Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.2450
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.2450
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.2450
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.2450
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.2550
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.2550
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.2550
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.2550
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.3750
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.3800
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.4000
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.3650
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.3650
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.3050
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.3150
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.3250
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.3200
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.3200
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.3200
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.3450
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.3500
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.3500
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.3500
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.3500
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.3550
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.3650
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.3650
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.3650
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.3650
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.3650
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.3650
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.3600
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.3650
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.3650
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.3650
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.3650
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.3650
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.3650
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.3650
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.3650
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.3650
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.3650
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.3600
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.3600
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.3650
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.3650
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.3650
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.3650
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.3650
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.3650
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.3650
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.3650
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.3650
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.3650
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.3650
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.3650
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.3650
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.3650
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.3650
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.3650
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.3650
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.3650
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.3650
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.3650
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.3650
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.3650
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.3650
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.3650
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.3650
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.3650
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.3650
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.3650
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.3650
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.3650
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.3650
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.3600
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.3600
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.3600
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.3600
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.3600
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.3150
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.3100
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.3100
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.3100
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.3100
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.3100
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.2900
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.2750
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.2750
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.2750
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.2750
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.2800
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.2800
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.2800
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.2800
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.2800
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.2800
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.2800
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.2800
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.2800
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.2850
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.2850
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.2750
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.2750
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.2950
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.2950
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.2950
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.2950
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.2950
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.2950
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.2950
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.2950
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.2950
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.2900
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.2900
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.2900
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.2900
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.2950
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.2950
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.2950
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.2950
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.2950
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.2950
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.2950
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.2700
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.2650
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.2800
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.2850
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.3900
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.3900
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.3800
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.3450
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.3400
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.3400
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.3400
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.3400
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.3500
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.3550
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.3700
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.3600
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.3750
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.3700
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.3850
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.3650
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.3500
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.3900
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.3850
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.3850
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.3750
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.3850
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.3700
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.3850
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.3800
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.3900
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.3650
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.3900
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.3850
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.3850
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.3950
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.3950
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.3900
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.3900
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.3850
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.3800
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.3850
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.3800
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.3800
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.3800
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.3800
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.3850
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.3750
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.3650
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.3700
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.3550
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.3550
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.3500
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.3550
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.3550
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.3550
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.3250
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.3200
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.3100
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.2900
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.2850
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.2950
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.2850
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.2850
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.2850
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.2850
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.2850
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.2850
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.2850
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.2850
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.2850
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.2700
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.2700
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.2700
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.2400
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.2400
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.2450
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.2100
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.2200
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.2200
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.2250
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.2200
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.2200
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.2300
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.2200
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.2200
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.2200
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.2250
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.4000
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.4450
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.4450
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.4500
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.4500
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.4200
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.4400
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.4400
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.4400
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.4400
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.4400
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.4350
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.4400
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.4400
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.4400
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.4400
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.4400
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.4400
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.4400
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.4400
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.4800
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.4900
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.4900
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.4900
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.4950
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.4950
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.4950
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.4950
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.4950
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.4950
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.4850
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.4950
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.4850
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.4850
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.4850
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.4850
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.4850
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.4850
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.4900
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.4900
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.4850
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.4850
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.4850
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.5000
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.4900
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.4900
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.4900
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.4900
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.4950
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.4950
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.4950
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.4950
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.5000
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.5000
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.5000
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.5000
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.5150
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.7100
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.6300
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.6300
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.6300
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.6300
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.6350
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.6350
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.6350
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.6650
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.7100
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.7150
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.7150
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.7150
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.7150
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.2850
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.7150
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.2850
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.7150
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.7150
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2900
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.7150
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.2900
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.7100
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.7150
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.7400
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.7400
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.7400
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.2600
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.7400
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.2600
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.7300
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.2700
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.2750
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.7400
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.7400
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.2600
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.2900
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.7400
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.1500
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.8550
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.7400
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.2600
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.7400
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.7400
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.2650
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7200
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.2900
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.3550
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.2900
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.6450
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.3300
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.3850
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.3300
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.3750
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.3500
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.6400
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.6600
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.6650
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.3450
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.3750
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.3450
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.6550
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.6700
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.3350
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.3250
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.3300
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.3250
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.3350
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.3300
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.7000
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.3100
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.6150
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.3700
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.6350
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.3600
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.6400
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.7400
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.3600
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.6250
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.3750
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.3750
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.7400
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.3750
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.3750
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.3750
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.3750
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.3750
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.3750
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.3750
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.3750
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.3750
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.6250
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.6250
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.3750
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.6250
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.6250
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.2600
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.6700
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.6700
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.3300
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.3300
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.2550
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.3300
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.3300
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.6700
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.3300
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.3300
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.3300
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.6700
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.6700
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.3300
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.6700
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.6700
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.3300
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.6700
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.6700
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.2550
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.2650
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.7350
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.7350
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.7400
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.2550
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.2550
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.7850
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.7850
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.6400
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.6350
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.3700
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.3400
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.6750
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.3300
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.6650
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.6100
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.5050
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.6350
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.4600
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.4550
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.4600
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.6300
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.6700
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6800
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.2650
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.2650
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.2600
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.2500
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.3100
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.3000
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.2950
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.7700
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.7800
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.7900
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.2200
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.2200
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.7800
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.7450
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.7450
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.2550
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.7450
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.7400
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.2300
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.7700
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.2300
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.2150
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.7800
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.7750
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.7750
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.7800
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.7800
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.2250
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.8050
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.8000
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.2150
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.8050
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.1950
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.7900
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.2850
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.6300
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.7100
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.7100
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.2850
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.2850
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.2850
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.2900
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.2850
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.7250
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.7150
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.4050
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.3950
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.5850
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.3800
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.3800
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.3800
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.6350
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.3400
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.3600
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.3850
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.6300
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.6300
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2250
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.2050
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3800
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5350
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6400
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999251, Buy volume: 54907956.06, Sell volume: 29597114.01, Average price: 0.4810, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.2300
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.6450
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.7150
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.7300
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.2650
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.2800
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.7200
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.6350
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.6650
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.6850
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.3200
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.3700
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.3450
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.3300
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.6550
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.6350
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.6250
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.6250
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.3450
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.6450
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.6750
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.6800
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.6800
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.6950
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.3000
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.7000
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7100
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.2750
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.2750
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.7250
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.2500
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 731, Buy volume: 29072.61, Sell volume: 20429.14, Average price: 0.5787, Price range: 0.0093 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4450
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.6900
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.1950
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.8250
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.1600
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.8400
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.1600
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.8400
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.1600
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.8400
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.2600
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.2300
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.7700
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.2350
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.7650
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.2350
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.7650
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.2350
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.7650
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.7650
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.7650
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.2350
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.7650
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.2450
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.2650
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.7450
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.2550
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.6200
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.3600
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.6300
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.3150
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.6800
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.3200
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.6550
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.3500
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.6500
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.3550
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.6350
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.3650
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.6350
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.3650
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.6350
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.3650
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.6350
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.3650
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.6350
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.3650
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.6350
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.3650
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.6350
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.3650
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.3650
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.6350
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.3650
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.6350
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.3650
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.6350
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.3650
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.6350
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.3650
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.6350
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.3650
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.6350
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.3650
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.6350
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.3650
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.6400
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.3600
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.6400
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.3150
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.6900
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.3100
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.6900
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.2900
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.7250
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.2750
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.7250
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.2800
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.7200
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.2800
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.2800
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.7200
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.2850
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.7250
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.2750
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.7050
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.2950
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.7050
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.2950
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.7050
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.2900
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.7150
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.2950
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.7050
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.2950
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.7050
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.2700
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.7200
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.3900
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.6100
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.3450
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.6600
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.3400
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.6500
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.3500
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.6400
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.3750
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.6350
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.3700
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.3850
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.6100
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.3700
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.6150
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.3650
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.6200
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.3900
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.6150
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.3950
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.6200
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.3800
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.6150
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.3850
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.6200
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.3700
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.6350
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.3550
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.6500
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.3550
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.6550
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.3200
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.7050
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.2850
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.7150
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.2850
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.7150
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.2850
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.7150
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.2800
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.2700
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.7500
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.7600
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.7550
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.7550
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.2250
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.7800
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.2200
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.7800
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.2200
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.6000
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.4450
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.5500
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.4200
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.5600
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.4400
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.5600
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.4400
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.5600
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.4400
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.5600
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.4400
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.4800
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.5100
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.4950
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.5050
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.4950
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.5050
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.4850
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.5050
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.4850
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.5150
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.4850
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.5100
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.4850
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.5150
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.4900
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.5100
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.4900
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.5050
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.4950
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.5000
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.5000
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.5000
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.4950
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.2900
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.6300
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.3700
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.6350
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.3650
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.6650
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.7150
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.2850
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7150
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2850
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.7150
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.7150
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.2900
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2900
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7400
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.2600
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.2600
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.7300
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.2600
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.2600
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.2600
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.7400
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.7400
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.7400
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.7400
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2650
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.7300
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.7150
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.3550
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.3500
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.3750
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.6600
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.6600
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.6550
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.6300
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.3750
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.6450
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.6700
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.6350
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.3400
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.3100
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.3450
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.4250
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.6350
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.3600
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.6400
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.3600
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.6250
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.6250
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.7400
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.6250
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.3750
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.6250
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.3750
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.6700
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.3750
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.3750
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.6250
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.3300
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.6700
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.6700
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.6700
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.6700
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.3300
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.6700
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.3300
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.6700
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.2650
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.7350
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.2600
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.7450
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.2150
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.3500
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.3650
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.6650
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.6650
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.5700
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.4600
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.3850
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.6700
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.2300
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.7500
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.7000
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.2950
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.2800
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.2850
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.2200
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.2200
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.7800
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.7450
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.2550
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.7450
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.7700
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.2200
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.2200
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.2250
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.2200
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.2200
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.8050
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.8150
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54944099.88, Sell volume: 29619836.28, Average price: 0.4811, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.2850
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.6200
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.3600
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.7150
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.2900
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.2850
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.6000
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.5850
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.6200
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.6300
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.3650
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.3800
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.6300
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.3850
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6400
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4750
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3700
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999251, Buy volume: 54907956.06, Sell volume: 29597114.01, Average price: 0.4810, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545055
Question: Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 157339.602208
Price History:
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6100
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.7450
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.6500
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.7100
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.6600
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.3350
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.3200
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.6300
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.3300
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.3450
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.3650
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.3750
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.6550
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.6450
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.6800
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.3050
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.3000
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.6950
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.3000
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.7350
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.2750
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.7250
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.2600
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 731, Buy volume: 29072.61, Sell volume: 20429.14, Average price: 0.5787, Price range: 0.0093 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9000
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 435, Buy volume: 55701.27, Sell volume: 16349.58, Average price: 0.8608, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.1000
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8950
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.1050
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.1050
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.1050
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9000
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.1000
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 435, Buy volume: 55701.27, Sell volume: 16349.58, Average price: 0.8608, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9000
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.1000
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9000
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 435, Buy volume: 55701.27, Sell volume: 16349.58, Average price: 0.8608, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9450
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0550
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9500
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9500
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9500
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9500
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0250
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9800
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9685
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0305
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0350
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9650
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0405
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9585
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0420
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9580
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0420
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9580
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0420
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9580
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9580
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9580
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9580
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9580
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9580
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9580
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9605
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9665
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0250
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9870
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9920
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9920
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0080
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 321.00, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9366, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 636.60, Sell volume: 35.31, Average price: 0.9982, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 4730.66, Sell volume: 511.49, Average price: 0.9984, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2220.73, Sell volume: 2131.36, Average price: 0.9257, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1861.28, Sell volume: 1936.72, Average price: 0.7910, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 4765.73, Sell volume: 259.20, Average price: 0.6247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 9440.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0050
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0050
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9970
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 9955.91, Sell volume: 7171.80, Average price: 0.8533, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 6537.21, Sell volume: 3227.46, Average price: 0.7370, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0195
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0195
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9810
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0190
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9810
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0190
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9810
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0190
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0185
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0180
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9855
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0100
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9900
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0100
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 15209.21, Sell volume: 753.30, Average price: 0.9073, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.1050
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 435, Buy volume: 55701.27, Sell volume: 16349.58, Average price: 0.8608, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.1000
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.1050
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9000
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9000
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9000
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9000
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 435, Buy volume: 55701.27, Sell volume: 16349.58, Average price: 0.8608, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.1000
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.1000
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0550
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 435, Buy volume: 55701.27, Sell volume: 16349.58, Average price: 0.8608, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9450
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9500
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9500
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9500
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0500
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0250
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9800
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0310
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9690
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0350
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0405
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0420
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0420
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0420
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9580
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9580
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9580
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9605
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0250
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9920
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0080
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9920
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 321.00, Sell volume: 300.00, Average price: 0.9366, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 636.60, Sell volume: 35.31, Average price: 0.9982, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 4730.66, Sell volume: 511.49, Average price: 0.9984, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2220.73, Sell volume: 2131.36, Average price: 0.9257, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1861.28, Sell volume: 1936.72, Average price: 0.7910, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 4765.73, Sell volume: 259.20, Average price: 0.6247, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 9440.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0050
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 9955.91, Sell volume: 7171.80, Average price: 0.8533, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 6537.21, Sell volume: 3227.46, Average price: 0.7370, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 545061
Question: Will Kisna Louise win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?
Volume: 72050.84705
Price History:
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0195
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9810
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9810
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9810
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0185
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9855
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9900
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0075
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9930
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 15209.21, Sell volume: 753.30, Average price: 0.9073, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0255
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9690
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0305
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.9705
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0295
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.9730
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0255
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9750
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0225
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9780
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0210
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.9790
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0215
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9790
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0210
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.9825
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0160
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9935
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0065
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.9930
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0070
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9925
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0085
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.9920
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0085
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.9915
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0085
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9920
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0085
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9915
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.0085
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9915
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0085
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9915
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0085
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9915
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0085
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9915
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0055
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0055
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9945
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0055
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9945
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0055
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9945
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0055
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9945
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0055
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0055
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9945
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0055
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9910
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9935
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0065
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9935
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0060
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9940
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0060
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9940
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0065
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9935
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0065
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9945
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0045
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9955
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0045
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9955
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9955
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0045
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9955
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0045
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9955
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9960
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0045
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9945
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0055
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9945
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0055
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9945
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0055
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9945
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0050
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9945
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0055
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9945
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0055
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9945
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0055
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9945
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0055
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9945
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0055
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9930
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0040
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9960
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9965
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9965
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9965
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0035
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9965
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9965
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.9965
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9965
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9965
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9965
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.9965
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.0035
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0035
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.9965
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.9965
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.0035
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9965
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.9965
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.0035
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.9965
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.9965
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.0035
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.9965
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.9965
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.0035
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.0035
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.9965
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9965
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.9960
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9965
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0035
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.9965
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9965
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0050
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.9950
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.0065
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.9935
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0070
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9930
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.0070
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.9930
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.0065
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9930
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.0070
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.9935
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.0070
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.9930
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.0065
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.9930
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0065
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.9935
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0065
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9935
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0065
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.9925
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0070
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9930
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0075
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.9925
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0075
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9930
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9925
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.0070
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9930
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9925
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0075
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9925
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0075
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9930
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0075
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.9935
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0065
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.9935
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0065
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9935
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0065
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9935
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.0065
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.9945
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0055
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0055
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.9945
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0055
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9945
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.0055
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.9945
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.0055
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9945
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0055
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9945
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0055
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9945
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0055
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.9945
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.0055
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.9925
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0070
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9920
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0060
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9935
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.0075
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9945
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0055
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9945
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0070
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.9925
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0065
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9915
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0075
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.9930
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.0070
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.9925
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.0075
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.9925
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0080
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9915
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.0075
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9925
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.0090
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.9920
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.0075
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.9920
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0070
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9930
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.0070
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.9935
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0080
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0055
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9945
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0055
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.9925
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.9920
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9920
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0075
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.9925
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0075
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9925
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0080
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0075
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9925
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9915
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0085
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9905
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0085
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9920
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.9925
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0085
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9915
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.0085
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9900
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0085
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9905
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0095
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9895
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0105
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.9920
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9915
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9915
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0095
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.9920
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9915
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.9925
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9915
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0085
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9910
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0080
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9910
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9920
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.0085
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9925
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0075
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9915
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0085
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9925
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9925
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9915
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.9915
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0075
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.9925
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9915
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9925
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0095
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9900
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9910
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0100
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9915
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9910
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0085
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.9915
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0085
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9915
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9915
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0090
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9910
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0085
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9940
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0060
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0060
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0125
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0085
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0095
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9890
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0095
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9880
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0125
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9875
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0105
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9895
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0125
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9855
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0170
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9755
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9865
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9835
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0195
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9840
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9840
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9820
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0125
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9875
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0110
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0115
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9870
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0125
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9865
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0125
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9885
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9885
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9890
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9895
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0105
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9890
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0110
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9890
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9880
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9885
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0115
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9865
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9875
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0145
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9850
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0140
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9870
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9845
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9870
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0145
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9855
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0130
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9865
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0135
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9870
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0135
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0145
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9865
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9855
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0155
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9870
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9845
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0155
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9820
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0205
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9820
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9790
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0215
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9780
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9795
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0205
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9790
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0235
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0195
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0205
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9795
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9820
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0140
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9870
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0115
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9835
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9830
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0440
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9755
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0205
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9785
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0265
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0255
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9690
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0295
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.9735
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0235
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9780
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0210
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.9785
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0210
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9840
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0065
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9930
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0090
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.9915
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0085
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9920
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0085
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.9915
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0085
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9915
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0085
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9945
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0055
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9945
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9945
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0055
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9945
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0055
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0055
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9945
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0085
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9935
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0060
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9940
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0060
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9935
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0065
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9955
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0045
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9955
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9955
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9960
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0055
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9945
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0055
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9945
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0055
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9945
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0055
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9945
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0055
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9945
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0070
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9930
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9960
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0040
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9965
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0050
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.9930
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.0065
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9930
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0070
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9930
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.0065
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.9930
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.0070
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9935
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0065
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9935
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0070
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9930
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0070
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9930
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0075
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9935
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0075
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.9925
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0075
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9935
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0065
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9935
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0065
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9935
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0055
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9945
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0055
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525001
Question: Will Mario Grech be the next pope?
Volume: 923836.357437
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0055
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.9945
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0055
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.9945
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0055
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9945
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0055
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9945
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9930
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0060
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9925
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0060
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.9935
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0070
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0085
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.9930
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0075
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.9925
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0080
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.9925
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0075
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9915
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0075
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9930
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0065
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.9930
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0050
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 77945193.48, Sell volume: 61396175.32, Average price: 0.4412, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes