4260
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.5830
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.4420
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.5465
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.4575
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.5285
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.4080
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.5940
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.4545
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.6190
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.4955
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.6310
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.3300
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.5365
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.3835
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.6320
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.3650
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.5300
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.4190
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.5955
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.3475
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.6540
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.4120
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.5070
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.4330
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.5850
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.4750
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.5775
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.4955
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.5725
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.3600
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.6400
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.3600
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.7550
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.7550
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.7555
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.2470
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.2470
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.7530
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.2470
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.7525
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.2470
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.7530
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.2470
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.7530
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.2470
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.7530
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.2470
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.7530
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.2470
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.7530
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.2475
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.7530
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.2470
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.7530
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.2470
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.7530
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.2475
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.7525
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.2470
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.7530
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.2470
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.7530
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.2470
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.7530
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.2470
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.8095
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0525
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9800
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0200
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.9805
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.2470
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.7530
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.2100
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.7755
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.1960
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.8040
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.1965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.1975
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.8035
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.1965
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.8025
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.2285
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.7735
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.2060
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.7940
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.2025
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.5385
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.4175
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.5960
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.3895
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.6215
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.3575
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.6475
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.3425
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.6595
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.3965
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.6145
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.3570
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.6785
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.2860
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.7415
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.4360
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.5785
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.3995
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.6395
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.3190
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.6980
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.2705
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.7405
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.2175
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.7935
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.1885
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.8235
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.1525
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.8645
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.4985
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.6110
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.3565
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.6565
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.3295
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.6835
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.3045
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.7075
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.2735
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.7375
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.2515
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.7490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.7915
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.2055
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.6330
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.3425
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.5340
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.4985
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.5025
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.4820
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.5070
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.4990
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.5010
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.4420
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.5415
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.4960
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.5965
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.4970
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.5160
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.4880
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.6225
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.4980
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.5175
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.4795
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.5025
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.4160
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.5340
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4660
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.6315
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.3125
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.7135
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.2395
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.7915
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.4585
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.5575
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.4970
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.5085
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.4990
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.5090
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.4990
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.5010
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.4990
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.5010
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.4985
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.5020
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.4810
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.5020
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.4740
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.5010
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.4800
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.5180
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.4985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.3000
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.6990
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.3545
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.6455
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.3545
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.6455
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.3500
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.7295
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.1890
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.8875
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0155
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9835
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.2990
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.7715
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1695
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.8735
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0680
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9825
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9850
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0170
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9835
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9860
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9855
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9855
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9855
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9855
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0140
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9860
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9855
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0145
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9855
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0140
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9855
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0145
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0155
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0155
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9845
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0150
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9845
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9845
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0150
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9845
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9850
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9850
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9845
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9850
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9850
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0155
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9850
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0150
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.20, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9845
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9840
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9840
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9840
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9840
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.9840
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0160
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.9840
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.9840
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0160
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.9840
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0160
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.9835
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0160
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.9850
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0150
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.9850
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.0145
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.9860
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0140
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.9860
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0140
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.9860
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.9855
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0140
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9860
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.0150
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.9850
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.9850
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0150
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.9850
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.9850
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.9850
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.0150
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.9850
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0150
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.9850
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.9850
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0150
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.9850
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.9850
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.9850
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.0150
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.9850
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0150
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9845
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0150
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9850
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0155
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0150
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9845
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.9850
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0150
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9850
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0145
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9870
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0110
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9905
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0140
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9875
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9880
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0120
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9880
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0155
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9855
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0160
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9855
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0160
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.9875
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0135
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9865
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0155
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9900
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0140
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9875
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0150
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9825
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0155
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9910
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0140
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9875
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0160
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9855
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.0170
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9840
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9870
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0150
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9860
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0140
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9860
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9865
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0130
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9860
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.9860
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9880
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0145
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9850
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0130
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9870
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0130
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9870
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0120
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9905
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0135
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9870
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9880
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9860
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0150
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9850
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0180
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9880
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0120
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9875
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9860
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0140
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9835
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0120
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9875
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0140
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9840
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0075
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9895
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9845
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9910
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0140
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9855
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0145
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9880
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0145
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9860
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0100
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9885
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9885
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9855
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0090
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9890
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0115
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.9880
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.9895
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0105
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9895
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.9895
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.9895
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0105
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.9895
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 110.44, Sell volume: 104.76, Average price: 0.0136, Price range: 0.0031 - 0.0190

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.9895
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9895
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0105
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.9895
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9895
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9895
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.9895
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0095
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9905
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0095
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9905
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0095
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.9905
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0095
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9930
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9925
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0075
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9930
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9960
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.9960
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0055
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9955
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.9960
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9955
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.9960
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.9960
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9955
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.9745
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0055
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.9950
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.9945
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 7481.93, Sell volume: 481.86, Average price: 0.4198, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.3700
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.2100
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.3750
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.3200
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.3100
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.2700
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.1800
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.3100
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.3100
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2700
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.2450
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.2800
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.2800
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.4100
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.3300
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.6300
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5850
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5800
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5350
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5550
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.7500
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.5600
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.5850
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5650
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.6850
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.5900
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5700
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.5620
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.5710
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.6600
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.6600
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.6660
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.5700
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.5955
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.5545
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.5830
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 531.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.8613, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.4300
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.2505
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0500
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.4710
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.4720
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.4555
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.4190
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.4625
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.4640
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.4360
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.4090
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.4535
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.3935
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.4115
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.4545
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.4965
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.3575
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.4155
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.3680
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.4810
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.4315
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.3475
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.4085
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.4420
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.4085
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.4225
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.4375
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.3600
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.3600
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.3605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.7550
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.7550
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.7585
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.7530
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.7530
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.7530
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.7525
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.7530
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.7530
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.7530
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.7530
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.7530
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.7525
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.7530
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.7530
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.7530
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.7525
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.7530
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.7530
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.7530
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.7530
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.7790
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.9685
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9800
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9805
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.7670
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.7840
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.8040
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.8035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.1975
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.1965
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2460
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.2210
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.2060
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.1955
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.4125
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.3895
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.3675
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.3465
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.4720
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.3855
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.3355
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.2760
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.4360
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.4110
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.3390
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.2950
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.2595
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.2125
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.1795
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.1525
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.1255
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.3755
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.3380
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.3165
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.2965
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.2695
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.2515
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.7915
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.5950
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.5325
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.5015
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.5425
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.5185
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.5010
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.5415
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.5030
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.5255
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.5120
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.5035
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.5035
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.5555
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.5340
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.5720
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.6975
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.7605
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.5485
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.5290
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.5100
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.5090
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.5010
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.5010
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.5015
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.5260
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.5260
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.5010
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.5180
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.5120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.3000
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.3545
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.3545
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.3470
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.2705
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.1320
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0165
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.2990
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1790
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0200
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0150
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0155
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0165
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0140
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0140
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9855
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9855
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9855
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9855
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9845
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9845
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9845
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9850
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9845
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9850
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9850
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9850
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9845
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9850
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9845
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.20, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0155
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0165
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0150
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0150
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0140
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0140
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.0140
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0150
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0150
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.9850
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.9850
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.9845
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.9850
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9845
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.9850
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9850
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.9850
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.9850
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.9850
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9850
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9845
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9850
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9845
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9850
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9855
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.9870
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9860
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9860
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9880
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0120
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0125
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0145
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0125
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0125
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0145
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0140
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0135
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0180
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0125
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0125
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0085
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0135
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0135
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0125
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0130
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0130
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0130
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0140
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 8123.37, Sell volume: 598.82, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9880
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9850
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9850
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9820
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9845
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9855
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9920
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9835
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9875
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9840
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9925
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9900
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9855
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9855
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9855
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9850
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9900
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9880
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9885
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9865
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9890
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9885
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9895
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9895
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9895
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9895
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9895
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.9895
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 110.44, Sell volume: 104.76, Average price: 0.0136, Price range: 0.0031 - 0.0190
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525582
Question: Will Wyndham Clark win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 8722.185785
Price History:
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0105
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0105
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0105
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0105
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0095
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0095
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0095
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0055
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0110
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 7481.93, Sell volume: 481.86, Average price: 0.4198, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525591
Question: Will Brooks Koepka win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87070.437655
Price History:
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.4500
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.5500
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.3650
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.6350
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.3000
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.7000
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.4600
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.5400
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.3950
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.6050
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.3250
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.6750
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.2650
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.7350
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.2650
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.7350
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.2450
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.7550
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.2500
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.7500
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.2350
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.7650
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.2250
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.7750
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.4050
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.5950
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.9845
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9845
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.90, Sell volume: 2.20, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525591
Question: Will Brooks Koepka win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87070.437655
Price History:
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9845
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.9845
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9845
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9845
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.9845
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9845
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9845
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.9845
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9845
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.4935
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.5065
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.4910
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.5090
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.4865
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.5135
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.4780
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.5220
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.4725
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.5275
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.4645
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.5355
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.4600
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.5400
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.4550
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.5450
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.4475
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.5525
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.4375
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.5625
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.4300
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.5700
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.4210
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.5790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 228, Buy volume: 83377.91, Sell volume: 3692.53, Average price: 0.4720, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525591
Question: Will Brooks Koepka win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87070.437655
Price History:
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.4165
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.5835
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.4145
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.5855
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.4130
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.5870
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.4130
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.5870
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.4125
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.5875
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.4120
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.5880
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.4120
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.5880
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.4100
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.5900
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.4095
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.5905
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.4075
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.5925
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.3995
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.6005
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.3960
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.6040
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9745
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.9745
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9745
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9745
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.9745
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 228, Buy volume: 83377.91, Sell volume: 3692.53, Average price: 0.4720, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525591
Question: Will Brooks Koepka win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87070.437655
Price History:
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9870
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.9870
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9870
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9870
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9870
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.9870
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9870
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.9870
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9870
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 110.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0375, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.0500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525591
Question: Will Brooks Koepka win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87070.437655
Price History:
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.9835
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9835
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9835
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9835
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9835
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.9835
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.9835
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 7.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0250, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.0250

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525591
Question: Will Brooks Koepka win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87070.437655
Price History:
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.9835
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.9835
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9835
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0165
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9835
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0165
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9835
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0165
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9835
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0165
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.9835
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0165
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.9835
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0165
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9835
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0165
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.9835
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0165
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.9835
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0165
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.9835
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0165
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.9835
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0165
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9835
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0140
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.9860
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0140
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9860
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0140
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9860
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0130
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.9870
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0130
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.9870
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0130
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9870
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0130
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 38.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0200, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.0200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525591
Question: Will Brooks Koepka win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87070.437655
Price History:
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0130
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.9870
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0130
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9870
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0130
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.9870
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0100
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.9900
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0100
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9900
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0100
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.9900
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0100
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.9900
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0100
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9900
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0100
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9900
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0100
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9900
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0100
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9900
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0100
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.9900
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0100
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.9900
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0100
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9900
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0090
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.9910
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0090
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.9910
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0090
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9910
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0100
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9900
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0100
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.9900
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0100
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9900
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0100
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 475.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6653, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525591
Question: Will Brooks Koepka win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 87070.437655
Price History:
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.9885
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0115
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9885
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0115
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.9885
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0115
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.9885
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0115
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9885
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0095
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.9905
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0095
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9905
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0095
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9905
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0095
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.9905
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0095
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.9905
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0095
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9905
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0095
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.9905
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0095
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9905
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0095
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9905
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0095
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9905
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0095
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9905
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0105
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9895
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9895
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0110
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9890
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0110
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.9890
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0110
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 902.60, Sell volume: 101.00, Average price: 0.2557, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9870

Output: Yes