Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9775
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0225
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9920
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0080
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9915
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9895
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 3268.58, Sell volume: 1010.28, Average price: 0.7225, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9640
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0360
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9590
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0410
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9685
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0315
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9745
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0255
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9760
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0240
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9760
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0240
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9760
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0240
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 4066.93, Sell volume: 4813.25, Average price: 0.7627, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9790

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0235
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9760
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0240
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9765
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0235
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9765
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0235
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9760
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0240
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9740
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0260
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 3744.48, Sell volume: 1153.87, Average price: 0.5542, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9825
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0175
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9885
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0115
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 3726.60, Sell volume: 844.17, Average price: 0.6797, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9895
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9895
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 991.11, Sell volume: 9.16, Average price: 0.6636, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0130
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 6552.76, Sell volume: 3230.94, Average price: 0.6554, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131, Buy volume: 13593.16, Sell volume: 6519.86, Average price: 0.6027, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 10394.51, Sell volume: 4226.72, Average price: 0.6523, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 7933.99, Sell volume: 669.52, Average price: 0.8211, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 8212.48, Sell volume: 22297.06, Average price: 0.6191, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 12230.17, Sell volume: 2132.99, Average price: 0.8683, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 10255.25, Sell volume: 16967.67, Average price: 0.7431, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 8871.41, Sell volume: 1142.02, Average price: 0.7482, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9700
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9775
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0225
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9920
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0080
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9915
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9895
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 3268.58, Sell volume: 1010.28, Average price: 0.7225, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9640
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0360
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9545
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0455
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9590
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0410
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9685
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0315
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9745
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0255
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9760
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0240
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9760
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0240
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9760
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0240
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 4066.93, Sell volume: 4813.25, Average price: 0.7627, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0235
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9760
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0240
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9765
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0235
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9765
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0235
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9760
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0240
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9740
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0260
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 3744.48, Sell volume: 1153.87, Average price: 0.5542, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9825
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0175
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9885
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0115
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 3726.60, Sell volume: 844.17, Average price: 0.6797, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9895
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9895
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 991.11, Sell volume: 9.16, Average price: 0.6636, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0130
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 6552.76, Sell volume: 3230.94, Average price: 0.6554, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131, Buy volume: 13593.16, Sell volume: 6519.86, Average price: 0.6027, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 10394.51, Sell volume: 4226.72, Average price: 0.6523, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101, Buy volume: 7933.99, Sell volume: 669.52, Average price: 0.8211, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 8212.48, Sell volume: 22297.06, Average price: 0.6191, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 12230.17, Sell volume: 2132.99, Average price: 0.8683, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688114
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.2B and $1.4B?
Volume: 161474.880972
Price History:
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 10255.25, Sell volume: 16967.67, Average price: 0.7431, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0550
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9450
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0360
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1080
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8920
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0825
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9175
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0745
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9255
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0745
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9255
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 7748.02, Sell volume: 592.89, Average price: 0.8223, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9880
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0085
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9915
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 4682.33, Sell volume: 11109.15, Average price: 0.4144, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 2302.73, Sell volume: 5127.23, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4402.54, Sell volume: 434.66, Average price: 0.4686, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 6979.88, Sell volume: 7878.92, Average price: 0.5336, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9920
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 6957.99, Sell volume: 9306.15, Average price: 0.1315, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 136, Buy volume: 7788.25, Sell volume: 11643.57, Average price: 0.5591, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 9113.42, Sell volume: 1616.07, Average price: 0.8238, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 2847.76, Sell volume: 1947.91, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 6375.83, Sell volume: 1056.07, Average price: 0.7991, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 17115.20, Sell volume: 586.29, Average price: 0.7209, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 10504.76, Sell volume: 1852.04, Average price: 0.8641, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 5853.77, Sell volume: 11276.84, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0550
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9450
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0360
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1080
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8920
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0825
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9175
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0745
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9255
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0745
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9255
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 7748.02, Sell volume: 592.89, Average price: 0.8223, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9880
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0085
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9915
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9920
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 4682.33, Sell volume: 11109.15, Average price: 0.4144, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 2302.73, Sell volume: 5127.23, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4402.54, Sell volume: 434.66, Average price: 0.4686, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 6979.88, Sell volume: 7878.92, Average price: 0.5336, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9920
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 6957.99, Sell volume: 9306.15, Average price: 0.1315, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 136, Buy volume: 7788.25, Sell volume: 11643.57, Average price: 0.5591, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 9113.42, Sell volume: 1616.07, Average price: 0.8238, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 2847.76, Sell volume: 1947.91, Average price: 0.8254, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 6375.83, Sell volume: 1056.07, Average price: 0.7991, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 17115.20, Sell volume: 586.29, Average price: 0.7209, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 10504.76, Sell volume: 1852.04, Average price: 0.8641, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688116
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B?
Volume: 171741.752327
Price History:
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 5853.77, Sell volume: 11276.84, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0150
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9850
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9855
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0145
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9475
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0525
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9640
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0360
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9655
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0345
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 24844.40, Sell volume: 1338.90, Average price: 0.8282, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9851

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0135
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0135
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9870
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0130
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1955.45, Sell volume: 2045.67, Average price: 0.7542, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9925
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9870
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0130
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9910
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9910
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1989.87, Sell volume: 900.31, Average price: 0.7576, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9910
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0090
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0090
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 8793.81, Sell volume: 5536.05, Average price: 0.3028, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116, Buy volume: 6775.08, Sell volume: 9085.01, Average price: 0.5348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 148, Buy volume: 10617.93, Sell volume: 35120.96, Average price: 0.0657, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9964

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 160, Buy volume: 17033.77, Sell volume: 5268.89, Average price: 0.5133, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 173, Buy volume: 16807.01, Sell volume: 20890.30, Average price: 0.4288, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 16584.27, Sell volume: 16030.53, Average price: 0.4667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 8665.74, Sell volume: 3041.82, Average price: 0.8083, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177, Buy volume: 65433.19, Sell volume: 23038.33, Average price: 0.6439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 13402.98, Sell volume: 2460.54, Average price: 0.8250, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 9389.94, Sell volume: 35811.12, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4300
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0150
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9850
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9855
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0145
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9475
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0525
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9640
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0360
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9650
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0350
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9655
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0345
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 24844.40, Sell volume: 1338.90, Average price: 0.8282, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9851
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0135
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0135
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9870
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0130
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1955.45, Sell volume: 2045.67, Average price: 0.7542, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9925
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9870
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0130
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9910
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9910
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1989.87, Sell volume: 900.31, Average price: 0.7576, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9910
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0090
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0090
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 8793.81, Sell volume: 5536.05, Average price: 0.3028, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116, Buy volume: 6775.08, Sell volume: 9085.01, Average price: 0.5348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 148, Buy volume: 10617.93, Sell volume: 35120.96, Average price: 0.0657, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9964
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 160, Buy volume: 17033.77, Sell volume: 5268.89, Average price: 0.5133, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 173, Buy volume: 16807.01, Sell volume: 20890.30, Average price: 0.4288, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 16584.27, Sell volume: 16030.53, Average price: 0.4667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 105, Buy volume: 8665.74, Sell volume: 3041.82, Average price: 0.8083, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 177, Buy volume: 65433.19, Sell volume: 23038.33, Average price: 0.6439, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 13402.98, Sell volume: 2460.54, Average price: 0.8250, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688118
Question: Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B?
Volume: 370187.544672
Price History:
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 9389.94, Sell volume: 35811.12, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.9650
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.0305
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.9655
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.9970
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.0030
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9970
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0055
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.9940
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.0060
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.9945
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0050
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.9950
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0075
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.9930
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0075
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.9945
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0065
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.9935
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.0065
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.9930
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.0065
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.9935
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0075
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.9930
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.0070
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.9930
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0065
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.9940
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0065
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.9935
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0070
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.9945
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0055
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9945
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0055
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9945
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0055
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9945
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0055
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9945
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0055
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9945
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0055
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.9945
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0055
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9945
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0055
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.9945
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0055
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9945
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0055
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9945
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0055
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9945
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0055
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9945
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0055
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9945
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0055
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9945
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0055
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9945
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0055
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.9945
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0055
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.9945
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0055
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9945
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0055
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9945
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0055
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9945
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0055
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9945
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0045
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9965
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0045
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9955
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0045
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9960
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0045
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9965
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9955
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9985
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0045
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9955
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0045
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9955
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0045
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9955
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0045
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.9955
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0045
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9955
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0045
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9955
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0045
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9955
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0045
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9955
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0045
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.9955
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0130
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9875
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0125
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9845
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0125
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9875
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0150
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.9835
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.0075
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.9920
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.9920
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0080
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.9920
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.0080
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.9920
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.0080
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.9920
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.0090
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.9890
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.0110
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.9890
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.0110
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.9890
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0110
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.0115
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.9885
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.0115
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.9885
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.0115
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9885
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.0090
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.9910
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.0090
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.9910
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.0090
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.9910
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.0095
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.9905
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.0110
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.9905
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.9915
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.0095
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.9915
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9915
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.0090
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.9910
2025-03-16 01:00: 0.0090
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.9910
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.0090
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.9910
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.0090
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.9910
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.0090
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.9910
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0090
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.9910
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0090
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.9910
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0090
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.9910
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.0090
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9910
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.0090
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9910
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.0090
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.9910
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0090
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.9910
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.0090
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.9910
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0090
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0090
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.9910
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.0090
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.9910
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0090
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9910
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0090
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.9910
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0090
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.9910
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.0090
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.9910
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.0090
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.9905
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.0095
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.9905
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.0095
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.9905
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0095
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9905
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0095
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.9905
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0095
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9905
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.0105
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.9905
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0095
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9905
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0095
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.9905
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.0095
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.9905
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0095
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.9905
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.0095
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9905
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0095
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.9905
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0095
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.9910
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.0090
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9910
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0090
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9910
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0090
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.9910
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.0090
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.9910
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0090
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0090
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.9905
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.0095
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9905
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.0095
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.9905
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.0095
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9905
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.0095
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.9905
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0095
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9905
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.9905
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.9905
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9905
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.9905
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9905
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.0095
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.9905
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.0095
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.9905
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0095
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.9905
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.0095
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.9905
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.0095
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.9905
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0095
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.9905
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.0095
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.9905
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.0100
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.9900
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.9900
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.0100
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9900
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.0100
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.9900
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.0100
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.9900
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.0100
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.0100
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.9900
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0110
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.9890
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.0110
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9890
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.0110
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.9890
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0110
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.9890
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.0120
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.9880
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0120
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.9880
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0120
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.0120
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9880
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.9880
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.9880
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9890
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0110
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.9890
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.0110
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9890
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.0110
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.9890
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.0110
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.9890
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.0110
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9890
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.0110
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.9890
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0110
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.9890
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.0110
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.9890
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.0110
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.9890
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.0110
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.9890
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.0110
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9890
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0110
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.9890
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0110
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.9890
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.0115
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.9885
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.0115
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.9885
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0110
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.9890
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.0115
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.9885
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.9885
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.9880
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.9880
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.9880
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.9880
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9880
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.9880
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9880
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9880
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9880
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.9880
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9880
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.9910
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9910
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.9910
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9910
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9910
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9910
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9910
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0095
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9905
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0095
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.9880
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.9880
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9880
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9880
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0120
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9885
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0125
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9880
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0180
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9825
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0150
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9855
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0140
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9825
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0185
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.9820
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0205
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.9770
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0280
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9735
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0250
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9740
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0240
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9725
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9750
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0230
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9790
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0215
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9780
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0215
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9770
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0245
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9745
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0260
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9725
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0250
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9745
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0235
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9760
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0240
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9765
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0225
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9750
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0215
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9770
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0280
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9725
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0265
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9735
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0270
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9730
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0270
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9765
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0235
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9725
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0255
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.9760
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0225
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.9770
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0250
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9745
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0240
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9760
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0260
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9770
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0235
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9755
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0220
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9735
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0255
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9760
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0150
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0030
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9980
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0020
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9980
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0020
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0030
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9970
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9915
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 379620, Buy volume: 38722802.87, Sell volume: 11223505.26, Average price: 0.9168, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9920
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9925
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9915
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9895
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9950
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9955
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9955
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9955
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 601901, Buy volume: 27250064.42, Sell volume: 10218851.58, Average price: 0.9252, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9945
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9945
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9945
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9945
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9955
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9955
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9955
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9955
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9950
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9955
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0040
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9960
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9960
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0030
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9970
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 494, Buy volume: 62986.88, Sell volume: 26591.39, Average price: 0.8375, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.9650
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.9970
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0030
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.9940
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0055
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9950
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0075
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.9925
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0065
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.9935
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0070
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.9930
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.0075
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.9930
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.0060
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9935
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0060
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9945
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0055
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9945
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0055
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9945
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0055
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.9945
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0055
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9945
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0055
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9945
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0055
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9945
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0055
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9945
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0055
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9945
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0055
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9945
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0055
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9945
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0055
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9945
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0055
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9945
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9960
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9955
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0045
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9960
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9985
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9960
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0045
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0045
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9955
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0045
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9955
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0045
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9955
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0045
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9955
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0045
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9955
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0130
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9850
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0155
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9850
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0140
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0080
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9915
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0085
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.9920
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.9920
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.9920
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0110
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.9890
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0110
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9890
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.0110
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.0115
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9885
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0115
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9890
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.0090
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.9910
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.0090
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.9905
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.0110
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.9920
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.0095
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.9915
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0085
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.9910
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.0090
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.9910
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0090
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9910
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.0090
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.9910
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0090
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.9910
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0090
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.9910
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0090
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.9910
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.0090
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9910
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0090
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0090
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9910
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0090
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.9910
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0090
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.9910
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.0090
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.9910
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0095
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.9905
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.0095
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.9905
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0095
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.9905
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0095
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9905
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.0095
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9905
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0095
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9905
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0095
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9905
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0090
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.9910
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.0090
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.9910
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0090
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9910
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.0090
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0090
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9905
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.0095
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.9905
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0095
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.9905
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.9905
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.9905
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.0095
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.9905
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0095
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.9905
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0095
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.9905
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0095
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.9905
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.0095
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.9905
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.0100
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.9900
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.0100
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.9900
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.9900
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0100
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.0100
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.0100
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.9890
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0110
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.9890
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.0110
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.9890
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.0120
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9880
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.9880
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.9880
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.0110
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.9890
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.0110
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.9890
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0110
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.9890
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.0110
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.9890
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.0110
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9890
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.9890
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0110
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.9890
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.0110
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.9890
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0115
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9885
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.0110
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.9885
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.9885
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.9880
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.9880
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.0120
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0120
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.9880
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9880
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525059
Question: Will the next Pope be from Oceania?
Volume: 265453.392833
Price History:
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.9910
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0090
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.9910
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9910
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0090
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9910
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9905
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0095
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.9880
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.9880
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9885
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9830
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0115
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.9860
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0185
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9825
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0280
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9740
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0265
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9725
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0250
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9780
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0230
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 66580642.45, Sell volume: 21474903.38, Average price: 0.9232, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes