Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.3500
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.3400
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.3250
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.6550
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.3450
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.6600
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.3500
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.3300
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.3500
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.3400
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.6600
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.3400
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.3600
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.3550
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.3450
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.3150
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.3500
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.3550
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.3300
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.3150
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.3000
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.3200
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.3300
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.3400
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.2900
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.2800
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.2900
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.3000
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.6900
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.3300
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.6700
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.6650
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.3300
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.6450
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.6450
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.3550
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.6600
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.6300
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.6400
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.6900
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.6700
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.6700
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.3300
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 972.67, Sell volume: 666.98, Average price: 0.4710, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.6500
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.3500
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.3850
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.3900
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.3900
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.3900
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.3900
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.6200
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.4000
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.5950
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.4050
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.4050
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.4000
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.3800
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.6300
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.3750
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.5950
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.6400
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.4200
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.4250
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.4150
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.5850
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.4150
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.3950
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.5850
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.4250
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.5550
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.5250
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.4700
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.4750
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.4500
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.5500
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.5450
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.5850
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.4150
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.6200
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.3650
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.3600
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.4800
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.4450
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1523.16, Sell volume: 835.74, Average price: 0.5053, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.3600
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.6250
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.4650
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.5500
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.5850
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.5250
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.4850
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5200
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.5300
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.5250
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.5250
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.5250
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.4750
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.5250
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.4750
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.4800
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.4800
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.5200
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.5200
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.5200
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.5200
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.5200
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.6050
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.6000
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.5450
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.5450
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.5450
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.5400
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.5250
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.5250
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.5200
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.5150
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.5150
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.5150
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.5150
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.5150
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.5100
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.5100
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.5000
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.4950
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.4850
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 2260.83, Sell volume: 1159.23, Average price: 0.5006, Price range: 0.4387 - 0.5600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.4850
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.4850
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.6850
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.6850
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.6650
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.6650
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.6650
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.6150
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.6350
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.6350
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.6250
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.6100
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.6100
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.6100
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.6100
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.6150
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.6150
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.6150
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.6150
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.6150
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.6150
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.6150
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.5750
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.5400
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.5800
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.5850
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.6100
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.6250
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.6050
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.6300
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.6150
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.6150
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.6050
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.6050
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.6450
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.6350
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.6250
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.6400
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.6750
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 186, Buy volume: 7235.25, Sell volume: 4485.71, Average price: 0.4489, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9238

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8550
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.8750
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9100
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8950
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9955
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9940
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 17542.50, Sell volume: 13320.60, Average price: 0.5702, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.8600
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.1250
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.8750
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.8750
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.8750
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.1300
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.8650
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.8650
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.8650
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.8650
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.8650
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.8650
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.8650
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.1350
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.1300
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.1250
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.1250
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.1050
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.8950
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.1000
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 211.29, Sell volume: 90.00, Average price: 0.5131, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.1000
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0500
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0700
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0750
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0650
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0650
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9100
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.1050
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.8900
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.8900
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.8950
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.1000
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 427.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4296, Price range: 0.0778 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9000
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.1000
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.8950
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.8950
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9000
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.8950
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.1050
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.8950
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.8950
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.1050
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.1050
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.8950
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.1050
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1484.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1320, Price range: 0.1240 - 0.1400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.1500
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.8550
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.1400
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.8600
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.8250
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.1900
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.2250
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.2250
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.7800
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.2200
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.2000
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.8000
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.1950
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.1950
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.2150
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.2150
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.2100
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.2150
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.7750
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 419.19, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.5794, Price range: 0.1561 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.2250
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.2250
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.7750
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.2250
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.2250
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2250
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.2250
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.7750
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.2250
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.2250
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.2400
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.7500
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.1600
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.1800
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.2000
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.8000
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2200
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.8000
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 105.71, Sell volume: 499.28, Average price: 0.4593, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.1450
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.8550
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.8100
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.1850
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.8200
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.1350
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.1350
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.8600
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.1150
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.8800
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.1150
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.1200
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.1200
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.1250
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.1050
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.8950
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.8950
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1150
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8050
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.7300
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.7700
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.7900
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2514.48, Sell volume: 588.36, Average price: 0.3492, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2100
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.7900
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.7500
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.7450
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7500
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.7500
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.2500
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.7450
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.7500
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.7500
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.2500
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.7500
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.2500
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.7250
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.7600
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.7500
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.7500
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.7450
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.2500
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.7250
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.2500
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 380.57, Sell volume: 185.65, Average price: 0.4154, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.2150
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.7850
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.2150
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.2200
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.7800
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.7800
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.2200
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.7800
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.2200
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.7800
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.7150
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.2800
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7050
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.6900
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.7100
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.3450
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.6950
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.3200
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.3400
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 817.81, Sell volume: 157.44, Average price: 0.4797, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.3500
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.3400
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.3150
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.3400
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.3300
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.6500
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.3400
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.6600
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.3550
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.3150
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.6700
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.3000
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.6800
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.3700
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.2800
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.2900
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.3000
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.6700
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.6650
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.6650
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.6450
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.6600
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.3300
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.6400
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.3300
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.3350
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 972.67, Sell volume: 666.98, Average price: 0.4710, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.6500
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.3500
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.3900
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.6100
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.6200
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.3950
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.4050
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.5950
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.3800
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.7050
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.6150
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.3600
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.4250
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.5850
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.4150
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.4150
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.5250
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.5300
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.5450
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.4550
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.5850
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.3650
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.4700
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.4800
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.4950
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1523.16, Sell volume: 835.74, Average price: 0.5053, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.3600
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.6250
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.4400
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.5850
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.5250
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.5300
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4750
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.5250
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.5250
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.4750
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.5200
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.5200
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.5200
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.5200
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.3950
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.5450
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.4550
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.5400
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.4750
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.5150
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.4850
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.5150
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.5100
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.4850
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 2260.83, Sell volume: 1159.23, Average price: 0.5006, Price range: 0.4387 - 0.5600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.6850
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.3350
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.6500
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.3950
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.6350
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.3700
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.6300
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.3900
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.6100
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.3850
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.6150
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.3850
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.6150
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.4000
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.5550
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.4200
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.6100
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.6200
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.3850
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.6050
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.3950
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.6400
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.3600
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.8100
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 186, Buy volume: 7235.25, Sell volume: 4485.71, Average price: 0.4489, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9238
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.1450
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 17542.50, Sell volume: 13320.60, Average price: 0.5702, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0195
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0075
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0045
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0045
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0055
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0045
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0045
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0045
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0045
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0045
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9955
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 625.00, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.8143, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0040
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0055
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0055
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0055
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9945
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9955
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.0045
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9955
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9955
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 18819.15, Sell volume: 5600.00, Average price: 0.0523, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 425, Buy volume: 53149.42, Sell volume: 32379.39, Average price: 0.6006, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 61.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 32.65, Sell volume: 236.99, Average price: 0.3753, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1518.16, Sell volume: 1566.17, Average price: 0.8323, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 7987.01, Sell volume: 7987.01, Average price: 0.9985, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 321.84, Sell volume: 309.02, Average price: 0.8323, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 173.15, Sell volume: 148.89, Average price: 0.9155, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1833.00, Sell volume: 600.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1544.53, Sell volume: 1417.40, Average price: 0.5333, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1749.43, Sell volume: 600.41, Average price: 0.8176, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 18484.38, Sell volume: 13883.50, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0195
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9945
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9955
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9945
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0045
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0045
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9955
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9955
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 625.00, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.8143, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0040
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9945
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0055
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.9955
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9955
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9955
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9960
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0040
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9960
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0040
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 18819.15, Sell volume: 5600.00, Average price: 0.0523, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9965
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0035
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 425, Buy volume: 53149.42, Sell volume: 32379.39, Average price: 0.6006, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 61.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0030
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9970
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0030
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 32.65, Sell volume: 236.99, Average price: 0.3753, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9980
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9980
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0020
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9980
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 1518.16, Sell volume: 1566.17, Average price: 0.8323, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 106, Buy volume: 7987.01, Sell volume: 7987.01, Average price: 0.9985, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 321.84, Sell volume: 309.02, Average price: 0.8323, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 173.15, Sell volume: 148.89, Average price: 0.9155, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1833.00, Sell volume: 600.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0005
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1544.53, Sell volume: 1417.40, Average price: 0.5333, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1749.43, Sell volume: 600.41, Average price: 0.8176, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587285
Question: Will the New Social Contract win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 85528.814749
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9280
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 18484.38, Sell volume: 13883.50, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0180
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9835
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9910
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9910
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0090
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0080
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9930
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9920
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.0065
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9930
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9920
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9925
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9920
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 9248.22, Sell volume: 9756.00, Average price: 0.0721, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0075
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9920
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9910
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0100
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0115
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9885
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9885
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9885
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9885
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9885
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0115
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9885
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9885
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9885
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9885
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9885
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9885
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9885
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9885
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9885
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9865
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0140
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.9860
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0140
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9860
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0140
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0140
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0140
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9860
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0140
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.0140
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9870
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.0130
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9870
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9870
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0130
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9870
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9870
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0130
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0130
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0130
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0130
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0130
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 10641.02, Sell volume: 2660.00, Average price: 0.0264, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0130
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0130
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.0130
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9870
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0130
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0130
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.9870
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0130
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0130
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0130
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0130
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0130
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0130
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.9870
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9870
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.0130
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0130
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9870
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.9870
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9870
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9870
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0130
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0130
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0130
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0130
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9870
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9870
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0130
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.02, Average price: 0.9850, Price range: 0.9850 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0125
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0125
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0125
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0125
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0125
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0125
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0120
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9820
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0170
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9845
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9845
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9845
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9830
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0160
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9830
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9835
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9830
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0185
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0180
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9860
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0110
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9890
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0110
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9895
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0105
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0105
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0105
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0105
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0105
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9895
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.0105
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0105
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9895
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0105
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0105
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.0105
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9890
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.0105
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0105
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0105
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0105
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0105
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0110
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9880
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0115
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0110
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 526.17, Sell volume: 461.03, Average price: 0.3791, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9905
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9905
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9905
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.9905
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0095
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0095
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0095
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9905
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9905
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.9905
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0095
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0095
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0090
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9905
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9910
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.9910
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9910
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9900
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9910
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9910
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9915
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9915
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0085
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9910
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9915
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9915
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0085
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0075
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9920
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9925
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9925
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9935
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9935
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.9930
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9925
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9930
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0070
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9930
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.9930
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.0070
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9950
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9945
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0050
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 68.00, Sell volume: 665.18, Average price: 0.4167, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0050
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9950
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.0050
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0045
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.0050
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9955
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9920
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9920
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9920
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.0080
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.0075
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.0075
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9925
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.9925
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0075
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0080
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0075
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.9925
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9925
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0080
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9930
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 397.73, Sell volume: 151.01, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0075
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9930
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0070
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9930
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0075
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0070
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0070
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0070
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0075
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9930
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9930
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9930
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9930
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9925
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9930
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9930
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9930
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9930
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9930
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9940, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0065
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0065
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0065
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 27.91, Sell volume: 5.09, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0055
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0035
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9965
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9965
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9965
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9965
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9965
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9965
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9965
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 156.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0030
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0030
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0030
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0030
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 380.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9983

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 265.96, Sell volume: 284.58, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 1857.29, Sell volume: 321.90, Average price: 0.8619, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 28384.25, Sell volume: 3634.19, Average price: 0.6804, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0450
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9550
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9815
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.0090
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9910
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.9935
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0070
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9925
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0080
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0065
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9935
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0070
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0080
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0080
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.0075
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9925
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.0075
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9920
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 9248.22, Sell volume: 9756.00, Average price: 0.0721, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9925
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0100
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9885
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9885
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.0115
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9885
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0115
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9885
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0115
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.9885
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0115
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.9885
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9860
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0140
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0140
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.0140
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0135
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9870
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0130
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9870
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0130
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0130
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9870
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0130
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 117, Buy volume: 10641.02, Sell volume: 2660.00, Average price: 0.0264, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0130
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0130
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9870
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9870
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0130
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9870
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0130
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9870
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9870
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9870
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.9870
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0130
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0130
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9870
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0130
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0130
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9870
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0130
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0130
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0130
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9870
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0130
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0130
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.02, Average price: 0.9850, Price range: 0.9850 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0125
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9875
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0125
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9875
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.9820
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0170
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0155
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0170
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9830
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0165
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9810
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0140
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9895
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0105
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9895
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.0105
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9895
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9890
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9895
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0105
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.0110
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9895
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9895
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0105
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9890
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0105
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9885
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0095
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 526.17, Sell volume: 461.03, Average price: 0.3791, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9905
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.9905
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0095
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9905
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9905
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9905
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.0090
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9910
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9910
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0095
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9910
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0085
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9915
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.0090
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.9915
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0085
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.0085
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9925
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0065
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9935
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.0075
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0070
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9930
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9930
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0055
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0055
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 68.00, Sell volume: 665.18, Average price: 0.4167, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0050
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9950
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.9920
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9920
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9925
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9925
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0075
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9925
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.9925
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 397.73, Sell volume: 151.01, Average price: 0.5002, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9930
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9930
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0070
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0070
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9930
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0070
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9930
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9930
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0070
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9930
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0070
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9930
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9940, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9930
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0065
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0065
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0070
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 27.91, Sell volume: 5.09, Average price: 0.6647, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0055
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9945
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9950
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9965
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0035
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0035
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0035
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0030
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 156.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9970
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0030
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0030
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9970
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0030
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0030
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.9970
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 380.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9983
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9970
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0030
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 265.96, Sell volume: 284.58, Average price: 0.5712, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9980
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 1857.29, Sell volume: 321.90, Average price: 0.8619, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587287
Question: Will the Socialist Party win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 71344.250528
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 28384.25, Sell volume: 3634.19, Average price: 0.6804, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes