Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 117.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630989
Question: Will the Democrats win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 462.376342
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 292.38, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.2738, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 862.61, Sell volume: 190.00, Average price: 0.7747, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 43.48, Sell volume: 52.17, Average price: 0.9133, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1055.09, Sell volume: 247.17, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1055.09, Sell volume: 247.17, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1055.09, Sell volume: 247.17, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1055.09, Sell volume: 247.17, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1055.09, Sell volume: 247.17, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1055.09, Sell volume: 247.17, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1055.09, Sell volume: 247.17, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 144.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1055.09, Sell volume: 247.17, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 862.61, Sell volume: 190.00, Average price: 0.7747, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 43.48, Sell volume: 52.17, Average price: 0.9133, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1055.09, Sell volume: 247.17, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1055.09, Sell volume: 247.17, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1055.09, Sell volume: 247.17, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1055.09, Sell volume: 247.17, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1055.09, Sell volume: 247.17, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1055.09, Sell volume: 247.17, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1055.09, Sell volume: 247.17, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 144.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630990
Question: Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 1302.256937
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1055.09, Sell volume: 247.17, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0780 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.5150
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.4850
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.5150
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.4850
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1950
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8050
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2300
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.7700
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.7500
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.2500
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7700
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.2300
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7600
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 515.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5531, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8585

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.7550
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.7550
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.7550
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.7550
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.2600
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7400
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.3000
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 436.73, Sell volume: 170.67, Average price: 0.4543, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.2750
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 548.99, Sell volume: 277.74, Average price: 0.5114, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8000
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.2000
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8350
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 206.53, Sell volume: 65.00, Average price: 0.6740, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1700
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.8300
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8300
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1700
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8300
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1700
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.8300
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1700
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8350
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1650
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.1600
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.8400
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 14971.72, Sell volume: 777.06, Average price: 0.5982, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1600
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.8400
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.1600
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.8400
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1600
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.8600
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1400
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.1400
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8600
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.1400
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 14971.72, Sell volume: 777.06, Average price: 0.5982, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 696.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7061, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 654.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9260, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 204.98, Sell volume: 1.22, Average price: 0.9475, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 393.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 2382.19, Sell volume: 211.22, Average price: 0.4368, Price range: 0.0677 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9660
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0340
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 8273.95, Sell volume: 51.21, Average price: 0.5281, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.5150
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.4850
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.5150
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.4850
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1950
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8050
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2300
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.7700
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.7500
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.2500
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7700
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.2300
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7600
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 515.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5531, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8585
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.7550
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.7550
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.7550
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.7550
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.2600
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7400
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.3000
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 436.73, Sell volume: 170.67, Average price: 0.4543, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.2750
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2700
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.7300
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 548.99, Sell volume: 277.74, Average price: 0.5114, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8000
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.2000
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1650
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8350
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 206.53, Sell volume: 65.00, Average price: 0.6740, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1700
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.8300
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8300
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1700
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8300
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1700
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.8300
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1700
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8350
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1650
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.1600
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.8400
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 14971.72, Sell volume: 777.06, Average price: 0.5982, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1600
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.8400
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.1600
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.8400
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1600
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.8600
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1400
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.1400
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8600
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.1400
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 14971.72, Sell volume: 777.06, Average price: 0.5982, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 696.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7061, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 654.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9260, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 204.98, Sell volume: 1.22, Average price: 0.9475, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 393.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 2382.19, Sell volume: 211.22, Average price: 0.4368, Price range: 0.0677 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636801
Question: Will The Washington Post have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 15748.77778
Price History:
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9660
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0340
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 8273.95, Sell volume: 51.21, Average price: 0.5281, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.3300
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.6700
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.3300
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.6700
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8800
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1200
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1250
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.8750
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.2450
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.7550
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7550
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2450
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7550
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.2450
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7550
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 292.32, Sell volume: 120.00, Average price: 0.6646, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.7550
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.7550
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.7450
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.2550
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.6050
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.3950
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.6400
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.3600
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.4000
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.6000
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.3500
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.6500
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.3700
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.6300
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.3700
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.6300
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.3700
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 334.69, Sell volume: 71.18, Average price: 0.6177, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7350

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.6550
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.3450
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.3800
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.6200
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.4050
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.5950
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.4050
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.5950
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.3800
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.6200
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.3900
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.6100
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.3900
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.6100
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.6350
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.3650
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2150
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.7850
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2000
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.8000
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 384.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6954, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8300
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1700
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8550
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1450
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1400
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8600
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8600
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1400
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8850
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 125.09, Average price: 0.1400, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.1600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 67.91, Average price: 0.2875, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.8700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 250.85, Sell volume: 142.00, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 101.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 392.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7225, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 403.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9550
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0450
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9550
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9550
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9550
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9550
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 383.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 484.42, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1261.47, Sell volume: 350.00, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.0663 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 4032.82, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.7027, Price range: 0.0439 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.3300
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.6700
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.3300
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.6700
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8800
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1200
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1250
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.8750
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.2450
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.7550
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7550
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2450
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7550
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.2450
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7550
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 292.32, Sell volume: 120.00, Average price: 0.6646, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.7550
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.7550
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.7450
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.2550
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.6050
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.3950
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.6400
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.3600
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.4000
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.6000
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.3500
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.6500
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.3700
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.6300
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.3700
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.6300
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.3700
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 334.69, Sell volume: 71.18, Average price: 0.6177, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7350
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.6550
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.3450
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.3800
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.6200
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.4050
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.5950
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.4050
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.5950
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.3800
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.6200
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.3900
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.6100
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.3900
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.6100
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.6350
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.3650
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2150
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.7850
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2000
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.8000
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 384.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6954, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8300
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1700
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8550
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1450
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1400
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8600
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8600
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1400
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8850
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 125.09, Average price: 0.1400, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.1600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 67.91, Average price: 0.2875, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 250.85, Sell volume: 142.00, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 101.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 392.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7225, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 403.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9550
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0450
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9550
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9550
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9550
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9550
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 383.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 484.42, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1261.47, Sell volume: 350.00, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.0663 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 636802
Question: Will CNN have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Volume: 12540.19765
Price History:
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 4032.82, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.7027, Price range: 0.0439 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.5100
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.4900
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1550
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8450
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1600
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.8400
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.8200
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.1800
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 209.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6136, Price range: 0.1583 - 0.8533

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 636800
Question: Will The New York Times have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16175.608959
Price History:
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.4800
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.5200
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.5500
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.5500
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.5500
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.4550
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.5450
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 420.88, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.5064, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100

Output: No