Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.2400
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.9745
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0070
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9885
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0160
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.9745
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0375
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.9590
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0490
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9495
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0520
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.9530
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0545
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9480
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0525
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.9520
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0530
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.9450
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0575
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9440
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0585
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.9415
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0590
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.9410
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0595
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.9395
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0600
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.9390
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0615
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.9405
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0615
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.9355
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0625
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.9385
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0625
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9375
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0625
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.9375
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.0625
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9375
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0625
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9375
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0625
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9375
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0760
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9240
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0635
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9375
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0625
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 34457437.12, Sell volume: 36719003.81, Average price: 0.7308, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9355
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0720
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9265
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0725
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9370
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0630
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9370
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0635
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.9300
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0610
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9405
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0595
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9420
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0575
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9420
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0515
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.9430
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0545
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.9440
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0545
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9470
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0530
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9505
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0500
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9515
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0485
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.9545
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0450
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9555
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0445
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9555
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0440
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9555
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0465
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.9545
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0450
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9565
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0440
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9570
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0405
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.9600
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0405
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.9575
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0410
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9615
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0385
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9615
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0405
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9590
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 34457437.12, Sell volume: 36719003.81, Average price: 0.7308, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0365
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.9650
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0370
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0350
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0340
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.9645
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0355
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9640
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0355
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9645
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0375
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9600
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0350
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9640
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0360
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9640
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0375
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.9645
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0355
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9655
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0345
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.9600
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9640
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0440
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9580
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0380
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9645
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0335
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9675
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0340
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9600
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0440
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9605
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0395
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9610
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0365
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9645
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0345
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9665
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0375
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9585
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0405
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9590
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0395
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9570
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0375
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 34457437.12, Sell volume: 36719003.81, Average price: 0.7308, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9595
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0360
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.9665
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0360
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.9670
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0355
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.9645
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.0335
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.9695
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0365
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.9530
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0465
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.9535
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.0425
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.9645
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.0365
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.9635
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0365
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.9655
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0305
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.9680
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0300
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.9750
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.0125
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.9900
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.0080
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.9945
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0080
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.9940
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0055
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.9940
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0065
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.9945
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.0060
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9945
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0060
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9925
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0070
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.9935
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0055
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.9930
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0060
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.9935
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0055
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9945
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.0050
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.9950
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0050
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.9930
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 34457437.12, Sell volume: 36719003.81, Average price: 0.7308, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0060
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9935
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0065
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9935
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0060
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9940
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0055
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9945
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0055
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9945
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9955
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0055
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9945
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0060
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0045
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.9935
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0045
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9925
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0070
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9935
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0055
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.9955
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9960
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0065
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9945
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0060
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.9945
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9945
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0045
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9955
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0050
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0045
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9960
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9960
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0045
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9945
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0055
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9945
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0045
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9950
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0055
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9950
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0050
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 34457437.12, Sell volume: 36719003.81, Average price: 0.7308, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9950
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0050
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9955
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9950
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0050
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9940
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9950
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0045
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9945
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0050
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9950
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0055
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9930
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0070
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9930
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0070
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0070
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0075
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.9915
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0065
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.9925
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.0060
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9930
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0070
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9925
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.0075
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.9925
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.9945
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.0065
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.9945
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.0055
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9945
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0120
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.9880
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0115
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.9885
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.0085
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.9885
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0115
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.9865
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.0135
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9880
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 34457437.12, Sell volume: 36719003.81, Average price: 0.7308, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.0110
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.9890
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.0095
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.9910
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.0100
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.9905
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.0090
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.9910
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0085
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.9905
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.0100
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.9905
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.0085
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.9915
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.0085
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.9905
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.0095
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.9905
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0095
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.9905
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.0095
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.9905
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.0095
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.9905
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0130
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9930
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0090
2025-03-18 21:00: 0.9910
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.0085
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.9910
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.0080
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.9930
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.0070
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.9935
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0055
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9945
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.0055
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.9925
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.0100
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.9860
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0155
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.9845
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.0150
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.9845
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0140
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9870
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.0135
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.9870
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0140
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 34457437.12, Sell volume: 36719003.81, Average price: 0.7308, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9870
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0165
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9850
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.0150
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9850
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.0140
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9860
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0155
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.9860
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0145
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.9855
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0145
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9790
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0190
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.9840
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.0160
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9840
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0160
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.9840
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0155
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.9840
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0160
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9840
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.0160
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9830
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0215
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9790
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0195
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9780
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.0190
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.9820
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0180
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9820
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.0170
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.9800
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.0210
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.9745
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0215
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.9785
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.0215
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.9770
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.0230
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9770
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0230
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.9775
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.0240
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.9740
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0235
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.9765
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 189810, Buy volume: 1290398.22, Sell volume: 5487966.54, Average price: 0.7862, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9820

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0230
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.9785
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.0200
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.9800
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0205
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.9795
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0200
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.9800
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.0200
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9800
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.0200
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.9800
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0200
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.9805
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0200
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9800
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0200
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.9820
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0185
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9815
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.0185
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.9815
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.0185
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.9815
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0185
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9815
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.0185
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9815
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.0185
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9815
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.0185
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.9815
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0190
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.9810
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0190
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.9810
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.9815
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.0185
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.9820
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.0165
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.9835
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.0165
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.9835
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0165
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9835
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.0165
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.9835
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0165
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 761238, Buy volume: 21439128.04, Sell volume: 18730151.10, Average price: 0.7210, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.9835
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0165
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.9835
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0165
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.9835
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0165
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9835
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.0165
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.9835
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0165
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.9835
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0165
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.9835
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.0165
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9915
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.9980
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38151, Buy volume: 11492756.55, Sell volume: 12139445.85, Average price: 0.6827, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9980
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9955
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9925
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0075
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9910
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0095
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.9900
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0095
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9905
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0095
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9905
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0100
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9900
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9915
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0090
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125, Buy volume: 22400.40, Sell volume: 10523.57, Average price: 0.8679, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9910
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0095
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9900
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9905
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0105
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9895
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0110
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9890
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0110
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9900
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0100
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9905
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9905
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9870
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0140
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9860
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0140
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9860
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0150
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0150
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9835
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0170
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9840
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9850
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9845
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0140
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9845
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9845
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0150
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9850
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 283, Buy volume: 20679.09, Sell volume: 4850.15, Average price: 0.7868, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0145
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9855
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0145
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9855
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0130
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9875
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9970
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9970
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0030
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9960
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9960
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0040
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9960
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9960
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0040
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9970
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0030
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 397, Buy volume: 190994.84, Sell volume: 80330.24, Average price: 0.8630, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.2400
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0070
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0145
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0240
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.0410
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0495
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0495
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0545
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0525
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0480
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0550
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0560
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0585
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0585
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0595
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0600
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0595
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0590
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0645
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0615
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0625
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0625
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.0625
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.0625
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0625
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0625
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0760
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0615
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0625
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 34457437.12, Sell volume: 36719003.81, Average price: 0.7308, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9355
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.9265
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9305
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9370
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9305
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9390
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.9410
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9420
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9415
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9445
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9455
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9455
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9475
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9505
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9515
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9520
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9560
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9555
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9565
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9570
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9550
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9565
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9560
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9600
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9595
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9605
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9620
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9615
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9590
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 34457437.12, Sell volume: 36719003.81, Average price: 0.7308, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0365
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0350
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0360
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0355
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0355
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0355
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0375
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0360
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0360
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0355
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0355
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0350
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0345
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0360
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0430
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0380
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0375
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0325
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0355
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0430
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0395
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0340
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0345
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0375
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0415
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0395
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0430
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0375
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 34457437.12, Sell volume: 36719003.81, Average price: 0.7308, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9595
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.9660
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.9660
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.9645
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.9675
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.9645
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.9535
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.9535
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.9645
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.9630
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.9635
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.9685
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.9720
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.9725
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.9900
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.9925
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.9930
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.9945
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.9935
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.9955
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9935
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9925
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.9950
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.9945
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9940
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.9935
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.9945
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.9955
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.9930
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 34457437.12, Sell volume: 36719003.81, Average price: 0.7308, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0060
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0065
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0055
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0055
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0055
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0045
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0055
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0045
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0045
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0065
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0075
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0065
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0045
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0040
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0060
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0055
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0055
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0045
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0045
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0045
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0055
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0055
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0045
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0050
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 34457437.12, Sell volume: 36719003.81, Average price: 0.7308, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9950
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9950
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.9950
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9950
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9940
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9955
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9945
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9950
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9930
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.9930
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.9915
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.9925
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9955
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.9930
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9930
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.9935
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.9945
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9945
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.9880
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.9885
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9895
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.9885
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.9865
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9880
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 34457437.12, Sell volume: 36719003.81, Average price: 0.7308, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.0110
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.0095
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0115
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.0075
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.0090
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.0085
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.0105
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.0085
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.0085
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.0095
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0095
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.0095
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.0095
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.0095
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0130
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.0070
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.0095
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0070
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.0075
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.0055
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.0055
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.0140
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.0145
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0155
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0140
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.0125
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.0140
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 34457437.12, Sell volume: 36719003.81, Average price: 0.7308, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9870
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.9830
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9850
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.9860
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.9845
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.9860
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.9855
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9790
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.9835
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.9840
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9840
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.9845
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9840
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.9840
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.9830
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.9805
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.9800
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9810
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9820
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.9820
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.9800
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.9745
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.9785
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.9785
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.9770
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.9765
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.9775
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.9770
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.9765
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 189810, Buy volume: 1290398.22, Sell volume: 5487966.54, Average price: 0.7862, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0230
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0200
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0205
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0200
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0200
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0200
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0200
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0200
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0200
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0200
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0180
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0185
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0185
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0185
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0185
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0185
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0185
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0190
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0190
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0185
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0190
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0165
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.0165
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0165
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0165
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0165
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 761238, Buy volume: 21439128.04, Sell volume: 18730151.10, Average price: 0.7210, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.9835
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9835
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.9835
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.9835
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.9835
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.9835
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9835
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.9835
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9900
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9980
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.9980
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38151, Buy volume: 11492756.55, Sell volume: 12139445.85, Average price: 0.6827, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.0020
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0075
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0095
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0100
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0095
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0100
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0090
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125, Buy volume: 22400.40, Sell volume: 10523.57, Average price: 0.8679, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9910
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9895
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9900
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9895
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9885
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9890
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9900
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9905
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9905
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9860
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9860
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9860
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9850
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9830
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9840
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9840
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9855
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9850
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9860
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9845
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9850
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 283, Buy volume: 20679.09, Sell volume: 4850.15, Average price: 0.7868, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520425
Question: Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Volume: 1214969.111117
Price History:
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0145
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0145
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0030
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0040
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0040
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0040
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0030
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 397, Buy volume: 190994.84, Sell volume: 80330.24, Average price: 0.8630, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.3000
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.3700
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.3750
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.3700
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.4850
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.4250
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.4300
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.4300
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.4300
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.4300
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.4300
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.4150
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.4150
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.4150
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.4150
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.4150
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.4150
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.4150
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.4050
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.3750
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.3750
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.3800
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.3750
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.3750
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.3750
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.3750
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.3750
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.3750
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.3750
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.3750
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.3750
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.3750
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.3750
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.3850
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.3800
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.3800
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.3800
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.3800
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.3800
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.3750
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.3750
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.3650
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.3750
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.3750
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.3800
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.3800
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.4150
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.3900
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.3750
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.3500
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.3200
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.3350
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.3100
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.3450
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.3250
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.3100
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.3050
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.3250
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.2950
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.2950
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.3000
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.2900
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.2950
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.2150
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.2050
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.2050
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.2100
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.2050
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.2200
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.2500
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.2300
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.2200
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.2200
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.2250
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.2250
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.1700
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.1650
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.1700
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.1650
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.1350
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.1250
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.1050
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0900
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.1050
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.1050
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.1200
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.1450
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.1300
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.1400
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.1400
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.1400
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.1650
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.1700
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.1650
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.1700
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.1550
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1400
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.1450
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.1500
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.1400
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.1350
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.1200
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.1200
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.1150
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.1250
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.1200
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.1100
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.1250
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.1200
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.1200
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.1150
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.1250
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.1350
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1200
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.1100
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.1050
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.1150
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1300
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1350
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.1300
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1300
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0550
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0275
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0370
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0325
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0265
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0260
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0225
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0280
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0285
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0255
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0245
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0255
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0245
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0245
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0225
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0225
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0215
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.0220
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0220
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0220
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.0220
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.0195
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0190
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0185
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0165
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0160
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0155
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0205
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0215
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0230
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0235
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0235
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0235
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0205
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0195
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0195
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0190
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0185
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0185
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0185
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0185
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0185
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0180
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0185
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0185
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0175
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0155
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0160
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0140
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0140
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0155
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0140
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0135
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0135
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0135
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0135
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0135
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0135
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0135
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0130
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0120
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0135
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0125
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0135
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0120
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0120
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0120
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0120
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0120
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0120
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0125
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0125
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0125
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0120
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0115
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0115
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0115
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0065
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0055
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0055
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0055
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0055
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0065
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0075
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0065
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0065
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0055
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0055
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0070
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0070
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0065
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.0070
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0065
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0070
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0080
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0085
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0075
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0065
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0065
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0055
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0030
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0030
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0020
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0010
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.0020
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0020
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0020
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9985
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9955
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9955
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9930
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9650
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9845
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9930
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9940
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.0060
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0050
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9950
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.9950
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9960
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.9960
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0050
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0050
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.0050
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0050
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0050
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0050
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0050
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9950
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9960
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999999, Buy volume: 389206995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.6550
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.3750
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.5650
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.4300
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.5650
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.4300
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.5700
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.4200
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.5850
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.4200
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.5850
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.4150
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.6000
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.3800
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.6250
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.3750
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.6250
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.3750
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.6250
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.3750
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.3900
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.6200
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.3800
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.6200
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.6200
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.3750
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.3650
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.6300
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.3800
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.5850
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.3750
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.6750
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.3250
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.6700
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.3150
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.6900
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.3250
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.7050
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.3000
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.7050
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.2150
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.7950
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.2050
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.7550
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.7800
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.2200
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.8400
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.1700
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.8400
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.1600
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.8650
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.1350
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.1050
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.8950
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.1050
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.8550
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.1350
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.8550
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.1600
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.8350
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.1650
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.8300
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.1600
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.8300
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1450
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.8550
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.1400
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.1150
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.8750
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.1250
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.8800
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.1200
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.8850
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.1200
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.8850
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.1200
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.8700
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.1300
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.8800
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0800
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9450
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0335
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9675
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0285
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9685
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0285
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9705
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0250
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9760
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0225
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9775
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0215
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.9780
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0220
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.9780
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.9780
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0220
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.9780
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0220
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.9835
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0185
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.9820
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0175
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.9825
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.0215
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9765
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.0235
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0205
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9805
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0185
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9815
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0185
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9815
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0185
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9815
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0160
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9860
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.9850
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9860
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0150
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9845
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9865
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0135
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9865
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9865
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0135
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9865
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0130
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9875
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0105
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9875
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0125
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0120
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9880
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0125
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9875
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0120
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9885
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0120
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.9920
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.9925
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.9945
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.9940
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9935
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9930
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0065
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9935
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0070
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9935
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9935
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9940
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0055
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9945
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0065
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9935
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9930
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0065
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9930
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0085
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.9925
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0070
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.9935
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0065
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9935
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0065
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.9955
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9960
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9970
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0030
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9970
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.9970
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9975
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9975
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0040
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9950
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.9965
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0030
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.9980
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.9980
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9990
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9980
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0155
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0350
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9930
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.0060
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.0050
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0050
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9955
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0035
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9960
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9965
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.0035
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.9965
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9965
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9950
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.9950
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.0050
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9950
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 389207995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527795
Question: Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 17791731.033893
Price History:
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999999, Buy volume: 389206995.26, Sell volume: 85058876.18, Average price: 0.8792, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.9915
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0045
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9960
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9955
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9965
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9965
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9965
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9975
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.9975
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9975
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9975
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9950
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9975
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9975
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9975
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.9975
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9960
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9965
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9965
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9975
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9975
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9975
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9975
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9970
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9975
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9975
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9975
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.9975
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9975
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9975
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.9975
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9975
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9975
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9975
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9975
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9960
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0035
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.9960
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9975
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9975
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9975
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9975
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9975
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9975
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.9965
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9970
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0030
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0030
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0030
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9970
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9975
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0030
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0030
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9970
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9970
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0030
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9970
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0030
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0030
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0030
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0030
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0030
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9975
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9975
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9975
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9975
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.9975
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.9975
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.9975
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.9975
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.9970
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0030
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.9970
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0030
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.9970
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0030
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.9970
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0030
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0030
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.9975
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.9975
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9975
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.9975
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.9975
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9975
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0025
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9975
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0025
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.9975
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.9975
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9975
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.9975
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0025
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9975
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9975
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.9975
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.0025
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9975
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9975
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9980
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9985
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9985
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9985
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0015
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0040
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9980
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0045
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0050
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0040
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0025
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0020
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0045
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0035
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549631
Question: Will Forum for Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1887722.045089
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0030
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0030
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0030
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0030
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0030
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0030
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0030
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0030
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0030
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0030
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0030
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0030
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0030
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295920651.77, Sell volume: 101620081.06, Average price: 0.8251, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes