Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-08 15:00: 0.9940
2024-10-08 18:00: 0.0060
2024-10-08 20:00: 0.9940
2024-10-08 23:00: 0.0060
2024-10-09 01:00: 0.9940
2024-10-09 04:00: 0.0060
2024-10-09 06:00: 0.9940
2024-10-09 09:00: 0.0060
2024-10-09 11:00: 0.9940
2024-10-09 14:00: 0.0060
2024-10-09 16:00: 0.9940
2024-10-09 19:00: 0.0060
2024-10-09 21:00: 0.9940
2024-10-10 00:00: 0.0060
2024-10-10 02:00: 0.9940
2024-10-10 05:00: 0.0060
2024-10-10 07:00: 0.9940
2024-10-10 10:00: 0.0060
2024-10-10 12:00: 0.9940
2024-10-10 15:00: 0.0060
2024-10-10 17:00: 0.9940
2024-10-10 20:00: 0.0060
2024-10-10 22:00: 0.9940
2024-10-11 01:00: 0.0060
2024-10-11 03:00: 0.9940
2024-10-11 06:00: 0.0060
2024-10-11 08:00: 0.9940
2024-10-11 11:00: 0.0060
2024-10-11 13:00: 0.9940
2024-10-11 16:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.0050, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0050
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-12 07:00: 0.0060
2024-10-12 09:00: 0.9940
2024-10-12 12:00: 0.0060
2024-10-12 14:00: 0.9940
2024-10-12 17:00: 0.0060
2024-10-12 19:00: 0.9945
2024-10-12 22:00: 0.0060
2024-10-13 00:00: 0.9940
2024-10-13 03:00: 0.0060
2024-10-13 05:00: 0.9940
2024-10-13 08:00: 0.0060
2024-10-13 10:00: 0.9940
2024-10-13 13:00: 0.0060
2024-10-13 15:00: 0.9940
2024-10-13 18:00: 0.0060
2024-10-13 20:00: 0.9940
2024-10-13 23:00: 0.0060
2024-10-14 01:00: 0.9940
2024-10-14 04:00: 0.0060
2024-10-14 06:00: 0.9940
2024-10-14 09:00: 0.0060
2024-10-14 11:00: 0.9940
2024-10-14 14:00: 0.0060
2024-10-14 16:00: 0.9940
2024-10-14 19:00: 0.0060
2024-10-14 21:00: 0.9940
2024-10-15 00:00: 0.0060
2024-10-15 02:00: 0.9940
2024-10-15 05:00: 0.0060
2024-10-15 07:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171, Buy volume: 57786.94, Sell volume: 24086.87, Average price: 0.8097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-15 22:00: 0.9945
2024-10-16 01:00: 0.0055
2024-10-16 03:00: 0.9945
2024-10-16 06:00: 0.0050
2024-10-16 08:00: 0.9945
2024-10-16 11:00: 0.0050
2024-10-16 13:00: 0.9950
2024-10-16 16:00: 0.0050
2024-10-16 18:00: 0.9950
2024-10-16 21:00: 0.0050
2024-10-16 23:00: 0.9950
2024-10-17 02:00: 0.0050
2024-10-17 04:00: 0.9945
2024-10-17 07:00: 0.0050
2024-10-17 09:00: 0.9950
2024-10-17 12:00: 0.0050
2024-10-17 14:00: 0.9950
2024-10-17 17:00: 0.0050
2024-10-17 19:00: 0.9950
2024-10-17 22:00: 0.0050
2024-10-18 00:00: 0.9950
2024-10-18 03:00: 0.0050
2024-10-18 05:00: 0.9950
2024-10-18 08:00: 0.0050
2024-10-18 10:00: 0.9950
2024-10-18 13:00: 0.0055
2024-10-18 15:00: 0.9945
2024-10-18 18:00: 0.0055
2024-10-18 20:00: 0.9945
2024-10-18 23:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 2.55, Sell volume: 2.54, Average price: 0.9946, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-19 14:00: 0.0045
2024-10-19 16:00: 0.9955
2024-10-19 19:00: 0.0050
2024-10-19 21:00: 0.9955
2024-10-20 00:00: 0.0045
2024-10-20 02:00: 0.9955
2024-10-20 05:00: 0.0045
2024-10-20 07:00: 0.9955
2024-10-20 10:00: 0.0050
2024-10-20 12:00: 0.9955
2024-10-20 15:00: 0.0050
2024-10-20 17:00: 0.9955
2024-10-20 20:00: 0.0045
2024-10-20 22:00: 0.9950
2024-10-21 01:00: 0.0050
2024-10-21 03:00: 0.9950
2024-10-21 06:00: 0.0050
2024-10-21 08:00: 0.9950
2024-10-21 11:00: 0.0050
2024-10-21 13:00: 0.9950
2024-10-21 16:00: 0.0050
2024-10-21 18:00: 0.9950
2024-10-21 21:00: 0.0050
2024-10-21 23:00: 0.9950
2024-10-22 02:00: 0.0050
2024-10-22 04:00: 0.9950
2024-10-22 07:00: 0.0050
2024-10-22 09:00: 0.9950
2024-10-22 12:00: 0.0050
2024-10-22 14:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 2.35, Sell volume: 2.68, Average price: 0.8849, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-23 05:00: 0.9950
2024-10-23 08:00: 0.0050
2024-10-23 10:00: 0.9950
2024-10-23 13:00: 0.0050
2024-10-23 15:00: 0.9950
2024-10-23 18:00: 0.0050
2024-10-23 20:00: 0.9950
2024-10-23 23:00: 0.0050
2024-10-24 01:00: 0.9950
2024-10-24 04:00: 0.0050
2024-10-24 06:00: 0.9950
2024-10-24 09:00: 0.0050
2024-10-24 11:00: 0.9950
2024-10-24 14:00: 0.0050
2024-10-24 16:00: 0.9945
2024-10-24 19:00: 0.0055
2024-10-24 21:00: 0.9945
2024-10-25 00:00: 0.0055
2024-10-25 02:00: 0.9945
2024-10-25 05:00: 0.0055
2024-10-25 07:00: 0.9945
2024-10-25 10:00: 0.0055
2024-10-25 12:00: 0.9945
2024-10-25 15:00: 0.0055
2024-10-25 17:00: 0.9945
2024-10-25 20:00: 0.0055
2024-10-25 22:00: 0.9945
2024-10-26 01:00: 0.0055
2024-10-26 03:00: 0.9945
2024-10-26 06:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.30, Sell volume: 0.30, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-26 21:00: 0.0055
2024-10-26 23:00: 0.9945
2024-10-27 02:00: 0.0055
2024-10-27 04:00: 0.9945
2024-10-27 07:00: 0.0055
2024-10-27 09:00: 0.9945
2024-10-27 12:00: 0.0055
2024-10-27 14:00: 0.9945
2024-10-27 17:00: 0.0055
2024-10-27 19:00: 0.9945
2024-10-27 22:00: 0.0055
2024-10-28 00:00: 0.9945
2024-10-28 03:00: 0.0055
2024-10-28 05:00: 0.9945
2024-10-28 08:00: 0.0055
2024-10-28 10:00: 0.9945
2024-10-28 13:00: 0.0055
2024-10-28 15:00: 0.9935
2024-10-28 18:00: 0.0065
2024-10-28 20:00: 0.9930
2024-10-28 23:00: 0.0070
2024-10-29 01:00: 0.9925
2024-10-29 04:00: 0.0145
2024-10-29 06:00: 0.9890
2024-10-29 09:00: 0.0175
2024-10-29 11:00: 0.9835
2024-10-29 14:00: 0.0180
2024-10-29 16:00: 0.9870
2024-10-29 19:00: 0.0130
2024-10-29 21:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 33549.90, Sell volume: 106.12, Average price: 0.6790, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-10-30 12:00: 0.9870
2024-10-30 15:00: 0.0130
2024-10-30 17:00: 0.9875
2024-10-30 20:00: 0.0130
2024-10-30 22:00: 0.9900
2024-10-31 01:00: 0.0100
2024-10-31 03:00: 0.9910
2024-10-31 06:00: 0.0120
2024-10-31 08:00: 0.9880
2024-10-31 11:00: 0.0070
2024-10-31 13:00: 0.9930
2024-10-31 16:00: 0.0075
2024-10-31 18:00: 0.9925
2024-10-31 21:00: 0.0075
2024-10-31 23:00: 0.9925
2024-11-01 02:00: 0.0075
2024-11-01 04:00: 0.9925
2024-11-01 07:00: 0.0075
2024-11-01 09:00: 0.9925
2024-11-01 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-01 14:00: 0.9985
2024-11-01 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-01 19:00: 0.9985
2024-11-01 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-02 00:00: 0.9985
2024-11-02 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-02 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-02 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-02 10:00: 0.9985
2024-11-02 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10644.47, Sell volume: 22498.58, Average price: 0.6981, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 507548
Question: Will a candidate from another party win Nebraska Special Senate Election?
Volume: 81873.818673
Price History:
2024-11-03 03:00: 0.0075
2024-11-03 05:00: 0.9925
2024-11-03 08:00: 0.0075
2024-11-03 10:00: 0.9925
2024-11-03 13:00: 0.0075
2024-11-03 15:00: 0.9925
2024-11-03 18:00: 0.0075
2024-11-03 20:00: 0.9920
2024-11-03 23:00: 0.0080
2024-11-04 01:00: 0.9920
2024-11-04 04:00: 0.0085
2024-11-04 06:00: 0.9920
2024-11-04 09:00: 0.0075
2024-11-04 11:00: 0.9925
2024-11-04 14:00: 0.0085
2024-11-04 16:00: 0.9915
2024-11-04 19:00: 0.0085
2024-11-04 21:00: 0.9915
2024-11-05 00:00: 0.0080
2024-11-05 02:00: 0.9870
2024-11-05 05:00: 0.0130
2024-11-05 07:00: 0.9870
2024-11-05 10:00: 0.0140
2024-11-05 12:00: 0.9855
2024-11-05 15:00: 0.0155
2024-11-05 18:00: 0.9845
2024-11-05 21:00: 0.0155
2024-11-05 23:00: 0.9845
2024-11-06 02:00: 0.0155
2024-11-06 04:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 12209.57, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6281, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 696, Buy volume: 24110.98, Sell volume: 4550.96, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 696, Buy volume: 24110.98, Sell volume: 4550.96, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 696, Buy volume: 24110.98, Sell volume: 4550.96, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 696, Buy volume: 24110.98, Sell volume: 4550.96, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 696, Buy volume: 24110.98, Sell volume: 4550.96, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 696, Buy volume: 24110.98, Sell volume: 4550.96, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 696, Buy volume: 24110.98, Sell volume: 4550.96, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 13.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 692, Buy volume: 24087.25, Sell volume: 4312.21, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 692, Buy volume: 24087.25, Sell volume: 4312.21, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 692, Buy volume: 24087.25, Sell volume: 4312.21, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 692, Buy volume: 24087.25, Sell volume: 4312.21, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 696, Buy volume: 24110.98, Sell volume: 4550.96, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 696, Buy volume: 24110.98, Sell volume: 4550.96, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 696, Buy volume: 24110.98, Sell volume: 4550.96, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 696, Buy volume: 24110.98, Sell volume: 4550.96, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 696, Buy volume: 24110.98, Sell volume: 4550.96, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 696, Buy volume: 24110.98, Sell volume: 4550.96, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 696, Buy volume: 24110.98, Sell volume: 4550.96, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 13.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 692, Buy volume: 24087.25, Sell volume: 4312.21, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 692, Buy volume: 24087.25, Sell volume: 4312.21, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 692, Buy volume: 24087.25, Sell volume: 4312.21, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 733055
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10AM ET
Volume: 28661.950115
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 692, Buy volume: 24087.25, Sell volume: 4312.21, Average price: 0.6359, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.5700
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.7300
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.5950
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.5850
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.5900
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.5950
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.6100
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.5950
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.5950
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.5950
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.5950
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.6050
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.5950
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.6000
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.6000
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.5950
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.6000
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.6000
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.6000
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.6000
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.6000
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.5950
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.5950
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.7250
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.7000
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.7300
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.7750
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.7000
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.6950
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.7000
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.6900
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.7000
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.7000
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.7000
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.7050
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.7050
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.6850
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.7250
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.7250
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.7250
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.7250
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.7250
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.7250
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.7550
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.7600
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.7800
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 9943.26, Sell volume: 983.76, Average price: 0.6012, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.9738

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.7850
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.7850
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.7850
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.7850
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.7850
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.7850
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.7850
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.7850
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.7850
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.7850
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.7900
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.7400
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.7350
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.7350
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.7350
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.7350
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.7350
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.7350
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.7300
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.7300
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.7300
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.7300
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.7300
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.7300
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.7300
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.7300
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.7300
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.7300
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.7350
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.7350
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.7350
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.6650
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.6550
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.6850
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.6850
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.7000
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.7000
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.7000
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.7050
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.6950
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.7000
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.7100
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.7000
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.7050
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.7050
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.7050
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.7350
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.7050
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 967.04, Sell volume: 742.45, Average price: 0.4629, Price range: 0.2283 - 0.7700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.7900
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.7700
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.7700
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.7600
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.7850
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.8900
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.8000
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.8000
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.7550
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.7600
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.7850
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.7650
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.7600
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.7350
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.8050
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.8200
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.8100
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.8050
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.8100
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.7750
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.7750
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.7750
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.8150
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.8050
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.8050
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.8050
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.8050
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.8100
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.8100
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.8100
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.8200
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.8450
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.8300
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.8200
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.8150
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.8250
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2201.97, Sell volume: 119.31, Average price: 0.5420, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.8350
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.8450
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.8650
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.8600
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.8650
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.8700
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.8950
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.8950
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.8850
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.8850
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.8850
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.8850
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.8850
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.8750
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.8550
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.8250
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.8200
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.8150
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.8150
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.8650
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.8750
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.8550
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.8550
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.8650
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.8250
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.8000
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.8100
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.7950
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.7850
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.7900
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.7950
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.7850
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.8450
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.8350
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.8350
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.8350
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.8550
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.8850
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.8850
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.8800
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.8650
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.8850
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.8950
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.8950
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.8600
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.8650
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.8650
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 1571.90, Sell volume: 1301.17, Average price: 0.3566, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.8700
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.8700
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.8750
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.8850
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.8850
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.8850
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.8500
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.8650
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.8450
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.8600
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.8600
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.8600
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.8550
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.8550
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.8550
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.8550
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.8550
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.8550
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.8500
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.8500
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.8500
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.8500
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.8350
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.8450
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.8500
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.8450
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.8200
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.8200
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.8250
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.8200
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.8200
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.8200
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.8200
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.8200
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.8200
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.8400
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8400
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8450
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.8400
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.8400
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.8450
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.8350
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 443.30, Sell volume: 248.71, Average price: 0.3083, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.8350
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.8350
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.8350
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.8350
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.8350
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.8450
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.8450
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.8450
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.8550
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.8500
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.8600
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.8600
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.8650
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.8650
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.8800
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.8800
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.8800
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.8800
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.8800
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.8800
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.8700
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.8700
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.8700
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.8700
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.8700
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.8700
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.8700
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.8800
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.8800
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.8800
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.8800
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.8800
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.8800
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.8800
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.8850
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.8850
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.8850
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.8850
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.9050
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.8900
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.9000
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.8950
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.9050
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.9150
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.9250
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1384.56, Sell volume: 1197.97, Average price: 0.2670, Price range: 0.0589 - 0.9146

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9000
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.8800
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.8600
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.8550
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.8200
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.8450
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.8500
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.8700
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.8550
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.8400
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.7700
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.7700
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.8000
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.7950
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.7900
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.8050
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.7950
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.7900
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.8200
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.8200
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.8250
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.8250
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.8250
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.8650
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.8600
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.8650
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.8650
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.8600
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.8600
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.8350
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.8450
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.8250
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.8000
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.8050
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.8000
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.8000
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.8050
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.8000
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.8050
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.8050
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.8000
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.8050
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.8450
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.8450
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.8550
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.8550
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.8550
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.8450
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1483.52, Sell volume: 807.57, Average price: 0.3801, Price range: 0.1145 - 0.9433

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.8550
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.7850
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.7950
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.8200
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.8200
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.8200
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.8200
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.8200
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.8200
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.8200
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.8200
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.8350
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.8400
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.8350
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.8350
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.8200
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.8200
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.8200
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.8200
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.8200
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.8200
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.8300
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.8350
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.8350
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.8650
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.8400
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.8350
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.8650
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.8350
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.8350
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.8350
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.8350
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.8350
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.8350
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.8350
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.8350
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.8350
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.8350
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.8350
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.8550
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.8650
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.8550
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.8550
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.8550
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 199.69, Sell volume: 296.11, Average price: 0.5324, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.8300
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.8300
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.8250
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.8250
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.8250
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.7950
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.8000
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.7850
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.7850
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.7850
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.8150
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.8250
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.8550
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.8550
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.8600
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.8550
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.8550
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.8250
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.8250
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.8250
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.8250
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.8250
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.8250
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.8250
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.8600
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.8600
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.8850
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.8700
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.8400
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.8250
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.8300
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.8450
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.8550
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.8550
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.8500
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.8500
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.8500
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.8450
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2570.13, Sell volume: 112.33, Average price: 0.5605, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8897

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.8650
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.8750
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.8750
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.8850
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.8800
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.8900
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.9100
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.9100
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.9200
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.8950
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.8850
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.8850
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.8850
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.8400
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.8300
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.8400
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.8400
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.8400
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.8400
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.8400
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.8400
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.8400
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.8400
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.8400
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.8400
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.8200
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.8450
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.8350
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.8350
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.8350
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.8400
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.8450
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.8450
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.8450
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.8300
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.8000
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.7950
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7950
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.7950
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.7950
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.8150
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.8150
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.8250
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1418.10, Sell volume: 96.39, Average price: 0.4242, Price range: 0.0651 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.8050
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.8050
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.7950
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.7950
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.7950
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.7650
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.7650
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.7700
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.2250
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.2800
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.7250
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.7650
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.1700
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.8050
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.8000
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.7850
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.7850
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.8300
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.8150
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.1850
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.1850
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.1850
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.2150
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.2150
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.2150
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.7850
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.7850
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.2150
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.2150
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.2150
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.8800
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.8300
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.8450
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.1350
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.8600
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.8700
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 5290.62, Sell volume: 1654.94, Average price: 0.4935, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.1400
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.0900
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0700
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.8700
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.1250
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.1300
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.8750
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.1350
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.8700
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.8750
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.8750
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.8700
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.8700
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.8700
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.8750
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.8700
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.8700
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.8700
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.8800
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.1250
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.8300
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.1800
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.1850
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.1850
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.1150
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.1250
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.1250
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.1350
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.1350
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.8650
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.1300
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.1350
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1100
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.1000
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9050
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9050
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9050
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9050
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1780.78, Sell volume: 259.27, Average price: 0.5620, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9000
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0950
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.1000
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.1200
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.8450
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.1450
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.1250
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.8600
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.1100
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9000
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.1200
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.1250
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.1350
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.1150
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.1150
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.1350
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.8650
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.1150
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.1150
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.1150
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1150
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.1150
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.8850
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.8850
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.8850
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.8850
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.1150
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.8850
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.8850
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.1150
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9150
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0550
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0555
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0525
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0865
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0870
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9305
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0305
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 279, Buy volume: 63995.74, Sell volume: 12800.81, Average price: 0.6747, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.5000
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.5850
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.5950
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.5900
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.6050
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.5950
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.5950
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.6050
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.5950
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.6000
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.6000
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.6000
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.6000
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.5950
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.7000
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.7000
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.7650
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.7000
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.7000
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.6950
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.7000
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.7050
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.7050
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.7250
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.7250
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.7250
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 9943.26, Sell volume: 983.76, Average price: 0.6012, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.9738
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.7850
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.7850
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.7850
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.7850
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.7850
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.7850
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.7900
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.7350
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.7350
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.7350
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.7350
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.7300
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.7300
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.7300
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.7300
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.7300
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.7300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.7350
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.7350
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.6450
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.6550
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.6850
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.7000
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.6950
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.6950
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.7150
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.7050
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.7050
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.7050
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 967.04, Sell volume: 742.45, Average price: 0.4629, Price range: 0.2283 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.8250
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.7700
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.7850
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.7350
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.7350
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.7550
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7700
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.7850
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.7600
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.7850
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7950
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.8050
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.7750
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.7750
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.8150
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.8050
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.8050
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.8100
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.8100
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.8100
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.8300
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.8300
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.8200
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2201.97, Sell volume: 119.31, Average price: 0.5420, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.8350
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.8500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.8600
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.8700
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.8950
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.8950
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.8850
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.8850
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.8850
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.8550
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.8250
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.8150
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.8650
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.8550
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.8450
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.8250
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.8100
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.7850
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.7850
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.8400
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.8350
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.8350
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.8550
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.8850
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.8750
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.8900
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.8950
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.8650
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 1571.90, Sell volume: 1301.17, Average price: 0.3566, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.8700
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.8450
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.8800
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.8850
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.8450
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.8750
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.8450
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.8600
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.8650
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.8550
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.8550
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.8550
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.8550
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.8500
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.8500
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.8350
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.8500
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.8450
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.8200
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.8250
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.8200
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.8200
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.8200
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8200
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.8400
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.8400
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.8400
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.8400
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 443.30, Sell volume: 248.71, Average price: 0.3083, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.8350
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.8350
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.8350
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.8350
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.8450
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.8650
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.8450
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.8600
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.8750
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.8800
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.8800
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.8800
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.8800
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.8700
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.8700
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.8700
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.8700
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.8800
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.8800
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.8800
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.8800
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.8850
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.8850
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.8850
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9050
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.8950
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9050
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1384.56, Sell volume: 1197.97, Average price: 0.2670, Price range: 0.0589 - 0.9146
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9000
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.8750
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.8500
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.8200
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.8450
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.8600
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.8400
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.7750
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.8000
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.7900
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.8100
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.8050
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.8200
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.8250
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.8650
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.8600
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.8650
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.8600
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.8350
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.8500
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.8000
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.8000
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.8000
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.8050
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.8050
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.8050
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.8450
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.8550
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.8450
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1483.52, Sell volume: 807.57, Average price: 0.3801, Price range: 0.1145 - 0.9433
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.8550
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.7950
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.8200
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.8200
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.8200
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.8200
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.8200
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.8450
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.8400
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.8200
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.8200
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.8200
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.8200
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.8250
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.8350
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.8650
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.8350
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.8350
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.8350
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.8350
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.8350
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.8350
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.8350
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.8350
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.8350
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.8350
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.8650
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.8550
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 199.69, Sell volume: 296.11, Average price: 0.5324, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.8300
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.8200
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.8250
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.7950
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.7800
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.7950
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.8150
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.8500
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.8600
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.8550
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.8550
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.8250
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.8250
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.8250
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.8250
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.8600
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.8700
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.8350
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.8300
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.8400
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.8450
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.8450
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.8550
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.8450
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.8500
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.8450
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2570.13, Sell volume: 112.33, Average price: 0.5605, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8897
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.8650
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.8750
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.8850
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.8900
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.9100
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.9200
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.8850
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.8850
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.8300
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.8400
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.8400
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.8400
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.8400
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.8400
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.8400
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.8200
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.8350
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.8350
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.8400
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.8450
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.8400
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.8150
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.7950
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.7950
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.7950
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.8150
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.8250
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1418.10, Sell volume: 96.39, Average price: 0.4242, Price range: 0.0651 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.8050
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.7950
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.7950
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.7950
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.7800
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.7550
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.2250
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.7250
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.2250
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.8050
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.8000
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.7900
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.8100
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.8150
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.1850
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.1850
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.2150
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.7850
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.7850
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.7850
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.8800
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.8300
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.8450
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.1400
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 5290.62, Sell volume: 1654.94, Average price: 0.4935, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.1400
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.8600
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0800
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.1250
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.1350
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.1250
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.8700
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.8700
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.8750
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.8700
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.8800
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.8300
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.1800
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.1850
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.1250
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.1350
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.8650
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.8750
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.1100
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.1000
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9050
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9050
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1780.78, Sell volume: 259.27, Average price: 0.5620, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531354
Question: Bolsonaro guilty?
Volume: 117191.32643
Price History:
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9000
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9050
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.1250
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.8850
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.8200
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.1450
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.1250
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.8900
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.1100
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.1200
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1250
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1150
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.1350
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.1150
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1150
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.8850
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.8850
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.8850
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.1150
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.1150
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.1150
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0645
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0560
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0865
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0695
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 279, Buy volume: 63995.74, Sell volume: 12800.81, Average price: 0.6747, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.3250
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.4900
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.5250
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.4950
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.4200
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.5750
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.4300
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.5700
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.4300
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.5700
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.4350
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.5650
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.4400
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.5600
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.4400
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.5600
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.4400
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.5600
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.4350
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.5600
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.4300
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.5650
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.4350
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.5650
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.4550
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.5700
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.4350
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.5550
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.4450
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.5600
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.4400
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.5600
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.4450
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.5550
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.4450
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.5550
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.5000
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.5000
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.4950
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.5100
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.4900
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.4850
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.5200
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.4600
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.5450
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.4550
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.5450
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 268.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5371, Price range: 0.4743 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.4350
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.5650
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.4300
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.5700
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.4300
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.5750
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.4250
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.5750
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.4250
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.5750
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4250
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.5700
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.4300
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.5700
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.4300
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.5650
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.4300
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.5700
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.4300
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.5700
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.4300
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.5700
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.4300
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.5700
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.4300
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.5700
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.4300
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.5650
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.4350
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.5650
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.4350
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.5650
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.4350
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.5600
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.4400
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.5600
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.4450
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.5600
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.4400
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.5600
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.4400
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.5600
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.4400
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.5600
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.4400
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.5650
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.4350
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.5650
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.4350
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 86.64, Sell volume: 14.38, Average price: 0.5766, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.5650
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.4350
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.5650
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.4350
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.5650
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.4350
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.5600
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.4400
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.5600
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.4400
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.5600
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.4400
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.5600
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.5550
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.4450
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.5550
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.4450
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.5550
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.4450
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.5550
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.4450
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.5550
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.4450
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.5550
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.4450
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.5600
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.4400
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.5600
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.5600
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.4400
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.5600
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.4400
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.5600
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.4400
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.5600
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.4400
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.5600
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.4400
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.5600
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.4400
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.4400
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.5600
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.5600
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.5600
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.4400
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.4400
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.5900 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.5600
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.5600
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.4400
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.5600
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.4400
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.5600
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.4400
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.5600
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.4400
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.5600
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.4400
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.5600
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.4400
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.4400
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.5600
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.5600
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.5600
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.5600
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.4400
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.5600
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.4400
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.4400
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.4400
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.5600
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.4400
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.5600
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.5600
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.5600
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.4400
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.4400
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.5600
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.4400
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.5600
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.5600
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.4400
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.5600
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.4400
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.4400
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.5600
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.4400
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.4400
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.4400
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.5600
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.4400
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.4400
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.4400
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.5600
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.4400
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 8.47, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.4400
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.4400
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.4400
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.4400
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.5600
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.5600
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.5600
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.4400
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.4400
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.4400
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.5600
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.4400
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.5600
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.4400
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.4400
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.5600
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.5600
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.4400
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.5600
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.4400
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.5600
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.4400
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.5600
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.4400
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.4400
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.4400
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.5600
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.4400
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.4400
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.5600
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.5600
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.4400
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.5600
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.4400
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.5600
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.5600
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.4400
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.5600
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.5600
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.5600
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.5600
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.5600
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 5.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.5900 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.5550
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.4450
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.5550
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.4450
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.4450
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.4450
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.5550
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.5550
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.5550
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.5550
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.5550
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.4450
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.5550
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.4450
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.4450
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.5550
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.4450
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.5550
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.4450
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.4450
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.5550
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.4450
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.5550
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.4450
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.5550
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.5550
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.4450
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.5550
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.4450
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.4450
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.5550
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.4450
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.5550
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.5550
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.5550
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.5550
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.4450
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.6500
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.2550
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.2550
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.2550
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.7200
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.2600
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.7400
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.7600
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.2400
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.2450
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10.64, Sell volume: 8.33, Average price: 0.4840, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.5400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.2450
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.2450
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.2450
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.7550
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.2450
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.2400
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.7200
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.2800
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.2800
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.2850
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.7150
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.2850
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.7150
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.2850
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.7150
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.7400
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.2600
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.7400
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.2600
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.2600
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.7400
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.7400
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.2600
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.7400
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.2600
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.2600
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.2600
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.2600
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.7400
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.7400
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.2600
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.7400
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.2600
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.7400
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.7400
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.2600
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.2600
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.7650
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.7400
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.7400
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.7400
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.2600
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.81, Average price: 0.3250, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.5300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.7400
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.2600
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.7400
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.2600
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.7400
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.2600
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.2600
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.7400
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.2600
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.7400
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.7400
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.7400
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.2600
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.2600
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.7400
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.7400
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.2600
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.7400
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.2600
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.7400
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2600
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.8400
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.1600
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.8450
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.1600
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.1600
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.8400
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.8400
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.1600
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2500
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.2500
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.2500
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.7500
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.7400
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.2600
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7400
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 16973.83, Sell volume: 2154.09, Average price: 0.6713, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2600
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.7400
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.7400
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.7400
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.7400
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.7400
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.7400
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.2600
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.7400
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.7400
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.7400
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.2600
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.2600
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.7400
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.7400
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.7150
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.7150
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.2900
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.7100
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.3000
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.7000
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.7200
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.7200
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.7200
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.2700
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.7350
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8750, Price range: 0.8700 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.2650
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.7350
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.7350
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.7350
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.7600
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.7600
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.2400
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.7900
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.8100
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1900
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.8100
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.1900
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.8100
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.1900
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.1900
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.1900
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.8100
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 3.40, Average price: 0.8767, Price range: 0.6700 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.8200
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.8300
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.1700
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.8300
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.1700
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.8400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.1800
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.8400
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.8350
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.1600
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.1600
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.1600
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.8500
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.1600
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.8400
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.1600
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.8400
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.1600
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.8600
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.1400
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.8600
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.1400
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.8500
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.1500
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.8500
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.1450
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.8500
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.1350
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.8650
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.1350
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.8650
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.1500
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9100
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.42, Sell volume: 5.37, Average price: 0.4865, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9231

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0600
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9100
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 18.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0500
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0500
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0600
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0550
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9000
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0400
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0465
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9585
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0525
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0520
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0525
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9305
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0465
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9535
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0180
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0870
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9085
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0915
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9085
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.1055
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1065
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0175
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9855
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9860
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0135
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9925
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0810
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0795
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9830
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 13443.30, Sell volume: 2104.80, Average price: 0.7321, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.3250
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.5100
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.4200
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.4250
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.4300
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.4300
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.4350
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.4400
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.4400
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.4400
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.4400
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.4300
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.4350
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.4350
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.4300
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.4450
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.4400
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.4400
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.4450
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.4450
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.4450
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.5100
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.5100
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.5150
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.6800
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.5450
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.5450
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.5450
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 268.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5371, Price range: 0.4743 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.4350
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.4300
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.4300
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.4250
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.4250
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.4250
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.4300
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.4300
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.4350
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.4300
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.4300
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.4300
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.4300
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.4300
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.4300
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.4300
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.4350
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.4350
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.4350
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.4400
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.4400
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.4400
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.4400
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.4400
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.4400
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.4350
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.4350
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.4350
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.4350
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 86.64, Sell volume: 14.38, Average price: 0.5766, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.5650
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.5650
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.5650
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.5650
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.5600
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.5600
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.5600
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.5600
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.5550
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.5550
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.5550
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.5550
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.5550
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.5550
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.5550
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.5600
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.5600
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.5600
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.5600
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.5600
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.5600
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.5600
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.5600
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.5600
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.4400
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.5600
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.5600
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.4400
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.4400
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.5900 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.5600
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.4400
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.4400
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.4400
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.4400
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.5600
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.5600
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.5600
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.5600
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.4400
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.5600
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.5600
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.5600
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.5600
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.5600
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.4400
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.5600
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.4400
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.5600
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.5600
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.4400
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 8.47, Sell volume: 14.00, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.4400
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.5600
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.5600
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.4400
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.4400
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.5600
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.5600
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.5600
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.5600
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.4400
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.5600
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.5600
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.4400
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.5600
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.4400
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.4400
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.5600
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.5600
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.5600
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.5600
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.5600
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.4400
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.4400
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.5600
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.5600
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.5600
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.5600
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.4450
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 5.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.5900 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.5550
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.5550
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.5550
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.5550
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.4450
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.4450
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.5550
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.5550
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.4450
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.5550
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.5550
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.5550
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.4450
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.4450
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.4450
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.5550
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.4450
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.4450
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.4450
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.5550
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.4450
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.4450
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.3500
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.2550
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.2550
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.7400
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.7600
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.2450
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.2450
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 10.64, Sell volume: 8.33, Average price: 0.4840, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.5400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.2450
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.2450
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.7550
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.7600
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.7200
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.7150
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.2850
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.7150
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.7150
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.7400
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.7400
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.7400
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.7400
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.2600
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.7400
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.7400
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.7400
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.7400
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.7400
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.7400
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.2600
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.2600
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.81, Average price: 0.3250, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.7400
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.7400
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.7400
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7400
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.8400
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.1600
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.8400
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7500
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.2500
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.7400
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 16973.83, Sell volume: 2154.09, Average price: 0.6713, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.2600
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7400
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.2600
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.2600
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7400
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.7400
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.2600
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.2600
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.2600
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.7100
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.3000
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.7200
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.7200
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.7300
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.7350
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8750, Price range: 0.8700 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.2650
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.7350
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.2400
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.7600
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1900
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.8100
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.8100
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.1900
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.1750
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1750
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.04, Sell volume: 3.40, Average price: 0.8767, Price range: 0.6700 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1700
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.8350
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.8500
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8400
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.8400
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.8400
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.8400
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.8600
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.8600
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.8500
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.8500
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.8650
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.8650
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.8650
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9100
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9100
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.42, Sell volume: 5.37, Average price: 0.4865, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9231
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 18.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561621
Question: Will Switzerland win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 19127.925935
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9000
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9600
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9535
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9475
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9480
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9310
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9535
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0180
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9085
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9085
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8930
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9860
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9865
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9860
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9210
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9885
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 13443.30, Sell volume: 2104.80, Average price: 0.7321, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561622
Question: Will Sweden win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35677.621188
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.3350
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.6400
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.3600
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.6350
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.3650
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.6300
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.3750
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.6250
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.3750
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.6250
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.3750
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.6250
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.3800
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.6200
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.3800
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.6200
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.3800
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.6200
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.3800
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.6150
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.3850
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.6100
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.3900
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.6100
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.3900
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.6100
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.3900
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.6150
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.3850
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.6150
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.3850
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.6150
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.3900
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.6100
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.3900
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.6100
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.3850
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.6150
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.3800
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.6250
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.6300
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.6300
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.3700
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.6350
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.3650
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.6450
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.3550
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 122.20, Sell volume: 40.81, Average price: 0.5575, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7000

Output: Yes