Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 18.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.7200
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.2800
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.7200
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2800
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 4259.48, Sell volume: 1202.93, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7900
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.2100
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.2100
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7900
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.1900
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.8100
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 307.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8136, Price range: 0.8136 - 0.8136

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.1650
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.8350
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.1650
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.8350
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.60, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 4259.48, Sell volume: 1202.93, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8400
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.03, Average price: 0.1200, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.1200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8400
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1600
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.8400
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1600
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8400
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.1600
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8400
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1600
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8400
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.1600
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8400
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.1600
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1600
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8400
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 105.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5250, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8550
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.8550
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.8550
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 4259.48, Sell volume: 1202.93, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8750
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8750
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.4800
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.5200
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 3596.46, Sell volume: 1179.01, Average price: 0.6354, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.6450
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.3550
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.6800
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.3200
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7050
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2950
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2600
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7400
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6800
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7700, Price range: 0.6300 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2650
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2650
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2650
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2650
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 16.82, Sell volume: 5.35, Average price: 0.5350, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.2900
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.7300
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.2700
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.7300
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 189.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6377, Price range: 0.2503 - 0.7935
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.7300
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 18.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6367, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7100
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7150
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.2850
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.7200
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.2800
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.7200
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.2800
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 4259.48, Sell volume: 1202.93, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7900
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.2100
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.2100
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7900
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.1900
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.8100
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 307.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8136, Price range: 0.8136 - 0.8136
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.1650
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.8350
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.1650
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.8350
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.8300
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.60, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.1700
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.8300
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.1700
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 4259.48, Sell volume: 1202.93, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8400
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.03, Average price: 0.1200, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.1200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8400
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1600
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.8400
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1600
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8400
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.1600
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8400
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1600
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8400
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.1600
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8400
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.1600
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1600
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8400
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8250
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1700
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 105.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5250, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.1550
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.8450
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1500
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.8500
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.1450
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.8550
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8550
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.8550
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.8550
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 4259.48, Sell volume: 1202.93, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612854
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5462.413555
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8750
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8750
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.4800
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.5200
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 3596.46, Sell volume: 1179.01, Average price: 0.6354, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5550
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5750
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4250
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4700
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1572.36, Sell volume: 206.28, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.0315 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6600
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.6600
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6600
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3450
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6550
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.6550
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3450
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3500
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6500
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3550
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6450
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3300
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6700
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 55.81, Sell volume: 24.28, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1572.36, Sell volume: 206.28, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.0315 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1572.36, Sell volume: 206.28, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.0315 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4850
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1572.36, Sell volume: 206.28, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.0315 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5200
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4800
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5200
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4800
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5200
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4800
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3250
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6750
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 87.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5695, Price range: 0.5695 - 0.5695

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.6750
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1572.36, Sell volume: 206.28, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.0315 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.28, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6250
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3750
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.3850
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6150
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3850
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6150
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3850
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6150
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3800
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6200
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6300
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1572.36, Sell volume: 206.28, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.0315 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6300
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6300
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6300
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.2900
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.7100
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.2900
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.7100
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 46.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5550, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4200, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.4200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.6500
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.5050
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.4950
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8760
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1312.52, Sell volume: 167.72, Average price: 0.5285, Price range: 0.0315 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5550
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4450
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5750
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4250
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4700
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1572.36, Sell volume: 206.28, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.0315 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6600
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.6600
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6600
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3450
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6550
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.6550
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3450
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3500
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6500
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3550
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6450
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3300
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6700
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 55.81, Sell volume: 24.28, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1572.36, Sell volume: 206.28, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.0315 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4950
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1572.36, Sell volume: 206.28, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.0315 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4850
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1572.36, Sell volume: 206.28, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.0315 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5200
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4800
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5200
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4800
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5200
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4800
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3250
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6750
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 87.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5695, Price range: 0.5695 - 0.5695
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.6750
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1572.36, Sell volume: 206.28, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.0315 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3550
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6500
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3500
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.28, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.5600 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6250
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3750
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.3850
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6150
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3850
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6150
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3850
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6150
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3800
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6200
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6300
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1572.36, Sell volume: 206.28, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.0315 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6300
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6300
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6300
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.2900
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.7100
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.2900
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.7100
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 46.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5550, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4200, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.4200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612855
Question: Will Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1778.638017
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.6500
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.5050
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.4950
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8760
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1312.52, Sell volume: 167.72, Average price: 0.5285, Price range: 0.0315 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4050
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4000
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.6000
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4000
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.3950
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.6050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.6050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2800
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 23.42, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9367, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6800
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 52.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6721, Price range: 0.4542 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3500
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6500
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 93.51, Sell volume: 1.13, Average price: 0.3542, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.4125

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3400
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2503.77, Sell volume: 233.55, Average price: 0.6088, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3400
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3450
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6550
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3450
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6550
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6700
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6700
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6700
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6700
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6700
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 168.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7122, Price range: 0.7122 - 0.7122

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2503.77, Sell volume: 233.55, Average price: 0.6088, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2503.77, Sell volume: 233.55, Average price: 0.6088, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2503.77, Sell volume: 233.55, Average price: 0.6088, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.7600
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.2300
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.7700
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.2300
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.2300
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.7700
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.2300
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7700
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 120.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6019, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7074

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.7700
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.2300
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.7750
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.2250
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2250
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7750
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.1400
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.8600
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.1400
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8600
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.1400
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.8600
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.8550
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1550
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1550
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.8400
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8200
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1900
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.8100
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1900
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8100
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8200
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2050
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7950
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1956.08, Sell volume: 232.42, Average price: 0.5726, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4050
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4000
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.6000
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4000
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.3950
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.6050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.6050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2800
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7750
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.7700
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2300
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 23.42, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9367, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.2850
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6800
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 52.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6721, Price range: 0.4542 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3500
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6500
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 93.51, Sell volume: 1.13, Average price: 0.3542, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.4125
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6700
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3300
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3400
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3400
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2503.77, Sell volume: 233.55, Average price: 0.6088, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3400
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3450
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6550
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3450
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6550
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6700
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.6700
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6700
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6700
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6700
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6700
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3300
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 168.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7122, Price range: 0.7122 - 0.7122
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2503.77, Sell volume: 233.55, Average price: 0.6088, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2503.77, Sell volume: 233.55, Average price: 0.6088, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 2503.77, Sell volume: 233.55, Average price: 0.6088, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.7600
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.2300
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.7700
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.2300
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.2300
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.7700
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.2300
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7700
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.2350
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.7650
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 120.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6019, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7074
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.7700
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.2300
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.7750
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.2250
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2250
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7750
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.1400
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.8600
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.1400
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8600
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.1400
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.8600
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.1450
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.8550
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1550
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1550
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.8400
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612856
Question: Will Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2737.321374
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8200
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1900
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.8100
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1900
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8100
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8200
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2050
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7950
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1956.08, Sell volume: 232.42, Average price: 0.5726, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.6000
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4000
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5750
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4250
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5650
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4350
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5650
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4350
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5650
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4350
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4300
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5750
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4250
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1556.70, Sell volume: 6.26, Average price: 0.6420, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3450
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6550
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.6600
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.3500
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1556.70, Sell volume: 6.26, Average price: 0.6420, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6550
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3450
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6450
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3550
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3650
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6350
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4450
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 129.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6268, Price range: 0.5405 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5750
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4250
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5700
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5700
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 9.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5450
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6168, Price range: 0.6168 - 0.6168

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4400
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4933, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4400
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4400
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4400
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4400
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4400
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1556.70, Sell volume: 6.26, Average price: 0.6420, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.4450
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.5550
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.4800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 30.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5950, Price range: 0.5950 - 0.5950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6154, Price range: 0.6154 - 0.6154

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.7450
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.7450
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2600
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7400
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.7250
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.7100
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2750
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.7250
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7100
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.3900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.6800
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.6800
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6800
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6800
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6800
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1247.67, Sell volume: 6.26, Average price: 0.7963, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.6000
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4000
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5750
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4250
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5650
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4350
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5650
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4350
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5650
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4350
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4300
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5750
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4250
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1556.70, Sell volume: 6.26, Average price: 0.6420, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6050
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.6250
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3750
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3450
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6550
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.6600
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.3500
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1556.70, Sell volume: 6.26, Average price: 0.6420, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6550
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3450
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6450
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3550
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3600
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6400
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3650
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6350
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4450
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 129.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6268, Price range: 0.5405 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5750
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4250
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5700
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5700
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 9.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5450
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6168, Price range: 0.6168 - 0.6168
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4400
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4933, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4400
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4400
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4400
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4400
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4400
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1556.70, Sell volume: 6.26, Average price: 0.6420, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.4450
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.5550
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.4800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.4400
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 30.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5950, Price range: 0.5950 - 0.5950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6154, Price range: 0.6154 - 0.6154
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3950
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.6100
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.3900
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.7450
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.7450
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2600
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7400
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.7250
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.7100
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2750
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.7250
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7100
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.3900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612857
Question: Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1562.964623
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.6800
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.6800
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6800
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6800
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6800
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1247.67, Sell volume: 6.26, Average price: 0.7963, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4100
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5900
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5900
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4100
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5950
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 29865.20, Sell volume: 9857.62, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 29865.20, Sell volume: 9857.62, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5650
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4350
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 13.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7200, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5300
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4700
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 48.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.5300

Output: Yes