Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 260, Buy volume: 4969.35, Sell volume: 5569.48, Average price: 0.8400, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0350
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0270
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0265
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0280
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0230
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9805
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9815
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9805
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9805
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9810
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9800
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9800
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9800
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9810
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9800
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9800
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9810
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 578.35, Sell volume: 352.64, Average price: 0.5637, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9805
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9825
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9810
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9810
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9815
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9830
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9825
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9790
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9755
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9745
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9755
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9755
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9760
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9760
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9760
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9760
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9770
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9780
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9760
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9740
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9735
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9750
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9785
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9785
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9780
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9785
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9785
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9775
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9665
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9660
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 1324.79, Sell volume: 1417.13, Average price: 0.8532, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9770
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9770
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9770
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9770
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9770
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9770
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9770
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9770
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9775
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9775
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9780
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9785
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9785
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9785
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9790
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9790
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9790
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9790
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9790
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9790
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9795
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9795
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9795
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9795
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9795
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9795
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9845
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9840
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9845
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9880
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9890
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9890
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9890
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9890
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9920
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9895
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9910
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 582.29, Sell volume: 312.96, Average price: 0.9041, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9950
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 15.10, Average price: 0.9947, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 518, Buy volume: 48926.42, Sell volume: 27983.62, Average price: 0.8566, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9870
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9870
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9880
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 255.79, Sell volume: 292.99, Average price: 0.8704, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9910
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 11231.29, Sell volume: 4919.54, Average price: 0.9406, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9910
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9920
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9915
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9905
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9915
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9920
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9915
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9915
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 21312.01, Sell volume: 10980.77, Average price: 0.8606, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 2131.88, Sell volume: 121.81, Average price: 0.9801, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 795.65, Sell volume: 417.57, Average price: 0.0042, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0060

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9905
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9915
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.7215
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9340
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9460
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9410
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9390
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9440
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9490
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8515
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8960
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9370
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9415
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9415
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8805
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8825
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8840
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8820
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8995
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9110
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 4518.88, Sell volume: 168.00, Average price: 0.7429, Price range: 0.0019 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9825
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9920
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 6182.85, Sell volume: 8758.71, Average price: 0.8278, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9650
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0270
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9735
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9805
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9810
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9800
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0200
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0200
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9800
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 578.35, Sell volume: 352.64, Average price: 0.5637, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9805
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0175
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9840
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0190
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9815
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0210
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0245
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9755
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0245
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9760
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0240
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9770
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0220
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9740
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0265
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0225
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9785
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0225
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0215
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9775
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 1324.79, Sell volume: 1417.13, Average price: 0.8532, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9770
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0230
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9770
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0230
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9770
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0230
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9775
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0220
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9785
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0215
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9790
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0210
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9790
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0210
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9795
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0205
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9795
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0205
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9840
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0155
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9890
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0110
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9890
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 582.29, Sell volume: 312.96, Average price: 0.9041, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 15.10, Average price: 0.9947, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 518, Buy volume: 48926.42, Sell volume: 27983.62, Average price: 0.8566, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0130
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9880
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 255.79, Sell volume: 292.99, Average price: 0.8704, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0145
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0145
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0145
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0145
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0145
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0100
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0100
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0090
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 11231.29, Sell volume: 4919.54, Average price: 0.9406, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9920
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9905
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0080
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9915
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 21312.01, Sell volume: 10980.77, Average price: 0.8606, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 2131.88, Sell volume: 121.81, Average price: 0.9801, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 795.65, Sell volume: 417.57, Average price: 0.0042, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0060
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.7215
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9460
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0590
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9440
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0510
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8960
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0630
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9415
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 4518.88, Sell volume: 168.00, Average price: 0.7429, Price range: 0.0019 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641806
Question: Will Ansem win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 76910.044829
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9845
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0175
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 6182.85, Sell volume: 8758.71, Average price: 0.8278, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0600
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0600
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 448.62, Sell volume: 81.99, Average price: 0.4150, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 2060.39, Sell volume: 364.63, Average price: 0.7977, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0350
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0350
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0345
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0350
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0350
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0350
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0350
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 301.13, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.9174, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0350
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0350
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0350
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0345
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0350
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0350
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0350
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0350
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0345
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0345
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0345
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0330
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0270
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0265
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0265
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0265
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0290
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0290
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0295
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0295
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0295
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0290
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0290
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0290
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0290
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0295
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0295
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0295
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0295
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0295
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 245.26, Sell volume: 99.58, Average price: 0.2715, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0150
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0300
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0300
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0455
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0455
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0455
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0455
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0455
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0455
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0455
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0455
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0455
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0445
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0440
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0440
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0445
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0445
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0445
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0440
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0430
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0410
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 45.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.9650, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0455
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0455
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0455
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0455
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0415
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0415
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0415
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0415
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0415
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0415
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0445
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0445
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0440
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0440
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0440
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0440
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0440
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0440
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0440
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0425
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0410
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0435
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0440
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0435
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0435
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0435
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0430
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0435
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0430
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0430
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0430
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0430
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0430
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0430
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0430
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 519, Buy volume: 105554.07, Sell volume: 56618.93, Average price: 0.8341, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0430
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0435
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0435
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0435
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0435
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0435
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0435
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0435
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0435
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0435
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0435
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0435
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0435
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0435
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0435
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0160
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0160
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0160
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0160
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0155
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0155
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0155
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0155
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0140
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 625.80, Sell volume: 336.33, Average price: 0.7005, Price range: 0.0068 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0170
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0170
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 2049.70, Sell volume: 115.12, Average price: 0.9643, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0275
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0275
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0275
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0275
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0275
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0275
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0275
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0175
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0175
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0175
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0175
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0175
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0175
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0175
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0175
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0175
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0175
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0175
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0175
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0175
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0150
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0160
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0160
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0160
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0120
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0125
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0160
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0160
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0135
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0155
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0140
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0155
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 11981.40, Sell volume: 6218.05, Average price: 0.8782, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0150
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0150
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0140
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0140
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0120
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0145
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0145
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0130
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0110
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0140
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0140
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0130
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0130
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0130
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0120
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0120
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0090
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0105
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 47865.72, Sell volume: 22389.33, Average price: 0.9037, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0170
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0155
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0150
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0155
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0125
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0155
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0170
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0170
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0190
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0150
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0525
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0515
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0505
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0515
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0515
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0510
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0515
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0515
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0505
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0515
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0505
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0505
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0515
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0510
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0520
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0430
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0410
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0410
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0415
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0415
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0395
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0385
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0360
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0355
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0260
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0275
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0240
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0290
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0295
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0295
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0295
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 8061.22, Sell volume: 4119.00, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0295
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0295
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0295
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0295
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0300
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0300
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0300
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0295
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0295
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0295
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0295
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0295
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0300
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0300
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0305
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0330
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0330
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0245
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0240
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0355
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0355
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0355
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0285
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0285
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0285
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0285
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0285
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0285
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0280
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0280
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0280
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0280
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0280
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0260
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0260
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0270
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0225
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 1962.65, Sell volume: 2091.88, Average price: 0.8532, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0105
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0110
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0085
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0110
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0110
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0085
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 17819.17, Sell volume: 14670.84, Average price: 0.7714, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9400
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0600
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 448.62, Sell volume: 81.99, Average price: 0.4150, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9550
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 2060.39, Sell volume: 364.63, Average price: 0.7977, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9450
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0350
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 301.13, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.9174, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0350
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9650
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0345
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9650
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0350
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9650
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0345
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9655
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0270
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9735
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0265
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9710
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0295
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9705
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0290
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9710
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0290
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9705
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0295
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9705
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9650
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9650
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9650
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9650
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0350
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 245.26, Sell volume: 99.58, Average price: 0.2715, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9650
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0350
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9650
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9700
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9695
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9695
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9695
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9695
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9695
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9695
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0305
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9695
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0455
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9545
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0455
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9545
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0455
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9545
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9555
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0440
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 45.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.9650, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0455
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9545
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0455
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9555
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0415
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9585
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0415
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9585
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9555
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9555
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9555
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0445
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9555
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0445
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9555
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0440
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9560
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0440
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9560
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0425
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9590
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0440
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9565
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0435
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9570
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0430
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 519, Buy volume: 105554.07, Sell volume: 56618.93, Average price: 0.8341, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0430
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9565
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0435
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9565
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0435
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9565
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0435
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9565
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0435
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9565
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9795
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9795
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9795
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9795
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0205
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9795
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0160
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9840
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0160
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9845
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0155
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9845
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 625.80, Sell volume: 336.33, Average price: 0.7005, Price range: 0.0068 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9830
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9940
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 2049.70, Sell volume: 115.12, Average price: 0.9643, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0275
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9725
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0275
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9725
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0275
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9825
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0175
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9825
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9825
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0175
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9825
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0175
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9825
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9835
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9835
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0165
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9910
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0160
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9835
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9840
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9880
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0160
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 11981.40, Sell volume: 6218.05, Average price: 0.8782, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0150
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0140
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9880
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0120
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0145
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9870
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0140
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9860
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0130
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9870
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9875
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0125
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9875
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9880
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9890
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9910
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 47865.72, Sell volume: 22389.33, Average price: 0.9037, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9840
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9830
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0155
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9850
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0125
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9845
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0170
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9810
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9840
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0515
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9495
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0515
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9490
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0515
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9495
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0505
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9495
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0510
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9480
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0410
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9590
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0415
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9605
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0325
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9640
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0260
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 8061.22, Sell volume: 4119.00, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0295
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9705
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0295
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9700
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0300
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9705
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0295
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9705
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9705
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9705
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9705
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0300
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9705
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0305
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9670
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0245
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9760
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0355
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9645
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0285
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9715
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0285
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9715
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0280
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9720
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0280
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 1962.65, Sell volume: 2091.88, Average price: 0.8532, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641808
Question: Will Evgeny Gaevoy win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 162172.997146
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0110
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9920
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9920
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9920
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0110
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9890
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 17819.17, Sell volume: 14670.84, Average price: 0.7714, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.2050
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.0450
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.1400
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.1550
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.1450
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.1750
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.1750
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.1750
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.1800
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.1800
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.1800
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.1800
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.1700
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.1150
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0800
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.0950
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0950
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.1250
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.1350
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.1300
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.1350
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.1350
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.1250
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.1250
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.1150
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.1150
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.1150
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.1200
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.1200
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.1150
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.1200
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.1200
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.1150
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.1150
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.1150
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.1050
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.1050
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.1050
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.0850
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.0850
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 6805.64, Sell volume: 1633.30, Average price: 0.4054, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.0850
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0850
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0850
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0850
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0850
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0850
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0850
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0850
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0850
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0850
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0850
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0850
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0850
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0850
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0850
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0850
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0950
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0950
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0950
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.0950
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0950
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0950
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0950
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0950
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0950
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 468.11, Sell volume: 783.57, Average price: 0.5209, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0950
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.1000
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0950
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.1000
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.1000
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.1000
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.1050
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.1050
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.1050
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.1050
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.1050
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.1050
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.1000
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0950
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0950
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0900
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0950
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0950
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0950
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0950
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0900
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.0950
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.0950
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2583.03, Sell volume: 2162.96, Average price: 0.4409, Price range: 0.0759 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0850
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0850
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0850
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0900
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0950
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.1000
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.1000
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0950
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.1000
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.1000
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0950
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0950
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0950
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0950
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0950
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0950
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0900
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0950
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0950
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0900
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0900
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0900
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0900
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0950
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0950
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0950
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0950
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0950
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0950
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0950
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0950
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.1050
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 10859.02, Sell volume: 74.96, Average price: 0.2979, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.1200
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.1150
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.1150
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.1100
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.1100
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.1200
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.1200
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.1150
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.1150
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.1150
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.1100
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.1150
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.1050
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.1050
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.1050
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.1050
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.1050
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.1050
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.1050
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.1050
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.1050
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.1050
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.1050
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.1050
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.1050
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.1050
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.1050
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.1050
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.1050
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.1050
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.1050
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.1050
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.1000
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.1050
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.1050
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.1050
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.1000
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.1050
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.1050
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0900
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.0900
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.0900
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.0850
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.0850
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.0850
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.0900
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.0750
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0750
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.0700
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7914.60, Sell volume: 1281.00, Average price: 0.4482, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.0750
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0800
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0750
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0800
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0650
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0650
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.0600
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0315
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.0305
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0375
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0570
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.0915
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.1160
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0790
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0775
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0785
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0820
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.0830
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.0785
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0825
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0780
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0690
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0655
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.0640
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0640
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0635
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0635
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0635
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0635
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0635
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0635
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0635
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0620
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0620
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0515
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0515
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.0515
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 11749.17, Sell volume: 1580.50, Average price: 0.3795, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.0430
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.0290
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0320
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.0360
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.0405
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.0455
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0430
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0435
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.0435
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.0435
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0445
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.0445
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0460
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.0445
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0445
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.0465
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.0475
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0490
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0485
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0495
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0490
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0490
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0475
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0470
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0490
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0490
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0490
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0475
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0490
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0510
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0520
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0520
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0495
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0490
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0490
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0505
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0505
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0505
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.0505
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.0495
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0495
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0505
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0505
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0495
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 2123.89, Sell volume: 5819.01, Average price: 0.2899, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9550

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0470
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0475
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0475
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0460
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0460
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0460
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0460
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0460
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0460
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0460
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0455
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0450
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0455
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0455
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0455
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0425
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0425
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0440
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0465
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0440
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0440
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0440
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0440
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0455
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0455
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0460
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0460
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0460
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0460
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0475
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0475
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0475
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0475
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0475
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0475
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0665
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0665
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0510
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0490
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0490
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0490
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0480
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0480
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1097.48, Sell volume: 6618.97, Average price: 0.5749, Price range: 0.0409 - 0.9590

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0480
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0480
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0480
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0480
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0475
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0475
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0475
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0475
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0440
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0435
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0435
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0460
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0455
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0455
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0470
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0465
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0470
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0465
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0345
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0350
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0350
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0350
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0350
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0395
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0365
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0430
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0460
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0440
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0460
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0475
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0475
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0475
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0475
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0480
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0480
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0425
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0420
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.0450
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 305, Buy volume: 13962.73, Sell volume: 5219.64, Average price: 0.7184, Price range: 0.0322 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0200
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0180
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0180
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.0165
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0185
2025-05-12 08:00: 0.0200
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0210
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0205
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0215
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.0215
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0215
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.0215
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0215
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.0215
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0225
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0160
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0185
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0175
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0170
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.0140
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.0130
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0130
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.0130
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0165
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.0165
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0140
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.0160
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0140
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0155
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0135
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0135
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.0150
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0145
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0150
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0140
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0140
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0130
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0130
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0130
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0135
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0135
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0135
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0145
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0145
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0140
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0145
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 12676.56, Sell volume: 1192.29, Average price: 0.4405, Price range: 0.0113 - 0.9879

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0150
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0150
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0150
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0150
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0225
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0225
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0225
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0180
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0195
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0165
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0180
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0180
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0180
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0180
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0145
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0205
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0205
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0205
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0160
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0160
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0160
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0160
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0160
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0180
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0175
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0210
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0200
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0200
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0155
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2927.28, Sell volume: 4388.55, Average price: 0.5690, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0135
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0080
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0055
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0080
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0080
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0080
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0080
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0080
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0080
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0080
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0075
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0075
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0080
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0065
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0075
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0055
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0080
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0080
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0080
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0080
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0080
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0080
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0050
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 2760.37, Sell volume: 11406.55, Average price: 0.7535, Price range: 0.0043 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517428
Question: Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 132829.214969
Price History:
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0080
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0075
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0080
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0050
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0050
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0075
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2303.42, Sell volume: 2248.24, Average price: 0.4765, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 445.39, Sell volume: 245.37, Average price: 0.3358, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0400
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0400
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0400
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0400
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0400
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0400
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0400
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0400
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0400
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1222.74, Sell volume: 156.37, Average price: 0.8363, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641810
Question: Will DegenSpartan win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11061.884859
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0400
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0400
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0350
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0405
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0400
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0395
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0395
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0390
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0395
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0395
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0395
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0395
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 550.91, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.8418, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700

Output: Yes