Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.8500
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.1500
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.8500
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.1500
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.8650
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.1350
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.8600
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.1400
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.8650
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.1350
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.7700
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.2300
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.8300
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.1700
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.7700
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.2300
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.7550
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.2450
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.8350
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.1650
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.8650
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.1350
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.8050
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.1950
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.7900
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.2100
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.7950
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.2050
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.8250
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.1750
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.5600
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.4400
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.9995
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 218, Buy volume: 95103.56, Sell volume: 10688.35, Average price: 0.5132, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.5100
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.5100
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.7750
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.2250
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.7650
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.2350
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.8500
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.1500
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.8200
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.1800
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.8150
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.1850
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.8150
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.1850
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.8150
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.1850
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.8150
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.1850
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.8150
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.1850
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.8150
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 42.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8356, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 64.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8550, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.5250
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.4750
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.5250
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.4750
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.5250
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 102.00, Sell volume: 2.28, Average price: 0.1679, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.2337
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.4750
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.5650
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.4350
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.5100
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.4900
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.6000
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.6700
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.3300
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.5800
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.4200
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.5000
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.5000
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.4150
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.4050
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.5950
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.4450
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.5550
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.6000
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.6000
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.6000
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 87.72, Sell volume: 2.57, Average price: 0.3470, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.7200
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.2800
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.7150
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.2850
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.7200
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.2800
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.7200
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.2800
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.7050
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.2950
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.6800
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.3200
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.7150
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.2850
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.6800
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.3200
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.6550
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.3450
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.6850
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.3150
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.7050
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.2950
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.7400
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.2600
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.6850
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.3150
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.6950
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.3050
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.6850
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 166.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6517, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.2850
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.6150
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.3850
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.6750
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.3250
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.7150
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.2850
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.7600
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.2400
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.7450
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.2550
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.7300
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.2700
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.8050
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.1950
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.7750
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.7700
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.2300
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.7650
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.2350
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.6750
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.3250
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.7850
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.2150
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.6900
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.3100
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 65.05, Sell volume: 5.58, Average price: 0.3825, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.3450
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.3450
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.3450
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.3450
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.3450
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.6500
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.3500
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.6750
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.3250
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.7850
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.2150
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 18.16, Sell volume: 50.69, Average price: 0.4725, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.8000
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.2000
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.1400
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 27.46, Sell volume: 145.00, Average price: 0.7733, Price range: 0.6700 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.8900
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.1100
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.8950
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.1050
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.8950
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.1050
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.8950
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.1050
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.8950
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.1050
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.9050
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.0950
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 41.42, Average price: 0.2925, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.8701
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.1100
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.8900
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.1100
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.8900
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.1100
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.8900
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.1100
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.8900
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.1100
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.8900
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.1100
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.8900
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.1100
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.8900
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.1100
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.1050
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.1050
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.1050
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.1050
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.1050
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.9000
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.1000
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.9000
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.1000
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.1050
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.1050
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.7350
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.2650
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.6500
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.6100
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.6100
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.6450
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.3550
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.5600
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.4400
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.5550
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.4450
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.5550
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.4450
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.5550
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.4450
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.4550
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.5450
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.4500
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.5500
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.4400
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1962.09, Sell volume: 245.73, Average price: 0.4868, Price range: 0.1276 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.5450
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.5300
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.4700
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.5400
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.4600
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.5200
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.4800
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.5350
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.4650
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.6400
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.3600
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.7850
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.2150
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.8700
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.1300
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.8750
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9150
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0850
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.8850
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.1150
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9000
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.1000
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.8950
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.1050
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9000
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.1000
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.8950
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.1050
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 8396.01, Sell volume: 1438.86, Average price: 0.4884, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.8500
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.1500
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.8500
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.1500
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.8650
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.1350
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.8600
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.1400
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.8650
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.1350
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.7700
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.2300
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.8300
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.1700
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.7700
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.2300
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.7550
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.2450
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.8350
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.1650
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.8650
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.1350
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.8050
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.1950
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.7900
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.2100
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.7950
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 218, Buy volume: 95103.56, Sell volume: 10688.35, Average price: 0.5132, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.4800
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.5200
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.5550
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.4450
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.5600
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.4400
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.4850
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.5150
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.4850
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5150
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.5100
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.5050
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.5050
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.4950
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.7100
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.2900
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.5500
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.4500
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1237.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.4450
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.7350
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.2650
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.5600
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.4400
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.5600
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.4400
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.5600
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.4400
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.5650
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.4350
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.5650
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.4350
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.5600
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.4400
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.5650
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.4350
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.5650
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.4350
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.6450
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.7800
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.2200
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.7050
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.2950
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.7050
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.2950
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.7050
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1735.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5166, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.8000
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.2000
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.7900
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.2100
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.7900
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.2100
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.8150
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.1850
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.7950
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.2050
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.8000
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.2000
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.7900
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.2100
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.7900
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.2100
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.8100
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.1900
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.7650
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.2350
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.8400
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.1600
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.8400
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.1600
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.8400
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.1600
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.8500
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.1500
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.8600
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.1400
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.8400
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.1600
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.8400
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.1600
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.8400
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.1600
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.8400
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.1600
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 18909.80, Sell volume: 8200.60, Average price: 0.4523, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9989

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.1600
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.8400
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.1600
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.8400
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.1600
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.8000
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.2000
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.7700
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.2300
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.7750
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.7600
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.2400
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.7600
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.2400
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.7600
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.2400
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.7600
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.2400
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.7600
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.2400
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.7600
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.2400
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 162.00, Sell volume: 129.41, Average price: 0.5842, Price range: 0.2526 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.7750
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.7750
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.7750
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.7750
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.7750
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.7750
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.7800
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.2200
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.7750
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.8200
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.1800
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 18909.80, Sell volume: 8200.60, Average price: 0.4523, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9989

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.1750
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.1750
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.8350
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.1650
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.8350
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.1650
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.8350
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.1650
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.8500
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.1500
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.8800
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.1200
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.8800
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.1200
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.7900
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.2100
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.7950
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.2050
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.7950
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.2050
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.8800
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.1200
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.7950
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.2050
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.7950
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.2050
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.8100
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.1900
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.7150
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.2850
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.7350
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.2650
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.7350
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.2650
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.7350
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.2650
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 551.48, Average price: 0.3237, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7786

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.7350
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.2650
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.7300
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.2700
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.7350
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.2650
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.7300
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.2700
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.7300
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.2700
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.7350
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.2650
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.7350
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.2650
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.7350
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.2650
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.7300
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.2700
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 18909.80, Sell volume: 8200.60, Average price: 0.4523, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9989

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 18909.80, Sell volume: 8200.60, Average price: 0.4523, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9989

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.2600
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.7400
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.2600
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.8600
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.1400
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.4600
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.5400
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.3850
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.6150
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.3850
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.6150
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 445.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6045, Price range: 0.2836 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.6050
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.5950
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.6300
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.3700
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.4750
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.5250
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.7650
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.2350
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.6450
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.3550
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.6650
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.3350
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.6650
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.3350
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.4350
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.5650
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.4500
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.4450
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.5550
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.3300
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.6700
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.3050
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.6950
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.6100
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.6450
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.3550
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.6200
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.3800
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.4500
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 307.89, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.3800
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.6200
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.4400
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.5600
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.4350
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.5650
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.2400
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.7600
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.2450
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.7550
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.2950
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.7050
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.3750
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.6250
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.5200
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.4700
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.5300
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.5350
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.4650
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.5350
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.4900
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.5100
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.4500
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.5500
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.4500
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.5500
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.4500
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.5500
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.4350
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.5650
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.4400
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.5600
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.3250
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.6750
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 366.76, Sell volume: 230.00, Average price: 0.4729, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.6750
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.4100
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.5900
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.5000
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.5000
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.4650
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.5350
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.1900
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.8100
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.1800
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.8200
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0500
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9500
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0065
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9935
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0065
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9935
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0065
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9935
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.0065
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9935
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0065
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9935
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0065
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9935
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0065
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9935
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0075
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9925
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0070
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9930
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0070
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9930
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0070
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9930
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0055
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9945
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0055
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 2696.49, Sell volume: 1792.71, Average price: 0.6653, Price range: 0.0035 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0055
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9945
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0055
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9945
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0055
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9945
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0075
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9925
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0045
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9955
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0045
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9955
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.0045
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9955
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.9995
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 11856.33, Sell volume: 5467.00, Average price: 0.1702, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9989

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.4800
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.5200
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.5550
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.4450
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.5600
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.4400
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.4850
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.5150
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.4850
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5150
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.5100
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.5050
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1237.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.4450
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.7350
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.2650
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.5600
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.4400
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.5600
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.4400
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.5600
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.4400
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.5650
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.4350
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.5650
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.4350
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.5600
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.4400
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.5650
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.4350
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.5650
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.4350
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1735.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5166, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.8000
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.2000
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.7900
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.2100
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.7900
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.2100
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.8150
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.1850
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.7950
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.2050
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.8000
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.2000
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.7900
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.2100
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.7900
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.2100
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.8100
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.1900
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.7650
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.2350
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.8400
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.1600
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.8400
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.1600
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.8400
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.1600
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.8500
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.1500
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.8600
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 18909.80, Sell volume: 8200.60, Average price: 0.4523, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9989
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.1600
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.8400
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.1600
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.8400
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.1600
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.8000
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.2000
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.7700
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.2300
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.7750
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.2250
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.7600
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.2400
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.7600
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.2400
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.7600
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.2400
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.7600
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.2400
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.7600
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.2400
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.7600
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.2400
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 162.00, Sell volume: 129.41, Average price: 0.5842, Price range: 0.2526 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.2450
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.7550
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.7750
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.7750
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.7750
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.7750
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.7750
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 18909.80, Sell volume: 8200.60, Average price: 0.4523, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9989
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.1750
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.8250
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.1750
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.8350
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.1650
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.8350
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.1650
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.8350
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.1650
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.8500
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.1500
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.8800
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.1200
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.8800
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.1200
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.7900
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.2100
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.7950
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.2050
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.7950
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.2050
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.8800
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.1200
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.7950
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.2050
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.7950
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.2050
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.8100
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.1900
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 551.48, Average price: 0.3237, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7786
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.7350
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.2650
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.7300
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.2700
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.7350
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.2650
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.7300
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.2700
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.7300
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.2700
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.7350
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.2650
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.7350
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.2650
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.7350
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.2650
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.7300
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.2700
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.2600
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.7400
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 18909.80, Sell volume: 8200.60, Average price: 0.4523, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9989
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.2600
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 18909.80, Sell volume: 8200.60, Average price: 0.4523, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9989
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.7400
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.2600
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.7400
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.2600
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.8600
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.1400
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.8650
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 445.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6045, Price range: 0.2836 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.6050
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.5950
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.6300
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.3700
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.4750
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.5250
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.7650
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.2350
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.6450
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.3550
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.6650
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.3350
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.6650
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.3350
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.4350
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.5650
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.4500
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.4450
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.5550
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.3300
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.6700
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.3050
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.6950
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 307.89, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.3800
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.6200
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.4400
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.5600
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.4350
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.5650
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.2400
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.7600
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.2450
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.7550
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.2950
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.7050
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.3750
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.6250
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.5200
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.4700
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.5300
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.5350
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.4650
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.5350
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.4900
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.5100
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.4500
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.5500
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.4500
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 366.76, Sell volume: 230.00, Average price: 0.4729, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.6750
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.4100
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.5900
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.5000
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.5000
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.4650
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.5350
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.1900
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.8100
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.1800
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.8200
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0500
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9500
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0065
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9935
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0065
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9935
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0065
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9935
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.0065
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9935
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0065
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9935
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0065
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9935
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0065
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9935
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0075
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9925
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 2696.49, Sell volume: 1792.71, Average price: 0.6653, Price range: 0.0035 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518486
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 27110.404141
Price History:
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0055
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9945
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0055
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9945
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0055
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9945
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0075
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9925
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0050
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9950
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0045
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9955
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0045
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9955
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.0045
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 11856.33, Sell volume: 5467.00, Average price: 0.1702, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9989
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.4800
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.5200
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.5650
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.4350
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.5600
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.4400
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.5550
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.4450
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.5600
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.4400
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5650
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.4350
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.5650
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.4350
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.3950
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.6050
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.5900
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 234.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4100, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.4100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.3900
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.6100
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.3900
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.6100
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.3900
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.6100
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.3850
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 775.36, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.4339, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.3850
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.6150
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.3850
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.6150
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.3800
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.6200
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.3800
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.6200
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.6450
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.3550
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.6450
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.3550
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.6450
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.3550
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6450
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.3550
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.6550
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.6300
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.3700
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.5300
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.4700
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 968.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.3900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.4750
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.5250
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.4800
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.5200
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.4700
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.5300
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.5300
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.4700
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.4450
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.5550
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.4450
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.5550
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.4450
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.5550
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.5150
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.4850
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.5150
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.4850
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.5650
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.5600
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.4400
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.4150
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.5400
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.5950
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.4050
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.4150
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.5900
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.5950
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.4050
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.5800
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.4200
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.5150
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.4850
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 26003.81, Sell volume: 7399.24, Average price: 0.3414, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.5200
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.4800
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.5200
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.4800
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.5200
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.4800
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.5200
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.4800
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.5200
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.4800
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.5200
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.4800
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.5150
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.4850
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.5200
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.4800
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.5150
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.4850
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.7100
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.2900
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.6850
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.3150
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.5850
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.4150
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.5850
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.4150
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.6850
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.3150
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.7050
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.2950
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.6850
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 26003.81, Sell volume: 7399.24, Average price: 0.3414, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.6850
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.3150
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.6850
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.3150
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.6850
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.3150
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.6900
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.3100
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.6950
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.3050
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.6900
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.3100
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.6850
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.3150
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.6950
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.3050
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.6950
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.3050
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.6950
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.3050
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.6950
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.3050
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.6950
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.3050
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.6950
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.3050
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.7000
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.3000
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.7200
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.2800
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.7200
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.2800
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.7150
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.2850
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.7200
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.2800
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.7200
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.2800
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 26003.81, Sell volume: 7399.24, Average price: 0.3414, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.2800
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.7150
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.2850
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.7150
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.2850
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.7150
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.2850
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.7200
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.2800
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 26003.81, Sell volume: 7399.24, Average price: 0.3414, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.5150
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.4850
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 32.00, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.3733, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.5200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.5300
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.4700
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.5300
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.4700
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.5300
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.4900
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.5100
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.4650
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.4500
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.4600
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 541.99, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.4564, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.4650
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.4500
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.4500
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.4200
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.2650
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.7350
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.3250
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.6750
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.6600
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.3300
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.6700
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.3650
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.6350
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.3700
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.3650
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.6350
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.3700
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.2550
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.7450
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.2550
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.7450
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.2500
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.7500
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.2050
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.7950
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.2100
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.7900
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.2100
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.7900
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.2150
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.7850
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 231.15, Sell volume: 18.00, Average price: 0.5046, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.6247

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.7900
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.2050
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.7950
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.2150
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.7850
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.1850
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.1750
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.8250
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.0055
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.9945
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0050
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9950
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9970
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0035
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9965
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0035
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9965
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.0035
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9965
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0035
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9965
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0035
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9965
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0040
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9960
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9955
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 5943.80, Sell volume: 5554.31, Average price: 0.1267, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9955
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0045
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9955
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.0045
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9955
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0070
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9930
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0080
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9920
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9960
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9960
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.0030
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.9970
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.0020
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.9980
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 17206.75, Sell volume: 1575.93, Average price: 0.5006, Price range: 0.0027 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.4800
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.5200
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.5650
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.4350
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.5600
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.4400
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.5550
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.4450
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.5600
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.4400
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5650
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.4350
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.5650
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.4350
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 234.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4100, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.4100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.5850
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.3800
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.6200
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.3850
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.6150
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 775.36, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.4339, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.3850
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.6150
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.3850
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.6150
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.3800
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.6200
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.3800
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.6200
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.6450
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.3550
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.6450
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.3550
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.6450
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.3550
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6450
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.3550
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.6550
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.6300
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.3700
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 968.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.3900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.4750
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.5250
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.4800
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.5200
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.4700
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.5300
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.5300
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.4700
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.4450
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.5550
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.4450
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.5550
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.4450
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.5550
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.5250
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.5150
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.4850
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.5150
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.4850
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.5600
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.4400
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.4150
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.5400
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.4600
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.5400
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.5950
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.4050
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.4150
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.5900
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.4100
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.5950
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.4050
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.5800
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 26003.81, Sell volume: 7399.24, Average price: 0.3414, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.5200
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.4800
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.5200
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.4800
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.5200
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.4800
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.5200
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.4800
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.5200
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.4800
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.5200
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.4800
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.5150
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.4850
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.5200
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.4800
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.5150
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.4850
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.7100
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.2900
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.6850
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.3150
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 26003.81, Sell volume: 7399.24, Average price: 0.3414, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.6850
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.3150
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.6850
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.3150
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.6850
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.3150
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.6900
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.3100
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.6950
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.3050
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.6900
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.3100
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.6850
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.3150
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.6950
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.3050
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.6950
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.3050
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.6950
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.3050
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.6950
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.3050
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.6950
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.3050
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.6950
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.3050
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.7000
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.3000
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.7200
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 26003.81, Sell volume: 7399.24, Average price: 0.3414, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.2800
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.7150
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.2850
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.7150
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.2850
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.7150
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.2850
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.7200
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.2800
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 26003.81, Sell volume: 7399.24, Average price: 0.3414, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.5150
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.4850
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.7550
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 32.00, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.3733, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.5200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.3150
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.5300
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.4700
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.5300
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.4700
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.5300
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.4700
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.4900
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.5100
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.4650
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.3850
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.6150
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 541.99, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.4564, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.4650
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.4500
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.4500
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.4200
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.2650
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.7350
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.3250
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.6750
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.3400
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.6600
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.3300
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.6700
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.3650
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.6350
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.3700
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.3650
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.6350
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.3700
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.6300
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.2550
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.7450
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.2550
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.7450
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.2500
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 231.15, Sell volume: 18.00, Average price: 0.5046, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.6247
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.7900
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.2050
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.7950
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.2150
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.7850
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.1850
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.1750
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.8250
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.0055
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.9945
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0050
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9950
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9970
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0035
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9965
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0035
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9965
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.0035
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9965
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0035
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9965
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0035
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9965
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0040
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9960
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0045
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9955
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 5943.80, Sell volume: 5554.31, Average price: 0.1267, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518489
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 33403.04957
Price History:
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9965
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.0045
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9955
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0045
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9955
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.0045
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9955
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0070
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9930
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0080
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9920
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9960
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0040
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9960
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.0035
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 17206.75, Sell volume: 1575.93, Average price: 0.5006, Price range: 0.0027 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.5250
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.3500
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.3550
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.3550
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.3550
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.3800
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.3550
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.3750
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.3550
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.3550
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.3500
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.3500
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.3600
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.3900
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.3900
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.3950
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.4200
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.4250
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.4300
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.4300
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.4300
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.4300
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.6500
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.6800
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.7150
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.7150
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.7150
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.6900
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.6900
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.7100
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.6750
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.6900
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.6800
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.6550
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.6600
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.6600
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.6600
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.6550
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.6500
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.6550
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.6550
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.6700
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.6650
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.6550
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.6200
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.6250
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.6300
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.6250
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.6650
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.6650
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.6650
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.6650
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.6650
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.6450
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.5950
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.5950
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.6050
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.6050
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.6050
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.6250
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.6300
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.6150
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.6100
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.6100
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.6000
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.5850
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.5850
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.5950
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.5950
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.5950
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.6250
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.6250
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.6250
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.6250
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.6250
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.6250
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.6250
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.5850
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.5850
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.5950
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.5950
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.5950
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.5950
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.5950
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.5750
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.5750
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.5800
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.5850
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.5850
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.5850
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.5850
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.5850
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.5850
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.5850
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.6100
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.6050
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.6050
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.6050
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.6050
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.6100
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.6100
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.6100
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.5850
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.5650
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.5650
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.5650
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.5650
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.5550
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.5550
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.5550
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.5550
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.5550
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.5550
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.5550
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.5550
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.5550
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.5550
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.5550
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.5550
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.5550
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.5550
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.5550
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.5550
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.5550
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.5550
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.5550
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.5550
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.5550
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.5550
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.5550
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.5550
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.5550
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.5450
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.5450
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.5450
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.5400
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.5400
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.5400
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.5400
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.5400
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.5150
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.4950
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.4850
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.4900
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.4900
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.4900
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.4900
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.4900
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.4900
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.5150
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.4850
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.5150
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.5150
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.4550
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.5450
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.4450
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.4450
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.4450
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.4500
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.5500
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.5450
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.4550
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.4600
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.5500
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.4500
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.5400
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.4600
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.4600
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.4600
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.5400
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.5400
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.5400
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.4600
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.5400
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.5400
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.5450
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.5450
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.5450
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.5450
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.5450
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.5650
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.5650
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.5650
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.6100
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.5550
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.4500
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.4450
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.4350
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.4550
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.4550
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.5400
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.5400
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.5350
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.4650
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.5400
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.4550
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.4550
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.5700
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.6250
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.3500
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.6550
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.6450
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.2150
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1900
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.0750
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.7850
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.7900
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.8000
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.7350
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.2200
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.8000
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.2000
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.2150
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.2000
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.1950
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.7850
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.2200
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.2200
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.2200
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.7800
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.2250
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.7750
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.7800
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.7850
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.7850
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.7550
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.7450
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.7700
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.8050
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.8150
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.1650
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.1850
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.8150
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.1950
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.8150
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.1850
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.1800
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.8150
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.8200
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.8150
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.8200
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.8200
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8150
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.8200
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8150
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.8150
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.8150
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.8200
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.8200
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.8200
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.8300
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.8250
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.8150
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.8250
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.8250
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.8150
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.8200
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.8200
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.1800
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.1800
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.8200
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.8200
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.1750
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.8250
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.1750
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.8200
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.1850
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.1750
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.1500
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.1350
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9050
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0950
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1300
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.8750
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.8500
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.1500
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.8500
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.8500
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.8500
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8400
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.1600
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.8400
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.8400
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.1600
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.1500
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.1500
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.8500
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.1500
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.1500
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.8500
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.8500
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.8400
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.8400
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.8400
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.1600
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.1600
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.1600
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.1600
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.8350
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.8350
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.8050
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.1900
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.2050
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.2100
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.2050
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.2100
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.7900
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.2000
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.8000
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.1850
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.8050
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.8000
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.8000
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.8000
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.1950
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.1950
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.8050
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.1950
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.8050
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.8050
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.7550
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.7550
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.7550
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.7650
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.2300
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.7850
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.2250
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.2250
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.2650
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.2350
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.7900
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.7900
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.7300
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.2500
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.7850
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.7450
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.7550
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.2250
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.2300
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.2300
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.7700
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.2300
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.7700
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.7700
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.2300
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.2300
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.2300
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.7700
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.2400
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.2400
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.7600
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.7550
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.7500
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.7550
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.7450
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.7450
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.7400
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.7450
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.7450
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.7300
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.7300
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.7300
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.7300
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.7300
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.7300
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.7150
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.7150
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.7250
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.7250
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.7100
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.7600
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.7500
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.2500
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.2450
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.2400
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.2500
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.2550
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.2550
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.7450
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.2550
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.2550
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.7200
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.2800
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.7200
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.2800
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.7200
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.7150
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.2950
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.7050
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.3000
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.7000
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.2900
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.7150
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.7150
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563644
Question: Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1516461.538858
Price History:
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.3350
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.3300
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.6700
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.6550
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.6450
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.3750
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.6150
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.3850
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.5650
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.5650
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.5550
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.5550
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.5550
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.5850
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.5850
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.5900
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.4150
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.4150
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.4150
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5850
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.5600
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.4550
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.4550
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.5450
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.4550
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.4600
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.4600
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.4600
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.4600
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.5300
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.5350
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.5400
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.5400
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.5400
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 355367136.08, Sell volume: 163173909.77, Average price: 0.4535, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No