Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2300
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.7700
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.7500
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7150
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 287712, Buy volume: 152586378.39, Sell volume: 57007935.00, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1700
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8650
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1350
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211788, Buy volume: 81459474.00, Sell volume: 35534290.14, Average price: 0.5537, Price range: 0.1020 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1200
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1350
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.8050
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.1950
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 261738, Buy volume: 149378361.91, Sell volume: 23946509.52, Average price: 0.5074, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9378
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.1600
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8500
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.1500
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.1450
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.1250
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 155852, Buy volume: 115633557.72, Sell volume: 46506964.26, Average price: 0.6793, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 161, Buy volume: 103024.80, Sell volume: 82268.55, Average price: 0.5671, Price range: 0.0540 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9400
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 61519.04, Sell volume: 6545.35, Average price: 0.5404, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9300
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0700
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 28158.97, Sell volume: 20428.56, Average price: 0.5820, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9645
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0355
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9755
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9815
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0185
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9750
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0250
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9700
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 195229.05, Sell volume: 34777.73, Average price: 0.4968, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9725
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0275
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9750
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0250
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9740
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0260
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9745
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9700
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0300
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9755
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0245
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9790
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0210
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9820
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9805
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 27611.19, Sell volume: 22673.29, Average price: 0.7812, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0145
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9815
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0185
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0135
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9875
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0125
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9885
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0115
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9810
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0190
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9765
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0235
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9810
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0190
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9875
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0125
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9870
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 48126.49, Sell volume: 71279.47, Average price: 0.6548, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9845
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0155
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0145
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9890
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0110
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9875
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0145
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9810
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0190
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9890
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0110
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9895
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 21724.98, Sell volume: 28152.79, Average price: 0.8467, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9910
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9910
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 59720.00, Sell volume: 34016.93, Average price: 0.6165, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 250574.06, Sell volume: 59730.65, Average price: 0.4930, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8450
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1550
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9450
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9500
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9700
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0300
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9755
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0245
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9770
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0230
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9835
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0165
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 10412.73, Sell volume: 5460.07, Average price: 0.5087, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9890
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9575
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0425
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 16080.52, Sell volume: 20380.87, Average price: 0.1539, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9920
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 11084.55, Sell volume: 10511.44, Average price: 0.0965, Price range: 0.0024 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 9034.85, Sell volume: 19785.29, Average price: 0.0909, Price range: 0.0032 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 113366.93, Sell volume: 25197.41, Average price: 0.3838, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 13217.19, Sell volume: 13149.04, Average price: 0.1691, Price range: 0.0036 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 143, Buy volume: 13456.85, Sell volume: 37312.37, Average price: 0.2202, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 9547.71, Sell volume: 11030.31, Average price: 0.3917, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 15201.17, Sell volume: 6130.69, Average price: 0.6439, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 5099.77, Sell volume: 3163.31, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 25796.98, Sell volume: 18384.65, Average price: 0.7990, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 38993.94, Sell volume: 4637.26, Average price: 0.9413, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 8128.28, Sell volume: 11121.29, Average price: 0.8175, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6000
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4000
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.8450
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1550
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9450
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0550
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9500
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9700
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0300
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9755
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0245
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9770
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0230
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9835
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0165
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 10412.73, Sell volume: 5460.07, Average price: 0.5087, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9890
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0110
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9575
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0425
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 16080.52, Sell volume: 20380.87, Average price: 0.1539, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9920
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 11084.55, Sell volume: 10511.44, Average price: 0.0965, Price range: 0.0024 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9930
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 9034.85, Sell volume: 19785.29, Average price: 0.0909, Price range: 0.0032 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 113366.93, Sell volume: 25197.41, Average price: 0.3838, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9915
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 13217.19, Sell volume: 13149.04, Average price: 0.1691, Price range: 0.0036 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9925
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 143, Buy volume: 13456.85, Sell volume: 37312.37, Average price: 0.2202, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 9547.71, Sell volume: 11030.31, Average price: 0.3917, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 15201.17, Sell volume: 6130.69, Average price: 0.6439, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 5099.77, Sell volume: 3163.31, Average price: 0.7492, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 25796.98, Sell volume: 18384.65, Average price: 0.7990, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 38993.94, Sell volume: 4637.26, Average price: 0.9413, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687004
Question: Over $3B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 548371.272255
Price History:
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 8128.28, Sell volume: 11121.29, Average price: 0.8175, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 697165
Question: Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2056361.312256
Price History:
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0150
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9910
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 367, Buy volume: 447752.78, Sell volume: 126481.91, Average price: 0.4068, Price range: 0.0035 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 697165
Question: Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2056361.312256
Price History:
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9910
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0365
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9880
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0120
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 683029.01, Sell volume: 442116.75, Average price: 0.3626, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 697165
Question: Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2056361.312256
Price History:
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 119, Buy volume: 254788.15, Sell volume: 161754.92, Average price: 0.4876, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 697165
Question: Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 2056361.312256
Price History:
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9550
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0150
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9910
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 367, Buy volume: 447752.78, Sell volume: 126481.91, Average price: 0.4068, Price range: 0.0035 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 697165
Question: Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 2056361.312256
Price History:
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9910
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0090
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9635
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0365
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9880
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0120
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 683029.01, Sell volume: 442116.75, Average price: 0.3626, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 697165
Question: Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 2056361.312256
Price History:
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 119, Buy volume: 254788.15, Sell volume: 161754.92, Average price: 0.4876, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 697222
Question: Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2615565.199108
Price History:
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.7550
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.2450
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.7400
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.1250
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127872, Buy volume: 69860881.62, Sell volume: 55937666.34, Average price: 0.4279, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 697222
Question: Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2615565.199108
Price History:
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9725
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0275
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9605
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 463536, Buy volume: 454825839.82, Sell volume: 162149588.10, Average price: 0.4192, Price range: 0.0114 - 0.9895

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 697222
Question: Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2615565.199108
Price History:
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90907, Buy volume: 106453267.37, Sell volume: 17445170.99, Average price: 0.3968, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 697222
Question: Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 2615565.199108
Price History:
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.7550
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.2450
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.7400
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.2600
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.1250
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127872, Buy volume: 69860881.62, Sell volume: 55937666.34, Average price: 0.4279, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 697222
Question: Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 2615565.199108
Price History:
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9725
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0275
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9605
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 463536, Buy volume: 454825839.82, Sell volume: 162149588.10, Average price: 0.4192, Price range: 0.0114 - 0.9895
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 697222
Question: Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 2615565.199108
Price History:
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90907, Buy volume: 106453267.37, Sell volume: 17445170.99, Average price: 0.3968, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.4200
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.9655
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0365
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.9805
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.0190
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.9810
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.0190
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.9815
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.0275
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.9780
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0210
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.9770
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.0215
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.9780
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0225
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.9780
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.0175
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.9830
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0170
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.9815
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.0170
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.9830
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.0175
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.9830
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.0190
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.9800
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0175
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.9810
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.0220
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.9790
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0180
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.9815
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.0185
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.9795
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0200
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.9770
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.0210
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.9800
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0200
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.9745
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.0225
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.9755
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0225
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.9775
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.0235
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.9775
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0230
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.9770
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0230
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.0225
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.9775
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0255
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.9755
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.0240
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9750
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0255
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.9755
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0245
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.9755
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0240
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.9755
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0245
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9755
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0250
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.9755
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0250
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.9755
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0245
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.9745
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0245
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9750
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0245
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9750
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0240
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9765
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0235
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.9755
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0260
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.9755
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0245
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.9770
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0235
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.9770
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0235
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.9765
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0230
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.9765
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.0235
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.9765
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0240
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9740
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0260
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9740
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.0260
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.9740
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0270
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.9730
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.0280
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0250
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.9735
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0250
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.9745
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0265
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.9745
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.0255
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.9730
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0255
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9740
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0255
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9740
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0195
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.9805
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0195
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9805
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.0195
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.9805
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0255
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.9745
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0260
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9745
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0255
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.9745
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0250
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9750
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0250
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.9750
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0115
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9905
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0110
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9895
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0100
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9905
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9905
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.9905
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9905
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.9905
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0095
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9905
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0090
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9910
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0080
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9920
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9965
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9975
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.9975
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0045
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9955
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0050
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.9950
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0050
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9950
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0050
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.9950
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0050
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.9950
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0050
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9945
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0045
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9960
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0040
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9965
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0035
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.9960
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0035
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9965
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0040
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9945
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0055
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9945
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0055
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9945
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0055
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.9945
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0055
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.9945
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0055
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.9945
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.0055
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0055
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.9945
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0055
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.9945
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0055
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.9945
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0055
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9945
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0055
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.9945
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0055
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.9960
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0040
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.9965
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0055
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.9950
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0045
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9945
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0040
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9960
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9950
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0050
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9945
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0065
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9970
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0030
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9970
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0030
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9945
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0070
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9945
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0050
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9935
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0060
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9935
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0045
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9955
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0045
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9965
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9960
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9960
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0045
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.9960
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0040
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9955
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0045
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9950
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0045
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9960
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0045
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9955
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0045
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9955
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.9950
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.0065
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.9930
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0075
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.0075
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.9930
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0060
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.9945
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.0055
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.9940
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0055
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9920
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.0100
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9930
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.0090
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9935
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0060
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9940
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0060
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.9940
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0065
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.9940
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9920
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0070
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.9925
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.0075
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.9935
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.0060
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9935
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.0065
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.9940
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0030
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9970
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.0050
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.9955
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0045
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9955
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0045
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0045
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.9955
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0045
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9955
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0045
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9955
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0045
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9955
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0045
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.9955
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0045
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9955
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9945
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0030
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9970
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.0030
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9970
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0030
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9975
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.0030
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.9970
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0040
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9960
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0040
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.9960
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0040
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9960
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9960
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0040
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.0040
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9960
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0040
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.9960
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9945
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9940
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0060
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.9980
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.9980
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0035
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.9965
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.9965
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0035
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.9935
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.9940
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9940
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0055
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.9945
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0060
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.9940
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0015
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9985
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999898, Buy volume: 85139299.11, Sell volume: 53704328.50, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 75981.94, Sell volume: 3352.20, Average price: 0.6871, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 81878.54, Sell volume: 2886.73, Average price: 0.1162, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.4200
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.9690
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0160
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.9810
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.0195
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.9725
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0210
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.9780
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.0220
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.9780
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0185
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.9825
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.0185
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.9830
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.0170
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.9810
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.0185
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.9800
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0200
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.9815
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0200
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.9800
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.0250
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.9800
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.0235
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.9765
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0225
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.9775
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0225
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.0225
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9765
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.0235
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.9750
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.0245
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.9755
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0260
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.9760
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0245
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.9755
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0250
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.9755
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.0245
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9750
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0245
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.9750
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0250
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.9760
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0245
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9760
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.0235
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.9770
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0240
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.9765
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.0235
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9770
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0260
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9740
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.0270
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0250
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.9745
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.0250
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.9745
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0250
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9745
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0260
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.9805
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0195
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9805
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0195
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9805
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0255
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9745
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0255
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.9750
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0250
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.9850
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0105
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9900
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0105
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9905
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0095
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.9905
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0095
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9905
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0095
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9910
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0090
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9975
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0045
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9950
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0050
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9950
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0050
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9950
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0050
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9945
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0040
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9965
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.9960
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0040
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9955
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0055
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.9945
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0055
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.9945
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.0055
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0055
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.9945
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0055
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.9945
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0055
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.9945
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0055
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.9960
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0035
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.9950
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0045
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9960
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9950
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0040
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.9935
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0030
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9970
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.9935
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0070
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9930
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0065
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9955
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9960
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0040
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9955
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0040
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9955
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0040
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9955
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0045
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0050
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.9930
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0075
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9930
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0065
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.9945
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0055
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9920
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.0085
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.9935
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.0060
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.9940
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0060
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9925
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0070
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.9930
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.0065
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9935
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0030
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9950
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0045
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0045
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.9955
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0045
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.9955
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0045
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9955
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.0045
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9955
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0055
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0030
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9970
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0030
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9975
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0030
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0040
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.9960
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0040
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9965
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0035
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.9960
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9960
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0040
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9960
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.9960
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9960
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9940
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9970
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9980
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.9980
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.9965
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.9965
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.0065
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.9940
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.9940
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.0055
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 85297159.59, Sell volume: 53710726.15, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999898, Buy volume: 85139299.11, Sell volume: 53704328.50, Average price: 0.9681, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 75981.94, Sell volume: 3352.20, Average price: 0.6871, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516795
Question: Will AOC win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 3261514.534523
Price History:
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 81878.54, Sell volume: 2886.73, Average price: 0.1162, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.1000
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9000
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0600
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.9400
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0450
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.9550
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0450
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9550
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0450
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9550
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0450
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.9550
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0550
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9450
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0500
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.9500
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0500
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.9500
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0450
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.9550
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.0400
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9600
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0350
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9650
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0360
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.9640
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.0355
2025-07-16 13:00: 0.9645
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0360
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.9640
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0365
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1698.40, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.4399, Price range: 0.0399 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9635
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0350
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9650
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0350
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9650
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0355
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9645
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0350
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9650
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0365
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9635
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0355
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9645
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0345
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9655
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0335
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9665
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0340
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9660
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0330
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9670
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0330
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9670
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0335
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9665
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0310
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9690
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0310
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9690
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0310
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9690
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0305
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9695
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0310
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9690
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0310
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9690
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0310
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9690
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0375
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9625
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0315
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9685
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0330
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.9670
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0315
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9685
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0320
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9680
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1348.16, Sell volume: 165.00, Average price: 0.2862, Price range: 0.0357 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0335
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.9665
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0340
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.9660
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0345
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9655
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0340
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9660
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0350
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9650
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9670
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0335
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9665
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0345
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9655
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0335
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9665
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0340
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9660
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0345
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9655
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0310
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9690
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0350
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9650
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0375
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9625
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0360
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9640
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0285
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9715
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0285
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9715
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0285
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9715
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0285
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9715
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0285
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9715
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0350
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9650
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0350
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9650
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0345
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9655
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0335
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9665
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.0335
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 2468.17, Sell volume: 49.99, Average price: 0.2715, Price range: 0.0319 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9675
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9675
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 04:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0335
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9665
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0335
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.9665
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.9675
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9675
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0325
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9675
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0335
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.9665
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9670
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0350
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9650
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0350
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9650
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0350
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9650
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0350
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9650
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0355
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9645
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0355
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9645
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 484.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6631, Price range: 0.0432 - 0.9730

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0355
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9645
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0365
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9635
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0350
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9650
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0360
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9640
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0385
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9615
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0375
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9625
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0375
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9625
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0385
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9615
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0380
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9620
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0380
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9620
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0370
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9630
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0380
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9620
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0345
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9655
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0350
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9650
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0345
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.9655
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0340
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9660
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0340
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.9660
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0340
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.9660
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0335
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9665
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0335
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9665
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0330
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.9670
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0335
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9665
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0335
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9665
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0335
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.9665
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0340
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1008.46, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.5970, Price range: 0.0299 - 0.9720

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.9650
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0350
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9650
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0435
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.9565
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0450
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9550
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0450
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9550
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0455
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9545
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0440
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.9560
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0435
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.9565
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0475
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.9525
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0470
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9530
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0470
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9530
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0475
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.9525
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0475
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.9525
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0475
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9525
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0475
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9525
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0475
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.9525
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0480
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9520
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0470
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.9530
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0470
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9530
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0470
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9530
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0475
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.9525
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0475
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.9525
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0470
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9530
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0480
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.9520
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.0470
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.9530
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 2498.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5710, Price range: 0.0458 - 0.9620

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0455
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9545
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0445
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.9555
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0445
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.9555
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0440
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.9560
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0435
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.9565
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0435
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.9565
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0425
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.9575
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.0435
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.9565
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0430
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9570
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0435
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.9565
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0430
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.9570
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0430
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.9570
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0425
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9575
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0430
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.9570
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0425
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.9575
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.0430
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.9570
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0425
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.9575
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.0425
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.9575
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.0430
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.9570
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0425
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.9575
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0425
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.9575
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.0430
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.9570
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.0430
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.9570
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0455
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9545
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.0460
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.9540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 26.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0526, Price range: 0.0526 - 0.0526

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.9545
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0460
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.9540
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0455
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.9545
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0455
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9545
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0455
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.9545
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.0445
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.9555
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.0440
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.9560
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0445
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.9555
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0440
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.9560
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0445
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.9555
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0440
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.9560
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0445
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.9555
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0440
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.9560
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0445
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.9555
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0440
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.9560
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.0445
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.9555
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0440
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.9560
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0445
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9555
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.0435
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.9565
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0400
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.9600
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0390
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.9610
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.0380
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.9620
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.0380
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.9620
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0380
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.9620
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0375
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.9625
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1760.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8113, Price range: 0.0432 - 0.9650

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0375
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.9625
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0380
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9620
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0385
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.9615
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0390
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.9610
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0390
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.9610
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.0395
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.9605
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0390
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.9610
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0375
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.9625
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.0375
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.9625
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0375
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.9625
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0375
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.9625
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.0375
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.9625
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0370
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.9630
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.0375
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.9625
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0370
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.9630
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.0375
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.9625
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.0375
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9625
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.0370
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9630
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0375
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.9625
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0375
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.9625
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0380
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.9620
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0380
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.9620
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.0380
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.9620
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.0385
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.9615
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.0385
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 4560.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5019, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9657

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.9665
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0340
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.9660
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0340
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.9660
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0325
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.9675
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.0350
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9650
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0345
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.9655
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0360
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.9640
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.0340
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.9660
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.0345
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.9655
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0350
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.9650
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0365
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.9635
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.0355
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.9645
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0410
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.9590
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0380
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.9620
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.0380
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.9620
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0380
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.9620
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0370
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.9630
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0390
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.9610
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.0400
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.9600
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0405
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.9595
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0410
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9590
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0430
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.9570
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.0420
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.9580
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.0430
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.9570
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.0435
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.9565
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1150.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.0407 - 0.9718

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0410
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.9590
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0415
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.9585
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0425
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.9575
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0410
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.9590
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.0425
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.9575
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0425
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.9575
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0415
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.9585
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.0420
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9580
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0430
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.9570
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0420
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.9580
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0425
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9575
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.0425
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.9575
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0440
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.9560
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.9555
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0445
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.9555
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.9550
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.0455
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.9545
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.0455
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.9545
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0455
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.9545
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0455
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.9545
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.0465
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.9535
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0475
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.9525
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.0470
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.9530
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.0420
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.9580
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.0380
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 2511.26, Sell volume: 80.43, Average price: 0.6275, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9667

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.9635
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.0360
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.9640
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0355
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.9645
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0355
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9645
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.0405
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.9595
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.0435
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.9565
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0425
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.9575
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.0435
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9565
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.0405
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.9595
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0405
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.9595
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0400
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.9600
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.0415
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.9585
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0430
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.9570
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0415
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.9585
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.0415
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.9585
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0425
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.9575
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.0410
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9590
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.0430
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.9570
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0375
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.9625
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.0305
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.9695
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0295
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.9705
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0290
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.9710
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0275
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.9725
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0260
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.9740
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0250
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.9750
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3657.76, Sell volume: 1258.53, Average price: 0.6921, Price range: 0.0224 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563712
Question: Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59119.302806
Price History:
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.0260
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.9740
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.0285
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.9715
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0260
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.9740
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0255
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9745
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.0250
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.9750
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.0260
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.9740
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0255
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9745
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.0255
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.9745
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0255
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.9745
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0260
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.9740
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.0255
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.9745
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0260
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.9740
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.0260
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9740
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.0155
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.9845
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0155
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.9845
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.0155
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.9845
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0155
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.9845
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0155
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.9845
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0155
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.9845
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.9845
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0155
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.9845
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.0170
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9830
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.0220
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.9780
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0215
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.9785
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.0225
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 25395.82, Sell volume: 1701.46, Average price: 0.6739, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9850

Output: Yes