Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561650
Question: Will Romania win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 17564.79158
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.8650
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.8650
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.8650
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.8650
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.8650
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.7800
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.8000
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.8000
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.8100
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.8100
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.8100
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.8100
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.8150
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.8150
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.8150
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.8150
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.8250
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.8300
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.8400
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.8400
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.8400
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.8400
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.8400
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.8400
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.8400
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.8400
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.8400
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 629.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7178, Price range: 0.2317 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561650
Question: Will Romania win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 17564.79158
Price History:
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.1650
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.1650
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.1650
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.1600
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.1600
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.1550
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.1500
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.8550
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 273.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8733, Price range: 0.8700 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561650
Question: Will Romania win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 17564.79158
Price History:
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.8600
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.8600
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.1400
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.1400
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.1400
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.1400
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.1400
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.1400
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.8600
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.8600
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.8600
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.8600
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.1400
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.1400
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.1200
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9000
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9000
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 8707.17, Sell volume: 113.69, Average price: 0.8223, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561650
Question: Will Romania win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 17564.79158
Price History:
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.1050
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.1050
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.8450
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.1500
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.1500
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.1500
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.8500
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.1500
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.8500
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.8500
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.8500
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.1400
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.8600
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.8600
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.8600
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.1450
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.8600
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.8550
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.8600
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.1400
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 38.46, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561650
Question: Will Romania win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 17564.79158
Price History:
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.1400
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.1450
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.8600
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.1400
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.8550
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.8600
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.8600
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.8600
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.8600
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8550
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.8600
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.8600
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.8500
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.8500
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.8550
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8550
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.1400
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.8550
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.1450
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.1450
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.8550
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.8650
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.1250
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.1250
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 64.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561650
Question: Will Romania win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 17564.79158
Price History:
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.1200
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0355
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0355
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0355
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0355
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0355
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0355
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0355
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0355
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9645
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9645
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9650
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9650
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9650
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9650
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9650
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9650
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9650
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9645
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9645
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9645
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9645
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0355
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0355
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0355
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 26.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5242, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561650
Question: Will Romania win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 17564.79158
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9645
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9645
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0355
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0355
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0355
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9645
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9645
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9650
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0350
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0350
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0340
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0340
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0340
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0340
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0340
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9655
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0345
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9655
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9655
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9655
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9700
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9695
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9695
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0305
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9695
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9700
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9695
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9695
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9740
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 17.06, Sell volume: 33.86, Average price: 0.0265, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0586
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561650
Question: Will Romania win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 17564.79158
Price History:
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9740
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0260
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0260
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9740
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0260
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0260
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0260
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0260
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9740
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0260
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0260
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0260
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0260
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0260
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9740
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9740
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0260
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0260
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9740
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9600
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0265
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9745
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9630
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9695
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9685
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9685
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9729, Price range: 0.9675 - 0.9783
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561650
Question: Will Romania win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 17564.79158
Price History:
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0310
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9690
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9675
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9725
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9785
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0215
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0220
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0300
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0215
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0220
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0225
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0225
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0320
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0325
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0330
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0330
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0330
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0340
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0340
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9660
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0340
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9665
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9685
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0315
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9685
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0325
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0330
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0340
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0345
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 229.26, Sell volume: 444.25, Average price: 0.6608, Price range: 0.0086 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561650
Question: Will Romania win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 17564.79158
Price History:
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0350
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0350
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0340
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9655
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9660
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0360
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0360
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0365
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9640
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9640
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9630
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9630
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9630
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9630
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9705
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9705
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9690
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9690
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9690
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9690
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9690
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9690
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9690
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9690
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9690
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9690
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9700
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9700
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9700
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 65.85, Sell volume: 177.84, Average price: 0.9565, Price range: 0.9430 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561650
Question: Will Romania win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 17564.79158
Price History:
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9695
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9695
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9695
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9695
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9695
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9695
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9695
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9695
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9695
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9695
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9695
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9695
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9695
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9705
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9705
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9825
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9825
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9825
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9825
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9825
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9825
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9825
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9825
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9825
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9875
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9805
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9805
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9805
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9805
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 265.48, Sell volume: 36.91, Average price: 0.4887, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9947
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561650
Question: Will Romania win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 17564.79158
Price History:
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0195
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0205
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0215
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0215
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0190
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0195
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0195
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0195
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0190
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0190
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0190
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0190
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0195
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0190
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0180
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0185
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0195
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0200
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0195
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 6046.23, Sell volume: 113.29, Average price: 0.9252, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9500
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0500
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.9450
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.0300
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9700
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0300
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9700
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0300
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9700
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0300
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9700
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0305
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9695
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0255
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9745
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0255
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.9745
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0255
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9745
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0255
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9750
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0230
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9795
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0205
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9795
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0200
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9815
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0185
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9880
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0120
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9880
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0120
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9880
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0115
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9885
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0115
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9885
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9885
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9885
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9885
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0115
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9670
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0385
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.8135
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.1445
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 180.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9890, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9610
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0305
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9695
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0300
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9710
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0290
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9710
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0290
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.9325
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.2455
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.7580
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.2360
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.7670
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.2480
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.7735
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.1755
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9145
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1035
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.9200
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.0800
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.9200
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0680
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.9315
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0650
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9350
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.0650
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.9350
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0650
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.9350
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0650
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9350
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0650
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.9350
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0550
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.9450
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0265
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.9735
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0265
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.9735
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0265
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.9705
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.0295
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.9705
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.0295
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.9705
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0295
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.9705
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0295
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.9705
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 154.61, Sell volume: 160.00, Average price: 0.8267, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0295
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.9705
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0565
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.9510
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0490
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.9510
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0480
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.9520
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0480
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.9520
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0205
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.9795
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0205
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.9795
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0485
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.9790
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.9795
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0205
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9520
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0205
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.9795
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0205
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.9795
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0480
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.9655
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.0205
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.9795
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.0205
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.9795
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0205
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.9795
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.9795
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0205
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.9795
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0205
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.9525
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0470
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.9530
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0200
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.9520
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.0290
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0205
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0205
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.0320
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9520
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.0240
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 163.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9898 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9795
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.9520
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0480
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0205
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9800
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9800
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.9525
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0385
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9565
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0410
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.9590
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0455
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9695
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.9695
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0350
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.9650
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9650
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.0355
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0130
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.0285
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9715
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9715
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9550
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.9550
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9550
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9525
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9730
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.9610
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9570
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.9570
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9530
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.0470
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9530
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9530
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0475
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0490
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.0530
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.9615
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9515
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0485
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.0485
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.0480
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.0480
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.9520
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0480
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9520
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.0480
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.0115
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9885
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 146.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.9530
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0470
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9530
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0470
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.9530
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9530
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0470
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0470
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.0405
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0400
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.9600
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0470
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.0470
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9560
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.9530
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.0470
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0470
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9530
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0470
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9530
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0470
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9530
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.9530
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.0470
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.9530
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9550
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.9555
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9555
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.0445
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9555
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.0445
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9555
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.9555
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.0445
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.0445
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9555
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0445
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.9555
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9555
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.0445
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.9555
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9555
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9555
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9555
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0445
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9555
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0445
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0445
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9555
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 25256.12, Sell volume: 1005.30, Average price: 0.9663, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0445
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9555
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9555
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0445
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0445
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9555
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0445
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0445
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9555
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0445
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9555
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0445
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9555
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0445
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9555
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0445
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0445
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9555
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0295
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0295
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9705
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0295
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9705
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0295
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0295
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9705
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0295
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0260
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9725
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0275
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9720
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9715
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9820
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0180
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0180
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0170
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9895
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9895
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0105
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0110
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9890
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0110
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0110
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9890
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9890
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0110
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0085
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 9430.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9923, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0085
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0085
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0085
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0085
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9915
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0060
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9940
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0060
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9940
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0060
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9940
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9940
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9940
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0060
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0060
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9940
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0060
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9940
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9940
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0060
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9940
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0060
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9940
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9940
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0060
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9940
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0060
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9940
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0060
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9940
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0060
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9940
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9940
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9940
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9940
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9940
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9940
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 25256.12, Sell volume: 1005.30, Average price: 0.9663, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9940
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0060
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9940
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0060
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0060
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0060
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9940
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9940
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9940
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9940
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9940
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9935
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0060
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9940
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9940
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0060
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0060
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0060
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9940
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0060
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9940
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0060
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0060
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9940
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9940
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.9940
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0060
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0060
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0060
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9940
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9940
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0060
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0060
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9940
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0060
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9940
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 25256.12, Sell volume: 1005.30, Average price: 0.9663, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0060
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9940
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9940
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9940
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0060
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0060
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9940
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0060
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0060
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9940
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0060
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9940
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 425.88, Sell volume: 426.85, Average price: 0.9938, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0060
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0040
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 220.24, Sell volume: 210.22, Average price: 0.9964, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9970
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 65.64, Sell volume: 62.54, Average price: 0.9977, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.10, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9925
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9920
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9925
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9920
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 14468.38, Sell volume: 142.59, Average price: 0.8561, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0500
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0300
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0300
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0300
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0300
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0300
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0305
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0255
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0255
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0255
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0255
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0250
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0205
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0205
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0190
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0125
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0120
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0120
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0115
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0115
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0115
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0115
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0355
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.1445
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0305
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 180.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9890, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9610
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9695
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9705
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9710
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.9710
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.8080
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.7600
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.7535
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.7790
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9145
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.9200
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.9200
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.9320
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.9350
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.9350
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9350
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.9350
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9350
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.9350
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.9450
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.9735
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.9735
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.9735
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9705
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.9705
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.9705
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9705
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.9705
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.9705
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 154.61, Sell volume: 160.00, Average price: 0.8267, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0295
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0295
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.0600
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0480
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0480
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0480
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0205
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.0485
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0205
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.0480
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.0205
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.0345
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0205
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0205
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.0205
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0205
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0460
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0470
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.0480
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.9795
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0320
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9795
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.0480
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 163.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9898 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9795
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0480
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.9780
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.9800
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.9615
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9590
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0410
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9695
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0350
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9650
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9645
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9715
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0285
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.0450
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.0375
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0270
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9570
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.9530
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9530
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.0475
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0515
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.9770
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9515
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.0480
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9520
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0480
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0460
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9885
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.9525
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 146.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.9530
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9530
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9530
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.9530
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9530
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9600
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9530
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9530
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0470
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0470
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0470
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0470
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.9530
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.0470
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.0450
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.0445
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0445
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0445
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.9555
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0445
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.0445
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.0445
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9555
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0445
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0445
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9555
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9555
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9555
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9555
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 25256.12, Sell volume: 1005.30, Average price: 0.9663, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0445
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0445
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9555
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0445
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9555
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9555
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9555
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9555
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0445
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0445
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0295
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0295
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9705
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9705
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9705
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9735
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0275
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9715
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0180
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0180
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9895
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0105
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9895
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0110
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9890
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9890
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0085
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 9430.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9923, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0085
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0085
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9915
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9940
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9940
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9940
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0060
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9940
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9940
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0060
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9940
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9940
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0060
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9940
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9940
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0060
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 25256.12, Sell volume: 1005.30, Average price: 0.9663, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9940
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9935
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9940
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9940
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.9940
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9940
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0060
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 25256.12, Sell volume: 1005.30, Average price: 0.9663, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9940
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0060
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0060
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0060
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0060
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 425.88, Sell volume: 426.85, Average price: 0.9938, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9940
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 220.24, Sell volume: 210.22, Average price: 0.9964, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 65.64, Sell volume: 62.54, Average price: 0.9977, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.10, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561652
Question: Will San Marino win UEFA Group H for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 26261.418529
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 14468.38, Sell volume: 142.59, Average price: 0.8561, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Outcomes: ["$10", "$20"]
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.5900
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.4100
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.5250
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.4750
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.4150
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.5850
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.4050
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.5950
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.4000
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 88.85, Sell volume: 1.61, Average price: 0.4628, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Outcomes: ["$10", "$20"]
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.4150
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.5850
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.4200
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.5800
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.4200
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.5800
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.4200
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.5800
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.4100
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 614.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.5970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Outcomes: ["$10", "$20"]
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.3700
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.6300
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.1150
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.8850
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.1300
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.8700
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 3060.18, Sell volume: 1008.89, Average price: 0.6747, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Outcomes: ["$10", "$20"]
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Outcomes: ["$10", "$20"]
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Outcomes: ["$10", "$20"]
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Outcomes: ["$10", "$20"]
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Outcomes: ["$10", "$20"]
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Outcomes: ["$10", "$20"]
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Outcomes: ["$10", "$20"]
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Outcomes: ["$10", "$20"]
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Outcomes: ["$10", "$20"]
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Outcomes: ["$10", "$20"]
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.5900
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.4100
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.5250
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.4750
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.4150
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.5850
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.4050
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.5950
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.4000
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 88.85, Sell volume: 1.61, Average price: 0.4628, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.4150
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.5850
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.4200
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.5800
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.4200
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.5800
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.4200
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.5800
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.4100
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 614.83, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5500, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.5970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.3700
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.6300
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.1650
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.8350
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.1150
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.8850
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.1300
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.8700
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 3060.18, Sell volume: 1008.89, Average price: 0.6747, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523148
Question: Will $TRUMP hit $10 or $20 first?
Volume: 16696.402995
Price History:
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 10639.89, Sell volume: 330.00, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.5250
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.5250
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.9000
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.9000
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.1050
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.8950
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.1150
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.8850
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.1100
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.8900
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.1100
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.8900
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.1100
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.8900
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.1100
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.8900
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.1100
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.8900
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.1100
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.8900
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.1100
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.8900
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.1100
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.8950
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.1000
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9000
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.1100
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.8900
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.1000
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.8950
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.1000
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.9100
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9100
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.9100
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.9100
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 3.59, Average price: 0.7829, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9100
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0900
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.9100
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0900
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9100
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 06:00: 0.0900
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0900
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0900
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0900
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0900
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0900
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0900
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.0900
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.9100
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0900
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.9100
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.0900
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9100
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0900
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9100
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.0900
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.9100
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0900
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.9100
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0900
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9100
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0900
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0900
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9100
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0900
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9100
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0900
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9100
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0900
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.9100
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0900
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.9100
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0900
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.9100
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.9100
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9100
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.9100
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9100
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9100
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9100
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.9100
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0900
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.9100
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0900
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0900
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0900
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0900
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0900
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0900
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0900
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0900
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.0900
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0900
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.0900
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0900
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0900
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0900
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0900
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0900
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0900
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0900
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0900
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0900
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0900
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0900
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.0900
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.0900
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0900
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0900
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0900
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0900
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0900
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0900
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9100
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9100
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0900
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9100
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0900
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9100
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0900
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9100
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9100
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9100
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9100
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9100
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9100
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.9100
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.9100
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9100
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0900
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9100
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0900
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.09, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2450
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.7550
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.2450
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7550
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.2450
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.7550
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.7500
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.7500
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.27, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.4750
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.1050
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.1150
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.1100
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.1100
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.1100
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.1100
2025-04-02 01:00: 0.1100
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.1100
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.1100
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.1100
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.1000
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.1100
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.1000
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.1000
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.0900
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.0900
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0900
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0900
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 3.59, Average price: 0.7829, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9100
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.9100
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9100
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.9100
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.9100
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9100
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.9100
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.0900
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0900
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.0900
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0900
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.0900
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0900
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0900
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0900
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0900
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0900
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0900
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0900
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0900
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0900
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0900
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0900
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0900
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0900
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0900
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0900
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0900
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.9100
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9100
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9100
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0900
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0900
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0900
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0900
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0900
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0900
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0900
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0900
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0900
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9100
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.9100
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.9100
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9100
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.9100
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9100
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9500
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.09, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.7550
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7550
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.7550
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 48.59, Sell volume: 7.22, Average price: 0.7879, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 532795
Question: Will Stefano Cangiano be the next Creative Director of Balenciaga?
Volume: 55.81137
Price History:
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.27, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No