Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.7445
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.2420
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.7585
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.2365
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.7625
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.2355
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.6700
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.3030
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.6930
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.2845
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.7220
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.2780
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.7285
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.2585
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.7430
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.2560
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.7415
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.2585
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.7345
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.2620
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.7670
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.2265
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.7640
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.2525
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.7640
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.2405
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.7550
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.2535
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.7160
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.2860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.7155
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.2860
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.7180
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.2460
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.7750
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.2375
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.7705
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.1925
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.8075
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.2115
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.8035
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.1915
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.8150
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.1675
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.8320
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.1715
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.8325
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.1635
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.8360
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.1615
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.8460
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.1860
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.8385
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.1175
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.8730
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.1485
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.8665
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.1065
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.9310
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9180
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.1385
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.9200
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.1100
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.8835
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0925
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.8590
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.1255
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.8485
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.1495
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.8955
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.1370
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.8760
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.1100
2025-07-10 09:00: 0.8880
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.1310
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.8540
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.1920
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.7580
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.2435
2025-07-12 18:00: 0.7960
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.2390
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.7890
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.2150
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.7775
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.1620
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.8715
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.1650
2025-07-15 22:00: 0.8310
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.1655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.8240
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.1485
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.8475
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.1540
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.8590
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.1795
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.8075
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.1630
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.8250
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.1690
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.8155
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.1845
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.8145
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.2080
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.7885
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.1690
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.8335
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.1965
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.8105
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2125
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.7555
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.2590
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.7235
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.2755
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.7150
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.2945
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.6990
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.2940
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.7390
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.2645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.7095
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2950
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.6870
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.2930
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.6860
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.3125
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.6785
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.3220
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.6250
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.4275
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.5460
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.4645
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.5245
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.4690
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.5090
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.5300
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.4290
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.5165
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.4890
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.5925
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.4350
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.5735
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.4645
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.4540
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.4540
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.4610
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.4570
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.4730
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.5115
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.5055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.5930
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.4150
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.5335
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.4610
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.5020
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.5395
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.4725
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.5180
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.4790
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.5120
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.4665
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.5295
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.5295
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.5295
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.5260
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.5550
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.5595
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.4195
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.5775
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.5845
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.4440
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.5490
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.7215
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.3505
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.6205
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.3965
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.5850
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.4230
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.5565
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.5220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.4310
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.4245
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.4170
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.5910
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.5900
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.4080
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.5910
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.4210
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.5645
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.4370
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.5800
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.3885
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.4225
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.4260
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.5655
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.4515
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.4545
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.4715
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.5290
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.5285
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.4785
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.5220
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.5160
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.4895
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.4895
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.4735
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.5055
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.5120
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.5655
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.5805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.3955
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.3970
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.5785
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.5560
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.4195
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.5965
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.3895
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.6135
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.6085
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.3960
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.5990
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.4395
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.4235
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.5270
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.4925
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.4520
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.4435
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.3695
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.3955
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.6380
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.3515
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.6525
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.3505
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.3105
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.7295
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.7260
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.7245
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.7190
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.2605
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.7330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.2865
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.2865
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.2785
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.7295
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.2725
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.7210
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.7315
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.2780
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.2940
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.7135
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.6940
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.3040
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.7010
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.7090
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.3075
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.7120
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.7180
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.2820
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.7150
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.7200
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.3440
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.6405
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.3675
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.6300
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.3655
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.5365
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.4005
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.6110
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4385
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 20390985.68, Sell volume: 13617453.13, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 541647
Question: Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Volume: 3556471.135241
Price History:
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5110
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4970
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5035
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5205
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5255
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4410
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5880
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.2865
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5020
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.4065
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.5805
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.4360
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.4450
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.5340
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.5425
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.4395
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.5640
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.4705
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.3380
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.2535
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7280
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.2990
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.2965
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.2765
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.2705
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.7220
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.7120
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.6790
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.2590
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.7410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999831, Buy volume: 20304723.03, Sell volume: 13513701.18, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0609 - 0.9487
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531200
Question: Will Leavitt say "Waltz" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9194.466428
Price History:
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.7950
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.2050
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.8950
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.1050
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.0105
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9895
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531200
Question: Will Leavitt say "Waltz" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9194.466428
Price History:
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.8950
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.1050
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.0105
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531200
Question: Will Leavitt say "Waltz" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9194.466428
Price History:
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531200
Question: Will Leavitt say "Waltz" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 9194.466428
Price History:
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.7950
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.2050
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.8950
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.1050
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.0105
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9895
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531200
Question: Will Leavitt say "Waltz" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 9194.466428
Price History:
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.8950
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.1050
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.0105
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531200
Question: Will Leavitt say "Waltz" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 9194.466428
Price History:
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-26 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531201
Question: Will Leavitt say "Goldberg" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1609.0
Price History:
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.6000
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.4000
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531201
Question: Will Leavitt say "Goldberg" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1609.0
Price History:
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.6000
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.4000
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.5000
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.3650
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.6350
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.3650
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.6350
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.3650
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.6350
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.3650
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.6350
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.3650
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.6350
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.3650
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.6350
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.3650
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.6350
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.3650
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.6350
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.3600
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.6400
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.3600
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.6400
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.3550
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.6450
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.3150
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.3150
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.6850
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.3150
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.6850
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.3150
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.6850
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.3150
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.6850
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.3150
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.6850
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.1650
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.8350
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.1650
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.8350
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.1650
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.8350
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.1650
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.8350
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.1900
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.8100
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.2250
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.7750
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.2250
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.7750
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.7750
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.1900
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.8100
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.1900
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.8100
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.1900
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.8100
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.2250
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.7750
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.2250
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.7750
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.1800
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.8200
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.2100
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.7900
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.2150
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.7850
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.2100
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.7900
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.2100
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.7900
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.2100
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.2100
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.7900
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.2100
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.7900
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.1750
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.8250
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.2150
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.2150
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.7850
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.2150
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.7850
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.2150
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.7850
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.7800
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.1750
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.8250
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.2250
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.7750
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.2250
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.7750
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.1800
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.8200
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.1850
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.8150
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.1750
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.8250
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.1550
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.8450
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.1500
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.1500
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.1500
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.1500
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.1500
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.1500
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.1500
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.1500
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.1900
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.8100
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.1900
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.8100
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.1900
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.8100
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.1950
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.1550
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.8450
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.1600
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.8400
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.1650
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.8350
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.1650
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.8350
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.1650
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.1650
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.1650
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.1650
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.1650
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.1600
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.8400
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.1600
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.8400
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.1500
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.8500
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.1500
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.8500
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.1500
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.8500
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.1600
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.8400
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.2100
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.7900
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.2200
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.7800
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.2200
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.7800
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.7300
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.2700
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.2700
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.7300
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.2700
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.7300
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.5600
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.5600
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.5650
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.4350
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.3450
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.6550
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.3450
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.6550
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.3450
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.6550
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.6500
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.3450
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.6550
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.3100
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.6900
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.4300
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.5700
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.3650
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.6350
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.3650
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.6350
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.3650
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.6350
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.3650
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.6350
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.3650
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.6350
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.3650
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.6350
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.3650
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.6350
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.3650
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.6350
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.3600
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.6400
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.3600
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.6400
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.3550
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.6450
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.3200
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.6800
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.3150
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.3150
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.6850
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.3150
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.6850
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.3150
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.6850
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.3150
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.6850
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.3150
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.6850
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.1650
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.8350
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.1650
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.8350
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.1650
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.8350
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.1650
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.8350
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.1900
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.8100
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.2250
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.7750
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.2250
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.7750
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.7750
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.1900
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.8100
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.1900
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.8100
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.1900
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.8100
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.2250
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.7750
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.2250
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.7750
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.1800
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.8200
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.2100
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.7900
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.2150
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.7850
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.2100
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.7900
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.2100
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.7900
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.2100
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.2100
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.7900
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.2100
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.7900
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.1750
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.8250
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.2150
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.2150
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.7850
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.2150
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.7850
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.2150
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.7850
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.2100
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.7900
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.7950
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.2050
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.2050
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.7950
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.7800
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.2100
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.1750
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.8250
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.2250
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.7750
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.2250
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.7750
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.1800
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.8200
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.1850
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.8150
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.1750
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.8250
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.1550
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.8450
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.1500
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.1500
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.1500
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.1500
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.1500
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.1500
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.1500
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.1500
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.8500
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.1900
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.8100
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.1900
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.8100
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.1900
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.8100
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.1950
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.1550
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.8450
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.1600
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.8400
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.1650
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.8350
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.1650
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.8350
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.1650
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.1650
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.1650
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.1650
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.1650
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.1600
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.8400
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.1600
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.8400
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.1500
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.8500
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.1500
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.8500
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.1500
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.8500
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.1600
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.8400
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.2100
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.7900
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.2200
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.7800
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.2200
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.7800
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.2700
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.7300
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.2700
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529000
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Tulsi" or "Gabbard" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 8517.612755
Price History:
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.2700
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.7300
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.2700
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.7300
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.5600
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.4400
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.5600
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.5650
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.4350
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.3450
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.6550
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.3450
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.6550
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.3450
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.6550
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.6500
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.3450
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.6550
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.3100
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.6900
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.4300
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.5700
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4450
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.4450
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.3300
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.6700
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.3300
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.6700
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.3300
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.6700
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.3300
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.6700
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.3250
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.6750
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.3150
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.6850
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.2850
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.2850
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.7150
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.2850
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.7150
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.2850
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.7150
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.2850
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.2800
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.7200
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.2400
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.7600
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.2400
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.7600
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.2400
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.7600
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.2400
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.7600
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.2400
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.7600
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.2400
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.7600
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.2550
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.7450
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.7450
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.2950
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.7050
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.7450
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.7450
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.7500
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.2600
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.7400
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.2550
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.7450
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.2650
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.7350
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.2600
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.7400
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.3200
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.6800
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.4150
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.5850
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.4150
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.5850
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.4150
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.5850
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.4150
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.5850
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.4400
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.5600
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.3100
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.6900
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.3100
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.6900
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.3100
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.6900
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.3100
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.6900
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.6900
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.3100
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.6900
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.3050
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.6950
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.3050
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.6950
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.3050
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.6950
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.3100
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.3050
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.7100
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.2700
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.7300
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.2950
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.7050
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.2850
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.2850
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.2850
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.2850
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.2850
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.2850
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.2700
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.7300
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.2700
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.7300
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.2700
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.7300
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.2700
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.7300
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.2700
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.7300
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.1700
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.8300
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.1700
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.1800
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.8200
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.5450
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.4550
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.5450
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.4550
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.5450
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.4550
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.5450
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.5450
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.5250
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.4750
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.5200
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.4800
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.3800
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.6200
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.3800
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.6200
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.3800
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.6200
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.3800
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.6200
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.6200
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.6200
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.6200
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.6200
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.4300
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.5700
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.4300
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.5700
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.4300
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.5700
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.4300
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.5700
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.7450
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.3750
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.6250
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.2900
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.7100
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.3600
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.6400
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.5150
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.4850
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.5250
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.4750
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4450
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.5550
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.4450
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.3300
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.6700
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.3300
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.6700
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.3300
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.6700
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.3300
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.6700
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.3250
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.6750
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.3150
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.6850
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.2850
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.2850
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.7150
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.2850
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.7150
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.2850
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.7150
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.2850
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.2800
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.7200
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.2300
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.7700
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.2400
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.7600
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.2400
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.7600
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.2400
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.7600
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.2400
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.7600
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.2400
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.7600
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.2400
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.7600
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.2300
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.7700
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.2550
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.7450
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.2550
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.7450
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.2950
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.7050
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.7450
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.2550
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.7450
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.2450
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.7500
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.2600
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.7400
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.2550
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.7450
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.2650
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.7350
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.2600
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.7400
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.3200
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.6800
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.4150
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.5850
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.4150
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.5850
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.4150
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.5850
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.4150
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.5850
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.4400
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.5600
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.3100
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.6900
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.3100
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.6900
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.3100
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.6900
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.3100
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.6900
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.6900
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.3100
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.6900
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.3050
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.6950
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.2950
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.7050
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.3050
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.6950
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.3050
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.6950
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.3100
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.3050
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.7100
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.3050
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.2700
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.7300
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.2950
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.7050
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.2850
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.2850
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.2850
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.2850
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.2850
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.2850
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.2700
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.7300
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.2700
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.7300
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.2700
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.7300
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.2700
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.7300
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.2700
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.7300
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.1700
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.8300
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.1700
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.1800
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.8200
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.3050
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.5450
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.4550
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.5450
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.4550
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.5450
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.4550
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.5450
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.4550
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.5450
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.4550
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.5250
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.4750
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.5200
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.4800
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.3800
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.6200
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.3800
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.6200
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.3800
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.6200
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.3800
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.6200
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529001
Question: Will Leavitt say "John F. Kennedy" or "JFK" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1692.295198
Price History:
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.6200
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.6200
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.6200
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.6200
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.4300
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.5700
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.4300
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.5700
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.4300
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.5700
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.4300
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.5700
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.7450
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.3750
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.6250
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.2900
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.7100
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.3600
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.6400
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.5600
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.4400
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.5600
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.4400
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.5600
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.4400
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5600
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.4400
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5600
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.4400
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.5600
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.4400
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.3850
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.6150
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.3800
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.6200
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.3800
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.6200
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.3800
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.6200
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.6150
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.4300
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.5700
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4450
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.4500
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.4500
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.5400
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.4300
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.5700
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.4600
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.5400
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.4100
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.5900
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.4050
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.5950
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.4800
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.4800
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.4700
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.5300
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.4700
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.5300
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.4700
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.5300
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.4700
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.5300
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.4700
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.5300
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.5100
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.4900
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.4300
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.5700
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.4850
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.5150
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.4850
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.5150
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.4850
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.5150
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.4850
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.4850
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.5150
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.4950
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.5050
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.4950
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.5050
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.4950
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.5050
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.4950
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.5050
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.4950
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.5300
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.4700
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.5600
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.4400
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.5350
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.4650
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.5700
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.4300
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.4300
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.5650
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.5350
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.4650
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.5100
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.4900
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.4900
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.5100
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.4900
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.5100
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.4900
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.5200
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.4800
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.5250
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.4750
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.5350
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.4650
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.5650
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.4350
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.5500
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.4500
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.5600
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.5650
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.4350
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.4750
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.5350
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.4650
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.5550
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.5450
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.4550
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.5450
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.4550
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.5750
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.4250
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.5600
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.4400
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.5750
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.4250
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.5250
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.4750
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.6000
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.4000
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.6150
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.3850
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.7800
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.2200
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.7050
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.2950
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.7850
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.2150
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.7350
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.2650
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.7900
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.2100
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.7900
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.2100
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.8400
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.1600
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.1650
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.1600
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.8450
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.1550
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.8250
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.1750
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.8250
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.1750
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.1650
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.7000
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.6800
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.3200
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.6800
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.7100
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.2900
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.7000
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.3000
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.6700
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.3300
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.6250
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.3750
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.6500
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.6500
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.6500
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.6550
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.3450
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.2650
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.2650
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.7200
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.2800
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.7200
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.2800
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.5600
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.4400
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.5600
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.4400
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.5600
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.4400
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5600
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.4400
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5600
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.4400
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.5600
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.4400
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.3850
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.6150
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.3800
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.6200
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.3800
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.6200
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.3800
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.6200
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.6150
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.4250
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.5750
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.4300
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.5700
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.4450
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.5550
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.4500
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.4500
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.5500
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.4600
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.5400
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.4300
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.5700
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.4600
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.5400
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.4100
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.5900
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.4050
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.5950
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.4800
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.4800
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.5200
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.4700
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.5300
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.4700
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.5300
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.4700
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.5300
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.4700
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.5300
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.4700
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.5300
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.5100
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.4900
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.4300
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.5700
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.4850
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.5150
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.4800
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.5200
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.4850
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.5150
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.4850
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.5150
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.4850
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.4850
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.5150
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.5000
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.4950
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.5050
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.4950
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.5050
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.4950
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.5050
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.4950
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.5050
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.4950
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.5300
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.4700
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.5600
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.4400
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.5350
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.4650
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.5700
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.4300
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.4300
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.5650
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.4350
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.4850
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.5350
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.4650
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.5150
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.5150
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.4850
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.5100
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.4900
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.4900
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.5100
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.4900
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.5100
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.4900
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.5200
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.4800
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.5250
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.4750
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.5350
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.4650
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.5650
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.4350
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.5500
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.4500
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.5600
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.4400
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.5650
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.4350
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.5250
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.4750
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.5350
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.4650
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.5550
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.5450
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.4550
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.5450
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.4550
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.5750
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.4250
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.5600
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.4400
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.5750
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.4250
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.5250
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.4750
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.5550
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.4450
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.6000
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.4000
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.6150
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.3850
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.3750
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.7800
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.2200
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.7050
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.2950
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.7850
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.2150
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.2750
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.7350
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.2650
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.7950
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.2050
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.7900
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.2100
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.7900
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.2100
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.8400
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.1600
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.1650
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.1600
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.8450
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.1550
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.8250
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.1750
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.8250
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.1750
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.8350
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.1650
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 20:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.8300
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.1700
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.7000
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.6800
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.3200
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.6800
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529010
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "reciprocal" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 4302.935932
Price History:
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.7100
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.2900
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.7000
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.3000
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.6700
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.3300
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.6250
2025-03-26 04:00: 0.3750
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.6500
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.6500
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.6500
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.3500
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.6550
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.3450
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.2650
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.2650
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.7200
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.2800
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.7200
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.2800
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528992
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "president" 80 or more times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2778.648927
Price History:
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.5000
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.7550
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.2450
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.5250
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.4750
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.5400
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.4600
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.5450
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.4550
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.5450
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.4550
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.5450
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.4550
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.5450
2025-03-20 03:00: 0.4550
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.5400
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.4600
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5400
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.4600
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.5350
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.4650
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528992
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "president" 80 or more times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2778.648927
Price History:
2025-03-20 07:00: 0.4550
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.2850
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.7200
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.2800
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.7200
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.2800
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.7200
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.2800
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.7200
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.2800
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.7200
2025-03-20 13:00: 0.2800
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.6850
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.3150
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.6500
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.3500
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.6400
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.3600
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.6400
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.3600
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.6350
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528992
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "president" 80 or more times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2778.648927
Price History:
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.6400
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.3600
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.6200
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.3800
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.6200
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.3800
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.6250
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.3750
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.6250
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.3750
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.6250
2025-03-21 01:00: 0.3750
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.6200
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.3800
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.7200
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.2800
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528992
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "president" 80 or more times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2778.648927
Price History:
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.2800
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.2850
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.7100
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.2900
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.6300
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.3700
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.6300
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.3700
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.6550
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.3450
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.6550
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.3450
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 19:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528992
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "president" 80 or more times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2778.648927
Price History:
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.6650
2025-03-21 21:00: 0.3350
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.3400
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.6600
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.3400
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.6600
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.3400
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.6600
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.3400
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.6600
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.3400
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.6600
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.3400
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.6900
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.3100
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.6900
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.3100
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.6900
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.3100
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.6900
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.3100
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.6900
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.3100
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528992
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "president" 80 or more times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2778.648927
Price History:
2025-03-22 09:00: 0.2650
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.7350
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.2650
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.7400
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.2600
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.7200
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.2800
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.7450
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.2550
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.7250
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.2750
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.7350
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.2650
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.7350
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.2650
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.7500
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.2500
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.7300
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.2700
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.7400
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.2600
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.7400
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.2600
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.7400
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528992
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "president" 80 or more times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2778.648927
Price History:
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.7400
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.2600
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.7400
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.7400
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.2600
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528992
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "president" 80 or more times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2778.648927
Price History:
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.7550
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.2450
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.7800
2025-03-23 13:00: 0.2200
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.7650
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.2350
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.7650
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.2350
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.7700
2025-03-23 16:00: 0.2300
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.7650
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.2350
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.7600
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.2400
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.7450
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.2550
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.7350
2025-03-23 20:00: 0.2650
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.7350
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.2650
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.7350
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528992
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "president" 80 or more times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2778.648927
Price History:
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.7350
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.7350
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.2650
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.7450
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.2550
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.7450
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.2550
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528992
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "president" 80 or more times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2778.648927
Price History:
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 16:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.2600
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.7400
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 528992
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "president" 80 or more times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2778.648927
Price History:
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.7400
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.2600
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.7400
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.2600
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.7400
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.2600
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.7400
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.2600
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.7400
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.2600
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.7400
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.2600
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.7350
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.2650
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.7350
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.2650
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.7350
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.2650
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.2650
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.7350
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.2650
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.7350
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.2650
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes