Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0185
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0150
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0150
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9895
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9895
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.32, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.3323, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9925
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 37.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0075
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9925
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537445
Question: Will People First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 44.2314
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.60, Sell volume: 4.63, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.6700
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.6700
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.6700
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.3350
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.6650
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.2800
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.7200
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.2800
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.7200
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.6950
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.6950
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.6950
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.6950
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.6950
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.6950
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.6950
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.6950
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 26.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.4800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.6900
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.3250
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.3250
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.3250
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.3250
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.3250
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.3250
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.3250
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.3250
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.3250
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.3250
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.3250
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.3250
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.1700
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.8300
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.1700
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.8300
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.1700
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.8300
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.6450
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.3250
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.6750
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.3300
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.6700
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.2600
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.7400
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.2600
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.7400
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 221.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.3250, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.3300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.2450
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.7550
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.2600
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.7400
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.2450
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.7550
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.3850
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.6150
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.3650
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.6350
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.3600
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.6400
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.3850
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.6150
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.3850
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.6150
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.6250
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.3600
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.6400
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.6250
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.3850
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.6150
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.3500
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.6500
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.3550
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.3500
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.6500
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.3500
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.6500
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.3250
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.6750
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.3050
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.6950
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.3300
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.6700
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.6750
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.3350
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.6650
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.3350
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.6650
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.3350
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.6650
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.3250
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.6750
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.3300
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 202.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3367, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.4300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.3350
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.6650
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.2850
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.7150
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.3300
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.6700
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.3200
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.6800
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.3450
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.6550
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.3200
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.6800
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.6750
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.3450
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.6550
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.3150
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.6850
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.3450
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.6550
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.3500
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.6500
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.3200
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.6800
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.4150
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.5850
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.4100
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.5900
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.3550
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.3550
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.3550
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.3550
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.6450
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 80.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.4150
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.5850
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.4150
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.5850
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.4050
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.5950
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.5800
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.4100
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 16.30, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.4150
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.5850
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.4150
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.5850
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.4200
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 7086.16, Sell volume: 749.70, Average price: 0.5786, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.5750
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.5750
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.5750
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.5750
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.5750
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.5750
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.5750
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.5750
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.5750
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.5750
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.5750
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.5750
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.5750
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.5750
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2850
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.7150
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.7400
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.7400
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.2750
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.7250
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.2850
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.7150
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.2850
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.7150
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.2850
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.7150
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.7150
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.2850
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.7150
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.2850
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.7150
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.2600
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.7400
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.2600
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.7400
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.2850
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.7150
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.7250
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.2650
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7350
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.2650
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.7350
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.7250
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.2850
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.7150
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.2850
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.7150
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.2750
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.7250
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 7086.16, Sell volume: 749.70, Average price: 0.5786, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.2900
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.7100
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2650
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.7350
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2650
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7350
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2650
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.7350
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2750
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.7250
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.2750
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.7250
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.2750
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.7250
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2950
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.7050
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.2650
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7350
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.2150
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.7850
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.2100
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.7900
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.2100
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7900
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.2750
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 7086.16, Sell volume: 749.70, Average price: 0.5786, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7850
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.2150
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.7850
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.2200
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7800
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.2200
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.7800
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2150
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.7850
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.2100
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.2350
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.7650
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.2200
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.7800
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.7800
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.2150
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.7850
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.7700
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.2150
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7850
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.2100
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.2100
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.2100
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2100
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.7900
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2100
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.7900
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.2150
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7850
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.2100
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.7900
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.2150
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.7850
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.2350
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7650
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.2200
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.7800
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 134.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.3850
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.6150
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.3850
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6150
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3850
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6150
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3850
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.6250
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6250
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.6250
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3750
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6250
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3750
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6250
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3750
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6250
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3750
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6250
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3750
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6750
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3250
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5400
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.4600
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.5200
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.4800
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.5200
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.4800
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1669.97, Sell volume: 508.19, Average price: 0.5040, Price range: 0.3841 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.5350
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.4750
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.5250
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.4700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.5300
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.4750
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.5250
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.5000
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.5000
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.5100
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.4900
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.5100
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.4900
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.4950
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.5050
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.4850
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.4900
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.5100
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.4800
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.4800
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.4850
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.4950
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.5050
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.4900
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.5100
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.6100
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.3900
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.6500
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.3500
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.6100
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.3900
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 282.95, Sell volume: 109.60, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6200
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3800
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6050
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3950
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6100
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3900
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.4300
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.5300
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.4700
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5950
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.4050
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.5550
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.4450
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.5400
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.4600
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.5350
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.4650
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.5300
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.4700
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.5250
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.4750
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.5400
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.4600
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.3950
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.6050
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.5250
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.4750
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.5150
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.4850
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.5350
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4650
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.7550
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2450
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9890
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9890
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9640
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0360
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9930
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 4438.74, Sell volume: 84.97, Average price: 0.7838, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.3350
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.2800
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.2800
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.3100
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 26.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.4800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.6900
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.6750
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.8300
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.8300
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.8300
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.6450
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.6750
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.6700
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.7400
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.7400
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.7900
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.7400
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 221.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.3250, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.3300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.2450
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.2600
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.2450
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.3850
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.3650
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.3600
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.3850
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.3850
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.3600
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.3850
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.3500
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.3550
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.3500
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.3500
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.3250
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.3050
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.3300
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.3350
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.3350
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.3350
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.3250
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.3300
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.3350
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.3350
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.3350
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 202.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3367, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.4300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.6650
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.7150
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.6700
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.6800
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.6550
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.6800
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.6750
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.6550
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.6850
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.6550
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.6500
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.6800
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.5850
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.5900
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.6450
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.6450
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.6450
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.6450
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 80.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.4150
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.4150
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.4050
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.4100
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 16.30, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.5850
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.5850
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.5850
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.5850
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.5800
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 7086.16, Sell volume: 749.70, Average price: 0.5786, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.2700
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2850
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.2750
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.2850
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.2850
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.2850
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.2600
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.2650
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.2600
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.7150
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.7150
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.7150
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.7400
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.7400
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.7150
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.7250
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7350
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.7350
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.7250
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.7150
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.7150
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.7250
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 7086.16, Sell volume: 749.70, Average price: 0.5786, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.2900
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2650
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2650
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2650
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2750
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.2750
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.2750
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2950
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.2650
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.2150
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.2100
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.2100
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 7086.16, Sell volume: 749.70, Average price: 0.5786, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7850
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.7850
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7800
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.7800
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.7850
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.7650
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.7800
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.7800
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.7850
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.7700
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7850
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.7900
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.7900
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7850
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.7900
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.7850
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7650
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.7800
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5750
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.5500
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.4250
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3850
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 134.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.6150
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.6150
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.6150
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6150
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6150
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.6250
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6250
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.6250
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6250
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6250
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6250
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6250
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6750
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5400
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.5200
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.5200
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.6050
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.5100
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1669.97, Sell volume: 508.19, Average price: 0.5040, Price range: 0.3841 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.5350
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.5250
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.5300
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.5250
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.5000
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.4900
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.4900
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.5050
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.5100
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.5200
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.5050
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.5100
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.3900
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.3500
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.3900
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.4050
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.4500
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.4500
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 282.95, Sell volume: 109.60, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537440
Question: Will Labor win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 7835.862116
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6200
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6050
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6100
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.5700
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.5300
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5950
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.5550
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.5400
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.5350
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.5300
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.5250
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.5400
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.3950
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.5250
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.5150
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.5350
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.7550
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9890
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9890
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9640
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9930
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9925
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9925
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9925
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9910
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 4438.74, Sell volume: 84.97, Average price: 0.7838, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5100
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9795
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0180
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9820
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9820
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0180
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9820
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0155
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9845
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0110
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.9890
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0110
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9890
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 45.55, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.8313, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9880
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9880
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9885
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0110
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9890
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0110
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9890
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0110
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9890
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9885
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9885
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9885
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9885
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0180
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0180
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0155
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0110
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0110
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 45.55, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.8313, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0125
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9890
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9890
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9890
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9950
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9955
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9955
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9955
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9955
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537446
Question: Will FUSION win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 79.265332
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 74.59, Sell volume: 4.68, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5100
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0295
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9705
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9800
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9810
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0160
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9840
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0115
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.9885
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9885
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9910
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9915
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 6.35, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0090
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0090
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9915
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0090
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0090
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0085
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9915
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0090
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 37.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9937, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9940

Output: Yes