Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629351
Question: Will the Republicans win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 649.99
Price History:
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.5050
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9300
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9300
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0700
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 629350
Question: Will the Democrats win the Hawaii governor race in 2026?
Volume: 1014.434014
Price History:
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.4000
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.7950
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.2100
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.7850
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.2150
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.7950
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.2050
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.7950
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.2550
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.7400
2025-01-04 05:00: 0.2750
2025-01-04 11:00: 0.7250
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.2750
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.7250
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.2750
2025-01-05 13:00: 0.7250
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.2750
2025-01-06 02:00: 0.7450
2025-01-06 09:00: 0.2550
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.7450
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.7500
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.2500
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.7850
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.1950
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.8050
2025-01-08 13:00: 0.1850
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.8150
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.1750
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.8250
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.1650
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.8750
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.8750
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.9000
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.1000
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.9000
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.1000
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.9000
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.1000
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.9000
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.1050
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.8950
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.1050
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.8950
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.1050
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.8950
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.1050
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 3975.59, Sell volume: 5487.48, Average price: 0.5976, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.8950
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.1050
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.8950
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.1050
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.8950
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.1050
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.8950
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.1100
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.8950
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.1100
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.8850
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.1100
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.8900
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.1150
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.8850
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.1150
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.8850
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.1150
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.8850
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.1150
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.8850
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.1150
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.8850
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.1150
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.8850
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.1150
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.8850
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.1150
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.8850
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.1150
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.8850
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.1150
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.8850
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.1150
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.8850
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.1150
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.8850
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.1150
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.8850
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.1150
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.8850
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.1200
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.8800
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.1200
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.8800
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.1200
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.8700
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.1300
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.8700
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 238.89, Sell volume: 788.73, Average price: 0.5327, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.1300
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.8700
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.1300
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.8700
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.1300
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.8700
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.1300
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.8700
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.1300
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.8700
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.1300
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.8700
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.1300
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.8700
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.1300
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.8700
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.1300
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.8700
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.1350
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.8650
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.1350
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.8650
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.1350
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.8650
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.1350
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.8650
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.1350
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.8650
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.1350
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.8650
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.1350
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.8650
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.1350
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.8650
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.1350
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.8650
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.1350
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.8650
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.1350
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.8650
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.1350
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.8650
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.1350
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.8600
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.1400
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.8600
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.1400
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.8600
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.1400
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 279.02, Sell volume: 124.37, Average price: 0.7475, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.8600
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.1400
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.8600
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.1400
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.8600
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.1400
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.1400
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.1400
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.1400
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.8600
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.1400
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.8600
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.1400
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.8600
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.1400
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.8600
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.1400
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.8600
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.1400
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.8600
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1400
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.8600
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.1400
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.8600
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.1400
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.8600
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.1400
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.8600
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.1400
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.8600
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.1400
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.8600
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.1400
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.8600
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.1400
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.8600
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.1400
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.8600
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.1400
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.8600
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.1400
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.8600
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.1400
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.8600
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.21, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.1350
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.8650
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.1350
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.8650
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.1350
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.8650
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.1400
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.8600
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.1400
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.8600
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.1400
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.8600
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.1400
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.8600
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.1400
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.8600
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.1400
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.8600
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.8600
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.8600
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.1400
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.8600
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.1400
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.8600
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.1400
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.8600
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.1400
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.8600
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.1400
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.8600
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.1400
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.8600
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.1400
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.8600
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.1400
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.8600
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.1400
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.8600
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.1400
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.8600
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.1400
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.8600
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.1400
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.8600
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.1400
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.8600
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.1400
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 15.27, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.8600
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.1400
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.8600
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.1400
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.8600
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.1400
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.8600
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.1400
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.8600
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.1400
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.8600
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.1400
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.8600
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.1400
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.8600
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.1400
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.8600
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.1400
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.8600
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.1400
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.8600
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.1400
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.8600
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.1400
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.8600
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.1400
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.8600
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.1400
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.8600
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.1400
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.8600
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.1400
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.8600
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.1400
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.8600
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.1400
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.8600
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.1400
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.8600
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.1400
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.8600
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.1400
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.8600
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.1400
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.8600
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.1400
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.8600
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.1400
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.8600
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8700, Price range: 0.8700 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.1400
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.8600
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.1400
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.8600
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.1400
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.8600
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.1400
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.8600
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.1400
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.8600
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.1400
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.8600
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.1400
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.8600
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.1400
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.8600
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.1400
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.8600
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.1400
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.8600
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.1400
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.8600
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.1400
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.8600
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.1400
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.8600
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.1400
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.8600
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.1400
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.8600
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.1400
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.8600
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.1400
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.8600
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.1400
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.8600
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.1400
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.8600
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.1400
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.8600
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.1400
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.8600
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.1400
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.8600
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.1400
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.8600
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.1400
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.8600
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.1400
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 33.02, Sell volume: 64.99, Average price: 0.7140, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.8600
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.1400
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.8600
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.1400
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.8600
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.1400
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.8600
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.1400
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.8600
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.1400
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.8600
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.1400
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.8600
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.1400
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.8600
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.1400
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.8600
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.1400
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.8600
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.1400
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.8600
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.1400
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.8600
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.1400
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.8600
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.1400
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.8600
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.1400
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.8600
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.1400
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.8600
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.1400
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.8600
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.1400
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.8600
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.1400
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.8600
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.1400
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.8600
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.1400
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.8600
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.1400
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.8600
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.1400
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.8600
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.1400
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.8600
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1400
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.8600
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 23.60, Average price: 0.7060, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.1400
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.8600
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.1400
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.8600
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.8600
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.1400
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.1400
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.1400
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.8600
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.1400
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.8600
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1400
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.8600
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.1400
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.8600
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.1400
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.8600
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1400
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8600
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.1400
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.8600
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1400
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.8600
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.1400
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.8600
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.1400
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8600
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.1350
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.8650
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.8650
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.1400
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.8600
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.1300
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.8700
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.1300
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.8750
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.1350
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.8750
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1250
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.8750
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.1250
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1223.63, Sell volume: 124.02, Average price: 0.6460, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1300
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.8700
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1200
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.8700
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.1300
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.8800
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.1300
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.8700
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.1250
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.8700
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.1250
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.1250
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.1250
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.8700
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.1250
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.1300
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.8750
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.1250
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.1300
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.8750
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.1250
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.8750
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.1250
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.8750
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.1350
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.8650
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.1350
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.8650
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.8650
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.8650
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.1350
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.8650
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.1350
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.8700
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.1350
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.8650
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.1250
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.8750
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.1350
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.8650
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 736.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6967, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.8750
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.1150
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.8800
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.1150
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.8850
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.1150
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.8900
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.1100
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.8900
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.8800
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.1200
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.8800
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.1100
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.8800
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.1150
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.8800
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.1100
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.8800
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.1200
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.8800
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.1200
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.8800
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9100
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9150
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9100
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0900
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0850
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9150
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0700
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9300
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0650
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9300
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0700
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9300
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0700
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 466.63, Sell volume: 40.99, Average price: 0.6365, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9203

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9300
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0700
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.9300
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0700
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9300
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0700
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9300
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0700
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9300
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0650
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.9350
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0650
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.9400
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0850
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.9150
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0750
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9200
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0750
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9200
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0750
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.9250
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0750
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9500
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0500
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.9500
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0500
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9500
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0500
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.9500
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.9500
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9500
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0750
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9250
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0750
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.9250
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0700
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9300
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0700
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.9300
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0700
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9300
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0700
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.9250
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0700
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9300
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0700
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.9300
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 860.65, Sell volume: 55.94, Average price: 0.8692, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0700
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9370
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0525
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9480
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0505
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9560
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0510
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9495
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0345
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9495
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0475
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9530
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0450
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9485
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0500
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9490
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0455
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9470
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0490
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9715
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0310
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9745
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0325
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9685
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0305
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.9730
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.0300
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.9695
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0255
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.9725
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0280
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9690
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0310
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.9690
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0305
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9695
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0240
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.9770
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0230
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9775
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0225
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.9875
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0120
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9880
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0120
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.9880
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0065
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.9945
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0055
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3255.20, Sell volume: 2585.16, Average price: 0.9472, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.4000
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.2100
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.2150
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.2050
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.2050
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.2600
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.2750
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.2750
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.2750
2025-01-05 15:00: 0.2750
2025-01-06 02:00: 0.2550
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.2550
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.2500
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.2500
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.1950
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.1850
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.1850
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.1750
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.1250
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.1250
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.1250
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.1000
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.1000
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.1000
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.1000
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.1050
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.1050
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.1050
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.1050
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 3975.59, Sell volume: 5487.48, Average price: 0.5976, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.8950
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.8950
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.8950
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.8950
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.8950
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.8900
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.8900
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.8900
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.8850
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.8850
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.8850
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.8850
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.8850
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.8850
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.8850
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.8850
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.8850
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.8850
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.8850
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.8850
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.8850
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.8850
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.8850
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.8850
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.8850
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.8800
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.8800
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.8700
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.8700
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 238.89, Sell volume: 788.73, Average price: 0.5327, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.1300
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.1300
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.1300
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.1300
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.1300
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.1300
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.1300
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.1300
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.1300
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.1300
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.1300
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.1350
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.1350
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.1350
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.1350
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.1350
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.1350
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.1350
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.1350
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.1350
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.1350
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.1350
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.1350
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.1350
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.1350
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.1350
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.1400
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.1400
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.1400
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 279.02, Sell volume: 124.37, Average price: 0.7475, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.8600
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.8600
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.8600
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.8600
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.8600
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.8600
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.8600
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.8600
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.8600
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.8600
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.8600
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.8600
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.8600
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.8600
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.8600
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.8600
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.8600
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.8600
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.8600
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.8600
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.8600
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.8600
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.8600
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.8600
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.8600
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.8600
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.21, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.1350
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.1350
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.1350
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.1350
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.1400
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.1400
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.1400
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.1400
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.1400
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.1400
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.1400
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.1400
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.1400
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.1400
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.1400
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.1400
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.1400
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.1400
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.1400
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.1400
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.1400
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.1400
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.1400
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.1400
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.1400
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.1400
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.1400
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.1400
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 15.27, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.8600
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.8600
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.8600
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.8600
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.8600
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.8600
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.8600
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.8600
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.8600
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.8600
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.8600
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.8600
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.8600
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.8600
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.8600
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.8600
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.8600
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.8600
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.8600
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.8600
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.8600
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.8600
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.8600
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.8600
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.8600
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.8600
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.8600
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.8600
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.8600
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8700, Price range: 0.8700 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.1400
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.1400
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.1400
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.1400
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.1400
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.1400
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.1400
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.1400
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.1400
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.1400
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.1400
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.1400
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.1400
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.1400
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.1400
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.1400
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.1400
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.1400
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.1400
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.1400
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.1400
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.1400
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.1400
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.1400
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.1400
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.1400
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.1400
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.1400
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.1400
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 33.02, Sell volume: 64.99, Average price: 0.7140, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.8600
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.8600
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.8600
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.8600
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.8600
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.8600
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.8600
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.8600
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.8600
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.8600
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.8600
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.8600
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.8600
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.8600
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.8600
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.8600
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.8600
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.8600
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.8600
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.8600
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.8600
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.8600
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.8600
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.8600
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.8600
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.8600
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.8600
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.8600
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8600
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 23.60, Average price: 0.7060, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.1400
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.1400
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.1400
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.1400
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.1400
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.1400
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.1400
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.1400
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.1400
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.1400
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1400
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1400
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.1400
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.1400
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1400
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1400
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.1400
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.1350
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.1350
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.1400
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1400
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.1300
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.1250
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.1250
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1250
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1350
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1223.63, Sell volume: 124.02, Average price: 0.6460, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.8700
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.8700
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.8700
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.8750
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.8700
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.8750
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.8700
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.8700
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.8750
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.8750
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.8750
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.8650
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.8650
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.8650
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.8650
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.8650
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.8650
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.8600
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.8650
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.8650
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.8650
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 736.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6967, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.1250
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.1200
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.1150
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.1150
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.1100
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.1100
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.1200
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.1200
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.1200
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.1150
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.1200
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.1200
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.1200
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0850
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0900
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0850
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0700
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0650
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0700
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0700
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 466.63, Sell volume: 40.99, Average price: 0.6365, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9203
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9300
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9300
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.9300
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9300
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.9300
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9350
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.9350
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.9400
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9150
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9250
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9250
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.9250
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.9250
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9500
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.9500
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.9500
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9500
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9500
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.9500
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.9250
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9250
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.9250
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9300
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.9250
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9300
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.9300
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.9250
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.9300
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9300
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 860.65, Sell volume: 55.94, Average price: 0.8692, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517003
Question: Will WeWork declare bankruptcy before July?
Volume: 20384.911736
Price History:
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0700
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0505
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0525
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0520
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0520
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0495
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0495
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0500
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0520
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0470
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0530
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0290
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0300
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0325
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.0310
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.0300
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.0300
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0300
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0320
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0320
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0255
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0320
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.0225
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0225
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.0130
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0120
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0120
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0080
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0070
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 3255.20, Sell volume: 2585.16, Average price: 0.9472, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641399
Question: Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 510360.215536
Price History:
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7250
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.4000
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.6000
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.3800
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.6200
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.3550
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.3600
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.6100
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 200528986.20, Sell volume: 67271591.66, Average price: 0.5292, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641399
Question: Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 510360.215536
Price History:
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.4750
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.6800
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.3200
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.7000
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.3000
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.2600
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.5750
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.4250
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 200528986.20, Sell volume: 67271591.66, Average price: 0.5292, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641399
Question: Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 510360.215536
Price History:
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.4550
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.5450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.3150
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.6850
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.3100
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.6900
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.3100
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.6900
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.3100
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.6900
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 200528986.20, Sell volume: 67271591.66, Average price: 0.5292, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641399
Question: Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 510360.215536
Price History:
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2000
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.8000
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.1950
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17982, Buy volume: 2582700.16, Sell volume: 39960.00, Average price: 0.4030, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641399
Question: Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 510360.215536
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1900
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.8100
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.1900
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.8100
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.8200
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13986, Buy volume: 1874319.67, Sell volume: 193806.00, Average price: 0.5512, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641399
Question: Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 510360.215536
Price History:
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.1700
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.8300
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2100
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.7900
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39960, Buy volume: 6677347.02, Sell volume: 548990.46, Average price: 0.6281, Price range: 0.1910 - 0.8400

Output: No