Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520163
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 71790.497745
Price History:
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0750
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.9200
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.9200
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0800
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0850
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9100
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0900
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.9100
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0900
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.9100
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0900
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9100
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0900
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.9100
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0900
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.9100
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0900
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9100
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0900
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9050
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0950
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.9100
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0900
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9100
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 3944.36, Sell volume: 1110.52, Average price: 0.8848, Price range: 0.0957 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520163
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 71790.497745
Price History:
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0700
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.9300
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0700
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.9300
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0700
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9300
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0700
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.9300
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0700
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9300
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0700
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0650
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0650
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0650
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.9300
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0700
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.9300
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0700
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9300
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0700
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9300
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0700
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9300
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0700
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9300
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0700
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9300
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0700
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9300
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0700
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.9300
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0700
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9350
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0650
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9350
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1996.45, Sell volume: 164.38, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520163
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 71790.497745
Price History:
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0750
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9250
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0750
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9200
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0800
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.9200
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0800
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9200
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0800
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.9250
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9150
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9150
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0850
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.9150
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9150
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9150
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.9200
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0800
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9250
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0750
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9200
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0800
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9200
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0800
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9200
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0800
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.9200
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0800
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9200
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0800
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9300
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.9300
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 12202.90, Sell volume: 1437.05, Average price: 0.5837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9936

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520163
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 71790.497745
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.6250
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.3800
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.6100
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.5750
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4250
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.5750
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.0400
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.9600
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.0400
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.5800
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.3600
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.6400
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.7000
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.5800
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.4200
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.5800
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.6450
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.3800
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.6100
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.3900
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.3850
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.4100
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.4300
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.6150
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.4550
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.5450
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.4550
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.5450
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.4550
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1229.11, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.4573, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.7258
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520163
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 71790.497745
Price History:
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.5000
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.5000
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.4950
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.5400
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.6550
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.3450
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.6450
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.3500
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.4900
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.5100
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.4900
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.5200
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.4850
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.5100
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.4850
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.5150
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.4900
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.5100
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.4900
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.5100
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.4900
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.5150
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.4850
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.5150
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.4900
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.5100
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.4900
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.6300
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 3615.80, Sell volume: 75.66, Average price: 0.4793, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520163
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 71790.497745
Price History:
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.4250
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.6650
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.3150
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.3500
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.6350
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.3450
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.6400
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.3850
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.3900
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.5550
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.3200
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.5750
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.4150
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.5550
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.4200
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.5750
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.4200
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.5800
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.4200
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.5800
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.4300
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.5700
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.3650
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.5600
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.4600
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.5150
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.5750
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 167, Buy volume: 2407.77, Sell volume: 110.61, Average price: 0.4789, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520163
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 71790.497745
Price History:
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.3550
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.6500
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.3550
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.6450
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.3500
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.6300
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.4450
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.5800
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.4200
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.5400
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.4150
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.5850
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.4100
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.5900
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.3900
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.6050
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.3950
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.6050
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.2450
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.6050
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.3950
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.6750
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.3250
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.6650
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.3250
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.6650
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.3350
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.6650
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.3350
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 636.54, Sell volume: 112.50, Average price: 0.5814, Price range: 0.3750 - 0.7530
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520163
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 71790.497745
Price History:
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.7000
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.3000
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.7000
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.3000
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.7000
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.3050
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.6950
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.3050
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.6950
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.3000
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.6950
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.3000
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.6300
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.3700
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.6300
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.3700
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.6300
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.3700
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.6550
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.3500
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.6500
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.3450
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.6600
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.3300
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.6500
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.3450
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.6550
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.3450
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.6600
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 348.78, Sell volume: 898.50, Average price: 0.6966, Price range: 0.6700 - 0.8481
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520163
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 71790.497745
Price History:
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.2450
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.8000
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.1400
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.8350
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.1750
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.8200
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.1750
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.8450
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.1750
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.8000
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.1950
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.8600
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.1150
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.8200
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.1800
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.8200
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.1800
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.8200
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.1800
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.8400
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.1650
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.8350
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.1600
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.9050
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.1450
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.8900
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.1100
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.8500
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.1600
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 32.35, Sell volume: 586.94, Average price: 0.6804, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520163
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 71790.497745
Price History:
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.8300
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.1550
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.8450
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.1550
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.8300
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.1600
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.8450
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.1600
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.8350
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.1650
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.8400
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.1600
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.8350
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.1650
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.8100
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.2150
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.2150
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.2150
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.2150
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.2150
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.2150
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.7850
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.2150
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.7900
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 101.16, Sell volume: 636.75, Average price: 0.7567, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520163
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 71790.497745
Price History:
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.2100
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.7900
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.2100
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.7900
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.2100
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.7900
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.2100
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.7900
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.2100
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.7950
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.2050
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.8000
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.2000
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.8800
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.1600
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.8650
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.1300
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.8750
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.1450
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.8750
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.1600
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.8500
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.1500
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.8450
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.1650
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.8350
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.1650
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.8300
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.1700
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 380.00, Sell volume: 490.00, Average price: 0.7965, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520163
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 71790.497745
Price History:
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.8300
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.1700
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.8150
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.1850
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.8100
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.1900
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.8100
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.1900
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.8200
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.1100
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.8750
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.1350
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.8300
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.1850
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.8200
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.1850
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.8150
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.1900
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.8150
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.1850
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.8150
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.1850
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.8150
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.1850
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.8150
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.2050
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.7900
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.2100
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.7950
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 1665.29, Sell volume: 831.00, Average price: 0.7593, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520163
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 71790.497745
Price History:
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.2100
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.7900
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.2050
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.8650
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.1300
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.8850
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.1150
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.8850
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.1150
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.8800
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0700
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.9050
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.1000
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9000
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.1050
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.8600
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.1150
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.8800
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.1200
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.9400
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.1200
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.9100
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.0900
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.9050
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0700
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.9300
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9300
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 30485.75, Sell volume: 5385.26, Average price: 0.6896, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520163
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 71790.497745
Price History:
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0700
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9250
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0850
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9100
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0900
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9100
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0900
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9100
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0950
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9100
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0850
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9100
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0900
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9150
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0850
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0850
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9250
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9250
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 3944.36, Sell volume: 1110.52, Average price: 0.8848, Price range: 0.0957 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520163
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 71790.497745
Price History:
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0700
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9300
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0700
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.9350
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0700
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.9300
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0700
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9300
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0700
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9300
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0700
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9350
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.9350
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.9350
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1996.45, Sell volume: 164.38, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520163
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 71790.497745
Price History:
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9250
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0800
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9200
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9150
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.9200
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0750
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9200
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0800
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9200
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.9300
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0700
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9300
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.9200
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0800
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.9200
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.9200
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0800
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9150
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 12202.90, Sell volume: 1437.05, Average price: 0.5837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9936
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.6550
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.3450
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.4200
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.4150
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.5950
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.4050
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.4200
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.4200
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.4200
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.5950
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.4050
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.5950
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.4050
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.5950
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.4050
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.5950
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.4050
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.5950
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.4050
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.5750
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.4250
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.5750
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.4250
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 3689.07, Sell volume: 478.24, Average price: 0.5263, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.5200
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.4800
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.5200
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.4800
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.5200
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4700
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5300
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.5100
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.4800
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.5200
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.4800
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.5200
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.4800
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.5200
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.4800
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.5200
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.4750
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.5250
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.4600
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.5400
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.4600
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.5400
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.4650
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.5350
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.4500
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.5500
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.4500
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.5500
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.4550
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.5450
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.3950
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.6050
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.4150
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.5850
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.4250
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.5750
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.4250
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.5750
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5700
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.4300
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 989.32, Sell volume: 692.28, Average price: 0.4916, Price range: 0.3799 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4250
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5750
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5850
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5850
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5850
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5850
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5850
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.5850
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.5850
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.5850
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 137.02, Sell volume: 188.33, Average price: 0.4700, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.4700
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.5300
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.4700
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.5300
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4700
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.5300
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.4700
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.5300
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.4700
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1219.04, Sell volume: 155.77, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6869

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.5600
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.4400
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.5500
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.4500
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.4600
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.4600
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 169.76, Sell volume: 198.23, Average price: 0.4993, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.4700
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.4700
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.4700
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4700
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.4700
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5300
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.4700
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5300
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.4700
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 945.01, Sell volume: 619.50, Average price: 0.5078, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6450

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 594.72, Sell volume: 637.05, Average price: 0.5055, Price range: 0.4597 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1131.15, Sell volume: 671.86, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5528

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6700
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.3300
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.6250
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.6150
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.3850
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 642.54, Sell volume: 808.27, Average price: 0.5468, Price range: 0.2721 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.6650
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3052.49, Sell volume: 1201.03, Average price: 0.4940, Price range: 0.2775 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3950
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 341.00, Sell volume: 339.17, Average price: 0.5068, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4100
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5900
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.4100
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6450
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1318.71, Sell volume: 736.35, Average price: 0.4981, Price range: 0.2960 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.6750
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.6700
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3300
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.6750
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.3250
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.6850
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.3150
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.3100
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.7050
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.2950
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.6900
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.3100
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.6850
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.3150
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1225.84, Sell volume: 132.12, Average price: 0.6110, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7584

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.3450
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.4050
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.4200
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.5950
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.4050
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.5950
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.5750
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.4400
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.5600
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.4400
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.5600
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4400
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.4800
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.4950
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 3689.07, Sell volume: 478.24, Average price: 0.5263, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.5200
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.4800
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5300
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.4800
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.5200
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.4800
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.5250
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.4600
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.5350
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.4500
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.5450
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.4150
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.5750
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.5700
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.4300
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5700
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4250
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5850
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4100
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5900
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5850
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5850
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5750
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 989.32, Sell volume: 692.28, Average price: 0.4916, Price range: 0.3799 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4250
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5850
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5850
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.5400
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 137.02, Sell volume: 188.33, Average price: 0.4700, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.4700
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.5300
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.4700
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.4450
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.5550
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.4450
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1219.04, Sell volume: 155.77, Average price: 0.5211, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6869
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.5600
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5550
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.4600
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4600
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 169.76, Sell volume: 198.23, Average price: 0.4993, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.4700
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5300
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.4700
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4300
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.5650
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 945.01, Sell volume: 619.50, Average price: 0.5078, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6450
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5350
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.4700
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.5400
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.4600
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 594.72, Sell volume: 637.05, Average price: 0.5055, Price range: 0.4597 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.4550
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.5450
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.5450
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.5600
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.5550
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.4450
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1131.15, Sell volume: 671.86, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5528
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6700
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6000
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.3850
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4100
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 642.54, Sell volume: 808.27, Average price: 0.5468, Price range: 0.2721 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3800
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.3850
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3052.49, Sell volume: 1201.03, Average price: 0.4940, Price range: 0.2775 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.3900
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6050
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 341.00, Sell volume: 339.17, Average price: 0.5068, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4100
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3450
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6700
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3400
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.3250
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1318.71, Sell volume: 736.35, Average price: 0.4981, Price range: 0.2960 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 651676
Question: More EU sanctions on Russia by December 31?
Volume: 44616.456283
Price History:
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.6700
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.3250
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.6850
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.3100
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.7050
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.2950
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.2950
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.7050
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.7050
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.3150
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1225.84, Sell volume: 132.12, Average price: 0.6110, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7584
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.2500
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.7500
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.2550
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.7450
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.7350
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.7350
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.2200
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.7800
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.2200
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.7800
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.2200
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.7800
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.2000
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.8000
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.2000
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.8000
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.0800
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.9200
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.0800
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.9200
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.0800
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.9200
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.0800
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.9200
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.0900
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.1400
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.8600
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.1150
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.8850
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.8950
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.1000
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.9000
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.1000
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.9000
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.1100
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.8900
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.0950
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.0950
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.0950
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.0950
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.0950
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 5080.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1820, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.8400
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.1600
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.8400
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.1600
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.8400
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.1650
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.8350
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.1750
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.8250
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.8250
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.1900
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.8100
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.7850
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.1900
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.8100
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.2050
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.7950
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.2050
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.7950
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.8250
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.8250
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.8150
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.8150
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.8150
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.8150
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.8600
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.8450
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.1450
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.8550
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.1500
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.8500
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.1500
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.8500
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.1450
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.8550
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.1450
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.8550
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 624.80, Sell volume: 1845.00, Average price: 0.4417, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.1450
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.8550
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.1450
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.8550
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.1450
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 756.67, Sell volume: 73.00, Average price: 0.3691, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.8500
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.2000
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.8000
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.2050
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.7950
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.2400
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.7600
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.2200
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.7800
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.2150
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.7850
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.2350
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.7650
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.2350
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.7650
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.2350
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.7650
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.2250
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.7750
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.2250
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.7750
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.2350
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.7650
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.2350
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.7650
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.2350
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.7650
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.2350
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.7650
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.2350
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.7650
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.2300
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.7700
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.2300
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.7700
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.2300
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.7700
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.2300
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.7700
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.2300
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.7700
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.2300
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.7700
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.2300
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.7700
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.2300
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.7700
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.2300
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.7700
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 4040.00, Sell volume: 703.98, Average price: 0.5349, Price range: 0.1475 - 0.9105

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.1800
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.8200
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.1750
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.8250
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.1750
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.8250
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.1750
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.8250
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.1750
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.8250
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.1750
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.8250
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.1750
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.8250
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.1750
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.8250
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.1750
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.8250
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.1800
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.8200
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.1750
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.8250
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.1750
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.8250
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.8150
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.8100
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.8100
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.8100
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.8100
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.1800
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.8200
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.8300
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.1750
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.8250
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.8150
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.8150
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.8150
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.8150
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.1850
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3366.36, Sell volume: 1461.51, Average price: 0.4659, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8473

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.8050
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.2000
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.8000
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.2000
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.8000
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.2500
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.2500
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.2500
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.2500
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.2550
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.2550
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.2550
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.2550
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.2550
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.2450
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.7550
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.1800
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.8200
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.2000
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.8000
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.2600
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.7400
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.1800
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.8200
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.1650
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.8350
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.1650
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.8350
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.2000
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.8000
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.2550
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.2250
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.7750
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.2300
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.7700
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.2300
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.7700
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.2400
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.7600
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 5968.38, Sell volume: 799.34, Average price: 0.3191, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8228

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.3500
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.6500
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.3450
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.6550
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.3600
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.6400
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.3550
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.6450
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.3550
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.6450
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.3600
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.6400
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.2650
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.7350
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.2800
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.7200
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.2450
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.7550
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.1450
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.8550
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.7750
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.1900
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.8100
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.2400
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.7600
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.2200
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.7800
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.1100
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.8900
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.1150
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.8850
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.1650
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.8350
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.1650
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.8350
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.1250
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.8750
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.1050
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.8950
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0900
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9100
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9400
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9250
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0750
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9250
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0750
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 7264.66, Sell volume: 1549.56, Average price: 0.2990, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9250
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9250
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9250
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9250
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9250
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9250
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 21195.91, Sell volume: 360.00, Average price: 0.1220, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0850
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9150
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0750
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9250
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9250
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0800
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9200
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0800
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9200
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9350
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0600
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9400
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0550
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9450
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0550
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9450
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0600
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9400
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0600
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9400
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0600
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9400
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0600
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9400
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0600
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9400
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0600
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9400
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0650
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0650
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0650
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0600
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 37435.82, Sell volume: 359.39, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0524 - 0.9491

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0450
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0450
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0450
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0450
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0550
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.9450
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0550
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9450
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0550
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.9450
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0275
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.9725
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0260
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9740
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0240
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9760
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0305
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.9695
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0305
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9695
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0300
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.9700
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0380
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.9620
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0345
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9655
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0345
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.9655
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0340
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.9660
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0335
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9665
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0335
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.9665
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0255
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9745
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0350
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.9650
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0370
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.9630
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0430
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.9570
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0415
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.9585
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 48592.59, Sell volume: 5183.53, Average price: 0.2368, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9780

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0320
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9680
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0320
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9680
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0180
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9820
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0150
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9850
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0230
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.9770
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0270
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.9730
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0285
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9715
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0290
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.9710
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0310
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9690
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0335
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9665
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0335
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.9665
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0325
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.9675
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0325
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9675
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0325
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.9675
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0325
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.9675
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0330
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9670
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0330
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.9670
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0330
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.9670
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0330
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9670
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0325
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.9675
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0385
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.9615
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0370
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9630
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0385
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9615
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0355
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.9645
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0365
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 15690.36, Sell volume: 650.30, Average price: 0.3629, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.9660
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0335
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9665
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9640
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.9640
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.9640
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9640
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.9640
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9640
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0380
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.9620
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0390
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.9610
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0390
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.9610
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0385
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9615
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0400
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.9600
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0395
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9605
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0400
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9600
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0400
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9600
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0400
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9600
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0395
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9605
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0385
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9615
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0380
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9620
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 27508.13, Sell volume: 59.56, Average price: 0.4995, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9769

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0235
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9765
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0235
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.9765
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0235
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.9765
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0245
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9755
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0235
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9765
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0240
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.9760
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0205
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9795
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0090
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9910
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0040
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.9960
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0040
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9960
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0145
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.9855
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0140
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9860
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0140
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9860
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0125
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9875
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0125
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.9875
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0120
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9880
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0125
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9875
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0125
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9875
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0060
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9940
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0090
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.9910
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0115
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9885
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0125
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9875
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0115
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.9885
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0115
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11043.68, Sell volume: 14791.19, Average price: 0.3780, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.2500
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.7450
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.2650
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.7800
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.2200
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.8000
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.0800
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.9200
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.0800
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.9100
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.1150
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.8950
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.1000
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.8900
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.0950
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.0950
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.9050
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.1100
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.8900
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.1100
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.8900
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.1150
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.8850
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.1150
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.8850
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.1250
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.8750
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.1250
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 5080.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1820, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.8400
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.1600
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.8350
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.8100
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.1900
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.7950
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.1750
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.8150
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.1850
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.8600
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.1450
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.8500
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.1450
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.8550
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.1600
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.8400
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.1600
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.8400
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.1550
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.8450
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.1550
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.8450
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.1550
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.8450
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.1450
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.8550
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 624.80, Sell volume: 1845.00, Average price: 0.4417, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.1450
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.8550
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.1450
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.8550
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.1450
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.8550
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.1450
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.8550
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.1450
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.8550
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.1450
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.8500
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.1650
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.8350
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.1500
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 756.67, Sell volume: 73.00, Average price: 0.3691, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.8500
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.2050
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.7600
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.2150
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.7650
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.2350
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.7750
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.2350
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.7650
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.2350
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.7650
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.2300
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.7700
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.2300
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.7700
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.2300
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.7700
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.2300
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.7700
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.2300
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.7700
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.2050
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.7950
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.2000
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.8000
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.2000
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.8350
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0900
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.9100
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 4040.00, Sell volume: 703.98, Average price: 0.5349, Price range: 0.1475 - 0.9105
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.1800
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.8250
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.1750
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.8250
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.1750
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.8250
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.1800
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.8250
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.8100
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.1900
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.8100
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.1700
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.8250
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.1850
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.8150
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.1850
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.8200
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.1800
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.8200
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.1750
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.8250
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.1750
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.8250
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.1800
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.8250
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.1800
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.8350
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.1800
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3366.36, Sell volume: 1461.51, Average price: 0.4659, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8473
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.8050
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.2000
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.2500
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.7500
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.2550
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.2550
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.7550
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.2000
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.7400
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.1650
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.8350
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.2550
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.7750
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.2300
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.7600
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.2450
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.7550
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.2500
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.7000
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.3000
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.7100
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.3300
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.6700
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.2700
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.6850
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.3100
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.6700
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 5968.38, Sell volume: 799.34, Average price: 0.3191, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8228
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.3500
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.6550
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.3550
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.6450
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.2650
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.7200
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.1450
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.7750
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.2400
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.7800
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.1150
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.8350
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.1250
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.8950
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9250
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0750
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9250
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0800
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9200
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9150
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0850
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9150
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0700
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9300
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0750
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0700
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 7264.66, Sell volume: 1549.56, Average price: 0.2990, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0750
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9250
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9250
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9250
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9250
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9250
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0850
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9250
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9250
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0750
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9200
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 21195.91, Sell volume: 360.00, Average price: 0.1220, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0850
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9250
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0800
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9200
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0550
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9450
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0600
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9400
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0600
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9400
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0650
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0600
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0650
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0650
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0650
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9350
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 37435.82, Sell volume: 359.39, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0524 - 0.9491
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0450
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0550
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9450
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0275
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9740
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0305
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9695
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0380
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9655
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0340
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9665
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0255
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.9650
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0430
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.9585
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0585
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.9510
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0265
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9700
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0275
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.9710
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0430
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9600
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0505
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9455
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0480
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9545
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 48592.59, Sell volume: 5183.53, Average price: 0.2368, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0320
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9680
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0150
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.9770
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0285
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.9710
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0335
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.9665
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0325
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.9675
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0330
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.9670
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0330
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.9675
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0370
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9615
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0365
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.9635
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0375
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.9675
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0320
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.9690
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0310
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.9690
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0320
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.9680
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0390
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.9595
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0405
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 15690.36, Sell volume: 650.30, Average price: 0.3629, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.9660
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.9640
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.9640
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.9620
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0390
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.9610
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0400
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9605
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0400
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9600
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0385
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0360
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.9735
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0255
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.9750
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0255
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.9745
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0260
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9740
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0260
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.9750
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0250
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.9750
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 27508.13, Sell volume: 59.56, Average price: 0.4995, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9769
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520165
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Volume: 245798.9668
Price History:
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0235
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.9765
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0245
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9765
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0205
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9910
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0040
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9905
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0140
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9860
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0125
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9880
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0125
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9940
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0115
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9875
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0115
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9885
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0115
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0120
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9895
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0125
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9890
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0115
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9880
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0115
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9875
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0110
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 11043.68, Sell volume: 14791.19, Average price: 0.3780, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.3000
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.7000
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.3050
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.6950
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.3150
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.6850
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.3150
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.6850
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.4650
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.5350
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.4650
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.5350
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.5350
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.4650
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.5350
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.4650
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.5350
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.4650
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.5350
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.4550
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.5450
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.4550
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.5450
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.4550
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.5450
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.5750
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.4250
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.2800
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.7200
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.2800
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.7200
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.2800
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.7200
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.2800
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.7200
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.2800
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.7200
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.2800
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.7200
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.2800
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.7200
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.2800
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.7200
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.2800
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.7200
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.2800
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.7200
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.2750
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 288.23, Sell volume: 13.00, Average price: 0.5075, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.6750
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.3250
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.6750
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.3250
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.6750
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.3250
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.6750
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.3250
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.6750
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.3250
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.6750
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.3250
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.6750
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.3250
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.6750
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.3250
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.6750
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.3250
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.6750
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.3250
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.6750
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.3250
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.6750
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.3250
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.6750
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.3350
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.6650
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.3350
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.6650
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.3350
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.6650
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.3350
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.6650
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.3450
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.6550
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.3550
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.6450
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.3600
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.6400
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.3600
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.6400
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.3600
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.6400
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.3600
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.6400
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.3600
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.6400
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.3600
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.6400
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 601.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5869, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.2900
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.7100
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.2900
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.7100
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.1900
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.8100
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.1900
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.8100
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.1900
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.8100
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.1900
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.8100
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.1900
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.8100
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.1900
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.8100
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.1950
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.8050
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.1950
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.8050
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.2000
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.2000
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.8000
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.7000
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.2150
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.7850
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.7900
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.2800
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.7200
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.2650
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.7350
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.2700
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.7300
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.2700
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.7300
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.2700
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.7300
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.2750
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.7250
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.2100
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.7900
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.2500
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.7500
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.2400
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.7600
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.2450
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 404.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.6850
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.3200
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.6800
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.3450
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.6550
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.3600
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.6400
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.3650
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.6350
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.6350
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.3650
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.6350
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.3900
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.6100
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.3900
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.6100
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.3900
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.6100
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.3900
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.6100
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.3900
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.6100
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.3900
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.6100
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.2600
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.7400
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.2650
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.7350
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.2500
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.7500
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.2550
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.7450
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.2600
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.7400
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.2700
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.7300
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.2850
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.7150
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.3050
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.6950
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.4350
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.5650
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.2950
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.7050
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.3100
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.6900
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.3150
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.6850
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 367.23, Sell volume: 108.00, Average price: 0.4729, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520164
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 95072.049601
Price History:
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.3100
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.6900
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.3250
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.6750
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.3250
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.6750
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.3050
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.6950
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.3050
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.6950
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.3100
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.6900
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.3050
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.6950
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.6800
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.6800
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.6800
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.6800
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.3200
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 816.11, Sell volume: 120.40, Average price: 0.4474, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6800

Output: Yes