Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581643
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore 95+
Volume: 2177.384653
Price History:
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.8250
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.8250
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.8250
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.1800
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.8250
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.8250
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.8250
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.1750
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.2000
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.7850
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.7950
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7950
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.7950
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.2050
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.7900
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1685.86, Sell volume: 491.52, Average price: 0.5356, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581643
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore 95+
Volume: 2177.384653
Price History:
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.2050
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.2050
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.1900
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.1900
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.8100
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.1900
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.1900
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.1900
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.1900
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.1900
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.1900
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.1900
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.1900
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.1900
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.1900
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.1900
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.1900
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.1900
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.1900
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.1900
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.1900
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.1900
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.1900
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.1950
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.1950
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1685.86, Sell volume: 491.52, Average price: 0.5356, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581643
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore 95+
Volume: 2177.384653
Price History:
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.1950
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.8050
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.1950
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.8050
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.1950
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.1950
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.8050
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.1950
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.1950
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.8050
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.3650
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.6300
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.6950
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.7000
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.1900
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.1850
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.1850
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.8100
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.1900
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.1850
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.1850
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.1900
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.8100
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.8150
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.1850
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.1900
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 184.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7109, Price range: 0.2782 - 0.8640
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581643
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore 95+
Volume: 2177.384653
Price History:
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.8100
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.8050
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.8050
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.1950
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.1950
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.1950
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.1950
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.1950
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.1950
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.1950
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.1950
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.1950
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.1900
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.1900
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.1900
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.1900
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1900
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.1900
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.1900
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.1900
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.1900
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.1900
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8100
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.8100
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.7800
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.2200
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.8050
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.1950
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 101.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4649, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581643
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore 95+
Volume: 2177.384653
Price History:
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.8050
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.1950
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1950
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.8050
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.8050
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.2200
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.3200
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.3300
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.3350
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.3300
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.6650
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.3300
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.3300
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.3400
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.6650
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.3400
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.3300
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.3400
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.6700
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.3300
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.3250
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 38.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2615, Price range: 0.2615 - 0.2615
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581643
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore 95+
Volume: 2177.384653
Price History:
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.6750
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.6750
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.6700
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.6700
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.6650
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.3400
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.6600
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.6600
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.6600
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.3400
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.3400
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.3400
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.3250
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.3200
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.3200
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.6750
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.3200
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.7550
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581643
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore 95+
Volume: 2177.384653
Price History:
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.2800
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.3000
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.3350
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.7450
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.7100
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.7450
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.7100
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.7750
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.7800
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.7700
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.7900
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.7350
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.7350
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.7350
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.2650
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.2500
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.2500
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.7500
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.2400
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.2200
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.2100
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.8100
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.7600
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.7800
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.2000
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 67.83, Average price: 0.0972, Price range: 0.0972 - 0.0972
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581643
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore 95+
Volume: 2177.384653
Price History:
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.2250
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.7700
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.7600
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9000
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.7750
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.7700
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.7600
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.7600
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.2400
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.7550
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.7600
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.2400
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.7600
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.7600
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.2400
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.2400
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.2400
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.2400
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.7550
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.7600
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.7700
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.1950
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 11.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581643
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore 95+
Volume: 2177.384653
Price History:
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.2200
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.8100
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.7800
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.8100
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.8350
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.1500
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.7300
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.7500
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.7550
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.7500
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.8000
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.2450
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.2450
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.7450
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.2550
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.7050
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.7050
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.6550
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.3100
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.6700
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.6950
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 215.71, Sell volume: 98.91, Average price: 0.3458, Price range: 0.2176 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581643
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore 95+
Volume: 2177.384653
Price History:
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.2150
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.7900
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.2850
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.7550
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.7850
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.1100
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.8850
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.8800
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.1250
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.1200
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.8750
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.1500
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.1550
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.1550
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0800
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0800
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0800
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0650
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0650
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0500
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0150
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.2755
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.7540
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0205
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 84.33, Average price: 0.0491, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0974
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581643
Question: Will "Hollow Knight: Silksong" Metascore 95+
Volume: 2177.384653
Price History:
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.2610
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.2515
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.2100
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.1945
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.8055
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.7395
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.2550
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.7400
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.7405
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.2745
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.7300
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.2700
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.7305
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.2700
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.7340
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.7390
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.2610
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.7320
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.7300
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.2660
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.7340
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.7340
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.2605
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.2525
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.8700
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 734.00, Sell volume: 185.47, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.4150
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.3950
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.3950
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.6050
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3950
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.6150
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.3700
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.6300
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.3250
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.6550
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.7100
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.2850
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.2800
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.2800
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.7250
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.2650
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.2650
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.7350
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.7350
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.2650
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.2650
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.7350
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.7350
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.2650
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.7450
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.7950
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.7850
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.7950
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.1850
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.1850
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.8250
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.8250
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.1750
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.1550
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.1600
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.1300
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.1300
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.1250
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.8750
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.1250
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.8750
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 64.92, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.7040, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.1200
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.8900
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.1050
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.8950
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.8850
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.8850
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.8900
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.8900
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.8900
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.8900
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.8900
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.1100
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.8900
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.1100
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.8900
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 21.67, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.6333, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.8300
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.1700
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.1700
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.1750
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.8250
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.8200
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.8200
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.1750
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.8200
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.1800
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.1600
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.8200
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.8200
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.1800
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.8200
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.1800
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.8200
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.1800
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.1800
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.8200
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.1800
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.8200
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 418.31, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.3494, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.1650
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.8350
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.1650
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.8350
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.1650
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.8350
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.8350
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.8350
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8300
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 110.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8400, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.2250
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.7050
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.2950
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.7100
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.7250
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.7250
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 449.09, Sell volume: 101.00, Average price: 0.4077, Price range: 0.1985 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.7300
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.2700
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.7200
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.7200
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.7200
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.7200
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.7200
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 17152.52, Sell volume: 2149.35, Average price: 0.6086, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.2800
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.2800
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.2800
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.7200
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.2800
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.2800
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.2800
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.2800
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.2800
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.2800
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.2800
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.2800
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.2800
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.2900
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.2850
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.7150
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.2850
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 17152.52, Sell volume: 2149.35, Average price: 0.6086, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.2750
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.2750
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.2750
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.2750
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 17152.52, Sell volume: 2149.35, Average price: 0.6086, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.7200
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.2800
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.2800
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.7200
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.7200
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.7200
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.2800
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.7200
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.2800
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.2800
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 17152.52, Sell volume: 2149.35, Average price: 0.6086, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.2800
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.7200
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.2800
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.7050
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.3200
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.6750
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.6900
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.6300
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.6000
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.3650
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.6200
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.6000
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.3850
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.3900
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.6050
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.6050
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.4050
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.6050
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.6500
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.3950
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.6050
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.5900
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.4600
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.5450
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.4550
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.5550
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 370.96, Sell volume: 184.51, Average price: 0.5547, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.3500
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.6500
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.3550
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.6500
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.3500
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.6650
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.6950
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.3050
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.7000
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.3000
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.7000
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.3000
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.3000
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.7000
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.3000
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.7000
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.3000
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.7000
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.3000
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.7000
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.2950
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.7050
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.2950
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.7000
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.3000
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.6750
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.3300
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.6700
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.3300
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.6800
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.3200
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.3200
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.6800
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.3200
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.6800
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.3200
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.6800
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.3200
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.6800
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.3200
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.6800
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.3250
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.6700
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.3250
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.6800
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 539.15, Sell volume: 127.19, Average price: 0.5334, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.6800
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.3100
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.6950
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.6950
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.3050
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.6950
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.3200
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.3200
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.6800
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.3200
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.6800
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.3300
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.6700
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.3300
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.6700
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.3300
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.6700
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.3300
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.6700
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.3300
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.6700
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.3250
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.3250
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.6750
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.3250
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.6750
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.3250
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.6850
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.6900
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.2600
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.7450
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.6800
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.3350
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.6650
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.3700
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.6100
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.5750
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.3700
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.6250
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 3465.19, Sell volume: 838.39, Average price: 0.5761, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0105
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0100
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9890
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0110
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9905
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9830
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0170
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9830
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0170
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9830
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.3100
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1435.87, Sell volume: 839.26, Average price: 0.7732, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9968

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.5850
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.3950
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.3950
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.6050
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.3700
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.6600
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.2650
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.7100
2025-09-17 14:00: 0.2800
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.7250
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.7350
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.2650
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.2650
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.2650
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.2050
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.1850
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.8250
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.1750
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.8400
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.8700
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.1250
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.8750
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 64.92, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.7040, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.1200
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.8900
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.1050
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.1100
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.8900
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.8900
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.8900
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.1100
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.1100
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.8900
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.1100
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.1100
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.8900
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.1100
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 21.67, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.6333, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.1700
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.1750
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.8250
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.1800
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.8250
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.1800
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.8200
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.1800
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.8200
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.1800
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.8200
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.1800
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.8200
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 418.31, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.3494, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.8350
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.8350
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.8350
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.1650
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.1800
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.8200
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 110.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8400, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.8300
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.2250
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.2950
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.7050
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7200
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 449.09, Sell volume: 101.00, Average price: 0.4077, Price range: 0.1985 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.2700
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.7200
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.2800
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.2800
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.2900
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 17152.52, Sell volume: 2149.35, Average price: 0.6086, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.2800
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.2800
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.2800
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2800
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.2800
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.2800
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.2800
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.2800
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.7100
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.7150
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.2850
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 17152.52, Sell volume: 2149.35, Average price: 0.6086, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.2750
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.2750
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.2750
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.2750
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 17152.52, Sell volume: 2149.35, Average price: 0.6086, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.7200
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.2800
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.2800
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.2800
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.7200
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.2800
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 17152.52, Sell volume: 2149.35, Average price: 0.6086, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.2800
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.7200
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.2950
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.3200
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.3100
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.3700
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.3650
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.4000
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.6350
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.3900
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.3950
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.6000
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.6300
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.3950
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.3950
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.4100
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.5400
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.5500
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 370.96, Sell volume: 184.51, Average price: 0.5547, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.6450
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.3500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.7000
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.3000
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.3000
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.3000
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.7000
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.3000
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.7050
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.2950
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.7000
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.3250
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.6700
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.3200
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.6800
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.3200
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.6800
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.3200
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.6800
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.3200
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.6800
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.3250
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.6700
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 539.15, Sell volume: 127.19, Average price: 0.5334, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.6800
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.3050
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.3050
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.3200
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.6800
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.3200
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.6700
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.3300
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.6700
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.3300
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.6700
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.3300
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.6750
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.3250
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.6750
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.6850
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.3100
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.6950
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.2600
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.3250
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.6650
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.6050
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.6150
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 3465.19, Sell volume: 838.39, Average price: 0.5761, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600449
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 22 or fewer seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 19301.867158
Price History:
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0105
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9890
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0110
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9830
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0170
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9830
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.3100
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1435.87, Sell volume: 839.26, Average price: 0.7732, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9968
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.3800
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.4000
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.4000
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.6200
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.3750
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.7300
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.7200
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.2800
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.7550
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.7200
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.7250
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.7050
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.2950
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.7050
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.2950
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.2950
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.2950
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.7050
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.6800
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.3200
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.6800
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.6800
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 338.19, Sell volume: 414.64, Average price: 0.6630, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.6850
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.3150
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.6950
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.3050
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.3050
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.3100
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.6900
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.3100
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.3100
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.6900
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.3100
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.6900
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.6900
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 18.77, Sell volume: 18.77, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.6950
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.2850
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7150
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.7150
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2850
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.2950
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.2900
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 152.45, Average price: 0.2850, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.2900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 3689.97, Sell volume: 2775.29, Average price: 0.4152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.3000
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 60.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.3000
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.3000
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.3000
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.3000
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.3000
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.3000
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.3000
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.7050
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.2950
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.7050
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 3689.97, Sell volume: 2775.29, Average price: 0.4152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.2950
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.2950
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.2950
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.2950
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.2950
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.2950
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2950
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.2950
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.2950
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.2950
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.2950
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2950
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 3689.97, Sell volume: 2775.29, Average price: 0.4152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.2950
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.7050
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.7050
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.2950
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.7050
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.2950
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.2950
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.2950
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.2950
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.7050
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.2950
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.2950
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.7050
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.2950
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.2950
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.2950
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.7050
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.7050
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.7050
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.2950
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 8.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3100, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.3100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.7050
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.2950
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.2950
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.2950
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.7050
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.7050
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.7050
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.2950
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 3689.97, Sell volume: 2775.29, Average price: 0.4152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.7050
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.7050
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.2950
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.3000
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.7000
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.7000
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.3000
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.7000
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.3000
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.3000
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.3000
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.7000
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7000
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.7000
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.3000
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.3150
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.6550
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.3450
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.3450
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.6550
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.3450
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.3450
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.3500
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.3500
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.6550
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.3450
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.3450
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.3450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.3450
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.3450
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.3450
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.5950
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.3400
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.6850
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.3150
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.3050
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 441.84, Sell volume: 134.61, Average price: 0.4194, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.3050
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.3050
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.6950
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.6950
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.3100
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.6900
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.3100
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.6900
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.3100
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.6900
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.3000
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.3000
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.7000
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.3050
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.3050
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.6950
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.6950
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.6950
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.3050
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.3000
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.7000
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.3000
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 258.50, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5040, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.3100
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.6900
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.3100
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.6900
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.3100
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.3100
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.6900
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.3100
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.3100
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.3100
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.3100
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.3100
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.6850
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.3150
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.6850
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.6850
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.6850
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.6850
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.6850
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.6850
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.3450
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.6550
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.3450
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.6550
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.3400
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.6700
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.3250
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.6750
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.3250
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.6650
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.3350
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.6100
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.3900
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.3950
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 942.97, Sell volume: 625.61, Average price: 0.3955, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 137.10, Sell volume: 1034.08, Average price: 0.2504, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.6200
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.4000
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.7500
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.7250
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.2950
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.2950
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.7050
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.6800
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.3200
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 338.19, Sell volume: 414.64, Average price: 0.6630, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.6950
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.6950
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.6900
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.3100
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.3100
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.3100
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.6900
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.3100
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 18.77, Sell volume: 18.77, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.3050
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7150
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.7150
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.3050
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 152.45, Average price: 0.2850, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.2900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 3689.97, Sell volume: 2775.29, Average price: 0.4152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 60.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.3000
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.7000
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.7050
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 3689.97, Sell volume: 2775.29, Average price: 0.4152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.2950
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.7050
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.2950
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.7050
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.2950
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.2950
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.2950
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2950
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.2950
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.2950
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.7050
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.7050
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 3689.97, Sell volume: 2775.29, Average price: 0.4152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.2950
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.7050
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.7050
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.2950
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.2950
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.7050
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.7050
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.7050
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.2950
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.7050
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.7050
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.2950
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.2950
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.2950
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.2950
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 8.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3100, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.3100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.2950
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.2950
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.7050
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.7050
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.7050
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 3689.97, Sell volume: 2775.29, Average price: 0.4152, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.7050
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.7050
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.3000
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.7000
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.3000
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.7000
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.3000
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.3000
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7000
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.7000
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.6850
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.3450
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.6500
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.3450
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.3500
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.3450
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.3450
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.3450
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.3450
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.3400
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.6850
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.2950
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 441.84, Sell volume: 134.61, Average price: 0.4194, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.6950
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.3050
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.6950
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.6900
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.3100
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.6900
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.3100
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.7000
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.3000
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.6950
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.3050
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.6950
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.3050
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.3000
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 258.50, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5040, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.3100
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.6900
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.3100
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.3100
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.3100
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.3100
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.6850
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.6850
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.6850
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.6850
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.3350
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.6550
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.3450
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.6600
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.3250
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.6750
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.3350
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.6100
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.3900
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 942.97, Sell volume: 625.61, Average price: 0.3955, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600450
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 23–25 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 6465.261438
Price History:
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 137.10, Sell volume: 1034.08, Average price: 0.2504, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.6450
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.3600
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.6100
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.6200
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.6250
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.3500
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.6750
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.6700
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.3300
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.3300
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.6700
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.3300
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.6700
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.6800
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 60.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7145, Price range: 0.7100 - 0.7191

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.6750
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.6750
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.3200
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.3300
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.3300
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.6700
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.3300
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.3250
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.3250
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.3250
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.3250
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.3200
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.3200
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 3173.24, Sell volume: 2089.26, Average price: 0.3945, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.6800
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.3050
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.6950
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 3173.24, Sell volume: 2089.26, Average price: 0.3945, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6800
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6800
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 3173.24, Sell volume: 2089.26, Average price: 0.3945, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.3050
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.3050
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.3050
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.3050
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.6950
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.2600
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.7550
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2100
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7900
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.2100
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2100
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.7900
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 51.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7100, Price range: 0.7100 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.7950
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.2000
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.2000
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.8050
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.8050
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.8050
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.1900
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.8100
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.1900
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.8100
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.1900
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.8100
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 110.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2000, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.2000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.8150
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.8050
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.1900
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 118.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2100, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.2100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 600451
Question: Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5262.501352
Price History:
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.8050
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.1950
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.1950
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 200.46, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.6874, Price range: 0.2168 - 0.8200

Output: Yes