Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.7750
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.2350
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.7650
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.2350
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.7650
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.2250
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.7750
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.2250
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.7800
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.2200
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.7850
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.2150
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.8250
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.1550
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.7850
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.2250
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.7850
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.2150
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.6800
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.3050
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.7450
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.2500
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.7300
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.2550
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.7450
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.2050
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.7800
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.2300
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.7750
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.2400
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.7300
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.2250
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.8050
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.2050
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.8000
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.1950
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.7950
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.2000
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.8000
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.2700
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.7750
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.2700
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.7450
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.2350
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.7850
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.2450
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.7550
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.2550
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.7650
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.2750
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.7200
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.2850
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.7200
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.2800
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.7000
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.2900
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.7100
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.2900
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.7200
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.3150
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.6850
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.3200
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.6700
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.3300
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.6600
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.3400
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.6650
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.3300
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.6700
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.3350
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.6650
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.3400
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.6600
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.3400
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.6600
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.3350
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.6600
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.3450
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.6500
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.3500
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.6350
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.3750
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.5650
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.4250
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.5750
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.4250
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.5750
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.4250
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.6450
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.3550
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.6550
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.3550
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.6350
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.3650
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.6350
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.3850
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.6150
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.3950
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.5600
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.4250
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.5750
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.4300
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.5700
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.4800
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.4350
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.5100
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.4250
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.5750
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.3800
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.6150
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.3950
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.5150
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.4550
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.5250
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.4700
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.5700
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.4300
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.5700
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.4300
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.5700
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.4400
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.5700
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.4300
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.5650
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.4350
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.5750
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.4250
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.5750
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.4250
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.5750
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.4500
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.5850
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.4350
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.5550
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.4750
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.5250
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.4500
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.5500
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.4400
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.5550
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.4450
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.5550
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.4400
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.5600
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.4150
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.5850
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.4200
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.6150
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.4250
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.5700
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.4350
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.5800
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.4200
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.5800
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.4250
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.5750
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.4300
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.5700
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.4300
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.5750
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.4250
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.5750
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.4250
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.5700
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.4300
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.5700
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.4300
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.5750
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.4250
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.5850
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.4200
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.5950
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.3800
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.6300
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.3750
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.6150
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.3850
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.6300
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.3850
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.6100
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.3850
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.6150
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.3950
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.5800
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.3900
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.6100
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.4300
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.5750
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.4200
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.5800
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.4250
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.5750
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.4200
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.5800
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.4200
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.5800
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.4350
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.5650
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.4350
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.5800
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.4250
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.5750
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.4250
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.5750
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.4150
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.5850
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.4250
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.6000
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.4200
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.5650
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.4400
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.5550
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.4550
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.5550
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.4350
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.5600
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.4400
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.5600
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.4400
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.5600
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.4350
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.5900
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.4200
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.5800
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.4150
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.5800
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.4200
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.5800
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.4200
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.5700
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.4850
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.5200
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.4650
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.5450
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.4250
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.5650
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.4100
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.5750
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.4350
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.5450
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.4550
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.5450
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.4450
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.5550
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.4500
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.5600
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.4400
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.5650
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.4350
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.5650
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.4350
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.5700
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.4000
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.6000
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.4000
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.6000
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.4000
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.5850
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.4150
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.5850
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.4050
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.5900
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.4100
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.6000
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.4000
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.6000
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.4000
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.5800
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.4150
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.5900
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.4100
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.5900
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.4050
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.5900
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.4100
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.5850
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.4200
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.5650
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.4350
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.5650
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.4300
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.5700
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.4300
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.5700
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.4300
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.5550
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.4400
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.5650
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.4250
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.5750
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.4250
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.6050
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.4000
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.6050
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.3900
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.6100
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.3850
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.6150
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.3850
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.6150
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.3900
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.6100
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.3850
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.6150
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.3800
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.6200
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.3850
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.6250
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.3750
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.6250
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.3900
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.6100
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.3900
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.6050
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.3950
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.6000
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.3900
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.6100
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.3900
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.6100
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.6100
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.4000
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.4000
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.6000
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.3950
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.6050
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.3950
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.6050
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.3950
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.6000
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.4350
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.5650
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.4500
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.5350
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.4500
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.4550
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.5750
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.4300
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.5600
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.5500
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.4250
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.4100
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.4050
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.3450
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.4200
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.3750
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.3500
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.6450
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.3900
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.3600
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.6550
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.6500
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.4050
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.5250
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.5450
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.4500
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.5750
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.4500
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.5550
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.4450
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.6300
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.3750
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.6750
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.3450
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.6550
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.3400
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.3150
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.3050
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.6350
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.3650
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.6400
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.3600
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.6450
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.6450
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.3600
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.6400
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.3250
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.3300
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.3300
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.3500
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.6700
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.6650
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.6700
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.3600
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.6450
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.3350
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.3300
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.6700
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.6700
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.3300
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.6700
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.3350
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43956, Buy volume: 3473011.05, Sell volume: 1351467.18, Average price: 0.5015, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.6600
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.3500
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.6450
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.6450
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.3550
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.3550
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.6450
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.3550
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.3600
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.6450
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.3600
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.6350
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.3650
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.6250
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.6250
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.4050
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.6100
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.6050
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.6100
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.3750
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.6250
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.6250
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.6200
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.4100
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.5950
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.5950
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.4400
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.5650
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.5600
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.4400
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.4700
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.4700
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.5350
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.4650
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.4650
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.5200
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.5300
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.5300
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.5300
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.6050
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.6050
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.5550
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.5700
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.4150
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.5900
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.4050
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 939060, Buy volume: 41690828.33, Sell volume: 40194665.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.5550
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.4450
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.5600
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.5600
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.5600
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.5650
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.4300
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.5750
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.5650
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5650
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.5700
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.4300
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.5750
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.4250
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.5700
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.4400
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.5700
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.4300
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.5700
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.4350
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.5600
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.4300
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.4350
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.4400
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.5600
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.4450
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.4450
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.5550
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.4400
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.5650
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.4400
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.4050
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.4100
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.4050
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.5950
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.4050
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.5900
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.4150
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.4500
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.5000
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.5000
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.4750
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.4650
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.5250
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.4850
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14146, Buy volume: 320685.88, Sell volume: 506469.29, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.4850
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.5150
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.5150
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.5000
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.5450
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.6500
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.6100
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.4350
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.2600
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.1600
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8100
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.8750
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.8550
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.8050
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.1550
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.1550
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.8600
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.1500
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.8700
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.1400
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0285
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0400
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9645
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9520
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9220
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.5000
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 839, Buy volume: 410934.97, Sell volume: 224657.76, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.5650
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.4750
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.6650
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.6650
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.6550
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.6450
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.7500
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.8300
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.8350
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.7950
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.7950
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.8000
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.8000
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.7800
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.7750
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.8050
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.8350
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.8200
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.7800
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.7850
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.7400
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.7500
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.7450
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.7500
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.7800
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.2150
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.2050
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.1250
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.1400
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.1450
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.1550
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.1550
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.1650
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.1450
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.1650
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.1650
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1650
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.1650
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1800
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1800
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.2050
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.2250
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.1950
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.1900
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.1900
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.1550
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.1900
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.2150
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.2100
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.2100
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.1750
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.1650
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.2150
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.2150
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.7750
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.7650
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.7650
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.7750
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.7750
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.7800
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.7850
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.8250
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.7800
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.7800
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.7850
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.6950
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.7450
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.7250
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.7450
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.7250
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.7750
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.7600
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.7750
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.7650
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.8050
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.7950
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.7950
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.7750
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.7300
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.7650
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.7850
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.7550
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.7650
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.2750
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.2800
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.2800
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.3000
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.2900
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.2800
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.3150
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.3200
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.3300
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.3400
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.3350
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.3300
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.3350
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.3400
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.3400
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.3400
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.3400
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.3500
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.3650
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.3850
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.4250
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.4250
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.4250
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.3600
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.3450
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.3650
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.3650
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.3800
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.3950
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.5600
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.5750
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.5600
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.5250
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.4900
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.4250
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.3800
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.3950
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.4550
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.4700
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.4350
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.4300
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.4300
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.4400
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.4300
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.4350
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.4250
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.4250
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.4250
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.4200
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.4400
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.4750
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.4750
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.4500
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.4450
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.4450
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.4400
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.4150
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.4200
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.6150
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.5700
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.5600
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.5800
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.5750
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.5750
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.5700
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.5750
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.5750
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.5750
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.5700
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.5700
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.5750
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.5850
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.5950
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.6300
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.6150
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.6150
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.6100
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.6050
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.6050
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.5800
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.6100
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.5700
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.5800
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.5750
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.5800
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.5800
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.5800
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.4350
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.4250
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.4250
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.4250
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.4250
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.4150
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.4250
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.4200
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.4400
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.4650
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.4350
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.4400
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.4350
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.4400
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.4350
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.4200
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.4200
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.4200
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.4200
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.4300
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.4900
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.4650
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.4300
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.4150
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.4250
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.4550
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.4550
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.4450
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.4500
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.5600
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.5600
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.5650
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.5650
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.5700
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.6000
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.6000
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.5850
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.5850
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.5950
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.5900
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.6000
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.5950
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.5800
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.5900
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.5900
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.5950
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.5900
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.5800
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.5650
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.5700
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.5700
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.5700
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.5700
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.5600
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.5750
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.5750
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.6000
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.6050
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.3900
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.3900
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.3850
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.3850
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.3900
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.3850
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.3800
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.3850
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.3750
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.3900
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.3900
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.3950
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.4000
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.3950
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.3900
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.3900
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.4000
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.4000
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.3950
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.3950
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.5950
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.4350
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.4650
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.4500
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.5500
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.5700
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.5550
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.4250
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.4050
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 45895460.23, Sell volume: 42278090.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.3450
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.4000
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.3600
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.6100
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.6550
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.3650
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.5200
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.4500
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.4300
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.5750
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.3700
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.3350
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.3500
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.3400
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.3050
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.6350
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.3600
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.3550
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.6400
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.3300
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.3550
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.3500
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.6650
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.3600
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.3550
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.3300
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.3300
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.3300
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.3350
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43956, Buy volume: 3473011.05, Sell volume: 1351467.18, Average price: 0.5015, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.6600
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.6450
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.6450
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.6450
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.3600
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.3750
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.3900
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.3900
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.6100
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.6250
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.6250
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.6200
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.4050
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.5600
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.4400
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.4450
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.4650
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.4650
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.4750
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.5300
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.4700
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.3950
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.4150
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.4100
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.4050
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 939060, Buy volume: 41690828.33, Sell volume: 40194665.10, Average price: 0.4961, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.5550
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.5600
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.5600
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.4300
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.4250
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4350
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.4300
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.5750
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.4300
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.4300
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4300
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.4400
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.4350
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.4400
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.4450
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.5550
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.5600
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.5750
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.5950
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.5950
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.4050
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.5000
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.5300
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.4550
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.4650
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.4850
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14146, Buy volume: 320685.88, Sell volume: 506469.29, Average price: 0.4921, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549324
Question: Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?
Volume: 1300685.813558
Price History:
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.4850
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.5150
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.3900
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.5650
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.7400
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.2600
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.8150
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.8650
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.8500
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.1950
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.1600
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.8700
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.1350
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0415
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9685
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0780
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 839, Buy volume: 410934.97, Sell volume: 224657.76, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.2000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.2000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.8000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9600
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0400
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9600
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0400
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9600
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0400
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9600
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0400
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9600
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0400
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.9600
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0400
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.9600
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0400
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9645
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0355
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9600
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0400
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.9600
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0400
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9600
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0400
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9605
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0395
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9630
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0370
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9645
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9645
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9645
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9645
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9670
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0330
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9670
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0330
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.9670
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0330
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9670
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0330
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.9690
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0310
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.9690
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0310
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.9690
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0310
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.9690
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0310
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9715
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9715
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0285
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9715
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0285
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.9765
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0235
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9720
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0280
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9705
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0295
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9705
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0295
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9705
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0295
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9705
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0295
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9695
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0305
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9695
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0305
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9695
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0305
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9695
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0310
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9695
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0305
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.9695
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0305
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.9700
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0300
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9700
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0300
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9700
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0300
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.9700
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0300
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9700
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0300
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.9700
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9700
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0300
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9700
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0300
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9700
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0300
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9740
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0260
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9835
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0165
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9830
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0170
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9830
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0170
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9830
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0170
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9825
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0175
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9830
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0170
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9830
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0170
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9830
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0170
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9830
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0170
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9825
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0175
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9825
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0175
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9835
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.9795
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9825
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0175
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9810
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0190
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.9830
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0170
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9845
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0155
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9815
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0185
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9800
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0200
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9825
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0175
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9830
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0170
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9830
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0170
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.9830
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0170
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0165
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9820
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0180
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9835
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0165
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9835
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0165
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.9835
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9800
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0200
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9815
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0185
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9820
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0180
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9825
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0175
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9820
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0180
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9825
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0175
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9845
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0155
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9835
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0165
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9845
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0155
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.9835
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0165
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.9815
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0185
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.9840
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0160
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9840
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9835
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0165
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9840
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0160
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9845
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0155
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9845
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0155
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9840
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0160
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9840
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0160
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9840
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0160
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9830
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0170
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9840
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0160
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9840
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0160
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9830
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0170
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9835
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0165
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9830
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0170
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9835
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0165
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9825
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0175
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9835
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0165
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9820
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0180
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.9845
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0155
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.9845
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0155
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9845
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0155
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9845
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0155
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.9845
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9845
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0155
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9845
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0155
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9845
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0155
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9845
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0155
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9860
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0140
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9860
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0140
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0150
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9850
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0150
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9845
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0155
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9840
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0160
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9840
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0160
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9840
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0160
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9860
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0140
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9870
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0130
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9840
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0160
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9870
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0130
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9870
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0130
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9860
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0140
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9860
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0140
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9840
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0160
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9840
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0160
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.9840
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0160
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9840
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0160
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.9875
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0125
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.9840
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0160
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9870
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0130
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9880
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9870
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0130
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9855
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0145
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9855
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0145
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9850
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0150
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9850
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0150
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9845
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0155
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9850
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0150
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9875
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0125
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9840
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0160
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9845
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0155
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9910
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0090
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.9885
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0115
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9885
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.9910
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0090
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9895
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0105
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0100
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9910
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0090
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.2000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.2000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.8000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9600
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0400
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9600
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0400
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9600
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0400
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9600
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9600
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0400
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.9600
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0400
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9600
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0400
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0350
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9605
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0395
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9630
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0370
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9645
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9645
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9645
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9645
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9670
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0330
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9670
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9715
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0285
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9715
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0285
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.9765
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0235
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9720
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0280
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9705
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0295
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9705
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0295
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9705
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0295
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9705
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0295
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9695
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0305
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9695
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0305
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9695
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0305
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9695
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9695
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0305
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9690
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0310
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9695
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9700
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0300
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9700
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0300
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9700
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0300
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9740
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0260
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9835
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0165
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9830
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0170
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9830
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0170
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9830
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0170
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9825
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0175
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9830
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0170
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9830
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0170
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9830
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0170
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9830
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0170
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9825
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0175
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9825
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9825
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0175
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9810
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0190
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.9830
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0170
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9845
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0155
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9815
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0185
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9800
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0200
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9825
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0175
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0165
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9830
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0170
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9830
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0170
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9835
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9800
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0200
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9815
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0185
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9820
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0180
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9825
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0175
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9820
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0180
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9825
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0175
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9840
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0160
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9845
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9835
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0165
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9840
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0160
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9845
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0155
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9845
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0155
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9840
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0160
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9840
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0160
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9840
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0160
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9830
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0170
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9840
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0160
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9840
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0160
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9830
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0170
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9835
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0165
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9830
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0170
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9835
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0165
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9825
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9845
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0155
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9845
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0155
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9845
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0155
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9845
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0155
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9860
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0140
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9860
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0140
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0150
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9850
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0150
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9850
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0150
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9845
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0155
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9840
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0160
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9840
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0160
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9840
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0160
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9860
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0140
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9870
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0130
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9840
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0160
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9870
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0130
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9870
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0130
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9860
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0140
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9860
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0140
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9840
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9870
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0130
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9855
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0145
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9855
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0145
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9850
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0150
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9850
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0150
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9845
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0155
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9850
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0150
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9875
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0125
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9840
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0160
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9845
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0155
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525470
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 12761.1188
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.9910
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0090
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9895
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0105
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0100
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9910
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0090
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.9905
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.6500
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.3500
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.6500
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.3500
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.6500
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.3500
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.3000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.3000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.6500
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.3500
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.6500
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.3500
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.6500
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.3500
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4650
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5350
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5900
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.3500
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.6500
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.3500
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.6500
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5050
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.4950
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.6600
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.3400
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.3350
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.6650
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.3350
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.6600
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.3400
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.6600
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.3400
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.6350
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.3600
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.3600
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.6350
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.3600
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.3600
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.6350
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.3600
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.3600
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.6350
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.3600
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.3600
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.6350
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.6550
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.6600
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.3400
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.6600
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.3400
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.6600
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.3400
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.6600
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.3400
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.6950
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.3050
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.7050
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.2950
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.7100
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.2950
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.7100
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.7050
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.2950
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.7100
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.7100
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.7050
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.2950
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.2950
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.7100
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.7100
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.7100
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.7100
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.7100
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.7450
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.7350
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.2650
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.7300
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2700
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.8500
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.1500
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.8300
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.1700
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.8100
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.1900
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.7550
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.7250
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.7050
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.2950
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.7050
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.2950
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.7050
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.2950
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.7050
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.7050
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.2950
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.7050
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.2950
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.7150
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.7100
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.2900
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.7100
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.2900
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.7100
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2900
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.7100
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.2900
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.7100
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.2900
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.7100
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.2900
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.6000
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.4000
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.3150
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.6950
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.3150
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.3150
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.6050
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.3950
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.3150
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.7050
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2950
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.2850
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.7100
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.2900
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.7050
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.7100
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.2900
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.7050
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.7150
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.2850
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.7100
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.2900
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.7050
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.2850
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.7100
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.2900
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.2850
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.7150
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.2850
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.7100
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.2900
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.7050
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.7050
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.7050
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.7050
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.7000
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.7000
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.7000
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.3000
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.7000
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.3000
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.7000
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.7000
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.3000
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.7000
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.3000
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.7000
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.3000
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.7000
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.3000
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.7250
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.6500
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.3500
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.6500
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.3500
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.6500
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.3500
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.3000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.3000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.6500
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.3500
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.6500
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.3500
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.6500
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.3500
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4650
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5350
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5900
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.3500
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.6500
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.3500
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.6500
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5050
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.4950
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.6600
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.3400
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.3350
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.6650
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.3350
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.6650
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.3350
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.6650
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.3350
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.6650
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.6650
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.3600
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.3600
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.6350
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.3600
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.3600
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.6350
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.3600
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.3600
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.6350
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.3600
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.6400
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.3600
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.6350
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.3650
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.6550
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.6600
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.3400
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.6600
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.7050
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.2950
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.7100
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.7100
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.7050
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.2950
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.2950
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.7100
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.7100
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.7100
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.7100
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.7100
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.7450
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.7350
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.2650
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.7300
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2700
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.8500
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.1500
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.8300
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.7050
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.2950
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.7100
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.2900
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.7150
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.7100
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.2900
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.7100
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.2900
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.7100
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2900
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.7100
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.2900
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.7100
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.6050
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.3950
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.3150
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.7050
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2950
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.2850
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.7100
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.2900
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.7050
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.7100
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.2900
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.7050
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.7150
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.2850
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.7100
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.2900
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.7050
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.2850
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.7100
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.2900
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525471
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 25773.081568
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.7000
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.7000
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.3000
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.7000
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.3000
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.7000
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.7000
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.3000
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.7000
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.3000
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.2950
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.7000
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.3000
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.1750
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.1750
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No