Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.8800
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.8800
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.8800
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.8800
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.8800
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.8380
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.7995
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.7995
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.7990
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.7990
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.7990
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.7990
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.7990
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.7990
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.7990
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.7990
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.7990
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.7990
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.7990
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.7990
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.7990
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.7990
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.7990
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.7990
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.7990
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.7990
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.7990
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.7990
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.7990
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.7990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 6820.60, Sell volume: 371.98, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.8035
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.8035
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.8035
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.8030
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.8145
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.8145
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.8145
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.8145
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.8145
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.8145
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.8145
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.8145
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.8145
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.8145
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.8145
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.8235
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.8220
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.8965
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.8965
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.8925
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.8965
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.8965
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.8965
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.8965
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.8945
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.8965
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.8955
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.8955
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.8965
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.8970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 6820.60, Sell volume: 371.98, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.8970
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.8970
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.9485
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9485
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9485
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9485
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9485
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9500
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9500
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9485
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9495
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9470
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9845
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9930
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9930
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9890
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9860
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9840
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9855
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9940
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9940
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9940
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9940
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9935
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.9920
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9920
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9930
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.7931, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.3350
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.7550
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.2450
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.7550
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0350
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.7445
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.2535
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.7060
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.1095
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.8920
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.1145
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.8835
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.1020
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.8985
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.1025
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.8985
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.1010
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.8985
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.1015
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.8990
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.1010
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.8990
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.1010
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.8990
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.1010
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.8985
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.1015
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.8990
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.1010
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.8990
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.1010
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.8985
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.1015
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.8975
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.1025
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.8970
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.1035
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.8900
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.1045
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.8930
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.8940
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.1045
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.8940
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.1045
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.8945
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.1030
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.8925
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 779.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3413, Price range: 0.1060 - 0.8980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.8910
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.1090
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.8905
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.1055
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.8910
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.1080
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.8960
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.1090
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.8980
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.1015
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.8980
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.1020
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.8980
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.1025
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.8995
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.0990
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9000
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.1000
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.9000
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.1000
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9000
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.1005
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9000
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.1000
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.8985
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.1010
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.8995
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.1000
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9000
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0985
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9000
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.1010
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.8995
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0975
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9030
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0725
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9340
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0635
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9370
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0660
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9375
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0605
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9300
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0740
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9265
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0715
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9260
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9295
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 985.83, Sell volume: 899.43, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9450

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9330
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0675
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9330
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0675
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9310
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.0690
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9310
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0675
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9330
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0670
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9320
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0675
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9325
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0675
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9315
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0675
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9330
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0670
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9320
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0685
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9320
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0670
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9325
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0680
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9305
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0700
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9330
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0670
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9290
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0710
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9280
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0690
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9295
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0705
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9275
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0720
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9285
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0710
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.9285
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.0705
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9275
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0735
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9265
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0740
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9205
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9205
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0795
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9205
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 656.25, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.5895, Price range: 0.0732 - 0.9413

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9230
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0730
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9240
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0730
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.9255
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0760
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.9240
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0775
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9225
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0775
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9215
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0785
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9215
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0780
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9240
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0765
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9235
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0760
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9235
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0770
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9225
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0775
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9220
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0780
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9220
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0765
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9240
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0760
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9235
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0765
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9235
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0755
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9240
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0765
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9235
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0760
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9225
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0765
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9275
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0725
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9275
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0725
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9265
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0735
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9240
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0755
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9265
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0755
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9235
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9220
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0785
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9225
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0780
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9215
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0790
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9205
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0795
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9195
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0805
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9210
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9255
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0730
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9280
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0735
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9255
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0740
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9270
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0740
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9260
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0740
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9245
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0755
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9240
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0760
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9230
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0770
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9230
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0770
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9225
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0775
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9225
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0765
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9230
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0770
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9245
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0755
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9235
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0755
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9255
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0745
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9255
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0750
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9255
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9245
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 25.32, Sell volume: 400.00, Average price: 0.0777, Price range: 0.0764 - 0.0790

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9225
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0765
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9225
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0775
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9235
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0765
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9230
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0770
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9225
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0775
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9240
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0750
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.9245
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9245
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0755
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.9245
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0760
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9240
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0760
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.9235
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0765
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.9235
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0755
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.9245
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0755
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.9240
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0760
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.9240
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0760
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9240
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0760
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9240
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0760
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9240
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0760
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9060
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0970
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.8950
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.1055
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.8915
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.1075
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.8910
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.1085
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.6995
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.2995
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.6970
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.3005
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.7010
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.2990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 811.93, Sell volume: 42.15, Average price: 0.2996, Price range: 0.0874 - 0.8870

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.7555
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.2490
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.7510
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.2495
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.7515
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.2485
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.7525
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.2490
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.7525
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.2475
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.8100
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.2480
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.8275
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.1725
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.8320
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.1935
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.8405
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.1610
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.8370
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.1660
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.8330
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.1655
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.8390
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.1610
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.8350
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.1650
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.8310
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.1690
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.8290
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.1695
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.8270
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.1740
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.8255
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.1765
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.8430
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.2015
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.8060
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.1830
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.8280
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.1350
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.8540
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.1475
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.8525
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.1465
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.8505
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.1510
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.8485
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.1505
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.8655
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 111.00, Sell volume: 1019.54, Average price: 0.3731, Price range: 0.0998 - 0.8870

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.8940
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.1060
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.8935
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.1120
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.8880
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.1120
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.8900
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.1080
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.8940
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.1065
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.8930
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.1070
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.8915
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.1065
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.8940
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.1070
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.8950
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.1070
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.8935
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.1065
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.8885
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.1120
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.8900
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.1130
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.8880
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.1130
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.8880
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.1120
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.8870
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.1110
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.8905
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1040
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.8985
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.1090
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.8890
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.1125
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.8975
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.1045
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.8940
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1085
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.8930
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.8975
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1035
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.8965
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.1035
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.8985
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1010
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.8985
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.1015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 239.25, Sell volume: 72.31, Average price: 0.4440, Price range: 0.1070 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.8980
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.1020
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.8995
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.1010
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.8995
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.1010
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.8990
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.1020
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.9015
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.1010
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.8925
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.1030
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.8975
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.1035
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.8910
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.1100
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.8980
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.1035
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9020
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.1000
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9000
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.1040
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.8955
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.1050
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.9030
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0970
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.9055
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0915
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.9035
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0975
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9085
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0905
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9110
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0880
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.9045
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0950
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9040
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0965
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9010
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0995
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9020
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0995
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9015
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0980
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9000
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0990
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.9005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.1000
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9010
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1.10, Sell volume: 153.05, Average price: 0.4994, Price range: 0.0870 - 0.9130

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9025
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0995
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9025
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0980
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9020
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0980
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.9035
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0975
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9030
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0970
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9020
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0970
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9010
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0985
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9020
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0965
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9010
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0980
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.9030
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.1000
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0985
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.8990
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.1010
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9010
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0975
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9010
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0980
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9035
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0995
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9020
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0985
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.9010
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0975
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9065
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0925
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9085
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0925
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9055
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0950
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9060
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0935
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9055
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0940
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9060
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0940
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9090
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0920
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9085
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 538.06, Average price: 0.2855, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.8945

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9200
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0795
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9205
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0780
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9205
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0785
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9205
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0795
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9225
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0780
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9220
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0785
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9220
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0780
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9195
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0765
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.9240
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0755
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.9235
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0765
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.9235
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0770
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.9285
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.0705
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.9285
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.0715
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9285
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0715
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.9270
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.0730
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.9285
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0715
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.9275
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0725
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9280
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0715
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.9290
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0715
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.9290
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0710
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.9285
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0700
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.9285
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0715
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.9290
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0720
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.9285
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0715
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.9280
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 21.00, Average price: 0.0630, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.0630

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.9280
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0720
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.9285
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.0720
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.9285
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0715
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.9285
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0720
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.9320
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.0680
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9305
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0695
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.9310
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.0695
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.9315
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0685
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.9315
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.0675
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.9405
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0595
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9465
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0530
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9555
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0425
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9575
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0400
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.9600
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0400
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.9625
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0385
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.9620
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0375
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9615
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0385
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9650
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0345
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.9650
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0340
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.9660
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0335
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9665
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0325
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.9650
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0350
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.9655
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0340
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.9660
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0350
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.9655
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 161.19, Sell volume: 88.99, Average price: 0.4981, Price range: 0.0451 - 0.9460

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9635
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0360
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.9645
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0350
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.9635
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0360
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9625
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0370
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9630
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0375
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9625
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0380
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9630
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0375
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9625
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0385
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9615
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0375
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9625
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0375
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9625
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0370
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9815
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0165
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9875
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0135
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9845
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0125
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9895
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0125
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9895
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0105
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9895
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0110
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9890
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0135
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9890
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0100
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9905
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0090
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9910
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0070
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9950
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9950
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9950
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9950
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2048.16, Sell volume: 311.00, Average price: 0.6198, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.3800
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.6200
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.3750
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.6250
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.3750
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.6250
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.3700
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.6300
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.3600
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.6400
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.3600
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.6400
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.3600
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.6400
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.6400
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.3700
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.6300
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.3600
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.6400
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.3600
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.6400
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.3600
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.6400
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.3400
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.6600
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.3400
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.6600
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.3350
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.6650
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.3350
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.6650
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.3350
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.2100
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.7900
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.2100
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.2100
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.7900
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.2100
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.7900
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.2100
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.7900
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.2100
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.7900
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.2100
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.7900
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.2100
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.7900
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.2000
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.8000
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.2000
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.2000
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.2000
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.2000
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.2000
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.2000
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.8300
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.1700
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.8300
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.1700
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.8300
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.2300
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.7700
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.2300
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.7700
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.2400
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.7600
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.7550
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.7550
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.7445
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.7060
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.8920
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.8835
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.8985
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.8985
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.8985
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.8990
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.8990
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.8990
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.8985
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.8990
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.8990
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.8985
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.8975
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.8970
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.8900
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.8930
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.8940
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.8940
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.8945
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.8925
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.8955
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.8935
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.8950
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.8955
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.8910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 779.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3413, Price range: 0.1060 - 0.8980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.8910
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.8905
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.8910
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.8960
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.8980
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.8980
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.8980
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.8995
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9000
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.9000
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9000
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9000
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.8985
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.8995
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9000
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9000
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.8995
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9030
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9340
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9370
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9375
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9300
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9265
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9260
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9295
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9305
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9285
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9230
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9280
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 985.83, Sell volume: 899.43, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9450
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9330
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9330
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9310
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9310
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9330
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9320
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9325
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9315
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9330
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9320
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9320
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9325
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9305
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9330
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9290
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9280
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9295
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9275
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9285
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.9285
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9275
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9265
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9205
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9205
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9205
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9205
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9205
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.9225
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9230
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 656.25, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.5895, Price range: 0.0732 - 0.9413
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9230
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9240
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.9255
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.9240
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9225
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9215
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9215
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9240
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9235
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9235
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9225
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9220
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9220
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9240
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9235
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9235
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9240
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9235
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9225
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9275
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9275
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9265
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9240
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9265
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9235
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9235
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9250
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9225
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9240
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9220
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9225
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9215
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9205
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9195
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9210
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9255
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9280
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9255
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9270
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9260
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9245
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9240
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9230
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9230
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9225
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9225
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9230
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9245
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9235
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9255
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9255
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9255
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9245
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9245
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9245
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9220
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9215
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 25.32, Sell volume: 400.00, Average price: 0.0777, Price range: 0.0764 - 0.0790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9225
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9225
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9235
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9230
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9225
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9240
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.9245
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9245
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.9245
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9240
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.9235
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.9235
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.9245
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.9240
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.9240
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9240
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9240
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9240
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9060
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.8950
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.8915
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.8910
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.6995
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.6970
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.7010
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.7005
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.6990
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.6985
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.7490
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.7565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 811.93, Sell volume: 42.15, Average price: 0.2996, Price range: 0.0874 - 0.8870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.7555
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.7510
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.7515
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.7525
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.7525
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.8100
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.8275
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.8320
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.8405
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.8370
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.8330
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.8390
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.8350
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.8310
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.8290
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.8270
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.8255
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.8430
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.8060
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.8280
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.8540
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.8525
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.8505
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.8485
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.8655
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.8640
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.8600
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.8920
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.8955
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.8925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 111.00, Sell volume: 1019.54, Average price: 0.3731, Price range: 0.0998 - 0.8870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.8940
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.8935
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.8880
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.8900
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.8940
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.8930
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.8915
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.8940
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.8950
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.8935
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.8885
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.8900
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.8880
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.8880
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.8870
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.8905
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.8985
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.8890
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.8975
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.8940
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.8930
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.8975
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.8965
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.8985
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.8985
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.8980
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.8985
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.8985
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.8985
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.8980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 239.25, Sell volume: 72.31, Average price: 0.4440, Price range: 0.1070 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.8980
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.8995
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.8995
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.8990
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.9015
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.8925
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.8975
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.8910
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.8980
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9020
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9000
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.8955
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.9030
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.9055
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.9035
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9085
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9110
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.9045
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9040
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9010
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9020
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9015
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9000
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.9005
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9010
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9000
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9025
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9000
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1.10, Sell volume: 153.05, Average price: 0.4994, Price range: 0.0870 - 0.9130
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9025
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9025
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9020
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.9035
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9030
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9020
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9010
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9020
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9010
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.9030
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9005
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.8990
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9010
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9010
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9035
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9020
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.9010
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9065
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9085
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9055
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9060
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9055
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9060
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9090
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9085
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9075
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9070
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9075
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9075
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 538.06, Average price: 0.2855, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.8945
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9200
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9205
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9205
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9205
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9225
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9220
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9220
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9195
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.9240
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.9235
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.9235
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.9285
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.9285
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9285
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.9270
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.9285
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.9275
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9280
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.9290
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.9290
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.9285
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.9285
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.9290
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.9285
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.9280
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.9280
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.9310
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.9335
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.9320
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.9315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 21.00, Average price: 0.0630, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.0630
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.9280
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.9285
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.9285
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.9285
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.9320
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9305
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.9310
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.9315
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.9315
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.9405
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9465
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9555
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9575
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.9600
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.9625
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.9620
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9615
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9650
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.9650
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.9660
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9665
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.9650
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.9655
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.9660
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.9655
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.9655
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9655
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.9655
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.9650
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 161.19, Sell volume: 88.99, Average price: 0.4981, Price range: 0.0451 - 0.9460
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544543
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 11646.803793
Price History:
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9635
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.9645
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.9635
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9625
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9630
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9625
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9630
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9625
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9615
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9625
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9625
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9815
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9875
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9845
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9895
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9895
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9895
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9890
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9890
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9905
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9910
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9950
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9950
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9950
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9950
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9945
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.9930
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9935
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9945
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2048.16, Sell volume: 311.00, Average price: 0.6198, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.3800
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.6200
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.3750
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.6250
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.3750
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.6250
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.3700
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.6300
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.3600
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.6400
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.3600
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.6400
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.3600
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.6400
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.6400
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.3700
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.6300
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.3600
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.6400
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.3600
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.6400
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.3600
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.6400
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.3400
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.6600
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.3400
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.6600
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.3350
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.6650
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.3350
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.6650
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.3350
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.2700
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.7300
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.2100
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.7900
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.2100
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.2100
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.7900
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.2100
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.7900
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.2100
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.7900
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.2100
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.7900
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.2100
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.7900
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.2100
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.7900
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.2000
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.8000
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.2000
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.2000
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.2000
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.2000
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.2000
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.2000
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.8300
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.1700
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.8300
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.1700
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.8300
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.1700
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.8300
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.2300
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.7700
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.2300
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.7700
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527779
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Chip" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 120.0
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.2400
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.7600
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.6400
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.3600
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.6300
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.3700
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.6300
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.3700
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.6150
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.3850
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5800
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4200
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5800
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.7200
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.2800
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.6150
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.3850
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.3650
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.6350
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.3650
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.7050
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.2950
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.2950
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.7050
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.2950
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.7350
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.2650
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.7350
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.2650
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.7350
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.2650
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.7300
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.2700
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.7300
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.2700
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.7300
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.2700
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.7300
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.7200
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.2800
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.7200
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.2800
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.7350
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.2650
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.7100
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.7100
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.2750
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.7100
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.2900
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.2900
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.3700
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.6300
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.3800
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.6200
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.6600
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.3400
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.5950
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.4050
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.4050
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.5950
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.4050
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.6000
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.4000
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.7250
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.7300
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.2700
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.7300
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.2700
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.5850
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.4150
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0010
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9990
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.6400
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.3600
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.6300
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.3700
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.6300
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.3700
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.6150
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.3850
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.5800
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4200
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5800
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.7200
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.2800
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.6150
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.3850
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.3650
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.6350
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.3650
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.7050
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.2950
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.2950
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.7050
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.2950
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.7100
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.2900
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.7350
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.2650
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.7350
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.2650
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.7350
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.2650
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.2800
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.7300
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.2700
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.7300
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.2700
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.7300
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.2700
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.7300
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.7200
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.2800
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.7200
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.2800
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.7350
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.2650
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.7100
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.7100
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.2750
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.2750
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.7100
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.2900
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.2900
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.3700
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.6300
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.3800
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.6200
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.6600
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.3400
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.6800
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.3200
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.5950
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.4050
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.4050
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.5950
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.4050
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.6000
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.4000
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.7250
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 80+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3505.647725
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.7250
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.2750
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.7300
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.2700
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.7300
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.2700
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.5850
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.4150
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0010
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9990
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4100
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5900
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4000
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.6000
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.4000
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.6000
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.4000
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.6000
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.2950
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.7050
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.2850
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.7150
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.2900
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.7100
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.2900
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.7100
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.6600
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.3400
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.6600
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.3400
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.6600
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.3450
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.6550
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.3350
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.6650
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.3350
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.6650
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.3250
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.6750
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.3200
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.6800
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.3200
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.6800
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.3200
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.3150
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.6850
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.3150
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.6850
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.3150
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.6850
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.3150
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.6850
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.3150
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.6850
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.3150
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.6850
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.3150
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.6850
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.3100
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.6900
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.3100
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.6900
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.6900
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.3100
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.6900
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.3100
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.6900
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.3100
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.6900
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.3100
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.6900
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.2950
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.2950
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.7050
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.2950
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.7050
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.2950
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.7100
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.7100
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.7100
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.7100
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.7100
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.7100
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.7100
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.2600
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.2600
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.2600
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.2600
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.2400
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.7600
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.7600
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.2400
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.7600
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.2400
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.7600
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.2400
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.7600
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.2400
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.7600
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.2400
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.7600
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.2400
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.7600
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.7500
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.2550
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.7450
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.2250
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.7750
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.2250
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.7750
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.2300
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.7700
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.2550
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4100
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5900
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4000
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.6000
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.4000
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.6000
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.4000
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.6000
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.2950
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.7050
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.2850
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.7150
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.2900
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.7100
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.2900
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.7100
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.6600
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.3400
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.6600
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.3400
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.6600
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.3450
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.6550
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.3350
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.6650
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.3350
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.6650
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.3250
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.6750
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.3200
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.6800
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.3200
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.6800
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.3200
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.3150
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.6850
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.3150
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.6850
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.3150
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.6850
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.3150
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.6850
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.3150
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.6850
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.3150
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.6850
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.3150
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.6850
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.3100
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.6900
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.3100
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.6900
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.6900
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.3100
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.6900
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.3100
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.6900
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.3100
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.6900
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.3300
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.6700
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.3200
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.6800
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.3100
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.6900
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.2900
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.7100
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.2950
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.2950
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.7050
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.2950
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.7050
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.2950
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.2850
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.7100
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.7100
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.7100
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.7100
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.7100
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.2950
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.7100
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.2900
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.7100
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.2600
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.2600
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.2600
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.2600
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.7400
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 417.968232
Price History:
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.2100
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.7900
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.2400
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.7600
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes