Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578999
Question: Will Scott Parker be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15282.981
Price History:
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 578999
Question: Will Scott Parker be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 15282.981
Price History:
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0115
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9885
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0105
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.9895
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9880
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9885
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0100
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.9900
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 13770.45, Sell volume: 1355.42, Average price: 0.9175, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578999
Question: Will Scott Parker be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 15282.981
Price History:
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.5050
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.4950
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.2550
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.7450
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.2050
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.1600
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8400
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.8400
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.8400
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.8400
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.8400
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.8400
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 13922.56, Sell volume: 1360.42, Average price: 0.9164, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578999
Question: Will Scott Parker be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 15282.981
Price History:
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.2350
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.7400
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.7700
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.2450
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.2450
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.7900
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.2450
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.8450
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.8600
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.7600
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.7600
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9400
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9700
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9700
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.9700
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 87.07, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.8183, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578999
Question: Will Scott Parker be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 15282.981
Price History:
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.9795
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.9795
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9795
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 13922.56, Sell volume: 1360.42, Average price: 0.9164, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578999
Question: Will Scott Parker be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 15282.981
Price History:
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9800
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 13922.56, Sell volume: 1360.42, Average price: 0.9164, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578999
Question: Will Scott Parker be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 15282.981
Price History:
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.0205
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9795
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0170
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.9830
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9830
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0170
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9830
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9830
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9830
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9830
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 59.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9984, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578999
Question: Will Scott Parker be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 15282.981
Price History:
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0170
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0170
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0170
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9830
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9830
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9830
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9830
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0170
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9840
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9845
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0155
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0155
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0155
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9845
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9845
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 13922.56, Sell volume: 1360.42, Average price: 0.9164, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578999
Question: Will Scott Parker be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 15282.981
Price History:
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 13922.56, Sell volume: 1360.42, Average price: 0.9164, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578999
Question: Will Scott Parker be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 15282.981
Price History:
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0155
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9845
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0155
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 13922.56, Sell volume: 1360.42, Average price: 0.9164, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578999
Question: Will Scott Parker be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 15282.981
Price History:
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9845
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9845
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0155
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.0155
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0155
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0155
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9845
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 13922.56, Sell volume: 1360.42, Average price: 0.9164, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578999
Question: Will Scott Parker be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 15282.981
Price History:
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.0155
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0140
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.0140
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 13922.56, Sell volume: 1360.42, Average price: 0.9164, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578999
Question: Will Scott Parker be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 15282.981
Price History:
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0140
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.9860
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 13922.56, Sell volume: 1360.42, Average price: 0.9164, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578999
Question: Will Scott Parker be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 15282.981
Price History:
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0140
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9860
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0140
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9860
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 578999
Question: Will Scott Parker be the first EPL manager fired?
Volume: 15282.981
Price History:
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9860
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.0140
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0145
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9855
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0115
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0105
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0120
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.0115
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.0100
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.0130
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 13770.45, Sell volume: 1355.42, Average price: 0.9175, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.3800
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.6200
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.3800
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.6200
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.3800
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.6200
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.3800
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4050
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.5950
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.3550
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.6450
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.3300
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.6700
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.2700
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.7300
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2800
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7200
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.2650
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.7350
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.7450
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.3000
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.7000
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.2650
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.7350
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.7350
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.3000
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.7000
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.3100
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.1600
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.8400
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.1450
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.8550
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.1500
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.8500
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1950
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 93.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8857, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.7350
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.7600
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.7600
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.7600
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.7600
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.7550
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.1200
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.8800
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.1150
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.8850
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 54.26, Sell volume: 51.32, Average price: 0.3657, Price range: 0.0522 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.2500
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.7500
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.7650
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.7650
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.7650
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.2400
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.7600
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.2400
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.7600
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.2400
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 8.33, Sell volume: 34.50, Average price: 0.2225, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.3000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.2400
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.7600
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.7450
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.7450
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.1250
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.8750
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1650
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.8350
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.1550
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.8450
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1081.14, Sell volume: 279.06, Average price: 0.4796, Price range: 0.0636 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0790
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9210
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0960
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9040
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0945
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9055
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9100
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0825
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9175
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0740
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9260
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.1315
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.8685
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.1290
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.8710
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.1880
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.8120
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.2635
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.7365
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.2055
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.7945
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.1715
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.8285
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.1625
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.8375
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.1710
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.8290
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.1705
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.8295
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.1585
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.8415
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.1665
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.8335
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.1900
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1228.07, Sell volume: 775.43, Average price: 0.3889, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9160

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.2480
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.7520
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.3345
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.6655
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.3250
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.6750
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.3365
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.6635
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.3475
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.6525
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.3705
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.6295
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.3655
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.6345
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.3570
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.6430
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.3640
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.6360
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.3580
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.6420
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.3835
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.6165
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.3740
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.6260
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.5395
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.4605
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.4910
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.5090
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.4460
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.5540
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.4085
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.5915
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.4070
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.5930
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.4035
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.5965
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.4535
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.5465
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.5445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1656.95, Sell volume: 426.10, Average price: 0.4351, Price range: 0.2650 - 0.6790

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.4555
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.4970
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.5030
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.4960
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.5040
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.4335
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.5665
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.4070
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.5930
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.3205
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.6795
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.3190
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.6810
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.3125
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.6875
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.3065
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.6935
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.3065
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.6935
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.3190
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.6810
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.3220
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.6780
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.3195
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.6805
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.3195
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.6805
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.3175
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.6825
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.3115
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.6885
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.3135
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.6865
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.2445
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.7555
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.2950
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 5980.52, Sell volume: 2214.76, Average price: 0.4859, Price range: 0.2674 - 0.7610

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.3035
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.6965
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.6950
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.3055
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.6945
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.3865
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.6135
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.4370
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.5630
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.4695
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.5305
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4535
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.5465
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.4545
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.5455
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.5665
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.4335
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.6435
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.3565
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.6135
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.3865
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.4685
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.5315
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.3995
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.6005
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.3950
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.6050
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.2910
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.7090
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.2735
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.7265
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.2735
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.7265
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.2730
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.7270
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.2790
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.7210
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.2730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 5900.56, Sell volume: 2308.42, Average price: 0.4853, Price range: 0.2660 - 0.7320

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.7270
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.2740
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.7260
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.2685
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.7315
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.2730
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.7270
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.2110
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.7890
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.2110
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.7890
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.2120
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.7880
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.1400
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0720
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9280
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0715
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9285
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0640
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9360
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0635
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9365
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0595
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9405
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0570
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9430
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0620
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9380
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0630
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9370
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0605
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9395
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0660
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9340
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0655
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9345
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0380
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 3611.51, Sell volume: 3165.63, Average price: 0.4135, Price range: 0.0473 - 0.9470

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0630
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9370
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.2030
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.7970
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.2005
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.7995
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.1670
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.8330
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.2190
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.7810
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.3250
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.6750
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.3900
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.6100
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.3560
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.6440
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.5280
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.4720
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.5930
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.4070
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.6045
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.3955
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.6625
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.3375
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.6695
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.3305
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.6650
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.3350
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.6890
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.3110
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.4630
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5370
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5585
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.4415
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5725
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.4275
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5440
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 8130.41, Sell volume: 1781.96, Average price: 0.4609, Price range: 0.0870 - 0.8440

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4560
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5535
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.4465
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5445
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4555
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5175
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4825
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5105
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4895
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5490
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4510
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.6090
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.3910
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.7200
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.2800
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.7285
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.2715
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.8005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.1995
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.8115
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.1885
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.7845
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.2155
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.7660
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.2340
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9155
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0845
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.8590
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.1410
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.7660
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.2340
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.8615
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.1385
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.8775
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.1225
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9100
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 7877.88, Sell volume: 2924.99, Average price: 0.5427, Price range: 0.0947 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9545
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0455
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9550
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9615
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0385
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9590
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0410
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9700
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9620
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0380
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9810
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0190
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9810
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0190
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0110
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9940
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140, Buy volume: 22637.96, Sell volume: 8008.97, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.3800
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.6200
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.3800
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.6200
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.3800
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.6200
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.3800
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4050
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.5950
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.3550
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.6450
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.3300
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.6700
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.2700
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.7300
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2800
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9000, Price range: 0.9000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2600
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.7400
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.2650
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.7350
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.7350
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.3000
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.7000
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.6950
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.3050
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.3100
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.3100
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.6900
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 93.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8857, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.1750
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.8250
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1750
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.1750
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.1700
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.8300
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.7350
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.7600
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.7600
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.7600
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.7600
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.2400
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.7600
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.2450
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 54.26, Sell volume: 51.32, Average price: 0.3657, Price range: 0.0522 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.8950
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.2500
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.7500
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.7650
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.7650
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.2350
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.7650
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 8.33, Sell volume: 34.50, Average price: 0.2225, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.3000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.2400
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.7600
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.2550
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.7450
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.2500
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.7500
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.2550
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.7450
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.2600
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.7400
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1081.14, Sell volume: 279.06, Average price: 0.4796, Price range: 0.0636 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0790
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9210
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0960
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9040
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0945
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9055
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0900
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9100
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0825
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9175
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0740
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9260
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.1315
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.8685
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.1290
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.8710
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.1880
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.8120
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.2635
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.7365
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.2055
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.7945
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.1715
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.8285
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.1625
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.8375
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.1710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1228.07, Sell volume: 775.43, Average price: 0.3889, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9160
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.2480
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.7520
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.3345
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.6655
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.3250
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.6750
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.3365
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.6635
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.3475
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.6525
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.3705
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.6295
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.3655
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.6345
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.3570
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.6430
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.3640
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.6360
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.3580
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.6420
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.3835
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.6165
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.3740
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.6260
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.5395
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.4605
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.4910
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.5090
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.4460
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.5540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1656.95, Sell volume: 426.10, Average price: 0.4351, Price range: 0.2650 - 0.6790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.4555
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.4970
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.5030
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.4960
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.5040
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.4335
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.5665
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.4070
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.5930
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.3205
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.6795
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.3190
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.6810
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.3125
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.6875
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.3065
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.6935
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.3065
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.6935
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.3190
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.6810
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.3220
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.6780
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.3195
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.6805
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.3195
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.6805
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.3175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 5980.52, Sell volume: 2214.76, Average price: 0.4859, Price range: 0.2674 - 0.7610
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.3035
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.6965
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.3050
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.6950
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.3055
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.6945
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.3865
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.6135
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.4370
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.5630
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.4695
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.5305
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4535
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.5465
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.4545
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.5455
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.5665
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.4335
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.6435
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.3565
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.6135
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.3865
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.4685
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.5315
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.3995
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.6005
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.3950
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.6050
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.2910
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.7090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 126, Buy volume: 5900.56, Sell volume: 2308.42, Average price: 0.4853, Price range: 0.2660 - 0.7320
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.7270
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.2740
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.7260
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.2685
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.7315
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.2730
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.7270
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.2110
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.7890
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.2110
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.7890
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.2120
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.7880
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.1400
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.8600
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0720
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9280
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0715
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9285
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0640
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9360
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0635
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9365
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0595
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9405
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0570
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9430
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0620
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9380
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 3611.51, Sell volume: 3165.63, Average price: 0.4135, Price range: 0.0473 - 0.9470
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0630
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9370
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.2030
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.7970
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.2005
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.7995
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.1670
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.8330
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.2190
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.7810
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.3250
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.6750
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.3900
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.6100
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.3560
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.6440
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.5280
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.4720
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.5930
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.4070
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.6045
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.3955
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.6625
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.3375
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.6695
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.3305
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.6650
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 8130.41, Sell volume: 1781.96, Average price: 0.4609, Price range: 0.0870 - 0.8440
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4560
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5535
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.4465
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5445
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4555
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5175
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4825
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5105
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.4895
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5490
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4510
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.6090
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.3910
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.7200
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.2800
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.7285
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.2715
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.8005
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.1995
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.8115
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.1885
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.7845
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.2155
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.7660
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.2340
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9155
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0845
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.8590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 115, Buy volume: 7877.88, Sell volume: 2924.99, Average price: 0.5427, Price range: 0.0947 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 643002
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Volume: 83297.822617
Price History:
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9545
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0455
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9550
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0450
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9615
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0385
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9590
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0410
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9700
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9620
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0380
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9810
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0190
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9810
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0190
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9890
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0110
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140, Buy volume: 22637.96, Sell volume: 8008.97, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0345
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0300
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9705
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0280
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0275
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0210
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9815
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9815
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0180
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9815
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9740
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0255
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9745
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0255
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2425
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7600
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2370
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2370
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2370
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2375
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2380
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.2380
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2380
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.2380
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2405
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2405
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.2405
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.2405
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.2405
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.2395
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.2405
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2405
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.2405
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.2405
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.4515
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.3105
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.3120
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.3140
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.3140
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.3140
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.3135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.2345
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.2345
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.2595
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.2595
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.1240
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.1275
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.1250
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.1215
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.7460
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.7300
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.4500
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.3275
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.3060
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.3065
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.3250
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.3415
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.2940
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.3240
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.3210
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.3615
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.4165
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.4150
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.3720
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.3850
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.3910
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.3815
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.3870
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.3725
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.3910
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.3930
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.3935
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.3705
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.3580
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.2525
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.2785
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.2975
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.3000
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.2915
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.2955
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.2945
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.2940
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.2965
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.2980
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.3050
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.3015
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.2915
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.2915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.3595
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.3565
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.3150
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.3205
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.3145
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.3245
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.3215
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.3145
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.3150
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.3090
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.3110
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.3090
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.3105
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.3075
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.3090
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.3090
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.3165
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.3190
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.3200
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.3245
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.3055
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.3010
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.3005
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.3030
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.3030
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.3045
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.2990
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.2920
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.3060
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.3460
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.3430
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.3790
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.3910
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.4080
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.3985
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.4375
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.4660
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.4970
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.5675
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.5810
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.5970
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.6320
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.6065
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.6005
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.5410
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.5065
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.5315
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.4765
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.4800
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.4915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.4410
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.4600
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.4670
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4675
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.4670
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.4670
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.4555
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.4520
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.4460
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.4525
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.4680
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.4700
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.5240
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.5435
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.5445
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.5330
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.5335
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.5325
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.5080
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.5050
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.5050
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.5030
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.5010
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.4920
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.4905
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.4815
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.4840
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4840
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.4845
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.4855
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.4750
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.4845
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.4650
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.3810
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.3945
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.3610
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.3620
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.4490
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4425
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4515
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.4610
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.4635
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.4710
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.4855
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.4840
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.4450
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.4485
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.4375
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.4370
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.4390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.4550
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.4610
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4925
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5505
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5550
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5745
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5465
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5365
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5400
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5215
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5115
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5280
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5430
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5900
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5315
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5420
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.5320
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5370
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.4675
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.3900
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.3505
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.3540
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.3795
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.3885
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.3955
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.3940
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.3965
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.4355
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.4045
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4035
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.4015
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.4090
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.4080
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.4345
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.4270
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.4265
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.4280
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.4265
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.4260
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.4255
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.4240
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.4180
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.3960
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.4010
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.3780
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.3780
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.3780
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.3970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3860
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.3735
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3735
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.3685
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.3645
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3595
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.3595
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.3565
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.3640
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.3570
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.3595
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.3545
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.3595
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.3575
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3730
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3730
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.3730
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.4420
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.4440
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.4480
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.4130
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.4195
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.4260
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.4245
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.4310
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.4240
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.4240
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.4225
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4220
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.4440
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.4460
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.4465
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.4465
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.4460
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.4450
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.4455
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.4455
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.4455
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4455
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.4775
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.4790
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.4815
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.5785
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.5285
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.5290
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.5335
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.5360
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.5870
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.6170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.6520
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.6570
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.6610
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.6590
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.6605
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.6530
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.6530
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.5925
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.5030
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5035
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.5200
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.5230
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.5025
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5470
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.5495
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.6210
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.6235
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.6665
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.6120
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6245
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.6155
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.6175
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.6365
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.5930
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.6065
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.6065
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.6095
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.6115
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.6345
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.6580
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.6605
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6825
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.6800
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.6805
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6850
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.7345
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.7140
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.7055
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.7055
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.7205
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.7315
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.7310
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.7315
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.7295
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.7345
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.7325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.6365
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.6360
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.6360
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.6445
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.6400
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.6395
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5640
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5535
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.5015
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.5230
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.5450
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.6085
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.6265
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6360
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.6595
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.6690
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.6955
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.7095
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.7175
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6835
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.6885
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6935
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.6880
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.6985
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6440
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.6790
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.6430
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.6430
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.6425
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.6410
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.6575
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.6345
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.6390
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.6245
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.6125
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.6090
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.6040
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.6160
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.6165
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.6260
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.6125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6390
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.6705
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.6640
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6540
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.6300
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5945
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.6190
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.6185
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.6190
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.6265
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.6265
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.6275
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.7045
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.7095
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.7095
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.7125
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.7125
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.7205
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.7390
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.7390
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.7445
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.7595
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.7610
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.7605
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7660
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8050
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.7935
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.7905
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.7765
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.7675
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.7730
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.7725
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.7680
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.7715
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.7665
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.7695
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.7570
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.7450
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.7425
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.7425
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.7425
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.7425
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.7265
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.7355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7045
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7075
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7075
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6965
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.6865
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.7240
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7325
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.7115
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.7120
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7015
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7015
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.6755
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.6755
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.6755
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6855
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6865
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6885
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.7150
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.7200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7070
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.7155
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.6895
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.6825
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.6865
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6825
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.6895
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.7015
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7215
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7225
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.7240
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7290
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.7290
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.7555
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7495
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.7370
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.7360
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7365
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7395
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.7390
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7160
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.7340
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.7335
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.7410
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.7520
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.7580
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.7555
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.7385
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.6230
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.6305
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.6610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 899100, Buy volume: 127802326.17, Sell volume: 41117101.74, Average price: 0.5439, Price range: 0.2470 - 0.7690

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5920
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.6395
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.6160
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.6180
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5965
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.6285
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.6370
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.5630
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3725
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5120
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.4965
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.5415
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.5445
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5770
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.5855
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5385
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.6415
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.7110
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7265
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6535
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.7050
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.7150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.7165
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.7380
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.7950
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.7395
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.7340
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6900
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6545
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6865
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.6905
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.6845
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.6860
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.6855
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.6735
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.6325
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.6465
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.6695
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.6910
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.6970
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6775
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.7015
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7020
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7120
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.7190
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.7185
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.7185
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.7180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98596, Buy volume: 24402493.06, Sell volume: 2075683.29, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.2450 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.6960
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6975
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7700
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7390
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.7515
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.7440
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.7390
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.7115
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7160
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.7160
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.7160
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.7160
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.6705
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.6710
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6700
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6835
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6965
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.7020
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6745
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.6745
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.5975
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5935
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.3400
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.2190
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1765
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 247, Buy volume: 95337.81, Sell volume: 47657.61, Average price: 0.5505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 7974.99, Sell volume: 4987.12, Average price: 0.9142, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0300
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0295
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9720
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9790
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.9815
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9820
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9740
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9745
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0255
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7575
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2370
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.7630
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2375
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7620
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.2380
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7620
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2405
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7595
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.2405
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7605
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.2405
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7595
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.4515
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.2350
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.7655
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.2595
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.7405
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.1275
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.8750
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.7460
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.3275
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.6940
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.3250
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.6585
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.3240
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.6790
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.4165
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.5850
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.3850
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.6090
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.3870
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.6275
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.3930
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.6065
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.3705
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.6420
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.2525
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.7215
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.3000
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.7085
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.2945
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.7060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.3595
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.6435
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.3205
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.6855
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.3215
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.6855
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.3090
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.6890
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.3105
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.6925
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.3090
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.6835
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.3200
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.6755
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.3010
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.6995
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.3030
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.6955
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.2920
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.6940
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.3430
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.6210
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.4080
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.6015
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.4660
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.5030
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.5810
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.4030
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.6065
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.3995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.4410
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.5400
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4675
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.5330
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.4555
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.5480
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.4525
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.5320
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.5240
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4565
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.5330
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.4665
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.5080
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.4950
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.5030
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.4990
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.4905
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.5185
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4840
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.5155
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.4750
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.5155
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.3810
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.6055
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.3620
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.5710
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4515
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.5390
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.4710
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.5145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.4550
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.5390
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5505
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.4450
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5465
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4635
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5215
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.4885
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5430
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5420
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4680
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.5325
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.3505
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.6460
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.3885
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.6045
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.3965
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.5645
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.4035
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.5985
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.4080
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.5655
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.4265
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.5720
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.4260
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.5745
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.5820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.4050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.6140
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.3735
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.6315
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.3595
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.6405
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.3640
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.6430
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.3545
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.6405
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.3730
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.6270
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.4420
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.5560
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.4130
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.5805
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.4245
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.5690
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.4240
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.5775
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.4440
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.5540
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.4465
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.5540
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.4455
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.5545
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4455
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.5225
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.4815
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.4215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.6520
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.3430
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.6590
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.3395
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.6530
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.4075
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.5035
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.4800
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.5025
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.4530
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.3790
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.6665
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.6245
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.3845
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.6365
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.4070
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.6065
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.3905
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.6345
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.3420
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.6825
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.3200
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.6850
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.7140
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.2950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.7055
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.2795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.6365
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.3640
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.6400
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.3555
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.3550
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.3600
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.5640
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4465
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.5015
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.4770
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5950
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.3915
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.6360
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.3405
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.6955
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.2905
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.6835
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.3100
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.6935
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.3120
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.6440
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.3210
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.6430
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.3575
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.6575
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.3655
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.6245
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.3875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.6390
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3295
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.6540
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3700
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.6190
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.3815
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.6265
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.3735
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.6450
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.7095
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.2905
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.7125
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.2795
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.7390
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2555
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.7610
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.2395
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8050
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2065
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.7765
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2325
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.7725
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.2320
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.7700
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.2335
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.7570
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.2550
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.7450
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 152340721.55, Sell volume: 43245429.76, Average price: 0.5433, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.7045
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.2925
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6965
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3135
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.7325
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.2885
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.7015
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.2985
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.6755
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.3245
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6865
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3115
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.7200
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.2930
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.6895
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.3175
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6825
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.3105
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.7215
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.2775
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.7290
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.2710
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.7495
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.2630
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.7365
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.2605
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.7160
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.2660
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.7410
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.2480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 899100, Buy volume: 127802326.17, Sell volume: 41117101.74, Average price: 0.5439, Price range: 0.2470 - 0.7690
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.5920
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.3605
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.6180
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.4035
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.6370
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4370
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5120
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.5035
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.5445
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4230
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5385
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3585
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.7265
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3465
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.7200
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.2850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.7380
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.2050
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.7340
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.3100
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6865
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.3095
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.6860
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.3145
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.6325
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.3535
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3090
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.6775
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.2985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98596, Buy volume: 24402493.06, Sell volume: 2075683.29, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.2450 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.6960
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.3025
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7390
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.2485
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.7390
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2885
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7160
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.2840
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.7160
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.3295
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6700
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3165
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.7020
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3255
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6750
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.5935
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.6595
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.1765
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9925
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9925
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 247, Buy volume: 95337.81, Sell volume: 47657.61, Average price: 0.5505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641809
Question: Will 风无向 Web3Feng win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 499070.015641
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 7974.99, Sell volume: 4987.12, Average price: 0.9142, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.5050
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.4950
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.4950
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.5050
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.2550
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.7450
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.2550
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.7450
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.9000
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.9000
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9000
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9000
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.9000
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.9000
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9000
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9000
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.1000
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.8900
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.1100
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.1050
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.8900
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.1100
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0300
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9700
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.8950
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.1000
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9000
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.9000
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.1000
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.0800
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.9200
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.9700
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.0300
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0300
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9700
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9700
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.0300
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0300
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.9700
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0300
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0300
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9700
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 87.07, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.8183, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.0205
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.9795
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.9795
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.0205
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.9795
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.0205
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9795
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0205
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9795
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.0205
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9800
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0200
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.0205
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.0205
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0205
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.0205
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.0205
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.0205
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.0205
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0205
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.9795
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0205
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0205
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9795
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9795
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0205
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0200
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9800
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 59.04, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9984, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0200
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9800
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9840
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0160
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0155
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9845
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0155
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9845
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9845
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.0155
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9845
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0155
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0155
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9845
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0155
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9845
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0155
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 579000
Question: Will Marco Silva be the first EPL manager fired?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16401.562666
Price History:
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.9845
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.0155
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.0155
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9845
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 14031.15, Sell volume: 2370.41, Average price: 0.9069, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No