Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522588
Question: North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July?
Volume: 12457.113192
Price History:
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0190
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9810
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0180
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0190
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.9815
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0190
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9815
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0190
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.9815
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0190
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.9810
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0190
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.9810
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0190
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.9820
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.0185
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.9810
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0190
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.9850
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0150
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.9840
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0185
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9810
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0190
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.9840
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0115
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.9920
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0075
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 7239.60, Sell volume: 2307.52, Average price: 0.7247, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.5200
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.6750
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.6700
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.6550
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.6350
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.3750
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.3800
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.3800
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.3800
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.1850
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.1350
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.1200
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.1500
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.1550
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.1550
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.1650
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.1600
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.1650
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.1650
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.1650
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.1650
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.1650
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.1700
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.1700
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.1700
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.3500
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.4400
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.2900
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.3600
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.3250
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.3450
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.3750
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.3400
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.3450
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3541.14, Sell volume: 1335.67, Average price: 0.4406, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.3900
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.4050
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.3250
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.3250
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.3250
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.3150
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.3150
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.3150
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.3150
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.3250
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.3450
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.3450
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.3450
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.3450
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.3450
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.2600
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.2350
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.2100
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.2200
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.2100
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.2100
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.2200
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.2150
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.2200
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.2200
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.2150
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.2150
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.2200
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.2850
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.2850
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.3200
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.3850
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.3500
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.3700
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.3600
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.2650
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.2650
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.2750
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.2850
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.3150
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.2850
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.2850
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.3050
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.2950
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.2650
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.2650
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.2650
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.2650
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 432.12, Sell volume: 1221.83, Average price: 0.5177, Price range: 0.1950 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.2350
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.2350
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.2300
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.2250
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.2250
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.2250
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.2250
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.2250
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.2250
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.2250
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.2250
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.2250
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.2250
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.2250
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.2250
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.2250
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.2250
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.2200
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.2250
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.2200
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.2200
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.2200
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.2200
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.2200
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.2200
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.2200
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.2200
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.2200
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.2250
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.2200
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.2050
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.2050
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.2050
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.2050
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.2100
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.2050
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.1950
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.1950
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.2250
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.2250
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.2200
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.2100
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.2050
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.1950
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.2000
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.2000
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.2000
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 105.00, Sell volume: 209.43, Average price: 0.3624, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.7850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.2050
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.2100
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.2100
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.2050
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.2100
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.2100
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.2100
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.2100
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.2200
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.2000
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.2050
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2100
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.2100
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.1950
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.1950
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.1950
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.1950
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.1950
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.1950
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.1950
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.1750
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.1200
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.1200
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.1200
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.1200
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.1200
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.1200
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.1250
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.1450
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.1450
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.1850
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.1850
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.1950
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.1850
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.1950
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.1950
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.1950
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.1950
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.1850
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.1900
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.1900
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.1900
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.1900
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.1900
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.1900
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.1900
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.1900
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 100.75, Sell volume: 243.03, Average price: 0.3610, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.1900
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.1900
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.1900
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.1900
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.1900
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.1900
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.1850
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.1850
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.1850
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.1850
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.1850
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.1850
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.1850
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.1850
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.1850
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.1850
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.1850
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.1850
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.1850
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.1850
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.1850
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.1850
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.1850
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.1850
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.1850
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.1850
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.1850
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.1850
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.1850
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.1850
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.1850
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.1850
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.1850
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.1850
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.1850
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.1850
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.1850
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1850
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.1850
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.1850
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.1850
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.1850
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.1850
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.1850
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.1850
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.1850
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.1750
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.1750
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.1800
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 55.91, Sell volume: 693.06, Average price: 0.6329, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.1800
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.1800
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.1800
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.1800
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.1800
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.1800
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.1800
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.1800
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.1850
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.1850
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.1850
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.1850
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.1850
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.1850
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.1850
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.1850
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.1850
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.1850
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.1850
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.1850
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.1850
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.1800
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.1800
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.1800
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.1250
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.1250
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.1250
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0950
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0950
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0950
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.0950
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.1000
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.0950
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 880.90, Sell volume: 3.94, Average price: 0.7865, Price range: 0.1983 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.0850
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0850
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0850
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.0850
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.0850
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0850
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0850
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0850
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0850
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.0850
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0850
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0850
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.0850
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0850
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0750
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.0750
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0750
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.0850
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.0850
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.0850
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0700
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0650
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.0650
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0650
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0650
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0650
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1488.37, Sell volume: 164.20, Average price: 0.8686, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.0650
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.0650
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0650
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0650
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.0650
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.0650
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0330
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0230
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.0235
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.0245
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0255
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0255
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0260
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.0260
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.0255
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.0235
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0235
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0235
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0235
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.0235
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0235
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0240
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0235
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.0255
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.0255
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0250
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0250
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.0250
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0250
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0250
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0250
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0250
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0250
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.0225
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0235
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.0405
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0390
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0425
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0435
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.0685
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9315
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.0685
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9315
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.9335
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.9320
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9655
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.9525
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9495
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.0485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 5975.33, Sell volume: 2862.49, Average price: 0.5955, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0245
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0240
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0210
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.9500
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9535
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.0465
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.0530
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9375
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.0645
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9370
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.9375
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0625
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9370
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9395
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.9390
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0605
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0595
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.9400
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0615
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0625
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0610
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9380
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0605
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.0615
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0610
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0610
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.0610
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0615
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0610
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.0605
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0615
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0590
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0600
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0595
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0585
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0585
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0585
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0565
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0565
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9440
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9425
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.0555
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9450
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0550
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9380
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9380
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 3578.13, Sell volume: 498.91, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9770

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0620
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9380
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0625
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0625
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0625
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9375
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9365
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9370
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.9365
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.0630
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0630
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9370
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.9370
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.0630
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0630
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9370
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0630
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9370
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0630
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.0630
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.0630
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0630
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0630
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0630
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.0630
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0635
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0635
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.0635
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.9365
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9365
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0635
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9365
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9365
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0635
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.9365
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0635
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9390
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0610
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.9385
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9400
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9400
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0600
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0600
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.0600
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0600
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.9400
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0600
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.9400
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.0545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1391.35, Sell volume: 32.25, Average price: 0.7950, Price range: 0.0620 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0515
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9485
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.0520
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.9480
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0515
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0520
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0520
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.0515
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.9490
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.0510
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0505
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.9490
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9495
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9490
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0505
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9495
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0505
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.0505
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9495
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.0510
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9495
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9500
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.0505
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9495
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0505
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.9495
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.0500
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9495
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.9500
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0505
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.0505
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.0505
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0505
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0500
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.0500
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0505
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0490
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.9545
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.0450
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0450
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0450
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0455
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9545
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0465
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0470
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0470
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.9540
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.0460
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9545
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 919.69, Sell volume: 12.50, Average price: 0.8417, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.9650

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.0340
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0345
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0500
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.9555
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.0445
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9560
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0440
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9565
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0435
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9560
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9575
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.9585
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.9725
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.0260
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.9715
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.9710
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.9705
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.9725
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.9730
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9735
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.9740
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0260
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0270
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0270
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9720
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.0275
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0275
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.0275
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9725
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9720
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0270
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0280
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.0280
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0300
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0300
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.0295
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0300
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0280
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.0215
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.0195
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9805
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0190
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9805
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9805
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.9805
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9815
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.0185
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.0180
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.9825
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3166.01, Sell volume: 219.61, Average price: 0.5894, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0155
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0155
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.0155
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.9840
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0150
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9850
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9855
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0145
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0150
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0145
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0150
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0140
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9855
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0155
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9855
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9850
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0145
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0145
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0150
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9855
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0145
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0145
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0150
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0150
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9835
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9835
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9850
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9850
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0145
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9855
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9855
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9865
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9865
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9865
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9865
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9865
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0135
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9890
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9905
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0090
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0090
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0055
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 4599.95, Sell volume: 12.02, Average price: 0.9927, Price range: 0.9810 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.5200
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.3300
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.6400
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.6250
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.3800
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.7800
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.1250
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.8850
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.1500
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.8450
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.8450
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.8450
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.8450
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.1550
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.8350
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.1650
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.8350
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.1650
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.8300
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.1700
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.6500
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.2900
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.6550
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.3250
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.6600
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.4350
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 3541.14, Sell volume: 1335.67, Average price: 0.4406, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.3900
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.6100
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.3250
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.6850
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.3150
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.6750
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.3450
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.6550
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.3450
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.7850
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.2200
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.7900
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.2200
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.7850
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.2150
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.7850
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.2850
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.6850
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.4000
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.6300
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.2650
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.7350
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.2950
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.7150
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.3050
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.7350
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.2650
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.7350
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 432.12, Sell volume: 1221.83, Average price: 0.5177, Price range: 0.1950 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.2350
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.7650
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.2250
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.7750
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.2250
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.7750
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.2250
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.7750
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.2250
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.7750
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.2200
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.7800
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.2200
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.7800
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.7800
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.2250
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.7950
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.2050
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.7950
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.2050
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.8050
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.2250
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.7550
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.2100
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.7950
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.2000
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.8000
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.2050
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 105.00, Sell volume: 209.43, Average price: 0.3624, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.7850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.2050
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.7900
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.2050
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.7900
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.2100
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.7800
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.2000
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.7900
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.1950
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.8050
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.1950
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.8050
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.1200
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.8800
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.1200
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.8800
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.1450
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.8550
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.1900
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.8150
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.1850
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.8050
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.1950
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.8150
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.1900
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.8100
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.1900
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.8100
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.1900
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 100.75, Sell volume: 243.03, Average price: 0.3610, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.1900
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.8100
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.1900
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.8100
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.1850
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.8150
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.1850
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.8150
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.1850
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.8150
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.1850
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.8150
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.1850
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.8150
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.1850
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.8150
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.1850
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.8150
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.1850
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.8150
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.1850
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.8150
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.1850
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.8150
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.1850
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.8150
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.1850
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.8250
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.1750
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 55.91, Sell volume: 693.06, Average price: 0.6329, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.1800
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.1800
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.1800
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.8150
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.1850
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.8150
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.1850
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.8150
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.1850
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.8150
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.1800
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.8200
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.8650
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.1250
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.8750
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9050
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0950
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.9050
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.9050
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.9050
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.9050
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0950
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 880.90, Sell volume: 3.94, Average price: 0.7865, Price range: 0.1983 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.0850
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.9150
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0850
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.9150
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0850
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9150
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.0850
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.9150
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0750
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.9250
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.9250
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9250
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.9250
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.9150
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.0850
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.0850
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.9250
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.9350
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0650
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.9350
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0650
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1488.37, Sell volume: 164.20, Average price: 0.8686, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.0650
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.9350
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.0650
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9350
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0230
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.9755
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.0255
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.9740
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.0255
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9770
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0235
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9765
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0240
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9745
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0250
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.9750
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0250
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.9750
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.0250
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9775
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.0405
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.9615
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.9315
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.0685
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9315
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9260
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0475
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.0485
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.9490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 5975.33, Sell volume: 2862.49, Average price: 0.5955, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0245
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0235
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.9510
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.9535
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9375
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9360
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0630
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0630
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.9390
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0610
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0595
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9375
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9380
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9380
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0610
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.9390
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0610
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9385
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.0605
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9405
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0585
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9415
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0565
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0575
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9450
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0550
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0620
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9385
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.0615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 3578.13, Sell volume: 498.91, Average price: 0.7143, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0620
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9380
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9375
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0625
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9370
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0630
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.9370
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0630
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0630
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.0630
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0630
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.9370
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0630
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.0630
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.0630
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9365
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.9365
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0635
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0635
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.9365
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0635
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0615
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.0610
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0600
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0600
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.0600
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9400
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.0600
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.0545
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1391.35, Sell volume: 32.25, Average price: 0.7950, Price range: 0.0620 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0515
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9485
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.9480
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9480
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.0515
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.9495
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.9495
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0505
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0505
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9495
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0510
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.9490
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9500
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0505
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0505
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.9500
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.9500
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.9500
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0500
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.9500
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0505
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.9505
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.9550
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9550
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9545
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0460
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0465
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9540
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.9545
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 919.69, Sell volume: 12.50, Average price: 0.8417, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.0340
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9420
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.0435
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.0440
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9565
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9565
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9570
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0275
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.9715
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0275
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9730
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0265
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0260
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9735
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.9745
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9725
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9725
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0275
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0280
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9700
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.0295
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.9715
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0215
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0195
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9805
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9805
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9810
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9820
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.0175
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3166.01, Sell volume: 219.61, Average price: 0.5894, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 558008
Question: Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?
Volume: 41390.415615
Price History:
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0155
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9845
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9855
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0150
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0145
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9860
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0145
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0145
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9855
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0150
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9855
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0145
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0145
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0150
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0150
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0165
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9850
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9850
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9860
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9855
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9855
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0135
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9890
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9905
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9945
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 4599.95, Sell volume: 12.02, Average price: 0.9927, Price range: 0.9810 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.1500
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.8500
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.1550
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.8450
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9400
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0650
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9350
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1190.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5221, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 459.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8389, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 52.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6533, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 213.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3667, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9250
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 220, Buy volume: 84637.87, Sell volume: 13954.22, Average price: 0.5896, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 135.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 130.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 125.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 312.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 227.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9200
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9200
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9150
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0900
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9100
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9100
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0900
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.1050
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.8950
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1152.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0925, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.1000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.1050
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.8950
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9000
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.1000
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.8450
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.8450
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.8400
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.1600
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.1800
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.8200
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.8450
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.8500
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.1500
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 8394.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1919, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8404

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.8450
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.1550
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.8350
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.8350
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.8250
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.1750
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.8450
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.1550
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.8250
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.1750
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.8150
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.1850
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.8100
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.1900
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.7800
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.2200
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.1350
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 27279.94, Sell volume: 933.89, Average price: 0.5402, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.1500
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.8500
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.1550
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.8450
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9400
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0650
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9350
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1190.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5221, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 459.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8389, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 52.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6533, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 213.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3667, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9250
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 220, Buy volume: 84637.87, Sell volume: 13954.22, Average price: 0.5896, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9300
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 135.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 130.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 125.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 312.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 227.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9200
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9200
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9150
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0900
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9100
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9100
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0900
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.1050
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.8950
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1152.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0925, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.1000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.1050
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.8950
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9000
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.1000
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.8450
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.8450
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.8400
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.1600
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.1800
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.8200
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.8450
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.8500
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.1500
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 8394.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1919, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8404
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587435
Question: Israel military action against Qatar in 2025?
Volume: 98592.087462
Price History:
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.8450
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.1550
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.8350
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.8350
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.8250
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.1750
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.8450
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.1550
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.8250
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.1750
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.8150
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.1850
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.8100
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.1900
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.7800
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.2200
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.1350
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 27279.94, Sell volume: 933.89, Average price: 0.5402, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.2700
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.7300
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.3250
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 609.19, Sell volume: 8.44, Average price: 0.6829, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.1900
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.8550
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.1450
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 641.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5859, Price range: 0.1333 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0500
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 198.78, Sell volume: 175.00, Average price: 0.4466, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9600
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9600
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 129.90, Sell volume: 91.68, Average price: 0.6517, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9640
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0360
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 251.58, Sell volume: 112.68, Average price: 0.6971, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9690

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0360
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9635
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0365
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9635
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0365
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9640
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0360
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9640
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0410, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.0410

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9640
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0360
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9630
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0370
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9630
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0370
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9495
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0505
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1367.18, Sell volume: 132.39, Average price: 0.8955, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9680

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9495
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0505
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9525
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0475
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9505
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.07, Sell volume: 20.23, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0325 - 0.9680

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9490
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0510
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9490
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0510
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9440
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0560
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9445
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0555
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1882.24, Sell volume: 536.82, Average price: 0.8558, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0260
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9845
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0155
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9815
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0185
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9845
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0155
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0150
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9850
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1150.04, Sell volume: 122.56, Average price: 0.8105, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9850
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9710
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0290
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9710
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0290
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9710
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0290
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9710
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0290
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9705
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0295
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 9169.11, Sell volume: 407.40, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9728 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0290
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9690
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0310
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9735
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0265
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9730
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0270
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9760
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0240
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9770
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0230
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9745
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0255
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9745
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 27.49, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.9724, Price range: 0.9567 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9780
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0220
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9765
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0235
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9855
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0145
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9895
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0105
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9890
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0110
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9855
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0145
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9885
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 358.63, Sell volume: 159.55, Average price: 0.9593, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.2700
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.7300
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.3250
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 609.19, Sell volume: 8.44, Average price: 0.6829, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.1900
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.8550
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.1450
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 641.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5859, Price range: 0.1333 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0500
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 198.78, Sell volume: 175.00, Average price: 0.4466, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9600
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9600
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 129.90, Sell volume: 91.68, Average price: 0.6517, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9640
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0360
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 251.58, Sell volume: 112.68, Average price: 0.6971, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0360
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9635
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0365
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9635
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0365
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9640
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0360
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9640
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0410, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.0410
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9640
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0360
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9630
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0370
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9630
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0370
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9495
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0505
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1367.18, Sell volume: 132.39, Average price: 0.8955, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9495
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0505
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9525
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0475
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9505
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.07, Sell volume: 20.23, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0325 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9490
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0510
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9490
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0510
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9440
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0560
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9445
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0555
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1882.24, Sell volume: 536.82, Average price: 0.8558, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0260
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9845
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0155
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9815
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0185
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9845
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0155
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0150
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9850
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1150.04, Sell volume: 122.56, Average price: 0.8105, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9850
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9710
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0290
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9710
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0290
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9710
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0290
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9710
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0290
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9705
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0295
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 9169.11, Sell volume: 407.40, Average price: 0.9878, Price range: 0.9728 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0290
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9690
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0310
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9735
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0265
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9730
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0270
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9760
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0240
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9770
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0230
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9745
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0255
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9745
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 27.49, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.9724, Price range: 0.9567 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 675746
Question: NASA Escapade launch by December 31?
Volume: 27364.145716
Price History:
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9780
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0220
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9765
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0235
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9855
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0145
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9895
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0105
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9890
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0110
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9855
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0145
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9885
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 358.63, Sell volume: 159.55, Average price: 0.9593, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.6200
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.3800
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.3300
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.3300
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.3250
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 579378116.16, Sell volume: 146586652.65, Average price: 0.6799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.6750
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.3250
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 579378116.16, Sell volume: 146586652.65, Average price: 0.6799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6650
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.3350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7150
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.3250
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.6850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6800
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.3200
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6750
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.3250
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6800
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 579378116.16, Sell volume: 146586652.65, Average price: 0.6799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6800
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.3200
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3600
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.3600
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.6600
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.3400
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 579378116.16, Sell volume: 146586652.65, Average price: 0.6799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.3600
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.3700
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3700
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.6350
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.7050
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7050
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 579378116.16, Sell volume: 146586652.65, Average price: 0.6799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.2550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.8050
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.1950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.1800
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 579378116.16, Sell volume: 146586652.65, Average price: 0.6799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.8100
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.1900
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.1650
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8650
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.1300
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.8350
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 579378116.16, Sell volume: 146586652.65, Average price: 0.6799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.1250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8600
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.1400
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8050
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1950
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8350
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.1650
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1700
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8300
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1700
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8300
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1700
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8300
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1700
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8300
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1700
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8300
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1700
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23976, Buy volume: 3573923.35, Sell volume: 2481695.82, Average price: 0.6711, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8550
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8450
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1550
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89910, Buy volume: 24614737.69, Sell volume: 10725423.84, Average price: 0.6690, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9608

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1000
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8800
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.1200
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81918, Buy volume: 33880954.51, Sell volume: 79340.58, Average price: 0.5124, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9499

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9400
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0600
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0550
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 231768, Buy volume: 68008774.26, Sell volume: 13478168.34, Average price: 0.7821, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9546

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 261738, Buy volume: 235156814.80, Sell volume: 29719970.28, Average price: 0.6499, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1200
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8800
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1200
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8170
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1830
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3395
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 266349, Buy volume: 195422263.63, Sell volume: 82861491.34, Average price: 0.6470, Price range: 0.0302 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.6200
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.3800
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.3300
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.3300
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.3250
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 579378116.16, Sell volume: 146586652.65, Average price: 0.6799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.6750
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.3250
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 579378116.16, Sell volume: 146586652.65, Average price: 0.6799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6650
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.3350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7150
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.3250
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.6850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6800
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.3200
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6750
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.3250
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6800
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 579378116.16, Sell volume: 146586652.65, Average price: 0.6799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6800
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.3200
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3600
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.3600
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.6600
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.3400
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 579378116.16, Sell volume: 146586652.65, Average price: 0.6799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.6400
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.3600
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.3700
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3700
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.6250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.6350
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.7050
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7050
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 579378116.16, Sell volume: 146586652.65, Average price: 0.6799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676502
Question: Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Volume: 1427500.033691
Price History:
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.2550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.8050
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.1950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.1800
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 579378116.16, Sell volume: 146586652.65, Average price: 0.6799, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes