Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623890
Question: Will PewDiePie’s next video get between 1.9–2.0 million views on week 1?
Volume: 18658.259495
Price History:
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.3400
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.6600
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.3350
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.6650
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.2950
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.3350
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.6650
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 16155.71, Sell volume: 2502.55, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623890
Question: Will PewDiePie’s next video get between 1.9–2.0 million views on week 1?
Volume: 18658.259495
Price History:
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.4150
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.5850
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.4000
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.6000
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.3250
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.6750
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.5750
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.4250
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.3350
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.6650
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.4250
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.5750
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.4350
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.5650
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.4250
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.5750
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.4350
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.5650
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.4250
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.5750
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.4300
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.5700
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.4150
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.5850
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.4200
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.5800
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.4300
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 16155.71, Sell volume: 2502.55, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623890
Question: Will PewDiePie’s next video get between 1.9–2.0 million views on week 1?
Volume: 18658.259495
Price History:
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.7300
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.2700
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.7300
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.7150
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.6300
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.3700
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.4500
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.5500
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.5450
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.4550
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.4450
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.5550
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.5650
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.4350
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.5700
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.4300
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.3800
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.6200
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.6450
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.3550
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.4200
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.5800
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.7100
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.2900
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.2800
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 16155.71, Sell volume: 2502.55, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623890
Question: Will PewDiePie’s next video get between 1.9–2.0 million views on week 1?
Volume: 18658.259495
Price History:
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.4650
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.5350
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.4750
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.5250
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.5500
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.4500
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.5900
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.4100
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.6600
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.3400
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.2700
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.2700
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.2700
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.2700
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.3600
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.6400
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 16155.71, Sell volume: 2502.55, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623890
Question: Will PewDiePie’s next video get between 1.9–2.0 million views on week 1?
Volume: 18658.259495
Price History:
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.1000
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9000
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9000
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9000
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1000
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.1000
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9000
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.1000
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.1000
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.1350
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.8650
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.8650
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.1350
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.8600
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.1400
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.8600
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.1400
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 455.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9442, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623890
Question: Will PewDiePie’s next video get between 1.9–2.0 million views on week 1?
Volume: 18658.259495
Price History:
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.1650
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9845
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0155
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.2200
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.7800
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.8635
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.1365
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9110
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0890
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9655
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0345
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0225
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9775
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1807.74, Sell volume: 439.41, Average price: 0.8116, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623890
Question: Will PewDiePie’s next video get between 1.9–2.0 million views on week 1?
Volume: 18658.259495
Price History:
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7723.56, Sell volume: 1500.00, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623890
Question: Will PewDiePie’s next video get between 1.9–2.0 million views on week 1?
Volume: 18658.259495
Price History:
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9980
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 333.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623890
Question: Will PewDiePie’s next video get between 1.9–2.0 million views on week 1?
Volume: 18658.259495
Price History:
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623890
Question: Will PewDiePie’s next video get between 1.9–2.0 million views on week 1?
Volume: 18658.259495
Price History:
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1129.00, Sell volume: 563.14, Average price: 0.5557, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623890
Question: Will PewDiePie’s next video get between 1.9–2.0 million views on week 1?
Volume: 18658.259495
Price History:
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 4401.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8882, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623890
Question: Will PewDiePie’s next video get between 1.9–2.0 million views on week 1?
Volume: 18658.259495
Price History:
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 16155.71, Sell volume: 2502.55, Average price: 0.8125, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.5250
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.4500
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.4350
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.4350
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.4350
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.4300
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.4300
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.4300
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.4250
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.3850
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.3950
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.3950
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.4250
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.4350
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.4250
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.4200
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.4200
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.4200
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.4150
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.4100
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.4050
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.4050
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.4050
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.4050
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.4000
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.4150
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.4050
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.4000
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.4050
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.4050
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.4050
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.6200
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.6150
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.6200
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.6100
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.6200
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.6150
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.6250
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.6800
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.6550
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.6600
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.6600
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 186, Buy volume: 30654.25, Sell volume: 1083.19, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.6600
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.6600
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.6450
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.6450
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.6400
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.6400
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.6450
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.6400
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.6350
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.6400
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.6450
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.6400
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.6400
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.6150
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.6250
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.6200
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.6150
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.6150
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.6100
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.6150
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.6250
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.6200
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.6100
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.6150
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.6200
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.6200
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.6300
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.6300
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.6250
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.6150
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.6150
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.6150
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.6100
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.6050
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.6100
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.6100
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.6050
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 16287.81, Sell volume: 5276.81, Average price: 0.4981, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.5150
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.4850
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.5100
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.5050
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.5250
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.4750
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.5200
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.5150
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.5250
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.5200
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.4850
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.4850
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.5200
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.4250
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.3850
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.3650
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.6700
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.3650
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.3650
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.6350
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.6300
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.3700
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.3650
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.6350
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.3650
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.3200
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.3450
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.6600
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.3450
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.3450
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.3400
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.3400
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.3200
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.2900
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.6950
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.6950
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.6600
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.6350
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.6350
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.6400
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.6350
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.6400
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.3600
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.6400
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.6550
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.3400
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.3250
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.6750
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 172, Buy volume: 20366.42, Sell volume: 9597.26, Average price: 0.4774, Price range: 0.2146 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.7850
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.2150
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.2250
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.7750
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.2300
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.2250
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7750
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.7750
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.2250
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.2050
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.7800
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.7800
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.2200
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.7550
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.7550
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2450
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.7550
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.7650
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.7650
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.7650
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.7650
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.7400
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.7400
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.7200
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.7200
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.2800
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.6950
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.6250
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.6250
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.6600
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.6600
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.6650
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.6600
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.6250
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.3950
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.6250
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.4100
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.6000
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 8728.13, Sell volume: 15551.29, Average price: 0.4999, Price range: 0.2134 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.4200
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.5700
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.4300
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.4300
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.4300
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.5700
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.4300
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.4300
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.5700
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.5700
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.5700
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.4300
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.4150
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.4150
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.3950
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.3750
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.3800
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.4300
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.4300
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.5800
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.4200
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.4300
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.4300
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.4150
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.5550
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.4450
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.4450
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.5300
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.5250
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.4750
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.4750
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.4250
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.4550
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.4500
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.4450
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.5600
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.4550
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.5550
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.4350
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.4450
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.4650
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.5450
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.4600
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.4600
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.5500
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.4100
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.5900
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.5950
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 9356.43, Sell volume: 9371.53, Average price: 0.4722, Price range: 0.2576 - 0.7280

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.3250
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.3250
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.3250
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.3250
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.3250
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.6750
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.3250
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.3250
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.3550
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.3850
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.6150
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.5750
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.5450
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.4350
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.3750
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.6250
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.3550
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.3600
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.3600
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.6400
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.3600
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.6550
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.3500
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.3400
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.3750
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.3450
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.6600
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.3550
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.3650
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.3300
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.3300
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.6700
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.3300
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.6700
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.6700
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.6850
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.7250
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.7450
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.2550
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.7450
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.2550
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.2700
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.2700
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.2700
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 13887.02, Sell volume: 1793.77, Average price: 0.5566, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.2550
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.7450
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.7350
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.7400
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.7350
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.7400
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.2650
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.7200
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.7200
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.2800
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.2650
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.2650
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.2700
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.7250
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.7250
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.7250
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.2650
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.2600
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.2650
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.2450
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.2650
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.2450
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.7350
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.2650
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 7619.73, Sell volume: 5816.41, Average price: 0.5716, Price range: 0.2478 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.8000
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.2200
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.7750
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.2100
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.8100
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.1400
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.8550
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.1550
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.1500
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.8500
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.1500
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.8750
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.8750
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.8650
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.8700
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.8500
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1400
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.8650
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.1350
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.1300
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.1250
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.1250
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.1300
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.8750
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.8850
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0950
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9050
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.1000
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.8950
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8950
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.8950
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1050
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.8950
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 16068.31, Sell volume: 11428.41, Average price: 0.6168, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9000
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9000
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.1000
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.1000
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9000
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.1050
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8850
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.8850
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.1150
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.8950
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.8950
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.8950
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.8950
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.8950
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.8850
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.8850
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.8850
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.1050
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.8950
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.8950
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.8950
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.8950
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 9641.05, Sell volume: 11236.05, Average price: 0.5723, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0600
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0650
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0550
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0550
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0600
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0600
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0450
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9500
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0450
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0500
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.1050
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0700
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0650
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0600
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0600
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9400
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9400
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9400
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9400
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0600
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9400
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9400
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0650
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9350
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9400
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0600
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 6678.56, Sell volume: 5086.12, Average price: 0.5766, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0600
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9550
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0405
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9595
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9595
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0405
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0405
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0400
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0400
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0400
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0390
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0395
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.9605
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0410
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9600
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.9590
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9590
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.0405
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0410
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0410
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0415
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0415
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0405
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0410
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9575
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0445
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0430
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0435
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0390
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9675
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0390
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9585
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0395
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9605
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9605
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0395
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9600
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9600
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9540
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0460
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0460
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9540
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0435
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9570
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0430
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9565
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9610
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9610
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1821.89, Sell volume: 2037.59, Average price: 0.7877, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9755

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9665
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9670
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0330
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9670
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0330
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0320
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0320
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0320
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0320
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9685
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0315
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0315
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0315
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9685
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9685
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9685
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9725
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9720
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9735
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9715
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.9715
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0325
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9675
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9670
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0315
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9685
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9685
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0310
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9690
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9690
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9850
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0150
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9850
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0150
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9850
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9850
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9850
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9850
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0125
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9885
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9850
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0150
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.9850
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 9936.76, Sell volume: 3007.26, Average price: 0.8969, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0135
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0135
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9865
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9865
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0135
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0150
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9850
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0140
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0145
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9850
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0145
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0145
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9855
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9855
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0145
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0155
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9845
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9845
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0155
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9845
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0150
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9850
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0155
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9845
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9860
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9865
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9865
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0135
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0085
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9935
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9940
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9945
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0050
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9945
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9945
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 2899.89, Sell volume: 2847.50, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.5250
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.5600
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.4350
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.5700
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.4300
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.6000
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.3950
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.5750
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.4250
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.5800
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.4150
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.5900
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.4050
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.5950
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.4000
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.5950
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.5950
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.5950
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.5750
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.6200
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.3900
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.6150
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.3550
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.6800
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.3400
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.6600
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 186, Buy volume: 30654.25, Sell volume: 1083.19, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.6600
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.3400
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.6350
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.6450
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.3650
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.6400
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.6150
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.3850
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.6150
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.3900
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.6250
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.3850
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.6250
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.3800
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.6300
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.3750
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.3850
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.3850
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.6150
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.6100
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.3900
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.6100
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 16287.81, Sell volume: 5276.81, Average price: 0.4981, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.5150
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.4850
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.5000
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.5250
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.5150
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.5200
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.5250
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.4800
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.3850
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.6550
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.3650
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.6350
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.6300
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.3700
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.3650
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.6800
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.6600
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.6550
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.3400
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.6800
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.6950
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.3300
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.3600
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.3600
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.6400
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.3600
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.3400
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.6750
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.3150
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 172, Buy volume: 20366.42, Sell volume: 9597.26, Average price: 0.4774, Price range: 0.2146 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.7850
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.2150
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.2250
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.2200
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.7750
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.7750
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.7950
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.7800
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.2250
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.2450
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.2450
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.7650
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.2350
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.7650
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.2600
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.7200
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.2800
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.6250
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.3400
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.6650
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.3450
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.6050
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.5900
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.6000
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 8728.13, Sell volume: 15551.29, Average price: 0.4999, Price range: 0.2134 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.4200
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.5800
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.4300
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.4300
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.4300
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.5700
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.4300
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.5850
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.3950
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.6150
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.4300
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.4200
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.4300
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.4300
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.5550
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.5550
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.5250
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.4750
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.5600
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.5500
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.5600
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.4350
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.4400
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.5350
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.4600
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.5450
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.5900
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.4050
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.6250
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 9356.43, Sell volume: 9371.53, Average price: 0.4722, Price range: 0.2576 - 0.7280
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.3250
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.6750
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.3250
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.3250
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.3250
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.6050
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.6150
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.4550
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.3750
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.3750
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.6450
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.3600
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.6550
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.6600
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.3600
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.3400
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.3650
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.3300
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.3300
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.3300
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.6850
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.7250
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.2450
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.2550
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.7450
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.2700
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.2600
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 13887.02, Sell volume: 1793.77, Average price: 0.5566, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.2550
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.2550
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.7350
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.2800
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.2650
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.2650
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.7250
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7300
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.7250
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.7250
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.7350
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.7350
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.2650
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.2650
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.7350
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 7619.73, Sell volume: 5816.41, Average price: 0.5716, Price range: 0.2478 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.8000
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.2250
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.8100
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.8550
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.8500
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.8500
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.8650
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.8750
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8500
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.8650
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.1350
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.8750
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.8750
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1300
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.8750
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.8850
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9050
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.1050
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.1050
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.1050
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.8950
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 16068.31, Sell volume: 11428.41, Average price: 0.6168, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9000
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.1000
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9000
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9000
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.8950
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8850
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.1150
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.8950
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.1150
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.1050
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.8950
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.1050
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.8850
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.1150
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.8950
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.8950
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 9641.05, Sell volume: 11236.05, Average price: 0.5723, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9400
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0550
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9400
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9550
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0500
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9350
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0650
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9400
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9400
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9400
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0600
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9400
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9350
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9450
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 6678.56, Sell volume: 5086.12, Average price: 0.5766, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0550
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9590
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0405
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0405
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9605
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9645
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9605
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0410
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0410
2025-09-17 14:00: 0.0405
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9630
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0415
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9595
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0410
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9560
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0435
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0325
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9590
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9610
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9605
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0400
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9600
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0460
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9540
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0430
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9570
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0390
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9615
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1821.89, Sell volume: 2037.59, Average price: 0.7877, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9755
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9665
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9670
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0330
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0320
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0320
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0315
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9685
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9685
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9685
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0275
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9740
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0285
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0325
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0330
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9680
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0310
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9690
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0150
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0150
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9850
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9850
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9875
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9890
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0150
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9850
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 9936.76, Sell volume: 3007.26, Average price: 0.8969, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 566502
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30?
Volume: 238598.059036
Price History:
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9865
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0135
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9875
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0150
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9860
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0145
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9855
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9855
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9855
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0155
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0155
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9845
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0150
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0155
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0160
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9865
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9865
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9935
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9940
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0055
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.9950
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0050
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9945
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 2899.89, Sell volume: 2847.50, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.3550
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.3550
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.3550
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.7450
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.7500
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.2350
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.7400
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.2500
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.7700
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.7350
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.2900
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.2900
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.7100
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.2850
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.3000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.2800
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.2900
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.2850
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.2850
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.2850
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.7150
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.2650
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.7350
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.7350
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.2650
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.2650
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.2700
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.2650
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.2650
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.2550
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.2550
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 4203.01, Sell volume: 1794.30, Average price: 0.4736, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.7450
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.2550
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.7450
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.2550
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.2550
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.7450
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.7450
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.7450
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.7450
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.7000
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.6750
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.6700
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.6850
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.6600
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.6700
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.7050
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.6950
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.3000
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.7200
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.7250
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.2850
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.7150
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.7150
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.7150
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.7100
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.2900
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.7100
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.2900
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.2900
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.2850
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.2850
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.7150
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.2850
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.2900
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.2900
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.7150
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.2850
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.2850
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.2850
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.2850
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.2850
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.2850
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.2750
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.2750
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.2700
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 6420.63, Sell volume: 1537.82, Average price: 0.4387, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.2550
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.7500
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.2350
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.7650
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.7650
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.7650
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.7600
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.7600
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.7600
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.7600
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.7650
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.7650
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.7650
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.7800
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.2200
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.2200
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.8200
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.1800
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.1800
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.1950
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.1800
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.1850
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.8150
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.1850
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.1850
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.1850
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.1850
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.1850
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.1850
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.8150
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.1850
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.1850
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.8200
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.2000
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.8000
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.8000
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.2150
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.7850
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.7850
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.2150
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.2150
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.7850
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2685.54, Sell volume: 1705.38, Average price: 0.5397, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.2100
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.2250
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.7750
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.7750
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.2200
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.7750
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.2150
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.2150
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.2150
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.7850
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.2150
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.2050
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.2100
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.2100
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.2100
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.2100
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.2100
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.2100
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.2100
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.7750
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.7550
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.7250
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.2600
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.7450
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.7450
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.7350
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.7350
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.7100
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.7150
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.7800
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.2000
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.7850
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.2150
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.8050
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.8200
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.8200
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.1950
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.1950
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.2200
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.7950
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1806.54, Sell volume: 1134.40, Average price: 0.4134, Price range: 0.1797 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.1950
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.1950
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.2100
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.2150
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.2100
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.2100
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.2100
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.2150
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.2150
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.8000
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.1950
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.1950
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.2200
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.2200
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.2200
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.2150
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.2150
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.2150
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.7900
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.7900
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.2050
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.1800
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.8000
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.2050
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.2050
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.7950
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.2000
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.8000
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.8000
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.8000
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.8000
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.8000
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.8000
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.8200
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.8200
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.1800
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.8200
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.1650
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.8350
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3477.92, Sell volume: 1553.77, Average price: 0.4616, Price range: 0.1572 - 0.8280

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.1600
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.1600
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.1600
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.1650
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.1900
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.1850
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.8150
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.8000
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.1950
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.8100
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.8150
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.8150
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.1850
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.1850
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.8150
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.8150
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 7515.50, Sell volume: 503.21, Average price: 0.4476, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1800
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.1900
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8100
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8000
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8000
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8300
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8300
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.1650
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.1650
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1650
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8750
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9000
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.1000
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 14484.01, Sell volume: 1749.94, Average price: 0.6936, Price range: 0.0824 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9100
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 2797.11, Sell volume: 1219.82, Average price: 0.6810, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 3940.69, Sell volume: 1834.68, Average price: 0.7444, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1550
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.1150
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.1150
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0900
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9100
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0900
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 13359.10, Sell volume: 4484.49, Average price: 0.6456, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.1000
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 172, Buy volume: 27703.91, Sell volume: 6406.82, Average price: 0.5332, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.8850
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.8800
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.8800
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.8800
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.8850
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.8500
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.8400
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.8450
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.8450
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.8550
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.8300
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.8600
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.8550
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.8750
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.8800
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.8850
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.8850
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.8500
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.8450
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.8450
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.8450
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.8850
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 250, Buy volume: 37113.74, Sell volume: 24518.94, Average price: 0.5293, Price range: 0.0404 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0400
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0655
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0540
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0545
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0545
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0590
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0475
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0365
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0265
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0245
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0240
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0165
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0165
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0215
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0155
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0150
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0115
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0120
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0110
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 269, Buy volume: 26416.32, Sell volume: 29897.87, Average price: 0.7019, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.3550
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.6450
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.7300
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.2500
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.7400
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.2550
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.7700
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.2650
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.7300
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.3150
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.7100
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.2850
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.7200
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.2900
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.2850
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.7350
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.2650
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.2650
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.7450
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.7450
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 4203.01, Sell volume: 1794.30, Average price: 0.4736, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.7450
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.2550
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.7450
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.2550
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.7450
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.3000
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.6700
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.6600
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.7000
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.7200
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.7150
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.2850
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.2850
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.7100
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.2900
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.2900
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.7150
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.7150
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.7100
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.2900
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.2850
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.7150
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.2750
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.2700
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 6420.63, Sell volume: 1537.82, Average price: 0.4387, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.2550
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.7650
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.2350
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.2350
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.7600
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.2400
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.7650
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.2350
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.7650
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.2200
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.7800
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.1800
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.8200
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.2000
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.1850
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.1850
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.8150
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.1850
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.1850
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.1850
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.2000
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.8000
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.2150
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.2150
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.7850
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.7850
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.7850
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2685.54, Sell volume: 1705.38, Average price: 0.5397, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.2100
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.2250
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.7750
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.2150
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.2150
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.2150
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.7900
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.2100
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.7900
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.7900
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.7900
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.2450
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.7450
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.8000
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.7850
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.8050
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.8200
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.8050
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.2150
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.2050
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.2000
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1806.54, Sell volume: 1134.40, Average price: 0.4134, Price range: 0.1797 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.8050
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.2100
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.2300
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.8050
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.2200
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.7800
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.2150
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.7850
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.7900
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.2000
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.7950
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.8000
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.8000
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.2000
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.8000
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.8200
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.1800
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.1650
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.1650
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3477.92, Sell volume: 1553.77, Average price: 0.4616, Price range: 0.1572 - 0.8280
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.1600
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.1600
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.1700
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.1700
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.8100
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.1850
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2000
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.8100
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.1850
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.1850
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.1850
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.8150
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.8100
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 7515.50, Sell volume: 503.21, Average price: 0.4476, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1800
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.8100
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.8350
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.8350
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8750
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.1000
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9100
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 14484.01, Sell volume: 1749.94, Average price: 0.6936, Price range: 0.0824 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 2797.11, Sell volume: 1219.82, Average price: 0.6810, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 3940.69, Sell volume: 1834.68, Average price: 0.7444, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.8850
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0900
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9100
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9100
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 13359.10, Sell volume: 4484.49, Average price: 0.6456, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 172, Buy volume: 27703.91, Sell volume: 6406.82, Average price: 0.5332, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.8850
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.1200
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.8800
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.1150
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.8550
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.1600
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.8550
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.1950
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.8600
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.8850
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.1500
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8450
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 250, Buy volume: 37113.74, Sell volume: 24518.94, Average price: 0.5293, Price range: 0.0404 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 585602
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?
Volume: 231505.537413
Price History:
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0655
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0540
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9465
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0475
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9635
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0245
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9830
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0220
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9845
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0115
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9875
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 269, Buy volume: 26416.32, Sell volume: 29897.87, Average price: 0.7019, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.5200
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.5200
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.5150
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.4500
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.4900
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.5150
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.5150
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.5150
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.5150
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.5150
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.5150
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.4300
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.4500
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.5400
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.4550
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.5600
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.5650
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.5650
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.5650
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.5650
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.5650
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.5650
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.5650
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.5650
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.5650
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.4350
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.4450
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.4500
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.4500
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.4450
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.4450
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.5500
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.5500
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.5200
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5050
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5150
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.5100
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 12048.79, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.4874, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.5100
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.5100
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.5100
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.5100
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.4850
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.4850
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.5100
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.5100
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.5100
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.5100
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.5100
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.5000
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.4550
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.4550
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.4600
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.4600
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.4600
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.4600
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.5400
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.4600
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.4600
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.4600
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.4600
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.4600
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.4550
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.4600
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.4650
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.4650
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.4650
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.4700
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.4700
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.5300
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.4800
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.4800
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.4850
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.4850
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.4850
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 15946.21, Sell volume: 11398.57, Average price: 0.5031, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5593

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.4900
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.4900
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.5100
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.5100
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.4900
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.5100
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.4850
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.5100
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.5050
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.5050
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.4850
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.4800
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.5350
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.5250
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.4750
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.5250
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5250
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5250
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 6755.40, Sell volume: 1812.17, Average price: 0.5016, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.5050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.5050
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.4900
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.4900
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5050
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.4950
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.4950
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4950
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.4950
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.4750
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5250
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5250
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5250
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5350
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.4650
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.5350
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5250
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.5250
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5250
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5400
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.5400
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4550
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.4600
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4600
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.4600
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.4600
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.4550
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.5550
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.4400
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.4350
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.5650
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 15841.39, Sell volume: 1890.16, Average price: 0.5207, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.4350
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.5750
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.4250
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.4250
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.4250
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.4150
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.5850
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.4150
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.4250
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.4200
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.4150
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.4150
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.4150
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.4150
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.5850
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.5850
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.4150
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.5950
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.6000
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.4000
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.6000
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.6000
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.3950
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.3950
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.3950
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.3950
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.3950
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.3950
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.6050
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.6050
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.6050
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.6050
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.5900
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.5950
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.6200
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 4250.27, Sell volume: 10204.09, Average price: 0.5010, Price range: 0.3720 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.4050
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5900
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.4050
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.4000
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.6000
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.3950
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.3950
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.6000
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.6000
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.5700
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.5850
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.4150
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.5850
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.5850
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.4000
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.5950
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.5950
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.5950
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.4000
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.6000
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.4050
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.4050
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.4050
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.4050
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.4050
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.5950
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.5950
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.4050
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.4050
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.4150
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.4150
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.4150
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.4150
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.4150
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.4050
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.4250
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 8819.00, Sell volume: 4329.99, Average price: 0.4952, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.5150
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.4850
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.4900
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.4850
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.4700
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.5300
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.5200
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.4650
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.5600
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.5900
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.6050
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5950
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6050
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.6050
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.6050
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.6050
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.3950
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.3650
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.3550
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.3650
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.4050
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.5950
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.5750
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.5750
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.4250
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.6000
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.6000
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.5950
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.6000
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.5950
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.5900
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.6000
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.5900
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.4100
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.4150
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.4050
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.3950
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.3950
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.6050
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 11631.89, Sell volume: 9949.52, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595723
Question: Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 355311.843209
Price History:
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.4500
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.5500
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.4550
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.4150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.5850
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.5900
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.5950
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.5800
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.5850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.4150
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.5900
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.5950
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.3050
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.7300
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.6450
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.6600
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.6600
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.6550
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.6500
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.7000
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.7100
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.7350
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.7200
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.7350
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.7350
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.2650
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.2650
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.2650
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.2650
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.2650
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.2600
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.7300
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.7300
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.7350
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.2650
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7250
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.2750
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.7250
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 185, Buy volume: 15137.65, Sell volume: 19427.09, Average price: 0.4630, Price range: 0.1983 - 0.7400

Output: Yes