Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618020
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 183536.524099
Price History:
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9160
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0840
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0815
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9185
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0930
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9070
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0840
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9160
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0835
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9165
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0795
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9205
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 11237.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5188, Price range: 0.0893 - 0.9493
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618020
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 183536.524099
Price History:
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9205
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0680
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9320
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0865
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9135
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9265
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0735
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9515
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0485
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9405
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0595
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9345
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0655
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.8845
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.1155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1993.19, Sell volume: 162.63, Average price: 0.5356, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618020
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 183536.524099
Price History:
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.8965
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.1035
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9175
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0825
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9910
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 261, Buy volume: 47633.41, Sell volume: 25055.28, Average price: 0.7760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618020
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 183536.524099
Price History:
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 57967.67, Sell volume: 2157.57, Average price: 0.4377, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 618020
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 183536.524099
Price History:
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 419.58, Average price: 0.5998, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.8750
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1250
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8750
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9400
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9450
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9450
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0550
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9650
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0350
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9655
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0345
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9755
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0245
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9805
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0195
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9805
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9795
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 5467.46, Sell volume: 11.21, Average price: 0.3505, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9855
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9870
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0130
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9840
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9840
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9840
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9845
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9845
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0140
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9860
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0140
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9860
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0140
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9860
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0140
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9860
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 966.58, Sell volume: 497.54, Average price: 0.8089, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9885
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0115
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9870
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9900
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9900
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9915
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9900
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 87.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8958, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9905
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0095
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 2948.73, Sell volume: 3703.26, Average price: 0.1611, Price range: 0.0041 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 668.53, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9925
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 155, Buy volume: 8385.09, Sell volume: 26630.87, Average price: 0.0271, Price range: 0.0056 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9925
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9925
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9925
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9925
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 616.60, Sell volume: 532.20, Average price: 0.0078, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.0099

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9925
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9925
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 6485.34, Sell volume: 5205.02, Average price: 0.1326, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 13297.71, Sell volume: 771.03, Average price: 0.3013, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9970
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9970
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9970
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9970
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 10468.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7769, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 41611.83, Sell volume: 81.15, Average price: 0.0868, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2233.99, Sell volume: 11550.62, Average price: 0.8173, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9990
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0010
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 11902.04, Sell volume: 6091.05, Average price: 0.7494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.8750
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1250
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8750
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9400
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9450
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9450
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0550
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9650
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0350
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9655
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 5467.46, Sell volume: 11.21, Average price: 0.3505, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9855
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9870
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0130
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9840
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9840
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9840
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9845
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9845
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0140
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9860
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 966.58, Sell volume: 497.54, Average price: 0.8089, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9885
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0115
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9870
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9900
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9900
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9905
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0095
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9915
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 87.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8958, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9905
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0095
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 2948.73, Sell volume: 3703.26, Average price: 0.1611, Price range: 0.0041 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 668.53, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 155, Buy volume: 8385.09, Sell volume: 26630.87, Average price: 0.0271, Price range: 0.0056 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 616.60, Sell volume: 532.20, Average price: 0.0078, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.0099
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9925
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9925
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 6485.34, Sell volume: 5205.02, Average price: 0.1326, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 13297.71, Sell volume: 771.03, Average price: 0.3013, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9970
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9970
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9970
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 10468.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7769, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9980
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0020
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 41611.83, Sell volume: 81.15, Average price: 0.0868, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2233.99, Sell volume: 11550.62, Average price: 0.8173, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539203
Question: Will People's Action Party (PAP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 171261.24232
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9990
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0010
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 11902.04, Sell volume: 6091.05, Average price: 0.7494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9600
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0255
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9745
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0255
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9745
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0085
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9915
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 4131.13, Sell volume: 997.13, Average price: 0.9559, Price range: 0.0440 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0020
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9980
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0020
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9980
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0020
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9980
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0015
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9985
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 9510.65, Sell volume: 31061.00, Average price: 0.0036, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0060

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0030
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9970
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 3959.00, Sell volume: 4567.02, Average price: 0.0904, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2429.01, Sell volume: 225.00, Average price: 0.6910, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 669.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116, Buy volume: 3752.75, Sell volume: 4178.40, Average price: 0.9186, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 311, Buy volume: 6475.67, Sell volume: 9298.66, Average price: 0.9577, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 6910.30, Sell volume: 6586.21, Average price: 0.9964, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 9310.76, Sell volume: 615.18, Average price: 0.9778, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 11521.24, Sell volume: 7034.99, Average price: 0.8556, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 37570.30, Sell volume: 35789.69, Average price: 0.9546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1164, Buy volume: 101981.20, Sell volume: 102977.78, Average price: 0.8637, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1164, Buy volume: 101981.20, Sell volume: 102977.78, Average price: 0.8637, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1000
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9000
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9600
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0255
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9745
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0255
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9745
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0085
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9915
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 4131.13, Sell volume: 997.13, Average price: 0.9559, Price range: 0.0440 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0020
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9980
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0020
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9980
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0020
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9980
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0015
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9985
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 9510.65, Sell volume: 31061.00, Average price: 0.0036, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0060
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0030
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9970
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 3959.00, Sell volume: 4567.02, Average price: 0.0904, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2429.01, Sell volume: 225.00, Average price: 0.6910, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 669.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116, Buy volume: 3752.75, Sell volume: 4178.40, Average price: 0.9186, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 311, Buy volume: 6475.67, Sell volume: 9298.66, Average price: 0.9577, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 391, Buy volume: 6910.30, Sell volume: 6586.21, Average price: 0.9964, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9970
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 9310.76, Sell volume: 615.18, Average price: 0.9778, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 11521.24, Sell volume: 7034.99, Average price: 0.8556, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 37570.30, Sell volume: 35789.69, Average price: 0.9546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1164, Buy volume: 101981.20, Sell volume: 102977.78, Average price: 0.8637, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539204
Question: Will Workers' Party (WP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 204958.980323
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1164, Buy volume: 101981.20, Sell volume: 102977.78, Average price: 0.8637, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2550
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.7450
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0350
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9650
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9650
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9650
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9660
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9850
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9880
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0135
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9865
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0085
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 3314.19, Sell volume: 1007.11, Average price: 0.9025, Price range: 0.0119 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0085
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9915
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 34.07, Sell volume: 585.00, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 7856.47, Sell volume: 8298.05, Average price: 0.0225, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2882.21, Sell volume: 1111.36, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 93108.69, Sell volume: 467.00, Average price: 0.9758, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 3300.63, Sell volume: 2949.87, Average price: 0.9218, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0030
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9970
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9970
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0030
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9970
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9980
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9980
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9980
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 386, Buy volume: 7149.31, Sell volume: 7402.01, Average price: 0.9894, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 442, Buy volume: 52873.16, Sell volume: 14750.90, Average price: 0.9073, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 13407.08, Sell volume: 52724.66, Average price: 0.5255, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 5296.24, Sell volume: 3562.00, Average price: 0.8452, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9990
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 46059.09, Sell volume: 2256.64, Average price: 0.9366, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 285.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1358, Buy volume: 242954.00, Sell volume: 98210.40, Average price: 0.8677, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2550
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.7450
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0350
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9650
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9650
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9650
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9660
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9850
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 3314.19, Sell volume: 1007.11, Average price: 0.9025, Price range: 0.0119 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0085
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9915
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 34.07, Sell volume: 585.00, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 7856.47, Sell volume: 8298.05, Average price: 0.0225, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2882.21, Sell volume: 1111.36, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 93108.69, Sell volume: 467.00, Average price: 0.9758, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 3300.63, Sell volume: 2949.87, Average price: 0.9218, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0030
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9970
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9970
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0030
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9970
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9980
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9980
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9980
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 386, Buy volume: 7149.31, Sell volume: 7402.01, Average price: 0.9894, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9980
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9970
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 442, Buy volume: 52873.16, Sell volume: 14750.90, Average price: 0.9073, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0020
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9980
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 13407.08, Sell volume: 52724.66, Average price: 0.5255, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9985
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 5296.24, Sell volume: 3562.00, Average price: 0.8452, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes