Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.5450
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.5450
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.5450
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.4555
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.5450
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.4550
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.5035
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.5035
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.4940
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.4910
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.4940
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.5070
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.4995
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.5100
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.5105
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.5110
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.4965
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.5060
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.4945
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.4940
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.5070
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.5010
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.4935
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.5160
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.4785
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.5270
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.5325
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.5045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1405.67, Sell volume: 112.84, Average price: 0.2854, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5160
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5215
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5270
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5325
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4970
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5930
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6130
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4910
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4730
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5440
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5130
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4850
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5130
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.4830
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.5140
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.4825
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.5190
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.5245
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.5300
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.5230
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.5325
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.5355
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.5340
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.4570
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.4680
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.4625
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.5360
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.4635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 81.97, Average price: 0.1598, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9440
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.5375
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.4635
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.4635
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5365
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.5365
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.5365
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4635
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.4635
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.4635
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.5370
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.4570
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.5425
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.4575
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.5445
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.5445
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.6965
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.6965
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.6975
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0580
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0335
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0335
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0335
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0335
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0335
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9665
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9665
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9665
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0335
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9665
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0335
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0335
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9665
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9665
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9665
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0335
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0335
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9665
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9665
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0335
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0335
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0340
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9660
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0345
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0345
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9655
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9655
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9655
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9655
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9655
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9965
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9965
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1405.67, Sell volume: 112.84, Average price: 0.2854, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555493
Question: Will United States win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 1518.511
Price History:
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.87, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.7550
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.7550
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.7500
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.7500
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.7500
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.7500
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.7500
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.04, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2482.63, Sell volume: 125.43, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.2050
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.0900
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.8100
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.2450
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.7450
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.2450
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9200
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.8100
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.9050
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.5650
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.4150
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.4150
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.7100
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.8000
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.5550
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.4050
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.4500
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.4400
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.7350
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.2200
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.8050
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.8500
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.8500
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.1450
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.8550
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.1750
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.5800
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.6250
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.6650
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.3500
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.3300
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.7150
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.2850
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.7300
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.6500
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.6100
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.2850
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.5800
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.5800
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.5800
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.5750
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.3633, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.3800
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.4100
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.5550
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.4500
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.5700
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.5900
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.6100
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.5350
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.4400
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.4750
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.4200
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.6100
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.4350
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.6100
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.5850
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.6850
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.3150
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.3150
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.6850
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.6850
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.3150
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.6850
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.6850
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.3150
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.6850
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.6850
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.3150
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.6850
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.6850
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.6850
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.3150
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.3150
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.6850
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.6850
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2482.63, Sell volume: 125.43, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.6900
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.3100
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.3100
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.3100
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.3100
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.3100
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.3100
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.6900
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2482.63, Sell volume: 125.43, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.6950
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.5050
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.4950
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.5050
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.4950
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.5000
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.5000
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.4950
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.5050
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.5050
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.5050
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.4950
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.5050
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.4950
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.4950
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.5050
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.4900
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.4900
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.5050
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.4900
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.5100
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.5100
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.5000
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.5100
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.5250
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.5100
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.5050
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.4900
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2482.63, Sell volume: 125.43, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4750
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5250
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5250
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4750
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5300
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4400
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5350
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5150
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5400
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5650
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.5300
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.4300
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.5350
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4800
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4500
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.5550
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4150
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4950
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4950
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6300
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9905
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0095
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0095
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9895
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9895
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0105
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9955
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9950
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 11.00, Sell volume: 34.99, Average price: 0.6016, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9950
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0050
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0050
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.4765
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.5410
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.4415
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.4185
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.5945
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.3900
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.6800
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9960
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0045
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9955
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9955
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 66.53, Sell volume: 56.53, Average price: 0.8742, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9960
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9960
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0040
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9960
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0045
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0045
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.0045
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0045
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0045
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9955
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0045
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0045
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9955
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9955
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2482.63, Sell volume: 125.43, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.87, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.5000
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.7500
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.7500
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 3.04, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2482.63, Sell volume: 125.43, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.2050
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.0900
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.1500
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.2550
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9200
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.6150
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.4150
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.8000
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.4300
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.4500
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.2650
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.1950
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.8250
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.8500
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.8550
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.8800
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.6150
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.6850
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.7150
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.7150
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.6450
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.3950
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.2850
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.4200
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.5750
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.5750
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.3633, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.3800
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.5250
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.5650
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.4000
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.4650
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5250
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.3950
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.4450
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.4100
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.3150
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.6850
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.3150
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.3150
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.3150
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.3150
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3150
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.6850
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.6850
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2482.63, Sell volume: 125.43, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.3100
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.3100
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.3100
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.3100
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.6900
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.3050
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2482.63, Sell volume: 125.43, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.5050
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.5050
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.4950
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.5000
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.5050
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.5050
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.4900
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.4900
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.4750
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.5250
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2482.63, Sell volume: 125.43, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5250
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5250
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5250
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5250
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.5250
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5700
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.5300
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5300
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5350
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4500
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2600
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0095
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0105
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0105
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9895
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0050
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 11.00, Sell volume: 34.99, Average price: 0.6016, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9950
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0050
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0050
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.5380
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.5715
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.6000
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.7125
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 66.53, Sell volume: 56.53, Average price: 0.8742, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9960
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0040
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0045
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9955
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9955
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0030
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2482.63, Sell volume: 125.43, Average price: 0.5486, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555494
Question: Will Germany win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 2608.055815
Price History:
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.87, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.7150
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.7400
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.8650
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.8450
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.8600
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.8600
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.8600
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.8800
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.8800
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.8650
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.8750
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.8750
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.8800
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.8800
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.8800
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.8800
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.8800
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.8800
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.8950
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9100
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9150
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9150
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9150
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9150
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9150
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9150
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.9150
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 212.17, Sell volume: 46.58, Average price: 0.7471, Price range: 0.0959 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0850
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0850
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0900
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0900
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0900
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0900
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0900
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0900
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.1750
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.1850
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.1750
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.1800
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.1750
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.1750
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.1750
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.1700
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.1700
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.1700
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.1650
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.1700
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.1700
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.1650
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.1650
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.1450
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.1450
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1027.57, Sell volume: 4.42, Average price: 0.4723, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.8250
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.8350
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.8300
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.8300
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.8300
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.8300
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8300
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8300
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.8350
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.8350
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.8300
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.8300
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.8300
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.8250
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.8250
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.8250
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.8250
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.8300
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.8300
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.8250
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.8250
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.8250
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.8300
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.8300
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.8300
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.8350
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.8300
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.8300
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.8300
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.8300
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.8300
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.8300
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.8300
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.8350
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.8350
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.8350
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 592.68, Sell volume: 104.30, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.1650
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.1650
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.1650
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.1650
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.1650
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1650
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1650
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1800
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.1800
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.1800
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.1750
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.1750
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.1750
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.1750
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.1750
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.1750
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.1750
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.1750
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.1750
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.1750
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.1750
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.1700
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.1650
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.1750
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.1700
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.1650
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.1550
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.1550
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.1550
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.1550
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.1550
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.1700
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.1700
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.1650
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.1600
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.1600
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.1600
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.1600
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.1600
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.1600
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.1600
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.1650
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.1650
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.1650
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.1650
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.1650
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.1650
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1408.69, Sell volume: 71.06, Average price: 0.6122, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.8350
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.8350
2025-05-15 07:00: 0.8350
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.8350
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.8350
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.8350
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.8350
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.8350
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.8350
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.8350
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.8350
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.8350
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.8350
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.8350
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.8350
2025-05-17 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.8350
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.8350
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.8350
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.8350
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.8350
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.8350
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.8350
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.8350
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.8350
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.8350
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.8350
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.8350
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.8350
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.8350
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.8350
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.8350
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.8350
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.8350
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.8350
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.8350
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.8350
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 147.27, Sell volume: 185.82, Average price: 0.6911, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.1650
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.1650
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.1600
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.1600
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.1600
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.1600
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.1600
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.1600
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.1600
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.1600
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.1600
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.1550
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.1550
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.1550
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.1550
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.1550
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.1550
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0900
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0900
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.1100
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.1250
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.1250
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0800
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.2750
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.2950
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.2900
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.3050
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.2100
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.2000
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.1900
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.1950
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.2050
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.1950
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.1950
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.1950
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.1850
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 4132.95, Sell volume: 81.31, Average price: 0.6342, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.8150
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.8150
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.8150
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.8150
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.8150
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.8150
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.8150
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.8150
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.8200
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.8200
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.8100
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.8100
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.8200
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.8950
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.8650
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.8650
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.8600
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.8600
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.8600
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.8600
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.8550
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.8550
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.8550
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.8550
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.8550
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.8550
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.8550
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.8550
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.8550
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.8550
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.8550
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.8550
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.8550
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.8550
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.8550
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.8550
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.8550
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1769.08, Sell volume: 404.79, Average price: 0.6796, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.1450
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.1450
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.1450
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.1450
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.1450
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0700
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0850
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0800
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0800
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0800
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0800
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0800
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0800
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0850
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0900
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0900
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0850
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.1050
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.1050
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.1050
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.1050
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.1050
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1050
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.1050
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.1050
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.1200
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0550
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0600
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0700
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.0750
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0750
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.0750
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0700
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0700
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0750
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0800
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 927.87, Sell volume: 2770.06, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9250
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9250
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9250
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9250
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9250
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9250
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.9250
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.9250
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.9250
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.9250
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9250
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.9250
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.9200
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.9200
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9200
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.9200
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9200
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9200
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.9200
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9200
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9200
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9200
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.9200
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.9200
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.9200
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.9200
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.9200
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.9200
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9200
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.9200
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9200
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.9200
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.9200
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.9200
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.9200
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.9200
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.9200
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.9200
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9200
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.9200
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.9200
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.9200
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.9200
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.9200
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 219.98, Sell volume: 317.17, Average price: 0.5012, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0950
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0950
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0950
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0950
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0950
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0950
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0950
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0950
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.0950
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0950
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.0950
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0950
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0950
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0750
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0750
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0750
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0750
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0750
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0750
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0750
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0750
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0650
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0500
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.0450
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0450
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0450
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0450
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0550
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0165
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0170
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0220
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0220
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0220
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0275
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0295
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0255
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0305
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0260
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0295
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0310
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0270
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0365
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0425
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0425
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0425
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0495
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0525
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0525
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 2592.77, Sell volume: 2.37, Average price: 0.5864, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9820

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.9560
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.9565
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.9540
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.9550
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.9490
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.9665
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.9705
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.9695
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9745
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.9730
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9730
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.9730
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9735
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9725
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.9620
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.9610
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.9720
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.9605
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9675
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9620
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.9675
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9650
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9625
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9625
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9640
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9565
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.9635
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9555
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9585
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9675
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9725
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9680
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.9725
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9755
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9750
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.9740
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9740
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9670
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9705
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9675
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9660
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9570
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9510
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9740
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.9730
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.9725
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9735
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9720
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9715
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 3492.79, Sell volume: 436.30, Average price: 0.8553, Price range: 0.0207 - 0.9790

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0275
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0270
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0270
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0250
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0260
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0240
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0275
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0235
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0310
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0235
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0235
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0255
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0245
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0250
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0245
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0245
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0245
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0245
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0245
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0330
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0325
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0260
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0315
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0315
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0265
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0310
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0240
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0310
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0345
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0370
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0360
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0450
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0450
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0420
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0305
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0315
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0315
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0315
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0315
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0315
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0305
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0235
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0235
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0235
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0250
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0245
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0250
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0245
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 1699.39, Sell volume: 805.05, Average price: 0.8378, Price range: 0.0216 - 0.9790

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.9725
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.9750
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9730
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.9760
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9745
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9755
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.9765
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.9765
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.9760
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.9760
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.9775
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.9630
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.9640
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9610
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.9625
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.9625
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9665
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.9660
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.9665
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.9765
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9755
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.9765
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.9765
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.9765
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.9765
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.9760
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.9760
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.9740
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.9740
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.9720
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.9690
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.9765
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9765
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.9780
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.9755
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.9760
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.9770
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9775
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9780
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.9755
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.9770
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.9770
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.9770
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.9780
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9835
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.9845
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.9835
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.9840
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.9840
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 7428.94, Sell volume: 514.60, Average price: 0.8061, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.7150
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.2850
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.8700
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.1600
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.8600
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.1400
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.8800
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.1200
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.8750
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.1200
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.8700
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.1150
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.8800
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.1050
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0900
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9100
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0900
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9150
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0850
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9150
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0850
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9150
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 212.17, Sell volume: 46.58, Average price: 0.7471, Price range: 0.0959 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0850
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9150
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0850
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9150
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9100
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0900
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9100
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0900
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9100
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.1850
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.8250
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.1850
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.8250
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.1750
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.8250
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.1650
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.8350
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.1700
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.8400
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1500
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1027.57, Sell volume: 4.42, Average price: 0.4723, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.8250
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.8300
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1700
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.8300
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1700
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.8350
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.1700
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.8300
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.8250
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.1750
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.8250
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.1750
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.8250
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.8250
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.1750
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.8250
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.1750
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.8300
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.1700
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.8300
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.1700
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.8350
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1700
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.8300
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 592.68, Sell volume: 104.30, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.1650
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.8350
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.1650
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.8350
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.1750
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.8200
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1750
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.8200
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.1750
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.8250
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.1750
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.8250
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.1750
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.8250
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.1650
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.8250
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.1700
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.8400
2025-05-11 07:00: 0.1550
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.8450
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.1550
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.8300
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.1600
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.8400
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.1600
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.8400
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.1600
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.8350
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.1650
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1408.69, Sell volume: 71.06, Average price: 0.6122, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.8350
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.1650
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.8350
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.1650
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.8350
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.1650
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.8350
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.1650
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.8350
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.1650
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.8350
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.1650
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.8350
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.1650
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.8350
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.1650
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.8350
2025-05-19 13:00: 0.1650
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.8350
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.1650
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.8350
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.1650
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.1650
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.8350
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.1650
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.8350
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.1650
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.8350
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 147.27, Sell volume: 185.82, Average price: 0.6911, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.1650
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.8400
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.1600
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.8400
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.1600
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.8400
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1600
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.8450
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.1550
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.8450
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.1550
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.9100
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.1250
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.8750
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.7250
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.2900
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.6950
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.2150
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.8000
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.1900
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.1950
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 4132.95, Sell volume: 81.31, Average price: 0.6342, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.8150
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.8150
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.1850
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.8200
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.1800
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.8150
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.1900
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.1850
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.8600
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.1350
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.8600
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.1400
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.8600
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.1450
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.8550
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.1450
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.8550
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.1450
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.8550
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.1450
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.8550
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.1450
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.1450
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.8550
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.1450
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.8550
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1769.08, Sell volume: 404.79, Average price: 0.6796, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.1450
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.8550
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.1450
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.9300
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0800
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9200
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0800
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.9200
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0850
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.9100
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.1050
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.8950
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.8950
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.8950
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.1050
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.8950
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.1050
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.8800
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0600
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9300
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0750
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.9250
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9300
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.9250
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 927.87, Sell volume: 2770.06, Average price: 0.6138, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9250
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0750
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.9250
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.9250
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0750
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.9250
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0750
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9200
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.9200
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0800
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9200
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0800
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9200
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0800
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.9200
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0800
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.9200
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0800
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.9200
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0800
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9200
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.0800
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.9200
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0800
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.9200
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0800
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.9200
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 219.98, Sell volume: 317.17, Average price: 0.5012, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0950
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.9050
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0950
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.9050
2025-06-27 16:00: 0.0950
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.9050
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0950
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9050
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0750
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.9250
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9250
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0750
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.9250
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0500
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.9550
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0450
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.9500
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0165
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9780
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0220
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.9715
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0270
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9720
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0295
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.9720
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0470
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.9575
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0425
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 2592.77, Sell volume: 2.37, Average price: 0.5864, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.9560
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0455
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.9485
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0340
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.9720
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0255
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.9740
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.0265
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.9725
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0405
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9610
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9640
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0350
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9595
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0345
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.9635
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0400
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9750
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0250
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.9740
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0250
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9740
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0270
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9675
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0375
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.9515
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0270
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.9720
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 3492.79, Sell volume: 436.30, Average price: 0.8553, Price range: 0.0207 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0275
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9710
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0245
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9760
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0250
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9760
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0235
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.9750
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0250
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.9745
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0245
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9755
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0240
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9740
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0235
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9730
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0240
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9620
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0340
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9550
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0450
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9695
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0320
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9685
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0315
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9685
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0240
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9765
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0265
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 1699.39, Sell volume: 805.05, Average price: 0.8378, Price range: 0.0216 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535962
Question: Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025?
Volume: 31396.008513
Price History:
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.9725
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.0265
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.9730
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0280
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.9745
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.0240
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.9755
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0360
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9610
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0360
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.9660
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.0335
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.9760
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0235
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.9770
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.0240
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.9760
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0240
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.9720
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0235
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.9765
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0245
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9755
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0225
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.9755
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.0230
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.9770
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0210
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.9840
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 7428.94, Sell volume: 514.60, Average price: 0.8061, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.8400
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.1600
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.8500
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.1500
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.8500
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.1500
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.8500
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.1500
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.8500
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.1500
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.8500
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.1500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.8500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.1500
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.8450
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.1550
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.8700
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.1300
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.8250
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.1750
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.8250
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.1750
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.8350
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.1650
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.8400
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.8500
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.1500
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.8150
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.1850
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.8350
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.1650
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.8350
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.1650
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.8450
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.1550
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.8450
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.1550
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.8250
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.1750
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.8300
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.1700
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.8300
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.1700
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.8400
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.8400
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.8450
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 901.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3870, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8932

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.1550
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.8450
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1550
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.8400
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.8300
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1700
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.8350
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.8350
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.8350
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.8400
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.8400
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.8400
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8400
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.8350
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.8350
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.8400
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.8350
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.8350
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.8300
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1700
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.8350
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.8300
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.1700
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.8150
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.1850
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.8150
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.1850
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.8150
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.1850
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.8150
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.1850
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.8250
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.1750
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.8250
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.1750
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1102.32, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.4916, Price range: 0.2353 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5300
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.4700
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.4650
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.6850
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.5950
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.6000
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.4000
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.4600
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5400
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.3350
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.6650
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0655
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9345
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0655
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9345
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.4395
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5605
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.6565
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.3435
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.6800
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.3200
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.7345
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.2655
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.7400
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.2600
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7410
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.2590
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.7315
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.2685
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.7315
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.2685
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7315
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.2685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 2848.18, Sell volume: 1671.24, Average price: 0.4913, Price range: 0.1276 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2690
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.7345
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2655
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7310
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.2690
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.7345
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.2655
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.7345
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.2655
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7415
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.2585
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.7430
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.2570
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.7430
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.2570
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7765
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.2235
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.7745
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.2255
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.7745
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2255
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.7420
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.2580
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.7420
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.2580
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.7420
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.2580
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7420
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.2580
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.7420
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.2580
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.7695
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.2305
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.7695
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.2305
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.7745
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.2255
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.7695
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.2305
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.7695
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.2305
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.7695
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.2305
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.7695
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2305
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.7695
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.2305
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.7695
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.2305
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.7695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 590.99, Sell volume: 368.76, Average price: 0.5544, Price range: 0.1810 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.7830
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2170
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.7825
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2175
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7825
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2175
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.7770
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2230
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.7795
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2205
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7820
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2180
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.7815
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2185
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.7860
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2140
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.7860
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2140
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.7860
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2140
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.7860
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2140
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.7865
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2135
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.7730
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2270
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7795
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2205
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.7795
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2205
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7795
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2205
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.7795
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2205
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.7815
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.2185
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.7815
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2185
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.7815
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2185
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.7815
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.2185
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.7815
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2185
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.7815
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.2185
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.7815
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 11.46, Average price: 0.4567, Price range: 0.1735 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2185
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7815
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2185
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7815
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2185
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.8305
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.1695
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.8305
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1695
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.8305
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1695
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.8305
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.1695
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8305
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.1695
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.8305
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.1695
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.8205
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.1795
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.8005
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.1995
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.8010
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.1990
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.8010
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.1990
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.8010
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.1990
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.8010
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.1990
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.8010
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.1990
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.8210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 9.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8415, Price range: 0.8330 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.8205
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.1795
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.8205
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.1795
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.8005
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1995
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.7900
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2100
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7900
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2100
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.7900
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2100
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.7900
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2100
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.7905
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2095
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.7905
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.2095
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.7905
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2095
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.7905
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.2095
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.7905
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.2095
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.7905
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2095
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.7905
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.2095
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.7905
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2390, Price range: 0.2390 - 0.2390

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2095
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7905
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2095
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.7905
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2095
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.7905
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2095
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.7905
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2095
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.7905
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.2095
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.7900
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.7140
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.2860
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.7815
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.2185
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.7815
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2185
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7945
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.2055
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.7840
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.2160
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.7840
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2160
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.7840
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.2160
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.7840
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.2160
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.7840
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2160
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.7840
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.2160
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.7840
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.2160
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.7840
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2160
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.7840
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.2160
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.7840
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.2160
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.7840
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.2160
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.7840
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.2160
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.7675
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.2325
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.7675
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.2325
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.7680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1676.84, Sell volume: 818.15, Average price: 0.6633, Price range: 0.4675 - 0.7980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.7680
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.2320
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.7680
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2320
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.7820
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.2180
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.7820
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2180
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.7820
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2180
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.7205
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2795
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.7210
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2790
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7215
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2785
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.7395
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2605
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.7405
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.2595
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7400
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.2600
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.7410
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.2590
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.7125
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.2875
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.7135
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.2865
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.7135
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.2865
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.7150
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.7445
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.2555
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.7445
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.2555
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.7455
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.2545
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7455
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.2545
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.7455
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.2545
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.7455
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.2545
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.7365
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.2635
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.7365
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.2635
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.7365
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.2635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 65.13, Sell volume: 878.30, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.1837 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.2635
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.7405
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.2595
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.7410
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.2590
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.7410
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.2590
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.7320
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.2680
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.7605
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.2395
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7610
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.2390
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.8280
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.1720
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.7905
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2095
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.7540
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.2460
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.7540
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2460
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7540
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2460
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.7540
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2460
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.7540
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2460
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7540
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.2460
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.7540
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.2460
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.7540
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.2460
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.7540
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.2460
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.7540
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.2460
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.7540
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.2460
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7540
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.2460
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.7545
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.2455
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.7545
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.2455
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.7545
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.2455
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.7665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 54.81, Sell volume: 20.99, Average price: 0.6341, Price range: 0.1282 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7665
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2335
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7665
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2335
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.7660
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2340
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7665
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2335
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7465
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2535
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7465
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2535
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7465
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2535
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7465
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.2535
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7475
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2525
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.7545
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.2455
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7550
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.2450
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.7650
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.7650
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7650
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.2350
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.7955
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.2045
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.8200
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.8200
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.8200
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.8200
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.8200
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.8200
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.8200
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.8200
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.1800
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.8205
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1795
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.8155
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 389.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7001, Price range: 0.2480 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2455
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.8195
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.1805
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.7910
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2090
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7995
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.2005
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.8145
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1855
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.8205
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1795
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.8215
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1785
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.8215
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.1785
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.8020
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1980
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.8020
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.1980
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.8020
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.1980
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.8020
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1980
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.8020
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.1980
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.8020
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.1980
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.8020
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.1980
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.8020
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.1980
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.8015
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.1985
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.8040
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.1960
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.8040
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.1960
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.8035
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.1965
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.7795
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.2205
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.7245
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.2755
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.7340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1533.69, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.3543, Price range: 0.1520 - 0.7889

Output: No