Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.0730
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.9270
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.0715
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.9275
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0735
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.9175
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.0815
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9155
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.0860
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9135
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.0815
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.9175
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.0835
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.9165
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.0795
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.9195
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0695
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.9310
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0695
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.9285
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0720
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.9315
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.0705
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9280
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.0715
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.9250
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0720
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9280
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0700
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.9245
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.0735
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.9265
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.0855
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.9130
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.0855
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.9095
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.0870
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.9130
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.0830
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9170
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0855
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9145
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0850
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.9145
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.0855
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.9170
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.0840
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.9180
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.0835
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.9145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0860
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.9155
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.0735
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.9180
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.9245
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.0820
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.9190
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0800
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.9215
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.0740
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.9225
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0825
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9190
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0825
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.9220
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0780
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.9220
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0780
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.9220
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0780
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.9220
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0780
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.9225
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0775
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.9225
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0725
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.9275
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0720
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9280
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0685
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9330
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0655
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9435
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0605
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.9440
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0560
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9440
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0565
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9435
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0565
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9435
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0565
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9445
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0555
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9445
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0525
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9465
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0710
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0685
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9315
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0685
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9285
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0715
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9225
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0770
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9205
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0800
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9205
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9195
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0665
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.9320
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0685
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.9335
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9350
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.9380
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0615
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9380
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0625
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.9450
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0540
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.9455
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0545
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.9450
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0575
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9425
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0560
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9440
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0520
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9425
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0570
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.9420
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0555
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.9445
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0535
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.9465
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.0570
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.9430
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.0575
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.9430
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.0570
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.9425
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0575
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.9425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0570
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.9465
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0535
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.9465
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0535
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.9465
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.0615
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9290
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0600
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.9425
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0635
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.9355
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0640
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.9340
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.9345
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9370
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0640
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9360
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0655
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.9345
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0625
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9375
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0620
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9365
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0665
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9275
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0705
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9265
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.9265
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0750
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9270
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0690
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9270
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0735
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9310
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0715
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9265
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0695
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9260
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0675
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9250
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0630
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.9260
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0720
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9265
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0740
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0770
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9240
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0785
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9230
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0745
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.9265
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0745
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.9250
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0750
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.9255
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0700
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.9260
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.0950
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9000
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.0895
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.8395
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.1205
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.8665
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.1395
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.8735
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.1265
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.8710
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.1275
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.8670
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.1280
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.8770
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.1235
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.8970
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.1080
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.8915
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.1340
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.8600
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.1365
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.8635
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.1360
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.8745
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.1270
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.8965
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.1065
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.8865
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.1130
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.8905
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.1085
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.8940
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.1005
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.9020
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.1015
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.9055
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0940
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0925
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.9070
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0915
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.9130
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.0905
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9115
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.0935
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.9075
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.0925
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.8875
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.1265
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.8795
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.1190
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.8860
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.1200
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.8810
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.1130
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.8755
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.1300
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.8695
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.1335
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.8650
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.1185
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.8825
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.1205
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.8810
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.1140
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.8890
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.1390
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.8620
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.1365
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.8665
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.1335
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.8745
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.1170
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.8800
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.1160
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.8860
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0900
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.8810
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.1090
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.8960
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.1020
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.8890
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.1145
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.8825
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.1145
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.8960
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.1075
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0870
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9180
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.1030
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.8970
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.1055
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.8930
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.1045
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.8950
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.1050
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.8945
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.1115
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.8900
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.1150
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.8895
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.1105
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.8880
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.1145
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.8860
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.1150
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.8860
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.1125
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.8890
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.1120
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.8890
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.1105
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.8880
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.1120
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.8900
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.1115
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0990
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.9025
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0920
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9095
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0915
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9060
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0945
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9060
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0940
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9060
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0940
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.9060
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0915
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9125
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0845
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9140
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0865
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9145
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0845
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9155
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0865
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9130
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0895
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9105
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0895
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9080
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0925
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9070
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.1050
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.8990
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.1045
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.8985
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.1025
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.8960
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.1040
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9000
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.1020
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.8960
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.1055
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.8920
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.1000
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9040
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0995
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9050
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0955
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9025
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0970
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9020
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0970
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9005
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.1015
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.8965
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1000
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.8995
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.1005
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.8960
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.1035
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.8965
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.1030
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9020
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0940
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9070
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0955
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9060
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0935
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0965
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9030
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0980
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9030
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0965
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9105
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0895
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9125
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0905
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9125
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0870
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9120
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0905
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9070
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9130
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0870
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9130
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0815
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.9135
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0790
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.9120
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0880
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.9150
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0845
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.9185
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.0785
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.9230
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.0765
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9230
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0765
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.9255
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.0680
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.9320
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0670
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.9335
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0630
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.9325
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.0670
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.9340
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0640
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.9280
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0700
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.9290
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0705
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.9295
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0700
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.9305
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.0660
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0660
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.9350
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0695
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9310
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0685
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9305
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.0675
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.9330
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0645
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9355
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0665
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9345
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0670
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9310
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0645
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9380
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0605
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9410
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0615
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9395
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0625
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9385
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0625
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9380
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0625
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9435
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0550
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9420
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0600
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.9405
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0615
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9405
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0605
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9395
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0610
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9390
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0610
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9385
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0665
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9315
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0745
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0910
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8310
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.8525
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.1405
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.8700
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.1230
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.8675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.1485
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.8515
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.1640
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.8380
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.1610
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.8280
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.1670
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.8275
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.1705
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.8305
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.1705
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.8305
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.1770
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.8210
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.1360
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.8765
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.1395
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.8615
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.1410
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.8265
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.1660
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.8160
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.1835
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.8175
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.1790
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.8225
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.1795
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.8195
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.1825
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.8225
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.1775
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.8240
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.1745
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.8235
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.1835
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.8135
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.2470
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.7610
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.2550
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.7310
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.2780
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.7155
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.2775
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.6440
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.3940
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.5770
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.3765
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.6240
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.3365
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.6140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.3770
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.6285
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.3740
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.6380
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.3700
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.6210
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.3840
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.6150
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.3805
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.6775
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.2910
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.7240
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.2430
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.7360
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.2125
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.8155
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.1875
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.7975
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.1960
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.8020
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.1990
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.7895
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.2240
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.7725
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.2330
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.7570
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.2640
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.7400
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.2480
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.7370
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.2595
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.7855
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.2610
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.6780
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.3415
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.5200
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.4390
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.4530
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.5395
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.4420
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.4300
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.9950
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.9965
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.9905
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.9930
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999828, Buy volume: 63548921.59, Sell volume: 275557068.38, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.4850
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.0270
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.0205
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.0200
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.0210
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0215
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.0215
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.0215
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.0230
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.0225
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.0225
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.0225
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.0225
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.0220
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.0225
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0295
2025-01-06 19:00: 0.0730
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.0785
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.0815
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0815
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.0920
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.0915
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.0950
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0810
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.0835
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.0785
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.0735
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0795
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.0745
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.0730
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.0725
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.0755
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.0815
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.0860
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.0830
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0795
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.0765
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0785
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0690
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.0735
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0695
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.0705
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0745
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.0745
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0715
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0735
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0690
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0855
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.0855
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.0860
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.0830
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.0830
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0845
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0845
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.0855
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.0860
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.0870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0860
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.0770
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.0730
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0810
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0830
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0740
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0820
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0810
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0780
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0780
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0780
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0780
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0780
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0775
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0775
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.0725
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0720
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0660
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0645
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0565
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0560
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0560
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0565
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0565
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0555
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0555
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0530
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0685
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0685
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0715
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0765
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0795
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0795
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0800
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0665
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0690
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0670
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0615
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0625
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0625
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0540
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0550
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0575
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0565
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0570
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0520
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0575
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0580
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0555
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0535
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.0570
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.0575
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.0560
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0575
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0570
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0535
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0535
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0535
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0715
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0570
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0635
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0640
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0655
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0655
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0630
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0635
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0645
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0625
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0625
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0635
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0705
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0740
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0800
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0695
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0710
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0690
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0735
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0735
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0700
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0720
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0630
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0735
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0745
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0770
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0780
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0765
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0785
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.0805
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.0700
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0915
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0880
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.1365
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.1335
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.1360
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.1295
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.1275
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.1320
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.1235
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.1080
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.1125
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.1145
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.1360
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.1360
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.1270
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.1030
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.1135
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.1125
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.0985
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.1005
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0980
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.0955
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0925
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0930
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0890
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.0885
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.0910
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.1265
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.1190
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.1170
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.1175
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.1245
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.1255
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.1345
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.1185
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.1185
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.1190
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.1110
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.1245
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.1370
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.1345
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.1170
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.1185
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.1135
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.1190
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.1040
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.1020
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.1145
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.1155
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.1010
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.1085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0870
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0820
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.1090
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.1050
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.1040
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.1040
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.1115
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.1145
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.1115
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.1110
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.1140
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.1150
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.1105
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.1120
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.1110
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.1120
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.1100
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0980
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0975
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0915
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0920
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0940
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0940
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0940
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0905
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0845
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0855
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0845
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0845
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0825
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0890
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0895
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0910
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0915
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.1045
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.1035
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.1035
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.1030
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.1000
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.1035
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.1075
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.1000
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0985
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0970
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0965
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0980
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0970
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1015
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1035
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.1005
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.1070
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1035
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0980
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0940
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0955
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0935
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0965
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0970
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0970
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0895
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0890
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0870
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0910
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0920
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0865
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0870
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0825
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0825
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0880
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.0850
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0790
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0775
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0765
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0740
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.0680
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.0675
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.0630
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0655
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.0660
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0695
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0695
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0705
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0695
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.0690
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.0620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0660
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0690
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0700
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0680
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.0675
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0645
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0665
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0670
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0685
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0605
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0590
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0605
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0615
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0625
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.0625
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0560
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0580
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0595
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0615
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0605
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0610
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0610
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0610
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0685
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0755
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.1355
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.1570
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.1265
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.1340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.1485
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.1575
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.1590
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.1665
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.1745
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.1690
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.1705
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.1695
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.1570
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.1110
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.1385
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.1435
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.1780
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.1835
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.1795
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.1755
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.1795
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.1820
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.1815
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.1745
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.1855
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.2640
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.2690
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.2860
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.3055
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.3940
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.4235
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.3675
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.4045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 63839240.52, Sell volume: 275580602.50, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516792
Question: Will  Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 17848349.233334
Price History:
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.3770
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.3760
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.3675
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.3860
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.3860
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.3360
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.2910
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.2435
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.2085
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.1810
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.2025
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.2035
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.2015
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.2240
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.2265
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.2395
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.2560
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.2505
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.2575
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.2635
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.3245
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.4315
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.5795
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.5580
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.9965
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.9940
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.9965
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.9925
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.9930
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999828, Buy volume: 63548921.59, Sell volume: 275557068.38, Average price: 0.8688, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.7500
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.2500
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.7500
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.2500
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.7500
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.7500
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.7500
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.7900
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.2100
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.7900
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.2100
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.7950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3325.37, Sell volume: 380.64, Average price: 0.6513, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.7600
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.2400
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.7600
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.2400
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.7800
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.2200
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.7850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.7750
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3325.37, Sell volume: 380.64, Average price: 0.6513, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3325.37, Sell volume: 380.64, Average price: 0.6513, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 14.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.28, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3325.37, Sell volume: 380.64, Average price: 0.6513, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 52.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9500
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9500
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3325.37, Sell volume: 380.64, Average price: 0.6513, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9500
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0500
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3325.37, Sell volume: 380.64, Average price: 0.6513, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3325.37, Sell volume: 380.64, Average price: 0.6513, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0500
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9700
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0300
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2809.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9830, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.7500
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.2500
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.7500
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.2500
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.7500
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.7500
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.7500
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.2500
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.7450
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.2550
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.7900
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.2100
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.7900
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.2100
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.7950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3325.37, Sell volume: 380.64, Average price: 0.6513, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.7600
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.2400
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.7600
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.2400
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.7800
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.2200
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.7850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.7750
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3325.37, Sell volume: 380.64, Average price: 0.6513, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3325.37, Sell volume: 380.64, Average price: 0.6513, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 14.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.28, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3325.37, Sell volume: 380.64, Average price: 0.6513, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 52.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9500
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9500
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3325.37, Sell volume: 380.64, Average price: 0.6513, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9500
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0500
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3325.37, Sell volume: 380.64, Average price: 0.6513, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 3325.37, Sell volume: 380.64, Average price: 0.6513, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657265
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $124 in November?
Volume: 3706.009045
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0500
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9700
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0300
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2809.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9830, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4350.11, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7000
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 338.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5275, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.6250
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.6750
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.3250
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.3000
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.7050
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.2950
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.2950
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4350.11, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.6850
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4350.11, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4350.11, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4350.11, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.7650
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.7900
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2100
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.7900
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.2100
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4350.11, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8000
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.8000
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.7950
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.7950
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.7950
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.7950
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.7950
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.7950
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8000
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8000
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9640
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0360
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9600
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9600
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4350.11, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9600
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9495
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0505
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9495
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0505
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9315
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0685
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9315
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0685
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9315
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0685
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9315
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0685
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9315
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0685
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9315
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 121.74, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.0452, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.0604

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9295
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0705
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9265
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0735
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9245
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0755
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9235
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0765
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9240
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0760
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9240
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0760
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9040
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0960
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9085
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0915
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9045
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0955
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9095
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0905
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8860
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4350.11, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9270
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0730
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 438.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9618, Price range: 0.9340 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4350.11, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7000
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 338.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5275, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.6250
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.3750
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.6750
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.3250
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.3000
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.7050
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.2950
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.2950
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4350.11, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.6850
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4350.11, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4350.11, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4350.11, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.7650
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.2350
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.7900
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2100
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.7900
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.2100
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4350.11, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8000
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.8000
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.7950
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.7950
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.7950
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.7950
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.7950
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.7950
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.2050
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8000
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8000
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.8100 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9640
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0360
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9600
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9600
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4350.11, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9600
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9495
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0505
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9495
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0505
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9315
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0685
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9315
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0685
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9315
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0685
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9315
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0685
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9315
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0685
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9315
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 121.74, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.0452, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.0604
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9295
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0705
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9265
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0735
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9245
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0755
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9235
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0765
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9240
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0760
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9240
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0760
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9040
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0960
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9085
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0915
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9045
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0955
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9095
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0905
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8860
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4350.11, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7638, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657266
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $120 in November?
Volume: 4370.11
Price History:
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.8945
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1055
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9270
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0730
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 438.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9618, Price range: 0.9340 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657270
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $96 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93218.247489
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.2100
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.2100
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.1550
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.1500
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.1500
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.1500
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.1450
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.1450
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.1450
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.1450
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.1450
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.1450
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.1450
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.1450
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1500
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1200
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2951.62, Sell volume: 505.00, Average price: 0.4911, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657270
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $96 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93218.247489
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0550
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0550
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0550
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0550
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0550
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0550
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0400
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 4.05, Sell volume: 2545.00, Average price: 0.4099, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657270
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $96 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93218.247489
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0300
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0300
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0300
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0300
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0305
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0305
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0305
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0305
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0305
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0305
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0305
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0305
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657270
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $96 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93218.247489
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0330
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0335
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0340
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0340
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0350
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0300
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0335
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0300
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0280
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0295
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0290
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0260
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0265
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1139.61, Average price: 0.9511, Price range: 0.9511 - 0.9511

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657270
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $96 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93218.247489
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0270
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0280
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0285
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0285
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0285
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0285
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0290
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0290
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0290
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0290
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0290
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0290
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0290
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0290
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0290
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0290
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0290
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0290
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0290
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0290
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0300
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0290
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0300
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0310
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 251, Buy volume: 51938.29, Sell volume: 41279.96, Average price: 0.1530, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657270
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $96 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93218.247489
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0285
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0265
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0300
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0310
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0310
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0310
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0310
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0310
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0310
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0310
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0310
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0280
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0295
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0310
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0305
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0315
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0330
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0325
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0325
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0340
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0360
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0350
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0345
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0350
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0345
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0345
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0350
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0345
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0345
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0345
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0345
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0345
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0345
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0345
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0340
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0330
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0340
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0325
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0350
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0360
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0350
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0335
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0200
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 251, Buy volume: 51938.29, Sell volume: 41279.96, Average price: 0.1530, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657270
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $96 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93218.247489
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0190
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0195
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0185
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0185
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0185
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0185
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0185
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0310
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0305
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0310
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0300
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0315
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0300
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0320
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0330
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0325
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0300
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0300
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0270
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0265
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0270
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0270
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0270
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0265
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0260
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0265
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0290
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0300
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0300
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0295
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0300
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0295
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0295
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0290
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0295
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0290
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0290
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0295
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0295
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0290
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0215
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0215
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0210
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0215
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0215
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0215
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 251, Buy volume: 51938.29, Sell volume: 41279.96, Average price: 0.1530, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657270
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $96 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93218.247489
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0185
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0175
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0190
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0190
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0190
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0190
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0210
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0210
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0210
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0215
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0185
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0185
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0185
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0185
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0180
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 8.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9870, Price range: 0.9870 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657270
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $96 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93218.247489
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0205
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0205
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0205
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0205
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0205
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0205
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0205
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0205
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0205
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0205
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0205
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 14.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9860, Price range: 0.9860 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657270
Question: Will Airbnb dip to $96 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93218.247489
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0220
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0305
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0305
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0305
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0305
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0305
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0305
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0305
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0305
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0305
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0305
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0305
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0290
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0295
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0300
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0300
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0300
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0300
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0300
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0300
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0300
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0300
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0300
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 553.92, Sell volume: 14.21, Average price: 0.6564, Price range: 0.0301 - 0.9850

Output: Yes