Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0155
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9845
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9845
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0155
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9845
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0155
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9845
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0160
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9840
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0160
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.9840
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0185
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9815
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0350
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9650
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0295
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9705
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0170
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9830
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 16157.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6714, Price range: 0.0235 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 23897.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525905
Question: Will Si Woo Kim win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 41183.031665
Price History:
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 41134.04, Sell volume: 48.99, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.5050
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.5050
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4800
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.5350
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.5700
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.4800
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.5200
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.4800
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.5200
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.3250
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2050
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.6500
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.2650
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.6150
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.4800
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.5300
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.4250
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.5750
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4600
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.5650
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.3800
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.6400
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.4700
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.5700
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.3500
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.8100
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.3150
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.7100
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.4200
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1382, Buy volume: 227254.06, Sell volume: 88827.24, Average price: 0.5175, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.5600
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.4650
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.5550
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.5400
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.4650
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.5500
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.4500
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.5800
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.3950
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.4900
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5300
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.4900
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.5250
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.4900
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5400
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4850
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4800
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.4900
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5200
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4500
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.5650
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4885
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5255
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.1055
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.8920
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.1105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 170.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.4105
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.5730
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.4585
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.5715
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4615
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.4895
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.4735
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.4875
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5215
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.4470
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.6030
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.3545
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.5240
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.3160
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.8470
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.1120
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.8910
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0980
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.5515
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.3700
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.8855
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.3150
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.8900
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.4400
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.8925
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.1190
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.8860
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.1140
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.8865
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.1045
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.8855
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.1115
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.9005
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.0945
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9100
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0805
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.9295
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.0700
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.8855
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0795
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.6550
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.1425
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.6370
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.1440
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.7495
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.4975
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.4990
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.1150
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 61.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1390, Price range: 0.1390 - 0.1390

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.5010
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.4910
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.4900
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.4225
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.5225
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.4840
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.5155
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.4840
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.5005
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.4990
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.5220
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.4885
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.5015
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.4885
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.5060
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.4950
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.5110
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.4800
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.4890
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.5110
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.3700
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.4960
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.5000
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.4900
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.8800
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.3450
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.6700
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.5050
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.5385
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.4995
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.5010
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.4990
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.5705
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.4950
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.4100
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.4100
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.5700
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.3555
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.4895
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.5095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9570, Price range: 0.9570 - 0.9570

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.1280
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.8705
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.8835
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.1215
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.8155
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.1345
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.7405
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.1195
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.8755
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.2550
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.1200
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.8905
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.1105
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.7555
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.1110
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.8895
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.2445
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.8905
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.2445
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.7505
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.1170
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.8775
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.2495
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.7505
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.2495
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.8705
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.1300
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.8675
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.1290
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.8450
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.1285
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.8705
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.2645
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.8710
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.1295
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.8715
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.1330
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.8670
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.1330
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.7355
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.2645
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.7355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1382, Buy volume: 227254.06, Sell volume: 88827.24, Average price: 0.5175, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.8365
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0985
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9075
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0905
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9040
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0975
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.8945
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.4395
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.5555
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.4675
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.5245
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.4595
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.5495
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.5665
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.1255
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.8805
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.1115
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.8945
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.1065
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.8785
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.1175
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.8895
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.1170
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.8905
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.1055
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.8945
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.4955
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.5225
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.4585
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.5445
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.4515
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.5575
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.4345
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.5695
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.4125
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.5985
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.3925
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.6135
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.3745
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.6305
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.3575
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.6525
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.3415
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.6685
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.1275
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.8605
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.1275
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.8955
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.1105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1382, Buy volume: 227254.06, Sell volume: 88827.24, Average price: 0.5175, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.1395
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.8745
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.0925
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.9165
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0910
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.9085
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.0895
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9085
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.4615
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.6170
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.3985
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.7360
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.2650
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.7350
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.2670
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.7330
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.2570
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.7430
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.2580
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.7420
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.2700
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.7300
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.2400
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.7600
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.2400
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.7600
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.2350
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.6700
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.1550
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.8450
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.1550
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.8430
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.1580
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.8420
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.1590
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.8715
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.1380
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.8650
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.1355
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.8645
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.1360
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.8670
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.1320
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.8680
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.6500
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.3150
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.4900
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.5295
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.4755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 298.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1360, Price range: 0.1360 - 0.1360

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.4795
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.5210
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.4635
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.5435
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.4600
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.5445
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.5360
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.4450
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.5200
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.4775
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.5080
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.5080
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.4925
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.4575
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.5375
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.5155
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.4845
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.4275
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.4425
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.4830
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.5260
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4300
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.6530
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.1900
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.8050
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.1950
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.8100
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.1500
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.8350
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.4150
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.5450
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.3550
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.5545
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.4100
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.5790
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.4200
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.5745
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.4000
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.5750
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.4050
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.6140
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.4950
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.4210
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.5790
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.4200
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.6150
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.4045
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.6400
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1382, Buy volume: 227254.06, Sell volume: 88827.24, Average price: 0.5175, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.1345
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.5695
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.3655
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.6240
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.1495
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.8510
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.1490
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.4910
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.4110
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.5670
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.4465
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.5550
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.4050
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.6370
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.3210
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.8525
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.1450
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.8540
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.1460
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.8540
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.1460
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.8700
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1700
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8895
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.8950
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.8950
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.8850
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.8675
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.1220
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.8770
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.1240
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.8760
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.2245
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.8710
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1290
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.8810
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.1190
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.8810
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.1190
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.8810
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.1190
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.8810
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.1190
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.8810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 105.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1380, Price range: 0.1380 - 0.1380

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.8850
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.1150
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.8850
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.1150
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.8850
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.1190
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.8810
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.1190
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.8810
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.1190
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.8810
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.1190
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.8810
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.1190
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.8810
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1190
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.8705
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.1190
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8810
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1190
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.8810
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.1190
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.8810
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.1190
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.8810
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.1190
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.8810
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.1190
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.8760
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.1190
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.8810
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.1190
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.8810
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1190
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.8810
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.2200
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5445
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.4425
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.5535
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6195
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.2450
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6250
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.7985
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1280
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.8765
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.1235
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.8765
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1380, Price range: 0.1380 - 0.1380

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1265
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.8760
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1240
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.8760
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1240
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8760
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.1445
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.8570
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.1525
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.8615
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.1415
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.8530
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.1430
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.8425
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.1425
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.8510
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.1490
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.8610
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1540
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.8560
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.1440
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.8510
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.1490
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.8560
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.1440
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.8560
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.1430
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.8455
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.1500
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.8500
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.1500
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.8405
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.1495
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.8555
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.1845
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.8285
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1715
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.8255
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1715
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.8270
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1825
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.8260
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.1730
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.8315
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.1690
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.8310
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.1705
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.8300
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.1715
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.8270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 379.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6079, Price range: 0.1994 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.8295
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.1705
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.8295
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1695
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.8285
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1840
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.8220
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1810
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.8185
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1810
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.8190
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.1810
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.8180
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.1780
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.8210
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.1810
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.8070
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.1760
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.8240
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.1760
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.8280
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.1715
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.8275
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.1710
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.8290
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.1715
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.8290
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.1705
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.8295
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.1705
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.8295
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.1710
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.8295
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.1710
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.8285
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.1710
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.8280
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.1710
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.8290
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.1710
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.8290
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.1700
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.8290
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.1710
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.8290
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.1710
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.8345
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.1640
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.8365
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.1630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 311.53, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.3057, Price range: 0.1640 - 0.8480

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.1590
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.8410
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.1590
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.8415
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.1580
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.8415
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.1585
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.8470
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.1510
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.8490
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.1565
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.8410
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.1495
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.8380
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.1525
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.8450
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.1570
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.8440
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.1580
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.8410
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.1485
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.8445
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.1485
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.8375
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.1425
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.8180
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.2070
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.8005
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.1975
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.8035
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.2045
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.8000
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.1985
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.8040
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.2380
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.7965
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.6775
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.3050
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.6940
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.2950
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.7070
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.3090
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.6880
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.2960
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.7240
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.5140
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.2215
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.7805
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.2090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1343, Buy volume: 225712.53, Sell volume: 50581.19, Average price: 0.5147, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4800
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.5500
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.4200
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.5200
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.4100
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.3500
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.6150
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.5750
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4600
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.5500
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.4000
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.5300
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.4100
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.8100
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.2900
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.8600
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.4100
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1382, Buy volume: 227254.06, Sell volume: 88827.24, Average price: 0.5175, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.5600
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.4450
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.5450
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.5300
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.4450
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.5850
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5300
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.4750
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5150
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.4050
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.4900
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.5500
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4885
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.8910
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.1070
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.5295
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.4625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 170.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.4105
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5155
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.4650
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4955
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.5115
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5215
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.3970
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.6385
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.2185
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.8880
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0980
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.6755
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.3150
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.8865
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.1105
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.8860
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.1135
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.8855
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.1140
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9055
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0805
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9300
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0850
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.8600
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.1495
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.7495
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.5010
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.8850
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.5100
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 61.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1390, Price range: 0.1390 - 0.1390
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.5010
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.5100
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.5865
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.5260
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.4845
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.5005
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.4840
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.5060
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.4800
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.4890
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.6400
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.4960
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.5015
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.4745
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.5555
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.5385
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.4990
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.5900
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.4100
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.6855
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.5105
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.8760
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.1255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9570, Price range: 0.9570 - 0.9570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.1280
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.7550
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.1265
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.8400
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.1155
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.8755
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.8905
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.1105
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.8890
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.2445
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.7555
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.1170
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.8785
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.2495
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.1225
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.8700
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.1290
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.8725
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.1295
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.8715
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.1290
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.8670
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.2645
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.7355
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.2645
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.8670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1382, Buy volume: 227254.06, Sell volume: 88827.24, Average price: 0.5175, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.8365
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.0925
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.8995
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0955
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.5605
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.4675
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.5355
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.4420
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.6320
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.1155
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.8945
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.1215
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.8845
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.1160
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.8945
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.4955
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.5415
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.4525
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.5615
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.4275
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.5985
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.3865
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.6295
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.3535
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.6585
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.1275
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.8600
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.1115
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.8875
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.0755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1382, Buy volume: 227254.06, Sell volume: 88827.24, Average price: 0.5175, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.1395
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.8995
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.0790
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.9060
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0885
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.6170
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.2640
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.7350
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.2670
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.7430
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.2580
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.7300
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.2400
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.7600
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.2400
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.6700
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.1550
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.8440
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.1580
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.8410
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.1380
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.8645
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.1360
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.8690
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.1320
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.6500
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.5100
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.4600
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.5195
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.4570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 298.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1360, Price range: 0.1360 - 0.1360
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.4795
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.5365
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.5070
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.5550
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.4775
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.4925
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.5585
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.4845
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.3725
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.4425
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.4740
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.6045
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.1795
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.8050
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.1500
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.6550
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.6050
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.4195
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.5745
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.4250
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.6145
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.4650
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.5790
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.4200
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.5850
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.4050
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.5790
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.2855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1382, Buy volume: 227254.06, Sell volume: 88827.24, Average price: 0.5175, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.1345
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.5940
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.1495
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.8515
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.4600
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.5670
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.4450
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.6140
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.2125
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.8550
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.1460
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.8540
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3845
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8950
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.8950
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.8850
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.2935
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.8780
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.1240
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.7400
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.1290
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.8810
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.1190
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.8810
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.1190
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.8810
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.1675
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.8460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 105.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1380, Price range: 0.1380 - 0.1380
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.8850
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.1150
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.8850
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.1190
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.8810
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.1190
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.8810
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.1190
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.8810
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2600
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8810
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.1190
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.8810
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.1190
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.8810
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.1190
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8810
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.1190
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.8810
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.3750
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5445
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.4465
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.5595
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.4405
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1280
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.8765
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1235
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.8765
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1380, Price range: 0.1380 - 0.1380
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1265
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8760
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1240
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.8715
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.1550
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.8615
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1470
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.8580
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.1530
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.8510
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1540
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.8560
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.1490
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.8560
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.1490
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.8455
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.1500
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.8455
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1545
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.8155
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1715
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.8240
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1825
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.8260
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1715
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.8310
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.1700
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.8285
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.1690
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.8215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 379.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6079, Price range: 0.1994 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.8295
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.1705
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.8285
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1785
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.8190
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1810
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.8170
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.1780
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.8210
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.1915
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.8240
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.1720
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.8290
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.1710
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.8285
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.1705
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.8290
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.1705
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.8285
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.1710
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.8280
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.1710
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.8295
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.1695
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.8290
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.1710
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.8340
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.1640
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.8415
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.1580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 311.53, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.3057, Price range: 0.1640 - 0.8480
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525622
Question: Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 316081.297038
Price History:
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.1590
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.8410
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.1585
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.8415
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.1525
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.8490
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.1590
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.8375
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.1555
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.8430
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.1580
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.8510
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.1535
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.8525
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.2045
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.8005
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.1965
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.8005
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.2020
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.7620
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.6950
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.2955
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.7070
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.3000
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.7240
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.7785
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.2190
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.7865
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.2125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1343, Buy volume: 225712.53, Sell volume: 50581.19, Average price: 0.5147, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.5050
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.5150
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4500
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.5950
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.3300
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.4800
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.5350
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.4400
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.5800
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.3350
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.1950
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.6500
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.6150
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.5300
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.5750
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.5500
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.4750
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.5700
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.3800
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.6500
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.4700
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.5700
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.4150
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.7000
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.3050
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.7250
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.1750
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.4300
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.6050
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.3500
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.6250
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.3150
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.6400
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.5300
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.5700
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.4350
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.6000
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.3550
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.5700
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.4250
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.5950
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.4150
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.5750
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.4150
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.5750
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.3750
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.6650
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.2850
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.5350
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4150
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.5700
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5650
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.4100
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.5750
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.8300
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.1200
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9250
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.1850
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.8450
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4600
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.5410
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.0425
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.3545
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.6780
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.4715
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.6355
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.4740
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.6710
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.4325
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.6575
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.4395
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.5855
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.4570
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.5700
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.4000
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.6710
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.4120
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.6955
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0900
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.9695
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.0105
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.9895
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.0105
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.9895
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.1855
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.6395
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0440
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.6700
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.0385
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.5440
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0370
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.9605
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.0395
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.9605
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0365
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9610
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.0365
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.9670
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.0470
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9630
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.0360
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.9605
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.0395
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.9665
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.0375
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9600
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.0375
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.9635
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0350
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.9690
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.0355
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.0400
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.9650
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0400
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9600
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0405
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.9600
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0355
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9620
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.0390
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.9645
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0345
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9645
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0400
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.9600
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.0400
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.9700
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0360
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.9410
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.0345
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9650
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0340
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.9680
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0325
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.9740
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.0260
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9660
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0450
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9420
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0315
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.9665
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.0275
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.9680
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0320
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.9680
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0335
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.6650
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.2955
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.7045
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0250
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.7175
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.0350
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9660
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.0340
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.9660
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.0305
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9650
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.0355
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.9645
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0275
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0400
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.9600
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.0400
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.9625
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.0400
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.9695
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.0290
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.7560
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0400
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.9615
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.8745
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.2400
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.9665
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.0370
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.9630
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.2440
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.0370
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.9635
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0385
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.7565
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.0355
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.9625
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.0335
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.9650
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.2425
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.7505
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.1400
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.9555
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.2090
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.7505
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.2475
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.7545
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.2445
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.7515
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0340
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.9660
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.0400
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.9610
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.0400
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.7545
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.0400
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.9555
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.9605
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.0420
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 25817.50, Sell volume: 6611.90, Average price: 0.3517, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.2495
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.7515
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0395
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9610
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0395
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9630
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.0440
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.9575
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0455
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9600
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0445
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9565
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0385
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9595
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.0345
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9655
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.2290
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.7565
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.2250
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.7795
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.2205
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.9585
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0380
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.9635
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0320
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9565
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0430
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9585
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0440
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9585
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0345
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9635
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0425
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.9575
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2445
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.7540
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.1990
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.8170
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.2415
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.7905
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.1950
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.8150
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.4535
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.6165
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.3555
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.6510
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.3110
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.7035
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.2385
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.8005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 25817.50, Sell volume: 6611.90, Average price: 0.3517, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0445
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9630
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.0330
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.9660
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.0370
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.9670
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0435
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.9600
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.0440
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.9605
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0420
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.9555
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.9580
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.0395
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9590
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.0415
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.9565
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0420
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9630
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0420
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9565
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0470
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.9565
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0445
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.9560
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0350
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.9565
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0385
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.9565
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0470
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.9610
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0415
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.9540
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0420
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9580
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0435
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9575
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0425
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.9615
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.0405
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.9590
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0405
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.9580
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0345
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9660
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0335
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9665
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 25817.50, Sell volume: 6611.90, Average price: 0.3517, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.1095
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.8905
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.1175
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.8825
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.1120
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.5530
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.4600
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.7200
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.1495
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.8655
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.1745
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.6600
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.2600
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9565
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0805
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.4785
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.4430
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.5870
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.0775
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.9225
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0775
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9225
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0775
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9225
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.4665
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.5350
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.4230
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9225
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0425
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9575
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0425
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.9555
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0415
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9545
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0445
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9520
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0435
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9550
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0445
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9495
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.4155
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9400
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0445
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.4955
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.4200
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.5815
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0525
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9465
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0495
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9240, Price range: 0.9240 - 0.9240

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0495
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9455
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0445
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9630
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0425
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9305
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0435
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9565
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0695
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9305
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0395
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9665
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0495
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.9550
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0425
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.9600
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0335
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9575
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0415
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9585
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0410
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9585
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0415
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9585
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0415
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9585
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0410
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9530
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0410
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9570
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0425
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9580
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0410
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9575
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0420
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9555
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0410
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9560
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0415
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9640
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9625
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0405
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9590
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0395
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9590
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9595
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0410
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.9610, Price range: 0.9610 - 0.9610

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0380
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9620
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0365
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9630
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0395
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9635
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9625
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0370
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9625
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0405
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9680
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0385
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9635
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0325
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9640
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0395
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9605
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0380
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9610
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0405
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9605
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0395
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9605
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0395
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9605
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9595
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0395
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9605
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0390
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9605
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9600
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9600
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9590
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 19.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0520, Price range: 0.0520 - 0.0520

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9600
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0405
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9600
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0395
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9600
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0390
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9600
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9605
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0395
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9600
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0395
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9605
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0400
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9600
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0395
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9600
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0395
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9605
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0395
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9605
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0405
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9600
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0400
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9595
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0400
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9595
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0405
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9595
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0405
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9590
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0405
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0405
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9610
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0400
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9605
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0400
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9600
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9635
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0375
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9625
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0370
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 25817.50, Sell volume: 6611.90, Average price: 0.3517, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0375
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9625
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0375
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9620
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0370
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9635
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0360
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9645
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0370
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9630
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0375
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9620
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0370
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9625
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0365
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9605
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0380
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9625
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0380
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9635
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0355
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9630
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0395
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9605
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0395
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9595
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9640
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0380
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9690
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0330
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9595
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0405
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.9590
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0410
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.9595
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0365
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.9635
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0405
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.9595
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0405
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.9595
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0405
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.9595
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0410
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.9635
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0360
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.9590
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0355
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 25817.50, Sell volume: 6611.90, Average price: 0.3517, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.9630
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0370
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.9645
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0370
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.9630
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.0365
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.9615
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0365
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9635
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.0365
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.9640
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.0385
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.9625
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.0370
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.9675
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0350
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.9615
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0380
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.9625
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.0345
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9605
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.0345
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.9655
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0345
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.9660
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.0340
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.9660
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0340
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.9660
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0340
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.9655
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0335
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.9665
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0380
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.9605
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0430
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.9605
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0390
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.9645
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0420
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.9595
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0490
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.9280
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0410
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.9595
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0435
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.9565
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0430
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 24652.27, Sell volume: 6571.90, Average price: 0.3210, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4500
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.5100
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.3550
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.5450
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2850
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.3500
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.6150
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.4800
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.5800
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.5500
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.4100
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.5300
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.4100
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.7000
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.2750
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.8450
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.3650
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.4300
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.6150
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.3400
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.6300
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.4700
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.5650
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.4150
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.6450
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.4250
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.6250
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.4300
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.5950
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.3250
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.4650
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5600
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4550
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.5900
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.1400
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9350
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.4700
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.5850
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.4590
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.9665
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.1800
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.5970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.3545
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.5170
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.3160
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.5320
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.4650
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.5855
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.4300
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.6515
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.3685
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.9100
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.0105
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.9890
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.4620
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.6490
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.2700
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.5440
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0395
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.9605
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.0380
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.9635
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.0470
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9620
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.0395
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.9610
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0380
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.9635
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0310
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.9595
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.0295
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.6685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.0400
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.9600
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0405
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.9605
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.0360
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.9645
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0355
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9650
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.0400
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.9640
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.0345
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.9650
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0400
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.9745
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0355
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9420
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.0335
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.9680
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.0320
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.9665
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.2955
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.9720
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0350
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.9660
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.0340
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9650
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.0355
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9745
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.0345
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0400
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9600
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.0320
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.9630
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.2355
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.9615
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.1255
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.7560
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.0370
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.7560
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.0370
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9615
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0395
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.9550
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.2415
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.7505
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.0445
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.8010
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.2485
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.2445
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0340
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.9625
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.0390
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.9555
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0395
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.9660
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.0405
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.7535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 25817.50, Sell volume: 6611.90, Average price: 0.3517, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.2495
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.7515
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9600
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0425
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9600
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0435
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9625
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0330
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.7710
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.2250
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.7795
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0370
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9635
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0410
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9585
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0415
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9620
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0425
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.7555
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.1990
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.7485
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.2010
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.8140
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.3705
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.6510
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.2965
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.7650
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.1975
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 25817.50, Sell volume: 6611.90, Average price: 0.3517, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0445
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.9640
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.9715
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0430
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.9605
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0445
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.9625
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.0410
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9585
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0420
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9625
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0360
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9575
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0360
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.9565
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.0435
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.9545
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0475
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9580
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0435
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.9610
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0360
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.9695
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0390
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9660
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0335
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9590
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0395
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 25817.50, Sell volume: 6611.90, Average price: 0.3517, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.1095
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.8810
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.1345
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.5530
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.1295
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.8655
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.3400
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9405
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.4780
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.5570
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.0775
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.9225
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0775
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9225
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.4665
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9225
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0425
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.9575
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0440
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9555
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0435
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9575
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.4660
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9625
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.4210
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.5815
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0535
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9535
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0695
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9240, Price range: 0.9240 - 0.9240
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0495
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9455
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0425
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9305
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0390
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9305
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0335
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9550
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0385
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9665
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0415
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9590
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0415
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9585
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0410
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9530
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0430
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9570
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0435
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9580
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0410
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9605
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0455
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9590
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0405
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9680
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0385
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.9610, Price range: 0.9610 - 0.9610
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0380
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9610
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0390
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9615
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0390
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9625
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0320
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9615
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0345
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9605
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0380
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9610
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0395
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9600
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0405
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9605
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0395
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9605
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9600
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0395
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9610
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9600
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0410
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9600
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 19.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0520, Price range: 0.0520 - 0.0520
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9600
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0395
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9600
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0390
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9605
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0400
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9600
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0395
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9605
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0395
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9600
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0405
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9605
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0390
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9595
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0405
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0405
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9595
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0400
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9600
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9635
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0375
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9630
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0380
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 25817.50, Sell volume: 6611.90, Average price: 0.3517, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0375
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9625
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0375
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9645
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0360
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9630
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0380
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9620
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0395
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9620
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0380
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9625
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0395
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9605
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0405
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9640
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0310
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9645
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0410
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.9590
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0365
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.9590
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0405
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.9595
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0355
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.9635
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0410
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.9635
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0365
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 25817.50, Sell volume: 6611.90, Average price: 0.3517, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525626
Question: Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 32429.398743
Price History:
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.9635
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0360
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.9640
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0390
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9635
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.0360
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.9610
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0370
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.9650
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0380
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.9655
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0375
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.9650
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.0340
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.9660
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0340
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.9660
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0335
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.9620
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0430
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.9615
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0410
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.9490
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0595
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.9595
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0435
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.9605
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 24652.27, Sell volume: 6571.90, Average price: 0.3210, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0500
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.9500
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0600
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.9400
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.9400
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.0500
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.9500
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0350
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9650
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.0345
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.9655
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0350
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9650
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.0345
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9655
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0365
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.9635
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0390
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.9610
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0380
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.9620
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0355
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9645
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0400
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1084.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0563, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.1000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.0370
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9630
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.0370
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9630
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0425
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9575
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.9350
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0645
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9355
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0420
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9580
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.2775
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.7225
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.2620
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.7380
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.2410
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.7590
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0510
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9490
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0510
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.9490
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0510
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.9490
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0020
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9980
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.0060
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2335.55, Sell volume: 3092.19, Average price: 0.7485, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 0.11, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 24440.36, Sell volume: 13180.30, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 21000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 24440.36, Sell volume: 13180.30, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 24440.36, Sell volume: 13180.30, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 24440.36, Sell volume: 13180.30, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 270.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 24440.36, Sell volume: 13180.30, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 24440.36, Sell volume: 13180.30, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 24440.36, Sell volume: 13180.30, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0500
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.9500
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0600
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.9400
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.9400
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.0500
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.9500
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0350
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9650
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.0345
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.9655
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0350
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9650
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.0345
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9655
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0365
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.9635
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0390
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.9610
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0380
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.9620
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0355
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9645
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0400
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1084.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0563, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.1000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.0370
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9630
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.0370
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9630
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0425
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9575
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.9350
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0645
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9355
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0420
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9580
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.2775
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.7225
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.2620
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.7380
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.2410
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.7590
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0510
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9490
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0510
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.9490
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0510
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.9490
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0020
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9980
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.0060
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2335.55, Sell volume: 3092.19, Average price: 0.7485, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes