Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9910
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0100
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9900
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0085
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9915
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0070
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9930
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9930
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0065
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9935
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0065
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9935
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9935
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0065
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9935
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0065
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9935
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0065
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9935
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0095
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9905
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0090
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9910
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0090
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9910
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0090
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9910
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0085
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9915
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0090
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9910
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0090
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9910
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0070
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9930
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0065
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9935
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9925
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9930
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9945
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 577.63, Sell volume: 69.99, Average price: 0.5049, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9825
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9825
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9830
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9855
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9850
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0135
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9865
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9870
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9885
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9880
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0125
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9875
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0110
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9890
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0135
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9865
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0135
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9865
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 5781.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9947, Price range: 0.9860 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4800
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1950
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1850
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1850
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1750
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0395
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0285
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 163.68, Sell volume: 80.11, Average price: 0.8182, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9760
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9765
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9770
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9700
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.7380, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0205
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1259.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7859, Price range: 0.0086 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9770
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9780
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9775
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9745
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9735
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9735
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9735
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9735
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9715
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9715
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9715
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9705
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9710
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9705
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9700
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9695
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9710
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9705
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9710
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9710
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9700
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9635
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9635
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9630
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9630
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9630
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9630
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9630
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 42.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0360, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.0360
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0370
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0370
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 8455.64, Sell volume: 271.09, Average price: 0.8985, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9630
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9630
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9630
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9630
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9625
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9625
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9625
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9625
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9625
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9625
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.99, Average price: 0.9620, Price range: 0.9620 - 0.9620
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0265
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0290
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0285
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0290
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0285
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0290
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0305
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0295
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0305
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0240
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0245
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0285
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0185
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0185
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0185
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0185
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0165
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0190
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 142.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9827, Price range: 0.9768 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9835
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9835
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9815
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9845
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9845
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9850
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9855
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9865
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9860
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9860
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9860
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9870
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9865
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9880
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9880
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9860
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9880
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9865
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9865
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9865
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 33.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9870, Price range: 0.9860 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0130
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0155
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0130
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0135
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0110
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0110
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0115
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0100
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0100
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0100
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0090
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 8455.64, Sell volume: 271.09, Average price: 0.8985, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9880
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9880
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9880
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9880
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9880
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9890
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9890
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9890
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9890
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9895
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9895
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9895
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9920
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9930
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9920
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9895
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9870
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 63.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5073, Price range: 0.0167 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0130
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0130
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0140
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0125
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0085
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0130
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0095
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0140
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0135
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0080
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0085
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0080
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0070
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0085
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 148.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9910
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9900
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9915
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9930
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9930
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9935
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9935
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9935
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9935
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9935
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9935
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9905
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9910
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9910
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9910
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9915
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9910
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9910
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9930
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9935
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9925
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9930
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9945
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9920
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9935
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9930
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9880
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 577.63, Sell volume: 69.99, Average price: 0.5049, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0135
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0125
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0110
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0135
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0135
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0100
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0125
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0110
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0040
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 5781.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9947, Price range: 0.9860 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5200
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4800
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.4550
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.5450
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.4000
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.6000
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.4100
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.5900
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3600
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.6400
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.4250
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.5750
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3800
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.6200
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3400
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.6600
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3200
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.6800
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.3250
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.6750
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3350
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.6650
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3200
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.6800
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3400
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.6600
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.3500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.6500
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.3350
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.6650
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.2900
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.7100
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.6750
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.3000
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.7000
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.3150
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.6850
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.3800
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.6200
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.3800
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.6200
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.3750
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 324.72, Sell volume: 11.57, Average price: 0.4762, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.6250
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.3800
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.3850
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.3850
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.3850
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.3850
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.3850
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.3850
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.3850
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.3800
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.3850
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 135.64, Sell volume: 101.75, Average price: 0.5314, Price range: 0.3709 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.3800
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.6200
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.3800
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.6200
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.3700
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.6300
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.3650
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.6350
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.6350
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.3650
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.3450
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.6550
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.3450
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1200.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.3600
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.3600
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.3600
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.3600
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.3600
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1183.04, Sell volume: 405.51, Average price: 0.4046, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3600
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3600
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.6450
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 118.00, Sell volume: 49.59, Average price: 0.4492, Price range: 0.3476 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.3650
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3600
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 31102.99, Sell volume: 30628.27, Average price: 0.6070, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3700
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6300
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 38640.77, Sell volume: 38174.87, Average price: 0.4750, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 478.93, Sell volume: 135.14, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 155.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5437, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.3550
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.3550
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.3550
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.3550
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.3650
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.3650
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.3650
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.3650
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.3650
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.3650
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.3650
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 242.35, Sell volume: 41.84, Average price: 0.4162, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.3700
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.6300
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.3700
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.6300
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.3700
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.6300
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.3700
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.6300
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.3700
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.6300
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.3700
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.6300
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.3700
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.6300
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.3700
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.6300
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.3850
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.6150
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.3850
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.6150
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.3850
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.6150
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.3850
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.6150
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.3850
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.6150
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.3950
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.3900
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.6100
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.3900
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.6100
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.3900
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.6100
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.3900
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.6100
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.3950
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.3950
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4150
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5850
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4250
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 413.77, Sell volume: 572.65, Average price: 0.4903, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.4050
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.4050
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.4050
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.4050
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.4050
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.4050
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.4050
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.3900
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.6100
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.3700
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.3700
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.3700
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3700
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3700
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.3700
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3700
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3700
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.3700
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.3700
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.3700
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.3700
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.3750
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.6250
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.3750
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.6250
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.3750
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.6250
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.3750
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.6250
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1135.95, Sell volume: 586.75, Average price: 0.5013, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.7609

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.2800
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.7200
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.2800
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.7200
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.7000
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.3100
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.6900
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.6750
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.7000
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.7000
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7000
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.7000
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.7000
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.3450
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.6550
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.2800
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.7200
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.2800
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.7200
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2800
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7200
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2800
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.7200
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2800
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.7200
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2800
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.7200
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.3300
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.6700
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.3350
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.6650
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.3050
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.6950
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.3000
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.7000
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.3200
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.6800
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.2800
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.7200
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.3050
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 3728.07, Sell volume: 636.19, Average price: 0.5622, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5200
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.4550
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.4000
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.4100
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3600
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.4250
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3800
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3400
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3200
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.3250
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3350
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3200
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3400
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.3500
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.3350
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.2900
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.3000
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.3150
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.3800
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.3800
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.3750
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.3350
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.3450
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 324.72, Sell volume: 11.57, Average price: 0.4762, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.6250
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.6200
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.6150
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.6150
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.6150
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.6150
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.6150
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 135.64, Sell volume: 101.75, Average price: 0.5314, Price range: 0.3709 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.3800
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.3800
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.3700
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.3650
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.3650
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.3500
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.3450
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1200.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1183.04, Sell volume: 405.51, Average price: 0.4046, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3600
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.3550
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3650
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 118.00, Sell volume: 49.59, Average price: 0.4492, Price range: 0.3476 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6400
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 31102.99, Sell volume: 30628.27, Average price: 0.6070, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3700
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.3600
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 38640.77, Sell volume: 38174.87, Average price: 0.4750, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 478.93, Sell volume: 135.14, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 155.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5437, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.6400
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.6300
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.6300
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.6300
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 242.35, Sell volume: 41.84, Average price: 0.4162, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.3700
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.3700
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.3700
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.3700
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.3700
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.3700
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.3700
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.3700
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.3850
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.3850
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.3850
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.3850
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.3850
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.3950
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.3900
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.3900
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.3900
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.3900
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.3950
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.3950
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4150
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4250
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.4000
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.4050
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.4050
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.4050
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 413.77, Sell volume: 572.65, Average price: 0.4903, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.6100
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.6250
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.6250
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.6250
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.6250
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.6300
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.8100
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.7850
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1135.95, Sell volume: 586.75, Average price: 0.5013, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.7609
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538717
Question: Will the next Pope be given another name?
Volume: 150355.066297
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.2800
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.2800
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.3100
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.3450
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.2800
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.2800
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2800
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2800
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2800
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2800
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.3300
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.3350
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.3050
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.3000
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.3200
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.2800
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.3050
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.3300
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.3050
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.3050
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4150
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 3728.07, Sell volume: 636.19, Average price: 0.5622, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4900
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5100
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7450
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0550
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9450
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7450
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9400
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9550
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9550
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9600
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9600
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9600
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9600
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9655
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0245
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9755
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0240
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9760
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0250
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9750
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0240
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9760
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0245
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9755
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0245
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 167.77, Sell volume: 10.21, Average price: 0.9008, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9760
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0250
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0245
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0245
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0245
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0235
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9765
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0245
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0235
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9765
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 146.19, Average price: 0.5960, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0245
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9755
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0205
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9795
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9850
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9845
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9850
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9850
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9855
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9900
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9865
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9855
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9895
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9850
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9840
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9905
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9915
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9915
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9920
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9915
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9915
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1042.58, Sell volume: 95.56, Average price: 0.5783, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9860
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9830
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9845
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9830
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9830
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9870
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0155
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9845
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0165
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9835
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0160
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9885
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0155
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9845
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0170
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0140
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9860
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0155
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9845
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9880
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0105
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9895
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0130
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9870
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0155
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9845
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0170
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0125
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9875
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9890, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0165
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9835
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0160
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9840
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9865
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9855
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9830
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9855
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9835
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0150
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9850
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9885
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0155
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9845
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9855
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9835
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9855
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9835
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0125
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9875
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9835
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9885
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0130
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9870
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9840
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9880
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9835
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9860
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9830
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 53.71, Sell volume: 6.10, Average price: 0.7422, Price range: 0.0197 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0125
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9875
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9850
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0155
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9845
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0140
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9860
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9850
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9880
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0160
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9840
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0165
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9835
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0170
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9830
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0175
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9825
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0140
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9860
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0160
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9840
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0175
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9825
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0155
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0165
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9835
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 18578.53, Sell volume: 691.55, Average price: 0.8358, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0225
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9775
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0225
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9775
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0225
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9775
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9775
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0225
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9775
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0225
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9775
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0220
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9780
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0220
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9780
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0225
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9775
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0215
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9785
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0220
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9780
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0215
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9785
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0220
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9780
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0245
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9755
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0240
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9760
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0245
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9755
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0215
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9785
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0215
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9785
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0220
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9780
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0225
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9775
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0225
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9775
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0220
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9780
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0215
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 198.79, Sell volume: 56.47, Average price: 0.7891, Price range: 0.0283 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9780
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0230
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9770
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0215
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9785
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0220
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0215
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0205
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9795
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0205
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9795
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0215
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0215
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0215
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0215
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0220
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0215
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0225
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9775
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0225
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9775
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0220
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0220
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0220
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 58.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9820, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9785
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9785
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9785
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9785
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9785
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9785
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9785
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9785
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9785
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9785
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0210
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9790
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0215
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9785
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0220
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9780
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0215
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9840, Price range: 0.9840 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0225
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0230
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9770
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0230
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9770
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0230
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9770
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0225
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0225
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0225
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9790
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0215
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9785
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0210
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9790
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0210
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9790
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0205
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9795
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0205
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0210
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9790
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0210
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9790
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0215
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9785
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0210
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9790
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0205
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0205
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0205
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0205
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0205
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0205
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0155
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9845
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 75.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0267, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.0294

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9790
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0210
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9790
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0205
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0205
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0220
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9780
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0195
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9805
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0225
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9775
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9825
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0200
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9800
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9780
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9825
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0205
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9795
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0215
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9785
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9790
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0200
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9800
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0215
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9785
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9790
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0225
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9775
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0225
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9775
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0225
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9775
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0230
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9770
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0195
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9805
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9825
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9835
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 161.80, Sell volume: 3.87, Average price: 0.9832, Price range: 0.9790 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0145
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0145
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0145
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0250
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9750
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0250
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9750
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0250
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9750
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0255
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9745
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0250
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9750
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 983.08, Sell volume: 41.24, Average price: 0.5078, Price range: 0.0214 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0310
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9690
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0310
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9690
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0375
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9625
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0260
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9740
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0215
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9785
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9795
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0195
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9805
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9830
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0155
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9845
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9855
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9890
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0130
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9870
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9890
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9900
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9880
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0090
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9910
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9885
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9905
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0085
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9915
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9895
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9895
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9880
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0110
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9890
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 15771.71, Sell volume: 331.91, Average price: 0.9189, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4900
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0550
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0245
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0240
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0250
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0240
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0245
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0245
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0250
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0250
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0245
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0250
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 167.77, Sell volume: 10.21, Average price: 0.9008, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9760
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9765
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9765
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9775
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9755
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9770
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9750
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 146.19, Average price: 0.5960, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0245
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0205
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1042.58, Sell volume: 95.56, Average price: 0.5783, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9860
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9830
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9845
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9830
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9830
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9870
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9845
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9835
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9885
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9845
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9860
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9845
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9880
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9895
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9870
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9845
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9875
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9890
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9870
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9845
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9890, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0165
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0135
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0150
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0155
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0125
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0130
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0155
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0160
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 53.71, Sell volume: 6.10, Average price: 0.7422, Price range: 0.0197 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9875
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9850
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9845
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9860
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9850
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9880
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9840
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9835
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9830
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9825
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9860
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9840
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9825
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9845
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9835
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9820
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9840
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9815
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9770
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 18578.53, Sell volume: 691.55, Average price: 0.8358, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0225
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0225
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0225
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0225
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0225
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0220
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0220
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0225
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0215
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0220
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0215
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0220
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0245
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0240
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0245
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0215
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0215
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0220
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0225
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0225
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0220
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0215
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0230
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0240
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 198.79, Sell volume: 56.47, Average price: 0.7891, Price range: 0.0283 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9780
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9770
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9785
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9795
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9795
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9775
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9775
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9780
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 58.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9820, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0215
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0215
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0210
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0215
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0220
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0215
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0215
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0215
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0215
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0215
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9840, Price range: 0.9840 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9770
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9770
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9770
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9790
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9785
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9790
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9790
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9795
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9790
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9790
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9785
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9790
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9845
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9800
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 75.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0267, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.0294
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0210
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0205
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0205
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0220
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0195
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0225
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0200
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0205
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0215
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0200
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0215
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0225
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0225
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0225
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0230
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0195
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0140
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0140
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 161.80, Sell volume: 3.87, Average price: 0.9832, Price range: 0.9790 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9750
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9750
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9750
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9745
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9750
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9750
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9865
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9685
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 983.08, Sell volume: 41.24, Average price: 0.5078, Price range: 0.0214 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538719
Question: Will the next Pope be named Boniface?
Volume: 19270.084538
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0310
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0310
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0375
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0260
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0215
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0195
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0155
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0130
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0090
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0085
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0110
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0110
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0100
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 15771.71, Sell volume: 331.91, Average price: 0.9189, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525335
Question: F1 season canceled or other team wins?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1455185.880174
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.1000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0035
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0035
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0065
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0065
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0060
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 75324158.71, Sell volume: 162357249.59, Average price: 0.9005, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525335
Question: F1 season canceled or other team wins?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1455185.880174
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 75324158.71, Sell volume: 162357249.59, Average price: 0.9005, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525335
Question: F1 season canceled or other team wins?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1455185.880174
Price History:
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 75324158.71, Sell volume: 162357249.59, Average price: 0.9005, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525335
Question: F1 season canceled or other team wins?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1455185.880174
Price History:
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0030
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0030
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 75324158.71, Sell volume: 162357249.59, Average price: 0.9005, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525335
Question: F1 season canceled or other team wins?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1455185.880174
Price History:
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.0060
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0070
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0070
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0070
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 75324158.71, Sell volume: 162357249.59, Average price: 0.9005, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525335
Question: F1 season canceled or other team wins?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1455185.880174
Price History:
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0070
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 75324158.71, Sell volume: 162357249.59, Average price: 0.9005, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes