Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.2650
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.7300
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.2700
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.7300
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.2550
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.7500
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.2500
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.7500
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.2550
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.7400
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.2600
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.7350
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.7100
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.2900
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.7100
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.2900
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.3000
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.6950
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.3500
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.8400
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8400
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8350
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.1650
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.8350
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.1550
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.8500
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.1600
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.8400
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.1600
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8100
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1825.42, Sell volume: 922.97, Average price: 0.3454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 176, Buy volume: 38263.63, Sell volume: 6659.32, Average price: 0.2464, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.6050
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.7050
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.2900
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.7450
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.4400
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2600
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.6850
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.6850
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.6850
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 877.68, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.4580, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.6900
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.6850
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.2900
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.7050
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.6950
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.3050
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.3050
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.6850
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.3050
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.3050
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 173.00, Average price: 0.4850, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.7000
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.2950
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 285, Buy volume: 45756.24, Sell volume: 8300.97, Average price: 0.3225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.7100
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1400
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.2800, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.2800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.8500
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.8600
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8100
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.8400
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.8400
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.1600
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.8400
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.1600
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.1550
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.8450
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.8450
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.1550
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.8500
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.1500
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.8500
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.8500
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.1500
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.8500
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.1500
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.8500
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.1500
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.8050
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.7850
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 203.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1900, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.1900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.7600
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.7600
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.2400
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.7600
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.2400
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.7600
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.7600
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.7600
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.2400
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.7600
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.7500
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2500
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2500
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.2500
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.2500
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 38.46, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2600, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.2600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.8200
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8100
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1900
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.1900
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.8100
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8200
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.8200
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8200
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.8200
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.2650
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.2650
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.7350
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 235.58, Sell volume: 13.78, Average price: 0.3397, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.2550
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.2550
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.2550
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.7450
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.7450
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.2550
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.2550
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.7450
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.2550
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.2550
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.2600
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.7400
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.7400
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.2600
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.2800
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.7200
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.7200
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.7200
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.2800
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.2800
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.7200
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 24.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2950
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.7100
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.3000
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.2900
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.2600
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.2550
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.7450
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.7300
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.7300
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 121.29, Sell volume: 55.99, Average price: 0.2950, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.3200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.2550
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.2550
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7450
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.7450
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.2600
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.2600
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.2600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.7400
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.2600
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7400
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 9.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.2350
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2350
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.7550
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2450
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.7600
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.7600
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.7500
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.2450
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 239.76, Sell volume: 12.90, Average price: 0.7570, Price range: 0.7400 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.2650
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.7500
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.2500
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.7350
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.2950
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.7100
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.2900
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.7000
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.6950
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1600
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8350
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.1600
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.8500
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.1600
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.8400
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1825.42, Sell volume: 922.97, Average price: 0.3454, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600444
Question: Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 54057.211987
Price History:
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 176, Buy volume: 38263.63, Sell volume: 6659.32, Average price: 0.2464, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.5950
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.2750
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.7550
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.7550
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.2400
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.7600
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.7600
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.7650
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.2350
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.2350
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.2250
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.2600
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.8100
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.8350
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.1700
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.1950
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.1950
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.1950
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.8050
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.1950
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.8050
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.1950
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.1950
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.8050
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.8050
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.8100
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.8100
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.1900
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.8100
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.1900
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.8100
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.1900
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8100
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.1900
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.8100
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.8100
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.1900
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.1900
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.8100
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.8100
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.1900
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.1900
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.8100
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.8100
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.8100
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.1900
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.1900
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.1900
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 939.23, Sell volume: 125.01, Average price: 0.4449, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.1900
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.8100
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.8100
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.1900
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.1900
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.1900
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.8100
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.1900
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.8050
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.1950
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.8300
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.1700
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.8250
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.1750
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.8450
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.1500
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.8550
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.1450
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.1450
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.1450
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.1350
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.1350
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.8650
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.8650
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.8650
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.8650
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.8650
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.8650
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.1350
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.8650
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.1350
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.1350
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.1350
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.1350
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.8650
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.1350
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.1350
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.8650
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 875.90, Sell volume: 5.26, Average price: 0.4830, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.1350
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.8650
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.8750
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.8750
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.1250
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.1250
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1100
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.8900
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.8900
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.1100
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.1100
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 179.34, Sell volume: 180.83, Average price: 0.4220, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.8900
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.1100
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9000
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.1000
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9000
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9000
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.1000
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.1000
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9000
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.1000
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.8950
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.1050
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.1150
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.1150
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.1100
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.1100
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.1100
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.1000
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0650
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0650
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 692.69, Sell volume: 926.46, Average price: 0.4805, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0800
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9250
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9250
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0750
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9250
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9250
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0900
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0900
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0900
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9100
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0900
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0900
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0900
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0900
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9100
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0900
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9100
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0900
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9100
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9100
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9150
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 372.22, Sell volume: 411.68, Average price: 0.5378, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0850
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9100
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0850
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0850
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0850
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0850
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0850
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9150
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0850
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9150
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9150
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9150
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9150
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0850
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0850
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0850
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9150
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0850
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9200
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 13.04, Sell volume: 111.11, Average price: 0.4995, Price range: 0.0790 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9200
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9150
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0850
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0850
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0850
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0850
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0850
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0850
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9150
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9200
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0800
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9200
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 615.71, Sell volume: 26.00, Average price: 0.5075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9200
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0800
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9200
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0850
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9150
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0850
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9150
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9150
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9200
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0800
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0800
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9200
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0800
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 454.11, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.5643, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9350
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9350
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0700
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9350
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9350
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0650
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0650
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9350
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9350
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9350
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9350
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9350
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9350
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9350
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9350
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0650
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 223.32, Sell volume: 124.15, Average price: 0.5858, Price range: 0.0690 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0650
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9350
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0650
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0550
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9450
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0550
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9450
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0550
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9450
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9450
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9450
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0550
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9450
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0550
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0550
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9450
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0450
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9550
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0355
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0350
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9650
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0355
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0350
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9650
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9650
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0350
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0300
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0300
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9685
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0310
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9685
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9690
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9685
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9685
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9685
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9655
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9675
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9675
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0325
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9675
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9675
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9675
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0280
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9720
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9720
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1540.38, Sell volume: 224.09, Average price: 0.4979, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9698

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9720
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9720
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0290
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9720
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0350
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9645
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0360
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9645
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9665
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9665
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0335
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9665
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0335
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.9665
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0335
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9670
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0330
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0330
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0330
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9670
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0330
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0330
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9655
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9655
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0345
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0345
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0345
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9655
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9655
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0340
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9750
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0230
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9780
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0215
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9910
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9905
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0090
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0095
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9945
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9900
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9930
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0110
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0110
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9890
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0120
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 3343.47, Sell volume: 369.66, Average price: 0.5619, Price range: 0.0037 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9950
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9950
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0045
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0060
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0060
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0055
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9945
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0055
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0055
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9950
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9955
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0045
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9955
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 166, Buy volume: 37603.80, Sell volume: 25618.86, Average price: 0.1828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.5950
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.2400
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.2400
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.2350
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.2350
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.2150
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.1700
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.8050
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.8050
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.1950
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.8050
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.8050
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.8050
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.1900
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.8100
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.1900
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.8100
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.1900
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.8100
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8100
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.8100
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.8100
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.1900
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.8100
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.8100
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.8100
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 939.23, Sell volume: 125.01, Average price: 0.4449, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.1900
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.8100
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.8100
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.1900
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.8100
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.1950
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.8300
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.1700
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.8250
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.1500
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.8550
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.1350
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.8650
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.1350
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.8650
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.1350
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.8650
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.1350
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.8650
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.1350
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.8650
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.8650
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.1350
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 875.90, Sell volume: 5.26, Average price: 0.4830, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.8650
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.8650
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.1250
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.8750
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.1100
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.1100
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8900
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.1100
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 179.34, Sell volume: 180.83, Average price: 0.4220, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.1100
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9000
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.1000
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.1000
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.1000
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9000
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.1050
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.1100
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.8900
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 692.69, Sell volume: 926.46, Average price: 0.4805, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0750
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0750
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0900
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9100
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0900
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9100
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9100
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0900
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9100
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0900
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9100
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0900
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 372.22, Sell volume: 411.68, Average price: 0.5378, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0850
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0850
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0850
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0850
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0850
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0850
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9150
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0850
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0800
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0850
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0850
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 13.04, Sell volume: 111.11, Average price: 0.4995, Price range: 0.0790 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9200
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0800
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9150
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0850
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0850
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0850
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 615.71, Sell volume: 26.00, Average price: 0.5075, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9200
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0800
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9150
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0850
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9200
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0800
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0800
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 454.11, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.5643, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0650
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9350
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9350
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9350
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9350
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9350
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 223.32, Sell volume: 124.15, Average price: 0.5858, Price range: 0.0690 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0650
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9350
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0650
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0550
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9450
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0550
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9450
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9450
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9450
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9450
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0450
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0450
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0355
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0355
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0350
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0350
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0300
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0300
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9690
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9690
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0315
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0315
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9675
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9675
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0325
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9675
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0280
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1540.38, Sell volume: 224.09, Average price: 0.4979, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9698
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9720
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9720
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0280
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9645
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0355
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0335
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0335
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0335
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0335
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9670
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9670
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9670
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0330
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9695
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9655
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0345
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0345
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0345
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9750
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0225
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9895
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9905
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9905
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0055
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9900
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9880
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9880
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 3343.47, Sell volume: 369.66, Average price: 0.5619, Price range: 0.0037 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578679
Question: Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?
Volume: 81237.271068
Price History:
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9950
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0040
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9940
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0055
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9945
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0045
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 166, Buy volume: 37603.80, Sell volume: 25618.86, Average price: 0.1828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.6050
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.5200
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5200
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.4600
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.4500
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.5500
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.5850
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.3750
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.6550
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.4150
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.5750
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.4150
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.4150
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.5900
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.4100
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.5900
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.5900
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.4100
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.6000
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.4000
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.6150
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.2150
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.7100
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.2700
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.2450
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.7200
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.2850
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.7100
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.2750
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.2750
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.7200
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.3000
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.7500
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.2900
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.7250
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.3000
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 621.36, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.5997, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.7350
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.7350
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.2700
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.7300
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.7350
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.2750
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.7450
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.7450
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.7550
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.7600
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.2400
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.2400
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.2400
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2400
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.2400
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.7550
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.2450
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.7550
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.2450
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.2450
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.2450
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.2450
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.7550
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 149.00, Average price: 0.2300, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.2300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.7750
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.7550
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.7550
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.7550
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.7550
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2450
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.7550
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.2450
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.2450
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.2450
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.7550
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.2450
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.7550
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.7450
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.2500
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7500
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.2500
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.2500
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.2500
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.2500
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.7550
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.7550
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.2500
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2500
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7500
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 30.77, Sell volume: 665.56, Average price: 0.6273, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7694

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 775, Buy volume: 99490.42, Sell volume: 528278.92, Average price: 0.0938, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.7200
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.7250
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.7250
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.2800
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.2800
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.2800
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.7250
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.7250
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.7300
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.7300
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.2700
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.7300
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.2700
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.2700
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.2700
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.7300
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.7300
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.2700
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.7300
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.2450
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.7550
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.7300
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.2700
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 775, Buy volume: 99490.42, Sell volume: 528278.92, Average price: 0.0938, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.7350
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.7500
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.7550
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.2450
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.7600
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.2450
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.2450
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.2450
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.7550
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.7350
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.7100
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.2900
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.7550
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.2450
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.7400
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.2450
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.2900
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.7250
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.2450
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.7050
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.7050
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.2950
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.2900
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.7450
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.2900
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2900
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.7800
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.8000
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.1950
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.7100
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2900
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.2650
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.7450
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 30.76, Average price: 0.2316, Price range: 0.2316 - 0.2316

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.8000
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.8000
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.8050
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8050
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.8000
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.7850
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.2500
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.7350
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.2250
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.7500
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.7450
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.2600
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.7400
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.2600
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.7400
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.7950
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.2950
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.3300
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.6750
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 117.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4268, Price range: 0.4268 - 0.4268

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.3650
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.3250
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.6400
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.3250
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.3200
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.6750
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.3250
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.3250
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.6750
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.6750
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.6750
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.3250
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.6750
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.3250
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.3250
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.6750
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.6750
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.3400
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.6550
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.3350
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.6450
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.3450
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.6350
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.3550
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.3350
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.3550
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.3450
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.6350
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.3550
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.3650
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.6500
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.6500
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.6600
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.3600
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.6500
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.3500
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 174.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6982, Price range: 0.6982 - 0.6982

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.7100
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.2900
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.2950
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.7000
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.3050
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.3050
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.6900
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.3100
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.6900
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.3100
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.3100
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.3100
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.3100
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.3100
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.3100
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.3100
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.6250
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.3750
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 55.86, Sell volume: 12.50, Average price: 0.3125, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.3302

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.3650
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.6350
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.3650
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.6300
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.6350
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.3650
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.6350
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.3650
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.6200
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.6200
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.6150
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.6150
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.3850
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.6150
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.3800
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.6200
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.3800
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.6150
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.4050
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.5900
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.4100
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.4150
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.4150
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.5850
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.6000
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.6050
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.6050
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.3950
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.6100
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.6100
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.4050
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.5950
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.3950
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.3650
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.6350
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.6350
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.3650
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.3750
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 775, Buy volume: 99490.42, Sell volume: 528278.92, Average price: 0.0938, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6450
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.3550
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.6450
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.3550
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.3550
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.6450
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.3500
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.3500
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.6500
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.3500
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.6500
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.3500
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.6500
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.3500
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.6550
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.3400
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.6600
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.3400
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.6600
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.3400
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.6600
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.3400
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.6600
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.3450
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.3500
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.6550
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.3450
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.6550
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.3450
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.6750
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.3250
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.6850
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.3150
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.7050
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.2950
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.1650
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.8400
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.1600
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.8450
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1550
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8500
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 274.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7570, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9000
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9000
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.1100
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.8850
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.1400
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8350
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.1550
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.8500
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.8450
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.1600
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.8550
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.1150
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8850
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1150
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 172, Buy volume: 19608.87, Sell volume: 142435.36, Average price: 0.1372, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 524, Buy volume: 72380.00, Sell volume: 320510.85, Average price: 0.0487, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.4300
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.5400
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5200
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.5500
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.4500
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.5800
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.3450
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.5750
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.5850
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.4100
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.5850
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.4100
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.5900
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.5950
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.4000
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.6150
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.7200
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.3200
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.2700
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.7550
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.2800
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.7100
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.2750
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.6900
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.7500
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.2750
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 621.36, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.5997, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.7350
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.2700
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.2700
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.2650
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.7600
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.7600
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2400
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.2450
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.7550
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.2450
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.7550
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.7550
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.2450
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.7550
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 149.00, Average price: 0.2300, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.2300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.7750
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.2450
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.7550
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2450
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7550
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.2450
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.7550
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.2550
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.7450
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.2500
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.2500
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.2450
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.2500
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7500
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2500
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2500
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7500
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 30.77, Sell volume: 665.56, Average price: 0.6273, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7694
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 775, Buy volume: 99490.42, Sell volume: 528278.92, Average price: 0.0938, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.7100
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7200
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.7450
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.7250
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.7200
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.7250
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.2700
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.2700
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.7300
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.2700
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.7300
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2700
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 775, Buy volume: 99490.42, Sell volume: 528278.92, Average price: 0.0938, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.7100
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.7550
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.2450
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.7550
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.7550
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.2900
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.7100
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.2450
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.2600
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.7350
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.2900
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.2650
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.7050
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.7100
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.2950
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.7450
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.7100
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2900
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2000
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.8050
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2900
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 30.76, Average price: 0.2316, Price range: 0.2316 - 0.2316
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.7850
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1950
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.1950
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.7850
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.2650
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.7350
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.2550
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.7400
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.2800
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.7950
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.6700
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 117.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4268, Price range: 0.4268 - 0.4268
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.3650
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.3400
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.6750
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.3200
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.6750
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.6750
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.6750
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.3250
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.3250
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.3250
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.6600
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.3350
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.6650
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.6450
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.6550
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.3550
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.3450
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.3450
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.6500
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.3400
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.3550
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.3550
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.3500
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 174.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6982, Price range: 0.6982 - 0.6982
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.7100
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.2900
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.3050
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.6950
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.3100
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.6900
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.6950
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.3100
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.3100
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.3100
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.3100
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.6900
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.6900
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.3100
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 55.86, Sell volume: 12.50, Average price: 0.3125, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.3302
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.3650
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.3650
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.6350
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.6350
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.3650
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.6200
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.6150
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.3850
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.6200
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.3800
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.4100
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.4150
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4150
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.6000
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.3950
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.3950
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.3900
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.5950
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.3950
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.3650
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.6350
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.3650
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 775, Buy volume: 99490.42, Sell volume: 528278.92, Average price: 0.0938, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6450
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.3550
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.6450
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.3550
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.6500
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.3550
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.6500
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.3500
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.6500
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.3500
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.6600
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.3400
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.6600
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.3450
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.6600
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.3450
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.6500
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.3450
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.6550
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.3050
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.6850
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.6850
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.2950
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.3000
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.8350
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.1600
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.8450
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 274.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7570, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.1000
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9000
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.1150
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8350
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.1500
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.1600
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8850
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1150
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 172, Buy volume: 19608.87, Sell volume: 142435.36, Average price: 0.1372, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600445
Question: Will CDA win 25–27 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 627769.34014
Price History:
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 524, Buy volume: 72380.00, Sell volume: 320510.85, Average price: 0.0487, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600446
Question: Will CDA win 28 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34711.819109
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.4750
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.4650
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.4650
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.5350
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.5400
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.5400
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.4600
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.5550
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.4400
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.5550
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.2200
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.7800
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2400
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.7750
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.7750
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.7850
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.2150
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.2150
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.8350
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.1750
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.8250
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.1750
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.8250
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.1750
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9000
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9000
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.8850
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.1150
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.8850
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.1400
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.8500
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.1500
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.8500
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.1500
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.8500
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.8500
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.1500
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.1500
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.1500
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.8500
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.1500
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.8500
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.1550
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.8450
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6425, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600446
Question: Will CDA win 28 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34711.819109
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.1700
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.1700
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.1700
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.8250
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.1750
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.8250
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.8250
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.8250
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.1750
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.1750
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.8250
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.1750
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.8250
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.1750
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.8250
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.2100
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.2100
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.2100
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.7900
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.7900
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.2100
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.7900
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7900
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.2100
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.7900
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.7900
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.2100
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.2100
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.2100
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.2100
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.7950
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.2050
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.2100
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.2100
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.7950
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.2100
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.2000
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600446
Question: Will CDA win 28 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34711.819109
Price History:
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.2100
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.2100
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.7900
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.8000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.2000
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.8150
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1850
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.8400
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 185, Buy volume: 22476.47, Sell volume: 12235.35, Average price: 0.3515, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600446
Question: Will CDA win 28 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34711.819109
Price History:
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.1550
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.8450
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.1550
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.1550
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.1550
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.8450
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.1550
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.8450
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.1550
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.8450
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.1550
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.8450
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.1550
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.8450
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.1500
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.1500
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.1500
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.8500
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.1500
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.8500
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.1550
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.8450
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.1550
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.1550
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1600
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8400
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.4850, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600446
Question: Will CDA win 28 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34711.819109
Price History:
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.1650
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.8350
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.1650
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.8350
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.1650
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.8350
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.1650
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 55.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800

Output: No