Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.5300
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.4700
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.5300
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.4700
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.5300
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.4700
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.7550
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.2450
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.7550
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.2450
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.7550
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.2450
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.6550
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.3450
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.6550
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.3450
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.6450
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.3550
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.6400
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.3600
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.4050
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.5950
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.4150
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 175.20, Sell volume: 44.80, Average price: 0.4943, Price range: 0.4786 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.3150
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.6850
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.3150
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.6850
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.3150
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.6850
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.3150
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.6850
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.2850
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.2750
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.7250
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.2750
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.7250
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.4050
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.5950
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.5050
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.3450
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.6550
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.3450
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.6550
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.3450
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.5450
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.4550
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.5650
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.4350
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.5650
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.5650
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.4350
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.5650
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.4350
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.6700
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.6600
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.3400
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.6600
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.3400
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.6600
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.3400
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.6600
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.3400
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.6600
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.3400
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.6500
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.3500
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.6550
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.3450
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.6550
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.3450
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.6450
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.3550
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.6450
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.3550
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.6450
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.3550
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.6300
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.6300
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.3700
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.6450
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.3550
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.6200
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.3800
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.6450
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.3550
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.6250
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.3750
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.6450
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.3550
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.6300
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.3700
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.6450
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.3550
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.6350
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.3650
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.6300
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.3700
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.6250
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.3750
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.6250
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.3750
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.6250
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.6250
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.6150
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.3850
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.6150
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.3850
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.6300
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.3700
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.6450
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.3550
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.6450
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.6400
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.3600
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.5650
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.4350
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.6100
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.3900
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.6050
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.3950
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.4000
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.6000
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.4000
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.6000
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.6000
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.4000
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.4550
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.5450
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.3900
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.6100
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.3400
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.6600
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.3400
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.6600
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.3600
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.6400
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.3300
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.6700
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.3400
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.6600
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.3400
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.6600
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.3750
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.3750
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.6250
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.3750
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.6250
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.6200
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.6200
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.6200
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.6200
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.6200
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.6200
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.6200
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.6200
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.3800
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.6200
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.3800
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.6200
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.3800
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 832.15, Sell volume: 107.80, Average price: 0.7082, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525438
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Seat 3+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 939.95
Price History:
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.3800
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.6200
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.3500
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.6500
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.3150
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.6850
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.4350
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.5650
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.4150
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5850
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.4050
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.5950
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.5100
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.4900
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.4300
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.5700
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.4000
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.6000
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.3850
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.6150
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0450
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9550
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 552.15, Sell volume: 63.00, Average price: 0.7681, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.3750
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.6250
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.3900
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.6100
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.3900
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.6100
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5250
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4750
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5250
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4750
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.5250
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5400
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.4600
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5550
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4450
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.7550
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.2450
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.8050
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.1950
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.7550
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.2450
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.7600
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.2400
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.7550
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 360.00, Sell volume: 125.00, Average price: 0.4272, Price range: 0.2556 - 0.5400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.6850
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.3150
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.6800
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.3200
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.6750
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.7000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.3000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.7000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.3000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.6750
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.7400
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.2600
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.4350
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5650
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.4350
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.5650
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.4750
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 245.00, Average price: 0.1761, Price range: 0.1761 - 0.1761

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.4850
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.5150
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.4700
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.5300
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.4800
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.5200
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.4800
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.5200
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.4750
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.5250
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.4900
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.5100
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.5500
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.4500
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.5500
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.4500
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.5500
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.4500
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.5650
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1972.40, Sell volume: 1579.98, Average price: 0.4481, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.5600
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.4400
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.5650
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.4350
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.5650
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.4350
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.5650
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.4350
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.6900
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.3100
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.6850
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.6900
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.3100
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1972.40, Sell volume: 1579.98, Average price: 0.4481, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.5500
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.4500
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.5650
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.4350
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.5700
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.4300
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.5750
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.4250
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.5850
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.4150
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.5850
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.4150
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.5950
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.4050
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.5600
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.4400
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.4700
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.5300
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.5150
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1972.40, Sell volume: 1579.98, Average price: 0.4481, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.5050
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.5150
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.4700
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.5300
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.4950
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.5050
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.5150
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.4850
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.5250
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.4750
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.5300
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.4700
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.4800
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.5200
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.4800
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.5200
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1972.40, Sell volume: 1579.98, Average price: 0.4481, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.5900
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.4100
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.5400
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.5550
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.4450
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.5550
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.4450
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.5400
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.4600
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.5450
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.5500
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.4500
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.5450
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.4550
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.5400
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.4600
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.5500
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1972.40, Sell volume: 1579.98, Average price: 0.4481, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.5550
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.4450
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.5300
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.4700
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.5900
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.4100
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.5550
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.4450
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.5550
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.4450
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.5300
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.4700
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.5500
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.4500
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.5300
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.4700
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 165.00, Average price: 0.4165, Price range: 0.4165 - 0.4165

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.5900
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.4100
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.4050
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.5950
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1972.40, Sell volume: 1579.98, Average price: 0.4481, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.6000
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.4000
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.5950
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.4050
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.6000
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.4000
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.6000
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.4000
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.5850
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 34.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4100, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.4100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.5850
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.4150
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.5850
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.4150
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.6500
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.6850
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.3150
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.6900
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.3100
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.6850
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.3150
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.6900
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.3100
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.7350
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2650
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.7350
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.2650
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.6850
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.3150
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.6900
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.3100
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1563.00, Sell volume: 1027.50, Average price: 0.4720, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.3750
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.6250
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.3900
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.6100
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.3900
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.6100
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5250
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4750
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5250
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4750
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.5250
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5400
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.4600
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5550
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4450
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.7550
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.2450
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.8050
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.1950
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.7550
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.2450
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.7600
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.2400
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.7550
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 360.00, Sell volume: 125.00, Average price: 0.4272, Price range: 0.2556 - 0.5400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.6850
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.3150
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.6800
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.3200
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.6750
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.7000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.3000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.7000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.3000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.6750
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.3250
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.7400
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.2600
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.4350
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5650
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.4350
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.5650
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.4750
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 245.00, Average price: 0.1761, Price range: 0.1761 - 0.1761
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.4850
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.5150
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.4700
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.5300
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.3500
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.4800
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.5200
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.4800
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.5200
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.4750
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.5250
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.4900
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.5100
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.5500
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.4500
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.5500
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.4500
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.5500
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.4500
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.5650
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1972.40, Sell volume: 1579.98, Average price: 0.4481, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.5600
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.4400
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.5650
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.4350
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.5650
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.4350
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.5650
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.4350
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.6900
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.3100
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.6850
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.6900
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.3100
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1972.40, Sell volume: 1579.98, Average price: 0.4481, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.5500
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.4500
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.5650
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.4350
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.5700
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.4300
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.5750
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.4250
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.5850
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.4150
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.5850
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.4150
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.5950
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.4050
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.5600
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.4400
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.4700
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.5300
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.5150
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1972.40, Sell volume: 1579.98, Average price: 0.4481, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.5050
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.5150
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.4700
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.5300
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.4950
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.5050
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.5150
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.4850
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.5250
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.4750
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.5300
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.4700
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.4800
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.5200
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.4800
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.5200
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1972.40, Sell volume: 1579.98, Average price: 0.4481, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.5900
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.4100
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.5400
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.5550
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.4450
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.5550
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.4450
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.5400
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.4600
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.5450
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.5500
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.4500
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.5450
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.4550
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.5400
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.4600
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.5500
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1972.40, Sell volume: 1579.98, Average price: 0.4481, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.5550
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.4450
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.5300
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.4700
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.5900
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.4100
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.5550
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.4450
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.5550
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.4450
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.5300
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.4700
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.5500
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.4500
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.5300
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.4700
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 165.00, Average price: 0.4165, Price range: 0.4165 - 0.4165
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.4200
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.5900
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.4100
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.5950
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.4050
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.5800
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.5950
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1972.40, Sell volume: 1579.98, Average price: 0.4481, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.5800
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.4200
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.6000
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.4000
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.5950
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.4050
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.6000
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.4000
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.6000
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.4000
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.5850
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 34.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4100, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.4100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525439
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Common Sense 2+ times during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3552.384952
Price History:
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.5850
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.4150
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.5850
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.4150
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.6500
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.6850
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.3150
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.6900
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.3100
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.6850
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.3150
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.6900
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.3100
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.7350
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2650
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.7350
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.2650
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.6850
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.3150
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.6900
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.3100
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1563.00, Sell volume: 1027.50, Average price: 0.4720, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.4800
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.5200
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4800
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4800
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5200
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.3500
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.6500
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5550
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.4450
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5550
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.5500
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.4500
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.5400
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.4600
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.5300
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.4700
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.5050
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.4950
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.4900
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.4600
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.5400
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.3950
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.6050
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.5250
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.4750
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.4950
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.5050
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.4300
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.5700
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.3850
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.6150
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.5400
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.4600
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.5500
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.4500
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.5600
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.4400
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.5350
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.4650
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.5050
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.5050
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.5150
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.3950
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.6250
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.3750
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.6250
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.3750
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.6300
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6000, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.6300
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.3700
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.6200
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.3800
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.6200
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.3800
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.6350
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.3650
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.6300
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.3700
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.6300
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.3700
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.6200
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.3800
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.6350
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.3650
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.6350
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.3650
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.6950
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.6950
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.3050
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.6900
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.3100
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.6900
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.3100
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.6900
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.3100
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.6900
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7450, Price range: 0.7450 - 0.7450

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.6900
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.3100
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.6550
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.6550
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.6550
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.6550
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.6550
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.7400
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.2600
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7400
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.2600
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.7400
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.2600
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.7400
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.2600
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.8300
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.1700
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.6850
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.3150
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.1900
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.8100
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 136.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7204, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.4800
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.5200
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4800
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4800
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5200
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.3500
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.6500
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5550
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.4450
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5550
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.5550
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.4450
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.5500
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.4500
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.5400
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.4600
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.5350
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.4650
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.5300
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.4700
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.5050
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.4950
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.4900
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.4600
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.5400
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.3950
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.6050
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.5250
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.4750
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.4950
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.5050
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.4300
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.5700
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.3850
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.6150
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.5400
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.4600
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.5500
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.4500
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.5600
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.4400
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.5350
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.4650
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.5050
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.4950
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.5050
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.5150
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.3950
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.5100
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.4900
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.6250
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.3750
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.6250
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.3750
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.6300
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6000, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.6300
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.3700
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.6200
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.3800
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.6200
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.3800
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.6350
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.3650
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.6300
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.3700
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.6300
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.3700
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.6200
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.3800
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.6350
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.3650
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.6350
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.3650
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.6250
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.3750
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.6950
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.6950
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.3050
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.6900
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.3100
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.6900
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.3100
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.6900
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.3100
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.6900
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7450, Price range: 0.7450 - 0.7450
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.6900
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.3100
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.3500
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.6500
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.6550
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.6550
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.6550
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.6550
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 241.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6697, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525440
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Linda or McMahon during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 241.0
Price History:
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.6550
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.6550
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.3450
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.7400
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.2600
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7400
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.2600
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.7400
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.2600
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.7400
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.2600
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.8300
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.1700
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.6850
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.3150
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.1900
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.8100
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 136.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7204, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3378.61, Sell volume: 57.00, Average price: 0.5860, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.4350
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.5650
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.4550
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.5450
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4950
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5050
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.4400
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.5600
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.4550
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.5450
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.4950
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.5050
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.4050
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7700, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.4350
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5650
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.4550
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5450
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.3950
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.6050
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5850
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.6300
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.3700
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.6250
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.3750
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.6300
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.3700
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.6300
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.3700
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.6250
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.3750
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.6250
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3378.61, Sell volume: 57.00, Average price: 0.5860, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.6200
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.3800
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.6150
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.3850
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.6800
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.3200
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.6800
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.3200
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.7100
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.2900
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.6800
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.3200
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.7100
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.2900
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.6900
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.3100
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.7100
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.7100
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.2900
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.6900
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.3100
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.7050
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.2950
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.7000
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.3000
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.2950
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.7100
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.2900
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.7100
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3378.61, Sell volume: 57.00, Average price: 0.5860, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.7100
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.2900
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.5850
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.4150
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.6000
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.4000
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.6200
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.3800
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.6300
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.3700
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.5850
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 27.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3473, Price range: 0.3473 - 0.3473

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.5900
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.4100
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.6000
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.4000
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.6100
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.3900
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.5750
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.4250
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.5850
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.4150
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.6000
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.6100
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.3900
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.5900
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.4100
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.6150
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.3850
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.5450
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3378.61, Sell volume: 57.00, Average price: 0.5860, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.5500
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.4500
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.5450
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.4550
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.5500
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.4500
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.4350
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.5650
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.4350
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.5650
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.4350
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.5650
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.4350
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.5650
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.4350
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.5650
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.4450
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.5550
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.4450
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.5550
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.4450
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.4450
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.5550
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.4450
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5800, Price range: 0.5800 - 0.5800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.4350
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.5650
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.4450
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.5550
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.4350
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.5650
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.5350
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.4650
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.5350
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.4650
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.5300
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.4700
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.5300
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.4700
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.5300
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.4700
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.3850
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.6150
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.4300
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.5700
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.4300
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.5700
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.4300
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.4400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.4300
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.5700
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.4300
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.5700
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.4300
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.5700
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.4300
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.5700
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.4600
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5400
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.4500
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.5500
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.5600
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.5250
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.6050
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.3950
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.6050
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.3950
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.6050
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.3950
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.5700
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.4300
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.5700
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 45.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.4400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.5700
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.4300
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.4900
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.5100
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.4900
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.5100
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.4350
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.5650
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.4350
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.5650
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.4600
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.5400
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.4350
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.5650
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.4350
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3378.61, Sell volume: 57.00, Average price: 0.5860, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.4450
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5550
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.5950
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.4050
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.5950
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.4050
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.5950
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.4050
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.4400
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.5600
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.4250
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.5750
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.5950
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.4050
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.5600
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 493.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5750, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.5650
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.4350
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.5650
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.4350
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.5600
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.4400
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.5950
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.4050
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5600
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.4400
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.5600
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.4400
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.5850
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.4150
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.4300
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.5700
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.4700
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.5300
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.5550
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2777.93, Sell volume: 32.00, Average price: 0.6102, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4900
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.5100
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3378.61, Sell volume: 57.00, Average price: 0.5860, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5850
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.4350
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.5650
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.4550
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.5450
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4950
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5050
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.4400
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.5600
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.4550
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.5450
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.4950
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.5050
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.4050
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7700, Price range: 0.7700 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.4200
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5800
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.4350
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5650
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.4550
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5450
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.4900
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5100
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.3950
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.6050
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.4150
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5850
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.6300
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.3700
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.6250
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.3750
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.6300
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.3700
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.6300
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.3700
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.6250
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.3750
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.6250
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3378.61, Sell volume: 57.00, Average price: 0.5860, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.6200
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.3800
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.6150
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.3850
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.6800
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.3200
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.6800
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.3200
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.7100
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.2900
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.6750
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.3250
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.6950
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.6800
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.3200
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.7100
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.2900
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.6900
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.3100
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.7100
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.7100
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.2900
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.6900
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.3100
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.7050
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.2950
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.7000
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.3000
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.7050
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.2950
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.7100
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.2900
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.7100
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3378.61, Sell volume: 57.00, Average price: 0.5860, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.7100
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.2900
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.7150
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.2850
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.5850
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.4150
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.6000
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.4000
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.6200
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.3800
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.6300
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.3700
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.5850
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 27.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3473, Price range: 0.3473 - 0.3473
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.5900
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.4100
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.6000
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.4000
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.6100
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.3900
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.5750
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.4250
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.5850
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.4150
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.6000
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.4000
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.6100
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.3900
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.5900
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.4100
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.5950
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.4050
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.6050
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.3950
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.6150
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.3850
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.5450
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3378.61, Sell volume: 57.00, Average price: 0.5860, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.5500
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.4500
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.5450
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.4550
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.5500
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.4500
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.4350
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.5650
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.4350
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.5650
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.4350
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.5650
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.4350
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.5650
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.4350
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.5650
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.4450
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.5550
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.4450
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.5550
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.4450
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.5550
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.4450
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.5550
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.4450
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5800, Price range: 0.5800 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.4350
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.5650
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.4450
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.5550
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.4350
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.5650
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.5350
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.4650
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.5350
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.4650
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.5300
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.4700
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.5300
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.4700
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.5300
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.4700
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.3850
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.6150
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.4250
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.5750
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.4300
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.5700
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.4300
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.5700
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.4300
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.4400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.4300
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.5700
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.4300
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.5700
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.4300
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.5700
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.4300
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.5700
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.4600
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5400
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.4500
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.5500
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.5600
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.5250
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.6050
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.3950
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.6050
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.3950
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.6050
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.3950
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.5700
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.4300
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.5700
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 45.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.4400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.5700
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.4300
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.4900
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.5100
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.4900
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.5100
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.4350
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.5650
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.4350
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.5650
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.4600
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.5400
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.5750
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.4250
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.4350
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.5650
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.4350
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3378.61, Sell volume: 57.00, Average price: 0.5860, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.4450
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.5550
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.5950
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.4050
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.5950
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.4050
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.5950
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.4050
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.5900
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.4100
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.4400
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.5600
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.4250
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.5750
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.5950
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.4050
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.5600
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 493.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5750, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525441
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Rare earth during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Volume: 3435.606809
Price History:
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.5550
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.5650
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.4350
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.5650
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.4350
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.5600
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.4400
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.5950
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.4050
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.5600
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.4400
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.5600
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.4400
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.5850
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.4150
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.4300
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.5700
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.4700
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.5300
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.5550
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.4450
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2777.93, Sell volume: 32.00, Average price: 0.6102, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525446
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4464.592221
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.3000
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.3000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.2950
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.7050
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.2950
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.7050
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.1750
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.1750
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.1100
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.8900
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.1700
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2940.59, Sell volume: 1524.00, Average price: 0.8549, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525446
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4464.592221
Price History:
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.2100
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.7900
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.1700
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.8300
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.1700
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.8300
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.2950
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.7050
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.2950
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.7050
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.2950
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.7050
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.2950
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.7050
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.2950
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.7050
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.2950
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.7050
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.2950
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 24.00, Sell volume: 24.00, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525446
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4464.592221
Price History:
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.2950
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.7050
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.3000
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.7000
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2940.59, Sell volume: 1524.00, Average price: 0.8549, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525446
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4464.592221
Price History:
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.5050
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.4950
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2940.59, Sell volume: 1524.00, Average price: 0.8549, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525446
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4464.592221
Price History:
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.5000
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.4550
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.5450
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.4550
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.5450
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.4550
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.5450
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.4550
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.5450
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.4550
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.5450
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.4550
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.5450
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.4550
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.5450
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.3200
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2940.59, Sell volume: 1524.00, Average price: 0.8549, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525446
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say Drone during next White House press briefing?-02262025
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4464.592221
Price History:
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.4500
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.5500
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.4500
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.5500
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.4500
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.5500
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.3150
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.6850
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.6950
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.3050
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2940.59, Sell volume: 1524.00, Average price: 0.8549, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes