Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.0900
2024-12-17 23:00: 0.0950
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.0955
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.0935
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.1565
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.1560
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.1570
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.1655
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.1620
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.1590
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.1590
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.1580
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.1580
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.1615
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.1575
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.1525
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.1380
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.1530
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.1050
2024-12-25 11:00: 0.1030
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.1030
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.0980
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.1055
2024-12-27 03:00: 0.1065
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.1055
2024-12-27 23:00: 0.1085
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.1090
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.1065
2024-12-29 05:00: 0.1445
2024-12-29 15:00: 0.1040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13843153.41, Sell volume: 11455933.07, Average price: 0.5617, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.1485
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.1425
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.1080
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.1140
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.1155
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.1390
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.1320
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.1135
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.1255
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.1220
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.1230
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.1195
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.1245
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.1130
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.1135
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.1105
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.1160
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.1140
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.1170
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.1190
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.1585
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.1245
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.1435
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.1520
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.1230
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.1250
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.1140
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.1405
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.1435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13843153.41, Sell volume: 11455933.07, Average price: 0.5617, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.1570
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.1640
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.1550
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.1440
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.1335
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.1235
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.1060
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.1275
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.1220
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.1330
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.1365
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.1370
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.1430
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.1395
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.1400
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.1995
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.2055
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.2060
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.2055
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.2050
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.2045
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.2040
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.2040
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.2065
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.2325
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.1965
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.2170
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.2030
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.2025
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.2020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13843153.41, Sell volume: 11455933.07, Average price: 0.5617, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.1995
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.1995
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.1995
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.2645
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.2525
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.2340
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.2380
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.2465
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.2395
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.2090
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.1945
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.1935
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.1925
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.1950
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.1945
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.1605
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.1430
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.1430
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.2460
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.2930
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.2315
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.2270
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.1320
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.2170
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.2035
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.2055
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.1820
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.2175
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.2355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 13843153.41, Sell volume: 11455933.07, Average price: 0.5617, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.2240
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.1940
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.1810
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.1895
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.2725
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.2600
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.2790
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.2380
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.2420
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.1915
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.1680
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.1895
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.1925
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.1965
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.1955
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.2375
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.2365
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.2410
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.2455
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.2555
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.2540
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.2480
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.2480
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.2480
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.2475
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.2390
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.1855
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.1870
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.1820
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.2080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999087, Buy volume: 13336222.99, Sell volume: 11403183.62, Average price: 0.5616, Price range: 0.1160 - 0.8830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.1960
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.1965
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.1940
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.1960
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.1570
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.1600
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.1585
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.1555
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.1580
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.1625
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.1580
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.1590
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.1610
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.1645
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.2420
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.2510
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.1950
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.2015
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.2010
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.1995
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.2025
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.2025
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.1870
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.1815
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.1705
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.1705
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.1675
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.1675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 390, Buy volume: 9984.56, Sell volume: 4934.94, Average price: 0.6052, Price range: 0.1450 - 0.8550
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.1675
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.1680
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.1675
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.1675
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.1675
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.1675
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.1680
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.2030
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.2030
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.2030
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.2015
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.2020
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.2030
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.2030
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0205
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0705
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0550
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0510
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.0200
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0240
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0225
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.0265
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0270
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0265
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0270
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.0220
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0210
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.0225
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 170, Buy volume: 18046.47, Sell volume: 1837.99, Average price: 0.6887, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0185
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.0170
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.0145
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0125
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.0160
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.0160
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0145
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0145
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0165
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0185
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0185
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0160
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.0165
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0165
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.0170
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0215
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0215
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0210
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.0110
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.0120
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0085
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0085
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.0085
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0085
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0095
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.0075
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 198, Buy volume: 419.29, Sell volume: 12130.59, Average price: 0.7289, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0115
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0105
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.0120
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0115
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.0130
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0150
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.0090
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.0090
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.0075
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0085
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0085
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 951.85, Sell volume: 382.38, Average price: 0.8579, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0130
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0115
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.0100
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0110
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0115
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0125
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0115
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0095
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0100
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0110
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0110
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0100
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0125
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0115
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0100
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 32.00, Sell volume: 1300.36, Average price: 0.7785, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0230
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0250
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0235
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0235
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0230
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0180
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0190
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0145
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0190
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0055
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0030
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0030
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0030
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 10791.03, Sell volume: 27938.56, Average price: 0.7399, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514820
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
Volume: 715787.402768
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0030
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0030
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0030
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0030
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0030
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0030
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0030
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0055
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0055
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0055
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0055
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0080
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.0080
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0080
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0045
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 465705.23, Sell volume: 4206.70, Average price: 0.8343, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0700
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9770
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0230
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.9770
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0230
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.9840
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0135
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9870
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0115
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9890
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0140
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.9860
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0155
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9845
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0155
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.9845
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0140
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9855
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0145
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.9845
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0185
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9825
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0180
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.9820
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0170
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.9830
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0145
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9855
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0135
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9855
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.0135
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9860
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0140
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9870
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0145
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9855
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0145
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9860
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0130
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9875
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0120
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9885
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0120
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9880
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0060
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9925
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9925
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0060
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0050
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9945
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0050
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9945
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0055
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9945
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0040
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9960
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0040
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9965
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9965
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0045
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9955
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9960
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0040
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9960
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9960
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9960
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9960
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9960
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9960
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9965
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9965
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9965
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9965
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9950
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0045
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9955
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0045
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9960
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0040
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9960
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0040
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9955
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0045
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9950
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9945
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0050
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9950
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0050
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9960
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0040
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9960
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0045
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9950
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0045
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9950
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0045
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9965
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9965
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.9965
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9965
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9965
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9965
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.9965
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.0050
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.9940
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0055
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.9945
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0060
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.9940
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.0060
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9940
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.0060
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9940
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.0060
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.9940
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.0060
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.9940
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.0060
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.9940
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0060
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.9940
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.0060
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.9900
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0100
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.9895
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0105
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.9895
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.0105
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9895
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.0105
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.9900
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.0100
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9900
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.0085
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.9915
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.0085
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.9915
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0085
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9915
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0080
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.9920
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.0080
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9920
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.0080
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.9920
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.0080
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0080
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.9915
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.0110
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.9890
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0105
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9895
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.0135
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.9875
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.0110
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9870
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.0130
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.9870
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.0140
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.9890
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.0120
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.9890
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0105
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.9865
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0135
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9870
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0105
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.9895
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0135
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9885
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0110
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.9895
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0115
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9880
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0135
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9885
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.0125
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9880
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0110
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9890
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0125
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9870
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0130
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9870
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0120
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.9895
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0125
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.9890
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0140
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9865
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0120
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9880
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.0115
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.9860
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0145
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0125
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.9855
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0110
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9880
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.0140
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.9855
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.0125
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9860
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0125
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9860
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0135
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9865
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0145
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.9865
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.0130
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.9845
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0135
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9870
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0120
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9885
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.0115
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9895
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0110
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9905
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0115
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.9900
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0120
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9880
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0120
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9880
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0120
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.9880
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.0145
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.9865
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.0150
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.9860
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0145
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9855
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.0150
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9850
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.0145
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.9850
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.0135
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.9895
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0105
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9895
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.0110
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.9870
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0115
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0105
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.9895
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0105
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9900
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0100
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.9900
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0100
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.9900
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0110
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9895
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0105
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.9895
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0105
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9895
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0110
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.9895
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0095
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9905
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9905
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9890
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9890
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.0100
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.9895
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0095
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9905
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0100
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9900
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.0095
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9900
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0100
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.9900
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.9900
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9900
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9900
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0105
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9900
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0110
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.9895
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9895
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0105
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.9895
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9895
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9895
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0105
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9895
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9900
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.0100
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9875
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9890
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0110
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.9885
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0110
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9885
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9885
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9885
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9885
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0105
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9890
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0105
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.9890
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0105
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.9895
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.0105
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9895
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9895
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9895
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0115
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9885
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0115
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9890
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0115
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9885
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.0110
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.9890
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0115
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9885
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0115
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9875
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9875
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0115
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9880
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0125
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9885
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9870
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0135
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9860
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0125
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9875
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0125
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9875
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0135
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0135
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.9870
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0130
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9885
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0115
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9885
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0115
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9880
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9875
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0135
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9875
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0140
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9875
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0125
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9875
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0110
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.9885
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0115
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9880
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0110
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9890
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9870
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0130
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0130
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9885
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0115
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9880
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9885
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0125
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9875
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9870
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9880
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9885
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0110
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9885
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0115
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0125
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9885
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0125
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9890
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0125
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9890
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0110
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9890
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0115
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9885
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0130
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9875
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0115
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9885
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0110
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9875
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9890
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0125
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0110
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9875
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0110
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9885
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0115
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9900
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0240
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0030
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9970
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0030
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0030
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9970
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9970
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9970
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9925
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9955
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9960
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0030
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9970
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9965
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9965
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0020
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0040
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9980
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9960
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0055
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9960
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0700
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9765
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0230
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.9860
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0125
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9890
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0140
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.9845
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0155
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9860
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0145
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9825
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0200
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.9815
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0115
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9855
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0145
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.9855
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0135
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9855
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0145
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9875
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0120
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9875
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0085
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9925
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9940
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0050
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0050
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9950
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0055
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9945
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0040
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9965
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9955
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0045
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9960
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9960
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9960
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9960
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9965
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9965
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9955
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0045
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9960
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0040
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9960
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0040
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9960
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0045
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9945
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9960
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0040
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9960
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0055
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9955
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9950
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.0055
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9940
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0060
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9940
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0060
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.9940
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.0060
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9940
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0060
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9940
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.0110
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.9895
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0105
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9895
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.0100
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.9900
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0085
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.9915
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0085
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.9915
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0080
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0080
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0080
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0080
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.9880
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.0105
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9885
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0105
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9870
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.0130
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.9880
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.0100
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9895
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0135
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9895
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0130
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9880
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0120
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9880
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0115
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9890
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0130
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.9875
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0130
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9895
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0130
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9860
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0135
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9880
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0140
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9865
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0130
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0125
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.9850
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0135
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.9870
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0145
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9860
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0135
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9860
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0145
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9865
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0120
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9870
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0120
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.9885
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0120
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9880
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0120
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.9880
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0145
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.9850
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0145
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.9855
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0145
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9855
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0135
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9895
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0130
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.9870
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0130
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0105
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9890
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9905
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.0100
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9895
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0105
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9895
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9905
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.9905
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0115
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9910
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0095
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9905
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9905
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9880
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0100
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.9890
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0100
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9900
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0100
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9900
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9900
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0110
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.9895
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.0105
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9895
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9895
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0105
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9900
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0110
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9885
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0110
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9890
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9885
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9885
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0110
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.9895
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0105
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9895
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9895
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0115
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9885
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9885
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0110
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9885
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0110
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0115
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9875
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0140
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9885
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0130
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9870
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0135
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9875
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9885
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9875
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9885
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0140
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9860
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0125
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.9880
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9885
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0125
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9890
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0130
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9870
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0130
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0130
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0110
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0110
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9870
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9900
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9885
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0125
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9880
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0125
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9890
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0115
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9890
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9870
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0130
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9890
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0125
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9885
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0100
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0030
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9970
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0030
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9945
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9960
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524998
Question: Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?
Volume: 1174712.015783
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9970
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9965
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9980
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0040
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9965
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 146227964.70, Sell volume: 75531078.22, Average price: 0.5797, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0400
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9705
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0270
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.9735
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0265
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.9815
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0060
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9940
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0060
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9940
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0045
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.9955
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0050
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9940
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0060
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.9220
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0795
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9490
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0795
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.9205
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0795
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9330
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0795
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.9205
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0720
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.9205
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0780
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9220
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0775
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9205
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.0795
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9205
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0785
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9215
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0695
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9305
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0645
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9310
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0695
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9305
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0680
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9325
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0675
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9315
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0675
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9320
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0675
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9330
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0680
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0695
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9305
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0695
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9305
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0675
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9345
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0655
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9345
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0680
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9325
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0675
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9325
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0685
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9320
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0685
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9335
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0630
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9335
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0655
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9365
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0695
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9305
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0695
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9370
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0625
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9350
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0685
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9315
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0685
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9315
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0625
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9360
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0620
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9375
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0635
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0660
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9365
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0635
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9365
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0645
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9355
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0640
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9365
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0635
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9365
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0640
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9360
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0640
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0620
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9375
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0620
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9365
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0640
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9365
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0640
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9365
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0640
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9365
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0625
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9405
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0610
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9375
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0630
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9370
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0630
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9370
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0625
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9375
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0630
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9370
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0625
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9380
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0605
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9375
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0635
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9365
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0325
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.9775
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.0205
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9830
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.0245
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.9755
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0255
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9710
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0290
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9710
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0190
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9715
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0190
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.9750
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0185
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9755
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0215
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9735
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0260
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.9805
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.0200
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0285
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.9735
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.0240
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.9870
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0230
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.9805
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0225
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.9740
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.0275
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9770
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.0245
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9775
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.0150
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.9880
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.0230
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.9910
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.0135
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0230
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.9800
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.0235
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.9790
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0215
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.9800
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0225
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.9790
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.0210
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9830
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.0200
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.9815
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.0170
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9830
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.0195
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.9820
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.0135
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.9850
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0130
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9850
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0140
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.9850
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0130
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.9835
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.0150
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9870
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.0145
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9850
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.0140
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.9850
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.0150
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0155
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.9865
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.0120
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.9855
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0130
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9900
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.9905
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.0100
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9900
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.0100
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.9895
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.9840
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.0130
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.9860
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0130
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.9860
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0135
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9865
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0100
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.9875
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0115
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9860
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0130
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.9855
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0165
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9880
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0110
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9885
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.0160
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9845
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0145
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9880
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0170
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9835
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0130
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9870
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0110
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.9850
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0160
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.9840
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9830
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0155
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9865
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.0155
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.9835
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0170
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0150
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.9865
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0125
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9835
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.0145
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.9840
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.0145
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9845
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0155
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9835
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0160
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9840
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0130
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.9835
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.0155
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.9850
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9890
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9905
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.0100
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9885
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0110
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9905
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0110
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.9890
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0115
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9905
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0115
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9905
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0110
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.9905
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.0115
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.9885
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.0115
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.9895
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0225
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9850
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.0160
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9845
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.0155
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.9780
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.0125
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.9835
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0090
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9850
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.0115
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.9905
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0205
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0075
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.9925
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0085
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9930
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0070
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.9930
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0070
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.9930
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0070
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9930
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0070
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.9930
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0070
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9930
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0070
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0115
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0100
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0095
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9920
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0085
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9870
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0140
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9910
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9925
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9905
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0110
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9895
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9890
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9900
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9915
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9920
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9900
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0090
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9915
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9910
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9910
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9885
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9860
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9895
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0105
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9890
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0110
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9895
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9895
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9915
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0090
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9900
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9900
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0090
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0085
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0090
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9910
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0090
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9885
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9890
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0100
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0100
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9895
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9920
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9915
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0080
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9920
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0085
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0085
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9915
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0085
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9915
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0085
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9935
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9930
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0070
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9930
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9930
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9925
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9920
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9930
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0065
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9925
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9935
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0400
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9720
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0265
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.9940
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0060
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9940
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0045
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.9940
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0060
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9205
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0795
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9205
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0795
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.9205
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0795
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9220
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0795
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.9205
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0785
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9305
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0645
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9305
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0695
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9325
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0680
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9320
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0670
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9320
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0680
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0695
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9305
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0695
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9345
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0655
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9325
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0675
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9320
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0680
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9370
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0655
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9320
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0695
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9360
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0645
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9315
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0685
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0625
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9365
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0660
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9355
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0635
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9355
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0635
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9365
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0640
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9360
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0640
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0620
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9380
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0610
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9360
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0640
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9365
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0595
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9365
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0630
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9370
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0625
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9375
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0625
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9370
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0625
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9365
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0225
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.9795
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0215
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9745
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0290
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9750
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0265
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9780
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.0245
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9735
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0195
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9760
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0255
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0285
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9765
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.0270
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9800
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0225
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9770
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0225
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.9885
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.0135
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9865
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0230
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9780
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.0205
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.9805
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0230
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9830
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.0185
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.9825
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0175
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.9865
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0130
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.9860
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0155
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9860
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.0120
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9850
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0150
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9865
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0130
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0155
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.9875
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.0115
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9905
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0100
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9900
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.0105
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.9865
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9870
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0135
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9880
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0120
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9900
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0105
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9880
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0115
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9880
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0110
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.9830
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0130
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9835
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0115
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9825
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0170
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9865
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0165
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9845
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0155
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0150
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.9840
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0135
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.9870
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0125
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9835
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0160
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9850
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0150
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9905
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9905
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0110
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.9885
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0110
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9905
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0095
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.9905
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0115
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.9885
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0225
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.9840
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0215
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9795
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0175
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9850
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0095
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.9830
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0075
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0070
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9930
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.0070
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9930
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0070
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9930
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9930
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9900
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9885
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0110
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0095
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9910
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9910
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0155
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9875
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9890
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9915
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9900
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0090
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0090
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524999
Question: Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
Volume: 1566412.854551
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9890
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0100
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0080
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9915
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9920
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0085
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9915
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9930
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0065
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9930
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9930
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0085
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9905
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9925
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9935
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0085
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 65015469.33, Sell volume: 19811177.88, Average price: 0.6624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.5750
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.3450
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.3750
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.4500
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.4450
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.4100
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.4100
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.3850
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.3750
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.3650
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.3600
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.3600
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.3700
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.3650
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.3650
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.3650
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.3650
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.3550
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.3550
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.3550
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.3550
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.3550
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.3550
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.3450
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.3450
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.3450
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.3450
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.3450
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.3400
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.3400
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.3450
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.3400
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.3400
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.3400
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.3450
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.3450
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.3450
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.3400
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.3400
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.3450
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.3250
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.3250
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.3250
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.3250
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.3250
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.3250
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.3150
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.3150
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.3150
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55061908.60, Sell volume: 6747222.32, Average price: 0.5431, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9833

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.3250
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.3250
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.3250
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.3250
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.3150
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.3250
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.3250
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.3250
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.3150
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.3200
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.3150
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.3150
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.3200
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.3250
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.3250
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.3250
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.3250
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.3250
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.3250
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.3250
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.3250
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.3250
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.3250
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.3100
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.3250
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.3250
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.3250
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.3250
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.3250
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.3350
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.3350
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.3350
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.3350
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.3350
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.3350
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.3350
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.3350
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.3350
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.3350
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.3350
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.3350
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.3350
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.3350
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.3350
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.3350
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.3350
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.3350
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.3350
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.3350
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55061908.60, Sell volume: 6747222.32, Average price: 0.5431, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9833

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.3450
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.3450
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.3450
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.3550
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.3500
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.3550
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.3550
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.3550
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.3550
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.3550
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.3550
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.3550
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.3550
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.3550
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.3550
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.3550
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.3550
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.3550
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.3550
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.3550
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.3550
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.3550
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.3550
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.3550
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.3550
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.3550
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.3550
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.3550
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.3550
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.3550
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.3550
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.3550
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.3550
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.3550
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.3550
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.3550
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.3550
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.3550
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.3550
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.3550
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.3550
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.3550
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.3550
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.3550
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55061908.60, Sell volume: 6747222.32, Average price: 0.5431, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9833

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.3650
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.3650
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.3650
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.3350
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.3350
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.3350
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.3350
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.3350
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.3450
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.3450
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.3450
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.3450
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.3450
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.3450
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.3450
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.3450
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.3450
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.3450
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.2350
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.2350
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.2300
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.2350
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.2350
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.3550
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.3700
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.3750
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.3700
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.3650
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.2400
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.2400
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.3650
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.3800
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.3900
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.3900
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.4000
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.4050
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.4050
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.4050
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.4050
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.4100
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.4100
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.5000
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.4400
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.4700
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.4650
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.4650
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.4600
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 55061908.60, Sell volume: 6747222.32, Average price: 0.5431, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9833

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.4650
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.4250
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.4750
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.4850
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.4950
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.4750
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.4700
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.4750
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.4800
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.4700
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.4450
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.4850
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.4650
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.4650
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.4700
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.4650
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.4650
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.4650
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.4700
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.4750
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.4750
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.4750
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.4800
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.4750
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.5250
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.5200
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.5150
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.5850
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.5900
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.5900
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.5900
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.5850
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.5800
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.5750
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.5900
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.5800
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.6050
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.6000
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.6000
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.6050
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.6100
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.6150
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.6150
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.6150
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.6150
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.6200
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.6250
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.6100
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.6250
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21978, Buy volume: 776078.94, Sell volume: 3156.84, Average price: 0.6181, Price range: 0.3996 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.6300
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.6350
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.6400
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.6600
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.7000
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.6950
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.6950
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.7000
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.7000
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.6900
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.6950
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.6750
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.7100
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.7000
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.7000
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.6550
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.6650
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.6600
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.6700
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.6950
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.6950
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.6850
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.6900
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.7050
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.5950
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.6350
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.6350
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.6350
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.6450
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.5600
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.5000
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.5000
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.5050
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.5450
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.5100
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.5100
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.5100
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.5100
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.5100
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.5100
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.5100
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.5100
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.5100
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.5100
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.5100
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.5050
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.5050
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.5050
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49950, Buy volume: 922118.35, Sell volume: 42017.94, Average price: 0.6552, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.4700
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.4700
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.4700
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.4700
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.3200
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.3150
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.3200
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.3050
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.2950
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.4350
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.4900
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.4850
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.4850
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.4850
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.4850
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.4850
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.4850
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.4850
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.4750
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.4850
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.4850
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.4850
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.4850
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.4900
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.4800
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.4800
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.4800
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.4800
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.3050
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.4750
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.4800
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.4800
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.4800
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.4750
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.4750
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.4750
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.4750
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.4800
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.4650
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.2600
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.2700
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.2700
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.2700
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.2700
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.3000
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.3150
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.3050
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.2850
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.2400
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17982, Buy volume: 3567.85, Sell volume: 1195343.46, Average price: 0.3179, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.5600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545054
Question: Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 298235.064867
Price History:
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2250
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.7750
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.2250
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.2250
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7750
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.2250
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.2250
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.7750
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.2250
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.7700
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.7700
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.2300
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.2300
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.7750
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.2250
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.2250
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.7600
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.7650
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.2300
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.7650
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.7750
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.8600
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.8800
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.7700
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.7700
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.7600
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.2400
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.3100
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.1350
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.1350
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.1350
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0900
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0900
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.7100
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.7150
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.3050
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.7950
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41958, Buy volume: 1568529.90, Sell volume: 573426.00, Average price: 0.4648, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8300

Output: Yes