Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0105
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9895
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0105
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9895
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0105
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0105
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0105
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0090
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0090
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9910
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9900
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9920
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 14120.94, Sell volume: 6248.21, Average price: 0.8106, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9930
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9930
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 241, Buy volume: 153947.78, Sell volume: 48138.64, Average price: 0.8290, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.2050
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.7950
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.2000
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.8000
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.8100
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.1950
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.8050
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.1950
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.8050
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.8150
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.8450
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.8450
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.8450
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.1550
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.1550
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.8450
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.1550
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.8450
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 13.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.8700 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.8550
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9550
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9550
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0400
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9650
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0340
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9660
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0340
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9660
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9660
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0335
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0340
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9655
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0345
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0340
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0305
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0300
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9700
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9725
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 813.18, Sell volume: 56.07, Average price: 0.6597, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9705
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9705
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9625
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0375
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9655
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9655
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0325
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0325
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9675
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9640
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9635
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0370
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0360
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9635
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9635
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0360
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9640
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0350
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0355
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0355
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9665
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9645
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0355
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0300
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0355
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9645
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0355
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.1095
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2477.56, Sell volume: 104.53, Average price: 0.7062, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0795
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9220
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0780
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9220
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0885
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9185
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0835
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9135
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0870
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9110
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9205
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0685
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9335
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0660
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9230
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9260
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0770
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9270
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0725
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0665
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9335
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0465
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9560
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0440
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9560
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0435
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9725
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0215
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2340.91, Sell volume: 409.99, Average price: 0.5459, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9498
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0310
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9655
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0295
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9735
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0265
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9720
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0245
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9745
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0275
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9755
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0245
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9790
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0225
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9820
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0225
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9800
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0215
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0240
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9865, Price range: 0.9850 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0245
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9755
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0470
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9520
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0480
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9520
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0480
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9525
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0435
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9570
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0310
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0240
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0245
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9760
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0240
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9760
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0240
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9760
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0230
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9815
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0180
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9820
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0165
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9835
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0165
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1624.97, Sell volume: 636.38, Average price: 0.8062, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9870
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0125
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9875
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0125
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9880
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 190, Buy volume: 28347.28, Sell volume: 11468.41, Average price: 0.2605, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0115
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9905
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9925
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9860
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0160
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0140
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9905
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0135
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0165
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9825
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0145
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9885
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0110
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9895
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0090
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 138, Buy volume: 39101.34, Sell volume: 15049.84, Average price: 0.7503, Price range: 0.0041 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0135
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9835
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9735
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0265
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9740
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0215
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9795
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0255
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9765
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0245
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9755
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0235
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9760
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0235
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9770
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0205
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9800
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9800
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0200
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9800
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9800
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0200
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1911.18, Sell volume: 886.67, Average price: 0.8317, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0175
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9830
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0170
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9845
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9840
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0140
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9860
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0185
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9805
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0195
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0140
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0145
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9855
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0145
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9855
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0130
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9865
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0135
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0150
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9850
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0155
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 103, Buy volume: 25219.11, Sell volume: 19855.67, Average price: 0.7797, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0125
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9875
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0125
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9875
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9850
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0150
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9840
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0155
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9850
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0190
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9810
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0180
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9800
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0200
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9800
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0185
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9880
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9845
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9835
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0160
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9840
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0160
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9835
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 14890.12, Sell volume: 4685.37, Average price: 0.7439, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0105
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9895
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0105
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9895
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0105
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9895
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9910
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9910
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0080
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9905
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 14120.94, Sell volume: 6248.21, Average price: 0.8106, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 628687
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?
Volume: 403149.632269
Price History:
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9930
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 241, Buy volume: 153947.78, Sell volume: 48138.64, Average price: 0.8290, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.1400
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.8600
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9150
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0850
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.9150
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9200
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0850
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.8950
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0850
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.9050
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0850
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0850
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.0850
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.0850
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0850
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.9250
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9200
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9200
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0650
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9350
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0650
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.9350
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9350
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9350
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.0650
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9350
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0650
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9350
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9350
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0700
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9300
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0700
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9300
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0700
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9300
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9100
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0800
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9200
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0800
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9200
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9200
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.1000
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.9000
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.1000
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.9000
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0950
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0950
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0950
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0900
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0900
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9100
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9350
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0650
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.9350
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9350
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9450
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0550
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9450
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0550
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9450
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0430
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9570
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0315
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9685
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0375
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0380
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9620
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0270
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9730
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0345
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9655
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0355
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9645
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0265
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9735
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0225
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9775
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0295
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9705
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9720
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0135
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9865
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0155
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9845
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0195
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9805
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0195
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9805
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0195
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9805
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0170
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9830
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0170
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9830
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9820
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0185
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0185
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9815
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0170
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9830
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0260
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9740
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0225
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9775
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0225
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9775
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9725
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9805
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0170
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9830
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0190
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9810
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0190
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9810
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9850
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0190
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9810
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0230
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9770
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9820
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0190
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9810
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0190
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9810
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0170
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9830
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0200
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9800
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0245
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9755
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0375
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9625
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0230
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0250
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9750
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0490
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9510
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0515
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9485
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0320
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9680
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9605
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0410
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9590
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0510
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9490
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0210
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9790
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0180
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9820
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9915
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0065
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9935
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0215
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9785
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9970
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999998, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90741865.24, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.1400
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.8600
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9150
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0850
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.9150
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.9200
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0850
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.8950
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0850
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9150
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9200
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9200
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9350
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0650
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9350
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9350
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0700
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9300
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0700
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9300
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0700
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9300
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0800
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9200
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0800
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9200
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9200
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0850
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9150
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9050
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.1000
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.9000
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0950
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0950
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0950
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9050
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0900
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0850
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0850
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9150
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0650
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9350
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0430
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9570
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0315
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9685
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0375
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9625
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0380
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9620
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9640
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0270
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9730
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0345
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9655
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0355
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9645
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0265
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9735
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0225
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9775
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0295
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9705
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0185
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9815
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0170
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9830
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0260
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9740
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0225
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9775
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0225
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9775
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9725
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9805
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0170
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9830
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0190
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9810
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0190
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9810
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9850
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0190
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9810
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0230
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9770
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9820
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90742026.44, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545722
Question: Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%?
Volume: 1927687.364546
Price History:
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0250
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9750
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0490
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9510
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0515
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9485
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0320
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9680
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0395
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9605
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0410
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9590
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0510
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9490
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0210
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9790
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0180
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9820
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9915
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0065
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9935
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0215
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9785
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9970
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999998, Buy volume: 197428131.92, Sell volume: 90741865.24, Average price: 0.6386, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.7100
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.6850
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.6950
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.6800
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.6850
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.6800
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.6850
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.6800
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.6900
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.6900
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.6900
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.6900
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.7300
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.7250
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.7300
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.6100
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.6100
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.6150
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.6150
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.6200
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.6200
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.6200
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.6200
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.6200
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.6200
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.6200
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.6200
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.6200
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.6200
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.6200
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.6200
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.6400
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.6750
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.6850
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.6700
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.6650
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.6950
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.7650
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.7650
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.7700
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.5850
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.5500
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.5150
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.5350
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.4650
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.4600
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.4850
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.5250
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.5250
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.5250
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.5250
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.5300
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.5350
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.5350
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.5350
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.5150
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.5350
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.5750
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5500
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.5650
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.5700
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.5700
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.5550
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.5850
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.5750
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.5750
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.5850
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.5750
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.5800
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.5750
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.5300
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.4650
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4650
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4050
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.3800
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.3800
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4100
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.4050
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.4200
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.3900
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.3600
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.3850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.3900
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.3900
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.3950
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.3950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.3950
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.3950
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.3950
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.3950
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.3600
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.3700
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.3400
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.3600
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3600
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.3600
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.3600
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.3700
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.4900
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.4600
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.4550
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.4550
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.4600
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.4450
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.3750
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.3650
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.3350
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.3300
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.3250
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.3200
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.3100
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.3100
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.3250
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.3350
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.3600
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.3650
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.3600
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.3600
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.3350
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.3200
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.3200
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.4700
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.4650
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5450
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5450
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5450
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5550
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.5550
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.5550
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.6250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.6300
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.6750
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.6500
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5100
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.6300
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.6100
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.5450
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5500
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4850
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4850
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4550
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4550
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4550
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.3000
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3200
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.3300
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.2850
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.2650
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.2850
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.2750
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.2750
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.2550
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.2450
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.2500
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.2900
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.2900
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.2850
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.2550
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.2150
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.2000
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.2000
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.2150
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.1750
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.1600
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.1700
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.1950
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.1950
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.2300
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.2250
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.2200
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.2250
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.2200
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.1950
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.2050
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.2050
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.2050
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.1650
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.1950
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.2100
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.2250
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.2300
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.3000
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.2550
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.2500
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.2500
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.2350
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.2250
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.2050
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.2150
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.2500
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.2600
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.2250
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.2300
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.1950
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.1900
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.1950
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.2150
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.2550
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.2550
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.1950
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.1950
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.2050
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.1520
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.2935
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.2820
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.2905
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.1780
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0835
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.4135
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0355
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0320
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0395
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0435
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999971, Buy volume: 5728540574.48, Sell volume: 4186932987.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.6950
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.6850
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.6850
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.6900
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.6900
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.7300
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.7300
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.6100
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.6150
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.6200
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.6200
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.6200
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.6200
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.6200
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.6200
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.6850
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.6700
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.6950
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.7550
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.7550
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.7550
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.7550
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.7650
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.5850
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.5150
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.4650
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.4850
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.5250
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.5250
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.5350
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.5350
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.5400
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.5450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.5700
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.5750
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.5850
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.5800
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.5300
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.4900
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.5400
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.4650
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.4450
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.4650
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4650
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.3800
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4100
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.4150
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.3900
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.3850
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.3900
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.3950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.3950
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.3950
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.3600
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.3600
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.3600
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.3700
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.4900
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.4850
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.4550
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.4450
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.3750
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.3650
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.3300
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.3200
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.3350
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.3650
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.3600
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.3200
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.4650
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.4700
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.4650
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.4800
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5300
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5350
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5450
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5450
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.6750
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.6150
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.5450
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5150
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.5350
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.5450
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4300
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4550
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5200
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4850
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.3700
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3200
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.3350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.3150
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.3200
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.2850
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.2750
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.2550
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.2450
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.2500
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.2900
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.2550
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.2000
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.1600
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.1950
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.2350
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.2250
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.2250
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.1950
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.2050
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.1650
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.2100
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.1950
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.2250
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.2050
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.2100
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.2250
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.3000
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.2500
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.2350
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.2250
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.2050
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.2500
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.2250
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.1950
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.1950
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.2350
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.2550
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.1950
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.2050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.1520
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.2820
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.1780
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0905
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.1480
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0490
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0770
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5728743526.63, Sell volume: 4186946237.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 649847
Question: Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Volume: 34894820.551069
Price History:
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0835
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0355
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0395
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999971, Buy volume: 5728540574.48, Sell volume: 4186932987.52, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.3750
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.6200
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.3750
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.6600
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.1950
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.8650
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9000
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.8200
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.2100
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.7100
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.7750
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.2500
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.2950
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.2700
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.7750
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.2350
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.7650
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.7650
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.7150
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.2850
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.5600
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.5100
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.5300
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.4700
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.4550
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.3850
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.6150
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.6150
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.6350
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.3550
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.3450
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.6450
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.3400
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.6750
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.6700
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.3350
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.6250
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.3750
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.6350
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.3650
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.3150
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.6800
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.6800
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.2950
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.2950
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.2750
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.6150
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.6150
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.3850
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.6150
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.3850
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.6150
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.3950
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.5100
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.5400
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.4100
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.4750
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.4500
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.4450
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.4500
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.5650
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.5650
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.4250
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.4250
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.3950
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.6150
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.3500
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.6350
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.3950
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.4250
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.4250
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.5750
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.5850
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.3850
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.6150
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.5650
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.5650
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.4350
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.5650
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.4450
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.5350
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.5350
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.4550
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.5250
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.5600
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.5600
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.5700
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.4250
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.4250
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.4250
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.4250
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.4250
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.4300
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.5600
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.4400
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.4400
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.5600
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.4350
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.5950
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.4000
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.6000
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.6000
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.4000
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.4000
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.4000
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.6300
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.6100
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.3900
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.3950
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.3850
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.3850
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.6150
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.6200
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.3850
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.6150
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.3850
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.3750
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.6250
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.3750
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.6250
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.3750
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.4750
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.4350
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.5650
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.4300
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.4650
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.4650
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.4850
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.4800
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.5150
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.4800
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.4800
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.5100
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.5600
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.4800
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.5050
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.5100
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.5100
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.4900
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.5100
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.4200
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.6100
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.4150
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.5150
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.4850
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.7000
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.2900
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.7250
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.2250
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.3300
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.4100
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.3950
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.5550
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.5700
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.4200
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.5650
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.4450
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.4450
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.7750
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.2200
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.8150
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.1950
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.1850
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.1850
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 585581
Question: House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2246913.312834
Price History:
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2250
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7800
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.8000
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.1950
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.1950
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.1950
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.8050
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.1950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.1950
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.1950
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.1950
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.1950
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.1950
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.8750
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.1250
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.8800
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.8800
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.1150
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.8800
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.1150
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.8750
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.1250
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.8750
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.8750
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1550
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8450
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.4350
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4400
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3800
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6650
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3450
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.2900
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 404192742.17, Sell volume: 77207537.27, Average price: 0.4491, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes