Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0090
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.0070
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0045
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0050
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0050
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0050
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0100
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0065
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0065
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0065
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0060
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 7513.12, Sell volume: 7283.34, Average price: 0.5588, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0030
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0030
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0030
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0030
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 08:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 09:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 10389.07, Sell volume: 41072.63, Average price: 0.3752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 401.99, Sell volume: 1168.00, Average price: 0.5883, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.0025
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.0025
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.0025
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 46.69, Sell volume: 5193.64, Average price: 0.8833, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 4821.12, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 05:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 07:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0027, Price range: 0.0027 - 0.0027
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0050
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0050
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0050
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0050
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.0050
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0050
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0050
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0050
2024-11-23 13:00: 0.0050
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0045
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.0045
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2860.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0087, Price range: 0.0087 - 0.0087
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0045
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0045
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0045
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0045
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0045
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0045
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0045
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 11418.27, Sell volume: 482.13, Average price: 0.1825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512457
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
Volume: 340189.6698
Price History:
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 166.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.4350
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.5650
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.3100
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.6900
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.0600
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.9400
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.0350
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.9650
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.0250
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.9750
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.0075
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.9925
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.0075
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.9925
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.0075
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.9925
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.0055
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.9945
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.0045
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.9955
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.0150
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.9850
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.0130
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.9870
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.0145
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.9855
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.0130
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.9870
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.0065
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.9935
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.0050
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.9950
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.0030
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.9970
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.0055
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.9945
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.0110
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.9890
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.0060
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.9940
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.0080
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.9920
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.0105
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.9895
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0130
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.9870
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.0110
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.9890
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.0120
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 277, Buy volume: 23870.24, Sell volume: 6713.50, Average price: 0.6811, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.0205
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.9795
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.0205
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.9795
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.0125
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.9875
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.0230
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.9770
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.0160
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.9840
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.0960
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.9040
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.0695
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.9305
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.0720
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.9280
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.0855
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.9145
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.0775
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.9225
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.0745
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.9255
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.0640
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.9360
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.0590
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.9410
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.0575
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.9425
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.0240
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.9760
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.0165
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.9835
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.0195
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.9805
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.0470
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.9530
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.0480
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.9520
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.2565
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.7435
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.2670
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.7330
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.2900
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.7100
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.2600
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.7400
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.2795
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.7205
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.2810
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.7190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 373, Buy volume: 102032.84, Sell volume: 11994.14, Average price: 0.5889, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.2440
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.7560
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.2400
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.7600
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.2730
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.7270
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.3020
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.6980
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.2395
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.7605
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.1205
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.8795
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.1910
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.8090
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.1905
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.8095
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.1635
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.8365
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0280
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.9720
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.0655
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.9345
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0490
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.9510
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.0570
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.9430
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.0145
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.9855
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.0255
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.9745
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0215
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.9785
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.0200
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.9800
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0225
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.9775
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0210
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.9790
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0165
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.9835
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.0215
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.9785
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0180
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.9820
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.0170
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.9830
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0170
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.9830
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0175
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 323, Buy volume: 61121.72, Sell volume: 25408.32, Average price: 0.5509, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0185
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.9815
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.0205
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.9795
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0070
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.9930
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0075
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.9925
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0075
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.9925
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0075
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.9925
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0060
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.9940
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0040
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.9960
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0040
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.9960
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0040
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.9960
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0040
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.9960
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0060
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.9940
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0055
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.9945
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0050
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.9950
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0090
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.9910
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0060
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.9940
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.9980
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9980
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0030
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.9970
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0120
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.9880
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0100
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9900
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0075
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9925
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0075
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 21385.84, Sell volume: 23640.43, Average price: 0.5303, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.9975
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.9975
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0050
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.9950
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0055
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.9945
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0060
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.9940
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0160
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.9840
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0225
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.9775
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.0265
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.9735
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.0250
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.9750
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0245
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.9755
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.0140
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.9860
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0105
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.9895
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.0100
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.9900
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.0100
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.9900
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0075
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.9925
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.0065
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.9935
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.0065
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.9935
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.0075
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.9925
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0075
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.9925
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0085
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.9915
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0065
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.9935
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0065
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.9935
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.0110
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.9890
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.0075
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.9925
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.0060
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 33138.44, Sell volume: 9484.44, Average price: 0.6406, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.0070
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.9930
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0050
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.9950
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.0045
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.9955
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0050
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.9950
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0070
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.9930
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0045
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.9955
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0045
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.9955
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0045
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.9955
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0045
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.9955
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0045
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.9955
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0045
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.9955
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0045
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.9955
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.0045
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.9955
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0050
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.9950
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0050
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.9950
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0050
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.9950
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0045
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.9955
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0045
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.9955
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0040
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.9960
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0035
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.9965
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0035
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.9965
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0035
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.9965
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0035
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.9965
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0035
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.9965
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.0035
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 184.40, Sell volume: 1224.36, Average price: 0.7806, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0030
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.9970
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0030
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.9970
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.0040
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.9960
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0040
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.9960
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.9975
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 3139.69, Sell volume: 5126.97, Average price: 0.9332, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0045
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.9955
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0045
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.9955
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0045
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.9955
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0045
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.9955
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0045
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.9955
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0045
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.9955
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.9945
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.9945
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.9945
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.9945
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.9945
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.9945
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.9945
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0050
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.9950
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0040
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.9960
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.9960
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.9960
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.9960
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.9960
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.9960
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.9960
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.9960
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.9960
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.9960
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 210.42, Sell volume: 511.30, Average price: 0.8073, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.9965
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.9965
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.9965
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.9965
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.9965
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.9965
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.9960
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.9960
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.9960
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.9960
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.9960
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.9960
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.9960
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.9955
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.9955
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.9955
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.9955
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.9955
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.9955
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1891.72, Sell volume: 2053.75, Average price: 0.7127, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0035
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.9965
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.9965
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.9965
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 130.48, Sell volume: 131.38, Average price: 0.9963, Price range: 0.9943 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.9965
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.9965
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.9965
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.9965
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.9980
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 5728.25, Sell volume: 40122.95, Average price: 0.0019, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0030

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.9975
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.9975
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.9975
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.9975
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9975
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0025
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.9975
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0025
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.9975
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.9990
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.9990
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.9990
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.9990
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.9990
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.9990
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.9990
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.9990
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.9990
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.9980
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.9980
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.9980
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.9980
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0040
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.9960
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0040
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.9960
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0045
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.9955
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0040
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.9960
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0040
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 98.33, Sell volume: 25348.82, Average price: 0.7494, Price range: 0.0057 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0055
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.9945
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.0055
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.9945
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.0055
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.9945
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0055
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.9945
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.9955
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.9955
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.9955
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.9955
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.9955
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.9955
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.9955
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.9955
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.9955
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.9955
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.9980
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.9980
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.9980
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.9980
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.9980
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.9980
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.9980
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.9980
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0040
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.9960
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0040
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.9960
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0040
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 20962.18, Sell volume: 1829.36, Average price: 0.7669, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.4350
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.3100
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.0600
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.0350
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.0250
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.0075
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.0075
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.0075
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.0055
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.0045
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.0150
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.0130
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.0145
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.0130
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.0065
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.0050
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.0030
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.0055
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.0110
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.0060
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.0080
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.0105
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0130
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.0110
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.0120
2024-11-09 18:00: 0.0115
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.0035
2024-11-09 20:00: 0.0045
2024-11-09 21:00: 0.0030
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 277, Buy volume: 23870.24, Sell volume: 6713.50, Average price: 0.6811, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.0205
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.0205
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.0125
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.0230
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.0160
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.0960
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.0695
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.0720
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.0855
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.0775
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.0745
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.0640
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.0590
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.0575
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.0240
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.0165
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.0195
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.0470
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.0480
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.2565
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.2670
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.2900
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.2600
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.2795
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.2810
2024-11-11 03:00: 0.2760
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.2750
2024-11-11 05:00: 0.2695
2024-11-11 06:00: 0.2690
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.2455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 373, Buy volume: 102032.84, Sell volume: 11994.14, Average price: 0.5889, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.2440
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.2400
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.2730
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.3020
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.2395
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.1205
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.1910
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.1905
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.1635
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0280
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.0655
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0490
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.0570
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.0145
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.0255
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0215
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.0200
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0225
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0210
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0165
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.0215
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0180
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.0170
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0170
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0175
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.0165
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.0155
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.0090
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.0220
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 323, Buy volume: 61121.72, Sell volume: 25408.32, Average price: 0.5509, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0185
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.0205
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0070
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0075
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0075
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0075
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0060
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0040
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0040
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0040
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0040
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0060
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0055
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0050
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0090
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0060
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0030
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0120
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0100
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0075
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0075
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0075
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0075
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.0060
2024-11-14 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 21385.84, Sell volume: 23640.43, Average price: 0.5303, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0050
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0055
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0060
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0160
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0225
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.0265
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.0250
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0245
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.0140
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0105
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.0100
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.0100
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0075
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.0065
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.0065
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.0075
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0075
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0085
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0065
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0065
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.0110
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.0075
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.0060
2024-11-15 06:00: 0.0065
2024-11-15 07:00: 0.0065
2024-11-15 08:00: 0.0075
2024-11-15 09:00: 0.0075
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 33138.44, Sell volume: 9484.44, Average price: 0.6406, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.0070
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0050
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.0045
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0050
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0070
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0045
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0045
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0045
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0045
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0045
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0045
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0045
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.0045
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0050
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0050
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0050
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0045
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0045
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0040
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0035
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0035
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0035
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0035
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0035
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.0035
2024-11-16 15:00: 0.0035
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0035
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.0035
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.0035
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 184.40, Sell volume: 1224.36, Average price: 0.7806, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0030
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0030
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.0040
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0040
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.0040
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 3139.69, Sell volume: 5126.97, Average price: 0.9332, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0045
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0045
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0045
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0045
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0045
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0045
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0050
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0040
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 09:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 11:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 210.42, Sell volume: 511.30, Average price: 0.8073, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.0035
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 17:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.0045
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1891.72, Sell volume: 2053.75, Average price: 0.7127, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 05:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 07:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 130.48, Sell volume: 131.38, Average price: 0.9963, Price range: 0.9943 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0035
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 5728.25, Sell volume: 40122.95, Average price: 0.0019, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0025
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0025
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0040
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0040
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0045
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0040
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0040
2024-11-24 21:00: 0.0040
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.0040
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.0040
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.0040
2024-11-25 01:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 98.33, Sell volume: 25348.82, Average price: 0.7494, Price range: 0.0057 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512450
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 3% or more?
Volume: 441994.54339
Price History:
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0055
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.0055
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.0055
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0055
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.0045
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0040
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0040
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0040
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.0040
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.0040
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.0040
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 20962.18, Sell volume: 1829.36, Average price: 0.7669, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.3400
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.0550
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0550
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.0550
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0450
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0450
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0550
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0600
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.1000
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0950
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0800
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0750
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0750
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0850
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0850
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0850
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0850
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0850
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0800
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0550
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0550
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0550
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0550
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0550
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0550
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0550
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0550
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0550
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0550
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0600
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0450
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0450
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.0600
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0600
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0550
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0450
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0450
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.0450
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.0450
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0450
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0450
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.0500
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.0350
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 48854612.70, Sell volume: 33701111.02, Average price: 0.8024, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.0320
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0190
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.0400
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.0280
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.0445
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.0430
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0295
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.0405
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.0420
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.0420
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.0420
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.0345
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0465
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0495
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.0420
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0420
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0425
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.0420
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.0370
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0345
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.0355
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0360
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.0350
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.0255
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0255
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0275
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.0265
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.0250
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.0250
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.0275
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.0250
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0225
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0285
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.0280
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0350
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.0350
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0350
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.0350
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.0350
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.0350
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0350
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0350
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0350
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0350
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0350
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0350
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0360
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0355
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0355
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 48854612.70, Sell volume: 33701111.02, Average price: 0.8024, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0355
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0365
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0365
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0365
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0365
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0415
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0420
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0420
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0425
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0430
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0485
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0485
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0495
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0495
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0425
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0425
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0420
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0420
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0385
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0380
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0430
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0455
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0475
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0445
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0460
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0465
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0465
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0465
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0465
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0465
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0465
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0495
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.0495
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0485
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0335
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0335
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0390
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.0455
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0470
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0475
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0505
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0540
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0540
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0540
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0540
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0550
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0550
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 48854612.70, Sell volume: 33701111.02, Average price: 0.8024, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0490
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0455
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0325
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0315
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0250
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0245
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0370
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0360
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0355
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0245
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0245
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0245
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0240
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0245
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0255
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0255
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0255
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0255
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0255
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0255
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0255
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0255
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0245
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0320
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0320
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0275
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0260
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0260
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0260
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0260
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0250
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0250
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0250
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0250
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0250
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0250
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0250
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0255
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0280
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0270
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0325
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0290
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 48854612.70, Sell volume: 33701111.02, Average price: 0.8024, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0220
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0220
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0175
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0190
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0185
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0185
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0190
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0185
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0185
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.0205
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.0200
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.0200
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0200
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.0200
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0200
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.0270
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.0170
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.0160
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.0160
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0160
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.0160
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0160
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0225
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0255
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0215
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0275
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0225
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0245
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.0260
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0215
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0165
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0165
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0260
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.0130
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.0055
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0095
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0075
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0070
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0075
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0075
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0070
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 48854612.70, Sell volume: 33701111.02, Average price: 0.8024, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0065
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0065
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0080
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0085
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0090
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0145
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0090
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0095
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0100
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0105
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0105
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0100
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0065
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0050
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0050
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0055
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0055
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0055
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0055
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0055
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0055
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0070
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0070
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 48854612.70, Sell volume: 33701111.02, Average price: 0.8024, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0065
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0050
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0050
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0050
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0050
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0050
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0105
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0120
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0125
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0135
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0125
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0125
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0125
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0125
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0110
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0110
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0115
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0110
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0125
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0080
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0080
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0065
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0160
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.0110
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 179820, Buy volume: 5278885.46, Sell volume: 7591880.52, Average price: 0.6756, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0165
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0155
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0140
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0125
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0125
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0105
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0100
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0080
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0080
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0080
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0080
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0085
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0070
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0070
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0065
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0065
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0065
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0065
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0065
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0065
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0065
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0060
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 557442, Buy volume: 27030984.86, Sell volume: 16736167.08, Average price: 0.7955, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0085
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0050
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0110
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0110
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0075
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0055
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0055
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0055
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.0080
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0080
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0110
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0070
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0070
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0070
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0070
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0070
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.0070
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0070
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0055
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0055
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 262358, Buy volume: 16506719.24, Sell volume: 9352684.72, Average price: 0.9038, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0045
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0045
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0045
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0045
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.9955
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9955
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.9955
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.9955
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0045
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9955
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9955
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9955
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9955
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 210, Buy volume: 16938.70, Sell volume: 8039.82, Average price: 0.8825, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0045
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0045
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0045
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0045
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0040
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9960
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9965
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9965
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0035
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 10798.56, Sell volume: 8294.61, Average price: 0.8369, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 6684.92, Sell volume: 3865.32, Average price: 0.8338, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 3600.96, Sell volume: 138.95, Average price: 0.4669, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.3400
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.9450
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0550
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9400
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0450
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.9400
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.8700
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0700
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9350
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0750
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9150
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0850
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.9150
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0550
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9450
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0550
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9450
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0550
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9450
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0600
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9500
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0600
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.9450
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.9550
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.0450
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.9550
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.0500
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 48854612.70, Sell volume: 33701111.02, Average price: 0.8024, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.0320
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.9560
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0280
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9570
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.0360
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.9570
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0405
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9520
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.0415
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.9580
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.0420
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.9635
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.0370
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9590
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0375
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.9705
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.0250
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.9750
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0295
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.9715
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.0350
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.9650
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.0350
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9650
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.0350
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.9650
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.0350
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.9640
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0360
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 48854612.70, Sell volume: 33701111.02, Average price: 0.8024, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0355
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9635
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.0365
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.9650
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.0415
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9575
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.0430
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.9515
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0490
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.9570
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0425
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.9615
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.0380
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.9555
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9540
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0465
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.9540
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0465
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9535
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0495
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9510
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0335
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9570
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0475
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9495
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0540
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9460
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0550
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 48854612.70, Sell volume: 33701111.02, Average price: 0.8024, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0490
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9550
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0300
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0250
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9750
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0370
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9645
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9755
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0245
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9755
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0255
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9745
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0255
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9745
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0255
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9755
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0315
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9725
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0260
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9740
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0250
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9750
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0250
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9750
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0255
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9715
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0285
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 48854612.70, Sell volume: 33701111.02, Average price: 0.8024, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0220
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9825
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9830
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0190
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.9815
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0190
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.9820
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.0185
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.9800
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.0200
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.9800
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.0270
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.9840
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.0160
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.9840
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0225
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.9755
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.0245
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.9775
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.0270
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9775
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0170
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.9855
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.9925
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9930
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0070
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 48854612.70, Sell volume: 33701111.02, Average price: 0.8024, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0065
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9940
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0105
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9955
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9965
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0035
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.9960
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9900
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0085
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9900
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0100
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9895
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0105
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9895
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0065
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9940
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9950
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9950
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.9940
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9945
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0055
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9945
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 48854612.70, Sell volume: 33701111.02, Average price: 0.8024, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0070
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9950
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.9950
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0050
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.9950
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.9950
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9940
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9940
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9890
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0125
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.9875
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0125
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9870
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0110
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9890
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0115
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9870
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9920
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0065
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.9940
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9940
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0170
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 179820, Buy volume: 5278885.46, Sell volume: 7591880.52, Average price: 0.6756, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.9940
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0160
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.9845
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.0110
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9890
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0115
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9915
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.9920
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.0065
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9920
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0070
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.9935
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.9935
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0065
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.9935
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.0065
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.9945
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0055
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9940
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9940
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.0055
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9945
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0055
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 557442, Buy volume: 27030984.86, Sell volume: 16736167.08, Average price: 0.7955, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9915
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0055
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9945
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0055
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9945
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0055
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9945
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0055
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9950
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0055
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9945
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0055
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9900
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0090
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9945
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9945
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0055
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.9945
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0055
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.9920
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0110
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.9930
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.0070
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9930
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0070
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.9940
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 262358, Buy volume: 16506719.24, Sell volume: 9352684.72, Average price: 0.9038, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9955
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0045
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9955
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0045
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.9955
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9955
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0045
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9955
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0045
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9955
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0045
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9955
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0045
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9955
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0045
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9955
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0045
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.9955
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9955
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9955
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0045
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9955
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9955
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0045
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0045
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9955
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 210, Buy volume: 16938.70, Sell volume: 8039.82, Average price: 0.8825, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9955
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.0045
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9955
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.9955
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.9955
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0045
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0045
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9960
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9960
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9965
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 10798.56, Sell volume: 8294.61, Average price: 0.8369, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 6684.92, Sell volume: 3865.32, Average price: 0.8338, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525327
Question: Will Mercedes be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Volume: 332339.488176
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9990
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 3600.96, Sell volume: 138.95, Average price: 0.4669, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.5450
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.4550
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.5200
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.4800
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.2900
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.7100
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.2600
2024-11-08 20:00: 0.7400
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.2400
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.7600
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.2850
2024-11-08 22:00: 0.7150
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.2850
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.7150
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.3100
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.6900
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.2850
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.7150
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.2850
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.7150
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.2950
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.7050
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.3100
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.6900
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.3100
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.6900
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.2950
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.7050
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.3000
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.7000
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.3000
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.7000
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.3000
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.7000
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.3000
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.7000
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.2950
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.7050
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.2850
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.7150
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.2850
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.7150
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.3250
2024-11-09 14:00: 0.6750
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.3500
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.6500
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.3550
2024-11-09 16:00: 0.6450
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.3750
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211788, Buy volume: 66013460.63, Sell volume: 3459676.86, Average price: 0.5210, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6326

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-10 01:00: 0.5150
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.5150
2024-11-10 02:00: 0.4850
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.7500
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.2500
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.7650
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.2350
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.7700
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.2300
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.7400
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.2600
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.6150
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.3850
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.4400
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.5600
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.4350
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.5650
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.4850
2024-11-10 10:00: 0.5150
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.4650
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.5350
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.5800
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.4200
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.5100
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.4900
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.6900
2024-11-10 14:00: 0.3100
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.7100
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.2900
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.7150
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.2850
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.7000
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.3000
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.6850
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.3150
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.6950
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.3050
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.8000
2024-11-10 20:00: 0.2000
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.6350
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.3650
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.7100
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.2900
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.6900
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.3100
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.7250
2024-11-11 00:00: 0.2750
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.7050
2024-11-11 01:00: 0.2950
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 787301, Buy volume: 128814884.79, Sell volume: 77943295.53, Average price: 0.4916, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8134

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-11 10:00: 0.7150
2024-11-11 10:00: 0.2850
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.7450
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.2550
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.7550
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.2450
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.7150
2024-11-11 13:00: 0.2850
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.6850
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.3150
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.7150
2024-11-11 15:00: 0.2850
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.8450
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.1550
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.7750
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.2250
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.7950
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.2050
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.8050
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.1950
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.9450
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0550
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.8750
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.1250
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.8800
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.1200
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.8850
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.1150
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.9580
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.0420
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.9050
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.0950
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.9150
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0850
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.9645
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.0355
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.9435
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0565
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.9670
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0330
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.9635
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0365
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.9600
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.0400
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.9535
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0465
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.9185
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.0815
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.8995
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.1005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 372, Buy volume: 37985.48, Sell volume: 23327.87, Average price: 0.5564, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9740

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.0765
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.9285
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.0715
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.9385
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0615
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.9380
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.0620
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.9090
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0910
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.9250
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0750
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.9250
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0750
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.9340
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0660
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.9365
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0635
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.9345
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0655
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.9310
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0690
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.9310
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0690
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.9310
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0690
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.9325
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0675
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.9340
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0660
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.9345
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0655
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.9340
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0660
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.9415
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0585
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.9430
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0570
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.9450
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.9450
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9480
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0520
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.9485
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0515
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.9580
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0420
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9635
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0365
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 213, Buy volume: 13197.51, Sell volume: 13140.93, Average price: 0.7510, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-14 03:00: 0.9745
2024-11-14 03:00: 0.0255
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.9755
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.0245
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.9775
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0225
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.9780
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0220
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.9775
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0225
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.9785
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0215
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.9780
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0220
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.9730
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0270
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.9570
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0430
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.9665
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.0335
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.9685
2024-11-14 13:00: 0.0315
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.9655
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0345
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.9725
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.0275
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.9860
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0140
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.9885
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.0115
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.9875
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.0125
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.9900
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0100
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.9905
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.0095
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.9920
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.0080
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.9910
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.0090
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.9910
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0090
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.9910
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0090
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.9915
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0085
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.9915
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0085
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.9910
2024-11-15 03:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 23303.48, Sell volume: 3419.61, Average price: 0.7716, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-15 11:00: 0.0095
2024-11-15 12:00: 0.9890
2024-11-15 12:00: 0.0110
2024-11-15 13:00: 0.9855
2024-11-15 13:00: 0.0145
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.9860
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.0140
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.9860
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0140
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.9865
2024-11-15 16:00: 0.0135
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.9860
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0140
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.9860
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.0140
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.9860
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0140
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.9860
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0140
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.9865
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0135
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.9855
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0145
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.9855
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0145
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.9790
2024-11-16 00:00: 0.0210
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.9810
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0190
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.9805
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.0195
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.9805
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0195
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.9810
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0190
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.9810
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0190
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.9825
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0175
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.9815
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0185
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.9780
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.0220
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.9780
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0220
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.9815
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0185
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.9815
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0185
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 645.16, Sell volume: 2067.43, Average price: 0.9480, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-16 20:00: 0.9815
2024-11-16 20:00: 0.0185
2024-11-16 21:00: 0.9820
2024-11-16 21:00: 0.0180
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.9815
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.0185
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.9820
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.0180
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.9815
2024-11-17 00:00: 0.0185
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.9820
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0180
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.9820
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0180
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.9820
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.0180
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.9830
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0170
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.9815
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0185
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.9815
2024-11-17 06:00: 0.0185
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.9815
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0185
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.9815
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.0185
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.9805
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0195
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.9820
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0180
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.9815
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.0185
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.9825
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0175
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.9825
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0175
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.9835
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.0165
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.9835
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.0165
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.9835
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0165
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.9835
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0165
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.9830
2024-11-17 18:00: 0.0170
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.9825
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0175
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.9830
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 1761.96, Sell volume: 381.53, Average price: 0.9431, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.9825
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.9825
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 07:00: 0.9825
2024-11-18 07:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.9825
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.9825
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.9825
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.9825
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.9825
2024-11-18 12:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.9825
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0175
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.9830
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.0170
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.9835
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0165
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.9835
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0165
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.9835
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0165
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.9835
2024-11-18 18:00: 0.0165
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.9835
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0165
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.9835
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0165
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.9835
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0165
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.9835
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0165
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.9835
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0165
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.9825
2024-11-19 00:00: 0.0175
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.9820
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0180
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.9825
2024-11-19 02:00: 0.0175
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.9810
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0190
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.9815
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0185
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1698.58, Sell volume: 3421.58, Average price: 0.8947, Price range: 0.0167 - 0.9840

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512452
Question: Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 2-3%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 379437.654868
Price History:
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.9825
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.0175
2024-11-19 14:00: 0.9820
2024-11-19 14:00: 0.0180
2024-11-19 15:00: 0.9820
2024-11-19 15:00: 0.0180
2024-11-19 16:00: 0.9820
2024-11-19 16:00: 0.0180
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.9825
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0175
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.9825
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0175
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.9820
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.0180
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.9825
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.0175
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.9825
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.0175
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.9825
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.0175
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.9825
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.0175
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.9825
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0175
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.9825
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.0175
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.9825
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0175
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.9825
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.0175
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.9820
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0180
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.9830
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.0170
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.9825
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0175
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.9825
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.0175
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.9820
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0180
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.9830
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0170
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.9830
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.0170
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.9840
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.0160
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.9830
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0170
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.9840
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 2930.31, Sell volume: 655.78, Average price: 0.9821, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9850

Output: No