Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590822
Question: Will another team win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.6150
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.4850
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.5150
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.2650
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.3100
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.8200
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.1800
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9650
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.1050
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.8950
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590822
Question: Will another team win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0600
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9400
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0550
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9450
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9350
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590822
Question: Will another team win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9450
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0550
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9495
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0505
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9605
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0395
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9650
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0350
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0340
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9660
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9615
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0385
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0475
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9525
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0385
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9615
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0330
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590822
Question: Will another team win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0325
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9675
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9680
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0320
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0330
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9670
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0320
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9680
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0345
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9655
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0440
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9560
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0405
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9595
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0420
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9580
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0260
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590822
Question: Will another team win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0145
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9855
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0155
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9845
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0310
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9690
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0405
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9595
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0115
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9885
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9930
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0045
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590822
Question: Will another team win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0080
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9920
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0225
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9775
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590822
Question: Will another team win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590822
Question: Will another team win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590822
Question: Will another team win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590822
Question: Will another team win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590822
Question: Will another team win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590822
Question: Will another team win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590822
Question: Will another team win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 0.0
Price History:
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0500
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9500
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.8750
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.1250
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.8600
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.1400
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.1400
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.8600
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.8850
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.1150
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.2950
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.7050
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.1500
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.8500
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.1350
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0560
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9440
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9275
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2223.36, Sell volume: 228.50, Average price: 0.7291, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0730
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9270
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9120
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0880
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9175
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0825
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9160
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0840
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9200
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0800
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9255
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0745
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9900
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0100
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9865
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0135
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 8367.31, Sell volume: 1134.11, Average price: 0.8613, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0070
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9930
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0050
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9950
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 143, Buy volume: 29439.13, Sell volume: 2910.69, Average price: 0.9081, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 478, Buy volume: 39010.56, Sell volume: 23117.55, Average price: 0.9614, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9890
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0110
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9920
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 32751.02, Sell volume: 1561.00, Average price: 0.9196, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 139, Buy volume: 28899.06, Sell volume: 17144.41, Average price: 0.8912, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 4000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 4768.86, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1143, Buy volume: 252519.07, Sell volume: 50886.56, Average price: 0.9088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1143, Buy volume: 252519.07, Sell volume: 50886.56, Average price: 0.9088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1143, Buy volume: 252519.07, Sell volume: 50886.56, Average price: 0.9088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 94000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0500
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9500
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.8750
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.1250
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.8600
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.1400
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.1400
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.8600
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.8850
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.1150
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.2950
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.7050
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.1500
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.8500
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.1350
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0560
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9440
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9275
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2223.36, Sell volume: 228.50, Average price: 0.7291, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0730
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9270
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9120
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0880
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9175
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0825
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9160
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0840
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9200
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0800
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9255
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0745
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9900
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0100
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9865
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0135
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 8367.31, Sell volume: 1134.11, Average price: 0.8613, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0070
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9930
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0050
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9950
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 143, Buy volume: 29439.13, Sell volume: 2910.69, Average price: 0.9081, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 478, Buy volume: 39010.56, Sell volume: 23117.55, Average price: 0.9614, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9890
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0110
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9920
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 32751.02, Sell volume: 1561.00, Average price: 0.9196, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 139, Buy volume: 28899.06, Sell volume: 17144.41, Average price: 0.8912, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 4000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 4768.86, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1143, Buy volume: 252519.07, Sell volume: 50886.56, Average price: 0.9088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1143, Buy volume: 252519.07, Sell volume: 50886.56, Average price: 0.9088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1143, Buy volume: 252519.07, Sell volume: 50886.56, Average price: 0.9088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590791
Question: Will Agora win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 303405.627316
Price History:
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 94000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.4850
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.9500
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0550
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.9450
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.0550
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.9450
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.0600
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.9400
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.0600
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.9700
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0200
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.9815
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.0130
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.9820
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0145
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.9865
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.0135
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.9865
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0135
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.9835
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.0165
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.9850
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.0140
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.9875
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.0125
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.9875
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0145
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.9850
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.0160
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.9840
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0145
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.9855
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.0145
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.9865
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0160
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.9840
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.0160
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.9840
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0165
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.9890
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.0110
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.9890
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0110
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.9890
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.0110
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.9890
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0110
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.9890
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0110
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.0110
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.9895
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0105
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.9895
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.0105
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9905
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0095
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.9905
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0095
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.9905
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0095
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.9905
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0095
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9905
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0080
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.9920
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0080
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.9920
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0080
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.9920
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0080
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9925
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0080
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9920
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0075
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9925
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0075
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.9920
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0080
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.9920
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0080
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.9920
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0085
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.9915
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0075
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.9925
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0080
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.9920
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.0100
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.9905
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0105
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9845
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0115
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9885
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.0115
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.9885
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0145
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.9850
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.0150
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0120
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.9860
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0145
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.9855
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0150
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.9875
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.0180
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.9795
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0185
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9755
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0240
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9755
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0240
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.9760
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0240
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9760
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.0240
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.9760
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0240
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.9760
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0240
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9760
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0240
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.9760
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0245
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9755
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0240
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.9755
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0240
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9800
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0200
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9810
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0190
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9830
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0115
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9890
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0080
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.9895
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0080
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9895
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0085
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.9890
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0100
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0055
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9945
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0055
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0055
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9945
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0055
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.9945
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0050
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9950
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0050
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.9950
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0050
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9950
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0050
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.9950
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.9975
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9925
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0070
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9925
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0065
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0070
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.9940
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0065
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9940
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0065
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9905
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0100
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9900
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0095
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9900
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0100
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.9900
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0100
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.9900
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0125
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.9875
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.0130
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0110
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.9890
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0110
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.9890
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0120
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.9900
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0095
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9915
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0075
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.9930
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0075
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.9925
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0075
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.9930
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0075
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.9965
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9965
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9965
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9965
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9965
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0050
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9950
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0055
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9945
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0045
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9955
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0045
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9955
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0045
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9955
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0045
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9955
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9960
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0055
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9950
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0050
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9950
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0045
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.9955
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0045
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9930
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0060
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0055
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9945
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0050
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9955
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0045
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9955
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0045
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0045
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.9955
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.0045
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.9945
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0055
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9945
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.0055
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.9950
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0070
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.9920
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.0080
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.9925
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0075
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9920
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.0080
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9920
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.0080
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9915
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0070
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9945
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0045
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.9955
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0040
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9940
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0060
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.9925
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.0075
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.9945
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.0055
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9945
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.0045
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.9965
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.9965
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9965
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0035
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.9965
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0035
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9965
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9965
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0035
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0035
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9965
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9965
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9965
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9965
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.9965
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0035
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.9965
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0030
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0035
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.9965
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.9965
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0035
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.9965
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.9965
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9965
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0030
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 783216, Buy volume: 60839427.98, Sell volume: 147111820.92, Average price: 0.9314, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9990
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0010
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9990
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 200748, Buy volume: 16985911.22, Sell volume: 6619510.84, Average price: 0.9886, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 13200.00, Sell volume: 8.79, Average price: 0.3129, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 41760.00, Sell volume: 308.60, Average price: 0.2127, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.4850
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.9450
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0550
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.9450
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.0600
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.9400
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0240
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.9845
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.0180
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.9850
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0135
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.9865
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.0165
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.9850
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.0125
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.9875
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.0150
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.9850
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0160
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.9855
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0135
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.9840
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.0160
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.9840
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.0140
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.9890
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0110
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.9890
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0110
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.0110
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9895
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.0105
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.9905
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.0095
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.9905
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0095
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.9905
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0095
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.9920
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0080
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.9920
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.0080
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9925
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0080
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.9925
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0075
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.9920
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0080
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9920
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.0085
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.9925
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0085
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.9920
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.0105
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9905
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0115
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9885
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.0120
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0120
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.9850
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.0140
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.9835
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0205
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9815
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0240
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.9760
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0240
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9760
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0240
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9760
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0240
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9760
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0240
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.9755
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0240
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.9760
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0200
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9810
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0190
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9885
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0110
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.9900
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0110
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9920
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0100
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0055
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0055
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0055
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9945
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0050
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9950
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0050
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9950
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0050
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9975
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9930
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0080
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9935
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0075
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.9930
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0065
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9905
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0100
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.9905
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0100
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.9900
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.0100
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0110
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.9885
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0110
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.9890
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0085
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.9925
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0070
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.9925
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0070
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.9925
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9965
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9965
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0035
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.9950
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0055
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9945
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0045
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.9955
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0045
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9955
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0045
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9960
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9950
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0050
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9940
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0045
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0055
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9945
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0045
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9955
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0055
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9955
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0045
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.9945
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0055
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9945
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0070
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.9920
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0070
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9920
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.0075
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.9915
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.0075
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.9935
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0045
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0070
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.9945
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.0055
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9960
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9965
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9970
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 80161953.25, Sell volume: 155019635.05, Average price: 0.9439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.9965
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.9965
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.9965
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 783216, Buy volume: 60839427.98, Sell volume: 147111820.92, Average price: 0.9314, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9990
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0010
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 200748, Buy volume: 16985911.22, Sell volume: 6619510.84, Average price: 0.9886, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 13200.00, Sell volume: 8.79, Average price: 0.3129, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516794
Question: Will Ritchie Torres win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 2598240.667678
Price History:
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 41760.00, Sell volume: 308.60, Average price: 0.2127, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0950
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9050
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9000
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.1350
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.8650
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.8100
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.1900
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9360
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0640
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 75935458.05, Sell volume: 33982126.84, Average price: 0.9082, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9720
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9610
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0390
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9600
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0400
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9700
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0300
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9640
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0360
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9500
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9650
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9475
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0525
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0420
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9580
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9485
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91908, Buy volume: 7747586.68, Sell volume: 2259738.00, Average price: 0.8928, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9650

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0435
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9565
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9575
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0425
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9575
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0425
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0420
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9580
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0400
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9600
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9945
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0055
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 729360, Buy volume: 50350455.00, Sell volume: 26824374.78, Average price: 0.9017, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9580
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0420
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9605
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0395
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0350
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9650
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9685
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0315
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9695
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0305
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9695
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0305
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9685
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 65271.40, Sell volume: 9291.78, Average price: 0.8768, Price range: 0.0097 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0235
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9765
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9765
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0235
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9795
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0205
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0190
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9810
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 273, Buy volume: 34076.06, Sell volume: 10393.96, Average price: 0.9318, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 202, Buy volume: 64600.33, Sell volume: 28032.39, Average price: 0.9586, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 172, Buy volume: 55801.76, Sell volume: 29736.23, Average price: 0.9815, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 9080.22, Sell volume: 125.00, Average price: 0.8089, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 4534.43, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 12598.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0014, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0022

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 75935458.05, Sell volume: 33982126.84, Average price: 0.9082, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 3866.09, Sell volume: 110.84, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 659.21, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0950
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9050
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9000
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.1350
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.8650
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.8100
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.1900
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9360
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0640
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 75935458.05, Sell volume: 33982126.84, Average price: 0.9082, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9720
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9610
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0390
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9600
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0400
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9700
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0300
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9640
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0360
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9500
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9650
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9475
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0525
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0420
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9580
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9485
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91908, Buy volume: 7747586.68, Sell volume: 2259738.00, Average price: 0.8928, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0435
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9565
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9575
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0425
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9575
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0425
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0420
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9580
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0400
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9600
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9945
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0055
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 729360, Buy volume: 50350455.00, Sell volume: 26824374.78, Average price: 0.9017, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9580
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0420
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9605
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0395
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0350
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9650
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9685
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0315
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9695
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0305
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9695
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0305
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9685
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 65271.40, Sell volume: 9291.78, Average price: 0.8768, Price range: 0.0097 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0235
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9765
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9765
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0235
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9795
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0205
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0190
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9810
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 273, Buy volume: 34076.06, Sell volume: 10393.96, Average price: 0.9318, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 202, Buy volume: 64600.33, Sell volume: 28032.39, Average price: 0.9586, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 172, Buy volume: 55801.76, Sell volume: 29736.23, Average price: 0.9815, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 9080.22, Sell volume: 125.00, Average price: 0.8089, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 4534.43, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 12598.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0014, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0022
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 75935458.05, Sell volume: 33982126.84, Average price: 0.9082, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 3866.09, Sell volume: 110.84, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590794
Question: Will Sky win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 494317.93138
Price History:
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 659.21, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527269
Question: Will $PENGU be the next coin listed on Robinhood?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36352.438429
Price History:
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.4950
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.5050
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.2550
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.7450
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.2550
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.7450
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.3000
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.7000
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.7000
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.2750
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.7250
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.2600
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.7400
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.7450
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.2200
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.7600
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.2100
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.7900
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.7650
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 18.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527269
Question: Will $PENGU be the next coin listed on Robinhood?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36352.438429
Price History:
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.7500
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.7550
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.7600
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.7600
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.7600
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.7600
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.2450
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.7550
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.7550
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.7500
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.2750
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.7250
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.2700
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.7300
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.2700
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.7300
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.2750
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 52.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527269
Question: Will $PENGU be the next coin listed on Robinhood?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36352.438429
Price History:
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.2750
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.7250
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.2750
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.7250
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.2750
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.7250
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.7250
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.2700
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.7300
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.2700
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.7300
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2700
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.7300
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.2700
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.7300
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.7350
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.7350
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.7350
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.7350
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 95.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7467, Price range: 0.7400 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527269
Question: Will $PENGU be the next coin listed on Robinhood?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36352.438429
Price History:
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.7400
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.7350
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.7350
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.7350
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.7350
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.2600
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.7400
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.7450
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.7450
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.7450
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.7450
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 72.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4267, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527269
Question: Will $PENGU be the next coin listed on Robinhood?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36352.438429
Price History:
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.7450
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.7450
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.7350
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.7350
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.7350
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.7350
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.2600
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.7400
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.2600
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.7400
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.2600
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.7400
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.2600
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.7400
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.7500
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.2550
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.7450
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 247.78, Sell volume: 1.36, Average price: 0.5540, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527269
Question: Will $PENGU be the next coin listed on Robinhood?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36352.438429
Price History:
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.7450
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.2550
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.7450
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.7450
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.7500
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.7500
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.7500
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.7500
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.7500
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.7500
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.7500
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.7500
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2600, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.2600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527269
Question: Will $PENGU be the next coin listed on Robinhood?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36352.438429
Price History:
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.7500
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.2450
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.7550
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.7500
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.7500
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.7500
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.7500
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.2500
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.7500
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.2450
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.7550
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.7500
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.7500
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.7500
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.29, Average price: 0.7400, Price range: 0.7400 - 0.7400

Output: No