Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5400
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4600
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5400
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4600
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4600
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5400
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5400
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4600
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.4300
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.5700
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.5900
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.4100
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.5900
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6000
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 15650.77, Sell volume: 894.73, Average price: 0.6053, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 15650.77, Sell volume: 894.73, Average price: 0.6053, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4300
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4300
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4300
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5700
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4300
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5700
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 15650.77, Sell volume: 894.73, Average price: 0.6053, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 15650.77, Sell volume: 894.73, Average price: 0.6053, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 15650.77, Sell volume: 894.73, Average price: 0.6053, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 15650.77, Sell volume: 894.73, Average price: 0.6053, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.7150
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 348.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3100
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.3100
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.3100
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2300
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2300
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.2300
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.2300
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2300
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.2300
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2300
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 22.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.8200
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.8200
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.8200
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.8200
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.1150
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.8850
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.1700
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.8300
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.1700
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 120.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5197, Price range: 0.1988 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.1700
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.8300
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.1700
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.8300
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.1450
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.8550
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.1450
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.8550
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.1450
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.8550
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.1450
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.8550
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.1700
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.1700
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 36.66, Sell volume: 26.66, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.1700
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.8300
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.1700
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.1950
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.8050
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.2000
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.8000
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.1900
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.8100
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.1950
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.8050
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.1950
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.8050
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.1950
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.8050
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.1950
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.8050
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.1950
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.8050
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.2000
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.8000
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.2000
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.8000
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 233.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8572, Price range: 0.8572 - 0.8572

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.7900
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.2050
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.7950
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.2050
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.7950
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.2100
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.7900
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.1750
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.1750
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.8500
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.1500
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.8500
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.8600
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.8600
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.8600
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.8600
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.8600
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.8600
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 536.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8396, Price range: 0.8189 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.8600
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.8600
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0900
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9100
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0900
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9100
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9100
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9600
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9650
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.1013, Price range: 0.1013 - 0.1013

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.2900
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7100
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.5400
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.4600
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5400
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5400
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4600
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.4600
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.5400
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.5400
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.4600
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.5300
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.4700
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.4300
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 15650.77, Sell volume: 894.73, Average price: 0.6053, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.3500
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5250
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4750
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4800
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.5200
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4800
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.5200
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.4800
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 15650.77, Sell volume: 894.73, Average price: 0.6053, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4900
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.5100
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.4400
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.5600
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.4300
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4300
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5700
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4300
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5700
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4300
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5700
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5750
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 15650.77, Sell volume: 894.73, Average price: 0.6053, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.4300
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.5700
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5150
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4850
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 15650.77, Sell volume: 894.73, Average price: 0.6053, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4800
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.5200
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 15650.77, Sell volume: 894.73, Average price: 0.6053, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5750
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4250
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 15650.77, Sell volume: 894.73, Average price: 0.6053, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4600
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 348.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.7000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3100
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.3100
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.3100
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7600
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2300
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2300
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.2300
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 22.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2050
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7950
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.2000
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.8000
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.1800
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 120.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5197, Price range: 0.1988 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.1700
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.8300
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.1700
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.8300
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 36.66, Sell volume: 26.66, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.1700
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.8300
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.1700
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.1950
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.8050
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.1950
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.2000
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.8000
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.1900
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.8100
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.1950
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 233.32, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8572, Price range: 0.8572 - 0.8572
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.7900
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.2050
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.7950
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.2050
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.7950
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.2100
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.7900
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.1750
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.1750
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.1550
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.8500
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.1500
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.8500
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 536.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8396, Price range: 0.8189 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676640
Question: Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by November 30?
Volume: 16545.498288
Price History:
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.8600
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.1400
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.8600
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0900
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9100
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0900
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9100
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9100
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9150
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9150
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.1013, Price range: 0.1013 - 0.1013
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.5450
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.4550
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.5400
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.4600
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.4900
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.5100
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.5150
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.4850
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.5300
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.4950
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.5050
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.4400
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.5600
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.3700
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.6300
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.3750
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.6250
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.3750
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.4100
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.5900
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.4100
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.5900
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.4250
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.5750
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.4400
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.5600
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.4400
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.4400
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.5600
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.4400
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.5600
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.4150
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.5850
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.4150
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.5850
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.4150
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.2700
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.7300
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.2800
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.7200
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.3200
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.6800
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.2800
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.7200
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.2500
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9450
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0550
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0160
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9840
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.9975
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.5450
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.4550
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.5400
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.4600
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.4900
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.5100
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.5150
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.4850
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.5300
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.4950
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.5050
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.4400
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.5600
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.3700
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.6300
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.3750
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.6250
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.3750
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.4100
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.5900
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.4100
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.5900
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.4250
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.5750
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.4400
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.5600
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.4400
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.4400
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.5600
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.4400
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.5600
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.4150
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.5850
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.4150
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.5850
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.4150
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.2700
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.7300
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.2800
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.7200
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.3200
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.6800
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.2800
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.7200
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.2500
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9450
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0550
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0160
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9840
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0025
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.9975
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551034
Question: Will Steven Fulop win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 38424.931935
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0850
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.9150
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0800
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.9200
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0800
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9200
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0800
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.9200
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0600
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0400
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9600
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0350
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9650
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0350
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9650
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0355
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9645
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0355
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0615
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.9385
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0580
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9420
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0335
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.9665
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0420
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.9580
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0430
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0430
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9570
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0430
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.9570
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0765
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9235
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0755
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.9245
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0755
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.9245
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0735
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9265
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.1720
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.8280
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0600
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.9400
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0750
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9250
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0640
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.9360
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9955
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0010
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9990
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0010
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.9990
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0010
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.9990
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0850
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.9150
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0800
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.9200
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0800
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9200
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0800
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.9200
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0600
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0400
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9600
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0350
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9650
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0350
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9650
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0355
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9645
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0355
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0615
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.9385
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0580
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9420
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0335
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.9665
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0420
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.9580
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0430
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0430
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9570
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0430
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.9570
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0765
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9235
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0755
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.9245
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0755
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.9245
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0735
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9265
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.1720
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.8280
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0600
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.9400
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0750
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9250
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0640
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.9360
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9955
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0010
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9990
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0010
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.9990
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0010
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.9990
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0010
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551033
Question: Will Mikie Sherrill win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 19817.433057
Price History:
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.4800
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.5200
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.4300
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.5700
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.1700
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.8300
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.4300
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.5700
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.2500
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.2350
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.7650
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.2350
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.7650
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.2350
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.7650
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.2350
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.7650
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.2550
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.2600
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.7400
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.2350
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.7650
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.2300
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.7700
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.2300
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0950
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9050
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.1550
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.8450
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.1600
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.8400
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.8350
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.2050
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9950
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0010
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.9990
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0010
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.9990
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.4800
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.5200
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.4300
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.5700
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.1700
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.8300
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.4300
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.5700
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.2500
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.2350
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.7650
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.2350
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.7650
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.2350
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.7650
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.2350
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.7650
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.2550
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.2600
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.7400
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.2350
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.7650
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.2300
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.7700
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.2300
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0950
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9050
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.1550
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.8450
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.1600
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.8400
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.8350
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.2050
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9950
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0020
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9980
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0010
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.9990
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0010
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.9990
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551035
Question: Will Josh Gottheimer win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 23941.594594
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.5100
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.4900
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.4550
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.5450
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.1700
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.8300
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.2200
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.7800
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.2200
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.2350
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.7650
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.2400
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.7600
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.2550
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.7450
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.2650
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.7350
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.2650
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.7350
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.2700
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.7300
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.2600
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.2600
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.7400
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.2550
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.7450
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.2650
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.7350
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.2650
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.7350
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.2850
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.4400
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.5600
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.3900
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.6100
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.4200
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.5800
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.3600
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.6400
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.3600
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0530
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9470
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9805
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0195
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.9960
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.9970
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9975
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.9975
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9975
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9975
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.5100
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.4900
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.4550
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.5450
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.1700
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.8300
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.2200
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.7800
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.2200
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.2350
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.7650
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.2400
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.7600
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.7550
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.2450
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.2550
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.7450
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.2650
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.7350
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.2650
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.7350
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.2700
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.7300
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.2600
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.2600
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.7400
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.2550
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.7450
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.2650
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.7350
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.2650
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.7350
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.2850
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.4400
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.5600
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.3900
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.6100
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.4200
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.5800
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.3600
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.6400
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.3600
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0530
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9470
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9805
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0195
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.9960
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0040
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.9970
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0030
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9975
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.9975
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9975
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9975
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 551036
Question: Will Ras Baraka win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Volume: 41503.162926
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551037
Question: Will Sean Spiller win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.390983
Price History:
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.2200
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.2150
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.7850
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.2150
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.7850
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.2150
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.7850
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.1650
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551037
Question: Will Sean Spiller win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.390983
Price History:
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0395
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9605
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0940
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9060
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0715
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9285
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0685
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9315
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0605
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.9395
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551037
Question: Will Sean Spiller win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.390983
Price History:
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0280
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.9720
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0185
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9815
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0280
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.9720
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0140
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.9860
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0155
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551037
Question: Will Sean Spiller win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.390983
Price History:
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0155
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9845
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.9845
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0090
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9910
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.9920
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551037
Question: Will Sean Spiller win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.390983
Price History:
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.9925
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0070
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.9930
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9940
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551037
Question: Will Sean Spiller win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.390983
Price History:
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9970
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551037
Question: Will Sean Spiller win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.390983
Price History:
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551037
Question: Will Sean Spiller win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.390983
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551037
Question: Will Sean Spiller win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.390983
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551037
Question: Will Sean Spiller win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.390983
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551037
Question: Will Sean Spiller win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.390983
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 551037
Question: Will Sean Spiller win the second most in the New Jersey Governor Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5487.390983
Price History:
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes