Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.1850
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.1700
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.1700
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.8650
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.8700
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.8650
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.8650
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.8150
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.1850
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.7950
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.2100
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.7900
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.2200
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.2050
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.2000
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.1750
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.1350
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.8600
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.8700
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.1400
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.1350
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.1300
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.8600
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.1400
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.1400
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.8600
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.1400
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.1400
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.8550
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.8550
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.8500
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.8500
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.1500
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.8500
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.8500
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.1350
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.8650
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.1350
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.8650
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.8650
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.8600
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.1350
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6128.97, Sell volume: 2073.39, Average price: 0.4876, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8836

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.1350
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.1300
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.1350
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.1200
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.1200
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.8650
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.8550
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.8500
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.1000
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.8950
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9350
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0500
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0505
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9565
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0440
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0445
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9535
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0455
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9465
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0545
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9050
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.8925
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.8930
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.8985
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.8955
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.8995
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.1015
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0990
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0995
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.1020
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.8980
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.8980
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.8980
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0980
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9425
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9325
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9705
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9715
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9545
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0220
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0420
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9745
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9750
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 160, Buy volume: 23902.21, Sell volume: 2337.40, Average price: 0.5655, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9730
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9765
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0645
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0645
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9435
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0435
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0460
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0425
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0495
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9510
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9520
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9255
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.8705
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.8850
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.8805
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0930
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0840
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0835
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0840
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9155
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.8990
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.8360
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8295
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.7440
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.7580
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.8320
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.8355
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.8100
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.8000
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.2390
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.2180
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.8125
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.1860
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.2205
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2215
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.2320
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.2320
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.2630
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.3480
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.2615
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.2855
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.2455
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.2485
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.2515
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.2490
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 343, Buy volume: 46500.34, Sell volume: 8573.55, Average price: 0.4871, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.5000
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.4250
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.4850
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.4800
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.5700
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.5300
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.5200
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.5550
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.5500
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.5100
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.3900
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.4150
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.4150
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.4200
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.4150
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.4150
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.4150
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.4100
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.5100
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.6650
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.6350
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.6700
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.6800
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.6900
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.6900
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.6900
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.6850
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.7200
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 491508, Buy volume: 15119956.97, Sell volume: 7579752.66, Average price: 0.5347, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.8050
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.8150
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.8050
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.8450
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.8400
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.8450
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.8650
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.8450
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.8250
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.7800
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.7600
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.7600
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.7650
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.7600
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.7900
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.7850
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.7900
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.7900
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.8100
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.8000
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.7950
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.8050
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.8350
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.8450
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.8450
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.8650
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.8700
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.8750
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 149850, Buy volume: 10692227.93, Sell volume: 4131004.86, Average price: 0.5925, Price range: 0.1355 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.8650
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.8400
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.8400
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.8450
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.8450
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.8450
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.8450
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.8500
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.8350
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.8350
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.7750
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.7550
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.7550
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.7550
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.7750
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.7400
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.7450
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.7900
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.6750
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.6300
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.6350
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.6400
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.6450
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.6850
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.6850
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.6900
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.7500
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.7750
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 357651, Buy volume: 12752117.74, Sell volume: 8200091.20, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.7750
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.7600
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.7550
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.7250
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.7050
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.7200
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.7200
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.7200
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.7200
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.7450
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.7400
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.6550
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.6750
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.6950
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.7250
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.7300
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.7350
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.7300
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.7250
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.7250
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.7250
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.7250
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.7250
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.7100
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.7100
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 76, Buy volume: 7510.17, Sell volume: 209.37, Average price: 0.4087, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.6900
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.6900
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.6900
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.7050
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.7100
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.7000
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.7000
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.7000
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.7000
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.6950
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.7000
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.7050
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.7000
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.7050
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.7050
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7050
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.7100
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.7050
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.7000
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.7100
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.6950
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.7100
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.7100
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.6900
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.6900
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.7050
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.7000
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.6950
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.6950
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1814.28, Sell volume: 328.03, Average price: 0.5750, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6950
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.6950
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.7400
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7900
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7750
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.7750
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.7850
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7850
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.7550
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.7950
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.7850
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.7600
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.7600
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.7550
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.7650
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.7950
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.8050
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.8050
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.8300
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.7950
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.7900
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.7900
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.7950
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.7850
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.7900
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.7850
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 3132.28, Sell volume: 201.53, Average price: 0.4798, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.7850
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.7900
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.7850
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.7850
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.7850
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.7750
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.7750
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.7800
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.7600
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.7050
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.7150
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.7150
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.7200
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.7400
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.6950
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.7100
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.6850
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.7000
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.7050
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.6600
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.6950
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.6550
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.6650
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 2699.94, Sell volume: 241.57, Average price: 0.5287, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.7650
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.7650
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.7600
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.7650
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.7550
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.7650
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.7700
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.7500
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.7550
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.7600
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.7550
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.8700
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.8100
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.8450
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.8600
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.8750
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.8300
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.8300
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.8200
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.8100
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.8100
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.8050
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.8050
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.7900
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.7950
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.8500
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.8650
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9000
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.8250
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1350.74, Sell volume: 564.03, Average price: 0.5129, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.8775
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.8600
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.8600
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.8650
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.8650
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.8650
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.8650
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.8700
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.8700
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.8900
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.8900
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.8950
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9150
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9250
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9450
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9200
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.8700
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.8550
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.8650
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.8650
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.8450
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.8300
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.8650
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.8750
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.8600
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.8350
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.8350
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.8350
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 5812.88, Sell volume: 2153.04, Average price: 0.4752, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.8200
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.8050
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.8000
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.7600
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.7650
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.7400
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.8050
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.8250
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.8050
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.1650
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.8000
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.1850
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.1900
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.1900
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.1900
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.1900
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.1700
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.8250
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.1750
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.8150
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.1900
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.8050
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.8050
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 4452.24, Sell volume: 2423.97, Average price: 0.5218, Price range: 0.1385 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.1850
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.1700
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.1350
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.8650
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.8200
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.8150
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.1850
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.7900
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.7900
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.7850
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.1350
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.8550
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.8650
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.8600
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.1400
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.8600
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.8600
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.1400
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.8600
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.1450
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.8500
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.1500
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.8500
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.8650
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.1350
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.8650
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6128.97, Sell volume: 2073.39, Average price: 0.4876, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8836
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.1350
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.8650
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.1150
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.1350
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.8650
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.1250
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.1100
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9500
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0485
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0445
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0465
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9465
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0550
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.1005
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.8935
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9015
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.8980
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1005
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.1015
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.1020
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.8980
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8995
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9520
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9715
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0330
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0380
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 160, Buy volume: 23902.21, Sell volume: 2337.40, Average price: 0.5655, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517173
Question: Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Volume: 176883.050494
Price History:
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9730
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0495
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9375
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0430
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9475
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0390
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0520
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9510
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.8575
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.8810
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0930
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9155
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0840
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8990
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.8500
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8295
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.7645
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.8315
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.7265
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.7535
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.1860
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.2205
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2320
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.2630
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.3745
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.2760
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.2485
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.2505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 343, Buy volume: 46500.34, Sell volume: 8573.55, Average price: 0.4871, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.0600
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.0550
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0400
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0370
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0375
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.0265
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0240
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0230
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.0225
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.0225
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.0230
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0190
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0215
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0210
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0200
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0210
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0190
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0210
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0200
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0220
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0220
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0215
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0205
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0205
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.0200
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0210
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0210
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0210
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0210
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0210
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0210
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0210
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0210
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0210
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0210
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0195
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0195
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0195
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0190
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0190
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0195
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0190
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0190
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0190
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0190
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0190
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0190
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0190
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0195
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0195
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0195
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0195
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0195
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0225
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0225
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0225
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0225
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0225
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0225
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0225
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0225
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0225
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0220
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0225
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0220
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0220
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0220
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0220
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0220
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0230
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0225
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0225
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0225
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0220
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.0225
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0210
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0250
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0250
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0240
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0250
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0255
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0245
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0250
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0250
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0240
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0240
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0235
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0240
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0240
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0245
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0240
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0240
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0245
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0235
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0230
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0240
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0235
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0245
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0240
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0240
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0240
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0250
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0250
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0240
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0240
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0240
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0245
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0235
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0245
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0235
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0230
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0230
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0230
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0230
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0230
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0230
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0230
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0230
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0230
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0230
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0220
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0220
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0220
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0220
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0220
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0220
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0220
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0220
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0220
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0175
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0185
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0170
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0175
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0175
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0185
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0180
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0190
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0185
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0185
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0175
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0180
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.0180
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.0170
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0170
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.0185
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0155
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0155
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0155
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0155
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0170
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0170
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0170
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0190
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0190
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0190
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0185
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0185
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0180
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0200
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0215
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0175
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0195
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0190
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0195
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0200
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0165
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0165
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0165
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0165
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0160
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0160
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0150
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0145
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0145
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0145
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0145
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0130
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0120
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0120
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0120
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0120
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0120
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0120
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0120
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0125
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0125
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0120
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0130
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0585
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0430
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0315
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0315
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0205
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0235
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0345
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0210
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0230
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0310
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0265
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0305
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0280
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0350
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0290
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0280
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0230
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0220
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0220
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0200
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0170
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0215
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0115
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0190
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0225
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0100
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0095
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0140
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0135
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0100
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0090
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0195
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0170
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0260
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0195
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0350
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0410
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0325
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0295
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0270
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0270
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0255
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0250
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0245
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0285
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0275
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0165
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0110
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0090
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0115
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0115
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0135
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0140
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0135
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0135
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0145
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0140
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0130
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0125
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0125
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0135
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0125
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0125
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0135
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0130
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0135
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0135
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0130
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0210
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0210
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0205
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0210
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0210
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0175
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0140
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0105
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0125
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0120
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0120
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0120
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0130
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0120
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0120
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0120
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0145
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0160
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0160
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0165
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0135
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0120
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0110
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0110
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0135
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0140
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0125
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0130
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0130
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0130
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0140
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0130
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0135
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0125
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0125
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0135
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0135
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0150
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0155
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0235
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0230
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0155
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0135
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0130
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0130
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0130
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0130
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0145
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0140
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0135
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0145
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0125
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0150
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0155
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0125
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0125
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0125
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0125
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0115
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0115
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0115
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0115
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0105
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0110
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0105
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0170
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0165
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0160
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0175
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0170
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0240
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0210
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0205
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0210
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0230
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0145
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.0140
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0150
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0150
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0150
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0155
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0195
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0140
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0140
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.0140
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.0140
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0110
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0110
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0110
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0150
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0155
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.0155
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0150
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0140
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0135
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.0125
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0110
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0135
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0235
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0220
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0230
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0235
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9745
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0245
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0240
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9775
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.9775
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.0215
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0215
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0200
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0200
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.9800
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.9795
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9800
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0240
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9775
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0215
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0210
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0270
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9815
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0200
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0190
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0175
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9835
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0165
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0165
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0160
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0175
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0190
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0250
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0225
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0260
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9785
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0280
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0285
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0300
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9710
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0300
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0300
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0265
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0270
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0245
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9750
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0255
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0270
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0270
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9725
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0305
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9770
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0230
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0305
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0325
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9670
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0255
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0315
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9655
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0355
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0340
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9645
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9335
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9535
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0465
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9595
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0255
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0305
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9645
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9580
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9625
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9650
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0500
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9490
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0490
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9445
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0615
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9365
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0680
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0755
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0740
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9455
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9520
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9535
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9645
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0385
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9620
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9620
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9660
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0340
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0420
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0410
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0325
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0330
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9940
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0115
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9935
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9930
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9940
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9895
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0130
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9870
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0160
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9850
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9885
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9875
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0115
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9885
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9920
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0085
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9945
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9950
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0050
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0085
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9945
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9925
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9930
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0070
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9930
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9945
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0070
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9945
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9940
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9940
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9945
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0050
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9955
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9955
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9955
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.0600
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9550
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0380
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9735
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.0230
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.9785
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.0220
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9790
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0200
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.9780
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.0190
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9810
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0210
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.9785
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0205
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9805
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.9805
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0195
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9805
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0195
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9805
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0195
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.9805
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0195
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9800
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0210
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9790
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0215
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0210
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.9790
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9805
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0195
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9810
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9810
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0195
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9805
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.0195
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.9805
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0195
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9805
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0225
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.9775
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0225
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9775
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0225
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9775
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0220
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.9780
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0215
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9785
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0230
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9780
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9770
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0250
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9760
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0240
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9755
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0245
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9750
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0235
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9765
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0240
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9760
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0235
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9760
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0240
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9765
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0235
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9755
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9760
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0245
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9755
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0250
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9770
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0230
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9770
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0230
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9770
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0230
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9780
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0220
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0220
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9780
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0220
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9780
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9780
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9840
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9840
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0185
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.9825
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0180
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.9810
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0185
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9830
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.0185
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.9830
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0180
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.9845
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0155
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.9845
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0165
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9830
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0190
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9815
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0185
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0200
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9830
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0180
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9805
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0190
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9835
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0165
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9840
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9840
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0160
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9850
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9855
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0145
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9850
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9870
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0120
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9880
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0120
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9875
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9910
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0115
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9880
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0125
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0585
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9695
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0205
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9765
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0195
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9750
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0315
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.9730
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0320
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9715
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0230
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9785
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0230
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9860
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0085
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9920
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0100
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9830
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0095
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9910
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0110
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9880
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0195
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9640
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0325
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9730
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0265
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9750
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0265
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0165
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9905
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0155
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.9865
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0175
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9835
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0145
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.9870
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0125
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.9865
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0125
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9870
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0135
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9870
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0210
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9785
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0210
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9845
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0105
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9880
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0120
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9875
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0120
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9880
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0160
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9855
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0135
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9890
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0135
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0125
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9865
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0130
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9870
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0120
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9860
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0135
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9850
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0230
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9850
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0130
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9870
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9870
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0150
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9860
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0125
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9845
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0125
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9875
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0125
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9885
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0115
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.9910
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9835
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0175
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9830
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0210
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0210
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.9770
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0150
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.9850
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0155
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.9850
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0140
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9860
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0140
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9890
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0110
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9835
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0155
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.9855
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0130
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9865
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0235
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9780
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0225
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9755
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0245
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9775
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0215
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0195
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9800
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.0200
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0200
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9785
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0225
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0200
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9805
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0165
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9835
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0170
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.9815
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0205
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9765
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0285
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9700
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9700
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.9750
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0245
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.0250
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0225
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.9730
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0305
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9770
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.0330
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0330
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0300
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0355
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0345
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0715
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9535
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9680
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0350
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9695
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9655
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0500
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9470
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0595
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0635
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9385
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9510
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9625
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9615
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0420
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0340
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0420
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9675
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0060
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9875
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0050
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0085
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0055
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0140
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9850
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0085
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0050
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0085
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.0055
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0055
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9930
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9945
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9930
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0055
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9940
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0040
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0045
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527809
Question: Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 2519415.728983
Price History:
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 287668044.07, Sell volume: 278954678.37, Average price: 0.8752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.2450
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.7050
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.3050
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.6850
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.3100
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.6800
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.3200
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.6550
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.3150
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.7250
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.2800
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.7150
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.2900
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.7700
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.2150
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.7750
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.2350
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.7650
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.2150
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.8050
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.2050
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.8000
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.2000
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.8000
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.2050
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.7950
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.2300
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.7700
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.2250
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.7800
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.2250
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.7850
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.2150
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.7900
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.2050
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.8000
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.2050
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.7950
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.1950
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.8000
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.2000
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.7950
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.1950
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.7950
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.2050
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.7950
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.2050
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.7950
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.2050
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.2000
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.8000
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.2000
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.8000
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.2000
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.8000
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.2000
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.8000
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.2050
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.7950
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.2050
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.7950
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.2050
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.7950
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.2050
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.7950
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.2000
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.8050
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.1950
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.8050
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.1850
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.8100
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.1850
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.8100
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.1900
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.8100
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.1850
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.8250
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.1800
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.8200
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.1500
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.8450
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.1550
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.8450
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.1550
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.8450
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.1600
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.8400
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.1600
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.8300
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.1650
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.8300
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.1700
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.8300
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.1700
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.8350
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.1600
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.8400
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.1650
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.1650
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.8200
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.1750
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.8250
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.1750
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.8250
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.1750
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.8250
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.1750
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.8250
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.1750
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.8250
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.1750
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.8250
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.1750
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.8250
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.1750
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.8250
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.1650
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.8350
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.1650
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.8350
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.1650
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.8350
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.1650
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.8350
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.1650
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.8350
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.1650
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.8350
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.1650
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.8350
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.1650
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.8350
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.1650
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.8350
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.1650
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.8350
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.1650
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.8350
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.1550
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.8600
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.1400
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.8600
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.1400
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.8650
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.1400
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.8600
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.1350
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.1400
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.8650
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.1350
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.8650
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.1350
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.8650
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.1400
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.8600
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.1350
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.8600
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.1400
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.8550
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.1450
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.8550
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.1450
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.8600
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.1400
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.8600
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.1450
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.8550
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.1400
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.8600
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.1400
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.8600
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.1400
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.8650
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.1350
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.8650
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.1350
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.8650
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.1350
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.8650
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.1350
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.8650
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.1350
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.8650
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.1350
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.8650
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.1350
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.8650
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.1350
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.8650
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.1350
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.8650
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.1350
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.8650
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.1350
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.8650
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.1350
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.1350
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.8650
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.1350
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.8650
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.1350
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.8650
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.1350
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.8650
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.1350
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.8650
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.1350
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.8650
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1350
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.8650
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.1350
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.8550
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.1450
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.8550
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.1450
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.8550
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.1450
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.8550
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.1450
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.8550
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.1450
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.8550
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.1450
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.8550
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.1450
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.8550
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.1450
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.8550
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.1450
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.8550
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.1400
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.8650
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.1350
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.8650
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.1350
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.8750
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.1250
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.8750
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.1150
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.8850
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.1150
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.8850
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.1150
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.8900
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.1050
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.1000
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.9000
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0950
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9050
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0950
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9050
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0950
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9050
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0950
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.9050
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0950
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.9050
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0950
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.9050
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0950
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.9050
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0950
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9050
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0950
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.9050
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0950
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9050
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0950
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9050
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0950
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.9050
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.0950
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0950
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9050
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9050
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0950
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0950
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0950
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9050
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0950
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0950
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9150
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9350
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0650
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9350
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0650
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9350
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0650
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0650
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9350
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9350
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9350
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0650
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0650
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0650
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0750
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9250
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0750
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9400
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0750
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0750
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9250
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9350
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9300
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9300
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.9250
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0750
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0750
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0750
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9250
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0750
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9250
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9250
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9250
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9250
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9250
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0700
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.0650
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9350
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0650
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0650
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0650
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9350
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.9350
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0650
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9350
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0650
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0650
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9450
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9450
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.0450
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9550
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0450
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9550
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0450
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0450
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0550
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9450
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9450
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0550
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0550
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9450
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9450
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0550
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0550
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0550
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9450
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9450
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9450
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0450
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9550
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0450
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0450
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0450
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9550
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0450
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9550
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0450
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9610
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0360
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0375
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9585
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0410
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9580
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0415
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9590
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9605
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9605
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0395
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0395
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9630
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9625
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0385
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9625
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0380
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9620
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0380
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9620
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0380
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9625
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9625
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9625
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9625
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9625
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9625
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9630
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9635
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0365
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9630
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9630
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9625
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0380
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0380
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9625
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9625
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9635
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0350
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9665
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0335
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9675
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9660
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9735
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0260
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9665
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9670
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9685
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0325
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9665
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0350
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9655
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0305
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9710
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9735
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0260
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0245
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9765
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0275
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9725
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0275
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9725
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0280
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9735
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0230
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0245
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0245
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0245
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9755
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0240
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9760
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9765
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0235
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9765
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0235
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0235
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0235
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0250
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0250
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0245
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0245
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0235
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9740
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9725
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9755
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9755
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0235
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0235
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9825
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9845
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9850
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0135
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0140
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0135
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.9865
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9855
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0145
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9855
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0125
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9880
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0135
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9865
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9865
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0135
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0125
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9865
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.0125
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.0105
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0095
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9920
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0105
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9900
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9925
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0075
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9845
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0140
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0105
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0140
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9860
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0105
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9895
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9900
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0155
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9840
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0160
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9820
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0130
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9870
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0130
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9890
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9900
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9900
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9900
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0105
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9875
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0120
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9895
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9900
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0100
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9915
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0100
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0090
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0090
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0090
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9910
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0090
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9895
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9915
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9905
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9910
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0090
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9940
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0060
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0185
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9700
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0290
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9735
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0260
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0255
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9710
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9720
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9725
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0275
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9670
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9595
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9670
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0425
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9590
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9585
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9265
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0765
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0530
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.2450
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.2950
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.3250
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.3200
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.3050
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.3000
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.2800
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.2950
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.2300
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.2250
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.2450
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.2150
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.2050
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.2100
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.2000
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.2050
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.2300
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.2250
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.2300
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.2150
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.2100
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.2050
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.2050
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.2000
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.2000
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.2050
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.2050
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.2050
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.2050
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.2000
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2000
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.2000
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.2000
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.2000
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.2050
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.2050
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.2050
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.2050
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.2050
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.2050
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.1950
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.1950
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.1800
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.1900
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.1900
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.1850
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.1800
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.1500
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.1550
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.1550
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.1550
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.1600
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.1600
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.1700
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.1700
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.1650
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.1700
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.1600
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.1650
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.1800
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.1750
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.1750
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.1750
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.1750
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.1750
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.1750
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.1750
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.1750
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.1750
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.1650
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.1650
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.1650
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.1650
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.1650
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.1650
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.1650
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.1650
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.1650
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.1650
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.1650
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.1650
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.1650
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.1650
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.1400
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.1400
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.1400
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.1350
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.1400
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.1350
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.1350
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.1350
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.1350
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.1350
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.1400
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.1450
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.1450
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.1400
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.1400
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.1450
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.1400
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.1400
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.1400
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.1400
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.1350
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.1350
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.1350
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.1350
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.1350
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.1350
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.1350
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.1350
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.1350
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.1350
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.1350
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.1350
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.1350
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.1350
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.1350
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.1350
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.1350
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.1350
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.1350
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.1350
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.1350
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.1350
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.1450
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.1450
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.1450
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.1450
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.1450
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.1450
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.1450
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.1450
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.1450
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.1450
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.1450
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.1450
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.1350
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.1350
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.1350
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.1250
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.1250
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.1150
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.1150
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.1150
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.1000
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.1000
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0950
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0950
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0950
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0950
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0950
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0950
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0950
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0950
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0950
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0950
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0950
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0950
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0950
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0950
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0950
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9050
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0950
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9050
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0950
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0950
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0950
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0800
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0800
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9350
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0650
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9350
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9350
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0650
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0700
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0650
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0750
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9400
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0700
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0750
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.9250
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9250
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9250
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9250
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9250
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.0650
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9350
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.0650
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9350
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.0650
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0650
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9350
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9450
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0450
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.0450
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0450
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0450
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0550
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9450
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0550
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9450
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9450
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9450
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9550
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9550
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0450
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0450
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0450
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9675
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0360
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9585
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9585
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0415
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9605
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9605
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9605
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9630
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9615
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0380
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0375
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0380
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9625
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9625
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9625
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0375
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9630
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9635
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9630
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9625
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0380
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9635
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9665
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9675
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0340
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9755
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0330
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9685
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9675
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9650
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9690
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9720
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0260
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9750
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9725
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9725
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9720
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0265
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0245
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0245
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0245
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9760
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9765
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9765
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9765
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0230
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0245
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0250
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0245
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0345
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0245
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0245
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0235
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9820
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9825
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0140
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9845
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0145
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0145
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0120
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9865
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0130
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0125
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9865
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0110
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0105
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9850
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9860
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0140
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0125
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9895
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9900
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9810
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9855
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9810
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9870
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9870
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0150
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0100
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0105
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9870
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0105
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9900
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0090
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9910
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9910
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0105
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549623
Question: Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2826083.047992
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9920
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9700
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9735
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9730
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9745
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0280
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9725
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0370
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9645
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9600
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9665
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9260
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 267832493.39, Sell volume: 217898103.61, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.9935
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51015594.69, Sell volume: 30369929.63, Average price: 0.9504, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51015594.69, Sell volume: 30369929.63, Average price: 0.9504, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549624
Question: Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 888174.018666
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 735264, Buy volume: 8241074.68, Sell volume: 20113666.20, Average price: 0.9659, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes