Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9920
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9920
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.9920
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9920
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.9920
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.9920
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9920
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9920
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9930
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9945
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9920
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.9930
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9940
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9940
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.9930
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9930
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9940
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9920
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9930
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9945
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9925
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9930
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9930
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.9920
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.9930
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9920
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.9940
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 207.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0048, Price range: 0.0048 - 0.0048

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0070
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0080
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0055
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0070
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0045
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 3127.89, Sell volume: 2151.05, Average price: 0.6475, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9925
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9930
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9940
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9950
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9950
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9930
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9940
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9930
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9955
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9950
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9930
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9925
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9945
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9930
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9950
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9920
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9940
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9950
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9940
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9930
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 3127.89, Sell volume: 2151.05, Average price: 0.6475, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0070
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0070
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0050
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0050
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0070
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0060
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0070
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0070
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0060
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0045
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0045
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0055
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0040
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 3127.89, Sell volume: 2151.05, Average price: 0.6475, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9965
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9965
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 3127.89, Sell volume: 2151.05, Average price: 0.6475, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 3127.89, Sell volume: 2151.05, Average price: 0.6475, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.2450
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.7550
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.2500
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.7500
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0610
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.9045
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0995
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.9000
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.1035
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.9005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0860
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.9110
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0885
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9115
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.0870
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.9130
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0875
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.9130
2025-06-21 23:00: 0.0870
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.9120
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0880
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9125
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0880
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9120
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0870
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.9135
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0855
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.9145
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0860
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 581.49, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.5970, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9125
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.2750
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.7725
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.2300
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.7570
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.2755
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.7100
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.2740
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.7555
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.2485
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.7525
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.2265
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.7745
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.2255
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.7740
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.2260
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.8000
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.2000
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.8000
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.2005
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.8030
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.1890
2025-06-24 16:00: 0.7995
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.2010
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.8125
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.1305
2025-06-24 22:00: 0.7485
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.1460
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.9330
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1704.02, Sell volume: 1462.50, Average price: 0.5375, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0120
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9905
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0095
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.9895
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0095
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.9925
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0095
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9905
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0095
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.9905
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0095
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.9905
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0095
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.9900
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.0100
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9895
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0095
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.9895
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0035
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.9910
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0090
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9910
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0100
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.9900
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.0100
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.9900
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0100
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.9900
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0095
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 371.78, Sell volume: 503.75, Average price: 0.7095, Price range: 0.0019 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.9895
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9900
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9900
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9900
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.9900
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.0100
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.9900
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0100
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.9900
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0100
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9900
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0100
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9900
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0100
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.9935
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0055
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.9920
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0090
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9900
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.9905
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0090
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.9935
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.9900
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 184.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9987, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.9935
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.9935
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0070
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.9925
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0085
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.9935
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.9940
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9895
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0105
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.9895
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.9995
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.9900
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0045
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.9950
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.9950
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0050
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.9950
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0050
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.9950
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0100
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 77.77, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.8001, Price range: 0.0083 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9900
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0100
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9900
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0100
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9900
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0100
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9900
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.0100
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9900
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0100
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9900
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.0100
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9900
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9900
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9900
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0100
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.9900
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0065
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9940
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9930
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0055
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.9925
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0070
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9950
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0055
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9925
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 103.49, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.9930
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.9995
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 11.31, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0080
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0080
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0080
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0080
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9920
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0080
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9945
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0080
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9920
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0080
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.9920
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0080
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9920
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9920
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9940
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0050
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9930
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9920
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0055
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9925
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 207.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0048, Price range: 0.0048 - 0.0048
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0045
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9930
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0080
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9925
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.9930
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9955
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9920
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.9920
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9920
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9920
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.9920
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.9920
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0080
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9920
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.9920
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.9920
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.9920
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0080
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 3127.89, Sell volume: 2151.05, Average price: 0.6475, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9925
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0080
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9930
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.0080
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.0080
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9940
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0080
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9950
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0060
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0080
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0080
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0080
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0080
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0080
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9930
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0045
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9920
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0080
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0070
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9925
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0070
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9950
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 3127.89, Sell volume: 2151.05, Average price: 0.6475, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0070
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.9930
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0050
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9950
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0060
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.9940
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9930
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0060
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9955
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.9945
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9955
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0050
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.9960
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9960
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0040
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9965
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9960
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9960
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9960
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0040
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 3127.89, Sell volume: 2151.05, Average price: 0.6475, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9960
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 3127.89, Sell volume: 2151.05, Average price: 0.6475, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 554576
Question: Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Volume: 5278.937341
Price History:
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9965
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9965
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9965
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9965
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.9965
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9965
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9965
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.9965
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9965
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9965
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9965
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9965
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 104, Buy volume: 3127.89, Sell volume: 2151.05, Average price: 0.6475, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1450
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.8650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.1600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.1400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.1450
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.8550
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.1450
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.7950
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.8000
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.2000
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.6500
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.3500
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.6750
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.6600
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3400
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4450
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.6100
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.3900
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5700
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4300
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5900
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.6000
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.4000
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.6150
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4050
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.5650
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.4350
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.5450
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.3850
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.4050
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.3650
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.6350
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.2750
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.2700
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.2250
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.7750
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.2100
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.7900
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.1900
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.8100
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.1900
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.8100
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.2150
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.7850
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.1800
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.8200
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.1900
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.8100
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.1350
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.8650
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.1400
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.8600
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.8650
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 349650, Buy volume: 32159206.75, Sell volume: 46157776.02, Average price: 0.7662, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0415
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9585
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0300
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 649541, Buy volume: 135244146.88, Sell volume: 120131869.67, Average price: 0.8338, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0365
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0345
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9655
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0330
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9670
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0515
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9485
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0330
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9670
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0210
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9790
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0195
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9805
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 516, Buy volume: 339146.70, Sell volume: 500565.95, Average price: 0.5102, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1350
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0800
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9000
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1000
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1450
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.8650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.1600
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.1400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.1450
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.1400
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.8550
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.1450
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.7950
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.8000
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.2000
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.6500
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.3500
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.6750
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.6600
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3400
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.4450
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.6250
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.3750
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.6200
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.3800
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.6100
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.3900
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5700
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4300
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5900
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5900
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4100
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5950
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4050
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.6000
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.4000
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.6150
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4050
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.5650
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.4350
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.5450
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.3850
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.4050
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.3650
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.6350
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.2750
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.2700
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.2250
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.7750
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.2100
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.7900
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.1900
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.8100
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.1900
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.8100
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.2150
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.7850
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.1800
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.8200
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.1900
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.8100
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.1850
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.8150
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.8650
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.1350
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.8650
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 167984857.95, Sell volume: 167079735.25, Average price: 0.8100, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.1350
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.1400
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.8600
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.8650
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0950
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9050
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0800
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9200
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 349650, Buy volume: 32159206.75, Sell volume: 46157776.02, Average price: 0.7662, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9450
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9450
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9500
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0415
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9585
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0300
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 649541, Buy volume: 135244146.88, Sell volume: 120131869.67, Average price: 0.8338, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 688108
Question: Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 4953557.13802
Price History:
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0365
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0345
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9655
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0330
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9670
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0515
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9485
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0330
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9670
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0210
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9790
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0195
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9805
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 516, Buy volume: 339146.70, Sell volume: 500565.95, Average price: 0.5102, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1150
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.8850
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9800
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0250
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9750
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0200
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9800
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0250
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9750
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0180
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9820
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0180
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9820
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9855
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0170
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0130
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9870
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9915
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9915
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9915
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9920
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9925
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9925
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9925
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0090
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0090
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0090
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9900
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9890
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0110
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9890
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9890
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0110
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9890
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0100
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9900
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0100
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9900
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0090
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9910
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0090
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9910
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0090
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9910
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0090
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9910
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0090
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9910
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9945
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9940
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9940
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0065
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9935
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9935
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0070
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9930
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0065
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9935
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0065
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9935
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0065
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9935
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0080
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9920
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0080
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9920
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0080
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9920
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0085
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9915
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0085
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9915
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0080
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9920
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9920
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0080
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9920
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0085
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9915
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0100
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0095
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9905
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0080
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9920
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0080
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9920
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0085
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9915
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0125
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9875
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0085
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9915
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0080
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9920
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0085
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0095
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9905
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9855
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9825
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0100
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9900
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0090
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9910
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9870
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9825
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9825
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0090
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9910
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9850
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9860
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0095
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9905
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9885
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0140
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9860
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0085
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9915
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0080
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9920
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 823176, Buy volume: 67377474.34, Sell volume: 26261632.08, Average price: 0.6682, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0075
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9925
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9925
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9895
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0095
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9905
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0080
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9920
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0090
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9910
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0095
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9905
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0110
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9890
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9895
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9880
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0090
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9910
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0080
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9920
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9895
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0085
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.9915
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0090
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9910
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0030
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9970
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140860, Buy volume: 27096602.10, Sell volume: 9470650.06, Average price: 0.2920, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1150
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.8850
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9800
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0250
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9750
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0200
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9800
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0250
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9750
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9900
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0150
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9850
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0180
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0130
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9870
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0110
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9890
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9905
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0095
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9915
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9915
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9915
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9920
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9925
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0090
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9910
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0095
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9905
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0100
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9900
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0105
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9895
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9890
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0110
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9890
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0110
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9890
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0110
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9890
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0100
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9900
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0100
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9900
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9905
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0095
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0090
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9910
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0090
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9910
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0090
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9910
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0090
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9910
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0090
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9910
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9905
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9945
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9940
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9940
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0065
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9935
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9935
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0070
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9930
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0065
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9935
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0065
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9925
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0080
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9920
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0080
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9920
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0080
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9920
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0085
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9915
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0085
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9915
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0080
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9920
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0095
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9905
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0080
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9920
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0080
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9920
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0085
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9915
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0075
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9925
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0125
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 95920628.44, Sell volume: 38341670.14, Average price: 0.6111, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0095
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9905
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9855
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9825
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0100
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9900
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0090
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9910
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9870
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9825
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9825
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9850
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0090
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9910
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9850
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9860
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0095
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9905
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9885
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0140
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 823176, Buy volume: 67377474.34, Sell volume: 26261632.08, Average price: 0.6682, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525016
Question: Will  Anders Arborelius be the next pope?
Volume: 677016.742216
Price History:
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0075
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9925
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9925
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9895
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0095
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9905
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0080
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9920
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0090
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9910
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0095
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9905
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0110
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9890
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9895
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9880
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0090
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9910
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0080
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9920
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9895
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0085
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.9915
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0090
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140860, Buy volume: 27096602.10, Sell volume: 9470650.06, Average price: 0.2920, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.2450
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.7550
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.2700
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9100
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0800
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.9200
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.0800
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9200
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.0450
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.9550
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0400
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.9600
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.0270
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9730
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.0270
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.9730
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.0225
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.9775
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0225
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9775
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0235
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9765
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.0255
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.9745
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.0250
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9750
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.0265
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.9735
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0245
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.9755
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.0240
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.9760
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0240
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9760
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0240
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.9760
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0265
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9735
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0260
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58998117.76, Sell volume: 25974269.08, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0225
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9775
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0225
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9775
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0225
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9775
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0225
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9775
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0335
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.9665
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0330
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.9670
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.0300
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.9700
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9765
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0300
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9700
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0305
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9695
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0305
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.9695
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.0275
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.9725
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0255
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.9745
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.9765
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.9765
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9765
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9765
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.9765
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.9765
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9765
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0195
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.9805
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0200
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9800
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0195
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.9805
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0195
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.9805
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.0195
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58998117.76, Sell volume: 25974269.08, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0200
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.9800
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.0195
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.9805
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0120
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.9880
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0090
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.9910
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.0085
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.9915
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0130
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.9870
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0130
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9870
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0125
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9875
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.9880
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9880
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.9880
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.9880
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.9880
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0125
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9875
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0125
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.9875
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.0125
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.9875
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.0115
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9885
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.9880
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9880
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.9880
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0110
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9890
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.0125
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.9875
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.0120
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.9880
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.0130
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58998117.76, Sell volume: 25974269.08, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0125
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.9875
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.9865
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.0110
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.9890
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0120
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.9880
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0120
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9880
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.9880
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.0125
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.9875
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0120
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9880
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0110
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9890
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.0105
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.9895
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.0105
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.9895
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0125
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9875
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.0120
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.9880
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.0120
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9880
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0120
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.9880
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0105
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9895
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0110
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.9890
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0105
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9895
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.0105
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9895
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.9925
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.0075
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9925
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.0075
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.9925
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.0070
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.9930
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0070
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58998117.76, Sell volume: 25974269.08, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0080
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.9920
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0080
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.9920
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.0080
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.9920
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.0085
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.9915
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0090
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9910
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0090
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.9910
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0090
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.9910
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.0090
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.9910
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0090
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.9910
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.0090
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9910
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0090
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.9910
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.0090
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9910
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0090
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.9910
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0090
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.9910
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.0090
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58998117.76, Sell volume: 25974269.08, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0095
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.9905
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.9905
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0105
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9895
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.9905
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0090
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9910
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0090
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.9910
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0110
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.9890
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0100
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.9900
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0100
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9900
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.0105
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9895
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0100
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.9900
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0095
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.9905
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0090
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.9910
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0090
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.9910
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0080
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.9920
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0080
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.9920
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.0080
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.9920
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0055
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.9945
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0055
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.9945
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.0055
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9945
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0055
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9945
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0055
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 00:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 58998117.76, Sell volume: 25974269.08, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9945
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0055
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9945
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9945
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9930
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1998, Buy volume: 59920.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9940, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9930
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9930
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9930
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9925
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9915
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9945
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9945
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9945
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9955
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9925
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0050
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9950
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0110
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9890
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0105
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9895
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9895
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0115
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9885
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0300
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9700
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0225
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 257742, Buy volume: 25027498.89, Sell volume: 6832380.78, Average price: 0.6253, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0205
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9795
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0205
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9795
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.2315
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.7685
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.1590
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.8410
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0315
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9685
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0345
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9655
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0300
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9700
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0255
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9745
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0320
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9680
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0345
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9655
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0325
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9675
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0325
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9675
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0285
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9715
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0220
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9780
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0175
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9825
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0120
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9880
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0120
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9880
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0120
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9880
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0120
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9880
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0120
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9880
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0105
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9895
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0105
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9895
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0120
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9880
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9885
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 447552, Buy volume: 17804021.15, Sell volume: 14308457.22, Average price: 0.6336, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9890
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0110
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9890
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9885
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9885
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9885
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9885
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9885
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9885
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0125
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9875
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0125
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9875
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0125
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9875
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0125
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9875
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9855
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9865
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9855
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9855
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9855
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9805
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0155
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9845
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0140
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9860
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0105
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9895
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0105
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9895
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0105
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113886, Buy volume: 7839873.43, Sell volume: 1161457.38, Average price: 0.7138, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9895
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9855
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9855
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9855
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9860
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0120
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9880
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0120
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9880
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0120
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9880
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9865
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0125
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9885
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9890
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9895
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9895
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9895
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9885
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9885
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153884, Buy volume: 8113873.75, Sell volume: 3479779.93, Average price: 0.7983, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 546076
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130225.118847
Price History:
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9890
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9890
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9885
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9885
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9885
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9890
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9890
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9890
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9890
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9890
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9890
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9890
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9890
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9890
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 663, Buy volume: 13740.57, Sell volume: 8536.32, Average price: 0.8027, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: Yes