Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.7000
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.6650
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.7200
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.2800
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.7450
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.2550
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.7250
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.6550
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.3450
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.6550
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.3450
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.6550
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.3450
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.6800
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.6650
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 713.30, Sell volume: 326.00, Average price: 0.5758, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7951

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.6550
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.3450
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.6750
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3250
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.6750
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.3250
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.6650
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.6650
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.6650
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.2900
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6800
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 868.30, Sell volume: 43.27, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.3000
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.7050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6650
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3350
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6500
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3500
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3200
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6600
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.2900
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1424.62, Sell volume: 223.09, Average price: 0.5448, Price range: 0.3417 - 0.7736

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.7050
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.2600
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.2000
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8000
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8000
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1710.31, Sell volume: 29.10, Average price: 0.5445, Price range: 0.2738 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.3000
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7300
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7300
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 905.93, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.4814, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7150
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.2600
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.6700
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.3300
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.3200
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.6600
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.3400
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.6600
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.3400
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.3400
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1543.46, Sell volume: 12.98, Average price: 0.4143, Price range: 0.2898 - 0.7457

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.3200
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.6300
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.7200
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3200
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.7250
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2750
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.7250
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2750
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.7650
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.2350
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2000.26, Sell volume: 518.70, Average price: 0.5197, Price range: 0.2333 - 0.7629

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.7400
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.7800
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.7050
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.2250
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.7750
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.2250
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.7750
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.2250
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.7750
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.2250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7850
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2150
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.7950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2050
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9600
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0400
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9615
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0385
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9570
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123, Buy volume: 9335.06, Sell volume: 4384.23, Average price: 0.5673, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.7300
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.2700
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7350
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.2850
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.3600
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.6400
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.3600
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.3550
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.6450
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.6700
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.3300
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 279.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4919, Price range: 0.4752 - 0.5163
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.5900
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.4100
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.3400
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.6500
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.3400
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.3400
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6500
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 87.38, Sell volume: 224.98, Average price: 0.4604, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6219
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.5700
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.4300
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3950
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3900
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.6700
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.3300
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6500
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3500
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1117.74, Sell volume: 10.20, Average price: 0.5191, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7328
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.6500
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.3500
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.6900
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.6250
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3750
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.6250
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.3750
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.6300
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3700
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.3200
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.7200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.2800
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.7050
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.2950
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.6400
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1738.45, Sell volume: 50.27, Average price: 0.5558, Price range: 0.2894 - 0.7861
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.6800
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.3200
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.6650
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.3350
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.6350
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.3650
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.6350
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.3650
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.6400
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.3600
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.6300
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.3700
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.6350
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 314.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4511, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6873
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.7000
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.3000
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.6650
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.7200
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.2800
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.7450
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.2550
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.2600
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.7250
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.2750
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.6550
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.3450
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.6550
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.3450
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.6550
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 713.30, Sell volume: 326.00, Average price: 0.5758, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7951
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.6550
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.3450
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.6850
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.3150
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.6750
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3250
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.6750
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.3250
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.6650
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.6650
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.6650
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.2900
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6800
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 868.30, Sell volume: 43.27, Average price: 0.5090, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.3000
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.7050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6650
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3350
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6500
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3500
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3550
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6800
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1424.62, Sell volume: 223.09, Average price: 0.5448, Price range: 0.3417 - 0.7736
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.7050
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.2600
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7900
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.2100
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.2000
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8000
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8000
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8000
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2500
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1710.31, Sell volume: 29.10, Average price: 0.5445, Price range: 0.2738 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.3000
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 905.93, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.4814, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7150
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.2600
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.6700
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.3300
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.3200
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.6600
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.3400
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.6600
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1543.46, Sell volume: 12.98, Average price: 0.4143, Price range: 0.2898 - 0.7457
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.3200
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.6550
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.3450
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.6300
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.6350
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.3650
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.7200
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.6750
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.3250
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3200
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.7250
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2750
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.7250
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2750
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2000.26, Sell volume: 518.70, Average price: 0.5197, Price range: 0.2333 - 0.7629
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658129
Question: Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by November 30?
Volume: 98417.68803
Price History:
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.7400
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.7800
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2200
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.7050
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.2250
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.2250
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.7750
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.2250
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.7750
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.2250
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.7750
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.2250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7850
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2150
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.7950
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123, Buy volume: 9335.06, Sell volume: 4384.23, Average price: 0.5673, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5750
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8250
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.7900
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.8600
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.7650
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.7350
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.6300
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.7300
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.7600
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.7750
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.7750
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.7750
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.7750
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.7700
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.7700
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.7850
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.7850
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.7950
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.7850
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.7850
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.7900
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.8200
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.8200
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.7850
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.7800
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.7600
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.7550
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.7650
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.7700
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.7700
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.7700
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.7700
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.7700
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.7700
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.7700
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7700
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.7450
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.7450
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.7400
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.7400
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.7350
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.7350
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.7350
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.7350
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.7400
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.7400
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.7400
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.7400
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.7550
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.7450
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.7450
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.7350
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.7450
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.7500
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.7800
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.7000
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.6550
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.6700
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.6700
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.6750
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.6750
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.6750
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.6850
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.6850
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.6950
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.6950
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.7700
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.7650
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.7550
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.7500
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.7300
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.7300
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.7650
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.6500
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.7150
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.7050
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.7750
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.7600
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.7450
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.7450
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.7650
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.7700
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.7750
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.7750
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.8100
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.8650
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9050
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.8850
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.8850
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.8750
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.8650
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.8600
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.8550
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.8600
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.8450
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.8450
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.8450
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.8500
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.8450
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.8450
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.8450
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.8450
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.8450
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.8700
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.8100
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.7450
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.7950
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.7750
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.7950
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.7950
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.7950
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.8450
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.7950
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.7900
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.7600
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.7450
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.5900
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.7650
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.7450
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.7700
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.7650
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.7650
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.7650
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.7650
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.7200
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.7250
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.7550
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.7650
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.7650
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.7300
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.7450
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.7300
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.7350
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.7550
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.7400
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.7300
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.7450
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.7450
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.7450
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.7900
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.8200
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.8000
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.8150
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.8250
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.8350
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.8150
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.8050
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.8200
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.8050
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.8050
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.8250
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.8250
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.8300
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.8750
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.8850
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.8350
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.8350
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9250
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.8850
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9000
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.8950
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.8950
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.8900
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.8900
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.8750
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9000
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.8950
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.8950
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.8950
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.8950
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.8950
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.8900
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.8900
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.8950
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.8900
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.8900
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.8900
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9000
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9000
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.8950
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.8900
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.8850
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.8800
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.8800
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.8800
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.8800
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.8700
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.8650
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.8650
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.8750
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.8750
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.8700
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.8750
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.8600
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.8450
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.8450
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.8250
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.8200
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.8250
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.8250
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.8350
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.8450
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.8250
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.8200
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.8050
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.8100
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.8000
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.7950
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.7950
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.7950
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.7850
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.7950
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.7900
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.7850
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.7850
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.8000
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.8000
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.7600
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.7650
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.7700
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.7700
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.7650
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.7650
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.7600
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.7750
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.7550
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.7650
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.7700
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.7550
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.7500
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.7400
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.7550
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.7500
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.7450
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.7450
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.7450
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.7450
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.7400
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.7300
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.7450
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.7400
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.7400
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.7400
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.7500
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.7550
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.7900
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.8000
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.7650
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.7600
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.7600
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.7650
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.8000
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.7700
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.7650
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.7650
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.7650
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.7650
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.7550
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.7500
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.7500
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.7500
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.7650
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.7050
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.7450
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.7450
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.7450
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.7450
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.7450
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.7500
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.7500
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.7500
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.7550
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.7550
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.7650
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.7600
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.7500
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.7550
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.7350
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.7600
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.7500
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.7500
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.7550
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.7550
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.7550
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.7350
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.7050
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.6900
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.6900
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.6900
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.6850
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.6850
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.6850
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.5950
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.6800
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.6600
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.5900
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.6300
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.7250
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.7100
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.7150
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.6900
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.7050
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.6850
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.6850
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.6950
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.7000
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.6800
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.6450
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.4700
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.5650
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.5350
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.5250
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.5250
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.5250
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.5600
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.5900
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.6000
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.6100
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.6100
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.5750
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.5550
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.4950
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.3250
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.2000
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.2600
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.2350
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.4350
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.5250
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.4800
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.5450
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.5900
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.4850
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.6200
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.6000
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.6500
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.6700
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.6200
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.6200
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.6150
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.6350
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.6350
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.6300
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.6350
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.6350
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.6350
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.6400
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.6500
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.6300
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.6450
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.6300
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.5850
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.6550
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.6500
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.6600
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.6600
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.6600
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.6700
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.6750
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.6750
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.6950
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.6850
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.6850
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.7300
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.6700
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.7050
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.7050
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.6950
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.6850
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.6550
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.6500
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.6500
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.6200
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.5500
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.6200
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.6500
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.6450
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.6400
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.7100
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.6800
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.6750
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.6850
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.6650
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.6650
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.6600
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.6750
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.5250
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.5800
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.5950
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.6050
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.6050
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.6300
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.6200
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.6550
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.7350
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.7550
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.7400
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.7250
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.8050
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.7850
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.7800
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.8150
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.8100
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.8150
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.8300
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.9250
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9150
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.9100
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9400
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.8950
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.8850
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9050
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.8850
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.8950
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.8900
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9100
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.8900
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.9200
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9395
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.9340
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9425
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9520
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9505
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9715
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9585
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9470
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9475
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.9595
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9595
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.9555
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.9415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9425
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9535
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9525
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9545
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9535
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9525
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.9525
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9555
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.9705
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9575
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9545
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9520
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9460
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9445
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.9290
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9330
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9235
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9210
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9035
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9170
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9115
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9135
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9105
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9230
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9170
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9170
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9110
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.9110
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.8995
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9090
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.9260
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9550
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.8630
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.9025
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.8595
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9010
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9265
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9205
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9135
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.8275
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.7220
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.7205
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.7390
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.7460
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.7065
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.6980
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.6785
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.6730
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.6555
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.6490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999115, Buy volume: 115589795.87, Sell volume: 97545271.14, Average price: 0.5066, Price range: 0.0392 - 0.9580

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.6995
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.6805
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.6955
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.6665
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.6725
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.6995
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.7345
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.7490
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.9245
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.9695
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9730
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.9810
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9775
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9775
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.9820
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9835
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9855
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.9905
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9840
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9820
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9855
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9855
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9840
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.9840
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9840
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9840
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9840
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9855
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9830
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9820
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.9770
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9770
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.9770
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9760
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9765
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.9840
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9820
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9780
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9715
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9725
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9765
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.9775
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9720
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9655
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9745
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.9790
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9760
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9770
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.9840
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 643, Buy volume: 67882.26, Sell volume: 52405.89, Average price: 0.6673, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9850
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9795
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9805
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9805
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9775
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9805
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9820
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.9820
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9820
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9820
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.9815
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9800
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9930
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.9920
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9925
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.9935
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.9940
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9935
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.9935
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9935
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9935
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9935
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.9935
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9940
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9990
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.9990
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 234, Buy volume: 63415.63, Sell volume: 69050.40, Average price: 0.5079, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5750
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.1750
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.8600
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.2350
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.6300
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.2700
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.7750
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.2250
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.7750
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.2300
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.7800
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.2150
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.7950
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.2150
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.2100
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.1800
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.2150
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.7600
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.2450
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.7700
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.2300
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.7700
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.7750
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.2250
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.2550
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.2600
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.7350
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.2650
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.7350
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.2600
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.7400
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.2600
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.7550
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.2550
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.7350
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.2550
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.7550
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.2100
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.7850
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.7800
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.2150
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.6550
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.3300
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.6750
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.7700
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.2350
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.7500
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.7300
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.2150
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.7850
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.2350
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.7150
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.2950
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.7600
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.2550
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.7650
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.2300
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.7750
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.1900
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9050
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.1150
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.8750
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.8550
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.1400
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.8450
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.1550
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.8450
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.1550
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.8450
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.7950
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.2050
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.7950
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.1550
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.7900
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.2400
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.5900
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.2350
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.7700
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.2350
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.7650
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.2350
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.7250
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.2450
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.7650
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.2700
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.7300
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.2650
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.7400
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.2700
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.7450
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.2550
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.8200
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.2000
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.8250
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.1650
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.8050
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.1800
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.8050
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.8350
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0750
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9050
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.1000
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.8950
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.1100
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.8750
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.1000
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.8950
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.1050
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.8950
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.1100
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.8950
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.1100
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.8900
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.1000
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.8950
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.1100
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.8800
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.1200
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.8800
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.1300
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.8650
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.1250
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.8700
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.1250
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.8450
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.1550
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.8150
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.8200
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.1950
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.8000
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.2050
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.7950
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.2150
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.7900
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.2150
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.8000
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.2000
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.7650
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.2300
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.7650
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.2350
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.7750
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.2450
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.7700
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.2450
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.2600
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.7500
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.2550
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.7450
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.2550
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.7300
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.2550
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.7400
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.2600
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.7550
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.8000
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.2200
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.7650
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.2350
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.7650
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.2450
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.7500
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.2500
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.2350
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.2950
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.7450
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.2550
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.2550
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.2500
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.2500
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.7500
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.2500
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.7550
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.2350
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.7500
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.7550
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.2450
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.7050
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.3100
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.6900
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.3150
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.6850
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.4050
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.6600
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.4100
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.7250
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.2900
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.6900
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.2950
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.6850
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.3050
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.6800
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.3550
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.5650
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.4650
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.5250
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.4750
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.5900
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.4000
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.6100
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.4250
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.4950
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.6750
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.2600
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.4850
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.3800
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.6500
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.3300
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.6200
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.3850
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.6350
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.3700
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.6350
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.3650
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.6500
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.3700
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.6300
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.4150
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.6500
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.3400
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.6600
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.3300
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.6750
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.3050
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.6850
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.2700
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.7050
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.2950
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.6850
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.3450
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.6500
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.3800
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.6200
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.6850
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.3350
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.6600
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.3250
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.5800
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.4050
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.6050
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.3700
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.6550
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.2650
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.7400
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.2750
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.7850
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.2200
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.8100
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.1850
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.9250
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0850
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9400
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.1050
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9050
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.1150
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.8900
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0900
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.9200
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0605
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9425
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0480
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.9715
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115721346.76, Sell volume: 97667356.44, Average price: 0.5067, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.9425
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0465
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9545
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0465
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.9525
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0445
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9575
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0455
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.9460
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0555
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9330
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0765
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9035
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0830
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9135
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0895
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9170
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0830
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.9110
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.1005
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.9260
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.9025
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.1405
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9265
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0795
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.8275
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.2780
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.7390
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.2540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999115, Buy volume: 115589795.87, Sell volume: 97545271.14, Average price: 0.5066, Price range: 0.0392 - 0.9580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.6995
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.3195
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.6665
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.3275
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.7345
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.2510
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.9695
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0270
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9775
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0225
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9835
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0145
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9840
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0180
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.9855
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0160
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9840
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0160
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9855
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0170
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.9770
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0230
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9760
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0235
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9820
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0220
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9725
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0235
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9720
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 643, Buy volume: 67882.26, Sell volume: 52405.89, Average price: 0.6673, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547453
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Volume: 1284634.256636
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.9850
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0205
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9805
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0225
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.9820
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0175
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9820
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0180
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9825
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0200
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.9920
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.9940
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0065
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9935
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0065
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.9935
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9990
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 234, Buy volume: 63415.63, Sell volume: 69050.40, Average price: 0.5079, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.1500
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.1450
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1100
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0220
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0205
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0195
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0175
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0040
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0040
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0040
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0040
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0040
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 556.82, Sell volume: 1196.18, Average price: 0.2414, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0050
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8006.05, Sell volume: 4292.45, Average price: 0.3791, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 1685.35, Sell volume: 645.97, Average price: 0.7319, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 509.60, Sell volume: 341.85, Average price: 0.9968, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 3173.71, Sell volume: 1260.99, Average price: 0.8290, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1150.18, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 6865.58, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8742, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5479.93, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 500.00, Sell volume: 18.00, Average price: 0.0015, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 56302.36, Sell volume: 19006.58, Average price: 0.6296, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 24540.20, Sell volume: 43.04, Average price: 0.0012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0015

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 4465.04, Sell volume: 4550.99, Average price: 0.6859, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.1500
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8550
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0220
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9795
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0175
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9950
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9955
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9955
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9960
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0040
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9960
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9960
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9960
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9960
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9960
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9960
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9960
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0040
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 556.82, Sell volume: 1196.18, Average price: 0.2414, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9960
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9970
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9965
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9965
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9965
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0040
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9960
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9960
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9960
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9965
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9960
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9960
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9960
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9960
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0040
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8006.05, Sell volume: 4292.45, Average price: 0.3791, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9960
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9960
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9960
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9965
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9960
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9960
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0040
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9960
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9960
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9960
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0040
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9965
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9965
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9965
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9965
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9965
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 1685.35, Sell volume: 645.97, Average price: 0.7319, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9960
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9960
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9960
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9960
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9960
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9960
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0040
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9960
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9965
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9965
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9965
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9965
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9965
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9965
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 509.60, Sell volume: 341.85, Average price: 0.9968, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9965
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9970
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9970
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9970
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9970
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9970
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.9970
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.9970
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9970
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.9970
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.9970
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9975
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9975
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.9980
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 3173.71, Sell volume: 1260.99, Average price: 0.8290, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9980
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9980
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9980
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9980
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9980
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9980
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9980
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9980
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9980
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9980
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9980
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9980
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1150.18, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9980
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9980
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9980
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9980
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 6865.58, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.8742, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5479.93, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9990
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9990
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9990
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9990
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0010
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9990
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9990
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9990
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9990
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 500.00, Sell volume: 18.00, Average price: 0.0015, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 56302.36, Sell volume: 19006.58, Average price: 0.6296, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 24540.20, Sell volume: 43.04, Average price: 0.0012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0015
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9980
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 4465.04, Sell volume: 4550.99, Average price: 0.6859, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547461
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?
Volume: 75308.938582
Price History:
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547455
Question: Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Predoiu?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 156212.117096
Price History:
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.4850
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.2150
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0220
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0130
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0035
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1632.59, Sell volume: 1496.15, Average price: 0.2533, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960

Output: Yes