Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9990
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 46059.09, Sell volume: 2256.64, Average price: 0.9366, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 285.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539205
Question: Will Progress Singapore Party (PSP) win the 2025 Singapore parliamentary election?
Volume: 341164.400658
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1358, Buy volume: 242954.00, Sell volume: 98210.40, Average price: 0.8677, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Outcomes: ["110k", "120k"]
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.8700
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.7300
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.2700
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.7300
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.2700
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.7200
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.2800
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.7200
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.2800
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.6950
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.3050
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.6300
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.3700
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.6400
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.3600
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.6100
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.3900
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.6050
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 174.44, Sell volume: 4.00, Average price: 0.6129, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Outcomes: ["110k", "120k"]
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.3850
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.6200
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.3800
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.6400
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.3600
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.6500
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.3500
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.6500
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.3500
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.5800
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.4200
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.5800
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.4200
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.5700
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.4300
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.6150
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.5900
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 421.32, Sell volume: 13.04, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Outcomes: ["110k", "120k"]
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.5900
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.4100
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.5700
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.4300
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.6100
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.3900
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.5700
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.4300
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.4800
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.5200
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.4600
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.5400
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.5050
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.4750
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.5250
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.4600
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.5400
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.5300
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 793.29, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.5037, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Outcomes: ["110k", "120k"]
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.5100
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.4900
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.4900
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.5100
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.4700
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.5300
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.5400
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.4600
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.5500
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.4500
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.4300
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.5700
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.5400
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 59.62, Average price: 0.4750, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.4900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Outcomes: ["110k", "120k"]
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.5300
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.4700
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.4800
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.5200
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.4900
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.5100
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.5000
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.5000
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.6300
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.3700
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.6500
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.3500
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.6400
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.3600
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.6600
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.3400
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.6350
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.3650
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.6700
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 647.06, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5857, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Outcomes: ["110k", "120k"]
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.6200
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.3800
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.3500
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.6500
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.6500
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.3500
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.2800
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.7200
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.7600
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.2400
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.7300
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.6900
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 643.87, Sell volume: 1.58, Average price: 0.6119, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Outcomes: ["110k", "120k"]
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.3300
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.6700
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.3200
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.6800
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.3200
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.6800
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.3400
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.6600
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.3200
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.6800
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.2750
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.7250
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.6900
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.6900
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.6800
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.3200
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7100
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2051.08, Sell volume: 24.31, Average price: 0.4758, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Outcomes: ["110k", "120k"]
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.6500
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.3500
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.6900
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.6500
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.3500
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.6200
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.3800
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.6250
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.3750
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.6800
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.3200
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.6600
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.3400
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.6700
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.3300
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1448.52, Sell volume: 74.39, Average price: 0.5653, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Outcomes: ["110k", "120k"]
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.7100
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.2900
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.6900
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.6900
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.6900
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.6850
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.3150
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.6850
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.3150
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.3150
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.6850
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.7000
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.3000
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.6950
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.3050
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.7000
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1799.98, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.7100, Price range: 0.6700 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Outcomes: ["110k", "120k"]
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.7400
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.2600
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.7800
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.2200
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.7850
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.2150
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.2750
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.7250
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.7300
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.2700
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.7250
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.7150
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.2850
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.7200
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.2800
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.2950
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1187.17, Sell volume: 62.43, Average price: 0.4405, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Outcomes: ["110k", "120k"]
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.7100
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.2900
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.2950
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.7150
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.2850
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.2950
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.2950
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.7000
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.7150
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.2850
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.6950
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.3050
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.8400
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 159.52, Sell volume: 40.23, Average price: 0.2567, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.3267

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Outcomes: ["110k", "120k"]
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.1600
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.8400
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.1950
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8050
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.1500
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.8500
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.1200
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.8800
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.1100
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 948.68, Average price: 0.6133, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Outcomes: ["110k", "120k"]
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9200
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0800
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.0850
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.9150
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9150
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.0950
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9050
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.8850
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.1150
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0600
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9400
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 3353.29, Sell volume: 26.76, Average price: 0.3042, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.8700
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.7300
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.2700
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.7300
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.2700
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.7200
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.2800
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.7200
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.2800
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.6950
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.3050
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.6300
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.3700
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.6400
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.3600
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.6100
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.3900
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.6050
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 174.44, Sell volume: 4.00, Average price: 0.6129, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.6150
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.3850
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.6200
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.3800
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.6400
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.3600
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.6500
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.3500
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.6500
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.3500
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.5800
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.4200
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.5800
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.4200
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.5700
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.4300
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.6150
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.3850
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.5900
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 421.32, Sell volume: 13.04, Average price: 0.5807, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.5900
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.4100
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.5700
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.4300
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.6100
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.3900
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.5700
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.4300
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.4800
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.5200
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.4600
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.5400
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.5050
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.4750
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.5250
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.4600
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.5400
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.5300
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 793.29, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.5037, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.5100
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.4900
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.5000
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.4900
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.5100
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.4700
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.5300
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.5400
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.4600
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.5500
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.4500
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.4300
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.5700
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.5400
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 59.62, Average price: 0.4750, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.5300
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.4700
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.4800
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.5200
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.4900
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.5100
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.5000
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.5000
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.6300
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.3700
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.6500
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.3500
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.6400
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.3600
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.6600
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.3400
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.6350
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.3650
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.6700
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 647.06, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5857, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.6200
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.3800
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.3500
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.6500
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.6500
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.3500
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.2800
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.7200
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.7600
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.2400
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.7300
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.6900
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 643.87, Sell volume: 1.58, Average price: 0.6119, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.3300
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.6700
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.3200
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.6800
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.3200
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.6800
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.3400
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.6600
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.3200
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.6800
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.2750
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.7250
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.6900
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.6900
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.6800
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.3200
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7100
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2051.08, Sell volume: 24.31, Average price: 0.4758, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.6500
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.3500
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.6900
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.6500
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.3500
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.6200
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.3800
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.6250
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.3750
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.6800
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.3200
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.6600
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.3400
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.6700
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.3300
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1448.52, Sell volume: 74.39, Average price: 0.5653, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.7100
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.2900
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.6900
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.6900
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.6900
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.6850
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.3150
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.6850
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.3150
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.3150
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.6850
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.7000
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.3000
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.6950
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.3050
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.7000
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1799.98, Sell volume: 7.00, Average price: 0.7100, Price range: 0.6700 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.7400
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.2600
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.7800
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.2200
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.7850
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.2150
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.2750
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.7250
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.7300
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.2700
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.7250
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.7150
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.2850
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.7200
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.2800
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.2950
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1187.17, Sell volume: 62.43, Average price: 0.4405, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.7100
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.2900
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.2950
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.7150
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.2850
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.2950
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.2950
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.7000
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.7150
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.2850
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.6950
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.3050
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.8400
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 159.52, Sell volume: 40.23, Average price: 0.2567, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.3267
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8350
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.1600
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.8400
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.1950
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8050
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.1500
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.8500
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.1200
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.8800
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.1100
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 948.68, Average price: 0.6133, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572389
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $110k or $120k first?
Volume: 23694.543472
Price History:
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9200
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0800
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.0850
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.9150
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9150
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.0950
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.9050
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.8850
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.1150
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0600
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9400
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 3353.29, Sell volume: 26.76, Average price: 0.3042, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8150
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9000
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1000
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9000
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.1000
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9000
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1000
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9000
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.1000
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9400
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9400
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0600
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9400
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9400
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9715
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0285
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9715
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0285
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9745
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0255
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9800
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0200
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9760
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0240
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9755
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0245
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9755
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0245
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9745
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0255
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9745
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0255
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9755
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0245
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9755
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 4183.77, Sell volume: 607.96, Average price: 0.6498, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9755
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0245
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9755
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0245
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9760
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0240
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9760
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0240
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9755
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0245
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9755
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0245
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9755
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0245
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9830
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0170
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9830
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9835
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0165
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9830
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9835
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0165
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9835
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0165
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9840
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0160
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9840
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9850
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0150
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9850
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0150
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9850
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0150
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9850
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0150
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9855
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1067.21, Sell volume: 923.08, Average price: 0.7913, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9855
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0145
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9860
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0140
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9860
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9860
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0140
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9865
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9860
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0140
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9915
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0085
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0090
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9925
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9880
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0120
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9880
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9900
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9900
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1528.55, Sell volume: 75.14, Average price: 0.6681, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0125
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9870
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0065
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1254.87, Sell volume: 15.32, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9850
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9885
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9860
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0140
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9870
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9920
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9945
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0055
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 692.10, Sell volume: 385.16, Average price: 0.3362, Price range: 0.0045 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 11.04, Sell volume: 10.52, Average price: 0.9955, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9945
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9945
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 448, Buy volume: 34865.06, Sell volume: 26840.14, Average price: 0.2436, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9945
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.02, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9960
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0040
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9955
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9890
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 7648.11, Sell volume: 5309.39, Average price: 0.0374, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9895
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0105
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9840
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9805
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0195
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9845
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0155
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0145
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9865
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0135
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9875
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0125
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9840
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9845
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0155
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9825
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0175
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9820
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0180
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0185
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9810
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0190
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9810
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0190
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9810
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 4363.48, Sell volume: 3462.20, Average price: 0.1349, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9800
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9795
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9795
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9795
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9785
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0215
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9815
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9815
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9805
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0195
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9805
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0195
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9795
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9815
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9870
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0130
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9880
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0120
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9890
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9885
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9875
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0125
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9875
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0125
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9885
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0115
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9875
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0125
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9875
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 2673.25, Sell volume: 9673.91, Average price: 0.0976, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9875
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0125
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9890
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0110
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9885
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9905
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0095
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9870
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9890
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0110
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9850
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9885
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9860
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9880
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9885
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9915
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0085
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.9875
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0125
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9870
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9890
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0110
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9775
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0225
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.8945
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.1055
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.8945
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.1055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1631.38, Sell volume: 30.23, Average price: 0.5507, Price range: 0.0228 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.8945
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.1055
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.8940
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.1060
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.9445
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0555
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.9450
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.9620
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0380
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.9740
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0260
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.9745
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0255
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.9745
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0255
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.9750
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0250
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9740
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0260
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.9745
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0255
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.9745
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0255
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.9755
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0245
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.9770
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0230
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.4345
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.5655
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0060
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.9940
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0055
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.9945
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 9592.85, Sell volume: 4986.95, Average price: 0.5522, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8150
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9000
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1000
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9000
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.1000
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9000
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1000
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9000
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.1000
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9400
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9400
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0600
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9400
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9400
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9715
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0285
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9715
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0285
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9745
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0255
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9800
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0200
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9760
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0240
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9755
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 4183.77, Sell volume: 607.96, Average price: 0.6498, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9755
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0245
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9755
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0245
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9760
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0240
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9760
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0240
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9755
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0245
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9755
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0245
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9755
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0245
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9830
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0170
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9830
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9835
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0165
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9830
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9835
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0165
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9835
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0165
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9840
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0160
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9840
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1067.21, Sell volume: 923.08, Average price: 0.7913, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9855
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0145
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9860
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0140
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9860
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0140
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9860
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0140
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9865
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0135
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9860
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0140
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9890
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0110
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9915
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0085
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1528.55, Sell volume: 75.14, Average price: 0.6681, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0125
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9870
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0065
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0035
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9965
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1254.87, Sell volume: 15.32, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9965
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0035
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9850
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9885
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9860
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0140
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9870
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9920
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9945
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0055
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9940
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 692.10, Sell volume: 385.16, Average price: 0.3362, Price range: 0.0045 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9935
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9935
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0065
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9945
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 11.04, Sell volume: 10.52, Average price: 0.9955, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0060
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9940
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9945
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 448, Buy volume: 34865.06, Sell volume: 26840.14, Average price: 0.2436, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9945
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9940
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.02, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9950
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0050
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9960
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0040
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9955
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9950
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 7648.11, Sell volume: 5309.39, Average price: 0.0374, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9895
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0105
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9840
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9805
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0195
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9845
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0155
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0145
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9865
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0135
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9875
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0125
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9840
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9845
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0155
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9825
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0175
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9820
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0180
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 4363.48, Sell volume: 3462.20, Average price: 0.1349, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9800
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9795
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9795
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9795
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9785
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0215
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9815
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9815
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9805
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0195
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9805
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0195
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9795
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9815
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0185
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9870
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0130
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9880
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0120
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9890
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9885
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 134, Buy volume: 2673.25, Sell volume: 9673.91, Average price: 0.0976, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9875
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0125
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9890
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0110
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9885
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9905
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0095
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9870
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9890
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0110
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9850
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9885
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9860
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9880
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9885
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9915
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0085
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.9875
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0125
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9870
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1631.38, Sell volume: 30.23, Average price: 0.5507, Price range: 0.0228 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 540006
Question: Will U.S. tourism decline in April?
Volume: 61705.19761
Price History:
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.8945
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.1055
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.8940
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.1060
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.9445
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0555
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.9450
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.0550
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.9620
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.0380
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.9740
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0260
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.9745
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0255
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.9745
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0255
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.9750
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0250
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9740
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0260
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.9745
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0255
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.9745
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0255
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.9755
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0245
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.9770
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0230
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.4345
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.5655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 9592.85, Sell volume: 4986.95, Average price: 0.5522, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.5050
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.6750
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.3050
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.7050
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.2750
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.7300
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.2600
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.7400
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.2500
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.7450
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.2550
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.7650
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.2450
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.7550
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.2350
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.7650
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.2450
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.7550
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.2550
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.7450
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.2550
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.7500
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.2500
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.7550
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.2450
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.7550
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.2450
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.7550
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.2450
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.7550
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.2450
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.7550
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.2450
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.7550
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.2450
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.7550
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.2450
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.7550
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.2450
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.7550
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.2450
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.7550
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.2450
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.7550
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.2450
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.7550
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.2450
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.7550
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.2450
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.2450
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.7550
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.2450
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.7550
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.2450
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.7550
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.2450
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.7550
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.2450
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.7550
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.2450
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.7550
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.2450
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.7550
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.2400
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.7600
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.2400
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.7600
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.2400
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.7000
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.3000
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.7000
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.3050
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.6900
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.3050
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.6850
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.3200
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.6800
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.3200
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.6800
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.3200
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.6850
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.3100
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.6900
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.3050
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.6950
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.3050
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.6950
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.3050
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.6850
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.3150
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.6850
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.3100
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.6900
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.3100
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.6900
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.3100
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.6900
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.3100
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.3100
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.6900
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.3100
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.6900
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.3150
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.6850
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.3100
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.6900
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.3100
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.6900
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.3100
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.6900
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.3100
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.6900
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.3100
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.6900
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.3100
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.6900
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.3100
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.6900
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.3100
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.6900
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.3100
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.6900
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.3050
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.6950
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.3050
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.6950
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.3050
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.6950
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.3050
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.6950
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.3050
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.7050
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.3000
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.7000
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.3000
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.7000
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.3000
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.7000
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.3000
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.7000
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.3050
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.6950
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.3050
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.6950
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.3050
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.6950
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.3050
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.3050
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.6950
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.3050
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.6950
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.3050
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.6950
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.3050
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.6950
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.3050
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.6950
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.3050
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.6950
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.3050
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.6950
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.2950
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.7150
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.2850
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.7150
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.2850
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.7150
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.2900
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.7100
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.2900
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.7100
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.2900
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.7100
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.2900
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.7100
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.2900
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.7100
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.2950
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.7050
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.2950
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.7050
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.2950
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.7050
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.2950
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.7050
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.2950
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.7050
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.2950
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.7050
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.2950
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.7050
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.2950
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.7050
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.2950
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.7050
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.2950
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.2950
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.7050
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.2950
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.7050
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.2950
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.7050
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.2950
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.7050
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2950
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.7050
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.2950
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.7050
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2950
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.7050
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.2950
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.7050
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.2950
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.7050
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.2950
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.7050
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.2950
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.7050
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.2950
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.7050
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2950
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.7050
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2950
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.7050
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.2950
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.7050
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.2950
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.7050
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2950
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.7050
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.2950
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.7050
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.3000
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.7000
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.3000
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.7000
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.3000
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.7000
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.3000
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.7000
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.3000
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.6950
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.3050
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.6950
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.3050
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.3000
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.7000
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.3000
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.7000
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.3000
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.7000
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.3000
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7000
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.3000
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.7000
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.3000
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.7000
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.3000
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.7000
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.2950
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.7050
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.2950
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7050
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.2950
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.2950
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.7050
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2950
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.2950
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.2950
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.2950
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.7050
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.2950
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.2950
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.2950
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.7050
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.2950
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.2950
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.7050
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.2950
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.2950
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.2950
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.7050
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.7050
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2950
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.2950
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.7050
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.7050
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.7050
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.7050
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.2950
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.7050
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.2950
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.7050
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.2950
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.7050
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.7050
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.7050
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.7050
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.2950
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.2950
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.7050
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.7050
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.7050
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.2950
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.2950
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.2950
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.2950
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.2950
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.7050
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.7050
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.2950
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.7050
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.7050
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.7050
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.2950
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.7050
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.2950
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.7050
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.7050
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.7050
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.7050
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.2950
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.2950
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.7050
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.7050
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.7050
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.7050
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.2950
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.7050
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2900
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.2900
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.7150
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.2850
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.7150
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.7150
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.2850
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.2800
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.2800
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.2700
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.7250
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.2750
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.2750
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.2850
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.7150
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.2850
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.7150
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.2850
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.2900
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.7100
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.2850
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.7150
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.7150
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.7150
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.7150
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.3350
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.6650
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.6700
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.3250
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.3200
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.3250
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.3250
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.6750
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.3150
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.3150
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.3200
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.3200
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.6800
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.3200
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.6800
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.6800
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.3150
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.6850
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.6850
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.6850
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.3150
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.3200
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.6800
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.7050
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.7050
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.2950
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.7050
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.2950
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.3000
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.7050
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.2900
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.7100
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.7100
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.2900
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.7100
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.7100
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.7100
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.2900
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.7100
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.2900
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.2900
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.2850
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.2800
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.2850
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.7200
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.2800
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.7200
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7200
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.7200
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.2800
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.7200
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2800
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.2800
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.7200
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.7200
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.2800
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7200
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.7200
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.2800
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7200
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.7200
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.2700
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.2700
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.2700
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.7200
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7450
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7550
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2250
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.2200
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.2200
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.7800
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.2150
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.2150
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.2050
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.1900
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.1850
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.1900
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.1900
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.1900
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.8100
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.1150
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.8800
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.8800
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.8450
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.1550
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.1500
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.8600
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.8500
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.1900
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.8350
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8550
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.1500
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.8500
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.8500
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.1500
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.8650
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.8550
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.1450
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.8600
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.1400
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.8600
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.1400
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.8450
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1650
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.8300
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.1450
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.8200
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.8750
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.1200
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.1350
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1250
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.1350
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.8600
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.1450
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.8600
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8500
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8350
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1550
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.8850
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8650
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.8450
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.1450
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.8550
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.8550
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.8550
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.8550
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.8600
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.1500
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.1500
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.1450
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.1550
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.8750
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.8600
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.8850
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.1150
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.8750
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.1550
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.8550
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.1450
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.8650
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.1250
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.8750
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.1600
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.8450
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.1550
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.8600
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.1700
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.1750
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.7550
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.2300
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.7800
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.1450
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.3450
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.8400
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0130
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9880
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0105
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.5050
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.3250
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.2900
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.2700
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.2600
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.2550
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.2550
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.2450
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.2350
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.2350
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.2450
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.2550
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.2550
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.2500
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.2450
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.2450
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.2450
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.2450
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.2450
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.2450
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.2450
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.2450
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.2450
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.2450
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.2450
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.2450
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.2450
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.2450
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.2450
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.2450
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.2450
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.2450
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.2450
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.2450
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.2450
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.2450
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.2450
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.2450
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.2400
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.2400
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.2400
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.3000
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.3000
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.3100
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.3050
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.3200
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.3200
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.3200
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.3200
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.3100
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.3050
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.3050
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.3050
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.3150
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.3150
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.3100
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.3050
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.3100
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.3100
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.3100
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.3100
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.3150
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.3100
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.3100
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.3100
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.3100
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.3100
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.3100
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.3100
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.3100
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.3100
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.3100
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.3100
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.3050
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.3050
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.3050
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.3050
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.3050
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.3000
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.3000
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.3000
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.3000
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.3000
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.3000
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.3050
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.3050
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.3050
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.3050
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.3050
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.3050
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.3050
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.3050
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.3050
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.3050
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.3050
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.3050
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.2850
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.2850
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.2850
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.2900
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.2900
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.2900
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.2900
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.2900
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.2900
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.2950
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.2950
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.2950
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.2950
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.2950
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.2950
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.2950
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.2950
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.2950
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.2950
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.2950
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.2950
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.2950
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.2950
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.2950
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2950
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.2950
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.2950
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.2950
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2950
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.2950
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.2950
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.2950
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2950
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.2950
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.2950
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.2950
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.2950
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.2950
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.2950
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2950
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.2950
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.2950
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.3000
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.3000
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.3000
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.3000
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.3000
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.3000
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.3050
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.3000
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.3000
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.3000
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.3000
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.3000
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.3000
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.3000
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.3000
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.3000
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.2950
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.2950
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.2950
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.7050
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.7050
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.2950
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.2950
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.7050
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.7050
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.2950
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.2950
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.2950
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.2950
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.2950
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.7050
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.2950
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.2950
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.2950
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.2950
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.2950
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.2950
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.2950
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.2950
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.7050
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.7050
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.2950
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.7050
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.2950
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.7050
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.2950
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.7050
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.7050
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.2950
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.7050
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.2950
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.2950
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.2950
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.2950
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.2950
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.2950
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.2950
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.7050
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.7050
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.2950
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.2950
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.2950
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.7100
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2900
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.2900
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.7100
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.7150
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.7150
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.7150
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.7200
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.7300
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.2750
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.2850
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.2850
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.7150
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.7100
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.7100
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.2850
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.7150
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.2850
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.6550
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.3300
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.3250
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.3250
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.3150
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.3200
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.3200
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.6800
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.3150
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.3150
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.3200
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.6750
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.2950
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.2950
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.2950
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.2950
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.3000
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.2900
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.2900
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.7100
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.2900
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.7100
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.7100
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.2800
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.7200
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.7200
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.2800
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.7200
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.7200
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.7200
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.2800
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7200
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7200
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7200
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.2750
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.7300
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.7300
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.7400
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.7550
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.2250
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.2200
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.7800
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.7850
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.2150
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.1900
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.1850
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.1900
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.8100
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.1150
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.1200
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.1550
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.8500
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.8500
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8550
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.8500
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.1500
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.1350
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.1450
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.1400
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.1400
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.1650
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.1700
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.1650
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.8750
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.1350
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.8750
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.8650
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.1300
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.1450
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8500
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1650
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1350
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8550
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.8450
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.8550
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.8450
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.8550
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.1650
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.1550
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550014
Question: Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 927838.471333
Price History:
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9100
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9000
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.8450
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.8550
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.8650
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.8750
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.8400
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.8450
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.7550
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.7700
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.2200
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.6050
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.5550
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.8400
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9845
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9875
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9870
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9875
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 237498113.95, Sell volume: 106680895.62, Average price: 0.4889, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.5750
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.4850
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.5300
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.5050
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.4900
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.5100
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.4900
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.5200
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.4850
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.5100
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.4800
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.5200
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.4900
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.5200
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.4850
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.5400
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.4600
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.5400
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.5200
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.4800
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.5050
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.5050
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.5150
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.4750
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.5150
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.4800
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.5250
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.4800
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.5150
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.4850
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.5150
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.4850
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.4950
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.5050
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.4250
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.5600
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.4450
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.5200
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.4350
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.5850
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.3950
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.5950
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.3750
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.6400
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.3550
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.6400
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.3500
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.6600
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.3400
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 215593441.93, Sell volume: 111458610.41, Average price: 0.6225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521025
Question: Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 577005.485231
Price History:
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.6850
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.3150
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.6550
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.3700
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.6450
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.3650
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.6350
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.3750
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.6250
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.3750
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.6250
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.3750
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.6250
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.3700
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.6300
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.3750
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.6300
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.3650
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.6350
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.3650
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.6350
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.3650
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.6300
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.3700
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.6400
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.3700
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.6350
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.3700
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.6300
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.3600
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.6400
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.3500
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.6500
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.3500
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.6500
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.3500
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.6500
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.3500
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.6500
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.3500
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.6750
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.3250
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.6750
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.6750
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.3250
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.6800
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.3200
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.6800
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 215593441.93, Sell volume: 111458610.41, Average price: 0.6225, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes