Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-09-20 11:00: 0.0950
2024-09-20 12:00: 0.9720
2024-09-20 14:00: 0.0280
2024-09-20 15:00: 0.9720
2024-09-20 17:00: 0.0280
2024-09-20 18:00: 0.9720
2024-09-20 20:00: 0.0280
2024-09-20 21:00: 0.9720
2024-09-20 23:00: 0.0280
2024-09-21 00:00: 0.9740
2024-09-21 02:00: 0.0260
2024-09-21 03:00: 0.9740
2024-09-21 05:00: 0.0260
2024-09-21 06:00: 0.9740
2024-09-21 08:00: 0.0255
2024-09-21 09:00: 0.9745
2024-09-21 11:00: 0.0255
2024-09-21 12:00: 0.9745
2024-09-21 14:00: 0.0255
2024-09-21 15:00: 0.9745
2024-09-21 17:00: 0.0255
2024-09-21 18:00: 0.9745
2024-09-21 20:00: 0.0255
2024-09-21 21:00: 0.9745
2024-09-21 23:00: 0.0255
2024-09-22 00:00: 0.9745
2024-09-22 02:00: 0.0255
2024-09-22 03:00: 0.9745
2024-09-22 05:00: 0.0255
2024-09-22 06:00: 0.9745
2024-09-22 08:00: 0.0255
2024-09-22 09:00: 0.9750
2024-09-22 11:00: 0.0250
2024-09-22 12:00: 0.9750
2024-09-22 14:00: 0.0255
2024-09-22 15:00: 0.9745
2024-09-22 17:00: 0.0255
2024-09-22 18:00: 0.9745
2024-09-22 20:00: 0.0250
2024-09-22 21:00: 0.9745
2024-09-22 23:00: 0.0255
2024-09-23 00:00: 0.9740
2024-09-23 02:00: 0.0260
2024-09-23 03:00: 0.9740
2024-09-23 05:00: 0.0255
2024-09-23 06:00: 0.9740
2024-09-23 08:00: 0.0255
2024-09-23 09:00: 0.9740
2024-09-23 11:00: 0.0255
2024-09-23 12:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1266.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7987, Price range: 0.0396 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-09-24 02:00: 0.9740
2024-09-24 04:00: 0.0260
2024-09-24 05:00: 0.9740
2024-09-24 07:00: 0.0255
2024-09-24 08:00: 0.9740
2024-09-24 10:00: 0.0255
2024-09-24 11:00: 0.9770
2024-09-24 13:00: 0.0225
2024-09-24 14:00: 0.9785
2024-09-24 16:00: 0.0220
2024-09-24 17:00: 0.9805
2024-09-24 19:00: 0.0185
2024-09-24 20:00: 0.9820
2024-09-24 22:00: 0.0180
2024-09-24 23:00: 0.9840
2024-09-25 01:00: 0.0155
2024-09-25 02:00: 0.9860
2024-09-25 04:00: 0.0125
2024-09-25 05:00: 0.9880
2024-09-25 07:00: 0.0205
2024-09-25 08:00: 0.9800
2024-09-25 10:00: 0.0195
2024-09-25 11:00: 0.9820
2024-09-25 13:00: 0.0165
2024-09-25 14:00: 0.9835
2024-09-25 16:00: 0.0145
2024-09-25 17:00: 0.9855
2024-09-25 19:00: 0.0120
2024-09-25 20:00: 0.9880
2024-09-25 22:00: 0.0195
2024-09-25 23:00: 0.9810
2024-09-26 01:00: 0.0225
2024-09-26 02:00: 0.9775
2024-09-26 04:00: 0.0225
2024-09-26 05:00: 0.9775
2024-09-26 07:00: 0.0225
2024-09-26 08:00: 0.9775
2024-09-26 10:00: 0.0220
2024-09-26 11:00: 0.9780
2024-09-26 13:00: 0.0225
2024-09-26 14:00: 0.9775
2024-09-26 16:00: 0.0225
2024-09-26 17:00: 0.9775
2024-09-26 19:00: 0.0225
2024-09-26 20:00: 0.9780
2024-09-26 22:00: 0.0220
2024-09-26 23:00: 0.9780
2024-09-27 01:00: 0.0220
2024-09-27 02:00: 0.9780
2024-09-27 04:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 0.64, Sell volume: 1535.83, Average price: 0.5634, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-09-27 18:00: 0.0215
2024-09-27 19:00: 0.9785
2024-09-27 21:00: 0.0210
2024-09-27 22:00: 0.9800
2024-09-28 00:00: 0.0190
2024-09-28 01:00: 0.9820
2024-09-28 03:00: 0.0175
2024-09-28 04:00: 0.9825
2024-09-28 06:00: 0.0175
2024-09-28 07:00: 0.9825
2024-09-28 09:00: 0.0160
2024-09-28 10:00: 0.9825
2024-09-28 12:00: 0.0180
2024-09-28 13:00: 0.9800
2024-09-28 15:00: 0.0175
2024-09-28 16:00: 0.9810
2024-09-28 18:00: 0.0180
2024-09-28 19:00: 0.9830
2024-09-28 21:00: 0.0155
2024-09-28 22:00: 0.9845
2024-09-29 00:00: 0.0155
2024-09-29 01:00: 0.9845
2024-09-29 03:00: 0.0155
2024-09-29 04:00: 0.9855
2024-09-29 06:00: 0.0150
2024-09-29 07:00: 0.9850
2024-09-29 09:00: 0.0135
2024-09-29 10:00: 0.9845
2024-09-29 12:00: 0.0155
2024-09-29 13:00: 0.9845
2024-09-29 15:00: 0.0140
2024-09-29 16:00: 0.9860
2024-09-29 18:00: 0.0140
2024-09-29 19:00: 0.9855
2024-09-29 21:00: 0.0135
2024-09-29 22:00: 0.9850
2024-09-30 00:00: 0.0145
2024-09-30 01:00: 0.9860
2024-09-30 03:00: 0.0125
2024-09-30 04:00: 0.9875
2024-09-30 06:00: 0.0155
2024-09-30 07:00: 0.9860
2024-09-30 09:00: 0.0125
2024-09-30 10:00: 0.9880
2024-09-30 12:00: 0.0155
2024-09-30 13:00: 0.9845
2024-09-30 15:00: 0.0145
2024-09-30 16:00: 0.9850
2024-09-30 18:00: 0.0155
2024-09-30 19:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1.57, Sell volume: 112.86, Average price: 0.7432, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-01 09:00: 0.9845
2024-10-01 11:00: 0.0155
2024-10-01 12:00: 0.9845
2024-10-01 14:00: 0.0155
2024-10-01 15:00: 0.9845
2024-10-01 17:00: 0.0150
2024-10-01 18:00: 0.9840
2024-10-01 20:00: 0.0145
2024-10-01 21:00: 0.9855
2024-10-01 23:00: 0.0155
2024-10-02 00:00: 0.9845
2024-10-02 02:00: 0.0155
2024-10-02 03:00: 0.9845
2024-10-02 05:00: 0.0155
2024-10-02 06:00: 0.9845
2024-10-02 08:00: 0.0155
2024-10-02 09:00: 0.9845
2024-10-02 10:00: 0.0155
2024-10-02 11:00: 0.9845
2024-10-02 13:00: 0.0155
2024-10-02 14:00: 0.9845
2024-10-02 16:00: 0.0150
2024-10-02 17:00: 0.9850
2024-10-02 19:00: 0.0150
2024-10-02 20:00: 0.9850
2024-10-02 22:00: 0.0220
2024-10-02 23:00: 0.9780
2024-10-03 01:00: 0.0220
2024-10-03 02:00: 0.9780
2024-10-03 04:00: 0.0220
2024-10-03 05:00: 0.9780
2024-10-03 07:00: 0.0220
2024-10-03 08:00: 0.9780
2024-10-03 10:00: 0.0220
2024-10-03 11:00: 0.9780
2024-10-03 13:00: 0.0220
2024-10-03 14:00: 0.9775
2024-10-03 16:00: 0.0225
2024-10-03 17:00: 0.9775
2024-10-03 19:00: 0.0220
2024-10-03 20:00: 0.9770
2024-10-03 22:00: 0.0225
2024-10-03 23:00: 0.9775
2024-10-04 01:00: 0.0225
2024-10-04 02:00: 0.9775
2024-10-04 04:00: 0.0225
2024-10-04 05:00: 0.9775
2024-10-04 07:00: 0.0225
2024-10-04 08:00: 0.9775
2024-10-04 10:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 769.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0180, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.0180

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-05 00:00: 0.0225
2024-10-05 01:00: 0.9775
2024-10-05 03:00: 0.0225
2024-10-05 04:00: 0.9775
2024-10-05 06:00: 0.0225
2024-10-05 07:00: 0.9775
2024-10-05 09:00: 0.0225
2024-10-05 10:00: 0.9775
2024-10-05 12:00: 0.0225
2024-10-05 13:00: 0.9775
2024-10-05 15:00: 0.0225
2024-10-05 16:00: 0.9775
2024-10-05 18:00: 0.0225
2024-10-05 19:00: 0.9775
2024-10-05 21:00: 0.0225
2024-10-05 22:00: 0.9775
2024-10-06 00:00: 0.0225
2024-10-06 01:00: 0.9775
2024-10-06 03:00: 0.0225
2024-10-06 04:00: 0.9775
2024-10-06 06:00: 0.0225
2024-10-06 07:00: 0.9775
2024-10-06 09:00: 0.0225
2024-10-06 10:00: 0.9775
2024-10-06 12:00: 0.0225
2024-10-06 13:00: 0.9775
2024-10-06 15:00: 0.0225
2024-10-06 16:00: 0.9775
2024-10-06 18:00: 0.0225
2024-10-06 19:00: 0.9775
2024-10-06 21:00: 0.0225
2024-10-06 22:00: 0.9775
2024-10-07 00:00: 0.0225
2024-10-07 01:00: 0.9775
2024-10-07 03:00: 0.0220
2024-10-07 04:00: 0.9770
2024-10-07 06:00: 0.0230
2024-10-07 07:00: 0.9770
2024-10-07 09:00: 0.0230
2024-10-07 10:00: 0.9770
2024-10-07 12:00: 0.0225
2024-10-07 13:00: 0.9775
2024-10-07 15:00: 0.0225
2024-10-07 16:00: 0.9775
2024-10-07 18:00: 0.0225
2024-10-07 19:00: 0.9770
2024-10-07 21:00: 0.0235
2024-10-07 22:00: 0.9780
2024-10-08 00:00: 0.0235
2024-10-08 01:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 28192.15, Sell volume: 4518.42, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-08 15:00: 0.9775
2024-10-08 17:00: 0.0225
2024-10-08 18:00: 0.9775
2024-10-08 20:00: 0.0250
2024-10-08 21:00: 0.9750
2024-10-08 23:00: 0.0250
2024-10-09 00:00: 0.9750
2024-10-09 02:00: 0.0250
2024-10-09 03:00: 0.9750
2024-10-09 05:00: 0.0250
2024-10-09 06:00: 0.9760
2024-10-09 08:00: 0.0250
2024-10-09 09:00: 0.9760
2024-10-09 11:00: 0.0240
2024-10-09 12:00: 0.9765
2024-10-09 14:00: 0.0230
2024-10-09 15:00: 0.9740
2024-10-09 17:00: 0.0260
2024-10-09 18:00: 0.9720
2024-10-09 20:00: 0.0230
2024-10-09 21:00: 0.9735
2024-10-09 23:00: 0.0275
2024-10-10 00:00: 0.9725
2024-10-10 02:00: 0.0275
2024-10-10 03:00: 0.9770
2024-10-10 05:00: 0.0235
2024-10-10 06:00: 0.9760
2024-10-10 08:00: 0.0240
2024-10-10 09:00: 0.9740
2024-10-10 11:00: 0.0230
2024-10-10 12:00: 0.9765
2024-10-10 14:00: 0.0250
2024-10-10 15:00: 0.9750
2024-10-10 17:00: 0.0230
2024-10-10 18:00: 0.9770
2024-10-10 20:00: 0.0230
2024-10-10 21:00: 0.9755
2024-10-10 23:00: 0.0245
2024-10-11 00:00: 0.9755
2024-10-11 02:00: 0.0225
2024-10-11 03:00: 0.9775
2024-10-11 05:00: 0.0225
2024-10-11 06:00: 0.9760
2024-10-11 08:00: 0.0225
2024-10-11 09:00: 0.9775
2024-10-11 11:00: 0.0225
2024-10-11 12:00: 0.9780
2024-10-11 14:00: 0.0220
2024-10-11 15:00: 0.9780
2024-10-11 17:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-12 07:00: 0.0220
2024-10-12 08:00: 0.9775
2024-10-12 10:00: 0.0215
2024-10-12 11:00: 0.9785
2024-10-12 13:00: 0.0215
2024-10-12 14:00: 0.9785
2024-10-12 16:00: 0.0215
2024-10-12 17:00: 0.9785
2024-10-12 19:00: 0.0225
2024-10-12 20:00: 0.9780
2024-10-12 22:00: 0.0220
2024-10-12 23:00: 0.9775
2024-10-13 01:00: 0.0225
2024-10-13 02:00: 0.9785
2024-10-13 04:00: 0.0225
2024-10-13 05:00: 0.9775
2024-10-13 07:00: 0.0225
2024-10-13 08:00: 0.9775
2024-10-13 10:00: 0.0225
2024-10-13 11:00: 0.9775
2024-10-13 13:00: 0.0210
2024-10-13 14:00: 0.9790
2024-10-13 16:00: 0.0215
2024-10-13 17:00: 0.9785
2024-10-13 19:00: 0.0225
2024-10-13 20:00: 0.9785
2024-10-13 22:00: 0.0215
2024-10-13 23:00: 0.9785
2024-10-14 01:00: 0.0215
2024-10-14 02:00: 0.9785
2024-10-14 04:00: 0.0225
2024-10-14 05:00: 0.9775
2024-10-14 07:00: 0.0225
2024-10-14 08:00: 0.9775
2024-10-14 10:00: 0.0220
2024-10-14 11:00: 0.9780
2024-10-14 13:00: 0.0215
2024-10-14 14:00: 0.9775
2024-10-14 16:00: 0.0220
2024-10-14 17:00: 0.9775
2024-10-14 19:00: 0.0220
2024-10-14 20:00: 0.9780
2024-10-14 22:00: 0.0225
2024-10-14 23:00: 0.9775
2024-10-15 01:00: 0.0225
2024-10-15 02:00: 0.9775
2024-10-15 04:00: 0.0225
2024-10-15 05:00: 0.9775
2024-10-15 07:00: 0.0225
2024-10-15 08:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.01, Average price: 0.9670, Price range: 0.9670 - 0.9670

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-15 22:00: 0.9755
2024-10-16 00:00: 0.0245
2024-10-16 01:00: 0.9755
2024-10-16 03:00: 0.0245
2024-10-16 04:00: 0.9755
2024-10-16 06:00: 0.0245
2024-10-16 07:00: 0.9755
2024-10-16 09:00: 0.0220
2024-10-16 10:00: 0.9775
2024-10-16 12:00: 0.0245
2024-10-16 13:00: 0.9755
2024-10-16 15:00: 0.0250
2024-10-16 16:00: 0.9775
2024-10-16 18:00: 0.0240
2024-10-16 19:00: 0.9765
2024-10-16 21:00: 0.0230
2024-10-16 22:00: 0.9770
2024-10-17 00:00: 0.0235
2024-10-17 01:00: 0.9765
2024-10-17 03:00: 0.0250
2024-10-17 04:00: 0.9755
2024-10-17 06:00: 0.0255
2024-10-17 07:00: 0.9745
2024-10-17 09:00: 0.0260
2024-10-17 10:00: 0.9740
2024-10-17 12:00: 0.0255
2024-10-17 13:00: 0.9740
2024-10-17 15:00: 0.0260
2024-10-17 16:00: 0.9740
2024-10-17 18:00: 0.0260
2024-10-17 19:00: 0.9740
2024-10-17 21:00: 0.0255
2024-10-17 22:00: 0.9730
2024-10-18 00:00: 0.0235
2024-10-18 01:00: 0.9770
2024-10-18 03:00: 0.0230
2024-10-18 04:00: 0.9770
2024-10-18 06:00: 0.0230
2024-10-18 07:00: 0.9770
2024-10-18 09:00: 0.0230
2024-10-18 10:00: 0.9770
2024-10-18 12:00: 0.0225
2024-10-18 13:00: 0.9770
2024-10-18 15:00: 0.0225
2024-10-18 16:00: 0.9770
2024-10-18 18:00: 0.0225
2024-10-18 19:00: 0.9775
2024-10-18 21:00: 0.0230
2024-10-18 22:00: 0.9770
2024-10-19 00:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 2.17, Sell volume: 2.16, Average price: 0.9758, Price range: 0.9650 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-19 14:00: 0.0220
2024-10-19 15:00: 0.9785
2024-10-19 17:00: 0.0220
2024-10-19 18:00: 0.9780
2024-10-19 20:00: 0.0220
2024-10-19 21:00: 0.9785
2024-10-19 23:00: 0.0215
2024-10-20 00:00: 0.9785
2024-10-20 02:00: 0.0215
2024-10-20 03:00: 0.9785
2024-10-20 05:00: 0.0215
2024-10-20 06:00: 0.9785
2024-10-20 08:00: 0.0220
2024-10-20 09:00: 0.9780
2024-10-20 11:00: 0.0220
2024-10-20 12:00: 0.9785
2024-10-20 14:00: 0.0215
2024-10-20 15:00: 0.9780
2024-10-20 17:00: 0.0215
2024-10-20 18:00: 0.9780
2024-10-20 20:00: 0.0215
2024-10-20 21:00: 0.9780
2024-10-20 23:00: 0.0220
2024-10-21 00:00: 0.9780
2024-10-21 02:00: 0.0220
2024-10-21 03:00: 0.9780
2024-10-21 05:00: 0.0220
2024-10-21 06:00: 0.9780
2024-10-21 08:00: 0.0220
2024-10-21 09:00: 0.9780
2024-10-21 11:00: 0.0220
2024-10-21 12:00: 0.9780
2024-10-21 14:00: 0.0220
2024-10-21 15:00: 0.9780
2024-10-21 17:00: 0.0220
2024-10-21 18:00: 0.9775
2024-10-21 20:00: 0.0200
2024-10-21 21:00: 0.9800
2024-10-21 23:00: 0.0200
2024-10-22 00:00: 0.9800
2024-10-22 02:00: 0.0200
2024-10-22 03:00: 0.9800
2024-10-22 05:00: 0.0200
2024-10-22 06:00: 0.9800
2024-10-22 08:00: 0.0200
2024-10-22 09:00: 0.9800
2024-10-22 11:00: 0.0200
2024-10-22 12:00: 0.9800
2024-10-22 14:00: 0.0200
2024-10-22 15:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.61, Sell volume: 1.87, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-23 05:00: 0.9805
2024-10-23 07:00: 0.0195
2024-10-23 08:00: 0.9805
2024-10-23 10:00: 0.0195
2024-10-23 11:00: 0.9805
2024-10-23 13:00: 0.0195
2024-10-23 14:00: 0.9805
2024-10-23 16:00: 0.0195
2024-10-23 17:00: 0.9805
2024-10-23 19:00: 0.0200
2024-10-23 20:00: 0.9800
2024-10-23 22:00: 0.0200
2024-10-23 23:00: 0.9800
2024-10-24 01:00: 0.0200
2024-10-24 02:00: 0.9800
2024-10-24 04:00: 0.0200
2024-10-24 05:00: 0.9800
2024-10-24 07:00: 0.0200
2024-10-24 08:00: 0.9800
2024-10-24 10:00: 0.0200
2024-10-24 11:00: 0.9800
2024-10-24 13:00: 0.0195
2024-10-24 14:00: 0.9805
2024-10-24 16:00: 0.0195
2024-10-24 17:00: 0.9805
2024-10-24 19:00: 0.0195
2024-10-24 20:00: 0.9805
2024-10-24 22:00: 0.0195
2024-10-24 23:00: 0.9805
2024-10-25 01:00: 0.0195
2024-10-25 02:00: 0.9805
2024-10-25 04:00: 0.0195
2024-10-25 05:00: 0.9805
2024-10-25 07:00: 0.0195
2024-10-25 08:00: 0.9805
2024-10-25 10:00: 0.0195
2024-10-25 11:00: 0.9805
2024-10-25 13:00: 0.0195
2024-10-25 14:00: 0.9805
2024-10-25 16:00: 0.0195
2024-10-25 17:00: 0.9805
2024-10-25 19:00: 0.0195
2024-10-25 20:00: 0.9805
2024-10-25 22:00: 0.0195
2024-10-25 23:00: 0.9805
2024-10-26 01:00: 0.0195
2024-10-26 02:00: 0.9805
2024-10-26 04:00: 0.0195
2024-10-26 05:00: 0.9805
2024-10-26 07:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 109.74, Sell volume: 2.59, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-26 21:00: 0.0195
2024-10-26 22:00: 0.9805
2024-10-27 00:00: 0.0195
2024-10-27 01:00: 0.9805
2024-10-27 03:00: 0.0195
2024-10-27 04:00: 0.9805
2024-10-27 06:00: 0.0195
2024-10-27 07:00: 0.9805
2024-10-27 09:00: 0.0195
2024-10-27 10:00: 0.9805
2024-10-27 12:00: 0.0195
2024-10-27 13:00: 0.9805
2024-10-27 15:00: 0.0195
2024-10-27 16:00: 0.9805
2024-10-27 18:00: 0.0195
2024-10-27 19:00: 0.9805
2024-10-27 21:00: 0.0195
2024-10-27 22:00: 0.9805
2024-10-28 00:00: 0.0195
2024-10-28 01:00: 0.9805
2024-10-28 03:00: 0.0195
2024-10-28 04:00: 0.9805
2024-10-28 06:00: 0.0195
2024-10-28 07:00: 0.9805
2024-10-28 09:00: 0.0195
2024-10-28 10:00: 0.9805
2024-10-28 12:00: 0.0195
2024-10-28 13:00: 0.9805
2024-10-28 15:00: 0.0195
2024-10-28 16:00: 0.9805
2024-10-28 18:00: 0.0195
2024-10-28 19:00: 0.9760
2024-10-28 21:00: 0.0285
2024-10-28 22:00: 0.9715
2024-10-29 00:00: 0.0295
2024-10-29 01:00: 0.9705
2024-10-29 03:00: 0.0295
2024-10-29 04:00: 0.9705
2024-10-29 06:00: 0.0250
2024-10-29 07:00: 0.9710
2024-10-29 09:00: 0.0270
2024-10-29 10:00: 0.9735
2024-10-29 12:00: 0.0290
2024-10-29 13:00: 0.9710
2024-10-29 15:00: 0.0285
2024-10-29 16:00: 0.9750
2024-10-29 18:00: 0.0245
2024-10-29 19:00: 0.9755
2024-10-29 21:00: 0.0245
2024-10-29 22:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 5987.09, Sell volume: 2.36, Average price: 0.7798, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-30 12:00: 0.9755
2024-10-30 14:00: 0.0245
2024-10-30 15:00: 0.9755
2024-10-30 17:00: 0.0295
2024-10-30 18:00: 0.9705
2024-10-30 20:00: 0.0300
2024-10-30 21:00: 0.9700
2024-10-30 23:00: 0.0300
2024-10-31 00:00: 0.9700
2024-10-31 02:00: 0.0295
2024-10-31 03:00: 0.9715
2024-10-31 05:00: 0.0300
2024-10-31 06:00: 0.9700
2024-10-31 08:00: 0.0300
2024-10-31 09:00: 0.9700
2024-10-31 11:00: 0.0325
2024-10-31 12:00: 0.9675
2024-10-31 14:00: 0.0340
2024-10-31 15:00: 0.9650
2024-10-31 17:00: 0.0345
2024-10-31 18:00: 0.9655
2024-10-31 20:00: 0.0345
2024-10-31 21:00: 0.9650
2024-10-31 23:00: 0.0355
2024-11-01 00:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 02:00: 0.0345
2024-11-01 03:00: 0.9655
2024-11-01 05:00: 0.0350
2024-11-01 06:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 08:00: 0.0345
2024-11-01 09:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 11:00: 0.0350
2024-11-01 12:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 14:00: 0.0345
2024-11-01 15:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 17:00: 0.0345
2024-11-01 18:00: 0.9655
2024-11-01 20:00: 0.0345
2024-11-01 21:00: 0.9655
2024-11-01 23:00: 0.0330
2024-11-02 00:00: 0.9655
2024-11-02 02:00: 0.0345
2024-11-02 03:00: 0.9655
2024-11-02 05:00: 0.0345
2024-11-02 06:00: 0.9655
2024-11-02 08:00: 0.0340
2024-11-02 09:00: 0.9660
2024-11-02 11:00: 0.0345
2024-11-02 12:00: 0.9655
2024-11-02 14:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 14594.21, Sell volume: 121.82, Average price: 0.4209, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9790

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-11-03 03:00: 0.0335
2024-11-03 04:00: 0.9665
2024-11-03 06:00: 0.0330
2024-11-03 07:00: 0.9665
2024-11-03 09:00: 0.0330
2024-11-03 10:00: 0.9655
2024-11-03 12:00: 0.0335
2024-11-03 13:00: 0.9665
2024-11-03 15:00: 0.0330
2024-11-03 16:00: 0.9665
2024-11-03 18:00: 0.0335
2024-11-03 19:00: 0.9655
2024-11-03 21:00: 0.0340
2024-11-03 22:00: 0.9660
2024-11-04 00:00: 0.0335
2024-11-04 01:00: 0.9665
2024-11-04 03:00: 0.0335
2024-11-04 04:00: 0.9665
2024-11-04 06:00: 0.0335
2024-11-04 07:00: 0.9625
2024-11-04 09:00: 0.0370
2024-11-04 10:00: 0.9630
2024-11-04 12:00: 0.0345
2024-11-04 13:00: 0.9655
2024-11-04 15:00: 0.0345
2024-11-04 16:00: 0.9655
2024-11-04 18:00: 0.0335
2024-11-04 19:00: 0.9655
2024-11-04 21:00: 0.0335
2024-11-04 22:00: 0.9665
2024-11-05 00:00: 0.0320
2024-11-05 01:00: 0.9680
2024-11-05 03:00: 0.0320
2024-11-05 04:00: 0.9680
2024-11-05 06:00: 0.0320
2024-11-05 07:00: 0.9680
2024-11-05 09:00: 0.0320
2024-11-05 10:00: 0.9680
2024-11-05 12:00: 0.0340
2024-11-05 13:00: 0.9655
2024-11-05 15:00: 0.0340
2024-11-05 16:00: 0.9675
2024-11-05 19:00: 0.0325
2024-11-05 20:00: 0.8905
2024-11-05 22:00: 0.0405
2024-11-05 23:00: 0.9595
2024-11-06 01:00: 0.0405
2024-11-06 02:00: 0.9595
2024-11-06 04:00: 0.0405
2024-11-06 05:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 5458.33, Sell volume: 2737.92, Average price: 0.7113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-09-20 11:00: 0.0950
2024-09-20 13:00: 0.9720
2024-09-20 16:00: 0.0280
2024-09-20 18:00: 0.9720
2024-09-20 21:00: 0.0280
2024-09-20 23:00: 0.9720
2024-09-21 02:00: 0.0260
2024-09-21 04:00: 0.9740
2024-09-21 07:00: 0.0255
2024-09-21 09:00: 0.9745
2024-09-21 12:00: 0.0255
2024-09-21 14:00: 0.9745
2024-09-21 17:00: 0.0255
2024-09-21 19:00: 0.9745
2024-09-21 22:00: 0.0255
2024-09-22 00:00: 0.9745
2024-09-22 03:00: 0.0255
2024-09-22 05:00: 0.9745
2024-09-22 08:00: 0.0255
2024-09-22 10:00: 0.9750
2024-09-22 13:00: 0.0255
2024-09-22 15:00: 0.9745
2024-09-22 18:00: 0.0255
2024-09-22 20:00: 0.9750
2024-09-22 23:00: 0.0255
2024-09-23 01:00: 0.9740
2024-09-23 04:00: 0.0260
2024-09-23 06:00: 0.9740
2024-09-23 09:00: 0.0260
2024-09-23 11:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1266.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7987, Price range: 0.0396 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-09-24 02:00: 0.9740
2024-09-24 05:00: 0.0260
2024-09-24 07:00: 0.9745
2024-09-24 10:00: 0.0255
2024-09-24 12:00: 0.9770
2024-09-24 15:00: 0.0205
2024-09-24 17:00: 0.9805
2024-09-24 20:00: 0.0180
2024-09-24 22:00: 0.9820
2024-09-25 01:00: 0.0155
2024-09-25 03:00: 0.9875
2024-09-25 06:00: 0.0120
2024-09-25 08:00: 0.9800
2024-09-25 11:00: 0.0180
2024-09-25 13:00: 0.9835
2024-09-25 16:00: 0.0145
2024-09-25 18:00: 0.9870
2024-09-25 21:00: 0.0195
2024-09-25 23:00: 0.9810
2024-09-26 02:00: 0.0225
2024-09-26 04:00: 0.9775
2024-09-26 07:00: 0.0225
2024-09-26 09:00: 0.9780
2024-09-26 12:00: 0.0220
2024-09-26 14:00: 0.9775
2024-09-26 17:00: 0.0225
2024-09-26 19:00: 0.9775
2024-09-26 22:00: 0.0220
2024-09-27 00:00: 0.9780
2024-09-27 03:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 0.64, Sell volume: 1535.83, Average price: 0.5634, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-09-27 18:00: 0.0215
2024-09-27 20:00: 0.9780
2024-09-27 23:00: 0.0195
2024-09-28 01:00: 0.9820
2024-09-28 04:00: 0.0175
2024-09-28 06:00: 0.9825
2024-09-28 09:00: 0.0160
2024-09-28 11:00: 0.9825
2024-09-28 14:00: 0.0195
2024-09-28 16:00: 0.9810
2024-09-28 19:00: 0.0170
2024-09-28 21:00: 0.9845
2024-09-29 00:00: 0.0155
2024-09-29 02:00: 0.9845
2024-09-29 05:00: 0.0140
2024-09-29 07:00: 0.9850
2024-09-29 10:00: 0.0155
2024-09-29 12:00: 0.9845
2024-09-29 15:00: 0.0140
2024-09-29 17:00: 0.9845
2024-09-29 20:00: 0.0140
2024-09-29 22:00: 0.9850
2024-09-30 01:00: 0.0140
2024-09-30 03:00: 0.9875
2024-09-30 06:00: 0.0155
2024-09-30 08:00: 0.9870
2024-09-30 11:00: 0.0155
2024-09-30 13:00: 0.9845
2024-09-30 16:00: 0.0150
2024-09-30 18:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1.57, Sell volume: 112.86, Average price: 0.7432, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-01 09:00: 0.9845
2024-10-01 12:00: 0.0155
2024-10-01 14:00: 0.9845
2024-10-01 17:00: 0.0150
2024-10-01 19:00: 0.9855
2024-10-01 22:00: 0.0150
2024-10-02 00:00: 0.9845
2024-10-02 03:00: 0.0155
2024-10-02 05:00: 0.9845
2024-10-02 08:00: 0.0155
2024-10-02 10:00: 0.9845
2024-10-02 12:00: 0.0155
2024-10-02 14:00: 0.9845
2024-10-02 17:00: 0.0150
2024-10-02 19:00: 0.9850
2024-10-02 22:00: 0.0220
2024-10-03 00:00: 0.9775
2024-10-03 03:00: 0.0220
2024-10-03 05:00: 0.9780
2024-10-03 08:00: 0.0220
2024-10-03 10:00: 0.9780
2024-10-03 13:00: 0.0220
2024-10-03 15:00: 0.9775
2024-10-03 18:00: 0.0225
2024-10-03 20:00: 0.9770
2024-10-03 23:00: 0.0225
2024-10-04 01:00: 0.9775
2024-10-04 04:00: 0.0225
2024-10-04 06:00: 0.9775
2024-10-04 09:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 769.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0180, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.0180
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-05 00:00: 0.0225
2024-10-05 02:00: 0.9775
2024-10-05 05:00: 0.0225
2024-10-05 07:00: 0.9775
2024-10-05 10:00: 0.0225
2024-10-05 12:00: 0.9775
2024-10-05 15:00: 0.0225
2024-10-05 17:00: 0.9775
2024-10-05 20:00: 0.0225
2024-10-05 22:00: 0.9775
2024-10-06 01:00: 0.0225
2024-10-06 03:00: 0.9775
2024-10-06 06:00: 0.0225
2024-10-06 08:00: 0.9775
2024-10-06 11:00: 0.0225
2024-10-06 13:00: 0.9775
2024-10-06 16:00: 0.0225
2024-10-06 18:00: 0.9775
2024-10-06 21:00: 0.0225
2024-10-06 23:00: 0.9775
2024-10-07 02:00: 0.0225
2024-10-07 04:00: 0.9770
2024-10-07 07:00: 0.0230
2024-10-07 09:00: 0.9770
2024-10-07 12:00: 0.0225
2024-10-07 14:00: 0.9775
2024-10-07 17:00: 0.0225
2024-10-07 19:00: 0.9770
2024-10-07 22:00: 0.0220
2024-10-08 00:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 28192.15, Sell volume: 4518.42, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-08 15:00: 0.9775
2024-10-08 18:00: 0.0225
2024-10-08 20:00: 0.9750
2024-10-08 23:00: 0.0250
2024-10-09 01:00: 0.9750
2024-10-09 04:00: 0.0250
2024-10-09 06:00: 0.9760
2024-10-09 09:00: 0.0240
2024-10-09 11:00: 0.9760
2024-10-09 14:00: 0.0230
2024-10-09 16:00: 0.9740
2024-10-09 19:00: 0.0260
2024-10-09 21:00: 0.9735
2024-10-10 00:00: 0.0275
2024-10-10 02:00: 0.9725
2024-10-10 05:00: 0.0235
2024-10-10 07:00: 0.9765
2024-10-10 10:00: 0.0235
2024-10-10 12:00: 0.9765
2024-10-10 15:00: 0.0250
2024-10-10 17:00: 0.9770
2024-10-10 20:00: 0.0230
2024-10-10 22:00: 0.9755
2024-10-11 01:00: 0.0245
2024-10-11 03:00: 0.9775
2024-10-11 06:00: 0.0240
2024-10-11 08:00: 0.9775
2024-10-11 11:00: 0.0225
2024-10-11 13:00: 0.9780
2024-10-11 16:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-12 07:00: 0.0220
2024-10-12 09:00: 0.9785
2024-10-12 12:00: 0.0215
2024-10-12 14:00: 0.9785
2024-10-12 17:00: 0.0215
2024-10-12 19:00: 0.9775
2024-10-12 22:00: 0.0220
2024-10-13 00:00: 0.9775
2024-10-13 03:00: 0.0225
2024-10-13 05:00: 0.9775
2024-10-13 08:00: 0.0225
2024-10-13 10:00: 0.9775
2024-10-13 13:00: 0.0210
2024-10-13 15:00: 0.9790
2024-10-13 18:00: 0.0215
2024-10-13 20:00: 0.9785
2024-10-13 23:00: 0.0215
2024-10-14 01:00: 0.9785
2024-10-14 04:00: 0.0225
2024-10-14 06:00: 0.9775
2024-10-14 09:00: 0.0225
2024-10-14 11:00: 0.9780
2024-10-14 14:00: 0.0225
2024-10-14 16:00: 0.9780
2024-10-14 19:00: 0.0220
2024-10-14 21:00: 0.9775
2024-10-15 00:00: 0.0225
2024-10-15 02:00: 0.9775
2024-10-15 05:00: 0.0225
2024-10-15 07:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.01, Average price: 0.9670, Price range: 0.9670 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-15 22:00: 0.9755
2024-10-16 01:00: 0.0245
2024-10-16 03:00: 0.9755
2024-10-16 06:00: 0.0245
2024-10-16 08:00: 0.9760
2024-10-16 11:00: 0.0235
2024-10-16 13:00: 0.9755
2024-10-16 16:00: 0.0225
2024-10-16 18:00: 0.9760
2024-10-16 21:00: 0.0230
2024-10-16 23:00: 0.9765
2024-10-17 02:00: 0.0240
2024-10-17 04:00: 0.9755
2024-10-17 07:00: 0.0255
2024-10-17 09:00: 0.9740
2024-10-17 12:00: 0.0255
2024-10-17 14:00: 0.9740
2024-10-17 17:00: 0.0260
2024-10-17 19:00: 0.9740
2024-10-17 22:00: 0.0270
2024-10-18 00:00: 0.9765
2024-10-18 03:00: 0.0230
2024-10-18 05:00: 0.9770
2024-10-18 08:00: 0.0225
2024-10-18 10:00: 0.9770
2024-10-18 13:00: 0.0230
2024-10-18 15:00: 0.9775
2024-10-18 18:00: 0.0225
2024-10-18 20:00: 0.9775
2024-10-18 23:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 2.17, Sell volume: 2.16, Average price: 0.9758, Price range: 0.9650 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-19 14:00: 0.0220
2024-10-19 16:00: 0.9785
2024-10-19 19:00: 0.0220
2024-10-19 21:00: 0.9785
2024-10-20 00:00: 0.0215
2024-10-20 02:00: 0.9785
2024-10-20 05:00: 0.0215
2024-10-20 07:00: 0.9785
2024-10-20 10:00: 0.0220
2024-10-20 12:00: 0.9785
2024-10-20 15:00: 0.0220
2024-10-20 17:00: 0.9785
2024-10-20 20:00: 0.0215
2024-10-20 22:00: 0.9780
2024-10-21 01:00: 0.0220
2024-10-21 03:00: 0.9780
2024-10-21 06:00: 0.0220
2024-10-21 08:00: 0.9780
2024-10-21 11:00: 0.0220
2024-10-21 13:00: 0.9780
2024-10-21 16:00: 0.0220
2024-10-21 18:00: 0.9775
2024-10-21 21:00: 0.0200
2024-10-21 23:00: 0.9800
2024-10-22 02:00: 0.0200
2024-10-22 04:00: 0.9800
2024-10-22 07:00: 0.0200
2024-10-22 09:00: 0.9800
2024-10-22 12:00: 0.0200
2024-10-22 14:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.61, Sell volume: 1.87, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-23 05:00: 0.9805
2024-10-23 08:00: 0.0195
2024-10-23 10:00: 0.9805
2024-10-23 13:00: 0.0195
2024-10-23 15:00: 0.9805
2024-10-23 18:00: 0.0200
2024-10-23 20:00: 0.9800
2024-10-23 23:00: 0.0200
2024-10-24 01:00: 0.9800
2024-10-24 04:00: 0.0200
2024-10-24 06:00: 0.9800
2024-10-24 09:00: 0.0200
2024-10-24 11:00: 0.9800
2024-10-24 14:00: 0.0195
2024-10-24 16:00: 0.9805
2024-10-24 19:00: 0.0195
2024-10-24 21:00: 0.9805
2024-10-25 00:00: 0.0195
2024-10-25 02:00: 0.9805
2024-10-25 05:00: 0.0195
2024-10-25 07:00: 0.9805
2024-10-25 10:00: 0.0195
2024-10-25 12:00: 0.9805
2024-10-25 15:00: 0.0195
2024-10-25 17:00: 0.9805
2024-10-25 20:00: 0.0195
2024-10-25 22:00: 0.9805
2024-10-26 01:00: 0.0195
2024-10-26 03:00: 0.9805
2024-10-26 06:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 109.74, Sell volume: 2.59, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-26 21:00: 0.0195
2024-10-26 23:00: 0.9805
2024-10-27 02:00: 0.0195
2024-10-27 04:00: 0.9805
2024-10-27 07:00: 0.0195
2024-10-27 09:00: 0.9805
2024-10-27 12:00: 0.0195
2024-10-27 14:00: 0.9805
2024-10-27 17:00: 0.0195
2024-10-27 19:00: 0.9805
2024-10-27 22:00: 0.0195
2024-10-28 00:00: 0.9805
2024-10-28 03:00: 0.0195
2024-10-28 05:00: 0.9805
2024-10-28 08:00: 0.0195
2024-10-28 10:00: 0.9805
2024-10-28 13:00: 0.0195
2024-10-28 15:00: 0.9805
2024-10-28 18:00: 0.0195
2024-10-28 20:00: 0.9715
2024-10-28 23:00: 0.0295
2024-10-29 01:00: 0.9705
2024-10-29 04:00: 0.0295
2024-10-29 06:00: 0.9750
2024-10-29 09:00: 0.0270
2024-10-29 11:00: 0.9735
2024-10-29 14:00: 0.0290
2024-10-29 16:00: 0.9750
2024-10-29 19:00: 0.0245
2024-10-29 21:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 5987.09, Sell volume: 2.36, Average price: 0.7798, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-10-30 12:00: 0.9755
2024-10-30 15:00: 0.0245
2024-10-30 17:00: 0.9705
2024-10-30 20:00: 0.0300
2024-10-30 22:00: 0.9700
2024-10-31 01:00: 0.0300
2024-10-31 03:00: 0.9715
2024-10-31 06:00: 0.0300
2024-10-31 08:00: 0.9700
2024-10-31 11:00: 0.0325
2024-10-31 13:00: 0.9675
2024-10-31 16:00: 0.0345
2024-10-31 18:00: 0.9655
2024-10-31 21:00: 0.0350
2024-10-31 23:00: 0.9645
2024-11-01 02:00: 0.0345
2024-11-01 04:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 07:00: 0.0345
2024-11-01 09:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 12:00: 0.0350
2024-11-01 14:00: 0.9655
2024-11-01 17:00: 0.0345
2024-11-01 19:00: 0.9655
2024-11-01 22:00: 0.0340
2024-11-02 00:00: 0.9655
2024-11-02 03:00: 0.0345
2024-11-02 05:00: 0.9655
2024-11-02 08:00: 0.0340
2024-11-02 10:00: 0.9655
2024-11-02 13:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 14594.21, Sell volume: 121.82, Average price: 0.4209, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507546
Question: Will a Democrat win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 32710.5769
Price History:
2024-11-03 03:00: 0.0335
2024-11-03 05:00: 0.9665
2024-11-03 08:00: 0.0335
2024-11-03 10:00: 0.9655
2024-11-03 13:00: 0.0335
2024-11-03 15:00: 0.9670
2024-11-03 18:00: 0.0335
2024-11-03 20:00: 0.9670
2024-11-03 23:00: 0.0330
2024-11-04 01:00: 0.9665
2024-11-04 04:00: 0.0335
2024-11-04 06:00: 0.9665
2024-11-04 09:00: 0.0370
2024-11-04 11:00: 0.9630
2024-11-04 14:00: 0.0350
2024-11-04 16:00: 0.9655
2024-11-04 19:00: 0.0345
2024-11-04 21:00: 0.9665
2024-11-05 00:00: 0.0320
2024-11-05 02:00: 0.9680
2024-11-05 05:00: 0.0320
2024-11-05 07:00: 0.9680
2024-11-05 10:00: 0.0320
2024-11-05 12:00: 0.9660
2024-11-05 15:00: 0.0340
2024-11-05 18:00: 0.9690
2024-11-05 21:00: 0.1005
2024-11-05 23:00: 0.9595
2024-11-06 02:00: 0.0405
2024-11-06 04:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 5458.33, Sell volume: 2737.92, Average price: 0.7113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-09-20 11:00: 0.8800
2024-09-20 12:00: 0.0255
2024-09-20 14:00: 0.9745
2024-09-20 15:00: 0.0255
2024-09-20 17:00: 0.9745
2024-09-20 18:00: 0.0255
2024-09-20 20:00: 0.9745
2024-09-20 21:00: 0.0255
2024-09-20 23:00: 0.9740
2024-09-21 00:00: 0.0260
2024-09-21 02:00: 0.9740
2024-09-21 03:00: 0.0260
2024-09-21 05:00: 0.9740
2024-09-21 06:00: 0.0260
2024-09-21 08:00: 0.9740
2024-09-21 09:00: 0.0260
2024-09-21 11:00: 0.9735
2024-09-21 12:00: 0.0265
2024-09-21 14:00: 0.9735
2024-09-21 15:00: 0.0265
2024-09-21 17:00: 0.9735
2024-09-21 18:00: 0.0265
2024-09-21 20:00: 0.9735
2024-09-21 21:00: 0.0265
2024-09-21 23:00: 0.9735
2024-09-22 00:00: 0.0265
2024-09-22 02:00: 0.9735
2024-09-22 03:00: 0.0265
2024-09-22 05:00: 0.9735
2024-09-22 06:00: 0.0265
2024-09-22 08:00: 0.9735
2024-09-22 09:00: 0.0265
2024-09-22 11:00: 0.9735
2024-09-22 12:00: 0.0265
2024-09-22 14:00: 0.9735
2024-09-22 15:00: 0.0265
2024-09-22 17:00: 0.9735
2024-09-22 18:00: 0.0265
2024-09-22 20:00: 0.9700
2024-09-22 21:00: 0.0300
2024-09-22 23:00: 0.9700
2024-09-23 00:00: 0.0295
2024-09-23 02:00: 0.9705
2024-09-23 03:00: 0.0295
2024-09-23 05:00: 0.9705
2024-09-23 06:00: 0.0295
2024-09-23 08:00: 0.9705
2024-09-23 09:00: 0.0295
2024-09-23 11:00: 0.9700
2024-09-23 12:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1106.92, Sell volume: 713.75, Average price: 0.7447, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-09-24 02:00: 0.0300
2024-09-24 04:00: 0.9700
2024-09-24 05:00: 0.0300
2024-09-24 07:00: 0.9700
2024-09-24 08:00: 0.0300
2024-09-24 10:00: 0.9700
2024-09-24 11:00: 0.0300
2024-09-24 13:00: 0.9700
2024-09-24 14:00: 0.0300
2024-09-24 16:00: 0.9700
2024-09-24 17:00: 0.0300
2024-09-24 19:00: 0.9700
2024-09-24 20:00: 0.0300
2024-09-24 22:00: 0.9700
2024-09-24 23:00: 0.0310
2024-09-25 01:00: 0.9695
2024-09-25 02:00: 0.0305
2024-09-25 04:00: 0.9695
2024-09-25 05:00: 0.0305
2024-09-25 07:00: 0.9695
2024-09-25 08:00: 0.0305
2024-09-25 10:00: 0.9695
2024-09-25 11:00: 0.0305
2024-09-25 13:00: 0.9695
2024-09-25 14:00: 0.0305
2024-09-25 16:00: 0.9695
2024-09-25 17:00: 0.0305
2024-09-25 19:00: 0.9695
2024-09-25 20:00: 0.0305
2024-09-25 22:00: 0.9615
2024-09-25 23:00: 0.0385
2024-09-26 01:00: 0.9615
2024-09-26 02:00: 0.0385
2024-09-26 04:00: 0.9615
2024-09-26 05:00: 0.0385
2024-09-26 07:00: 0.9615
2024-09-26 08:00: 0.0385
2024-09-26 10:00: 0.9615
2024-09-26 11:00: 0.0385
2024-09-26 13:00: 0.9690
2024-09-26 14:00: 0.0310
2024-09-26 16:00: 0.9690
2024-09-26 17:00: 0.0310
2024-09-26 19:00: 0.9690
2024-09-26 20:00: 0.0310
2024-09-26 22:00: 0.9690
2024-09-26 23:00: 0.0310
2024-09-27 01:00: 0.9690
2024-09-27 02:00: 0.0310
2024-09-27 04:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 32.46, Sell volume: 31.24, Average price: 0.8130, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.9790

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-09-27 18:00: 0.9685
2024-09-27 19:00: 0.0310
2024-09-27 21:00: 0.9680
2024-09-27 22:00: 0.0325
2024-09-28 00:00: 0.9670
2024-09-28 01:00: 0.0330
2024-09-28 03:00: 0.9675
2024-09-28 04:00: 0.0325
2024-09-28 06:00: 0.9675
2024-09-28 07:00: 0.0325
2024-09-28 09:00: 0.9675
2024-09-28 10:00: 0.0315
2024-09-28 12:00: 0.9690
2024-09-28 13:00: 0.0325
2024-09-28 15:00: 0.9695
2024-09-28 16:00: 0.0305
2024-09-28 18:00: 0.9695
2024-09-28 19:00: 0.0295
2024-09-28 21:00: 0.9705
2024-09-28 22:00: 0.0295
2024-09-29 00:00: 0.9700
2024-09-29 01:00: 0.0300
2024-09-29 03:00: 0.9700
2024-09-29 04:00: 0.0305
2024-09-29 06:00: 0.9700
2024-09-29 07:00: 0.0305
2024-09-29 09:00: 0.9705
2024-09-29 10:00: 0.0295
2024-09-29 12:00: 0.9705
2024-09-29 13:00: 0.0295
2024-09-29 15:00: 0.9700
2024-09-29 16:00: 0.0300
2024-09-29 18:00: 0.9700
2024-09-29 19:00: 0.0300
2024-09-29 21:00: 0.9700
2024-09-29 22:00: 0.0295
2024-09-30 00:00: 0.9705
2024-09-30 01:00: 0.0290
2024-09-30 03:00: 0.9715
2024-09-30 04:00: 0.0290
2024-09-30 06:00: 0.9705
2024-09-30 07:00: 0.0290
2024-09-30 09:00: 0.9710
2024-09-30 10:00: 0.0290
2024-09-30 12:00: 0.9710
2024-09-30 13:00: 0.0285
2024-09-30 15:00: 0.9705
2024-09-30 16:00: 0.0295
2024-09-30 18:00: 0.9705
2024-09-30 19:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 5.45, Sell volume: 10.61, Average price: 0.9687, Price range: 0.9620 - 0.9760

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-01 09:00: 0.0295
2024-10-01 11:00: 0.9705
2024-10-01 12:00: 0.0295
2024-10-01 14:00: 0.9705
2024-10-01 15:00: 0.0295
2024-10-01 17:00: 0.9710
2024-10-01 18:00: 0.0295
2024-10-01 20:00: 0.9710
2024-10-01 21:00: 0.0290
2024-10-01 23:00: 0.9705
2024-10-02 00:00: 0.0295
2024-10-02 02:00: 0.9705
2024-10-02 03:00: 0.0295
2024-10-02 05:00: 0.9705
2024-10-02 06:00: 0.0295
2024-10-02 08:00: 0.9705
2024-10-02 09:00: 0.0295
2024-10-02 10:00: 0.9705
2024-10-02 11:00: 0.0295
2024-10-02 13:00: 0.9705
2024-10-02 14:00: 0.0295
2024-10-02 16:00: 0.9705
2024-10-02 17:00: 0.0295
2024-10-02 19:00: 0.9700
2024-10-02 20:00: 0.0300
2024-10-02 22:00: 0.9700
2024-10-02 23:00: 0.0300
2024-10-03 01:00: 0.9700
2024-10-03 02:00: 0.0300
2024-10-03 04:00: 0.9700
2024-10-03 05:00: 0.0300
2024-10-03 07:00: 0.9700
2024-10-03 08:00: 0.0300
2024-10-03 10:00: 0.9700
2024-10-03 11:00: 0.0300
2024-10-03 13:00: 0.9700
2024-10-03 14:00: 0.0305
2024-10-03 16:00: 0.9690
2024-10-03 17:00: 0.0310
2024-10-03 19:00: 0.9705
2024-10-03 20:00: 0.0305
2024-10-03 22:00: 0.9695
2024-10-03 23:00: 0.0305
2024-10-04 01:00: 0.9695
2024-10-04 02:00: 0.0305
2024-10-04 04:00: 0.9695
2024-10-04 05:00: 0.0305
2024-10-04 07:00: 0.9695
2024-10-04 08:00: 0.0305
2024-10-04 10:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 0.15, Sell volume: 0.98, Average price: 0.8090, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9750

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-05 00:00: 0.9695
2024-10-05 01:00: 0.0305
2024-10-05 03:00: 0.9695
2024-10-05 04:00: 0.0305
2024-10-05 06:00: 0.9695
2024-10-05 07:00: 0.0305
2024-10-05 09:00: 0.9695
2024-10-05 10:00: 0.0305
2024-10-05 12:00: 0.9695
2024-10-05 13:00: 0.0305
2024-10-05 15:00: 0.9695
2024-10-05 16:00: 0.0305
2024-10-05 18:00: 0.9695
2024-10-05 19:00: 0.0305
2024-10-05 21:00: 0.9695
2024-10-05 22:00: 0.0305
2024-10-06 00:00: 0.9695
2024-10-06 01:00: 0.0305
2024-10-06 03:00: 0.9695
2024-10-06 04:00: 0.0305
2024-10-06 06:00: 0.9695
2024-10-06 07:00: 0.0305
2024-10-06 09:00: 0.9695
2024-10-06 10:00: 0.0305
2024-10-06 12:00: 0.9695
2024-10-06 13:00: 0.0305
2024-10-06 15:00: 0.9695
2024-10-06 16:00: 0.0305
2024-10-06 18:00: 0.9700
2024-10-06 19:00: 0.0320
2024-10-06 21:00: 0.9680
2024-10-06 22:00: 0.0320
2024-10-07 00:00: 0.9670
2024-10-07 01:00: 0.0330
2024-10-07 03:00: 0.9695
2024-10-07 04:00: 0.0325
2024-10-07 06:00: 0.9705
2024-10-07 07:00: 0.0295
2024-10-07 09:00: 0.9695
2024-10-07 10:00: 0.0305
2024-10-07 12:00: 0.9695
2024-10-07 13:00: 0.0305
2024-10-07 15:00: 0.9695
2024-10-07 16:00: 0.0305
2024-10-07 18:00: 0.9695
2024-10-07 19:00: 0.0305
2024-10-07 21:00: 0.9710
2024-10-07 22:00: 0.0290
2024-10-08 00:00: 0.9695
2024-10-08 01:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2.60, Sell volume: 7.75, Average price: 0.7315, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9730

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-08 15:00: 0.0295
2024-10-08 17:00: 0.9705
2024-10-08 18:00: 0.0295
2024-10-08 20:00: 0.9700
2024-10-08 21:00: 0.0300
2024-10-08 23:00: 0.9700
2024-10-09 00:00: 0.0300
2024-10-09 02:00: 0.9700
2024-10-09 03:00: 0.0300
2024-10-09 05:00: 0.9700
2024-10-09 06:00: 0.0300
2024-10-09 08:00: 0.9700
2024-10-09 09:00: 0.0300
2024-10-09 11:00: 0.9700
2024-10-09 12:00: 0.0300
2024-10-09 14:00: 0.9700
2024-10-09 15:00: 0.0300
2024-10-09 17:00: 0.9700
2024-10-09 18:00: 0.0300
2024-10-09 20:00: 0.9700
2024-10-09 21:00: 0.0300
2024-10-09 23:00: 0.9700
2024-10-10 00:00: 0.0300
2024-10-10 02:00: 0.9700
2024-10-10 03:00: 0.0300
2024-10-10 05:00: 0.9700
2024-10-10 06:00: 0.0305
2024-10-10 08:00: 0.9695
2024-10-10 09:00: 0.0305
2024-10-10 11:00: 0.9695
2024-10-10 12:00: 0.0305
2024-10-10 14:00: 0.9695
2024-10-10 15:00: 0.0305
2024-10-10 17:00: 0.9695
2024-10-10 18:00: 0.0305
2024-10-10 20:00: 0.9695
2024-10-10 21:00: 0.0305
2024-10-10 23:00: 0.9695
2024-10-11 00:00: 0.0305
2024-10-11 02:00: 0.9705
2024-10-11 03:00: 0.0295
2024-10-11 05:00: 0.9705
2024-10-11 06:00: 0.0295
2024-10-11 08:00: 0.9705
2024-10-11 09:00: 0.0295
2024-10-11 11:00: 0.9715
2024-10-11 12:00: 0.0280
2024-10-11 14:00: 0.9720
2024-10-11 15:00: 0.0280
2024-10-11 17:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 29.14, Average price: 0.0220, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.0220

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-12 07:00: 0.9715
2024-10-12 08:00: 0.0285
2024-10-12 10:00: 0.9715
2024-10-12 11:00: 0.0285
2024-10-12 13:00: 0.9715
2024-10-12 14:00: 0.0285
2024-10-12 16:00: 0.9715
2024-10-12 17:00: 0.0285
2024-10-12 19:00: 0.9715
2024-10-12 20:00: 0.0285
2024-10-12 22:00: 0.9715
2024-10-12 23:00: 0.0280
2024-10-13 01:00: 0.9720
2024-10-13 02:00: 0.0280
2024-10-13 04:00: 0.9720
2024-10-13 05:00: 0.0280
2024-10-13 07:00: 0.9720
2024-10-13 08:00: 0.0280
2024-10-13 10:00: 0.9720
2024-10-13 11:00: 0.0280
2024-10-13 13:00: 0.9720
2024-10-13 14:00: 0.0280
2024-10-13 16:00: 0.9720
2024-10-13 17:00: 0.0280
2024-10-13 19:00: 0.9720
2024-10-13 20:00: 0.0280
2024-10-13 22:00: 0.9720
2024-10-13 23:00: 0.0280
2024-10-14 01:00: 0.9720
2024-10-14 02:00: 0.0280
2024-10-14 04:00: 0.9720
2024-10-14 05:00: 0.0285
2024-10-14 07:00: 0.9715
2024-10-14 08:00: 0.0285
2024-10-14 10:00: 0.9715
2024-10-14 11:00: 0.0285
2024-10-14 13:00: 0.9715
2024-10-14 14:00: 0.0285
2024-10-14 16:00: 0.9715
2024-10-14 17:00: 0.0285
2024-10-14 19:00: 0.9720
2024-10-14 20:00: 0.0280
2024-10-14 22:00: 0.9720
2024-10-14 23:00: 0.0280
2024-10-15 01:00: 0.9720
2024-10-15 02:00: 0.0280
2024-10-15 04:00: 0.9720
2024-10-15 05:00: 0.0280
2024-10-15 07:00: 0.9715
2024-10-15 08:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 130, Buy volume: 16465.92, Sell volume: 1555.90, Average price: 0.7909, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-15 22:00: 0.0285
2024-10-16 00:00: 0.9715
2024-10-16 01:00: 0.0285
2024-10-16 03:00: 0.9715
2024-10-16 04:00: 0.0285
2024-10-16 06:00: 0.9715
2024-10-16 07:00: 0.0285
2024-10-16 09:00: 0.9715
2024-10-16 10:00: 0.0285
2024-10-16 12:00: 0.9715
2024-10-16 13:00: 0.0285
2024-10-16 15:00: 0.9715
2024-10-16 16:00: 0.0285
2024-10-16 18:00: 0.9705
2024-10-16 19:00: 0.0295
2024-10-16 21:00: 0.9705
2024-10-16 22:00: 0.0295
2024-10-17 00:00: 0.9705
2024-10-17 01:00: 0.0295
2024-10-17 03:00: 0.9705
2024-10-17 04:00: 0.0295
2024-10-17 06:00: 0.9705
2024-10-17 07:00: 0.0295
2024-10-17 09:00: 0.9705
2024-10-17 10:00: 0.0295
2024-10-17 12:00: 0.9705
2024-10-17 13:00: 0.0295
2024-10-17 15:00: 0.9705
2024-10-17 16:00: 0.0295
2024-10-17 18:00: 0.9705
2024-10-17 19:00: 0.0295
2024-10-17 21:00: 0.9710
2024-10-17 22:00: 0.0295
2024-10-18 00:00: 0.9710
2024-10-18 01:00: 0.0295
2024-10-18 03:00: 0.9710
2024-10-18 04:00: 0.0290
2024-10-18 06:00: 0.9710
2024-10-18 07:00: 0.0290
2024-10-18 09:00: 0.9710
2024-10-18 10:00: 0.0285
2024-10-18 12:00: 0.9710
2024-10-18 13:00: 0.0285
2024-10-18 15:00: 0.9715
2024-10-18 16:00: 0.0285
2024-10-18 18:00: 0.9715
2024-10-18 19:00: 0.0285
2024-10-18 21:00: 0.9710
2024-10-18 22:00: 0.0285
2024-10-19 00:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1.87, Sell volume: 1.86, Average price: 0.9710, Price range: 0.9630 - 0.9780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-19 14:00: 0.9730
2024-10-19 15:00: 0.0265
2024-10-19 17:00: 0.9735
2024-10-19 18:00: 0.0265
2024-10-19 20:00: 0.9735
2024-10-19 21:00: 0.0265
2024-10-19 23:00: 0.9735
2024-10-20 00:00: 0.0265
2024-10-20 02:00: 0.9735
2024-10-20 03:00: 0.0265
2024-10-20 05:00: 0.9735
2024-10-20 06:00: 0.0265
2024-10-20 08:00: 0.9735
2024-10-20 09:00: 0.0265
2024-10-20 11:00: 0.9735
2024-10-20 12:00: 0.0265
2024-10-20 14:00: 0.9735
2024-10-20 15:00: 0.0265
2024-10-20 17:00: 0.9735
2024-10-20 18:00: 0.0265
2024-10-20 20:00: 0.9735
2024-10-20 21:00: 0.0270
2024-10-20 23:00: 0.9730
2024-10-21 00:00: 0.0270
2024-10-21 02:00: 0.9730
2024-10-21 03:00: 0.0270
2024-10-21 05:00: 0.9730
2024-10-21 06:00: 0.0270
2024-10-21 08:00: 0.9730
2024-10-21 09:00: 0.0270
2024-10-21 11:00: 0.9730
2024-10-21 12:00: 0.0270
2024-10-21 14:00: 0.9730
2024-10-21 15:00: 0.0270
2024-10-21 17:00: 0.9730
2024-10-21 18:00: 0.0270
2024-10-21 20:00: 0.9730
2024-10-21 21:00: 0.0270
2024-10-21 23:00: 0.9730
2024-10-22 00:00: 0.0270
2024-10-22 02:00: 0.9730
2024-10-22 03:00: 0.0270
2024-10-22 05:00: 0.9730
2024-10-22 06:00: 0.0270
2024-10-22 08:00: 0.9730
2024-10-22 09:00: 0.0270
2024-10-22 11:00: 0.9730
2024-10-22 12:00: 0.0270
2024-10-22 14:00: 0.9730
2024-10-22 15:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1.77, Sell volume: 2.54, Average price: 0.9726, Price range: 0.9680 - 0.9780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-23 05:00: 0.0285
2024-10-23 07:00: 0.9715
2024-10-23 08:00: 0.0285
2024-10-23 10:00: 0.9710
2024-10-23 11:00: 0.0290
2024-10-23 13:00: 0.9710
2024-10-23 14:00: 0.0290
2024-10-23 16:00: 0.9710
2024-10-23 17:00: 0.0290
2024-10-23 19:00: 0.9715
2024-10-23 20:00: 0.0285
2024-10-23 22:00: 0.9715
2024-10-23 23:00: 0.0285
2024-10-24 01:00: 0.9715
2024-10-24 02:00: 0.0285
2024-10-24 04:00: 0.9715
2024-10-24 05:00: 0.0285
2024-10-24 07:00: 0.9715
2024-10-24 08:00: 0.0285
2024-10-24 10:00: 0.9710
2024-10-24 11:00: 0.0290
2024-10-24 13:00: 0.9710
2024-10-24 14:00: 0.0290
2024-10-24 16:00: 0.9715
2024-10-24 17:00: 0.0285
2024-10-24 19:00: 0.9715
2024-10-24 20:00: 0.0285
2024-10-24 22:00: 0.9715
2024-10-24 23:00: 0.0285
2024-10-25 01:00: 0.9715
2024-10-25 02:00: 0.0285
2024-10-25 04:00: 0.9715
2024-10-25 05:00: 0.0285
2024-10-25 07:00: 0.9715
2024-10-25 08:00: 0.0285
2024-10-25 10:00: 0.9715
2024-10-25 11:00: 0.0285
2024-10-25 13:00: 0.9715
2024-10-25 14:00: 0.0285
2024-10-25 16:00: 0.9715
2024-10-25 17:00: 0.0285
2024-10-25 19:00: 0.9715
2024-10-25 20:00: 0.0285
2024-10-25 22:00: 0.9715
2024-10-25 23:00: 0.0285
2024-10-26 01:00: 0.9715
2024-10-26 02:00: 0.0285
2024-10-26 04:00: 0.9715
2024-10-26 05:00: 0.0285
2024-10-26 07:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 10.41, Sell volume: 2.93, Average price: 0.9725, Price range: 0.9640 - 0.9780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-26 21:00: 0.9715
2024-10-26 22:00: 0.0285
2024-10-27 00:00: 0.9715
2024-10-27 01:00: 0.0285
2024-10-27 03:00: 0.9715
2024-10-27 04:00: 0.0285
2024-10-27 06:00: 0.9715
2024-10-27 07:00: 0.0285
2024-10-27 09:00: 0.9715
2024-10-27 10:00: 0.0285
2024-10-27 12:00: 0.9715
2024-10-27 13:00: 0.0285
2024-10-27 15:00: 0.9715
2024-10-27 16:00: 0.0285
2024-10-27 18:00: 0.9715
2024-10-27 19:00: 0.0285
2024-10-27 21:00: 0.9715
2024-10-27 22:00: 0.0285
2024-10-28 00:00: 0.9715
2024-10-28 01:00: 0.0285
2024-10-28 03:00: 0.9715
2024-10-28 04:00: 0.0285
2024-10-28 06:00: 0.9715
2024-10-28 07:00: 0.0285
2024-10-28 09:00: 0.9715
2024-10-28 10:00: 0.0285
2024-10-28 12:00: 0.9715
2024-10-28 13:00: 0.0285
2024-10-28 15:00: 0.9715
2024-10-28 16:00: 0.0285
2024-10-28 18:00: 0.9715
2024-10-28 19:00: 0.0285
2024-10-28 21:00: 0.9710
2024-10-28 22:00: 0.0290
2024-10-29 00:00: 0.9710
2024-10-29 01:00: 0.0280
2024-10-29 03:00: 0.9720
2024-10-29 04:00: 0.0280
2024-10-29 06:00: 0.9710
2024-10-29 07:00: 0.0290
2024-10-29 09:00: 0.9705
2024-10-29 10:00: 0.0300
2024-10-29 12:00: 0.9695
2024-10-29 13:00: 0.0310
2024-10-29 15:00: 0.9670
2024-10-29 16:00: 0.0325
2024-10-29 18:00: 0.9670
2024-10-29 19:00: 0.0325
2024-10-29 21:00: 0.9675
2024-10-29 22:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1515.95, Sell volume: 688.52, Average price: 0.6906, Price range: 0.0272 - 0.9780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-30 12:00: 0.0325
2024-10-30 14:00: 0.9675
2024-10-30 15:00: 0.0325
2024-10-30 17:00: 0.9675
2024-10-30 18:00: 0.0325
2024-10-30 20:00: 0.9635
2024-10-30 21:00: 0.0365
2024-10-30 23:00: 0.9665
2024-10-31 00:00: 0.0325
2024-10-31 02:00: 0.9680
2024-10-31 03:00: 0.0305
2024-10-31 05:00: 0.9655
2024-10-31 06:00: 0.0330
2024-10-31 08:00: 0.9670
2024-10-31 09:00: 0.0330
2024-10-31 11:00: 0.9670
2024-10-31 12:00: 0.0330
2024-10-31 14:00: 0.9665
2024-10-31 15:00: 0.0355
2024-10-31 17:00: 0.9650
2024-10-31 18:00: 0.0350
2024-10-31 20:00: 0.9650
2024-10-31 21:00: 0.0350
2024-10-31 23:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 00:00: 0.0350
2024-11-01 02:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 03:00: 0.0350
2024-11-01 05:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 06:00: 0.0350
2024-11-01 08:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 09:00: 0.0350
2024-11-01 11:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 12:00: 0.0350
2024-11-01 14:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 15:00: 0.0350
2024-11-01 17:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 18:00: 0.0350
2024-11-01 20:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 21:00: 0.0350
2024-11-01 23:00: 0.9675
2024-11-02 00:00: 0.0345
2024-11-02 02:00: 0.9655
2024-11-02 03:00: 0.0345
2024-11-02 05:00: 0.9655
2024-11-02 06:00: 0.0345
2024-11-02 08:00: 0.9655
2024-11-02 09:00: 0.0345
2024-11-02 11:00: 0.9655
2024-11-02 12:00: 0.0345
2024-11-02 14:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 6029.90, Sell volume: 66.48, Average price: 0.5003, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9720

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-11-03 03:00: 0.9660
2024-11-03 04:00: 0.0340
2024-11-03 06:00: 0.9660
2024-11-03 07:00: 0.0340
2024-11-03 09:00: 0.9660
2024-11-03 10:00: 0.0340
2024-11-03 12:00: 0.9660
2024-11-03 13:00: 0.0340
2024-11-03 15:00: 0.9660
2024-11-03 16:00: 0.0340
2024-11-03 18:00: 0.9660
2024-11-03 19:00: 0.0340
2024-11-03 21:00: 0.9660
2024-11-03 22:00: 0.0340
2024-11-04 00:00: 0.9640
2024-11-04 01:00: 0.0360
2024-11-04 03:00: 0.9640
2024-11-04 04:00: 0.0360
2024-11-04 06:00: 0.9640
2024-11-04 07:00: 0.0395
2024-11-04 09:00: 0.9605
2024-11-04 10:00: 0.0395
2024-11-04 12:00: 0.9640
2024-11-04 13:00: 0.0360
2024-11-04 15:00: 0.9640
2024-11-04 16:00: 0.0360
2024-11-04 18:00: 0.9640
2024-11-04 19:00: 0.0360
2024-11-04 21:00: 0.9640
2024-11-04 22:00: 0.0360
2024-11-05 00:00: 0.9640
2024-11-05 01:00: 0.0360
2024-11-05 03:00: 0.9640
2024-11-05 04:00: 0.0360
2024-11-05 06:00: 0.9640
2024-11-05 07:00: 0.0360
2024-11-05 09:00: 0.9640
2024-11-05 10:00: 0.0360
2024-11-05 12:00: 0.9630
2024-11-05 13:00: 0.0360
2024-11-05 15:00: 0.9630
2024-11-05 16:00: 0.0360
2024-11-05 19:00: 0.9640
2024-11-05 20:00: 0.0335
2024-11-05 22:00: 0.9550
2024-11-05 23:00: 0.0490
2024-11-06 01:00: 0.9530
2024-11-06 02:00: 0.0465
2024-11-06 04:00: 0.9530
2024-11-06 05:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 7758.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-09-20 11:00: 0.8800
2024-09-20 13:00: 0.0255
2024-09-20 16:00: 0.9745
2024-09-20 18:00: 0.0255
2024-09-20 21:00: 0.9745
2024-09-20 23:00: 0.0260
2024-09-21 02:00: 0.9740
2024-09-21 04:00: 0.0260
2024-09-21 07:00: 0.9740
2024-09-21 09:00: 0.0260
2024-09-21 12:00: 0.9735
2024-09-21 14:00: 0.0265
2024-09-21 17:00: 0.9735
2024-09-21 19:00: 0.0265
2024-09-21 22:00: 0.9735
2024-09-22 00:00: 0.0265
2024-09-22 03:00: 0.9735
2024-09-22 05:00: 0.0265
2024-09-22 08:00: 0.9735
2024-09-22 10:00: 0.0265
2024-09-22 13:00: 0.9735
2024-09-22 15:00: 0.0265
2024-09-22 18:00: 0.9735
2024-09-22 20:00: 0.0300
2024-09-22 23:00: 0.9700
2024-09-23 01:00: 0.0295
2024-09-23 04:00: 0.9705
2024-09-23 06:00: 0.0295
2024-09-23 09:00: 0.9705
2024-09-23 11:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1106.92, Sell volume: 713.75, Average price: 0.7447, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-09-24 02:00: 0.0300
2024-09-24 05:00: 0.9700
2024-09-24 07:00: 0.0300
2024-09-24 10:00: 0.9700
2024-09-24 12:00: 0.0300
2024-09-24 15:00: 0.9700
2024-09-24 17:00: 0.0300
2024-09-24 20:00: 0.9700
2024-09-24 22:00: 0.0300
2024-09-25 01:00: 0.9695
2024-09-25 03:00: 0.0305
2024-09-25 06:00: 0.9695
2024-09-25 08:00: 0.0305
2024-09-25 11:00: 0.9695
2024-09-25 13:00: 0.0305
2024-09-25 16:00: 0.9695
2024-09-25 18:00: 0.0305
2024-09-25 21:00: 0.9615
2024-09-25 23:00: 0.0385
2024-09-26 02:00: 0.9615
2024-09-26 04:00: 0.0385
2024-09-26 07:00: 0.9615
2024-09-26 09:00: 0.0385
2024-09-26 12:00: 0.9615
2024-09-26 14:00: 0.0310
2024-09-26 17:00: 0.9690
2024-09-26 19:00: 0.0310
2024-09-26 22:00: 0.9690
2024-09-27 00:00: 0.0310
2024-09-27 03:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 32.46, Sell volume: 31.24, Average price: 0.8130, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-09-27 18:00: 0.9685
2024-09-27 20:00: 0.0325
2024-09-27 23:00: 0.9670
2024-09-28 01:00: 0.0330
2024-09-28 04:00: 0.9675
2024-09-28 06:00: 0.0325
2024-09-28 09:00: 0.9675
2024-09-28 11:00: 0.0305
2024-09-28 14:00: 0.9695
2024-09-28 16:00: 0.0305
2024-09-28 19:00: 0.9705
2024-09-28 21:00: 0.0295
2024-09-29 00:00: 0.9700
2024-09-29 02:00: 0.0300
2024-09-29 05:00: 0.9700
2024-09-29 07:00: 0.0305
2024-09-29 10:00: 0.9705
2024-09-29 12:00: 0.0295
2024-09-29 15:00: 0.9700
2024-09-29 17:00: 0.0300
2024-09-29 20:00: 0.9700
2024-09-29 22:00: 0.0295
2024-09-30 01:00: 0.9710
2024-09-30 03:00: 0.0285
2024-09-30 06:00: 0.9705
2024-09-30 08:00: 0.0290
2024-09-30 11:00: 0.9710
2024-09-30 13:00: 0.0285
2024-09-30 16:00: 0.9705
2024-09-30 18:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 5.45, Sell volume: 10.61, Average price: 0.9687, Price range: 0.9620 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-01 09:00: 0.0295
2024-10-01 12:00: 0.9705
2024-10-01 14:00: 0.0295
2024-10-01 17:00: 0.9710
2024-10-01 19:00: 0.0290
2024-10-01 22:00: 0.9710
2024-10-02 00:00: 0.0295
2024-10-02 03:00: 0.9705
2024-10-02 05:00: 0.0295
2024-10-02 08:00: 0.9705
2024-10-02 10:00: 0.0295
2024-10-02 12:00: 0.9705
2024-10-02 14:00: 0.0295
2024-10-02 17:00: 0.9705
2024-10-02 19:00: 0.0300
2024-10-02 22:00: 0.9700
2024-10-03 00:00: 0.0305
2024-10-03 03:00: 0.9700
2024-10-03 05:00: 0.0300
2024-10-03 08:00: 0.9700
2024-10-03 10:00: 0.0300
2024-10-03 13:00: 0.9700
2024-10-03 15:00: 0.0305
2024-10-03 18:00: 0.9690
2024-10-03 20:00: 0.0305
2024-10-03 23:00: 0.9695
2024-10-04 01:00: 0.0305
2024-10-04 04:00: 0.9695
2024-10-04 06:00: 0.0305
2024-10-04 09:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 0.15, Sell volume: 0.98, Average price: 0.8090, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-05 00:00: 0.9695
2024-10-05 02:00: 0.0305
2024-10-05 05:00: 0.9695
2024-10-05 07:00: 0.0305
2024-10-05 10:00: 0.9695
2024-10-05 12:00: 0.0305
2024-10-05 15:00: 0.9695
2024-10-05 17:00: 0.0305
2024-10-05 20:00: 0.9695
2024-10-05 22:00: 0.0305
2024-10-06 01:00: 0.9695
2024-10-06 03:00: 0.0305
2024-10-06 06:00: 0.9695
2024-10-06 08:00: 0.0305
2024-10-06 11:00: 0.9695
2024-10-06 13:00: 0.0305
2024-10-06 16:00: 0.9695
2024-10-06 18:00: 0.0300
2024-10-06 21:00: 0.9680
2024-10-06 23:00: 0.0330
2024-10-07 02:00: 0.9670
2024-10-07 04:00: 0.0325
2024-10-07 07:00: 0.9705
2024-10-07 09:00: 0.0305
2024-10-07 12:00: 0.9695
2024-10-07 14:00: 0.0305
2024-10-07 17:00: 0.9695
2024-10-07 19:00: 0.0305
2024-10-07 22:00: 0.9710
2024-10-08 00:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2.60, Sell volume: 7.75, Average price: 0.7315, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-08 15:00: 0.0295
2024-10-08 18:00: 0.9705
2024-10-08 20:00: 0.0300
2024-10-08 23:00: 0.9700
2024-10-09 01:00: 0.0300
2024-10-09 04:00: 0.9700
2024-10-09 06:00: 0.0300
2024-10-09 09:00: 0.9700
2024-10-09 11:00: 0.0300
2024-10-09 14:00: 0.9700
2024-10-09 16:00: 0.0300
2024-10-09 19:00: 0.9700
2024-10-09 21:00: 0.0300
2024-10-10 00:00: 0.9700
2024-10-10 02:00: 0.0300
2024-10-10 05:00: 0.9700
2024-10-10 07:00: 0.0305
2024-10-10 10:00: 0.9695
2024-10-10 12:00: 0.0305
2024-10-10 15:00: 0.9695
2024-10-10 17:00: 0.0305
2024-10-10 20:00: 0.9695
2024-10-10 22:00: 0.0305
2024-10-11 01:00: 0.9705
2024-10-11 03:00: 0.0295
2024-10-11 06:00: 0.9705
2024-10-11 08:00: 0.0295
2024-10-11 11:00: 0.9715
2024-10-11 13:00: 0.0280
2024-10-11 16:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 29.14, Average price: 0.0220, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.0220
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-12 07:00: 0.9715
2024-10-12 09:00: 0.0285
2024-10-12 12:00: 0.9715
2024-10-12 14:00: 0.0285
2024-10-12 17:00: 0.9715
2024-10-12 19:00: 0.0285
2024-10-12 22:00: 0.9715
2024-10-13 00:00: 0.0280
2024-10-13 03:00: 0.9720
2024-10-13 05:00: 0.0280
2024-10-13 08:00: 0.9720
2024-10-13 10:00: 0.0280
2024-10-13 13:00: 0.9720
2024-10-13 15:00: 0.0280
2024-10-13 18:00: 0.9720
2024-10-13 20:00: 0.0280
2024-10-13 23:00: 0.9720
2024-10-14 01:00: 0.0280
2024-10-14 04:00: 0.9720
2024-10-14 06:00: 0.0285
2024-10-14 09:00: 0.9715
2024-10-14 11:00: 0.0285
2024-10-14 14:00: 0.9715
2024-10-14 16:00: 0.0285
2024-10-14 19:00: 0.9720
2024-10-14 21:00: 0.0280
2024-10-15 00:00: 0.9720
2024-10-15 02:00: 0.0280
2024-10-15 05:00: 0.9720
2024-10-15 07:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 130, Buy volume: 16465.92, Sell volume: 1555.90, Average price: 0.7909, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-15 22:00: 0.0285
2024-10-16 01:00: 0.9715
2024-10-16 03:00: 0.0285
2024-10-16 06:00: 0.9715
2024-10-16 08:00: 0.0285
2024-10-16 11:00: 0.9715
2024-10-16 13:00: 0.0285
2024-10-16 16:00: 0.9715
2024-10-16 18:00: 0.0295
2024-10-16 21:00: 0.9705
2024-10-16 23:00: 0.0295
2024-10-17 02:00: 0.9705
2024-10-17 04:00: 0.0295
2024-10-17 07:00: 0.9705
2024-10-17 09:00: 0.0295
2024-10-17 12:00: 0.9705
2024-10-17 14:00: 0.0295
2024-10-17 17:00: 0.9705
2024-10-17 19:00: 0.0295
2024-10-17 22:00: 0.9705
2024-10-18 00:00: 0.0290
2024-10-18 03:00: 0.9710
2024-10-18 05:00: 0.0290
2024-10-18 08:00: 0.9710
2024-10-18 10:00: 0.0285
2024-10-18 13:00: 0.9715
2024-10-18 15:00: 0.0285
2024-10-18 18:00: 0.9715
2024-10-18 20:00: 0.0285
2024-10-18 23:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1.87, Sell volume: 1.86, Average price: 0.9710, Price range: 0.9630 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-19 14:00: 0.9730
2024-10-19 16:00: 0.0265
2024-10-19 19:00: 0.9735
2024-10-19 21:00: 0.0265
2024-10-20 00:00: 0.9735
2024-10-20 02:00: 0.0265
2024-10-20 05:00: 0.9735
2024-10-20 07:00: 0.0265
2024-10-20 10:00: 0.9735
2024-10-20 12:00: 0.0265
2024-10-20 15:00: 0.9735
2024-10-20 17:00: 0.0265
2024-10-20 20:00: 0.9735
2024-10-20 22:00: 0.0270
2024-10-21 01:00: 0.9730
2024-10-21 03:00: 0.0270
2024-10-21 06:00: 0.9730
2024-10-21 08:00: 0.0270
2024-10-21 11:00: 0.9730
2024-10-21 13:00: 0.0270
2024-10-21 16:00: 0.9730
2024-10-21 18:00: 0.0270
2024-10-21 21:00: 0.9730
2024-10-21 23:00: 0.0270
2024-10-22 02:00: 0.9730
2024-10-22 04:00: 0.0270
2024-10-22 07:00: 0.9730
2024-10-22 09:00: 0.0270
2024-10-22 12:00: 0.9730
2024-10-22 14:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1.77, Sell volume: 2.54, Average price: 0.9726, Price range: 0.9680 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-23 05:00: 0.0285
2024-10-23 08:00: 0.9715
2024-10-23 10:00: 0.0290
2024-10-23 13:00: 0.9710
2024-10-23 15:00: 0.0290
2024-10-23 18:00: 0.9715
2024-10-23 20:00: 0.0285
2024-10-23 23:00: 0.9715
2024-10-24 01:00: 0.0285
2024-10-24 04:00: 0.9715
2024-10-24 06:00: 0.0285
2024-10-24 09:00: 0.9710
2024-10-24 11:00: 0.0290
2024-10-24 14:00: 0.9710
2024-10-24 16:00: 0.0285
2024-10-24 19:00: 0.9715
2024-10-24 21:00: 0.0285
2024-10-25 00:00: 0.9715
2024-10-25 02:00: 0.0285
2024-10-25 05:00: 0.9715
2024-10-25 07:00: 0.0285
2024-10-25 10:00: 0.9715
2024-10-25 12:00: 0.0285
2024-10-25 15:00: 0.9715
2024-10-25 17:00: 0.0285
2024-10-25 20:00: 0.9715
2024-10-25 22:00: 0.0285
2024-10-26 01:00: 0.9715
2024-10-26 03:00: 0.0285
2024-10-26 06:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 10.41, Sell volume: 2.93, Average price: 0.9725, Price range: 0.9640 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-26 21:00: 0.9715
2024-10-26 23:00: 0.0285
2024-10-27 02:00: 0.9715
2024-10-27 04:00: 0.0285
2024-10-27 07:00: 0.9715
2024-10-27 09:00: 0.0285
2024-10-27 12:00: 0.9715
2024-10-27 14:00: 0.0285
2024-10-27 17:00: 0.9715
2024-10-27 19:00: 0.0285
2024-10-27 22:00: 0.9715
2024-10-28 00:00: 0.0285
2024-10-28 03:00: 0.9715
2024-10-28 05:00: 0.0285
2024-10-28 08:00: 0.9715
2024-10-28 10:00: 0.0285
2024-10-28 13:00: 0.9715
2024-10-28 15:00: 0.0285
2024-10-28 18:00: 0.9715
2024-10-28 20:00: 0.0290
2024-10-28 23:00: 0.9710
2024-10-29 01:00: 0.0280
2024-10-29 04:00: 0.9720
2024-10-29 06:00: 0.0290
2024-10-29 09:00: 0.9705
2024-10-29 11:00: 0.0285
2024-10-29 14:00: 0.9670
2024-10-29 16:00: 0.0325
2024-10-29 19:00: 0.9675
2024-10-29 21:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1515.95, Sell volume: 688.52, Average price: 0.6906, Price range: 0.0272 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-10-30 12:00: 0.0325
2024-10-30 15:00: 0.9675
2024-10-30 17:00: 0.0325
2024-10-30 20:00: 0.9635
2024-10-30 22:00: 0.0335
2024-10-31 01:00: 0.9675
2024-10-31 03:00: 0.0305
2024-10-31 06:00: 0.9670
2024-10-31 08:00: 0.0330
2024-10-31 11:00: 0.9670
2024-10-31 13:00: 0.0330
2024-10-31 16:00: 0.9650
2024-10-31 18:00: 0.0350
2024-10-31 21:00: 0.9650
2024-10-31 23:00: 0.0350
2024-11-01 02:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 04:00: 0.0350
2024-11-01 07:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 09:00: 0.0350
2024-11-01 12:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 14:00: 0.0350
2024-11-01 17:00: 0.9650
2024-11-01 19:00: 0.0350
2024-11-01 22:00: 0.9655
2024-11-02 00:00: 0.0345
2024-11-02 03:00: 0.9655
2024-11-02 05:00: 0.0345
2024-11-02 08:00: 0.9655
2024-11-02 10:00: 0.0345
2024-11-02 13:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 6029.90, Sell volume: 66.48, Average price: 0.5003, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9720
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507547
Question: Will a Republican win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 18021.830403
Price History:
2024-11-03 03:00: 0.9660
2024-11-03 05:00: 0.0340
2024-11-03 08:00: 0.9660
2024-11-03 10:00: 0.0340
2024-11-03 13:00: 0.9660
2024-11-03 15:00: 0.0340
2024-11-03 18:00: 0.9660
2024-11-03 20:00: 0.0340
2024-11-03 23:00: 0.9650
2024-11-04 01:00: 0.0360
2024-11-04 04:00: 0.9640
2024-11-04 06:00: 0.0360
2024-11-04 09:00: 0.9605
2024-11-04 11:00: 0.0395
2024-11-04 14:00: 0.9640
2024-11-04 16:00: 0.0360
2024-11-04 19:00: 0.9640
2024-11-04 21:00: 0.0360
2024-11-05 00:00: 0.9640
2024-11-05 02:00: 0.0360
2024-11-05 05:00: 0.9640
2024-11-05 07:00: 0.0360
2024-11-05 10:00: 0.9640
2024-11-05 12:00: 0.0370
2024-11-05 15:00: 0.9630
2024-11-05 18:00: 0.0360
2024-11-05 21:00: 0.8810
2024-11-05 23:00: 0.0490
2024-11-06 02:00: 0.9535
2024-11-06 04:00: 0.0470
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 7758.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-09-20 11:00: 0.0145
2024-09-20 12:00: 0.9900
2024-09-20 14:00: 0.0100
2024-09-20 15:00: 0.9900
2024-09-20 17:00: 0.0100
2024-09-20 18:00: 0.9900
2024-09-20 20:00: 0.0100
2024-09-20 21:00: 0.9900
2024-09-20 23:00: 0.0100
2024-09-21 00:00: 0.9900
2024-09-21 02:00: 0.0100
2024-09-21 03:00: 0.9900
2024-09-21 05:00: 0.0100
2024-09-21 06:00: 0.9900
2024-09-21 08:00: 0.0100
2024-09-21 09:00: 0.9900
2024-09-21 11:00: 0.0100
2024-09-21 12:00: 0.9900
2024-09-21 14:00: 0.0100
2024-09-21 15:00: 0.9900
2024-09-21 17:00: 0.0100
2024-09-21 18:00: 0.9900
2024-09-21 20:00: 0.0100
2024-09-21 21:00: 0.9900
2024-09-21 23:00: 0.0100
2024-09-22 00:00: 0.9900
2024-09-22 02:00: 0.0100
2024-09-22 03:00: 0.9900
2024-09-22 05:00: 0.0100
2024-09-22 06:00: 0.9900
2024-09-22 08:00: 0.0100
2024-09-22 09:00: 0.9895
2024-09-22 11:00: 0.0105
2024-09-22 12:00: 0.9895
2024-09-22 14:00: 0.0100
2024-09-22 15:00: 0.9985
2024-09-22 17:00: 0.0015
2024-09-22 18:00: 0.9985
2024-09-22 20:00: 0.0015
2024-09-22 21:00: 0.9985
2024-09-22 23:00: 0.0015
2024-09-23 00:00: 0.9985
2024-09-23 02:00: 0.0015
2024-09-23 03:00: 0.9985
2024-09-23 05:00: 0.0015
2024-09-23 06:00: 0.9985
2024-09-23 08:00: 0.0015
2024-09-23 09:00: 0.9985
2024-09-23 11:00: 0.0015
2024-09-23 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1258.00, Sell volume: 714.42, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-09-24 02:00: 0.9905
2024-09-24 04:00: 0.0095
2024-09-24 05:00: 0.9905
2024-09-24 07:00: 0.0090
2024-09-24 08:00: 0.9910
2024-09-24 10:00: 0.0090
2024-09-24 11:00: 0.9910
2024-09-24 13:00: 0.0090
2024-09-24 14:00: 0.9910
2024-09-24 16:00: 0.0090
2024-09-24 17:00: 0.9910
2024-09-24 19:00: 0.0090
2024-09-24 20:00: 0.9910
2024-09-24 22:00: 0.0090
2024-09-24 23:00: 0.9910
2024-09-25 01:00: 0.0090
2024-09-25 02:00: 0.9910
2024-09-25 04:00: 0.0090
2024-09-25 05:00: 0.9910
2024-09-25 07:00: 0.0090
2024-09-25 08:00: 0.9910
2024-09-25 10:00: 0.0090
2024-09-25 11:00: 0.9905
2024-09-25 13:00: 0.0085
2024-09-25 14:00: 0.9920
2024-09-25 16:00: 0.0080
2024-09-25 17:00: 0.9920
2024-09-25 19:00: 0.0080
2024-09-25 20:00: 0.9920
2024-09-25 22:00: 0.0135
2024-09-25 23:00: 0.9865
2024-09-26 01:00: 0.0080
2024-09-26 02:00: 0.9920
2024-09-26 04:00: 0.0080
2024-09-26 05:00: 0.9920
2024-09-26 07:00: 0.0080
2024-09-26 08:00: 0.9920
2024-09-26 10:00: 0.0080
2024-09-26 11:00: 0.9915
2024-09-26 13:00: 0.0085
2024-09-26 14:00: 0.9915
2024-09-26 16:00: 0.0085
2024-09-26 17:00: 0.9915
2024-09-26 19:00: 0.0085
2024-09-26 20:00: 0.9915
2024-09-26 22:00: 0.0085
2024-09-26 23:00: 0.9920
2024-09-27 01:00: 0.0090
2024-09-27 02:00: 0.9910
2024-09-27 04:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 333.00, Average price: 0.0103, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.0140

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-09-27 18:00: 0.0090
2024-09-27 19:00: 0.9920
2024-09-27 21:00: 0.0085
2024-09-27 22:00: 0.9920
2024-09-28 00:00: 0.0080
2024-09-28 01:00: 0.9920
2024-09-28 03:00: 0.0080
2024-09-28 04:00: 0.9920
2024-09-28 06:00: 0.0080
2024-09-28 07:00: 0.9925
2024-09-28 09:00: 0.0075
2024-09-28 10:00: 0.9920
2024-09-28 12:00: 0.0080
2024-09-28 13:00: 0.9925
2024-09-28 15:00: 0.0070
2024-09-28 16:00: 0.9930
2024-09-28 18:00: 0.0070
2024-09-28 19:00: 0.9940
2024-09-28 21:00: 0.0060
2024-09-28 22:00: 0.9940
2024-09-29 00:00: 0.0060
2024-09-29 01:00: 0.9940
2024-09-29 03:00: 0.0060
2024-09-29 04:00: 0.9940
2024-09-29 06:00: 0.0065
2024-09-29 07:00: 0.9935
2024-09-29 09:00: 0.0065
2024-09-29 10:00: 0.9935
2024-09-29 12:00: 0.0065
2024-09-29 13:00: 0.9935
2024-09-29 15:00: 0.0060
2024-09-29 16:00: 0.9935
2024-09-29 18:00: 0.0075
2024-09-29 19:00: 0.9930
2024-09-29 21:00: 0.0060
2024-09-29 22:00: 0.9940
2024-09-30 00:00: 0.0060
2024-09-30 01:00: 0.9940
2024-09-30 03:00: 0.0060
2024-09-30 04:00: 0.9940
2024-09-30 06:00: 0.0060
2024-09-30 07:00: 0.9940
2024-09-30 09:00: 0.0060
2024-09-30 10:00: 0.9940
2024-09-30 12:00: 0.0060
2024-09-30 13:00: 0.9940
2024-09-30 15:00: 0.0060
2024-09-30 16:00: 0.9940
2024-09-30 18:00: 0.0060
2024-09-30 19:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.33, Sell volume: 200.30, Average price: 0.7472, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-01 09:00: 0.9940
2024-10-01 11:00: 0.0060
2024-10-01 12:00: 0.9940
2024-10-01 14:00: 0.0060
2024-10-01 15:00: 0.9940
2024-10-01 17:00: 0.0060
2024-10-01 18:00: 0.9940
2024-10-01 20:00: 0.0060
2024-10-01 21:00: 0.9940
2024-10-01 23:00: 0.0060
2024-10-02 00:00: 0.9940
2024-10-02 02:00: 0.0060
2024-10-02 03:00: 0.9940
2024-10-02 05:00: 0.0060
2024-10-02 06:00: 0.9940
2024-10-02 08:00: 0.0060
2024-10-02 09:00: 0.9940
2024-10-02 10:00: 0.0060
2024-10-02 11:00: 0.9940
2024-10-02 13:00: 0.0060
2024-10-02 14:00: 0.9940
2024-10-02 16:00: 0.0060
2024-10-02 17:00: 0.9940
2024-10-02 19:00: 0.0060
2024-10-02 20:00: 0.9940
2024-10-02 22:00: 0.0060
2024-10-02 23:00: 0.9940
2024-10-03 01:00: 0.0060
2024-10-03 02:00: 0.9940
2024-10-03 04:00: 0.0060
2024-10-03 05:00: 0.9940
2024-10-03 07:00: 0.0060
2024-10-03 08:00: 0.9940
2024-10-03 10:00: 0.0060
2024-10-03 11:00: 0.9940
2024-10-03 13:00: 0.0060
2024-10-03 14:00: 0.9940
2024-10-03 16:00: 0.0060
2024-10-03 17:00: 0.9940
2024-10-03 19:00: 0.0060
2024-10-03 20:00: 0.9940
2024-10-03 22:00: 0.0060
2024-10-03 23:00: 0.9940
2024-10-04 01:00: 0.0060
2024-10-04 02:00: 0.9940
2024-10-04 04:00: 0.0060
2024-10-04 05:00: 0.9940
2024-10-04 07:00: 0.0060
2024-10-04 08:00: 0.9940
2024-10-04 10:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 5.60, Sell volume: 6.32, Average price: 0.9544, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-05 00:00: 0.0060
2024-10-05 01:00: 0.9940
2024-10-05 03:00: 0.0060
2024-10-05 04:00: 0.9940
2024-10-05 06:00: 0.0060
2024-10-05 07:00: 0.9940
2024-10-05 09:00: 0.0060
2024-10-05 10:00: 0.9940
2024-10-05 12:00: 0.0060
2024-10-05 13:00: 0.9940
2024-10-05 15:00: 0.0060
2024-10-05 16:00: 0.9940
2024-10-05 18:00: 0.0060
2024-10-05 19:00: 0.9940
2024-10-05 21:00: 0.0060
2024-10-05 22:00: 0.9940
2024-10-06 00:00: 0.0060
2024-10-06 01:00: 0.9940
2024-10-06 03:00: 0.0060
2024-10-06 04:00: 0.9940
2024-10-06 06:00: 0.0060
2024-10-06 07:00: 0.9940
2024-10-06 09:00: 0.0060
2024-10-06 10:00: 0.9940
2024-10-06 12:00: 0.0060
2024-10-06 13:00: 0.9940
2024-10-06 15:00: 0.0060
2024-10-06 16:00: 0.9940
2024-10-06 18:00: 0.0060
2024-10-06 19:00: 0.9940
2024-10-06 21:00: 0.0060
2024-10-06 22:00: 0.9940
2024-10-07 00:00: 0.0060
2024-10-07 01:00: 0.9940
2024-10-07 03:00: 0.0060
2024-10-07 04:00: 0.9940
2024-10-07 06:00: 0.0060
2024-10-07 07:00: 0.9940
2024-10-07 09:00: 0.0060
2024-10-07 10:00: 0.9940
2024-10-07 12:00: 0.0060
2024-10-07 13:00: 0.9940
2024-10-07 15:00: 0.0060
2024-10-07 16:00: 0.9940
2024-10-07 18:00: 0.0060
2024-10-07 19:00: 0.9940
2024-10-07 21:00: 0.0060
2024-10-07 22:00: 0.9940
2024-10-08 00:00: 0.0060
2024-10-08 01:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 12.54, Sell volume: 11.28, Average price: 0.9941, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-08 15:00: 0.9940
2024-10-08 17:00: 0.0060
2024-10-08 18:00: 0.9940
2024-10-08 20:00: 0.0060
2024-10-08 21:00: 0.9940
2024-10-08 23:00: 0.0060
2024-10-09 00:00: 0.9940
2024-10-09 02:00: 0.0060
2024-10-09 03:00: 0.9940
2024-10-09 05:00: 0.0060
2024-10-09 06:00: 0.9940
2024-10-09 08:00: 0.0060
2024-10-09 09:00: 0.9940
2024-10-09 11:00: 0.0060
2024-10-09 12:00: 0.9940
2024-10-09 14:00: 0.0060
2024-10-09 15:00: 0.9940
2024-10-09 17:00: 0.0060
2024-10-09 18:00: 0.9940
2024-10-09 20:00: 0.0060
2024-10-09 21:00: 0.9940
2024-10-09 23:00: 0.0060
2024-10-10 00:00: 0.9940
2024-10-10 02:00: 0.0060
2024-10-10 03:00: 0.9940
2024-10-10 05:00: 0.0060
2024-10-10 06:00: 0.9940
2024-10-10 08:00: 0.0060
2024-10-10 09:00: 0.9940
2024-10-10 11:00: 0.0060
2024-10-10 12:00: 0.9940
2024-10-10 14:00: 0.0060
2024-10-10 15:00: 0.9940
2024-10-10 17:00: 0.0060
2024-10-10 18:00: 0.9940
2024-10-10 20:00: 0.0060
2024-10-10 21:00: 0.9940
2024-10-10 23:00: 0.0060
2024-10-11 00:00: 0.9940
2024-10-11 02:00: 0.0060
2024-10-11 03:00: 0.9940
2024-10-11 05:00: 0.0060
2024-10-11 06:00: 0.9940
2024-10-11 08:00: 0.0060
2024-10-11 09:00: 0.9940
2024-10-11 11:00: 0.0060
2024-10-11 12:00: 0.9940
2024-10-11 14:00: 0.0060
2024-10-11 15:00: 0.9940
2024-10-11 17:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.0050, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0050

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-12 07:00: 0.0060
2024-10-12 08:00: 0.9940
2024-10-12 10:00: 0.0060
2024-10-12 11:00: 0.9940
2024-10-12 13:00: 0.0060
2024-10-12 14:00: 0.9940
2024-10-12 16:00: 0.0060
2024-10-12 17:00: 0.9940
2024-10-12 19:00: 0.0055
2024-10-12 20:00: 0.9940
2024-10-12 22:00: 0.0060
2024-10-12 23:00: 0.9940
2024-10-13 01:00: 0.0060
2024-10-13 02:00: 0.9940
2024-10-13 04:00: 0.0060
2024-10-13 05:00: 0.9940
2024-10-13 07:00: 0.0060
2024-10-13 08:00: 0.9940
2024-10-13 10:00: 0.0060
2024-10-13 11:00: 0.9940
2024-10-13 13:00: 0.0060
2024-10-13 14:00: 0.9940
2024-10-13 16:00: 0.0060
2024-10-13 17:00: 0.9940
2024-10-13 19:00: 0.0060
2024-10-13 20:00: 0.9940
2024-10-13 22:00: 0.0060
2024-10-13 23:00: 0.9940
2024-10-14 01:00: 0.0060
2024-10-14 02:00: 0.9940
2024-10-14 04:00: 0.0060
2024-10-14 05:00: 0.9940
2024-10-14 07:00: 0.0060
2024-10-14 08:00: 0.9940
2024-10-14 10:00: 0.0060
2024-10-14 11:00: 0.9940
2024-10-14 13:00: 0.0060
2024-10-14 14:00: 0.9940
2024-10-14 16:00: 0.0060
2024-10-14 17:00: 0.9940
2024-10-14 19:00: 0.0060
2024-10-14 20:00: 0.9940
2024-10-14 22:00: 0.0060
2024-10-14 23:00: 0.9940
2024-10-15 01:00: 0.0060
2024-10-15 02:00: 0.9940
2024-10-15 04:00: 0.0060
2024-10-15 05:00: 0.9940
2024-10-15 07:00: 0.0060
2024-10-15 08:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171, Buy volume: 57786.94, Sell volume: 24086.87, Average price: 0.8097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-15 22:00: 0.9945
2024-10-16 00:00: 0.0050
2024-10-16 01:00: 0.9945
2024-10-16 03:00: 0.0055
2024-10-16 04:00: 0.9950
2024-10-16 06:00: 0.0050
2024-10-16 07:00: 0.9945
2024-10-16 09:00: 0.0050
2024-10-16 10:00: 0.9950
2024-10-16 12:00: 0.0050
2024-10-16 13:00: 0.9950
2024-10-16 15:00: 0.0050
2024-10-16 16:00: 0.9950
2024-10-16 18:00: 0.0050
2024-10-16 19:00: 0.9950
2024-10-16 21:00: 0.0050
2024-10-16 22:00: 0.9950
2024-10-17 00:00: 0.0050
2024-10-17 01:00: 0.9945
2024-10-17 03:00: 0.0055
2024-10-17 04:00: 0.9945
2024-10-17 06:00: 0.0050
2024-10-17 07:00: 0.9950
2024-10-17 09:00: 0.0050
2024-10-17 10:00: 0.9950
2024-10-17 12:00: 0.0050
2024-10-17 13:00: 0.9950
2024-10-17 15:00: 0.0050
2024-10-17 16:00: 0.9950
2024-10-17 18:00: 0.0050
2024-10-17 19:00: 0.9950
2024-10-17 21:00: 0.0050
2024-10-17 22:00: 0.9950
2024-10-18 00:00: 0.0050
2024-10-18 01:00: 0.9950
2024-10-18 03:00: 0.0050
2024-10-18 04:00: 0.9950
2024-10-18 06:00: 0.0050
2024-10-18 07:00: 0.9950
2024-10-18 09:00: 0.0050
2024-10-18 10:00: 0.9950
2024-10-18 12:00: 0.0050
2024-10-18 13:00: 0.9945
2024-10-18 15:00: 0.0055
2024-10-18 16:00: 0.9945
2024-10-18 18:00: 0.0055
2024-10-18 19:00: 0.9945
2024-10-18 21:00: 0.0050
2024-10-18 22:00: 0.9945
2024-10-19 00:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2.55, Sell volume: 2.54, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-19 14:00: 0.0045
2024-10-19 15:00: 0.9955
2024-10-19 17:00: 0.0045
2024-10-19 18:00: 0.9955
2024-10-19 20:00: 0.0050
2024-10-19 21:00: 0.9955
2024-10-19 23:00: 0.0050
2024-10-20 00:00: 0.9955
2024-10-20 02:00: 0.0045
2024-10-20 03:00: 0.9955
2024-10-20 05:00: 0.0045
2024-10-20 06:00: 0.9955
2024-10-20 08:00: 0.0045
2024-10-20 09:00: 0.9955
2024-10-20 11:00: 0.0045
2024-10-20 12:00: 0.9955
2024-10-20 14:00: 0.0050
2024-10-20 15:00: 0.9950
2024-10-20 17:00: 0.0045
2024-10-20 18:00: 0.9955
2024-10-20 20:00: 0.0045
2024-10-20 21:00: 0.9950
2024-10-20 23:00: 0.0050
2024-10-21 00:00: 0.9950
2024-10-21 02:00: 0.0050
2024-10-21 03:00: 0.9950
2024-10-21 05:00: 0.0050
2024-10-21 06:00: 0.9950
2024-10-21 08:00: 0.0050
2024-10-21 09:00: 0.9950
2024-10-21 11:00: 0.0050
2024-10-21 12:00: 0.9950
2024-10-21 14:00: 0.0050
2024-10-21 15:00: 0.9950
2024-10-21 17:00: 0.0050
2024-10-21 18:00: 0.9950
2024-10-21 20:00: 0.0050
2024-10-21 21:00: 0.9950
2024-10-21 23:00: 0.0050
2024-10-22 00:00: 0.9950
2024-10-22 02:00: 0.0050
2024-10-22 03:00: 0.9950
2024-10-22 05:00: 0.0050
2024-10-22 06:00: 0.9950
2024-10-22 08:00: 0.0050
2024-10-22 09:00: 0.9950
2024-10-22 11:00: 0.0050
2024-10-22 12:00: 0.9950
2024-10-22 14:00: 0.0050
2024-10-22 15:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 2.35, Sell volume: 2.68, Average price: 0.8849, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-23 05:00: 0.9950
2024-10-23 07:00: 0.0050
2024-10-23 08:00: 0.9950
2024-10-23 10:00: 0.0050
2024-10-23 11:00: 0.9950
2024-10-23 13:00: 0.0050
2024-10-23 14:00: 0.9950
2024-10-23 16:00: 0.0050
2024-10-23 17:00: 0.9950
2024-10-23 19:00: 0.0050
2024-10-23 20:00: 0.9950
2024-10-23 22:00: 0.0050
2024-10-23 23:00: 0.9950
2024-10-24 01:00: 0.0050
2024-10-24 02:00: 0.9950
2024-10-24 04:00: 0.0050
2024-10-24 05:00: 0.9950
2024-10-24 07:00: 0.0050
2024-10-24 08:00: 0.9950
2024-10-24 10:00: 0.0050
2024-10-24 11:00: 0.9950
2024-10-24 13:00: 0.0050
2024-10-24 14:00: 0.9950
2024-10-24 16:00: 0.0055
2024-10-24 17:00: 0.9945
2024-10-24 19:00: 0.0055
2024-10-24 20:00: 0.9945
2024-10-24 22:00: 0.0055
2024-10-24 23:00: 0.9945
2024-10-25 01:00: 0.0055
2024-10-25 02:00: 0.9945
2024-10-25 04:00: 0.0055
2024-10-25 05:00: 0.9945
2024-10-25 07:00: 0.0055
2024-10-25 08:00: 0.9945
2024-10-25 10:00: 0.0055
2024-10-25 11:00: 0.9945
2024-10-25 13:00: 0.0055
2024-10-25 14:00: 0.9945
2024-10-25 16:00: 0.0055
2024-10-25 17:00: 0.9945
2024-10-25 19:00: 0.0055
2024-10-25 20:00: 0.9945
2024-10-25 22:00: 0.0055
2024-10-25 23:00: 0.9945
2024-10-26 01:00: 0.0055
2024-10-26 02:00: 0.9945
2024-10-26 04:00: 0.0055
2024-10-26 05:00: 0.9945
2024-10-26 07:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.30, Sell volume: 0.30, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-26 21:00: 0.0055
2024-10-26 22:00: 0.9945
2024-10-27 00:00: 0.0055
2024-10-27 01:00: 0.9945
2024-10-27 03:00: 0.0055
2024-10-27 04:00: 0.9945
2024-10-27 06:00: 0.0055
2024-10-27 07:00: 0.9945
2024-10-27 09:00: 0.0055
2024-10-27 10:00: 0.9945
2024-10-27 12:00: 0.0055
2024-10-27 13:00: 0.9945
2024-10-27 15:00: 0.0055
2024-10-27 16:00: 0.9945
2024-10-27 18:00: 0.0055
2024-10-27 19:00: 0.9945
2024-10-27 21:00: 0.0055
2024-10-27 22:00: 0.9945
2024-10-28 00:00: 0.0055
2024-10-28 01:00: 0.9945
2024-10-28 03:00: 0.0055
2024-10-28 04:00: 0.9945
2024-10-28 06:00: 0.0055
2024-10-28 07:00: 0.9945
2024-10-28 09:00: 0.0055
2024-10-28 10:00: 0.9945
2024-10-28 12:00: 0.0055
2024-10-28 13:00: 0.9945
2024-10-28 15:00: 0.0065
2024-10-28 16:00: 0.9935
2024-10-28 18:00: 0.0065
2024-10-28 19:00: 0.9930
2024-10-28 21:00: 0.0070
2024-10-28 22:00: 0.9930
2024-10-29 00:00: 0.0070
2024-10-29 01:00: 0.9925
2024-10-29 03:00: 0.0075
2024-10-29 04:00: 0.9855
2024-10-29 06:00: 0.0110
2024-10-29 07:00: 0.9850
2024-10-29 09:00: 0.0175
2024-10-29 10:00: 0.9835
2024-10-29 12:00: 0.0180
2024-10-29 13:00: 0.9820
2024-10-29 15:00: 0.0165
2024-10-29 16:00: 0.9870
2024-10-29 18:00: 0.0130
2024-10-29 19:00: 0.9870
2024-10-29 21:00: 0.0135
2024-10-29 22:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 33549.90, Sell volume: 106.12, Average price: 0.6790, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-30 12:00: 0.9870
2024-10-30 14:00: 0.0130
2024-10-30 15:00: 0.9870
2024-10-30 17:00: 0.0125
2024-10-30 18:00: 0.9875
2024-10-30 20:00: 0.0130
2024-10-30 21:00: 0.9870
2024-10-30 23:00: 0.0100
2024-10-31 00:00: 0.9900
2024-10-31 02:00: 0.0100
2024-10-31 03:00: 0.9910
2024-10-31 05:00: 0.0130
2024-10-31 06:00: 0.9880
2024-10-31 08:00: 0.0120
2024-10-31 09:00: 0.9875
2024-10-31 11:00: 0.0070
2024-10-31 12:00: 0.9930
2024-10-31 14:00: 0.0075
2024-10-31 15:00: 0.9925
2024-10-31 17:00: 0.0075
2024-10-31 18:00: 0.9925
2024-10-31 20:00: 0.0075
2024-10-31 21:00: 0.9925
2024-10-31 23:00: 0.0075
2024-11-01 00:00: 0.9925
2024-11-01 02:00: 0.0075
2024-11-01 03:00: 0.9925
2024-11-01 05:00: 0.0075
2024-11-01 06:00: 0.9925
2024-11-01 08:00: 0.0075
2024-11-01 09:00: 0.9925
2024-11-01 11:00: 0.0075
2024-11-01 12:00: 0.9985
2024-11-01 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-01 15:00: 0.9985
2024-11-01 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-01 18:00: 0.9985
2024-11-01 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-01 21:00: 0.9985
2024-11-01 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-02 00:00: 0.9985
2024-11-02 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-02 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-02 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-02 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-02 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-02 09:00: 0.9985
2024-11-02 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-02 12:00: 0.9985
2024-11-02 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10644.47, Sell volume: 22498.58, Average price: 0.6981, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-11-03 03:00: 0.0075
2024-11-03 04:00: 0.9925
2024-11-03 06:00: 0.0075
2024-11-03 07:00: 0.9925
2024-11-03 09:00: 0.0075
2024-11-03 10:00: 0.9925
2024-11-03 12:00: 0.0075
2024-11-03 13:00: 0.9925
2024-11-03 15:00: 0.0075
2024-11-03 16:00: 0.9925
2024-11-03 18:00: 0.0075
2024-11-03 19:00: 0.9920
2024-11-03 21:00: 0.0080
2024-11-03 22:00: 0.9915
2024-11-04 00:00: 0.0080
2024-11-04 01:00: 0.9920
2024-11-04 03:00: 0.0085
2024-11-04 04:00: 0.9915
2024-11-04 06:00: 0.0080
2024-11-04 07:00: 0.9920
2024-11-04 09:00: 0.0075
2024-11-04 10:00: 0.9920
2024-11-04 12:00: 0.0085
2024-11-04 13:00: 0.9915
2024-11-04 15:00: 0.0085
2024-11-04 16:00: 0.9915
2024-11-04 18:00: 0.0085
2024-11-04 19:00: 0.9915
2024-11-04 21:00: 0.0085
2024-11-04 22:00: 0.9915
2024-11-05 00:00: 0.0080
2024-11-05 01:00: 0.9870
2024-11-05 03:00: 0.0130
2024-11-05 04:00: 0.9870
2024-11-05 06:00: 0.0130
2024-11-05 07:00: 0.9870
2024-11-05 09:00: 0.0160
2024-11-05 10:00: 0.9860
2024-11-05 12:00: 0.0145
2024-11-05 13:00: 0.9845
2024-11-05 15:00: 0.0155
2024-11-05 16:00: 0.9855
2024-11-05 19:00: 0.0155
2024-11-05 20:00: 0.9850
2024-11-05 22:00: 0.0155
2024-11-05 23:00: 0.9845
2024-11-06 01:00: 0.0155
2024-11-06 02:00: 0.9845
2024-11-06 04:00: 0.0155
2024-11-06 05:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 12209.57, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6281, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-09-20 11:00: 0.0145
2024-09-20 13:00: 0.9900
2024-09-20 16:00: 0.0100
2024-09-20 18:00: 0.9900
2024-09-20 21:00: 0.0100
2024-09-20 23:00: 0.9900
2024-09-21 02:00: 0.0100
2024-09-21 04:00: 0.9900
2024-09-21 07:00: 0.0100
2024-09-21 09:00: 0.9900
2024-09-21 12:00: 0.0100
2024-09-21 14:00: 0.9900
2024-09-21 17:00: 0.0100
2024-09-21 19:00: 0.9900
2024-09-21 22:00: 0.0100
2024-09-22 00:00: 0.9900
2024-09-22 03:00: 0.0100
2024-09-22 05:00: 0.9900
2024-09-22 08:00: 0.0100
2024-09-22 10:00: 0.9895
2024-09-22 13:00: 0.0105
2024-09-22 15:00: 0.9985
2024-09-22 18:00: 0.0015
2024-09-22 20:00: 0.9985
2024-09-22 23:00: 0.0015
2024-09-23 01:00: 0.9985
2024-09-23 04:00: 0.0015
2024-09-23 06:00: 0.9985
2024-09-23 09:00: 0.0015
2024-09-23 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1258.00, Sell volume: 714.42, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-09-24 02:00: 0.9905
2024-09-24 05:00: 0.0095
2024-09-24 07:00: 0.9910
2024-09-24 10:00: 0.0090
2024-09-24 12:00: 0.9910
2024-09-24 15:00: 0.0090
2024-09-24 17:00: 0.9910
2024-09-24 20:00: 0.0090
2024-09-24 22:00: 0.9910
2024-09-25 01:00: 0.0090
2024-09-25 03:00: 0.9910
2024-09-25 06:00: 0.0090
2024-09-25 08:00: 0.9910
2024-09-25 11:00: 0.0095
2024-09-25 13:00: 0.9915
2024-09-25 16:00: 0.0080
2024-09-25 18:00: 0.9920
2024-09-25 21:00: 0.0135
2024-09-25 23:00: 0.9865
2024-09-26 02:00: 0.0080
2024-09-26 04:00: 0.9920
2024-09-26 07:00: 0.0080
2024-09-26 09:00: 0.9920
2024-09-26 12:00: 0.0085
2024-09-26 14:00: 0.9915
2024-09-26 17:00: 0.0085
2024-09-26 19:00: 0.9915
2024-09-26 22:00: 0.0085
2024-09-27 00:00: 0.9910
2024-09-27 03:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 333.00, Average price: 0.0103, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.0140
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-09-27 18:00: 0.0090
2024-09-27 20:00: 0.9910
2024-09-27 23:00: 0.0080
2024-09-28 01:00: 0.9920
2024-09-28 04:00: 0.0080
2024-09-28 06:00: 0.9920
2024-09-28 09:00: 0.0075
2024-09-28 11:00: 0.9920
2024-09-28 14:00: 0.0095
2024-09-28 16:00: 0.9930
2024-09-28 19:00: 0.0060
2024-09-28 21:00: 0.9940
2024-09-29 00:00: 0.0060
2024-09-29 02:00: 0.9940
2024-09-29 05:00: 0.0060
2024-09-29 07:00: 0.9935
2024-09-29 10:00: 0.0065
2024-09-29 12:00: 0.9935
2024-09-29 15:00: 0.0060
2024-09-29 17:00: 0.9925
2024-09-29 20:00: 0.0070
2024-09-29 22:00: 0.9940
2024-09-30 01:00: 0.0060
2024-09-30 03:00: 0.9940
2024-09-30 06:00: 0.0060
2024-09-30 08:00: 0.9940
2024-09-30 11:00: 0.0060
2024-09-30 13:00: 0.9940
2024-09-30 16:00: 0.0060
2024-09-30 18:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.33, Sell volume: 200.30, Average price: 0.7472, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-01 09:00: 0.9940
2024-10-01 12:00: 0.0060
2024-10-01 14:00: 0.9940
2024-10-01 17:00: 0.0060
2024-10-01 19:00: 0.9940
2024-10-01 22:00: 0.0060
2024-10-02 00:00: 0.9940
2024-10-02 03:00: 0.0060
2024-10-02 05:00: 0.9940
2024-10-02 08:00: 0.0060
2024-10-02 10:00: 0.9940
2024-10-02 12:00: 0.0060
2024-10-02 14:00: 0.9940
2024-10-02 17:00: 0.0060
2024-10-02 19:00: 0.9940
2024-10-02 22:00: 0.0060
2024-10-03 00:00: 0.9940
2024-10-03 03:00: 0.0060
2024-10-03 05:00: 0.9940
2024-10-03 08:00: 0.0060
2024-10-03 10:00: 0.9940
2024-10-03 13:00: 0.0060
2024-10-03 15:00: 0.9940
2024-10-03 18:00: 0.0060
2024-10-03 20:00: 0.9940
2024-10-03 23:00: 0.0060
2024-10-04 01:00: 0.9940
2024-10-04 04:00: 0.0060
2024-10-04 06:00: 0.9940
2024-10-04 09:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 5.60, Sell volume: 6.32, Average price: 0.9544, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-05 00:00: 0.0060
2024-10-05 02:00: 0.9940
2024-10-05 05:00: 0.0060
2024-10-05 07:00: 0.9940
2024-10-05 10:00: 0.0060
2024-10-05 12:00: 0.9940
2024-10-05 15:00: 0.0060
2024-10-05 17:00: 0.9940
2024-10-05 20:00: 0.0060
2024-10-05 22:00: 0.9940
2024-10-06 01:00: 0.0060
2024-10-06 03:00: 0.9940
2024-10-06 06:00: 0.0060
2024-10-06 08:00: 0.9940
2024-10-06 11:00: 0.0060
2024-10-06 13:00: 0.9940
2024-10-06 16:00: 0.0060
2024-10-06 18:00: 0.9940
2024-10-06 21:00: 0.0060
2024-10-06 23:00: 0.9940
2024-10-07 02:00: 0.0060
2024-10-07 04:00: 0.9940
2024-10-07 07:00: 0.0060
2024-10-07 09:00: 0.9940
2024-10-07 12:00: 0.0060
2024-10-07 14:00: 0.9940
2024-10-07 17:00: 0.0060
2024-10-07 19:00: 0.9940
2024-10-07 22:00: 0.0060
2024-10-08 00:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 12.54, Sell volume: 11.28, Average price: 0.9941, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes