Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575528
Question: Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?
Volume: 68459.270659
Price History:
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.4650
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.5350
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.4650
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.5400
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.5400
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.5400
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.4600
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.4600
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.5400
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.4150
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.4100
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.4100
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.4050
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.4050
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.5800
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.4050
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.5950
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.4050
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.4050
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.5950
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.4050
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.6050
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.6050
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.3950
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.3950
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.6050
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.3950
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.6050
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.6050
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2448.98, Sell volume: 463.00, Average price: 0.5058, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6070
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575528
Question: Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?
Volume: 68459.270659
Price History:
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.6050
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.3950
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.6050
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.4000
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.4000
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.6000
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.6000
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.6000
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.6000
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.6000
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.4000
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.6000
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.6000
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.4000
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.6000
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.4000
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.6000
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.4000
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.6000
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.4000
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.6000
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.4000
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.6000
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.4000
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.6000
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.4000
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.6000
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.4000
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.6000
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 87.00, Average price: 0.5471, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575528
Question: Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?
Volume: 68459.270659
Price History:
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.4000
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.6000
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.4000
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.6000
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.4000
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.6000
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.4000
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.6000
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.4000
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.4000
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.6000
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.4000
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.4000
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.2300
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.7100
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.6800
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.7350
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.3050
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.2950
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.2750
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.3100
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.7000
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.2900
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.2750
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.7300
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1552.50, Sell volume: 167.27, Average price: 0.3176, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575528
Question: Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?
Volume: 68459.270659
Price History:
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.7600
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.7050
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.2700
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.6000
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.5400
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.5150
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.4600
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.4850
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.5500
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.5700
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.4200
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.4300
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.4400
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.5550
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.4400
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.4400
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.5350
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.5350
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.5350
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.5350
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.5450
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.4550
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.4600
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.5400
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.4600
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 1310.10, Sell volume: 2556.36, Average price: 0.4832, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.6902
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575528
Question: Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?
Volume: 68459.270659
Price History:
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.5500
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.4500
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.4500
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4500
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.4500
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.4250
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.5650
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.4250
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.5550
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.4500
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.5500
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.4600
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.5450
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.5450
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.4550
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.5450
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.4550
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.5450
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.5600
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.4400
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.5600
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.5050
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.4950
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.5150
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.4950
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.4950
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.5050
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1964.43, Sell volume: 229.71, Average price: 0.4891, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575528
Question: Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?
Volume: 68459.270659
Price History:
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.4750
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.5350
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.4850
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.5200
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.4850
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.5200
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.4800
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.5200
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.4800
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.5200
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.5200
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.4850
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.4650
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.5350
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.5300
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.4700
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.5250
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.5250
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.4750
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.5250
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.4750
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.4850
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.4850
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.5150
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.4850
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.5150
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.4850
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1947.74, Sell volume: 141.27, Average price: 0.4841, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6460
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575528
Question: Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?
Volume: 68459.270659
Price History:
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.5050
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.4850
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.4900
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.5200
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5050
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.5300
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.4700
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.5300
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.4700
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.5300
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.5300
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.4800
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.5300
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.4700
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.5300
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.4900
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.5000
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.5000
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.5000
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.4950
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.4850
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 233.99, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5177, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575528
Question: Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?
Volume: 68459.270659
Price History:
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.5050
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.5050
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.5050
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.4950
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.4950
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.5050
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.4950
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.5050
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.4750
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.5200
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.5250
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.4800
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.4800
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.4800
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1151.62, Sell volume: 558.00, Average price: 0.4919, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575528
Question: Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?
Volume: 68459.270659
Price History:
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.5200
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.4800
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.5200
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.5200
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4800
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 11.98, Average price: 0.5167, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575528
Question: Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?
Volume: 68459.270659
Price History:
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4750
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4750
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4750
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5250
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5250
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5250
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4750
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5250
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4750
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5250
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5250
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5250
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.5250
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4750
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5250
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4750
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4800
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4800
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.4800
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5200
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.4800
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4800
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.4800
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4800
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4750
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4900
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5100
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4950
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 43305.66, Sell volume: 2726.23, Average price: 0.5352, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["90k", "100k"]
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.6550
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.2900
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.7100
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.3250
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.6750
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.3250
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.6750
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.3400
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["90k", "100k"]
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.3150
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.6850
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.3200
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.6800
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.3000
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.7000
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.2950
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.7050
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.2800
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["90k", "100k"]
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.2850
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.2800
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.7200
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.2700
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["90k", "100k"]
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.2700
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.7300
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.2700
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.7300
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.2950
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.7050
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.2750
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["90k", "100k"]
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.0950
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.9050
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0550
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.9450
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0800
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.9200
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0925
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.9075
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.1225
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.8775
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["90k", "100k"]
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.0490
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.9510
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.0290
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.9710
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["90k", "100k"]
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["90k", "100k"]
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["90k", "100k"]
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["90k", "100k"]
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["90k", "100k"]
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["90k", "100k"]
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Outcomes: ["90k", "100k"]
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.6550
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.2900
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.7100
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.3250
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.6750
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.3250
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.6750
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.3400
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.3150
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.6850
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.3200
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.6800
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.3000
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.7000
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.2950
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.7050
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.2800
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.2850
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.2800
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.7200
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.2700
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.2700
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.7300
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.2850
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.7150
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.2700
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.7300
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.2950
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.7050
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.2750
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.0950
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.9050
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0550
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.9450
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0800
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.9200
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0925
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.9075
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.1225
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.8775
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.0490
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.9510
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.0290
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.9710
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518483
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Volume: 83549.620059
Price History:
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.8000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.8000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.8000
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 146.43, Sell volume: 52.00, Average price: 0.8112, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.17, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 101.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.0865
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0135
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0125
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0170
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.0155
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0180
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0210
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.0185
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.0220
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.0210
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0200
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0200
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0190
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0190
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0205
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0200
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0200
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0200
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0180
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0180
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0180
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0190
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0185
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0170
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0180
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0175
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0180
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0195
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0195
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0200
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0195
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0205
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0210
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0215
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0175
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0175
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0175
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0180
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0180
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0185
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0190
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0190
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0180
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0175
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0155
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0175
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0160
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0175
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0190
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0185
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0185
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0185
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0190
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0190
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0190
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0190
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0195
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0810
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.4830
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.1355
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.1325
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.1420
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.1415
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.1390
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.1360
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.1350
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.1380
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.1440
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.1420
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0860
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0890
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0535
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0525
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0390
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0495
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0555
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0545
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0550
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0550
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0545
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0550
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0555
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0550
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0555
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0555
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0555
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0555
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0550
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0545
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0555
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0505
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0510
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0430
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0460
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0470
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0465
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0495
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0540
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0510
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0495
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0510
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0440
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0415
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0420
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0425
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0430
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0420
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0490
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0505
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0500
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0485
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0490
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0480
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0545
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0525
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0500
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0440
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0450
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0420
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0395
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0380
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0460
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0420
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0430
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0395
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0355
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0360
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0345
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0345
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0340
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0345
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0350
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0345
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0345
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0340
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0345
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0345
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0310
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0270
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.0235
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.0240
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0240
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.0240
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0155
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0115
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0095
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0110
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0280
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0245
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0250
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0240
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0210
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0230
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0230
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0225
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0225
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0205
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0215
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0210
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0190
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0170
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0170
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0200
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0195
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0195
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0195
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0195
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0190
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0190
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0195
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0185
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0185
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0185
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0195
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0185
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0180
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0185
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0185
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0185
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0185
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0190
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0185
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0160
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0160
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0145
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0130
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0135
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0150
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0150
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0150
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0120
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0120
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0120
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0100
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0100
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0100
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0110
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0115
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0055
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0070
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0070
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0070
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0070
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0050
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0055
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0050
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0065
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0050
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0055
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0055
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0055
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0055
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0055
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0030
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0030
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0075
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0075
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0075
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0070
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0075
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0055
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0075
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0085
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0075
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0065
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0065
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0075
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0075
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0095
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0155
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0070
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0070
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0065
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0065
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0065
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0050
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0050
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0070
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0065
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0075
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0030
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0045
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0045
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0045
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0050
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0050
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.0050
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0050
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0065
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.0060
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0060
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.0060
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.0050
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0050
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0040
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0085
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0120
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0125
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0110
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9895
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9895
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9895
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9900
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.0070
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.0085
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0090
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9915
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0095
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0095
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.9915
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0090
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0090
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9910
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0090
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0085
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0085
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0090
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9910
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9935
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9940
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9920
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9920
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9940
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9950
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9900
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0090
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9920
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0090
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9915
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0065
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9935
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.9935
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9940
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9935
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0065
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0065
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0065
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9935
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9935
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0065
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0055
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0055
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9945
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9945
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0050
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0050
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9950
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0050
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9935
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9940
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0060
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9940
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0060
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0060
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9940
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9945
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9950
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0065
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0065
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0065
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9930
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0045
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0040
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 411588, Buy volume: 118075322.65, Sell volume: 10921167.90, Average price: 0.8342, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65934, Buy volume: 114734101.05, Sell volume: 2137.86, Average price: 0.3035, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 522477, Buy volume: 215624977.88, Sell volume: 27769137.86, Average price: 0.8461, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.8000
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 146.43, Sell volume: 52.00, Average price: 0.8112, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.17, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 101.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631018
Question: Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 302.691712
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 147.52, Sell volume: 155.17, Average price: 0.8391, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9830
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0070
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9845
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.0170
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.9795
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.0220
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9800
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0195
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.9795
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.0190
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9795
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0200
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.9800
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0200
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9805
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.9805
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0195
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9800
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0200
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.9820
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0195
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9805
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0175
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9830
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0200
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0195
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.9800
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9790
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0205
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9795
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0180
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9820
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0190
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9820
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.0180
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.9830
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0175
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9845
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0175
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.9805
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0185
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9815
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0195
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9810
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0195
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.8535
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.1330
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.8705
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.1455
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.8640
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.1380
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.8635
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0535
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9575
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0445
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9445
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0550
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9455
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0545
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0555
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9450
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0550
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9450
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9455
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9450
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0510
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9575
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0480
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9505
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0495
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9490
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0495
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9480
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0430
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9600
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0430
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9560
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0500
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0485
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9515
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0555
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9475
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0430
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9565
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0395
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9540
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0475
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9625
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0365
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9650
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0345
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.9650
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0345
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.9650
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0345
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9710
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.0250
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.9760
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0155
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.9895
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0220
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.9755
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0255
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9795
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0230
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9775
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0210
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0210
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9825
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0170
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9830
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0195
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9805
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0195
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9810
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0180
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9815
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0185
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9815
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9815
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0185
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9810
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9840
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0160
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9840
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9865
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0145
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9860
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0135
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9850
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9850
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0145
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0120
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9880
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0105
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9900
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9895
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0105
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.9915
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9940
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9965
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9940
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9940
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9935
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0070
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9950
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0070
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9930
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0070
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9950
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9935
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9965
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9955
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.9960
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9950
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.9950
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0055
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.9945
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9945
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9970
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0030
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9955
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9960
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0040
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0075
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9955
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0075
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9925
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9935
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9920
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0080
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9915
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9935
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0065
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9920
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9795
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0070
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9935
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0065
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9935
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9950
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9930
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0080
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9955
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0045
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9955
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.9955
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.9955
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.9950
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9940
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0075
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.9965
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0030
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9960
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0085
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9875
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0115
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0105
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0105
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0085
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9905
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9905
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9915
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.0090
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0085
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0085
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9920
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9910
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0090
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9920
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9915
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.9920
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9905
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9905
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.9935
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0060
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0065
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.9935
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0065
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9935
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9940
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9945
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9950
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.9955
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0050
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9935
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9940
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9940
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9940
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0060
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0065
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0065
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 448435401.58, Sell volume: 38692443.62, Average price: 0.8054, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0045
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9960
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 411588, Buy volume: 118075322.65, Sell volume: 10921167.90, Average price: 0.8342, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65934, Buy volume: 114734101.05, Sell volume: 2137.86, Average price: 0.3035, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527804
Question: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 791893.194522
Price History:
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 522477, Buy volume: 215624977.88, Sell volume: 27769137.86, Average price: 0.8461, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631017
Question: Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 276.0
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.8000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.8000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.8000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.8000
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 128.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.6333, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: No