Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.9620
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.0365
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.9645
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0365
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.9645
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.0360
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9715
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.0310
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9735
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.0290
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.9725
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0290
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9725
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.0290
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9710
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0290
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9720
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0285
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9735
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0285
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9755
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0235
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.9770
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9750
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0220
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9740
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0240
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9760
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0240
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.9760
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0250
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9745
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0245
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9755
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.0245
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9755
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0280
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9720
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0280
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9720
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0280
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.9720
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0280
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9715
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0285
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9705
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0295
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9705
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 394.80, Sell volume: 5372.46, Average price: 0.9176, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9770

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0325
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9705
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0295
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.9705
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0315
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9700
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0315
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9725
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0275
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9730
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0270
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9730
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0270
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9710
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0290
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9710
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0290
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9710
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0285
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9715
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0295
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.9710
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0290
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9710
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0290
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.9710
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0290
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9720
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0280
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9720
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0280
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9720
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0275
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9720
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0280
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.9740
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0265
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9740
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0210
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.9780
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0230
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.9790
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0210
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.9790
2025-02-13 09:00: 0.0210
2025-02-13 12:00: 0.9815
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0200
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.9800
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.0210
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 8446.90, Sell volume: 7097.11, Average price: 0.9314, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9810

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9810
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.0190
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.9810
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.0190
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.9810
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.0190
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.9810
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.0190
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9810
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0190
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.9810
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.0190
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.9810
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.0190
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9810
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.0190
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.9810
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.0190
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.9810
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.0190
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9825
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.0175
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.9825
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0175
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.9825
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0175
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9830
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0170
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9830
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0170
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.9830
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.0170
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.9830
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.0170
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.9830
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.0170
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.9830
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.0170
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.9830
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.0170
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.9830
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.0170
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.9830
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.0170
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.9830
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0170
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9830
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0170
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9825
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 498.74, Sell volume: 133.77, Average price: 0.8446, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9840

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0175
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.9825
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0175
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9825
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0175
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.9825
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0175
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.9825
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0175
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.9825
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.0175
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.9825
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.0175
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.9825
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.0175
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.9825
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0175
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.9825
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0175
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.9825
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0175
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.9825
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.0175
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.9825
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0175
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.9825
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.0175
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.9835
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.0165
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.9835
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0165
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.9835
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0165
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.9835
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0165
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.9835
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0165
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.9835
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0165
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.9835
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0165
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.9835
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0165
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.9835
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0165
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.9865
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0135
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.9865
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0135
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 5316.82, Sell volume: 8846.21, Average price: 0.7762, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9870

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.9865
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0135
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.9865
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0135
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.9865
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0135
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9885
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0115
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.9885
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0110
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.9890
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0110
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.9900
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.0100
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.9900
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0100
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.9895
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0105
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.9900
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0100
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.9850
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.0135
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9900
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0235
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9795
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0100
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0100
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0105
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0105
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9895
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0105
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.9895
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0105
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.9895
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0105
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9895
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0105
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0105
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0105
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0100
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9900
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 399, Buy volume: 26725.94, Sell volume: 66620.96, Average price: 0.0720, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0070
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9930
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0070
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9930
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0085
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9915
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0085
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9915
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9925
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0075
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9925
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9925
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0075
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9925
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9925
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9925
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9925
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9925
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9925
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0075
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9920
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0085
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0085
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9930
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0075
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9935
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0075
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9925
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.9935
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0055
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0070
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0060
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10620.05, Sell volume: 11123.31, Average price: 0.2884, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9940
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0060
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9940
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0060
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9940
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.0060
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.9940
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0060
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9970
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0010
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.9990
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 66674.21, Sell volume: 17008.26, Average price: 0.5201, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.5500
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.9300
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.9545
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.9450
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.9440
2025-01-01 10:00: 0.9430
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.9495
2025-01-01 18:00: 0.9565
2025-01-01 22:00: 0.9525
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.9635
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.9535
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.9520
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.9525
2025-01-02 18:00: 0.9645
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.9530
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.9585
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.9600
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.9635
2025-01-03 14:00: 0.9625
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.9620
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.9630
2025-01-04 02:00: 0.9645
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.9645
2025-01-04 10:00: 0.9640
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.9635
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.9635
2025-01-04 22:00: 0.9635
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.9635
2025-01-05 06:00: 0.9635
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 32532443.16, Sell volume: 35276292.82, Average price: 0.9477, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.0090
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0060
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0010
2025-01-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 00:00: 0.0030
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0035
2025-01-07 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0035
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0070
2025-01-08 04:00: 0.0070
2025-01-08 08:00: 0.0075
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.0070
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-09 00:00: 0.0030
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0030
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.0030
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.0070
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0070
2025-01-09 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.0090
2025-01-10 04:00: 0.0090
2025-01-10 08:00: 0.0090
2025-01-10 12:00: 0.0090
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.0090
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0100
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 675324, Buy volume: 19839922.49, Sell volume: 26879933.16, Average price: 0.9564, Price range: 0.0031 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.9925
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.9925
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.9925
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.9920
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.9920
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.9920
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.9915
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.9915
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.9900
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.9905
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9900
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.9905
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.9905
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.9920
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.9910
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.9900
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.9900
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.9910
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.9900
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.9880
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9875
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.9875
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.9905
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.9900
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.9880
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.9880
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.9890
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.9890
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.9885
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 323730, Buy volume: 12537750.65, Sell volume: 8267758.06, Average price: 0.9308, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0120
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.0120
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0120
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.0120
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.0120
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0125
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.0120
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0130
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.0120
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0120
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0120
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.0120
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.0120
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0120
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0115
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0135
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.0135
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.0120
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 767.80, Sell volume: 5448.14, Average price: 0.8091, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.9900
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.9895
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.9895
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.9900
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9895
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9895
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9895
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9895
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9895
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9895
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9890
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9890
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.9890
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.9890
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.9890
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.9890
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.9890
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.9885
2025-01-26 00:00: 0.9885
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.9885
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.9885
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.9885
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.9880
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.9875
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.9875
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.9875
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.9865
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.9865
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.9865
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 271.32, Sell volume: 490.04, Average price: 0.9675, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.0120
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.0120
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0120
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0120
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0120
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0120
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.0120
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.0110
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0110
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0110
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0110
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0115
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0115
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0110
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0115
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0115
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0110
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0115
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0115
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0120
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0120
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0110
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0110
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0110
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0105
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0105
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0110
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0115
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0335
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 35053.43, Sell volume: 6452.28, Average price: 0.7380, Price range: 0.0092 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.9620
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.9640
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.9645
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.9640
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9695
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9735
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9715
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.9710
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9710
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9710
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9720
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9735
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9725
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.9765
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.9760
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.9750
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9770
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9760
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9760
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.9760
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9745
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.9755
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9755
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9720
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.9720
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9720
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9720
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.9720
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.9715
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 394.80, Sell volume: 5372.46, Average price: 0.9176, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0325
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0300
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0295
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0295
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0315
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0275
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0270
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0270
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0285
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0290
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0290
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0285
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0285
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0290
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0290
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0290
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0290
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0280
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0280
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0280
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0275
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0280
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0260
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0260
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0220
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0230
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0210
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.0210
2025-02-13 11:00: 0.0210
2025-02-13 15:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 8446.90, Sell volume: 7097.11, Average price: 0.9314, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.9810
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.9810
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.9810
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.9810
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.9810
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.9810
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.9810
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.9810
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9810
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.9810
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.9810
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.9810
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.9810
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.9825
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9825
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.9825
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9830
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9830
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9830
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9830
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.9830
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9830
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.9830
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.9830
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.9830
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.9830
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.9830
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9830
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.9830
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 498.74, Sell volume: 133.77, Average price: 0.8446, Price range: 0.0180 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0175
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.0175
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0175
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0175
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0175
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0175
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0175
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.0175
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0175
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.0175
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0175
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.0175
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0175
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0175
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.0175
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0175
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0175
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.0165
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.0165
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.0165
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0165
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.0165
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0165
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0165
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.0165
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0165
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0165
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0165
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.0165
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 5316.82, Sell volume: 8846.21, Average price: 0.7762, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.9865
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.9865
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.9865
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.9865
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.9885
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.9885
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9890
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.9890
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.9900
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.9900
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.9895
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.9895
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.9895
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9865
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.9815
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9795
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9900
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9895
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9895
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9895
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9895
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 399, Buy volume: 26725.94, Sell volume: 66620.96, Average price: 0.0720, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0070
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0070
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0070
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0085
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0085
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0075
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0075
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0075
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0075
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0075
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0075
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0085
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0085
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0075
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0075
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0065
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0055
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 10620.05, Sell volume: 11123.31, Average price: 0.2884, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516945
Question: Trudeau out in 2025?
Volume: 400791.14556
Price History:
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9940
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9940
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9940
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9940
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9940
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9970
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9990
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9990
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 66674.21, Sell volume: 17008.26, Average price: 0.5201, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.3950
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.4050
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.4050
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4050
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.5950
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 860.10, Sell volume: 209.00, Average price: 0.4937, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.3600
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.6600
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7650
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.3000
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.3000
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.7000
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.2800
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.7200
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.2700
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.7300
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.89, Sell volume: 82.42, Average price: 0.5088, Price range: 0.1237 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2750
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7250
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.3200
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.6350
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.7000
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.2800
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.7200
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.2800
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.7200
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.7150
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.2750
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.7250
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.2450
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 63.88, Sell volume: 8.88, Average price: 0.6289, Price range: 0.2455 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3000
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.7000
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.7100
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2850
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.7150
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2850
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.7150
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 10258.66, Sell volume: 815.29, Average price: 0.5546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.2700
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.7300
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.2750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.7250
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.2750
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.7250
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.2800
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.7200
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.2800
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.7200
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.2800
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.2800
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.7200
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.2800
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.2800
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.2800
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.7200
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.2850
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.2850
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4475, Price range: 0.4475 - 0.4475

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.3100
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.6900
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.6850
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.3200
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.6800
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.3200
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6800
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3250
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.3250
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.3300
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.3350
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.6650
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.3350
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.6650
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.3400
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6600
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7400, Price range: 0.7400 - 0.7400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.2700
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.2700
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.2700
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2700
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2700
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.2450
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.7600
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.2450
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7550
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.6900
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.3100
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.6900
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.2900
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4418, Price range: 0.4368 - 0.4468

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.6300
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.3700
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.6300
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.3700
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5400
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.5300
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4700
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5250
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.4750
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.4450
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.5550
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4450
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5550
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5650
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 10258.66, Sell volume: 815.29, Average price: 0.5546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 10258.66, Sell volume: 815.29, Average price: 0.5546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 10258.66, Sell volume: 815.29, Average price: 0.5546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.3400
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6600
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3500
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6500
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.3450
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.3450
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.3100
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.3100
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.3100
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.3100
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.6900
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.3150
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 10258.66, Sell volume: 815.29, Average price: 0.5546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6800
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3200
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6800
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3600
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.3600
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3400
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6600
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.3400
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.6600
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.3400
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.6600
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.3400
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.6600
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.2950
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.7050
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.3050
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.3100
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 10258.66, Sell volume: 815.29, Average price: 0.5546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.7450
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.2500
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.7500
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.2500
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.7500
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.2500
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.7500
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.2500
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.7500
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.2450
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.2450
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.2450
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.2450
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.7550
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.2500
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.7750
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.2200
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.7800
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0300
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9700
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0880
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9120
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0855
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9145
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0805
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9195
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 7806.86, Sell volume: 514.99, Average price: 0.7408, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.5150
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.4900
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.5100
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3950
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.4850
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 860.10, Sell volume: 209.00, Average price: 0.4937, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.6050
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.3600
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.3400
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.6600
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.2350
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.7650
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.2750
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.7250
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2900
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.2650
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.7350
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.2600
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7400
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 13.89, Sell volume: 82.42, Average price: 0.5088, Price range: 0.1237 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.2750
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.7250
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.6950
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.3550
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.6450
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.3200
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.6800
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.2850
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.2900
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.7100
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 63.88, Sell volume: 8.88, Average price: 0.6289, Price range: 0.2455 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.2500
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.7500
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3000
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.7000
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3000
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.7000
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.7100
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.2900
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.7100
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.3100
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.6900
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2850
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.7150
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.2850
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.7150
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.2700
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.7300
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 10258.66, Sell volume: 815.29, Average price: 0.5546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.2650
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.7350
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.2700
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.7300
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.2750
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.7250
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.2750
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.7250
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.2800
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.7200
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.2800
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.7200
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.2800
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.7200
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.2800
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4475, Price range: 0.4475 - 0.4475
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.3100
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.6900
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.6850
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.3200
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.6800
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.3200
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6800
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3250
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.3250
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.3250
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.6750
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.3300
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.6700
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.3300
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.6700
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.3300
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.6700
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.3350
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.6650
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 21.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7400, Price range: 0.7400 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.2600
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7400
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.2700
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.2700
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.2700
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2700
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7300
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.2700
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.2700
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7300
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.2450
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7550
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.2400
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.7600
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.2450
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4418, Price range: 0.4368 - 0.4468
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.6300
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.3700
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.6300
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.3700
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4900
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5100
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5450
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4550
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5400
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4600
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 10258.66, Sell volume: 815.29, Average price: 0.5546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.4350
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.5500
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.4000
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.6000
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4150
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 10258.66, Sell volume: 815.29, Average price: 0.5546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.4050
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.5950
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 10258.66, Sell volume: 815.29, Average price: 0.5546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.3400
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6600
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.6350
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3500
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6500
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.3500
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.6500
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.3250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.3350
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.6650
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.3450
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.6550
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.3450
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 10258.66, Sell volume: 815.29, Average price: 0.5546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.3200
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.6800
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.3250
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.6750
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4450
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.3650
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3200
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.6800
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.3600
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.3600
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3600
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.3600
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.3400
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.6600
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 10258.66, Sell volume: 815.29, Average price: 0.5546, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666069
Question: Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 11073.945687
Price History:
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.7450
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.2500
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.7500
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.2500
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.7500
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.2500
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.7500
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.2500
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.7500
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.2450
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.2450
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.7550
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.2450
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.7550
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.2400
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.7600
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.2450
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.7550
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.2500
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.7500
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.2350
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.7650
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.2300
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.7700
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.2250
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 7806.86, Sell volume: 514.99, Average price: 0.7408, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 758942
Question: XRP Up or Down - November 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Volume: 10268.024307
Price History:
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 308, Buy volume: 9079.66, Sell volume: 1188.36, Average price: 0.5911, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666070
Question: Will Condoleezza Rice attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23595.5447
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.2350
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.7650
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.7000
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1600
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.8400
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1800
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.1600
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.8400
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1450
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.8550
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.1350
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 274.78, Sell volume: 35.00, Average price: 0.6094, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666070
Question: Will Condoleezza Rice attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23595.5447
Price History:
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0550
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9300
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 70.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666070
Question: Will Condoleezza Rice attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23595.5447
Price History:
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 51.05, Sell volume: 85.00, Average price: 0.5820, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666070
Question: Will Condoleezza Rice attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23595.5447
Price History:
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9300
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9250
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.06, Sell volume: 1.06, Average price: 0.9250, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666070
Question: Will Condoleezza Rice attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23595.5447
Price History:
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9300
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 31.91, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666070
Question: Will Condoleezza Rice attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23595.5447
Price History:
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9250
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 60.49, Sell volume: 1.05, Average price: 0.9350, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666070
Question: Will Condoleezza Rice attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23595.5447
Price History:
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 60.48, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666070
Question: Will Condoleezza Rice attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23595.5447
Price History:
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666070
Question: Will Condoleezza Rice attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23595.5447
Price History:
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 320.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3633, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666070
Question: Will Condoleezza Rice attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23595.5447
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9400
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.8100
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.2550
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7450
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.2700
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.7300
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.2600
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.7400
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.2700
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.7300
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.2700
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.7300
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.3150
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6850
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3600
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6400
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 290.00, Sell volume: 96.91, Average price: 0.3822, Price range: 0.0772 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666070
Question: Will Condoleezza Rice attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23595.5447
Price History:
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5800
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4250
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.4350
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 120, Buy volume: 21745.95, Sell volume: 1849.59, Average price: 0.5971, Price range: 0.0028 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666070
Question: Will Condoleezza Rice attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23595.5447
Price History:
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.5650
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.5850
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4150
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.4150
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 88.00, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.5128, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 666070
Question: Will Condoleezza Rice attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23595.5447
Price History:
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.3900
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.6100
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.3900
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.6100
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.3900
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.6100
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.3900
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.6100
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.3900
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.3900
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.6100
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.3900
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.6100
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.3900
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.6100
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.3900
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.6100
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.3900
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.6100
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.3900
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.3900
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.6100
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.3800
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.6200
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.1250
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.7800
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.2200
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9735
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0265
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9735
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0265
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9790
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0210
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9740
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0260
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9750
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0250
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9730
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 4499.25, Sell volume: 1429.51, Average price: 0.5261, Price range: 0.0028 - 0.9954

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 666070
Question: Will Condoleezza Rice attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
Volume: 23595.5447
Price History:
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.2350
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.7650
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.3000
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.7000
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.1600
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.8400
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.1800
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.8200
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1750
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.8250
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.8300
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.1700
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.8300
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.1700
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 274.78, Sell volume: 35.00, Average price: 0.6094, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes