Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.7850
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.2750
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.7550
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.2450
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.7300
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.2700
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.6850
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.7100
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.2900
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.6850
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.3150
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.6950
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.6950
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.7850
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.2150
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.7150
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.2850
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.2800
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.7300
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.2700
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.7200
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.2800
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.7200
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.2800
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.7300
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.2700
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.7300
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.2700
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.7300
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.2700
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.7300
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.2700
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.2700
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.7800
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.7800
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.2200
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.6650
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.3350
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.6750
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.3250
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.6800
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.3200
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.3150
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.6750
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.3250
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.6750
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.3250
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.6750
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.3250
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.6700
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.3300
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.6750
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.3250
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.6650
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.3350
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.6650
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.3350
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.6750
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.6950
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.6950
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.3050
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.6850
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.3150
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.6700
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.3300
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.6950
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.3050
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.6850
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.3150
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.2950
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.7100
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.2900
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.7100
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.2900
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.7100
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.2900
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.7100
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.2900
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.7400
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.7400
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.2600
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.7900
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.7900
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.2100
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.7850
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.2150
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7850
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.7650
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.7850
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.2150
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.7850
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.2150
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.7800
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.2200
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.7800
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.2200
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.7900
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.7950
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.7950
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.8200
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.1800
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.8200
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1800
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.1800
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.8200
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1800
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.8250
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.8250
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1750
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8300
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8300
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.8350
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8300
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8400
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1600
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8600
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.1400
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8600
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.1400
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8600
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1400
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8650
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1250
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8550
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1450
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8350
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8300
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1700
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8400
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1600
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.7800
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.2200
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9400
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0600
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9805
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0195
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9650
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9690
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0310
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9685
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0315
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9690
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0310
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9725
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0275
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9360
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0640
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9600
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9620
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0380
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9720
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0280
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9685
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0315
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9675
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0325
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9680
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0320
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9735
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0265
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9740
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0260
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9765
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0235
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9780
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0220
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9805
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0195
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9775
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0225
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9805
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 671328, Buy volume: 66007506.22, Sell volume: 23535341.10, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9810

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9815
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0185
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9845
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9805
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0195
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0150
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9865
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9890
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0110
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9890
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0110
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9865
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9470
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0530
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9450
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0550
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9725
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0275
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9805
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0195
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9750
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0250
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9725
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0275
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9860
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0140
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9870
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0130
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9715
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0285
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9830
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 284242, Buy volume: 81417067.69, Sell volume: 7163243.53, Average price: 0.6372, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9825
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0175
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9825
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0175
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9860
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0140
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9865
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0135
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9870
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0130
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9860
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0140
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0145
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9910
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9780
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0220
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 454, Buy volume: 186862.79, Sell volume: 69380.61, Average price: 0.5651, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.7850
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.2750
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.7550
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.2450
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.7300
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.2700
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.6850
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.7100
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.2900
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.6850
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.3150
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.7850
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.2150
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.7150
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.2850
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.2800
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.7300
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.2700
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.7200
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.2800
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.7200
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.7800
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.2200
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.6650
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.3350
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.6750
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.3250
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.6800
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.3200
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.6850
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.3150
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.6750
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.3250
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.6750
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.6950
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.6950
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.3050
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.6850
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.3150
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.6700
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.3300
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.6950
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.3050
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.6800
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.6850
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.3150
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.2950
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.7100
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.2900
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.7100
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.7400
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.7400
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.2600
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.7900
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.7900
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.2100
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.7850
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.2150
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7850
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.7650
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.7950
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.7950
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1850
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.8100
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.1850
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.8150
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1850
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.8200
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8300
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8200
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1700
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8300
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8300
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1700
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8400
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1600
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8500
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1500
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8600
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.1400
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8600
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.1400
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.1250
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8600
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.1400
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8650
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8700
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8650
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1350
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1250
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8550
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.1450
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8350
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8300
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1700
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8400
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1600
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8700
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.7800
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.2200
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151005528.73, Sell volume: 32677444.14, Average price: 0.6098, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9805
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0195
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9650
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9690
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0310
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9685
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0315
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9690
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0310
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9725
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0275
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9360
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0640
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9600
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9620
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0380
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9720
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0280
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9685
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0315
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9675
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0325
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9680
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0320
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9735
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 671328, Buy volume: 66007506.22, Sell volume: 23535341.10, Average price: 0.5940, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9815
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0185
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9845
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9805
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0195
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0150
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9865
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9890
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0110
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9890
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0110
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9865
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9470
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0530
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9450
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0550
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9725
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0275
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9805
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0195
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9750
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 284242, Buy volume: 81417067.69, Sell volume: 7163243.53, Average price: 0.6372, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651677
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Volume: 752512.401939
Price History:
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9825
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0175
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9825
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0175
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9860
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0140
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9865
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0135
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9870
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0130
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9860
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0140
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0145
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9910
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9780
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0220
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 454, Buy volume: 186862.79, Sell volume: 69380.61, Average price: 0.5651, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0950
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.9050
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0950
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.9050
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.1000
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.9000
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0900
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9100
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.0700
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9300
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.0650
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9350
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.0650
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.9350
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0600
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9400
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0550
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0700
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.9300
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.0700
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.9300
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0700
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.9300
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0650
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9350
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.0600
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.9400
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0600
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.9400
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.0600
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.9400
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0600
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9400
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0600
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.9400
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0500
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.9500
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0500
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.9500
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1436.55, Sell volume: 172.93, Average price: 0.6168, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.9600
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.9600
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 152.27, Sell volume: 112.70, Average price: 0.5445, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.9600
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9600
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9600
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9600
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.9600
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9600
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9600
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.9600
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0400
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.9600
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.0400
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.9600
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0400
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9600
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0400
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9600
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.0400
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.9600
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0400
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.9600
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.0400
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.9600
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0360
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9640
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0360
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9640
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.0355
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.9645
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.0360
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9640
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0355
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9645
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0360
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.9640
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0355
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9645
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.0260
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9740
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.0255
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1053.69, Sell volume: 983.57, Average price: 0.5700, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0255
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9745
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0255
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.9745
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.0255
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9745
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0250
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9750
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0255
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9745
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.0250
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.9750
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.0255
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9745
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0250
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9750
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9755
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0245
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9750
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0250
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9750
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0250
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.9750
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.0250
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.9750
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0250
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0250
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9750
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9750
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0250
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.0250
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.9750
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0320
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.9680
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.0320
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.9680
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0320
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9680
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.0250
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9750
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.9710
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.0290
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.9785
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.0215
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.0205
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9795
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.0205
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 472.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0297, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.0300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9800
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0200
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0205
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9795
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.9795
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.0205
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0205
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9795
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9805
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0195
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.0195
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.9805
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0195
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.9805
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0210
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9790
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0245
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9755
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9755
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0245
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0245
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9755
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9755
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0245
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0245
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9755
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9755
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0245
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.9780
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.0220
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.0220
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.9780
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9780
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0220
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9785
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0215
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0220
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9780
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.9780
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0220
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.9765
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.0235
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.9765
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0235
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.9765
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0235
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.9770
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 304.09, Sell volume: 104.98, Average price: 0.2651, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9765
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0235
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9775
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0225
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.9765
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0235
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.9775
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0225
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9795
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0205
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.9795
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.0205
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.9795
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0205
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0190
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9810
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.9810
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.0190
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9810
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0190
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9805
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0195
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9810
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 226.03, Sell volume: 55.37, Average price: 0.8483, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0190
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9810
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.0195
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9805
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9805
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0195
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9805
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0195
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0195
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9805
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9810
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0190
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9810
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0190
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.9810
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0195
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9805
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0195
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9805
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0195
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9805
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9805
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0195
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 76.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6677, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9805
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0195
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0195
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9805
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.0195
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0190
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 56.20, Sell volume: 3.67, Average price: 0.6580, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0190
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9810
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0190
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9810
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0190
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9810
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0190
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9810
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0100
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9900
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0155
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9845
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0150
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9850
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0150
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0155
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9845
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0235
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.9765
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.0220
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.9780
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0200
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9800
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.0235
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 525.26, Sell volume: 576.40, Average price: 0.0184, Price range: 0.0032 - 0.0307

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0255
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9745
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0210
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9790
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.0255
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.9745
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0250
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9750
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0255
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.9745
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0220
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.9780
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0220
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.9780
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.0220
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9780
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0255
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9745
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0255
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9745
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0240
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9760
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0235
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9765
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.0230
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.9770
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9745
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0255
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9760
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.0240
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0255
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9745
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0220
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9780
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0250
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9750
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9790
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0210
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.0255
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.9745
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.0270
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.9730
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.0260
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.9740
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0230
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9770
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9735
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.7326, Price range: 0.0205 - 0.9710

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0270
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9730
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0270
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9730
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.0275
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.9725
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0270
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9730
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0270
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9730
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9720
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.0280
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.9720
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.0280
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0280
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9720
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9720
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0280
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9720
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0280
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9720
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.0280
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.0290
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9710
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0290
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9710
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.0285
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.9715
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9715
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0285
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9715
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0285
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0285
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9715
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9785
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0215
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9755
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0245
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9755
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0245
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9750
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0250
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0250
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9750
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9750
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.0250
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.9745
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 331.15, Sell volume: 99.98, Average price: 0.6582, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9760

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0250
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9750
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.9755
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0245
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9765
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0235
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0240
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9760
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9760
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.0240
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0230
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9770
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0245
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9755
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9765
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0235
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9760
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0240
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.9760
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.0240
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.9760
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.0240
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0240
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9760
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9765
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0235
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0235
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9765
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.9860
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.0140
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9850
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0150
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.9850
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0150
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9850
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0150
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0150
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9850
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.9860
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.0140
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.0115
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.9885
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9895
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0105
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9900
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.0100
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0125
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 434.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9837, Price range: 0.9810 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0080
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9920
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9770
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0230
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.9795
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.0205
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.0065
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.9935
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.9950
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.0050
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9980
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0020
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9980
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0055
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9950
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 164, Buy volume: 30440.36, Sell volume: 6986.04, Average price: 0.5856, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0950
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.9050
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0950
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.9050
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.1000
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.9000
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0900
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9100
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.0700
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9300
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.0650
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9350
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.0650
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.9350
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0600
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9400
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0550
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0700
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.9300
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.0700
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.9300
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0700
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.9300
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0650
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9350
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.0600
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.9400
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0600
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1436.55, Sell volume: 172.93, Average price: 0.6168, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.9550
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0450
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.9550
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.0450
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 152.27, Sell volume: 112.70, Average price: 0.5445, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.9600
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9600
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9600
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9600
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.9600
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9600
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9600
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.0400
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.9600
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0400
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.9600
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.0400
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.9600
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0400
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9600
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0400
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9600
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.0400
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.9600
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0400
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.9600
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.0400
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1053.69, Sell volume: 983.57, Average price: 0.5700, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0255
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9745
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0255
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.9745
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.0255
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9745
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0250
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9750
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0255
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9745
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.0250
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.9750
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.0255
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9745
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0250
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9750
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9755
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0245
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9750
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0250
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9750
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0250
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.9750
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.0250
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.9750
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0250
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0250
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9750
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9750
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 472.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0297, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.0300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9800
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0200
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0205
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9795
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.9795
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.0205
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0205
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9795
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9805
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0195
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.0195
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.9805
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0195
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.9805
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0210
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9790
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0245
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9755
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9755
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0245
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0245
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9755
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9755
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0245
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0245
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9755
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9755
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0245
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.9780
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 304.09, Sell volume: 104.98, Average price: 0.2651, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9765
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0235
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9775
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0225
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.9765
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0235
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.9775
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0225
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9795
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0205
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.9795
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.0205
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.9795
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0205
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 226.03, Sell volume: 55.37, Average price: 0.8483, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0190
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9810
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.0195
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9805
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9805
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0195
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9805
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0195
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0195
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9805
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9810
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0190
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9810
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0190
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.9810
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 76.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6677, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9805
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0195
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0195
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9805
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.0195
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 56.20, Sell volume: 3.67, Average price: 0.6580, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0190
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9810
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0190
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9810
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0190
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9810
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0190
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9810
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0100
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9900
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0155
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9845
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0150
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9850
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0150
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9850
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0150
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 525.26, Sell volume: 576.40, Average price: 0.0184, Price range: 0.0032 - 0.0307
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0255
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9745
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0210
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9790
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.0255
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.9745
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0250
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9750
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0255
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.9745
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0220
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.9780
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0220
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.9780
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.0220
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9780
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0255
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9745
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0255
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9745
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0240
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9760
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0235
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9765
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.0230
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.9770
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9745
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0255
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9760
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.7326, Price range: 0.0205 - 0.9710
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0270
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9730
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0270
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9730
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.0275
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.9725
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0270
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9730
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0270
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9730
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9720
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.0280
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.9720
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.0280
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0280
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9720
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9720
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0280
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9720
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0280
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9720
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.0280
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.0290
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9710
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0290
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9710
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.0285
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.9715
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9715
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 331.15, Sell volume: 99.98, Average price: 0.6582, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0250
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9750
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.9755
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0245
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9765
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0235
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0240
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9760
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9760
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.0240
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0230
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9770
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0245
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9755
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9765
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0235
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9760
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0240
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.9760
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.0240
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.9760
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.0240
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0240
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9760
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9765
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0235
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0235
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9765
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.9860
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 434.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9837, Price range: 0.9810 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571986
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
Volume: 48274.397257
Price History:
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0080
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9920
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9770
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0230
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.9795
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.0205
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.0065
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.9935
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.9950
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.0050
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9980
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0020
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9980
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0055
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9950
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 164, Buy volume: 30440.36, Sell volume: 6986.04, Average price: 0.5856, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.1600
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.8400
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.1700
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.8300
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.1300
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.8700
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.1300
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.1300
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.8700
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0950
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.9050
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.1000
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.9000
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.1000
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.9000
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0900
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9100
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0800
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.9200
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 782.44, Sell volume: 117.22, Average price: 0.6130, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9150
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.9150
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0800
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.9200
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0800
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9200
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0700
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.9300
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0700
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.9300
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0700
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.9300
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.9400
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 421.42, Sell volume: 108.70, Average price: 0.3999, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.9400
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9400
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9400
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9400
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.9400
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9400
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9400
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.9400
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0600
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.9400
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.0600
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.9400
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 465.47, Sell volume: 89.63, Average price: 0.5920, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 150.00, Sell volume: 250.00, Average price: 0.0550, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0500
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.9500
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9500
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0500
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.9595
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.0405
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0405
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.9595
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0415
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9585
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.0410
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.9590
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0415
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9585
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.9590
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0410
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0410
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.9590
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0415
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.9585
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.0415
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.9585
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.9585
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.0415
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9585
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0415
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.9640
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0360
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.0405
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.9595
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0400
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.9600
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0405
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9595
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.0415
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.9585
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0395
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9605
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0400
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9600
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.0395
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 241.66, Sell volume: 192.62, Average price: 0.5542, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9690

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0400
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9600
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.0405
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9595
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0355
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9645
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9590
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0410
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0400
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9600
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0355
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9645
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0360
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9640
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.0360
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.9640
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0360
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9640
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9640
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0360
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0360
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9640
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.0360
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9640
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0360
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9640
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9645
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0355
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0355
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.9645
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0360
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9640
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9645
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0355
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9640
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0360
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9640
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0360
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9630
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0370
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.0405
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9595
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0390
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.9610
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9695
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0305
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0310
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 100.41, Sell volume: 922.59, Average price: 0.0371, Price range: 0.0228 - 0.0500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0325
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9675
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9675
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0325
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0330
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9670
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9675
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0325
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9675
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0325
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9680
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0320
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9680
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0320
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.9680
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.0320
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9680
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0320
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9675
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0325
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9675
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0325
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9680
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0320
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9655
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0345
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9640
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0360
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.0355
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9645
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.0350
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.9650
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0350
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9650
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0350
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.9650
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.0350
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9650
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0325
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9675
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.0300
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9700
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0330
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9670
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0330
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9670
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0320
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.25, Average price: 0.0240, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.0240

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0310
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9690
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0310
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9690
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0290
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9710
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0285
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9715
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9715
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0285
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9730
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0270
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0280
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9720
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0270
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9730
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0280
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9720
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0275
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9725
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9695
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0305
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9730
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0270
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0285
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9715
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0275
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9725
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9715
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0285
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0280
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9720
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9720
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0280
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0305
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9695
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.0280
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.9720
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0310
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9690
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0395
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.9605
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.9615
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.0385
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0420
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9580
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.0400
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 335.75, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0454, Price range: 0.0434 - 0.0475

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9580
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0420
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9570
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0430
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.9610
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.0390
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0415
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9585
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0425
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.9575
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0410
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.9590
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0415
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.9585
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9575
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.0425
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0410
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9590
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9605
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0395
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0415
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9585
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0410
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9590
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.0420
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.9580
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0415
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9585
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.0415
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9585
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0415
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9585
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9585
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0415
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9585
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0415
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9590
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0410
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.9575
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.0425
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.9570
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.0430
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.0425
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.9575
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9630
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0370
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9625
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 232.38, Average price: 0.0356, Price range: 0.0356 - 0.0356

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0375
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9625
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9630
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0370
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.0375
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.9625
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9630
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0370
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0370
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9630
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.0415
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9585
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.0415
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.9585
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9585
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0415
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0415
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9585
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0415
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9585
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.0415
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9585
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.0415
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9585
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9585
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0415
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.0415
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.9585
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9585
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0415
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0405
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9595
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0405
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9595
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0360
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9640
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0405
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9595
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0405
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9595
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0410
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9590
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0410
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9590
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.0405
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9595
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0405
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 127.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6596, Price range: 0.0467 - 0.9660

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0400
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9600
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.9605
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0395
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0385
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9615
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0375
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9625
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.0365
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9635
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0320
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9680
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0310
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9690
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0305
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9695
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9700
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.0300
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.9700
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.0300
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.9700
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0300
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9700
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0300
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9700
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9700
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0300
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.9715
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.0285
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9725
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0275
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.9725
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0275
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9725
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0275
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0275
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9725
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.0275
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.9725
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.9730
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.0270
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9725
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0275
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9725
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.0275
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0275
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 281.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9781, Price range: 0.9770 - 0.9795

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9695
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0305
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9120
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0880
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.9640
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.0360
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.0130
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.9870
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.9765
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.0235
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9670
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0330
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9380
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0620
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.9665
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.0335
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9830
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0170
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0220
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9780
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9980
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.9990
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.0010
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 207, Buy volume: 33684.47, Sell volume: 14532.74, Average price: 0.5230, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.1600
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.8400
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.1700
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.8300
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.1300
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.8700
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.1300
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.1300
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.8700
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0950
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.9050
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.1000
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.9000
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.1000
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.9000
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0900
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9100
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 782.44, Sell volume: 117.22, Average price: 0.6130, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9150
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.9150
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0800
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.9200
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0800
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9200
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 421.42, Sell volume: 108.70, Average price: 0.3999, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.9400
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9400
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9400
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9400
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.9400
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9400
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9400
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.0600
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.9400
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0600
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.9400
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.0600
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.9400
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 465.47, Sell volume: 89.63, Average price: 0.5920, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 150.00, Sell volume: 250.00, Average price: 0.0550, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0500
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.9500
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9500
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0500
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.9595
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.0405
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0405
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.9595
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0415
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9585
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.0410
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.9590
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0415
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9585
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.9590
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0410
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0410
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.9590
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0415
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.9585
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.0415
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.9585
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.9585
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.0415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 241.66, Sell volume: 192.62, Average price: 0.5542, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0400
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9600
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.0405
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9595
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0355
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9645
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9590
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0410
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0400
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9600
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0355
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9645
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0360
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9640
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.0360
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.9640
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0360
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9640
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9640
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0360
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0360
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9640
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.0360
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9640
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0360
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9640
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9645
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0355
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0355
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 100.41, Sell volume: 922.59, Average price: 0.0371, Price range: 0.0228 - 0.0500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571987
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58887.221258
Price History:
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0325
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9675
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9675
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0325
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0330
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9670
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9675
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0325
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9675
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0325
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9680
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0320
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9680
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0320
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.9680
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.0320
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9680
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0320
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9675
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0325
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9675
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0325
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9680
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0320
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9655
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0345
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9640
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0360
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.0355
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.25, Average price: 0.0240, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.0240
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes