Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.4500
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5500
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.6650
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.3350
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.5800
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.4200
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.5800
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.5950
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.4050
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.5950
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.4050
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.5950
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.5950
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.3400
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.6650
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.3350
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.6650
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.3350
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.6650
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.3350
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.6650
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.3350
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.6700
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.3300
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.6650
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.3350
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.6700
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.3300
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.6700
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.3300
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.6700
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.3300
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.6700
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.3300
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.6700
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.3300
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.6700
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.3300
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.6700
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.3300
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.6700
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.3300
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.6700
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.3300
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.6700
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6867, Price range: 0.6800 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.3300
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.6650
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.3350
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.6650
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.3350
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.7250
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.2750
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.7250
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.2750
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.6800
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.3200
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.6750
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.3250
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.6700
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.3300
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.6700
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.3300
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.6700
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.3300
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.6700
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.3300
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.6700
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.3300
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.6700
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.3300
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.6700
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.3300
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.6750
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.3250
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.7200
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.2800
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.7200
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.2800
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.6050
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.6100
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.3900
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.6000
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.4000
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.6200
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.3800
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.5850
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.4150
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.5900
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.4100
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.2950
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.7050
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.3100
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.6900
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 2203.54, Sell volume: 277.44, Average price: 0.4423, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.5300
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.4700
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.4550
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.5450
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.4950
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.5050
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.4550
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.5450
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.5950
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.4050
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.5900
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.4100
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.6250
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.6300
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.3700
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.5350
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.4650
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.5600
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.4400
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.5550
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.4450
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.5550
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.4450
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.5550
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.4450
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.5850
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.4150
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.5950
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.4050
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.6050
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.3950
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.6050
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.3950
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.6050
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.3950
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.6200
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.6200
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.6450
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.3550
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.6850
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.3150
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.6850
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.3150
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.6650
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 663.44, Sell volume: 1179.69, Average price: 0.4734, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.3100
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.6900
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.3100
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.6850
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.3150
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.6850
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.3150
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.6750
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.3250
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.6750
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.3250
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.6750
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.3250
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.6750
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.3250
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.6750
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.3250
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.6750
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.3250
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 68.82, Sell volume: 40.47, Average price: 0.6271, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.6800
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.6800
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.6800
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.7850
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.2150
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.7700
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.2300
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.7600
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.2400
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.7600
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.2400
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.7950
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.2050
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.8700
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.1300
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.8050
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.1950
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.7950
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.2050
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.8050
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.1950
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.6850
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.3150
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.6900
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.3100
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.6900
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.3100
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.7400
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.2600
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.7350
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.2650
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.7350
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.2650
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.7350
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 3042.04, Sell volume: 257.24, Average price: 0.4748, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.7300
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.7300
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.7300
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.7300
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.7300
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.7300
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.7650
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.2350
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9200
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0800
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9150
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9200
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0800
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9200
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0800
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9300
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0700
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9300
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0700
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.9450
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0550
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.9450
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.0550
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.9450
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0550
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9400
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0600
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.9400
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0600
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.9400
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9400
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0600
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.9400
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9350
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1731.66, Sell volume: 2115.73, Average price: 0.7712, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9705
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0295
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9735
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0265
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9775
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0225
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9775
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0225
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9765
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0235
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9770
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0230
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9770
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0230
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9760
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0240
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9780
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0220
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9780
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0220
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9825
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0175
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9845
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0155
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9815
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0185
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9840
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0160
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9840
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0160
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9840
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0160
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.9835
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0165
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9845
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0155
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.9845
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0155
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.9850
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0150
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.9850
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0150
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.9855
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0145
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.9845
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0155
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.9845
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0155
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9850
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1225.54, Sell volume: 266.36, Average price: 0.8062, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0145
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9855
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0145
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9855
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0145
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9845
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0155
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9855
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0145
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9850
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0150
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9855
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0145
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9860
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0140
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9850
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0150
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.9855
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0145
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9845
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0155
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9845
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0155
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9845
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0155
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9845
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0155
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9840
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0160
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.9835
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0165
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.9845
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0155
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.9845
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0155
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.9845
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0155
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.9835
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0165
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9840
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0160
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9810
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0190
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.9810
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0190
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9795
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0205
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.9805
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0195
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 466.22, Sell volume: 124.30, Average price: 0.6629, Price range: 0.0197 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9815
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0185
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9810
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0190
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9810
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9815
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0185
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9815
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0185
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9815
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0185
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9815
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0185
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9820
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0180
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9815
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0185
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.9815
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0185
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.9820
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0180
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7339.53, Sell volume: 7696.30, Average price: 0.9814, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9870

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0185
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9815
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0185
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9815
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0185
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 84.09, Sell volume: 75.96, Average price: 0.9823, Price range: 0.9760 - 0.9870

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9825
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0175
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9825
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0175
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9825
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0175
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9815
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0185
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9815
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0185
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.9815
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0185
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9810
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0190
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9810
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0190
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9815
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0185
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9815
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0185
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9820
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0180
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9820
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0180
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9815
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0185
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9820
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 33.24, Sell volume: 308.94, Average price: 0.8433, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9870

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0180
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9825
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0175
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9825
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0175
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9820
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0180
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9825
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0175
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9825
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0175
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9830
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0170
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9820
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0180
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9825
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0175
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9825
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0175
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9830
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0170
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9950
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0050
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9940
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0060
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9935
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0065
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9935
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0065
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9895
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0105
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9895
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0105
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.9925
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0075
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9930
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9925
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0075
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.9920
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0080
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9925
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0075
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9915
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.9915
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9915
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 65607.46, Sell volume: 62502.16, Average price: 0.7924, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9870
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0130
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9910
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0090
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9965
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9965
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9965
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9965
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.9965
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9965
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 7818.78, Sell volume: 475.97, Average price: 0.9452, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.4500
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5500
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.6650
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.3350
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.5800
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.4200
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.5800
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.5950
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.4050
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.5950
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.4050
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.5950
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.5950
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.6600
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.3400
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.6650
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.3350
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.6650
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.3350
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.6650
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.3350
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.6650
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.3350
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.6700
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.3300
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.6650
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6867, Price range: 0.6800 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.3300
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.6650
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.3350
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.6650
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.3350
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.7250
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.2750
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.7250
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.2750
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.6800
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.3200
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.6750
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.3250
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.6700
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.3300
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.6700
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.3300
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.6700
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.3300
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.6700
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.3300
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.6700
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.3300
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.6700
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.3300
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.6700
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.3300
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.6750
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.3250
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 2203.54, Sell volume: 277.44, Average price: 0.4423, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.5300
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.4700
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.4550
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.5450
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.4950
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.5050
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.4500
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.5500
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.4550
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.5450
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.5950
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.4050
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.5900
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.4100
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.6250
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.6300
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.3700
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.5350
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.4650
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.5600
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.4400
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.5550
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.4450
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.5550
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.4450
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.5550
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.4450
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.5850
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 663.44, Sell volume: 1179.69, Average price: 0.4734, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.3100
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.6900
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.3100
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.6850
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.3150
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.6850
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.3150
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 68.82, Sell volume: 40.47, Average price: 0.6271, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.6800
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.6850
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.3150
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.6800
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.6800
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.3200
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.7850
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.2150
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.7700
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.2300
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.7600
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.2400
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.7600
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.2400
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.7950
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.2050
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.8700
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 3042.04, Sell volume: 257.24, Average price: 0.4748, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.7300
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.7300
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.7300
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.7300
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.7300
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.7300
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.2700
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.7650
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.2350
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9200
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0800
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9150
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9200
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0800
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9200
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0800
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9300
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0700
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1731.66, Sell volume: 2115.73, Average price: 0.7712, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9705
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0295
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9735
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0265
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9775
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0225
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9775
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0225
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9765
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0235
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9770
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0230
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9770
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0230
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9760
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0240
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9780
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0220
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9780
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0220
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9825
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0175
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9845
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0155
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9815
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0185
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9840
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0160
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9840
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1225.54, Sell volume: 266.36, Average price: 0.8062, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0145
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9855
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0145
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9855
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0145
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9845
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0155
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9855
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0145
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9850
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0150
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9855
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0145
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9860
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0140
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9850
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0150
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.9855
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0145
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9845
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0155
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9845
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0155
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9845
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0155
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9845
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0155
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9840
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0160
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 466.22, Sell volume: 124.30, Average price: 0.6629, Price range: 0.0197 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9815
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0185
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9810
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0190
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9810
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9815
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0185
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9815
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0185
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9815
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0185
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9815
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0185
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9820
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0180
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9815
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0185
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0190
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9810
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 7339.53, Sell volume: 7696.30, Average price: 0.9814, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0185
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9815
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0185
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9815
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0185
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9820
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0180
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 84.09, Sell volume: 75.96, Average price: 0.9823, Price range: 0.9760 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9825
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0175
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9825
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0175
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9825
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0175
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9815
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0185
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0180
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9820
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 33.24, Sell volume: 308.94, Average price: 0.8433, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0180
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9825
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0175
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9825
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0175
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9820
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0180
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9825
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0175
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9825
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0175
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9830
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0170
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9820
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0180
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9825
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0175
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9825
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0175
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9830
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0170
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9950
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0050
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9940
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0060
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9935
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0065
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9935
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0065
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 65607.46, Sell volume: 62502.16, Average price: 0.7924, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520707
Question: Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 167051.203055
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9870
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0130
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9910
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0090
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 7818.78, Sell volume: 475.97, Average price: 0.9452, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.7050
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.2950
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.7150
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.2850
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.6700
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.3300
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.6700
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.3300
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.6700
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.3300
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.6800
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.3200
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.7450
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.2550
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.7500
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.6450
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.3550
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.6950
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.3050
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.7000
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.7000
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.6850
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.3150
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.7000
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.7000
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.6950
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.3050
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.7150
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.2850
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.7550
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.2450
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.7700
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.2300
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.7450
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.2550
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.7400
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.2600
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.7050
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.7550
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.2450
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.8200
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.1800
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.7450
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 8569.16, Sell volume: 1789.46, Average price: 0.4758, Price range: 0.1614 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.7400
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.2600
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.7500
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.2500
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.6950
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.3050
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.7200
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.2800
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.7200
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.2800
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.7050
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.2950
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.6850
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.3150
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.7350
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.2650
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.7450
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.2550
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.7400
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.2600
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.7650
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.2350
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.7600
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.2400
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.7750
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.2250
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.7700
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.7550
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.2450
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.7200
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.2800
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.6200
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.3800
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.6600
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.3400
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.6300
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.3700
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.7350
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.2650
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.5300
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.4700
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.5650
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.4350
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.5600
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.4400
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.6100
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.3900
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 14764.87, Sell volume: 5173.14, Average price: 0.5323, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.4150
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.5850
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.5400
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.4600
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.5050
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.4950
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.5550
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.4450
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.6650
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.3350
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.6550
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.3450
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.6900
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.3100
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.7000
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.3000
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.7500
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.2500
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.7200
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.2800
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.6750
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.3250
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.6400
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.3600
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.6350
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.3650
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.6650
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.3350
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.6750
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.3250
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.6650
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.3350
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.6650
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.3350
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.6350
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.3650
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.7050
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.2950
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.7050
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.2950
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.6750
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.3250
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.6600
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.3400
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.6650
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.3350
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.6700
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.3300
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.6700
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 2868.87, Sell volume: 4305.91, Average price: 0.4834, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.3100
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.7150
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.2850
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.7150
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.2850
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.7500
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.2500
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.7550
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.2450
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.7500
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.2500
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.3000
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.7550
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.2450
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.7600
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.2400
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.8350
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.1650
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.7100
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.2900
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 6239.74, Sell volume: 934.65, Average price: 0.6251, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.7050
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.2950
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.7700
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.2300
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.7600
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.2400
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.7450
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.2550
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.7800
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.2200
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.7900
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.2100
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.7450
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.2550
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.7900
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.2100
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.7950
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.2050
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.7750
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.2250
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.7700
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.2300
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.7500
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.2500
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.2350
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.7650
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.2350
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.7250
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.2750
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.7450
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.2550
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.7650
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.2350
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.7650
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.2350
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.7650
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.2350
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.7650
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.2350
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.7650
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 3236.08, Sell volume: 3534.73, Average price: 0.4983, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.2250
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.7850
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.2150
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.7550
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.2450
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.7750
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.2250
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.7750
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.2250
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.7800
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.2200
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.7600
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.2400
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.8550
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.1450
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9395
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0605
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9610
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0390
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9540
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0460
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9470
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0530
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9465
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0535
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9470
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0530
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9475
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0525
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9465
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0535
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.9595
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0405
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.9630
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.0370
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.9630
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0370
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9565
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0435
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.9635
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0365
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.9595
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0405
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9605
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0395
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.9605
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0395
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9585
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0415
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 3651.07, Sell volume: 14920.95, Average price: 0.6255, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9875
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0125
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9860
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0140
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9880
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0120
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9875
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0125
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9875
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0125
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9875
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0125
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9880
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0120
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9860
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0140
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9860
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0140
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9870
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0130
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9940
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0060
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9945
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0055
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9950
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0050
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9955
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0045
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9950
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0050
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9955
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0045
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.9955
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0045
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9945
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0055
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.9945
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0055
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.9945
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0055
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.9945
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0055
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.9945
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0055
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.9935
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0065
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.9910
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0090
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9910
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 1759.65, Sell volume: 2544.00, Average price: 0.6545, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0120
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9875
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0125
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9875
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0125
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9880
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0120
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9870
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0130
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9870
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0130
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9870
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9895
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0105
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9895
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0105
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9890
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0110
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.9890
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0110
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.9890
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0110
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.9890
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0110
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.9890
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0110
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.9890
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0110
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9875
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0125
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.9865
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0135
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 49.03, Sell volume: 40.31, Average price: 0.9882, Price range: 0.9830 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9865
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0135
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9865
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0135
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9875
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9875
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9875
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9875
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.9875
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9855
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0145
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.9855
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0145
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.9850
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0150
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9850
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0150
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.9850
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0150
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.9850
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0150
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9770
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0230
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.9770
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0230
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.9770
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2959.19, Sell volume: 3092.58, Average price: 0.9368, Price range: 0.0179 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0230
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9780
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0220
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9780
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0220
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9780
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0220
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9750
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0250
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9750
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0250
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9750
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0250
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9745
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0255
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9745
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0255
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9745
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0255
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9745
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0255
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9745
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0255
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9735
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0265
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9735
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0265
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9735
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0265
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9735
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0265
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9735
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0265
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9735
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0265
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9735
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0265
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9735
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0265
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9735
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0265
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9735
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0265
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9735
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0265
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9735
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0265
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9735
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0265
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 182.13, Sell volume: 587.55, Average price: 0.9228, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9790
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0210
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9790
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0210
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9790
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0210
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9790
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0210
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9790
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0210
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9790
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0210
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9790
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0210
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9785
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0215
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9785
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0215
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9775
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0225
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9775
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0225
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9775
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0225
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9775
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0225
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9670
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0330
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9685
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0315
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9685
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0315
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.9685
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0315
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9680
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0320
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9680
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0320
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9675
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0325
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9675
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0325
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9675
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0325
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9675
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0325
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9675
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0325
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9675
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 109.36, Average price: 0.9605, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9710

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0305
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9690
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0310
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9690
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0310
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9690
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0310
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9695
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0305
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9690
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0310
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9690
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0310
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9695
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0305
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9700
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0300
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9700
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0300
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9710
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0290
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9865
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0135
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9875
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0125
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0140
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.9885
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0115
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9905
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0095
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9920
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0080
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.9920
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0080
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9920
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0080
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9920
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0080
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.9930
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0070
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9925
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0075
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 52399.38, Sell volume: 54752.82, Average price: 0.6068, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9955
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9955
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9955
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.9955
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9955
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9955
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9955
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9960
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0040
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.9960
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0040
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9960
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0040
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8778.69, Sell volume: 604.44, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.7050
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.2950
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.7150
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.2850
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.6700
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.3300
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.6700
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.3300
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.6700
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.3300
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.6800
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.3200
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.7450
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.2550
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.7500
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.6450
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.3550
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.6950
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.3050
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.7000
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.7000
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.6850
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.3150
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.7000
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.7000
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 8569.16, Sell volume: 1789.46, Average price: 0.4758, Price range: 0.1614 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.7400
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.2600
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.7500
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.2500
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.6950
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.3050
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.7200
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.2800
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.7200
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.2800
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.7050
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.2950
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.6850
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.3150
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.7350
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.2650
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.7450
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.2550
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.7400
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.2600
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.7650
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.2350
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.7600
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.2400
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.7750
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.2250
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.7700
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 14764.87, Sell volume: 5173.14, Average price: 0.5323, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.4150
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.5850
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.5400
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.4600
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.5050
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.4950
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.5550
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.4450
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.6650
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.3350
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.6550
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.3450
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.6900
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.3100
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.7000
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.3000
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.7500
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.2500
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.7200
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.2800
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.6750
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.3250
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.6400
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.3600
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.6350
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.3650
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.6650
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.3350
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.6750
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 2868.87, Sell volume: 4305.91, Average price: 0.4834, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.3100
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.6800
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.3200
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.7050
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.2950
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.7000
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.3000
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.7150
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.2850
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 6239.74, Sell volume: 934.65, Average price: 0.6251, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.7050
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.2950
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.7700
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.2300
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.7600
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.2400
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.7450
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.2550
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.7800
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.2200
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.7900
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.2100
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.7450
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.2550
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.7900
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.2100
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.7950
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.2050
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.7750
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.2250
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.7700
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.2300
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.7650
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.7500
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 3236.08, Sell volume: 3534.73, Average price: 0.4983, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.2250
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.7850
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.2150
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.7550
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.2450
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.7750
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.2250
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.7750
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.2250
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.7800
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.2200
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.7600
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.2400
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.8550
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.1450
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.9395
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0605
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9610
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0390
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9540
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0460
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9470
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0530
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9465
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0535
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9470
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0530
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9475
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0525
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 3651.07, Sell volume: 14920.95, Average price: 0.6255, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9875
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0125
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9860
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0140
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9880
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0120
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9875
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0125
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9875
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0125
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9875
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0125
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9880
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0120
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9860
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0140
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9860
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0140
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9870
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0130
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9940
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0060
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9945
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0055
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9950
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0050
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9955
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0045
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9950
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 1759.65, Sell volume: 2544.00, Average price: 0.6545, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0120
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9875
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0125
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9875
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0125
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9880
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0120
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9870
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0130
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9870
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0130
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9870
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9870
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0130
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9895
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0105
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9895
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0105
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9890
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0110
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 49.03, Sell volume: 40.31, Average price: 0.9882, Price range: 0.9830 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9865
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0135
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9865
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0135
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9875
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9875
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9880
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0120
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9875
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0125
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9875
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2959.19, Sell volume: 3092.58, Average price: 0.9368, Price range: 0.0179 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0230
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9780
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0220
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9780
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0220
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9780
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0220
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9750
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0250
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9750
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0250
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9750
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0250
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9745
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0255
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9745
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0255
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9745
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0255
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9745
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0255
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9745
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0255
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9735
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0265
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9735
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0265
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9735
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0265
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 182.13, Sell volume: 587.55, Average price: 0.9228, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9790
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0210
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9790
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0210
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9790
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0210
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9790
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0210
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9790
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0210
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9790
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0210
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9790
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0210
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9785
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0215
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9785
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0215
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9775
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0225
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9775
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0225
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9775
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0225
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9775
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0225
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9670
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0330
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9685
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 109.36, Average price: 0.9605, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9710
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0305
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9690
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0310
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9690
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0310
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9690
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0310
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9695
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0305
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9690
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0310
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9690
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0310
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9695
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0305
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9700
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0300
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9700
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0300
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9710
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0290
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9865
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0135
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9875
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0125
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 52399.38, Sell volume: 54752.82, Average price: 0.6068, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520709
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 199372.289577
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9960
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0040
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9955
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0045
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9955
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 8778.69, Sell volume: 604.44, Average price: 0.9691, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0350
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9650
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0345
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.9665
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0335
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.9755
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0195
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9815
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0170
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9835
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0175
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.9260
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0575
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9415
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0530
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.9845
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0390
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9070
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0805
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.9225
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0710
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9200
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0635
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.9480
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.1435
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5385
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.1920
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.8970
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.1045
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.8955
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.0985
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9190
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9345
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9450
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0600
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9515
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0275
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9720
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0945
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9055
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0945
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9055
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0655
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9375
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0435
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9570
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0435
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0350
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9560
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0430
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9575
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0370
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9715
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0285
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9745
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0270
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9750
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0240
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9750
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0305
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9720
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0275
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9735
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0160
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9840
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0160
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9845
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0155
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9855
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0150
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9850
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0170
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9830
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0170
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9830
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0170
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9830
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0175
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9825
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0175
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9825
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0175
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9825
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0175
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9825
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0175
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9825
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0175
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9820
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0185
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9800
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9810
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0190
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9810
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0190
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0190
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9810
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0190
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9810
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0190
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9810
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0190
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9810
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0190
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9810
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0185
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9815
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0185
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9815
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0185
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9815
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0185
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9840
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0160
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9840
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0160
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9840
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0160
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9840
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0160
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9840
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0160
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9580
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0425
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.9575
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.0430
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9580
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.0435
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.9565
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0510
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9385
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0620
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9385
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0655
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9480
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0580
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.9465
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0545
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9465
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0545
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9485
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0515
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.9485
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.0510
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0515
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.9485
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.0525
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.9470
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0530
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.9475
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0545
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.9435
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.0530
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9485
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.0510
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9480
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.0580
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.9470
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.0605
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.9470
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.0515
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.9475
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0525
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.9380
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.0550
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.9375
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0640
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.9360
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0640
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.9360
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.0640
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9365
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.0630
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.9385
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.0615
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9440
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.0590
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.9455
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.0530
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.9450
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0590
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9410
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0590
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.9405
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0585
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.9410
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.0600
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9475
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.0525
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9475
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.0525
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.9480
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.0525
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0530
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.9470
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.0520
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.9475
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0575
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9425
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.0570
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.9380
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.0575
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9440
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.0540
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.9380
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.0625
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.9375
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.0560
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.9420
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0615
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.9385
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0615
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9385
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0590
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.9410
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0550
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9470
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0575
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.9415
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0605
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9460
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0670
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9390
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.0675
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9340
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0630
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9405
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0895
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9125
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.4610
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.8935
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.1095
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.5265
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.1170
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.8910
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.1140
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.8830
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.1105
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9060
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.0915
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.8705
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.3575
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.6420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0970
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.9025
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.1305
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.8790
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.1005
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.9010
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.0960
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.8975
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.1030
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9035
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0975
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.8970
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.1015
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.9020
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.1020
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.8975
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.1025
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.8975
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.1025
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.8975
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.0890
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9110
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0890
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9110
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0890
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.9110
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0890
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9110
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.1540
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.8465
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.1550
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.8505
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.1495
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.8535
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.1465
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.8535
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.1465
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.8540
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.1465
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.8535
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.1460
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.8490
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.1505
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.8530
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.1465
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.8535
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.1465
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.8540
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.1465
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.8535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.1500
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.8535
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0845
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9155
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0865
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.9090
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0915
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.9085
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0925
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9075
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0920
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.9080
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0900
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9080
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0925
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.9090
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0895
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9110
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0930
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9085
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0910
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9085
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0930
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9070
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.0930
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.9070
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0940
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9070
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0910
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9105
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0900
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9095
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.0935
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9080
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0915
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9075
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0925
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9105
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0520
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.9525
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0525
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.9475
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0530
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9460
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0545
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9450
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0550
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9455
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0545
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0545
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.9460
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.0540
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9390
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0620
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.9395
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0605
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9400
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0610
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9395
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0600
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9395
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0605
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9400
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.0605
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9395
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0590
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9420
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0580
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.9390
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0590
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9395
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0605
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9400
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0615
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9400
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0595
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9405
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9395
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0610
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.9390
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0620
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.9380
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.0615
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9385
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0610
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9400
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0595
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9370
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0590
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9400
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0615
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9370
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0625
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9415
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.0560
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0565
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0570
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9435
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0565
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9435
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0565
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9435
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0565
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9430
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0675
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9345
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0635
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9375
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0625
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9375
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0630
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9365
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0620
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9365
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0630
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9400
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0570
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9360
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0625
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0620
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9375
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0595
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0640
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9360
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0625
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9335
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0595
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9430
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0660
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9420
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0635
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.8570
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0910
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.9075
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0890
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9170
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0825
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9110
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0850
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9120
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0830
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9130
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0845
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0790
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9230
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0785
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9220
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0790
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9210
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0775
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9220
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0780
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9220
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0760
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9230
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0825
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0770
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9225
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0780
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9240
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0770
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9205
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0775
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9215
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0780
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9220
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0765
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9235
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0680
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9385
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0665
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9375
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0690
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9310
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0670
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9250
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0780
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9345
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0690
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9320
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0645
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9355
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0665
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9335
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9350
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0720
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9265
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0780
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9255
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0670
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0670
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9200
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0660
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9355
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0585
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9615
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0645
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9340
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0685
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9070
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.0905
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9110
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0965
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9240
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0795
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9315
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0685
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9325
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0765
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9280
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0735
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9290
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0705
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.8850
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.1025
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.8925
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0985
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9195
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0845
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9200
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9295
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0660
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9375
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0620
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9330
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0625
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9320
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0620
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9390
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0610
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9415
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0610
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9280
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0700
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9295
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0695
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9305
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0630
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0525
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9390
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0610
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9375
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0660
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9380
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0615
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9385
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0615
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9360
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0485
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9490
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0430
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9570
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0435
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9480
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9515
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0420
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9585
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0535
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9490
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0450
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9515
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0565
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9490
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9510
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0505
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9515
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0645
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9360
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0555
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9445
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0520
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9395
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0605
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9370
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0505
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9475
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0580
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9470
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0680
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9390
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0415
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9370
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0680
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9295
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0585
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1075
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9055
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0900
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9090
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0890
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.8995
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0860
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9075
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0820
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9110
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.1005
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9000
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.1005
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9050
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0930
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9165
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0940
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9115
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0900
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9080
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0895
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9100
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0890
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9105
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0835
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9185
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0755
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9160
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0870
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9125
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0990
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9105
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0930
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9110
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0945
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9060
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0880
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9135
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0880
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9150
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0845
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9130
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0870
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9175
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0915
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9080
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9085
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0920
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999998, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349072.98, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0350
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9655
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0335
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.9765
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0175
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9835
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0740
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.9415
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0520
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9610
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0805
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9260
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0525
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.9490
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.1870
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.8970
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.1045
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.9035
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0670
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0600
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9730
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0945
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9055
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0945
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9375
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0430
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9560
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0440
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0350
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9560
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0355
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9715
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0240
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9750
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0250
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9695
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0275
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9840
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0160
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9845
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0145
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9850
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0170
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9830
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0170
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9825
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0175
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9825
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0175
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9825
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0175
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9810
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0200
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9810
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0190
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9810
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0190
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0190
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9810
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0190
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9810
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0190
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9810
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0185
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9815
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0185
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9815
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0160
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9840
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0160
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9840
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0160
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9580
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0425
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.9575
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0440
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9490
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0620
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9370
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0560
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9410
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.0615
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9485
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0515
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9485
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0520
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.9485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525004
Question: Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Volume: 1471793.501279
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0515
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9480
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.0515
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9440
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0575
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9485
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0520
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.9490
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.0625
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9485
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0525
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9380
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.0640
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.9360
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0640
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9365
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.0615
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.9465
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0610
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.9470
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0590
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.9410
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0595
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9420
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.0525
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9475
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0520
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9470
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0520
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.9475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 51243776.84, Sell volume: 38349338.01, Average price: 0.4821, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes