Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.9985
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.0045
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.9935
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.9985
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.9985
2024-11-20 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.9985
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.9985
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.9985
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.9985
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.9985
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.9985
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 17:00: 0.9985
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.9985
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2024-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.0010
2024-11-27 21:00: 0.9990
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2024-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-29 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.9985
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 17:00: 0.9985
2024-11-29 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.9985
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-30 07:00: 0.9990
2024-11-30 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 14:00: 0.9985
2024-11-30 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 21:00: 0.9985
2024-12-01 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.9985
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-01 11:00: 0.9985
2024-12-01 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.9995
2024-12-01 22:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.9995
2024-12-02 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.9995
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 15:00: 0.9995
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.9995
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-12-03 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 14:00: 0.9995
2024-12-03 18:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 21:00: 0.9995
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.9995
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.9995
2024-12-04 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.9995
2024-12-04 22:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.9995
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.9985
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 15:00: 0.9985
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 22:00: 0.9985
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-06 05:00: 0.9985
2024-12-06 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.9985
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.9985
2024-12-06 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.9985
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 09:00: 0.9985
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-12-07 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 01:00: 0.9985
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.9985
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 15:00: 0.9985
2024-12-08 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 22:00: 0.9985
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 05:00: 0.9985
2024-12-09 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.9995
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.0005
2024-12-09 19:00: 0.9995
2024-12-09 23:00: 0.0005
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.9995
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.0005
2024-12-10 09:00: 0.9995
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.0005
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.9995
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-10 23:00: 0.9995
2024-12-11 03:00: 0.0005
2024-12-11 06:00: 0.9985
2024-12-11 10:00: 0.0005
2024-12-11 13:00: 0.9995
2024-12-11 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.9995
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-12-12 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.9995
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0005
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.9995
2024-12-12 23:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.9990
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 09:00: 0.9990
2024-12-13 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.9985
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 23:00: 0.9990
2024-12-14 03:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.9995
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.9990
2024-12-14 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.9985
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.9985
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.9985
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 17:00: 0.9985
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 00:00: 0.9985
2024-12-16 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 07:00: 0.9985
2024-12-16 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 23:00: 0.9985
2024-12-17 03:00: 0.0025
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.9980
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.9980
2024-12-17 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.9980
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.0020
2024-12-18 03:00: 0.9970
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.9975
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.0030
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.9975
2024-12-18 21:00: 0.0030
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.9970
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-19 07:00: 0.9975
2024-12-19 11:00: 0.0030
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.9975
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.0030
2024-12-19 21:00: 0.9970
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.9975
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0025
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.9970
2024-12-20 15:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.9975
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.0030
2024-12-21 01:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-21 10:00: 0.9970
2024-12-21 14:00: 0.0025
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.9970
2024-12-21 21:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.9970
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.9970
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.9975
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.0025
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.9970
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0025
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.9975
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-23 11:00: 0.9975
2024-12-23 15:00: 0.0030
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.9975
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.9970
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.9970
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.9975
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.9975
2024-12-25 02:00: 0.0025
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.9975
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.0025
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.0030
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.9975
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.0030
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.9975
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.9970
2024-12-26 15:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 18:00: 0.9975
2024-12-26 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.9975
2024-12-27 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.9980
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.9980
2024-12-27 19:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.9975
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.9965
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.9970
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.9975
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.0030
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.9985
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 09:00: 0.9985
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.9985
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999926, Buy volume: 92599786.02, Sell volume: 309216.87, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-12-30 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.9985
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.9985
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.9975
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.9970
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.9970
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.9970
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.9970
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.9985
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.9985
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.9980
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 22650.36, Sell volume: 13761.20, Average price: 0.6889, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.2450
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0500
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0450
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0450
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0440
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0350
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0040
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0035
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0035
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 18:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0025
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0035
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.0045
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0070
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.0075
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.0065
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0060
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.0125
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.0115
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0110
2024-11-24 22:00: 0.0090
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.0100
2024-11-25 02:00: 0.0085
2024-11-25 04:00: 0.0075
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.0060
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0060
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0065
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0055
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0065
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.0065
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.0065
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0070
2024-11-25 22:00: 0.0070
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0070
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0070
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0065
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.0065
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.0075
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.0070
2024-11-26 12:00: 0.0065
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.0065
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.0065
2024-11-26 18:00: 0.0050
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.0050
2024-11-26 22:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 992968872.45, Sell volume: 54470312.25, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-11-27 10:00: 0.9935
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.9935
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.9935
2024-11-27 16:00: 0.9935
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.9935
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.9930
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 00:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 02:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 06:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.9925
2024-11-28 10:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 14:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 22:00: 0.9930
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.9930
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.9930
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.9930
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.9930
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.9930
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.9930
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.9930
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.9930
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.9930
2024-11-29 18:00: 0.9930
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.9930
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.9930
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.9930
2024-11-30 02:00: 0.9930
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.9930
2024-11-30 06:00: 0.9930
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.9930
2024-11-30 10:00: 0.9930
2024-11-30 12:00: 0.9930
2024-11-30 14:00: 0.9930
2024-11-30 16:00: 0.9930
2024-11-30 18:00: 0.9930
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.9930
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.9930
2024-12-01 00:00: 0.9930
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.9930
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.9930
2024-12-01 06:00: 0.9930
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.9930
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.9930
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 992968872.45, Sell volume: 54470312.25, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 03:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 05:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 07:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 09:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 11:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 13:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 15:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 17:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 21:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 23:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 01:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 03:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 05:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 07:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 09:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 11:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 13:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 19:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 21:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 23:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 03:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 05:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 07:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 09:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 13:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 15:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 17:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 19:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 21:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 23:00: 0.0070
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.0070
2024-12-05 03:00: 0.0070
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.0070
2024-12-05 07:00: 0.0070
2024-12-05 09:00: 0.0070
2024-12-05 11:00: 0.0070
2024-12-05 13:00: 0.0070
2024-12-05 15:00: 0.0070
2024-12-05 17:00: 0.0070
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.0070
2024-12-05 21:00: 0.0070
2024-12-05 23:00: 0.0070
2024-12-06 01:00: 0.0070
2024-12-06 03:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 992968872.45, Sell volume: 54470312.25, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-12-06 15:00: 0.9930
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.9930
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.9930
2024-12-06 21:00: 0.9930
2024-12-06 23:00: 0.9930
2024-12-07 01:00: 0.9930
2024-12-07 03:00: 0.9930
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.9930
2024-12-07 07:00: 0.9930
2024-12-07 09:00: 0.9930
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.9930
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.9930
2024-12-07 15:00: 0.9930
2024-12-07 17:00: 0.9930
2024-12-07 19:00: 0.9930
2024-12-07 21:00: 0.9930
2024-12-07 23:00: 0.9930
2024-12-08 01:00: 0.9930
2024-12-08 03:00: 0.9930
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.9930
2024-12-08 07:00: 0.9930
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.9930
2024-12-08 11:00: 0.9930
2024-12-08 13:00: 0.9930
2024-12-08 15:00: 0.9930
2024-12-08 17:00: 0.9930
2024-12-08 19:00: 0.9930
2024-12-08 21:00: 0.9930
2024-12-08 23:00: 0.9930
2024-12-09 01:00: 0.9930
2024-12-09 03:00: 0.9930
2024-12-09 05:00: 0.9930
2024-12-09 07:00: 0.9935
2024-12-09 09:00: 0.9935
2024-12-09 11:00: 0.9940
2024-12-09 13:00: 0.9940
2024-12-09 15:00: 0.9955
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.9955
2024-12-09 19:00: 0.9955
2024-12-09 21:00: 0.9955
2024-12-09 23:00: 0.9955
2024-12-10 01:00: 0.9955
2024-12-10 03:00: 0.9955
2024-12-10 05:00: 0.9945
2024-12-10 07:00: 0.9945
2024-12-10 09:00: 0.9945
2024-12-10 11:00: 0.9945
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.9975
2024-12-10 15:00: 0.9975
2024-12-10 17:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 992968872.45, Sell volume: 54470312.25, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-12-11 06:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 08:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 10:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 02:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 06:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 10:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.0040
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-12 18:00: 0.0040
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 22:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 02:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 08:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 22:00: 0.0040
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0035
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.0035
2024-12-15 04:00: 0.0035
2024-12-15 06:00: 0.0035
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 992968872.45, Sell volume: 54470312.25, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.9950
2024-12-15 22:00: 0.9950
2024-12-16 00:00: 0.9950
2024-12-16 02:00: 0.9950
2024-12-16 04:00: 0.9950
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.9950
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.9950
2024-12-16 10:00: 0.9950
2024-12-16 12:00: 0.9970
2024-12-16 14:00: 0.9970
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.9970
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.9965
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.9965
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.9965
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.9965
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.9965
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.9955
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.9955
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.9955
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.9955
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.9955
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.9955
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.9955
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.9955
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.9955
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.9955
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.9955
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.9955
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.9955
2024-12-18 06:00: 0.9955
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.9955
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.9955
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.9955
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.9955
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.9955
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.9955
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.9955
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.9955
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.9955
2024-12-19 02:00: 0.9965
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.9960
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.9970
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.9965
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.9965
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.9965
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.9965
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.9965
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.9965
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.9965
2024-12-19 22:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 992968872.45, Sell volume: 54470312.25, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.0025
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.0025
2024-12-20 15:00: 0.0025
2024-12-20 17:00: 0.0025
2024-12-20 19:00: 0.0025
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.0025
2024-12-20 23:00: 0.0025
2024-12-21 01:00: 0.0025
2024-12-21 03:00: 0.0025
2024-12-21 05:00: 0.0165
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0170
2024-12-21 09:00: 0.0175
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.0250
2024-12-21 13:00: 0.0250
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.0285
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.0285
2024-12-21 19:00: 0.0285
2024-12-21 21:00: 0.0180
2024-12-21 23:00: 0.0180
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.0180
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.0180
2024-12-22 05:00: 0.0175
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.0175
2024-12-22 09:00: 0.0170
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.0265
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.0260
2024-12-22 15:00: 0.0185
2024-12-22 17:00: 0.0285
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.0285
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.0285
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.0170
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0180
2024-12-23 03:00: 0.0180
2024-12-23 05:00: 0.0180
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.0285
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.0285
2024-12-23 11:00: 0.0285
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0285
2024-12-23 15:00: 0.0285
2024-12-23 17:00: 0.0285
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.0285
2024-12-23 21:00: 0.0285
2024-12-23 23:00: 0.0285
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.0285
2024-12-24 03:00: 0.0175
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.0275
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.0275
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.0285
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.0275
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 992968872.45, Sell volume: 54470312.25, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.9820
2024-12-25 03:00: 0.9825
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.9745
2024-12-25 07:00: 0.9745
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.9745
2024-12-25 11:00: 0.9745
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.9735
2024-12-25 15:00: 0.9755
2024-12-25 17:00: 0.9755
2024-12-25 19:00: 0.9755
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.9755
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.9755
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.9755
2024-12-26 03:00: 0.9755
2024-12-26 05:00: 0.9755
2024-12-26 07:00: 0.9755
2024-12-26 09:00: 0.9760
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.9760
2024-12-26 13:00: 0.9760
2024-12-26 15:00: 0.9760
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.9740
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.9740
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.9740
2024-12-26 23:00: 0.9735
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.9740
2024-12-27 03:00: 0.9745
2024-12-27 05:00: 0.9845
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.9845
2024-12-27 09:00: 0.9765
2024-12-27 11:00: 0.9745
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.9765
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.9765
2024-12-27 17:00: 0.9770
2024-12-27 19:00: 0.9760
2024-12-27 21:00: 0.9760
2024-12-27 23:00: 0.9745
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.9745
2024-12-28 03:00: 0.9770
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.9770
2024-12-28 07:00: 0.9770
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.9825
2024-12-28 11:00: 0.9780
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.9780
2024-12-28 15:00: 0.9780
2024-12-28 17:00: 0.9780
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.9780
2024-12-28 21:00: 0.9775
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.9780
2024-12-29 01:00: 0.9785
2024-12-29 03:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 992968872.45, Sell volume: 54470312.25, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0215
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.0125
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0160
2024-12-29 22:00: 0.0215
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.0210
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.0210
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.0205
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0180
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.0180
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.0200
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0200
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.0200
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.0200
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.0200
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0200
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.0200
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0125
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0195
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.0190
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.0190
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0190
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.0190
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.0190
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.0195
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.0200
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0200
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.0200
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.0200
2025-01-01 00:00: 0.0200
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.0200
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0200
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.0200
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0200
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.0200
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0200
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.0200
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.0200
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.0200
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0200
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.0200
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0200
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0200
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0200
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0200
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0200
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.0195
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.0110
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.0110
2025-01-02 16:00: 0.0115
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 195804, Buy volume: 31397098.15, Sell volume: 932226.84, Average price: 0.0586, Price range: 0.0131 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.9890
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.9850
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.9850
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.9980
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.9945
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.9955
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.9950
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.9950
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.9950
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.9950
2025-01-04 04:00: 0.9950
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.9950
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.9950
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.9950
2025-01-04 12:00: 0.9950
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.9945
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.9950
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.9970
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.9970
2025-01-04 22:00: 0.9970
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.9970
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.9970
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.9975
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.9975
2025-01-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.9975
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.9975
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.9975
2025-01-05 18:00: 0.9975
2025-01-05 20:00: 0.9980
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.9980
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.9975
2025-01-06 02:00: 0.9975
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.9975
2025-01-06 06:00: 0.9980
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.9985
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.9980
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.9980
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.9980
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.9980
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.9980
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165834, Buy volume: 30008495.36, Sell volume: 36672550.74, Average price: 0.4116, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.0070
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.0075
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.0075
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.0150
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.0145
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.0165
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.0150
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.0170
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.0150
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.0150
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.0155
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.0165
2025-01-11 03:00: 0.0155
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.0120
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.0160
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.0135
2025-01-11 11:00: 0.0150
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.0150
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.0150
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0150
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.0080
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.0085
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 631559, Buy volume: 931288029.78, Sell volume: 16794658.54, Average price: 0.4420, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.9930
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.9930
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.9945
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.9960
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.9960
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.9960
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.9960
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.9960
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.9960
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.9960
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.9965
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.9965
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9965
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.9965
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.9965
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.9945
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.9945
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.9950
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.9950
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.9950
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.9920
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.9920
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.9915
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9915
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.9915
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.9915
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.9925
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.9915
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.9915
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.9920
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.9915
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.9915
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9915
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.9920
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.9915
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.9920
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.9945
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.9945
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.9945
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.9945
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9945
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.9945
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.9945
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.9945
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.9945
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.9950
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.9950
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.9950
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.9975
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 174, Buy volume: 24296.47, Sell volume: 6211.74, Average price: 0.7801, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.0010
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 634, Buy volume: 202154.23, Sell volume: 19189.91, Average price: 0.8226, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.2450
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.9550
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0445
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.9650
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0035
2024-11-23 13:00: 0.9975
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.9980
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.9965
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0070
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.9925
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0060
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.9910
2024-11-24 21:00: 0.0095
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.9900
2024-11-25 04:00: 0.0075
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.9940
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0065
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.9935
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.0065
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.9925
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0070
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.9935
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.0075
2024-11-26 11:00: 0.9930
2024-11-26 15:00: 0.0065
2024-11-26 18:00: 0.9950
2024-11-26 22:00: 0.0050
2024-11-27 01:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 992968872.45, Sell volume: 54470312.25, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-11-27 10:00: 0.9935
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.0065
2024-11-27 17:00: 0.9935
2024-11-27 21:00: 0.0070
2024-11-28 00:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.0070
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.0070
2024-11-28 14:00: 0.9930
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.0070
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.9930
2024-11-29 01:00: 0.0070
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.9930
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.0070
2024-11-29 11:00: 0.9930
2024-11-29 15:00: 0.0070
2024-11-29 18:00: 0.9930
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.0070
2024-11-30 01:00: 0.9930
2024-11-30 05:00: 0.0070
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.9930
2024-11-30 12:00: 0.0070
2024-11-30 15:00: 0.9930
2024-11-30 19:00: 0.0070
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.9930
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.0070
2024-12-01 05:00: 0.9930
2024-12-01 09:00: 0.0070
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.9930
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 992968872.45, Sell volume: 54470312.25, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.9930
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 11:00: 0.9930
2024-12-02 15:00: 0.0070
2024-12-02 18:00: 0.9930
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 01:00: 0.9930
2024-12-03 05:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.9930
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.9930
2024-12-03 19:00: 0.0070
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.9930
2024-12-04 02:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 05:00: 0.9930
2024-12-04 09:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 12:00: 0.9930
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.0070
2024-12-04 19:00: 0.9930
2024-12-04 23:00: 0.0070
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.9930
2024-12-05 06:00: 0.0070
2024-12-05 09:00: 0.9930
2024-12-05 13:00: 0.0070
2024-12-05 16:00: 0.9930
2024-12-05 20:00: 0.0070
2024-12-05 23:00: 0.9930
2024-12-06 03:00: 0.0070
2024-12-06 06:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 992968872.45, Sell volume: 54470312.25, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-12-06 15:00: 0.9930
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.0070
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.9930
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0070
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.9930
2024-12-07 09:00: 0.0070
2024-12-07 12:00: 0.9930
2024-12-07 16:00: 0.0070
2024-12-07 19:00: 0.9930
2024-12-07 23:00: 0.0070
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.9930
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.0070
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.9930
2024-12-08 13:00: 0.0070
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.9930
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0070
2024-12-08 23:00: 0.9930
2024-12-09 03:00: 0.0070
2024-12-09 06:00: 0.9930
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.0065
2024-12-09 13:00: 0.9940
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.0045
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.9955
2024-12-10 00:00: 0.0045
2024-12-10 03:00: 0.9955
2024-12-10 07:00: 0.0055
2024-12-10 10:00: 0.9945
2024-12-10 14:00: 0.0025
2024-12-10 17:00: 0.9975
2024-12-10 21:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 992968872.45, Sell volume: 54470312.25, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-12-11 06:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 09:00: 0.9975
2024-12-11 13:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.9975
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 23:00: 0.9975
2024-12-12 03:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 06:00: 0.9975
2024-12-12 10:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 13:00: 0.9960
2024-12-12 17:00: 0.0040
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.9960
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 03:00: 0.9960
2024-12-13 07:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.9960
2024-12-13 14:00: 0.0040
2024-12-13 17:00: 0.9960
2024-12-13 21:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.9960
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 07:00: 0.9960
2024-12-14 11:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.9960
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.0040
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.9960
2024-12-15 01:00: 0.0035
2024-12-15 04:00: 0.9965
2024-12-15 08:00: 0.0050
2024-12-15 11:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 992968872.45, Sell volume: 54470312.25, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.9950
2024-12-16 00:00: 0.0050
2024-12-16 03:00: 0.9950
2024-12-16 07:00: 0.0050
2024-12-16 10:00: 0.9950
2024-12-16 14:00: 0.0030
2024-12-16 17:00: 0.9970
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.0035
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.9965
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.0045
2024-12-17 07:00: 0.9955
2024-12-17 11:00: 0.0045
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.9955
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.0045
2024-12-17 21:00: 0.9955
2024-12-18 01:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.9955
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 11:00: 0.9955
2024-12-18 15:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.9955
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.0045
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.9970
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.0040
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.9965
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.0035
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.9965
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.0035
2024-12-19 22:00: 0.9965
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 992968872.45, Sell volume: 54470312.25, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.0025
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.9975
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.0025
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.9975
2024-12-21 01:00: 0.0025
2024-12-21 04:00: 0.9830
2024-12-21 08:00: 0.0165
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.9750
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.0285
2024-12-21 18:00: 0.9715
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.0180
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.9820
2024-12-22 05:00: 0.0175
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.9825
2024-12-22 12:00: 0.0260
2024-12-22 15:00: 0.9815
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.0285
2024-12-22 22:00: 0.9825
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.0180
2024-12-23 05:00: 0.9820
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.0285
2024-12-23 12:00: 0.9715
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0285
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.9715
2024-12-23 23:00: 0.0285
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.9715
2024-12-24 06:00: 0.0275
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.9715
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.0170
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 992968872.45, Sell volume: 54470312.25, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.9820
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.0255
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.9745
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.0265
2024-12-25 15:00: 0.9755
2024-12-25 19:00: 0.0245
2024-12-25 22:00: 0.9755
2024-12-26 02:00: 0.0245
2024-12-26 05:00: 0.9755
2024-12-26 09:00: 0.0240
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.9760
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.0240
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.9740
2024-12-26 23:00: 0.0265
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.9745
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.0155
2024-12-27 09:00: 0.9765
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.0235
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.9765
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0240
2024-12-27 23:00: 0.9745
2024-12-28 03:00: 0.0230
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.9770
2024-12-28 10:00: 0.0200
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.9780
2024-12-28 17:00: 0.0220
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.9780
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0220
2024-12-29 03:00: 0.9785
2024-12-29 07:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 992968872.45, Sell volume: 54470312.25, Average price: 0.3655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0215
2024-12-29 19:00: 0.9830
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.0210
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.9790
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0180
2024-12-30 09:00: 0.9810
2024-12-30 13:00: 0.0200
2024-12-30 16:00: 0.9800
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0200
2024-12-30 23:00: 0.9800
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.0190
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.9810
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.0190
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.9805
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.0200
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.9800
2025-01-01 00:00: 0.0200
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.9800
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.0200
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.9800
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.0200
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.9800
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.0200
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.9800
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0200
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.9800
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.0085
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.9890
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.0130
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 195804, Buy volume: 31397098.15, Sell volume: 932226.84, Average price: 0.0586, Price range: 0.0131 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.9890
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.0150
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-01-03 17:00: 0.0045
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.9950
2025-01-04 00:00: 0.0050
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.9950
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.0050
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.9950
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.9950
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.0030
2025-01-05 00:00: 0.9970
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-01-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.9975
2025-01-05 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.9980
2025-01-06 01:00: 0.0025
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.9975
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.0020
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.9980
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.9985
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165834, Buy volume: 30008495.36, Sell volume: 36672550.74, Average price: 0.4116, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.9985
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-01-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-01-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.9985
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.9985
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.9985
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.0075
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.9865
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0145
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.9850
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.0150
2025-01-10 22:00: 0.9845
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.0155
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.9880
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.0135
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.9850
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0150
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.9920
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0085
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 631559, Buy volume: 931288029.78, Sell volume: 16794658.54, Average price: 0.4420, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.9930
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.0055
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.9960
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.0040
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.9960
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.0040
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.9965
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.9965
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.9950
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.0135
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.9920
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.0085
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.9915
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0085
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.9915
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.0085
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.9915
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0085
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.9920
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.0055
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.9945
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0055
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.9945
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0055
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.9950
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.0050
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9975
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 174, Buy volume: 24296.47, Sell volume: 6211.74, Average price: 0.7801, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513168
Question: Will James Fishback be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 9251912.589984
Price History:
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.0010
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 634, Buy volume: 202154.23, Sell volume: 19189.91, Average price: 0.8226, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.2650
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.7350
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.2950
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.7050
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.3200
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.6800
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.4400
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.5600
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.2650
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.7350
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.7550
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.2300
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.7700
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.1800
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.8200
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.2000
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.8000
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 247.19, Sell volume: 123.33, Average price: 0.6533, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.8100
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.2000
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.8000
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.2000
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.1950
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.8050
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 930.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4923, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.2050
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.7950
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.1950
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.8050
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.2050
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.7950
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.1900
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.8100
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1620.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5872, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.8050
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.1800
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.8200
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.1850
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.8150
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.1650
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.8350
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.1600
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.8400
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.1550
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.8450
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.1650
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.8350
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.1600
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.1700
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.8300
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.1700
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2401.32, Sell volume: 1309.32, Average price: 0.6195, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.1700
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.8300
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.1700
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.8300
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.1700
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.8300
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.8250
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.8250
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.1700
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.8300
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.1700
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.8300
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.1650
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.8350
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.8800
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 133.27, Sell volume: 355.89, Average price: 0.3400, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.8800
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.1100
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.8900
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.1150
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.8850
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.1100
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.8900
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.1450
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.8550
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.1300
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.8700
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.8850
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0750
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0950
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9050
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0750
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2254.03, Sell volume: 1709.14, Average price: 0.3137, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0650
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.9350
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0600
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9400
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0325
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.9675
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.0325
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.9675
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0420
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.9580
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0630
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9370
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0695
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9305
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0620
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9380
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0705
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9295
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2140.37, Sell volume: 521.05, Average price: 0.1450, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9390

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.9185
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.0895
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9105
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0905
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.9095
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.1235
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.8765
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.1150
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.8850
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.1400
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.8600
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.1305
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.8695
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.1705
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.8295
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.1705
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.8295
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.1655
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.8345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1819.86, Sell volume: 178.17, Average price: 0.1675, Price range: 0.0977 - 0.8490

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.1605
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.8395
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.1700
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.8300
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.1500
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.8500
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.1595
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.8405
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.1505
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.8495
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.1460
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.8540
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.1855
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.8145
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.1805
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.8195
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.1750
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.8250
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.1610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 774.71, Sell volume: 149.67, Average price: 0.2797, Price range: 0.1490 - 0.8590

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.8390
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.1510
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.8490
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.1460
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.8540
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.1410
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.8590
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.1510
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.8490
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.1410
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.8590
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.1025
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.8975
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0780
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.9220
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0780
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9220
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0775
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.9225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 11.68, Sell volume: 108.37, Average price: 0.2587, Price range: 0.0770 - 0.8680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.1400
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.8600
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.1460
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.8540
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.1305
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.8695
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0885
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9115
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0790
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9210
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0950
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.1000
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9000
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0955
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9045
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0910
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9090
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 51.88, Sell volume: 10.60, Average price: 0.3201, Price range: 0.1085 - 0.9140

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.9120
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0910
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9090
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0915
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9085
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0950
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9050
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.1370
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.8630
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.1205
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.8795
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0965
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.9035
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.1000
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9000
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.1050
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.8950
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.1060
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.8940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 274.73, Sell volume: 40.53, Average price: 0.2176, Price range: 0.0730 - 0.9190

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Outcomes: ["100k", "110k"]
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0970
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9030
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0920
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9080
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0850
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9150
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0750
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9250
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0795
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9205
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.1205
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.8795
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.1140
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.8860
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0700
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9300
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.1065
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.8935
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 12381.07, Sell volume: 2560.47, Average price: 0.3557, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9580

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.2650
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.7350
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.2950
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.7050
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.3200
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.6800
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.4400
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.5600
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.2650
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.7350
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.7550
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.2300
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.7700
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.1800
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.8200
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.2000
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.8000
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 247.19, Sell volume: 123.33, Average price: 0.6533, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.8100
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.2000
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.8000
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.2000
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.1950
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.8050
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 930.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4923, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.2050
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.7950
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.1950
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.8050
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.2050
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.7950
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.2000
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.8000
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.1900
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.8100
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1620.72, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5872, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.8050
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.1800
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.8200
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.1850
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.8150
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.1650
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.8350
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.1600
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.8400
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.1550
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.8450
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.1650
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.8350
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.1600
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.1700
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.8300
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.1700
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2401.32, Sell volume: 1309.32, Average price: 0.6195, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.1700
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.8300
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.1700
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.8300
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.1700
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.8300
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.8250
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.8250
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.1700
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.8300
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.1700
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.8300
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.1650
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.8350
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.1200
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.8800
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 133.27, Sell volume: 355.89, Average price: 0.3400, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.8800
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.1100
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.8900
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.1150
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.8850
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.1100
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.8900
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.1450
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.8550
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.1300
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.8700
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.8850
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0750
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0950
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9050
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0750
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2254.03, Sell volume: 1709.14, Average price: 0.3137, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0650
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.9350
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0600
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9400
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0325
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.9675
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.0325
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.9675
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0420
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.9580
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0630
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9370
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0695
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9305
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0620
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.9380
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0705
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9295
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2140.37, Sell volume: 521.05, Average price: 0.1450, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9390
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.9185
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.0895
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9105
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0905
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.9095
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.1235
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.8765
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.1150
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.8850
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.1400
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.8600
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.1305
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.8695
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.1705
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.8295
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.1705
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.8295
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.1655
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.8345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1819.86, Sell volume: 178.17, Average price: 0.1675, Price range: 0.0977 - 0.8490
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.1605
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.8395
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.1700
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.8300
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.1500
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.8500
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.1595
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.8405
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.1505
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.8495
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.1460
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.8540
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.1855
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.8145
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.1805
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.8195
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.1750
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.8250
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.1610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 774.71, Sell volume: 149.67, Average price: 0.2797, Price range: 0.1490 - 0.8590
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.8390
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.1510
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.8490
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.1460
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.8540
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.1410
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.8590
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.1510
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.8490
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.1410
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.8590
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.1025
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.8975
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0780
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.9220
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0780
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9220
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0775
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.9225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 11.68, Sell volume: 108.37, Average price: 0.2587, Price range: 0.0770 - 0.8680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.1400
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.8600
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.1460
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.8540
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.1305
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.8695
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0885
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9115
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0790
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9210
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0950
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.9050
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.1000
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9000
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0955
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9045
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0910
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9090
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 51.88, Sell volume: 10.60, Average price: 0.3201, Price range: 0.1085 - 0.9140
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.9120
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0910
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9090
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0915
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9085
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0950
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9050
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.1370
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.8630
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.1205
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.8795
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0965
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.9035
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.1000
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9000
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.1050
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.8950
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.1060
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.8940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 274.73, Sell volume: 40.53, Average price: 0.2176, Price range: 0.0730 - 0.9190
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 560188
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $110k first?
Volume: 96501.942868
Price History:
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0970
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9030
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0920
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9080
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0850
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9150
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0750
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9250
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0795
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9205
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.1205
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.8795
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.1140
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.8860
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0700
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9300
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.1065
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.8935
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 12381.07, Sell volume: 2560.47, Average price: 0.3557, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.8500
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.1150
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.9105
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.0250
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.9805
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0205
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.9790
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0200
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.9810
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.9985
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0120
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.9885
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.0075
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.9925
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.0030
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.9935
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.9970
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0030
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.9970
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0030
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0055
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.9950
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.9950
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1679088794.97, Sell volume: 5909186.82, Average price: 0.2976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.9990
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-16 14:00: 0.9990
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.9990
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-16 20:00: 0.9990
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.9990
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.9990
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.9990
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0065
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.9935
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.9945
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.9945
2024-11-18 07:00: 0.0050
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.9950
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0030
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.9955
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0050
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.9950
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0030
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.9955
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0045
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1679088794.97, Sell volume: 5909186.82, Average price: 0.2976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.0050
2024-11-19 22:00: 0.9950
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0050
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.9950
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.0050
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.9945
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 07:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.9960
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.9965
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.9960
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.9970
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 01:00: 0.9960
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0035
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.9975
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 07:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1679088794.97, Sell volume: 5909186.82, Average price: 0.2976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9975
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0025
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.9975
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 06:00: 0.9980
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.9980
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 12:00: 0.9980
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.9985
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.9980
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 21:00: 0.9980
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 00:00: 0.9985
2024-11-25 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.9980
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.9980
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.9985
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.9985
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.9980
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.9985
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.9980
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.9980
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.9980
2024-11-26 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 12:00: 0.9980
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 15:00: 0.9985
2024-11-26 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 18:00: 0.9985
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.9980
2024-11-26 23:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1679088794.97, Sell volume: 5909186.82, Average price: 0.2976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2024-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.9980
2024-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 14:00: 0.9980
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 17:00: 0.9985
2024-11-28 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 20:00: 0.9980
2024-11-28 22:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 23:00: 0.9980
2024-11-29 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.0020
2024-11-29 05:00: 0.9980
2024-11-29 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.9980
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.0020
2024-11-29 11:00: 0.9980
2024-11-29 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.9980
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 17:00: 0.9985
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.9980
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.0020
2024-11-29 23:00: 0.9980
2024-11-30 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-30 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.9985
2024-11-30 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 11:00: 0.9985
2024-11-30 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 14:00: 0.9985
2024-11-30 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 17:00: 0.9985
2024-11-30 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.9985
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 23:00: 0.9985
2024-12-01 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1679088794.97, Sell volume: 5909186.82, Average price: 0.2976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-12-02 03:00: 0.0020
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.9980
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.0020
2024-12-02 07:00: 0.9980
2024-12-02 09:00: 0.0020
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.9985
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-02 13:00: 0.9985
2024-12-02 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.9985
2024-12-02 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.9985
2024-12-02 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.9985
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-03 01:00: 0.9985
2024-12-03 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.9985
2024-12-03 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-03 07:00: 0.9985
2024-12-03 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-03 10:00: 0.9985
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-03 13:00: 0.9985
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-03 16:00: 0.9985
2024-12-03 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-03 19:00: 0.9985
2024-12-03 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.9985
2024-12-04 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.9980
2024-12-04 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.9980
2024-12-04 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-04 07:00: 0.9980
2024-12-04 09:00: 0.0020
2024-12-04 10:00: 0.9980
2024-12-04 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-04 13:00: 0.9985
2024-12-04 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.9980
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-04 19:00: 0.9985
2024-12-04 21:00: 0.0020
2024-12-04 22:00: 0.9975
2024-12-05 00:00: 0.0020
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.9975
2024-12-05 03:00: 0.0025
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1679088794.97, Sell volume: 5909186.82, Average price: 0.2976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-12-06 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-06 06:00: 0.9980
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-06 09:00: 0.9985
2024-12-06 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.9980
2024-12-06 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-06 15:00: 0.9985
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-06 18:00: 0.9985
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-06 21:00: 0.9980
2024-12-06 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.9980
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 03:00: 0.9980
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.9985
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 09:00: 0.9985
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 12:00: 0.9985
2024-12-07 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-07 15:00: 0.9980
2024-12-07 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.9985
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 21:00: 0.9980
2024-12-07 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.9980
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 03:00: 0.9985
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.9985
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.9980
2024-12-08 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.9980
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 15:00: 0.9985
2024-12-08 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.9980
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 21:00: 0.9985
2024-12-08 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.9980
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.0020
2024-12-09 03:00: 0.9980
2024-12-09 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-09 06:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1679088794.97, Sell volume: 5909186.82, Average price: 0.2976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-12-10 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.9985
2024-12-10 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-10 11:00: 0.9985
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-10 14:00: 0.9985
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-10 17:00: 0.9985
2024-12-10 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.9985
2024-12-10 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-10 23:00: 0.9985
2024-12-11 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.9980
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-11 05:00: 0.9985
2024-12-11 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 08:00: 0.9980
2024-12-11 10:00: 0.0020
2024-12-11 11:00: 0.9985
2024-12-11 13:00: 0.0020
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.9980
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-11 17:00: 0.9980
2024-12-11 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.9980
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-11 23:00: 0.9980
2024-12-12 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 02:00: 0.9985
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 05:00: 0.9980
2024-12-12 07:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 08:00: 0.9975
2024-12-12 10:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 11:00: 0.9980
2024-12-12 13:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.9980
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 17:00: 0.9980
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 20:00: 0.9980
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 23:00: 0.9980
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.9985
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 05:00: 0.9985
2024-12-13 07:00: 0.0020
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1679088794.97, Sell volume: 5909186.82, Average price: 0.2976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.9985
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.9990
2024-12-14 15:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.9985
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 19:00: 0.9985
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 22:00: 0.9985
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 01:00: 0.9985
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 04:00: 0.9985
2024-12-15 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.9985
2024-12-15 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.9985
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 13:00: 0.9985
2024-12-15 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.9985
2024-12-15 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 19:00: 0.9985
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 22:00: 0.9985
2024-12-16 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.9985
2024-12-16 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 04:00: 0.9985
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 07:00: 0.9985
2024-12-16 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 10:00: 0.9985
2024-12-16 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 13:00: 0.9985
2024-12-16 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.9985
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 19:00: 0.9985
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.9985
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 01:00: 0.9985
2024-12-17 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.9985
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 07:00: 0.9985
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57942, Buy volume: 5426568.00, Sell volume: 193806.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-12-18 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.9980
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-18 15:00: 0.9980
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.9980
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-18 21:00: 0.9980
2024-12-18 23:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.9980
2024-12-19 02:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 03:00: 0.9980
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.9980
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 09:00: 0.9980
2024-12-19 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.9980
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.9980
2024-12-19 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.9980
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 21:00: 0.9980
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.9980
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 03:00: 0.9980
2024-12-20 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.9980
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 09:00: 0.9980
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.9980
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 15:00: 0.9980
2024-12-20 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.9980
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.9980
2024-12-20 23:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.9985
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-21 03:00: 0.9985
2024-12-21 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 06:00: 0.9980
2024-12-21 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 09:00: 0.9980
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 233766, Buy volume: 13792546.98, Sell volume: 4756258.98, Average price: 0.8960, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.9980
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 17:00: 0.9980
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 20:00: 0.9980
2024-12-22 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.9980
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.9980
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 05:00: 0.9980
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.9980
2024-12-23 10:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 11:00: 0.9980
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 14:00: 0.9980
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 17:00: 0.9980
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 20:00: 0.9980
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 23:00: 0.9980
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.9980
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.9980
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.9980
2024-12-24 10:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.9980
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.9980
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-24 17:00: 0.9985
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.9985
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-24 23:00: 0.9985
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 02:00: 0.9980
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.9980
2024-12-25 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.9980
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 11:00: 0.9980
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 705416, Buy volume: 1658416395.34, Sell volume: 711297.09, Average price: 0.0396, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-12-26 15:00: 0.0020
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.9980
2024-12-26 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.9980
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.0020
2024-12-26 22:00: 0.9980
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.9980
2024-12-27 03:00: 0.0030
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.9975
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.9980
2024-12-27 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.9985
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0025
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.9985
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.9985
2024-12-27 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-27 19:00: 0.9985
2024-12-27 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.9985
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.9985
2024-12-28 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.9985
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.0020
2024-12-28 07:00: 0.9980
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.0020
2024-12-28 10:00: 0.9980
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0020
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.9980
2024-12-28 15:00: 0.0020
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.9980
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.9980
2024-12-28 21:00: 0.0020
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.9980
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 01:00: 0.9985
2024-12-29 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.9985
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 07:00: 0.9985
2024-12-29 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 10:00: 0.9985
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.9985
2024-12-29 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 548, Buy volume: 735354.01, Sell volume: 9471.01, Average price: 0.2352, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 18:00: 0.9985
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.9985
2024-12-30 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.9985
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.9985
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.9985
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.9985
2024-12-31 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.9985
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 15:00: 0.9985
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.9985
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-31 21:00: 0.9980
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 00:00: 0.9980
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.9980
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.9980
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.9980
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.9980
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.9980
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.9980
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.9980
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.9980
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.9980
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 09:00: 0.9980
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.9980
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.9985
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 330, Buy volume: 717930.64, Sell volume: 44547.74, Average price: 0.8955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.5000
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.1150
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.0250
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0205
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0200
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0120
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.0075
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.0030
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0030
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0030
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0055
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1679088794.97, Sell volume: 5909186.82, Average price: 0.2976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0010
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0065
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 04:00: 0.0055
2024-11-18 07:00: 0.0050
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0030
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0050
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.0030
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0045
2024-11-18 22:00: 0.0050
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0050
2024-11-19 04:00: 0.0050
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0050
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1679088794.97, Sell volume: 5909186.82, Average price: 0.2976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.0050
2024-11-20 00:00: 0.0050
2024-11-20 03:00: 0.0050
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0035
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.0040
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.0040
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0035
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.0025
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1679088794.97, Sell volume: 5909186.82, Average price: 0.2976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0025
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 02:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 17:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 20:00: 0.0020
2024-11-26 23:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.0020
2024-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1679088794.97, Sell volume: 5909186.82, Average price: 0.2976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-28 22:00: 0.0020
2024-11-29 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.0020
2024-11-29 07:00: 0.0020
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.0020
2024-11-29 13:00: 0.0020
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.0020
2024-11-30 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-01 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-01 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-01 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1679088794.97, Sell volume: 5909186.82, Average price: 0.2976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes