Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9250
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0750
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0750
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9250
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9250
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 3406.52, Sell volume: 125.31, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.4800
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.5150
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.5100
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.5100
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.5050
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.5050
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.1450
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.1400
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.8600
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.1400
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.8650
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.1350
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.8650
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.1300
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.1250
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1400
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.1405
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.8590
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8585
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.8355
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8545
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.8545
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.8545
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.1170
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1105
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.8895
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.8895
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.1105
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.8895
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.1105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 101.51, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9373, Price range: 0.7690 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8895
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1105
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.8895
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8895
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1105
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8895
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.1095
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.8945
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.1055
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.8945
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.8945
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.1055
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.1055
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.8945
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.8945
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8940
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9010
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0955
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0895
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0855
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0855
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0895
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9105
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0895
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0150
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9850
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0150
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9850
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0150
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9845
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0155
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0060
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0060
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0060
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0060
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 71.00, Average price: 0.7437, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0185
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9815
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0185
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9815
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0185
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9815
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0185
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9815
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0180
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 37.50, Sell volume: 17.49, Average price: 0.4990, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 13.49, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.2950
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.2850
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.2700
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.2400
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.2800
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.1950
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0750
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0700
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0700
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0700
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0700
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.1000
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.1000
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.1100
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.1050
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.1400
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.1100
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.1100
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 105.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8633, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.1350
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.1600
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.1500
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.1000
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.1450
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.1050
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1600
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.1500
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.1450
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.1450
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.1200
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.1200
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.1150
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.1150
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.1150
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.1150
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.1150
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0850
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0850
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0850
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0850
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0850
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0850
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0850
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0850
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0850
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0850
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0850
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0850
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0800
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0800
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0800
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9200
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 16.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5700, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9200
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9000
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.9150
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0600
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0500
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9200
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0800
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9200
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9000
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.8800
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.8700
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0950
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9000
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 16.67, Sell volume: 11.66, Average price: 0.2900, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9050
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9050
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0950
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.9050
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0950
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9050
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9350
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9150
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9150
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9150
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9150
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0850
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9150
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0850
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9200
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9200
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0800
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0800
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 3406.52, Sell volume: 125.31, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0800
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0800
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9150
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9150
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9200
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0800
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9100
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0900
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9100
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.7650
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.2150
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.2600
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.2400
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.8450
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.1200
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 3406.52, Sell volume: 125.31, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.1400
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8450
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.2800
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.8600
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.1150
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.2800
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.1650
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.3900
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9250
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 3406.52, Sell volume: 125.31, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.67, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 3406.52, Sell volume: 125.31, Average price: 0.7241, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.5150
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.4900
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.4850
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.5100
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.4950
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.1450
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.1400
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.8700
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.1250
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.8750
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8590
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.8535
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.8550
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.1455
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.8625
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.1105
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.8895
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.8895
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8895
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 101.51, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.9373, Price range: 0.7690 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8895
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.8895
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.1105
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.1095
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.8945
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.1055
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.8945
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.1055
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.8945
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0955
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0895
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0885
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0895
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0150
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0150
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0150
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0155
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0060
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0170
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 71.00, Average price: 0.7437, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0185
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0185
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0185
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0185
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0185
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 37.50, Sell volume: 17.49, Average price: 0.4990, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561667
Question: Will Serbia win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 3531.829884
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 13.49, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.4850
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.1750
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.8150
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.1750
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.8300
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.1700
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.8300
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.1700
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.8250
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.2750
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.6850
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.3650
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.7850
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.2000
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.8900
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.1100
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.8850
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.1450
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.8450
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.1550
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.8650
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.1350
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.8900
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.1550
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.6650
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.2850
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.6750
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.2750
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.2750
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.6900
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.2300
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.7400
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.7800
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.2150
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.8400
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.1600
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.8050
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.2000
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.8300
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.1700
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.8350
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.1700
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.8350
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 16494.30, Sell volume: 6268.43, Average price: 0.5582, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9174

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.1300
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.8700
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.1300
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.8700
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.1300
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.8700
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.1300
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.8650
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.1300
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.8700
2025-03-28 01:00: 0.1300
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.8700
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.1300
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.8700
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.1300
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.8750
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.1750
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.8550
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.1350
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.8650
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.1450
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.8600
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.1500
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.8550
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.1450
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.8550
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.1400
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.8300
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.1800
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.8550
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.1800
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.8350
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.1650
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.8350
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.1650
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.8350
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.1850
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.8250
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.1750
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.8250
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.1750
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.8250
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.1800
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.8200
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.1800
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.8200
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.1800
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.8150
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.1850
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1598.89, Sell volume: 716.75, Average price: 0.4637, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8874

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.8150
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.1850
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.8150
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.1850
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.8150
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.1850
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.8150
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.1850
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.8150
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.1850
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.8200
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.1850
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.8150
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.1750
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.8250
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.1750
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.8250
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.1750
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.8250
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.1750
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.8250
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.1750
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.8300
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.1700
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.8300
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.1700
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.8300
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.1700
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.8300
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.1700
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.8300
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.1700
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.8300
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.1700
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.8300
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.1700
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.8450
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.1500
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.8450
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.1600
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.8400
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.1600
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.8350
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.1700
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.8300
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.1700
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.8300
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.1700
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.8300
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 911.17, Sell volume: 5.26, Average price: 0.6457, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.1700
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9000
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.1000
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.9000
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.1050
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9050
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9050
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.0950
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9050
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0950
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9000
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.1000
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9000
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.1000
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.9000
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.1000
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.9000
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.1000
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9050
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.0950
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9050
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.0950
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9050
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9050
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0950
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9050
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0950
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.0950
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.9050
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.0950
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9050
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0950
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9050
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.8750
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.1200
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.8800
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.1950
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.1700
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.7850
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.2100
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.7850
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.1700
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.1700
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2047.75, Sell volume: 2074.42, Average price: 0.4194, Price range: 0.0947 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.8100
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.2600
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.7550
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.2400
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.7650
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.2250
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.7650
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.2100
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.7650
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.2300
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.7700
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.2150
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.7750
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.2550
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.7700
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.2350
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.7600
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.2400
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.7600
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.2400
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.7600
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.2450
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.7450
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.2600
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.7800
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.2200
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.7650
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.2350
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.5800
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.4300
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.6050
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.3800
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.6150
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.3850
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.5900
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.4050
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.7000
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.2700
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7350
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.2600
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.2900
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.7150
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.2850
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.7050
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.3000
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.7000
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.3000
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.7000
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 2578.28, Sell volume: 2082.80, Average price: 0.5304, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.3000
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.7000
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.3000
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.7200
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.2700
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.7350
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.2750
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.7250
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.2750
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.7250
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.2750
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.7250
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.2750
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.7200
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.2800
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.6550
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.3300
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.6650
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.3500
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.6900
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.3050
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.6400
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.3650
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.6350
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.6600
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.3350
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.6650
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.3350
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.6650
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.3350
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.6650
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.3350
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.6650
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.3350
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.6700
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.2250
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.2250
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.8000
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.2300
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8100
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1800
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.7850
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.2450
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1038.18, Sell volume: 162.38, Average price: 0.6278, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.7600
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.2200
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.7900
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.2100
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.8000
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.1950
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.8050
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.1950
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.8000
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.2000
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.8050
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.1950
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.8200
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.1600
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.1900
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.8100
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.1900
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.8100
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.7700
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.2100
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.7550
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.2800
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.7200
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.7350
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.2650
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.7450
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.2650
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.7400
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.3000
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.6800
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.3200
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7850
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2800
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.7400
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2400
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.7550
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2400
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.7550
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1117.70, Sell volume: 104.83, Average price: 0.5884, Price range: 0.2254 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.2600
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7650
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2450
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.7450
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.2650
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8150
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.7550
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.2350
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.7800
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.2250
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.7350
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.2650
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3350
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.7550
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.2450
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.7700
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.2450
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2650
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7400
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.7400
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.7400
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.2600
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7450
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.7700
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2300
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.7850
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1783.93, Sell volume: 765.63, Average price: 0.4841, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.7850
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2200
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.7800
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.2200
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7800
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2200
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.7800
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.2200
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.7800
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.2200
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.7800
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2200
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.7800
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2200
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.7800
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.2200
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.7800
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.2450
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7550
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2600
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7400
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.2650
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.4350
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.3900
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.6250
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.3800
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.6250
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.3750
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5900
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4150
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5950
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.3850
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.5900
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 5052.76, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5244, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.4750
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5100
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4900
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5100
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5150
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.4700
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.5450
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.5150
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.4850
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.4700
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.5150
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.5100
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.5150
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.5250
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.5050
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.5100
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.4950
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.5300
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.5150
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.4850
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.5250
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.4650
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.5300
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.4750
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.5150
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.4650
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.5400
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.5200
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.5200
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.4600
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.5500
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.4500
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.5200
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.4750
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.4600
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.5550
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.4550
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.6150
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.4000
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.6050
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.3850
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.6450
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.3500
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.6500
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.3500
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1814.40, Sell volume: 280.56, Average price: 0.5082, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6715

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.6200
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.3750
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.6250
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.3850
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.6250
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.3750
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.6250
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.3750
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.6200
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.3750
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.6100
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.3750
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.6250
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.3800
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.6250
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.6300
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.3650
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.6300
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.3700
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.6400
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.3700
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.6400
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.3600
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.6300
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.3600
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.6400
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.2900
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.8250
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.1000
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9100
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0200
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.8855
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.0950
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.9815
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0120
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.9820
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.0190
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9865
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0200
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.9855
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0180
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9825
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.0170
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9810
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9810
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 5290.37, Sell volume: 89.13, Average price: 0.7052, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9845
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0160
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.9875
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.0130
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.9885
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0125
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9920
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0080
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.9920
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.0080
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.9920
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0080
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9920
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0080
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9920
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0080
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9875
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9890
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0085
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.9920
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9935
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9945
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0065
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0085
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9905
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9890
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0110
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9885
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0090
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.9910
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0100
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9905
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0095
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9900
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0085
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9910
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0070
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9905
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0075
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9900
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0080
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9945
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 606.06, Sell volume: 8248.37, Average price: 0.6143, Price range: 0.0026 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9900
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0090
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9905
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0080
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9910
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0120
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9890
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9870
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9885
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0130
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9890
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0120
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.9900
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9900
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0100
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9905
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0100
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9910
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0090
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.9910
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0080
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.9910
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0100
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9890
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0110
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9895
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0105
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9895
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0105
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9850
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0155
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9925
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0105
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9915
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0090
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9885
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0120
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9880
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9915
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0100
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9915
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0080
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9915
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9955
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 12233.74, Sell volume: 1390.37, Average price: 0.7144, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.7700
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.7550
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.1950
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.8100
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.8450
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.1500
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.8500
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.1500
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.8500
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.1500
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9000
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0900
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9100
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0550
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.9450
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0550
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9500
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0500
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9600
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0310
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9690
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0310
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9740
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0255
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9745
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0255
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9745
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0250
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9750
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0250
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9750
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0240
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9760
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0240
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9760
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0240
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9760
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0230
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9770
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0230
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9770
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0230
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9750
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0285
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9715
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0285
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 77.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0645
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9255
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0800
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9340
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0800
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9350
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0740
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9380
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0800
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9335
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0765
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.8950
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.1045
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.8955
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.1040
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.8975
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.1025
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.8975
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1440
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.8985
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.1005
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.8995
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.1005
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.8995
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0930
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.8960
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.1270
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.9065
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.1035
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.9120
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0885
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9115
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0885
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.9115
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0885
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.9115
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0885
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.9110
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0890
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.9110
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0890
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9135
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0890
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.9110
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0890
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9110
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0890
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9110
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0890
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0890
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9110
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0890
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9110
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0890
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9110
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0890
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.9155
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0840
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9160
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.0840
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.9160
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0840
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.9185
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0830
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.9195
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0830
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.9215
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0800
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9200
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0800
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9200
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0800
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.9240
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0790
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0800
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9200
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0805
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9195
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0805
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.9195
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0755
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9245
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0755
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.9245
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0755
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.9245
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0765
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9195
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0805
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.9195
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0805
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0805
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0780
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9330
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9555
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0255
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0075
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9925
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0075
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9925
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0075
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0085
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.9920
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.9920
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9915
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0085
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.9915
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9915
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9915
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9910
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9910
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0090
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0090
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0090
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0090
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0090
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0090
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.0090
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9920
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9920
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0080
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.0080
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.0080
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.9920
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.0080
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0080
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9920
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0080
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.9920
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0080
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9920
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9920
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.9920
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0080
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9925
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0100
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.9900
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0100
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.9900
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0075
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0075
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0075
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9925
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0075
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.0865
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9340
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.9920, Price range: 0.9860 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0100
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.9900
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9900
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9900
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0100
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0100
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0100
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0100
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.0100
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0100
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9900
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.9900
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9900
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0095
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9905
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9905
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9900
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.0095
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9905
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.0095
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.0095
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9905
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9905
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9905
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.0095
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9905
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9905
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0095
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9905
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9905
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0095
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9905
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0095
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9905
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9905
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9905
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.0100
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0100
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0100
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9900
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.0100
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9900
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.0100
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9900
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9900
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9900
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0100
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0100
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9900
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.9830, Price range: 0.9830 - 0.9830

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9900
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9900
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9900
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0100
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9900
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9900
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9900
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0100
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0100
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0100
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0100
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9900
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0100
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9900
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9900
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0100
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9900
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9900
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0100
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0100
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0100
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9900
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0100
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9900
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0100
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0100
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0100
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9900
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0100
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9900
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9900
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0100
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9905
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0095
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0095
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9905
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0095
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9905
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9905
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0095
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0095
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0095
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9905
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0095
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9905
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9905
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0095
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9905
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0095
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 7406.30, Sell volume: 70.67, Average price: 0.8443, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9905
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9905
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0095
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0095
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0095
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9905
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0095
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0095
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9905
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0095
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9905
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9905
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9905
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0095
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9905
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0095
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9905
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0095
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9905
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0095
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9905
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9905
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9905
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0095
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0090
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0090
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0090
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9910
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9910
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9910
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9910
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0090
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0090
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0090
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0090
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0090
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9910
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9910
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0090
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9910
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 7406.30, Sell volume: 70.67, Average price: 0.8443, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9910
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.8535
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.8750
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.1165
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0990
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0990
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0995
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9005
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0995
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9000
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0995
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9005
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.1005
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9005
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9005
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0995
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9005
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9005
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.8785
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0995
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0995
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9000
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.1000
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9000
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0995
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9005
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9005
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.1000
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.1005
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9005
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0995
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0995
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9005
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0995
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9070
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9005
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9005
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0995
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9005
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0985
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9005
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9005
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9005
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0985
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0945
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.8260
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 32.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1530, Price range: 0.1530 - 0.1530

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9005
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0995
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9050
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0950
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0945
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9055
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0945
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9010
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9010
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9005
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1210
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9050
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0965
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0950
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5490
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.5055
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.4945
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.7695
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2300
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.2300
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.2300
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.7700
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.2300
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.7700
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.2300
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.2300
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.2300
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.7700
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.7700
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.7700
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.7700
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.2300
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.7700
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.2300
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.4960
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0505
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0505
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9495
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0505
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0505
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0505
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9495
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9495
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9545
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9545
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 32.69, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9495
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0505
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9495
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9495
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9495
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0490
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9545
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9645
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9765
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9850
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.1770
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.1770
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.8225
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.8225
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.1775
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.8225
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.1775
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.8225
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.1775
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.8225
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.1775
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.8225
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.8225
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.8225
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.1775
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.1780
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.1635
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.8365
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.1635
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.1635
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.1635
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.8815
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9960
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0040
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9960
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9960
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 305.66, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.8073, Price range: 0.0113 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9960
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9960
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0040
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9960
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0040
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0040
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9960
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9960
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9960
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0040
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9960
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0040
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0040
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0040
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9960
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0040
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9960
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0040
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0040
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0040
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0040
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0040
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0040
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 7406.30, Sell volume: 70.67, Average price: 0.8443, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0040
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 37.50, Sell volume: 17.49, Average price: 0.4995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 13.49, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.4850
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.8150
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.8250
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.8300
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.8300
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.8250
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.7300
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.7750
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.7850
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.8350
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.9400
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.8550
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.8450
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.8650
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.8700
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.7150
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.7200
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.7000
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.7450
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.7800
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.8400
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.8400
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.8250
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.8300
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 16494.30, Sell volume: 6268.43, Average price: 0.5582, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9174
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.1300
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.1300
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.1300
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.1300
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.1350
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.1300
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.1300
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.1300
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.1300
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.1300
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.1750
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.1350
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.1350
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.1400
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.1450
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.1450
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.1450
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.1700
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.1750
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.1650
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.1650
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.1650
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.1650
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.1750
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.1750
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.1750
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.1750
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.1800
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.1800
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1598.89, Sell volume: 716.75, Average price: 0.4637, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8874
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.8150
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.8150
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.8150
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.8150
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.8150
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.8150
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.8200
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.8150
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.8250
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.8200
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.8250
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.8250
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.8250
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.8250
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.8300
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.8300
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.8300
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.8300
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.8300
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.8300
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.8300
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.8300
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.8300
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.8500
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.8450
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.8400
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.8400
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.8300
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.8300
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 911.17, Sell volume: 5.26, Average price: 0.6457, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.1700
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.1000
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.1000
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.1050
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.0950
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.1000
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.1000
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.1000
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.1000
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.1000
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0950
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0950
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0950
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.0950
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.0950
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.1250
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.1200
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.1950
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.1800
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.2150
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.1950
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2047.75, Sell volume: 2074.42, Average price: 0.4194, Price range: 0.0947 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.8100
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.7400
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.7550
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.7750
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.7700
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.7650
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.7700
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.7950
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.7450
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.7650
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.7600
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.7600
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.7600
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.7550
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.7450
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.7800
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.7600
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.7650
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.5700
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.6200
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.6150
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.5950
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.5950
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.7300
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.7350
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.7150
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.7050
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.7000
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 2578.28, Sell volume: 2082.80, Average price: 0.5304, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.3000
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.3000
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.2800
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.2750
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.2750
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.2750
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.2750
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.2750
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.2800
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.2800
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.3300
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.3500
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.3100
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.3600
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.3800
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.3400
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.3400
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.3350
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.3350
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.3350
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.3350
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.3350
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.2250
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.2350
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2000
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.2100
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1038.18, Sell volume: 162.38, Average price: 0.6278, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.7600
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.7900
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.7950
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.8050
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.8050
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.8000
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.8000
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.8000
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.8400
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.8100
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.8100
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.8100
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.7900
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.7200
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.7200
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.7050
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.7450
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.7350
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.7050
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.6800
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.6700
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.7150
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.7250
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7300
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.7600
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1117.70, Sell volume: 104.83, Average price: 0.5884, Price range: 0.2254 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.2550
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.2600
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.2400
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2600
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.2350
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.2450
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2650
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2500
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3350
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2250
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2450
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2550
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2600
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.2600
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.2600
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2550
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2300
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1783.93, Sell volume: 765.63, Average price: 0.4841, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.7850
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.7800
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.7800
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.7800
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.7800
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.7800
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.7800
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7800
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.7550
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7550
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.7250
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.7350
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.6050
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.5650
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.5850
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.6250
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.6250
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.6250
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5850
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 5052.76, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5244, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.4750
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4900
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.5150
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.4850
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.5150
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.5150
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.4850
2025-05-09 20:00: 0.4900
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.5050
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.4650
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.4700
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.4900
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.4550
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.4650
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.4900
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.5300
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.5200
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.5500
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.5500
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.5050
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.4400
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.4550
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.3850
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.3950
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.3650
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1814.40, Sell volume: 280.56, Average price: 0.5082, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6715
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.6200
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.6250
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.6250
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.6250
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.6150
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.6200
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.6250
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.6300
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.6200
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.6450
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.6300
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.6400
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.6300
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.6400
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.6300
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.6400
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.7150
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.9000
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9100
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.8855
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.9330
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9915
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.9860
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9840
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9865
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9790
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9835
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9830
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 5290.37, Sell volume: 89.13, Average price: 0.7052, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.0160
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0125
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0145
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0130
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0080
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.0080
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0080
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.0080
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0080
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0080
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0125
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0080
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0065
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0080
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0110
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0090
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.0090
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0090
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0100
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0085
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0100
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0090
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 606.06, Sell volume: 8248.37, Average price: 0.6143, Price range: 0.0026 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529655
Question: Will the IRS collect more taxes this year than last?
Volume: 77098.666978
Price History:
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9900
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9900
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9895
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.9880
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9915
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9870
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9870
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9880
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9880
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9900
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9900
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.9895
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9910
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9910
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.9930
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.9910
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9910
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9900
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9895
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9895
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9850
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9910
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9910
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9880
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9920
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9875
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9920
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 12233.74, Sell volume: 1390.37, Average price: 0.7144, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.1950
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.1900
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.1650
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.1500
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.1500
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0900
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0550
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0550
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0500
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0400
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0310
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0260
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0255
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0255
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0250
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0250
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0240
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0240
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0240
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0230
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0230
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0230
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0230
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0285
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0285
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0285
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 77.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0645
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0825
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0585
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0550
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0590
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0665
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.1055
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.1045
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.1040
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.1025
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1445
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.1005
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.1005
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.1005
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.1040
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.1095
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0945
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0885
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0885
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0885
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0885
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0890
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.0890
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0865
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0890
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0890
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0890
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0890
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0890
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0890
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0890
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0890
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.0890
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0840
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0840
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0840
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.0825
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0830
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0830
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.0810
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0820
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.0800
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0800
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0800
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0805
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0805
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0755
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0755
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0755
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0755
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0805
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0805
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.9195
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0730
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9595
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0075
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0075
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9925
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.0075
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0085
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9920
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.0085
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0085
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0085
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9910
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0090
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0090
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0090
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9910
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.9920
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0080
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9920
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9920
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9920
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0080
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0080
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9920
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0080
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0080
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0100
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0100
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0075
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0075
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9930
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9340
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0410
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.9920, Price range: 0.9860 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0100
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9900
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9900
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0100
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.9900
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9900
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9900
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9900
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.9905
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9900
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9905
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0095
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0095
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9905
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0095
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9905
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9905
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9905
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0095
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0095
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9900
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9900
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0100
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0100
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9900
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9900
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0100
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9900
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0100
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.9830, Price range: 0.9830 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9900
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9900
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0100
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9900
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9900
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9900
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0100
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0100
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0100
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9900
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9900
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0100
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0100
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9900
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9900
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0100
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0100
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0100
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9905
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0095
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0095
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9905
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0095
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9905
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9905
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9905
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9905
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0095
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0095
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 7406.30, Sell volume: 70.67, Average price: 0.8443, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9905
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9905
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0095
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0095
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0095
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9905
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9905
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0095
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0095
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0095
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0095
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9905
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0095
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9910
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9910
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9910
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9910
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9910
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9910
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9910
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9910
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9910
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0090
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 7406.30, Sell volume: 70.67, Average price: 0.8443, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9910
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.8705
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0990
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0990
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0995
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0995
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0995
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0995
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9005
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.2825
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9005
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9000
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9005
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.4270
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9000
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9005
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9005
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0995
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0990
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0995
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0995
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0995
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9005
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9040
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.8260
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9015
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 32.69, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1530, Price range: 0.1530 - 0.1530
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9005
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9005
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9055
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0945
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0990
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0995
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9020
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9045
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4950
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.4945
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.7700
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.7700
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.7700
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.2300
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.2300
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.2300
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.7700
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2300
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.7700
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.4935
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0505
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0505
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9495
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0505
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9495
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9545
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0505
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 32.69, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9495
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9495
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0505
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9510
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9625
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0185
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.4955
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.8230
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.1775
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.8225
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.1775
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.8225
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.1775
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.8225
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8225
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.1780
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.8365
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.8365
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1475
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0040
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0040
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 305.66, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.8073, Price range: 0.0113 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0040
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0040
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0040
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0040
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0040
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 7406.30, Sell volume: 70.67, Average price: 0.8443, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 37.50, Sell volume: 17.49, Average price: 0.4995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561668
Question: Will Albania win UEFA Group K for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7476.974626
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 13.49, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.5000
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.5000
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.5300
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.7300
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.7300
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.7300
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.7550
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.1900
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.8150
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.1850
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.1800
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.1750
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.8300
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.1650
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.8350
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.1550
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.1600
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.1450
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.1450
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.1500
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.8500
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.1500
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.8500
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.8500
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.1150
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0950
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0950
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9000
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.8950
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.1250
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.8750
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.8750
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.8800
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9200
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9200
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.0900
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0850
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0850
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 601576
Question: Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2433246.231915
Price History:
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0850
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.1200
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.8650
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.8700
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.1250
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.1250
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.1300
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.8650
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.1300
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.8600
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.1250
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.1200
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.8850
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.8850
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.8850
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.8850
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.1150
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.1150
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.8850
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.1200
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.1450
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.8450
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.8450
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.8100
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.8050
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.1950
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.8150
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.1550
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.7850
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2100
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.7750
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2200
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7800
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7550
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.2450
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.2500
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2500
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 196298166.98, Sell volume: 53680124.58, Average price: 0.8612, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes