Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0090
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9910
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0090
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9910
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0070
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9930
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 290, Buy volume: 13087.17, Sell volume: 9283.45, Average price: 0.6019, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.2450
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.7550
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.2700
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9100
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9200
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0450
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.9550
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0400
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9600
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0270
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9730
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0270
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9730
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0225
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9775
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0225
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58998117.76, Sell volume: 25974269.08, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0225
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9775
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0225
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9775
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0225
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9775
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0225
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9775
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0335
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9665
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0330
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9670
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0300
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9700
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9765
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0300
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9700
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0305
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9695
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0305
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9695
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0275
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9725
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0255
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9745
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9765
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58998117.76, Sell volume: 25974269.08, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0200
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9800
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0195
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9805
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0120
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9880
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0090
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9910
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0085
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9915
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0130
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9870
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0130
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9870
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0125
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9875
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9880
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9880
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9880
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9880
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9880
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0125
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58998117.76, Sell volume: 25974269.08, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0125
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9875
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9865
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0110
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9890
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0120
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9880
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0120
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9880
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9880
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0125
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9875
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0120
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9880
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0110
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9890
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0105
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9895
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0105
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9895
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0125
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9875
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0120
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9880
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0120
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58998117.76, Sell volume: 25974269.08, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0080
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9920
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0080
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9920
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0080
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9920
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0085
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9915
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0090
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58998117.76, Sell volume: 25974269.08, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0095
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9905
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9905
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0105
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9895
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.9905
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0090
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9910
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0090
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.9910
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0110
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9890
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0100
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9900
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0100
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9900
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0105
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9895
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0100
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.9900
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0095
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9905
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0090
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.9910
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0090
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9910
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0080
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58998117.76, Sell volume: 25974269.08, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1998, Buy volume: 59920.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9940, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9930
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9930
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9930
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9925
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9915
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9945
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 257742, Buy volume: 25027498.89, Sell volume: 6832380.78, Average price: 0.6253, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0205
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9795
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0205
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9795
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.2315
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.7685
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.1590
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.8410
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0315
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9685
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0345
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9655
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0300
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9700
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0255
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9745
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0345
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9655
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0325
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9675
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0325
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9675
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0285
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9715
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0220
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9780
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0175
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 447552, Buy volume: 17804021.15, Sell volume: 14308457.22, Average price: 0.6336, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9890
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9890
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9885
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9885
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9885
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9885
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9885
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9885
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0125
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9875
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0125
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9875
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0125
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9875
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0125
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9875
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9855
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113886, Buy volume: 7839873.43, Sell volume: 1161457.38, Average price: 0.7138, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9895
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9855
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9855
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9855
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9860
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0120
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9880
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0120
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9880
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0120
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9880
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9865
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0125
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9885
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153884, Buy volume: 8113873.75, Sell volume: 3479779.93, Average price: 0.7983, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9890
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9890
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9885
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9885
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9885
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9890
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9890
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9890
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9890
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9890
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9890
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9890
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 663, Buy volume: 13740.57, Sell volume: 8536.32, Average price: 0.8027, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0090
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9910
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0090
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9910
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0070
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9930
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 290, Buy volume: 13087.17, Sell volume: 9283.45, Average price: 0.6019, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0410
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9590
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0725
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9275
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0630
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9370
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9580
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0420
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0515
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 690957406.16, Sell volume: 168653654.65, Average price: 0.4728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9370
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0630
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0880
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9120
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0830
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 690957406.16, Sell volume: 168653654.65, Average price: 0.4728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0915
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9085
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9025
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0975
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0975
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9025
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.1580
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.8420
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.1510
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.8490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 690957406.16, Sell volume: 168653654.65, Average price: 0.4728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0920
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9080
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.1335
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.8665
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.1440
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.8560
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.1520
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.8480
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.1205
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.8795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 690957406.16, Sell volume: 168653654.65, Average price: 0.4728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.8820
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.1180
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.1445
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.8555
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.8860
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.1140
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9190
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0810
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0875
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55944, Buy volume: 125291980.29, Sell volume: 30939629.40, Average price: 0.3815, Price range: 0.0550 - 0.9430

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0925
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9075
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0845
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9155
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0490
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9510
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0615
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 419580, Buy volume: 172627918.59, Sell volume: 23793922.26, Average price: 0.5398, Price range: 0.0414 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0915
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9085
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.8675
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.1325
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9005
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0995
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0865
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 271876, Buy volume: 126183433.86, Sell volume: 49779279.61, Average price: 0.3749, Price range: 0.0664 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9245
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0755
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0410
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9590
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0210
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9875
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0125
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 466, Buy volume: 592673.53, Sell volume: 176228.82, Average price: 0.4358, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 302, Buy volume: 578330.56, Sell volume: 431548.74, Average price: 0.5593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 302, Buy volume: 578330.56, Sell volume: 431548.74, Average price: 0.5593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 302, Buy volume: 578330.56, Sell volume: 431548.74, Average price: 0.5593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 302, Buy volume: 578330.56, Sell volume: 431548.74, Average price: 0.5593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 302, Buy volume: 578330.56, Sell volume: 431548.74, Average price: 0.5593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0410
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9590
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0725
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9275
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0630
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9370
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9580
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0420
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0515
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 690957406.16, Sell volume: 168653654.65, Average price: 0.4728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9370
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0630
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0880
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9120
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0830
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 690957406.16, Sell volume: 168653654.65, Average price: 0.4728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0915
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9085
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9025
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0975
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0975
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9025
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.1580
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.8420
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.1510
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.8490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 690957406.16, Sell volume: 168653654.65, Average price: 0.4728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0920
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9080
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.1335
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.8665
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.1440
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.8560
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.1520
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.8480
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.1205
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.8795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 690957406.16, Sell volume: 168653654.65, Average price: 0.4728, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.8820
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.1180
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.1445
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.8555
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.8860
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.1140
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9190
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0810
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0875
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55944, Buy volume: 125291980.29, Sell volume: 30939629.40, Average price: 0.3815, Price range: 0.0550 - 0.9430
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0925
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9075
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0845
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9155
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0490
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9510
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0550
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0615
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 419580, Buy volume: 172627918.59, Sell volume: 23793922.26, Average price: 0.5398, Price range: 0.0414 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0915
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9085
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.8675
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.1325
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9005
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0995
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0865
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 271876, Buy volume: 126183433.86, Sell volume: 49779279.61, Average price: 0.3749, Price range: 0.0664 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9245
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0755
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0410
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9590
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0210
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9875
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0125
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 466, Buy volume: 592673.53, Sell volume: 176228.82, Average price: 0.4358, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 302, Buy volume: 578330.56, Sell volume: 431548.74, Average price: 0.5593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 302, Buy volume: 578330.56, Sell volume: 431548.74, Average price: 0.5593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 302, Buy volume: 578330.56, Sell volume: 431548.74, Average price: 0.5593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 302, Buy volume: 578330.56, Sell volume: 431548.74, Average price: 0.5593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 693931
Question: Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 3484734.221107
Price History:
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 302, Buy volume: 578330.56, Sell volume: 431548.74, Average price: 0.5593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.8250
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.1750
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.7950
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.2050
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.7700
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.2300
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.7900
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.2100
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.2050
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.7950
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.1700
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.8100
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.1900
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.1600
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.8400
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.1400
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.1350
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.8750
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.1250
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.1150
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.8850
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.8900
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.1100
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.7150
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.2850
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.2900
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.7100
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.7200
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2800
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.6600
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.3400
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.7350
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.2650
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.8150
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 15773.41, Sell volume: 906.29, Average price: 0.4903, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.8650
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.8650
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.1550
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.8450
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.8450
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.1550
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.1500
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.8500
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.8650
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.8750
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.8750
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.8750
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.1200
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 4164.39, Sell volume: 23.97, Average price: 0.6862, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.8800
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.1200
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.8850
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.1150
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.7700
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.2300
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.6650
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.3350
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.7300
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.8250
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.1750
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.7800
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.2200
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.2750
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.7750
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.2250
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.7600
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.2400
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.7550
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.7600
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.2400
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.2400
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.7600
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.2150
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.7850
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.2150
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.7850
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.2000
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.8000
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.1900
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.8100
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.8100
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.1900
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.2050
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.7950
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.1750
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.1750
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.8250
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.1600
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.8400
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.1550
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.8450
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.1500
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.8500
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 5297.00, Sell volume: 1766.61, Average price: 0.5021, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.1550
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.8450
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.7950
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.2050
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.7850
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.2150
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.7800
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.2200
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.7850
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.2150
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.7950
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.2050
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.1600
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.1600
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.8400
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.1600
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.8400
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.1750
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.8250
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.8250
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.1750
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.1750
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.8250
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.1850
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.1850
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.1850
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.8150
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.8150
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.1850
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.1750
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.1750
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.1750
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.8300
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.1700
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.8400
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.1600
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.8400
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.1600
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.1600
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.8400
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.1600
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 5041.33, Sell volume: 282.01, Average price: 0.5798, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8885

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.1150
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.8850
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.1150
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.8850
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.1150
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.8850
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.1150
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.8850
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.1150
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.8850
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.1150
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.1150
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.8850
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.1150
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.8850
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.1150
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.8850
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.1200
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.8800
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.1650
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.8350
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.1250
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.8750
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.1550
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.8450
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.1400
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.8600
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.1350
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.8650
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.1750
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.8250
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.1750
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.8250
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.1750
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.8250
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.1750
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.8250
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.1550
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.8450
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.1600
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.8400
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.1550
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.8450
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.1800
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.8100
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 7773.27, Sell volume: 1160.80, Average price: 0.5284, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.8350
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.8350
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.1750
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.1800
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.8200
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.1700
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.8300
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.1550
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.8450
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.1500
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.8500
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.1500
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.8500
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.1500
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.8500
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.1350
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.8650
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.1250
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.8750
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.1250
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.8750
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.8800
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.1200
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.1100
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.8900
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.1100
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.8900
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9150
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0900
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9100
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0900
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9100
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.1000
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9000
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.1000
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9000
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.0800
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.9200
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.9200
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0750
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 4695.89, Sell volume: 1004.73, Average price: 0.6785, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0750
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0750
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.9250
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9250
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0900
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.9100
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.8850
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.0900
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.9100
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0900
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9100
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0900
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.9100
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 3518.22, Sell volume: 2103.07, Average price: 0.4946, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.0700
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.9300
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.9300
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0700
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0700
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9300
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.0700
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.9350
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.0650
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.0650
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.9350
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0650
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9350
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0650
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9350
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0650
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.9350
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.9350
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0650
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0650
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9350
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0650
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9350
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.0650
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.9350
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0650
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9350
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.0550
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9450
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.0550
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0550
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9450
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9450
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0550
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0500
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.9500
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0500
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1592.55, Sell volume: 1636.06, Average price: 0.7759, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0450
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.9550
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.9550
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.0450
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.0450
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9550
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0450
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.0250
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9750
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.9705
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0295
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9740
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0260
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0255
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9745
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.0335
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9665
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9660
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0340
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9645
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0355
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9605
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.0395
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9605
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0395
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.0395
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.9605
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9605
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0395
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9625
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0375
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0425
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.9575
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.9605
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0395
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.9610
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0390
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.9615
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0385
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9615
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.0385
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9615
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.0385
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.9615
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.0385
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9610
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0390
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.9610
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 4155.49, Sell volume: 1443.38, Average price: 0.7885, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9715
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0285
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9815
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0185
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0245
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9755
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.9750
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.0250
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.0285
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.9715
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0285
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9715
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0310
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9690
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9700
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.0300
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0240
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9760
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0250
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9750
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0260
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9740
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0275
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9725
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0265
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.9735
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.0300
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.9700
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.0305
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.9695
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9715
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0285
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.9710
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.0290
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0290
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9710
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0280
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9720
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.0260
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.9740
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.9750
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.0250
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9730
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0270
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.9755
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.0245
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0260
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9740
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0260
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 19705.52, Sell volume: 5023.97, Average price: 0.5562, Price range: 0.0258 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.9505
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.0495
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.9640
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.0360
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9820
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.0180
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9845
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.0140
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.9860
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9830
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0170
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9855
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0145
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.0085
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.9915
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.0090
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9910
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.9875
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.0125
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9880
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.0120
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9850
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0150
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0160
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.9840
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9685
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0315
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0335
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9665
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0210
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9790
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0215
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9785
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0220
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9780
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.0225
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.9775
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0225
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9775
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0220
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9780
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0215
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9785
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0230
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9770
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.0235
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.9765
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0240
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 12713.44, Sell volume: 6695.18, Average price: 0.7315, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0095
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9905
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0070
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9930
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0075
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9925
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0065
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9935
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0080
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9920
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0075
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9925
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0075
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9925
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0080
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9920
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0080
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9920
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0080
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9920
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0080
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9920
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0080
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9920
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0080
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9920
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0080
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9920
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0080
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9920
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0080
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9920
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0080
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9920
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0080
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9920
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0080
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9920
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0080
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9920
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0080
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9920
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0105
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9895
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9880
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0120
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0115
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9885
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9885
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 784.25, Sell volume: 1316.72, Average price: 0.7728, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9930
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0070
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0070
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9930
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9930
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0070
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9940
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0060
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9940
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0060
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9940
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0060
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9940
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0040
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9960
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9925
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0075
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0065
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9930
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0070
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9930
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0070
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9930
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0045
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9955
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0060
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0070
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0070
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0070
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0070
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 17766.72, Sell volume: 1598.09, Average price: 0.7540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.1750
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.7700
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.2100
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.1700
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.1900
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.8400
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.1400
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.1350
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.1150
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.1100
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.7150
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.7100
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.6600
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.2650
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.8150
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.8150
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.1750
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.8150
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.8400
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.1450
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.8450
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.8500
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.8450
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.8450
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 15773.41, Sell volume: 906.29, Average price: 0.4903, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.8650
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.1350
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.8450
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.8500
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.8650
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.1350
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.8750
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.1200
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.8800
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.1200
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.8800
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.1200
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.8800
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.1200
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.8800
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.1200
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.1200
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.1200
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.1200
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.1200
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 4164.39, Sell volume: 23.97, Average price: 0.6862, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.8800
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.1150
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.6650
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.7800
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.2750
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.7600
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.2400
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.7850
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.2000
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.8100
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.2050
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.1600
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.8450
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.8550
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.8600
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.1400
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.1400
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.1400
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.8500
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.1500
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.1950
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.1550
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 5297.00, Sell volume: 1766.61, Average price: 0.5021, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.1550
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.2050
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.7800
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.2150
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.8400
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.8250
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.1750
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.1850
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.1850
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.1850
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.8400
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.1600
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.1600
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.8400
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.1550
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.8400
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.1600
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.8850
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.1250
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.8750
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.1350
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.1350
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.1400
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.1400
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.8700
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 5041.33, Sell volume: 282.01, Average price: 0.5798, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8885
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.1150
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.8850
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.1150
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.8850
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.1150
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.8850
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.1200
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.8350
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.1550
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.8600
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.1750
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.8250
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.1750
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.8450
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.1600
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.8450
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.8100
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.8050
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.1850
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.8200
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.1850
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.1950
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.1850
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.1850
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.1850
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.8300
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.1750
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.8300
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.1650
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 7773.27, Sell volume: 1160.80, Average price: 0.5284, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.8350
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.1800
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.8300
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.1500
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.8500
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.1350
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.8750
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.8800
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.8900
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9100
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.1000
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9000
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0750
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9250
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.0750
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.9250
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0700
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9200
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0800
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 4695.89, Sell volume: 1004.73, Average price: 0.6785, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0750
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.9250
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9300
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0700
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0900
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.0900
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9100
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.9100
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0900
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.0900
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.0900
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.9100
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.9150
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9150
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.9200
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 3518.22, Sell volume: 2103.07, Average price: 0.4946, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.0700
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0700
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.0650
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.0650
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9350
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0650
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0650
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0650
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.9350
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.0550
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9450
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0500
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.9500
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.0500
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9500
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.0500
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.9500
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.9500
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0450
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9550
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.9550
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.9550
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.9550
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9550
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1592.55, Sell volume: 1636.06, Average price: 0.7759, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0450
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.0450
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9750
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9740
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9745
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9660
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0355
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9605
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.9605
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9625
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.9575
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.9610
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0385
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9615
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.0385
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.9610
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0385
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.9615
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.0385
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.9615
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0360
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9690
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.9680
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0320
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.0255
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9770
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.9800
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9770
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 4155.49, Sell volume: 1443.38, Average price: 0.7885, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9715
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0185
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.9750
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.9715
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0310
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.0300
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0250
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9740
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0265
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.9700
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9715
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.0290
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0280
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.9740
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9730
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.0245
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0260
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.9730
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.9595
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.0435
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.0655
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.1380
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8785
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.8705
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.1140
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9305
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.0665
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0745
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.0665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 19705.52, Sell volume: 5023.97, Average price: 0.5562, Price range: 0.0258 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.9505
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.0360
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.9860
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9855
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.9915
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.9875
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.0120
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0160
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0315
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0210
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9785
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.0225
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9775
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0215
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9770
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0240
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0225
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9815
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0090
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9945
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0080
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9920
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0075
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0070
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0090
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0090
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9955
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0045
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 12713.44, Sell volume: 6695.18, Average price: 0.7315, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0095
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9930
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0065
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9920
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0075
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9920
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0080
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9920
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0080
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9920
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0080
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9920
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0080
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9920
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0105
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0120
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9885
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0110
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9890
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0075
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0070
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9930
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0070
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9930
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0070
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0070
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 784.25, Sell volume: 1316.72, Average price: 0.7728, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573809
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by August 31?
Volume: 135031.653968
Price History:
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9930
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9930
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9940
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0060
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9925
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0065
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9930
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0070
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9955
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0045
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9955
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0040
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 17766.72, Sell volume: 1598.09, Average price: 0.7540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "130k"]
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.5350
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.5100
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.5100
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.5050
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.5050
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.5150
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.4850
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.5500
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.5900
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.4000
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.5950
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.3900
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.6100
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.4100
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.5700
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.5750
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.5750
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.4250
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.3900
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.2400
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.6600
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.6300
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.6250
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.6250
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.7600
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.2450
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.2800
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.3950
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.4500
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.4500
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.4500
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.5500
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.4500
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.6100
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.3900
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.3800
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.3550
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.3550
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.3650
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.3650
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.3200
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.3050
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.2850
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.3000
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.3300
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151206457.25, Sell volume: 88555972.70, Average price: 0.5284, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "130k"]
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.7050
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.2950
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.2950
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.7350
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.7650
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.7850
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.8050
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.8300
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.8500
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.1950
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.2150
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.7650
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.7050
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.6950
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.6950
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.3150
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.6900
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.2850
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.2800
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.2800
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.3150
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.3150
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.6800
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.3200
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.2950
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.2950
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.3000
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.3000
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.7000
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.3000
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.3000
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.3000
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.2900
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.2800
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.2750
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2800
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.7150
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.2900
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.6800
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.3650
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.3750
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.5800
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.5600
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.5750
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151206457.25, Sell volume: 88555972.70, Average price: 0.5284, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "130k"]
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.4700
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.4850
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.4800
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.5000
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.4800
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.4650
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.4650
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.4950
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.5000
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.4800
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.4800
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.4800
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.4900
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.5100
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.5150
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.5100
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.4900
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.5100
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.4950
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.4900
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.5000
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.4900
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.5250
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.4350
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.4000
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.4000
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.3950
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.4300
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.4300
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.4400
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.6250
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.4100
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.3900
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.3950
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.3900
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.6100
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.3800
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.6150
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.5850
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.5850
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.5450
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.5200
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.4850
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.4500
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.5150
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.4550
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.4550
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.4700
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151206457.25, Sell volume: 88555972.70, Average price: 0.5284, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "130k"]
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.4150
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.4300
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.4350
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.5550
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.4300
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.4450
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.5600
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.4400
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.4450
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.4750
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.5150
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.4800
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.4650
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.4450
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.4550
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.4400
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.4400
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.3700
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.6400
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.6400
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.6700
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.6850
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.3200
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.6800
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.6600
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.6550
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.6500
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.6600
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.3350
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.6400
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.6500
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.6500
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.6500
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.6500
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.6500
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.6400
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.6650
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.3350
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.6400
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151206457.25, Sell volume: 88555972.70, Average price: 0.5284, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "130k"]
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.4150
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.4100
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.4000
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.4250
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.5850
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.4200
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.4300
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.4350
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.4450
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.4400
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.4500
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.4200
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.3500
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.6400
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.6000
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.6100
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.6000
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.5650
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.4450
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.4100
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.6250
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.6250
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.6250
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.6200
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.6250
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.3750
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.6400
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.3700
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.6250
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.3800
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.4350
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.5650
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151206457.25, Sell volume: 88555972.70, Average price: 0.5284, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "130k"]
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.5550
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.5750
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.5700
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.4400
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.5700
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.5650
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.5400
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.5400
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.5400
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.5400
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.5400
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.5200
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.5250
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.4800
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.5150
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.4850
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.5200
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.5450
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.4650
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.4550
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.5650
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.4450
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.4450
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.5550
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.5550
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.4350
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.5650
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.5500
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.4400
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.5600
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.5700
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.5700
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.4250
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.4450
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.4400
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.5600
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.5550
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.5700
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.5700
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.4450
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.4500
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125874, Buy volume: 7976482.06, Sell volume: 1067251.68, Average price: 0.5164, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6098

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "130k"]
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5800
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.4100
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.4100
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.5850
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.4000
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.4150
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.5800
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.4300
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.6300
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.6300
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.6200
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3550
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.3500
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.3500
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.3550
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.6500
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.3700
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.3700
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.3750
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.4000
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.4100
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.4000
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.4000
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.4150
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.4350
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.4300
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.5100
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.5000
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177822, Buy volume: 8431925.83, Sell volume: 4867267.86, Average price: 0.5126, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "130k"]
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.4600
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.5150
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.4850
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.4850
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.5150
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.4750
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.5250
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.4650
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.5550
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.4350
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.5650
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.5600
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.4200
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5750
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.6050
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.3950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6050
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6050
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3950
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3900
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3900
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6050
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6000
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5900
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5300
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.5400
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5400
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5400
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5400
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5400
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175824, Buy volume: 60748493.70, Sell volume: 18035306.64, Average price: 0.4971, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6421

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "130k"]
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5600
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.4050
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.3400
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.3300
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.3400
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.3100
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.6850
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.3100
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.2350
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.2550
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.2700
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.2750
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.7100
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.7150
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.7200
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.7550
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.7550
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.7750
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.7700
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.2350
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.7400
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7500
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.8300
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.8750
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.1300
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.1550
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.8550
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.8600
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.8400
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.1500
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.1500
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.1500
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.8500
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.8550
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 325674, Buy volume: 35881218.28, Sell volume: 53540166.24, Average price: 0.5549, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "130k"]
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.1900
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2350
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.7900
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.2150
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.8050
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.2200
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.8000
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.8400
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.8300
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1700
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7800
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.2150
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.2300
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.2400
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.2300
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.2300
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.2350
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.2250
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.2300
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.7100
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.6050
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.4400
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.4200
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.6100
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.4700
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.4250
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.4450
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.4450
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.3750
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.6150
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.4300
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.5750
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.5550
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.5400
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.4800
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.4300
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.4450
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.4350
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.4250
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.4600
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.4700
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171947, Buy volume: 25076699.08, Sell volume: 9146218.42, Average price: 0.5391, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "130k"]
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.5550
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.4750
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.4850
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.4850
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.4550
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.4500
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.4550
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.5400
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.5300
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.4700
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.4550
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.4550
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.3900
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.3650
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.3800
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.3800
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7700
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.7300
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.7600
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.7150
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.6800
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.7000
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.6750
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.3200
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.3200
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.3150
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.3150
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.3200
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.3200
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.3250
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.3250
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.6850
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.6600
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.6750
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.6700
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.6750
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.4200
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.5750
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.5700
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 304, Buy volume: 25466.53, Sell volume: 8346.12, Average price: 0.5155, Price range: 0.2029 - 0.8232

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "130k"]
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.4750
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.5350
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.4350
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.3700
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.3650
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.3250
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.3250
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.3100
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.3450
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.3400
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.3400
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.3250
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.3550
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.3700
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.3900
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.3900
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.3950
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.4550
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.4050
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.4100
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.4450
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.4450
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.4000
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.4100
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.4100
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.4350
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.4250
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.4550
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.4550
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.4650
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.4450
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.4500
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.4600
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.4350
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.4450
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.4800
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.4900
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.5350
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.5500
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.5900
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.5750
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.5900
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 232, Buy volume: 21211.15, Sell volume: 8882.18, Average price: 0.5160, Price range: 0.2888 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "130k"]
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.5450
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.4750
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.4900
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.4400
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.4650
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.4600
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.4600
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.4450
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.3500
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.3200
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.3100
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.3300
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.3850
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.3700
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.3850
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.3900
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.4000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.3650
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.3800
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.4050
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.3950
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.3900
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3900
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3350
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3350
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.3250
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.3350
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.2700
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 275, Buy volume: 23829.47, Sell volume: 15548.01, Average price: 0.5559, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.5350
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.4900
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.5100
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.5900
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.6000
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.6100
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.5700
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.5750
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.5750
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.2400
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.6250
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.6300
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.7200
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.6050
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.4500
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.5500
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.3900
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.6100
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.3550
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.6350
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.3200
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.7150
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.3300
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.3400
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.3450
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151206457.25, Sell volume: 88555972.70, Average price: 0.5284, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.7050
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.7050
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.2850
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.7350
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.2150
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.8300
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.1700
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.2350
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.3050
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.3150
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.3100
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.2800
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.3100
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.3250
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.6900
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.3000
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.7000
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.3000
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.3000
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.2900
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.7200
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.7100
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.3650
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.3950
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.5600
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.3750
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.6250
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151206457.25, Sell volume: 88555972.70, Average price: 0.5284, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.4700
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.5000
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.4950
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.5300
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.5100
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.5200
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.4800
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.4900
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.5100
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.5050
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.4950
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.5100
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.4900
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.5050
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.4100
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.3950
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.4400
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.3750
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.3900
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.6100
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.3900
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.6150
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.4150
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.4800
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.4500
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.4650
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.4550
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.5200
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.4050
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151206457.25, Sell volume: 88555972.70, Average price: 0.5284, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.4150
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.5700
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.5550
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.5600
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.4400
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.5650
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.5200
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.5150
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.4450
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.5600
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.3700
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.6150
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.6800
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.3300
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.6850
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.3400
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.6500
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.3350
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.6450
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.3550
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.3450
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.3500
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.6650
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.6400
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.3450
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.6300
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151206457.25, Sell volume: 88555972.70, Average price: 0.5284, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.4150
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.6000
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.5800
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.4200
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.5650
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.4400
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5750
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.5900
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.6050
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.3650
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.3900
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.4450
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.6100
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.6250
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.6200
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.3750
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.6400
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.3750
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.3800
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.3800
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.4400
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.5650
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4400
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 151206457.25, Sell volume: 88555972.70, Average price: 0.5284, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.5550
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.4250
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.5700
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.4400
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.5550
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.4600
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.5400
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.4800
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.4800
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.5200
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.5200
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.5450
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.4350
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.4450
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.5550
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.5650
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.5500
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.4400
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.5700
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.5600
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.4400
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.5550
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.4250
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.4450
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.5550
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.4300
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125874, Buy volume: 7976482.06, Sell volume: 1067251.68, Average price: 0.5164, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6098
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.4550
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.5850
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.4150
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.5700
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.3600
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.6250
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.6450
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.6450
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.3500
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.3700
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.3900
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.4250
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.5900
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.6000
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.5850
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.4350
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.4900
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.5100
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.5100
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.4900
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177822, Buy volume: 8431925.83, Sell volume: 4867267.86, Average price: 0.5126, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.4600
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.5200
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.5350
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.5650
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.5650
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.4800
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.4800
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4200
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4250
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6050
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3950
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3850
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3900
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6000
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4100
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.5400
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.4500
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.4800
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4500
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175824, Buy volume: 60748493.70, Sell volume: 18035306.64, Average price: 0.4971, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6421
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No