Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9980
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9980
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9980
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9980
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.9980
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9980
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9980
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9980
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1786.13, Sell volume: 137.87, Average price: 0.7490, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9980
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.9980
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9985
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0020
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9980
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9985
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9985
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9985
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1.00, Sell volume: 1131.00, Average price: 0.2505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9985
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9985
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9985
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 2.42, Sell volume: 929.42, Average price: 0.1673, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.0015
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9985
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 338.00, Sell volume: 1401.99, Average price: 0.2505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523368
Question: Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 364655.104342
Price History:
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.37, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.5900
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.5250
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.3800
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.3800
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.3800
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.3750
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.3800
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.3800
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.3800
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.3800
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.3800
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.3750
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.3700
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.3650
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.3700
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.3950
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.4100
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.4100
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.4050
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.4050
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.4200
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.4250
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.4200
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.4200
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.4200
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.4150
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.4150
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.4150
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.4150
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.4150
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.4150
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.4100
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.4100
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.4100
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.4100
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.4100
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.4100
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.4100
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.4100
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.4100
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.3900
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.3950
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.3900
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.3900
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.4000
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.4000
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.4000
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154637499.08, Sell volume: 79860544.36, Average price: 0.8192, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.4100
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.4050
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.4050
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.4050
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.4050
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.4150
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.4250
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.4650
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.4300
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.4150
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.4150
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.4150
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.4150
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.4150
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.4150
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.4150
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.4150
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.4150
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.4100
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.4100
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.4100
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.4100
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.4100
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.4050
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.3950
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.3950
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.3950
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.3950
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.4150
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.4300
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.4250
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.4450
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.4550
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.4550
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.4600
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.4650
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.4450
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.4700
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.4650
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.4700
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154637499.08, Sell volume: 79860544.36, Average price: 0.8192, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.4650
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.4850
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.4850
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.4850
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.4850
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.4900
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.4950
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.4950
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.5050
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.5050
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.5050
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.5250
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.5250
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.5150
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.5050
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.5100
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.5100
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.5150
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.5150
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.4350
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.4750
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.4700
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.4650
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.4600
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.4600
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.4600
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.4500
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.4550
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.4550
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.4850
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.4950
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.5050
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.4700
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.4900
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.4850
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.4850
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.4850
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.4700
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.4550
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.4550
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.4300
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.4600
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.4500
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.4500
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.4800
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.4700
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154637499.08, Sell volume: 79860544.36, Average price: 0.8192, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.4700
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.4700
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.4650
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.4650
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.4600
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.4650
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.4800
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.4900
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.4800
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.4800
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.4400
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.4550
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.4400
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.4400
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.4400
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.4350
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.4400
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.4550
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.4750
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.4750
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.4750
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.4400
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.4650
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.4650
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.4550
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.4400
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.4300
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.4400
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.4400
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154637499.08, Sell volume: 79860544.36, Average price: 0.8192, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.3750
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.3700
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.4050
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.4200
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.3850
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.5450
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.7350
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.9150
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.9550
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.9640
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.9885
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.9890
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.9935
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.9955
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.9950
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.9960
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.9960
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.9960
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.9980
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.9975
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.9985
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.9970
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.9845
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.9890
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.9920
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.9940
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.9960
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.9955
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.9955
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.9950
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.9945
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.9945
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9960
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.9925
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9900
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.9925
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.9935
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.9935
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.9940
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.9890
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.9895
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.9955
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.9925
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.9925
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999020, Buy volume: 154542205.27, Sell volume: 79789465.23, Average price: 0.8191, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.9920
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9920
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9915
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.9915
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.9930
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.9925
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9920
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.9925
2025-02-25 14:00: 0.9925
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.9930
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.9925
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.9925
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.9925
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.9925
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.9925
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.9925
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9925
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.9930
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.9915
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.9915
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.9915
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.9915
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.9910
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.9895
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9880
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.9885
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9895
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.9890
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.9890
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.9890
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.9855
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.9845
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.9855
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9875
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.9875
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.9865
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9875
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.9875
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.9875
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.9885
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.9880
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.9880
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.9880
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.9885
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.9875
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.9875
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.9880
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.9865
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.9865
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 5874.09, Sell volume: 21985.29, Average price: 0.7990, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9885
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.9885
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.9875
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.9875
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.9875
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9875
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.9885
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.9885
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.9890
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.9890
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9900
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.9900
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.9900
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9900
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.9900
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9900
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.9900
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9900
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.9900
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9900
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9890
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9890
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9890
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9895
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9895
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9895
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9900
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9900
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 449.66, Sell volume: 6044.99, Average price: 0.9326, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 17:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.9900
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9900
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9900
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9890
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9885
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9890
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.9880
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9880
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9880
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9880
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9885
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9900
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9905
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9900
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.9905
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.9905
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9905
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.9895
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9905
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9910
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 3874.90, Sell volume: 6124.17, Average price: 0.8902, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9910
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9895
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9900
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.9900
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.9900
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9900
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.9895
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.9900
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9900
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9900
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.9905
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9905
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9900
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9900
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9905
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9905
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9905
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9915
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9915
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.9915
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 228, Buy volume: 4050.83, Sell volume: 1732.28, Average price: 0.9268, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9915
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.9915
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.9910
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9910
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.9910
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140, Buy volume: 876.53, Sell volume: 16463.35, Average price: 0.9921, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9915
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9905
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.9905
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.9905
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9905
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 17:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 20:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.9910
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9910
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.9910
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.9910
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9910
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9910
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.9910
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 19:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1243.91, Sell volume: 176.40, Average price: 0.9913, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 15:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.9930
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.9930
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.9930
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.9930
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.9940
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9940
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.9940
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.9940
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9930
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.9930
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.9925
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 5393.89, Sell volume: 11087.32, Average price: 0.7733, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9915
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.9915
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.9915
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.9915
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.9915
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.9915
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.9915
2025-03-13 06:00: 0.9935
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.9960
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.9960
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.9955
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.9955
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.9960
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.9965
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.9970
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.9980
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.9985
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.9990
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.9990
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.9990
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9990
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9985
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-03-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 269, Buy volume: 72843.60, Sell volume: 6557.64, Average price: 0.9852, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.5900
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.4750
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.6200
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.3800
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.6250
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.3800
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.6200
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.3800
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.6250
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.3650
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.6300
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.4100
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.5900
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.4050
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.5800
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.4200
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.5800
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.4150
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.5850
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.4150
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.5850
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.4100
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.5900
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.4100
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.5900
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.4100
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.5900
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.3900
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154637499.08, Sell volume: 79860544.36, Average price: 0.8192, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.4100
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.5950
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.4050
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.5950
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.5950
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.5950
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.4050
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.5950
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.4250
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.5350
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.4150
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.5850
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.4150
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.5850
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.4150
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.5850
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.4100
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.5900
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.4100
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.5900
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.3950
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.6050
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.3950
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.5850
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.4250
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.5550
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.4550
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154637499.08, Sell volume: 79860544.36, Average price: 0.8192, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.4650
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.5150
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.4850
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.5150
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.4950
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.5050
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.5050
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.4950
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.5250
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.4850
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.5100
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.4900
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.5150
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.5650
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.4700
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.5350
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.4600
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.5400
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.4550
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.5450
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.5150
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.5050
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.5300
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.4850
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.5150
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.4850
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.5300
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.4550
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154637499.08, Sell volume: 79860544.36, Average price: 0.8192, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.4700
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.5300
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.4650
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.5400
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.4650
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.5250
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.4900
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.5150
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.5200
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.5200
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.4750
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.5600
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.4500
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.5500
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.4400
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.5600
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.4400
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.4750
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.5250
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.5700
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.4400
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.5350
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 154637499.08, Sell volume: 79860544.36, Average price: 0.8192, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.6250
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.4050
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.4450
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.5550
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.3850
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.4550
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.9150
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0450
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.9885
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.0110
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.9955
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.0050
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.9960
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0040
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.9975
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.9845
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.0110
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.9940
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0040
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.9955
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0050
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.9945
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.0040
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9900
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0075
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.9935
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999020, Buy volume: 154542205.27, Sell volume: 79789465.23, Average price: 0.8191, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.9920
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0080
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.9915
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0070
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9920
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0075
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.9930
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.0075
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.9925
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0075
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.9925
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0075
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.9915
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0085
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.9915
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0090
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9880
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0115
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.9890
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.0110
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.9855
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0155
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9875
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0125
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.9875
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0125
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.9885
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.0120
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.9880
2025-02-27 01:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 5874.09, Sell volume: 21985.29, Average price: 0.7990, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9885
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0115
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.9875
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0125
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.9885
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0115
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.9890
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.0100
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.9900
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0100
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9900
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0105
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9900
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0100
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0105
2025-02-28 09:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.0110
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0105
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0105
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0105
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9895
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0105
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9895
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0105
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9900
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 449.66, Sell volume: 6044.99, Average price: 0.9326, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0095
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0095
2025-03-01 18:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0095
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0095
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0105
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0100
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9895
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0105
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9885
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0110
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9880
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0120
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9885
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0100
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.9900
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0095
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0100
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.0095
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 3874.90, Sell volume: 6124.17, Average price: 0.8902, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9910
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0100
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0100
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0100
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0095
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0095
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.9900
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0105
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.9900
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0095
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0095
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0095
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.9905
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0095
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0090
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0095
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0100
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9905
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 228, Buy volume: 4050.83, Sell volume: 1732.28, Average price: 0.9268, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.9915
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0085
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9910
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0090
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0085
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0085
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9915
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0085
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9910
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0090
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0085
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0085
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0080
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9920
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140, Buy volume: 876.53, Sell volume: 16463.35, Average price: 0.9921, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.9915
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0085
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0085
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0090
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0090
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.9905
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0095
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9905
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0090
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.0090
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.0090
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.9910
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0090
2025-03-09 00:00: 0.9910
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.0090
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.9910
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.0090
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.0085
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.9915
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.9920
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1243.91, Sell volume: 176.40, Average price: 0.9913, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9920
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.0080
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0075
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0075
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9925
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.0070
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.0070
2025-03-10 22:00: 0.9930
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.0070
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.0065
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.0065
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.0070
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.0065
2025-03-11 13:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.0065
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.9935
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.0065
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9940
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 5393.89, Sell volume: 11087.32, Average price: 0.7733, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523366
Question: Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
Volume: 594715.280624
Price History:
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.0085
2025-03-12 07:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.0085
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0085
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.0085
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.0085
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.0085
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9915
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.0085
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.9915
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.0085
2025-03-13 04:00: 0.9915
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.0085
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.9960
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.0040
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.9955
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.0040
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.9965
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.0030
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.9985
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.9990
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 269, Buy volume: 72843.60, Sell volume: 6557.64, Average price: 0.9852, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.6150
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.7800
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.8350
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9150
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9100
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9100
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9100
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.9100
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9100
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.8850
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.8750
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.8850
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.8800
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.8750
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.8850
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.8900
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.8900
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.8900
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.8900
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.8900
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.8950
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.8950
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.8900
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.8750
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9050
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.8850
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.8850
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.8850
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.8850
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.8850
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.8850
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.8850
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.8800
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.8800
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.8800
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.8650
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.8750
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.8750
2025-02-13 07:00: 0.8750
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.8750
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.8750
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.8750
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.8750
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.8750
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.8750
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.8750
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.8800
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.8850
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.8850
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 7681.10, Sell volume: 2830.46, Average price: 0.5231, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.8950
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.8850
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.8850
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.8850
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.9000
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.9000
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.9050
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9050
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.9050
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9050
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9000
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9050
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.9050
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.9050
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9050
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.9050
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.9050
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.8950
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.8850
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.8850
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.8750
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.8800
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.8800
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.8800
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.8800
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.8800
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.8800
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.8850
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.8850
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.8800
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.8800
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.8800
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.8800
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.8900
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.8800
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.8850
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.8850
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.8800
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.8800
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.8800
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.8850
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.8850
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.8800
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.8750
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.8650
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.8550
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.8600
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.8550
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2294.42, Sell volume: 2843.93, Average price: 0.5908, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.8550
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.8550
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.8550
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.8550
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.8550
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.8550
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.8550
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.8550
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.8400
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.8400
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.8400
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.8350
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.8350
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.8350
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.7950
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.8100
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.7850
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.7550
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.7400
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.7300
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.7300
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.7300
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.7150
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.7200
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.7100
2025-03-09 14:00: 0.7050
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 02:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 08:00: 0.7500
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.7700
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.7950
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.7900
2025-03-11 08:00: 0.7950
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.7900
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.8000
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.7800
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.7850
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.7500
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.7650
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.7650
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.7550
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.7350
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.7300
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.7400
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 714.23, Sell volume: 1939.88, Average price: 0.5012, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.6850
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.6700
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.6700
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.6700
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.6700
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.6700
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.6650
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.6650
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.6650
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.6450
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.6150
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.6150
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.6150
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.6150
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.6100
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.6050
2025-03-19 17:00: 0.6100
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.6050
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.6100
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.6050
2025-03-20 17:00: 0.6050
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.6050
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.6750
2025-03-21 11:00: 0.6850
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.6700
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.6800
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.6750
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.7150
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.6950
2025-03-23 05:00: 0.6850
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.6850
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.7100
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.6650
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.6950
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.6700
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.6950
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.7100
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.7100
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.7300
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.7250
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.6950
2025-03-26 11:00: 0.7100
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.6750
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.6900
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 643.75, Sell volume: 172.49, Average price: 0.5282, Price range: 0.2864 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.7050
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.7100
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.7100
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.8500
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.7550
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.7350
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.7200
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.7300
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.7250
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.7200
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.7200
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.7100
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.7150
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.7250
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.7150
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.7150
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.7050
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.7000
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.7000
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.7050
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.7050
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.7000
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.6950
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.7000
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.7000
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.6950
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.6950
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.6950
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.6900
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.6800
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.6800
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.7000
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.7000
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.7000
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.7400
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.7700
2025-04-06 20:00: 0.7600
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.7200
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.7250
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.7300
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.7200
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.7200
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.7800
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.7650
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.7450
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.7800
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.7850
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1467.26, Sell volume: 423.80, Average price: 0.4867, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.7900
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.7900
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.7850
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.7850
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.7850
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.7300
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.7200
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.7200
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.7100
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.7100
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.7100
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.7100
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.7700
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.7700
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.7700
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.7700
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.7700
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.7700
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.7700
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.7700
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.7600
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.7600
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.7450
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.7400
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.7400
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.7500
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.7550
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.7550
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.7600
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.7600
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.7600
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.7600
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.7600
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.7600
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.7550
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.7550
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.7550
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.7350
2025-04-21 11:00: 0.7350
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7450
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.7400
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.7400
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2524.10, Sell volume: 664.15, Average price: 0.5462, Price range: 0.2312 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.7300
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.7400
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.7400
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.7450
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.7350
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.7350
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.7350
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.7400
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7400
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6900
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.6950
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.6950
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6950
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.6950
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.6950
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.6950
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6950
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6850
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.6850
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6950
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.6950
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.6950
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.6850
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.6850
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.6850
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.6850
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.6850
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.6850
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.6950
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7300
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.7300
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7300
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 613.03, Sell volume: 948.30, Average price: 0.5152, Price range: 0.2515 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7350
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.7350
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.7350
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.7450
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.7450
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.7450
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.7450
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.7450
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.7300
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.7350
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.7600
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.7350
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.7350
2025-05-12 11:00: 0.7250
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.7250
2025-05-12 23:00: 0.7250
2025-05-13 05:00: 0.7250
2025-05-13 11:00: 0.7250
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.7300
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.7200
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.7250
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-14 23:00: 0.7250
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.7250
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.7250
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.7250
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.7350
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.7450
2025-05-16 11:00: 0.7450
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.7450
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.7450
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.7450
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.6350
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.6450
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.6600
2025-05-18 05:00: 0.6450
2025-05-18 11:00: 0.6500
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.4300
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 4505.99, Sell volume: 2161.20, Average price: 0.5182, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.5800
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.5250
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.5550
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.5350
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.5400
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.5150
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.5400
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.5500
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.5750
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.5800
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.5750
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.5650
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.6000
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.6000
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.6400
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.6400
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.6400
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.6400
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.6650
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.6850
2025-05-24 20:00: 0.7200
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.6600
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.6200
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.6250
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.6250
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.6250
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.6200
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.6250
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.6100
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.6400
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.6350
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.6300
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.6250
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.6350
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.6300
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.6350
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.6350
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.6300
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.6350
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.6350
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.6350
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.6350
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.7000
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.7050
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.7200
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.7100
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 3966.48, Sell volume: 3366.44, Average price: 0.4754, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.7050
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.6950
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.6950
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.6950
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.6950
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.6850
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.6850
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.7000
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.6950
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.6750
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.6750
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.6700
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.6900
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.6900
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.6850
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.7000
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.6850
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.6650
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.6450
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.6350
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.6700
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.6700
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.6750
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.6750
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.6750
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.6950
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.6950
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.6950
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.6950
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.6950
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.6950
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.6800
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.6850
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.6850
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.6800
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.6650
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.6650
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.6750
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.6800
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.6800
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.6650
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.6600
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.6750
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.6750
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.6850
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.6850
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.6850
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.6550
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.6350
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1213.45, Sell volume: 451.32, Average price: 0.4256, Price range: 0.2686 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.6350
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.6350
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.6350
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.6350
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.6350
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.6250
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.6300
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.5800
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.5750
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.5300
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.5050
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.6050
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.5650
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.5800
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.6250
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.6050
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.6000
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.6100
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.6150
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.6050
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.6200
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.6350
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.6250
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.6050
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.5650
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.6050
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.5550
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.5250
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.5100
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.5300
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.5300
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.5600
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.5400
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.5300
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.5300
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.5500
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.5500
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.5650
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.5600
2025-06-24 21:00: 0.5650
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.5650
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.5650
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.5650
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.5650
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.5650
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.5600
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.5600
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.5600
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.5600
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1122.36, Sell volume: 2052.99, Average price: 0.4999, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.5600
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.5600
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.5600
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.5650
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.5600
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.5600
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.5650
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.5600
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.5600
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.5650
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.5600
2025-07-01 00:00: 0.6050
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.5800
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.5100
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.5100
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.5400
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.5650
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.5850
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.5900
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.5950
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.5850
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.5950
2025-07-03 18:00: 0.5700
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.5650
2025-07-04 06:00: 0.5650
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.5750
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.5650
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.5700
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.5700
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.5650
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.5650
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.5500
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.5500
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.5600
2025-07-06 18:00: 0.5600
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.5600
2025-07-07 06:00: 0.5600
2025-07-07 12:00: 0.5600
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.5600
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.5550
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.5450
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.5450
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.5300
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.5350
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.5200
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.5250
2025-07-09 18:00: 0.5000
2025-07-10 00:00: 0.4850
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.4900
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 1441.44, Sell volume: 1223.86, Average price: 0.4842, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.4950
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.4950
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.4600
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.4600
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.4200
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.3900
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.4000
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.4000
2025-07-13 09:00: 0.4150
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.4150
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.4050
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.4050
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.3750
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.3850
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.3850
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.4000
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.4000
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.4000
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.3950
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.3950
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.3950
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.3950
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.3950
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.3950
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.3950
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.3950
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.3800
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.3800
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.3850
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.3850
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.3850
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.3750
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.3650
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.3150
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.3050
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.3400
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.3400
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.3400
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.3450
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.3350
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.3350
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.3300
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.3300
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.3300
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.3400
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 23459.52, Sell volume: 4691.52, Average price: 0.6145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.6150
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.1650
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9100
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0900
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.9100
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0900
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.8800
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.1200
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.8850
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.1100
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.8900
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.1100
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.8950
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.1050
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9050
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.1150
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.8850
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.1150
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.8800
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.1200
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.8650
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.1250
2025-02-13 10:00: 0.8750
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.1250
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.8750
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.1250
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.8800
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.1250
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.8950
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 7681.10, Sell volume: 2830.46, Average price: 0.5231, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.8950
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.1150
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.8950
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.0950
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9050
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.0950
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9000
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9050
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0950
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.8850
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.1250
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.8800
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.1200
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.8800
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.1200
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.8850
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.1200
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.8800
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.1200
2025-02-25 16:00: 0.8850
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.1150
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.8800
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.1150
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.8800
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.1250
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.8600
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.1400
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.8550
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2294.42, Sell volume: 2843.93, Average price: 0.5908, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.8550
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.1450
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.8550
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.1450
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.1450
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.8550
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.1600
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.8400
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.1650
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.8400
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.2100
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.7550
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.2450
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.7350
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.2900
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.7200
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.7050
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.2450
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.7950
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.2000
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.7850
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.2250
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.7500
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.2350
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.7400
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.2600
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.7350
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 714.23, Sell volume: 1939.88, Average price: 0.5012, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.6850
2025-03-15 15:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.6750
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.3250
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.6700
2025-03-17 09:00: 0.3350
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.6550
2025-03-18 06:00: 0.3850
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.6150
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.3850
2025-03-19 14:00: 0.6100
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.3950
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.6050
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.3950
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.7150
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.3100
2025-03-22 05:00: 0.7550
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.2900
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.6850
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.3100
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.6650
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.2950
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.7050
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.2950
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.7300
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.3100
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.7050
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.3150
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.6950
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 643.75, Sell volume: 172.49, Average price: 0.5282, Price range: 0.2864 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.7050
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.2950
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.7750
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.2650
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.7200
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.2750
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.7250
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.2850
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.7150
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.2800
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.7000
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.3000
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.7050
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.3000
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.7000
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.3000
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.6950
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.3050
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.6800
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.3000
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.7000
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.2400
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.7750
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.2850
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.7200
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.2300
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.7800
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.2200
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.7850
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1467.26, Sell volume: 423.80, Average price: 0.4867, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.7900
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.2150
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.7850
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.2850
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.7200
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.2900
2025-04-13 02:00: 0.7100
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.2300
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.7700
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.2300
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.7700
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.2300
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.7600
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.2600
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.2500
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.7550
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.2400
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.7600
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.2400
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.7550
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.2450
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.2600
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.2650
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.7400
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.2600
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.7350
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2524.10, Sell volume: 664.15, Average price: 0.5462, Price range: 0.2312 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.7300
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.7350
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.2650
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7350
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.2600
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7400
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.3050
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.6850
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.3050
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.6950
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3150
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.6850
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6850
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.3050
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6950
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3150
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.6950
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.3150
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.6850
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.3200
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.7350
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 613.03, Sell volume: 948.30, Average price: 0.5152, Price range: 0.2515 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.2500
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7500
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2650
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.7350
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-09 18:00: 0.2550
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.7350
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.2450
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.7300
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.2700
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.7350
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.2700
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.7250
2025-05-13 06:00: 0.2750
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.7300
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.2700
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.7250
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.2750
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.7250
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.2750
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.2550
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.7450
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.3500
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.6450
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.3550
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.4400
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 4505.99, Sell volume: 2161.20, Average price: 0.5182, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.5800
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.4400
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.5400
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.4400
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.5500
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.4250
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.5700
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.4100
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.6400
2025-05-23 18:00: 0.3600
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.6400
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.3050
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.6600
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.3700
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.6300
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.3750
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.6100
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.3650
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.6250
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.3650
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.6350
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.3650
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.6350
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.3650
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.7050
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.3000
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.7200
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.2850
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.7300
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 3966.48, Sell volume: 3366.44, Average price: 0.4754, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.7050
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.3050
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.6950
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.3100
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.7000
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.3150
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.6750
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.3100
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.6850
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.2950
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.6700
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.3550
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.6700
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.3250
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.6950
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.3050
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.6950
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.3050
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.6850
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.3150
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.6650
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.3150
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.6750
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.3250
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.6750
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.3150
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.6850
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.3450
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.6350
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 1213.45, Sell volume: 451.32, Average price: 0.4256, Price range: 0.2686 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.6350
2025-06-15 13:00: 0.3650
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.6350
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.3700
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.5800
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.4350
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.5900
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.4900
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.6250
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.3850
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.6050
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.3900
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.6350
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.3850
2025-06-21 06:00: 0.5700
2025-06-21 16:00: 0.4450
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.5100
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.4800
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.5600
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.4700
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.5500
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.4350
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.5700
2025-06-25 04:00: 0.4350
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.5650
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.4350
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.5600
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.4400
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.5600
2025-06-27 19:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1122.36, Sell volume: 2052.99, Average price: 0.4999, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-06-28 06:00: 0.5600
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.4400
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.5650
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.4350
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.5600
2025-06-30 10:00: 0.4400
2025-06-30 21:00: 0.5850
2025-07-01 07:00: 0.4200
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.5100
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.4400
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.5650
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.4050
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.5950
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.4200
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.5650
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.4300
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.5700
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.4350
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.5500
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.4400
2025-07-07 00:00: 0.5600
2025-07-07 10:00: 0.4400
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.5600
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.4550
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.5300
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.4850
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.5250
2025-07-10 01:00: 0.5050
2025-07-10 12:00: 0.4950
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 1441.44, Sell volume: 1223.86, Average price: 0.4842, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521630
Question: Joe Biden book deal in 2025?
Volume: 109603.686816
Price History:
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.4950
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.5100
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.4200
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.5900
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.4000
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.5850
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.4200
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.5900
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.3850
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.6000
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.3950
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.6050
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.3950
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.6050
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.3950
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.6200
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.3850
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.6150
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.3750
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.6850
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.6750
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.3400
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.6600
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.3450
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.6650
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.3300
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.6750
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.3400
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 23459.52, Sell volume: 4691.52, Average price: 0.6145, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676632
Question: James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75492.729591
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.6250
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6500
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.3500
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7000
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3000
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.6550
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.3500
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6300
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.3700
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.3650
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.3650
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.3650
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.6300
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.3700
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.3650
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.3650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.6450
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.3550
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.6400
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.3600
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 643.78, Sell volume: 160.79, Average price: 0.4773, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676632
Question: James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75492.729591
Price History:
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.6300
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.3700
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.3650
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.3650
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.6350
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.3650
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.6350
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.3650
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.6350
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.3650
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.6350
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.3650
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.3550
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.3550
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.3550
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.6450
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.3550
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.6500
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.3500
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.6550
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.6550
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.3450
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.6600
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.3400
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.8450
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.1550
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.8450
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.1550
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.8450
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.1550
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.8450
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.1550
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 245.96, Sell volume: 153.88, Average price: 0.6402, Price range: 0.2344 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676632
Question: James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75492.729591
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.7100
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.2900
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.7000
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.3000
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.7000
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.3000
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.7000
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.3000
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.7050
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.2950
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.6950
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.3050
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.6500
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.3500
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.6300
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.3700
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.6350
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.3650
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.6400
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.3600
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.6450
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.3550
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.6500
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.3500
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.6550
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.3450
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.3200
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.6800
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 29.34, Sell volume: 22.57, Average price: 0.5750, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676632
Question: James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75492.729591
Price History:
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.6800
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.3200
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.7000
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.7050
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7050
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.2950
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.7050
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.2950
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.7000
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.7050
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.2950
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.7050
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.7050
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.2950
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.7000
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.7000
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.7000
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.3000
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.7050
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.2950
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.7050
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.2950
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.6750
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1.35, Sell volume: 153.90, Average price: 0.5925, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676632
Question: James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75492.729591
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.6850
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.3250
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.6700
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.3300
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.6600
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.3400
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.6400
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.6400
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.3600
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.6450
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.3550
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.3800
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.6200
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.6300
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.3700
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.6250
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.3750
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 429.76, Sell volume: 19.82, Average price: 0.5881, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676632
Question: James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75492.729591
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.7400
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.2600
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.8850
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.8750
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.1250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 433.65, Sell volume: 194.13, Average price: 0.5194, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676632
Question: James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75492.729591
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.1450
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.7550
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.2450
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.7600
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.2400
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.8000
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.2000
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.8000
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.2000
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.7800
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.2200
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.7800
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.2200
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.7850
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.2150
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.2200
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.8000
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.2000
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.8100
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.1900
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.8000
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.2000
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.7950
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.2050
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.8150
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.1850
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.7600
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.2400
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.7400
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.2600
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.7550
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.2450
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.7550
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.2450
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.7900
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.2100
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.8000
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.2000
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.8400
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.1600
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.8000
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 967.35, Sell volume: 3.80, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676632
Question: James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75492.729591
Price History:
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.8450
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.8450
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.8200
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.1800
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.8150
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.1850
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.8100
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.1900
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.8300
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.1700
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.8450
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.8250
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.1750
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.8450
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.1550
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.8550
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.1450
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.1350
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.8650
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.1350
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.8650
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 340.00, Sell volume: 107.30, Average price: 0.6565, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676632
Question: James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75492.729591
Price History:
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.8650
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.1350
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.8700
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.1300
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.8800
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.1200
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.8750
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.1250
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.8900
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.1100
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.8800
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.1200
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.8800
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.1200
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.1050
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 349, Buy volume: 46493.20, Sell volume: 28999.53, Average price: 0.5478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676632
Question: James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75492.729591
Price History:
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.8750
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.1250
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.1300
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.8700
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.8700
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.8700
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.8700
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.8750
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.8750
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.1250
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.8750
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.1250
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.8650
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.1350
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.1350
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.8650
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.1350
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.8700
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 26.27, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676632
Question: James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75492.729591
Price History:
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.8750
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.1250
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.8750
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.1250
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.8750
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.1250
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.8700
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.8700
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.1300
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.8750
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.1250
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.8700
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.1300
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.8700
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.1300
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.8750
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.1250
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.8750
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.1250
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.8750
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.1250
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.8750
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.1250
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.8750
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.1250
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.8700
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.1300
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.8700
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.1300
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.8650
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.1350
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.8650
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.1350
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.8650
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.1350
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9885
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0115
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9885
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0115
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0110
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 66, Buy volume: 18730.17, Sell volume: 7086.23, Average price: 0.4978, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676632
Question: James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75492.729591
Price History:
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9925
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9945
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9970
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9895
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0105
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9900
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0100
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9895
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0105
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9915
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0085
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9910
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0090
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9915
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0085
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9910
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 14425.86, Sell volume: 16002.02, Average price: 0.4540, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 676632
Question: James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75492.729591
Price History:
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0105
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9895
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0105
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9915
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9895
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0105
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9900
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0100
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9920
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0080
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9915
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9870
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0130
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9890
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0110
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9875
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0125
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9890
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0110
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9890
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0110
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9890
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 320.38, Sell volume: 1235.42, Average price: 0.5818, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9952

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 676632
Question: James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?
Volume: 75492.729591
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.6250
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.3750
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.3550
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.2850
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.6500
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.3500
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.7000
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.3000
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5750
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4250
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.6150
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.3850
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.6550
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.6550
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.3450
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.3500
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.6500
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.3500
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.6300
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 643.78, Sell volume: 160.79, Average price: 0.4773, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No