Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.9410
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.9410
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.9410
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.9400
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.9390
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.9400
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.9430
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.9405
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.9395
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.9405
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.9420
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.9410
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.9415
2025-01-08 11:00: 0.9415
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.9415
2025-01-08 13:00: 0.9435
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.9425
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.9430
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.9410
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.9410
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.9410
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.9410
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.9415
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.9415
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.9445
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.9445
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.9445
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.9445
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.9445
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.9445
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.9450
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.9465
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.9455
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.9460
2025-01-09 09:00: 0.9465
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.9465
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.9475
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.9460
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.9495
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.9465
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.9460
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.9470
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.9465
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.9470
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.9485
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.9455
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.9460
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.9460
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.9455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 1196.48, Sell volume: 1208.05, Average price: 0.8653, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.9455
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.9460
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.9460
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.9445
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.9470
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.9470
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.9465
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.9465
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.9465
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.9455
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.9455
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.9455
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.9470
2025-01-10 14:00: 0.9455
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.9465
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.9450
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.9450
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.9465
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.9445
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.9445
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.9450
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.9450
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.9445
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.9445
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.9445
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.9445
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.9445
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.9445
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.9455
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 87.46, Sell volume: 378.71, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.0520 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.9460
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.9460
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.9460
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.9460
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.9460
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.9460
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.9460
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.9460
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.9460
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.9460
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.9455
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.9455
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.9455
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.9455
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.9455
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.9455
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.9455
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.9460
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.9460
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.9460
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9460
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.9460
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.9460
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.9460
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.9465
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9470
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.9465
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.9465
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.9465
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.9465
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.9465
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.9465
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.9465
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.9465
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.9465
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.9465
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.9465
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.9465
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.9465
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.9465
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.9465
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.9465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 539.57, Sell volume: 18.41, Average price: 0.9487, Price range: 0.9410 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.9465
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.9480
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.9465
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.9465
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.9465
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9465
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.9445
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.9445
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.9445
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.9450
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.9450
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.9490
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.9495
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.9670
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.9670
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.9670
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.9670
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.9650
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.9695
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.9685
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.9710
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.9710
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.9675
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9700
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.9695
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.9720
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.9685
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.9565
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.9580
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.9495
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.9560
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.9570
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.9565
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.9570
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.9510
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.9515
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9535
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9535
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9550
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9540
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.9520
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.9535
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.9540
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.9515
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.9530
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.9510
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.9540
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.9515
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.9520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 4312.26, Sell volume: 4031.66, Average price: 0.8747, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.9465
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.9465
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.9465
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.9465
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.9465
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.9465
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.9465
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.9465
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.9465
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.9465
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.9460
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.9465
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.9465
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.9465
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.9465
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.9465
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.9465
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.9465
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.9465
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.9465
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.9465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 218.97, Sell volume: 428.14, Average price: 0.7340, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9510

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.9485
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.9485
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.9475
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.9485
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.9475
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.9475
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.9475
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.9475
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.9475
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9475
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.9475
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.9470
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.9470
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.9470
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.9470
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.9470
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.9470
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9465
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.9465
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.9465
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.9465
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.9465
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9465
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.9465
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.9465
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.9465
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.9625
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9620
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.9615
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.9605
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.9590
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.9590
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.9590
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.9575
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.9575
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9585
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.9585
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.9580
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.9585
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.9580
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.9580
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.9585
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.9585
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.9590
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.9590
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.9585
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.9585
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.9585
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.9585
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.9585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 2846.06, Sell volume: 1193.43, Average price: 0.6621, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9610

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.9585
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.9585
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.9585
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9650
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.9655
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.9670
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.9670
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9675
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.9645
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.9640
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.9635
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.9635
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9545
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.9550
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.9565
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.9580
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.9545
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.9550
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.9545
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.9560
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.9545
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.9590
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9715
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.9715
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.9720
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.9875
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.9940
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.9965
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.9965
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.9965
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.9980
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.9980
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.9980
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.9980
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123, Buy volume: 30842.54, Sell volume: 33108.79, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.9985
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.9980
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.9990
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.9990
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.9990
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.9990
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.9990
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.9990
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.9990
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.9990
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.9990
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.9990
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.9980
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.9980
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.9980
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 4559.90, Sell volume: 2821.94, Average price: 0.8582, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9980
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9980
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.9980
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.9980
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.9985
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.9985
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.9985
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.9985
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.9980
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.9985
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.9985
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.9980
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.9980
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.9980
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.9985
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 696.45, Sell volume: 2325.24, Average price: 0.9978, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.7750
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.1150
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.9100
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.0650
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.9300
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.0700
2024-12-30 23:00: 0.9300
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0700
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.0700
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.9250
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.0650
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.0650
2024-12-31 11:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0650
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 15:00: 0.0650
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0650
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.9350
2024-12-31 21:00: 0.0650
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 00:00: 0.0650
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.0650
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.0650
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2257.47, Sell volume: 49.84, Average price: 0.6727, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.0650
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0650
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.9350
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.0650
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0650
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.0650
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0650
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.0650
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.0650
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0650
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.9450
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.0550
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.0550
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.0550
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.0550
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1181.99, Sell volume: 10.63, Average price: 0.8329, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.0550
2025-01-03 21:00: 0.9450
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.0550
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.0550
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.0550
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-04 09:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.0550
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 13:00: 0.0550
2025-01-04 15:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0550
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 19:00: 0.0550
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.9450
2025-01-04 22:00: 0.0550
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.0550
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.0550
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.0550
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.9450
2025-01-05 13:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1153.13, Sell volume: 258.65, Average price: 0.8779, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.9550
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.0450
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.9550
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.0450
2025-01-06 02:00: 0.9550
2025-01-06 03:00: 0.0450
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.9550
2025-01-06 06:00: 0.0450
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.9550
2025-01-06 09:00: 0.0280
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.9710
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0390
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.9685
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.0315
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.9605
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0390
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.9430
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.0570
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.9410
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0590
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.9420
2025-01-07 03:00: 0.0595
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.9400
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.0590
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.9410
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.0590
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.9405
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0600
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.9405
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 6792.06, Sell volume: 6892.02, Average price: 0.8851, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.9410
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.0590
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.9400
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.0610
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.9430
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0595
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.9405
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.0580
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.9415
2025-01-08 11:00: 0.0585
2025-01-08 13:00: 0.9435
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.0575
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.9410
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.0590
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.9410
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0585
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.9445
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.0555
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.9445
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.0555
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.0550
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.9455
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.0540
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.9465
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.0525
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.9495
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.0535
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.9470
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.0535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 1196.48, Sell volume: 1208.05, Average price: 0.8653, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.9455
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.0540
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.9445
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0550
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.9470
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.0535
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.9465
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.0545
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.9455
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.0530
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.9465
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.0550
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.9465
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.0555
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.9450
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.9445
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.0555
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.9445
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0550
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.9450
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 87.46, Sell volume: 378.71, Average price: 0.9047, Price range: 0.0520 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.9450
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.0550
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.9460
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0540
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.9460
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.0540
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.9460
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0540
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.9455
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.0545
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.9455
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0545
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.9455
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.0540
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.9460
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.0540
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.9460
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.0540
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9470
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0535
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.9465
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.0535
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.9465
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.0535
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.9465
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.0535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 539.57, Sell volume: 18.41, Average price: 0.9487, Price range: 0.9410 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.9465
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0520
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.9465
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0535
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.9445
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.0555
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.9450
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.0550
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.9495
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.0330
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.9670
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0330
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.9695
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.0315
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.9710
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.0325
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.9695
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0280
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.9565
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0420
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.9560
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0430
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.9570
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.0490
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9535
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0465
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9540
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0480
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.9540
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.0485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 4312.26, Sell volume: 4031.66, Average price: 0.8747, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0495
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.0495
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0495
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0495
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.0495
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.9505
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.0495
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.0495
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0495
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0495
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.9505
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0495
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.9465
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.0535
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.9465
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0535
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.9465
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0535
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.9460
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0535
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.9465
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.0535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 218.97, Sell volume: 428.14, Average price: 0.7340, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9510
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.9485
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.0515
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.9485
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0525
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.9475
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.0525
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9475
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0525
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.9470
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0530
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.9470
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0530
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.9465
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.0535
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.9465
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0535
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.9465
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.0535
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9620
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0385
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.9590
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0410
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.9575
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.0425
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.9585
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0420
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.9580
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0420
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.9585
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.0410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 2846.06, Sell volume: 1193.43, Average price: 0.6621, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9610
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.9585
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.0415
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9650
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0345
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.9670
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0325
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.9640
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0365
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9545
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.0450
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.9580
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.0455
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.9545
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.0440
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.9590
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0285
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.9720
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.0125
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.9965
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.0035
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123, Buy volume: 30842.54, Sell volume: 33108.79, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.9980
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.9990
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0010
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.9990
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.0010
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.9990
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.0010
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.9990
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.0020
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.9980
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9985
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 4559.90, Sell volume: 2821.94, Average price: 0.8582, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516493
Question: Will Microstrategy vote to increase common stock supply pass?
Volume: 118979.419838
Price History:
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9985
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0020
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9980
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.0020
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0020
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.9985
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.9985
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.9985
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.0020
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.9985
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 696.45, Sell volume: 2325.24, Average price: 0.9978, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0395
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0390
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0390
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0390
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0390
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 171.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.1997, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9710
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9710
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9710
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9710
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9710
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9710
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9720
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9720
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9710
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9765
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9805
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9850
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9840
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9840
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9840
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9845
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9875
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9865
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 627.92, Sell volume: 175.35, Average price: 0.8887, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9950
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 301.09, Sell volume: 276.41, Average price: 0.8299, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 06:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 17.45, Average price: 0.3343, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 227.44, Average price: 0.0024, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0030

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 27.32, Sell volume: 107.31, Average price: 0.8549, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 465.13, Sell volume: 302.92, Average price: 0.8646, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1332.92, Sell volume: 93.05, Average price: 0.8974, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 215.68, Sell volume: 1018.16, Average price: 0.6310, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 1903.59, Sell volume: 258.17, Average price: 0.9343, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 342, Buy volume: 6387.45, Sell volume: 7671.12, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1312.81, Sell volume: 4007.23, Average price: 0.8133, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7.36, Sell volume: 1167.63, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9700
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0395
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9610
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0390
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9610
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 171.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.1997, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9710
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0290
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9710
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0290
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9720
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0280
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9765
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0195
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0160
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0165
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0160
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9875
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0135
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 627.92, Sell volume: 175.35, Average price: 0.8887, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 301.09, Sell volume: 276.41, Average price: 0.8299, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 06:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 17.45, Average price: 0.3343, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 227.44, Average price: 0.0024, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 27.32, Sell volume: 107.31, Average price: 0.8549, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 465.13, Sell volume: 302.92, Average price: 0.8646, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1332.92, Sell volume: 93.05, Average price: 0.8974, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 215.68, Sell volume: 1018.16, Average price: 0.6310, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 1903.59, Sell volume: 258.17, Average price: 0.9343, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 342, Buy volume: 6387.45, Sell volume: 7671.12, Average price: 0.8434, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1312.81, Sell volume: 4007.23, Average price: 0.8133, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641832
Question: Will Ponzi Trader win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14058.572166
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7.36, Sell volume: 1167.63, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9750
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9800
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0180
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0180
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.3373, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0120
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0120
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0120
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0120
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0120
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0120
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0120
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0120
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0100
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0100
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0100
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 320.39, Sell volume: 461.64, Average price: 0.7629, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0060
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0060
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0045
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 301.09, Sell volume: 371.55, Average price: 0.8657, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0130
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0130
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0130
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0130
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0130
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0130
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0130
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0130
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0130
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0130
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0130
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0130
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0135
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0135
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0135
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0135
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0135
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0135
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0135
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0135
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0140
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0140
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0140
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0145
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0145
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0145
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 127.79, Sell volume: 49.99, Average price: 0.3372, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 645.80, Average price: 0.0050, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0050

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 154.21, Average price: 0.0050, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0050

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 26.20, Average price: 0.7990, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1298.30, Sell volume: 93.05, Average price: 0.8969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 284.24, Sell volume: 45.79, Average price: 0.9409, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 2070.13, Sell volume: 30.69, Average price: 0.9897, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 421.37, Sell volume: 399.96, Average price: 0.0018, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0027

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 145.00, Sell volume: 3759.29, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 271, Buy volume: 5226.24, Sell volume: 6498.17, Average price: 0.8804, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9820
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.3373, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0120
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9880
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0120
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9880
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9880
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0100
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0080
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 320.39, Sell volume: 461.64, Average price: 0.7629, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 301.09, Sell volume: 371.55, Average price: 0.8657, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9950
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9950
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0130
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9870
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0130
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9870
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0130
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9870
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0130
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9870
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0135
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9865
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0135
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9865
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0135
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9860
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0140
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9855
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0145
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 127.79, Sell volume: 49.99, Average price: 0.3372, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 645.80, Average price: 0.0050, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0050
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9925
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9925
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 154.21, Average price: 0.0050, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0050
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 26.20, Average price: 0.7990, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1298.30, Sell volume: 93.05, Average price: 0.8969, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 284.24, Sell volume: 45.79, Average price: 0.9409, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 2070.13, Sell volume: 30.69, Average price: 0.9897, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641834
Question: Will Clouted win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11724.4125
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 421.37, Sell volume: 399.96, Average price: 0.0018, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0027
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes