Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.8840
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.1040
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.8990
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9030
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0930
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0840
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0760
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0860
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9145
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9135
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.1065
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8975
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1025
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1070
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9005
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.8995
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9045
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0815
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9295
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9345
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0705
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9295
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0705
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9230
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9160
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0810
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0690
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0705
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9295
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9445
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0705
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0705
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0720
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9355
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9165
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0670
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9325
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0665
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0265
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0185
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9815
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9825
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0220
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9625
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0350
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9665
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0105
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 248256886.69, Sell volume: 108251390.18, Average price: 0.6462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9765
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0165
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9765
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0225
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9845
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0150
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0150
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9850
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0145
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9315
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9550
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9780
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9780
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0220
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9825
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0180
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9820
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0285
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0230
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0220
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9820
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9845
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0190
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0685
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9790
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9790
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0215
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0305
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0400
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9615
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9615
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9630
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0400
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9575
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0320
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9700
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0300
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8970
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.8980
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9125
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9110
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9155
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0645
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9345
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0495
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9540
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57942, Buy volume: 2478023.98, Sell volume: 1122156.72, Average price: 0.7087, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9730

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9590
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9715
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9715
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9765
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9760
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0175
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9920
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0090
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0100
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0100
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9790
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0175
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0125
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9850
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0205
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0180
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9830
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0175
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0205
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9805
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0195
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0225
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0570
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9580
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9620
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0335
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9675
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0320
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9780
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0220
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9765
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0245
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9835
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9770
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0190
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9770
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0220
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9785
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9835
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 941172, Buy volume: 245361378.02, Sell volume: 106851984.87, Average price: 0.6423, Price range: 0.0053 - 0.9949

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0120
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0120
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9850
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0150
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9855
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0150
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9855
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0160
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9770
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0230
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9760
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0200
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0160
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9820
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0150
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9830
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 516, Buy volume: 119085.90, Sell volume: 144102.71, Average price: 0.7280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9815
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0250
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9840
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0150
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0130
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0110
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0165
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9870
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0125
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9895
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 367, Buy volume: 293398.80, Sell volume: 133038.50, Average price: 0.7304, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.7700
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.7550
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.8400
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.7650
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.8000
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.8500
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.8450
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.8550
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.8450
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.8450
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.8450
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.8500
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.8500
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.8600
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.8600
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.8550
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.8450
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.8450
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.8450
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.8950
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.8900
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.8950
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.8900
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.8950
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.8900
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.8900
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9000
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.9050
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9000
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 248256886.69, Sell volume: 108251390.18, Average price: 0.6462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.1000
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.1000
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.1000
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0950
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0850
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0850
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0850
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0850
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0850
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0950
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.1050
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.1050
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.1000
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.1000
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0850
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0850
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0850
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0850
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0850
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0800
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0800
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 248256886.69, Sell volume: 108251390.18, Average price: 0.6462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9050
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.8950
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9450
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.9450
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.9450
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.9450
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.9450
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.9450
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.9450
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.9450
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.9400
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.9400
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.9400
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.6850
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.6750
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.6150
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.6200
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.6150
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.6150
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.6150
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.5150
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.5150
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.5150
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.6400
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.6400
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.6400
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.6400
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.6400
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 248256886.69, Sell volume: 108251390.18, Average price: 0.6462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.3500
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.3500
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.3500
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.3500
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.3550
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.3600
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.3600
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.3600
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.3650
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.3700
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.3750
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.3700
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.3800
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.3700
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.6450
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.6750
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.6650
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.6450
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.5700
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.4400
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.6500
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.5300
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.6800
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.3700
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.3850
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.6100
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 248256886.69, Sell volume: 108251390.18, Average price: 0.6462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.1500
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.8650
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9100
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0750
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.1100
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.1100
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.8850
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9200
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.1000
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9250
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9150
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.9200
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9100
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.9200
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0800
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9100
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9100
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.8200
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.1150
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.8800
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.8750
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.1250
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 248256886.69, Sell volume: 108251390.18, Average price: 0.6462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.1200
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.1200
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.1250
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.1200
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.8800
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.1200
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.7950
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9050
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0950
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0950
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9050
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9000
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9000
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9000
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9000
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.1000
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.1300
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.1300
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 248256886.69, Sell volume: 108251390.18, Average price: 0.6462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.8650
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.8650
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.1400
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.8750
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0850
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.1000
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9000
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.1050
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0750
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9250
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9400
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9250
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9350
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.1000
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0650
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.1300
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0950
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0690
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0565
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9585
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9550
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9550
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0455
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9615
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 248256886.69, Sell volume: 108251390.18, Average price: 0.6462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0555
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0465
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0405
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0240
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9715
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0310
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9705
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9700
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9680
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9680
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9680
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9295
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0690
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0660
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0620
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0645
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9355
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9390
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0630
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9415
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0595
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0590
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9425
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9410
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0595
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0715
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9380
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9375
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.8665
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.1355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 248256886.69, Sell volume: 108251390.18, Average price: 0.6462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.8840
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.8955
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9115
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9160
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9145
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9140
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1035
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1075
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1060
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.8995
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9295
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9340
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9225
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9295
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9145
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9265
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9290
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9315
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9295
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0720
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9165
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0670
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9525
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9815
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0175
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0220
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0340
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 248256886.69, Sell volume: 108251390.18, Average price: 0.6462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9765
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9730
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9785
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0155
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0155
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0155
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0150
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0410
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0220
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9775
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0180
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9820
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9760
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9810
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0230
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9790
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9785
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9725
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9600
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9540
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9640
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9575
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9695
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8400
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9100
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9115
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9170
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0555
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57942, Buy volume: 2478023.98, Sell volume: 1122156.72, Average price: 0.7087, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9590
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9715
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0220
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9825
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9910
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9910
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9765
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9815
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9850
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9840
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9820
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9795
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9800
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9265
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9540
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9655
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9680
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9780
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9725
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9755
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9745
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9755
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 941172, Buy volume: 245361378.02, Sell volume: 106851984.87, Average price: 0.6423, Price range: 0.0053 - 0.9949
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0120
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0120
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0160
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0145
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0140
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0150
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0150
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0220
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0170
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 516, Buy volume: 119085.90, Sell volume: 144102.71, Average price: 0.7280, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 556111
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
Volume: 1218316.108048
Price History:
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9885
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9755
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9905
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9865
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9880
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9875
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 367, Buy volume: 293398.80, Sell volume: 133038.50, Average price: 0.7304, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.5500
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.4550
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0325
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9825
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9805
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0195
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9830
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9830
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0150
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9865
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0140
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9860
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9910
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0090
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9945
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9945
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0055
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0055
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9920
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0085
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0080
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0080
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9955
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9935
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9950
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 218600122.06, Sell volume: 40673232.27, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 218600122.06, Sell volume: 40673232.27, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 218600122.06, Sell volume: 40673232.27, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73926, Buy volume: 8432684.87, Sell volume: 3263752.98, Average price: 0.8097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9990, Buy volume: 14627078.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4006, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9920
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0070
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0070
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9935
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9950
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9940
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9940
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9940
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9945
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9945
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9945
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0050
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9950
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9950
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9950
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55944, Buy volume: 28718478.65, Sell volume: 479140.38, Average price: 0.6069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9955
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0045
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9955
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9910
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0100
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9930
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0070
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9940
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0070
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9920
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0055
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9945
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0050
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9945
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9945
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0055
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0070
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9940
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0060
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 191808, Buy volume: 22587089.71, Sell volume: 2929747.32, Average price: 0.7182, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9955
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9960
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 511488, Buy volume: 94163560.28, Sell volume: 24319556.10, Average price: 0.6557, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0040
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9960
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9965
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9930
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9930
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9895
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 155879, Buy volume: 49943171.18, Sell volume: 9555541.54, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9545
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9440
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0560
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0665
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9270
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0605
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9320
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0680
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9440
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0455
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9540
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9630
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9625
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0355
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9685
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0225
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9745
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0320
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9685
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9685
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0290
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9710
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0280
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9720
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0285
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9610
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0400
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9020
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.2090
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.1860
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.8260
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0880
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.8830
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.1120
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1185
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.1195
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.1195
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9405
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0385
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0515
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0435
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9390
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9275
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9255
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9260
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0685
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 352, Buy volume: 42700.65, Sell volume: 21196.77, Average price: 0.5163, Price range: 0.0203 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9385
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9330
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9385
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0635
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9570
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9560
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0665
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0660
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9375
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0630
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9375
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0545
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9495
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0530
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9480
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0530
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9480
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9045
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9020
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.9020
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0960
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9025
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0995
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.8970
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.8970
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0975
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9015
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.1035
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9005
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.8790
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.8765
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.1285
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.8440
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.1710
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.8555
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1480
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.8610
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.8505
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1555
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.8520
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.1485
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.8540
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8555
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.8510
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.8645
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.8620
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8640
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.8625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 192, Buy volume: 29610.29, Sell volume: 18094.54, Average price: 0.3155, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9620

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.1125
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0860
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9430
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0635
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9445
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0540
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0565
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9310
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0375
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9675
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0285
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9530
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0445
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9590
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0410
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9520
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0505
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0480
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9485
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9605
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0375
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9600
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0430
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9550
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0460
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9580
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0455
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9575
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0425
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9575
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0425
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9575
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9575
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9575
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0425
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9575
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0425
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0415
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9585
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0375
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9630
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0375
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9650
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0285
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9725
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0275
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9770
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0235
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9750
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 320, Buy volume: 40630.79, Sell volume: 58707.87, Average price: 0.5049, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0135
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9840
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9845
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0125
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9870
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0135
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0080
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9950
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9940
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0040
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0040
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9960
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 14691.19, Sell volume: 26934.47, Average price: 0.6483, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.4500
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9825
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9805
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0170
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0150
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0135
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0115
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0090
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0055
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9945
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9950
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0080
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0080
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0065
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0045
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9950
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 218600122.06, Sell volume: 40673232.27, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 218600122.06, Sell volume: 40673232.27, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 218600122.06, Sell volume: 40673232.27, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73926, Buy volume: 8432684.87, Sell volume: 3263752.98, Average price: 0.8097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9990, Buy volume: 14627078.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4006, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9930
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9930
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9945
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0060
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9945
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0055
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9950
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55944, Buy volume: 28718478.65, Sell volume: 479140.38, Average price: 0.6069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9955
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0045
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9900
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0070
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9940
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9930
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9920
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9945
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0050
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9945
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0055
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0070
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.0060
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 191808, Buy volume: 22587089.71, Sell volume: 2929747.32, Average price: 0.7182, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9955
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0145
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9960
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 511488, Buy volume: 94163560.28, Sell volume: 24319556.10, Average price: 0.6557, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0040
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9965
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 155879, Buy volume: 49943171.18, Sell volume: 9555541.54, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9545
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0560
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9440
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0665
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9395
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0675
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9440
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0460
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0370
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0355
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9700
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0330
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9685
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9700
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9710
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0280
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9700
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0360
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9020
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8140
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.1740
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.8830
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.8790
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.8805
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9405
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9485
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9565
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9275
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0670
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 352, Buy volume: 42700.65, Sell volume: 21196.77, Average price: 0.5163, Price range: 0.0203 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9385
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0625
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9365
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9560
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9340
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0625
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9375
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0545
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9485
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0530
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0955
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.9020
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0925
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.8990
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.8970
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0985
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.8965
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.8790
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.8760
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.1775
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.8555
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.1600
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1390
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1555
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.8545
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.1450
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.8510
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.1380
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.1360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 192, Buy volume: 29610.29, Sell volume: 18094.54, Average price: 0.3155, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9620
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.1125
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0570
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9365
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0540
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0705
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9665
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0285
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9555
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0410
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9520
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9545
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9525
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0375
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9570
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0450
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9580
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0425
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0425
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0425
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0425
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0425
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9575
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0425
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0385
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9630
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0350
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9715
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0275
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9815
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 320, Buy volume: 40630.79, Sell volume: 58707.87, Average price: 0.5049, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590832
Question: Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 420954.847944
Price History:
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0135
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0145
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0135
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9920
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9940
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0050
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0040
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 14691.19, Sell volume: 26934.47, Average price: 0.6483, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4900
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.4750
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.4800
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.5650
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.5050
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.5550
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.4400
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.5250
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.4850
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.5100
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.4950
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.5650
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.4350
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.4350
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.5750
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.5500
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.4450
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.4300
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.5750
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.5450
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.5750
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.4150
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.4150
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.4050
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.6000
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.5750
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.5700
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.4400
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.4450
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.4500
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.4500
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.4450
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.5550
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.4600
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.4600
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.5150
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.4800
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.5450
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.5550
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.5800
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 126804093.12, Sell volume: 42735504.31, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.3850
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.3850
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.3850
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.6100
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.3900
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.6150
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.3500
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.6550
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.6600
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.6550
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.6600
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.6650
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.3650
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.6350
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.3450
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.3450
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.6400
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.3650
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.6350
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.6300
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.3650
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.6400
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.6450
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.3600
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.3750
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.3750
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.6450
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.6550
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.6550
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.3700
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.6350
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.6350
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.3650
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.3700
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.6250
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.6200
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.6150
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.3800
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.4150
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 126804093.12, Sell volume: 42735504.31, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.5700
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.4250
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.4450
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.5600
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.5650
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.4250
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.5750
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.4300
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.4300
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.5650
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.5650
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.4350
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.5650
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.4350
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.5550
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.4400
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5150
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.5300
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.4700
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.4750
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.5250
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.4700
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.4700
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.5900
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.4100
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.5850
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.4200
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.5850
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.4300
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.5800
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.4250
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.5750
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.4250
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.5750
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.5850
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.4100
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.4100
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.4100
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.4150
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.5800
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.3450
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 126804093.12, Sell volume: 42735504.31, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.3400
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.6850
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.3150
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.3150
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.3150
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.6900
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.2950
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.7050
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.3050
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.6950
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.6950
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.6400
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.6400
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.6400
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.3600
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.6350
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 126804093.12, Sell volume: 42735504.31, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.6150
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.6200
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.3750
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.3300
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.3300
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.3300
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.3300
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.7050
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.2500
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.7500
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.2500
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.7550
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.2450
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.2350
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.1850
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.2400
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.8200
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.1750
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.2000
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.8100
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.1850
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.8350
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.1650
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.7200
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.2600
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.6750
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.7100
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 126804093.12, Sell volume: 42735504.31, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.7350
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.2600
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.7400
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.2650
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.7350
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2450
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.7600
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.7650
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7550
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2700
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.2750
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7300
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2900
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6750
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6550
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.6800
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6150
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6150
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3850
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6200
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3900
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6100
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3700
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6250
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.6150
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 126804093.12, Sell volume: 42735504.31, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6250
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6750
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.2900
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3500
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.7200
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7200
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 126804093.12, Sell volume: 42735504.31, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.7550
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.8000
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.2100
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.2700
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.8000
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.2000
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.1900
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.8100
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.8200
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.7900
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.2300
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.7600
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.1950
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.7200
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9950
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0040
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0050
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999244, Buy volume: 126682862.26, Sell volume: 42661643.02, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 146, Buy volume: 16136.37, Sell volume: 17588.11, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0315
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0040
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0035
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 237, Buy volume: 44461.72, Sell volume: 20087.15, Average price: 0.7693, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0045
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0045
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.0045
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0045
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9955
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9955
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0050
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0055
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0050
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9930
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9930
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 173, Buy volume: 15018.15, Sell volume: 7537.58, Average price: 0.7838, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9960
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0120
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9885
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9880
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9885
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0115
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0105
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0105
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9880
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0060
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 145, Buy volume: 25292.34, Sell volume: 12908.06, Average price: 0.8197, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 14812.12, Sell volume: 15130.23, Average price: 0.7137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4900
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.5200
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.6650
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.5050
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.5600
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.4750
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.5100
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.5150
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.5550
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.4250
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.4500
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.4300
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.4250
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.5850
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.4050
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.6000
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.5700
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.5550
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.5500
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.4450
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.5550
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.4900
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.4800
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 126804093.12, Sell volume: 42735504.31, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.3850
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.6150
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.3900
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.6150
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.6600
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.3400
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.3450
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.6450
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.3450
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.3450
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.3600
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.6350
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.6350
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.3650
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.6400
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.6400
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.6250
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.6450
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.6550
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.6350
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.6350
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.6300
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.3750
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.6150
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.6200
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 126804093.12, Sell volume: 42735504.31, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.5700
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.4250
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.5650
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.5750
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.4250
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.4300
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.5650
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.5650
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.4350
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.5600
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.5300
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.4750
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5300
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.4700
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.5850
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.5800
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.5750
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.5800
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.4250
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.5750
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.4100
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.4200
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 126804093.12, Sell volume: 42735504.31, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.3400
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.3350
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.6850
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.3150
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.7050
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.3050
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.3600
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.3600
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.6400
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 126804093.12, Sell volume: 42735504.31, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.6150
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.3700
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.6700
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.3250
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.3300
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.6800
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.2950
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.7500
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.2500
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.2450
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.7600
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.1800
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.1750
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.1850
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.8350
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.2800
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.7400
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 126804093.12, Sell volume: 42735504.31, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.7350
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2450
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2750
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.2750
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2700
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.6700
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.3450
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6150
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3850
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6100
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3700
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6100
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 126804093.12, Sell volume: 42735504.31, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3250
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3400
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6600
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.7100
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.2900
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.7350
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 126804093.12, Sell volume: 42735504.31, Average price: 0.5602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.7550
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.7900
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.2300
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.2000
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.8050
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.1950
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.8100
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.1800
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.2100
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.7700
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.8050
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0040
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999244, Buy volume: 126682862.26, Sell volume: 42661643.02, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 146, Buy volume: 16136.37, Sell volume: 17588.11, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9685
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0040
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0035
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9965
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 237, Buy volume: 44461.72, Sell volume: 20087.15, Average price: 0.7693, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0045
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0045
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0045
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0055
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0050
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0065
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9930
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9930
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 173, Buy volume: 15018.15, Sell volume: 7537.58, Average price: 0.7838, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9960
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0125
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9885
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0105
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0060
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 145, Buy volume: 25292.34, Sell volume: 12908.06, Average price: 0.8197, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590824
Question: Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 582694.942157
Price History:
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 14812.12, Sell volume: 15130.23, Average price: 0.7137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.5650
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.5000
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.5250
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.3250
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.7800
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.3500
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.6550
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.3450
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.6450
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.3650
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.6550
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.2350
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.8300
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.2300
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.8400
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.1700
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.8000
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.2050
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.8000
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.2000
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.8050
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.2050
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.7800
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.2200
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.7750
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.2200
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.8050
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.1700
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.8350
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.1800
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.7650
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.2200
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.7850
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.2350
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.7450
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.2500
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.7500
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.2450
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.7450
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.2450
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.7550
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.2250
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.2200
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.2200
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.2200
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.2150
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.7900
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.1950
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.8450
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.1350
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.8600
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.1400
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.8500
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.1550
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.8250
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.1550
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.8350
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.1650
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.8450
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.1450
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.8500
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.1650
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.8350
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.1650
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.8350
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.1650
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.8350
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.1900
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.8200
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1800
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.7800
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.2050
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.7950
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.2100
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.8050
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.1900
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.8100
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.1900
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.8550
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.1550
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.8150
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.1900
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.7850
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.2100
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.7900
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.2100
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.7900
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.2100
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.8350
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.1700
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.8000
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.2050
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.7900
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.2150
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes