Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.7750
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.7550
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.7550
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.7350
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.7300
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.7200
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.7250
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.7300
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.7350
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.7350
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.7350
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.7350
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.7400
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.7400
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.7400
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.7450
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.7250
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.7300
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.7350
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.7350
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.7350
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.7450
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.7550
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.7700
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.7900
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.7900
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.8000
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.8150
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.8150
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.8200
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.8200
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.8250
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.8200
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.8250
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.8250
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.8250
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.8250
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.8400
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.8400
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.8400
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.8450
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.8350
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.8350
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.8400
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.8400
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.8400
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.8400
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.8450
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.8450
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.8500
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.8500
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.8500
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.8650
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.8650
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.8650
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.8500
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.8650
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.8650
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.8650
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.8550
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.8700
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.8600
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.8700
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.8450
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.8500
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.8400
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.8450
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.8650
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.8450
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.8350
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.8750
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.8800
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.8750
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.7950
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.8050
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.1800
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.2400
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.2650
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.2750
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.2650
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.6850
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.2700
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.7550
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.7950
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.8150
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.8200
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.8250
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.8250
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.8450
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.1650
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.8900
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.8450
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.8150
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.8200
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.2050
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.2000
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.1950
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.7850
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.7850
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.1650
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.8450
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.1550
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.1500
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.1500
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.1900
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.1900
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.8150
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.8150
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.7950
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.2050
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.2050
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.2050
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.8000
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.2000
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.7950
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.7950
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.7800
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.2000
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.8000
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.1900
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.2000
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8000
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.8200
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.1350
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.8650
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9100
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 388148331.34, Sell volume: 103163459.66, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537135
Question: Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 2259700.890987
Price History:
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9200
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9350
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0650
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9400
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9350
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0650
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0600
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9555
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9460
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9345
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9130
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.8840
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0935
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9160
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9105
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9155
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9250
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0600
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0575
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9355
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0740
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0770
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0635
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9330
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0770
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0805
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999997, Buy volume: 388147831.34, Sell volume: 103163406.05, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9955
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9955
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9980
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9980
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0035
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0030
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9970
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0020
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9980
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0015
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0015
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0015
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0015
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0015
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0015
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0015
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0015
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0015
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0015
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9980
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0020
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9980
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9980
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9965
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9955
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0030
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9970
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0040
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0030
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9970
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0030
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9970
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0030
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9970
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9960
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9960
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9960
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9960
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0030
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9970
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0030
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9970
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9955
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9955
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9955
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9955
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9955
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9955
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9955
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9955
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0040
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9960
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0040
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9960
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9965
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9965
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9965
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9965
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9965
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9965
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9965
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0030
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9970
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0030
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9970
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0030
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9970
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9970
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0030
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9970
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0030
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9970
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0030
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9970
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 331668, Buy volume: 34247039.00, Sell volume: 46066367.52, Average price: 0.4040, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9965
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9955
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9965
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9965
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9965
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9965
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9965
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9965
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0020
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9980
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9965
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9965
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 644356, Buy volume: 84734249.14, Sell volume: 16921466.59, Average price: 0.7005, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0040
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0030
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9980
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9985
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9980
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9980
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9980
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0035
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9955
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9935
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9955
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9970
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9960
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0030
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0030
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0030
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0040
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0040
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9960
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9965
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9970
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9970
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9955
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9955
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9955
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9955
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9955
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9955
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9955
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9955
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9955
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9960
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9960
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9960
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9960
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9960
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9960
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0035
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 119865626.58, Sell volume: 76921486.51, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9965
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9970
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9970
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9970
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9970
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9970
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9970
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9970
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9970
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 331668, Buy volume: 34247039.00, Sell volume: 46066367.52, Average price: 0.4040, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525013
Question: Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?
Volume: 794266.416199
Price History:
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0045
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0020
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0030
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 644356, Buy volume: 84734249.14, Sell volume: 16921466.59, Average price: 0.7005, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.1050
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.2000
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.2000
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.2000
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.1650
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.1250
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.1250
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.1250
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.1250
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.1250
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.1250
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.1250
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.1250
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.1250
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.1250
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.1250
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.1250
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.1250
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.1250
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.1250
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.1250
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.1250
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.1250
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.1250
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.1250
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.1250
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.1250
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.1250
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.1350
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.1350
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.1350
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.1350
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1350
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1350
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.1350
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.1350
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.1350
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.1350
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.1350
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.1350
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.1350
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.1550
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.1600
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1600
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.1600
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1600
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.1600
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.1600
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1600
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1600
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.1600
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.1600
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.1600
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.1600
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.1550
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1550
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.1550
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.1550
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.1600
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.1600
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.1600
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.1600
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.1600
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.1600
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.1600
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.1600
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.1600
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.1600
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1600
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.1600
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1600
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.1600
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.1600
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.1600
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1650
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.1600
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1600
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.1600
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.1600
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.1600
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.1600
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.1550
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.1550
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.1500
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.1450
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.1450
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.1450
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.1450
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.1500
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.1500
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.1500
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.1500
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.1500
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.1500
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.1500
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.1500
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.1500
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.1500
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.1500
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.1500
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.1500
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.1450
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.1400
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.1400
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.1400
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.1400
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.1350
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.1350
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.1350
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.1350
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.1350
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.1350
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.1350
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.1400
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.1350
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.1350
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.1350
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.1350
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.1350
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.1200
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.1200
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.1100
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.1050
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.1050
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0950
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.1000
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0950
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0900
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0900
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0900
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0800
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0800
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0800
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0800
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0800
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0800
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0800
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0800
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0750
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0700
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.0700
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0700
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0700
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0700
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0700
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0700
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0600
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0600
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0550
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0550
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0550
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0395
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0400
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0445
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0415
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0415
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0425
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0410
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0405
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0400
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0395
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0380
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0350
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0350
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0335
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0330
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0335
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0355
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0365
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0370
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0370
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0370
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0380
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0385
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0405
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0530
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0525
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0525
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0520
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0520
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0520
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0520
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0520
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0525
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0525
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0525
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0525
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0525
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0530
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0530
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0530
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0530
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0530
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0535
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0530
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0530
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0530
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0530
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0530
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0530
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0530
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0530
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0530
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0530
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0530
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0530
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0530
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0530
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0530
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0530
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0530
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0530
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0530
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0530
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0530
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0530
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0525
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0525
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0525
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0525
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0525
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0525
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0525
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0525
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0525
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0525
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.0525
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0525
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.0525
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0525
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0525
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0530
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0530
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0530
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0540
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0540
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0535
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0535
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0535
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.0540
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0540
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0540
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.0540
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.0535
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0530
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0535
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0530
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0535
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0530
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0535
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0540
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0540
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0540
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0540
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0540
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0540
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0540
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0555
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0555
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0555
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0555
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0555
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0555
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0555
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0555
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0555
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0535
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0535
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0535
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0540
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0540
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0540
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0540
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0545
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0545
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0545
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0545
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0555
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0565
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0560
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0560
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0560
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0565
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0565
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0585
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0570
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0530
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0525
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0530
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0530
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0535
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0525
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0530
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0530
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0540
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.0535
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.0535
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0535
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0535
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0535
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0535
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0535
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0545
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0515
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0535
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0535
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0535
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0535
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0435
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.0435
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0475
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0420
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0415
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0410
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0410
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0390
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0395
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0390
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0390
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0385
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0435
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0385
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0375
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0390
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0390
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0380
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0380
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0375
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0370
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0370
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0370
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0370
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0355
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0360
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0355
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0355
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0325
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0315
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0310
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0300
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0300
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0290
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0220
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0215
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0190
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0170
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0170
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0175
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0185
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0140
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.0135
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.0135
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0150
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0110
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0110
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.0110
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0110
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0110
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0115
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.0120
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0120
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.0125
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.0125
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0130
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0170
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0160
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.0160
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0160
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0160
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.0135
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0135
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0135
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0135
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.0150
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.0140
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0150
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0145
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.0145
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0155
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0140
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.0110
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0120
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.0095
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0100
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0095
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.0095
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0095
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0080
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.0080
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0145
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0090
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0095
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0090
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.0090
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.0070
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0075
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0090
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0290
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.0290
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.0295
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.0130
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0080
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0075
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0045
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0045
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9955
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.9955
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9915
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.0135
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0175
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9815
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9925
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9925
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0095
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.9910
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9910
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.0090
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.9875
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0240
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0195
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0175
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.9845
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0125
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0135
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.0145
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0160
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0150
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9875
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9880
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9875
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9910
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.9925
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0060
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0060
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0065
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0055
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0095
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0065
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0070
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0050
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.0050
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0050
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.9950
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.0045
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9965
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9965
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0090
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0060
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.9960
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9935
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0055
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9950
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.0050
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0050
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.0065
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0050
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.9950
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9950
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0075
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.0075
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0075
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.0060
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9945
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.9955
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0050
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9950
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.9955
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.0045
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9950
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.9950
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.9965
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9955
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9955
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.9955
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0050
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9950
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0045
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9940
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0060
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0060
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0060
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0055
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0055
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9975
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9975
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0900
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.2000
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.2000
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.1350
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.1250
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.1250
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.1250
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.1250
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.1250
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.1250
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.1250
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.1250
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.1250
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.1250
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.1250
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.1250
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.1350
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.1350
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1350
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.1350
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.1350
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.1350
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.1350
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.1350
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.1550
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.1600
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1550
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.1600
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1600
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.1600
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.1600
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1600
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.1600
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1550
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1550
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1600
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.1600
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1600
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.1600
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.1550
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.1600
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1600
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1600
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1600
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1600
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.1600
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.1600
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1650
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1600
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.1600
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.1600
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.1550
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.1500
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.1450
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.1500
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.1500
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.1500
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.1500
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.1500
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.1500
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.1500
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.1500
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.1500
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.1500
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.1400
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.1350
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.1350
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.1350
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.1350
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.1350
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.1350
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.1350
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.1350
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.1350
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.1350
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.1250
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.1250
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.1200
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.1050
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0950
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.1000
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0950
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0900
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0800
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0800
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0800
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0800
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0800
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0750
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0700
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0700
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0700
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0700
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0600
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0550
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0450
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0400
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0410
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0425
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0410
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0395
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0380
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0350
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0325
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0325
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0330
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0365
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0360
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0365
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0375
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0385
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0520
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0525
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0520
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0520
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0520
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0525
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0525
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0525
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0530
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0530
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0530
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0530
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0530
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0530
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0530
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.0530
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0530
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0530
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0530
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0530
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0530
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0530
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0530
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0530
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0530
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0525
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0525
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0525
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0525
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0525
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0525
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.0525
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0525
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.0530
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0530
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0540
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0535
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0530
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0540
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.0540
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0530
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0535
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0530
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0535
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0540
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0540
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0540
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0540
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0555
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0555
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0555
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0555
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0555
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0555
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0555
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0535
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0540
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0540
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0545
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0545
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0555
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0560
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0560
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0555
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0585
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0560
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0525
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0530
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0530
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.0530
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.0530
2025-07-10 10:00: 0.0535
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0535
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0535
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0545
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0535
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0525
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0535
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0435
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0445
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0455
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0420
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0410
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0375
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0380
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0390
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0435
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0385
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0395
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0380
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0385
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0370
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0370
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0370
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0350
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0360
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0315
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0300
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0290
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0220
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0190
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0170
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0175
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0140
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0135
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0125
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0110
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0110
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0115
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0115
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0115
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0120
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0125
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0130
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.0160
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0160
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0135
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0135
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.0180
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.0140
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.0145
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.0170
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.0110
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.0125
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0100
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.0095
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0095
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.0080
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0145
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0095
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.0090
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0075
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.0095
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0290
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.0130
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0075
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0075
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0095
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0045
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9955
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0045
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0325
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.0185
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9925
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.9875
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9905
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9895
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.9755
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.0175
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.0125
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0140
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0145
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0120
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9875
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0075
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0060
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0065
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.9920
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0065
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.0050
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9955
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9950
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0035
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9965
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.9910
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0105
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0060
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.9940
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.9945
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.0055
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9950
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0050
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0060
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.0045
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.9950
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.0075
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.0055
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.9935
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9940
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0050
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.9955
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0055
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.9950
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.9965
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9955
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.9955
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.0050
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0050
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.9940
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0060
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0055
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9945
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 537136
Question: Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Volume: 1432215.204041
Price History:
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9975
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0025
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0025
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0015
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 332017888.19, Sell volume: 80532510.50, Average price: 0.9429, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525008
Question: Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 874542.041034
Price History:
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0550
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.9450
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0170
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9830
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0110
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9890
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0030
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9970
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9960
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9980
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0020
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9980
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 135451809.44, Sell volume: 64461707.12, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525008
Question: Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 874542.041034
Price History:
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0020
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9980
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0020
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9980
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9980
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0015
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0015
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9985
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0030
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9970
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0160
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9840
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0120
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9925
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9940
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 135451809.44, Sell volume: 64461707.12, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525008
Question: Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 874542.041034
Price History:
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9925
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9910
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0110
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9890
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9895
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9895
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9900
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9900
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9905
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9900
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 135451809.44, Sell volume: 64461707.12, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525008
Question: Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 874542.041034
Price History:
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0085
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9915
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 135451809.44, Sell volume: 64461707.12, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525008
Question: Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 874542.041034
Price History:
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9915
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 135451809.44, Sell volume: 64461707.12, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525008
Question: Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 874542.041034
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9925
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9925
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0110
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9890
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0135
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9865
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0125
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9875
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0105
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9895
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9925
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9925
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0105
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9895
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9905
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9925
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 135451809.44, Sell volume: 64461707.12, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525008
Question: Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 874542.041034
Price History:
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9925
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0060
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9940
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 135451809.44, Sell volume: 64461707.12, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525008
Question: Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 874542.041034
Price History:
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9925
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0090
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9925
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9925
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0135
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9865
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0090
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0090
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0090
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0090
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0090
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0090
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 135451809.44, Sell volume: 64461707.12, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525008
Question: Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 874542.041034
Price History:
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0090
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9910
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0090
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9910
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0090
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9910
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9880
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0120
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9880
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0120
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9880
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9885
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0120
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9880
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0120
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9880
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0135
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9865
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0135
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9865
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0135
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9865
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9875
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9875
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9875
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0110
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9890
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0100
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9900
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0085
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9915
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0085
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 135451809.44, Sell volume: 64461707.12, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525008
Question: Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 874542.041034
Price History:
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9925
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9930
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9915
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9915
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9915
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9915
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9915
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9915
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9925
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0100
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9900
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0100
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9900
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9890
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0090
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9910
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0090
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9910
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0135
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9865
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0105
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9895
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0100
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9900
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 135451809.44, Sell volume: 64461707.12, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525008
Question: Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 874542.041034
Price History:
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0080
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9920
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9925
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0075
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9925
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0075
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9925
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9925
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0070
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9930
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9930
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0070
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9930
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9930
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0070
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9930
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0065
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9935
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0065
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9935
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0065
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9935
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0085
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9915
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 135451809.44, Sell volume: 64461707.12, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525008
Question: Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 874542.041034
Price History:
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0070
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9930
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0065
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9935
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9940
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0060
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9940
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9940
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9940
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9940
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9945
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9945
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9945
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0060
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9940
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9940
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9940
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0055
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9945
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9945
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9945
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9955
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9955
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 135451809.44, Sell volume: 64461707.12, Average price: 0.6831, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes