Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 654249
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1
Volume: 1357641.674721
Price History:
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.7530
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.2895
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.7105
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.7320
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.2680
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8705
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1295
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9010
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0990
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9360
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0640
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9510
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0490
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9580
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0420
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9540
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0460
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9725
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0275
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999996, Buy volume: 307914332.20, Sell volume: 295314492.88, Average price: 0.4828, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.1700
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.8450
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.1550
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1550
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.8450
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.8450
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.1550
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.8350
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.1600
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.1800
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 321101859.04, Sell volume: 46732241.99, Average price: 0.5834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1600
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.1900
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.1800
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.8200
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.3850
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.6150
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.2950
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.2550
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 321101859.04, Sell volume: 46732241.99, Average price: 0.5834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.8300
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.1700
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.1650
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.8350
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.7400
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.2600
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.4050
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.5950
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.3750
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.3050
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 321101859.04, Sell volume: 46732241.99, Average price: 0.5834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.2900
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.7100
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.4500
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.5500
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5750
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.4250
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.5750
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.3500
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.6500
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.3100
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 321101859.04, Sell volume: 46732241.99, Average price: 0.5834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.2200
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.4300
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.3250
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.3150
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.6850
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.3050
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.6950
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.2750
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.3250
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.3200
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 225774, Buy volume: 59533571.93, Sell volume: 23315321.34, Average price: 0.5293, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7516

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.3350
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.6650
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.3500
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.6500
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.3300
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.6700
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.3300
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.6700
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.3350
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.6650
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.3100
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.6900
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7050
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 151848, Buy volume: 52771377.15, Sell volume: 1756681.56, Average price: 0.6078, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7100
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.2900
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.2900
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.7100
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.6950
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.3050
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.2600
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 225774, Buy volume: 75498299.98, Sell volume: 2070807.12, Average price: 0.5647, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7450
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.2550
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.7450
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.7500
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.2300
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.2250
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.7850
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 259752, Buy volume: 80534571.51, Sell volume: 17079955.46, Average price: 0.6613, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.1250
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.8750
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.1450
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.8550
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.8550
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.1450
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8600
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1400
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8450
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1550
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8550
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8200
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1800
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8450
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 33992.05, Sell volume: 8164.70, Average price: 0.6012, Price range: 0.1271 - 0.8880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8550
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1450
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8450
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1550
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8500
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1500
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8600
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1400
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.8550
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1450
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8600
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 37951.69, Sell volume: 5856.40, Average price: 0.5799, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8850
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1300
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 54123.80, Sell volume: 4271.71, Average price: 0.6872, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9100
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 51284.23, Sell volume: 4011.30, Average price: 0.6636, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9399

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.8850
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.1150
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9820
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0180
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 566, Buy volume: 249924.59, Sell volume: 173772.70, Average price: 0.6130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.1700
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.8300
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.8450
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.1550
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.1550
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.8450
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.8450
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.1550
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.8350
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1650
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.8350
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.1600
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.1800
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 321101859.04, Sell volume: 46732241.99, Average price: 0.5834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1600
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.8400
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.1900
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.1800
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.8200
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.3850
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.6150
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.2950
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.2550
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 321101859.04, Sell volume: 46732241.99, Average price: 0.5834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.8300
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.1700
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.1650
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.8350
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.7400
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.2600
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.4050
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.5950
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.6250
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.3750
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.3050
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 321101859.04, Sell volume: 46732241.99, Average price: 0.5834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.2900
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.7100
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.4500
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.5500
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5750
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.4250
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.5750
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.3500
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.6500
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.3050
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.3100
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 321101859.04, Sell volume: 46732241.99, Average price: 0.5834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.7800
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.2200
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.4300
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.3250
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.3150
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.6850
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.3050
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.6950
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.2750
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.3250
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.3200
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 225774, Buy volume: 59533571.93, Sell volume: 23315321.34, Average price: 0.5293, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7516
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.3350
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.6650
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.3500
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.6500
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.3300
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.6700
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.3300
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.6700
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.3350
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.6650
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.3100
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.6900
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.2950
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7050
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 151848, Buy volume: 52771377.15, Sell volume: 1756681.56, Average price: 0.6078, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7100
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.2900
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.2900
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.7100
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.6950
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.3050
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.2600
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 225774, Buy volume: 75498299.98, Sell volume: 2070807.12, Average price: 0.5647, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.7450
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.2550
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.7450
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.7500
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.7700
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.2300
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.2250
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.7850
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 259752, Buy volume: 80534571.51, Sell volume: 17079955.46, Average price: 0.6613, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.1250
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.8750
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.1450
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.8550
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.8550
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.1450
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8600
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1400
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8450
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1550
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8550
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.8200
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1800
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8450
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 33992.05, Sell volume: 8164.70, Average price: 0.6012, Price range: 0.1271 - 0.8880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1800
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8550
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1450
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8450
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1550
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8500
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1500
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8600
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.1400
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.8550
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1450
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8600
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 37951.69, Sell volume: 5856.40, Average price: 0.5799, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1150
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8850
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8700
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1300
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.8650
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9050
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 54123.80, Sell volume: 4271.71, Average price: 0.6872, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9100
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75, Buy volume: 51284.23, Sell volume: 4011.30, Average price: 0.6636, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9399
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 635127
Question: Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Volume: 1009682.696581
Price History:
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.8850
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.1150
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.9820
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0180
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 566, Buy volume: 249924.59, Sell volume: 173772.70, Average price: 0.6130, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.5000
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.4250
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.3400
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.2950
2025-01-06 19:00: 0.2950
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.3050
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.3150
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.3650
2025-01-07 03:00: 0.3700
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.3650
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.3700
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.3650
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.3650
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.3650
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.3650
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.3150
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.3100
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.3100
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.3150
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.3300
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.3300
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.3350
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.3300
2025-01-08 11:00: 0.3500
2025-01-08 13:00: 0.3500
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.3550
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.3450
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.3450
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.3450
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.3400
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 09:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.3700
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.3700
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.3400
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.3250
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.3250
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.3250
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.3250
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.3250
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.3400
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 129766390.08, Sell volume: 47785734.97, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0141 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.3750
2025-01-11 08:00: 0.3750
2025-01-11 10:00: 0.3750
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.3500
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.3500
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.3750
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.3650
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.3700
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.3650
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.3600
2025-01-12 02:00: 0.3650
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.3600
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.3550
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.3550
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.3550
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.3650
2025-01-12 14:00: 0.3600
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.3550
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.3600
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.3550
2025-01-12 22:00: 0.3550
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.3550
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.3550
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.3550
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.3550
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.3550
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.3550
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.3550
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.3550
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.3500
2025-01-13 18:00: 0.3500
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.3650
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.3800
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.3850
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.3800
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.3800
2025-01-14 06:00: 0.3800
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.3650
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.3650
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.3650
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.3650
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.3600
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.3600
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.3550
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.2700
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.2900
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.2650
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.2200
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.2200
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 129766390.08, Sell volume: 47785734.97, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0141 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.1800
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.1950
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.1950
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.1950
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.1950
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.2100
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.2050
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.2100
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.2650
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.2700
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.2750
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.2750
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.3000
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.2850
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.2900
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.2550
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.2550
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.2850
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.2700
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.2750
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.2650
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.2600
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.2500
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.2550
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.2600
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.2700
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.2700
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.2750
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.2750
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.2850
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.2850
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.2900
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.3450
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.3300
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.3350
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.3400
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.3500
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.3600
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.3650
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.3650
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.3250
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.3200
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.3200
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.3250
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.3300
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.3250
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.3250
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.3250
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 349650, Buy volume: 37920765.65, Sell volume: 35485179.30, Average price: 0.5760, Price range: 0.2405 - 0.7534

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.3050
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.2800
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.2400
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.2400
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.2500
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.2550
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.2400
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.1950
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.2100
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.2150
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.2150
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.2050
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.2000
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.2000
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.2050
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.1950
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.1900
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.1900
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.1750
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.1700
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.1800
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.1900
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.1850
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.1850
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.1850
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.1850
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.1750
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.1750
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.1750
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.1750
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.1700
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.1700
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.1700
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.1750
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.1700
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.1650
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.1650
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.1650
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.1650
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.1650
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.1650
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.1650
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.1650
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.1650
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.1700
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.1650
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.1650
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 307692, Buy volume: 19740926.31, Sell volume: 2557400.04, Average price: 0.6541, Price range: 0.1250 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.1550
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.1650
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.1600
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.1550
2025-01-25 23:00: 0.1550
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.1500
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.1350
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.1400
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.1400
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.1350
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.1350
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.1350
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.1050
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.1050
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.1050
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.1050
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.1050
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 05:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 07:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0800
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.0800
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.0800
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.0800
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.0800
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0800
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0700
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0700
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0700
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131868, Buy volume: 11007737.98, Sell volume: 2571625.80, Average price: 0.6722, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0700
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0600
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0600
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0600
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0600
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0550
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0600
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0500
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0495
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0510
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0535
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0535
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0375
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0380
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0375
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0570
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0520
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0585
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0615
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0615
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0600
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0590
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0605
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0590
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0590
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.0595
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.0600
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 149850, Buy volume: 22458940.16, Sell volume: 4699076.15, Average price: 0.6117, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0545
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0555
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0535
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.0545
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0525
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0530
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0575
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0570
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0590
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0590
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0660
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0590
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0595
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0600
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0585
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.0585
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0820
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0820
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0825
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0830
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0830
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0825
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0835
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0835
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0850
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0860
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0840
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0845
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0845
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.0845
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0845
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0845
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0845
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0865
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0875
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0885
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0915
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0810
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0800
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0795
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0755
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0735
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0795
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0795
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0775
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0780
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0795
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47989, Buy volume: 37892722.44, Sell volume: 221397.20, Average price: 0.6461, Price range: 0.0590 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0740
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0735
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0735
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0720
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0715
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0705
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0715
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0730
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0730
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0705
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0705
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0705
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0705
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0705
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0700
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0700
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0685
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0685
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0685
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0680
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0645
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0640
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0635
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0635
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0635
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0635
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0635
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0635
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0635
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0640
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0640
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0640
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0330
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0160
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0180
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0180
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0165
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0175
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0180
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0175
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0170
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0170
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0160
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0155
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0180
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0420
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0420
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0420
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 14229.92, Sell volume: 16443.95, Average price: 0.7632, Price range: 0.0141 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0480
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.0475
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.0350
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.0425
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.0380
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.0375
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.0335
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0335
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0335
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.0160
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0220
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0200
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.0180
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.0165
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0185
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.0180
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0160
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.0160
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.0160
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.0160
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0160
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0160
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.0160
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0160
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.0160
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.0170
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0170
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0170
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0175
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0240
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.0245
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0245
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.0240
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.0240
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.0230
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0230
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0240
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.0235
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.0240
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0240
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0240
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0235
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0240
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0240
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0245
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.0240
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0245
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.0245
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.0245
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 20259.20, Sell volume: 1134.37, Average price: 0.7548, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0405
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0400
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.0425
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0390
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.0395
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.0380
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0370
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0385
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0400
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0390
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0395
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0410
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0390
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0375
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0390
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0400
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0405
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.0410
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0405
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0390
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0395
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0400
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0410
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0410
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0415
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0410
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0405
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0410
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0400
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0380
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.0420
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.0420
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0425
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.0385
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.0425
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0400
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0430
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.0430
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.0420
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.0410
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0420
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0475
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0565
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.0580
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.0580
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0580
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0620
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0635
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 15177.21, Sell volume: 3100.24, Average price: 0.7319, Price range: 0.0347 - 0.9660

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.0660
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.0655
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0635
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0655
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.0620
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.0630
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0520
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0505
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0495
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.0485
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.0490
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0485
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0475
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.0485
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0485
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0485
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0495
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0600
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0525
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0490
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0560
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.0525
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0490
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0495
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0485
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0485
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0505
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0450
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0480
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0460
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0405
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.0270
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0170
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0180
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.0190
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0180
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0175
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0175
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0190
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0185
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.0200
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0195
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0185
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.0180
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.0250
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0290
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0250
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0250
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0190
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 278, Buy volume: 54419.18, Sell volume: 15871.03, Average price: 0.6735, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0260
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0240
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0200
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0220
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0200
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0180
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0230
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0230
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0335
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0305
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0295
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0310
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0235
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0235
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0235
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0230
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0225
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0225
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0265
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0245
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0300
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0265
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0340
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0330
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0330
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0275
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0270
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0270
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0270
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0325
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0285
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0265
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0265
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0260
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0265
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0330
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0345
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0315
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0320
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0285
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0270
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0255
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0250
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0205
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0190
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0240
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0230
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0200
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 297, Buy volume: 38606.90, Sell volume: 8309.24, Average price: 0.7946, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0385
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0345
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0365
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0330
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0390
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0390
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0400
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0360
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0410
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0410
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0365
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0335
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0350
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0360
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0305
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0270
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0265
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0215
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0200
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0190
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0300
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0310
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0255
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0285
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0415
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0415
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0425
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0425
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0360
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0300
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0280
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0270
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0280
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0270
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0330
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0250
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0275
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0245
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0270
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0305
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0305
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0265
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0265
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0315
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0270
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0225
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0220
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0210
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0210
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 151, Buy volume: 22156.59, Sell volume: 5570.47, Average price: 0.6046, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9830

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.5000
2025-01-06 14:00: 0.5750
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.2950
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.6950
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.3650
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.6300
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.3650
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.6350
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.3650
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.6750
2025-01-07 22:00: 0.3100
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.6850
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.3300
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.6700
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.3550
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.6450
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.3450
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.6550
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.6450
2025-01-09 09:00: 0.3550
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.6450
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.3700
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.6450
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.3400
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.6750
2025-01-10 06:00: 0.3250
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.6750
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.3350
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 129766390.08, Sell volume: 47785734.97, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0141 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.3750
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.6250
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.3500
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.6250
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.3700
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.6350
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-12 06:00: 0.6450
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.3550
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.6350
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.3550
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.6450
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.3550
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.6450
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.3550
2025-01-13 10:00: 0.6450
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.3550
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.6550
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.3750
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.6150
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.3800
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.6350
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.3650
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.6350
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.3600
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.6850
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.2950
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.7800
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.2200
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 129766390.08, Sell volume: 47785734.97, Average price: 0.6240, Price range: 0.0141 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.1800
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.8000
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.1950
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.7900
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.2100
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.7100
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.3000
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.7000
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.2900
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.7450
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.2650
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.7250
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.2600
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.7500
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.2650
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.7300
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.2750
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.7150
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.2950
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.6700
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.3400
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.6500
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.3650
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.6750
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.3200
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.6700
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.3250
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.6750
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.3050
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 349650, Buy volume: 37920765.65, Sell volume: 35485179.30, Average price: 0.5760, Price range: 0.2405 - 0.7534
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.3050
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.7600
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.2500
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.7450
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.2450
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.7750
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.2150
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.7850
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.2000
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.7950
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.1950
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.8100
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.1700
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.8150
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.1850
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.8150
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.1750
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.8250
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.1700
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.8300
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.1750
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.8300
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.1650
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.8350
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.1650
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.8300
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.1700
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.8350
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.1550
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 307692, Buy volume: 19740926.31, Sell volume: 2557400.04, Average price: 0.6541, Price range: 0.1250 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.1550
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.8400
2025-01-25 22:00: 0.1550
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.8500
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.8550
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.8650
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.1400
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.8600
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.8600
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.1400
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.8650
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.1050
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.8950
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.1050
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.9200
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.0750
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.9200
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.0800
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.9200
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0700
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9300
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.9350
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.9350
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0650
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 131868, Buy volume: 11007737.98, Sell volume: 2571625.80, Average price: 0.6722, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9350
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0700
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.9350
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.9350
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9350
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0600
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.9400
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0550
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.9350
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9350
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.9350
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0600
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.9490
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0510
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.9465
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0380
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.9445
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0585
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9385
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0600
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.9410
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0585
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.9405
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0480
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.9520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 149850, Buy volume: 22458940.16, Sell volume: 4699076.15, Average price: 0.6117, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0545
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9450
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.0545
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9470
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0570
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9410
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0590
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9405
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0600
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.9405
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.0820
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9180
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0830
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.9175
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0835
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.9150
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0840
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9155
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.0845
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9155
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0865
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9125
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0915
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9200
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0755
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.9215
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0795
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9220
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0785
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47989, Buy volume: 37892722.44, Sell volume: 221397.20, Average price: 0.6461, Price range: 0.0590 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0740
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9265
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0715
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9295
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0730
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9270
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0705
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9295
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0700
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9315
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0685
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9320
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0645
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9365
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0635
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9365
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0635
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9360
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0640
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9670
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0180
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9820
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0180
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.9825
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0170
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.9845
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0435
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9580
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0405
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.9585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 89, Buy volume: 14229.92, Sell volume: 16443.95, Average price: 0.7632, Price range: 0.0141 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0480
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9525
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0405
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.9625
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.0335
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.9655
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.0215
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.9820
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.0185
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.9820
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.0160
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.9840
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0160
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.9840
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.0160
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.9830
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.0175
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9760
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.0245
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.9760
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.0230
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.9765
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0245
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9760
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0240
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9775
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.0240
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.9755
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0245
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 20259.20, Sell volume: 1134.37, Average price: 0.7548, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.0405
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.9595
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0405
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9620
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0365
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9600
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0395
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.9590
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0375
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.9605
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0400
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9595
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0395
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.9590
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0415
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.9590
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0410
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.9620
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.0420
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.9575
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.0425
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.9605
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.0400
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.9590
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0475
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.9420
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.0580
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.9380
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0635
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.9345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 15177.21, Sell volume: 3100.24, Average price: 0.7319, Price range: 0.0347 - 0.9660
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.0660
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.9365
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0645
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.9370
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0505
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.9515
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.0485
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.9525
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0485
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9515
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.0625
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.9510
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.0525
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.9485
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0485
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.9495
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0480
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.9595
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.0220
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.9820
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0180
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.9825
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0195
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.9800
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0185
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.9655
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0275
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.9750
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.0170
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 278, Buy volume: 54419.18, Sell volume: 15871.03, Average price: 0.6735, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0260
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9800
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0205
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9820
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0230
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9690
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0295
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9765
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0235
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9770
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0225
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9755
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0265
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9660
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0340
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.9725
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0270
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9640
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0310
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9735
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0265
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.9685
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0315
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9715
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0255
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9775
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0280
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.9770
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0185
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 297, Buy volume: 38606.90, Sell volume: 8309.24, Average price: 0.7946, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 517551
Question: Will Chrystia Freeland be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Volume: 387533.648819
Price History:
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0385
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9635
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0335
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9610
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0360
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9580
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0400
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.9650
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0305
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9735
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0235
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9810
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0310
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.9730
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0415
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9575
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0360
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9710
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0280
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.9730
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0250
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9750
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0260
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9695
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0265
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.9715
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0220
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9790
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0265
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 151, Buy volume: 22156.59, Sell volume: 5570.47, Average price: 0.6046, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.3500
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.3500
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.3500
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.3500
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.6500
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.1100
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.1100
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.1100
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.1100
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.1100
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.1100
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.1100
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.1100
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.8900
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.8900
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.3500
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.3500
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.1100
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.1100
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.1100
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.1100
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.1100
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.1100
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.1100
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.1100
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.1100
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.8900
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.8900
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.8900
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.8900
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.8900
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.8900
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.8900
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.1100
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.1100
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1100
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8950
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 631044
Question: Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Volume: 3.76888
Price History:
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.1050
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.89, Sell volume: 1.88, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.6500
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.3500
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6500
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.3500
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.3500
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.6500
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.8900
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1100
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 631045
Question: Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57.17132
Price History:
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.1050
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.22, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900

Output: No