Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.6500
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.2550
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.7450
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.2600
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.7400
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.2300
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.7700
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.2300
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.2250
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.7750
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.2250
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.7750
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.2250
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.7750
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.3450
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.6550
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.3450
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.6550
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.3450
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.6550
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.3650
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.6350
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.3650
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.6350
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.3200
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.6800
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.3300
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.6700
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.3100
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.6900
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.3100
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.6900
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.3050
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.6950
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.3100
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.6900
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.3100
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.6900
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.3850
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.6150
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.3850
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.6150
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.4050
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.5950
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.5450
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.5300
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.5300
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.5300
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.5300
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.5250
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.4750
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.5300
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.5350
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.4650
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.5500
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.4500
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.5450
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.5500
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.4500
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.5500
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.4500
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.5450
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.4550
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.5500
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.4500
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.5500
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.4500
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.5550
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.4450
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.5550
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.5600
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.4400
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.5500
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.4500
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.5650
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.4350
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.6000
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.4000
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.6000
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.4000
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.6050
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.3950
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.6050
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.3950
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.6050
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.3950
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.6150
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.3850
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.6650
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.3350
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.6300
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.3700
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.6650
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.3350
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.6750
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.3250
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.6550
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.3450
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.6550
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.3450
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.6550
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.3450
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.6550
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.3450
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.6550
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.3450
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.6550
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.3450
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.6600
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.3400
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.6650
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.3350
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.6800
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.3200
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.6550
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.3450
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.6400
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.3600
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.6450
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.3550
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.6300
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.3700
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.6350
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.3650
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.6350
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.3650
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.6450
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.3550
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.6600
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.3400
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.6650
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.3350
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.6650
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.3350
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.6650
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.3350
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.6600
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.3400
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.6650
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.3350
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.6750
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.3250
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.6750
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.3250
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.6600
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.3400
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.6850
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.3150
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.6800
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.3200
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.6800
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.3200
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.6750
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.3250
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.6950
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.3050
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.7000
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.3000
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.7050
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.2950
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.7550
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.7600
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.2400
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.7700
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.2300
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.7700
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.2300
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.7350
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.2650
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.7400
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.2600
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.7350
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.2650
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.6950
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.3050
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.6550
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.3450
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.5150
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.4850
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.5750
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.4250
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.4050
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.5950
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.9875
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0125
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.9900
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0095
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.9920
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0080
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.0095
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9910
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.9920
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.9925
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0075
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9925
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.0075
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9925
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0075
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.9925
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.9955
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.9955
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.9955
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.9955
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9900
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0090
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0090
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0090
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0090
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0090
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0090
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0090
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.9955
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0040
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.2550
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.2600
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.2300
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.2300
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.2250
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.2250
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.2250
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.3450
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.3450
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.3450
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.3650
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.3650
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.3200
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.3300
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.3100
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.3100
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.3050
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.3100
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.3100
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.3850
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.3850
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.4050
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.4850
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.4850
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.5200
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.5250
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.4750
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.4700
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.4650
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.4500
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.4550
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.4500
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.4500
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.4550
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.4500
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.4500
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.4450
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.4450
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.4400
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.4500
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.4350
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.4000
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.4000
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.3950
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.3950
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.3950
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.3950
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.3950
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.3950
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.3950
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.6150
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.6650
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.6300
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.6650
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.6750
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.6550
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.6550
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.6550
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.6550
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.6550
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.6550
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.6600
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.6650
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.6800
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.6550
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.6400
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.6450
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.6300
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.6350
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.6350
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.6450
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.6600
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.6650
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.6650
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.6650
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.6700
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.6650
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.6450
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.6600
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.3350
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.3400
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.3350
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.3250
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.3250
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.3400
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.3150
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.3200
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.3200
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.3250
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.3050
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.3000
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.2950
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.2450
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.2400
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.2300
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.2300
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.2650
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.2600
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.2650
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.3050
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.3450
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.4850
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.4250
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.5950
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.6400
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.7300
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.7150
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.9875
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.9900
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.9920
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9910
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.9920
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.9925
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9925
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9925
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.9925
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.9915
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.9925
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.9900
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9900
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531398
Question: Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?
Volume: 492451.126567
Price History:
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.4750
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.4750
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.5650
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.5650
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.4350
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.4350
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.5250
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.5250
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.5250
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.5250
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.5650
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.5650
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.5650
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.5650
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.5650
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.5650
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.5650
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.5650
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.4350
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.5850
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.5850
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.5850
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.5850
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.6050
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.6050
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.3950
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.6050
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.3950
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.3950
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.7750
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.3950
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.3700
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.3750
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.2300
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.6300
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.3700
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.3150
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.2200
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.7800
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.2400
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.2900
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.1350
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.1350
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.2300
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.2450
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.2350
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.2450
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.2600
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.3550
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.6350
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.3000
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.3100
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.7250
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.7250
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.6650
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.3400
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.3800
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.3700
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.6350
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.3650
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.3500
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.3600
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.3750
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.3600
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.6450
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.3450
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.3450
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.6400
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.6700
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.6800
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.6850
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.5750
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.6250
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.6600
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.6750
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.2800
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.7300
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.7050
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.6950
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.6950
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.7350
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.2650
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.2450
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.7200
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.2800
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.6850
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.3200
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.6800
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.6800
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.6750
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.7200
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.2800
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.3200
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.7300
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.2750
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.2650
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.2700
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.6950
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.3200
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.3750
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.6600
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.6550
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.6550
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.6550
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.3550
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.6500
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.6500
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.6500
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.3750
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.6100
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.3950
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.5800
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.5800
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.4200
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.4650
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.4700
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.4200
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.5200
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.4050
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.5700
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.6150
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.6150
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.3650
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.5850
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.6050
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.6250
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.6050
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.5500
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.5050
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.5500
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.3450
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.1850
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.6550
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.3700
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.3650
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2350
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2350
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7600
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.1850
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.8150
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.8350
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9050
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.8250
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.8450
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.7350
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7750
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.2250
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.7850
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7700
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7700
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.8000
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.2000
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2100
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2100
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.1200
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.1350
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.2000
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2100
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.2100
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1150
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1150
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.1250
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2300
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2300
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.5200
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.2250
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.1900
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.1600
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.1650
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.8350
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.8300
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.5900
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.6400
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.3300
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.7200
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.3250
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.3150
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.3150
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.6600
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.2900
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.2500
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2500
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.2300
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.7700
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.2600
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.3500
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.3400
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.7050
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.2900
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.7200
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.7400
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.7550
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.7400
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.2600
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.7800
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.6000
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.6400
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.6500
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.3250
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.3350
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.6750
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.4500
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.3100
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.6650
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.3750
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.3650
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.4000
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.3950
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.6550
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.2900
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.6550
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.6250
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.4250
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.4700
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4800
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.5150
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.5650
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.6100
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.3600
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.3950
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.5900
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.6250
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.3500
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.6000
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.2550
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.4150
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.4250
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.6150
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.6650
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.6850
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.3350
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.6250
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.7250
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.2450
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.2500
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.2300
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.7450
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.7450
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.7650
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.7850
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.2150
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.8450
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.8100
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.8400
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.1700
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.8350
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.1600
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.8500
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.1600
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.8300
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.1800
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.8150
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.7850
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.1400
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.8500
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8750
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9685
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9515
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0515
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9690
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0280
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9680
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9725
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9640
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9675
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0305
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0240
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9735
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9715
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9740
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0325
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9725
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.9730
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0270
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9680
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9675
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0265
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9735
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0355
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0340
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0265
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0305
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0270
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0325
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0375
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9735
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9725
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9735
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9685
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9710
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9720
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0270
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9725
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9665
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9665
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0315
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0315
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0340
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0340
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9705
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0330
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9670
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0295
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.0285
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9730
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9725
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0275
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0285
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9715
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9725
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0255
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9735
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9735
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9725
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9715
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9685
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9695
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9710
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9730
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9770
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0205
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9830
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9815
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0180
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9845
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9880
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9925
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9925
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9920
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0080
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9910
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0045
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0055
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9950
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9810
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9925
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9955
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9955
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9830
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9950
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9955
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9955
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9940
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9950
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9920
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9925
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9925
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9910
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9910
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999208, Buy volume: 248623878.35, Sell volume: 148922871.42, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0100
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0095
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0105
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0155
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0155
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 777, Buy volume: 529814.48, Sell volume: 259624.58, Average price: 0.6559, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.4750
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.5250
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.4350
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.4350
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.5650
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.5250
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.4750
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.5650
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.4350
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.4350
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.4350
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.4350
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.4150
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.5850
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.3950
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.3950
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.3950
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.2250
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6050
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.6250
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.2300
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.6700
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.6750
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.3250
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.6800
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.7800
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.7750
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.7800
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.1350
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.7700
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.2350
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.7550
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.7400
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.6550
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.3000
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.2700
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.7250
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.3350
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.3350
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.4150
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.3650
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.3600
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.6400
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.3550
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.6550
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.6400
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.3200
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.4800
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.3750
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.6750
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.6850
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.6850
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.7300
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.6750
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.7050
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.2650
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.7700
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.7300
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.3200
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.6800
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.3350
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.2800
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.6800
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.7300
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.7250
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.3250
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.3200
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.6550
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.6550
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.3450
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.3550
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.6500
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.6500
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.6250
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.3950
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.5800
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.4400
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.5300
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.5200
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.5850
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.3850
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.3850
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.3900
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.3950
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.4500
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.5500
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.3450
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.3550
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.6700
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.3700
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.6550
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.2500
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2350
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2350
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2400
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7500
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.1850
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.8900
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.8250
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.1550
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.7650
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2250
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.7850
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7700
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.8000
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.2000
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2100
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.1200
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.7900
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.8300
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8850
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2300
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7750
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7550
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.6800
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.1600
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.8350
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.1550
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.6550
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.6700
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.6750
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.2900
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.7500
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.7500
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.7700
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.3700
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.3400
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.3150
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.7200
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.2450
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.7400
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.2200
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.6400
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.6750
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.3250
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.6450
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.6650
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.5700
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.3450
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.6800
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.4000
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.4250
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.5200
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.4400
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.4800
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.3600
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.6050
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.3450
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.4000
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.4000
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.4050
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.6750
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.6650
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.6850
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.6550
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.2550
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.7050
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.7700
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.7450
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.2450
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.7850
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.7850
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.7800
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.8100
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.8400
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.1500
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.8500
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0315
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9555
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0295
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9680
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0360
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9680
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0255
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9715
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9675
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9720
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9725
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9675
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0265
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9660
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9695
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0270
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9625
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9725
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0265
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9710
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9730
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0330
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0310
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0315
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9660
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0295
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0285
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9715
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0285
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0275
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9715
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9725
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0265
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9735
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0285
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9695
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0290
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0205
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0170
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0180
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0140
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9920
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9925
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9910
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9955
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0040
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 249155808.46, Sell volume: 149185229.08, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9810
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0040
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9950
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0045
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0080
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9920
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0080
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9910
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999208, Buy volume: 248623878.35, Sell volume: 148922871.42, Average price: 0.5696, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587981
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Volume: 11023838.946488
Price History:
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0100
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0155
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9845
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 777, Buy volume: 529814.48, Sell volume: 259624.58, Average price: 0.6559, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.7250
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.2750
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.7250
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3396.08, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.7500
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.2500
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3396.08, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.7550
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.2450
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.2450
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.2450
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.2450
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.7550
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.2450
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3396.08, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.7700
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.2300
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3396.08, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.8400
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.1600
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.4550
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3396.08, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.6300
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.3700
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.6350
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.3650
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.6400
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.3600
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3396.08, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.6400
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.3600
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3396.08, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9300
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3396.08, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9300
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 33.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 18.75, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5064, Price range: 0.0727 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.05, Sell volume: 13.74, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9700
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0300
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9540
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.0075, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.0075

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9535
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0465
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9890
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0110
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 451.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6690, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.7250
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.2750
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.7250
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3396.08, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.2400
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.7500
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.2500
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.2450
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3396.08, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.7550
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.2450
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.2450
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.2450
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.2450
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.7550
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.2450
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3396.08, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.7700
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.2300
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.2350
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3396.08, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.8400
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.1600
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.4550
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3396.08, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.6300
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.3700
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.6350
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.3650
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.6400
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.3600
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3396.08, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.6400
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.3600
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3396.08, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0950
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9300
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3396.08, Sell volume: 24.74, Average price: 0.4650, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9300
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 33.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 18.75, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5064, Price range: 0.0727 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.05, Sell volume: 13.74, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9650
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0350
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9700
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0300
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9540
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.0075, Price range: 0.0075 - 0.0075
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702042
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $190 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 3420.821482
Price History:
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9535
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0465
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9890
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0110
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9925
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 451.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6690, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3441.37, Sell volume: 455.10, Average price: 0.7130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.4850
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9735
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3441.37, Sell volume: 455.10, Average price: 0.7130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9815
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0185
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9805
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0195
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9800
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0200
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9810
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0190
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9785
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0215
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3441.37, Sell volume: 455.10, Average price: 0.7130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0205
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0205
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9795
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0205
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9820
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0180
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9815
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0185
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9830
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0170
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9825
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9895, Price range: 0.9895 - 0.9895

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9835
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0170
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9825
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0175
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9825
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0175
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9830
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3441.37, Sell volume: 455.10, Average price: 0.7130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9835
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0165
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9830
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0170
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9840
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0160
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9780
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0220
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9775
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0225
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9770
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0230
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9770
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3441.37, Sell volume: 455.10, Average price: 0.7130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9770
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0230
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0220
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9775
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0225
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9780
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0220
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9770
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0230
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9795
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0205
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 803.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9963, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 652.92, Sell volume: 343.99, Average price: 0.5994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3441.37, Sell volume: 455.10, Average price: 0.7130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9910
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0090
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9910
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 139.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5020, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3441.37, Sell volume: 455.10, Average price: 0.7130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3441.37, Sell volume: 455.10, Average price: 0.7130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 33.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3441.37, Sell volume: 455.10, Average price: 0.7130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.4850
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.4800
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4800
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.4800
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9735
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3441.37, Sell volume: 455.10, Average price: 0.7130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9815
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0185
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9805
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0195
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9800
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0200
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9810
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0190
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0210
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9785
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0215
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3441.37, Sell volume: 455.10, Average price: 0.7130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0205
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9795
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0205
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9795
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0205
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9820
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0180
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9815
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0185
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9830
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0170
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9825
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9895, Price range: 0.9895 - 0.9895
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702044
Question: Will NVIDIA reach $210 in Nov 25-28?-blhX
Volume: 3896.466127
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9835
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0170
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9825
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0175
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9825
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0175
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9830
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3441.37, Sell volume: 455.10, Average price: 0.7130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes