Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525662
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 8889.765164
Price History:
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0210
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9490
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0515
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9485
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0515
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9485
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0515
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9485
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0515
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9475
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0525
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9475
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0535
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9460
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0540
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9455
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0545
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9455
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0545
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9455
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0525
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.9465
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0540
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.9455
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0520
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.9480
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0530
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.9470
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0535
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.9465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 7842.38, Sell volume: 1047.39, Average price: 0.7045, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525662
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 8889.765164
Price History:
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9455
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0545
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9455
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0545
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9455
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0505
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.9480
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0520
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9480
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0520
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.9480
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0520
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.9480
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0540
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9460
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0540
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.9460
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0540
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.9460
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0540
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9460
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0540
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9465
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0535
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9465
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0115
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0080
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9920, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525662
Question: Will Sungjae Im win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 8889.765164
Price History:
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0080
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9915
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0115
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.9885
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0115
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9885
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0115
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.9885
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0115
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9885
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.0115
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9885
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0120
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9905
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0055
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9955
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9960
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9950
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9950
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9955
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 7832.38, Sell volume: 1047.39, Average price: 0.6958, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.4900
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.4800
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0500
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0500
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0500
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0500
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0500
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0500
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0500
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0500
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0500
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0500
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.0500
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.0500
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0500
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0500
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0500
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0500
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.0500
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.0500
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0500
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0500
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.0500
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.0500
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0500
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.0500
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.0500
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0500
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0500
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.0500
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.0500
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.0500
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.0500
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0500
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.0500
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0500
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.0500
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.4050
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.3600
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.3300
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5000
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4100
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.4350
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.3750
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.3900
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.3650
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.3950
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.4050
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.4000
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.3800
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.4200
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.4000
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.3000
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.3550
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.4200
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.4000
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.4000
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.3750
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.3850
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.3850
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.4300
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.3950
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.3900
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.3950
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.2500
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.2500
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.2450
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.2450
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.2450
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.2450
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.2450
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.2450
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.2450
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.2450
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.2450
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.2450
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.2450
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.2450
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.5000
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.5000
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.5000
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.5000
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.5000
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.4550
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.4300
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.4200
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.4100
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.4100
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.4300
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3900
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.3500
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.4450
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.5000
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.5000
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5000
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.5000
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.5000
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.4150
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.3900
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.4050
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.4200
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.4200
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.4150
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.4000
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.4200
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.4350
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.3900
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.4200
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.4200
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.4250
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.4950
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.4200
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.4200
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.4200
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.4200
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.4200
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.4100
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.4100
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.4100
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.4500
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.4200
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.4050
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.4200
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.4500
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.4200
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.4000
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.4200
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.4900
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.5000
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.4200
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.4200
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.4250
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.4200
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.4200
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.4200
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.4200
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.4200
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.4550
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.4200
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.3850
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.3900
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.4000
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.3900
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.3900
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.4000
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.4000
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.4000
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.3900
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.3850
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.3850
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.4000
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.4000
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.3850
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.4800
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.3850
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.3850
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.3850
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.3850
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.3850
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.3850
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.4100
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.5000
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.5000
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.5000
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.3850
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.4550
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.3850
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.3900
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.4500
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.3800
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.5000
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.5000
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.5000
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.5000
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.5000
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.5000
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.5000
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.5000
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.5000
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.4100
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.4150
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.5000
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.4150
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.3850
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.3850
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.3850
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.4450
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.4150
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.4100
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.5000
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.5000
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.4200
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.5000
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.4000
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0450
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.3550
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.4150
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.4100
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.3950
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.3950
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.2900
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.2900
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.2850
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.2850
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.2750
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.2850
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.2700
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9050, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.2650
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.2750
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.2800
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0200
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.2760
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.2760
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.2810
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0510
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.2860
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.2860
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.2865
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.2865
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.2865
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.2760
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.2865
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.2815
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.2865
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.2865
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.2815
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.2815
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.2810
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.2660
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.2715
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.2820
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.2950
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.2895
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.2675
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.2845
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.2950
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.2785
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0065
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.2810
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.2815
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.2705
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.2760
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.2865
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.2815
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.2865
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.2870
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.2770
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.2825
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.2895
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.2860
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.2755
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.2865
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.2815
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.2825
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.2825
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.2875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.2860
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.2860
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.2815
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.2865
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.2815
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.2755
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.2810
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.2660
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.2765
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.2380
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.2770
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.2385
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.2770
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.2710
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.2875
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.2875
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.2850
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.2800
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.2865
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.2760
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.2865
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.2815
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.2865
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.2815
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.2865
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.2865
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.2815
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.2815
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.2815
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.2815
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.2865
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.2810
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.2810
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.2810
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.2815
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.2865
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.2810
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.2865
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.2815
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.2760
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.2705
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.2650
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.2815
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.2815
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.2760
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.2810
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.2865
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.2865
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.2815
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.2865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0055
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0065
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0055
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0055
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0055
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0055
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0055
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0055
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0055
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0060
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0060
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0065
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0065
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0065
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0065
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0065
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0065
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0065
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0065
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.0060
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0065
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0065
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0055
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0055
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0030
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 5531.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7195, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.5100
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9500
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9500
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9500
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0500
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9500
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9500
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9500
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9500
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9500
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9500
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9500
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0500
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9500
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.9500
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9500
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.9500
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0500
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.9500
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0500
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.9500
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.0500
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.9500
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.0500
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.9500
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.0500
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.9500
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.0500
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.9500
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.9500
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.9500
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0500
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.9500
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0500
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.6300
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.3550
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.4350
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.4150
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.5950
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.4700
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.5800
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.5800
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.4150
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.6300
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.3850
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.6300
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.6100
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.6500
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.3950
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.7550
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.7500
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.7500
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.2450
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.7550
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.2450
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.7550
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.2450
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.7550
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.2450
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.5000
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.5000
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.4600
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5900
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.6100
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.8500
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.5000
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.5650
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.5000
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.4200
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.4050
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.5800
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.4200
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.5800
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.4000
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.6000
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.3950
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.6000
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.5800
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.4200
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.5800
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.4200
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.5900
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.5800
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.4100
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.5800
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.4200
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.5950
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.4350
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.4200
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.5300
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.4700
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.5800
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.4450
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.4200
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.5800
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.4000
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.6100
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.3850
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.6000
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.3900
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.6150
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.4000
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.3850
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.6150
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.3950
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.6150
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.3850
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.6150
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.5900
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.3900
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.6150
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.5500
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.5000
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.5000
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 5566.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.5000
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.5000
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.5000
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.4050
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.5850
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.4150
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.6150
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.5000
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.5850
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.5000
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.5000
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9550
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.3850
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.5900
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.3950
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.7100
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.2900
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.7100
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.2850
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9050, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.2650
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.7150
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.2760
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.7240
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0510
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.7190
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.2815
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.7185
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.2700
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.7185
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.2865
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.7135
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.2815
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.7285
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.2900
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.7105
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.2950
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.7155
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0065
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.7245
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.2705
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.7185
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.2865
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.7130
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.2830
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.7105
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.2810
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.7135
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.2825
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.7125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.2860
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.7140
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.2815
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.7245
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.2760
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.7400
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.2710
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.7125
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.2440
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.7230
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.2800
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.7350
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.2815
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.7135
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.2760
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.7185
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.2815
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.7295
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.2760
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.7245
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.2815
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.7245
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.2815
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.7240
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.2705
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.7200
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.2865
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.7300
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.2645
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.7135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525655
Question: Will Sahith Theegala win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 15062.2905
Price History:
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0055
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0055
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9945
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9945
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.0055
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.9940
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9940
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9935
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0065
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.9935
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0065
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9935
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0065
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.0055
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9980
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9975
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9975
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 5531.08, Sell volume: 9496.21, Average price: 0.7195, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.4900
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.2500
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0500
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0500
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0500
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0500
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0500
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0500
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0500
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0500
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0500
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0500
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.0500
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.0500
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0500
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0500
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0500
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0500
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.0500
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.0500
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0500
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0500
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.0500
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.0500
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0500
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.0500
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.0500
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0500
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0500
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.0500
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.0500
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.0500
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.0500
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0500
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.0500
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0500
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.0500
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.3950
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.4600
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.1850
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.4200
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4050
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.4500
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.4400
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.3750
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.3450
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.4200
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.4100
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.3950
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.3850
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.4100
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.4200
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.3850
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.3500
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.4200
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.4200
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.4200
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.3650
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.3800
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.4000
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.4050
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.4050
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.4100
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.1850
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.2500
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.2500
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.2450
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.2450
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.2450
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.2450
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.2450
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.2450
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.2450
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.2450
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.2450
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.2450
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.2450
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.2450
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.5000
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.5000
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.5000
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.5000
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.5000
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.3900
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.4550
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.4700
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3950
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.4100
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.4050
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3900
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.3550
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.3500
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.4400
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.5000
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.5000
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5000
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.5000
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.5000
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.4000
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.4000
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.4100
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.4200
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.4200
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.4200
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.4000
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.4200
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.4350
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.3950
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.4200
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.4200
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.4000
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.4200
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.4200
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.4200
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.4200
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.4200
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.4200
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.4100
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.4100
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.4000
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.4200
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.4050
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.4200
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.4800
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.4200
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.4000
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.4200
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.4350
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.5000
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.4850
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.4200
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.4350
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.4150
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.4200
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.4200
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.4200
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.4200
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.4350
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.4200
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.3850
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.3900
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.4000
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.3900
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.3900
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.4750
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.4000
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.4000
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.3900
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.4450
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.3850
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.4000
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.3900
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.3800
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.3850
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.4500
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.4700
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.3850
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.3850
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.3850
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.3850
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.3850
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.4150
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.5000
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.5000
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.5000
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.3850
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.4550
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.3850
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.3850
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.4250
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.3800
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.5000
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.5000
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.5000
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.5000
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.5000
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.5000
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.5000
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.5000
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.5000
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.4250
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.4150
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.5000
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.4150
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.3850
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.3850
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.3850
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.4200
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.4150
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.4700
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.5000
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.5000
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.4150
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.4300
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.4000
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.5000
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.3350
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.3950
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.4050
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.3600
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.3850
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.4050
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.5000
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.3950
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.4050
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.3450
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.5000
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.3350
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.5000
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.5000
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.5000
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.5000
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.5000
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.5000
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.5000
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.5000
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.5000
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.5000
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.5000
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.5000
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.5000
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.5000
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.5000
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.5000
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.5000
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.5000
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.5000
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.5000
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.5000
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.5000
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.5000
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.5000
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.5000
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.5000
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.5000
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.3950
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.5000
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7350, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.3550
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.3750
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.5000
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.5000
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.5000
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.5000
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.3400
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.3400
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.3200
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.3250
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.3350
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.3300
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.3300
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.3350
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.3350
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.3350
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.3400
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.3400
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.3350
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.3350
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.3350
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.3350
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.3350
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.3350
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.3300
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.3300
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.3350
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.3350
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.3350
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.3250
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.3100
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.3250
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.3300
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.3300
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.4500
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0145
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0145
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0145
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0145
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0145
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0145
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0145
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0145
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0145
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0120
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0120
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0130
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0130
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0130
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0125
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0125
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0125
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0125
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0125
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0125
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0125
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0125
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.0110
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0115
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0115
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0110
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0110
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0110
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0100
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0130
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0115
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0135
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0135
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0145
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0140
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0130
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0130
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0135
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0150
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0090
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0075
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0055
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 13023.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6909, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.5100
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.7500
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.5100
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9500
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0500
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9500
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9500
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0500
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9500
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9500
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0500
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9500
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0500
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9500
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9500
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0500
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9500
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0500
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9500
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0500
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9500
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.9500
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9500
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.9500
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0500
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.9500
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0500
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.9500
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.0500
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.9500
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.0500
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.9500
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.0500
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.9500
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.0500
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.9500
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.9500
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.9500
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0500
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.9500
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0500
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.6900
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.2700
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5800
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.4300
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.4400
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.5900
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.3950
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.5900
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.4500
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.6000
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.5000
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.5850
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.4050
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.6200
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.4000
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.6550
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.8150
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.6350
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.7550
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.7500
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.2500
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.7500
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.2450
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.7550
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.2450
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.7550
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.2450
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.7550
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.2450
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.5000
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.5000
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.3850
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.5000
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.4550
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.5000
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.5000
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.5000
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5900
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.6100
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.8500
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.5000
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.5000
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.4600
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.4100
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.5800
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.4200
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.5800
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.4000
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.6000
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.3950
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.6000
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.5800
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.4200
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.5800
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.4200
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.5900
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.4400
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.5800
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.5800
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.4100
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.5800
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.4200
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.6000
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.4300
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.4200
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.5500
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.4200
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.5800
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.4200
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.5800
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.4000
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.6100
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.3850
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.6000
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.3900
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.6150
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.4000
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.3850
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.6150
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.4700
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.6150
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.3850
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.6150
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.5850
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.4100
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.6150
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.5750
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.4550
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.5000
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.5000
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.5000
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.5000
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.5000
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.5000
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.4250
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.5850
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.4150
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.6150
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.5000
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.5850
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.5000
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.4300
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.6650
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.3650
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.5950
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.3850
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.3950
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.6350
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.3750
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.5000
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.5000
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.5000
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.5000
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.5000
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.5000
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.5000
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.5000
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.5000
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.5000
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.5000
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.5000
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.5000
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.5000
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.5000
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.5000
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.3650
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.5000
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7350, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.3550
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.6350
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.5000
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.5000
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.5000
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.5000
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.3400
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.6750
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.3850
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.3350
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.6650
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.3400
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.6650
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.3350
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.6650
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.3350
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.6700
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.3350
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.6650
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.3250
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.6750
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.3300
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.5000
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.4800
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 13123.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6938, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525652
Question: Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 13123.492009
Price History:
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0145
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9855
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0145
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9855
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0145
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9855
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.0120
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.9870
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0125
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9875
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0125
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9875
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.9875
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0125
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9875
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0110
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.9885
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.0115
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9890
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0100
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9865
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0135
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9855
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0130
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9860
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.2515
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9920
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 13023.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6909, Price range: 0.0065 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.5000
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.5000
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.9900
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0105
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.9895
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0105
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9895
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0105
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 159, Buy volume: 54724.02, Sell volume: 9849.64, Average price: 0.6645, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0105
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.9895
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0105
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9895
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0105
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9895
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0395
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9605
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0395
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 159, Buy volume: 54724.02, Sell volume: 9849.64, Average price: 0.6645, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0395
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9605
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.5005
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.4995
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.5075
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.4925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 159, Buy volume: 54724.02, Sell volume: 9849.64, Average price: 0.6645, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0770
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9230
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0730
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9270
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0715
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9285
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0690
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9310
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0670
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 49.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1160, Price range: 0.1060 - 0.1260

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0375
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9625
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0375
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9625
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0375
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9625
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0370
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9630
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0370
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 6259.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7395, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0275
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9725
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0275
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9725
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0275
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9725
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0275
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9725
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0275
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 683.00, Sell volume: 43.00, Average price: 0.6392, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9730

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0270
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9730
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0270
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9730
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0275
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9725
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0270
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9730
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0265
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 5339.67, Sell volume: 702.00, Average price: 0.7305, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0270
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9730
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0280
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9720
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0395
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9605
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0375
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9625
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0390
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 15130.06, Sell volume: 401.00, Average price: 0.6434, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0370
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9630
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0500
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9500
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0615
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9385
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0200
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6407.73, Sell volume: 31.89, Average price: 0.7164, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0165
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9835
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0135
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9865
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9835
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0195
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9805
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0140
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 159, Buy volume: 54724.02, Sell volume: 9849.64, Average price: 0.6645, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9910
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9910
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0140
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9860
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0140
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9860
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 384.00, Sell volume: 9.00, Average price: 0.7955, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0095
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9905
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0065
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9935
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9965
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 229.23, Sell volume: 384.00, Average price: 0.9944, Price range: 0.9775 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 480.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0042, Price range: 0.0042 - 0.0042

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.5000
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.5000
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.9900
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0105
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.9895
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0105
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9895
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0105
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 159, Buy volume: 54724.02, Sell volume: 9849.64, Average price: 0.6645, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0105
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.9895
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0105
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9895
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0105
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9895
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0395
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9605
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0395
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 159, Buy volume: 54724.02, Sell volume: 9849.64, Average price: 0.6645, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0395
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9605
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.5005
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.4995
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.5075
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.4925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 159, Buy volume: 54724.02, Sell volume: 9849.64, Average price: 0.6645, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0770
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9230
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0730
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9270
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0715
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9285
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0690
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9310
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0670
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 49.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1160, Price range: 0.1060 - 0.1260
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0375
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9625
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0375
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9625
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0375
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9625
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0370
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9630
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0370
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 6259.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7395, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0275
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9725
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0275
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9725
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0275
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9725
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0275
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9725
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0275
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 683.00, Sell volume: 43.00, Average price: 0.6392, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.0270
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9730
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0270
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9730
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0275
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9725
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0270
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9730
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0265
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 5339.67, Sell volume: 702.00, Average price: 0.7305, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0270
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9730
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0280
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9720
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0395
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9605
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0375
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9625
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0390
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 15130.06, Sell volume: 401.00, Average price: 0.6434, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0370
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9630
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0500
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9500
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0615
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9385
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0200
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 6407.73, Sell volume: 31.89, Average price: 0.7164, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0165
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9835
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0135
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9865
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9835
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0195
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9805
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0140
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 159, Buy volume: 54724.02, Sell volume: 9849.64, Average price: 0.6645, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9910
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9910
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0140
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9860
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0140
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9860
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 384.00, Sell volume: 9.00, Average price: 0.7955, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0095
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9905
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0065
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9935
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9965
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 229.23, Sell volume: 384.00, Average price: 0.9944, Price range: 0.9775 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525666
Question: Will Robert MacIntyre win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 64573.655739
Price History:
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 480.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0042, Price range: 0.0042 - 0.0042
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525647
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204303.884404
Price History:
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.4900
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.2500
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.4850
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.4900
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.1050
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0750
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0850
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0900
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0900
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0900
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0900
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0900
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0900
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0900
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0900
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0900
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0900
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0900
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0900
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0900
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0900
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0900
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0900
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0900
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0900
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0900
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0900
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0900
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0900
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0900
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0900
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0900
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0900
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0900
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0900
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0900
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0900
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0900
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 465, Buy volume: 189181.17, Sell volume: 15122.71, Average price: 0.4672, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525647
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204303.884404
Price History:
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.9000
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.9000
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.9000
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9050
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.9100
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.9050
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.9050
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.9100
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.9100
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.9050
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.9100
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.9050
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.9100
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.9050
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9050
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.9050
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.9050
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.9100
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.9100
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.9050
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.9050
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9100
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.9100
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.9050
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.9100
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.9050
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.9050
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.9050
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.9100
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.9050
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.9100
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.9050
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.9050
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.9100
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.9050
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.9050
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.9050
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.9050
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.4850
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.6700
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.7050
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.7550
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.5600
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.6150
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5800
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 465, Buy volume: 189181.17, Sell volume: 15122.71, Average price: 0.4672, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525647
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204303.884404
Price History:
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.4500
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.4300
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.4600
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.4200
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.4250
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.5050
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.4250
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.4050
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.4250
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.4450
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.4900
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.4350
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.4250
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.4300
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.3600
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.4250
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.4450
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.3900
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.5150
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.5250
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.5150
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.5100
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.4200
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.4350
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.3550
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.2650
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.2750
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.2650
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.2650
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.2600
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.2550
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.2600
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.2700
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.2600
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.2600
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.2600
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.2600
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.2600
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.2600
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.2600
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.2600
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.2600
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.2600
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.2600
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.2600
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 465, Buy volume: 189181.17, Sell volume: 15122.71, Average price: 0.4672, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525647
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204303.884404
Price History:
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.7400
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.7400
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.7400
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.7450
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.7450
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.7400
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.7400
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.7450
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.7450
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.7450
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.7450
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.7400
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.7450
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.7450
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.7400
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.7400
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.4850
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.4850
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.4850
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.4850
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.4850
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.4850
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.4850
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.4900
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.4850
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.4850
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.4850
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.4900
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.4900
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.4950
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.4950
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.4900
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.4900
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.4900
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.4850
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.4850
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.5100
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.4900
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.5250
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.5400
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.4850
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.4900
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.5550
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.4850
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.4850
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.4850
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.4850
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.4850
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 465, Buy volume: 189181.17, Sell volume: 15122.71, Average price: 0.4672, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525647
Question: Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 204303.884404
Price History:
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.5050
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.5150
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.5150
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.5150
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.5150
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.5150
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.5050
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.5150
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.5100
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.5100
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.5250
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.5300
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5200
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.5100
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.5350
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.4350
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.4100
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.4600
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.4750
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.4550
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.4050
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.4600
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.5150
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.4500
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.4400
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.5100
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.4800
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.4700
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.5150
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.4300
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.4100
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.4750
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.4700
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.4650
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.5100
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.4850
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.5050
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.4450
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.4200
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.4450
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.4000
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.4350
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 465, Buy volume: 189181.17, Sell volume: 15122.71, Average price: 0.4672, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes