Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0145
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9855
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9840
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0160
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0160
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0155
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9845
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0155
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9845
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0155
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9845
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0155
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9845
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0155
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9845
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9845
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0155
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0155
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9845
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0155
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9845
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9955
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9935
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 485.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9959, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9895
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0105
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0105
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9895
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9905
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0095
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0070
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9930
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9940
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0060
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0080
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9920
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0085
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0085
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9930
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0070
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0090
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9910
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9945
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0055
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9910
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0090
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 7796.28, Sell volume: 100.06, Average price: 0.7261, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9450
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9450
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9450
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9550
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 269, Buy volume: 56092.55, Sell volume: 50095.72, Average price: 0.4039, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 269, Buy volume: 56092.55, Sell volume: 50095.72, Average price: 0.4039, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9600
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9750
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9750
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9700
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9700
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9695
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9695
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9695
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9695
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9695
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9745
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9745
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9745
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9745
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9745
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9745
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9745
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9745
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 260.56, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.7372, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9845
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9845
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9845
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9860
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9899, Price range: 0.9899 - 0.9899

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9860
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9855
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 14560.87, Sell volume: 7222.04, Average price: 0.8847, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9850
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9860
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9860
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9855
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9745
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9735
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9735
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9735
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9735
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9735
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9735
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9735
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9735
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9735
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9755
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9755
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9760
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9765
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9755
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9765
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9840
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9755
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9755
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9755
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9755
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9755
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9755
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9755
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9755
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 19.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9892, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9893

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9755
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9755
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9755
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9755
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9755
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9755
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9755
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9755
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9755
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9755
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9795
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9790
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9790
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9795
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9800
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9810
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9820
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9835
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9860
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9870
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9880
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9900
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9930
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9765
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9760
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 152.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8865, Price range: 0.0262 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9865
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9865
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9865
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9865
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9865
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9865
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9865
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9865
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9860
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9880
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9885
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9880
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9870
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9860
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9870
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9880
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9740
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9820
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9825
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9830
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 13522.71, Sell volume: 5525.31, Average price: 0.8912, Price range: 0.0054 - 0.9959

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9870
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9870
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9870
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9880
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9880
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9880
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9880
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9880
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9880
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9875
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9880
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9880
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9875
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9870
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9875
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9875
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9875
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9860
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9860
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 4.43, Sell volume: 10.27, Average price: 0.9883, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9860
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9855
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9855
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9855
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9855
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9860
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9860
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9860
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9860
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9850
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9845
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9845
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9850
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9850
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9850
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9850
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9850
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9850
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9850
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9850
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9850
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9850
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9850
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9850
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9850
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9850
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9850
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9840
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9850
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9845
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9850
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9845
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9230
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9295
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9370
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9370
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9390
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9390
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9390
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9390
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9390
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9540
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9505
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9460
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9470
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9470
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9480
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 7647.42, Sell volume: 4472.52, Average price: 0.9210, Price range: 0.0221 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9625
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9705
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9735
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9705
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9715
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9675
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9650
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9635
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9635
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9430
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9435
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9435
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9435
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9435
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9435
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9435
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9435
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9435
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9475
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9465
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9430
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9390
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9280
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9510
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9640
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9535
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9510
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9575
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9530
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9435
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9630
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9630
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9555
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9560
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9560
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9560
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9560
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9555
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9545
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9555
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9555
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9555
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9555
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9655
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 2236.24, Sell volume: 2930.63, Average price: 0.4030, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9805
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9810
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9815
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9815
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9805
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9805
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9805
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9805
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9805
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9815
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9920
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9920
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9920
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9920
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9920
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 147, Buy volume: 17613.37, Sell volume: 29884.95, Average price: 0.1145, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4750
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5250
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.4000
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.6000
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0550
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0550
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0700
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9300
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0700
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9300
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0700
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9300
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 434.99, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.7450, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9400
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0600
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9500
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0500
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0450
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9550
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0400
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 332.84, Sell volume: 81.86, Average price: 0.7025, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0450
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9550
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0180
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9820
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0200
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9800
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0215
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9785
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0200
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9800
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0230
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9770
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9815
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0185
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9820
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0180
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9825
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0175
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0175
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9825
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9825
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0175
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9780
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0220
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0240
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9760
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0265
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 565.82, Sell volume: 115.00, Average price: 0.7253, Price range: 0.0195 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0185
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9815
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9835
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0165
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9835
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0165
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9840
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0160
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9840
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0160
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9840
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9840
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9865
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0135
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9865
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0135
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0135
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9865
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0125
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9875
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0125
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9875
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9880
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0120
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0120
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 119.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9958, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9974
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0060
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9940
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0120
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9880
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0110
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9890
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.9890
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0110
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0110
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9890
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0110
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9930
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0085
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9915
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9930
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0105
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9895
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0080
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9920
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0075
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 218.26, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.6687, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9880
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0125
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9875
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9880
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9880
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9880
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9880
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 12211.22, Sell volume: 441.05, Average price: 0.7772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9875
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0125
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9875
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0125
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0125
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9875
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0125
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0125
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9875
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9875
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9875
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9875
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9875
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9875
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9875
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9875
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9875
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9880
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 8.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9880
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0120
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9880
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9885
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.0115
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0115
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9885
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0115
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9885
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0115
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0120
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9880
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0120
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9880
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0125
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9875
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0120
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 10.75, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0155
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9845
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0115
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 12211.22, Sell volume: 441.05, Average price: 0.7772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9885
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0115
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 12211.22, Sell volume: 441.05, Average price: 0.7772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0125
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0145
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9855
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9840
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0160
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0160
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9840
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0160
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0155
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9845
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0155
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9845
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0155
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 485.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9959, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 582272
Question: Will Lucie Castets be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 12652.271288
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9895
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0105
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0105
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9895
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9905
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0095
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0070
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9930
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9940
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0060
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0065
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0095
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9905
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0080
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9920
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0085
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0085
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9930
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0070
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9935
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 7796.28, Sell volume: 100.06, Average price: 0.7261, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.1050
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.1400
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.1400
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.3100
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.3100
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.2500
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.2400
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.2400
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.2300
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.2450
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.2450
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 125.00, Sell volume: 65.00, Average price: 0.5248, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.7550
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.7650
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.7700
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.7750
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.7650
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.7850
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.7700
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.7800
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.7550
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.7600
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.7700
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.7400
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.7800
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.7900
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.7850
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.7750
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.7850
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.7650
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.7700
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.7650
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.7800
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.7650
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.7650
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.7650
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.7600
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.7300
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 52.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.6100, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.2150
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.2600
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.2900
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.2450
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.3050
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.3050
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.2700
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.2700
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.3350
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.2950
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.3250
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.3200
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.2650
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.3300
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.3150
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.2800
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.2800
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.2800
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.2800
2025-05-19 08:00: 0.2700
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.3150
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.3050
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.3200
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.3250
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.3250
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.3300
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.3750
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.3750
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.3750
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.3750
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.3750
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.3550
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.3750
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.3750
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.1950
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.1950
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.1950
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.1950
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 145.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7860, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.7800
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.6900
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.7050
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.7250
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.7400
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.7400
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.7300
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.7600
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.6900
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.7750
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.7700
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.7750
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.7750
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.7650
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.7650
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.7650
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.7650
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.7650
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.7750
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.7750
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.7100
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.7100
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.7100
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.6850
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.6850
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.6850
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.6950
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.6850
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.6850
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.7250
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.6850
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.6850
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.6850
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.6850
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.6850
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.6850
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.6850
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.6850
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.6850
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.6950
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.7450
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.7800
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.7900
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.7700
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.7850
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 117.08, Sell volume: 75.84, Average price: 0.6414, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0145
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0145
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0145
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0145
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0140
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0155
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0165
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.1310
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.1205
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.1205
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.1205
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.1210
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.1060
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.1110
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.1070
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.1070
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.1070
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.1070
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.1070
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.1145
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1220
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.1130
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.1070
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.1125
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.1160
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.1145
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.1165
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.1065
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.1125
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.1075
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0940
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0945
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0950
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0955
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0970
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0980
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0985
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.1000
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0985
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0975
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0980
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0980
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0990
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0990
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0995
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.1005
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.1015
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.1010
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.1010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 343.50, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.4341, Price range: 0.0261 - 0.8990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9020
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9030
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9025
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9015
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.8995
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.8985
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.8975
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.8970
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.8960
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9025
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9025
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9025
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9015
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9000
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.8985
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.8980
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.8975
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.8965
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.8960
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.8960
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.8980
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.8970
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.8960
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8960
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.8975
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.8970
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9070
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9070
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9040
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9035
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9030
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.8985
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.8985
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.8985
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.8975
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.8975
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.8975
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9035
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9045
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9040
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9035
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9040
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9040
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9040
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9040
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9040
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9040
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9040
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9040
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 256.54, Sell volume: 1.22, Average price: 0.7243, Price range: 0.0990 - 0.9090

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0970
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0980
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0980
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0985
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0970
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0965
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0965
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0965
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0965
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0965
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0970
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.1000
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.1000
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.1005
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0995
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.1005
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0960
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0960
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0965
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0965
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0970
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0980
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0980
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0990
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0990
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.1000
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.1000
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.1000
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.1000
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.1000
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0945
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0955
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0960
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0955
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0960
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 31.99, Average price: 0.6340, Price range: 0.0880 - 0.9070

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9040
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9040
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9045
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9055
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9060
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9070
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9075
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9075
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9070
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9070
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9075
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9070
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9065
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9080
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9080
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9075
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9075
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9080
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9075
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9075
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9075
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9075
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9075
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9085
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9085
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9085
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9090
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9090
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9095
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9080
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9085
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9100
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9095
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9090
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9120
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9125
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9125
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9125
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9120
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9070
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9085
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9110
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9115
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9090
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9085
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9090
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9080
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9110
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9075
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 469.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7245, Price range: 0.0910 - 0.9140

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0870
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0880
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0880
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.0880
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0880
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0905
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0910
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0915
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0910
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0910
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0920
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0915
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0910
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.0910
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0905
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0910
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0905
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0890
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0915
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0915
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0915
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0915
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0905
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0890
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0890
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0890
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0900
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0905
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0900
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.0920
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0900
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.0890
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0885
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0895
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0905
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0900
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0910
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0895
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0895
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.0895
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0895
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.0895
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0915
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0910
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0905
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0905
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0905
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0905
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0915
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 305, Buy volume: 20821.57, Sell volume: 1825.72, Average price: 0.6456, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9110
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.9115
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9120
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.9120
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9115
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9120
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9120
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.9125
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9125
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.9125
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9125
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9125
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9125
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.9125
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9125
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9125
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9125
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9105
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.9105
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.9115
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9115
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.9115
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9125
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.8875
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.8750
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.8775
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.8795
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.8850
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.8890
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.8895
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.8895
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.8880
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.8910
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.8880
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.8885
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.8885
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.8890
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.8835
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.8795
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.8805
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.8805
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.8820
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.8805
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.8795
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.8780
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.8745
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.8780
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.8765
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.8790
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.8875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1000.41, Sell volume: 75.50, Average price: 0.2252, Price range: 0.0850 - 0.8930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.1190
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.1170
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.1160
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.1145
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.1140
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.1150
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.1125
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.1115
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.1115
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.1120
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.1120
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.1115
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.1225
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.1225
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.1225
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.1225
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.1220
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.1220
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.1215
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.1210
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.1230
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.1225
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.1220
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.1225
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.1300
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.1300
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.1300
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.1300
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.1320
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.1325
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.1325
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.1325
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.1325
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.1225
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.1230
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.1220
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.1220
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.1225
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.1205
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.1205
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.1205
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.1205
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.1205
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.1205
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.1205
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.1205
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.1205
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.1205
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.1205
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.1155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 682.62, Sell volume: 182.49, Average price: 0.5052, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9220

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9165
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.8880
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.8755
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.9085
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.8670
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.8715
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.8735
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.8785
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.8785
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.8790
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.8750
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.8750
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.8790
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.8830
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.8825
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.8845
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.8850
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.8870
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.8810
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.8850
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.8865
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.8865
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.8850
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.8850
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.8850
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.8850
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.8845
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.9030
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.9225
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.9280
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9280
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.9270
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9280
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9270
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9280
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.9280
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9285
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.9285
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.9300
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.9300
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9315
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.9545
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9560
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9560
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9730
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.9735
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.9730
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.9730
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9550
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.9590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 2312.44, Sell volume: 598.39, Average price: 0.5753, Price range: 0.0441 - 0.9640

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0410
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0415
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0445
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0460
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0435
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0445
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0435
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0450
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0595
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0590
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0485
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0535
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0330
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0590
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0605
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0610
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0610
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0600
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0615
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0610
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0620
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0655
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0545
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0505
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0475
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0545
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0515
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0540
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0460
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0455
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0480
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0405
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0405
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0430
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0150
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0125
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0150
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0100
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0280
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0280
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0185
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0235
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0345
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0350
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0260
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0280
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0295
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0295
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0295
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5399.30, Sell volume: 740.29, Average price: 0.7166, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.1100
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 08:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 12:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.1400
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.1400
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.1400
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.3100
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.3150
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.2400
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.2300
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.2450
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.2450
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.2450
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.2450
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.2900
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 125.00, Sell volume: 65.00, Average price: 0.5248, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.7550
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.7700
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.7750
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.7650
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.7850
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.7800
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.7600
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.7700
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.7400
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.7800
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.7750
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.7650
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.7650
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.7650
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 08:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.7900
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.7650
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.7600
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.7450
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.7750
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.7150
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 52.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.6100, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.2150
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.2900
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.3050
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.2700
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.3350
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.3250
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.2650
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.3150
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.2800
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.2800
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.3150
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.3200
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.3250
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.3750
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.3750
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.3750
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.3750
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.1950
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.1950
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.1900
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.1800
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 145.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7860, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.6900
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.7250
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.7400
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.7600
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.7750
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.7750
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.7750
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.7650
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.7650
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.7750
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.7100
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.6850
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.6850
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.6850
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.7250
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.6850
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.6850
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.6850
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.6850
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.6950
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.7900
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.7850
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.7450
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.7150
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.7200
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 117.08, Sell volume: 75.84, Average price: 0.6414, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0145
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0145
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0140
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0165
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.1205
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.1205
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.1060
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.1070
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.1070
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.1070
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1220
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.1070
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.1160
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.1165
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.1125
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0945
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0955
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0980
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.1000
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0975
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0980
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0990
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.1005
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.1010
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.1010
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0975
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.1000
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.1020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 343.50, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.4341, Price range: 0.0261 - 0.8990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9020
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9025
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.8995
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.8975
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.8960
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9025
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9015
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.8985
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.8975
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.8960
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.8980
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.8960
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.8975
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9070
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9040
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9030
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.8985
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.8975
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.8975
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9045
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9035
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9040
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9040
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9040
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9040
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9040
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9045
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9035
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9025
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 256.54, Sell volume: 1.22, Average price: 0.7243, Price range: 0.0990 - 0.9090
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0970
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0980
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0970
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0965
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0965
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0970
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.1000
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0995
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0960
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0965
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0970
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0980
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0990
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.1000
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.1000
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0995
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0955
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0955
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0955
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0950
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 31.99, Average price: 0.6340, Price range: 0.0880 - 0.9070
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9040
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9045
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9060
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9075
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9070
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9075
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9065
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9080
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9075
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9075
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9075
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9075
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9085
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9090
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9095
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9085
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9095
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9120
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9125
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9120
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9085
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9115
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9085
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9080
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9075
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9065
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.9085
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9090
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9110
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.9125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 469.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7245, Price range: 0.0910 - 0.9140
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.0870
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0880
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0880
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0910
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.0910
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0920
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0910
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0905
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0905
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0915
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0915
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0905
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0890
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0900
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0900
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0900
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.0885
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0905
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0910
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.0895
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0895
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0915
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0905
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0905
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0915
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0900
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0890
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0920
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0900
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 305, Buy volume: 20821.57, Sell volume: 1825.72, Average price: 0.6456, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9110
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9120
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9115
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9120
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9125
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9125
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9125
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9125
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9125
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.9105
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9115
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9125
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.8750
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.8795
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.8890
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.8895
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.8910
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.8885
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.8890
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.8795
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.8805
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.8805
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.8780
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.8780
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.8790
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.8870
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.8880
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.8870
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.8880
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.8870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1000.41, Sell volume: 75.50, Average price: 0.2252, Price range: 0.0850 - 0.8930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.1190
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.1160
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.1140
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.1125
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.1115
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.1120
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.1225
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.1225
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.1220
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.1215
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.1230
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.1220
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.1300
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.1300
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.1320
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.1325
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.1325
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.1230
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.1220
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.1205
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.1205
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.1205
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.1205
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.1205
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.1205
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.1160
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.1105
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.1260
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.1445
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.1310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 682.62, Sell volume: 182.49, Average price: 0.5052, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9220
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9165
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.8755
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.8670
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.8735
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.8785
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.8750
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.8790
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.8825
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.8850
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.8810
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.8865
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.8850
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.8850
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.8845
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.9225
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9280
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9280
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9280
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9285
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.9300
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9315
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9560
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9730
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.9730
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9550
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.9590
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9590
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9505
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.9485
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 2312.44, Sell volume: 598.39, Average price: 0.5753, Price range: 0.0441 - 0.9640
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 544100
Question: Will Karen Read be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Volume: 22647.293717
Price History:
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0410
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0445
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0435
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0435
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0595
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0485
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0330
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0605
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0610
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0615
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0620
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0545
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0475
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0515
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0460
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0480
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0405
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0150
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0150
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0280
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0185
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0345
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0260
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0295
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0295
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0220
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0190
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0185
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0260
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 112, Buy volume: 5399.30, Sell volume: 740.29, Average price: 0.7166, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.4700
2024-12-31 21:00: 0.5000
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.5150
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.4850
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.5000
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.4850
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.5050
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.5050
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.7350
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.2400
2025-01-04 11:00: 0.7950
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.2150
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.7750
2025-01-05 15:00: 0.3250
2025-01-06 01:00: 0.6600
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.3450
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.6600
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.3400
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.6600
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.3350
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.6650
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.3350
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.6650
2025-01-09 14:00: 0.3400
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.6600
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.3400
2025-01-10 19:00: 0.6600
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.3400
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.6600
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.3400
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.7100
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.2700
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.7300
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.2200
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.7900
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.2250
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.7750
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.2300
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.7900
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.2350
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.7650
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.2300
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.7650
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.2150
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.7900
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.2300
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.7350
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.2500
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.7350
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.7500
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.2550
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.7350
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.2650
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.8950
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.0500
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9605
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0505
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9555
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.0445
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.9595
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.0450
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.9515
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.0450
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.9510
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.1665
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.8340
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.1660
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.8375
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.1615
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.8395
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.1610
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.8350
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.1595
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.8410
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.1595
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.8430
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.1570
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.8370
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.1620
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.8430
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.1550
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.8450
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.1555
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.8455
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.1545
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.8445
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.1545
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.8445
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.1545
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.8455
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.1545
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.8455
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.1545
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.8455
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.1555
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.8445
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.1545
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.8445
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.1555
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.8520
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.1190
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.8510
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.1465
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.8530
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.1380
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.8525
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.1100
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.8565
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.1345
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.8985
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.1385
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.8655
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.1705
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.8630
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.1570
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.8945
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.1410
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9075
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.1465
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.8865
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.1090
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.8575
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.1415
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.8540
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.1440
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.8605
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.1320
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.8605
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.1455
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.8840
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.1160
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.8865
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.1375
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.8665
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.1310
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.8595
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.1325
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.8585
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.1425
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.8555
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.1445
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.8570
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.1445
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.8560
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.1445
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.8560
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.1465
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.8535
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.1465
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.2410
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.8540
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.1435
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.8550
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.1460
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.8550
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.1435
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.8630
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.1475
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.8275
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.1695
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.8305
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.1780
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.8035
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.1925
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.7685
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.2300
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.8165
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.1910
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.8110
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.1875
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.8120
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.1900
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.8125
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.1890
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.8095
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.1830
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.8160
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.1900
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.8105
2025-03-16 04:00: 0.1910
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.8110
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.1795
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.8110
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.1930
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.8155
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.1890
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.7850
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.2200
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.7785
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.2070
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.8005
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.1865
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.8320
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.1490
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.8450
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.1965
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.8140
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.1765
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.8330
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.1515
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.8320
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.1900
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.8245
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.1360
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.8795
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.1880
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.8310
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.1825
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.7975
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.1735
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.8225
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.1795
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.8245
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.1770
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.6835
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.3310
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.6075
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.5730
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.3915
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.5605
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.4495
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.5390
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.4345
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.5845
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.4365
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.5650
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.4015
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.5865
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.3940
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.6125
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.4075
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.6090
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.4145
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.5905
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.4145
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.6460
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.4270
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.5660
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.3900
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.6115
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.4015
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.6945
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.4285
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.6375
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.3625
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.6375
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.3830
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.6075
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.3955
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.6040
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.3960
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.6040
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.3500
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.6515
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.4050
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.6060
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.3600
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.5915
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.4090
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.6880
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.2910
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.5670
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.4530
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.6300
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.4120
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.6285
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4190
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.5575
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.4615
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.5230
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.3515
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.6500
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.3715
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.6285
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.3870
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.6780
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.3360
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.6785
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.3240
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.6770
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3390
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.6815
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3230
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.6645
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.3260
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6695
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.2850
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.6580
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2230
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7375
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3250
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7615
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.2600
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.7635
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.1725
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.7875
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.3270
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.7855
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.2290
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.7635
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.2170
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7855
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2195
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.7825
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2185
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.8130
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.1745
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.8190
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.1825
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.8190
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.1845
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.8855
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.1060
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.9120
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.1190
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.8990
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.1035
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.9065
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.8840
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.1240
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.8680
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.1255
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.8690
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.1260
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.8765
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.1105
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.8690
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.1240
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.7230
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.1155
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.9050
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.1415
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.8830
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.1325
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.8920
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.1125
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.9025
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.1800
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.7290
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.1400
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.8785
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0990
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.8775
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.1255
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.8980
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.1155
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.8990
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.8430
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.1350
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.8595
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.1340
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8710
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.3340
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.6790
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.2350
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.7660
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.2355
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.7700
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.2255
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.7645
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.1865
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.8140
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.1850
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.8165
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.1735
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.8110
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.1865
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.8495
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.1780
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.8290
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.1660
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.8355
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.1665
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.8235
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.1780
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.8350
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.1760
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.8205
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.1810
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.8220
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.1760
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.8220
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.1735
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.8155
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.1765
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.8340
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.1840
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.8205
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.1805
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.8200
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.1810
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.8200
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.1810
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.8200
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.1800
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.8230
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.1800
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.8215
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.1795
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.8210
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.1805
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.8200
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.1800
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.8250
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.1800
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.8220
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.1805
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.8245
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.1805
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.8230
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.1745
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.8220
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.1725
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.8210
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.1790
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.8225
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.1790
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.8200
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.1755
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.8195
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.1785
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.8205
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.1900
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.8520
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.1470
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.8895
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.1030
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.8885
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.1035
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.8780
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.1050
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.8890
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.1145
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.8410
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.1590
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.8380
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.1590
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.8425
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.1155
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.8840
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.1140
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.8845
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.1170
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.8830
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.1125
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.8870
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.1465
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.8350
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.1670
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.8340
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.1670
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.8325
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.1675
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.8330
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.1670
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.8415
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.1630
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.8340
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.1670
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.8405
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.1650
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.8365
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.1660
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.8330
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.1670
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.8340
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.1645
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.8340
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.1630
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.8360
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.1650
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.8345
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.6125
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.4965
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.5025
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.4535
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.5135
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.6205
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.2750
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.6650
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.3465
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.6190
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.4200
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.5965
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.3515
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.6485
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.3515
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.6485
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.3515
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.6485
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.3515
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.6485
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.3020
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.6980
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.3020
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.6980
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.2160
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.7640
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.3115
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.6890
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.3865
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.4570
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.5850
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.2930
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.7205
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.4270
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.4880
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.5025
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.5415
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.4980
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.6065
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.6080
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.3360
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.6290
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.3895
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.6200
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.3820
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.6725
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.3270
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.6735
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.3270
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.6695
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.7260
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.3150
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.3610
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.3790
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.3585
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.6525
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.6685
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.6245
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.5570
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.4910
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.4490
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.5565
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.4410
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.5560
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.5540
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.4545
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.5440
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.5455
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.3635
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.5495
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.5910
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.5540
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.4935
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.6430
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.5810
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.6655
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.3410
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.6205
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.4465
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.6350
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.5995
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.4505
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.4525
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.6225
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.6080
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.4290
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.6180
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.3820
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.6175
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.6170
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.6170
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.6165
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.3830
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.4885
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.5065
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.4870
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.3495
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.3345
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.6265
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.5550
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.5565
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.5160
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.5310
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.4920
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.4795
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.4350
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.5420
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.5415
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.4620
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.5370
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.2195
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.7965
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.1375
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.1355
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0900
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.8900
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.8925
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.8855
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.8870
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.1290
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.8485
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.2510
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516904
Question: Selena Gomez married in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51238.87982
Price History:
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.1355
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.8645
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.1430
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.1430
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.7995
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.2005
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.1980
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.1890
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.2075
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.2010
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9130
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0790
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9135
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0855
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0705
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0680
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0840
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0775
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9230
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0770
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.8390
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.1525
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.8700
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.1295
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.8695
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.1315
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.1315
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.1325
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.1330
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.1340
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.8560
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.1575
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.1575
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.8425
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.1400
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.8595
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9625
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0390
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0400
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0400
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9395
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0590
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0320
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0280
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0285
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0305
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0300
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0310
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9550
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 269, Buy volume: 56092.55, Sell volume: 50095.72, Average price: 0.4039, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0400
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0400
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0400
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0400
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0400
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0400
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 269, Buy volume: 56092.55, Sell volume: 50095.72, Average price: 0.4039, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9750
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0300
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9695
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0305
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9695
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0305
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9745
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0255
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9745
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0255
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0255
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0255
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 260.56, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.7372, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657147
Question: Will Google reach $355 in November?
Volume: 106188.273434
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9820
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9820
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0180
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0155
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0155
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0155
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0155
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0155
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9845
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0155
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9845
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0155
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9855
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 23.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9899, Price range: 0.9899 - 0.9899
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes