Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1129.64, Sell volume: 740.71, Average price: 0.9589, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 941.12, Sell volume: 4818.94, Average price: 0.8846, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 5000.00, Sell volume: 3457.83, Average price: 0.1436, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 294, Buy volume: 26496.48, Sell volume: 20754.62, Average price: 0.6530, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547462
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?
Volume: 47251.100737
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.4000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1850
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0220
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0255
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0165
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0135
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0190
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0180
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0165
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0155
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0140
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0145
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0175
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0185
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0185
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0165
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2027.49, Sell volume: 1299.21, Average price: 0.2808, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0165
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0165
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0165
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0175
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0175
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0190
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0190
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0190
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0190
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0190
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0190
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0190
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0190
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0190
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0190
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0240
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0260
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0265
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0265
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0270
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0275
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0160
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0225
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0190
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0205
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0300
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0235
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0230
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0245
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0265
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0270
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0275
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1536.06, Sell volume: 304.59, Average price: 0.4310, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0275
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0275
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0285
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0290
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0315
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0315
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0315
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0325
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0330
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0330
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0330
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0305
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0335
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0340
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0300
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0220
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0240
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0240
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0180
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0155
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0070
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0070
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 6727.28, Sell volume: 4047.87, Average price: 0.6223, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0100
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0070
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0095
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0100
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0100
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0070
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0070
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0070
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0070
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0095
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0095
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 5056.04, Sell volume: 2322.97, Average price: 0.5007, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0090
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 2994.41, Sell volume: 2384.05, Average price: 0.8039, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0070
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0065
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0065
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0065
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0075
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0055
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0050
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0065
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0065
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0065
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0075
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0065
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0080
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1271.07, Sell volume: 1081.33, Average price: 0.7163, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0075
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0065
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0090
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0085
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0070
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0070
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0070
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0070
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0070
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0070
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0090
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0090
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0065
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0075
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0070
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0080
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0080
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1592.11, Sell volume: 756.23, Average price: 0.8593, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0045
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0055
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0065
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.1090
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0480
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0465
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 6049.81, Sell volume: 3168.14, Average price: 0.2463, Price range: 0.0031 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0455
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0370
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0450
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0440
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0275
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0360
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0355
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0355
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0355
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0350
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0240
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0190
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0130
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0115
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0125
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0140
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0120
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0095
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0090
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0075
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0085
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 455.32, Sell volume: 2875.50, Average price: 0.2876, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1967.92, Sell volume: 5630.99, Average price: 0.8987, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 12750.67, Sell volume: 2887.62, Average price: 0.3028, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 6621.73, Sell volume: 1897.61, Average price: 0.3007, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.6000
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0220
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9930
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9745
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0135
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9810
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0165
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9845
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9855
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9855
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9855
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9865
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9840
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9835
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9825
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0185
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9815
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9835
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2027.49, Sell volume: 1299.21, Average price: 0.2808, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0165
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9835
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0175
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9825
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0190
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9810
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0190
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9810
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0190
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9810
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0240
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9740
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0265
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9730
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9725
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9725
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9840
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0225
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9805
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9795
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9820
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9700
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0235
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1536.06, Sell volume: 304.59, Average price: 0.4310, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0275
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9725
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0290
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9685
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0315
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9675
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0330
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9670
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0335
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9660
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9940
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0220
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9780
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9760
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0155
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0070
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9960
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9955
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9955
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9955
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9960
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 6727.28, Sell volume: 4047.87, Average price: 0.6223, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9940
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9940
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9935
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9935
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9900
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0095
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9900
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0100
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9935
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9935
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9940
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9940
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 5056.04, Sell volume: 2322.97, Average price: 0.5007, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0090
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9955
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9955
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9955
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9955
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9955
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9955
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9955
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9955
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9955
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.9955
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.9955
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9955
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0045
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9955
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.9955
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 2994.41, Sell volume: 2384.05, Average price: 0.8039, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9955
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9955
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9955
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9925
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0070
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9940
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9935
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9940
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0075
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9940
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9940
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9940
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9940
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9940
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0055
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9940
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9940
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1271.07, Sell volume: 1081.33, Average price: 0.7163, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9930
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9925
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0065
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9910
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9915
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0070
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9930
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0070
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9930
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9910
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0065
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9925
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9920
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9920
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9920
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9920
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9920
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9955
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1592.11, Sell volume: 756.23, Average price: 0.8593, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9960
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9955
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9955
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9960
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9960
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.9960
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0055
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9915
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9915
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9915
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9915
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9915
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9915
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9920
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 6049.81, Sell volume: 3168.14, Average price: 0.2463, Price range: 0.0031 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0455
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9630
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0440
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9725
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0355
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9645
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0350
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9760
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0130
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9885
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0125
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9860
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9905
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9925
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9925
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9925
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0075
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9915
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9940
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9940
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9935
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 455.32, Sell volume: 2875.50, Average price: 0.2876, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9960
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9970
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9970
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9975
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9980
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1967.92, Sell volume: 5630.99, Average price: 0.8987, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 12750.67, Sell volume: 2887.62, Average price: 0.3028, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9975
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 6621.73, Sell volume: 1897.61, Average price: 0.3007, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547465
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?
Volume: 79024.034532
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.4950
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.5050
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0900
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.9100
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0860
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9140
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0660
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9340
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0740
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9260
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0710
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9290
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0155
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9845
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0155
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.9845
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9845
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0150
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9850
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0145
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.9855
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0145
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9855
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0150
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.9850
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0135
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.9865
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1413.01, Sell volume: 813.73, Average price: 0.4443, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9865
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0135
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9865
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0135
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.9865
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0135
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9865
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0135
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9865
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9940
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9955
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.9925
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0010
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.9990
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0010
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.9990
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0010
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9990
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0010
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.9990
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0010
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9990
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0010
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 938.03, Sell volume: 13493.55, Average price: 0.6489, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0010
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.9990
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9990
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0010
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9990
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0010
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9990
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177, Buy volume: 22177.21, Sell volume: 31534.03, Average price: 0.5540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177, Buy volume: 22177.21, Sell volume: 31534.03, Average price: 0.5540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177, Buy volume: 22177.21, Sell volume: 31534.03, Average price: 0.5540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0115
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9372.72, Sell volume: 37.01, Average price: 0.0050, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0125

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.9925
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9920
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0055
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9945
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9970
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.9965
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.9965
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9980
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9980
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9980
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2602.26, Sell volume: 4358.05, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 6851.19, Sell volume: 12801.69, Average price: 0.6777, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177, Buy volume: 22177.21, Sell volume: 31534.03, Average price: 0.5540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177, Buy volume: 22177.21, Sell volume: 31534.03, Average price: 0.5540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177, Buy volume: 22177.21, Sell volume: 31534.03, Average price: 0.5540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177, Buy volume: 22177.21, Sell volume: 31534.03, Average price: 0.5540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.4950
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.5050
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0900
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.9100
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0860
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9140
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0660
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.9340
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0740
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9260
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0710
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9290
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0155
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9845
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0155
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.9845
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9845
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0150
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9850
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0145
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.9855
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0145
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9855
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0150
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.9850
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0135
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1413.01, Sell volume: 813.73, Average price: 0.4443, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9865
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0135
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.9865
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0135
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.9865
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0135
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9865
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0135
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9865
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9940
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9955
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.9925
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0010
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.9990
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0010
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.9990
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0010
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9990
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0010
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.9990
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0010
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9990
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 938.03, Sell volume: 13493.55, Average price: 0.6489, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0010
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.9990
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9990
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0010
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9990
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0010
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9990
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177, Buy volume: 22177.21, Sell volume: 31534.03, Average price: 0.5540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177, Buy volume: 22177.21, Sell volume: 31534.03, Average price: 0.5540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177, Buy volume: 22177.21, Sell volume: 31534.03, Average price: 0.5540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 9372.72, Sell volume: 37.01, Average price: 0.0050, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0125
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.9925
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.9920
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0055
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9945
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9970
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.9965
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.9965
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9980
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9980
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9980
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2602.26, Sell volume: 4358.05, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 6851.19, Sell volume: 12801.69, Average price: 0.6777, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177, Buy volume: 22177.21, Sell volume: 31534.03, Average price: 0.5540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177, Buy volume: 22177.21, Sell volume: 31534.03, Average price: 0.5540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177, Buy volume: 22177.21, Sell volume: 31534.03, Average price: 0.5540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547476
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?
Volume: 53711.239241
Price History:
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177, Buy volume: 22177.21, Sell volume: 31534.03, Average price: 0.5540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560552
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1918602.087334
Price History:
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.4050
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.2450
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.1800
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.2450
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.2450
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.2450
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.2450
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.2450
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.2450
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.2450
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.2450
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.2450
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.2350
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.2350
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.2050
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.2000
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.1950
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.2000
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.1950
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.1850
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.1850
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.1850
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.1850
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.1850
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.1850
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.1850
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.1450
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.1600
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.1350
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.1400
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.1500
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.1500
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 140233886.09, Sell volume: 103173793.87, Average price: 0.5096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560552
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1918602.087334
Price History:
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.1550
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.1750
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.1750
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.1750
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.1900
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.2050
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.2050
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.2050
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.2050
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.2050
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.2000
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.2400
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.2350
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.2300
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.2250
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.2250
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.2250
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.2250
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.2250
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.2250
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.2250
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.2250
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.2250
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.2150
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.2150
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.2150
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.2400
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.2400
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.2400
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.2400
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.2400
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.2300
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.2300
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.2300
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.2350
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.2400
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.2350
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.2400
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.2200
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.2200
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.2200
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.2200
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2200
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.2150
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.2150
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.2150
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.2150
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 140233886.09, Sell volume: 103173793.87, Average price: 0.5096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560552
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1918602.087334
Price History:
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2050
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.2250
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.2350
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.2350
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.2350
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.3950
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.3600
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.3600
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.3600
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.3600
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.3650
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.3800
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.4050
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.4200
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.4200
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.4200
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.4250
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.4450
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.4950
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.5150
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.4750
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.5250
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.4750
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.4500
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.4300
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.4700
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.4950
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.4700
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.4750
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.5100
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.4700
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.4450
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.4550
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.4650
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.4650
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.4500
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.4250
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.4150
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.4200
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.4200
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.4200
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.4250
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.4200
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.4200
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.4250
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.4150
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.4150
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 140233886.09, Sell volume: 103173793.87, Average price: 0.5096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560552
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1918602.087334
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.4750
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.4800
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.4850
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.4850
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.4850
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.4850
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.4500
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.4950
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.5150
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.5350
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.5350
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.5350
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.6550
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.6200
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.6500
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.6350
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.6300
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.6050
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.5800
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.5850
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.5900
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.5550
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.5300
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.5250
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.6300
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.3600
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.3700
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.6350
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.3700
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.5950
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.4350
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.4450
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.4850
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.5200
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.4700
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.4750
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.5050
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.4250
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.4150
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.4150
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.6300
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.4000
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.4300
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.4850
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.4100
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.5900
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.4150
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 140233886.09, Sell volume: 103173793.87, Average price: 0.5096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560552
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1918602.087334
Price History:
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.4650
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.5450
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.4300
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.4200
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.4100
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.4150
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.4100
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.4100
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.4150
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.5850
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.5850
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.4150
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.4250
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.5600
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.4400
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.5600
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.5600
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.5700
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.4300
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.5650
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.4250
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.5550
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.5650
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.5600
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.4400
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.4400
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.5550
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.4650
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.5200
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.4750
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.4450
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.5550
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.4550
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.4750
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.5100
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.4900
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.5200
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.4900
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.4900
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.5100
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.5200
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.4850
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.4300
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.4400
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.5450
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.4500
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.4550
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.5400
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.4550
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 140233886.09, Sell volume: 103173793.87, Average price: 0.5096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560552
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1918602.087334
Price History:
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.4850
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.4950
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.5000
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.4850
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.4850
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.5050
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.5050
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.5000
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.4900
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.5150
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.4750
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.4800
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.4150
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.4300
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.4600
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.4600
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.5050
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.4800
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.4650
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.5200
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.4200
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.4450
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.4500
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.5450
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.5550
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.4500
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.5600
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.5650
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.5650
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.5650
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.5350
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.4900
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.4850
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.4200
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.4400
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.4450
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.4700
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.4700
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.4700
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.4700
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.5250
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.5250
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.5250
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.5250
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.5250
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4750
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.4700
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 140233886.09, Sell volume: 103173793.87, Average price: 0.5096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560552
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1918602.087334
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.4900
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.5100
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.5100
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.4900
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.5100
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.4850
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.4850
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.4950
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.5050
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.4500
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.4350
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.4200
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.4200
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.4300
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.6300
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.6300
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.3650
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.6350
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.5750
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.5900
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.6750
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.3400
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.3150
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.7050
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.2900
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.2750
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.2750
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.2950
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.3000
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.3350
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.3250
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.4850
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.5250
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.5050
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.4650
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.6050
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.4200
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.3700
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.6250
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.6150
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.4100
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.5600
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 140233886.09, Sell volume: 103173793.87, Average price: 0.5096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560552
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1918602.087334
Price History:
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.4600
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.5700
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.5050
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.6050
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.5800
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.5100
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.5150
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.4350
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.5650
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.4650
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.4750
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.4750
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.4850
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4900
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.5050
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.5900
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.5900
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.4300
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.5700
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.5550
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.5500
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.5550
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.5550
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.4350
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.4450
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.4550
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.4600
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.4850
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.5150
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.5200
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.5200
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.5200
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.4800
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.5250
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.4650
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.5450
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.4600
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.5250
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.4750
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.5250
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.5100
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.5350
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 140233886.09, Sell volume: 103173793.87, Average price: 0.5096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560552
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1918602.087334
Price History:
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.5850
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.4250
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.4250
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.4750
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.4900
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.5350
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.5150
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.5900
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.4200
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.5600
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.6250
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.4250
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.4850
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.4600
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.4250
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.4150
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.5750
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.4350
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.5650
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.6050
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.3950
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.5650
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.4200
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.4350
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.5500
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.4650
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.5600
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.4350
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.5750
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.4400
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.5550
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.4650
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.4650
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.4750
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.5300
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.5350
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.4600
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.5550
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.4450
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.4400
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.4450
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.4500
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.4550
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.4550
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.4550
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 140233886.09, Sell volume: 103173793.87, Average price: 0.5096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560552
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1918602.087334
Price History:
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.4600
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.4350
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.4350
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.4250
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.5800
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.4250
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.5900
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.5750
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4600
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4650
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5450
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.6100
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5700
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3800
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6000
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4000
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.5450
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4600
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5550
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.5350
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5350
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.4550
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5300
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.4850
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.4900
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.4650
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.4700
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.5100
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.4900
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 140233886.09, Sell volume: 103173793.87, Average price: 0.5096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560552
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1918602.087334
Price History:
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.5350
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.5850
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.5850
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.6500
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.5500
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.5750
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.4050
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.4400
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.4050
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.3900
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.3950
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.5850
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.5850
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.5750
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.5900
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.5800
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.4250
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.4600
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4600
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.4650
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.3900
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5350
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.4850
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.4500
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.4400
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.4150
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.5600
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.4550
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.6800
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.6350
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.6300
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 140233886.09, Sell volume: 103173793.87, Average price: 0.5096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560552
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1918602.087334
Price History:
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.4100
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.5700
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.5450
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.4350
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.3650
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.3850
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.6100
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.6050
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.5550
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.4500
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.5950
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.4100
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.5850
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.5950
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.6350
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.6000
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.3600
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.6450
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.3800
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.4100
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.6000
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.4350
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.5650
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.4800
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.5250
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.5950
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.6850
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.4350
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.4000
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.6550
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.3250
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.6400
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.3800
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.4350
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.4950
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.5150
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.4500
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.5250
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.5150
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 140233886.09, Sell volume: 103173793.87, Average price: 0.5096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560552
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1918602.087334
Price History:
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.4850
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.5400
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.4650
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.5100
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.4850
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.4550
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.4750
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.5450
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.6850
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6550
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.6550
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.6500
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.6500
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.7200
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.7650
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.7350
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.7200
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.6500
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.5050
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.5900
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.5950
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.6350
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.7200
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.6850
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.7200
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.6350
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.6350
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.6350
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.6350
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.6800
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.6650
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.6650
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.7300
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.8100
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.8200
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999734, Buy volume: 140075856.59, Sell volume: 103093823.99, Average price: 0.5096, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560552
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Volume: 1918602.087334
Price History:
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.4050
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.2100
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.2400
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.2450
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.2450
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.2450
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.2450
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.2350
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.2350
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.2000
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.1950
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.1850
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.1850
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.1850
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.1850
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.1600
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.1350
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.1500
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.1500
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 140233886.09, Sell volume: 103173793.87, Average price: 0.5096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560552
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Volume: 1918602.087334
Price History:
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.1750
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.1750
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.2050
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.2050
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.2050
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.2050
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.2400
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.2300
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.2250
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.2250
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.2250
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.2250
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.2200
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.2150
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.2400
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.2400
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.2400
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.2300
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.2300
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.2400
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.2400
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.2200
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.2200
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.2200
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.2150
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2150
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2150
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 140233886.09, Sell volume: 103173793.87, Average price: 0.5096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560552
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
Volume: 1918602.087334
Price History:
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2050
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2350
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2350
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.3600
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.3600
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.3600
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.3850
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.4150
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.4200
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.4250
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.4600
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.4750
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.5250
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.4650
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.4400
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.4650
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.4750
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.4850
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.4550
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.4600
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.4650
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.4400
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.4200
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.4200
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.4200
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.4100
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.4150
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.4150
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 140233886.09, Sell volume: 103173793.87, Average price: 0.5096, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes