Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.6750
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.3250
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4950
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.5050
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5050
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5950
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4050
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5950
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4050
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4000
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.6050
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 249.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539775
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "China" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1023.142754
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.3900
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.6100
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.3900
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.6100
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.3900
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.6100
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.3900
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.6100
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 325.60, Sell volume: 90.00, Average price: 0.6528, Price range: 0.4330 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5550
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4450
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5550
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4450
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5550
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4450
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5550
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4450
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5550
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6500
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.3500
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.6650
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.3350
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.6650
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.3350
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 41.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7400, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.6850
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3150
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.6850
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.3150
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.6850
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.3150
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.6850
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.3150
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.4450
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.5550
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.4450
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2655.44, Sell volume: 496.72, Average price: 0.4771, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3200
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.6800
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3200
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.6800
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3200
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6800
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.3200
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.6700
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3300
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.7650
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.2350
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.8000
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2000
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.8100
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.1900
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.8200
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.1800
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.8250
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1750
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8705
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1295
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9595
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9490
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0510
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0365
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9940
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.8450
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.6805
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.3195
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.8760
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.1240
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.8825
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1175
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.6850
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.6975
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.3025
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.7050
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.2950
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.8450
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.1550
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.8570
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1207.85, Sell volume: 195.00, Average price: 0.4843, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.1370
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.8520
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1480
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8575
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1425
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8395
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1605
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8395
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.1605
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.8145
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.1855
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.8490
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.1510
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.8370
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.1630
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.8405
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.1595
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.8405
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1595
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.8405
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.1595
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.8440
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.1560
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.8440
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.1560
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.8445
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.1555
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.8445
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.1555
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.5285
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.4715
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.5285
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.4715
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.5285
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.4715
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.5285
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.4715
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.5285
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.4715
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.5285
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.4715
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.5285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 190.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3513, Price range: 0.2423 - 0.9310

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.5990
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.4010
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7185
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2815
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.7180
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2820
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7175
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2825
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.6005
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.3995
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.6005
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.3995
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.6005
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.3995
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.6005
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.3995
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.6005
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.3995
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.6005
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.3995
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.6005
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.3995
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.6005
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.3995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.48, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.3995
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.6010
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3990
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.6010
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3990
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6060
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3940
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.6060
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3940
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6060
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3940
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.6070
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.3930
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.7320
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.2680
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.7320
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.2680
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.7320
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.2680
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.7320
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.2680
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.7320
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2680
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.7320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3.68, Sell volume: 56.48, Average price: 0.5430, Price range: 0.3008 - 0.8143

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7320
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2680
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.7320
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2680
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.7320
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2680
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.6320
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3680
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6320
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.3680
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.6320
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.3680
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.6320
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.3680
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.6320
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.3680
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.6320
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.3680
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6325
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.3675
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6325
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3675
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6325
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3675
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6325
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3675
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6325
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3675
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.6325
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3675
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.6325
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.3675
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.6325
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.3675
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.6325
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.3675
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.6325
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.3675
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.7000
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2655.44, Sell volume: 496.72, Average price: 0.4771, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.3000
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.7000
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.3000
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.7000
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.3000
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.7000
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.3000
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.7000
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.3000
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.7000
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.3000
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.7000
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.3000
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2655.44, Sell volume: 496.72, Average price: 0.4771, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.7000
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.3000
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.7000
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.3000
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.7000
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.3000
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.8000
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2000
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.8000
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2000
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.7740
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.2260
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7740
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.2260
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.7800
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 6.33, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7795
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.2205
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.8000
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2000
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.8000
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.2000
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.8150
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1850
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.8150
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.1850
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.8150
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.1850
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.8150
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.1850
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.8150
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.1850
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7900
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 120.00, Sell volume: 5.15, Average price: 0.5367, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7995
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2005
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.7260
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2740
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7260
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2740
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7260
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2740
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7260
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2740
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7295
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2705
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7260
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2740
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.7445
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.2555
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7440
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.2560
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.7450
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.7450
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2550
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7450
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.7100
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.2900
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.7100
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.2900
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.7100
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.2900
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7100
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.2900
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.7100
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.2900
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.7100
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2655.44, Sell volume: 496.72, Average price: 0.4771, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2900
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.7090
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.2910
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2250
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7505
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.2495
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.7495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 170.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3980, Price range: 0.3980 - 0.3980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.2505
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.7745
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2255
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.7745
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.2255
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.7745
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.2255
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.7745
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2255
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.7740
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.2260
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.7490
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.2510
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.7490
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.2510
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.7490
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.2510
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.7495
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.2505
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.7055
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.2945
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.7505
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.2495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 915.53, Sell volume: 237.61, Average price: 0.5203, Price range: 0.1520 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5550
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4450
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5550
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4450
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5550
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4450
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5550
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4450
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5550
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6500
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.3500
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.6450
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.6650
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.3350
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.6650
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 41.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7400, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3250
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6750
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2655.44, Sell volume: 496.72, Average price: 0.4771, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3200
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.6800
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3200
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.6800
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3200
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6800
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.3200
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.6700
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3300
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.7650
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.2350
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.8000
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2000
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.8100
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.1900
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.8200
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.1800
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.8250
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1750
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8705
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1295
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9595
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9490
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0510
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1207.85, Sell volume: 195.00, Average price: 0.4843, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.1370
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.8520
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1480
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8575
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1425
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8395
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1605
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8395
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.1605
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.8145
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.1855
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.8500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.8490
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.1510
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.8370
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.1630
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.8405
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.1595
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.8405
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1595
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.8405
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.1595
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.8440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 190.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3513, Price range: 0.2423 - 0.9310
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.5990
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.4010
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5995
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.4005
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7185
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.48, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.3995
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.6010
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3990
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.6010
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3990
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6060
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3940
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.6060
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3940
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6060
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3940
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6065
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3935
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.6065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3.68, Sell volume: 56.48, Average price: 0.5430, Price range: 0.3008 - 0.8143
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7320
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2680
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.7320
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2680
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.7320
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2680
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.6320
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3680
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6320
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.3680
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.6320
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.3680
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.6320
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.3680
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.6320
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.3680
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.6320
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.3680
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6325
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.3675
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6325
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3675
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6325
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3675
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6325
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3675
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6325
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3675
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.6325
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2655.44, Sell volume: 496.72, Average price: 0.4771, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.7000
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3000
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2655.44, Sell volume: 496.72, Average price: 0.4771, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.7000
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.3000
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.7000
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.3000
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.7000
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.3000
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.8000
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2000
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.8000
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2000
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.7740
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.2260
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7740
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.2260
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.2250
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.7750
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 6.33, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7795
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.2205
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.7800
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.2200
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.8000
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2000
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.8000
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.2000
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.8150
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1850
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.8150
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.1850
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.8150
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.1850
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.8150
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.1850
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.8150
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.1850
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 120.00, Sell volume: 5.15, Average price: 0.5367, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7900
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2100
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7995
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2005
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.7260
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2740
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7260
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2740
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7260
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2740
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7260
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2740
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7295
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2705
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.2700
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7260
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2740
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.7445
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.2555
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7440
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.2560
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.7450
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.7450
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2550
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7450
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.2550
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.7450
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 2655.44, Sell volume: 496.72, Average price: 0.4771, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2900
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.7090
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.2910
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.7750
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2250
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7505
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.2495
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 170.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3980, Price range: 0.3980 - 0.3980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539776
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Executive order" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3152.172919
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.2505
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.7495
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.2505
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.7745
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2255
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.7745
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.2255
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.7745
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.2255
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.7745
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 915.53, Sell volume: 237.61, Average price: 0.5203, Price range: 0.1520 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5050
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5050
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4950
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5650
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4350
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5900
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.4100
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.5900
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.4100
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.5900
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.4100
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.5900
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.4100
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.4150
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.4150
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.4150
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.4150
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.4150
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.4150
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.4150
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.4150
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.7600
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.2400
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6857, Price range: 0.6857 - 0.6857

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7250
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.2750
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.7250
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.7250
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.7300
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.2700
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.7150
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.2850
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.7000
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3000
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.6800
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.3200
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.6650
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.3350
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6600
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.3400
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9495
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0505
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9530
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0470
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5725
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.4275
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.6700
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.3300
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.6150
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.3850
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.6100
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.3900
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.5690
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.4310
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.5690
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.4310
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.5690
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.4310
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.6525
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.3475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1562.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6150, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5680
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.4320
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6240
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3760
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.6490
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3510
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6490
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3510
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6490
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3510
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.6530
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.3470
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.6530
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.3470
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.7215
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.2785
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.7215
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.2785
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.8000
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.8000
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.8000
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.8000
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.8000
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.8000
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2243.82, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.6495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.7990
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2010
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7990
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2010
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.7990
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2010
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.7990
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2010
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7950
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.7950
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.7950
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.7950
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.7950
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.7950
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.7950
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2050
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.2050
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2243.82, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.6495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2050
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2050
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2050
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2050
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2050
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6470
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3530
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6545
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3455
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.6410
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.3590
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.6410
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.3590
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.6410
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.3590
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.6410
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.3590
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.6410
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.3590
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.6410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2243.82, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.6495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.6410
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.3590
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.6410
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3590
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.6410
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3590
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.6410
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3590
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6230
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.3770
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.7945
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2055
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6245
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.3755
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6245
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3755
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6245
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3755
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6245
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3755
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6245
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3755
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.6245
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3755
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.6245
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.3755
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.6245
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.3755
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.6235
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.3765
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.6245
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.3755
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.6245
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.3755
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.6245
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.3755
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.6245
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.3755
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.6245
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.3755
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.6245
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.3755
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.6245
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.3755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2243.82, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.6495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.3755
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.6245
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.3755
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.6245
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.3755
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.6245
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.3755
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.6245
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.3755
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.6245
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.3755
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.6250
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.3750
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.6255
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.3745
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.6255
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.3745
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.6255
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.3745
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.6255
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.3745
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.6255
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3745
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6255
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3745
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.6265
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3735
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.6265
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3735
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.6265
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.3735
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.6265
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.3735
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.6250
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.3750
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.6250
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.6225
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.3775
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.6220
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.3780
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.6220
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.3780
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.6220
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.3780
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.6220
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.3780
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.6220
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.3780
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.6085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2243.82, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.6495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.6080
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.3920
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.6065
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.3935
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.6065
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.3935
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.6100
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.3900
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.6065
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.3935
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.6070
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.3930
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.6070
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.3930
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.6075
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.3925
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.6065
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.3935
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.6055
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.3945
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.6055
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.3945
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.6075
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.3925
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.6225
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.3775
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.6220
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.3780
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.6220
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.3780
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.6225
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.3775
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.6440
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.3560
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.6440
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.3560
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.6440
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.3560
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.6440
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.3560
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.6440
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.3560
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.6440
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.3560
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.6440
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.3560
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.6440
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.3560
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2243.82, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.6495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.6445
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.3555
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.6440
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.3560
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.6445
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.3555
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.6640
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.3360
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.6640
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.3360
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.6640
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.3360
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.6640
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.3360
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.6640
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.3360
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.6640
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.3360
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.6640
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.3360
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.6640
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.3360
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.6640
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.3360
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.6640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2243.82, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.6495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.6640
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.3360
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.6630
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.3370
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.6940
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.3060
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.6945
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.3055
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.6955
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.3045
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.6955
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.3045
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.6955
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.3045
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.7505
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.2495
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.7505
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.2495
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.7505
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.2495
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.7505
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.2495
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.7505
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.2495
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.7505
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.2495
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.7505
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.2495
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.7505
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.2495
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.7505
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.2495
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.7945
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.2055
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.7945
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.2055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2243.82, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.6495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2055
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.7945
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.2055
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.5950
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4050
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5365
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4635
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.6800
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.3200
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.6800
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.3200
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.6800
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.3200
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.6750
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.3250
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.6750
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.3250
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.6750
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.3250
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.6750
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.3250
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.6750
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.3250
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.6750
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.3250
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.6750
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.3250
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.6800
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.3200
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.6855
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.3145
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.5355
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.4645
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.5465
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.4535
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 8.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8495, Price range: 0.8490 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5955
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4045
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.6065
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.3935
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.6175
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.3825
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.6285
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.3715
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.6390
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.3610
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.6500
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.3500
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.6560
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.3440
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.6670
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.3330
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.6450
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.3550
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.6500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.3500
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.6505
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.3495
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.6505
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.3495
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.6505
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.3495
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.6510
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.3490
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.6700
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.3300
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.6700
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.3300
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.6700
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.3300
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.6700
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.3300
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.6950
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.3050
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.7000
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.3000
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.7000
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.3000
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.7000
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.3000
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.7250
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.2750
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.6250
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.3750
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.5995
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.4005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 570.50, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5611, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5050
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5050
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4950
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5650
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.4150
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.4150
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.4150
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.5800
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.4200
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6857, Price range: 0.6857 - 0.6857
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7250
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.2750
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.7250
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.7250
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.2750
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.7300
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.2700
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.7150
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.2850
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.7000
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3000
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.6800
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.3200
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.6650
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.3350
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6600
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.3400
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7600
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.2400
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9495
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1562.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6150, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.5685
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.4315
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5680
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.4320
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6240
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3760
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.6490
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3510
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6490
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3510
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6490
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3510
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.6530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2243.82, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.6495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.7990
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2010
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7990
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2010
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.7990
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2010
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.7990
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2010
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2243.82, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.6495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2050
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2050
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2050
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2050
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7950
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2050
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6470
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3530
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6545
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3455
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6415
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3585
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.6415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2243.82, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.6495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.6410
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.3590
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.6410
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3590
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.6410
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3590
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.6410
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3590
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6230
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.3770
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.7950
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.7945
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2055
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6245
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.3755
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6245
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3755
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6245
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3755
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6245
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3755
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6245
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3755
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.6245
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2243.82, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.6495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.3755
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.6245
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.3755
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.6245
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.3755
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.6245
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.3755
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.6245
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.3755
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.6245
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.3755
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.6250
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.3750
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.6255
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.3745
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.6255
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.3745
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.6255
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.3745
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.6255
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.3745
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.6255
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3745
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6255
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3745
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.6265
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3735
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.6265
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3735
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.6265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2243.82, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.6495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.6080
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.3920
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.6065
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.3935
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.6065
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.3935
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.6100
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.3900
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.6065
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.3935
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.6070
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.3930
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.6070
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.3930
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.6075
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.3925
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.6065
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.3935
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.6055
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.3945
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.6055
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.3945
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.6075
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.3925
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.6225
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.3775
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.6220
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.3780
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.6220
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.3780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2243.82, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.6495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.6445
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.3555
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.6440
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.3560
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.6450
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.6445
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.3555
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2243.82, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.6495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.6640
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.3360
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.6630
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.3370
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.6940
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.3060
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.6945
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.3055
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.6955
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.3045
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.6955
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.3045
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.6955
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.3045
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.7505
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.2495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2243.82, Sell volume: 22.92, Average price: 0.6495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2055
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.7945
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.2055
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.5950
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4050
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5365
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4635
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.6800
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.3200
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.6800
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.3200
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.6800
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.3200
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.6750
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.3250
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 8.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8495, Price range: 0.8490 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539777
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Historic" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 2266.736181
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5955
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4045
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.6065
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.3935
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.6175
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.3825
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.6285
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.3715
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.6390
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.3610
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.6500
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.3500
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.6560
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.3440
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.6670
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.3330
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.6450
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.3550
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.6500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.3500
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.6505
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.3495
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.6505
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.3495
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.6505
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.3495
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.6510
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.3490
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.6700
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 570.50, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5611, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5300
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4700
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4650
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5350
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4650
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5350
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4300
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5700
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4300
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4650
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5350
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4650
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5350
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.3600
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3650
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3650
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.3650
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3650
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.6350
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.3350
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.6650
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.4650
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.5350
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6000
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.4000
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5950
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.5850
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4150
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.5850
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.4150
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8300, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.2950
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2950
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.2950
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.2950
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.2950
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.2950
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.2950
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.2950
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.2950
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.2950
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.7050
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.3050
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6950
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.3050
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.6950
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.3050
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.6950
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.3050
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.6950
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.3050
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.6950
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.3050
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.6950
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.3050
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3250
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6750
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3350
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6650
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3350
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6650
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.4100
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.5900
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.4150
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.4150
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.5850
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.4150
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 242.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5467, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4050
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.5950
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.5850
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.4150
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.5850
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.4150
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.4100
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.5900
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5800
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.4150
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.5850
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.4200
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.5800
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.4200
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.5800
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.4200
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.5800
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.4200
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.5800
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.4200
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.5800
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.4250
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.5750
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.4250
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.5750
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.4250
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.5750
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.5700
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4300
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.3300
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.6700
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5700
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4300
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4300
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.5700
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.4500
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.5500
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.4500
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.5500
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.4500
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.5500
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.4600
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.5400
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.4600
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.5400
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.4850
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.5150
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.4850
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.5150
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.4850
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.5150
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.4850
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.5150
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.3900
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.6100
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.3250
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 20.49, Sell volume: 0.32, Average price: 0.5364, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5300
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4700
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4650
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5350
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4650
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5350
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4300
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5700
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4300
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4300
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5600
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4650
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5350
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4650
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539778
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 288.075062
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6350
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 275.76, Sell volume: 12.32, Average price: 0.6309, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No