Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0065
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0065
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0065
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0065
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0065
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0065
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0065
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0065
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 275.27, Sell volume: 421.29, Average price: 0.9020, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0030
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.0030
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0030
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0030
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.0030
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0030
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0030
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0030
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0025
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1141.91, Sell volume: 1133.39, Average price: 0.9964, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9975
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9975
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.9975
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9975
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9975
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9970
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9970
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9970
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0030
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 28.85, Sell volume: 9.51, Average price: 0.4014, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.9970
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.9970
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0030
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9970
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9970
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.9970
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1689.18, Sell volume: 262.36, Average price: 0.4297, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9965
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0035
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0035
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1003.66, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9693, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9885
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0110
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0110
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0110
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9900
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9895
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9900
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9900
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9895
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 3996.49, Sell volume: 2827.39, Average price: 0.7539, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9955
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0045
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0040
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0040
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 16691.65, Sell volume: 2522.49, Average price: 0.6287, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 8317.47, Sell volume: 10028.14, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.7450
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9860
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9915
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0105
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9855
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0145
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9855
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0145
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9835
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9835
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0155
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9830
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9865
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0160
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9840
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0160
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9840
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0160
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9840
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0155
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9845
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9845
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 3185.14, Sell volume: 96.37, Average price: 0.7728, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9840
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0160
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9840
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0160
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9840
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0115
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9885
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9885
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0120
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9875
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0125
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9855
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9915
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0080
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9920
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.9940
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.9940
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9940
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9940
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9940
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 738.72, Sell volume: 1029.64, Average price: 0.5555, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9945
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.9940
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9940
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.9940
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9940
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.9935
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9935
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9935
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0065
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9935
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.9935
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9935
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9935
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0065
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9935
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0065
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9935
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0065
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 12.35, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.9948, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0065
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9935
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0065
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9960
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9960
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9960
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.9960
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.9960
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.9960
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9960
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.9960
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9960
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9960
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9960
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9960
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0105
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.9855
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 981.51, Sell volume: 729.22, Average price: 0.7133, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0065
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9935
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9935
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0065
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.9935
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0065
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9935
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0065
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.9940
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9940
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9940
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9940
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9940
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0060
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9940
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0060
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9940
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0065
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9935
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0065
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9935
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9935
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0065
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 206.65, Sell volume: 10.03, Average price: 0.9963, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9935
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0065
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9935
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0065
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9935
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0065
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9960
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9960
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9960
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9960
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9960
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9960
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.9960
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.9960
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.9960
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 275.27, Sell volume: 421.29, Average price: 0.9020, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9965
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.9965
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.9965
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9970
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0030
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9975
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.9975
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0025
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1141.91, Sell volume: 1133.39, Average price: 0.9964, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9975
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9975
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9975
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9970
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9970
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9970
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0030
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9970
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 28.85, Sell volume: 9.51, Average price: 0.4014, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.9970
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9970
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1689.18, Sell volume: 262.36, Average price: 0.4297, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1003.66, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9693, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9885
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0110
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9890
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0100
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9895
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0100
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0105
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 3996.49, Sell volume: 2827.39, Average price: 0.7539, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0050
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 16691.65, Sell volume: 2522.49, Average price: 0.6287, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545059
Question: Will Robin Johnston win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 57409.679761
Price History:
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 8317.47, Sell volume: 10028.14, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9000
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 173, Buy volume: 35179.74, Sell volume: 17084.76, Average price: 0.7904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9000
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8950
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.1050
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.8950
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9000
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9000
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.1000
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9000
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 173, Buy volume: 35179.74, Sell volume: 17084.76, Average price: 0.7904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.1000
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9000
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.1000
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 173, Buy volume: 35179.74, Sell volume: 17084.76, Average price: 0.7904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0550
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9450
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9500
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9500
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9500
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0250
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9800
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9710
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0295
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9595
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9650
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9605
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9580
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0415
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9645
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9645
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9645
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0355
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0355
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9645
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9645
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9645
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0355
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9645
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9555
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0415
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9720
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9910
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 316.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9328, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 530.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9988, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4814.51, Sell volume: 53.87, Average price: 0.9988, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 5964.72, Sell volume: 3297.38, Average price: 0.9058, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2123.70, Sell volume: 1768.94, Average price: 0.8088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 3473.70, Sell volume: 9.00, Average price: 0.7138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 13000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9610
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0310
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9700
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0300
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0230
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0230
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9775
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0185
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0150
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0145
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0120
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9880
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0095
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9940
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1735.13, Sell volume: 11630.78, Average price: 0.4407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 2221.00, Sell volume: 24.79, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 173, Buy volume: 35179.74, Sell volume: 17084.76, Average price: 0.7904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9000
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.1050
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9000
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.1000
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.1000
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.1000
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.1000
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 173, Buy volume: 35179.74, Sell volume: 17084.76, Average price: 0.7904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.1000
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9000
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9500
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9450
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 173, Buy volume: 35179.74, Sell volume: 17084.76, Average price: 0.7904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0550
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9500
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9500
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9800
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9710
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9595
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9580
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9645
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9645
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0355
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9645
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0355
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9555
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9720
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 316.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9328, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 530.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9988, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4814.51, Sell volume: 53.87, Average price: 0.9988, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 5964.72, Sell volume: 3297.38, Average price: 0.9058, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2123.70, Sell volume: 1768.94, Average price: 0.8088, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 3473.70, Sell volume: 9.00, Average price: 0.7138, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 13000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9610
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9700
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0230
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9775
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0150
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0120
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1735.13, Sell volume: 11630.78, Average price: 0.4407, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 2221.00, Sell volume: 24.79, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545062
Question: Will Robert Moumou win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 52264.502312
Price History:
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9000
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 43322.91, Sell volume: 20165.12, Average price: 0.8681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.1000
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1050
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.8950
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.8950
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.8950
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9000
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9000
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9000
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 43322.91, Sell volume: 20165.12, Average price: 0.8681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.1000
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9000
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.1000
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 43322.91, Sell volume: 20165.12, Average price: 0.8681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0550
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9450
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9500
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9685
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0350
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9650
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0405
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9585
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9580
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0420
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9630
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9630
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0370
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0370
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0370
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0370
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9630
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9630
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0370
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0370
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0265
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0195
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9910
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9920
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0080
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9920
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0080
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 336.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9366, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 458.97, Sell volume: 61.33, Average price: 0.9986, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 4406.33, Sell volume: 9.18, Average price: 0.9984, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 10906.41, Sell volume: 4750.92, Average price: 0.9680, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1894.01, Sell volume: 1915.67, Average price: 0.9076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 4743.22, Sell volume: 51.86, Average price: 0.6422, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 11000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9965
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9965
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 8620.72, Sell volume: 13017.51, Average price: 0.7700, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 43322.91, Sell volume: 20165.12, Average price: 0.8681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 931.27, Sell volume: 58.65, Average price: 0.6664, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 43322.91, Sell volume: 20165.12, Average price: 0.8681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.1000
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.8950
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9000
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9000
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.1000
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.1000
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.1000
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 43322.91, Sell volume: 20165.12, Average price: 0.8681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9000
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9000
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0550
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 43322.91, Sell volume: 20165.12, Average price: 0.8681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0550
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9500
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0350
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0405
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9580
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9630
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0370
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0370
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9630
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0370
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0265
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9910
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0080
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0080
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0080
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 336.97, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9366, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 458.97, Sell volume: 61.33, Average price: 0.9986, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 4406.33, Sell volume: 9.18, Average price: 0.9984, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 10906.41, Sell volume: 4750.92, Average price: 0.9680, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1894.01, Sell volume: 1915.67, Average price: 0.9076, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 4743.22, Sell volume: 51.86, Average price: 0.6422, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 11000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545063
Question: Will Charles De Clarisse win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 63488.026508
Price History:
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9965
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 8620.72, Sell volume: 13017.51, Average price: 0.7700, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes