Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0255
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0255
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0260
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0260
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0240
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0240
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0240
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0240
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0260
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0285
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0310
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0410
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0235
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0220
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0320
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0310
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0315
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0320
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0360
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0220
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0210
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0215
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0185
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0185
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0230
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0140
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0140
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0140
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0140
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0150
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0145
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0145
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0140
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0145
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0150
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0145
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0145
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0145
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0125
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0110
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0115
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0125
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.0120
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0165
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0165
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 453546, Buy volume: 27877670.49, Sell volume: 17473449.06, Average price: 0.6863, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0160
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0160
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0160
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0140
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0145
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0140
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0140
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.0145
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0145
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0145
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0145
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0140
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0145
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.0140
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0140
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.0145
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0150
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0170
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0125
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0130
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0130
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0125
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.0135
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0125
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0165
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.0170
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0205
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0235
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0210
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.0195
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.0185
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0160
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0160
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0160
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0150
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0145
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0145
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0140
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.0140
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0130
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.0135
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0135
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0135
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0110
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 517868, Buy volume: 27411407.12, Sell volume: 18983522.91, Average price: 0.7646, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0090
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0090
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.0090
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0090
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0090
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0090
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0135
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0070
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0075
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0070
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.0065
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0080
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0080
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.0070
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.0080
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0075
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0080
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0085
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.0090
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0085
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0070
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.0065
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0060
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.0060
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.0050
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0050
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.0060
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 603, Buy volume: 27594.78, Sell volume: 24954.49, Average price: 0.8047, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.4550
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.2600
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.2250
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.2200
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.2300
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.2850
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.3950
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.3450
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.2950
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.3050
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.3000
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.2950
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.2750
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.2750
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.2600
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.2700
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.1600
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.1750
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.1950
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.1800
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.1800
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.1900
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.1900
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.2350
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.2400
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.2400
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.2400
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.2600
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.2800
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.2550
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.2650
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.4750
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.4350
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.4100
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.4050
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.3950
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.3750
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.3550
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.3300
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.3250
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.3200
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.3700
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.4150
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.4150
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.4000
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.4000
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.3900
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.3600
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.3700
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.4000
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.4400
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.4200
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.4250
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.4550
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.4150
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.4200
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.4200
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.4050
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.4050
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.3750
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.3000
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.2650
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.2650
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.2550
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.2850
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.2550
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.2650
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.2650
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.2850
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.2800
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.2800
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.2700
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.3050
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.2850
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.2750
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.2700
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.2700
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.2550
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.2500
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.2100
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.1350
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.1500
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.1550
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.1500
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.1500
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.1500
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.1500
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.2500
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.1400
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.1650
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.1650
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.1650
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.1650
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.1550
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.1550
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.1500
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.1500
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.1600
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.1650
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.1750
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.1650
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.1800
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.1800
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.1550
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.1650
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.1700
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.1800
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.1800
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.1800
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.2200
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.2100
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.2150
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.2000
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.1950
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.1850
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.1850
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.1800
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.1750
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.1750
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.1750
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.1700
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.1650
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.1650
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.1450
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.1350
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.1100
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.1100
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.1400
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.1200
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.1250
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.1200
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.1200
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.1250
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.1250
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.1250
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.1250
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.1150
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.1150
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.1150
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0850
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0950
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0950
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0900
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.1000
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0950
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0950
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0950
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.1050
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.1050
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0800
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0750
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0750
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0800
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.1050
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0650
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0650
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0650
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0650
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0650
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0650
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0650
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0900
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0800
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0850
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0850
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0850
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0900
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0850
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0850
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0900
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0900
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0700
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0750
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0750
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0750
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0750
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0650
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0450
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0500
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0500
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0500
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0550
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0550
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0500
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.1450
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0850
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.1350
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.1400
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.1050
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0900
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0800
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0650
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0700
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0700
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0650
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0650
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0650
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0750
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0650
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0750
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0600
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0650
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0600
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0600
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0600
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0650
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0550
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0450
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0450
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0450
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0445
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0435
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0430
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0390
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0405
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0340
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0390
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0355
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0370
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0405
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0575
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0750
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0675
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0685
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.0685
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0695
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0625
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0370
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0370
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0380
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0390
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0350
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0350
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0420
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0365
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0360
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0350
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0355
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0360
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0360
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0400
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0230
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0235
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0240
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0255
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0430
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0430
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0410
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0395
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0240
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0225
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0245
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0225
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0235
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0240
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0245
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0280
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0340
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55320047.62, Sell volume: 37735292.55, Average price: 0.7294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0255
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0245
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0260
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0240
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0240
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0275
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0285
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0410
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0235
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0230
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0305
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0315
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0380
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0220
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0195
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0185
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0190
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0180
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0140
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0145
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0150
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0145
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0140
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0145
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0145
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0125
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 453546, Buy volume: 27877670.49, Sell volume: 17473449.06, Average price: 0.6863, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0160
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.0160
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0140
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0145
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0140
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0145
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0145
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0145
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0145
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0145
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.0145
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0150
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0125
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0130
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0125
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0125
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0205
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0225
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.0195
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0160
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0160
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0150
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.0150
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0140
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 517868, Buy volume: 27411407.12, Sell volume: 18983522.91, Average price: 0.7646, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550008
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by July 31?
Volume: 458684.139657
Price History:
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0090
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.0090
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0090
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.0090
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0075
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0075
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.0060
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0080
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0075
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.0080
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0080
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.0090
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0085
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0080
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0060
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0060
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.0060
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0050
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0050
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0060
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 603, Buy volume: 27594.78, Sell volume: 24954.49, Average price: 0.8047, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.5450
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.4800
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.4150
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.4850
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.5350
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.4200
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.5950
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.4300
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.5900
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.4150
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.5900
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.3950
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.6900
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.3150
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.6400
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.4450
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.5550
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.4450
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.5500
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.4500
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.5550
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.4850
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.5300
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.5050
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.5100
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.4900
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.4950
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.5050
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.4150
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.6100
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.3750
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.6500
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.3450
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.6750
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.3350
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.6650
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.3350
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.6650
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.2650
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.7450
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.2750
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.7250
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.2750
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.7050
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.2950
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.6950
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.3250
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.6900
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 397, Buy volume: 84038.66, Sell volume: 22010.79, Average price: 0.5466, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8896

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.2550
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.7600
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.2450
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.7750
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.2150
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.7650
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.2350
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.7250
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.2750
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.7150
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.2800
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.7200
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.2850
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7200
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.2850
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.6950
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.2900
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.7150
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.2800
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.7050
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.3000
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.7000
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.3150
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.6900
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.3100
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.7050
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.2850
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.7150
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.2750
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.7100
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.2950
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.7050
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.2950
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.6950
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.3150
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.6300
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.3650
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.6300
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.3800
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.5650
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.3850
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.5850
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.4150
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.5850
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.4150
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.5850
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.4150
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 9424.20, Sell volume: 11912.23, Average price: 0.5705, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.5800
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.4100
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.5850
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.4100
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.6150
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.4050
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.6050
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.3950
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.6050
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.3750
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.6350
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.3650
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.6250
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.3750
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.6250
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.3700
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.6300
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.3800
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.6150
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.3850
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.5750
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.4250
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.5750
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.4250
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.5550
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.4450
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.5450
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.4550
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.5100
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.5650
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.4850
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.5150
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.4750
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.5100
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.5050
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.4950
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.4900
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.5100
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.4850
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.5150
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.4900
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.5150
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.4850
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.5200
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.4800
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.5700
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.4350
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.5550
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.4450
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 8595.87, Sell volume: 4194.70, Average price: 0.4969, Price range: 0.3437 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.5550
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.4300
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.6250
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.3850
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.6650
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.3700
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.6400
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.3800
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.6300
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.3700
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.6300
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.3700
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.6300
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.3600
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.6350
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.3650
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.6350
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.3650
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.6350
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.3150
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.6800
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.3050
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.6900
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.3100
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.6900
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.3100
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.6900
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.3050
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.6950
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.3050
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.6900
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.3100
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.6850
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.3150
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.6850
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.3150
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.7050
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.2950
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.6950
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.2850
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.7150
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.3750
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.5550
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.3600
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.6400
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.3600
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.6450
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.3450
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.6500
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 154, Buy volume: 17518.92, Sell volume: 8734.00, Average price: 0.4777, Price range: 0.2768 - 0.7248

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.3250
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.6650
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.6650
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.3050
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.7050
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.2900
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.7150
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.2850
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.7150
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.2950
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.7050
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.2850
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.7250
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.2750
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.7250
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.2750
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.7200
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.2800
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.7200
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.2750
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.7250
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.2750
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.7300
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.2700
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.7300
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.2700
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.7300
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.2700
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.7300
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.2650
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.7250
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.7450
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.2550
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.2500
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.7450
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.2650
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.7300
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.2650
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.7350
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.2650
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.7350
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.2600
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.7250
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.2650
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 7192.71, Sell volume: 1232.12, Average price: 0.3984, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.7200
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.2750
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.7250
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.2750
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.7250
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.2600
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.7350
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.2650
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.7350
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.2650
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.7100
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.7100
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.2900
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.7100
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.2850
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.2850
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.7100
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.2750
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.7250
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.2850
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.7150
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.2850
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.7150
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.2850
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.7150
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.2700
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.7300
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.2650
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.7350
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.2750
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.7250
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.2750
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.7250
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.2750
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.7350
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.2650
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.7350
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2650
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.7350
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2650
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.7350
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.2650
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.7350
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.2700
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.7300
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2700
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.7300
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 1659.73, Sell volume: 3310.99, Average price: 0.4253, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.2700
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.3250
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.6750
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.3500
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.6400
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.3150
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.6850
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.3200
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.6800
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.3200
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.6800
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.3200
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.6850
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.3150
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2900
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.7100
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2900
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.7100
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2750
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.7250
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2650
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.7350
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2650
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.7350
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.2600
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.7400
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2600
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.7400
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2150
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.7800
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.2250
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.7750
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.2250
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.7750
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.2250
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.7750
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.2250
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.7600
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.2450
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.7550
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.2300
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.7700
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.2250
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.7800
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.1950
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 6289.75, Sell volume: 3467.40, Average price: 0.3407, Price range: 0.1905 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.7750
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.2250
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.7750
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.2250
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.7750
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.2200
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.7800
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.2050
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.7950
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.2050
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.7950
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.2150
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.7850
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.2150
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.7850
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.2150
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.7850
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.2150
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.7850
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.2250
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.7650
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.2350
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.7650
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.2350
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7650
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.2350
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.7650
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.2350
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.7550
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.7400
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.7400
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.2600
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.7400
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.7450
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.7450
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.2550
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.2550
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.7400
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.2600
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.7400
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.7400
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.2600
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.2600
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.2650
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.2650
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2657.30, Sell volume: 1597.21, Average price: 0.4360, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7984

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.2650
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.7350
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.2650
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.2650
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.7350
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.2650
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.2700
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.7250
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.7200
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.7200
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.2800
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.7200
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.7200
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.7200
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.2800
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.7200
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.2800
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.7200
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7200
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.2800
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.2750
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.7250
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.7250
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.7250
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.7250
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.7150
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.2950
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.7050
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.7050
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.7050
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.3050
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.6950
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.3050
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.3050
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.3050
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.6950
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.3050
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.6950
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.6950
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.3350
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.6750
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.6750
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 2262.29, Sell volume: 1722.79, Average price: 0.4039, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.7100
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.7100
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.7100
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.2900
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.2950
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.3000
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.3100
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.3100
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.3100
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.6950
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.6950
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.3150
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.3100
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.6950
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.3050
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.6950
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.6950
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.7000
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.3000
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.2850
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.7150
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.2850
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.2850
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.2800
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.7250
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.7250
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.7250
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.2750
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.2750
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.7250
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.2750
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.7250
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.7250
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.2750
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.2750
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.7250
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.2750
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.2750
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.7250
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.2750
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.7250
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.2700
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.7250
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.7250
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.2750
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1671.84, Sell volume: 1333.64, Average price: 0.3835, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.7300
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.7200
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.7200
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.7250
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.2750
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.2700
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2750
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.7250
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.7250
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.2750
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.2700
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.2700
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.7300
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.7300
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.7300
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.7300
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.7300
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.7300
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.7300
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.2750
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.2750
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.2850
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.7150
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2167.76, Sell volume: 1589.94, Average price: 0.4703, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.6750
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.6750
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.6750
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.3150
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.6850
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.6700
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.3250
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.6750
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.6850
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.3150
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.6850
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.3250
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.3300
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.6750
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.3250
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.6750
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.3350
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.6650
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.3350
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.6750
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.3250
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.6750
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.3250
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.6750
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.4400
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.5150
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.5700
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.4350
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.5500
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.5900
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 4406.65, Sell volume: 2258.68, Average price: 0.4514, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.6200
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.3800
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.6200
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.3800
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.3900
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.6050
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.6050
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.3950
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.6100
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.6100
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.3900
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.6100
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.3850
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.3900
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.6100
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.3900
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.6100
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.3900
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.3850
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.3850
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.3750
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.6200
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.3850
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.3750
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.6450
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.3650
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.3350
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.3350
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 5006.97, Sell volume: 1748.32, Average price: 0.4972, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6892

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.5450
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.4550
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.5350
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.4200
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.5700
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.4150
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.6100
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.3150
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.5550
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.4450
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.5550
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.4850
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.5000
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.4900
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.4950
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.6100
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.3700
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.6700
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.3450
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.6650
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.2650
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.7250
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.2750
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.7050
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.3000
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.6750
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.3100
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.7950
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 397, Buy volume: 84038.66, Sell volume: 22010.79, Average price: 0.5466, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8896
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.2550
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.7550
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.2150
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.7650
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.2750
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.7200
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.2800
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7200
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.2850
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.7150
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.2950
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.7000
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.3150
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.6950
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.2850
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.7250
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.2950
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.7050
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.3050
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.6350
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.3700
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.3800
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.5850
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.4150
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.5850
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.4150
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.5650
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.4250
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 9424.20, Sell volume: 11912.23, Average price: 0.5705, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.5800
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.4150
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.5950
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.3950
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.6050
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.3650
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.6350
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.3750
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.6300
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.3800
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.6150
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.4250
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.5750
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.4450
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.5450
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.4900
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.4900
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.5250
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.4900
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.4850
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.4900
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.5150
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.4850
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.5200
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.4650
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.5650
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.4450
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.5550
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.4500
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 8595.87, Sell volume: 4194.70, Average price: 0.4969, Price range: 0.3437 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.5550
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.3750
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.6200
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.3700
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.6300
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.3700
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.6300
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.3600
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.6350
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.3650
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.6400
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.3050
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.6900
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.3100
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.6900
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.3050
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.6950
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.3100
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.6850
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.2950
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.7050
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.2850
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.6550
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.3600
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.6400
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.3600
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.6500
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.3550
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.6500
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 154, Buy volume: 17518.92, Sell volume: 8734.00, Average price: 0.4777, Price range: 0.2768 - 0.7248
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.3250
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.6650
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.3100
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.7050
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.2850
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.7150
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.2950
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.7250
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.2750
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.7250
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.2800
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.7250
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.2700
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.7300
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.2700
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.7300
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.2650
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.7250
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.7450
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.2700
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.7350
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.2650
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.7300
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.7400
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.2800
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 7192.71, Sell volume: 1232.12, Average price: 0.3984, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.7200
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.2750
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.2650
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.7350
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.2850
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.2900
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.2850
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.7150
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.2850
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.7150
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.2850
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.7150
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.2700
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.7350
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.2750
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.7250
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.2750
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.7350
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2650
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.7350
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.2650
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.7350
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.2700
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.7300
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.2700
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.7350
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 1659.73, Sell volume: 3310.99, Average price: 0.4253, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.2700
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.6750
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.3500
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.6750
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.3150
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.6800
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.3200
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.6850
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.3050
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.7100
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2900
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.7250
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.2650
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.7350
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.2600
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.7400
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.2600
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.7800
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.2200
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7800
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.2200
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.7750
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.2400
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.7550
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.7750
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.1950
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.7950
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.2150
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 6289.75, Sell volume: 3467.40, Average price: 0.3407, Price range: 0.1905 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.7750
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.2250
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.7750
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.2200
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.7950
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.2050
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.7850
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.2150
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.7850
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.2150
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.7850
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.2350
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.7650
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.2350
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.7650
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7400
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.2600
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.7450
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.2600
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.7400
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.2600
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.2650
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.7350
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.2650
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 2657.30, Sell volume: 1597.21, Average price: 0.4360, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7984
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.2650
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.7350
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.2650
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.2800
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.7250
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.2800
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.7200
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.2800
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.2800
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.7200
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2800
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.2750
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.7150
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.2950
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.7050
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.3050
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.3050
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.6950
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.6950
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.3050
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.6600
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.6750
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.6800
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.3100
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 2262.29, Sell volume: 1722.79, Average price: 0.4039, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.7100
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.2900
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.2950
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.6900
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.3100
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.3050
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.3100
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.6950
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.3050
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.7000
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.7150
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.2850
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.2750
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.7250
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.7250
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.2750
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.7250
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.7250
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.2750
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.7250
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.7250
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.2750
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.7250
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1671.84, Sell volume: 1333.64, Average price: 0.3835, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.7200
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.7250
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.7250
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2750
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.2750
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.7250
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.7300
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.7300
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.7300
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.7300
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.2850
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.2850
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2167.76, Sell volume: 1589.94, Average price: 0.4703, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.6750
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.3250
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.6850
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.3300
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.3150
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.6850
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.3350
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.3250
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.6850
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.6750
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.3250
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.4350
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.5700
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.4400
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.5850
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.4000
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 4406.65, Sell volume: 2258.68, Average price: 0.4514, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550009
Question: Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Volume: 251990.396153
Price History:
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.6200
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.3800
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.6200
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.6050
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.3850
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.6050
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.6050
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.3850
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.3900
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.6100
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.3850
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.6250
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.6150
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.3750
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.6600
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.3300
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.3400
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 5006.97, Sell volume: 1748.32, Average price: 0.4972, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6892
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.3450
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.6550
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.2950
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.7050
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.3100
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.6900
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.3800
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.6200
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.3850
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.6150
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.4000
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.6000
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.4000
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.6000
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.4050
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.5950
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.4000
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.6000
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.4000
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.6000
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.4200
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3818.36, Sell volume: 115.59, Average price: 0.5125, Price range: 0.3095 - 0.6879

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.4200
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.5800
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.4000
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.6000
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.6050
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.6050
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.6050
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.6050
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.6050
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.6050
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.6050
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.4100
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.5900
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.4100
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3131.79, Sell volume: 101.24, Average price: 0.5127, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.4550
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.5450
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.4650
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.5350
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.4600
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.5400
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.4550
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.5450
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.4600
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.5400
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.4550
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.5450
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.4350
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.5650
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.4400
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.5600
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.4300
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.5700
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.4250
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.5750
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.4150
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 772.03, Sell volume: 201.48, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.5800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.4100
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.5900
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.3750
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.6250
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.3650
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.6350
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.3750
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.6250
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.3800
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.6200
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.3750
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.6250
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.3750
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.6250
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.3650
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.6350
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.3650
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.6350
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.3750
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.6250
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.3750
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 622.11, Sell volume: 115.05, Average price: 0.5430, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.3750
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.6250
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.3650
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.6350
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.3550
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.6450
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.3650
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.6350
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.2450
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.7550
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.3100
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.6900
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.3450
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.6550
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.3550
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.6450
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.3550
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.6450
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.3650
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.6350
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.3750
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1314.41, Sell volume: 582.89, Average price: 0.4522, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.3800
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.6200
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.3900
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.6100
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.3750
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.6250
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.3700
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.6300
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.3700
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.6300
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.3600
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.6400
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.3600
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.6400
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.3800
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.6200
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 271.79, Sell volume: 246.38, Average price: 0.4504, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.3900
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.6100
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.3850
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.6150
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.3800
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.6200
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.3850
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 781.86, Sell volume: 59.25, Average price: 0.4879, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.4150
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.5850
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.3800
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.6200
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.3650
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.6350
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.3650
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.6350
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.3650
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.6350
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.3650
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.6350
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.3650
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.6350
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.3650
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.6350
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.3650
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.6350
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.3650
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 43.82, Sell volume: 1361.75, Average price: 0.4256, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.6450
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.3600
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.6400
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.3600
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.6400
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.3600
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.6400
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.6450
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.3450
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.6550
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.3500
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.6500
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.3500
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.6500
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.3350
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.6650
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.3350
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.6650
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.3450
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 877.09, Sell volume: 227.26, Average price: 0.4910, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.3500
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.6500
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.3500
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.6500
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.3450
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.6550
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.3250
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.6750
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.3250
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.6750
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.3200
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.6800
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.3200
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.6800
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.3150
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.6850
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.3150
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.6850
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.3150
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.6850
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.3150
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1360.69, Sell volume: 246.43, Average price: 0.5617, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6808

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.3150
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.6850
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.3200
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.6800
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.3150
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.6850
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.3150
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.6850
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.2300
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.7700
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.2500
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.7500
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.2500
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.7500
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.2400
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.7600
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.2250
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.7750
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.1850
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.8150
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.1600
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 936.57, Sell volume: 294.39, Average price: 0.5283, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.6050
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.3950
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.6950
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.3050
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.8050
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.1950
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.6750
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.3250
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.4150
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.5850
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.1700
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.8300
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.1050
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.8950
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0355
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9645
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0205
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9795
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0225
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9775
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0125
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 253, Buy volume: 32072.48, Sell volume: 40496.25, Average price: 0.4710, Price range: 0.0101 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0070
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9930
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0095
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9905
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 44244.65, Sell volume: 15481.13, Average price: 0.5070, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.3450
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.6550
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.2950
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.7050
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.3100
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.6900
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.3800
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.6200
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.3850
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.6150
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.4000
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.6000
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.4000
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.6000
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.4050
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.5950
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.4000
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.6000
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.4000
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.6000
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.4200
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3818.36, Sell volume: 115.59, Average price: 0.5125, Price range: 0.3095 - 0.6879
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.4200
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.5800
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.4000
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.6000
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.6050
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.6050
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.6050
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.6050
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.6050
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.6050
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.3950
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.6050
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.4100
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.5900
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.4100
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3131.79, Sell volume: 101.24, Average price: 0.5127, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.4550
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.5450
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.4650
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.5350
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.4600
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.5400
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.4550
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.5450
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.4600
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.5400
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.4550
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.5450
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.4350
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.5650
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.4400
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.5600
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.4300
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.5700
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.4250
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.5750
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.4150
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 772.03, Sell volume: 201.48, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.4100
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.5900
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.3750
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.6250
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.3650
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.6350
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.3750
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.6250
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.3800
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.6200
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.3750
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.6250
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.3750
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.6250
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.3650
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.6350
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.3650
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.6350
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.3750
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.6250
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.3750
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 622.11, Sell volume: 115.05, Average price: 0.5430, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.3750
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.6250
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.3650
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.6350
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.3550
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.6450
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.3650
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.6350
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.2450
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.7550
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.3100
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.6900
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.3450
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.6550
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.3550
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.6450
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.3550
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.6450
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.3650
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.6350
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.3750
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1314.41, Sell volume: 582.89, Average price: 0.4522, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.3800
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.6200
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.3900
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.6100
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.3750
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.6250
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.3700
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.6300
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.3700
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.6300
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.3600
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.6400
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.3600
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.6400
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.3800
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.6200
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 271.79, Sell volume: 246.38, Average price: 0.4504, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.3900
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.6100
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.3850
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.6150
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.3800
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.6200
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.3850
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 781.86, Sell volume: 59.25, Average price: 0.4879, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.4150
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.5850
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.3750
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.3800
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.6200
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.3650
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.6350
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.3650
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.6350
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.3650
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.6350
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.3650
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.6350
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.3650
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.6350
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.3650
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.6350
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.3650
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.6350
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.3650
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 43.82, Sell volume: 1361.75, Average price: 0.4256, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.6450
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.3600
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.6400
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.3600
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.6400
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.3600
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.6400
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.6450
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.3450
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.6550
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.3500
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.6500
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.3500
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.6500
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.3350
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.6650
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.3350
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.6650
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.3450
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 877.09, Sell volume: 227.26, Average price: 0.4910, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.3500
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.6500
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.3500
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.6500
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.3450
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.6550
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.3250
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.6750
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.3250
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.6750
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.3200
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.6800
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.3200
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.6800
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.3150
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.6850
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.3150
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.6850
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.3150
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.6850
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.3150
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1360.69, Sell volume: 246.43, Average price: 0.5617, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6808
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.3150
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.6850
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.3200
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.6800
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.3150
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.6850
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.3150
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.6850
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.2300
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.7700
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.2500
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.7500
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.2500
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.7500
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.2400
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.7600
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.2250
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.7750
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.1850
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.8150
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.1600
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 936.57, Sell volume: 294.39, Average price: 0.5283, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.6050
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.3950
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.6950
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.3050
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.8050
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.1950
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.6750
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.3250
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.4150
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.5850
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.1700
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.8300
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.1050
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.8950
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0355
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9645
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0205
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9795
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0225
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9775
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0125
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 253, Buy volume: 32072.48, Sell volume: 40496.25, Average price: 0.4710, Price range: 0.0101 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552817
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 1?
Volume: 441136.474619
Price History:
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0070
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9930
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0095
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9905
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9990
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 44244.65, Sell volume: 15481.13, Average price: 0.5070, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.2050
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.7950
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.2400
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.7600
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.2400
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.7600
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.2300
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.7700
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.2550
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1258.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7349, Price range: 0.2588 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.2600
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.7400
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.7650
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.2450
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.7550
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.2450
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.7550
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.2550
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.7450
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.2700
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.7300
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.2800
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.7200
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.2850
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.7150
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.2950
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.7050
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.2950
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.7050
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.2900
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1300.23, Sell volume: 104.52, Average price: 0.4954, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.2800
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.7200
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.2850
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.7150
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.2650
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.7350
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.2750
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.7250
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.2700
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.7300
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.2750
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.7250
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.2850
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.7150
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.2750
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.7250
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.2850
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.7150
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.2900
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.7100
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.2750
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 494.89, Sell volume: 38.65, Average price: 0.4365, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.2850
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.7150
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.2900
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.7100
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.2750
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.7250
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.2850
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.7150
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.2900
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.7100
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.2850
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.7150
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.2850
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.7150
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.2850
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.7150
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.2850
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.7150
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.2800
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.7200
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.2800
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.90, Sell volume: 95.24, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.2850
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.7150
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.2800
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.7200
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.2800
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.7200
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.2800
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.7200
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.2800
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.7200
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.2700
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.7300
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.2700
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.7300
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.2700
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.7300
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.2700
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.7300
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.2750
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.7250
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.2650
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 233.10, Sell volume: 17.23, Average price: 0.6175, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.2650
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.7350
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.2550
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.7450
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.2750
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.7250
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.2800
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.7200
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.2600
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.7400
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.2600
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.7400
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.2700
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.7300
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.2700
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.7300
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.2600
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.7400
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.2700
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.7300
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.2650
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 92.14, Sell volume: 221.38, Average price: 0.4608, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.2650
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.7350
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.2650
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.7350
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.2700
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.7300
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.2650
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.7350
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.2600
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.7400
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.7450
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.7450
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.7450
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.7450
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.7450
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 382.02, Sell volume: 63.01, Average price: 0.5037, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.2450
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.7550
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.2350
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.7650
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.7450
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.2500
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.7500
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.7450
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.7450
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.7450
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.2550
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.7450
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.2550
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.7450
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.2550
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.7450
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 301.70, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.4600, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.7500
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.7500
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.7500
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.7500
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.7500
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.7500
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.7500
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.2350
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.7650
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.2250
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.7750
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.2250
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.7750
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.2200
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 344.43, Sell volume: 225.19, Average price: 0.4273, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.2200
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.7800
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.2150
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.7850
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.2150
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.7850
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.2350
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.7650
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.2450
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.7550
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.2350
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.7650
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.2650
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.7350
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.2650
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.7350
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.2600
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.7400
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.2650
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.7350
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.2650
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 838.53, Sell volume: 115.65, Average price: 0.6025, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.2650
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.7350
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.2650
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.7350
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.2650
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.7350
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.2650
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.7350
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.2650
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.7350
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.2750
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.7250
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.2700
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.7300
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.2750
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.7250
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.2700
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.7300
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.2900
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.7100
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.2550
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 636.29, Sell volume: 593.53, Average price: 0.5651, Price range: 0.2437 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.3100
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.6900
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.2450
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.7550
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.1850
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.8150
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.2650
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.7350
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.3650
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.6350
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.4900
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.5100
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.3500
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.6500
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.1800
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.8200
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.1350
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.8650
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.1600
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.8400
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.1300
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 208, Buy volume: 10092.46, Sell volume: 9670.01, Average price: 0.4777, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0700
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9300
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0565
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9435
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9940
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9975
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9980
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 21794.92, Sell volume: 43003.47, Average price: 0.4936, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.2050
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.7950
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.2400
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.7600
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.2400
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.7600
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.2300
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.7700
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.7650
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.2550
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1258.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7349, Price range: 0.2588 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.2600
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.7400
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.2350
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.7650
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.2450
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.7550
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.2450
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.7550
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.2550
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.7450
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.2700
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.7300
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.2800
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.7200
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.2850
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.7150
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.2950
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.7050
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.2950
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.7050
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.2900
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1300.23, Sell volume: 104.52, Average price: 0.4954, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.2800
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.7200
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.2850
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.7150
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.2650
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.7350
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.2750
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.7250
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.2700
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.7300
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.2750
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.7250
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.2850
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.7150
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.2750
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.7250
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.2850
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.7150
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.2900
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.7100
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.2750
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 494.89, Sell volume: 38.65, Average price: 0.4365, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.2850
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.7150
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.2900
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.7100
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.2750
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.7250
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.2850
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.7150
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.2900
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.7100
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.2850
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.7150
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.2850
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.7150
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.2850
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.7150
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.2850
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.7150
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.2800
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.7200
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.2800
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.90, Sell volume: 95.24, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.2850
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.7150
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.2800
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.7200
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.2800
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.7200
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.2800
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.7200
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.2800
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.7200
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.2700
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.7300
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.2700
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.7300
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.2700
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.7300
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.2700
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.7300
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.2750
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.7250
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.2650
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 233.10, Sell volume: 17.23, Average price: 0.6175, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.2650
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.7350
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.2550
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.7450
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.2750
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.7250
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.2800
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.7200
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.2600
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.7400
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.2600
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.7400
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.2700
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.7300
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.2700
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.7300
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.2600
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.7400
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.2700
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.7300
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.2650
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 92.14, Sell volume: 221.38, Average price: 0.4608, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552818
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 40–45 million views on day 1?
Volume: 369503.803847
Price History:
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.2650
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.7350
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.2650
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.7350
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.2700
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.7300
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.2650
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.7350
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.2600
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.7400
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.7450
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.7450
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.7450
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.7450
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.7450
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.2550
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 382.02, Sell volume: 63.01, Average price: 0.5037, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No