Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0360
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0360
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0360
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0360
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0360
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0360
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0360
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 11885.21, Sell volume: 392.09, Average price: 0.6639, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9640
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9655
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9655
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9650
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9650
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9650
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9650
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9650
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9655
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9650
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9650
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9645
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 263.16, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.3460, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.9620
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0355
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0355
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0360
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0360
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0360
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0360
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0360
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0360
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0360
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0360
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0360
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0365
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0360
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0375
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0360
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0365
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0355
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0375
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0380
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0380
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0380
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0390
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 473.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7801, Price range: 0.0370 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9615
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9520
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9560
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9560
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9560
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9565
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9560
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9560
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9580
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9580
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9580
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9550
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9550
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9550
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9535
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9525
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9525
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9525
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9540
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9530
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9515
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9615
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9635
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9585
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 894.31, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.3856, Price range: 0.0404 - 0.9542
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538709
Question: Will the next Pope be named Paul?
Volume: 12277.302882
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0435
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0440
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0445
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0470
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0530
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0560
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0570
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0555
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0560
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0570
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1305
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0915
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0845
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0855
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0965
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0930
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0990
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0940
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.1025
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.1025
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2745
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.1350
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.1195
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0660
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0655
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0695
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.1295
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.2105
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 7356.37, Sell volume: 262.09, Average price: 0.6786, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-05 18:00: 0.5000
2024-06-05 18:00: 0.5000
2024-06-05 19:00: 0.8750
2024-06-05 19:00: 0.1250
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.8850
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.1150
2024-06-05 21:00: 0.8750
2024-06-05 21:00: 0.1250
2024-06-05 22:00: 0.8750
2024-06-05 22:00: 0.1250
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.9250
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 01:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 01:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 02:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 02:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 03:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 03:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 04:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 04:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 3455.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.7668, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 06:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 06:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 07:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 07:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 08:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 08:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 10:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 10:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 12:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 12:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 13:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 13:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 15:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 15:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 16:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 16:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 517.13, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5880, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-06 17:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 17:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 18:00: 0.9050
2024-06-06 18:00: 0.0950
2024-06-06 19:00: 0.9050
2024-06-06 19:00: 0.0950
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.9050
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.0950
2024-06-06 21:00: 0.9050
2024-06-06 21:00: 0.0950
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.9050
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.0950
2024-06-06 23:00: 0.9100
2024-06-06 23:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 00:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 00:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 01:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 01:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 02:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 02:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 03:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 03:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 04:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 390.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9194, Price range: 0.9194 - 0.9194

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-07 04:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 05:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 05:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 06:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 06:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 08:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 08:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 10:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 10:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 11:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 11:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 12:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 12:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 13:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 13:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 15:00: 0.9250
2024-06-07 15:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 552.00, Sell volume: 652.10, Average price: 0.6786, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-07 16:00: 0.9250
2024-06-07 16:00: 0.0750
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.9645
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.0355
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.9595
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.0405
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.9595
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.0405
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.9595
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.0405
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.9595
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.0405
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.9620
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.0380
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.9620
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.0380
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.9620
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.0380
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.9620
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.0380
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.9620
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.0380
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 310.02, Sell volume: 805.00, Average price: 0.4176, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9690

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.0380
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.9655
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.0345
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.9650
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.0350
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.9650
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.0350
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.9650
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.0350
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.9650
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.0350
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.9650
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.0350
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.9655
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.0345
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9683, Price range: 0.9680 - 0.9690

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.9685
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.0315
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.9685
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.0315
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.9685
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.0315
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 9.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9680, Price range: 0.9680 - 0.9680

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.0315
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.9685
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.0315
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.9685
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.0315
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.9685
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.0315
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 110.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.0255
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.9745
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.0255
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1629.99, Sell volume: 154.89, Average price: 0.9819, Price range: 0.9790 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.0125
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.9915
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.0085
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.9900
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.0100
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.9900
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.0100
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.9900
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.0100
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.9900
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.0100
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.9900
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.0100
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.9900
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.0100
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.9900
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.0100
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1111.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9942, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.0090
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 419.06, Sell volume: 385.91, Average price: 0.9164, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.0090
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.9910
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.0090
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.9910
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.0090
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.01, Sell volume: 600.00, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9959

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.9935
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.0065
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 888.00, Average price: 0.0025, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.0025

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-05 18:00: 0.5000
2024-06-05 18:00: 0.5000
2024-06-05 19:00: 0.8750
2024-06-05 19:00: 0.1250
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.8850
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.1150
2024-06-05 21:00: 0.8750
2024-06-05 21:00: 0.1250
2024-06-05 22:00: 0.8750
2024-06-05 22:00: 0.1250
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.9250
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 01:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 01:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 02:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 02:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 03:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 03:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 04:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 04:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 3455.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.7668, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 06:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 06:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 07:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 07:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 08:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 08:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 10:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 10:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 12:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 12:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 13:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 13:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 15:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 15:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 16:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 16:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 517.13, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5880, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-06 17:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 17:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 18:00: 0.9050
2024-06-06 18:00: 0.0950
2024-06-06 19:00: 0.9050
2024-06-06 19:00: 0.0950
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.9050
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.0950
2024-06-06 21:00: 0.9050
2024-06-06 21:00: 0.0950
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.9050
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.0950
2024-06-06 23:00: 0.9100
2024-06-06 23:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 00:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 00:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 01:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 01:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 02:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 02:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 03:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 03:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 04:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 390.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9194, Price range: 0.9194 - 0.9194
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-07 04:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 05:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 05:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 06:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 06:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 08:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 08:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 10:00: 0.9100
2024-06-07 10:00: 0.0900
2024-06-07 11:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 11:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 12:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 12:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 13:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 13:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 15:00: 0.9250
2024-06-07 15:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 552.00, Sell volume: 652.10, Average price: 0.6786, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-07 16:00: 0.9250
2024-06-07 16:00: 0.0750
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.9645
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.0355
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.9595
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.0405
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.9595
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.0405
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.9595
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.0405
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.9595
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.0405
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.9620
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.0380
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.9620
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.0380
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.9620
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.0380
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.9620
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.0380
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.9620
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.0380
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 310.02, Sell volume: 805.00, Average price: 0.4176, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.0380
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.9655
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.0345
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.9650
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.0350
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.9650
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.0350
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.9650
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.0350
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.9650
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.0350
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.9650
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.0350
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.9655
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.0345
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9683, Price range: 0.9680 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.9645
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.0355
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.9685
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.0315
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.9685
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.0315
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.9685
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.0315
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 9.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9680, Price range: 0.9680 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.0315
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.9685
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.0315
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.9685
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.0315
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.9685
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.0315
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 110.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.0255
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.9745
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.0255
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.9745
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.0255
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1629.99, Sell volume: 154.89, Average price: 0.9819, Price range: 0.9790 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.0125
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.9915
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.0085
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.9900
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.0100
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.9900
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.0100
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.9900
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.0100
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.9900
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.0100
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.9900
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.0100
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.9900
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.0100
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.9900
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.0100
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1111.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9942, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.0090
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.9910
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.0090
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 419.06, Sell volume: 385.91, Average price: 0.9164, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.0090
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.9910
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.0090
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.9910
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.0090
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.01, Sell volume: 600.00, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9959
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502152
Question: Will Sam Brown win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 33738.466225
Price History:
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.9915
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.0085
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.9935
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.0065
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.9940
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.0060
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 888.00, Average price: 0.0025, Price range: 0.0025 - 0.0025
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4850
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7450
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2400
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.7600
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1650
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.8350
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1700
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.8300
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1700
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8300
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1700
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8300
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8300
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1650
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.8350
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1550
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.8450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1550
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.8450
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1200
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.8800
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.8700
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9645
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0475
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9525
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0405
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9595
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0410
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9590
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0410
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9590
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0410
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9590
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0375
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9625
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0330
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9670
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 277.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7454, Price range: 0.0337 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0325
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9675
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0335
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0330
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9670
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0335
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0335
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0355
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9645
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0335
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0355
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9645
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0330
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9670
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0320
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9680
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0315
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9685
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0335
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0275
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0275
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0335
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0375
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9625
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0375
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9625
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0380
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9620
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 55.13, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.7838, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0290
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9710
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0290
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9710
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0300
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9700
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9740
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9850
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0150
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9850
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0165
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9835
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0230
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9770
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0220
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9780
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0220
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1394.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5697, Price range: 0.0186 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9530
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0465
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9535
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0465
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9535
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0465
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9535
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0470
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9530
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0490
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9510
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0485
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9515
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0485
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9515
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0485
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9515
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0485
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9515
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0485
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9515
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0480
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9520
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0485
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9515
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0485
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9515
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0480
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9520
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9495
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9495
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9495
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0525
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0530
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9470
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0530
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9470
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0530
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9470
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0540
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9460
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 379.62, Sell volume: 29.70, Average price: 0.0522, Price range: 0.0480 - 0.0564

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0545
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9455
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0550
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9450
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0550
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9450
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9450
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9450
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9455
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9455
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9455
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9450
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0555
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9445
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0555
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9445
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9440
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9440
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9440
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9440
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0535
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9465
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0535
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9465
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0540
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9460
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0540
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9460
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9450
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9450
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0555
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9445
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9440
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9440
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 46.00, Average price: 0.9430, Price range: 0.9430 - 0.9430

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 25230.95, Sell volume: 2016.98, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0555
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9445
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9440
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0560
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9440
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0560
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9440
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0560
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9440
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0560
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9440
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0560
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9440
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0560
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9440
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0560
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9440
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0635
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9365
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0655
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9345
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0630
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 426.92, Sell volume: 1195.81, Average price: 0.4263, Price range: 0.0550 - 0.9420

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9405
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0580
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9420
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9400
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0605
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9395
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0595
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9405
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0595
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9405
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9400
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0600
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9400
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0595
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9405
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9400
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0620
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9380
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0615
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0625
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9375
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0630
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9370
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0635
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9365
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0645
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0645
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0635
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9365
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0645
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0645
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0440
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9560
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0445
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9555
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0465
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9535
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0460
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9540
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0470
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0470
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 2662.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0570 - 0.9480

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0465
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9535
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0470
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9530
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0475
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9525
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0480
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9520
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0485
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9515
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0475
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9525
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0525
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9475
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0470
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9530
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0455
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9545
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0490
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9510
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0540
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9460
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0465
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9535
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0450
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9550
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0530
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9470
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0500
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9500
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0480
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9520
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0505
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9495
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0480
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9520
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0500
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9500
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0455
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9545
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0475
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9525
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0485
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9515
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0475
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9525
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0475
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9525
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0480
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 25230.95, Sell volume: 2016.98, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9525
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0470
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9530
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0470
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9530
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0480
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9520
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0490
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9510
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0490
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9510
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0495
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9505
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0480
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9520
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0475
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9525
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0490
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9510
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0485
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9515
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0510
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9490
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0520
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0490
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9510
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0525
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9475
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0525
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9475
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9480
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0525
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9475
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0500
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9500
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0535
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9465
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0545
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9455
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0565
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9435
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0540
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9460
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0555
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9445
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0555
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9445
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 294.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2815, Price range: 0.0575 - 0.9505

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0530
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9470
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0525
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9475
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9490
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9480
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9480
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0515
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9485
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0510
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9490
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0510
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9490
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0510
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9490
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0635
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9365
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0525
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9475
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0540
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9460
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0540
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9460
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0540
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9460
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0635
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9365
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0650
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0620
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9380
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0615
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9385
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0650
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9350
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0655
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9345
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0625
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9375
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0580
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9420
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0590
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9410
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0580
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2557.17, Sell volume: 126.00, Average price: 0.6124, Price range: 0.0550 - 0.9480

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9380
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0620
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9380
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0595
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9405
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0595
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9405
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0605
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9395
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0570
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9430
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0605
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9395
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0605
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9395
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0605
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9395
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0605
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9395
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0605
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9395
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0555
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9445
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0465
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9535
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0655
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9345
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0655
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9345
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0665
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9335
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0665
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9335
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0665
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9335
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0645
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9355
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0660
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9340
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0660
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9340
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0645
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9355
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0665
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9335
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0670
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9330
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1361.63, Sell volume: 41.00, Average price: 0.4684, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9530

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1465
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.8535
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1095
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.8905
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0925
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9075
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0880
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9120
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0855
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9145
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0685
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9315
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1230
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.8770
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0585
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9415
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0585
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9415
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0610
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9390
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0660
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9340
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0630
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9370
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0605
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9395
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0605
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9395
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0615
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9385
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0630
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9370
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0630
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9370
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0630
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9370
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0630
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9370
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0690
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9310
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0695
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9305
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0685
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9315
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0825
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9175
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0820
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 15821.47, Sell volume: 469.15, Average price: 0.7034, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4850
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2400
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1650
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1700
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1700
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1700
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1650
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1550
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1550
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1200
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.1300
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0475
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0405
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0410
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0410
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0410
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0375
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0330
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0360
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0380
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0410
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0415
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0410
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 277.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7454, Price range: 0.0337 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9675
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9670
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9645
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9645
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9670
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9680
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9685
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9625
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9625
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9620
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9725
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9695
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9720
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9705
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 55.13, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.7838, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0290
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0290
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0300
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0260
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0150
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0165
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0230
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0220
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0220
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0230
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0230
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0250
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0250
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1394.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5697, Price range: 0.0186 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9530
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9535
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9535
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9535
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9530
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9510
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9515
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9515
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9515
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9515
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9515
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9520
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9515
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9515
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9520
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9495
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9495
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9495
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9475
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9470
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9470
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9470
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9460
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9460
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9460
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9460
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9460
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 379.62, Sell volume: 29.70, Average price: 0.0522, Price range: 0.0480 - 0.0564
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0545
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0550
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0545
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0555
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0555
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0535
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0535
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0540
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0540
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0550
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0555
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0560
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0560
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 46.00, Average price: 0.9430, Price range: 0.9430 - 0.9430
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9440
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9440
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 25230.95, Sell volume: 2016.98, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0555
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0560
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0560
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0560
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0560
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0560
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0560
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0560
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0560
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0560
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0635
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0655
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0630
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0620
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0605
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0610
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 426.92, Sell volume: 1195.81, Average price: 0.4263, Price range: 0.0550 - 0.9420
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9405
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9420
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9400
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9395
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9405
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9405
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9400
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9400
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9405
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9400
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9380
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9375
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9370
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9365
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9365
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9355
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9560
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9555
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9535
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9540
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9530
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9540
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 2662.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6505, Price range: 0.0570 - 0.9480
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0465
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0470
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0475
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0480
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0485
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0475
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0525
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0470
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0455
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0490
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0540
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0465
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0450
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0530
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0500
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0480
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0505
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0480
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0500
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0455
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0475
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0485
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0475
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0475
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0480
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0480
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0475
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0470
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0470
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0470
Trade Summary: Total trades: 182, Buy volume: 25230.95, Sell volume: 2016.98, Average price: 0.6072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9525
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9530
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9530
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9520
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9510
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9510
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9505
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9520
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9525
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9510
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9515
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9490
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9480
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9510
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9475
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9475
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9480
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9475
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9500
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9465
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9455
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9435
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9460
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9445
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9445
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9445
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9445
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9445
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9465
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 294.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2815, Price range: 0.0575 - 0.9505
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0530
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0525
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0510
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0520
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0520
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0515
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0510
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0510
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0510
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0635
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0525
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0540
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0540
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0540
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0635
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0650
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0620
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0615
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0650
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0655
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0625
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0580
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0590
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0580
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0610
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0615
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0620
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0620
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2557.17, Sell volume: 126.00, Average price: 0.6124, Price range: 0.0550 - 0.9480
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9380
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9380
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9405
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9405
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9395
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9430
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9395
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9395
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9395
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9395
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9395
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9445
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9535
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9345
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9345
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9335
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9335
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9335
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9355
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9340
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9340
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9355
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9335
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9330
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9340
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9315
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9305
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9275
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1361.63, Sell volume: 41.00, Average price: 0.4684, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9530
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538710
Question: Will the next Pope be named Pius?
Volume: 27247.933831
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1465
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1095
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0925
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0880
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0855
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0685
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1230
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0585
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0585
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0610
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0660
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0630
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0605
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0605
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0615
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0630
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0630
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0630
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0630
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0690
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0695
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0685
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0825
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0820
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0795
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0795
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0810
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.1595
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 15821.47, Sell volume: 469.15, Average price: 0.7034, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-05 18:00: 0.5000
2024-06-05 18:00: 0.5000
2024-06-05 19:00: 0.1250
2024-06-05 19:00: 0.8750
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.1200
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.8800
2024-06-05 21:00: 0.1150
2024-06-05 21:00: 0.8850
2024-06-05 22:00: 0.1150
2024-06-05 22:00: 0.8850
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.0800
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.9200
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.0800
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.9200
2024-06-06 01:00: 0.0800
2024-06-06 01:00: 0.9200
2024-06-06 02:00: 0.0800
2024-06-06 02:00: 0.9200
2024-06-06 03:00: 0.0800
2024-06-06 03:00: 0.9200
2024-06-06 04:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 04:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2132.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.6374, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8996

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 06:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 06:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 07:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 07:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 08:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 08:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 10:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 10:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 12:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 12:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 13:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 13:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.0800
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.9200
2024-06-06 15:00: 0.0800
2024-06-06 15:00: 0.9200
2024-06-06 16:00: 0.0800
2024-06-06 16:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 175.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0856, Price range: 0.0856 - 0.0856

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-06 17:00: 0.0800
2024-06-06 17:00: 0.9200
2024-06-06 18:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 18:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 19:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 19:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 21:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 21:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 23:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 23:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 00:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 00:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 01:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 01:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 02:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 02:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 03:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 03:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 04:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 7287.53, Sell volume: 5314.58, Average price: 0.4522, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-07 04:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 05:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 05:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 06:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 06:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 08:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 08:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 10:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 10:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 11:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 11:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 12:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 12:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 13:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 13:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 15:00: 0.0750
2024-06-07 15:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1029.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9250, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-07 16:00: 0.0750
2024-06-07 16:00: 0.9250
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.0395
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.9605
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.0395
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.9605
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.0395
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.9605
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.0395
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.9605
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.0395
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.9605
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.0395
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.9605
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.0395
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.9605
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.0385
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.9615
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.0385
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.9615
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.0385
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.9615
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.0385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 96.41, Sell volume: 904.00, Average price: 0.0567, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.0700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.9615
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0380, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.0380

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.0260
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 105.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 7287.53, Sell volume: 5314.58, Average price: 0.4522, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.9740
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.0260
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.9740
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1712.00, Sell volume: 298.58, Average price: 0.7861, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9849

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.9920
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.0080
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.9920
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.0085
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.9915
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.0085
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.9915
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.0085
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.9915
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.0085
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.9915
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.0085
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.9915
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.0085
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.9915
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.0085
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.9915
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.0075
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.9925
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.0075
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.9925
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.0075
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 3.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0136, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.0140

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.0035
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.9965
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.0035
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.9965
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.0035
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.9965
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.0035
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.9965
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.0035
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.9965
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.0035
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.9965
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.0035
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.9965
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.0075
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.9925
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.0075
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.9925
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.0075
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.9925
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.0075
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.9925
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0040, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.0040

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.9925
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.0075
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.9925
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.0075
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.9925
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0120, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.0120

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 11.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0090, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.0090

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-05 18:00: 0.5000
2024-06-05 18:00: 0.5000
2024-06-05 19:00: 0.1250
2024-06-05 19:00: 0.8750
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.1200
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.8800
2024-06-05 21:00: 0.1150
2024-06-05 21:00: 0.8850
2024-06-05 22:00: 0.1150
2024-06-05 22:00: 0.8850
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.0800
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.9200
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.0800
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.9200
2024-06-06 01:00: 0.0800
2024-06-06 01:00: 0.9200
2024-06-06 02:00: 0.0800
2024-06-06 02:00: 0.9200
2024-06-06 03:00: 0.0800
2024-06-06 03:00: 0.9200
2024-06-06 04:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 04:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2132.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.6374, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8996
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 06:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 06:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 07:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 07:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 08:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 08:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 10:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 10:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 12:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 12:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 13:00: 0.0750
2024-06-06 13:00: 0.9250
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.0800
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.9200
2024-06-06 15:00: 0.0800
2024-06-06 15:00: 0.9200
2024-06-06 16:00: 0.0800
2024-06-06 16:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 175.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0856, Price range: 0.0856 - 0.0856
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-06 17:00: 0.0800
2024-06-06 17:00: 0.9200
2024-06-06 18:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 18:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 19:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 19:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 21:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 21:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.9150
2024-06-06 23:00: 0.0850
2024-06-06 23:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 00:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 00:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 01:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 01:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 02:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 02:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 03:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 03:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 04:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 7287.53, Sell volume: 5314.58, Average price: 0.4522, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-07 04:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 05:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 05:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 06:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 06:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 08:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 08:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 10:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 10:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 11:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 11:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 12:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 12:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 13:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 13:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.0850
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.9150
2024-06-07 15:00: 0.0750
2024-06-07 15:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1029.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9250, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-07 16:00: 0.0750
2024-06-07 16:00: 0.9250
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.0395
2024-06-07 17:00: 0.9605
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.0395
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.9605
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.0395
2024-06-07 19:00: 0.9605
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.0395
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.9605
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.0395
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.9605
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.0395
2024-06-07 22:00: 0.9605
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.0395
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.9605
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.0385
2024-06-08 00:00: 0.9615
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.0385
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.9615
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.0385
2024-06-08 02:00: 0.9615
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.0385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 96.41, Sell volume: 904.00, Average price: 0.0567, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.9615
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 05:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 12:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 14:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0380, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.0380
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 15:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 20:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.0340
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.9660
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.0260
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 105.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 03:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 08:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 7287.53, Sell volume: 5314.58, Average price: 0.4522, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 19:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 22:00: 0.9740
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.0260
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.9740
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.0260
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.9740
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1712.00, Sell volume: 298.58, Average price: 0.7861, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9849
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.9920
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.0080
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.9920
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.0085
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.9915
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.0085
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.9915
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.0085
2024-06-10 05:00: 0.9915
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.0085
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.9915
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.0085
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.9915
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.0085
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.9915
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.0085
2024-06-10 09:00: 0.9915
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.0075
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.9925
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.0075
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.9925
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.0075
2024-06-10 12:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 3.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0136, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.0140
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.0035
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.9965
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.0035
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.9965
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.0035
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.9965
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.0035
2024-06-10 16:00: 0.9965
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.0035
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.9965
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.0035
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.9965
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.0035
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.9965
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.0075
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.9925
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.0075
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.9925
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.0075
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.9925
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.0075
2024-06-10 23:00: 0.9925
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0040, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.0040
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.9925
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.0075
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.9925
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.0075
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.9925
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 04:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0120, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.0120
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502153
Question: Will Jeff Gunter win the 2024 Nevada Senate Republican Primary?
Volume: 12602.113052
Price History:
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 16:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 18:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 20:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.0050
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.9950
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 11.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0090, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.0090
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538711
Question: Will the next Pope be named John Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6859.724594
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4800
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5200
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7000
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.8500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.8500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.1450
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.8550
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.8500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1450
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.8550
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1450
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8550
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1400
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8600
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1450
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8550
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1450
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.8550
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1450
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.8550
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.8550
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1450
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.8550
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.1450
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.8550
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.1400
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.8600
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.1450
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.8550
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.1400
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.8600
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.1250
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.8750
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.8850
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.8850
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.8850
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.8850
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.8850
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.1150
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 961.78, Sell volume: 22.67, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538711
Question: Will the next Pope be named John Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6859.724594
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.8950
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.1100
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.1050
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.8950
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.1050
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.8950
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.1050
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.8950
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.1100
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.8900
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 162.56, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.6743, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538711
Question: Will the next Pope be named John Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6859.724594
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.1100
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.8900
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.1100
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.8900
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.1100
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.8900
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.1100
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.8900
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.1100
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.8900
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.1100
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.8900
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.1100
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.8900
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.1100
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.8900
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.1100
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.8900
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.1100
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.8900
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.8950
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.8950
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.8950
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.8950
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.8950
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.8950
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.8950
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 684.09, Sell volume: 1.62, Average price: 0.7135, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538711
Question: Will the next Pope be named John Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6859.724594
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 6257.70, Sell volume: 602.02, Average price: 0.6752, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538711
Question: Will the next Pope be named John Paul?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6859.724594
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1050
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.1050
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 6257.70, Sell volume: 602.02, Average price: 0.6752, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes