Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.8900
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.8900
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.8900
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.8900
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.8900
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.8900
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.8900
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.8900
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.8900
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.8900
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.8900
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.8900
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.1100
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.8900
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.1100
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.8900
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1100
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.8900
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.1200
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.8800
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1250
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.8750
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1250
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.8750
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1250
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.8750
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1250
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.8750
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1250
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1267.42, Sell volume: 2.37, Average price: 0.6229, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.8800
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1150
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.8850
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.1200
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.8800
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.1200
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.8800
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.1250
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.1250
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.1250
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.1250
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.1250
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1250
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.1300
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.8700
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.1300
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.8700
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.1300
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.8700
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.1300
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8700
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1300
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.8700
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.1300
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.8700
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.1300
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.8700
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.1300
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.8700
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1250
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1250
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.1250
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.1250
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.1250
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 706.82, Sell volume: 8.33, Average price: 0.7177, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8989

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.1050
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.8950
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.8850
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.8850
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.8850
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.1150
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.8850
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.8850
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1050
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.8950
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 116.12, Sell volume: 21.96, Average price: 0.7818, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9027

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0850
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9150
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0850
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9150
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0850
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9150
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0850
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9150
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1686.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3319, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0950
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9050
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0950
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9050
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.1150
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.8850
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.1150
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.8850
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.1150
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.8850
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1050
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.8950
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.8950
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.8950
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9000
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9000
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9000
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9000
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9000
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9000
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9000
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9000
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9000
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9000
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9000
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9050
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9050
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9050
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9050
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1600.83, Sell volume: 51.21, Average price: 0.6714, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.1100
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.8900
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.1100
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.8900
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.1100
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.8900
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.1150
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.1050
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0650
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0700
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0800
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9200
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 3741.42, Sell volume: 551.14, Average price: 0.7048, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1000
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9000
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1000
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9000
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.1000
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9000
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.1000
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9000
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.8650
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.8650
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1600
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.8400
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.8900
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.1050
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.8950
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1050
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.8950
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1600
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.8400
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1150
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.8850
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.1050
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.8950
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.8950
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.1050
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.8950
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.8950
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.8950
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.8950
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.8950
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.1500
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.8500
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.1600
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.8400
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.1750
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.8250
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.1550
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.8450
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.1450
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.8550
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 8091.83, Sell volume: 1205.97, Average price: 0.7282, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4550
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2950
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1750
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.1450
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1400
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1450
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1200
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1200
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.1200
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2041.33, Sell volume: 42.27, Average price: 0.7536, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.8850
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.8850
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.8850
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.8750
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8750
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.8850
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.8850
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.8800
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.8850
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.8850
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 440.45, Sell volume: 440.99, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.1300
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.1300
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.1300
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.1150
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 4825.18, Sell volume: 201.50, Average price: 0.6168, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9100
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9100
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 165.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3371, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0850
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0850
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0850
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 231.19, Sell volume: 10.20, Average price: 0.3600, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9150
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9150
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9150
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9150
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9150
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9150
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9050
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9050
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9050
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8950
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8950
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8950
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.8950
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8950
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.8950
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.8900
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 167.46, Sell volume: 1172.43, Average price: 0.6640, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.1100
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.1100
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.1100
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1100
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.1200
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1250
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1250
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1250
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1250
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1250
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.1250
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.1250
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.1250
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.1250
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1267.42, Sell volume: 2.37, Average price: 0.6229, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.8800
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.8850
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.8800
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.8800
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.8700
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.8700
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.8700
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8700
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.8700
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.8700
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.8700
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.8700
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.8750
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9150
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9150
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 706.82, Sell volume: 8.33, Average price: 0.7177, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8989
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.1050
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.1150
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1050
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 116.12, Sell volume: 21.96, Average price: 0.7818, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9027
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9100
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9150
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9150
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9150
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9150
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9150
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1686.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3319, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0950
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0950
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.1150
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.1150
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.1150
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.1000
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1600.83, Sell volume: 51.21, Average price: 0.6714, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.8900
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.8900
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.8900
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.8850
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.8950
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9200
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9200
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.8250
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.8050
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.8050
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 3741.42, Sell volume: 551.14, Average price: 0.7048, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1000
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1000
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.1000
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.1000
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1600
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1100
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.1050
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1050
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1600
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1150
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.1050
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.1500
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.1600
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.1750
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.1550
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.1450
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.1050
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.1550
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0950
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 8091.83, Sell volume: 1205.97, Average price: 0.7282, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4500
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5500
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.8750
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.8700
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.8750
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.8750
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1100
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.8900
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.8850
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8850
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8850
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8850
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.8900
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.8950
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.8950
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.8950
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.8950
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.1195
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.8805
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0920
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9080
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9050
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0845
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9155
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0855
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9145
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0845
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9155
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0825
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9175
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0835
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 248.29, Sell volume: 2.95, Average price: 0.7046, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0885
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9115
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0885
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9115
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0895
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9105
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0890
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9110
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0890
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9110
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0885
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9115
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0880
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9120
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0880
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9120
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0880
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9120
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0880
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9120
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0860
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9140
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0885
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9115
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0900
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0880
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9120
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0890
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9110
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0885
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9115
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0825
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9175
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0830
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9170
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0830
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9170
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0830
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9170
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0885
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9115
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0890
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9110
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0880
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9120
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0825
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9175
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 155.95, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0820 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0830
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9170
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0855
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9145
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0975
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9025
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0970
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9030
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0965
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9035
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0945
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9055
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9200
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0810
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9190
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0795
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9205
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0785
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9215
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0790
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9210
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0785
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9215
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0785
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9215
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0785
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9215
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0780
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9220
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0770
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9230
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0765
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9235
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0770
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9230
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0770
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9230
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0790
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9210
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0775
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9225
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0780
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9220
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0780
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9220
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0670
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9330
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0670
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1697.00, Sell volume: 159.19, Average price: 0.6944, Price range: 0.0707 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9345
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0655
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9345
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0645
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9355
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9350
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0655
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9345
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0645
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9355
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9350
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0655
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9345
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9350
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9350
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0660
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9340
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9350
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0645
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9355
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9350
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0635
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9365
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0640
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9360
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0610
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9390
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0595
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9405
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0610
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9390
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0600
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9400
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0610
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9390
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0615
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9385
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 181.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2891, Price range: 0.0677 - 0.9490

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0595
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9405
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0605
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9395
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0600
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0625
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9375
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0615
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9385
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0615
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9385
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0615
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9385
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0610
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9390
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9400
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0610
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9390
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9380
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0615
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9385
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9380
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0615
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9385
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0615
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9385
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0615
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9385
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9380
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9380
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9380
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0610
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9390
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0615
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9385
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0625
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9375
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0625
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9375
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9380
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 143.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0699, Price range: 0.0699 - 0.0699

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9380
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0620
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9380
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0620
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9380
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0615
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9385
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0595
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9405
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9400
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9400
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0595
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9405
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9400
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0610
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9390
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0595
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9405
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0610
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9390
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0610
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9390
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0605
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9395
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9400
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0590
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9410
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0595
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9405
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0610
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9390
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9400
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0600
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9400
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9400
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0615
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9385
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0605
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9395
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9400
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0590
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9410
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 197.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0660, Price range: 0.0660 - 0.0660

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9400
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0605
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9395
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0580
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9420
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0595
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9405
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0595
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9405
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0590
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9410
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0590
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9410
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0595
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9405
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0610
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9390
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0610
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9390
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0610
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9390
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0610
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9390
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9390
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9390
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9390
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9390
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9390
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9390
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9390
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9400
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9390
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0570
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9430
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0565
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 125.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5895, Price range: 0.0610 - 0.9423

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9420
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9420
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9420
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0575
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9425
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0575
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9425
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0580
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9420
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0585
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9415
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0590
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9410
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0590
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9410
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0565
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9435
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0610
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9390
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0615
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0630
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9370
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0665
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9335
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0675
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9325
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0675
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9325
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0675
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9325
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0680
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9320
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0680
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9320
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0685
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9315
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0685
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9315
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0690
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9310
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0715
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9285
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0735
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9265
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0740
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9260
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 861.48, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.3939, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9461

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0745
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9255
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0745
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9255
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0730
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9270
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0745
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9255
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0745
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9255
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0735
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9265
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0745
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9255
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0745
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9255
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9250
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0745
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9255
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0755
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9245
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0755
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9245
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0755
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9245
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0730
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9270
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0740
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9260
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0740
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9260
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0745
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9255
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0740
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9260
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 350.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.8805
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.1210
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.8790
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.1210
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.8790
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0935
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9065
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0925
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9075
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0920
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9080
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0830
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9170
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0780
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9220
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0755
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9245
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0720
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9280
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0690
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9310
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0690
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9310
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0690
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9310
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0695
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9305
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0695
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9305
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0705
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9295
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0710
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9290
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0710
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9290
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0710
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9290
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0715
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9285
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0720
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9280
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0720
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9280
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0720
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9280
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0720
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9280
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0720
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9280
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 695.98, Sell volume: 154.01, Average price: 0.0749, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.0880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.1210
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.8790
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.1045
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.8955
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.1105
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.8895
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.1015
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.8985
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.1045
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.8955
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1060
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.8940
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1060
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.8940
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1065
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.8935
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.1070
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.8930
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1060
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.8940
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.1065
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.8935
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.8950
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.1030
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.8970
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.8950
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.1045
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.8955
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1045
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.8955
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1070
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.8930
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1060
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.8940
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.8950
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.8950
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.1060
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.8940
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.1045
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.8955
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.1055
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.8945
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.8950
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1065
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.8935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 447.08, Sell volume: 73.89, Average price: 0.7567, Price range: 0.0912 - 0.9080

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.8945
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.1060
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.8940
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.1065
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.8935
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.1055
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.8945
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.1060
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.8940
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.1065
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.8935
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.1005
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.8995
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.1010
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.8990
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.1005
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.8995
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.1005
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.8995
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.1010
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.8990
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.1015
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.8985
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.1015
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.8985
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.1010
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.8990
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.1010
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.8990
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.1010
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.8990
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.1015
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.8985
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.1020
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.8980
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.1020
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.8980
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.1010
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.8990
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.1010
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.8990
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.1015
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.8985
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.1015
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.8985
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.1010
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.8990
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.1010
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.8990
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.1195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 884.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4293, Price range: 0.1080 - 0.9070

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1310
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.8690
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1340
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.8660
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.1415
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.8585
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.1445
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.8555
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2475
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.7525
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.1940
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.8060
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1995
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.8005
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1915
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.8085
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.1750
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.8250
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1910
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.8090
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1390
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.8610
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1375
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.8625
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.1405
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.8595
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1400
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.8600
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.1350
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.8650
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.1400
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.8600
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1475
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.8525
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.1400
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.8600
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.1350
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.8650
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.1400
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.8600
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.1405
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.8595
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.1400
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.8600
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.2665
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.7335
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.1305
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.8695
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.1370
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.8630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 5844.92, Sell volume: 1290.56, Average price: 0.6862, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4500
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1100
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.1195
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0920
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0845
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0855
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0845
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0825
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0835
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0875
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0865
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0870
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0870
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 248.29, Sell volume: 2.95, Average price: 0.7046, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9115
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9115
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9105
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9110
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9110
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9115
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9120
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9120
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9120
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9120
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9140
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9115
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9120
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9110
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9115
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9175
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9170
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9170
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9170
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9115
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9110
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9120
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9175
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9175
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9175
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9170
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9160
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 155.95, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.6427, Price range: 0.0820 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0830
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0855
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0975
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0970
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0965
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0945
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0810
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0795
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0785
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0790
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0785
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0785
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0785
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0780
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0770
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0765
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0770
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0770
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0790
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0775
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0780
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0780
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0670
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0670
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0665
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0660
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0660
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0660
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1697.00, Sell volume: 159.19, Average price: 0.6944, Price range: 0.0707 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9345
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9345
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9355
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9350
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9345
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9355
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9350
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9345
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9350
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9350
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9340
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9350
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9355
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9350
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9365
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9360
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9390
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9405
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9390
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9400
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9390
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9385
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9390
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9390
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9390
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9395
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 181.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2891, Price range: 0.0677 - 0.9490
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0595
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0605
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0625
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0615
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0615
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0615
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0610
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0600
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0610
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0615
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0615
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0615
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0615
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0610
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0615
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0625
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0625
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0620
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0625
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0620
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0615
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 143.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0699, Price range: 0.0699 - 0.0699
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9380
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9380
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9380
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9385
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9405
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9400
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9400
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9405
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9400
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9390
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9405
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9390
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9390
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9395
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9400
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9410
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9405
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9390
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9400
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9400
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9400
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9385
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9395
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9400
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9410
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9405
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9395
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9390
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9395
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 197.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0660, Price range: 0.0660 - 0.0660
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0605
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0580
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0595
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0595
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0590
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0590
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0595
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0610
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0610
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0610
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0570
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0565
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0575
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0565
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0570
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0575
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 125.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5895, Price range: 0.0610 - 0.9423
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9420
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9420
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9420
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9425
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9425
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9420
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9415
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9410
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9410
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9435
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9390
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9370
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9335
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9325
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9325
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9325
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9320
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9320
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9315
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9315
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9310
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9285
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9265
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9260
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9255
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9250
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 861.48, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.3939, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9461
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0745
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0745
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0730
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0745
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0745
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0735
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0745
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0745
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0745
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0755
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0755
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0755
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0730
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0740
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0740
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0745
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0740
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0745
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 350.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.8805
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.8790
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.8790
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9065
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9075
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9080
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9170
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9220
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9245
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9280
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9310
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9310
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9310
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9305
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9305
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9295
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9290
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9290
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9290
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9285
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9280
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9280
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9280
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9280
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9280
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9280
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9280
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.8850
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.8920
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.8890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 695.98, Sell volume: 154.01, Average price: 0.0749, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.0880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.1210
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.1045
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.1105
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.1015
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.1045
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1060
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1060
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1065
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.1070
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1060
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.1065
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.1030
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.1045
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1045
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1070
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1060
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.1060
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.1045
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.1055
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.1050
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1065
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.1065
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.1065
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.1055
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.1055
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.1060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 447.08, Sell volume: 73.89, Average price: 0.7567, Price range: 0.0912 - 0.9080
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.8945
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.8940
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.8935
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.8945
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.8940
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.8935
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.8995
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.8990
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.8995
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.8995
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.8990
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.8985
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.8985
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.8990
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.8990
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.8990
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.8985
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.8980
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.8980
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.8990
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.8990
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.8985
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.8985
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.8990
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.8990
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.8805
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.8630
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.8605
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.8585
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.8560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 884.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4293, Price range: 0.1080 - 0.9070
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538705
Question: Will the next Pope be named John?
Volume: 13715.267375
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1310
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1340
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.1415
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.1445
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2475
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.1940
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1995
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1915
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.1750
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1910
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1390
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1375
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.1405
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1400
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.1350
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.1400
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1475
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.1400
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.1350
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.1400
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.1405
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.1400
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.2665
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.1305
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.1370
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.1375
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.1375
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.1300
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.1625
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 5844.92, Sell volume: 1290.56, Average price: 0.6862, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4700
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5300
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.8750
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.8700
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.8800
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.8750
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1100
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.8900
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.8850
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0900
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9100
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0900
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9000
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9050
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9000
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9050
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9100
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9100
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9100
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9100
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9100
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9100
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 184.52, Sell volume: 117.53, Average price: 0.7400, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9350
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 64.29, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0550
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9450
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0550
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9450
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0550
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9450
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0550
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9450
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0550
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9450
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0550
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9450
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0550
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9450
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0550
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9450
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9450
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0550
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9450
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0550
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9450
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9450
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 506.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8691, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 16.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 266.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9550
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9550
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0495
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 62.65, Sell volume: 22.84, Average price: 0.6604, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9690

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9525
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9550
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0485
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9515
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0470
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0470
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0475
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9525
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0475
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9525
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0475
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9525
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0480
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0480
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0475
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9525
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0475
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9525
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0420
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9580
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0415
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9585
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0425
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9575
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0410
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9590
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0420
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9580
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0425
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9575
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0415
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9585
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0430
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9570
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0430
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9570
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0430
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9570
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0415
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9585
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0415
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9585
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 514.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7367, Price range: 0.0580 - 0.9688

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0415
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9585
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9575
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9575
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9575
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0435
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9565
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0430
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9570
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9575
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0410
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9590
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0440
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9560
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0430
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9570
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0420
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9580
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0410
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9590
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0430
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9570
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9575
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9600
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9575
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0430
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9570
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9575
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0415
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9585
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0435
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9565
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0435
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9565
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0435
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9565
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0435
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9565
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0430
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9570
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0430
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.14, Sell volume: 20.64, Average price: 0.9565, Price range: 0.9460 - 0.9670

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9565
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0410
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9590
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0440
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9560
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0435
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9565
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0435
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9565
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0425
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9575
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0425
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9575
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0425
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9575
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0405
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0430
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9570
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0450
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9550
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0475
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9525
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0440
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9560
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0450
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9550
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0460
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9540
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0500
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9500
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9480
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9480
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0470
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9530
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0455
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9545
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0470
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9530
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0470
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9530
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0430
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9570
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0435
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9565
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0440
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9560
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 181.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0552, Price range: 0.0552 - 0.0552

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0470
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9530
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0425
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9575
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0445
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9555
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9580
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0415
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9585
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0430
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9570
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0415
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9585
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0425
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9575
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0410
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9590
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0410
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9590
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0460
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9540
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0410
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9590
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0410
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9590
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9600
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9600
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9600
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0405
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9595
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0445
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9555
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0445
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9555
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0440
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9560
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9615
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0325
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9675
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9615
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0355
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 183.29, Sell volume: 7.99, Average price: 0.8402, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9690

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9630
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0365
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9635
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0370
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9630
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0350
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0350
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0350
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0350
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0350
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0350
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0300
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9700
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0305
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9695
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0295
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9705
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0315
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9685
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0290
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9710
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0290
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9710
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0295
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9705
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0305
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9695
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0285
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9715
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0290
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9710
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0290
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9710
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0295
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9705
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0315
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9685
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0315
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9685
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0315
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9685
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0315
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9685
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 184.04, Sell volume: 20.99, Average price: 0.6058, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0090
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9910
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0100
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9900
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0235
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0255
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9745
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2430
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.7570
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9640
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0785
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9215
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0490
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9510
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0470
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9530
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0435
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9565
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0435
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9565
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0430
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9570
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0395
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9605
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0385
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9615
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0395
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9605
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0445
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9555
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0535
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9465
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0535
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9465
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0555
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9445
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0535
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9465
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0520
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9480
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2395
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.7605
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.1080
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.8920
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.1075
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.8925
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.1105
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.8895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 4632.39, Sell volume: 912.26, Average price: 0.6709, Price range: 0.0028 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4700
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1100
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1150
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0900
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0900
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 184.52, Sell volume: 117.53, Average price: 0.7400, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9350
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9350
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9350
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9350
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9350
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 64.29, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0550
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0550
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0550
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0550
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0550
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0550
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0550
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0550
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0550
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0550
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 506.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8691, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 16.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 266.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0495
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0490
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0485
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0490
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 62.65, Sell volume: 22.84, Average price: 0.6604, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9525
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9550
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9515
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9525
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9525
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9525
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9525
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9525
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9580
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9585
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9575
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9590
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9580
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9575
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9585
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9570
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9570
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9570
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9585
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9585
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9580
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9575
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9590
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9580
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 514.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7367, Price range: 0.0580 - 0.9688
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0415
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0435
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0430
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0410
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0440
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0430
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0420
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0410
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0430
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0430
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0415
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0435
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0435
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0435
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0435
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0430
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0430
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0430
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0420
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0410
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0410
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.14, Sell volume: 20.64, Average price: 0.9565, Price range: 0.9460 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9565
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9590
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9560
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9565
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9565
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9575
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9575
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9575
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9570
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9550
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9525
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9560
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9550
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9540
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9500
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9480
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9480
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9530
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9545
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9530
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9530
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9570
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9565
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9560
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9560
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9560
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9560
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9520
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 181.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0552, Price range: 0.0552 - 0.0552
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0470
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0425
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0445
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0420
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0415
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0430
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0415
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0425
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0410
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0410
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0460
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0410
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0410
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0405
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0445
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0445
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0440
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0325
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0355
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0380
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0360
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0375
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0365
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 183.29, Sell volume: 7.99, Average price: 0.8402, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9630
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9635
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9630
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9700
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9695
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9705
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9685
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9710
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9710
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9705
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9695
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9715
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9710
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9710
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9705
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9685
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9685
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9685
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9685
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9745
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9790
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9830
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 184.04, Sell volume: 20.99, Average price: 0.6058, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538706
Question: Will the next Pope be named Benedict?
Volume: 8151.272523
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0090
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0100
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0235
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0255
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2430
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0785
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0490
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0470
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0435
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0435
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0430
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0395
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0385
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0395
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0445
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0535
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0535
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0555
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0535
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0520
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2395
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.1080
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.1075
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.1105
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0655
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0515
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0570
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.2355
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 4632.39, Sell volume: 912.26, Average price: 0.6709, Price range: 0.0028 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538707
Question: Will the next Pope be named Leo?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13655.255181
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4700
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5300
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7450
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2450
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7550
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2400
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.7600
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1700
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.8300
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1750
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.8250
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1750
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8250
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1750
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8250
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1750
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8250
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1650
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.8350
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0375
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9625
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0340
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9660
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9655
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9655
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0370
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9630
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0370
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9630
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0365
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9635
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9640
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9655
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0340
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9660
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0330
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9670
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0340
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 204.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8911, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9800

Output: No