Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623713
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2343.790186
Price History:
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.6550
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.3450
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.6550
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.3450
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.6550
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.3450
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.6600
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.3400
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.6550
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.3450
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.6650
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.3350
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.6650
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.3350
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.6650
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.3350
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.6700
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.3300
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.6650
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.3350
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.6650
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.3350
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6650
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.3350
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.6350
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.6350
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.3650
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.6350
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.4650
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.5350
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.5600
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 607.33, Sell volume: 125.33, Average price: 0.6429, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623713
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2343.790186
Price History:
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.5550
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.6050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.3900
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.6050
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.6000
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.6050
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.3900
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.6100
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.6150
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.6200
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.6150
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.6200
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.6250
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 105.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6614, Price range: 0.6600 - 0.6629
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623713
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2343.790186
Price History:
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4250
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.4250
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.4550
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.4500
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.5500
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.4850
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.4850
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.5600
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.6450
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.6450
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.3550
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.7850
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.7850
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.7850
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7850
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.7850
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 236.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7162, Price range: 0.6800 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623713
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2343.790186
Price History:
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.7800
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.7800
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.7850
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.7800
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.7800
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.2200
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.2300
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.2350
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 41.59, Sell volume: 130.48, Average price: 0.7546, Price range: 0.7300 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623713
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2343.790186
Price History:
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2200
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.7800
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.2200
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.2300
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.7700
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.2300
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.2300
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.7700
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.2300
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.3850
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.6150
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.6150
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.3850
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.3850
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.3950
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.3950
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.3950
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.3950
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.6050
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.5950
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 24.00, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623713
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2343.790186
Price History:
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.5900
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.5900
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.4050
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.5950
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.5950
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.5950
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.4000
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.4000
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.6000
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.6000
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.6000
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.6000
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.4000
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.4000
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.4000
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.6000
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.6100
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.6600
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.6600
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.6650
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.6700
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.3300
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.6700
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.6700
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.3300
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.6700
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.3300
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.6700
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 32.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623713
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2343.790186
Price History:
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.6700
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.6700
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.3300
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.3300
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.6700
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.6700
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.3300
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.6700
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.6700
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.3700
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.6350
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.3700
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.3700
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.6800
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.3300
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6700
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.2900
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.2900
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.7100
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.7100
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.2900
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.2900
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.2900
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.3250
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.6750
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.6850
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.6750
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.3250
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 26.67, Sell volume: 1.51, Average price: 0.6019, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.8057
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623713
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2343.790186
Price History:
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.3350
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.6650
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.3350
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.3350
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.3350
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.6650
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.6650
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.6650
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.6650
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.6650
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.6650
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.6650
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.6650
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.3350
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.3600
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.3600
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.6400
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.6650
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.6650
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.3350
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.6650
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.6400
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.3600
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.3600
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.6400
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 2011.48, Sell volume: 332.31, Average price: 0.6654, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623713
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2343.790186
Price History:
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.3600
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.3600
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.3600
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.6400
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.6300
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.3600
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.6250
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.6300
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.6300
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.3700
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.3750
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.3750
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.3700
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.3750
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.3850
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.4050
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.4050
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.4050
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.4100
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.4100
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.4100
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.4100
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.4100
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.5900
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.4100
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.4100
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.4750, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.4800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623713
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2343.790186
Price History:
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.5800
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.5800
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.5800
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.5800
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.5800
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.5800
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.5800
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.5800
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.5800
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.5800
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.5750
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.4250
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.5750
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.4250
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.4250
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.4150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 2011.48, Sell volume: 332.31, Average price: 0.6654, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623713
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2343.790186
Price History:
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.4200
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.4100
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.4100
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.5900
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.5900
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.5900
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.5900
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.4100
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.5900
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.5900
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.5900
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.4150
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.5850
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.5850
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.5850
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.5850
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.4100
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.56, Sell volume: 0.99, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623713
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2343.790186
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.4150
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.5850
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.5850
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.5850
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.5850
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.4150
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.5850
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.4150
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.5850
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.5950
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.5950
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.4050
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.4050
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.4050
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.4050
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.4050
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.5950
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.4050
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.5950
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.5950
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.4050
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.4050
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.6000
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.6000
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.4000
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4000
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.4000
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 2011.48, Sell volume: 332.31, Average price: 0.6654, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623713
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2343.790186
Price History:
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.6000
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.6000
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.6000
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.3900
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.3900
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.6100
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.6950
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.6950
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.7050
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.3000
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.3350
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.6700
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.6700
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.6700
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.6650
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.6650
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.6600
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.3350
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.3350
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.3400
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.3400
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.3350
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.3400
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.3400
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.3400
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.3400
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.3350
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 55.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623713
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2343.790186
Price History:
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.6550
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.6550
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.6550
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.6600
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.6550
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.6650
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.6650
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.6650
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.6700
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.6650
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.6650
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6650
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.6350
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.6350
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.6350
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.4650
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.5600
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.5300
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.4650
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.4100
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 607.33, Sell volume: 125.33, Average price: 0.6429, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4550
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5450
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5500
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.3650
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.3650
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.3650
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.3650
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.4500
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.4500
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4500
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.4500
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.4500
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.4500
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.4500
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.5450
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.4550
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5400
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.4600
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.5300
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.4700
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5300
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.4700
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5300
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.4700
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5350
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.4650
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.6150
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1885.24, Sell volume: 334.29, Average price: 0.6923, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.4750
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.5250
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.5200
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4800
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.5200
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.4800
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.5200
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.4800
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.5150
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.4850
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.5150
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.5150
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.4850
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.5150
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.4850
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 409.99, Sell volume: 125.00, Average price: 0.6875, Price range: 0.6649 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.2600
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.7400
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.2600
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.7400
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.2600
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.7400
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.7450
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.2000
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.8000
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.2000
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.8000
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.8200
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.8200
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.8200
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.8200
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.8200
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.8200
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.2000
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.8000
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.47, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.7550, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.8000
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2000
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.7950
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.7950
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.7950
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.7950
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.7900
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.7900
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.7900
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.7900
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.7900
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.7750
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.7750
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.7750
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.7750
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.7750
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.7750
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.7750
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.7750
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1885.24, Sell volume: 334.29, Average price: 0.6923, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.7700
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.2300
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.2350
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.7650
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1885.24, Sell volume: 334.29, Average price: 0.6923, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.7700
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.7700
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.7700
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.7700
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.7700
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.7700
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.7700
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.7700
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.7700
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.7700
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.7700
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.7500
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.2500
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.7500
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.7600
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.2400
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.7600
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.2400
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.7600
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.7600
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 55.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5824, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.8548

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.2350
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.7650
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 125.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6784, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.8553

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.2350
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.7650
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7650
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.2350
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.2350
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1885.24, Sell volume: 334.29, Average price: 0.6923, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.2250
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.2250
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1885.24, Sell volume: 334.29, Average price: 0.6923, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.7700
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.2300
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.2300
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.7700
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.2300
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.7700
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.7600
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.2400
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.7600
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.2400
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.2400
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.7600
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.23, Sell volume: 1.67, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.2400
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.7600
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.7600
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.7600
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.2400
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.2400
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.7600
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.2400
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.7700
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.7700
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.7700
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7700
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.7700
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.7700
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 25.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8351, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8401

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.2150
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.2150
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.2100
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2300
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2300
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.2300
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.2300
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2300
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.7200, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.7700
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.7700
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.7700
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.7700
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.7700
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.7700
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.7700
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 532.13, Sell volume: 39.54, Average price: 0.6453, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4550
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4500
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.5450
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5400
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.5300
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5300
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5300
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5350
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.6150
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.5250
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.5250
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.5250
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1885.24, Sell volume: 334.29, Average price: 0.6923, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.4750
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4800
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.4800
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.4800
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.4850
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.4850
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.4850
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.6950
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 409.99, Sell volume: 125.00, Average price: 0.6875, Price range: 0.6649 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.2600
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.2600
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.2600
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.7450
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.2000
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.2000
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.2000
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.2100
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.47, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.7550, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2000
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.7900
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.7750
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.2250
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.2300
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.2300
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.7700
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1885.24, Sell volume: 334.29, Average price: 0.6923, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.7700
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1885.24, Sell volume: 334.29, Average price: 0.6923, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.2300
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.2500
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.7600
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.2400
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 55.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5824, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.8548
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.2350
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.7600
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 125.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6784, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.8553
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.7650
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2350
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2350
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1885.24, Sell volume: 334.29, Average price: 0.6923, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1885.24, Sell volume: 334.29, Average price: 0.6923, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.2300
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.7700
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.7700
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.2400
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.2400
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.7600
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.7600
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.7600
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.7600
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.7600
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.23, Sell volume: 1.67, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.2400
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.7600
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.7600
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.2400
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.7700
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7700
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.7700
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.2300
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.7700
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 25.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8351, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8401
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.2100
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.7650
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.7200, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623715
Question: Will Leavitt say "Ceasefire" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2219.52834
Price History:
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.2300
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.3300
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.3050
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 532.13, Sell volume: 39.54, Average price: 0.6453, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.4200
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4250
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.5750
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.4500
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.4200
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.5850
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.4150
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.5750
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.4250
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5750
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.4250
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5750
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.4250
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.4200
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5400
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.4600
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.5400
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1875.24, Sell volume: 21.97, Average price: 0.5954, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.5350
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.4650
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.5350
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.5450
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.4550
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.5350
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.4600
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.5400
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.5250
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.4750
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4750
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.5250
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.5350
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.3850
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.6150
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.6150
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.3850
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.3850
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.6150
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.6150
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.3850
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.3850
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.3850
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.3850
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.3850
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.6050
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.6050
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.6050
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.6050
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.6100
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.3900
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.6100
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.6100
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.3900
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.3900
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.6100
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.6100
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.3900
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.6100
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.3900
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.3900
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.6600
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.3400
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2450
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.7550
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8350
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1650
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.8350
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.1650
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.8300
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.1700
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.6550
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.3450
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9700
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9700
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0300
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0300
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9700
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9700
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9700
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0300
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9700
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0300
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0305
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9695
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0305
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9695
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.6995
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.3005
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.3010
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.6990
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.3010
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.6990
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.3010
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.6990
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.3010
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.6990
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.3150
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.6850
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.3200
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.6800
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.1845
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.8155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.1705
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.8295
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.1705
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.8295
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.8295
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.1705
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.1705
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.8295
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.8295
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.8295
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.8295
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.8295
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.8295
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.8295
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.8295
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.8295
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.8295
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.8295
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.1500
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.8500
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.1480
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.8520
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.1325
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.8675
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.1325
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.8675
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.1325
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.8675
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.8675
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.1325
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.8675
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.1325
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.1475
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.8525
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.1480
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.8520
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.1480
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.8520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.1480
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.8520
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.1480
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.8520
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.1480
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.8520
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.8520
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.1480
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.8520
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.1480
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.8520
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.1480
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.8520
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.1480
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.8545
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.1455
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.8545
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.1455
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.8545
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.1455
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.8545
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.1455
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.8545
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.1455
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.8550
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.1450
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.3450
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.6550
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.6550
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.3450
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.7960
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.2040
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6460
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.3540
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.6490
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.3510
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.6490
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.3510
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.6490
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.3510
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.6490
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.3510
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.6490
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.3510
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.6470
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.3530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 16.97, Average price: 0.7081, Price range: 0.7081 - 0.7081

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.6490
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.3510
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.6465
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.3535
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.3535
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.6465
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.6465
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.3535
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.3520
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.6480
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.3515
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.6485
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.3505
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.6495
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.3525
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.6475
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.3530
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.6470
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.6470
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.3530
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.3530
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.6470
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.6470
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.3530
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.6470
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.3530
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.6470
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.3530
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.6470
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.3530
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1150
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.1150
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1150
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.1150
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.1150
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.1150
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.1150
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.1150
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.1150
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1875.24, Sell volume: 21.97, Average price: 0.5954, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.6470
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.3530
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.6470
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.3530
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.6470
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.3530
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.6470
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.3530
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.6470
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.3530
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.3530
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.6470
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.3530
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.6470
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.3530
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.6470
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.7850
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.3530
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.6470
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.6470
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.3530
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.3380
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.6620
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.3000
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.7000
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.3100
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.6900
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.3380
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.6620
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.3380
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.6620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1875.24, Sell volume: 21.97, Average price: 0.5954, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.6620
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.3380
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.3380
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.6620
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.6650
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.6650
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.6805
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.3195
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.3195
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.6805
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.3195
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.6805
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.6805
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.3195
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.6805
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.3195
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.3195
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.6805
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.6805
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.3195
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.6805
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.3195
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.6805
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.3195
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.3195
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.6805
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.7395
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.2605
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.2605
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.7395
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.3350
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.6650
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.7300
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.2700
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.7300
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.2700
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.6525
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.3475
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.6810
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.3190
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.6810
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.3190
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.6810
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.3190
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.6810
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.3190
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.3190
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.6810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1875.24, Sell volume: 21.97, Average price: 0.5954, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.6810
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.3190
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.6810
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.3190
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.3190
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.6810
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.6810
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.3190
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.6815
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.3185
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.6625
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.3375
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.3185
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.6815
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.6820
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.3180
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.3180
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.6820
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.6820
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.3180
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.3180
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.6820
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.6820
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.3180
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.3180
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.6820
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.6820
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.3180
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.6820
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.3180
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.3180
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.6820
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.6820
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.3180
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.3180
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.6820
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.3180
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.6820
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.2975
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.7025
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.2975
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.7025
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.6845
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.3155
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.6845
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.3155
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.3155
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.6845
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.3155
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.6845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1875.24, Sell volume: 21.97, Average price: 0.5954, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.2655
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.7345
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.7345
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.2655
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.3425
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.6575
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.6575
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.3425
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.3425
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.6575
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.3425
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.6575
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.3425
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.6575
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.3425
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.6575
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.3425
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.6575
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.6575
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.3425
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.3425
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.6575
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.6575
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.3425
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.3185
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.6815
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.3185
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.6815
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.3375
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.6625
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.3375
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.6625
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.3375
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.6625
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.3375
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.6625
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.3375
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.6625
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.3375
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.6625
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.3455
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.6545
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.3555
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.6445
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.3215
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.6785
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.3025
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.6975
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.3045
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.6955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1875.24, Sell volume: 21.97, Average price: 0.5954, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.1710
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.8290
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1680
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.8320
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.1855
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.8145
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.8145
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.1855
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.1855
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.1855
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.1855
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.1855
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.1855
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1855
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.1855
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.1855
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.1855
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.8165
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1835
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.8215
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.1785
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.8390
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.1610
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.8165
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.1835
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.1785
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.8215
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.8215
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.1785
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.8215
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.1785
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.8265
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.1735
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8265
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.1735
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.1835
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.8165
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.8165
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.1835
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.8265
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.1735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9390, Price range: 0.9390 - 0.9390

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.8265
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.1735
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.8265
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.1735
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.8265
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.1735
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.8265
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.1735
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8265
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.1735
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.8215
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.1785
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8215
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1785
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.8215
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.1785
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.8215
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.1785
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.1500
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.1500
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.8215
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.1785
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.1500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.1500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.1500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.1500
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.8215
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.1785
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.1500
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.1500
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.1500
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.8355
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.1645
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.8355
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.1645
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.8355
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.1645
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.8345
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.1655
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.8345
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.1655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2775, Price range: 0.2775 - 0.2775

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.4200
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4250
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.4500
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.5850
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.5750
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5750
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5750
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5400
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.5400
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.5350
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.5450
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.5350
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1875.24, Sell volume: 21.97, Average price: 0.5954, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.5350
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.5350
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.5450
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.5350
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.4600
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.5250
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4750
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.3850
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.6150
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.3850
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.6150
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.3850
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.3850
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.6050
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.6050
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.6050
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.3950
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.3900
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.3900
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.3900
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.6100
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.3900
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.6100
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.6100
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.3900
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.3900
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.3950
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.3950
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.6050
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.6600
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2450
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8350
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.8350
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.8300
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.6550
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9700
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0300
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9700
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9700
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0305
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0305
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.6995
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.3010
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.3010
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.3010
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.3010
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.3150
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.3200
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.1845
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.1705
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.1705
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.8295
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.1705
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.8295
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.8295
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.1705
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.1500
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.1480
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.1325
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.1325
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.1325
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.8675
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.8675
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.1475
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.1480
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.1480
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.8520
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.1480
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.1480
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.8520
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.1480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.1480
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.1480
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.1480
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.8520
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.8520
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.8520
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.8520
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.8545
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.8545
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.8545
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.8545
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.8545
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.8550
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.3450
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.6550
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.7960
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6460
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.6490
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.6490
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.6490
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.6490
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.6490
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.6470
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.6470
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.6460
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.6460
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.6420
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.6445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 16.97, Average price: 0.7081, Price range: 0.7081 - 0.7081
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.6490
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.6465
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.3535
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.6465
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.3520
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.3515
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.3505
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.3525
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.3530
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.6470
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.3530
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.6470
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.6470
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.6470
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.6470
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1875.24, Sell volume: 21.97, Average price: 0.5954, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.6470
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.6470
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.6470
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.6470
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.6470
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.3530
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.3530
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.3530
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.3530
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.6470
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.3380
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.3000
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.3100
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.3380
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.3380
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.3480
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.6520
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.6520
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.3380
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.6620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1875.24, Sell volume: 21.97, Average price: 0.5954, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.6620
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.3380
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.6650
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.6805
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.3195
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.3195
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.6805
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.6805
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.3195
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.6805
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.6805
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.6805
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.3195
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.7395
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.2605
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.3350
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.7300
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.7300
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.6525
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.6810
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.6810
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.6810
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.6810
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.3190
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.6810
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.3375
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.3380
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.3380
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.6620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1875.24, Sell volume: 21.97, Average price: 0.5954, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.6810
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.6810
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.3190
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.6810
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.6815
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.6625
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.3185
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.6820
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.3180
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.6820
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.3180
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.6820
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.3180
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.6820
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.6820
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.3180
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.6820
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.3180
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.3180
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.2975
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.2975
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.6845
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.6845
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.3155
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.3155
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.3375
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.3425
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.3445
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.3425
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.3425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1875.24, Sell volume: 21.97, Average price: 0.5954, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.2655
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.7345
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.3425
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.6575
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.3425
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.3425
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.3425
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.3425
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.3425
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.6575
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.3425
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.6575
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.3185
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.3185
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.3375
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.3375
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.3375
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.3375
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.3375
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.3375
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.3455
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.3555
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.3215
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.3025
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.3045
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.6745
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.2705
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.3015
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.3115
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.6785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1875.24, Sell volume: 21.97, Average price: 0.5954, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.1710
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1680
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.1855
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.8145
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.8165
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.8215
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.8390
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.8165
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.1785
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.8215
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.8215
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.8265
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8265
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.1835
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.8165
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.8265
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.8265
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.8265
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.8265
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.8265
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.8265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9390, Price range: 0.9390 - 0.9390
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623717
Question: Will Leavitt say "China" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1897.212065
Price History:
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.8265
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.8265
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.8265
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.8265
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8265
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.8215
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8215
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.8215
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.8215
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.8215
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.8215
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.8500
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.8355
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.8355
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.8355
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.8345
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.8345
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.8345
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8345
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.8345
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.8395
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.8345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2775, Price range: 0.2775 - 0.2775
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623719
Question: Will Leavitt say "Hostage" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2457.106591
Price History:
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5050
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4350
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.4300
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5700
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5700
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.4300
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.5700
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5750
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.4250
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623719
Question: Will Leavitt say "Hostage" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2457.106591
Price History:
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.4050
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4050
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.6000
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.6000
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.6000
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.6100
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.3900
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.6400
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.3600
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.6400
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.3600
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.3600
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.6400
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.7900
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 52.42, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8047, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623719
Question: Will Leavitt say "Hostage" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2457.106591
Price History:
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.8300
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.1700
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.8300
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.1700
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.8300
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.1700
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.8300
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.1700
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1700
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.8300
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.8300
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.1700
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.1700
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.8300
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.1700
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.1700
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.8300
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.8300
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1700
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.8300
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.1700
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.1700
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.8300
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.8300
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.1700
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.8300
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.1700
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.8300
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.1700
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1700
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.1700
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.8300
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.8300
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2405.83, Sell volume: 51.28, Average price: 0.7387, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623719
Question: Will Leavitt say "Hostage" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2457.106591
Price History:
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.8500
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.1500
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.1500
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.8500
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.1450
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.8550
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.1450
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8550
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.8550
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.1450
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.8550
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.1450
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.1450
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.8550
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.1450
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.8550
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.8550
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.1450
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.8550
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.1450
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.8550
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.1450
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.8550
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.8550
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.1450
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.8550
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.1450
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.8550
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.1450
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.8550
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.1450
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.8550
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.1450
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.1500
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.8500
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.1500
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.8500
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.1500
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.8500
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.1500
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.8500
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.1550
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.8450
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.1600
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.8400
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.1600
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.8400
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.1550
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2000, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.2000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623719
Question: Will Leavitt say "Hostage" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2457.106591
Price History:
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.1250
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.8750
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.1250
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.8750
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.8750
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.1250
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.8750
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.1250
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.8400
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1600
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.1600
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.8400
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.1600
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.8400
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.1600
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.8400
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.8300
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.1700
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.8300
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.1700
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.1700
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623719
Question: Will Leavitt say "Hostage" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2457.106591
Price History:
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.1700
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.1700
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.1700
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.1700
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.1700
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.1800
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.8200
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.8200
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.1800
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.8200
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.1800
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.1800
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.8200
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.8200
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.1800
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.1700
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1700
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.1700
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.1700
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1700
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.1700
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.8300
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.1700
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.8300
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1700
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2405.83, Sell volume: 51.28, Average price: 0.7387, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: No