Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0180
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0180
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0215
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0280
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0255
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0235
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0340
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0375
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0230
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0195
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0250
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0235
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0255
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0260
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0260
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0250
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0240
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0240
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0220
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0245
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0250
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0230
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0195
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0195
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0225
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0260
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0235
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0260
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0245
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0345
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0340
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0285
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0280
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0270
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0105
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0205
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0205
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0210
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0210
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0280
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0275
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0270
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0270
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0270
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0270
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0220
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0245
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0245
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0275
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1366.90, Sell volume: 1339.15, Average price: 0.4743, Price range: 0.0142 - 0.9840

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0390
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0485
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0640
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0625
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0540
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0520
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0530
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0540
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0490
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0515
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0565
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0445
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0560
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0475
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0455
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0455
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0420
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0410
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0425
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0410
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0395
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0385
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0385
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0405
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0525
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0375
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0375
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0375
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0375
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0225
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0185
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0225
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0195
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0250
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0290
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0250
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0285
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0270
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0250
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0310
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0305
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0285
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0200
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0190
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0210
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0210
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0200
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0185
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 2210.90, Sell volume: 2459.10, Average price: 0.5932, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0210
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0205
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0225
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0205
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0220
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0195
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0195
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0200
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0190
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0185
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0185
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0180
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0180
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0175
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0190
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0175
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0175
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0215
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0175
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0240
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0260
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0310
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0320
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0305
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0350
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0345
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0345
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0330
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0340
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0340
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0340
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0340
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0320
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0335
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0345
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0345
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0360
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0350
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0355
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0355
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0360
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0345
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0315
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0340
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0325
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0290
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0285
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0280
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1109.94, Sell volume: 62.48, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0285
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0290
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0295
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0275
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0315
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0285
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0300
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0305
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0275
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0275
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0275
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.0265
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0265
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0255
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.0275
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0260
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0250
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0260
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0270
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0270
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.0280
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0280
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0280
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0280
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0255
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0265
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0270
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0270
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.0270
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0250
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0255
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0255
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0255
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.0255
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0255
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0255
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0260
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0255
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9745
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.9745
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0265
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.0265
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.0260
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0255
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.9745
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9735
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0270
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 985.65, Sell volume: 746.34, Average price: 0.3710, Price range: 0.0233 - 0.9760

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0270
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0285
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0285
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0280
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0255
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9740
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0255
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9750
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9735
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9745
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.9745
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0250
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0255
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0255
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0265
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0265
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9735
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0265
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.9740
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0250
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0265
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0265
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9740
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9740
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0260
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9740
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.9735
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.0260
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.0260
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0260
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0260
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0260
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9735
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.0175
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.0150
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0130
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0135
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.9870
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.9875
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.9880
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.9880
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9945
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9920
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9940
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0060
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0065
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0090
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9905
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 2479.75, Sell volume: 1215.53, Average price: 0.7573, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0070
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9940
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0085
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9920
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9885
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9870
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0125
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0115
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0125
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9875
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9880
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0125
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0120
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9880
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9870
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9875
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9875
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0125
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9880
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0120
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0120
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9880
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9880
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9915
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0080
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0090
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9920
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9920
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9920
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0080
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9920
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9920
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9915
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9915
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9915
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9920
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0090
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 310.45, Sell volume: 781.22, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9915
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0085
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0085
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0090
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0090
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0090
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0090
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0090
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0090
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0105
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9870
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9870
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9865
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0120
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0125
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0110
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0115
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0120
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0120
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9880
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9880
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9880
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9880
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0120
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0120
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9880
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9880
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0120
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9885
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0115
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0115
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0115
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0115
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9885
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0115
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9885
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9885
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0115
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9910
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.0090
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0070
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9930
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0080
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 404.70, Sell volume: 924.10, Average price: 0.6797, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9910
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0090
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0085
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0080
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9930
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9930
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9935
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9935
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9935
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0065
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9935
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9930
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0125
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0120
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0080
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0085
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0045
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9950
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0075
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9940
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9960
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0040
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 3809.98, Sell volume: 4663.44, Average price: 0.8051, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 3796.44, Sell volume: 3325.58, Average price: 0.7385, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2762.90, Sell volume: 2325.31, Average price: 0.9012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 7416.88, Sell volume: 2727.62, Average price: 0.7463, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0240
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.0230
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0325
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0380
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0385
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0450
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0455
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.1170
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.1005
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0895
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0840
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0720
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0570
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0595
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0335
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0275
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0300
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0365
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0585
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0765
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.1820
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.1300
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.1345
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.1340
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.1200
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.1360
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.1055
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.1025
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.1010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 646, Buy volume: 20542.52, Sell volume: 9161.05, Average price: 0.5207, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1010
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.1010
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.1000
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0945
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0575
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0535
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0525
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0520
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0535
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0535
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0545
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0540
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0525
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0715
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0780
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0455
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0450
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0505
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0535
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0440
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0430
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0450
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0445
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0475
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0490
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0495
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0485
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0450
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 174, Buy volume: 4377.21, Sell volume: 4580.21, Average price: 0.3714, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0180
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0195
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0215
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0220
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0345
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0220
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0255
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0255
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0265
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0255
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0245
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0230
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0200
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0210
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0225
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0235
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0250
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0350
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0315
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0230
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0200
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0205
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0210
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0245
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0270
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0270
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0210
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0205
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0275
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1366.90, Sell volume: 1339.15, Average price: 0.4743, Price range: 0.0142 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0390
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0510
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0645
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0480
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0545
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0545
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0520
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0445
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0495
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0480
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0420
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0410
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0410
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0405
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0405
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0375
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0375
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0375
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0185
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0195
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0270
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0250
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0250
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0245
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0305
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0185
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0205
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0190
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0185
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 2210.90, Sell volume: 2459.10, Average price: 0.5932, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0210
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0200
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0200
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0185
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0185
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0185
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0185
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0180
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0220
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0175
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0190
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0250
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0295
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0300
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0350
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0335
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0340
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0360
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0355
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0360
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0360
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0345
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0350
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0345
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0345
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.0290
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0320
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0300
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0280
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1109.94, Sell volume: 62.48, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0285
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0280
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0300
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0300
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0285
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0275
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0280
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0265
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0275
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0260
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0265
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0255
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0280
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0280
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0265
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0265
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.0270
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0250
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0250
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.0255
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0255
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0255
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0255
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9735
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9735
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9740
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9745
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0270
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 985.65, Sell volume: 746.34, Average price: 0.3710, Price range: 0.0233 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0270
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9715
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0280
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9740
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9750
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0260
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9745
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0255
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0265
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9735
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.9740
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.0255
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.0265
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0265
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0260
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9735
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0265
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.0260
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0255
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9820
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9845
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.0135
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.0125
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.0115
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9940
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.0060
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9905
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 2479.75, Sell volume: 1215.53, Average price: 0.7573, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0070
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0065
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9880
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9880
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0125
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0120
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0125
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0120
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9875
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9875
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0120
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0120
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9880
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9905
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9915
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9920
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9920
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9920
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9905
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9915
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0090
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 310.45, Sell volume: 781.22, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9915
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.0090
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0090
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.0090
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9910
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9870
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9865
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9885
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0110
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9880
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9880
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0120
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9880
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0120
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9885
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9885
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9885
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9885
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0115
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9885
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9885
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9915
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0070
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0080
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 404.70, Sell volume: 924.10, Average price: 0.6797, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9910
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9910
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9930
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9935
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0065
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0065
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.9930
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9930
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9930
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0120
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9910
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0080
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 3809.98, Sell volume: 4663.44, Average price: 0.8051, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 3796.44, Sell volume: 3325.58, Average price: 0.7385, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 2762.90, Sell volume: 2325.31, Average price: 0.9012, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543206
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?
Volume: 85885.367725
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 7416.88, Sell volume: 2727.62, Average price: 0.7463, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1700
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1700
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8600
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1400
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8750
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1250
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 22541.38, Sell volume: 492.40, Average price: 0.5692, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9655
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0345
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9290
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0710
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9415
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0585
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9535
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0465
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9640
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 26411.81, Sell volume: 2545.45, Average price: 0.5315, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9693

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9535
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0465
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9565
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0435
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9555
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0445
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9540
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0460
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9395
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0605
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9335
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0665
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9335
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0665
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9325
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0675
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 31699.58, Sell volume: 4281.54, Average price: 0.4514, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9670

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0655
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9345
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0655
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9470
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0530
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9520
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0480
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9525
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0475
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9520
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0480
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9515
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0485
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9515
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0485
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9625
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 10333.94, Sell volume: 9069.38, Average price: 0.6073, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9640

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9640
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0360
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9665
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0335
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9710
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0290
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9720
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0280
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9715
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0285
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9715
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0285
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9715
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0285
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9690
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0310
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 44097.19, Sell volume: 2343.70, Average price: 0.6745, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9660
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0340
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9660
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0340
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9670
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9680
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0320
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9615
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0385
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9670
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9685
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0315
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9565
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0435
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9565
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 28024.86, Sell volume: 4539.93, Average price: 0.6852, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9515
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0485
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9555
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0445
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9730
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0270
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9745
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9725
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0275
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9725
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0275
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9695
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9695
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9710
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0290
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 24526.02, Sell volume: 19918.99, Average price: 0.7230, Price range: 0.0258 - 0.9770

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0250
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9670
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0330
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9640
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9760
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0240
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0150
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9785
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0215
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9810
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0190
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 14765.50, Sell volume: 13711.67, Average price: 0.3564, Price range: 0.0118 - 0.9870

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0145
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0135
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9885
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0085
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 5965.13, Sell volume: 14124.25, Average price: 0.6603, Price range: 0.0064 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9895
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0105
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0085
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0085
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0085
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 19206.21, Sell volume: 26582.83, Average price: 0.4779, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 11277.33, Sell volume: 32816.40, Average price: 0.0252, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14241.56, Sell volume: 12830.86, Average price: 0.5992, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 39939.57, Sell volume: 7622.05, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1700
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8100
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1900
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8300
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1700
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8600
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1400
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8750
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1250
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.8900
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1100
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 22541.38, Sell volume: 492.40, Average price: 0.5692, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9655
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0345
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9290
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0710
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9500
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9415
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0585
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9535
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0465
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9640
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 26411.81, Sell volume: 2545.45, Average price: 0.5315, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9693
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9535
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0465
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9565
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0435
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9555
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0445
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9540
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0460
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9395
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0605
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9335
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0665
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9335
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0665
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9325
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0675
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 31699.58, Sell volume: 4281.54, Average price: 0.4514, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0655
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9345
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0655
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9470
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0530
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9455
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0545
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9520
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0480
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9525
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0475
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9520
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0480
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9515
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0485
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9515
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0485
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9625
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 10333.94, Sell volume: 9069.38, Average price: 0.6073, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9640
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9640
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0360
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9665
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0335
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9710
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0290
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9720
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0280
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9735
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0265
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9715
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0285
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9715
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0285
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9715
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0285
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9690
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0310
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 44097.19, Sell volume: 2343.70, Average price: 0.6745, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0325
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9660
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0340
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9660
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0340
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9670
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9680
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0320
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9615
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0385
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9670
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0330
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9685
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0315
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9565
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0435
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9565
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 28024.86, Sell volume: 4539.93, Average price: 0.6852, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9515
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0485
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9555
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0445
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9730
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0270
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9745
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9725
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0275
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9725
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0275
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9695
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9695
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0305
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9710
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0290
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 24526.02, Sell volume: 19918.99, Average price: 0.7230, Price range: 0.0258 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0250
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9670
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0330
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9640
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9760
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0240
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0150
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9785
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0215
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9810
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0190
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 14765.50, Sell volume: 13711.67, Average price: 0.3564, Price range: 0.0118 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9855
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0145
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0135
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9885
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0085
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0085
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 5965.13, Sell volume: 14124.25, Average price: 0.6603, Price range: 0.0064 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9900
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0100
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9895
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0105
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0085
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0085
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0085
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 19206.21, Sell volume: 26582.83, Average price: 0.4779, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 11277.33, Sell volume: 32816.40, Average price: 0.0252, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 14241.56, Sell volume: 12830.86, Average price: 0.5992, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687695
Question: Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 560675.413567
Price History:
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 39939.57, Sell volume: 7622.05, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0280
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.0160
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0270
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0270
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0295
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0290
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0270
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.0270
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0280
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0225
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.0240
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0240
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0150
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0150
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0145
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0210
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0210
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0210
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0215
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0195
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0200
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0200
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0195
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0195
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0120
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0060
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0050
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0060
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0060
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0060
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0055
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0075
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0340
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0485
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0440
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0445
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0480
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0425
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0470
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0400
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0475
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0385
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0455
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.1560
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.1595
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.1355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 480, Buy volume: 14907.48, Sell volume: 4397.17, Average price: 0.6069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1035
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.1005
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.1020
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0970
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0980
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0890
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0885
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0870
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0880
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0875
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0875
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0875
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0875
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0875
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0875
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0870
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0875
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0875
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0870
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0865
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0870
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0870
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0115
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0075
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0090
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0080
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0080
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0445
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0450
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0335
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0385
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0405
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0280
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0270
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0300
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0295
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0315
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0355
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0310
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0345
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0395
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0430
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0395
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0505
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0505
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0395
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0560
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0560
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0555
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 155, Buy volume: 3572.88, Sell volume: 2475.93, Average price: 0.3542, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0495
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0480
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0490
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0475
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0515
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0515
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0500
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0505
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0590
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0595
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0590
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0585
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0620
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0625
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0670
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0745
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.1265
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.1325
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.1325
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.1330
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.1550
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.1335
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.1310
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.1185
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.1225
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.1235
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.1230
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.1225
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.1160
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.1160
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.1135
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.1055
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.1025
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.1025
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0990
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0730
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0640
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0505
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0475
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0480
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0470
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0465
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0465
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0460
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0460
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0460
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0355
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0370
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0360
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 2913.80, Sell volume: 1687.28, Average price: 0.4196, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9764

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0230
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0225
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0210
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0175
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0065
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0260
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0260
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0255
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0260
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0245
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0230
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0200
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0240
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0225
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0225
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0225
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0225
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0230
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0230
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0170
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0190
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0135
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0135
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0125
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0145
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0180
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0145
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0150
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0140
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0170
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0145
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0470
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0600
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0580
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0540
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0645
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0485
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0310
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0235
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0260
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0245
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0265
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0235
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0245
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0250
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0340
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0295
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0305
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0290
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 3567.49, Sell volume: 949.05, Average price: 0.6021, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0415
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0415
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0435
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0385
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0430
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0410
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0350
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0410
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0405
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0420
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0305
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0375
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0295
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0320
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0375
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0300
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0320
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0325
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0350
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0340
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0260
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0255
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0250
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0275
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0255
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0275
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0270
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0270
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0270
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0255
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0280
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0275
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0245
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0245
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0270
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0245
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0245
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0280
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0290
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0270
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0260
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0280
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0290
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0175
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0165
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0175
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0165
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0205
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0230
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 579.03, Sell volume: 363.48, Average price: 0.8062, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0305
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0300
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0295
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0285
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0310
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0305
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0305
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0305
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0305
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0300
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0305
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0305
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0250
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.0240
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0240
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0240
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.0180
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0190
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0190
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0205
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0205
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0240
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.0205
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0240
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0245
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0245
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0245
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0245
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0245
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0245
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.0245
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0245
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0290
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0235
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0240
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.0260
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0260
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0255
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0280
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0255
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0260
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.0275
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0270
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9740
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.0285
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0290
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.9745
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9730
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0275
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 20.33, Sell volume: 95.00, Average price: 0.9740, Price range: 0.9720 - 0.9770

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0260
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0270
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9730
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9715
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0275
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0275
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0275
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0245
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0270
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0265
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0260
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.0255
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0270
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9745
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9715
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0275
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9715
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0285
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.0280
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0250
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9730
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0270
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9740
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0260
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9730
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9730
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0275
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.9730
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9735
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9745
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0255
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0255
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9755
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.0210
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.0105
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0025
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0020
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9980
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0020
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.9980
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9980
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1595.23, Sell volume: 336.60, Average price: 0.8157, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0020
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9980
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0025
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9975
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9975
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0025
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9975
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9975
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0025
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0025
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0025
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9975
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9885
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9880
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0080
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9920
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9920
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0080
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0080
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0080
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9920
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0080
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9920
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9920
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9920
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0080
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1544.26, Sell volume: 13.36, Average price: 0.7986, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0125
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9880
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9880
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0120
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9880
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0125
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9875
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0120
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9875
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0120
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0090
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0070
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0070
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0115
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0045
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9910
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0080
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0135
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0155
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9855
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9875
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9880
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9870
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0075
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9935
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9945
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9940
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0055
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0055
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.0060
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9940
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9940
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0060
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9940
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9940
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9940
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9940
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9940
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 336.06, Sell volume: 59.77, Average price: 0.6366, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0060
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0060
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0050
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0050
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9950
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0050
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9870
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9855
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9855
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9900
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9890
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9875
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9890
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9870
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0110
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9915
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0065
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0115
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0075
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0060
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0030
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 3242.55, Sell volume: 2671.78, Average price: 0.8323, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9975
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9895
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0080
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0045
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9950
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9970
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9970
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 888.31, Sell volume: 42.10, Average price: 0.4282, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9970
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9970
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 753.98, Sell volume: 4153.60, Average price: 0.7051, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 3775.46, Sell volume: 2297.99, Average price: 0.6188, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0180
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.0270
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0295
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0290
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0280
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0225
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0240
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0145
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0205
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0210
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0190
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0200
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0195
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0095
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0055
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0340
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0435
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0465
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0415
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0410
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0445
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.2190
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.1595
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 480, Buy volume: 14907.48, Sell volume: 4397.17, Average price: 0.6069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1035
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.1030
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0985
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0885
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0880
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0875
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0875
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0875
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0875
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0870
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0875
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0875
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0870
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0120
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0090
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0475
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0330
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0410
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0285
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0295
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0315
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0320
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0365
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0425
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0465
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0415
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0560
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0555
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 155, Buy volume: 3572.88, Sell volume: 2475.93, Average price: 0.3542, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0495
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0490
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0475
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0505
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0510
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0595
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0585
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0620
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0625
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0740
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.1325
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.1325
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.1535
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.1210
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.1225
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.1230
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.1170
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.1155
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.1080
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.1025
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0990
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0640
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0470
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0475
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0465
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0465
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0460
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0370
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0360
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 2913.80, Sell volume: 1687.28, Average price: 0.4196, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9764
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0230
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0190
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0080
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0235
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0255
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0235
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0230
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0240
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0235
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0230
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0225
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0160
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0145
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0145
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0150
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0150
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0150
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0510
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0530
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0455
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0485
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0250
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0255
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0255
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0260
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0245
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0285
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0290
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 3567.49, Sell volume: 949.05, Average price: 0.6021, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0415
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0420
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0425
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0395
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0345
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0555
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0320
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0295
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0360
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0300
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0310
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0360
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0245
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0245
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0255
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0265
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0270
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0270
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0275
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0275
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0280
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0245
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0280
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0250
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0265
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.0165
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0165
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0165
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0230
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 579.03, Sell volume: 363.48, Average price: 0.8062, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0305
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0305
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0300
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0300
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0305
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0300
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0305
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0250
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0240
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0190
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0190
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0190
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0190
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0190
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0245
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0245
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0245
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.0245
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0245
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0235
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.0260
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0260
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0265
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0255
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0275
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.0270
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0290
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9725
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0275
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 20.33, Sell volume: 95.00, Average price: 0.9740, Price range: 0.9720 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0260
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0270
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9725
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0275
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9740
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0250
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0265
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0270
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9715
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9715
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.0280
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.0250
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.0265
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9730
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9730
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9730
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.9730
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.9745
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0250
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9795
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9910
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.0025
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0020
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9980
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9980
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1595.23, Sell volume: 336.60, Average price: 0.8157, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0020
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9980
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9975
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9975
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0080
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9920
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0080
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9920
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0080
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9920
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0080
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0080
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1544.26, Sell volume: 13.36, Average price: 0.7986, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0125
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9880
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9880
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9875
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9880
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9875
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0125
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0125
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0115
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0090
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.0070
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9895
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0115
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0135
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0120
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.0120
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9865
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0105
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0065
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9940
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9940
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 336.06, Sell volume: 59.77, Average price: 0.6366, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9940
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9950
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9950
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.0050
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0145
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0135
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0125
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0110
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9915
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0110
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9965
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 3242.55, Sell volume: 2671.78, Average price: 0.8323, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0110
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 888.31, Sell volume: 42.10, Average price: 0.4282, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9970
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 753.98, Sell volume: 4153.60, Average price: 0.7051, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543207
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Argentina first?
Volume: 57240.01197
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 3775.46, Sell volume: 2297.99, Average price: 0.6188, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0250
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0205
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0245
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0205
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0240
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0240
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.0245
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0250
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0085
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0140
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0175
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0175
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0115
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0110
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0115
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0100
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0100
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0105
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0105
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0105
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0095
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0055
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0100
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0085
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0070
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0100
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0090
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0050
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0065
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0065
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0240
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0235
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0230
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0250
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0255
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0230
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0230
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0235
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0225
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0225
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0235
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0235
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0240
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0230
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 460, Buy volume: 15723.35, Sell volume: 4041.15, Average price: 0.6176, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0170
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0155
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0155
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0160
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0065
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0050
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0070
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0065
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0080
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0080
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0080
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0060
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0085
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0085
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0150
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0165
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0165
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0165
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0090
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0055
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0055
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0085
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0050
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0085
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0050
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0070
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 147, Buy volume: 3299.72, Sell volume: 2828.77, Average price: 0.3706, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0045
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0045
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0055
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0055
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0055
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0055
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0055
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0065
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0065
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0055
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0055
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0080
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0090
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0095
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0085
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0090
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0070
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0075
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0095
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0080
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0085
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0055
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0095
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0085
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0090
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0085
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0090
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0105
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0115
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0110
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1160.24, Sell volume: 297.73, Average price: 0.6191, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0085
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0080
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0075
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0075
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0090
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0095
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0090
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0095
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0095
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0100
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0065
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0090
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0075
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0070
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0055
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0060
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0055
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0035
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 2530.55, Sell volume: 1159.95, Average price: 0.6420, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0035
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0035
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0035
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0035
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0035
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0035
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0035
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0035
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0040
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0090
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0075
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0085
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 828.63, Sell volume: 193.59, Average price: 0.7717, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543208
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Brazil first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 51081.051433
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0055
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0065
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0055
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0045
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0050
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0050
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0050
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0065
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0055
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0055
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0065
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0065
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.0060
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0065
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0065
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0055
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0065
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0065
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0075
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0070
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.0070
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0060
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0065
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0065
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0060
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0065
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0080
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.0070
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0065
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0075
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0075
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0075
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.0075
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0070
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0070
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0070
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0065
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9935
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.0065
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0065
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9935
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.0065
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0060
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.0065
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9930
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0070
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 113.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6672, Price range: 0.0107 - 0.9960

Output: Yes