Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9925
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0295
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0200
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0190
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0160
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0115
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0090
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 6.35, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9915
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9915
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9910
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 37.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9937, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9980
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537441
Question: Will Family First win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 45.945975
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.64, Sell volume: 2.31, Average price: 0.8292, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5100
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.4800
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.5200
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.4800
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.5200
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.4700
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.5300
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.4650
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.5350
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.3250
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.6750
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.3250
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.6750
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.3600
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.6400
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.3600
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.6400
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.3600
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.6400
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.6500
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.6700
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.6700
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.6700
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.6500
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.3550
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.6450
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.3550
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.6450
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.3550
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.6450
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.3550
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.6450
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.6500
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.6500
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 27.55, Sell volume: 6.85, Average price: 0.5774, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6622

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.6500
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.3750
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.6300
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.6300
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.6300
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.6300
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.3700
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.6300
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.6300
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.6300
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 26303.50, Sell volume: 26321.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.6300
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.6250
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.6250
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.6250
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.6250
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.6250
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.6250
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.6250
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.6250
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.4950
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.5050
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.5500
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.5800
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.4200
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.5800
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.5850
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.5850
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.4450
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.5550
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.5850
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.5600
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.5500
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.4350
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.5650
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.4350
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.5650
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.4650
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.5350
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.4200
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.5800
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.4300
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.32, Sell volume: 4.35, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.5800
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.4850
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.5150
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.5250
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.5800
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.4250
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.5750
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.4300
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.5700
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.4350
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.5650
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.4100
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.5900
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.4750
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.5250
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.4200
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.5800
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.4100
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.5900
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.4750
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.5250
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.4950
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.5050
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.4750
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.5250
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.4750
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.5250
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.4750
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.5250
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.4850
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.6150
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.3000
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.7000
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.3550
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.3550
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.3500
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.6500
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.3350
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.6650
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.3450
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.6550
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 30284.70, Sell volume: 30006.41, Average price: 0.5518, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.2800
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.7200
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.3200
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.6800
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.2900
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.7100
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.6900
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.3250
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.6750
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.2950
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.7050
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.7000
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7000
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.3150
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.6850
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2900
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7100
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2950
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.7050
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3400
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.6600
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.2950
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.7050
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.2850
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.7150
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.3500
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.6500
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3000
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.7000
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3050
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.6950
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.3050
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.6950
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.3250
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.6750
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.2800
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.7200
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 71422.74, Sell volume: 58104.85, Average price: 0.5386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.3900
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.6100
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.6250
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.3450
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.6550
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.3500
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.6500
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.3500
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.6500
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.3300
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.3450
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.6550
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.3300
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.3450
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.6550
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.3300
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.3300
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.3250
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.6750
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.3300
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.3300
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.3500
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.6500
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.3700
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.6300
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.3300
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.3400
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.6600
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.3300
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.3200
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.6800
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.3250
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.6750
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.3400
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.6600
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.7600
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.7600
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.7600
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.7600
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.7600
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.2450
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.7550
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.7400
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.7600
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.7600
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.7600
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.7600
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.7600
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.5300
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.4700
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.5450
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.4550
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.5250
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.4750
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.5500
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.4500
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.5700
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.4300
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.5950
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.4050
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.5400
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.4600
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.5550
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.4450
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.5650
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 25.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5450, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.5050
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.5250
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.5350
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.4650
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.5600
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.4400
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.5350
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.4650
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5650
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4350
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5800
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4900
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5100
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5400
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4600
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4100
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5900
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4350
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5650
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4600
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4700
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.4650
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5350
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.3850
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.6150
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.3850
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.6150
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.3950
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.6050
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 71422.74, Sell volume: 58104.85, Average price: 0.5386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.4050
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.5950
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4500
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.5500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.4800
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.5200
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4800
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5200
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.4900
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6200
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3900
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6100
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.4000
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6000
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.4100
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.5900
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.4300
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.5700
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.4500
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.5500
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6250
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.4050
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.5950
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.5750
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3350
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.6650
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.3400
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.6600
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3500
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.6500
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3400
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7450
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.2650
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.7350
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.2450
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.2600
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.7400
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.2450
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.2700
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.7300
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.2450
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.2600
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.7400
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7250
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2650
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.7350
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.2700
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7300
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.2400
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7600
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.2400
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.7600
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.2400
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.7600
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.2400
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7600
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.7450
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 31.25, Sell volume: 2.55, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.2400
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.7600
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2350
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.7650
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.2350
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.7650
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.2350
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2450
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.7550
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2450
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7550
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2450
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.7550
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2400
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.7600
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2400
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7600
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2450
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.7550
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2450
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.7550
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0245
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9755
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3045
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6955
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2905
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.7095
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2895
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.7105
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2935
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7065
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2965
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.7035
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.3000
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7000
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2840
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.7160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2618.85, Sell volume: 246.32, Average price: 0.5172, Price range: 0.0495 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7340
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2655
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7345
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2105
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7895
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1910
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.8090
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0995
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9005
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.1810
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.8190
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.1805
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.8195
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.1775
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8225
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1830
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.8170
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2125
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7875
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.2090
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7910
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.1970
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.8030
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1940
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.8060
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1970
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.8030
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.1915
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.8085
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.1800
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8200
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.1525
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.8475
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.1945
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.8055
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.1740
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.8260
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.1370
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.8630
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.1235
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.8765
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.1230
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.8770
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.1205
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.8795
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.1515
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.8485
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 4619.74, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.4647, Price range: 0.1110 - 0.8914

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2065
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.7935
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2350
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.7650
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2325
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.7675
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2290
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.7710
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2700
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2940
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7060
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2110
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.7890
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2060
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.7940
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2760
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.7240
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.2795
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.7205
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2890
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.7110
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.3455
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.6545
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.3730
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.6270
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.3690
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.6310
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.3125
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.6875
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2375
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.7625
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2530
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7470
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.3940
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.6060
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.1530
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.8470
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0100
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9900
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0100
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9900
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0130
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9870
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7486.78, Sell volume: 1514.37, Average price: 0.6331, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.4800
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.4800
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.4700
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.4650
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.3250
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.3250
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.3600
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.3600
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.3600
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.3550
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.3550
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.3550
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.3550
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.3500
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 27.55, Sell volume: 6.85, Average price: 0.5774, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6622
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.6500
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.6250
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.6300
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.6300
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.6300
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.6300
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.6300
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.6300
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.6300
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.6300
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.6300
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.6300
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.6300
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 26303.50, Sell volume: 26321.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.3700
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.3750
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.3700
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.4950
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.4200
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.4200
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.4450
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.4350
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.4350
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.4650
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.4200
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.4300
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.4150
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.4850
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.4650
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.4500
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.32, Sell volume: 4.35, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.5800
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.5150
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.5250
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.5800
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.5750
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.5700
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.5650
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.5900
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.5250
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.5800
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.5900
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.5250
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.5050
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.5250
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.5250
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.5250
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.6150
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.7000
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.6450
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.6600
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.6500
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.6650
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.6550
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.6650
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.6750
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 30284.70, Sell volume: 30006.41, Average price: 0.5518, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.2800
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.3200
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.2900
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.3100
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.3250
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.2950
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.3150
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2900
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2950
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.3400
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.2950
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.2850
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.3500
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3000
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3050
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.3050
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.3250
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.2800
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.3800
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.3500
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.3650
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 71422.74, Sell volume: 58104.85, Average price: 0.5386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.6100
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.6250
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.6550
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.6500
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.6500
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.6550
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.6550
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.6750
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.6500
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.6300
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.6600
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.6800
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.6750
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.6600
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.6700
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.6800
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.6800
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.6750
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.2450
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.5300
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.5450
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.5250
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.5500
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.5700
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.5950
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.4850
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.5400
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.5550
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.5650
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.4900
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.5150
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.5400
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.5550
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 25.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5450, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.5050
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.4750
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.4650
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.4400
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.4650
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4350
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4200
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5100
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4600
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5900
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5650
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5350
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.6150
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.6150
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.6050
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.5650
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 71422.74, Sell volume: 58104.85, Average price: 0.5386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.4050
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.4800
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4800
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5100
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3800
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3900
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.4000
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.4100
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.4300
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.4500
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3750
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.4050
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.4250
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3350
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.3400
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3500
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3400
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3500
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3750
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7450
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.7350
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.7400
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.7300
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.7400
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7250
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.7350
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7300
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7600
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.7600
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.7600
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7600
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.7450
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.7800
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.7850
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.7850
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.7850
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 31.25, Sell volume: 2.55, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.2400
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2350
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.2350
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2450
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2450
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2450
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2400
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2400
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2450
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2450
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0245
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3045
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2905
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2895
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2935
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2965
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.3000
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2840
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.2560
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1840
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2895
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.2760
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2618.85, Sell volume: 246.32, Average price: 0.5172, Price range: 0.0495 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7340
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7345
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7895
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.8090
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9005
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.8190
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.8195
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8225
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.8170
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7875
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7910
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.8030
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.8060
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.8030
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.8085
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8200
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.8475
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.8055
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.8260
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.8630
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.8765
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.8770
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.8795
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.8485
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7945
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.8010
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.8030
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.8095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 4619.74, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.4647, Price range: 0.1110 - 0.8914
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537442
Question: Will The Greens win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 129527.591382
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2065
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2350
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2325
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2290
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2700
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2940
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2110
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2060
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2760
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.2795
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2890
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.3455
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.3730
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.3690
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.3125
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2375
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2530
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.3940
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.1530
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0100
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0100
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0130
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0090
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 7486.78, Sell volume: 1514.37, Average price: 0.6331, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.5050
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.5100
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.7500
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.5600
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.4400
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.5500
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.4500
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.5550
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.4450
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.6950
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.3000
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.7000
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.6950
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.6950
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.6700
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.3250
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.6750
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.6800
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.6850
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.6800
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.6800
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.6800
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.6800
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.6800
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.6800
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.6900
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.2250
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.7750
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.2300
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.7700
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.2550
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.7450
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.2550
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.7450
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.2550
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.7450
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.2550
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.7450
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.2550
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.7450
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.2550
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.7450
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.2500
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.2450
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.7550
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.2400
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.7600
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.2400
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.7600
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.2400
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.7600
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.2850
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.7150
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.2400
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.7600
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.2900
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.7100
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.2400
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.7600
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.2400
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.7600
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.2600
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.7400
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.2400
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.7600
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2007.34, Sell volume: 167.33, Average price: 0.6502, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.2800
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.7200
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.2600
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.7400
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.2700
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.7300
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.2300
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.7700
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.2300
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.7700
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.3500
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.6500
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.3250
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.6750
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.3200
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.6800
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.6350
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.3150
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.6850
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.2350
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.7650
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.2350
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.7650
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.2350
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.7650
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.2350
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.7650
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.2900
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.7100
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.2750
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.7250
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.2900
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.7100
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.6750
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.2900
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.7100
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.3200
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.6800
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.2900
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.7100
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.3050
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.6950
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8000, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.2950
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.7050
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.2950
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.7050
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.2950
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.7050
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.2950
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.7050
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.2950
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.7050
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.2750
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.2750
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.3650
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.6350
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.2700
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.7300
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.2650
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.7350
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.6350
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.2700
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.7300
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.3650
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.6350
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.3600
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.6400
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.3650
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.6350
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.3650
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.6350
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.3650
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.6350
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.2900
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.7100
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.2100
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.7900
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.2850
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.7150
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.2850
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.7150
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.2700
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.7300
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.2800
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.7200
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.2600
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 37.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7033, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.7300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.2950
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.7050
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.7000
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.2700
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.7300
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.2800
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.7200
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.2750
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2750
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7450
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2850
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7150
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2850
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.7150
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.2900
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.7100
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.2450
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.7550
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.7000
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.2450
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.7550
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3000
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.7000
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.2800
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.7200
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.7450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3000
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.7000
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.2750
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.7250
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.2800
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.7200
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.7450
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.2950
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.7050
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.2450
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2007.34, Sell volume: 167.33, Average price: 0.6502, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.7300
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.2850
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.7150
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.2650
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.7350
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.2850
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.7150
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.2900
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.7100
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.2900
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.7100
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.2900
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.7100
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.3000
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.7000
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.7150
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.7150
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.3000
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.7000
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.2900
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.7100
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.2750
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.7250
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.2550
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.7450
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.7150
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.2950
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.3000
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.7000
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.3000
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.7000
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.7150
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2007.34, Sell volume: 167.33, Average price: 0.6502, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.7800
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2007.34, Sell volume: 167.33, Average price: 0.6502, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.2200
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2200
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.2200
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.2200
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2200
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.2200
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.2200
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.2200
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.2200
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.2200
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.2200
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.2200
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.2200
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.2200
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2007.34, Sell volume: 167.33, Average price: 0.6502, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.2200
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.1500
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.8500
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.1500
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.8500
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.1500
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.8500
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.1750
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2007.34, Sell volume: 167.33, Average price: 0.6502, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2007.34, Sell volume: 167.33, Average price: 0.6502, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.8500
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.8500
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.8500
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.8500
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.8500
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.8500
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.8500
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.8500
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.8500
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.8500
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1500
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.8500
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2250
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.7750
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9300
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0700
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9300
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.4050
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5950
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2200
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7800
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.7800
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2100
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7900
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1526.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4531, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.8911

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2200
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7800
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2450
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2450
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7550
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.4550
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.5450
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2650
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7350
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.2800
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.7200
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.2750
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.7250
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.2800
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.7200
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.2700
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.7300
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.7400
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.2600
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.7400
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.2600
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.7400
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2350
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.7650
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.2350
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.7650
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 222.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6208, Price range: 0.4285 - 0.8131

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.1850
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.8150
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2100
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.1800
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.8200
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2200
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.7800
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2100
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.7900
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.8400
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.8400
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.1500
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.8500
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.1500
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.8500
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.1500
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.8500
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.1450
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.8550
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1500
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.8500
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.1300
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.8700
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.1300
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.8700
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.4800
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.5200
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4700
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.5300
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2350
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.7650
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 213.02, Sell volume: 167.33, Average price: 0.9098, Price range: 0.7500 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.2500
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.5600
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.5500
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.5550
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.3000
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.3050
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.3300
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.3250
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.3200
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.3100
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.6900
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.7750
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.7700
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.7450
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.7450
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.7450
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.7450
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.7450
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.7450
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.7550
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.7600
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.7600
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.7600
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.7150
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.7600
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.7100
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.7600
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.7600
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.7400
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.7600
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.7300
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.7400
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.7200
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.7200
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2007.34, Sell volume: 167.33, Average price: 0.6502, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.2800
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.2600
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.2700
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.2300
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.2300
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.3500
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.3250
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.3200
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.3150
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.2350
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.2350
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.2350
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.2350
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.2900
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.2750
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.2900
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.2900
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.3200
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.2900
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.3050
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.2900
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.2950
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.2900
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.3800
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8000, Price range: 0.8000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.7050
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.7050
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.7050
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.7050
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.7050
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.6350
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.7300
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.7350
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.6350
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.7300
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.6350
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.6400
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.6350
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.6350
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.6350
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.7100
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.7900
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.7150
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.7150
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.7300
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.7200
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.7600
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.7550
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.7150
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.7350
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 37.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7033, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.2950
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.2700
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.2800
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.2750
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2750
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2850
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2850
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.2900
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.2450
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.2450
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3000
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.2800
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3000
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.2750
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.2800
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.2950
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.2450
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.2550
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.2900
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.2850
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2007.34, Sell volume: 167.33, Average price: 0.6502, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.7300
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.7150
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.7350
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.7150
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.7100
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.7100
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.7100
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.7000
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.7150
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.7150
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.7000
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.7100
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.7250
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.7450
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.7150
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.7050
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.7000
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.7000
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.7150
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.7100
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.7000
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.6950
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.7000
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2007.34, Sell volume: 167.33, Average price: 0.6502, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.2200
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.2200
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2007.34, Sell volume: 167.33, Average price: 0.6502, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.7800
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2007.34, Sell volume: 167.33, Average price: 0.6502, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.2200
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.1500
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.1500
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.1500
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.1750
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.1750
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.1750
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.1750
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.1750
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2007.34, Sell volume: 167.33, Average price: 0.6502, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537443
Question: Will the Liberal National Party win the Seat of Brisbane in the 2025 Australian Election?
Volume: 2174.671677
Price History:
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2007.34, Sell volume: 167.33, Average price: 0.6502, Price range: 0.1259 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes