Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502742
Question: Will another candidate win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 259139.932942
Price History:
2024-10-29 18:00: 0.0015
2024-10-29 23:00: 0.0025
2024-10-30 04:00: 0.0025
2024-10-30 09:00: 0.0025
2024-10-30 14:00: 0.0025
2024-10-30 19:00: 0.0025
2024-10-31 00:00: 0.0025
2024-10-31 05:00: 0.0025
2024-10-31 10:00: 0.0025
2024-10-31 15:00: 0.0025
2024-10-31 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-01 01:00: 0.0025
2024-11-01 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-01 11:00: 0.0025
2024-11-01 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-01 21:00: 0.0030
2024-11-02 02:00: 0.0025
2024-11-02 07:00: 0.0025
2024-11-02 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-02 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-02 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-03 02:00: 0.0025
2024-11-03 07:00: 0.0025
2024-11-03 12:00: 0.0020
2024-11-03 17:00: 0.0045
2024-11-03 22:00: 0.0045
2024-11-04 03:00: 0.0020
2024-11-04 08:00: 0.0040
2024-11-04 13:00: 0.0040
2024-11-04 18:00: 0.0040
2024-11-04 23:00: 0.0040
2024-11-05 04:00: 0.0040
2024-11-05 09:00: 0.0040
2024-11-05 14:00: 0.0040
2024-11-05 20:00: 0.0730
2024-11-06 01:00: 0.0730
2024-11-06 06:00: 0.0730
2024-11-06 11:00: 0.0030
2024-11-06 16:00: 0.0030
2024-11-06 21:00: 0.0030
2024-11-07 02:00: 0.0030
2024-11-07 07:00: 0.0030
2024-11-07 12:00: 0.0025
2024-11-07 17:00: 0.0025
2024-11-07 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-08 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-08 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-08 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502742
Question: Will another candidate win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 259139.932942
Price History:
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.4950
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.5050
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.4900
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.9845
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.0055
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.9940
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.0015
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.9970
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.0030
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.9970
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.0030
2024-06-25 15:00: 0.9970
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.0030
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.9970
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.0030
2024-06-27 01:00: 0.9970
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.0035
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.9965
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.0035
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.9965
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.0035
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.9965
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.0035
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.9965
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.0035
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.9965
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.0035
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.9965
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.0035
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502742
Question: Will another candidate win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 259139.932942
Price History:
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.0035
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.9965
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.0035
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.9965
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.0035
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.9965
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.0035
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.9965
2024-07-05 10:00: 0.0050
2024-07-05 18:00: 0.9950
2024-07-06 03:00: 0.0050
2024-07-06 11:00: 0.9950
2024-07-06 20:00: 0.0065
2024-07-07 04:00: 0.9930
2024-07-07 13:00: 0.0075
2024-07-07 21:00: 0.9925
2024-07-08 06:00: 0.0070
2024-07-08 14:00: 0.9930
2024-07-08 23:00: 0.0075
2024-07-09 07:00: 0.9930
2024-07-09 16:00: 0.0075
2024-07-10 00:00: 0.9930
2024-07-10 09:00: 0.0070
2024-07-10 17:00: 0.9930
2024-07-11 02:00: 0.0070
2024-07-11 10:00: 0.9930
2024-07-11 19:00: 0.0070
2024-07-12 03:00: 0.9930
2024-07-12 12:00: 0.0060
2024-07-12 20:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502742
Question: Will another candidate win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 259139.932942
Price History:
2024-07-13 10:00: 0.0060
2024-07-13 18:00: 0.9935
2024-07-14 03:00: 0.0065
2024-07-14 11:00: 0.9935
2024-07-14 20:00: 0.0065
2024-07-15 04:00: 0.9935
2024-07-15 13:00: 0.0065
2024-07-15 21:00: 0.9935
2024-07-16 06:00: 0.0065
2024-07-16 14:00: 0.9930
2024-07-16 23:00: 0.0070
2024-07-17 07:00: 0.9930
2024-07-17 16:00: 0.0070
2024-07-18 00:00: 0.9930
2024-07-18 09:00: 0.0070
2024-07-18 17:00: 0.9930
2024-07-19 02:00: 0.0070
2024-07-19 10:00: 0.9930
2024-07-19 19:00: 0.0070
2024-07-20 03:00: 0.9930
2024-07-20 12:00: 0.0070
2024-07-20 20:00: 0.9930
2024-07-21 05:00: 0.0070
2024-07-21 13:00: 0.9930
2024-07-21 23:00: 0.0070
2024-07-22 07:00: 0.9930
2024-07-22 16:00: 0.0070
2024-07-23 00:00: 0.9930
2024-07-23 09:00: 0.0070
2024-07-23 17:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502742
Question: Will another candidate win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 259139.932942
Price History:
2024-07-24 07:00: 0.0070
2024-07-24 15:00: 0.9930
2024-07-25 00:00: 0.0070
2024-07-25 08:00: 0.9930
2024-07-25 17:00: 0.0070
2024-07-26 01:00: 0.9930
2024-07-26 10:00: 0.0075
2024-07-26 18:00: 0.9925
2024-07-27 03:00: 0.0075
2024-07-27 11:00: 0.9925
2024-07-27 20:00: 0.0075
2024-07-28 04:00: 0.9925
2024-07-28 13:00: 0.0075
2024-07-28 21:00: 0.9925
2024-07-29 06:00: 0.0075
2024-07-29 14:00: 0.9930
2024-07-29 23:00: 0.0070
2024-07-30 07:00: 0.9940
2024-07-30 16:00: 0.0060
2024-07-31 00:00: 0.9940
2024-07-31 09:00: 0.0060
2024-07-31 17:00: 0.9935
2024-08-01 02:00: 0.0065
2024-08-01 10:00: 0.9935
2024-08-01 19:00: 0.0065
2024-08-02 03:00: 0.9935
2024-08-02 12:00: 0.0065
2024-08-02 20:00: 0.9935
2024-08-03 05:00: 0.0050
2024-08-03 13:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502742
Question: Will another candidate win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 259139.932942
Price History:
2024-08-04 03:00: 0.0050
2024-08-04 11:00: 0.9950
2024-08-04 20:00: 0.0050
2024-08-05 04:00: 0.9950
2024-08-05 13:00: 0.0050
2024-08-05 21:00: 0.9950
2024-08-06 06:00: 0.0050
2024-08-06 14:00: 0.9950
2024-08-06 23:00: 0.0050
2024-08-07 07:00: 0.9950
2024-08-07 16:00: 0.0050
2024-08-08 00:00: 0.9950
2024-08-08 09:00: 0.0050
2024-08-08 17:00: 0.9950
2024-08-09 02:00: 0.0050
2024-08-09 10:00: 0.9950
2024-08-09 19:00: 0.0050
2024-08-10 03:00: 0.9950
2024-08-10 12:00: 0.0050
2024-08-10 20:00: 0.9950
2024-08-11 05:00: 0.0055
2024-08-11 13:00: 0.9945
2024-08-11 22:00: 0.0055
2024-08-12 06:00: 0.9945
2024-08-12 15:00: 0.0055
2024-08-12 23:00: 0.9945
2024-08-13 08:00: 0.0055
2024-08-13 16:00: 0.9945
2024-08-14 01:00: 0.0055
2024-08-14 09:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502742
Question: Will another candidate win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 259139.932942
Price History:
2024-08-14 23:00: 0.0055
2024-08-15 07:00: 0.9945
2024-08-15 16:00: 0.0055
2024-08-16 00:00: 0.9940
2024-08-16 09:00: 0.0060
2024-08-16 17:00: 0.9940
2024-08-17 02:00: 0.0055
2024-08-17 10:00: 0.9945
2024-08-17 19:00: 0.0055
2024-08-18 03:00: 0.9945
2024-08-18 12:00: 0.0055
2024-08-18 20:00: 0.9945
2024-08-19 05:00: 0.0055
2024-08-19 13:00: 0.9940
2024-08-19 22:00: 0.0060
2024-08-20 06:00: 0.9940
2024-08-20 15:00: 0.0060
2024-08-20 23:00: 0.9940
2024-08-21 08:00: 0.0060
2024-08-21 16:00: 0.9940
2024-08-22 01:00: 0.0060
2024-08-22 09:00: 0.9940
2024-08-22 18:00: 0.0060
2024-08-23 02:00: 0.9940
2024-08-23 11:00: 0.0060
2024-08-23 19:00: 0.9940
2024-08-24 04:00: 0.0060
2024-08-24 12:00: 0.9945
2024-08-24 21:00: 0.0055
2024-08-25 05:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502742
Question: Will another candidate win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 259139.932942
Price History:
2024-08-25 19:00: 0.0055
2024-08-26 03:00: 0.9940
2024-08-26 12:00: 0.0055
2024-08-26 20:00: 0.9940
2024-08-27 05:00: 0.0055
2024-08-27 13:00: 0.9940
2024-08-27 22:00: 0.0060
2024-08-28 06:00: 0.9945
2024-08-28 15:00: 0.0050
2024-08-28 23:00: 0.9950
2024-08-29 08:00: 0.0050
2024-08-29 16:00: 0.9940
2024-08-30 01:00: 0.0050
2024-08-30 09:00: 0.9940
2024-08-30 18:00: 0.0050
2024-08-31 02:00: 0.9950
2024-08-31 11:00: 0.0050
2024-08-31 19:00: 0.9950
2024-09-01 04:00: 0.0050
2024-09-01 12:00: 0.9950
2024-09-01 21:00: 0.0050
2024-09-02 05:00: 0.9950
2024-09-02 14:00: 0.0050
2024-09-02 22:00: 0.9950
2024-09-03 07:00: 0.0050
2024-09-03 15:00: 0.9950
2024-09-04 00:00: 0.0050
2024-09-04 08:00: 0.9950
2024-09-04 17:00: 0.0055
2024-09-05 01:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502742
Question: Will another candidate win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 259139.932942
Price History:
2024-09-05 15:00: 0.0055
2024-09-05 23:00: 0.9945
2024-09-06 08:00: 0.0050
2024-09-06 16:00: 0.9950
2024-09-07 01:00: 0.0050
2024-09-07 09:00: 0.9950
2024-09-07 18:00: 0.0050
2024-09-08 02:00: 0.9950
2024-09-08 11:00: 0.0050
2024-09-08 19:00: 0.9950
2024-09-09 04:00: 0.0050
2024-09-09 12:00: 0.9950
2024-09-09 21:00: 0.0050
2024-09-10 05:00: 0.9950
2024-09-10 14:00: 0.0050
2024-09-10 22:00: 0.9950
2024-09-11 07:00: 0.0050
2024-09-11 15:00: 0.9940
2024-09-12 00:00: 0.0060
2024-09-12 08:00: 0.9940
2024-09-12 17:00: 0.0060
2024-09-13 01:00: 0.9940
2024-09-13 10:00: 0.0060
2024-09-13 18:00: 0.9940
2024-09-14 03:00: 0.0060
2024-09-14 11:00: 0.9940
2024-09-14 20:00: 0.0060
2024-09-15 04:00: 0.9940
2024-09-15 13:00: 0.0060
2024-09-15 21:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502742
Question: Will another candidate win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 259139.932942
Price History:
2024-09-16 11:00: 0.0060
2024-09-16 19:00: 0.9940
2024-09-17 04:00: 0.0060
2024-09-17 12:00: 0.9940
2024-09-17 21:00: 0.0060
2024-09-18 05:00: 0.9940
2024-09-18 14:00: 0.0060
2024-09-18 22:00: 0.9940
2024-09-19 07:00: 0.0060
2024-09-19 15:00: 0.9940
2024-09-20 00:00: 0.0060
2024-09-20 08:00: 0.9940
2024-09-20 17:00: 0.0060
2024-09-21 01:00: 0.9940
2024-09-21 10:00: 0.0060
2024-09-21 18:00: 0.9940
2024-09-22 03:00: 0.0060
2024-09-22 11:00: 0.9940
2024-09-22 20:00: 0.0060
2024-09-23 04:00: 0.9940
2024-09-23 13:00: 0.0055
2024-09-23 21:00: 0.9945
2024-09-24 06:00: 0.0055
2024-09-24 14:00: 0.9945
2024-09-24 23:00: 0.0055
2024-09-25 07:00: 0.9945
2024-09-25 16:00: 0.0055
2024-09-26 00:00: 0.9945
2024-09-26 09:00: 0.0055
2024-09-26 17:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502742
Question: Will another candidate win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 259139.932942
Price History:
2024-09-27 07:00: 0.0055
2024-09-27 15:00: 0.9945
2024-09-28 00:00: 0.0055
2024-09-28 08:00: 0.9945
2024-09-28 17:00: 0.0055
2024-09-29 01:00: 0.9945
2024-09-29 10:00: 0.0055
2024-09-29 18:00: 0.9945
2024-09-30 03:00: 0.0055
2024-09-30 11:00: 0.9940
2024-09-30 20:00: 0.0060
2024-10-01 04:00: 0.9940
2024-10-01 13:00: 0.0060
2024-10-01 21:00: 0.9940
2024-10-02 06:00: 0.0060
2024-10-02 13:00: 0.9940
2024-10-02 22:00: 0.0060
2024-10-03 06:00: 0.9940
2024-10-03 15:00: 0.0060
2024-10-03 23:00: 0.9940
2024-10-04 08:00: 0.0060
2024-10-04 16:00: 0.9940
2024-10-05 01:00: 0.0060
2024-10-05 09:00: 0.9940
2024-10-05 18:00: 0.0060
2024-10-06 02:00: 0.9940
2024-10-06 11:00: 0.0060
2024-10-06 19:00: 0.9940
2024-10-07 04:00: 0.0060
2024-10-07 12:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502742
Question: Will another candidate win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 259139.932942
Price History:
2024-10-08 02:00: 0.0065
2024-10-08 10:00: 0.9940
2024-10-08 19:00: 0.0065
2024-10-09 03:00: 0.9940
2024-10-09 12:00: 0.0060
2024-10-09 20:00: 0.9940
2024-10-10 05:00: 0.0065
2024-10-10 13:00: 0.9935
2024-10-10 22:00: 0.0065
2024-10-11 06:00: 0.9935
2024-10-11 15:00: 0.0065
2024-10-11 23:00: 0.9935
2024-10-12 08:00: 0.0065
2024-10-12 16:00: 0.9935
2024-10-13 01:00: 0.0065
2024-10-13 09:00: 0.9935
2024-10-13 18:00: 0.0065
2024-10-14 02:00: 0.9940
2024-10-14 11:00: 0.0065
2024-10-14 19:00: 0.9935
2024-10-15 04:00: 0.0060
2024-10-15 12:00: 0.9940
2024-10-15 21:00: 0.0060
2024-10-16 05:00: 0.9940
2024-10-16 14:00: 0.0065
2024-10-16 22:00: 0.9935
2024-10-17 07:00: 0.0035
2024-10-17 15:00: 0.9965
2024-10-18 00:00: 0.0035
2024-10-18 08:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502742
Question: Will another candidate win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 259139.932942
Price History:
2024-10-18 22:00: 0.0030
2024-10-19 06:00: 0.9975
2024-10-19 15:00: 0.0025
2024-10-19 23:00: 0.9965
2024-10-20 08:00: 0.0030
2024-10-20 16:00: 0.9970
2024-10-21 01:00: 0.0020
2024-10-21 09:00: 0.9980
2024-10-21 18:00: 0.0015
2024-10-22 02:00: 0.9980
2024-10-22 11:00: 0.0025
2024-10-22 19:00: 0.9975
2024-10-23 04:00: 0.0020
2024-10-23 12:00: 0.9980
2024-10-23 21:00: 0.0020
2024-10-24 05:00: 0.9980
2024-10-24 14:00: 0.0020
2024-10-24 22:00: 0.9980
2024-10-25 07:00: 0.0020
2024-10-25 15:00: 0.9980
2024-10-26 00:00: 0.0020
2024-10-26 08:00: 0.9980
2024-10-26 17:00: 0.0020
2024-10-27 01:00: 0.9980
2024-10-27 10:00: 0.0015
2024-10-27 18:00: 0.9985
2024-10-28 03:00: 0.0015
2024-10-28 11:00: 0.9985
2024-10-28 20:00: 0.0015
2024-10-29 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502742
Question: Will another candidate win the San Francisco Mayoral Election?
Volume: 259139.932942
Price History:
2024-10-29 18:00: 0.0015
2024-10-30 02:00: 0.9975
2024-10-30 11:00: 0.0025
2024-10-30 19:00: 0.9975
2024-10-31 04:00: 0.0025
2024-10-31 12:00: 0.9975
2024-10-31 21:00: 0.0025
2024-11-01 05:00: 0.9975
2024-11-01 14:00: 0.0025
2024-11-01 22:00: 0.9970
2024-11-02 07:00: 0.0025
2024-11-02 15:00: 0.9975
2024-11-03 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-03 07:00: 0.9975
2024-11-03 16:00: 0.0045
2024-11-04 00:00: 0.9980
2024-11-04 09:00: 0.0040
2024-11-04 17:00: 0.9960
2024-11-05 02:00: 0.0040
2024-11-05 10:00: 0.9960
2024-11-05 20:00: 0.0730
2024-11-06 04:00: 0.9270
2024-11-06 13:00: 0.0030
2024-11-06 21:00: 0.9970
2024-11-07 06:00: 0.0030
2024-11-07 14:00: 0.9975
2024-11-07 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.6550
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.3450
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.6400
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.3600
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.3600
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.6500
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.3500
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1559.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5321, Price range: 0.2422 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.8300
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.1700
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.8550
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8550
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 7630.48, Sell volume: 2232.67, Average price: 0.5394, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.8950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2342.00, Sell volume: 262.22, Average price: 0.4529, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9258

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.1350
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8850
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1150
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.8650
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1350
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 16621.19, Sell volume: 188.13, Average price: 0.5243, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9127

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 7227.77, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.5830, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2176.88, Sell volume: 524.65, Average price: 0.7123, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.1150
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8850
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.8850
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.1150
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.1250
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.8750
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 2977.59, Sell volume: 550.18, Average price: 0.6948, Price range: 0.0928 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.1350
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 7909.94, Sell volume: 108.11, Average price: 0.4381, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9265

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 4738.50, Sell volume: 133.36, Average price: 0.8060, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9175

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 3824.28, Sell volume: 100.58, Average price: 0.8778, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3348.24, Sell volume: 233.34, Average price: 0.6438, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.8750
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.1250
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.8550
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.1450
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 17342.25, Sell volume: 8887.01, Average price: 0.4401, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.4850
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.5150
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.3500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.6500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 270, Buy volume: 56163.18, Sell volume: 40027.87, Average price: 0.5490, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.6550
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.3450
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.6400
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.3600
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.3600
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.6500
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.3500
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1559.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5321, Price range: 0.2422 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.8300
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.1700
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.8550
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.8250
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8550
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 7630.48, Sell volume: 2232.67, Average price: 0.5394, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.8950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1300
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2342.00, Sell volume: 262.22, Average price: 0.4529, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9258
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.1350
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8850
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1150
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.8650
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.1350
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 16621.19, Sell volume: 188.13, Average price: 0.5243, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9127
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 7227.77, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.5830, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9000
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2176.88, Sell volume: 524.65, Average price: 0.7123, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.1150
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8850
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.8850
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.1150
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.1250
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.8750
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 2977.59, Sell volume: 550.18, Average price: 0.6948, Price range: 0.0928 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.1350
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 7909.94, Sell volume: 108.11, Average price: 0.4381, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9265
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9100
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 4738.50, Sell volume: 133.36, Average price: 0.8060, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9175
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 3824.28, Sell volume: 100.58, Average price: 0.8778, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3348.24, Sell volume: 233.34, Average price: 0.6438, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.8750
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.1250
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.8550
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.1450
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 17342.25, Sell volume: 8887.01, Average price: 0.4401, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 639956
Question: Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 214636.742515
Price History:
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.4850
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.5150
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.5700
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.6100
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.3900
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.3500
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.6500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 270, Buy volume: 56163.18, Sell volume: 40027.87, Average price: 0.5490, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-05-02 20:00: 0.3550
2024-05-02 23:00: 0.6450
2024-05-03 03:00: 0.3550
2024-05-03 06:00: 0.6450
2024-05-03 10:00: 0.3550
2024-05-03 13:00: 0.6450
2024-05-03 17:00: 0.3550
2024-05-03 20:00: 0.6450
2024-05-04 00:00: 0.3550
2024-05-04 03:00: 0.6450
2024-05-04 07:00: 0.3550
2024-05-04 10:00: 0.5500
2024-05-04 14:00: 0.4500
2024-05-04 17:00: 0.5500
2024-05-04 21:00: 0.4500
2024-05-05 00:00: 0.5500
2024-05-05 04:00: 0.3850
2024-05-05 07:00: 0.6150
2024-05-05 11:00: 0.3850
2024-05-05 14:00: 0.6250
2024-05-05 18:00: 0.3750
2024-05-05 21:00: 0.6250
2024-05-06 01:00: 0.3750
2024-05-06 04:00: 0.6300
2024-05-06 08:00: 0.3700
2024-05-06 11:00: 0.6300
2024-05-06 15:00: 0.3700
2024-05-06 18:00: 0.6300
2024-05-06 22:00: 0.3700
2024-05-07 01:00: 0.6300
2024-05-07 05:00: 0.3700
2024-05-07 08:00: 0.6300
2024-05-07 12:00: 0.3700
2024-05-07 15:00: 0.6300
2024-05-07 19:00: 0.3700
2024-05-07 22:00: 0.6300
2024-05-08 02:00: 0.3650
2024-05-08 05:00: 0.6350
2024-05-08 09:00: 0.3650
2024-05-08 12:00: 0.6350
2024-05-08 16:00: 0.3650
2024-05-08 19:00: 0.6350
2024-05-08 23:00: 0.3650
2024-05-09 02:00: 0.6350
2024-05-09 06:00: 0.3650
2024-05-09 09:00: 0.6350
2024-05-09 13:00: 0.3650
2024-05-09 16:00: 0.6350
2024-05-09 20:00: 0.3650
2024-05-09 23:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-05-10 05:00: 0.6350
2024-05-10 09:00: 0.3650
2024-05-10 12:00: 0.6350
2024-05-10 16:00: 0.3650
2024-05-10 19:00: 0.6350
2024-05-10 23:00: 0.3650
2024-05-11 02:00: 0.6350
2024-05-11 06:00: 0.3650
2024-05-11 09:00: 0.6350
2024-05-11 13:00: 0.3650
2024-05-11 16:00: 0.6350
2024-05-11 20:00: 0.3650
2024-05-11 23:00: 0.6350
2024-05-12 03:00: 0.3650
2024-05-12 06:00: 0.6350
2024-05-12 10:00: 0.3650
2024-05-12 13:00: 0.6350
2024-05-12 17:00: 0.3650
2024-05-12 20:00: 0.6350
2024-05-13 00:00: 0.3650
2024-05-13 03:00: 0.6350
2024-05-13 07:00: 0.3650
2024-05-13 10:00: 0.6350
2024-05-13 14:00: 0.3650
2024-05-13 17:00: 0.6350
2024-05-13 21:00: 0.3650
2024-05-14 00:00: 0.6350
2024-05-14 04:00: 0.3650
2024-05-14 07:00: 0.6350
2024-05-14 11:00: 0.3650
2024-05-14 14:00: 0.6350
2024-05-14 18:00: 0.3650
2024-05-14 21:00: 0.6350
2024-05-15 01:00: 0.3650
2024-05-15 04:00: 0.6350
2024-05-15 08:00: 0.3650
2024-05-15 11:00: 0.6350
2024-05-15 15:00: 0.3650
2024-05-15 18:00: 0.6350
2024-05-15 22:00: 0.3650
2024-05-16 01:00: 0.6350
2024-05-16 05:00: 0.3650
2024-05-16 08:00: 0.6350
2024-05-16 12:00: 0.3650
2024-05-16 15:00: 0.6350
2024-05-16 19:00: 0.3650
2024-05-16 22:00: 0.6350
2024-05-17 02:00: 0.3650
2024-05-17 05:00: 0.6350
2024-05-17 09:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-05-17 15:00: 0.3650
2024-05-17 18:00: 0.6350
2024-05-17 22:00: 0.3650
2024-05-18 01:00: 0.6350
2024-05-18 05:00: 0.3650
2024-05-18 08:00: 0.6350
2024-05-18 12:00: 0.3650
2024-05-18 15:00: 0.6350
2024-05-18 19:00: 0.3650
2024-05-18 22:00: 0.6350
2024-05-19 02:00: 0.3650
2024-05-19 05:00: 0.6350
2024-05-19 09:00: 0.3650
2024-05-19 12:00: 0.6350
2024-05-19 16:00: 0.3650
2024-05-19 19:00: 0.6350
2024-05-19 23:00: 0.3650
2024-05-20 02:00: 0.6350
2024-05-20 06:00: 0.3650
2024-05-20 09:00: 0.6350
2024-05-20 13:00: 0.3650
2024-05-20 16:00: 0.6350
2024-05-20 20:00: 0.3650
2024-05-20 23:00: 0.6350
2024-05-21 03:00: 0.3650
2024-05-21 06:00: 0.6350
2024-05-21 10:00: 0.3650
2024-05-21 13:00: 0.6350
2024-05-21 17:00: 0.3650
2024-05-21 20:00: 0.6350
2024-05-22 00:00: 0.3650
2024-05-22 03:00: 0.6350
2024-05-22 07:00: 0.3650
2024-05-22 10:00: 0.6350
2024-05-22 14:00: 0.3650
2024-05-22 17:00: 0.6350
2024-05-22 21:00: 0.3650
2024-05-23 00:00: 0.6350
2024-05-23 04:00: 0.3650
2024-05-23 07:00: 0.6350
2024-05-23 11:00: 0.3650
2024-05-23 14:00: 0.6350
2024-05-23 18:00: 0.3650
2024-05-23 21:00: 0.6350
2024-05-24 01:00: 0.3650
2024-05-24 04:00: 0.6350
2024-05-24 08:00: 0.3650
2024-05-24 11:00: 0.6350
2024-05-24 15:00: 0.3650
2024-05-24 18:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-05-25 00:00: 0.6350
2024-05-25 04:00: 0.3650
2024-05-25 07:00: 0.6350
2024-05-25 11:00: 0.3650
2024-05-25 14:00: 0.6350
2024-05-25 18:00: 0.3650
2024-05-25 21:00: 0.6350
2024-05-26 01:00: 0.3650
2024-05-26 04:00: 0.6350
2024-05-26 08:00: 0.3650
2024-05-26 11:00: 0.6350
2024-05-26 15:00: 0.3650
2024-05-26 18:00: 0.6350
2024-05-26 22:00: 0.3650
2024-05-27 01:00: 0.6350
2024-05-27 05:00: 0.3650
2024-05-27 08:00: 0.6350
2024-05-27 12:00: 0.3650
2024-05-27 15:00: 0.6350
2024-05-27 19:00: 0.3650
2024-05-27 22:00: 0.6400
2024-05-28 02:00: 0.3600
2024-05-28 05:00: 0.6400
2024-05-28 09:00: 0.3600
2024-05-28 12:00: 0.6400
2024-05-28 16:00: 0.3600
2024-05-28 19:00: 0.6400
2024-05-28 23:00: 0.3600
2024-05-29 02:00: 0.6400
2024-05-29 06:00: 0.3600
2024-05-29 09:00: 0.6400
2024-05-29 13:00: 0.3600
2024-05-29 16:00: 0.6400
2024-05-29 20:00: 0.3600
2024-05-29 23:00: 0.6400
2024-05-30 03:00: 0.3600
2024-05-30 06:00: 0.6400
2024-05-30 10:00: 0.3600
2024-05-30 13:00: 0.6400
2024-05-30 17:00: 0.3600
2024-05-30 20:00: 0.6400
2024-05-31 00:00: 0.3600
2024-05-31 03:00: 0.6400
2024-05-31 07:00: 0.3600
2024-05-31 10:00: 0.6400
2024-05-31 14:00: 0.3600
2024-05-31 17:00: 0.6400
2024-05-31 21:00: 0.3600
2024-06-01 00:00: 0.6400
2024-06-01 04:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-06-01 10:00: 0.3600
2024-06-01 13:00: 0.6400
2024-06-01 17:00: 0.3600
2024-06-01 20:00: 0.6400
2024-06-02 00:00: 0.3600
2024-06-02 03:00: 0.6400
2024-06-02 07:00: 0.3600
2024-06-02 10:00: 0.6400
2024-06-02 14:00: 0.3600
2024-06-02 17:00: 0.6400
2024-06-02 21:00: 0.3600
2024-06-03 00:00: 0.6400
2024-06-03 04:00: 0.3600
2024-06-03 07:00: 0.6400
2024-06-03 11:00: 0.3650
2024-06-03 14:00: 0.6350
2024-06-03 18:00: 0.3650
2024-06-03 21:00: 0.6350
2024-06-04 01:00: 0.3650
2024-06-04 04:00: 0.6350
2024-06-04 08:00: 0.3650
2024-06-04 11:00: 0.6350
2024-06-04 15:00: 0.3650
2024-06-04 18:00: 0.6350
2024-06-04 22:00: 0.3600
2024-06-05 01:00: 0.6400
2024-06-05 05:00: 0.3600
2024-06-05 08:00: 0.6400
2024-06-05 12:00: 0.3600
2024-06-05 15:00: 0.6400
2024-06-05 19:00: 0.3600
2024-06-05 22:00: 0.6400
2024-06-06 02:00: 0.3600
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.6400
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.3600
2024-06-06 12:00: 0.6400
2024-06-06 16:00: 0.3600
2024-06-06 19:00: 0.6400
2024-06-06 23:00: 0.3600
2024-06-07 02:00: 0.6400
2024-06-07 06:00: 0.3600
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.6400
2024-06-07 13:00: 0.3600
2024-06-07 16:00: 0.6400
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.3600
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.6400
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.3600
2024-06-08 06:00: 0.6400
2024-06-08 10:00: 0.3600
2024-06-08 13:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.6400
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.3600
2024-06-09 02:00: 0.6400
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.3600
2024-06-09 09:00: 0.6400
2024-06-09 13:00: 0.3600
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.6400
2024-06-09 20:00: 0.3600
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.6400
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.3600
2024-06-10 06:00: 0.6400
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.3600
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.6400
2024-06-10 17:00: 0.3600
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.6400
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.3600
2024-06-11 03:00: 0.6400
2024-06-11 07:00: 0.3600
2024-06-11 10:00: 0.6400
2024-06-11 14:00: 0.3600
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.6400
2024-06-11 21:00: 0.3600
2024-06-12 00:00: 0.6400
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.3600
2024-06-12 07:00: 0.6400
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.3600
2024-06-12 14:00: 0.6400
2024-06-12 18:00: 0.3600
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.6400
2024-06-13 01:00: 0.3600
2024-06-13 04:00: 0.6400
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.3600
2024-06-13 11:00: 0.6400
2024-06-13 15:00: 0.3600
2024-06-13 18:00: 0.6400
2024-06-13 22:00: 0.3600
2024-06-14 01:00: 0.6400
2024-06-14 05:00: 0.3600
2024-06-14 08:00: 0.6400
2024-06-14 12:00: 0.3600
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.6400
2024-06-14 19:00: 0.3600
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.6400
2024-06-15 02:00: 0.3600
2024-06-15 05:00: 0.6400
2024-06-15 09:00: 0.3600
2024-06-15 12:00: 0.6400
2024-06-15 16:00: 0.3600
2024-06-15 19:00: 0.6400
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-06-16 05:00: 0.3600
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.6400
2024-06-16 12:00: 0.3600
2024-06-16 15:00: 0.6400
2024-06-16 19:00: 0.3600
2024-06-16 22:00: 0.6400
2024-06-17 02:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 05:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 09:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.5000
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.5000
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.5000
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.5000
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.5000
2024-06-18 16:00: 0.5000
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.5000
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.5000
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.5000
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.5000
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.5000
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.5000
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.5000
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.5000
2024-06-20 00:00: 0.4800
2024-06-20 03:00: 0.5200
2024-06-20 07:00: 0.4800
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.5200
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.4800
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.5200
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.4800
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.5200
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.4800
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.5200
2024-06-21 11:00: 0.4800
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.5200
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.4800
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.5950
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.4050
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.5950
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.4050
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.5950
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.4050
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.5950
2024-06-22 22:00: 0.4050
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.6000
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.4000
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.6000
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.4000
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.6000
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.4000
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.6000
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.4000
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.6000
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.4000
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.6000
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.4000
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.6000
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.4000
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.5950
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.4000
2024-06-25 15:00: 0.6050
2024-06-25 19:00: 0.4000
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.6000
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.5400
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.6000
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.4000
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.6000
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.4750
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.5250
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.5950
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.4050
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.5950
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.4050
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.5950
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.4050
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.6950
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.3050
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.6950
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.3050
2024-06-28 10:00: 0.6950
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.3050
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.6950
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.3050
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.6950
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.3050
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.6950
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.3050
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.6950
2024-06-29 17:00: 0.3050
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.6950
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.3050
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.7000
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.3000
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.7000
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.3000
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.7000
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.3000
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.7000
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.3000
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.7000
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.3000
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.7000
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.3000
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.7000
2024-07-02 07:00: 0.3000
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.7000
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.3000
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.7000
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.3000
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.7000
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.3000
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.7000
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.3000
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.7000
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.3000
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.7000
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.3000
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.7000
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.3000
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.7000
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.3000
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.7000
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.3000
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.7000
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.3000
2024-07-05 09:00: 0.7000
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.3000
2024-07-05 16:00: 0.7000
2024-07-05 19:00: 0.3000
2024-07-05 23:00: 0.7000
2024-07-06 02:00: 0.3000
2024-07-06 06:00: 0.7000
2024-07-06 09:00: 0.3000
2024-07-06 13:00: 0.7000
2024-07-06 16:00: 0.3000
2024-07-06 20:00: 0.7000
2024-07-06 23:00: 0.3000
2024-07-07 03:00: 0.7000
2024-07-07 06:00: 0.3000
2024-07-07 10:00: 0.7000
2024-07-07 13:00: 0.3000
2024-07-07 17:00: 0.7000
2024-07-07 20:00: 0.3000
2024-07-08 00:00: 0.7000
2024-07-08 03:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-07-08 09:00: 0.3000
2024-07-08 13:00: 0.7000
2024-07-08 16:00: 0.3000
2024-07-08 20:00: 0.7000
2024-07-08 23:00: 0.3000
2024-07-09 03:00: 0.7000
2024-07-09 06:00: 0.3000
2024-07-09 10:00: 0.7000
2024-07-09 13:00: 0.3000
2024-07-09 17:00: 0.7000
2024-07-09 20:00: 0.3000
2024-07-10 00:00: 0.7000
2024-07-10 03:00: 0.3000
2024-07-10 07:00: 0.7000
2024-07-10 10:00: 0.3000
2024-07-10 14:00: 0.7000
2024-07-10 17:00: 0.3000
2024-07-10 21:00: 0.7000
2024-07-11 00:00: 0.3000
2024-07-11 04:00: 0.7000
2024-07-11 07:00: 0.3000
2024-07-11 11:00: 0.7000
2024-07-11 14:00: 0.3000
2024-07-11 18:00: 0.7000
2024-07-11 21:00: 0.3000
2024-07-12 01:00: 0.7000
2024-07-12 04:00: 0.3000
2024-07-12 08:00: 0.7000
2024-07-12 11:00: 0.3000
2024-07-12 15:00: 0.7000
2024-07-12 18:00: 0.3000
2024-07-12 22:00: 0.7000
2024-07-13 01:00: 0.3000
2024-07-13 05:00: 0.7000
2024-07-13 08:00: 0.3000
2024-07-13 12:00: 0.7000
2024-07-13 15:00: 0.3000
2024-07-13 19:00: 0.7000
2024-07-13 22:00: 0.3000
2024-07-14 02:00: 0.7000
2024-07-14 05:00: 0.3000
2024-07-14 09:00: 0.7000
2024-07-14 12:00: 0.3000
2024-07-14 16:00: 0.7000
2024-07-14 19:00: 0.3000
2024-07-14 23:00: 0.4800
2024-07-15 02:00: 0.5200
2024-07-15 06:00: 0.4800
2024-07-15 09:00: 0.5200
2024-07-15 13:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-07-15 19:00: 0.2550
2024-07-15 22:00: 0.7450
2024-07-16 02:00: 0.2750
2024-07-16 05:00: 0.7250
2024-07-16 09:00: 0.2750
2024-07-16 12:00: 0.7250
2024-07-16 16:00: 0.2750
2024-07-16 19:00: 0.7250
2024-07-16 23:00: 0.2750
2024-07-17 02:00: 0.7250
2024-07-17 06:00: 0.2750
2024-07-17 09:00: 0.7250
2024-07-17 13:00: 0.2750
2024-07-17 16:00: 0.7250
2024-07-17 20:00: 0.2750
2024-07-17 23:00: 0.7250
2024-07-18 03:00: 0.2750
2024-07-18 06:00: 0.7250
2024-07-18 10:00: 0.2750
2024-07-18 13:00: 0.7250
2024-07-18 17:00: 0.2750
2024-07-18 20:00: 0.7250
2024-07-19 00:00: 0.2750
2024-07-19 03:00: 0.7250
2024-07-19 07:00: 0.2750
2024-07-19 10:00: 0.7250
2024-07-19 14:00: 0.2750
2024-07-19 17:00: 0.7250
2024-07-19 21:00: 0.2750
2024-07-20 00:00: 0.7250
2024-07-20 04:00: 0.2750
2024-07-20 07:00: 0.7250
2024-07-20 11:00: 0.2750
2024-07-20 14:00: 0.7250
2024-07-20 18:00: 0.2750
2024-07-20 21:00: 0.7250
2024-07-21 01:00: 0.2750
2024-07-21 04:00: 0.7250
2024-07-21 08:00: 0.2750
2024-07-21 11:00: 0.7250
2024-07-21 16:00: 0.2550
2024-07-21 19:00: 0.7450
2024-07-21 23:00: 0.2550
2024-07-22 02:00: 0.7950
2024-07-22 06:00: 0.2050
2024-07-22 09:00: 0.7950
2024-07-22 13:00: 0.2050
2024-07-22 16:00: 0.7950
2024-07-22 20:00: 0.2050
2024-07-22 23:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-07-23 05:00: 0.7950
2024-07-23 09:00: 0.2050
2024-07-23 12:00: 0.7950
2024-07-23 16:00: 0.2050
2024-07-23 19:00: 0.7950
2024-07-23 23:00: 0.2050
2024-07-24 02:00: 0.7950
2024-07-24 06:00: 0.2050
2024-07-24 09:00: 0.7950
2024-07-24 13:00: 0.2050
2024-07-24 16:00: 0.7950
2024-07-24 20:00: 0.2050
2024-07-24 23:00: 0.7950
2024-07-25 03:00: 0.2050
2024-07-25 06:00: 0.7950
2024-07-25 10:00: 0.2050
2024-07-25 13:00: 0.7950
2024-07-25 17:00: 0.2050
2024-07-25 20:00: 0.7900
2024-07-26 00:00: 0.3000
2024-07-26 03:00: 0.7000
2024-07-26 07:00: 0.3000
2024-07-26 10:00: 0.7000
2024-07-26 14:00: 0.3000
2024-07-26 17:00: 0.7000
2024-07-26 21:00: 0.4500
2024-07-27 00:00: 0.5500
2024-07-27 04:00: 0.4500
2024-07-27 07:00: 0.5500
2024-07-27 11:00: 0.4500
2024-07-27 14:00: 0.5500
2024-07-27 18:00: 0.3500
2024-07-27 21:00: 0.6500
2024-07-28 01:00: 0.3500
2024-07-28 04:00: 0.6500
2024-07-28 08:00: 0.3500
2024-07-28 11:00: 0.6500
2024-07-28 15:00: 0.3500
2024-07-28 18:00: 0.6500
2024-07-28 22:00: 0.3500
2024-07-29 01:00: 0.6500
2024-07-29 05:00: 0.3500
2024-07-29 08:00: 0.6350
2024-07-29 12:00: 0.3650
2024-07-29 15:00: 0.6250
2024-07-29 19:00: 0.3750
2024-07-29 22:00: 0.8050
2024-07-30 02:00: 0.1950
2024-07-30 05:00: 0.8050
2024-07-30 09:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-07-30 15:00: 0.1950
2024-07-30 18:00: 0.8050
2024-07-30 22:00: 0.1450
2024-07-31 01:00: 0.8650
2024-07-31 05:00: 0.1250
2024-07-31 08:00: 0.5850
2024-07-31 12:00: 0.1900
2024-07-31 15:00: 0.8150
2024-07-31 19:00: 0.1800
2024-07-31 22:00: 0.8200
2024-08-01 02:00: 0.1800
2024-08-01 05:00: 0.8200
2024-08-01 09:00: 0.1800
2024-08-01 12:00: 0.8200
2024-08-01 16:00: 0.1800
2024-08-01 19:00: 0.8250
2024-08-01 23:00: 0.1750
2024-08-02 02:00: 0.8250
2024-08-02 06:00: 0.1750
2024-08-02 09:00: 0.8250
2024-08-02 13:00: 0.1750
2024-08-02 16:00: 0.8250
2024-08-02 20:00: 0.1750
2024-08-02 23:00: 0.8250
2024-08-03 03:00: 0.1750
2024-08-03 06:00: 0.8250
2024-08-03 10:00: 0.1750
2024-08-03 13:00: 0.8250
2024-08-03 17:00: 0.1750
2024-08-03 20:00: 0.8250
2024-08-04 00:00: 0.1750
2024-08-04 03:00: 0.8200
2024-08-04 07:00: 0.1750
2024-08-04 10:00: 0.8250
2024-08-04 14:00: 0.1750
2024-08-04 17:00: 0.8250
2024-08-04 21:00: 0.1850
2024-08-05 00:00: 0.8150
2024-08-05 04:00: 0.1850
2024-08-05 07:00: 0.8150
2024-08-05 11:00: 0.1850
2024-08-05 14:00: 0.8150
2024-08-05 18:00: 0.1850
2024-08-05 21:00: 0.8100
2024-08-06 01:00: 0.2800
2024-08-06 04:00: 0.7200
2024-08-06 08:00: 0.2800
2024-08-06 11:00: 0.5500
2024-08-06 15:00: 0.4450
2024-08-06 18:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-05-02 20:00: 0.3550
2024-05-03 01:00: 0.6450
2024-05-03 07:00: 0.3550
2024-05-03 12:00: 0.6450
2024-05-03 18:00: 0.3550
2024-05-03 23:00: 0.6450
2024-05-04 05:00: 0.3550
2024-05-04 10:00: 0.5500
2024-05-04 16:00: 0.4500
2024-05-04 21:00: 0.5500
2024-05-05 03:00: 0.3900
2024-05-05 08:00: 0.6150
2024-05-05 14:00: 0.3750
2024-05-05 19:00: 0.6250
2024-05-06 01:00: 0.3750
2024-05-06 06:00: 0.6300
2024-05-06 12:00: 0.3700
2024-05-06 17:00: 0.6300
2024-05-06 23:00: 0.3700
2024-05-07 04:00: 0.6300
2024-05-07 10:00: 0.3700
2024-05-07 15:00: 0.6300
2024-05-07 21:00: 0.3700
2024-05-08 02:00: 0.6350
2024-05-08 08:00: 0.3650
2024-05-08 13:00: 0.6350
2024-05-08 19:00: 0.3650
2024-05-09 00:00: 0.6350
2024-05-09 06:00: 0.3650
2024-05-09 11:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-05-10 05:00: 0.6350
2024-05-10 11:00: 0.3650
2024-05-10 16:00: 0.6350
2024-05-10 22:00: 0.3650
2024-05-11 03:00: 0.6350
2024-05-11 09:00: 0.3650
2024-05-11 14:00: 0.6350
2024-05-11 20:00: 0.3650
2024-05-12 01:00: 0.6350
2024-05-12 07:00: 0.3650
2024-05-12 12:00: 0.6350
2024-05-12 18:00: 0.3650
2024-05-12 23:00: 0.6350
2024-05-13 05:00: 0.3650
2024-05-13 10:00: 0.6350
2024-05-13 16:00: 0.3650
2024-05-13 21:00: 0.6350
2024-05-14 03:00: 0.3650
2024-05-14 08:00: 0.6350
2024-05-14 14:00: 0.3650
2024-05-14 19:00: 0.6350
2024-05-15 01:00: 0.3650
2024-05-15 06:00: 0.6350
2024-05-15 12:00: 0.3650
2024-05-15 17:00: 0.6350
2024-05-15 23:00: 0.3650
2024-05-16 04:00: 0.6350
2024-05-16 10:00: 0.3650
2024-05-16 15:00: 0.6350
2024-05-16 21:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-05-17 15:00: 0.3650
2024-05-17 20:00: 0.6350
2024-05-18 02:00: 0.3650
2024-05-18 07:00: 0.6350
2024-05-18 13:00: 0.3650
2024-05-18 18:00: 0.6350
2024-05-19 00:00: 0.3650
2024-05-19 05:00: 0.6350
2024-05-19 11:00: 0.3650
2024-05-19 16:00: 0.6350
2024-05-19 22:00: 0.3650
2024-05-20 03:00: 0.6350
2024-05-20 09:00: 0.3650
2024-05-20 14:00: 0.6350
2024-05-20 20:00: 0.3650
2024-05-21 01:00: 0.6350
2024-05-21 07:00: 0.3650
2024-05-21 12:00: 0.6350
2024-05-21 18:00: 0.3650
2024-05-21 23:00: 0.6350
2024-05-22 05:00: 0.3650
2024-05-22 10:00: 0.6350
2024-05-22 16:00: 0.3650
2024-05-22 21:00: 0.6350
2024-05-23 03:00: 0.3650
2024-05-23 08:00: 0.6350
2024-05-23 14:00: 0.3650
2024-05-23 19:00: 0.6350
2024-05-24 01:00: 0.3650
2024-05-24 06:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-05-25 00:00: 0.6350
2024-05-25 06:00: 0.3650
2024-05-25 11:00: 0.6350
2024-05-25 17:00: 0.3650
2024-05-25 22:00: 0.6350
2024-05-26 04:00: 0.3650
2024-05-26 09:00: 0.6350
2024-05-26 15:00: 0.3650
2024-05-26 20:00: 0.6350
2024-05-27 02:00: 0.3650
2024-05-27 07:00: 0.6350
2024-05-27 13:00: 0.3650
2024-05-27 18:00: 0.6350
2024-05-28 00:00: 0.3600
2024-05-28 05:00: 0.6400
2024-05-28 11:00: 0.3600
2024-05-28 16:00: 0.6400
2024-05-28 22:00: 0.3600
2024-05-29 03:00: 0.6400
2024-05-29 09:00: 0.3600
2024-05-29 14:00: 0.6400
2024-05-29 20:00: 0.3600
2024-05-30 01:00: 0.6400
2024-05-30 07:00: 0.3600
2024-05-30 12:00: 0.6400
2024-05-30 18:00: 0.3600
2024-05-30 23:00: 0.6400
2024-05-31 05:00: 0.3600
2024-05-31 10:00: 0.6400
2024-05-31 16:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-06-01 10:00: 0.3600
2024-06-01 15:00: 0.6400
2024-06-01 21:00: 0.3600
2024-06-02 02:00: 0.6400
2024-06-02 08:00: 0.3600
2024-06-02 13:00: 0.6400
2024-06-02 19:00: 0.3600
2024-06-03 00:00: 0.6400
2024-06-03 06:00: 0.3600
2024-06-03 11:00: 0.6350
2024-06-03 17:00: 0.3650
2024-06-03 22:00: 0.6350
2024-06-04 04:00: 0.3650
2024-06-04 09:00: 0.6350
2024-06-04 15:00: 0.3650
2024-06-04 20:00: 0.6400
2024-06-05 02:00: 0.3600
2024-06-05 07:00: 0.6400
2024-06-05 13:00: 0.3600
2024-06-05 18:00: 0.6400
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.3600
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.6400
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.3600
2024-06-06 16:00: 0.6400
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.3600
2024-06-07 03:00: 0.6400
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.3600
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.6400
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.3600
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-06-08 19:00: 0.6400
2024-06-09 01:00: 0.3600
2024-06-09 06:00: 0.6400
2024-06-09 12:00: 0.3600
2024-06-09 17:00: 0.6400
2024-06-09 23:00: 0.3600
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.6400
2024-06-10 10:00: 0.3600
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.6400
2024-06-10 21:00: 0.3600
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.6400
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.3600
2024-06-11 13:00: 0.6400
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.3600
2024-06-12 00:00: 0.6400
2024-06-12 06:00: 0.3600
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.6400
2024-06-12 17:00: 0.3600
2024-06-12 22:00: 0.6400
2024-06-13 04:00: 0.3600
2024-06-13 09:00: 0.6400
2024-06-13 15:00: 0.3600
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.6400
2024-06-14 02:00: 0.3600
2024-06-14 07:00: 0.6400
2024-06-14 13:00: 0.3600
2024-06-14 18:00: 0.6400
2024-06-15 00:00: 0.3600
2024-06-15 05:00: 0.6400
2024-06-15 11:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-06-16 05:00: 0.3600
2024-06-16 10:00: 0.6400
2024-06-16 16:00: 0.3600
2024-06-16 21:00: 0.6400
2024-06-17 03:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 08:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.5000
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.5000
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.5000
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.5000
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.5000
2024-06-18 17:00: 0.5000
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.5000
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.5000
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.5000
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.5000
2024-06-19 21:00: 0.4800
2024-06-20 02:00: 0.5200
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.4800
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.5200
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.4800
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.5200
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.4800
2024-06-21 11:00: 0.5200
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.4800
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.5950
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.4050
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.5950
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.4050
2024-06-22 20:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.6000
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.4000
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.6000
2024-06-24 07:00: 0.4000
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.6000
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.4000
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.6000
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.4000
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.6000
2024-06-25 16:00: 0.4000
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.6000
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.5400
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.6000
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.4000
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.5250
2024-06-27 01:00: 0.5950
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.4050
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.5950
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.4050
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.6950
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.3050
2024-06-28 10:00: 0.6950
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.3050
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.6950
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.3050
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.6950
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.3050
2024-06-29 19:00: 0.6950
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.3050
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.7000
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.3000
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.7000
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.3000
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.7000
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.3000
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.7000
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.3000
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.7000
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.3000
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.7000
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.3000
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.7000
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.3000
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.7000
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.3000
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.7000
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.3000
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.7000
2024-07-05 08:00: 0.3000
2024-07-05 14:00: 0.7000
2024-07-05 19:00: 0.3000
2024-07-06 01:00: 0.7000
2024-07-06 06:00: 0.3000
2024-07-06 12:00: 0.7000
2024-07-06 17:00: 0.3000
2024-07-06 23:00: 0.7000
2024-07-07 04:00: 0.3000
2024-07-07 10:00: 0.7000
2024-07-07 15:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-07-08 09:00: 0.3000
2024-07-08 15:00: 0.7000
2024-07-08 20:00: 0.3000
2024-07-09 02:00: 0.7000
2024-07-09 07:00: 0.3000
2024-07-09 13:00: 0.7000
2024-07-09 18:00: 0.3000
2024-07-10 00:00: 0.7000
2024-07-10 05:00: 0.3000
2024-07-10 11:00: 0.7000
2024-07-10 16:00: 0.3000
2024-07-10 22:00: 0.7000
2024-07-11 03:00: 0.3000
2024-07-11 09:00: 0.7000
2024-07-11 14:00: 0.3000
2024-07-11 20:00: 0.7000
2024-07-12 01:00: 0.3000
2024-07-12 07:00: 0.7000
2024-07-12 12:00: 0.3000
2024-07-12 18:00: 0.7000
2024-07-12 23:00: 0.3000
2024-07-13 05:00: 0.7000
2024-07-13 10:00: 0.3000
2024-07-13 16:00: 0.7000
2024-07-13 21:00: 0.3000
2024-07-14 03:00: 0.7000
2024-07-14 08:00: 0.3000
2024-07-14 14:00: 0.7000
2024-07-14 19:00: 0.3000
2024-07-15 01:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-07-15 19:00: 0.2550
2024-07-16 00:00: 0.7450
2024-07-16 06:00: 0.2750
2024-07-16 11:00: 0.7250
2024-07-16 17:00: 0.2750
2024-07-16 22:00: 0.7250
2024-07-17 04:00: 0.2750
2024-07-17 09:00: 0.7250
2024-07-17 15:00: 0.2750
2024-07-17 20:00: 0.7250
2024-07-18 02:00: 0.2750
2024-07-18 07:00: 0.7250
2024-07-18 13:00: 0.2750
2024-07-18 18:00: 0.7250
2024-07-19 00:00: 0.2750
2024-07-19 05:00: 0.7250
2024-07-19 11:00: 0.2750
2024-07-19 16:00: 0.7250
2024-07-19 22:00: 0.2750
2024-07-20 03:00: 0.7250
2024-07-20 09:00: 0.2750
2024-07-20 14:00: 0.7250
2024-07-20 20:00: 0.2750
2024-07-21 01:00: 0.7250
2024-07-21 07:00: 0.2750
2024-07-21 12:00: 0.7250
2024-07-21 19:00: 0.2550
2024-07-22 00:00: 0.7450
2024-07-22 06:00: 0.2050
2024-07-22 11:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-07-23 05:00: 0.7950
2024-07-23 11:00: 0.2050
2024-07-23 16:00: 0.7950
2024-07-23 22:00: 0.2050
2024-07-24 03:00: 0.7950
2024-07-24 09:00: 0.2050
2024-07-24 14:00: 0.7950
2024-07-24 20:00: 0.2050
2024-07-25 01:00: 0.7950
2024-07-25 07:00: 0.2050
2024-07-25 12:00: 0.7950
2024-07-25 18:00: 0.2050
2024-07-25 23:00: 0.7000
2024-07-26 05:00: 0.3000
2024-07-26 10:00: 0.7000
2024-07-26 16:00: 0.3000
2024-07-26 21:00: 0.5500
2024-07-27 03:00: 0.4500
2024-07-27 08:00: 0.5500
2024-07-27 14:00: 0.4500
2024-07-27 19:00: 0.6500
2024-07-28 01:00: 0.3500
2024-07-28 06:00: 0.6500
2024-07-28 12:00: 0.3500
2024-07-28 17:00: 0.6500
2024-07-28 23:00: 0.3500
2024-07-29 04:00: 0.6500
2024-07-29 10:00: 0.3650
2024-07-29 15:00: 0.6250
2024-07-29 21:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500753
Question: Will Cori Bush win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 76625.604917
Price History:
2024-07-30 15:00: 0.1950
2024-07-30 20:00: 0.7750
2024-07-31 02:00: 0.1250
2024-07-31 07:00: 0.8750
2024-07-31 13:00: 0.1700
2024-07-31 18:00: 0.8200
2024-08-01 00:00: 0.1800
2024-08-01 05:00: 0.8200
2024-08-01 11:00: 0.1800
2024-08-01 16:00: 0.8200
2024-08-01 22:00: 0.1750
2024-08-02 03:00: 0.8250
2024-08-02 09:00: 0.1750
2024-08-02 14:00: 0.8250
2024-08-02 20:00: 0.1750
2024-08-03 01:00: 0.8250
2024-08-03 07:00: 0.1750
2024-08-03 12:00: 0.8250
2024-08-03 18:00: 0.1750
2024-08-03 23:00: 0.8250
2024-08-04 05:00: 0.1800
2024-08-04 10:00: 0.8250
2024-08-04 16:00: 0.1750
2024-08-04 21:00: 0.8150
2024-08-05 03:00: 0.1850
2024-08-05 08:00: 0.8150
2024-08-05 14:00: 0.1850
2024-08-05 19:00: 0.8100
2024-08-06 01:00: 0.2800
2024-08-06 06:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-05-02 18:00: 0.5000
2024-05-02 21:00: 0.3550
2024-05-03 01:00: 0.6450
2024-05-03 04:00: 0.3550
2024-05-03 08:00: 0.6450
2024-05-03 11:00: 0.3550
2024-05-03 15:00: 0.6450
2024-05-03 18:00: 0.3550
2024-05-03 22:00: 0.6450
2024-05-04 01:00: 0.3550
2024-05-04 05:00: 0.6450
2024-05-04 08:00: 0.3600
2024-05-04 12:00: 0.6400
2024-05-04 15:00: 0.3600
2024-05-04 19:00: 0.6400
2024-05-04 22:00: 0.3600
2024-05-05 02:00: 0.6100
2024-05-05 05:00: 0.3850
2024-05-05 09:00: 0.6150
2024-05-05 12:00: 0.3850
2024-05-05 16:00: 0.6250
2024-05-05 19:00: 0.3750
2024-05-05 23:00: 0.6250
2024-05-06 02:00: 0.3750
2024-05-06 06:00: 0.6300
2024-05-06 09:00: 0.3700
2024-05-06 13:00: 0.6300
2024-05-06 16:00: 0.3700
2024-05-06 20:00: 0.6300
2024-05-06 23:00: 0.3700
2024-05-07 03:00: 0.6300
2024-05-07 06:00: 0.3700
2024-05-07 10:00: 0.6300
2024-05-07 13:00: 0.3700
2024-05-07 17:00: 0.6300
2024-05-07 20:00: 0.3700
2024-05-08 00:00: 0.6300
2024-05-08 03:00: 0.3700
2024-05-08 07:00: 0.6300
2024-05-08 10:00: 0.3700
2024-05-08 14:00: 0.6300
2024-05-08 17:00: 0.3700
2024-05-08 21:00: 0.6300
2024-05-09 00:00: 0.3700
2024-05-09 04:00: 0.6300
2024-05-09 07:00: 0.3700
2024-05-09 11:00: 0.6300
2024-05-09 14:00: 0.3700
2024-05-09 18:00: 0.6300
2024-05-09 21:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-05-10 03:00: 0.3700
2024-05-10 07:00: 0.6300
2024-05-10 10:00: 0.3700
2024-05-10 14:00: 0.6300
2024-05-10 17:00: 0.3700
2024-05-10 21:00: 0.6300
2024-05-11 00:00: 0.3700
2024-05-11 04:00: 0.6300
2024-05-11 07:00: 0.3700
2024-05-11 11:00: 0.6300
2024-05-11 14:00: 0.3700
2024-05-11 18:00: 0.6300
2024-05-11 21:00: 0.3700
2024-05-12 01:00: 0.6300
2024-05-12 04:00: 0.3700
2024-05-12 08:00: 0.6300
2024-05-12 11:00: 0.3700
2024-05-12 15:00: 0.6300
2024-05-12 18:00: 0.3700
2024-05-12 22:00: 0.6300
2024-05-13 01:00: 0.3700
2024-05-13 05:00: 0.6300
2024-05-13 08:00: 0.3700
2024-05-13 12:00: 0.6300
2024-05-13 15:00: 0.3700
2024-05-13 19:00: 0.6300
2024-05-13 22:00: 0.3700
2024-05-14 02:00: 0.6300
2024-05-14 05:00: 0.3700
2024-05-14 09:00: 0.6300
2024-05-14 12:00: 0.3700
2024-05-14 16:00: 0.6300
2024-05-14 19:00: 0.3700
2024-05-14 23:00: 0.6300
2024-05-15 02:00: 0.3700
2024-05-15 06:00: 0.6300
2024-05-15 09:00: 0.3700
2024-05-15 13:00: 0.6300
2024-05-15 16:00: 0.3700
2024-05-15 20:00: 0.6300
2024-05-15 23:00: 0.3700
2024-05-16 03:00: 0.6300
2024-05-16 06:00: 0.3700
2024-05-16 10:00: 0.6300
2024-05-16 13:00: 0.3700
2024-05-16 17:00: 0.6300
2024-05-16 20:00: 0.3700
2024-05-17 00:00: 0.6300
2024-05-17 03:00: 0.3700
2024-05-17 07:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-05-17 13:00: 0.6300
2024-05-17 16:00: 0.3700
2024-05-17 20:00: 0.6300
2024-05-17 23:00: 0.3700
2024-05-18 03:00: 0.6300
2024-05-18 06:00: 0.3700
2024-05-18 10:00: 0.6300
2024-05-18 13:00: 0.3700
2024-05-18 17:00: 0.6300
2024-05-18 20:00: 0.3700
2024-05-19 00:00: 0.6300
2024-05-19 03:00: 0.3700
2024-05-19 07:00: 0.6300
2024-05-19 10:00: 0.3700
2024-05-19 14:00: 0.6300
2024-05-19 17:00: 0.3700
2024-05-19 21:00: 0.6300
2024-05-20 00:00: 0.3700
2024-05-20 04:00: 0.6300
2024-05-20 07:00: 0.3700
2024-05-20 11:00: 0.6300
2024-05-20 14:00: 0.3700
2024-05-20 18:00: 0.6300
2024-05-20 21:00: 0.3700
2024-05-21 01:00: 0.6300
2024-05-21 04:00: 0.3700
2024-05-21 08:00: 0.6300
2024-05-21 11:00: 0.3700
2024-05-21 15:00: 0.6300
2024-05-21 18:00: 0.3700
2024-05-21 22:00: 0.6300
2024-05-22 01:00: 0.3700
2024-05-22 05:00: 0.6300
2024-05-22 08:00: 0.3700
2024-05-22 12:00: 0.6300
2024-05-22 15:00: 0.3700
2024-05-22 19:00: 0.6300
2024-05-22 22:00: 0.3700
2024-05-23 02:00: 0.6300
2024-05-23 05:00: 0.3700
2024-05-23 09:00: 0.6300
2024-05-23 12:00: 0.3700
2024-05-23 16:00: 0.6300
2024-05-23 19:00: 0.3700
2024-05-23 23:00: 0.6300
2024-05-24 02:00: 0.3700
2024-05-24 06:00: 0.6300
2024-05-24 09:00: 0.3700
2024-05-24 13:00: 0.6300
2024-05-24 16:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-05-24 22:00: 0.3700
2024-05-25 02:00: 0.6300
2024-05-25 05:00: 0.3700
2024-05-25 09:00: 0.6300
2024-05-25 12:00: 0.3700
2024-05-25 16:00: 0.6300
2024-05-25 19:00: 0.3700
2024-05-25 23:00: 0.6300
2024-05-26 02:00: 0.3700
2024-05-26 06:00: 0.6300
2024-05-26 09:00: 0.3700
2024-05-26 13:00: 0.6300
2024-05-26 16:00: 0.3700
2024-05-26 20:00: 0.6300
2024-05-26 23:00: 0.3700
2024-05-27 03:00: 0.6300
2024-05-27 06:00: 0.3700
2024-05-27 10:00: 0.6300
2024-05-27 13:00: 0.3700
2024-05-27 17:00: 0.6300
2024-05-27 20:00: 0.3700
2024-05-28 00:00: 0.6350
2024-05-28 03:00: 0.3650
2024-05-28 07:00: 0.6350
2024-05-28 10:00: 0.3650
2024-05-28 14:00: 0.6350
2024-05-28 17:00: 0.3650
2024-05-28 21:00: 0.6350
2024-05-29 00:00: 0.3650
2024-05-29 04:00: 0.6350
2024-05-29 07:00: 0.3650
2024-05-29 11:00: 0.6350
2024-05-29 14:00: 0.3650
2024-05-29 18:00: 0.6350
2024-05-29 21:00: 0.3650
2024-05-30 01:00: 0.6350
2024-05-30 04:00: 0.3650
2024-05-30 08:00: 0.6350
2024-05-30 11:00: 0.3650
2024-05-30 15:00: 0.6350
2024-05-30 18:00: 0.3650
2024-05-30 22:00: 0.6350
2024-05-31 01:00: 0.3650
2024-05-31 05:00: 0.6350
2024-05-31 08:00: 0.3650
2024-05-31 12:00: 0.6350
2024-05-31 15:00: 0.3650
2024-05-31 19:00: 0.6350
2024-05-31 22:00: 0.3650
2024-06-01 02:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-06-01 08:00: 0.6350
2024-06-01 11:00: 0.3650
2024-06-01 15:00: 0.6350
2024-06-01 18:00: 0.3650
2024-06-01 22:00: 0.6350
2024-06-02 01:00: 0.3650
2024-06-02 05:00: 0.6350
2024-06-02 08:00: 0.3650
2024-06-02 12:00: 0.6350
2024-06-02 15:00: 0.3650
2024-06-02 19:00: 0.6350
2024-06-02 22:00: 0.3650
2024-06-03 02:00: 0.6350
2024-06-03 05:00: 0.3650
2024-06-03 09:00: 0.6350
2024-06-03 12:00: 0.3700
2024-06-03 16:00: 0.6300
2024-06-03 19:00: 0.3700
2024-06-03 23:00: 0.6300
2024-06-04 02:00: 0.3700
2024-06-04 06:00: 0.6300
2024-06-04 09:00: 0.3700
2024-06-04 13:00: 0.6300
2024-06-04 16:00: 0.3700
2024-06-04 20:00: 0.6300
2024-06-04 23:00: 0.3700
2024-06-05 03:00: 0.6300
2024-06-05 06:00: 0.3700
2024-06-05 10:00: 0.6300
2024-06-05 13:00: 0.3700
2024-06-05 17:00: 0.6300
2024-06-05 20:00: 0.3700
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.6300
2024-06-06 03:00: 0.3700
2024-06-06 07:00: 0.6300
2024-06-06 10:00: 0.3700
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.6300
2024-06-06 17:00: 0.3700
2024-06-06 21:00: 0.6300
2024-06-07 00:00: 0.3700
2024-06-07 04:00: 0.6300
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.3700
2024-06-07 11:00: 0.6300
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.3700
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.6300
2024-06-07 21:00: 0.3700
2024-06-08 01:00: 0.6300
2024-06-08 04:00: 0.3700
2024-06-08 08:00: 0.6300
2024-06-08 11:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.3700
2024-06-08 21:00: 0.6300
2024-06-09 00:00: 0.3700
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.6300
2024-06-09 07:00: 0.3700
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.6300
2024-06-09 14:00: 0.3700
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.6300
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.3700
2024-06-10 01:00: 0.6300
2024-06-10 04:00: 0.3700
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.6300
2024-06-10 11:00: 0.3700
2024-06-10 15:00: 0.6300
2024-06-10 18:00: 0.3700
2024-06-10 22:00: 0.6300
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.3700
2024-06-11 05:00: 0.6300
2024-06-11 08:00: 0.3700
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.6300
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.3700
2024-06-11 19:00: 0.6300
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.3700
2024-06-12 02:00: 0.6300
2024-06-12 05:00: 0.3700
2024-06-12 09:00: 0.6300
2024-06-12 12:00: 0.3700
2024-06-12 16:00: 0.6300
2024-06-12 19:00: 0.3700
2024-06-12 23:00: 0.6300
2024-06-13 02:00: 0.3700
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.6300
2024-06-13 09:00: 0.3700
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.6300
2024-06-13 16:00: 0.3700
2024-06-13 20:00: 0.6300
2024-06-13 23:00: 0.3700
2024-06-14 03:00: 0.6300
2024-06-14 06:00: 0.3700
2024-06-14 10:00: 0.6300
2024-06-14 13:00: 0.3700
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.6300
2024-06-14 20:00: 0.3750
2024-06-15 00:00: 0.6250
2024-06-15 03:00: 0.3750
2024-06-15 07:00: 0.6250
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.3750
2024-06-15 14:00: 0.6250
2024-06-15 17:00: 0.3750
2024-06-15 21:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-06-16 03:00: 0.6250
2024-06-16 06:00: 0.3750
2024-06-16 10:00: 0.6250
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.3750
2024-06-16 17:00: 0.6250
2024-06-16 20:00: 0.3750
2024-06-17 00:00: 0.4950
2024-06-17 03:00: 0.5050
2024-06-17 07:00: 0.4950
2024-06-17 10:00: 0.5050
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.4950
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.5050
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.4950
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.5050
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.4950
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.5050
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.4950
2024-06-18 14:00: 0.5050
2024-06-18 18:00: 0.4950
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.5050
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.4950
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.5050
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.4950
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.5050
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.4950
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.5050
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.5200
2024-06-20 01:00: 0.4800
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.5200
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.4800
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.5200
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.4800
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.5200
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.4800
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.5200
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.4800
2024-06-21 09:00: 0.5200
2024-06-21 12:00: 0.4800
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.5200
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.4800
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.5200
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.4800
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.5200
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.4800
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.5200
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.4800
2024-06-22 20:00: 0.5200
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.4800
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.7700
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.2300
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.7700
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.2300
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.7700
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.2300
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.7700
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.2300
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.7700
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.2300
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.7700
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.2300
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.7700
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.2300
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.7700
2024-06-25 13:00: 0.2300
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.7700
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.2300
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.6300
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.3700
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.7700
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.2300
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.7700
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.2300
2024-06-26 21:00: 0.6500
2024-06-27 00:00: 0.3500
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.6500
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.3500
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.6500
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.3500
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.6500
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.4750
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.5250
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.4750
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.5250
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.4750
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.5250
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.4750
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.5250
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.4750
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.5250
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.4750
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.5250
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.4750
2024-06-29 19:00: 0.5250
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.4750
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.5250
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.7000
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.3000
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.7000
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.3000
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.7000
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.3000
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.7000
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.3000
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.7000
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.3000
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.7000
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.3000
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.7000
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.3000
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.7000
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.3000
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.7000
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.3000
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.7000
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.3000
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.7000
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.3000
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.7000
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.3000
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.7000
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.3000
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.7000
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.3000
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.7000
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.3000
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.7000
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.3000
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.7000
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.3000
2024-07-05 10:00: 0.7000
2024-07-05 14:00: 0.3000
2024-07-05 17:00: 0.7000
2024-07-05 21:00: 0.3000
2024-07-06 00:00: 0.7000
2024-07-06 04:00: 0.3000
2024-07-06 07:00: 0.7000
2024-07-06 11:00: 0.3000
2024-07-06 14:00: 0.7000
2024-07-06 18:00: 0.3000
2024-07-06 21:00: 0.7000
2024-07-07 01:00: 0.3000
2024-07-07 04:00: 0.7000
2024-07-07 08:00: 0.3000
2024-07-07 11:00: 0.7000
2024-07-07 15:00: 0.3000
2024-07-07 18:00: 0.7000
2024-07-07 22:00: 0.3000
2024-07-08 01:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-07-08 07:00: 0.7000
2024-07-08 11:00: 0.3000
2024-07-08 14:00: 0.7000
2024-07-08 18:00: 0.3000
2024-07-08 21:00: 0.7000
2024-07-09 01:00: 0.3000
2024-07-09 04:00: 0.7000
2024-07-09 08:00: 0.3000
2024-07-09 11:00: 0.7000
2024-07-09 15:00: 0.3000
2024-07-09 18:00: 0.7000
2024-07-09 22:00: 0.3000
2024-07-10 01:00: 0.7000
2024-07-10 05:00: 0.3000
2024-07-10 08:00: 0.7000
2024-07-10 12:00: 0.3000
2024-07-10 15:00: 0.7000
2024-07-10 19:00: 0.3000
2024-07-10 22:00: 0.7000
2024-07-11 02:00: 0.3000
2024-07-11 05:00: 0.7000
2024-07-11 09:00: 0.3000
2024-07-11 12:00: 0.7000
2024-07-11 16:00: 0.3000
2024-07-11 19:00: 0.7000
2024-07-11 23:00: 0.3000
2024-07-12 02:00: 0.7000
2024-07-12 06:00: 0.3000
2024-07-12 09:00: 0.7000
2024-07-12 13:00: 0.3000
2024-07-12 16:00: 0.7000
2024-07-12 20:00: 0.3000
2024-07-12 23:00: 0.7000
2024-07-13 03:00: 0.3000
2024-07-13 06:00: 0.7000
2024-07-13 10:00: 0.3000
2024-07-13 13:00: 0.7000
2024-07-13 17:00: 0.3000
2024-07-13 20:00: 0.7000
2024-07-14 00:00: 0.3000
2024-07-14 03:00: 0.7000
2024-07-14 07:00: 0.3000
2024-07-14 10:00: 0.7000
2024-07-14 14:00: 0.3000
2024-07-14 17:00: 0.7000
2024-07-14 21:00: 0.4000
2024-07-15 00:00: 0.6000
2024-07-15 04:00: 0.4000
2024-07-15 07:00: 0.6000
2024-07-15 11:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-07-15 17:00: 0.4750
2024-07-15 20:00: 0.5250
2024-07-16 00:00: 0.4750
2024-07-16 03:00: 0.5250
2024-07-16 07:00: 0.4750
2024-07-16 10:00: 0.5250
2024-07-16 14:00: 0.4750
2024-07-16 17:00: 0.5250
2024-07-16 21:00: 0.4750
2024-07-17 00:00: 0.5250
2024-07-17 04:00: 0.4750
2024-07-17 07:00: 0.5250
2024-07-17 11:00: 0.4750
2024-07-17 14:00: 0.5250
2024-07-17 18:00: 0.4750
2024-07-17 21:00: 0.5250
2024-07-18 01:00: 0.4750
2024-07-18 04:00: 0.5250
2024-07-18 08:00: 0.4750
2024-07-18 11:00: 0.5250
2024-07-18 15:00: 0.4750
2024-07-18 18:00: 0.5250
2024-07-18 22:00: 0.6800
2024-07-19 01:00: 0.3200
2024-07-19 05:00: 0.6800
2024-07-19 08:00: 0.3200
2024-07-19 12:00: 0.6800
2024-07-19 15:00: 0.3200
2024-07-19 19:00: 0.6800
2024-07-19 22:00: 0.3200
2024-07-20 02:00: 0.6800
2024-07-20 05:00: 0.3200
2024-07-20 09:00: 0.7650
2024-07-20 12:00: 0.2350
2024-07-20 16:00: 0.7650
2024-07-20 19:00: 0.2350
2024-07-20 23:00: 0.7650
2024-07-21 02:00: 0.2350
2024-07-21 06:00: 0.7650
2024-07-21 09:00: 0.2350
2024-07-21 13:00: 0.7650
2024-07-21 17:00: 0.2350
2024-07-21 21:00: 0.7650
2024-07-22 00:00: 0.2350
2024-07-22 04:00: 0.7650
2024-07-22 07:00: 0.2350
2024-07-22 11:00: 0.7650
2024-07-22 14:00: 0.2350
2024-07-22 18:00: 0.7650
2024-07-22 21:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-07-23 03:00: 0.2350
2024-07-23 07:00: 0.7650
2024-07-23 10:00: 0.2350
2024-07-23 14:00: 0.7650
2024-07-23 17:00: 0.2350
2024-07-23 21:00: 0.7650
2024-07-24 00:00: 0.2350
2024-07-24 04:00: 0.7650
2024-07-24 07:00: 0.2350
2024-07-24 11:00: 0.7650
2024-07-24 14:00: 0.2350
2024-07-24 18:00: 0.7650
2024-07-24 21:00: 0.2350
2024-07-25 01:00: 0.7650
2024-07-25 04:00: 0.2350
2024-07-25 08:00: 0.7650
2024-07-25 11:00: 0.2350
2024-07-25 15:00: 0.7650
2024-07-25 18:00: 0.2350
2024-07-25 22:00: 0.7150
2024-07-26 01:00: 0.2850
2024-07-26 05:00: 0.7150
2024-07-26 08:00: 0.2850
2024-07-26 12:00: 0.7150
2024-07-26 15:00: 0.2850
2024-07-26 19:00: 0.7650
2024-07-26 22:00: 0.4000
2024-07-27 02:00: 0.6000
2024-07-27 05:00: 0.4250
2024-07-27 09:00: 0.5750
2024-07-27 12:00: 0.4250
2024-07-27 16:00: 0.6750
2024-07-27 19:00: 0.3250
2024-07-27 23:00: 0.6750
2024-07-28 02:00: 0.3250
2024-07-28 06:00: 0.6750
2024-07-28 09:00: 0.3250
2024-07-28 13:00: 0.6750
2024-07-28 16:00: 0.3250
2024-07-28 20:00: 0.6750
2024-07-28 23:00: 0.3250
2024-07-29 03:00: 0.6750
2024-07-29 06:00: 0.3250
2024-07-29 10:00: 0.6750
2024-07-29 13:00: 0.3250
2024-07-29 17:00: 0.6550
2024-07-29 20:00: 0.2350
2024-07-30 00:00: 0.7650
2024-07-30 03:00: 0.2350
2024-07-30 07:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-07-30 13:00: 0.7650
2024-07-30 16:00: 0.2350
2024-07-30 20:00: 0.7750
2024-07-30 23:00: 0.1450
2024-07-31 03:00: 0.8500
2024-07-31 06:00: 0.1500
2024-07-31 10:00: 0.4250
2024-07-31 13:00: 0.1900
2024-07-31 17:00: 0.7850
2024-07-31 20:00: 0.2150
2024-08-01 00:00: 0.7850
2024-08-01 03:00: 0.2150
2024-08-01 07:00: 0.7850
2024-08-01 10:00: 0.2150
2024-08-01 14:00: 0.8050
2024-08-01 17:00: 0.1700
2024-08-01 21:00: 0.8300
2024-08-02 00:00: 0.1750
2024-08-02 04:00: 0.8250
2024-08-02 07:00: 0.1750
2024-08-02 11:00: 0.8250
2024-08-02 14:00: 0.1750
2024-08-02 18:00: 0.8250
2024-08-02 21:00: 0.1750
2024-08-03 01:00: 0.8250
2024-08-03 04:00: 0.1750
2024-08-03 08:00: 0.8250
2024-08-03 11:00: 0.1750
2024-08-03 15:00: 0.8150
2024-08-03 18:00: 0.1850
2024-08-03 22:00: 0.8150
2024-08-04 01:00: 0.1850
2024-08-04 05:00: 0.8150
2024-08-04 08:00: 0.1850
2024-08-04 12:00: 0.8150
2024-08-04 15:00: 0.1850
2024-08-04 19:00: 0.8100
2024-08-04 22:00: 0.1900
2024-08-05 02:00: 0.5100
2024-08-05 05:00: 0.1900
2024-08-05 09:00: 0.8100
2024-08-05 12:00: 0.1900
2024-08-05 16:00: 0.8100
2024-08-05 19:00: 0.1900
2024-08-05 23:00: 0.7050
2024-08-06 02:00: 0.2900
2024-08-06 06:00: 0.7150
2024-08-06 09:00: 0.2850
2024-08-06 13:00: 0.7150
2024-08-06 16:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-05-02 18:00: 0.5000
2024-05-02 23:00: 0.3550
2024-05-03 05:00: 0.6450
2024-05-03 10:00: 0.3550
2024-05-03 16:00: 0.6450
2024-05-03 21:00: 0.3550
2024-05-04 03:00: 0.6450
2024-05-04 08:00: 0.3600
2024-05-04 14:00: 0.6400
2024-05-04 19:00: 0.3600
2024-05-05 01:00: 0.6400
2024-05-05 06:00: 0.3850
2024-05-05 12:00: 0.6150
2024-05-05 17:00: 0.3750
2024-05-05 23:00: 0.6250
2024-05-06 04:00: 0.3700
2024-05-06 10:00: 0.6300
2024-05-06 15:00: 0.3700
2024-05-06 21:00: 0.6300
2024-05-07 02:00: 0.3700
2024-05-07 08:00: 0.6300
2024-05-07 13:00: 0.3700
2024-05-07 19:00: 0.6300
2024-05-08 00:00: 0.3700
2024-05-08 06:00: 0.6300
2024-05-08 11:00: 0.3700
2024-05-08 17:00: 0.6300
2024-05-08 22:00: 0.3700
2024-05-09 04:00: 0.6300
2024-05-09 09:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-05-10 03:00: 0.3700
2024-05-10 09:00: 0.6300
2024-05-10 14:00: 0.3700
2024-05-10 20:00: 0.6300
2024-05-11 01:00: 0.3700
2024-05-11 07:00: 0.6300
2024-05-11 12:00: 0.3700
2024-05-11 18:00: 0.6300
2024-05-11 23:00: 0.3700
2024-05-12 05:00: 0.6300
2024-05-12 10:00: 0.3700
2024-05-12 16:00: 0.6300
2024-05-12 21:00: 0.3700
2024-05-13 03:00: 0.6300
2024-05-13 08:00: 0.3700
2024-05-13 14:00: 0.6300
2024-05-13 19:00: 0.3700
2024-05-14 01:00: 0.6300
2024-05-14 06:00: 0.3700
2024-05-14 12:00: 0.6300
2024-05-14 17:00: 0.3700
2024-05-14 23:00: 0.6300
2024-05-15 04:00: 0.3700
2024-05-15 10:00: 0.6300
2024-05-15 15:00: 0.3700
2024-05-15 21:00: 0.6300
2024-05-16 02:00: 0.3700
2024-05-16 08:00: 0.6300
2024-05-16 13:00: 0.3700
2024-05-16 19:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-05-17 13:00: 0.6300
2024-05-17 18:00: 0.3700
2024-05-18 00:00: 0.6300
2024-05-18 05:00: 0.3700
2024-05-18 11:00: 0.6300
2024-05-18 16:00: 0.3700
2024-05-18 22:00: 0.6300
2024-05-19 03:00: 0.3700
2024-05-19 09:00: 0.6300
2024-05-19 14:00: 0.3700
2024-05-19 20:00: 0.6300
2024-05-20 01:00: 0.3700
2024-05-20 07:00: 0.6300
2024-05-20 12:00: 0.3700
2024-05-20 18:00: 0.6300
2024-05-20 23:00: 0.3700
2024-05-21 05:00: 0.6300
2024-05-21 10:00: 0.3700
2024-05-21 16:00: 0.6300
2024-05-21 21:00: 0.3700
2024-05-22 03:00: 0.6300
2024-05-22 08:00: 0.3700
2024-05-22 14:00: 0.6300
2024-05-22 19:00: 0.3700
2024-05-23 01:00: 0.6300
2024-05-23 06:00: 0.3700
2024-05-23 12:00: 0.6300
2024-05-23 17:00: 0.3700
2024-05-23 23:00: 0.6300
2024-05-24 04:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-05-24 22:00: 0.3700
2024-05-25 04:00: 0.6300
2024-05-25 09:00: 0.3700
2024-05-25 15:00: 0.6300
2024-05-25 20:00: 0.3700
2024-05-26 02:00: 0.6300
2024-05-26 07:00: 0.3700
2024-05-26 13:00: 0.6300
2024-05-26 18:00: 0.3700
2024-05-27 00:00: 0.6300
2024-05-27 05:00: 0.3700
2024-05-27 11:00: 0.6300
2024-05-27 16:00: 0.3700
2024-05-27 22:00: 0.6350
2024-05-28 03:00: 0.3650
2024-05-28 09:00: 0.6350
2024-05-28 14:00: 0.3650
2024-05-28 20:00: 0.6350
2024-05-29 01:00: 0.3650
2024-05-29 07:00: 0.6350
2024-05-29 12:00: 0.3650
2024-05-29 18:00: 0.6350
2024-05-29 23:00: 0.3650
2024-05-30 05:00: 0.6350
2024-05-30 10:00: 0.3650
2024-05-30 16:00: 0.6350
2024-05-30 21:00: 0.3650
2024-05-31 03:00: 0.6350
2024-05-31 08:00: 0.3650
2024-05-31 14:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-06-01 08:00: 0.6350
2024-06-01 13:00: 0.3650
2024-06-01 19:00: 0.6350
2024-06-02 00:00: 0.3650
2024-06-02 06:00: 0.6350
2024-06-02 11:00: 0.3650
2024-06-02 17:00: 0.6350
2024-06-02 22:00: 0.3650
2024-06-03 04:00: 0.6350
2024-06-03 09:00: 0.3650
2024-06-03 15:00: 0.6300
2024-06-03 20:00: 0.3700
2024-06-04 02:00: 0.6300
2024-06-04 07:00: 0.3700
2024-06-04 13:00: 0.6300
2024-06-04 18:00: 0.3700
2024-06-05 00:00: 0.6300
2024-06-05 05:00: 0.3700
2024-06-05 11:00: 0.6300
2024-06-05 16:00: 0.3700
2024-06-05 22:00: 0.6300
2024-06-06 03:00: 0.3700
2024-06-06 09:00: 0.6300
2024-06-06 14:00: 0.3700
2024-06-06 20:00: 0.6300
2024-06-07 01:00: 0.3700
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.6300
2024-06-07 12:00: 0.3700
2024-06-07 18:00: 0.6300
2024-06-07 23:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-06-08 17:00: 0.3700
2024-06-08 23:00: 0.6300
2024-06-09 04:00: 0.3700
2024-06-09 10:00: 0.6300
2024-06-09 15:00: 0.3700
2024-06-09 21:00: 0.6300
2024-06-10 02:00: 0.3700
2024-06-10 08:00: 0.6300
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.3700
2024-06-10 19:00: 0.6300
2024-06-11 00:00: 0.3700
2024-06-11 06:00: 0.6300
2024-06-11 11:00: 0.3700
2024-06-11 17:00: 0.6300
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.3700
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.6300
2024-06-12 09:00: 0.3700
2024-06-12 15:00: 0.6300
2024-06-12 20:00: 0.3700
2024-06-13 02:00: 0.6300
2024-06-13 07:00: 0.3700
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.6300
2024-06-13 18:00: 0.3700
2024-06-14 00:00: 0.6300
2024-06-14 05:00: 0.3700
2024-06-14 11:00: 0.6300
2024-06-14 16:00: 0.3700
2024-06-14 22:00: 0.6250
2024-06-15 03:00: 0.3750
2024-06-15 09:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-06-16 03:00: 0.6250
2024-06-16 08:00: 0.3750
2024-06-16 14:00: 0.6250
2024-06-16 19:00: 0.3750
2024-06-17 01:00: 0.4950
2024-06-17 06:00: 0.5050
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.4950
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.5050
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.4950
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.5050
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.4950
2024-06-18 15:00: 0.5050
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.4950
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.5050
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.4950
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.5050
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.4950
2024-06-20 00:00: 0.4800
2024-06-20 06:00: 0.5200
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.4800
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.5200
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.4800
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.5200
2024-06-21 09:00: 0.4800
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.5200
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.4800
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.5200
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.4800
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.5200
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.2300
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.7700
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.2300
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.7700
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.2300
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.7700
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.2300
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.7700
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.2300
2024-06-25 14:00: 0.7700
2024-06-25 19:00: 0.2300
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.6300
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.2300
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.7700
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.2300
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.6500
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.3500
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.6500
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.3500
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.5250
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.4750
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.5250
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.4750
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.5250
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.4750
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.5250
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.4750
2024-06-29 17:00: 0.5250
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.4750
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.3000
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.7000
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.3000
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.7000
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.3000
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.7000
2024-07-02 07:00: 0.3000
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.7000
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.3000
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.7000
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.3000
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.7000
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.3000
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.7000
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.3000
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.7000
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.3000
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.7000
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.3000
2024-07-05 06:00: 0.7000
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.3000
2024-07-05 17:00: 0.7000
2024-07-05 23:00: 0.3000
2024-07-06 04:00: 0.7000
2024-07-06 10:00: 0.3000
2024-07-06 15:00: 0.7000
2024-07-06 21:00: 0.3000
2024-07-07 02:00: 0.7000
2024-07-07 08:00: 0.3000
2024-07-07 13:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-07-08 07:00: 0.7000
2024-07-08 13:00: 0.3000
2024-07-08 18:00: 0.7000
2024-07-09 00:00: 0.3000
2024-07-09 05:00: 0.7000
2024-07-09 11:00: 0.3000
2024-07-09 16:00: 0.7000
2024-07-09 22:00: 0.3000
2024-07-10 03:00: 0.7000
2024-07-10 09:00: 0.3000
2024-07-10 14:00: 0.7000
2024-07-10 20:00: 0.3000
2024-07-11 01:00: 0.7000
2024-07-11 07:00: 0.3000
2024-07-11 12:00: 0.7000
2024-07-11 18:00: 0.3000
2024-07-11 23:00: 0.7000
2024-07-12 05:00: 0.3000
2024-07-12 10:00: 0.7000
2024-07-12 16:00: 0.3000
2024-07-12 21:00: 0.7000
2024-07-13 03:00: 0.3000
2024-07-13 08:00: 0.7000
2024-07-13 14:00: 0.3000
2024-07-13 19:00: 0.7000
2024-07-14 01:00: 0.3000
2024-07-14 06:00: 0.7000
2024-07-14 12:00: 0.3000
2024-07-14 17:00: 0.7000
2024-07-14 23:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-07-15 17:00: 0.4750
2024-07-15 22:00: 0.5250
2024-07-16 04:00: 0.4750
2024-07-16 09:00: 0.5250
2024-07-16 15:00: 0.4750
2024-07-16 20:00: 0.5250
2024-07-17 02:00: 0.4750
2024-07-17 07:00: 0.5250
2024-07-17 13:00: 0.4750
2024-07-17 18:00: 0.5250
2024-07-18 00:00: 0.4750
2024-07-18 05:00: 0.5250
2024-07-18 11:00: 0.4750
2024-07-18 16:00: 0.5250
2024-07-18 22:00: 0.6800
2024-07-19 03:00: 0.3200
2024-07-19 09:00: 0.6800
2024-07-19 14:00: 0.3200
2024-07-19 20:00: 0.6800
2024-07-20 01:00: 0.3200
2024-07-20 07:00: 0.7650
2024-07-20 12:00: 0.2350
2024-07-20 18:00: 0.7650
2024-07-20 23:00: 0.2350
2024-07-21 05:00: 0.7650
2024-07-21 10:00: 0.2350
2024-07-21 17:00: 0.7650
2024-07-21 22:00: 0.2350
2024-07-22 04:00: 0.7650
2024-07-22 09:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-07-23 03:00: 0.2350
2024-07-23 09:00: 0.7650
2024-07-23 14:00: 0.2350
2024-07-23 20:00: 0.7650
2024-07-24 01:00: 0.2350
2024-07-24 07:00: 0.7650
2024-07-24 12:00: 0.2350
2024-07-24 18:00: 0.7650
2024-07-24 23:00: 0.2350
2024-07-25 05:00: 0.7650
2024-07-25 10:00: 0.2350
2024-07-25 16:00: 0.7650
2024-07-25 21:00: 0.2850
2024-07-26 03:00: 0.7150
2024-07-26 08:00: 0.2850
2024-07-26 14:00: 0.7150
2024-07-26 19:00: 0.2350
2024-07-27 01:00: 0.6000
2024-07-27 06:00: 0.4250
2024-07-27 12:00: 0.5750
2024-07-27 17:00: 0.3250
2024-07-27 23:00: 0.6750
2024-07-28 04:00: 0.3250
2024-07-28 10:00: 0.6750
2024-07-28 15:00: 0.3250
2024-07-28 21:00: 0.6750
2024-07-29 02:00: 0.3250
2024-07-29 08:00: 0.6750
2024-07-29 13:00: 0.3250
2024-07-29 19:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500754
Question: Will Wesley Bell win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 46338.288644
Price History:
2024-07-30 13:00: 0.7650
2024-07-30 18:00: 0.2350
2024-07-31 00:00: 0.8700
2024-07-31 05:00: 0.1500
2024-07-31 11:00: 0.4300
2024-07-31 16:00: 0.2150
2024-07-31 22:00: 0.7850
2024-08-01 03:00: 0.2150
2024-08-01 09:00: 0.7850
2024-08-01 14:00: 0.1950
2024-08-01 20:00: 0.8300
2024-08-02 01:00: 0.1750
2024-08-02 07:00: 0.8250
2024-08-02 12:00: 0.1750
2024-08-02 18:00: 0.8250
2024-08-02 23:00: 0.1750
2024-08-03 05:00: 0.8250
2024-08-03 10:00: 0.1750
2024-08-03 16:00: 0.8150
2024-08-03 21:00: 0.1850
2024-08-04 03:00: 0.8150
2024-08-04 08:00: 0.1850
2024-08-04 14:00: 0.8150
2024-08-04 19:00: 0.1900
2024-08-05 01:00: 0.4100
2024-08-05 06:00: 0.1900
2024-08-05 12:00: 0.8100
2024-08-05 17:00: 0.1900
2024-08-05 23:00: 0.7050
2024-08-06 04:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes