Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 15.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9922, Price range: 0.9914 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0110
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0110
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0110
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0110
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0110
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0110
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0105
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0105
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0090
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0090
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 83.83, Sell volume: 299.27, Average price: 0.5004, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0080
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.14, Sell volume: 25.07, Average price: 0.6650, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0070
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 619, Buy volume: 101021.23, Sell volume: 100433.65, Average price: 0.0154, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 119, Buy volume: 6898.57, Sell volume: 40659.42, Average price: 0.2142, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524348
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Putin" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3408.054773
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5300
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.4700
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4950
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4900
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5100
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.5150
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.5100
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.4900
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3408.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7055, Price range: 0.3994 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524348
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Putin" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3408.054773
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.4900
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.4950
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.4950
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.5050
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.4950
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3408.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7055, Price range: 0.3994 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524348
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Putin" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3408.054773
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.2850
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.7150
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.2850
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.7150
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5900
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.4100
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.5900
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.4100
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 35.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3994, Price range: 0.3994 - 0.3994
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524348
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Putin" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3408.054773
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.4100
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.5900
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.4100
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.6300
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.3700
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.6300
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.3700
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.6000
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.4000
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3408.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7055, Price range: 0.3994 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524348
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Putin" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3408.054773
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3408.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7055, Price range: 0.3994 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524348
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Putin" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3408.054773
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.4350
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.5650
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.4350
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.5550
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.4300
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.5700
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6550, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524348
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Putin" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3408.054773
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.4350
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.5650
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.5200
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.4800
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.4900
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.5100
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.4600
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.5400
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.4300
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.5700
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3408.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7055, Price range: 0.3994 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524348
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Putin" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3408.054773
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.6000
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.4000
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.6000
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.3600
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.6400
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.3800
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.6200
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.4000
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.6000
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.3700
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.6300
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3408.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7055, Price range: 0.3994 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524348
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Putin" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3408.054773
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.6400
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.4000
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.6000
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.6400
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.4000
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.6000
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.6400
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3408.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7055, Price range: 0.3994 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524348
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Putin" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3408.054773
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.6400
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.3700
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.6300
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.4000
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.6000
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.6400
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.4100
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.5900
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.3700
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524348
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Putin" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3408.054773
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.4000
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.6000
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.6400
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.6400
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.4000
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.6000
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.3600
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.6400
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3408.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7055, Price range: 0.3994 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524348
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Putin" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3408.054773
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.6150
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.4400
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.5600
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.4400
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.5600
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.4400
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.5600
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.4400
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.5600
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.5350
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.4650
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.4950
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3408.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7055, Price range: 0.3994 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524348
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Putin" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3408.054773
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.4550
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.5450
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.5400
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.4600
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.5100
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.4900
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.4850
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.5150
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.5600
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.4400
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0055
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3348.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7629, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582277
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3762.533598
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5250
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4750
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0750
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9250
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9250
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9745
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0255
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9745
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0255
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 952.09, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.7484, Price range: 0.0217 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582277
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3762.533598
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0245
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9755
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0225
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0225
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0225
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0225
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9775
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0225
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0225
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9775
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0225
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9775
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9775
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0225
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9810
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0190
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 237.39, Sell volume: 301.09, Average price: 0.9109, Price range: 0.0208 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582277
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3762.533598
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0160
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9840
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0160
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9840
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0160
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9840
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9840
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0160
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0160
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9840
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0160
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9840
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9840
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0160
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0160
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9840
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0160
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9840
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0160
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9840
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0160
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9840
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0160
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9840
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0160
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9840
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0160
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 291.83, Sell volume: 134.99, Average price: 0.9002, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582277
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3762.533598
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0110
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9890
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0110
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9890
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0110
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9890
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0110
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9890
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0110
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9890
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0110
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9890
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0110
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9890
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0110
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9890
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0110
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9890
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0110
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9890
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9890
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0110
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0075
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9925
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9925
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0075
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9925
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0075
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9925
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 118.00, Sell volume: 41.00, Average price: 0.6658, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9973
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582277
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3762.533598
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9905
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 3015.06, Sell volume: 747.47, Average price: 0.8871, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582277
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3762.533598
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0080
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0080
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0080
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0080
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0080
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9900
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0100
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0100
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 109.14, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0021 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582277
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3762.533598
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9900
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0100
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9900
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0100
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9900
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0100
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9900
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0100
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9900
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0100
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9900
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0100
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0100
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9900
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0100
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9900
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9900
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0100
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9900
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0100
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0095
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9905
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9910
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0090
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0090
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 3015.06, Sell volume: 747.47, Average price: 0.8871, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582277
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3762.533598
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9925
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9920
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9920
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9920
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9920
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9920
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9920
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0080
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9920
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0080
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9920
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0080
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9920
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0085
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9915
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0085
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9915
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0085
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9915
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0085
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9905
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582277
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3762.533598
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9940
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0060
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9940
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9940
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0060
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9940
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 3015.06, Sell volume: 747.47, Average price: 0.8871, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582277
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3762.533598
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 3015.06, Sell volume: 747.47, Average price: 0.8871, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582277
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3762.533598
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 3015.06, Sell volume: 747.47, Average price: 0.8871, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582277
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3762.533598
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 452.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582277
Question: Will Valérie Pécresse be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 3762.533598
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0055
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9945
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9945
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9945
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0055
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9945
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0055
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9945
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9945
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0055
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9945
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0055
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9945
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0055
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9945
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0055
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0055
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9945
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9945
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0055
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9945
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0055
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9945
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0055
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9945
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0055
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9945
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 676.61, Sell volume: 20.39, Average price: 0.9322, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9000
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9050
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.8900
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 490.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1133, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.1200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.8800
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.1200
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8800
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.1200
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1200
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8800
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.8850
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 490.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.8900
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 787, Buy volume: 113886.72, Sell volume: 144776.26, Average price: 0.0711, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9000
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9000
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.1000
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 588.85, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7150, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9645
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9645
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0405
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9600
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0395
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9605
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0390
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9610
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9650
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0345
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9655
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9655
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0345
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9655
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0345
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9655
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0345
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 787, Buy volume: 113886.72, Sell volume: 144776.26, Average price: 0.0711, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0345
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9660
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0340
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9660
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0340
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9660
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0340
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9660
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0340
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9660
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0340
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9660
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0340
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9660
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9650
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9645
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0355
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9645
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0355
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9560
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0395
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 548.67, Sell volume: 363.85, Average price: 0.6510, Price range: 0.0449 - 0.9601
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0335
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9665
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0335
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9660
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0340
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9660
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0340
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9800
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9800
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9845
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0155
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9845
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0155
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9845
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0155
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9845
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0155
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9845
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0155
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9845
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0155
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9845
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0145
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9865
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1186.29, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.3349, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9747
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9910
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9910
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9910
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9910
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 15.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9922, Price range: 0.9914 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9905
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9905
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0110
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0110
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9890
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9900
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0105
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0105
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9910
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9910
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 83.83, Sell volume: 299.27, Average price: 0.5004, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9920
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0080
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9920
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 39.14, Sell volume: 25.07, Average price: 0.6650, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0070
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 619, Buy volume: 101021.23, Sell volume: 100433.65, Average price: 0.0154, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657156
Question: Will Google dip to $235 in November?
Volume: 258662.980195
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 119, Buy volume: 6898.57, Sell volume: 40659.42, Average price: 0.2142, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5250
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4550
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.5450
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4650
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5350
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.4650
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5350
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4650
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5350
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.4450
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.5550
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2051.90, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.5550
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.4350
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.5650
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.4350
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.5650
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2051.90, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2051.90, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.6050
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.6050
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.6050
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2051.90, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.6050
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.6050
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.6050
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2051.90, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2051.90, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.4000
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.6000
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2051.90, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.6000
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.4000
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.6000
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2051.90, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.3100
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.6900
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.4000
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.6000
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.4000
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.6000
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2051.90, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.3850
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.6150
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.3850
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.6150
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.4400
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.5600
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 7.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6300, Price range: 0.6300 - 0.6300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.4200
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.5800
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.4200
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.5800
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2051.90, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.4400
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.5600
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.4400
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.5600
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.4050
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.5950
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.3200
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.6800
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.3200
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.6800
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.2500
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 565.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5570, Price range: 0.3688 - 0.6822

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.2300
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.7700
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.3150
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.6850
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.3400
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.6600
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.2100
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.7900
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.2550
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.7450
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.7350
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9955
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0045
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1478.03, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6543, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5250
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4750
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.7600
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.2400
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9200
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0800
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9400
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0600
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9550
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9745
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0255
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0255
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9745
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0240
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9760
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9755
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0245
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0205
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9795
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0205
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9795
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9735
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0265
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0265
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1718.33, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6859, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0265
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9735
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0265
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9735
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0320
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9680
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0315
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9685
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9685
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0315
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0315
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9685
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9685
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0315
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9685
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0315
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0315
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9685
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0310
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9690
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9685
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0315
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9690
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0310
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9665
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0335
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9665
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0335
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9665
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0335
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9665
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0335
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0315
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9685
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9725
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0275
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0275
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9725
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0275
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9725
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0275
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9725
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9725
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0275
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9710
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0290
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9710
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 321.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8379, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9710
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0290
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9715
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0285
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9715
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0285
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9710
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0290
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0290
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9710
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0290
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9710
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9710
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0290
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9710
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0290
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9710
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0290
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9710
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0290
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0290
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9710
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9710
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0290
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0290
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9710
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9700
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0300
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0340
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9660
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0350
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9650
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9630
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0370
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9670
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0330
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0365
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9635
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0270
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9730
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0270
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9730
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9730
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0270
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9650
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0350
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9650
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2574.07, Sell volume: 2087.27, Average price: 0.5454, Price range: 0.0168 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9660
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0340
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9660
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0340
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9680
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0320
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0325
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0325
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0325
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0330
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9670
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0350
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9650
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0340
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9660
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9665
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0335
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0335
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9665
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0360
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9640
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9670
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0330
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0330
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9670
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9670
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0330
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0330
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 386.01, Sell volume: 625.99, Average price: 0.3865, Price range: 0.0303 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9745
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0255
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9745
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0255
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0200
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9800
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9800
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0200
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0200
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9800
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9805
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0195
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9805
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9810
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0190
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0220
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9780
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9780
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0220
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9790
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0210
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 13602.01, Sell volume: 4682.92, Average price: 0.7489, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9795
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0205
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0205
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9795
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0205
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9795
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0205
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9795
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9815
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0185
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9815
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0185
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9815
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0185
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9820
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 54.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9882, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0110
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9890
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9890
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0110
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9890
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0110
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9890
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0110
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9880
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9810
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0190
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9810
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0190
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9810
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0190
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0190
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9810
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0190
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9810
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9815
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0185
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0185
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9815
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9855
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0145
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 85.83, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9855
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0145
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0145
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9855
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9855
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0145
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9780
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0220
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9780
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0220
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9775
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0225
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9760
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0240
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9750
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9770
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0230
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9755
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0245
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0260
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9740
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0260
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9740
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9725
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0275
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0275
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9725
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0275
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9725
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0275
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9725
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0280
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 920.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0296, Price range: 0.0282 - 0.0310

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0275
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9725
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0275
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9725
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0275
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9725
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0285
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9715
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0280
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9720
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0280
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9720
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0285
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9715
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9720
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0280
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0280
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9720
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9715
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0285
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9720
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0280
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9720
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0280
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0285
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9715
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0275
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0275
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0275
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0280
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9720
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9715
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0285
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0240
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9760
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0240
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9760
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9760
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0240
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9760
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0240
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0240
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9760
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9760
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 13602.01, Sell volume: 4682.92, Average price: 0.7489, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0240
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9760
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0235
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9765
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0295
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9705
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9705
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0295
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9705
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0295
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0295
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9705
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9705
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.6597, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0330, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.0330

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9725
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0275
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0205
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9795
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0085
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9915
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0065
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0065
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9940
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0130
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0130
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0130
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9865
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0135
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9905
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0095
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9905
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0095
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9945
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1328.78, Sell volume: 927.94, Average price: 0.8959, Price range: 0.0116 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9865
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0135
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9865
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0135
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0125
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9855
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0145
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9880
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9885
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9880
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9840
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0160
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9660
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0340
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9635
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0365
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9645
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0355
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0355
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9645
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9640
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0360
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0365
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9635
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0250
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9750
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9830
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0170
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 5087.68, Sell volume: 717.90, Average price: 0.8248, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5250
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4750
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.7600
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.2400
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9200
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0800
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9400
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0600
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9550
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9745
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0255
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0255
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9745
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0240
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9760
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9755
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0245
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1718.33, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6859, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0265
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9735
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0265
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9735
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0320
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9680
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0315
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9685
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9685
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0315
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0315
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9685
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9685
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0315
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9685
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0315
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0315
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9685
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0310
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9690
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9685
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0315
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9690
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0310
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9665
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0335
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9665
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0335
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9665
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 321.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8379, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9710
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0290
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9715
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0285
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9715
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0285
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9710
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0290
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0290
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9710
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0290
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9710
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9710
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0290
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9710
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0290
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9710
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0290
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9710
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0290
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0290
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9710
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9710
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0290
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0290
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9710
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9700
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0300
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0340
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2574.07, Sell volume: 2087.27, Average price: 0.5454, Price range: 0.0168 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9660
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0340
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9660
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0340
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9680
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0320
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0325
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0325
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0325
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0330
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 386.01, Sell volume: 625.99, Average price: 0.3865, Price range: 0.0303 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9745
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0255
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9745
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0255
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0200
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9800
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9800
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0200
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0200
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9800
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9805
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0195
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9805
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9810
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 13602.01, Sell volume: 4682.92, Average price: 0.7489, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0215
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9785
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 54.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9882, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0110
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9890
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9890
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0110
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9890
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0110
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9890
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0110
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9880
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9810
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0190
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9810
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0190
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9810
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0190
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0190
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9810
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0190
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9810
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9815
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0185
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0185
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9815
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9855
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0145
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 85.83, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9855
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0145
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0145
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9855
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9855
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0145
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9780
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0220
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9780
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0220
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9775
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0225
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9760
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0240
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9750
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9770
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0230
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 920.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0296, Price range: 0.0282 - 0.0310
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0275
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9725
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0275
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9725
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0275
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9725
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0285
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9715
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0280
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9720
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0280
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9720
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0285
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9715
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9720
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0280
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0280
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9720
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9715
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0285
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9720
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0280
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9720
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0280
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0285
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9715
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0275
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0275
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 13602.01, Sell volume: 4682.92, Average price: 0.7489, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0240
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9760
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0235
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9765
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0295
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9705
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9705
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0295
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9705
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0295
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0295
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9705
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9705
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.6597, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0295
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9705
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0330, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.0330
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0295
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9725
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0275
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0205
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9795
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0085
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9915
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0065
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0065
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9940
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1328.78, Sell volume: 927.94, Average price: 0.8959, Price range: 0.0116 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582279
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 18284.927571
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9865
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0135
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9865
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0135
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0125
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9855
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0145
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9880
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9885
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9880
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9840
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0160
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9660
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0340
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9635
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 5087.68, Sell volume: 717.90, Average price: 0.8248, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5250
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4550
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.5450
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4650
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5350
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.4650
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5350
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4650
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5350
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.5500
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.4450
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.5550
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2051.90, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.5550
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.4350
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.5650
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.4350
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.5650
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2051.90, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2051.90, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.4200
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.5800
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.4050
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.5950
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.6050
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.6050
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.6050
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2051.90, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.6050
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.6050
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.6050
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2051.90, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2051.90, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524350
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Border" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2784.236807
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.4000
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.6000
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2051.90, Sell volume: 732.34, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No