Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527830
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4290.730652
Price History:
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0030
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0030
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0030
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0030
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0030
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0030
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0030
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0030
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0020
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527830
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4290.730652
Price History:
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0010
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0010
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0010
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0010
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0010
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 249.67, Sell volume: 474.86, Average price: 0.2149, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527830
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 15?
Volume: 4290.730652
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5300
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.3500
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.3500
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.3550
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.3450
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.2000
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.4250
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.4250
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.4300
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.4250
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.4100
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.4150
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.4100
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.4150
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.4250
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.4150
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4200
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.2600
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.2650
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.2500
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.2650
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.2600
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.2150
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.2150
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.2150
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.2150
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 323.93, Sell volume: 0.40, Average price: 0.7391, Price range: 0.4801 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527830
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 15?
Volume: 4290.730652
Price History:
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.2050
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.2050
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.2050
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.2050
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.2050
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.1950
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.2600
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.2550
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.2250
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.2200
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.2200
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.2950
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.2700
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.2450
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.2450
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.2150
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.2100
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.2200
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.2450
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.2450
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 335.08, Sell volume: 26.31, Average price: 0.6287, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527830
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 15?
Volume: 4290.730652
Price History:
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.2450
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.2450
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.2450
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.2300
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.2300
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.2250
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.2300
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.2300
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.2300
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.2300
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.2300
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.2300
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.2300
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.2300
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.2300
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.2300
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.2300
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.2300
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.2300
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.2300
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.2300
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.2300
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.2300
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.2300
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 212.16, Sell volume: 19.26, Average price: 0.4474, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527830
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 15?
Volume: 4290.730652
Price History:
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.2300
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.2300
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.2300
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.2300
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 51.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527830
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 15?
Volume: 4290.730652
Price History:
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.2300
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.2300
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.2300
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.2300
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.2300
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.2300
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.2250
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.2250
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.2250
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.2250
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.2250
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.2250
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.2250
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.2250
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.2250
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.2250
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.2200
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.2200
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.2200
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.2200
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 189.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7839, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527830
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 15?
Volume: 4290.730652
Price History:
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.2200
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.2200
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.2200
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.2200
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.2200
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.2200
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.2200
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.2200
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.2200
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.2200
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.2200
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.2200
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.2200
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.2200
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.2200
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.2200
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.2200
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.2200
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.2200
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.2150
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.2150
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.2150
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.2150
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.2150
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.2150
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.2150
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.2150
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.1650
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.1450
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 422.41, Sell volume: 51.28, Average price: 0.8357, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527830
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 15?
Volume: 4290.730652
Price History:
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.1450
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.1500
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.1450
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.1450
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.1450
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.1300
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.1250
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.1050
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.1050
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.1000
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.1000
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.1000
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.1000
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.1000
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.1000
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.1000
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.1000
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.1000
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.1000
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.1000
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.1000
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.1000
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.1000
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.1000
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.1000
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0950
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.1000
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.1000
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.1000
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 17.00, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527830
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 15?
Volume: 4290.730652
Price History:
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.1000
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.1000
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.1000
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.1000
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.1000
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.1000
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.1000
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.1000
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.1000
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.1000
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.1000
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.1000
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0950
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.0850
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0850
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.0850
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0750
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.0750
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0750
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0850
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0750
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 479.97, Sell volume: 257.05, Average price: 0.4420, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527830
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 15?
Volume: 4290.730652
Price History:
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.0750
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0750
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0750
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.0750
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.0750
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0750
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0750
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 83.33, Sell volume: 231.87, Average price: 0.6821, Price range: 0.0446 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527830
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 15?
Volume: 4290.730652
Price History:
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0550
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0550
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0550
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0340
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.0350
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0350
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.0350
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0340
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0340
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.0340
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.0340
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0340
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0340
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.0340
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0345
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0345
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.0330
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0330
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0335
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0330
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.0330
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0330
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 626.22, Sell volume: 107.00, Average price: 0.7556, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527830
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 15?
Volume: 4290.730652
Price History:
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.0330
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0330
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0330
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.0340
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.0335
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0335
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0335
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0335
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0335
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.0330
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0335
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0330
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0330
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0330
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0330
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.0335
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0335
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0330
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0260
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527830
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 15?
Volume: 4290.730652
Price History:
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0030
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0030
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0030
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0020
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.0030
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0020
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.0020
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0020
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527830
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 15?
Volume: 4290.730652
Price History:
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0010
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0010
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0010
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 249.67, Sell volume: 474.86, Average price: 0.2149, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5950
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.4050
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.6050
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.4650
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5350
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.4650
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5400
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.4600
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5150
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.4850
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.5850
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.6650
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.3300
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.3250
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.2850
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.7400
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.2600
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.2350
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.7150
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.2850
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.2700
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.2800
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.2800
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.2800
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.7200
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.2800
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.7200
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.2800
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.7200
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.2750
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.7200
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.2800
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.7200
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.2800
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.7200
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.2800
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.7200
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.2800
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.7200
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.2800
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.7200
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 1449.00, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.4596, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.3350
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.7000
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.7000
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.3000
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.7000
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.3000
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.7000
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.7000
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.7000
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.3000
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.7000
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.3000
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.7000
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.7000
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.7000
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.3000
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.7000
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.3000
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.7000
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.7000
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.7000
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.3000
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.7000
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.3000
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.7000
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.7000
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.7000
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.3000
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.7000
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.3000
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.7000
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.7000
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.3050
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.6950
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.3050
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.7000
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.3000
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.7000
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 401.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5733, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.7000
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.3000
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.7000
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.2950
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.7050
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.2950
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.7050
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.2950
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.7050
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.2950
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.7000
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.2950
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.3000
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.3000
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.3050
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.6950
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.3000
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.6950
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.7000
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.3050
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.7000
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.3000
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.2950
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.7050
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.2950
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.7050
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.2950
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.7050
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.2950
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.7050
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 8.15, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6050, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.7000
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.7000
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.3000
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.7000
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.3000
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.7000
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.7000
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.7000
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.3000
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.7050
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.2950
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.7050
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.2950
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.7050
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.6950
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.3050
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.6950
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.6950
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.6950
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.3050
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 241.77, Sell volume: 243.33, Average price: 0.4378, Price range: 0.2869 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.6950
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.6950
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.3050
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.6950
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.3050
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.2950
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.7000
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.2950
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.7100
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.2900
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.7100
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.2900
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.7100
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.2900
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.2950
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.6950
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.3050
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.6950
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.3050
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.4750
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.5300
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.5100
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.4750
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.5550
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.4200
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.5300
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.4600
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.5700
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.4800
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.5500
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.4300
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.5200
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.4750
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.6250
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.3650
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.6400
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.3550
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.6550
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.3250
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.6450
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 936.85, Sell volume: 33.33, Average price: 0.5290, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7117

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.3950
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.6100
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.3900
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.6050
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.3950
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.6050
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.3950
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.6050
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.3950
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.6050
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.3950
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.6150
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.3900
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.6150
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.3850
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.6150
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.6150
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.6150
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.3850
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.6150
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.3900
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.6150
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.3850
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.6150
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.3850
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.6100
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.3900
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.6150
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.3900
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.6100
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.6150
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.3950
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.6900
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.3100
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.6900
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.3100
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.6900
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.3100
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.6950
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.3100
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.6300
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.3200
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.6100
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.3900
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.6100
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.3800
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 432.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7117, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.7950
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.2100
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.7900
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.2000
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.7900
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.7000
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.3100
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.5900
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.4100
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.6350
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.4100
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.6250
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.6200
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.3750
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.5900
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.4000
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.6050
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.5700
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.4300
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.5700
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.4350
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.5650
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.4200
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.5850
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.4100
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.5900
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.4100
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.5900
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.4100
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.5900
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.4100
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.5900
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.4100
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.5900
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.4100
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.5900
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.4100
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.5900
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.4100
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.5800
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.4200
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.5650
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.4350
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.5600
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.4300
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.5600
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 270.11, Sell volume: 76.00, Average price: 0.5066, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.6200
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.2600
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.2500
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.3350
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.6700
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.3150
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.6850
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.3250
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.6700
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.3150
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.6950
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.3200
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.6700
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.3400
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.6950
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.3050
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.6850
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.3800
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.6200
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.4700
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.6600
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.3400
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.7750
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.3300
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.6700
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.6700
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.6700
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.6600
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.3400
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.6550
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.3250
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.6550
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.3450
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.6550
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.3450
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.6550
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.3450
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.6550
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.3250
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.6750
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.3500
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.6700
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 54.00, Sell volume: 157.37, Average price: 0.5395, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.2050
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.2050
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.2150
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.8150
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.2000
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.6800
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.3250
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.6800
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.3250
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.6700
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.3350
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.6500
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.3500
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.6550
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.3500
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.6600
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.3450
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.6500
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.3350
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.6850
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.3500
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.6500
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.7050
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.2100
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.8000
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.3050
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.7250
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.3050
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.6950
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.3050
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.6800
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.2800
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.7200
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.2800
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.6750
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.3550
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.6450
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.6800
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.3200
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.6400
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.3150
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.6800
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.3100
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.6750
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.3250
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 119.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5075, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.7150
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.3050
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.6850
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.2800
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.7100
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.3000
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.6900
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.3350
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.6600
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.3600
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.6350
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.7200
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.6900
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.6600
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.3550
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.7200
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.3000
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.7000
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.3200
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.6700
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.2700
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.7350
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.2750
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.7300
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.7200
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.2450
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.7700
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.2800
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.7250
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.2750
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.7250
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.2700
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.7250
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.2750
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.7300
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.2600
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.7300
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.7450
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.2600
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.7200
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.2650
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.7200
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.2750
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.7200
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 58.60, Sell volume: 10.32, Average price: 0.7981, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.1950
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.7900
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.2100
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.8000
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.1950
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.8050
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.2000
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.8000
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.2100
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.7800
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.2100
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.8000
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.2000
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.8000
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.2100
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.7900
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.2100
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.7900
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.2100
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.8050
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.2000
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.8100
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.8100
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.8150
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.8150
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.8150
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.8800
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1350
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.8750
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.8600
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.8600
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.1400
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.8600
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.8150
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.8150
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 195.53, Sell volume: 964.47, Average price: 0.4211, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9300
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9400
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0750
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9300
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0700
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9300
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9300
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0750
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9300
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0600
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9250
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0750
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9250
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.2400
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9450
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0550
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9550
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9550
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0550
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9400
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9250
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0750
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9400
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0550
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9250
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0300
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0330
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 246.56, Sell volume: 218.02, Average price: 0.3895, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9720
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0290
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9725
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0270
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9730
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0220
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9770
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9745
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0305
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9720
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0320
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9700
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0255
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9715
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0275
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9690
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0270
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9735
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0270
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9825
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0160
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9835
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0220
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9750
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0245
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9755
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0220
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9770
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0260
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9810
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0240
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9780
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0250
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9735
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9805
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0180
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9780
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0220
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9850
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0145
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1252.72, Sell volume: 230.64, Average price: 0.6640, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5950
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.6050
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5350
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.5400
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.5150
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.5850
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.6650
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.6700
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.7200
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.7400
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.7250
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.7150
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.7250
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.7200
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.7200
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.7200
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.7200
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.7200
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.7200
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.7200
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.7200
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.7200
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.7050
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.7150
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.5800
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.5600
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 1449.00, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.4596, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.3350
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.3000
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.3000
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.3000
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.3000
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.3000
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.3000
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.3000
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.3000
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.3000
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.3000
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.3050
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.3050
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.3000
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.3050
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.3000
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.3000
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 401.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5733, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.7000
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.7000
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.7050
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.7050
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.7050
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.6950
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.7000
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.6950
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.7000
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.7000
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.7050
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.7050
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.7050
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.7000
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.7000
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.7000
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 8.15, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.6050, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.3000
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.3000
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.3000
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.3000
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.3000
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.2950
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.2950
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.3050
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.3050
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.3050
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.3050
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.3000
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 241.77, Sell volume: 243.33, Average price: 0.4378, Price range: 0.2869 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.6950
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.6950
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.6950
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.7000
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.7100
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.7100
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.6950
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.6950
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.4750
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.5100
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.5550
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.5300
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.5700
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.5500
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.5200
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.6250
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.6400
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.6550
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.6450
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.6650
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.6950
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.6950
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.6950
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 936.85, Sell volume: 33.33, Average price: 0.5290, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7117
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.3950
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.3900
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.3950
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.3950
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.3950
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.3950
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.3900
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.3850
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.3850
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.3900
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.3850
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.3850
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.3900
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.3900
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.3950
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.3100
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.3100
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.3100
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.3100
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.3200
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.3900
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.3800
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.3250
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.2200
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.2100
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.2000
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 432.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7117, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.7950
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.7900
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.7900
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.7000
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.5900
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.6350
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.6250
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.6200
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.5900
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.6050
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.5700
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.5700
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.5650
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.5850
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.5900
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.5900
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.5900
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.5900
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.5900
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.5900
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.5900
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.5800
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.5650
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.5600
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.5600
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.5400
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.5450
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.3850
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.3850
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 270.11, Sell volume: 76.00, Average price: 0.5066, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.6200
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.6700
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.6850
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.6700
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.6950
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.6700
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.6950
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.6850
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.6200
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.6600
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.7750
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.6700
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.6700
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.6700
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.6600
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.6550
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.6550
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.6550
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.6550
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.6550
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.6750
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.6700
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.6400
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.6450
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.6450
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.6300
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 54.00, Sell volume: 157.37, Average price: 0.5395, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.2050
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.2050
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.2150
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.2000
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.3250
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.3250
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.3350
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.3500
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.3500
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.3450
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.3350
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.3500
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.2100
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.3050
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.3050
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.3050
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.2800
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.2800
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.3550
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.3200
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.3150
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.3100
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.3250
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.3050
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.3050
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.2600
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.2700
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 119.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5075, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.7150
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.6850
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.7100
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.6900
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.6600
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.6350
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.7200
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.6900
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.6600
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.7200
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.7000
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.6700
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.7350
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.7300
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.7200
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.7700
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.7250
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.7250
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.7250
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.7300
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.7300
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.7450
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.7200
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.7200
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.7200
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.7200
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.7200
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.7350
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.7950
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 58.60, Sell volume: 10.32, Average price: 0.7981, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.1950
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.2100
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.1950
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.2000
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.2100
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.2100
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.2000
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.2100
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.2100
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.2100
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.2000
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1350
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.1400
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 195.53, Sell volume: 964.47, Average price: 0.4211, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9300
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9400
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9300
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9300
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9300
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9400
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9300
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9250
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9250
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9450
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9550
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9550
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9400
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9250
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9400
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9250
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9660
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9645
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9610
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9595
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 246.56, Sell volume: 218.02, Average price: 0.3895, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527831
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?
Volume: 7720.177585
Price History:
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0290
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0270
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0220
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0305
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0320
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0255
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0275
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0270
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0270
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0160
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0220
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0245
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0220
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0260
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0240
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0250
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0180
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0220
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0145
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0015
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1252.72, Sell volume: 230.64, Average price: 0.6640, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5950
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.3550
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.7100
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.2850
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.8150
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.1750
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.8250
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.1800
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.8150
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.1850
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.8050
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.1950
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.1950
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.8050
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.1900
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.8100
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.1900
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.8100
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.1950
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.8050
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.1950
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.8050
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.1950
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.8050
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.1950
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.8050
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.8000
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.2000
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.8000
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.2000
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.8000
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.2000
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.2000
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.2000
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.2000
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.2000
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.2000
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.8000
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.2000
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.8050
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.1900
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.8100
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 413.92, Sell volume: 1.23, Average price: 0.6715, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.8100
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.1900
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.8100
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.1900
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.8050
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.1950
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.8050
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.1950
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.8050
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.8050
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.1950
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.8050
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.1950
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.8050
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.1950
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.8050
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.1950
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.8050
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.1950
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.8050
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.1950
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.8050
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.1950
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.8050
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.8050
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.8050
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.8050
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.8050
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.8050
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.1950
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.8050
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.1950
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.8050
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.1950
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.8050
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.1950
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.1950
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.8050
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.1950
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.8050
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.1950
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.8050
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 23.90, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.8000
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.2000
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.8000
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.1950
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.8050
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.1950
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.8050
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.1950
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.8050
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.8050
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.1950
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.8050
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.1950
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.8050
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.1950
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.8050
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.1950
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.8050
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.1950
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.8050
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.1950
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.8050
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.1950
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.1950
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.8050
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.1950
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.8050
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.1950
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.8050
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.1950
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.6300
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.3700
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.7050
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.6100
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.3900
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.6100
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.3250
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.6300
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.4350
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.3150
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.7900
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.2100
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.7900
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.2050
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.8000
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.1450
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3008.55, Sell volume: 1712.48, Average price: 0.3762, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8804

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.3200
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.6750
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.3250
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.6750
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.7000
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.3150
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.6750
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.3250
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.6750
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.3250
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.6900
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.3350
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.6750
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.3300
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.6700
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.3450
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.6700
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.3350
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.6750
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.3350
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.6750
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.4350
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.6100
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.3400
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.6800
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.3500
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.6550
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.3500
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.6550
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.3400
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.6500
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.2850
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.6600
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.3300
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.6750
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.2900
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.6550
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.3250
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.6650
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.3600
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.6500
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.3650
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.6850
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.3150
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.6900
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.6800
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.3050
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 316.61, Sell volume: 208.67, Average price: 0.5143, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.2850
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.7150
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.2850
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.7150
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.2900
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.7100
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.2900
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.7100
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.2900
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.7100
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.2900
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.7150
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.2900
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.7100
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.2950
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.7050
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.3000
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.7100
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.2850
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.7100
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.2850
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.7150
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.2850
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.7150
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.2950
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.7350
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.2700
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.7300
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.2650
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.7300
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.2550
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.6100
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.4000
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.7150
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.2550
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.7400
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.1850
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.7400
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.1800
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.8150
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.1700
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.8200
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.1850
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.8100
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.1900
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1564.92, Sell volume: 128.63, Average price: 0.5887, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7634

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.1950
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.8050
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.1750
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.8000
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.1750
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.8300
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.1800
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.8050
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.1650
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.8450
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.1800
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.8150
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.1950
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.1550
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.8600
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.1350
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.8650
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.1350
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.8650
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.1350
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.8650
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.1500
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.8550
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.1400
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.8600
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.1500
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.8500
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.1350
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.8650
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.1050
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.8650
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.1350
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.8650
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.1350
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.8900
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.1100
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.8900
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.1100
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.8600
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.1400
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.8600
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.1450
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.8650
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.1350
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 231.01, Sell volume: 202.98, Average price: 0.3914, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.8429

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.8600
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.1450
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.8550
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.1450
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.8550
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.1450
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.8600
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.1400
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.8600
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.1400
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.8600
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.1400
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.8650
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.1400
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.8600
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.1400
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.8600
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.1350
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.8600
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.1400
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.8600
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.1400
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.8600
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.1400
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.8600
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.1450
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.8600
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.1450
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.8550
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.1500
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.8500
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.1500
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.8500
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.1400
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.8600
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.1400
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.8600
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.1450
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.8500
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.1450
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.8500
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.1500
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.8500
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.1450
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.8500
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.1500
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 178.70, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.1995, Price range: 0.0692 - 0.2800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.1900
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.8200
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.1950
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.8000
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.1900
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.8100
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.2000
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.8100
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.2050
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.7950
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2000
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8050
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1950
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.1950
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.1950
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.1950
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.2150
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2050
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.8000
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.2050
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.3000
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.7050
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.7000
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.3050
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7000
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.2950
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.7000
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3000
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.7150
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.2850
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.7100
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.2850
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.7150
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.2850
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 402.17, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.2829, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.4700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2850
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.7150
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.2850
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7150
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.7000
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3000
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.7000
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3000
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6950
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3050
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.6950
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.3050
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.6950
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.6900
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.3100
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.6900
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.3100
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6500
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3500
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.6500
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.3500
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.6500
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.3500
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.3750
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.6200
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4900
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.4850
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 157.94, Sell volume: 6.26, Average price: 0.5624, Price range: 0.4813 - 0.6100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.6600
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.4550
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.6150
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.3900
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.6400
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.3950
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.3450
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.6150
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5100
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.3250
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7850
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2150
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.7850
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.7950
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.1850
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7850
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.1500
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.8600
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.1550
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7750
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.4800
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.6200
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.4100
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.6300
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.3850
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.3700
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5800
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.6250
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.3800
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.6200
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.3750
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5800
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4100
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5850
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.6300
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.3800
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.6300
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 1634.40, Sell volume: 314.04, Average price: 0.5968, Price range: 0.1673 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.6300
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.3750
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.6250
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.3750
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.6250
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.3750
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.6250
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.3700
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.6300
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.3700
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.6300
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.3700
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.6250
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.3750
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.6250
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.3700
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.6450
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.3550
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.6450
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.3550
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.6500
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.3750
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.6250
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.3750
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.6250
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.3700
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.6300
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.3750
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.6250
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.3750
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.6250
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.3750
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.6250
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.3850
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.6150
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.4050
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.6350
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.3700
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.6350
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.4150
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.5700
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.4050
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.6050
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.3300
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.6650
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.3350
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.6650
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.4150
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 3598.59, Sell volume: 550.03, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.5050
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.5050
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.4200
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.6100
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.3300
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.8350
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.1550
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.8050
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.1900
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.8050
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.2000
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.8500
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.1450
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.8800
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.1050
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.1800
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.8100
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.1550
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.8700
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.8850
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.1150
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.8800
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.1150
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.8750
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.1850
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.8550
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.1300
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.8750
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.1800
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9050
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0440
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.9570
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0475
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9595
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0460
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.8930
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0915
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.9070
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0890
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.8990
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9230
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0645
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 17563.96, Sell volume: 1660.39, Average price: 0.4754, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9570

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.1100
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.8905
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0950
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9270
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0665
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0870
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9140
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0915
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9090
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0915
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9170
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9070
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0935
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9650
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0450
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9575
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0360
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9690
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0280
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9710
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0430
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9555
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0415
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9670
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0350
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9655
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0230
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9780
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0195
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9835
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0205
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9650
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0255
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9810
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0265
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.9740
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0430
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9570
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0240
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9865
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9870
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0180
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.9765
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0070
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9800
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0120
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 296, Buy volume: 89201.87, Sell volume: 26987.89, Average price: 0.4607, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5950
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.3000
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.8150
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.1750
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.8200
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.1850
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.8050
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.1950
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.8050
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.1900
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.8100
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.1950
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.1950
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.8050
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.8000
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.2000
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.2000
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.2000
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.8000
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.2000
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.8000
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.2000
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.8100
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.1900
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.8100
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 413.92, Sell volume: 1.23, Average price: 0.6715, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.8100
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.1900
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.1950
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.8050
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.8050
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.1950
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.8050
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.1950
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.8050
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.1950
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.8050
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.8050
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.8050
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.1950
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.1950
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.8050
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.8050
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.1950
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.8050
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.1950
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.8050
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.1950
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.8000
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 23.90, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.8000
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.2000
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.8050
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.1950
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.8050
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.8050
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.1950
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.1950
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.8050
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.8050
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.1950
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.8050
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.1950
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.8050
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.1950
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.6300
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.2950
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.6100
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.3850
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.6450
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.6800
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.2150
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.7900
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.2000
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.9050
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.3600
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3008.55, Sell volume: 1712.48, Average price: 0.3762, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8804
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.3200
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.6650
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.7000
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.3250
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.6750
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.3100
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.6700
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.3400
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.6550
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.3350
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.6650
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.6050
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.2550
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.6550
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.3450
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.6550
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.2850
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.6700
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.2900
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.6750
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.3550
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.6400
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.3150
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.6900
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.3200
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.7000
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.2850
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 316.61, Sell volume: 208.67, Average price: 0.5143, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.2850
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.7150
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.2900
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.7100
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.2900
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.7100
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.2850
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.7150
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.2950
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.7000
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.2850
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.7250
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.2850
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.7200
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.2750
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.7300
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.2700
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.7450
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.6000
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.6150
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.2550
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.8200
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.8100
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.1750
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.8200
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.1900
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.8150
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.1750
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1564.92, Sell volume: 128.63, Average price: 0.5887, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7634
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.1950
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.8200
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.1850
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.1800
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.8350
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.1950
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.8450
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.8050
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.1550
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.8650
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.1350
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.8750
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.1500
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.8550
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.1400
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.8650
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.1500
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.8950
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.1350
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.8650
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.1100
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.8900
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.1400
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.8600
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.1350
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.8600
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.1350
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 231.01, Sell volume: 202.98, Average price: 0.3914, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.8429
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.8550
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.1450
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.8550
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.1400
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.8600
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.1400
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.8600
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.1400
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.8600
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.1350
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.8600
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.1400
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.8550
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.1450
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.8600
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.1450
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.8500
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.1500
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.8600
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.1400
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.8600
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.1450
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.8500
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.1500
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.8500
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9300
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 178.70, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.1995, Price range: 0.0692 - 0.2800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.1900
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.8150
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.1900
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.8100
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.1950
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.7950
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.1950
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.1950
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.1950
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.2050
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.7950
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.2050
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.7050
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.3000
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.7000
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.2950
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.7000
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.2850
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.7100
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.2850
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2850
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.2800
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 402.17, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.2829, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.4700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2850
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.7150
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.3000
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7000
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3000
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6950
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.3050
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.6900
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.3100
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.6850
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3500
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.6500
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.3500
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.3750
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.5100
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.3850
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.5800
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 157.94, Sell volume: 6.26, Average price: 0.5624, Price range: 0.4813 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.6600
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.4600
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4100
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.5450
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.3450
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.6150
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.7600
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.1850
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.1550
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.7850
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5050
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.6200
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.3700
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4800
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.3500
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.6250
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.3800
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5900
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.3850
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.6300
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.6250
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.3750
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 1634.40, Sell volume: 314.04, Average price: 0.5968, Price range: 0.1673 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.6250
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.3750
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.6250
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.3750
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.6300
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.3700
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.6250
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.3750
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.6300
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.3550
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.6500
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.3750
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.6250
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.3750
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.6300
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.3750
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.6250
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.3750
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.6150
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.4050
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.6050
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.4000
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.5600
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.3650
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.6650
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.3350
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.5900
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.4200
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 3598.59, Sell volume: 550.03, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.4850
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.1550
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.8050
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.1950
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.1450
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.8950
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.7850
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.1550
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.8350
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.1150
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.8800
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.1250
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.8550
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.1100
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.8200
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0440
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.9505
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0535
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.8970
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0955
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.8990
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0770
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9255
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0530
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.8940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 17563.96, Sell volume: 1660.39, Average price: 0.4754, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527832
Question: Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?
Volume: 157153.353433
Price History:
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.1100
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9050
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0665
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9160
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.0890
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9090
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0830
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9055
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0565
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.9550
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0360
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9720
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0300
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9580
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0360
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9655
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0220
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9830
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0250
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9745
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0265
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.9570
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0455
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.9835
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0155
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.9765
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0200
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9780
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0165
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 296, Buy volume: 89201.87, Sell volume: 26987.89, Average price: 0.4607, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527833
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy explode?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 99839.13403
Price History:
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.5450
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.4550
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.4200
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.6050
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.1650
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.8350
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.1650
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.8350
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.1650
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.8350
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.1650
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.8350
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.1650
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.8350
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.1650
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.8350
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.1650
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.8350
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.1650
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.8350
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.1650
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.8350
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.1650
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.8350
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.1650
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.8350
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.1650
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.8350
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.1650
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.8350
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.1650
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.8350
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.1650
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.8350
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.1650
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.8350
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.1650
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.8350
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.1650
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.8350
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.1650
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 290.92, Sell volume: 155.20, Average price: 0.5409, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527833
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy explode?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 99839.13403
Price History:
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.1650
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.8350
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.1650
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.8350
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.1650
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.8350
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.1650
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.8350
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.1650
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.8350
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.1650
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.8350
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.1650
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.8350
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.1650
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.8350
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.1650
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.8350
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.1650
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.8350
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.1650
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.8350
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.1650
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.8350
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.1650
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.8350
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.1650
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.8350
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.1650
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.8350
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.1650
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.8350
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.1650
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.8350
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.1650
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.8350
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.1650
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.8350
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.1650
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.8350
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.1650
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.8350
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.1650
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.8350
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.1650
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.8350
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.1650
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.8350
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.1650
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 124.72, Sell volume: 1.19, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527833
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy explode?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 99839.13403
Price History:
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.1650
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.8350
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.1650
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.8350
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.1650
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.8350
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.1650
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.1650
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.1650
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.1650
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.1650
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.1650
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.8350
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.1650
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.8350
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.1650
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.8350
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.1650
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.8350
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.1650
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.8350
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.1650
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.8350
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.1650
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.8350
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.1650
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.8350
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.4800
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.5150
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.4850
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.5100
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.4850
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.5200
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.5150
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.4800
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.5150
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.4850
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.5100
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.4800
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.5150
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.4850
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.5150
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.4850
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 281.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1793, Price range: 0.1793 - 0.1793

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527833
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy explode?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 99839.13403
Price History:
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.5100
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.5150
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.6250
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.3700
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.6200
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.5100
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.4900
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.5100
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.5100
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.4900
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.5100
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.4900
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.5100
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.5100
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.4900
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.5100
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.4900
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.5100
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.4900
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.5100
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.4900
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.5100
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.4900
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.5100
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.4900
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.5100
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.4900
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.5100
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.6400
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.3600
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.6450
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.3550
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.6450
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.3550
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.7700
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.2300
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.7700
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.2750
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.6200
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.5700
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.4550
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.5650
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.4350
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.5650
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.4350
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.5650
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 310.95, Sell volume: 17.64, Average price: 0.4883, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527833
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy explode?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 99839.13403
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.4800
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.5200
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.4800
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.5200
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.4800
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.5200
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.4800
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.5200
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.4800
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.5250
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.5250
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.4750
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.5200
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.4800
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.5200
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.4800
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.5200
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.4800
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.5200
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.4750
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.5250
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.4750
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.5500
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.4500
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.5500
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.4500
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.5500
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.4500
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.5500
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.4500
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.5500
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.4500
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.5500
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.4500
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.3800
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.6150
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.3800
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.6200
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.7000
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.7150
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.2700
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.7800
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.2150
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.7850
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.2200
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.7950
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 988.11, Sell volume: 5.88, Average price: 0.6147, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.8090

Output: No