Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0065
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0065
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0070
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0065
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0065
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9935
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9935
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9935
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9935
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.9935
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9935
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9935
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9935
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9930
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0065
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0065
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9935
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9930
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9935
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9930
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9930
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9930
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9940
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9950
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0065
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.9930
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.0065
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.0070
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0065
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0065
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9935
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9930
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.0060
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.9965
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1564.51, Sell volume: 123.23, Average price: 0.8187, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9970
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2196.53, Sell volume: 248.80, Average price: 0.7764, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1271.39, Sell volume: 603.55, Average price: 0.8625, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0265
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0220
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0215
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0270
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9765
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9785
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9760
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0225
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9750
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9770
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9745
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9750
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0250
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9750
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9750
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0250
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0215
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0230
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0220
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0210
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0210
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9785
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9780
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9770
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9770
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0230
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9770
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0230
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0230
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0220
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0225
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9775
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9785
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0210
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0125
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1188.51, Sell volume: 391.04, Average price: 0.6815, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 175.00, Sell volume: 177.10, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 566.93, Sell volume: 2464.14, Average price: 0.3003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 4320.20, Sell volume: 3581.53, Average price: 0.6609, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0120
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.0205
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0205
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0245
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0245
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0085
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0160
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0165
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0105
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0110
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0105
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0105
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0105
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0085
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0085
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0095
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0095
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0065
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0235
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0230
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0230
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0230
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0225
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0235
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0235
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0230
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 460, Buy volume: 15723.35, Sell volume: 4041.15, Average price: 0.6176, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0170
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0155
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0080
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0085
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0150
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0165
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0165
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0075
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0050
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0050
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0065
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 147, Buy volume: 3299.72, Sell volume: 2828.77, Average price: 0.3706, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0055
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0055
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0055
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0055
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0065
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0055
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0090
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0055
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0095
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0110
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0115
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0110
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1160.24, Sell volume: 297.73, Average price: 0.6191, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0090
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0095
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0080
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0080
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0090
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 2530.55, Sell volume: 1159.95, Average price: 0.6420, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0090
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 828.63, Sell volume: 193.59, Average price: 0.7717, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0055
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0055
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0055
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0055
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0065
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0075
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0060
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0070
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.0080
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0075
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.0070
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0070
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0070
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0070
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9935
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0070
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9935
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0070
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 113.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6672, Price range: 0.0107 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9935
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9935
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9935
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9930
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9935
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9940
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.9940
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9930
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9930
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9950
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9930
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0070
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.9935
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9935
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0060
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0035
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9985
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1564.51, Sell volume: 123.23, Average price: 0.8187, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2196.53, Sell volume: 248.80, Average price: 0.7764, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1271.39, Sell volume: 603.55, Average price: 0.8625, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0270
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0270
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9740
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0245
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9750
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0250
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0215
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0230
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9790
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9785
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0230
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9770
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0230
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0225
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0230
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0220
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0210
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0125
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1188.51, Sell volume: 391.04, Average price: 0.6815, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 175.00, Sell volume: 177.10, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 566.93, Sell volume: 2464.14, Average price: 0.3003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 4320.20, Sell volume: 3581.53, Average price: 0.6609, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.0140
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0235
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0165
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0160
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0105
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0130
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.0165
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0160
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0070
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0075
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0075
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0070
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0075
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0075
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0075
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0035
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0055
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0055
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0250
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.1125
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0255
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0270
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0270
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0295
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 528, Buy volume: 26150.48, Sell volume: 9050.51, Average price: 0.6095, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0455
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0455
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0460
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0395
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0385
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0315
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0335
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0280
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0275
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0285
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0295
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0285
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0170
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0235
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0335
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0305
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0220
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0235
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0185
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0185
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0175
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0220
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0220
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0235
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0250
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0230
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0225
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0160
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0210
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0210
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0110
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0110
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0125
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0125
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0135
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0125
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0125
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0125
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0130
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0130
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0140
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0140
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0140
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0125
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0135
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 160, Buy volume: 3129.36, Sell volume: 6981.60, Average price: 0.3566, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0090
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0115
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0110
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0100
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0100
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0105
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0080
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0095
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0095
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0095
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0095
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0095
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0100
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0110
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0065
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0130
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0120
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0130
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0130
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0145
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0120
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0095
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0095
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0095
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0095
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0095
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0095
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0095
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0095
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0095
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0095
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 709.05, Sell volume: 141.68, Average price: 0.6645, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0100
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0100
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0100
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0105
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0105
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0130
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0130
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0145
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0140
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0135
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0140
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0130
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0110
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0110
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0140
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0125
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0125
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0125
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0125
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0100
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0100
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0130
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0150
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0165
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0135
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0135
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0145
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0135
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0135
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0140
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0135
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0135
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0145
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0135
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0140
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0135
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0135
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0135
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0135
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0095
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0095
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0070
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0070
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 1390.91, Sell volume: 2089.65, Average price: 0.6832, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0040
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0040
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0080
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0125
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0045
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0065
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0100
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0045
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 667.98, Sell volume: 180.58, Average price: 0.8554, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0045
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0045
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0065
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0065
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0065
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0065
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0065
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0065
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0065
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0065
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.0065
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0065
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0065
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.0065
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0065
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0065
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0065
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0065
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.0065
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0065
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0065
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0065
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0065
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0065
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0065
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.0065
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0065
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0065
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0065
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0065
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.0065
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0065
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0065
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0065
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0065
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.9935
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9895
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.0100
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.0145
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0095
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.0090
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0125
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0120
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 513.33, Sell volume: 601.00, Average price: 0.3359, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9895
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9855
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9850
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0155
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0120
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0135
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0140
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9905
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0125
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0085
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0095
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0080
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0080
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9920
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9890
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9895
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0110
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9855
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9850
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9915
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0135
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0155
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0150
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0095
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0135
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0135
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0150
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.9865
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9860
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9895
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0140
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9860
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0120
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.9845
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.0065
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0065
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.9865
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0110
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.0100
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0085
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0065
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9935
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0065
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0065
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0065
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0065
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9935
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9935
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2410.45, Sell volume: 596.28, Average price: 0.8073, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0050
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0050
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0050
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9945
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9945
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9945
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9945
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9945
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0055
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0060
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0045
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0055
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0055
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9950
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0045
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9955
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9955
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1338.41, Sell volume: 433.83, Average price: 0.9145, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 345.24, Sell volume: 70.68, Average price: 0.6357, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9960
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0040
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9960
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0040
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0040
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0040
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0040
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0040
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0040
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9960
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9960
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0040
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 3204.57, Sell volume: 3729.91, Average price: 0.8925, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0040
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9960
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9960
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0040
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0040
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9960
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0040
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9960
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0040
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0040
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9960
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0040
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9960
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9960
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0040
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0040
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0040
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9960
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9960
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9960
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9960
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9960
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 67.00, Sell volume: 44.20, Average price: 0.3340, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9960
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9960
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 470.28, Sell volume: 3371.03, Average price: 0.4165, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 3929.78, Sell volume: 2932.55, Average price: 0.6361, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0180
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.0235
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0145
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0130
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0160
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0055
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0200
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0195
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0270
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0295
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 528, Buy volume: 26150.48, Sell volume: 9050.51, Average price: 0.6095, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0455
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0435
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0405
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0350
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0285
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0280
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0270
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0170
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0335
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0300
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0220
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0185
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0225
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0220
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0250
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0165
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0115
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0125
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0125
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0130
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0140
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0150
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0135
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0135
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 160, Buy volume: 3129.36, Sell volume: 6981.60, Average price: 0.3566, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0090
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0110
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0100
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0115
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0095
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0090
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0090
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0115
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0110
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0145
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0095
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0095
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0095
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0095
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0095
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0095
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0095
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 709.05, Sell volume: 141.68, Average price: 0.6645, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0100
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0100
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0130
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0140
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0155
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0125
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0110
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0110
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0125
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0125
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0120
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0130
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0150
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0105
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0135
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0135
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0135
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0135
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0095
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0065
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0075
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 1390.91, Sell volume: 2089.65, Average price: 0.6832, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0060
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0140
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0070
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 667.98, Sell volume: 180.58, Average price: 0.8554, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0045
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0125
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0065
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0065
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0065
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0065
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9935
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9910
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9880
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.0125
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0120
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 513.33, Sell volume: 601.00, Average price: 0.3359, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9895
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9850
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0120
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0140
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9915
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9900
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0105
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0080
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9870
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9865
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9855
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.9915
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9845
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0155
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0135
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0150
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.9860
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.9885
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0125
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0150
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.0115
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.0100
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9935
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9935
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2410.45, Sell volume: 596.28, Average price: 0.8073, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0050
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9950
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0050
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9945
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9950
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0055
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0055
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9950
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0045
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0055
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0055
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9955
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9955
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1338.41, Sell volume: 433.83, Average price: 0.9145, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 345.24, Sell volume: 70.68, Average price: 0.6357, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9950
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 3204.57, Sell volume: 3729.91, Average price: 0.8925, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0040
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 67.00, Sell volume: 44.20, Average price: 0.3340, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9960
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9960
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 470.28, Sell volume: 3371.03, Average price: 0.4165, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543209
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the Philippines first?
Volume: 74550.356292
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 3929.78, Sell volume: 2932.55, Average price: 0.6361, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.7500
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.2500
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.7500
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.2500
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.8300
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.1700
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.8350
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.1650
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.8350
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.1650
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.8350
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.1650
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.8350
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.1650
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.8350
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.1650
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.8350
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.1650
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.8300
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.1700
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.8300
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.1700
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.8550
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.1450
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.8550
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.1450
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.8550
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.1450
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.8550
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.1450
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.8550
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.1450
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.8550
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.1450
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.8550
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.1450
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.8550
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.1450
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.8550
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.1450
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 57.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8550, Price range: 0.8448 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.1450
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.1300
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.8800
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.1200
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.8850
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.1150
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.8850
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.1150
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.8850
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.1150
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.8850
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.1150
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.8850
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.1150
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.8850
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.1150
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.8850
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.1150
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 158.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1173.17, Sell volume: 8.13, Average price: 0.9180, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.9400
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.0600
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.9400
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.0600
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.9400
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.0600
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.9350
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.0650
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.9350
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.0650
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.9350
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.9350
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.0650
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.9350
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.0650
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.9350
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 2945.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8372, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9599

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 525.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.0650
2024-06-12 00:00: 0.9350
2024-06-12 00:00: 0.0650
2024-06-12 01:00: 0.9450
2024-06-12 01:00: 0.0550
2024-06-12 02:00: 0.9450
2024-06-12 02:00: 0.0550
2024-06-12 03:00: 0.9450
2024-06-12 03:00: 0.0550
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.9450
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.0550
2024-06-12 05:00: 0.9450
2024-06-12 05:00: 0.0550
2024-06-12 06:00: 0.9500
2024-06-12 06:00: 0.0500
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.9500
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.0500
2024-06-12 08:00: 0.9500
2024-06-12 08:00: 0.0500
2024-06-12 09:00: 0.9450
2024-06-12 09:00: 0.0550
2024-06-12 10:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 10:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 12:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 12:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 13:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 13:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 14:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 14:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 15:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 15:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 16:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 16:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 17:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 17:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 18:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 18:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 19:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 19:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2512.15, Sell volume: 0.03, Average price: 0.7265, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9562

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-12 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 20:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 22:00: 0.9695
2024-06-12 22:00: 0.0305
2024-06-12 23:00: 0.9695
2024-06-12 23:00: 0.0305
2024-06-13 00:00: 0.9700
2024-06-13 00:00: 0.0300
2024-06-13 01:00: 0.9745
2024-06-13 01:00: 0.0255
2024-06-13 02:00: 0.9745
2024-06-13 02:00: 0.0255
2024-06-13 03:00: 0.9745
2024-06-13 03:00: 0.0255
2024-06-13 04:00: 0.9745
2024-06-13 04:00: 0.0255
2024-06-13 05:00: 0.9745
2024-06-13 05:00: 0.0255
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.9745
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.0255
2024-06-13 07:00: 0.9735
2024-06-13 07:00: 0.0265
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.9735
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.0265
2024-06-13 09:00: 0.9735
2024-06-13 09:00: 0.0265
2024-06-13 10:00: 0.9735
2024-06-13 10:00: 0.0265
2024-06-13 11:00: 0.9735
2024-06-13 11:00: 0.0265
2024-06-13 12:00: 0.9735
2024-06-13 12:00: 0.0265
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.9755
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.0245
2024-06-13 14:00: 0.9755
2024-06-13 14:00: 0.0245
2024-06-13 15:00: 0.9850
2024-06-13 15:00: 0.0150
2024-06-13 16:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 3137.54, Sell volume: 226.14, Average price: 0.8844, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-13 16:00: 0.0150
2024-06-13 17:00: 0.9850
2024-06-13 17:00: 0.0150
2024-06-13 18:00: 0.9850
2024-06-13 18:00: 0.0150
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.9850
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.0150
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.9850
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.0150
2024-06-13 21:00: 0.9850
2024-06-13 21:00: 0.0150
2024-06-13 22:00: 0.9850
2024-06-13 22:00: 0.0150
2024-06-13 23:00: 0.9850
2024-06-13 23:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 00:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 00:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 01:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 01:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 02:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 02:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 03:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 03:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 04:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 04:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 05:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 05:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 06:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 06:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 07:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 07:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 08:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 08:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 09:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 09:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 10:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 10:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 11:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 11:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 12:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 12:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 24.29, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-14 13:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 13:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 14:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 14:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 16:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 16:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 18:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 18:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 19:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 19:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 20:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 20:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 21:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 21:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 23:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 23:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 00:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 00:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 01:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 01:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 02:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 02:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 03:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 03:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 04:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 04:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 05:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 05:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 06:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 06:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 07:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 07:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 08:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 08:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 09:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 12945.14, Sell volume: 4720.39, Average price: 0.7768, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-15 09:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 11:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 11:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 12:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 12:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 13:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 13:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 14:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 14:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 15:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 15:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 16:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 16:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 17:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 17:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 18:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 18:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 19:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 19:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 21:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 21:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 22:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 22:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 00:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 00:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 01:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 01:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 02:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 02:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 03:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 03:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 04:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 04:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 05:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 05:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 12945.14, Sell volume: 4720.39, Average price: 0.7768, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-16 06:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 06:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 07:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 07:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 09:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 09:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 10:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 10:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 11:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 11:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 12:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 12:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 14:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 14:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 15:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 15:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 16:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 16:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 17:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 17:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 18:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 18:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 19:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 19:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 20:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 20:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 21:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 21:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 22:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 22:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 23:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 23:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 00:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 00:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 01:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 01:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 02:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 12945.14, Sell volume: 4720.39, Average price: 0.7768, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-17 02:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 03:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 03:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 04:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 04:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 05:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 05:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 06:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 06:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 07:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 07:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 09:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 09:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 10:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 10:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0200, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.0200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.0150
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.9850
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.0150
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.9850
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.0150
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.9850
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.0150
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.9850
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.0150
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.9850
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.0150
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.9870
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.0130
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.9870
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.0130
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.9875
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.0125
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.9875
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.0125
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.9880
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.0120
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.9880
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.0120
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.9880
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.0120
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.9880
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.0120
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.9880
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.0120
2024-06-18 14:00: 0.9880
2024-06-18 14:00: 0.0120
2024-06-18 15:00: 0.9880
2024-06-18 15:00: 0.0120
2024-06-18 16:00: 0.9860
2024-06-18 16:00: 0.0140
2024-06-18 17:00: 0.9860
2024-06-18 17:00: 0.0140
2024-06-18 18:00: 0.9860
2024-06-18 18:00: 0.0140
2024-06-18 19:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 2145.72, Sell volume: 264.39, Average price: 0.7077, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9941

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.7500
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.2500
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.7500
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.2500
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.8300
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.1700
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.8350
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.1650
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.8350
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.1650
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.8350
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.1650
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.8350
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.1650
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.8350
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.1650
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.8350
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.1650
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.8300
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.1700
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.8300
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.1700
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.8550
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.1450
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.8550
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.1450
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.8550
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.1450
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.8550
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 57.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8550, Price range: 0.8448 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.1450
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.1300
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.8700
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.1300
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.8800
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.1200
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.8850
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.1150
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.8850
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.1150
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.8850
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.1150
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 158.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.0850
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.9150
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1173.17, Sell volume: 8.13, Average price: 0.9180, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.9150
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.0850
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.9400
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.0600
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.9400
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.0600
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.9400
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.0600
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.9350
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.0650
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.9350
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.0650
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.9350
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 2945.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8372, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9599
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.0650
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.9350
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 525.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.0650
2024-06-12 00:00: 0.9350
2024-06-12 00:00: 0.0650
2024-06-12 01:00: 0.9450
2024-06-12 01:00: 0.0550
2024-06-12 02:00: 0.9450
2024-06-12 02:00: 0.0550
2024-06-12 03:00: 0.9450
2024-06-12 03:00: 0.0550
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.9450
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.0550
2024-06-12 05:00: 0.9450
2024-06-12 05:00: 0.0550
2024-06-12 06:00: 0.9500
2024-06-12 06:00: 0.0500
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.9500
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.0500
2024-06-12 08:00: 0.9500
2024-06-12 08:00: 0.0500
2024-06-12 09:00: 0.9450
2024-06-12 09:00: 0.0550
2024-06-12 10:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 10:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 12:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 12:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 13:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 13:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 14:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2512.15, Sell volume: 0.03, Average price: 0.7265, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9562
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-12 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 20:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.9550
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.0450
2024-06-12 22:00: 0.9695
2024-06-12 22:00: 0.0305
2024-06-12 23:00: 0.9695
2024-06-12 23:00: 0.0305
2024-06-13 00:00: 0.9700
2024-06-13 00:00: 0.0300
2024-06-13 01:00: 0.9745
2024-06-13 01:00: 0.0255
2024-06-13 02:00: 0.9745
2024-06-13 02:00: 0.0255
2024-06-13 03:00: 0.9745
2024-06-13 03:00: 0.0255
2024-06-13 04:00: 0.9745
2024-06-13 04:00: 0.0255
2024-06-13 05:00: 0.9745
2024-06-13 05:00: 0.0255
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.9745
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.0255
2024-06-13 07:00: 0.9735
2024-06-13 07:00: 0.0265
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.9735
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.0265
2024-06-13 09:00: 0.9735
2024-06-13 09:00: 0.0265
2024-06-13 10:00: 0.9735
2024-06-13 10:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 3137.54, Sell volume: 226.14, Average price: 0.8844, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-13 16:00: 0.0150
2024-06-13 17:00: 0.9850
2024-06-13 17:00: 0.0150
2024-06-13 18:00: 0.9850
2024-06-13 18:00: 0.0150
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.9850
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.0150
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.9850
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.0150
2024-06-13 21:00: 0.9850
2024-06-13 21:00: 0.0150
2024-06-13 22:00: 0.9850
2024-06-13 22:00: 0.0150
2024-06-13 23:00: 0.9850
2024-06-13 23:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 00:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 00:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 01:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 01:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 02:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 02:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 03:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 03:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 04:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 04:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 05:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 05:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 06:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 06:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 07:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 24.29, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-14 13:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 13:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 14:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 14:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 16:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 16:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 18:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 18:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 19:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 19:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 20:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 20:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 21:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 21:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.0150
2024-06-14 23:00: 0.9850
2024-06-14 23:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 00:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 00:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 01:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 01:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 02:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 02:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 03:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 03:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 12945.14, Sell volume: 4720.39, Average price: 0.7768, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-15 09:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 11:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 11:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 12:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 12:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 13:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 13:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 14:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 14:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 15:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 15:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 16:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 16:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 17:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 17:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 18:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 18:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 19:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 19:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 20:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 21:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 21:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 22:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 22:00: 0.0150
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.9850
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 00:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 12945.14, Sell volume: 4720.39, Average price: 0.7768, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-16 06:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 06:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 07:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 07:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 09:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 09:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 10:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 10:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 11:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 11:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 12:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 12:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 14:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 14:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 15:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 15:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 16:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 16:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 17:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 17:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 18:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 18:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 19:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 19:00: 0.0150
2024-06-16 20:00: 0.9850
2024-06-16 20:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 12945.14, Sell volume: 4720.39, Average price: 0.7768, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-17 02:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 03:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 03:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 04:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 04:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 05:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 05:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 06:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 06:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 07:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 07:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 09:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 09:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 10:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 10:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.0150
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0200, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.0200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502224
Question: Will Hung Cao win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 17665.525801
Price History:
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.9850
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.0150
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.9850
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.0150
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.9850
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.0150
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.9850
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.0150
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.9850
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.0150
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.9850
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.0150
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.9870
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.0130
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.9870
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.0130
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.9875
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.0125
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.9875
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.0125
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.9880
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.0120
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.9880
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.0120
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.9880
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.0120
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.9880
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.0120
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.9880
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 2145.72, Sell volume: 264.39, Average price: 0.7077, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9941
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502225
Question: Will Jonathan Walker Emord win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3962.04408
Price History:
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.4950
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.5050
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.4950
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.5050
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.0400
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.9600
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.0400
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.9600
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.0450
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.9550
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.0450
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.9550
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1192.04, Sell volume: 2770.00, Average price: 0.5632, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502225
Question: Will Jonathan Walker Emord win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3962.04408
Price History:
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.9550
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.9550
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.0450
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.9550
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.0450
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.9550
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.0450
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.9550
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.0450
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.9550
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.0450
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.9550
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.0450
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.9550
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.0450
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.9550
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.0450
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.9550
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.0400
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.9600
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.0400
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502225
Question: Will Jonathan Walker Emord win the 2024 Virginia Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3962.04408
Price History:
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.0400
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.9600
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.0400
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9600
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.0400
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.9600
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.0400
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.9600
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.0400
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.9600
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.0400
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.9600
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.0400
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.9600
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.0400
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.9600
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.0400
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.9600
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.0400
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.9600
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.0400
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.9600
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.0400
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.9600
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.0400
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.9600
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.0400
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.9600
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.0400
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.9600
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.0400
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.9600
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.0400
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.9600
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.0400
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.9600
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.0400
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.9600
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.0400
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.9600
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1192.04, Sell volume: 2770.00, Average price: 0.5632, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes