Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.8700
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.8700
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.8750
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.1300
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.1300
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.1200
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.8650
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.8750
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.8600
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.8450
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.1350
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.1400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.1600
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.8750
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.8550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.1150
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0600
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0325
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0355
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0405
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0395
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0380
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0280
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0230
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0260
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0250
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0245
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0410
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0320
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0285
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0280
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0275
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0215
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0225
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0265
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0325
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0295
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0220
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0270
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0395
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0235
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0260
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0305
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0265
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0470
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0270
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0385
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0385
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0280
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0445
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0290
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0255
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0235
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0265
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0150
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0120
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0130
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0170
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0040
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0290
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999989, Buy volume: 225963592.43, Sell volume: 116717348.45, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.4950
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.7650
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.2850
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7150
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2750
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.7350
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.8000
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.7850
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.2150
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.2200
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.2300
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.7750
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.2250
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.7650
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.2350
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.2100
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.2300
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.8150
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.7750
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.2300
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.2350
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.7650
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.7850
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.7850
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.7750
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.7700
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.2300
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.7700
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.7650
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.7550
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.7550
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.7100
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.7150
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.7050
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.7050
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.6900
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.6950
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.7050
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.7000
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.3000
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.7050
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.3050
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.3150
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.3450
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.3550
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.3550
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.3750
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.6250
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.3750
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.3700
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.6300
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.6050
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.5800
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.5800
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.5500
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.5450
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.5450
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.5350
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.5150
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.4750
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.4800
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.4550
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.4300
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.5000
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.6100
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.4850
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.5000
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.5400
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.5400
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.4550
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.4550
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.3700
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.3750
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.5600
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.5450
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.4500
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.5050
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.4650
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.4600
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.4800
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.4800
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.5300
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.4750
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4850
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.5150
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.5650
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.5500
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.5750
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.5150
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.5250
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.5250
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.4750
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.4650
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.4950
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.5100
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.4900
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.4950
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.4900
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.4750
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.4800
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.4500
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.4450
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.4400
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.4450
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.4400
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.4300
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.4200
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.4250
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.4450
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.5600
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.4400
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.4150
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.5850
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.5900
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.5900
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.4000
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.4000
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.4000
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.3950
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.6250
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.3800
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.6200
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.6050
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.4100
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.3800
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.5800
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.3800
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.5300
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.5450
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.5150
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.5150
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.4850
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.4650
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.4800
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.4800
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.5100
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.5150
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.5150
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.5750
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.4200
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.3900
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.4050
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.4150
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.4250
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.4250
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.3850
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.6200
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.3850
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.6150
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.3750
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.4150
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.6000
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.5650
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.6950
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.4350
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.5650
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.5650
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.5900
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.5500
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.4450
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.5150
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.5700
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.5650
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.5650
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.4200
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.4250
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.4350
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.4350
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.5650
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.4350
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.4300
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.5700
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.5700
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.5700
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.5750
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.4100
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.4150
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.3900
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.4000
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.6000
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.6100
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.6050
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.5900
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.6000
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.6000
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.6050
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.5150
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.4200
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5250
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5400
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4600
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.5400
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2900
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.2900
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.2650
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8100
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2200
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1700
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.1650
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.8350
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.8450
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.1450
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.1750
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.1650
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.1150
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.1550
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.8500
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.2550
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.7300
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.4650
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.4250
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.5300
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.5650
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.4950
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.3550
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.4350
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.5950
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.6350
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5950
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.4100
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.4050
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.4600
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4200
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.5550
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.4450
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.5500
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.4150
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.3550
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.4050
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.3250
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.5650
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.3950
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.4100
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.3900
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.4000
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.6050
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.5550
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.4900
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.4600
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.4300
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.4250
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.3250
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.2800
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.2700
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.7350
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.7150
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.6650
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.6400
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.3850
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.5700
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.6300
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.4400
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.4900
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.6250
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.5250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.4750
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.6100
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.3600
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1250
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8850
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.8600
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.8750
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.8750
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.1300
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.1400
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.8750
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.8700
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.8550
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0350
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0355
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0420
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0355
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0230
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0280
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0325
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0280
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0275
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0225
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0265
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0295
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0220
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0335
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0235
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0220
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0280
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0290
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0360
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0280
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0325
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0260
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0265
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0180
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0290
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999989, Buy volume: 225963592.43, Sell volume: 116717348.45, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.3750
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.5900
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.3850
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.6550
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.6350
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.3300
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.3350
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.3600
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.3400
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.4050
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.4100
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.3600
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.3600
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.3600
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.3100
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.3100
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.2850
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.2800
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.2800
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.3100
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.3100
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.3100
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.3100
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.3100
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.3100
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.3100
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.3100
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.2600
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.2600
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.2550
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.2550
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.7550
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.2450
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.7600
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.7600
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.7600
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.7600
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.2000
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.8000
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.2000
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1273.68, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.6160, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.8967

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.7900
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.7850
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.2250
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.2250
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.7750
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.2250
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2200
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.2150
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.7650
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.2350
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.7800
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.7900
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.7800
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.7800
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.2400
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2600
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.7750
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.7750
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7750
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.7750
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 815.22, Sell volume: 5.04, Average price: 0.5337, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.2050
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.2050
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.7950
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.7950
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.2000
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.1950
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.1950
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.8050
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.8400
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.8400
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.8450
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.1550
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.8450
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.8450
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.1550
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.1550
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.8600
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.1100
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.8900
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.8550
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.1450
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.1400
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.1400
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.1400
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.1400
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.8600
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.1550
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.1550
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.1550
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.1550
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.1600
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.1600
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.1550
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.8450
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.1550
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.1500
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.1500
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.8500
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.8500
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 9100.89, Sell volume: 97.98, Average price: 0.6526, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0750
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9250
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0800
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0800
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0800
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.1000
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.1050
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.8800
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.8800
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.8800
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9000
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9000
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3246.25, Sell volume: 1367.18, Average price: 0.6270, Price range: 0.0419 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0500
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9450
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0550
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0550
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9450
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0550
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.9400
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9400
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9400
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9400
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9400
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.1500
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.1600
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.8400
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1600
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.8400
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.8400
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.1600
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.1600
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.1600
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.8400
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.1600
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.1600
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.8500
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.8400
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.8400
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.8600
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.8650
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.8450
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.1500
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.1500
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.1500
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.1500
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.1550
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.1500
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1150
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.1250
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.1150
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.1150
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.1150
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 6196.33, Sell volume: 70.74, Average price: 0.7221, Price range: 0.0609 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.8850
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.8850
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.8850
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.1200
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.1200
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.8800
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.1300
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.1300
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.1300
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.1300
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.1500
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.1500
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.1150
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.1150
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.1150
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.1150
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.1150
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.1150
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.1150
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.1150
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.8950
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 7608.32, Sell volume: 1213.89, Average price: 0.7191, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9250
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9250
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9200
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1397.65, Sell volume: 3374.99, Average price: 0.7182, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9400
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9400
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9450
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9400
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0600
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0800
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0800
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0800
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0800
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0800
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 11392.43, Sell volume: 1504.39, Average price: 0.7251, Price range: 0.0427 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0900
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0900
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.0900
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0900
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0900
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0900
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0900
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.1050
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.1050
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.1050
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.8950
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.1050
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.1050
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0950
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.0800
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0800
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9200
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9450
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9450
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9450
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9450
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0550
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.9450
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0550
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9450
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 4571.70, Sell volume: 431.30, Average price: 0.6780, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0400
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0400
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0400
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0400
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0405
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0405
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0405
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9645
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9645
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9645
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9645
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0355
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0320
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9690
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9690
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9690
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0300
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9685
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9690
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9690
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9690
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9690
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0310
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9690
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9680
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0325
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0310
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9740
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9750
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9755
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0245
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0245
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0250
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9750
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0250
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9750
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9750
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9745
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9745
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9745
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0255
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9745
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9735
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0265
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9735
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9735
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0265
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9735
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1075.74, Sell volume: 230.22, Average price: 0.9078, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0465
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0465
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9560
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9545
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9550
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9545
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9595
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0405
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9595
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9605
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0405
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0380
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0400
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0405
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9610
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0395
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9610
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0395
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0390
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9635
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0390
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0390
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0390
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0375
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0355
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9620
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9625
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0385
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9615
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9630
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9650
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0350
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9630
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9650
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9650
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9645
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0335
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0330
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0330
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9670
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0355
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9655
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9655
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9655
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9650
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9645
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0345
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9665
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9655
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1910.17, Sell volume: 498.81, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0236 - 0.9770

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9710
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0310
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0305
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0310
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0185
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0195
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9780
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0245
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0220
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0225
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0220
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0235
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9755
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0240
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0270
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0250
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9755
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0205
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9755
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0240
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0220
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0265
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0315
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0355
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9650
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0290
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9675
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0295
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0215
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0210
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0215
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0165
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9785
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0215
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0205
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9800
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9790
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0160
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0240
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9735
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9730
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0270
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9725
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9725
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9735
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9810
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9810
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 3140.25, Sell volume: 4623.65, Average price: 0.6835, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9780
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9780
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9790
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9780
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9780
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9780
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9920
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0085
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9780
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0225
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9780
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0200
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0195
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0190
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0220
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9820
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0220
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9775
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9780
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.9805
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9820
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9815
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9890
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9870
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9820
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9845
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9820
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9845
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0245
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9775
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0185
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9865
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0140
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0195
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0080
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0170
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0150
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0155
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0150
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9850
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0145
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0055
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 18029.60, Sell volume: 312.14, Average price: 0.9165, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.3750
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.3300
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.3600
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.4100
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.3600
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.3550
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.3100
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.2800
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.3100
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.3100
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.3100
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.3100
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.2600
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.2550
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.2450
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.7600
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.7600
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.8000
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.1950
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.1850
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1850
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.8150
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.1850
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1273.68, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.6160, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.8967
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.7900
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.2250
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.7750
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2200
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.7650
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.7750
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.7800
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.2150
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.2400
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2600
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2250
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.7750
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7750
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7800
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2200
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.2150
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.7900
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.2100
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 815.22, Sell volume: 5.04, Average price: 0.5337, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.2050
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.7950
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.2000
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.1950
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.1950
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.8400
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.8400
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.1550
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.8450
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.1550
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.1100
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.1450
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.1400
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.1400
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.1550
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.1550
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.1600
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.1550
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.1550
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.1500
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.8500
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.1500
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.1450
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.8550
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.8700
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 9100.89, Sell volume: 97.98, Average price: 0.6526, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0750
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9250
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.1000
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.1150
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.8800
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.8950
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9000
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9050
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0900
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0950
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0850
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0600
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3246.25, Sell volume: 1367.18, Average price: 0.6270, Price range: 0.0419 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0500
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0550
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9450
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0550
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9400
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9400
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0600
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.1600
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.1600
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.8400
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.1600
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.8400
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.1600
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.8400
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.8600
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.8450
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.1500
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.1500
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.1550
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1150
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.1150
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.1150
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.1250
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.1250
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.1250
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.8800
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 6196.33, Sell volume: 70.74, Average price: 0.7221, Price range: 0.0609 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.8850
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.8850
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.1200
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.8800
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.1300
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.1300
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.1200
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.1250
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.8750
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.1500
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.1150
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.1150
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.1150
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.1150
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.1100
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.8950
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9100
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 7608.32, Sell volume: 1213.89, Average price: 0.7191, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0800
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9200
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0800
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1397.65, Sell volume: 3374.99, Average price: 0.7182, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9400
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9450
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0600
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0800
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0800
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0800
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9450
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 11392.43, Sell volume: 1504.39, Average price: 0.7251, Price range: 0.0427 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0900
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0900
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.0900
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.1050
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.1050
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.8950
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.1050
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0950
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0800
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9450
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9450
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0550
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0550
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0550
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0550
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9550
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0450
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0450
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9550
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 4571.70, Sell volume: 431.30, Average price: 0.6780, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0400
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0400
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0405
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0405
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9645
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9645
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0320
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9690
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0300
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9690
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9690
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0310
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9680
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0310
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9755
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0245
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9750
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9750
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9745
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9745
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9745
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0265
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9735
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9735
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9735
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9740
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9740
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0330
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1075.74, Sell volume: 230.22, Average price: 0.9078, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0465
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9560
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9550
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9595
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9595
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0405
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0400
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9610
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9610
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0390
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0390
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0390
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0355
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9625
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9615
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9650
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9630
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9650
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0335
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0330
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0355
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9655
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9650
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0345
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9655
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0330
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0325
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9705
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9710
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1910.17, Sell volume: 498.81, Average price: 0.7327, Price range: 0.0236 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9710
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0305
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0185
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9780
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.0220
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0220
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9755
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0240
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0250
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0205
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0240
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0265
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0355
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0290
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0295
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0210
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0165
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0215
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0175
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9790
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0240
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9730
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.9725
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9735
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.9810
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9820
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0190
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9800
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0220
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 3140.25, Sell volume: 4623.65, Average price: 0.6835, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580854
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?
Volume: 85241.649921
Price History:
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9780
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0210
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9780
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9780
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0085
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0225
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0200
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0190
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9820
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9775
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9790
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9820
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9890
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9820
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9820
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9825
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9775
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0150
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9865
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0195
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0170
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0155
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9850
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0055
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9945
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 18029.60, Sell volume: 312.14, Average price: 0.9165, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.2100
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.7900
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.8950
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.8950
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.8950
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.8950
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.8950
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.8950
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.1100
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.8900
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.1100
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.8900
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.8950
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0700
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9300
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9350
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0850
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9150
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9150
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0850
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9150
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9200
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9200
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9100
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0950
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9050
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0950
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9050
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0950
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9050
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0950
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9050
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.1000
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9000
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.1000
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9000
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.1000
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9000
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.1100
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.8900
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9050
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.9400
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0700
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9300
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0700
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9300
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0600
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.9400
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9400
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0550
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.9450
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9400
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9400
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0600
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0400
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.9600
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0355
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.9645
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0350
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.9650
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.0350
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.9650
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0310
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.9690
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0315
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.9685
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0325
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9675
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0320
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9680
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0320
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.9680
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0315
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.9685
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0315
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9685
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0320
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0360
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9640
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0370
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9630
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0320
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9680
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0320
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9680
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0320
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.9680
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0320
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9680
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0320
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9680
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0320
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9680
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0295
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9705
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0270
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9730
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0270
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9730
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0275
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9775
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9775
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9775
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9780
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9775
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9775
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9785
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9785
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9785
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0155
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9845
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0160
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9840
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0160
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9840
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0155
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9845
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0155
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9845
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0155
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9845
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0165
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9835
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9860
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0235
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9765
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0190
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9810
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0260
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9740
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0260
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9740
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0255
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9745
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0280
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9720
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0870
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9130
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0830
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0770
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9230
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0755
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9245
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0835
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9165
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0805
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9195
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0810
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9190
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0820
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9180
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0845
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9155
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0895
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9105
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.1870
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.8130
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.1430
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.8570
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.1040
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.8960
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.1030
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.8970
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.1025
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.8975
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.1025
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.8975
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.1035
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.8965
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0855
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9145
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0865
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9135
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0895
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9105
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0895
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9105
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0895
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9105
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0805
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9195
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0805
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9195
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0805
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9195
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0845
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9155
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0825
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0825
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9175
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0825
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9175
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0840
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9160
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0830
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9170
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0830
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9170
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0830
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9170
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0805
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9195
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0780
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9220
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0810
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9190
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0780
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9220
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0780
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9220
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0760
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9240
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0760
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9240
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0760
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9240
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0765
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9235
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0745
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9255
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0765
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9235
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0760
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9240
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0745
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9255
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0695
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9305
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0690
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9310
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0680
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9320
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0680
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9320
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0680
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 139860, Buy volume: 39396682.23, Sell volume: 7368723.90, Average price: 0.6829, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9350

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0700
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9300
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0660
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9340
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0660
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9340
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0660
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9340
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0655
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9345
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0655
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9345
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0655
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9345
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0655
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9345
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0655
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9345
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0655
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9345
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0655
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9345
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0655
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9345
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0655
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9345
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0655
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9345
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0655
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9345
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0650
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9350
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0545
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9455
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0460
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9540
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0415
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9585
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0450
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9550
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0445
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9555
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0445
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9555
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0445
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9555
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0330
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 257742, Buy volume: 32369433.43, Sell volume: 5125988.88, Average price: 0.7137, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9640

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0305
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9695
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0345
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9655
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0340
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9660
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0335
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9665
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0530
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9470
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0525
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9475
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0530
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9470
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0370
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9630
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9565
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0425
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9575
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0265
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9735
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0365
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9635
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0330
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9670
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0265
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9735
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0285
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9715
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0425
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9575
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0445
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9555
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0315
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9685
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0255
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9745
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0255
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9745
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0255
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9745
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0295
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 593929, Buy volume: 29581086.15, Sell volume: 11971649.78, Average price: 0.5590, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0290
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9710
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0275
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9725
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0280
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9720
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0285
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9715
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0280
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9720
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0350
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9650
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0335
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9665
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0260
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9740
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0260
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9740
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0235
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9765
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0230
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9770
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0170
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9830
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0155
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9845
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0210
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0155
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9845
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 470, Buy volume: 24256.66, Sell volume: 19422.89, Average price: 0.6961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.7000
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.3000
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.7450
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.7450
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.7450
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 204.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6943, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.7450
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.8550
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.1450
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.1650
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 224.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2499, Price range: 0.2495 - 0.2500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.8300
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.1700
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.7950
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.7950
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.2050
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.7900
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 127.05, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6638, Price range: 0.2353 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.8050
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.1950
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 4076.39, Sell volume: 634.64, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 4071.58, Sell volume: 755.58, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.2100
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.7900
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.8950
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.8950
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.8950
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.8950
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.8950
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1050
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.8950
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.1100
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.8900
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.1100
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.8900
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.8950
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9150
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0850
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9150
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9200
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9200
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9100
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0950
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9050
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0950
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9050
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0950
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9050
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0950
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9050
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.1000
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9000
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.1000
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9000
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.1000
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9000
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.1100
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.8900
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0950
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0850
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9150
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9200
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0800
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9350
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0650
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0700
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9300
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0700
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9300
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9350
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9350
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0400
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.9600
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0450
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9550
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0355
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0360
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9640
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0370
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9630
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9775
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9775
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9775
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0220
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9780
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9775
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0225
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9775
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9785
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9785
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0215
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9785
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0155
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9845
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0160
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9840
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0160
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9840
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0155
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9845
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0155
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9845
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0155
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0770
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9230
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0755
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9245
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0835
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9165
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0805
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9195
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0810
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9190
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0820
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9180
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0845
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9155
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0895
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9105
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.1870
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.8130
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.1430
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.8570
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.1040
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.8960
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.1030
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.8970
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.1025
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.8975
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.1025
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.8975
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.1035
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.8965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 101795836.07, Sell volume: 24485785.45, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0825
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9175
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0825
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9175
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0840
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9160
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0830
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9170
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0830
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9170
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0830
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9170
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0805
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9195
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0780
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9220
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0810
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9190
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0780
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9220
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0780
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9220
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0760
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9240
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0760
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9240
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0760
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 139860, Buy volume: 39396682.23, Sell volume: 7368723.90, Average price: 0.6829, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9350
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0700
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9300
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0660
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9340
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0660
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9340
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0660
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9340
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0655
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9345
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0655
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9345
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0655
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9345
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0655
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9345
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0655
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9345
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0655
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9345
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0655
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9345
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0655
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9345
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0655
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9345
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0655
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9345
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0655
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 257742, Buy volume: 32369433.43, Sell volume: 5125988.88, Average price: 0.7137, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9640
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0305
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9695
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0345
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9655
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0340
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9660
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0335
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9665
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0530
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9470
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0525
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9475
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0530
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9470
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0370
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9630
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0435
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9565
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0425
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9575
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0265
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9735
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0365
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9635
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0330
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9670
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0265
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 593929, Buy volume: 29581086.15, Sell volume: 11971649.78, Average price: 0.5590, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546077
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 20-23%?
Volume: 200115.854146
Price History:
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0290
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9710
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0275
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9725
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0280
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9720
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0285
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9715
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0280
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9720
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0350
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9650
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0335
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9665
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0260
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9740
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0260
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9740
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0235
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9765
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0230
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9770
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0170
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9830
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0155
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9845
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0210
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 470, Buy volume: 24256.66, Sell volume: 19422.89, Average price: 0.6961, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535975
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 5519.734845
Price History:
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.7000
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.3000
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.7450
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.7450
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.7450
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 204.34, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6943, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No