Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564434
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 49 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4301.498248
Price History:
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0190
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0190
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0190
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0190
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0190
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0190
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0190
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9810
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9810
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9810
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0190
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9810
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0190
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0190
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9810
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9810
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9810
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9810
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9810
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9810
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.0190
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0190
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0190
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.0115
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9885
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.0115
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0115
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.9885
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0115
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0115
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0115
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0115
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9885
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0115
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0115
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9885
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.0120
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0120
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9880
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9880
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9880
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0120
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0120
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9880
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 986.48, Sell volume: 148.51, Average price: 0.7668, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564434
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 49 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4301.498248
Price History:
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.5100
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.4850
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.4200
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.2750
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0400
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0400
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0400
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0450
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0450
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0450
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0450
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0450
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0450
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0450
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0450
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0450
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0400
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0400
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0400
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0400
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0400
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0400
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0400
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0400
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0400
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0355
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0400
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 157.06, Sell volume: 61.03, Average price: 0.7230, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564434
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 49 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4301.498248
Price History:
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9595
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9645
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9655
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.9650
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.9650
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.9655
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.9650
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.9655
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.9655
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.9655
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.9655
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9655
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.9655
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.9655
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.9655
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.9655
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.9675
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.9690
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.9685
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.9675
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.9680
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.9685
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.9720
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.9705
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.9700
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9705
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.9700
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.9710
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.9695
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 67.40, Sell volume: 46.26, Average price: 0.6597, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564434
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 49 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4301.498248
Price History:
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0300
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0290
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0270
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0295
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0310
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0310
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.0295
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0305
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0305
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.0305
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0305
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0305
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0305
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0300
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0275
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0275
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.0275
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0275
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0270
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.0225
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0235
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0230
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.0245
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0225
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0240
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.0240
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0235
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0235
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0230
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1137.43, Sell volume: 1034.28, Average price: 0.5956, Price range: 0.0337 - 0.9859
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564434
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 49 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4301.498248
Price History:
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.9775
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.9775
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.9775
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9775
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.9775
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.9775
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.9780
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.9780
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.9775
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9780
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.9765
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9755
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.9735
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.9705
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.9765
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.9760
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.9765
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.9765
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.9755
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.9760
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.9760
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.9765
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.9785
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9780
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.9785
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9795
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9775
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.9770
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.9785
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 45.01, Average price: 0.0239, Price range: 0.0239 - 0.0239
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564434
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 49 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4301.498248
Price History:
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0170
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.0200
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0220
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0220
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9780
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9780
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0215
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.0210
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9795
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.0205
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9795
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9795
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0210
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9795
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0200
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.0205
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.9795
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0210
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0205
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.9790
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0205
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0210
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.9790
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.9790
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.9790
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.0210
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0205
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9790
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9810
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 136.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564434
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 49 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4301.498248
Price History:
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0190
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9810
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.0190
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0190
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.9810
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9810
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0195
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9805
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9805
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9805
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9805
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9805
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9805
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9805
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9805
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9805
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0195
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.0200
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9800
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9800
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0200
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.0200
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9805
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0195
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0195
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0185
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.0160, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.0160
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564434
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 49 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4301.498248
Price History:
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0180
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9815
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9805
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0190
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0190
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0190
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.0190
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.0190
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9810
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.0190
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9810
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0190
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.9810
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.9810
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.0190
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9810
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.0190
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0195
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9805
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.0190
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9805
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0195
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0195
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0195
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.9810
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0200
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0195
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0195
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0195
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 2568.38, Sell volume: 1733.12, Average price: 0.6602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564434
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 49 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4301.498248
Price History:
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9805
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9805
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9800
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.0200
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9800
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.9805
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.9795
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9795
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0200
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.9800
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0205
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9800
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.9800
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.9800
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.0200
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0195
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.0195
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9800
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0195
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9805
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.9805
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9805
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.9805
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.0200
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.9805
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9805
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9805
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.9810
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 89.85, Average price: 0.0166, Price range: 0.0166 - 0.0166
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564434
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 49 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4301.498248
Price History:
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9805
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.0195
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0195
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.9805
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9805
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9810
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0190
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.9810
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0195
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0195
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0190
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0190
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9810
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9810
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9810
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0195
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9805
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0195
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0195
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9805
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0195
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0195
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9805
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9805
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0195
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0195
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9805
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0195
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0195
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 43.00, Average price: 0.0160, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.0160
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564434
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 49 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4301.498248
Price History:
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0195
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9805
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0195
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9805
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0195
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9805
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0195
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9805
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9805
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9805
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0195
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0195
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9805
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0195
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0195
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0195
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9805
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0195
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0195
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9805
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9805
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9810
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0190
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9810
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0190
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 2568.38, Sell volume: 1733.12, Average price: 0.6602, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564434
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 49 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4301.498248
Price History:
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9810
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9810
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9810
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9810
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9810
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9810
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9810
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9810
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9810
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9810
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9810
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9810
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0190
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0190
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0190
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9810
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0190
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0190
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0190
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0190
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0190
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0190
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0190
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0190
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0190
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0190
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9810
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0190
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0190
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 60.15, Average price: 0.0160, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.0160
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564434
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 49 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4301.498248
Price History:
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9810
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9810
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9810
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9810
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9810
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0190
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0190
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0190
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9810
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0190
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0190
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9810
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0190
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0190
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9810
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9810
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0190
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0190
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0190
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0190
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9810
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9810
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9810
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0190
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9810
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9810
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9810
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0190
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9810
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 61.03, Average price: 0.9780, Price range: 0.9780 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564434
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 49 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4301.498248
Price History:
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0190
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0190
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0190
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0190
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9810
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0190
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0190
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9810
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9810
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9810
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.0190
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0190
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9885
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0115
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0115
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0115
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9885
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0120
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0120
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9880
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9900
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 986.48, Sell volume: 148.51, Average price: 0.7668, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.5100
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.5200
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.4550
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.4550
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.4000
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.4000
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.2200
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.2250
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.1250
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.1050
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.1050
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.1050
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.1050
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.1100
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.1100
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.1500
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.1350
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.1250
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.1250
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.1200
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.1200
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.1150
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.1200
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.1200
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.1200
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.1200
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.1200
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.1200
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.1200
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.1200
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.1200
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.1200
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.1450
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.1400
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.1500
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.2850
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.2800
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.2200
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 75.14, Sell volume: 83.15, Average price: 0.5578, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.7850
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.7850
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.7850
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.7900
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.7400
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.8250
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.8050
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.8100
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.7900
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.7800
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.8050
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.8200
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.8150
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.8350
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.8200
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.8250
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.8200
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.7950
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.8000
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.7100
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.7400
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.7200
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.7950
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.7950
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.8300
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.8400
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.8050
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.8050
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.8100
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.8100
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.8200
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.8200
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.8200
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 360.46, Sell volume: 46.26, Average price: 0.7736, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.1750
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 668.46, Sell volume: 252.96, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.8250
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.8250
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.8250
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.8250
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.8250
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.8200
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.8200
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.8200
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.8200
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.8200
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.8250
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 55.00, Average price: 0.1200, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.1200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.1750
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.1750
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.1750
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.1750
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.1700
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.1700
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.1600
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.1500
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.1500
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.8500
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.8500
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.8500
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.8500
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.8500
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.8250
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.1700
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.8400
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.8400
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.8400
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.8400
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.1600
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.1600
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.8400
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.8400
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.8400
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.1600
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.8350
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.1600
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.8400
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8400
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 12.15, Average price: 0.6057, Price range: 0.0970 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.8750
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.8750
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.1250
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.8400
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.8400
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.1600
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.1650
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.8400
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.8400
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.8400
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.8400
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.8400
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.8400
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.1600
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.8400
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.1600
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.1600
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.1600
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.1600
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.8400
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.1600
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.1600
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.1600
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.8400
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.1600
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.8400
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.8400
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.1650
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.1650
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.1650
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.1650
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.8350
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.1650
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.8350
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.1650
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.1700
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.8300
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1600
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.1600
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.1650
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.1600
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.1600
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.4433, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.1650
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.8350
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.1650
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.8450
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.1550
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.1600
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.1600
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.8400
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.8400
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.8350
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.8400
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.1600
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.8400
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.1600
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.8400
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.8400
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.8350
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.8450
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.8400
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.1650
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.1650
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.1600
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.1600
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.1550
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.1600
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.1650
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.8350
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.8300
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.1650
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.8350
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.8300
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.8300
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.8350
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.1650
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.8350
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.8350
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 668.46, Sell volume: 252.96, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.8900
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.9000
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.8900
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8350
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.8300
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.8350
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.8350
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.8300
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.8350
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.1700
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.8350
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.8350
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.8300
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.1650
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.1700
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.8300
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.1700
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.1650
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.1700
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.8300
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.8350
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.8350
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.1700
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.1700
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.1700
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.1600
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.1600
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.1650
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.1650
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.1700
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 668.46, Sell volume: 252.96, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.8350
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.8350
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.8300
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.8300
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.8350
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.1700
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.8400
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1600
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1650
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.8300
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.1700
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.8300
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.1700
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.1650
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.1650
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.1700
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.8300
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.1700
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.8300
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 668.46, Sell volume: 252.96, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.1700
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.8300
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.1700
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.1700
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.1700
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.1700
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.1650
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.1650
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.8350
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.8300
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.8350
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.8300
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.8350
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.8300
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 668.46, Sell volume: 252.96, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 668.46, Sell volume: 252.96, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.8350
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.8300
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.8350
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.1700
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.8300
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.8350
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.8350
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.1700
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.8300
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.1650
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.8300
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.8300
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.1700
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.1700
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.1700
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.1700
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.1650
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.1650
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.1650
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.1700
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.8350
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.1650
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.8350
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.8350
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.1650
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.1700
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 668.46, Sell volume: 252.96, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.8300
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.1700
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.1700
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.1700
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.1700
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.1700
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.1700
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.1700
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.8300
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.8300
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.8300
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.1700
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.1700
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.8300
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.8300
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.1700
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.1700
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.8300
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 202.86, Sell volume: 51.40, Average price: 0.5922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.5100
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.4550
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.4000
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.2200
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.1250
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.1050
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.1050
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.1500
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.1250
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.1200
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.1150
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.1200
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.1200
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.1200
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.1200
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.1200
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.1450
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.1500
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.2850
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.2200
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.2300
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.2400
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.2350
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.2350
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 75.14, Sell volume: 83.15, Average price: 0.5578, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.7850
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.7850
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.7400
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.8050
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.7900
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.8200
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.8350
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.8200
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.8000
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.7400
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.7950
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.8300
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.8050
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.8100
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.8200
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.8200
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.8200
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.8200
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.8200
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.8200
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 360.46, Sell volume: 46.26, Average price: 0.7736, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.1800
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.1750
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.1750
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.1750
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.1750
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.1750
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.1750
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 668.46, Sell volume: 252.96, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.8250
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.8250
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.8200
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.8200
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.8250
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.8250
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.8250
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.8250
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.8300
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 55.00, Average price: 0.1200, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.1200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.1750
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.1750
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.1700
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.1500
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.8500
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.8500
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.8250
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.8400
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.8400
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.1600
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8400
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.1600
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.8400
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 12.15, Average price: 0.6057, Price range: 0.0970 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.8750
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.1250
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.8400
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.1650
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.8400
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.8400
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.8400
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.8400
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.1600
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.1600
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.1600
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.1600
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.1600
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.8400
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.1650
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.1650
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.8350
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.8350
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.1700
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1600
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.1600
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.1600
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.1650
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.8350
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.1700
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.1700
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.4433, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.1650
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.8350
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.8450
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.1600
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.8400
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.8400
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.8400
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.8400
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.8400
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.8400
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.8450
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.1650
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.1600
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.1600
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.8350
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.8300
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.8300
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.8350
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.8350
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.8350
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.1700
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.1100
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 668.46, Sell volume: 252.96, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.8900
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.8300
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.8350
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.8350
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.8350
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.8300
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.8300
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.1650
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.1700
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.1700
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.1600
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.1700
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.1650
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.1550
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.1500
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.8350
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 668.46, Sell volume: 252.96, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.8350
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.8300
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.8350
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.8350
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.1650
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1600
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1650
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.8350
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.1700
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.8300
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.1700
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.1650
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.8300
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.1700
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.8300
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.1700
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.1700
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.1700
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 668.46, Sell volume: 252.96, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.1700
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.1700
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.1700
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.1650
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.1650
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.8300
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.8350
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.8350
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 668.46, Sell volume: 252.96, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.1650
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.1650
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 668.46, Sell volume: 252.96, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.8350
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.8300
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.8350
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.8300
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.8350
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.1700
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.1650
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.1700
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.1700
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.1650
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.1650
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.8350
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.8350
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.8350
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.1700
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.1700
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 668.46, Sell volume: 252.96, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564435
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 50 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 921.420506
Price History:
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.8300
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.1700
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.1700
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.1700
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.1700
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.8300
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.8300
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.1700
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.8300
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.1700
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.8300
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0450
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.8945
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9350
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 202.86, Sell volume: 51.40, Average price: 0.5922, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.2850
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.2850
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.2850
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.7150
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.2850
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.7100
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.2900
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.7150
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.2850
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.7150
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.2850
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.7500
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.2500
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.7600
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.2400
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.7550
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.2450
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.7550
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.2450
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.7550
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.2450
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.7550
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.2450
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.7550
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.2450
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 190.24, Sell volume: 20.39, Average price: 0.5748, Price range: 0.3707 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.5900
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.4100
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.5900
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.4100
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.5850
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.5850
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.4150
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.5850
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.5750
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.4250
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.4250
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.5750
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.4250
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.5750
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.5750
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.4250
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.5750
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.4250
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.5850
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.5850
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.4150
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.4150
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.5850
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.5850
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.4150
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.4150
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.5850
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.4150
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.5850
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.4150
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.5850
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.4150
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.5850
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.5800
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.4200
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.5800
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.4200
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.5800
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.4200
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.5800
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.4200
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.5800
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.4200
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.5750
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 231.93, Sell volume: 111.00, Average price: 0.5063, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.4200
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.4200
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.4200
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.4200
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.4200
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.4200
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4200
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.4200
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.4200
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.4200
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.4250
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.5750
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.4250
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.5750
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.4250
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 845.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5397, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.7731

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.4500
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.5500
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.5500
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.4500
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.4500
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.5500
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.5500
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.4500
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.5500
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.3300
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.4000
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.6000
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.6000
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.4000
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.4000
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.6000
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.5050
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.5050
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.4950
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.5050
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.5100
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.4900
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.4900
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.5100
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.4900
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.5100
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.4850
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.5400
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.4600
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.4600
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.5400
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.4600
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.5400
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.5100
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.4900
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.5100
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.4900
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.4900
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 1.62, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.5300
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.4700
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.5300
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.4700
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.4650
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.5350
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.5350
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.4650
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.5350
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.4650
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.5350
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.4650
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.5350
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.4650
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.5350
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.4650
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.5350
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.5350
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.4650
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.5350
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.4650
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.5350
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.4650
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.5350
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.4650
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.5350
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.4650
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.5350
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.4650
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.5400
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.4600
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.5450
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 14222.93, Sell volume: 14014.76, Average price: 0.4989, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.5000
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.5000
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.5000
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.5000
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.5200
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.4800
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.5200
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.4800
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.5200
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.6850
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.6350
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.3650
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.3950
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.6050
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.3850
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.6150
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.4250
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.4450
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.5550
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.4700
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.5300
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.5350
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.4650
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.4600
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.5400
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.4650
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.5350
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.5300
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.4700
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.5250
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.4750
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.4800
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.5300
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.4700
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.5200
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.4800
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.5400
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.4600
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.5250
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 398.62, Sell volume: 29.90, Average price: 0.5341, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.5400
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.4600
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.5400
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.4600
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.5400
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.4600
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.5400
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.4600
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.4650
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.5350
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.4600
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.5400
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.4600
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.5400
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.4600
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.5400
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.4650
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.5350
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.4600
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.5400
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.4600
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.5400
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.5450
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5450
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5450
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.5450
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.5500
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.4500
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.5500
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 14.31, Sell volume: 22.32, Average price: 0.4775, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.5450
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.4550
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.5450
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.4550
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.5450
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.4550
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.5450
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.5450
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.4550
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.4550
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.5450
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.4550
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.5450
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.4350
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.5650
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.4350
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.5650
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.5900
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.5900
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.4100
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.4100
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.5900
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.5900
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.4100
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.4100
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.5900
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.4050
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.5950
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.4050
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.5950
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.4050
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.4050
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.5950
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.6150
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.3300
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.6700
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.3400
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.6600
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.3550
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1152.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5812, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.3400
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.6450
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.3600
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.3600
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.3600
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.3600
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.3800
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.6200
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.3750
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.6250
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.3850
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.6150
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.3850
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.6150
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.3850
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.6150
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.6150
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.3850
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.6150
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.3850
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.6150
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.3850
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.6150
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.3650
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.6350
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.6750
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1028.09, Sell volume: 51.99, Average price: 0.4413, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.3150
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.3150
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.6850
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.6850
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.6850
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.6850
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.2300
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.7700
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.2550
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7450
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.7500
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.7550
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.2950
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.2750
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.2700
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.7300
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.2750
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2700
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 7633.21, Sell volume: 1476.96, Average price: 0.4673, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.7200
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.2800
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.2750
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.7200
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.2800
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.2850
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.2750
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.2750
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.2750
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.7350
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.2650
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.7350
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.2650
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.2650
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.2650
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.2650
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.2650
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.2650
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.2650
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2650
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.7200
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2800
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.2850
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.7150
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.7200
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 275.82, Sell volume: 278.73, Average price: 0.5819, Price range: 0.2925 - 0.7440

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.7300
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.2700
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.7300
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2700
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.6950
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.6850
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.6850
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.2850
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.7250
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2750
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2750
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.2750
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7250
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2750
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7250
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 583.44, Sell volume: 4.73, Average price: 0.4160, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7481

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.2400
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.7600
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.2400
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.7600
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.2500
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.7500
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7700
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.2300
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2200
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7800
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7800
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.2200
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.7800
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.2200
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2250
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.7750
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.2200
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7800
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.2200
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.7800
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2200
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 4462.37, Sell volume: 12626.47, Average price: 0.6381, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.7100
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.2850
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.2850
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.7500
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.2400
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.7550
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.2450
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.7550
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.7250
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.2750
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.2750
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.2750
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.2750
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.7250
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 190.24, Sell volume: 20.39, Average price: 0.5748, Price range: 0.3707 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.5900
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.4100
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.5850
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.5750
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.5750
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.5750
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.4250
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.5850
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.5850
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.4150
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.5850
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.4150
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.4200
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.5800
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.4200
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.5750
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.4250
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.5750
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.4250
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.5750
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.4250
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.4250
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.4250
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.5750
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.4250
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.4200
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 231.93, Sell volume: 111.00, Average price: 0.5063, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.4200
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.5750
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.4250
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.5750
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.4250
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.5750
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.4250
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.5750
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.4250
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.5750
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.5750
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.5750
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.4250
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.5750
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.4250
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 845.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5397, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.7731
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.4500
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.4500
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.5500
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.5500
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.4000
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.4000
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.4000
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.5050
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.4900
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.5100
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.4850
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.4600
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.4600
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.4900
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.4900
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.4900
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.5100
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.4700
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.5300
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.4700
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.5300
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.4700
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.5300
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.4750
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.5300
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.4700
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.5300
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 1.62, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.5300
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.4700
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.5350
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.4650
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.5350
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.4650
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.5350
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.4650
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.5350
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.4650
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.5450
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.4550
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.5050
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.5050
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.4950
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.5000
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.5100
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.5100
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.5100
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.4900
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.5100
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 14222.93, Sell volume: 14014.76, Average price: 0.4989, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.5000
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.5200
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.5200
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.6850
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.3950
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.6150
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.4450
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.5300
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.5350
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.5400
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.5300
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.4750
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.5300
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.4800
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.5250
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.5350
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.4700
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.4600
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.5400
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.5400
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.4600
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.5250
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.4600
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.5400
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.4600
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.5400
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.5400
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 398.62, Sell volume: 29.90, Average price: 0.5341, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.5400
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.4600
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.5400
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.5350
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.4600
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.5400
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.4600
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.5400
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5450
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.5500
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.4450
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.4450
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.5450
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.4600
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.4600
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.5400
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 14.31, Sell volume: 22.32, Average price: 0.4775, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.4550
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.5450
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.4550
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.4550
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.4550
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.5650
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.4100
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.5900
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.5900
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.4050
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.5950
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.4050
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.3850
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.6600
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.5150
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.5150
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.4900
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.5100
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.5250
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.4950
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.4950
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.4600
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.6400
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1152.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5812, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.3600
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.3800
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.6250
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.3850
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.6150
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.3850
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.6150
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.3650
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.6850
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1028.09, Sell volume: 51.99, Average price: 0.4413, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.3150
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.6850
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.3150
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.2550
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.7500
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.7050
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.2750
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2700
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.7300
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.2750
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.7200
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 7633.21, Sell volume: 1476.96, Average price: 0.4673, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.7200
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.2650
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.2650
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.2650
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.2650
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2800
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.7200
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.7300
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.2700
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.7300
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.2700
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.2750
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.2800
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.2850
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 275.82, Sell volume: 278.73, Average price: 0.5819, Price range: 0.2925 - 0.7440
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.7300
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2750
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2750
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.2150
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.2150
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7650
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.7700
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7750
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 583.44, Sell volume: 4.73, Average price: 0.4160, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7481
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 588004
Question: Hypurr NFT airdrop by November 30?
Volume: 64850.509365
Price History:
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.2400
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.7600
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2200
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.2200
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2250
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7800
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6300
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0145
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9855
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 4462.37, Sell volume: 12626.47, Average price: 0.6381, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.5100
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.5200
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.4600
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.4600
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.3750
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.3800
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.2700
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2700
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.2700
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.2750
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.2750
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.2800
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.2050
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.2150
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.2350
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.2300
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.2300
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.2300
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.2300
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.2300
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.2300
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.2300
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.2300
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.2300
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.2300
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.2300
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.2300
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.2300
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.2300
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.2300
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.2450
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.2450
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.2450
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.2450
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.2450
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.2450
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 122.26, Sell volume: 10.25, Average price: 0.7580, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.7550
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.7450
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.6900
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.6700
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.6650
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.6850
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.7250
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.6800
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.7200
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.6750
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.6800
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.6750
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.6300
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.6550
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.6350
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.6550
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.6550
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.6750
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.6550
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.6550
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.6550
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.6550
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.6550
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.6550
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.6150
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.6600
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.6550
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.6550
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.6350
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.6300
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.6350
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.6300
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.6900
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.6850
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.7700
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.7750
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.7950
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.8000
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.8050
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.8000
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.8050
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.8050
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.8000
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.8050
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.8000
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.8000
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.8050
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.8000
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.8050
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 191.00, Sell volume: 56.51, Average price: 0.5873, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.2000
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.2000
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.2000
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2000
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.1900
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.1750
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.2150
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2050
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.2050
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.1950
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.1750
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.1500
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0800
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.1450
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.1450
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.1550
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.1400
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.1900
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.1250
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.1250
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.1500
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.2050
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.1550
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.1500
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.1550
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.1650
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.1550
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.1900
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.1850
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.1850
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.1850
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.2000
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.1850
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.1650
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.1650
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.1650
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.1650
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.2050
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.2050
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 118.30, Sell volume: 66.46, Average price: 0.4117, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.6600
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.6600
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.6500
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.6150
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.5850
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.6600
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.6600
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.6600
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.6600
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.6650
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.6700
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.6700
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.6700
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.7300
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.6850
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.6900
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.6850
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.6900
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.6900
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.6900
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.6900
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.6900
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.6900
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.6900
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.6850
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7400
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.7000
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.7000
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.6750
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.6750
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.6750
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.6750
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.6750
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.6750
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.6750
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.6750
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.6750
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.6750
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.6750
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.6800
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.6800
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.6800
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.6750
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.6650
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.6650
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.6650
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.6650
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.6700
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.6650
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 61.00, Sell volume: 68.06, Average price: 0.4669, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.3450
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.3450
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.3450
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.3450
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.2650
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.2450
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.2400
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.2400
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.2450
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.2450
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2350
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.7650
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7650
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.7650
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.2350
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.2350
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.2600
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.7000
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.3550
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.6450
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.3500
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.3350
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.3500
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.3500
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.6550
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.6550
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.6400
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.3300
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.3500
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.6550
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.3550
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.3600
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.3450
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.3600
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.6500
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.3600
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.3600
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.6600
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.6400
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.6700
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.6900
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.6600
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.6750
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.6950
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.3050
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.3000
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 120.00, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.5880, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.7150
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.7150
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.7150
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.7000
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.7000
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.6800
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.6550
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.6550
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.6550
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.6400
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.6400
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.3600
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.3450
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.6400
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.6400
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.6400
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.6400
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.6400
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.3600
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.3600
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.3600
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.6400
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.3600
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.6050
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.6450
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.3600
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.6400
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.6400
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.6400
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.6400
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.6400
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.3600
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.3200
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.6900
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.6850
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.3150
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.3150
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.6850
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.3150
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.6850
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.6850
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 285.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5997, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.6600

Output: No