Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.8550
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.1500
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.8500
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.1550
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.8500
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.1500
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.8500
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.1800
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.8500
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.1400
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.1250
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9000
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.1000
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9000
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.1000
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9050
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.8450
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.1600
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.1650
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.1650
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.8750
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.1250
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.8650
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.1400
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.8850
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.1200
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.8850
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.1150
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.8850
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.1150
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.8850
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.1150
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.8600
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.1450
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.8550
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.1100
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.8950
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 210.02, Sell volume: 40.22, Average price: 0.3633, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9100
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0900
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9100
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0800
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9250
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0750
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9250
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0750
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9250
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0750
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0750
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0750
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0750
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0750
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0750
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0750
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0750
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0750
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0750
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0750
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0750
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0750
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.9350
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0650
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.9350
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0650
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.9350
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0650
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9350
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 175.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.9350
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0650
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.9350
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0650
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.8900
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.1100
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9000
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.1050
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.9000
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.1050
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9300
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0700
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.9300
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0700
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9350
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0600
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.9400
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0600
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9400
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0600
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.9400
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0600
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9400
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0600
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.9400
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0600
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.9400
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0600
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9400
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0600
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.9400
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0600
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.9400
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0600
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9550
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0450
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9550
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0450
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9550
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0450
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9550
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0450
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9550
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0450
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9550
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0450
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9550
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9550
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 4395.54, Sell volume: 664.13, Average price: 0.6015, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9450
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0550
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.5550
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.1950
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.8400
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.1400
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.8600
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.1400
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.8500
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.1200
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.8900
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.1100
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.8950
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0900
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9100
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0800
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.8900
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.1100
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.8900
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9050
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9000
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.1100
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9000
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.1100
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.8850
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0950
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.8900
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.8500
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1250
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.8700
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.1300
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.8700
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.1300
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.8750
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.1200
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.8700
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1200
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.8800
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.1350
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1300
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.8800
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.1200
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.8800
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1200
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.8700
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1.20, Sell volume: 388.21, Average price: 0.5375, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.8650
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.1250
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.8650
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.1200
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.8650
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.1200
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.8750
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.1250
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.8700
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.1250
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.8700
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.1300
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.8700
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.1300
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.8700
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.1300
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.8700
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.1300
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.8850
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.1150
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.8850
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.1150
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.8900
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.1100
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.8900
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.1100
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.8900
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.1100
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.9200
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9150
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0850
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9150
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0850
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.9150
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0850
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9150
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0850
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9150
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9150
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0850
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9150
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9150
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.9150
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9200
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 22.89, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9200
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0800
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9200
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0800
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9200
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0800
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.9200
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0800
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9200
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0800
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9200
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0800
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.6950
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.3000
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.8100
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.1300
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.8700
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.1300
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.8700
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.1300
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.8650
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.1350
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.8650
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.1350
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.8650
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.1350
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.8650
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.1350
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.8650
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.1350
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.8650
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.1350
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.8650
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.1350
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.8650
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 4.23, Sell volume: 1.11, Average price: 0.9233, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9050
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.1100
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.8950
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.1000
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9000
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0950
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9050
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0950
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9000
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0950
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9000
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.1000
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.8850
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.1150
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.6450
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.3350
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.6850
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.3000
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.7000
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.2850
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.7350
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.2500
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.7500
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.2450
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.7700
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.2300
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.7700
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.2300
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.7700
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.2300
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.7700
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.2300
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.7700
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.2300
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.7700
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.2300
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.7700
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.2300
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.7700
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.2200
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.7900
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.2100
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.7850
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.2150
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.7850
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.2150
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.7900
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.2100
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.7900
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 2.11, Sell volume: 232.41, Average price: 0.4620, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.7950
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.2050
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.7950
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.2050
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.7950
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.2050
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.7950
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.2050
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.7950
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.2050
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.7950
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.2000
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.8150
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.1850
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.8150
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.1850
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.8150
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.1850
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.8150
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.1850
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.8200
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.1800
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.8200
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.1800
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.8200
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.1800
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.8200
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.1800
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.8200
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.1800
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.8200
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.1800
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9845
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0160
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9820
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0180
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.9820
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.1650
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.8360
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.1650
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.8420
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.1595
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.8455
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.1515
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.8495
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.1455
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.8610
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.1365
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.8675
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.1310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 21.89, Sell volume: 213.17, Average price: 0.7142, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.8575
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.1425
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.8575
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.1060
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.8960
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0930
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9070
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0930
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9070
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0935
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9065
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0935
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9065
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0930
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9065
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0890
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9210
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0785
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9215
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0785
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9215
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0780
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9215
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0785
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9320
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0680
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9320
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0680
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9320
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0680
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9320
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0685
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9315
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0685
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9320
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0685
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9315
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0685
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9315
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0685
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9315
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0620
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9955
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0045
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1756.35, Sell volume: 220.97, Average price: 0.7966, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.5500
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.5750
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.6400
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.6400
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.6400
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.6400
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.6400
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.6400
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.6750
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.7000
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.7000
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.7000
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.7000
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.6800
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.6800
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.8050
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.7650
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.7900
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.8050
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.8100
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.8050
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.7900
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.8050
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.8000
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.8000
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 307.73, Sell volume: 37.12, Average price: 0.6403, Price range: 0.3220 - 0.7583
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.8550
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.8350
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.8500
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.8450
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.8450
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.8650
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.8550
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.8450
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.8450
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.8450
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.8450
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.8700
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.8700
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.8600
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.8600
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.8550
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.8550
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.8500
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.8500
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.8750
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.8750
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.8800
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.8800
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.8800
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 59.57, Sell volume: 74.24, Average price: 0.3112, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.8700
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.8700
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.8700
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.8700
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.8700
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.8700
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.8700
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.8700
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.8700
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.8700
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.8450
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.8550
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.8500
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.8550
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.8650
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.8700
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.8800
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 29.67, Sell volume: 35.00, Average price: 0.2980, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.8350
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.8250
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.8250
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.8250
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.8200
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.8200
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.8200
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.8300
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.8250
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.8250
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.8250
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.8250
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.8250
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.8250
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.8250
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8250
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.8250
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 10825.19, Sell volume: 1929.47, Average price: 0.5800, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.8550
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.8500
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.8500
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.8500
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.8500
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9000
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9000
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9050
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.8750
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.8650
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.8850
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.8850
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.8850
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.8850
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.8600
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.8550
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.8950
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.8900
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.8200
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.7900
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.8450
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 210.02, Sell volume: 40.22, Average price: 0.3633, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9100
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9100
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9250
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9250
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9250
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.9250
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.9350
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.9350
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.9350
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9350
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.9350
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.9350
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.9350
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9350
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 175.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.9350
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.9350
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.8900
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9000
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.9000
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9300
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.9300
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9350
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.9400
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9400
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.9400
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9400
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.9400
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.9400
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9400
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.9400
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.9400
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9550
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9550
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9550
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9550
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9550
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9550
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9550
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9550
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9550
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9550
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9550
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9600
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 4395.54, Sell volume: 664.13, Average price: 0.6015, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9450
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.5550
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.8400
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.8600
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.8500
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.8900
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.8950
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9100
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.8900
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.8900
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9050
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9000
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9000
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.8850
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.8900
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.8500
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.8700
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.8700
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.8750
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.8700
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.8800
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.8700
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.8800
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.8800
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.8700
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.8800
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.8750
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.8700
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.8750
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1.20, Sell volume: 388.21, Average price: 0.5375, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.8650
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.8650
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.8650
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.8750
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.8700
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.8700
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.8700
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.8700
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.8700
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.8850
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.8850
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.8900
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.8900
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.8900
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.9200
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9150
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9150
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.9150
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9150
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9150
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9150
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9150
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9150
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.9150
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9200
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9200
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9200
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9200
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9200
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 22.89, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9200
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9200
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9200
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.9200
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9200
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9200
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.6950
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.8100
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.8700
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.8700
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.8650
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.8650
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.8650
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.8650
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.8650
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.8650
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.8650
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.8650
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.8650
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.8650
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.8900
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9100
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 4.23, Sell volume: 1.11, Average price: 0.9233, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9050
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.8950
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9000
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9050
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9000
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9000
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.8850
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.6450
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.6850
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.7000
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.7350
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.7500
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.7700
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.7700
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.7700
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.7700
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.7700
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.7700
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.7700
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.7700
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.7900
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.7850
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.7850
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.7900
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.7900
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.7850
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.7950
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.7900
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.7950
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 2.11, Sell volume: 232.41, Average price: 0.4620, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.7950
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.7950
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.7950
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.7950
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.7950
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.7950
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.8150
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.8150
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.8150
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.8150
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.8200
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.8200
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.8200
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.8200
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.8200
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.8200
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9845
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9820
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.9820
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.8360
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.8420
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.8455
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.8495
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.8610
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.8675
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.8730
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.8510
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.8480
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.8465
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.8530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 21.89, Sell volume: 213.17, Average price: 0.7142, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544536
Question: Will next reconciliation bill end electric vehicle tax credits in 2025?
Volume: 12754.656051
Price History:
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.8575
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.8575
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.8960
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9070
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9070
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9065
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9065
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9065
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9210
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9215
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9215
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9215
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9320
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9320
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9320
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9320
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9315
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9320
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9315
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9315
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9315
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9955
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9545
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.9515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1756.35, Sell volume: 220.97, Average price: 0.7966, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.3250
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.6850
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.5900
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.4150
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.5450
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.4850
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.5650
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.4750
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.4750
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.4900
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.6050
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.3800
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.6700
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.3200
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.7150
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.2150
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.7950
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.2050
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.2050
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.2050
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.2050
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.2050
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.2050
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.2050
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.2050
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.2050
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.2050
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.2050
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.2050
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.2050
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 736.80, Sell volume: 59.75, Average price: 0.5978, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.2050
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.7950
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.2050
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.2050
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.1750
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.8950
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.8950
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.1750
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.8250
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.1750
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.8350
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.1600
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.8200
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.1800
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.8100
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.1850
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.8100
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.1800
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.8150
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.8050
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.8100
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.8000
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.2000
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.8000
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.8000
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.2000
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.8050
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.1950
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.8050
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.1950
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.8050
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1950
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.8050
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.1950
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.8050
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.1950
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.8050
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.1950
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.8050
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 885.95, Sell volume: 363.32, Average price: 0.4634, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.8550
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.1750
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.8600
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.1400
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.1300
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.8550
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.1400
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.8550
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.1500
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.8650
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.1200
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9050
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0900
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.1100
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9000
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.8950
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0700
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9500
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0500
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9835
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0190
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9825
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0170
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9835
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0160
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.9835
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0240
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9765
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0230
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9750
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.0255
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.9770
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0235
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9750
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0250
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9750
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0295
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9705
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0295
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9770
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 496.01, Sell volume: 820.82, Average price: 0.4448, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9830

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0165
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9835
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0165
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9835
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0165
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.9770
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0230
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.9765
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0230
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9765
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0235
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9760
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0235
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9755
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0245
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9550
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0470
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9575
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0425
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9605
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0395
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9605
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0405
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9585
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0415
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9590
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0440
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9560
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0440
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9560
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0435
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0445
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9555
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0445
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0440
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9560
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0425
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9590
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9590
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0410
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9565
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0435
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0455
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9600
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0400
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 298.48, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.0309, Price range: 0.0175 - 0.0580

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9800
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0185
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9720
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0260
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9770
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0230
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9770
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0235
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9780
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9785
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9785
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0215
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9780
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0220
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9675
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0325
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9675
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0325
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9670
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0330
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9660
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0335
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9665
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9575
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0425
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9570
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0430
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9565
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0440
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9545
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0455
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9540
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0465
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9525
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0465
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9545
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 386.88, Sell volume: 260.00, Average price: 0.0285, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.0423

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0455
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9530
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0460
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9530
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0460
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9550
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0450
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9545
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0465
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9530
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0445
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9530
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0460
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9535
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0475
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9540
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9555
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0435
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9505
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0500
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9490
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0515
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9490
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0510
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9490
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0515
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9480
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0515
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9490
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0515
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9475
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0515
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9485
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0505
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.9495
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0505
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.9490
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0505
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.9485
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0555
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.9440
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0570
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.9425
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0570
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.9400
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.3225
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.6755
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.3305
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.7135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1008.99, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.3033, Price range: 0.0446 - 0.7950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.7640
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.2360
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.7640
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.2365
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.7650
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.2350
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.7640
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.2365
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.7645
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.2335
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.7660
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.2340
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.7655
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.2345
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.7655
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.2335
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.7665
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.2335
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.7660
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.2340
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.7675
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.2335
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.7660
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.2330
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.7880
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.2125
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.7870
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.2115
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.7885
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.2115
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.7885
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.2120
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.7860
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.2140
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.7850
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.2115
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.7865
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.2135
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.7865
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.1105
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.8885
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.1125
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.8885
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.1130
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.8860
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.1135
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.8840
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.1175
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.8810
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.1205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 111.00, Sell volume: 335.70, Average price: 0.4962, Price range: 0.0748 - 0.8870

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.1245
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.8755
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.1245
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.8755
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.1235
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.8755
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.1210
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.8780
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.1225
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.8800
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.1205
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.8805
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.1200
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.8800
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.1200
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.8805
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.1200
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.8800
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.1270
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.8675
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.1335
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.8690
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.1325
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.8695
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.1305
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.8675
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.1325
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.8670
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.1330
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.8730
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.1305
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.8670
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.1330
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.8670
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.1330
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.8665
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.1340
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.8655
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.1340
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.8660
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.1350
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.8655
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.1340
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.8655
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.1345
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.8655
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.1310
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.8705
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.1295
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.8710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 42.00, Sell volume: 14.28, Average price: 0.4910, Price range: 0.1070 - 0.8750

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.8710
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.1290
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.8710
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.1285
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.8715
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.1290
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.8710
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.1285
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.8705
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.1295
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.8705
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.1300
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.8705
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.1290
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.8710
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.1290
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.8715
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.1295
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.8710
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.1285
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.8810
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.1190
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.8810
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.1190
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.8810
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.1195
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.8805
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.1195
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.8810
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.1195
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.8810
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.1195
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.8805
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.1195
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.8805
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.1190
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.8810
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.1195
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.8810
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.1185
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.8815
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.1190
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.8945
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.1055
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.8945
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.1055
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.8945
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.1055
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.8945
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.1055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 281.23, Average price: 0.0953, Price range: 0.0953 - 0.0953

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0860
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9145
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0855
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9155
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0845
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9160
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0840
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9160
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0830
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.9170
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0830
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9165
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0835
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9180
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0825
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9180
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0810
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9185
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0815
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9175
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0825
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.9170
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0830
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9175
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0830
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9175
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0830
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9180
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0820
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9180
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0820
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9180
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0820
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9195
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0790
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.9210
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0790
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9230
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0770
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9230
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0770
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9230
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0680
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9355
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0645
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9360
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0640
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9370
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0630
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 306.99, Sell volume: 81.00, Average price: 0.7126, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9288

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9355
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0640
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9360
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0640
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9360
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0640
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9360
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0640
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9360
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0640
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9360
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0595
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9415
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0585
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9415
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0585
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9415
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0585
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.9385
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0615
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9385
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.0615
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9505
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0490
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.9530
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.0445
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.9595
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.0405
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9605
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0395
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.9615
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.0380
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.9600
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.0400
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.9600
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0390
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.9605
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0395
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.9595
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0400
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.9590
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0405
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.9600
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0395
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.9620
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0405
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9620
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0380
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.9605
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1.04, Sell volume: 624.30, Average price: 0.6529, Price range: 0.0575 - 0.9610

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0380
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.9615
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0385
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9605
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0395
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.9595
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0395
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.9620
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0380
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.9620
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.0385
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.9620
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0380
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.9620
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0380
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.9620
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.0385
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.9620
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0380
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.9620
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0380
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9615
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0380
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9620
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0380
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9620
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0375
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9625
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0300
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9780
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0185
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.9835
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0160
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9845
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0170
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.9845
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0175
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9840
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0140
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9850
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0150
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9840
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0145
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9850
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.9745
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0260
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.9755
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0240
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 89.17, Sell volume: 67.79, Average price: 0.1830, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.9730
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0285
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.9720
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0270
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9720
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0285
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.9720
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0285
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.9730
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0275
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9715
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0285
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9720
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0290
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9715
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0290
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9715
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0285
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9745
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0275
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9695
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0300
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9710
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0290
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9720
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0280
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9710
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0275
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9750
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0265
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9750
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0250
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9750
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0255
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9755
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0250
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9745
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0260
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9795
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0135
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9855
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0135
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9875
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0135
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9860
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0095
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9940
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9910
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2673.18, Sell volume: 196.43, Average price: 0.8219, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.6850
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.5900
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.5450
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.5650
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.4750
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.6050
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.6700
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.7150
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.7950
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.7950
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 736.80, Sell volume: 59.75, Average price: 0.5978, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.2050
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.2050
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.2050
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.1750
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.1750
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.1750
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.1600
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.1800
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.1850
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.1800
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.2000
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.2000
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.1950
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.1950
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1950
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.1950
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.1950
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.1950
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.1950
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.1950
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.1950
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.1950
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 885.95, Sell volume: 363.32, Average price: 0.4634, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.8550
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.8600
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.8550
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.8550
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.8650
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9050
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9000
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9500
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9835
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9825
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9835
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.9835
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9765
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9750
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.9770
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9750
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9750
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9705
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9770
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9835
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9835
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9835
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.9835
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 496.01, Sell volume: 820.82, Average price: 0.4448, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0165
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0165
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0165
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0230
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0230
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0235
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0235
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0245
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0470
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0425
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0395
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0405
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0415
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0440
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0440
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0435
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0445
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0445
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0440
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0425
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0410
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0435
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0455
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0400
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0395
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0390
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0415
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0390
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 298.48, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.0309, Price range: 0.0175 - 0.0580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9800
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9720
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9770
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9770
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9780
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9785
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9785
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9780
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9675
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9675
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9670
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9660
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9665
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9575
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9570
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9565
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9545
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9540
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9525
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9545
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9555
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9555
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9565
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9520
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 386.88, Sell volume: 260.00, Average price: 0.0285, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.0423
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0455
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0460
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0460
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0450
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0465
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0445
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0460
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0475
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0435
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0500
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0515
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0510
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0515
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0515
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0515
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0515
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0505
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0505
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0505
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0555
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0570
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0570
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.3225
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.3305
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.2870
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.2455
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.2365
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.2360
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.2360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1008.99, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.3033, Price range: 0.0446 - 0.7950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.7640
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.7640
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.7650
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.7640
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.7645
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.7660
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.7655
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.7655
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.7665
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.7660
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.7675
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.7660
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.7880
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.7870
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.7885
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.7885
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.7860
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.7850
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.7865
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.7865
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.8885
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.8885
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.8860
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.8840
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.8810
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.8785
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.8745
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.8845
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.8785
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.8765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 111.00, Sell volume: 335.70, Average price: 0.4962, Price range: 0.0748 - 0.8870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.1245
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.1245
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.1235
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.1210
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.1225
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.1205
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.1200
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.1200
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.1200
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.1270
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.1335
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.1325
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.1305
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.1325
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.1330
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.1305
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.1330
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.1330
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.1340
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.1340
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.1350
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.1340
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.1345
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.1310
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.1295
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.1290
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.1290
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.1290
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.1290
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.1290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 42.00, Sell volume: 14.28, Average price: 0.4910, Price range: 0.1070 - 0.8750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.8710
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.8710
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.8715
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.8710
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.8705
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.8705
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.8705
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.8710
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.8715
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.8710
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.8810
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.8810
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.8810
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.8805
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.8810
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.8810
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.8805
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.8805
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.8810
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.8810
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.8815
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.8945
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.8945
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.8945
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.8945
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.8945
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.8945
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.8945
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9130
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 281.23, Average price: 0.0953, Price range: 0.0953 - 0.0953
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0860
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0855
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0845
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0840
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0830
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0830
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0835
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0825
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0810
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0815
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0825
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0830
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0830
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0830
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0820
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0820
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0820
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0790
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0790
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0770
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0770
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0680
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0645
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0640
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0630
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0630
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0630
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0630
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0630
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 306.99, Sell volume: 81.00, Average price: 0.7126, Price range: 0.0765 - 0.9288
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9355
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9360
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9360
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9360
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9360
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9360
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9415
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9415
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9415
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.9385
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9385
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9505
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.9530
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.9595
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9605
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.9615
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.9600
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.9600
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.9605
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.9595
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.9590
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.9600
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.9620
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9620
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.9605
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.9605
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9595
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.9605
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.9600
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1.04, Sell volume: 624.30, Average price: 0.6529, Price range: 0.0575 - 0.9610
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0380
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0385
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0395
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0395
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0380
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.0385
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0380
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0380
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.0385
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0380
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0380
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0380
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0380
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0375
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0300
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0185
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0160
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0170
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0175
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0140
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0150
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0145
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0260
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0240
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0270
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0240
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0260
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0280
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 89.17, Sell volume: 67.79, Average price: 0.1830, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544538
Question: Will next reconciliation bill lift debt ceiling in 2025?
Volume: 14253.860604
Price History:
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.9730
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.9720
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9720
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.9720
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.9730
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9715
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9720
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9715
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9715
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9745
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9695
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9710
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9720
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9710
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9750
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9750
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9750
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9755
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9745
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9795
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9855
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9875
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9860
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9940
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9910
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9910
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9920
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9910
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.9915
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2673.18, Sell volume: 196.43, Average price: 0.8219, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.3350
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.6800
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.3200
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.6800
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.6810
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.3185
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.6855
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.3145
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.6850
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.3150
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.6850
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.3155
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.6855
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.3140
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.6860
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.3135
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.6860
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.3140
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.6860
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.3140
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.6855
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.3140
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.6860
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.3135
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.6865
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.3135
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.6860
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.3135
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.6865
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.3135
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.6860
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.3145
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.6860
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.3140
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.6860
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.3145
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.6855
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.3140
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.6860
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.3155
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.6845
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.3130
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.6870
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.3150
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.6850
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.3155
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.6845
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.3160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 33.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6259, Price range: 0.6258 - 0.6260

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.6840
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.3165
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.6835
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.3165
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.6835
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.3165
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.6835
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.3165
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.6840
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.3160
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.6835
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.3165
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.6830
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.3170
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.6835
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.3170
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.6830
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.3170
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.6835
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.3170
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.6785
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.3230
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.6775
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.2560
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.7440
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.2555
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.7445
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.2555
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.7445
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.2565
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.7435
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.2565
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.7430
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.2565
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.7435
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.2560
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.7440
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.2560
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.7455
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.2550
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.7450
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.2540
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.7460
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.2545
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.7455
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.2545
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.7460
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.2540
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.6460
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.3540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 183.44, Sell volume: 51.95, Average price: 0.3083, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.6682

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9740
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.1895
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.8365
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.1440
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.8540
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.1295
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.8090
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.1625
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.8275
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.1260
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9360
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0415
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.7960
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.2060
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.7990
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.2085
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.7905
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.2085
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.7920
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.2105
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.7940
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.2060
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.7940
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.2050
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.7940
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.2060
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.7935
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.2065
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.7935
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.2060
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9275
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0730
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9265
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0735
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.7970
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.2040
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.7960
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.2030
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.7960
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.2665
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.8135
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.1925
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.7375
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.1920
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.6970
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.3030
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.7235
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.2770
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.7155
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 312.65, Sell volume: 47.64, Average price: 0.5140, Price range: 0.0469 - 0.8030

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.8800
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.1255
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.8755
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.1245
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.8780
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.1220
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.8780
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.1220
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.8780
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.1220
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.8780
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.1220
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.8780
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.1220
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.8565
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.1220
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.8780
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.1220
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.8780
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.1220
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.8420
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.1580
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.8770
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.1230
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.8785
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.1215
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8785
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1215
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.8785
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.1215
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.8785
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.1215
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.8785
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.1225
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.8785
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.1215
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.8785
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.1215
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8785
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.1215
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.8785
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.1215
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8785
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.1215
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.8785
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.1215
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.8780
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.1220
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.8780
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.1210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 6820.60, Sell volume: 371.98, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.8800
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.1185
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.8800
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.1210
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.8790
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.1200
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.8790
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.1210
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.8790
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.1205
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.8790
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.1190
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.8790
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.1205
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.8795
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.1210
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.8785
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.8790
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.1210
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.8805
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.1205
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.8790
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.1195
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.1210
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.8810
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.1205
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.8795
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.1190
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.8810
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.1190
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.8790
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.1195
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.8790
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.1190
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.8790
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.1195
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.8795
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.1200
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.8805
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.1210
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.8820
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.1210
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.8800
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.1195
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.8800
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.1200
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.8805
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.1205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9570, Price range: 0.9570 - 0.9570

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.8790
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.1190
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.8790
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.1195
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.8815
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.1185
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.8805
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.1195
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.8805
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.1195
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.8795
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.1205
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.8800
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.1200
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.8810
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.1190
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.8810
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.1205
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.8805
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.1210
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.8785
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.1200
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.8800
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.1195
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.8805
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.1185
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.8815
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.1200
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.8790
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.1215
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.8805
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.1215
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.8795
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.1200
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.8800
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.1210
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.8790
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.1185
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.8815
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.1210
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.8800
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.1180
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.8795
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.1220
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.8785
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.1215
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.8790
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.1215
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.8780
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.1220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 65.47, Sell volume: 141.38, Average price: 0.5115, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9210

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.8955
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.1075
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.8795
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.1330
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.8715
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.1320
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.8765
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.1315
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.8530
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.1415
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.8355
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.1720
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.8220
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.1790
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.8160
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.1845
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.8155
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.1830
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.8185
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.1830
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.8180
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.1820
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.8175
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.1830
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.8165
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.1835
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.8165
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.1835
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.8155
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.1850
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.8140
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.1865
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.8140
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.1865
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.8140
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.1845
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.8170
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.1820
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.8260
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.1725
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.8315
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.1710
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.8295
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.1710
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.8285
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.1705
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.8285
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.1715
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.8300
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 81.01, Average price: 0.4937, Price range: 0.1250 - 0.8470

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.8470
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.1535
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.8475
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.1520
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.8490
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.1505
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.8490
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.1515
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.8485
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.1480
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.8545
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.1465
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.8540
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.1465
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.8525
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.1475
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.8565
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.1430
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.8620
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.1350
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.8690
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.1300
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.8755
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.1215
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.8850
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.1420
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.8795
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.1310
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.8720
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.1250
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.8705
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1130
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.8790
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.1370
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.8410
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.1590
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.8420
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.1580
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.8435
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1570
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.8415
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.1590
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.8400
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1610
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.8360
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.1630
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.8365
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1640
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.8365
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.1635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1630, Price range: 0.1630 - 0.1630

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.8350
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.1655
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.8785
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.1215
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.8785
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.1215
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.8865
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.1135
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.8865
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.1135
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.8865
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.1135
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.8865
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.1135
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.8865
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.1135
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.8800
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.1200
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.8800
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.1200
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.8800
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.1200
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.8800
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.1200
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.8800
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.1200
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.8800
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.1200
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.1200
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.1200
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.1200
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.1200
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.1200
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.1200
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.1200
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.1200
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.8800
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.1200
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.8800
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.1200
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.8800
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 178.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8549, Price range: 0.8549 - 0.8549

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.8800
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.1200
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.8800
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.1200
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.8800
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.1200
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.8800
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.1200
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.8570
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.1430
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.8805
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.1195
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.8805
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.1195
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.8805
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.1425
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.8810
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.1190
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.8810
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.1190
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.8810
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.1190
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.8810
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.1190
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.8810
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.1190
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.8810
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.1190
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.8810
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.1190
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.8810
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.1190
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.8810
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.1190
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.8810
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.1190
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.8810
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.1190
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.8810
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.1190
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.8810
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.1190
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.8810
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.1190
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.8810
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.1415
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.8815
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.1185
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.8815
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.1185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 6820.60, Sell volume: 371.98, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.8800
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.1200
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.8800
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.1200
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.8800
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.1200
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.8800
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.1200
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.8800
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.1200
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.8380
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.1620
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.7995
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.2005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.7995
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.2005
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.7990
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.2010
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.7990
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.2010
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.7990
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.2010
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.7990
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.2010
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.7990
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.2010
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.7990
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.2010
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.7990
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.2010
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.7990
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.2010
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.7990
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.2010
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.7990
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.2010
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.7990
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.2010
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.7990
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.2010
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.7990
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.2010
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.7990
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.2010
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.7990
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.2010
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.7990
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.2010
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.7990
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.2010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 6820.60, Sell volume: 371.98, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.8035
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.1965
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.8035
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.1965
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.8035
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.1965
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.8030
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.1970
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.8145
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.1855
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.8145
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.1855
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.8145
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.1855
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.8145
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.1855
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.8145
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.1855
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.8145
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.1855
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.8145
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.1855
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.8145
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.1855
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.8145
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.1855
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.8145
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.1855
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.8145
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.1855
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.8235
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.1765
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.8220
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.1780
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.8965
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.1035
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.8965
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.1075
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.8925
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.1035
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.8965
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.1075
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.8965
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.1035
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.8965
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.1035
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.8965
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.1035
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.8945
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.1035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 6820.60, Sell volume: 371.98, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.8970
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.1030
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.8970
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.1030
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.9485
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0515
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9485
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0515
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9485
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0515
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9485
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0515
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9485
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0500
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9500
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0500
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9500
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0515
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9485
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0525
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9495
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0530
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9470
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0495
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9845
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0110
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9930
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0070
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9930
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0080
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9890
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0115
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9860
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0180
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9840
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0155
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9850
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0135
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9855
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9940
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9940
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0060
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9940
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0060
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9940
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.7931, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.6800
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.6800
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.6810
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.6855
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.6850
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.6850
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.6855
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.6860
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.6860
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.6860
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.6855
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.6860
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.6865
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.6860
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.6865
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.6860
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.6860
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.6860
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.6855
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.6860
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.6845
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.6870
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.6850
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.6845
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.6835
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.6835
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.6835
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.6840
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.6835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 33.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6259, Price range: 0.6258 - 0.6260
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.6840
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.6835
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.6835
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.6835
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.6840
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.6835
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.6830
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.6835
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.6830
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.6835
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.6785
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.6775
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.7440
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.7445
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.7445
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.7435
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.7430
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.7435
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.7440
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.7455
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.7450
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.7460
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.7455
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.7460
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.6460
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.6465
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.6465
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.6505
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.7525
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.8865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 183.44, Sell volume: 51.95, Average price: 0.3083, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.6682
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9740
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.8365
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.8540
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.8090
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.8275
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9360
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.7960
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.7990
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.7905
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.7920
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.7940
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.7940
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.7940
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.7935
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.7935
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9275
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9265
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.7970
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.7960
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.7960
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.8135
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.7375
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.6970
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.7235
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.7155
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.7330
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.7405
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.7415
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.8730
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.8825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 312.65, Sell volume: 47.64, Average price: 0.5140, Price range: 0.0469 - 0.8030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.8800
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.8755
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.8780
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.8780
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.8780
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.8780
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.8780
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.8565
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.8780
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.8780
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.8420
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.8770
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.8785
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8785
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.8785
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.8785
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.8785
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.8785
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.8785
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8785
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.8785
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8785
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.8785
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.8780
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.8780
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.8790
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.8785
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.8790
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.8790
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.8790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 6820.60, Sell volume: 371.98, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.8800
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.8800
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.8790
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.8790
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.8790
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.8790
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.8790
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.8795
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.8785
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.8790
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.8805
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.8790
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.8800
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.8810
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.8795
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.8810
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.8790
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.8790
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.8790
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.8795
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.8805
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.8820
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.8800
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.8800
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.8805
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.8800
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.8805
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9030
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.8790
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.8790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9570, Price range: 0.9570 - 0.9570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.8790
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.8790
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.8815
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.8805
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.8805
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.8795
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.8800
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.8810
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.8810
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.8805
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.8785
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.8800
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.8805
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.8815
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.8790
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.8805
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.8795
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.8800
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.8790
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.8815
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.8800
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.8795
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.8785
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.8790
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.8780
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.9025
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.8815
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.8805
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9280
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.9285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 65.47, Sell volume: 141.38, Average price: 0.5115, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9210
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.8955
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.8795
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.8715
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.8765
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.8530
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.8355
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.8220
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.8160
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.8155
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.8185
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.8180
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.8175
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.8165
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.8165
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.8155
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.8140
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.8140
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.8140
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.8170
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.8260
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.8315
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.8295
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.8285
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.8285
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.8300
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.8310
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.8190
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.8150
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.8130
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.8135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 81.01, Average price: 0.4937, Price range: 0.1250 - 0.8470
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.8470
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.8475
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.8490
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.8490
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.8485
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.8545
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.8540
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.8525
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.8565
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.8620
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.8690
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.8755
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.8850
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.8795
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.8720
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.8705
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.8790
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.8410
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.8420
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.8435
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.8415
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.8400
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.8360
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.8365
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.8365
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.8385
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.8380
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.8380
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.8375
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.8355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1630, Price range: 0.1630 - 0.1630
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.8350
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.8785
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.8785
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.8865
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.8865
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.8865
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.8865
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.8865
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.8800
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.8800
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.8800
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.8800
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.8800
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.8800
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.8800
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.8800
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.8800
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.8800
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.8800
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.8800
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.8800
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.8800
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 178.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8549, Price range: 0.8549 - 0.8549
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544541
Question: Will next reconciliation bill extend income tax cut for high earners in 2025?
Volume: 7192.580783
Price History:
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.8800
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.8800
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.8800
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.8800
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.8570
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.8805
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.8805
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.8805
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.8810
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.8810
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.8810
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.8810
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.8810
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.8810
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.8810
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.8810
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.8810
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.8810
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.8810
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.8810
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.8810
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.8810
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.8810
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.8815
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.8815
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.8815
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.8815
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.8815
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.8815
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.8815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 6820.60, Sell volume: 371.98, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes