Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0380
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0425
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0330
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.3170
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0360
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0405
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0425
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0430
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0475
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0375
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0440
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0330
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4060
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.2360
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.2485
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.2450
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.2240
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.1490
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1280
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1350
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.4865
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.4545
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.4465
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.4360
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4230
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.3925
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.2770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 105.56, Sell volume: 1.02, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561639
Question: Will Armenia win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 6817.281714
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 66.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.7550
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.2450
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.7600
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.2350
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.8000
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.2000
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.8000
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.2000
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.7950
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.1950
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.8050
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.1650
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.8350
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.8350
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.1650
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.8350
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.8450
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.1500
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.8500
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.1450
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.8700
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.1300
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9000
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0950
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9150
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0800
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9200
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9200
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9250
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9250
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9250
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9250
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9250
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9200
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.8950
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 5.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7633, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0900
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9100
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0900
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9100
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0900
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9150
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0850
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9150
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0850
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9150
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0850
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9200
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0800
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9200
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0800
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9200
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.1200
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.8900
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1300
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.9000
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0950
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.9050
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0850
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.9150
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0800
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.9200
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0800
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.9200
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0800
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.9200
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0750
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9250
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0750
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.9250
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.9250
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0750
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.9250
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0750
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.9250
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0750
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9250
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0750
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.9250
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0750
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9250
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0750
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9250
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0750
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7252.63, Sell volume: 1447.33, Average price: 0.7955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0500
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9500
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0500
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9500
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0700
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9350
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0500
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.9200
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0800
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9250
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.9250
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.9250
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.9250
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9250
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9250
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9250
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9250
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.9250
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0700
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9300
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0700
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.9300
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0700
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0750
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0750
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7252.63, Sell volume: 1447.33, Average price: 0.7955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9200
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0800
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0800
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9200
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0800
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.0800
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0800
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9250
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.0750
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9200
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0800
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.9200
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0800
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9200
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9050
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9050
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9050
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.9050
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9150
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0850
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0700
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.0750
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 10.30, Average price: 0.3367, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9250
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9250
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9250
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.9250
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0700
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9350
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9350
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0650
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0700
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.9350
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9350
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.0700
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9300
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0700
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9300
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0700
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9300
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9250
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0750
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9250
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9250
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9200
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9200
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9200
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0800
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0800
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0800
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.0800
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0800
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0800
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.9200
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9200
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9200
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0800
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0800
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9200
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9250
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9250
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7252.63, Sell volume: 1447.33, Average price: 0.7955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9250
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9250
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9250
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0750
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9250
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0750
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0750
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9250
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0750
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9250
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0750
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0800
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9200
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0800
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9200
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0800
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.1900
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1300
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9000
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9000
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0950
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9050
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0950
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9150
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9150
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0850
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9100
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0900
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9100
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0900
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9100
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0950
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0950
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9050
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9050
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9150
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0850
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0850
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9200
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9250
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0750
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9250
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0750
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9250
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9250
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9250
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9300
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0700
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9300
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0700
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0700
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9300
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7252.63, Sell volume: 1447.33, Average price: 0.7955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0700
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0700
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9300
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9300
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0650
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0650
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9400
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.4000
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.4300
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.4050
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9600
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0300
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9750
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9830
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9830
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0170
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9830
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0170
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9830
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9830
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9830
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9830
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 246.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9583, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9545
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0455
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0455
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9555
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9590
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0395
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9615
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9615
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9930
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9570
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9555
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9555
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0445
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9620
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9580
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0570
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0555
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9445
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0555
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0515
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9470
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0535
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0540
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9475
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0520
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9485
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0480
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9515
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0485
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9515
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0485
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9515
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0440
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9580
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0520
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9465
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0525
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9525
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0465
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9485
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 234.99, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9580
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0450
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9550
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0450
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9545
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0450
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9620
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0450
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9545
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0450
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9620
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0395
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9580
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0400
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9545
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0455
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9545
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0385
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9545
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9590
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0420
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9580
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0425
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9580
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0420
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9580
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0420
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9580
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0420
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9575
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0425
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9580
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0420
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9580
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0420
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9580
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0420
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9580
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0420
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9580
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0420
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9580
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7252.63, Sell volume: 1447.33, Average price: 0.7955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9705
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0415
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9835
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0195
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9800
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0195
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9595
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0345
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9555
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0270
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9625
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0365
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9625
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0340
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9630
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0390
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9760
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0235
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9845
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0215
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9755
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0245
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0260
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0265
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9735
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0260
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9740
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0260
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9735
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0265
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0265
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0270
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9730
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0270
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9730
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0375
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9660
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9815
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0100
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9655
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0300
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9525
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 3025.20, Sell volume: 1192.04, Average price: 0.7746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.2450
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.2400
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.2150
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.2000
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.2300
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.1950
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.1650
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.1650
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.1550
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.1500
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.1300
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.1000
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0850
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0800
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.1000
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 5.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7633, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0900
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0900
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0900
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0850
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0850
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0850
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0850
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0800
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0800
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.1200
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1300
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0850
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0800
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.0800
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0800
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0800
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0750
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0750
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0750
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0750
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0750
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.0750
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0750
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0750
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0750
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0750
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0750
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0500
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7252.63, Sell volume: 1447.33, Average price: 0.7955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0500
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0500
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0500
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0800
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0700
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0700
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0700
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7252.63, Sell volume: 1447.33, Average price: 0.7955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9200
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0800
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0800
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0800
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9100
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0700
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 10.30, Average price: 0.3367, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9300
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0650
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0700
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9350
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9300
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0700
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9300
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0800
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9200
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0800
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9200
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9200
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9200
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9250
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7252.63, Sell volume: 1447.33, Average price: 0.7955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0750
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9250
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9200
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9200
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.8650
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.1250
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9000
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0950
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0850
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9150
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9100
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0900
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0900
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0900
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9100
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0950
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0950
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0650
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7252.63, Sell volume: 1447.33, Average price: 0.7955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.4000
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9830
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9830
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0170
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0170
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0170
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 246.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9583, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0455
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9555
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9605
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9605
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0385
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9545
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9555
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9620
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9320
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9445
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9495
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9490
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9465
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9475
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9485
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9515
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9525
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9515
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9560
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9480
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9465
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9580
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9485
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9485
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 234.99, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9580
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9585
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9565
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9550
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9550
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9550
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9585
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9580
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9545
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9585
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9595
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9585
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9580
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9575
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9580
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9580
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9580
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9580
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9580
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9580
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9580
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9580
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9580
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9575
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9580
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9580
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7252.63, Sell volume: 1447.33, Average price: 0.7955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561637
Question: Will Hungary win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 8699.95962
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9705
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9810
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9635
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9620
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9730
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9735
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9665
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9665
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9760
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9845
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9840
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9735
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9735
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9740
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9730
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9730
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9625
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9830
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9860
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9665
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9525
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9470
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 3025.20, Sell volume: 1192.04, Average price: 0.7746, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.7550
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.2450
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.7650
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.2350
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.8000
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.2000
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.8000
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.2000
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.8000
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.1950
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.8050
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.1650
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.8350
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.1650
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.8350
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.1650
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.8350
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.8450
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.1500
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.8500
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.1500
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.8700
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.1250
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9050
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0950
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9150
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0800
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9200
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9200
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9250
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9250
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9250
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9250
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9250
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9200
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.1100
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.8950
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0850
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9100
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0900
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9100
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0900
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9150
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0850
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9150
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0850
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9150
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0850
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9200
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0800
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9200
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0800
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9200
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.1400
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.8850
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1350
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.9000
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0950
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.9050
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0850
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.9150
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0850
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.8800
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0950
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.9200
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0900
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.8850
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0700
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9300
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0700
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.9300
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0700
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.9300
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0700
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.9300
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0700
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.9300
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0700
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9300
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0700
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.9300
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0700
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9300
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0700
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9300
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0700
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2921.13, Sell volume: 36.34, Average price: 0.7416, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0500
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9500
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0500
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9500
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0650
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9350
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0500
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.9200
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0800
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9250
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.9250
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.9250
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.9250
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9250
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9250
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9250
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9250
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.9250
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.9200
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.9150
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0800
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9250
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9250
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9250
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9250
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2921.13, Sell volume: 36.34, Average price: 0.7416, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9200
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0750
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0800
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.0800
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0800
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0800
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.0800
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0800
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0800
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9200
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0800
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.0800
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.0750
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0750
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9250
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9100
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9100
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0900
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.9100
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0800
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9200
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0800
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9200
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0800
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9200
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 6.04, Sell volume: 11.34, Average price: 0.4925, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0800
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9200
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9200
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0800
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0800
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0800
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9200
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0800
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9200
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.9400
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9400
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9400
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9400
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0600
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9400
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.9400
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9350
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.9350
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9350
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9350
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.0650
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9350
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9350
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9300
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.0700
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.9300
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.0700
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9250
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9200
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9200
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9200
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0800
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0800
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0800
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.9200
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9200
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0800
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9200
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.0800
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0800
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9200
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0800
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9200
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9200
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0800
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2921.13, Sell volume: 36.34, Average price: 0.7416, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9250
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9250
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9250
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0750
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9250
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0750
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0750
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9250
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9250
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0750
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9250
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9250
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0800
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0800
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9200
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0800
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9200
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0800
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0800
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.8550
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.8800
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.1000
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9000
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.1050
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.1050
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9150
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9100
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9050
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9050
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0950
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0950
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9050
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0950
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9050
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9050
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9050
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9250
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0750
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9250
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9300
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9300
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0700
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2921.13, Sell volume: 36.34, Average price: 0.7416, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9350
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9350
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0650
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0650
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9350
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0650
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9350
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0650
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9350
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0650
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0650
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9350
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0650
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9350
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0650
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0650
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0650
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9350
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0600
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9350
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9350
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9350
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9350
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2921.13, Sell volume: 36.34, Average price: 0.7416, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0650
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0650
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9350
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0650
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9350
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9350
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9350
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9350
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9350
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0650
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9400
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0900
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9400
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0400
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0400
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.5300
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9595
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9595
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9590
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0410
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0410
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0465
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9585
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0455
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0415
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9585
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0415
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9585
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0415
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9575
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0430
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0430
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9570
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0435
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0405
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0375
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9665
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0335
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0335
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0335
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9665
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0335
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0335
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0335
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0335
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0335
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0335
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9665
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9750
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0250
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9750
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0250
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9750
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9745
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9745
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0255
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9745
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0255
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9745
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0255
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9745
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0245
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9755
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0245
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9805
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.0045, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0080

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2921.13, Sell volume: 36.34, Average price: 0.7416, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9920
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9920
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9930
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.2450
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.2350
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.2250
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.2000
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.2100
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.1950
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.1650
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.1650
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.1650
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.1550
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.1500
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.1300
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0950
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0850
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0800
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0750
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0800
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0800
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0850
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0900
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0900
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0850
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0850
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0850
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0850
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0800
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0800
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.1400
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1350
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0850
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0850
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.1200
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0800
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.1150
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0700
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0700
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0700
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0700
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0700
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.0700
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0700
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0700
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0700
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0700
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0700
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0500
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2921.13, Sell volume: 36.34, Average price: 0.7416, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0500
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0500
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0500
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0500
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0800
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0750
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0800
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2921.13, Sell volume: 36.34, Average price: 0.7416, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9250
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9100
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0900
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0800
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 6.04, Sell volume: 11.34, Average price: 0.4925, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9200
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9400
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.9400
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9400
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0650
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0650
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0650
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0650
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0700
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0700
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0800
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9200
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9200
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9200
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9200
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9200
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2921.13, Sell volume: 36.34, Average price: 0.7416, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9250
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0750
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9250
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9250
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9200
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0800
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.1450
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.1250
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.1000
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.1050
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9100
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0900
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0950
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0950
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9050
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0950
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0950
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9250
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0700
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0700
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0700
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0700
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2921.13, Sell volume: 36.34, Average price: 0.7416, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0650
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0650
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0650
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0650
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0600
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2921.13, Sell volume: 36.34, Average price: 0.7416, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0650
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0650
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0650
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0400
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.5850
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.5250
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0360
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9585
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0410
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9535
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0415
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0415
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9585
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0415
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9585
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9575
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0430
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0435
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0375
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9665
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9665
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0335
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0335
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0335
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0335
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9665
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0250
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0250
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0255
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0255
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0255
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0245
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0215
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.0045, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0080
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 2921.13, Sell volume: 36.34, Average price: 0.7416, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561638
Question: Will Republic of Ireland win UEFA Group F for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 2957.47295
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0080
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 530, Buy volume: 3220.53, Sell volume: 214.43, Average price: 0.7206, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.1500
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4775, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9760
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.8100
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.7995
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.7995
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.2005
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.2000
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.1950
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.8110
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.1665
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.7995
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.8075
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.1965
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.8070
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.8070
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.1980
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.1835
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.1985
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.1985
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.1985
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.8035
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.8095
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.8050
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.1950
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.1980
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.8020
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.8020
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.8020
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8020
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.8020
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.1980
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.1980
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.8020
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.8020
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.1980
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.8020
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.1980
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.1980
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.1980
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.8020
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.8020
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.8020
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.8020
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.8020
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.8020
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.8020
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.8020
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8020
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.8020
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.1980
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.1980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 14.46, Sell volume: 21.64, Average price: 0.2605, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.6362

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1980
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.8020
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.1980
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1980
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.1980
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1980
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.8020
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.1980
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.8020
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.8020
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.8020
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.8020
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.8020
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.8015
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.1985
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.8015
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.8015
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.4980
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.4985
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.4985
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.4985
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.4985
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.4985
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.4985
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.4985
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.4985
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.5015
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.4985
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.5175
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.4985
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.5015
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.5015
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.5015
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.5015
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.4985
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.4985
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.4985
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.4985
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.4975
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.2240
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.2240
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.2240
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.7765
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.7765
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.2235
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.7765
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.2235
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.2235
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.7765
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.7765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 530, Buy volume: 3220.53, Sell volume: 214.43, Average price: 0.7206, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.7765
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.2235
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.2235
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.7765
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.2235
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.2235
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.2235
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.2235
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.7765
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.2005
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.2010
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.2010
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.2010
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.7990
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.7990
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.7990
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.7990
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.7990
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.7990
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.2010
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.2010
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.2010
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.7990
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.2010
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.2010
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.2010
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.2010
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.2010
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.2010
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.2010
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.2010
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.2010
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.7990
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.7990
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.7990
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.7990
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.7990
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.7990
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.7990
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.7990
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.7990
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.7990
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.7990
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.7990
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.7990
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.7990
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.7990
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.7990
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.4870
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 530, Buy volume: 3220.53, Sell volume: 214.43, Average price: 0.7206, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.5125
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.5125
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.4875
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.4875
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.4875
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.4875
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.5060
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.4940
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.5065
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.4990
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.4930
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.4930
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.4920
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.4930
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.4975
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.5075
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.4925
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.4960
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.4960
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.5040
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.5010
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.4995
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.5030
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.5010
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.5040
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.5025
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.5045
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.4965
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.5040
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.5040
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.5040
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.5040
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.5040
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.5040
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.5040
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.5035
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.5030
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5035
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5035
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4970
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 530, Buy volume: 3220.53, Sell volume: 214.43, Average price: 0.7206, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5030
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4970
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5030
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4945
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5090
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4960
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4910
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.4910
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5040
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5045
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5030
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5030
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5030
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5125
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.4875
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4875
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.5125
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.5035
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.4965
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.5155
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.5255
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.4775
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.4730
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.5365
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.5415
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.5365
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.4630
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.4635
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.4565
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.4580
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.5430
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.5530
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.5380
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.5340
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.5335
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.4700
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.5505
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.5505
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.4495
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.4470
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.4490
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4500
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.4490
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.5510
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.4490
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.4310
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.5720
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.5760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 57.98, Average price: 0.0025, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0050

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.5760
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4240
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.5760
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.4240
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.5760
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.5760
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.4240
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.4240
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.4245
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.5755
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.4245
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.4220
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.5790
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.4210
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.5890
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.5890
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.5890
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.5890
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.5895
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.4110
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.4110
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.4060
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.6070
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.6070
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.6070
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.6130
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.6465
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.7175
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.7175
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.2825
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.2825
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.7165
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.2835
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.7165
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.2835
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.7165
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.2835
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.2835
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.2835
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2835
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.7165
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2835
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.2835
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7165
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.7165
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.7165
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.7160
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.7200
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.7200
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.7190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.0220, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.0220

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.7205
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.7205
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.7205
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.7210
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.2790
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.7210
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.7215
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.7215
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.7215
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.7230
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.7190
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.7190
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.2810
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7190
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.7295
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7295
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7295
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7295
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7295
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.7295
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.7295
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.7295
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.7405
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.7395
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.7755
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.7755
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.7755
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.7755
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.7755
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.7755
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.7755
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.7755
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.7755
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.7755
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.7755
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.7755
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.7755
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.7755
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.7755
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.7755
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.7755
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.7755
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.7755
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.7755
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.7755
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.7755
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.7755
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.7755
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.7770
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.7770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9915, Price range: 0.9870 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.7765
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.7770
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.7770
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.7770
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.7770
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.7770
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.7770
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.7770
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.7770
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.7770
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.7770
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.7765
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.7640
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.7640
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.7640
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.7640
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.7640
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.7640
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.7640
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.5435
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.5555
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.5575
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.5580
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.5580
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.5580
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.5360
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.5405
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.5485
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.5485
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5495
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5580
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5575
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5575
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5595
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.5975
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.6225
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.6475
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.6910
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7255
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7665
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.7855
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.8035
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.8365
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9415
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 6.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9640, Price range: 0.9640 - 0.9640

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9640
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9640
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9640
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9640
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9640
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9640
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9640
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5520
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.7580
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.7580
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.7590
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.7635
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7690
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7740
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7795
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.7840
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.7885
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.7935
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7985
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.8035
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.8085
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.8130
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.8180
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.8230
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.8285
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8330
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8385
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.8430
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.8440
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8440
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8440
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8440
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8440
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8440
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8440
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8440
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8440
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8440
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8440
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8440
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8365
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8365
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8365
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8365
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8370
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8405
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8445
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.8490
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.8530
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.8575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 27.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0370, Price range: 0.0370 - 0.0370

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.8645
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.8690
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.8735
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.8780
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.8820
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.8860
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.8865
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.8880
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.8925
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.8970
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9000
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9095
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9140
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9185
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9230
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9280
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9325
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9365
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9360
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9360
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9360
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9360
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9360
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9360
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9360
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9360
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9330
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9330
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9330
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9330
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9330
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9330
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9330
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9330
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9330
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9330
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9330
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.8355
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.7715
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.7720
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.7725
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.6005
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.5040
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.6005
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.6005
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.7210
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.4880
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.4885
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.4890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 508, Buy volume: 3150.15, Sell volume: 119.81, Average price: 0.7342, Price range: 0.0244 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.2600
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 530, Buy volume: 3220.53, Sell volume: 214.43, Average price: 0.7206, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555483
Question: Will Australia win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 3434.963636
Price History:
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4775, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes