Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 704984
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Galle Marvels (Game 1)
Volume: nan
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 704984
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Galle Marvels (Game 1)
Volume: nan
Price History:
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 704984
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Galle Marvels (Game 1)
Volume: nan
Price History:
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 704984
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Galle Marvels (Game 1)
Volume: nan
Price History:
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 704984
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Galle Marvels (Game 1)
Volume: nan
Price History:
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4750
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.1750
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.8250
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.1450
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.8550
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.1700
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.8300
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.1800
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.8200
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.1800
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.8200
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.1850
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.8150
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.1700
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.8300
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.1600
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.8400
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.1550
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.8450
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.1600
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.8400
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.1650
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.8350
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.1550
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.8450
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.1650
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.8350
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.1550
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.8450
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.1750
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.8250
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.1650
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.8350
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.1600
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.8400
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.1450
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.8550
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.1450
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.8550
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.1450
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.8550
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.1550
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.8450
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.1600
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.8400
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.1500
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.8500
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.1550
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.1750
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.8250
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.8100
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.1800
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.8200
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.1800
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.8200
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.1700
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.8300
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1650
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.1650
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.1650
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.1550
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.8450
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.1550
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.8450
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.1600
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.8400
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.1800
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.8200
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.1900
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.8100
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.1900
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.8100
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.1650
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.1650
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.1750
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.8250
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.1650
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.1700
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.8300
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.1850
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.8150
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.1850
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.8150
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.1850
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.8150
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.1800
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.8200
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.1800
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.8200
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.1700
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.1650
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.1700
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.8300
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.1650
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.1750
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.8250
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.1750
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.8250
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.1750
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.8250
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.1750
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.8250
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.1750
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.8250
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.1750
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.8250
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.1750
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.8250
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.1850
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.8150
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.2000
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.8000
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.1950
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.8050
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.2050
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.7950
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.2050
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.7950
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.2050
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.2250
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.7750
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.2250
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.7750
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.2250
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.7750
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.7550
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.7500
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.2400
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.7600
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.2300
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.7700
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.2300
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.7700
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.2250
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.7750
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.2200
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.7800
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.2150
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.7850
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.2050
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.7950
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.2050
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.7950
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.2050
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.7950
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.2000
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.8000
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.2000
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.8000
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.2000
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.8000
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.2050
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.2050
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.7950
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.2050
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.2050
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.2000
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.8000
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.2000
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.8000
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.2000
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.8000
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.2150
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.7850
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.2150
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.7850
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.2150
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.7850
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.7850
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.7700
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.2300
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.7700
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.2250
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.7750
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.2250
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.7750
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.2250
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.7750
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.7650
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.2450
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.2400
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.7600
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.2400
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.7600
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.2400
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.7600
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.2450
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.7550
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.2450
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.7550
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.2450
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.2450
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.7550
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.2450
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.7550
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.2650
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.7350
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.2650
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.7350
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.2700
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.7300
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.2650
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.7350
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.2650
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.2650
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.7350
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.2650
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.7350
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.2700
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.7300
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.2650
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.7350
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.2550
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.7450
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.2450
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.7550
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.2450
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.2400
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.7600
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.2450
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.7550
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.2450
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.7550
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.2450
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.7550
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.2450
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.7550
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.2400
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.7600
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.7650
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.2400
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.7600
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.2350
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.7650
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.7500
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.7650
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.2350
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.7650
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.2350
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.7650
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.2350
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.7650
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.2350
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.7650
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.2350
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.7650
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.2350
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.2450
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.7550
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.2400
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.7600
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.2250
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.7750
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.2250
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.7750
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.2250
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.7750
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.2300
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.7700
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.7750
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.7850
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.2150
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.7850
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.2150
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.7850
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.7850
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.2150
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7850
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.2150
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.2550
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.7450
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.2550
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.7450
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.2700
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.7300
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.2700
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.7200
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.2850
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.7150
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.2750
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.7250
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.2600
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.7400
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.7650
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.7650
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.7650
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.2300
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.7700
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.2050
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.7950
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.1950
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.8050
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.1850
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.8150
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.1750
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.8250
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.1850
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.8150
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.1850
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.8150
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.1850
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.8150
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.8550
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.1550
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.8450
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.8550
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.1350
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.8650
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.8550
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.8550
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.8550
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.1450
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.1400
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.8600
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.1300
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.8700
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.1450
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.1450
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.1450
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.1550
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.8450
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.1450
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.1450
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.1450
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.1400
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.8600
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.1450
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.1450
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.1400
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.8600
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.1300
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.8700
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.8650
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.1400
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.8600
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.1450
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.8550
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.1650
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.1900
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.8100
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.1650
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.2150
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.1500
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.8500
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.2350
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.7650
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.2550
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.7450
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.2250
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.7750
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.1750
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.8250
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.1650
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.1050
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.8950
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0725
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9275
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0515
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9485
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9980
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999997, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121624.77, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4750
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.1750
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.8250
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.1450
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.8550
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.1700
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.8300
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.1800
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.8200
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.1800
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.8200
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.1850
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.8150
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.1700
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.8300
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.1600
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.8400
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.1550
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.8450
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.1600
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.8400
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.1650
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.8350
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.1550
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.8450
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.1650
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.8350
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.1550
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.1750
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.8250
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.8100
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.1800
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.8200
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.1800
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.8200
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.1700
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.8300
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1650
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.1650
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.1650
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.1550
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.8450
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.1550
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.8450
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.1600
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.8400
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.1800
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.8200
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.1900
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.8100
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.1900
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.8100
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.1650
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.1650
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.1700
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.8300
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.1650
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.1750
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.8250
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.1750
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.8250
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.1750
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.8250
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.1750
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.8250
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.1750
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.8250
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.1750
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.8250
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.1750
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.8250
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.1850
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.8150
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.2000
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.8000
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.1950
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.8050
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.2050
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.7950
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.2050
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.7550
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.7500
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.2400
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.7600
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.2300
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.7700
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.2300
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.2050
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.7950
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.2050
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.2050
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.2000
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.8000
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.2000
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.8000
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.2000
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.8000
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.7700
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.2300
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.7700
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.2250
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.7750
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.2250
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.7750
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.2250
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.7750
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.7650
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.2450
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.2400
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.7600
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.2400
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.7600
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.2400
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.7600
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.2450
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.7550
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.2450
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.7550
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.2450
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.2450
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.2650
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.7350
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.2650
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.7350
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.2700
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.7300
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.2650
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.7350
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.2550
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.7450
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.2450
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.7550
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.2450
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.2400
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.7600
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.2450
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.7550
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.2450
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.7550
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.2450
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.7550
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.2450
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.7550
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.2400
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.7600
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.7650
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.2400
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.2450
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.7550
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.2400
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.7600
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.2250
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.7750
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.2250
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.7750
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.2250
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.7200
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.2850
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.7150
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.2750
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.7250
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.2600
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.7400
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.7650
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.7650
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.7650
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.2050
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.7950
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.1950
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.8050
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.1850
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.8150
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.1750
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.8250
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.1850
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.8150
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.1850
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.8150
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.1850
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.8150
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.8550
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.1550
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.8450
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.8550
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.1350
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.8650
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.1300
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.8700
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.1450
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.1450
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.1450
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.1550
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.8450
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.1450
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.1450
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.1450
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.1400
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.8600
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.8650
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.1450
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.1450
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.8550
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.1400
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.8600
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.1350
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121842.17, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545723
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2582463.992202
Price History:
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.1900
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.8100
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.1650
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.2150
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.1500
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.8500
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.2350
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.7650
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.2550
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.7450
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.2250
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.7750
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.1750
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.8250
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.1650
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.1050
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.8950
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0725
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9275
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0515
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9485
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999997, Buy volume: 594676787.18, Sell volume: 324121624.77, Average price: 0.4480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0200
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.9800
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0085
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9915
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0060
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.9940
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9955
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9955
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9955
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.9955
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.9950
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0045
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.9955
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9955
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9955
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9960
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9980
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.9980
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0020
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.9980
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9980
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.9980
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0020
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9980
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 153008463.30, Sell volume: 46352379.24, Average price: 0.8645, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71928, Buy volume: 32110984.87, Sell volume: 8061870.06, Average price: 0.8048, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 143856, Buy volume: 43334689.93, Sell volume: 4875619.50, Average price: 0.8603, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9980
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9980
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9980
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9980
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9980
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9980
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9980
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0020
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9980
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 151848, Buy volume: 5385259.35, Sell volume: 4105550.34, Average price: 0.9326, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 193806, Buy volume: 21010530.44, Sell volume: 16333610.04, Average price: 0.8746, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 435581, Buy volume: 50702731.66, Sell volume: 12779013.40, Average price: 0.8472, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 273, Buy volume: 25930.03, Sell volume: 26614.19, Average price: 0.7827, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 183, Buy volume: 19579.80, Sell volume: 5046.78, Average price: 0.8673, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 201, Buy volume: 42651.08, Sell volume: 24974.28, Average price: 0.7606, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 4415.78, Sell volume: 31165.29, Average price: 0.8741, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 64569.71, Sell volume: 180.00, Average price: 0.6248, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 52900.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.2313, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9990
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 214, Buy volume: 179804.76, Sell volume: 24747.80, Average price: 0.5747, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0200
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.9800
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0085
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9915
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0060
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.9940
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9955
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9955
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9955
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.9955
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.9950
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0045
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.9955
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9955
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9955
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9960
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9980
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 153008463.30, Sell volume: 46352379.24, Average price: 0.8645, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71928, Buy volume: 32110984.87, Sell volume: 8061870.06, Average price: 0.8048, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 143856, Buy volume: 43334689.93, Sell volume: 4875619.50, Average price: 0.8603, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9980
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9980
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9980
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9980
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9980
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9980
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 151848, Buy volume: 5385259.35, Sell volume: 4105550.34, Average price: 0.9326, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 193806, Buy volume: 21010530.44, Sell volume: 16333610.04, Average price: 0.8746, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 435581, Buy volume: 50702731.66, Sell volume: 12779013.40, Average price: 0.8472, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 273, Buy volume: 25930.03, Sell volume: 26614.19, Average price: 0.7827, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 183, Buy volume: 19579.80, Sell volume: 5046.78, Average price: 0.8673, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 201, Buy volume: 42651.08, Sell volume: 24974.28, Average price: 0.7606, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 4415.78, Sell volume: 31165.29, Average price: 0.8741, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 64569.71, Sell volume: 180.00, Average price: 0.6248, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 52900.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.2313, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545728
Question: Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
Volume: 836853.169707
Price History:
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9990
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 214, Buy volume: 179804.76, Sell volume: 24747.80, Average price: 0.5747, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666995
Question: Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2142565.379192
Price History:
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.2450
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.7600
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.2400
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3600
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6550
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.6600
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91819838.45, Sell volume: 71123744.83, Average price: 0.4527, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666995
Question: Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2142565.379192
Price History:
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.3650
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6350
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.3650
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6350
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.6500
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91819838.45, Sell volume: 71123744.83, Average price: 0.4527, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666995
Question: Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2142565.379192
Price History:
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8650
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1200
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8800
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.2150
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.7850
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.2050
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.7950
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.2050
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.7950
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.2050
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.7950
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.1750
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8250
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.2300
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.7700
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.2300
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.7700
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.2400
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3000
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.7000
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 335664, Buy volume: 35221982.37, Sell volume: 23393483.10, Average price: 0.4133, Price range: 0.1797 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666995
Question: Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2142565.379192
Price History:
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.2300
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.2150
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.7850
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.7950
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2100
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.7900
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.2150
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.7850
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7500
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.7500
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2350
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.7550
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.2050
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.7950
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.2150
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.7850
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.2050
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.7950
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.2200
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.7800
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.2250
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.7750
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.2700
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.7300
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.2700
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.7300
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.2300
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 267732, Buy volume: 35689731.82, Sell volume: 24793182.00, Average price: 0.5163, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666995
Question: Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2142565.379192
Price History:
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.6850
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.3100
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.6900
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.3100
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.6900
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.2850
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.2850
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.2700
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7300
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.2600
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.7400
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7450
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.2500
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7500
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.2500
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7500
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.2500
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.2500
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7500
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.2750
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.7250
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.2800
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.7200
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.2800
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.7200
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 135864, Buy volume: 6810942.82, Sell volume: 5822471.70, Average price: 0.4195, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666995
Question: Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2142565.379192
Price History:
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2550
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7450
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.3000
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7000
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3250
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6750
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6550
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3350
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6650
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3300
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.6700
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.3400
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69930, Buy volume: 2291797.08, Sell volume: 9815554.62, Average price: 0.4230, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666995
Question: Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2142565.379192
Price History:
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.3700
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.6300
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3850
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.6150
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3850
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69930, Buy volume: 4651065.96, Sell volume: 1724693.58, Average price: 0.4764, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6570

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666995
Question: Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2142565.379192
Price History:
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59940, Buy volume: 1149983.39, Sell volume: 3210426.36, Average price: 0.4769, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666995
Question: Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2142565.379192
Price History:
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4450
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5550
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4450
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5550
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33967, Buy volume: 1661071.50, Sell volume: 1845331.92, Average price: 0.4456, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666995
Question: Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2142565.379192
Price History:
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1384.88, Sell volume: 762.46, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.5643

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666995
Question: Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2142565.379192
Price History:
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.5300
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.4700
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.4550
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5450
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4550
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.4350
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5650
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.5650
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.4350
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.8450
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 229, Buy volume: 58982.56, Sell volume: 13908.39, Average price: 0.5783, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666995
Question: Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2142565.379192
Price History:
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 372, Buy volume: 390061.47, Sell volume: 14298.93, Average price: 0.5295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666995
Question: Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2142565.379192
Price History:
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 328, Buy volume: 1167305.00, Sell volume: 55492.49, Average price: 0.4150, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666995
Question: Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Volume: 2142565.379192
Price History:
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.7600
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4300
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.3400
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.3400
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91819838.45, Sell volume: 71123744.83, Average price: 0.4527, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666995
Question: Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
Volume: 2142565.379192
Price History:
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.3650
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.3650
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.2000
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1750
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91819838.45, Sell volume: 71123744.83, Average price: 0.4527, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes