Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578045
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58455.301895
Price History:
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.8500
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.1500
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.1500
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.8500
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.1500
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.8500
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.8500
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.1500
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.1500
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.8500
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.1400
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.8600
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.8600
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.1400
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.8550
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.1500
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.8500
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.1500
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.8500
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.1500
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.8500
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.1500
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.8500
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.1500
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.8500
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.1500
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 6.25, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.1450, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.1600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578045
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58455.301895
Price History:
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.1500
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.8500
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.1500
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.8500
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.1500
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.8500
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.1500
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.8500
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.1500
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.8500
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.8500
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.1500
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.1500
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.8500
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.1500
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.8500
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.8500
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.1500
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.8500
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.1500
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.8500
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.1500
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.1500
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.8500
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.8500
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.1500
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.1550
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 204, Buy volume: 53957.86, Sell volume: 4497.44, Average price: 0.6795, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578045
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58455.301895
Price History:
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.1550
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.1550
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.1550
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.1550
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.1550
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.1550
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.1550
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.1550
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.1550
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.1550
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.1550
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.8450
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.1550
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8450
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.1600
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.8400
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.1600
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.8400
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.8450
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 43.75, Average price: 0.8442, Price range: 0.8400 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578045
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58455.301895
Price History:
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.1600
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.8400
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.1600
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.8400
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.1600
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.8400
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.1600
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.1600
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.8400
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.1600
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.8400
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.1600
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.8400
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.1600
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.8400
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.1600
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.8400
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.8400
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.1600
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.1600
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.8400
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.1600
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.8400
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.1600
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.8400
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.1600
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.8400
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.1600
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 75.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578045
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58455.301895
Price History:
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.1650
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.1650
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.1650
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.1650
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.1650
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.1650
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.1650
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.1650
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.1650
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.1650
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.8350
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.8350
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.8350
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.8350
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.1650
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 222.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5740, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578045
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58455.301895
Price History:
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.8400
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.1600
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.8300
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.1700
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.8400
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.1600
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.8400
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.1600
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.8400
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.1600
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.8450
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.1550
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.1550
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.8450
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.8450
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.1550
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.8450
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.1550
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.1600
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.8400
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.8400
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.1600
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.1600
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.8400
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.1600
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.8400
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.1550
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.8450
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.8400
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 116.92, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578045
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58455.301895
Price History:
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.1550
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.8450
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.1550
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.8450
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.1600
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.8400
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.8400
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.1600
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.8400
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.1600
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.1600
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.8400
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.1600
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.8400
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.1650
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.8350
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.1600
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.8400
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.1600
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.8400
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8400
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1600
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8400
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1600
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.8400
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.1600
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.1600
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.8400
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.8400
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578045
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58455.301895
Price History:
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.1600
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.8400
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.1600
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.8400
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.1600
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.8400
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.1600
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.8400
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.1500
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.8500
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.1500
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.8500
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.1500
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.8500
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.8500
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.1500
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.8500
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.1500
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.8500
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.1500
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.8500
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1500
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.1500
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8500
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.1500
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.8500
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.8500
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1500
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.8500
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 559.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5083, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578045
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58455.301895
Price History:
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.8600
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8600
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.8600
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.8600
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.8600
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.8600
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.1400
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.8550
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1500
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8500
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.8550
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.1500
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.8500
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1500
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.8500
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1500
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8500
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.1500
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.8500
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.1500
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.8500
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.1500
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 171.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8667, Price range: 0.8600 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578045
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58455.301895
Price History:
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.8600
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.1400
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.1450
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.8550
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.8600
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.1550
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.8450
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.8550
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.1450
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.8550
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.1450
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.8550
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.8550
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.8550
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.8550
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.1450
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.8550
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.8550
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.1450
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.8500
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.1500
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 408.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6295, Price range: 0.1585 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578045
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58455.301895
Price History:
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.8500
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.1500
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.8500
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.1500
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.1500
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.8500
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.1500
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.8500
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.1450
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.8550
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.8550
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.1450
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.8500
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.1500
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.8550
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.1500
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.8500
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.1500
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.8500
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.1500
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.8500
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.1500
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 187.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6791, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578045
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?
Volume: 58455.301895
Price History:
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.1300
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.8700
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9350
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0650
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9685
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0315
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9925
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0075
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9885
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0115
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0065
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9975
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9990
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0010
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9990
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0010
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 154, Buy volume: 51489.58, Sell volume: 4088.69, Average price: 0.6950, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.2300
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.7700
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.8000
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.2000
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.1200
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.8800
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9050
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.1000
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9000
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.8900
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.1100
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.1200
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.8800
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.1150
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.8850
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.1150
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.1150
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 242.98, Sell volume: 55.00, Average price: 0.7244, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.8800
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.1200
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.8750
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.1250
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.8800
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.1200
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.1250
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.8750
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.1200
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.8800
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.8750
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.1250
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.1250
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.8750
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.1250
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.8750
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.1250
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.8750
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.8800
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.1200
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.8800
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.8750
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.1250
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.1250
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.8750
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.8750
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.1250
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.1250
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.8750
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.1250
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.8750
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.1250
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.8750
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.8750
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.1250
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 158, Buy volume: 57227.97, Sell volume: 3592.53, Average price: 0.5767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 158, Buy volume: 57227.97, Sell volume: 3592.53, Average price: 0.5767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8850
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.1150
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.1150
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.8850
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.1150
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.8850
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.8850
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.8850
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.8850
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.8850
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.8850
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.8850
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.8850
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8967, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.1150
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.8850
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.1150
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.8850
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.1150
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 65.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 933.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5086, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.8850
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.1150
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.8850
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.8850
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.1150
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 165.00, Sell volume: 41.66, Average price: 0.3750, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.1100
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.8900
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.1100
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.1100
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.8900
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.1100
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.8900
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.1100
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.8900
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.8800
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.8800
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.8800
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.8800
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.8800
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 184.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5058, Price range: 0.1216 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.8800
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.8800
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.8800
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.8800
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.8900
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.1100
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.8900
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.1100
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.8800
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.8900
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.1100
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 548.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3185, Price range: 0.1182 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1100
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8900
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.1100
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.8900
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.1100
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.8900
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1100
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1200
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.8800
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.1200
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.1250
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.8750
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.8750
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.1250
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.1250
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 653.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7400, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.1250
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.8750
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.8750
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.1250
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.8750
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.1250
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.1400
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.8600
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.1300
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.8700
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.8700
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.1300
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.8550
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.8650
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.1350
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.8550
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.8550
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.8600
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9050
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0950
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.1050
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.8950
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1046.03, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5118, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.1050
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.1050
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.1050
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.1050
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.1100
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.8900
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.1100
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.8900
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.8900
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.1100
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.1100
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.8900
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.1100
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.8900
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.1100
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.8900
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.1350
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.8650
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.1300
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.8700
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.1300
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.8700
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.1300
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.8700
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1167.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.1363 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.1350
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.8650
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0300
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9700
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0010
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9990
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0010
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9990
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0010
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9990
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0010
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9990
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0010
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9990
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 50172.66, Sell volume: 3485.87, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.2300
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.7700
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.8000
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.2000
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.1200
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.8800
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9050
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.0950
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0850
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.9150
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 242.98, Sell volume: 55.00, Average price: 0.7244, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.8800
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.1200
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.8750
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.1250
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.8800
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.1200
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.1250
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.8750
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.1200
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.8800
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.8750
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.1250
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.1250
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.8750
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.1250
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.8750
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.1250
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.8750
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.8800
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.1200
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.8800
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.8750
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.1250
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 158, Buy volume: 57227.97, Sell volume: 3592.53, Average price: 0.5767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.1200
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.8800
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 158, Buy volume: 57227.97, Sell volume: 3592.53, Average price: 0.5767, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.1200
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8850
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.1150
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.1150
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.8850
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.1150
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.8850
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.8850
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8967, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 65.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7000, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 933.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5086, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.8850
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.1150
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.1150
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.8850
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.8850
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.1150
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 165.00, Sell volume: 41.66, Average price: 0.3750, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.1050
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1100
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.8900
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.1100
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.8900
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.1100
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.1100
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 184.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5058, Price range: 0.1216 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.8800
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.8800
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.8800
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.8800
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.8900
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.1100
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.8900
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.1100
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.1200
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.8800
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 548.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3185, Price range: 0.1182 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.1100
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8900
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.1100
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.8900
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.1100
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.8900
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.1100
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.1150
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.8750
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.1250
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.1200
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.8800
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1200
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.8800
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 653.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7400, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.1250
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.8750
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.8750
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.1250
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.8750
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.1250
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.1400
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.8600
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.1300
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.8700
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.8700
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.1300
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.8550
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.8550
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.8650
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.1350
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.8650
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.1350
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.1450
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.8550
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.1400
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1046.03, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5118, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.8950
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.1050
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.1050
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.8950
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.1050
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.8950
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.1050
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.8950
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.1050
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.8950
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.1100
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.8900
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.1100
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.8900
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.1150
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1167.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5874, Price range: 0.1363 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578046
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?
Volume: 60820.502891
Price History:
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.1350
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.8650
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0300
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9700
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9935
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9970
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0010
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9990
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0010
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9990
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0010
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9990
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0005
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0010
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9990
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0010
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.9990
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 50172.66, Sell volume: 3485.87, Average price: 0.5877, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 724699
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Jaffna Kings (Game 1)
Outcomes: ["Kandy Falcons", "Jaffna Kings"]
Volume: 3.920783
Price History:
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.96, Sell volume: 1.96, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 724699
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Jaffna Kings (Game 1)
Volume: 3.920783
Price History:
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.96, Sell volume: 1.96, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.3000
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.2900
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.3600
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.3200
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.2150
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.2150
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.2150
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.2150
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.2100
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.2100
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.2000
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.2200
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.2000
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.2000
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.2100
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.2100
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.2200
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.2200
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.2200
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.2150
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.2150
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.2150
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.2150
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.2150
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.2150
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.2100
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.2150
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.2150
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.2350
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.2300
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.2300
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.2300
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.2300
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.2400
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.2500
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.2500
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102403289.50, Sell volume: 5783461.40, Average price: 0.5655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.2550
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.2550
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.2500
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.2500
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.2500
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.2500
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.2500
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.2500
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.2500
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.2350
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.2350
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.2350
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.2350
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.2300
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.2300
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.2300
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.2150
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.2150
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.2150
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102403289.50, Sell volume: 5783461.40, Average price: 0.5655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.1950
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.1850
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.1750
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.1750
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.1650
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.1800
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.1850
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.1850
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.1850
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.1750
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.1650
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.1650
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.2050
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.1750
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.1800
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.1850
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.1850
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.1900
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.1900
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.1850
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.1850
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.1850
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.1800
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.1800
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.1800
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.1850
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.1850
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.1900
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.1750
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.1800
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.1750
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.1700
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.1800
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.1800
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.1800
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.1800
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49950, Buy volume: 5773724.04, Sell volume: 359640.00, Average price: 0.4705, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.1800
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.1800
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.1800
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.2050
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.1900
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.1900
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.2150
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.2050
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.2100
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.2100
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.2100
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.2050
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.1850
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.1850
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.1850
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.2050
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.2200
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.2450
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.2250
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.2350
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.2400
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.1900
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.1900
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.1850
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.2150
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.2100
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.2100
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.2050
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.2000
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 549450, Buy volume: 69990690.44, Sell volume: 3406150.44, Average price: 0.5585, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.2550
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.2550
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.2850
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.2600
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.2400
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.2400
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.2350
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.2550
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.2900
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.3100
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0135
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.0245
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0145
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0350
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.0325
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0050
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0010
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0010
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0020
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0010
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0010
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0010
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.0010
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 366453, Buy volume: 20768566.16, Sell volume: 1956811.05, Average price: 0.5788, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.0010
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.0025
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1161.06, Sell volume: 8317.83, Average price: 0.7493, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0070
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0075
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0070
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0065
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.0045
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0040
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0055
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0055
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0020
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0020
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0020
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0020
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 4305.11, Sell volume: 20015.75, Average price: 0.4992, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0020
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1450.86, Sell volume: 1363.02, Average price: 0.5650, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0045
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0050
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0045
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0045
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0045
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0045
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0055
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0055
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0040
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1861.20, Sell volume: 5860.99, Average price: 0.6891, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 45.05, Sell volume: 1262.68, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0020
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0030
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0030
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.0030
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0030
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0030
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 4.04, Sell volume: 16042.73, Average price: 0.2011, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.0025
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0025
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1.43, Sell volume: 5384.62, Average price: 0.1443, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.0025
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0025
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0025
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.0030
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.0030
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0030
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.0030
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0030
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.0030
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0030
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0030
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.0030
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.0030
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0030
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.0025
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0025
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.0025
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0020
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.0020
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.0020
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0020
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 42849.92, Sell volume: 121.96, Average price: 0.9504, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.5000
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.3600
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.6800
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.2150
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.7850
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.2150
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.7900
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.7950
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.7800
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.2000
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.7950
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.7950
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.2200
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.7800
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.2150
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.7850
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.2150
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.7850
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.7900
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.2150
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.7650
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.2300
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102403289.50, Sell volume: 5783461.40, Average price: 0.5655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.2550
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.7450
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.7500
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.2500
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.7500
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.2500
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.7550
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.2450
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.7500
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.2350
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.7700
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.2250
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.7750
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.2350
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.7650
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.2300
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.7700
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.2300
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.7700
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.7750
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.7800
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.2200
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.7850
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.2250
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 102403289.50, Sell volume: 5783461.40, Average price: 0.5655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.8050
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.8050
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.8100
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.1750
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.8250
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.1800
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.8150
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.1850
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.8250
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.1650
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.7950
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.1800
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.8100
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.1850
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.8100
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.1900
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.8000
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.8150
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.8200
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.1800
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.8150
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.1850
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.8100
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.1800
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49950, Buy volume: 5773724.04, Sell volume: 359640.00, Average price: 0.4705, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.1800
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.8200
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.8050
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.2050
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.8100
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.8100
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.2050
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.8000
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.8000
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.8000
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.2100
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.7900
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.8050
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.8150
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.2050
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.7800
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.2450
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.7750
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.2400
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.8100
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.1850
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 549450, Buy volume: 69990690.44, Sell volume: 3406150.44, Average price: 0.5585, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.2550
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.7450
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.2600
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.7600
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.2350
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.7450
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.3100
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.9865
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0145
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.9650
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0050
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.9970
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.9975
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.9980
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.9990
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.9990
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.9980
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0020
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 366453, Buy volume: 20768566.16, Sell volume: 1956811.05, Average price: 0.5788, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.9995
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9995
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.0010
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.9985
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.9980
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.9980
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0020
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.9975
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.9970
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.9970
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1161.06, Sell volume: 8317.83, Average price: 0.7493, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.9975
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.9975
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.0030
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.9970
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9970
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9930
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0070
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.9935
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0040
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9945
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9980
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9980
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0020
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 4305.11, Sell volume: 20015.75, Average price: 0.4992, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9985
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9985
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.9985
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9985
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9985
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9980
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9980
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9980
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9980
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1450.86, Sell volume: 1363.02, Average price: 0.5650, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9975
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0025
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9975
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0040
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0045
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9950
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0050
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9955
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0045
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9955
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0055
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1861.20, Sell volume: 5860.99, Average price: 0.6891, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 45.05, Sell volume: 1262.68, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9965
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9965
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0035
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9965
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0030
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9970
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0030
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9970
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9975
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 4.04, Sell volume: 16042.73, Average price: 0.2011, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9975
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9975
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.9975
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.9975
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0025
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.9975
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9975
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.9975
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.9975
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.9975
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.9975
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9975
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1.43, Sell volume: 5384.62, Average price: 0.1443, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523367
Question: Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 610645.188027
Price History:
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.9975
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9975
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0025
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.9975
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.0030
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.9970
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0030
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.9970
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0030
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.9970
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0030
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9970
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.9970
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.9970
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.9970
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9970
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.9970
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9975
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0025
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.9975
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0020
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 42849.92, Sell volume: 121.96, Average price: 0.9504, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545725
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2294538.94302
Price History:
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.5300
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4700
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.2600
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.7400
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.2650
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.7350
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.2600
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.7400
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.7450
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.2600
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.7400
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.2600
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.7400
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.2700
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.7300
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.2750
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.7250
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.2650
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.7350
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.2650
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.7350
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.2650
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.7350
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.2800
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.7200
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.3150
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.6850
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.3200
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.6800
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.3050
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.6950
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.2950
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.7050
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.3150
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.6850
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.3200
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.6800
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.3200
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.6800
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.3150
2025-05-20 13:00: 0.6850
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.3150
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.6850
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.3100
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.6900
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.3200
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.6800
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.2950
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 180191041.18, Sell volume: 68471957.04, Average price: 0.5406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545725
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2294538.94302
Price History:
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.7050
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.2800
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.7200
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.2800
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.7200
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.2900
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.7100
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.2950
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.7050
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.2900
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.7100
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.2900
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.7100
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.2950
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.7050
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.2950
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.7050
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.2950
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.7050
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.2950
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.7050
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.2850
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.2950
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.7050
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.2950
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.7050
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.2850
2025-05-21 10:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.2850
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.2850
2025-05-21 12:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.2750
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.7250
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.2750
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.7250
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.2850
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.2850
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.2850
2025-05-21 17:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.2850
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 180191041.18, Sell volume: 68471957.04, Average price: 0.5406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545725
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2294538.94302
Price History:
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.2850
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.2850
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.2850
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.7150
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.2850
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.7150
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.2850
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.7150
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.2850
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.7150
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.2850
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.7150
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.2850
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.7150
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.2800
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.7200
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.2750
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.7250
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.2750
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.7250
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.2700
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.7300
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.7300
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.2750
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.7250
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.2650
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.7350
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.2600
2025-05-22 12:00: 0.7400
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.2600
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.7400
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.2650
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.7350
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.2750
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.7250
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.2750
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.7250
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.2750
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.7250
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.2750
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.7250
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.2750
2025-05-22 19:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 180191041.18, Sell volume: 68471957.04, Average price: 0.5406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545725
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2294538.94302
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.2750
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.7250
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.2750
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.7250
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.2800
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.7200
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.2850
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.7150
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.7150
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.2750
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.7250
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.2800
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.7200
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.2800
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.7200
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.2800
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.7200
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.2800
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.7200
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.2800
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.7200
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.2800
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.7200
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.2900
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.7100
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.2800
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.7200
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.7150
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.2800
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.7200
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.2800
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.7200
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.7150
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.2900
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.7100
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.2900
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.7100
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.7150
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.7150
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.2900
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.7100
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.7150
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 180191041.18, Sell volume: 68471957.04, Average price: 0.5406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545725
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2294538.94302
Price History:
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.7150
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.7150
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.2850
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.2900
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.7100
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.2900
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.7100
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.2900
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.7100
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.7150
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.2750
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.7250
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.2650
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.7350
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.2600
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.7400
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.2600
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.7400
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.2600
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 180191041.18, Sell volume: 68471957.04, Average price: 0.5406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545725
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2294538.94302
Price History:
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.2600
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.7400
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.2600
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.7400
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.2600
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.7400
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.2600
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.7400
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.2600
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.7400
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.2600
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.7400
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 17:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.2600
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.7400
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.2600
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.7400
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.2600
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.7400
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.2600
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 180191041.18, Sell volume: 68471957.04, Average price: 0.5406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 545725
Question: Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2294538.94302
Price History:
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.2600
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.7400
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.2650
2025-05-26 00:00: 0.7350
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.2600
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.7400
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.2550
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.7450
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.2650
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.7350
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.2750
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.2850
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.7150
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.2850
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.7150
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.2750
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.2750
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.2750
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.2750
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.2750
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.2750
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.2750
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.2700
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.7300
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.2700
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.7300
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.2750
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.2750
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.2800
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.7200
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.2800
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.7200
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.2750
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.2750
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.7250
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.2750
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 180191041.18, Sell volume: 68471957.04, Average price: 0.5406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No