Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9150
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.0800
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0800
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9250
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.9250
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0750
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9250
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9300
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0700
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9250
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0750
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9300
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0650
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9350
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0650
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9350
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0650
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0650
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9350
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9350
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9350
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9350
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9350
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9350
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9350
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9450
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0550
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9450
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9450
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0550
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9450
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9450
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9500
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0500
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9550
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0450
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0450
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0450
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9550
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9550
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9550
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9600
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9600
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0450
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0355
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0370
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0355
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9650
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9650
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9650
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9675
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9730
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0250
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0265
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0245
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9740
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0205
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9760
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0240
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0240
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9765
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9760
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9845
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0145
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0150
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0180
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0190
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9835
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0155
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0155
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9850
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0160
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9840
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9840
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9840
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9775
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9780
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9745
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9745
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0235
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9780
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0215
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9795
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9780
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0220
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9775
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0180
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9800
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9870
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0135
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9865
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9870
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9870
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9870
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0105
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9900
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164276.08, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550015
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1671167.838924
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9875
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9865
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9845
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9810
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9795
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9830
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9070
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9070
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9625
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9590
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9505
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9515
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9375
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9370
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9245
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9555
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.8735
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0910
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0310
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0405
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.1505
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999998, Buy volume: 395496021.58, Sell volume: 35164001.36, Average price: 0.4435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.4850
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.9500
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0550
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.9450
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.0600
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.9400
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.0600
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.9400
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.0600
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.9700
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0250
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.9760
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.0350
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.9645
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0355
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.9770
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.0265
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.9740
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0225
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.9775
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.0350
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.9660
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.0330
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.9890
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.0115
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.9885
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0115
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.9875
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.0120
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.9890
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0120
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.9880
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.0120
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.9845
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0160
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.9875
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.0125
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.9855
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0120
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.9875
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.0135
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.9875
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0135
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.9865
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.0115
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.9880
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0120
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.9880
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0115
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.9885
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0120
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.9875
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.0120
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.9875
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0120
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.9880
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.0120
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.9880
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0170
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9830
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.0170
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.9830
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.0170
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.9795
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.0375
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.9570
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0390
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.9615
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0390
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.9580
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0385
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.9615
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.0400
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.9640
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0335
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.9665
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.0355
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.9645
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0315
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.9685
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.0320
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.9680
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.0320
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.9680
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.0320
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.9680
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.0320
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.9680
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0315
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9680
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0320
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9680
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0370
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.9590
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.0375
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.9590
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.0410
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.9620
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0355
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.9585
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0395
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.9675
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.0365
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.9645
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.0365
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.9590
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0365
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9610
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0325
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.9655
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0340
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.9685
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0320
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.9685
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0310
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.9660
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0340
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9660
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0340
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.9660
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0335
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.9675
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0315
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.9690
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0305
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.9755
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0110
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.9900
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0100
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9790
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0200
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9850
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9890
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.9870
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0110
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9890
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0105
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9935
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0065
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.9935
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9935
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0055
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9940
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0055
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0055
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0070
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9930
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.9930
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0110
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9890
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0080
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.9920
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0070
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9945
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0055
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.9940
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0060
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9940
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0060
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.9940
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0060
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.9940
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0050
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9965
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.9965
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0040
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9965
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0050
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9965
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0035
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9965
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.9965
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.9965
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.9965
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.9965
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.0035
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.9965
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0035
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.9965
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.9965
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0035
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.9965
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.9965
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0035
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9965
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9965
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.9965
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.9965
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0035
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.9965
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.9965
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0035
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9965
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0035
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9965
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0040
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9960
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9965
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0035
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0035
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9965
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9965
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0035
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9925
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0070
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.9690
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0050
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0130
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9895
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0135
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.9845
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0145
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9875
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0070
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9930
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0040
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9960
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0040
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9960
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9960
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.0080
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.9905
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0095
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.9925
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0070
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.9920
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0075
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.9925
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0070
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.9930
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0075
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.9965
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.9965
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.9965
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.9965
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.0035
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0035
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.9940
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.0060
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.9960
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0040
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.9960
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.0040
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9960
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0040
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.9960
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.0040
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0035
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.9930
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0070
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9930
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0080
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.9920
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0040
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.9960
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.0040
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.9895
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0075
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.9930
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.0070
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9930
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.0070
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9930
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.0070
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.9930
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.0040
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.9960
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0040
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9965
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.9965
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.9965
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.9965
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9970
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9970
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.9965
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.9970
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0030
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.9970
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0030
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.9970
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0010
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999636, Buy volume: 83238869.93, Sell volume: 31296564.62, Average price: 0.9947, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0010
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9980
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0020
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9980
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 311, Buy volume: 139735.16, Sell volume: 27262.43, Average price: 0.8033, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 80141.00, Sell volume: 381.72, Average price: 0.1893, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.4850
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.9450
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0550
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.9400
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.0600
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.9400
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0250
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.9755
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.0355
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.9645
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0265
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.9735
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.0360
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.9660
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.0110
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.9885
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.0115
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.9880
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0120
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.9875
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0125
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.9830
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.0125
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.9860
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.0125
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.9885
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0135
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.9875
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0120
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.9885
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0120
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.9880
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.0120
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.9885
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0120
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9830
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0170
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9830
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0375
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.9625
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.0385
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.9600
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0385
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.9615
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0335
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.9665
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0355
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9685
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.0315
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.9680
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0320
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.9680
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.0320
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.9680
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0320
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9680
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.0365
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.9595
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.0380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.0355
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.9630
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0360
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.9675
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0415
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.9635
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0380
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.9660
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0315
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.9690
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0335
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.9660
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0340
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.9660
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0325
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.9705
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0295
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.9885
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0100
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9785
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0200
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9890
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0130
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9890
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0110
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9895
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0115
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9935
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9940
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0055
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.9930
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9890
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0080
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.9930
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0055
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.9940
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0060
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9940
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0060
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9945
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9965
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0035
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9950
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0035
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.9965
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0035
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9965
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0035
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9965
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.9965
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.9965
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.9965
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0035
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.9965
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0035
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.9965
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0035
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9965
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0035
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.9965
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.9965
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0040
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.9930
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0050
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9900
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0145
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9930
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0045
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9960
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.0095
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.9875
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0085
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.9925
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0065
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.9925
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.0075
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.9920
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9965
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.9965
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.9965
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.9965
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.0060
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.9940
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.0040
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.9960
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0040
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.9960
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.9965
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0080
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9960
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.0040
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9915
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.0075
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.9930
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0070
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.9930
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.0070
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9960
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9970
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9970
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.9965
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0030
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.9970
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0030
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 83458746.09, Sell volume: 31324208.77, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9990
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999636, Buy volume: 83238869.93, Sell volume: 31296564.62, Average price: 0.9947, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9990
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9980
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 311, Buy volume: 139735.16, Sell volume: 27262.43, Average price: 0.8033, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516793
Question: Will Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1073907.940983
Price History:
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 80141.00, Sell volume: 381.72, Average price: 0.1893, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.6400
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.7100
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.6850
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.6850
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.6850
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.6850
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.6900
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.7350
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.7350
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.7350
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.7400
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.7400
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.7300
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.7250
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.8200
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.8100
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.8050
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.8150
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.8150
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.7950
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.7950
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.7650
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.7650
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.7450
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.7150
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.6350
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.6350
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.6500
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.6400
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.6500
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.6650
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.6650
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.6650
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.6600
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.6500
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.6500
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.6500
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.6500
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.6400
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.6350
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.6350
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.6350
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.6350
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.6300
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.6300
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.6300
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.6300
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.6300
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.6300
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 475859957.92, Sell volume: 287741853.42, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.6300
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.6350
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.6850
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.6850
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.6850
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.6800
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.6750
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.6700
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.6650
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.6400
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.4800
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.5950
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.6150
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.6050
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.6050
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.6150
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.6150
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.5750
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.5950
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.6250
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.6250
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.6350
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.6250
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.6200
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.6250
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.6250
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.6200
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.5500
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5900
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.5200
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.5600
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.5750
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.5300
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.4850
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.4350
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.3850
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.4050
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.4100
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.4050
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.4050
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.4050
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.4050
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.4150
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.4200
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 475859957.92, Sell volume: 287741853.42, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.4150
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.4200
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.4250
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.4250
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.4250
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.4250
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.4250
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.4300
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.4350
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.4550
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.4500
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4950
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.4800
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.5250
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.5250
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.5250
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.5250
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.5250
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.5250
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.5050
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.5050
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.5100
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.5250
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.5250
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.5250
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.5250
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.5150
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.5150
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.5200
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5450
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.5050
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.5100
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.5350
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.5350
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 475859957.92, Sell volume: 287741853.42, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.5550
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.6250
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.5900
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.6200
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.6200
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.6150
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.6150
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.6100
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.6100
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.6150
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.6050
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.6050
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.5950
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.6050
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.6000
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.6350
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.6300
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.6250
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.6350
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.6500
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.6500
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.6500
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.6500
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.6450
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.6550
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.6700
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.6550
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.6550
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.6550
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.6650
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.6650
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.6450
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.6300
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.6300
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.6300
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.6300
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.6350
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.6300
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.6150
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.6050
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.6050
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.6050
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.6050
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.6050
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 475859957.92, Sell volume: 287741853.42, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.6050
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.6050
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.6050
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.6050
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.6050
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.5750
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.5750
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.5850
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.5900
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.5950
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.5750
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.5750
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.5650
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.5650
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.5650
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.5700
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.5700
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.5700
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.5700
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.5700
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.5700
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.5600
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.5650
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.5700
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.5700
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.5800
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.5800
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.5800
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.5900
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.5850
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.5850
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.5800
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.5750
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.5750
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.5750
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.5750
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.5700
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.5650
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.5650
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.5650
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.5650
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.5650
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.5650
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.5350
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.5250
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.5300
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.5200
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.5100
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.5150
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 475859957.92, Sell volume: 287741853.42, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.4850
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.4850
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.4550
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.4550
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.4750
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.4500
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.4600
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4600
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.4750
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.4750
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.4750
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.4900
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.4900
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.5150
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.5200
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.5200
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.5150
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.5150
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.5100
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.5300
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.5450
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.5550
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.5700
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.5700
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.5650
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.5150
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.5500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.5150
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.5250
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.4850
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.5250
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.5400
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.5500
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.5450
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.5450
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.5450
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.5450
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.5450
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.5500
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.5500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5500
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5500
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.5500
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.5450
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5450
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.5050
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 475859957.92, Sell volume: 287741853.42, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.4850
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.4850
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4800
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.4800
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.4850
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5050
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.5050
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.5050
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.5100
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.5100
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.4950
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.5350
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.5350
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5350
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5300
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.5250
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.5350
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.5550
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.5550
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.5600
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.5450
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5150
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.5150
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.5150
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.5200
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5200
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5200
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.5200
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.5200
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.5200
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.5200
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.5200
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.5250
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.5250
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.5250
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.5250
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.5200
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.5200
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.5200
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 169830, Buy volume: 9337240.82, Sell volume: 9729680.58, Average price: 0.5024, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.5250
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.5200
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.5150
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.5200
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.5200
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.5350
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.5300
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.5400
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.5700
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.5750
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.5850
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.6100
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.6050
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.6150
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.7250
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.6750
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.6850
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.6950
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.7150
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.7050
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.6400
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.6600
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.6450
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.6400
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.6450
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.6850
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.6550
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.6600
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.6600
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.6400
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.6300
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.6350
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.6300
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.6250
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.6050
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.6150
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.6200
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.6200
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.6200
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.6150
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.6100
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.6100
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.6100
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.5800
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.5700
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.5700
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.5800
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.5800
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.5800
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 365634, Buy volume: 287057019.37, Sell volume: 240926192.64, Average price: 0.4907, Price range: 0.1992 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.5800
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.5750
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.5750
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.5750
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.5750
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.5750
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.5700
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.5700
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.5700
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.5750
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.5750
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.5650
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.5650
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.5750
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.5750
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.5750
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.5750
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.5750
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.5750
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.5700
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.5700
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.5550
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.5550
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.5550
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.5500
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.5500
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.5500
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.5500
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.5450
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.5450
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.5400
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.5250
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.5250
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.5250
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.5150
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.5100
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.5150
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.5250
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.5250
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.5500
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.5550
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.5350
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.5100
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.4800
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.4950
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.4900
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.4900
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 259740, Buy volume: 134298565.66, Sell volume: 22026611.34, Average price: 0.5083, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.5050
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.5250
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.5500
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.5250
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.5700
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.5750
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.5900
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.5900
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.5900
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.5900
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.5900
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.5750
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.5750
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.5450
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.5700
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.5700
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.5700
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.5600
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.5600
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.5600
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.5600
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.5550
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.5750
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.5750
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.5750
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.5300
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.5300
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.5600
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.5500
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.5500
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.5550
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.5450
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.5450
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.5450
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.5450
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.5450
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.5450
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.5350
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.5450
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.5500
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.5500
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.5600
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.5600
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.5400
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.5400
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.5400
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.5400
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.5400
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203802, Buy volume: 44926704.11, Sell volume: 14929172.03, Average price: 0.4818, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.5400
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.5250
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.5350
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.5400
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.5250
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.5250
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.5350
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.5350
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.5350
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.5250
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.5350
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.5350
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.5300
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.5350
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.5300
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.5250
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.5600
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.5650
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.5450
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.5550
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.5550
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.5550
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.5550
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.5600
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.5600
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.5600
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.5600
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.5550
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.5550
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.5600
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.5750
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.5750
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.5750
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.5800
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.5800
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.5750
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.5950
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.5900
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.5950
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.6050
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.6150
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.5800
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.5950
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.5850
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.6150
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.6150
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.6050
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.6000
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.5750
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 222, Buy volume: 40269.99, Sell volume: 28884.98, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.5650
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.5650
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.5650
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.5650
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.5650
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.5750
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.5750
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.5750
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.5750
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.5750
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.5750
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.5800
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.6050
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.6150
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.6450
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.6450
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.6450
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.6550
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.6450
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.6350
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.6500
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.6550
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.6650
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.6650
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.6650
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.6550
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.6600
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.6450
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.6350
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.6450
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.6450
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.6450
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.6550
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.6550
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.6600
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.6700
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.6650
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.6650
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.6850
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.7050
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.7000
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.7300
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.7400
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.7400
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.7400
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.7350
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.7400
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 349, Buy volume: 60613.15, Sell volume: 18199.55, Average price: 0.5130, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.7550
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.7950
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.8050
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.8500
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.8550
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.8550
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.8500
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.8500
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.8300
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.8300
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.8150
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.8150
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.8100
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.8000
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.7850
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.8250
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.8100
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.8100
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.8150
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.8500
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.8800
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.8750
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.9050
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.9250
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.9250
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.9250
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.9450
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9300
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.9300
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.9250
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.9250
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.9350
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9250
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.9250
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.9200
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.9000
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.8900
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.8650
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.1250
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.1300
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.1150
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.8250
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.1750
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 423, Buy volume: 139544.81, Sell volume: 83112.30, Average price: 0.4899, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.6400
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.3150
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.6850
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.3150
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.7350
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.2650
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.7400
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.2600
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.7250
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.1950
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.8050
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.1850
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.7950
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.7450
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.3300
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.6650
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.3550
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.6600
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.3350
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.6600
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.3500
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.6500
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.3550
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.6350
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.3650
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.6300
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.3700
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.6300
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 475859957.92, Sell volume: 287741853.42, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.6300
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.6850
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.3200
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.6700
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.4750
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.3900
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.6050
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.3900
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.4600
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.4050
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.6250
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.3750
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.6200
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.3750
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.6150
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.4100
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.5250
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.4150
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.6200
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.4050
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.5950
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.4050
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5950
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.4000
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 475859957.92, Sell volume: 287741853.42, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.4150
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.5750
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.4250
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.5750
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.5700
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.5500
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.5050
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.4750
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.5250
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.4750
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.5250
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.5050
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.4800
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.5250
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.5100
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.4800
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.5450
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.4900
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.4950
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 475859957.92, Sell volume: 287741853.42, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.4450
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.4100
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.6200
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.3850
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.6100
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.3850
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.6050
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.4050
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.6000
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.3650
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.6250
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.3650
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.6500
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.6500
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.3550
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.6550
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.3450
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.6550
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.3350
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.6400
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.3700
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.6300
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.3650
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.6150
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.3950
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.6050
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 475859957.92, Sell volume: 287741853.42, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.6050
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.3950
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.6050
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.4250
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.5750
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.4100
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.5750
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.4350
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.5650
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.4300
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.5700
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.4300
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.5700
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.4400
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.5700
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.4350
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.4100
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.5850
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.4200
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.5750
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.5700
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.4350
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.5650
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.4350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.5300
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.4750
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.5200
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 475859957.92, Sell volume: 287741853.42, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.4850
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.5450
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.4550
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.5500
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.4600
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.5250
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.4750
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.5100
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.5200
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.4800
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.5150
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.5150
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.4750
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.5550
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.4300
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.5500
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.4500
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.5150
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.5300
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.5250
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.4600
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.5450
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.4550
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.5450
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.4500
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.4500
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5450
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 475859957.92, Sell volume: 287741853.42, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.4850
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.5200
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.4800
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.4950
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.5050
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.5050
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.5350
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.4550
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.5350
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.5550
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.5150
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.4750
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5200
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.4800
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.5200
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.4800
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.5200
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.4750
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.5200
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 169830, Buy volume: 9337240.82, Sell volume: 9729680.58, Average price: 0.5024, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.5250
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.4850
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.5200
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.4650
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.5400
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.5750
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.3850
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.6200
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.3150
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.6850
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.6500
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.3600
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.6400
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.3200
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.6650
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.3400
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.6300
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.3650
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.6250
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.3900
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.6200
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.3800
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.6100
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.3900
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.6150
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.4300
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.5800
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 365634, Buy volume: 287057019.37, Sell volume: 240926192.64, Average price: 0.4907, Price range: 0.1992 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.5800
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.4250
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.5750
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.4250
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.4300
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.5750
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.4250
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.5650
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.4250
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.5750
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.4250
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.5700
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.4350
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.5550
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.4500
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.5500
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.4500
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.5450
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.4600
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.5250
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.4750
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.5100
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.4750
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.5250
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.4450
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.5250
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.5550
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.4950
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 259740, Buy volume: 134298565.66, Sell volume: 22026611.34, Average price: 0.5083, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.5400
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.4250
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.5900
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.4100
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.5900
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.4150
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.5750
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.4550
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.5700
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.4400
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.5550
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.4400
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.5750
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.4350
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.5300
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.4400
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.5500
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.4450
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.5450
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.4550
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.5450
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.4400
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.5550
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.4500
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.5600
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.4600
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.5400
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203802, Buy volume: 44926704.11, Sell volume: 14929172.03, Average price: 0.4818, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.5400
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.4800
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.5400
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.4800
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.5350
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.4650
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.5300
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.4700
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.5350
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.4750
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.5600
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.4550
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.5600
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.4450
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.5600
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.4400
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.5600
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.4450
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.5750
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.4250
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.5850
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.4250
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.5950
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.4050
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.6050
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.4200
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.5850
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.3850
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.6050
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 222, Buy volume: 40269.99, Sell volume: 28884.98, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.5650
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.4350
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.5650
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.4250
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.5750
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.4250
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.5850
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.3950
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.6250
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.3550
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.6450
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.3550
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.6450
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.3400
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.6650
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.3350
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.6450
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.3650
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.6450
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.3550
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.6550
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.3450
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.6650
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.3250
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.6950
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.2700
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.7350
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.2600
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.7400
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 349, Buy volume: 60613.15, Sell volume: 18199.55, Average price: 0.5130, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521026
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Volume: 958806.306985
Price History:
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.7550
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.1850
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.8300
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.1400
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.8500
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.1650
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.8200
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.1900
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.8000
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.1950
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.1850
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.8850
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.1250
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0550
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.9350
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0750
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.9350
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.9200
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0900
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.9000
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.1100
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.8750
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.8700
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.8250
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 423, Buy volume: 139544.81, Sell volume: 83112.30, Average price: 0.4899, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.5050
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.5350
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.4100
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.6400
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.3750
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.6250
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.3750
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.6200
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.3900
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.6250
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.3700
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.6350
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.3450
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.6400
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.3600
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.6400
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.3650
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.6400
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.3600
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.6450
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.3550
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.6600
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.3400
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.6650
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.3450
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.6550
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.3450
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.6550
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.3450
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.6550
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.3450
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.6550
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.3450
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.6550
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.3450
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.6550
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.3450
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.6550
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.3450
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.6550
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.3450
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.6550
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.3450
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.6550
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.3450
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.6550
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.3450
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.6500
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.3500
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 151848, Buy volume: 11732192.46, Sell volume: 4017278.70, Average price: 0.4797, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.3500
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.6500
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.3500
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.6500
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.3500
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.6450
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.3550
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.6450
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.3550
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.6450
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.3550
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.6450
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.6450
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.3500
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.6500
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.3400
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.6600
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.3400
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.7100
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.3000
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.7000
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.2900
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.7100
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.2850
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.7100
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.2800
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.7200
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.2800
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.7200
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.2800
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.7200
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.2900
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.7100
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.2850
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.7150
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.2850
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.7150
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.2850
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.7100
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.2950
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.7050
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.3000
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.7000
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.3000
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.7000
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.3000
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.7000
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.3000
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111888, Buy volume: 5184543.74, Sell volume: 2870007.12, Average price: 0.5624, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.3000
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.7000
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.3000
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.7000
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.3000
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.7050
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.2950
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.7050
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.2950
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.7050
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.2950
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.7050
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.2950
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.7050
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.2950
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.7050
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.2950
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.7050
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.2950
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.7050
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.2950
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.6950
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.3050
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.6950
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.3050
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.6950
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.3050
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.6950
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.3050
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.6950
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.3050
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.6950
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.3050
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.6950
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.3050
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.6950
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.3050
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.6950
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.3050
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.6950
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.3050
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.6950
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.3100
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.6900
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.3100
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.6900
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.3100
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.6900
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.3100
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17982, Buy volume: 1760193.86, Sell volume: 350529.12, Average price: 0.3478, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.3050
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.6950
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.3050
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.6950
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.3050
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.6950
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.3050
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.6950
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.3050
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.6950
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.3050
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.6950
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.3050
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.6950
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.3050
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.6950
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.3050
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.6950
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.3050
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.6950
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.3050
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.6950
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.3050
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.6950
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.3100
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.6900
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.3100
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.6900
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.3100
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.6900
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.3050
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.6950
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.3050
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.6950
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.3050
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.6950
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.3050
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.6950
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.3050
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.6950
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.3050
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.6950
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.3050
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.6950
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.3050
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.6950
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.3050
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.6950
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.3050
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23976, Buy volume: 1235493.58, Sell volume: 1226272.50, Average price: 0.3058, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.3200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.2950
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.7050
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.2950
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.7050
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.2950
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.7050
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.2950
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.7050
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2950
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.7050
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.2950
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.7050
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2950
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.7050
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.2950
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.7050
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.2950
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.7050
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.2950
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.7050
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.3050
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.3050
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.3050
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.3100
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.3100
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.6650
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.3450
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.6550
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.3350
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.6650
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.3350
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.6650
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.3350
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.6650
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.3350
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.6650
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.3350
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.6700
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.3250
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.6750
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.3250
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.6750
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.3250
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25974, Buy volume: 3017276.69, Sell volume: 908230.86, Average price: 0.3478, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.3250
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.6750
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.3250
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.6750
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.3250
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.6750
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.3250
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.3300
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.6700
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.3300
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.6700
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.3300
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.6700
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.3300
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.6700
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.3300
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.6700
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.3300
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.6700
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.3300
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.6700
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.3300
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.6700
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.6700
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.6700
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.3300
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.3300
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.6700
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.3300
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.6700
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.6700
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.3300
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.6700
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.3300
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.3650
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.3650
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.3700
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.6550
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.6550
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.3450
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.6650
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.6650
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.6650
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.3350
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.3350
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.3350
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.6650
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.3350
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41958, Buy volume: 925443.99, Sell volume: 2935921.14, Average price: 0.3934, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.3300
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.3300
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.6700
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.3450
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.6450
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.6450
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.3500
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.6650
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.3350
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.3350
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.3350
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.3250
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.3350
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.6650
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.6650
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.6650
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.3350
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.6650
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.3350
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.6650
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.6650
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.6650
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.6750
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.6750
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.3250
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.3250
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.6750
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.6750
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.3250
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.3250
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.6750
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.6750
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.3250
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.3250
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.3300
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.3300
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.3300
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.6700
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.3300
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.3300
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.3300
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.3300
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.3300
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.3300
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.6700
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.6700
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.6700
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.3300
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23976, Buy volume: 385601.62, Sell volume: 761218.02, Average price: 0.4408, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.6700
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.3300
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.3300
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.3300
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.6700
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.3300
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.6700
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.6700
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.6700
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.3300
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.3650
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.6400
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.3750
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.3700
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.6250
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.3750
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.3750
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.6150
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.6150
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.5950
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.5950
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.4100
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.4050
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.5900
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.4100
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.4200
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.5950
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.6150
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.3950
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.3900
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.6150
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.3850
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.3850
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.6150
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.6150
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.6200
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.6200
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.3800
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.3250
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.6950
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77922, Buy volume: 4041697.01, Sell volume: 1065413.52, Average price: 0.4941, Price range: 0.3050 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.3150
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.6950
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.3100
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.6800
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.6850
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.3350
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.6600
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.6700
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.6600
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.6700
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.3350
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.6700
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.3350
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.6700
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.3300
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.6750
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.3350
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.3250
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.6750
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.6750
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.3350
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.6650
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.6700
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.6600
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.6650
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.3350
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.6650
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.3250
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.3300
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.6700
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.3200
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15984, Buy volume: 2747651.15, Sell volume: 64315.62, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.6500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.6850
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.6750
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.3300
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.6700
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.3250
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.6700
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.6800
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.3350
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.6650
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.3350
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.6650
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6550
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.3450
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6550
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3450
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3500
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6500
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39960, Buy volume: 5407392.08, Sell volume: 2034703.26, Average price: 0.4354, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550016
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272055.515035
Price History:
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6550
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3450
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3350
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6550
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6350
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.6550
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.3450
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3450
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.3450
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.6550
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.3450
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.3450
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.3600
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.3500
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.3700
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.6400
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.6550
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.6550
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.3450
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.6550
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.3500
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.3500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.6500
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.6500
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.3500
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.6250
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.3800
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.3150
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.3150
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.6850
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.3050
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.2950
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.6950
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.3000
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.3050
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 263736, Buy volume: 16465871.88, Sell volume: 3488408.10, Average price: 0.5508, Price range: 0.2950 - 0.7200

Output: No