Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547787
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 427058.818594
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9445
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0555
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9460
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0540
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9505
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0495
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9495
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0505
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9540
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0460
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9545
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0455
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9430
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0570
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9400
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0600
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9600
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0400
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9580
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0420
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9485
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0515
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9870
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 63114.97, Sell volume: 51450.81, Average price: 0.6290, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547787
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 427058.818594
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9930
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9730
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0270
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 12157.77, Sell volume: 33975.34, Average price: 0.3771, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547787
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 427058.818594
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7600
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.2400
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9075
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0925
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9070
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0930
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.8995
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.1005
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.8995
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1005
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9010
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0990
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.8920
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.1080
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.8920
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.1080
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.8920
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.1080
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.8960
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.1040
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.8880
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.1120
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.8905
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.1095
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.8915
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.1085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 20158.48, Sell volume: 535.98, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9182
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547787
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 427058.818594
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.8910
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.1090
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.8920
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.1080
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.8915
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.1085
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.8935
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.1065
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.8935
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.1065
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.8940
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.1060
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.8940
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.1060
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.8960
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.1040
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.8885
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.1115
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.8865
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.1135
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.8915
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.1085
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.8945
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.1055
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.8945
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.1055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 16377.55, Sell volume: 2120.58, Average price: 0.8377, Price range: 0.1020 - 0.8980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547787
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 427058.818594
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.8945
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.1055
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.8945
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.1055
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9170
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0830
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9145
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0855
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9195
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0805
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9345
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0655
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9240
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0760
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9150
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0850
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9300
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0700
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9405
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0595
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9405
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0595
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0510
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 69845.58, Sell volume: 2690.02, Average price: 0.6007, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9623
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547787
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 427058.818594
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9515
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0485
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9520
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0480
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9530
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0470
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9525
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0475
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9500
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0500
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9530
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0470
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9545
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0455
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9565
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0435
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9640
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0360
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0400
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9580
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 13079.36, Sell volume: 2226.42, Average price: 0.7623, Price range: 0.0390 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547787
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 427058.818594
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0425
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9570
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0430
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9590
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0410
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9585
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0415
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0425
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0425
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0425
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9575
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0425
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9570
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0430
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9550
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0450
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9555
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0445
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9555
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0445
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9555
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 76.34, Sell volume: 2801.93, Average price: 0.5656, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547787
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 427058.818594
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9555
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0445
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9545
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0455
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9130
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0870
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9320
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0680
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9345
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0655
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9360
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0640
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9350
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0650
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9370
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0630
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9370
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0630
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9370
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0630
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9375
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0625
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9425
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0575
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9455
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 19342.25, Sell volume: 7345.08, Average price: 0.6074, Price range: 0.0560 - 0.9485
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547787
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 427058.818594
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9425
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0575
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9415
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0585
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9460
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0540
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9490
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0510
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9470
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0530
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9475
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0525
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9425
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0575
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9450
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0550
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9440
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0560
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9450
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0550
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9445
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0555
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9445
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0555
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9455
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 57.05, Sell volume: 2709.97, Average price: 0.8191, Price range: 0.0546 - 0.9482
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547787
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 427058.818594
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9300
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0700
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9340
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0660
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9335
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0665
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9355
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0645
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9350
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0650
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9320
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0680
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9365
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0635
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9410
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0590
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9410
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0590
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9420
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0580
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9505
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 8705.97, Sell volume: 8154.47, Average price: 0.5301, Price range: 0.0510 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547787
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 427058.818594
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9505
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0495
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9505
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0495
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9465
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0535
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9445
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0555
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9435
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0565
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9445
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0555
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9505
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0495
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9555
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0445
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9550
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0450
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9550
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0450
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9545
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0455
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9515
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0485
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9525
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 6746.41, Sell volume: 9481.60, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0440 - 0.9580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547787
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 427058.818594
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9465
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0535
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9445
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0555
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9460
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0540
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9440
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0560
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9425
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0575
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9385
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0615
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9580
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0420
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9580
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0420
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9630
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0370
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9630
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0370
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9580
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0420
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9570
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 14786.76, Sell volume: 12094.95, Average price: 0.5801, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547787
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 427058.818594
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9575
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0425
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9555
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0445
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9555
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0445
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9545
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0455
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9575
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0425
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9575
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0425
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9530
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0470
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9535
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0465
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9560
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0440
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9530
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0470
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9480
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0520
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9425
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0575
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9365
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 16699.49, Sell volume: 2121.61, Average price: 0.5422, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.9610
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547787
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 427058.818594
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9445
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0555
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9460
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0540
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9505
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0495
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9495
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0505
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9540
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0460
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9545
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0455
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9430
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0570
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9400
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0600
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9600
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0400
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9580
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0420
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9485
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0515
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9870
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 63114.97, Sell volume: 51450.81, Average price: 0.6290, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547787
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Seoul (서울) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 427058.818594
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9930
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9730
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0270
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 12157.77, Sell volume: 33975.34, Average price: 0.3771, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.2200
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7800
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.5250
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.4750
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.5250
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.4750
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.5050
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.4950
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.4850
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.5150
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.4850
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.5150
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.4850
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.5150
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.3500
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.6500
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.4350
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 176.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4374, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.6767

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.4200
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.5800
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.4650
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.5350
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.2700
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.7300
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.2700
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.7300
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.2700
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.2700
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.7300
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.2700
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.7300
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.4400
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.5600
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.4100
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.5900
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.4000
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.6000
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.4550
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 210.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.2550
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.7450
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.4100
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.5900
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.4300
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.5700
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.6000
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.4000
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.3600
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.6400
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.4250
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.5750
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.4250
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.5750
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.3750
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.6250
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.3900
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.6100
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.3850
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.6150
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.4000
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.6000
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.4050
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.5950
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.3850
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 515.84, Sell volume: 116.02, Average price: 0.6183, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.6850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.3750
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.6250
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.3750
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.6250
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.3050
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.6950
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.3050
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.6950
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.3750
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.6250
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.2650
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.7350
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.1700
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.8300
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.7200
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.7200
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7200
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.7200
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.2800
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.7200
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.2700
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 973.51, Sell volume: 752.00, Average price: 0.6393, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.2700
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.7300
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.2800
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.7200
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.3100
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.6900
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.3200
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.6800
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.3150
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.6850
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.3200
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.6800
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.3700
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.6300
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.6350
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.3400
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.6600
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.2900
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.7100
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.3200
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.6800
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.6750
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 516.89, Sell volume: 216.27, Average price: 0.5401, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.6750
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.3400
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.6600
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.3400
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.6600
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.3100
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.6900
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.3350
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.6650
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.3350
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.6650
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.3200
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.6800
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.6750
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.6750
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.3250
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.6750
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.3250
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.6750
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.3250
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.6750
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.3250
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 162.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.6800 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.2100
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.2050
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.2050
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.2050
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1294.68, Sell volume: 184.96, Average price: 0.4798, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.2050
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.2050
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.2050
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.2050
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.2050
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.1950
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.8050
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.1950
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.8050
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.1950
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.8050
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.1950
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.8050
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.1600
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.8400
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.1750
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.8250
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.1750
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.8250
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.1750
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1174.50, Sell volume: 815.00, Average price: 0.4543, Price range: 0.1652 - 0.8347

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.1750
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.8250
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.1750
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.8250
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.1750
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.8250
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.1600
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.8400
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.1650
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.1650
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.1650
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.1650
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 362.50, Sell volume: 32.35, Average price: 0.3833, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.1250
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.8750
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.1300
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.8700
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.1300
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.8700
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.1250
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.8750
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.1250
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.8750
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.1300
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.8700
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.1200
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.8800
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0750
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9250
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0900
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9100
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9200
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9200
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9250
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1372.23, Sell volume: 183.35, Average price: 0.6115, Price range: 0.0604 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9200
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0850
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9150
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0850
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9150
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0850
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9150
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0850
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9150
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0850
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9150
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0850
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9150
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.1000
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9000
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.1050
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.8950
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.1050
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.8950
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0950
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9050
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0850
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9150
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0900
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2292.61, Sell volume: 496.20, Average price: 0.4998, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0950
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9050
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.1100
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.8900
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0950
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9050
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0900
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9100
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0850
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9150
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0850
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9150
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0850
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9150
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.1950
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.8050
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.1550
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.8450
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.1100
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.8900
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.1450
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.8550
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9795
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 8467.39, Sell volume: 3290.84, Average price: 0.6124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9960
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9960
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0110
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9890
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0125
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9875
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0125
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9875
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9945
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9945
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9960
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8510.01, Sell volume: 3036.43, Average price: 0.7825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.2200
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.7800
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.5250
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.4750
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.5250
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.4750
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.5050
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.4950
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.4850
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.5150
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.4850
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.5150
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.4850
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.5150
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.3500
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.6500
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.4350
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 176.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4374, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.6767
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.4200
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.5800
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2050
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7950
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.4650
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.5350
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.2700
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.7300
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.2700
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.7300
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.2700
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.2700
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.7300
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.2700
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.7300
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.4400
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.5600
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.4100
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.5900
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.4000
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.6000
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.4550
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 210.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.2550
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.7450
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.4100
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.5900
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.4300
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.5700
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.6000
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.4000
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.3600
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.6400
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.4250
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.5750
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.4250
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.5750
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.3750
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.6250
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.3900
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.6100
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.3850
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.6150
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.4000
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.6000
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.4050
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.5950
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.3850
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 515.84, Sell volume: 116.02, Average price: 0.6183, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.6850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.3750
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.6250
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.3750
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.6250
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.3050
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.6950
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.3050
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.6950
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.3750
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.6250
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.2650
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.7350
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.1700
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.8300
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.7200
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.7200
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7200
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.2800
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.7200
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.2800
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.7200
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.2700
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 973.51, Sell volume: 752.00, Average price: 0.6393, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.2700
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.7300
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.2800
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.7200
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.3100
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.6900
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.3200
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.6800
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.3150
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.6850
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.3200
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.6800
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.3700
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.6300
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.6350
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.3400
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.6600
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.2900
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.7100
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.3200
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.6800
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.6750
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 516.89, Sell volume: 216.27, Average price: 0.5401, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.6750
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.3400
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.6600
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.3400
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.6600
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.3100
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.6900
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.3350
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.6650
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.3350
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.6650
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.3200
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.6800
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.6750
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.3250
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.6750
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.3250
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.6750
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.3250
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.6750
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.3250
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.6750
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.3250
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 162.82, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.6800 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.2500
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.7500
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.2500
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.2500
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.7500
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.2500
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.2500
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.7500
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.2100
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.7900
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.2050
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.2050
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.2050
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1294.68, Sell volume: 184.96, Average price: 0.4798, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.2050
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.2050
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.2050
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.2050
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.2050
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.7950
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.1950
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.8050
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.1950
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.8050
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.1950
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.8050
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.1950
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.8050
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.1600
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.8400
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.1750
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.8250
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.1750
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.8250
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.1750
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1174.50, Sell volume: 815.00, Average price: 0.4543, Price range: 0.1652 - 0.8347
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.1750
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.8250
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.1750
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.8250
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.1750
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.8250
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.1600
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.8400
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.1650
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.1650
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.1650
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.8350
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.1650
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 362.50, Sell volume: 32.35, Average price: 0.3833, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.1250
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.8750
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.1300
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.8700
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.1300
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.8700
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.1250
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.8750
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.1250
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.8750
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.1300
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.8700
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.1200
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.8800
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0750
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9250
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0900
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9100
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9200
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9200
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9250
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1372.23, Sell volume: 183.35, Average price: 0.6115, Price range: 0.0604 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0800
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9200
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0850
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9150
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0850
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9150
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0850
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9150
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0850
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9150
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0850
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9150
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0850
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9150
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.1000
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9000
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.1050
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.8950
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.1050
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.8950
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0950
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9050
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0850
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9150
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0900
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2292.61, Sell volume: 496.20, Average price: 0.4998, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0950
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9050
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.1100
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.8900
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0950
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9050
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0900
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9100
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0850
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9150
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0850
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9150
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0850
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9150
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.1950
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.8050
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.1550
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.8450
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.1100
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.8900
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.1450
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.8550
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9795
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 8467.39, Sell volume: 3290.84, Average price: 0.6124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547788
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Busan (부산) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 38990.153652
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9960
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9960
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0110
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9890
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0125
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9875
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0125
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9875
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9945
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9945
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0040
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9960
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 8510.01, Sell volume: 3036.43, Average price: 0.7825, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0250
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9750
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0475
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9525
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0475
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9525
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0430
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9570
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0425
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9575
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0390
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9610
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0385
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9615
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9625
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0370
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9630
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0365
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9635
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0355
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9645
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0355
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9645
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 653.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7812, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9674

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0380
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9620
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0370
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9630
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0360
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9640
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0345
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9655
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9685
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9685
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9685
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9685
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9685
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9685
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9685
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0370
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9630
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0355
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 156.00, Average price: 0.0300, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.0300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0355
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9645
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0355
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9645
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0355
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9645
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0360
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9640
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0350
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9650
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0335
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9665
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0335
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9665
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0325
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9675
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0325
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9675
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0325
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9675
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0220
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9780
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0195
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9805
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 696.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9690, Price range: 0.9680 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0210
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9790
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0190
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9810
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0190
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9810
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0190
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9810
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0175
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9825
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9840
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9845
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0190
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9810
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0180
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9820
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0185
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9815
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0185
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9815
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0180
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 170.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0174, Price range: 0.0174 - 0.0174

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0175
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9825
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0175
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9825
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0180
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9820
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0175
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9825
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0200
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9800
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9790
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0205
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9795
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9790
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9790
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0205
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9795
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0200
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9800
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0205
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9795
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 4258.08, Sell volume: 2268.79, Average price: 0.5107, Price range: 0.0063 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9785
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9790
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9780
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9785
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9790
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9790
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9785
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9785
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9785
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0215
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9785
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0215
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9785
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0215
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9785
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0220
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 45.89, Sell volume: 5.09, Average price: 0.3418, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9810

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0205
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9795
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9805
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9805
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9805
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 4258.08, Sell volume: 2268.79, Average price: 0.5107, Price range: 0.0063 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9805
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9805
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9820
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9820
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0175
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9825
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0175
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9825
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0150
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9850
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9870
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 357.00, Sell volume: 499.91, Average price: 0.4580, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0160
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9840
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0155
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9845
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0150
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9850
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0155
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9845
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0120
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9885
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9885
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0120
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0150
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9850
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0145
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9855
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0145
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 207.00, Average price: 0.2588, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0145
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9855
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0150
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9850
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0150
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9850
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0150
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9850
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9860
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0135
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9865
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0130
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9870
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9875
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9875
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0100
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9900
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0100
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 58.63, Sell volume: 40.80, Average price: 0.3396, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0100
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9900
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9925
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9935
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9940
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9935
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9940
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9935
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9935
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0070
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9930
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1316.01, Sell volume: 1160.00, Average price: 0.4470, Price range: 0.0063 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9935
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0055
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9945
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0055
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9945
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9945
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9945
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9945
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 199.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 501.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5029, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0250
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9750
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0475
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9525
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0475
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9525
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0430
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9570
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0425
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9575
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0390
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9610
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0385
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9615
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9625
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0370
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9630
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0365
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9635
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0355
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9645
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0355
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9645
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 653.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7812, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9674
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0380
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9620
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0370
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9630
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0360
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9640
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0345
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9655
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9685
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9685
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9685
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9685
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9685
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9685
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9685
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0370
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9630
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0355
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 156.00, Average price: 0.0300, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.0300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0355
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9645
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0355
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9645
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0355
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9645
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0360
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9640
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0350
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9650
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0335
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9665
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0335
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9665
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0325
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9675
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0325
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9675
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0325
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9675
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0220
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9780
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0195
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9805
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 696.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9690, Price range: 0.9680 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0210
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9790
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0190
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9810
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0190
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9810
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0190
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9810
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0175
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9825
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0160
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9840
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0155
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9845
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0190
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9810
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0180
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9820
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0185
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9815
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0185
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9815
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0180
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 170.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0174, Price range: 0.0174 - 0.0174
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0175
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9825
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0175
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9825
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0180
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9820
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0175
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9825
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0200
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9800
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9790
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0205
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9795
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9790
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9790
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0205
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9795
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0200
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9800
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0205
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9795
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 4258.08, Sell volume: 2268.79, Average price: 0.5107, Price range: 0.0063 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9785
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9790
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9780
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9785
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9790
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0210
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9790
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9785
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9785
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9785
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0215
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9785
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0215
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9785
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0215
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9785
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0220
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 45.89, Sell volume: 5.09, Average price: 0.3418, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0205
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9795
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9805
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9805
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9805
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 4258.08, Sell volume: 2268.79, Average price: 0.5107, Price range: 0.0063 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9805
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0195
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9805
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9820
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0180
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9820
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0175
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9825
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0175
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9825
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0150
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9850
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9870
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 357.00, Sell volume: 499.91, Average price: 0.4580, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0160
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9840
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0155
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9845
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0150
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9850
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0155
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9845
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0120
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9875
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9885
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0115
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9885
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0120
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9880
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0150
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9850
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0145
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9855
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0145
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 207.00, Average price: 0.2588, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0145
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9855
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0150
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9850
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0150
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9850
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0150
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9850
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9860
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0135
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9865
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0130
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9870
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9875
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0125
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9875
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0100
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9900
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0100
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 58.63, Sell volume: 40.80, Average price: 0.3396, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0100
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9900
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9925
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9935
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9940
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9935
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9940
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9935
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9935
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0070
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9930
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1316.01, Sell volume: 1160.00, Average price: 0.4470, Price range: 0.0063 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9935
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0055
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9945
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0055
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9945
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9945
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9945
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9945
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 199.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547789
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Daegu (대구) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 6526.866512
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 501.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5029, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9300
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0700
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9300
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.7000
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.3000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.1000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.7000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.3000
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.7000
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.3000
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.7000
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.3000
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.6900
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.3100
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.6900
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.3100
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3133.73, Sell volume: 1050.38, Average price: 0.6291, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9100
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0900
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9100
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0900
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9100
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0900
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9100
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0900
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9100
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3133.73, Sell volume: 1050.38, Average price: 0.6291, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3133.73, Sell volume: 1050.38, Average price: 0.6291, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.4950
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.5050
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9600
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0400
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 190.00, Sell volume: 190.00, Average price: 0.1586, Price range: 0.0129 - 0.3042

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0400
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9645
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0355
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9635
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0365
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9740
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0260
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9740
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0260
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9740
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0260
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9740
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0260
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9745
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0255
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9740
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0260
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9735
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0265
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9720
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0280
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9705
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0295
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9705
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3133.73, Sell volume: 1050.38, Average price: 0.6291, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9700
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0300
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9710
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0290
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9710
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0290
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9705
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0295
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9705
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0295
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9735
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0265
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9745
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0255
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9745
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0255
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9735
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0265
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9760
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 27.24, Sell volume: 1.19, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0451 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9760
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0240
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9760
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0240
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9720
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0280
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9715
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0285
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3133.73, Sell volume: 1050.38, Average price: 0.6291, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9740
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0260
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9735
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0265
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9700
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0300
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9650
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0350
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9650
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0350
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9650
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0350
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9650
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9655
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0345
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9655
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0345
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9655
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0345
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9655
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0345
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3133.73, Sell volume: 1050.38, Average price: 0.6291, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0360
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0360
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9545
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0455
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9630
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0370
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9635
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0365
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9545
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0455
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9665
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0335
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9685
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0315
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9690
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0310
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9670
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0330
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9685
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0315
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9695
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 135.00, Average price: 0.0394, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.0490

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9700
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0300
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9745
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0255
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9750
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0250
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9750
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0250
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9760
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0240
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0230
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9920, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9780
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9780
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9775
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0225
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9760
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0240
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0230
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9775
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0225
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0230
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9700
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0300
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9745
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0255
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9745
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0255
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9755
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9910, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9760
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0240
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9760
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0240
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9760
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0240
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9765
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0235
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9770
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0230
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9770
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0230
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9745
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0255
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9750
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0250
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9745
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0255
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9750
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0250
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9745
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0255
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0210
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9810
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1611.40, Sell volume: 538.89, Average price: 0.7333, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9810
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0190
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9815
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0185
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9815
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0185
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9855
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0145
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9855
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0145
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9820
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0180
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9820
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0180
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9805
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0195
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9805
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0195
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1199.04, Sell volume: 124.19, Average price: 0.7807, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9300
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0700
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9300
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.7000
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.3000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9000
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.1000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.7000
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.3000
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.7000
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.3000
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.7000
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.3000
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.6900
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.3100
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.6900
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.3100
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3133.73, Sell volume: 1050.38, Average price: 0.6291, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.7550
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.2450
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9100
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0900
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9100
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0900
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9100
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0900
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9100
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0900
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9100
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3133.73, Sell volume: 1050.38, Average price: 0.6291, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3133.73, Sell volume: 1050.38, Average price: 0.6291, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.4950
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.5050
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9600
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0400
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 190.00, Sell volume: 190.00, Average price: 0.1586, Price range: 0.0129 - 0.3042
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9600
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0400
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9645
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0355
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9635
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0365
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9740
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0260
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9740
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0260
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9740
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0260
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9740
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0260
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9745
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0255
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9740
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0260
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9735
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0265
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9720
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0280
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9705
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0295
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9705
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3133.73, Sell volume: 1050.38, Average price: 0.6291, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9700
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0300
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9710
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0290
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9710
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0290
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9705
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0295
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9705
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0295
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9735
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0265
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9745
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0255
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9745
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0255
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9735
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0265
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9760
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 27.24, Sell volume: 1.19, Average price: 0.6637, Price range: 0.0451 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9760
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0240
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9760
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0240
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0250
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9720
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0280
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9715
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0285
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9710
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3133.73, Sell volume: 1050.38, Average price: 0.6291, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9740
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0260
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9735
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0265
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9700
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0300
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9650
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0350
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9650
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0350
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9650
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0350
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9650
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9655
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0345
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9655
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0345
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9655
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0345
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9655
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0345
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 3133.73, Sell volume: 1050.38, Average price: 0.6291, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9650
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0350
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0360
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0360
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9545
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0455
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9630
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0370
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9635
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0365
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9545
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0455
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9665
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0335
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9685
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0315
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9690
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0310
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9670
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0330
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9685
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0315
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9695
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 135.00, Average price: 0.0394, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.0490
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9700
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0300
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9705
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0295
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9745
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0255
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9750
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0250
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9750
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0250
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9760
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0240
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0230
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9920, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9780
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9780
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0220
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9775
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0225
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9760
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0240
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0230
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9775
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0225
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9770
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0230
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9700
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0300
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9745
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0255
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9745
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0255
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9755
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9910, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9760
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0240
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9760
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0240
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9760
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0240
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9765
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0235
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9770
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0230
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9770
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0230
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9745
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0255
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9750
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0250
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9745
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0255
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9750
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0250
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9745
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0255
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0210
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9810
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1611.40, Sell volume: 538.89, Average price: 0.7333, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547790
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Incheon (인천) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 4184.107424
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9810
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0190
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9815
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0185
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9815
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0185
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9855
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0145
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9855
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0145
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9820
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0180
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9820
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0180
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9805
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0195
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9805
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0195
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1199.04, Sell volume: 124.19, Average price: 0.7807, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 677423
Question: Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15019.915546
Price History:
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.2450
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 249.83, Sell volume: 40.18, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.2627 - 0.7450

Output: No