Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-04-19 18:00: 0.9975
2024-04-19 19:00: 0.0025
2024-04-19 19:00: 0.9975
2024-04-19 20:00: 0.0025
2024-04-19 20:00: 0.9975
2024-04-19 21:00: 0.0025
2024-04-19 21:00: 0.9975
2024-04-19 22:00: 0.0025
2024-04-19 22:00: 0.9975
2024-04-19 23:00: 0.0025
2024-04-19 23:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 00:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 00:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 01:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 01:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 02:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 02:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 03:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 03:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 04:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 04:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 05:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 05:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 06:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 06:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 07:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 07:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 08:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 08:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 09:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 09:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 10:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 10:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 11:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 11:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 12:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 12:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 13:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 13:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 14:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 14:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 15:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 15:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 16:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 16:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 17:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 17:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 18:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 18:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-04-21 19:00: 0.0025
2024-04-21 19:00: 0.9975
2024-04-21 20:00: 0.0025
2024-04-21 20:00: 0.9975
2024-04-21 21:00: 0.0025
2024-04-21 21:00: 0.9975
2024-04-21 22:00: 0.0025
2024-04-21 22:00: 0.9975
2024-04-21 23:00: 0.0025
2024-04-21 23:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 00:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 00:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 01:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 01:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 02:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 02:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 03:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 03:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 04:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 04:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 05:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 05:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 06:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 06:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 07:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 07:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 08:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 08:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 09:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 09:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 10:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 10:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 11:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 11:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 12:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 12:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 13:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 13:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 14:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 14:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 15:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 15:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 16:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 16:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 17:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 17:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 18:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 18:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 19:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 19:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-04-23 19:00: 0.9975
2024-04-23 20:00: 0.0025
2024-04-23 20:00: 0.9975
2024-04-23 21:00: 0.0025
2024-04-23 21:00: 0.9975
2024-04-23 22:00: 0.0025
2024-04-23 22:00: 0.9975
2024-04-23 23:00: 0.0025
2024-04-23 23:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 00:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 00:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 01:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 01:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 02:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 02:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 03:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 03:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 04:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 04:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 05:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 05:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 06:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 06:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 07:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 07:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 08:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 08:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 09:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 09:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 10:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 10:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 11:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 11:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 12:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 12:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 13:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 13:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 14:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 14:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 15:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 15:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 16:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 16:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 17:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 17:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 18:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 18:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 19:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 19:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 20:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-04-25 20:00: 0.0025
2024-04-25 20:00: 0.9975
2024-04-25 21:00: 0.0025
2024-04-25 21:00: 0.9975
2024-04-25 22:00: 0.0025
2024-04-25 22:00: 0.9975
2024-04-25 23:00: 0.0025
2024-04-25 23:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 00:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 00:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 01:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 01:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 02:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 02:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 03:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 03:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 04:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 04:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 05:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 05:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 06:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 06:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 07:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 07:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 08:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 08:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 09:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 09:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 10:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 10:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 11:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 11:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 12:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 12:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 13:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 13:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 14:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 14:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 15:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 15:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 16:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 16:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 17:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 17:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 18:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 18:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 19:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 19:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 20:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-04-27 20:00: 0.9975
2024-04-27 21:00: 0.0025
2024-04-27 21:00: 0.9975
2024-04-27 22:00: 0.0025
2024-04-27 22:00: 0.9975
2024-04-27 23:00: 0.0025
2024-04-27 23:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 00:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 00:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 01:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 01:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 02:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 02:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 03:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 03:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 04:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 04:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 05:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 05:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 06:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 06:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 07:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 07:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 08:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 08:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 09:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 09:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 10:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 10:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 11:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 11:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 12:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 12:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 13:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 13:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 14:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 14:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 15:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 15:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 16:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 16:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 17:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 17:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 18:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 18:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 19:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 19:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 20:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 20:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 21:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-04-29 21:00: 0.0025
2024-04-29 21:00: 0.9975
2024-04-29 22:00: 0.0025
2024-04-29 22:00: 0.9975
2024-04-29 23:00: 0.0025
2024-04-29 23:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 00:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 00:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 01:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 01:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 02:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 02:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 03:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 03:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 04:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 04:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 05:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 05:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 06:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 06:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 07:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 07:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 08:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 08:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 09:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 09:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 10:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 10:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 11:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 11:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 12:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 12:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 13:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 13:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 14:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 14:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 15:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 15:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 16:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 16:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 17:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 17:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 18:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 18:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 19:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 19:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 20:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 20:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 21:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 21:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-05-01 22:00: 0.9980
2024-05-01 23:00: 0.0020
2024-05-01 23:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 00:00: 0.0020
2024-05-02 00:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 01:00: 0.0020
2024-05-02 01:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 02:00: 0.0020
2024-05-02 02:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 03:00: 0.0020
2024-05-02 03:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 04:00: 0.0020
2024-05-02 04:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 05:00: 0.0020
2024-05-02 05:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 06:00: 0.0020
2024-05-02 06:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 07:00: 0.0020
2024-05-02 07:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 08:00: 0.0020
2024-05-02 08:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 09:00: 0.0020
2024-05-02 09:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 10:00: 0.0020
2024-05-02 10:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 11:00: 0.0020
2024-05-02 11:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 12:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 12:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 13:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 13:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 14:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 14:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 15:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 15:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 16:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 16:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 17:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 17:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 18:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 18:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 19:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 19:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 20:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 20:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 21:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 21:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 22:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 22:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-05-03 23:00: 0.0015
2024-05-03 23:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 00:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 00:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 01:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 01:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 02:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 02:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 03:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 03:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 04:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 04:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 05:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 05:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 06:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 06:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 07:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 07:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 08:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 08:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 09:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 09:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 10:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 10:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 11:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 11:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 12:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 12:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 13:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 13:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 14:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 14:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 15:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 15:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 16:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 16:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 17:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 17:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 18:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 18:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 19:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 19:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 20:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 20:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 21:00: 0.0005
2024-05-04 21:00: 0.9995
2024-05-04 22:00: 0.0005
2024-05-04 22:00: 0.9995
2024-05-04 23:00: 0.0005
2024-05-04 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-04-09 16:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 17:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 19:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 20:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 22:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 23:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 01:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 02:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 04:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 05:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 07:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 08:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 10:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 11:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 13:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 14:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 16:00: 0.0155
2024-04-10 17:00: 0.9845
2024-04-10 19:00: 0.0100
2024-04-10 20:00: 0.9900
2024-04-10 22:00: 0.0100
2024-04-10 23:00: 0.9900
2024-04-11 01:00: 0.0100
2024-04-11 02:00: 0.9900
2024-04-11 04:00: 0.0100
2024-04-11 05:00: 0.9900
2024-04-11 07:00: 0.0100
2024-04-11 08:00: 0.9900
2024-04-11 10:00: 0.0100
2024-04-11 11:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-04-11 16:00: 0.9950
2024-04-11 18:00: 0.0050
2024-04-11 19:00: 0.9950
2024-04-11 21:00: 0.0050
2024-04-11 22:00: 0.9950
2024-04-12 00:00: 0.0050
2024-04-12 01:00: 0.9950
2024-04-12 03:00: 0.0050
2024-04-12 04:00: 0.9950
2024-04-12 06:00: 0.0050
2024-04-12 07:00: 0.9950
2024-04-12 09:00: 0.0050
2024-04-12 10:00: 0.9950
2024-04-12 12:00: 0.0050
2024-04-12 13:00: 0.9950
2024-04-12 15:00: 0.0050
2024-04-12 16:00: 0.9950
2024-04-12 18:00: 0.0050
2024-04-12 19:00: 0.9950
2024-04-12 21:00: 0.0050
2024-04-12 22:00: 0.9950
2024-04-13 00:00: 0.0050
2024-04-13 01:00: 0.9950
2024-04-13 03:00: 0.0050
2024-04-13 04:00: 0.9950
2024-04-13 06:00: 0.0050
2024-04-13 07:00: 0.9950
2024-04-13 09:00: 0.0050
2024-04-13 10:00: 0.9950
2024-04-13 12:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-04-13 17:00: 0.0025
2024-04-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-04-13 20:00: 0.0025
2024-04-13 21:00: 0.9975
2024-04-13 23:00: 0.0025
2024-04-14 00:00: 0.9975
2024-04-14 02:00: 0.0025
2024-04-14 03:00: 0.9975
2024-04-14 05:00: 0.0025
2024-04-14 06:00: 0.9975
2024-04-14 08:00: 0.0025
2024-04-14 09:00: 0.9975
2024-04-14 11:00: 0.0025
2024-04-14 12:00: 0.9975
2024-04-14 14:00: 0.0025
2024-04-14 15:00: 0.9975
2024-04-14 17:00: 0.0025
2024-04-14 18:00: 0.9975
2024-04-14 20:00: 0.0025
2024-04-14 21:00: 0.9975
2024-04-14 23:00: 0.0025
2024-04-15 00:00: 0.9975
2024-04-15 02:00: 0.0025
2024-04-15 03:00: 0.9975
2024-04-15 05:00: 0.0025
2024-04-15 06:00: 0.9975
2024-04-15 08:00: 0.0025
2024-04-15 09:00: 0.9975
2024-04-15 11:00: 0.0025
2024-04-15 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-04-15 17:00: 0.9975
2024-04-15 19:00: 0.0025
2024-04-15 20:00: 0.9975
2024-04-15 22:00: 0.0025
2024-04-15 23:00: 0.9975
2024-04-16 01:00: 0.0025
2024-04-16 02:00: 0.9975
2024-04-16 04:00: 0.0025
2024-04-16 05:00: 0.9975
2024-04-16 07:00: 0.0025
2024-04-16 08:00: 0.9975
2024-04-16 10:00: 0.0025
2024-04-16 11:00: 0.9975
2024-04-16 13:00: 0.0025
2024-04-16 14:00: 0.9975
2024-04-16 16:00: 0.0025
2024-04-16 17:00: 0.9975
2024-04-16 19:00: 0.0025
2024-04-16 20:00: 0.9975
2024-04-16 22:00: 0.0025
2024-04-16 23:00: 0.9975
2024-04-17 01:00: 0.0025
2024-04-17 02:00: 0.9975
2024-04-17 04:00: 0.0025
2024-04-17 05:00: 0.9975
2024-04-17 07:00: 0.0025
2024-04-17 08:00: 0.9975
2024-04-17 10:00: 0.0025
2024-04-17 11:00: 0.9975
2024-04-17 13:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-04-17 18:00: 0.0025
2024-04-17 19:00: 0.9975
2024-04-17 21:00: 0.0025
2024-04-17 22:00: 0.9975
2024-04-18 00:00: 0.0025
2024-04-18 01:00: 0.9975
2024-04-18 03:00: 0.0025
2024-04-18 04:00: 0.9975
2024-04-18 06:00: 0.0025
2024-04-18 07:00: 0.9975
2024-04-18 09:00: 0.0025
2024-04-18 10:00: 0.9975
2024-04-18 12:00: 0.0025
2024-04-18 13:00: 0.9975
2024-04-18 15:00: 0.0025
2024-04-18 16:00: 0.9975
2024-04-18 18:00: 0.0025
2024-04-18 19:00: 0.9975
2024-04-18 21:00: 0.0025
2024-04-18 22:00: 0.9975
2024-04-19 00:00: 0.0025
2024-04-19 01:00: 0.9975
2024-04-19 03:00: 0.0025
2024-04-19 04:00: 0.9975
2024-04-19 06:00: 0.0025
2024-04-19 07:00: 0.9975
2024-04-19 09:00: 0.0025
2024-04-19 10:00: 0.9975
2024-04-19 12:00: 0.0025
2024-04-19 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-04-19 18:00: 0.9975
2024-04-19 20:00: 0.0025
2024-04-19 21:00: 0.9975
2024-04-19 23:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 00:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 02:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 03:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 05:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 06:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 08:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 09:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 11:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 12:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 14:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 15:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 17:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 18:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 20:00: 0.0025
2024-04-20 21:00: 0.9975
2024-04-20 23:00: 0.0025
2024-04-21 00:00: 0.9975
2024-04-21 02:00: 0.0025
2024-04-21 03:00: 0.9975
2024-04-21 05:00: 0.0025
2024-04-21 06:00: 0.9975
2024-04-21 08:00: 0.0025
2024-04-21 09:00: 0.9975
2024-04-21 11:00: 0.0025
2024-04-21 12:00: 0.9975
2024-04-21 14:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-04-21 19:00: 0.0025
2024-04-21 20:00: 0.9975
2024-04-21 22:00: 0.0025
2024-04-21 23:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 01:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 02:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 04:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 05:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 07:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 08:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 10:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 11:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 13:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 14:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 16:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 17:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 19:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 20:00: 0.9975
2024-04-22 22:00: 0.0025
2024-04-22 23:00: 0.9975
2024-04-23 01:00: 0.0025
2024-04-23 02:00: 0.9975
2024-04-23 04:00: 0.0025
2024-04-23 05:00: 0.9975
2024-04-23 07:00: 0.0025
2024-04-23 08:00: 0.9975
2024-04-23 10:00: 0.0025
2024-04-23 11:00: 0.9975
2024-04-23 13:00: 0.0025
2024-04-23 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-04-23 19:00: 0.9975
2024-04-23 21:00: 0.0025
2024-04-23 22:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 00:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 01:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 03:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 04:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 06:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 07:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 09:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 10:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 12:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 13:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 15:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 16:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 18:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 19:00: 0.9975
2024-04-24 21:00: 0.0025
2024-04-24 22:00: 0.9975
2024-04-25 00:00: 0.0025
2024-04-25 01:00: 0.9975
2024-04-25 03:00: 0.0025
2024-04-25 04:00: 0.9975
2024-04-25 06:00: 0.0025
2024-04-25 07:00: 0.9975
2024-04-25 09:00: 0.0025
2024-04-25 10:00: 0.9975
2024-04-25 12:00: 0.0025
2024-04-25 13:00: 0.9975
2024-04-25 15:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-04-25 20:00: 0.0025
2024-04-25 21:00: 0.9975
2024-04-25 23:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 00:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 02:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 03:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 05:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 06:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 08:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 09:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 11:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 12:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 14:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 15:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 17:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 18:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 20:00: 0.0025
2024-04-26 21:00: 0.9975
2024-04-26 23:00: 0.0025
2024-04-27 00:00: 0.9975
2024-04-27 02:00: 0.0025
2024-04-27 03:00: 0.9975
2024-04-27 05:00: 0.0025
2024-04-27 06:00: 0.9975
2024-04-27 08:00: 0.0025
2024-04-27 09:00: 0.9975
2024-04-27 11:00: 0.0025
2024-04-27 12:00: 0.9975
2024-04-27 14:00: 0.0025
2024-04-27 15:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-04-27 20:00: 0.9975
2024-04-27 22:00: 0.0025
2024-04-27 23:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 01:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 02:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 04:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 05:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 07:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 08:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 10:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 11:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 13:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 14:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 16:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 17:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 19:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 20:00: 0.9975
2024-04-28 22:00: 0.0025
2024-04-28 23:00: 0.9975
2024-04-29 01:00: 0.0025
2024-04-29 02:00: 0.9975
2024-04-29 04:00: 0.0025
2024-04-29 05:00: 0.9975
2024-04-29 07:00: 0.0025
2024-04-29 08:00: 0.9975
2024-04-29 10:00: 0.0025
2024-04-29 11:00: 0.9975
2024-04-29 13:00: 0.0025
2024-04-29 14:00: 0.9975
2024-04-29 16:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-04-29 21:00: 0.0025
2024-04-29 22:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 00:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 01:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 03:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 04:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 06:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 07:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 09:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 10:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 12:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 13:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 15:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 16:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 18:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 19:00: 0.9975
2024-04-30 21:00: 0.0025
2024-04-30 22:00: 0.9975
2024-05-01 00:00: 0.0020
2024-05-01 01:00: 0.9980
2024-05-01 03:00: 0.0020
2024-05-01 04:00: 0.9980
2024-05-01 06:00: 0.0020
2024-05-01 07:00: 0.9980
2024-05-01 09:00: 0.0020
2024-05-01 10:00: 0.9980
2024-05-01 12:00: 0.0020
2024-05-01 13:00: 0.9980
2024-05-01 16:00: 0.0020
2024-05-01 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-05-01 22:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 00:00: 0.0020
2024-05-02 01:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 03:00: 0.0020
2024-05-02 04:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 06:00: 0.0020
2024-05-02 07:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 09:00: 0.0020
2024-05-02 10:00: 0.9980
2024-05-02 12:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 13:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 15:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 16:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 18:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 19:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 21:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 22:00: 0.9985
2024-05-03 00:00: 0.0015
2024-05-03 01:00: 0.9985
2024-05-03 03:00: 0.0015
2024-05-03 04:00: 0.9985
2024-05-03 06:00: 0.0015
2024-05-03 07:00: 0.9985
2024-05-03 09:00: 0.0015
2024-05-03 10:00: 0.9985
2024-05-03 12:00: 0.0015
2024-05-03 13:00: 0.9985
2024-05-03 15:00: 0.0015
2024-05-03 16:00: 0.9985
2024-05-03 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500840
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Zulay Rodriguez win?
Volume: 10538.78
Price History:
2024-05-03 23:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 00:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 02:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 03:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 05:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 06:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 08:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 09:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 11:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 12:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 14:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 15:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 17:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 18:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 20:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 21:00: 0.9995
2024-05-04 23:00: 0.0005
2024-05-05 00:00: 0.9995
2024-05-05 02:00: 0.0005
2024-05-05 03:00: 0.9995
2024-05-05 05:00: 0.0005
2024-05-05 06:00: 0.9995
2024-05-05 08:00: 0.0005
2024-05-05 09:00: 0.9995
2024-05-05 11:00: 0.0005
2024-05-05 12:00: 0.9995
2024-05-05 14:00: 0.0005
2024-05-05 15:00: 0.9995
2024-05-05 17:00: 0.0010
2024-05-05 18:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-09 16:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 16:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 17:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 17:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 18:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 18:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 19:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 19:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 20:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 20:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 21:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 21:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 22:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 22:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 23:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 23:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 00:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 00:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 01:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 01:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 02:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 02:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 03:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 03:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 04:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 04:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 05:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 05:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 06:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 06:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 07:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 07:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 08:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 08:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 09:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 09:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 10:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 10:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 11:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 11:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 12:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 12:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 13:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 13:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 14:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 14:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 15:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 15:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 16:00: 0.0350
2024-04-10 16:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-11 16:00: 0.9900
2024-04-11 17:00: 0.0100
2024-04-11 17:00: 0.9900
2024-04-11 18:00: 0.0100
2024-04-11 18:00: 0.9900
2024-04-11 19:00: 0.0100
2024-04-11 19:00: 0.9900
2024-04-11 20:00: 0.0100
2024-04-11 20:00: 0.9900
2024-04-11 21:00: 0.0100
2024-04-11 21:00: 0.9900
2024-04-11 22:00: 0.0100
2024-04-11 22:00: 0.9900
2024-04-11 23:00: 0.0100
2024-04-11 23:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 00:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 00:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 01:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 01:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 02:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 02:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 03:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 03:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 04:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 04:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 05:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 05:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 06:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 06:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 07:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 07:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 08:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 08:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 09:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 09:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 10:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 10:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 11:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 11:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 12:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 12:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 13:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 13:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 14:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 14:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 15:00: 0.0095
2024-04-12 15:00: 0.9905
2024-04-12 16:00: 0.0095
2024-04-12 16:00: 0.9905
2024-04-12 17:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-13 17:00: 0.0055
2024-04-13 17:00: 0.9945
2024-04-13 18:00: 0.0055
2024-04-13 18:00: 0.9945
2024-04-13 19:00: 0.0055
2024-04-13 19:00: 0.9945
2024-04-13 20:00: 0.0055
2024-04-13 20:00: 0.9945
2024-04-13 21:00: 0.0055
2024-04-13 21:00: 0.9945
2024-04-13 22:00: 0.0055
2024-04-13 22:00: 0.9945
2024-04-13 23:00: 0.0055
2024-04-13 23:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 00:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 00:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 01:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 01:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 02:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 02:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 03:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 03:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 04:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 04:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 05:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 05:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 06:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 06:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 07:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 07:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 08:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 08:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 09:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 09:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 10:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 10:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 11:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 11:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 12:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 12:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 13:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 13:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 14:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 14:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 15:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 15:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 16:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 16:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 17:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 17:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-15 17:00: 0.9945
2024-04-15 18:00: 0.0055
2024-04-15 18:00: 0.9945
2024-04-15 19:00: 0.0055
2024-04-15 19:00: 0.9945
2024-04-15 20:00: 0.0055
2024-04-15 20:00: 0.9945
2024-04-15 21:00: 0.0055
2024-04-15 21:00: 0.9945
2024-04-15 22:00: 0.0055
2024-04-15 22:00: 0.9945
2024-04-15 23:00: 0.0055
2024-04-15 23:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 00:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 00:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 01:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 01:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 02:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 02:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 03:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 03:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 04:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 04:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 05:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 05:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 06:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 06:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 07:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 07:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 08:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 08:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 09:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 09:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 10:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 10:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 11:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 11:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 12:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 12:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 13:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 13:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 14:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 14:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 15:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 15:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 16:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 16:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 17:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 17:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 18:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-17 18:00: 0.0055
2024-04-17 18:00: 0.9945
2024-04-17 19:00: 0.0055
2024-04-17 19:00: 0.9945
2024-04-17 20:00: 0.0055
2024-04-17 20:00: 0.9945
2024-04-17 21:00: 0.0055
2024-04-17 21:00: 0.9945
2024-04-17 22:00: 0.0055
2024-04-17 22:00: 0.9945
2024-04-17 23:00: 0.0055
2024-04-17 23:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 00:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 00:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 01:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 01:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 02:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 02:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 03:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 03:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 04:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 04:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 05:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 05:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 06:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 06:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 07:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 07:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 08:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 08:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 09:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 09:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 10:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 10:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 11:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 11:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 12:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 12:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 13:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 13:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 14:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 14:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 15:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 15:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 16:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 16:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 17:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 17:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 18:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 18:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-19 18:00: 0.9945
2024-04-19 19:00: 0.0055
2024-04-19 19:00: 0.9945
2024-04-19 20:00: 0.0055
2024-04-19 20:00: 0.9945
2024-04-19 21:00: 0.0055
2024-04-19 21:00: 0.9945
2024-04-19 22:00: 0.0055
2024-04-19 22:00: 0.9945
2024-04-19 23:00: 0.0055
2024-04-19 23:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 00:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 00:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 01:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 01:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 02:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 02:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 03:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 03:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 04:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 04:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 05:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 05:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 06:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 06:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 07:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 07:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 08:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 08:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 09:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 09:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 10:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 10:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 11:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 11:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 12:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 12:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 13:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 13:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 14:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 14:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 15:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 15:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 16:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 16:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 17:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 17:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 18:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 18:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 19:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-21 19:00: 0.0055
2024-04-21 19:00: 0.9945
2024-04-21 20:00: 0.0055
2024-04-21 20:00: 0.9945
2024-04-21 21:00: 0.0055
2024-04-21 21:00: 0.9945
2024-04-21 22:00: 0.0055
2024-04-21 22:00: 0.9945
2024-04-21 23:00: 0.0055
2024-04-21 23:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 00:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 00:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 01:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 01:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 02:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 02:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 03:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 03:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 04:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 04:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 05:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 05:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 06:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 06:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 07:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 07:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 08:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 08:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 09:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 09:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 10:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 10:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 11:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 11:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 12:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 12:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 13:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 13:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 14:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 14:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 15:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 15:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 16:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 16:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 17:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 17:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 18:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 18:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 19:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 19:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-23 19:00: 0.9945
2024-04-23 20:00: 0.0055
2024-04-23 20:00: 0.9945
2024-04-23 21:00: 0.0055
2024-04-23 21:00: 0.9945
2024-04-23 22:00: 0.0055
2024-04-23 22:00: 0.9945
2024-04-23 23:00: 0.0055
2024-04-23 23:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 00:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 00:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 01:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 01:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 02:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 02:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 03:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 03:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 04:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 04:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 05:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 05:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 06:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 06:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 07:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 07:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 08:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 08:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 09:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 09:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 10:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 10:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 11:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 11:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 12:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 12:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 13:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 13:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 14:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 14:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 15:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 15:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 16:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 16:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 17:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 17:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 18:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 18:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 19:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 19:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 20:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-25 20:00: 0.0055
2024-04-25 20:00: 0.9945
2024-04-25 21:00: 0.0055
2024-04-25 21:00: 0.9945
2024-04-25 22:00: 0.0055
2024-04-25 22:00: 0.9945
2024-04-25 23:00: 0.0055
2024-04-25 23:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 00:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 00:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 01:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 01:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 02:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 02:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 03:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 03:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 04:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 04:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 05:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 05:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 06:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 06:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 07:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 07:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 08:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 08:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 09:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 09:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 10:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 10:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 11:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 11:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 12:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 12:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 13:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 13:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 14:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 14:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 15:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 15:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 16:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 16:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 17:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 17:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 18:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 18:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 19:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 19:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 20:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 20:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-27 20:00: 0.9945
2024-04-27 21:00: 0.0055
2024-04-27 21:00: 0.9945
2024-04-27 22:00: 0.0055
2024-04-27 22:00: 0.9945
2024-04-27 23:00: 0.0055
2024-04-27 23:00: 0.9945
2024-04-28 00:00: 0.0055
2024-04-28 00:00: 0.9945
2024-04-28 01:00: 0.0055
2024-04-28 01:00: 0.9945
2024-04-28 02:00: 0.0055
2024-04-28 02:00: 0.9945
2024-04-28 03:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 03:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 04:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 04:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 05:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 05:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 06:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 06:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 07:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 07:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 08:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 08:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 09:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 09:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 10:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 10:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 11:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 11:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 12:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 12:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 13:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 13:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 14:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 14:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 15:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 15:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 16:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 16:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 17:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 17:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 18:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 18:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 19:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 19:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 20:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 20:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 21:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-29 21:00: 0.0050
2024-04-29 21:00: 0.9950
2024-04-29 22:00: 0.0050
2024-04-29 22:00: 0.9950
2024-04-29 23:00: 0.0050
2024-04-29 23:00: 0.9950
2024-04-30 00:00: 0.0050
2024-04-30 00:00: 0.9950
2024-04-30 01:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 01:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 02:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 02:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 03:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 03:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 04:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 04:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 05:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 05:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 06:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 06:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 07:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 07:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 08:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 08:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 09:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 09:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 10:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 10:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 11:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 11:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 12:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 12:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 13:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 13:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 14:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 14:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 15:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 15:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 16:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 16:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 17:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 17:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 18:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 18:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 19:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 19:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 20:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 20:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 21:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-05-01 22:00: 0.9950
2024-05-01 23:00: 0.0050
2024-05-01 23:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 00:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 00:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 01:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 01:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 02:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 02:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 03:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 03:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 04:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 04:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 05:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 05:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 06:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 06:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 07:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 07:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 08:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 08:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 09:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 09:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 10:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 10:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 11:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 11:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 12:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 12:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 13:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 13:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 14:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 14:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 15:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 15:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 16:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 16:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 17:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 17:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 18:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 18:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 19:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 19:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 20:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 20:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 21:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 21:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 22:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 22:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-05-03 23:00: 0.0015
2024-05-03 23:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 00:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 00:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 01:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 01:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 02:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 02:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 03:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 03:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 04:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 04:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 05:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 05:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 06:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 06:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 07:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 07:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 08:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 08:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 09:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 09:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 10:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 10:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 11:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 11:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 12:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 12:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 13:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 13:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 14:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 14:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 15:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 15:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 16:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 16:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 17:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 17:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 18:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 18:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 19:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 19:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 20:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 20:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 21:00: 0.0005
2024-05-04 21:00: 0.9995
2024-05-04 22:00: 0.0005
2024-05-04 22:00: 0.9995
2024-05-04 23:00: 0.0005
2024-05-04 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-09 16:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 17:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 19:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 20:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 22:00: 0.5000
2024-04-09 23:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 01:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 02:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 04:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 05:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 07:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 08:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 10:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 11:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 13:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 14:00: 0.5000
2024-04-10 16:00: 0.0350
2024-04-10 17:00: 0.9655
2024-04-10 19:00: 0.0150
2024-04-10 20:00: 0.9850
2024-04-10 22:00: 0.0150
2024-04-10 23:00: 0.9850
2024-04-11 01:00: 0.0150
2024-04-11 02:00: 0.9850
2024-04-11 04:00: 0.0150
2024-04-11 05:00: 0.9850
2024-04-11 07:00: 0.0150
2024-04-11 08:00: 0.9850
2024-04-11 10:00: 0.0150
2024-04-11 11:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-11 16:00: 0.9900
2024-04-11 18:00: 0.0100
2024-04-11 19:00: 0.9900
2024-04-11 21:00: 0.0100
2024-04-11 22:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 00:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 01:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 03:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 04:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 06:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 07:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 09:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 10:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 12:00: 0.0100
2024-04-12 13:00: 0.9900
2024-04-12 15:00: 0.0095
2024-04-12 16:00: 0.9905
2024-04-12 18:00: 0.0085
2024-04-12 19:00: 0.9915
2024-04-12 21:00: 0.0085
2024-04-12 22:00: 0.9915
2024-04-13 00:00: 0.0085
2024-04-13 01:00: 0.9915
2024-04-13 03:00: 0.0085
2024-04-13 04:00: 0.9915
2024-04-13 06:00: 0.0085
2024-04-13 07:00: 0.9915
2024-04-13 09:00: 0.0085
2024-04-13 10:00: 0.9915
2024-04-13 12:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-13 17:00: 0.0055
2024-04-13 18:00: 0.9945
2024-04-13 20:00: 0.0055
2024-04-13 21:00: 0.9945
2024-04-13 23:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 00:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 02:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 03:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 05:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 06:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 08:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 09:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 11:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 12:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 14:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 15:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 17:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 18:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 20:00: 0.0055
2024-04-14 21:00: 0.9945
2024-04-14 23:00: 0.0055
2024-04-15 00:00: 0.9945
2024-04-15 02:00: 0.0055
2024-04-15 03:00: 0.9945
2024-04-15 05:00: 0.0055
2024-04-15 06:00: 0.9945
2024-04-15 08:00: 0.0055
2024-04-15 09:00: 0.9945
2024-04-15 11:00: 0.0055
2024-04-15 12:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-15 17:00: 0.9945
2024-04-15 19:00: 0.0055
2024-04-15 20:00: 0.9945
2024-04-15 22:00: 0.0055
2024-04-15 23:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 01:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 02:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 04:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 05:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 07:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 08:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 10:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 11:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 13:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 14:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 16:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 17:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 19:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 20:00: 0.9945
2024-04-16 22:00: 0.0055
2024-04-16 23:00: 0.9945
2024-04-17 01:00: 0.0055
2024-04-17 02:00: 0.9945
2024-04-17 04:00: 0.0055
2024-04-17 05:00: 0.9945
2024-04-17 07:00: 0.0055
2024-04-17 08:00: 0.9945
2024-04-17 10:00: 0.0055
2024-04-17 11:00: 0.9945
2024-04-17 13:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-17 18:00: 0.0055
2024-04-17 19:00: 0.9945
2024-04-17 21:00: 0.0055
2024-04-17 22:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 00:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 01:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 03:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 04:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 06:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 07:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 09:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 10:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 12:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 13:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 15:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 16:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 18:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 19:00: 0.9945
2024-04-18 21:00: 0.0055
2024-04-18 22:00: 0.9945
2024-04-19 00:00: 0.0055
2024-04-19 01:00: 0.9945
2024-04-19 03:00: 0.0055
2024-04-19 04:00: 0.9945
2024-04-19 06:00: 0.0055
2024-04-19 07:00: 0.9945
2024-04-19 09:00: 0.0055
2024-04-19 10:00: 0.9945
2024-04-19 12:00: 0.0055
2024-04-19 13:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-19 18:00: 0.9945
2024-04-19 20:00: 0.0055
2024-04-19 21:00: 0.9945
2024-04-19 23:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 00:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 02:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 03:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 05:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 06:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 08:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 09:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 11:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 12:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 14:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 15:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 17:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 18:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 20:00: 0.0055
2024-04-20 21:00: 0.9945
2024-04-20 23:00: 0.0055
2024-04-21 00:00: 0.9945
2024-04-21 02:00: 0.0055
2024-04-21 03:00: 0.9945
2024-04-21 05:00: 0.0055
2024-04-21 06:00: 0.9945
2024-04-21 08:00: 0.0055
2024-04-21 09:00: 0.9945
2024-04-21 11:00: 0.0055
2024-04-21 12:00: 0.9945
2024-04-21 14:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-21 19:00: 0.0055
2024-04-21 20:00: 0.9945
2024-04-21 22:00: 0.0055
2024-04-21 23:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 01:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 02:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 04:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 05:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 07:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 08:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 10:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 11:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 13:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 14:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 16:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 17:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 19:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 20:00: 0.9945
2024-04-22 22:00: 0.0055
2024-04-22 23:00: 0.9945
2024-04-23 01:00: 0.0055
2024-04-23 02:00: 0.9945
2024-04-23 04:00: 0.0055
2024-04-23 05:00: 0.9945
2024-04-23 07:00: 0.0055
2024-04-23 08:00: 0.9945
2024-04-23 10:00: 0.0055
2024-04-23 11:00: 0.9945
2024-04-23 13:00: 0.0055
2024-04-23 14:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-23 19:00: 0.9945
2024-04-23 21:00: 0.0055
2024-04-23 22:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 00:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 01:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 03:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 04:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 06:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 07:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 09:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 10:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 12:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 13:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 15:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 16:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 18:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 19:00: 0.9945
2024-04-24 21:00: 0.0055
2024-04-24 22:00: 0.9945
2024-04-25 00:00: 0.0055
2024-04-25 01:00: 0.9945
2024-04-25 03:00: 0.0055
2024-04-25 04:00: 0.9945
2024-04-25 06:00: 0.0055
2024-04-25 07:00: 0.9945
2024-04-25 09:00: 0.0055
2024-04-25 10:00: 0.9945
2024-04-25 12:00: 0.0055
2024-04-25 13:00: 0.9945
2024-04-25 15:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-25 20:00: 0.0055
2024-04-25 21:00: 0.9945
2024-04-25 23:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 00:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 02:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 03:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 05:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 06:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 08:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 09:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 11:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 12:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 14:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 15:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 17:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 18:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 20:00: 0.0055
2024-04-26 21:00: 0.9945
2024-04-26 23:00: 0.0055
2024-04-27 00:00: 0.9945
2024-04-27 02:00: 0.0055
2024-04-27 03:00: 0.9945
2024-04-27 05:00: 0.0055
2024-04-27 06:00: 0.9945
2024-04-27 08:00: 0.0055
2024-04-27 09:00: 0.9945
2024-04-27 11:00: 0.0055
2024-04-27 12:00: 0.9945
2024-04-27 14:00: 0.0055
2024-04-27 15:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-27 20:00: 0.9945
2024-04-27 22:00: 0.0055
2024-04-27 23:00: 0.9945
2024-04-28 01:00: 0.0055
2024-04-28 02:00: 0.9945
2024-04-28 04:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 05:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 07:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 08:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 10:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 11:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 13:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 14:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 16:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 17:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 19:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 20:00: 0.9950
2024-04-28 22:00: 0.0050
2024-04-28 23:00: 0.9950
2024-04-29 01:00: 0.0050
2024-04-29 02:00: 0.9950
2024-04-29 04:00: 0.0050
2024-04-29 05:00: 0.9950
2024-04-29 07:00: 0.0050
2024-04-29 08:00: 0.9950
2024-04-29 10:00: 0.0050
2024-04-29 11:00: 0.9950
2024-04-29 13:00: 0.0050
2024-04-29 14:00: 0.9950
2024-04-29 16:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-04-29 21:00: 0.0050
2024-04-29 22:00: 0.9950
2024-04-30 00:00: 0.0050
2024-04-30 01:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 03:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 04:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 06:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 07:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 09:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 10:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 12:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 13:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 15:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 16:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 18:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 19:00: 0.9985
2024-04-30 21:00: 0.0015
2024-04-30 22:00: 0.9985
2024-05-01 00:00: 0.0050
2024-05-01 01:00: 0.9950
2024-05-01 03:00: 0.0050
2024-05-01 04:00: 0.9950
2024-05-01 06:00: 0.0050
2024-05-01 07:00: 0.9950
2024-05-01 09:00: 0.0050
2024-05-01 10:00: 0.9950
2024-05-01 12:00: 0.0050
2024-05-01 13:00: 0.9950
2024-05-01 16:00: 0.0050
2024-05-01 17:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-05-01 22:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 00:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 01:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 03:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 04:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 06:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 07:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 09:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 10:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 12:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 13:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 15:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 16:00: 0.9950
2024-05-02 18:00: 0.0050
2024-05-02 19:00: 0.9985
2024-05-02 21:00: 0.0015
2024-05-02 22:00: 0.9985
2024-05-03 00:00: 0.0015
2024-05-03 01:00: 0.9985
2024-05-03 03:00: 0.0015
2024-05-03 04:00: 0.9985
2024-05-03 06:00: 0.0015
2024-05-03 07:00: 0.9985
2024-05-03 09:00: 0.0015
2024-05-03 10:00: 0.9985
2024-05-03 12:00: 0.0015
2024-05-03 13:00: 0.9985
2024-05-03 15:00: 0.0015
2024-05-03 16:00: 0.9985
2024-05-03 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500841
Question: Panama Presidential Election: Will Ricardo Martinelli win?
Volume: 6811.46
Price History:
2024-05-03 23:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 00:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 02:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 03:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 05:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 06:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 08:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 09:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 11:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 12:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 14:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 15:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 17:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 18:00: 0.9985
2024-05-04 20:00: 0.0015
2024-05-04 21:00: 0.9995
2024-05-04 23:00: 0.0005
2024-05-05 00:00: 0.9995
2024-05-05 02:00: 0.0005
2024-05-05 03:00: 0.9995
2024-05-05 05:00: 0.0005
2024-05-05 06:00: 0.9995
2024-05-05 08:00: 0.0005
2024-05-05 09:00: 0.9995
2024-05-05 11:00: 0.0005
2024-05-05 12:00: 0.9995
2024-05-05 14:00: 0.0005
2024-05-05 15:00: 0.9995
2024-05-05 17:00: 0.0005
2024-05-05 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.1300
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.7950
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.1550
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.8550
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.1450
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.1500
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.8500
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.1550
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.8400
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.1600
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.8300
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.1650
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.8350
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.1650
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.8350
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.1650
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.8350
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.1650
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.8250
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.1700
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.8250
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.1750
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.8250
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.1750
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.8250
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.1750
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.8250
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.1750
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.8250
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.1750
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.8250
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.1750
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.8250
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.1750
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.8250
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.1650
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.8300
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.1750
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.8250
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.1650
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.8350
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.8350
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.8350
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.8350
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 107552753.72, Sell volume: 104818389.25, Average price: 0.4406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.1500
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.8500
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.1500
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.8500
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.1550
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.8450
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.1500
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.8500
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.1500
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.8450
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.1550
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.8450
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.1500
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.8500
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.1550
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.8450
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.1500
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.8500
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.1500
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.8500
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.1500
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.8500
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.1500
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.8500
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1500
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.8500
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.1450
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.1400
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.8600
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.1400
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.8650
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.1250
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.8750
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.1250
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.8750
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.1250
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.8750
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.1250
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.8800
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.1150
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.8850
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.1150
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.8850
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.1150
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.8850
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.1150
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.8850
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.1150
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 107552753.72, Sell volume: 104818389.25, Average price: 0.4406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.1150
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.8850
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.1150
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.8850
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.1350
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.8650
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.1350
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.8650
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.1350
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.8650
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.1350
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.8650
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.1350
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.8650
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.1350
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.8650
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.1350
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.8650
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.1350
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.8650
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.1350
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.8650
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.1350
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.8650
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.1350
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.8650
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.1350
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.8650
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.1350
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.8650
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.1350
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.8650
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.1400
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.8600
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.1400
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.8600
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.1400
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.8600
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.1400
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.8600
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.1400
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.8600
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.1400
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.8400
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.1550
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.8350
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.1650
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.8350
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.1650
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 107552753.72, Sell volume: 104818389.25, Average price: 0.4406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.8550
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.1450
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.8550
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.1600
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.8400
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.1600
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.8400
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.1600
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.8400
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.1600
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.8400
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.1600
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.8400
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.1600
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.8400
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.1600
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.8400
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.1600
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.8400
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.1650
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.8400
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.1650
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.8400
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.1650
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.8400
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.1650
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.8350
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.1650
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.8350
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.1650
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.8350
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.1650
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.8400
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.1650
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.8350
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.1650
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.8300
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.1700
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.8300
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.1750
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.8250
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.1750
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.8250
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.1750
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.8250
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.1750
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.8250
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.1750
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 107552753.72, Sell volume: 104818389.25, Average price: 0.4406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.1950
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.8050
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.1950
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.8050
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.1950
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.8050
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.1950
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.8050
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.1950
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.8050
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.1950
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.8050
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.1950
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.8050
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.1900
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.8100
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.1850
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.8250
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.1750
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.8250
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.1700
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.8350
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.1650
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.8500
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.1500
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.8500
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.1500
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.8300
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.1700
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.8300
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.1700
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.8350
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.1650
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.8350
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.1600
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.8400
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.1600
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.8400
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.1600
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.8400
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.1600
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.8400
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.1600
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.8400
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.1600
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.8400
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.1600
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.8400
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 107552753.72, Sell volume: 104818389.25, Average price: 0.4406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.8650
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.1350
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.8650
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.1350
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.8650
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.1350
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.8650
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.1350
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.8600
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.1400
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.8600
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.1400
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.8600
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.1400
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.8600
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.1400
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.8600
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.1400
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.8400
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.1400
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.8550
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.1350
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.8650
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.1400
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.8600
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.1300
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.8700
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.1250
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.8750
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.1250
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.8750
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.1250
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.8750
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.1250
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.8750
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0900
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9250
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0950
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9000
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.1000
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.8950
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.8950
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.8950
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.8950
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 107552753.72, Sell volume: 104818389.25, Average price: 0.4406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.1100
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9000
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.9050
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.9050
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9050
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.9050
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.9050
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.8950
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.8950
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.8950
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.8950
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.8950
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.1150
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.8850
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.1150
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.8850
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.1150
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.8850
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.1150
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.8850
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.1150
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.8750
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.1250
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.8700
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.1300
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.8650
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.1250
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.8750
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.1300
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.8650
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.1300
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.8550
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.1850
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.7350
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.2000
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.8050
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.1850
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.7550
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 363636, Buy volume: 39645694.12, Sell volume: 8550381.06, Average price: 0.4341, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.1600
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.8200
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.3650
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.7350
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.2650
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.7100
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.3000
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.6950
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.2950
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.7000
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.3100
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.6950
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.2950
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.7050
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.2850
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.2700
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.7400
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.2200
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.7850
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.2050
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.7850
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.2350
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.7700
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.2350
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.7700
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.1850
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.8100
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.1900
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.8050
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.1950
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.8050
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.1950
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.8050
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.2000
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.7900
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.2100
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.7950
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.2000
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.7950
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.2000
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.8000
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.2100
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.7900
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.2200
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.7700
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.2350
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 629458, Buy volume: 67650414.85, Sell volume: 96113347.69, Average price: 0.4469, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2750
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.6750
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.3100
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.6750
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.3050
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.6850
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.3600
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.6500
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.3700
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.6350
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.3650
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.6350
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.3550
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.6550
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.3250
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.6850
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.3200
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.6750
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.3150
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.6850
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.3050
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.6900
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.3100
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.6900
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.3100
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.6900
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.3000
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.7000
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.2950
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.7050
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.2900
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.7100
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.2900
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.7100
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2900
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.7100
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.2900
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.7250
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.2650
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.7250
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.2700
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.7250
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.2700
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.7300
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.2750
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.7100
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2950
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 294, Buy volume: 22737.32, Sell volume: 14391.86, Average price: 0.4932, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.3000
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.7000
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.3100
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.6900
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.3100
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.6900
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.3100
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.6900
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.3050
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7000
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.2800
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.7350
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.2700
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.7350
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.2650
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.7350
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.2650
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.7450
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.2550
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.2150
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.7850
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.2050
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.7900
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.2150
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.7850
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.2100
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.7850
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.2150
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.7900
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.2000
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.8050
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.1950
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.8050
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.1950
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.8050
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.2050
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.7950
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.2000
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.2000
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.2000
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.1950
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.1950
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171, Buy volume: 10509.37, Sell volume: 9064.29, Average price: 0.5303, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.1900
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.8150
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.1850
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.8150
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.1850
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.8150
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.1850
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.8150
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.1850
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.8250
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.2000
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.7850
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.2150
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.7750
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.7700
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.2300
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.7750
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.7550
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.7550
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.7700
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.2300
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.7700
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.7700
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.7750
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.7700
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.7700
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.7750
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.7750
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.2250
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.7750
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.2250
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.2200
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.2200
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.2200
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.2200
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.2200
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.2150
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.7850
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.2150
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.2100
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 167, Buy volume: 23975.16, Sell volume: 8593.88, Average price: 0.5188, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.2150
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.7850
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.2150
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.7850
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.2150
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.7850
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.2200
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.7800
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.2200
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.2200
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.8050
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.1950
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.1950
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.8050
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.1950
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.8000
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.8000
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.8000
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.8050
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.8050
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.1950
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.8050
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.8050
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.8050
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.1950
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.8050
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.1950
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.8050
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.1950
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.8050
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.1950
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.8050
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.8050
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.8050
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.1950
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.8050
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1950
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.8050
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.1950
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.1950
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.8050
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.1950
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.1950
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.8050
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.1950
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.1950
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 11322.34, Sell volume: 3733.97, Average price: 0.5245, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.8050
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.1950
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.8050
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.8050
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.8050
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.1950
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.1950
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.8050
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.1950
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.8050
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.8050
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.1950
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.1950
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.1950
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.8050
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.8050
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.8050
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.2450
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.7650
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.2400
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.7650
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.7650
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.7700
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.2250
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.7750
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.2250
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.7800
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.2200
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.7800
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.2250
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.7750
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.7750
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.2150
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.7900
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.2050
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.7950
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.2050
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.2100
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.7950
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.2050
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.7950
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.2050
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.2050
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.2050
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.7950
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.2050
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 28193.67, Sell volume: 7876.81, Average price: 0.5158, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.1300
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.8250
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.1450
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.8550
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.1550
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.8400
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.1700
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.8350
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.1650
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.8350
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.1650
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.8300
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.1750
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.8250
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.1750
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.8250
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.1750
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.8250
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.1750
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.8250
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.1650
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.8250
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.1750
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.8350
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.8350
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.8350
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.1650
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 107552753.72, Sell volume: 104818389.25, Average price: 0.4406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.1500
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.8500
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.1500
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.8450
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.1500
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.8450
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.1550
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.8500
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1500
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.8500
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.1500
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.8500
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1500
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.8500
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.1500
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.1400
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.8650
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.1250
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.8750
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.1250
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.8750
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.1150
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.8850
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.1150
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.8850
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.1150
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.8850
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.1150
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 107552753.72, Sell volume: 104818389.25, Average price: 0.4406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.1150
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.8850
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.1350
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.8650
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.1350
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.8650
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.1350
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.8650
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.1350
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.8650
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.1350
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.8650
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.1350
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.8650
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.1350
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.8650
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.1350
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.8650
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.1400
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.8600
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.1400
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.8600
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.1400
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.8600
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.1550
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.8350
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.1650
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.8350
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.1600
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 107552753.72, Sell volume: 104818389.25, Average price: 0.4406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.8550
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.1600
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.8400
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.1600
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.8400
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.1600
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.8400
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.1600
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.8400
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.1600
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.8350
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.1650
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.8350
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.1600
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.8350
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.1650
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.8350
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.1650
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.8350
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.1650
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.8300
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.1750
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.8250
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.1750
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.8250
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.1750
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.8250
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.1750
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 107552753.72, Sell volume: 104818389.25, Average price: 0.4406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.1950
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.8050
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.1950
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.8050
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.1950
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.8050
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.1950
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.8050
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.1900
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.8150
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.1750
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.8300
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.1650
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.8500
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.1500
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.8300
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.1700
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.8300
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.1600
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.8400
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.1600
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.8400
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.1600
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.8400
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.1600
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.8400
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.1600
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.8450
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 107552753.72, Sell volume: 104818389.25, Average price: 0.4406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.8650
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.1350
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.8650
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.1350
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.8600
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.1400
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.8600
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.1400
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.8600
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.1400
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.8550
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.1450
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.8650
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.1450
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.8700
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.1250
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.8750
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.1250
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.8750
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0900
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9250
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0950
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.8950
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.8950
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.1050
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.8950
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.1100
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 107552753.72, Sell volume: 104818389.25, Average price: 0.4406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.1100
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9050
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9050
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0950
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.9050
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0950
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.8950
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.8950
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.1050
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.8950
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.1150
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.8850
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.1150
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.8850
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.8750
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.1300
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.8700
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.1250
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.8650
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.1300
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.8550
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.2850
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.8050
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.8300
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.1650
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 363636, Buy volume: 39645694.12, Sell volume: 8550381.06, Average price: 0.4341, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.1600
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.7150
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.2650
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.7150
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.3050
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.6950
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.3000
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.6950
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.2950
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.2700
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.7400
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.2050
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.7850
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.2350
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.7700
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.1900
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.8050
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.1950
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.8050
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.2000
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.7900
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.2050
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.7950
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.2050
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.7900
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.2300
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.7650
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 629458, Buy volume: 67650414.85, Sell volume: 96113347.69, Average price: 0.4469, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2750
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.6900
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.3150
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.6850
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.3350
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.6350
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.3650
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.6450
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.3250
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.6800
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.3150
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.6950
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.3100
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.6900
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.3050
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.7000
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.2950
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.7100
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.2900
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.7100
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.2900
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.7300
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2650
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.7300
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2700
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.7300
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.2900
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.6950
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.3100
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 294, Buy volume: 22737.32, Sell volume: 14391.86, Average price: 0.4932, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.3000
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.7000
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.3100
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.6900
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.3100
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7000
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.2650
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.7300
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.2650
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.7350
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.7450
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.2350
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.7900
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.2100
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.7850
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.2150
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.7850
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.2000
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.8050
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.1950
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.7950
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.2000
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.2000
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.1950
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.8050
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.1950
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171, Buy volume: 10509.37, Sell volume: 9064.29, Average price: 0.5303, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.1900
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.8150
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.1850
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.8150
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.1850
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.8250
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.2150
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.7850
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.7700
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2300
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.2300
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.7700
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.2300
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.2250
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.7750
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.7750
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.7800
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.7800
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.2150
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.7850
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.2100
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.7800
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 167, Buy volume: 23975.16, Sell volume: 8593.88, Average price: 0.5188, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.2150
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.7850
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.7850
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.2150
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.2200
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.2200
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.8050
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.1950
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.8050
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.2000
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.1950
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.1950
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.1950
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.1950
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.8050
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.1950
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.8050
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.8050
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.1950
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.1950
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.1950
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.8050
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.1950
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.8050
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.1950
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.1950
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.1950
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 11322.34, Sell volume: 3733.97, Average price: 0.5245, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550058
Question: Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Volume: 597798.310111
Price History:
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.8050
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.1950
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.8050
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.1950
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.1950
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.1950
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.8050
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.1950
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.1950
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.7350
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.7650
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.7650
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.2350
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.7750
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.2200
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.7800
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.2250
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.2250
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.7900
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.2050
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.7900
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.7950
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.2050
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.2050
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.2050
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.7950
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.2000
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 28193.67, Sell volume: 7876.81, Average price: 0.5158, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Outcomes: ["Hyperliquid", "Bitcoin"]
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.3800
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.6200
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.3800
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.6200
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.3800
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.6200
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.3800
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.6200
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.3800
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.6200
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.4000
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.6000
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.4000
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.6000
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.4000
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.6000
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.4000
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Outcomes: ["Hyperliquid", "Bitcoin"]
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.4000
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.6000
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.3800
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.6200
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.3800
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.6200
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.3800
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Outcomes: ["Hyperliquid", "Bitcoin"]
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.3800
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.6200
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.3800
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.6200
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.3800
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.6200
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.3800
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.6200
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.4700
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.5300
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.4750
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.5250
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.4400
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.5600
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.4400
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.5600
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.4400
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.5600
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.4400
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.5600
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.4400
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 43.42, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4934, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4968

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559234
Question: Hyperliquid or Bitcoin all time high first?
Outcomes: ["Hyperliquid", "Bitcoin"]
Volume: 751.477565
Price History:
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.4400
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.5600
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.4400
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.5600
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.4400
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.5600
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.4400
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.5600
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.4400
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.5600
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.5000
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 386.79, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.5300

Output: No