Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 12243.16, Sell volume: 4178.40, Average price: 0.9079, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.7250
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.2700
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0260
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0175
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0155
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9850
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0140
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0150
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9855
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9930
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 5088.70, Sell volume: 257.40, Average price: 0.9349, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 8106.48, Sell volume: 2841.24, Average price: 0.7440, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 7117.17, Sell volume: 1670.67, Average price: 0.8511, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 8753.05, Sell volume: 193.38, Average price: 0.7055, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 14594.14, Sell volume: 444.46, Average price: 0.7440, Price range: 0.0019 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1052, Buy volume: 458329.52, Sell volume: 54138.32, Average price: 0.8532, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 3176.92, Sell volume: 246.47, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 12316.06, Sell volume: 657.32, Average price: 0.7741, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 10816.41, Sell volume: 234.37, Average price: 0.7661, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9385
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9565
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9880
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9880
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0095
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 204, Buy volume: 19621.29, Sell volume: 12276.89, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0040
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0040
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0040
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 7190.67, Sell volume: 83.45, Average price: 0.9655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0175
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9880
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9895
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0050
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0045
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0045
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0045
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9960
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 210, Buy volume: 349298.64, Sell volume: 31054.27, Average price: 0.8887, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590827
Question: Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 512467.838996
Price History:
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 12243.16, Sell volume: 4178.40, Average price: 0.9079, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9795
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0155
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0515
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0465
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9650
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9680
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0285
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9740
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9735
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0300
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0285
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0285
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9715
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9715
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0315
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0325
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0320
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9725
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9730
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9720
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0280
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9730
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0270
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9730
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0270
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0145
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0145
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9850
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9855
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9855
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0150
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0190
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0135
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0160
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0155
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9835
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9845
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9850
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0130
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9870
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0170
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0185
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9810
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0190
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9805
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0195
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9805
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 7876.26, Sell volume: 320.08, Average price: 0.9075, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0100
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9905
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9905
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9905
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9900
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9915
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9905
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9905
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9905
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9905
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9905
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9905
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9905
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9905
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0095
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0105
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0110
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9890
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0105
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9890
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9890
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9890
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0110
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0110
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9890
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0105
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9890
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9880
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9895
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9895
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9895
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9895
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9890
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9895
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0120
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 7353.74, Sell volume: 251.08, Average price: 0.8296, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9900
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0100
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9905
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0095
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0095
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0095
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9905
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0095
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9905
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0095
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0095
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9900
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9895
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9895
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0105
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9890
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0110
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9885
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0125
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0125
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9895
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0105
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0085
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0095
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9905
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0095
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0080
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9920
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0090
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0090
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9915
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9915
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0085
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0085
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.9915
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9915
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0085
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9920
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9920
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9920
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0080
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0080
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 145, Buy volume: 12837.78, Sell volume: 1741.02, Average price: 0.8450, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0045
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9955
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0045
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9955
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0045
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 147, Buy volume: 22079.47, Sell volume: 7677.20, Average price: 0.8965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 176, Buy volume: 12940.97, Sell volume: 2329.99, Average price: 0.8843, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9990
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 11024.32, Sell volume: 632.46, Average price: 0.8390, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 11057.89, Sell volume: 11277.71, Average price: 0.8559, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 149, Buy volume: 17555.05, Sell volume: 2225.03, Average price: 0.9250, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 9130.27, Sell volume: 184.49, Average price: 0.8279, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 16047.41, Sell volume: 7721.27, Average price: 0.8974, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 138, Buy volume: 18040.10, Sell volume: 6303.74, Average price: 0.9049, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 18785.09, Sell volume: 3092.96, Average price: 0.8916, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 5000.00, Sell volume: 2110.76, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0155
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0560
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9650
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9715
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0260
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0300
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0290
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0280
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0315
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9680
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0275
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9720
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9730
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9730
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0270
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9855
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0150
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9855
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0165
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9830
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0155
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0155
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0150
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9870
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9800
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0190
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9805
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 7876.26, Sell volume: 320.08, Average price: 0.9075, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0100
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9905
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9905
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0100
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9905
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9905
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9905
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9905
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9905
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0095
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9890
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0110
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9890
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0115
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9895
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9890
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9895
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0120
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9880
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0105
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0105
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9895
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0110
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 7353.74, Sell volume: 251.08, Average price: 0.8296, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9900
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0095
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9905
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0095
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9905
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0095
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0095
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0100
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9895
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9890
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0115
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0130
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0105
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9905
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0095
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0080
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9915
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.9910
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9915
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9915
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9915
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9915
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9915
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0080
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9920
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9920
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 145, Buy volume: 12837.78, Sell volume: 1741.02, Average price: 0.8450, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0050
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0045
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9955
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 147, Buy volume: 22079.47, Sell volume: 7677.20, Average price: 0.8965, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 176, Buy volume: 12940.97, Sell volume: 2329.99, Average price: 0.8843, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 11024.32, Sell volume: 632.46, Average price: 0.8390, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 11057.89, Sell volume: 11277.71, Average price: 0.8559, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 149, Buy volume: 17555.05, Sell volume: 2225.03, Average price: 0.9250, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 9130.27, Sell volume: 184.49, Average price: 0.8279, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 16047.41, Sell volume: 7721.27, Average price: 0.8974, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 138, Buy volume: 18040.10, Sell volume: 6303.74, Average price: 0.9049, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 18785.09, Sell volume: 3092.96, Average price: 0.8916, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590829
Question: Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 215596.113012
Price History:
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 5000.00, Sell volume: 2110.76, Average price: 0.3337, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9750
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0155
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9840
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9825
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9875
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0100
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9900
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0115
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0115
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.0115
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9900
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0115
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0115
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9890
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0095
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 5360.71, Sell volume: 300.32, Average price: 0.9271, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 5675.88, Sell volume: 2403.66, Average price: 0.7624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 8170.54, Sell volume: 369.60, Average price: 0.7849, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 11000.74, Sell volume: 232.85, Average price: 0.7642, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 7024.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6665, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3973.70, Sell volume: 117.76, Average price: 0.2505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9955
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 5983.69, Sell volume: 1664.06, Average price: 0.4767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 30462.28, Sell volume: 3567.11, Average price: 0.7127, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 15676.10, Sell volume: 1811.54, Average price: 0.8347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0200
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9860
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9840
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9845
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9740
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0240
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9750
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0170
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9790
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9760
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9795
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9845
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0140
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9865
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0170
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9820
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 252, Buy volume: 36456.84, Sell volume: 25679.95, Average price: 0.8058, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0185
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9825
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9830
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9830
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.0180
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9835
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0180
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9820
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0170
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9845
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9855
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0150
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9870
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0140
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9870
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9875
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9890
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.9870
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0125
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9865
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9890
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9865
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9880
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0120
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9880
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0120
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9880
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.0160
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9840
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9850
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9850
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0150
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9880
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9880
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9870
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0130
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0130
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0125
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9895
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0155
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9870
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 146, Buy volume: 11503.58, Sell volume: 9776.28, Average price: 0.7836, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0060
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0050
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0055
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0045
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9950
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9950
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0050
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 147, Buy volume: 28131.94, Sell volume: 22106.69, Average price: 0.8558, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 246, Buy volume: 81178.67, Sell volume: 57178.31, Average price: 0.2814, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9845
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0165
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9875
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9900
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0115
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9885
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0115
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0100
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9885
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 5360.71, Sell volume: 300.32, Average price: 0.9271, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 5675.88, Sell volume: 2403.66, Average price: 0.7624, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 8170.54, Sell volume: 369.60, Average price: 0.7849, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 11000.74, Sell volume: 232.85, Average price: 0.7642, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 7024.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6665, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3973.70, Sell volume: 117.76, Average price: 0.2505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0045
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 5983.69, Sell volume: 1664.06, Average price: 0.4767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 30462.28, Sell volume: 3567.11, Average price: 0.7127, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 15676.10, Sell volume: 1811.54, Average price: 0.8347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9840
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0190
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9805
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0170
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0240
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0205
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0140
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9820
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 252, Buy volume: 36456.84, Sell volume: 25679.95, Average price: 0.8058, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0185
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9825
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0175
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9835
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0180
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9830
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9855
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0145
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0130
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0125
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0105
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.9870
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9865
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9865
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9880
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0120
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9880
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0150
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0150
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0120
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0130
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0125
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9895
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9845
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 146, Buy volume: 11503.58, Sell volume: 9776.28, Average price: 0.7836, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9940
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0045
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0050
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 147, Buy volume: 28131.94, Sell volume: 22106.69, Average price: 0.8558, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 590831
Question: Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Volume: 375932.323358
Price History:
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9980
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 246, Buy volume: 81178.67, Sell volume: 57178.31, Average price: 0.2814, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0900
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9100
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.1450
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.8550
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.1400
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.8600
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.1400
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.8600
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.1400
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 55.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.1500
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.8500
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.1600
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.8400
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.1600
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.8400
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.1600
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 128.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1733, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.1800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.1650
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.1700
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.8300
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.1650
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.8350
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.1600
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.8400
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.1850
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 110.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.1650
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.8350
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.1300
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.8700
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.2250
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.7750
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.1800
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.8200
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0650
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1326.75, Sell volume: 301.99, Average price: 0.3554, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9400
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0550
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9450
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0400
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9600
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0550
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9450
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0400
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9545, Price range: 0.9490 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0400
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9600
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0400
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9600
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0400
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9600
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0400
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9600
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0305
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.0400, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.0500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0305
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9695
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0305
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9695
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0305
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9695
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0315
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9685
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0315
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0400, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.0400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0315
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9685
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0315
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9685
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0365
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9635
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0375
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9625
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0095
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 3646.95, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.6981, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0045
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9955
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3601.00, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.6869, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2778.02, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7268, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2778.02, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7268, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2778.02, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7268, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2778.02, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.7268, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0900
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9100
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.1450
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.8550
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.1400
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.8600
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.1400
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.8600
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.1400
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 55.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.1500
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.8500
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.1600
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.8400
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.1600
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.8400
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.1600
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 128.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1733, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.1800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525892
Question: Will Matt Fitzpatrick win The 2025 Open Championship?
Volume: 14470.473411
Price History:
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.1650
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.1700
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.8300
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.1650
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.8350
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.1600
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.8400
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.1850
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 110.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes