Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676500
Question: Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Volume: 3374163.317681
Price History:
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.8300
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.1700
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.1750
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.8200
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8150
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8400
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.1600
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.8100
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.1900
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.2550
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 398867894.95, Sell volume: 278846205.99, Average price: 0.3139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676500
Question: Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Volume: 3374163.317681
Price History:
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7200
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.2800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6850
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6750
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.7250
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.7050
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.2950
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.7150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 398867894.95, Sell volume: 278846205.99, Average price: 0.3139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676500
Question: Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Volume: 3374163.317681
Price History:
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7150
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2850
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.2750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.7800
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7650
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.2350
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.7750
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.2250
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.7700
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.2300
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 398867894.95, Sell volume: 278846205.99, Average price: 0.3139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676500
Question: Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Volume: 3374163.317681
Price History:
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8000
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.2000
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2500
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7500
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.2500
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.7550
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.7500
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.2500
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.7600
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 398867894.95, Sell volume: 278846205.99, Average price: 0.3139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676500
Question: Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Volume: 3374163.317681
Price History:
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.7650
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2350
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.7050
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6800
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3200
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.6550
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.3450
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.6900
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.3100
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.6650
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.3350
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 398867894.95, Sell volume: 278846205.99, Average price: 0.3139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676500
Question: Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Volume: 3374163.317681
Price History:
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.6550
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.3450
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.6500
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.3500
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6600
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3400
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.7450
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.2550
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.7300
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.2700
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7000
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 398867894.95, Sell volume: 278846205.99, Average price: 0.3139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676500
Question: Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Volume: 3374163.317681
Price History:
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.2750
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2900
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.7050
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.2950
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.7100
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.2900
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.7050
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.2950
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.7050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.2950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.7100
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2900
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2350
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8550
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1450
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8500
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1500
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.8650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 398867894.95, Sell volume: 278846205.99, Average price: 0.3139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676500
Question: Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
Volume: 3374163.317681
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8500
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1500
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0600
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9640
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0360
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9315
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0685
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8620
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1380
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9060
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0940
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999895, Buy volume: 398856993.34, Sell volume: 278786732.53, Average price: 0.3139, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.3000
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.3100
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.6950
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.3100
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.3200
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.3150
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.6850
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.6900
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.7100
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.3000
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.3000
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.7000
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.5100
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.5450
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.5450
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.4650
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.5250
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.5250
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.5850
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.4150
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.3300
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.6950
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.7400
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.6800
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.6800
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.3150
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.3050
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.2650
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.7400
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.2650
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.2650
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.2500
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.2400
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.2400
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.7650
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.7650
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.7550
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.7550
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.7550
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.7450
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.7950
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.8450
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.8600
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.8500
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.8550
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.8550
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1400
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.8650
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.8650
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.1450
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8450
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.1250
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.8700
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.1550
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.8550
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8600
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.1400
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.1400
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.8600
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.1350
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.1350
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.8650
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.1350
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.8650
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.1350
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.8800
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.1250
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1450
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.1400
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.1400
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1250
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1250
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1200
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.8800
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8800
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8800
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8800
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.8800
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8800
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.8800
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.8800
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.8800
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.1200
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.8800
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.1200
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.1200
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.1200
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.1200
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.8800
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.8750
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.1250
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.8750
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.1150
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8850
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.8000
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.2000
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.2000
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.2000
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.2450
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7600
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.6700
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.3250
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.6750
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.6750
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.6750
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.6750
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.6750
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.7100
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.7100
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7050
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2200
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2150
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2050
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.8000
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2000
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.8050
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.7850
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.1000
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9445
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0505
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9550
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0455
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9545
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0455
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9525
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0465
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9530
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0475
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9530
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0475
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9525
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0470
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9530
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0470
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9530
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0470
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9530
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0470
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9530
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0480
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9475
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9430
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0570
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9685
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0530
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9645
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0255
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9780
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0100
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9900
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0100
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9565
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0360
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9635
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0310
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9665
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0325
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9695
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0330
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9655
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0345
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9765
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0180
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9795
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0220
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0225
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9765
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9825
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0180
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9815
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9830
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9885
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9635
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0380
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9650
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0340
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9735
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0265
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9735
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0265
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9735
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9750
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0250
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9750
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0250
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9630
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0295
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9625
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0380
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9605
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0590
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9515
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0475
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9610
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0405
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9620
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0375
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9575
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0425
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9580
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0420
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9580
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0420
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9680
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0555
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0470
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9530
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0555
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9445
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0285
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0230
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9750
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0325
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9735
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0275
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9720
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0290
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9725
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0400
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0385
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9615
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0425
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9575
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0420
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9605
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0395
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9555
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0430
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9570
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0430
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9570
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0420
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9570
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0410
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9595
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0430
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9570
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0430
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9570
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0455
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0430
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9570
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0425
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9575
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0430
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9570
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0430
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9570
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0430
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9570
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0430
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9570
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0430
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9555
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0445
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9555
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0585
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9415
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0515
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9520
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0465
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9510
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0605
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9245
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9445
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0535
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9495
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0485
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9515
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0480
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9520
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0480
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9520
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0480
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9520
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0480
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9520
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0480
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9520
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0480
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9520
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0480
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9520
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0480
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9515
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0485
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9515
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0485
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9515
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9490
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0515
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9490
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0500
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9510
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0490
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9505
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0490
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9510
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0485
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9565
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0425
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9575
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0425
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9575
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0425
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9595
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0470
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9525
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0465
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9535
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0460
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9530
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9475
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0515
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9485
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0515
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9485
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0505
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9495
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0505
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9475
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0520
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9480
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0520
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9480
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0470
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9530
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0435
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0445
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9555
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0440
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9615
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0385
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9615
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0430
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9570
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0435
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9560
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0430
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9565
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0420
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9590
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0330
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9815
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0175
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9820
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0200
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9800
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0230
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9775
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9795
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9835
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0260
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9645
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9750
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0250
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9625
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0245
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9755
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0240
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9760
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0240
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9760
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0250
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9750
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0260
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9695
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0285
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9710
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0295
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9700
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0270
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9735
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0250
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9750
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0250
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9770
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9785
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9845
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9915
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0125
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9875
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0120
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9870
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9800
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0145
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9895
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0105
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9855
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0145
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9855
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0140
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9860
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9875
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9905
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0080
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9910
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9930
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0080
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9925
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9920
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0135
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.7400
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.6950
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.6950
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.3150
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.3150
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.7000
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.3000
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.3000
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.5550
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.5250
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.4150
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.5850
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.3300
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.7450
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.2450
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.6800
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.3000
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.2650
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.7350
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.2650
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.2500
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.7600
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.7650
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.2350
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.2450
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.7550
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.8450
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1400
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.1500
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.8550
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.1350
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.1650
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8450
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.1550
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1350
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.1400
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.1400
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.1400
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.1350
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.1350
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.8650
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1200
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1450
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.1450
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1250
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1250
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.8800
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.8800
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.8800
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8800
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.8800
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.1200
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.8800
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.1200
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.1200
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.1200
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.8800
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.1250
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.8850
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.8000
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.8000
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.2800
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.6700
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.3250
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.3250
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.6750
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.3100
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.7100
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2900
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2200
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7850
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.8000
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.1950
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.7850
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9150
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9495
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9545
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0475
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9535
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0475
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9525
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0470
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9530
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0470
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9530
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0470
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9520
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0540
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0570
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9430
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0530
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9730
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9900
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0385
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9635
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0335
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9675
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0330
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9655
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0250
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9750
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0235
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9820
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9785
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0220
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9765
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9820
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0175
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9825
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0115
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9635
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9660
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0265
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9735
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0265
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9750
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0250
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9750
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0295
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9620
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0585
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9515
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0390
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9595
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0375
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9575
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0420
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9580
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0320
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9445
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0470
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9435
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0250
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9675
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0275
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9720
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0400
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9615
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0425
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9575
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0395
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9605
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0430
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9570
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0430
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9570
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0405
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9570
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0430
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9575
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0430
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9570
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0425
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9570
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0430
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9570
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0430
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9570
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0445
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9555
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0585
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9490
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0475
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9510
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0755
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9445
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0505
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9515
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0480
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9520
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0480
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9520
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0480
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9520
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0480
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9520
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0480
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9515
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0485
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9515
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9485
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0500
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0490
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9510
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0490
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9510
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0425
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9575
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0425
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9575
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0465
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9535
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0490
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9475
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0515
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9485
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0505
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9495
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0525
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9480
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0520
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9530
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9570
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0430
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0445
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9555
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0435
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9565
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0385
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9615
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0430
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9570
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0440
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9565
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0410
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9815
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0180
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9800
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0230
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9795
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0165
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9740
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9750
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9755
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0240
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9760
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0250
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9740
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9715
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0295
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9705
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0260
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9750
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628682
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Volume: 578789.702769
Price History:
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0120
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9875
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0130
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0145
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9895
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0150
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9855
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0140
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9895
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0090
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9930
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9860
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0110
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225725912.61, Sell volume: 55895956.33, Average price: 0.7078, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.7400
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.7350
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.7300
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.2650
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.7400
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.7400
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.2650
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.7350
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.2650
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.2550
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.2550
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.2550
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.7450
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.2550
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.7550
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.2450
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.7550
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.2450
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.2450
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.7550
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.7850
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.2000
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 51.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9430, Price range: 0.9204 - 0.9744

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.7900
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.1550
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.1200
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.1000
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.7850
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0350
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9695
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9730
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0555
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0545
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9550
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0375
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0380
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9620
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0380
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9545
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9550
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0495
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9495
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9495
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9495
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0490
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0420
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9585
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0435
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0425
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0440
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0470
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9580
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9545
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0435
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9585
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2895.85, Sell volume: 589.87, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9670

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9205
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0735
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0645
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9365
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0635
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0635
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9355
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0745
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0770
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0845
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0820
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0815
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9185
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0815
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0790
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0785
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9225
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0775
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0770
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0880
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0880
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0880
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0880
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0880
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0775
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9170
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9175
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0870
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9130
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9130
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9125
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0880
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9120
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0880
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9120
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0880
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0880
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9190
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9180
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9120
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0880
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.1620
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.8435
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.8710
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.8790
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.1285
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.8720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2351.64, Sell volume: 695.32, Average price: 0.5231, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9483

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.1915
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.8415
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.1555
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8455
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1635
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1650
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.1735
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1280
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.8800
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.1155
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.8795
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.1125
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.1120
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.1115
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.8905
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8945
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9040
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0955
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9025
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.1055
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.8925
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.8925
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.1080
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.1145
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.8855
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.1150
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.8855
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.1145
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.8855
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.1145
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9120
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0820
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9175
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0830
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9175
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9220
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0755
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9245
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0875
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9140
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0860
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9135
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0860
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9140
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0875
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9115
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0930
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 3342.61, Sell volume: 646.52, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.0710 - 0.9290

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0745
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9260
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0720
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9285
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0715
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9285
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0720
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9280
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0625
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9385
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0245
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9695
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0420
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9580
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0415
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9585
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0420
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9605
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0415
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9585
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0415
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9540
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0420
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9595
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0440
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9630
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0315
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9715
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0215
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9685
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0260
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9755
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9790
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0200
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9800
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0200
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9625
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0380
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9585
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0430
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9565
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0445
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9525
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9505
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0520
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2297.94, Sell volume: 1410.11, Average price: 0.4945, Price range: 0.0163 - 0.9647

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0765
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9235
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0865
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0515
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9475
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0525
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9485
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0515
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0520
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9480
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0515
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9485
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0525
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9485
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0335
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9790
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0230
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9775
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0230
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0210
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0215
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9780
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0220
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9800
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0220
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9775
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0220
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9775
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0210
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9810
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0200
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9790
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0205
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9800
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0215
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9785
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0185
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9815
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0185
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9780
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0200
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9820
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0170
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9820
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0175
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2878.84, Sell volume: 355.36, Average price: 0.6476, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9871

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0165
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9850
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0150
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9845
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9895
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0105
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9895
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0105
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9895
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0105
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9895
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9895
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0105
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9880
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0115
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0130
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9885
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0115
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9895
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0110
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0105
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9895
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0105
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0130
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9910
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0150
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 7198.93, Sell volume: 926.58, Average price: 0.9020, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9939

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9905
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0105
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9895
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9910
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0175
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9825
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0275
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9810
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0190
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9825
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0135
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9865
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0140
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9855
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0210
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9755
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0290
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9705
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0210
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9750
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0220
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9795
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0225
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0215
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0210
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9780
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0215
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9775
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0185
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9815
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0185
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 11160.47, Sell volume: 2873.54, Average price: 0.7211, Price range: 0.0051 - 0.9941

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0230
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9775
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0235
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9750
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0250
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0245
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9755
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0245
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9755
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0240
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9760
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0240
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9755
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0245
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9755
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0245
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0240
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9760
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0240
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9760
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0240
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9760
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0245
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9755
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0240
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9760
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0240
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9760
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0240
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9760
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0240
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9760
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0240
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9735
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0265
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9735
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0300
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9700
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0860
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0575
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 12782.72, Sell volume: 9655.84, Average price: 0.6747, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0250
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9770
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0230
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9770
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0225
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9775
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0310
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9690
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0320
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9680
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0325
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9680
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0305
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9695
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9715
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0285
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9715
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0280
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9720
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0270
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9740
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9755
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9755
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0245
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9755
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0245
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9755
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0250
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9750
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0250
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9750
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0250
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9750
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0245
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9755
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0240
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9750
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0230
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9770
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0260
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9740
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0245
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9780
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0175
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9825
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0175
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 26132.67, Sell volume: 22357.20, Average price: 0.8157, Price range: 0.0147 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0225
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9775
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0225
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9780
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0220
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9780
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0220
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9780
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0220
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9780
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0220
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0215
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9785
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0215
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9785
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0275
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9725
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0275
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9725
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0275
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9620
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0375
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9625
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0370
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9635
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0365
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9635
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0360
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9660
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0340
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9665
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0320
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9680
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0315
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9685
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0305
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9695
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0305
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9695
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9705
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0230
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9770
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0230
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9770
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0230
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9770
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0230
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 32761.65, Sell volume: 27215.82, Average price: 0.8961, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0190
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9835
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0140
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9860
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0140
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0120
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0135
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9880
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0135
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9870
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9860
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0135
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9865
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9890
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0110
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9890
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0120
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0120
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9880
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0120
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9890
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0120
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0135
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9865
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0150
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9850
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0125
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9875
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0115
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 10328.50, Sell volume: 3495.55, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0090
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9910
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0090
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9905
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9915
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9920
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0095
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9910
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9925
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 291, Buy volume: 123325.79, Sell volume: 57257.57, Average price: 0.6257, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.2600
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.7350
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.2650
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.2650
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.2650
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.7450
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.2550
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.7450
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.2550
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.2450
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.7550
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.7550
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.7850
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.2000
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 51.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9430, Price range: 0.9204 - 0.9744
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.2100
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.1400
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1000
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0370
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0530
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0555
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9625
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9620
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0375
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9625
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9495
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0505
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9510
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9585
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0435
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0435
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9580
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9565
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2895.85, Sell volume: 589.87, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9205
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9385
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9365
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9365
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0645
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0770
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0820
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9185
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0815
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9215
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0775
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0770
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9120
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9120
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0880
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9225
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0830
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0870
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9130
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0880
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9120
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0880
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9120
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9190
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9105
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0880
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.8435
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.1210
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2351.64, Sell volume: 695.32, Average price: 0.5231, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9483
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.1915
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.8460
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.8385
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1650
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.8720
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.1155
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.8840
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.1155
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.8905
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0960
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9045
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.1055
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.1075
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.1080
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.8855
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.1145
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.8855
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.1145
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9175
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0830
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9175
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0780
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9245
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0875
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9135
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0860
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9140
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0885
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 3342.61, Sell volume: 646.52, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.0710 - 0.9290
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0745
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9265
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0715
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9285
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0720
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9375
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9720
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0320
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9580
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0415
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9580
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0415
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9585
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0495
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9595
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0370
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9685
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0215
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9715
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9790
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0200
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9800
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0380
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9580
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0440
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9525
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0495
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2297.94, Sell volume: 1410.11, Average price: 0.4945, Price range: 0.0163 - 0.9647
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0765
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9155
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9475
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0515
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9485
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0520
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9470
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0515
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9485
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0210
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9770
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0230
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9775
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9780
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0200
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9780
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0220
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9800
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0205
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9790
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0200
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9785
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0185
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9815
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0200
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9820
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0180
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2878.84, Sell volume: 355.36, Average price: 0.6476, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9871
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0165
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0120
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9895
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0105
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0105
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0105
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9880
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0110
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9870
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0115
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9885
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0115
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9895
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9870
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0110
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9910
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 7198.93, Sell volume: 926.58, Average price: 0.9020, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9939
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9905
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9905
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0125
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0090
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9825
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0275
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9810
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0175
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0135
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9860
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0210
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9750
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0190
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9750
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0205
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9775
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0215
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9785
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0215
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9775
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0185
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 11160.47, Sell volume: 2873.54, Average price: 0.7211, Price range: 0.0051 - 0.9941
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0230
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9775
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0250
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0245
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9755
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0240
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9755
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0245
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9755
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9760
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9750
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0250
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0240
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9760
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0245
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9760
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0240
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9760
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0240
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9760
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0240
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9735
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0265
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9700
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 12782.72, Sell volume: 9655.84, Average price: 0.6747, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0250
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9770
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0230
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9775
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0310
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9680
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0325
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9680
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0305
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9715
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0285
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9720
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0270
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9755
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0245
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9755
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0250
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9750
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0250
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9750
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0245
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9760
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0230
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9765
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0255
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9780
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0175
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 26132.67, Sell volume: 22357.20, Average price: 0.8157, Price range: 0.0147 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0225
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9775
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0220
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9780
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0220
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9780
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0220
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9780
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0215
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9785
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0275
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9725
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0275
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9620
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0370
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9635
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0365
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9640
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0340
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9680
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0320
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9685
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9695
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9705
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0230
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9770
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0230
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 32761.65, Sell volume: 27215.82, Average price: 0.8961, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0190
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9860
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0140
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9855
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0135
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0135
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0135
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9865
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0110
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9890
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0120
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9880
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0120
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9890
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9865
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0150
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0125
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 10328.50, Sell volume: 3495.55, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628683
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$12B one day after launch?
Volume: 377186.088584
Price History:
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0090
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0085
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9920
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9920
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0080
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 291, Buy volume: 123325.79, Sell volume: 57257.57, Average price: 0.6257, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.7550
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.2000
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.2050
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8000
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8000
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.2000
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.8000
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.1900
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.8050
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.8050
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.1950
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.8050
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.8150
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.1850
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.8350
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.8450
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.8450
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.1550
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.1550
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1550
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.1550
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.8450
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.1550
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.1550
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.8450
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.1550
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.8450
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.1550
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.8450
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 13.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.8700 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.8550
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.1350
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9100
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9550
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9550
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9600
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0400
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9600
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0340
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9660
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0340
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9660
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9660
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9660
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0340
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0340
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9660
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0340
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0340
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9660
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0345
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9655
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0345
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9655
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9660
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0330
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0305
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9700
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0300
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0300
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0300
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9700
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9700
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0275
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0280
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 813.18, Sell volume: 56.07, Average price: 0.6597, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9705
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9705
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9645
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9625
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0375
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0375
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9665
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0345
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0345
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0340
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0325
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9675
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9675
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9675
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0360
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9640
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9630
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0365
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9630
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0365
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0360
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9640
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0360
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9640
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0365
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0360
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0355
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0360
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9650
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9645
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0355
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9655
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9655
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0335
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0305
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9645
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0320
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9645
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9700
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0345
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0355
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9655
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0355
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9645
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.1395
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.8905
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.1095
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.8905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2477.56, Sell volume: 104.53, Average price: 0.7062, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0795
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9180
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0780
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9205
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0780
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9220
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0875
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9115
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0815
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9165
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0835
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9125
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9115
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0890
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9130
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9110
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9120
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0795
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9315
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9265
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9335
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9355
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9285
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0790
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0835
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9260
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0745
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9230
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0730
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9225
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0725
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9275
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9315
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0665
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9335
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0485
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9535
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9560
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9560
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9560
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0355
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9725
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0110
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2340.91, Sell volume: 409.99, Average price: 0.5459, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9498

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0310
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9670
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0285
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9720
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0275
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9735
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0250
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9735
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0280
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9730
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0245
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9755
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0260
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9725
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0290
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9755
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0245
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9755
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0210
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0225
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9790
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0245
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9750
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0220
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9800
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0200
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9785
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9760
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0195
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9865, Price range: 0.9850 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0245
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9755
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0245
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9625
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0480
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9520
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0480
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9520
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0480
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9520
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0480
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9520
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0435
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9565
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0435
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9570
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0410
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9690
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0235
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9760
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0240
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0235
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0240
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9760
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0240
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9760
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0240
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9760
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0240
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9760
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0235
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9770
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0185
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9815
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0180
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9820
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0165
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9835
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0165
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9835
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0165
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9835
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0165
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1624.97, Sell volume: 636.38, Average price: 0.8062, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9865
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0125
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9875
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0125
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9875
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0125
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9875
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0120
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9875
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9915
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 190, Buy volume: 28347.28, Sell volume: 11468.41, Average price: 0.2605, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0115
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9910
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9925
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9920
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9925
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9925
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0115
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0140
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9880
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0130
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0125
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9860
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9905
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9905
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0130
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0170
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9835
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0175
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9840
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0145
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0115
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9885
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0110
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9895
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0090
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9910
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 138, Buy volume: 39101.34, Sell volume: 15049.84, Average price: 0.7503, Price range: 0.0041 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0135
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0175
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0165
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9815
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9735
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0210
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9740
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9785
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0205
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9795
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0255
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9745
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0245
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9755
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0245
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9755
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0235
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9765
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0240
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9765
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0235
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9765
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0230
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0205
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9800
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9795
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9800
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9800
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0195
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9800
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9800
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9800
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1911.18, Sell volume: 886.67, Average price: 0.8317, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0175
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9830
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0180
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9825
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0160
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9845
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9885
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9845
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9840
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0145
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9860
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0140
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9860
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0140
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9815
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0195
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9805
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0195
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9805
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0140
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9860
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0145
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0145
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9855
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0145
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9855
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0130
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9870
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0135
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9865
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0135
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9860
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0155
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9845
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0155
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0155
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9845
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 25219.11, Sell volume: 19855.67, Average price: 0.7797, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0125
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9875
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0125
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9875
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9875
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0115
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0150
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9850
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0150
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9845
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0155
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9845
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0155
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9850
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0145
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9810
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0190
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9810
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9810
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0200
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9800
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0200
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9800
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9815
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0120
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9880
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9880
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0150
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9835
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0155
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9840
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0165
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9835
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0165
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 14890.12, Sell volume: 4685.37, Average price: 0.7439, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes