Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758941
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Volume: 2440.22906
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 366, Buy volume: 9375.86, Sell volume: 1388.25, Average price: 0.5445, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 30307.23, Sell volume: 1536.97, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 30307.23, Sell volume: 1536.97, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 30307.23, Sell volume: 1536.97, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 30307.23, Sell volume: 1536.97, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 30307.23, Sell volume: 1536.97, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 30307.23, Sell volume: 1536.97, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 30307.23, Sell volume: 1536.97, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5700
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4100
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 47.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.1500
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8500
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1500
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.8500
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0350
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9650
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 120.00, Sell volume: 155.74, Average price: 0.1314, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.1800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0305
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9695
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0305
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9695
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0305
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9695
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9795
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0275
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 267.10, Sell volume: 37.25, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.0226 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0290
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9710
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0290
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9710
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0290
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9710
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0290
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9710
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0275
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0275
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0275
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 44.11, Average price: 0.4937, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0275
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0275
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0285
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9715
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0280
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9720
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0280
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9720
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0275
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0225
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9755
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9755
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9755
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9755
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9755
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0230
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9770
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 29838.13, Sell volume: 1199.87, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 30307.23, Sell volume: 1536.97, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 30307.23, Sell volume: 1536.97, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 30307.23, Sell volume: 1536.97, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 30307.23, Sell volume: 1536.97, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 30307.23, Sell volume: 1536.97, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 30307.23, Sell volume: 1536.97, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 30307.23, Sell volume: 1536.97, Average price: 0.5373, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5700
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4100
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 47.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.1500
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8500
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1500
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.8500
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0350
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9650
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 120.00, Sell volume: 155.74, Average price: 0.1314, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.1800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0305
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9695
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0305
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9695
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0305
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9695
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9795
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0275
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 267.10, Sell volume: 37.25, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.0226 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0290
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9710
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0290
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9710
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0290
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9710
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0290
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9710
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0275
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0275
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0275
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 44.11, Average price: 0.4937, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0275
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0275
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0285
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9715
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0280
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9720
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0280
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9720
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0275
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9725
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0225
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681319
Question: Will Elise Stefanik vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 31844.204628
Price History:
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9755
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9755
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9755
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9755
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9755
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0230
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9770
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 29838.13, Sell volume: 1199.87, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 20291.17, Sell volume: 310.50, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 20291.17, Sell volume: 310.50, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 20291.17, Sell volume: 310.50, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 20291.17, Sell volume: 310.50, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 20291.17, Sell volume: 310.50, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 20291.17, Sell volume: 310.50, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 20291.17, Sell volume: 310.50, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5900
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4100
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 95.21, Sell volume: 0.10, Average price: 0.3871, Price range: 0.1213 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5550
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4450
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4300
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 38.33, Sell volume: 31.00, Average price: 0.5800, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.8400
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1600
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8400
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1600
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8400
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1600
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9000
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 21.27, Sell volume: 11.90, Average price: 0.6096, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8688

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9450
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9780
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0220
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9780
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 708.71, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6761, Price range: 0.0405 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0230
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9780
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 68.70, Average price: 0.2523, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9690
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0310
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9675
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0325
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9685
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0315
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9815
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0185
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 19422.65, Sell volume: 197.80, Average price: 0.7547, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 20291.17, Sell volume: 310.50, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 20291.17, Sell volume: 310.50, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 20291.17, Sell volume: 310.50, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 20291.17, Sell volume: 310.50, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 20291.17, Sell volume: 310.50, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 20291.17, Sell volume: 310.50, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 20291.17, Sell volume: 310.50, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5900
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4100
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 95.21, Sell volume: 0.10, Average price: 0.3871, Price range: 0.1213 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5550
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4450
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4300
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 38.33, Sell volume: 31.00, Average price: 0.5800, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.2000
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.8400
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1600
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8400
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1600
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8400
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1600
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9000
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 21.27, Sell volume: 11.90, Average price: 0.6096, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8688
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9450
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9780
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0220
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9780
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 708.71, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.6761, Price range: 0.0405 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0230
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9785
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9780
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0220
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0150
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 68.70, Average price: 0.2523, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 681321
Question: Will James Comer vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Volume: 20601.668237
Price History:
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0115
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9690
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0310
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9675
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0325
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9670
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9685
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0315
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9815
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0185
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 19422.65, Sell volume: 197.80, Average price: 0.7547, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9400
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0650
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.9400
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0650
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9400
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9350
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0650
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9350
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9350
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0650
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9350
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9300
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9350
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0650
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9450
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0550
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9450
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9450
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0550
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9450
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0500
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9500
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 2761.78, Sell volume: 833.68, Average price: 0.5686, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0450
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.9550
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0450
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9550
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0450
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9550
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0450
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9550
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0450
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9550
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0450
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0450
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0450
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0450
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0450
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9600
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0400
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9600
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0400
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9645
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0400
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9600
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0400
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9600
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0405
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.9600
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0400
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.9600
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0400
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.9600
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.0400
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9600
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0400
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.9600
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0400
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9600
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0400
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9605
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0385
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9615
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0385
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.9620
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0385
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9620
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0390
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 606.06, Sell volume: 7.31, Average price: 0.9585, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.9605
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0395
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.9605
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0405
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9605
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0400
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.9605
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0390
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.9610
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0385
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.9605
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0385
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.9610
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0390
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.9610
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0390
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.9610
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0390
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.9615
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0380
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.9615
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0385
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.9615
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0385
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.9615
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0380
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.9620
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9615
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0380
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.9620
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9630
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0370
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.9630
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1692.47, Sell volume: 143.28, Average price: 0.5934, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9735

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0285
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9715
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0290
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9725
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0280
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9720
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0285
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9720
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0285
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9715
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0285
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9715
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0305
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9685
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0315
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9650
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0350
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9640
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0345
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9655
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0345
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9650
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0355
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9645
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0350
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9645
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0350
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9645
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0355
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.9660
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0340
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.9655
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0340
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.9650
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0340
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.9650
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.0340
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.9660
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0345
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.9660
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.0350
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.9655
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0350
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.9660
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.0340
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.9660
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0345
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.9650
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.0350
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 532.48, Sell volume: 2.11, Average price: 0.7407, Price range: 0.0367 - 0.9780

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.9660
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.0350
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.9660
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0340
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.9650
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.0340
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.9655
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0340
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.9660
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.0340
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.9665
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.0335
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.9660
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.0345
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.9665
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0320
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.9670
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.0335
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.9670
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.0325
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.9670
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.0330
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.9665
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0325
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.9670
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0330
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.9665
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0325
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.9670
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.0335
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.9670
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0330
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.9670
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.0320
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.9670
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0330
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9675
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0335
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.9675
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.0335
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.9675
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0325
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.9670
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0345
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.9670
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0330
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9670
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0330
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.9670
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 42.18, Sell volume: 96.57, Average price: 0.5014, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9760

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0340
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.9655
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.0345
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.9665
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0335
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.9670
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0335
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.9665
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0330
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.9515
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.3475
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.6880
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.2835
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.7190
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.1380
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.9425
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0535
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.9540
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0520
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.9525
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.0580
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.9685
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.0295
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.9725
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0355
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.9720
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.0275
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9700
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0280
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9725
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0275
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.9475
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.0530
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9470
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0525
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9500
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0515
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9585
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0490
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9570
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0495
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9505
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0520
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9550
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0500
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9520
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0485
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9515
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0485
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4611.75, Sell volume: 6393.47, Average price: 0.2768, Price range: 0.0141 - 0.9730

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9530
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0465
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9540
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0470
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9545
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0460
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.9540
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0455
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9535
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0460
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9520
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0470
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9540
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0470
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9520
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0465
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9520
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0485
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9530
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0485
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.9550
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0490
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9480
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0520
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.9475
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0515
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9480
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0515
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9480
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0520
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9480
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0520
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9480
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0520
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9480
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0525
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.9475
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0525
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9475
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0665
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9230
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0720
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9275
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0750
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9205
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0670
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9225
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0785
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9165
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1.05, Sell volume: 141.60, Average price: 0.6977, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0685
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0715
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9310
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0680
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9295
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0770
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.9230
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0770
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9195
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0820
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9210
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0775
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9205
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0785
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9215
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0790
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9215
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0785
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.8960
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.1085
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.9130
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0920
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9075
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0915
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9085
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0915
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9085
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0915
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9080
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0890
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9090
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0900
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9085
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0920
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.8980
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.1020
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.8980
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.1000
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.8990
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.1005
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9000
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.1005
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.8535
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.1430
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.8580
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.1480
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.8520
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.1480
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.8540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 801.75, Sell volume: 972.94, Average price: 0.5177, Price range: 0.0838 - 0.9170

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.8350
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.1670
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.8330
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.1670
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.8115
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.1830
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.8145
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.1750
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.8330
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.1735
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9255
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0725
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9135
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0835
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9150
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0710
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9175
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0770
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9160
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0790
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9215
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0890
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9235
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.0730
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.9210
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.0810
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.9150
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0800
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.9170
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.0825
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9205
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.0780
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.9165
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0705
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.9275
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.0865
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.9270
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0725
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.9265
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0740
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9260
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.0795
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.9200
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.0830
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.9170
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0780
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.9200
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.0775
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.9240
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1345.42, Sell volume: 384.38, Average price: 0.6451, Price range: 0.0597 - 0.9420

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.0690
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9305
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.0660
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.9335
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0655
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.9275
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.0645
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.9310
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0680
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9360
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0655
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.9345
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.0635
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9370
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.0635
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.9370
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.0630
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.9345
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0630
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9365
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0630
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.9365
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0630
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.9375
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.0645
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.9360
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.0615
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.9380
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0640
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.9395
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.0610
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.9395
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.0605
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.9390
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.0610
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.9395
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.0605
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.9380
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.0605
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.9380
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0630
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.9395
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.0605
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.9375
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.0605
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9390
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.0615
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.9375
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.0615
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.9395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 13.04, Average price: 0.4945, Price range: 0.0580 - 0.9310

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.9380
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.0615
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9370
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.0605
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.9395
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0615
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.9390
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.0605
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.9385
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0605
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.9395
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0605
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9395
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.0610
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.9400
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.0605
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9395
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0615
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.9395
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0605
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.9395
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.0610
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9390
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.0625
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.9390
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0605
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.9390
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.0615
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.9390
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0605
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.9390
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.0605
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9395
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.0605
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.9395
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0605
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.9395
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.0605
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9375
2025-03-19 00:00: 0.0605
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.9395
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0605
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.9395
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.0605
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9390
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.0600
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.9370
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.0605
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.9900
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 11424.80, Sell volume: 1448.99, Average price: 0.1348, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9918

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.0060
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.9950
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.0055
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.9955
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.0045
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.9965
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.9965
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0030
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.9970
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0030
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.9965
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9965
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0030
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.9955
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0045
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.9955
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0045
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.9955
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.0045
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.9955
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0045
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.9955
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0045
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.9955
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.0045
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9955
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0045
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.9955
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0045
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.9955
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.0045
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9955
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.0045
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9960
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0045
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.9955
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0040
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9960
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0040
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.9955
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0040
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9955
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.0045
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9960
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0045
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.9960
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0045
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3987.18, Sell volume: 3005.97, Average price: 0.2286, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.9955
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0045
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.9965
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0040
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9960
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.0040
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.9960
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.9960
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9965
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.0040
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.9960
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.9960
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.0040
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0040
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9965
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0030
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.9960
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.9960
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.9955
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.9955
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.0045
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9955
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.9955
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 19781.94, Sell volume: 816.53, Average price: 0.5922, Price range: 0.0054 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9400
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0600
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.9350
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9350
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0600
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9350
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0650
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9350
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9350
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0650
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9450
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0550
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9450
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0550
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9500
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 2761.78, Sell volume: 833.68, Average price: 0.5686, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0450
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9550
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0450
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9550
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0450
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9550
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0450
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0450
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9550
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0450
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.9600
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0400
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9600
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0355
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9600
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0400
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9600
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0400
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.9600
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0400
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9600
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0400
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.9600
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0400
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.9615
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0385
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.9620
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0380
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 606.06, Sell volume: 7.31, Average price: 0.9585, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.9605
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0405
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9605
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0400
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.9610
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0390
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.9605
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0390
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9610
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0390
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.9610
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0385
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.9615
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0385
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9615
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0380
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9625
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0375
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.9620
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0370
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0385
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.9620
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.9625
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.9630
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1692.47, Sell volume: 143.28, Average price: 0.5934, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9735
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0285
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.9710
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0275
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9720
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0285
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9715
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0285
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.9695
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0315
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9650
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.9655
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0345
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.9645
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0355
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9645
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0350
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.9650
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0340
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.9660
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0350
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.9650
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0345
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.9660
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.0350
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.9650
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.0340
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.9660
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.0350
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 532.48, Sell volume: 2.11, Average price: 0.7407, Price range: 0.0367 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.9660
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0350
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.9660
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.0340
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.9660
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.0340
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.9665
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0340
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.9665
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0320
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.9665
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0330
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.9670
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0325
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.9675
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0330
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.9675
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0330
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.9670
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0325
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.9670
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0330
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.9665
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0325
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.9675
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0330
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.9670
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0330
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9670
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 42.18, Sell volume: 96.57, Average price: 0.5014, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0340
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.9655
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0335
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.9670
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0335
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9665
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.3475
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.7165
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.2810
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.9425
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0425
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.9470
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.0580
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.9705
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0275
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.9720
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0335
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.9725
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0275
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.9470
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0530
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9500
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0525
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9480
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0495
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.9480
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0450
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9520
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0465
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4611.75, Sell volume: 6393.47, Average price: 0.2768, Price range: 0.0141 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9530
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0470
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9540
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0460
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9545
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0465
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9520
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0485
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9520
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0465
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9515
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0470
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.9550
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0520
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9480
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0515
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9485
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0520
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9480
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0525
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9485
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0525
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.9475
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0525
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9230
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.9230
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0670
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9215
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1.05, Sell volume: 141.60, Average price: 0.6977, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0685
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9285
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0690
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9295
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0760
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.9220
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0820
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9225
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0795
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9215
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0785
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.8980
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.1085
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.9080
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0925
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9085
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0910
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9100
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0890
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9100
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0915
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.8980
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.1020
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.8995
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.1005
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.8995
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.1465
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.8580
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.1475
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.8530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 801.75, Sell volume: 972.94, Average price: 0.5177, Price range: 0.0838 - 0.9170
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.8350
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.1670
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.8145
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.1830
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.8250
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.1670
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9255
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0815
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9225
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0710
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9230
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0840
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9215
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0790
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9225
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.0810
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.9200
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.0830
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9205
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.0830
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.9280
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.0865
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9275
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0735
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9260
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.0790
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9185
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0780
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.9225
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.0760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1345.42, Sell volume: 384.38, Average price: 0.6451, Price range: 0.0597 - 0.9420
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.0690
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.9340
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.0665
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.9275
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.0635
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.9340
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0655
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.9365
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.0630
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.9370
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0630
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9370
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0630
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.9370
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.0625
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.9360
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.0635
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.9370
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.0610
2025-03-14 21:00: 0.9395
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.0610
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.9395
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.0605
2025-03-15 07:00: 0.9395
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0630
2025-03-15 12:00: 0.9395
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.0625
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9390
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0605
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.9385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 13.04, Average price: 0.4945, Price range: 0.0580 - 0.9310
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.9380
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.0610
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.9395
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0615
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.9395
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0615
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.9395
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0630
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.9395
2025-03-17 12:00: 0.0605
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.9385
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.0605
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.9395
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.0630
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.9365
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0605
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.9385
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.0610
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.9390
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0605
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.9390
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0605
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.9395
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.0625
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.9395
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0610
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.9390
2025-03-19 09:00: 0.0600
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.9395
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 11424.80, Sell volume: 1448.99, Average price: 0.1348, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9918
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.0060
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.9945
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0045
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.9965
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0030
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0030
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.9965
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.9955
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.0045
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.9955
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.0045
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.9955
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.0045
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.9955
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0045
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.9955
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0045
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.9955
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.0045
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9960
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0040
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.9955
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0040
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.9960
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.0045
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.9960
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.0045
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3987.18, Sell volume: 3005.97, Average price: 0.2286, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522164
Question: Will all remaining Trump cabinet picks be confirmed?
Volume: 78998.659359
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.9955
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9950
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.0040
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.9965
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0040
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.9965
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.0040
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0040
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.9965
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.0040
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9960
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.0030
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9965
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0045
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.9955
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.0045
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 19781.94, Sell volume: 816.53, Average price: 0.5922, Price range: 0.0054 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.4950
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5050
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.4750
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.5250
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.5250
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 12412.51, Sell volume: 2645.88, Average price: 0.6563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4750
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.5250
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.1650
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.8350
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.1600
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.8400
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.8400
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1900, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.1900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.1650
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.8350
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.1650
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.8350
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.1650
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.8350
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.1650
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.8350
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.8400
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 12412.51, Sell volume: 2645.88, Average price: 0.6563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.1600
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.8400
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.1600
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.8400
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.8400
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.1600
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.8400
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.1600
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.1600
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 12412.51, Sell volume: 2645.88, Average price: 0.6563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.8400
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.1600
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.8400
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.1600
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.1550
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.8450
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.8500
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.1500
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.1500
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 18.00, Sell volume: 10.52, Average price: 0.8450, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9550
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0395
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 140.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9650
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0350
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9755
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0245
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0345
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9655
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0355
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9645
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9665
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 48.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0335
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9665
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9675
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0325
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9740
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0260
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0205
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9795
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 405.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 11528.08, Sell volume: 1573.36, Average price: 0.3474, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1051.48, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1051.48, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1051.48, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1051.48, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.4950
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5050
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.4750
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.5250
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.5250
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 12412.51, Sell volume: 2645.88, Average price: 0.6563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4750
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.5250
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.1650
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.8350
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.1600
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.8400
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.8400
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1900, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.1900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.1650
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.8350
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.1650
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.8350
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.1650
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.8350
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.1650
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.8350
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.8400
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 12412.51, Sell volume: 2645.88, Average price: 0.6563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.1600
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.8400
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.1600
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.8400
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.8400
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.1600
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.8400
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.1600
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.1600
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 12412.51, Sell volume: 2645.88, Average price: 0.6563, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.8400
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.1600
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.8400
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.1600
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.1550
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.8450
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.8500
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.1500
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.1500
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 18.00, Sell volume: 10.52, Average price: 0.8450, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9550
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0395
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 140.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9650
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0350
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9755
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0245
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0345
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9655
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0355
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9645
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9665
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 48.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0335
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9665
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9675
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0325
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9740
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0260
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0205
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9795
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 405.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 11528.08, Sell volume: 1573.36, Average price: 0.3474, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1051.48, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1051.48, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1051.48, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623783
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get between 3.0–3.5 million views on day 1?
Volume: 15058.394375
Price History:
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1051.48, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623784
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get 3.5 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22012.7565
Price History:
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.4950
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5050
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 8740.97, Sell volume: 13271.79, Average price: 0.6702, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623784
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get 3.5 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22012.7565
Price History:
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.4650
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.5350
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4300
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.5700
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.2450
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.7550
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.2350
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.2350
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 8740.97, Sell volume: 13271.79, Average price: 0.6702, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623784
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get 3.5 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22012.7565
Price History:
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.2350
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.7650
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.2350
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.2350
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.2300
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.7700
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.2300
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 8740.97, Sell volume: 13271.79, Average price: 0.6702, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623784
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get 3.5 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22012.7565
Price History:
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.7700
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.2300
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.2300
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.7700
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.7750
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.2250
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.7750
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.7750
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 8740.97, Sell volume: 13271.79, Average price: 0.6702, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623784
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get 3.5 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22012.7565
Price History:
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2250
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.7750
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.2200
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.7800
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.2150
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.7850
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.1100
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 224.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623784
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get 3.5 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22012.7565
Price History:
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.8850
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.1150
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0050
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9085
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0915
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0765
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 24.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623784
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get 3.5 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22012.7565
Price History:
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9730
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0270
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0255
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9745
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0270
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9730
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 78.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8557, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623784
Question: Will Marques Brownlee's next video get 3.5 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22012.7565
Price History:
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2011.39, Sell volume: 114.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990

Output: Yes