Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587267
Question: Will the Volt Netherlands win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 57756.858559
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0150
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9850
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9850
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9850
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0150
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9910
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9910
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0085
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9925
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9915
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0080
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0085
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9920
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0080
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0080
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9930
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9935
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0065
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0065
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9935
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0065
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9935
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1691.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9872, Price range: 0.9856 - 0.9902
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587267
Question: Will the Volt Netherlands win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 57756.858559
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0065
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0065
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0065
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9935
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0065
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9935
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9935
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0065
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9935
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0065
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9935
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0065
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9935
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9935
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0065
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9935
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9935
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9935
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9935
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0040
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 700.68, Average price: 0.0031, Price range: 0.0028 - 0.0035
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587267
Question: Will the Volt Netherlands win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 57756.858559
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0045
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9950
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0045
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0050
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0045
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9960
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0050
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0050
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9970
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 204.00, Average price: 0.0022, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0027
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587267
Question: Will the Volt Netherlands win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 57756.858559
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9965
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1284.36, Sell volume: 2019.96, Average price: 0.9503, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587267
Question: Will the Volt Netherlands win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 57756.858559
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 612.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587267
Question: Will the Volt Netherlands win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 57756.858559
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 311.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587267
Question: Will the Volt Netherlands win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 57756.858559
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 2359.46, Sell volume: 1000.00, Average price: 0.9782, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587267
Question: Will the Volt Netherlands win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 57756.858559
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 14.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587267
Question: Will the Volt Netherlands win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 57756.858559
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 486, Buy volume: 38463.37, Sell volume: 19293.49, Average price: 0.2509, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587267
Question: Will the Volt Netherlands win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 57756.858559
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 5676.10, Sell volume: 6785.90, Average price: 0.2945, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9800
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9895
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0070
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0065
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9930
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9930
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1106.49, Sell volume: 128.00, Average price: 0.8556, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.10, Sell volume: 1231.50, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 215, Buy volume: 333683.77, Sell volume: 5713.46, Average price: 0.0984, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 215, Buy volume: 333683.77, Sell volume: 5713.46, Average price: 0.0984, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1867.79, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 215, Buy volume: 333683.77, Sell volume: 5713.46, Average price: 0.0984, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 215, Buy volume: 333683.77, Sell volume: 5713.46, Average price: 0.0984, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1901.00, Sell volume: 46.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 161570.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 159882.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7317.97, Sell volume: 2320.17, Average price: 0.3687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9800
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0070
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1106.49, Sell volume: 128.00, Average price: 0.8556, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4.10, Sell volume: 1231.50, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 215, Buy volume: 333683.77, Sell volume: 5713.46, Average price: 0.0984, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 215, Buy volume: 333683.77, Sell volume: 5713.46, Average price: 0.0984, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1867.79, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 215, Buy volume: 333683.77, Sell volume: 5713.46, Average price: 0.0984, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 215, Buy volume: 333683.77, Sell volume: 5713.46, Average price: 0.0984, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1901.00, Sell volume: 46.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 161570.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 159882.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587269
Question: Will the Reformed Political Party win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 339397.227
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7317.97, Sell volume: 2320.17, Average price: 0.3687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.7500
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.2000
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.1350
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.1350
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.1300
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1250
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.8750
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.1100
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.1050
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9200
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0800
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9350
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9350
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0650
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9400
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0550
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9500
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.8250
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.1600
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.1600
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.8450
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.1550
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.8450
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1550
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.1550
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.8450
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.8450
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.8450
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.8450
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 9042.18, Sell volume: 239.36, Average price: 0.6971, Price range: 0.0484 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.1750
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.1700
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.1700
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.8350
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.1650
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.1650
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.1650
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.1650
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.1650
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.1600
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.8350
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.1650
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.1650
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.8400
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.1600
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.1600
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.8350
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.8350
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.8350
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.8350
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.8350
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.8350
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.8350
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.1650
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.1650
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.1650
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 164.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6233, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.1700
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.1750
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.8250
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.8250
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.8250
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.8250
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.8250
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.8250
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.8250
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.8250
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.1750
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.8250
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.1750
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.1750
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.1750
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.8250
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.8250
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.1650
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.8350
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.8350
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.1650
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.1650
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.1650
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.1650
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.8350
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.7900
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.7750
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.2200
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.7700
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.7650
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.8600
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.8550
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 230.00, Sell volume: 1755.97, Average price: 0.6645, Price range: 0.1782 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.1100
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.1000
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9000
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9050
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0950
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.1050
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.1000
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.1150
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0850
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.1000
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.1000
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0800
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9350
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0850
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9150
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9150
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9200
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9250
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0700
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0650
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0650
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 611.32, Sell volume: 611.32, Average price: 0.7687, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0650
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9250
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0750
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.0750
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9250
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0750
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9250
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9250
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9250
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9250
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0750
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9250
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9350
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9350
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0650
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0650
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0650
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0650
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0650
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0650
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0650
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9350
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0650
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0650
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0650
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9350
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9350
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9350
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9350
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0650
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0650
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 530.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0700
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0700
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0700
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0750
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0550
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0550
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9450
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.0550
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0550
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9450
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1514.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5920, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9400
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1946.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2825, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0600
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0600
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 4338.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8615, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0500
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0450
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 3663.72, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.7333, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0450
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9550
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 6670.50, Sell volume: 427.11, Average price: 0.8249, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0350
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0270
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0270
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9730
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9730
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9735
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9755
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9685
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9695
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9700
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9700
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9700
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9700
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9700
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9735
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9735
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9725
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9740
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9745
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9725
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9735
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9745
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9745
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9685
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9685
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9615
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9665
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9685
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9695
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9090
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 15372.33, Sell volume: 3650.67, Average price: 0.8350, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9840

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9205
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9320
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9315
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9435
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9430
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9455
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9415
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9390
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9520
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9555
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9295
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9305
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9275
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9195
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9215
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9230
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9270
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9320
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9320
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9320
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9315
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9315
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9375
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9445
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9445
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9415
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9215
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9120
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9190
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9205
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9215
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9040
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9395
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9055
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9025
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9090
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9090
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9080
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9060
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9225
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9290
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9170
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9175
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.8795
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.8365
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.8305
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 156, Buy volume: 14560.74, Sell volume: 9669.30, Average price: 0.5409, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9650

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.8185
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.8145
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.8330
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8720
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9630
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9750
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9940
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9785
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 191, Buy volume: 18694.72, Sell volume: 31590.29, Average price: 0.4894, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.7500
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.8650
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.8700
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.8750
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.8900
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9350
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9350
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0550
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0700
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9250
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0750
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.1650
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.8400
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.1550
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.1550
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.8450
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.1550
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.8450
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 9042.18, Sell volume: 239.36, Average price: 0.6971, Price range: 0.0484 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.1750
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.8300
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.8350
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.8350
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.1650
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.8350
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.1650
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.8350
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.1650
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.1650
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.8350
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.8400
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.8400
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.8350
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.8350
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.8350
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.8350
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.8350
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.8350
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.1650
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.8350
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.8300
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 164.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6233, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.1700
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.1750
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.1750
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.8250
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.1750
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.8250
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.1750
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.8250
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.1750
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.1750
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.8250
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.1750
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.8350
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.8350
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.1650
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.1650
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.8350
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.7900
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.2250
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.7650
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.1400
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.8400
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 230.00, Sell volume: 1755.97, Average price: 0.6645, Price range: 0.1782 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.1100
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.8950
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.1000
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9050
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9050
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9000
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.1000
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9000
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0750
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0650
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0850
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0850
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0750
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0750
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9250
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0650
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9350
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9350
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 611.32, Sell volume: 611.32, Average price: 0.7687, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0650
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9350
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9250
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0750
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9350
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9350
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0650
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0650
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0650
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9350
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9350
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9350
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0650
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 530.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0700, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.0700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0700
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0700
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0700
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0700
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9250
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9450
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0550
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9450
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1514.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5920, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9450
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1946.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2825, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0600
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0600
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9400
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0600
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 4338.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8615, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9500
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9500
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 3663.72, Sell volume: 3.00, Average price: 0.7333, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0450
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 6670.50, Sell volume: 427.11, Average price: 0.8249, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0305
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0270
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0270
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9755
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0320
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9710
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0290
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9700
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0300
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.9700
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0265
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9725
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0260
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9735
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0255
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9685
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0395
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9670
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0305
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9360
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 15372.33, Sell volume: 3650.67, Average price: 0.8350, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9205
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0660
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9425
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0545
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9390
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0445
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9325
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0725
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9215
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0765
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9320
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0680
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9315
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0655
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9505
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0585
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0790
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9270
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0960
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9395
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0925
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9090
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0920
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9225
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0825
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9205
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.1635
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8475
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.1655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 156, Buy volume: 14560.74, Sell volume: 9669.30, Average price: 0.5409, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587277
Question: Will Party for Freedom win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 126082.75811
Price History:
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.8185
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9210
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0250
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9980
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 191, Buy volume: 18694.72, Sell volume: 31590.29, Average price: 0.4894, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.5000
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0600
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0600
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0500
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.0450
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0950
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.0600
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.0700
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.1150
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.3850
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.1300
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.1300
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.1150
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.1400
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.1450
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.1050
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.1400
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.1350
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.1450
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.1350
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.1450
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.1450
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.1450
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.1450
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.1450
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.1450
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.1450
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.1400
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.1450
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.1450
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.1450
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.1400
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.1450
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.1450
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.1450
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.1450
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.1400
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.1550
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.1550
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.1650
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.1600
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.1600
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.1650
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.1650
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.1600
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.1600
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.2100
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.1600
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.1700
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.1800
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.1900
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.1550
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.1700
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.1500
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.1500
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.1850
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.1450
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.1350
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.1350
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.1500
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.1400
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.1500
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.1500
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.1800
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.1500
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.1500
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.1500
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.1800
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.1800
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.1800
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.1800
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.2100
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.2100
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.2100
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.2100
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.2150
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.1950
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.1800
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.1850
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.1800
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.1500
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.1500
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.1500
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.2100
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.2100
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.2100
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.2100
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.1950
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.1950
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.2100
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.2100
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.2100
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.1250
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.1500
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.1350
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.1300
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.1300
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.1250
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0750
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0750
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0700
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.1100
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.1000
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.1050
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.1050
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.1050
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.1050
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0900
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1000
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0950
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0255
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0325
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0345
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0360
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0365
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0295
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0555
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0710
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0720
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0625
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0670
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0845
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0875
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0895
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0805
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0820
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0840
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0730
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0730
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0810
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0845
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0830
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0820
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0820
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0905
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0920
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0920
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0925
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0860
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0910
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0915
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0900
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0835
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0820
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0780
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0800
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0770
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0760
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0770
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0835
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0835
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0815
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0790
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.0910
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0950
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0950
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0955
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0945
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0960
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.1000
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.1065
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.1070
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.1075
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.1075
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.1075
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.1075
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.1075
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.1075
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.1075
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.1065
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.1070
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.1075
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.1075
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.1075
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.1075
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.1075
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.1075
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.1045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.1150
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.1145
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.1400
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.1790
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.1580
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.1715
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.1675
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.1675
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.1675
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.1675
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.1675
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.1675
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.1670
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.1645
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.1675
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.1650
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.1685
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.1650
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.1740
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.1470
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.1495
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.1495
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.1495
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.1495
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.1670
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.1670
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.1705
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.1990
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.2305
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.2360
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.2205
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.2650
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.2670
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.2630
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.2565
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.1945
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.1935
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.2155
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.2030
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.1915
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.2625
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.2000
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.2245
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.2130
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.2470
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.2320
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.2615
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.2485
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.2960
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.2715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.3305
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.3165
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.2930
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.2260
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.2220
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.2125
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.2150
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.2165
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.2160
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.2210
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.2165
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.2140
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.2085
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.2240
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.2155
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.2120
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.2320
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.2190
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.1365
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.1540
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.1185
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.1550
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.1330
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.1360
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.1130
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.1110
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.1110
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0965
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0960
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0795
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0760
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0805
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0830
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0725
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0875
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0830
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0685
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0745
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0810
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0955
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.1335
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.1210
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.1175
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.1155
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.1055
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.1010
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.1020
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0900
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0750
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0715
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0715
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0710
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0870
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0930
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.0950
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.1045
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.1125
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.1165
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.1025
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.1150
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.1170
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.1130
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.1115
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.1125
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.1150
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.1150
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.1235
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.1180
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.1105
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.1080
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.1350
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.1320
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.1280
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.1335
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.1300
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.1275
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.1265
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.1385
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.1795
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.1875
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.1625
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.1470
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.1510
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.1715
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.1610
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.1835
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.2155
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.1790
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.1795
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.1910
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.1990
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.2000
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.2050
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.2030
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.2165
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.2420
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.2250
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.2410
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527798
Question: Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2093494.06032
Price History:
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.2945
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.2760
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.2710
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.2725
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.2870
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.2760
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.2765
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.2715
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.2835
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.2835
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.2390
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.2955
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.2635
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.2705
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.2970
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.2615
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.2635
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.2245
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.2625
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.2875
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.4020
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.4425
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.4640
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.4335
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.4255
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.4730
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.4445
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.4380
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.4530
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.4180
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.5870
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.4550
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.4105
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.3690
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.3900
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.3795
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.3895
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.3950
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.3930
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.6295
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.6590
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.6410
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.6380
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.6405
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.5405
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.5825
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.5630
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.5745
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.5955
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.5605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 189208339.03, Sell volume: 21006572.70, Average price: 0.5444, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes