Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.4850
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.4800
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.5100
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.5250
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.4650
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.4850
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.5200
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.4850
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.4800
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.4950
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.5050
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.4800
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.5450
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.4750
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.5450
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.4550
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.5500
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.5700
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.4200
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.5800
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.4200
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.4300
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.4350
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.5600
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.4550
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.4650
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.4550
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.4450
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.4450
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.4450
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.4350
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.5800
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.5850
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.4150
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.4200
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.5850
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.5800
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.4200
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.5800
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.4200
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.4200
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 415584, Buy volume: 16144518.06, Sell volume: 4868986.14, Average price: 0.5247, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.4200
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.4200
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.4150
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.5900
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.4100
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.5900
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.5750
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.3850
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.3850
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.3900
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.3700
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.3800
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.6200
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.6200
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.6100
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.3900
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.3850
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.3700
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.3700
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.7200
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.6900
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.3100
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.3100
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.3100
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.7100
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.2900
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.7100
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.2950
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.2900
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.2800
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.2800
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.2800
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.7150
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 174050, Buy volume: 17146535.66, Sell volume: 1536834.94, Average price: 0.5418, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.2400
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.7400
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.7400
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.7400
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.7400
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.2400
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.2400
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.2350
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.2350
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.2350
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.2350
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.7650
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.2400
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.7600
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.2400
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.7600
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.2350
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.7650
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.2400
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.2450
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.2350
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.7650
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.7650
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.7650
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.2350
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.2350
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.7650
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.2650
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.7350
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.7400
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.2600
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2600
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.2900
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 13113.95, Sell volume: 5610.64, Average price: 0.5954, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.7150
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.2950
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2900
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2900
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.7050
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 5414.66, Sell volume: 5144.94, Average price: 0.5315, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7228

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.7000
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.7000
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.7000
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.7000
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7000
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.3150
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3000
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.3000
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.3000
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.7150
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.2850
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7150
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.7150
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.7150
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 5005.31, Sell volume: 3659.24, Average price: 0.5800, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.2850
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.2800
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.2800
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2700
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.2700
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.2600
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.2700
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.7300
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.2700
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7300
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7300
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.2700
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.7300
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.7300
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.2700
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.7300
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.7300
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.2700
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.7300
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.7300
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.7300
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.2700
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 2835.72, Sell volume: 1179.27, Average price: 0.5738, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.2800
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2750
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.2750
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.2700
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.7300
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.7350
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.2650
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.7350
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.2750
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.7400
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.7400
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.2600
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1695.29, Sell volume: 725.94, Average price: 0.6152, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2600
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.7450
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2550
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.2550
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.7500
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.7500
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.2500
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.2500
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.7500
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.2500
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.2400
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.7600
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.7650
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.2200
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.2250
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 1149.46, Sell volume: 1721.10, Average price: 0.6380, Price range: 0.2093 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.2300
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2650
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.2600
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2600
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.2550
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7500
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.2550
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2500
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2500
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.7550
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.2500
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.2500
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.2600
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.2400
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.7850
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.2050
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.1900
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.1900
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.1700
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.8300
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.1800
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.1850
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 4040.91, Sell volume: 4971.99, Average price: 0.6192, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.1800
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.8200
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.8200
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.1800
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.8200
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.8200
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.8500
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.8450
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.8500
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.8450
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.8450
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.8450
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.8450
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.8400
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.8400
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.8400
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.8400
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8400
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.8400
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8400
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.8450
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.8450
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.1550
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8450
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.1550
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.8450
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.1550
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.8550
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.8550
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.8550
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.1450
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.8550
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.8600
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.1400
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.8600
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.8600
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.8600
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.8600
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 202, Buy volume: 72349.25, Sell volume: 10869.92, Average price: 0.4985, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.5050
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.5300
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.5800
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.5800
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.5800
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.6950
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.5300
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.4700
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.5300
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.5250
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.5850
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.4450
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.5800
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.4600
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.5050
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.4700
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.4500
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.4450
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4600
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.4550
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.5450
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.5450
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.5450
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.5950
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.4050
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.4050
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.6150
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.5700
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 60164609.65, Sell volume: 22252373.02, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.5650
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.4350
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.5650
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.5650
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.5650
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.5500
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.4200
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.5550
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.4750
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.5750
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.5350
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.5550
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.4750
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.4550
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.1250
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.4850
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.4900
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.4800
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.4800
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.4250
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.3950
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.5550
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.5100
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 179820, Buy volume: 18784492.10, Sell volume: 5087667.24, Average price: 0.4989, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.4900
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.4750
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.4450
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.4300
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.4300
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.5750
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.4150
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.4150
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.4150
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.6100
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.6050
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.6000
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.6000
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.3950
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.4000
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.4000
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.4000
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.5900
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.5650
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.5100
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 221778, Buy volume: 7884398.68, Sell volume: 9891198.90, Average price: 0.5120, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.4850
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.4800
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.5250
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.4850
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.4850
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.5050
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.5450
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.5650
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.4550
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.5700
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.5800
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.4300
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.5600
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.5400
2025-09-12 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.4450
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.4450
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.5800
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.4150
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.5850
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.4200
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.4200
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.5900
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.5850
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.4200
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 415584, Buy volume: 16144518.06, Sell volume: 4868986.14, Average price: 0.5247, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.4200
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.5900
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.5900
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.3850
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.3700
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.6200
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.6100
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.3850
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.3800
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.3700
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.7200
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.3100
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.2900
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.2900
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.2800
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.7150
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.2650
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.2650
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.2550
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 174050, Buy volume: 17146535.66, Sell volume: 1536834.94, Average price: 0.5418, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.2400
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.7400
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.7400
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.2600
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.2400
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.2350
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.2350
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.2400
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.2400
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.2350
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.2400
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.2350
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.7650
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.2350
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.2650
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.7400
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2600
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 122, Buy volume: 13113.95, Sell volume: 5610.64, Average price: 0.5954, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.7150
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.2900
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.2900
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.7100
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7150
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3150
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 5414.66, Sell volume: 5144.94, Average price: 0.5315, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7228
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.7050
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3050
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.7000
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.7000
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.3150
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.3000
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.3000
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.7150
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 5005.31, Sell volume: 3659.24, Average price: 0.5800, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.2800
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.2700
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.2700
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.2700
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7300
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.7300
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.7300
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.2700
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.7300
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.2700
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2700
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.7300
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.7300
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 2835.72, Sell volume: 1179.27, Average price: 0.5738, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.2800
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.2750
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.7300
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.7350
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.2750
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.7400
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.2600
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.7400
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.7300
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.2600
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.7400
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 1695.29, Sell volume: 725.94, Average price: 0.6152, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2600
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.2550
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.7500
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.2500
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.7500
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.2550
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.7600
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.2200
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.2150
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.2100
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.2100
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.7900
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.2050
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 1149.46, Sell volume: 1721.10, Average price: 0.6380, Price range: 0.2093 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.2650
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.2600
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7500
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.2500
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2500
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.2450
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.2500
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.7450
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.7400
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.7850
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.2050
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.1900
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.1700
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.1800
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.8250
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.1850
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.1850
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 4040.91, Sell volume: 4971.99, Average price: 0.6192, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 581246
Question: Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
Volume: 289730.54508
Price History:
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.8150
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.8150
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.1850
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.1800
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.8200
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.8200
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.8450
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.8450
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.8450
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.8400
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.8400
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.8400
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.8400
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.8450
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.8450
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.8450
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.8550
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.8550
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.8550
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.1400
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.8600
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.8600
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.8600
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.8600
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.8550
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.1400
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 202, Buy volume: 72349.25, Sell volume: 10869.92, Average price: 0.4985, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.3600
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.5600
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.7300
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.5900
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.5900
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.5900
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.5800
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.4750
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.5050
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.5050
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.5050
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.5500
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.5600
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.5700
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.5700
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.5600
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.5500
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.5500
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.5500
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.5500
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.5500
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.5500
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.5500
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.5500
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.5500
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.5500
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.5500
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 354275996.10, Sell volume: 31875704.20, Average price: 0.3371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.6150
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.5800
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.5800
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.5800
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.6200
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.6150
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.6250
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.6250
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.6500
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.5700
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.5900
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.5900
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.5900
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.5900
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.5650
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.5750
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.5800
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.5800
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.5800
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.5700
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.5700
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.5650
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 354275996.10, Sell volume: 31875704.20, Average price: 0.3371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.5400
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.5450
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.5450
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.5450
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.5450
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.5450
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.5450
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.5500
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.5500
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.5500
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.5500
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.5550
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.5550
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.5550
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.5550
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.5550
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.5550
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.6600
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.5950
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.5950
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.5950
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.5900
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.6150
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.5850
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.5650
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.5900
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.5900
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.5900
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.5900
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.6000
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.6950
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.6550
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.6550
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.6650
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.6500
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.6450
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 354275996.10, Sell volume: 31875704.20, Average price: 0.3371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.6450
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.6450
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.6350
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.6250
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.6250
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.6250
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.5900
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.5900
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.5900
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.5850
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.5850
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.5850
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.5750
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.5450
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.5850
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.6050
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.5850
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.5700
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.5700
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.5650
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.5700
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.5650
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.5650
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.5650
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.5700
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.5550
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.5550
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.5550
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.5550
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.5500
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.5500
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.5500
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.5500
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.5500
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.5500
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.5500
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.5500
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.5600
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.5600
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.5600
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.5600
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 354275996.10, Sell volume: 31875704.20, Average price: 0.3371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.2800
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.2800
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.2950
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.2900
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.2850
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.2850
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.2900
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.2900
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.2900
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.2850
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.2750
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.3050
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.2900
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.3050
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.3100
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.6600
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.3500
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.3550
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.3050
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.3050
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.2950
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.2500
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.2500
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.2550
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.2650
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.2650
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.2650
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.2650
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.2650
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 354275996.10, Sell volume: 31875704.20, Average price: 0.3371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.2700
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.2700
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.2700
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.2700
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.2700
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.2400
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.2350
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.2350
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.2750
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.1600
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.2100
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.2100
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.2150
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.2550
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.2250
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.2600
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.2500
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.2600
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.2600
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.2600
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.2800
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.2800
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.2800
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.2800
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.2800
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.2950
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.3000
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.3050
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.3050
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.3050
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.3050
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.3050
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.3050
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.3050
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59940, Buy volume: 23659984.03, Sell volume: 396223.38, Average price: 0.4075, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.2300
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.2300
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.2300
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.2250
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.2250
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.2250
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.2350
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.2700
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.2900
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.2650
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.2650
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.2950
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.2950
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.2900
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.2900
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.2650
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.1900
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.1900
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.2050
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.2600
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.1100
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.1100
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.0900
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0900
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0700
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0600
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0700
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0700
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0550
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0700
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0700
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0750
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0800
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0750
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 497502, Buy volume: 105311527.30, Sell volume: 21488669.82, Average price: 0.3867, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0665
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0710
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0640
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0635
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.0715
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0745
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0845
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0850
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0850
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0850
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0805
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0795
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0795
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0835
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0835
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0830
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0855
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0850
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0855
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0860
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0855
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0940
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0935
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0975
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0930
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0940
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0920
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0925
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0960
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0970
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0850
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.0870
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0835
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0735
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0730
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0770
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0755
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0765
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0765
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0765
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0765
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0680
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0675
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0460
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0460
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0330
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 253746, Buy volume: 196592385.85, Sell volume: 4878616.50, Average price: 0.2211, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9683

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.1250
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.1255
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.1115
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.1085
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0835
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.0835
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0815
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0865
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0915
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0965
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0995
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.1000
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.1050
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.1000
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.1000
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0995
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.1150
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.1235
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.1160
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.1160
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.1160
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.1160
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.1220
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.1150
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.1115
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.1260
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.1255
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.1255
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.1195
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.1320
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.1320
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.1205
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.1250
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.1320
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.1210
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.1270
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.1300
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.1250
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.1295
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.1300
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.1305
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.1295
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.1725
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.1845
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.1395
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.1515
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.1595
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.1745
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.1760
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.1755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171936, Buy volume: 28132162.52, Sell volume: 4891032.86, Average price: 0.3293, Price range: 0.0910 - 0.9310

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.1405
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.1350
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.1345
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.1290
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.1030
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.1015
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.1240
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.1005
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0710
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.1180
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.1920
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.1885
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.1850
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.2065
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.2205
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.2305
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.2555
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.2525
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.2855
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.2645
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.2700
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.2735
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.2905
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.2860
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.2950
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.2940
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.2895
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.2745
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.2725
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.2095
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.2480
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.2465
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.2325
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.2115
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.2160
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.2165
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.2255
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.2255
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.2265
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.2210
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.2210
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.2215
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.2200
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.2205
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.2195
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.2250
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.2165
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.2170
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.2175
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 649, Buy volume: 104532.22, Sell volume: 37031.37, Average price: 0.2728, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9485

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.2125
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.2135
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.2050
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.1755
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.1930
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.1890
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.1890
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.1355
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0075
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0050
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0050
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0050
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0045
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0070
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0070
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0075
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0080
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0085
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0085
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0085
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0055
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0080
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0080
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0075
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0060
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0075
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171, Buy volume: 85984.85, Sell volume: 94734.01, Average price: 0.5716, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9975

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0070
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0100
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0100
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0050
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0050
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0050
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0050
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0055
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0055
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0055
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0065
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0065
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0065
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0055
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0055
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0065
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0065
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2220.00, Sell volume: 19683.10, Average price: 0.5341, Price range: 0.0024 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0090
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0090
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0090
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0090
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0090
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0090
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0065
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0065
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0065
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.0030
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.0005
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0030
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 44008.57, Sell volume: 49733.16, Average price: 0.3790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.3600
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.4400
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.5800
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.5900
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.4100
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.4200
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.5250
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.5000
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.4950
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.5050
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.5100
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.4900
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.5500
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.4400
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.5700
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.4400
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.5500
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.4500
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.5500
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.4500
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.4550
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.4550
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.5450
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.4500
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.5500
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 354275996.10, Sell volume: 31875704.20, Average price: 0.3371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.6150
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.4200
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.4200
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.6150
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.3750
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.6500
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.4300
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.5900
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.5650
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.4250
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.4150
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.4150
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.4150
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.4150
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.4150
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.5800
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.4200
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.5700
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.4350
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 354275996.10, Sell volume: 31875704.20, Average price: 0.3371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.5400
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.4550
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.5450
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.4550
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.5450
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.4500
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.5500
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.4500
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.5550
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.4450
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.5550
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.4450
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.4450
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.4450
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.4450
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.5550
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.4450
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.5950
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.4050
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.5900
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.3850
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.5650
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.4100
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.5900
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.6850
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 354275996.10, Sell volume: 31875704.20, Average price: 0.3371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.6450
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.3550
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.6250
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.3750
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.5900
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.5850
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.4150
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.5850
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.4250
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.4150
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.5850
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.4300
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.5650
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.4300
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.5650
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.4350
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.5550
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.4450
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.5550
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.4500
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.5500
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.4500
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.5500
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 354275996.10, Sell volume: 31875704.20, Average price: 0.3371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.2800
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.7200
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.7050
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.7050
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.7050
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.2900
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.7050
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.2850
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.7100
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.2900
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.7150
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.6950
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.2900
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.6950
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.6600
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.6500
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.3300
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.6950
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.6900
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.6900
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.7050
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.2500
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 354275996.10, Sell volume: 31875704.20, Average price: 0.3371, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.2650
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.7350
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.7250
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.7250
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.2750
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.7250
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.2700
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.7300
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.2700
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.7600
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.2350
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.7250
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.1550
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.8400
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.2100
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.7900
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.2550
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.7750
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.2600
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.7500
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.2600
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.7400
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.2800
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.7200
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.2800
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.7050
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.3050
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59940, Buy volume: 23659984.03, Sell volume: 396223.38, Average price: 0.4075, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.2300
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.7700
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.2250
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.7750
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.2350
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.7300
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.2650
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.7350
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.2950
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.7050
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.3000
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.7050
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.7050
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.2950
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.7050
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.2900
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.7100
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.1900
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.8100
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.2600
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.8900
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.1150
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9100
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0950
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.9300
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0650
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9400
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0700
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 497502, Buy volume: 105311527.30, Sell volume: 21488669.82, Average price: 0.3867, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0665
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.9290
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0640
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.9365
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.0715
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.9255
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0850
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0805
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.9205
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0835
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.9165
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0855
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.9150
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0860
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.9145
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0935
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.9025
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0940
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.9080
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0960
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.9030
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.0885
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.9130
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0735
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.9270
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0755
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.9235
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0765
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.9235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 253746, Buy volume: 196592385.85, Sell volume: 4878616.50, Average price: 0.2211, Price range: 0.0310 - 0.9683
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.1250
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.8745
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.1085
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.9165
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.0815
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.9135
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0965
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.9005
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.1050
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.9000
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0995
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.8850
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.1160
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.8840
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.1160
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.8780
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.1115
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.8740
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.1255
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.8805
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.1320
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.8795
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.1320
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.8790
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.1300
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.8750
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.1300
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.8695
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.1725
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.8155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171936, Buy volume: 28132162.52, Sell volume: 4891032.86, Average price: 0.3293, Price range: 0.0910 - 0.9310
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.1405
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.8650
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.1290
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.8970
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.1240
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.8995
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.1180
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.8080
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.1850
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.7935
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.2305
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.7445
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.2855
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.7355
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.2735
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.7095
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.2950
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.7060
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.2745
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.7275
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.2480
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.7535
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.2115
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.7840
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.2255
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.7745
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.2210
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.7790
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.2200
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.7795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 649, Buy volume: 104532.22, Sell volume: 37031.37, Average price: 0.2728, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9485
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.2125
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.7865
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.1755
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.8070
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.1890
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.8645
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9950
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0050
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9965
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0035
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9955
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0070
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9930
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0075
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.9920
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0085
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.9915
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0055
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.9945
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0060
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.9945
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0055
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171, Buy volume: 85984.85, Sell volume: 94734.01, Average price: 0.5716, Price range: 0.0012 - 0.9975
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0065
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9935
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9935
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9935
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9935
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9935
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0065
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9935
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0090
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9900
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0050
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9950
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0050
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9970
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0035
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9965
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0055
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0065
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2220.00, Sell volume: 19683.10, Average price: 0.5341, Price range: 0.0024 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518535
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 773968.095329
Price History:
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9915
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9915
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0085
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9910
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0090
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9910
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9940
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0060
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9945
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0065
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9935
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.9945
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0055
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.0035
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.9970
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9980
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 44008.57, Sell volume: 49733.16, Average price: 0.3790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5700
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.5650
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.4100
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.4100
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.4100
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.5600
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.5600
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.5600
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.5600
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.7500
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.5550
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.5400
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.5400
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.5400
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.5400
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.5400
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.3700
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.3650
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.3600
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.4750
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.4500
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.4500
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.4500
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.5600
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.5700
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.5650
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.5650
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.3650
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.6050
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.6400
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.5750
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6050
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.5200
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.5200
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.5300
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.4100
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.5400
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.5550
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 220.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2583, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.4650

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.5000
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.4950
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.4750
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.3650
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.3350
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.4050
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.3300
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.3850
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.3400
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.4300
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.3750
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.3350
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.3950
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.3300
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.3850
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.3600
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.4050
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.3750
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.4350
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.4300
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.4300
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.4050
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.3050
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.3050
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.2950
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.2950
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.6150
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.5550
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.5400
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.5500
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.5700
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.4800
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.4650
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.4500
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.4350
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.4350
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.4500
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.3550
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.3600
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.3550
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2600, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.2900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.4700
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.5200
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.4700
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.4600
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.5750
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.4400
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.4500
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.3550
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.3700
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.3700
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.3700
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.3700
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.3700
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.3700
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.3700
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.3700
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.3700
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.3700
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.3700
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.3700
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.3700
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.4350
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.4350
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.4350
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.4350
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.4350
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.4350
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.4350
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.4350
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.4450
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.2900
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.3950
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.3950
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.4000
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.3650
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.3600
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.3600
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.3600
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.3600
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.3600
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.3600
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.3600
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 553.06, Sell volume: 48.00, Average price: 0.4293, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.4850
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.3750
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.4250
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.4250
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.4250
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.4250
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.4250
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.4300
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.4350
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.4350
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.4350
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.4300
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.4300
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.4300
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.4300
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.4300
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.4350
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.4350
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.4450
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.4450
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.6250
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.5300
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.5300
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.5300
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.5250
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.5250
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.6400
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.5900
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.5850
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.5850
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.5850
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.5800
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.5800
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.5800
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.5750
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.5750
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.5800
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.5750
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.5800
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.5800
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.5800
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.5800
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.5600
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.5600
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.5650
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.5600
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 614.71, Sell volume: 612.50, Average price: 0.5259, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.3850
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.3800
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.4500
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.4400
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.4250
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.3100
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.3700
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.3650
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.4000
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.3950
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.3950
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.3350
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.3250
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.3050
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.3050
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.3350
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.2850
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.3350
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.3150
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.3150
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.3200
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.3300
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.2900
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.3450
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.2900
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.2900
2025-01-25 01:00: 0.2750
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.2900
2025-01-25 04:00: 0.2900
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.3200
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.3200
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.3200
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.3150
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 10:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 13:00: 0.3200
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.3200
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.3150
2025-01-25 16:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 19:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 20:00: 0.2950
2025-01-25 21:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 286.32, Sell volume: 174.00, Average price: 0.5249, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7059

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.3000
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.3000
2025-01-26 05:00: 0.3000
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.2950
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.3000
2025-01-26 08:00: 0.3000
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.2950
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.3000
2025-01-26 11:00: 0.3000
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.3000
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.3000
2025-01-26 14:00: 0.2950
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.3000
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.2900
2025-01-26 17:00: 0.2900
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.2900
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.1450
2025-01-26 20:00: 0.1600
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.2350
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.1650
2025-01-26 23:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.2650
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 02:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 05:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 08:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 11:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 14:00: 0.2500
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.2500
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.2500
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.2500
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.2500
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.2500
2025-01-27 20:00: 0.2500
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.2500
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.2500
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.2500
2025-01-28 00:00: 0.2500
2025-01-28 01:00: 0.2500
2025-01-28 02:00: 0.2500
2025-01-28 03:00: 0.2500
2025-01-28 04:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 161.11, Sell volume: 223.00, Average price: 0.4992, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.2550
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.2500
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.2500
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.2500
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.2200
2025-01-28 15:00: 0.2150
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.2150
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.2150
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.2150
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.2150
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.2150
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.2200
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.2200
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.2250
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.2250
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.2250
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.2250
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.2250
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.2250
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.2250
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.2250
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.2250
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.2250
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.2250
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.2250
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.2050
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.2050
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.2050
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.2050
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.2050
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.2050
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.2050
2025-01-29 18:00: 0.5800
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.5750
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.5650
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.5500
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.3100
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.2600
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.2750
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.2700
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.2700
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.2700
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.2650
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.2550
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.2350
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.2400
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.2600
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.2350
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.2650
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 4904.47, Sell volume: 102.16, Average price: 0.4149, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.2200
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.2400
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.2300
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.2550
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.2550
2025-01-30 22:00: 0.2750
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.2550
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.2800
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.3650
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.4100
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.4150
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.4150
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.5150
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.3150
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.3100
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.3350
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.3700
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.4250
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.4200
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.4250
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.4050
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.3850
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.3750
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.3850
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.3550
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.3550
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.3550
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.3550
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.5550
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.3650
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.3550
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.3550
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.3600
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.3550
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.3550
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.3300
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.3250
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.3250
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 3049.62, Sell volume: 161.09, Average price: 0.4218, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.9227

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.4450
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.4450
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.4750
2025-02-02 05:00: 0.4750
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.4750
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.4850
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.4750
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.4750
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.4750
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.4800
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.4800
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.4800
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.4800
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.4350
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.4300
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.4300
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.4200
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.4000
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.4000
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.4050
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.4050
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.4200
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.4400
2025-02-03 08:00: 0.4400
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.4400
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.4400
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.4400
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.4400
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.3000
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.3250
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.3450
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.3650
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.3800
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.3900
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.4650
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.4450
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.4550
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.4550
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.5700
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.5650
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 9231.95, Sell volume: 1850.03, Average price: 0.4736, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.7000
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.5650
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.5700
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.5650
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.5600
2025-02-04 12:00: 0.6300
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.6400
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.5900
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.6000
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.6000
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.6600
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.6300
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.6450
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.8300
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.7200
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.7250
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.7250
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.7450
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.7450
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.7450
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.7450
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.7450
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.6700
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.6900
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.7000
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.7250
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.7400
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.7250
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.7550
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.7600
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.7650
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.7550
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.7150
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.7200
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.7300
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.7100
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.7150
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.7150
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.7150
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.7150
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.7150
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.7150
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.7200
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.7400
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.7400
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.7500
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.7500
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 3662.48, Sell volume: 3117.71, Average price: 0.6294, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8022

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.7050
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.7050
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.7050
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.6900
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.6900
2025-02-06 19:00: 0.6850
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.6850
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.6950
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.7600
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.7450
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.7200
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.7150
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.7150
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.7150
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.7150
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.7150
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.7150
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.7150
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.7150
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.7150
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.7150
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.7200
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.7200
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.7200
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.7200
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.7200
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.7200
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.7200
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.7200
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.7200
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.7200
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.7200
2025-02-07 22:00: 0.7750
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.7550
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.7650
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.7500
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.7350
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.7300
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.7300
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.7300
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.7350
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.7350
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.7350
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.7400
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.7400
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.7350
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.7400
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.7400
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.7300
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 1357.21, Sell volume: 1961.87, Average price: 0.6136, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.7300
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.7300
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.7300
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.7300
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.7300
2025-02-09 02:00: 0.7300
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.7100
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.7050
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.7050
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.7050
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.7050
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.7050
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.7100
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.7100
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.7100
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.7100
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.7050
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.7000
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.5800
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.6100
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.6100
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.6050
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.6050
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.6050
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.6050
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.6050
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.6050
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.6050
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.6400
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.6400
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.6350
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.6400
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.6400
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.6400
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.6450
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.6450
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.6450
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.6450
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.6450
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.6450
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.6450
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.6900
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.6900
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.6550
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.6550
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.7750
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.7800
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.7900
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.8050
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 979.47, Sell volume: 2497.92, Average price: 0.6177, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.7950
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.8050
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.8050
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.8150
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.8150
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.8200
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.8250
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.8250
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.8350
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.8350
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.8200
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.8200
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.8250
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.8250
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.8200
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.8150
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.8150
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.8050
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.8050
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.8050
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.8050
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.8050
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.7950
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.7950
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.7950
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.7950
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.7950
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.7950
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.7950
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.8000
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.7950
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.8100
2025-02-12 12:00: 0.9250
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9935
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.9920
2025-02-12 15:00: 0.9930
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9930
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9935
2025-02-12 18:00: 0.9940
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9935
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.9935
2025-02-12 21:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.9960
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.9965
2025-02-13 01:00: 0.9965
2025-02-13 02:00: 0.9965
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9965
2025-02-13 04:00: 0.9965
2025-02-13 05:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 270, Buy volume: 26296.59, Sell volume: 9363.22, Average price: 0.8839, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5700
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.4350
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.4100
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.5900
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.5600
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.4400
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.5450
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.4550
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.7500
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.4450
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.5400
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.4600
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.5400
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.6300
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.6400
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.6450
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.5500
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.4500
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.4400
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.5650
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.4350
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.6050
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.3600
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6050
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 220.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2583, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.4650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.5000
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.5050
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.3650
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.5900
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.4050
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.6700
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.3400
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.5700
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.4100
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.6250
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.3950
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.6700
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.3600
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.5950
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.4350
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.5700
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.5700
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.5950
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.3050
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.7050
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.6150
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.4450
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.5500
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.4300
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.4650
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.5500
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.4350
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2600, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.2900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.4700
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.4800
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.5400
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.5750
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.5600
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.3950
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.6450
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.3700
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.6300
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.3700
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.6300
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.3700
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.6300
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.3700
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.6300
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.5650
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.4350
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.5650
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.4300
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.5650
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.4350
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.5650
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.4450
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.7100
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.3950
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.6000
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.3600
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 553.06, Sell volume: 48.00, Average price: 0.4293, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.4850
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.6250
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.4250
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.5750
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.4250
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.5700
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.4350
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.5650
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.4300
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.5700
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.4300
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.5650
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.4450
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.5550
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.5300
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.4700
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.5250
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.6400
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.4100
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.5850
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.4150
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.4200
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.5800
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.4250
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.5800
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.4250
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.5800
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 614.71, Sell volume: 612.50, Average price: 0.5259, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.3850
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.6200
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.4400
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.5350
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.3100
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.6300
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.4000
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.6050
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.2950
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.6650
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.3050
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.6950
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.2850
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.6650
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.3150
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.6800
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.7100
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.2900
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.7100
2025-01-25 02:00: 0.3000
2025-01-25 03:00: 0.7100
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.3200
2025-01-25 06:00: 0.6800
2025-01-25 08:00: 0.3150
2025-01-25 09:00: 0.7000
2025-01-25 11:00: 0.3100
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.7000
2025-01-25 14:00: 0.3200
2025-01-25 15:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 286.32, Sell volume: 174.00, Average price: 0.5249, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7059
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-01-26 03:00: 0.3000
2025-01-26 04:00: 0.7000
2025-01-26 06:00: 0.2950
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.7000
2025-01-26 09:00: 0.2950
2025-01-26 10:00: 0.7000
2025-01-26 12:00: 0.3000
2025-01-26 13:00: 0.7000
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.3000
2025-01-26 16:00: 0.7100
2025-01-26 18:00: 0.2900
2025-01-26 19:00: 0.8550
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.2350
2025-01-26 22:00: 0.8350
2025-01-27 00:00: 0.2650
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.7650
2025-01-27 03:00: 0.2350
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.7550
2025-01-27 06:00: 0.2450
2025-01-27 07:00: 0.7650
2025-01-27 09:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.7650
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.2400
2025-01-27 13:00: 0.7600
2025-01-27 15:00: 0.2500
2025-01-27 16:00: 0.7500
2025-01-27 18:00: 0.2500
2025-01-27 19:00: 0.7500
2025-01-27 21:00: 0.2500
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 161.11, Sell volume: 223.00, Average price: 0.4992, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-01-28 10:00: 0.2550
2025-01-28 11:00: 0.7500
2025-01-28 13:00: 0.2500
2025-01-28 14:00: 0.7800
2025-01-28 16:00: 0.2150
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.7850
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.2150
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.7850
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.2200
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.7750
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.2250
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.7750
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.2250
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.7750
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.2250
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.7750
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.2250
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.7950
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.2050
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.7950
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.2050
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.7950
2025-01-29 19:00: 0.5750
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.4350
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.3100
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.7400
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.2700
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.7300
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.2650
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 4904.47, Sell volume: 102.16, Average price: 0.4149, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.2200
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.7600
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.2550
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.7450
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.2550
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.7200
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.4100
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.5850
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.5150
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.6850
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.3350
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.6300
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.4200
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.5750
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.3850
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.6200
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.6200
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.3800
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.6200
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.6200
2025-02-01 02:00: 0.3800
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.6200
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.3550
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.6450
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.5550
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.6350
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.3550
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 3049.62, Sell volume: 161.09, Average price: 0.4218, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.9227
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes