Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.5500
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4500
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.5050
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.4950
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.4850
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.5100
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.4900
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.4800
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.5200
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.5200
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.4800
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.5150
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.4850
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.5150
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4900
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.4950
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.5050
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.5050
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.4950
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.4650
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.5350
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.4750
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.5250
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.4850
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.5150
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.4750
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.5250
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.4650
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.5350
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.5250
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.4750
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.5250
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.5200
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.4800
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.4800
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.5200
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.5150
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.4850
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.5900
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.4100
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.3950
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.6050
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.3600
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.6400
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.3550
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.7000
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.7100
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.2900
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.2650
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.7500
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.2500
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.7800
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.2200
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.7650
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.2350
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.2450
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.2450
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.2600
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.2600
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.7400
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.6300
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.3700
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3500
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.6350
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.5950
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.4050
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.4300
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.4250
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.5750
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.3900
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.6300
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.3700
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.6250
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.3750
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.3900
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.5800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.5700
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.4300
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.5700
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.4300
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.5150
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.5400
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.4600
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.5450
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.4700
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.5300
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.3900
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.6150
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.3850
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.6800
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.3100
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.6700
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.3300
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.3500
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.6500
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9450
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0550
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9450
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0550
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9400
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1000
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0450
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9500
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0500
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0550
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0550
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9635
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0365
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0385
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9615
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9610
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0390
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9630
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0370
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0530
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9470
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9335
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0665
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9355
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0645
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9355
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0645
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9435
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0565
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9465
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0535
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9420
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0580
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9465
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0535
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9520
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0480
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9530
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0470
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9540
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0460
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9555
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9720
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0280
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0300
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9700
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9720
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0280
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9710
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0290
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0290
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9710
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0295
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9705
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9715
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0285
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0270
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9730
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0275
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9725
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9720
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0280
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0345
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9655
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9695
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0305
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9650
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0350
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0330
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9670
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0220
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0230
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9770
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9750
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0250
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9760
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0240
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9795
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0205
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9835
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0165
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0265
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9785
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0215
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0275
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9725
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9455
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0545
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9225
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999181, Buy volume: 434081511.58, Sell volume: 163165369.46, Average price: 0.4344, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9800
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0200
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9815
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0185
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9850
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0150
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9910
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9900
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0100
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9910
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9855
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0145
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0105
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9865
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0135
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 764, Buy volume: 258660.40, Sell volume: 335904.35, Average price: 0.7371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.6450
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.3650
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.6650
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.4150
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.5800
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.5750
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.5950
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.6600
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.6850
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.3800
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.3800
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.6250
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.3550
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.3550
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.3700
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.6300
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.3600
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.6400
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.6350
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.3300
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.6550
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.3500
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.6550
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.3450
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.3450
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.6350
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.3650
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.3650
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.6250
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.6250
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.6150
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.6150
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.6150
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.3950
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.6000
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.6050
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.6000
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.4050
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.5150
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.5400
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.4550
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.4750
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.4350
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.5650
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.6050
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.4100
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.5850
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.4250
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.4650
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.5250
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.4750
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.5250
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.4850
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.4150
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.6000
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.6100
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.4150
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.4250
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.5950
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.4200
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.5700
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.6000
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.5850
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.4250
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.4050
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.5550
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.4400
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.4300
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.4350
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.4950
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.4550
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.5500
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.4650
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.4500
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.4400
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.4400
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.4450
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.4450
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.5500
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.5050
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.4800
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.4800
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.4850
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.5050
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.5350
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.5150
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.4650
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.4750
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.5200
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.5200
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4250
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.4550
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.5100
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.4900
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.4950
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.5250
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.4700
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.5550
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.4450
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.5600
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.5900
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.6050
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.3550
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.7100
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.7500
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.7650
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.7650
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.7550
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.2600
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.2650
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.2950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.2800
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.7150
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.3150
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.6950
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.3100
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.6400
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4250
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4300
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4200
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.3900
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.3700
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.6350
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.5950
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.6100
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3600
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3600
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.5700
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.5400
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.4700
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.6100
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.6800
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.3100
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.3150
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.2850
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2250
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1950
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8300
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1900
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1900
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0550
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9450
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9200
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0950
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1000
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9450
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0550
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9450
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0550
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0550
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0385
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0390
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0530
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0665
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9355
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0645
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9465
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0580
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9520
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0470
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9555
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0405
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9650
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9625
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9685
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9710
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0305
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0340
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9610
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9540
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9555
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 434344838.81, Sell volume: 163526141.67, Average price: 0.4347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9720
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9700
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9710
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9710
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9715
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9730
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9720
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9655
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9670
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0230
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0250
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9795
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0165
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9785
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9725
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9225
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0730
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0425
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0425
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9630
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9635
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0375
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9790
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9770
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0245
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0190
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9725
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999181, Buy volume: 434081511.58, Sell volume: 163165369.46, Average price: 0.4344, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 644471
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
Volume: 3759910.13439
Price History:
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9800
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0185
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9835
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0100
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9855
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 764, Buy volume: 258660.40, Sell volume: 335904.35, Average price: 0.7371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9860
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0150
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9850
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0085
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9915
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9910
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0145
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9855
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0160
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9840
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0145
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9855
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9870
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9865
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9870
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9870
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9870
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9865
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9865
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9870
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9870
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9865
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9865
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9850
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9855
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9860
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9835
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0165
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9835
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0230
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9770
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0175
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9825
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0155
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9845
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0140
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9860
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0135
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0135
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0135
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0210
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9790
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0200
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0230
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9770
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0260
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0185
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9815
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0190
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9810
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0195
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9805
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0170
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9830
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0185
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9815
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0165
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9835
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9775
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0195
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9805
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0180
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9820
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0165
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9835
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0155
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9845
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0185
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9815
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9835
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9845
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9865
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9850
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9775
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9835
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9875
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9875
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9895
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9880
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0115
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9885
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9840
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0200
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9800
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0185
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9815
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9835
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9840
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9840
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9840
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9845
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9855
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9895
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0180
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9820
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9880
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0115
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9885
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0115
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9885
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0090
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0150
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9850
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0180
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9820
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9830
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9825
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0200
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0200
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0195
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9805
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0170
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0170
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0160
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0175
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9825
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0235
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9765
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0210
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9790
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0195
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9805
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0155
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9845
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0155
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9845
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0165
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9835
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9855
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9895
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9895
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9895
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9895
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9895
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9895
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9895
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9900
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0095
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9905
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9895
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9895
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0110
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9890
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0155
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9845
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9875
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9885
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0125
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9875
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9885
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0110
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9860
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0125
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9875
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0115
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9875
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0140
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9860
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0130
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9865
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9855
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9865
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0130
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9870
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9885
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9865
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9915
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9895
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9875
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0125
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0130
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9870
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0135
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9865
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0135
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9865
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0265
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9735
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0375
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9625
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0370
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9630
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0370
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9630
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0365
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9635
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0340
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0290
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9710
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0290
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9710
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0260
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9740
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0260
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9740
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0275
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9725
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0275
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9725
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0280
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0275
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9725
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0165
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9835
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0150
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9850
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0140
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9860
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0170
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9830
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0155
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9845
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0165
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9835
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0140
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9860
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0140
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9860
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0155
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9845
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0155
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9845
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0150
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9850
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0155
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9845
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0155
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9845
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0145
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9855
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9865
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0135
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9865
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0135
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9865
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0135
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9865
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0135
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9865
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0140
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9860
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0170
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9830
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9840
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0180
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9820
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0165
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9835
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0235
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9765
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0210
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9790
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0170
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9830
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0170
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9830
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0160
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0160
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0205
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0225
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9775
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0185
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9815
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9790
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0230
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9770
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0245
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9755
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0225
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9775
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0185
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9815
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0220
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9780
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0220
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9780
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9780
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9780
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9780
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9755
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0235
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9765
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0260
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9740
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0260
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9740
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0260
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9740
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0230
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9770
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0230
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9770
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0235
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9765
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0235
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9765
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0270
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9730
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0275
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9725
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0280
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9720
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0275
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9725
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0425
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9440
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0595
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9405
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0585
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9415
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0580
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9420
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0395
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9605
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0575
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9425
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0580
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9420
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0465
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9535
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0620
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9380
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0530
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9470
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0555
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9445
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0570
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9430
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0590
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9410
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0565
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9435
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0565
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9435
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0540
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9460
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0490
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9510
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0570
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9430
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0560
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9440
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0505
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9495
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0470
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0555
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9445
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0585
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9415
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0475
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9525
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0440
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9560
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0435
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9565
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0560
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9440
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0540
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9460
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0585
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9415
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0520
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9480
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0490
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9510
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0455
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9545
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0500
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9500
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0485
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9515
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0410
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0410
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0430
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9570
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0470
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9530
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0435
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9565
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0385
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9615
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0410
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9590
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0455
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9545
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0405
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9595
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0405
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9595
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0425
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9575
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0400
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9600
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0410
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9590
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0370
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9630
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0345
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9655
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0410
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999996, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957692.01, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0150
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0085
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0145
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0160
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0145
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0130
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0130
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0175
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0160
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9835
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9835
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9770
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9825
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9845
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9860
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9865
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9790
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9770
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9815
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9810
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9805
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9830
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9815
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9835
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9775
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9805
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9820
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9835
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9845
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9815
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9810
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9830
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9830
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9850
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0125
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0115
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0200
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0185
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0155
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0105
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0180
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0185
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9885
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9885
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9910
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9850
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9820
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9830
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9825
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9805
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9825
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9765
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9790
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9805
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9820
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0155
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0155
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0165
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0145
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0095
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0110
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0155
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0125
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0110
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0110
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0110
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0110
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9860
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9875
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9885
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9875
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9860
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9870
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9865
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9855
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9865
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9870
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9880
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9875
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9875
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9875
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0115
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9875
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9870
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9865
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9865
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9735
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9625
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9630
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9630
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9635
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9710
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9710
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9740
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9740
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9725
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9725
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9720
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9725
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9735
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9735
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9735
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9775
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0165
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0150
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0140
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0170
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0155
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0165
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0140
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0140
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0155
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0155
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0150
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0155
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0155
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0145
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0130
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0130
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0130
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0130
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9865
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9865
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9865
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9865
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9865
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9860
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9830
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9840
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9820
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9835
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9765
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9790
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9830
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9830
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9795
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9775
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9815
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9825
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9820
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9820
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0230
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0245
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0225
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0185
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0220
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0235
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0260
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0260
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0260
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0230
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0230
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0235
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0235
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0270
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0275
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0280
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0275
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0425
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0435
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0385
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0330
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9440
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9405
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9415
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9420
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9605
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9425
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9420
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9535
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9380
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9470
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9445
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9430
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9410
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9435
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9435
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9460
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9510
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9430
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9440
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9495
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9530
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9445
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9415
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9525
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9560
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9505
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9540
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9535
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9530
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957749.50, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525009
Question: Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?
Volume: 1051687.881687
Price History:
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0435
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0560
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0540
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0585
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0520
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0490
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0455
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0500
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0485
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0410
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0410
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0430
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0470
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0435
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0385
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0410
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0455
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0405
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0405
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0425
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0400
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0410
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0370
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0345
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0410
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0345
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0345
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0300
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999996, Buy volume: 144960577.65, Sell volume: 49957692.01, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.4400
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.5600
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.1550
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.8450
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.1350
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.8650
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.1400
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.8600
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.1400
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.8600
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.1400
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.8600
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1400
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.8600
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.1800
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.8200
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.1650
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.2400
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.7600
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.1850
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.8150
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.2000
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.8000
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.7850
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.2150
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.7850
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.2150
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.7850
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.2150
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.7850
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.2150
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.7850
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.2150
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.7850
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.2150
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.7850
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.2150
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.7850
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.2300
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.7700
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.2350
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.7650
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.7650
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.2350
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40028520.73, Sell volume: 19346531.58, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.2350
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.7650
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.2350
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.7650
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.2350
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.7650
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.2350
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.7650
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.2300
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.7700
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.2250
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.7750
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.2350
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.7650
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.2350
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.7650
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.2350
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.7650
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.7650
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.2300
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.7700
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.2250
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.7750
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.2250
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.7750
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.2250
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.7750
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.2250
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40028520.73, Sell volume: 19346531.58, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.2400
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.7600
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.2400
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.7600
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.2400
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.7600
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.2400
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.7600
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.2400
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.7600
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.2400
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.7600
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.2150
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.7850
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.7850
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.2050
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.1950
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40028520.73, Sell volume: 19346531.58, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.1950
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.8050
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.1950
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40028520.73, Sell volume: 19346531.58, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.8050
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.1950
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40028520.73, Sell volume: 19346531.58, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.2050
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.7950
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.2000
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.8000
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.2000
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.8000
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.1950
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.8050
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.7950
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.2050
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.2000
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.8000
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.1950
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.8050
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.1950
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.8050
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.2000
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.8000
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.2000
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.8000
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.2050
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.2050
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.7950
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.2050
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.7950
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.2000
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.8000
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.2000
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.8000
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.2050
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.7950
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.1750
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.8250
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.1650
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.8350
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.1750
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.8250
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.1650
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.8350
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.1750
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.8250
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.1800
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.8200
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.1800
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.8200
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.1750
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40028520.73, Sell volume: 19346531.58, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.1800
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.8200
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.2000
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.8000
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.2150
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.7850
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.2100
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.7900
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.2100
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.7900
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.2100
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.7900
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.2100
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.7900
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.2100
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.7900
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.1950
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.8050
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.1950
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.8050
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.1900
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.8100
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.2000
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.8000
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.2000
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.8000
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.2000
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.8000
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.2000
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.8000
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.2000
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.8000
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.2000
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.8000
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.2000
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.8000
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.1950
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.8050
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.1950
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.1850
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8150
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1850
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.8150
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40028520.73, Sell volume: 19346531.58, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.2100
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.2100
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.7900
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.2350
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.7650
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.2200
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.7800
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.7750
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.7850
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.2150
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.2150
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.7850
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.2050
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.7950
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40028520.73, Sell volume: 19346531.58, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.1900
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.8100
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.1900
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.8100
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.1900
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.8100
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.1900
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.8100
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.1950
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.8050
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.1900
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.8100
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.1900
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.8100
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.2050
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 245754, Buy volume: 8749804.73, Sell volume: 4237897.86, Average price: 0.5047, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.2350
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.7650
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.2350
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.7650
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.7650
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.7500
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.2350
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.7650
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.2350
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.7650
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.2300
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.7700
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.2350
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.7650
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.2300
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.7700
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.2300
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.7700
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.2300
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.7700
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.2300
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.7700
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.2300
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.7700
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.2300
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.7700
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.2350
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.7650
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.2450
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.7550
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.2450
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.7550
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.2450
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.2750
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.7250
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.2750
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.7250
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.2550
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.7450
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127872, Buy volume: 7231825.26, Sell volume: 1400478.12, Average price: 0.5259, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.7450
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.2600
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.7400
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.2550
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.7450
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.2600
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.7400
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.2600
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.7400
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.2600
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.7400
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.2600
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.7400
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.2550
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.7450
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.2600
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.7400
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.2600
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.7400
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.2650
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.7350
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.2650
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.7350
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.2650
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.7350
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.2850
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.7150
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.2700
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.7300
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.2700
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.7300
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.2700
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.7300
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.2850
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 229770, Buy volume: 11062335.27, Sell volume: 4931783.28, Average price: 0.5938, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.2850
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.7150
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.2850
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.7150
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.2850
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.7150
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.2650
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.7350
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.2650
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.7350
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.2700
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.7300
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.7250
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.2550
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.7450
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.2650
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.7350
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.2600
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.7400
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.2700
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.7300
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.2650
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.7350
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.2750
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.7250
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.2750
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.7250
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.2700
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.7300
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.2650
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.7350
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.2800
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.7200
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.2750
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.7250
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.2650
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.7350
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.2750
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.7250
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.2700
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.7300
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.2700
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 385840, Buy volume: 12196150.48, Sell volume: 8599982.20, Average price: 0.5072, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.2750
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.7250
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.2750
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.7250
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.2950
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.7050
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.2950
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.7050
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.3000
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.7000
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.3000
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.7000
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.2950
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.7050
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.2950
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.7050
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.3450
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.6550
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.3550
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.6450
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.2950
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.7050
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.3250
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.6750
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.3350
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.6650
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.3300
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.6700
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.3300
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.6700
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.4000
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.6000
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.8450
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.1550
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.8400
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.1600
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.8250
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.1750
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.7150
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.2850
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0600
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9400
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9990
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 767, Buy volume: 184663.06, Sell volume: 132434.12, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.4400
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.5600
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.1550
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.8450
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.1350
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.8650
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.1400
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.8600
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.1400
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.8600
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.1400
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.8600
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1400
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.8600
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.1800
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.8200
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.1650
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.2400
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.7600
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.1850
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.8150
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.2000
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.8000
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.2150
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.7850
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.2150
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40028520.73, Sell volume: 19346531.58, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.2350
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.7650
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.2350
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.7650
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.2350
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.7650
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.2350
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.7650
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.2300
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.7700
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.2250
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.2250
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.7750
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.2350
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.7650
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.2350
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.7650
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.2350
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.7650
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.7650
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.2300
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.7700
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.2250
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.7750
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40028520.73, Sell volume: 19346531.58, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.2200
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.2400
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.7600
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.2450
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.2450
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.7650
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.2350
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40028520.73, Sell volume: 19346531.58, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.1950
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.8050
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.1950
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.8050
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.1950
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40028520.73, Sell volume: 19346531.58, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.8050
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.1950
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40028520.73, Sell volume: 19346531.58, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.2050
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.7950
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.2000
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.8000
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.2000
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.8000
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.1950
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.8050
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.7950
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.2050
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.2000
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.8000
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.1950
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.8050
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.1950
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.8050
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.2000
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.8000
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.2000
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.8000
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.2050
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.2050
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.7950
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.2050
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.7950
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.2000
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40028520.73, Sell volume: 19346531.58, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.1800
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.8200
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.2000
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.8000
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.2150
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.7850
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.2100
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.7900
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.2100
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.7900
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.2100
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.7900
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.2100
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.7900
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.2100
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.7900
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.1950
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.8050
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.1950
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.8050
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.1900
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.8100
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.2000
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.8000
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.2000
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.8000
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.2000
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.8000
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.2000
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40028520.73, Sell volume: 19346531.58, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.1950
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.8050
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.2100
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40028520.73, Sell volume: 19346531.58, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546080
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 11-14%?
Volume: 421153.630825
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.1900
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.8100
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.1900
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.8100
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.1900
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.8100
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.1900
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.8100
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.1950
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.8050
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.1900
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.8100
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.1900
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.8100
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.2050
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 245754, Buy volume: 8749804.73, Sell volume: 4237897.86, Average price: 0.5047, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes