Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0145
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0145
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9860
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0145
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0145
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0145
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0145
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0145
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0145
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0145
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0145
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0145
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0145
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 14560.87, Sell volume: 7222.04, Average price: 0.8847, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0150
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0150
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0150
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0150
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0150
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0150
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0150
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0140
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0145
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9745
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0265
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0265
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0265
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0265
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0265
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0265
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0265
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9735
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0265
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9735
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0265
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9735
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9755
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0240
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9755
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0235
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9755
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0245
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9755
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0245
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9755
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 19.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9892, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9893
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0245
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0245
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0245
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9755
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9755
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9755
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9790
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0210
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9800
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0190
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9835
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0140
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9880
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 152.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8865, Price range: 0.0262 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9865
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9865
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0135
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9865
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0135
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0135
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0135
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0135
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0135
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9880
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0130
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9870
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 13522.71, Sell volume: 5525.31, Average price: 0.8912, Price range: 0.0054 - 0.9959
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9870
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0130
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0130
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0130
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0130
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0130
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0120
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0120
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0125
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0120
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9880
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9880
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0125
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0125
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9875
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0125
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 4.43, Sell volume: 10.27, Average price: 0.9883, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9860
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0145
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9855
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0145
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9860
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0140
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9850
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0155
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9850
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0150
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9850
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0150
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9850
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0150
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9850
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0150
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9850
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0160
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9845
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0150
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9230
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0705
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9370
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0610
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9390
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0610
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9540
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7647.42, Sell volume: 4472.52, Average price: 0.9210, Price range: 0.0221 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9625
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9735
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0295
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9675
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0350
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9635
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0570
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9435
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0565
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9435
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0565
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9435
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0550
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9465
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0570
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0720
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9640
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0465
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9575
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0470
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9630
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0370
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9560
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0440
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9560
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0445
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2236.24, Sell volume: 2930.63, Average price: 0.4030, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9805
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0190
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9815
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0195
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9805
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0195
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9815
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9920
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9920
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 147, Buy volume: 17613.37, Sell volume: 29884.95, Average price: 0.1145, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.4700
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.4850
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.5150
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.5000
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.4950
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.2250
2025-01-04 15:00: 0.7900
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.2250
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.6600
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.3400
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.6600
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.3350
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.6650
2025-01-09 10:00: 0.3400
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.6600
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.3400
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.6600
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.3400
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.7300
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.2200
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.7750
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.2250
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.7900
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.2350
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.7700
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.2150
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.7800
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.2500
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.7500
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.7500
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.2650
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.8550
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.0500
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9495
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0445
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.9590
2025-01-26 02:00: 0.0485
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.9510
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.1645
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.8345
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.1600
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.8400
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.1595
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.8410
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.1570
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.8430
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.1570
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.8450
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.1555
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.8455
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.1555
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.8445
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.1545
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.8455
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.1545
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.8455
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.1545
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.8445
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.1535
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.8520
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.2620
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.8530
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.1440
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.1410
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.8745
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.1480
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.8770
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0925
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.8710
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.1345
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.8795
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.1360
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.8585
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.1395
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.8610
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.1445
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.8835
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.1375
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.8620
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.1405
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.8600
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.1445
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.8560
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.1445
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.8555
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.1460
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.8540
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.1460
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.1460
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.8540
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.1445
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.8565
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.1430
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.8280
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.1720
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.8040
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.2245
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.8105
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.1900
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.8120
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.1860
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.8095
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.1905
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.8210
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.1860
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.8115
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.1795
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.8170
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.2150
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.7835
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.2225
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.8135
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.1865
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.8510
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.2020
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.8200
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.1520
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.8330
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.1790
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.8215
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.1355
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.8120
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.1425
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.8225
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.1710
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.8295
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.3185
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.6045
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.5230
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.4420
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.5580
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.4345
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.5635
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.4135
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.6185
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.4100
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.6090
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.4125
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.5875
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.4275
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.5670
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.4230
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.5765
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.3625
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.6375
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.3885
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.5970
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.3955
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.6040
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.3920
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.6050
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.3940
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.6155
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.4090
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.7045
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.4510
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.6245
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.3980
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.5555
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.4750
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.3735
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.6130
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.3255
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6735
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3240
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.6815
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.3215
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.6745
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7610
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.2775
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.7285
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1600
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.7780
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3115
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.6885
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.2290
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7815
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2175
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7805
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1870
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.8180
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.1860
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.8140
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.1250
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.8825
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.1295
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.8790
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.1225
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.8805
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.1330
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.8740
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.1035
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.8645
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.1550
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9050
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.2075
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.8590
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.1000
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.7735
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.2220
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.8725
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0950
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0975
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9015
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.8455
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.1335
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.6610
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.3210
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.7660
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.2340
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.7695
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.1875
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.8140
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.1915
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.8140
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.1745
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.8170
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.1550
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.8335
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.1740
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.8235
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.1735
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.8220
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.1735
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.8330
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.1755
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.8225
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.1800
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.8220
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.1780
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.8225
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.1810
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.8195
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.1800
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.8200
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.1800
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.8200
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.1750
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.8205
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.1805
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.8205
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.1800
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.8230
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.1775
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.8195
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.1800
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.8195
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.1805
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.8100
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.1600
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.8910
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.1080
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.8780
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.1120
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.8540
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.1590
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.8410
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.1295
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.8860
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.1165
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.8860
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.1160
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.8855
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.1465
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.8360
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.1635
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.8345
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.1670
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.8330
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.1600
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.8330
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.1665
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.8345
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.1670
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.8335
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.1655
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.8375
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.1655
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.3875
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.5025
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.4855
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.3775
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.6650
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.2550
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.6000
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.3515
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.6485
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.3515
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.6485
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.3515
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.6980
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.3020
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.7945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.2160
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.6885
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.4195
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.4585
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.7070
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.4090
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.4885
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.4565
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.6195
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.7080
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.3720
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.6215
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.3260
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.6735
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.3270
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.2740
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.6400
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.6150
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.3515
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.6245
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.5175
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.4270
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.4450
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.4505
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.4560
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.7105
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.3605
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.5590
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.3420
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.5790
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.5810
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.6575
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.3820
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.6305
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.5495
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.6975
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.3995
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.3815
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.3825
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.6165
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.3830
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.4915
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.5090
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.6670
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.4965
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.4435
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.4590
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.5870
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.4370
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.5415
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.4630
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.8160
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.8620
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9105
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8980
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.1050
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.1135
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1295
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.7490
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.2495
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.1355
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.8580
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.7375
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.8405
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.8110
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.2000
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9135
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0860
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0710
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0830
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0780
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0770
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.1605
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.8705
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.8695
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.8685
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.1330
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.1445
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.1575
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.8425
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.1405
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9610
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0400
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0545
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0590
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9680
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9715
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9705
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9615
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5150
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4850
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5700
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4300
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8400
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1600
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9100
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0900
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9100
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0900
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0900
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9100
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9100
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0900
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9100
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0900
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9100
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0900
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1300.00, Sell volume: 305.00, Average price: 0.6863, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 359.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8131, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9400
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0600
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9600
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0400
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9600
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0400
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9650
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0350
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9650
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0350
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9650
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0350
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1621.66, Sell volume: 1403.66, Average price: 0.8176, Price range: 0.0416 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9650
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0350
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9650
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0350
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9635
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0365
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 644.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4116, Price range: 0.0396 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0370
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0370
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9630
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9615
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0385
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0385
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9615
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0385
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9615
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9615
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0385
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0385
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9615
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9625
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0375
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9625
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0375
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0375
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9625
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9625
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0375
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0380
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0380
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0380
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0380
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0380
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0380
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0375
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 75.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5047, Price range: 0.0424 - 0.9670

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0380
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0370
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9630
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9630
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0370
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0370
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9630
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0370
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9630
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0370
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9630
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9630
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0370
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0370
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9630
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0370
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9630
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0370
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9630
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9630
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0370
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0370
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9630
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9625
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0375
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9625
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0375
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9610
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0390
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9605
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0395
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0340
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9660
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9680
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0320
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9645
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0355
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9650
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0350
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 226.35, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.5735, Price range: 0.0302 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9725
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0275
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0280
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9720
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0275
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9725
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0275
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9725
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9720
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0280
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9730
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0270
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9730
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0270
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0255
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9745
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0260
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9740
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0255
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9745
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9740
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0260
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9745
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0255
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0255
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9745
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0250
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0250
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0250
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9745
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0255
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9720
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0280
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0295
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 295.41, Sell volume: 117.20, Average price: 0.0289, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.0340

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0295
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9705
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0280
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9720
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0295
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9705
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0300
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9700
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0325
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9675
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9660
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0340
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0340
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9660
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0340
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9660
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0340
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9660
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0340
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9660
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0340
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9660
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0340
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9660
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0385
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9615
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0375
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9625
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9625
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0375
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0375
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9625
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0385
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9615
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0370
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9630
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 457.83, Sell volume: 85.50, Average price: 0.4091, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9760

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0380
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0380
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9620
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0385
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9615
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0380
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9620
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9615
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0385
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9615
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0385
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9615
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0385
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9620
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0380
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9615
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0385
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9605
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0395
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9605
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0395
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9605
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0395
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 46.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0434, Price range: 0.0434 - 0.0434

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 245, Buy volume: 19737.00, Sell volume: 8211.16, Average price: 0.7816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9610
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9610
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9610
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9610
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9610
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9610
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0395
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9605
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9605
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0395
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9605
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0395
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9605
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0395
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9605
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0395
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9605
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0395
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9605
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0395
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0395
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9605
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0395
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9605
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0395
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9605
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9820
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2501.76, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9730

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9840
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0160
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9845
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0155
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0150
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9850
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0130
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9870
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9865
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0135
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9870
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0130
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0135
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9865
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0125
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0130
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0125
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0125
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0125
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0115
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9885
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0130
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9895
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0105
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2436.51, Sell volume: 1252.31, Average price: 0.7494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0055
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9945
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9945
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0110
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9890
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0125
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0130
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0130
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9880
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0100
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9900
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9920
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0080
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9910
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0090
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0090
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9910
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0085
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0080
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9920
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 9359.98, Sell volume: 4295.18, Average price: 0.8862, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5150
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4850
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5700
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4300
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8400
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1600
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9100
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0900
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9100
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0900
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0900
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0900
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9100
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9100
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0900
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9100
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0900
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9100
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0900
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1300.00, Sell volume: 305.00, Average price: 0.6863, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 359.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8131, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1621.66, Sell volume: 1403.66, Average price: 0.8176, Price range: 0.0416 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9655
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0345
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9650
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0350
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9650
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0350
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9655
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0345
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 644.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4116, Price range: 0.0396 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0370
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0370
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9630
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9615
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0385
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0385
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9615
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0385
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9615
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9615
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0385
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0385
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9615
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9625
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0375
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9625
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 75.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5047, Price range: 0.0424 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0380
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9620
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0370
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9630
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9630
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0370
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0370
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9630
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0370
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9630
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0370
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9630
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9630
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0370
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0370
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9630
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0370
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9630
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0370
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9630
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9630
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0370
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0370
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9630
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9625
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0375
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9625
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0375
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9610
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 226.35, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.5735, Price range: 0.0302 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0310
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9690
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9700
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0300
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9695
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0305
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9725
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0275
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0280
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9720
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0275
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9725
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0275
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9725
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9720
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0280
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9730
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0270
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9730
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0270
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0255
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9745
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0260
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9740
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0255
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 295.41, Sell volume: 117.20, Average price: 0.0289, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.0340
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0295
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9705
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0280
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9720
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0295
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9705
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0300
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9700
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0325
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9675
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9660
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0340
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0340
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9660
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0340
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9660
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0340
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9660
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0340
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9660
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0340
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9660
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0340
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9660
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0385
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 457.83, Sell volume: 85.50, Average price: 0.4091, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0380
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0380
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9620
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0385
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9615
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0380
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9620
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9615
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0385
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9615
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0385
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9615
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0385
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9620
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0380
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 46.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0434, Price range: 0.0434 - 0.0434
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 245, Buy volume: 19737.00, Sell volume: 8211.16, Average price: 0.7816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0390
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9610
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9610
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9610
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9610
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9610
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0390
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9610
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0395
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9605
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9605
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2501.76, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.3393, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9840
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0160
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9845
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0155
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0150
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9850
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0130
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9870
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9865
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0135
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9870
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0130
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0135
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9865
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0125
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0130
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0125
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0125
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2436.51, Sell volume: 1252.31, Average price: 0.7494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582274
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27948.158419
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0055
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9945
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9945
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0110
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9890
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0125
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0130
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0130
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9870
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9870
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0120
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9880
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0100
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9900
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 9359.98, Sell volume: 4295.18, Average price: 0.8862, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544101
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20788.329272
Price History:
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.4200
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.5000
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.4150
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.3550
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.2250
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.2600
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.2200
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.2550
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.1950
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0450
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.0600
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.1450
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.2050
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.2050
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.2050
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.2450
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.2450
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.2450
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.2000
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.2000
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.2000
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.2000
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.2000
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.2050
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.1050
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.1800
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.1800
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0155
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0775
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0740
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3567, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544101
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20788.329272
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.9255
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.8935
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.8390
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.9060
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.8900
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.7910
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.8870
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.8855
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.9020
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9005
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.9045
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.8915
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.8870
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.8345
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.9050
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.9080
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.9095
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9100
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.9315
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.9375
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.9410
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.8755
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.9630
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.9210
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.9745
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.9380
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.7795
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.7880
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.7810
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.8790
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9255
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.9270
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.9240
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.9230
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9210
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9225
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9200
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9285
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.8735
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.8855
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9170
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9140
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9060
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9210
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.7755
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.7985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 273, Buy volume: 19366.11, Sell volume: 1422.22, Average price: 0.6591, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544101
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20788.329272
Price History:
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.1005
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.1115
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.1540
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.1450
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.1350
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.1325
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.1305
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.1125
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.1640
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.1440
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.1615
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.1535
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.2955
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.2895
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.1825
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.1495
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.1640
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.1685
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.1455
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.1440
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.1490
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.1460
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.1380
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.1365
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.1600
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.1685
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.2905
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.2905
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.2905
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.2885
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.2885
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.2835
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.2905
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.2910
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.1690
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.1690
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.1890
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.1685
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.1890
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.1890
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.1890
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.1890
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.1685
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.1890
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.1685
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.1890
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.1690
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.1890
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.1685
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.1890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 125.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8540, Price range: 0.7440 - 0.9180

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544101
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20788.329272
Price History:
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.7120
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.7120
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.7095
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.7570
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.7770
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.7425
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.7235
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.7455
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.8090
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.7105
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.7895
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.7530
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.7610
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.7110
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.6590
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.7115
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.7115
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.7110
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.7095
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.7095
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.7845
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.8070
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.8225
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.7095
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.7095
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.7095
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.7090
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.7090
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.7095
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.7110
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.7095
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.7095
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.7720
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.7095
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.7095
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.7095
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.7095
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.7095
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.7095
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.7095
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.7095
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.7095
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.7095
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.7860
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.7835
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.7325
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.7810
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.7140
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.7355
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.7705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 130.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.7331, Price range: 0.0840 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544101
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20788.329272
Price History:
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.1305
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.1405
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.1405
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.1405
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.1390
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.1415
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.1405
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.1100
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.1105
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.1110
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.1100
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.1100
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.1105
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.1130
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.1115
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.1095
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.1135
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.1105
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.1105
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.1105
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1105
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.1105
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.1085
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.1100
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.1155
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.1155
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.1180
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.1175
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.1175
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.1160
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.1080
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.1080
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.1090
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.1090
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.1100
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.1080
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.1080
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.1080
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.1085
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.1080
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.1085
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.1085
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.1085
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.1085
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.1085
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.1085
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.1085
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.1085
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.1085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 51.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.1175, Price range: 0.0950 - 0.1400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544101
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20788.329272
Price History:
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.8860
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.8860
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.8870
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.8890
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.8860
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.8860
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9045
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9050
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9065
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9060
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9055
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9060
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9055
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9055
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9055
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9055
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9055
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9055
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9060
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.9060
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9055
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9000
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.8860
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.8860
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.8860
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.8860
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.8855
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.8855
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.8855
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.8855
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.8850
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.8860
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.8855
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.8900
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.8900
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.8950
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.8950
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.8945
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.8895
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8900
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.8945
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.8935
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.8935
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.8935
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.8935
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8935
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.8915
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.8925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 256.53, Sell volume: 1.22, Average price: 0.7542, Price range: 0.0810 - 0.9190

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544101
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20788.329272
Price History:
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.1100
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.1100
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.1100
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.1100
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.1100
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.1100
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.1105
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.1100
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.1080
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0895
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0865
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0865
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0860
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0950
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0925
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0850
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0845
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0875
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0845
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0840
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0840
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0840
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0840
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0835
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0835
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0835
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0820
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0820
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0820
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0825
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0820
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0820
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0825
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0825
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0825
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0820
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0820
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0825
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0820
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0820
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0825
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0840
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0845
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0840
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0845
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0805
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0840
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 31.99, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544101
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20788.329272
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9180
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9180
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9180
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9180
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9180
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9140
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9150
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9150
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9275
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9540
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9770
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9815
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9865
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9865
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9865
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9870
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9875
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9880
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9890
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9890
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9890
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9875
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9885
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9890
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9890
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9900
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9900
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9900
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9910
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 210.02, Sell volume: 54.08, Average price: 0.6078, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544101
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20788.329272
Price History:
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.1045
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.1050
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.1075
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.1035
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.1010
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.1015
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0970
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0965
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0915
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0915
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0855
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0890
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0905
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0885
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0840
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0855
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0850
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0810
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0810
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0785
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0780
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0785
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0765
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0710
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0715
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0710
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0715
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0660
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0680
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0685
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0680
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0670
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0670
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0630
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0670
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0650
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0615
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0645
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0620
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0630
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0615
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0625
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0605
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0570
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0560
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0565
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0560
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0540
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0515
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 273, Buy volume: 19366.11, Sell volume: 1422.22, Average price: 0.6591, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544101
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20788.329272
Price History:
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.9850
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9855
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.9855
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9850
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9855
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9850
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.9865
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9875
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.9875
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9870
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.9880
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9875
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9880
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9875
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.9865
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.9865
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9885
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9375
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.9320
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.9275
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9250
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9220
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9195
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9170
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.9165
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.9120
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9120
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.9110
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.9130
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9110
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9080
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9080
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9080
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.9070
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.9060
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9060
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.9060
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.9060
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.9060
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.9060
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9060
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.9060
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9060
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1090.93, Sell volume: 75.50, Average price: 0.2692, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9120

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544101
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20788.329272
Price History:
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0875
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0880
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0900
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0920
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0940
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0920
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0930
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0940
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0940
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0935
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0940
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0940
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0905
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0905
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0905
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0895
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0880
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0890
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0890
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0890
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0890
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0875
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0875
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0875
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0905
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0905
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0900
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0900
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0910
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0910
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0915
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0915
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0920
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0905
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0895
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0890
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0890
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0875
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0855
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0855
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0855
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0855
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0855
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0855
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0855
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0855
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0855
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0855
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0855
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 577.49, Sell volume: 118.64, Average price: 0.5235, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9220

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544101
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20788.329272
Price History:
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.8885
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.8925
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.8870
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.8915
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.8640
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.8985
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.8785
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.9095
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.9070
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.9090
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9025
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.8830
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.8850
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.8870
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.8870
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.8865
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.8915
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9305
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9260
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.9260
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.9315
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9305
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9305
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.9310
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9310
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9275
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.9275
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9265
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.9260
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.9265
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9265
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.9265
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9260
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9250
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9250
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.9245
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9235
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.9245
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.9230
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9290
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9290
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.9290
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9290
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9290
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9290
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9290
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.9290
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.9290
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9235
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.9260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 2562.21, Sell volume: 548.68, Average price: 0.5853, Price range: 0.0580 - 0.9460

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544101
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 20788.329272
Price History:
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0530
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0530
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0505
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0535
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0525
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0500
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0460
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0440
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0340
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0350
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0615
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0625
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0625
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0600
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0600
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0615
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0585
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0585
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0610
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0615
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0600
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0600
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0575
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0555
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0365
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0320
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0180
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0185
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0425
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0400
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0465
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0440
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0445
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0400
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0360
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0370
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0410
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0415
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0410
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0375
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0355
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0335
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0340
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0340
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0330
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0325
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0320
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0280
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 4028.86, Sell volume: 562.11, Average price: 0.7187, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657148
Question: Will Google reach $335 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45022.807941
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.1150
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0900
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0900
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 368, Buy volume: 36289.59, Sell volume: 8733.22, Average price: 0.5137, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9987

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657148
Question: Will Google reach $335 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45022.807941
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 11.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657148
Question: Will Google reach $335 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45022.807941
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 125.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657148
Question: Will Google reach $335 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45022.807941
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0550
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0550
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0500
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0550
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0550
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0400
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0400
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0400
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0400
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 125.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657148
Question: Will Google reach $335 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45022.807941
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0450
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.4250
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 539.00, Sell volume: 16.60, Average price: 0.0526, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.0700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657148
Question: Will Google reach $335 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45022.807941
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0800
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 188.88, Sell volume: 54.12, Average price: 0.7174, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657148
Question: Will Google reach $335 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45022.807941
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0255
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0405
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0355
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0350
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0310
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0310
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0310
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0310
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0335
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0330
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0320
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0215
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0215
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0215
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0305
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0220
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0215
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0170
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0215
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0260
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0300
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0300
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0220
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0300
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0230
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 979.73, Sell volume: 51.06, Average price: 0.7307, Price range: 0.0216 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657148
Question: Will Google reach $335 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45022.807941
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0200
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0165
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0160
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0160
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0160
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0160
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0160
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0160
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0160
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0160
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0165
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0165
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0165
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0155
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0155
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0195
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0195
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0170
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0205
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0265
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0260
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0260
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0270
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0395
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0320
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0325
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0330
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0325
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0360
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0355
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 768.53, Sell volume: 426.23, Average price: 0.4243, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9810

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657148
Question: Will Google reach $335 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45022.807941
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0325
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0315
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0320
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0320
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0310
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0305
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0295
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0260
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0310
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0300
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0285
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0285
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0215
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0250
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0245
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0240
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0240
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0240
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0240
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0240
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0255
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0255
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0330
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0345
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0345
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0345
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0345
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0350
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0260
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0350
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0935
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0780
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0655
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0630
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0615
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 2965.80, Sell volume: 1177.42, Average price: 0.2112, Price range: 0.0154 - 0.9680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657148
Question: Will Google reach $335 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45022.807941
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.1540
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.1535
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1540
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.1540
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1540
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1540
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0905
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0905
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0905
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0905
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0865
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0915
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0625
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0535
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0485
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0485
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0440
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0465
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0460
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0480
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0865
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0925
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0870
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0510
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0655
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0795
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.1180
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.1585
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.1495
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.1515
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.1535
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.2230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3725.86, Sell volume: 753.89, Average price: 0.3734, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657148
Question: Will Google reach $335 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45022.807941
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0770
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0765
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0765
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0770
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0775
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0765
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0770
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0770
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0810
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.1090
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.1080
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.1070
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.1075
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.1040
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.1040
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.1040
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.1040
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.1040
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.1040
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.1030
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.1035
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.1035
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.1035
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.1035
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0870
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0870
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0875
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0880
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0880
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0880
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0880
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0880
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0880
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0870
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0870
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0895
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0870
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0875
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.1015
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.1080
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.1185
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.1185
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.1185
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.1180
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.1270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2418.40, Sell volume: 743.40, Average price: 0.5760, Price range: 0.0669 - 0.9344

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657148
Question: Will Google reach $335 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45022.807941
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.1110
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.2790
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.2220
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.1470
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.2410
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.2230
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.2765
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.3055
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.3290
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.3925
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.5030
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.5155
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.5885
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.6450
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.6795
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.6795
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.6790
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.7100
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.6910
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.7055
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.7225
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.7770
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.8005
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.8035
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.8090
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5490
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.3925
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.2930
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.3710
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.3810
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.3745
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4235
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4010
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4710
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.2370
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.2390
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.2375
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.4120
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.4120
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4120
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.3040
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.3065
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4775
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.4785
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.5195
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.5195
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5260
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.2995
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.3710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 192, Buy volume: 12780.54, Sell volume: 4244.11, Average price: 0.4960, Price range: 0.1550 - 0.9190

Output: Yes