Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0020
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.0020
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0020
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.0020
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0020
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0020
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0020
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0020
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0020
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0020
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.0020
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9980
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0020
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.0020
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9980
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0020
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.9975
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0020
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9970
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9980
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0020
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9980
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0020
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.9980
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0020
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0025
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0030
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9965
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0045
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0045
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9960
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.0035
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0040
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9950
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9955
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0040
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9960
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 779220, Buy volume: 118742227.74, Sell volume: 10393695.90, Average price: 0.9062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 179820, Buy volume: 163399766.67, Sell volume: 3666250.08, Average price: 0.3781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40960, Buy volume: 101683334.30, Sell volume: 112892.81, Average price: 0.0232, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.1500
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9675
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0255
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9770
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.0150
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.9840
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.0150
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9835
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0160
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.9835
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.0150
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9845
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0155
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.9850
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0150
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9850
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0150
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.9850
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0150
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9850
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0150
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9850
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0150
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.9855
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0150
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9855
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0120
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9855
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0145
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0150
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.9850
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0150
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9850
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0080
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9925
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9870
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0130
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9870
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.9875
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0125
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9875
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0125
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.9875
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9875
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9880
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0120
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0140
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9860
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0140
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9840
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0160
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9840
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0200
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0205
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9795
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9795
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0210
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9795
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0205
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9790
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0210
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9790
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0210
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9795
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0210
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9790
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0210
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9790
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0210
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9805
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9805
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0195
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9810
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0240
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9760
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0225
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9805
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0195
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9810
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0190
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9810
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0190
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9810
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0190
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9810
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0190
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9810
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0220
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9780
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0210
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9790
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0210
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.9790
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0215
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.9785
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0210
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9790
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.0210
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.9790
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0205
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.9795
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0205
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.9795
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0195
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9810
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0210
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9790
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0210
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9845
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0145
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9850
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0165
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9835
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0170
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9810
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0190
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9865
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0130
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9870
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9870
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0130
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9855
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0125
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9875
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0125
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9880
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9865
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0135
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9860
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0120
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9865
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0135
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9870
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0125
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0125
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9905
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0090
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9910
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0090
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9910
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0075
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.9935
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0065
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9940
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0055
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0055
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9950
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0065
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9935
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9940
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0055
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9940
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0055
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9945
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0040
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9970
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9945
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9945
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0035
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9965
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0035
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.9965
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0035
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9960
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0035
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.9970
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.9970
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9970
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9975
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9975
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9975
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9980
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9980
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9980
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0055
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9935
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9855
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0130
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0080
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9940
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0055
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9945
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9950
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0050
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9950
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0055
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9895
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0125
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9870
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9945
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0060
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9980
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0025
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0045
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9955
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.9980
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9980
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9980
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0020
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.9980
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0020
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.9990
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0025
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0025
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9975
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9980
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0020
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9980
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0020
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.9980
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0020
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9980
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9975
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0025
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9975
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0020
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.9980
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.0020
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0020
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.0025
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9970
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9965
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9975
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0025
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9955
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0045
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9960
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9960
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 383825328.71, Sell volume: 14172838.79, Average price: 0.7751, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0040
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9960
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9980
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 779220, Buy volume: 118742227.74, Sell volume: 10393695.90, Average price: 0.9062, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0005
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9995
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 179820, Buy volume: 163399766.67, Sell volume: 3666250.08, Average price: 0.3781, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527802
Question: Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 812942.216354
Price History:
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40960, Buy volume: 101683334.30, Sell volume: 112892.81, Average price: 0.0232, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.5150
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.5150
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.5050
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.7300
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.7350
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.2900
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.2850
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.7050
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.2950
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.7050
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.2950
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.2900
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.7200
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.7400
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.7500
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.7500
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.2400
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.2400
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.2400
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.7300
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.2750
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.7200
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.7200
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.7200
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.2800
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.2800
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.2800
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.2800
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.2300
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.2300
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.7550
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.2450
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1817.83, Sell volume: 439.99, Average price: 0.6266, Price range: 0.2536 - 0.7400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.7400
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.7800
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.8050
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.2200
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.7800
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.8050
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.2100
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.2200
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.2100
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.2050
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.2150
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.2000
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.7850
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.7600
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.2500
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.2350
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.2350
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.2900
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.2850
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.2900
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.3100
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.3100
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.2850
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.7150
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.2850
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.3150
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.2950
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.2900
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.7250
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.2850
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.2950
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.7100
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.2950
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.2950
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.7150
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 333.89, Sell volume: 364.49, Average price: 0.2333, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.2700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.7150
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.7150
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.7150
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.2900
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.7100
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.7050
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.7100
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.7100
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.2850
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.7100
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.2850
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.2800
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.7200
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.2800
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.7200
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.7150
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.2850
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.7150
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.2850
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.2850
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.7150
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.7150
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.2850
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.2850
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.7150
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.7100
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.3000
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.3050
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.7200
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.7150
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.7200
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.7200
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.2800
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 31.36, Sell volume: 3.77, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.7550
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.2450
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.7550
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3400
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.6900
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.7100
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.2750
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.7200
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.2850
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.7150
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.7150
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.7300
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.2700
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.6600
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.6600
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.3300
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.6700
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.6700
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 287.53, Sell volume: 203.75, Average price: 0.3596, Price range: 0.2673 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.3350
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.3350
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.3350
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.2750
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.3300
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.3300
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.3300
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.6700
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.6700
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.3300
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.3300
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.3300
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.3300
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.6700
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.6800
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.3300
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6750
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 5.88, Sell volume: 210.41, Average price: 0.4467, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3150
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1400.00, Sell volume: 212.17, Average price: 0.3416, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.3481

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.4050
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.6200
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.6200
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.3800
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.6200
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3800
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.6200
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.3800
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.3800
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.6250
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.3800
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.3850
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.4000
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.6000
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.6000
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.6000
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.6000
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.4000
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.4000
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.6000
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.4000
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.4000
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.4000
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.4000
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.4000
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.4000
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.4000
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.4000
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.6000
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.4000
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.4000
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.4000
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.6000
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.4000
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.6050
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.5900
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.6000
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 40.11, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.3950, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.4000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.6100
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.3900
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.3900
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.3950
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.3900
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.3750
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.3750
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.6200
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.6200
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.6200
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.3900
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.6000
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.6000
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.6400
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.6450
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.6450
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.6400
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.3550
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.6450
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.5400
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.5550
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.5450
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.4400
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4550
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.4200
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.3950
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.4450
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.5600
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.4000
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.5800
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.5750
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.5650
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.4200
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.4100
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.5400
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.5400
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.5250
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.5500
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.4450
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.5500
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 3129.08, Sell volume: 272.44, Average price: 0.5112, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.5300
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.4650
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.5350
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.5350
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.5350
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.5350
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.5350
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.4650
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.4650
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.4650
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.4650
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.5350
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.4650
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.5350
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.4650
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.4700
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.4650
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.5350
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.5850
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.5700
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.5800
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.5850
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.6400
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.6400
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.6400
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.3600
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.6300
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.6300
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.3700
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.6350
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.6300
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.3700
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.3450
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.6250
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.5850
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.4000
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.3750
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.3750
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.3750
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1080.88, Sell volume: 1151.99, Average price: 0.4781, Price range: 0.3352 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.3700
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.3650
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.3750
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.6300
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.3450
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.3450
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.3150
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.3150
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.3150
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.7000
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7000
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.6950
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.6900
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.6700
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.3150
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.3050
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.6650
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.6700
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.3400
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.3450
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.3400
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.6600
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.6350
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.6150
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.6050
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.6150
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.6150
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.3850
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.6150
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.3650
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.3450
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.3650
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.6450
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.4150
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.5700
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.5700
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.4350
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 11592.88, Sell volume: 1435.10, Average price: 0.4486, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.4850
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.4750
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.4750
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.5300
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.4900
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.4400
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.4850
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.5150
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4850
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.4850
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.4850
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.4850
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.5400
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.5350
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.5650
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.4450
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.4000
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.3100
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.3100
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.3250
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.3550
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.3600
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.3550
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.3550
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.3550
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.3250
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.3250
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.3250
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.3250
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.3250
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.3250
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.3350
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.3250
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.3300
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.3350
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.3350
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.3350
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.3400
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.3450
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 220, Buy volume: 15741.82, Sell volume: 2726.02, Average price: 0.5344, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.4050
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.3950
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.4000
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.3950
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.3500
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.3550
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.3550
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.3550
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.3550
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.3750
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.3750
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.3100
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.3050
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.2700
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.2450
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.2450
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.2500
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.2550
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.2500
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.2500
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.2500
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.2500
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.2500
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.2500
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.2500
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.2650
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.2550
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.2800
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.2500
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.2500
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.2700
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.2950
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.3000
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 159, Buy volume: 6138.45, Sell volume: 3897.52, Average price: 0.4727, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.3400
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.3550
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.4100
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.4000
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0510
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0535
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0180
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0155
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0610
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0570
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0445
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0680
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.2000
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.1565
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.1485
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 371, Buy volume: 55870.42, Sell volume: 26658.57, Average price: 0.3636, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.5050
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.2700
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.2900
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.7150
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.7050
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.7050
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.2850
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.2800
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.7300
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.2650
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.2550
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.2500
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.7600
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.7300
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.2800
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.2750
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.2800
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.2800
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.2800
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.2300
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.2450
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.7550
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1817.83, Sell volume: 439.99, Average price: 0.6266, Price range: 0.2536 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.7400
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.1850
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.1950
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.2200
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.8050
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.7850
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.8000
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.7600
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.7600
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.7650
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.2850
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.6700
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.6950
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.2850
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.6900
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.2850
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.7100
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.2850
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.7100
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.2900
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.7150
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 333.89, Sell volume: 364.49, Average price: 0.2333, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.2700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.7150
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.2900
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.7150
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.2900
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.7100
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.7200
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.7200
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.2800
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.2850
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.7150
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.7150
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.2850
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.2850
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.7150
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.7100
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.6950
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.2950
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.7050
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.2850
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.2850
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.7200
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.7250
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.2450
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 31.36, Sell volume: 3.77, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.7550
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.7550
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.2450
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.3100
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.6850
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.2900
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.7200
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.7150
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.2700
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.3400
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.6600
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.6700
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.6700
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.6700
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.3300
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 287.53, Sell volume: 203.75, Average price: 0.3596, Price range: 0.2673 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.6650
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.6650
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.7150
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.2900
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.2800
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.6700
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.3300
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.3300
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.3300
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.6700
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.3300
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.6800
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.6800
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.3300
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 5.88, Sell volume: 210.41, Average price: 0.4467, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6850
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1400.00, Sell volume: 212.17, Average price: 0.3416, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.3481
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.6000
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.3800
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.3800
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.6200
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.3800
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.6200
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.3750
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.3850
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.3850
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.3850
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.6200
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.6000
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.4000
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.6000
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.6000
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.6000
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.6000
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.4000
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.6000
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.4000
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.4000
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.4000
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.6000
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.6000
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.4100
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.5850
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 40.11, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.3950, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.4000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.6100
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.6050
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.3950
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.6250
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.6200
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.3800
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.4000
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.6450
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.3550
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.3600
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.6450
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4550
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.5450
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4550
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4550
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.4350
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.6000
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.5750
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.4300
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.4350
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.4600
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.5400
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.4750
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.5550
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.4450
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 3129.08, Sell volume: 272.44, Average price: 0.5112, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.5300
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.4650
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.5350
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.4650
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.4650
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.4650
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.5350
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.4650
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.5350
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.4650
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.4150
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.6450
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.3600
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.3600
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.3700
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.6300
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.3700
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.3700
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.4150
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.5850
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.3850
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.3650
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1080.88, Sell volume: 1151.99, Average price: 0.4781, Price range: 0.3352 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.3700
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.6250
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.6300
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.6550
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.6850
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.3150
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.3000
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.6900
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.6850
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.6950
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.3300
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.3450
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.6600
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.3550
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.6150
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.3850
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.6150
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.6150
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.3650
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.6350
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.3550
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.4150
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.4300
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 11592.88, Sell volume: 1435.10, Average price: 0.4486, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.4850
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.5300
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.4700
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.4900
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.4850
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4850
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.4850
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.5150
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.5350
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.4650
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.5500
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.3850
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.3100
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.6550
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.3550
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.6450
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.3250
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.6750
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.3250
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.6750
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.3250
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.6700
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.3450
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.6600
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.3450
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 220, Buy volume: 15741.82, Sell volume: 2726.02, Average price: 0.5344, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.4050
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.5750
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.3550
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.6450
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.6450
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.3100
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.7300
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.2600
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.7550
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.2500
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.7500
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.2450
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.7500
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.2500
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.7500
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.2500
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.7350
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.7300
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.2500
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.7300
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.2950
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.6950
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 159, Buy volume: 6138.45, Sell volume: 3897.52, Average price: 0.4727, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587258
Question: Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 137840.174928
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.6600
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.3650
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.6000
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0535
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0540
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9555
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.2000
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.8865
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0180
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9950
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 371, Buy volume: 55870.42, Sell volume: 26658.57, Average price: 0.3636, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0400
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9865
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9930
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2389.99, Sell volume: 111.00, Average price: 0.9305, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 454.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 191, Buy volume: 30351.58, Sell volume: 10800.06, Average price: 0.6987, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9535
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0525
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0585
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0585
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0585
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0585
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0585
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9415
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0575
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0190
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9800
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0200
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0190
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9810
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0190
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0180
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9820
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0180
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9825
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9825
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9815
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9815
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9805
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9810
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 3594.07, Sell volume: 1921.40, Average price: 0.0232, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.1160

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9805
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0195
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9810
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9810
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9810
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9810
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9820
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9835
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9820
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9810
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0195
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0180
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9810
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9820
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9830
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0190
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9820
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9840
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0155
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9845
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9860
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0130
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0140
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0140
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0105
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0110
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 763.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9885
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9885
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9885
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9915
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9920
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0070
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0070
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9930
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0060
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0060
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0040
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9960
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9960
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0040
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 261.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9986, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0040
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0040
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9960
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0040
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9960
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 2242.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 905.32, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.9325, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0615
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0460
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0345
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 10911.23, Sell volume: 5244.25, Average price: 0.4807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0060
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0265
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0155
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 8821.16, Sell volume: 3442.41, Average price: 0.4109, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0400
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9925
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9930
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0040
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2389.99, Sell volume: 111.00, Average price: 0.9305, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 454.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 191, Buy volume: 30351.58, Sell volume: 10800.06, Average price: 0.6987, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0030
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9980
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0475
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9475
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0585
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9415
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0585
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9425
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9800
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0190
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0200
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9820
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0180
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9820
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9825
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0195
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9810
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 3594.07, Sell volume: 1921.40, Average price: 0.0232, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.1160
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9805
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0190
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9805
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0175
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9810
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0180
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0195
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0170
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9805
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9810
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0145
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0155
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0155
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9855
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0160
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9860
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9860
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9870
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9895
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9890
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 763.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0115
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9930
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9930
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0070
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9940
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9940
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0050
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0040
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0040
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 261.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9986, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0040
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9960
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 2242.59, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 905.32, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.9325, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0495
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9655
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 10911.23, Sell volume: 5244.25, Average price: 0.4807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587260
Question: Will the Forum for Democracy win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 41151.639901
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0465
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9825
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 8821.16, Sell volume: 3442.41, Average price: 0.4109, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes