Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571010
Question: Will Trump make no announcement by December 31?
Volume: 5333.27625
Price History:
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.9910
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0090
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.9910
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0110
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9890
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.0090
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.9910
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0090
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.9910
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.0090
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.9910
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0085
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9915
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0090
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.9910
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0090
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.9910
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0040
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.9960
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.9965
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 25.99, Sell volume: 1.09, Average price: 0.9888, Price range: 0.9760 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571010
Question: Will Trump make no announcement by December 31?
Volume: 5333.27625
Price History:
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.9965
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.9965
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.9965
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9965
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.9965
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.9965
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.9965
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.9965
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9965
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571010
Question: Will Trump make no announcement by December 31?
Volume: 5333.27625
Price History:
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9965
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.9965
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9965
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.9970
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.9970
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 4281.19, Sell volume: 1052.09, Average price: 0.7769, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571010
Question: Will Trump make no announcement by December 31?
Volume: 5333.27625
Price History:
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.9970
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.9970
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9970
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9970
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.9970
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9970
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0030
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9970
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.9970
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 4281.19, Sell volume: 1052.09, Average price: 0.7769, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571010
Question: Will Trump make no announcement by December 31?
Volume: 5333.27625
Price History:
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.9970
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.9970
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9970
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9970
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.9970
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.9970
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9970
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9970
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9970
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 571010
Question: Will Trump make no announcement by December 31?
Volume: 5333.27625
Price History:
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.9970
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9970
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9970
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.0030
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9970
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9980
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9995
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 3001.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9987, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0550
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9450
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0680
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9320
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0610
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9390
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0620
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9380
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0590
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9410
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0675
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9325
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0620
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9380
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0635
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9365
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0630
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9370
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0775
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9225
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0870
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9130
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.1015
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.8985
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.1015
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.8985
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.1010
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.8990
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.1005
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.8995
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.1005
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.8995
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.1000
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.9000
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0930
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9070
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0915
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.9085
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0895
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.9105
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0895
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.9105
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0870
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 22398.77, Sell volume: 1522.68, Average price: 0.5021, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0845
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.9155
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0845
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.9155
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0970
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9030
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0900
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9100
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0865
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.9135
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0850
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9150
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0845
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.9155
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0845
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.9155
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0845
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9155
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0840
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.9160
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0830
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.9170
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0845
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9155
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0845
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.9155
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0860
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9140
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0850
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.9150
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0840
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.9160
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.0840
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.9160
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0840
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.9160
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.0840
2025-02-13 08:00: 0.9160
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0840
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.9160
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.0835
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.9165
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.0835
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.9165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 5639.16, Sell volume: 1599.13, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0810 - 0.9190

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0815
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.9185
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0855
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9145
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0895
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.9105
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0900
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.9100
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.0860
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.9140
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0945
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.9055
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0985
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.9015
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0680
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9320
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0690
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.9310
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0690
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.9310
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0675
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9325
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0840
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.9160
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0875
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9125
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0870
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.9130
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0855
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9145
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.0865
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.9135
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0685
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.9315
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.0660
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.9340
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0655
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.9345
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.0655
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.9345
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0645
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.9355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 9491.59, Sell volume: 5394.47, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.0640 - 0.9354

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0645
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9355
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0630
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9370
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0630
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9370
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0625
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.9375
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0605
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.9395
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0615
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9385
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0615
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.9385
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0630
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9370
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0620
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9380
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0805
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.9195
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0925
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.9075
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0970
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9030
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0960
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.9040
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0960
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.9040
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0960
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9040
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0960
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.9040
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.0960
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.9040
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0960
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.9040
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0960
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.9040
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0960
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.9040
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0825
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9180
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0755
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3340.93, Sell volume: 1800.14, Average price: 0.5199, Price range: 0.0610 - 0.9390

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0745
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.9255
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0745
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9255
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0780
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.9220
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0775
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.9225
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0775
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9225
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0780
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.9220
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0805
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.9195
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0855
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9145
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0865
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.9135
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0855
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.9145
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0860
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.9140
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0845
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.9155
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0690
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9310
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0685
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.9315
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0690
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.9310
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.0690
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.9310
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0695
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.9305
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.0710
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.9290
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0700
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.9300
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0670
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.9330
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0660
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.9340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 264.50, Sell volume: 3011.83, Average price: 0.4999, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.9360

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0620
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9380
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0625
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.9375
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0625
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.9375
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0625
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.9375
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0640
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.9360
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0640
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9360
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0535
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9465
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0550
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.9450
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0530
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.9470
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0510
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9490
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0510
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.9490
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0585
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9415
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0585
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9415
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0705
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.9295
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0655
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9345
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0645
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.9355
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.0525
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.9475
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0575
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.9425
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0590
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.9410
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0555
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9445
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0585
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9415
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0585
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 4298.69, Sell volume: 992.51, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.0466 - 0.9482

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0580
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9420
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0670
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9330
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0660
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9340
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0675
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.9325
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0820
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9180
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0645
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9355
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0625
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9375
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0755
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9245
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0755
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9245
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.2735
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.7265
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.1080
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.8920
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.1010
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.8990
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.9150
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0830
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.9170
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0900
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.9100
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0935
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.9065
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0835
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.9165
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.9150
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.0830
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9170
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0840
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.9160
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.0820
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.9180
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0845
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.9155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 6595.39, Sell volume: 1044.63, Average price: 0.7190, Price range: 0.0643 - 0.9360

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0855
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.9145
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.9150
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0855
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.9145
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0860
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9140
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0855
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.9145
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0860
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.9140
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0875
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.9125
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0870
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.9130
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0875
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.9125
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0865
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.9135
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0875
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9125
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0875
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.9125
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0880
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.9120
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0880
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9120
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0865
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9135
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.0860
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.9140
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0720
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9280
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0735
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.9265
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0700
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9300
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0655
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.9345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 3705.22, Sell volume: 202.00, Average price: 0.7118, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.9360

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0645
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9355
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0635
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9365
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0635
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9365
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0630
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.9370
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0630
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9370
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0630
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9370
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0630
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9370
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0625
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9375
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0630
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.9370
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0635
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9365
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0635
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9365
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0615
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.9385
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0720
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9280
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0720
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9280
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0720
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.9280
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0580
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.9420
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0595
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9405
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0670
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.9330
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0670
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9330
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0670
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9330
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0710
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.9290
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0710
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.9290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 4722.63, Sell volume: 637.83, Average price: 0.3696, Price range: 0.0590 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0710
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9290
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0710
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.9290
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0695
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.9305
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0695
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9305
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0695
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.9305
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0785
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.9215
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0790
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9210
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0765
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.9235
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0805
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9195
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0815
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9185
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0825
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9175
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0830
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.9170
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0825
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9175
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0845
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.9155
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0850
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.9150
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.0610
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.9390
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0725
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.9275
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0715
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.9285
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0740
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.9260
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0505
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.9495
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0830
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.9170
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0630
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.9370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 17735.85, Sell volume: 1731.87, Average price: 0.4247, Price range: 0.0577 - 0.9539

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0690
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.9310
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.0725
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.9275
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.1085
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.8915
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.1250
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.8750
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.1405
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.8595
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.1190
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.8810
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.1085
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.8915
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.1105
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.8895
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.1025
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.8975
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.0960
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.9040
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.1185
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.8815
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.1210
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.8790
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.1135
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.8865
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.1250
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.8750
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.1375
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.8625
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.1385
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.8615
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.1105
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.8895
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.0970
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.9030
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0960
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.9040
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.0880
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.9120
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.1050
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.8950
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.1090
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.8910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 196, Buy volume: 31903.67, Sell volume: 15625.66, Average price: 0.4379, Price range: 0.0710 - 0.9494

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.0670
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.9330
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.0170
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.9830
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.0525
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.9475
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0685
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.9315
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.0385
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.9615
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0790
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.9210
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0255
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.9745
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.0280
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.9720
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0175
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.9825
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.0415
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.9585
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0370
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.9630
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.0420
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.9580
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.0415
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.9585
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.0340
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.9660
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.0280
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.9720
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.0255
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.9745
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0200
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.9800
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.0240
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.9760
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0205
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.9795
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.0225
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.9775
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0220
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.9780
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.0220
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 156, Buy volume: 46328.05, Sell volume: 31491.41, Average price: 0.4432, Price range: 0.0128 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0220
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.9780
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.0175
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.9825
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.0175
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.9825
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0120
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.9880
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0145
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.9855
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.0100
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.9900
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.0125
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.9875
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.0120
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.9880
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.0110
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.9890
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.0110
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.9890
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.0085
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.9915
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0085
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.9915
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.0085
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.9915
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.0075
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.9925
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.0075
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.9925
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.0075
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.9925
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0075
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.9925
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.0075
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.9925
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0035
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.9965
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.9995
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 44729.72, Sell volume: 13457.39, Average price: 0.7151, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0550
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9450
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0680
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9320
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0610
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9390
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0620
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9380
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0590
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9410
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0675
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9325
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0620
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9380
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0635
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9365
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0630
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9370
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0775
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9225
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0870
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9130
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.1015
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.8985
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.1015
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.8985
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.1010
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.8990
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.1005
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.8995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 22398.77, Sell volume: 1522.68, Average price: 0.5021, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0845
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.9155
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0845
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.9155
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0970
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9030
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0900
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9100
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0865
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.9135
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0850
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9150
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0845
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.9155
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0845
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.9155
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0845
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9155
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0840
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.9160
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0830
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.9170
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0845
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9155
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0845
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.9155
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0860
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9140
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0850
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 5639.16, Sell volume: 1599.13, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0810 - 0.9190
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.0815
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.9185
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0855
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.9145
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0895
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.9105
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0900
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.9100
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.0860
2025-02-13 16:00: 0.9140
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0945
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.9055
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.0985
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.9015
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0680
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9320
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.0690
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.9310
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0690
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.9310
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.0675
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9325
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0840
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.9160
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.0850
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0875
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.9125
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0870
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.9130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 9491.59, Sell volume: 5394.47, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.0640 - 0.9354
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.0645
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9355
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0630
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.9370
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0630
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9370
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0625
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.9375
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0605
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.9395
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0615
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9385
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0615
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.9385
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0630
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.9370
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.0620
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9380
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0805
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.9195
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.0925
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.9075
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0970
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9030
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0960
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.9040
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0960
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.9040
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.0960
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 3340.93, Sell volume: 1800.14, Average price: 0.5199, Price range: 0.0610 - 0.9390
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0745
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.9255
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0745
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9255
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.0780
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.9220
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0775
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.9225
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.0775
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.9225
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0780
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.9220
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.0805
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.9195
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0855
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.9145
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.0865
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.9135
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0855
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.9145
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0850
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9150
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0860
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.9140
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0845
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.9155
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0690
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9310
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.0685
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.9315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 264.50, Sell volume: 3011.83, Average price: 0.4999, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.9360
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0620
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9380
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0625
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.9375
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0625
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.9375
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0625
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.9375
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0640
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.9360
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0640
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.9360
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.0535
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9465
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0550
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.9450
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0530
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.9470
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0510
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9490
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.0510
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.9490
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0585
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9415
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.0585
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9415
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0705
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.9295
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.0655
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 4298.69, Sell volume: 992.51, Average price: 0.5001, Price range: 0.0466 - 0.9482
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0580
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9420
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0670
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9330
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0660
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9340
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0675
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.9325
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0820
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9180
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0645
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9355
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0625
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9375
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0755
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9245
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0755
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9245
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.2735
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.7265
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.1080
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.8920
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.1010
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.8990
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.9150
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0830
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.9170
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.0900
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 6595.39, Sell volume: 1044.63, Average price: 0.7190, Price range: 0.0643 - 0.9360
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0855
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.9145
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.0850
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.9150
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.0855
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.9145
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0860
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9140
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0855
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.9145
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.0860
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.9140
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.0875
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.9125
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.0870
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.9130
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0875
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.9125
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0865
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.9135
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.0875
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9125
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.0875
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.9125
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0880
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.9120
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.0880
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.9120
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0865
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 3705.22, Sell volume: 202.00, Average price: 0.7118, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.9360
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0645
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9355
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.0635
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.9365
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0635
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9365
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.0630
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.9370
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0630
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9370
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0630
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9370
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0630
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9370
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0625
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9375
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0630
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.9370
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0635
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9365
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0635
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9365
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0615
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.9385
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0720
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9280
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0720
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9280
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0720
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.9280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 4722.63, Sell volume: 637.83, Average price: 0.3696, Price range: 0.0590 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0710
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9290
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0710
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.9290
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0695
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.9305
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0695
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.9305
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0695
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.9305
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.0785
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.9215
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0790
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9210
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0765
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.9235
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0805
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9195
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0815
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9185
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0825
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9175
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0830
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.9170
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0825
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9175
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0845
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.9155
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0850
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 17735.85, Sell volume: 1731.87, Average price: 0.4247, Price range: 0.0577 - 0.9539
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0690
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.9310
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.0725
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.9275
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.1085
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.8915
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.1250
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.8750
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.1405
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.8595
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.1190
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.8810
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.1085
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.8915
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.1105
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.8895
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.1025
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.8975
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.0960
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.9040
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.1185
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.8815
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.1210
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.8790
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.1135
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.8865
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.1250
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.8750
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.1375
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.8625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 196, Buy volume: 31903.67, Sell volume: 15625.66, Average price: 0.4379, Price range: 0.0710 - 0.9494
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.0670
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.9330
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.0170
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.9830
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.0525
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.9475
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0685
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.9315
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.0385
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.9615
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0790
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.9210
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0255
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.9745
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.0280
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.9720
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0175
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.9825
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.0415
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.9585
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0370
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.9630
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.0420
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.9580
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.0415
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.9585
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.0340
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.9660
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.0280
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 156, Buy volume: 46328.05, Sell volume: 31491.41, Average price: 0.4432, Price range: 0.0128 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 522940
Question: Kash Patel releases Epstein files on Day 1?
Volume: 290702.081863
Price History:
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0220
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.9780
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.0175
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.9825
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.0175
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.9825
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0120
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.9880
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0145
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.9855
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.0100
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.9900
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.0125
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.9875
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.0120
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.9880
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.0110
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.9890
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.0110
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.9890
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.0085
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.9915
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0085
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.9915
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.0085
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.9915
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.0075
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.9925
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.0075
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 44729.72, Sell volume: 13457.39, Average price: 0.7151, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.8950
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.1050
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9200
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0800
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9300
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9200
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0800
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9200
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9200
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9250
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9500
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0500
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2026.55, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.6463, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0450
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0250
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9750
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0355
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9645
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9665
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0335
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9660
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0340
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0395
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9605
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0365
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9635
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9645
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0355
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9670
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0330
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9710
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0290
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9705
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0295
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9710
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 506.55, Sell volume: 584.40, Average price: 0.4999, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9710
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0290
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9710
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0290
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0290
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9710
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9710
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0290
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9730
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0270
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9730
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0270
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9735
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0265
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9735
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0265
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9735
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0265
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9725
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0275
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9725
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0275
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 51.27, Sell volume: 68.69, Average price: 0.3447, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0275
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9725
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0275
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9725
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0275
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9725
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0275
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9700
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0300
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9700
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0300
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9700
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0300
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9700
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0300
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0300
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9700
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9700
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0300
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9695
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0305
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9645
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 545.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0351, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.0363

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0355
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9645
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9645
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0355
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0320
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0330
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9670
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9695
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0305
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0305
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9695
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0295
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9705
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9700
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0300
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0325
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9675
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9700
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0300
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9675
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0325
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 502.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5082, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9754

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0330
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9670
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0330
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9670
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0330
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9670
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0330
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0310
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9690
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9710
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0290
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0275
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9725
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0325
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9675
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0295
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9705
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9675
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0325
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0325
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9675
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0325
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 423.96, Sell volume: 185.04, Average price: 0.0325, Price range: 0.0295 - 0.0354

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0285
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9715
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9710
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0290
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0290
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9710
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9710
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0290
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9710
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0290
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0285
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9715
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9715
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0285
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9715
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0285
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0265
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9735
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9735
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0265
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9735
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0265
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 307.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9781, Price range: 0.9770 - 0.9792

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0265
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9735
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 9054.32, Sell volume: 2343.67, Average price: 0.6796, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9740
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0260
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9740
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0260
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9740
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0260
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9735
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0265
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9735
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0265
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9735
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0265
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9735
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0265
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9735
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0265
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9760
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0240
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9815
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0185
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9810
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0190
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 15.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0190
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9810
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0190
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0190
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9810
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9810
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0190
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9810
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0190
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9815
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0185
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0185
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9815
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0180
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9820
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9820
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0180
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0180
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9820
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0180
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9820
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0180
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 9054.32, Sell volume: 2343.67, Average price: 0.6796, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0180
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9820
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9870
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0130
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9880
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0120
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9880
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0115
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9885
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0115
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9885
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9890
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9890
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9890
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9890
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1093.45, Sell volume: 338.11, Average price: 0.7424, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9890
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9890
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0110
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9890
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0110
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9890
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9855
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0145
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9850
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 478.01, Average price: 0.9833, Price range: 0.9833 - 0.9833

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9860
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0140
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0140
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0140
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9885
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0115
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0115
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9885
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.9885
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0115
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9885
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0115
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9955
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9940
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1939.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9931, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.8300
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.8950
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.1050
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9200
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0800
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9300
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9200
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0800
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9200
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9200
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9250
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9500
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0500
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2026.55, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.6463, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0450
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0250
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9750
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0355
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9645
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9665
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0335
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9660
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.0340
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0395
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9605
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0365
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9635
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9645
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0355
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9670
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0330
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9710
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0290
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9705
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0295
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9710
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 506.55, Sell volume: 584.40, Average price: 0.4999, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9710
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0290
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9710
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0290
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0290
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9710
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9710
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0290
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9730
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0270
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9730
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0270
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9735
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.0265
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9735
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0265
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9735
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0265
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9725
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0275
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9725
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0275
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 51.27, Sell volume: 68.69, Average price: 0.3447, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0275
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9725
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0275
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9725
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0275
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9725
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0275
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9700
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0300
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9700
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0300
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9700
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0300
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9700
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0300
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0300
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9700
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9700
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0300
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9695
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0305
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9645
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 545.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0351, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.0363
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0355
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9645
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9645
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0355
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0320
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9680
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0330
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9670
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9695
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0305
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.0305
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9695
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.0295
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9705
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9700
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0300
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0325
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9675
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9700
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0300
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9675
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0325
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 502.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5082, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9754
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0330
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9670
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0330
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9670
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.0330
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9670
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0330
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0310
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9690
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9710
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0290
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0275
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9725
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0325
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9675
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0295
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9705
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9675
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0325
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0325
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9675
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0325
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 423.96, Sell volume: 185.04, Average price: 0.0325, Price range: 0.0295 - 0.0354
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0285
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9715
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9710
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0290
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0290
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9710
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9710
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0290
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9710
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0290
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0285
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9715
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9715
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0285
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9715
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0285
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0265
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9735
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9735
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0265
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9735
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0265
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 307.38, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9781, Price range: 0.9770 - 0.9792
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0265
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0270
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9735
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 9054.32, Sell volume: 2343.67, Average price: 0.6796, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9740
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0260
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9740
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0260
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9740
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0260
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9735
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0265
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9735
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0265
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9735
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0265
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9735
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0265
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9735
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0265
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9760
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0240
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9815
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0185
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9810
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0190
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 15.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0190
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9810
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0190
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0190
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9810
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9810
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0190
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9810
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0190
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9815
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0185
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.0185
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9815
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0180
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9820
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.9820
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0180
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0180
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9820
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0180
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9820
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0180
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 9054.32, Sell volume: 2343.67, Average price: 0.6796, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0180
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9820
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9870
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0130
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9880
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0120
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9880
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0115
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9885
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0115
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9885
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9890
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9890
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9890
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9890
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1093.45, Sell volume: 338.11, Average price: 0.7424, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9890
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9890
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0110
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9890
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0110
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9890
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9855
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0145
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9850
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 478.01, Average price: 0.9833, Price range: 0.9833 - 0.9833
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591855
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 15?
Volume: 11397.987695
Price History:
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9860
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0140
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0140
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0140
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9885
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0115
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0115
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9885
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.9885
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0115
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9885
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0115
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9955
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9940
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1939.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9931, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.5500
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9150
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.1050
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.8950
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.8900
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.8950
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.8950
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.8950
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.8950
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 5178.58, Sell volume: 350.90, Average price: 0.3908, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0800
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0800
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0800
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9200
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9200
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0800
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9200
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0800
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9200
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.8650
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.1350
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.8750
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.1250
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.1050
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.8950
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.8700
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.1300
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.8600
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.1050
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.8950
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.8950
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.1050
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.8950
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.1050
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.1050
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.8950
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9000
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.1000
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9000
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0950
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9050
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 3254.52, Sell volume: 301.11, Average price: 0.4481, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9158

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9050
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9100
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0900
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 91.40, Sell volume: 21.50, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9200
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.1850
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.8150
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.1800
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.8200
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.9400
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9350
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9350
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 6483.67, Sell volume: 52.56, Average price: 0.4251, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9350
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9300
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0800
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9250
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0800
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0750
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9250
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0800
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9200
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.9200
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.0800
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9200
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 970.95, Sell volume: 121.00, Average price: 0.7615, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.1400
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.8600
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0950
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.1150
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.8850
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0950
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0950
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2951.64, Sell volume: 563.58, Average price: 0.6435, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9475

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9000
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9000
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.1000
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9000
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0850
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9150
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0900
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9100
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9100
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0900
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9100
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0900
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9100
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0900
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9100
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1565.83, Sell volume: 1660.90, Average price: 0.7382, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0550
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0550
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9450
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0550
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9450
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0550
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9450
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9450
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0550
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0550
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9450
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9350
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9300
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0700
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0700
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0600
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0600
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0600
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0600
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0600
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0600
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0600
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0600
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0600
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0600
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9400
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0600
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9400
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.0600
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9400
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.9400
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0600
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.0600
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9400
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 911.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4670, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9400
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0600
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.0600
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.9400
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9400
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2050.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9674, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9895

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9765
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0190
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9810
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0160
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9840
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9780
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0220
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.0205
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9795
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0235
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9765
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0260
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9740
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9745
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0255
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9835
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9850
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9850
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9830
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0170
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9830
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0140
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.9710
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0290
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9780
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0220
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.9805
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0195
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9780
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0220
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.9840
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9560
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0440
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9690
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0310
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0325
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9675
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0315
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9685
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9710
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0290
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9680
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0320
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 331.67, Sell volume: 152.85, Average price: 0.7088, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9700
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0300
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9650
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0350
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0275
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9725
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0345
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9655
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9705
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.0295
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9645
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0355
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9530
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.0470
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9515
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0485
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9700
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0300
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9640
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.0360
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0410
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9590
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0350
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9650
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9685
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0315
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9525
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0475
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9565
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0435
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9710
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.0290
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9535
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0465
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9710
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0290
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9605
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.0395
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9690
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0310
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9740
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0260
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9675
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0325
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0315
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171, Buy volume: 36211.23, Sell volume: 7116.52, Average price: 0.6199, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9690
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0515
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9485
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0385
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9615
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.0520
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9480
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0300
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9700
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.0385
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9615
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0445
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9555
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0410
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9590
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0380
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9620
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.0360
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9640
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0380
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9620
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0295
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9705
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.0390
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9610
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0380
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9620
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9670
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0330
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0365
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9635
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0255
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9745
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0450
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9550
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0335
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9665
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0335
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9665
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0440
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9560
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0350
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0260
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9740
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9735
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0265
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 89.75, Sell volume: 55.55, Average price: 0.6540, Price range: 0.0027 - 0.9863

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9780
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0220
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9830
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0170
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.9745
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0255
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9720
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0280
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9710
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0290
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.9720
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0280
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9720
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0280
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0270
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9730
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9710
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0290
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9720
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0280
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9700
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0300
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9705
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0295
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0070
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0070
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0070
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0345
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.9655
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9815
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0185
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9865
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.0135
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0060
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9940
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 4323.01, Sell volume: 3836.57, Average price: 0.7317, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.1050
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.1100
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.1050
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9000
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.1000
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9150
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.9200
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0800
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 5178.58, Sell volume: 350.90, Average price: 0.3908, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0800
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9200
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9200
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9200
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.1350
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.1250
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.8950
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.1300
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.1400
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.8950
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.1050
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.1050
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.8950
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.1000
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9050
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 3254.52, Sell volume: 301.11, Average price: 0.4481, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9158
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9100
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0950
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9050
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.0850
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0850
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0850
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0850
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0850
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 91.40, Sell volume: 21.50, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9200
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.8150
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.8200
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0600
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9300
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0700
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0650
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9350
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0700
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9300
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.0850
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9150
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 6483.67, Sell volume: 52.56, Average price: 0.4251, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0650
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0700
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0750
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9250
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0800
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0750
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0800
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.9200
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9200
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.9150
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9150
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9150
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0600
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 970.95, Sell volume: 121.00, Average price: 0.7615, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0750
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.8600
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9300
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.8850
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0950
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9050
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9250
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9200
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0800
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0800
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0750
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 2951.64, Sell volume: 563.58, Average price: 0.6435, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9475
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9000
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9000
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.9000
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0850
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0900
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9100
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9100
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9100
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9100
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9100
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9100
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9100
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.9100
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1565.83, Sell volume: 1660.90, Average price: 0.7382, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0550
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9450
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9450
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9450
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0550
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9450
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9350
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.9300
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0700
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9300
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0600
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9400
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0600
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9400
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9400
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0600
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9400
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0600
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9400
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9400
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0600
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 911.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4670, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9400
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.0600
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0600
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.9400
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0600
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9400
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2050.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9674, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9895
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.9765
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9810
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9840
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0220
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9795
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9765
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.9740
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0255
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0165
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0150
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0170
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9830
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0140
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0290
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0220
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0195
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0220
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.0160
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0440
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0310
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9675
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9685
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0290
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0320
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9695
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0320
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0300
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0380
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 331.67, Sell volume: 152.85, Average price: 0.7088, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9700
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9650
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.0275
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9740
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0345
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9705
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9645
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9530
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9515
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9700
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9640
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0410
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0350
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.9685
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9525
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.9565
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9710
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9535
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9710
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9605
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9690
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9740
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9675
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0315
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0375
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0315
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0370
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0470
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171, Buy volume: 36211.23, Sell volume: 7116.52, Average price: 0.6199, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591856
Question: Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
Volume: 43327.751935
Price History:
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9690
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9485
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9615
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.9480
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9700
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9615
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9555
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9590
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9620
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9640
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9620
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9705
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9610
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9620
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0330
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9635
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.9745
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9550
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9665
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9665
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9560
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9650
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.9740
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0265
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9590
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0360
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.9605
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9715
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 89.75, Sell volume: 55.55, Average price: 0.6540, Price range: 0.0027 - 0.9863
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes