Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 3578.25, Sell volume: 929.12, Average price: 0.8529, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.8350
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8350
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.8300
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.2050
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.7950
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.7950
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.2050
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.7950
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.2050
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 57.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2500, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.2500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.8000
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.2000
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.7950
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.2050
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8100
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1900
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.1850
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.8150
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1850
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.8150
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.2050
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.7950
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.2000
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.8000
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.7950
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.2050
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.2050
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.7950
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.7950
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.2050
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.1950
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.8050
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.1950
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.8050
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.1950
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.8050
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.8100
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.1900
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.2050
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.7950
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.8000
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 116.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8250, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.2000
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.8000
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.1950
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.8050
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.2000
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.8000
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.7700
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.7700
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.2350
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.7650
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.7650
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.2350
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 200.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6540, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.7600
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.2400
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.2400
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.7600
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.7600
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.2400
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.7600
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.2400
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.2550
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.7450
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7450
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.2550
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.2550
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2550
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.7450
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.7450
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.2550
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.7450
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.2550
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.7450
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 38.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7600, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.2550
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7450
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.2450
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.7550
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.7550
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.2450
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.2450
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.7550
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.7400
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.2600
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.2600
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.7400
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.3850
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.6150
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.3700
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.6300
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.6700
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.3300
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.6150
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.3850
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.3350
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.6650
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.6500
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.3500
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.6500
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.3500
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.6500
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 207.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4587, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.6500
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.3500
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.6500
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.3500
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.6500
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.3500
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.6750
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.6650
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.3350
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.6500
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.3500
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.6500
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.3500
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.6500
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.3500
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.5750
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.4250
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.5450
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.4550
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.5150
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.4850
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.5250
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.4750
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.5200
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.4800
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.5200
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.4800
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.5450
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.4550
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.4400
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.5600
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.5750
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.4250
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.5600
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.4400
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.5600
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 2100.79, Sell volume: 239.26, Average price: 0.5256, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.5550
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.4450
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.4450
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.5550
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.5650
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.4350
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.5550
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.4450
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.5500
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.4500
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.5550
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.4450
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.4650
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.5350
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.4550
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.4550
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.4550
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.4550
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.4550
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.4500
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.5500
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.5500
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.4550
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.5500
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.4600
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.5400
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.5250
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.4750
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.4950
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.4750
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 4752.37, Sell volume: 407.13, Average price: 0.5097, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.4950
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.5050
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.5100
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.4900
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.4500
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.5500
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.5550
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.2750
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.3750
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.6250
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.4250
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.5750
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.4000
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.3950
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.6050
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.6000
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.4000
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.3850
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.6150
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.3350
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.6650
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.6800
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.2550
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 5161.39, Sell volume: 1475.43, Average price: 0.4988, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.2550
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.7450
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.2400
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.7600
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.2950
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.2800
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.7200
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.2600
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.7400
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.2050
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.7950
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.7700
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.2300
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.7750
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.2250
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.2400
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.2350
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.7650
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.7850
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.2150
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.7850
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.2150
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.8350
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.8100
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.1900
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.8150
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 190, Buy volume: 8832.98, Sell volume: 1579.41, Average price: 0.4574, Price range: 0.1662 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.8500
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.1500
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.1400
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.8600
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.8900
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.8450
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1550
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.1550
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.8450
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.1550
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.8450
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.8450
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.1550
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.1600
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.8400
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.1550
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.8450
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.8550
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.1450
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.8800
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1200
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.8900
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9050
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0950
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0650
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9350
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 9849.77, Sell volume: 879.60, Average price: 0.4263, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9400
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0600
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9450
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0550
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0550
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9450
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0550
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9450
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9350
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9400
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0600
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0600
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9400
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9500
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0500
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9720
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0280
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9710
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0290
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9730
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0270
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9725
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0275
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9785
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0215
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9805
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 15182.21, Sell volume: 3326.44, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9795
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0205
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0160
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9840
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9830
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0165
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9835
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9765
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0235
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0275
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0270
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9730
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0265
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9735
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0265
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9735
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0240
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9760
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0235
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9765
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0205
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9795
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9780
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0220
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0195
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9805
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0220
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9780
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9775
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0225
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0180
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9820
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0105
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9895
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 20382.16, Sell volume: 2178.36, Average price: 0.6238, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9956

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9945
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0070
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0065
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 15242.62, Sell volume: 5427.21, Average price: 0.7853, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9850
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9880
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9890
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 164.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 316, Buy volume: 14136.02, Sell volume: 9083.17, Average price: 0.8663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 164.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 1263.40, Sell volume: 228.77, Average price: 0.8425, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 889.38, Sell volume: 141.68, Average price: 0.7852, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 178.06, Sell volume: 303.16, Average price: 0.5998, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 111.78, Sell volume: 294.40, Average price: 0.7992, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 3504.46, Sell volume: 305.91, Average price: 0.9725, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9575
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9565
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9540
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9765
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9795
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9790
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9765
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9775
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9775
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9795
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9785
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9785
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9775
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9785
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9775
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9775
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9795
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9795
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9780
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9760
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9795
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9765
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9780
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9830
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9825
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9830
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9830
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9830
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 111.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9911, Price range: 0.9841 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9835
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9835
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9835
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9920
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9920
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 806.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8880, Price range: 0.0131 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9830
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 3394.37, Sell volume: 6538.13, Average price: 0.8815, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641862
Question: Will James Wynn win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 23219.191108
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 3578.25, Sell volume: 929.12, Average price: 0.8529, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.8350
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8350
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 57.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2500, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.2500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.8000
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.2000
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.7950
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.2050
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8100
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1900
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.1850
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.8150
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1850
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.8150
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.2050
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.7950
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.2000
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.8000
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.7950
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.2050
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.2050
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.7950
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.7950
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.2050
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.1950
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 116.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8250, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.2000
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.8000
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.1950
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.8050
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.2000
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.8000
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.7700
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.7700
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.2350
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.7650
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 200.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6540, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.7600
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.2400
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.2400
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.7600
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.7600
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.2400
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.7600
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.2400
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.2550
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.7450
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7450
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.2550
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 38.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7600, Price range: 0.7600 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.2550
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7450
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.2450
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.7550
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.7550
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.2450
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.2450
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.7550
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.7400
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.2600
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.2600
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.7400
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.3850
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.6150
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.3700
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.6300
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.6700
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 207.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4587, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.6500
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.3500
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.6500
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.3500
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.6500
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.3500
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.6750
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.6650
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.3350
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.6500
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.3500
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.6500
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.3500
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.6500
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.3500
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.6200
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.3800
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.5750
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.4250
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.5450
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.4550
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.5150
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.4850
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.5250
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.4750
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.5200
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.4800
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.5200
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 2100.79, Sell volume: 239.26, Average price: 0.5256, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.5550
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.4450
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.4450
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.5550
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.5650
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.4350
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.5550
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.4450
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.5500
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.4500
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.5550
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.4450
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.4650
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.5350
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.4550
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.4550
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.4550
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.4550
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.4550
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.4500
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.5500
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.5500
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 4752.37, Sell volume: 407.13, Average price: 0.5097, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.4950
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.5050
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.5100
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.4900
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.4500
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.5500
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.5550
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.2750
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.3750
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.6250
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.4250
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.5750
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.4000
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.3950
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.6050
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.6000
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.4000
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.3850
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 5161.39, Sell volume: 1475.43, Average price: 0.4988, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.2550
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.7450
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.2400
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.7600
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.2950
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.2800
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.7200
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.2600
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.7400
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.2050
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.7950
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.7700
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.2300
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.7750
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.2250
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.2400
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.2350
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.7650
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.7850
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 190, Buy volume: 8832.98, Sell volume: 1579.41, Average price: 0.4574, Price range: 0.1662 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.8500
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.1500
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.1400
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.8600
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.8900
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.8450
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1550
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.1550
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.8450
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.1550
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.8450
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.8450
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.1550
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.1600
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.8400
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.1550
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.8450
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.8200
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.1800
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.8550
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.1450
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.8800
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 9849.77, Sell volume: 879.60, Average price: 0.4263, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9400
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0600
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9450
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0550
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0550
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9450
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0550
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9450
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9350
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9400
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0600
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0600
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9400
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9500
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0500
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9720
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 15182.21, Sell volume: 3326.44, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9795
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0205
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0160
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9840
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9830
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0165
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9835
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9765
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0235
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0275
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0270
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9730
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0265
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9735
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0265
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9735
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0240
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9760
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0235
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9765
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0205
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9795
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9780
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0220
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0195
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9805
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0220
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 20382.16, Sell volume: 2178.36, Average price: 0.6238, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9956
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581788
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 100236.133334
Price History:
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9945
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0070
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0065
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 15242.62, Sell volume: 5427.21, Average price: 0.7853, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 438.13, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9650
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9655
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9655
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9655
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9660
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9685
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9800
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9815
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9790
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9790
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9840
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9850
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9870
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9880
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9860
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9860
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9860
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9860
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9870
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9785
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9800
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9815
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9710
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9690
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9695
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9690
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9680
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.8850
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.8850
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.8845
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.8820
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.8810
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.8670
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.8625
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.8625
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.8640
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.8645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 3099.89, Sell volume: 879.08, Average price: 0.7361, Price range: 0.0101 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.8945
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9055
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9080
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9075
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.8995
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.8990
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8980
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.8975
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.8970
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.8945
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.8615
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.8555
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.8610
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.8600
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.8575
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.8605
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.8635
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.8685
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.8680
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.8750
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.8710
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.8710
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.8730
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.8755
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.8710
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.8755
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.8695
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.8665
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.8635
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.8785
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.8930
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.8930
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.8925
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.8935
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.8985
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9320
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9320
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9320
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9310
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9315
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9320
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9310
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9320
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 3821.21, Sell volume: 548.53, Average price: 0.7407, Price range: 0.0790 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9325
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9330
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9330
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9330
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9330
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9330
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9330
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9305
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9305
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9305
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9305
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9345
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9890
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9870
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9870
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9870
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9910
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9910
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9910
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9910
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9910
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9910
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9910
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1006.52, Sell volume: 2480.18, Average price: 0.5982, Price range: 0.0038 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9870
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9865
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9860
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9850
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9860
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9860
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9850
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9890
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9890
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9860
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9860
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9870
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9870
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9855
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9855
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9855
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9855
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9860
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9855
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9855
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9855
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9855
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9885
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9865
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0080, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.0080

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9860
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9860
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9875
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9855
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9855
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9860
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9865
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9850
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9855
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9855
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9850
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9855
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9860
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9860
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9845
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9855
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9855
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9855
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9855
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9855
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9855
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9855
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9860
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9830
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9825
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9825
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9825
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9825
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 16.86, Sell volume: 164.82, Average price: 0.6017, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9410
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9485
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9475
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9465
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9465
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9455
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9455
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9455
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4845
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.7875
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.7985
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8865
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8780
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8835
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8825
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8805
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8835
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8855
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.8855
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8875
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.8890
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8890
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8890
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.8890
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.8890
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.8890
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.8895
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.8890
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.8890
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.8890
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.8990
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8890
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.8905
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9140
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9210
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9260
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9330
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9315
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9355
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9365
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9380
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9410
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9275
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9415
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9590
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.7985
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.7980
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.7980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1078.04, Sell volume: 108.62, Average price: 0.4969, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7520
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7530
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7545
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7555
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7615
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7655
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7680
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7705
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7725
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7735
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7775
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.7840
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.6580
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6240
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.6385
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.6625
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.8300
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.8285
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.8400
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.8530
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.8600
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.8740
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.8600
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.8775
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.8705
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.8515
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.8610
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8605
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.8420
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.8420
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8435
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8435
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.8435
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8435
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.8435
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8435
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.8780
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.8230
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8325
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8325
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8025
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8085
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.7995
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8000
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8105
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 12002.70, Sell volume: 8319.95, Average price: 0.6290, Price range: 0.0019 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9505
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9540
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9590
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9595
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9645
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9660
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9690
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 1785.50, Sell volume: 7343.34, Average price: 0.6856, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125, Buy volume: 2252.99, Sell volume: 239.00, Average price: 0.9669, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.50, Sell volume: 1.50, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2557.74, Sell volume: 4426.42, Average price: 0.9138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 5396.25, Sell volume: 655.00, Average price: 0.9366, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 438.13, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.5062, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9655
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0345
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9660
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0315
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9815
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0210
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0215
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9840
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9880
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0140
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9860
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0140
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9785
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0200
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0225
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0290
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9695
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0310
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.8850
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.1150
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.8820
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.1190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 3099.89, Sell volume: 879.08, Average price: 0.7361, Price range: 0.0101 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.8945
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0945
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9075
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1005
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8980
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1025
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.8945
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1385
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.8610
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.1400
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.8605
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.1365
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.8680
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.1250
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.8710
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.1270
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.8710
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.1245
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.8665
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.1365
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.8930
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.1070
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.8935
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9320
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 3821.21, Sell volume: 548.53, Average price: 0.7407, Price range: 0.0790 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9325
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0670
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9330
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0670
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9330
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0695
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9305
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9345
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0110
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9870
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0130
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0130
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1006.52, Sell volume: 2480.18, Average price: 0.5982, Price range: 0.0038 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9870
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0135
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9850
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0125
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9860
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0140
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0150
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0140
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9890
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0140
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0140
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0140
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0140
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9860
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0140
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9870
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0135
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9855
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0145
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9860
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0080, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.0080
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9860
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0140
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9855
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0145
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9865
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0155
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0155
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0155
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9850
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0145
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9850
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0145
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9860
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0155
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9855
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0145
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9855
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0145
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9860
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 16.86, Sell volume: 164.82, Average price: 0.6017, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9410
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0515
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9465
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0535
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9455
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0545
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.7875
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.2015
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8780
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1165
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8805
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1165
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.8855
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.1125
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8890
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.1110
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.8890
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.1110
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.8890
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.1110
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.8990
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1110
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9140
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0790
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9330
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9355
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0635
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1078.04, Sell volume: 108.62, Average price: 0.4969, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7520
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.2470
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7555
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2385
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7680
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2295
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7735
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2225
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.6580
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.3760
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3615
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.8300
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.1715
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.8530
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1400
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.1400
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.8705
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1485
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8605
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1580
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8435
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1565
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8435
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1565
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.8780
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8325
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 12002.70, Sell volume: 8319.95, Average price: 0.6290, Price range: 0.0019 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9505
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0460
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9595
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0355
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9690
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 1785.50, Sell volume: 7343.34, Average price: 0.6856, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125, Buy volume: 2252.99, Sell volume: 239.00, Average price: 0.9669, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.50, Sell volume: 1.50, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2557.74, Sell volume: 4426.42, Average price: 0.9138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641805
Question: Will Donalt win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 59718.407041
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 5396.25, Sell volume: 655.00, Average price: 0.9366, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9700
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9700
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9700
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9700
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0295
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 220.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.1983, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0295
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0295
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0295
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0295
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0295
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0295
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0285
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0260
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0255
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0180
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0180
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0180
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0180
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0165
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0165
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0175
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0165
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0165
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0165
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0165
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0165
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0165
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0165
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0165
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0165
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0165
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0165
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0165
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0165
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 760.25, Sell volume: 140.00, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0155
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0155
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0155
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0165
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0165
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0165
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0165
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0145
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0120
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0110
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0110
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0110
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0110
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0150
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 492.19, Sell volume: 308.72, Average price: 0.8483, Price range: 0.0101 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0110
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0110
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0110
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0110
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0110
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0110
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0110
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0195
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0195
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0195
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0195
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0195
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0250
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0250
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0250
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0250
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0250
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0245
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0250
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 458.73, Sell volume: 1.02, Average price: 0.3411, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0245
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0245
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 409, Buy volume: 100386.09, Sell volume: 54109.13, Average price: 0.8657, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0175
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 19.66, Sell volume: 19.65, Average price: 0.9914, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0095
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0100
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 235.31, Sell volume: 87.56, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0215
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0220
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0215
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0215
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0215
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0215
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0190
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 2202.82, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.9473, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes