Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0300
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0150
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0130
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0130
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0030
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0030
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0030
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0030
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0030
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0030
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0030
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0030
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0030
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0030
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0030
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 141, Buy volume: 5236.37, Sell volume: 2455.39, Average price: 0.7935, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 625.62, Sell volume: 3847.09, Average price: 0.8325, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 869.32, Sell volume: 2283.95, Average price: 0.6535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 161, Buy volume: 7484.25, Sell volume: 3950.65, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2593.47, Sell volume: 723.98, Average price: 0.7329, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 9500.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1114.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1356.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 435, Buy volume: 34375.26, Sell volume: 13752.47, Average price: 0.6710, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 435, Buy volume: 34375.26, Sell volume: 13752.47, Average price: 0.6710, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 5157.35, Sell volume: 332.00, Average price: 0.1261, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 48.94, Sell volume: 91.05, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0010
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 139.94, Sell volume: 42.05, Average price: 0.8742, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0300
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9850
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0130
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0030
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9970
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0030
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9970
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0030
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9970
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 141, Buy volume: 5236.37, Sell volume: 2455.39, Average price: 0.7935, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 625.62, Sell volume: 3847.09, Average price: 0.8325, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 869.32, Sell volume: 2283.95, Average price: 0.6535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 161, Buy volume: 7484.25, Sell volume: 3950.65, Average price: 0.7076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2593.47, Sell volume: 723.98, Average price: 0.7329, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 9500.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1114.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1356.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 435, Buy volume: 34375.26, Sell volume: 13752.47, Average price: 0.6710, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 435, Buy volume: 34375.26, Sell volume: 13752.47, Average price: 0.6710, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.9990
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.9990
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.9990
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9990
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 5157.35, Sell volume: 332.00, Average price: 0.1261, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9990
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0010
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9990
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 48.94, Sell volume: 91.05, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547450
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of POT?
Volume: 48127.730665
Price History:
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 139.94, Sell volume: 42.05, Average price: 0.8742, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.8050
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.1950
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.1500
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.1500
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9700
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0305
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0305
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0175
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9790
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0210
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9775
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.9750
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9765
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0205
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.0205
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9795
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0205
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.9795
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0205
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0205
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0245
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9755
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0250
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9755
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9760
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9740
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0270
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0280
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0290
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9710
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0370
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9700
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0290
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9710
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0290
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9710
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0290
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9710
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0290
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0290
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0290
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0290
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0285
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0280
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9720
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9710
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9725
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 147484530.30, Sell volume: 100296757.96, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0330
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0330
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9670
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9665
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0340
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9615
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0390
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9615
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0385
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0390
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9610
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9595
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0405
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9595
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9590
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9590
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9585
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9585
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0415
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0415
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9585
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0415
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9605
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0395
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0400
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9600
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0395
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9575
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0425
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9580
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9580
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9580
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0420
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9580
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.0420
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9580
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9580
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9575
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0420
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0420
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0420
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.9575
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0425
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.9565
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9540
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9540
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0455
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9545
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 147484530.30, Sell volume: 100296757.96, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.2495
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.8275
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.1725
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.8275
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.1725
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.3905
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.4375
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.1470
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.8670
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.8645
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.8740
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.1210
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.8900
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.8945
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.8930
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.8935
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.1070
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.1090
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.8960
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.1120
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.8875
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.8870
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9145
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9145
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0755
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9295
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0850
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9180
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9200
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9200
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0850
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9200
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9150
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0800
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0850
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0800
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0800
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0850
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 147484530.30, Sell volume: 100296757.96, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9145
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0820
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9095
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0905
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9095
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0910
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9090
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0915
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9085
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0915
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9085
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9085
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.1480
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.1450
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.1435
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.1340
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.1285
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.1745
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.8530
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.1480
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.8535
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.8515
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.1455
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.1365
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.8610
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.1390
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.8585
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.1470
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.8850
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.1140
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.8825
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.1175
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9175
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0815
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9230
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0750
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0745
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0770
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9230
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0760
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9155
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0975
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.8875
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1560
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.8465
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.8660
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8675
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 147484530.30, Sell volume: 100296757.96, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8265
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8255
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.1570
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8750
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0850
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1295
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1540
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8640
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.1570
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.8345
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.1505
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.8385
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.1625
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8435
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.8540
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1500
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.8465
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1465
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1610
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8465
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.1550
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8560
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1395
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.1675
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.8570
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.8235
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.1670
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.1585
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.1585
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.8440
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.1740
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.1740
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.8345
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.8270
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.8265
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.8305
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.2195
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.7825
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.1870
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.8135
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.1755
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.8080
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.1925
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.8095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 147484530.30, Sell volume: 100296757.96, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.8160
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.8180
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.8305
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.1725
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.8210
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.8070
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.8015
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.2170
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.7830
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.7825
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.7865
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.2135
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.7875
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.7845
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.2075
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.7965
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.2120
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.2140
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.2175
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.7825
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.2235
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.7775
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.2255
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.7745
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.2255
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.7700
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.7695
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.7730
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.7695
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.2290
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.7675
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.2325
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.7675
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.2325
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.7560
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.7525
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.7480
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.2615
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.7340
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.7320
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.7290
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.2805
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.2855
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.7145
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.7090
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.7065
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.3030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 147484530.30, Sell volume: 100296757.96, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.6985
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.2950
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.2670
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.7200
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.2735
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.7115
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.7360
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.7365
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.2620
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.2625
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.2600
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.7570
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.2560
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.7375
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.2860
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.2855
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.2855
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.7185
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.2820
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.2835
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.7160
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.7165
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.7170
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.7205
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.2825
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2800
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.7190
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.2805
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.7155
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.2820
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.7170
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.7170
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.7185
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.2830
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7145
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.2880
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.7130
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.7130
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.2885
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.7095
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.2885
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.3060
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.3570
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.6345
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.3510
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.6840
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.3280
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.6685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 147484530.30, Sell volume: 100296757.96, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.6365
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.6385
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.3605
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.6240
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.6245
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.3570
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.3560
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.3750
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.6245
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.5800
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.5725
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.4455
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.5495
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.4645
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.5345
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.4685
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.5175
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.5105
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.5095
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.5085
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.5085
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.4745
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.4750
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.4965
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.4955
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.5025
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.4915
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.4915
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.5085
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.4755
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.5210
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.5220
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.5275
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.5735
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.5860
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.4180
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.5760
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.6170
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.6315
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.3555
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.6600
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.3105
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.6865
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.3380
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.6615
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.3375
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.3280
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.3290
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.6710
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.6705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 147484530.30, Sell volume: 100296757.96, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.6895
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.6920
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.3115
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.6885
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.6915
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.6780
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.3030
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.6940
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.6940
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.3045
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.3060
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.6935
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.6945
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.3045
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.6930
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.3220
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.6860
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.3125
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.6840
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.6815
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.3465
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.3175
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.3640
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.6430
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.6660
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.6650
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.6600
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.3400
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.3360
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.3370
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.3410
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.3330
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.6730
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.3045
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.2610
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.7300
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.7285
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2625
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7365
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.7590
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.2275
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.7655
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.7590
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.2335
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.7685
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.2005
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.8260
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.8095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85914, Buy volume: 1071131.02, Sell volume: 11571936.48, Average price: 0.6879, Price range: 0.1740 - 0.8260

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2060
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1945
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1905
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8160
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1835
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8165
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8170
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8075
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1820
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1565
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1560
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8480
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.8505
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8195
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.8205
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1780
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8190
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.1805
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.8170
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1820
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.1765
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1775
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.1810
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.8165
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.1835
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.8170
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.1840
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.8165
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.1865
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.1860
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.1855
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.8180
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.1820
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.8170
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.1830
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.8170
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.8165
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.1745
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.8265
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.1740
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.8265
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.1820
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.8210
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.1765
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8230
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.1770
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.8215
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.1760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 713286, Buy volume: 86907240.22, Sell volume: 65188626.12, Average price: 0.5786, Price range: 0.1490 - 0.8580

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1770
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.8225
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.1675
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.6965
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.3605
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.6270
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.3365
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.6675
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.3115
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7060
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.7025
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.7085
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.7245
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.2755
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7395
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.2385
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.7655
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.2370
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.7555
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.2225
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.7980
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.8135
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.8100
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7710
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2230
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2200
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7905
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1875
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.8255
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.1685
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.8310
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.1690
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.8330
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.1695
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.8255
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1775
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.8370
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.8335
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.1695
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8355
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.1640
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.8370
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.1625
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.8400
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.1445
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.8570
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.1455
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8730
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.1135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 200250, Buy volume: 59441503.08, Sell volume: 23475397.47, Average price: 0.4537, Price range: 0.0920 - 0.9133

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0940
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.8970
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.1070
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9220
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0705
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9370
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0620
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9375
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0610
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9405
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0585
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9415
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0585
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0620
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9385
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0580
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9485
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0565
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9490
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0535
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9460
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0565
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9485
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0520
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9480
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0480
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9545
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0455
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9545
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0525
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9515
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0475
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9535
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0470
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9530
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0470
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9525
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0490
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9535
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0440
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9540
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0455
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9525
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0475
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9510
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0505
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9475
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0540
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 296, Buy volume: 31817.89, Sell volume: 28382.96, Average price: 0.7117, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9566

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9510
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0475
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9545
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0435
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9605
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0420
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9605
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0475
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9545
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0385
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9610
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0440
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0465
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9550
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0450
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0400
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9680
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0315
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9685
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0340
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9705
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0295
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9705
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0240
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0225
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9780
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0205
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9800
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0195
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9870
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0140
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9825
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0185
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9780
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0215
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.5015
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9730
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0145
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0160
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 229, Buy volume: 29479.86, Sell volume: 28310.66, Average price: 0.7299, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9976

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.8050
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.8500
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.1500
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9700
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9695
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9790
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0220
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.9770
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0205
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0205
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9795
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0205
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0265
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0250
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9755
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0260
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9730
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0290
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9710
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0290
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9710
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0290
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9710
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0290
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9710
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0295
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0280
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0290
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 147484530.30, Sell volume: 100296757.96, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0330
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0330
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0335
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9615
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0390
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9615
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9610
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9595
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0405
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9590
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9585
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9585
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9585
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0395
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9605
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0400
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9605
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0425
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9580
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0420
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9580
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.0420
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9580
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0420
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0420
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0425
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9575
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9540
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.0460
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 147484530.30, Sell volume: 100296757.96, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9450
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.8275
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.1725
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.8275
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.6095
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.1470
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.1315
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.1095
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.1210
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.1055
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.1070
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.1070
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.1100
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.8900
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.1120
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.1130
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0855
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0755
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0800
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9200
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0800
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9150
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0800
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0800
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 147484530.30, Sell volume: 100296757.96, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9145
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0905
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9095
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0910
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9085
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9085
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9085
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.8520
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.8550
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.1340
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.8690
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.8555
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.8535
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.8545
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.8635
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.1390
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.8560
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.1135
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.8825
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0825
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9185
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0750
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0760
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9155
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.1125
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1560
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8490
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 147484530.30, Sell volume: 100296757.96, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8265
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8355
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8750
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8705
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.8460
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.1570
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1570
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.1625
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8435
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.8500
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1535
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1610
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1580
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1380
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.1430
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.8550
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.1670
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.8415
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.8385
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.1740
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.1730
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.1735
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.2195
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.8010
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.1815
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.1920
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.8075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 147484530.30, Sell volume: 100296757.96, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.8160
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.1695
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.8275
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.8070
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.7985
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7790
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.7865
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.2125
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.7850
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.2075
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.7925
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.2155
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.7825
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.2225
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.7745
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.2255
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.7695
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.7700
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.2290
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.7675
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.2325
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.7560
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.2505
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.7340
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.7320
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.7195
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.2855
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.7205
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.2920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 147484530.30, Sell volume: 100296757.96, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.6985
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.7280
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2745
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.7115
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.2635
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.7380
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.2600
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2460
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.2805
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.2855
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.2815
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.7200
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.2835
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.7160
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.7185
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.2825
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.7200
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.2810
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.7155
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7185
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.7170
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.2830
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.7120
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.2870
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.2885
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.7160
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.3345
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.6345
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.3160
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.6720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 147484530.30, Sell volume: 100296757.96, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.6365
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.6395
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.3760
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.3570
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.6310
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.6310
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.5725
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.4505
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.5355
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.4685
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.5105
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.5085
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.5085
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.5250
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.5035
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.5025
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.5080
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.4890
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.5210
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.4725
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.4265
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.4180
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.5630
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.3465
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.6600
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.3135
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.6620
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.3375
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.6715
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 147484530.30, Sell volume: 100296757.96, Average price: 0.5631, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.6895
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.2865
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.6860
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.6780
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.3060
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.3060
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.3060
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.3055
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.6955
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.3220
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.6875
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.3160
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.3465
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.3590
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.6600
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.6650
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.6600
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.6640
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.3410
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.6715
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.3085
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.7300
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.7375
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2635
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.7590
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2325
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.7565
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.2335
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7995
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.1740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85914, Buy volume: 1071131.02, Sell volume: 11571936.48, Average price: 0.6879, Price range: 0.1740 - 0.8260
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2060
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8095
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1840
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8165
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8075
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1600
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1560
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1495
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1805
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.8205
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1785
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1715
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8235
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.8225
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.8165
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.1835
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.8165
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.1865
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.8145
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.1820
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.8170
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.1825
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.1790
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.8265
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.1735
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.8180
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.1765
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.8235
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.1760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 713286, Buy volume: 86907240.22, Sell volume: 65188626.12, Average price: 0.5786, Price range: 0.1490 - 0.8580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1770
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.8230
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.3780
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.6270
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.3325
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.6885
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.7025
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.2895
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.7345
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.2385
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.7630
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.2445
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.7980
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.1900
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2285
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2200
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.8125
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.1745
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.8310
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.1670
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8320
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1775
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.8350
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.1665
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8355
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.1685
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.8390
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.1445
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.8545
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.1270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 200250, Buy volume: 59441503.08, Sell volume: 23475397.47, Average price: 0.4537, Price range: 0.0920 - 0.9133
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0940
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.8930
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0780
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9370
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0635
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9405
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0585
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9415
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9385
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0515
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9420
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0535
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9435
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0515
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9480
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0455
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9545
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0525
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9525
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0465
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9530
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0475
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9525
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0440
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9545
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0475
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9510
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0520
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 296, Buy volume: 31817.89, Sell volume: 28382.96, Average price: 0.7117, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9566
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600706
Question: Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?
Volume: 996813.416494
Price History:
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9510
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0450
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9585
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0420
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9525
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0455
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9610
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9550
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0450
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9600
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0320
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9685
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0295
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9705
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0240
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9775
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0220
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9800
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0185
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0185
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9785
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9730
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 229, Buy volume: 29479.86, Sell volume: 28310.66, Average price: 0.7299, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9976
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 4194.81, Sell volume: 599.53, Average price: 0.5952, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 4194.81, Sell volume: 599.53, Average price: 0.5952, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 4194.81, Sell volume: 599.53, Average price: 0.5952, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 4194.81, Sell volume: 599.53, Average price: 0.5952, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 4194.81, Sell volume: 599.53, Average price: 0.5952, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 4194.81, Sell volume: 599.53, Average price: 0.5952, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 4194.81, Sell volume: 599.53, Average price: 0.5952, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 4194.81, Sell volume: 599.53, Average price: 0.5952, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758213
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
Volume: 4794.343896
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.5500
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.1400
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.9500
2024-12-31 21:00: 0.0345
2025-01-01 00:00: 0.9460
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.0550
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.9450
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.0570
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.9430
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0560
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.9500
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.0445
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.9555
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.0475
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.9615
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.0440
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.9535
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0480
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.9520
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.0475
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.9645
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.0355
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.9530
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.0425
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.9585
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.0415
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.9635
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.0385
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.9605
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.0375
2025-01-03 17:00: 0.9620
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.0390
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.9630
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0360
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.9645
2025-01-04 05:00: 0.0355
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.9640
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.0360
2025-01-04 13:00: 0.9640
2025-01-04 15:00: 0.0360
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.9635
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.0365
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.9640
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.0365
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.9635
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.0365
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.9635
2025-01-05 11:00: 0.0365
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.9595
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 32532443.16, Sell volume: 35276292.82, Average price: 0.9477, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.0090
2025-01-06 07:00: 0.9955
2025-01-06 09:00: 0.0055
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.9990
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.9970
2025-01-06 19:00: 0.0040
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.9970
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 03:00: 0.9965
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.0035
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.9965
2025-01-07 10:00: 0.0035
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.9965
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.9965
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.9930
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.0070
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.9930
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.0075
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.9930
2025-01-08 11:00: 0.0070
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.9935
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.9970
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.0030
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.9970
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.0030
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.9970
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.0030
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.9970
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0070
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.9935
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.0075
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.9955
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.0045
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.9910
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.0090
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.9910
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0090
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.9910
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.0090
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.9910
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.0090
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.9900
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.0080
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.9910
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.0085
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 675324, Buy volume: 19839922.49, Sell volume: 26879933.16, Average price: 0.9564, Price range: 0.0031 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.9925
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.0075
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.9925
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.0075
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.9920
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.0080
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.9920
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0080
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.9920
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.0085
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.9915
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.0085
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.9915
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9905
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0090
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9900
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.0095
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.9895
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.0095
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.9905
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.0080
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.9910
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0090
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.9900
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.0090
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.9900
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.0095
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.9910
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.0100
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.9880
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0125
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9875
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0125
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.9875
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0100
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.9890
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.0100
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9880
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0120
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.9880
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.0120
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.9890
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.0110
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.9890
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0115
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.9890
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0110
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.9890
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 323730, Buy volume: 12537750.65, Sell volume: 8267758.06, Average price: 0.9308, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0120
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.9880
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0120
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.9880
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0120
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.9880
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0120
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.9875
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0125
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.9880
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.0125
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.9870
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.0120
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.9880
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0120
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.9880
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0120
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.9880
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0120
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.9880
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0120
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.9880
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0115
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9875
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.9870
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.9870
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.9870
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.9865
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.0135
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.9865
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0130
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.9880
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.0120
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.9880
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.0120
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 767.80, Sell volume: 5448.14, Average price: 0.8091, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.9900
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.0105
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.9895
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.0105
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.9895
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.0100
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9895
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0105
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9895
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0105
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9895
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0105
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9895
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0105
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9895
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0105
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9890
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0110
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.9890
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.0110
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.9890
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.0110
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.9890
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.0110
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.9890
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.0110
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.9890
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.0115
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.9885
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.0115
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.9885
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.0115
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.9885
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.0115
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.9885
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0115
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.9875
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.0125
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.9875
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0125
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.9875
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.0125
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.9865
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.0135
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.9865
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.0135
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.9875
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.0125
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.9875
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 271.32, Sell volume: 490.04, Average price: 0.9675, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.0120
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.9880
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0120
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.9880
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0120
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.9880
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0120
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9880
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0120
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.9880
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0120
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.9890
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.0110
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.9890
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0110
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.9890
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0110
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.9895
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0115
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.9885
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0115
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.9885
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0115
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.9890
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0115
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.9885
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0115
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9885
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0115
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.9885
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0120
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.9875
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0120
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.9895
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0115
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.9890
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0110
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.9895
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0110
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.9885
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0105
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.9895
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0115
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.9885
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0115
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.9665
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0330
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9685
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0335
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 35053.43, Sell volume: 6452.28, Average price: 0.7380, Price range: 0.0092 - 0.9910

Output: No