Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 399.92, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 696.93, Sell volume: 2151.08, Average price: 0.9181, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7.36, Sell volume: 892.63, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9700
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0295
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0295
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0225
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9815
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9840
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9845
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9840
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9845
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0135
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9870
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0130
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9870
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0130
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9870
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0125
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9870
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0130
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9895
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 51.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6630, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9925
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9925
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9925
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0050
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9955
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9925
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 788.46, Sell volume: 336.42, Average price: 0.7877, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0065
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9930
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 301.09, Sell volume: 851.40, Average price: 0.8657, Price range: 0.0019 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9950
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9950
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9955
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0050
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9960
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 1.42, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 100.20, Sell volume: 311.62, Average price: 0.3992, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 474.73, Sell volume: 19.44, Average price: 0.8723, Price range: 0.0057 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1128.04, Sell volume: 343.05, Average price: 0.8971, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 239.05, Sell volume: 843.57, Average price: 0.7050, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 2035.33, Sell volume: 230.69, Average price: 0.9808, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 399.92, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 696.93, Sell volume: 2151.08, Average price: 0.9181, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641814
Question: Will Luke Martin win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12306.056329
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 7.36, Sell volume: 892.63, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0350
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0345
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0300
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9705
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0295
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0295
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0255
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0255
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0255
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0255
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0255
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0245
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0245
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0245
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0240
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0240
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9775
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9775
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0225
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0225
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0225
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0235
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0245
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0225
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0225
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0225
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0225
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0225
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0230
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0225
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0225
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0230
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0230
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0225
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0225
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0225
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0220
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0220
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0220
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0220
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 67.95, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5120, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0220
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0220
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0215
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0215
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0220
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0255
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0260
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0260
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0265
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0260
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0275
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0285
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0285
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0260
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0260
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0215
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0205
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0205
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0205
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0205
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0265
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0265
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0265
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0255
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0245
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 716.57, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.9356, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0210
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0225
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0220
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0215
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0225
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0225
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0225
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0220
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0210
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0205
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0200
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0180
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0180
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0175
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0175
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0175
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0130
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0120
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0130
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0110
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0110
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0110
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 300.08, Sell volume: 232.77, Average price: 0.8937, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9870

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0105
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0105
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0105
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0060
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0045
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0100
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0100
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0100
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0100
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 320.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 15.16, Sell volume: 15.15, Average price: 0.9952, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 315.34, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1443.44, Sell volume: 93.05, Average price: 0.8970, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 213.46, Sell volume: 468.75, Average price: 0.7051, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 2542.60, Sell volume: 30.69, Average price: 0.9810, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0110
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0110
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0905
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.1190
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.1070
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0940
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0880
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0760
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0720
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0615
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0565
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0725
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0760
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0760
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0760
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0760
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0775
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0760
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0765
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0765
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0715
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0715
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0705
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0705
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0705
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0710
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0710
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0695
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0710
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0710
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0710
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1641.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0116, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0710
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0710
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0755
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0755
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0770
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0910
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0760
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0760
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0760
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0760
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0760
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0760
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0760
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0760
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0760
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0810
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0805
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0810
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0780
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0795
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0795
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0790
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0870
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0920
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2245
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4245
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5655
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6445
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8000
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8345
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8180
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8170
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8465
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8320
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8355
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.8355
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8415
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8600
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8575
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8600
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8090
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7980
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8485
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8525
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8565
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8850
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8945
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171, Buy volume: 62651.26, Sell volume: 8680.91, Average price: 0.4287, Price range: 0.0105 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.7770
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.7770
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.8235
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.8370
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.8505
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.8785
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.8770
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.8915
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.8760
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.8755
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.8820
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.8840
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.8900
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.8655
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.8665
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.8655
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.8655
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.8655
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.8630
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.8670
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.8670
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.8960
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9005
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.7885
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.4365
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5995
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5435
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.5465
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5830
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.6870
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.6865
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.6920
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.7440
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.7930
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.7445
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.8380
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9625
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9765
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9705
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9910
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9910
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9910
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 309, Buy volume: 121750.81, Sell volume: 18049.16, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9650
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0300
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0295
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9700
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0295
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9745
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0255
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9745
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9755
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0245
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9760
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9770
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0225
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0225
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9765
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0225
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9765
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9775
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0225
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9775
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0235
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9770
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0225
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9770
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0225
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 67.95, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5120, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9775
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0225
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9780
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0215
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9785
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0255
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9740
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0265
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9740
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0285
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9715
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0260
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9785
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0205
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9795
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9850
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9850
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9850
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0150
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9850
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0265
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9735
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0245
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9765
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0235
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 716.57, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.9356, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0235
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9765
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9770
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9790
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0230
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9775
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0215
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0235
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9765
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0225
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9775
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0220
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9790
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0200
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9820
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0175
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9825
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0130
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 300.08, Sell volume: 232.77, Average price: 0.8937, Price range: 0.0022 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0085
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9915
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0100
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0105
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9910
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0100
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0105
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9930
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9925
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9955
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9965
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0100
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9925
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0100
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9910
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 320.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0085
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9910
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9920
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9925
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9920
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9925
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 15.16, Sell volume: 15.15, Average price: 0.9952, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9965
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 315.34, Average price: 0.7988, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1443.44, Sell volume: 93.05, Average price: 0.8970, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9945
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 213.46, Sell volume: 468.75, Average price: 0.7051, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 2542.60, Sell volume: 30.69, Average price: 0.9810, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9935
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9940
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9890
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0905
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.8810
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0940
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9120
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0720
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9385
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0725
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9240
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0760
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9240
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0760
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9235
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0715
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9285
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0705
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9295
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0710
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1641.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0116, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.0200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0710
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9290
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0755
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9230
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0910
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9240
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0760
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9240
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0760
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9240
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0760
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9190
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0810
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9220
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0795
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9210
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0920
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.7755
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.5655
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3555
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8345
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1820
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8465
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1680
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.8355
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1585
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8575
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.7980
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171, Buy volume: 62651.26, Sell volume: 8680.91, Average price: 0.4287, Price range: 0.0105 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641816
Question: Will gmoney win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 219896.815597
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.7770
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.2230
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.8370
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.1495
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.8770
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.1085
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.8755
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1180
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.8900
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.1350
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.8665
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.1345
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.8655
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.1370
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.8670
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.1040
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.7885
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.5635
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.5995
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.5465
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4170
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.6865
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.3080
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.7930
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.2555
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9625
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0235
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9830
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 309, Buy volume: 121750.81, Sell volume: 18049.16, Average price: 0.3967, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9655
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9650
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9705
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9700
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9720
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9725
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9775
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9815
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0155
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0260
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9710
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0295
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.7490
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7500
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0715
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9295
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9310
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9305
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9320
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9330
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9690
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9280
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9280
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9220
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7100
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.6260
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7010
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.7015
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7025
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.7015
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7015
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.7015
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.7015
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.7015
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.7015
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.6805
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.6765
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.6760
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.6750
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.6750
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.6755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 948.17, Sell volume: 160.49, Average price: 0.3503, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.6780
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.6780
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.6780
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.6780
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.6780
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.7980
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.8030
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8140
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.8440
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9505
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9610
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9700
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9745
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9730
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9760
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9755
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9760
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9760
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9760
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9760
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9770
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9770
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9870
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9890
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9900
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9915
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 14278.14, Sell volume: 1424.25, Average price: 0.7372, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9720
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9725
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9710
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9710
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9725
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9720
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9730
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9730
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9725
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9730
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9725
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9730
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9735
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9735
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9755
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9720
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9720
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9720
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9720
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9725
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9705
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9705
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9705
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9705
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9705
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9705
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9705
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9705
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9705
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9710
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9705
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9705
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9710
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9705
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9705
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9705
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9710
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9710
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9880
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9890
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1328.05, Sell volume: 446.97, Average price: 0.8647, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9790

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9890
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9890
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9890
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9890
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9890
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9890
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9890
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9895
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9895
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9785
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9740
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9735
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9735
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9730
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9745
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9730
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9730
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9730
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9735
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9735
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9735
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9735
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9820
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9815
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9805
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9785
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9780
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9845
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9825
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9825
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9830
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9830
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5920
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9230
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9220
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9220
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9235
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9220
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9245
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9220
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9220
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9220
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9220
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2604.58, Sell volume: 1534.78, Average price: 0.3697, Price range: 0.0117 - 0.9852

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9220
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9220
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9220
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9220
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9220
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9220
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9220
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9255
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9275
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9265
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9270
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9270
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9275
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9275
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9205
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9205
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.8665
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.8665
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.8665
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.8665
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.8665
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.8665
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.8665
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.8665
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.8665
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.8660
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.8660
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.8670
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.8670
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.8675
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1659.46, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6054, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9830

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9810
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9715
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9715
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9715
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9715
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9715
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9715
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9715
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9825
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9795
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9825
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9825
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9820
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9815
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9820
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9810
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9805
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9790
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9800
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9795
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9790
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9785
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9805
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9805
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9845
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9845
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9850
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9850
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9845
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9845
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9850
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9855
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9875
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9845
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 87.49, Sell volume: 970.00, Average price: 0.5105, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9845
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9905
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9890
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9905
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9925
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9910
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9925
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9920
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9920
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9900
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9900
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9920
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9920
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9900
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9925
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9910
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9920
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 2455.28, Average price: 0.6653, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1216.06, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.9813, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 178.06, Sell volume: 103.16, Average price: 0.6426, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 1934.38, Sell volume: 1658.10, Average price: 0.9469, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.10, Sell volume: 100.10, Average price: 0.9985, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 275.46, Sell volume: 4432.58, Average price: 0.4616, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 379, Buy volume: 24876.45, Sell volume: 13720.71, Average price: 0.7826, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9650
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0295
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9700
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0280
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9775
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0185
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9845
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0260
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.7490
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9295
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0690
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9320
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0670
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9280
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0720
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7100
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.3740
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.7015
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.2975
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7015
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.2985
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.7015
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.2985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 948.17, Sell volume: 160.49, Average price: 0.3503, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.6780
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.3220
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.6780
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.3220
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.8030
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1860
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9505
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9745
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0270
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9770
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0245
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9760
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0240
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9770
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0230
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 14278.14, Sell volume: 1424.25, Average price: 0.7372, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9720
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0275
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9710
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0275
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9730
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0270
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9730
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0275
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9735
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0265
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9720
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0280
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9720
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0275
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9705
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0295
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9705
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0295
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9705
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0295
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9705
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0295
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9705
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0295
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9710
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0290
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1328.05, Sell volume: 446.97, Average price: 0.8647, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9890
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0110
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9890
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0110
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9890
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0110
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9895
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0215
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9875
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0260
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9735
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0270
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9730
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0270
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9735
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0265
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9735
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0180
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9805
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0215
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9770
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0230
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9845
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0175
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9830
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0170
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9230
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0780
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9235
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2604.58, Sell volume: 1534.78, Average price: 0.3697, Price range: 0.0117 - 0.9852
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9220
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0780
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9220
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0780
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9220
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0745
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9265
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0730
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9275
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0725
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0795
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0795
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0795
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0795
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0795
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9205
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0795
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9205
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0795
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.8665
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.1335
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.8665
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.1335
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.8665
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.1335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 1659.46, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6054, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.8950
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0190
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9715
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0285
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9715
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0285
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9825
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0205
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9825
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0180
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9820
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0190
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9790
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0200
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9790
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0215
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9805
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0195
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9835
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0165
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9845
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0155
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9850
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 87.49, Sell volume: 970.00, Average price: 0.5105, Price range: 0.0280 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9845
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0110
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9925
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0110
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9900
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0100
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9925
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9900
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0100
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9900
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9900
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0100
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9915
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9920
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 2455.28, Average price: 0.6653, Price range: 0.0016 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1216.06, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.9813, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 178.06, Sell volume: 103.16, Average price: 0.6426, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 1934.38, Sell volume: 1658.10, Average price: 0.9469, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.10, Sell volume: 100.10, Average price: 0.9985, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 275.46, Sell volume: 4432.58, Average price: 0.4616, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641818
Question: Will Kaleo win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 38597.155428
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 379, Buy volume: 24876.45, Sell volume: 13720.71, Average price: 0.7826, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571885
Question: Will the Cleveland Browns win a regular season game first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2174.96102
Price History:
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.3100
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.3100
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.3100
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.3100
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.3100
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.3100
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.3100
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.3100
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.3100
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.3150
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.3150
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.3150
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.3150
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.3150
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.3150
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.3150
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.3200
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.3200
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.3200
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.3200
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.3200
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.6750
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.3200
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.3250
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.6750
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 6.88, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.7014, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.8400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571885
Question: Will the Cleveland Browns win a regular season game first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2174.96102
Price History:
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.3250
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.6850
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.6950
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.3200
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.6850
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.7000
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.7050
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.2950
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7150
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.7000
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.7000
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.7000
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.7000
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 09:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.3000
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.7000
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.3000
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.3000
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.3000
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.3000
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.3000
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.7000
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.3000
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.7000
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.7000
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.7000
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.7000
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.7000
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.4800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571885
Question: Will the Cleveland Browns win a regular season game first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2174.96102
Price History:
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.3000
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.7000
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.2950
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.2950
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.2800
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.7300
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.7400
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.7050
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.2850
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.3000
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.3000
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.3000
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.2850
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.3000
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.2700
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.3000
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.2900
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.7000
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.2950
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.2900
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.2800
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.2700
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.3000
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.7000
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.7050
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.2850
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.2750
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.7000
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.7100
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.7050
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.2850
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.3000
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.7300
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.8100
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.8100
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.8100
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.8150
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.8100
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.8300
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.8400
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.8150
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.8100
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.8100
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.8100
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.1900
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.8100
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.1900
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.1900
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 2130.96, Sell volume: 44.00, Average price: 0.6693, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 571885
Question: Will the Cleveland Browns win a regular season game first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2174.96102
Price History:
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.8150
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.1850
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.8150
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.8150
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.1850
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.1850
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.8150
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.8150
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.1850
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.1850
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.8150
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.8850
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.8900
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.8850
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.7950
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.7950
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.7950
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.7950
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.2100
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.2150
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7900
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.7950
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.7950
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.7950
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.2050
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.7950
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.2050
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.7950
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.7950
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.7950
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.7950
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.7950
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.7950
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.2050
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2050
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.7950
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.2100
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.2050
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2050
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.2050
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.7950
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.4950, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8300

Output: No