Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.2750
2024-12-01 00:00: 0.7250
2024-12-01 03:00: 0.2750
2024-12-01 05:00: 0.7250
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.2750
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.7250
2024-12-01 13:00: 0.2750
2024-12-01 15:00: 0.7250
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.2750
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.7250
2024-12-01 23:00: 0.2950
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.7150
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.2900
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.7100
2024-12-02 09:00: 0.3100
2024-12-02 11:00: 0.6900
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.3150
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.7050
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.3050
2024-12-02 21:00: 0.7000
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.3000
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.6950
2024-12-03 05:00: 0.3100
2024-12-03 07:00: 0.6950
2024-12-03 10:00: 0.3150
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.6900
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.3100
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.6850
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.3000
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.6900
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.3100
2024-12-04 03:00: 0.6900
2024-12-04 06:00: 0.3100
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.6950
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.3100
2024-12-04 13:00: 0.6950
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.2950
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.7050
2024-12-04 21:00: 0.2950
2024-12-04 23:00: 0.7050
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.2950
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.7050
2024-12-05 07:00: 0.2950
2024-12-05 09:00: 0.7050
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.2950
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.7050
2024-12-05 17:00: 0.2950
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.7050
2024-12-05 22:00: 0.2950
2024-12-06 00:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 101.40, Sell volume: 491.77, Average price: 0.3735, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.2950
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.7050
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.2950
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.7150
2024-12-07 03:00: 0.2850
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.7150
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.2850
2024-12-07 10:00: 0.7150
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.2850
2024-12-07 15:00: 0.7150
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.2850
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.7150
2024-12-07 23:00: 0.2850
2024-12-08 01:00: 0.7150
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.2850
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.7150
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.2850
2024-12-08 11:00: 0.7150
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.2850
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.7150
2024-12-08 19:00: 0.2850
2024-12-08 21:00: 0.7150
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.2850
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.7150
2024-12-09 05:00: 0.2850
2024-12-09 07:00: 0.7150
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.2850
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.7150
2024-12-09 15:00: 0.2850
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.7150
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.2850
2024-12-09 22:00: 0.7150
2024-12-10 01:00: 0.2850
2024-12-10 03:00: 0.7150
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.2850
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.7150
2024-12-10 11:00: 0.2850
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.7150
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.2850
2024-12-10 18:00: 0.7000
2024-12-10 21:00: 0.3050
2024-12-10 23:00: 0.6950
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.3050
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.6950
2024-12-11 07:00: 0.3050
2024-12-11 09:00: 0.6950
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.3050
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.6950
2024-12-11 17:00: 0.3050
2024-12-11 19:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 390.00, Sell volume: 275.74, Average price: 0.3600, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.3350
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.6550
2024-12-12 17:00: 0.3200
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.6800
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.3250
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.6700
2024-12-13 03:00: 0.3300
2024-12-13 05:00: 0.6700
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.3300
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.6700
2024-12-13 13:00: 0.3250
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.6650
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.3350
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.6650
2024-12-13 23:00: 0.3350
2024-12-14 01:00: 0.6650
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.3350
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.6650
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.3350
2024-12-14 11:00: 0.6650
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.3350
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.6650
2024-12-14 19:00: 0.3350
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.6650
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.3350
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.6650
2024-12-15 05:00: 0.3350
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.6650
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.3350
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.6650
2024-12-15 15:00: 0.3350
2024-12-15 17:00: 0.6650
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.3350
2024-12-15 22:00: 0.6650
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.3350
2024-12-16 03:00: 0.6650
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.3350
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.6650
2024-12-16 11:00: 0.3350
2024-12-16 13:00: 0.6650
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.3400
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.6600
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.3400
2024-12-16 23:00: 0.6600
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.3400
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.6600
2024-12-17 07:00: 0.3400
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.6600
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.3200
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 755.15, Average price: 0.4850, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.3050
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.6950
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.3050
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.6950
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.3050
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.6950
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.3050
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.6950
2024-12-19 03:00: 0.3450
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.6450
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.3400
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.6600
2024-12-19 13:00: 0.3400
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.6600
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.3400
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.6600
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.3400
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.6600
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.3400
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.6600
2024-12-20 09:00: 0.3250
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.6750
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.3250
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.6750
2024-12-20 19:00: 0.3250
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.7850
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.1550
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.8400
2024-12-21 05:00: 0.1600
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.8400
2024-12-21 10:00: 0.1850
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.8150
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.1700
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.8450
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.1700
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.7900
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.2000
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.8000
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.2000
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.8000
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.2000
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.8000
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0950
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.9500
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.1100
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.9500
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.1550
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.8450
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.1400
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1156.24, Sell volume: 517.59, Average price: 0.4220, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0950
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.8750
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.1350
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.8700
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.1250
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.8650
2024-12-24 17:00: 0.1450
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.8450
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.1650
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.8350
2024-12-25 03:00: 0.1650
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.8350
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.1700
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.8300
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.1650
2024-12-25 15:00: 0.8500
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.1550
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.8450
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.1650
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.8300
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.1650
2024-12-26 06:00: 0.8300
2024-12-26 09:00: 0.1600
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.8350
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.1650
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.8400
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.1700
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.8300
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.1400
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.8600
2024-12-27 05:00: 0.1600
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.8450
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.1550
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.8450
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.1550
2024-12-27 17:00: 0.8450
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.1350
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.8600
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.1300
2024-12-28 03:00: 0.8700
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.1300
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.8650
2024-12-28 11:00: 0.1350
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.8650
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.1350
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.8650
2024-12-28 21:00: 0.1350
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.8650
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.1350
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1329.89, Sell volume: 134.99, Average price: 0.5789, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-12-29 21:00: 0.1000
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.8950
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.1000
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.9050
2024-12-30 07:00: 0.0600
2024-12-30 09:00: 0.9400
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0500
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.9500
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.0500
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.9500
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.0500
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.9500
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.0500
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.9600
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0400
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.9600
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.0395
2024-12-31 15:00: 0.9600
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0255
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.9740
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.0255
2025-01-01 01:00: 0.9735
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0710
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.9285
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.0270
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.9305
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.0870
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.9055
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.1185
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.8775
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.1130
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.8835
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.0850
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.9265
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.0995
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.8965
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.0955
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.9060
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.1075
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.8970
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.1040
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.8875
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.1125
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.8845
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.0925
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.9075
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.0955
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.9055
2025-01-03 21:00: 0.0900
2025-01-03 23:00: 0.8935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 2658.29, Sell volume: 704.41, Average price: 0.4011, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.1010
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.8995
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.1010
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.8995
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.1025
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.8965
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.1050
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.8970
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0760
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.9245
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.0570
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.9420
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.0715
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.9330
2025-01-06 03:00: 0.0640
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.9310
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0730
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.9245
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.0765
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.9215
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0865
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.9115
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.1025
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.8925
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.1510
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.8410
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.1475
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.8680
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.1395
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.8600
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.1385
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.8610
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.1370
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.8620
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.1400
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.8625
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.1390
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.8650
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.1375
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.8605
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.1400
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.8655
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.1395
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.8590
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.1335
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.8665
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.1365
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.8610
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.1405
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.8555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1666.69, Sell volume: 955.08, Average price: 0.1996, Price range: 0.0628 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.1625
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.8380
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.1725
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.8435
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.2185
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.8030
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.1510
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.8495
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.1270
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.8840
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.1345
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.8820
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.1415
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.8610
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.1270
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.8875
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.1410
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.8525
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.1335
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.8655
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.1350
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.8645
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.1350
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.8940
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.0990
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.8995
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.1065
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9070
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.0895
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.8895
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.1015
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.8990
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.0830
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.9190
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0840
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.9250
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0740
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.9210
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.9245
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.1595
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.7990
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.1270
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.8580
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.1460
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.8425
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.1630
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.8620
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.1835
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.8430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1017.75, Sell volume: 269.06, Average price: 0.3572, Price range: 0.0550 - 0.9464

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.1275
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.8735
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.1265
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.8740
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.1265
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.8755
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.1105
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.8915
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0660
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0555
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.9430
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.9980
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.9980
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.9980
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.9965
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0030
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.9970
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.0010
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 224, Buy volume: 29910.99, Sell volume: 24727.03, Average price: 0.5498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-11-07 18:00: 0.4450
2024-11-07 22:00: 0.6700
2024-11-08 03:00: 0.3500
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.6650
2024-11-08 12:00: 0.2850
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.7100
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.2550
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.7400
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.2550
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.7650
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.2250
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.7750
2024-11-10 00:00: 0.2200
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.7900
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.1950
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.8050
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.1950
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.8050
2024-11-11 03:00: 0.2700
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.7450
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.2750
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.6550
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.3400
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.6600
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.3200
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.6800
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.3250
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.6800
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.3350
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 3485.84, Sell volume: 832.89, Average price: 0.4754, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.3950
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.6350
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.3600
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.6050
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.3850
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.6500
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.3400
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.6350
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.3750
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.6250
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.4150
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.5950
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.4550
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.6050
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.3550
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.6600
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.3550
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.6450
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.4250
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.5950
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.4300
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.5850
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.3850
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.6750
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.3150
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.7050
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.3350
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.6700
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.3300
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 573.47, Sell volume: 198.77, Average price: 0.4310, Price range: 0.2508 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.4000
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.6800
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.3250
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.6750
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.3050
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.7300
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.3100
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.6800
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.3250
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.6750
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.3200
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.6800
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.3250
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.6800
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.3650
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.6500
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.3700
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.6800
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.3200
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.6800
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.3450
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.6550
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.3450
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.7000
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.2900
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.7150
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.2950
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.6850
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.3150
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1269.97, Sell volume: 800.48, Average price: 0.4438, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.3450
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.7000
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.3000
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.7050
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.3450
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.7050
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.3100
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.7000
2024-11-26 15:00: 0.3200
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.7650
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.2500
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.7500
2024-11-27 09:00: 0.3000
2024-11-27 13:00: 0.6300
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.2750
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.7100
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.2900
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.7100
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.3050
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.6850
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.2950
2024-11-29 01:00: 0.7000
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.3000
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.7050
2024-11-29 15:00: 0.2950
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.6950
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.2900
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.7000
2024-11-30 09:00: 0.3000
2024-11-30 13:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1153.39, Sell volume: 97.26, Average price: 0.3353, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.2750
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.7250
2024-12-01 07:00: 0.2750
2024-12-01 11:00: 0.7250
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.2750
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.7250
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.2850
2024-12-02 05:00: 0.7100
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.3100
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.6850
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.3050
2024-12-02 23:00: 0.6950
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.3050
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.6950
2024-12-03 13:00: 0.3100
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.6850
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.3100
2024-12-04 02:00: 0.6900
2024-12-04 07:00: 0.3100
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.6900
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.2950
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.7050
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.2950
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.7050
2024-12-05 10:00: 0.2950
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.7050
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.2950
2024-12-05 23:00: 0.7050
2024-12-06 04:00: 0.2950
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 101.40, Sell volume: 491.77, Average price: 0.3735, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.2950
2024-12-06 21:00: 0.7050
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.2850
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.7150
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.2850
2024-12-07 15:00: 0.7150
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.2850
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.7150
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.2850
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.7150
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.2850
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.7150
2024-12-08 23:00: 0.2850
2024-12-09 03:00: 0.7150
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.2850
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.7150
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.2850
2024-12-09 21:00: 0.7150
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.2850
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.7150
2024-12-10 11:00: 0.2850
2024-12-10 15:00: 0.7150
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.3050
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.6950
2024-12-11 05:00: 0.3050
2024-12-11 09:00: 0.6950
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.3050
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.6950
2024-12-11 23:00: 0.3050
2024-12-12 03:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 390.00, Sell volume: 275.74, Average price: 0.3600, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.3350
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.6450
2024-12-12 21:00: 0.3200
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.6700
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.3300
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.6700
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.3350
2024-12-13 19:00: 0.6650
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.3350
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.6650
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.3350
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.6650
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.3350
2024-12-14 22:00: 0.6650
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.3350
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.6650
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.3350
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.6650
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.3350
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.6650
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.3350
2024-12-16 10:00: 0.6650
2024-12-16 15:00: 0.3350
2024-12-16 19:00: 0.6600
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.3400
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.6600
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.3400
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.6800
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.3200
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 755.15, Average price: 0.4850, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.3050
2024-12-18 11:00: 0.6950
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.3050
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.6950
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.3050
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.6450
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.3400
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.6600
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.3400
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.6600
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.3400
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.6600
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.3250
2024-12-20 17:00: 0.6750
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.1900
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.8400
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.1600
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.8300
2024-12-21 16:00: 0.1550
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.8300
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.2000
2024-12-22 05:00: 0.8000
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.2000
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.8000
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.0450
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.9500
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.1550
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.8350
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.1200
2024-12-23 17:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1156.24, Sell volume: 517.59, Average price: 0.4220, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0950
2024-12-24 06:00: 0.8750
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.1250
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.8550
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.1600
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.8350
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.1650
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.8250
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.1600
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.8450
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.1650
2024-12-26 03:00: 0.8350
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.1700
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.8300
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.1600
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.8300
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.1400
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.8450
2024-12-27 11:00: 0.1500
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.8450
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.1350
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.8700
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.1300
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.8650
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.1350
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.8650
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.1350
2024-12-29 03:00: 0.8650
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.1300
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1329.89, Sell volume: 134.99, Average price: 0.5789, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-12-29 21:00: 0.1000
2024-12-30 01:00: 0.9000
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0800
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.9500
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.0500
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.9500
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0500
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.9500
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.0400
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.9605
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0255
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.9745
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.0730
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.9275
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0755
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.9055
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.1225
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.8860
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0845
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.9005
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.0955
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.9040
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.1080
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.8850
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.1130
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.9075
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.0945
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.8935
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.1070
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.8960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 2658.29, Sell volume: 704.41, Average price: 0.4011, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.1010
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.9000
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.1075
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.8950
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.1035
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.9245
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.0580
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.9305
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.0690
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.9270
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.0765
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.9205
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.0885
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.8735
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.1575
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.8680
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.1400
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.8605
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.1380
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.8600
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.1390
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.8630
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.1395
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.8645
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.1350
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.8665
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.1390
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.8575
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.1405
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.8530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1666.69, Sell volume: 955.08, Average price: 0.1996, Price range: 0.0628 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.1625
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.8545
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.1565
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.8510
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.1740
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.8840
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.1180
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.8630
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.1415
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.8590
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.1335
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.8645
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.1290
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.8970
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.1060
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9070
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.1105
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.9005
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0825
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.9160
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0740
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9145
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.1515
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.7950
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.1730
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.8425
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.1380
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.8295
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.1265
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.8735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1017.75, Sell volume: 269.06, Average price: 0.3572, Price range: 0.0550 - 0.9464
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.1275
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.8730
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.1280
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.8780
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0745
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.9450
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0570
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.9980
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.9980
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.0025
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9970
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.9990
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0010
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 224, Buy volume: 29910.99, Sell volume: 24727.03, Average price: 0.5498, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-11-07 18:00: 0.4600
2024-11-07 20:00: 0.6350
2024-11-07 23:00: 0.1500
2024-11-08 01:00: 0.8700
2024-11-08 04:00: 0.1200
2024-11-08 06:00: 0.8800
2024-11-08 09:00: 0.0750
2024-11-08 11:00: 0.9250
2024-11-08 14:00: 0.0900
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.9100
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.0800
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.9150
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.0850
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.9150
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.0800
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.9200
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.0800
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.9200
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0950
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.9000
2024-11-09 20:00: 0.1000
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.9000
2024-11-10 01:00: 0.1050
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.9000
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.1000
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.9050
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.0950
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.9050
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.0950
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.9050
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.0950
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.9050
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.0950
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.9050
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.0950
2024-11-11 09:00: 0.9050
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0950
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.9050
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.0950
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.9050
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0950
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.9050
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.0950
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.9050
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0950
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.9050
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.0950
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.9050
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.1000
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 2011.82, Sell volume: 619.40, Average price: 0.5944, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.1650
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.8300
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.2100
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.8200
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.1700
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.8250
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.1700
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.8050
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.1650
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.7450
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.1700
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.8800
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.1950
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.8500
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.1250
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.8500
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.1950
2024-11-15 07:00: 0.8500
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.0900
2024-11-15 12:00: 0.8650
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.1950
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.8400
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.1550
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.8100
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.2050
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.8200
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.2600
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.8550
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.1700
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.8200
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.1300
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.8750
2024-11-16 21:00: 0.1400
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.8700
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.1250
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.8750
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.1250
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.8750
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.1250
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.8750
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.1250
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.8650
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.1250
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.8650
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.1300
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.8700
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.1300
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.8600
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.1250
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 456.16, Sell volume: 196.16, Average price: 0.6770, Price range: 0.1055 - 0.9198

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.1400
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.8600
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.1250
2024-11-19 15:00: 0.8650
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.1200
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.8750
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.1200
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.8950
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.1050
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.8900
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.1300
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.8850
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.1250
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.8750
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.1250
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.8750
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.1300
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.8750
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.1250
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.8850
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.1250
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.8700
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.1350
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.8800
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.1200
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.8850
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.1100
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.8800
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.1300
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.8750
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0950
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.8950
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0850
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.9200
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0850
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.9150
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0800
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.9250
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0750
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.9250
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0800
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.9195
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.1050
2024-11-23 19:00: 0.8950
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.1050
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.8940
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.1065
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.8890
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0825
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.9185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 864.19, Sell volume: 1580.79, Average price: 0.2385, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.1080
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.8915
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.1125
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.8715
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.1160
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.8780
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.1335
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.8855
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.1085
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.8915
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.1055
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.8935
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.1035
2024-11-26 11:00: 0.8920
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.0745
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.8990
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.1000
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.8995
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.0825
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.9200
2024-11-27 05:00: 0.0875
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.9160
2024-11-27 10:00: 0.0685
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.9280
2024-11-27 15:00: 0.0755
2024-11-27 17:00: 0.9265
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.0735
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.9265
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.0805
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.9175
2024-11-28 06:00: 0.0835
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.9165
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.0800
2024-11-28 13:00: 0.9135
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.0880
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.9145
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.0865
2024-11-28 23:00: 0.9110
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.0855
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.9145
2024-11-29 07:00: 0.0855
2024-11-29 09:00: 0.9150
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.0810
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.9180
2024-11-29 17:00: 0.0825
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.9155
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.0825
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.9210
2024-11-30 03:00: 0.0815
2024-11-30 05:00: 0.9180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 183.80, Average price: 0.3843, Price range: 0.0520 - 0.9480

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.0850
2024-12-01 00:00: 0.9010
2024-12-01 03:00: 0.0990
2024-12-01 05:00: 0.9010
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.0990
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.9010
2024-12-01 13:00: 0.0990
2024-12-01 15:00: 0.9010
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.0990
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.9010
2024-12-01 23:00: 0.0990
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.9010
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.0990
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.9010
2024-12-02 09:00: 0.0990
2024-12-02 11:00: 0.9145
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.0850
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.9150
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.0850
2024-12-02 21:00: 0.9150
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.0850
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.9150
2024-12-03 05:00: 0.0850
2024-12-03 07:00: 0.9150
2024-12-03 10:00: 0.0850
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.9150
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.0850
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.9150
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.0850
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.9150
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.0850
2024-12-04 03:00: 0.9150
2024-12-04 06:00: 0.1040
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.8975
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.0725
2024-12-04 13:00: 0.9150
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.0845
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.9155
2024-12-04 21:00: 0.0780
2024-12-04 23:00: 0.9220
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.0790
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.9220
2024-12-05 07:00: 0.0800
2024-12-05 09:00: 0.9210
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.0850
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.9165
2024-12-05 17:00: 0.0840
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.9175
2024-12-05 22:00: 0.0825
2024-12-06 00:00: 0.9175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 0.51, Sell volume: 554.00, Average price: 0.0669, Price range: 0.0540 - 0.0790

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.0520
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.9485
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.0510
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.9490
2024-12-07 03:00: 0.0505
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.9490
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0500
2024-12-07 10:00: 0.9505
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.0495
2024-12-07 15:00: 0.9515
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.0480
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.9520
2024-12-07 23:00: 0.0475
2024-12-08 01:00: 0.9530
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0465
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.9535
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.0520
2024-12-08 11:00: 0.9155
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0955
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.9050
2024-12-08 19:00: 0.0865
2024-12-08 21:00: 0.9100
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0940
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.9045
2024-12-09 05:00: 0.0925
2024-12-09 07:00: 0.9075
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.0860
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.9135
2024-12-09 15:00: 0.0875
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.9120
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0880
2024-12-09 22:00: 0.9125
2024-12-10 01:00: 0.0900
2024-12-10 03:00: 0.9095
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.0915
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.9095
2024-12-10 11:00: 0.0920
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.9060
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0945
2024-12-10 18:00: 0.9200
2024-12-10 21:00: 0.0810
2024-12-10 23:00: 0.9195
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.0810
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.9190
2024-12-11 07:00: 0.0735
2024-12-11 09:00: 0.9265
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0760
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.9250
2024-12-11 17:00: 0.0750
2024-12-11 19:00: 0.9255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 470.00, Sell volume: 240.20, Average price: 0.2089, Price range: 0.0510 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0780
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.9260
2024-12-12 17:00: 0.0745
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.9250
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.0755
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.9250
2024-12-13 03:00: 0.0760
2024-12-13 05:00: 0.9240
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0760
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.9240
2024-12-13 13:00: 0.0895
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.9100
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.0925
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.9065
2024-12-13 23:00: 0.0940
2024-12-14 01:00: 0.9065
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.0900
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.9105
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.0880
2024-12-14 11:00: 0.9130
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.0865
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.9135
2024-12-14 19:00: 0.0855
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.9135
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0860
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.9140
2024-12-15 05:00: 0.0855
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.9150
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.0845
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.9160
2024-12-15 15:00: 0.0840
2024-12-15 17:00: 0.9160
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.0830
2024-12-15 22:00: 0.9170
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.0810
2024-12-16 03:00: 0.9200
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.0805
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.9210
2024-12-16 11:00: 0.0790
2024-12-16 13:00: 0.9215
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.0785
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.9220
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.0780
2024-12-16 23:00: 0.9225
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.0790
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.9210
2024-12-17 07:00: 0.0785
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.9225
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.1120
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.8880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 419.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0990, Price range: 0.0912 - 0.1067

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.1125
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.8870
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.1140
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.8875
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.1440
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.8500
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.1615
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.8385
2024-12-19 03:00: 0.1610
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.8850
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.1155
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.8390
2024-12-19 13:00: 0.1620
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.8375
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.1615
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.8380
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.1670
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.8345
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.1665
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.8335
2024-12-20 09:00: 0.1710
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.8340
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.1670
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.8335
2024-12-20 19:00: 0.1705
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.6630
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.4045
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.5775
2024-12-21 05:00: 0.4265
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.5640
2024-12-21 10:00: 0.4490
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.5490
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.4500
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.5420
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.4535
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.4850
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.4645
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.4645
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.5205
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.4600
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.5105
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.4895
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.6425
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.3575
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.6355
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.3560
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.6105
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.3990
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.5465
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.3670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1010.78, Sell volume: 322.18, Average price: 0.5017, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.7869

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.6910
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.3275
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.6450
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.3560
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.5980
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.4020
2024-12-24 17:00: 0.5860
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.4500
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.5345
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.4640
2024-12-25 03:00: 0.5350
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.4720
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.5235
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.4625
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.5315
2024-12-25 15:00: 0.4590
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.5410
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.4565
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.5655
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.4610
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.5395
2024-12-26 06:00: 0.4535
2024-12-26 09:00: 0.5465
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.4535
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.6295
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.3770
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.6460
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.3815
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.7135
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.3560
2024-12-27 05:00: 0.6620
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.3595
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.6435
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.3485
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.6595
2024-12-27 17:00: 0.3310
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.7095
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.3485
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.6500
2024-12-28 03:00: 0.3650
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.6350
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.3650
2024-12-28 11:00: 0.6350
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.3650
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.6350
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.3650
2024-12-28 21:00: 0.6410
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.3590
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.6410
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.3425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1332.72, Sell volume: 591.00, Average price: 0.5599, Price range: 0.2230 - 0.7260

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-12-29 21:00: 0.6820
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.3140
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.7065
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.3050
2024-12-30 07:00: 0.7390
2024-12-30 09:00: 0.2495
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.7345
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.3890
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.6565
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.3365
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.7095
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.2535
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.6550
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.3390
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.6650
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.3325
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.6705
2024-12-31 15:00: 0.3205
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.7350
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.2345
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.7770
2025-01-01 01:00: 0.2175
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.7800
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.2195
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.7840
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.2010
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.7815
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.2220
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.6985
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.3090
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.7220
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.2590
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.7270
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.2770
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.6980
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.3335
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.6985
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.3015
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.6975
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.3030
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.7025
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.3010
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.6990
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.3010
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.8235
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.2405
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.7640
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.2260
2025-01-03 21:00: 0.7805
2025-01-03 23:00: 0.2080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 3023.22, Sell volume: 1172.19, Average price: 0.5520, Price range: 0.1630 - 0.9740

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.7815
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.2000
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.8010
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.2465
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.7970
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.1950
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.8005
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.1925
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.7420
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.2560
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.7420
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.2625
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.7275
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.2660
2025-01-06 03:00: 0.7585
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.2350
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.7810
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.2160
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.7805
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.2240
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.7795
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.2310
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.7540
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.2360
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.7850
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.2230
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.7680
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.2160
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.7835
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.2160
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.7830
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.2160
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.7855
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.2220
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.7840
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.2145
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.7855
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.2270
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.7790
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.2280
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.7750
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.2720
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.7410
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.2680
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.7360
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.2730
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.7115
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.3030
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.7050
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 434.99, Sell volume: 206.81, Average price: 0.6028, Price range: 0.1910 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.7115
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.2750
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.6515
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.3505
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.6595
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.3585
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.6590
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.2720
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.7200
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.3115
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.7140
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.3425
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.6770
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.3100
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.7010
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.3415
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.6715
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.3280
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.6485
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.3510
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.6565
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.3365
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.7065
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.2875
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.7125
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.2880
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.7185
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.2815
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.7430
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.2395
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.7800
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.2475
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.7530
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.2470
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.7530
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.2470
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.7530
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.2410
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.7585
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.2420
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.7585
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.2645
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.3700
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.6140
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.3855
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.6165
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.3285
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.6810
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.3720
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.6405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 384.88, Sell volume: 258.00, Average price: 0.5521, Price range: 0.1750 - 0.8276

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.4380
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.4680
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.5050
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.5040
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.5295
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.4805
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.5760
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.4225
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.6355
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.3575
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.6335
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.3685
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.9925
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0075
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.9895
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0100
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.9910
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0095
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.9915
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0105
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.9820
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.0175
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.9815
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.0105
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.9870
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0130
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.9865
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0115
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.9875
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0115
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.9890
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0120
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.9795
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0175
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9840
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0160
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.9825
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0175
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.9835
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0190
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.9800
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0170
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.9930
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0045
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.9960
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0045
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.9945
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0060
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.9955
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 274, Buy volume: 56754.46, Sell volume: 16431.33, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-11-07 18:00: 0.4600
2024-11-07 22:00: 0.6550
2024-11-08 03:00: 0.1200
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.8800
2024-11-08 12:00: 0.0900
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.9100
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.0850
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.9150
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.0800
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.9200
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0950
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.9000
2024-11-10 00:00: 0.0950
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.9000
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.0950
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.9050
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.0950
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.9050
2024-11-11 03:00: 0.0950
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.9050
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0950
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.9050
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.0950
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.9050
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0950
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.9050
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.0950
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.8950
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.1400
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 2011.82, Sell volume: 619.40, Average price: 0.5944, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.1650
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.8300
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.1850
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.8650
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.1450
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.7450
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.1200
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.8800
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.1250
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.8050
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.0900
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.8000
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.1650
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.8150
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.2350
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.8550
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.1800
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.8750
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.1200
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.8750
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.1250
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.8650
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.1250
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.8750
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.1350
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.8700
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.1400
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.8750
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.1400
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 456.16, Sell volume: 196.16, Average price: 0.6770, Price range: 0.1055 - 0.9198
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.1400
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.8600
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.1200
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.8750
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.1050
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.8900
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.1150
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.8850
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.1200
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.8700
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.1250
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.8750
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.1350
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.8650
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.1250
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.8800
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.1250
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.9050
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0850
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.9150
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0800
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.9250
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0750
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.9150
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.1045
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.8940
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.1110
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.9175
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0805
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.9105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 864.19, Sell volume: 1580.79, Average price: 0.2385, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.1080
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.8900
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.1255
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.8865
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.1155
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.8915
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.1065
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.8925
2024-11-26 15:00: 0.1010
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.9000
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.0825
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.9130
2024-11-27 09:00: 0.0600
2024-11-27 13:00: 0.9295
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.0730
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.9265
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.0825
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.9150
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.0850
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.9120
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.0865
2024-11-29 01:00: 0.9145
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.0855
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.9150
2024-11-29 15:00: 0.0800
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.9155
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.0790
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.9155
2024-11-30 09:00: 0.0850
2024-11-30 13:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 183.80, Average price: 0.3843, Price range: 0.0520 - 0.9480
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.0850
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.9010
2024-12-01 07:00: 0.0990
2024-12-01 11:00: 0.9010
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.0990
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.9010
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.0990
2024-12-02 05:00: 0.9010
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.0855
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.9150
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.0850
2024-12-02 23:00: 0.9150
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.0850
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.9150
2024-12-03 13:00: 0.0850
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.9150
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.0850
2024-12-04 02:00: 0.9150
2024-12-04 07:00: 0.1025
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.9275
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.0845
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.9155
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.0780
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.9210
2024-12-05 10:00: 0.0780
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.9165
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.0825
2024-12-05 23:00: 0.9175
2024-12-06 04:00: 0.0660
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.9310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 0.51, Sell volume: 554.00, Average price: 0.0669, Price range: 0.0540 - 0.0790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.0520
2024-12-06 21:00: 0.9485
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0505
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.9490
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.0495
2024-12-07 15:00: 0.9515
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0480
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.9530
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.0465
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.9480
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0955
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.9045
2024-12-08 23:00: 0.0940
2024-12-09 03:00: 0.9050
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0925
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.9135
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.0880
2024-12-09 21:00: 0.9115
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.0895
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.9085
2024-12-10 11:00: 0.0920
2024-12-10 15:00: 0.9050
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0810
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.9200
2024-12-11 05:00: 0.0810
2024-12-11 09:00: 0.9265
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0750
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.9245
2024-12-11 23:00: 0.0735
2024-12-12 03:00: 0.9255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 470.00, Sell volume: 240.20, Average price: 0.2089, Price range: 0.0510 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0780
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.9255
2024-12-12 21:00: 0.0755
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.9250
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.0750
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.9240
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.0900
2024-12-13 19:00: 0.9075
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0935
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.9100
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.0880
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.9140
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.0860
2024-12-14 22:00: 0.9135
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.0860
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.9150
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0840
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.9165
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.0825
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.9190
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.0805
2024-12-16 10:00: 0.9215
2024-12-16 15:00: 0.0780
2024-12-16 19:00: 0.9220
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0775
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.9210
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.0775
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.8880
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.1125
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.8880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 419.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0990, Price range: 0.0912 - 0.1067
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.1125
2024-12-18 11:00: 0.8875
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.1470
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.8465
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.1605
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.8850
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.1610
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.8375
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.1615
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.8330
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.1665
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.8340
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.1705
2024-12-20 17:00: 0.8350
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.3365
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.5775
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.4360
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.5475
2024-12-21 16:00: 0.4565
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.5465
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.4645
2024-12-22 05:00: 0.4550
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.5105
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.4885
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.6425
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.3560
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.6010
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.3570
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.5965
2024-12-23 17:00: 0.3655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1010.78, Sell volume: 322.18, Average price: 0.5017, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.7869
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.6910
2024-12-24 06:00: 0.3285
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.6405
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.4025
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.5455
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.4640
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.5280
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.4770
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.5345
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.4590
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.5655
2024-12-26 03:00: 0.4530
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.5465
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.4535
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.6490
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.3815
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.6440
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.3730
2024-12-27 11:00: 0.6545
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.3405
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.7095
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.3500
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.6350
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.3650
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.6350
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.3650
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.6410
2024-12-29 03:00: 0.3590
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.6705
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.3310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1332.72, Sell volume: 591.00, Average price: 0.5599, Price range: 0.2230 - 0.7260
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2024-12-29 21:00: 0.6820
2024-12-30 01:00: 0.2940
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.7400
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.2615
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.6415
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.3365
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.7465
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.3445
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.6635
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.3295
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.7350
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.2270
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.7790
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.2205
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.7950
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.2220
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.6910
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.2710
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.7345
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.3020
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.6985
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.3025
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.6995
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.3005
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.6995
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.2405
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.7740
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.2045
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.8000
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 3023.22, Sell volume: 1172.19, Average price: 0.5520, Price range: 0.1630 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.7815
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.1970
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.7445
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.1970
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.7490
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.2560
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.7375
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.2630
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.7545
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.2190
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.7805
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.2165
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.7565
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.2155
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.7845
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.2160
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.7840
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.2145
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.7845
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.2160
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.7855
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.2240
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.7765
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.2840
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.7275
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.2730
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.6970
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.2740
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.6530
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.3845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 434.99, Sell volume: 206.81, Average price: 0.6028, Price range: 0.1910 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.7115
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.3490
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.6565
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.3405
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.7410
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.3115
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.6575
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.3170
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.7040
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.3285
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.6485
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.3480
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.7065
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.2875
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.7180
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.2815
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.7605
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.2220
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.7530
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.2470
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.7530
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.2415
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.7585
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.2685
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.3760
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.6165
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.3190
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.6365
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.4190
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.5970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 384.88, Sell volume: 258.00, Average price: 0.5521, Price range: 0.1750 - 0.8276
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512317
Question: Will Jon Husted be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 89549.963195
Price History:
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.4380
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.4610
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.4925
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.4545
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.5845
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.3575
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.6315
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.0075
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.9895
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0090
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.9915
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.0180
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.9815
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0225
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.9870
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0115
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9885
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.0085
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.9815
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0160
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.9825
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0160
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.9795
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.0170
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.9960
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0045
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.9940
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.0045
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.9955
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 274, Buy volume: 56754.46, Sell volume: 16431.33, Average price: 0.7108, Price range: 0.0011 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-11-07 18:00: 0.4650
2024-11-07 20:00: 0.6850
2024-11-07 23:00: 0.0700
2024-11-08 01:00: 0.9600
2024-11-08 04:00: 0.0500
2024-11-08 06:00: 0.9450
2024-11-08 09:00: 0.0350
2024-11-08 11:00: 0.9650
2024-11-08 14:00: 0.0350
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.9700
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.0300
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.9700
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.0300
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.9655
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.0345
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.9655
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.0345
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.9650
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0350
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.9650
2024-11-09 20:00: 0.0345
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.9645
2024-11-10 01:00: 0.0355
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.9655
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.0345
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.9640
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.0365
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.9635
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.0355
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.9640
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.0345
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.9655
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.0350
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.9650
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.0345
2024-11-11 09:00: 0.9645
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0355
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.9655
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.0355
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.9645
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0360
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.9645
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.0345
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.9655
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0350
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.9670
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.0310
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.9720
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.0790
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.9195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1778.03, Sell volume: 138.42, Average price: 0.6297, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0760
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9250
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0745
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9255
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.0735
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.8515
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.1190
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.8080
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.1020
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.9075
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0750
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.7755
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.1700
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.8305
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.2190
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.8320
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.1635
2024-11-15 07:00: 0.8490
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.1330
2024-11-15 12:00: 0.8655
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.1335
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.8640
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.1275
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.8705
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.1105
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.9015
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.1530
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.8190
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.1025
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.9205
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0730
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.9480
2024-11-16 21:00: 0.0665
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.9305
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0835
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.9315
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0270
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.9545
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0450
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.9550
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0470
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.8775
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.1640
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.8645
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.1525
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.8350
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.1590
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.8860
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.1105
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.8955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1052.64, Sell volume: 430.19, Average price: 0.4677, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9760

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.1190
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.8820
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.1210
2024-11-19 15:00: 0.8780
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.1215
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.8805
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.1085
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.9175
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0945
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.9075
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0765
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.9045
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.1075
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.8830
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.1165
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.8890
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.1105
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.8750
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.1275
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.8700
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.1275
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.8815
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.1270
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.8705
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.1305
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.8685
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.1310
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.8685
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.1320
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.8630
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.1060
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.8945
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.1070
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.8905
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0835
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.9170
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0890
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.9120
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0780
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.9220
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0790
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.9150
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.0760
2024-11-23 19:00: 0.9265
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0665
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9075
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0920
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.9110
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0735
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.9380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 528.56, Sell volume: 1699.79, Average price: 0.2654, Price range: 0.0588 - 0.9280

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.0840
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.8650
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0850
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.9185
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0860
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.8365
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.1710
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.8275
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.1705
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.8360
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.1710
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.8295
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.1500
2024-11-26 11:00: 0.8500
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.1110
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.8870
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.1025
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.8975
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.1550
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.8300
2024-11-27 05:00: 0.1750
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.8155
2024-11-27 10:00: 0.0795
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.9210
2024-11-27 15:00: 0.0725
2024-11-27 17:00: 0.9280
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.0785
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.9210
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.0760
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.9240
2024-11-28 06:00: 0.0740
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.9285
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.0740
2024-11-28 13:00: 0.9250
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.0750
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.9120
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.0890
2024-11-28 23:00: 0.9155
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.1035
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.9000
2024-11-29 07:00: 0.1030
2024-11-29 09:00: 0.8905
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.1105
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.8910
2024-11-29 17:00: 0.1095
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.9305
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.0680
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.9295
2024-11-30 03:00: 0.0725
2024-11-30 05:00: 0.9295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 890.00, Sell volume: 121.00, Average price: 0.1280, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.8970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.0640
2024-12-01 00:00: 0.9355
2024-12-01 03:00: 0.0650
2024-12-01 05:00: 0.9355
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.0630
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.9355
2024-12-01 13:00: 0.0660
2024-12-01 15:00: 0.9390
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.0600
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.9640
2024-12-01 23:00: 0.0330
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.9365
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.0645
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.9400
2024-12-02 09:00: 0.0645
2024-12-02 11:00: 0.9380
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.0575
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.9360
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.0600
2024-12-02 21:00: 0.9405
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.0600
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.9450
2024-12-03 05:00: 0.0630
2024-12-03 07:00: 0.9410
2024-12-03 10:00: 0.0555
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.9475
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.0620
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.9340
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.0575
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.9465
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.0580
2024-12-04 03:00: 0.9620
2024-12-04 06:00: 0.0415
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.9575
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.0385
2024-12-04 13:00: 0.9620
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.0375
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.9845
2024-12-04 21:00: 0.0610
2024-12-04 23:00: 0.9390
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.0650
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.9340
2024-12-05 07:00: 0.0725
2024-12-05 09:00: 0.9275
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.0725
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.9600
2024-12-05 17:00: 0.0445
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.9550
2024-12-05 22:00: 0.0445
2024-12-06 00:00: 0.9540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 369.50, Sell volume: 556.80, Average price: 0.0499, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.0610

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.0585
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.9410
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.0570
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.9390
2024-12-07 03:00: 0.0625
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.9340
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0650
2024-12-07 10:00: 0.9345
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.0685
2024-12-07 15:00: 0.9305
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.0505
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.9490
2024-12-07 23:00: 0.0505
2024-12-08 01:00: 0.9500
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0480
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.9515
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.0485
2024-12-08 11:00: 0.9460
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0365
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.9635
2024-12-08 19:00: 0.0355
2024-12-08 21:00: 0.9650
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0345
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.9665
2024-12-09 05:00: 0.0340
2024-12-09 07:00: 0.9665
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.0325
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.9675
2024-12-09 15:00: 0.0310
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.9695
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0295
2024-12-09 22:00: 0.9700
2024-12-10 01:00: 0.0285
2024-12-10 03:00: 0.9730
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.0255
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.9740
2024-12-10 11:00: 0.0250
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.9755
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0230
2024-12-10 18:00: 0.9770
2024-12-10 21:00: 0.0225
2024-12-10 23:00: 0.9790
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.0180
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.9825
2024-12-11 07:00: 0.0165
2024-12-11 09:00: 0.9845
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0130
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.9865
2024-12-11 17:00: 0.0120
2024-12-11 19:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 8.00, Sell volume: 677.03, Average price: 0.0399, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0650

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0135
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.9870
2024-12-12 17:00: 0.0120
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.9890
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.0140
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.9865
2024-12-13 03:00: 0.0120
2024-12-13 05:00: 0.9895
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.0095
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.9910
2024-12-13 13:00: 0.0190
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.9870
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.0125
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.9875
2024-12-13 23:00: 0.0135
2024-12-14 01:00: 0.9865
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.0135
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.9860
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.0150
2024-12-14 11:00: 0.9850
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.0150
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.9850
2024-12-14 19:00: 0.0150
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.9850
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0150
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.9850
2024-12-15 05:00: 0.0150
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.9855
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.0145
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.9855
2024-12-15 15:00: 0.0145
2024-12-15 17:00: 0.9855
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.0145
2024-12-15 22:00: 0.9855
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.0145
2024-12-16 03:00: 0.9855
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.0145
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.9855
2024-12-16 11:00: 0.0145
2024-12-16 13:00: 0.9855
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.0145
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.9855
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.0145
2024-12-16 23:00: 0.9855
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.0145
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.9855
2024-12-17 07:00: 0.0150
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.9850
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.0150
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 9.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0226, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.0230

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.0120
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.9865
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.9885
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.9885
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.0115
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.9880
2024-12-19 03:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.9880
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0145
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.9890
2024-12-19 13:00: 0.0120
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.9880
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.0115
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.9870
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.0120
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.9870
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0115
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.9885
2024-12-20 09:00: 0.0115
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.9855
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.0120
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.9880
2024-12-20 19:00: 0.0150
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.9850
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.0120
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.9865
2024-12-21 05:00: 0.0140
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.9880
2024-12-21 10:00: 0.0150
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.9880
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.0115
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.9900
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0100
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.9900
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.0100
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.9900
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.0100
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.9880
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.0100
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.9900
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0100
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.9920
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.0080
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.9915
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.0160
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.9855
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.0135
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 684.76, Sell volume: 261.12, Average price: 0.4728, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0130
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.9855
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.0135
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.9865
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0135
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.9865
2024-12-24 17:00: 0.0130
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.9845
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.0155
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.9845
2024-12-25 03:00: 0.0155
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.9845
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.0155
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.9865
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.0145
2024-12-25 15:00: 0.9855
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.0145
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.9850
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.0145
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.9850
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.0160
2024-12-26 06:00: 0.9855
2024-12-26 09:00: 0.0150
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.9850
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.0140
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.9825
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.0130
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.9870
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0135
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.9870
2024-12-27 05:00: 0.0135
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.9870
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.0140
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.9850
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.0130
2024-12-27 17:00: 0.9850
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0170
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.9875
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.0105
2024-12-28 03:00: 0.9905
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.0105
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.9905
2024-12-28 11:00: 0.0110
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.9890
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0110
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.9890
2024-12-28 21:00: 0.0110
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.9890
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.0110
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 344.23, Sell volume: 99.74, Average price: 0.8084, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-12-29 21:00: 0.0105
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.9895
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.0110
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.9895
2024-12-30 07:00: 0.0105
2024-12-30 09:00: 0.9905
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0075
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.9925
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.0075
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.9925
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.0075
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.9925
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.0075
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.9925
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0075
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.9925
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.0055
2024-12-31 15:00: 0.9945
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0055
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.9945
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.0055
2025-01-01 01:00: 0.9945
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0055
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.9945
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.0055
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.9945
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.0055
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.9945
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.0055
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.9945
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.9945
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.0075
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.9940
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.0075
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.9925
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.0075
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.9925
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0080
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.9920
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.0080
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.9920
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0080
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.9945
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.0050
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.9945
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.0070
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.9930
2025-01-03 21:00: 0.0070
2025-01-03 23:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 725.88, Sell volume: 216.20, Average price: 0.8751, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0070
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.9930
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.0070
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.9930
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.0070
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.9930
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.0070
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.9930
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0070
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.9930
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.0070
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.9930
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.0070
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.9930
2025-01-06 03:00: 0.0070
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.9930
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0075
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.9925
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.0075
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.9925
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0075
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.9925
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.9925
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.9925
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.9925
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0070
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.9930
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.0070
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.9930
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0070
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.9925
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0070
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.9930
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0075
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.9930
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.0070
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.9940
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0060
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.9945
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.0055
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.9940
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.9945
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.0055
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.9940
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0055
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 63.73, Sell volume: 139.47, Average price: 0.9473, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.0060
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.9930
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.0070
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.9930
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.0070
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.9940
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.0070
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.9930
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.0070
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.9930
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0055
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.9945
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0050
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.9950
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0050
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.9950
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.0055
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.9955
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0050
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.9950
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.9955
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0050
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.9950
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.9950
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0045
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9955
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.0050
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9950
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0055
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.9950
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.0050
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.9955
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0050
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.9950
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.9955
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.9955
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.9950
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.9950
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.0050
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9950
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0055
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.9950
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0050
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2999.89, Sell volume: 2158.34, Average price: 0.5107, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.0050
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.9950
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0050
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9950
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0050
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.9955
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.0050
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.9950
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0050
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.9950
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0045
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.9950
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.9965
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.9955
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0045
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.9955
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.0010
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 299, Buy volume: 56770.53, Sell volume: 15887.08, Average price: 0.4718, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-11-07 18:00: 0.4650
2024-11-07 22:00: 0.7300
2024-11-08 03:00: 0.0400
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.9550
2024-11-08 12:00: 0.0350
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.9700
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.0300
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.9700
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.0340
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.9655
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0350
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.9645
2024-11-10 00:00: 0.0355
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.9655
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.0345
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.9635
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.0360
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.9660
2024-11-11 03:00: 0.0350
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.9655
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0355
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.9645
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.0355
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.9650
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0345
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.9670
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.0280
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.9195
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0790
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.9205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1778.03, Sell volume: 138.42, Average price: 0.6297, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0760
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.9250
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0735
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.8785
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0765
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.9075
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.2245
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.8230
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.1655
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.8365
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.1330
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.8630
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.1345
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.8600
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.1335
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.8190
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0795
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.9420
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.0700
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.9165
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0270
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.9530
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0485
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.8725
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.1270
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.8350
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.1140
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.8930
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.1225
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.9140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1052.64, Sell volume: 430.19, Average price: 0.4677, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.1190
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.8785
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.1200
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.8895
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0790
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.9075
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.0955
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.8850
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.1140
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.8895
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.1275
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.8715
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.1110
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.8705
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.1310
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.8685
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.1370
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.8935
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.1085
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.9165
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0890
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.9205
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0790
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.9220
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0700
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9075
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0890
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.9200
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0750
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.9195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 528.56, Sell volume: 1699.79, Average price: 0.2654, Price range: 0.0588 - 0.9280
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.0840
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.9150
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0755
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.8300
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.1715
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.8360
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.1705
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.8275
2024-11-26 15:00: 0.1100
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.8975
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.1550
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.8365
2024-11-27 09:00: 0.1845
2024-11-27 13:00: 0.9245
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.0750
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.9210
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.0760
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.9255
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.0745
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.9250
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.0890
2024-11-29 01:00: 0.9055
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.1000
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.8990
2024-11-29 15:00: 0.1085
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.9305
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.0705
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.9290
2024-11-30 09:00: 0.0690
2024-11-30 13:00: 0.9330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 890.00, Sell volume: 121.00, Average price: 0.1280, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.8970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.0640
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.9360
2024-12-01 07:00: 0.0630
2024-12-01 11:00: 0.9340
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.0615
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.9640
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.0635
2024-12-02 05:00: 0.9375
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.0635
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.9425
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.0600
2024-12-02 23:00: 0.9380
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.0645
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.9430
2024-12-03 13:00: 0.0520
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.9340
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.0535
2024-12-04 02:00: 0.9555
2024-12-04 07:00: 0.0420
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.9615
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.0375
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.9385
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.0630
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.9275
2024-12-05 10:00: 0.0730
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.9600
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.0450
2024-12-05 23:00: 0.9550
2024-12-06 04:00: 0.0460
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 369.50, Sell volume: 556.80, Average price: 0.0499, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.0610
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.0585
2024-12-06 21:00: 0.9400
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0605
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.9350
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.0670
2024-12-07 15:00: 0.9305
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0510
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.9495
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.0485
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.9515
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0365
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.9645
2024-12-08 23:00: 0.0345
2024-12-09 03:00: 0.9655
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0335
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.9675
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.0305
2024-12-09 21:00: 0.9705
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.0285
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.9745
2024-12-10 11:00: 0.0250
2024-12-10 15:00: 0.9770
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0230
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.9795
2024-12-11 05:00: 0.0170
2024-12-11 09:00: 0.9845
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0135
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.9885
2024-12-11 23:00: 0.0135
2024-12-12 03:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 8.00, Sell volume: 677.03, Average price: 0.0399, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0135
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.9890
2024-12-12 21:00: 0.0100
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.9865
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.0100
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.9910
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.0130
2024-12-13 19:00: 0.9875
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0125
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.9865
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.0150
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.9850
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.0150
2024-12-14 22:00: 0.9850
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.0150
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.9855
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0145
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.9855
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.0145
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.9855
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.0145
2024-12-16 10:00: 0.9855
2024-12-16 15:00: 0.0145
2024-12-16 19:00: 0.9855
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0145
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.9855
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.0150
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.9850
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.0130
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 9.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0226, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.0230
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.0120
2024-12-18 11:00: 0.9885
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.9885
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.0125
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.9880
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.0110
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.9860
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.0115
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.9880
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0115
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.9885
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.0120
2024-12-20 17:00: 0.9880
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.0140
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.9865
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0120
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.9860
2024-12-21 16:00: 0.0115
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.9900
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.0100
2024-12-22 05:00: 0.9880
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.0100
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.9900
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.0055
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.9915
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0145
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.9865
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0135
2024-12-23 17:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 684.76, Sell volume: 261.12, Average price: 0.4728, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0130
2024-12-24 06:00: 0.9865
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.0135
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.9865
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0155
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.9845
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.0155
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.9835
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.0145
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.9855
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.0145
2024-12-26 03:00: 0.9850
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.0145
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.9850
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.0130
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.9870
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.0130
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.9870
2024-12-27 11:00: 0.0140
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.9870
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0170
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.9895
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.0105
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.9890
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.0110
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.9890
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.0110
2024-12-29 03:00: 0.9890
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0110
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 344.23, Sell volume: 99.74, Average price: 0.8084, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2024-12-29 21:00: 0.0105
2024-12-30 01:00: 0.9890
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0105
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.9925
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.0075
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.9925
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0075
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.9925
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.0075
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.9945
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0055
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.9945
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.0055
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.9945
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0055
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.9945
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.9945
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0075
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.9925
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.0075
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.9925
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0080
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.9920
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.9945
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.0070
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.9930
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.0070
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 725.88, Sell volume: 216.20, Average price: 0.8751, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512318
Question: Will Mike Carey be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 88622.81995
Price History:
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0070
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.9930
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.0070
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.9930
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.0070
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.9930
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.0070
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.9930
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.0070
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.9925
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.0075
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.9930
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.9925
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.9925
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0070
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.9930
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.0070
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.9930
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0075
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.9925
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.0070
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.9945
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0055
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.9945
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.9930
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.0070
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 63.73, Sell volume: 139.47, Average price: 0.9473, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes