Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0395
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0395
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0395
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0395
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0395
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0375
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0375
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0375
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0365
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0365
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0355
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0350
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0335
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0335
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0335
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0330
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0330
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0330
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0330
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0335
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0335
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0290
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0290
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0290
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0290
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0290
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0290
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0290
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0290
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0290
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0290
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0235
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0235
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0235
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0235
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0235
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0235
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0235
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0235
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0235
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 148.89, Sell volume: 49.00, Average price: 0.2617, Price range: 0.0107 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 306, Buy volume: 6613.85, Sell volume: 4448.03, Average price: 0.8562, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0150
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0150
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 204.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 384.16, Average price: 0.7130, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1216.18, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.9812, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 195.24, Sell volume: 613.59, Average price: 0.5555, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 2227.26, Sell volume: 207.46, Average price: 0.9637, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 37.09, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 195.00, Sell volume: 2718.99, Average price: 0.6248, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 306, Buy volume: 6613.85, Sell volume: 4448.03, Average price: 0.8562, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.2050
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.1400
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.1450
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.1750
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.1750
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.1800
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.1800
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.1750
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.1150
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.0950
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.1350
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.1350
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.1350
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.1250
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.1250
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.1150
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.1200
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.1150
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.1150
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.1150
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.1050
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 6805.64, Sell volume: 1633.30, Average price: 0.4054, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0850
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0850
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0850
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0850
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0850
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0850
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0850
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0850
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0850
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0850
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0850
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0950
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0950
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0950
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0950
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 468.11, Sell volume: 783.57, Average price: 0.5209, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0950
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0950
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.1000
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.1000
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.1050
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.1050
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.1050
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.1050
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0950
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0950
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0950
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0900
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0950
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0950
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0950
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0950
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0900
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.0950
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2583.03, Sell volume: 2162.96, Average price: 0.4409, Price range: 0.0759 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0850
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.0900
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0950
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.1000
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.1000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.1000
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.1000
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0950
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0950
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0950
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0950
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0900
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0950
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0900
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0900
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0950
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0950
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0950
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0950
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0950
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 10859.02, Sell volume: 74.96, Average price: 0.2979, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.1200
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.1200
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.1150
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.1200
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.1150
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.1100
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.1100
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.1050
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.1050
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.1050
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.1050
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.1050
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.1050
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.1050
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.1050
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.1050
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.1050
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.1050
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.1050
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.1050
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.1050
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.1050
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.1050
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.0900
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.0900
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0900
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0900
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7914.60, Sell volume: 1281.00, Average price: 0.4482, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.0750
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0650
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.0340
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.0305
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.0405
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.1185
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0790
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0795
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.0835
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.0785
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.0790
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.0695
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.0640
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.0635
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0620
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0635
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.0635
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.0620
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0620
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.0550
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 11749.17, Sell volume: 1580.50, Average price: 0.3795, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.0430
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0290
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.0325
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.0405
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0435
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0435
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.0435
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0445
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.0445
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0445
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0480
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.0490
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0495
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0490
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.0480
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0490
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0495
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0480
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0510
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0520
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0520
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0490
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0505
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0495
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 2123.89, Sell volume: 5819.01, Average price: 0.2899, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9550
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0470
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0470
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0460
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0460
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0460
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0455
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0455
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0455
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0455
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0425
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0425
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0465
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0440
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0455
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0455
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0460
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0460
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0460
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0475
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0475
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0475
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0655
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0665
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0495
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0490
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0490
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0480
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1097.48, Sell volume: 6618.97, Average price: 0.5749, Price range: 0.0409 - 0.9590
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0480
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0480
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0480
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0475
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0475
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0440
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0435
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0460
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0455
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0470
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0470
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0465
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0350
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0350
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0375
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0380
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0445
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0475
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0465
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0480
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0425
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0450
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0450
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0450
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 305, Buy volume: 13962.73, Sell volume: 5219.64, Average price: 0.7184, Price range: 0.0322 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0200
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0220
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.0200
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.0205
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.0215
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0215
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.0215
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0225
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0160
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0170
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.0130
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.0165
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0165
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0140
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0155
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0155
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.0150
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0135
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0130
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0135
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0135
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0145
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.0145
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 12676.56, Sell volume: 1192.29, Average price: 0.4405, Price range: 0.0113 - 0.9879
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0150
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0150
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0225
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0180
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0180
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0180
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0205
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0205
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0160
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0160
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0160
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0175
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0200
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2927.28, Sell volume: 4388.55, Average price: 0.5690, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0135
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0080
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0080
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0080
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0080
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0080
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0080
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0075
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0075
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0080
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0080
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0080
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2760.37, Sell volume: 11406.55, Average price: 0.7535, Price range: 0.0043 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0080
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0075
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0050
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0050
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0075
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0075
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0075
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2303.42, Sell volume: 2248.24, Average price: 0.4765, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 445.39, Sell volume: 245.37, Average price: 0.3358, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9550
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9600
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9600
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9600
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9600
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9600
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9600
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9600
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1222.74, Sell volume: 156.37, Average price: 0.8363, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9550
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9550
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9550
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9550
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9550
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9550
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9600
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0350
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9595
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0395
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 550.91, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0395
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9605
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0395
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9605
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0375
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9625
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0365
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9645
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0335
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9665
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0330
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9670
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0330
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9665
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0290
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9710
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0290
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9710
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0290
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9710
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0290
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9745
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0255
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9745
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9765
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0235
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 148.89, Sell volume: 49.00, Average price: 0.2617, Price range: 0.0107 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9770
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9770
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9770
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9770
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0230
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9850
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 306, Buy volume: 6613.85, Sell volume: 4448.03, Average price: 0.8562, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9850
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0150
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9875
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9875
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9875
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9875
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9875
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9875
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9875
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9875
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9880
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9880
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9880
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 204.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 384.16, Average price: 0.7130, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1216.18, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.9812, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 195.24, Sell volume: 613.59, Average price: 0.5555, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 2227.26, Sell volume: 207.46, Average price: 0.9637, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 37.09, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 195.00, Sell volume: 2718.99, Average price: 0.6248, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 306, Buy volume: 6613.85, Sell volume: 4448.03, Average price: 0.8562, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0350
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9695
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0295
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0295
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0280
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0440
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0435
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9560
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9560
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9560
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0440
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0440
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0440
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0440
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0440
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0435
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0435
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0435
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0435
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0445
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0435
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0435
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0435
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 245.59, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.3089, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0440
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0440
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0440
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0440
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0435
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0435
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0435
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0435
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0435
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0330
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0300
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0165
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0175
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0185
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0180
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0180
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0195
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0155
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0180
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0135
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0130
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0135
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0120
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0120
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 778.25, Sell volume: 151.50, Average price: 0.8821, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0100
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0110
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0080
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0080
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0080
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0080
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 310.15, Sell volume: 232.77, Average price: 0.8641, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0110
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 409.99, Average price: 0.0062, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.0070

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 157.90, Sell volume: 237.89, Average price: 0.8511, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0080
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0095
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0095
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0095
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0095
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 326.33, Sell volume: 272.86, Average price: 0.8601, Price range: 0.0036 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1216.15, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.9811, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 212.46, Sell volume: 668.65, Average price: 0.6468, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 1934.38, Sell volume: 330.68, Average price: 0.9723, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 358, Buy volume: 9306.07, Sell volume: 10088.45, Average price: 0.8741, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2633.79, Sell volume: 2373.56, Average price: 0.6253, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1471.30, Sell volume: 5275.55, Average price: 0.8175, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0305
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9705
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0280
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9560
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9560
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0440
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0440
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9560
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0440
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9560
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0435
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9565
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0435
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9560
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9565
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0445
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9565
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 245.59, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.3089, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0440
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9560
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0440
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9565
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0435
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9565
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0330
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9700
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0175
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9815
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0180
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9805
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0180
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9865
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0135
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0120
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0120
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9890
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9890
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9890
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9890
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 778.25, Sell volume: 151.50, Average price: 0.8821, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9890
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9890
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0110
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9890
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9890
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9890
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9890
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9905
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9905
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9890
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9910
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9920
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0080
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 310.15, Sell volume: 232.77, Average price: 0.8641, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0110
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9910
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9910
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9915
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9920
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9920
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 409.99, Average price: 0.0062, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.0070
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 157.90, Sell volume: 237.89, Average price: 0.8511, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9920
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0080
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9910
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9910
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9910
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9910
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9925
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9925
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9905
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9905
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0095
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 326.33, Sell volume: 272.86, Average price: 0.8601, Price range: 0.0036 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1216.15, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.9811, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 212.46, Sell volume: 668.65, Average price: 0.6468, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 1934.38, Sell volume: 330.68, Average price: 0.9723, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 358, Buy volume: 9306.07, Sell volume: 10088.45, Average price: 0.8741, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2633.79, Sell volume: 2373.56, Average price: 0.6253, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641812
Question: Will Gainzy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 19394.523869
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1471.30, Sell volume: 5275.55, Average price: 0.8175, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9650
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9700
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9705
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0295
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0275
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0275
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0225
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0185
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9845
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0155
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9840
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9840
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0155
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9845
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0135
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0130
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9865
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0130
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0130
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0125
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0130
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0130
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0125
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0125
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0130
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0130
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0130
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 51.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6630, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0050
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0045
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0075
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 788.46, Sell volume: 336.42, Average price: 0.7877, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0060
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0060
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 301.09, Sell volume: 851.40, Average price: 0.8657, Price range: 0.0019 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 1.42, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 100.20, Sell volume: 311.62, Average price: 0.3992, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 474.73, Sell volume: 19.44, Average price: 0.8723, Price range: 0.0057 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1128.04, Sell volume: 343.05, Average price: 0.8971, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 239.05, Sell volume: 843.57, Average price: 0.7050, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 2035.33, Sell volume: 230.69, Average price: 0.9808, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes