Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.7950
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.2050
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.8150
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.8250
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.2000
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.2600
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.2550
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.2450
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.2400
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.7650
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.7650
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.2350
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.7750
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.7600
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.2200
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.7900
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.7900
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.2150
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.7900
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.2350
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.7700
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.7650
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.2350
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.2250
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.7700
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.8050
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.2000
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.8400
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.1650
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.8400
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.8400
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.7750
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.2150
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.2150
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.2150
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.7750
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.2300
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.7750
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.2500
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 217864, Buy volume: 33549202.40, Sell volume: 9957453.59, Average price: 0.5460, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.1950
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.2000
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.8000
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.2000
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.8200
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.8250
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.8400
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.1300
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.1900
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.1850
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.7550
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.2250
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.7900
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.2100
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.2100
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.2100
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.8050
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.8050
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.7300
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.2400
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.2450
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.2350
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.2350
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2350
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.7850
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.8050
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.7900
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.2150
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.2150
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.2150
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.2150
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.2100
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.2100
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.7900
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.7850
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.2150
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.7950
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.8100
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.1800
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.1850
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.8100
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.1900
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 317, Buy volume: 47434.85, Sell volume: 39646.36, Average price: 0.6216, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.1900
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.8100
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.1800
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.8200
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.1800
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.1800
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.8200
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.8200
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.8000
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.8050
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.1800
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.1800
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.8350
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.8350
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.8350
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.7850
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.7900
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.8250
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.8150
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.1750
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.1700
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.1700
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.8100
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.1850
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.1850
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.1850
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.8200
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.1650
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.8350
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.8400
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.1650
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.8350
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.8450
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.8450
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.1500
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.8450
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.1550
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.8450
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.1550
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.8450
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.1350
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.8650
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.1250
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.8700
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.1350
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 147, Buy volume: 28755.43, Sell volume: 24946.72, Average price: 0.5814, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.1350
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.1400
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.8600
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.1400
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.8150
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.8450
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.1550
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.1550
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.1550
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.8350
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.8750
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.1300
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.1200
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.1200
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.8850
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.8850
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.1250
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.1400
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.1350
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.8650
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.8700
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.1250
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.8800
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.1200
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.1200
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.1200
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.1150
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.1150
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.1250
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.1200
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.8850
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.1050
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.8950
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.1050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.1050
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.1050
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.1050
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.8950
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.8800
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.8800
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.1550
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.8650
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.1450
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.8600
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 197, Buy volume: 36855.33, Sell volume: 24605.41, Average price: 0.6102, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.1200
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9100
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0800
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9450
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9450
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0450
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9450
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9450
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0550
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9450
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0550
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0500
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0500
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9550
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0450
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9550
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0450
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9550
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0450
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0450
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0450
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9500
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9550
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9550
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0450
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9600
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0400
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.9650
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9590
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0315
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0335
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0345
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9565
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9685
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9665
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9670
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9700
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0085
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0200
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9720
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0150
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9795
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0185
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 246, Buy volume: 25717.95, Sell volume: 29316.40, Average price: 0.7394, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.5000
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.6750
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.4050
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.4050
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.4450
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.4850
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.5800
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.5800
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.4000
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.4000
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.3650
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.6350
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.3650
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.3600
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.6300
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.6300
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.6300
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.3700
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.6350
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.3650
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.3650
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.3550
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.3500
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.6700
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.2950
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.7150
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.7300
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.7100
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148651868.33, Sell volume: 68629119.84, Average price: 0.5425, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.7050
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.7000
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.3000
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.7000
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.7000
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.7000
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.3000
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.3000
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.3000
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.3150
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.6850
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.6900
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.6850
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.3150
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.3150
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.6850
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.6850
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.6900
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.2950
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.2900
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.7100
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.7100
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.7100
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.7450
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.7350
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.6650
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.6850
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148651868.33, Sell volume: 68629119.84, Average price: 0.5425, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.3200
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.2850
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.2850
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.2900
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.3050
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.3050
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.3050
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.3000
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.2900
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.2850
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.2800
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.2750
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.7600
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.7350
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.2650
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.2600
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.7400
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.7400
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.7400
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.7750
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.7650
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.7700
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.7750
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.2350
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.2100
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.2050
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.2100
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.2300
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.2150
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148651868.33, Sell volume: 68629119.84, Average price: 0.5425, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.7750
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.7750
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.2050
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.2050
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.7900
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.1850
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.1850
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.1850
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.1850
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.2550
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.7400
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.6700
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.6800
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.6750
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.3250
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.3200
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.6850
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.6850
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.7150
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.7200
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.2700
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.2650
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.7350
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.7350
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.7550
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148651868.33, Sell volume: 68629119.84, Average price: 0.5425, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.7400
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.7050
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.7200
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2800
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.2800
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.2850
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.3050
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.3050
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.3050
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.6900
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.6900
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.7350
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7350
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.7550
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.8900
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.1350
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.8250
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.8300
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.1700
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.8350
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148651868.33, Sell volume: 68629119.84, Average price: 0.5425, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.1700
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.1700
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.1750
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0950
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.8750
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.8750
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.1250
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.1250
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.8750
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.1250
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.8950
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.1050
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8900
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.8950
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.2550
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.7500
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.2400
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.7450
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.7450
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 148651868.33, Sell volume: 68629119.84, Average price: 0.5425, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.8050
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.2100
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.2350
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.8500
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.8250
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.1800
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.1550
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.2050
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.2250
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.2150
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.2450
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.7600
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.1500
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.1500
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.8550
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.2300
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.7350
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.2550
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.2750
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.2650
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.2700
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.2650
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 351648, Buy volume: 65066066.60, Sell volume: 35785918.26, Average price: 0.4932, Price range: 0.1283 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.2700
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.7350
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.7500
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.7100
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.7550
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.7650
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.2950
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.6750
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.7350
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.6850
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.7150
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.2750
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.7000
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.7350
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.7500
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.7450
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.7450
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.7500
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.7800
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.7800
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.7950
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 427572, Buy volume: 49494227.02, Sell volume: 22767130.08, Average price: 0.5827, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.2050
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.8150
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.7200
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.2550
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.2400
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.7650
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.7750
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.2200
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.2150
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.2350
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.7650
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.2250
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.8050
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.8400
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.8400
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.7750
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.2150
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.2300
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.2500
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.7600
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.2500
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.7500
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.7200
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 217864, Buy volume: 33549202.40, Sell volume: 9957453.59, Average price: 0.5460, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.1950
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.8000
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.8200
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.8250
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.1300
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.1900
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.2250
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.2100
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.2100
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.8050
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.2400
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.2350
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2350
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.8050
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.7900
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.2150
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.2150
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.2100
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.7850
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.7950
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.8100
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.8100
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.8400
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.1950
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.1950
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 317, Buy volume: 47434.85, Sell volume: 39646.36, Average price: 0.6216, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.1900
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.1800
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.1800
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.8200
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.8050
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.1800
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.8350
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.7850
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.8250
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.8150
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.1700
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.1850
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.1850
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.1650
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.1650
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.8450
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.1500
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.1550
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.1550
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.1350
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.1250
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.1350
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.1500
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.1250
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.1100
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 147, Buy volume: 28755.43, Sell volume: 24946.72, Average price: 0.5814, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.1350
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.8600
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.8150
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.1550
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.1550
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.1600
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.1300
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.1200
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.8800
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.1250
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.1350
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.1300
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.1250
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.1200
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.1200
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.1150
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.1200
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.1050
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.1050
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.1050
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.8950
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.8800
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.8650
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.8600
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1200
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.8650
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.1150
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.8850
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 197, Buy volume: 36855.33, Sell volume: 24605.41, Average price: 0.6102, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 575195
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Volume: 494718.513188
Price History:
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.8700
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9100
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9450
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9450
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9450
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9450
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0550
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0500
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0450
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0450
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0450
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0450
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9550
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0450
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0400
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0315
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0345
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9685
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9670
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0085
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0200
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0150
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0185
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9870
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0180
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 246, Buy volume: 25717.95, Sell volume: 29316.40, Average price: 0.7394, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.2250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.2000
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.8000
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.2000
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8000
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.2000
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8000
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.1900
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.8100
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.8100
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1900
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.1700
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.1700
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.1700
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1700
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 449, Buy volume: 185172.91, Sell volume: 29743.98, Average price: 0.5073, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2150
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2200
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2300
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7600
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2400
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.7600
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.2400
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7600
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.2400
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.7600
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.2400
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7600
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.2400
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 290.84, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4163, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2550
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.7450
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1821.82, Sell volume: 18.00, Average price: 0.5817, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 477.09, Sell volume: 478.59, Average price: 0.5569, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.2150
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.7850
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.7600
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.2200
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.7800
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.2200
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.7800
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.2200
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.7800
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.7750
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.2400
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.7600
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 633.48, Sell volume: 1313.89, Average price: 0.3946, Price range: 0.1872 - 0.8065

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.7700
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.2100
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.7900
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.2200
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.7800
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.7750
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.2250
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.7750
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.2250
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.7750
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.2300
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.7700
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.2300
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.2300
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.7700
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.1950
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.4050
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 7156.82, Sell volume: 2201.31, Average price: 0.4621, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.1700
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.8300
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.1700
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.8300
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.1600
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.8400
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.1550
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.8450
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.1550
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.8450
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.8550
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.8550
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.1600
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.8400
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.1950
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.1950
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 3567.27, Sell volume: 1256.99, Average price: 0.5873, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.7800
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.7850
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.2300
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.7700
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.2250
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.7750
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.2150
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.7850
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.2200
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.7800
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.2300
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.7700
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.2150
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 10899.89, Sell volume: 3079.40, Average price: 0.5226, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.2300
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.7700
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.2350
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.7650
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.7650
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.2450
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.2300
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.7700
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.2200
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.7800
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.7750
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.2300
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.7700
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.2200
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.7800
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.2150
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.7850
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.2050
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.7950
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.1950
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.8050
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.8050
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.2050
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.7950
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 10855.37, Sell volume: 1700.04, Average price: 0.4863, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8175

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.7950
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.2100
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.7900
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.7950
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.7950
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.2000
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.8000
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.1900
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.8100
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.1900
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.8100
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.1800
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1709.12, Sell volume: 341.18, Average price: 0.6396, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8220

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.2100
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.1700
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.8300
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.1450
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.8550
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.1500
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.8500
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.1550
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.8450
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.1650
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.8350
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.8200
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.1500
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.8500
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.1150
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.8850
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 18515.79, Sell volume: 892.45, Average price: 0.5372, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.1500
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8500
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.1900
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.8100
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.1900
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.8100
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.2000
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.8000
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.1800
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.8200
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.1800
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.8200
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.1650
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.8350
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.1650
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.8350
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.1550
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 3734.36, Sell volume: 834.58, Average price: 0.5409, Price range: 0.1481 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.1250
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.8750
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.1900
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.8100
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.1650
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.8350
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.1400
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.1400
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.1400
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.1450
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.8550
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.1450
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8550
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.1500
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.8500
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.1550
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.8450
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.1500
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.8500
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 92559.04, Sell volume: 13305.07, Average price: 0.4003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.2250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.2000
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.8000
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.2000
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8000
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.2050
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.2000
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8000
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.1900
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.8100
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.8100
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1900
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.1700
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.1700
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.1700
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.1700
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 449, Buy volume: 185172.91, Sell volume: 29743.98, Average price: 0.5073, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.8300
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2150
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2200
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2300
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.7700
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7600
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2400
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.7600
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.2400
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7600
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.2400
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.7600
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.2400
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7600
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 290.84, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4163, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2550
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.7450
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1821.82, Sell volume: 18.00, Average price: 0.5817, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 477.09, Sell volume: 478.59, Average price: 0.5569, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.2550
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.2150
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.7850
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.7600
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.2200
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.7800
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.2200
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.7800
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.2200
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.7800
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.7750
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.2400
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 633.48, Sell volume: 1313.89, Average price: 0.3946, Price range: 0.1872 - 0.8065
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.7700
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.2100
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.7900
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.2200
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.7800
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.7750
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.2250
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.7750
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.2250
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.7750
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.2300
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.7700
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.2300
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.2300
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.7700
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.1950
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.8050
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 7156.82, Sell volume: 2201.31, Average price: 0.4621, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.1700
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.8300
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.8200
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.1700
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.8300
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.1600
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.8400
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.1550
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.8450
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.1550
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.8450
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.8550
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.8550
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.1600
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.8400
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1950
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.8050
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.1950
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.8050
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.1950
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.8050
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 3567.27, Sell volume: 1256.99, Average price: 0.5873, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.7800
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.7850
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.2300
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.7700
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.2250
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.7750
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.2150
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.7850
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.2200
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.7800
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.2300
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.7700
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.8250
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 10899.89, Sell volume: 3079.40, Average price: 0.5226, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.2300
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.7700
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.2350
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.7650
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.7650
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.2450
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.7550
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.2300
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.7700
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.2200
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.7800
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.7750
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.2300
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.7700
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.7750
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.2200
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.7800
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.2150
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.7850
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.2050
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.7950
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.1950
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.8050
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.8050
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.2050
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 10855.37, Sell volume: 1700.04, Average price: 0.4863, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8175
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.7950
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.2100
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.7900
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.7950
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.7950
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.2000
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.8000
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.1900
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.8100
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.1900
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.8100
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1709.12, Sell volume: 341.18, Average price: 0.6396, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8220
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.2100
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.1700
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.8300
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.1450
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.8550
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.1500
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.8500
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.1550
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.8450
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.1650
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.8350
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.8200
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.1500
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.8500
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.1150
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.8850
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.1300
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 18515.79, Sell volume: 892.45, Average price: 0.5372, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.1300
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.1500
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8500
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.1900
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.8100
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.1900
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.8100
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.2000
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.8000
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.1800
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.8200
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.1800
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.8200
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.1650
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.8350
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.8250
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.1650
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.8350
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 3734.36, Sell volume: 834.58, Average price: 0.5409, Price range: 0.1481 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641872
Question: Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Volume: 214916.894789
Price History:
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.1250
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.8750
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.1350
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8650
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.1900
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.8100
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.1650
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.8350
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.1400
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.1400
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.1400
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.1450
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.8550
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.1450
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8550
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.1500
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.8500
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.1550
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.8450
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.1500
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 92559.04, Sell volume: 13305.07, Average price: 0.4003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.5050
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.5050
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.5050
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.5050
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.5050
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.5050
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.4850
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.5150
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.4850
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.5150
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.4850
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.2550
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.7550
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.7550
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.7450
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.2450
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2450
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.7550
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2450
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.7450
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.7550
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.7450
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.2550
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.2550
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.2550
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.2550
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.2550
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.2550
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.7450
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.7450
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.2550
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.2450
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.2450
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.7550
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.2450
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.7550
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.2450
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.7450
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7450
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.2550
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.7450
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.2400
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.7600
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.2400
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.7600
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.2400
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.2150
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.7800
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.8600
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0800
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.7850
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.2250
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.2250
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.7750
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.2000
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.7800
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.2200
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.2200
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.2200
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.2250
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.2200
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.6400
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.2200
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.6450
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.6450
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.3550
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.6800
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.6800
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.3150
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.6850
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.6850
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.6850
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.6850
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.2950
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.2950
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.3850
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.6200
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.3550
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.6150
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.3550
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.6450
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.3800
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.6800
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.3250
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.6750
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.1400
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.8600
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.2600
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.7450
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.7450
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.8650
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.1350
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.8650
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.1350
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.1400
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.2400
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.2450
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.2550
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.7550
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.2450
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.7600
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.2350
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.7800
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.8700
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.8700
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.8700
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.8700
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.8700
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.8700
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.8700
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.8700
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.1300
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.1300
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.8700
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.1300
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.8700
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.0300, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.0300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.1150
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.1150
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.1150
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.1150
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.1150
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.1150
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.1150
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.1150
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.1150
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.1150
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.1150
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.1150
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.8850
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.1150
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.8850
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.8850
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.1150
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.8850
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.1150
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.8850
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.8850
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.8850
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.1150
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.8850
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.8850
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.8850
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.1150
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.1150
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1150
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.8850
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.1150
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.8850
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.8850
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.8850
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.8850
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.8850
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.8850
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.8850
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.8850
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8850
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.1150
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.1150
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.8850
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.1150
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.1150
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.8850
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.1150
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.8850
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.8900
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.8900
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.8900
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.8900
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.1100
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.8900
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.8900
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.8900
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.8900
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.8900
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.8900
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.8900
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.8900
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.1100
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.8900
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.8900
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.8900
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.8900
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.1100
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.1100
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.8900
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.1100
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.1100
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9450
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.1100
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.7100
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.2900
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.2900
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.7100
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.2900
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.7100
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.7100
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.2900
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.2900
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.2900
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.7100
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.2900
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.7100
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.2900
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.2900
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.2900
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.2900
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.7100
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.5050
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.5050
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.5050
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.5150
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.4850
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.5150
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.4850
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.2550
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.7550
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.7450
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.2550
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.2450
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2450
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.2450
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.2550
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.2550
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.7550
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.2550
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.7450
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.7450
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.2550
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.2550
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.7550
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.7550
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.2450
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.7450
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.7450
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.2550
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.2350
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.7600
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.2450
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.7850
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.8900
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.1850
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.2250
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.8000
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.2200
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.2200
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.2200
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.7800
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.2200
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.3550
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.6800
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.6850
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.3150
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.6850
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.3850
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.6450
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.6450
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.6450
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.3200
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.6750
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.1400
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.1350
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.1450
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.8650
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.8650
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.8600
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.2400
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.7550
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.2450
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.7650
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.8700
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.8700
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.8700
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.8700
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.1300
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.8700
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.1300
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.1300
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.8700
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.1300
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.0300, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.0300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.8850
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.1150
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.1150
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.8850
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.1150
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.8850
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.1150
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.1150
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.8850
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.8850
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.1150
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.8850
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.8850
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.8850
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.8850
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.1150
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.8850
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.8850
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.8850
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.8850
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.8850
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.8850
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.8850
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.8850
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.8850
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8850
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.8850
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.8850
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.1150
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.8850
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.1100
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.8900
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.1100
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.8900
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.1100
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.8900
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.1100
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.8900
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.8900
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.8900
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.8900
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.1100
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.8900
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570087
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore <60
Volume: 16.0303
Price History:
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.1100
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.1100
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.8900
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.8900
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.8900
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.8900
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9450
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.7100
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.7100
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.7100
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.7100
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.2900
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.7100
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.2900
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.7100
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.7100
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.2900
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.7100
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.03, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570088
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore 60–69
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10.0
Price History:
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.5050
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.5050
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.5050
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.5050
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.5050
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.5050
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.4850
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.5150
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.4850
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.5150
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.4850
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.7450
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.2550
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.7550
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.7550
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.7450
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7450
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.7550
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7550
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.7550
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2450
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570088
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore 60–69
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10.0
Price History:
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.2550
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.7450
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.7550
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.2450
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.7550
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.7550
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.2550
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.7450
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570088
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore 60–69
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10.0
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.7450
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.2550
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.2550
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.2550
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.2550
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.7450
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.2550
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.7450
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.2550
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.2550
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.2550
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570088
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore 60–69
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10.0
Price History:
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.2400
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.2350
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.2350
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.2350
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.2350
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.2350
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.2350
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.2350
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.7600
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.2550
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.7450
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.7450
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.2250
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.7700
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.1750
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.8500
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0900
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.7650
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.2350
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.2350
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.7650
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.2150
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.7700
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.7700
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.2300
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.7650
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.2300
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.6450
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.2300
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.6500
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.6500
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.6450
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570088
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore 60–69
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10.0
Price History:
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.3250
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.7250
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.3200
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.6900
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.3050
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.7350
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.2650
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.6250
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.3750
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.6250
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.3700
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.3650
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.3900
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.3700
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.3700
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.3600
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.4050
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.3550
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.3550
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.7400
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.2450
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.7550
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.7550
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.2450
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.7750
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.2200
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.7800
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.8050
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.1950
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.8000
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.1950
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.2050
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.8000
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.2400
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.7600
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.2300
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.7450
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.7450
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570088
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore 60–69
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10.0
Price History:
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.7550
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.7550
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.7400
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.2550
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.2550
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.7400
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.7450
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.2450
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.2450
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.2550
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.7550
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.2550
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.2400
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.2450
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.7650
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.2200
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.7550
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.7700
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.7650
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.2300
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.7850
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.8050
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.7750
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.2150
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.7950
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.2300
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.1750
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.2400
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.7750
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.7750
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.7850
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.7850
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.7950
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.7900
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570088
Question: "Borderlands 4" Metascore 60–69
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10.0
Price History:
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.7650
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.2400
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.2450
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.7550
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.7550
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.2450
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.2450
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.7550
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.2450
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.2450
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.2500
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.2450
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.7550
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.2450
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes