Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0100
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0095
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0095
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0095
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0095
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0090
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0100
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0100
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0100
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0100
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0060
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 301.08, Sell volume: 258.25, Average price: 0.8663, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0040, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.0040

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0095
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0095
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 279, Buy volume: 5038.83, Sell volume: 6681.60, Average price: 0.9154, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 205.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 1261.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9968, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 294.80, Sell volume: 399.98, Average price: 0.9358, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 2337.60, Sell volume: 1285.67, Average price: 0.9480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 279, Buy volume: 5038.83, Sell volume: 6681.60, Average price: 0.9154, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 210.89, Sell volume: 4180.66, Average price: 0.7494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 279, Buy volume: 5038.83, Sell volume: 6681.60, Average price: 0.9154, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0210
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9795
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0190
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9840
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9840
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9840
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9840
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9840
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0160
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0160
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9840
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0160
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0160
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 51.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0165
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0165
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0165
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9835
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0205
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9800
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9805
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0155
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0120
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0065
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0130
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9850
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0135
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9860
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0120
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0120
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 364.44, Sell volume: 537.04, Average price: 0.7925, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0100
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0095
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9910
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9910
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9910
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0100
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9910
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9910
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9910
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 301.08, Sell volume: 258.25, Average price: 0.8663, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9910
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9910
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9910
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9910
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9910
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9910
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9910
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9910
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9910
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9910
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9910
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9910
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9910
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9910
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9910
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9910
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0090
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9910
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9910
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9910
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9910
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0040, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.0040
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0095
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9905
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9910
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9910
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9910
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9910
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 279, Buy volume: 5038.83, Sell volume: 6681.60, Average price: 0.9154, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9910
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9910
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9910
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9910
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9910
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9910
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9910
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9910
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9910
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9910
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9910
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9910
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9910
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 205.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9915
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 1261.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9968, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 294.80, Sell volume: 399.98, Average price: 0.9358, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 2337.60, Sell volume: 1285.67, Average price: 0.9480, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 279, Buy volume: 5038.83, Sell volume: 6681.60, Average price: 0.9154, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 210.89, Sell volume: 4180.66, Average price: 0.7494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641827
Question: Will Bold Leonidas win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11720.43325
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 279, Buy volume: 5038.83, Sell volume: 6681.60, Average price: 0.9154, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9650
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0350
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9705
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9705
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9700
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9720
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0280
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0240
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0230
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9770
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0230
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.3470, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9820
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9810
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9815
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9810
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9810
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9825
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9825
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9880
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9890
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9840
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9850
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9850
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9890
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9890
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9890
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9890
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9890
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9880
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9880
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9890
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9895
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9895
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 567.20, Sell volume: 341.42, Average price: 0.8682, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9895
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9895
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9905
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9905
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9745
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9855
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9850
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9850
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9850
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9860
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9860
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9850
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9850
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9855
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9815
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9815
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9815
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9820
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9820
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9810
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9815
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9810
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9805
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9800
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9805
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 921.12, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.8597, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9800
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9670
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9625
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9625
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9625
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9625
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9675
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9675
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9675
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9675
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9675
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9545
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9550
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9545
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9130
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9115
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9160
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9155
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9130
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9135
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9145
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9090
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9090
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9090
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9095
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9230
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9280
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9215
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9215
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9215
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9280
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9305
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9275
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9275
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9275
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9275
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9275
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9275
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9275
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9275
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9275
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9275
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9275
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 398.00, Sell volume: 194.92, Average price: 0.2082, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9270
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9270
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9425
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9430
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9425
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9445
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9470
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9465
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9455
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9460
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9475
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9470
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9470
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9385
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9385
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9385
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9385
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9385
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9385
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9385
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9380
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9385
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9385
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9445
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9445
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9445
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9445
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9445
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 94.46, Sell volume: 82.00, Average price: 0.5113, Price range: 0.0336 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9885
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9885
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9885
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9890
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9890
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9890
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9890
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9425
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9425
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9425
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9425
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9425
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9430
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9430
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9430
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9425
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9430
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9745
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9745
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9745
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9745
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9745
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9745
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9750
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9750
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9750
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9750
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9750
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 539.33, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.9925, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9920
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9920
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9920
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9920
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9920
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9920
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9920
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 305.28, Sell volume: 262.18, Average price: 0.6229, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 1208.08, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.9806, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9981

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 212.46, Sell volume: 578.75, Average price: 0.6106, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 2607.95, Sell volume: 652.46, Average price: 0.9556, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 375, Buy volume: 10182.61, Sell volume: 10342.30, Average price: 0.8707, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1318.71, Sell volume: 6789.76, Average price: 0.9293, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1907.38, Sell volume: 1322.15, Average price: 0.8079, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0350
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0295
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9700
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0280
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9765
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9760
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0230
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0230
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0210
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0210
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0210
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0210
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0210
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9790
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.3470, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0215
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0215
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9810
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0185
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0190
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9825
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0175
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9890
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9850
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9890
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9880
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 567.20, Sell volume: 341.42, Average price: 0.8682, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0100
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0100
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0100
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0100
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0100
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0100
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9900
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0105
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0255
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9850
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0150
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9860
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0140
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9850
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0145
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9815
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0185
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9820
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 921.12, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.8597, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9800
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0330
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9625
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0375
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9675
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0325
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9675
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0325
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9545
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9130
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0885
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9155
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9130
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0865
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0910
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9090
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0905
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9230
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0720
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9215
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0785
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9280
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0695
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9275
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0725
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9275
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 398.00, Sell volume: 194.92, Average price: 0.2082, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9270
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0730
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9430
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0575
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9470
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0535
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0555
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9475
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0530
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9385
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0615
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9385
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0615
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9385
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0620
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9385
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0555
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0555
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9445
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0555
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9445
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0555
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9445
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0555
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0110
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 94.46, Sell volume: 82.00, Average price: 0.5113, Price range: 0.0336 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9885
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0110
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0110
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0110
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0110
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0110
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0110
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9890
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0110
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9890
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0110
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9890
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0575
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9425
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0575
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9430
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0570
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9425
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0570
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9745
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0255
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9745
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 539.33, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.9925, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9920
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9920
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0080
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 305.28, Sell volume: 262.18, Average price: 0.6229, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 1208.08, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.9806, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9981
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 212.46, Sell volume: 578.75, Average price: 0.6106, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 2607.95, Sell volume: 652.46, Average price: 0.9556, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 375, Buy volume: 10182.61, Sell volume: 10342.30, Average price: 0.8707, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1318.71, Sell volume: 6789.76, Average price: 0.9293, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641829
Question: Will Eyearea win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 20524.90612
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1907.38, Sell volume: 1322.15, Average price: 0.8079, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0245
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0245
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0230
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0230
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.3373, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0165
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0165
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0040
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0110
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 693.99, Sell volume: 545.13, Average price: 0.8151, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0060
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0060
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0035
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 276.05, Sell volume: 900.23, Average price: 0.7259, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0720
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0470
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0320
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0200
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0225
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0355
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0150
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0455
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 100.20, Sell volume: 310.19, Average price: 0.4997, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0520
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0380
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0605
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0435
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0390
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0585
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0180
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0635
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0265
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0205
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0735
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0185
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0660
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0180
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0185
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0195
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0345
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0280
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0360
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0290
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0145
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0130
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0290
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0160
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0095
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0145
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0255
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0175
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0225
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0205
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 372, Buy volume: 59973.55, Sell volume: 37054.96, Average price: 0.7855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0080
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0335
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0295
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0275
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0200
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0340
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0320
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0270
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0320
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0190
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0310
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0270
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0250
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0220
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0180
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0140
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0100
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0320
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0120
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0300
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0090
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0340
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0340
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0340
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0350
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0345
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0325
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0890
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0475
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0655
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0645
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0615
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0615
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1235
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.1225
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.1110
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1220
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.1230
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1230
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1230
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1230
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0955
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 4691.33, Sell volume: 1169.55, Average price: 0.7718, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1325
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.1310
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0910
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0625
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0620
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0155
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0430
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0325
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0140
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0140
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0125
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0120
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 36323.69, Sell volume: 17174.34, Average price: 0.6707, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 16388.26, Sell volume: 9160.03, Average price: 0.9658, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 69.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1222.13, Sell volume: 6615.49, Average price: 0.3794, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1001.00, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9755
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9770
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.3373, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0165
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0165
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9910
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9890
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 693.99, Sell volume: 545.13, Average price: 0.8151, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0060
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 276.05, Sell volume: 900.23, Average price: 0.7259, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0720
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9530
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0200
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 100.20, Sell volume: 310.19, Average price: 0.4997, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0380
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0435
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9610
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0585
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9820
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0265
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9795
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0185
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9340
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0180
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0195
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9655
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9720
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0290
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9855
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0290
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9840
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0300
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 372, Buy volume: 59973.55, Sell volume: 37054.96, Average price: 0.7855, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0080
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9910
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0295
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9725
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0270
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9680
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9650
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0270
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9750
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0180
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9860
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9680
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0090
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641831
Question: Will Rektmando win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 97028.512326
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0340
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9660
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0350
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9655
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0890
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9525
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0645
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9385
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.1235
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.8775
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 4691.33, Sell volume: 1169.55, Average price: 0.7718, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes