Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525434
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 100+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10659.724367
Price History:
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.2150
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.7850
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.2150
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.7850
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.2150
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.2150
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.2000
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.8000
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.2050
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.7950
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.2050
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.7950
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.2050
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.7950
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.2050
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.7950
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.2050
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.7950
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.2050
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.7950
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.2050
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.7950
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.2100
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 10352.25, Sell volume: 307.47, Average price: 0.5076, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525434
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 100+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10659.724367
Price History:
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.2100
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.7900
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.2100
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.7900
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.2100
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.7900
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.2100
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.7900
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.2100
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.7900
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.2100
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.7900
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.2100
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.7900
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.2100
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.7900
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.2100
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.7900
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.2100
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.7900
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.2100
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.7900
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.2100
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.7900
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.2100
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 10352.25, Sell volume: 307.47, Average price: 0.5076, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525434
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 100+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10659.724367
Price History:
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.2100
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.08, Average price: 0.1600, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.1600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525434
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 100+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10659.724367
Price History:
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.2300
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.7700
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.2400
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.7600
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.2250
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.7750
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.2400
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.7600
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.2400
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2400, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.2400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525434
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 100+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10659.724367
Price History:
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.2400
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.7600
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.2450
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.7550
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.7550
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.2100
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.7900
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.2400
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.7600
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.2400
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.7600
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.2400
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.7600
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.2100
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.7900
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.7550
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.2450
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.7550
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.2450
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.7550
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 10352.25, Sell volume: 307.47, Average price: 0.5076, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525434
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 100+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10659.724367
Price History:
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.7650
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.2100
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.7900
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.2450
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.7550
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.7650
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.7700
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.2450
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.7550
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.7650
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.2450
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.7550
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.7650
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.7550
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.7650
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.7550
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 10352.25, Sell volume: 307.47, Average price: 0.5076, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525434
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 100+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10659.724367
Price History:
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.7550
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.7550
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.2200
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.7800
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.2200
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.7800
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.2200
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.7800
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.2200
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.7800
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.2100
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7900
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.2200
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.7800
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.2200
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.7800
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.2300
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.7700
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.2100
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.7900
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.2300
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.7700
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.2300
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 10352.25, Sell volume: 307.47, Average price: 0.5076, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525434
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 100+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10659.724367
Price History:
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.2300
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.7700
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.2300
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.7700
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.7700
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.2300
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.7700
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2100
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.7900
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.2100
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.7900
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.2100
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.7900
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.2100
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.7900
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.2100
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.7900
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.2100
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.7900
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.2100
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.7900
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.2100
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.7900
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2100
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8400, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525434
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 100+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 10659.724367
Price History:
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.2300
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.7700
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.2300
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7700
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.1600
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.8400
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.1700
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.8300
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.1950
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.8050
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.1900
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.8100
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.2000
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.8000
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.1550
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.8450
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9250
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 10282.30, Sell volume: 302.03, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.6350
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.3650
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.7450
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.2550
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.7800
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.2200
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.7800
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.2200
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.7800
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.2200
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.7800
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.2200
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.7800
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.2200
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.2000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3015.64, Sell volume: 170.31, Average price: 0.6289, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.8200
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.1800
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.8050
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.1950
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.8000
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.2000
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.7800
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.2200
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.7800
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.2200
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.7800
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.2200
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.7850
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.2150
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.7850
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.2150
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.7850
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.2150
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.7800
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.2200
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.7900
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 26.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2300, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.2400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.7850
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.2150
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.7850
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.2150
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.7400
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.2600
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.7950
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.2050
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.7950
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.2050
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.7950
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.2050
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.7900
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.2100
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.7900
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.2100
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.7950
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.2050
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.7950
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.2050
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.7950
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.2050
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.7750
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.2250
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 170.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2863, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.3327

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.7800
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.2200
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.7800
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.2200
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.7800
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.2200
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.7800
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.2200
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.7800
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.2200
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.7800
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.2200
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.7800
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.2200
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.7750
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.2250
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.7750
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.2250
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.7600
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.2400
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.4550
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.5450
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.7450
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 19.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.7400
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.2600
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.3250
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.6750
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.3250
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.6800
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.3200
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.6800
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.3200
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.6800
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.3200
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.6800
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.3200
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.6800
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.3200
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.6800
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.3200
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.6800
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3015.64, Sell volume: 170.31, Average price: 0.6289, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.6800
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.3200
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.7000
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.3000
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.7000
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 33.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7430, Price range: 0.7430 - 0.7430

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.2250
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.7950
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.2050
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.7950
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.2050
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.2500
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3015.64, Sell volume: 170.31, Average price: 0.6289, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.8000
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.2000
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.8000
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.2000
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.8000
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.2000
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3015.64, Sell volume: 170.31, Average price: 0.6289, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.2100
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.7700
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.2300
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.7500
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3015.64, Sell volume: 170.31, Average price: 0.6289, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.7450
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.7550
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.7450
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.7450
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.7750
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.2250
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.7400
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.2600
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.7450
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.2550
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.7700
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.2300
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.7700
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.2300
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.7650
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.7650
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.7650
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.7650
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 23.00, Average price: 0.2200, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.2200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.7650
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.7700
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.2300
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.7700
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.2300
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.7750
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.2250
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.7550
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.7550
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.7450
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.2550
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.7400
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7600
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.2400
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.7950
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.2050
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.7700
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.2300
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.7700
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.2300
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.7750
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3100, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.3100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.7750
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.2250
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.7750
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.2250
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.7800
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.2200
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.7800
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.2200
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.7900
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.2100
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.7900
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2100
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.7900
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.2100
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.7900
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.2100
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.7900
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.2100
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.7850
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.2150
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.2150
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.7850
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3015.64, Sell volume: 170.31, Average price: 0.6289, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.7750
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.2250
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.7750
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2250
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.7800
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.2200
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7750
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.2250
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.3850
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.6150
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.4750
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5250
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.5550
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.4450
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.5900
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.4100
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.6950
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.3050
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.6250
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.3750
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.6350
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2741.35, Sell volume: 127.31, Average price: 0.7425, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6300
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7700
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7900
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.2000
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.8800
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1100
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1150
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.1100
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.1000
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.1000
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9000
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0900
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0450
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.4000
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.3350
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.6600
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.5950
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.5850
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.6250
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.6200
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.6250
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.6100
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.6350
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.6400
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.6400
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.6100
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.4050
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.4550
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.4450
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.4250
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.4400
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.4500
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.4550
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.4450
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4450
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4450
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5750
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5700
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.5800
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.4250
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.4300
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5600
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5600
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.5600
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.6250
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.6250
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.6200
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.6150
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.6300
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.3450
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.6550
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.6700
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.6700
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.6700
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.3350
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.6650
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.3650
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.6200
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.3900
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.3550
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.6300
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.3650
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.6300
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.6300
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.3700
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.3600
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.3650
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.6350
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.6350
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.6350
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.6350
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.6400
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.6400
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.6400
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.6400
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.6400
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.6250
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.6250
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.6250
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.3750
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.6250
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.3800
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.6200
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.6200
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.3800
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.6200
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.3950
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.6000
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.4000
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.5900
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.4100
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.5900
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.5850
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.5850
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.4150
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.4150
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.5850
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.4100
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.4100
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.5900
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.4100
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.6050
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.3900
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.6050
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.6100
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.3900
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.6100
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.3900
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.3900
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.3900
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.6150
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.6150
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.3900
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.3900
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.6100
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.6100
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.3900
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.3900
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.3900
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.3950
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.3950
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.6050
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.6050
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.6050
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.3950
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.6050
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.6050
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.3950
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.6050
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.6100
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.6100
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.6100
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.6300
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.3800
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.3850
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.3850
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.6150
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.3850
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.6150
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.3850
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.6100
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.6150
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.4050
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5950
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.4050
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.5800
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.5800
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.5050
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.4700
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.5400
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.5400
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.5350
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.4750
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5350
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.5500
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.4850
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.5150
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.5100
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.5050
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.4750
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.4750
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.4750
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.4750
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.5900
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.4150
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.4100
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.5550
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.4500
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.4300
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.4450
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.4450
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.5500
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.5450
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.4550
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.5500
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.4550
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.4550
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.5450
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.4550
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.4550
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.4550
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.4350
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.4200
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.4300
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.5700
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.4300
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.3950
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.6050
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.3900
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.4050
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.5800
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.4150
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.4150
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.5850
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.5850
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.4150
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.4150
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.5450
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.4150
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.4050
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.4100
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.4850
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.4950
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.5300
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.5250
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.5250
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.4650
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.4600
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.5350
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.4600
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.5950
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.6150
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.4150
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.4150
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.4150
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.4300
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.4200
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.8700
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1900
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.8600
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.8850
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.8050
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.8050
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.1400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.8450
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.1400
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.1500
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.1450
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1700
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.1650
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.1400
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.1250
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.1350
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.8100
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.1700
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1700
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.1700
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.1700
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.1700
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.1700
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.1600
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.1600
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.2200
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.2700
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.2850
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.2500
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.2350
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.2200
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.2200
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.2000
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.1600
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.1600
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.1600
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.1600
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.1450
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.1350
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.1300
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.1350
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.1350
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.1250
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.1650
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.1900
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.2100
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.2200
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.2700
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.2200
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.2300
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.2700
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.2650
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.2650
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.2800
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.2900
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.3450
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.3300
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.3650
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.3350
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.3200
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.3800
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.4050
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.4050
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.3950
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.4450
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.4450
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.5250
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.4800
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.5200
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.5600
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.5450
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.3250
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.3300
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.4350
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.4550
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.4750
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.4100
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.4350
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.2750
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.1700
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.3900
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.3850
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.4250
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.4050
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.3850
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.3400
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.3000
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.3900
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.3650
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.5100
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.5500
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.5650
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.4550
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.3600
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.4750
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.4550
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.4700
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.4850
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.5150
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.5300
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.5100
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.5600
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.6000
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.6350
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0045
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0710
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0135
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0050
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999671, Buy volume: 188421239.50, Sell volume: 120431168.01, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 301, Buy volume: 236077.92, Sell volume: 129471.30, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.6350
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.3650
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.7450
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.2550
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.7800
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.2200
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.7800
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.2200
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.7800
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.2200
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.7800
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.2200
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.7800
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.2200
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.2000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3015.64, Sell volume: 170.31, Average price: 0.6289, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.8200
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.1800
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.8050
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.1950
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.8000
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.2000
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.7800
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.2200
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.7800
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.2200
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.7800
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.2200
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.7850
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.2150
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.7850
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.2150
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.7850
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.2150
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.7800
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.2200
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.7900
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 26.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2300, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.2400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.7850
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.2150
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.7850
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.2150
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.7400
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.2600
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.7950
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.2050
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.7950
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.2050
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.7950
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.2050
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.7900
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.2100
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.7900
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.2100
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.7950
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.2050
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.7950
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.2050
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.7950
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.2050
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.7750
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.2250
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 170.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2863, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.3327
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.7800
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.2200
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.7800
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.2200
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.7800
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.2200
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.7800
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.2200
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.7800
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.2200
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.7800
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.2200
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.7800
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.2200
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.7750
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.2250
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.7750
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.2250
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.7600
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.2400
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.4550
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.5450
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.7450
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 19.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.7400
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.2600
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.3250
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.6750
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.3250
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.6800
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.3200
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.6800
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.3200
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.6800
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.3200
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.6800
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.3200
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.6800
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.3200
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.6800
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.3200
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.6800
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3015.64, Sell volume: 170.31, Average price: 0.6289, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.6800
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.3200
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.7000
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.3000
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.7000
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 33.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7430, Price range: 0.7430 - 0.7430
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.2250
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.2250
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.7800
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.7850
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.2150
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.7950
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.2050
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.7950
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.2050
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.2500
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3015.64, Sell volume: 170.31, Average price: 0.6289, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.8000
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.2000
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.8000
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.2000
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.8000
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.2000
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.2100
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3015.64, Sell volume: 170.31, Average price: 0.6289, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.7900
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.2100
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.2150
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.7700
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.2300
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.7500
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3015.64, Sell volume: 170.31, Average price: 0.6289, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.7450
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.7550
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.7450
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.7450
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.7750
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.2250
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.7400
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.2600
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.7450
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.2550
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.7700
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.2300
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.7700
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.2300
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.7650
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.7650
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.7650
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.7650
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 23.00, Average price: 0.2200, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.2200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.7650
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.7700
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.2300
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.7700
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.2300
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.7750
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.2250
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.7550
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.7550
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.2450
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.7450
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.2550
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.7400
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.2600
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7600
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.2400
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.7950
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.2050
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.7700
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.2300
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.7700
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.2300
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.7750
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3100, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.3100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.7750
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.2250
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.7750
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.2250
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.7800
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.2200
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.7800
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.2200
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.7900
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.2100
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.7850
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.7900
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2100
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.7900
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.2100
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.7900
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.2100
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.7900
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.2100
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.7850
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.2150
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.2150
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.7850
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3015.64, Sell volume: 170.31, Average price: 0.6289, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525432
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say President 75+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3185.95376
Price History:
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.7750
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.2250
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.7750
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2250
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.7800
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.2200
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7750
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.2250
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.3850
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.6150
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.4750
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5250
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.5550
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.4450
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.5900
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.4100
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.6950
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.3050
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.6250
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.3750
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.6350
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2741.35, Sell volume: 127.31, Average price: 0.7425, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6300
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7700
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2100
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.2000
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1200
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1150
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0900
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.5950
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.4150
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.3800
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.3900
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.6400
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.3650
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.3650
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.6100
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.5950
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.4450
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.5750
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.4500
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.5450
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4450
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5550
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5700
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.4300
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.4400
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.4400
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.3850
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.6250
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.3450
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.3450
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.6700
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.3300
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.6650
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.3650
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.6200
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.6100
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.6300
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.6300
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.3700
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.6400
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.3650
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.6350
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.6350
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.6350
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.6400
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.6400
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.3600
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.6200
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.6200
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.6200
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.6150
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.4000
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.4100
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.5900
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.4150
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.4150
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.5850
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.4100
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.5900
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.5900
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.3950
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.6050
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.3900
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.6100
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.6100
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.6100
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.6150
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.6100
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.6100
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.6050
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.3950
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.3900
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.6050
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.6050
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.6050
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.6050
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.3900
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.6100
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.6300
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.6200
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.6150
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.3850
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.6100
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.6150
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5950
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.4050
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.5850
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.4700
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.4600
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.5350
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.5250
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.5500
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.5150
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.5150
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.5050
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.5250
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.4750
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.5250
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.4150
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.5900
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.5550
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.5500
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.4300
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.5550
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.5500
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.4550
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.4550
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.5450
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.4550
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.5450
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.3950
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.3950
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.5950
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.5800
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.5850
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.5850
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.4150
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.4150
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.4550
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.4050
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.4850
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.5050
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.5250
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.4750
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.4600
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.5950
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.3850
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.4150
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.5850
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.4300
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.8100
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.8850
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.1950
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.1400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1550
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.1400
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.1650
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.8600
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.1350
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.8100
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1700
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.8300
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.1700
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.1700
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8400
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.8400
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.7300
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.7700
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.2200
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.2000
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.8400
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.1600
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.8400
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.1350
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.1550
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.8650
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.1250
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.8350
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.2100
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.7800
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.7900
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.2300
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.7400
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.2650
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.7200
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.3450
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.6700
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.3350
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.6800
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.4050
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.5950
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.4450
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 188681563.80, Sell volume: 120566052.93, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.5600
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.4550
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.3300
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.5650
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.4750
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.5900
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.3900
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.6150
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.4250
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.5950
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.3400
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.3900
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.6350
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.5500
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.4350
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.3600
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.5250
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.4700
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.5150
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.5300
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.4900
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.5600
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.4000
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0045
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9290
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0135
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999671, Buy volume: 188421239.50, Sell volume: 120431168.01, Average price: 0.3828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618493
Question: Grokipedia released by October 31?
Volume: 1152050.737799
Price History:
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 301, Buy volume: 236077.92, Sell volume: 129471.30, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.4550
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.5450
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.4550
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5450
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.4550
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5450
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.4550
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.5450
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4850
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5150
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4850
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5150
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4850
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.5150
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.4850
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5150
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4850
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5150
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 590.63, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6020, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.4700
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5300
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.2750
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.7250
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.2750
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.7250
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.2750
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.7250
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.6750
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.6750
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.6750
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.6750
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 130.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5536, Price range: 0.5536 - 0.5536

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.6750
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.3200
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.6800
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.3200
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.6800
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.3200
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.6800
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.3200
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.6800
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.6750
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.3200
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 590.63, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6020, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.3200
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.6800
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.3200
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.6800
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.3200
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.6800
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.2750
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.7250
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.2750
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.7250
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.2650
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.7350
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.2750
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.7250
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.2750
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.7250
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.2750
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.7250
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.2750
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.7250
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.2750
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.7250
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 104.17, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.4933, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.4650
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.6450
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.3550
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.6450
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.3550
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.6350
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.3650
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.6400
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.3600
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.6500
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.3500
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.6450
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.3550
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.6450
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.3550
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.6450
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 590.63, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6020, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.4550
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.5450
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.3600
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.6400
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.2700
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.7300
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.7500
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.7700
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.2100
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.7900
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 590.63, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6020, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.3950
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.6050
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.3950
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.6000
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.6000
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.6000
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 590.63, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6020, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.6000
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.6000
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.6000
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 590.63, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6020, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.4050
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.4050
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.4050
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.4050
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.4050
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.4050
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.4050
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 590.63, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6020, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 590.63, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6020, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.4400
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.5600
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.4400
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.5600
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.4400
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.5600
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.4400
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.5600
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.4400
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.5600
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.4400
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.5600
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.5950
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.4050
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.6050
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.3950
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.6100
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 90.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7762, Price range: 0.7762 - 0.7762

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.6200
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.6300
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.3700
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.6350
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.3650
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.6800
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.3200
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.6800
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.3200
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.6800
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.3200
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.6800
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.3200
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.6800
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.3200
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.6800
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.3200
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.6850
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.3150
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.6800
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.3200
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.6800
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 590.63, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6020, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.6800
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.3200
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.6750
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.3250
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.7850
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.2150
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7650
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.7000
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.8600
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.1400
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.8500
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.1500
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.8450
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.1550
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.8800
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.1200
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.6950
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.3050
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 265.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6521, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651641
Question: Grokipedia released by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15414.960729
Price History:
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.6750
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.3250
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.6750
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.3250
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.6850
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.3150
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9950
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0050
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9740
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 2407.05, Sell volume: 371.16, Average price: 0.5946, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651641
Question: Grokipedia released by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15414.960729
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.3150
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9950
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0050
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9740
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 2375.22, Sell volume: 371.16, Average price: 0.6416, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651641
Question: Grokipedia released by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15414.960729
Price History:
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9950
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0050
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 9396.70, Sell volume: 103.15, Average price: 0.8236, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.4550
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.5450
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.4550
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5450
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.4550
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5450
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.4550
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.5450
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4850
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5150
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4850
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5150
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4850
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.5150
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.4850
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5150
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4850
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5150
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 590.63, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6020, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.4700
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5300
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.2750
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.7250
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.2750
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.7250
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.2750
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.7250
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.6750
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.6750
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.6750
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.6750
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 130.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5536, Price range: 0.5536 - 0.5536
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.6750
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.3200
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.6800
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.3200
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.6800
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.3200
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.6800
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.3200
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.6800
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.6750
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.3200
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 590.63, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6020, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.3200
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.6800
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.3200
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.6800
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.3200
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.6800
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.2750
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.7250
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.2750
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.7250
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.2650
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.7350
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.2750
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.7250
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.2750
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.7250
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.2750
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.7250
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.2750
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.7250
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.2750
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.7250
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 104.17, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.4933, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.4650
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.6450
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.3550
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.6450
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.3550
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.6350
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.3650
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.6400
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.3600
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.6500
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.3500
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.6450
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.3550
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.6450
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.3550
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.6450
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 590.63, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6020, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.4550
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.5450
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.3600
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.6400
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.2700
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.7300
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.7500
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.7700
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.2100
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.7900
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 590.63, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6020, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.3950
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.6050
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.3950
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.6000
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.6000
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.6000
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 590.63, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6020, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.6000
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.6000
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.6000
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 590.63, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6020, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.4050
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.4050
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.4050
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.4050
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.4050
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.4050
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.4050
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 590.63, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6020, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525445
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Education during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 720.626664
Price History:
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 590.63, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.6020, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9319
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No