Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538712
Question: Will the next Pope be named Clement?
Volume: 7649.87402
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9750
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9750
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9765
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9750
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 183.33, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538712
Question: Will the next Pope be named Clement?
Volume: 7649.87402
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0255
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0255
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0215
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0215
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0215
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0215
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0175
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0155
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0185
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0115
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0155
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0185
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1214.70, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538712
Question: Will the next Pope be named Clement?
Volume: 7649.87402
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9690
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9670
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9640
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9630
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9625
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9625
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9620
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9610
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9600
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9600
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9600
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9590
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 116.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0430, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.0430
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538712
Question: Will the next Pope be named Clement?
Volume: 7649.87402
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0410
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0410
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 6494.98, Sell volume: 1154.89, Average price: 0.6981, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538712
Question: Will the next Pope be named Clement?
Volume: 7649.87402
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9610
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9605
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9595
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9590
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9590
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9590
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9590
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9590
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9590
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9590
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9590
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9590
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 6494.98, Sell volume: 1154.89, Average price: 0.6981, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538712
Question: Will the next Pope be named Clement?
Volume: 7649.87402
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0410
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0410
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0410
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0410
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0410
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0410
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0410
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0410
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0410
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0405
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0410
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0385
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0425
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0420
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0425
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0440
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0445
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0455
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0460
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0465
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0470
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0455
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0455
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0450
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0455
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 547.56, Sell volume: 206.00, Average price: 0.6514, Price range: 0.0366 - 0.9598
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538712
Question: Will the next Pope be named Clement?
Volume: 7649.87402
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9530
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9530
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9530
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9525
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9525
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9575
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9700
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9695
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9690
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9665
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9650
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9655
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9645
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9620
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9625
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9625
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9615
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9625
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9625
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9620
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9730
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9640
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9635
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9625
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9655
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 56.12, Sell volume: 442.20, Average price: 0.4991, Price range: 0.0392 - 0.9560
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538712
Question: Will the next Pope be named Clement?
Volume: 7649.87402
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0330
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0365
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0370
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0380
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0380
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0380
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0375
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0250
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0330
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0360
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0365
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0370
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0365
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0380
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0380
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0375
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0370
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0365
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0380
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0370
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0375
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0385
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0375
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0380
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0375
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0365
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0365
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0365
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 6494.98, Sell volume: 1154.89, Average price: 0.6981, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538712
Question: Will the next Pope be named Clement?
Volume: 7649.87402
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9620
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9620
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9620
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9615
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9620
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9620
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9620
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9620
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9615
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9625
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9610
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9620
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9615
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9610
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9610
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9625
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9595
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9595
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9610
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9610
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9610
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9615
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9610
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9605
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9600
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9595
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9595
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 273.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0476, Price range: 0.0475 - 0.0477
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538712
Question: Will the next Pope be named Clement?
Volume: 7649.87402
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0390
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0390
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0400
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0400
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0395
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0410
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0405
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0405
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0400
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0405
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0380
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 121.80, Sell volume: 45.09, Average price: 0.9666, Price range: 0.9530 - 0.9720
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538712
Question: Will the next Pope be named Clement?
Volume: 7649.87402
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9625
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9620
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9620
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9610
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9620
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9630
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9620
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9625
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9620
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9615
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9615
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9620
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9615
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9625
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9720
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9700
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 179.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7387, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9710
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538712
Question: Will the next Pope be named Clement?
Volume: 7649.87402
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0340
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0355
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0355
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0355
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0325
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0315
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0295
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0305
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0310
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0215
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0230
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0245
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0255
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0220
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0230
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0190
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0245
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0255
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0210
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0235
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0250
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0375
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0295
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0270
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0300
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0265
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0355
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0355
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 3483.74, Sell volume: 261.60, Average price: 0.6935, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-05 18:00: 0.5000
2024-06-05 18:00: 0.5000
2024-06-05 19:00: 0.0150
2024-06-05 19:00: 0.9850
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.0155
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.9845
2024-06-05 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-05 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-05 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-05 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 01:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 01:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 02:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 02:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 03:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 03:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 04:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 04:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.0060, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 12:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 13:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 15:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2239.49, Sell volume: 3675.89, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-06 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 00:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 00:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 01:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 01:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 02:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 02:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 03:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 03:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 04:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 265.26, Sell volume: 265.26, Average price: 0.9985, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-07 04:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 05:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 05:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 11:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 12:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 13:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1030.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-07 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 16:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2239.49, Sell volume: 3675.89, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2239.49, Sell volume: 3675.89, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2239.49, Sell volume: 3675.89, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 199.20, Sell volume: 199.19, Average price: 0.9985, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 700.00, Sell volume: 199.19, Average price: 0.0015, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2807.25, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-05 18:00: 0.5000
2024-06-05 18:00: 0.5000
2024-06-05 19:00: 0.0150
2024-06-05 19:00: 0.9850
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.0155
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.9845
2024-06-05 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-05 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-05 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-05 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 01:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 01:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 02:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 02:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 03:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 03:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 04:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 04:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.0060, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 12:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 13:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 15:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2239.49, Sell volume: 3675.89, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-06 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-06 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-06 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 00:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 00:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 01:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 01:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 02:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 02:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 03:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 03:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 04:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 265.26, Sell volume: 265.26, Average price: 0.9985, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-07 04:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 05:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 05:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 11:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 12:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 13:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1030.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-07 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 16:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2239.49, Sell volume: 3675.89, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2239.49, Sell volume: 3675.89, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2239.49, Sell volume: 3675.89, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 199.20, Sell volume: 199.19, Average price: 0.9985, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 700.00, Sell volume: 199.19, Average price: 0.0015, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502156
Question: Will another candidate win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 5915.384
Price History:
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2807.25, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4850
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7450
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2400
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.7600
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.8400
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1650
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.8350
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1650
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8350
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1650
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8350
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1650
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8350
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1600
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.8400
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9705
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0325
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9675
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0325
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9675
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0315
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9685
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9705
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0260
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9740
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0270
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9730
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0265
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9735
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0265
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9735
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0280
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 281.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8949, Price range: 0.0426 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9750
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0280
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0275
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0270
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0255
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0275
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0240
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9760
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0245
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0260
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0230
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9770
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.7400, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0275
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9725
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0290
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9710
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0265
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9735
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0245
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9755
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9770
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9775
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9895
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9900
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9900
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 802.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7645, Price range: 0.0195 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0225
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9775
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0230
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9770
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0235
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9765
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9870
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0185
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9815
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9790
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0215
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0215
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0195
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9805
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0230
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9770
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0245
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9755
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0270
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9730
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0175
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9825
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0225
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9775
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0225
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9775
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0190
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9810
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0225
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9775
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0230
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9770
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0240
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9760
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0195
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9805
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 4431.80, Sell volume: 123.57, Average price: 0.8006, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0200
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0225
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9775
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0240
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9760
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9775
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0210
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9790
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9800
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9800
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9795
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9795
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9795
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9795
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9795
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9795
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9795
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0195
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9805
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9810
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0185
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9815
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9795
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9795
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9800
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0195
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9805
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9795
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0195
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9805
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0195
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 4431.80, Sell volume: 123.57, Average price: 0.8006, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0195
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9850
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0165
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9835
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0160
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9840
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0195
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0160
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9840
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0165
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9835
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0185
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0175
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9825
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9850
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0155
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9845
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0240
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9760
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0260
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9740
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0275
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9725
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0295
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9705
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0300
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9700
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0295
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9705
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9705
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0285
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9715
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0300
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9700
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0305
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9695
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0305
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9695
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 167.15, Sell volume: 5.04, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0335
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9665
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0330
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9670
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0325
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9675
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0255
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9745
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0260
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9740
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0270
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9730
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9705
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0305
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9695
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9705
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0305
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9695
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9705
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0290
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9710
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0305
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9695
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0295
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9705
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0325
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9675
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0335
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9665
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0330
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9670
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0330
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9670
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0295
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9705
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0305
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9695
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0310
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9690
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0300
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9700
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0295
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9705
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0290
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9710
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0310
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 179.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7871, Price range: 0.0366 - 0.9760

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9705
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0300
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9700
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0300
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9700
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0300
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9700
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0295
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9705
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0230
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9770
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0285
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9715
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0285
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9715
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0275
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9725
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0275
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9725
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0230
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9770
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0245
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9755
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0200
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0240
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9760
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0275
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9725
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0285
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9715
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0300
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9700
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0290
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9710
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0295
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9705
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0285
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9715
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 33.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9750, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0245
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9755
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0255
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9745
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9705
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0300
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9700
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9705
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0290
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9710
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0300
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9700
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0300
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9700
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0300
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9700
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0290
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9710
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0300
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9700
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9705
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9705
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0300
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9700
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0300
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9700
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9705
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0275
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9725
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0290
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9710
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0275
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9725
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0290
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9710
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0290
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9710
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 4431.80, Sell volume: 123.57, Average price: 0.8006, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0285
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0285
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0220
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9780
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0260
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9740
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0220
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9780
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0235
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9765
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0240
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9760
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0275
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9725
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0285
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0300
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9700
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0305
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9695
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9690
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9690
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0290
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9710
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0300
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9700
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0300
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9700
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0290
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9710
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0305
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9695
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9690
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0305
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9695
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9690
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 383.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0320, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.0330

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0295
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9705
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0295
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9705
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0305
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9695
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9690
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9690
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9690
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9685
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9685
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9685
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9685
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0300
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9700
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0300
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9700
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0310
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9690
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0310
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9690
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9685
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9685
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9685
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9685
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0300
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9700
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0310
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9690
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0300
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9700
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0325
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9675
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9685
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9780
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0260
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 280.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8460, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9710

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9705
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0305
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9695
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0310
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9690
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0305
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9695
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0300
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9700
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0310
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9690
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0330
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9670
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0315
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9685
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0310
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9690
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0310
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9690
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0310
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9690
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0315
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9685
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0320
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9680
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0355
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9645
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0360
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9640
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0365
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9635
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0350
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0355
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9645
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0350
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0355
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9645
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0345
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9655
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0340
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9660
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0360
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9640
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0340
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9660
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9640
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 201.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7372, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9710

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0295
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9705
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0295
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9705
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0295
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9705
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0295
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9705
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0300
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9700
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0300
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9700
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0295
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9705
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0315
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9685
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0290
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9710
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0290
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9710
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0290
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9710
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0290
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9710
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0295
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9705
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0290
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9710
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0290
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9710
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9710
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9710
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9710
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9710
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9710
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9710
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9710
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0295
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9705
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9710
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0285
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2052.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8368, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9764

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4850
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2400
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1650
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1650
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1650
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1650
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1600
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0325
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0325
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0315
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0260
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0270
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0265
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0265
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0280
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0285
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0280
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0285
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 281.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8949, Price range: 0.0426 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9750
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9760
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9770
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9755
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9770
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9720
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.7400, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0275
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0290
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0265
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0245
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0110
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0110
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 802.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7645, Price range: 0.0195 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9775
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9770
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9765
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9870
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9815
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9790
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9805
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9770
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9755
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9730
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9825
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9775
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9775
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9810
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9775
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9770
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9760
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9805
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9775
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9810
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 4431.80, Sell volume: 123.57, Average price: 0.8006, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0200
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0240
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0210
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0195
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0185
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0195
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0195
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0195
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0195
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0190
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0195
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 4431.80, Sell volume: 123.57, Average price: 0.8006, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9850
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9835
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9840
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9840
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9835
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9825
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9850
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9845
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9760
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9740
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9725
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9705
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9700
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9705
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9705
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9715
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9700
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9695
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9695
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9695
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9680
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9670
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9675
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 167.15, Sell volume: 5.04, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0335
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0330
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0325
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0255
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0260
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0270
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0305
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0305
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0290
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0305
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0295
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0325
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0335
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0330
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0330
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0295
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0305
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0310
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0300
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0295
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0290
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0310
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0300
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0300
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0300
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 179.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7871, Price range: 0.0366 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9705
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9700
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9700
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9700
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9705
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9770
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9715
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9715
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9725
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9725
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9770
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9755
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9760
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9725
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9715
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9700
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9710
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9705
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9715
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9785
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9760
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9730
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 33.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9750, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0245
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0255
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0300
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0290
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0300
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0300
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0300
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0290
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0300
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0300
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0300
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0275
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0290
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0275
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0290
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0285
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0290
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0275
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0275
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 4431.80, Sell volume: 123.57, Average price: 0.8006, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9780
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9740
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9780
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9765
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9760
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9725
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9700
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9695
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9690
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9690
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9710
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9700
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9700
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9710
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9695
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9690
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9695
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9690
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9695
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9695
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9690
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9690
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 383.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0320, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.0330
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0295
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0295
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0305
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0310
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0300
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0300
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0310
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0310
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0300
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0310
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0300
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0325
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0315
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0260
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0255
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0255
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0300
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 280.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8460, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9710
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9705
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9695
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9690
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9695
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9700
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9690
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9670
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9685
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9690
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9690
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9690
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9685
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9680
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9645
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9640
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9635
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9645
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9650
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9645
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9655
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9660
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9640
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9660
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9640
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9645
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9680
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9685
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9680
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 201.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7372, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9710
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538713
Question: Will the next Pope be named Innocent?
Volume: 4555.367199
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0295
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0295
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0295
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0295
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0300
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0300
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0295
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0315
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0290
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0290
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0290
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0290
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0295
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0290
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0295
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0285
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0350
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2052.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8368, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9764
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4900
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5100
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7450
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2400
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.7600
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.8150
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1900
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.8100
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1900
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8100
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1900
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8100
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1800
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8200
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1800
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.8200
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9705
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0325
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9675
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0325
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9675
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0315
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9685
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9705
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 166.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9247, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9750
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0295
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0295
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0295
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0300
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0295
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0255
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0265
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9735
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0275
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0235
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9765
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0235
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9765
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0270
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0275
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0295
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0305
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0305
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0270
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.7395, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9790

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0220
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9780
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9770
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9775
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0205
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9795
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0205
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9795
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0205
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9795
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0205
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9795
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9905
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9875
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9905
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9885
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0130
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9870
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9885
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0110
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9890
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0130
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9870
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9920
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9920
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9915
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9915
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1112.15, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.6084, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9735
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0275
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9725
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0280
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9720
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0290
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9710
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0280
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9720
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0315
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9685
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0335
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9665
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0345
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9655
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0345
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9655
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0345
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9655
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0340
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9660
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0195
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9805
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0230
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9770
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0250
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9750
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0265
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9735
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0275
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9725
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0295
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9705
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0345
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9655
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0360
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9640
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9650
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0350
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9650
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0290
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9710
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0330
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9670
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0325
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 256.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0389, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.0397

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0335
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9665
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0345
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9655
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9640
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9640
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0340
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9660
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0345
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9655
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0340
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9660
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9720
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0310
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9690
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0260
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9740
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0335
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9665
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0235
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9765
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0290
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9710
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9775
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9640
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.70, Average price: 0.9620, Price range: 0.9620 - 0.9620

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0360
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9640
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0365
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0365
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0365
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0365
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0365
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0365
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0365
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0365
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0365
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9630
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0370
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9630
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0375
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9625
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0370
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9630
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0390
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9610
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0405
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9595
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.99, Average price: 0.9590, Price range: 0.9590 - 0.9590

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0325
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9675
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0280
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9720
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0320
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9680
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0325
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9675
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0325
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9675
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0275
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9725
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0305
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9695
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0330
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9670
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0275
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9725
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9705
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0310
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9690
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0320
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9680
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0320
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9680
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0325
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9675
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0335
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9665
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0315
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9685
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0240
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9760
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0275
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9725
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0270
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9730
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0275
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9725
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0275
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9725
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0225
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9775
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0235
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9765
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0265
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9735
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0220
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 156.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9777, Price range: 0.9708 - 0.9810

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9730
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0265
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9735
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9800
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0195
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0200
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0185
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9815
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0180
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0180
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0180
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0175
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0175
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0175
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0180
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0185
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9815
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0185
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9815
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0185
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9815
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0180
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0180
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0185
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9815
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 33.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9835, Price range: 0.9780 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9820
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9825
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9820
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0185
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9815
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9825
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0185
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9815
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9820
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9820
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0185
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9815
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0185
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9815
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9825
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9825
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9825
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9820
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9825
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9825
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9825
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9820
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9820
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9825
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9825
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0180
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9820
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0180
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9820
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0175
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9825
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0170
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 4131.25, Sell volume: 277.62, Average price: 0.8182, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9820
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0180
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9820
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0175
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9825
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0175
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9825
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9840
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0160
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9840
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0160
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0175
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9825
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0180
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9820
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 407.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0272, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.0274

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0180
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9820
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0205
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0190
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9810
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9835
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0195
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9805
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9855
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9850
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9840
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0145
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9855
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0170
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9830
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0195
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9805
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9830
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0225
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9775
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9840
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0160
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9840
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9850
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0140
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9860
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9850
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0160
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9840
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0155
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9845
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0145
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9855
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0155
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9845
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0130
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 256.43, Sell volume: 3.93, Average price: 0.7950, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9865
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9840
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0145
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0155
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9845
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0135
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9865
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0155
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9845
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9840
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0145
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0195
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9805
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0230
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0230
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0230
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0230
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0230
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0230
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0235
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0235
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 579.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7526, Price range: 0.0283 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9640
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0350
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9650
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0265
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9735
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0270
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9730
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0275
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9725
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0230
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9770
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0260
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9740
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0245
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9755
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0255
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9745
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0255
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9745
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9830
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0240
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9760
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9800
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9845
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9825
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9845
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9850
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9860
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9860
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9850
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 919.13, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.9610, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4900
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2400
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1900
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1900
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1900
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1800
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1800
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0325
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0325
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0315
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 166.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9247, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9750
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9735
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9765
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9765
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9755
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9710
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.7395, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0220
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0205
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0205
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0205
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0205
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0130
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0110
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0130
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1112.15, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.6084, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9735
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9725
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9720
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9710
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9720
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9685
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9665
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9655
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9655
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9655
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9660
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9805
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9770
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9750
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9735
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9725
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9705
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9655
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9640
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9650
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9650
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9710
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9670
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9650
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9650
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9655
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9650
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 256.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0389, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.0397
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes