Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.4550
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.5450
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.4700
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.5300
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.5600
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.4400
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.5800
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.4200
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0105
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9895
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 2767.89, Sell volume: 263.00, Average price: 0.5886, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.1850
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.1600
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9750
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0225
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0230
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9770
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9770
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0230
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9655
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0345
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9655
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0345
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0225
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0225
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9775
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0225
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9775
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0225
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9765
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0235
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9770
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 296.88, Sell volume: 48.00, Average price: 0.8022, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9865
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 81.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9835
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0165
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9850
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0150
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9855
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0145
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9865
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0135
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9865
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0135
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0135
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9865
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0135
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 420.16, Sell volume: 7.12, Average price: 0.9181, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9885
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0115
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9870
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 479.98, Sell volume: 64.03, Average price: 0.1537, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9800
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0200
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0250
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0250
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9750
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0230
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9770
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0230
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9770
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0230
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9770
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9775
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0225
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9770
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 609.00, Sell volume: 106.03, Average price: 0.0210, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.0210
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0215
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9785
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0260
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9740
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0285
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9715
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0270
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9730
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0265
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9735
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0260
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9740
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0255
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9745
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0265
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9735
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 447.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7031, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0270
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9730
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0275
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9725
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0265
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9735
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0240
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9760
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9765
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0235
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9760
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0240
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9755
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0245
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0245
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9755
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9760
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0240
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9755
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0245
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9755
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0245
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9755
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0245
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9755
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0245
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9755
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0245
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.0229, Price range: 0.0229 - 0.0229
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9755
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0245
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9755
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0245
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0245
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9755
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9755
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0245
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9750
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9760
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0240
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9760
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0240
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9760
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0240
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9765
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0235
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 186, Buy volume: 8159.58, Sell volume: 1984.74, Average price: 0.7534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0250
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9750
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0250
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0250
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9750
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0245
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9750
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0250
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0250
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 186, Buy volume: 8159.58, Sell volume: 1984.74, Average price: 0.7534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9755
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0245
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0245
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9755
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 186, Buy volume: 8159.58, Sell volume: 1984.74, Average price: 0.7534, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9750
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9750
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0250
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9750
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0250
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0250
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0250
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0250
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9750
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0245
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9755
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0240
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9760
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0240
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9760
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9760
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0240
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9760
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0240
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9760
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0240
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0245
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 45.04, Sell volume: 325.89, Average price: 0.3417, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9760
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9770
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0230
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0235
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9765
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0230
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9770
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9765
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0235
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0230
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9770
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0235
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9765
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9770
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0230
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0235
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9765
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0230
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9770
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9770
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0230
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9765
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0235
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9770
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0230
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9765
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0235
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9770
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0230
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1711.45, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.6472, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582286
Question: Will Catherine Vautrin be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 10144.317788
Price History:
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9095
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0905
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9150
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9160
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0840
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0840
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9160
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9160
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0840
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9160
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0840
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9155
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0845
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9155
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0845
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9160
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0840
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9155
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0845
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0775
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9225
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0525
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9475
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0505
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9495
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0500
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9500
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0510
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 4058.90, Sell volume: 1184.07, Average price: 0.8433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5300
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.4700
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.5150
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4950
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.5250
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.5200
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.4800
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 4421.83, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.4800
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.5150
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.5150
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.4950
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.5050
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.4900
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.5100
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.4900
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.5100
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.4900
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 4421.83, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.4900
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.5100
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 4421.83, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.4500
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.5500
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.4500
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.5500
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.6050
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 4421.83, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 4421.83, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.3900
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.6100
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.4300
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.4300
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.5700
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.4300
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.5700
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.4250
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.5750
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.5550
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5976, Price range: 0.5976 - 0.5976
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.5600
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.5550
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.4400
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.5600
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.5650
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.4300, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.4300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.5650
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.5650
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.5650
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.5650
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 110.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6200, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.5300
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.4800
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.5200
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.3750
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.6250
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.3750
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.6250
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.3750
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.6250
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.3750
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.6250
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.3750
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.6250
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 423.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6403, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.7106
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.3850
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.6150
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.3850
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.6150
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.3850
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.6150
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.4400
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.5600
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.2600, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.2600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.5600
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 4421.83, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.5933, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524349
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4716.834544
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.4550
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.5450
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.4700
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.5300
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.5550
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.4450
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.5600
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.4400
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.5800
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.4200
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0105
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9895
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 2767.89, Sell volume: 263.00, Average price: 0.5886, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.4350
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0550
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0550
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.0550
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0450
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0450
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0450
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0450
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0450
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0450
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0450
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0450
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0450
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0450
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0450
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0450
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0450
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0450
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0450
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0450
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0450
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.1300
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.1000
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1000
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.1000
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1000
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.1250
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1250
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.1300
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.1100
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1150
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1100
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1150
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1150
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1150
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.1000
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.1000
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1000
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0950
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0850
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0900
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0900
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0850
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0750
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0950
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0950
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0900
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0950
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0850
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0900
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1000
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0700
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0700
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0700
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.1150
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.1150
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.1200
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.1200
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.1150
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.1150
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.1500
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.1300
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.1350
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.1350
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.1400
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.1250
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.1800
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.1300
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.1300
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.1350
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.1350
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.1350
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.1350
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.1450
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.1450
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.1400
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.1350
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.1350
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.1400
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.1350
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.1400
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.1400
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.1400
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.1400
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.1350
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.1350
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.1350
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.1400
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.1400
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.1400
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.1400
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.1400
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.1450
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.1400
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.1450
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.1450
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.1450
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.1350
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.1400
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.1400
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.1250
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.1250
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.1150
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.1150
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0700
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0700
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.0700
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0650
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0650
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.0650
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0650
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0600
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0600
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0600
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0650
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0650
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0650
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0600
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0650
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0550
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0550
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0550
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0550
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0550
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0650
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0650
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0550
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0600
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0600
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0600
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0600
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0600
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0235
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0225
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0225
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0235
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0235
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0235
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0220
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0250
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0245
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0205
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0210
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0200
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0195
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0190
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0170
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0175
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0090
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0045
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0055
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0055
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0125
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0120
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0095
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.4350
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.9300
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0600
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9400
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9400
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.9300
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9400
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9550
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9550
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9550
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9550
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9550
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0450
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9550
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9550
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.9550
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.9550
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0450
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9550
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9550
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9550
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9550
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9550
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9550
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9550
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9550
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9550
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9550
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0450
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9550
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0450
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9550
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9550
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9550
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9550
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9550
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9550
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9550
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9550
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.9550
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9550
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0950
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9050
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.1250
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.1250
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8750
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1100
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.8950
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1100
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.8900
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.1000
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8850
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.1100
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.8950
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.1000
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9050
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0850
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9250
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.1000
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9000
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0950
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9100
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0850
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9200
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0700
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9200
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0700
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9200
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9400
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9400
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9400
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9400
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9400
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9400
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9400
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9400
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9400
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9400
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9400
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9400
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9400
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.9400
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.9400
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.9400
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0700
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.1150
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.8850
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.8750
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.1200
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.8850
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.8850
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.8850
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.1150
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.8850
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.1350
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.8650
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.1350
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.8800
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.1300
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.8700
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.1350
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.8650
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.1350
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.8550
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.1350
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.8650
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.1400
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.8600
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.8600
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.1400
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.8600
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.1400
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.8600
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.1400
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.8550
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.1450
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.8650
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.8650
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.1250
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.8850
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0800
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.9250
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.9100
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0700
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9300
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9350
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0650
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9350
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.9350
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0650
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9400
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0650
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9350
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9350
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9350
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0650
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9350
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9400
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0550
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9400
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9400
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0550
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9350
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9450
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0650
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9350
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0600
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0600
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9400
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9550
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0450
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0235
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9775
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0240
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9765
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9780
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0210
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9780
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0250
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9755
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0200
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9805
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9800
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0200
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9830
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9920
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9980
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535386
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Volume: 181613.191837
Price History:
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9965
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9940
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9960
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.9955
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0195
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9915
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524344
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3859.498372
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5250
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4800
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.5200
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4050
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5950
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.4000
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.6000
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4000
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.6000
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.3950
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.6050
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524344
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3859.498372
Price History:
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.7200
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.2950
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.7050
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.2950
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.7050
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.2950
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.7050
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.2900
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524344
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3859.498372
Price History:
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.2600
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.7400
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.2600
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.7400
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.2550
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.7450
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.2550
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.7450
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.2500
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.7500
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.2600
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.7400
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.2650
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.7350
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 3197.61, Sell volume: 661.89, Average price: 0.5209, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524344
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3859.498372
Price History:
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.7350
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.2750
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.7250
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.2700
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.7300
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.2750
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.7250
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.2750
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.7250
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.2750
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 3197.61, Sell volume: 661.89, Average price: 0.5209, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524344
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3859.498372
Price History:
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.2750
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.7250
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.2800
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.7200
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.2750
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.7250
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.2750
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.7250
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.2750
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.7250
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.2750
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.7250
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 3197.61, Sell volume: 661.89, Average price: 0.5209, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524344
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3859.498372
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.7250
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.2750
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.7250
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.2800
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.7200
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.2750
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.7250
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.2650
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.7350
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.2550
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.7450
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.2550
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.7450
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.2500
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 33.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524344
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3859.498372
Price History:
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.2500
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.7500
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.2350
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.7650
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.2350
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.7650
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.2400
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.7600
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.2350
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.7650
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.2350
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.7650
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.2350
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.7650
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524344
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3859.498372
Price History:
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.7600
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.1700
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.8300
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.8350
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.1650
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.8350
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 160.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5074, Price range: 0.1848 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524344
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3859.498372
Price History:
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.1700
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.8300
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 3197.61, Sell volume: 661.89, Average price: 0.5209, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524344
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3859.498372
Price History:
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.2150
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.7850
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.2150
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.7850
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.2250
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.7750
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.2250
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.7750
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.2250
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.7750
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.2250
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.7750
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.2250
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 157.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2600, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.2700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524344
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3859.498372
Price History:
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.2300
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.7700
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.2300
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.7700
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.2250
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.7750
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.2250
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.7750
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.2600
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.7400
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.2350
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.7650
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.2300
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.7700
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 104.89, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524344
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3859.498372
Price History:
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.7650
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.2300
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.7700
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.2500
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.7500
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.2500
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.7500
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.2550
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.7450
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.2550
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.7450
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.2550
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.7450
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.2550
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 3197.61, Sell volume: 661.89, Average price: 0.5209, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524344
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3859.498372
Price History:
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.7500
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.7350
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.2900
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.7100
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.2700
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.7300
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.2900
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.7100
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.2900
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.7100
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0105
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9895
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2121.13, Sell volume: 557.00, Average price: 0.4808, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535387
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 221217.235494
Price History:
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.4550
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.4000
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.3600
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.1400
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.1100
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.1100
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.1100
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.1100
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.1100
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.1350
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.1350
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.1350
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.1500
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.1650
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.1550
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.1200
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.1150
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.1150
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.1200
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.1150
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.1050
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.1150
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.1050
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.1050
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.1100
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.1200
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.1250
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.1500
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.1500
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.1550
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.1500
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.1450
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.1450
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.1450
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.1800
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.1850
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.1900
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.1800
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.1850
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.1850
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.1850
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.1800
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.1750
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.1750
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.1750
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.1950
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.1500
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.1500
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535387
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 221217.235494
Price History:
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.1750
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.1750
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.1700
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.1800
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.1800
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.1800
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.1800
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.1750
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.1750
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.1750
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.1900
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.1900
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.1900
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.1900
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.1900
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.1900
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.1950
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.1950
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.1950
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.1950
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.1950
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.1950
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.1900
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.1950
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.1950
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.1850
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.1900
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.1900
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.1900
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.1900
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.1900
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.1900
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.1900
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.1900
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.1900
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.1900
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.1950
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.1950
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.1950
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.1950
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.1900
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.1900
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.1900
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.1900
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.1900
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.1900
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.1900
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.1900
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.1900
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535387
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 221217.235494
Price History:
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.1900
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.1900
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.1900
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.1850
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.1850
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.1850
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.1850
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.1850
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.1850
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.1850
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.1850
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.1850
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.1850
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.1850
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.1850
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.1850
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.1850
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.1850
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.1850
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.1850
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.1850
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.1850
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.1850
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.1850
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.1850
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.1850
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.1850
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.2000
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.1900
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.1900
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.1900
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.1900
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1900
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1900
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1900
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1900
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1900
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1900
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.1900
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.1900
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.1900
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535387
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 221217.235494
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.1850
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.1850
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.1850
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.1850
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1850
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1850
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1850
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.1850
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.1850
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.1850
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.1850
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.1850
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.1850
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.1850
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.1850
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.1850
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.1850
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.1850
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.1850
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.1850
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.1850
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.1850
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.1850
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.1850
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.1850
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.1850
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.1850
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.1850
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.1850
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.1900
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.1900
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.1900
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.1900
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.1900
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.1950
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.1950
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.1950
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.1950
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.1850
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.1850
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.1850
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.1850
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1850
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1850
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.1850
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1850
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.1850
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.1850
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1850
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535387
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 221217.235494
Price History:
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.1850
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1850
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.1850
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.1850
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.1850
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.1850
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.1850
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535387
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 221217.235494
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1850
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.1850
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.1850
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.1850
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.1850
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.1850
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.1850
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.1850
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.1850
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.1850
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.1850
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.1850
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.1900
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.1900
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.1900
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.1900
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.1900
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.1900
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1900
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.2000
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.2300
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.2300
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.2600
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.2400
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.2450
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.2400
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.2350
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.2350
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.2350
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.2350
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2350
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2350
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.2350
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.2350
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.2350
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535387
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 221217.235494
Price History:
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2400
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2400
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.2400
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2400
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.2400
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.2400
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.2400
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.2400
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.2600
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2450
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.2400
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.2400
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.2400
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.2400
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.2400
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.2400
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.2400
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.2400
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.2400
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.2400
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.2400
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.2400
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.2400
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.2400
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.2400
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.2400
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.2400
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.2400
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.2400
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.2400
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.2400
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.2400
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.2250
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.2200
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.2200
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535387
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 221217.235494
Price History:
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.2200
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.2200
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.2200
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.2200
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.2200
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.2200
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.2200
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.2200
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.2200
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.2200
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.2200
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.2200
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.2200
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.2200
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.2150
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.2150
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.2150
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.2150
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.2150
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.1850
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.1700
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.1850
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.1850
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.1800
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.1750
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.1550
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.1550
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.1550
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.1550
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.1550
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.1500
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.1500
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.1550
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.1550
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.1550
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.1500
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535387
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 221217.235494
Price History:
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.1550
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.1550
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.1550
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.1550
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.1650
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.1550
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.1550
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.1550
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.1550
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.1500
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.1500
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.1550
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.1550
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.1550
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.1500
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.1550
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.1650
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.1650
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.1650
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.1650
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.1650
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.1700
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.1700
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.1700
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.1650
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.1600
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.1650
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.1650
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.1600
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.1600
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.1550
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.1550
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.1700
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.1650
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.1550
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.1650
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.1650
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.1550
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.1650
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.1600
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.1600
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.1600
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.1600
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.1600
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.1550
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.1600
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.1550
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.1550
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.1600
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535387
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 221217.235494
Price History:
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.1500
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.1500
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.1500
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.1500
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.1500
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.1500
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.1500
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.1500
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.1600
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.1500
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.1500
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.1500
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.1500
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.1500
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.1500
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.1500
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.1500
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.1500
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.1550
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.1500
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.1500
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.1550
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.1500
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.1550
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.1550
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.1500
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.1500
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.1500
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.1500
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.1500
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.1500
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.1500
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.1500
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.1500
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.1500
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.1500
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.1500
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535387
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 221217.235494
Price History:
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.1500
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.1500
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.1500
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.1500
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.1500
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.1500
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.1500
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1500
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.1500
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.1500
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.1500
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.1500
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.1500
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.1500
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.1500
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.1500
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.1500
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.1500
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.1500
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.1500
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.1500
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.1500
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.1500
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.1500
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.1500
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.1500
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.1500
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.1500
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.1500
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.1500
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.1050
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.1100
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.1050
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.1050
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.1000
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.1000
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0900
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0950
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535387
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 221217.235494
Price History:
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.1100
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.1100
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.1100
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.1100
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.1100
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.1150
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.1100
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.1100
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.1100
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.1100
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.1100
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.1100
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.1100
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.1100
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.1100
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.1050
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0750
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0800
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0800
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0800
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0800
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0800
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0800
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0700
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0550
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0600
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0450
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0450
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0400
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0285
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0390
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0360
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0340
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0350
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0260
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0240
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0335
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0350
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0355
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0355
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0350
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0370
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0370
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0370
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0255
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0250
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0275
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535387
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 221217.235494
Price History:
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0450
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0445
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0395
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0385
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0420
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0320
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0345
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0360
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0365
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0375
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0350
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0350
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0315
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0345
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0305
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0285
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0285
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0275
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0285
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0335
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0340
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0310
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0290
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0310
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0315
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0305
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0375
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0335
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0335
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0460
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0315
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0375
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0305
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0235
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0220
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0170
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0160
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0215
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0345
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0295
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0280
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0355
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0295
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0385
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0660
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0500
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0440
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0185
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582288
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6202.496628
Price History:
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.4200
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9400
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0600
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0600
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9400
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9450
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0550
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9450
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 133.00, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.4275, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582288
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6202.496628
Price History:
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0650
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0650
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0650
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 201.06, Sell volume: 141.00, Average price: 0.4983, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582288
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6202.496628
Price History:
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0650
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9500
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0500
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9550
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0450
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9550
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0450
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9550
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 785.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582288
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6202.496628
Price History:
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9550
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0450
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9550
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0450
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0450
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9550
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9550
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0450
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9550
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 292.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.6558, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582288
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6202.496628
Price History:
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9950
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0050
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3128.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582288
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6202.496628
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 2826.50, Sell volume: 3376.00, Average price: 0.8155, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582288
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6202.496628
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 2826.50, Sell volume: 3376.00, Average price: 0.8155, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582288
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6202.496628
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 2826.50, Sell volume: 3376.00, Average price: 0.8155, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582288
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6202.496628
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 2826.50, Sell volume: 3376.00, Average price: 0.8155, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582288
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6202.496628
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 2826.50, Sell volume: 3376.00, Average price: 0.8155, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582288
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6202.496628
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 2826.50, Sell volume: 3376.00, Average price: 0.8155, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582288
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6202.496628
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 2826.50, Sell volume: 3376.00, Average price: 0.8155, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582288
Question: Will Jean Castex be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6202.496628
Price History:
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 2826.50, Sell volume: 3376.00, Average price: 0.8155, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524344
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 100+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3859.498372
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5250
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4800
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.5200
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4050
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5950
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.4000
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.6000
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4000
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.6000
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.3950
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.6050
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No