Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.0950
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0950
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0950
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.0950
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.0950
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.0950
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.0950
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.0950
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.0950
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.0900
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.9100
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.0950
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0950
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0900
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.9100
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0900
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.9100
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0900
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.9100
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.1450
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.1500
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.8500
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.1550
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.8450
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.1400
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.8600
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.1400
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.8600
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.1400
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.8600
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.1300
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.8700
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.1500
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.8500
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.1500
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.8500
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1239.44, Sell volume: 962.44, Average price: 0.3577, Price range: 0.0759 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0900
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.9100
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0900
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.9100
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0850
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9150
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0850
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.9150
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0900
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.9100
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0900
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.9100
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0900
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.9100
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0900
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.9100
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0850
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.9150
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.9050
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.9050
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0800
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.9200
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.9050
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9050
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.9050
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.9050
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9050
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.9050
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.9050
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.9050
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0800
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.9200
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.9050
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.9050
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0950
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 245, Buy volume: 45757.63, Sell volume: 2936.32, Average price: 0.8785, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0950
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0950
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0950
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0950
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0950
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0950
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0950
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0950
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0950
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0950
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0950
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0950
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0950
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0950
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0950
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0950
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0950
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0950
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0950
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0950
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0950
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 882.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7865, Price range: 0.1792 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.1050
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.8950
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.9050
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.9050
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9050
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.9050
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.1000
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.9000
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.9050
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.9050
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0900
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.9100
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9050
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.9050
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0900
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.9100
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9050
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.9050
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.9050
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0950
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.9050
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.1000
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.9000
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0900
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.9100
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9050
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0950
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.9050
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.1000
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.9000
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.1000
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.9000
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.1000
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.9000
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.1000
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.9000
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.1000
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 240.46, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7491, Price range: 0.1053 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.8200
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.1500
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.8500
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.1600
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.8400
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.1650
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.8350
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.1650
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.8350
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.2100
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.7900
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.1800
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.8200
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.1800
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.8200
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.2100
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.7900
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9450
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0600
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9400
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0600
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.9400
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0550
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9450
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9350
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9350
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9350
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0700
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9300
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0650
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9350
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9250
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9450
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9450
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 9474.18, Sell volume: 250.00, Average price: 0.8503, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0545
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9455
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9450
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0545
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9455
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0505
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9495
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0545
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9455
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0535
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9465
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0535
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9465
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0530
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9470
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0545
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.9455
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0530
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9470
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0240
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9760
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0160
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9840
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0185
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9815
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0145
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9855
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.9905
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0125
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.9875
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0105
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.9895
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.9975
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0020
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9980
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 166, Buy volume: 31945.42, Sell volume: 1672.77, Average price: 0.9223, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.2450
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.2000
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.2000
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.2250
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.3950
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.3100
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.2900
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.2900
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.2900
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.1300
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.1200
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.1150
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.1150
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.1150
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.1150
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.1150
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.1150
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.1200
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.1200
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.1200
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.1300
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.1350
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.1200
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.1250
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 108.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7287, Price range: 0.1393 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.8800
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.8600
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.8650
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.8700
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.8650
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.8700
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.8800
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.8800
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.8750
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.8850
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.8800
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 21.43, Sell volume: 1.11, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0800
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0850
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.0800
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0800
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0800
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0800
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.0800
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0800
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0800
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.0800
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0800
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.0800
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0800
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.0750
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.1150
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.0950
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0950
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0950
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0950
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.1000
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0550
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.0700
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0650
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.0700
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0800
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.0800
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0700
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0600
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 245, Buy volume: 45757.63, Sell volume: 2936.32, Average price: 0.8785, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.9350
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.9400
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.9350
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.9350
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.9400
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.9400
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.9400
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.9400
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.9400
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.9400
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.9400
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.9400
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.9400
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.9400
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.9400
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.9400
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.9400
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.9400
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.9400
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.9400
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.9400
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.9400
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.9350
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.9400
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.9350
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.9350
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.9400
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 245, Buy volume: 45757.63, Sell volume: 2936.32, Average price: 0.8785, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.0850
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.0850
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.0800
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.0850
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.0800
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.0850
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.0800
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.0800
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.0800
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0800
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0800
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0800
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0900
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.0900
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0800
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0800
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0800
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0800
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0800
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 122.35, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.6372, Price range: 0.0915 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.9000
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.9150
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.9200
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.9150
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.9150
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.9150
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.9150
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.9150
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 52.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0900
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0950
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.0900
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.0950
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0900
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.0950
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.0950
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.0950
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.0950
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.0950
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0950
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.0950
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.0900
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.0800
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.0900
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0900
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.0900
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.0900
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.0900
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0900
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.0950
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.0950
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 245, Buy volume: 45757.63, Sell volume: 2936.32, Average price: 0.8785, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 08:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.9100
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9050
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.9100
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.9100
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.9100
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.8500
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.8450
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.8600
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.8600
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.8600
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.8700
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.8500
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.8500
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.8500
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.8500
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.8600
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.8600
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1239.44, Sell volume: 962.44, Average price: 0.3577, Price range: 0.0759 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0900
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0900
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0850
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0850
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0900
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0900
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0900
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0900
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0850
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0800
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0800
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.0950
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0950
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0950
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0950
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0950
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0950
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 245, Buy volume: 45757.63, Sell volume: 2936.32, Average price: 0.8785, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.9050
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.9050
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 882.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7865, Price range: 0.1792 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.1050
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.1000
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0900
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0900
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0950
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0950
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.1000
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0900
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0950
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.1000
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.1000
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.1000
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.1000
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.1000
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.0950
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0950
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0950
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 240.46, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7491, Price range: 0.1053 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.8200
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.8500
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.8400
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.8350
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.8350
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.7900
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.8200
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.8200
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.7900
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9450
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9400
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.9400
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9450
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9350
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9350
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9350
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9300
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9350
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9250
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9450
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9450
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9350
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9350
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9350
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9450
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 9474.18, Sell volume: 250.00, Average price: 0.8503, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518885
Question: Will Berachain's FDV be $15b or more 1 day after launch?
Volume: 48693.949476
Price History:
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0545
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0550
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0545
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0505
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0545
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0535
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0535
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0530
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0545
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0530
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0240
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0160
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0185
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0145
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0125
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0105
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0020
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 166, Buy volume: 31945.42, Sell volume: 1672.77, Average price: 0.9223, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.5000
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.8200
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.2700
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.7300
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.2750
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.7700
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.2350
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.7650
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.2350
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.7100
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.2900
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.7050
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.2900
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.7000
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.3200
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.6500
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.3550
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.6450
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.3600
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.6600
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.3400
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.6600
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.3400
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.6600
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.3400
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.6600
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.3150
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.6850
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.3250
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.6750
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.3050
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.6950
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.3150
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.6850
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.3150
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.3200
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.3200
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.3200
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.6750
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.3250
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.6750
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.3250
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.6950
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.3050
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.6750
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1559.52, Sell volume: 86.60, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.3400
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.6550
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.3450
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.6550
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.3450
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.6550
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.6550
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.6550
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.6550
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.6600
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.6600
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.6600
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.6600
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.6600
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.6600
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.6600
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.6600
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.6600
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.6600
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.6600
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.6600
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.6600
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.3400
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.6600
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.3400
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.6600
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.3400
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.6600
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.3400
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.6600
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.3400
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.6600
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.3400
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 144.10, Sell volume: 15.42, Average price: 0.4536, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.6600
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.3400
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.6600
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.3400
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.6600
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.3400
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.6600
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.3400
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.6600
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.3400
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.6600
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.3400
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.6650
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.3350
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.6650
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.3350
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.6650
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.3350
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.6650
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.3400
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.6550
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.3450
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.6550
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.3450
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.6550
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.3450
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.6550
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.3550
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.6450
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.3550
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.6450
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.3550
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.6450
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.3550
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.6450
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.3550
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.3550
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.3550
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.3550
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.3550
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.3550
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.3550
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1774.41, Sell volume: 15.84, Average price: 0.5440, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.3800
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.6200
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.3800
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.5450
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.4550
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.5450
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.4600
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.5350
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.4800
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.5650
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.4350
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.5650
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.4550
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.5650
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.4350
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.5650
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.4350
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.5700
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.5700
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.5700
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.5700
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.5650
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.5700
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.5700
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.5700
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.5700
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.5700
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.5700
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.5700
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.5700
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.4150
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.5700
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.5700
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.5700
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1235.80, Sell volume: 357.46, Average price: 0.5397, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6459

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.3850
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.6150
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.3700
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.6300
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.6300
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.6250
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.6250
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.6250
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.6550
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.6550
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.7150
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.2850
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.3250
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.6750
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.3300
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.6650
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.3600
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.6400
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.3600
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.6400
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.6300
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.6300
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.3750
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.6250
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.3750
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.3750
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.6250
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.3750
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.6250
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.3750
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.6250
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.3700
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.6300
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.3700
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.6300
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.3700
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.6300
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.3700
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.6300
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2941.29, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.6516, Price range: 0.3301 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.7200
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.2800
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.3050
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.2350
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.7700
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.2700
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.2600
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.2700
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.2700
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.7300
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.2700
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.7300
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.2700
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.7300
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.7300
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.2700
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.2700
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.7300
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.2350
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.2350
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.2200
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.7750
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.2250
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.2250
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.2350
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.7600
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.7600
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.2400
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.7600
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.2400
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.2400
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.2400
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.7550
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.2450
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.2450
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.2450
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.7550
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.7550
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2104.82, Sell volume: 931.25, Average price: 0.6185, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.7750
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.2250
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.2250
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.2250
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7750
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.7750
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.2250
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.2250
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.7750
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.2250
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.7750
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.2250
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.2250
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.2250
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.2250
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.2250
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.2250
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.7750
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.7750
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.2650
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.2650
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.7400
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.2650
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.2650
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.7350
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.7350
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.2650
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.7350
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.2650
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.2650
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.2650
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.7350
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.2650
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.7350
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.2650
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.7350
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 918.76, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.6543, Price range: 0.2370 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.7150
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.3050
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.7100
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.7050
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.3050
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.7000
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.3050
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.6750
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.3150
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.6750
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.3000
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.7100
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.3000
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.3000
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.7050
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.2950
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.7050
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.2950
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.7050
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.2950
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.7150
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.2850
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.2850
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.2850
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.7150
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.2850
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.7150
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.7150
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.2900
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.2850
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.2850
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.7150
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.7150
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.2900
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.7100
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.2900
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.7100
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.7150
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.7100
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 312.01, Sell volume: 124.89, Average price: 0.5891, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.6950
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.3050
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.7050
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.2950
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.3050
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.7000
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.2900
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.7150
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.2800
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.2800
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.2800
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.2800
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.2800
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.2800
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.2800
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.2800
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.7200
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.2800
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.7200
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.2800
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.7200
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.7200
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.2800
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.2800
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.7200
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.7200
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.7200
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.7200
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.2800
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.2750
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.7250
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.2750
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.7250
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.2700
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.2700
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.2700
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.2700
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 276.82, Sell volume: 110.87, Average price: 0.3562, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.7300
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.2700
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.7300
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.2700
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.2700
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.2700
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2700
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 578.29, Sell volume: 2.98, Average price: 0.6380, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.2700
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.7300
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.7300
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.7300
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.7300
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.7300
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.7300
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.7300
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.7300
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.6800
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.6700
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 11472.05, Sell volume: 2052.96, Average price: 0.6650, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9134

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9350
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9350
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0550
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0800
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.1050
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.8800
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.8950
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.8850
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9000
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9000
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9100
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9350
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0650
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0450
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0150
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0305
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0400
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9690
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0275
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9740
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9725
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9735
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9745
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0440
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0440
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0440
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0450
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 33416.22, Sell volume: 15321.45, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 20681.85, Sell volume: 20116.28, Average price: 0.8088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.5000
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.8200
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.7300
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.7700
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.7650
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.7100
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.7050
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.7000
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.6500
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.6450
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.6600
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.6600
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.6600
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.6600
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.6850
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.6750
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.6950
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.6850
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.6800
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.6750
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.6750
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.6950
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.6750
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.6800
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.6600
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.6600
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.6600
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1559.52, Sell volume: 86.60, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.3400
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.3450
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.3450
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.3450
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.3400
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.3400
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.3400
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.3400
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.3400
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.3400
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.3400
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.3400
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.3400
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.3400
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.3400
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.3400
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 144.10, Sell volume: 15.42, Average price: 0.4536, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.6600
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.6600
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.6600
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.6600
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.6600
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.6600
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.6650
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.6650
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.6650
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.6650
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.6550
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.6550
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.6550
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.6550
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.6450
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.6450
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.6450
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.6450
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.6450
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.6450
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.6450
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1774.41, Sell volume: 15.84, Average price: 0.5440, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.3800
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.3800
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.4550
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.4600
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.4800
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.4350
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.4550
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.4350
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.4350
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.4300
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.4150
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.4300
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.4300
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.4300
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.4300
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.4300
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1235.80, Sell volume: 357.46, Average price: 0.5397, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6459
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.3850
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.3700
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.6300
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.6250
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.6550
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.7150
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.7050
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.3250
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.3300
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.3600
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.3600
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.6300
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.3750
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.3750
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.6250
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.6250
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.6250
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.6300
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.6300
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.6300
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.6300
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.6300
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.6300
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.3700
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.3450
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2941.29, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.6516, Price range: 0.3301 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.7200
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.3050
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.7700
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.2700
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.7300
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.7300
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.7300
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.2700
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.7300
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.2350
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.2200
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.2250
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.2350
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.7600
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.7600
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.2400
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.7550
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.2450
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.7550
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.7550
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.7550
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.7750
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.7750
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2104.82, Sell volume: 931.25, Average price: 0.6185, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.7750
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.2250
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7750
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.2250
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.7750
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.2250
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.2250
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.7750
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.7750
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.2650
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.7400
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.2650
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.7350
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.7350
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.2650
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.7350
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.7350
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.7350
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.7300
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.7050
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.7000
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.7250
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 918.76, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.6543, Price range: 0.2370 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.7150
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.7100
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.7050
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.3050
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.3150
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.3000
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.3000
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.7050
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.7050
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.7050
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.7150
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.2850
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.7150
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.7150
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.2900
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.2850
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.7150
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.7100
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.7100
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.7100
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.7050
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.7100
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.7050
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.7050
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 312.01, Sell volume: 124.89, Average price: 0.5891, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.6950
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.7050
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.3050
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.2900
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.2800
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.2800
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.2800
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.2800
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.7200
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.7200
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.7200
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.2800
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.7200
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.7200
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.2800
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.7250
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.7250
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.2700
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.7300
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.7300
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 276.82, Sell volume: 110.87, Average price: 0.3562, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.7300
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.7300
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2700
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.2700
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.2650
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.7350
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.2650
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 578.29, Sell volume: 2.98, Average price: 0.6380, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.2700
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.7300
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.7300
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.6700
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.3750
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 11472.05, Sell volume: 2052.96, Average price: 0.6650, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9134
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9350
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0550
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0800
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.8800
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.8850
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9000
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.1050
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0650
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0150
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0400
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0275
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9725
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9745
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0440
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0450
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 33416.22, Sell volume: 15321.45, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565926
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by June 30, 2026?
Volume: 116703.762131
Price History:
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 20681.85, Sell volume: 20116.28, Average price: 0.8088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.1950
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.0400
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0450
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0400
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0375
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.0245
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0235
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0250
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.0165
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.0170
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.0180
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0135
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0130
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0140
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.0130
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0115
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0120
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0125
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0115
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0125
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0120
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0120
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0120
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0120
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0120
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.0130
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0120
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0120
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0115
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0115
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0100
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0100
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0085
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0100
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0085
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0100
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0125
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0125
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0115
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0115
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0115
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0115
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0115
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0115
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0110
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0125
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0135
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0145
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0145
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0140
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0140
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0130
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0145
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0150
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0150
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0155
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0150
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0150
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0155
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0150
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0150
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0155
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0145
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0155
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0155
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0155
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0155
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0155
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0155
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0155
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0155
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0150
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0160
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0160
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0160
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0160
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0160
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0150
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0160
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0150
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0155
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0150
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0150
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0160
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0150
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0150
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.0155
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0155
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0180
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0190
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0180
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0180
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0170
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0180
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0175
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0165
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0145
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0145
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0145
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0160
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0160
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0160
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0160
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0160
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0135
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0185
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0185
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0185
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0180
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0190
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0175
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0175
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0190
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0180
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0200
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0200
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0200
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0195
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0200
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0200
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0200
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0195
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0195
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0220
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0220
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0225
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0215
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.0220
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.0225
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0225
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.0235
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0235
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0225
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0240
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0235
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0240
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0235
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0240
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0240
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0235
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0245
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0250
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0245
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0270
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0270
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0250
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0275
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0265
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0250
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0255
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0250
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0250
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0250
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0250
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0250
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0250
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0250
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0255
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0255
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0255
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0265
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0245
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0240
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0245
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0245
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0230
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0250
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0250
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0250
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0255
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0255
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0255
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0205
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0195
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0195
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0220
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0220
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0205
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0205
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0205
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0230
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0245
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0245
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0250
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0240
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0245
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0245
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0220
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0165
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0165
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0140
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0135
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0145
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0145
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0145
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0155
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0165
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0145
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0115
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0115
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0140
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0125
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0065
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0160
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0080
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0120
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0130
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0110
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0090
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0100
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0115
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0215
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0200
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0135
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0135
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0120
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0115
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0085
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0100
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0135
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0150
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0150
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0160
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0155
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0150
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0145
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0145
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0145
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0150
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0145
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0145
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0145
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0145
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0145
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0145
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0145
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0165
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0165
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0220
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0225
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0220
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0200
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0190
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0185
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0190
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0145
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0135
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0065
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0080
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0075
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0075
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0070
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0055
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0055
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0080
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0075
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0085
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0080
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0090
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0090
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0115
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0135
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0135
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0130
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0130
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0130
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0130
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0130
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0105
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0105
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0110
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0120
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0120
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0110
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0105
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0120
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0150
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0145
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0145
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0125
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0125
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0125
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0125
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0125
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0105
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0095
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0095
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0095
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0090
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0085
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0105
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0085
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0095
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0100
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0105
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0115
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0050
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0060
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0090
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0095
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.0100
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0095
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0095
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0095
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0080
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.0080
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0080
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0060
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.0060
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.0075
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0060
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0070
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0080
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0080
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0065
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0065
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0060
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.0060
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0060
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0060
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0065
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0060
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9930
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9930
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0070
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.0065
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9945
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0055
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0050
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0055
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9940
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9930
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9935
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9930
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0075
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9930
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9935
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9925
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9900
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9885
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0110
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0125
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0235
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0165
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0105
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0095
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9900
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9900
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0105
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9910
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0090
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.9920
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9920
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9915
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0090
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9910
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0085
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9875
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0210
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9825
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0135
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9895
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0110
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9880
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9890
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9890
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9890
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9890
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9885
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9895
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9880
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0120
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9895
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9900
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9910
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0090
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9890
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0110
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9890
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0085
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0085
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9915
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9930
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9930
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9920
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0080
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0075
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9880
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9865
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9885
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9900
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0055
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0045
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0055
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9945
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999999, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237868.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.1950
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9550
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0390
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9755
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.0250
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.9820
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.0170
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9860
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0145
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.9855
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.0125
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9885
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0120
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.9880
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0125
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9880
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0120
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.9885
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0120
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9915
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0095
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9870
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0125
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.9885
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0115
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9885
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0110
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9865
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0150
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0140
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.9875
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0150
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9850
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0160
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9850
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0145
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9860
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0155
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9845
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.0155
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.9845
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0155
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9845
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0155
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.9845
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0150
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9840
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0160
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9840
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0155
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.9845
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0150
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0160
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9850
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0160
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9850
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0190
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0180
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9835
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9840
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0160
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9840
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0160
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9840
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0160
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9840
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0160
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9840
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0160
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9840
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0160
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9840
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9840
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0160
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9840
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0160
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9840
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0160
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9840
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0160
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9855
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0145
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0160
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9840
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9815
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0185
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9810
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0175
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9820
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9805
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0200
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9800
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0200
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.9800
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0195
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.9780
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0220
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9785
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.0210
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.9775
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0235
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.9775
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0235
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.9770
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0240
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9770
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0245
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9730
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0270
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0275
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9750
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0250
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9750
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0250
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9750
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0250
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9745
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0255
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9755
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0235
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9755
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0175
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9750
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0255
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9745
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0205
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9825
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9780
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0215
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9780
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0225
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9755
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0225
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9755
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9755
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0240
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0165
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9865
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9865
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0140
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9855
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0260
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.9855
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0130
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9875
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0070
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9925
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9925
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0150
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9880
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9865
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9900
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0175
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9860
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0135
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9950
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9945
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0055
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9885
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9900
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0135
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.9850
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0160
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9850
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0145
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.9855
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0145
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.9855
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0145
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9855
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0165
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9780
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0220
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9810
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0185
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9815
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0140
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9925
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0060
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9950
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0070
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9935
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0070
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9915
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0090
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0115
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9875
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0135
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9875
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0130
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9870
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0110
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9880
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0125
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9880
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0150
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9855
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0130
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9875
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0125
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9905
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9905
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0085
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9895
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0090
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9900
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0115
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9960
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9960
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0060
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.9905
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0095
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.9905
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0080
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.9925
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9940
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0075
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9940
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0075
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9925
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.9935
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9945
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0060
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9950
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0070
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0070
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9935
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0055
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9950
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0050
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.0060
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0070
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0065
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9925
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9890
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9110
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9765
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0115
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.9905
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0100
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0100
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0090
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0080
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9890
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.0085
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0130
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.0185
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9880
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.0105
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9890
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0110
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.0115
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0105
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9880
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0095
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9910
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9890
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0110
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0080
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0075
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0090
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9875
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0135
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9885
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9945
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0060
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237960.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527807
Question: Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1782662.475384
Price History:
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999999, Buy volume: 435201156.68, Sell volume: 145237868.43, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522894
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 65384.620266
Price History:
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.1250
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.8900
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.1050
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.8950
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.9250
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0700
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.9050
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.8650
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.1350
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.8750
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.1250
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.8750
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.1250
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.8750
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.1250
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.8750
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.1350
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.8650
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.8650
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.8650
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.8650
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.8650
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.1350
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.8650
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.1350
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.8650
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.1350
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.8650
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.1350
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.8650
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.1350
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.8650
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.1350
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.8650
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.8650
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.8650
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.8650
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3661.19, Sell volume: 1041.81, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes