Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0450
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9550
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0450
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9550
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9550
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9640
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9655
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9740
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9745
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9725
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0160
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9920
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0095
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0085
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9900
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0110
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0135
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0115
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0110
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0125
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9860
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9875
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0125
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0125
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9875
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0140
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0100
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0080
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0085
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9910
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9900
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0095
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9910
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0095
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9900
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9910
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9880
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0095
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0050
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 654, Buy volume: 200208.65, Sell volume: 61070.41, Average price: 0.8028, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.7650
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.9250
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9150
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.9150
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9200
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9250
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9200
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9150
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.9150
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.9150
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.9150
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.9200
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9250
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.9200
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.9300
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.9300
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.9350
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.9350
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.9350
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.9250
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.9250
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.9300
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.9250
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.9300
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.9100
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9050
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.9050
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.9050
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.9050
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9100
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9100
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.9050
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9150
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9150
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.9050
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.9050
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9050
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.9050
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.9050
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.9050
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9050
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.9050
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.8950
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.9000
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.8950
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.8950
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.9050
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.9050
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.9000
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.8950
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.8950
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.8950
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.8850
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.8950
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.8950
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9250
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9250
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.9050
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9050
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9050
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9050
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9050
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9050
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.8950
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.8900
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.8700
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.8650
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.8650
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.8700
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.8700
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.8700
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.8750
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.8800
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.8850
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.8850
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.8850
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.8850
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8750
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.8750
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.8800
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.8750
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8850
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.8850
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.8800
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.8900
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.8950
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.8800
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.8850
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.8900
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.8850
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.8800
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.8800
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.8800
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.8400
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.8350
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.8500
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.8550
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.8450
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.8450
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.8500
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.8450
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.8500
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.8500
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.8550
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.8450
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.8450
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.8200
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.8100
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.8200
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.8200
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.8050
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.8050
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.8150
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.8150
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.8100
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.8100
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.7800
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.7800
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.7650
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.7750
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7700
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.7600
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.7600
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.7550
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.7300
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.7400
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.7150
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.7250
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.7100
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.7150
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.7100
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.7100
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.7100
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.7300
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.7600
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.7400
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.7250
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.7200
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.7200
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.7450
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.7550
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.7400
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.7400
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.7400
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.7450
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.8100
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.8100
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.8200
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.8150
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.8450
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.8250
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.8050
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.8050
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.7950
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.7950
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.7850
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.7800
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.7900
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.7850
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.8050
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.7950
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.7950
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.8000
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.8000
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.8000
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.8000
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.7950
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.7950
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.8350
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.8400
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.8400
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.8400
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.8500
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.8450
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.8950
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.8750
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.8750
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.8800
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.8850
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.8750
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.8850
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.8850
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.8850
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.8950
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.8900
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9000
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9150
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9000
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.8400
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.8600
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.8550
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.8550
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.8550
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.8450
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.8450
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.8450
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.8550
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.8550
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.8500
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.8250
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.8250
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.8250
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.8400
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.8450
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.8450
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.8450
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.8450
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.8550
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.8350
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.8550
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.8400
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.8200
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.8200
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.8150
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.8150
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.8350
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.8300
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.8300
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.8350
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.8550
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.8350
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.8350
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.8300
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.8300
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.8150
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.8050
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.8050
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.8050
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.8000
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7350
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.8800
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196523109.82, Sell volume: 295564782.92, Average price: 0.7153, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.9050
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.9050
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9050
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.9100
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.9100
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.0850
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0600
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0800
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9200
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9200
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9050
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9350
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.9400
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0550
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9100
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.0900
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9100
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 951048, Buy volume: 195018018.86, Sell volume: 293900984.82, Average price: 0.7127, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.0900
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.1000
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.1000
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.9000
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.1100
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.1250
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.8450
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.1750
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.9200
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0750
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9300
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.9300
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9350
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.9400
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.9350
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0600
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9350
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.0600
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9350
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9350
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0600
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0600
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46278, Buy volume: 868223.20, Sell volume: 1600566.91, Average price: 0.7934, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 526911
Question: Fed rate cut in 2025?
Volume: 1391680.229074
Price History:
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0450
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9550
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9550
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9640
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9695
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9730
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9930
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9910
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0110
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0125
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9850
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0110
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9880
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9875
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0125
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0140
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0080
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0085
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0100
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0095
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0095
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0090
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9875
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9920
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0050
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 654, Buy volume: 200208.65, Sell volume: 61070.41, Average price: 0.8028, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.5250
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.3750
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.3750
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.3050
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.3550
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.3550
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.3650
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.3900
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.4050
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.4100
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.3600
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.3150
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.3150
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.3100
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.3050
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.3150
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.3150
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.3550
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.3550
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.3450
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.3450
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.3500
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.3500
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.3550
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.3750
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.3800
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.3800
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.3800
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.3750
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.3750
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.3750
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.3300
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.3350
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.3350
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.3350
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.3350
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.3400
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.3400
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.3400
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.3400
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.3400
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.3400
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.3450
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.3600
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.3700
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.3700
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 5914.84, Sell volume: 1581.44, Average price: 0.4859, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.3750
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.3750
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.3700
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.3800
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.3800
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.3800
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.3800
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.3850
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.3800
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.3800
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.3800
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.3850
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.3850
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.3850
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.3850
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.3850
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.3800
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.3800
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.6150
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.6150
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.3850
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.3850
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.3850
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.3850
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.3900
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.6100
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.3900
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.3900
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.3900
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.3900
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.3900
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.3900
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.3900
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.6100
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.6100
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.6100
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.6150
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.6100
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.6100
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.5750
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1285.47, Sell volume: 202.22, Average price: 0.4527, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.5600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.4950
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.5050
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.5000
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.4950
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.4900
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.5100
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.5100
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.4950
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.5100
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.5100
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.4950
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.4900
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.5100
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.5100
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.4900
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.5100
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.4900
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.4900
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.5100
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.4850
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.4900
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.4900
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.3900
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.4050
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.3900
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.2400
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.2250
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0950
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0120
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0225
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9820
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9620
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9680
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9700
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9670
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9590
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9755
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0245
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9755
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9645
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9755
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0270
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9790
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0230
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.9770
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.9765
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9765
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 238, Buy volume: 22956.45, Sell volume: 12346.77, Average price: 0.6372, Price range: 0.0094 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.0140
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9855
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0145
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0145
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9870
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0135
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9865
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9870
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.9870
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9870
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9870
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9870
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9865
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.9865
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0135
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9865
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9865
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9865
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.0135
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9865
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0135
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9905
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9905
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.0095
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0095
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0095
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9905
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.0095
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0095
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.0095
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0095
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0105
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.0105
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9895
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9890
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9890
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.0110
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9890
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.0110
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9890
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0110
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.9895
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9895
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.0105
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.0105
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.0100
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0105
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.0105
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.9885
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 118.15, Sell volume: 3793.82, Average price: 0.7354, Price range: 0.0082 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.0130
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0130
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9870
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.0130
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.9870
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0130
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0130
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9870
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9870
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.9855
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9865
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.9865
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.0135
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9865
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9870
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.9870
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.0130
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0130
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9870
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0130
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0130
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0130
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0130
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0130
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.0145
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.0145
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0145
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.0145
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0145
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0145
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0135
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.0135
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9865
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.9865
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0135
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9865
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.9865
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0135
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0135
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.9865
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9865
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.9865
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0135
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9865
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9865
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.9865
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9870
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.9870
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.9870
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 2.02, Sell volume: 160.63, Average price: 0.9861, Price range: 0.9850 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9830
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.0170
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0155
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.0165
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9835
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9835
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0155
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9840
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.0160
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0145
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0150
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.0155
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0145
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0110
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.9890
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.0110
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9885
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0115
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0115
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0115
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.0115
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0115
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9885
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.0115
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.9885
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9885
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.9885
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9885
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9885
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9885
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.9885
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9885
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0115
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.0115
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9885
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0115
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0115
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0115
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.9885
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9885
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.9885
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9885
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9885
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9885
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9885
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0115
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0115
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9885
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9885
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 136.69, Sell volume: 926.16, Average price: 0.9633, Price range: 0.0125 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9880
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9880
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0120
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9880
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9880
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9880
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9880
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9880
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0120
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9880
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9880
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9885
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9885
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9945
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9930
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0070
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0075
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0075
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0075
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0075
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9925
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0075
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 861.07, Sell volume: 2802.03, Average price: 0.8406, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9925
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9925
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9925
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9925
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 961, Buy volume: 93487.52, Sell volume: 91170.76, Average price: 0.4514, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0075
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0075
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9920
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9920
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9920
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9920
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9920
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9915
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9915
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9915
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9915
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9915
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9915
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 134.79, Sell volume: 2572.05, Average price: 0.8039, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9865
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9870
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0130
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9855
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9865
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9865
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9865
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9865
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0135
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9865
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9865
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0135
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9865
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9865
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0135
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0135
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9850
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9850
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9865
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0150
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9850
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9840
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9840
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9840
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0165
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9840
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9830
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9830
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9830
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9830
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9840
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9830
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9830
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0170
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0170
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0170
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9830
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0170
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 174.76, Sell volume: 3.78, Average price: 0.7427, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9865
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0135
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9870
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9870
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9875
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9875
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9865
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9865
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9875
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9865
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9870
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9860
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0140
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9860
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0140
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9855
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9850
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9865
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0155
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0155
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9845
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9850
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0155
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0150
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.0145
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9850
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0155
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9845
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9850
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9845
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9845
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9845
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0150
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0150
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0125
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0125
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0125
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0120
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 408.60, Sell volume: 266.94, Average price: 0.8776, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9880
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0115
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0115
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9875
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9875
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0125
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0125
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9875
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9875
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9875
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9875
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9875
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9875
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9875
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0125
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9875
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9875
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9885
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9880
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9870
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0130
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0130
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0130
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0125
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0125
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0135
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0135
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0135
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0135
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0135
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0130
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9875
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0125
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9875
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0125
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0130
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0140
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9875
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0135
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0105
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0115
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0110
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9895
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9895
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 199, Buy volume: 5789.80, Sell volume: 44672.61, Average price: 0.1022, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9910
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9910
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0105
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9890
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0105
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0100
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0130
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0085
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9905
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9900
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0100
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0100
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9900
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0100
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0100
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0090
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9910
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9910
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9915
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0070
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0070
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0065
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0065
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0065
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9935
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9955
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 55704.87, Sell volume: 14942.31, Average price: 0.2577, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.5250
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.6250
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.3050
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.6450
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.3900
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.5900
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.3100
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.6850
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.3050
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.6950
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.3200
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.6450
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.6500
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.3550
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.6250
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.3800
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.6200
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.3750
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.6700
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.3350
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.6650
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.3400
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.6600
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.3400
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.6600
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.3450
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.6300
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.3700
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 5914.84, Sell volume: 1581.44, Average price: 0.4859, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.3750
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.6250
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.3800
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.6200
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.3850
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.6200
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.3850
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.3850
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.6150
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.6200
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.6150
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.6150
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.6150
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.3850
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.6100
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.3900
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.6100
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.3900
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.6100
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.6100
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.3900
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.3900
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.3900
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.5400
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1285.47, Sell volume: 202.22, Average price: 0.4527, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.4950
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.5050
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.4950
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.4900
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.4950
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.4900
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.5100
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.4900
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.4900
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.5100
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.5150
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.5150
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.4900
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.6000
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.3500
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9600
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9840
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0380
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9700
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9585
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9755
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0245
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9755
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0275
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9785
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0235
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9765
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 238, Buy volume: 22956.45, Sell volume: 12346.77, Average price: 0.6372, Price range: 0.0094 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.0140
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0145
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9855
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9865
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9870
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9870
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9870
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0135
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0135
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.0135
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0135
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0135
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9905
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9905
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9905
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0095
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0095
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9905
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.9895
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0105
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9890
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0110
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0110
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9890
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9895
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0105
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0105
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.9895
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0100
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 118.15, Sell volume: 3793.82, Average price: 0.7354, Price range: 0.0082 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.0130
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9870
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0130
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9870
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9870
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.0130
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.9865
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.9865
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9870
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0130
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.0130
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9870
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0130
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0135
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0145
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9855
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0145
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.9865
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.9865
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0135
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9865
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9865
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.9865
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0135
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0135
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0135
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0135
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0130
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9870
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 2.02, Sell volume: 160.63, Average price: 0.9861, Price range: 0.9850 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9830
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9830
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.0165
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.0165
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9840
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.0145
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0155
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9855
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.9890
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9890
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.9885
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9885
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0115
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0115
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.9885
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.0115
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9885
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0115
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0115
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.9885
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0115
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.9885
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9885
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.0115
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9885
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0115
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0115
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0115
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0115
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 136.69, Sell volume: 926.16, Average price: 0.9633, Price range: 0.0125 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9880
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0120
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9880
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0120
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9880
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9880
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9885
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0115
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9945
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0060
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0070
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0070
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9930
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0075
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9925
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0075
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 861.07, Sell volume: 2802.03, Average price: 0.8406, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9925
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 961, Buy volume: 93487.52, Sell volume: 91170.76, Average price: 0.4514, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0075
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0075
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0075
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9925
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0080
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9920
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0080
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9915
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0085
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9915
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0085
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9875
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 134.79, Sell volume: 2572.05, Average price: 0.8039, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9865
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0130
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0140
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0135
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9865
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0135
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9865
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0135
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9865
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0130
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9865
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9865
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9850
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0125
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9865
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.9850
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9850
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0160
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9840
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0170
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9830
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0160
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9830
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0170
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9830
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0170
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0170
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 174.76, Sell volume: 3.78, Average price: 0.7427, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9865
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0140
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9870
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0125
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0130
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9865
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0135
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9865
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0135
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9855
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9860
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0140
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0150
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9865
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0155
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0155
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9845
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.0145
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0145
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0155
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0155
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9845
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0145
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0125
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9875
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0120
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 408.60, Sell volume: 266.94, Average price: 0.8776, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0120
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9880
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9880
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9880
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9875
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0120
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9875
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0125
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9875
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9875
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0125
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0125
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9885
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0130
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0130
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9870
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0125
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9870
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0135
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9865
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9875
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0135
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0135
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9885
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0115
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0105
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9895
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 199, Buy volume: 5789.80, Sell volume: 44672.61, Average price: 0.1022, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570078
Question: Will Taylor Swift release an album by December 31?
Volume: 184652.180876
Price History:
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9910
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9910
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9890
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9895
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0130
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0085
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0100
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9900
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9900
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9900
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0090
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0090
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0070
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0065
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0060
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9955
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 55704.87, Sell volume: 14942.31, Average price: 0.2577, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.5050
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.5050
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.5050
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.5100
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.5100
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.5100
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.5100
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.5100
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.6500
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.3500
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.6400
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.3600
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.6400
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.3600
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9595
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0405
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0405
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9595
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0405
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9595
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0405
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9595
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0400
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9600
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0400
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9600
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9600
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0400
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9600
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0350
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9650
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0475
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9525
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9745
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0255
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0255
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9745
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0260
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9740
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0260
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9740
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0260
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9740
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0260
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9740
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0260
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9740
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9740
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0260
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0260
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9740
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0235
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9765
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9765
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0235
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9765
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0235
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0235
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9765
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0235
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 24.29, Sell volume: 15.30, Average price: 0.7375, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0180
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9820
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0175
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9825
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0175
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9825
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0175
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0175
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9825
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9825
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 12.45, Sell volume: 30.28, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9830
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0170
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9830
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0170
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9830
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0170
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9830
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0170
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9835
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0165
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9840
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0170
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 8.98, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0220
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0220
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0220
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0220
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0220
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0220
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0220
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0220
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9765
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0235
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9765
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0235
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9765
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0235
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9765
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0235
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9765
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0225
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 347, Buy volume: 61964.04, Sell volume: 39266.34, Average price: 0.2612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0225
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9760
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0240
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0225
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0225
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0225
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9775
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 347, Buy volume: 61964.04, Sell volume: 39266.34, Average price: 0.2612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0230
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0235
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0230
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0235
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0230
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9775
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0225
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0235
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0235
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0235
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0235
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0235
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0235
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0235
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0235
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0235
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0235
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9775
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0225
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0235
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0235
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9775
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0225
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9775
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9916, Price range: 0.9912 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0235
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0235
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9775
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0225
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9775
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0225
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0235
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0235
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0235
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9775
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0225
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0230
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9775
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0225
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0235
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0230
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9775
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0225
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9765
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0235
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 144.04, Sell volume: 34.40, Average price: 0.4019, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9760
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0240
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0225
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 347, Buy volume: 61964.04, Sell volume: 39266.34, Average price: 0.2612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9770
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0230
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.6545
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.3455
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.6560
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.3440
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.7200
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.2800
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.7200
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.2800
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.7105
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.2895
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.7200
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.2800
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.6720
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.3280
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.7210
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.2790
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.7210
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.2790
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.7220
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.2780
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.6985
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.3015
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.7020
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.2980
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.2800
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.7225
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.2775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 308.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1476, Price range: 0.0395 - 0.2034

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.8235
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1765
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8265
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1735
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.8310
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.1690
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.8345
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.1655
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.8410
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1590
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.8410
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1590
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8405
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.1595
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8405
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.1595
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8400
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1600
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8460
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1540
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8445
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1555
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8410
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1590
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8445
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1555
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8445
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1555
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8410
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.1590
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8410
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1590
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8495
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1505
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8495
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1505
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8545
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1455
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8495
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.1505
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8495
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 145.69, Sell volume: 204.93, Average price: 0.8982, Price range: 0.0505 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9215
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0785
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9215
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0785
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9215
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0785
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9215
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0785
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9260
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0740
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9230
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0770
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9230
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0770
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9230
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0770
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9230
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0770
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9230
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0770
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9230
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0770
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9230
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0770
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9260
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0740
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9260
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0740
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9260
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0740
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9260
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0740
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9260
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0740
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9305
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0695
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9405
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0595
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9405
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0595
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9405
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0595
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9405
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0595
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9405
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0595
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9405
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0595
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9405
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 915.62, Sell volume: 52.63, Average price: 0.8740, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 290, Buy volume: 60396.54, Sell volume: 38919.82, Average price: 0.1643, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.5100
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.5100
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.5100
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.5100
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.6500
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.6400
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.6400
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9550
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9650
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9600
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9600
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9595
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0405
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0405
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0405
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0400
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0400
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9600
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0350
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0475
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9745
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0255
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0260
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0260
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0260
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0260
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0260
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9740
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0260
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0235
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9765
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9765
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0235
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0235
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0235
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0235
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0235
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0235
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 24.29, Sell volume: 15.30, Average price: 0.7375, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0180
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0175
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9825
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9825
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9825
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9825
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0175
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9825
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0170
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0170
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0170
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0170
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 12.45, Sell volume: 30.28, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9830
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9830
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9830
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9830
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9835
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9840
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9830
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 8.98, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9765
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9765
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9765
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9765
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 347, Buy volume: 61964.04, Sell volume: 39266.34, Average price: 0.2612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9760
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9775
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9775
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 347, Buy volume: 61964.04, Sell volume: 39266.34, Average price: 0.2612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9775
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9775
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9775
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9775
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9765
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9775
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9775
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9916, Price range: 0.9912 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9775
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9775
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9775
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9775
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9775
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9765
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9900
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 144.04, Sell volume: 34.40, Average price: 0.4019, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9760
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9775
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 347, Buy volume: 61964.04, Sell volume: 39266.34, Average price: 0.2612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9770
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.6545
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.6560
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.7200
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.7200
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.7105
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.7200
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.6720
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.7210
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.7210
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.7220
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.6985
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.7020
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.7225
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.7260
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7360
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.7335
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.7495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 308.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1476, Price range: 0.0395 - 0.2034
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.8235
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8265
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.8310
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.8345
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.8410
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.8410
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8405
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8405
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8400
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8460
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8445
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8410
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8445
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8445
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8410
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8410
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8495
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8495
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8545
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8495
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8495
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8645
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8860
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8860
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8860
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 145.69, Sell volume: 204.93, Average price: 0.8982, Price range: 0.0505 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9215
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9215
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9215
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9215
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9260
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9230
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9230
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9230
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9230
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9230
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9230
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9230
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9260
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9260
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9260
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9260
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9260
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9305
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9405
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9405
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9405
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9405
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9405
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9405
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9405
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9405
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9405
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9405
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9865
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 915.62, Sell volume: 52.63, Average price: 0.8740, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637484
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get less than 10 million views on week 1?
Volume: 101230.383569
Price History:
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 290, Buy volume: 60396.54, Sell volume: 38919.82, Average price: 0.1643, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637485
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 10–12 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16535.352233
Price History:
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.5100
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.5150
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.4850
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.4850
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.5150
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.5150
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.4850
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.5150
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.4850
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.4800
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.5200
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.5700
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.4300
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.5400
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.4600
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.4250
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.5750
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.4250
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.5750
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.5800
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.4200
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.4250
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.5750
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.5750
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.4250
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.4300
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.5700
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.5600
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.4400
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.5750
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.4250
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.5250
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.4750
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.4800
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 13732.53, Sell volume: 2802.82, Average price: 0.5168, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637485
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 10–12 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16535.352233
Price History:
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.8800
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.1300
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.8700
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.1300
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8700
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.1250
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.8750
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.8800
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.8800
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.8750
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.1250
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.1150
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.8850
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.1150
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.8850
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.1150
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.1150
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.8850
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.1150
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.8850
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.8850
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.1150
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.8850
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.1150
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.8850
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.1150
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.8850
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.1150
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.8850
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.1150
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.8750
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.1250
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.1200
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.8800
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.1150
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 120.47, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.3132, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637485
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 10–12 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16535.352233
Price History:
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8800
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.1200
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.1200
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.8800
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8800
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1200
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.1200
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.8800
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.1200
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.8800
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.8800
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.1200
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.1200
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.8800
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.8800
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.1200
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8800
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.1200
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.8800
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.1200
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1150
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8850
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1150
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.8850
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1150
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.8850
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.1150
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.8850
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.1150
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.8850
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.1150
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.8850
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.8850
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1150
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.8850
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.1150
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.8850
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1150
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.8850
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.1150
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 36.00, Average price: 0.3567, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637485
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 10–12 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16535.352233
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.1150
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.8850
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.1150
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.8850
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1150
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.8850
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.1150
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.8850
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.1150
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.8850
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.1150
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.8850
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.1150
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.1150
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.8850
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.1150
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.8850
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637485
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 10–12 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16535.352233
Price History:
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.1100
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.1100
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.1100
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.1100
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.1100
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.1100
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.1100
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 16.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1100, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.1100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 637485
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get between 10–12 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16535.352233
Price History:
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.8900
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.8900
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 13732.53, Sell volume: 2802.82, Average price: 0.5168, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes