Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524997
Question: Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1838082.967574
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0740
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9215
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0730
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9210
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0770
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9085
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0895
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9065
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0830
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9315
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0700
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9375
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0560
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9325
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0695
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9325
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0775
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9270
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0740
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9275
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0675
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9210
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0695
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9380
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0620
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9315
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0820
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9180
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0870
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9180
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.1030
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.8925
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0985
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9170
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0925
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.8975
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.1470
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.8605
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.1330
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.8675
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.8615
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.1360
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.8680
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.1215
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.8765
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.1235
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.8660
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1260
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.8565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91138432.36, Sell volume: 63975828.97, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524997
Question: Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1838082.967574
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1205
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.8725
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.1215
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.8845
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.1155
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.8785
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.1155
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.8860
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1145
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.8795
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1720
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.8330
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1670
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.8355
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.1655
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8395
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1610
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8425
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.1580
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.8325
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.1515
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.8565
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.1490
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.8605
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2005
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.8080
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1755
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.8405
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1810
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.8125
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.1525
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.8225
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1680
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.8320
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.1610
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.8350
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1525
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.8655
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1580
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.8455
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1665
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8420
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.1455
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.8485
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.1505
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.8510
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.1440
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.8515
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.1345
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.8565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91138432.36, Sell volume: 63975828.97, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524997
Question: Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1838082.967574
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1305
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.8655
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.1285
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.8730
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.1290
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.8785
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.1325
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.8700
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.1185
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.8710
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.1360
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.8855
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.1155
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.8960
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.1060
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.8905
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.1035
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.8975
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1030
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9225
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0790
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9220
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0795
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9235
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0885
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9135
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0805
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9210
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0775
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9230
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0725
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9210
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0725
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9290
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0640
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9360
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0580
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9330
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0575
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9490
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0505
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9515
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0565
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9255
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0685
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9280
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0700
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9360
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0510
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999997, Buy volume: 91138432.36, Sell volume: 63946359.65, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524997
Question: Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Volume: 1838082.967574
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0850
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.9300
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0700
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.9300
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0700
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9350
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.9250
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0600
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9400
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0600
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9400
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0600
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9350
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9350
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0550
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9450
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0600
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91138432.36, Sell volume: 63975828.97, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524997
Question: Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Volume: 1838082.967574
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0600
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9500
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0450
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9600
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9550
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0450
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9700
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0345
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9655
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0305
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9740
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0265
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9790
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0230
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9800
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0225
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9785
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0200
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9800
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0195
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9810
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0170
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9870
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0125
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9865
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0130
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91138432.36, Sell volume: 63975828.97, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524997
Question: Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Volume: 1838082.967574
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0130
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9875
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0130
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9865
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0130
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9875
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0125
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9870
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0130
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9870
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0180
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9825
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0205
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9795
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0205
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9835
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0160
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.9825
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0175
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9835
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0145
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9865
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0145
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9840
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.0170
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9830
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0165
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9855
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0145
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91138432.36, Sell volume: 63975828.97, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524997
Question: Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Volume: 1838082.967574
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0145
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9860
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.0130
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9865
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0160
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9845
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0145
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.9860
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.0145
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9835
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0155
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9850
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.0175
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.9830
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0170
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9850
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.0145
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.9855
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0125
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.9875
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0120
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.9870
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0130
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9880
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.0125
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9880
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0120
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9885
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0120
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91138432.36, Sell volume: 63975828.97, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524997
Question: Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Volume: 1838082.967574
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0120
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.9840
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.0160
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9845
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0170
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9820
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.0155
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.9830
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.0160
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9825
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0160
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9830
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0215
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9785
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0215
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9785
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0215
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9785
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0215
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.9820
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0175
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9825
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0180
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9835
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0150
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9825
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0180
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9825
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0170
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91138432.36, Sell volume: 63975828.97, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524997
Question: Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Volume: 1838082.967574
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0175
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.9845
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0170
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.9820
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0165
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9820
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0150
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9830
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0165
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9860
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0165
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9845
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0145
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.9835
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0150
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9840
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0170
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.9845
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0145
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.9850
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0145
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.9860
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0145
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9865
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0140
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9850
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0145
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.9860
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0140
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91138432.36, Sell volume: 63975828.97, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524997
Question: Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Volume: 1838082.967574
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0140
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9855
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0155
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9840
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.0145
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9850
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0150
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9850
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0150
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9850
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0155
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.9845
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0155
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9840
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0165
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9825
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0175
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9835
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0150
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9840
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0155
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.9845
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0180
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9820
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0180
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9820
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0180
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9820
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0185
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91138432.36, Sell volume: 63975828.97, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524997
Question: Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Volume: 1838082.967574
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0185
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.9815
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.0185
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9815
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0185
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9780
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0220
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9765
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0230
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9775
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0215
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9790
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0225
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9775
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0215
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9785
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0215
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.9775
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0225
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9765
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0250
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9800
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0225
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9775
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0230
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9790
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0215
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9785
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0235
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91138432.36, Sell volume: 63975828.97, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524997
Question: Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Volume: 1838082.967574
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0235
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9770
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0215
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9790
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0235
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9755
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0230
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9775
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0245
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9765
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0235
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9750
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9750
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0195
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9765
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0200
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9770
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0245
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9755
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0220
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.9785
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0230
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9805
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0235
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9805
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0235
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9795
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0235
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91138432.36, Sell volume: 63975828.97, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524997
Question: Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Volume: 1838082.967574
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9785
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0210
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9775
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0225
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9765
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0225
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9775
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0205
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9775
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0205
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9785
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0225
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9780
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0220
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9770
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0210
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9790
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9775
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0225
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9775
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9770
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0220
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9800
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0225
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9455
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0645
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91138432.36, Sell volume: 63975828.97, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524997
Question: Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Volume: 1838082.967574
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0740
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9270
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.8875
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0875
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9315
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0625
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9290
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0655
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9225
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0740
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9305
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0695
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9430
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0730
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9180
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0820
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0915
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9075
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.1470
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.8770
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.1280
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.8570
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.1255
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.8765
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.1340
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.8675
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.8770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91138432.36, Sell volume: 63975828.97, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524997
Question: Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Volume: 1838082.967574
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1205
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.8770
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.1135
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.8845
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.1130
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.8795
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.1670
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8370
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1585
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8390
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.1580
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.8470
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1365
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.8170
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.1790
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.8405
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1875
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.8265
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.1680
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.8390
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1525
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8465
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1600
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.8450
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.1525
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.8510
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1485
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.8560
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.1355
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.8625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 91138432.36, Sell volume: 63975828.97, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524997
Question: Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?
Volume: 1838082.967574
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1305
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.8690
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.1250
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.8635
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.1240
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.8710
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.1145
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.8910
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1045
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.8965
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1030
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9225
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0805
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9020
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0915
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9210
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0770
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9280
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0715
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9360
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0580
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9470
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0490
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9520
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0660
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9280
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0640
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9365
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0415
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999997, Buy volume: 91138432.36, Sell volume: 63946359.65, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.4950
2024-12-10 18:00: 0.2050
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.7750
2024-12-11 05:00: 0.2250
2024-12-11 11:00: 0.7750
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.2250
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.7800
2024-12-12 03:00: 0.2150
2024-12-12 09:00: 0.7850
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.2100
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.8050
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.1950
2024-12-13 07:00: 0.8050
2024-12-13 12:00: 0.1950
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.8050
2024-12-13 23:00: 0.1950
2024-12-14 05:00: 0.7000
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.2950
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.7050
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.3050
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.7150
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.2950
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.7100
2024-12-15 19:00: 0.2900
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.7150
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.2250
2024-12-16 12:00: 0.6950
2024-12-16 17:00: 0.3000
2024-12-16 23:00: 0.7000
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.2950
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.7250
2024-12-17 15:00: 0.2700
2024-12-17 21:00: 0.7300
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.2700
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.7250
2024-12-18 13:00: 0.2750
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.7250
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.2750
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.6250
2024-12-19 11:00: 0.3700
2024-12-19 17:00: 0.6500
2024-12-19 22:00: 0.3600
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.6450
2024-12-20 09:00: 0.3600
2024-12-20 15:00: 0.6650
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.3400
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.6600
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.3400
2024-12-21 13:00: 0.6350
2024-12-21 18:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 6110838.09, Sell volume: 9906892.81, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.3350
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.6700
2024-12-23 06:00: 0.3350
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.6650
2024-12-23 17:00: 0.3300
2024-12-23 23:00: 0.6700
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.3350
2024-12-24 10:00: 0.6750
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.3300
2024-12-24 21:00: 0.6700
2024-12-25 02:00: 0.2950
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.7250
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.2950
2024-12-25 19:00: 0.7550
2024-12-26 00:00: 0.2150
2024-12-26 06:00: 0.7000
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.2950
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.7150
2024-12-26 22:00: 0.2650
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.7350
2024-12-27 09:00: 0.2850
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.7250
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.2550
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.7500
2024-12-28 07:00: 0.2450
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.7550
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.2300
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.7700
2024-12-29 05:00: 0.2150
2024-12-29 11:00: 0.7650
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.2350
2024-12-29 22:00: 0.7650
2024-12-30 03:00: 0.2650
2024-12-30 09:00: 0.7350
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.2700
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.7400
2024-12-31 01:00: 0.2400
2024-12-31 07:00: 0.7650
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.2350
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.7550
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.2450
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.7500
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.2650
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.7300
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.2500
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.8000
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.2050
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.7850
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.2000
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 6110838.09, Sell volume: 9906892.81, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.7450
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.2450
2025-01-04 13:00: 0.7500
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.2600
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.7750
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.2250
2025-01-05 11:00: 0.7750
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.2250
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.7400
2025-01-06 03:00: 0.2600
2025-01-06 09:00: 0.7450
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.2550
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.7300
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.2700
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.6600
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.3450
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.6800
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.3450
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.6350
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.4000
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.7650
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.2400
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.8050
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.2650
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.7500
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.2600
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.7450
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.2650
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.7500
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.2550
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.6700
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.3250
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.6800
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.3050
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.6950
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.3150
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.7350
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.3000
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.7550
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.2600
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.7500
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.2750
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.6600
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.3450
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.7750
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.2700
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.7250
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.2400
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.6600
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 6110838.09, Sell volume: 9906892.81, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.5750
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.4250
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.5300
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.4700
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.4700
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.4400
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.5900
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.4850
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.3800
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.5800
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.4350
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.5750
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.5600
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.4550
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.5450
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.4550
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.5450
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.4500
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.5500
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.4300
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.5700
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.4200
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.6300
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.3650
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.6350
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.4050
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.5950
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.4050
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.5950
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.4050
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.6350
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.6300
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.3700
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.6300
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.3650
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.5850
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.3700
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.6400
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.3600
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.6400
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.3450
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.6500
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.3800
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 6110838.09, Sell volume: 9906892.81, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.6400
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.4100
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.5800
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.4200
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.5950
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.4050
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.5950
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.4050
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.6050
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.3600
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.6350
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.6950
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.3050
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.6250
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.3750
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.6500
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.3450
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.6700
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.3300
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.6650
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.3400
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.6550
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.4300
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.5600
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.4350
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.5700
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.4250
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.5800
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.4200
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.5200
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.4300
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.5750
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.4150
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.5750
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.4250
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.5700
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.4300
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.5650
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.4650
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.5500
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.4500
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.5400
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.4800
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.5150
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.4800
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.5300
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 6110838.09, Sell volume: 9906892.81, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.3600
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.5700
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.4100
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.5750
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.4150
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.5750
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.4100
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.6300
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.3700
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.6150
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.3850
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.5750
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.3850
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.5900
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.4100
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.5850
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.4150
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.5800
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.4750
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.5850
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.3950
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.5500
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.4800
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.5200
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.3850
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.5800
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.3750
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.6400
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.4050
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.5950
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.3350
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.6550
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.3900
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.6750
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.3900
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.6100
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.3850
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.5900
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.4150
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.5850
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.5150
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.4850
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.5050
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.5100
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.5200
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.5050
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.5250
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.4600
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.5400
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999051, Buy volume: 6074088.16, Sell volume: 9880999.41, Average price: 0.5235, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.4550
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.5400
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.4500
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.4500
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.5500
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.5700
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.3800
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.6050
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.3700
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.6400
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.3600
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.6500
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.3400
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.6450
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.3550
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.6600
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.3550
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.6900
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.3550
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.6500
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.3500
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.6450
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.3500
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.6500
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.3450
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.6500
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.3800
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.6200
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.3800
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.6200
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.6250
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.3750
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.6300
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.3700
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.6300
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 423, Buy volume: 10711.49, Sell volume: 3105.58, Average price: 0.5154, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.7260

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.3800
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.6200
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.3950
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.6100
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.3900
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.6100
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.3900
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.6150
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.3850
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.6100
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.3900
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.6100
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.3900
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.6100
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.1100
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.8950
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.1050
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.9050
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0850
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.9150
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0850
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.9150
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0750
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.9550
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.9450
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0550
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.9150
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.0800
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.9150
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.0850
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.9200
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0800
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9150
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0800
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.9100
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.0650
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.9500
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.0700
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.9450
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.0600
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.9500
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0500
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.9500
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0500
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.9500
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.9500
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0450
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 4208.68, Sell volume: 3311.21, Average price: 0.7535, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.9400
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.0600
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.9450
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9400
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0550
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.9350
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.9450
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0550
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.9450
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0550
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9350
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.0600
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9400
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.0600
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.9400
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0600
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.9400
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0600
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9450
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.0550
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9450
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0550
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.9450
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0550
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.9450
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.0550
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.9450
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.0550
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.9400
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0600
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.9450
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.0550
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9450
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.9450
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.9450
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.9450
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0550
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.9450
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.0550
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.9450
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.0550
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.9450
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.0550
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.9450
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 204, Buy volume: 270.20, Sell volume: 6796.82, Average price: 0.5414, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0550
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.9450
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.0600
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9400
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9400
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.9400
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.9550
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0305
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9610
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0375
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9640
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.0355
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.9620
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0330
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.9615
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.0340
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.9635
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0360
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.9680
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.0325
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9735
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0285
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.9725
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.0265
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.9725
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.0410
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9585
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0385
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.9550
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0380
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9570
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.0425
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.9595
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0370
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9630
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.0385
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.9595
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0360
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.9690
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.0250
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.9710
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0280
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.9710
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0260
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9735
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0275
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3115.15, Sell volume: 999.00, Average price: 0.8326, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9806

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9725
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0270
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.9745
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9740
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9780
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0235
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.9765
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0235
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9770
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0295
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9700
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0310
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9690
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0300
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9690
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9705
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0295
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9700
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0305
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9700
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0305
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9695
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0295
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9700
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0295
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9700
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0310
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9690
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0310
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.9690
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0300
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9690
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0305
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9690
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0315
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9690
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0310
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9685
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0315
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9685
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0315
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9685
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0330
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9525
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0475
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9565
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 452.32, Sell volume: 95.20, Average price: 0.7828, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9720

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0445
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9550
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9610
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0390
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9555
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0445
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9555
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9550
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0335
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9655
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0375
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9730
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0305
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9710
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0255
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9750
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0220
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9765
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9770
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0175
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9795
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0190
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9810
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0185
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0135
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9835
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0135
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9865
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0160
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9845
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9860
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9865
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0135
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9860
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9865
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9960
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 8029.15, Sell volume: 655.15, Average price: 0.8389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9940
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0060
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9940
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9945
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9940
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9935
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0065
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.9935
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0065
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.9955
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.9955
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.9955
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.9955
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.9955
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.9955
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.9955
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.9955
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.9955
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.9955
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.9955
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.9955
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.9950
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.9955
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0085
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.9920
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9930
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.0055
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.9915
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0080
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.9920
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0055
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9945
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 146, Buy volume: 9790.94, Sell volume: 10922.44, Average price: 0.7028, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.4950
2024-12-10 22:00: 0.2300
2024-12-11 08:00: 0.7650
2024-12-11 17:00: 0.2250
2024-12-12 03:00: 0.7850
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.2100
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.8050
2024-12-13 07:00: 0.1950
2024-12-13 17:00: 0.8000
2024-12-14 02:00: 0.2550
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.6950
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.3050
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.7050
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.2950
2024-12-16 02:00: 0.7150
2024-12-16 11:00: 0.3050
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.7000
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.2700
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.7300
2024-12-18 01:00: 0.2700
2024-12-18 11:00: 0.7250
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.2750
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.6250
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.3600
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.6400
2024-12-20 10:00: 0.3600
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.6600
2024-12-21 05:00: 0.3400
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.6400
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 6110838.09, Sell volume: 9906892.81, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.3350
2024-12-23 05:00: 0.6650
2024-12-23 14:00: 0.3350
2024-12-24 00:00: 0.6650
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.3250
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.6700
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.2950
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.7050
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.2450
2024-12-26 09:00: 0.7100
2024-12-26 18:00: 0.2850
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.7350
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.2750
2024-12-27 23:00: 0.7500
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.2450
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.7700
2024-12-29 03:00: 0.2250
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.7650
2024-12-29 22:00: 0.2350
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.7350
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.2700
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.7650
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.2350
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.7550
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.2300
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.7300
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.2500
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.7950
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.2150
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 6110838.09, Sell volume: 9906892.81, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.7450
2025-01-04 11:00: 0.2450
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.7500
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.2250
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.7750
2025-01-06 01:00: 0.2600
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.7450
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.2700
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.7000
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.3500
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.6250
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.4000
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.7700
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.2550
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.7650
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.2550
2025-01-10 10:00: 0.7500
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.2700
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.7400
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.3050
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.6950
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.2650
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.7550
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.2600
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.7250
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.3400
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.7300
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.2750
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.6550
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 6110838.09, Sell volume: 9906892.81, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.5750
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.4350
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.4700
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.5400
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.3800
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.4650
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.6200
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.4350
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.5700
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.4650
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.5450
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.4650
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.5500
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.4300
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.3650
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.6350
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.4050
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.5950
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.4050
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.6300
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.3700
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.6350
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.3750
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.6350
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.3600
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.6600
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.3800
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 6110838.09, Sell volume: 9906892.81, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.6400
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.4350
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.5950
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.4050
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.5950
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.3950
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.6350
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.3050
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.6250
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.3450
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.6200
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.3350
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.5650
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.4400
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.5700
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.4300
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.5800
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.5350
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.5750
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.4250
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.5700
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.4100
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.5400
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.4450
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.5200
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.4850
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.5250
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 6110838.09, Sell volume: 9906892.81, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.3600
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.5750
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.4200
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.5800
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.3650
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.6400
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.3800
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.5900
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.4100
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.5850
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.4200
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.5850
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.4300
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.5200
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.3500
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.6250
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.3800
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.6650
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.3450
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.6750
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.3950
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.6150
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.4150
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.5050
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.4900
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.5100
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.5200
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.4800
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.5350
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999051, Buy volume: 6074088.16, Sell volume: 9880999.41, Average price: 0.5235, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.4550
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.5500
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.5500
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.4500
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.5500
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.4500
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.5500
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.4500
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.3800
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.6400
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.3600
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.6550
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.3550
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.6600
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.3300
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.6450
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.3500
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.6500
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.3500
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.6500
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.3800
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.6200
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.6250
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.3700
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.6300
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 423, Buy volume: 10711.49, Sell volume: 3105.58, Average price: 0.5154, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.7260
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.3800
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.6100
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.3850
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.6100
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.3850
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.6200
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.3900
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.6150
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.1800
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.8950
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0950
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.9150
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.0850
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.9550
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.9450
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0800
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.9150
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0800
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.9150
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.0800
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.9500
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.0700
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.9450
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.0500
2025-03-16 09:00: 0.9500
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.9500
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.0550
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 4208.68, Sell volume: 3311.21, Average price: 0.7535, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.9400
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0550
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.9400
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0600
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.9350
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0650
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9450
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9400
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.0600
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9400
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0600
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.9450
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.0550
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.9450
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.0550
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9450
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0550
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9400
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0550
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.9450
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.9450
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.0550
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.9450
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0550
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9450
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.0550
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9450
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 204, Buy volume: 270.20, Sell volume: 6796.82, Average price: 0.5414, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0550
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.9400
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.9400
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0305
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9605
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.0345
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.9620
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0385
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.9635
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0315
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.9685
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.0280
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.9735
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0445
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9620
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9595
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0385
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.9605
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.0385
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9580
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0325
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.9720
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0290
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9740
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0290
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3115.15, Sell volume: 999.00, Average price: 0.8326, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9806
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9725
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0230
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.9770
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0250
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9765
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0245
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.9710
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9700
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0310
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.9690
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9695
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0310
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9695
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0305
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9695
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0310
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9690
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0315
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9690
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0310
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9690
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0310
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9685
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9670
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0475
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9580
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 452.32, Sell volume: 95.20, Average price: 0.7828, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9720
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0445
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9550
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0390
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9555
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0440
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9550
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9645
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0290
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9705
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0245
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9750
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0215
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9745
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0260
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9810
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0225
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0165
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9865
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0150
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9860
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9865
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9870
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 8029.15, Sell volume: 655.15, Average price: 0.8389, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 514953
Question: Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election?
Volume: 173956.411136
Price History:
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9940
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0060
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9945
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0055
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9935
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0065
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.9935
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.9955
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.9955
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.9950
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.9955
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.9955
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.9950
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.9960
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.9955
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0085
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.9945
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0080
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.9920
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.0065
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.9930
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 146, Buy volume: 9790.94, Sell volume: 10922.44, Average price: 0.7028, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.1150
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.8400
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.2500
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.7850
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.1900
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.8150
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.1850
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.8300
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.8250
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.8250
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.1750
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.1700
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.1000
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.8850
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.1300
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.8500
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.1450
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.8550
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.8600
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.1600
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.8550
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.1450
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.8550
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.1750
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.8250
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.1750
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.8250
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.1750
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.8250
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.1750
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.8250
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.1750
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.1750
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.8150
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.1900
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.8300
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.1750
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.8250
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.1700
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.8300
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.1750
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.8250
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.1750
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.8250
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.1700
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.8300
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.1950
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.7150
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.2950
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.7100
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.7000
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.3450
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.3300
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.6900
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.2550
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.7450
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.2850
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.7150
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.2950
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.7050
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.2700
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.7300
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.2750
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.7200
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.2550
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.7500
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.2500
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.7450
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.7600
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.7700
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.7700
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.2300
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.7700
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.2250
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.7650
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.7750
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.2250
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.7750
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.2250
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.7750
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.2250
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.2200
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.7800
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.2200
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.7800
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.2200
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.7800
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.2200
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.7850
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.2100
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.7900
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.2100
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.7900
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.2100
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.7900
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.2100
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.7900
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.2100
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.7850
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.2150
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.7900
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.2100
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.7900
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.2100
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.8250
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.1700
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.8300
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.1750
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.8150
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.1650
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.8350
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.1650
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.8350
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.1650
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.8350
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.1250
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.8750
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.1150
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.8750
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.1050
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.1050
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.8950
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.1050
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.9000
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.1050
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.8950
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.1050
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.8950
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.1050
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.8900
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.1100
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.8900
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.1100
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.8900
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.1100
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.8900
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.1100
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.8850
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.1150
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.8850
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.1150
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.8850
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.1200
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.8750
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.1250
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.8750
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.1250
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.8750
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.1300
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.8700
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.1300
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.8700
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.1300
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.8700
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.1300
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.8700
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.1300
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.8700
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.1300
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.8650
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.1300
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.8700
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.1300
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.1350
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.8650
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.1300
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.8700
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.1250
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.8750
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.1250
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.8750
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.1250
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.8750
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.1250
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.8750
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.1300
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.8750
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.1300
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.8700
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.1300
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.8700
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.1300
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.8700
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.1300
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.8700
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.1300
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.8700
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.1300
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.8700
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.1250
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.8700
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.1300
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.8700
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.1300
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.8750
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.1250
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.8750
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.1250
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.8750
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.1250
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.8750
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.1250
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.8700
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.1150
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.8850
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.1200
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.8800
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.1150
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.8800
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.1200
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.8950
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.1050
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0850
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.9150
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0850
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9150
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.0850
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.9150
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.0850
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9150
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0850
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9150
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0850
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9150
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.9150
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.9150
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9150
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9200
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.0800
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9200
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0800
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9200
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0800
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.9200
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0800
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9200
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0800
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9200
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0800
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.9200
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.0800
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.9200
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.0800
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.9250
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0750
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9250
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.0700
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.0700
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.9300
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.0700
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.9300
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0700
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9300
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.0700
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.9300
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0700
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0700
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.9250
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0750
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9250
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0750
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.9250
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0800
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.9200
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0800
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9250
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0800
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.9200
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0800
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9250
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0800
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9200
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9200
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0750
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9250
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0750
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9250
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.9200
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0800
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9200
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9200
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9200
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.9200
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9200
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0800
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9200
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.9200
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.9200
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9200
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9200
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0850
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9150
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.0850
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9150
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0750
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.9250
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0750
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9250
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0750
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9250
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0750
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9250
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0750
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9250
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0750
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9250
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0750
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.9250
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0750
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.9250
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.0750
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9250
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0750
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9250
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0750
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9250
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0750
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9250
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0750
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9250
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0750
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9250
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.0700
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.9300
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9250
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0750
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9250
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0750
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9250
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0750
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9250
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0750
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9250
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0750
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9250
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0750
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9250
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0750
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9250
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0750
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9250
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9250
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0750
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9150
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9250
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0750
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9250
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0750
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9250
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9300
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9300
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9300
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9250
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0750
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9250
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0750
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9250
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0750
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9250
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0750
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9250
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9300
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0700
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9300
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0700
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9300
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9300
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9300
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0700
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9300
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9300
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0700
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9300
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0700
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9300
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0700
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9300
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9300
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0700
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9300
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9300
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0700
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9300
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0700
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9300
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0700
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9300
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9300
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0700
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9300
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9300
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0700
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9300
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0700
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9300
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9300
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9300
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9300
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.4050
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3550
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.6400
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3600
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.6600
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.3350
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.6800
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.3100
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.7300
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.2700
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.7300
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.2900
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.7200
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.7150
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.2750
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.7200
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.7150
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.2850
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.7250
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2850
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.2850
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.7150
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.2550
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.7150
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.2850
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.7150
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.2950
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.7050
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.2850
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.7150
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.2850
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.7150
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.2900
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.7150
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2800
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7250
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.2850
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7200
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.2850
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.7250
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.2750
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.7250
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.2950
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.7250
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2750
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.2800
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.7150
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.7200
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7250
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.7250
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.7250
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2650
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7300
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.2650
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.7350
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2650
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.7350
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.2600
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.7350
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.2750
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.7300
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2650
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.7350
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2600
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7400
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2550
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.7550
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7850
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2250
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.7750
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2200
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7900
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2200
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7750
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2250
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7850
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.7700
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.2400
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.7600
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2650
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2750
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7300
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2750
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.2650
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.7350
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2650
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.7350
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.2700
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7350
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.2650
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.7350
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2750
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.7350
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.2650
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.7350
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.2750
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.7250
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2800
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.7200
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.2850
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2550
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7450
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2550
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7350
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.2750
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.7050
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.7150
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.3200
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.6950
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.2900
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.7250
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.2650
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.7250
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2750
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999988, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53734920.19, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.1150
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.7600
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.1850
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.8150
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.1700
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.8250
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.1750
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.1750
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.8300
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.1000
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.8700
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.1450
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.8500
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.1300
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.8550
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.1500
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.8550
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.1500
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.8550
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.1700
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.8250
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.1750
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.8250
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.1750
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.8250
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.1900
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.1750
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.8100
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.1700
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.8250
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.1700
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.8250
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.1750
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.8300
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.7050
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.3350
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.3200
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2700
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.7150
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.2950
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.7250
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.2800
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.7450
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.2500
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.7450
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.7650
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.7700
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.2300
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.7600
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.2300
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.2250
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.2250
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.7750
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.2250
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.7800
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.2200
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.7800
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.2200
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.7800
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.2100
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.7900
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.2100
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.7900
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.2150
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.7850
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.2100
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.7900
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.2100
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.8300
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.1750
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.8300
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.1650
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.8350
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.1650
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.8750
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.1250
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.8950
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.1050
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.1050
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.8950
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.1050
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.8950
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.1050
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.8900
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.1100
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.8900
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.1100
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.8900
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.8850
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.8850
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.1150
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.8850
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.1250
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.8750
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.1250
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.8700
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.1300
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.8700
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.1300
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.8700
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.1300
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.8650
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.1300
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.8650
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.1350
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.1350
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.8700
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.1300
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.8750
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.1250
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.8750
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.1250
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.8750
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.1300
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.8700
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.1300
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.8700
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.1300
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.8700
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.1300
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.8700
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.1300
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.8750
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.1250
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.8750
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.1250
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.8750
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.1150
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.8800
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.1150
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.8800
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.1050
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9050
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.1000
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0850
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.9150
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0850
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.9150
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0850
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9150
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9150
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9150
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0850
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9200
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0800
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.9200
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0800
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9200
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0800
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.9200
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0800
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.9200
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0750
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.9250
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0700
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0700
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9300
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0700
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0700
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0700
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9250
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0750
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9250
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.0750
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9250
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0800
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9200
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0750
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9150
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0850
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0750
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9250
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0750
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9250
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0750
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9250
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0750
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.9250
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0750
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9250
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0750
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9250
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0750
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9250
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0750
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9250
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9300
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9250
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0750
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9250
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0750
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9250
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0750
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9250
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0750
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9250
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0750
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9250
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0750
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9250
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0750
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9300
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9300
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0700
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9250
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0750
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9250
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0750
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9300
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9300
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9300
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9300
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0700
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9300
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9300
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0700
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9300
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9300
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0700
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9300
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0700
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9300
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9300
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0700
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9300
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0700
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9300
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0700
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9300
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0700
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.6500
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.3600
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.6350
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.3450
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.6850
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.3000
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.2700
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.7200
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.7250
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.2850
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.7100
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.2900
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.7150
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2850
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.2850
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.7150
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.3050
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.7150
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.2850
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.7150
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.2850
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.7200
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.2800
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.7250
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.2750
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.7050
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2950
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.7150
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.7200
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.2850
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7250
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7250
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2700
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7350
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2650
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7450
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.2800
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.7300
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2650
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7400
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2450
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.7750
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2250
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.7800
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2200
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7750
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.2250
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.7600
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.7250
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2700
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53740538.31, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524996
Question: Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
Volume: 2584181.562324
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.2650
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.7350
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.2700
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.7350
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.2650
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.7350
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.2650
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.7250
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2800
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.2750
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7450
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2650
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.7250
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.3050
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.7050
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.3000
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.7250
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2750
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.7250
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2750
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999988, Buy volume: 136066641.93, Sell volume: 53734920.19, Average price: 0.4898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.3150
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.2950
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.1200
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.1950
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.2000
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.2150
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.2550
2024-12-06 14:00: 0.0850
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0290
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0295
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0250
2024-12-07 14:00: 0.0260
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0405
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.0420
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0440
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0435
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0360
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.0375
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0390
2024-12-09 14:00: 0.0370
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0355
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.0425
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.0350
2024-12-10 14:00: 0.0385
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0310
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.0330
2024-12-11 08:00: 0.0325
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0280
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0295
2024-12-12 02:00: 0.0440
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0445
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.0445
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.0445
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.0445
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0445
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0400
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0395
2024-12-14 02:00: 0.0395
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0395
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.0345
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0510
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.0500
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0500
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.0505
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.0505
2024-12-16 02:00: 0.0500
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.0510
2024-12-16 14:00: 0.0775
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0690
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.0855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5124577.58, Sell volume: 10306595.04, Average price: 0.5819, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.0845
2024-12-17 19:00: 0.0870
2024-12-18 01:00: 0.0910
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.0875
2024-12-18 13:00: 0.0870
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.0845
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.0840
2024-12-19 07:00: 0.0870
2024-12-19 13:00: 0.0705
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.0695
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.0710
2024-12-20 07:00: 0.0750
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.0750
2024-12-20 19:00: 0.0710
2024-12-21 01:00: 0.0710
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0750
2024-12-21 13:00: 0.0750
2024-12-21 19:00: 0.0715
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.0710
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.0700
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.0710
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.0710
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0685
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.0740
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0770
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.0845
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.0590
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.0725
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.0725
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.0770
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.0750
2024-12-25 07:00: 0.0765
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.0760
2024-12-25 19:00: 0.0640
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.0310
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.0500
2024-12-26 13:00: 0.0485
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.0480
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.0525
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.0545
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.0515
2024-12-27 19:00: 0.0480
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.0545
2024-12-28 07:00: 0.0540
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.0555
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.0490
2024-12-29 01:00: 0.0475
2024-12-29 07:00: 0.0465
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.0480
2024-12-29 19:00: 0.0470
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5124577.58, Sell volume: 10306595.04, Average price: 0.5819, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0345
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0290
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.0285
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0300
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.0310
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0310
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0335
2025-01-01 00:00: 0.0560
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.0775
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0410
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0405
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0400
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0390
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0390
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.0390
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0400
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0400
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.0410
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.0680
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0670
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.0655
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.0670
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.0665
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.0415
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.0415
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0435
2025-01-05 18:00: 0.0435
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.0625
2025-01-06 06:00: 0.0655
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0665
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0595
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0630
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.0560
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0630
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.0630
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0770
2025-01-08 06:00: 0.0825
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0740
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.0500
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0500
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0550
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0460
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0535
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0405
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.0405
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0560
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.0535
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.0620
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.0645
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5124577.58, Sell volume: 10306595.04, Average price: 0.5819, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 514814
Question: Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 119677.687572
Price History:
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0535
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.0535
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0515
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.0485
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.0555
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.0435
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.0435
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.0610
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.0655
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0450
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.0525
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.0510
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.0365
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0550
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0390
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0410
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.0450
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.0345
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0375
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0380
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0525
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.0515
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.0510
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0505
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.0515
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0395
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0445
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.0445
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0450
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.0450
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0420
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0520
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.0520
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0515
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.0520
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0515
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.0515
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.0570
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.0570
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0570
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0570
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0645
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.0645
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.0665
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.0665
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.0675
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.0670
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0670
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0665
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47952, Buy volume: 178073.05, Sell volume: 533466.00, Average price: 0.5380, Price range: 0.0660 - 0.9550

Output: Yes