Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549339
Question: Israel military action against Iran before 2026?
Volume: 155743.329028
Price History:
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.4200
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.6050
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.3950
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.6250
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.3750
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.6250
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.3750
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.6250
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.3750
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.6250
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.3750
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.6250
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.3750
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.6250
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.3750
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.6250
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.3750
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.6250
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.3750
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.6250
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.3750
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.6250
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.3750
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.6350
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.3650
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.6400
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.3600
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.6400
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.3600
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 5425.66, Sell volume: 737.25, Average price: 0.4964, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6336
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549339
Question: Israel military action against Iran before 2026?
Volume: 155743.329028
Price History:
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.6400
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.3600
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.6450
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.3550
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.6350
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.3650
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.6350
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.3650
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.6350
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.3650
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.6350
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.3650
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.6250
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.3750
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.6300
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.3700
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.6300
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.3700
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.6300
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.3700
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.6300
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.3700
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.6150
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.3850
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.6100
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.3900
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.6250
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.3750
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.6750
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 15805.45, Sell volume: 2241.95, Average price: 0.5310, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6853
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549339
Question: Israel military action against Iran before 2026?
Volume: 155743.329028
Price History:
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.3850
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.6150
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.3850
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.6200
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.3800
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.6200
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.3800
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.6200
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.3800
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.6350
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.3650
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.6450
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.3550
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.6450
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.3550
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.6450
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.3550
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.6350
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.3650
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.6350
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.3650
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.6350
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.3650
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.6350
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.3650
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.6350
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.3650
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.6350
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.3650
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2643.67, Sell volume: 54.18, Average price: 0.5435, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6481
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549339
Question: Israel military action against Iran before 2026?
Volume: 155743.329028
Price History:
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.6600
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.3400
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.6700
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.3300
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.6900
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.3100
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.6900
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.3100
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.6850
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.3150
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.6800
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.3200
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.6800
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.3200
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.6800
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.3200
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.6800
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.3200
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.6800
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.3200
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.6800
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.3200
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.6800
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.3200
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.6800
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.3200
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.6800
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.3200
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.6800
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 17044.18, Sell volume: 1012.00, Average price: 0.5448, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549339
Question: Israel military action against Iran before 2026?
Volume: 155743.329028
Price History:
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.3550
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.6350
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.3650
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.6350
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.3650
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.6350
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.3650
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.6450
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.3550
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.6650
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.3350
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.6600
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.3400
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.6600
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.3400
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.6950
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.3050
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.6900
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.3100
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.6950
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.3050
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.7000
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.3000
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.7700
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.2300
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.7300
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.2700
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.7450
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.2550
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 21885.92, Sell volume: 6144.08, Average price: 0.6060, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8217
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549339
Question: Israel military action against Iran before 2026?
Volume: 155743.329028
Price History:
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.7500
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.2500
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.7500
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.2500
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.7600
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.2400
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.7600
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.2400
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.7450
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.2550
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.7450
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.2550
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.7050
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.2950
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.7150
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.2850
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.7450
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.2550
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.7650
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.2350
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.7750
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.2250
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.7700
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.2300
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.7600
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.2400
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.7550
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.2450
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.7600
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 17882.42, Sell volume: 4747.69, Average price: 0.6047, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702084
Question: Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 31179.13052
Price History:
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.4050
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5950
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.4100
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5900
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702084
Question: Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 31179.13052
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4250
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4000
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.6000
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 152, Buy volume: 30530.99, Sell volume: 648.14, Average price: 0.5298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702084
Question: Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 31179.13052
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.6250
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.3750
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.7150
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 68.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7875, Price range: 0.7500 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702084
Question: Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 31179.13052
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.7100
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.2900
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.7400
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.2600
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.6250
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.3750
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4300
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 69.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4944, Price range: 0.4944 - 0.4944
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702084
Question: Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 31179.13052
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.2950
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.7050
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.3200
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.6800
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.2600
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.7400
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.2400
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.7600
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.2300
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.2000
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 5299.81, Sell volume: 1.26, Average price: 0.6110, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702084
Question: Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 31179.13052
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.1900
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.8100
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.2000
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.8000
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.2100
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.7900
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.2100
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.7900
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.2200
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.7800
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.2200
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 152, Buy volume: 30530.99, Sell volume: 648.14, Average price: 0.5298, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702084
Question: Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 31179.13052
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.2250
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.2250
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.7750
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.2250
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.7750
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.2250
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.7750
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.2200
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.7800
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 54.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2588, Price range: 0.2553 - 0.2600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702084
Question: Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 31179.13052
Price History:
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.4050
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.5950
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.3600
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.1900
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.8100
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.1650
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 81.90, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5290, Price range: 0.1250 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702084
Question: Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 31179.13052
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.2000
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.8000
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.1700
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.8300
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.1700
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.8300
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.2000
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.8000
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.2050
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2400, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.2400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702084
Question: Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 31179.13052
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.8000
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.2100
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.7900
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.2250
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.7750
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.1950
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.8050
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 38.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702084
Question: Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 31179.13052
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.1250
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.1250
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.1650
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 40.50, Sell volume: 2.66, Average price: 0.2763, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702084
Question: Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 31179.13052
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.1900
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.8100
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.2300
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.7700
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.2250
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.7750
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.2050
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.7950
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.3350
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.6650
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.1700
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 593.21, Sell volume: 174.95, Average price: 0.6196, Price range: 0.1621 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702084
Question: Will Google reach $330 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 31179.13052
Price History:
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0145
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9855
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 17608.77, Sell volume: 165.85, Average price: 0.5658, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4700
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 7168.00, Sell volume: 1305.02, Average price: 0.5808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4600
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9500
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9500
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 7168.00, Sell volume: 1305.02, Average price: 0.5808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 55.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9650, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9650
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9650
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0345
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9655
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0350
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9650
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0455
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0499, Price range: 0.0499 - 0.0499

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0380
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9620
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0420
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9580
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0400
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9600
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0390
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9610
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0285
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 103.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9703, Price range: 0.9703 - 0.9703

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 7168.00, Sell volume: 1305.02, Average price: 0.5808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9665
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0315
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9685
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0145
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9855
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0115
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9885
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3396.56, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9893

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9880
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9880
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9880
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9880
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0125
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 7168.00, Sell volume: 1305.02, Average price: 0.5808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0125
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9875
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9880
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0125
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9875
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0125
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9875
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 205.02, Average price: 0.0055, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0061

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1346.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.4991, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9962

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 7168.00, Sell volume: 1305.02, Average price: 0.5808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 489.54, Sell volume: 550.00, Average price: 0.4997, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4700
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 7168.00, Sell volume: 1305.02, Average price: 0.5808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4600
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9500
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9500
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 7168.00, Sell volume: 1305.02, Average price: 0.5808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 55.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9650, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9650
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9650
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0345
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9655
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0350
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9650
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0455
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0499, Price range: 0.0499 - 0.0499
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0380
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9620
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0420
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9580
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0400
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9600
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0390
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9610
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0285
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 103.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9703, Price range: 0.9703 - 0.9703
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0485
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9515
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 7168.00, Sell volume: 1305.02, Average price: 0.5808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0335
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9665
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0315
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9685
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0145
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9855
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0115
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9885
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3396.56, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9893
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9880
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9880
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9880
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9880
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0125
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 7168.00, Sell volume: 1305.02, Average price: 0.5808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0125
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9875
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0120
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9880
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0125
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9875
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0125
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9875
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 205.02, Average price: 0.0055, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0061
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1346.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.4991, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9962
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 7168.00, Sell volume: 1305.02, Average price: 0.5808, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702086
Question: Will Google dip to $290 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 8473.015633
Price History:
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 489.54, Sell volume: 550.00, Average price: 0.4997, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 190.87, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 627.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4700
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2741.88, Sell volume: 161.44, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0355
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9645
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0350
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9650
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2741.88, Sell volume: 161.44, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9650
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9650
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0350
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9650
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0355
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9645
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2741.88, Sell volume: 161.44, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0400
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9600
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0360
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9640
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0375
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9625
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0235
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 132.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5052, Price range: 0.0604 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0230
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9770
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9790
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9790
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0330
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 8.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0345
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9655
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0345
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9655
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0385
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9615
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0230
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2741.88, Sell volume: 161.44, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0230
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9770
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0225
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9775
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9885
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9820
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0185
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 412.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9972, Price range: 0.9972 - 0.9972

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0185
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9815
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0185
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9815
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0170
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0185
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9815
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0185
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9815
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0190
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 69.87, Average price: 0.0025, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0030

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9840
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9840
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0150
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0155
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9845
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0165
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 168.72, Sell volume: 67.78, Average price: 0.0040, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0059

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9920
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 23.79, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0155
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0135
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0135
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0135
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9865
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0135
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9865
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0135
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9865
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0135
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9865
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0135
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9865
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2741.88, Sell volume: 161.44, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0160
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2741.88, Sell volume: 161.44, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 190.87, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 627.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 630679
Question: Will the Democrats win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 972.973449
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 820.97, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4700
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2741.88, Sell volume: 161.44, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0355
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9645
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0350
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9650
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9650
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2741.88, Sell volume: 161.44, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9650
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9650
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0350
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9650
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0355
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9645
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2741.88, Sell volume: 161.44, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0400
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9600
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0360
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9640
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0375
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9625
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0235
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 132.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5052, Price range: 0.0604 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0230
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9770
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9790
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9790
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0210
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9790
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0330
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 8.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0345
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9655
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0345
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9655
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0365
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9635
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0385
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9615
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0230
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2741.88, Sell volume: 161.44, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0230
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9770
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0225
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9775
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9885
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9820
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0185
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 412.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9972, Price range: 0.9972 - 0.9972
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0185
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9815
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0185
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9815
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0170
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0185
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9815
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0185
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9815
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0190
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 69.87, Average price: 0.0025, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9840
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9840
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0150
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0155
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9845
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0165
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 168.72, Sell volume: 67.78, Average price: 0.0040, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0059
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9900
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9920
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 23.79, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0155
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0135
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0135
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0135
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9865
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0135
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9865
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0135
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9865
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0135
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9865
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0135
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9865
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2741.88, Sell volume: 161.44, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702087
Question: Will Google dip to $280 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 2903.318852
Price History:
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0155
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9845
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0160
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2741.88, Sell volume: 161.44, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 630680
Question: Will the Republicans win the Delaware Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 561.0
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 551.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9267, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300

Output: No