Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.3505
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.6485
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.3525
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.3515
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.3525
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.6495
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.6520
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.3455
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.3430
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.3410
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.3395
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.3365
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.3365
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.6630
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.3340
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.6680
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.3280
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.6475
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.6490
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.6480
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.3505
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.6475
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.3520
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.6485
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.3500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.3520
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.6490
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.6485
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.3525
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.6480
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.3525
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.3525
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.3520
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.6480
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.3525
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.3475
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.3520
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.6485
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.3520
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.3520
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.3525
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.3495
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.3500
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.6505
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.3490
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.6475
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.3520
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.6480
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.3520
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.6520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 152, Buy volume: 17400.96, Sell volume: 2254.52, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.6510
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.3525
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.6480
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.3520
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.6480
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.3500
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.6520
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.3450
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.6565
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.3500
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.6515
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.3525
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.6555
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.3405
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.3515
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.6520
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.6480
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.3525
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.6485
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.3480
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.3460
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.6475
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.3515
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.3515
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.6485
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.6485
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.6485
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.3515
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.6485
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.6485
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.3515
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.6485
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.3515
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.3515
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.6485
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.3515
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.6485
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.4485
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.5520
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.4480
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.4480
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.5515
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.5510
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.3585
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.6415
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.3520
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.6480
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.3520
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.6480
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.3520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 49.00, Average price: 0.4002, Price range: 0.4002 - 0.4002

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.3015
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.7010
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.2950
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.7070
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.2890
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.7130
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.2825
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.7185
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.2795
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.2780
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.2755
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.6965
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.3010
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.7010
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.2950
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.7065
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.7085
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.7090
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.2885
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.6945
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.3055
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.6960
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.3030
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.6945
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.3055
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.3050
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.6950
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.3055
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.3010
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.7020
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.6990
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.7020
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.6965
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.3030
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.6970
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.3025
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.6975
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.6965
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.3025
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.6965
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.3015
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.6965
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.3025
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.6970
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.3030
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.6980
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.6280
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.3025
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.3050
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.6965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 5.04, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.7290, Price range: 0.6010 - 0.7930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.6970
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.6970
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.6980
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.6980
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.6970
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.2995
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.2985
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.3035
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.3025
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.6970
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.6970
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.3035
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.6970
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.3035
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.6970
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.3030
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.6970
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.3030
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.6965
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.6970
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.3035
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.3030
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.3030
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.3035
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.6970
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.6980
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.3030
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.6985
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.3030
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.3020
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.6985
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.3030
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.3035
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.3030
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.6975
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.3025
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.3025
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.3030
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.3030
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.7960
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.3350
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.6900
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.6900
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.6900
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.3145
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.6765
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.6675
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.6540
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.3505
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 24.94, Sell volume: 54.00, Average price: 0.4970, Price range: 0.2010 - 0.7930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.5840
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.6360
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.3775
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.3820
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.3890
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.3855
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.5915
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.4130
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.6260
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.6210
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.3880
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.3965
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.4105
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.5805
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.5765
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.4240
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.4590
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.4590
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.4235
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.5760
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.4190
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.5810
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.6210
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.6210
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.3790
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.6210
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.3745
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.6255
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.3745
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.6805
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.6805
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.6805
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.3195
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.3210
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.3195
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.3195
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.3210
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.3195
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.3200
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.3200
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.6800
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.3200
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.3200
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.3200
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.7630
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.7630
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.7630
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.7630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2.34, Sell volume: 103.94, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.3003 - 0.8560

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8030
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.1970
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.8030
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.2820
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.7180
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.2820
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.7180
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.6830
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.3210
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.3210
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.6510
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.3490
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.6510
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.3490
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.6510
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.3490
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.5520
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.4490
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.4490
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.5380
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.5375
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.5330
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.4650
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.4660
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.4670
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.5325
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.4685
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.5300
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4700
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.5460
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.4725
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.5305
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.4650
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.5380
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.4620
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.4630
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.4640
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.4710
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.4645
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.4930
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.5135
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.4870
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.4865
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.5520
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.4470
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.5445
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.4550
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.5580
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.5610
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.5605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 151.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.4034, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.6990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.4485
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.4480
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.5620
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.4475
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.4475
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.5525
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.4475
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.5525
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.4475
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.5525
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.4475
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.4475
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.4560
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.5440
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.4560
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.5440
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.4560
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.5440
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.5440
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.4560
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.4560
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.5440
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.4560
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.5440
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.4560
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.5440
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.4560
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.5440
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.4560
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.5440
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.4560
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.5440
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.4550
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.5460
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.4790
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.5475
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.4510
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.5255
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.4685
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.5290
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.5300
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.4695
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.5320
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.4740
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.6115
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.4080
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.5925
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.5635
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0340
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 3545.41, Sell volume: 3.32, Average price: 0.5733, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9893

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.4650
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.2700
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.2950
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.2950
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2950
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.2950
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.3200
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.1100
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.1250
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.1300
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0550
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0550
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0550
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0500
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0255
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0205
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0175
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0175
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0170
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0170
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0280
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0365
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0355
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0380
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0380
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0615
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0660
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0660
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0690
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 851.50, Sell volume: 257.25, Average price: 0.5512, Price range: 0.0203 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9295
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9290
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9285
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9290
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9290
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9290
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9250
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9250
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9285
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9280
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9285
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9285
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9285
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9200
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9190
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9180
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.9185
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9180
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.9180
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9200
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.9200
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.9195
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9195
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.9195
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.9195
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.9180
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.9180
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.9180
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9040
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.9055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 66.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.3249, Price range: 0.0790 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.0950
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.0950
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.0945
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0945
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0980
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.1010
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.1015
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.1010
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.1020
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.1015
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.1055
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.1005
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.1050
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.1065
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.1065
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.1060
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.1065
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.1070
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.1075
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.1140
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.1400
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.1460
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.1485
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.1480
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.1485
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.1485
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.1485
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.1485
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.1485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 60.28, Average price: 0.3682, Price range: 0.0830 - 0.8925
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.8515
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.8515
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.8515
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.8510
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.8510
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.8510
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.8515
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.8510
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.8510
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.8510
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.8510
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.8510
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.8510
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.8510
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.8600
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.8590
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.8595
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.8590
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.8590
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.8590
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.8595
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.8515
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.8520
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.8515
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.8515
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.8505
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.8505
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.8510
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.8505
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.8510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8830, Price range: 0.8830 - 0.8830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.1490
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.1490
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.1495
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.1495
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.1495
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.1495
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.1495
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.1495
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.2055
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.2150
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.2150
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.4825
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.4800
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.3550
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.3550
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.3455
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.3500
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.3505
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.3505
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.3505
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.3505
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.3505
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.3505
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.3505
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.3505
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.3505
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.3505
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.3505
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.3505
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.3505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 153.27, Sell volume: 141.75, Average price: 0.5194, Price range: 0.1760 - 0.8360
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.6495
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.6495
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.6495
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.6495
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.6495
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.6495
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.6505
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.6505
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.6505
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.6510
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.6510
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.6510
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.6510
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.6510
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.6510
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.6510
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.6510
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.6480
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.6475
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.6500
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.6475
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.6475
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.6480
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.6475
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.6475
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.6475
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.6485
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.6495
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.6475
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.6490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5020, Price range: 0.5020 - 0.5020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.3505
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.3525
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.3525
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.6520
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.3430
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.3395
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.3365
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.3340
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.3280
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.6490
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.3505
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.3520
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.3500
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.6490
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.3525
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.3525
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.3520
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.3525
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.3520
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.3520
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.3525
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.3500
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.3490
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.3520
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.3520
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.6555
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.3525
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.3510
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.6520
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.3525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 152, Buy volume: 17400.96, Sell volume: 2254.52, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.6510
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.6480
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.6480
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.6520
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.6565
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.6515
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.6555
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.3515
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.6480
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.6485
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.3460
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.3515
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.6485
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.6485
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.6485
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.3515
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.3515
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.6485
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.6485
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.5520
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.4480
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.5510
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.6415
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.6480
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.6480
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.6480
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.3520
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.6480
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.6480
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 49.00, Average price: 0.4002, Price range: 0.4002 - 0.4002
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.3015
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.2950
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.2890
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.2825
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.2795
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.2755
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.3010
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.2950
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.7085
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.2885
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.3055
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.3030
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.3055
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.6950
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.3010
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.6990
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.6965
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.6970
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.6975
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.3025
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.3015
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.3025
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.3030
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.6280
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.3050
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.2985
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.2890
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.2805
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.3035
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.3005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 5.04, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.7290, Price range: 0.6010 - 0.7930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.6970
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.6980
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.6970
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.2985
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.3025
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.6970
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.6970
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.6970
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.6970
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.6965
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.3035
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.3030
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.6970
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.3030
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.3030
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.6985
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.3035
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.6975
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.3025
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.3030
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.3350
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.6900
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.3145
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.6675
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.3505
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.3585
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.3715
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.3630
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.3765
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.3980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 24.94, Sell volume: 54.00, Average price: 0.4970, Price range: 0.2010 - 0.7930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.5840
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.3775
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.3890
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.5915
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.6260
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.3880
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.4105
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.5765
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.4590
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.4235
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.4190
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.6210
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.3790
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.3745
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.3745
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.6805
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.3195
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.3195
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.3210
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.3200
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.6800
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.3200
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.7630
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.7630
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.1970
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.8030
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.1970
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.8035
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.8030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2.34, Sell volume: 103.94, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.3003 - 0.8560
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8030
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.8030
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.7180
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.7180
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.3210
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.6510
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.6510
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.6510
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.5520
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.4490
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.5375
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.4650
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.4670
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.4685
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4700
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.4725
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.4650
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.4620
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.4640
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.4645
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.5135
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.4865
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.4470
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.4550
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.5610
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.4365
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.5630
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.5645
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.5465
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.5490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 151.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.4034, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.6990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563378
Question: Will Chloe Malle be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 19655.477081
Price History:
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.4485
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.5620
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.4475
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.4475
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.4475
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.4475
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.4560
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.4560
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.4560
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.5440
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.4560
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.4560
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.4560
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.4560
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.4560
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.4560
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.4550
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.4790
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.4510
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.4685
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.5300
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.5320
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.6115
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.5925
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0340
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0320
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0355
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9730
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 3545.41, Sell volume: 3.32, Average price: 0.5733, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9893
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.4650
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.7300
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.2750
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.7250
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.2950
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.7050
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.2950
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.7050
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2950
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.7050
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.2950
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.7050
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.3200
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.7900
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.2000
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.8000
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.2150
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.7850
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.2250
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.8050
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.1850
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.8200
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.1750
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.8200
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.1750
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.1200
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.8550
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.1550
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.8500
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.8500
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.8500
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.8500
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.8550
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.1350
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.8600
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.1400
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.8650
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0900
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9350
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0550
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9450
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0450
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9500
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0305
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 410.98, Sell volume: 140.00, Average price: 0.6295, Price range: 0.0198 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0305
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9685
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0350
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9610
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0395
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9600
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0355
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9605
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0395
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9605
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0425
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9575
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0380
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9590
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0395
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9620
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0380
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9620
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0390
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9620
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0410
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9580
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0430
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.9570
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0430
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.9570
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0430
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.9570
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0430
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.9575
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0425
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9570
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0430
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.9570
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0435
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9565
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0435
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.9570
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0415
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.9570
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0420
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9570
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0425
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.9570
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0425
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.9575
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0415
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.9575
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0420
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 326.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6270, Price range: 0.0437 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0425
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.9585
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0425
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.9570
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.0430
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9570
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0430
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.9570
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0430
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.9570
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0430
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.9570
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0430
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.9570
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.9570
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.9570
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9570
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.9570
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.9570
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.9570
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9570
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.9570
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0430
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.9570
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0430
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.9570
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0430
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.9570
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.0430
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9570
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0430
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.9570
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0430
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.9570
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.0445
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.9555
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0445
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.9555
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0445
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9555
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0445
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 21.03, Average price: 0.3467, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9550

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0445
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.9555
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.9555
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.9555
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9555
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9555
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.9555
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.9555
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.9555
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.9555
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.0445
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9555
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0445
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.9555
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0445
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.9555
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0445
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9555
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0445
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.9560
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0440
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.9560
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0440
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9560
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0440
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.9560
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0440
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.9560
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0440
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.9560
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0440
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.9560
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0435
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9565
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.0435
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9565
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0435
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.9565
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0435
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9565
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0435
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.9565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9560, Price range: 0.9560 - 0.9560

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0435
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.9565
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0435
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.9565
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0435
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.9565
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0435
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.9565
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0435
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.9570
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0430
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9570
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0425
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9570
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0430
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.9535
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0480
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.9510
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0490
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.9525
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0500
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.9555
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0445
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.9555
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0440
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.9560
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0440
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.9560
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0440
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9560
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0440
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.9560
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0440
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.9560
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0440
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.9560
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0440
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.9560
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0440
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.9560
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0440
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.9560
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0440
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.9560
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0440
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9560
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0440
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9560
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0440
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.9560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 134.59, Sell volume: 38.58, Average price: 0.4246, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9558

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0440
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.9560
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.0440
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.9560
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0440
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.9560
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0440
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.9560
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0440
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.9560
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0440
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.9560
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.0440
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.9560
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.0440
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.9560
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0440
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.9560
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0440
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.9565
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0435
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9565
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.0435
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.9565
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0435
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.9565
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0435
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9565
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0435
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.9565
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0435
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.9565
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0435
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.9565
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0435
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.9565
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0435
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.9565
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0435
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.9565
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0435
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9565
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0435
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9565
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.0435
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.9565
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0435
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.9565
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0435
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.9565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 26.00, Average price: 0.9550, Price range: 0.9550 - 0.9550

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9565
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0435
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9565
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0435
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0435
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9565
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9565
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0435
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9565
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9565
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9565
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9565
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9565
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9565
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9565
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9565
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9565
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9565
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9565
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9565
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9565
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.9565
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.9565
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9565
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9565
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0435
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.9565
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0435
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.9565
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9565
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 8227.17, Sell volume: 615.50, Average price: 0.6473, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9565
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9565
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0435
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0435
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9565
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0435
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9565
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9565
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9565
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0435
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9565
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0435
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0435
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9565
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.9565
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0435
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9565
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0435
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0435
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.0435
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0435
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.9565
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9565
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9565
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9565
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0435
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0435
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9565
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0435
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0435
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9565
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9565
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0435
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9565
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9565
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0435
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0435
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0435
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9565
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0435
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9565
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.0435
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9565
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.0435
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0435
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0435
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.0435
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0435
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0435
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 8227.17, Sell volume: 615.50, Average price: 0.6473, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.0435
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.9565
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0435
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9565
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9565
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0435
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9565
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0435
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0435
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0435
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9565
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9565
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0435
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9565
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0435
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9565
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0435
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9565
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0435
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.9565
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0435
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9565
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.0435
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9565
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0435
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0435
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.0435
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9565
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.9565
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9565
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.0435
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.0435
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0435
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9565
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0435
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0435
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9565
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.9565
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.9565
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9565
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9565
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.9565
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.9565
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.0435
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0435
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9565
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0435
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0435
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0435
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.9565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 140.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0430, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.0430

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0430
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9570
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0430
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0430
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0430
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0430
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0430
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0430
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.0430
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0430
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0430
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9570
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9570
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.0430
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9570
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9570
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0430
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0430
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0430
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9570
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0430
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0430
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9570
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.0430
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9570
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9570
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0430
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9570
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9570
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.9570
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0430
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.9570
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0430
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9570
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0430
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9570
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0430
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 8227.17, Sell volume: 615.50, Average price: 0.6473, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.9565
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.0435
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9565
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0435
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0435
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.0435
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9565
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9565
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9565
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0435
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9565
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0435
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0435
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.0435
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9565
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0435
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0435
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0435
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.0435
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.9575
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0425
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.9575
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.9575
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.9575
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.9575
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0425
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9575
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0425
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.9575
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.0425
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9575
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0425
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9575
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.0425
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9575
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0425
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.9575
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.0425
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9575
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.0425
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9575
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0425
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0425
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.0425
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9575
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.0425
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0425
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.0425
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0425
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.0420, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.0420

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9575
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9575
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9575
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.9575
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.9575
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9575
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.0425
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0425
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.0425
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9575
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.0425
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9575
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0425
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0425
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9575
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9575
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0425
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9575
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0425
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.9575
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0425
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9575
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.9575
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0425
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9575
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.0425
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9575
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0425
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9575
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0425
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0425
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9575
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0425
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9575
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0425
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9575
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0425
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9575
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0405
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9595
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0405
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9595
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0405
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9595
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0405
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9595
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0405
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9595
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9595
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 21.00, Average price: 0.4990, Price range: 0.0390 - 0.9590

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9595
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0405
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0405
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0405
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9595
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0405
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9595
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0405
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9595
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0405
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9595
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0405
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9595
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0405
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9595
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0405
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0405
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0405
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0405
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0405
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0405
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0405
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0405
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0405
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0405
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0405
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0405
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9595
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0405
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9595
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0405
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9645
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0355
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9680
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 7165.60, Sell volume: 347.89, Average price: 0.7530, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.4650
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.2750
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.2950
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.2950
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2950
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.2950
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.3200
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.2000
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.2150
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.2250
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.1850
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.1750
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.1750
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.1200
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.1550
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.1500
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.1350
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.1400
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0900
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0550
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0450
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0305
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0245
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0290
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0250
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0150
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 410.98, Sell volume: 140.00, Average price: 0.6295, Price range: 0.0198 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0305
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0350
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0395
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0355
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0395
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0425
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0380
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0395
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0380
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0390
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0410
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0430
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0430
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0430
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0430
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0425
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0430
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0435
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0435
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0415
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0420
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0425
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0425
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0415
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0420
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0430
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0420
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0430
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0430
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 326.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6270, Price range: 0.0437 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0425
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0425
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.0430
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0430
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0430
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0430
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0430
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0430
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0430
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0430
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0430
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.0430
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0430
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0430
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.0445
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0445
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0445
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0445
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0445
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0445
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0445
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.0445
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 21.03, Average price: 0.3467, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9550
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0445
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.0445
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0445
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0445
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0445
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0445
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0440
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0440
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0440
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0440
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0440
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0440
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0435
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.0435
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0435
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0435
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0435
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0435
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0435
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0435
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0435
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9560, Price range: 0.9560 - 0.9560
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0435
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0435
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0435
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0435
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0435
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0430
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0425
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0430
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0480
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0490
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0500
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0445
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0440
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0440
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0440
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0440
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0440
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0440
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0440
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0440
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0440
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0440
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0440
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0440
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0440
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0440
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0440
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0440
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0440
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 134.59, Sell volume: 38.58, Average price: 0.4246, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9558
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0440
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.0440
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0440
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0440
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0440
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0440
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.0440
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.0440
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0440
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0440
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0435
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.0435
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0435
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0435
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0435
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0435
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0435
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0435
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0435
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0435
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0435
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0435
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.0435
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0435
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0435
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.0435
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9565
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.0435
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0435
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 26.00, Average price: 0.9550, Price range: 0.9550 - 0.9550
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9565
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9565
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0435
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9565
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9565
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9565
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0435
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0435
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0435
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0435
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9565
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0435
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0435
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9565
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9565
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 8227.17, Sell volume: 615.50, Average price: 0.6473, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9565
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0435
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9565
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9565
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9565
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9565
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0435
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.9565
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9565
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0435
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0435
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9565
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9565
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0435
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0435
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9565
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0435
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9565
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0435
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9565
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9565
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9565
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0435
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.0435
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0435
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0435
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0435
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.9565
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9565
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 8227.17, Sell volume: 615.50, Average price: 0.6473, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.0435
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0435
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9565
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9565
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0435
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9565
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0435
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0435
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0435
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0435
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0435
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.0435
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0435
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.0435
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.9565
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.0435
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0435
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0435
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9565
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.9565
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9565
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.9565
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0435
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0435
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0435
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9565
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9565
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.9565
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0435
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.9565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 140.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0430, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.0430
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0430
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0430
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0430
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0430
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.9570
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9570
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0430
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9570
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9570
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0430
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0430
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0430
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9570
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9570
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0430
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9570
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0430
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0430
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0430
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0430
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0430
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9570
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.0430
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0430
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 8227.17, Sell volume: 615.50, Average price: 0.6473, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.9565
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9565
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0435
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9565
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9565
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9565
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0435
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9565
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0435
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.0435
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0425
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.9575
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.9575
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9575
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.9575
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9575
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9575
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9575
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.9575
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9575
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9575
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0425
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9575
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0425
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0425
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0425
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.9575
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.0425
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0425
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.0420, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.0420
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9575
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9575
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.9575
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.0425
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.0425
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.0425
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0425
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9575
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0425
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0425
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0425
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.9575
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9575
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9575
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9575
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0425
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0425
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0425
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0425
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0405
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0405
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0405
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0405
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0405
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9595
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9595
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9595
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9595
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0405
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 21.00, Average price: 0.4990, Price range: 0.0390 - 0.9590
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563381
Question: Will Amy Astley be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8842.668351
Price History:
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9595
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0405
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9595
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9595
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9595
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9595
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9595
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9595
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9595
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0405
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0405
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0405
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0405
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0405
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0355
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 7165.60, Sell volume: 347.89, Average price: 0.7530, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.4500
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.7500
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.7500
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.7500
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.9000
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0850
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.9150
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0950
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9050
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.1000
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9050
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9300
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0800
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9350
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9550
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9550
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9550
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9550
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9550
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0450
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9550
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0450
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9550
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0250
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9850
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0295
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9705
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0265
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9710
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0255
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 175.00, Sell volume: 195.00, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0175
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9815
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0200
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9780
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0150
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9850
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0150
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9860
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0125
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9875
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0200
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9805
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0195
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9795
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0195
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9805
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0200
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9810
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0210
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9790
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0210
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9795
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0225
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.9810
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0210
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.9805
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0300
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.9700
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0280
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.9725
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0290
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9720
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0255
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.9750
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0245
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9745
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0240
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.9745
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0240
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.9740
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0250
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9745
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0240
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.9735
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0240
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.9760
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0250
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.9760
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0240
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 94.00, Sell volume: 84.00, Average price: 0.5986, Price range: 0.0201 - 0.9780

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0250
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.9750
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0250
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.9750
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.0250
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9750
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0255
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.9750
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0260
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.9745
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0250
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.9745
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0260
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.9740
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0260
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.9740
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0250
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.9750
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0260
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9740
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0260
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.9745
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.0255
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.9745
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0260
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.9750
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0260
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9745
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0250
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.9750
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0255
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.9740
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0260
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.9740
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0260
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.9740
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.0260
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9740
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0260
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.9750
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0260
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.9740
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.0260
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.9735
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0265
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.9740
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0260
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9750
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0260
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 1.03, Average price: 0.0260, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.0280

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0260
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.9750
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0250
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.9735
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0270
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.9730
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0275
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9725
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0275
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9725
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0275
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.9725
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0275
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.9725
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0275
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.9725
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0275
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.9725
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9720
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.9720
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.9720
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9720
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0275
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.9725
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0270
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.9720
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9725
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.9720
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.9720
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.9720
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.9725
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9720
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9720
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.9720
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9720
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5015, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0275
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.9720
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0280
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.9720
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0280
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.9720
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0275
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.9720
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0280
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.9735
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0265
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9740
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0255
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9760
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0250
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.9750
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0265
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.9740
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0250
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.9755
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0255
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.9785
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0175
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.9825
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0175
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.9830
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0170
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.9840
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0165
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9840
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0170
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.9825
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0175
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.9830
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0160
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.9845
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0165
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.9840
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0175
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.9825
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0165
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.9840
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0170
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.9825
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0170
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9825
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0160
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9845
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0165
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 80.17, Sell volume: 12.60, Average price: 0.5543, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9780

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0175
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.9830
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.0490
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.9560
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0415
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.9590
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0420
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.9600
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0355
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.9650
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0360
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.9645
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.0340
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.9665
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.0335
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.9660
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0345
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.9660
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0330
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.9660
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0355
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9665
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.0350
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.9660
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0330
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.9650
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0335
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9655
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0395
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.9630
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0380
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.9615
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0420
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.9585
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0400
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.9615
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0350
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.9645
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0370
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.9630
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0370
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9615
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0360
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9615
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.0385
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.9620
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0370
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.9610
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0385
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 894.49, Sell volume: 56.00, Average price: 0.6776, Price range: 0.0318 - 0.9640

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0395
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9605
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.0450
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0445
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0455
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.0450
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9550
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.9560
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9560
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0450
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9565
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9560
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0450
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9555
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9565
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.9580
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.9625
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9615
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.0380
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.9625
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.0370
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9640
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0350
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9620
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0375
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0380
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0370
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9640
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9650
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9615
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9625
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.9630
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9640
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0345
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.9615
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0385
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.9620
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0370
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9645
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0350
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9655
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0335
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9640
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0345
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.9660
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.9645
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.9650
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9655
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 8754.46, Sell volume: 1608.69, Average price: 0.6665, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0350
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9660
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9675
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.9645
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9655
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0370
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9620
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9620
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9620
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9635
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0380
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9615
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0375
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0365
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.9645
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0350
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9660
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0335
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9635
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9620
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9630
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0360
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0355
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.0390
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0390
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9620
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0370
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9640
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9615
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9620
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0385
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9615
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9625
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0370
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9645
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0355
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9615
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0380
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0370
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0360
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0380
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.0380
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9630
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.0370
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.9630
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.9630
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9625
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0375
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9625
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 103.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3510, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9679

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9670
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.0330
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9670
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0330
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9665
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0335
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9665
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0335
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9665
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0335
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9665
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9665
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.9670
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0330
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9675
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0325
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0325
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9675
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9675
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.0325
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0325
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0325
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.9675
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9675
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0325
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0325
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.9665
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9665
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.9665
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0335
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.0335
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.0335
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0335
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0335
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9665
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9665
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9665
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.9665
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.9665
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0335
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9665
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.9665
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.9665
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.0335
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0335
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9665
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9670
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0330
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9670
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.9660, Price range: 0.9640 - 0.9690

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9665
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0335
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0335
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0335
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9665
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0335
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9665
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.0335
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9665
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9665
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0335
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0335
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0335
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.9665
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0335
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9665
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0335
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0335
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0335
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.0335
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0335
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.9665
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9665
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0335
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9665
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.9665
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9665
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0335
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.9665
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0335
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9665
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0335
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9670
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0330
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9670
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.9670
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0330
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9670
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0330
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0330
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0330
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.9670
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0330
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.9670
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0330
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9670
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0330
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9670
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0325
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 68.96, Average price: 0.9650, Price range: 0.9650 - 0.9650

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.9660
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.0340
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9660
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0340
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.9660
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.0340
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9660
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.0340
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9660
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0340
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9660
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0340
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0340
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.9660
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0340
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.9660
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0340
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.9660
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.0340
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.9665
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0335
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.9665
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.0335
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.9665
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0335
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9665
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.0335
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.9665
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0335
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.9665
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9665
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.9665
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9665
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.9665
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9665
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9665
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.0335
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.9665
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0335
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9665
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0335
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9665
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0335
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.9665
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0335
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.9665
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0335
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.9665
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0335
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 11.00, Sell volume: 102.00, Average price: 0.4993, Price range: 0.0307 - 0.9680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.0330
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.0330
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9670
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0330
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.0330
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.0330
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.0330
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9670
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.9670
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.0330
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9670
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0330
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0330
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9670
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9670
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9670
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0330
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0330
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0330
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.9670
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0330
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9670
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0330
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9670
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0330
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.9670
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0330
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9670
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0330
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9670
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9670
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9670
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9670
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0330
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9670
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0330
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0330
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9670
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0330
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9670
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0325
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9675
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0325
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9675
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0325
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9675
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0325
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9675
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0325
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0330
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9670
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9670
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9670
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0330
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9670
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0330
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9670
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0330
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9670
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0330
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9670
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0330
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9675
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9675
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0325
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0325
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0325
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0325
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0325
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9675
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9675
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0325
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9675
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0325
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0325
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9675
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0325
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9675
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0325
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0340
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9665
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 7336.80, Sell volume: 1069.10, Average price: 0.7276, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.4500
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0850
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0950
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.1000
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0800
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0650
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0450
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0450
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0250
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0295
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0265
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0255
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0220
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0175
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0140
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0140
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 175.00, Sell volume: 195.00, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0175
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0200
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0150
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0150
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0125
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0200
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0195
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0195
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0200
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0210
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0210
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0225
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0210
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0300
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0280
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0290
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0255
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0245
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0240
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0240
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0250
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0240
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0240
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0250
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0240
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0250
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0250
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0250
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0250
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 94.00, Sell volume: 84.00, Average price: 0.5986, Price range: 0.0201 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0250
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0250
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.0250
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0255
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0260
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0250
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0260
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0260
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0250
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0260
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0260
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.0255
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0260
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0260
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0250
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0255
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0260
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0260
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.0260
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0260
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0260
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.0260
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0265
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0260
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0260
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0260
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0260
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0260
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.0250
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 1.03, Average price: 0.0260, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.0280
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0260
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0250
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0270
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0275
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0275
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0275
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0275
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0275
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0275
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0275
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0270
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0280
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0275
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0280
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0280
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0280
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5015, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0275
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0280
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0280
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0275
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0280
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0265
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0255
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0250
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0265
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0250
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0255
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0175
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0175
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0170
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0165
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0170
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0175
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0160
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0165
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0175
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0165
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0170
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0170
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0160
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0165
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0175
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0180
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0165
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0170
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 80.17, Sell volume: 12.60, Average price: 0.5543, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0175
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.0490
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0415
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0420
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0355
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0360
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.0340
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.0335
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0345
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0330
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0355
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.0350
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0330
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0335
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0395
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0380
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0420
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0400
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0350
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0370
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0370
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0360
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.0385
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0370
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0385
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.0365
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9635
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9635
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0365
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 894.49, Sell volume: 56.00, Average price: 0.6776, Price range: 0.0318 - 0.9640
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0395
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.0450
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0455
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9550
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9560
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9565
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0450
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0435
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.9580
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9615
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.9625
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9640
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9620
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0380
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9640
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9615
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.9630
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0345
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0385
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0370
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0350
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0335
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0345
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.9645
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9655
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0370
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0360
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0345
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9640
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 8754.46, Sell volume: 1608.69, Average price: 0.6665, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0350
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9675
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9655
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9620
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9620
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0380
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0375
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.9645
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9660
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9635
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9630
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0355
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0390
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0370
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9615
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0385
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9625
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9645
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9615
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0370
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0380
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9630
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.9630
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9625
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9625
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9625
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9625
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.9625
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0330
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 103.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3510, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9679
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9670
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9670
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9665
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9665
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9665
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.9665
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.9670
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9675
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0325
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9675
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0325
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.9675
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0325
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.9665
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.9665
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.0335
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0335
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9665
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9665
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.9665
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9665
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.9665
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0335
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9670
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9670
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9670
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9670
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.9670
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.9670
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.9660, Price range: 0.9640 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9665
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0335
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9665
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9665
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9665
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0335
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0335
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0335
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0335
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0335
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0335
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9665
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9665
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9665
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.9665
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9665
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9670
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9670
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0330
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0330
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0330
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0330
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0330
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0330
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0325
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0325
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0325
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.0330
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0330
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 68.96, Average price: 0.9650, Price range: 0.9650 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.9660
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9660
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.9660
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9660
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9660
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9660
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0340
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0340
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0340
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.0340
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0335
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.0335
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0335
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.0335
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0335
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9665
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9665
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9665
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.0335
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0335
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0335
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0335
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0335
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0335
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0335
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9665
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.0335
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.0335
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9670
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 11.00, Sell volume: 102.00, Average price: 0.4993, Price range: 0.0307 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.0330
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9670
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.0330
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.0330
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.9670
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9670
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0330
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9670
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0330
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0330
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0330
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0330
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0330
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0330
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0330
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9670
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9670
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9670
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0330
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0330
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0325
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0325
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0325
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0325
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0325
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9675
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9670
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0330
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9670
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563379
Question: Will Sara Moonves be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 10363.154557
Price History:
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0330
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9670
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0330
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0330
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0330
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0330
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0330
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0325
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0325
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9675
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0325
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9675
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9675
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9675
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0325
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0325
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0325
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0340
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9940
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 7336.80, Sell volume: 1069.10, Average price: 0.7276, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes