Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641846
Question: Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 22092.134331
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 1307.60, Sell volume: 1035.60, Average price: 0.8529, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641846
Question: Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 22092.134331
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9820
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.2580, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641846
Question: Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 22092.134331
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9890
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9940
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9955
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 1936.67, Sell volume: 1941.52, Average price: 0.7305, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9974
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641846
Question: Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 22092.134331
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0065
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0065
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0065
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9940
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0060
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9955
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0045
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9965
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9955
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0045
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 255.66, Sell volume: 313.28, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641846
Question: Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 22092.134331
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9965
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0040
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9960
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 527.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.0097 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641846
Question: Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 22092.134331
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9925
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0075
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9925
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 542.99, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641846
Question: Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 22092.134331
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9930
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9930
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9930
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9930
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9930
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9930
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9930
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 43.31, Sell volume: 123.30, Average price: 0.7455, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641846
Question: Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 22092.134331
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641846
Question: Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 22092.134331
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 1254.54, Sell volume: 6.55, Average price: 0.9814, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641846
Question: Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 22092.134331
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 282.22, Sell volume: 599.99, Average price: 0.8320, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641846
Question: Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 22092.134331
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 2070.12, Sell volume: 430.65, Average price: 0.9726, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641846
Question: Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 22092.134331
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 399.96, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641846
Question: Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 22092.134331
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 2043.47, Sell volume: 6387.74, Average price: 0.9083, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641846
Question: Will Nachi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 22092.134331
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 1307.60, Sell volume: 1035.60, Average price: 0.8529, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7500
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0200
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9820
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9820
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 51.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9920
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9950
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0035
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0035
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0065
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 712.55, Sell volume: 454.37, Average price: 0.7366, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0065
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9885
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9895
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 255.66, Sell volume: 709.09, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.3343, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 259.99, Average price: 0.0025, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0030

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.55, Sell volume: 6.54, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 249.33, Sell volume: 44.04, Average price: 0.9958, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 1236.10, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.9810, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9920
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 214.46, Sell volume: 713.71, Average price: 0.6835, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 1223.92, Sell volume: 796.03, Average price: 0.8898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 168.63, Average price: 0.0013, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 195.00, Sell volume: 3457.17, Average price: 0.5554, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 239, Buy volume: 4157.22, Sell volume: 6754.57, Average price: 0.8145, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.5000
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.5000
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.5000
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.5000
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.4750
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.5250
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.1550
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.8450
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.0950
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.52, Average price: 0.0500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.1450
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.8550
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.1450
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.8550
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.1450
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.8550
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.1550
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.8450
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0800
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 226.30, Sell volume: 2.13, Average price: 0.5715, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0600
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.9400
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.9450
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.9450
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.9450
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 51.78, Sell volume: 35.81, Average price: 0.6943, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.9450
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.9450
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.9450
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0250
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.9750
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0125
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 623.57, Sell volume: 106.00, Average price: 0.7239, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0060
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.9940
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0060
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.9940
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0060
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.9940
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0060
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.9940
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0055
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0055
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9945
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0055
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.9945
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0050
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.9950
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 66133.58, Sell volume: 145.00, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 67779.00, Sell volume: 331.46, Average price: 0.6097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 67779.00, Sell volume: 331.46, Average price: 0.6097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 67779.00, Sell volume: 331.46, Average price: 0.6097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 67779.00, Sell volume: 331.46, Average price: 0.6097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 67779.00, Sell volume: 331.46, Average price: 0.6097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 67779.00, Sell volume: 331.46, Average price: 0.6097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 67779.00, Sell volume: 331.46, Average price: 0.6097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7500
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9750
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0180
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 51.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0040
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0050
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9940
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 712.55, Sell volume: 454.37, Average price: 0.7366, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0065
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0065
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0060
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9885
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9945
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 255.66, Sell volume: 709.09, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9925
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.3343, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 259.99, Average price: 0.0025, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.55, Sell volume: 6.54, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 249.33, Sell volume: 44.04, Average price: 0.9958, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 1236.10, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.9810, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9920
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 214.46, Sell volume: 713.71, Average price: 0.6835, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 1223.92, Sell volume: 796.03, Average price: 0.8898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 168.63, Average price: 0.0013, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 195.00, Sell volume: 3457.17, Average price: 0.5554, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641848
Question: Will Stablecoin Sean win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10911.791831
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 239, Buy volume: 4157.22, Sell volume: 6754.57, Average price: 0.8145, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.5000
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.5000
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.5000
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.5000
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.4750
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.5250
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.1550
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.8450
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.0950
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.52, Average price: 0.0500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.1450
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.8550
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.1450
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.8550
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.1450
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.8550
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.1550
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.8450
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0800
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 226.30, Sell volume: 2.13, Average price: 0.5715, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0600
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.9400
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.9450
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.9450
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.9450
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 51.78, Sell volume: 35.81, Average price: 0.6943, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.9450
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.9450
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0550
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.9450
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0250
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.9750
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0125
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 623.57, Sell volume: 106.00, Average price: 0.7239, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0060
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.9940
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0060
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.9940
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0060
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.9940
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0060
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.9940
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0055
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0055
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9945
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0055
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.9945
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0050
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.9950
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 66133.58, Sell volume: 145.00, Average price: 0.7495, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 67779.00, Sell volume: 331.46, Average price: 0.6097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 67779.00, Sell volume: 331.46, Average price: 0.6097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 67779.00, Sell volume: 331.46, Average price: 0.6097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 67779.00, Sell volume: 331.46, Average price: 0.6097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 67779.00, Sell volume: 331.46, Average price: 0.6097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 67779.00, Sell volume: 331.46, Average price: 0.6097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512862
Question: Will someone else be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 68110.455639
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 67779.00, Sell volume: 331.46, Average price: 0.6097, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.3650
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.6350
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.2350
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.7650
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.2500
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.7500
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.2700
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.7300
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.2100
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 8.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5650, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.2100
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.7900
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.2150
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.7850
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.2500
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.7500
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.2500
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.7500
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.2500
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 3162.82, Sell volume: 3000.00, Average price: 0.5344, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.2500
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.7500
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.2500
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.7500
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.2600
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.7400
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.3100
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.6900
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.3250
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 70.19, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5429, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.3300
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.6700
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.3300
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.6700
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.3350
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.6650
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.3250
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.6750
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.5100
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 7998.53, Sell volume: 5026.00, Average price: 0.4964, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6787

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.5100
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.4900
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.5100
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.4900
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.5100
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.4900
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.5100
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.4900
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.5050
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 103.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.5350
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.4650
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.5350
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.4650
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.5350
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.4650
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.5350
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.4650
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.5450
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 406.04, Sell volume: 2.13, Average price: 0.4855, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.5600
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.4400
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.5550
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.4450
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.5550
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.4450
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.5500
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.4500
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.5500
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 12.52, Sell volume: 28.00, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.5500
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.4500
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.5500
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.4500
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.6250
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.3750
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.7450
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.2550
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.8150
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4416.54, Sell volume: 94.87, Average price: 0.4826, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.7750
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.2250
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.8100
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.1900
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.8250
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.1750
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.8200
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.1800
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.8400
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 784.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8176, Price range: 0.7886 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.8500
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.1500
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.8450
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.1550
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9960
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0040
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 3118.00, Sell volume: 622.90, Average price: 0.7043, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.9970
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.0030
2024-11-14 00:00: 0.9980
2024-11-14 00:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.9980
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2069.00, Sell volume: 505.00, Average price: 0.8564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 6631.00, Sell volume: 2285.00, Average price: 0.7595, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 45691.10, Sell volume: 2871.73, Average price: 0.7264, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.3650
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.6350
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.2350
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.7650
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.2500
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.7500
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.2700
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.7300
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.2100
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 8.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5650, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.2100
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.7900
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.2150
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.7850
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.2500
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.7500
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.2500
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.7500
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.2500
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 3162.82, Sell volume: 3000.00, Average price: 0.5344, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.2500
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.7500
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.2500
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.7500
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.2600
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.7400
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.3100
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.6900
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.3250
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 70.19, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5429, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.3300
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.6700
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.3300
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.6700
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.3350
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.6650
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.3250
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.6750
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.5100
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 7998.53, Sell volume: 5026.00, Average price: 0.4964, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6787
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.5100
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.4900
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.5100
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.4900
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.5100
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.4900
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.5100
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.4900
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.5050
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 103.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.5200 - 0.5400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.5350
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.4650
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.5350
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.4650
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.5350
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.4650
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.5350
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.4650
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.5450
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 406.04, Sell volume: 2.13, Average price: 0.4855, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.5600
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.4400
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.5550
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.4450
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.5550
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.4450
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.5500
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.4500
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.5500
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 12.52, Sell volume: 28.00, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.5500
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.4500
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.5500
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.4500
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.6250
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.3750
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.7450
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.2550
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.8150
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4416.54, Sell volume: 94.87, Average price: 0.4826, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.7750
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.2250
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.8100
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.1900
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.8250
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.1750
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.8200
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.1800
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.8400
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 784.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8176, Price range: 0.7886 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.8500
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.1500
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.8450
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.1550
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9960
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0040
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 3118.00, Sell volume: 622.90, Average price: 0.7043, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.9970
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.0030
2024-11-14 00:00: 0.9980
2024-11-14 00:00: 0.0020
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.9980
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 2069.00, Sell volume: 505.00, Average price: 0.8564, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 6631.00, Sell volume: 2285.00, Average price: 0.7595, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512800
Question: Will Lisa McClain be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 111082.948406
Price History:
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.9985
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 45691.10, Sell volume: 2871.73, Average price: 0.7264, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.3550
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.6450
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.3150
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.6850
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.2850
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.7150
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.2850
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.7150
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.2050
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 36683.53, Sell volume: 26863.28, Average price: 0.5297, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.2050
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.7950
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.2150
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.7850
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.2150
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.7850
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.2150
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.7850
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.2150
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 10586.96, Sell volume: 10500.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.2150
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.7850
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.2150
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.7850
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.3350
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.6650
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.2600
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.7400
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.2600
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 4312.76, Sell volume: 3000.00, Average price: 0.4671, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.2650
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.7350
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.2650
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.7350
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.2650
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.7350
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.2650
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.7350
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.4050
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 12928.33, Sell volume: 12700.00, Average price: 0.5144, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.4100
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.5900
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.4100
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.5900
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.4100
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.5900
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.4100
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.5900
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.4100
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6100, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.6100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.4100
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.5900
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.4100
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.5900
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.4050
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.5950
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.4050
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.5950
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.4100
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 225.85, Sell volume: 2.13, Average price: 0.5320, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.4150
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.5850
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.4150
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.5850
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.4150
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.5850
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.4100
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.5900
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.4100
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.51, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.5333, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.4100
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.5900
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.4100
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.5900
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.3350
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.6650
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.2250
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.7750
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.2050
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3627.96, Sell volume: 168.00, Average price: 0.6142, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.1550
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.8450
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.1750
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.8250
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.1750
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.8250
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.1700
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.8300
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.1500
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 511.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8551, Price range: 0.8300 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.1350
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.8650
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.1350
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.8650
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2938.97, Sell volume: 360.00, Average price: 0.5189, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2080.00, Sell volume: 360.00, Average price: 0.1826, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2080.00, Sell volume: 360.00, Average price: 0.1826, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2080.00, Sell volume: 360.00, Average price: 0.1826, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.3550
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.6450
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.3150
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.6850
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.2850
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.7150
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.2850
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.7150
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.2050
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 36683.53, Sell volume: 26863.28, Average price: 0.5297, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.2050
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.7950
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.2150
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.7850
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.2150
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.7850
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.2150
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.7850
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.2150
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 10586.96, Sell volume: 10500.00, Average price: 0.4820, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.2150
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.7850
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.2150
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.7850
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.3350
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.6650
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.2600
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.7400
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.2600
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 4312.76, Sell volume: 3000.00, Average price: 0.4671, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.2650
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.7350
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.2650
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.7350
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.2650
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.7350
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.2650
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.7350
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.4050
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 12928.33, Sell volume: 12700.00, Average price: 0.5144, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.4100
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.5900
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.4100
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.5900
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.4100
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.5900
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.4100
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.5900
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.4100
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6100, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512801
Question: Will Kat Cammack be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 63546.809146
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.4100
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.5900
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.4100
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.5900
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.4050
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.5950
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.4050
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.5950
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.4100
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 225.85, Sell volume: 2.13, Average price: 0.5320, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No