Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581885
Question: Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?
Volume: 11608.893779
Price History:
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.7350
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.7350
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.2650
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.2650
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.7350
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.7350
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.2650
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.7200
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.2800
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.77, Average price: 0.2300, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.2300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581885
Question: Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?
Volume: 11608.893779
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2850
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.2850
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7150
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.7150
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.2900
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.2950
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.7050
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7100
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.2900
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.2950
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.3000
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.3000
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.3000
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.7000
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.3000
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 94, Buy volume: 10214.01, Sell volume: 1394.88, Average price: 0.6544, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581885
Question: Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?
Volume: 11608.893779
Price History:
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.7000
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.3000
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.3000
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.7000
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 240.00, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581885
Question: Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?
Volume: 11608.893779
Price History:
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.6750
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.6750
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.6750
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.3250
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.6800
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.6800
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.6800
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.6800
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.3200
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.6800
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.3200
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.6750
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.6750
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.6750
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.3250
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.6750
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.3250
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.3250
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 172.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581885
Question: Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?
Volume: 11608.893779
Price History:
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.6750
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.6750
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.6750
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.6750
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.6700
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.3350
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.3350
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.3350
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.3350
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.3350
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.3350
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.3350
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.6650
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.3350
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.3350
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.3350
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.3350
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.3350
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.6650
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.3350
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.6650
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.3350
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.3350
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.3400
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.6650
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.6650
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 46.50, Sell volume: 7.35, Average price: 0.5667, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581885
Question: Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?
Volume: 11608.893779
Price History:
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.3350
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.3400
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.3400
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.3250
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.3250
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.3250
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.3250
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.6750
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.6750
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.3250
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.3400
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.3400
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.6650
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.6600
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.3400
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.3400
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.6550
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.3450
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.3450
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.6550
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.6550
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.6550
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.6650
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.3350
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.6650
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.3250
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.3300
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.7100
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 9083.15, Sell volume: 381.47, Average price: 0.6628, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563688
Question: Will Carlos Nazario be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8702.549454
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.4500
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.0155
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0200
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0205
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0180
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0125
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0125
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0125
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0125
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0125
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0125
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0150
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0170
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0165
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0170
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0175
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0170
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0165
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0170
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0170
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0165
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0155
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0165
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0175
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 174.00, Sell volume: 34.00, Average price: 0.6097, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563688
Question: Will Carlos Nazario be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8702.549454
Price History:
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0150
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0165
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0165
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0165
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0165
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0165
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0170
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0165
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0180
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0180
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0170
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0175
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0235
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0235
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0235
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0235
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0235
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0235
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0235
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0235
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0235
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0235
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 42.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0240, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.0240
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563688
Question: Will Carlos Nazario be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8702.549454
Price History:
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0235
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0260
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.0280
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0275
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0280
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0275
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0280
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0280
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0280
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0280
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0280
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.0275
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0280
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0280
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0275
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0280
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0280
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0280
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.0280
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0280
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0280
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.0280
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0280
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0280
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0280
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0280
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0280
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0280
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.0280
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 149.50, Sell volume: 1.03, Average price: 0.0260, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.0280
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563688
Question: Will Carlos Nazario be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8702.549454
Price History:
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0280
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0280
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0280
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0280
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0280
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0280
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0280
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0280
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0280
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0280
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0280
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0275
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0280
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0280
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0280
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9740, Price range: 0.9740 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563688
Question: Will Carlos Nazario be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8702.549454
Price History:
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0275
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0275
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0275
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0270
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0275
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0275
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0275
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0275
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0355
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0365
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0360
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0235
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0235
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0235
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0235
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0235
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0235
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0235
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0235
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0235
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0235
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0235
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0235
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0235
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0235
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0235
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0235
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0235
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0235
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 55.59, Sell volume: 12.60, Average price: 0.5008, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563688
Question: Will Carlos Nazario be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8702.549454
Price History:
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0235
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.0870
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0700
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0560
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0560
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0465
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.0560
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.0560
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0565
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0545
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0520
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.0485
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0505
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0505
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0515
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0505
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0580
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0565
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0545
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0535
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0540
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0595
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.0625
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0620
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0615
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.0605
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9395
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.0605
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.9395
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.0605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1115.50, Sell volume: 0.10, Average price: 0.6508, Price range: 0.0368 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563688
Question: Will Carlos Nazario be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8702.549454
Price History:
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9390
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9375
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9365
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9370
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9370
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9365
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0635
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0650
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.0585
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9475
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.0495
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9510
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9515
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.9510
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9510
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9520
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.9525
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9520
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0495
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0490
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0490
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0485
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9495
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.9510
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9510
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0480
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0500
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9520
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9515
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 8140.39, Sell volume: 562.16, Average price: 0.6925, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563688
Question: Will Carlos Nazario be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8702.549454
Price History:
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9515
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0480
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.0485
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.0475
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0475
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.0475
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0475
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.0470
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0475
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0475
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9525
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.9525
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0475
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0475
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0475
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0475
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0470
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9525
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9525
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0475
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0475
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9525
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0475
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9525
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0480
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0480
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0480
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.0480
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9515
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 8140.39, Sell volume: 562.16, Average price: 0.6925, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563688
Question: Will Carlos Nazario be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8702.549454
Price History:
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.0485
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0485
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.0485
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0485
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0485
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0485
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0480
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0475
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0450
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9580
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0410
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.0405
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0405
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.0480
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0480
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.9525
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0475
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0475
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0475
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0475
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.0475
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.0475
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0475
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0475
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0475
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0475
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.0475
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.0475
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.9525
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0670, Price range: 0.0670 - 0.0670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563688
Question: Will Carlos Nazario be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8702.549454
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0475
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0475
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0480
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0480
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0480
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9520
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9520
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9520
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9520
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.9520
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9520
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0480
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.0480
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0480
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0480
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9520
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9525
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0480
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9525
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0475
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9525
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0475
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0475
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0475
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0475
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0470
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9530
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.0470
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9530
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 8140.39, Sell volume: 562.16, Average price: 0.6925, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563688
Question: Will Carlos Nazario be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8702.549454
Price History:
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.0480
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9520
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.9520
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9520
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9520
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0480
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9520
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.9520
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0480
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.0480
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.0320
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.9680
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.9680
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9680
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0320
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.0320
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0320
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0320
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.0320
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9680
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9680
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0320
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9680
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0320
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0320
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9680
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.9680
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.9680
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9680
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.0320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 124.26, Average price: 0.1853, Price range: 0.0254 - 0.9710
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563688
Question: Will Carlos Nazario be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8702.549454
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.0285
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.0285
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.9715
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.9715
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.9720
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9730
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0270
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0265
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9735
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0265
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0260
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0260
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0260
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0265
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0270
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9730
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.0270
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0255
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0250
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0245
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0245
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9755
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9755
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9755
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9755
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0250
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9750
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0250
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9755, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563688
Question: Will Carlos Nazario be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 8702.549454
Price History:
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0250
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0250
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0255
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9745
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9745
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0255
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0255
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9740
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0265
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0260
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0265
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9740
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.9735
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9735
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9735
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0260
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0265
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0265
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0265
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.0265
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0265
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.9750
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 6538.80, Sell volume: 390.17, Average price: 0.8394, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0395
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9605
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0355
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9645
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.2425
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.7575
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 69.68, Sell volume: 20.73, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 144.19, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.8327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 6437.61, Sell volume: 327.41, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9595
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0405
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0405
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9595
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0395
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9605
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0355
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9645
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.2425
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.7575
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 6675.48, Sell volume: 398.14, Average price: 0.7897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 69.68, Sell volume: 20.73, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 144.19, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.8327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700308
Question: Will Esteban Ocon win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 7073.619
Price History:
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 6437.61, Sell volume: 327.41, Average price: 0.7994, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546078
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?
Volume: 265399.180715
Price History:
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.3950
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.6050
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.2050
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.7950
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.1750
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.8250
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.1650
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.1700
2025-05-20 20:00: 0.8300
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.1700
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.8300
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.1700
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.8300
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.1700
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.8300
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.1700
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.8300
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.1500
2025-05-21 01:00: 0.8500
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.1300
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.8700
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.1250
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.8750
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.1250
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.8750
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-21 05:00: 0.8850
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90375333.10, Sell volume: 19926096.47, Average price: 0.6160, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546078
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?
Volume: 265399.180715
Price History:
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.0850
2025-05-21 18:00: 0.9150
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.0850
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9150
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0850
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.9150
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.0850
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9150
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.1050
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.8950
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.1050
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.1000
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.9000
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.1050
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.8950
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.1200
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.8800
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.1300
2025-05-22 07:00: 0.8700
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.1300
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90375333.10, Sell volume: 19926096.47, Average price: 0.6160, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546078
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?
Volume: 265399.180715
Price History:
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.1350
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.8650
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.1300
2025-05-22 21:00: 0.8700
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.1300
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.8700
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.8750
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.1150
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.8850
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.1150
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.8850
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.1150
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.8850
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.8850
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.8850
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.8850
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.1150
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.8850
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.8850
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.1150
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.8850
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.1150
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90375333.10, Sell volume: 19926096.47, Average price: 0.6160, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546078
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?
Volume: 265399.180715
Price History:
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.1200
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.8800
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.1200
2025-05-23 23:00: 0.8800
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.1200
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.8800
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.1200
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.8800
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.1150
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.8850
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.1250
2025-05-24 09:00: 0.8750
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.1200
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.8800
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.1200
2025-05-24 11:00: 0.8800
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.1200
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90375333.10, Sell volume: 19926096.47, Average price: 0.6160, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546078
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?
Volume: 265399.180715
Price History:
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 01:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 03:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 12:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.8850
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.1150
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90375333.10, Sell volume: 19926096.47, Average price: 0.6160, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546078
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?
Volume: 265399.180715
Price History:
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.1200
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.8800
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.1150
2025-05-26 03:00: 0.8850
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.8850
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-26 05:00: 0.8850
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.1150
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.8850
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.1150
2025-05-26 07:00: 0.8850
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.1150
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.8850
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.1150
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.8850
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.1150
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.8850
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.1150
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.8850
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.1050
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.8950
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.1050
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.8950
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.1050
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.8950
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.1150
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.8850
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.1150
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90375333.10, Sell volume: 19926096.47, Average price: 0.6160, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546078
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?
Volume: 265399.180715
Price History:
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.1150
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.8850
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.1150
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.8850
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.1250
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.8750
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.1250
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.8750
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.1250
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.8750
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.1250
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.8750
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.1250
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.8750
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.1250
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.8750
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.1150
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.8850
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.1150
2025-05-27 13:00: 0.8850
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.1150
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.8850
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.1150
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.8850
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.1150
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.8850
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.1150
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.8850
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.1150
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 90375333.10, Sell volume: 19926096.47, Average price: 0.6160, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546078
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?
Volume: 265399.180715
Price History:
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0800
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9200
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9250
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9300
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9300
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9300
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9300
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65934, Buy volume: 5669706.07, Sell volume: 1890287.82, Average price: 0.5688, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546078
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?
Volume: 265399.180715
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.1950
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.8050
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.1950
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.8050
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.1950
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.8050
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.1950
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.8050
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.2050
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.7950
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.2050
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.7950
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.8150
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.1950
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.8050
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.1950
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.8050
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.1850
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 461538, Buy volume: 39785880.75, Sell volume: 5966008.02, Average price: 0.6127, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546078
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?
Volume: 265399.180715
Price History:
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.1900
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.8100
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.1850
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.8150
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.1550
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.8450
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.1550
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.8450
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.1550
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.8450
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.1550
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.8450
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.1200
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.8800
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.1200
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.8800
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.1300
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.8700
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.1250
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113886, Buy volume: 16973244.42, Sell volume: 2496560.94, Average price: 0.6759, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546078
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?
Volume: 265399.180715
Price History:
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.1250
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.8750
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.1250
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.8750
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.1300
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.8700
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.1300
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.8700
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.1200
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.8800
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.1250
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.1250
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.8750
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.1250
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.8750
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.1150
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.8850
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.1150
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 231768, Buy volume: 25040112.31, Sell volume: 5051723.22, Average price: 0.6659, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546078
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?
Volume: 265399.180715
Price History:
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.1150
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.8850
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.1150
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.8850
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.1150
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.8850
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.1250
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.8750
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.1250
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.8750
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.1500
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.8500
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.1500
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.8500
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.1450
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.8550
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.1450
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.8550
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.1450
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.8550
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.1400
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.8600
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.1300
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.8700
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.1450
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.8650
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.8650
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.1250
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102279, Buy volume: 2738666.11, Sell volume: 2799672.92, Average price: 0.5091, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9590
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 546078
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 17-20%?
Volume: 265399.180715
Price History:
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0655
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9345
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0670
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9330
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0630
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9370
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0565
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9435
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0735
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9265
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0510
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9490
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0365
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9635
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0415
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9585
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0365
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9635
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0355
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9645
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0375
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9625
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0670
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9330
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0345
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 604, Buy volume: 32993.77, Sell volume: 57432.50, Average price: 0.6188, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.5000
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.5200
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.5200
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.6400
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.6400
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.6400
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.6400
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.6850
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.6850
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.5150
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.5750
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.4250
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.5300
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.4700
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.4350
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.4350
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.4350
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.5650
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.4350
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.4800
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.4200
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.4300
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.4350
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.4350
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.4350
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.4350
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.4350
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 893.22, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.5810, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.5550
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.5550
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.4450
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.4450
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.4400
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.5600
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.5600
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.5600
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.4400
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.5600
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.5600
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.4400
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.5550
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.5550
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.5550
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.5600
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.4400
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.4500
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.4500
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.4500
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.4500
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.4500
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.4500
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.5500
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.4500
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.4300
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.4300
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.4300
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.5700
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.5700
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.5700
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.5700
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.4300
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.5700
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.3950
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.4300
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.4000
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.4250
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.4300
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.4150
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 185.86, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.5625, Price range: 0.5400 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.5500
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.5500
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.5500
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.5550
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.4500
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.5550
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.5750
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.5750
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.5750
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.5500
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.4450
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.5750
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.4250
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.4250
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.5850
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.4150
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.5950
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.4050
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.4050
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 128.49, Sell volume: 241.70, Average price: 0.5494, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.5950
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.6100
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.6100
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.3900
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.6100
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.3550
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.3550
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.6450
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.6450
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.3400
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.3500
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.3400
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.6550
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.6550
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.3500
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.3650
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.3600
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.3600
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.3600
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.3550
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.3650
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.3600
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 194.11, Sell volume: 12.50, Average price: 0.5667, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.7000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.3600
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.6350
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.6700
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.6350
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.6350
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.6350
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.6350
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.6350
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.6350
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.6350
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.6350
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.3650
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.3650
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.6350
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.3650
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.6350
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.6350
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.3650
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 283.38, Sell volume: 430.44, Average price: 0.4158, Price range: 0.3448 - 0.6500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.3300
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.6700
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.3200
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2900
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.2900
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.2900
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.2900
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.7950
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.7850
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.7700
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.2000
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.2100
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.2100
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.8050
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.8000
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.1650
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.1750
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.8350
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.8350
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.8350
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.8300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 1920.31, Sell volume: 342.59, Average price: 0.5402, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.2200
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2000
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6500
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.7400
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.6750
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5750
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1646.23, Sell volume: 726.27, Average price: 0.4202, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4850
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4850
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4850
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4700
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5300
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4800
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5150
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4800
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4700
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4850
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.5100
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4900
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4900
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.4650
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5350
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4650
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5350
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.4850
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.5300
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.5300
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.4700
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.5900
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6000
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4000
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5200
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5500
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4500
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.5550
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5100
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.4800
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5550
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5400
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5400
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4600
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5400
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4600
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 183.43, Sell volume: 242.84, Average price: 0.4764, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3950
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6050
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3950
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6150
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.6150
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.4050
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.4050
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.4050
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.6350
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.6450
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.6100
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.6150
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.6100
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.6100
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.3900
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.6100
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.6100
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.3900
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.3900
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.3650
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.6450
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3550
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.6450
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.3550
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.3550
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.6450
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.3550
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.6100
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.6100
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.6100
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.6200
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.6200
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.3800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 116.04, Sell volume: 234.73, Average price: 0.4964, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.3400
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.6600
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.3400
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.6600
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.6600
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.6600
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.3400
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.6650
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.2900
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2600
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.7550
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.2650
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.2650
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.7350
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.2600
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.7100
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.7100
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.2650
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.7350
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.7400
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.2600
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.2600
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.2600
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.7400
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.7400
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.7400
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.2600
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.2600
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.7400
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 104.72, Sell volume: 402.90, Average price: 0.5192, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.2300
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.2300
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.7100
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.7050
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.7100
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.7050
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.7050
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.2950
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.7050
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.2900
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 168.89, Sell volume: 365.21, Average price: 0.4106, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8038

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.7450
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7450
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.7450
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.7700
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.2350
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.2350
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.2350
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.6950
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.3050
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.3100
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.7000
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.3100
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.3100
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.3100
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.6900
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.3100
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.6900
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.6950
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.3000
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.3000
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.2800
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.3100
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.3100
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.3100
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.7950
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 393.70, Sell volume: 257.85, Average price: 0.3999, Price range: 0.1650 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.5200
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.3550
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.3500
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.6550
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.3450
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.6550
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.3450
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.2950
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.7100
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.2700
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.7300
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.7300
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.2700
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.2700
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.2650
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.7600
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.7550
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.2250
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.7800
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.7850
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.7850
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.7850
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.7900
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.7900
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.1950
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.1850
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.8150
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.8150
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 4990.30, Sell volume: 1632.79, Average price: 0.7087, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.5200
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.6400
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.6400
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.6850
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.5750
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.5300
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.4350
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.4350
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.5650
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.4200
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.4300
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.4350
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.4350
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.4350
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.5350
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.4450
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.5550
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 893.22, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.5810, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.5550
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.4450
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.4400
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.5600
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.5600
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.4400
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.5550
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.4400
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.4500
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.4500
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.5500
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.4300
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.4300
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.5700
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.5700
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.4300
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.3950
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.4300
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.4250
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.4200
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.4400
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.4950
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.5100
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 185.86, Sell volume: 60.00, Average price: 0.5625, Price range: 0.5400 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.5500
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.5550
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.5550
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.5750
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.5500
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.5750
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.4250
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.4150
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.4050
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.5950
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.5950
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.5950
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 128.49, Sell volume: 241.70, Average price: 0.5494, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.6100
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.3900
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.6100
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.3550
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.6450
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.3500
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.6550
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.3650
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.3600
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.3650
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.3450
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.3550
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.3550
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.3600
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 194.11, Sell volume: 12.50, Average price: 0.5667, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.6600
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.6700
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.3300
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.6350
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.6350
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.6350
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.3650
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.3650
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.6350
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.3650
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.3650
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.6750
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 283.38, Sell volume: 430.44, Average price: 0.4158, Price range: 0.3448 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.3300
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.3200
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2900
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.2900
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.7100
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.2900
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.7850
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.8000
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.2100
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.7900
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.1650
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.1750
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.8350
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.8250
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.8250
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.8450
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.1650
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 1920.31, Sell volume: 342.59, Average price: 0.5402, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7900
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.2100
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6900
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.2900
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4900
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5750
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 44, Buy volume: 1646.23, Sell volume: 726.27, Average price: 0.4202, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4850
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4850
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4700
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5300
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4800
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4700
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.5100
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4900
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5350
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5350
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.5300
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.4700
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6000
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5500
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.5550
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.4800
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5400
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5400
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 183.43, Sell volume: 242.84, Average price: 0.4764, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3950
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6150
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.4050
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.6150
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.6100
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.6100
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.3900
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.3650
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3550
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.6450
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.3550
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.3550
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.6100
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.6200
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.3800
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.6250
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 116.04, Sell volume: 234.73, Average price: 0.4964, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.3400
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.3400
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.6600
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.3400
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.3000
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2600
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.7550
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2550
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.2650
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.2600
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.7100
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.7100
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.2900
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.2650
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.7400
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.2600
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.2600
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.7400
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.2600
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.7400
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.2600
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.7400
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.7400
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.2600
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 104.72, Sell volume: 402.90, Average price: 0.5192, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.2300
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.7100
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.7100
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.2950
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 168.89, Sell volume: 365.21, Average price: 0.4106, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.8038
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.7450
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.7750
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.2350
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.2350
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.3050
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.3100
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.3100
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.3100
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.6900
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.6900
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.6950
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.2800
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.3100
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.2050
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.2850
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.7150
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.2850
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 393.70, Sell volume: 257.85, Average price: 0.3999, Price range: 0.1650 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 591761
Question: Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by October 15?
Volume: 16299.508574
Price History:
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.5200
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.3500
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.3450
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.3450
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.7100
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.7300
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.2700
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.2650
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.7600
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.2250
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.7850
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.7850
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.7950
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.8050
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.8150
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.8050
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.1400
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.1500
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 97, Buy volume: 4990.30, Sell volume: 1632.79, Average price: 0.7087, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0405
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9595
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0455
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9545
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0455
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9545
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0455
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9545
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700309
Question: Will Oliver Bearman win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2499.797094
Price History:
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9545
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0455
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2312.96, Sell volume: 186.84, Average price: 0.8231, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes