Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.2600
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.7400
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.7400
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.2600
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.7350
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.2650
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.2600
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.7400
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.2600
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.7400
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.2550
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.2600
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.7400
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.7650
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.2350
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.7650
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.2350
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.2750
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.7250
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.2350
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.7650
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.8050
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.1950
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.2700
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.2700
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.2700
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.2700
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.2700
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.7450
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.2550
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.2400
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 286, Buy volume: 173337.07, Sell volume: 29885.30, Average price: 0.7826, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.7650
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.2350
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.7650
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.2350
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.7100
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.2900
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.2900
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.7100
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.2900
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.7100
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.3450
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.3450
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.3650
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.6350
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.6350
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.3650
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.3700
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.6300
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.3750
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.6250
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.7250
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.2750
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.2800
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.7200
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.7150
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.2850
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.2450
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.7550
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.2450
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.7350
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.2650
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.7400
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.2600
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.7350
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.6900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.7350
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.2650
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.7600
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.2400
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.3150
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.3150
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.3150
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.3150
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.3150
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.3150
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.3200
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.6800
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.3200
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.6800
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 286, Buy volume: 173337.07, Sell volume: 29885.30, Average price: 0.7826, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.6700
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.3300
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.4450
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.5550
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.4300
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.5700
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.4400
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.5600
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.4700
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.5300
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.5250
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.4750
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.5400
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 391.59, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5507, Price range: 0.5115 - 0.5900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.5100
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.4900
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.5050
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.4950
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.4800
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.5200
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.4600
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.5400
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.4850
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.5150
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.5350
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.4650
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.5250
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.4750
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4650
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.5350
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.5800
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.4200
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.5900
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.4100
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.4300
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.5700
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.4400
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.5600
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.5550
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.4450
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.5500
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.4500
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.5800
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.4200
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.5950
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.4050
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.3850
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.6150
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.6250
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.3750
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.3700
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.6300
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.3800
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.6200
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.3850
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 182.82, Sell volume: 27.27, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.6450
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.3550
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.6650
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.3350
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.3300
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.6700
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.6700
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.3300
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.6700
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.3300
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7200
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.2800
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.7200
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.2800
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.7200
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2800
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.2300
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.6050
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.3950
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.5850
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.4150
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.5550
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.4450
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.4400
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1361.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6168, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.6400
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.3600
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.6400
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.3600
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.6500
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.3500
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.6650
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.3350
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.6650
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.3350
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.3350
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.6650
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.6800
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.3200
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.6800
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.3200
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.6900
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.3100
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.6900
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.3100
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.3000
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.3000
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.7100
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.2900
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.7100
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.2900
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.2800
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.7200
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.7250
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.2750
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.2900
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.7100
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.7100
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.2900
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.3300
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.6700
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.3700
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.6300
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.3900
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 362.99, Sell volume: 18.87, Average price: 0.4884, Price range: 0.3914 - 0.7782

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.4600
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.5400
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.6650
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.3350
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.3350
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.6650
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.3950
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.6050
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.6150
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.3850
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.3550
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.6450
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.6800
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.3200
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.3450
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.6550
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.4100
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.5900
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.4300
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.5700
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.4100
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.5900
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.4850
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.5150
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.4800
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.5200
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.5650
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.4350
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.4400
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.5600
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.5100
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.4900
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.4800
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.4600
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.5400
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.4600
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.5400
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.4300
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.5700
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.3350
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1440.28, Sell volume: 131.89, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6927

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.3900
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.6100
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.6350
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.6400
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.3600
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.7400
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.7150
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.2850
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.1750
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0800
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0600
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9400
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9400
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0600
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9400
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0600
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0250
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9750
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9550
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0450
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9660
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0340
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9680
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.0320
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9760
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0240
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9860
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0140
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.9860
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0140
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0135
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9865
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9790
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 34783.01, Sell volume: 110.57, Average price: 0.7412, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9835
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0165
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9850
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0150
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0125
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9875
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9750
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9905
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0095
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0060
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9940
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0055
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 86968.04, Sell volume: 21462.27, Average price: 0.8886, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 46016.16, Sell volume: 8079.49, Average price: 0.9189, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 49.94, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.5750
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.4250
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.6150
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.3850
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.6150
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.3850
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.6950
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.3050
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.3050
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.6950
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.6900
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.3100
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.7100
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.2900
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.7650
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.2350
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.2300
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.2700
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.7300
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.7300
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.2700
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.2700
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.7300
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.7300
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.7350
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.2650
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.2700
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 286, Buy volume: 173337.07, Sell volume: 29885.30, Average price: 0.7826, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.2600
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.7400
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.7400
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.2600
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.7350
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.2650
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.2600
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.7400
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.2600
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.7400
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.7450
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.2550
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.2600
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.7400
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.7650
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.2350
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.7650
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.2350
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.2750
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.7250
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.2350
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.7650
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.8050
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.1950
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.2700
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 286, Buy volume: 173337.07, Sell volume: 29885.30, Average price: 0.7826, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.7650
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.2350
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.7650
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.2350
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.7100
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.2900
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.2900
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.7100
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.2900
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.7100
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.3450
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.3450
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.3650
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.6350
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.6350
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.3650
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.3700
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.6300
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.3750
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.6250
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.7250
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.2750
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.2800
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.7350
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.2650
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.7600
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.2400
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.3150
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.3150
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.3150
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.3150
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.3150
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.3150
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.6850
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 286, Buy volume: 173337.07, Sell volume: 29885.30, Average price: 0.7826, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.6700
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 391.59, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5507, Price range: 0.5115 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.5100
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.4900
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.5050
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.4950
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.4800
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.5200
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.4600
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.5400
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.4850
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.5150
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.5350
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.4650
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.5250
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.4750
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4650
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.5350
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.5800
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.4200
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.5900
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.4100
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.4300
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.5700
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.4400
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.5600
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.5550
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.4450
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.5500
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.4500
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.5800
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 182.82, Sell volume: 27.27, Average price: 0.6075, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.6450
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.3550
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.6650
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.3350
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.3300
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.6700
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.6700
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.3300
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.6700
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.3300
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7200
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.2800
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.7200
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.2800
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.7200
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2800
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.2300
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1361.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6168, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.6400
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.3600
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.6400
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.3600
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.6500
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.3500
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.6650
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.3350
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.6650
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.3350
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.3350
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.6650
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.6800
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.3200
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.6800
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.3200
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.6900
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.3100
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.6900
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.3100
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.3000
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.7000
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.3000
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.7100
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.2900
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.7100
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.2900
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.2800
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 362.99, Sell volume: 18.87, Average price: 0.4884, Price range: 0.3914 - 0.7782
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.4600
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.5400
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.6650
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.3350
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.3350
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.6650
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.3950
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.6050
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.6150
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.3850
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.3550
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.6450
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.6800
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.3200
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.3450
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.6550
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.4100
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.5900
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.4300
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.5700
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.4100
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.5900
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.4850
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.5150
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.4800
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.5200
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.5650
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.4350
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.4400
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1440.28, Sell volume: 131.89, Average price: 0.5205, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.6927
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.3900
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.6100
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.6350
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.6400
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.3600
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.7400
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.7150
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.2850
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.8250
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.1750
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0800
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9200
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0600
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9400
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9400
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0600
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9400
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0600
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0350
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9650
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.0250
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.9750
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9550
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0450
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9660
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 34783.01, Sell volume: 110.57, Average price: 0.7412, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9835
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0165
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9850
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0150
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.0125
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9875
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9750
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9905
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.0095
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0060
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9940
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0055
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 86968.04, Sell volume: 21462.27, Average price: 0.8886, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 46016.16, Sell volume: 8079.49, Average price: 0.9189, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 580508
Question: WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Volume: 203222.373759
Price History:
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.9990
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 49.94, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.6950
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.7550
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.6900
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.6950
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.7250
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.7850
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.7950
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.8000
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.7900
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.7750
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.7300
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.7500
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.7900
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.8150
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.7850
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.7850
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.7950
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.7950
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.8000
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.8000
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.8000
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.8000
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.8050
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.8000
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.8050
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.7650
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.7500
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.7450
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.7500
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.7450
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.7500
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.7450
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.7500
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.7500
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 2612.69, Sell volume: 1162.99, Average price: 0.5187, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.2250
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.2250
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.2350
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.2400
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.2450
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.2400
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2400
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.2450
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.2450
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.2450
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.2550
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.2500
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.2500
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.2500
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.2450
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.2450
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.2450
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.2450
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 642.54, Sell volume: 126.49, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.7550
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.7500
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.7500
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.7550
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.7500
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.7500
2025-03-17 22:00: 0.5950
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.6000
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.5650
2025-03-18 16:00: 0.6500
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.6050
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.6200
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.6950
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.6950
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.6900
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.6950
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.7000
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.8900
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9000
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.9150
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9150
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.8900
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.8850
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.8850
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.8900
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.8900
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.8650
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.8650
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.7900
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.7850
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.7900
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.7900
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.7850
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.7850
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.7800
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.7800
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.7800
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.7800
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.7700
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.7700
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.7600
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.7600
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.7650
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.7750
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.7650
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.7600
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.7750
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2327.65, Sell volume: 1037.76, Average price: 0.4926, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.2400
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.2400
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.2350
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.2350
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.2350
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.2250
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.2200
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.2200
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.2150
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.2150
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0570
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.0520
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0540
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.0510
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0440
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0365
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.0355
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.0395
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.0410
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0525
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.0465
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.0470
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.0460
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0490
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0490
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.0470
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.0440
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0390
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.0365
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0390
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.0405
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0375
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.0390
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.0365
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0395
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0380
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0365
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0360
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0385
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0370
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0380
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0405
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0375
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0415
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 1780.54, Sell volume: 981.22, Average price: 0.5367, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.9635
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9675
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9590
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9620
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9635
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.9650
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9645
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9615
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.9620
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.9675
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9615
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9635
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9660
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.9625
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.9645
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9655
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9605
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9640
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9610
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9615
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9635
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9595
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9620
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9610
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9580
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9585
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9590
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9590
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9570
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9560
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9570
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9550
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.9565
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9540
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9570
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9555
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9565
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9570
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9560
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.9545
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9520
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9535
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9560
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9520
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9515
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9530
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9545
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9540
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9535
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 470.33, Sell volume: 89.36, Average price: 0.6445, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0510
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0510
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0490
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0515
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0515
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0510
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0525
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0520
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0475
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0530
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0515
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0470
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0490
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0485
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0520
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0475
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0835
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.1045
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.1070
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.1050
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0985
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1030
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.1030
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.1020
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.1015
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1060
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.1025
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.1045
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.1070
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.1140
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.1120
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.1090
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.1055
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.1050
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.1005
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.1015
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.1040
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.1020
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.1020
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0990
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1030
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1015
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.1100
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.1015
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.1040
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.1075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1883.01, Sell volume: 596.09, Average price: 0.5739, Price range: 0.0560 - 0.9620

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.8930
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.8920
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.8865
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.8930
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.8915
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.8940
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.8900
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.8895
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.8895
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.8855
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.8885
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.8875
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.8885
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.8335
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.8500
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.8615
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.8510
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.8490
2025-05-11 16:00: 0.8545
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.8765
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.8770
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.8770
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.8770
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.8770
2025-05-13 04:00: 0.8770
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.8770
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.8765
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.8770
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.8770
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.8765
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.8770
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.8770
2025-05-15 04:00: 0.8770
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.8760
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.8770
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.8650
2025-05-16 04:00: 0.8570
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.8565
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.8610
2025-05-16 22:00: 0.8520
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.8525
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.8545
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.8515
2025-05-17 22:00: 0.8515
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.8525
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.8515
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.8510
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.8485
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.8530
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.8520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 1121.10, Sell volume: 1208.81, Average price: 0.5871, Price range: 0.1080 - 0.9010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.1400
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.1410
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.1415
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.1355
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.1370
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.1100
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.1060
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.1160
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.1045
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.1055
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.1120
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.1070
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.1645
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.1585
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.1580
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.1515
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.1495
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.1510
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.1480
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.1490
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1495
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.1500
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.1485
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.1465
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.1455
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.1450
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.1450
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.1390
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.1445
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.1435
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.1470
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.1465
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1465
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.1460
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.1420
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.1370
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.1400
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.1405
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.1405
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.1405
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.1400
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.1405
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.1395
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.1455
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.1405
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.1435
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.1385
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.1405
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.1440
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.1465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2563.82, Sell volume: 150.35, Average price: 0.5720, Price range: 0.0910 - 0.9030

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.8570
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.8570
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.8585
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.8555
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.8575
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.8565
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.8585
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.8655
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.8670
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.8675
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.8355
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.8545
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.8530
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.8320
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.8345
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.8345
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.8340
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.8340
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.8325
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.8380
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.8385
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.8380
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.8380
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.8415
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.8390
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.8390
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.8320
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.8305
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.8315
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.8315
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.8465
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.8470
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.8465
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.8460
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.8460
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.8360
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9440
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9420
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.9385
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.9390
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.9375
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.9370
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.9370
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9365
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9360
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.9355
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.9355
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.9365
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.9375
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.9415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 5511.47, Sell volume: 2096.16, Average price: 0.5697, Price range: 0.0570 - 0.9460

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0575
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.0585
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0565
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0645
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0645
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0645
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0725
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0755
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0750
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0765
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0785
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0800
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0785
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0800
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0800
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0810
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0815
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0810
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0810
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0820
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0810
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0815
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0810
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0820
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0820
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0815
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0815
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0820
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0825
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0820
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0820
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0880
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0890
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0875
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0860
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0865
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0875
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.0850
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.0840
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0895
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.0905
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0905
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0870
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0920
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0940
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0880
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0880
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0880
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0875
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 2298.61, Sell volume: 382.06, Average price: 0.5836, Price range: 0.0614 - 0.9220

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.9120
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9125
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9120
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9120
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9120
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9125
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9115
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.9430
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9330
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9460
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.9445
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.9375
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.9320
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.9435
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9355
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9360
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9420
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9430
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9410
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9405
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9420
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9350
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9390
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9385
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.9370
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9335
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9335
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.9385
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9390
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.9385
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.9380
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9405
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.9385
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.9395
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9410
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.9475
2025-07-06 23:00: 0.9470
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9470
2025-07-07 11:00: 0.9430
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9380
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.9385
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9380
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.9390
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9200
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9035
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.9185
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.9295
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.9795
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9780
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140, Buy volume: 11007.58, Sell volume: 2020.77, Average price: 0.7791, Price range: 0.0171 - 0.9820

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0335
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0340
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0345
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0345
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0335
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0335
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0410
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0445
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0590
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0600
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0665
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0695
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0745
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0795
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0960
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0930
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0925
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0955
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0850
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0955
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.1000
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.1030
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.1070
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0975
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0970
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0955
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0955
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0985
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0990
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0980
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0985
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0445
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0425
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0520
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0480
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0510
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0515
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0515
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0510
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0525
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0550
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0585
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0585
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0880
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0875
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.1040
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.1170
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.1125
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.1145
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.1110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 8041.98, Sell volume: 7543.81, Average price: 0.6233, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9690

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.9105
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.9060
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.8960
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.9285
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9325
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.9365
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.9315
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.9090
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.9050
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.8915
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.8885
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.8895
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.8955
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.9000
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.9010
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.9000
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.8910
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.8870
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.8860
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.8865
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.8855
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.8855
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.8860
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.8860
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.8785
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.8785
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.8785
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.8785
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.8865
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.8870
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.8880
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.8905
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.8885
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.8790
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.9175
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.9130
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.9360
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9150
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.9125
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.9130
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.9135
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.9135
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.9185
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.9260
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.9260
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.9355
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.9330
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.9215
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9250
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 292, Buy volume: 238336.91, Sell volume: 19055.65, Average price: 0.5752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.6950
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.6850
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.7500
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.7850
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.7900
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.7850
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.7300
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.7800
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.7850
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.7950
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.7950
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.8000
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.7950
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.8000
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.8000
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.8000
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.8050
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.7650
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.7450
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.7500
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.7450
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 2612.69, Sell volume: 1162.99, Average price: 0.5187, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.2350
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.2400
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.2400
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.2400
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.2450
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.2450
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.2550
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.2550
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.2500
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.2500
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.2500
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.2500
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.2450
2025-03-14 07:00: 0.2450
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.2450
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 642.54, Sell volume: 126.49, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.7550
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.7500
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.7500
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.7500
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.5900
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.6050
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.6200
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.6900
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.6950
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.6950
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.8950
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.9150
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.9000
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.8850
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.8900
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.8650
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.8650
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.7900
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.7900
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.7800
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.7850
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.7800
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.7750
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.7700
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.7600
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.7800
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.7750
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.7600
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 2327.65, Sell volume: 1037.76, Average price: 0.4926, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.2400
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.2400
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.2250
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.2200
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.2150
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0570
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0410
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0505
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0550
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0355
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0395
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0525
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0495
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0435
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0490
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0375
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0390
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0370
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0360
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0380
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0365
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0400
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0375
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0380
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0380
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0375
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 1780.54, Sell volume: 981.22, Average price: 0.5367, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.9635
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9625
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9630
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.9650
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.9660
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.9680
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9615
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.9625
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.9625
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9655
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9625
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.9610
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9635
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9580
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.9600
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9585
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9585
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9605
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9570
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9540
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.9555
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9555
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9565
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9585
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9520
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9515
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9540
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9530
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9520
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 470.33, Sell volume: 89.36, Average price: 0.6445, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0510
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0515
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0510
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0510
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0485
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0480
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0515
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0475
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0470
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0835
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.1025
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.1010
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1030
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.1025
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.1005
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.1025
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.1070
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.1125
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.1090
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.1040
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.1020
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.1040
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1015
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1035
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1015
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.1010
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1883.01, Sell volume: 596.09, Average price: 0.5739, Price range: 0.0560 - 0.9620
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.8930
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.8920
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.8920
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.8940
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.8875
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.8860
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.8885
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.8870
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.8245
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.8615
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.8550
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.8765
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.8770
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.8765
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.8760
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.8770
2025-05-13 20:00: 0.8770
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.8765
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.8770
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.8770
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.8765
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.8650
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.8580
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.8610
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.8525
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.8520
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.8535
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.8515
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.8520
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.8530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 1121.10, Sell volume: 1208.81, Average price: 0.5871, Price range: 0.1080 - 0.9010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.1400
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.1420
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.1355
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.1100
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.1135
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.1045
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.1120
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.1610
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.1545
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.1515
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.1465
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.1490
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1495
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.1480
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.1460
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.1450
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.1420
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.1405
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.1470
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.1460
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.1440
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.1370
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.1400
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.1410
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.1400
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.1415
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.1405
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.1435
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.1405
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.1465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2563.82, Sell volume: 150.35, Average price: 0.5720, Price range: 0.0910 - 0.9030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.8570
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.8580
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.8595
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.8565
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.8655
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.8645
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.8355
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.8555
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.8325
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.8345
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.8365
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.8310
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.8385
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.8390
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.8420
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.8390
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.8310
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.8310
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.8465
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.8465
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.8465
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.8360
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9285
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9385
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.9375
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.9370
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9365
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.9355
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9355
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 5511.47, Sell volume: 2096.16, Average price: 0.5697, Price range: 0.0570 - 0.9460
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.0575
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.0575
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0645
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0645
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0740
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0770
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0785
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0785
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.0800
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.0810
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0810
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0810
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0810
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0810
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0810
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0815
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0810
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0815
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0820
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0890
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0865
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0865
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0870
2025-06-24 14:00: 0.0895
2025-06-25 00:00: 0.0905
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0880
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0950
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0880
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.0880
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 2298.61, Sell volume: 382.06, Average price: 0.5836, Price range: 0.0614 - 0.9220
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.9120
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9120
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.9120
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9125
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9110
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9460
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.9445
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.9375
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.9430
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9360
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9440
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9390
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9420
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.9355
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.9380
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.9335
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9410
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.9395
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.9380
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9375
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.9370
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.9475
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9470
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.9420
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.9385
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9390
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.8945
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.9185
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9515
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140, Buy volume: 11007.58, Sell volume: 2020.77, Average price: 0.7791, Price range: 0.0171 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0335
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0345
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0330
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0335
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0445
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0580
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.0665
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0745
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.1065
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0930
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0925
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0930
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.1000
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.1035
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0980
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0955
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0945
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0995
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0985
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0455
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0520
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0510
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0515
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0515
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0550
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0585
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0905
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.1040
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.1130
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.1155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 165, Buy volume: 8041.98, Sell volume: 7543.81, Average price: 0.6233, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523972
Question: Will OpenAI release an open source model in 2025?
Volume: 315150.927142
Price History:
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.9105
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.8995
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.9325
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.9365
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9085
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.9055
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.8885
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.8905
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.9045
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.9000
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.8875
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.8865
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.8855
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.8860
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.8815
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.8785
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.8785
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.8875
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.8880
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.8790
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.8970
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.9130
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.9150
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.9125
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.9135
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.9250
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.9260
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.9355
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.9330
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 292, Buy volume: 238336.91, Sell volume: 19055.65, Average price: 0.5752, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4400
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5600
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5400
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4600
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5750
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4250
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.6850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.3150
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.6800
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.3200
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.3100
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 1960.40, Sell volume: 11.11, Average price: 0.5693, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.2900
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.7400
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.2600
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.7500
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.2500
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.7300
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.2700
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.7800
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.2200
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.7600
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.2600
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.7250
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.2750
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.7250
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.2750
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.6700
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 5816.24, Sell volume: 1060.98, Average price: 0.6009, Price range: 0.2369 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.3400
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.6850
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.7050
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.2950
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.7300
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.2700
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2370.87, Sell volume: 1545.55, Average price: 0.5264, Price range: 0.2413 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.2750
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3000
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.7100
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1969.97, Sell volume: 366.13, Average price: 0.5421, Price range: 0.2646 - 0.7390

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6850
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3200
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.6800
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3200
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.6600
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.3400
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.6350
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.3650
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 619.52, Sell volume: 1288.34, Average price: 0.5795, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6400
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3600
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3650
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6350
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3650
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.6350
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3650
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.7050
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1849.41, Sell volume: 36.04, Average price: 0.5149, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7266

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.7050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.2950
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1681.45, Sell volume: 227.13, Average price: 0.4493, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.5300
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.4700
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.4700
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.6150
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.3850
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.6600
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.3400
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.6800
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.6800
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 3293.73, Sell volume: 537.72, Average price: 0.5466, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.7000
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.3000
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.7000
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.3000
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 9804.79, Sell volume: 5546.42, Average price: 0.5202, Price range: 0.0844 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.8350
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8350
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.8350
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.6900
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.3100
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.6500
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.3500
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.3500
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.6800
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.3200
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.6100
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 8501.86, Sell volume: 11497.92, Average price: 0.5276, Price range: 0.1006 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5900
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.4100
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.6100
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.3900
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.7100
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.2900
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.7300
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.2700
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 5916.29, Sell volume: 961.53, Average price: 0.5416, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7624

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.2800
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.7300
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.2700
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.7100
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.2900
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.7100
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.2750
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.7250
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.2750
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 8523.35, Sell volume: 515.48, Average price: 0.5982, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7854

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9540
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0460
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9525
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0475
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 168, Buy volume: 28424.68, Sell volume: 12169.01, Average price: 0.6893, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.4400
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5600
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5400
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4600
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.4700
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4850
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.5150
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5750
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4250
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.6850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.3150
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.6800
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.3200
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.3100
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 1960.40, Sell volume: 11.11, Average price: 0.5693, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.2900
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.7400
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.2600
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.7500
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.2500
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.7300
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.2700
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.7800
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.2200
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.7600
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.7400
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.2600
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.7250
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.2750
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.7250
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.2750
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.6700
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 5816.24, Sell volume: 1060.98, Average price: 0.6009, Price range: 0.2369 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.3050
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.6600
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.3400
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.6850
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.7550
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.2450
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.7250
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.2750
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.7050
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.2950
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.7300
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.2700
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2370.87, Sell volume: 1545.55, Average price: 0.5264, Price range: 0.2413 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.2750
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.3100
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3000
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.7000
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.3000
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.7100
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7100
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3200
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1969.97, Sell volume: 366.13, Average price: 0.5421, Price range: 0.2646 - 0.7390
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6850
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3150
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.6800
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3200
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.6800
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3200
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.6600
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.3400
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.6200
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.3800
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.6350
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.3650
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 619.52, Sell volume: 1288.34, Average price: 0.5795, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6400
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3600
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3650
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6350
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3650
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.6350
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3650
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.2950
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.7050
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1849.41, Sell volume: 36.04, Average price: 0.5149, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7266
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.7050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.2950
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.3950
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.5200
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.4800
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1681.45, Sell volume: 227.13, Average price: 0.4493, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.5300
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.4700
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.5300
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.4700
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4650
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.5250
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.4750
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.6150
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.3850
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.6600
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.3400
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.6800
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.6800
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 3293.73, Sell volume: 537.72, Average price: 0.5466, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.7000
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.3000
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.6450
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.7000
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.3000
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.1750
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9100
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.1550
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 9804.79, Sell volume: 5546.42, Average price: 0.5202, Price range: 0.0844 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.8350
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.8350
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.8350
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.1650
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9000
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1000
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.6900
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.3100
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.6500
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.3500
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.6500
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.3500
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.6800
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.3200
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.6100
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 8501.86, Sell volume: 11497.92, Average price: 0.5276, Price range: 0.1006 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5900
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.4100
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.6100
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.3900
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.7100
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.2900
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.7300
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.2700
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.7100
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.2900
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 5916.29, Sell volume: 961.53, Average price: 0.5416, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7624
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.2800
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.7300
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.2700
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.7350
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.7050
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.7100
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.2900
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.7100
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.2900
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.7250
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.2750
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.7250
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.2750
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.7050
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.2950
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 8523.35, Sell volume: 515.48, Average price: 0.5982, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7854
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 658437
Question: Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
Volume: 131130.741351
Price History:
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.7850
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.2150
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.7950
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.2050
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.7450
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.2550
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.1150
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9540
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0460
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9525
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0475
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 168, Buy volume: 28424.68, Sell volume: 12169.01, Average price: 0.6893, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550135
Question: Another SpaceX Dragon x NASA mission to the ISS in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34109.222075
Price History:
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.6400
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.9000
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.9000
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.8950
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.8750
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.8800
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9100
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.9150
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.9150
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.9250
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.9100
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9150
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9100
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.9150
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.9150
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.9150
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.9250
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.9400
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.9550
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.9500
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9400
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9450
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9450
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9450
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9450
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9450
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9450
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9450
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9400
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.9450
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9450
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9450
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.9450
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9450
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9450
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.9890
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9850
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.9875
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9885
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9905
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.9780
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.9815
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.9810
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9800
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.9805
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9790
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.9785
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.9800
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 164, Buy volume: 12238.50, Sell volume: 2390.61, Average price: 0.6661, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550135
Question: Another SpaceX Dragon x NASA mission to the ISS in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34109.222075
Price History:
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0180
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0180
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0180
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0165
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0170
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0175
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0185
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0190
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0195
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0195
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0195
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0200
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0200
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0195
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0190
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0180
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0210
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0260
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0255
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0145
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0115
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0130
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0130
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0130
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0130
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0180
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0140
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0190
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0180
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0185
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0215
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0215
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0225
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0235
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0225
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0235
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0235
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0240
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0240
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0240
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0240
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0240
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0255
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0275
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0260
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0255
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0260
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0255
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0265
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1173.74, Sell volume: 3078.07, Average price: 0.3805, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550135
Question: Another SpaceX Dragon x NASA mission to the ISS in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34109.222075
Price History:
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9730
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.9730
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.9730
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.9730
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.9730
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.9730
2025-06-15 02:00: 0.9730
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.9725
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.9725
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.9725
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9725
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.9725
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.9725
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9725
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.9725
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.9720
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.9720
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9720
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.9720
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.9725
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.9725
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9725
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.9720
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9720
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9720
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.9720
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.9720
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.9720
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.9720
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.9720
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.9720
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.9720
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.9720
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.9720
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.9725
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9725
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.9725
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9725
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9725
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.9725
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.9725
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.9725
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9725
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.9725
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.9725
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9725
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9725
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.9725
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.9725
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 684.69, Sell volume: 280.03, Average price: 0.8325, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550135
Question: Another SpaceX Dragon x NASA mission to the ISS in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34109.222075
Price History:
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.0275
2025-06-19 00:00: 0.0275
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0275
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0280
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0280
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0285
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0285
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0280
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0280
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0280
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0280
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0280
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0305
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0305
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0305
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0335
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0335
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0335
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0355
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0355
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0340
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0355
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0315
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0305
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0310
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0325
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0310
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0300
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.0315
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.0310
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0305
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0315
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0305
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.0320
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.0310
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0300
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0310
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.0310
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.0305
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0330
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0330
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0330
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0330
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0330
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0330
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0330
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0330
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0330
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0330
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 333.16, Sell volume: 1410.21, Average price: 0.6251, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9740

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550135
Question: Another SpaceX Dragon x NASA mission to the ISS in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34109.222075
Price History:
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.9540
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.9535
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9535
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.9535
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9535
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9555
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9555
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.9555
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.9560
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.9560
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.9520
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9530
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.9550
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9560
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.9570
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.9580
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.9565
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9580
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9565
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.9570
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.9570
2025-06-25 01:00: 0.9570
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.9570
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.9580
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9575
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.9630
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.9615
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.9600
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.9600
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.9620
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.9600
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9670
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.9670
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.9670
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.9670
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9670
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.9560
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.9560
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.9555
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.9550
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9565
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9560
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.9560
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.9560
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.9555
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.9555
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.9555
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.9550
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9550
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 299.61, Sell volume: 1797.08, Average price: 0.5061, Price range: 0.0273 - 0.9720

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 550135
Question: Another SpaceX Dragon x NASA mission to the ISS in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 34109.222075
Price History:
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0555
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.0550
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.0555
2025-06-27 21:00: 0.0550
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.0450
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0450
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0450
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0450
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0450
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0450
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0450
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0450
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0450
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0450
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0450
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0450
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0450
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0450
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0450
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0730
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0655
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.1945
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.1225
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.1265
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.1195
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.1175
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.1010
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.1140
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.1250
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.1050
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.1375
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.1200
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.1100
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.1080
2025-06-30 19:00: 0.1105
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.1195
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.1200
2025-07-01 01:00: 0.1210
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.1385
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.1320
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0985
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.1030
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 1695.46, Sell volume: 1939.39, Average price: 0.6495, Price range: 0.0473 - 0.9700

Output: No