Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7550
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.8200
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5650
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6100
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.6700
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.7200
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.5200
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 18.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4747, Price range: 0.1685 - 0.7810

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.5900
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.5100
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 235.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6100, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.5550
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3300
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.3300
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3250
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.3300
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.3200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 443.00, Average price: 0.4662, Price range: 0.4088 - 0.5000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.3200
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.3200
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3200
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.3200
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.2750
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3950
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.7550
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 168.29, Sell volume: 38.78, Average price: 0.5408, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7000
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.3100
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7000
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.7000
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.7000
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 27.22, Sell volume: 60.22, Average price: 0.4383, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7900
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7900
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7900
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7900
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6800
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.6800
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6800
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5600
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.7450
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.8000
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.8600
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 522.84, Sell volume: 206.37, Average price: 0.6050, Price range: 0.1282 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.7850
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.7900
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.7850
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.7750
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.6900
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.7000
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.7850
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.8150
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.8400
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.8400
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.8400
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.8000
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9500
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9500
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9500
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 407.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.4553, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.8523

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9600
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9600
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9600
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9600
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9600
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9600
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9600
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9600
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9610
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9610
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9610
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9640
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9695
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9690
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.9700
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9695
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9695
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9695
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.9695
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.9695
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.9695
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.9690
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.9690
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.0182, Price range: 0.0182 - 0.0182

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9615
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9650
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9695
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9705
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9710
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9690
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9570
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9590
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9580
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9580
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9580
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9580
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9580
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9580
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9580
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9580
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9580
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9540
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9540
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9540
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9540
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9540
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9540
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9640
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9645
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9690
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9650
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9680
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9660
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9660
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9660
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9690
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9660
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9670
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9670
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9660
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9665
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 46.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5130, Price range: 0.0480 - 0.9780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9680
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9680
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9670
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9680
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9690
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9680
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9820
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9825
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9825
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9830
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9835
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9835
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9910
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9825
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9830
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9830
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9825
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9825
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9825
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9850
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9850
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9845
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9845
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9845
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9845
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 6248.28, Sell volume: 1219.50, Average price: 0.3158, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.2500
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.9500
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0350
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9640
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0235
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.9765
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0235
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0260
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9835
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0120
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9880
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0120
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9880
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0085
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9915
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.9915
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0075
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9940
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9945
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9940
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.9940
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.9930
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0070
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9940
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9930
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0055
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9930
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9930
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.9930
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9930
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.9920
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.0080
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9920
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0080
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.9920
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9920
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0085
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9920
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0080
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.9915
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0080
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9920
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0075
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.9920
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0075
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.9915
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.9920
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.9920
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0080
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9915
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9920
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0055
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.9920
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0075
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.9935
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0065
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.9935
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9940
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0055
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9940
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0055
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.9945
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.0050
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.9965
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.0040
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.9970
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0035
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.9970
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.9965
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0035
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.9965
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0035
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.9965
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0030
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9970
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9970
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9965
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9970
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0035
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.9965
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.9940
2025-06-30 14:00: 0.0040
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.9935
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.9945
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0055
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9935
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.9945
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9970
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0030
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9970
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.0030
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.9970
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0030
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.0030
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9970
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.9970
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.9970
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.9970
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.9970
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.9970
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9970
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9970
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0030
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0030
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0030
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.9970
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0030
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.9970
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0030
2025-07-13 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0030
2025-07-13 11:00: 0.9970
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0030
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9970
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0030
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9970
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0030
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0030
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.0030
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9970
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0030
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0030
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.9970
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0030
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0030
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0030
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0030
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.9970
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9975
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.9975
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.9975
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.9975
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.9975
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.9975
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.9975
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0025
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.9975
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.9975
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9975
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.0025
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.9975
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9975
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.9975
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.9975
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0025
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0025
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.9975
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.9870
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.9930
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0120
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.9910
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0085
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9870
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.0135
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.9880
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0120
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.9910
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0100
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.9885
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.0110
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.9920
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0085
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9905
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0095
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.9905
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0135
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.9905
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0090
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.9905
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0170
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.9835
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0205
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.9815
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.0180
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.9810
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9805
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0200
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9825
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.0175
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.0220
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9790
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.0120
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9875
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0120
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9865
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9850
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.9870
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9880
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9870
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0100
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.0120
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9875
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.0120
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0120
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9855
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0120
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9880
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0120
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0115
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9880
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9885
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9870
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.9870
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9900
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9885
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9895
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.9895
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0145
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.0115
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0140
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9865
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0135
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9875
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.0130
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9850
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0150
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.9850
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9850
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.9875
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9855
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0145
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.9850
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9850
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.9870
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.9860
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.9865
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0125
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0130
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.9850
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.0150
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.9875
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.0125
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.9870
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0125
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0125
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.0130
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0135
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9885
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.9885
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9885
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0115
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.9885
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0110
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9900
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.0100
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.9900
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.9900
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.0100
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9900
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0100
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.0105
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0105
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0110
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9875
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9895
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9895
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9890
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.9890
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0110
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0110
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9890
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9890
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0100
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0100
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0100
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0100
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9900
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0100
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9900
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0100
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0100
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.0100
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9900
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9900
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0095
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9905
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0095
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9905
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9905
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0095
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9915
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0085
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0085
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9915
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0085
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9915
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0085
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9915
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0085
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9915
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0085
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0085
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0085
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0090
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9910
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9910
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9910
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9915
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0085
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9915
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0085
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0085
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9915
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0085
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9915
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0085
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9915
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9915
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0085
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0085
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0085
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0085
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9915
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0085
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9915
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9915
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9915
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0085
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0085
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0085
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0085
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9915
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0085
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9915
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9915
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0085
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0085
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9915
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9915
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9915
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0085
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0085
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0085
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0085
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9915
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9915
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9915
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0085
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9915
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9915
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0085
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9915
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0085
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9915
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0085
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0085
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0085
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.9915
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9915
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0085
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0085
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0085
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0085
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9915
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0085
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0085
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9915
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9915
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9915
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9915
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0085
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0085
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0085
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9915
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9915
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9915
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9910
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9910
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0090
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9910
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9910
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0090
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9910
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9910
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0090
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9910
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0090
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9910
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0090
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9910
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0090
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9910
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0090
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9910
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0095
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0095
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0090
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0090
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0290
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9705
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9675
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0280
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0230
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.0230
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0285
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.0285
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9795
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0140
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0180
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9865
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0135
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9865
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0135
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9810
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0190
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9850
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0245
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0220
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9810
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0210
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9750
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0170
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9820
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0185
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9820
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9855
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9855
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9760
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0235
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9755
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0235
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9760
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0230
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0235
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9765
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9790
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9790
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9790
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0210
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0210
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9790
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0210
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9790
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0220
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0220
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9780
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9785
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0225
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9775
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9775
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0225
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9760
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9760
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9715
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0285
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9715
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0320
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9690
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0310
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0455
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9695
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0445
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0455
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0360
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0485
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0545
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9455
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9485
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9130
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1075
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8910
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1110
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.1335
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.1260
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1300
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1260
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.8740
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.1055
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.8995
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.8990
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.1025
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.8965
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9040
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0665
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9035
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.1010
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.1130
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9610
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9645
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9605
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0430
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9550
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0455
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9555
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0440
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9535
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0440
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9560
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0460
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9535
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0425
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9590
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0935
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.8940
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.1420
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.8610
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.2165
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.8130
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.1725
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.8270
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.1400
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.7655
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.2610
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.7580
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.2145
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.6735
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.2865
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.7160
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.3430
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.6495
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.1685
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.5775
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.2415
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9845
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999979, Buy volume: 171713106.84, Sell volume: 72578808.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5050
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 8315.04, Sell volume: 2247.87, Average price: 0.4671, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5100
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 443.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5145, Price range: 0.5145 - 0.5145
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.4850
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.5150
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.5600
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4550
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4150
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 8315.04, Sell volume: 2247.87, Average price: 0.4671, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5500
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.2500
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.7450
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.2550
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7550
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1150
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.8850
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5650
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4350
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.3300
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 18.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4747, Price range: 0.1685 - 0.7810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5700
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.4000
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4100
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5900
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.4100
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5950
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.4300
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.3550
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 235.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6100, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.5300
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.4700
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.5300
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.4450
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.3600
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.4050
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.5950
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3300
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3250
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.6700
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 443.00, Average price: 0.4662, Price range: 0.4088 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.3200
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.6800
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3200
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.6000
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.6100
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.7250
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.2700
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3900
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.6000
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.6000
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7450
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.2450
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 168.29, Sell volume: 38.78, Average price: 0.5408, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.2600
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7400
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2950
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.3100
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.7000
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 27.22, Sell volume: 60.22, Average price: 0.4383, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7900
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2100
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7900
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7900
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2100
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6800
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.3200
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6800
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.4400
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5400
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 522.84, Sell volume: 206.37, Average price: 0.6050, Price range: 0.1282 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.2150
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.7900
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.2150
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.3100
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.7850
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.1850
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.8150
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.1600
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.8400
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 407.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.4553, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.8523
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0400
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0400
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0400
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0400
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9600
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0400
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9600
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0390
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0350
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0350
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0350
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0360
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9690
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0300
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9695
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.0182, Price range: 0.0182 - 0.0182
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9615
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0350
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9705
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9690
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0430
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9580
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0420
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9580
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0420
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9580
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0420
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9540
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0460
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9540
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0460
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9645
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0350
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0340
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9660
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0340
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9660
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0310
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9670
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 46.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5130, Price range: 0.0480 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657206
Question: Will Netflix reach $119 in November?
Volume: 10562.9107
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0300
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9680
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0330
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9690
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0320
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9825
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0175
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9835
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0165
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0090
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9825
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0170
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9825
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0175
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9850
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0150
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9845
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0155
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 6248.28, Sell volume: 1219.50, Average price: 0.3158, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.2500
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0550
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0230
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0235
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0240
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0190
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0170
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0125
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0120
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0080
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0075
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0055
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0065
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0075
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0080
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0080
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9920
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9920
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9915
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9920
2025-06-18 17:00: 0.9925
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.9920
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.9920
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9920
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.9915
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9920
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.9920
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.9920
2025-06-21 17:00: 0.9920
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9925
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9935
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.9940
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9940
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9935
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9945
2025-06-24 08:00: 0.9950
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9960
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.9965
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.9970
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9970
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9965
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.9965
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.9965
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.9970
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.9965
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0035
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0035
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0035
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0065
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0030
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0030
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0030
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.0030
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0030
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0030
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0030
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0030
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0030
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9970
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.9970
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.9970
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9970
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9970
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9970
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9970
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0025
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.0025
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.0025
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0025
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.0025
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.0130
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.0070
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.0095
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.0080
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.9880
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9890
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.9890
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.9890
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.9915
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.9905
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.9910
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9905
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.9910
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.9815
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9845
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.9815
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9820
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0195
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0185
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.0185
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9815
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.9875
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.9875
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0150
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0150
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.9870
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.0120
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0120
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0120
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0120
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9880
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.9885
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0110
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9900
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.9870
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.0105
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.9885
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0125
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0140
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.0140
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9875
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.9850
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.0145
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.0140
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.9850
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9850
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0145
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9875
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0125
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0125
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.0125
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0140
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9875
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9860
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0115
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9885
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9885
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9900
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9900
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9900
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9900
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0100
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0110
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0110
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0105
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0110
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.0110
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0110
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9890
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0100
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9900
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9900
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0100
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0100
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9900
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0100
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0095
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9905
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9900
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9915
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0085
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0085
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0085
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0085
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0085
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0085
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0085
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0085
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0090
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9910
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9915
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0085
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9915
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9915
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0085
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0085
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9915
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0085
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9915
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9915
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0085
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0085
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0085
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9915
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9915
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9915
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0085
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9915
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9915
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9915
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9915
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9915
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0085
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0085
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.9915
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9915
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9915
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.0085
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0085
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9915
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9915
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9915
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9915
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9915
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9915
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9915
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9910
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9910
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9910
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9910
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0090
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0090
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9910
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9910
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9910
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9910
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9910
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0095
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.9905
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0095
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0295
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0300
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0235
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9715
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9830
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9825
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0135
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9860
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9865
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9815
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9755
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9755
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0190
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0215
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0170
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0185
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0180
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9855
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0235
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9755
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0240
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9780
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0235
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0210
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0210
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0210
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9790
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9780
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0220
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0225
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0225
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0235
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0240
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0285
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0285
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0310
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0295
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9695
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9605
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0360
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9455
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0540
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9240
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8915
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8890
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.8660
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.8740
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.8955
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0960
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.1055
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.0620
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.8975
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.8740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 171757745.13, Sell volume: 72578858.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 550019
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1008418.8797
Price History:
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0455
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0325
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0470
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0455
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0445
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0465
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0435
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0460
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0410
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0960
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.1420
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.1895
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.1730
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.2655
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.2475
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.2360
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.3015
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.3010
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.3300
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.6820
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.2415
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0105
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999979, Buy volume: 171713106.84, Sell volume: 72578808.80, Average price: 0.5220, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 4063.92, Sell volume: 370.39, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5350
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4650
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.5350
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.4650
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.5400
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.5400
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.4600
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.3350
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.6650
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.6750
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.3250
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 581.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.6850
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.6850
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.5450
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.5150
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4850
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.5150
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.4850
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.4850
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 92.14, Average price: 0.4025, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.3650
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.6350
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.3600
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.6400
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.6400
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.3600
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.6400
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.3900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.4600
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5400
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.4600
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7050
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6800
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3750
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.3850
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.5650
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 164.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4280, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3700
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5550
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.5550
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 6.25, Sell volume: 144.25, Average price: 0.4550, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.4800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5500
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4500
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5100
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.4950
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.4850
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.5150
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.4700
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.4700
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 4063.92, Sell volume: 370.39, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 4063.92, Sell volume: 370.39, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.3150
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.3150
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.6850
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.3200
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.6800
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.3200
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.6800
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.6800
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.6800
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.6800
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.3200
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.6800
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.3250
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.6750
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.3300
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.6700
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.3300
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.6700
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.3250
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.6750
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.3250
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.6750
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 4063.92, Sell volume: 370.39, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.3550
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.6300
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.6300
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.3700
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.6300
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.3650
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.6350
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.3150
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.6850
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.3150
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.6850
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.6250
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.6250
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 4063.92, Sell volume: 370.39, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.6850
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.2300
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7700
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.2200
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.7800
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.2250
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7750
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.2250
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7750
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.2250
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7750
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.2250
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.7750
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.2250
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.2250
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.2250
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.2200
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.7800
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2250
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.2250
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.7750
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.2300
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.7700
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.2000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.8000
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 3261.07, Sell volume: 114.00, Average price: 0.8615, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 4063.92, Sell volume: 370.39, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5350
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4650
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.5350
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.4650
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.5400
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.5400
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.4600
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.5050
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 581.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5022, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.6850
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.6850
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 92.14, Average price: 0.4025, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.3650
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.6350
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.3600
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.6400
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.3600
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.6400
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.3600
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.6400
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.3900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.4750
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.5250
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.4750
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.5250
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.4750
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.5250
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4750
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.4900, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.4900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.7050
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6800
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6500
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.3550
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 164.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4280, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5650
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.4350
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.4600
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 6.25, Sell volume: 144.25, Average price: 0.4550, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.4800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5500
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4500
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5400
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4600
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5100
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 4063.92, Sell volume: 370.39, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657207
Question: Will Netflix reach $115.50 in November?
Volume: 4434.308247
Price History:
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.4450
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.5550
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.5500
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 4063.92, Sell volume: 370.39, Average price: 0.6332, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No