Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 528.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9475, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9550

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9300
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 494.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9433, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9300
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9300
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0600
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 104.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 254.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0767, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0834

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9600
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0355
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9645
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9620
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9620
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9620
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9620
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9620
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9620
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9620
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9620
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9620
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0380
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9620
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0380
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9620
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0380
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9620
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 130.00, Sell volume: 14.28, Average price: 0.0467, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.0500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9620
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0555
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9445
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0560
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9440
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0560
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9440
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0555
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9445
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0555
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9445
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0585
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9415
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0610
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9390
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0560
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9440
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0560
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9440
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0565
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9435
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0565
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9435
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0565
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9435
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0565
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9435
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0565
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9435
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0570
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 515.31, Sell volume: 172.93, Average price: 0.7977, Price range: 0.0642 - 0.9650

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0570
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9430
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0570
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0585
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9415
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0580
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9420
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0605
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9395
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0620
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9380
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 61903.97, Sell volume: 6896.06, Average price: 0.6658, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0575
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9425
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0580
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9420
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0515
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9485
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0515
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9485
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0515
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9485
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0515
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9485
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0515
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9485
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0515
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9485
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0375
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9625
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0345
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9655
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0345
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9655
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0345
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9655
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0345
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9655
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0345
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9655
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0340
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9660
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0340
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9660
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0340
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1315.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6551, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9662

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0340
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9660
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0330
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9670
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0335
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9665
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0295
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9705
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0295
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9705
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9700
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0385
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9615
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0685
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9315
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0765
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9235
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.2935
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.7065
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1540
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8460
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.1575
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.8425
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.1595
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8405
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.1425
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.8575
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.1110
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8890
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0980
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9020
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0625
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9375
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0435
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9565
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 4083.31, Sell volume: 545.40, Average price: 0.4729, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9792

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9750
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0380
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9620
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0310
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9690
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9845
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0130
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9870
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 52915.85, Sell volume: 1975.72, Average price: 0.7864, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 4187.73, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3750
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3500
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6500
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 103.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9570, Price range: 0.9570 - 0.9570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9000
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.1000
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 61903.97, Sell volume: 6896.06, Average price: 0.6658, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1000
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9000
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 528.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9475, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9550
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 494.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9433, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9300
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9300
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0600
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 104.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 254.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0767, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0834
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9600
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0355
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9645
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9620
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9620
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9620
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9620
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9620
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9620
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9620
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9620
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0380
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 130.00, Sell volume: 14.28, Average price: 0.0467, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.0500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9620
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0555
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9445
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0560
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9440
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0560
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9440
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0555
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9445
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0555
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9445
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0585
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9415
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0610
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9390
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0560
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9440
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0560
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9440
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0565
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9435
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0565
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9435
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 515.31, Sell volume: 172.93, Average price: 0.7977, Price range: 0.0642 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0570
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9430
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0570
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0585
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9415
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0580
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 61903.97, Sell volume: 6896.06, Average price: 0.6658, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0575
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9425
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0580
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9420
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0570
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9430
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0515
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9485
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0515
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9485
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0515
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9485
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0515
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9485
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0515
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9485
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0515
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9485
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0375
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9625
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0345
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9655
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0345
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9655
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0345
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9655
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0345
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9655
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1315.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6551, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9662
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0340
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9660
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0330
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9670
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0335
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9665
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0295
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9705
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0295
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9705
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9700
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0385
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9615
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0685
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9315
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0765
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9235
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.2935
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.7065
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1540
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8460
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.1575
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.8425
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.1595
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8405
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.1425
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.8575
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.1110
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 4083.31, Sell volume: 545.40, Average price: 0.4729, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9792
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9750
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0380
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9620
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0310
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9690
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9845
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0130
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9870
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 52915.85, Sell volume: 1975.72, Average price: 0.7864, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 660218
Question: Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?
Volume: 68800.025975
Price History:
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 4187.73, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.5900 - 0.5900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.5300
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.4700
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.3100
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.3100
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.6900
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 158361.96, Sell volume: 21440.85, Average price: 0.5585, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3650
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 500.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5700, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3700
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.6300
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.3650
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.6350
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.3650
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.6350
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.3650
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6350
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3650
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 158361.96, Sell volume: 21440.85, Average price: 0.5585, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.3850
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.3850
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 158361.96, Sell volume: 21440.85, Average price: 0.5585, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.3850
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5650
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.4450
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 282.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5175, Price range: 0.4653 - 0.5697

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5850
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.3900
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6100
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3850
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 158361.96, Sell volume: 21440.85, Average price: 0.5585, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.2750
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7250
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 3136.15, Sell volume: 375.02, Average price: 0.4838, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7278

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.2850
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.3300
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1400.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3768, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7309

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.3300
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.6700
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4400
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6300
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6400
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.6400
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.3500
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.6500
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.6500
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.3500
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.6500
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1489.02, Sell volume: 106.49, Average price: 0.5515, Price range: 0.3622 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.6250
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.2050
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.7950
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.1650
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7400
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.3450
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.6550
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.3500
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 7140.07, Sell volume: 3809.66, Average price: 0.4957, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.3500
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.1700
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8300
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.1200
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8800
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.1200
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.8800
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 7877.83, Sell volume: 2769.83, Average price: 0.6422, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9798

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0180
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9820
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9915
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0090
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9910
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 131496.37, Sell volume: 11450.33, Average price: 0.6173, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.5900 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.5300
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.4700
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.3100
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.3100
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.6900
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 158361.96, Sell volume: 21440.85, Average price: 0.5585, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3650
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 500.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5700, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3700
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.6300
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.3650
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.6350
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.3650
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.6350
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.3650
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6350
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3650
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 158361.96, Sell volume: 21440.85, Average price: 0.5585, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.3850
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.3850
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 158361.96, Sell volume: 21440.85, Average price: 0.5585, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.3850
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5650
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.4450
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 282.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5175, Price range: 0.4653 - 0.5697
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5850
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.3900
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6100
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3850
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 158361.96, Sell volume: 21440.85, Average price: 0.5585, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.2750
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7250
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 3136.15, Sell volume: 375.02, Average price: 0.4838, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7278
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.2850
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.3300
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1400.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3768, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7309
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.3300
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.6700
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4400
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6300
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6400
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.6400
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.3500
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.6500
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.6500
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.3500
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.6500
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.3600
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1489.02, Sell volume: 106.49, Average price: 0.5515, Price range: 0.3622 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.6250
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.2050
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.7950
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.1650
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7400
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.3450
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.6550
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4050
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.3500
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 7140.07, Sell volume: 3809.66, Average price: 0.4957, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.3500
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.1700
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8300
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.1200
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8800
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.1200
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.8800
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 7877.83, Sell volume: 2769.83, Average price: 0.6422, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9798
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 662235
Question: Canton FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Volume: 179802.806114
Price History:
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0180
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9820
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9915
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0090
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9910
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 131496.37, Sell volume: 11450.33, Average price: 0.6173, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.2300
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.7700
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9550
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9650
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0325
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9675
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0295
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9705
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0420
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9580
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9700
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9750
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0250
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 5529.92, Sell volume: 874.34, Average price: 0.7033, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0215
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9785
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0205
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9795
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0200
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9800
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0100
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9900
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0110
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9890
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 7248.05, Sell volume: 170.80, Average price: 0.7681, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0120
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9880
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0105
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9895
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0110
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9890
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0105
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9895
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 3304.15, Sell volume: 802.63, Average price: 0.5718, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3699.65, Sell volume: 2736.54, Average price: 0.3553, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9986

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0110
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 10939.77, Sell volume: 4776.27, Average price: 0.3065, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0135
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9865
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0130
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9870
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9850
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 4720.91, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1941.88, Sell volume: 3665.03, Average price: 0.6136, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 5615.21, Sell volume: 312.82, Average price: 0.8882, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0085
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9915
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9915
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 5347.82, Sell volume: 73.84, Average price: 0.8287, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9880
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9880
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9905
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4854.98, Sell volume: 286.12, Average price: 0.8124, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9910
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2797.41, Sell volume: 14467.72, Average price: 0.3584, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 56.57, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 157.98, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.2300
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.7700
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9550
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9650
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0325
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9675
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0295
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9705
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0420
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9580
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9700
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9750
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0250
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 5529.92, Sell volume: 874.34, Average price: 0.7033, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0215
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9785
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0205
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9795
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0200
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9800
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0100
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9900
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0110
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9890
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 7248.05, Sell volume: 170.80, Average price: 0.7681, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0120
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9880
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0105
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9895
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0110
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9890
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0105
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9895
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 3304.15, Sell volume: 802.63, Average price: 0.5718, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3699.65, Sell volume: 2736.54, Average price: 0.3553, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9986
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0110
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 10939.77, Sell volume: 4776.27, Average price: 0.3065, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0135
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9865
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0130
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9870
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9850
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 4720.91, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1941.88, Sell volume: 3665.03, Average price: 0.6136, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 5615.21, Sell volume: 312.82, Average price: 0.8882, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0085
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9915
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9915
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 5347.82, Sell volume: 73.84, Average price: 0.8287, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9880
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9880
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9905
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4854.98, Sell volume: 286.12, Average price: 0.8124, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9910
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2797.41, Sell volume: 14467.72, Average price: 0.3584, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 56.57, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 656818
Question: Will the Jupiter proposal to burn 130,000,000 $JUP pass?
Volume: 94382.989037
Price History:
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 157.98, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.2700
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.7300
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.7300
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.2100
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.7900
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.2150
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 169.01, Sell volume: 6.00, Average price: 0.5250, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2100
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.7900
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.7750
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.7600
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.2400
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.2400
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 500.89, Sell volume: 63.30, Average price: 0.4391, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.2450
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.7550
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.7500
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.7100
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2175.47, Sell volume: 133.65, Average price: 0.4550, Price range: 0.2539 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 155.23, Sell volume: 237.27, Average price: 0.4899, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5900
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.4100
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.5700
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 140.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5652, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.5550
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.4450
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.2750
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1075.56, Sell volume: 259.59, Average price: 0.5229, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3900
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 421.29, Sell volume: 340.64, Average price: 0.5416, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.6350
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.3650
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 546.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5072, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6444

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.3900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 39.00, Sell volume: 26.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.4100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 218.07, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.5143, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4050
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5650
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 203.00, Sell volume: 726.00, Average price: 0.4822, Price range: 0.4151 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 13808.75, Sell volume: 1364.36, Average price: 0.8290, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14808.75, Sell volume: 1431.02, Average price: 0.8150, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.2700
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.7300
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.7300
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.2100
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.7900
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.2150
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 169.01, Sell volume: 6.00, Average price: 0.5250, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2100
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.7900
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.7750
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.7600
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.2400
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.2400
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 500.89, Sell volume: 63.30, Average price: 0.4391, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.2450
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.7550
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.7500
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.7100
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2175.47, Sell volume: 133.65, Average price: 0.4550, Price range: 0.2539 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 155.23, Sell volume: 237.27, Average price: 0.4899, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5900
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.4100
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.5700
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 140.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5652, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.5550
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.4450
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.2750
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1075.56, Sell volume: 259.59, Average price: 0.5229, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3900
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 421.29, Sell volume: 340.64, Average price: 0.5416, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.6350
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.3650
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 546.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5072, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6444
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.6100
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.3900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 39.00, Sell volume: 26.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.4100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 218.07, Sell volume: 1.81, Average price: 0.5143, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4050
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5650
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 203.00, Sell volume: 726.00, Average price: 0.4822, Price range: 0.4151 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 13808.75, Sell volume: 1364.36, Average price: 0.8290, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 663965
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by November 30?
Volume: 25854.513053
Price History:
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14808.75, Sell volume: 1431.02, Average price: 0.8150, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663966
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108604.179074
Price History:
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.3350
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.6650
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.1650
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8350
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.1600
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8400
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0280
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9720
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0270
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 617.14, Sell volume: 0.20, Average price: 0.5013, Price range: 0.0257 - 0.9801

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663966
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108604.179074
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0270
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9730
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0275
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9725
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0300
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9700
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0260
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9740
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0270
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 60.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7886, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9790

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663966
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108604.179074
Price History:
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0270
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9730
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0425
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9575
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1585
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8415
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1865
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.8135
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1775
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 3248.10, Sell volume: 392.21, Average price: 0.4239, Price range: 0.0298 - 0.9680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663966
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108604.179074
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1760
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8240
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1755
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8245
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1745
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8255
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.1745
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.8255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 69.63, Sell volume: 104.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1710 - 0.8291

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 663966
Question: Will Nancy Pelosi announce her retirement by June 30, 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 108604.179074
Price History:
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1755
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8245
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1755
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8245
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1755
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8245
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1755
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8245
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1755
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 11.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800

Output: Yes