Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657159
Question: Will Google dip to $175 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11546.458947
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 5143.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9981, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657159
Question: Will Google dip to $175 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11546.458947
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 4366.55, Sell volume: 400.00, Average price: 0.9574, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.7600
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.2400
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.7750
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.2250
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.7850
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.2150
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.7850
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.2150
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.7850
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.1300
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.8700
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.1250
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.8750
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.1150
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.8850
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.8850
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.8850
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.1100
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.8900
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0950
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9050
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0950
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9200
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0750
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9300
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0700
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9450
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0500
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9500
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0500
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9500
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9550
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9550
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9600
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0315
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9685
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0315
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9685
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0310
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9690
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0310
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9690
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0310
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 25.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0310
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9690
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0310
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9690
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0310
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9690
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0310
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9690
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0310
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9690
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0315
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9695
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9965
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9965
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.9965
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.9960
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9960
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.9960
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.9960
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.9960
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.9960
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9960
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.9960
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9960
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9960
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 11.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9960
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9960
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9960
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.8140
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.1845
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.8205
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.1845
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.9040
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0960
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.9045
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0955
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.9045
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0955
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.9045
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0955
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9045
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0955
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9040
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0960
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.9040
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0960
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.9040
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0960
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9040
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0965
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9035
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0965
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.9035
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0990
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9010
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0990
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.9010
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0990
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.9020
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0980
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9075
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0925
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.9075
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0925
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9075
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0925
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0925
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9070
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0920
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0925
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 26.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0050, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0050

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0925
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9075
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0925
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0825
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9175
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0825
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0925
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0925
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.9075
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0925
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0925
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.0925
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0925
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0925
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9075
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0925
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9075
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0925
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0925
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0925
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.0925
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0925
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9075
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9075
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.9075
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9075
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.0925
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0925
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0925
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9075
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0925
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.9075
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0930
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9070
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9070
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.9070
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0930
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9070
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0885
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9245
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0955
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.9240
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0865
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9070
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0930
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9065
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0935
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9170
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0810
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.8210, Price range: 0.8210 - 0.8210

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9130
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.9115
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0880
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9120
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0890
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9120
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0880
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.9120
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9120
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9120
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0880
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0900
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9165
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0840
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9070
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0935
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0830
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.9185
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9185
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.0815
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9225
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0815
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9185
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0815
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9185
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0815
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.0815
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0815
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9190
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.0805
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0770
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9235
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0765
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9235
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0765
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0765
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.0765
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0765
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9235
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9235
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.0765
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0765
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.0765
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9235
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9235
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0765
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0805
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0765
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9235
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9195
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0805
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0805
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0805
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9235
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9235
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0805
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9195
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0765
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0805
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9195
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9195
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0805
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9195
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0805
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9195
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0805
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9195
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0805
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9195
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0805
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9195
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0805
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9195
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0805
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0805
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9235
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9235
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0765
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9195
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9535
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0580
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9525
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0475
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9535
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0465
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0465
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0620
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9395
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9595
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9580
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9580
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9595
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0380
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9565
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0380
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9040
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.5570
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.4270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 8128.97, Sell volume: 435.99, Average price: 0.9189, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.6480
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.3365
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.6835
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.4820
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.5320
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.5480
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.5705
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.3990
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.3795
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.6365
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.3480
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.3110
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.2970
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.8810
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0810
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9190
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0810
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9190
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0810
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9195
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0805
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9195
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0805
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0805
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9195
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9195
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9195
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0805
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9195
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0805
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9195
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0805
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9195
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9195
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9195
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0805
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0805
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0805
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9195
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9195
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0805
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9195
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9195
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9195
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0805
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0805
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9195
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 8128.97, Sell volume: 435.99, Average price: 0.9189, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9195
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.0805
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0805
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0805
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9195
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9195
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9195
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0805
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9195
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9195
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0805
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9195
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0805
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9195
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9195
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9195
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0805
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9195
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9195
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0805
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9195
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0805
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9195
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9195
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0805
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9195
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9195
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9195
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.0805
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9195
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0805
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9195
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0805
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9195
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0805
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0805
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9195
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0805
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9195
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0805
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9195
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0805
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9205
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0805
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0805
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0805
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9195
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0805
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0805
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 8128.97, Sell volume: 435.99, Average price: 0.9189, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9195
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9195
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0805
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9195
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9195
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9195
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9195
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0805
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9195
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0805
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0805
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0805
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0795
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9205
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9205
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0805
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0805
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0805
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0805
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0805
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0805
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0805
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9195
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0805
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9195
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0805
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9195
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0805
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9195
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0805
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0805
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9195
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0805
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0805
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9195
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9195
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0805
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9195
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0805
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0805
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0805
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9195
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0805
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9195
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0805
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9195
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9195
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0805
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9195
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 8128.97, Sell volume: 435.99, Average price: 0.9189, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0805
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9195
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0805
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9195
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0805
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.8450
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.8450
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.8450
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.8500
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.1500
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.1490
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.1395
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.8610
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.1390
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.8610
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.1390
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.1390
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0935
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9065
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9065
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0935
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9065
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0935
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9065
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0935
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0935
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0935
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0935
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0935
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9065
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9065
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0905
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0920
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0915
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9100
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9090
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9070
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0885
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0810
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9130
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 8128.97, Sell volume: 435.99, Average price: 0.9189, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0920
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9065
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0935
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9190
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0805
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9195
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0740
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9135
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0720
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0740
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9230
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0820
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9345
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9295
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9295
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0690
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9260
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9315
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9310
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9310
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9070
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0890
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9125
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9355
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0880
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9370
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0685
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9290
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0710
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9430
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0565
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9525
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0895
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9290
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0710
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9290
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0895
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9230
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9240
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0770
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9235
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0765
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9235
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0765
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9235
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 105.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9887, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9893

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9430
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.1270
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9625
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0375
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9625
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0375
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.5185
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0525
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9495
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0415
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.5290
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0430
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9575
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0425
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9585
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0410
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5550
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.3595
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5465
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0565
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9435
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4245
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9420
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.3160
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.7160
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.2540
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7765
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.2085
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8185
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1155
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9330
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0665
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9335
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0665
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9335
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.4560
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.5730
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.6305
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.3165
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.7210
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.2610
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.7585
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.1990
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.8480
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.1395
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8925
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 12.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9010, Price range: 0.8820 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0625
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5310
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9465
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0615
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9475
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0430
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9675
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0230
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9830
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0170
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9830
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0170
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0170
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9830
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0160
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9840
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0160
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9835
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9845
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0150
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0150
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9820
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0180
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2431.07, Sell volume: 434.99, Average price: 0.9046, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582285
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 11617.809151
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4200
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5800
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.5950
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.4050
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.8300
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1800
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.1700
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.8300
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.8400
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.1600
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.1600
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.8400
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.1600
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.8400
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.8400
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.1600
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.8400
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.1600
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.1600
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 302.75, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8407, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582285
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 11617.809151
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.1600
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.8400
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.1800
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.1850
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.8150
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.8150
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.1850
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.1850
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.8150
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.8100
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.1900
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.8100
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.1900
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.1900
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.8100
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.1900
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.8100
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.8100
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.1900
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.8100
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.1900
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.8100
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.1900
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.1900
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.8100
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.8100
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1490.67, Sell volume: 28.00, Average price: 0.6372, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582285
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 11617.809151
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.3550
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.6450
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.3500
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.6500
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.3350
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.6650
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.3300
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.6700
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.2850
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.7150
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.3000
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.6900
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.3100
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.3050
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.6950
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.6600
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.3400
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.6700
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.3300
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.3700
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.6300
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.3450
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.6550
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.3400
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 184.81, Sell volume: 187.11, Average price: 0.5160, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7653
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582285
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 11617.809151
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.2550
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.7450
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.2550
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.7450
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.7450
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.2550
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.2600
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.7400
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.2600
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.7400
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.2600
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.7400
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.2600
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.7400
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.2600
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.7400
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.2600
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.7400
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.2600
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.7400
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.7550
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.2450
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.2450
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.2250
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 881.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7850, Price range: 0.7500 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582285
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 11617.809151
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.2300
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.7700
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.2300
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.2300
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.7700
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.7700
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.2300
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.7700
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.2300
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.2300
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.7700
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.7750
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.2250
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.2250
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.7750
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.2250
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.7750
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.7750
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.2250
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.2250
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.7750
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.7750
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.2250
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.2250
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.7750
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.2250
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 257.98, Sell volume: 177.82, Average price: 0.6229, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582285
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 11617.809151
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.8550
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.1450
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.8200
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.1800
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.1850
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.8150
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.8250
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.1750
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.8300
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.1700
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.8300
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 225.81, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.7619, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582285
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 11617.809151
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.1050
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8950
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.8900
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.1100
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.8900
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.8900
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.1100
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 72.07, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582285
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 11617.809151
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.1050
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.1050
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.1050
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.1050
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.1050
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.1050
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.1050
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.1050
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1019.00, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582285
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 11617.809151
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.1100
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.1100
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.1100
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 70.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1200, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.1200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582285
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 11617.809151
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 205, Buy volume: 8531.08, Sell volume: 3086.73, Average price: 0.7203, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582285
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 11617.809151
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 153.36, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582285
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 11617.809151
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 438.74, Sell volume: 615.23, Average price: 0.7204, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582285
Question: Will Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 11617.809151
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0300
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9700
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9700
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0300
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0425
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9575
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9580
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0420
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0420
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9580
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0420
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9580
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9465
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0535
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0535
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9465
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0490
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9510
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9535
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0465
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0495
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9505
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0495
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9505
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9550
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0450
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0450
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9550
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0450
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 3086.61, Sell volume: 744.04, Average price: 0.8055, Price range: 0.0206 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.1750
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.8250
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.1700
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.8300
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.6750
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.6750
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.6750
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.6750
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.7750
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.7750
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.7750
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.7750
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.7750
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.7750
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.7750
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.7750
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.7750
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.2350
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.7650
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.2150
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.7850
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.2150
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.7850
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.2100
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.7900
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.1800
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.8200
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.8200
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.1700
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.8300
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.1700
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.8300
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.1700
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.8300
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.1700
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.1750
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.8250
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.1750
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.8250
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.1750
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.8250
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.1750
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.8250
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.1750
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2400, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.2400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.1350
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.8650
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.1350
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.8650
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.1300
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.8700
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 64.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.8750
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.1250
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.8750
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.1250
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.8750
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.1250
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.8750
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.1250
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.8750
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.1500
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.8500
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 175.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.1850
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.8150
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.8250
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.1850
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.8150
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.1850
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.8150
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.1550
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.8450
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.1250
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.8750
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0050
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9950
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1357.43, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6759, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.1750
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.8250
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.1700
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.8300
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.6750
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.6750
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.6750
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.6750
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.7750
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.7750
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.7750
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.2250
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.7750
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.7750
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.7750
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.7750
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.7750
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.7750
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.2350
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.7650
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.2300
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.7700
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.2150
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.7850
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.2150
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.7850
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.2100
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.7900
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.1800
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.8200
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.8200
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.1700
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.8300
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.1700
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.8300
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.1700
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.8300
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.1700
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2600.59, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.1750
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.8250
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.1750
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.8250
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.1750
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.8250
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.1750
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.8250
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.1750
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.17, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2400, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.2400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.1350
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.8650
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.1350
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.8650
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.1300
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.8700
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 64.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.8750
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.1250
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.8750
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.1250
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.8750
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.1250
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.8750
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.1250
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.8750
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.1500
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.8500
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 175.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524353
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2785.593153
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.1850
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.8150
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.8250
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.1850
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.8150
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.1850
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.8150
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.1550
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.8450
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.1250
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.8750
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0050
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9950
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1357.43, Sell volume: 185.00, Average price: 0.6759, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.2300
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.2250
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.2150
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.2150
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.2150
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.1450
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.1250
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.1150
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.1150
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.1100
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0950
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0800
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0700
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0550
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0500
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0500
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0350
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0315
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0315
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0310
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0310
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0310
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0310
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 25.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0310
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0310
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0310
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0310
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0310
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0310
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0305
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 11.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.1850
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.1795
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0960
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.0955
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0955
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0955
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0955
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0955
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0960
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.0960
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0960
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0960
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0965
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0965
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0990
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0990
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0990
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0980
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0925
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0925
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0925
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.9075
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9070
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0925
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9075
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 26.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0050, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0050
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0925
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9075
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9175
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9175
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.9075
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.9075
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9075
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0925
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0925
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9075
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0925
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9075
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9075
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9075
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0925
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0925
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0925
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9075
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0930
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9070
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9070
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0935
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9225
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0760
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0930
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0935
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0935
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0810
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0875
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.9165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.8210, Price range: 0.8210 - 0.8210
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9130
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0835
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9110
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9120
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0880
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0880
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0875
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9215
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0890
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0830
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9185
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9185
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9185
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9185
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9185
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9185
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0805
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0765
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0765
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0765
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0765
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0765
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0765
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9235
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0765
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0765
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9195
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9235
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0765
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9195
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9195
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0805
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9235
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0805
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9195
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0805
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0805
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0805
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0805
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0805
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0805
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0805
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0805
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9195
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0765
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0805
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0475
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0580
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0475
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0465
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0850
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0385
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0420
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0380
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0420
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0410
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.5570
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.4105
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.3775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 8128.97, Sell volume: 435.99, Average price: 0.9189, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.6480
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.6795
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.5260
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.4460
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.3960
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.3635
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.3385
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.3015
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.2980
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0810
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0810
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0810
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0805
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0805
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9195
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9195
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9195
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9195
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9195
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9195
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0805
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9195
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9195
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0805
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0805
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0805
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0805
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9195
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9195
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 8128.97, Sell volume: 435.99, Average price: 0.9189, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9195
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9195
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9195
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9195
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9195
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0805
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0805
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0805
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0805
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0805
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9195
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0805
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9195
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9195
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0805
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0805
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0805
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0805
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0805
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0805
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9195
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9195
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9195
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9195
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0805
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0805
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9195
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0805
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9205
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 8128.97, Sell volume: 435.99, Average price: 0.9189, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9195
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9195
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9195
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0805
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9195
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9195
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9195
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0795
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0795
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0805
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0805
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9195
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9195
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9195
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9195
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0805
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9195
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9195
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0805
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9195
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0805
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0805
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0805
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0805
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0805
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0805
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9195
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9195
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9195
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 8128.97, Sell volume: 435.99, Average price: 0.9189, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0805
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0805
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9195
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.8450
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.1550
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.1500
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.1395
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.1390
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.1390
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.1390
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9065
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9065
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0935
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9065
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9065
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0935
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9065
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9095
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0905
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0910
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9070
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9190
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9130
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9065
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 8128.97, Sell volume: 435.99, Average price: 0.9189, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0920
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0935
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0810
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0760
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0880
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9260
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9235
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9345
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9295
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0685
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0735
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0595
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9120
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9110
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9435
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9290
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9430
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9505
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9290
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9290
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9110
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9230
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9235
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9235
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9235
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9235
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 105.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9887, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9893
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9430
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9625
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9625
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9625
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9475
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9585
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9475
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.5390
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9590
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5550
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9460
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9435
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5990
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.8570
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.6840
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.7395
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.7875
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.8240
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9330
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9335
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9335
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.5580
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.6025
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.6835
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.7370
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.7805
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.8515
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8925
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9385
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 12.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9010, Price range: 0.8820 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561628
Question: Will Iceland win UEFA Group D for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8564.9616
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5220
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9460
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9405
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9590
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9770
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9830
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9830
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9835
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9830
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9840
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9840
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9840
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9820
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9865
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9925
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2431.07, Sell volume: 434.99, Average price: 0.9046, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657159
Question: Will Google dip to $175 in November?
Volume: 11546.458947
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0475
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9520
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0480
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9515
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9550
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0440
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9560
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0440
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9560
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0440
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9560
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0440
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9560
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0440
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9560
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0440
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9560
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657159
Question: Will Google dip to $175 in November?
Volume: 11546.458947
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9595
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9605
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9650
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9645
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9655
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9655
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0345
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9655
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0345
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9665
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9665
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0335
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9655
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0345
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9650
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9650
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9650
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9695
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0305
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9700
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 11.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9890, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657159
Question: Will Google dip to $175 in November?
Volume: 11546.458947
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9700
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0300
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9700
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0300
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9700
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0300
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9700
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0300
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9700
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0300
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9705
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0295
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9705
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0300
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9700
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0300
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9700
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0300
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9700
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0165
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9835
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0170
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9850
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0130
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9860
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0140
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9860
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0140
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9860
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 168.52, Sell volume: 2.04, Average price: 0.9904, Price range: 0.9860 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657159
Question: Will Google dip to $175 in November?
Volume: 11546.458947
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9920
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9920
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0080
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9925
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9925
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9925
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 114.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9955, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657159
Question: Will Google dip to $175 in November?
Volume: 11546.458947
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 52.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9972, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9975
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657159
Question: Will Google dip to $175 in November?
Volume: 11546.458947
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 174.92, Sell volume: 120.24, Average price: 0.9977, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657159
Question: Will Google dip to $175 in November?
Volume: 11546.458947
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 53.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657159
Question: Will Google dip to $175 in November?
Volume: 11546.458947
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 65.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657159
Question: Will Google dip to $175 in November?
Volume: 11546.458947
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 128.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9978, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657159
Question: Will Google dip to $175 in November?
Volume: 11546.458947
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 185.76, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9983
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657159
Question: Will Google dip to $175 in November?
Volume: 11546.458947
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 480.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9427, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657159
Question: Will Google dip to $175 in November?
Volume: 11546.458947
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 5143.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9981, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657159
Question: Will Google dip to $175 in November?
Volume: 11546.458947
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 4366.55, Sell volume: 400.00, Average price: 0.9574, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.1850
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.1600
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0225
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9480
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0520
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0985
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9015
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0180
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9820
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9150
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 280.27, Sell volume: 18.44, Average price: 0.7892, Price range: 0.0710 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0800
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0800
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0800
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0800
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0800
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0805
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9195
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0805
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9195
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0655
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9345
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0630
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9370
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0555
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9445
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0545
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9455
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0570
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9430
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9445
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0555
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9445
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0555
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9445
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0555
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9445
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0555
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0545
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9455
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9445
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0555
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9455
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0545
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9465
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9290, Price range: 0.9290 - 0.9290

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0545
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9455
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0540
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9460
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9430
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0570
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0420
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9580
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9635
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0365
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0360
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9640
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9660
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0340
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9720
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0280
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9810
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0190
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0190
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9810
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0190
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9810
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0265
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9735
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0250
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9750
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9795
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9795
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0205
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0205
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9795
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0205
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9795
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9795
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0205
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9795
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0205
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9795
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0205
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9805
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0195
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 366.00, Sell volume: 4.00, Average price: 0.8973, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0170
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9835
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0165
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0165
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9835
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0165
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9835
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9840
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9840
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9830
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0170
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9800
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0200
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0205
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9795
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9800
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0200
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9795
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0205
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9800
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0200
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9800
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0200
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0205
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9795
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9800
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0200
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0200
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9800
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0200
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9800
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9800
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0200
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9740
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 892.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3473, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9730
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0270
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9645
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0355
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9665
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0335
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9665
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0335
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9665
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0335
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9670
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0330
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9640
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0360
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9685
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0315
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9685
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0315
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9690
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0310
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0310
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9690
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9695
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0305
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9685
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0315
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9685
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0315
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9690
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.48, Sell volume: 145.50, Average price: 0.5004, Price range: 0.0287 - 0.9720

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582287
Question: Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8409.466229
Price History:
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0315
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9685
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0315
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9685
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9685
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0315
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9695
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 109.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9793, Price range: 0.9790 - 0.9800

Output: Yes