Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 500757
Question: Will another candidate win the MO-1 Democratic House Primary?
Volume: 8816.176666
Price History:
2024-07-30 13:00: 0.4950
2024-07-30 18:00: 0.5050
2024-07-31 00:00: 0.0165
2024-07-31 05:00: 0.9895
2024-07-31 11:00: 0.0105
2024-07-31 16:00: 0.9900
2024-07-31 22:00: 0.0100
2024-08-01 03:00: 0.9900
2024-08-01 09:00: 0.0105
2024-08-01 14:00: 0.9900
2024-08-01 20:00: 0.0075
2024-08-02 01:00: 0.9970
2024-08-02 07:00: 0.0030
2024-08-02 12:00: 0.9970
2024-08-02 18:00: 0.0030
2024-08-02 23:00: 0.9970
2024-08-03 05:00: 0.0025
2024-08-03 10:00: 0.9980
2024-08-03 16:00: 0.0020
2024-08-03 21:00: 0.9980
2024-08-04 03:00: 0.0015
2024-08-04 08:00: 0.9985
2024-08-04 14:00: 0.0015
2024-08-04 19:00: 0.9980
2024-08-05 01:00: 0.0020
2024-08-05 06:00: 0.9980
2024-08-05 12:00: 0.0020
2024-08-05 17:00: 0.9980
2024-08-05 23:00: 0.0020
2024-08-06 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.5100
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.4900
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.7250
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.2750
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.7250
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.2750
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.7300
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.2700
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.7300
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.2700
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.7300
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.2700
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.7300
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.2700
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.7300
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.2700
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.7300
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.2700
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.7350
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.2650
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.7300
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.2700
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.7300
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.2700
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.7300
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.2700
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.2700
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.2700
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.2700
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.2700
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.2700
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.2700
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.7350
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.2650
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.2700
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.7350
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.2650
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.7350
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.2650
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.7350
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.2650
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.7250
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 10170.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6874, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.7250
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.2750
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.2700
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.7250
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.2750
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.7150
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.2850
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.7150
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.2850
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.7150
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.2850
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.7150
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.2850
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.2800
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.2800
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.2800
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.2800
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.2800
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.2800
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.2800
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.2800
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.2800
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.2800
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.2800
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.2800
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.2800
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.7100
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.2900
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.6700
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.3300
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.6750
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.3250
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.6750
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.3250
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.6750
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8607.30, Sell volume: 1000.00, Average price: 0.6238, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.6850
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.3150
2024-06-20 06:00: 0.6850
2024-06-20 06:00: 0.3150
2024-06-20 07:00: 0.6850
2024-06-20 07:00: 0.3150
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.6850
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.3150
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.6850
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.3150
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.6850
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.3150
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.6850
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.3150
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.6850
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.3150
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.7150
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.2850
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.7200
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.2800
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.7150
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.2850
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.7200
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.2800
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.7250
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.2750
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.7200
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.2800
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.7250
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.2750
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.7200
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.2800
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.7150
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.2850
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.7150
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.2850
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.7150
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.2850
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.7150
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.2850
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.7200
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.2800
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.7200
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.2800
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.7200
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.2800
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.7200
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.2800
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.7200
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 4464.59, Sell volume: 1736.84, Average price: 0.6256, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7438

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.7150
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.2850
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.7150
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.2850
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.7150
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.2850
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.7150
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.2850
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.6950
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.3050
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.7050
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.2950
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.7050
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.2950
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.7050
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.2950
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.7050
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.2950
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.7050
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.2950
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.7050
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.2950
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.7050
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.2950
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.7000
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.3000
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.7000
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.3000
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.7000
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.3000
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.7050
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.2950
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.7050
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.2950
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.7100
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.2900
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.7100
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.2900
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.7100
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.2900
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.7000
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.3000
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.7050
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.2950
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.7050
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.2950
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.7000
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.3000
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.7000
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2771.73, Sell volume: 2440.67, Average price: 0.6759, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.6950
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.3050
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.6950
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.3050
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.6950
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.3050
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.6950
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.3050
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.6950
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.3050
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.6950
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.3050
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.6950
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.3050
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.6950
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.3050
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.6950
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.3050
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.3000
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.3000
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.3000
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.3000
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.3000
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.3000
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.3000
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.3000
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.3000
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.7050
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.2950
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.7050
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.2950
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.7050
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.2950
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.7050
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.2950
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.7050
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.2950
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.7050
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.2950
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.7050
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2261.96, Sell volume: 413.42, Average price: 0.6731, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.2950
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.2950
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.2950
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.2950
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.2950
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.2950
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.2950
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.2950
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.2950
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.2950
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.2950
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.2950
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.2950
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.2950
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.2950
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.2950
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.7050
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.2950
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.7050
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.2950
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.7050
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.2950
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.7050
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.2950
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.7100
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.2900
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.7150
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.2850
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.7150
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.2850
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.7100
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.2900
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.7100
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 675.30, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.7123, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.7250
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.2750
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.7200
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.2800
2024-06-25 19:00: 0.7200
2024-06-25 19:00: 0.2800
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.7200
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.2800
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.7200
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.2800
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.7200
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.2800
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.7250
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.2750
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.2750
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.2750
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.2750
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.2750
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.2750
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.2750
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.2750
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.2750
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.2800
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.2800
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.2800
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.2800
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.2800
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.2800
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.2800
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.2800
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.2800
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 3948.44, Sell volume: 575.14, Average price: 0.5207, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.7250
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.2750
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.6850
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.3150
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.6650
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.3350
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.3300
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.3300
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.3300
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.3300
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.3300
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.3300
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.3300
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.3300
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.3300
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.6650
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.3350
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.4850
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.5150
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.6550
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.3450
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.6550
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.3450
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.6650
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.3350
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.6650
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.3350
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.3300
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.3300
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.3300
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.3300
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.6700
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.3300
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.6700
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.3300
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.6800
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 10307.06, Sell volume: 1111.92, Average price: 0.6161, Price range: 0.2981 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.6700
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.3300
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.6750
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.3250
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.6700
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.3300
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.6700
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.3300
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.7000
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.3000
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.7100
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.2900
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.7200
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.2800
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.6950
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.3050
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.6950
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.3050
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.6950
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.3050
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.6950
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.3050
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.6950
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.3050
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.7000
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.3000
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.7000
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.3000
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.7050
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.2950
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.7050
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.2950
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.7050
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.2950
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.7050
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.2950
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.7050
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.2950
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.7050
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.2950
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.7050
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.2950
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.7050
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.2950
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.7100
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.2900
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.7100
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.2900
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.7100
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4710.42, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.6016, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.6850
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.3150
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.6850
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.3150
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.6850
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.3150
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.6850
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.3150
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.6950
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.3050
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.7000
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.3000
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.7000
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.3000
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.7000
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.3000
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.7000
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.3000
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.7000
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.3000
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.7000
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.3000
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.7100
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.2900
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.7100
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.2900
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.7900
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.2100
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.7700
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.2300
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.7300
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.2700
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.7400
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.2600
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.7250
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.2750
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.7250
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.2750
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.7250
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.2750
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.7400
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.2600
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.7400
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.2600
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.7400
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.2600
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.7400
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.2600
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.7400
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4231.69, Sell volume: 430.16, Average price: 0.6450, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7792

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.7450
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.2550
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.7550
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.2450
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.8150
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.1850
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.8600
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.1400
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.8450
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.1550
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.8450
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.1550
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.8450
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.1550
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.8500
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.1500
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.8400
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.1600
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.8150
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.1850
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.8300
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.1700
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.8550
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.1450
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.8250
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.1750
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.8500
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.1500
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.8500
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.1500
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.8500
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.1500
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.8500
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.1500
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.8500
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.1500
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.8500
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.1500
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.8450
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.1550
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.8450
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.1550
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.8450
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.1550
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.8450
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.1550
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.8450
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.1550
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.8450
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 33479.06, Sell volume: 3708.95, Average price: 0.7705, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9302

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.8600
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.1400
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.8600
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.1400
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.8600
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.1400
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.8600
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.1400
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.8500
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.1500
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.8550
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.1450
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.8350
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.1650
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.8350
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.1650
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.8650
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.1350
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.8500
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.1500
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.8600
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.1400
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.8500
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.1500
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.8600
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.1400
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.8650
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.1350
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.8600
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.1400
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.8600
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.1400
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.8650
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.1350
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.8650
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.1350
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.8350
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.1650
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.8600
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.1400
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.8600
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.1400
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.8500
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.1500
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.8600
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.1400
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.8500
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.1500
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.8550
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 22524.41, Sell volume: 2119.45, Average price: 0.7740, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.8700
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.1300
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.8700
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.1300
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.8700
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.1300
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.8700
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.1300
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.8700
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.1300
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.8700
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.1300
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.8650
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.1350
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.8450
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.1550
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.8600
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.1400
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.8300
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.1700
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.8200
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.1800
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.9300
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.0700
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.9500
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.0500
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.9705
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.0295
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.9655
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.0345
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.9750
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.0250
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.9750
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 20955.28, Sell volume: 21349.54, Average price: 0.8504, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.5100
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.7250
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.7250
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.7300
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.7300
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.7300
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.7300
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.7300
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.7300
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.7350
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.7300
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.7300
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.7350
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.7350
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.7350
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.7350
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.7250
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 14:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 15:00: 0.7250
2024-06-18 16:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 10170.87, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6874, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.7250
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.7300
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.7250
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.7150
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.7150
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.7150
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.7150
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.7200
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.7100
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.6700
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.6750
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.6750
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.6750
2024-06-19 21:00: 0.6750
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.6700
2024-06-19 23:00: 0.6750
2024-06-20 00:00: 0.6750
2024-06-20 01:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8607.30, Sell volume: 1000.00, Average price: 0.6238, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.6850
2024-06-20 06:00: 0.6850
2024-06-20 07:00: 0.6850
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.6850
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.6850
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.6850
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.6850
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.6850
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.7150
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.7200
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.7150
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.7200
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.7250
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.7200
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.7250
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.7200
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.7150
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.7150
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.7150
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.7150
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.7200
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.7200
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.7200
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.7200
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.7200
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.7250
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.7250
2024-06-21 08:00: 0.7250
2024-06-21 09:00: 0.7150
2024-06-21 10:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 4464.59, Sell volume: 1736.84, Average price: 0.6256, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7438
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.7150
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.7150
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.7150
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.7150
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.6950
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.7050
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.7050
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.7050
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.7050
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.7050
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.7050
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.7050
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.7000
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.7000
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.7000
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.7050
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.7050
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.7100
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.7100
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.7100
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.7000
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.7050
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.7050
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.7000
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.7000
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.7000
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.7050
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.7050
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.6950
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2771.73, Sell volume: 2440.67, Average price: 0.6759, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.6950
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.6950
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.6950
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.6950
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.6950
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.6950
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.6950
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.6950
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.6950
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.7000
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.7050
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.7050
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.7050
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.7050
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.7050
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.7050
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2261.96, Sell volume: 413.42, Average price: 0.6731, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.7050
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.7050
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.7050
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.7050
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.7050
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.7050
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.7100
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.7150
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.7150
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.7100
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.7100
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.7100
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.7100
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.7150
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.7150
2024-06-25 13:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 675.30, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.7123, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.7250
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.7200
2024-06-25 19:00: 0.7200
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.7200
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.7200
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.7200
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.7200
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 21:00: 0.7250
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 3948.44, Sell volume: 575.14, Average price: 0.5207, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.7250
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.6850
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.6650
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.6650
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.4850
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.6550
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.6550
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.6650
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.6650
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.6700
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.6700
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.6700
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.6700
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.6800
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.6800
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.6750
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.6650
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.6700
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 10307.06, Sell volume: 1111.92, Average price: 0.6161, Price range: 0.2981 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.6700
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.6750
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.6700
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.6700
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.7000
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.7100
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.7200
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.6950
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.6950
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.6950
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.6950
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.6950
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.7000
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.7000
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.7050
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.7050
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.7050
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.7050
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.7050
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.7050
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.7050
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.7050
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.7100
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.7100
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.7100
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.7100
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.7100
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.7100
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.7100
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 4710.42, Sell volume: 415.00, Average price: 0.6016, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.6850
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.6850
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.6850
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.6850
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.6950
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.7000
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.7000
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.7000
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.7000
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.7000
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.7000
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.7100
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.7100
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.7900
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.7700
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.7300
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.7400
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.7250
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.7250
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.7250
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.7400
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.7400
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.7400
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.7400
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.7400
2024-06-30 21:00: 0.7850
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.7900
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.7950
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.7950
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 4231.69, Sell volume: 430.16, Average price: 0.6450, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7792
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.7450
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.7550
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.8150
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.8600
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.8450
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.8450
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.8450
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.8500
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.8400
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.8150
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.8300
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.8550
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.8250
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.8500
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.8500
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.8500
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.8500
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.8500
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.8500
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.8450
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.8450
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.8450
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.8450
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.8450
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.8450
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.8500
2024-07-02 07:00: 0.8500
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.8550
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.8550
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 33479.06, Sell volume: 3708.95, Average price: 0.7705, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9302
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.8600
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.8600
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.8600
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.8600
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.8500
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.8550
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.8350
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.8350
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.8650
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.8500
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.8600
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.8500
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.8600
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.8650
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.8600
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.8600
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.8650
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.8650
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.8350
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.8600
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.8600
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.8500
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.8600
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.8500
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.8550
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.8550
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.8600
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.8400
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.8300
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 22524.41, Sell volume: 2119.45, Average price: 0.7740, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502267
Question: Conservatives win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185828.817133
Price History:
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.8700
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.8700
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.8700
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.8700
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.8700
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.8700
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.8650
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.8450
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.8600
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.8300
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.8200
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.9300
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.9500
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.9705
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.9655
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.9750
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.9750
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.9755
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.9945
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.9945
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.9945
2024-07-05 04:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 20955.28, Sell volume: 21349.54, Average price: 0.8504, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.4950
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.5050
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.7850
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.2200
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.7800
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.7850
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.7850
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.7850
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.7850
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.7850
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.7850
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.7850
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.7850
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.7850
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.2100
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.7900
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.2100
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.7900
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.2100
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.7900
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.2100
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.7900
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.2100
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.7900
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.2100
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.7900
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.2100
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.7900
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.2100
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.7900
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.7950
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.7950
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.7950
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.7950
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 458.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7157, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.7950
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.7950
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.7950
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.7950
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.5900
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.4100
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.5950
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.4050
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.2450
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.7550
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.2450
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.7550
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.2450
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 6411.79, Sell volume: 2303.59, Average price: 0.4081, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.2300
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.7700
2024-06-20 06:00: 0.2300
2024-06-20 06:00: 0.7700
2024-06-20 07:00: 0.2300
2024-06-20 07:00: 0.7700
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.2300
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.7700
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.2350
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.7650
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.2300
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.7700
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.2300
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.7700
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.2300
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.7700
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.2300
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.7700
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.2250
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.7750
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.7950
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.2000
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.8000
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.2000
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.8000
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.2000
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.8000
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.2000
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.8000
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.2000
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.8000
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.2000
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.8000
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.2000
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.8000
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.2000
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 243.23, Sell volume: 400.00, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.1950
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.8050
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.1950
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.8050
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.1950
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.8050
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.1950
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.8050
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.1950
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.8050
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.1850
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.8150
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.1850
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.8150
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.1850
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.8150
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.1850
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.8150
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.1850
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.8150
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.1850
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.8150
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.1850
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.8150
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.1850
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.8150
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.1850
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.8150
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.1850
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.8150
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.1850
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.8150
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.8250
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.8250
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.8250
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.8250
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.8250
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.8250
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.8250
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.8250
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 4456.77, Average price: 0.1850, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.8250
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.1750
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.8250
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.1750
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.8250
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.1750
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.8250
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.1750
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.8250
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.1750
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.8250
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.1750
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.8250
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.1750
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.8250
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.8200
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.8200
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.8200
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.8200
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.8200
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.8200
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.8200
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.8200
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.8200
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.8200
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.8200
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.8200
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.8200
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.8200
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.8200
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.1850
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.8150
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.1850
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 3672.85, Sell volume: 242.16, Average price: 0.3686, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.8150
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.8150
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.8150
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.8150
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.8150
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.8150
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.8150
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.8150
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.8150
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.8150
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.8150
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.8150
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.8150
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.8150
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.8150
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.8150
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.8150
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.8150
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.8150
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.8150
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.8150
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.8150
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.8150
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.8150
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 45.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.2100
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.7900
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.2100
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.7900
2024-06-25 19:00: 0.2100
2024-06-25 19:00: 0.7900
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.2100
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.7900
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.2100
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.7900
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.2100
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.7900
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.2100
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.7900
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.2100
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.7900
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.2050
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.7950
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.2050
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.7950
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.2050
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.7950
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.2050
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.7950
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.2050
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.7950
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.2050
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.7950
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.2050
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.7950
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.2050
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.7950
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.2100
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.7900
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.2100
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.7900
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.2150
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.7850
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.2150
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.7850
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.2150
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.7850
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.2150
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.7850
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.2150
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.7850
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.2250
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.7750
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.2250
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 763.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2400, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.2400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.2200
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.7800
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.2300
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.7700
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.2300
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.7700
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.2300
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.7700
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.2300
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.7700
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.2300
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.7700
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.2300
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.7700
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.5900
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.4100
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.5900
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.4100
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.5900
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.4100
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.5900
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.4100
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.5900
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.4100
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.5900
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.4100
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.3000
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.7000
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.3000
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.7000
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.3000
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.7000
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.2950
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.7050
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.3000
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.7000
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.2950
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.7050
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.2950
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.7050
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.2950
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.7050
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.2950
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.7050
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.2950
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.7050
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.3000
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.7000
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.2950
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1400.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4157, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.2900
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.7100
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.2900
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.7100
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.2900
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.7100
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.2900
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.7100
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.2450
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.7550
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.2350
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.7650
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.2350
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.7650
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.2350
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.7650
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.2350
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.7650
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.2400
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.7600
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.2400
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.7600
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.2400
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.7600
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.2400
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.7600
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.7600
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.7600
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.7600
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.7600
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.7600
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.7600
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.7600
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.7600
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.7600
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.7600
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.7600
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 5120.69, Sell volume: 487.80, Average price: 0.5017, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.2700
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.7300
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.2700
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.7300
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.2550
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.7450
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.2550
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.7450
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.2400
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.7600
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.2400
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.7600
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.2350
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.7650
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.2350
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.7650
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.2350
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.7650
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.2350
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.7650
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.2350
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.7650
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.2350
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.7650
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.2350
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.7650
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.2300
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.7700
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.2250
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.7750
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.2150
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.7850
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.2200
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.7800
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.2150
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.7850
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.2150
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.7850
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.2200
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.7800
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.2000
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.8000
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.2000
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.8000
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.2000
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.8000
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.2000
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.8000
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.2000
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 5612.90, Sell volume: 1540.00, Average price: 0.5160, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.1950
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.8050
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.1850
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.8150
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.1000
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.9000
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.1000
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.9000
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.1300
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.8700
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.1300
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.8700
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.1300
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.8700
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.1250
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.8750
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.1550
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.8450
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.1600
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.8400
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.1600
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.8400
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.1150
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.8850
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.1000
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.9000
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.0950
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.9050
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.1000
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.9000
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.1000
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.9000
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.1050
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.8950
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.1050
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.8950
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.1050
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.8950
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.1100
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.8900
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.1100
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.8900
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.1100
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.8900
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.1100
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.8900
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.1100
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.8900
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.1050
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 15828.17, Sell volume: 51.46, Average price: 0.7291, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.1350
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.8650
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.1350
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.8650
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.1350
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.8650
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.1350
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.8650
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.1600
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.8400
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.1600
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.8400
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.1600
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.8400
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.1600
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.8400
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.1450
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.8550
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.1450
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.8550
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.1550
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.8450
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.1450
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.8550
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.1450
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.8550
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.1300
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.8700
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.1150
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.8850
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.1450
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.8550
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.1600
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.8400
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.1450
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.8550
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.1450
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.8550
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.1550
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.8450
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.1800
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.8200
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.1400
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 7914.21, Sell volume: 6583.64, Average price: 0.3974, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.1150
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.8850
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.1300
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.8700
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.1300
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.8700
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.1100
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.8900
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.8750
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.1300
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.8700
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.0150
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.9850
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.0105
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.9895
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.0105
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.9895
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.0125
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.9875
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.0400
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.9600
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0250
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 9387.48, Sell volume: 2110.05, Average price: 0.3979, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.4950
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.2200
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.2150
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.2100
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.2100
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.2100
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.2100
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.2100
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.2100
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.2100
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.2100
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 14:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 15:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 16:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 458.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7157, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.2050
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.2050
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.5900
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.5950
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.2450
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.2450
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.2450
2024-06-19 21:00: 0.2450
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.2550
2024-06-19 23:00: 0.2450
2024-06-20 00:00: 0.2350
2024-06-20 01:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 6411.79, Sell volume: 2303.59, Average price: 0.4081, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.2300
2024-06-20 06:00: 0.2300
2024-06-20 07:00: 0.2300
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.2300
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.2350
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.2300
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.2300
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.2300
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.2300
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.2250
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.2050
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.2000
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.2000
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.2000
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.2000
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.2000
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.2000
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.2000
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.2000
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.1950
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.1950
2024-06-21 08:00: 0.1950
2024-06-21 09:00: 0.1950
2024-06-21 10:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 243.23, Sell volume: 400.00, Average price: 0.5150, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.1950
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.1950
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.1950
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.1950
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.1950
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.1850
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.1850
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.1850
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.1850
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.1850
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.1850
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.1850
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.1850
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.1850
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.1850
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.1850
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.1750
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 4456.77, Average price: 0.1850, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.1900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.1750
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.1750
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.1750
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.1750
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.1750
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.1750
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.1750
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.1750
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.1800
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.1850
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 3672.85, Sell volume: 242.16, Average price: 0.3686, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.1850
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.1850
2024-06-25 13:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 45.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.2100
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.2100
2024-06-25 19:00: 0.2100
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.2100
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.2100
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.2100
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.2100
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.2100
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.2050
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.2050
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.2050
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.2050
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.2050
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.2050
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.2050
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.2050
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.2100
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.2100
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.2150
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.2150
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.2150
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.2150
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.2150
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.2250
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.2250
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.2250
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.2250
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.2250
2024-06-26 21:00: 0.2250
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 763.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2400, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.2400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.2200
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.2300
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.2300
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.2300
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.2300
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.2300
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.2300
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.5900
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.5900
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.5900
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.5900
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.5900
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.5900
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.3000
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.3000
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.3000
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.2950
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.3000
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.2950
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.2950
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.2950
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.2950
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.2950
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.3000
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.2950
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.2950
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.2900
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.2900
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.2900
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1400.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4157, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.2900
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.2900
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.2900
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.2900
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.2450
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.2350
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.2350
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.2350
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.2350
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.2400
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.2400
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.2400
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.2400
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 5120.69, Sell volume: 487.80, Average price: 0.5017, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.2700
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.2700
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.2550
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.2550
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.2400
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.2400
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.2350
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.2350
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.2350
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.2350
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.2350
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.2350
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.2350
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.2300
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.2250
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.2150
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.2200
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.2150
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.2150
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.2200
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.2000
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.2000
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.2000
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.2000
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.2000
2024-06-30 21:00: 0.1950
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.1950
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.1950
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.1950
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 5612.90, Sell volume: 1540.00, Average price: 0.5160, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.1950
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.1850
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.1000
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.1000
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.1300
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.1300
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.1300
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.1250
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.1550
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.1600
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.1600
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.1150
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.1000
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.0950
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.1000
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.1000
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.1050
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.1050
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.1050
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.1100
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.1100
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.1100
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.1100
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.1100
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.1050
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.1050
2024-07-02 07:00: 0.1000
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.1000
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.1000
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 15828.17, Sell volume: 51.46, Average price: 0.7291, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.1350
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.1350
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.1350
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.1350
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.1600
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.1600
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.1600
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.1600
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.1450
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.1450
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.1550
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.1450
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.1450
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.1300
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.1150
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.1450
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.1600
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.1450
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.1450
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.1550
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.1800
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.1400
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.1400
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.1350
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.1400
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.1600
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 7914.21, Sell volume: 6583.64, Average price: 0.3974, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502268
Question: Liberal Democrats win the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 81654.21448
Price History:
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.1150
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.1300
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.1300
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.1100
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.1250
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.1300
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.0150
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.0105
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.0105
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.0125
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.0400
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0250
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.0155
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.0055
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.0050
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.0030
2024-07-05 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 9387.48, Sell volume: 2110.05, Average price: 0.3979, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.5100
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.4900
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.0600
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.9400
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.9500
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.9500
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.9500
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.9500
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.9500
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.9500
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.9500
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.9500
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.9500
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.9500
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.9550
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.0450
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.9550
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.0450
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.9550
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.0450
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.9550
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.0450
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.9550
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.0450
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.9550
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.0450
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.9550
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.0500
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.9500
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.0650
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.9350
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.9350
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.0650
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.9350
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.0750
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.9250
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.0750
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 10576.94, Sell volume: 360.00, Average price: 0.3431, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.0750
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.9250
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.0750
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.9250
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.0750
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.9250
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.0750
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.9250
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.0850
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 3556.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.9150
2024-06-20 06:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 06:00: 0.9150
2024-06-20 07:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 07:00: 0.9150
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.9150
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.9150
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.9150
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.9150
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.9150
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.9150
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.9150
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.9150
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.9150
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.9150
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.9150
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.9150
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.0900
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.9100
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.0900
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.9100
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.9150
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.9150
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.0850
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.9150
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.0850
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.9150
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.0850
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.9150
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.0850
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.9150
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.0850
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.9150
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.0850
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 10467.39, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.3398, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.0950
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.9050
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.0950
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.9050
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.0950
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.9050
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.0950
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.9050
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.8950
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.8950
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.8950
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.8950
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.8950
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.8950
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.8950
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.8950
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.8950
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.8950
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.8950
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.8950
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.8950
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.8950
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.8950
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.8950
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.8950
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.8950
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.8950
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 10545.67, Sell volume: 545.10, Average price: 0.7960, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.0900
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.9100
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.0900
2024-06-23 15:00: 0.9100
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.0900
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.9100
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.0900
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.9100
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.0900
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.9100
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.0900
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.9100
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.0900
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.9100
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.0900
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.9100
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.9150
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.0850
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 6544.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3667, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.9250
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.0650
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.9350
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.0650
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.9350
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.0650
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.9350
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.9250
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.9250
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.9250
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.9250
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.9250
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 17:00: 0.9250
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.9250
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.9250
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.9250
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.9250
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.9250
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.0750
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.9250
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.9250
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.9250
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.9250
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.9250
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.9250
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.9250
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.9250
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.9250
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.0750
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 6526.73, Sell volume: 475.00, Average price: 0.5443, Price range: 0.0797 - 0.9372

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.0600
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.9400
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.0600
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.9400
2024-06-25 19:00: 0.0600
2024-06-25 19:00: 0.9400
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.0600
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.9400
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.0600
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.9400
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.0600
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.9400
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.0550
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.9450
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.9450
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.9450
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.9450
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.9450
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.9450
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.9450
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.9450
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.9450
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.9450
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.9450
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.9450
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.9450
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.9450
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.9450
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.9450
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.0550
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.9450
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.0450
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.9550
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.0500
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 589.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7255, Price range: 0.0522 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.0450
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.9550
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.0450
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.9550
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.0450
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.9500
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.0500
2024-06-27 23:00: 0.9500
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.0500
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.9500
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.0500
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.9500
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.0500
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 7236.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3583, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.0550
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.9450
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.0550
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.9450
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.0650
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.9350
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.0650
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.9350
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.0550
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.9450
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.0650
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.9350
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.0600
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.9400
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.0600
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.9400
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.0600
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.9400
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.0600
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.9400
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.0600
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.9400
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.0600
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.9400
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.0550
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.9450
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.9450
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 01:00: 0.9450
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.9450
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.9450
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.9450
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.9450
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.9450
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.9450
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.9450
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.9450
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.9450
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.0550
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 9086.39, Sell volume: 439.72, Average price: 0.5924, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.0750
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.9250
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.0750
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.9250
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.0750
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.9250
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.0750
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.9250
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 03:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.0600
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.9400
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.0600
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.9400
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.0600
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.9400
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.0600
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.9400
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.0600
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.9400
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.0600
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.9400
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.0600
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.9400
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.0600
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.9400
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.9350
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.0650
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1816.24, Sell volume: 595.31, Average price: 0.5042, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.0650
2024-07-01 05:00: 0.9350
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.0650
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.9350
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.0550
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.9450
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.0550
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.9450
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.0550
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.9450
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.0550
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.9450
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.0550
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.9450
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.0550
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.9450
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.0550
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.9450
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.0550
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.9450
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.0350
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.9650
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.0340
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.9660
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.0360
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.9640
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.0360
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.9640
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.0355
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.9645
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.0355
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.9645
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.0355
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.9645
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.0355
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.9645
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.0355
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.9645
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.0380
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.9620
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.0380
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.9620
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.0380
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.9620
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.0380
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.9620
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.0380
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.9620
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.0375
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 46925.66, Sell volume: 1283.33, Average price: 0.6959, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9746

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.0375
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.9625
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.0375
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.9625
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.0375
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.9625
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.0370
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.9630
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.0370
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.9630
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.0370
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.9630
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.0370
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.9630
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.0370
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.9630
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.0370
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.9630
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.0370
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.9630
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.0395
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.9605
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.0375
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.9625
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.0375
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.9625
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.0375
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.9625
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.0370
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.9630
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.0325
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.9675
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.0320
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.9680
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.0320
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.9680
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.0320
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.9680
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.0320
2024-07-03 09:00: 0.9680
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.0350
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.9650
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.0355
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.9645
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.0355
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.9645
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.0355
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.9645
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.0375
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 22511.58, Sell volume: 6896.08, Average price: 0.5785, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.0375
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.9625
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.9615
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.9615
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.9615
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.9615
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.9615
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.9615
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.9615
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.9615
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.0385
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.9615
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.0285
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.9715
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.0285
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.9715
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.0260
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.9740
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.0360
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.9640
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.1210
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.8790
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.0540
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.9460
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.0490
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.9510
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.0490
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.9510
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.0650
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.9350
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.0105
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.9895
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.0105
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.9895
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.0105
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.9895
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.0055
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.9945
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.0145
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.9855
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 21724.11, Sell volume: 3482.54, Average price: 0.4629, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.5100
2024-06-17 12:00: 0.0600
2024-06-17 13:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 14:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 15:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 16:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 17:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 19:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 20:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 21:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.0500
2024-06-17 23:00: 0.0450
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.0450
2024-06-18 01:00: 0.0450
2024-06-18 02:00: 0.0450
2024-06-18 03:00: 0.0450
2024-06-18 04:00: 0.0450
2024-06-18 05:00: 0.0450
2024-06-18 06:00: 0.0500
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.0650
2024-06-18 08:00: 0.0650
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.0650
2024-06-18 10:00: 0.0750
2024-06-18 11:00: 0.0750
2024-06-18 12:00: 0.0750
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.0750
2024-06-18 14:00: 0.0750
2024-06-18 15:00: 0.0750
2024-06-18 16:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 10576.94, Sell volume: 360.00, Average price: 0.3431, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.0750
2024-06-18 21:00: 0.0750
2024-06-18 22:00: 0.0750
2024-06-18 23:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 00:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 01:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 03:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 04:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 05:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 06:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 08:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 10:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 11:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 12:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 13:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 14:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 16:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 17:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 19:00: 0.0750
2024-06-19 20:00: 0.0850
2024-06-19 21:00: 0.0850
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.0850
2024-06-19 23:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 00:00: 0.0950
2024-06-20 01:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 3556.79, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 06:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 07:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 08:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 09:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 10:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 12:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 13:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 14:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 15:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 18:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 19:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 20:00: 0.0900
2024-06-20 21:00: 0.0900
2024-06-20 22:00: 0.0850
2024-06-20 23:00: 0.0850
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.0850
2024-06-21 01:00: 0.0850
2024-06-21 02:00: 0.0850
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.0850
2024-06-21 04:00: 0.0850
2024-06-21 05:00: 0.0850
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.0850
2024-06-21 07:00: 0.0850
2024-06-21 08:00: 0.0850
2024-06-21 09:00: 0.0900
2024-06-21 10:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 10467.39, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.3398, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502269
Question: Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
Volume: 185284.928663
Price History:
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.0950
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.0950
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.0950
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.0950
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.1050
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.1050
2024-06-22 13:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.0900
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.0900
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.0850
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 10545.67, Sell volume: 545.10, Average price: 0.7960, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes