Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.8600
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.1400
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.1400
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.1400
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.8600
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.1400
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.8600
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.8600
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.8600
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.1350
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.1450
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.1400
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.8550
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.1450
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.8550
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.8650
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.1350
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.8650
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.1350
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.8650
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.1350
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.1350
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.8800
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.1650
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.1650
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.1350
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.8650
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.1350
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.8650
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.1350
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.1400
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 282.00, Sell volume: 11.16, Average price: 0.7067, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.8750
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.1250
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.1250
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1250
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.1250
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1200
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8800
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.1200
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.8800
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.1200
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.8800
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.1200
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.8800
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.1200
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8800
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.1500
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.8550
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.1450
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.8600
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.1450
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.8600
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.1450
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.8550
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.1250
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.8650
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.8600
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.1350
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.1300
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.8700
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.1300
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.1250
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.8800
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.1200
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.8800
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.1200
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 61.33, Sell volume: 91.00, Average price: 0.6344, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.8800
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.1200
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.1200
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.8800
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.1200
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.8850
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.1150
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.8850
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.1150
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.8850
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.1150
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.1150
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.1150
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.8850
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.1150
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.1150
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.8850
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.1150
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.1150
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.1150
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.1150
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.1150
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.1150
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.1150
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.1150
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.1150
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.1550
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1600
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.1600
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1600
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1600
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.1600
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.8350
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.1650
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8350
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.1700
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.8200
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.8350
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.8300
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.1550
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.8450
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.1600
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.8300
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.1600
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1650
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1351.10, Sell volume: 108.19, Average price: 0.7590, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8550
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1450
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.8550
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1450
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.8600
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.1500
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.8500
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.8500
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.8500
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.1500
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.8500
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.1500
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.8500
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.8500
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.8500
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1450
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.1950
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.8100
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8100
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1900
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8100
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8050
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.8350
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1650
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.1700
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.1650
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.1650
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1907.87, Sell volume: 198.98, Average price: 0.7289, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.1700
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.1700
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.8300
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.8300
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.1700
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.8300
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.8300
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.8300
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.1700
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.1700
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.8300
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1700
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.1700
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.1650
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.8350
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.1650
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.8350
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.8350
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.8350
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.1650
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.1650
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.1650
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.8350
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.8350
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.1650
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.1700
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1700
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.1250
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0400
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0400
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9600
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9600
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9600
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0400
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0400
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2432.52, Sell volume: 785.69, Average price: 0.5280, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0400
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9600
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9600
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9550
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9550
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9550
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.1900
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.1800
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.1900
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.7800
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.2350
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.7700
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 7529.02, Sell volume: 362.03, Average price: 0.5158, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.7650
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.7650
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.7650
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.7650
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.7650
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.2400
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.7600
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.2050
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.7650
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.6850
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.3150
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.6950
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.7000
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.2900
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.7400
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.2650
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4800
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.6100
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.4000
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.6250
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.3550
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.6600
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.3350
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.6600
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.3700
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.6400
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.3600
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.6300
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.4000
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.3850
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.3550
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.6150
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.8300
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.6250
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.2700
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 533, Buy volume: 72518.76, Sell volume: 34599.32, Average price: 0.5424, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0685
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9305
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9670
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0275
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9910
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0115
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9880
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9875
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0115
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9885
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0120
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0115
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 155, Buy volume: 18316.72, Sell volume: 4108.54, Average price: 0.7973, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9981

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.4900
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.4700
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.5300
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.4700
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.4500
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.5750
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.7550
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2250
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.7750
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.2100
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.7900
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.7950
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.2050
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.1900
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.8100
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.1900
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.8250
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.1800
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.8200
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.1750
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.8100
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.8100
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.1900
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.8100
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 222.19, Sell volume: 123.96, Average price: 0.5760, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.8100
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.1900
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.8100
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.1900
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.8100
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.1900
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.8100
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.1900
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.8100
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.1900
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.8100
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.8100
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.1900
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.1900
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.8100
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.1900
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.8100
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.1900
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.1900
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.1900
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.1900
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.1900
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.8100
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.1950
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.1950
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.2000
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.8050
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.1950
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.2150
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 3713.84, Sell volume: 184.00, Average price: 0.5343, Price range: 0.2050 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.7900
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.7850
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.8050
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.8000
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.8000
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.8000
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.8000
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.8000
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.8000
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2000
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.8000
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.8050
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.1950
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.8050
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.1950
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.8050
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 61.17, Sell volume: 53.70, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.2100
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.7900
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.2000
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 326.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2000
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2000
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8000
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2000
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.1400
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 678.72, Sell volume: 187.48, Average price: 0.7235, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.1100
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.1400
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.8600
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.8600
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.8600
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.1400
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.8650
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.1400
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.8500
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.1400
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.1350
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.8650
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.1350
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.8800
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.8350
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.8650
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.1350
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.8600
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 282.00, Sell volume: 11.16, Average price: 0.7067, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.8750
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.1250
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.1250
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.1200
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.8800
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.1200
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.8800
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.1200
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8800
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.1450
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.8550
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.1450
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.8550
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.1400
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.8650
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.1400
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1300
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.1000
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.8800
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.1200
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 61.33, Sell volume: 91.00, Average price: 0.6344, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.8800
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.8800
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.1200
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.8850
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.1150
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.8850
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.1150
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.8850
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.1150
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.1150
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.1150
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.1150
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.8850
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.1150
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.1500
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.1600
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1600
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.1650
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.8350
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.1800
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.1700
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.8450
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.1600
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1700
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1351.10, Sell volume: 108.19, Average price: 0.7590, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8550
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8550
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.1400
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.1500
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.1500
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.1500
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.8500
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.8500
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.8500
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1450
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.1900
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8100
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1900
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1800
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.8300
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.1650
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1907.87, Sell volume: 198.98, Average price: 0.7289, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.1700
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.1700
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.1700
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.1700
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.1700
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.8300
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.1700
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.1700
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8300
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.1650
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.8350
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1650
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.8350
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.8350
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.8350
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.8350
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.1650
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.8750
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0400
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9600
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0400
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9600
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9600
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2432.52, Sell volume: 785.69, Average price: 0.5280, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0400
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0400
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9550
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9550
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9550
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.7800
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.2150
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 7529.02, Sell volume: 362.03, Average price: 0.5158, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.7650
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.7650
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.7650
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.2350
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.7600
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.2050
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.3150
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.2900
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4800
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.6000
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.3750
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.6600
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.3400
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.6300
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.3600
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.6000
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.6150
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.6150
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.1500
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 533, Buy volume: 72518.76, Sell volume: 34599.32, Average price: 0.5424, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600453
Question: Will PVV win 26 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 163763.647402
Price History:
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0685
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9345
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9770
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9765
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9885
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9875
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9895
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0115
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0115
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 155, Buy volume: 18316.72, Sell volume: 4108.54, Average price: 0.7973, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9981
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.6050
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.6050
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.3850
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.7000
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.2650
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.2200
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2100
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.2200
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.2000
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.8000
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.8000
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.8000
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.2000
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.8000
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.2000
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.2000
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.8000
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.8000
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.2000
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.2000
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.8000
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.8000
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.1400
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.8850
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9200
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0800
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0800
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0800
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0850
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0850
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0850
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 220.00, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.5708, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9250
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0800
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9200
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0800
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0800
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.8350
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.8350
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.1650
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.1650
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.8350
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.1650
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.8350
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.8350
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.1750
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.8400
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.8500
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.8650
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.1700
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.8300
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.1500
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.8400
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.8400
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.8700
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.1350
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.8600
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.1350
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.8650
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.1350
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.1350
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.1550
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.1350
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.1400
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.8450
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.1400
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.8500
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.1450
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.1500
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.8600
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.1400
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.2400
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.7550
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3451.99, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.2035, Price range: 0.1257 - 0.2700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.1850
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.8200
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.8250
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.8100
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.1900
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.8100
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.8000
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7800
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.7600
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.7800
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.7600
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.8200
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.2000
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.2000
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.2000
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.8100
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7800
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.7800
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.7750
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.2100
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2100
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2100
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7750
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7700
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2150
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7900
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7850
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2100
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.1950
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.8150
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.8150
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.8100
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2250
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7700
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.7500
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.2500
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.7450
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.2550
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.2500
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2500
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.7550
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.7550
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.7550
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.2450
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7500
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.7550
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.7550
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 566.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6467, Price range: 0.1935 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7550
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2450
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2450
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.8600
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8850
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9100
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.7550
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.2450
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.2450
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.7550
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.7950
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.2000
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.8100
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.1900
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.1900
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.8200
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.8100
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.1900
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.8100
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.1800
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.1800
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.1600
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7650
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.2450
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.7350
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 539.29, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.4707, Price range: 0.1644 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.7350
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.2600
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.7450
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.7200
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.7300
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.7550
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.2300
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.2500
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.7500
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.2300
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.7700
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.2300
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.2550
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.2550
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.7600
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.2600
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.2400
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.7600
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.7450
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.7650
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.7550
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.2550
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.7500
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.2500
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.2600
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.7400
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.8050
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.7900
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.2100
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.7750
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 86.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7500, Price range: 0.7300 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.8000
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8100
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.8000
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.2000
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.8000
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.8000
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.1950
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.8100
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.1950
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.8100
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.1900
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.1900
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.8050
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 54.17, Sell volume: 87.17, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.2000
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.1900
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.1900
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.1800
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.2150
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.2100
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.7900
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.2150
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.2400
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.7800
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.2200
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.2200
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.2100
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.2200
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.2100
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.2000
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.8000
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.2000
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.8000
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.2000
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.8000
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.2450
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.2500
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.7650
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.2300
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.7650
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.7650
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.2300
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.2350
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1448.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.1958 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8050
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1950
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.8050
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1950
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.1900
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.8100
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.1900
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.8100
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.8100
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.8100
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.8100
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1900
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.1900
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.8100
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1900
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1900
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1900
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8100
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.2300
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.7800
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.7800
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.7700
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.7800
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.2300
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.7800
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.2200
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.7800
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.7800
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.7800
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.7800
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.7800
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.2400
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.2300
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.2300
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.7800
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.2100
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 745.32, Sell volume: 55.00, Average price: 0.4945, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.7800
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.2200
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.7800
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.2200
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.7800
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.2200
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.7700
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.2200
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.7800
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.2200
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.2200
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.7800
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.2200
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.7800
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.7750
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2050
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.7950
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7800
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.7800
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.2200
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.1550
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.8350
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.1650
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.8350
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.8350
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.8350
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.8350
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8350
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2981.57, Sell volume: 290.59, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.1600
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.8400
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.1600
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8400
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.8200
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.1800
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8200
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1800
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.8200
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.1800
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.8200
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.1800
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.8200
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.1800
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.2100
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.7900
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.7550
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.2450
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.2400
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.7450
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.8000
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.2000
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.8000
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.2000
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8000
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1950
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.8050
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.2000
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 3204.19, Sell volume: 206.37, Average price: 0.5615, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8266

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.7800
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.2300
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.7650
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.2450
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.7550
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.2450
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.7550
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.2450
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.7550
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.2450
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.7550
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.2550
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.7450
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.7550
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.7850
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.1950
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.8050
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.1950
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.8050
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.1950
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.8050
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.7850
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.2050
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.7850
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.7900
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1650
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.8300
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.2250
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.7750
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.1900
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.7950
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.1950
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.8450
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.2550
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.3250
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.7550
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 476, Buy volume: 61747.06, Sell volume: 16670.12, Average price: 0.3177, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0555
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9475
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0240
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0200
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9790
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 34259.37, Sell volume: 15130.37, Average price: 0.6373, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.3950
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.2800
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.7650
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2100
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.7800
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.2000
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.2000
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.2000
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.8000
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.8000
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.2000
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.2000
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.8000
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.2000
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.8850
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0800
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9150
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 220.00, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.5708, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0750
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9200
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0800
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9200
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.8350
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.8350
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.8350
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.8350
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.8350
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.1750
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.1500
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.1350
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.8300
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.8350
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.8550
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.1350
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.8650
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.8650
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.1350
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.8500
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.1350
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.8450
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.1500
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.8550
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.8600
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.7500
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3451.99, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.2035, Price range: 0.1257 - 0.2700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.7700
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.1900
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.8250
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.2000
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.7600
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.8000
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.2000
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.1950
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7800
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.2200
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.7750
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.2100
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2100
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.7900
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.2150
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2150
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7900
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.1850
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.8150
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.8100
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.7750
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7600
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.2500
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.7450
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.7450
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.7550
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.2450
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.2450
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.2500
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 566.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6467, Price range: 0.1935 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7550
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.2450
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1200
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0900
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.2450
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.7550
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.7650
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.7950
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.2100
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.1900
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.1800
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.1900
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.1900
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.8100
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.8200
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.8450
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7650
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.2650
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 539.29, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.4707, Price range: 0.1644 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.7350
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.7400
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.7450
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.7250
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.7350
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.2400
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.7600
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.2300
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.7450
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.7300
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.7600
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.2350
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.7600
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.7600
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.7550
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.2450
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.2500
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.7400
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.1950
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2100
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 86.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7500, Price range: 0.7300 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.8000
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.1900
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.8000
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.2000
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.2000
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.8050
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.8050
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.1900
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.8100
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 54.17, Sell volume: 87.17, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.1900
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.2100
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.7850
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.7600
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.7800
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.7900
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.7850
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.7800
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.7900
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.2100
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.2150
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.2000
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.8000
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.2000
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.8000
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.7550
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.7700
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.2300
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1448.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.1958 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8050
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8050
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.8100
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.8100
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.2000
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.8100
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1900
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.1900
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1900
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8100
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.7800
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.2200
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.2300
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.7700
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.7800
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.2200
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.2200
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.2450
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.2300
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.2200
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 745.32, Sell volume: 55.00, Average price: 0.4945, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.7800
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.2200
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.7800
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.2200
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.7800
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.7800
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.2250
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.7800
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.2200
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.7800
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7950
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.7950
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.7950
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.2100
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.2200
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.1650
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.8350
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.8350
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.1650
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8350
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2981.57, Sell volume: 290.59, Average price: 0.3728, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.1600
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.8400
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.1600
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.8200
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1800
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.8200
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.1800
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.8200
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.7900
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.2450
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.7550
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.2350
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.2000
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8000
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 3204.19, Sell volume: 206.37, Average price: 0.5615, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8266
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.7800
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.7550
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.2450
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.7550
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.2450
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.7550
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.2550
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.7850
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.2000
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.8050
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.1950
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.7900
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.1950
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.7850
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.1950
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1650
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.2300
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.7750
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.2050
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.8050
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.2550
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 476, Buy volume: 61747.06, Sell volume: 16670.12, Average price: 0.3177, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600454
Question: Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 155262.035225
Price History:
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0555
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9455
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0180
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9790
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9900
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 34259.37, Sell volume: 15130.37, Average price: 0.6373, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.4000
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.4150
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.6550
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.3450
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.3350
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.3250
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.3500
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.7200
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.2550
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.7450
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.1800
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.8150
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.1850
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.8150
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.1850
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.8150
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.1800
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.1800
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.1850
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.8050
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.1950
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.8050
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.2150
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.7850
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.2100
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.7800
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.2100
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.7900
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.2150
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.7850
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.2150
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.7850
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.2300
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.7700
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.3350
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.3200
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.3050
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 249.20, Sell volume: 56.00, Average price: 0.5506, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9076

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.3000
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.7150
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.2750
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.7250
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.2700
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.7300
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.2700
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.2750
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.7250
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2750
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.7150
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.2850
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.7250
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.2700
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.3300
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.2750
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.2550
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.2850
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.2550
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.7450
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 7.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.4100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.2550
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.7450
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.8100
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.1700
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.2900
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2850
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.8250
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.7800
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.1800
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.1750
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.8250
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.8100
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.2000
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.8000
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.1900
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.1600
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.8500
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.1900
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7848, Price range: 0.7848 - 0.7848

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.1950
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.8100
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7850
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7900
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2000
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.2250
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.2100
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.8000
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.8000
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.8050
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.8000
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2150
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.2150
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2100
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7850
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2100
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.8150
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.1850
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.1800
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.1800
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.8200
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1800
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8400
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8550
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1450
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 646.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4969, Price range: 0.1837 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.8000
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.8000
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.1950
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.1900
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.8200
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.8050
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.1950
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.8050
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.2050
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.2300
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.7800
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.2250
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.2250
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.7750
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.2200
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.7700
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.7700
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.7600
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.7600
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.7600
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.7600
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2400
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.7600
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.2400
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.7600
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.2400
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.2400
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 738.66, Sell volume: 73.38, Average price: 0.5229, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.7900
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.2150
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.2150
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.7800
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.7850
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.7800
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.7850
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.7600
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.2550
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.2400
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.7600
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.2300
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.2300
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.2150
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.7600
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.2300
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.7700
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.2200
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.7800
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.7900
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.8050
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.1950
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.8000
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.8000
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2000
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.1950
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.8000
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.2000
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.2050
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.8000
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.8000
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.2000
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.2000
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 96.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.7950
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.2050
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.8050
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8050
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.8000
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.8100
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.8100
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.7600
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.8000
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.1800
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.8100
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.1700
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.8300
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.1800
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.7800
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.2200
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.7900
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.7900
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.7800
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2200
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.2200
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.2200
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.7600
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 120.18, Sell volume: 179.64, Average price: 0.3185, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.8100
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.7900
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.7550
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.2200
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.7850
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.7850
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.2100
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.7900
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.7900
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.7900
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.7900
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.7900
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.7800
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.7800
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.7800
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.7800
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.7850
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.7800
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.2200
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.7750
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.8200
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.8200
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.8200
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.8200
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.1800
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8200
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.8200
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.8000
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.1950
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1329.33, Sell volume: 56.12, Average price: 0.3412, Price range: 0.1782 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.7550
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2400
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.2200
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.7850
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.2300
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.7700
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.2300
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.2300
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.7700
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.2200
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.7800
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.2200
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.7900
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.2100
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.7800
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.2150
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.2300
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.7850
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.2450
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.7550
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.2450
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.2300
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.7900
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 418.65, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.7244, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.1950
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.1950
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.1950
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8000
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.2000
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.8100
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.7950
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.1900
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.7900
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7950
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.7450
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7450
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.7900
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.8550
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.8550
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.1450
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8450
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.8450
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1700
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.8300
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.1550
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.8450
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.1550
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.8350
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1900
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 2529.80, Sell volume: 388.31, Average price: 0.4026, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.7700
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2450
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.7600
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.2850
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.2850
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.7150
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.7100
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.2900
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.7100
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.2900
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.3200
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.6750
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.3250
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.2800
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.7550
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.2450
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.2750
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.2850
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.7250
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.2650
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.7350
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 2731.03, Sell volume: 2202.52, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.1879 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.2400
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.7550
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.2450
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.7550
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.2450
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.7550
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.2400
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.7600
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.2400
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.7500
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.2500
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.2550
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.2600
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.2550
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.2550
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.7450
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.2550
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.7450
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.2600
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.7450
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.2300
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.7200
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.2850
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.8000
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.1400
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0900
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0060
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 241, Buy volume: 34466.10, Sell volume: 6146.14, Average price: 0.5142, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 11142.39, Sell volume: 5376.02, Average price: 0.8802, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.5850
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.6550
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.3450
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.6750
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.6750
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.3250
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.7100
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.2550
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.8200
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.1850
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.8150
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.8200
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.1800
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.1950
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.8050
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.2150
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.2100
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.7900
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.2150
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.7850
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.2300
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.3200
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.6950
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 249.20, Sell volume: 56.00, Average price: 0.5506, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9076
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.2850
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.7250
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.2700
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.7300
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.2750
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2750
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.2850
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.3300
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.3250
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.7450
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.2450
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.7550
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 7.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.4100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.2550
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7450
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.1900
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2850
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.7800
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.1900
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.8000
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.1650
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.1500
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7848, Price range: 0.7848 - 0.7848
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.1950
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2150
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2000
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.7900
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7850
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.8000
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2000
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2150
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.2150
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.8150
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.1800
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.8200
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1800
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8400
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 646.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4969, Price range: 0.1837 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.6800
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.8000
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.1900
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.8050
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.2050
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.7700
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.2250
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.2300
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.7600
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.2400
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.2400
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.2400
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.7600
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 738.66, Sell volume: 73.38, Average price: 0.5229, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.7900
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.7850
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.2200
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.7800
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.7850
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.2400
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.7700
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.2150
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.7850
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.2100
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.7800
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.2100
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.8050
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.8050
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2000
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2000
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.2000
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.2000
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.7950
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.8000
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 96.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.7950
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.1950
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.1900
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.7600
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.7800
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.8100
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.1700
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.8200
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.2200
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.7900
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.2200
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2200
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.7800
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 120.18, Sell volume: 179.64, Average price: 0.3185, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.2000
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.2000
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.7750
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.7850
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.2100
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.7900
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.7800
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.7800
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.2200
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.7750
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.8200
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.8200
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.1800
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.2000
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.8050
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1950
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1329.33, Sell volume: 56.12, Average price: 0.3412, Price range: 0.1782 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.2350
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.2450
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2400
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.2250
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2150
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.7700
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.2300
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.7700
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7800
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.7800
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.2100
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.2250
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.2300
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.2450
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.2450
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.7700
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 418.65, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.7244, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.8050
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.1950
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.2000
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8000
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.7950
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.7900
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7950
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.7450
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.8550
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.1400
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.8050
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1700
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.1700
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.8450
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.1600
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 2529.80, Sell volume: 388.31, Average price: 0.4026, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600455
Question: Will PVV win 30–32 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 89845.026036
Price History:
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2450
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.7700
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.7150
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.7100
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.2900
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.3200
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.7200
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.7550
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.2550
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.2850
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.7350
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 2731.03, Sell volume: 2202.52, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.1879 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes