Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 0.11, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 24440.36, Sell volume: 13180.30, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 21000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 24440.36, Sell volume: 13180.30, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 24440.36, Sell volume: 13180.30, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 24440.36, Sell volume: 13180.30, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 270.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 24440.36, Sell volume: 13180.30, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 24440.36, Sell volume: 13180.30, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 24440.36, Sell volume: 13180.30, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525644
Question: Will Max Homa win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 37620.661522
Price History:
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 70.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.5050
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.5200
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4900
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.5950
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.3400
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.5600
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.5350
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.4400
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.5800
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.1700
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.7350
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.6450
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.2500
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.6100
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.4800
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.5300
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.4300
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.5750
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4500
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.4800
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.5550
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.3800
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.6500
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.4700
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.5700
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.7200
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.4350
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.5700
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.4650
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.5450
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.4850
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.5150
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.4800
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.5250
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.4300
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.6000
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.4400
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.4900
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5300
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.4900
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.5250
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.4950
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5350
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5150
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4650
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.5350
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.4850
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.5600
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4875
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5325
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.4515
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5250
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 170.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.4995
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.4585
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.5580
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.4445
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.4995
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.4695
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.5230
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.4660
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5495
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.4420
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.5810
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.4470
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.5555
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.4180
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.5820
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.4180
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.5820
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.4180
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.5275
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.4345
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.5655
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.4185
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.5770
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.3635
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.6365
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.3635
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.6370
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.3635
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.6370
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.3630
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.6370
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.3630
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.9845
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.0080
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9925
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0075
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.9920
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.0085
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.9920
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9920
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0190
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.9805
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0195
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.9805
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.0195
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.9805
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.0190
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.9805
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0195
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.9805
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.0190
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9810
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.9805
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0195
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9800
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.0195
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.9805
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.9795
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0190
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9800
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.9805
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0190
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.9810
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.0190
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.9810
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0190
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9810
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.0190
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.9810
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.0190
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9810
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0190
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9810
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.0190
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.9810
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0190
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.9810
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.0190
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.9810
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0190
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.9810
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.0190
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9810
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0190
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9810
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.0190
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9810
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0190
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.9810
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.2425
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.7590
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.2440
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.7650
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.7560
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.2410
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.7590
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.7570
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.2455
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.7565
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.2470
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.7540
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.2475
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.7525
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.2455
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.7575
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.2470
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.7540
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.2475
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.7605
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.2390
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.7540
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.2400
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.7535
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.2420
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.7580
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.2475
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.7525
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.2475
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.7575
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.2425
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.7535
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.2475
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.7525
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.2455
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.7545
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.2455
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.7525
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.2465
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.7570
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.2475
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.7525
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.2475
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.7525
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.2405
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.7570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.8065
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.1145
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9325
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0195
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9805
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0195
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9805
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.2445
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.7555
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.2230
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.7675
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.2045
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.8245
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.1405
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.8855
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0715
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.9475
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0315
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9845
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0175
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9870
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0160
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9840
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0095
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9850
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.9855
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2445
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.7600
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.2025
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.7975
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.2025
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.7975
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.1970
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.8130
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.4405
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.6495
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.3150
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.6905
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.2760
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.7440
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.2035
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.8375
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.1535
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.8630
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.1025
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9355
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.3785
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.6690
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.2725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.3410
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.6860
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.3845
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.6615
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.2555
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.7770
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.2200
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.8060
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.1520
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.8675
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.0670
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.9335
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0255
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9745
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0255
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9745
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0255
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.9745
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0255
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.9745
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.3810
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.6405
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.3075
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.7255
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.2430
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.7755
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.2145
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.8265
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.1345
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.8805
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0695
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.9465
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.0235
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0155
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9850
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0160
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9840
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0160
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9840
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0160
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9805
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0150
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9805
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.4015
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.6130
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.3595
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.5530
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.4420
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.5530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.5035
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.4690
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.5325
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.4965
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.5580
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.4820
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.5020
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.3615
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.5735
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.3855
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.6145
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.3845
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.6145
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.3855
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.5890
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.3905
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.6095
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.3860
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.5715
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.4135
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.5880
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4915
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.6305
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.3260
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.6740
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.3260
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.6740
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.3260
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.6740
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.4355
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.5780
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.4285
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.5790
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.4015
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.5775
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.4195
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.5890
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.4095
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.5640
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.4060
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.5010
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.4980
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.5010
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.4155
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.5790
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.4110
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.5570
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.4010
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.5965
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.4110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.3485
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.6750
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.3250
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.6820
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.2815
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.7215
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.2855
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.6915
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.3085
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.6915
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.3085
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.6915
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.3085
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.6915
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.2895
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.7095
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.2905
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.7095
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.2905
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.7095
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.2905
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7095
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.2925
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.7075
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.2925
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.7075
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.2925
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.7075
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.2925
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.7075
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.2925
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.7075
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.2925
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.6665
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.3335
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.6665
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.3335
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.6665
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.3165
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.6845
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.3155
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.6845
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.3155
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.6845
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.3155
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.6845
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.3155
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.6845
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.3155
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.6845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.6950
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.3050
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.6950
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.3050
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.6950
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.3050
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.6950
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.3050
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6950
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.3050
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.6950
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.3050
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.6950
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.3050
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.6845
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3155
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6855
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3050
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6950
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3050
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.6950
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.3050
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6950
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3050
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.6950
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3050
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6950
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.3050
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.6950
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.3050
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.6950
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.3050
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.6945
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.3055
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.6945
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3110
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6840
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3160
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6840
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3160
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6860
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.3115
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6855
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.3105
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.6945
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3055
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6945
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3055
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6945
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3055
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6945
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3055
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6985
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3055
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.6945
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.1005
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0915
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0905
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0920
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9140
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0860
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9140
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0860
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9140
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0860
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9140
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0860
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9140
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9100
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9100
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9100
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9100
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9100
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9100
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0960
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0915
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9095
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0895
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.9105
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0895
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9105
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0900
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.9100
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.9100
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0900
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.9100
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.9040
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0860
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.9140
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0890
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.9110
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0890
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.9110
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.0890
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.9110
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0890
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9110
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0890
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.9110
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0930
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.9100
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0905
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.9095
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 54.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2033, Price range: 0.0440 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9900
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.0095
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.9920
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.9905
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0080
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.9920
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.0075
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.9925
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.9925
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0075
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.9940
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.9940
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.9940
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.9935
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0065
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.9940
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.9825
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.2925
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.9665
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0145
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9835
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.9925
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.9925
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0075
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.9655
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.0360
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.9585
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0320
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.9725
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.0085
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9885
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0145
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9860
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0140
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9640
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.0330
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.7165
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0275
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9905
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0085
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 8939.06, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6490, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4900
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.5100
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.3300
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.5300
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.3500
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.7350
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.3550
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.6100
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.5700
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4500
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.5500
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.4000
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.5250
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.4100
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.2800
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.8600
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.3950
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.5700
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.5150
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.5150
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.4400
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.5350
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5300
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.4750
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.5150
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4800
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5200
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.4800
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.8000
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.4800
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.5550
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4875
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.5450
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.4700
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.5105
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.4520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 170.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.4600
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5490
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.4390
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5495
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.4190
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.5625
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.4180
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.5820
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.4180
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.5130
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.4345
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.5755
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.3635
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.6370
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.3630
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.6365
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.1870
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9920
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0075
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9925
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0085
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.9810
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0190
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.9805
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0195
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.9810
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0190
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.9805
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.9810
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.9810
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.0190
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9800
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0190
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.9795
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.0200
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.9790
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0190
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9810
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0190
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.9810
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0190
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.9810
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.0190
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.9810
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.0190
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.9810
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0190
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.9810
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0190
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.9810
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0190
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9810
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0190
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.7625
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.2415
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.7650
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.2395
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.7590
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.2430
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.7545
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.2475
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.7525
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.2455
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.7555
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.2440
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.7525
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.2475
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.7535
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.2420
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.7575
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.2425
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.7575
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.2475
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.7525
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.2455
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.7550
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.2475
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.7525
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.2475
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.7525
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.2410
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.7530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.8065
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.0675
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.9805
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0195
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.7555
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.2230
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.7910
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.1510
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.8965
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0495
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9845
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0130
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.9855
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.9855
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2445
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.7975
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.2025
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.7975
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.1845
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.6495
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.3095
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.7415
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.1985
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.8465
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.1025
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.5960
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.3035
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.7930
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.4560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.3410
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.5790
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.2790
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.7775
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.1780
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.8675
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0665
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9745
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0255
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9745
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0255
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.6010
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.3170
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.7380
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.2265
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.8265
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.1195
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.9440
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0145
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.9845
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0160
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9840
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0160
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9825
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0150
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.6130
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.4470
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.5240
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.4470
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.5260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.5035
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.4675
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.5580
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.3855
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.6385
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.3855
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.6050
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.4920
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.6095
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.3855
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.5715
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.4120
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.6060
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.3260
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.6740
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.3260
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.5150
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.4055
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.5940
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.4245
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.5890
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.4360
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.5020
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.4935
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.5845
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.4110
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.5885
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.4000
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.5790
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.3875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.3485
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.6750
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.2870
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.7145
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.3085
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.6915
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.3085
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.6915
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.2905
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.7095
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.2905
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.7095
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3045
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.7075
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.2925
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.7075
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.2925
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.7075
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.3500
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.6665
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.3335
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.6705
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.3155
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.6845
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.3155
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.6845
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.3155
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.6845
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.3080
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.6950
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.3050
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.6950
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.3050
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6950
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.3050
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.6950
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.3050
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6845
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3120
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6950
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3050
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6950
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3050
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.6950
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.3050
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.6950
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.3050
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.6945
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.3145
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6840
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3160
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6840
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.3145
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.6895
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3055
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6945
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3055
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.6945
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.3055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3055
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7005
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3055
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.7035
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9100
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9095
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9100
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0900
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9140
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0860
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9140
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0945
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9140
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9100
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9100
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9100
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 9179.26, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6370, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9100
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9085
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0905
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9085
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.9105
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0895
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.9100
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.9100
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.9100
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.9040
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.0860
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.9110
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0890
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.9110
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0890
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.9110
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0930
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9095
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.0935
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.8985
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 54.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2033, Price range: 0.0440 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525633
Question: Will Tony Finau win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 10663.850394
Price History:
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.9905
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.0095
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.9920
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0075
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.9925
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.9940
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0060
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.9940
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9935
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0060
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.7415
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.2710
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9835
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9925
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0345
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.9640
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0320
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9875
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0145
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9860
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0165
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.7165
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0095
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9915
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0060
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 8939.06, Sell volume: 1484.59, Average price: 0.6490, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.5050
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.5200
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4600
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.5950
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.3300
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.5300
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.4750
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.5350
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.4400
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.5800
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.3000
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2000
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.6450
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.5900
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.5250
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.5750
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4550
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.5650
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.3800
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.6400
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.4600
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.5700
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.7950
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.4050
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.7850
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.1750
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.5650
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.4350
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.5850
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.4450
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.5450
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.5350
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.4500
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.4050
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.6050
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.3450
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.4850
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5650
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.4900
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.5300
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.4250
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.5400
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.4100
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.6200
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.4950
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.4850
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4400
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.5900
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4550
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.4050
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.6350
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.1850
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.8250
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9050
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0350
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5670
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.4365
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.5840
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4840
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.5600
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.0095
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5665
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.1475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 170.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.3480
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.6580
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.2855
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.6335
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.3250
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.5650
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.4005
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.5220
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.4320
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5500
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.3425
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.7195
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.2650
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.5705
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.2595
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.8880
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0145
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.9855
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0030
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.5390
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.0310
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9590
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.3800
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9785
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.0075
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.9925
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0065
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.9935
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.0065
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.9935
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0065
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.9935
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0065
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.9930
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.0070
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9930
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0070
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.9930
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.0070
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.9930
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0070
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9930
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0070
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.9930
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0070
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.9930
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.0070
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.9930
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.0070
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 61.60, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0065, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.9930
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0070
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.9930
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.0070
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9930
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0070
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.9930
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0070
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.9930
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0070
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9930
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.0070
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.9930
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0070
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9930
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.0070
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.9930
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.9925
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0075
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9925
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.9925
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0075
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.9925
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.0075
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.9925
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0075
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9925
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.0075
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.9925
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.0075
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9925
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0075
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9925
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.0075
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.9925
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0075
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.9925
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.0075
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.9925
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0075
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.9925
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.0075
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9925
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0075
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9925
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.0075
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9925
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9940, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0140
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.5420
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.2360
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.9820
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.9965
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.9965
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.9965
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.9655
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.0360
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.7540
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0370
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.9590
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0400
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.9665
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.2465
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.7510
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.0395
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.9565
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0360
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.7510
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.2490
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.7510
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.2490
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.7510
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.2490
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.7510
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.2490
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9685
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0095
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.9905
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0095
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.9905
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.0095
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.9905
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.0095
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.9905
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0095
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.9905
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.0095
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9905
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.0095
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.9905
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.0095
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.7510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0090, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.0090

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.9765
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0240
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9765
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0200
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9745
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0230
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9755
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.2460
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.7540
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.2100
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.7560
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.2160
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.8025
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.1760
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.8370
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0265
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.9735
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0265
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9735
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0265
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9750
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0240
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9700
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0260
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9735
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0245
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.9755
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2465
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.7555
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.2340
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.7660
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.2340
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.7660
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.2335
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.7810
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.1915
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.8195
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.1725
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.8330
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.1480
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.1160
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9010
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.0785
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9315
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0365
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9750
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0260
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.9730
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 10818.37, Sell volume: 12563.15, Average price: 0.3566, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0250
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.9760
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.0260
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.9740
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0240
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.9730
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.0260
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9800
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0280
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.9715
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.0280
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.9760
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0240
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9715
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0250
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9760
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0275
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.9750
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0255
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.9740
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.4025
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.6075
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.3760
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.6240
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.3760
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.6240
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.1615
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9115
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0635
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.9495
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0520
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.9490
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.0495
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.9495
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0505
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9665
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0300
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9680
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0335
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9660
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0335
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9660
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0325
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9675
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0380
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.9670
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0325
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.8585
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.2315
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.7655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 10818.37, Sell volume: 12563.15, Average price: 0.3566, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.7280
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.2315
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.5150
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0390
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9640
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.4525
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.6315
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.2320
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.9690
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.3475
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.9640
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0365
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9625
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0360
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9690
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.3965
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.6035
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9570
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0435
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9565
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0475
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9645
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0305
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0295
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0290
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0275
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9725
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0345
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.5855
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.4210
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9565
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0465
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.5885
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0615
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9555
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.2170
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.8740
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.3995
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.5770
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0505
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9485
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0350
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9585
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 10818.37, Sell volume: 12563.15, Average price: 0.3566, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0245
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.9835
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0250
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.9815
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0240
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9760
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0240
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.5710
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0375
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.6430
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9660
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0365
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9585
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0240
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.9775
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0200
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9740
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0290
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9685
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0325
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9625
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0330
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9710
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0375
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0325
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9640
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0260
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9625
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9680
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0315
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9690
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0270
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9630
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0335
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9605
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0260
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0255
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9745
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0250
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9745
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0255
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9755
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 22.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0441, Price range: 0.0441 - 0.0441

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9770
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0240
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9760
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0240
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9760
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0255
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9745
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0255
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9750
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0255
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9740
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0250
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9750
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0260
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9740
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0255
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9760
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0260
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9745
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0245
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9755
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0240
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9755
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0260
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9745
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9690
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0380
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9665
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0280
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9705
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9615
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1705
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6390
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3470
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6495
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3270
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7125
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.2700
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.7195
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2310
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.8750
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0345
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6455
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3385
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6605
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 404.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0494, Price range: 0.0494 - 0.0494

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0370
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9645
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0300
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9675
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0375
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9680
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0310
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9680
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0300
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9610
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0385
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9675
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0310
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9655
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0325
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9675
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0360
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9625
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9655
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0330
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9680
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0325
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0345
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0325
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9620
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0335
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9670
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0350
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9645
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0380
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9650
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9695
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0320
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9685
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0355
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9605
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0305
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9655
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0310
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9645
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0365
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0300
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9715
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0365
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 10818.37, Sell volume: 12563.15, Average price: 0.3566, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9670
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0390
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9650
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0345
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9650
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0355
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9645
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0225
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9780
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0220
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9695
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0295
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9675
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0210
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9690
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.9765
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0265
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.9795
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0215
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9675
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0300
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.9740
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0210
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.9750
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.9750
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0245
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.9695
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0240
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.9720
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0305
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.9760
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0260
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.9740
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0255
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.9700
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0305
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.9770
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.0295
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.9700
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0240
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9745
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0310
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.9750
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0245
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.9760
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0270
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.9685
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 288.58, Sell volume: 170.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9710

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9770
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.0225
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.9825
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.9815
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0185
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.9820
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.0175
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.9825
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.0175
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.9825
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0175
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.9880
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0130
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.9835
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0165
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.9840
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0165
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.9830
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0170
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.9825
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0175
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.9720
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0230
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.9765
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0455
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9580
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0385
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.9615
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0385
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.9640
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0360
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.9650
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.0190
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.9750
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0180
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.9830
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.0155
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9835
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0165
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9840
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0170
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9800
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.0240
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9855
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0020
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 9844.95, Sell volume: 12372.32, Average price: 0.3201, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.4950
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4600
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.5150
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.3550
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.5450
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2650
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.3550
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.4700
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.5800
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.4550
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.5500
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.4000
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.5400
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.4100
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.7950
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.2150
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.9100
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.3650
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.5650
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.4150
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.5550
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.5450
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.3900
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.6250
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.5000
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.5650
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.4700
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.5200
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.3900
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.4850
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.5850
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.4750
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.5650
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.3450
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.1750
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.8950
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.4700
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.5635
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.4840
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9790
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.2245
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.8550
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.4290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 170.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.3480
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5920
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.3345
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.5700
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.4585
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5500
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.2805
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.8100
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.1540
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.9855
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0030
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.6735
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.4690
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.9695
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0065
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.9935
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.0065
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9935
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0070
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9930
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0070
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9930
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0070
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.9930
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0070
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.9930
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0070
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.9930
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0070
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 61.60, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0065, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.9930
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0070
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.9930
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0070
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.9930
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0070
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.9930
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.0070
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9930
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0075
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.9925
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.0075
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.9925
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0075
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9925
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0075
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.9925
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.9925
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.0075
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.9925
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.0075
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.9925
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0075
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.9925
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0075
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.9925
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.4820
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9795
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9940, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0140
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.7665
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0365
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9630
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0400
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.7535
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.0385
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.9640
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.2490
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.7510
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.2490
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.7510
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0360
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9905
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0095
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.9905
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0095
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.9905
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0095
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9905
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0095
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.7510
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0365
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0090, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.0090
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.9765
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.0235
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.9770
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0230
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.7540
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.2100
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.7755
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.1805
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.9135
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0265
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9735
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0250
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.9735
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.0250
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.9755
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2465
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.7660
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.2340
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.7660
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.2100
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.8195
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.1670
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.8625
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.1140
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.9215
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0365
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.9755
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.0255
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.9735
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.4570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 10818.37, Sell volume: 12563.15, Average price: 0.3566, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0250
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9720
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.0265
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.9725
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0260
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.9715
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0240
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9750
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0255
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9725
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0255
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.5940
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.3765
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.6240
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.3760
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9115
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0505
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.9515
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0505
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.9495
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0300
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9700
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0335
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9670
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0330
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.9670
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.1415
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.7685
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.2265
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.5490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 10818.37, Sell volume: 12563.15, Average price: 0.3566, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.7280
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.4850
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9660
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.3810
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.7680
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.3475
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.9640
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.4990
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.6035
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0880
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9570
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0435
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9590
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0225
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9705
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0290
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9725
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0275
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9585
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.4125
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9565
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.4115
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9555
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.5005
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.6005
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0505
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9485
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0345
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.5745
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.1870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 10818.37, Sell volume: 12563.15, Average price: 0.3566, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0245
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.9755
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0245
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9760
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.4265
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.6430
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0340
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9635
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0230
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.9800
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0290
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9675
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0325
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9680
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9640
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0375
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9750
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0330
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0335
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0260
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0250
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9745
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0245
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0245
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 22.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0441, Price range: 0.0441 - 0.0441
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9770
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0240
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9760
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0250
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9745
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0255
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9750
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0260
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9740
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0250
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9745
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0245
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9760
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0255
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0380
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9620
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2940
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6390
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3505
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6580
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.3450
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.7690
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0345
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6565
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1885
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9670
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 404.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0494, Price range: 0.0494 - 0.0494
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0370
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9670
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0310
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9740
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0375
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9610
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0325
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9690
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0345
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9640
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9640
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0360
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9680
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0330
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9620
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0330
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9640
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0385
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9690
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0320
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9610
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0330
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9640
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0365
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0285
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0290
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 10818.37, Sell volume: 12563.15, Average price: 0.3566, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9670
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0350
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9655
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0280
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9775
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0220
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9645
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0200
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9690
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0235
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.9795
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0325
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.9725
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.0240
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.9780
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0245
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.9760
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0300
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.9705
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.0255
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.9700
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0230
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.9690
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0260
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.9690
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.0245
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9695
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.0225
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.9835
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 288.58, Sell volume: 170.83, Average price: 0.4561, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9710
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525627
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 23381.515247
Price History:
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.9775
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.0185
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.9820
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0175
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.9825
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0175
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.9885
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0165
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.9835
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0165
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9825
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0175
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.9775
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0340
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9580
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0385
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9640
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0400
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.9810
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0180
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9840
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0165
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9835
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0170
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9855
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 9844.95, Sell volume: 12372.32, Average price: 0.3201, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.9350
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.9350
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.9350
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 230.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0700
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9300
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.0700
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.9300
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0700
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9300
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.0700
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9300
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0800
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 114.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6633, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 166.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0700
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.9300
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0500
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9500
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 643.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3633, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.0400
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9600
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.0400
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9600
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.2750
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.7250
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0500
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9500
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0500
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 5824.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3012, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0450
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.9550
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.1750
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.8250
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.0455
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.9545
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0350
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9650
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0100
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 86.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2725, Price range: 0.0850 - 0.4600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.0100
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.9900
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0090
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9910
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9925
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0085
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9915
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0095
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 3159.00, Average price: 0.2531, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0085
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9915
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0085
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9915
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9910
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0090
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9910
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 9.45, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0070
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9930
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9930
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0070
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9930
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0070
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9930
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 9.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.9945
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0105
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9895
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0120
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9880
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0110
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9890
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0040
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9970
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5445.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 7184.60, Sell volume: 9986.99, Average price: 0.4170, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 7184.60, Sell volume: 9986.99, Average price: 0.4170, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.9350
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.9350
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.9350
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 230.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0700
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9300
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.0700
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.9300
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0700
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9300
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.0700
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9300
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0800
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 114.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6633, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 166.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0700
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.9300
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0500
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9500
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 643.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3633, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.0400
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9600
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.0400
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9600
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.2750
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.7250
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.0500
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9500
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0500
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 5824.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3012, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0450
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.9550
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.1750
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.8250
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.0455
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.9545
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0350
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9650
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0100
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 86.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2725, Price range: 0.0850 - 0.4600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.0100
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.9900
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0090
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9910
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9925
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0085
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9915
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0095
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 3159.00, Average price: 0.2531, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0085
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9915
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0085
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9915
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9910
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0090
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9910
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 9.45, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0070
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9930
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9930
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0070
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9930
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.0070
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9930
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 9.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.9945
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0105
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9895
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0120
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9880
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0110
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9890
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0040
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0030
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9970
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5445.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525643
Question: Will Jhonattan Vegas win The 2025 PGA Championship?
Volume: 17171.592274
Price History:
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 7184.60, Sell volume: 9986.99, Average price: 0.4170, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes