Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637490
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 20 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 27769.45125
Price History:
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8900
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9000
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9100
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9150
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.8650
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.8850
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.8900
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.8800
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 18958.63, Sell volume: 8810.82, Average price: 0.5668, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637490
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 20 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 27769.45125
Price History:
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.8850
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9400
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9100
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 18958.63, Sell volume: 8810.82, Average price: 0.5668, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637490
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 20 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 27769.45125
Price History:
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.8850
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 18958.63, Sell volume: 8810.82, Average price: 0.5668, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637490
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 20 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 27769.45125
Price History:
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 34.40, Average price: 0.3594, Price range: 0.0381 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637490
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 20 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 27769.45125
Price History:
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.8850
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.8850
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.8850
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.8850
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9100
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9400
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 71, Buy volume: 18958.63, Sell volume: 8810.82, Average price: 0.5668, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637490
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 20 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 27769.45125
Price History:
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9000
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.8600
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8600
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8600
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 17.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.3120, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637490
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 20 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 27769.45125
Price History:
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9450
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9450
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9650
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9735
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9735
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9690
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9690
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9690
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9690
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9690
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9690
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9710
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9710
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9765
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9815
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9800
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9800
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9800
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9805
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9810
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9810
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9810
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 111.08, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.7809, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637490
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 20 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 27769.45125
Price History:
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9820
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9820
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.9820
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9820
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9725
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9725
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9725
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9725
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9725
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9725
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9725
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9725
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9770
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9780
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9780
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9790
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9820
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9670
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9660
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 14072.05, Sell volume: 7177.26, Average price: 0.3381, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 637490
Question: Will Stokes Twins' next video get 20 million or more views on week 1?
Volume: 27769.45125
Price History:
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9710
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9675
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9675
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9675
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9675
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9665
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9675
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9675
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9675
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9675
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9710
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9860
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9880
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9880
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9880
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9880
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 4703.51, Sell volume: 1514.16, Average price: 0.6501, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.0150
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.9850
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.0125
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.9875
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.9965
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9955
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0085
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9915
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.9915
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0090
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9910
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9910
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9910
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9910
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0115
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9885
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0115
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9885
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0115
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9885
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0105
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9895
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0110
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9890
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0115
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9885
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0115
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9885
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9885
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0115
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1239.32, Sell volume: 577.42, Average price: 0.6086, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9900
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9900
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.9900
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9925
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9925
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9925
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9925
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0080
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.9920
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.9925
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9895
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9900
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9900
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9885
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0130
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9870
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9865
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0130
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9870
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0135
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9865
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0130
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9870
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0130
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9870
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0135
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9865
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0130
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9870
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0135
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9865
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0135
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.9865
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.9860
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0130
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 2366.41, Sell volume: 112.35, Average price: 0.1773, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0180
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9820
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0200
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9800
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.9790
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0230
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9770
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0160
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.9840
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0175
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9825
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0215
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9785
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.0230
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.9770
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0240
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.9760
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0220
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.9780
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0225
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9775
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0235
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9765
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0230
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9770
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0220
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9780
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0235
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9765
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0235
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9765
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0230
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9770
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0215
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.9785
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0230
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9770
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0230
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9770
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9775
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0215
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9785
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0175
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9825
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0190
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9810
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0200
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 941.00, Average price: 0.9737, Price range: 0.9730 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0235
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9765
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0160
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9840
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0180
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9820
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0185
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9815
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0195
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.9805
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0205
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.9795
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0230
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9770
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0240
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.9760
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0160
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.9840
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0175
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9825
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0190
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.9810
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9790
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0225
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.9775
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0230
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9770
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0165
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9835
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0180
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9820
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0200
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9800
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0220
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9780
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0235
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9765
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0240
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9760
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9815
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0185
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9815
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0240
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9760
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0190
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9810
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0230
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 39.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0255, Price range: 0.0255 - 0.0255

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0220
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.9780
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0220
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.9780
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0195
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9805
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.5055
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.4945
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.5015
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.4985
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.9725
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0265
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.9735
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.9725
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0270
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9730
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0270
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9730
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0270
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.9730
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0270
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.9730
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.9725
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.9725
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.9725
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9725
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0265
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9735
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0280
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9720
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0285
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9715
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0250
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9750
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9725
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0295
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9705
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0280
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9720
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0275
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9725
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0280
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 70.18, Sell volume: 69.66, Average price: 0.4930, Price range: 0.0153 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0285
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9715
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.9710
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0280
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9720
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0285
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.9715
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.5030
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.4970
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.5050
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.4950
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.4975
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.5025
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.3115
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.6885
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.2900
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.7100
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.2960
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.7040
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.3025
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.6975
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.2930
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.7070
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.2240
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.7760
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.2305
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.7695
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0540
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9460
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0470
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9530
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0335
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9665
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0260
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0235
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9765
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0255
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0240
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9760
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0265
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9735
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0265
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9735
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0265
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 580.62, Sell volume: 124.50, Average price: 0.0286, Price range: 0.0156 - 0.0400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0330
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9670
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0330
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9670
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0330
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9670
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0330
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9670
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0335
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9665
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0335
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9665
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0335
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9665
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0360
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9640
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0360
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9640
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0360
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9640
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.1010
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.8990
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0475
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9525
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9550
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9545
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9545
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9545
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.1100
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.8900
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.1100
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.8900
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.1085
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.8915
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0605
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9395
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0605
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9395
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0605
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9395
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0410
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9590
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 370.43, Sell volume: 320.00, Average price: 0.5918, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9650

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0505
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9495
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0505
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9495
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9495
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9495
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9495
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9495
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9495
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9495
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9495
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9495
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0495
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9505
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0495
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9505
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0495
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9505
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9495
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0550
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9450
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0545
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9455
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0450
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9550
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9550
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0450
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9550
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9550
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9600
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9600
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0405
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9595
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 47.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9590
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9590
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9600
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9595
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9600
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9595
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9595
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9600
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9595
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9595
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9595
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9590
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 360.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9680, Price range: 0.9680 - 0.9680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0415
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9585
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0415
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9585
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0405
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9595
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0405
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9595
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9605
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0400
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9600
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9600
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9605
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9605
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9605
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9605
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9605
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9605
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9605
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9615
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0390
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9610
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9615
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0390
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9610
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9615
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0390
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9610
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0390
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9610
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0385
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9615
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0390
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9610
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0385
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9615
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0380
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 607.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9747, Price range: 0.9686 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0215
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9785
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9795
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9795
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9795
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0205
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9795
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0185
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9815
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0200
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0200
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0185
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9815
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0160
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9840
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0175
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0180
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0175
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 3286.75, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8749, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9895
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0100
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9900
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 5500.02, Sell volume: 510.00, Average price: 0.7821, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0235
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9765
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0370
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9630
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9690
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0300
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9700
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9895
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9935
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0065
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9935
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9950
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9960
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0010
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9990
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0010
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9990
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0010
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9990
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0010
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9990
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0010
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9990
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9995
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 44699.71, Sell volume: 5040.99, Average price: 0.5878, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.0150
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.0125
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0085
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0090
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0115
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0115
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0115
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0105
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0110
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0115
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0115
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0115
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0120
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0125
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0140
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0095
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1239.32, Sell volume: 577.42, Average price: 0.6086, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0080
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0105
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0130
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0135
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0130
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0135
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0130
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0130
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0135
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0130
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0135
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0135
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0130
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0135
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0135
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0140
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 2366.41, Sell volume: 112.35, Average price: 0.1773, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.0180
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0200
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0230
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.0160
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.0175
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.0215
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.0230
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0240
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0220
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0225
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0235
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0230
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0220
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0235
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0235
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0230
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0215
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0230
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0230
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0215
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0175
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0190
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0200
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0210
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0175
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0200
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0215
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 941.00, Average price: 0.9737, Price range: 0.9730 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0235
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0160
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0180
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0185
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0195
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0205
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.0230
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0240
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.0160
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0175
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0190
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0225
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0230
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0165
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0180
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0200
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0220
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0235
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0240
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0185
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0240
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0190
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0230
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0235
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0235
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0230
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0175
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 39.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0255, Price range: 0.0255 - 0.0255
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0220
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0220
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0195
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.5055
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.5015
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0265
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.0270
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0270
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.0270
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0270
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0265
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0280
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0285
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0250
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0295
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0280
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0275
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0280
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0270
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0275
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0270
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0270
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 70.18, Sell volume: 69.66, Average price: 0.4930, Price range: 0.0153 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0285
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0280
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0285
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.5030
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.5050
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.4975
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.3115
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.2900
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.2960
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.3025
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.2930
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.2240
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.2305
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0540
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0470
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0335
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0260
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0235
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0255
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0240
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0265
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0265
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0265
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0195
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0260
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0265
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 580.62, Sell volume: 124.50, Average price: 0.0286, Price range: 0.0156 - 0.0400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0330
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0330
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0330
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0330
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0335
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0335
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0335
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0360
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0360
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0360
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.1010
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0475
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0450
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0455
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0455
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.1100
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.1100
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.1085
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0605
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0605
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0605
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0410
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0350
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0475
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 370.43, Sell volume: 320.00, Average price: 0.5918, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0505
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0495
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0495
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0495
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0505
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0550
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0545
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.0450
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.0450
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.0450
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.0450
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0405
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0395
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0405
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0395
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 47.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0410
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0410
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0405
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 360.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9680, Price range: 0.9680 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0415
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0415
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0405
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0405
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0400
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0395
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0390
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0390
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0385
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0390
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0390
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0385
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0390
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0385
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0380
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0295
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0290
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0290
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0290
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 607.14, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9747, Price range: 0.9686 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0215
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0205
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0205
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0185
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0200
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0200
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0195
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0185
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0190
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0160
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0180
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0175
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0180
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0175
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0180
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0165
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0265
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0260
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 3286.75, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8749, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0105
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0100
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0085
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 5500.02, Sell volume: 510.00, Average price: 0.7821, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 536503
Question: Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Romanian Election?
Volume: 68423.478775
Price History:
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0235
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0370
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0300
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0065
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0040
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0010
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0010
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0010
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0010
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0010
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 44699.71, Sell volume: 5040.99, Average price: 0.5878, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.4850
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.4850
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.4850
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7600
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.2400
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.7600
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.8500
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.8450
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.8450
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.8450
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.8450
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.8450
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.8450
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.8450
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.8450
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.1550
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.1550
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.1550
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.1550
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.1550
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.8450
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.8450
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.8450
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.1550
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.8450
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.8450
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.8450
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.1550
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.8450
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.1550
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.8450
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.8450
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.1550
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.1550
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.1550
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.8450
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.8450
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.1550
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.1550
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.8450
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.8450
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.8450
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.1550
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.8450
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.8450
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.8450
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.1550
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.8450
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.1550
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.1550
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1550
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.8450
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.8450
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.1550
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.8450
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.8450
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.8450
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.8450
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.8450
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.8250
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.8200
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.8200
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.8200
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.1800
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.8200
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.1500
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.1500
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.1550
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.8450
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.1550
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.1550
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.1550
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.1550
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.1450
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.8500
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.8600
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9000
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.1000
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.8500
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.8600
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.8550
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.1500
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 386, Buy volume: 12263.14, Sell volume: 3645.65, Average price: 0.9919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.8600
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.8450
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.1550
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.8450
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.8450
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.1550
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.1550
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.1550
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0400
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.1550
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.9600
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.9600
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.9600
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.9550
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.8500
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.1500
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.1450
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.1500
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.1500
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.8500
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.8450
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.1550
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.1350
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.8700
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.1300
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.8700
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.1300
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.8700
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.8700
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.8700
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.1300
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.8700
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.8700
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.8700
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.8700
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.8700
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8700
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.1300
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8700
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.8700
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1300
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1300
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.1300
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.1300
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.8700
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.1300
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.8700
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.8700
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.8700
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.8700
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.8700
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.1300
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.1300
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.1300
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.1300
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.8700
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.1300
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.1300
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.8700
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.8700
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.1300
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.8740
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.1260
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.8740
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.1260
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.1260
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.8740
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.1260
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.1260
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.1260
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.8740
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.1260
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.1260
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.8740
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.1260
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.1260
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.1260
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.1260
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.1260
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.8740
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.1260
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.1260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 386, Buy volume: 12263.14, Sell volume: 3645.65, Average price: 0.9919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.1260
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.1260
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.1260
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.1260
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1260
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.1270
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.1275
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.1285
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.1285
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.1285
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.1295
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.1295
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.1295
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.1295
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.1295
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.1295
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.1295
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.8705
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1295
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.1295
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.8705
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.8705
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.8705
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.1295
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.1295
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.8740
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.1265
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.1270
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.1270
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.1270
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.1270
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.1270
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.1270
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.1270
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.1270
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.1270
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.1270
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.8730
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.8730
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8730
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.8730
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.8730
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.8730
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.8730
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.8730
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.1270
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.8730
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.8730
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.8730
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.8730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.8730, Price range: 0.7500 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.8730
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.1270
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.1270
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.1270
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.8730
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.8730
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.1270
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.8730
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.8730
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.1270
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.8730
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.8730
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.8730
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.8730
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.8730
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.8730
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.8730
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.8730
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.8730
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.8730
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.8730
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.8730
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.8730
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.8730
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.8730
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.8730
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.1270
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.8730
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.8730
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.8730
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.8730
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.1270
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.8730
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.8730
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.1270
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.1270
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.8730
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.1270
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.1270
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.1270
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.1270
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.1270
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.1270
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.1270
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.1270
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.1270
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.1270
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.1270
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.8730
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.1270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 386, Buy volume: 12263.14, Sell volume: 3645.65, Average price: 0.9919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.1270
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.1270
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.1270
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.1270
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.1270
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.1270
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.8730
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.8730
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.8730
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.1270
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.1520
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.8480
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.8480
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.8480
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.8480
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.8480
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.8480
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.8480
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.8480
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.8480
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.8480
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.8480
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.8480
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.8480
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.8480
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.8480
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.1520
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.8480
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.8480
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.8480
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.8480
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.8480
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.8480
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.1520
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.8480
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.1520
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.1520
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.1520
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.1520
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.1520
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.1520
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.1520
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.8480
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.1520
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.1520
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.1520
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.1520
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.1520
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.1520
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.1520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 386, Buy volume: 12263.14, Sell volume: 3645.65, Average price: 0.9919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.1520
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.8480
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.1520
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.1520
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.1520
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.1520
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.1520
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.1520
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.1520
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.1520
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.8485
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.1515
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.8485
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.8485
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.8485
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.1515
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.1515
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.1515
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.8485
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.8485
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.8485
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.8485
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.8485
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.1515
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.1520
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.1520
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.1520
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.8480
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.8480
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.1520
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.1520
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.1520
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.8480
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.1520
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.1520
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.1520
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.1520
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.1520
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.1520
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.1520
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.1520
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.1520
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.8480
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1520
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1520
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8485
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1515
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1515
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8485
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 386, Buy volume: 12263.14, Sell volume: 3645.65, Average price: 0.9919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.7595
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.6050
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3950
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.6050
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.3940
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.6080
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.3945
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.3930
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.7525
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.2990
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.2410
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.6090
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.2710
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.7590
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.2495
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.2825
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2430
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7590
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.6070
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.3945
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.7525
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.4645
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.4580
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.3930
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.5655
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.4335
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.4130
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.2595
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.3455
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.7580
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.7510
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.6195
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.3970
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.2925
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.5805
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.4175
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.6940
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.2945
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.6515
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.7495
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.6100
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.5370
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5415
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.5020
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 386, Buy volume: 12263.14, Sell volume: 3645.65, Average price: 0.9919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2375
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.2365
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.2320
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2415
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.2590
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.4345
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.4345
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.4345
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.4345
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.4345
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.4345
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.4345
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.4235
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.4345
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.4345
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.4415
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.4045
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.4550
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.3155
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.5505
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.5250
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.4740
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.5535
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.5530
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.5160
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.4785
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.4805
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.4690
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.3885
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.3170
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.4610
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.4540
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.3890
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.5220
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.4765
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.4780
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.3920
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.4690
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.7415
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.4685
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.6035
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6865
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.3095
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1865
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.1900
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.7520
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.1890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 386, Buy volume: 12263.14, Sell volume: 3645.65, Average price: 0.9919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.1045
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.8975
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1025
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.1025
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1035
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1035
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.1035
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.1025
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.1025
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.8975
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.8975
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.8970
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.8970
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.8975
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.8975
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.8975
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.1025
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.8975
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.8975
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.8980
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.4630
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.4630
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9925
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9925
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0075
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7525
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 36.06, Sell volume: 11.05, Average price: 0.9914, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.5330
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.5335
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.5340
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.5340
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.5345
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.5340
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.5380
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.5900
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.6290
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.6290
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.6290
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.6290
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.6290
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.6290
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.6290
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.6435
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.6440
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.6440
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.6440
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.6440
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.6440
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.6440
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.6440
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.6440
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.6440
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.6440
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.6440
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.6440
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.6440
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.6440
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.6440
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.6440
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.6440
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.6440
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.6440
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.6440
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.6440
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.6440
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.6440
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.6440
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.6440
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.6440
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.6440
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.6440
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.6440
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.6440
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.6440
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.6440
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.6440
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.6440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 291.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8906, Price range: 0.6818 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0235
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0235
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0225
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0180
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0180
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0180
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0180
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0160
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0160
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0160
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0160
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0160
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0160
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0160
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0130
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 355, Buy volume: 8805.37, Sell volume: 3488.82, Average price: 0.9932, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.5050
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.5050
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.4850
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.7600
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.7600
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.8450
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.1550
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.8450
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.8450
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.1550
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.8450
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.1550
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.8450
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.8450
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.8450
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.8450
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.8450
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.1550
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.1550
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.8450
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.8450
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.1550
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.1550
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.1550
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.1550
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.1550
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.8450
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.1550
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.8450
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.1550
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.1550
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.8450
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.1550
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.8450
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.8450
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.1550
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.8200
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.1800
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.1800
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.1500
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.1550
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.8450
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.1550
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.1500
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.8500
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.1550
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.1400
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.8450
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.1550
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 386, Buy volume: 12263.14, Sell volume: 3645.65, Average price: 0.9919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.8600
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.8450
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.1500
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.8450
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.1550
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.9600
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.9600
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.8500
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.8500
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.8500
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.8500
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.8450
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.1450
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.1300
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.8700
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.8700
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.8700
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.8700
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.1300
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.8700
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.8700
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.8700
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.8700
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.8700
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1300
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.1300
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.1300
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.8700
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1300
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.1300
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.8700
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.8700
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.8700
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.1300
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.8700
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.1300
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.8700
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.1260
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.8740
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.1260
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.8740
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.1260
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.8740
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.8740
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.8740
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.1260
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.8740
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.1260
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.1260
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.1260
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.8740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 386, Buy volume: 12263.14, Sell volume: 3645.65, Average price: 0.9919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.1260
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.1260
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.1260
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.8730
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1285
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.8715
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.1295
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.8705
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1295
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.1295
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.1295
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.1295
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.8705
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.1295
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.8735
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.8730
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.1270
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.8730
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.1270
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.8730
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.8730
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.1270
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.8730
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.1270
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.8730
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.8730
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.8730
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.8730
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.8730
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.1270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.00, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.8730, Price range: 0.7500 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.8730
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.8730
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.1270
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.1270
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.8730
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.8730
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.8730
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.1270
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.8730
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.1270
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.8730
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.1270
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.8730
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.1270
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.8730
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.1270
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.8730
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.1270
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.8730
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.8730
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.1270
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.8730
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.1270
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.8730
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.1270
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.8730
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.1270
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.8730
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.8730
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.1270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 386, Buy volume: 12263.14, Sell volume: 3645.65, Average price: 0.9919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.1270
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.8730
2025-09-17 14:00: 0.8730
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.8730
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.8730
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.8730
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.8480
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.1520
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.8480
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.1520
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.8480
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.1520
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.8480
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.1520
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.8480
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.8480
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.8480
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.1520
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.1520
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.8480
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.1520
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.8480
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.1520
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.8480
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.1520
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.8480
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.8480
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.8480
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.1520
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.1520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 386, Buy volume: 12263.14, Sell volume: 3645.65, Average price: 0.9919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.1520
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.8480
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.1520
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.8480
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.1520
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.8480
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.1515
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.1515
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.1515
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.1515
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.8485
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.1515
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.8485
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.1520
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.1520
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.1520
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.1520
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.8480
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.1520
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.8480
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.1520
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.8480
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.1520
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.1520
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1520
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.1515
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8485
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3790
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.2405
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 386, Buy volume: 12263.14, Sell volume: 3645.65, Average price: 0.9919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.7595
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.3950
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.3940
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.6210
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.3950
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.3930
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.7010
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.7310
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.3605
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.7590
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7565
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.6070
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.2475
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.6065
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.4935
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.4345
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.4295
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.3455
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.2490
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.3875
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.5480
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.6305
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.3180
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.7495
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4630
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.4560
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.3060
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.7460
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.2495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 386, Buy volume: 12263.14, Sell volume: 3645.65, Average price: 0.9919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2375
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.7615
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.3270
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.3515
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.4345
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.5655
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.4345
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.4345
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.5655
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.5390
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.3435
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.4495
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.5215
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.4230
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.5195
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.2640
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.6830
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.4540
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.5485
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.5215
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.6845
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.4510
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.3965
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.3095
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.1900
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.7435
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 386, Buy volume: 12263.14, Sell volume: 3645.65, Average price: 0.9919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1025
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1025
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.8965
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1025
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8975
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.8975
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.1030
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.8975
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.1025
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.1025
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.4630
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9925
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9925
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0075
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9925
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.4615
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.7530
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2465
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 36.06, Sell volume: 11.05, Average price: 0.9914, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.5330
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.4660
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.5345
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.4660
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.5900
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.3710
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.6290
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.3710
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.6290
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.3560
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.6440
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.3560
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.6440
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.3560
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.6440
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.3560
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.6440
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.3560
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.6440
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.3560
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.6440
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.3560
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.6440
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.3560
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.6440
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.3560
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.6440
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.3560
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.6525
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 291.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8906, Price range: 0.6818 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 570098
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore <60
Volume: 15908.794783
Price History:
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0235
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9775
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0180
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9820
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9840
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0160
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9840
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9840
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9840
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0160
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 355, Buy volume: 8805.37, Sell volume: 3488.82, Average price: 0.9932, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570099
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore 60–69
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11557.24
Price History:
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.4950
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.4950
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.4850
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.4850
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.4850
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7600
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.7600
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.2400
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.8750
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.1300
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.1300
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.1300
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.1300
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.1300
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.1300
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.1300
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.1300
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.1300
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.1300
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.1300
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.1300
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.1300
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.1300
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.1300
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.1300
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.1300
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.8700
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.8700
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.8700
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.1300
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.8700
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.1300
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.8700
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.8700
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.1300
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.8700
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 8390.60, Sell volume: 3166.64, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570099
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore 60–69
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11557.24
Price History:
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.8700
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.1300
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.8700
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.1300
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.8700
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.8700
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.8700
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.1300
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.1300
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.8700
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.1300
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.8700
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.8700
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.8700
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.8700
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.8700
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.8700
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.8700
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.8700
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.8700
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.8500
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.8450
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.8450
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.8450
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.8450
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.8450
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.8750
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.8750
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.8700
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.8700
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.1300
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.1200
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.8750
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9200
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9000
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.8900
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.8800
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.8850
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.8800
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.8750
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 8390.60, Sell volume: 3166.64, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570099
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore 60–69
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11557.24
Price History:
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.0900
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.8700
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.8700
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.8700
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.1300
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.8700
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0400
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.1300
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.0400
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0400
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.9600
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.8750
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8750
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.1200
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.1200
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.8750
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.1250
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.8750
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.8750
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.1250
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.1000
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9800
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9800
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0200
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.0200
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0200
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0200
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.9800
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0200
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.9800
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0200
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.9800
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.0200
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0200
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.0200
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0200
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.0200
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.0200
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9800
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.0200
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.9800
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.9800
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.0200
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.0200
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.0200
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9800, Price range: 0.9800 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570099
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore 60–69
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11557.24
Price History:
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.0200
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0200
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0200
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0200
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0200
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0200
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9800
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.0200
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0200
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0200
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9800
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9800
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9800
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0160
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9840
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0160
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0160
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9840
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9840
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9840
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0160
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0160
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0160
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0160
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0160
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0160
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0160
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.0160
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0160
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 8390.60, Sell volume: 3166.64, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570099
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore 60–69
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11557.24
Price History:
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0160
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0160
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9840
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9840
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9840
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0170
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0175
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9815
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0185
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0185
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0195
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0165
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0165
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0165
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9835
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9835
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9835
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0165
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9835
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0165
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9835
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9835
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9835
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0165
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0165
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9830
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0170
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9830
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0170
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9830
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0170
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9830
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9830
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.0170
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0170
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9830
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9830
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 8390.60, Sell volume: 3166.64, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570099
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore 60–69
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11557.24
Price History:
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.0170
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0170
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0170
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0170
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0170
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9830
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.9830
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9830
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0170
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9830
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.0170
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0170
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0170
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0170
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0170
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.9830
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9830
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9830
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9830
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9830
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9830
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9830
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9830
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0170
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9830
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0170
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.9830
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0170
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0170
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0170
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0170
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9830
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9830
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9830
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9830
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0170
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9830
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9830
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9830
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0170
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.0170
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0170
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0170
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0170
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0170
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9830
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 8390.60, Sell volume: 3166.64, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570099
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore 60–69
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11557.24
Price History:
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9830
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9830
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9830
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0170
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9830
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9830
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0170
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0170
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9830
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0170
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.1270
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.8730
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.8730
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.1270
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.8730
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.1270
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.1270
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.1270
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.1270
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.1270
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.8730
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.1270
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.1270
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.1270
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.1270
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.1270
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.1270
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.1270
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.1270
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.1270
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.1270
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.1270
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.8730
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.1270
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.1270
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.8730
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.1270
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.1270
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.1270
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.8730
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.1270
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.1270
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.1270
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.1270
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.1270
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.1270
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.1270
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.8730
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.1270
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.1270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 8390.60, Sell volume: 3166.64, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570099
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore 60–69
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11557.24
Price History:
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.8730
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.8730
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.8730
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.8730
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.1270
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.8730
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.8730
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.8730
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.8730
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.8730
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.1265
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.1265
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.1265
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.1265
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.1265
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.8735
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.8735
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.8735
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.8735
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.8735
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.8735
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.8735
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.8735
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.8735
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.8730
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.8730
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.8730
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.1270
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.1270
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.8730
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.8730
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.8730
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.8730
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.8730
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.1270
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.1270
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.8730
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.8730
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.8730
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.8730
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.8730
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.1270
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.8730
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1270
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1270
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1265
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1265
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1265
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8735
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.2255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 8390.60, Sell volume: 3166.64, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570099
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore 60–69
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11557.24
Price History:
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2270
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7730
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.2270
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.2270
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.2270
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.2270
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.2270
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.7730
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.2270
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.7730
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.7730
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.7730
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.2270
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.7730
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.7730
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.7730
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.7730
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.7730
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.2270
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.7730
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.2270
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.7730
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.7730
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.2270
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.7730
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.7730
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.7730
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.7730
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.7730
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.2270
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.2270
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.2270
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.2270
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.2270
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.2270
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.2270
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.2270
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.2270
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.2270
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.2270
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.2270
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.2270
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.2270
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.2270
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2270
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2270
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.2270
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.7730
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.7730
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 8390.60, Sell volume: 3166.64, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 570099
Question: "The Outer Worlds 2" Metascore 60–69
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11557.24
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2270
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.2305
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.3105
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.7595
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.3610
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.4265
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.4265
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.4265
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.4265
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.5735
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.4265
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.5735
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.5810
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.4265
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.5735
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.6045
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.3835
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.4095
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.5925
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.6360
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.6355
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.5445
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.4845
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.4655
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.5065
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.5385
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.4815
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.4780
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.4805
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.4765
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.7235
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.5495
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.6390
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.4530
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.5870
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.4595
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.5250
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.5270
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.6175
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.5320
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.6765
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.5350
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.5655
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.6855
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.6885
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1900
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.1910
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.1910
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.1970
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 8390.60, Sell volume: 3166.64, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes