Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 54140.00, Sell volume: 231.94, Average price: 0.1771, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.7000
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.3050
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.6950
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.7000
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.7000
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.7000
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.7000
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.2950
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.7050
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.2950
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.7050
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9550
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0750
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9250
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9300
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9300
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9300
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9300
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0750
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9250
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.1200
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1004.64, Sell volume: 614.07, Average price: 0.5966, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0850
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9150
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0750
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9300
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9350
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9350
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9350
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9400
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9400
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9400
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9400
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9400
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9400
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9400
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9400
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 218, Buy volume: 24068.66, Sell volume: 1101.79, Average price: 0.8124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9350
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9350
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9350
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9350
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 323.35, Sell volume: 1.27, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9350
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9350
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9350
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 218, Buy volume: 24068.66, Sell volume: 1101.79, Average price: 0.8124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9300
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0600
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9400
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9350
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9350
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9350
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 148.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9550
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9550
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9550
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9550
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9550
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9550
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9550
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9550
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0400
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9600
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0330
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9670
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0325
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9675
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0320
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9680
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0325
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9675
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0305
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9695
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0310
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9690
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0295
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9705
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0315
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9685
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0360
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9640
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0390
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9610
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9645
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0385
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9615
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0380
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9620
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0380
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9620
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0490
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9510
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0530
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9470
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1954.40, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.7301, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0405
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9595
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0405
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9595
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0335
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9665
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0360
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9640
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0395
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9605
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0435
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9565
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9150
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0750
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9250
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0765
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9235
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0745
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9255
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0910
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9090
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0810
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9190
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0475
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9525
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0415
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9585
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9645
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9645
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9645
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9645
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0325
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9675
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0330
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9670
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0325
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9675
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0325
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9675
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0335
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9665
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0330
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 616.36, Sell volume: 196.90, Average price: 0.7185, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9650

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.1040
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.8960
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9200
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0865
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9135
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9150
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0665
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9335
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0785
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9215
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0860
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9140
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0720
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9280
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.1020
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.8980
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1050
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.8950
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.1005
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.8995
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.1025
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.8975
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0995
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9005
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.1020
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.8980
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.1020
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.8980
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.1040
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.8960
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0965
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9035
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0995
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9005
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.1010
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.8990
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.8950
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.1385
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.8615
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9370, Price range: 0.9370 - 0.9370

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.1010
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.8990
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.1055
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.8945
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0900
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9100
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0980
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9020
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.1065
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.8935
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0985
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9015
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.1030
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.8970
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0885
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9115
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0885
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9115
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.1065
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.8935
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0945
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9055
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.1045
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.8955
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0865
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9135
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0835
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9165
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9150
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0845
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9155
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0870
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9130
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0870
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9130
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0865
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9135
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0865
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9135
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0865
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9135
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0860
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9140
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0865
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9135
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0865
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9350, Price range: 0.9350 - 0.9350

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0815
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9185
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0815
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9185
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0815
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9185
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0820
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9180
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0815
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9185
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0820
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9180
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0815
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9185
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0820
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9180
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0815
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9185
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0820
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9180
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0820
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9180
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0815
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9185
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0820
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9180
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0805
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9195
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0740
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9260
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0745
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9255
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0745
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9255
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0745
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9255
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0745
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9255
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0745
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9255
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0745
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9255
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0740
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9260
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0745
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9255
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0780
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9220
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0775
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 95.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9350, Price range: 0.9350 - 0.9350

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0840
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9160
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0840
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9160
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0830
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9170
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0830
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9170
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0815
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9185
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0825
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9175
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0810
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9190
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0815
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9185
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9200
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0795
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9205
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0825
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9175
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0810
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9190
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0815
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9185
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9200
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0830
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9170
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0830
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9170
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0830
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9170
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0830
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9170
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0845
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9155
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0845
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9155
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0840
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9160
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0840
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9160
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0845
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9155
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0850
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9150
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0840
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 218, Buy volume: 24068.66, Sell volume: 1101.79, Average price: 0.8124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0810
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9190
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0745
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9255
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0760
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9240
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0750
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9250
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0760
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9240
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0765
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9235
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0820
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9180
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0815
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9185
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0810
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9190
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0815
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9185
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0805
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9195
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0815
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9185
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0810
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9190
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9200
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0805
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9195
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0765
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9235
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0765
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9235
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0770
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9230
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0765
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9235
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0765
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9235
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0775
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9225
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0770
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9230
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0770
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9230
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0765
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9235
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0760
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 18886.63, Sell volume: 119.55, Average price: 0.8840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.4850
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.9765
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0195
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.9620
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.0375
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.9535
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.1190
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.8445
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.1315
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.8480
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.1220
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.8745
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.1400
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.8680
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.2255
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.8890
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.1120
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.9225
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0765
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.9210
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0785
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.9215
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.0775
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.9520
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.0475
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.9630
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0400
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.9635
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0450
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.0455
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9550
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.0445
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.9605
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.0325
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.9675
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0325
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.9675
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0325
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.9675
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0325
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.9675
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.0325
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9675
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0325
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.9675
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0325
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.9675
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0325
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9675
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.0325
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.9675
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0325
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.9675
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.0325
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9675
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0325
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9685
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.0315
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0315
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.9685
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.0305
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.9695
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0305
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9695
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0305
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.8720
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.1170
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.8845
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.1185
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.8780
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.1230
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.8795
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.1600
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.8990
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0970
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.9180
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0825
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9075
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0875
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9290
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0685
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.9300
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0520
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9595
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0435
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9545
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0450
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9580
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0420
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9575
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0395
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9605
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0380
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.9620
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0370
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9640
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0355
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9635
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0365
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9635
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0620
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9605
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0400
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9610
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0390
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9600
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0395
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9610
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0720
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.9415
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0580
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9300
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0665
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.9515
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0415
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.9585
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.0480
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0385
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.9635
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0305
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.9790
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0210
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.9795
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0190
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.9855
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0125
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.9870
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0160
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9840
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0155
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9840
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0155
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.9845
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0150
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9850
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0150
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.9880
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0150
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9865
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0120
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9885
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0110
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0105
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9890
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0115
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0105
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9915
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0095
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9895
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0105
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.9895
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0105
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9900
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0105
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.9900
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0100
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9900
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.0110
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.9905
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.0095
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.9905
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9900
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.0085
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9925
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.9890
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.0100
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9890
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0085
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9915
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0095
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0095
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.9905
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0095
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.9905
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0095
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.0070
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9925
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0075
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.0040
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.9960
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0040
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.9955
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9955
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9955
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9965
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0035
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9965
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9965
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0035
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0035
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9965
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9965
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9965
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9965
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.9965
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9965
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0035
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0030
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.9930
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0070
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.9935
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.0065
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 54063420.54, Sell volume: 57504035.91, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999704, Buy volume: 53972058.90, Sell volume: 57467171.76, Average price: 0.9816, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9985
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 255, Buy volume: 37119.64, Sell volume: 35998.12, Average price: 0.9362, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516790
Question: Will Jumaane Williams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 748824.927638
Price History:
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 54140.00, Sell volume: 231.94, Average price: 0.1771, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.3050
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.2950
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.2950
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0750
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0700
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0750
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.1200
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.1500
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.1050
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.1350
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1004.64, Sell volume: 614.07, Average price: 0.5966, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0850
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0750
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0700
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0600
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 218, Buy volume: 24068.66, Sell volume: 1101.79, Average price: 0.8124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 323.35, Sell volume: 1.27, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 218, Buy volume: 24068.66, Sell volume: 1101.79, Average price: 0.8124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0700
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0600
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0600
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0600
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 148.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0400
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0330
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0325
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0320
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0325
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0305
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0310
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0295
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0315
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0360
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0390
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0355
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0385
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0380
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0380
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0490
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0530
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0535
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0530
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0465
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0460
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1954.40, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.7301, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0405
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0405
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0335
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0360
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0395
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0435
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0850
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0750
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0765
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0745
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0910
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0810
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0475
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0415
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0355
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0325
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0330
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0325
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0325
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0335
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0330
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0335
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0330
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0535
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0535
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0470
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 616.36, Sell volume: 196.90, Average price: 0.7185, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.1040
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0800
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0865
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0850
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0665
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0785
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0860
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0720
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.1020
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.1050
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.1005
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.1025
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0995
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.1020
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.1020
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.1040
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0965
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0995
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.1010
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.1050
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.1385
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.1400
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.1355
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.1370
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.1380
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.1380
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.1370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9370, Price range: 0.9370 - 0.9370
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.1010
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.1055
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0900
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.1050
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0980
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.1065
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0985
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.1030
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0885
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0885
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.1065
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0945
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.1045
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0865
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0835
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0850
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0845
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0870
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0870
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0865
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0865
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0865
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0860
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0865
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0865
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0870
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0865
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0865
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0855
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9350, Price range: 0.9350 - 0.9350
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0815
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0815
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0815
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0820
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0815
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0820
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0815
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0820
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0815
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0820
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0820
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0815
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0820
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0805
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0740
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0745
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0745
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0745
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0745
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0745
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0745
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0740
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0745
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0780
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0775
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0765
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0760
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0780
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0780
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 95.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9350, Price range: 0.9350 - 0.9350
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0840
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0840
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0830
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0830
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0815
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0825
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0810
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0815
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0800
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0795
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0825
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0810
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0815
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0800
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0830
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0830
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0830
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0830
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0845
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0845
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0840
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0840
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0845
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0850
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0840
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0845
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0850
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0840
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0845
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 218, Buy volume: 24068.66, Sell volume: 1101.79, Average price: 0.8124, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535728
Question: Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 25170.452622
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0810
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0745
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0760
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0750
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0760
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0765
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0820
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0815
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0810
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0815
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0805
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0815
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0810
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0800
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0805
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0765
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0765
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0770
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0765
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0765
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0775
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0770
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0770
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0765
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0760
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0755
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0755
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0755
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 18886.63, Sell volume: 119.55, Average price: 0.8840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.2950
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.7050
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.7000
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.7000
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.7000
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.7000
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.7000
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.3050
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.6950
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.3050
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.6950
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.3000
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.7000
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9550
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9550
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9550
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9550
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.1000
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2834.69, Sell volume: 71.07, Average price: 0.6894, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9350
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9350
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9350
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9350
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9350
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9350
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9350
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9350
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9350
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9350
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9350
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9350
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203, Buy volume: 23833.48, Sell volume: 2899.33, Average price: 0.8580, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9350
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9350
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9350
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9350
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9350
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203, Buy volume: 23833.48, Sell volume: 2899.33, Average price: 0.8580, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9350
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9350
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9350
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203, Buy volume: 23833.48, Sell volume: 2899.33, Average price: 0.8580, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9350
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9350
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9400
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9400
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9450
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 121.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9400
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9550
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9600
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0400
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 902.51, Sell volume: 168.34, Average price: 0.8341, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0185
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9815
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0300
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9700
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0200
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9800
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0215
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9785
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0200
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9800
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9790
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0205
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9795
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0155
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9845
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9855
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9850
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0190
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9810
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0175
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9825
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0175
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9825
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0200
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9800
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0165
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9835
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9865
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9865
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9855
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0190
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9810
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0160
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9840
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9850
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9840
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9865
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 479.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8676, Price range: 0.0188 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0180
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9820
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0175
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9825
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0205
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9795
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0165
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9835
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0205
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9795
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0185
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9815
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0185
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9815
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0185
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9815
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0180
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9820
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0205
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9795
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0185
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9815
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0200
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9800
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0190
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9810
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0195
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9805
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0200
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9800
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0190
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9810
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0175
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9825
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0185
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9815
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9840
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0180
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9820
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0175
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9825
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9835
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9840
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9850
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0200
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0200, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.0200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9810
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0180
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9820
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0180
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9820
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0185
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9815
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9825
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9825
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9805
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0185
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9815
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9825
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9830
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9825
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0165
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9835
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9810
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9830
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9805
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9870
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0110
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9890
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9865
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0115
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9885
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9880
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9910
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0115
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9885
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203, Buy volume: 23833.48, Sell volume: 2899.33, Average price: 0.8580, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9925
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9920
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9910
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0115
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9885
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9855
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9835
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9855
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0110
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9890
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9920
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9925
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9910
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0080
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9920
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2001.37, Average price: 0.0016, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.0016

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9925
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9925
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9935
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0060
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9940
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9945
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 18345.55, Sell volume: 658.55, Average price: 0.9008, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.2950
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.3050
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.3050
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.3000
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.1000
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.1150
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.1300
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0850
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0900
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2834.69, Sell volume: 71.07, Average price: 0.6894, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203, Buy volume: 23833.48, Sell volume: 2899.33, Average price: 0.8580, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203, Buy volume: 23833.48, Sell volume: 2899.33, Average price: 0.8580, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203, Buy volume: 23833.48, Sell volume: 2899.33, Average price: 0.8580, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0650
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0650
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0600
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0550
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 121.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0600
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0450
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0400
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0400
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0400
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0400
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 902.51, Sell volume: 168.34, Average price: 0.8341, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0185
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0300
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0200
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0215
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0200
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0205
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0155
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0190
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0175
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0175
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0200
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0165
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0145
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0190
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0160
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0135
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0140
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0155
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0150
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0155
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 479.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8676, Price range: 0.0188 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0180
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0175
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0205
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0165
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0205
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0185
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0185
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0185
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0180
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0205
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0185
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0200
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0190
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0195
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0200
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0190
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0175
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0185
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0180
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0175
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0200
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0175
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0170
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0160
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0170
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0200, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.0200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0180
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0180
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0185
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0185
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0165
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0130
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0110
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0135
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0115
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0115
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0135
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0110
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0125
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 203, Buy volume: 23833.48, Sell volume: 2899.33, Average price: 0.8580, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0115
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0145
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0110
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0075
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9880, Price range: 0.9880 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0090
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0080
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2001.37, Average price: 0.0016, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.0016
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535729
Question: Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 26732.809588
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0065
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0060
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0055
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 18345.55, Sell volume: 658.55, Average price: 0.9008, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.7500
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.7500
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.7500
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.7450
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.7450
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.7500
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.7450
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.9350
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 137.57, Sell volume: 49.71, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0265
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.9735
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0260
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9740
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0260
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9740
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0255
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9745
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0255
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9745
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0255
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9745
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0255
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9745
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0255
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9745
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0255
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9745
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0255
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9745
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0260
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9740
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0260
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9740
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0260
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9740
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0305
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9695
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0285
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9715
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0270
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9730
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0275
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9725
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0270
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9730
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0310
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9690
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0270
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9730
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0275
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9725
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0270
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9730
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0265
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9735
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0305
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9695
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0310
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.20, Average price: 0.9590, Price range: 0.9590 - 0.9590

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0270
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9730
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0270
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9730
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0270
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9730
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0270
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9730
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0265
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.9735
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0265
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.9735
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0265
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.9735
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0260
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9740
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0265
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9735
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0260
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9740
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0265
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.9735
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9745
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9745
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9745
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9745
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9745
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9745
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9745
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9745
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9745
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0260
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9740
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0260
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9740
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0260
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9740
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0265
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9735
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0265
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 255, Buy volume: 21005.61, Sell volume: 6847.56, Average price: 0.7874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0165
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9835
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9840
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0190
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9810
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0170
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9830
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0170
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.9830
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9830
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0165
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9835
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0190
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9810
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0165
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9835
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9840
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0160
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9840
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9840
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0165
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9835
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9805
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0200
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9800
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0190
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9810
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0195
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9805
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0210
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9790
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0200
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9800
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0185
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9815
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0190
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9810
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0190
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9810
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0215
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9785
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0215
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9785
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0210
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 255, Buy volume: 21005.61, Sell volume: 6847.56, Average price: 0.7874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0185
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9815
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0185
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9815
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9805
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0180
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9820
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0160
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9840
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0165
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9835
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0165
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9835
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9795
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0175
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9825
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0175
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9825
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0175
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9825
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0190
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9810
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0180
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9820
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0170
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.9830
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0170
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.9830
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0175
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9825
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0195
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9805
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0165
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9835
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0175
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9825
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0170
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9830
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0155
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9845
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0155
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9845
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0155
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9845
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0165
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9835
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 8.66, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0180
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9820
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0180
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9820
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9820
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0180
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9820
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0175
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9825
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9830
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.9830
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9830
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9830
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9830
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9830
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9830
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9830
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9830
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9830
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9830
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9830
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9830
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0170
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9830
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9830
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0170
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9830
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0170
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9830
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0170
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9830
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9840
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0155
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 279.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8499, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9890

Output: Yes