Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5900
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5900
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5900
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5900
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5900
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5850
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4150
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5900
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5950
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4050
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5950
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4050
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5950
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4050
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.5950
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.4050
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.5950
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.4050
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.5950
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.4050
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.5900
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.5900
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4100
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.6400
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.3600
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.6400
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.3600
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.6400
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.3600
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.6400
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.3600
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.6400
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.3600
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.6400
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.3600
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.6400
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.3600
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.6400
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.3600
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.6400
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.3600
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 811.73, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.6383, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.6400
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.3600
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.3700
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.5900
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.4100
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5750
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5650
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4350
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5750
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.5750
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5750
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.5800
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.4200
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 811.73, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.6383, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5900
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.4100
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4000
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4550
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4550
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4550
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4550
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4550
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5950
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4050
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5950
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4050
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5950
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4050
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4550
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5450
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4550
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5450
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4550
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5450
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.4550
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.5450
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.4550
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.5450
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.4550
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.5450
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.4550
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.5450
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.4550
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.5450
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.4550
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.5450
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.4550
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.5450
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.4550
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.5450
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.4550
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.5450
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.4550
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 811.73, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.6383, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5200
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4800
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.5200
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.4800
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5200
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.4800
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.5200
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4800
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.5200
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.4800
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.5150
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.4850
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.4150
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.5850
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.4150
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.5850
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.4150
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.5850
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.4150
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.5850
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.4150
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.5850
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.4150
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.5850
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.4900
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 19.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6994, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.7087

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4200
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4550
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5450
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4550
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4600
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4600
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4500
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.7350
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2650
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.7350
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2650
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.7350
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2650
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7350
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6150
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6150
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6150
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6150
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3850
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6150
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6250
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 23.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6700, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.6250
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.7250
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.2800
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.7200
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.2650
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.7350
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.3500
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.6500
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.3500
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.6500
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.3650
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.3550
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.6450
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9300
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0700
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9300
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0700
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9300
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 319.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5654, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3350
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6650
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 811.73, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.6383, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3500
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6500
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3500
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6500
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3500
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.6500
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3550
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6450
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3600
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.6400
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3350
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6650
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.3350
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 811.73, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.6383, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.6600
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3400
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.6600
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3400
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.6600
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3400
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6600
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3400
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.6600
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3400
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6600
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3500
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6500
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3500
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6500
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3500
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6500
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3500
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6500
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.66, Average price: 0.6000, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 811.73, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.6383, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3650
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 409.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5509, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.5750
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.4250
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.5750
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.4250
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.5600
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.4400
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.5550
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4450
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4000
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.6000
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.3950
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.6050
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.3900
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.6100
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.3900
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 811.73, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.6383, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5900
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5900
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5900
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5900
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5900
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5850
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4150
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5900
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5950
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4050
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5950
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4050
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5950
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4050
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.5950
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.4050
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.5950
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.4050
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.5950
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.4050
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.5900
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.4100
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 811.73, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.6383, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.6400
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.3600
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.6300
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.3700
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.5900
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.4100
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5750
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5650
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4350
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5750
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.5750
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5750
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 811.73, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.6383, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5900
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.4100
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4000
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4550
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4550
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4550
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4550
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4550
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5950
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4050
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5950
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4050
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5950
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4050
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4550
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5450
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4550
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5450
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4550
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 811.73, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.6383, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539781
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Rape" during next WH press briefing?
Volume: 828.39465
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5200
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4800
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.5200
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.4800
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5200
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.4800
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.5200
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4800
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.5200
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 19.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6994, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.7087
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.6700
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.3300
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.6700
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.3300
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.6700
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.3300
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.6700
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.3300
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.6700
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.3300
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.6700
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.3300
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.6700
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.3300
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.6700
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.3300
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6250
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6250
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5800
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.5800
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.5800
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.5800
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.5800
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.4850
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.5150
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.4850
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.5150
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.4900
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5100
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.5950
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8250
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1750
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.8550
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.1450
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.8625
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.1375
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.8970
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1030
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5200
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.4800
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.6700
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.3300
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.6700
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.3300
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.6650
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.3350
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.6700
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.3300
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.6765
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.3235
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.6715
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.3285
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.6765
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.3235
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.6715
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.3285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1510.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3580, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9899

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.3235
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6765
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3235
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6715
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3285
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6765
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3235
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6765
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3235
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6715
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3285
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6765
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3235
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6765
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3235
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6720
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3280
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6735
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3265
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6795
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3205
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6850
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.6965
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3035
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.7025
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.2975
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7130
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.2870
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.7190
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.2810
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.7295
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.2705
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.7355
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.2645
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.7460
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.2540
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6275
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.3725
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.6275
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.3725
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.6275
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.3725
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.6225
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.3775
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.6275
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.3725
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.6275
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.6275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6225
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3775
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.6225
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3775
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6225
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3775
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6225
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3775
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6225
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3775
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7570
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2430
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.7520
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2480
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7625
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2375
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.7625
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2375
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.7575
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.2425
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.7625
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2375
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.7625
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2375
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.7625
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.2375
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.7625
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2375
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.7575
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.2425
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.7625
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 17.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2375
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7575
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2425
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7625
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2375
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7625
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2375
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7575
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2425
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7625
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2375
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7620
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2380
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7625
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.2375
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7675
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2325
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7675
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2325
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7615
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2385
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.7615
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2385
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.7615
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.2385
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.2335
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.7665
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.2335
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.7615
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.2385
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.7665
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2335
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.7615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7665
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2335
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.7665
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2335
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.7665
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2335
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.7665
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2335
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.7665
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2335
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7715
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2285
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.7715
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2285
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.7715
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2285
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.7710
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2290
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.7715
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2285
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.7715
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2285
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.7665
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2335
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.7715
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2285
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.7715
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2285
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7665
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2335
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.7715
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2285
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.7715
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2285
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.7710
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2290
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.7715
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.2285
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.7665
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2335
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.7715
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.2285
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.7715
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.2285
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.7665
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2335
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.7715
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.2285
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.7715
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2335
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7715
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2285
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.7715
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2285
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.7665
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2335
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.7715
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2285
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.7715
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.2285
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.7665
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2335
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.7715
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.2285
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.7770
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.2230
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.7770
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2230
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7770
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.2230
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.7720
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.2280
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.7770
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2230
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.7770
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.2230
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.7720
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.2280
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.7770
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2230
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.7770
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.2230
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.7720
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.2280
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.7770
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2230
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.7770
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.2230
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.7720
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.2280
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.7770
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.2230
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.7770
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.2230
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.7720
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.2280
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.7770
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.2230
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.7770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9540, Price range: 0.9540 - 0.9540

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.7720
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.2280
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.7770
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2230
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.7770
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.2230
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.7720
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2280
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.7760
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2240
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.7760
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2240
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.7710
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2290
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7760
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2240
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.7760
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2240
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.7710
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.2290
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7760
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.2240
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.7760
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.2240
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.7710
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.2290
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.7760
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.2240
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.7760
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.2240
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.7710
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.2290
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.7755
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.2245
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.7755
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.2245
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.7705
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.2295
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7755
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.2245
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.7755
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.2245
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.7705
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.2295
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.7755
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.2245
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.7755
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.2245
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.7755
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.2245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.7755
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.2245
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.7755
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.2245
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.7755
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.2245
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7755
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.2245
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.7755
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.2245
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.7755
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.2245
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7755
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.2245
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.7755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7755
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2245
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7755
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2245
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.7755
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2245
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.7795
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.2205
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7795
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.2205
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.7795
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2205
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.7795
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2205
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7795
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.2205
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.7795
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.2205
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.7795
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.2205
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.7795
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.2205
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.7795
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.2205
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.7795
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.2205
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.7795
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.2205
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.7740
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.2260
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.7740
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.2260
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7740
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.2260
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.7740
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.2260
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.7790
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.2210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2210
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.7835
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.2165
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.7735
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2265
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5505
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4495
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5615
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4385
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5725
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4275
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5785
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4215
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5895
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4105
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.6005
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.3995
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.6115
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.3885
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.6225
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.3775
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.6330
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.3670
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.6440
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.3560
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.6660
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.3340
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5455
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.4545
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.5565
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.4435
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.5675
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.4325
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.5785
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.4215
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.5895
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.4105
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.6010
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.3990
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.6120
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.3880
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.6225
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.3775
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.6335
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.3665
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.6445
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.3555
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.6555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.6670
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.3330
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.6730
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.3270
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.6840
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.3160
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.6950
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.3050
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.7055
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.2945
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.7165
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2835
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.7275
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.2725
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.7335
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.2665
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.7445
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2555
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.7555
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.2445
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.7660
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.2340
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.7770
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2230
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.6605
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.3395
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.6605
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.3395
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.6555
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.3445
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.6500
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.3500
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.6165
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.3835
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.6165
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.3835
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.6165
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.3835
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.6165
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.3835
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.6165
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.3835
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.6165
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.3835
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.6165
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.3835
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.6645
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.3355
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.7130
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.2870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 196.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7660, Price range: 0.3520 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.6700
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.3300
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.6700
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.3300
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.6700
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.3300
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.6700
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.3300
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.6700
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.3300
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.6700
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.3300
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.6700
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.3300
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.6700
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.3300
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6250
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6250
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5800
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.5800
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.5800
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.5800
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.5800
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.4850
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.5150
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.4850
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.5150
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.4900
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5100
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.5950
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8250
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1750
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.8550
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.1450
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.8625
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.1375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1510.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3580, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9899
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.3235
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6765
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3235
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6715
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3285
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6765
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3235
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6765
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3235
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6715
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3285
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6765
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3235
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6765
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3235
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6720
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3280
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6735
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3265
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6795
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3205
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6850
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.6965
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3035
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.7025
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.2975
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7130
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.2870
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.7190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6225
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3775
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.6225
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3775
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6225
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3775
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6225
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3775
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.6275
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3725
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6225
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3775
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7570
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 17.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2375
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7575
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2425
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7625
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2375
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7625
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2375
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7575
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2425
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7625
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2375
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7620
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2380
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7625
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.2375
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7675
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2325
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7675
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2325
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7615
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2385
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.7615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7665
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2335
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.7665
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2335
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.7665
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2335
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.7665
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2335
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.7665
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2335
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7715
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2285
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.7715
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2285
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.7715
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2285
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.7710
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2290
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.7715
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2285
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.7715
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2285
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.7665
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2335
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.7715
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2285
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.7715
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2285
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7665
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2335
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7715
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2285
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.7715
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2285
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.7665
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2335
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.7715
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2285
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.7715
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.2285
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.7665
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2335
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.7715
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.2285
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.7770
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.2230
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.7770
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2230
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7770
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.2230
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.7720
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.2280
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.7770
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2230
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.7770
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.2230
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.7720
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.2280
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.7770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9540, Price range: 0.9540 - 0.9540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.7720
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.2280
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.7770
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2230
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.7770
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.2230
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.7720
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2280
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.7760
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2240
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.7760
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2240
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.7710
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2290
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7760
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2240
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.7760
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2240
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.7710
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.2290
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7760
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.2240
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.7760
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.2240
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.7710
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.2290
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.7760
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.2240
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.7760
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.2240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.7755
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.2245
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.7755
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.2245
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.7755
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.2245
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.7805
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2195
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7755
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2245
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7755
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2245
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.7755
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2245
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7805
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2195
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.7795
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.2205
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7795
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.2205
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.7795
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2205
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.7795
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2205
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7795
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.2205
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.7795
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.2205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2210
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.7835
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.2165
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.7735
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2265
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5505
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4495
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5615
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4385
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5725
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4275
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5785
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4215
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5895
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4105
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.6005
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.3995
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.6115
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.3885
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.6225
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.3775
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.6330
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.3670
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.6440
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.3560
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.6550
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.3450
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.6660
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.3340
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1724.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5742, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539782
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Cabinet" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1724.048217
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.6670
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.3330
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.6730
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.3270
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.6840
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.3160
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.6950
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.3050
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.7055
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.2945
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.7165
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2835
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.7275
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.2725
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.7335
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.2665
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.7445
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2555
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.7555
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.2445
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.7660
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.2340
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.7770
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2230
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.6605
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.3395
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.6605
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.3395
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.6555
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.3445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 196.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7660, Price range: 0.3520 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4500
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5500
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4500
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5500
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4050
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5950
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.3150
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.6850
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.3100
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.6900
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.3100
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.6900
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.3100
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.6900
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.3100
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.6900
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.3100
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.6900
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.3100
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.6900
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.3100
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.6900
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.3100
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.6900
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.3100
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.6900
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3200
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6800
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3200
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6800
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3200
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.7000
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3100
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.6900
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3100
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.6900
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.3100
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6900
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3100
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.6900
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2850
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.7150
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.2850
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.7150
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.2850
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7150
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.6200
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.6200
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.4000
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.6000
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.4400
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.5600
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.4450
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.5550
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.4450
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.5550
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.4450
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.5550
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.4450
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.4300
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.5700
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.4300
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.5700
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.4300
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.5700
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.4300
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.5700
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.4300
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.5700
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.4300
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.5700
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.4300
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.4250
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.5750
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.4150
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.4250
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.5750
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.4400
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.5600
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.4700
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.5300
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.4900
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.5100
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.5050
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.5200
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.4800
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.4250
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.5750
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.4400
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.5600
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.4600
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.5400
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4900
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.5100
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3400
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3550
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6450
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3700
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6300
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3900
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6100
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.4050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.5950
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.4200
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5800
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.3250
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.6750
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.3400
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.6250
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.3900
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.6100
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.4100
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.5900
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.4250
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5750
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.3300
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.6700
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.3500
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.3800
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.6200
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4000
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.6000
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.3400
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.6600
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.3550
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.3850
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.6150
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.4000
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.6000
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4200
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5800
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3250
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.6750
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3400
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6600
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3750
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.6250
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.3900
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.6100
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.4100
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.5900
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.4250
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.5750
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.3300
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.6700
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.3500
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.6500
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.3650
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.6350
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.3800
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.6200
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.4000
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.6000
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.4300
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.5700
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.3550
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.3700
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.6300
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.3900
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.6100
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.5950
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.4250
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.5750
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.4450
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.5550
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.4600
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.5400
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.4750
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.5250
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.5100
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.4900
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4750
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.4500
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5500
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.4850
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5150
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.5100
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.4900
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.5300
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.4700
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.5100
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.4900
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.4750
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.5050
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.4950
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.5200
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.4800
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.4950
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 26216.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6200, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.4950
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5050
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5100
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4900
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4950
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5050
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4950
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5050
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.4950
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.5050
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.3750
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.6250
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.3950
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.3950
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.3800
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.4200
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.5800
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.4200
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.5800
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.4200
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.5800
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.4150
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.5850
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.4200
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.5800
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.5750
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.5750
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 21.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5169, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6439

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.3850
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.6150
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.3850
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.6150
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.3850
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.6150
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.3850
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.6150
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.3850
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.3850
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.3850
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.3850
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.3850
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.3850
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.3850
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.3850
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.3850
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.3850
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.3850
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.3850
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4900
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5100
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.4950
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5050
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.4950
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.5050
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.4950
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.5050
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.4950
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.5050
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.5050
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.4950
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.5050
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.4950
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.5050
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.4950
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.5050
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.4950
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.5050
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4950
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.4900
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.5100
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.3650
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4500
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5500
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4500
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5500
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4050
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5950
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.6900
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3200
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6800
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3200
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6800
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3200
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.7000
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3100
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.6900
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3100
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.6900
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.3100
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6900
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3100
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.6900
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2850
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.7150
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.2850
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.7150
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.2850
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7150
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.6200
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5550
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.4450
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.4250
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.5750
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.4700
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.5300
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.4900
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.5100
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.5050
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.5200
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.4800
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.4250
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.5750
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.4400
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.5600
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.4600
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.5400
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4900
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.5100
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3400
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3550
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6450
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3700
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6300
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3900
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6100
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.4050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.6350
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.3800
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.6200
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4000
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.6000
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4300
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.5700
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.3400
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.6600
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.3550
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.3850
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.6150
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.4000
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.6000
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4200
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5800
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3250
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.6750
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3400
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6600
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3750
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.6250
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.3550
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.3700
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.6300
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.3900
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.6100
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.5950
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.4250
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.5750
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.4450
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.5550
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.4600
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.5400
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.4750
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.5250
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.5100
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.4900
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4750
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4350
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.5650
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.4500
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5500
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.4850
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 26216.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6200, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.4950
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5050
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5100
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4900
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4950
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5050
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4950
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5050
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.4950
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.5050
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.3750
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.6250
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.3950
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.3950
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.6050
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 21.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5169, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6439
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.3850
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.6150
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.3850
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.6150
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.3850
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.6150
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.3850
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.6150
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.3850
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.3850
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.6100
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.3850
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.6150
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4900
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5100
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539783
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 52472.744185
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4950
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.5050
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 26257.74, Sell volume: 26215.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6439
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5600
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4400
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5600
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4400
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5600
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4400
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5100
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4900
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5100
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.3350
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6650
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3350
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6650
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.3350
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6650
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.3350
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.6650
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.3350
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.6650
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.3400
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.6600
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.3400
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.6600
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6950, Price range: 0.5400 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3400
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.6600
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3400
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.6600
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1282.73, Sell volume: 17.42, Average price: 0.6482, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.6750
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3250
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.6750
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3250
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.6750
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.3250
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6750
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3400
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.6600
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.3400
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.6600
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.3400
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.6600
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.3300
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6700
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.3250
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.6750
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.5600
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.4900
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.5100
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.4900
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.5100
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.4900
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.5100
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.4900
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.5100
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5150
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.4850
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.2800
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.7200
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.7250
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7250
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.3250
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.6750
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.3200
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.6800
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.3250
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 24.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8558, Price range: 0.8558 - 0.8558

Output: Yes