Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600820
Question: Will MrBeast say "Explore" during his next video?
Volume: 5942.022965
Price History:
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.2550
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.7450
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.2550
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.7450
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.7450
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.2550
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.2550
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.7450
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.2550
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.7450
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.2550
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.7450
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.2500
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.7500
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.2550
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.7450
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.2550
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.7450
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.2500
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.7500
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.2500
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.7500
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2500
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.7500
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.2550
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.7450
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.7500
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.2500
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.2500
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3300, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.3300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600820
Question: Will MrBeast say "Explore" during his next video?
Volume: 5942.022965
Price History:
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.2500
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.7500
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.2500
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.7500
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.2500
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.7500
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.7500
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.7500
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.2550
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.7450
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.2550
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.7450
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.2550
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.7450
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.7450
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.2550
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7500
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.7500
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.7500
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.7500
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.7500
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.2500
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.7500
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 5920.02, Sell volume: 22.00, Average price: 0.7363, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600820
Question: Will MrBeast say "Explore" during his next video?
Volume: 5942.022965
Price History:
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2600
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.2600
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.7400
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.2600
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.7300
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.2700
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.2700
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.7300
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.7300
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.2700
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.2700
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.7300
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.7350
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.2650
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.7300
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.2700
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.2700
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.2650
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.7350
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.2700
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.7300
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2700
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7900, Price range: 0.7900 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600820
Question: Will MrBeast say "Explore" during his next video?
Volume: 5942.022965
Price History:
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.2750
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.2800
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.7200
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.2800
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.7200
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.2800
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.7200
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.2750
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.2800
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.7200
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.2800
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.7200
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.2800
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.2750
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.7250
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.2800
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.7200
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 5920.02, Sell volume: 22.00, Average price: 0.7363, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600820
Question: Will MrBeast say "Explore" during his next video?
Volume: 5942.022965
Price History:
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.2750
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7300
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.2700
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.2400
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7600
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.2400
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.7600
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.7600
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.2400
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.2400
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.7600
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.2400
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.7600
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.7600
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.2400
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.7600
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.2400
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.2400
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.7600
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.2400
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.7600
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.7600
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.2400
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.2400
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.7600
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.2400
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7600
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.2400
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 5920.02, Sell volume: 22.00, Average price: 0.7363, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600820
Question: Will MrBeast say "Explore" during his next video?
Volume: 5942.022965
Price History:
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.2350
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.7650
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.7650
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.7650
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.2350
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.7600
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.7600
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2300
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.7700
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.7600
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.7600
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.7600
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7600
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2750, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.2800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600820
Question: Will MrBeast say "Explore" during his next video?
Volume: 5942.022965
Price History:
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2400
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7600
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2550
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7450
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2900
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2900
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.2900
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2900
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2900
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2950
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 344.42, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6000, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 600820
Question: Will MrBeast say "Explore" during his next video?
Volume: 5942.022965
Price History:
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4300
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5700
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5100
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.7550
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.2450
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.7600
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 5178.99, Sell volume: 12.00, Average price: 0.9167, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Outcomes: ["$80k", "$90k"]
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.3650
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.6350
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.3000
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.7000
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.2400
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.7600
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.1400
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 6918.99, Sell volume: 104.26, Average price: 0.5533, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Outcomes: ["$80k", "$90k"]
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.1200
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.8800
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.1300
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.8700
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.1900
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.8100
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.1200
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.8800
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0950
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4618.03, Sell volume: 211.88, Average price: 0.7371, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Outcomes: ["$80k", "$90k"]
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.1050
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.8950
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.1350
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.8650
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.1650
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.8350
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.1150
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.8850
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.1350
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3708.94, Sell volume: 507.85, Average price: 0.4878, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Outcomes: ["$80k", "$90k"]
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.1700
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.8300
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.1000
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.9000
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0800
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9200
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.1550
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.8450
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.1800
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 6044.57, Sell volume: 2129.19, Average price: 0.7304, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Outcomes: ["$80k", "$90k"]
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.2850
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.7150
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.2250
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.7750
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.2250
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.7750
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.3300
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.6700
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 208, Buy volume: 98098.80, Sell volume: 4506.98, Average price: 0.5144, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Outcomes: ["$80k", "$90k"]
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.5800
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.4200
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.6150
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.3850
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5650
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.5550
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.4450
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5350
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 4756.38, Sell volume: 7340.60, Average price: 0.4723, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Outcomes: ["$80k", "$90k"]
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5550
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.4450
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.5150
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.4850
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5450
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4550
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4700
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 2852.85, Sell volume: 2065.32, Average price: 0.5160, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5836

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Outcomes: ["$80k", "$90k"]
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.4950
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5050
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.3950
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.6050
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.3700
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.6300
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 6699.84, Sell volume: 789.18, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Outcomes: ["$80k", "$90k"]
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.3800
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.6200
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.3100
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.6900
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.3350
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.6650
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.3750
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.6250
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 31823.19, Sell volume: 443.32, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7080

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Outcomes: ["$80k", "$90k"]
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.4850
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.5150
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.5600
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.4400
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.5400
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.4600
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5300
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 22543.57, Sell volume: 19298.39, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6006

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Outcomes: ["$80k", "$90k"]
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.5900
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.6200
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.3800
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.4950
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5050
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.4550
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5450
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.4700
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 232, Buy volume: 139331.23, Sell volume: 39409.08, Average price: 0.5189, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Outcomes: ["$80k", "$90k"]
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 184, Buy volume: 125010.55, Sell volume: 52713.41, Average price: 0.6591, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Outcomes: ["$80k", "$90k"]
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 184, Buy volume: 125010.55, Sell volume: 52713.41, Average price: 0.6591, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.3650
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.6350
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.3000
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.7000
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.2400
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.7600
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.1800
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.8200
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.1400
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 6918.99, Sell volume: 104.26, Average price: 0.5533, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.1200
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.8800
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.1300
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.8700
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.1900
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.8100
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.1200
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.8800
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0950
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 4618.03, Sell volume: 211.88, Average price: 0.7371, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.1050
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.8950
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.1350
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.8650
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.1650
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.8350
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.1150
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.8850
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.1350
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3708.94, Sell volume: 507.85, Average price: 0.4878, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.1700
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.8300
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.1000
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.9000
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0800
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9200
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.1550
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.8450
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.1800
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 6044.57, Sell volume: 2129.19, Average price: 0.7304, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.2850
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.7150
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.2250
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.7750
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.2250
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.7750
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.3300
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.6700
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 208, Buy volume: 98098.80, Sell volume: 4506.98, Average price: 0.5144, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.5800
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.4200
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.6150
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.3850
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.5650
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.4350
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.5550
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.4450
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.5350
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 4756.38, Sell volume: 7340.60, Average price: 0.4723, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.5550
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.4450
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.5150
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.4850
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.5000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.5450
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.4550
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.4700
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 2852.85, Sell volume: 2065.32, Average price: 0.5160, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.5836
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.4950
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.5050
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.4250
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.5750
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.3950
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.6050
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.3700
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.6300
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 6699.84, Sell volume: 789.18, Average price: 0.5407, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.3800
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.6200
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.3100
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.6900
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.3350
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.6650
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.3750
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.6250
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 31823.19, Sell volume: 443.32, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.7080
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.4850
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.5150
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.4500
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.5500
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.5600
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.4400
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.5400
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.4600
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.5300
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 22543.57, Sell volume: 19298.39, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6006
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.5900
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.4100
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.6200
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.3800
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.4950
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.5050
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.4550
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.5450
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.4700
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 232, Buy volume: 139331.23, Sell volume: 39409.08, Average price: 0.5189, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 184, Buy volume: 125010.55, Sell volume: 52713.41, Average price: 0.6591, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525190
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
Volume: 653194.667892
Price History:
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.5250
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.4750
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0005
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 184, Buy volume: 125010.55, Sell volume: 52713.41, Average price: 0.6591, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.1150
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.0500
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0450
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0365
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0280
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.0250
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0230
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0235
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.0215
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.0215
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.0220
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0170
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0160
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0150
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.0160
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.0165
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.0160
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0150
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.0155
2025-03-18 03:00: 0.0170
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.0160
2025-03-18 19:00: 0.0160
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0160
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.0150
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0145
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.0145
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.0145
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0140
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.0140
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.0145
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.0145
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0140
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0145
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.0145
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.0140
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.0140
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.0135
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0140
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.0130
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.0130
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0135
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.0105
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0105
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0105
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.0105
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.0105
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0105
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0105
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0105
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0120
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0115
2025-03-29 16:00: 0.0110
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0115
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0110
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0115
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0115
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.0110
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0110
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0110
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0110
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0110
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0110
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0115
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0120
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0115
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.0115
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0115
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0200
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0175
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0190
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0180
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0180
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0170
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0170
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0150
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0165
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0150
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0150
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0165
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0165
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.0165
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0140
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0150
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0165
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0165
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0165
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0165
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0165
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0165
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0165
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0170
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0175
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0180
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0165
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0165
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0165
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0155
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0155
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0155
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0175
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0175
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0170
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0175
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0175
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0175
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0175
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0175
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0180
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0180
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0180
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0180
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0150
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0150
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0145
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0165
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.0165
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0150
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0160
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0145
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0155
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.0130
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0130
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.0130
2025-05-12 18:00: 0.0130
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0120
2025-05-13 10:00: 0.0115
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.0115
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0115
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.0115
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0115
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0120
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0110
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.0115
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0115
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0110
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.0120
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0120
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0120
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0120
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0120
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.0115
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0120
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.0090
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.0090
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0090
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0055
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0105
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.0045
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.0085
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.0095
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0095
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0070
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0085
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.0085
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0085
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.0085
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.0085
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.0090
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0070
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0070
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0075
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0075
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0080
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0080
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0145
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0185
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0170
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0155
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0170
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0150
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0150
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.0135
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0180
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.0160
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0130
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0125
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0140
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0135
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0125
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0165
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0155
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0150
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0140
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0135
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0135
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0095
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0085
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0110
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.0105
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0070
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0070
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0055
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0220
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0055
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0050
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0055
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0055
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.0050
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0055
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.0065
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0065
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0065
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0190
2025-06-27 10:00: 0.0085
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.0070
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0150
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0055
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0045
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-04 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0055
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0055
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0065
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0105
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0155
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0120
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0100
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0110
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0125
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.0125
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0125
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0115
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0120
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0105
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0135
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0110
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0115
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0110
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0090
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0105
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0080
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0085
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0080
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0060
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0030
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.0030
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0040
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0030
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0040
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0040
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0040
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.0040
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0040
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0040
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0040
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0040
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9960
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9960
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0035
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0030
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0030
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0030
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9960
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9960
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9960
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9960
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9965
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0030
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9960
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9960
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0040
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0040
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9960
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.0040
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.9965
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.9970
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.9980
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.9975
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.9955
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0045
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9955
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0040
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0040
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0040
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0040
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9960
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9960
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0050
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9950
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9955
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0045
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9955
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9945
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.0055
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9940
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9950
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0010
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9990
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.1150
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9550
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0410
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9750
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.0225
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.9790
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.0220
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9835
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0155
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.9830
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.0155
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9835
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.0150
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.9845
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.0145
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9855
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0140
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.9855
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.0150
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.9855
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.0140
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9860
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0140
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.9865
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.0105
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.9895
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0105
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9895
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0105
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0120
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.9885
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0110
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9885
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.0110
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9885
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0110
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9890
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9885
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.9880
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9880
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.9880
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0120
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9880
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0120
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9880
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0115
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.9885
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0115
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9880
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0120
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9885
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9885
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0175
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0190
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9840
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9850
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0165
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9850
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0165
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9850
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.0165
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9845
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0160
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9835
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0165
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9835
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0165
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9835
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0170
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9830
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0170
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9835
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9840
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0155
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9825
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0160
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9865
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9845
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0155
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9825
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0175
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9825
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0180
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9820
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9850
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9850
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.9835
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.0160
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0155
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-12 13:00: 0.0130
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.9880
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0115
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.9890
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0115
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.9890
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.0115
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.9890
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0120
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.9880
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.0120
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9930
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0085
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.9895
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.9955
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9955
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0070
2025-05-25 19:00: 0.9915
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.0085
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9915
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9935
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0070
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9935
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9925
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9925
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0080
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9920
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0080
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9805
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9850
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.0150
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.0180
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.9850
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0135
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9870
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0130
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9870
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0150
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.9865
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9850
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0155
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9865
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9925
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.9875
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-15 10:00: 0.9880
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0070
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.9930
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0210
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.9950
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.0050
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.9950
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9940
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0055
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.9945
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0050
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.9940
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.9940
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9935
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.9920
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.0085
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.9915
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0070
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9940
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9940
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9965
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0150
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9945
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.9960
2025-07-04 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9960
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0040
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.9960
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9960
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9945
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0065
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9940
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.9940
2025-07-13 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9865
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0115
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9910
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.0125
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9875
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9885
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0120
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9935
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0090
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9885
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0135
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9890
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0260
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.9915
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0080
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9965
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0035
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9965
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.9960
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-30 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9965
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0035
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9960
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0045
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9960
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.9965
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.0035
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.9960
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.0040
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0040
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0040
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0030
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0035
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9970
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9965
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.0040
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0040
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9960
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0035
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0040
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.0040
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0040
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.0040
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0040
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9960
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.9975
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.9975
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.0020
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9950
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.0045
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0045
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.9955
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9960
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0040
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9960
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0050
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9950
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.9950
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0040
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0060
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.9950
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9990
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9990
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9990
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0010
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9990
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9990
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9990
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0010
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9990
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0010
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0005
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9995
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9995
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9995
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527813
Question: Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 10492184.744058
Price History:
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 5583619870.74, Sell volume: 119496731.18, Average price: 0.7655, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6000
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.4000
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3800
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6550
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.6500
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.6650
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.4250
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.3850
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.3900
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.3950
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.3950
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.3950
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.6100
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.3850
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.6100
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.4000
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.3950
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.6100
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.3700
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.3450
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.3450
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.6650
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.3100
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.3150
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 15871.23, Sell volume: 1855.33, Average price: 0.4630, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.6904

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.7050
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.3050
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.3050
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.6550
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.6550
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.6600
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.3400
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.6550
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.6600
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.6700
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.6700
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.3250
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.3250
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.3250
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.3250
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.3250
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.6750
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.3250
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.6750
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.6750
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.6750
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.6750
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.6750
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.6800
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.6800
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.6700
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.6700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.6700
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 4427.10, Sell volume: 1568.11, Average price: 0.4665, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.6100
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.3650
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.3700
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.3650
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.3650
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.3450
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.6550
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.3450
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.6550
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.3450
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.6550
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.3450
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.6550
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.3450
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.3450
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.6600
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.6550
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.6650
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.3350
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.6650
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.3300
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.2050
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.2350
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.7650
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.7700
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.7700
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.2300
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.2300
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.2300
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.2200
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.7800
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.7800
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.7800
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.2200
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4615.23, Sell volume: 5590.57, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.2200
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.7800
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.2200
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.7800
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.2000
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.8000
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.8000
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.8000
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.8000
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.8000
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.8000
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 324.63, Sell volume: 2578.35, Average price: 0.4981, Price range: 0.1813 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1900
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.1900
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.1900
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.1900
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.8100
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.1900
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.8100
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.1900
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8200
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1474.80, Sell volume: 2012.34, Average price: 0.3983, Price range: 0.1797 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1800
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.8200
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.8200
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.8200
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.8200
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.8200
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.8200
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.8200
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.8200
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.8200
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.8200
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.1800
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.1800
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1621.99, Sell volume: 156.25, Average price: 0.5996, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.2550
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.2450
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.2400
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.2500
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7500
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7500
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.7500
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.7500
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7500
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2500
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7500
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2500
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7500
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.2500
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7500
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2500
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7500
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2550
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2550
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2200
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.7900
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.2000
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.8000
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.2000
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.8050
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.1950
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.8000
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 144.31, Sell volume: 4490.26, Average price: 0.6706, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.2750
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.7400
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.2700
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.7300
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.2650
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.2750
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.2850
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.7050
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.3000
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.7050
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.3200
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.6650
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.3200
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.6700
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.2900
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.2650
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.7350
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.2750
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.2650
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.7350
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.2650
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.7250
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.2700
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.7300
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.2700
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.7250
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.2750
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 2093.24, Sell volume: 831.16, Average price: 0.5649, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.7250
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.6650
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.3350
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.6650
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.3350
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.6650
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.3200
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.6800
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.6850
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.3250
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.6750
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.3250
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.6750
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.3350
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.6650
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.3250
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.6700
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.6850
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.7000
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.7000
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.7000
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.7000
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.7000
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.7000
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.7000
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.3150
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.2900
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.7100
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.2900
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.7100
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.7100
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.7100
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.7100
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.7100
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.7100
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.2900
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.2900
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2607.39, Sell volume: 370.31, Average price: 0.5839, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.3250
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.3150
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.3150
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.3150
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.6850
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.6850
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.6850
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.6850
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.3150
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.6850
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.6650
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.5500
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.5750
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.5750
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.5850
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.3700
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.6300
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.6350
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3450
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3450
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3450
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.3500
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.6500
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3600
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.6500
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 433.35, Sell volume: 57.64, Average price: 0.5841, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.3500
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.6500
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.3450
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.3750
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.3750
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.6150
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.3850
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.3850
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.3850
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.3800
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.6200
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.6200
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.3800
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.3800
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.3750
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.3550
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6450
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.6500
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.6500
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2219.98, Sell volume: 159.34, Average price: 0.5152, Price range: 0.3470 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.6550
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.6550
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.6550
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6550
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.6950
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7600
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2400
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7600
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7700
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.1800
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.8300
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.1600
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.8450
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.8200
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.1450
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1600
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1600
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8300
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1600
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.8400
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.8600
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8800
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8800
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1200
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8800
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.8800
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1150
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.8850
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9000
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.1000
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 5808.50, Sell volume: 1995.73, Average price: 0.5122, Price range: 0.0546 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9400
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9645
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0475
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9665
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0335
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9700
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0300
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0355
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0355
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0350
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0150
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9815
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0195
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9725
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9705
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0295
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9670
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9670
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0315
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0325
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9735
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9740
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9720
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9725
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0270
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0200
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9800
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0180
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9820
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0180
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0180
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0180
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9820
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9820
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0180
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9820
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9820
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0180
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0180
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0235
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0230
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9765
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0235
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9760
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9760
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0240
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9715
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 3648.79, Sell volume: 2467.73, Average price: 0.4340, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9858

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.6000
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3750
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6500
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6650
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.3350
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.4250
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.6100
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3950
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.3950
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.6050
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.3900
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.6300
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.3450
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.6550
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.3100
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.3150
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 15871.23, Sell volume: 1855.33, Average price: 0.4630, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.6904
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.6950
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.6550
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.3450
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.6600
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.6600
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.3300
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.6750
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.3250
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.6750
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.3250
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.6750
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.3250
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.3250
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.6800
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.3300
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 4427.10, Sell volume: 1568.11, Average price: 0.4665, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.3650
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.3650
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.6350
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.3450
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.6550
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.3450
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.6550
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.3450
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.6550
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.6600
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.3450
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.6650
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.3300
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7400
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.7650
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.7700
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.2300
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.2200
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.7800
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2200
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 4615.23, Sell volume: 5590.57, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.2200
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.2200
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.2050
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.2000
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.8000
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.8000
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.8000
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.2000
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 324.63, Sell volume: 2578.35, Average price: 0.4981, Price range: 0.1813 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1900
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.1900
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.8100
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.1900
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.8150
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.8100
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.1900
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8150
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.1900
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1474.80, Sell volume: 2012.34, Average price: 0.3983, Price range: 0.1797 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.1800
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.1800
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.8200
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.8150
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.1800
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.8200
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.8200
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.8200
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.8200
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.8200
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.1800
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.8200
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.1800
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.8200
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1800
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1621.99, Sell volume: 156.25, Average price: 0.5996, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.7450
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7500
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2500
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7500
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.2500
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7500
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.2500
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.2750
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.2500
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2200
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.8050
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2000
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.8050
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.2000
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 144.31, Sell volume: 4490.26, Average price: 0.6706, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.7300
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.7300
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.3100
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.7250
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.7150
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.3000
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.7100
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.3550
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.6700
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.7050
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.7100
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.7300
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.2650
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.7350
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.7350
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.2650
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.7300
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 2093.24, Sell volume: 831.16, Average price: 0.5649, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.7250
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.3400
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.6650
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.3350
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.6800
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.6800
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.6750
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.6750
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.6750
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.3350
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.6750
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.3150
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.6850
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.3000
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.3000
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.7000
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.7000
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.2950
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.2900
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.7100
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.2900
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.7100
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.7100
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2607.39, Sell volume: 370.31, Average price: 0.5839, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.3250
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.6800
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.3150
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.6850
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.3150
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.6850
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.6650
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.3950
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5650
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.3700
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.3650
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.6550
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.3450
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3450
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.6550
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.3550
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.6450
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 433.35, Sell volume: 57.64, Average price: 0.5841, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3500
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.6450
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.6250
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.3850
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.6150
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.6150
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.3800
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.3800
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.6250
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6400
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.3600
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6450
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.3500
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2219.98, Sell volume: 159.34, Average price: 0.5152, Price range: 0.3470 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.3450
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.6550
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6550
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7500
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2400
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.2300
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.2050
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.1700
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.8400
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.8200
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.1450
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.1950
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.8400
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.1700
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.1600
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.8800
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.8800
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.1200
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.1250
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.8900
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 5808.50, Sell volume: 1995.73, Average price: 0.5122, Price range: 0.0546 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 617759
Question: Will the next government funding bill be a clean CR?
Volume: 79194.201648
Price History:
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0600
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9500
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0415
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9665
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0300
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9700
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0355
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9790
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0185
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9725
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9705
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0330
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0315
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9665
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9720
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9725
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9800
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0200
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9820
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0180
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0180
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9820
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0180
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0180
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0235
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9765
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9760
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9760
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 3648.79, Sell volume: 2467.73, Average price: 0.4340, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9858
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641835
Question: Will MapLight not IPO by December 31, 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3117.732699
Price History:
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.5050
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9600
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0450
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 120.00, Sell volume: 29.00, Average price: 0.2775, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9400

Output: No