Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 142.78, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.2500
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.7550
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.3550
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.6450
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.3600
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.6400
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.3600
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.6350
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.4150
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.5750
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.4250
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.5450
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.4750
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.5350
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.4650
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.5350
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.4650
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.5300
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.4700
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.5250
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.4700
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.5300
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.4900
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.4850
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.5150
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.4400
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.5550
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.4500
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.5600
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 3420.81, Sell volume: 490.00, Average price: 0.5065, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.4450
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.6000
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.3900
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.6350
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.3650
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.6350
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.3600
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.6350
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.3600
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.6400
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.3600
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.6100
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.3800
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.6200
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.3800
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.7650
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.2900
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.7200
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.3550
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.6500
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.3650
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.6350
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.3500
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.6450
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.3550
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.4150
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.5050
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.9595
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.0355
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 3926.97, Sell volume: 1283.68, Average price: 0.5736, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.9725
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0245
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9865
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0145
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.9885
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0125
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.9830
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0175
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.9855
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0110
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.9900
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0090
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.9885
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0120
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9890
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.0115
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.9880
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0120
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.9875
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0120
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.9895
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0105
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.9900
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0115
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.9885
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.0115
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.9890
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0105
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.9890
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 955.65, Sell volume: 313.88, Average price: 0.9834, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.9905
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.9905
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.9905
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9900
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.9900
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.9900
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0100
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.9900
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0100
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.9895
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.9895
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.9895
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.9895
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9895
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.9895
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.9895
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0105
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 136.10, Sell volume: 7.19, Average price: 0.9918, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.9910
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0090
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.9905
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0095
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.9905
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0090
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9910
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0090
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.9905
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0090
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.9935
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0065
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9925
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0085
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9960
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 2000.19, Sell volume: 1445.76, Average price: 0.7673, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9950
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0050
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.9950
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.9930
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0090
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.9870
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0120
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9910
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0090
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.9910
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9910
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.9900
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0095
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.9895
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0110
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.9895
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0110
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0070
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9950
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.9935
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0050
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9945
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 4382.06, Sell volume: 4382.55, Average price: 0.7894, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.9965
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.9960
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.9965
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.9925
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.9945
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0070
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.9920
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0050
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0065
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.9950
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0050
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9935
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0050
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.9955
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9935
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9925
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0050
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.9930
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 25.97, Sell volume: 72.04, Average price: 0.8169, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0045
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0065
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9930
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0070
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.9925
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0045
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 9374.98, Sell volume: 243.23, Average price: 0.7135, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 805.00, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9990
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2808.00, Sell volume: 122.87, Average price: 0.2507, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1029.02, Sell volume: 1300.00, Average price: 0.2864, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9980
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1035.99, Sell volume: 18.25, Average price: 0.9976, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554582
Question: Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 39727.973034
Price History:
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.9990
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 142.78, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.1500
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9540
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9640
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9530
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0480
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9485
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0515
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0495
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9590
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0465
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0445
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9555
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.0405
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9600
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9595
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0375
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0330
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9665
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9665
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9690
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9670
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9695
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0305
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.0305
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.0305
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0305
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0305
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0255
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9745
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0255
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9745
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9745
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.0255
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9745
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9750
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9755
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0265
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.9765
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.9765
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9765
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9770
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9775
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.9770
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0220
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9770
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9770
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9770
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.0215
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9785
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9785
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9785
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.0215
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9785
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9785
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9785
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0215
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9795
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9785
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.9795
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9795
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.9800
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.0205
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.0200
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0200
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0190
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0200
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.0200
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0200
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0200
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0180
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0135
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0140
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.0140
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.0155
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0150
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0150
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0150
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0150
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0155
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0140
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.9870
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.9870
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9885
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.9875
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.9885
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0165
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.9835
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.9840
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9840
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0160
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9840
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.9835
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.0165
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.9840
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9845
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0160
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.9880
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.0120
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.0140
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.0115
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0115
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9875
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0125
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.0130
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.0145
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0120
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.0115
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0115
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9890
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9890
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0110
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0110
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.0110
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.9895
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0105
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.0105
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.0115
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0115
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0115
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0115
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.9890
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9890
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.9885
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9885
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9885
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9885
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.9885
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9840
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9850
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9850
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9845
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.9845
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0160
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0170
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.0155
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9840
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9845
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.0165
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.0165
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0160
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.9840
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0155
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9845
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.0155
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0150
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0155
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9845
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.9845
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0155
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0195
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9790
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9790
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0205
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.0205
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0205
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0205
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0210
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9785
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9785
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9785
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9780
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9780
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9780
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9780
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0220
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0220
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9775
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0225
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0225
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0220
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0225
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0225
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9780
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9780
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9775
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0220
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0220
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0225
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0225
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9775
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0225
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9775
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9815
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0110
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9895
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9905
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9905
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9880
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9875
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9855
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0140
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0145
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9865
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0135
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0135
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9865
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0130
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9865
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9865
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9865
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9865
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0130
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9870
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9870
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9865
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9880
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9880
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9880
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0125
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0125
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0125
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0125
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9880
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9880
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0120
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0120
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9880
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9880
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0120
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9880
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9880
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9880
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0120
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9880
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0120
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9875
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9875
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0125
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9875
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0125
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9875
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0125
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0125
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0125
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0125
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0125
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0125
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0125
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0125
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0125
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0125
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0125
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0125
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0125
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0125
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0125
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9875
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9875
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0125
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9875
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9875
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9875
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9875
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9875
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9875
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9875
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9880
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9885
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9885
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9885
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9875
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9875
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9875
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0125
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0125
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0125
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0125
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0125
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0125
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0125
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0125
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9875
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9875
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.9875
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9885
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9880
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0125
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0125
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0120
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9880
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9880
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0120
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9880
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9880
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9875
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0125
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9880
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0120
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0115
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0115
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0115
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0115
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0115
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0115
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0115
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9885
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0115
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0115
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9880
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9880
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0120
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9880
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0120
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0125
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.0125
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0125
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9880
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0120
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0120
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0120
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0120
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0120
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0120
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9880
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.0120
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9880
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0120
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0120
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9885
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0115
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9880
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9880
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9880
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0120
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0120
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9880
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9880
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9880
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9880
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0120
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9880
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0115
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9885
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9875
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9875
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0125
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9875
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0125
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9875
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9875
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0125
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0125
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0125
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0125
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0125
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9875
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0125
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0125
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0115
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9885
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0125
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0125
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0125
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9875
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0125
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9875
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0125
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9875
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9875
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9895
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9895
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0095
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9905
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9930
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9935
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9925
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9950
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0040
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0040
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0040
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9950
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9950
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9965
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0045
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9960
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9950
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9960
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 939060, Buy volume: 150099748.51, Sell volume: 135574669.62, Average price: 0.1160, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0130
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0085
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9940
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9955
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9915
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0060
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9965
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0040
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0055
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44949, Buy volume: 5408277.43, Sell volume: 4346444.67, Average price: 0.0513, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.1500
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9485
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0525
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0515
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0495
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9590
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.0450
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.9595
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9595
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0325
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0330
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0310
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.9695
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9695
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0305
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9695
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9745
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0255
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0255
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0255
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9755
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.0235
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9770
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0230
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.9770
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0225
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.9770
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.9785
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.9785
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9785
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.0215
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9785
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0215
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0215
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.9790
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0200
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.0200
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9805
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.9805
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9800
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0180
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.9860
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0160
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9845
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0150
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.0145
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0145
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.0130
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9885
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0115
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0170
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0160
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0160
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9840
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0165
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0155
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9840
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.9880
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0115
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.0125
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0125
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.0130
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0120
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0130
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0110
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0110
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.9890
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0105
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.9895
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0115
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.0115
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.9890
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0115
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9885
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0115
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9845
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0150
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.9845
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.0170
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.9845
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.0165
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.9840
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9845
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.9845
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9850
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0155
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9850
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9850
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0210
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0205
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9790
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9790
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0205
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9780
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0215
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9780
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9780
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9780
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9775
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0220
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9775
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9780
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0220
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0215
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9775
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0225
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0220
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9895
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0095
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9905
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9880
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0125
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0130
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0130
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9865
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0145
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0145
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9860
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9855
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0135
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0135
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0135
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9865
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0135
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9865
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0135
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0135
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0125
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0125
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9880
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9880
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9880
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9880
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0120
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9880
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9880
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0120
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0120
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9880
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9875
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0125
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9875
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0125
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0125
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0125
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0125
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9875
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0125
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9875
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0125
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9875
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9875
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0125
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9875
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9875
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0125
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9875
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0120
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9885
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9885
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0125
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0125
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9875
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0125
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9875
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0125
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.0125
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9875
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0115
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0125
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0120
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9880
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9880
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9880
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9875
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0115
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9880
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0115
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9885
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0115
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9885
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9885
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9880
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9880
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9880
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9875
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9875
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0120
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9880
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0120
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9880
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0120
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0120
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9880
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9885
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0115
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9880
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0120
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0120
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0120
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9880
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0120
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9880
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9885
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9875
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0125
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9875
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0125
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0125
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9875
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0125
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0125
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0125
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9885
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9885
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9885
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9875
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0125
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0125
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0125
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0125
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9900
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9905
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9900
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0070
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0070
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0070
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0050
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0050
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9950
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0040
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0050
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0050
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 157013554.38, Sell volume: 141683669.97, Average price: 0.1113, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9960
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 939060, Buy volume: 150099748.51, Sell volume: 135574669.62, Average price: 0.1160, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575082
Question: Taylor Swift's "The Life of a Showgirl" debuts at #1?
Volume: 1691538.809948
Price History:
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9870
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0065
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9960
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0050
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0060
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0045
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0040
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44949, Buy volume: 5408277.43, Sell volume: 4346444.67, Average price: 0.0513, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.4500
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.5800
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.6150
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.3550
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.3350
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.6500
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2750
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.6850
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.2850
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.7150
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.2850
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.7150
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.6900
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.6900
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.3100
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.6950
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.3050
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.3000
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.7000
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.3000
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.7000
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.3100
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.3300
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.3350
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.3900
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.3900
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.3800
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.3750
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.3650
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.3650
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.3650
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.3600
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.3650
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.6400
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.3550
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.3500
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.3500
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.3500
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.3500
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.6650
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.6650
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.6650
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.3350
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.3350
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.3350
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.3350
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.6650
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.3350
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.3650
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 193, Buy volume: 46440.70, Sell volume: 1272.58, Average price: 0.4259, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.6500
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.6500
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.6500
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.6500
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.3500
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.3500
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.3500
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.3500
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.6500
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.3500
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.6500
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.3500
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.3500
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.3500
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.6500
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.6500
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.3500
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.3500
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.6500
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.6500
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.6500
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.6500
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.6500
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.6500
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.6500
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.6400
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.6400
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.6400
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.6400
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.6400
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.6400
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.6400
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.6400
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.6400
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.6400
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.3600
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.3600
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.3600
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.3600
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.3600
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.3600
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.3600
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.3600
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.3600
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 34.73, Sell volume: 176.01, Average price: 0.4654, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.3600
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.3600
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.3600
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.3600
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.3550
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.3550
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.6450
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.6500
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.3550
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.6450
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.3550
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.6500
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.3550
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.6450
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.3550
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.6450
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.6450
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.6550
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.6550
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.3500
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.6550
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.6550
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.6550
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.6500
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.6500
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.6450
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.3550
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.3550
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.6450
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.6450
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.3450
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.3450
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.3500
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.3500
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 110.89, Sell volume: 71.21, Average price: 0.3885, Price range: 0.3369 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.6500
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.6500
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.6500
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.6500
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.3500
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.6500
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.6500
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.6550
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.6550
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.6550
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.6550
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.6550
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.6550
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.6550
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.6550
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.3450
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.6550
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.6550
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3450
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.6550
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.6550
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.3450
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.6550
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.3450
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.3450
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.3450
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.3450
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.6550
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.6550
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.6550
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.6550
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.6550
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.6550
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.6550
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.6650
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.6600
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.3400
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.6600
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.6600
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.3400
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.3400
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 146.81, Sell volume: 15.38, Average price: 0.5420, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.6600
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.6600
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.3400
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.3400
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.3400
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.3250
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.6750
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.3250
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.6750
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.6750
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.6650
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.3350
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.3350
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.6650
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.6650
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.6650
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.6650
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.6650
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.6500
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.3500
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.3500
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 259.35, Sell volume: 373.13, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.6600
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.6600
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.6600
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.6600
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.6550
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.6650
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.6650
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.6500
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.3450
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.3400
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.6450
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.6550
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.6450
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.6400
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.6400
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.6350
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.6350
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.6300
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.3600
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.6400
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.6350
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.6350
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.6350
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.3650
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.3650
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.3550
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.3550
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.3550
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.6450
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.6450
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.6400
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.3600
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.3850
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.5550
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.4600
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.6500
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.6800
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.6800
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.6600
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 3732.29, Sell volume: 2060.54, Average price: 0.4803, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.4800
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.4950
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.4950
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.4950
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.4600
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.5400
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.4600
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.4600
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.4600
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.4600
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.4500
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.5500
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.4500
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.5500
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.5500
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.4500
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.5500
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.4500
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.4450
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.4450
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.5550
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.4450
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.4450
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.4450
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.4450
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.5200
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.5400
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.5350
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.5400
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.5400
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.5600
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.5650
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.5700
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.5700
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.5700
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.5700
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.4350
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.5500
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.5500
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.5300
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.5300
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.5300
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.4400
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.5550
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.5550
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5550
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 183.32, Sell volume: 65.67, Average price: 0.5324, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6008

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.5600
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5800
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5750
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5800
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5800
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5800
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5800
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4050
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4100
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4100
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4050
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.4100
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4100
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 170.41, Sell volume: 2.77, Average price: 0.5580, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.6150
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.6100
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.6100
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.6100
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.6100
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.3900
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.6100
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.6100
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.6100
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.3900
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.3900
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.3900
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.6100
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.3900
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.5600
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.5700
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.5650
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.4350
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.4450
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.4450
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.4400
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.4400
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.4250
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.4250
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.5750
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.4250
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4200
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.4100
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.6050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.6000
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.6100
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.6200
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.6400
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.3500
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.6350
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.6150
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1677.68, Sell volume: 981.01, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.6200
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.6150
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.6150
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.6150
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.6150
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.6150
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.3850
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.3850
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.6150
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.6150
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.3850
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.3850
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.6150
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.6150
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.6150
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.6150
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.6150
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.3850
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.3850
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.3850
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.3850
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.6150
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.3850
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.6150
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.3950
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.6100
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.6150
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.6100
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.6150
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.6150
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.6200
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 551.67, Sell volume: 77.84, Average price: 0.4751, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.6250
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.6200
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.3950
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.5050
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.5400
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.4600
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.6200
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.4400
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.6000
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.4000
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.4000
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.5950
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.4050
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.3950
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.3950
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.3950
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.6050
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.6050
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.6100
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.3900
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.3950
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.3950
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.6050
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.3950
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.5700
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.5600
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.4400
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.4350
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.4350
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.5650
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.5650
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.4050
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.3600
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.4650
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 2243.42, Sell volume: 523.91, Average price: 0.4941, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.6158

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.4250
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.3750
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.3850
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.3850
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.3600
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.3900
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.3700
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.3700
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.4550
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.4500
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.4550
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.4500
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.4550
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.4750
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.4750
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.4750
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.4800
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.4850
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.4850
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.4850
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.4650
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.4650
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.4650
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.4700
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.4250
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.4000
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.4000
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.3900
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.3900
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.4050
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.3800
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.4350
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.3700
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.4100
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.4050
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.4050
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.4050
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.4050
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 941.05, Sell volume: 286.46, Average price: 0.4942, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6809

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.7000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.7150
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.7100
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.7000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.6950
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.6350
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.6850
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6600
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6700
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.5950
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.5900
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.6050
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.5400
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.5600
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5600
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5600
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.5550
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.5550
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1584.22, Sell volume: 533.34, Average price: 0.4666, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7027

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.4500
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.4000
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.3450
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.6500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.3150
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.2850
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.7150
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.3100
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.3100
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.3050
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.7000
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.3000
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.3300
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.6100
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.3750
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.6050
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.3700
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.6400
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.6400
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.6500
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.3500
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.6500
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.3350
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.6650
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.3350
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.6650
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.3650
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.6350
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.3450
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 193, Buy volume: 46440.70, Sell volume: 1272.58, Average price: 0.4259, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.6500
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.3500
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.3500
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.3500
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.3500
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.6500
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.3500
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.6500
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.3500
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.6500
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.3500
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.3500
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.6500
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.3500
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.6400
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.3600
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.6400
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.3600
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.6400
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.3600
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.3600
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.6400
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.3600
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.3600
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.3600
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.6400
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 34.73, Sell volume: 176.01, Average price: 0.4654, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.3600
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.3600
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.6450
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.3500
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.3550
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.3500
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.6450
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.3550
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.6550
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.3500
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.6550
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.3450
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.6500
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.6450
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.6450
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.3550
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.3450
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.6550
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.3550
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.6500
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.3500
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 110.89, Sell volume: 71.21, Average price: 0.3885, Price range: 0.3369 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.6500
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.3500
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.6500
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.3500
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.6550
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.3450
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.6550
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.3450
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.6550
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.6550
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.3450
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.6550
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.3450
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.3450
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.6550
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.6550
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.3450
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.6550
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.3450
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.6550
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.3350
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.3400
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.3400
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.6600
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.3400
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.3400
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 146.81, Sell volume: 15.38, Average price: 0.5420, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.6600
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.6600
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.3400
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.6600
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.3250
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.6750
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.3250
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.3250
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.3350
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.3350
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.3350
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.6650
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.3350
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.3500
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.6500
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.3500
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.3500
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 259.35, Sell volume: 373.13, Average price: 0.5675, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.6600
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.3300
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.6500
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.6600
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.6500
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.6400
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.6350
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.6300
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.3600
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.6350
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.3650
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.3650
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.6350
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.3550
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.6450
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.6450
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.3600
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.3550
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.5650
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.6500
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.3200
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.3750
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.5650
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.4600
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 3732.29, Sell volume: 2060.54, Average price: 0.4803, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.4800
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.4950
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.5300
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.4600
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.5400
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.4600
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.5500
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.5500
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.5500
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.4500
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.4450
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.5550
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.4450
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.5550
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.5250
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.4600
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.5600
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.4350
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.5700
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.4400
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.5500
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.4700
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.5300
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.5600
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.4450
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.5550
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.4400
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 183.32, Sell volume: 65.67, Average price: 0.5324, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6008
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.5600
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4250
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5800
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5950
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5900
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.4100
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5900
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.3850
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 170.41, Sell volume: 2.77, Average price: 0.5580, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.6150
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.3900
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.6100
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.3900
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.6100
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.3900
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.6100
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.4300
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.5650
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.4450
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.5550
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.5600
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.5600
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.4250
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.5750
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.4100
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.3950
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.4000
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.6150
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.6500
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.3850
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1677.68, Sell volume: 981.01, Average price: 0.4965, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.6150
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.6150
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.6150
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.3850
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.6150
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.3850
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.6150
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.3850
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.6100
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.3900
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.6150
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.6150
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.6150
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.3850
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.6050
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.6150
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.3850
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.3800
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.3800
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.6200
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 551.67, Sell volume: 77.84, Average price: 0.4751, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.6200
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.6050
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.4300
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.4850
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.5400
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.5400
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.4000
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.4000
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.4050
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.3950
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.3950
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.6050
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.3900
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.6050
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5550
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.4500
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.5650
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.4350
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.4350
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.4950
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.5450
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 2243.42, Sell volume: 523.91, Average price: 0.4941, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.6158
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.4250
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.6150
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.3600
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.6300
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.5400
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.4550
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.5450
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.4750
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.5200
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.5150
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.4650
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.4250
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.6000
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.4000
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.6000
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.3800
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.5850
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.4100
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.5950
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.4050
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.6200
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.3800
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 941.05, Sell volume: 286.46, Average price: 0.4942, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6809
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573867
Question: GTA 6 launch postponed?
Volume: 83228.627579
Price History:
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.3000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.7100
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.6650
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3950
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.4100
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.6050
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.5400
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.5600
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.5550
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1584.22, Sell volume: 533.34, Average price: 0.4666, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7027
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4550
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5450
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2950
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7050
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1750
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.8250
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.1450
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.8550
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.8500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1400
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.8600
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1450
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8550
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.8850
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1200
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.8800
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1200
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.8800
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.1200
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.8800
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.8850
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.8850
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.8850
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.8850
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.8900
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.8900
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2041.33, Sell volume: 42.27, Average price: 0.7536, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.1200
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.1150
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.8850
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.1150
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.8850
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.1150
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.8850
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1250
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.8750
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8750
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1150
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.8850
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.8800
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 440.45, Sell volume: 440.99, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.8800
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.8800
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.8800
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.8800
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.8650
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.1300
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.8700
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.8700
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.1300
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.8700
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.1300
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.8700
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.8700
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.1150
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.8850
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9000
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9000
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9000
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9000
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9050
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 4825.18, Sell volume: 201.50, Average price: 0.6168, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0900
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9100
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9100
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 165.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3371, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9150
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0850
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0900
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9150
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 231.19, Sell volume: 10.20, Average price: 0.3600, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538704
Question: Will the next Pope be named Francis?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 29699.14529
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9150
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0850
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9150
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9150
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0850
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9150
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0850
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9150
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9150
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0950
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0950
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0950
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0950
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0950
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0950
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0950
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0950
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0950
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0950
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0950
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9050
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0950
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9050
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0950
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9050
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0950
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9050
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1050
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8950
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.1050
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8950
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1050
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8950
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 167.46, Sell volume: 1172.43, Average price: 0.6640, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9200

Output: Yes