Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581786
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-60 million views on week 1?
Volume: 140766.040127
Price History:
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0350
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9650
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9650
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0350
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0350
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9650
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9650
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0350
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9715
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0285
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9690
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0310
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9710
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0290
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9730
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0270
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9690
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0310
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9750
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0250
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9765
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0235
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9495
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0505
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0705
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9295
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9300
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0700
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9310
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1677.41, Sell volume: 458.33, Average price: 0.5405, Price range: 0.0381 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581786
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-60 million views on week 1?
Volume: 140766.040127
Price History:
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0955
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9045
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0955
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9045
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9045
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0955
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9025
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9575
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0425
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9605
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0395
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9605
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0395
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9625
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0375
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0380
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9620
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0325
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9815
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0185
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9825
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0175
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0205
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9795
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0220
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9780
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9010
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 4628.58, Sell volume: 435.78, Average price: 0.6134, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581786
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-60 million views on week 1?
Volume: 140766.040127
Price History:
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9355
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0645
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9360
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0640
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.1350
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.1170
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.8830
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.8870
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.1130
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.1140
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.8860
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9050
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0645
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9355
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9495
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0505
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0355
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9645
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0285
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9715
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0245
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9755
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0250
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9750
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0145
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9855
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0145
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 8000.58, Sell volume: 516.47, Average price: 0.6121, Price range: 0.0048 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581786
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-60 million views on week 1?
Volume: 140766.040127
Price History:
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9930
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0090
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9910
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9940
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0055
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9945
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0055
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9945
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0105
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9895
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0175
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9825
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0190
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9810
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0165
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9835
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0290
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9710
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0145
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0145
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0050
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 7383.54, Sell volume: 11306.25, Average price: 0.7328, Price range: 0.0021 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581786
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-60 million views on week 1?
Volume: 140766.040127
Price History:
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0060
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9940
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9940
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9955
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 15735.03, Sell volume: 3605.87, Average price: 0.7915, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581786
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-60 million views on week 1?
Volume: 140766.040127
Price History:
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 27612.39, Sell volume: 618.85, Average price: 0.1551, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581786
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-60 million views on week 1?
Volume: 140766.040127
Price History:
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 10242.42, Sell volume: 588.19, Average price: 0.1830, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581786
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-60 million views on week 1?
Volume: 140766.040127
Price History:
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2100.00, Sell volume: 2426.38, Average price: 0.2505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581786
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-60 million views on week 1?
Volume: 140766.040127
Price History:
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 37137.86, Sell volume: 528.53, Average price: 0.0012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754338
Question: Games Total: O/U 2.5
Volume: 1735.52
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.4850
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.1550
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9750, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754338
Question: Games Total: O/U 2.5
Volume: 1735.52
Price History:
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.1550
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.8450
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.0200
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.9800
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.0105
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.9895
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.0105
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.9895
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.0105
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 66.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9850, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754338
Question: Games Total: O/U 2.5
Volume: 1735.52
Price History:
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.0105
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.9895
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.0105
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1735.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9881, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754338
Question: Games Total: O/U 2.5
Volume: 1735.52
Price History:
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.9895
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.0105
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.9895
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.0105
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.9895
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.0105
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1735.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9881, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754338
Question: Games Total: O/U 2.5
Volume: 1735.52
Price History:
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4990
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5010
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0385
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9615
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1599.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9988, Price range: 0.9985 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754338
Question: Games Total: O/U 2.5
Volume: 1735.52
Price History:
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4990
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5010
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0385
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9615
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1599.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9988, Price range: 0.9985 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754338
Question: Games Total: O/U 2.5
Volume: 1735.52
Price History:
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4990
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5010
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0385
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9615
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1599.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9988, Price range: 0.9985 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754338
Question: Games Total: O/U 2.5
Volume: 1735.52
Price History:
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4990
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5010
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0385
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9615
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1599.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9988, Price range: 0.9985 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754338
Question: Games Total: O/U 2.5
Volume: 1735.52
Price History:
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4990
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5010
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0385
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9615
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1599.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9988, Price range: 0.9985 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754338
Question: Games Total: O/U 2.5
Volume: 1735.52
Price History:
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4990
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5010
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0385
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9615
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1599.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9988, Price range: 0.9985 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754338
Question: Games Total: O/U 2.5
Volume: 1735.52
Price History:
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4990
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5010
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0385
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9615
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1599.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9988, Price range: 0.9985 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754338
Question: Games Total: O/U 2.5
Volume: 1735.52
Price History:
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4990
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5010
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0385
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9615
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1599.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9988, Price range: 0.9985 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754338
Question: Games Total: O/U 2.5
Volume: 1735.52
Price History:
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.4990
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5010
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.0385
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.9615
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1599.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9988, Price range: 0.9985 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.8700
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.1300
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.8800
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.8350
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.8300
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.8300
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.8300
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.8300
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 233.03, Sell volume: 3.03, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.2300
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.7750
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.2250
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.7750
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.2250
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.2200
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.7800
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.7400
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.2600
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.7400
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.2600
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.2450
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.2400
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 496.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4910, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.7600
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.2400
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.2350
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.7650
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.2400
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.7600
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.2200
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.7800
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 315.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.2100
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.7900
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.2100
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7900
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.2100
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.7900
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2100
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.7900
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.2100
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.7900
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.2100
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.7900
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.7900
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7900
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 27.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.7900
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7900
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.2050
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.7950
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.2050
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.7950
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0500
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9500
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9400
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0600
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0400
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9600
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9750
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0250
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0150
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9850
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0150
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2104.70, Sell volume: 908.55, Average price: 0.5163, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9850
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0150
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0250
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9750
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9840
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0265
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9735
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9715
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0285
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9770
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0230
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9810
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0190
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0180
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9820
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0285
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9715
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0265
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9735
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9750
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0250
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0205
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9795
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9810
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0190
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0190
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 3620.95, Sell volume: 493.52, Average price: 0.7250, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0165
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9835
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9825
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0175
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9840
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0180
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9820
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0200
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9800
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9810
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0190
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0130
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0130
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0130
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0130
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9860
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0200
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9800
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0180
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9820
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0220
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9780
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9640
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 12464.11, Sell volume: 2540.66, Average price: 0.6777, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0175
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9825
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0190
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9810
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0210
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9790
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0185
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9815
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0165
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9835
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0125
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0205
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9795
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9890
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0110
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0110
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9890
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0190
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9810
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0175
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9825
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9860
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0140
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0140
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9850
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0150
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0145
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0170
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 8170.26, Sell volume: 1281.25, Average price: 0.8148, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9835
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0165
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0145
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0145
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0125
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9875
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0135
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9865
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0145
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0150
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9850
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9850
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0150
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0055
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 11282.20, Sell volume: 1921.44, Average price: 0.8012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9940
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0060
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9945
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0055
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9955
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0045
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0100
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9900
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0065
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9955
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0045
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9955
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0045
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 12211.10, Sell volume: 1624.80, Average price: 0.7121, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9930
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0070
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 7528.10, Sell volume: 2071.34, Average price: 0.7629, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 9334.51, Sell volume: 280.80, Average price: 0.8741, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 6539.89, Sell volume: 502.77, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.8700
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.1300
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.8800
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.8350
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.8300
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.8300
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 233.03, Sell volume: 3.03, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.2300
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.7750
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.2250
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.7750
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.2250
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.2200
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.7800
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.7400
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.2600
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.7400
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.2600
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.2450
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 496.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4910, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.7600
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.2400
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.2350
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.7650
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.2400
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.7600
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.2200
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.7800
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 315.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.7850
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.2100
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.7900
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.2100
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7900
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.2100
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 27.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.7900
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7900
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.2050
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.7950
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.2050
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.7950
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0500
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9500
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9400
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2104.70, Sell volume: 908.55, Average price: 0.5163, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9850
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0150
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0250
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9750
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9840
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0265
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9735
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9715
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0285
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9770
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0230
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9810
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0190
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0180
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9820
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0285
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9715
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 3620.95, Sell volume: 493.52, Average price: 0.7250, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0165
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9835
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9825
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0175
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9840
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0180
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9820
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0200
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9800
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9810
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0190
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0130
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0130
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0130
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0130
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 12464.11, Sell volume: 2540.66, Average price: 0.6777, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0175
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9825
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0190
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9810
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0210
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9790
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0185
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9815
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0165
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9835
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0125
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0205
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9795
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9890
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0110
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0110
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9890
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0190
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9810
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0175
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9825
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 8170.26, Sell volume: 1281.25, Average price: 0.8148, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9835
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0165
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0145
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0145
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0125
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9875
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0135
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9865
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0145
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0150
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9850
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9850
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0150
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0055
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 11282.20, Sell volume: 1921.44, Average price: 0.8012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9940
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0060
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9945
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0055
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9955
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0045
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0100
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9900
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0065
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 12211.10, Sell volume: 1624.80, Average price: 0.7121, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9930
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0070
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 7528.10, Sell volume: 2071.34, Average price: 0.7629, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 9334.51, Sell volume: 280.80, Average price: 0.8741, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581791
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 93301.537576
Price History:
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 6539.89, Sell volume: 502.77, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0245
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9755
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0245
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9755
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0240
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9760
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9765
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9765
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9765
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9765
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9765
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9765
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9765
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9765
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9765
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9765
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9770
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0220
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 164.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9910
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9920
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 313.73, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 260, Buy volume: 7482.72, Sell volume: 7059.30, Average price: 0.8582, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 78.00, Sell volume: 271.77, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 746.91, Sell volume: 93.05, Average price: 0.8972, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0210
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9790
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0280
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9720
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0290
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9710
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0240
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9760
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0240
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9760
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0230
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9770
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0230
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9770
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0230
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9770
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0170
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9830
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0235
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2095.60, Sell volume: 31.00, Average price: 0.6206, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0890
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9110
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0890
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9110
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0890
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9110
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0880
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9120
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0890
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9110
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0890
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9110
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0885
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9115
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0890
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9110
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0890
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9110
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0865
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9135
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0875
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9125
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0865
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9135
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0855
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9145
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0640
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9360
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0620
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9380
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0320
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9680
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0740
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9260
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9000
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.1275
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8725
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0995
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9005
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0645
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9355
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0675
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9325
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9465
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.1020
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.8980
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0660
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 721.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7786, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0380
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9620
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0380
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9620
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0305
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9695
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0300
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9700
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0305
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9695
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0305
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9695
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0305
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9695
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0290
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9710
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0260
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9740
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0240
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9760
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0220
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 111.79, Sell volume: 1140.07, Average price: 0.7980, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 1842.61, Sell volume: 1030.66, Average price: 0.9807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.00, Sell volume: 135.53, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 210.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 521.92, Sell volume: 3642.52, Average price: 0.8564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 193.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0245
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0245
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0240
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0235
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0220
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0205
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0140
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 164.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 313.73, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 260, Buy volume: 7482.72, Sell volume: 7059.30, Average price: 0.8582, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 78.00, Sell volume: 271.77, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 746.91, Sell volume: 93.05, Average price: 0.8972, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0210
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0280
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0290
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0240
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0240
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0230
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0230
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0230
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0170
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0235
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0235
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0235
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0235
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0235
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2095.60, Sell volume: 31.00, Average price: 0.6206, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0890
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0890
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0890
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0880
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0890
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0890
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0885
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0890
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0890
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0865
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0875
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0865
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0855
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0640
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0620
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0320
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0740
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.1275
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0995
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0645
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0675
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0535
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.1020
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0660
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0945
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0835
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0855
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0925
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 721.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7786, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0380
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0380
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0305
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0300
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0305
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0305
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0305
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0290
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0260
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0240
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0220
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 111.79, Sell volume: 1140.07, Average price: 0.7980, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 1842.61, Sell volume: 1030.66, Average price: 0.9807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.00, Sell volume: 135.53, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 210.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 521.92, Sell volume: 3642.52, Average price: 0.8564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641856
Question: Will Cozy the Caller win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 14542.020245
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 193.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581787
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208801.38808
Price History:
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.4950
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.1250
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.8750
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1250
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.8750
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.1250
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.1300
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8700
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.8700
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.1300
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 891, Buy volume: 157407.90, Sell volume: 51393.49, Average price: 0.5127, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581787
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208801.38808
Price History:
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8400
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1600
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.1550
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.8450
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8400
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1600
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.1550
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.8450
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.8450
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.1550
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.1550
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.8450
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.1650
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.1650
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.1650
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.8450
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.1550
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.1700
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 144.00, Sell volume: 34.00, Average price: 0.7140, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581787
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208801.38808
Price History:
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.8300
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.1700
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.1650
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.8300
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.1700
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.1700
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.8300
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.1700
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.8300
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.8300
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.1700
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.8300
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.1700
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.8300
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.1700
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.8300
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.1700
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.8300
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.1700
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.1700
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581787
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208801.38808
Price History:
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.8250
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.8250
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.8250
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.8250
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.1800
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.1800
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.8200
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.1800
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 55.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1810, Price range: 0.1810 - 0.1810

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581787
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208801.38808
Price History:
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.8200
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.1800
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.1800
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.8200
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.8300
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.1700
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.1700
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.8300
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.1750
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.1750
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.8250
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.1750
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.1750
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.8250
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.8250
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.1750
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.1750
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.8250
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.1750
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.8250
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.1850
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.8150
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.1850
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.1850
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.8150
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.7550
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.2450
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.2550
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.7450
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.2400
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.7600
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.2350
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.7650
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 514.75, Sell volume: 121.82, Average price: 0.3285, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581787
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208801.38808
Price History:
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.7550
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.2450
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.2450
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.7550
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.7550
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.2450
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.7550
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.2450
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.2450
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.7550
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.2450
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.7550
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.2700
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.7300
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.2550
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.7450
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.2450
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.7550
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.2450
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.7550
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.2850
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.7150
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.2800
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.7200
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.2950
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.7050
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.7250
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.2750
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.2550
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.7450
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.2600
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.7400
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.2600
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.7400
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.2650
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 2909.91, Sell volume: 453.55, Average price: 0.5574, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581787
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208801.38808
Price History:
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.2850
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.7150
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.2850
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.7150
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.2550
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.7450
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.7450
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.2450
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.7550
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.7550
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.2700
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.7300
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.2850
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.7150
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.6950
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.3050
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.6650
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.3750
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.6250
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.6300
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.3700
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.3550
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.3600
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.6400
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.6450
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.3550
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.6400
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.3600
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 5116.61, Sell volume: 1285.65, Average price: 0.5553, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581787
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 60-70 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 208801.38808
Price History:
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.6750
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.6250
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.3750
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.6200
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.3800
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.6550
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.3400
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.1250
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.8750
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.7750
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.2250
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.6550
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.3450
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.8300
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.8350
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.1650
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.2400
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.7600
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.3050
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.2700
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.7500
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.2500
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.2500
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.7500
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.2400
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.7600
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.1900
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.8100
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.1600
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 154, Buy volume: 5941.64, Sell volume: 3361.19, Average price: 0.4416, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: Yes