Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0205
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0120
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0180
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0205
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0195
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0195
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0195
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0195
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0195
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0170
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0155
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0115
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0100
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0170
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0140
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0110
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0160
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0140
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0165
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0150
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0150
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0105
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0135
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 22993.46, Sell volume: 11918.87, Average price: 0.6672, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0130
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0130
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0130
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0130
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0130
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0130
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0130
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0130
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0130
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0130
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0070
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0105
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 155, Buy volume: 35186.74, Sell volume: 17138.06, Average price: 0.9378, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0170
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0170
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0180
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0155
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0125
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0130
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 36305.91, Sell volume: 18710.67, Average price: 0.7098, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 502.53, Sell volume: 5682.75, Average price: 0.7765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 999.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.1800
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.1800
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.1900
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.1900
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.2000
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.2000
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2000
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.1550
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.1550
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.1500
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.1450
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.1450
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.1450
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.1450
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.1450
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.1450
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.1500
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.1500
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.1550
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.1550
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.1550
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 8197.49, Sell volume: 1682.41, Average price: 0.5145, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 952.51, Sell volume: 1833.43, Average price: 0.7431, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 59.01, Sell volume: 1171.12, Average price: 0.8064, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.1350
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 473.33, Sell volume: 446.65, Average price: 0.8580, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.9150
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0850
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.0850
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9150
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9150
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9150
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2223.68, Sell volume: 90.51, Average price: 0.8154, Price range: 0.0998 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.0950
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0950
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0950
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0950
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0950
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.0950
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0950
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.0950
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0950
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9050
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 95.00, Sell volume: 308.51, Average price: 0.7873, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0900
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9100
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.0900
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9100
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.0900
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0900
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9050
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0950
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9050
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9050
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0950
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9050
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0950
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9050
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.9050
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0950
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0950
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0950
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0950
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9050
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0950
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0950
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9050
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9050
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9050
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.9050
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.0950
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0950
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 23.25, Average price: 0.9050, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.9050
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9050
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9050
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9050
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.9050
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0900
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0900
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0900
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0900
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.0900
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0900
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0900
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.0900
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0900
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0900
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0900
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.0900
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 682.05, Average price: 0.3583, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9150
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9150
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9150
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9150
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9150
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9150
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9150
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.9150
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 11.62, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9150
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.9150
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.9150
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.9150
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9150
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.9150
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 170.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0850
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0850
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0850
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0850
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0850
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0850
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 333.96, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0850
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 11782.16, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9700
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0295
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 220.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.1983, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0295
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9705
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0295
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9705
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0285
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9740
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0255
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9750
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0180
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9820
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9825
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0165
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9835
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0165
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9835
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0165
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9835
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0165
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9835
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9840
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9840
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9840
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 760.25, Sell volume: 140.00, Average price: 0.8957, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9840
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9840
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9840
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9840
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9845
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9840
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9840
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9840
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0155
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9835
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0165
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9835
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0145
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9860
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0110
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9890
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0110
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 492.19, Sell volume: 308.72, Average price: 0.8483, Price range: 0.0101 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0110
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9890
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9890
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0110
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0110
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9890
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0195
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9805
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0195
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9750
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9750
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0250
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9755
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9745
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9745
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9745
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9745
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 458.73, Sell volume: 1.02, Average price: 0.3411, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9745
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9745
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9745
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9745
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9745
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9745
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9745
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9745
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9745
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9745
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0255
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9745
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9745
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 409, Buy volume: 100386.09, Sell volume: 54109.13, Average price: 0.8657, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9745
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9825
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9825
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9825
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9825
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9825
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9825
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9825
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9825
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9825
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9825
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9825
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9825
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9825
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 19.66, Sell volume: 19.65, Average price: 0.9914, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9910
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9900
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9925
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9925
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9925
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9925
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9925
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 235.31, Sell volume: 87.56, Average price: 0.9295, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0215
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 2202.82, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.9473, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0205
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9800
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9800
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9800
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9800
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9800
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0180
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9820
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0195
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9805
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0195
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9805
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0155
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9885
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0100
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0140
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9890
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0140
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0165
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 22993.46, Sell volume: 11918.87, Average price: 0.6672, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0130
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9870
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0130
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9870
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0130
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9870
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0130
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9915
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9930
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0070
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0105
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 155, Buy volume: 35186.74, Sell volume: 17138.06, Average price: 0.9378, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0170
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9840
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9830
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0155
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9875
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 36305.91, Sell volume: 18710.67, Average price: 0.7098, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 502.53, Sell volume: 5682.75, Average price: 0.7765, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641807
Question: Will Jordi Alexander win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 154495.219832
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 999.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.1800
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.1900
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2000
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.1550
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.1500
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.1450
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.1450
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.1450
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.1550
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.1550
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 8197.49, Sell volume: 1682.41, Average price: 0.5145, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 952.51, Sell volume: 1833.43, Average price: 0.7431, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 59.01, Sell volume: 1171.12, Average price: 0.8064, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.8650
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 473.33, Sell volume: 446.65, Average price: 0.8580, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0850
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9150
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9150
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0950
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0950
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0950
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2223.68, Sell volume: 90.51, Average price: 0.8154, Price range: 0.0998 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0950
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0950
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0950
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0950
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.0950
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.0950
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9050
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9050
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.9050
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9150
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 95.00, Sell volume: 308.51, Average price: 0.7873, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0900
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.0900
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.0900
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9050
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9050
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0950
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0950
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.9050
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0950
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0950
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0950
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9050
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.9050
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.0950
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0950
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 23.25, Average price: 0.9050, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9050
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9050
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.9050
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0900
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0900
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.0900
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0900
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0900
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0900
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.0900
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.9150
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9150
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 682.05, Average price: 0.3583, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9150
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9150
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9150
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9150
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 11.62, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9150
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0850
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0850
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.9150
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.0850
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.0850
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 170.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0850
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0850
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0850
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0850
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9150
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0850
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 333.96, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 569886
Question: Missing Epstein cell footage released in 2025?
Volume: 42963.959675
Price History:
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0850
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 11782.16, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.5950
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.4500
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.5150
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.3450
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.7350
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.2050
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.8450
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.1750
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.8250
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.1600
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.8450
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.1650
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.8150
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.1850
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.8050
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.7950
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.2050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.7950
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.2100
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.7900
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.2250
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.7750
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.7500
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.2700
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.7350
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.7450
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.7450
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.2550
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.7450
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.2550
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.7500
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.7450
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.2550
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.7450
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.2550
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.7450
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.2550
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.7450
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.2500
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.7500
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.2250
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 59091.31, Sell volume: 57129.96, Average price: 0.4827, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.7800
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.2200
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.7800
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.2200
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.7800
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.2200
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.7800
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.2200
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.7700
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.2300
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.7700
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.2300
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.7700
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.2300
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.7700
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.2300
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.7700
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.2300
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.7700
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.2300
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.7700
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.2300
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.5800
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.4200
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.5500
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.4350
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.5600
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.4500
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.5850
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.4150
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.5850
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.4150
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.6750
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.3650
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.6800
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.3250
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.6700
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.3350
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.6950
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.3000
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.6900
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.3100
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.6450
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.3650
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.6450
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1217.06, Sell volume: 1345.55, Average price: 0.3956, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.6698

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.3550
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.6600
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.3450
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.6850
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.3150
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.6850
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.3150
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.6850
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.3150
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.6850
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.3150
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.6850
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.3100
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.6900
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.3200
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.6850
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.3150
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.6850
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.3150
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.6850
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.3150
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.6900
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.3150
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.6850
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.3150
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.7150
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.2400
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.2450
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.7650
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.2400
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.7600
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.2400
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.7600
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.2400
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.7650
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.2400
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.7600
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.2250
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.7650
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.2350
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.7650
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.2350
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.7650
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.2350
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.7850
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.2150
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.7800
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.2100
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 549.92, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.7850
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.2150
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.7800
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.2150
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.7850
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.2200
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.7850
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.2150
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.7650
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.2350
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.7650
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.2400
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.7650
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.2400
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.7650
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.2400
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.7650
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.2350
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.7650
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.2250
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.7950
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.2100
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.7750
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.2150
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.7900
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.2050
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.8100
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.1850
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.8150
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.1850
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.8350
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.1650
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.8350
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.1800
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.8200
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.1800
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.8200
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.1800
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.8250
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.1700
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.8250
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.1750
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.8250
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.1750
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.8250
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.1750
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.8250
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.1850
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.8250
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 15.62, Sell volume: 33.30, Average price: 0.5225, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.1650
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.8350
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.1700
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.8300
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.1700
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.8300
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.1700
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.8300
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.1700
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.8300
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.1750
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.8250
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.1750
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.8250
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.1750
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.8250
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.1750
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.8250
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.1750
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.8250
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.1750
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.8250
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.1750
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.8250
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.1750
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.8250
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.2150
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.7600
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.2450
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.7550
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.2450
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.7550
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.2400
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.7850
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.1850
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.8150
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.1850
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.7900
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.1950
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.8050
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.2000
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.8050
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.1950
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.8050
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.1950
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.8050
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.1950
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.8050
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.1950
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 160.99, Sell volume: 28.44, Average price: 0.4393, Price range: 0.1766 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.8050
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.1950
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.8050
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.2350
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.7400
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.2450
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7750
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.2300
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.7700
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.2200
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.7900
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.2150
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.7800
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.2050
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.7800
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.2250
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.8050
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.1950
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.8050
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.1950
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.8050
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1900
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.8100
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.1900
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.8100
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.1900
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.8100
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.1900
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.8100
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.1900
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.8100
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.1900
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.8100
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.1900
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.8100
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.1900
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.8100
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.1900
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.8100
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.1900
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.8100
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.1900
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.7950
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2050
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.7950
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.2050
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7950
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 503.73, Sell volume: 1.23, Average price: 0.6525, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2050
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7950
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2050
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.7950
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.2050
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7950
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.2050
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.7950
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.2050
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.7950
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.7950
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.8050
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.8050
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.8000
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.1950
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.8000
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2000
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.8050
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.1950
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.8000
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.8000
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.7950
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.1900
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.8100
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.1900
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.8100
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.1900
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.8100
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1900
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.8100
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.8100
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 79.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.8100
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.1900
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.6850
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7200
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.2850
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.6950
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.6950
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2900
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.7100
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2900
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.6950
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.2800
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4700
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.5150
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.5250
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.4850
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.4050
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.5600
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.3800
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.5850
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.3550
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.6350
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.3200
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.6600
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.3750
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.6200
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.3050
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.6750
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.3300
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.6850
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.4200
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.6050
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.4350
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.5800
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.3750
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 719.30, Sell volume: 77.56, Average price: 0.4909, Price range: 0.2131 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.3500
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.6500
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.3100
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.6650
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.4000
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.6000
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.3950
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.6050
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.3950
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.6050
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.3900
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.6100
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.3900
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.6100
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.3900
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.6100
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.3900
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.6100
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.3900
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.6100
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.3050
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.6850
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.2950
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.7450
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.2550
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.7450
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.2550
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.7450
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.7450
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.7600
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.2400
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.7600
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.2400
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.7650
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.2400
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.7600
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.7600
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.2400
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 860.10, Sell volume: 1060.33, Average price: 0.4805, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7798

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.8500
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.1500
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.8500
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.1450
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.4000
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.1900
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.5850
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.4500
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.5650
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.3850
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.6600
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.3750
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.6200
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.3700
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.6300
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.3750
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.6300
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.3650
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.6400
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.3600
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.6350
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.3500
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.6400
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.3550
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.6400
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.3500
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.6400
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.3550
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.6500
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.3550
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.6450
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.3600
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.6400
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.3550
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.6400
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.3550
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.6450
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.3100
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.6500
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.4700
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.5500
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.4500
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.5500
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.4300
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.5500
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.4300
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.5750
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2258.94, Sell volume: 115.21, Average price: 0.5950, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.3050
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7900
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.3400
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.6750
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.3050
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.6950
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.3100
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.7000
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.2700
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.7400
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.2600
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.7400
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.2600
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.7400
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.2600
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.7350
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.2650
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.7450
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.2650
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.7450
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.2700
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.7350
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.2700
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.7400
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.2650
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.7450
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.2550
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.7450
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.2600
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.7400
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.2600
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.7400
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.2400
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.7950
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.2050
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.8050
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.2000
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.8050
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.2550
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.7450
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.2450
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 8135.43, Sell volume: 1235.40, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.7550
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.2450
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.7550
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.2450
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.7400
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.2550
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.7450
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.2550
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.7450
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.2550
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.7500
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.2600
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.7400
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.2600
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.7400
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.2600
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.7400
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.2750
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.7250
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.2750
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.7150
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.2950
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.7050
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.2950
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.7150
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.2900
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.7100
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.2950
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.7050
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.2950
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.7050
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.2950
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.7050
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.2900
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.7100
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.3400
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.6700
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.3200
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.6850
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.2150
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.8450
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.2250
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.8050
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.1900
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.7950
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.2150
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.7650
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.2650
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.7200
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 7045.70, Sell volume: 1495.58, Average price: 0.5590, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.2200
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.8100
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.1450
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.4900
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.5600
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.7150
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.3000
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.7600
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.1850
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.7600
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.2300
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.7550
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.2250
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.7850
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.8050
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.2150
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.7750
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.2550
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.7550
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.2500
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.7500
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.2450
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.7550
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.2500
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.7550
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.2450
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.7550
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.2000
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.7500
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.2450
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.7700
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.7550
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.2450
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.7600
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.2400
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.7550
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.3650
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.6950
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.2800
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.7850
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.1700
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.8450
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.1650
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.8600
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.1350
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.8600
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.3200
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 144, Buy volume: 18558.41, Sell volume: 5523.75, Average price: 0.6233, Price range: 0.0026 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.5950
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.5550
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.4800
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.6900
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.1700
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.8250
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.1750
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.8450
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.1850
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.8150
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.1950
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.7950
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.2050
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.7900
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.2250
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.7200
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.2750
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.7350
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.2550
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.7500
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.7450
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.2550
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.7450
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.2500
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.2550
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.7450
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.2550
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 59091.31, Sell volume: 57129.96, Average price: 0.4827, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.7800
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.2200
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.7800
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.2200
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.7800
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.2300
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.7700
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.2300
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.7700
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.7700
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.2300
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.7700
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.2300
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.7700
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.4300
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.5650
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.5500
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.4150
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.5850
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.3150
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.6750
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.3350
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.6800
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.3050
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.6900
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1217.06, Sell volume: 1345.55, Average price: 0.3956, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.6698
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.3550
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.6600
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.3150
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.6850
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.3150
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.6850
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.3150
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.6850
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.3100
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.6800
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.3150
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.6850
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.3150
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.6950
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.3150
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.6850
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.2900
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.7450
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.2400
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.7600
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.2400
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.7600
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.2400
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.7600
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.2350
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.7650
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.2350
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.7600
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.2350
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 549.92, Average price: 0.3746, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.7850
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.2200
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.7850
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.2150
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.7800
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.2350
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.7650
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.2400
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.7600
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.2350
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.7600
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.2350
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.7650
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.2000
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.7750
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.2200
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.7950
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.1850
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.8150
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.1650
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.8350
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.1800
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.8200
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.1800
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.8150
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.1700
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.8300
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.1750
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.8250
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 15.62, Sell volume: 33.30, Average price: 0.5225, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.1650
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.8350
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.1700
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.8300
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.1700
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.8300
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.1700
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.8250
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.1750
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.8250
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.1750
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.8250
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.1750
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.8250
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.1750
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.8250
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.1750
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.7850
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.2450
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.7550
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.2450
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.7850
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.1850
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.8150
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.1950
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.8100
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.1950
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.8050
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.1950
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 160.99, Sell volume: 28.44, Average price: 0.4393, Price range: 0.1766 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.8050
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.1950
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.7650
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.2600
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7800
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.7700
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.2150
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.7950
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.2050
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.7900
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.1950
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.8050
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1900
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.8100
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.1900
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.8100
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.1900
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.8100
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.1900
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.8100
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.1900
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.8100
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.1900
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.8100
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.1900
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.8100
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2050
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 503.73, Sell volume: 1.23, Average price: 0.6525, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2050
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7950
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.2050
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.7950
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.2050
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.7950
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.2050
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.7950
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.8050
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1950
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.8050
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2000
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.8050
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2000
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.8050
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.8000
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2000
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.8000
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.1900
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.8100
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.1900
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.8100
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1900
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 79.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.8100
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.8100
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.1900
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.8100
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.7200
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.7000
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2900
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.7100
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.2800
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5300
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.4400
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.4500
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.5900
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.4400
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.6100
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.3550
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.6400
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.3750
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.6750
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.3750
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.6450
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.4100
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.6050
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 719.30, Sell volume: 77.56, Average price: 0.4909, Price range: 0.2131 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.3500
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.6750
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.3900
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.6000
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.3950
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.6050
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.3900
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.6100
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.3900
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.6100
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.3900
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.6100
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.3900
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.7000
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.2950
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.7450
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.2550
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.7450
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.2550
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.2550
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.7600
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.2400
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.7600
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.2400
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 860.10, Sell volume: 1060.33, Average price: 0.4805, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7798
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.8500
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.1500
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.8550
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.5600
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.1600
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.5500
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.5150
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.3850
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.6400
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.3800
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.6300
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.3700
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.6350
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.3600
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.6350
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.3550
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.6450
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.3650
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.6500
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.3500
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.6500
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.3600
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.6450
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.3500
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.6450
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.3100
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.6700
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.4500
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.5500
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2258.94, Sell volume: 115.21, Average price: 0.5950, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.3050
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.3200
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.6950
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.3050
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.7000
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.2600
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.7400
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.2600
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.7400
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.2650
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.7450
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.2650
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.7700
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.2650
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.7300
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.2600
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.7450
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.2550
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.7400
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.2600
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.7400
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.2050
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.7950
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.2000
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 8135.43, Sell volume: 1235.40, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.7550
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.2450
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.7550
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.2550
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.7450
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.2550
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.7550
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.2600
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.7400
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.2600
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.7400
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.2750
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.7250
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.2850
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.7050
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.2950
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.7100
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.2850
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.7050
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.2950
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.7050
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.2900
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.7000
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.3400
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.6800
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.1500
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.8150
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.1850
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.7950
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 7045.70, Sell volume: 1495.58, Average price: 0.5590, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 528245
Question: Karen Read guilty in officer's death?
Volume: 177209.908552
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.2200
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.8350
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.4950
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.6150
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.2900
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.7850
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.2250
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.7550
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.2550
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.7450
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.2550
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.7400
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.2450
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.7500
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.2450
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.7550
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.2450
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.7550
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.2200
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.7500
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.2350
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.7550
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.2450
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.7600
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.2700
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.6900
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.2150
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.8550
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.1650
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 144, Buy volume: 18558.41, Sell volume: 5523.75, Average price: 0.6233, Price range: 0.0026 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520919
Question: Will any Democratic Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 112659.017188
Price History:
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.2650
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.7350
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.1950
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.8050
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.7900
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.1950
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.8050
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.1650
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.8350
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.1700
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.8300
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.1500
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.8500
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.1400
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.8600
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.1500
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.8500
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.1600
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.8400
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.1450
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.8550
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.1450
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.8550
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.1350
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.1350
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.1350
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.1350
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.1350
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.1350
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.1350
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.1350
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.1350
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.8650
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.1250
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.8750
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.1250
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.8750
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0950
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.9050
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.1000
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 21976.84, Sell volume: 95.22, Average price: 0.5228, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520919
Question: Will any Democratic Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 112659.017188
Price History:
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.1050
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.8950
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.1050
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.8950
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.1000
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.9000
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.1000
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.9000
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.1050
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.8950
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.1050
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.8950
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.1050
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.8950
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.1050
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.8950
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.1100
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.8900
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.1150
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.8850
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.1200
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.8800
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.1150
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.8850
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.1150
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.8850
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.1200
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.8800
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.1200
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.8800
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.1200
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.8800
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.1250
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.8750
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.1250
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.8750
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.1200
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.8800
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.1200
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.8800
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.1200
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.8800
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.1150
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.8850
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.1200
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.8800
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.1200
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.8800
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.1250
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5226.49, Sell volume: 26.66, Average price: 0.4183, Price range: 0.0890 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520919
Question: Will any Democratic Senator vote to confirm RFK Jr?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 112659.017188
Price History:
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.1300
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.8700
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.1350
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.8650
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.1350
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.8650
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.1250
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.8750
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.1450
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.8550
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.1350
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.8650
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.1350
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.8650
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.1300
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.8700
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.1300
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.8700
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.1300
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.8700
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.1300
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.8700
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.1300
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.8700
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.1300
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.8700
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.1300
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.8700
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.1300
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.8700
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.1200
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.8800
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.1200
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.8800
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.1050
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.8950
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.1050
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.8950
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.1050
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.8950
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.1050
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.8950
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.1050
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.8950
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.1050
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.8950
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.1050
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.8950
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.1050
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 6144.56, Sell volume: 736.59, Average price: 0.3573, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes