Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0030
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0030
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0030
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0030
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0030
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9975
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9980
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9985
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0020
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 10469.46, Sell volume: 2784.61, Average price: 0.8482, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 242, Buy volume: 247553.13, Sell volume: 7976.52, Average price: 0.4627, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 23300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 647.88, Sell volume: 638.00, Average price: 0.0013, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0015

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9995
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9990
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 11524.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0011

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 34148.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0010
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0010
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9990
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 11966.48, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0016

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10178.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 29241.22, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0017

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 44830.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 50220.95, Sell volume: 3894.91, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 20000.00, Sell volume: 631.00, Average price: 0.2732, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 10469.46, Sell volume: 2784.61, Average price: 0.8482, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 242, Buy volume: 247553.13, Sell volume: 7976.52, Average price: 0.4627, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 23300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 647.88, Sell volume: 638.00, Average price: 0.0013, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0015
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9990
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 11524.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0011
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 34148.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9990
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 11966.48, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0016
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10178.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 29241.22, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0017
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 44830.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 50220.95, Sell volume: 3894.91, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549632
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 255529.647
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 20000.00, Sell volume: 631.00, Average price: 0.2732, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.9980
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 201, Buy volume: 21013.19, Sell volume: 8473.98, Average price: 0.7954, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 395, Buy volume: 642710.31, Sell volume: 23269.26, Average price: 0.6124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 23110.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9990
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 7947.40, Sell volume: 628.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9995
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 11406.60, Sell volume: 2356.59, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9990
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0010
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.9990
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0010
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9990
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 7316.98, Sell volume: 3808.71, Average price: 0.7620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0010
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.0010
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0010
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9990
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9990
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9990
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0010
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9990
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 6191.57, Sell volume: 4801.74, Average price: 0.6397, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 15301.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0013, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 5300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0013

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 67969.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 66833.01, Sell volume: 2984.24, Average price: 0.4195, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 408449.05, Sell volume: 216.00, Average price: 0.1771, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 201, Buy volume: 21013.19, Sell volume: 8473.98, Average price: 0.7954, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 395, Buy volume: 642710.31, Sell volume: 23269.26, Average price: 0.6124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 23110.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 7947.40, Sell volume: 628.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 11406.60, Sell volume: 2356.59, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9995
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9995
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0010
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.0010
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0010
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 7316.98, Sell volume: 3808.71, Average price: 0.7620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9990
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0010
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.0010
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9990
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 6191.57, Sell volume: 4801.74, Average price: 0.6397, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 15301.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0013, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 5300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0013
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 67969.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 66833.01, Sell volume: 2984.24, Average price: 0.4195, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549633
Question: Will the Christian Union win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 665979.567
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 408449.05, Sell volume: 216.00, Average price: 0.1771, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520417
Question: Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1934548.249683
Price History:
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.6800
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.3400
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.6700
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.3750
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.6150
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.4350
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.5400
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.4550
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.5400
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.4600
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.5700
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.4350
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.5500
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.4300
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.5500
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.4350
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.5550
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.4550
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.4450
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.4500
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.5450
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.4500
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.5450
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.4500
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.5600
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.4450
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.5500
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.5500
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.4400
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.5550
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.5450
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.4500
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.5550
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.4500
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.5450
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.4550
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.5450
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.4400
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.5550
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.4450
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.5450
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.4550
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.5500
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.4300
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.5650
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 149071253.48, Sell volume: 51825133.82, Average price: 0.8083, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520417
Question: Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1934548.249683
Price History:
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.3750
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.5850
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.4200
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.5750
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.4300
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.5750
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.4250
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.5700
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.4350
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.5650
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.4250
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.5800
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.5850
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.4200
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.5850
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.4000
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.6150
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.6200
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.3850
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.6000
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.4150
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.5950
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.4050
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.5950
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.4050
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.5950
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.4050
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.5950
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.4200
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.5900
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.4100
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.5850
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.3950
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.6150
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.3650
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.6250
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.3750
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.6250
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.3550
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.6250
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.3700
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.6100
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.3900
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.6300
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.3600
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.6350
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.3750
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 149071253.48, Sell volume: 51825133.82, Average price: 0.8083, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520417
Question: Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1934548.249683
Price History:
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.6500
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.3350
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.6650
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.3350
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.6550
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.3550
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.6400
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.3600
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.6350
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.3650
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.6100
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.3650
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.6400
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.3650
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.6250
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.3700
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.6150
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.3850
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.6000
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.4000
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.6000
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.3850
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.6100
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.3950
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.6100
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.4050
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.6050
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.3950
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.6150
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.3900
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.5850
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.5700
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.4250
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.5050
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.4700
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.5100
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.4500
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.5350
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.4650
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.5400
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.4550
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.5350
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.4700
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.5400
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.4500
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.5250
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.4750
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.5250
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 149071253.48, Sell volume: 51825133.82, Average price: 0.8083, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520417
Question: Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1934548.249683
Price History:
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.5400
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.4550
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.5050
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.4800
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.5250
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.5000
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.4900
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.5150
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.4900
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.4950
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.4950
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.5050
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.4950
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.4900
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.5100
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.4950
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.5050
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.4750
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.5700
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.7000
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0455
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.9460
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.0375
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.9540
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0375
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.9670
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0335
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.9685
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0320
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.9670
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0305
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.9650
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0350
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.9660
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0335
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.9675
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0330
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9655
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0335
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9655
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0355
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.9640
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.0365
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.9635
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.0350
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 149071253.48, Sell volume: 51825133.82, Average price: 0.8083, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520417
Question: Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1934548.249683
Price History:
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.9640
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0355
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9650
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0315
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9690
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0310
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9685
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0315
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9685
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0310
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.9690
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0305
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9685
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0325
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9680
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0325
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9675
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0320
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9730
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0300
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9700
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0295
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.9705
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0295
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9705
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9725
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0275
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9725
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0270
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9720
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0285
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.9750
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0245
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9760
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0235
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9755
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0245
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.9755
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0245
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9735
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0285
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9715
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0290
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9710
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 149071253.48, Sell volume: 51825133.82, Average price: 0.8083, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520417
Question: Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1934548.249683
Price History:
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0300
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9695
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0340
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.9665
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0340
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9670
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0350
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9730
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0230
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.9760
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0245
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9745
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0255
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9710
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0295
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9735
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0265
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9730
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0270
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9720
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0355
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.9605
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.0380
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.9615
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0385
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9595
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.0400
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.9635
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0390
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.9540
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.0470
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.9565
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0415
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.9590
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.0410
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9595
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0455
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.9495
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.0505
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.9510
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.0460
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.9555
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.0445
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9575
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0460
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.9550
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.1295
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.9505
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.0465
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 149071253.48, Sell volume: 51825133.82, Average price: 0.8083, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520417
Question: Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1934548.249683
Price History:
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.9580
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0395
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.9655
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0325
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9670
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.0335
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.9680
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.0320
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.9685
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.0315
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.9695
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0315
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9685
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.0355
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.9595
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0425
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.9640
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.0355
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9625
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.0360
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.9630
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.0375
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9620
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.0355
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.9650
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.0275
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.9705
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.0305
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9700
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0295
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9705
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0300
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9705
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.0245
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.9760
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.0225
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9775
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.0220
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.9745
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.0280
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9715
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.0285
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9715
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0290
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.9740
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.0275
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9740
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0275
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9725
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 149071253.48, Sell volume: 51825133.82, Average price: 0.8083, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520417
Question: Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1934548.249683
Price History:
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0280
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.9715
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0280
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.9720
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0280
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.9725
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.0275
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.9720
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0285
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9700
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.0300
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.9700
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.0365
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.9630
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.0335
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.9645
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0340
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9645
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.0355
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.9605
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.0400
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.9605
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.0390
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9595
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.0420
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.9570
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0480
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9500
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0510
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9560
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.0445
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.9560
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0440
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.9560
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0425
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.9570
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.0435
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.9555
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.0445
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.9555
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.0450
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.9535
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.0475
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.9525
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0470
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9530
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.0480
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.9520
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.0485
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.9515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 149071253.48, Sell volume: 51825133.82, Average price: 0.8083, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520417
Question: Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1934548.249683
Price History:
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.9495
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0510
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.9490
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.0510
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.9505
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.0540
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.9460
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0535
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.9455
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.0545
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.9485
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.0510
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.9490
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0515
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9490
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.0495
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9465
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0525
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.9475
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0520
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9475
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.0525
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9470
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0530
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.9485
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9540
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0465
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.9440
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.0510
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.9490
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0490
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9555
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.0435
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.9565
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.0435
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9580
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0410
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.9565
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0435
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.9570
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.0430
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.9565
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.0445
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.9555
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.0445
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9510
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0475
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.9525
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 149071253.48, Sell volume: 51825133.82, Average price: 0.8083, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No