Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623536
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24790.215669
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9640
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0360
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 2477.36, Sell volume: 922.48, Average price: 0.6696, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4650
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5350
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.8400
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.1600
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4550
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5450
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0200
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9800
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8575, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 271.17, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.7298, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1046.04, Sell volume: 88.91, Average price: 0.6069, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 270, Buy volume: 9588.76, Sell volume: 17577.46, Average price: 0.7235, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9955
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9925
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0075
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 397.39, Sell volume: 170.39, Average price: 0.6355, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0095
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9905
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 129.06, Sell volume: 301.32, Average price: 0.5711, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9815
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0185
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0190
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1346.17, Sell volume: 283.21, Average price: 0.7591, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0185
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9815
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9820
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0180
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0180
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9820
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0185
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9815
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0190
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9810
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0180
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9820
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 344.87, Sell volume: 9.49, Average price: 0.8715, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0140
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9860
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9850
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0165
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9835
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0180
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9820
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 326.39, Sell volume: 126.34, Average price: 0.7790, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9830
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9830
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9830
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0175
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9825
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9830
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9830
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9830
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 56.07, Average price: 0.3348, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9830
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0175
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9825
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0175
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9825
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0175
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9825
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0205
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9795
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9820
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0180
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0180
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9820
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0185
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 575.77, Sell volume: 35.96, Average price: 0.9179, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0175
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9825
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0155
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9845
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0155
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9845
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0160
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9840
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0160
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9840
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 821.64, Sell volume: 90.65, Average price: 0.7020, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4650
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5350
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.8400
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.1600
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4550
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5450
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0200
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9800
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8575, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 271.17, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.7298, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1046.04, Sell volume: 88.91, Average price: 0.6069, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 270, Buy volume: 9588.76, Sell volume: 17577.46, Average price: 0.7235, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9955
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9925
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0075
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 397.39, Sell volume: 170.39, Average price: 0.6355, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0095
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9905
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 129.06, Sell volume: 301.32, Average price: 0.5711, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9815
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0185
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0190
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1346.17, Sell volume: 283.21, Average price: 0.7591, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0185
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9815
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9820
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0180
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0180
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9820
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0185
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9815
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0190
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9810
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0180
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9820
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 344.87, Sell volume: 9.49, Average price: 0.8715, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0140
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9860
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9850
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0165
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9835
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0180
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9820
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 326.39, Sell volume: 126.34, Average price: 0.7790, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9830
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9830
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9830
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0175
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9825
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9830
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9830
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9830
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 56.07, Average price: 0.3348, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9830
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0175
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9825
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0175
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9825
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0175
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9825
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0205
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9795
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9820
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0180
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0180
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9820
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0185
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 575.77, Sell volume: 35.96, Average price: 0.9179, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623538
Question: Will David Lisnard be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 27166.215851
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0175
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9825
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0155
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9845
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0155
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9845
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0160
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9840
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0160
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0160
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9840
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 821.64, Sell volume: 90.65, Average price: 0.7020, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0205
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9795
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0135
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9865
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0135
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9865
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 420.06, Sell volume: 49.94, Average price: 0.9029, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9865
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0120
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0110
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9890
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0110
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9958, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0110
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9890
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0090
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9910
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 274.39, Sell volume: 61.59, Average price: 0.7129, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0070
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9930
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 12031.10, Sell volume: 4096.84, Average price: 0.2486, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 410, Buy volume: 46300.45, Sell volume: 26759.95, Average price: 0.7013, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1607.91, Sell volume: 1579.91, Average price: 0.8226, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2468.90, Sell volume: 2338.17, Average price: 0.8990, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 2322.95, Sell volume: 2003.57, Average price: 0.8837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1902.75, Sell volume: 1065.76, Average price: 0.8326, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 6920.13, Sell volume: 5789.15, Average price: 0.8562, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 179.59, Sell volume: 281.89, Average price: 0.5995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 403.73, Sell volume: 136.06, Average price: 0.9121, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 11220.18, Sell volume: 5906.54, Average price: 0.6525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0205
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9795
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9840
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0135
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9865
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0135
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9865
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 420.06, Sell volume: 49.94, Average price: 0.9029, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9865
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0120
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0110
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9890
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0110
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 43.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9958, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0110
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9890
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0090
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9910
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 274.39, Sell volume: 61.59, Average price: 0.7129, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0070
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9930
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 12031.10, Sell volume: 4096.84, Average price: 0.2486, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 410, Buy volume: 46300.45, Sell volume: 26759.95, Average price: 0.7013, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1607.91, Sell volume: 1579.91, Average price: 0.8226, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 2468.90, Sell volume: 2338.17, Average price: 0.8990, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 2322.95, Sell volume: 2003.57, Average price: 0.8837, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1902.75, Sell volume: 1065.76, Average price: 0.8326, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 6920.13, Sell volume: 5789.15, Average price: 0.8562, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 179.59, Sell volume: 281.89, Average price: 0.5995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 403.73, Sell volume: 136.06, Average price: 0.9121, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623540
Question: Will Éric Zemmour be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 73060.39675
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 11220.18, Sell volume: 5906.54, Average price: 0.6525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.1200
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.8800
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9705
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0295
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 139.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9051, Price range: 0.0571 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9705
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0255
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9745
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9850
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0150
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0145
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9855
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0135
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9865
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0135
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9865
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 31.21, Sell volume: 24.68, Average price: 0.5020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0040
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9960
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0040
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 261.17, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.7191, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1472.13, Sell volume: 88.91, Average price: 0.5667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0115
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9885
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0115
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 71.99, Sell volume: 36.00, Average price: 0.9917, Price range: 0.9820 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 81.79, Sell volume: 89.78, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 2059.56, Sell volume: 321.84, Average price: 0.6943, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 176.04, Sell volume: 12.97, Average price: 0.8094, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0145
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9855
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9855
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0145
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9850
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9850
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 307.59, Sell volume: 109.49, Average price: 0.8061, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9941

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0110
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0110
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 329.31, Sell volume: 26.64, Average price: 0.8065, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0110
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0060
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 131.51, Average price: 0.1037, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 774.62, Sell volume: 96.97, Average price: 0.8491, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2218.06, Sell volume: 1191.95, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.1200
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.8800
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9700
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9705
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0295
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 139.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9051, Price range: 0.0571 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9705
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0255
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9745
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9850
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0150
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0145
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9855
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0135
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9865
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0135
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9865
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 31.21, Sell volume: 24.68, Average price: 0.5020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0040
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9960
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0040
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 261.17, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.7191, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1472.13, Sell volume: 88.91, Average price: 0.5667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0115
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9885
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0115
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 71.99, Sell volume: 36.00, Average price: 0.9917, Price range: 0.9820 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 81.79, Sell volume: 89.78, Average price: 0.7224, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0110
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9890
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0045
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 2059.56, Sell volume: 321.84, Average price: 0.6943, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 176.04, Sell volume: 12.97, Average price: 0.8094, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0145
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9855
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9855
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0145
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9850
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0150
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9850
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 307.59, Sell volume: 109.49, Average price: 0.8061, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9941
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0110
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0110
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 329.31, Sell volume: 26.64, Average price: 0.8065, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0110
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0060
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 131.51, Average price: 0.1037, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 774.62, Sell volume: 96.97, Average price: 0.8491, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623542
Question: Will Xavier Bertrand be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 24839.469282
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2218.06, Sell volume: 1191.95, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4500
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.1500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.8500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0450
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 135.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9316, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0450
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0450
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0450
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9550
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0450
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9600
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0400
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9600
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0400
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0450
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9550
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9650
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 44.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9650
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0350
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0335
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9665
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0240
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9760
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9765
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0235
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 630.63, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.7092, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0195
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 388.25, Sell volume: 138.91, Average price: 0.5599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 457, Buy volume: 59691.79, Sell volume: 42643.49, Average price: 0.4893, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0150
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9750
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0250
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9740
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0260
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9740
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0260
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9745
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0255
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0220
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2011.39, Sell volume: 17.79, Average price: 0.5490, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0215
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9785
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9825
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0125
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0125
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9875
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1549.05, Sell volume: 208.72, Average price: 0.7394, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9865
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0155
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9845
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1253.92, Sell volume: 12.97, Average price: 0.7962, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9895
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0105
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9895
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0105
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9910
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0090
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 977.45, Sell volume: 69.43, Average price: 0.7249, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0090
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1285.18, Sell volume: 111.74, Average price: 0.7119, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1698.09, Sell volume: 906.07, Average price: 0.6902, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0040
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9960
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 15373.97, Sell volume: 11813.39, Average price: 0.2352, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0060
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 16723.50, Sell volume: 18025.71, Average price: 0.3519, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4500
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.1500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.8500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0450
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 135.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9316, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0450
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0450
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0450
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9550
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0450
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9600
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0400
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9600
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0400
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0450
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9550
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9650
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 44.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9650
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0350
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0335
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9665
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0240
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9760
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9765
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0235
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 630.63, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.7092, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0195
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 388.25, Sell volume: 138.91, Average price: 0.5599, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 457, Buy volume: 59691.79, Sell volume: 42643.49, Average price: 0.4893, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0150
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9750
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0250
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9740
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0260
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9740
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0260
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9745
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0255
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0220
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2011.39, Sell volume: 17.79, Average price: 0.5490, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0215
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9785
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9825
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0125
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0125
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9875
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9880
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0120
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1549.05, Sell volume: 208.72, Average price: 0.7394, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9865
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0155
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9845
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0130
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9870
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1253.92, Sell volume: 12.97, Average price: 0.7962, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9895
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0105
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9895
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0105
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9910
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0090
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 977.45, Sell volume: 69.43, Average price: 0.7249, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0090
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1285.18, Sell volume: 111.74, Average price: 0.7119, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1698.09, Sell volume: 906.07, Average price: 0.6902, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0040
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9960
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 15373.97, Sell volume: 11813.39, Average price: 0.2352, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623544
Question: Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 102335.276234
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9955
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0060
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 16723.50, Sell volume: 18025.71, Average price: 0.3519, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 110.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9882, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9600
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0145
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9855
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0110
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9890
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 258.83, Sell volume: 70.69, Average price: 0.6966, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9930
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0070
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0070
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9930
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 452.08, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 4308.87, Sell volume: 1125.90, Average price: 0.3440, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 185.99, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 45.79, Sell volume: 17.79, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0075
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 924.80, Sell volume: 819.77, Average price: 0.7715, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 23880.64, Sell volume: 19946.64, Average price: 0.1526, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0050
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0040
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 617.76, Sell volume: 9.49, Average price: 0.8455, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 505.53, Sell volume: 26.74, Average price: 0.8089, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 56.07, Average price: 0.2006, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 325.71, Sell volume: 165.56, Average price: 0.8504, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9950
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 7225.66, Sell volume: 33752.16, Average price: 0.5197, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 110.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9882, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9600
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0400
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9600
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0145
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9855
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0110
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9890
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 258.83, Sell volume: 70.69, Average price: 0.6966, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9930
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0070
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0070
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9930
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 452.08, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 4308.87, Sell volume: 1125.90, Average price: 0.3440, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 185.99, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 45.79, Sell volume: 17.79, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0100
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9900
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0075
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 924.80, Sell volume: 819.77, Average price: 0.7715, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 23880.64, Sell volume: 19946.64, Average price: 0.1526, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9950
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0050
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0040
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 617.76, Sell volume: 9.49, Average price: 0.8455, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 505.53, Sell volume: 26.74, Average price: 0.8089, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 56.07, Average price: 0.2006, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623546
Question: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 138594.474294
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 325.71, Sell volume: 165.56, Average price: 0.8504, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes