Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.5000
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.5000
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.4850
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.4450
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.5550
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.4600
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.5400
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3450
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6550
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.4000
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6000
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.4150
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.3850
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.6150
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.4000
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.6000
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.4150
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.4450
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.5550
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.6300
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.3900
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.6100
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.4050
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.5950
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.4200
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.5800
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.41, Sell volume: 10.94, Average price: 0.4976, Price range: 0.3151 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.4500
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.5500
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.4000
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.6000
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.4350
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.5650
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.4500
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.5500
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.4650
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.5350
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4850
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.5150
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.4950
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.5050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.5100
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.4900
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.4550
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.5450
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.4900
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.5100
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5050
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.4950
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.5200
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.4800
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.5350
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.4650
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.5550
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.4450
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.4550
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.5450
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.4700
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.5300
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.4900
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.5100
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.5200
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.4800
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.5400
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1055.52, Sell volume: 223.75, Average price: 0.6181, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.4450
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.4600
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.5400
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4800
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.5200
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.5100
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4900
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.5250
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.4750
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.5400
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.4600
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.5550
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.4450
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.4650
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.5350
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.4750
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.5250
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.5100
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.4900
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.4750
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.5450
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.4550
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.4500
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.5500
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.4650
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.5350
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.4850
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.5150
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.5150
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.4850
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.5500
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.4500
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.4550
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.5450
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.4750
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.5250
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.4900
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.5100
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.4550
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.5450
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.4750
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.5250
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.5950
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.4250
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.5750
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.4400
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.5600
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.4600
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.5400
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4800
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.5200
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.5200
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4800
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.5150
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4850
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5100
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.4900
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5150
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.4850
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5150
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.4850
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.5150
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.4850
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.5300
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.4700
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.5300
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.4700
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.4750
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.5300
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.4700
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.5300
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.4700
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.4750
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.5350
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.4650
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1055.52, Sell volume: 223.75, Average price: 0.6181, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.4700
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5300
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.4700
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.4750
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5300
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.4700
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5300
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4700
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5400
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4600
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5450
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4550
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5300
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4700
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5450
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4550
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.5450
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4550
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.5450
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.4550
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.5350
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.4650
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.5350
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.4650
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 8.73, Sell volume: 4.41, Average price: 0.4964, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5728

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.5750
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4650
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5350
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4700
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5300
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4700
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5300
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4700
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.5300
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.4700
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.4800
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.5200
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.4800
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.5200
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.4800
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.5200
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.4800
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.5200
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.2850
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.7150
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.7150
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.2850
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7150
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.3950
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.6050
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.3950
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 38.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6078, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.4650
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5350
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.5600
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.4400
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.5600
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.4400
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.5600
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.4400
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.5600
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.4400
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.5600
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.4400
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.44, Sell volume: 2.43, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5450
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4550
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.5400
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.4600
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5400
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.4600
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.5450
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4550
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.5450
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.4550
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.5450
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.4550
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.5450
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.4550
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.3000
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.7000
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.3000
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.7000
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.3000
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.7000
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.2950
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.7050
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.2950
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.7050
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.3200
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.6800
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.3400
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.6600
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.5300
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 625.35, Sell volume: 128.47, Average price: 0.7469, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 67.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.5500
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.5500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4500
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 40.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.5800 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.4550
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.5450
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4500
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.5500
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.4500
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.5500
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.4850
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.5150
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.4450
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.5550
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.4350
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.5650
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5800
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.5950
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.4100
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.5900
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0750
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9250
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0750
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9250
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0750
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.5750
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4050
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5950
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4050
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5950
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3450
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6550
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6100, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5100
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.4900
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5100
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.4900
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.5100
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.4900
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5100
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.4900
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 67.50, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.4000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.5000
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.5000
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.5150
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.4850
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.4450
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.5550
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.4600
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.5400
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3450
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6550
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6200
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.4000
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6000
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.4150
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6450
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.41, Sell volume: 10.94, Average price: 0.4976, Price range: 0.3151 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.4500
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.5500
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3600
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.6400
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.4000
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.6000
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.4350
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.5650
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.4500
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.5500
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.4650
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.5350
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4850
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.5150
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.4950
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.5050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.5100
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.4900
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.4550
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.5450
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.4750
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.4900
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1055.52, Sell volume: 223.75, Average price: 0.6181, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.4450
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.4600
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.5400
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4800
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.5200
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.5100
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4900
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.5250
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.4750
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.5400
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.4600
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.5550
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.4450
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.4650
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.5350
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.4750
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.5250
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4950
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5050
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.5100
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.4900
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.4750
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.5450
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.4550
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.4500
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.5500
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.5350
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.4650
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.4550
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.5450
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.4750
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.5250
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.4050
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.5950
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.4250
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.5750
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.4400
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.5600
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.4600
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.5400
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4800
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.5200
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.5200
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4800
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.5150
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4850
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5100
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.4900
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5150
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.4850
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5150
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1055.52, Sell volume: 223.75, Average price: 0.6181, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.4700
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5300
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.4700
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5250
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.4750
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5300
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.4700
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5300
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4700
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5400
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4600
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5450
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4550
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5300
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4700
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5450
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4550
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 8.73, Sell volume: 4.41, Average price: 0.4964, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5728
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.5750
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.4500
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.5500
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.6200
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4650
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5350
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4700
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5300
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4700
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5300
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4700
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.5300
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.4700
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 38.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6078, Price range: 0.5700 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.5450
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.4650
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5350
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.44, Sell volume: 2.43, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4500
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5450
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4550
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.5400
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.4600
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5400
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.4600
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.5450
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4550
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.5450
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 625.35, Sell volume: 128.47, Average price: 0.7469, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6950
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.3050
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6950
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3050
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.3600
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.6250
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.3750
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.4150
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.4150
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 75.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.4000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.5700
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.4300
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.5700
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.4300
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.5700
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.4300
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.5700
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.4300
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6360, Price range: 0.6360 - 0.6360

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.6800
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.3500
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.6500
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.3550
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.5950
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9550
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9600
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9550
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0450
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9600
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.7005
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.2995
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.6695
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.3305
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.6690
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.3310
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.6695
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.3305
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.6690
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.3310
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.6695
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.3305
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.6195
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.3805
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.6195
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.3805
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.6190
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.3810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 33655.00, Sell volume: 33263.00, Average price: 0.4693, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9808

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.3805
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6195
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3805
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6195
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3805
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6195
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3805
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6190
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3810
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6205
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3795
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.5760
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.4240
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.5760
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.4240
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.5760
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.4240
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.5775
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.4225
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.5775
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.4225
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.6255
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.3745
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.6255
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.3745
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.6555
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.3445
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.6550
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.3450
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.7695
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.2305
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 247.50, Sell volume: 291.00, Average price: 0.5785, Price range: 0.3503 - 0.7400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.7010
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2990
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.7660
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2340
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.7665
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2335
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.7665
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2335
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.7665
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2335
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7665
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2335
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.7665
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2335
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7665
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2335
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.7665
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2335
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.7710
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.2290
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.7715
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2285
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.7715
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2285
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.7715
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.2285
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.7715
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2285
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.7715
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.2285
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.7715
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 19.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7990, Price range: 0.7990 - 0.7990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7670
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2330
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7675
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.2325
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7675
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2325
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7675
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2325
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7675
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2325
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7725
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.2275
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.7725
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2275
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.7725
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.2275
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.7725
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2275
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.7725
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2275
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.7725
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.2275
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.7725
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.2275
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.7275
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.2725
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.6525
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.3475
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.6525
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.3475
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.6525
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.3475
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.6515
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.3485
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.6520
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.3480
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.6520
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.3480
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.7270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3956, Price range: 0.3956 - 0.3956

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7270
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2730
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.7270
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2730
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.6620
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3380
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.6620
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3380
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6630
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.3370
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.6905
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.3095
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.6905
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.3095
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.6640
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.3360
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.6640
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.3360
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6630
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.3370
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6630
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3370
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6630
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3370
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6630
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3370
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6635
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3365
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.6635
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3365
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.6630
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.3370
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.6635
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.3365
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.6635
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.3365
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.6635
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.3365
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.6540
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.3460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.55, Sell volume: 19.50, Average price: 0.3370, Price range: 0.2820 - 0.3920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.6550
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.3450
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.6550
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.3450
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.6095
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.3905
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.6095
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3905
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6095
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3905
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.6550
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3450
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.6550
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3450
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.6550
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.3450
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.6550
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.3450
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.6550
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.3450
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.6550
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.6500
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.3500
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.4450, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.6500
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.3500
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.6500
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.3500
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.6545
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.3455
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.6560
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.3440
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.6560
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.3440
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.6560
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.3440
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.6560
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.3440
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.6560
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.3440
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.6555
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.3445
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.6560
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.3440
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.6560
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.3440
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.3430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 14.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5441, Price range: 0.3892 - 0.6990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.3430
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.6570
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.3430
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.6570
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.3430
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.6570
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.3430
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.6570
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.3430
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.6570
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.3430
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.6570
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.3430
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.6575
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.3425
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.6575
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.3425
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7325
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.2675
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.7325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7.60, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5430, Price range: 0.3850 - 0.6290

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7325
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2675
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.6815
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.3185
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.6375
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.3625
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.6375
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3625
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.6370
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3630
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6370
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.3630
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.6370
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3630
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6370
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3630
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.6275
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.3725
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.6275
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.3725
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.6445
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.3555
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.6445
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.3555
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.6445
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.3555
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.6445
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.3555
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.6445
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.3555
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.6470
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.3530
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.6365
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.3635
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.6365
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.3635
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.6365
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.3635
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.6365
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.3635
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.6340
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.3660
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.6340
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.3660
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.6335
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.3665
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.6345
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.3655
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.18, Sell volume: 19.18, Average price: 0.6335, Price range: 0.6150 - 0.7490

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.3650
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.3650
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5845
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4155
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4205
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5795
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4205
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5755
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4245
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5755
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.4245
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.5755
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.4245
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.5755
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.4245
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.5755
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.4245
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.5805
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.4195
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.5805
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.4195
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.5800
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.4200
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.5795
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.4205
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.5795
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.4205
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.5990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 275.00, Sell volume: 47.09, Average price: 0.3801, Price range: 0.3415 - 0.4000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5995
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4005
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5995
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5995
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4005
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5995
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5995
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4005
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5995
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4005
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5995
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4005
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5995
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4005
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5990
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4010
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5990
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4010
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.6040
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.3960
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.6040
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.3960
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.6040
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.3960
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.6040
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.3960
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.6045
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.3955
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.6040
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.3960
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.6045
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.3955
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.6045
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.3955
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.6055
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.3945
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.6045
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.3955
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.6065
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.3935
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.6065
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.3935
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.6065
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.3935
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.6205
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.3795
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.6750
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 105.38, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.5314, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.3450
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.6550
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6950
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.3050
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6950
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3050
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 75.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.4000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.5700
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.4300
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6360, Price range: 0.6360 - 0.6360
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.6800
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.3500
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.6500
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.3550
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.6300
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.5950
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9550
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9600
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9550
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0450
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9600
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 33655.00, Sell volume: 33263.00, Average price: 0.4693, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9808
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.3805
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6195
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3805
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6195
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3805
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6195
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3805
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6190
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3810
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6205
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3795
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.5760
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.4240
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.5760
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.4240
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.5760
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.4240
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.5775
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.4225
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.5775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 247.50, Sell volume: 291.00, Average price: 0.5785, Price range: 0.3503 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.7005
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2995
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.7010
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2990
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.7660
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2340
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.7665
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2335
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.7665
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2335
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.7665
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2335
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7665
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 19.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7990, Price range: 0.7990 - 0.7990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7665
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2335
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7670
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2330
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7675
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.2325
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7675
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2325
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7675
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2325
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7675
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2325
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7725
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.2275
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.7725
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2275
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.7725
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.2275
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.7725
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2275
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.7725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3956, Price range: 0.3956 - 0.3956
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7270
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2730
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.7270
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2730
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.6620
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3380
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.6620
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3380
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6630
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.3370
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.6905
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.3095
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.6905
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.3095
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.6640
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.3360
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.6640
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.3360
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6630
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.3370
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6630
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3370
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6630
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3370
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6630
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3370
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6635
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3365
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.6635
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.55, Sell volume: 19.50, Average price: 0.3370, Price range: 0.2820 - 0.3920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.6540
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.3460
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.6550
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.3450
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.6550
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.3450
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.6095
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.3905
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.6095
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3905
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6095
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3905
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.6550
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3450
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.6550
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3450
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.4450, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.6500
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.3500
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.6500
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.3500
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.6545
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.3455
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.3450
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 14.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5441, Price range: 0.3892 - 0.6990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.6570
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.3430
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.6570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7.60, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5430, Price range: 0.3850 - 0.6290
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7325
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2675
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.6815
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.3185
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.6375
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.3625
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.6375
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3625
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.6370
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3630
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6370
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.3630
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.6370
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3630
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6370
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3630
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.6275
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.3725
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.6275
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.3725
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.6445
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.3555
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.6445
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.3555
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.6445
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.3555
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.6445
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.3555
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.6445
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.3555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 29.18, Sell volume: 19.18, Average price: 0.6335, Price range: 0.6150 - 0.7490
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.3650
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.3650
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5845
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4155
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4205
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.5795
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4205
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5795
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4205
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5755
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4245
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 275.00, Sell volume: 47.09, Average price: 0.3801, Price range: 0.3415 - 0.4000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539774
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?1
Volume: 68308.374643
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5995
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4005
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5995
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5995
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4005
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5995
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5995
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4005
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5995
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4005
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5995
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4005
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5995
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4005
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5990
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4010
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5990
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4010
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.6040
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.3960
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.6040
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.3960
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.6040
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.3960
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.6040
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.3960
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.6045
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.3955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 105.38, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.5314, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4200
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5800
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4200
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5600
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4400
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5600
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5650
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4350
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5650
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4350
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4600
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5350
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4650
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 913.15, Sell volume: 109.99, Average price: 0.5887, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.5200
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.4800
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.5200
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.4800
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 913.15, Sell volume: 109.99, Average price: 0.5887, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5250
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3250
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.6750
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.3200
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6800
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.3500
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.6500
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.3400
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.6600
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.3200
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6800
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.3100
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.6900
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.3450
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.6550
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.3900
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.6100
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.3900
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.6100
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.7450
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1700
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.8300
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.4400
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5600
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.4000
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.6000
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.6200
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.6200
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.6250
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.3800
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8450, Price range: 0.7100 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.6250
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6250
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3750
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6250
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6250
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3750
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6250
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3750
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6250
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3300
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.6700
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6850
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.2850
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.7150
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.4550
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.5450
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.4400
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.5600
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.4150
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.5850
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.4150
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.5850
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.4150
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.5850
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.4200
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.5800
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.4150
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.5850
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.4150
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 913.15, Sell volume: 109.99, Average price: 0.5887, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.4100
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.5900
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.4100
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.5900
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.4100
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.5900
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.4100
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.5900
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.4100
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 913.15, Sell volume: 109.99, Average price: 0.5887, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.2750
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7400
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2400
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7600
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.2100
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7900
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.1900
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.8100
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2700
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.7300
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.2400
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.7600
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.2200
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.7800
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.2100
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.7900
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.2000
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.8000
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.2950
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.7050
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.3100
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.6900
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.3100
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.6900
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 45.37, Sell volume: 19.99, Average price: 0.5071, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3150
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.6850
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3100
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.6900
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.3800
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6200
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.3400
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.3400
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.3400
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.3400
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.3450
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6550
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3450
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6550
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3450
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6550
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3700
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6300
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3700
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.6300
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.3700
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.6300
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.3700
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.6300
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.3700
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.6300
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.3700
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 8.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5800, Price range: 0.5800 - 0.5800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3550
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3550
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.3550
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.3550
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.3550
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.3550
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.3550
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.3550
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.3550
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.3550
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.3550
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.3550
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 913.15, Sell volume: 109.99, Average price: 0.5887, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.3550
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.3550
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.3300
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.6700
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.3300
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.6700
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.3300
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.6700
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.3300
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.6700
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.3300
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.6700
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.3300
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.6700
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.4900
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.5100
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.4900
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.5100
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.4900
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.5100
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.4900
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.5100
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.4900
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.5100
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.4900
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.5100
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.4900
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.5100
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.4900
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.5100
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.7250
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.7250
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7250
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.7250
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.7250
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.2750
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 913.15, Sell volume: 109.99, Average price: 0.5887, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2800
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.7200
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4750
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5250
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5150
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5150
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.5150
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5150
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4850
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5150
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.4850
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.5150
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.4850
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.5150
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.4900
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.5100
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.4000
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.6300
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.3700
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.6550
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.3450
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.6550
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.3450
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.6550
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.3450
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.6600
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.3400
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.6650
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 220.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5409, Price range: 0.5409 - 0.5409

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.6750
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4950
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.5050
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5050
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5950
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4050
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5950
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4050
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4000
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.6050
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.6150
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.6050
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 249.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.3900
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.6100
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.3900
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.6100
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.3900
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.6100
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.3900
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.6100
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.3900
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.6050
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.3950
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.6050
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.3950
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.4650
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.5350
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.4900
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.5100
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.5800
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.4200
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.6050
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.3950
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.6050
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.3950
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.6000
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.4000
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.5300
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.4700
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.3650
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 325.60, Sell volume: 90.00, Average price: 0.6528, Price range: 0.4330 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5800
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4200
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5800
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4200
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5600
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4400
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5600
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5650
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4350
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5650
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4350
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4600
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5350
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 913.15, Sell volume: 109.99, Average price: 0.5887, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.5150
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.4850
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 913.15, Sell volume: 109.99, Average price: 0.5887, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5250
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.4750
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3250
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.6750
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.3200
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6800
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.3500
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.6500
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.3400
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.6600
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.3200
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6800
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.3100
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.6900
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.3450
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.6550
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.3900
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.6100
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.3900
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.6100
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 60.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8450, Price range: 0.7100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.6250
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3750
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6250
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3750
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6250
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6250
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3750
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6250
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3750
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6250
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3700
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6300
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3800
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6200
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3300
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.6700
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6850
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7000
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 913.15, Sell volume: 109.99, Average price: 0.5887, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5800
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 913.15, Sell volume: 109.99, Average price: 0.5887, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.2750
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7400
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2400
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7600
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.2100
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7900
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.1900
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.8100
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2700
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.7300
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 45.37, Sell volume: 19.99, Average price: 0.5071, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.3050
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3150
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.6850
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3100
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.6900
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3750
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.6250
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.3800
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6200
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.3400
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.3400
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.3400
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.3400
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.3450
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6550
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3450
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6550
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3450
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6550
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3650
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3700
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6300
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3700
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 8.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5800, Price range: 0.5800 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.3700
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.6300
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3600
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6400
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3550
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3550
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.6450
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 913.15, Sell volume: 109.99, Average price: 0.5887, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.3550
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.3550
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.6450
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.3300
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.6700
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.3300
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.6700
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.3300
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.6700
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.3300
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.6700
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.3300
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.6700
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.3300
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.6700
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5050
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.4950
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4850
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5150
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.7250
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.7250
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7250
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.7250
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.7250
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 913.15, Sell volume: 109.99, Average price: 0.5887, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.3000
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7000
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2800
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.7200
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7050
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4750
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5250
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5150
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5150
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.5150
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5150
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4850
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 220.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5409, Price range: 0.5409 - 0.5409
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No