Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.0155
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.9845
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.0155
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.9845
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.0145
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.9855
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.0080
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.9920
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.9940
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.0055
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.9945
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.0055
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.9945
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.0095
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.9905
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.0095
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.9905
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.9955
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.9955
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.9955
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.9955
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.9955
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.9955
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.9955
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.9955
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.9955
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.9955
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.9955
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.9955
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.9955
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.9975
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.0025
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.9975
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.0030
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.9970
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.0025
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.9975
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.0025
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.9975
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.0025
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.9975
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.0025
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.9975
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.9980
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-19 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.0015
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.9985
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.0015
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.9985
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.0015
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.9985
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.0015
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.0025
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.0025
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.0025
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.0025
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.0025
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.0025
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0025
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.0025
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.0025
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.0025
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.0025
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 13:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.9975
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 21:00: 0.9980
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.9980
2024-06-29 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 21:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 02:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 02:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 07:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 07:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.0020
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.9980
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.9980
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.9980
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.9980
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.9980
2024-07-05 04:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 04:00: 0.9980
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.9980
2024-07-05 06:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 06:00: 0.9980
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.0155
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.0155
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.0145
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.0080
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.0055
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.0055
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.0095
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.0095
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 14:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 15:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 16:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 17:00: 0.0045
2024-06-18 18:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.9975
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.9975
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.9970
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.9975
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.9975
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.9975
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.9975
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.9980
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-19 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 00:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 01:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 02:00: 0.9985
2024-06-20 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-21 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.9985
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 20:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 21:00: 0.9985
2024-06-22 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.0015
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.0015
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.0015
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.0015
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.0015
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.0015
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.0015
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.0015
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.0015
2024-06-24 07:00: 0.0015
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.9975
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 13:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 14:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 15:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 16:00: 0.9975
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.0025
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.0025
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.9980
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 09:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 10:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.9980
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.0020
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 17:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 18:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 19:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.0020
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 21:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.9980
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 02:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 04:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.9980
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.0020
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 07:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 13:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.0020
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.9980
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.9980
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.9980
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502527
Question: Will another candidate win the VA-5 Republican House Primary?
Volume: 5006.776393
Price History:
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.0020
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 04:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 06:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 08:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 09:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 10:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 11:00: 0.0020
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.1750
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.8250
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.1500
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.8500
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.1250
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.8750
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.1300
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.8700
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.1200
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.8800
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.1200
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.8800
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.1200
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.8800
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.1100
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.8900
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.8950
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.1100
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.8900
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.8950
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.1000
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9000
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9050
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.9050
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.9050
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.1150
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.8850
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.1100
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.8900
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.1350
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.8650
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.1350
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.8750
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.1300
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.8700
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.1300
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.8700
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.1300
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.8700
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.1300
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.8700
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.1450
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.8550
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.1450
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.8550
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.1300
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.8700
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.1200
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.8800
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.1200
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.8800
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.1200
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.8800
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.1200
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.8800
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.1150
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.8850
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.1150
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.8850
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.1150
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.8850
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.1150
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.8850
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.1100
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.8900
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.1050
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.1050
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.1050
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.1050
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.1000
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9000
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.1000
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9000
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.1000
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9000
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.9100
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0900
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9100
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0900
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.9100
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0900
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9100
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0900
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9100
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.9100
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9100
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0950
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0950
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.9350
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0600
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9400
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.9350
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0650
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9350
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0600
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.9400
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.0550
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.9450
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0500
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.9500
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0550
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.9450
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9450
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0550
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9450
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0450
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9550
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9550
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0450
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9550
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0500
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9500
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0600
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9400
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9400
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9350
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9350
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0650
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9350
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9350
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0650
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.9350
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9350
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9685
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0330
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9670
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0260
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9740
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0260
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9740
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0270
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9730
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0270
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9730
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0340
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9660
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0415
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9585
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0465
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9535
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0485
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0520
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9480
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0520
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9480
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0515
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9485
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0505
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9495
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0350
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9650
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0380
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9620
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0395
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9605
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0410
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9590
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0435
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9565
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0440
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9560
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0435
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9565
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0435
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9565
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0435
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9565
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0440
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9560
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0440
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9560
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0445
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9555
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0470
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0440
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9560
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0440
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9560
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0420
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9580
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0425
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0455
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0460
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0440
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9560
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0390
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9610
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0420
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9580
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0400
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0425
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0480
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9520
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0470
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9530
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0535
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9465
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0495
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9505
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0460
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0495
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9505
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0490
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9510
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0490
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9510
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0495
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9505
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0500
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9500
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0515
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9485
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0455
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9545
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0445
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0420
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9580
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9605
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0385
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9615
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0380
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9620
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0370
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9630
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0355
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9645
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0365
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9635
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0370
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9630
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0370
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9630
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0370
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9630
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0380
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9620
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0420
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9580
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0420
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9580
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0435
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9565
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0445
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9555
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0410
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9590
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0415
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9585
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0410
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9590
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0410
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9590
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0410
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9590
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9565
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0400
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9600
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0390
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9610
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0375
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9625
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0405
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0365
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9635
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0235
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9765
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0290
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9710
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0200
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9800
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0290
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9710
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0185
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9815
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0085
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9915
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9955
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9935
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0855
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9145
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.1215
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.8785
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0240
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9760
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999999, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126456540.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.1750
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.8250
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.1500
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.8500
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.1250
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.8750
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.1300
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.8700
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.1200
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.8800
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.1200
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.8800
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.1200
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.8800
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.1100
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.8900
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.8950
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.1100
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.8900
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.8950
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.1000
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9000
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9050
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.8750
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.1300
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.8700
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.1300
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.8700
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.1300
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.8700
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.1300
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.8700
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.1450
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.1350
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.1200
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.8800
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.1200
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.1050
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.1000
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0900
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9100
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.9100
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9100
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0950
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0950
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.9350
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0600
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0450
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9550
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9550
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0450
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9550
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0500
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9500
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0600
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0260
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9740
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0260
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9740
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0270
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9730
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0270
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9730
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0340
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9660
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0415
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9585
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0465
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9535
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0485
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0520
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9480
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0520
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9480
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0515
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9485
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0505
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9495
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0350
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9650
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0380
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9620
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0395
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0440
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9560
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0440
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9560
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0420
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9580
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0425
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0455
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0460
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9540
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0440
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9560
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0390
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9610
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0420
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9580
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0400
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0425
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0480
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9520
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0470
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9530
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0535
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0420
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9580
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0395
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9605
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0385
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9615
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0380
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9620
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0370
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9630
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0355
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9645
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0365
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9635
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0370
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9630
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0370
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9630
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0370
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9630
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0380
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9620
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0420
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9580
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0420
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9580
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0435
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9565
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0445
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126457340.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545726
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?
Volume: 2839877.775914
Price History:
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0365
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9635
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0235
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9765
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0290
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9710
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0200
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9800
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0290
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9710
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0185
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9815
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0085
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9915
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9955
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9935
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0855
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9145
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.1215
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.8785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999999, Buy volume: 170815238.50, Sell volume: 126456540.64, Average price: 0.4755, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.2600
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.8100
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.2100
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.7900
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.2050
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.7950
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.2150
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7850
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.7750
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.2450
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7550
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.2450
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7550
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.2450
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7550
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.2500
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.2500
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.2500
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.2500
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7450
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.2550
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2800
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.2900
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.7100
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.2900
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.7100
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.2900
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.7100
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2900
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.7100
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7100
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2900
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2900
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.2700
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.7300
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.2700
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.7300
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.2750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.2700
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.7300
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2700
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7300
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.2950
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.7050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.6800
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.3250
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.6750
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.3150
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.6850
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.3150
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.6850
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.3100
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.6900
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.6850
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.3100
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.6900
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.3100
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.6900
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.3100
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.2800
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.7200
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.2850
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.7150
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.2800
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.7200
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.7200
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.2800
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.7200
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.2800
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.7200
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.2800
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.2800
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.2800
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.7200
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.2800
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.7200
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.2850
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.2850
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.7150
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.2950
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.7050
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.3000
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.7000
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.3250
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.6750
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.3150
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.6850
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.6850
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.3150
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.6850
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.3150
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.6850
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.3150
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.6850
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.3150
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.6850
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.3150
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.6850
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.3150
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.6850
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.3150
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.6850
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.3150
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.6850
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.3100
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.6900
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.2950
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.7050
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.2950
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.7050
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.3150
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.6850
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.3100
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.2500
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.7500
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.2150
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.7850
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.1650
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.8350
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.1450
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.8550
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.1750
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.8250
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.7950
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.2500
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.7500
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.2350
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.7650
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.1950
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.8050
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0360
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9640
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0210
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0165
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9835
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999927, Buy volume: 119540272.03, Sell volume: 47690697.15, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.2600
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.8100
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.1900
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.8100
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.2100
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.7900
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.2050
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.7950
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.2150
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7850
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.7750
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7550
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.2500
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.2500
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.2500
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.2500
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7450
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.2550
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.7300
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.2700
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2800
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.2900
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.7100
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.2900
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.7100
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.2700
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.7300
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.2700
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.7300
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 674985
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Volume: 525106.998064
Price History:
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.2700
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.7300
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2750
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119658685.36, Sell volume: 47711794.66, Average price: 0.4888, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes