Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525015
Question: Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
Volume: 1415174.067759
Price History:
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0155
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0135
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0195
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0195
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0115
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0125
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0135
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0115
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0125
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0235
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0210
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0235
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0205
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 115583788.29, Sell volume: 70046253.59, Average price: 0.4367, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525023
Question: Will another person be the next Pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 216121.892678
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0265
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9735
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 74242.30, Sell volume: 17371.97, Average price: 0.6465, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525023
Question: Will another person be the next Pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 216121.892678
Price History:
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 781, Buy volume: 172724.80, Sell volume: 43397.08, Average price: 0.6103, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525023
Question: Will another person be the next Pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 216121.892678
Price History:
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 781, Buy volume: 172724.80, Sell volume: 43397.08, Average price: 0.6103, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525023
Question: Will another person be the next Pope?
Volume: 216121.892678
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0265
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9735
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 280, Buy volume: 74242.30, Sell volume: 17371.97, Average price: 0.6465, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525023
Question: Will another person be the next Pope?
Volume: 216121.892678
Price History:
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 781, Buy volume: 172724.80, Sell volume: 43397.08, Average price: 0.6103, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525023
Question: Will another person be the next Pope?
Volume: 216121.892678
Price History:
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 781, Buy volume: 172724.80, Sell volume: 43397.08, Average price: 0.6103, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.6250
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.6350
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.6300
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.6300
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.5150
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.5100
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.5100
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.5100
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.5050
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.4500
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.4850
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.4850
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.5300
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.5350
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.5350
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.5350
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.5350
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.5350
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.5250
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.5250
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.5250
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.5250
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.5250
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.4600
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.4600
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.4600
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.4600
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.4650
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.4650
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.4600
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.4650
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.4600
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.5100
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.5200
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.5450
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.5350
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.5300
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.5300
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.5300
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.5300
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.5300
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.5300
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.5300
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.5300
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.5300
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.5350
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.5250
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.5250
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51948, Buy volume: 1209974.43, Sell volume: 92027.88, Average price: 0.5244, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.5250
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.5250
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.5250
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.5250
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.5250
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.5250
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.5250
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.5250
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.5250
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.5250
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.5250
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.5250
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.5250
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.5250
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.5250
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.5250
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.5250
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.5250
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.5250
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.5250
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.5200
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.5150
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.5150
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.5850
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.5600
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.5450
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.5450
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.5450
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.5450
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.5400
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.5400
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.5400
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.5400
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.5400
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.5400
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.5550
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.5450
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.6850
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.5450
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.5450
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.5450
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.5450
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.5450
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.5500
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.5550
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.5550
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.5600
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.5400
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.5400
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33966, Buy volume: 1163844.70, Sell volume: 306313.38, Average price: 0.5259, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.5450
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.5500
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.5550
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.5600
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.5550
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.6100
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.6000
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.6000
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.6000
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.6000
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.5850
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.5850
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.5800
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.5800
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.5650
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.5650
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.5650
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.5650
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.5650
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.5650
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.5650
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.5600
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.5600
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.5600
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.5600
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.5600
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.5750
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.5750
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.5750
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.5750
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.6100
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.6150
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.6100
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.6100
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.6150
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.5950
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.5750
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.5700
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.5700
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.5700
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.5350
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.5350
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.5500
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.5450
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.5450
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.5450
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.5300
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.5700
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.5950
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55944, Buy volume: 4766861.14, Sell volume: 734225.04, Average price: 0.5191, Price range: 0.4135 - 0.6100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.6000
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.6150
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.5550
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.5250
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.4900
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.4950
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.4800
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.4350
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.4350
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.4400
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.4350
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.4350
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.4150
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.3950
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.4050
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.4000
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.4150
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.3950
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.3950
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.3950
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.4150
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.4050
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.4050
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.6750
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.7850
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.7700
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.7950
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.8150
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.8150
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.8100
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.8100
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.8050
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.8000
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.7950
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.8000
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.8000
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.8000
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.8000
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.8000
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.8000
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.7900
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.7900
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.7900
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 241758, Buy volume: 34105275.76, Sell volume: 4960734.30, Average price: 0.5268, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.7950
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.7950
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.8300
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.8300
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.8300
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.8350
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.8350
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.8350
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.8250
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.7950
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.8100
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.8100
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.8100
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.8100
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.8100
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.8150
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.8150
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.8150
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.8150
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.8150
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.8250
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.8350
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.1700
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.8800
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.8450
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.1600
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.8450
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.1550
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.1750
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.2050
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.1950
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121878, Buy volume: 20396288.17, Sell volume: 18747034.20, Average price: 0.5115, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.1850
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.1800
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.1800
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.1800
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.8200
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.8200
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.8200
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.8200
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.8200
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.8200
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.8200
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.8200
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.8150
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.8150
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.8150
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.8150
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.1850
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.1850
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.1850
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.1850
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.2150
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.2150
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.7850
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.7850
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.7850
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.2150
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.2150
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.7850
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.7850
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.8800
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.8800
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.8750
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.8750
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.8750
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.8550
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.1400
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.8650
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.8600
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109890, Buy volume: 31918843.85, Sell volume: 10185384.42, Average price: 0.4598, Price range: 0.0759 - 0.9534

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.8750
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.8750
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.1250
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.1750
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.7950
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2100
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.7950
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.8000
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.7950
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.7950
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.7950
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.7900
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.2100
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.7900
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.2100
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.6950
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.6850
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.6750
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.6750
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.6850
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.6850
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.6800
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.7300
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.2700
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.2700
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.2700
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.7300
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.2700
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.2750
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7250
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.7300
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.2700
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.7300
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.2700
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.7400
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.7250
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.2850
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 235764, Buy volume: 91492612.40, Sell volume: 30384105.48, Average price: 0.4654, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.2550
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.4150
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.3200
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.7250
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.2400
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.2900
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.7200
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.7350
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.2600
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.7200
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.7200
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.7150
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.7100
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.7000
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.6950
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.6800
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.7000
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.6750
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.3200
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.6750
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.3300
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.3300
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.6750
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.3300
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.6450
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.5850
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.6150
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.3900
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.3800
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.3750
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.3750
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.6250
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.6200
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.6200
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.6150
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.6200
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.8650
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.1850
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.8300
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.8300
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.8150
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.8050
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.8000
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 145962, Buy volume: 66553336.12, Sell volume: 2642162.61, Average price: 0.4987, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.8000
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.2000
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.2000
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.2000
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.2000
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.2000
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.8000
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.2000
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.8250
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.8350
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.1500
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.8450
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.1600
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.1550
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.1600
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.1750
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.1750
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.1800
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.7850
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.2150
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.7900
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.2100
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.2050
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.8050
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.1950
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.2000
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.8000
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.8000
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.1950
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.1800
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.1850
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.1850
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.1800
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.1800
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1800
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.1800
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1700
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 25688.93, Sell volume: 12348.23, Average price: 0.5431, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.8100
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.8100
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.8100
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.8100
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.8100
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.1900
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.1900
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.1600
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.1600
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.8350
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.1600
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.8350
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.8400
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.1600
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.1600
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.8400
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.8400
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.1650
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.1650
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.8350
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.1650
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.1500
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.1500
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.8500
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.1500
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.1550
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.8450
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.1550
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.8450
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.8500
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.8550
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.1450
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.8600
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.1400
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.8550
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.8550
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 12527.28, Sell volume: 6413.75, Average price: 0.5519, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.1250
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.8750
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.8750
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.1250
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.8750
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.8900
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.1100
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9100
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0650
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0550
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0650
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9200
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9250
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9350
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9200
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9200
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9250
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0750
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0210
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9785
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0180
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0185
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9810
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9795
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0205
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0205
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0190
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9730
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0310
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9620
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9675
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9660
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9645
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203, Buy volume: 128699.94, Sell volume: 36575.57, Average price: 0.5128, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0360
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0360
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0350
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9635
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0365
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9645
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9635
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0370
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0370
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0360
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0315
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0350
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9645
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0400
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0360
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9635
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9650
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0355
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9640
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9640
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9635
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9650
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9575
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9485
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9500
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9560
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9570
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0420
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9580
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9570
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9560
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9570
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9575
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9675
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9675
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9680
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9730
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9735
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9735
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0270
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9765
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9760
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0260
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9730
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0300
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0295
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0290
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0290
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 205, Buy volume: 102800.94, Sell volume: 53457.50, Average price: 0.6492, Price range: 0.0222 - 0.9810

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9710
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9705
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9710
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9765
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9765
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9755
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9760
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9760
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9715
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9725
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9730
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9735
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9765
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9760
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9785
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9795
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0245
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0240
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0245
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0240
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9760
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0235
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0195
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0235
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0230
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9760
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0300
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9695
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9775
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9750
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9750
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9765
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9750
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9735
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9760
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0240
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0240
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9750
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0250
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0245
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9750
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9755
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9730
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9740
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9720
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9735
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0280
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0200
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 255, Buy volume: 197143.41, Sell volume: 46608.68, Average price: 0.5518, Price range: 0.0156 - 0.9885

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.6250
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.3650
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.5050
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.4900
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.5100
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.5650
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.4850
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.4700
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.5350
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.4650
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.5350
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.4750
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.5250
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.4850
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.4600
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.5400
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.4650
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.5350
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.4650
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.4900
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.5450
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.4650
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.5300
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.4700
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.5300
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.4700
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.5300
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.4750
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.5250
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51948, Buy volume: 1209974.43, Sell volume: 92027.88, Average price: 0.5244, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.5250
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.4750
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.5250
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.4750
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.5250
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.4750
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.5250
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.4750
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.5250
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.4750
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.5250
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.4750
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.5150
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.4850
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.5450
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.4550
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.5450
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.4600
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.5400
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.4600
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.5550
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.3150
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.5450
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.4550
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.5450
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.4500
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.5550
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.4600
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.5400
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33966, Buy volume: 1163844.70, Sell volume: 306313.38, Average price: 0.5259, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.5450
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.4450
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.5600
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.3900
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.6000
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.4000
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.5850
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.4200
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.5650
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.4350
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.5650
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.4350
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.5600
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.4400
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.5600
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.4250
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.5750
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.4250
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.6100
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.3900
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.5950
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.4250
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.5700
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.4650
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.5500
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.4550
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.5450
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.4300
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.6500
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55944, Buy volume: 4766861.14, Sell volume: 734225.04, Average price: 0.5191, Price range: 0.4135 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.6000
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.4350
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.5100
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.5050
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.4350
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.5650
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.4350
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.5850
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.3950
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.5950
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.3950
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.6050
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.4150
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.5950
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.7600
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.2300
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.7950
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.1850
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.8100
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.1950
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.7950
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.2000
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.8050
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.2000
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.2000
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.7900
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.2100
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.7900
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 241758, Buy volume: 34105275.76, Sell volume: 4960734.30, Average price: 0.5268, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.7950
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.2050
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.2000
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.8300
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.1700
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.8300
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.1650
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.8250
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.1950
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.8100
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.1900
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.8100
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.1850
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.8150
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.1850
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.8250
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.1650
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.8300
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.1450
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.8450
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.1550
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.7950
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.2000
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121878, Buy volume: 20396288.17, Sell volume: 18747034.20, Average price: 0.5115, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.8150
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.1800
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.1800
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.8200
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.1800
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.8200
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.1800
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.8200
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.1800
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.8150
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.1850
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.1850
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.8150
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.1850
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.7850
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.2150
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.2150
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.2150
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.2150
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.8750
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.1250
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.8750
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.8550
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.8600
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.1400
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.8600
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109890, Buy volume: 31918843.85, Sell volume: 10185384.42, Average price: 0.4598, Price range: 0.0759 - 0.9534
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.8750
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.1250
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.7950
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7900
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.8000
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.7950
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.7900
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.7900
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.2100
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.2600
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.6750
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.3250
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.6850
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.3150
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.7300
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.7300
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.7300
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.7300
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.2750
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.7300
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.7300
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.7300
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.2800
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.7250
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.2850
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 235764, Buy volume: 91492612.40, Sell volume: 30384105.48, Average price: 0.4654, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.2550
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.7200
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.7600
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.7200
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.2650
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.2800
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.2800
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.7050
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.2850
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.7150
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.3050
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.7000
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.6650
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.3100
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.6700
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.3300
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.5950
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.3850
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.6200
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.3750
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.3800
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.6250
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.3800
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.8150
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.8150
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.1950
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.8150
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 145962, Buy volume: 66553336.12, Sell volume: 2642162.61, Average price: 0.4987, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.8000
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.8000
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.8000
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.8000
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.2000
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.8450
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.1550
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.8500
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.1600
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.8400
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.1750
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.8200
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.2150
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.2100
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.7950
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.8050
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.8000
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.8000
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.1850
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.8150
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.1800
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.1800
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.1800
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8200
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.1700
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 25688.93, Sell volume: 12348.23, Average price: 0.5431, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.8100
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.1900
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.8100
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.8100
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.1600
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.8400
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.8400
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.1600
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.1600
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.8350
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.1650
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.1650
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.8350
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.1650
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.8400
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.8350
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.8500
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.8500
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.1500
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.8450
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.1550
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.1350
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.8550
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.8600
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.1450
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.8550
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 12527.28, Sell volume: 6413.75, Average price: 0.5519, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.1350
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.8750
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.8700
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.1250
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.1250
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.1150
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.8950
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.1050
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0750
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9300
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0650
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0800
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9350
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0800
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9250
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.0240
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0215
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0185
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9810
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9800
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9810
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0250
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.0270
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9670
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0340
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9610
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203, Buy volume: 128699.94, Sell volume: 36575.57, Average price: 0.5128, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0360
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9640
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0365
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0355
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0370
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9640
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0345
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0355
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0360
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9650
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.9620
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0360
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9650
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0465
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9540
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0430
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9580
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0415
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9575
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0325
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9680
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.0260
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9735
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0235
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9745
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.0270
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.9705
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9710
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0280
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 205, Buy volume: 102800.94, Sell volume: 53457.50, Average price: 0.6492, Price range: 0.0222 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563713
Question: Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Volume: 927036.330162
Price History:
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9710
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0295
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9765
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0245
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9760
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0295
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9735
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0235
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9785
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9755
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0245
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9760
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0235
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0230
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9770
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9700
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9775
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0255
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0235
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0250
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9760
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0240
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0250
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9755
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9755
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0260
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9735
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9720
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9800
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 255, Buy volume: 197143.41, Sell volume: 46608.68, Average price: 0.5518, Price range: 0.0156 - 0.9885
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.5600
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.5750
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.6450
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.6400
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.7150
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.7650
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.7750
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.7750
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.7750
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.8050
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.8050
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.8050
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.7850
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.7850
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.7650
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.7650
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.6400
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.6450
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.6400
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.7300
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.7300
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.7300
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.7150
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.7150
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2730.25, Sell volume: 1334.99, Average price: 0.5248, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.7200
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.7200
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.7200
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.7200
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.7200
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.7200
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.7200
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.7200
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.7200
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.7200
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.7200
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.7200
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.7200
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.7200
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.7200
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.6900
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.6750
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.6750
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.6700
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.6700
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.6750
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.6650
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.6650
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.6650
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.6750
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.6800
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.6800
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.6800
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.6800
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.6800
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.6800
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.6850
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.6850
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.6850
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.6850
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.6850
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1393.91, Sell volume: 239.48, Average price: 0.4969, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.6850
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.6950
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.6950
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.6950
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.6950
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.6950
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.6900
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.6900
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.6850
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.6850
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.6850
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.6850
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.6850
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.6900
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.6900
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.6900
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.6900
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.6900
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.6900
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.6900
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.6900
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.6900
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.6900
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.6900
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 345.07, Sell volume: 24.05, Average price: 0.6943, Price range: 0.6800 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.7250
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.7300
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.7300
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.6850
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.6850
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.6850
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.6900
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.6900
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.6850
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.6850
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.6450
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.6450
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.6450
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.4600
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.6150
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.6150
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.6150
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.6150
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.6150
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.6150
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.6150
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.6150
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.6150
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.6150
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.7450
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.8050
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.8100
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.8050
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.7850
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.8300
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.8300
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.8300
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.8300
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.8300
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.8300
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.8300
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.8300
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.8350
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.8250
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.8250
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.8250
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3865.24, Sell volume: 1338.23, Average price: 0.6232, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.8350
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.8350
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.8750
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.8800
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.8800
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.8800
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.8800
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.8800
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.8800
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.8800
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.8800
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.8800
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.8800
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.8750
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.8700
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.8700
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.8700
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.8700
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.8700
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.8700
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.8700
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.8700
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.8650
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.8650
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.8650
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.8650
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.8700
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.8700
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.1300
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.8700
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.8700
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.8700
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.8700
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.1300
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.8700
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.1250
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.1350
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.1350
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.1350
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.1350
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.1350
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 626.21, Sell volume: 944.88, Average price: 0.5861, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.8750
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.8750
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.8750
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.8750
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.8750
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.8750
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.8750
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.8750
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.8750
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.8750
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.1250
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.1250
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.8750
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.1250
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.1350
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.8650
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.8650
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.8650
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.1350
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.1750
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.1700
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.8300
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.1200
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0550
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9150
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9250
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9150
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9100
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4575.32, Sell volume: 2220.17, Average price: 0.6719, Price range: 0.0666 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0800
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0800
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0800
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.8950
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.1000
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.1050
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.1050
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.1050
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.8950
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.1050
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.1250
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.1100
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.8850
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.8850
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.1150
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.8750
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.1250
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.1250
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.8650
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.8750
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.8650
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.8650
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.1350
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.8850
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.8850
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.8900
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.1100
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.8900
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.1150
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.8850
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.1250
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.1350
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.1350
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.8650
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.1350
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.8700
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 11615.04, Sell volume: 494.48, Average price: 0.5083, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.1450
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.8550
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.8550
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.8550
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.8550
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.8550
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.8750
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.8750
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.8750
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.7850
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.8350
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.1950
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.1700
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.8450
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.8350
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.8350
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.1650
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.8000
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.1900
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.2050
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.7950
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.7950
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.2050
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.7950
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.2050
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.2100
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.7900
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.2100
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.7900
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.7900
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.9100
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9000
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.8850
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 4529.39, Sell volume: 4220.11, Average price: 0.4094, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9274

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.8850
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.1150
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.1150
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.1150
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.1150
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.1150
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.1000
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.1000
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.1000
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.1000
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9000
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.9000
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9000
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9000
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.9000
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9000
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9000
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9000
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.9000
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.1000
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.1000
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0950
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0950
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 1298.88, Sell volume: 801.53, Average price: 0.6899, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9050
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9050
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9100
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9100
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9100
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9100
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0550
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0700
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9300
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0700
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9250
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9250
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0750
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0750
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9300
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0650
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0650
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9350
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0650
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0700
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0700
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0700
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0700
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0700
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9300
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9300
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9300
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9300
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0700
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9300
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9300
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9300
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9300
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9300
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9300
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0700
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0700
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0650
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9350
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9250
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0750
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2822.23, Sell volume: 4316.81, Average price: 0.7501, Price range: 0.0437 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0800
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0800
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0550
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0550
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9450
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9450
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0400
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0380
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0395
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0395
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9670
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0385
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9620
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0385
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9640
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9680
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9840
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9820
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9835
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0080
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0145
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0150
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9840
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9840
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9840
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0145
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9855
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0145
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0100
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9910
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0090
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 28059.97, Sell volume: 541.81, Average price: 0.6995, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0155
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0145
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0145
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0175
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9825
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9825
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9820
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9825
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0190
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9820
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9820
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9820
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0170
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0170
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0175
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0170
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0170
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9830
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9830
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9830
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0170
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0170
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9795
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9790
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9790
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0215
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0225
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0225
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9825
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0175
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0150
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0145
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0145
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0150
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0150
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0150
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0150
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0180
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0180
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0180
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0155
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0165
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9915
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0135
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 29770.29, Sell volume: 22790.63, Average price: 0.4092, Price range: 0.0043 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9895
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0105
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0105
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.0105
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.0105
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9865
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9850
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0150
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0150
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9850
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9850
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9850
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0150
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9850
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9850
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0115
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0170
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0120
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0165
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0165
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0165
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0135
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0135
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0150
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0150
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0145
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0120
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0120
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0085
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9910
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9900
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0120
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9885
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9890
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9880
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9865
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9880
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9855
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9855
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9855
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 28487.41, Sell volume: 10596.21, Average price: 0.2971, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.5600
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.3550
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.6700
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2350
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.7750
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.2050
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.8050
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.2150
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.7650
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.2350
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.2350
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2350
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.7650
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.2350
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.6400
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.3550
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.7250
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.2750
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.7300
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.2850
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.2850
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.2850
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.2850
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.7150
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2730.25, Sell volume: 1334.99, Average price: 0.5248, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.7200
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.2800
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.7200
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.2800
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.7200
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.2800
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.7200
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.2800
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.7200
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.3200
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.6750
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.3300
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.6650
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.3350
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.6800
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.3200
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.3200
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.3200
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.3200
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.6800
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.3200
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.6800
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.3200
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.6850
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.3150
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.6850
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1393.91, Sell volume: 239.48, Average price: 0.4969, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.6850
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.3050
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.6950
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.3050
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.3050
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.3100
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.6950
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.3050
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.6950
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.3050
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.6850
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.3150
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.6850
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.3100
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.6900
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.3100
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.3100
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.3100
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.6900
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.3100
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.6900
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.3100
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.6900
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.3100
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.6900
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 345.07, Sell volume: 24.05, Average price: 0.6943, Price range: 0.6800 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.7250
2025-07-30 12:00: 0.2800
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.6850
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.3150
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.6900
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.3150
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.6450
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.3550
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.6150
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.3850
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.6150
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.3850
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.6150
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.3850
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.8350
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.1900
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.7850
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.1700
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.8300
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.1700
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.1700
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.8350
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.1750
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.1750
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.8250
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.1750
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.8350
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 3865.24, Sell volume: 1338.23, Average price: 0.6232, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.8300
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.1650
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.8800
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.1200
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.8800
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.1200
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.8800
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.1200
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.8750
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.1300
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.8700
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.1300
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.8700
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.1300
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.8650
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.1350
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.8650
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.1300
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.1300
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.1300
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.8700
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.8700
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.1250
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.8650
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.1350
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.1350
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.8650
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.1350
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 626.21, Sell volume: 944.88, Average price: 0.5861, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.8750
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.8750
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.8750
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.8750
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.8750
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.8750
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.1250
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.8750
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.1250
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.1350
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.8650
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.1700
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.1700
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9150
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.0850
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9050
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 4575.32, Sell volume: 2220.17, Average price: 0.6719, Price range: 0.0666 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.9200
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9050
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.1050
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.8750
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.1150
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.8850
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.8750
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.8650
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.1350
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.1350
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.1150
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.1100
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.1100
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.1150
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.1150
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.8650
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.8650
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.1300
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.8700
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 11615.04, Sell volume: 494.48, Average price: 0.5083, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.8550
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.8550
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.1250
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.8750
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.8500
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.8300
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.8350
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.8350
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.8000
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.1900
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.7950
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.7950
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.2050
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.7900
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.2100
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.2100
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9000
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 4529.39, Sell volume: 4220.11, Average price: 0.4094, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9274
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.1150
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.1150
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.1150
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.1000
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9000
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9000
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.1000
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9000
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.1000
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9000
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.1000
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9050
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0950
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 1298.88, Sell volume: 801.53, Average price: 0.6899, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9050
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0950
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9100
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0900
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0700
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9250
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0750
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0700
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0650
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9350
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0700
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9300
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0700
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0700
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9300
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9300
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9300
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9300
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0700
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9300
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9350
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0750
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9250
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2822.23, Sell volume: 4316.81, Average price: 0.7501, Price range: 0.0437 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9150
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9200
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0800
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0800
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0550
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0550
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0395
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0395
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9640
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0380
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.0395
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9805
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0180
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0080
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0145
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0160
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0160
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.9855
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0175
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0090
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0090
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 28059.97, Sell volume: 541.81, Average price: 0.6995, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0155
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9855
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0175
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9815
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0175
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9820
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0180
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0170
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9825
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0170
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0170
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.9830
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9830
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9790
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.9790
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9775
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0175
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0150
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9855
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9850
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9850
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0180
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9820
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.0155
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0085
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 29770.29, Sell volume: 22790.63, Average price: 0.4092, Price range: 0.0043 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563714
Question: Fed rate cut by October meeting?
Volume: 240854.765865
Price History:
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9895
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0105
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0105
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0135
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9850
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0150
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9850
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0150
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9850
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9885
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0170
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9855
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0165
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0135
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9865
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9855
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9880
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0085
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9900
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9890
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0110
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0135
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9875
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0145
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9905
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 28487.41, Sell volume: 10596.21, Average price: 0.2971, Price range: 0.0069 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563715
Question: Fed rate cut by December meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 346266.285504
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.6050
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.6300
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.8200
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.8200
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.8200
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.8650
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.8600
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.8350
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.8350
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.8550
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.8500
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.8650
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.8600
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.8550
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.8450
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.8400
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.8400
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.8400
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.8300
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.8300
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.8300
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.8300
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.8300
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.8350
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.8350
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.8350
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.8150
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.8150
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.8150
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.8300
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.8350
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.8350
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.8350
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.8350
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.8350
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.8350
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 9335.63, Sell volume: 61.14, Average price: 0.5683, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563715
Question: Fed rate cut by December meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 346266.285504
Price History:
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.8250
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.8250
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.8250
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.8250
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.8250
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.8250
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.8250
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.8250
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.8300
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.8300
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.8250
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.8300
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.8300
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.8350
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.8350
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.8350
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.8350
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.8350
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.8350
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.8350
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.8350
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.8350
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.8350
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.8350
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.8350
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.8300
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.8300
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.8300
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.8300
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.8300
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.8300
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.8300
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.8300
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.8350
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.8250
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.8250
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4513.62, Sell volume: 970.00, Average price: 0.6145, Price range: 0.1522 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563715
Question: Fed rate cut by December meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 346266.285504
Price History:
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.8300
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.8300
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.8300
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.8250
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.8200
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.8200
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.8200
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.8200
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.8150
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.8150
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.8150
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.8150
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.8150
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.8150
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.8150
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.8150
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.8150
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.8150
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.8150
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.8150
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.8150
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.8150
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.8150
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.8150
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.8050
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.8050
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.8050
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.8050
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.8050
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 3494.16, Sell volume: 22.81, Average price: 0.4052, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563715
Question: Fed rate cut by December meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 346266.285504
Price History:
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.7950
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.7900
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.7250
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.7400
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.7550
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.7550
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.7550
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.7600
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.7600
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.7450
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.7450
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.7450
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.7450
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.7450
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.7450
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.7400
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.7400
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.7400
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.7400
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.7400
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.7400
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.8450
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.8750
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.8750
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.8750
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.8650
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.8700
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.8750
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.8750
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.8650
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.8750
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.8850
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.8900
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.8900
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.9000
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.9000
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.9000
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.8950
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.9050
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 9159.15, Sell volume: 1273.89, Average price: 0.5502, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563715
Question: Fed rate cut by December meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 346266.285504
Price History:
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.9000
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.9000
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.9000
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.8950
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.8900
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.8900
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.8900
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.8900
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.8900
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.8950
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.8950
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.8950
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.8950
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.8950
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.9000
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.9000
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.9000
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.9000
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.9000
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9150
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9150
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.9100
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.0900
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9100
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.0800
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0750
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.0700
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0650
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0650
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.0800
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0800
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9200
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.0800
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9200
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9200
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.9200
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0800
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.0800
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 15401.92, Sell volume: 69.16, Average price: 0.5265, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563715
Question: Fed rate cut by December meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 346266.285504
Price History:
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9250
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.0650
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0650
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.0650
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0650
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.0650
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0650
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.0700
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9300
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0750
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.9250
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0850
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0850
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.9150
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9150
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9350
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.9350
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9300
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0700
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9350
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9350
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9350
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9350
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 8752.78, Sell volume: 3788.59, Average price: 0.5242, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563715
Question: Fed rate cut by December meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 346266.285504
Price History:
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0550
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9450
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.0550
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9450
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9250
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9250
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9350
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.0650
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.0650
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0700
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.9200
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0800
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0750
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0750
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.9200
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0800
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0800
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9100
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9100
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.9100
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9100
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0900
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9100
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.0950
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9050
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0950
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.9100
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9100
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.0950
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9050
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.1000
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.1000
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.9000
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9000
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 13665.81, Sell volume: 633.87, Average price: 0.4395, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563715
Question: Fed rate cut by December meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 346266.285504
Price History:
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0950
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.9050
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9050
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9050
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.9050
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.9100
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9100
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9050
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.9050
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.9050
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.9050
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.9050
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9050
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.9050
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.0950
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0950
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0950
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0950
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0950
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.1100
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.1100
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.8900
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.8900
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.1500
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.1500
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.1500
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.8500
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.1500
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.1500
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.1500
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.8500
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.8450
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.8350
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.8450
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.9400
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9300
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9300
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.9300
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9300
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9300
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0700
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9300
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 33469.50, Sell volume: 4135.05, Average price: 0.5693, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563715
Question: Fed rate cut by December meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 346266.285504
Price History:
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.9300
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9300
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.9300
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.9300
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9300
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0700
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0700
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.0700
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0700
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.0600
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9400
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.0600
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0600
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.0600
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.0600
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9400
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0550
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.9400
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9400
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9400
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.9350
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.9350
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9350
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.9350
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9350
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0650
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.0650
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0650
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9350
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.0650
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.0600
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9400
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.0600
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0600
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.0650
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.0650
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9350
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0600
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.9350
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9350
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0650
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0650
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 3159.56, Sell volume: 3070.78, Average price: 0.6107, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563715
Question: Fed rate cut by December meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 346266.285504
Price History:
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9350
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9350
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9350
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9350
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9350
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9350
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9350
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0600
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9400
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0550
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0550
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9450
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0500
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9450
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0550
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 624.40, Sell volume: 1879.35, Average price: 0.5614, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563715
Question: Fed rate cut by December meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 346266.285504
Price History:
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9450
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9450
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9450
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0550
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9450
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0550
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0550
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0550
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0550
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0400
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0400
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9600
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9600
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0330
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0305
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9700
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9690
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9725
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9725
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0275
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9735
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9740
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0240
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9755
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9755
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0250
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9740
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9740
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0260
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0260
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9740
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9750
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0110
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9950
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0055
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9940
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9940
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0060
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 36075.25, Sell volume: 11717.92, Average price: 0.6219, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563715
Question: Fed rate cut by December meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 346266.285504
Price History:
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0100
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9900
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0080
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9910
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0110
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9890
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9890
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0110
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9890
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0110
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0110
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0105
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9895
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9895
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0105
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0150
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0150
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0145
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0135
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9890
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0110
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9890
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9890
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9890
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9890
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0110
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0125
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0125
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0125
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0120
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0110
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0115
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0105
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0080
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 136, Buy volume: 27494.53, Sell volume: 1660.15, Average price: 0.7028, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9945

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563715
Question: Fed rate cut by December meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 346266.285504
Price History:
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0095
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9900
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.0100
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9895
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.9895
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0110
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.0120
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9895
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.9905
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9905
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.0110
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0110
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9890
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9890
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0110
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0110
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9890
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9890
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.9890
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9895
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0105
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0135
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9855
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9850
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0140
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0145
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0110
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0105
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0105
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0100
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9865
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0135
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0120
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9880
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9915
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0115
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0115
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0115
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9895
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9900
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9890
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9885
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9855
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0055
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9950
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9930
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125, Buy volume: 38058.86, Sell volume: 34042.63, Average price: 0.6292, Price range: 0.0033 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563715
Question: Fed rate cut by December meeting?
Volume: 346266.285504
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.6050
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.3050
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.8200
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.1350
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.8350
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.1450
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.8500
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.1400
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.8450
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.1600
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.8400
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.1750
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.1750
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.1700
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.8300
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.1700
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.8350
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.1750
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.8250
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.1750
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.8150
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.1850
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.8300
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.1650
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.8350
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.1650
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.8350
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 9335.63, Sell volume: 61.14, Average price: 0.5683, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563715
Question: Fed rate cut by December meeting?
Volume: 346266.285504
Price History:
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.8250
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.1750
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.8250
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.1750
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.8250
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.1700
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.8300
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.1700
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.8350
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.1600
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.8350
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.1600
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.1600
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.8400
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.1650
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1600
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.8350
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.1650
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.8350
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.1650
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.8300
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.1700
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.8300
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.1700
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.8300
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.1750
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.8250
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4513.62, Sell volume: 970.00, Average price: 0.6145, Price range: 0.1522 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563715
Question: Fed rate cut by December meeting?
Volume: 346266.285504
Price History:
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.8300
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.1700
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.8250
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.1800
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.8200
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.1800
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.8150
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.1850
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.8150
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.1850
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.8150
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.1850
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.8150
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.1850
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.8150
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.1950
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.8050
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.1950
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.1950
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.1950
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.8050
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.1950
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.1950
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.1950
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 3494.16, Sell volume: 22.81, Average price: 0.4052, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes