Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9660
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9675
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9660
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9660
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9675
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9625
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9650
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9660
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9620
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9635
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9605
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9630
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9635
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9665
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9670
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.9640
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9650
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9610
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9630
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9605
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.9630
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9655
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9605
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9650
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9650
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9650
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9650
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9650
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9665
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9650
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9665
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9690
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9555
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9500
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9495
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.9500
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9495
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9530
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9530
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9530
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9530
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0430
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0440
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0435
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0440
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0455
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0440
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0440
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0445
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0435
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0445
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0445
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0500
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0500
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0480
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.0415
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0385
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0380
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0365
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0380
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0395
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0395
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0395
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0385
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0365
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0380
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0365
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0395
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0400
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0405
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0400
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0400
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0395
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0395
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0395
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0390
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9635
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9630
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9630
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9625
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9590
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9590
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9595
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9590
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9590
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9580
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9580
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9600
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9575
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9590
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9595
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9590
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9610
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9595
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9615
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9610
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9565
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9540
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9590
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9565
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9600
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9610
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9565
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9555
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9570
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9570
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9565
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9555
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9570
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9565
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9565
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9605
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9570
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9610
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9610
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0380
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0390
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0385
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0385
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0385
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0385
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0390
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0420
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0420
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0430
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0430
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0390
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0375
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0225
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0250
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0260
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0245
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0260
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0145
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0135
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9675
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9655
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9660
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9655
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9655
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.9655
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9655
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.9660
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9765
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9765
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9765
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.9795
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9720
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.9700
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.9715
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9700
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9710
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.9715
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9715
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.9710
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.9715
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9715
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.9715
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.9800
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9765
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.9765
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.9765
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9765
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.9765
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.9760
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9765
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.9755
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.9755
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9755
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9725
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.9765
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9765
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9765
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9765
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.9810
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9820
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9830
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.9830
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9880
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9880
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.9870
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9870
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9870
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.9870
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0175
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0135
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0110
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0105
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0110
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0110
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0110
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0110
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0110
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0110
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0105
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0140
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0185
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0175
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0180
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0180
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0180
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0145
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0160
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0135
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0140
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0140
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0125
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0070
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0070
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0030
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.3800
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.1050
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0900
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.1000
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0950
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0850
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0650
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0550
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0550
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0550
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0550
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0550
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0550
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9450
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9450
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9450
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9450
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9450
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9450
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9450
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9450
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9450
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9450
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9450
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9450
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9450
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9450
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9450
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9450
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9450
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9450
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9450
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9500
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9500
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9500
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9600
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9600
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9600
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0400
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0400
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0400
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0360
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0340
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0365
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0370
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0360
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0400
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0430
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0415
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0480
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0490
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0425
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.0495
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0495
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0470
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.0485
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0495
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0490
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.0480
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0480
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.0505
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0500
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0510
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0555
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0570
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0570
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0575
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.0575
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.9470
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.9465
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9420
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.9445
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.9440
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.9445
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.9445
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.9440
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9445
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.9445
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9445
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.9440
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.9440
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.9440
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.9435
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.9435
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.9435
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.9435
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.9435
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.9435
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.9440
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9440
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.9440
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.9435
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.9535
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9540
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.9535
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.9535
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.9520
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0455
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.0445
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0475
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.0475
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0480
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0480
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0480
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0485
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0485
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0475
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.0480
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0475
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0480
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0485
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0480
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0480
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0485
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0480
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.0480
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0480
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0480
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0480
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.0480
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0495
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9480
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9480
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9480
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9500
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9485
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9485
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.9485
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9495
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9490
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.9490
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9475
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9475
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9485
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9465
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9470
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9465
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9480
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9520
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9530
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9605
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9560
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9555
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9560
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.9560
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.9555
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9555
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.9550
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.9595
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9570
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9565
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0445
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0445
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0460
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0455
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0455
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0410
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0410
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0435
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0445
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0435
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0450
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0450
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0445
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0425
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0415
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0435
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0395
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0405
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0405
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0395
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0420
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0400
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0400
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0400
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0400
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0400
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0465
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9660
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9660
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9675
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9650
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9620
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9605
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9635
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9670
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9650
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9630
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.9630
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9605
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9650
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9650
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9665
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9665
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9555
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9495
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.9500
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9530
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9530
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9530
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9530
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9530
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9525
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0430
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0435
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0440
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0435
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0445
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0500
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.0415
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0380
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0380
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0395
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0365
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0365
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0400
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0390
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0390
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0390
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0370
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0365
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0360
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0360
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9635
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9630
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9590
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9595
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9590
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9580
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9575
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9595
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9610
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9615
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9565
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9590
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9610
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9555
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9565
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9565
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9570
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9610
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9610
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9605
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9605
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9575
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9555
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0380
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0385
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0385
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0390
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0420
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0430
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0375
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0260
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0245
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0260
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0135
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0190
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0200
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0125
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9675
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9660
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9655
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9655
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9765
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9765
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9720
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.9715
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9710
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9715
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.9715
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.9715
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9765
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.9765
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.9765
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9765
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.9755
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9725
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9765
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9765
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9820
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.9830
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9880
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9870
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.9870
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9870
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.9870
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.9870
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9870
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540734
Question: Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum
Volume: 58501.752554
Price History:
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0175
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0110
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0110
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0110
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0110
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0110
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0185
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0180
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0180
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0145
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0135
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0140
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0070
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4950
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.1350
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0600
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0600
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0600
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.0650
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0650
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.9600
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.9600
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0350
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0295
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0280
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0305
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0280
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0235
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0265
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0275
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0265
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0285
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0290
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0250
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0270
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0270
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.0245
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0245
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0235
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9575
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9555
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9555
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9555
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9555
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.9525
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9525
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9530
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9530
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9530
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9530
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9530
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.9530
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.9530
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9535
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.9540
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9540
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.9540
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.9535
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9540
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9540
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9525
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9530
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9530
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9565
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9560
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9555
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9555
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9560
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9555
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9560
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9565
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.9560
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9565
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9565
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9625
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9560
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9555
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.9555
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9555
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9555
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9560
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9560
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9560
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9560
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.9560
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.9560
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.9560
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9560
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0435
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0440
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0440
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0440
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0450
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0450
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0450
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0430
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0420
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0420
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0435
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0430
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0440
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0430
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0440
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0440
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0430
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0425
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0445
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0460
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0460
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0465
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0460
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0460
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0460
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9525
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9525
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9520
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9520
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9520
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9520
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9520
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9520
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9520
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9520
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9520
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9520
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9610
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9615
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9600
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.9595
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9595
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9590
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9600
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9595
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.9595
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9595
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9595
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9595
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9595
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9595
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9595
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9595
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9605
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9605
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9605
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9595
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9595
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9595
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9590
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9580
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.9580
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9515
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9510
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9515
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.9510
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9515
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.9525
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9525
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9520
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9525
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9520
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0515
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0495
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0495
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0465
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0480
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0480
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0480
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0475
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0435
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0475
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0470
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0475
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0470
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0470
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0470
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0465
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0460
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0445
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0460
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0460
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0455
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0465
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0450
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0450
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0445
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0450
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0450
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0445
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0460
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0460
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0460
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0455
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9555
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9540
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9515
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9505
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9540
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0465
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0480
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0480
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0525
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0520
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0520
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0505
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0535
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0505
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0520
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0530
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0535
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0455
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0455
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0445
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0450
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0445
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0455
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0450
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0395
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0350
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0320
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0325
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0325
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0155
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0165
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0165
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0225
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0180
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0185
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0240
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0210
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9690
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9690
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9700
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9720
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9780
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.9740
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9755
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.9750
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9615
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9615
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9595
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.9605
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9600
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.9600
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.9595
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9575
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9575
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.9575
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9750
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.9750
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.9745
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9765
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.9790
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.9735
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9715
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.9730
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.9735
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9735
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.9715
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.9710
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9710
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.9710
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.9710
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9710
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9715
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.9735
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9735
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9735
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9735
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.9735
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9770
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9770
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.9840
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9860
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9875
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.9865
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9855
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9865
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.9865
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0140
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0195
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0185
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0180
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0190
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0175
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0185
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0175
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0160
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0140
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0150
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0190
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0205
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0205
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0210
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0205
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0205
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0195
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0195
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0190
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0195
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0195
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0195
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0195
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0195
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0190
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0200
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0200
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0200
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0200
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0180
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0150
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0200
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0200
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0175
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0185
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0175
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0080
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0125
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0080
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4950
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.1350
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0600
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0600
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0600
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0600
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9350
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9350
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.0650
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0650
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0550
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0550
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0550
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.9450
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.9600
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9600
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.9600
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.9600
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.9600
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0400
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.0400
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0350
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0280
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0280
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0265
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0265
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0290
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0270
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.0245
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0235
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0250
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0280
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.0270
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0290
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9575
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9555
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9555
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9525
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9530
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9530
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.9530
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9535
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9540
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.9535
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9540
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9530
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9565
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9555
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9550
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9555
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9565
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9565
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9625
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9555
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9555
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9560
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9560
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.9560
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.9560
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9560
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.9560
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.9640
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9560
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9560
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0435
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0440
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0450
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0450
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0450
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0430
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0420
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0430
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0430
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0440
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0430
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0440
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0460
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0465
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0460
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0460
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0460
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0460
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0475
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9525
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9520
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9520
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9520
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9520
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9520
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9610
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9600
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9595
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9600
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.9595
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9595
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9595
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9595
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9605
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9605
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9595
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9590
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.9580
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9510
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9515
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9515
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9525
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9525
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9515
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9520
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9465
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9480
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9470
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0515
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0495
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0480
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0480
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0435
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0470
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0470
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0470
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0460
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0460
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0465
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0445
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0445
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0455
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0460
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0455
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0440
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0445
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9540
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9515
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9540
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9545
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9545
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9545
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9545
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0465
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0480
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0520
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0505
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0505
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0530
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0455
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0445
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0445
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0450
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0435
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0350
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0325
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0155
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0165
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0180
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0210
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0240
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0185
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0135
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9690
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9700
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9780
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9755
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9615
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9595
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9600
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.9595
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9575
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9750
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.9745
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.9790
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9715
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.9735
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.9715
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9710
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.9710
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9715
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9735
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9735
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9770
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.9840
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9875
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9855
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.9865
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9865
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.9865
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.9865
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9865
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540754
Question: Italian Employment with increasing protection Referendum
Volume: 31010.04498
Price History:
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0140
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0195
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0180
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0175
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0175
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0140
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0190
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0205
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0205
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0195
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0190
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0195
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0195
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0190
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0200
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0200
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0150
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0200
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0185
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0080
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0080
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4950
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.1300
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0500
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0490
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0475
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0470
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0500
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0505
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0505
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0510
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0510
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0510
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0500
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0500
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0500
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0500
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0500
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0500
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0500
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0500
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0500
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0505
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0505
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0495
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0495
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0495
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0500
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0490
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0465
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0460
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0460
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0465
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0470
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0470
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0470
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0470
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0465
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0465
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0465
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0465
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0465
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0465
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9510
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9510
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9510
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9550
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9550
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9550
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9530
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9515
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9510
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9510
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9505
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9530
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9555
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9575
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9575
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9570
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9570
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9550
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9580
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9585
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9580
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9580
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9585
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9585
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9655
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0300
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0300
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0300
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0300
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0300
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0300
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0300
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.0300
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0300
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0300
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0300
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0300
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0300
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0300
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0300
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0310
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0310
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0310
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0315
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0285
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0280
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0280
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.0295
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0295
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0295
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0295
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0295
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0295
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.0295
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.0295
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0295
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0295
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0295
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0295
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.0355
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0350
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0360
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.0295
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.0290
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0290
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0295
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0290
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0300
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.9685
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.9695
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.9700
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.9670
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9655
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.9655
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.9650
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.9650
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.9635
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.9650
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.9650
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.9655
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.9655
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.9655
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.9655
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.9655
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9655
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.9655
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.9655
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.9655
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9655
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.9655
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.9655
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.9655
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.9655
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.9655
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.9655
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.9645
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.9635
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.9640
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.9640
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.9640
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.9640
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.9635
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.9635
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.9635
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.9635
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.9635
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.9635
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.9635
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.9630
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.9635
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9635
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.9635
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.9635
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.9635
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.9635
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.9635
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.9635
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0375
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.0375
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0380
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0375
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0380
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0375
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.0380
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0375
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0375
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0375
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0360
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0365
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0355
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0355
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0355
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0365
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.0365
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0365
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0365
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0365
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0365
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0365
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0345
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0330
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0320
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0330
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0340
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0340
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0340
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0340
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0340
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0330
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.0340
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0335
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0335
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9615
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9615
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9615
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9615
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9615
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.9625
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9625
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9615
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9615
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9615
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9620
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9620
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.9620
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.9620
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9620
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.9625
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9625
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.9625
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.9625
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.9605
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9610
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9650
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9655
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9655
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9655
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9700
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.9705
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9700
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9705
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9700
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.9700
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9700
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9700
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.9705
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.9700
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.9700
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0300
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0300
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0300
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0300
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0350
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0350
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0355
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0345
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0335
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0355
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0345
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0360
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0345
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0350
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0350
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0355
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0350
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0345
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0340
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0330
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0325
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0335
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0335
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0335
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0315
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0360
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0345
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0355
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0395
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0385
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0390
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0385
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0400
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0395
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0395
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0395
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0400
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0390
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0395
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0395
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0400
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0400
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0400
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0485
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0485
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0490
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0485
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0490
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9470
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9455
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9455
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9450
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9460
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9440
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9450
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9440
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9440
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9455
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9430
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9470
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9530
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9460
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.9480
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9495
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9465
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9490
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9460
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.9480
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9595
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9515
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9490
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9490
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9490
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9490
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9490
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9510
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9505
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9515
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9510
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9475
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9490
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9510
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9480
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.9505
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9480
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9480
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9500
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9510
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.9505
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.9500
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9515
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.9470
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9460
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9475
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9470
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9460
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0495
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0495
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0515
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0520
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0530
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0515
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0495
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0540
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0530
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0540
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0510
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0505
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0505
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0505
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0505
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0505
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0505
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0505
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.0500
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0490
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0480
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0475
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0475
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0475
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0480
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0480
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0480
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0480
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0480
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0480
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0470
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0495
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0475
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0495
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0495
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0495
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0495
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0495
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0545
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0545
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0545
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0545
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0535
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0540
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0540
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0535
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0535
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0520
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0510
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9500
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9500
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9500
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9455
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9475
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9475
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9475
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9480
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9485
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9455
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9465
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9430
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9440
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9395
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9410
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9555
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9620
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9630
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9570
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9595
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9610
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9620
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9630
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9605
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9585
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9605
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9560
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0365
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0370
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0430
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0380
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0400
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0375
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0390
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0400
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0375
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0385
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0375
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0390
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0375
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0375
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0375
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0385
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0380
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0390
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0380
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0390
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0380
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0385
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0380
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0390
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0385
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0385
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0390
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0390
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0390
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0390
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0390
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0360
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0390
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9655
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9620
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9630
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9615
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9615
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.9605
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9605
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.9615
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9615
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9615
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9620
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.9675
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9675
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.9660
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.9675
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9670
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9680
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.9680
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9705
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.9705
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.9705
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9705
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.9705
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.9705
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9700
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.9695
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.9705
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9705
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.9705
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.9705
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9705
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.9705
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.9705
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9780
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9810
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.9825
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9820
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9805
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9800
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.9815
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9830
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9835
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.9835
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9835
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9870
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.9865
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9865
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9865
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.9865
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0130
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0145
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0145
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0145
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0145
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0145
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0145
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0145
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0145
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0145
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0145
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0145
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0230
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0215
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0215
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0215
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0215
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0215
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0225
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0220
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0220
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0220
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0220
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0225
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0225
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0225
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0215
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0215
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0215
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0125
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0140
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0125
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0140
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0140
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0125
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0150
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0125
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0140
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0080
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0110
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0115
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4950
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.1300
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0425
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0490
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0470
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0505
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0510
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0510
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0500
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0500
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0500
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0500
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0505
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0495
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0495
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0490
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0460
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0465
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0470
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0470
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0465
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0465
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0465
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0465
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0455
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0505
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0500
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9510
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9510
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9550
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9530
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9510
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9505
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9555
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9575
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9570
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9580
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9580
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9585
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9590
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9655
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9655
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9655
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9660
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9660
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0300
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0300
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0300
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0300
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0300
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0300
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0300
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0300
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0310
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0315
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0280
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.0295
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0295
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0295
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.0295
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0295
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0295
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.0355
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0360
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.0290
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0295
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0300
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0300
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0310
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0305
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0300
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.9685
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.9700
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9655
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.9650
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.9635
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.9650
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.9655
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.9655
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9655
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.9655
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9655
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.9655
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.9655
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.9655
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.9635
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.9640
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.9640
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.9635
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.9635
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.9635
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.9630
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9635
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.9635
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.9635
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.9635
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9635
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.9625
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.9635
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.9635
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0375
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0380
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0380
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.0380
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0375
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0360
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0355
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0355
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.0365
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0365
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0365
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0335
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0330
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0330
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0340
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0340
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0340
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.0340
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0335
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0340
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0345
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.0360
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0380
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0385
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9615
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9615
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9615
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9625
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9615
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9620
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.9620
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9620
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9625
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.9625
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9615
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9610
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9650
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9655
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9700
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9700
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.9700
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9700
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.9705
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.9700
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9700
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.9700
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.9700
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9700
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0300
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0300
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0350
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0355
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0355
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0360
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0350
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0355
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0345
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0330
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0335
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0335
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0360
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0355
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0385
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0385
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0395
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0395
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0390
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0395
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0400
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0485
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0490
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0490
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0490
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0485
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0390
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0380
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0385
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9470
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9455
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9450
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9440
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9440
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9455
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9470
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9460
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9495
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9490
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.9480
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9515
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9490
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9490
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9510
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9515
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9475
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9510
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.9505
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9480
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9510
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9520
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9515
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9460
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9470
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9490
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9495
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9515
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9515
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9460
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0495
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0515
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0530
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0495
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0530
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0510
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0505
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0505
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0505
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.0500
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0480
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0475
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0480
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0480
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0480
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0470
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0475
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0495
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0495
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0545
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0545
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0535
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0540
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0535
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0510
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0490
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0475
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0470
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0470
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0470
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9500
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9500
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9455
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9475
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9480
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9455
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9430
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9440
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9410
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9555
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9630
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9630
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9560
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9620
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9585
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9620
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9590
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0365
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0430
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0380
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0375
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0390
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0375
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0385
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0390
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0375
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0385
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0390
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0390
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0385
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0380
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0385
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0390
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0390
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0390
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0390
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0380
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0365
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0360
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0360
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9655
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9630
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9615
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9605
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9615
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9620
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9675
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.9675
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9680
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9705
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.9705
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.9705
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9700
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.9705
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.9705
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9705
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.9705
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9810
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9820
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9800
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9830
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.9835
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9870
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9865
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.9865
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9865
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.9865
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.9865
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9865
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540755
Question: Italian small businesses – dismissals and related compensation referendum
Volume: 62986.130603
Price History:
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0130
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0145
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0145
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0145
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0145
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0145
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0230
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0215
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0215
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0225
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0220
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0220
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0225
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0215
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0215
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0140
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0140
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0125
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0125
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0080
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0115
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540756
Question: Italian imposition of term limits on employment contracts referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34042.91849
Price History:
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4950
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0700
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0500
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0550
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0700
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0700
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0700
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0700
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0650
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0700
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0700
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0700
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0700
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0700
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0700
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0700
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0700
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0700
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0700
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0700
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0700
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540756
Question: Italian imposition of term limits on employment contracts referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34042.91849
Price History:
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9300
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9300
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9300
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9300
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9300
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9300
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9300
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9300
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9300
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9300
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9300
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9300
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9300
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9300
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9300
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9300
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9300
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9300
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9300
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9300
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9300
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9300
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540756
Question: Italian imposition of term limits on employment contracts referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34042.91849
Price History:
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0650
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540756
Question: Italian imposition of term limits on employment contracts referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34042.91849
Price History:
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.9400
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.9400
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.9400
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.9400
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9400
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.9400
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.9400
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.9400
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.9400
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.9400
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.9400
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.9400
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.9400
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.9400
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.9400
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.9450
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.9450
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.9550
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.9550
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540756
Question: Italian imposition of term limits on employment contracts referendum
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34042.91849
Price History:
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.0450
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0450
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0450
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0450
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0450
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.0450
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0450
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes