Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9650
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9645
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9645
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9685
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9680
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9680
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9680
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9680
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9680
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9670
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9670
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9660
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9670
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9680
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9675
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9675
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9680
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9680
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9685
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9685
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9690
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9685
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9680
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9680
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9680
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9685
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9680
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9685
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9690
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9685
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9690
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9690
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9690
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9690
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9690
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9690
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 251.06, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.6822, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9720

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0280
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0295
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0295
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0295
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0295
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0285
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0285
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0295
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0295
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0290
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0295
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0295
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0285
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0305
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0300
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0290
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0290
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0290
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0275
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0305
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0300
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0300
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0295
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0290
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0275
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0300
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0305
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0295
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0290
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0290
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0290
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0300
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0300
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0290
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0290
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0295
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0290
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0300
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0300
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0300
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0295
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0280
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0280
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0285
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 293, Buy volume: 28200.36, Sell volume: 5366.93, Average price: 0.6862, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9700
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.9700
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9700
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.9700
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9700
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9705
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9705
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.9705
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9710
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.9715
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9725
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9725
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9715
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.9725
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9725
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9730
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9735
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9735
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.9730
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.9730
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9725
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.9725
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9730
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9730
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.9735
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.9735
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9730
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9735
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9735
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9730
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.9730
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.9725
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9735
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.9735
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.9730
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9730
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9725
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9715
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9715
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.9695
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.9700
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9690
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.9695
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.9690
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.9695
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.9680
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9690
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.9700
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9705
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 102.81, Sell volume: 81.00, Average price: 0.1607, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0290
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0295
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0295
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0295
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0300
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0300
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0295
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0305
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0305
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0305
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0290
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0295
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0295
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0295
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0295
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0295
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0295
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0260
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0260
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0260
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0260
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0260
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0240
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0245
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0250
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0220
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0225
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0240
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0235
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0225
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0240
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0245
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0250
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1394.78, Sell volume: 118.64, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9810

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9630
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9630
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.9635
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.9635
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9635
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.9630
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.9645
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.9665
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.9670
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.9680
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9670
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9685
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9730
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.9730
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.9725
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9730
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.9730
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9125
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9120
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.9260
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.9250
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9270
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9315
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.9315
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9315
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9315
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.9325
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9285
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.9285
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.9285
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9290
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.9290
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9295
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9295
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9310
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.9315
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9315
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.9320
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.9310
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9310
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9315
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.9320
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9305
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9310
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9310
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9315
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.9315
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.9305
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9310
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.9325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 3964.52, Sell volume: 558.67, Average price: 0.6334, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9820

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0710
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0715
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0710
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0725
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0720
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0710
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0705
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0710
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0710
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0710
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0705
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0730
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0705
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0705
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0740
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0735
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0710
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0705
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0700
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0715
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0740
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0745
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0645
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0645
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0635
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0645
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0645
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0645
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0630
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0365
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0300
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0290
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0415
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0460
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0505
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0465
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0475
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0385
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0495
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0480
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0535
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0545
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0545
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0495
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0520
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0520
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0525
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0545
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0540
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 4674.56, Sell volume: 4288.19, Average price: 0.7293, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657149
Question: Will Google reach $315 in November?
Volume: 26831.344211
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.8600
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.1400
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.8600
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.1400
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.8450
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.1550
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.8450
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1550
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.8450
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1600
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8400
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 143, Buy volume: 19776.21, Sell volume: 7055.13, Average price: 0.5064, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657149
Question: Will Google reach $315 in November?
Volume: 26831.344211
Price History:
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.1600
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.8400
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.1600
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.8400
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1600
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.8400
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1600
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.1600
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.8400
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.1600
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.8400
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.1600
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.8400
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.1600
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 143, Buy volume: 19776.21, Sell volume: 7055.13, Average price: 0.5064, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657149
Question: Will Google reach $315 in November?
Volume: 26831.344211
Price History:
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9200
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0550
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0500
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9500
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0500
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 143, Buy volume: 19776.21, Sell volume: 7055.13, Average price: 0.5064, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657149
Question: Will Google reach $315 in November?
Volume: 26831.344211
Price History:
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0500
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9500
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9500
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9500
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9500
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0500
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9500
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 143, Buy volume: 19776.21, Sell volume: 7055.13, Average price: 0.5064, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657149
Question: Will Google reach $315 in November?
Volume: 26831.344211
Price History:
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9500
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4850
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 700.52, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.4516, Price range: 0.0821 - 0.8210
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657149
Question: Will Google reach $315 in November?
Volume: 26831.344211
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.1450
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8350
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1650
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8050
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8550
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.1450
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.8550
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.8650
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.1350
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.8700
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.1300
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.1250
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.1600
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8000
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.1950
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.6550
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 539.99, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.4707, Price range: 0.1160 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657149
Question: Will Google reach $315 in November?
Volume: 26831.344211
Price History:
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.7850
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.2150
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7400
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.2500
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.7500
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.2050
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.8100
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.2000
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2100
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.7850
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7600
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7650
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.7650
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.2100
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.7850
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.2150
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 62.05, Sell volume: 42.85, Average price: 0.3384, Price range: 0.2386 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657149
Question: Will Google reach $315 in November?
Volume: 26831.344211
Price History:
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.2150
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7850
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2150
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7850
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.7950
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.2050
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.7650
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.2350
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9605
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0395
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9620
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0375
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9435
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0570
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9495
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 474.43, Sell volume: 1018.52, Average price: 0.2366, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657149
Question: Will Google reach $315 in November?
Volume: 26831.344211
Price History:
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9495
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0510
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9170
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0830
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9110
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0925
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9065
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0940
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9045
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0960
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9085
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0915
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9070
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0985
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9030
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0995
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9010
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0990
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9000
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0985
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8985
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1010
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8970
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.1000
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8995
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8995
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.1010
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.8995
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.1035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1312.38, Sell volume: 947.12, Average price: 0.2977, Price range: 0.0692 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657149
Question: Will Google reach $315 in November?
Volume: 26831.344211
Price History:
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0990
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9015
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1070
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.8460
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.1390
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8650
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8145
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.1855
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8145
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1875
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8310
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1645
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8360
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1600
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8625
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1535
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1180
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8690
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1315
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8705
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1285
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8765
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1230
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8760
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1215
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8755
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.1190
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 228.09, Sell volume: 298.08, Average price: 0.5986, Price range: 0.1444 - 0.8960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657149
Question: Will Google reach $315 in November?
Volume: 26831.344211
Price History:
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.8355
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.1585
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8420
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.1265
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.1450
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.8550
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.1450
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.8550
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1450
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.8555
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.1445
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.8690
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.1580
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.4975
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.3095
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.7525
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.2500
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.5270
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.3295
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.6695
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.3305
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5755
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4245
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5765
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.4235
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.5765
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4435
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.6055
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.3995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3296.49, Sell volume: 507.15, Average price: 0.3817, Price range: 0.1160 - 0.8970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657149
Question: Will Google reach $315 in November?
Volume: 26831.344211
Price History:
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.5380
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.7515
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.2660
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.8195
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.2050
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.7960
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.2040
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.7960
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.1695
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.8300
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.1700
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.7950
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.2055
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.7960
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.2040
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.6290
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.4265
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.7165
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.3720
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.7265
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.4110
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.5890
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.4065
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.5940
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.4160
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.5890
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.4105
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.5895
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.4120
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.5890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 2691.26, Sell volume: 175.55, Average price: 0.4563, Price range: 0.1670 - 0.8329
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657149
Question: Will Google reach $315 in November?
Volume: 26831.344211
Price History:
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.5890
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.4110
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.5890
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.4110
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.5885
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.4105
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.5890
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.4125
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.5875
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.4125
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.5875
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.4125
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.5875
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.4125
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.5875
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.4125
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.5875
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.4130
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.5870
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.4125
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.5875
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.4125
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.5875
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.4125
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.3500
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.6500
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.3495
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.6505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1303.65, Sell volume: 721.74, Average price: 0.5482, Price range: 0.3750 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.4750
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.4000
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.2850
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.2400
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.1650
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.2600
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.2000
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.2000
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.2300
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.2350
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.1950
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.1950
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.2000
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.2000
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.2000
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.2000
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.2000
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.2000
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.2000
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.1800
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.1500
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.0700
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.0505
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.0480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8050, Price range: 0.7500 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.8110
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.8400
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.8010
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.9500
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.9505
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.9520
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.8155
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.9650
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.9700
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.9730
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.9740
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.9780
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.9715
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.9775
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.9775
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9755
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.9785
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9810
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9805
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9775
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9775
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9775
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9775
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.9735
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9685
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9645
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.9735
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9745
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 152.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6727, Price range: 0.0411 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.0380
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0290
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0295
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.0330
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0360
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.0295
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.0295
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0305
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0305
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.0350
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.0320
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0340
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0310
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0315
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0305
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0310
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0305
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0295
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0290
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0295
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0295
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0295
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0295
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0300
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0300
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0290
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0290
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0290
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0290
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 169.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9782, Price range: 0.9690 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9720
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9720
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9710
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9715
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.9705
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9665
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9690
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9705
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9705
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9700
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9685
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9660
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9685
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9685
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9685
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9655
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9670
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.9655
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9700
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9650
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9700
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9670
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9685
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9690
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9700
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9685
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9675
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9665
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9665
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 184.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8705, Price range: 0.0392 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0315
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0335
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0320
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0320
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0330
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0330
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0340
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.0360
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0355
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0355
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0355
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0335
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0335
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0325
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0340
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0340
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0360
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0360
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0375
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0375
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0360
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0365
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0345
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0355
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0340
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0340
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0350
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0335
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0335
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 342.01, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4106, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9635
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9620
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9620
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9620
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9615
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9620
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9635
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9635
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9620
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9620
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9635
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9635
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9645
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9650
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9635
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9635
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9640
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9640
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9640
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9640
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9645
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9660
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9665
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9660
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9665
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9650
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9640
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9640
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9640
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 256.53, Sell volume: 2.44, Average price: 0.6867, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0350
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0335
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0345
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0340
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0345
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0355
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0335
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0340
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0345
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0345
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0345
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0325
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0330
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0335
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0325
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0330
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0345
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0340
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0345
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0345
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0330
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0340
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0335
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0340
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0320
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 31.99, Average price: 0.4994, Price range: 0.0307 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9645
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9685
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9680
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9680
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9670
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9660
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9665
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9680
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9675
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9680
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9685
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9685
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9680
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9685
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9685
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9685
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9690
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9690
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9690
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9685
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9690
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9690
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9690
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 251.06, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.6822, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9720
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0280
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0275
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0295
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0295
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0285
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0295
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0290
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0295
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0305
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0290
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0290
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0305
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0300
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0290
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0300
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0295
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0290
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0300
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0290
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0295
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0300
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0300
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0280
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0285
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0280
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0285
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0290
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0285
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 293, Buy volume: 28200.36, Sell volume: 5366.93, Average price: 0.6862, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9700
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9700
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9700
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9705
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9710
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9725
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9715
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9725
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9735
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.9730
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9725
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9730
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.9735
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9730
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9735
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.9730
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9735
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.9730
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9725
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9715
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.9700
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.9695
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.9695
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9690
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9705
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.9690
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9695
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.9690
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.9705
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 102.81, Sell volume: 81.00, Average price: 0.1607, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0290
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0295
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0300
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0295
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0305
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0290
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0295
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0295
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0295
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0295
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0290
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0260
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0260
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0240
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0250
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0225
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0235
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0240
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0250
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0380
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0375
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0375
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0385
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1394.78, Sell volume: 118.64, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9630
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.9635
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9635
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.9645
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.9670
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9670
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9730
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.9725
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.9730
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9120
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.9250
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9315
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9315
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.9325
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.9285
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9290
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9295
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9310
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9315
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.9310
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9315
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9305
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9310
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.9315
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9310
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.9320
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9325
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9325
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.9310
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 3964.52, Sell volume: 558.67, Average price: 0.6334, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544102
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Volume: 33567.285125
Price History:
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0710
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0710
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0720
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0705
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0710
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0705
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0705
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0740
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0710
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0700
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0740
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0645
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0635
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0645
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0630
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0300
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0415
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0505
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0475
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0495
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0535
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0545
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0520
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0525
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0540
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0545
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0540
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0540
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0545
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 4674.56, Sell volume: 4288.19, Average price: 0.7293, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5100
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4900
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5650
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4350
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9300
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0700
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9350
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9350
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9650
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0350
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9675
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0325
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9660
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0340
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9660
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0340
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0230
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9770
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0230
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9770
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0235
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9765
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0235
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9765
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0190
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9810
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0190
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.9810
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0190
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9810
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9810
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0190
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9810
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0190
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0190
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9810
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9810
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0190
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9810
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0190
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0190
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9810
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0180
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 603.00, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.8385, Price range: 0.0190 - 0.9824

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9820
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0180
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0180
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9820
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0155
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9845
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0150
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9850
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9850
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0150
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0185
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9815
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9815
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9815
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0185
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0145
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0145
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0145
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0145
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0145
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0145
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0145
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 252.09, Sell volume: 217.00, Average price: 0.8559, Price range: 0.0154 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0145
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9860
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0140
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0140
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9860
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0140
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9860
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0140
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9860
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0145
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9855
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0145
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0145
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9855
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0145
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9855
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9860
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0140
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0115
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9885
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9885
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0115
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9885
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0115
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9885
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0115
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0115
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9885
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9885
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0115
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9925
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0075
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9925
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0075
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0075
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9925
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0075
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9925
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0075
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 153.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9915, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9915
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0085
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0085
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9925
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0075
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 118.00, Sell volume: 144.00, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9985

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0045
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9930
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0060
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9940
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9955
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9930
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0080
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0045
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9955
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0080
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 4608.66, Sell volume: 401.00, Average price: 0.8633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9945
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9930
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9930
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9955
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0055
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9955
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0055
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9920
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0080
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0050
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9950
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0065
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9955
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0065
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 109.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0065
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0070
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9930
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0085
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0085
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9915
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0055
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9945
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9930
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0070
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9945
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0055
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0070
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9930
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0060
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9940
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9915
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0085
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9945
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0055
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9920
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9945
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0055
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9925
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9925
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0095
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9920
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0085
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9915
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9920
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0055
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9945
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0080
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9920
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0075
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0090
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9910
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0090
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9910
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0065
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0085
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9915
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0055
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9945
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0085
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9915
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9945
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0055
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0080
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9920
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9950
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9950
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9950
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9950
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9935
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 4608.66, Sell volume: 401.00, Average price: 0.8633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9935
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0065
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9940
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9950
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9950
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0055
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9945
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0080
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9920
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0085
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9915
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.0070
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 4608.66, Sell volume: 401.00, Average price: 0.8633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0070
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0080
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9920
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0055
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9945
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0070
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0055
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9945
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0070
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9930
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0055
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9945
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9930
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9930
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0050
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0085
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9915
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0065
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 4608.66, Sell volume: 401.00, Average price: 0.8633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9945
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0080
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9920
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9945
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9920
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9930
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9930
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0070
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9920
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9940
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0070
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9930
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 4608.66, Sell volume: 401.00, Average price: 0.8633, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9935
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0065
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0060
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9940
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9930
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0070
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0070
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9930
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9950
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0070
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9930
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0060
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9940
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9945
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0055
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9955
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9945
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0055
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9940
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0060
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9950
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0050
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 269.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9987, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582278
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5009.657949
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9940
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0050
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9950
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0050
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9950
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0070
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9930
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2835.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8006, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 223, Buy volume: 31392.45, Sell volume: 4590.50, Average price: 0.5438, Price range: 0.0043 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 776.05, Sell volume: 250.00, Average price: 0.5144, Price range: 0.4959 - 0.5500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5150
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5150
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5150
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.4300
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 175.03, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.4733, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.5500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5300
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4700
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4400
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6100
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.3900
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 67.46, Sell volume: 100.50, Average price: 0.3085, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.4626

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8350
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.1650
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8350
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1650
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8650
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8650
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8400
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1600
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.1650
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4250
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 496.04, Sell volume: 143.29, Average price: 0.4671, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5450
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.6800
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.6800
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.3250
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.6750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.3300
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.6700
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.6500
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.3500
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.3500
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.3350
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.6650
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.3350
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.6650
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.3350
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.6650
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.2000
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.8000
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.2000
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.8000
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.3000
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.7000
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 489.30, Sell volume: 220.52, Average price: 0.4487, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.2400
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.7600
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.2200
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.2000
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.8000
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.2050
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.7950
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.2450
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7600
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.2700
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.2800
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.7200
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.7000
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.4050
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4150
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5850
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.5350
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 617.67, Sell volume: 251.46, Average price: 0.4747, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4000
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5400
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5550
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4450
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.6900
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.2550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 758.22, Sell volume: 598.84, Average price: 0.5485, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.2800
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4100
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1391.53, Sell volume: 213.97, Average price: 0.4993, Price range: 0.2922 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5900
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5900
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3900
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.3950
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.3700
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.2900
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.7100
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.7400
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3450
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6550
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3450
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6550
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.2200
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 1587.89, Sell volume: 911.03, Average price: 0.5502, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2500
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7500
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.6650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.3450
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6400
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4000
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5950
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1643.45, Sell volume: 1014.54, Average price: 0.4617, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 223, Buy volume: 31392.45, Sell volume: 4590.50, Average price: 0.5438, Price range: 0.0043 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.5100 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 776.05, Sell volume: 250.00, Average price: 0.5144, Price range: 0.4959 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.4300
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.4050
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 175.03, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.4733, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4700
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4400
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.3900
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.3350
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 67.46, Sell volume: 100.50, Average price: 0.3085, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.4626
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8350
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8350
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1350
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8650
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8400
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 496.04, Sell volume: 143.29, Average price: 0.4671, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.6800
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.6800
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.6750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.6700
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.3500
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.6500
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.6650
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.6650
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.6650
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.8000
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.8000
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.7000
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.7000
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.7000
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.7000
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 489.30, Sell volume: 220.52, Average price: 0.4487, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.2400
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.2000
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.2050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.2450
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2400
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.2700
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.2800
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.4050
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4150
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 617.67, Sell volume: 251.46, Average price: 0.4747, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5950
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.6000
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.2600
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4600
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4450
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.2650
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.2550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.1950
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.1850
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.2150
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.7700
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 758.22, Sell volume: 598.84, Average price: 0.5485, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5900
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4700
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1391.53, Sell volume: 213.97, Average price: 0.4993, Price range: 0.2922 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4100
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5900
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6100
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.6050
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.6000
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4300
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.6300
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.7100
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.7400
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6550
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6550
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.7800
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.7550
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.7050
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.7650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 1587.89, Sell volume: 911.03, Average price: 0.5502, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657150
Question: Will Google reach $300 in November?
Volume: 35982.951991
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2500
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.3450
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4050
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.4900
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.5300
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1643.45, Sell volume: 1014.54, Average price: 0.4617, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.4650
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.4800
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.4900
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.4700
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.1950
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.1700
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.1700
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.1750
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.1700
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.1650
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.1450
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.1450
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.1450
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.1500
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0450
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.1350
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.1200
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.1200
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.0950
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.0950
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.1150
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0500
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0500
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9333, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544103
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 28594.209368
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.9490
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.9490
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9490
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.9540
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.9440
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.9590
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.9490
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.9490
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.9490
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.9490
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.9540
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9525
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.9490
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.9465
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.9455
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.9450
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.9700
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.9655
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.9700
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9800
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.9735
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.9800
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.9735
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9735
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.9780
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.9730
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.9800
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.9810
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.9795
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9735
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.9800
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9735
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9780
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.9780
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.9820
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.9765
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.9755
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9780
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9800
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9745
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9775
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.9780
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.9780
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.9775
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9805
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9790
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9770
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9800
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.9475
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.9460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 54.51, Sell volume: 2.50, Average price: 0.7475, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9980

Output: Yes