Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.3050
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.6950
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.3300
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.3300
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.6700
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.3450
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.6550
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.3050
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.6950
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.3050
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.6950
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.6950
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.3700
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.6300
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.3700
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.6300
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.3700
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.6300
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.3700
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.6300
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.3750
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.3750
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.6250
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.3700
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.6300
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.3600
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.6400
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.3550
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.6450
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.3450
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.6550
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.3450
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.6550
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.3450
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.6550
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.3450
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.6550
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.3000
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.7000
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.3000
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.7000
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.7000
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.3000
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.7000
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.3000
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.7000
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.7050
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.2950
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.3200
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.3200
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.3150
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.6850
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.3200
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.3200
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.3200
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.3200
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.3200
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.3200
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.6800
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.3100
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.6900
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.2250
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.7750
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.2300
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.7700
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.2300
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.7700
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.2900
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.7100
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.2950
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.7050
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.2400
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.7600
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.2400
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.7600
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.2850
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.2400
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.2400
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.7600
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.2250
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.7750
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.2250
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.7750
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.2250
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.7750
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.7650
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.2250
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.7750
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.1600
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.8400
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.2250
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.7750
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.2250
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.7750
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.2200
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.7800
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.2100
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.7900
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.2350
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.7650
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.7650
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.2350
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.7650
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.2350
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.7650
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.2400
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.7600
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.2400
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.7600
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.3100
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.7500
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.2500
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.7500
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.2950
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.7050
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.2400
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.7600
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529004
Question: Will Leavitt say "DEI" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1181.131997
Price History:
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.2400
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.7600
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.7500
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.2500
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.7500
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.7500
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.2300
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.7700
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.2300
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.7700
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.7450
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5350
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5350
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.5750
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.4250
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.5950
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.4050
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.5950
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.4050
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5950
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.4050
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5950
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.4050
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.5950
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.4050
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.4100
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.5850
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.4100
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.5900
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.4000
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.6000
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.3950
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.6050
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.4000
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.6000
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.3850
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.6150
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.3800
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.6200
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.3750
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.6250
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.3650
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.6350
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.3450
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.6550
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.4200
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.5800
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.4900
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.5100
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.4950
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.5050
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.4950
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.4950
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.5100
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.4550
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.5450
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.4550
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.5450
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.4550
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.5450
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.4550
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.5450
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.4550
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.5450
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.4550
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.5450
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.5550
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.4450
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.5550
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.4300
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.5700
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.4400
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.5600
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.4350
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.5650
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.4350
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.5650
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.4350
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.5650
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.4450
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.5550
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.4400
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.5600
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.5600
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.4450
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.5550
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.4400
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.5600
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.4450
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.4500
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.5500
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.4450
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.5550
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.4350
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.5650
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.4400
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.5600
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.4350
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.5650
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.4350
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.5650
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.4400
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.5600
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.4350
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.5650
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.4400
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.5600
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.5050
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.4900
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.5100
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.4950
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.4750
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.5250
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.4800
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.5200
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.4300
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.5700
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.4400
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.5600
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.4550
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.5450
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.4450
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.5550
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.5450
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.5600
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.4250
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.5750
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.4250
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.5750
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.4350
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.5650
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.4300
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.4350
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.5650
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.4350
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.5650
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.4200
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.5800
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.4200
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.5800
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.4200
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.5800
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.4200
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.5800
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.5800
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.4250
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.5750
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.4250
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.5750
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.4250
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.5750
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.4250
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.5750
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.4250
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.5750
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.5750
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.4500
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.5500
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.4350
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.5650
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.4300
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.5700
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.4350
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.5650
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.4350
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.5650
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.3250
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.6750
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.5750
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.4250
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.5750
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.4350
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.5650
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.4250
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.5750
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.4350
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.5650
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.4250
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.5750
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.4350
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.5650
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.4300
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.5700
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.4300
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.5700
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.4300
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.5700
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.4350
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.5650
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.4400
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.5600
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.4350
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.5600
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.4350
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.5650
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.4450
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.5550
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5350
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5350
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.4650
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.5750
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.4250
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.5950
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.4050
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.5950
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.4050
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5950
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.4050
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5950
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.4050
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.5950
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.4050
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.4100
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.5850
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.4150
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.5850
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.4100
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.5900
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.4000
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.6000
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.3950
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.6050
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.4000
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.6000
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.3850
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.6150
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.3800
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.6200
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.3750
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.6250
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.3650
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.6350
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.6450
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.3450
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.6550
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.4200
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.5800
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.4900
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.5100
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.4950
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.5050
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.4950
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.5050
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.4950
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.5000
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.5100
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.4550
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.5450
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.4550
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.5450
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.4550
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.5450
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.4550
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.5450
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.4550
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.5450
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.4550
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.5450
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.5550
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.4450
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.5550
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.4300
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.5700
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.4400
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.5600
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.4350
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.5650
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.4350
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.5650
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.4350
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.5650
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.4450
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.5550
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.4400
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.5600
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.5600
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.4450
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.5550
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.4400
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.5600
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.4450
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.4500
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.5500
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.4450
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.5550
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.4350
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.5650
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.4400
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.5600
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.4350
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.5650
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.4350
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.5650
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.4400
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.5600
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.4350
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.5650
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.4400
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.5600
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.5050
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.4900
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.5100
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.4950
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.5050
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.4750
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.5250
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.4800
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.5200
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.4300
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.5700
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.4400
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.5600
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.4550
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.5450
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.4450
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.5550
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.5450
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.5600
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.4250
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.5750
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.4250
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.5750
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.4350
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.5650
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.4300
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.4350
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.5650
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.4350
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.5650
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.4200
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.5800
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.4200
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.5800
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.4200
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.5800
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.4200
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.5800
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.5800
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.4250
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.5750
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.4250
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.5750
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.4250
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.5750
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.4250
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.5750
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.4250
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.5750
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.5750
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.4500
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.5500
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.4350
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.5650
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.4300
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.5700
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.4350
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.5650
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.4350
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.5650
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.5550
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.2800
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.3250
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.6750
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.5750
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.4250
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.5750
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.4350
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.5650
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.4250
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.5750
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.4350
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.5650
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.4250
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.5750
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.4350
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.5650
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.4300
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.5700
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.4300
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.5700
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.4300
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.5700
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.4350
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.5650
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.4400
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.5600
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.4350
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529005
Question: Will Leavitt say "egregious" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 899.041531
Price History:
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.5600
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.4350
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.5650
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.4450
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.5550
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.4700
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.5300
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0750
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9250
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0445
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9555
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0425
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9575
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0420
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9580
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0425
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9575
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9580
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0425
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9575
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0310
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9690
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0310
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9690
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0305
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9695
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0495
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9505
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0490
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9510
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0575
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9425
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0625
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9375
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0585
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9415
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0535
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9465
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0535
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9465
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0535
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2386.87, Sell volume: 291.96, Average price: 0.4746, Price range: 0.0493 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0535
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9465
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0435
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9565
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9580
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0415
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9585
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9600
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0370
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9630
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0370
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9630
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0370
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9630
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0345
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9655
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0360
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9640
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0360
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9640
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0360
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9640
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0370
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9630
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0365
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9635
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1764.94, Sell volume: 190.00, Average price: 0.7304, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9670

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 92.59, Average price: 0.0330, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.0330

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9670, Price range: 0.9670 - 0.9670

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 409, Buy volume: 162235.25, Sell volume: 11524.06, Average price: 0.8962, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 409, Buy volume: 162235.25, Sell volume: 11524.06, Average price: 0.8962, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 409, Buy volume: 162235.25, Sell volume: 11524.06, Average price: 0.8962, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0335
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9665
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0335
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9665
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0335
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9665
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0335
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9665
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0270
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9730
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0265
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9735
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0265
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9735
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0265
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 99.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9670, Price range: 0.9670 - 0.9670

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0265
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9735
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0265
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9735
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0260
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9740
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0130
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9870
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 29595.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9889, Price range: 0.9785 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2008.18, Sell volume: 1400.00, Average price: 0.1286, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9925
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1169.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9920
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9945
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 173, Buy volume: 71100.64, Sell volume: 424.10, Average price: 0.9709, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9930
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9930
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9930
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9930
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9925
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0075
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9925
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0075
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9925
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9980
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 40326.16, Sell volume: 9125.41, Average price: 0.9012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0750
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9250
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0445
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9555
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0425
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9575
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0420
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9580
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0425
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9575
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9580
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0425
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9575
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0310
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9690
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0310
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9690
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0305
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9695
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0495
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9505
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0490
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9510
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0575
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9425
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0625
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9375
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0585
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2386.87, Sell volume: 291.96, Average price: 0.4746, Price range: 0.0493 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0535
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9465
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0435
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9565
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0420
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9580
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0415
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9585
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9600
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0370
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9630
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0370
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9630
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0370
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9630
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0345
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9655
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0360
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9640
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0360
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9640
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0360
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9640
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0370
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9630
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0365
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9635
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1764.94, Sell volume: 190.00, Average price: 0.7304, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9645
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 92.59, Average price: 0.0330, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.0330
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9670, Price range: 0.9670 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 409, Buy volume: 162235.25, Sell volume: 11524.06, Average price: 0.8962, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 409, Buy volume: 162235.25, Sell volume: 11524.06, Average price: 0.8962, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0340
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 409, Buy volume: 162235.25, Sell volume: 11524.06, Average price: 0.8962, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0340
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9660
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0335
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9665
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0335
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9665
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0335
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9665
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0335
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9665
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0270
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 99.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9670, Price range: 0.9670 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0265
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9735
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0265
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9735
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0260
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9740
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0130
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9870
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 29595.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9889, Price range: 0.9785 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2008.18, Sell volume: 1400.00, Average price: 0.1286, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1169.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9920
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 173, Buy volume: 71100.64, Sell volume: 424.10, Average price: 0.9709, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539254
Question: Will Anthony Albanese lose his seat?
Volume: 173759.305332
Price History:
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9930
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9930
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9930
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9930
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9925
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0075
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9925
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0075
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9925
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0020
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 40326.16, Sell volume: 9125.41, Average price: 0.9012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.6600
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.3400
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.6600
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.3400
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.6600
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.3400
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.6600
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.6650
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.4300
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.4100
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.5900
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 1540.15, Sell volume: 391.98, Average price: 0.5463, Price range: 0.3068 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3600
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3500
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.7500
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.2500
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6850
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.7200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.2800
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.7200
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6900
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.3100
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7300
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.2700
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7300
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.2700
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7300
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.2700
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7400
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.2600
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7500
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2450
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2550
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 21408.50, Sell volume: 20741.27, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6750
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.6750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.3250
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.3000
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6150
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.3850
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4400
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5550
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.4350
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4300
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.5850
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5950
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.4050
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.3950
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2435.63, Sell volume: 164.78, Average price: 0.4406, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7116

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.4100
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4050
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.7100
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.3200
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.6700
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.3300
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.6700
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.3300
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.6700
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.3300
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6750
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 3272.23, Sell volume: 434.39, Average price: 0.5332, Price range: 0.2060 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.3750
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.6100
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.3900
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.6300
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.3700
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.3900
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.3900
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.3900
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.3900
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 41.47, Sell volume: 34.00, Average price: 0.4250, Price range: 0.3550 - 0.6300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.5700
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.4300
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5700
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4300
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.5550
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4450
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5550
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.4450
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 389.80, Sell volume: 409.37, Average price: 0.4805, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5889

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 407.72, Sell volume: 33.95, Average price: 0.5230, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6349

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 43.27, Average price: 0.4818, Price range: 0.3635 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3850
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3850
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3850
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 227.51, Sell volume: 72.26, Average price: 0.4124, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.4300
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5950
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4050
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4050
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5950
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4050
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4100
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1237.68, Sell volume: 179.83, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.3848 - 0.5644

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4700
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.5300
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.4700
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.5300
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4700
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5300
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3400
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6600
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.3200
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.6800
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.2750
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.7250
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.2750
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.7250
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.7250
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3700
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.6300
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.3850
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.6150
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.6000
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.6000
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.4000
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.6000
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 917.12, Sell volume: 2163.42, Average price: 0.4578, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.5900
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.5900
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.5900
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.5900
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.5900
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.4100
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.4100
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.4100
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.5900
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.5850
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.5650
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1484.56, Sell volume: 633.13, Average price: 0.5451, Price range: 0.3830 - 0.6500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.3700
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.6300
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.3700
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.6300
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.3700
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.6300
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.6300
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.6300
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.6300
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.6300
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.6300
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.6300
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.6250
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.6250
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.6250
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.6300
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 280.91, Sell volume: 96.34, Average price: 0.4658, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.6600
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.6600
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.6600
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.6650
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.5700
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.4100
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 1540.15, Sell volume: 391.98, Average price: 0.5463, Price range: 0.3068 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.7500
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6850
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.7200
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.7200
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6900
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7300
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7300
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7300
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7400
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.7450
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7300
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 21408.50, Sell volume: 20741.27, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.6750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6150
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5550
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.5850
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5950
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.6050
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5850
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2435.63, Sell volume: 164.78, Average price: 0.4406, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7116
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.7100
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.6700
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.6700
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.6700
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6750
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.6750
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.6700
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.6550
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.6550
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 3272.23, Sell volume: 434.39, Average price: 0.5332, Price range: 0.2060 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.6100
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.6300
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.6100
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 41.47, Sell volume: 34.00, Average price: 0.4250, Price range: 0.3550 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.5700
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5700
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.5550
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5550
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 389.80, Sell volume: 409.37, Average price: 0.4805, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5889
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 407.72, Sell volume: 33.95, Average price: 0.5230, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6349
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 43.27, Average price: 0.4818, Price range: 0.3635 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 227.51, Sell volume: 72.26, Average price: 0.4124, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5950
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5950
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5950
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1237.68, Sell volume: 179.83, Average price: 0.4583, Price range: 0.3848 - 0.5644
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4700
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.4700
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4700
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3400
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.3200
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.2750
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.2750
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3700
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.3850
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.4000
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4000
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4000
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 917.12, Sell volume: 2163.42, Average price: 0.4578, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.4100
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.4100
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.4100
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.4100
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.4100
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.4600
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1484.56, Sell volume: 633.13, Average price: 0.5451, Price range: 0.3830 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 574355
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?
Volume: 77284.944802
Price History:
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.3700
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.3700
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.3700
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.3700
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 280.91, Sell volume: 96.34, Average price: 0.4658, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No