Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657107
Question: Will Apple reach $300 in November?
Volume: 54122.150175
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9735
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0265
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9735
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0265
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9735
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0265
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9735
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0265
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9735
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0265
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9735
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0265
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9735
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0235
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9765
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9910
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9925
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9925
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1294.46, Sell volume: 354.20, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657107
Question: Will Apple reach $300 in November?
Volume: 54122.150175
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0160
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0160
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9845
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9835
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0150
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9850
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0160
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9845
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0155
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9845
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0155
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9845
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0155
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9845
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0160
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0160
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9845
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0165
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9845
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0155
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9840
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0160
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9835
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0155
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.15, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9910, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657107
Question: Will Apple reach $300 in November?
Volume: 54122.150175
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0155
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9840
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9820
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0180
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9870
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0135
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9855
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9860
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0145
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9865
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0130
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9870
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0130
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9870
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0130
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9865
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0125
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9880
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0135
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9860
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0165
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9830
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0170
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9830
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0170
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9830
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0170
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 215.18, Sell volume: 142.91, Average price: 0.3396, Price range: 0.0082 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657107
Question: Will Apple reach $300 in November?
Volume: 54122.150175
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9905
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9905
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0090
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0105
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9890
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0095
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9890
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9910
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0100
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9910
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0125
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 232, Buy volume: 9242.83, Sell volume: 37434.79, Average price: 0.0646, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.6600
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.6550
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.6550
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.6300
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.6250
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 10719.08, Sell volume: 3750.16, Average price: 0.4182, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.6000
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.6000
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.6000
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.6000
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.6000
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.5900
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.5900
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.5900
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.5900
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.5900
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 48.78, Sell volume: 48.78, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.4100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.4050
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.4050
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3250
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.3350
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.3850
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3650
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.3700
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.3750
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.3200
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 960.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5402, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5750
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6500
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.7200
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.6250
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5650
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.6150
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.6300
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.6550
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.6400
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6350
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.7800
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.8200
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.8050
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.8100
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.8100
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7600
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7600
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.7500
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 90.86, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6113, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.7600
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.7550
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.7500
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.7400
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7400
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.7750
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.7750
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.7750
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.7850
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.7850
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.7850
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.7800
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.8200
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7900
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7650
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.7550
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.8000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.8000
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.8200
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.8600
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.8800
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.8000
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7900
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 83.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.8550
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.8200
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.8550
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.8450
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.8450
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.8200
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.8250
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.8300
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.8300
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.8350
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.8350
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.8350
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.8200
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7650
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.7650
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.7650
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.7650
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.7650
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.7700
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.7700
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7700
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.7300
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.7250
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.7400
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.7600
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.7950
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.6900
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.7650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.7700
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7600
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7800
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.7850
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.8300
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.8300
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.8300
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.8300
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.8300
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 446.78, Sell volume: 85.00, Average price: 0.3576, Price range: 0.1327 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8250
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8250
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.8250
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.8350
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 76.73, Average price: 0.1600, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.1700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9100
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9500
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9600
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9600
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1162.80, Sell volume: 77.52, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9595
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9600
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.8995
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9240
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9240
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9235
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9290
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9235
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9235
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9235
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9280
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9180
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.8790
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.8740
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.8640
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.8690
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.8690
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.8790
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.8840
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9105
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9445
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9715
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9715
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9795
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9795
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9795
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9795
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9795
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9860
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9770
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9740
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9675
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9540
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9545
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9090
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9085
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9085
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9080
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9080
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9070
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9075
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9045
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2579.59, Sell volume: 126.01, Average price: 0.3178, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.8900
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.8910
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.8910
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.8910
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.8910
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.8910
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.8910
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.8915
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.8870
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.8865
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.8865
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.8865
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.8865
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.8870
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.8870
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.8870
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.8865
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.8865
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.8865
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.8865
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.8865
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.8865
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.8865
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.8870
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.8865
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.8860
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.8865
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.8860
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.8855
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.8850
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.8860
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.8935
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.8935
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.8935
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.8935
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.8935
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.8935
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.8935
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.8935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 203.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9229, Price range: 0.9158 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.8935
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.8950
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.8950
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.8950
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.8980
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.8940
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.8940
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.8940
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.8905
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.8905
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.8905
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.8930
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.8915
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.8905
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.8905
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.8905
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.8930
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.8905
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.8905
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9330
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9330
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9655
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9490
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9490
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9490
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9240
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9510
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9225
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9215
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9230
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.8925
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9015
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9305
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9255
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9245
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9145
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9285
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9220
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9270
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9330
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9565
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9560
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1185.78, Sell volume: 21.34, Average price: 0.3479, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9235
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9265
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9745
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9750
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9740
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9745
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9750
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9775
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9770
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9770
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9845
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9845
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9845
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9920
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9915
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9915
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9920
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9860
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9860
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9860
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9860
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9860
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9920
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 175.14, Sell volume: 1813.42, Average price: 0.2967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4800
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5250
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4750
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5200
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.3400
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.6550
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.3400
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.3400
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3400
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 10719.08, Sell volume: 3750.16, Average price: 0.4182, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3950
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6050
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.6000
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.4000
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.6000
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.4000
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6000
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4000
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.5900
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.4100
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 48.78, Sell volume: 48.78, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.4100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.5900
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.4100
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.4050
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.4050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.4050
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.4050
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.5950
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.4050
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4000
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.4000
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.4000
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.5950
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6800
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6650
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.6150
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.3700
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 960.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.5402, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.4250
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.3000
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7000
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.3000
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.3750
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5650
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.7800
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.8050
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.1900
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2400
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 90.86, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6113, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.7550
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2450
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.2500
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.2550
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.2600
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2600
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.7750
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.7650
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7650
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.2350
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.1800
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.7950
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.2800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.2700
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.2700
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.2700
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.8000
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.2000
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.8600
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 83.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.8550
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.1850
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.8550
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.1550
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.8200
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.1750
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.1700
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.8350
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.1650
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.1800
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.7650
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.2350
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.7650
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.2300
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7700
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.7250
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.2600
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.7950
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3100
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.2250
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7600
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.2200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7750
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 446.78, Sell volume: 85.00, Average price: 0.3576, Price range: 0.1327 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1750
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1750
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1750
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.8250
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1750
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.8250
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.1750
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.1700
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.1700
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.1700
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.1700
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.1700
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.8300
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.1650
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.8350
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 76.73, Average price: 0.1600, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.1700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9100
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9450
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1162.80, Sell volume: 77.52, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9595
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.8995
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0760
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9235
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0710
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9235
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0765
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9180
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.8790
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.1260
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.8690
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.1310
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.8840
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0895
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0285
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9795
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0205
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9795
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0205
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0140
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9740
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0325
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9545
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9085
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2579.59, Sell volume: 126.01, Average price: 0.3178, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.1095
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.1095
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.1095
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.8910
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.1090
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.8910
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.1095
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.8905
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.1090
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.8915
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.1130
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.8865
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.1135
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.8870
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.1130
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.8865
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.1135
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.8865
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.1135
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.8865
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.1130
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.8860
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.1135
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.8855
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.1150
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.8935
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.1065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 203.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9229, Price range: 0.9158 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.8935
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.8940
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.1060
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.1095
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.8905
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.1070
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.8915
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.1095
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.8905
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.1070
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.8905
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0670
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9655
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0510
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9490
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0760
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9225
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0785
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.8925
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0985
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0745
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9145
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1185.78, Sell volume: 21.34, Average price: 0.3479, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657108
Question: Will Apple reach $288 in November?
Volume: 14469.236987
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0765
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0260
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9750
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0225
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9770
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0230
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9780
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0155
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9845
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9915
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0080
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9860
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0140
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9860
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0080
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 175.14, Sell volume: 1813.42, Average price: 0.2967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9655
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0220
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9785
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0080
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0185
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9830
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0170
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9825
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0170
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9910
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0105
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9900
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0095
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9900
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0100
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.9900
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0100
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9900
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0100
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9900
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0095
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9905
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0095
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9900
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0105
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9900
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0095
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9905
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9860
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0135
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9830
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0185
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.9780
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0235
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.9760
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.0230
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.9770
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0180
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.9800
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.0175
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.9785
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0210
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9820
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.0195
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.9845
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0070
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 185178284.55, Sell volume: 148856644.88, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0130
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9870
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0135
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9865
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0135
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9865
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0130
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9870
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0105
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9900
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0095
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9900
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0065
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9935
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0065
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9935
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0065
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9935
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0065
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9935
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0065
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9935
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0065
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9935
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.0065
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0065
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.9935
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.0060
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9940
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0060
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.9935
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.9945
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.0050
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9945
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0065
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.9935
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0065
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.9930
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0065
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9935
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.0065
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9925
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.0075
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.0070
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9935
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0065
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 185178284.55, Sell volume: 148856644.88, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0065
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9935
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0085
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.9915
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0085
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9915
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0085
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9915
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0085
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.9920
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0080
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.9920
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0085
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.9915
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.9915
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0090
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9910
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.0075
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9925
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0075
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.9925
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.9925
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0075
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.9905
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.9895
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.9890
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0105
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.9895
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.0110
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9890
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0105
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9890
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0110
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.9895
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0110
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9890
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0115
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.9880
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0110
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9875
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 185178284.55, Sell volume: 148856644.88, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9925
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9925
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9925
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9930
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9930
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0070
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9930
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9930
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0070
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9930
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 185178284.55, Sell volume: 148856644.88, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9935
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0065
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9935
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9935
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0065
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.9865
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0155
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.9830
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0170
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.9830
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0175
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.9825
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.9935
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0550
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.9865
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0110
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.9940
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.9935
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0065
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.9930
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0070
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9935
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9930
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0070
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9930
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9920
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9925
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9935
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9935
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0065
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9925
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9925
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0065
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9935
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9935
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0065
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9930
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 185178284.55, Sell volume: 148856644.88, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0070
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9930
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0070
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9930
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0070
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9930
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0070
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9930
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0070
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9930
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0070
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9930
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0070
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9930
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9930
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9950
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.9950
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.9950
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0045
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.9945
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9950
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0045
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9955
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0045
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9955
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9955
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0045
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.9955
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0045
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9945
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0055
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9945
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0055
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.9945
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0055
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.9945
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9945
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0055
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9945
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0055
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9945
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0055
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 185178284.55, Sell volume: 148856644.88, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9945
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0055
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9945
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0050
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9950
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9950
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0055
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.9945
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0055
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.9940
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0065
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9930
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0065
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9935
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.9935
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9935
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0065
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9935
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0065
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9935
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0065
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9935
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0055
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9945
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0065
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9930
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0070
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9930
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0070
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9930
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0070
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.9930
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0070
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9930
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0070
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9935
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0070
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.9930
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0070
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9930
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0075
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9920
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9945
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0055
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 185178284.55, Sell volume: 148856644.88, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0055
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9945
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0055
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9945
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9945
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0055
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9945
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9945
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0055
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9945
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0055
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9945
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0055
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9945
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0055
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9945
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0055
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9945
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9945
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0055
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.9945
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9945
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0055
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9945
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0055
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.9945
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0055
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9945
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0055
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.9945
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.9945
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0055
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.9945
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0055
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.9945
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0055
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.9945
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.9945
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0055
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.9945
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 185178284.55, Sell volume: 148856644.88, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.9945
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9945
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0055
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0055
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9945
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.9945
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9945
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.0055
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9945
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.0055
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.9945
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0055
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9945
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9945
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0055
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.9945
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0055
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9945
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9945
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0055
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0055
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9945
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.9945
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0055
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9945
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0055
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0055
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.9945
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0055
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.9950
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0050
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0050
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0050
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9950
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0050
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.9950
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9950
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75924, Buy volume: 1340658.00, Sell volume: 1586412.00, Average price: 0.7865, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.0050
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9950
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9950
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9950
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9950
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9950
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0050
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0045
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 825174, Buy volume: 120828262.29, Sell volume: 84376858.68, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9965
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94544, Buy volume: 62277290.42, Sell volume: 62254001.81, Average price: 0.5347, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 337, Buy volume: 129773.07, Sell volume: 44883.08, Average price: 0.8948, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0170
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9900
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 9520.24, Sell volume: 1708.78, Average price: 0.5636, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9795
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0205
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0165
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9830
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0170
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9915
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0100
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9900
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0100
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.9900
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0100
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9900
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0100
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9900
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0110
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9905
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0105
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9850
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0195
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.9780
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0230
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.9775
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0180
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.9825
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0200
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9820
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0160
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 185178284.55, Sell volume: 148856644.88, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0130
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9865
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0135
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9865
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0130
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9880
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0095
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9935
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0065
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9935
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0065
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9935
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0065
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9935
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0065
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0065
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.9940
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0060
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9935
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0055
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9945
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0065
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.9935
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0065
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.9935
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.0060
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0065
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 185178284.55, Sell volume: 148856644.88, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0065
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9920
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0085
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9915
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0085
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9915
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.9920
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.0085
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.9915
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.0085
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.9910
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.9925
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.0075
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.9925
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.9890
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.0120
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.9895
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0105
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.9895
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0110
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.9895
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.9880
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0115
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 185178284.55, Sell volume: 148856644.88, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9925
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9925
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9930
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9935
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0070
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9930
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0070
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9930
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0070
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 185178284.55, Sell volume: 148856644.88, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9935
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0065
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9935
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.9830
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0170
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9825
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0105
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.9935
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0190
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.9935
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0065
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.9930
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0065
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9935
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0070
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9925
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9920
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9935
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0065
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9925
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9935
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0065
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9935
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0070
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 185178284.55, Sell volume: 148856644.88, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0070
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9930
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0070
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9930
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0070
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9930
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0070
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9935
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0070
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9930
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0050
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9950
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0050
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.9950
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0050
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9950
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0045
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9955
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.9955
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9945
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0055
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.9945
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0055
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9945
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0055
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9945
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0055
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 185178284.55, Sell volume: 148856644.88, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9945
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9950
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0050
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9945
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0055
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9940
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0065
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9935
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.9935
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0065
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9935
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0065
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9935
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9930
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0070
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9930
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0070
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.9930
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0070
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9930
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0070
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9930
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0070
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9920
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0055
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 185178284.55, Sell volume: 148856644.88, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0055
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9945
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0055
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9945
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0055
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9945
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0055
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9945
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0055
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9945
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0055
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9945
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9945
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0055
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9945
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0055
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.9945
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0055
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.9945
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0055
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.9945
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0055
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.9945
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0055
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9945
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.9945
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 185178284.55, Sell volume: 148856644.88, Average price: 0.8119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0055
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0055
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.9945
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0055
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.9945
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0055
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9945
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9945
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9945
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.0055
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9945
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9945
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.9945
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0055
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.9950
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0050
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9950
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0050
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 75924, Buy volume: 1340658.00, Sell volume: 1586412.00, Average price: 0.7865, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.0050
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0050
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0050
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9950
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 825174, Buy volume: 120828262.29, Sell volume: 84376858.68, Average price: 0.8451, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9965
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0035
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94544, Buy volume: 62277290.42, Sell volume: 62254001.81, Average price: 0.5347, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 337, Buy volume: 129773.07, Sell volume: 44883.08, Average price: 0.8948, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521935
Question: Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 859145.720806
Price History:
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9825
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 9520.24, Sell volume: 1708.78, Average price: 0.5636, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657109
Question: Will Apple reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25982.80676
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.8200
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.1800
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.8200
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.1800
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.8200
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.1800
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.8200
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.1800
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.7950
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 25320.82, Sell volume: 661.99, Average price: 0.5715, Price range: 0.1816 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657109
Question: Will Apple reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25982.80676
Price History:
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.6150
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.6150
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6150
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.6150
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6150
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.3900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657109
Question: Will Apple reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25982.80676
Price History:
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.7900
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.2100
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.7950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.2050
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.2000
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8000
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.8000
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.8000
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8000
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.8000
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8000
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.2000
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.7900
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.2100
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.7900
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.2100
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.8200
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.1800
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8350
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1100
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.8500
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.8100
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.8500
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.1500
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8400
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 200.10, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.3854, Price range: 0.1816 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657109
Question: Will Apple reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25982.80676
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.6600
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3400
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4000
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.6000
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.4000
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6000
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.6150
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.3850
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.6200
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.3800
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 443.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.3791, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.4072

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657109
Question: Will Apple reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25982.80676
Price History:
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.3950
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.6050
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6000
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.4050
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.5900
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5450
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.4700
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.4700
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4700
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5300
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4700
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.5450
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.4550
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5550
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4450
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.5450
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.4550
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.5450
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.5450
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.4550
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 150.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.4400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657109
Question: Will Apple reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25982.80676
Price History:
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.6550
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.6600
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.3400
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.6650
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.3350
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6600
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.3400
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.6600
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.3400
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.6600
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.3400
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.6600
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.3400
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.6600
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.3400
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.6600
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.3400
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.6600
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.6500
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.3500
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.6400
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.3600
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.6450
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.3550
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.6600
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.3400
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 534.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5317, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657109
Question: Will Apple reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25982.80676
Price History:
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7250
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.2750
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6900
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3100
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.6800
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.3200
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.6800
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.3200
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.6800
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.3200
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.6800
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.3200
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.6800
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.3200
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.6800
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.3200
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.3200
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6800
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.3200
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6900
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.3100
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.6800
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.3200
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6850
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.6800
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.3200
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6800
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.3200
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.6850
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 25320.82, Sell volume: 661.99, Average price: 0.5715, Price range: 0.1816 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657109
Question: Will Apple reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25982.80676
Price History:
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.6950
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.3050
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.7250
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.2750
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.6550
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.3700
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.6300
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.3700
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.6300
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3700
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6200
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 283.10, Sell volume: 339.10, Average price: 0.4440, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.5940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657109
Question: Will Apple reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25982.80676
Price History:
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5550
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4450
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4400
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5600
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4400
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5600
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4500, Price range: 0.4500 - 0.4500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657109
Question: Will Apple reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25982.80676
Price History:
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5250
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4750
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.5200
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4800
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5100
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4900
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3100
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.2800
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7200
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3950
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6050
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 280.00, Sell volume: 108.00, Average price: 0.4511, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657109
Question: Will Apple reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25982.80676
Price History:
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.7800
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.2200
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.7800
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.1650
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.8350
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.1700
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.8300
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.8450
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.1700
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.8300
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.2600
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.7400
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.2600
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.7400
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.2600
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.7400
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.2400
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.7600
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.2400
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.7600
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.2400
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.7600
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.2400
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 161.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4333, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657109
Question: Will Apple reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25982.80676
Price History:
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.7150
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.7100
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.2900
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.7100
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.3300
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.6700
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.6500
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.3650
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.6350
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.3800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657109
Question: Will Apple reach $280 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25982.80676
Price History:
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.3600
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.6400
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.3600
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.6400
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.3600
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.6400
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.3600
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.6400
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.3600
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.6400
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.3600
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.6400
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.3600
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.6400
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.3600
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.6400
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.3600
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.6400
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.3600
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.6400
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.3600
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.6400
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.2600
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.7400
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.3150
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.6850
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.3150
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.6850
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.3150
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.6850
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.3050
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.6950
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.3050
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.6950
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.2600
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.7400
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.2250
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.7750
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.2100
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.7900
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.2050
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.7950
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.2050
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.7950
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.2050
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1560.29, Sell volume: 66.89, Average price: 0.5340, Price range: 0.2153 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657109
Question: Will Apple reach $280 in November?
Volume: 25982.80676
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.8200
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.1800
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.8000
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.2000
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.7950
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.2050
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.7950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.3800
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.6200
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 25320.82, Sell volume: 661.99, Average price: 0.5715, Price range: 0.1816 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes