Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 649955
Question: Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14824151.336275
Price History:
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1450
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8550
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.1450
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.8550
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.1400
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.1500
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.8500
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.1250
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 570536083.80, Sell volume: 378458772.59, Average price: 0.6717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 649955
Question: Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14824151.336275
Price History:
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.1250
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.8750
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.1250
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.8750
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.1250
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.8750
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 570536083.80, Sell volume: 378458772.59, Average price: 0.6717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 649955
Question: Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14824151.336275
Price History:
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 570536083.80, Sell volume: 378458772.59, Average price: 0.6717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 649955
Question: Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14824151.336275
Price History:
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0400
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9600
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0305
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9695
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0540
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9460
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0555
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9445
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0805
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9195
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0540
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9460
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0485
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9515
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 315684, Buy volume: 240302215.09, Sell volume: 259658881.20, Average price: 0.4940, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649955
Question: Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 14824151.336275
Price History:
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.6650
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.3350
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.7250
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.7050
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.2950
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.6850
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.3150
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.6850
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.3150
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.6850
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 570536083.80, Sell volume: 378458772.59, Average price: 0.6717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649955
Question: Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 14824151.336275
Price History:
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.7300
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.2700
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.7850
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.8350
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.1650
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.7900
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.7200
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.2800
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.7700
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.2300
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.7750
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 570536083.80, Sell volume: 378458772.59, Average price: 0.6717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649955
Question: Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 14824151.336275
Price History:
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.7400
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.2600
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.7350
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.2650
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.7550
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.2450
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.7550
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.2450
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.7200
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.2800
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.7450
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.2550
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.7500
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 570536083.80, Sell volume: 378458772.59, Average price: 0.6717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649955
Question: Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 14824151.336275
Price History:
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.6850
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.3150
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.7050
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.2950
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.7250
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.2750
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.7150
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.2850
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.7100
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.2900
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.7450
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.2550
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.7450
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 570536083.80, Sell volume: 378458772.59, Average price: 0.6717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649955
Question: Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 14824151.336275
Price History:
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.7200
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.2800
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.7350
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.6800
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.3200
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.7100
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.2900
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.5050
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.4950
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.6550
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.3450
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.4650
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.5350
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.4650
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 570536083.80, Sell volume: 378458772.59, Average price: 0.6717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649955
Question: Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 14824151.336275
Price History:
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.4300
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.5700
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.3350
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.6650
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.2400
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.7600
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.7750
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.3050
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.2550
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.7450
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 570536083.80, Sell volume: 378458772.59, Average price: 0.6717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649955
Question: Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 14824151.336275
Price History:
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.1950
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.8050
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.2600
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.2500
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.7500
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.2300
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.7700
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.2700
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.7300
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.2650
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.2300
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.7700
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 570536083.80, Sell volume: 378458772.59, Average price: 0.6717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649955
Question: Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 14824151.336275
Price History:
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.2750
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.2400
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.7600
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.2250
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.7750
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.2350
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.2600
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.7400
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.2400
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.7600
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.2950
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 570536083.80, Sell volume: 378458772.59, Average price: 0.6717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649955
Question: Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 14824151.336275
Price History:
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.2600
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.7400
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.2550
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.7450
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.2200
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.2050
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.7950
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.1650
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 570536083.80, Sell volume: 378458772.59, Average price: 0.6717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649955
Question: Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 14824151.336275
Price History:
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1450
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8550
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.1450
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.8550
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.1400
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.1500
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.8500
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.1250
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 570536083.80, Sell volume: 378458772.59, Average price: 0.6717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649955
Question: Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 14824151.336275
Price History:
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.1250
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.8750
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.1250
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.8750
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.1250
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.8750
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.1350
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 570536083.80, Sell volume: 378458772.59, Average price: 0.6717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649955
Question: Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 14824151.336275
Price History:
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 570536083.80, Sell volume: 378458772.59, Average price: 0.6717, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649955
Question: Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Volume: 14824151.336275
Price History:
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0400
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9600
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0305
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9695
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0540
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9460
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0555
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9445
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0805
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9195
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0540
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9460
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0485
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9515
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 315684, Buy volume: 240302215.09, Sell volume: 259658881.20, Average price: 0.4940, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.0450
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0360
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0275
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0355
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.0375
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0400
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0405
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.0385
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.0430
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.0450
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0445
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0455
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0420
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.0425
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0415
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0395
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0430
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0445
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0425
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0425
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0425
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0430
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0425
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0425
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.0420
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0430
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0445
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0450
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0450
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0445
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0450
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0445
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0450
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0470
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0475
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0470
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0450
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0450
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0450
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0450
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0425
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0405
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0375
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0380
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0375
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0375
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0385
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0380
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0390
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0400
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0390
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0390
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0400
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0390
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0395
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0415
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0420
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0410
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0410
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0410
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0385
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0425
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0455
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0455
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0455
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0475
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0480
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0480
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0490
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0475
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0480
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0485
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0485
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0490
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0490
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0475
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0480
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0475
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0475
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0480
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0480
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0495
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0485
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0525
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0530
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0525
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0530
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0480
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0485
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0515
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0480
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0485
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.0485
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0480
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0505
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0515
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0535
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0455
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0465
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0505
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0505
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0490
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0495
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0495
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0495
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0495
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0505
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0530
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0495
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0490
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0485
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0495
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0510
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0490
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0505
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0485
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0495
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0505
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0520
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0540
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0525
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0540
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0540
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0540
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0545
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0535
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0540
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0545
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0515
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0500
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0535
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0555
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0580
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0575
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0555
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0565
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0575
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0575
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0575
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0580
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0635
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0705
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0670
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0675
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0600
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0610
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0555
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0550
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0545
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0555
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0520
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0530
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0530
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0530
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0560
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0540
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0535
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.0545
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.0540
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0545
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.0545
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0550
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0525
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0525
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0505
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0530
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0515
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0520
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0530
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0520
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0535
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0535
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0545
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0545
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0555
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0540
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0500
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0495
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0500
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0495
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0470
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0475
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0485
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0475
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0575
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0595
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0595
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0640
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0640
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0625
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0630
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0635
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0635
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0610
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0615
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0620
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0630
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0620
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0650
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0655
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0635
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0635
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0640
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0640
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0640
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0645
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0640
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0640
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0635
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0630
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0620
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0640
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0655
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0670
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0690
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0680
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0690
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0675
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0665
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0615
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0650
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0640
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0660
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0525
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0595
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0575
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0565
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0530
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0545
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0550
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0550
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0525
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0580
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0525
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0525
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0470
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0540
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0595
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0475
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0505
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0455
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0590
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0985
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.1070
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0825
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0775
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1665
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.1830
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.2890
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.2680
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.2225
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.2880
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.2770
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.3225
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.3425
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.3285
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.3390
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.4210
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.3715
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.4345
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.5550
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.5025
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.4300
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.4230
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.4200
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.4525
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.4380
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.4380
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.4470
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.4525
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.4335
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.4045
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.3890
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.3830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.3805
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.3720
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.3910
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.2275
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.2135
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.2180
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.2180
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.1950
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.1600
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.1745
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.1815
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.1775
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.1905
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.2050
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.1915
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.1740
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.1885
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.1905
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.1890
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.1880
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.1765
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.1765
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.1635
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.1670
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.1700
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.1405
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.1400
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.1350
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.1380
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.1315
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.1305
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.1845
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.1470
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.1340
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.1430
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.1365
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.1435
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.1450
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.1340
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.1380
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.1370
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.1385
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.1380
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.1335
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.1305
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.1395
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.1410
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.1525
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.1290
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.1330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.1305
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.1155
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.1230
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.1230
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.1200
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.1240
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.1180
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.1230
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.1230
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.1060
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0945
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.1040
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0970
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.1115
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.1030
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.1025
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0775
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0815
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0755
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0740
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0475
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0710
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0455
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0435
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0415
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0655
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0615
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0510
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0475
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0435
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0465
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0520
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0560
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0570
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0165
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0360
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0315
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0455
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0220
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0195
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0210
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0220
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0275
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0210
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0240
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0230
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0200
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0200
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0230
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0235
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0235
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.0265
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0275
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0270
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0255
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0245
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.0220
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0220
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0245
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.0255
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0195
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.0230
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.0230
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0230
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0360
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0320
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0315
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0335
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.0355
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0355
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0355
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0365
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.0360
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0375
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0390
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0325
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0290
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0300
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0325
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.0530
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9515
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9625
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9570
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.0420
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9610
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9570
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9585
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.9585
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.9590
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0410
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0405
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0430
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9550
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9470
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9455
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0395
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0550
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0495
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0520
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0435
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0460
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0470
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9640
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0365
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9735
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0285
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9820
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9590
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0395
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9545
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0445
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.9540
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9530
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0555
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0580
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0815
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0785
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9205
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0755
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0745
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0645
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0660
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0760
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0710
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9305
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0615
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0590
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0600
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0600
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9420
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9465
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9425
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0550
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0550
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0575
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0570
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0565
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9425
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9425
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0575
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9455
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9520
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0480
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0490
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9570
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0410
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9510
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9545
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9570
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9590
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0425
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9565
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9630
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0380
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9645
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9595
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0400
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9575
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0460
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0420
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0420
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0410
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0400
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0405
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0405
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9665
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9700
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0100
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9920
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0145
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0080
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0100
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9910
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0090
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9920
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0090
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9910
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0080
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0080
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9930
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9915
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0090
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9915
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0070
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9910
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9930
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9925
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9905
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9935
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9925
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0055
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0045
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9950
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0055
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0100
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0120
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9900
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9915
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0070
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0070
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0095
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0065
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0065
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9915
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9900
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9900
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9900
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0065
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0065
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0125
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0075
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0045
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0080
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0090
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9920
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0065
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0060
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0045
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0090
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9900
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0090
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9920
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9880
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999999, Buy volume: 154372761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9660
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0255
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9625
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.0405
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.9560
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.0440
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9595
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0430
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.9545
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.0445
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9565
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0430
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.9575
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0430
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9575
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0445
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.9555
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0445
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9555
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0450
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9525
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0450
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.9550
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0400
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9575
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0380
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9620
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0380
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0390
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.9610
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0390
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9610
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0380
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9575
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0415
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9615
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0455
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9545
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.0475
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.9520
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0490
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9515
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0485
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.9510
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0475
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9535
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0480
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9520
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0490
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.9485
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0525
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9485
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0480
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9475
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0480
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9525
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0520
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0535
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9535
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0490
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9495
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0510
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0505
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0495
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0505
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9475
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0490
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0495
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9505
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0505
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9505
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0490
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9495
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0520
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9470
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0530
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9435
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0535
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9460
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0545
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0530
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0555
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9425
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0555
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9425
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0580
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9355
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0705
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9320
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0595
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9440
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0555
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9440
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0555
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0535
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.9460
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9470
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.0540
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.9455
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0540
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.9475
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0530
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.9470
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0535
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9480
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0545
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9455
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0550
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0540
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9505
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0500
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9530
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0475
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9425
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0595
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9380
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0640
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9370
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0635
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9385
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0620
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9370
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0655
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0640
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9360
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0620
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9360
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0630
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9365
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0655
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9310
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0675
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9320
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0615
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9360
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0640
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0595
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9435
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0560
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9450
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0535
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9425
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0525
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.9460
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0480
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9490
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0520
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.8680
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0820
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.8285
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.2320
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.7590
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.2880
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.7270
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.3730
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.6610
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.4010
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.4425
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.4915
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.5785
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.4310
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.5520
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.4620
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.5590
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.4015
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.5730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.3805
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.6095
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.2290
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.7820
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.1975
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.8305
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.1830
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.7775
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.1965
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.7980
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.1885
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.8205
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.1750
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.8310
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.1700
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.8675
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.1350
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.8685
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.1965
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.8530
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.1375
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.8620
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.1340
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.8615
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.1395
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.8635
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.1335
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.8645
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.1365
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.1305
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.8800
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.1230
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.8760
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.1205
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.8850
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0940
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9035
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.1025
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.8975
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0845
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9285
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0500
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9555
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0445
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9375
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0510
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9550
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0510
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9440
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0165
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9680
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0440
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.9820
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0205
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9730
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0200
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9775
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0205
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0230
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.9765
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0265
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.9730
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0240
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.9780
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0255
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9790
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0230
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9770
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0330
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9660
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0355
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.9645
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0355
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9625
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0325
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9695
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0370
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0485
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0410
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0405
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0410
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0410
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0410
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.9595
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0455
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9455
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0420
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0495
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9505
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0410
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0360
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0280
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.9805
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0390
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0420
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.9540
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0470
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0580
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.9360
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0690
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0655
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.9230
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9305
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0615
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.0600
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0580
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9425
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9420
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0575
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9430
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0575
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9425
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0555
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0480
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0505
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0410
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0465
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0450
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9575
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9605
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9645
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9595
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9575
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0425
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9580
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0400
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9595
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9690
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0095
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0070
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9920
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9890
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9915
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0090
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0075
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9910
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0080
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9915
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0070
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.0085
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0055
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9945
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0055
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0050
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9945
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9935
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9900
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0120
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0110
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9935
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0070
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9935
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9915
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9895
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9945
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9905
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9950
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154373761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527803
Question: Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1740272.031154
Price History:
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9955
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0090
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0060
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0060
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0110
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999999, Buy volume: 154372761.16, Sell volume: 21304398.20, Average price: 0.8820, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0500
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.9700
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0370
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9565
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0415
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.9615
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0470
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.9575
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0420
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9550
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0435
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.9585
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0385
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9620
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0375
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.9635
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0365
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.9650
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0385
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9540
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0405
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.9655
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0340
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.9705
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.9685
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0245
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.9755
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0240
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.9765
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0335
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.9655
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0280
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.9750
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0405
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9595
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0410
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.9595
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.0400
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9595
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0405
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9595
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0400
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9600
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0430
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9570
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0390
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9585
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0435
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 47335320.12, Sell volume: 20294448.75, Average price: 0.6924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9580
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0420
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9580
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0425
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9580
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0395
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9600
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0370
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.9690
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0215
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9785
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9820
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0145
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.9850
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0140
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0165
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9835
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0160
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9755
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0235
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9790
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0185
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9875
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0215
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9815
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0165
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9865
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0105
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9895
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0215
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9795
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0190
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9810
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0235
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9800
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0180
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.9750
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0200
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.9785
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0195
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9820
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0130
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9875
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0130
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9880
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 47335320.12, Sell volume: 20294448.75, Average price: 0.6924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0110
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.9890
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0115
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.9890
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0100
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9900
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0100
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.9890
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0125
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9895
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0130
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9880
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0210
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9850
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0155
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9800
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0200
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9850
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0140
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.9875
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0125
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9875
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0125
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.9875
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0105
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9800
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0220
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9915
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0070
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9920
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0090
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9935
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0090
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9870
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0120
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9940
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0170
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9925
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0100
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9920
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0110
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9920
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9880
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0120
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9955
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0095
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9795
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0100
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 47335320.12, Sell volume: 20294448.75, Average price: 0.6924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9820
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0155
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.9895
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0180
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.9865
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0135
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.9885
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.0115
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.9910
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0085
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.9915
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0095
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.9945
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.0075
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.9920
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.0065
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.9945
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0075
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.9930
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0055
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.9940
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0080
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.9940
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.0230
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.9975
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.9980
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.9980
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0020
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.9985
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9975
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0020
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.9980
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.9975
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0030
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.9970
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9985
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.9980
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999696, Buy volume: 46863543.02, Sell volume: 20131719.94, Average price: 0.6925, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9980
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9990
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9980
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.9980
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0010
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9985
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9985
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.9980
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9985
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9980
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9985
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9980
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9980
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 15410.69, Sell volume: 4285.37, Average price: 0.7227, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9985
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.0020
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.9980
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0020
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.9980
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.0020
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.9980
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.0020
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9980
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0020
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.9980
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0020
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.9980
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.0020
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.9980
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9990
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 116151.50, Sell volume: 110853.33, Average price: 0.7639, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9965
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2349.82, Sell volume: 33.28, Average price: 0.7267, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9975
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0025
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.9980
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9975
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0040
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.9965
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0040
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0045
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9930
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0020
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9975
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0060
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.9985
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9985
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.0025
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.9975
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.9985
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 62469.30, Sell volume: 45295.87, Average price: 0.3449, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.9985
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.9985
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0020
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.9980
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.9980
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.0020
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9980
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.0020
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.9980
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.9980
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9985
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.9985
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.9985
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9985
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.0010
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9990
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.0010
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9990
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.0010
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.9990
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.9990
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0010
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.9990
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0010
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.9990
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.0010
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.9990
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.0010
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.9990
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.0010
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.9990
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0010
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9990
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.0010
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 24.97, Sell volume: 1975.02, Average price: 0.4002, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 260630.06, Sell volume: 256.13, Average price: 0.2043, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9985
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9985
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3176.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0012

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9985
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9980
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0020
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9980
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9980
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9980
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9985
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0015
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0015
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0015
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9990
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2560.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 9003.79, Sell volume: 15.11, Average price: 0.2006, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0500
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0365
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0415
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0380
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0425
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0455
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0435
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0385
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0365
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0365
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0350
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0460
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0345
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0325
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0295
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0245
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0245
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0290
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0345
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0270
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0400
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0410
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.0410
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0405
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0415
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0400
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0430
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0410
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0435
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 47335320.12, Sell volume: 20294448.75, Average price: 0.6924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9580
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.9570
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9580
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9605
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9635
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9705
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9835
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9850
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9860
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9840
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9840
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9760
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9790
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9875
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9795
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9835
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9895
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9895
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9790
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9810
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9770
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9805
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9800
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9805
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9880
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9875
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9880
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 47335320.12, Sell volume: 20294448.75, Average price: 0.6924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0110
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0115
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0100
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0100
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0110
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0105
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0125
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0210
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0160
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0195
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0140
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0125
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0125
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0125
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0105
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0270
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0080
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0100
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0065
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0070
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0060
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0170
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0095
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0105
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0095
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0120
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0050
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0100
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0100
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 47335320.12, Sell volume: 20294448.75, Average price: 0.6924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9820
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.9850
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.9865
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.9865
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.9900
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.9880
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.9910
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.9945
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.9915
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.9940
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.9925
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.9940
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.9900
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.9850
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.9970
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.9980
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.9980
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.9980
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.9985
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.9980
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.9975
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9970
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.9975
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.9985
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.9975
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999696, Buy volume: 46863543.02, Sell volume: 20131719.94, Average price: 0.6925, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0010
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 15410.69, Sell volume: 4285.37, Average price: 0.7227, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9985
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9985
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9975
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9975
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9980
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9980
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.9980
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.9980
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9980
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.9980
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.9980
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9980
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.9980
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9990
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 116151.50, Sell volume: 110853.33, Average price: 0.7639, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2349.82, Sell volume: 33.28, Average price: 0.7267, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.9975
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9975
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.9985
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9985
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.9950
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.9960
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.9945
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9940
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.9965
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.9985
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.9985
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 62469.30, Sell volume: 45295.87, Average price: 0.3449, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0020
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0020
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0020
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0010
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0010
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0010
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0010
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0010
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0010
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0010
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0010
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0010
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0010
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.0010
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0010
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 24.97, Sell volume: 1975.02, Average price: 0.4002, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 260630.06, Sell volume: 256.13, Average price: 0.2043, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3176.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0012
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9985
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9980
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9980
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9980
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9980
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9980
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2560.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520424
Question: Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Volume: 998204.588508
Price History:
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 9003.79, Sell volume: 15.11, Average price: 0.2006, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527808
Question: Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1833966.373545
Price History:
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.0700
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.0450
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0385
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0285
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0280
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.0155
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0145
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0140
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.0125
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.0160
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.0185
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0170
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0165
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0170
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.0140
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0170
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0135
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0140
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0130
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0130
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0140
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0140
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0140
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0140
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0135
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.0135
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0135
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0155
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0155
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0155
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0140
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0140
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0135
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0145
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0145
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0145
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0145
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0145
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0140
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0140
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0180
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0185
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0185
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0185
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0190
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0265
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0260
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0260
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 111004346.35, Sell volume: 30562389.76, Average price: 0.9017, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527808
Question: Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1833966.373545
Price History:
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0265
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0270
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0235
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0250
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0190
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0185
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0185
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0255
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0260
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0260
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0220
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0220
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0220
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0225
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0235
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0235
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0255
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0240
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0240
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0240
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0240
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0240
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0240
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0240
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0240
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0240
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0240
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0250
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0250
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0250
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0250
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0250
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0250
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0255
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0255
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0255
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0255
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0255
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0255
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0255
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0250
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0250
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0250
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0250
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0250
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.0250
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0250
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0250
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0250
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 111004346.35, Sell volume: 30562389.76, Average price: 0.9017, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527808
Question: Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1833966.373545
Price History:
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0285
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0295
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0285
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0295
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0290
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0295
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0300
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0295
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0295
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0295
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0295
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0295
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0295
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0295
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0285
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0290
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0300
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0295
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0295
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0285
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0285
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0285
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0285
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0285
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0280
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0275
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0275
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0285
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0230
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0230
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0225
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0230
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 111004346.35, Sell volume: 30562389.76, Average price: 0.9017, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527808
Question: Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1833966.373545
Price History:
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0245
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0245
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0245
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0245
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0245
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0245
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0255
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0275
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0240
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0240
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0260
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0270
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0265
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0260
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0260
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0225
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0225
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0225
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0245
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0240
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0300
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0295
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0295
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0295
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0295
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0295
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0295
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0295
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0310
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.0345
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.0345
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0360
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.0370
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0355
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0390
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0390
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0390
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0415
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0415
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0415
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0415
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0415
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0425
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0425
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0425
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0425
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0425
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0395
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 111004346.35, Sell volume: 30562389.76, Average price: 0.9017, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527808
Question: Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1833966.373545
Price History:
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0430
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0685
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0700
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0595
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0705
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0635
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0555
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0560
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0530
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0520
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0520
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0530
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0520
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0520
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0515
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0520
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0515
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0460
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0445
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0470
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0530
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0525
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0525
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0620
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0555
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0545
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0545
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0545
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0545
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0535
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0560
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0575
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0545
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0565
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0565
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0570
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0895
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0740
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0545
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0555
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0570
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0570
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0590
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0610
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0575
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0615
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0615
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0685
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.1025
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 111004346.35, Sell volume: 30562389.76, Average price: 0.9017, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527808
Question: Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1833966.373545
Price History:
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0600
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0580
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0620
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0555
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0515
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0475
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0490
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0555
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0760
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0615
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0690
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0795
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0845
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0720
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0730
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0800
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0810
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0860
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0790
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0785
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0765
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0840
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0720
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0705
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0680
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0625
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0655
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0645
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0520
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0525
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0530
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0500
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0585
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0545
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0420
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0430
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0405
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0410
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0425
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0430
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0405
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0425
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0330
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0345
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0350
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0360
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0360
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0325
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0375
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 111004346.35, Sell volume: 30562389.76, Average price: 0.9017, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527808
Question: Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1833966.373545
Price History:
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0365
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0365
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0390
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0505
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0480
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0385
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0475
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0470
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0465
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0470
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0440
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0440
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0435
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0450
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0455
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0470
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0495
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0550
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0405
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0520
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0575
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0585
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0560
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0560
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0560
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0505
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0570
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0545
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0645
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0565
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0580
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0690
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0540
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0695
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0655
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0655
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0685
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0660
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0650
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0645
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0675
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0675
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0685
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0670
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0660
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0665
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0660
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0645
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0645
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 111004346.35, Sell volume: 30562389.76, Average price: 0.9017, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527808
Question: Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1833966.373545
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0525
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0565
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0615
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0665
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0660
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0600
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0590
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0555
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0540
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0555
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0545
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0550
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0585
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0570
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0550
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0555
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0605
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0610
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0585
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0585
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0540
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0460
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0455
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0430
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0450
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0525
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0530
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0530
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0560
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0555
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0490
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0390
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0430
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0435
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0495
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0500
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0490
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0395
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0145
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0265
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0280
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0290
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0315
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0280
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0340
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0365
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0400
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0440
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 111004346.35, Sell volume: 30562389.76, Average price: 0.9017, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes