Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.7350
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.6500
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.6600
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.6750
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.6750
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.6900
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.7050
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.6950
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.6950
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.6950
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.6950
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.6800
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.6800
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.6800
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.6900
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.6950
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.6950
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.6950
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.7000
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.7000
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.7000
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.7000
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.7000
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.7000
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.7050
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.7600
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.7500
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.7500
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.7500
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 8553.23, Sell volume: 7678.27, Average price: 0.6286, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.2850
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.2850
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.2850
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.2950
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.2950
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.3000
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.3150
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.3200
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.3250
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.2900
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.2950
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.3050
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.2900
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.2900
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.2900
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.3150
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.3150
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.3150
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.3150
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.3200
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.3450
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.4050
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.3800
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.3750
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 5898.74, Sell volume: 8648.65, Average price: 0.5847, Price range: 0.2820 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.6350
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.6350
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.6400
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.6400
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.6450
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.6500
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.6600
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.6550
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.6550
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.6550
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.6550
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.6750
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.8000
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.7650
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.8050
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.7950
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.7600
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.7650
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.7650
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.7550
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.7600
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.7900
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.7800
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.7800
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.7750
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.7600
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.7600
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.7550
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.7300
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 14022.76, Sell volume: 9380.27, Average price: 0.5581, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.3900
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.2950
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.2900
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.3300
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.3300
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.3400
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.3400
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.3300
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.3400
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.3100
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.3250
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.3150
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.3250
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.3300
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.3300
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.3250
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.3300
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 196, Buy volume: 11101.32, Sell volume: 6341.47, Average price: 0.5309, Price range: 0.0544 - 0.8605
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516885
Question: TikTok banned in 2025?
Volume: 241309.751218
Price History:
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.8500
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.8550
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.8550
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.8150
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.8250
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.8300
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.8350
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.8350
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.8400
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.8300
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.8300
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.8300
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.8300
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.8400
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.8200
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.8200
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.8200
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.8200
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.8350
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.8750
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.8550
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.8500
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.8450
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.8550
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 8514.78, Sell volume: 5592.93, Average price: 0.4980, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.7550
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.3000
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7150
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.7150
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.7200
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.2800
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.7500
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.2500
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.7450
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.2550
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.7700
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.2300
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.7850
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.2150
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.7650
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.2350
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.7700
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.2300
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.2500
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.7750
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.2250
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.7500
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.2500
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.7500
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 467.04, Sell volume: 16.29, Average price: 0.5967, Price range: 0.2450 - 0.8228

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 79.07, Sell volume: 134.67, Average price: 0.5650, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.7000
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3000
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2550
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2550
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.2550
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.7900
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2100
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.7850
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.7950
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2050
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.7850
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8000
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.2000
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.1900
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.8100
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 230.39, Sell volume: 4.96, Average price: 0.6514, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.1900
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.1900
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.8100
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.1900
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.8100
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.1950
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.1950
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.8150
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.8150
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.8350
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.1650
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.8400
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.1600
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.8100
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.1900
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.8000
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2000
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.8000
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.8000
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.2000
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7900
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.2100
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7900
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.2100
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7900
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.2100
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.8000
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.2000
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.8000
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.2000
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.8000
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.2000
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.8000
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.2000
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.8000
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.2000
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.8000
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.2000
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 41.22, Sell volume: 17.37, Average price: 0.7067, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.8000
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.2000
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.2250
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.7650
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.2350
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.4500
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.4300
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5700
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4300
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5700
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4300
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5700
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.4300
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 482.63, Sell volume: 204.16, Average price: 0.4703, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.4450
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5550
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4450
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5350
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 7.08, Sell volume: 112.70, Average price: 0.4846, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.5900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3700
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.6300
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 157.25, Sell volume: 48.54, Average price: 0.6969, Price range: 0.6033 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 19.02, Sell volume: 23.18, Average price: 0.5032, Price range: 0.4028 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 18314.79, Sell volume: 1760.64, Average price: 0.6344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4050
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3150
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3400
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6600
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3400
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6600
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6700
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3100
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7000
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.7100
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.2900
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 416.94, Sell volume: 45.90, Average price: 0.4908, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 103.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3550, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.3100
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.6900
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.3100
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.6900
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.7000
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.3000
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.7000
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.3000
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.7000
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.3000
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.3000
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.7000
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.3000
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.7000
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.3200, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.3500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.6350
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.6550
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.3450
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.6550
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.3500
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.6500
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.3500
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.6500
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.3500
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.6500
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.3500
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.3500
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.3450
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.6550
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.3600
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.6400
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.3350
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.6650
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0300
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9700
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0355
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9645
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0335
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9665
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0305
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9695
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0280
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1455.98, Sell volume: 958.34, Average price: 0.6627, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.7550
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.3000
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7150
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.7150
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.7200
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.2800
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.7500
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 467.04, Sell volume: 16.29, Average price: 0.5967, Price range: 0.2450 - 0.8228
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 79.07, Sell volume: 134.67, Average price: 0.5650, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.7000
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3000
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2550
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2550
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.2550
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.7900
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2100
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.7850
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.7950
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2050
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.7850
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 230.39, Sell volume: 4.96, Average price: 0.6514, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.1900
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.1900
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.8100
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.1900
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.8100
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.1950
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.8050
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.1950
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.8150
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.8150
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.8350
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.1650
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.8400
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.1600
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.8100
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.1900
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.8000
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2000
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.8000
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 41.22, Sell volume: 17.37, Average price: 0.7067, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.8000
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.2000
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.2250
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.7650
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.2350
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2300
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.4500
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.4300
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 482.63, Sell volume: 204.16, Average price: 0.4703, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.4450
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5550
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4450
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5350
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4550
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 7.08, Sell volume: 112.70, Average price: 0.4846, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3700
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.6300
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3650
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 157.25, Sell volume: 48.54, Average price: 0.6969, Price range: 0.6033 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 19.02, Sell volume: 23.18, Average price: 0.5032, Price range: 0.4028 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 18314.79, Sell volume: 1760.64, Average price: 0.6344, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4050
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3150
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3400
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6600
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3400
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6600
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 416.94, Sell volume: 45.90, Average price: 0.4908, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 103.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3550, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.3100
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.6900
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.3100
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.6900
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.3200, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.3500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 669973
Question: Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Volume: 20075.432997
Price History:
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.6350
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.6550
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.3450
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.6550
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.3500
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.6500
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.3500
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.6500
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.3500
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.6500
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.3500
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.3500
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.3450
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.6550
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1455.98, Sell volume: 958.34, Average price: 0.6627, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 167.50, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.3567, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 20035.85, Sell volume: 5345.79, Average price: 0.2969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 20035.85, Sell volume: 5345.79, Average price: 0.2969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 20035.85, Sell volume: 5345.79, Average price: 0.2969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 20035.85, Sell volume: 5345.79, Average price: 0.2969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 20035.85, Sell volume: 5345.79, Average price: 0.2969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 20035.85, Sell volume: 5345.79, Average price: 0.2969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.4250
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.5750
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 85.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0623, Price range: 0.0623 - 0.0623

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.4200
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.4100
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.5900
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.4100
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.4050
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.5950
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.4100
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.4050
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.5950
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.4000
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.6000
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.3750
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.6250
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.3800
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.6200
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.6250
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.6150
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.3800
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.6200
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.3650
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.3700
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.6300
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 130.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9777, Price range: 0.9777 - 0.9777

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0390
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0380
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9620
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0345
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9655
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0340
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9660
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0345
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9655
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0345
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9655
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0290
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9710
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0275
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9725
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0280
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9720
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0285
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9715
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0280
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9720
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0280
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9720
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0400
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0380
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9620
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0370
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9630
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0290
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9710
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0250
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9750
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0185
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9815
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0185
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9815
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0250
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 30.09, Sell volume: 18.75, Average price: 0.6510, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.1705
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8295
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.3405
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.6595
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.3350
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.6650
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.2585
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.7415
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.2310
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.7690
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.2150
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.7850
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.2190
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.7810
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.2190
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.7810
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.2190
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.7810
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.2135
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.7865
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.3645
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.6355
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.2460
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.7540
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.2130
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.7870
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.2075
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.7925
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.2075
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.7925
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.2075
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.7925
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.3540
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.6460
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.3540
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.6460
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.3475
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.6525
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.3170
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.6830
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.2740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 801.27, Sell volume: 1.25, Average price: 0.7491, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.7260
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.2355
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.7645
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.1925
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.8075
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.1510
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.8490
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.1135
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.8865
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0590
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9410
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0105
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 7945.84, Sell volume: 4755.76, Average price: 0.1697, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 5622.75, Sell volume: 540.00, Average price: 0.0749, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 167.50, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.3567, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 20035.85, Sell volume: 5345.79, Average price: 0.2969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 20035.85, Sell volume: 5345.79, Average price: 0.2969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 20035.85, Sell volume: 5345.79, Average price: 0.2969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 20035.85, Sell volume: 5345.79, Average price: 0.2969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 20035.85, Sell volume: 5345.79, Average price: 0.2969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 20035.85, Sell volume: 5345.79, Average price: 0.2969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 85.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0623, Price range: 0.0623 - 0.0623
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.4200
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.4100
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.5900
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.4100
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.4050
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.5950
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.4100
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.4050
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.5950
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.4000
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.6000
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.3750
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.6250
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.3800
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.6200
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 130.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9777, Price range: 0.9777 - 0.9777
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0390
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0380
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9620
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0345
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9655
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0340
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9660
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0345
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9655
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0345
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9655
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0290
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9710
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0275
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9725
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0280
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9720
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0285
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9715
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0280
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9720
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0280
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9720
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0400
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0380
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9620
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 30.09, Sell volume: 18.75, Average price: 0.6510, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.1705
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8295
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.3405
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.6595
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.3350
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.6650
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.2585
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.7415
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.2310
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.7690
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.2150
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.7850
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.2190
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.7810
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.2190
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.7810
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.2190
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.7810
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.2135
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.7865
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.3645
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.6355
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.2460
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.7540
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.2130
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.7870
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.2075
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.7925
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.2075
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.7925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 801.27, Sell volume: 1.25, Average price: 0.7491, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.7260
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.2355
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.7645
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.1925
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.8075
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.1510
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.8490
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.1135
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.8865
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0590
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9410
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0105
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 7945.84, Sell volume: 4755.76, Average price: 0.1697, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641803
Question: Will Navan Inc not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Volume: 25381.635665
Price History:
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 5622.75, Sell volume: 540.00, Average price: 0.0749, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.5100
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.5100
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.5100
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.4900
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.4900
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.5100
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 51.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 37.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0654, Price range: 0.0609 - 0.0700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 28897.83, Sell volume: 1297.23, Average price: 0.5307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 28897.83, Sell volume: 1297.23, Average price: 0.5307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 28897.83, Sell volume: 1297.23, Average price: 0.5307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 28897.83, Sell volume: 1297.23, Average price: 0.5307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 28897.83, Sell volume: 1297.23, Average price: 0.5307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.8500
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.1500
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.8400
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.1600
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.8600
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.1400
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.8600
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.1400
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.8650
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.1350
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.8600
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.1400
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.8650
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.1350
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.8650
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 52.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.8600
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.1400
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.8600
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.1400
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.8600
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.1400
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.8600
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1400
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 28897.83, Sell volume: 1297.23, Average price: 0.5307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.1400
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.7500
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.2500
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.7500
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.1400
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.1400
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.1400
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.1400
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.1400
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.1400
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.8550
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.1450
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.1400
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 28897.83, Sell volume: 1297.23, Average price: 0.5307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.8600
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.1400
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.8600
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.1400
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.8600
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.1400
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.8600
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.1400
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.8650
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5250
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.4750
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5200
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.4800
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 111.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3252, Price range: 0.3252 - 0.3252

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4550
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5450
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.8500
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.1500
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9100
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0900
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9100
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0900
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9100
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0900
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.8850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9000
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9000
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9600
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9605
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0395
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3627.73, Sell volume: 1297.23, Average price: 0.6006, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.5100
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.5100
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.5100
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.4900
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.4900
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.5100
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 51.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 37.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0654, Price range: 0.0609 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 28897.83, Sell volume: 1297.23, Average price: 0.5307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 28897.83, Sell volume: 1297.23, Average price: 0.5307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641512
Question: Will Navan Inc IPO closing market capitalization be between 5 billion and 6 billion?
Volume: 30195.06469
Price History:
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 28897.83, Sell volume: 1297.23, Average price: 0.5307, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes