Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.8600
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.1400
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.8600
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.8550
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.1450
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.8500
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1500
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.8450
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.1550
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.8450
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.8450
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.1550
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.8450
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.8500
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.1500
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.8450
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.1550
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.8450
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 290, Buy volume: 30881.90, Sell volume: 11418.31, Average price: 0.4865, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.8450
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1400
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.8550
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.1450
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.8600
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.1400
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.8800
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.1200
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.8900
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.1200
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.8850
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.1100
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.1100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 327.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8800, Price range: 0.8800 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.1050
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.8950
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.1050
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 46.00, Sell volume: 57.76, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.1100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9000
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.1100
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.8900
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.1050
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9000
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.1000
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0950
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5800
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7250
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.2550
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7900
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.2150
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8400
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1550
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8650
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 2560.52, Sell volume: 294.75, Average price: 0.2991, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.8650
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.1350
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.7350
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2650
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.7600
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.2400
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.7600
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.1900
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.7200
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2800
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.7250
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.2750
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.7950
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.8600
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.1350
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.1150
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.8800
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.2250
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.8250
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 1454.85, Sell volume: 806.31, Average price: 0.3426, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.3550
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.7500
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1950
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.8150
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1850
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.7800
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.7500
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.2400
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7700
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2150
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.7350
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.2650
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.6350
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.3250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.3150
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.7350
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.2500
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.7100
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.3350
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.6950
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.2900
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.7000
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.7300
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.2600
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.7250
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 2775.00, Sell volume: 2127.89, Average price: 0.4319, Price range: 0.1933 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.8050
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1950
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.8150
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.2150
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.7800
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.2350
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.7750
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.2150
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.7550
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.2350
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.6450
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.5700
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.4000
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.5550
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.4450
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.6100
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.4550
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.4600
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.4600
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.4200
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 1316.49, Sell volume: 1449.53, Average price: 0.5329, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.4350
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.5650
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.4300
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.5700
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.4450
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.5600
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.4400
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.5600
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.4550
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.5550
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.4600
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.4650
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.5350
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.4650
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.5350
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.5550
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.4450
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.5550
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.4450
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.5550
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.4550
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.5300
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 89.21, Sell volume: 498.84, Average price: 0.5241, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657129
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $465 in November?
Volume: 42300.205562
Price History:
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.4700
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.5300
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.6250
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.6250
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.5550
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.5100
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.5650
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.5550
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4450
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.4150
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5700
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.7600
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.2500
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5550
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.6050
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.7200
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.3900
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 22060.06, Sell volume: 6183.23, Average price: 0.5936, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0450
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0400
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0400
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0450
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 31385.12, Sell volume: 12505.93, Average price: 0.3840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 31385.12, Sell volume: 12505.93, Average price: 0.3840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0350
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0350
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0350
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 31385.12, Sell volume: 12505.93, Average price: 0.3840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0350
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0350
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0250
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0250
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0250
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0250
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0400, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.0400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0260
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0260
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0260
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0260
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0260
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0250
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0255
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0240
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0240
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0240
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0240
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 31385.12, Sell volume: 12505.93, Average price: 0.3840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0235
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0235
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0235
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0235
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0235
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0235
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0235
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0235
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0215
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0215
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0215
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0215
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0215
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0205
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0215
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0225
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0225
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0225
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0225
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0215
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0215
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0225
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0225
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0225
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0230
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0230
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0230
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0230
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0230
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0230
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0220
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0220
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0215
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0215
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0215
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0215
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0215
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0215
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0220
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0215
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0215
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0215
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 31385.12, Sell volume: 12505.93, Average price: 0.3840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0200
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0200
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0200
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0200
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0200
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0200
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0200
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0210
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0210
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0210
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0210
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0210
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0205
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0205
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0205
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0205
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0205
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 5673.29, Sell volume: 11.06, Average price: 0.1981, Price range: 0.0292 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.1220
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.1245
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.1325
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.1220
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.1115
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1075
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.1075
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.1080
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1075
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.1075
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.1075
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1075
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.1075
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.1075
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1075
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.1075
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.1100
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0660
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0670
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0680
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0645
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0540
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0550
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0545
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0610
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0630
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0625
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0625
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0665
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0665
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0805
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0860
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0865
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0870
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0855
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0880
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0915
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0940
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0940
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0940
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0960
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0930
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0805
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0790
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0790
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 3798.39, Sell volume: 1805.55, Average price: 0.2893, Price range: 0.0398 - 0.9493

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0845
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1315
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.1055
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0985
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.1010
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0970
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0880
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0880
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0910
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1025
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1090
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1180
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1060
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0925
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0895
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0870
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0880
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0940
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0965
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0980
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0985
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0990
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0995
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1005
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0980
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0970
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0990
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0960
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0940
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0925
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0925
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0915
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0915
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0820
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0785
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0780
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0945
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.1020
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.1035
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.1035
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.1055
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.1055
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.1495
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.2510
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.1605
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.1675
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.1890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 7434.33, Sell volume: 825.53, Average price: 0.4497, Price range: 0.0710 - 0.9230

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.1080
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.1080
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.1060
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1060
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.1060
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.1060
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1060
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.1095
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.1110
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.1110
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.1040
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.1070
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.1220
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.1210
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.1070
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0815
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0815
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0805
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.1020
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0910
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0960
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0975
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0980
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0995
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.1020
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.1015
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.1020
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.1100
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.1100
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.1095
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.1095
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.1115
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.1120
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.1160
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.1165
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.1205
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.1205
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.1205
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.1205
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.1175
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.1175
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.1255
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.1270
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.1305
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.1305
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.1305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 4146.28, Sell volume: 1375.00, Average price: 0.2852, Price range: 0.0706 - 0.9240

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.1185
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.1175
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.1180
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.1175
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.1165
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.1170
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.1190
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.1190
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0930
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0895
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0930
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0905
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0940
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0860
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0860
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0835
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0835
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0835
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0835
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0835
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0835
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0835
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0840
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0840
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0845
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0840
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0840
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0840
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0840
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0840
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0840
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0845
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0845
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0845
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0845
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0845
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0840
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0840
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0840
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0810
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0760
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 759.32, Sell volume: 5508.36, Average price: 0.2567, Price range: 0.0710 - 0.9250

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0625
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0610
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0610
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0605
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0605
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0605
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0605
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0605
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0605
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0605
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0380
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0375
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0325
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0320
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0320
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0320
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0320
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0320
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0320
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0320
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0320
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0270
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0270
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0270
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0270
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0270
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0275
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0270
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0270
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0275
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0275
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0275
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0235
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0235
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0275
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0275
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0275
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0275
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0275
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0275
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0275
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0270
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0270
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0265
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0270
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0270
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0270
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0275
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0275
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2091.92, Sell volume: 113.77, Average price: 0.4209, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0275
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0275
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0265
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0270
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0265
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0270
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0270
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0270
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0270
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0270
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0270
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 5319.07, Sell volume: 2664.81, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9550
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0400
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9600
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9500
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 31385.12, Sell volume: 12505.93, Average price: 0.3840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9500
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9650
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9650
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9650
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9650
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9650
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9650
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9650
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0350
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 31385.12, Sell volume: 12505.93, Average price: 0.3840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9650
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9650
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9650
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9650
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9650
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9650
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9650
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9650
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9650
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9650
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9650
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9650
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9650
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0350
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 31385.12, Sell volume: 12505.93, Average price: 0.3840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0350
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9650
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0250
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9750
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0250
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9745
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9745
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9745
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9745
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9745
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9745
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0400, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.0400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9740
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9740
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0260
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9740
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9740
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9740
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9740
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9740
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9740
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9740
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9740
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0260
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9740
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0260
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9740
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0260
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 31385.12, Sell volume: 12505.93, Average price: 0.3840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0235
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9765
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0235
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9765
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0235
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9765
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0215
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9785
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0215
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9795
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0225
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9775
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0225
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9785
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0225
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9775
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0230
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9770
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0230
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9770
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0220
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0215
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9785
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0215
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9785
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0215
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9785
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 226, Buy volume: 31385.12, Sell volume: 12505.93, Average price: 0.3840, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9800
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9800
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9800
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9800
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9800
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9800
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0200
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9800
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0200
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9800
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0200
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9800
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0210
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.9790
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0210
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.9790
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9795
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9795
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9795
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0205
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 5673.29, Sell volume: 11.06, Average price: 0.1981, Price range: 0.0292 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.1220
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.8755
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.1450
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.8780
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.1075
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.8925
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.1075
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.8925
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.1075
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.8925
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.1075
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.8925
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0660
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9330
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0645
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9460
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0545
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9390
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0625
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9375
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0665
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9195
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0865
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9130
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0915
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9060
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0940
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 3798.39, Sell volume: 1805.55, Average price: 0.2893, Price range: 0.0398 - 0.9493
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0845
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8685
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0985
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0970
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9120
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0910
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8975
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1180
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8940
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0895
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0880
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9060
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0980
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9015
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0995
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8995
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0970
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9010
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0940
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9075
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0915
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9085
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0785
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9220
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0945
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.8980
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.1035
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.8945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 7434.33, Sell volume: 825.53, Average price: 0.4497, Price range: 0.0710 - 0.9230
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.1080
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.8920
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.1060
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.8940
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.1060
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.8905
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.1110
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.8960
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.1220
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.8790
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0950
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9185
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0805
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.1000
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9090
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0975
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9020
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.1020
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.8985
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.1100
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.8900
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.1095
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.8905
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.1120
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.8840
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.1205
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.8795
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.1205
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.8825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 4146.28, Sell volume: 1375.00, Average price: 0.2852, Price range: 0.0706 - 0.9240
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.1185
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.8825
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.1175
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.8835
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.1190
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.8810
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9105
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0905
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9060
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0860
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9150
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0835
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9165
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0835
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9165
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0840
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9160
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0840
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9160
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0840
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9160
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9150
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9150
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0845
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9155
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0845
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 759.32, Sell volume: 5508.36, Average price: 0.2567, Price range: 0.0710 - 0.9250
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0625
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9390
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0605
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9395
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0605
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9395
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0605
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9620
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0325
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9680
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0320
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9680
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0320
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9680
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0270
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9730
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0270
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9730
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0270
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9730
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0275
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9725
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0235
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9725
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0275
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9725
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0275
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9725
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0270
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2091.92, Sell volume: 113.77, Average price: 0.4209, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657130
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $435 in November?
Volume: 43891.049526
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0275
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9725
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0270
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9735
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0270
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9730
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0270
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9730
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 5319.07, Sell volume: 2664.81, Average price: 0.6667, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0500
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0500
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0400
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0400
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0400
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0105
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0105
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0100
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0140
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0140
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0140
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0130
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 205.00, Sell volume: 4.52, Average price: 0.8270, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0100
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0120
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1093.14, Sell volume: 3695.00, Average price: 0.1076, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0125
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0125
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0125
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0125
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0125
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0125
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0125
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0125
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0160
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0175
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0175
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0180
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0180
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0180
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0170
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0180
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0180
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0180
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0180
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0180
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0170
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0180
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0175
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0180
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0175
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0175
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0175
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0170
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125, Buy volume: 2265.36, Sell volume: 2126.18, Average price: 0.9678, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9916

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0110
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0125
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0130
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 647.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5824, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0110
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0110
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0085
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0080
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0080
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0080
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 14170.99, Sell volume: 8313.07, Average price: 0.4551, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0100
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0090
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 14685.50, Sell volume: 7912.98, Average price: 0.9680, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0095
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.0110
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0110
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0110
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0160
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0310
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5045
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.5530
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4570
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4770
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.4795
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4495
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.4015
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.3405
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.2970
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.1795
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0525
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0525
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0515
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0530
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0520
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0425
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0520
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0485
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0505
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0530
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0520
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0505
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0520
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 14743.50, Sell volume: 7460.40, Average price: 0.8725, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0640
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0615
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0330
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0255
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0260
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0245
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0255
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0240
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0260
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0260
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0260
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0260
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0260
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0260
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0250
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0250
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0240
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0240
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0240
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0280
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0240
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0250
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0250
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0250
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0250
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0535
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0525
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0590
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0500
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0530
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0560
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0240
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0335
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0240
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 166.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7437, Price range: 0.0390 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0220
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0255
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0235
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0280
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0210
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0155
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0175
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0140
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0190
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0190
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0135
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0130
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0100
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0140
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0175
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0175
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0165
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0400
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0395
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0505
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0505
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0480
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0505
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0505
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0505
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0505
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0495
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0495
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0495
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0495
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0495
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0495
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 136.37, Sell volume: 155.77, Average price: 0.5056, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0360
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0355
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0355
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0355
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0355
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0355
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0345
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0335
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0335
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0335
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0325
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0325
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0325
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0325
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0325
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0325
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0325
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0380
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0385
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0380
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0385
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0380
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0385
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0380
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0380
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0380
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0370
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0370
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0370
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.1020
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0955
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.1035
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0965
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0980
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0990
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0990
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0975
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0990
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0980
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0955
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0930
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0925
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0935
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0930
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 98.67, Average price: 0.0175, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.0200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0945
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0945
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0945
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0945
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0945
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0945
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0910
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0910
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0840
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0780
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0735
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0685
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0625
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0720
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0730
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0690
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0635
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0710
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0705
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0715
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.0730
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0705
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0720
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0730
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0675
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0695
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0705
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0685
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0675
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0705
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0615
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.0675
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0665
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0580
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.0675
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0690
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0635
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0690
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0645
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.0685
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0675
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0680
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0695
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.0695
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.0680
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.0685
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.0725
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.85, Average price: 0.8270, Price range: 0.8270 - 0.8270

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0670
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0690
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0690
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0715
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0605
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0390
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0345
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0310
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0260
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0220
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0190
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0615
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0365
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0245
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0240
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0240
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0240
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0195
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0180
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0175
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0175
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0125
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0115
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0115
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0115
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0115
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 281.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9883, Price range: 0.9870 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 5662.67, Sell volume: 5846.19, Average price: 0.6128, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4950
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9500
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0500
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9600
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9600
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9700
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9700
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9700
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0300
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9910
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9910
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9910
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9910
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0090
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 205.00, Sell volume: 4.52, Average price: 0.8270, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9885
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9885
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9885
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9885
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9905
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0100
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9895
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0100
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9905
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9875
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9875
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9875
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9875
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0125
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1093.14, Sell volume: 3695.00, Average price: 0.1076, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0120
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9880
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0125
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0125
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9875
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0125
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9840
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0175
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9825
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0180
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9820
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0180
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9820
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0180
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9820
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0180
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9825
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0175
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 125, Buy volume: 2265.36, Sell volume: 2126.18, Average price: 0.9678, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9916
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0110
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9875
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0130
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9865
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9865
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9865
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0135
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9865
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9875
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9875
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9875
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9875
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9875
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9875
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9875
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0120
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9880
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 647.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5824, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9885
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9885
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0115
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0110
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9890
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9925
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9920
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9920
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9920
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9925
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 14170.99, Sell volume: 8313.07, Average price: 0.4551, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0080
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.9920
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9925
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9900
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9920
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0090
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9910
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 14685.50, Sell volume: 7912.98, Average price: 0.9680, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9900
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9900
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9900
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9890
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9890
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0110
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9890
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0110
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9890
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0310
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4955
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.4570
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5230
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4495
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.5985
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.2970
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.8205
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0525
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9485
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0520
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9575
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0520
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 14743.50, Sell volume: 7460.40, Average price: 0.8725, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0640
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9385
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0235
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9745
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0245
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9745
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0250
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.9740
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0260
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9740
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0260
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.9750
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.9755
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9760
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9755
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0240
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9755
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0245
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9720
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0250
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9750
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0250
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9465
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0590
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 166.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7437, Price range: 0.0390 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0295
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9780
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0235
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9720
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0155
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9825
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0120
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9830
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0190
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9810
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0130
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9825
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9835
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0395
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9495
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0480
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9500
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0500
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9495
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0505
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0505
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9495
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0500
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9505
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0495
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 136.37, Sell volume: 155.77, Average price: 0.5056, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0355
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9640
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0360
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9645
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0355
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9645
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0350
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9665
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0335
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9675
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0325
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9675
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0325
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9675
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0380
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9615
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0385
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9620
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0380
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9620
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0370
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9630
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.1020
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9045
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.1035
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9035
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0990
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9010
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0990
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 98.67, Average price: 0.0175, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.0200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0945
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9055
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0945
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9055
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0910
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9090
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0780
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9265
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0625
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9280
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0690
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9365
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.0705
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9285
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.0705
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.9280
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.0675
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.9305
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.0685
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.9325
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0615
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.9300
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.0665
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.9420
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0690
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.9365
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.9355
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.0675
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.9320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.85, Average price: 0.8270, Price range: 0.8270 - 0.8270
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.0670
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9310
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0715
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9395
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0345
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9690
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0220
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9810
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0365
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9755
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9755
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9760
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0240
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9755
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9755
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0245
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9805
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0175
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9825
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0115
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9885
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0115
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9885
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9885
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 281.86, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9883, Price range: 0.9870 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657131
Question: Will Microsoft dip to $398 in November?
Volume: 89768.065237
Price History:
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0115
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9885
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 5662.67, Sell volume: 5846.19, Average price: 0.6128, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.4950
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.8600
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.2850
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.2800
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7150
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.7250
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7350
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.1900
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.8300
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.2100
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.8050
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.7850
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.2150
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.2150
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.7800
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.2300
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.7750
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.7750
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.2250
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.7750
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.2350
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.7650
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.2350
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.2250
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.2100
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.2300
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.2200
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.8150
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.2300
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.2050
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.2300
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.2350
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.7650
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.7650
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.8000
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.7850
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.2250
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.2250
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.7750
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2300
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.7700
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.7700
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.7700
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.7700
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.2300
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.2350
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.7600
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.7550
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.7550
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.7350
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.6950
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.7150
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.7050
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.7050
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.6950
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.6900
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.3100
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.3100
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.6950
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.6950
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.7000
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.3000
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.3000
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.3000
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.2950
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.7050
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.3050
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.3050
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.3150
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.3550
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.3450
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.3500
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.6450
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.3550
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.3500
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.6450
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.3600
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.6250
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.6250
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.6250
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.6250
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.6300
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.6300
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.6300
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.6050
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.6050
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.6050
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.5800
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.4200
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.4200
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.4350
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.5450
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.5450
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.5450
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.5450
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.5450
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.5250
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.5150
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.5650
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.4750
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.5200
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.5300
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.4550
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.4350
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.4700
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.4750
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.4900
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.6100
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.5150
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.4850
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.4800
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.5250
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.5400
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.5450
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.5400
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.4550
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.4550
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.4550
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.6200
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.3700
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.3700
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.4450
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.5600
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.5400
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.4600
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.4650
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.4500
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.5050
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.4850
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.4550
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.4600
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.4800
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.4800
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.5400
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.4750
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.4650
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.5300
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.5250
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.4750
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.4900
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.5150
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.5150
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.5150
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.4350
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.4500
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.5450
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.5750
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.5350
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.4750
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.5250
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.4750
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.5250
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.4750
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.4950
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.4900
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.4850
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.4950
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.5050
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.5050
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.4900
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.4950
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.4900
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.4900
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.5050
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.5000
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.4900
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.5150
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.4750
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.4800
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.4750
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.4500
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.4500
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.4450
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.4400
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.4400
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.4450
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.4350
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.5650
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.4300
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.4200
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.4250
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.4250
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.5750
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.4450
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.5500
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.5800
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.4100
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.4400
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.4450
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.4150
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.5850
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.5850
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.5900
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.5900
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.4000
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.4000
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.4000
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.4000
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.4000
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.6050
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.4050
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.4050
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.6250
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.3750
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.6250
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.6200
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.6200
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.4100
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.3800
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.3800
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.3750
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.4150
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.3800
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.5350
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.5050
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.5250
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.5450
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.4800
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.5150
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.5150
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.4950
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.4850
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.4550
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.4650
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.4800
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.4800
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.4800
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.5050
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.4900
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.4750
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.5150
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.4850
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.4600
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.4750
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.5750
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.5900
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.4200
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.4000
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.4000
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.4050
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.4200
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.4250
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.4250
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.5750
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.5950
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.3800
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.3800
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.3800
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.3800
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.3850
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.3850
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.3850
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.6250
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.4150
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.4150
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.6000
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.5450
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.4850
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.5650
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.4250
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.6950
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.3850
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.4500
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.5550
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.5600
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.5650
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.5650
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.5600
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.4550
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.4150
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.5500
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.4700
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.5050
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.4850
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.4800
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.5750
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.5650
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.4350
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.5650
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.4200
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.4200
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.5650
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.5700
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.4350
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.4350
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.5650
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.4350
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.5650
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.4350
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.4350
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.5700
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.4300
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.4300
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.5700
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.5700
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.5700
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.4300
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.5700
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.5750
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.5750
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.4100
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.5600
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.4000
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.4000
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.6000
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.4000
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.4050
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.6000
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.6050
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.5900
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.6000
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.6000
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.6050
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.3950
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.4200
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.4850
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.5150
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.5750
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.4200
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.4200
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5050
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5250
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5400
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5400
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5600
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.5250
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.5400
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5700
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.7450
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.2000
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2200
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.8300
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1800
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1200
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.8350
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.8400
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.8450
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.8400
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.1650
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.8450
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.1700
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.1650
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.1300
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.1150
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.8450
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.1700
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.8500
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.1950
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.2700
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.7550
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.5900
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.4650
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.5450
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.6500
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.4700
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.5650
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.4800
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.4850
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.5300
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.3550
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.4600
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.4600
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.5700
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.6000
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.6600
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.6300
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.6000
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4050
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.4100
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.5850
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.5500
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.5950
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.5750
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.4600
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.5750
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.6050
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.5800
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.5550
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.5500
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.5600
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.4350
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.6100
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.4300
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.6200
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.3550
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.3750
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.4050
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.3300
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.5650
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.3950
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.5950
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.4150
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.6200
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.4000
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.5950
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.6050
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.5400
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573811
Question: Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2951588.21987
Price History:
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.5550
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.4600
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.4800
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.4850
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.4600
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.4300
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.4250
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.4150
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.4200
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.3750
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.3250
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.2500
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.2700
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.2050
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.7850
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.3150
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.3500
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.6400
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.4750
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.6050
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.4200
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.4850
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.5550
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.5600
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.6050
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.4650
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.4900
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.5450
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.6150
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.5150
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.5350
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.4750
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.3800
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.4000
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.3750
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.1250
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1200
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.1400
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8300
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 225965405.37, Sell volume: 116743530.18, Average price: 0.4904, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes