Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587288
Question: Will the Party for the Animals win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 28514.734433
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0155
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10803.31, Sell volume: 11570.70, Average price: 0.6069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0090
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0090
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0045
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 612.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.8287, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 547.38, Sell volume: 9.86, Average price: 0.9971, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 120.01, Sell volume: 10.01, Average price: 0.9967, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 53.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 451.56, Sell volume: 485.00, Average price: 0.6832, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 164.00, Sell volume: 282.98, Average price: 0.4168, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 14624.96, Sell volume: 6835.69, Average price: 0.7275, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 14624.96, Sell volume: 6835.69, Average price: 0.7275, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1042.02, Sell volume: 1501.82, Average price: 0.8656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 14624.96, Sell volume: 6835.69, Average price: 0.7275, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 14624.96, Sell volume: 6835.69, Average price: 0.7275, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 14624.96, Sell volume: 6835.69, Average price: 0.7275, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 11634.97, Sell volume: 4521.02, Average price: 0.5554, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0090
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0045
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 612.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.8287, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 547.38, Sell volume: 9.86, Average price: 0.9971, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 120.01, Sell volume: 10.01, Average price: 0.9967, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 53.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 451.56, Sell volume: 485.00, Average price: 0.6832, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 164.00, Sell volume: 282.98, Average price: 0.4168, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 14624.96, Sell volume: 6835.69, Average price: 0.7275, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 14624.96, Sell volume: 6835.69, Average price: 0.7275, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1042.02, Sell volume: 1501.82, Average price: 0.8656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 14624.96, Sell volume: 6835.69, Average price: 0.7275, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 14624.96, Sell volume: 6835.69, Average price: 0.7275, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 14624.96, Sell volume: 6835.69, Average price: 0.7275, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587290
Question: Will the Denk win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 21460.6465
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9325
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 11634.97, Sell volume: 4521.02, Average price: 0.5554, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0085
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0085
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0055
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0055
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0055
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0055
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0055
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 615.74, Sell volume: 44.76, Average price: 0.9088, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 551.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 110.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 55.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9976, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 48.00, Sell volume: 41.99, Average price: 0.3755, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 211.00, Sell volume: 259.02, Average price: 0.4999, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 0.79, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 148, Buy volume: 15425.26, Sell volume: 3169.03, Average price: 0.7286, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 696.68, Sell volume: 1353.82, Average price: 0.6994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 58.26, Sell volume: 10.17, Average price: 0.9981, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 301.32, Sell volume: 384.58, Average price: 0.5907, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 603.42, Sell volume: 312.46, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 12172.83, Sell volume: 761.44, Average price: 0.7376, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9915
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9945
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9945
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 615.74, Sell volume: 44.76, Average price: 0.9088, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 551.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 110.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 55.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9976, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 48.00, Sell volume: 41.99, Average price: 0.3755, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 211.00, Sell volume: 259.02, Average price: 0.4999, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 0.79, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 148, Buy volume: 15425.26, Sell volume: 3169.03, Average price: 0.7286, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 696.68, Sell volume: 1353.82, Average price: 0.6994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 58.26, Sell volume: 10.17, Average price: 0.9981, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 301.32, Sell volume: 384.58, Average price: 0.5907, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 603.42, Sell volume: 312.46, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587292
Question: Will the Christian Union win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 18594.290933
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 12172.83, Sell volume: 761.44, Average price: 0.7376, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4450
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5550
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.17, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4700
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5300
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4700
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5300
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4700
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5300
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4650
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5350
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5150
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2628.70, Sell volume: 1348.45, Average price: 0.5855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4400
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.5700
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.4300
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.5700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.4300
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 21.39, Sell volume: 16.39, Average price: 0.4667, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.5550
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.4450
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.5700
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.4300
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.5700
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.4300
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.5700
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.4300
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4300
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5300
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4700
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5300
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2628.70, Sell volume: 1348.45, Average price: 0.5855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.5350
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.4650
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.5350
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.4650
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.5350
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.4650
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.5350
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2628.70, Sell volume: 1348.45, Average price: 0.5855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.5350
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.4600
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2628.70, Sell volume: 1348.45, Average price: 0.5855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.5400
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2628.70, Sell volume: 1348.45, Average price: 0.5855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.5150
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.4850
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.5450
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.4550
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.4550
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.5350
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2628.70, Sell volume: 1348.45, Average price: 0.5855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.4600
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5650
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2628.70, Sell volume: 1348.45, Average price: 0.5855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.6250
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.3750
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.6150
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.3850
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5450
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4550
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5900
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4100
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.4050
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5900
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4100
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5900
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2628.70, Sell volume: 1348.45, Average price: 0.5855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5850
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4150
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5700
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4300
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.5450
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.4550
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.3850
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.6300
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.3700
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.6350
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.3650
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6497, Price range: 0.6497 - 0.6497

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.4600
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0150
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9850
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9910
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0090
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9910
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9910
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9915
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0085
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9915
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9915
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9915
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 2566.42, Sell volume: 1331.06, Average price: 0.5840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4450
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5550
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.17, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681419
Question: Will Ralph Gonsalves be the next Prime Minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines?
Volume: 3977.153801
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No