Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532793
Question: Will Pieter Mullier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 83.128481
Price History:
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0700
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0700
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0700
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0700
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.2300
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.1800
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.1800
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.1800
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.1850
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.1850
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.1850
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.2300
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.1800
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.1800
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.73, Average price: 0.6350, Price range: 0.6300 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532793
Question: Will Pieter Mullier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 83.128481
Price History:
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.8200
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.8200
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.8200
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.8200
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.8200
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.8200
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.8200
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.8200
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.8200
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.8200
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.8200
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.55, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532793
Question: Will Pieter Mullier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 83.128481
Price History:
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 75.81, Sell volume: 7.32, Average price: 0.7368, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532793
Question: Will Pieter Mullier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 83.128481
Price History:
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 75.81, Sell volume: 7.32, Average price: 0.7368, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532793
Question: Will Pieter Mullier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 83.128481
Price History:
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.52, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532793
Question: Will Pieter Mullier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 83.128481
Price History:
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 75.81, Sell volume: 7.32, Average price: 0.7368, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532793
Question: Will Pieter Mullier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 83.128481
Price History:
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 75.81, Sell volume: 7.32, Average price: 0.7368, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532793
Question: Will Pieter Mullier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 83.128481
Price History:
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532793
Question: Will Pieter Mullier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 83.128481
Price History:
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 75.81, Sell volume: 7.32, Average price: 0.7368, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.6150
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.4850
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.5150
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.2650
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.3100
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.8200
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.1800
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9650
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.1050
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.8950
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102360365.24, Sell volume: 8795924.94, Average price: 0.8437, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0600
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9400
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0550
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9450
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9350
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 809190, Buy volume: 66652315.79, Sell volume: 6878334.78, Average price: 0.8373, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9450
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0550
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9495
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0505
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9605
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0395
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9650
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0350
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0340
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9660
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9615
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0385
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0475
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9525
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0385
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9615
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0330
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56173, Buy volume: 13322821.39, Sell volume: 1405721.98, Average price: 0.9586, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0325
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9675
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9680
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0320
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0330
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9670
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0320
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9680
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0345
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9655
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0440
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9560
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0405
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9595
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0420
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9580
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0260
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 228, Buy volume: 68543.85, Sell volume: 14747.14, Average price: 0.8062, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0145
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9855
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0155
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9845
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0310
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9690
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0405
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9595
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0115
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9885
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9930
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0045
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 262, Buy volume: 100232.45, Sell volume: 25944.16, Average price: 0.8439, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0080
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9920
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0225
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9775
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 161055.42, Sell volume: 165730.50, Average price: 0.5364, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 10150.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.1436, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 135286.18, Sell volume: 1321.48, Average price: 0.6712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 14006.96, Sell volume: 689.99, Average price: 0.6664, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3599.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0018, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 660.00, Sell volume: 25.06, Average price: 0.4997, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102360365.24, Sell volume: 8795924.94, Average price: 0.8437, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 40000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.6150
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.4850
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.5150
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.2650
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.3100
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.8200
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.1800
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9650
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0350
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.1050
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.8950
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102360365.24, Sell volume: 8795924.94, Average price: 0.8437, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0600
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9400
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0550
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9450
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9350
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 809190, Buy volume: 66652315.79, Sell volume: 6878334.78, Average price: 0.8373, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9450
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0550
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9495
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0505
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9605
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0395
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9650
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0350
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0340
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9660
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9615
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0385
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0475
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9525
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0385
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9615
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0330
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56173, Buy volume: 13322821.39, Sell volume: 1405721.98, Average price: 0.9586, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0325
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9675
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9680
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0320
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0330
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9670
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0320
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9680
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0345
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9655
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0440
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9560
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0405
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9595
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0420
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9580
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0260
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 228, Buy volume: 68543.85, Sell volume: 14747.14, Average price: 0.8062, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0145
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9855
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0155
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9845
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0310
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9690
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0405
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9595
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0115
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9885
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9930
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0045
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 262, Buy volume: 100232.45, Sell volume: 25944.16, Average price: 0.8439, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0080
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9920
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0225
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9775
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 161055.42, Sell volume: 165730.50, Average price: 0.5364, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 10150.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.1436, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 135286.18, Sell volume: 1321.48, Average price: 0.6712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 14006.96, Sell volume: 689.99, Average price: 0.6664, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3599.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0018, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 660.00, Sell volume: 25.06, Average price: 0.4997, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102360365.24, Sell volume: 8795924.94, Average price: 0.8437, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590860
Question: Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
Volume: 1151281.577372
Price History:
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 40000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.5250
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.8000
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.8000
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.2000
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.8000
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.2200
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.7800
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.2200
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.7800
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.7800
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.2200
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.7800
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.2200
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.7800
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.2200
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.7800
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.2200
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.7800
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.2200
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.7800
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.2200
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.7850
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.2150
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.7900
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.2150
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.7850
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.2100
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.7800
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.2100
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.7900
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.2100
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.7850
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.2150
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.7850
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.2200
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.7800
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.2200
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.7800
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.2200
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.7800
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 4.00, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.7800
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.2200
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.7850
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.2150
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.7850
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.2100
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.7900
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.2100
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.7900
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.2050
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.8000
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.2100
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.7850
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.2150
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.7850
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.2150
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.7950
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.2150
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.7900
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.2050
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.7900
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.2150
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.7900
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.2100
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.7850
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.2200
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.7800
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.2200
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.7800
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.2200
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.7800
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.2200
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.7800
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.2200
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.7800
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.2200
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.7800
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.2200
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.7800
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.2200
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.7800
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.2200
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.7800
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.2200
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.7800
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.2200
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.7800
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.2100
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.7900
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.2100
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.7850
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.2200
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.7800
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.2200
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.7800
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.2200
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.7800
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.2200
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.7800
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.2200
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.7800
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.2200
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.7800
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.2200
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.7800
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.2200
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.7800
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.2200
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.7850
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.2050
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.7950
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.2150
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.7900
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.2100
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.7850
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.2050
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.7950
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.7950
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.7950
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.7950
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.7950
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.7950
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.7950
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.7950
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.7950
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.2050
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.7950
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.2050
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.7950
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.2050
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.2050
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.2050
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.2050
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.2050
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.2050
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.2050
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.2050
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.2050
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.7950
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.2050
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.7950
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.2050
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.2050
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.7950
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.2050
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.7950
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.2050
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.7950
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.2050
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.7950
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.2050
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.7950
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.2050
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.7950
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.2050
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.7950
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.2050
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.2050
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.7950
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.2050
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.7950
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.2050
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.7950
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.2050
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.7950
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.2050
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.7950
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.2050
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.7950
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.2050
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.7950
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.2050
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7950
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.2050
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.7950
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.2050
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.7950
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.2050
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.7950
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.7950
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.2050
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.7950
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.2050
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.7950
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.2050
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.7950
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.2050
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.7950
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.2050
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.7950
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.2050
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.7950
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.2050
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.7950
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.7950
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.2050
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.7950
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.2050
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.7950
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.2050
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.7950
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.2050
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.7950
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.2050
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.7950
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.2050
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.7950
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.2050
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.7950
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.7950
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.2050
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.7950
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.2050
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.7950
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.2050
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.7950
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.2050
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.7950
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.2050
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.7950
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.2050
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.7950
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.2050
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.2050
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.2050
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.2050
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.2050
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.2050
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.2050
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.2050
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.2050
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.7950
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.2050
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.7950
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.7500
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7500
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.60, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.7500
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.7500
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.4750
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.2000
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.2200
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.2200
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.2200
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.2200
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.2200
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.2200
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.2200
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.2200
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.2150
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.2150
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.2100
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.2100
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.2100
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.2150
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.2200
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.2200
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.2200
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.2200
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.2200
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.2200
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.2200
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 4.00, Average price: 0.5867, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.7800
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.7850
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.7850
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.7900
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.7900
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.8000
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.7850
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.7850
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.7950
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.7900
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.7900
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.7900
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.7850
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.7800
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.7800
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.7800
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.7800
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.7800
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.7800
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.7800
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.7800
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.7800
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.7800
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.7800
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.7900
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.7950
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.7950
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.7900
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.7950
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.2100
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.2200
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.2200
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.2200
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.2200
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.2200
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.2200
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.2200
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.2200
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.2200
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.2050
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.2150
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.2100
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.2050
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.2050
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.2050
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.2050
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.2050
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.2050
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.2050
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.2050
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.7950
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.7950
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.7950
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.7950
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.7950
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.7950
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.7950
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.7950
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.7950
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.7950
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.7950
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.7950
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.7950
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.7950
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.7950
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.7950
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.7950
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.7950
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.7950
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.2050
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.2050
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.2050
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.2050
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.2050
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.2050
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.2050
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.2050
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.2050
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.2050
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.2050
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.2050
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.2050
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.2050
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.2050
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.2050
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.2050
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.2050
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.2050
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.2050
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.2050
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.2050
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.2050
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.2050
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.2050
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.2050
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.7950
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.7950
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.7950
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.7950
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.7950
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.7950
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.7950
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.60, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532796
Question: Will Ricardo Tisci be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 36.29523
Price History:
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.10, Sell volume: 7.20, Average price: 0.6274, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.5250
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.8500
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.8500
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.8500
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.8500
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.8500
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.8500
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.8500
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.8500
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.1500
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.8500
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.1500
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.8500
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.1500
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.8500
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.1500
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.8500
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.1350
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.8550
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.1350
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.8600
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.1350
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.8500
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.1500
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.8600
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.1450
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.8500
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.1400
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.8600
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.8650
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.1350
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.8650
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.1300
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.8700
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.1300
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8950, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.8700
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.8700
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.8700
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.8700
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.1250
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.8750
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.1300
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.8700
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.1300
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.8700
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.1300
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.8700
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.1300
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.8700
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.8700
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.8700
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.8700
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.1300
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.1300
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.1300
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.1300
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.8700
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.1300
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.8700
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.1300
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.8700
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.1300
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.8700
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.1300
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.8700
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.1300
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.8700
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.1300
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.8700
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.1300
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.8700
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.1300
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.8700
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.1300
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.8700
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.8700
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.8700
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.8700
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.8700
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.8700
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.8700
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.8700
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.8700
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.8700
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.8700
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.8700
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.8700
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.8700
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.8700
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.1300
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.8700
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.1300
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.8700
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.1300
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.8700
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.1300
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.8700
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.1300
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.8700
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.1300
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.8700
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.1300
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.8700
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.1300
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.8700
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.1300
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.8700
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.1300
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.8700
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.1300
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.1300
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.1300
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.1300
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.1300
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.1300
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.1300
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.1300
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.1300
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.8700
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.1300
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.8700
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.1300
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.8700
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.1300
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.8700
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.1300
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.8700
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.1300
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.8700
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.1300
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.8700
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.1300
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.8700
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.1300
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.8700
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.8700
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.8700
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.8700
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.8700
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.8700
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.8700
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.8700
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.8700
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.8700
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.8700
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.1300
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.8700
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.1300
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.8700
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.1300
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.8700
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.1300
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.8700
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.8700
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.8700
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.8700
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.8700
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.1300
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.8700
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.1300
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.8700
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.1300
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.8700
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.1300
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.8700
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.8700
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.8700
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.13, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.8700
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.1300
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.8700
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.1300
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.8700
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.1300
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.1300
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.1300
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.1300
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.1300
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.1300
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.1300
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.1300
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.8700
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.1300
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.8700
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.7500
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7500
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.12, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.7500
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.7500
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.4750
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.1500
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.1500
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.1500
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.1500
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.1500
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.1500
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.1350
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.1350
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.1350
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.1500
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.1450
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.1400
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.1350
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.1300
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.1300
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.1300
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.1300
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.1300
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.1300
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8950, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.8700
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.8700
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.8700
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.8700
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.8750
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.8700
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.8700
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.8700
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.8700
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.8700
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.8700
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.8700
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.8700
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.8700
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.8700
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.8700
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.8700
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.8700
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.8700
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.8700
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.8700
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.8700
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.1300
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.1300
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.1300
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.1300
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.1300
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.1300
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.1300
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.1300
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.1300
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.1300
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.1300
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.1300
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.1300
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.8700
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.8700
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.8700
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.8700
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.8700
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.8700
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.8700
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.8700
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.8700
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.8700
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.8700
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.8700
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.8700
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.8700
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.8700
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.8700
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.8700
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.8700
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.8700
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.8700
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.8700
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.1300
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.1300
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.1300
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.1300
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.1300
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.1300
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.1300
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.1300
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.1300
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.1300
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.1300
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.1300
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.1300
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.1300
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.13, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.8700
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.8700
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.8700
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.8700
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.8700
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.8700
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 24.51, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.8470, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532797
Question: Will Luke and/or Lucie Meier be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 27.875608
Price History:
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.12, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No