Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.1750
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.8250
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.8250
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.1750
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.8250
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.1750
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9800
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0200
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9800
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0200
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9800
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0200
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9805
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0195
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9805
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0195
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.9815
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0185
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.9810
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0190
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9810
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0190
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9825
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0175
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9830
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0170
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9835
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9875
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0125
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9845
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0155
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9845
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0155
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.9845
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0155
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9840
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0160
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9850
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0150
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9855
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0145
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9855
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0145
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9840
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0160
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9835
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0165
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9835
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0165
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9835
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0165
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9835
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0165
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9830
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0170
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9835
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0165
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.9845
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0155
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9850
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0150
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.9860
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0140
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.9860
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0140
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.9870
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0130
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.9870
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0130
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9870
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9870
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0130
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9870
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0130
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.9860
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0140
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9840
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0160
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9815
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0185
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9815
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0185
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9820
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0180
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9815
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0185
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9815
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0185
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9820
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0180
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9815
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0185
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9810
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0190
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0195
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9805
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0195
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.9855
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0145
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.9840
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0160
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9835
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0165
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9835
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0165
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.9840
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0160
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9835
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0165
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.9850
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9835
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0165
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9840
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0160
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9860
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0140
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9870
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0130
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9885
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0115
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0080
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9920
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9920
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9920
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.9920
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0090
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9925
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9925
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9920
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0080
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0090
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0090
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9925
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9920
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0080
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0090
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0090
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9925
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9920
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9915
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0085
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9915
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0085
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0080
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9905
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0095
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9905
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0095
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.9905
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0095
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.9920
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0080
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.9920
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9905
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0095
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0085
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9905
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0095
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9920
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9920
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0080
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9925
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0075
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9920
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0080
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9925
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0085
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9920
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9925
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0075
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9920
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0080
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.9925
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0075
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0085
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.9905
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9905
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0095
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0085
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9915
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0085
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9915
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0085
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9915
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0085
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9915
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9925
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0075
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0075
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0070
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0075
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.1750
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.1750
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.1750
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.8250
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.8250
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.1750
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.8250
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.1750
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9800
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0200
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9800
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0200
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9800
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0200
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9805
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9875
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0125
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9845
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0155
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9845
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0155
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.9845
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0155
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9840
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0160
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9850
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0150
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9855
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0145
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9855
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0145
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9840
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0160
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9835
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0165
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9835
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0165
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9835
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0165
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9835
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0165
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9830
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0170
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9835
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9870
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0130
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9870
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0130
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.9860
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0140
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9840
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0160
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9815
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0185
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9815
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0185
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9820
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0180
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9815
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0185
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9815
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0185
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9820
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0180
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9815
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0185
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9810
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0190
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0195
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9805
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0195
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9805
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9835
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0165
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9840
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0160
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9860
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0140
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9870
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0130
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9885
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0115
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9920
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0090
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9925
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9925
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9920
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0080
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0090
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0090
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9925
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9920
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0080
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0090
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0090
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9925
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9920
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9915
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0085
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9915
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9905
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0095
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0085
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9905
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0095
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9920
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9920
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0080
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9925
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0075
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9920
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0080
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9925
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0085
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9920
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9905
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0095
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0085
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9900
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0100
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9915
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0085
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9915
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0085
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9915
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0085
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9915
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9925
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0075
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9905
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0095
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525472
Question: Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 7716.747002
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0075
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0070
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0085
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.3000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.3000
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.3000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.3000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.3000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.7000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.3000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.7000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.3000
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.7000
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.3000
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5050
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4950
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.3900
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.6100
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.3900
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.6100
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.3900
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.6100
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9775
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0225
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.9775
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0225
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9775
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0225
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9775
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0225
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9775
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0225
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9775
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0225
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9770
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0230
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9765
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0235
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0385
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9655
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0345
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9645
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0385
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9645
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.9625
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0375
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.9640
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0360
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.9625
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0375
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9625
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.9625
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0375
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0385
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0385
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0385
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9625
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0375
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.9625
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0375
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9620
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0380
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9640
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0360
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9630
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0370
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9630
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0370
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9640
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0360
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9640
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0360
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9630
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0370
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9640
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0360
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9660
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0340
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.9700
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0300
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.9690
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0310
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9690
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0310
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9685
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0315
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.9685
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0315
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9690
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0310
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.9685
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9690
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0310
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9690
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0310
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9685
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0315
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9715
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0285
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9715
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0285
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9715
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0285
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9715
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0285
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.9715
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0285
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9715
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0285
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.9715
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0285
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.9715
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0285
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.9715
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0285
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9710
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0290
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9715
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0285
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9715
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0285
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.9710
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9715
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0285
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9710
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0290
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9715
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0285
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9710
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0290
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9715
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0285
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9760
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0240
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9755
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0245
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9755
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0245
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9760
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0240
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9760
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0240
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9755
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0245
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9760
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0240
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9760
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0240
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9750
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0250
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9765
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0235
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9755
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0245
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9760
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0240
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9760
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0240
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.9770
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0230
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.9775
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0225
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.9790
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0210
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9775
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9790
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0210
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9790
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0210
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9780
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0220
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9765
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0235
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9770
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0230
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9790
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0210
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9765
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0235
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9765
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0235
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9785
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0215
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9790
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0210
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9760
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0240
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9750
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0250
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9755
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0245
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9765
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0235
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9765
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0235
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9760
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0240
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9745
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0255
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.9765
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0235
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.9745
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0255
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9760
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0240
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9755
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0245
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.9755
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9760
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0240
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9765
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0235
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9750
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0250
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9760
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0240
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9760
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0240
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9770
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0230
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9770
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0230
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9755
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0245
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9770
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0230
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9770
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0230
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9770
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0230
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9765
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0235
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9775
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0225
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9760
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0240
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9775
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0225
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9760
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0240
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9760
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0240
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.9765
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0235
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.9765
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0235
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.9760
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0240
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.9775
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0225
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.9765
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9765
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0235
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9775
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0225
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9775
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0225
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9760
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0240
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9775
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0225
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9775
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0225
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9775
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0225
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9770
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0230
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9765
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0235
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9775
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0225
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9770
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0230
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9765
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0235
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9770
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0230
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9765
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0235
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9760
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0240
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9770
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0230
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.9775
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0225
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9765
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0235
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.9765
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0235
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.9775
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0225
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9770
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0230
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9770
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9770
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0230
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9760
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0240
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9755
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0245
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9775
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0225
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9775
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0225
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9770
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0230
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9755
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0245
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9770
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0230
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9765
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0235
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9775
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0225
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9770
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0230
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9760
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0240
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9770
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0230
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9765
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0235
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9775
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0225
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.9750
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0250
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9760
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0240
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9765
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0235
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9775
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0225
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.9760
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0240
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9770
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.0230
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9775
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.9775
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0225
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9765
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0235
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9775
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0225
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9775
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0225
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9765
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0235
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.9780
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0220
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9785
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0215
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9785
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0215
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9765
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0235
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9770
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0230
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9770
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0230
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9775
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0225
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9770
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0230
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9775
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0225
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.9755
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0245
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.9760
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0240
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9760
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0240
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.9770
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0230
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.9775
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0225
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9770
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0230
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.9770
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.0230
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9775
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.3000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.3000
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.3000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.3000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.3000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.7000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.3000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.7000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.3000
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.7000
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.3000
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5050
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.4950
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.3900
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.6100
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.3900
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.6100
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.3900
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.6100
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9750
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0250
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9775
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0225
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.9775
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0225
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9775
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0225
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9775
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0225
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9775
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0225
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9775
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0225
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9770
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0230
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9765
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0235
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0385
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9655
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0345
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9645
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0355
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0385
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.9625
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0375
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9620
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0380
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0385
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0385
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9615
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0385
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9615
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0385
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9625
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0375
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.9625
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0375
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9620
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0380
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9640
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0360
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9630
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0370
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9630
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0370
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9640
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0360
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9640
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0360
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9630
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0370
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9635
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0365
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9640
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0360
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9660
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9690
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0310
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9690
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0310
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9685
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0315
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9715
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0285
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9715
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0285
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9715
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0285
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9715
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0285
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0290
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9710
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.9715
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0285
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9710
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0290
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9715
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9715
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0285
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9710
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0290
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9715
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0285
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9710
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0290
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9715
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0285
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9760
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0240
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9755
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0245
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9755
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0245
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9760
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0240
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9760
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0240
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9755
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0245
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9760
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0240
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9760
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0240
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9750
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0250
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9765
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9790
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0210
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9790
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0210
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9780
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0220
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9765
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0235
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9770
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0230
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9790
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0210
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9765
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0235
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9765
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0235
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9785
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0215
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9790
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0210
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9760
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0240
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9750
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0250
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9755
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0245
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9765
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0235
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9765
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9760
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0240
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9765
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0235
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9750
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0250
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9760
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0240
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9760
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0240
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9770
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0230
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9770
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0230
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9755
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0245
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9770
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0230
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9770
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0230
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9770
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0230
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9765
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0235
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9775
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0225
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9760
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0240
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9775
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9765
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0235
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9775
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0225
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9775
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0225
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9760
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0240
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9775
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0225
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9775
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0225
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9775
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0225
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9770
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0230
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9765
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0235
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9775
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0225
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9770
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0230
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9765
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0235
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9770
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0230
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9765
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0235
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9760
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9770
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0230
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9760
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0240
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9755
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0245
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9775
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0225
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9775
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0225
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9770
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0230
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9755
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0245
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9770
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0230
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9765
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0235
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9775
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0225
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9770
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0230
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9760
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0240
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9770
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0230
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9765
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0235
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9775
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525477
Question: Will John Hickenlooper vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 10708.0
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.9775
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0225
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9765
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0235
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9775
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0225
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9775
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0225
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9765
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0235
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.9780
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0220
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9785
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0215
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9785
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0215
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9765
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0235
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9770
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0230
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9770
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0230
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9775
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0225
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9770
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0230
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9775
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0225
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.9755
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.1750
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.1750
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.1750
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.8250
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.8250
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.1750
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.8250
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.1750
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9300
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0700
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0800
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0700
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9300
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0700
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0700
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9300
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0700
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.9300
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0700
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.9250
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9250
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0750
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0550
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9500
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.9500
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.9500
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9500
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9500
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.9500
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0500
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9550
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0450
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.9500
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9550
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0450
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9550
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0450
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9600
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0400
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9705
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0295
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9740
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0260
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9735
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0265
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9765
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0235
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9785
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0215
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9790
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0210
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9800
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0200
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9805
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0195
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9810
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0190
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9820
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0180
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9825
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0175
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9825
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0175
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9840
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0160
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.9855
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0145
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9880
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0120
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9880
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0120
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.9880
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0120
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9880
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0120
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9880
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0120
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9880
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0120
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.9880
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0120
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.9880
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0120
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.9880
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0120
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0115
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0115
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0115
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9890
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0110
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0115
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9875
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0125
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9875
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0125
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9875
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0125
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9880
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0120
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9880
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0120
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9880
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0120
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9880
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0120
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9880
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0120
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9880
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0120
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0115
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9880
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0120
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0115
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0115
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0115
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0115
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0115
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0115
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0115
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0115
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0115
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0115
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0115
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9890
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0110
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9890
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0110
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0115
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9890
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0110
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9890
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0110
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9890
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0110
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9935
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0065
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9930
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0070
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9930
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0070
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9930
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0070
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9920
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9925
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0075
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9930
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0070
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0080
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.9920
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0080
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9920
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0080
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0075
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.9930
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9880
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.0120
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9845
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.9825
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0175
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9825
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0175
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9820
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0180
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9820
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0180
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9825
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0175
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.9705
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0295
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9700
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0300
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9695
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0305
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9700
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0300
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9700
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0300
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9695
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0305
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9700
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0300
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9690
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0310
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9700
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0300
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.9700
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0300
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.9700
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0300
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9695
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0305
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.9700
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0300
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.9700
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0300
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9700
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0300
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.9700
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.0300
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9690
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.1750
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.1750
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.1750
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.8250
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.1750
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.8250
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.1750
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.8250
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.1750
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.8250
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.1750
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0800
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0750
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9250
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0700
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9300
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0700
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9300
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0700
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9300
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0550
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9450
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0550
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9500
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9550
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0450
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9550
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0450
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9600
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0400
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9705
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0295
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9740
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0260
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9735
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0265
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9765
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0235
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9785
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0215
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9790
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0210
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9800
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0200
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9805
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0195
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9810
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0190
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9820
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0180
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9825
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0175
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9825
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9880
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0120
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9880
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0120
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.9880
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0120
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9880
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0120
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9880
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0120
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9875
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0125
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9880
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9890
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0110
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0115
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9875
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0125
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9875
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0125
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9875
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0125
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9880
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0120
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9880
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0120
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9880
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0120
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9880
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0120
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9880
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0120
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9880
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0120
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0115
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9880
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0120
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0115
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0115
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0115
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0115
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9890
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0110
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9890
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0110
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0115
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9890
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0110
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9890
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0110
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9890
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0110
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9935
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0065
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9930
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0070
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9930
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0070
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9930
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0070
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9920
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0080
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9895
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0105
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9900
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525473
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Volume: 8815.042731
Price History:
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.9825
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0175
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9825
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0175
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9820
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0180
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9820
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0180
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9825
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0175
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.9705
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0295
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9700
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0300
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9695
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0305
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9700
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0300
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9700
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0300
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9695
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0305
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9700
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0300
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9690
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0310
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9700
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0300
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.9700
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.3000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.7000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.4000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.6000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.4000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.6000
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.4000
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.6000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.6000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.6000
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5350
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4650
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.6350
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.3650
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.6350
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.3650
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.5000
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.6000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.4000
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.6000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.4000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.6000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.4000
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.6000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.4000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.6000
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0750
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9250
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9200
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0900
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525475
Question: Will Rand Paul vote to confirm Lori Chavez-DeRemer as Secretary of Labor?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19201.50228
Price History:
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0900
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9100
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0900
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9100
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0900
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9100
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0900
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.9100
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0900
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9100
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0900
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9100
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9050
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9050
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9050
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.9050
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0950
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes