Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9925
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9915
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9925
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0080
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9920
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9920
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9930
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0550
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9450
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0550
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 5913.28, Sell volume: 2097.08, Average price: 0.8086, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 5913.28, Sell volume: 2097.08, Average price: 0.8086, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 5913.28, Sell volume: 2097.08, Average price: 0.8086, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.2500
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.7500
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9000
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.1000
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9000
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.1000
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.1000
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9000
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.3700
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.6300
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.7000
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.7400
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.1500
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.8500
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.3000
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.7000
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0500
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9867, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9600
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9600
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9600
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 17.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9897, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0255
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9745
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0255
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9745
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0205
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9700
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0345
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9655
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0345
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9655
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0345
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9655
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0345
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9655
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0345
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9655
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0345
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 5913.28, Sell volume: 2097.08, Average price: 0.8086, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0355
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9645
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0305
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9695
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0305
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9695
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0305
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 71.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9926, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0250
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9750
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0250
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9750
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0260
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9740
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0260
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9740
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0260
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9740
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0260
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9740
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0265
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9735
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0295
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9705
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0295
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9705
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0295
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 61.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9968, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0295
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9705
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0295
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9705
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0295
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9705
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0295
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9705
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0290
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9710
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0290
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9710
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0290
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9710
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.0290
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.9710
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.0290
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.9710
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.0295
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 59.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9895, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.0225
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.9775
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.0215
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.9785
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.0190
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.9810
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.0150
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.9850
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.0120
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.9880
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.0105
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.9895
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.0490
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.9510
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.0490
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.9510
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 5464.97, Sell volume: 1997.08, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9795
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0170
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9820
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0180
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9820
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0180
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9820
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0180
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9820
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0180
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9825
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0175
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9825
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0180
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9820
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0180
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.9815
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0195
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.9805
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0195
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.9830
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0170
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9830
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0170
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.9830
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0170
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9835
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0170
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0165
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.9835
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0170
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9830
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0170
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9840
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0160
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.9840
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0160
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9825
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0165
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9835
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0180
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.9830
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0165
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9840
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.0160
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9845
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9845
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0155
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.9845
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0160
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9845
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0155
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.9855
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0145
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9850
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0150
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.0150
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.9850
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9850
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9850
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0150
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9850
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0150
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9850
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0150
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0150
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0145
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0145
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0145
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9855
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9855
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0145
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9865
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0130
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0125
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0115
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0115
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.0105
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9895
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0105
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9900
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0105
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9895
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0085
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0085
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.0085
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.9915
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9915
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0085
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.0085
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0085
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0085
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9915
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0095
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0100
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9900
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0100
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.9905
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9900
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.0095
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0095
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9905
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0095
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.9905
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.0095
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0095
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9905
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9905
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0095
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.9905
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0095
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0095
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0095
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9905
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0095
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0095
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9905
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9905
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0095
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0095
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0095
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0095
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9905
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0085
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9915
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0085
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0085
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9910
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0090
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9910
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0085
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0075
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0075
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9925
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0075
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0075
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9925
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9935
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0065
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9935
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0070
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0075
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9925
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0080
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9920
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0085
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0085
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0095
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0095
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9905
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0095
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9905
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0095
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9905
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9905
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9905
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9905
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0095
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9905
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0095
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9905
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9905
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0095
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9905
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0095
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0095
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9905
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9895
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9895
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0105
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9895
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0105
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9895
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0105
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0105
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9895
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0105
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9895
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0105
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9895
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9895
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9915
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9915
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9920
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9915
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559662
Question: Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 5155374.403192
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0550
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9450
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0550
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 5913.28, Sell volume: 2097.08, Average price: 0.8086, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 5913.28, Sell volume: 2097.08, Average price: 0.8086, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 5913.28, Sell volume: 2097.08, Average price: 0.8086, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.2500
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.7500
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9000
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.1000
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9000
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.1000
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.1000
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9000
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.3700
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.6300
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.7000
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.7400
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.1500
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.8500
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.3000
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.7000
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.1550
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0500
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9867, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9600
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9600
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9600
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 17.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9897, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0305
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9695
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0255
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9745
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0255
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9745
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0205
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0300
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9700
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0345
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9655
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0345
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9655
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0345
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9655
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0345
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9655
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0345
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9655
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0345
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 5913.28, Sell volume: 2097.08, Average price: 0.8086, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0345
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9655
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0355
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9645
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0305
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9695
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0305
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9695
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0305
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 71.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9926, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0250
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9750
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0250
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9750
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0260
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9740
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0260
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9740
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0260
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9740
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0260
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9740
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0265
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9735
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0295
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9705
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0295
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9705
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0295
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 61.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9968, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0295
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9705
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0295
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9705
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0295
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9705
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0295
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9705
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0290
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9710
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0290
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9710
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0290
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9710
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.0290
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.9710
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.0290
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.9710
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.0295
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 59.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9895, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700148
Question: Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 8010.360903
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.0225
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.9775
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.0215
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.9785
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.0190
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.9810
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.0150
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.9850
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.0120
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.9880
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.0105
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.9895
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.0490
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.9510
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.0490
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.9510
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 5464.97, Sell volume: 1997.08, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.4985
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0110
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9925
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9910
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9910
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0090
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9910
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0090
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9910
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0090
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9910
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0090
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9910
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0085
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9915
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0075
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9925
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0075
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9925
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0075
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.9925
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9925
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.0075
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.9925
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0075
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9925
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0075
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.9930
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0070
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.9930
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0050
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.9950
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0050
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.9945
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.0055
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.9950
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0050
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.9950
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.9950
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0050
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.9955
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9955
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9955
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9955
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0045
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.9955
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.9965
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.9965
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9965
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9970
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9975
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9975
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9975
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0025
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9975
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9975
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0025
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0025
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0030
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9970
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.0030
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9975
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9975
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0025
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0025
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.9975
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0025
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9975
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.0025
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9975
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0025
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9975
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9975
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0025
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9975
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9975
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9975
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9975
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9975
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9975
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9975
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9955
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0045
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9955
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0045
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0045
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9955
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9955
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9945
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9925
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9905
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9925
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9860
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0080
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9910
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9910
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0090
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9910
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0090
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9910
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0085
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9925
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0075
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9925
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0075
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9925
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0075
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.9925
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0075
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.9930
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0070
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.9950
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9945
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0050
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.9950
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0045
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.9955
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9955
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0045
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9965
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.9965
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9970
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0030
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9975
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9975
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9975
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9975
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.9975
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9975
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9975
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0030
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9975
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.9975
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9975
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9975
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9975
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9975
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.9975
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9975
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9975
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9975
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0025
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0025
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9975
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9975
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9975
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9955
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0045
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9955
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0045
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9955
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9925
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9925
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559680
Question: Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 20013570.435353
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9100
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9100
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0900
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1400, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.1400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 8939.61, Sell volume: 1677.79, Average price: 0.6770, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 8939.61, Sell volume: 1677.79, Average price: 0.6770, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 8939.61, Sell volume: 1677.79, Average price: 0.6770, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.7800
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.2200
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.8150
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.8400
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.1600
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.3650
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.8550
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.1450
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 51.37, Sell volume: 0.75, Average price: 0.6394, Price range: 0.1570 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.8550
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.1450
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.8550
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.1450
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 31.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9520, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0400
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9655
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9355
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0645
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9360
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0640
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9345
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0655
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9375
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0625
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9390
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0610
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9410
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0590
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 8939.61, Sell volume: 1677.79, Average price: 0.6770, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.6680
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.3320
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.6735
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.3265
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.7955
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.2045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 82.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8693, Price range: 0.0960 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.7955
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.2045
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.7955
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.2045
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9095
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0905
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9090
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0910
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9090
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 113.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6927, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9035
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0965
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9035
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0965
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.7880
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.2120
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.7830
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.2170
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.8780
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.1220
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.8780
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.1220
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.8830
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.1170
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.8810
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.1190
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.8920
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.1080
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.8960
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.1040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 81.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1812, Price range: 0.1720 - 0.1904

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.9080
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.0920
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.8915
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.1085
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.9270
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.0730
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.9235
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.0765
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.8920
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.1080
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.8395
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.1605
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 8291.90, Sell volume: 1667.04, Average price: 0.6483, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9100
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9100
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0900
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1400, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.1400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.8850
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.1150
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 8939.61, Sell volume: 1677.79, Average price: 0.6770, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 8939.61, Sell volume: 1677.79, Average price: 0.6770, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 8939.61, Sell volume: 1677.79, Average price: 0.6770, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.7800
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.2200
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.8150
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.8400
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.1600
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.3650
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.8550
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.1450
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 51.37, Sell volume: 0.75, Average price: 0.6394, Price range: 0.1570 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.8550
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.1450
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.8550
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.1450
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 31.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9520, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0400
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9650
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0350
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9655
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9355
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0645
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9360
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0640
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9345
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0655
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9375
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0625
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9390
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0610
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9410
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0590
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 8939.61, Sell volume: 1677.79, Average price: 0.6770, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9415
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0585
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.6680
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.3320
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.6735
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.3265
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.7955
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.2045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 82.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8693, Price range: 0.0960 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.7955
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.2045
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.7955
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.2045
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9095
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0905
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9090
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0910
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9090
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 113.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6927, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9035
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0965
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9035
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0965
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.7880
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.2120
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.7830
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.2170
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.8780
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.1220
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.8780
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.1220
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.8830
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.1170
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.8810
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.1190
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.8920
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.1080
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.8960
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.1040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 81.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1812, Price range: 0.1720 - 0.1904
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700149
Question: Will George Russell get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 10617.403277
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.9080
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.0920
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.8915
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.1085
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.9270
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.0730
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.9235
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.0765
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.8920
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.1080
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.8395
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.1605
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 8291.90, Sell volume: 1667.04, Average price: 0.6483, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559656
Question: Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1700227.662013
Price History:
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.4990
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0605
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9555
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0460
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9495
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0500
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9495
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0500
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9500
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0505
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9510
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0500
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9515
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0480
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9520
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0495
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9505
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0465
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9535
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0465
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9540
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0455
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.9545
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0455
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9540
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.0455
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.9545
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0455
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9540
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0465
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.9540
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0460
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.9535
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0455
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.9545
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0470
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.9530
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.0465
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.9535
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0465
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.9535
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.0465
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.9540
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0455
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9545
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0450
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.9550
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0450
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes