Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561662
Question: Will Wales win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7203.406342
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9150
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9150
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9150
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9150
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.9150
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9150
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.9150
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.9150
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9150
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9150
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.9150
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.9150
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.9150
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.9050
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.9050
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9050
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.9050
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9050
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.9050
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.9050
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.7900
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.7950
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.8200
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.8300
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.8350
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.8350
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.8350
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.8400
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.8400
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 220.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1500, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.1500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561662
Question: Will Wales win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7203.406342
Price History:
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.1600
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.1650
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.1650
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.1650
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.1650
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.1650
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.1600
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.1600
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.1550
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.1750
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.1750
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.1750
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.1400
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.1400
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.1400
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.8600
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.1400
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.1400
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.8600
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2900, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.2900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561662
Question: Will Wales win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7203.406342
Price History:
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.8550
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.8600
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.1400
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.8600
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.1400
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.1400
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.1400
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.8550
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.8350
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.8400
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.8300
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.8500
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.8500
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.8500
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.1350
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.1400
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7043.07, Sell volume: 160.34, Average price: 0.8368, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561662
Question: Will Wales win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7203.406342
Price History:
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.1350
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.8600
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.8600
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.8600
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.1400
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.1400
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.8600
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.8600
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.1400
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.8600
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.8600
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.1400
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.1400
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7043.07, Sell volume: 160.34, Average price: 0.8368, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561662
Question: Will Wales win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7203.406342
Price History:
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.8800
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.8800
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.8600
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.8600
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.8500
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.8500
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.8500
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.8500
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.8500
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.1500
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.7300
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.2350
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.4750
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8100
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.8100
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.1900
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.8100
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.2100
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.7900
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.7900
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.7900
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.1850
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561662
Question: Will Wales win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7203.406342
Price History:
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.8700
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.1200
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.1200
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.8800
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.8800
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.8800
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.8800
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.1200
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.8800
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.1200
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.1200
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.1200
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.8800
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.1200
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.1200
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.1200
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.1200
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.1200
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.8800
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.8800
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.8800
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.8800
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.1200
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.8800
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.1200
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.8800
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.17, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561662
Question: Will Wales win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7203.406342
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.8800
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.8800
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.8800
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.8800
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.1200
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.8800
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.8800
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.8800
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.8800
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.8800
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.8800
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.1200
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.8800
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.1200
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.1200
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.8650
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.1350
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.8650
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.1350
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.1350
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.1350
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.8650
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.1350
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.8650
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.8650
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7043.07, Sell volume: 160.34, Average price: 0.8368, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561662
Question: Will Wales win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7203.406342
Price History:
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.1200
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.1200
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.1200
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8850
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8850
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1200
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.8800
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1200
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1200
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.1200
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.8800
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.1200
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.1200
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.1200
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.1200
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.8800
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.8800
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.1200
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.8800
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.1200
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.1200
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.1200
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.1200
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.8800
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.1200
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.1200
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.1200
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.8800
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.1200
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7043.07, Sell volume: 160.34, Average price: 0.8368, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561662
Question: Will Wales win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7203.406342
Price History:
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.1300
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.1350
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.1350
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8650
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1350
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.8650
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.1350
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.1150
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.8550
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.8550
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.1450
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.2800
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 150.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561662
Question: Will Wales win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7203.406342
Price History:
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9685
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0305
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9675
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9685
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9710
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0320
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9675
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9675
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9670
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9670
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9675
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9670
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9705
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9695
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9685
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9685
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9695
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9695
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9695
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9690
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9695
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9690
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9695
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9695
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9695
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9785
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9790
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9790
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9790
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7043.07, Sell volume: 160.34, Average price: 0.8368, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561662
Question: Will Wales win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7203.406342
Price History:
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0215
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0215
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0215
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0215
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0220
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0220
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0220
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0205
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0205
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0205
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0205
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0205
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0205
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0205
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0205
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0205
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0205
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0205
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0205
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7043.07, Sell volume: 160.34, Average price: 0.8368, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561662
Question: Will Wales win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7203.406342
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9795
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9795
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9795
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9795
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9795
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9795
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9790
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9785
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9785
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9785
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9780
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9785
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9890
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9785
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9785
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9780
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9780
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9780
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9790
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9470
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9790
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9390
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9870
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9865
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9865
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 6041.56, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.9036, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.7650
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.2300
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.7700
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.2300
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.7700
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.2300
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.7900
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.2050
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.7950
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.2050
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.7950
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.2050
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.7950
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.2050
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.7950
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.1750
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.8300
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.8450
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.1550
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9200
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0750
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9450
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0450
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9645
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0250
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9745
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0255
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9745
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0245
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9755
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0245
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9755
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0245
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9755
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0235
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9765
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0235
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9765
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0235
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9745
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0755
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9245
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0755
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 199.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.8155
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.1845
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.7750
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.2040
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.8070
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.1660
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.8340
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.1660
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.8340
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.1660
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.8340
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.1660
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.8340
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.1660
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.8365
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.1630
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.8370
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1590
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.8415
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.1585
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.8415
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.1490
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.8515
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.1420
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.8575
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.1425
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.8580
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.1415
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.8585
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.1415
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.8570
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.1415
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.8590
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.1390
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.8630
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.1380
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.8620
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.1380
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.8620
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.1380
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.8605
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.1330
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.8675
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.1295
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.8905
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.1095
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.8905
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.1095
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.8705
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.1320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 12190.88, Sell volume: 896.00, Average price: 0.8775, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.1275
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.9835
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.1250
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.8750
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.1275
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.9080
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0860
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.9140
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0860
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.9140
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0860
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.9830
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0170
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.9830
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0850
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.9835
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0165
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.9835
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0165
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9145
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0570
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.9830
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0170
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.9830
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0855
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.9270
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.0170
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.9825
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0175
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.9825
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0175
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.9825
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0175
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.9825
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0175
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.9825
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0175
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.9140
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0860
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.9140
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0860
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.9140
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.9140
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.9140
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0865
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.9125
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.0855
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9145
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9145
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.9145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 12190.88, Sell volume: 896.00, Average price: 0.8775, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9145
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.0210
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0210
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9790
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0260
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0260
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.9145
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0855
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9145
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0855
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.9145
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0855
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0855
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.9145
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9145
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9145
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0855
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.0855
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9145
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9140
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9140
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9140
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0860
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.0860
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0860
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0860
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9140
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.0860
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0860
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.9140
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0860
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.9140
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.0860
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9140
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9140
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0880
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9060
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.1045
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9110
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0890
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.0090
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.0835
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.0835
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.8800
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0955
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9355
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.0985
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.9530
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0145
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.0655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 12190.88, Sell volume: 896.00, Average price: 0.8775, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.1055
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9070
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0215
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.9125
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0415
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.1065
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.1050
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0940
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.0900
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0895
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.0870
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9140
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.0895
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9165
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.0880
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9120
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0880
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9125
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0880
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9120
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9120
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9120
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.9120
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.0880
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.9120
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.0880
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0810
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0810
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.0820
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9180
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.0820
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9180
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.0820
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.9180
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.9180
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0820
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9180
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.0820
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9180
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9180
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.0820
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9180
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9180
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0820
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.9180
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0820
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0820
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9180
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0820
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 12190.88, Sell volume: 896.00, Average price: 0.8775, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9180
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0820
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0820
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0820
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0820
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0635
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9365
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9365
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9180
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9180
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9180
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0820
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9180
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0820
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9180
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0820
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9180
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9180
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0820
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0820
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0820
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0820
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0820
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0820
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9180
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9215
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9460
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0370
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0230
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0150
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9930
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0070
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9930
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0070
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0070
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0070
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0070
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9930
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9930
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 430.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9945
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 430.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0050, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0050

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0055
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0060
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9940
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0060
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9940
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0060
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9940
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9940
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0060
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0060
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0060
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9940
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9955
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0045
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.9955
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0045
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0045
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9955
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0045
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9955
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9955
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 12190.88, Sell volume: 896.00, Average price: 0.8775, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 435.27, Sell volume: 435.27, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 94.73, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 12190.88, Sell volume: 896.00, Average price: 0.8775, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 12190.88, Sell volume: 896.00, Average price: 0.8775, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 10696.34, Sell volume: 366.00, Average price: 0.8990, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.2350
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.2350
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.2300
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.2100
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.2050
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.2000
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.2050
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.2050
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.1750
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.1700
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0800
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0550
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0400
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0255
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0255
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0245
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0245
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0245
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0235
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0235
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0235
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0235
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0755
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0755
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0755
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.2165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 199.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.8155
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.7720
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.8045
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.8340
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.8340
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.8340
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.8340
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.8340
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.8365
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.8370
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.8415
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.8415
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.8515
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.8580
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.8585
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.8590
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.8580
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.8580
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.8590
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.8630
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.8620
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.8620
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.8620
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.8670
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.8685
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.8905
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.8905
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.8705
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.8680
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.8685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 12190.88, Sell volume: 896.00, Average price: 0.8775, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.1275
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.1285
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.1250
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0865
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0860
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0860
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0170
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0170
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.0850
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0165
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0165
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.0855
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0170
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.0170
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.0730
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.0175
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0175
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0175
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0175
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.0175
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0175
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0860
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0860
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.0860
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.9140
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0865
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.0855
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9145
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.0855
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.0855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 12190.88, Sell volume: 896.00, Average price: 0.8775, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9145
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9790
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0260
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0260
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.9145
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9145
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9145
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0855
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0855
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0855
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9145
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0860
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9140
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.9140
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.9140
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9140
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0860
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.0860
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.0860
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9140
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9080
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.9610
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9110
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.9165
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9165
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0960
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0930
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0145
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.9525
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.0910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 12190.88, Sell volume: 896.00, Average price: 0.8775, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.1055
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0215
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0415
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9060
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9105
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0845
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.0905
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0880
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0880
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0880
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0880
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.9120
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9120
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9120
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.0810
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9180
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0820
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.0820
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9180
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.9180
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.0820
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0820
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0820
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0820
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9180
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0820
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0820
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0820
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 12190.88, Sell volume: 896.00, Average price: 0.8775, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9180
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0820
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0820
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9365
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0635
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0820
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9180
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9180
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9180
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9180
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0820
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0820
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9180
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9180
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0820
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9560
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9785
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9930
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0070
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0070
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9930
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 430.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9945
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9945
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 430.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0050, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0050
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0055
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9940
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9940
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9940
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9940
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0045
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9955
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9955
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 12190.88, Sell volume: 896.00, Average price: 0.8775, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 435.27, Sell volume: 435.27, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 94.73, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 12190.88, Sell volume: 896.00, Average price: 0.8775, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 12190.88, Sell volume: 896.00, Average price: 0.8775, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561664
Question: Will Kazakhstan win UEFA Group J for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 13086.8751
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 10696.34, Sell volume: 366.00, Average price: 0.8990, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.8200
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.1800
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.8350
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.1650
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.8750
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.1250
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1250
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1350
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.7900
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.2100
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.8050
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1950
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.8050
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.8050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1950
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.8000
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8500
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1500
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8500
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1500
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8500
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1500
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.8600
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1400
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.8450
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1550
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.8450
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.1550
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.8100
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1900
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.8050
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1650
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.8400
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8550
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1450
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8600
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.1400
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1200
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.1200
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.1300
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.1300
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8450
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.1700
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8200
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.1800
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8500
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.1500
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.1350
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.1500
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.8650
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.1350
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.8450
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.1550
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.1950
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.1750
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.8200
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.1800
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.8300
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.1700
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.1650
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.8300
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.1700
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.8350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.8100
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.1900
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.1800
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.8200
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.1800
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.8200
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.1800
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.1950
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.8000
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.2000
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.8200
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.1800
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.8100
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.1900
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.1950
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.1950
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.8000
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.2000
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.8000
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.2000
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.7850
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.2150
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.2150
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.2150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.2150
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7200
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.2800
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.2750
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.2500
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.2500
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7650
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.2350
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7650
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2350
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.7650
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.2350
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.2300
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.2300
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.2300
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.2300
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.2300
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.7700
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2300
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.7700
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.2300
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.7750
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.2250
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.1800
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8250
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.1750
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.1700
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.1850
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.8050
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.1950
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8050
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.1950
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1750
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3100
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7100
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.2900
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7100
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6700
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6600
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3400
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6400
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.3850
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.5750
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.4250
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4300
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.5950
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.4050
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.6350
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.3650
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.3950
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.6250
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.6250
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.3750
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.6300
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.6300
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.3700
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.6300
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.3700
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.6250
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.5650
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.5700
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.3900
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.6100
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.3800
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.6200
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.3850
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.4350
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.5650
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.4400
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.5600
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.3650
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.6350
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.3650
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.3950
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.5550
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.4450
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.6150
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.3850
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.3750
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.6250
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.3650
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.4400
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.5600
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.4600
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.5400
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.3650
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.6350
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.2950
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.7050
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.6750
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.6100
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.3900
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.6550
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.7650
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.2350
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.7850
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.2150
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.6150
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.3850
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.6800
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.3200
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.6850
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.3150
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999999, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669138.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.8200
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.8350
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.8750
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8650
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.7900
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.8050
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.8050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.8050
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.8000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8500
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8500
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8500
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.8600
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.8450
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.8450
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.8100
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.8050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.8350
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.8350
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.8400
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.8550
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8600
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.8800
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8600
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8450
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8200
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8500
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.8500
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.8650
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.8800
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.8600
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.8550
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.8450
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.8450
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.8200
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.8300
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.8300
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.8350
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.8100
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.8200
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.8200
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.8000
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.8200
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.8100
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.8050
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.8000
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.8000
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.7550
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.7100
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7200
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7650
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7650
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.7650
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.7750
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.7700
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.7700
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.7750
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.8200
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8250
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.8050
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8050
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.7950
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.7850
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7100
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6700
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6600
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6400
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6500
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.5750
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.5950
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.6350
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.6250
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.6250
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.6300
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.6300
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.6300
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.6350
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.6350
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.4300
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.3900
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.3950
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.3450
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.3800
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.3850
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.4350
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.4400
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.6350
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.5550
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.5650
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.5750
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.7050
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669143.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666437
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Volume: 5678577.132887
Price History:
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.6150
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.3750
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.3650
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.4400
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.4600
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.3650
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.2950
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.6100
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.6550
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.7650
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.7850
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.6150
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.6800
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.6850
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.7150
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.8300
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.8000
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999999, Buy volume: 1084362678.22, Sell volume: 503669138.96, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545724
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2337133.206746
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4750
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.2350
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.7650
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.3000
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.7000
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.3000
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.7000
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.2900
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.7100
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.2950
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.7050
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.2900
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.7100
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.3100
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.6900
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.3100
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.6900
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.3150
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.6850
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.3050
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.6950
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.3050
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.6950
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.2750
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.7250
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.2800
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.7200
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.2750
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.7250
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.2750
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.7250
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.2650
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.7350
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.2450
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.7450
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.2450
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.7550
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.2450
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.7550
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.7500
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.2650
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 252063446.09, Sell volume: 148729212.01, Average price: 0.4735, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545724
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2337133.206746
Price History:
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.2750
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.7250
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.2750
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.7250
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.2750
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.7250
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.2850
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.7150
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.2800
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.7200
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.2800
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.7200
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.2750
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.7250
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.2750
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.7250
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.2750
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.7250
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.2750
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.7250
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.2750
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.7250
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.2750
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.7250
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.2700
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.7300
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.2700
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.7300
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.2650
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.7350
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.2650
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.7350
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.2650
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.7350
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.2650
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.7350
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.2650
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.7350
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.2650
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.7350
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.2650
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.7350
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.2650
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.7350
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.2650
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.7350
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.2650
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.7350
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.2650
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 252063446.09, Sell volume: 148729212.01, Average price: 0.4735, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545724
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2337133.206746
Price History:
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.2650
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.7350
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.2650
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.7350
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.2700
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.7300
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.2700
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.7300
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.2700
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.7300
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.2700
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.7300
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.2700
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.7300
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.2700
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.7300
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.2700
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.7300
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.2700
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.7300
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.2700
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.7300
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.2600
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.7400
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.2550
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.7450
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.2550
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.7450
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.2550
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.7450
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.2550
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.7450
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.7450
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.7450
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.2550
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.7450
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.7550
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.7550
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.7550
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.7550
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 252063446.09, Sell volume: 148729212.01, Average price: 0.4735, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545724
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2337133.206746
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.7550
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.7550
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.2400
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.7600
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.7500
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.2550
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.7450
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.2600
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.7400
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.2600
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.7400
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.2600
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 252063446.09, Sell volume: 148729212.01, Average price: 0.4735, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545724
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2337133.206746
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.2600
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.7400
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.2600
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.7400
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.2650
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.7350
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.2650
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.7350
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.2650
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.7350
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.2650
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.7350
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 252063446.09, Sell volume: 148729212.01, Average price: 0.4735, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545724
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2337133.206746
Price History:
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.7150
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.2850
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.7150
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.2950
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.7050
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.2950
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.7050
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.2900
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.7100
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.2900
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.7100
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.7150
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.2850
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.7150
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.2850
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.7150
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.2850
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.7150
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.2850
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.7150
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.2850
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.7150
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.2750
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.7250
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.2750
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.7250
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.2750
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.7250
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.2750
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.7250
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.2750
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.7250
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.2700
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.7300
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.2800
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.7200
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.2700
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.7300
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.2700
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.7300
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.2750
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 252063446.09, Sell volume: 148729212.01, Average price: 0.4735, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545724
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2337133.206746
Price History:
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.2750
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.2750
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.2700
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.7300
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.2850
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.7150
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.2800
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.7200
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.2750
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.2650
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.7350
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.2650
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.7350
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.2700
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.7300
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.2950
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.7050
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.2950
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.7050
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.3050
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.6950
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.3100
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.6900
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.3250
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.6750
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.3250
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.6750
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.3250
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.6750
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.3200
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.6800
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.3300
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.6700
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.3350
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.6650
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.3350
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.6650
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.3350
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.6650
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.3300
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.6700
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.3350
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.6650
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.3350
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.6650
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.3350
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 252063446.09, Sell volume: 148729212.01, Average price: 0.4735, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545724
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2337133.206746
Price History:
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.3350
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.6650
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.3350
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.6650
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.3450
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.6550
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.3350
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.6650
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.3350
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.6650
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.3450
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.6550
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.3350
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.6650
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.3350
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.6650
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.3450
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.6550
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.3450
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.6550
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.3400
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.6600
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.3550
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.6450
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.3500
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.6500
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.3450
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.6550
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.3600
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.6400
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.3550
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.6450
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.3450
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.6550
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.3450
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.6550
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.3450
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.6550
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.3650
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.6350
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.3600
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.6400
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.3550
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.6450
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.3550
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.6450
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.3550
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.6450
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.3550
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 252063446.09, Sell volume: 148729212.01, Average price: 0.4735, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes