Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535738
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14800.155547
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9925
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9925
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9930
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9925
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9930
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9930
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9930
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9930
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131, Buy volume: 10270.61, Sell volume: 1156.86, Average price: 0.9072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535738
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 14800.155547
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.1500
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.1550
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.1350
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.1350
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.1350
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.1350
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.1450
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.1450
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.1350
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 136.37, Sell volume: 54.64, Average price: 0.7650, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535738
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 14800.155547
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 205, Buy volume: 13291.07, Sell volume: 1509.09, Average price: 0.8646, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535738
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 14800.155547
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 205, Buy volume: 13291.07, Sell volume: 1509.09, Average price: 0.8646, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535738
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 14800.155547
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0400
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 205, Buy volume: 13291.07, Sell volume: 1509.09, Average price: 0.8646, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535738
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 14800.155547
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0215
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0230
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0200
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0185
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0190
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0205
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0255
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0200
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0230
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0195
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0225
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 79.98, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535738
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 14800.155547
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0225
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0250
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0245
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0245
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0245
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0255
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0250
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0250
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0250
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0250
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0235
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0245
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0235
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0235
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0235
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0235
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0225
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0220
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0190
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0215
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0220
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0220
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0230
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0195
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0175
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0185
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0165
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0160
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 450.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8644, Price range: 0.0271 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535738
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 14800.155547
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0235
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0230
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0235
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0230
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0235
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0230
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0235
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0225
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0225
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0230
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0225
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0230
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0225
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0225
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0225
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0225
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0200
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0220
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0220
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0155
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0140
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0140
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0140
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0135
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0135
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1115.67, Sell volume: 217.61, Average price: 0.7368, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535738
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 14800.155547
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0085
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0085
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0085
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 217.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9976, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9987
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535738
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 14800.155547
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 205, Buy volume: 13291.07, Sell volume: 1509.09, Average price: 0.8646, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535738
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 14800.155547
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535738
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 14800.155547
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535738
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 14800.155547
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 205, Buy volume: 13291.07, Sell volume: 1509.09, Average price: 0.8646, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535738
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 14800.155547
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0075
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131, Buy volume: 10270.61, Sell volume: 1156.86, Average price: 0.9072, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.2750
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.7250
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.2800
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.7200
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.2800
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.7200
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.2800
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.7200
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.2800
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.7200
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.2800
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.7200
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.2800
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.7200
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.2800
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.7200
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9600
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0405
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.9595
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0755
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.9245
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0990
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.9010
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0865
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9135
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0770
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9230
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0585
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.9415
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0555
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.9445
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0595
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9405
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0605
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9395
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0605
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9395
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0620
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9380
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0620
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9380
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0620
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9380
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0685
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1900.52, Sell volume: 222.14, Average price: 0.3917, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0785
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.9215
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0815
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9185
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0815
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9185
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0675
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9325
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0685
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9315
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0690
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9310
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0695
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9305
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0695
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9305
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0695
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9305
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0695
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9305
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0695
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9305
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0785
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9215
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0785
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9215
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0780
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9220
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0775
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9225
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0780
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9220
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0780
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9220
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0780
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9220
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0785
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9215
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0780
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9220
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0780
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9220
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0745
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9255
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0740
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9260
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0740
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9260
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0740
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 430.73, Sell volume: 530.70, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0730 - 0.0927

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0795
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9205
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0795
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9205
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0795
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9205
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0795
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.9205
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0790
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.9210
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0790
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9210
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0790
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9210
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0790
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9210
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0860
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.9140
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0870
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9130
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0870
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9130
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0880
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9120
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0880
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9120
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0880
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9120
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0880
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9120
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0890
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9110
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0895
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9105
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0895
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9105
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0920
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9080
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0925
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9075
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0925
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9075
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0940
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9060
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0935
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.9065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 911.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0914, Price range: 0.0830 - 0.1012

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0995
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9005
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0995
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9005
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0990
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9010
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0990
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.9010
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0990
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9010
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0990
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9010
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0990
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9010
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9015
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9015
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9015
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9015
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9015
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9015
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9015
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9015
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9015
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9015
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9015
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9015
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9015
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9015
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9015
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9015
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.9015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 52.50, Average price: 0.0940, Price range: 0.0931 - 0.0950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0975
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9025
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0975
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9025
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0980
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9020
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0960
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9040
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0955
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9045
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0945
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9055
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9050
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0955
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9045
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0965
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9035
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0970
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9030
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0970
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9030
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0970
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9030
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0970
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9030
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0970
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.9030
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0970
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.9030
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0970
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9030
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0970
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9030
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0970
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9030
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0965
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9035
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0955
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9045
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0960
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9040
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0965
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9035
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0975
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9025
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0975
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9025
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0970
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.3630, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9080

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0975
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9025
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0980
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9020
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0970
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9030
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0945
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9055
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0955
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9045
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0955
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9045
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0955
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.9045
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0960
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9040
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0960
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9040
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0960
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9040
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0955
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9045
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0965
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9035
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0960
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9040
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0960
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9040
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0960
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9040
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0955
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9045
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0955
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9045
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.1025
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.8975
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.1015
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.8985
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.1020
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.8980
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.1020
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.8980
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.1010
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.8990
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.1020
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.8980
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0920
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9080
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0955
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 584.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7935, Price range: 0.1042 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.1025
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.8975
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.1025
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.8975
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.1025
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.8975
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.1025
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.8975
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.1025
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.8975
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.1025
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.8975
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.1030
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.8970
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.1055
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.8945
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.1015
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.8985
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.1030
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.8970
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.1025
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.8975
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.1025
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.8975
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.1030
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.8970
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.1140
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.8860
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.1140
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.8860
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.1135
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.8865
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.1125
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.8875
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.1110
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.8890
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.1080
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.8920
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0880
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9120
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0915
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9085
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0890
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9110
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0895
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9105
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9100
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0910
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 922.03, Sell volume: 452.99, Average price: 0.7685, Price range: 0.0740 - 0.9270

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0755
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9245
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0755
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9245
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0755
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9245
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0760
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9240
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0760
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9240
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0760
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9240
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0755
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9245
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0695
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9305
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0695
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9305
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0685
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9315
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0685
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9315
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0685
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9315
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0685
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9315
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0695
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9305
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0695
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9305
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0695
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9305
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0695
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9305
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0690
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9310
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0695
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 440.34, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.7446, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9360

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0745
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9255
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0745
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9255
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0750
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9250
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0785
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9215
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0790
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9210
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0790
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9210
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0790
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9210
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0755
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9245
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0755
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9245
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0770
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9230
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0770
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9230
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0770
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9230
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0765
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9235
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0765
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9235
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0765
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9235
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0765
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9235
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0765
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9235
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0765
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9235
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0755
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9245
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0755
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9245
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0755
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9245
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0755
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9245
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0755
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9245
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0750
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9250
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0755
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 227.84, Sell volume: 159.06, Average price: 0.0709, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.0878

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0765
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9235
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0760
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9240
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0765
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9235
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0755
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9245
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0755
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9245
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0760
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9240
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0770
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9230
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0765
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9235
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0770
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9230
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0765
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9235
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0770
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9230
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0765
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9235
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0765
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9235
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0765
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9235
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0760
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9240
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0760
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9240
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0760
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9240
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0760
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9240
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0760
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9240
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0755
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9245
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0760
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9240
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0755
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9245
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0755
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9245
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0755
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9245
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0755
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 450.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0887, Price range: 0.0887 - 0.0887

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.1620
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.8380
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.1725
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.8275
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1700
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.8300
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.1685
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.8315
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1610
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.8390
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.1590
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.8410
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.1580
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.8420
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.8350
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1715
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.8285
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.1635
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.8365
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.8350
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.1780
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8220
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.1805
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.8195
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.1820
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.8180
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1825
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.8175
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.1825
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.8175
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.1685
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.8315
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1705
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.8295
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.1725
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.8275
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.1745
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.8255
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.1760
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.8240
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.1775
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.8225
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.1795
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.8205
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.1450
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.8550
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.1510
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.8490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 107.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1870, Price range: 0.1870 - 0.1870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.1960
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.8040
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1955
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.8045
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.1945
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.8055
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.1955
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.8045
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.1980
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.8020
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1975
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.8025
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1965
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.8035
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.1950
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8050
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1650
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.8350
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.1655
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.8345
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1655
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.8345
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.1650
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.8350
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.8350
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1535
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8465
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1540
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8460
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.1670
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8330
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1740
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8260
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.1700
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.8300
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1575
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8425
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.1605
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.8395
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1655
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.8345
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.1620
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.8380
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.1635
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.8365
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.1540
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.8460
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1565
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.8435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 69.90, Sell volume: 227.83, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.1348 - 0.9124

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1590
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.8410
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1615
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.8385
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.1555
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.8445
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.1575
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.8425
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1600
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.8400
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1545
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.8455
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1530
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.8470
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1530
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.8470
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.1525
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.8475
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.1515
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.8485
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.1530
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.8470
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.1530
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.8470
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.1335
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.8665
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.1320
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.8680
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.8650
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.1340
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.8660
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.1325
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.8675
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.1325
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.8675
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.1305
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.8695
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.1350
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.8650
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.1305
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.8695
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.1290
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.8710
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.1310
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.8690
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.1315
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.8685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 168, Buy volume: 24058.53, Sell volume: 5432.07, Average price: 0.8895, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.2750
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.2800
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.2800
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.2800
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.2800
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.2800
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.2800
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.2800
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0405
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0755
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0990
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0865
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0770
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0585
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0555
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0595
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0605
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0605
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0620
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0620
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0620
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0685
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0815
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0880
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0755
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0785
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1900.52, Sell volume: 222.14, Average price: 0.3917, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0785
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0815
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0815
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0675
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0685
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0690
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0695
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0695
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0695
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0695
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0695
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0785
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0785
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0780
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0775
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0780
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0780
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0780
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0785
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0780
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0780
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0745
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0740
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0740
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0740
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0740
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0740
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0740
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0750
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 430.73, Sell volume: 530.70, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0730 - 0.0927
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0795
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0795
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0795
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0795
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0790
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0790
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0790
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0790
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0860
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0870
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0870
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0880
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0880
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0880
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0880
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0890
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0895
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0895
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0920
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0925
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0925
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0940
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0935
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0935
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0935
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0945
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 911.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0914, Price range: 0.0830 - 0.1012
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0995
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0995
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0990
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0990
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0990
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0990
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0990
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0985
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0985
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0985
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 52.50, Average price: 0.0940, Price range: 0.0931 - 0.0950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0975
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0975
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0980
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0960
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0955
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0945
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0955
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0965
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0970
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0970
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0970
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0970
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0970
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0970
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0970
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0970
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0970
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0965
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0955
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0960
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0965
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0975
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0975
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0970
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0965
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0960
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0960
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.3630, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9080
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0975
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0980
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0970
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0945
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0955
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0955
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0955
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0960
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0960
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0960
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0955
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0965
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0960
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0960
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0960
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0955
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0955
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.1025
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.1015
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.1020
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.1020
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.1010
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.1020
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0920
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0955
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0955
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0970
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0975
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 584.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7935, Price range: 0.1042 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.1025
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.1025
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.1025
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.1025
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.1025
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.1025
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.1030
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.1055
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.1015
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.1030
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.1025
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.1025
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.1030
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.1140
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.1140
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.1135
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.1125
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.1110
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.1080
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0880
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0915
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0890
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0895
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0900
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0910
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0910
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0900
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0915
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0920
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 922.03, Sell volume: 452.99, Average price: 0.7685, Price range: 0.0740 - 0.9270
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0755
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0755
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0755
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0760
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0760
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0760
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0755
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0695
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0695
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0685
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0685
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0685
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0685
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0695
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0695
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0695
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0695
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0690
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0695
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0695
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0695
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0725
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0710
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 440.34, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.7446, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.9360
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0745
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0745
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0750
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0785
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0790
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0790
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0790
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0755
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0755
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0770
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0770
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0770
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0765
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0765
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0765
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0765
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0765
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0765
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0755
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0755
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0755
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0755
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0755
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0750
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0755
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0755
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0765
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0755
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0755
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 227.84, Sell volume: 159.06, Average price: 0.0709, Price range: 0.0650 - 0.0878
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0765
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0760
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0765
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0755
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0755
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0760
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0770
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0765
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0770
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0765
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0770
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0765
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0765
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0765
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0760
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0760
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0760
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0760
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0760
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0755
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0760
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0755
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0755
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0755
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0755
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0760
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0755
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0755
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0755
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 450.66, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0887, Price range: 0.0887 - 0.0887
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.1620
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.1725
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1700
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.1685
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1610
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.1590
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.1580
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1715
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.1635
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.1780
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.1805
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.1820
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1825
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.1825
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.1685
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.1705
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.1725
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.1745
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.1760
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.1775
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.1795
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.1450
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.1510
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.1510
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.1530
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.1545
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.1570
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.1575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 107.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1870, Price range: 0.1870 - 0.1870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.1960
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1955
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.1945
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.1955
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.1980
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1975
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1965
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.1950
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1650
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.1655
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1655
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1650
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1535
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1540
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.1670
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1740
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.1700
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1575
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.1605
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1655
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.1620
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.1635
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.1540
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1565
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.1575
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.1555
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.1555
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.1555
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 69.90, Sell volume: 227.83, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.1348 - 0.9124
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535739
Question: Will Peter Navarro leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 39487.914164
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1590
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.1615
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.1555
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.1575
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1600
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1545
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1530
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1530
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.1525
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.1515
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.1530
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.1530
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.1335
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.1320
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1350
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.1340
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.1325
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.1325
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.1305
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.1350
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.1305
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.1290
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.1310
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.1315
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1305
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.1275
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.1245
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.1305
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.1290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 168, Buy volume: 24058.53, Sell volume: 5432.07, Average price: 0.8895, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.3350
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.6650
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.3350
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.6650
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.3350
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.6650
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.3350
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.6650
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.3350
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.6650
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.3350
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.6650
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.3350
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.6650
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.3100
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.6900
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.2950
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.7050
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.2650
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.7350
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.2200
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.7800
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.1950
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.8050
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.1900
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.8100
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.1950
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.8050
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.2000
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.8000
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.1200
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.8800
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0950
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9050
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9100
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9350
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 532.38, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.8314, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0550
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.9450
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9200
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9200
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9200
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9200
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9200
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9200
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9200
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9200
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9200
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9200
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9200
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9200
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9200
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9200
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 700.89, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.0750, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9200
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0850
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9150
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1191.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0959, Price range: 0.0959 - 0.0959

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9000
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9000
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175, Buy volume: 13032.74, Sell volume: 274.06, Average price: 0.8371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9050
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9050
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9050
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9050
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9050
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9050
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9050
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9050
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9050
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9050
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9050
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9050
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.9050
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.9050
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9050
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9050
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9050
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9050
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9050
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9050
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9050
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9050
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9050
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9050
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9050
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9050
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9050
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9050
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9050
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.9050
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9050
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9050
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9050
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9050
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9050
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9050
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9050
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9050
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9050
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9050
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9050
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9050
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9050
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9050
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9050
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9050
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 121.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9050
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9150
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 940.15, Sell volume: 216.00, Average price: 0.7846, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0340
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9660
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0505
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9495
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0510
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9490
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0610
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9390
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9350
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9350
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9350
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0555
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9445
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0560
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9440
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0565
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9435
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0565
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9435
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0560
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9440
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0560
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9440
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0555
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9445
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9450
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0545
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9455
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0545
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9455
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9450
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0540
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9460
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9450
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0560
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9440
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0560
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9440
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0545
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9455
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0540
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9460
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 441.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8369, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9490

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0530
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9470
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0510
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9490
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0445
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9555
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0460
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9540
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0465
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9535
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0460
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9540
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0460
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9540
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9550
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9550
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0455
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9545
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0455
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9545
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0455
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9545
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0455
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9545
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0455
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9545
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0455
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9545
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9545
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9545
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9540
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9540
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9540
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9540
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9540
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9540
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9540
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175, Buy volume: 13032.74, Sell volume: 274.06, Average price: 0.8371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0470
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9530
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0470
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9530
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0470
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9530
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0470
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9530
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9525
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0470
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9530
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0475
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9525
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0475
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9525
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0475
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 16.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0610, Price range: 0.0610 - 0.0610

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0460
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9540
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0465
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9535
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0465
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9535
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0475
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9525
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0470
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9530
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0470
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9530
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9525
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9660, Price range: 0.9660 - 0.9660

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0475
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9525
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0470
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9530
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0475
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9525
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0475
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9525
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0475
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9525
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0475
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9525
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0470
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9530
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0470
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9530
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0470
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9530
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0470
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9530
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0470
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9530
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0470
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9530
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9530
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0475
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9525
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0475
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9525
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9530
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9530
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9530
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9530
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9530
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0490
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9510
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0495
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9505
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0495
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9505
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0485
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9515
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0475
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175, Buy volume: 13032.74, Sell volume: 274.06, Average price: 0.8371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0485
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9515
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0495
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9505
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0495
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9505
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0485
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9515
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0490
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9510
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0475
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9525
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0475
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9525
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9520
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0485
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9515
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9520
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0490
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9510
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9515
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9515
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9515
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9515
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0495
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 4989.41, Sell volume: 36.99, Average price: 0.9195, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.3350
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.3350
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.3350
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.3350
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.3350
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.3350
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.3350
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.3100
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.2950
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.2650
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.2200
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.1950
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.1900
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.1950
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.2000
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.1200
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0950
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 532.38, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.8314, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0550
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 700.89, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.0750, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0800
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0850
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1191.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0959, Price range: 0.0959 - 0.0959
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.1000
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.1000
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.1000
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.1000
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175, Buy volume: 13032.74, Sell volume: 274.06, Average price: 0.8371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0950
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0950
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0950
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0950
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 121.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0950
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 940.15, Sell volume: 216.00, Average price: 0.7846, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0340
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0505
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0510
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0610
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0555
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0560
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0565
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0565
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0560
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0560
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0555
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0545
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0545
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0540
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0560
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0560
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0545
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0540
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0560
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0555
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0550
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 441.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8369, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9490
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0530
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0510
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0445
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0460
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0465
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0460
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0460
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0450
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0455
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0455
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0455
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0455
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0455
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0460
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175, Buy volume: 13032.74, Sell volume: 274.06, Average price: 0.8371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0470
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0470
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0470
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0470
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0470
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0475
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0475
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0475
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0475
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0470
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0470
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0475
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 16.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0610, Price range: 0.0610 - 0.0610
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0460
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0465
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0465
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0475
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0470
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0470
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0475
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0470
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9660, Price range: 0.9660 - 0.9660
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0475
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0470
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0475
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0475
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0475
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0475
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0470
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0470
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0470
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0470
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0470
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0475
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0475
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0490
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0495
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0495
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0485
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0475
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0475
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 175, Buy volume: 13032.74, Sell volume: 274.06, Average price: 0.8371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535740
Question: Will no one leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Volume: 13306.804906
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0485
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0495
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0495
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0485
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0490
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0475
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0475
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0480
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0485
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0480
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0490
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0495
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0495
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0490
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0485
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0470
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 4989.41, Sell volume: 36.99, Average price: 0.9195, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558105
Question: Tom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42872.919639
Price History:
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.4400
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.4150
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.4125
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.2180
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.2200
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.1485
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.0785
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0655
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0630
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.0460
2025-07-01 08:00: 0.0405
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0235
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0220
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0225
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0225
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0255
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0260
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0260
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0255
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0235
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0230
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0230
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0235
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0240
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0250
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0250
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0250
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0250
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0250
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0250
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0275
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0260
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0250
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0245
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0245
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0245
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0245
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0225
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0230
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0220
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0215
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0200
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.0235
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0230
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0230
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0230
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.0220
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0230
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0220
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 9316.33, Sell volume: 1675.10, Average price: 0.4883, Price range: 0.0183 - 0.9820

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558105
Question: Tom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42872.919639
Price History:
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.9730
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9720
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.9720
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9740
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9780
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.9775
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.9750
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.9750
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.9755
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.9755
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9750
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9750
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.9750
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.9750
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.9755
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.9735
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9735
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9735
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.9735
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.9735
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.9735
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9735
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9735
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.9735
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.9735
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.9735
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.9735
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.9745
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9740
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.9740
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.9745
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9745
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9750
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.9745
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.9745
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.9745
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.9735
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9720
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9735
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.9720
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9730
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.9730
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.9725
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9730
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.9730
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.9730
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.9755
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.9750
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.9755
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 895.96, Sell volume: 39.33, Average price: 0.7270, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558105
Question: Tom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42872.919639
Price History:
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0255
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0280
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0255
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.0255
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0255
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0255
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0295
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0285
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0285
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0285
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0300
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0305
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0305
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0305
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0305
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0305
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0305
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0305
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0305
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0280
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0300
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0300
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0300
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.0300
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0300
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0300
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0300
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0300
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0300
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.0300
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.0300
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.0300
2025-07-07 01:00: 0.0300
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0300
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0295
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0325
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0315
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.0315
2025-07-07 07:00: 0.0315
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.0320
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0315
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0215
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0300
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.0300
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0295
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0295
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0205
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0185
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0205
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 8937.84, Sell volume: 151.01, Average price: 0.3857, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558105
Question: Tom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42872.919639
Price History:
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.9690
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9690
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9690
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9690
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9690
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9685
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.9685
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9685
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.9765
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.9775
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9780
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9770
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9785
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9810
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.9820
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9820
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9820
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9820
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.9820
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9820
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9810
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9795
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9800
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9800
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.9810
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9795
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.9820
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.9825
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9825
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9825
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9835
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9835
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9835
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.9840
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9840
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9840
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.9840
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9840
2025-07-09 16:00: 0.9840
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.9845
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.9845
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9845
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9845
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9845
2025-07-09 22:00: 0.9845
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9845
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.9845
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.9845
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.9845
2025-07-10 03:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 279.30, Sell volume: 2081.84, Average price: 0.6999, Price range: 0.0105 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558105
Question: Tom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42872.919639
Price History:
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0125
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0125
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0120
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0085
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0085
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0085
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.0085
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0085
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0085
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0085
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0095
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0085
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0100
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0100
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0095
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0090
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0085
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0065
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0070
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0075
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0075
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 313.86, Sell volume: 578.73, Average price: 0.5991, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 558105
Question: Tom Brady and Sydney Sweeney confirmed relationship before August?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 42872.919639
Price History:
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.9920
2025-07-12 22:00: 0.9920
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 04:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 08:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.9920
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9925
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.9925
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9925
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9925
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9925
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9925
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.9925
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9925
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9925
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9925
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9925
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.9925
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.9925
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.9925
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9925
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9925
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9925
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9940
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1059.91, Sell volume: 133.18, Average price: 0.9234, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9960

Output: Yes