Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.1650
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.8350
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.1300
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.8700
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.2250
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.7750
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.1800
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.8200
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0650
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1326.75, Sell volume: 301.99, Average price: 0.3554, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9400
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0550
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9450
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0400
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9600
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0550
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9450
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0400
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9545, Price range: 0.9490 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0400
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9600
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0400
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9600
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0400
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9600
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0400
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9600
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0305
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.0400, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.0500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0305
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9695
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0305
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9695
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0305
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9695
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0315
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9685
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0315
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0400, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.0400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0315
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9685
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0315
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9685
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0365
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9635
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0375
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9625
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0095
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 3646.95, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.6981, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9955
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3601.00, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.6869, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2778.02, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7268, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2778.02, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7268, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2778.02, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7268, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2778.02, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7268, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0355
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9645
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0360
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9640
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0310
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9690
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0360
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9640
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0360
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0360
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9640
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0550
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9450
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0605
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9395
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9400
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0580
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 30.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0655, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.0660

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0615
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9385
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0805
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9195
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0795
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9205
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0760
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9240
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0755
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 8892.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7620, Price range: 0.0660 - 0.9430

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.1110
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.8890
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0285
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9715
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0205
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9795
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0080
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9920
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 3057.74, Sell volume: 171.00, Average price: 0.8530, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0080
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9920
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0080
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9920
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 535.00, Sell volume: 1587.00, Average price: 0.7734, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 388.00, Average price: 0.8319, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 111.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 27121.95, Sell volume: 5475.04, Average price: 0.6703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 10025.64, Sell volume: 265.35, Average price: 0.6152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 10025.64, Sell volume: 265.35, Average price: 0.6152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 10025.64, Sell volume: 265.35, Average price: 0.6152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 10025.64, Sell volume: 265.35, Average price: 0.6152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 10025.64, Sell volume: 265.35, Average price: 0.6152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0355
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9645
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0360
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9640
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0310
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9690
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0360
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9640
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0360
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0360
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9640
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0550
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9450
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0605
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9395
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9400
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0580
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 30.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0655, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.0660
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0615
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9385
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0805
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9195
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0795
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9205
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0760
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9240
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0755
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 8892.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7620, Price range: 0.0660 - 0.9430
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.1110
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.8890
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0285
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9715
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0205
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9795
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0080
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9920
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 3057.74, Sell volume: 171.00, Average price: 0.8530, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0080
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9920
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0080
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9920
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0075
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 535.00, Sell volume: 1587.00, Average price: 0.7734, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 388.00, Average price: 0.8319, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 111.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 27121.95, Sell volume: 5475.04, Average price: 0.6703, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 10025.64, Sell volume: 265.35, Average price: 0.6152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 10025.64, Sell volume: 265.35, Average price: 0.6152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 10025.64, Sell volume: 265.35, Average price: 0.6152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 10025.64, Sell volume: 265.35, Average price: 0.6152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525873
Question: Will Brian Harman win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 32596.991841
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 10025.64, Sell volume: 265.35, Average price: 0.6152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.4900
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0450
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0450
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0450
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0450
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0450
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0450
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0450
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0450
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0550
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0550
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0550
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0550
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0550
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0550
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0550
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0550
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0550
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0550
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0550
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0500
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0500
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0500
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0500
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0500
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 11905.94, Sell volume: 1009.14, Average price: 0.6926, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0500
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0550
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0550
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0550
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0550
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.0550
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0550
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.0550
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0550
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.0550
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.0550
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0550
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0550
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0550
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0550
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.0550
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.0550
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0550
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0550
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.0500
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.0550
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0550
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.0550
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.0600
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0550
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0550
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.0550
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.0550
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0550
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.0550
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0550
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0550
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.0550
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.0550
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0550
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.0550
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0550
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.0550
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.4800
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.2600
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.4300
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4050
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.2700
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.3850
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.3800
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.3750
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.3450
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.4150
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.4000
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.3950
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.3900
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.4250
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.3950
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.3250
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.4300
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.4300
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.4300
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.3850
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.3700
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.3150
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.4250
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.3800
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.5050
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.4200
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.2600
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.4100
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.4950
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.3300
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.2500
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.2500
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.2500
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.2500
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.2500
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.2500
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.2500
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.2500
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.5050
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.5050
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.5050
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.5050
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.5050
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.5050
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.5050
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.5050
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.5050
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.5050
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.4950
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.4950
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.5050
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.4800
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.3500
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.5100
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.4650
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.4600
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.5100
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.5100
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.5100
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 11905.94, Sell volume: 1009.14, Average price: 0.6926, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.5050
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.5050
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.4750
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.4850
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.4850
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.4850
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.4800
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.5050
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.5050
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.5350
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.5300
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.5150
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.4350
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.4200
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.5050
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.4500
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.3800
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.5100
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.5050
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.4100
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.4200
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.3600
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.4600
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.3550
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.3900
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.3900
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.3350
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.3900
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.3500
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.3800
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.3700
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.3750
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.3600
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.3950
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.3600
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3950
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.3350
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.3500
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.3200
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.3250
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.3450
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.3400
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.3450
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.3400
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.3250
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.3600
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.3150
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.3900
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.3700
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.3150
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.3900
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.3800
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.3800
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.3950
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.3900
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3900
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2950
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3500
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.4300
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.3900
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3750
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3900
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.3150
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2200
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.1550
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.4450
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 11905.94, Sell volume: 1009.14, Average price: 0.6926, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.3900
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.3850
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.4000
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4000
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4900
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.4200
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.3700
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.3600
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3050
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.3700
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.3200
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.2600
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.3300
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2950
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.4350
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.4600
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4500
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.4250
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.4050
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.2250
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.2050
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.1300
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.2600
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.1650
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0950
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.3550
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.3450
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.3050
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.3050
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.3000
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.3850
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.3850
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.3250
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.4500
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.3450
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.2050
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.2050
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.1950
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 11905.94, Sell volume: 1009.14, Average price: 0.6926, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.3100
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.3300
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.3700
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.3750
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.2200
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.2200
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.2200
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.2200
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.2200
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.2100
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.2150
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.2150
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.2100
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.2150
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.2150
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.2100
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.2100
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.2200
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.2100
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.2200
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.2150
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.2100
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.2100
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.2100
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.2100
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.2150
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.3800
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.4250
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.4000
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.3400
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.4200
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.3050
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.3550
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.2950
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.3600
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.4050
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.4150
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.3550
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.3800
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.4900
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.4750
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.4900
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.4050
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.3900
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 11905.94, Sell volume: 1009.14, Average price: 0.6926, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.3850
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.3600
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.3500
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.3650
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.3500
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.3950
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.2900
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.4500
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.4050
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.3100
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.3100
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.3050
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.3400
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.3900
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.2800
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.4750
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.3200
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.2900
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.3450
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.3600
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.3400
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.2700
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.3200
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.4800
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.3900
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.4800
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.4550
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.3100
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.4950
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.3450
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.4850
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.3800
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.3300
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.3300
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.4000
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.3500
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.4400
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.3650
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.3700
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.3950
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.3600
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.3400
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.3500
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.3100
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.3750
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.4550
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 11905.94, Sell volume: 1009.14, Average price: 0.6926, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.3900
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.4100
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.3750
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.3700
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.3850
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.3650
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.4500
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.4600
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.3100
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.4850
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.3550
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.3950
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.3700
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.3650
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.4200
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.4950
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.4700
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.4800
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.3350
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.3750
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0200
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0205
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0255
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0205
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0205
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0190
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0200
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0185
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0185
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0185
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0185
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0200
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0180
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0185
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0405
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0410
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0405
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0450
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0405
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0450
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0400
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0405
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0410
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0405
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0420
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0410
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0405
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0405
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0415
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 265.14, Sell volume: 118.00, Average price: 0.8163, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0405
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0390
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0435
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0435
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0435
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0440
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0435
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0435
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0435
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0435
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0435
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0435
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0435
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0395
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0400
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0390
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0400
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0390
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0390
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0390
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0390
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0390
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0395
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0390
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0390
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0355
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0355
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0385
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0390
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0360
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0245
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0245
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0405
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0410
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0400
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0390
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0390
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0385
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0385
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0360
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0360
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0360
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0375
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.0360
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0360
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0375
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0360
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0365
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0380
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 57.14, Average price: 0.0110, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.0110

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0360
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0360
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0385
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.0375
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.0380
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0375
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0390
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0360
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0360
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0365
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0375
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0360
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0360
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0370
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0385
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0370
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0380
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.0270
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.0290
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0265
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0295
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0270
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0285
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0295
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0260
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0295
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0435
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.0395
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0360
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0385
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0365
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0390
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0390
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0385
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0350
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0390
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0395
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0380
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0395
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0360
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0390
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0375
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0405
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0390
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0385
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0380
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0390
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0375
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0375
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 84.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5279, Price range: 0.0669 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0220
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0190
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0200
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0205
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0240
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0215
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0240
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0225
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0225
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0235
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0250
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0240
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0225
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0265
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0245
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0225
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0255
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0235
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0235
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0245
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0225
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0210
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0210
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0210
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0245
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0210
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0295
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.0295
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0245
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0255
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0265
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0285
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0210
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0285
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0260
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0280
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0245
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0245
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0240
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0255
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0245
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0235
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0225
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0230
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0225
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0235
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 11526.02, Sell volume: 834.00, Average price: 0.6824, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.5100
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0450
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9550
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0450
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9550
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0450
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9450
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0550
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9450
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0550
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9450
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9500
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9450
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0550
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9450
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9500
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9500
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0500
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9500
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 11905.94, Sell volume: 1009.14, Average price: 0.6926, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.9450
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.0550
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9450
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0550
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.9450
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0550
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.9450
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0550
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.9450
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.0550
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.9450
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.0550
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.9450
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.0550
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.9500
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.0550
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.9450
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.0550
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.9450
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0550
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.9450
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0550
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.9450
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0550
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.6800
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.2250
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.3700
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.3850
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.5400
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.6000
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.4650
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.5650
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.5050
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.4950
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.4050
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.6250
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.3150
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.6300
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.7400
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.4150
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.6450
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.3300
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.7500
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.7500
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.7500
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.2500
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.7500
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.4950
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.5050
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.4950
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.5050
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.4950
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.5050
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.4950
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.5200
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.4000
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.6450
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.5100
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.4900
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.5100
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 11905.94, Sell volume: 1009.14, Average price: 0.6926, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.4950
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.5050
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.4800
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.5150
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.4800
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.4650
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.5150
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.5100
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.5350
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.6200
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.3900
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.5450
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.3550
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.6100
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.6400
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.3500
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.6200
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.3800
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.6350
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.3800
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.6300
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3800
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.3350
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.6500
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.3300
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.6600
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.3400
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.3650
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.6200
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.3800
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6100
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3900
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3200
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.6100
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.3900
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6100
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.6250
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2950
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5750
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.4000
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.4950
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2300
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.8500
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 11905.94, Sell volume: 1009.14, Average price: 0.6926, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.3650
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.6000
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.4750
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.3900
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3700
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.6750
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7650
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2750
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.5400
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4850
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.6800
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.2100
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.7600
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.3100
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.7800
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.1650
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.8500
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.2750
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.6950
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.4150
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.4200
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.7950
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.1950
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 11905.94, Sell volume: 1009.14, Average price: 0.6926, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.3100
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.5950
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.3300
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.7800
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.2100
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.7800
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.2100
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.7800
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.2200
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.7850
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.8050
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.2100
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.7850
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.2100
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.7900
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.2150
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.6250
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.4000
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.5950
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.3550
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.7150
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.3800
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.5850
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.3950
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.5850
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.4600
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.6000
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.3900
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 11905.94, Sell volume: 1009.14, Average price: 0.6926, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.3850
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.6400
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.3950
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.6050
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.4950
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.6250
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.3700
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.6300
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.3450
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.6150
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.2900
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.6450
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.3600
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.6800
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.6100
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.4800
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.6600
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.3100
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.5550
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.6500
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.3700
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.5600
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.4200
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.5100
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.6500
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.3100
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 11905.94, Sell volume: 1009.14, Average price: 0.6926, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.3900
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.5600
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.3100
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.6350
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.3300
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.6150
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.3250
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.6000
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.3650
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.5400
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.4800
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.5900
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0205
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9745
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0205
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.9810
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0195
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9815
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0190
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.9810
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0405
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9600
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0405
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.9550
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0410
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.9595
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0405
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9590
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0405
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 265.14, Sell volume: 118.00, Average price: 0.8163, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0405
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9610
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0435
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9560
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0435
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9565
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0440
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9565
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0385
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9595
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0390
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9610
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0390
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9605
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0390
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9645
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0390
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9640
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0245
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9595
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0400
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9600
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0385
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9640
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.0360
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.9640
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0360
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.9640
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0360
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 57.14, Average price: 0.0110, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.0110
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0360
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.9640
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0360
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.9625
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0365
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.9625
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0365
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.9640
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0370
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9635
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.0270
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.9740
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0265
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9715
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0285
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9705
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0385
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.9635
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0360
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9640
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0350
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9595
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0390
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.9640
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0365
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9615
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0370
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.9635
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0385
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 84.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5279, Price range: 0.0669 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525648
Question: Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 12915.084988
Price History:
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0220
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9785
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0225
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9785
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0225
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9765
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.0225
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.9750
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0210
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9775
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0235
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9780
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0225
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.9790
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0220
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9770
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0300
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.9760
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.0245
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9785
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0260
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9745
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0240
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9745
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0235
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9770
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0170
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9885
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 11526.02, Sell volume: 834.00, Average price: 0.6824, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.4900
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.3600
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.4400
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.3600
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.3650
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.3650
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.3700
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.3700
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.3700
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.3650
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.3950
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.4100
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.4100
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.3750
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.3750
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.3750
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.4100
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.4100
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.4100
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.4100
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.4100
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.4100
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.4000
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.4000
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.4100
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.4050
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.4100
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.4100
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.4300
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.5900
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.6000
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.6050
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5950
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.6000
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.5850
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.5900
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.5850
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.5850
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5950
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5900
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5900
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5850
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.5950
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.5850
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5750
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.5950
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5800
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.5750
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.5950
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.5850
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.6150
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5950
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.5950
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.5850
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.5850
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.6250
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.6300
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.6200
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.5900
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.5700
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.5850
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.5950
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.5850
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.5900
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.5850
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.5850
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.6000
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.6050
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.6000
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.4950
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.6400
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.7050
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.7500
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.5950
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.5700
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.6450
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5700
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.4300
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.4100
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.4050
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.3750
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.4000
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.4050
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.3750
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.4300
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.3700
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.4250
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.3900
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.4050
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.4150
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.4000
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.3200
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.4050
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.4250
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.4100
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.4050
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.4250
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.4050
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.4850
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.4900
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.3850
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.4150
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.2500
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.7500
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.7500
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.4950
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.4950
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.4950
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.4950
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.4950
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.4950
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.4950
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.4950
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.4950
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.4950
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.5050
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.5050
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.4950
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.5450
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.6750
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.6750
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.5100
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.4950
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.5350
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.5350
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.4950
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.4950
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.4950
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.4950
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.4600
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.5050
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.4950
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.4950
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.5050
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.4700
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.4650
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.4750
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.4450
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4700
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.4450
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.5050
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.4250
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.4950
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.4900
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.4750
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.5050
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.4600
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.4850
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.4750
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.4600
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.5050
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.3750
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.3700
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.4150
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.4000
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.4200
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.4250
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.4150
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.4250
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.4550
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.5050
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.4350
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.4600
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.5400
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.5350
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.5050
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.5500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.5050
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.5100
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.5850
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.6000
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.5800
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.6750
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5950
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.6250
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.6150
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.5050
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6200
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5150
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6100
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.5500
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.5650
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.6800
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5400
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6050
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.6100
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6400
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6750
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.6750
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.7750
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.7850
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.6150
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.6150
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.6050
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.6100
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6150
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8700, Price range: 0.8700 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4550
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.4550
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.4200
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.3700
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.3750
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3150
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.3700
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.3850
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.3600
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.2950
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.2750
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2650
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.4350
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.3800
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.3150
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.3650
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.3550
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.3250
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.3600
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.4050
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.3750
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.3450
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.1800
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.3200
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.3750
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.3450
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.3250
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.3150
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.3450
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.3750
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.3550
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.4500
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.4100
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.4200
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.2000
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.2000
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.1900
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.3950
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.1900
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.8050
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.8000
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.8000
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.8000
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.8100
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.8000
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.8000
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.8000
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.8000
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.8050
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.8000
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.8000
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.8100
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.8000
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.8000
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.7950
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.8100
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.8100
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.8100
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.8050
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.8000
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.6450
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.6750
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.6550
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.6100
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.6450
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.6550
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.6950
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.6100
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.6000
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.6250
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.6250
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.5800
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.6800
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.6250
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.6850
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.6500
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.5950
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.6950
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.6150
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.6150
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.6350
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.6600
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.6800
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.6250
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.3450
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.3750
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.3700
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.3550
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.3750
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.3850
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.3550
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.3400
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.3250
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.3450
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.3750
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.4000
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.3800
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.3700
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.3500
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.4800
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.3900
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.4650
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.3900
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.3900
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.4650
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.3700
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.3600
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.3100
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.3300
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.3950
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.4950
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.3800
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.3500
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.4200
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.4700
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.3600
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.4400
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.4200
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.4700
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.4400
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.4050
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.5050
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.5050
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.3450
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.4600
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.4550
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.4450
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.4250
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.2950
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.3300
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.5800
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.7250
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.6500
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.5850
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.7100
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.7050
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.6950
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.6850
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.5700
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.5450
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.6250
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.6500
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.6250
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.6050
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.5850
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.5500
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.5850
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.6050
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.6400
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.6600
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.6400
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.7150
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.6300
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.5050
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.5900
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.5800
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.5850
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.5900
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.5900
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.6350
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9450
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.6750
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.6200
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.6500
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.7000
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.7100
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.6950
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.6700
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.6550
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.6600
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9550
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.9450
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9550
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.9550
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9500
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.9250
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.9250
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9600
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.9550
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 101.00, Sell volume: 101.00, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0500
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0500
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0450
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0400
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0400
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0400
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0405
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0405
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0405
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0405
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0355
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0405
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0405
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0405
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0405
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0405
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0405
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0455
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0350
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0350
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0500
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0450
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0450
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0550
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0500
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0500
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0550
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0500
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0500
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0500
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.0550
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0500
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0550
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0500
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0405
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0405
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0455
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0410
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0405
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0405
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0455
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0410
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.0460
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9595
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.9595
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.9500
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9545
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9595
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9595
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.9550
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.9550
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.9595
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.9600
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.9650
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.9650
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.9650
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.9600
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.9700
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9595
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9595
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.9595
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9545
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9595
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9595
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.9595
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9595
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9595
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.9595
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9595
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9595
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.9595
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9595
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.9595
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9545
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9595
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.9595
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.9595
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9595
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.9595
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.9600
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9595
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.9595
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.9595
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.9595
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9595
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.9595
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9745
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.9630
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9635
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9635
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.9635
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9625
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6473, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0375
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0400
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0395
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0425
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.0415
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0415
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0415
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0415
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0415
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0415
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0415
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0415
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0415
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0415
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0415
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0440
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0440
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0440
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0440
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0440
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0420
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0420
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0415
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0370
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0370
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0395
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0395
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0395
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0380
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0380
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0375
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0355
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0390
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0370
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0355
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0360
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0640
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.1275
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0260
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0090
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0070
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0070
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0245
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0075
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 31397.48, Sell volume: 1763.30, Average price: 0.6346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.5100
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.6400
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.6300
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.3650
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.6300
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.6350
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.4050
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.6200
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.3750
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.6250
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.4100
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.5900
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.4100
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.6000
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.4050
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.5900
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.4300
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.5900
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.3950
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.5950
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.4150
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.5850
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4050
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5900
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.4150
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4050
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.6150
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.4100
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.5850
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.4150
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.6300
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.3800
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.5950
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.4150
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.5850
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.4150
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.6000
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.3950
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.5850
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.3450
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.6450
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.4300
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.7050
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.4300
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.6150
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.3950
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.5950
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.4150
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.5700
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.4300
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.5700
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.3700
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.6200
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.4100
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.5250
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.3250
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.5150
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.6550
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.7500
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.7500
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.7500
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.7500
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.2500
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.2500
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.4950
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.5050
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.4950
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.5050
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.5050
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.4950
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.5050
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.4950
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.4800
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.4950
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.5050
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.5100
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.4600
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.5200
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.5050
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.5100
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.5350
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.4750
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.5550
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.5050
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.5050
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.4950
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.4950
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.5050
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.5650
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.4100
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.6500
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.4150
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.5800
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.3800
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.6250
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.4300
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.5700
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.4150
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.5400
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.4950
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.5050
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.6050
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.4200
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.6150
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4100
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5950
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4400
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5250
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.4350
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6400
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3850
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.4000
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.3150
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.7750
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.4350
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.3950
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5750
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8700, Price range: 0.8700 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4550
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.7000
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5650
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.3850
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.5100
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4150
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.6200
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.3800
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.7350
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4250
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.6350
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.3550
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.7800
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.3700
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.6050
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.2300
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.6800
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.3250
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.6250
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.4500
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.5500
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.4350
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.2000
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.5900
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.1900
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.8050
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.2000
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.8000
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.1900
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.8000
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.1900
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.8000
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.2000
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.8000
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.2000
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.7950
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.2000
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.8000
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.2000
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.6200
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.4050
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.6250
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.3550
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.6950
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.3250
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.6250
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.3550
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.7300
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.4800
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.5800
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.4700
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.6100
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.3400
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.6750
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.3450
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.6150
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.3050
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.6150
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.2600
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.7100
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.2950
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.6150
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.3700
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.6600
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.4800
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.6100
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.3900
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.5350
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.3900
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.6550
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.3800
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.6500
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.3200
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.5650
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.5100
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.3850
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.5950
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.3750
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.5700
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.4150
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.5350
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.3800
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.5800
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.3750
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.6150
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.2700
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.6650
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.3550
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.3750
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.6200
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.3550
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.6050
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.3600
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.6350
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.4200
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.6450
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.3400
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.6050
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.3650
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.6500
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.3500
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.7000
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.3150
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.7050
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.3100
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.9500
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0450
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9500
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9550
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 101.00, Sell volume: 101.00, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0450
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9550
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0450
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9500
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0400
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9600
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0400
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9595
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0455
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9645
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0405
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9595
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0405
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9545
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0350
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9550
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0450
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9500
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0500
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9500
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0500
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.9500
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0500
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.9500
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0405
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.9590
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0455
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.9595
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0405
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 31528.48, Sell volume: 1874.30, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9595
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0405
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9595
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0455
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9500
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0350
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.9650
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0350
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9650
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0405
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.9595
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0405
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.9595
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0405
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9595
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0405
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.9595
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0405
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.9595
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0405
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9595
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0405
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9545
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0405
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9545
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0255
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9630
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0365
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9625
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6473, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525663
Question: Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 33402.777835
Price History:
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0375
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9600
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0415
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.9585
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0415
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9585
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0415
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.9585
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0415
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9560
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0440
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9560
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0420
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9585
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0370
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9605
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0395
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9620
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0375
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9610
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0355
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9605
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0525
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9910
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9860
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 31397.48, Sell volume: 1763.30, Average price: 0.6346, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525645
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 466458.131898
Price History:
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5100
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.1650
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.1650
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.1650
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.5150
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.5150
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.1400
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.1400
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.1400
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.1400
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.1400
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.1700
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.1500
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.1650
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.1750
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.1700
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.1650
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.1650
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.1650
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.1700
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.1750
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.1700
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.1700
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.1750
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.1650
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.1700
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.1600
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.1600
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.1600
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.1600
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.1600
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.1600
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.1600
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.1600
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.1600
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.1600
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.1600
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.1600
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.1600
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.1600
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.1600
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.1600
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.1600
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.1600
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 36.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2500, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.2500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525645
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 466458.131898
Price History:
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.8350
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.8350
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.8350
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.8350
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.8400
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.8400
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.8400
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.8400
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.8400
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.8450
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.8400
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.8400
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.8400
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.8400
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.8350
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.8350
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.8400
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.8400
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.8400
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.8350
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.8400
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.8400
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.8350
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.8400
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.8400
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.8400
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.8400
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.8400
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.8400
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.8400
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.8400
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.8400
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.8400
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.8400
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.8400
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.8350
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.8350
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.8350
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.8400
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.6850
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.6600
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.7150
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.5100
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.5700
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5400
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1480, Buy volume: 422965.02, Sell volume: 43493.11, Average price: 0.4671, Price range: 0.0023 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525645
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 466458.131898
Price History:
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.4900
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.5250
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.4800
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.4250
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.4500
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.4750
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.4150
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.4750
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.4050
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.4650
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.4800
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.4700
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.4850
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.4850
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.4000
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.4650
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.4850
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.4650
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.4300
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.4300
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.5350
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.5100
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.4250
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.5350
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.2750
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.2750
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.2800
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.2800
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.2750
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.2800
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.2750
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.2750
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.2800
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.2750
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.2800
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.2800
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.2800
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.2800
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.2750
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.2750
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.2750
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.2800
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.2750
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.2750
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.2750
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1480, Buy volume: 422965.02, Sell volume: 43493.11, Average price: 0.4671, Price range: 0.0023 - 0.9990

Output: No