Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0035
2025-01-11 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-11 20:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0030
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-12 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.0020
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0020
2025-01-14 04:00: 0.0020
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0030
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 256, Buy volume: 31980.07, Sell volume: 23831.39, Average price: 0.7916, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513159
Question: No Marco Rubio replacement as Florida senator?
Volume: 893524.601456
Price History:
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0005
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 600, Buy volume: 204777.23, Sell volume: 16275.04, Average price: 0.8060, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-11-06 17:00: 0.4450
2024-11-06 19:00: 0.0650
2024-11-06 21:00: 0.0450
2024-11-06 23:00: 0.0450
2024-11-07 01:00: 0.0450
2024-11-07 03:00: 0.0450
2024-11-07 05:00: 0.0300
2024-11-07 07:00: 0.0300
2024-11-07 09:00: 0.0225
2024-11-07 11:00: 0.0200
2024-11-07 13:00: 0.0175
2024-11-07 15:00: 0.0175
2024-11-07 17:00: 0.0100
2024-11-07 19:00: 0.0115
2024-11-07 21:00: 0.0105
2024-11-07 23:00: 0.0105
2024-11-08 01:00: 0.0125
2024-11-08 03:00: 0.0100
2024-11-08 05:00: 0.0100
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.0105
2024-11-08 09:00: 0.0115
2024-11-08 11:00: 0.0105
2024-11-08 13:00: 0.0090
2024-11-08 15:00: 0.0090
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.0055
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.0070
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.0065
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.0070
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.0065
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.0080
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.0060
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.0095
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.0095
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.0080
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.0095
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0080
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.0085
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.0075
2024-11-09 21:00: 0.0075
2024-11-09 23:00: 0.0070
2024-11-10 01:00: 0.0065
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.0060
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.0065
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.0050
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.0035
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.0035
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.0045
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.0030
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0020
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.0025
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0020
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0020
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0020
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.0020
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0010
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 11:00: 0.0010
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-27 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-27 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-27 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-27 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-27 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-27 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-27 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-27 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-27 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-27 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-27 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-28 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-28 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-28 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-28 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 00:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 06:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 14:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 22:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 02:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 18:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-12-03 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 13:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 19:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 21:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 23:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 03:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 07:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 13:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 19:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 21:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 23:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 03:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 07:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 13:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 21:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 23:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 01:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 03:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 07:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 13:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 21:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 23:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 01:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 03:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 07:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-12-07 22:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 10:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.0005
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 22:00: 0.0010
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0010
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.0010
2024-12-09 04:00: 0.0010
2024-12-09 06:00: 0.0010
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0010
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.0010
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.0010
2024-12-09 14:00: 0.0010
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.0010
2024-12-09 18:00: 0.0010
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0010
2024-12-09 22:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 00:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 04:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 10:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 12:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 14:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 18:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 22:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 06:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 08:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 10:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-12-12 09:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 11:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 13:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 15:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 17:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 21:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 23:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 03:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 05:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 07:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 09:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 11:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 13:00: 0.0005
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-13 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-12-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-12-13 23:00: 0.0005
2024-12-14 01:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 03:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-14 07:00: 0.0005
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 11:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 15:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 17:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 19:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 23:00: 0.0010
2024-12-15 01:00: 0.0010
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.0010
2024-12-15 09:00: 0.0010
2024-12-15 11:00: 0.0010
2024-12-15 13:00: 0.0010
2024-12-15 15:00: 0.0010
2024-12-15 17:00: 0.0010
2024-12-15 19:00: 0.0010
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.0010
2024-12-15 23:00: 0.0010
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.0010
2024-12-16 03:00: 0.0010
2024-12-16 05:00: 0.0010
2024-12-16 07:00: 0.0005
2024-12-16 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-16 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.0005
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0005
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.0005
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.0005
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.0005
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.0005
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.0010
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.0010
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.0010
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.0010
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.0010
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.0010
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.0010
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.0010
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.0010
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.0010
2024-12-18 06:00: 0.0010
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0010
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.0010
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.0010
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.0050
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.0055
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.0055
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 10:00: 0.0040
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.0040
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.0040
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0040
2024-12-21 09:00: 0.0045
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.0045
2024-12-21 13:00: 0.0045
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.0045
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.0045
2024-12-21 19:00: 0.0045
2024-12-21 21:00: 0.0045
2024-12-21 23:00: 0.0045
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.0045
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.0045
2024-12-22 05:00: 0.0045
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.0045
2024-12-22 09:00: 0.0045
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.0045
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.0035
2024-12-22 15:00: 0.0035
2024-12-22 17:00: 0.0035
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.0035
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.0035
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.0035
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0035
2024-12-23 03:00: 0.0035
2024-12-23 05:00: 0.0035
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.0030
2024-12-23 11:00: 0.0035
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0035
2024-12-23 15:00: 0.0035
2024-12-23 17:00: 0.0035
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.0035
2024-12-23 21:00: 0.0035
2024-12-23 23:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 03:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 17:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 21:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 23:00: 0.0030
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.0030
2024-12-25 03:00: 0.0030
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.0035
2024-12-25 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 341658, Buy volume: 63410234.29, Sell volume: 1904713.38, Average price: 0.9571, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.0035
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0035
2024-12-25 22:00: 0.0035
2024-12-26 00:00: 0.0035
2024-12-26 02:00: 0.0035
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.0035
2024-12-26 06:00: 0.0035
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.0035
2024-12-26 10:00: 0.0035
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.0020
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 18:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 20:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0025
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.0025
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.0025
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.0025
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.0030
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0035
2024-12-27 14:00: 0.0030
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-27 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.0030
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.0035
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.0040
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.0040
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0035
2024-12-28 10:00: 0.0035
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.0040
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.0035
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.0040
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0035
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.0035
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.0035
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0035
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0035
2024-12-29 10:00: 0.0035
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0035
2024-12-29 14:00: 0.0035
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.0040
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 658263, Buy volume: 55126455.90, Sell volume: 350419.81, Average price: 0.9859, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-12-30 05:00: 0.0030
2024-12-30 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-30 09:00: 0.0030
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.0030
2024-12-30 13:00: 0.0030
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.0030
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.0030
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.0030
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.0030
2024-12-30 23:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 01:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 11:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 15:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 21:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 01:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.0025
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.0025
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.0025
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 09:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.0025
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 16092.42, Sell volume: 19164.20, Average price: 0.6448, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-11-06 17:00: 0.4450
2024-11-06 20:00: 0.9550
2024-11-07 00:00: 0.0450
2024-11-07 03:00: 0.9550
2024-11-07 07:00: 0.0300
2024-11-07 10:00: 0.9780
2024-11-07 14:00: 0.0175
2024-11-07 17:00: 0.9900
2024-11-07 21:00: 0.0105
2024-11-08 00:00: 0.9875
2024-11-08 04:00: 0.0100
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.9895
2024-11-08 11:00: 0.0105
2024-11-08 14:00: 0.9910
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.0055
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.9935
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.0065
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.9930
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.0095
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.9920
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0080
2024-11-09 18:00: 0.9905
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.0075
2024-11-10 01:00: 0.9935
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.0065
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.9935
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.0035
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.9955
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.0020
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.9985
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.0020
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.9975
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.9980
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0020
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.9980
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.9985
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0010
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.9985
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 16:00: 0.9985
2024-11-18 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.9985
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.9985
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.9985
2024-11-20 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.9985
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.9985
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.9985
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.9985
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 16:00: 0.9995
2024-11-24 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 06:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.9995
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-26 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-27 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-27 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-27 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-28 04:00: 0.9995
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.9995
2024-11-28 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 03:00: 0.9995
2024-11-29 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.9995
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-29 17:00: 0.9995
2024-11-29 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.9995
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 07:00: 0.9995
2024-11-30 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 14:00: 0.9995
2024-11-30 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-30 21:00: 0.9995
2024-12-01 01:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.9995
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 11:00: 0.9995
2024-12-01 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.9995
2024-12-01 22:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.9995
2024-12-02 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.9995
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 15:00: 0.9995
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.9995
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-12-03 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 14:00: 0.9995
2024-12-03 18:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 21:00: 0.9995
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 04:00: 0.9995
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.9995
2024-12-04 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.9995
2024-12-04 22:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.9995
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 08:00: 0.9995
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 15:00: 0.9995
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 22:00: 0.9995
2024-12-06 02:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 05:00: 0.9995
2024-12-06 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 12:00: 0.9995
2024-12-06 16:00: 0.0005
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.9995
2024-12-06 23:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.9995
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.0005
2024-12-07 09:00: 0.9995
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.0010
2024-12-07 16:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-12-07 22:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 01:00: 0.9990
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.9990
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 15:00: 0.9990
2024-12-08 19:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 22:00: 0.9990
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.0010
2024-12-09 05:00: 0.9990
2024-12-09 09:00: 0.0010
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.9990
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.0010
2024-12-09 19:00: 0.9990
2024-12-09 23:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.9990
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 09:00: 0.9990
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.9990
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0010
2024-12-10 23:00: 0.9990
2024-12-11 03:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 06:00: 0.9990
2024-12-11 10:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 13:00: 0.9990
2024-12-11 17:00: 0.0010
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.9990
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 03:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-12-12 09:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.9990
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.9990
2024-12-12 23:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 02:00: 0.9990
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 09:00: 0.9990
2024-12-13 13:00: 0.0005
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.9995
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-13 23:00: 0.9995
2024-12-14 03:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.9995
2024-12-14 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.9990
2024-12-14 17:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 20:00: 0.9990
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0010
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.9985
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.0010
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.9990
2024-12-15 14:00: 0.0010
2024-12-15 17:00: 0.9990
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.0010
2024-12-16 00:00: 0.9990
2024-12-16 04:00: 0.0010
2024-12-16 07:00: 0.9995
2024-12-16 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-16 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-16 23:00: 0.9995
2024-12-17 03:00: 0.0005
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.9995
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.0010
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.9990
2024-12-17 17:00: 0.0010
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.9990
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.0010
2024-12-18 03:00: 0.9990
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.0010
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.9990
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.0050
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.9945
2024-12-18 21:00: 0.0045
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.9985
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-19 07:00: 0.9985
2024-12-19 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.9980
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 21:00: 0.9980
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.9980
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.9960
2024-12-20 15:00: 0.0040
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.9960
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.0040
2024-12-21 01:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 118552782.61, Sell volume: 2274297.39, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0040
2024-12-21 10:00: 0.9955
2024-12-21 14:00: 0.0045
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.9955
2024-12-21 21:00: 0.0045
2024-12-22 00:00: 0.9955
2024-12-22 04:00: 0.0045
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.9955
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.0045
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.9965
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.0035
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.9965
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0035
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.9965
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-23 11:00: 0.9965
2024-12-23 15:00: 0.0035
2024-12-23 18:00: 0.9965
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.9965
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 08:00: 0.9970
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.9965
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.9965
2024-12-25 02:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.9965
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.0035
2024-12-25 12:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 341658, Buy volume: 63410234.29, Sell volume: 1904713.38, Average price: 0.9571, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.0035
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.9965
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.0035
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.9965
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.0035
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.9965
2024-12-26 15:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 18:00: 0.9975
2024-12-26 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.9975
2024-12-27 05:00: 0.0025
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.9970
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0035
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.9970
2024-12-27 19:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.9970
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.0035
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.9955
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.0035
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.9960
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0040
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.9965
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.0040
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.9965
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0035
2024-12-29 09:00: 0.9965
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.0035
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.9960
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0040
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 658263, Buy volume: 55126455.90, Sell volume: 350419.81, Average price: 0.9859, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512217
Question: Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 1517584.114096
Price History:
2024-12-30 05:00: 0.0030
2024-12-30 08:00: 0.9970
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.9970
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.0030
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.9970
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.9970
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 12:00: 0.9970
2024-12-31 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.9970
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.9970
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.9975
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.9970
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.9970
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.9970
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.9970
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 16092.42, Sell volume: 19164.20, Average price: 0.6448, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.5000
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.3700
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.2900
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.2950
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0400
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.2500
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.1600
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.1800
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.1200
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0800
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0600
2024-11-16 15:00: 0.0450
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.1050
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.0850
2024-11-16 21:00: 0.2805
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.2820
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.2810
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.2830
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.2810
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.2810
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.2810
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.2790
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.2655
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.2495
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0575
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0930
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0835
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0810
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.0805
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.0820
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.0840
2024-11-18 07:00: 0.0830
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0740
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0690
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0685
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0675
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0680
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0675
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0675
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0660
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0660
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0545
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0545
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0495
2024-11-19 09:00: 0.0470
2024-11-19 11:00: 0.0465
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.0465
2024-11-19 15:00: 0.0455
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0455
2024-11-19 19:00: 0.0455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 156978027.72, Sell volume: 10825578.42, Average price: 0.9279, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.0590
2024-11-20 23:00: 0.0570
2024-11-21 01:00: 0.0590
2024-11-21 03:00: 0.0585
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0590
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.0580
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0590
2024-11-21 11:00: 0.0585
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0585
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0515
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.0470
2024-11-21 19:00: 0.0460
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0455
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0415
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.0385
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.0480
2024-11-22 05:00: 0.0415
2024-11-22 07:00: 0.0365
2024-11-22 09:00: 0.0430
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0400
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.0390
2024-11-22 15:00: 0.0395
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0450
2024-11-22 19:00: 0.0410
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0365
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.0460
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0380
2024-11-23 03:00: 0.0340
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0370
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0345
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.0370
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0375
2024-11-23 13:00: 0.0345
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.0405
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.0360
2024-11-23 19:00: 0.0360
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0355
2024-11-23 23:00: 0.0355
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0350
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0370
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0370
2024-11-24 07:00: 0.0370
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.0370
2024-11-24 11:00: 0.0370
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0405
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0385
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0380
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0380
2024-11-24 21:00: 0.0375
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.0380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 156978027.72, Sell volume: 10825578.42, Average price: 0.9279, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0405
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0405
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0365
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.0375
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.0335
2024-11-26 11:00: 0.0340
2024-11-26 13:00: 0.0210
2024-11-26 15:00: 0.0205
2024-11-26 17:00: 0.0130
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.0140
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.0115
2024-11-26 23:00: 0.0140
2024-11-27 01:00: 0.0130
2024-11-27 03:00: 0.0150
2024-11-27 05:00: 0.0150
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.0215
2024-11-27 09:00: 0.0165
2024-11-27 11:00: 0.0170
2024-11-27 13:00: 0.0165
2024-11-27 15:00: 0.0205
2024-11-27 17:00: 0.0265
2024-11-27 19:00: 0.0140
2024-11-27 21:00: 0.0180
2024-11-27 23:00: 0.0170
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.0175
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.0195
2024-11-28 05:00: 0.0210
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.0210
2024-11-28 09:00: 0.0200
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.0180
2024-11-28 13:00: 0.0215
2024-11-28 15:00: 0.0180
2024-11-28 17:00: 0.0190
2024-11-28 19:00: 0.0230
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.0225
2024-11-28 23:00: 0.0230
2024-11-29 01:00: 0.0175
2024-11-29 03:00: 0.0210
2024-11-29 05:00: 0.0225
2024-11-29 07:00: 0.0225
2024-11-29 09:00: 0.0215
2024-11-29 11:00: 0.0225
2024-11-29 13:00: 0.0225
2024-11-29 15:00: 0.0175
2024-11-29 17:00: 0.0215
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.0215
2024-11-29 21:00: 0.0170
2024-11-29 23:00: 0.0215
2024-11-30 01:00: 0.0200
2024-11-30 03:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 156978027.72, Sell volume: 10825578.42, Average price: 0.9279, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-12-01 05:00: 0.0190
2024-12-01 07:00: 0.0350
2024-12-01 09:00: 0.0245
2024-12-01 11:00: 0.0170
2024-12-01 13:00: 0.0160
2024-12-01 15:00: 0.0175
2024-12-01 17:00: 0.0175
2024-12-01 19:00: 0.0165
2024-12-01 21:00: 0.0170
2024-12-01 23:00: 0.0180
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.0170
2024-12-02 03:00: 0.0170
2024-12-02 05:00: 0.0190
2024-12-02 07:00: 0.0175
2024-12-02 09:00: 0.0190
2024-12-02 11:00: 0.0160
2024-12-02 13:00: 0.0175
2024-12-02 15:00: 0.0155
2024-12-02 17:00: 0.0150
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.0145
2024-12-02 21:00: 0.0055
2024-12-02 23:00: 0.0045
2024-12-03 01:00: 0.0060
2024-12-03 03:00: 0.0035
2024-12-03 05:00: 0.0040
2024-12-03 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-03 09:00: 0.0045
2024-12-03 11:00: 0.0035
2024-12-03 13:00: 0.0040
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.0040
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.0040
2024-12-03 19:00: 0.0035
2024-12-03 21:00: 0.0045
2024-12-03 23:00: 0.0045
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.0035
2024-12-04 03:00: 0.0045
2024-12-04 05:00: 0.0035
2024-12-04 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 09:00: 0.0035
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.0035
2024-12-04 13:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 15:00: 0.0045
2024-12-04 17:00: 0.0035
2024-12-04 19:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 21:00: 0.0035
2024-12-04 23:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.0045
2024-12-05 03:00: 0.0045
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 07:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 156978027.72, Sell volume: 10825578.42, Average price: 0.9279, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-12-06 09:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 11:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 13:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 15:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.0025
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 21:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 23:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 01:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 03:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 07:00: 0.0035
2024-12-07 09:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.0025
2024-12-07 15:00: 0.0025
2024-12-07 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-07 19:00: 0.0025
2024-12-07 21:00: 0.0025
2024-12-07 23:00: 0.0025
2024-12-08 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 03:00: 0.0025
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 07:00: 0.0025
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.0025
2024-12-08 11:00: 0.0025
2024-12-08 13:00: 0.0025
2024-12-08 15:00: 0.0025
2024-12-08 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 19:00: 0.0025
2024-12-08 21:00: 0.0025
2024-12-08 23:00: 0.0025
2024-12-09 01:00: 0.0025
2024-12-09 03:00: 0.0025
2024-12-09 05:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 09:00: 0.0025
2024-12-09 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-09 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 23:00: 0.0025
2024-12-10 01:00: 0.0025
2024-12-10 03:00: 0.0025
2024-12-10 05:00: 0.0025
2024-12-10 07:00: 0.0025
2024-12-10 09:00: 0.0025
2024-12-10 11:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 173826, Buy volume: 12001526.46, Sell volume: 901637.46, Average price: 0.8834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-12-11 13:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 15:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 17:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 19:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 21:00: 0.0020
2024-12-11 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 15:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57942, Buy volume: 13825974.19, Sell volume: 2530167.30, Average price: 0.4487, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-12-16 17:00: 0.0085
2024-12-16 19:00: 0.0085
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.0085
2024-12-16 23:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 01:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 03:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 05:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 07:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 11:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 15:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 17:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 19:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 21:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 23:00: 0.0085
2024-12-18 01:00: 0.0085
2024-12-18 03:00: 0.0085
2024-12-18 05:00: 0.0085
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.0085
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.0085
2024-12-18 11:00: 0.0085
2024-12-18 13:00: 0.0085
2024-12-18 15:00: 0.0085
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.0085
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.0085
2024-12-18 21:00: 0.0095
2024-12-18 23:00: 0.0095
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.0090
2024-12-19 03:00: 0.0095
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.0100
2024-12-19 07:00: 0.0100
2024-12-19 09:00: 0.0100
2024-12-19 11:00: 0.0100
2024-12-19 13:00: 0.0100
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.0100
2024-12-19 17:00: 0.0100
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.0100
2024-12-19 21:00: 0.0100
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.0100
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.0100
2024-12-20 03:00: 0.0100
2024-12-20 05:00: 0.0115
2024-12-20 07:00: 0.0115
2024-12-20 09:00: 0.0115
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.0115
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.0115
2024-12-20 15:00: 0.0115
2024-12-20 17:00: 0.0115
2024-12-20 19:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45954, Buy volume: 69993.04, Sell volume: 1116782.10, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0052 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-12-21 21:00: 0.0095
2024-12-21 23:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 05:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 09:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 15:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 17:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.0090
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0095
2024-12-23 03:00: 0.0095
2024-12-23 05:00: 0.0095
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.0080
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.0075
2024-12-23 11:00: 0.0070
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0070
2024-12-23 15:00: 0.0050
2024-12-23 17:00: 0.0050
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.0050
2024-12-23 21:00: 0.0050
2024-12-23 23:00: 0.0050
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.0040
2024-12-24 03:00: 0.0040
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.0040
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.0040
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.0040
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 17:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 21:00: 0.0090
2024-12-24 23:00: 0.0085
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.0085
2024-12-25 03:00: 0.0055
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.0090
2024-12-25 07:00: 0.0090
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.0090
2024-12-25 11:00: 0.0085
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.0075
2024-12-25 15:00: 0.0075
2024-12-25 17:00: 0.0055
2024-12-25 19:00: 0.0050
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.0050
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 721352, Buy volume: 130847391.69, Sell volume: 6234374.07, Average price: 0.9896, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.0045
2024-12-27 03:00: 0.0045
2024-12-27 05:00: 0.0045
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.0095
2024-12-27 09:00: 0.0100
2024-12-27 11:00: 0.0060
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.0060
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.0050
2024-12-27 17:00: 0.0050
2024-12-27 19:00: 0.0050
2024-12-27 21:00: 0.0050
2024-12-27 23:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 03:00: 0.0045
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 07:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 11:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 15:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 17:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 19:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 21:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 01:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 03:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 05:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 07:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 09:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 11:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 15:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 17:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 19:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 21:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.0060
2024-12-30 01:00: 0.0060
2024-12-30 03:00: 0.0060
2024-12-30 05:00: 0.0060
2024-12-30 07:00: 0.0060
2024-12-30 09:00: 0.0060
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.0050
2024-12-30 13:00: 0.0050
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.0050
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.0050
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.0050
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.0050
2024-12-30 23:00: 0.0050
2024-12-31 01:00: 0.0050
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 217, Buy volume: 10706.98, Sell volume: 767.63, Average price: 0.9039, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.0050
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.0050
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.0050
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.0050
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.0050
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.0050
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.0055
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 09:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 15:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 17:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 23:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 05:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 09:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 11:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 13:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 15:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 19:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.0055
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.0055
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.0055
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.0055
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1107.06, Sell volume: 280.67, Average price: 0.7249, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2025-01-06 09:00: 0.0075
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.0075
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.0080
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.0075
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.0075
2025-01-06 19:00: 0.0075
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.0075
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 03:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.0065
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.0080
2025-01-07 15:00: 0.0085
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.0085
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.0085
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.0085
2025-01-07 23:00: 0.0080
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.0085
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.0080
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0080
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.0075
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 11:00: 0.0085
2025-01-08 13:00: 0.0085
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.0060
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.0055
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.0055
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.0055
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 07:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 09:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 15:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 19:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 03:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 213.53, Sell volume: 391.48, Average price: 0.8786, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.0055
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.0055
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0055
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.0055
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.0045
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.0090
2025-01-12 07:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 19:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 03:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.0075
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.0075
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.0045
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.0045
2025-01-13 23:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.0075
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.0075
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0075
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.0075
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.0075
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.0075
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.0075
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.0075
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.0075
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.0065
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.0070
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.0070
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.0070
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0070
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.0070
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 21922.66, Sell volume: 6249.43, Average price: 0.7812, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.0010
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 559, Buy volume: 199192.10, Sell volume: 34928.28, Average price: 0.7954, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.5000
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.2900
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0400
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.1600
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.1200
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0600
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.1050
2024-11-16 21:00: 0.2805
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.2810
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.2810
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.2810
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.2655
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0575
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0835
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.0805
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.0840
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0740
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0685
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0680
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0675
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0660
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0545
2024-11-19 09:00: 0.0470
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.0465
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0455
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.0455
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.0455
2024-11-20 05:00: 0.0455
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0625
2024-11-20 13:00: 0.0595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 156978027.72, Sell volume: 10825578.42, Average price: 0.9279, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.0590
2024-11-21 01:00: 0.0590
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0590
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.0590
2024-11-21 13:00: 0.0585
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.0470
2024-11-21 21:00: 0.0455
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.0385
2024-11-22 05:00: 0.0415
2024-11-22 09:00: 0.0430
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.0390
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0450
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0365
2024-11-23 01:00: 0.0380
2024-11-23 05:00: 0.0370
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.0370
2024-11-23 13:00: 0.0345
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.0360
2024-11-23 21:00: 0.0355
2024-11-24 01:00: 0.0350
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0370
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.0370
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0405
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0380
2024-11-24 21:00: 0.0375
2024-11-25 01:00: 0.0395
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0385
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0355
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0350
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 156978027.72, Sell volume: 10825578.42, Average price: 0.9279, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0405
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0365
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.0335
2024-11-26 13:00: 0.0210
2024-11-26 17:00: 0.0130
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.0115
2024-11-27 01:00: 0.0130
2024-11-27 05:00: 0.0150
2024-11-27 09:00: 0.0165
2024-11-27 13:00: 0.0165
2024-11-27 17:00: 0.0265
2024-11-27 21:00: 0.0180
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.0175
2024-11-28 05:00: 0.0210
2024-11-28 09:00: 0.0200
2024-11-28 13:00: 0.0215
2024-11-28 17:00: 0.0190
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.0225
2024-11-29 01:00: 0.0175
2024-11-29 05:00: 0.0225
2024-11-29 09:00: 0.0215
2024-11-29 13:00: 0.0225
2024-11-29 17:00: 0.0215
2024-11-29 21:00: 0.0170
2024-11-30 01:00: 0.0200
2024-11-30 05:00: 0.0190
2024-11-30 09:00: 0.0160
2024-11-30 13:00: 0.0160
2024-11-30 17:00: 0.0155
2024-11-30 21:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 156978027.72, Sell volume: 10825578.42, Average price: 0.9279, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-12-01 05:00: 0.0190
2024-12-01 09:00: 0.0245
2024-12-01 13:00: 0.0160
2024-12-01 17:00: 0.0175
2024-12-01 21:00: 0.0170
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.0170
2024-12-02 05:00: 0.0190
2024-12-02 09:00: 0.0190
2024-12-02 13:00: 0.0175
2024-12-02 17:00: 0.0150
2024-12-02 21:00: 0.0055
2024-12-03 01:00: 0.0060
2024-12-03 05:00: 0.0040
2024-12-03 09:00: 0.0045
2024-12-03 13:00: 0.0040
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.0040
2024-12-03 21:00: 0.0045
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.0035
2024-12-04 05:00: 0.0035
2024-12-04 09:00: 0.0035
2024-12-04 13:00: 0.0030
2024-12-04 17:00: 0.0035
2024-12-04 21:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.0045
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 09:00: 0.0045
2024-12-05 13:00: 0.0040
2024-12-05 17:00: 0.0035
2024-12-05 21:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 01:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 156978027.72, Sell volume: 10825578.42, Average price: 0.9279, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-12-06 09:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 13:00: 0.0030
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.0025
2024-12-06 21:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 01:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 09:00: 0.0030
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.0025
2024-12-07 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-07 21:00: 0.0025
2024-12-08 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.0025
2024-12-08 13:00: 0.0025
2024-12-08 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 21:00: 0.0025
2024-12-09 01:00: 0.0025
2024-12-09 05:00: 0.0030
2024-12-09 09:00: 0.0025
2024-12-09 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-10 01:00: 0.0025
2024-12-10 05:00: 0.0025
2024-12-10 09:00: 0.0025
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.0025
2024-12-10 17:00: 0.0025
2024-12-10 21:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 01:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 05:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 173826, Buy volume: 12001526.46, Sell volume: 901637.46, Average price: 0.8834, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-12-11 13:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 17:00: 0.0025
2024-12-11 21:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 09:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57942, Buy volume: 13825974.19, Sell volume: 2530167.30, Average price: 0.4487, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-12-16 17:00: 0.0085
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 01:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 05:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 17:00: 0.0085
2024-12-17 21:00: 0.0085
2024-12-18 01:00: 0.0085
2024-12-18 05:00: 0.0085
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.0085
2024-12-18 13:00: 0.0085
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.0085
2024-12-18 21:00: 0.0095
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.0090
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.0100
2024-12-19 09:00: 0.0100
2024-12-19 13:00: 0.0100
2024-12-19 17:00: 0.0100
2024-12-19 21:00: 0.0100
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.0100
2024-12-20 05:00: 0.0115
2024-12-20 09:00: 0.0115
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.0115
2024-12-20 17:00: 0.0115
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.0115
2024-12-21 01:00: 0.0115
2024-12-21 05:00: 0.0135
2024-12-21 09:00: 0.0135
2024-12-21 13:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45954, Buy volume: 69993.04, Sell volume: 1116782.10, Average price: 0.7344, Price range: 0.0052 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-12-21 21:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 05:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 09:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 17:00: 0.0095
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.0095
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0095
2024-12-23 05:00: 0.0095
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.0075
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0070
2024-12-23 17:00: 0.0050
2024-12-23 21:00: 0.0050
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.0040
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.0040
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.0040
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 17:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 21:00: 0.0090
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.0085
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.0090
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.0090
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.0075
2024-12-25 17:00: 0.0055
2024-12-25 21:00: 0.0050
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.0100
2024-12-26 05:00: 0.0100
2024-12-26 09:00: 0.0045
2024-12-26 13:00: 0.0045
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 721352, Buy volume: 130847391.69, Sell volume: 6234374.07, Average price: 0.9896, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2024-12-27 01:00: 0.0045
2024-12-27 05:00: 0.0045
2024-12-27 09:00: 0.0100
2024-12-27 13:00: 0.0060
2024-12-27 17:00: 0.0050
2024-12-27 21:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.0050
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 17:00: 0.0055
2024-12-28 21:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 01:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 05:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 09:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 13:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 17:00: 0.0055
2024-12-29 21:00: 0.0055
2024-12-30 01:00: 0.0060
2024-12-30 05:00: 0.0060
2024-12-30 09:00: 0.0060
2024-12-30 13:00: 0.0050
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.0050
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.0050
2024-12-31 01:00: 0.0050
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.0050
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.0050
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.0050
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.0050
2024-12-31 21:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 217, Buy volume: 10706.98, Sell volume: 767.63, Average price: 0.9039, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.0050
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.0050
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.0050
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.0050
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 09:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.0055
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 17:00: 0.0055
2025-01-03 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 05:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 09:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 13:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.0055
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.0055
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.0055
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.0055
2025-01-05 13:00: 0.0055
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.0055
2025-01-05 21:00: 0.0075
2025-01-06 01:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1107.06, Sell volume: 280.67, Average price: 0.7249, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2025-01-06 09:00: 0.0075
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.0080
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.0075
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 05:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.0075
2025-01-07 13:00: 0.0080
2025-01-07 17:00: 0.0085
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.0085
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.0085
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0080
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.0090
2025-01-08 13:00: 0.0085
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.0055
2025-01-08 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 09:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.0060
2025-01-09 21:00: 0.0060
2025-01-10 01:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 05:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 17:00: 0.0065
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-11 01:00: 0.0055
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 213.53, Sell volume: 391.48, Average price: 0.8786, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2025-01-11 13:00: 0.0055
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0055
2025-01-11 21:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 01:00: 0.0045
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.0090
2025-01-12 09:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.0070
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 05:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 13:00: 0.0070
2025-01-13 17:00: 0.0075
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.0045
2025-01-14 01:00: 0.0075
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0075
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.0075
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.0075
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.0075
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.0070
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0070
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.0065
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.0070
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0090
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.0090
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.0090
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.0085
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 21922.66, Sell volume: 6249.43, Average price: 0.7812, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 513165
Question: Will Roy Altman be appointed as the next Florida senator?
Volume: 384495.843476
Price History:
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0005
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.0005
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.0010
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 559, Buy volume: 199192.10, Sell volume: 34928.28, Average price: 0.7954, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-11-06 17:00: 0.4850
2024-11-06 19:00: 0.1100
2024-11-06 21:00: 0.1100
2024-11-06 23:00: 0.1100
2024-11-07 01:00: 0.1100
2024-11-07 03:00: 0.1100
2024-11-07 05:00: 0.0600
2024-11-07 07:00: 0.0600
2024-11-07 09:00: 0.0550
2024-11-07 11:00: 0.0550
2024-11-07 13:00: 0.0550
2024-11-07 15:00: 0.0500
2024-11-07 17:00: 0.0500
2024-11-07 19:00: 0.0500
2024-11-07 21:00: 0.0500
2024-11-07 23:00: 0.0550
2024-11-08 01:00: 0.0550
2024-11-08 03:00: 0.0500
2024-11-08 05:00: 0.0250
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.0250
2024-11-08 09:00: 0.0250
2024-11-08 11:00: 0.0250
2024-11-08 13:00: 0.0120
2024-11-08 15:00: 0.0130
2024-11-08 17:00: 0.0140
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.0125
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.0070
2024-11-08 23:00: 0.0080
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.0070
2024-11-09 03:00: 0.0070
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.0070
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.0125
2024-11-09 09:00: 0.0125
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.0125
2024-11-09 13:00: 0.0125
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0125
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.0065
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.0060
2024-11-09 21:00: 0.0060
2024-11-09 23:00: 0.0050
2024-11-10 01:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.0040
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.0035
2024-11-10 07:00: 0.0035
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.0035
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.0030
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.0025
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.0035
2024-11-10 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0260
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.0395
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.0235
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.0100
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.0070
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0055
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.0040
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0045
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0040
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0025
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.0020
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.0025
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.0025
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.0025
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 08:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 10:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 05:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 15:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.0005
2024-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0005
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-19 11:00: 0.0040
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.0065
2024-11-19 15:00: 0.0025
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-20 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 04:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-11-24 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-24 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.0015
2024-11-26 23:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-27 15:00: 0.0010
2024-11-27 17:00: 0.0010
2024-11-27 19:00: 0.0010
2024-11-27 21:00: 0.0010
2024-11-27 23:00: 0.0010
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.0010
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.0010
2024-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2024-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-11-29 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 08:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 02:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.0010
2024-11-30 06:00: 0.0010
2024-11-30 08:00: 0.0010
2024-11-30 10:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 12:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 18:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 20:00: 0.0015
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-01 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-01 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-01 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-01 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-01 14:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-01 22:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 00:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 02:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 08:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 18:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-02 22:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-12-03 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 13:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 19:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 21:00: 0.0005
2024-12-03 23:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 03:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 07:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 13:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 19:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 21:00: 0.0005
2024-12-04 23:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.0005
2024-12-05 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-06 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-06 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-06 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-06 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-06 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-06 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-06 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-06 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-06 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-06 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-12-07 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 10:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 12:00: 0.0010
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.0005
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-09 14:00: 0.0005
2024-12-09 16:00: 0.0005
2024-12-09 18:00: 0.0005
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-09 22:00: 0.0005
2024-12-10 00:00: 0.0005
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.0005
2024-12-10 04:00: 0.0005
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.0005
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.0005
2024-12-10 10:00: 0.0005
2024-12-10 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-10 14:00: 0.0005
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0005
2024-12-10 18:00: 0.0005
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-10 22:00: 0.0005
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.0005
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.0005
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.0005
2024-12-11 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 08:00: 0.0005
2024-12-11 10:00: 0.0005
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.0005
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0005
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.0005
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.0005
2024-12-11 20:00: 0.0005
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 00:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-12-12 09:00: 0.0005
2024-12-12 11:00: 0.0005
2024-12-12 13:00: 0.0005
2024-12-12 15:00: 0.0005
2024-12-12 17:00: 0.0005
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.0005
2024-12-12 21:00: 0.0010
2024-12-12 23:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 03:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-13 07:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 09:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 19:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 21:00: 0.0010
2024-12-13 23:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 01:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 03:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 05:00: 0.0005
2024-12-14 07:00: 0.0005
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 11:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 15:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-12-16 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.0025
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 08:00: 0.0025
2024-12-17 10:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.0020
2024-12-18 02:00: 0.0020
2024-12-18 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-18 06:00: 0.0030
2024-12-18 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-18 10:00: 0.0025
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.0045
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.0030
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.0025
2024-12-18 18:00: 0.0025
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.0025
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.0030
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-19 02:00: 0.0030
2024-12-19 04:00: 0.0030
2024-12-19 06:00: 0.0030
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0025
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.0030
2024-12-19 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.0025
2024-12-19 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.0030
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-19 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-20 00:00: 0.0025
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0025
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.0025
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0025
2024-12-20 10:00: 0.0025
2024-12-20 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.0025
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 18:00: 0.0025
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-21 09:00: 0.0025
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.0025
2024-12-21 13:00: 0.0030
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.0030
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.0030
2024-12-21 19:00: 0.0030
2024-12-21 21:00: 0.0030
2024-12-21 23:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 05:00: 0.0025
2024-12-22 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 09:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 15:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 17:00: 0.0025
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.0030
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.0025
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0025
2024-12-23 03:00: 0.0025
2024-12-23 05:00: 0.0025
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.0025
2024-12-23 11:00: 0.0025
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0030
2024-12-23 15:00: 0.0030
2024-12-23 17:00: 0.0030
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.0025
2024-12-23 21:00: 0.0025
2024-12-23 23:00: 0.0035
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 03:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 05:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 17:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.0025
2024-12-24 21:00: 0.0030
2024-12-24 23:00: 0.0025
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.0025
2024-12-25 03:00: 0.0030
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.0025
2024-12-25 07:00: 0.0025
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.0030
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.0030
2024-12-25 22:00: 0.0030
2024-12-26 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-26 02:00: 0.0030
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 06:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.0030
2024-12-26 10:00: 0.0030
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.0020
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 18:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 20:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0025
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.0030
2024-12-27 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.0025
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0040
2024-12-27 14:00: 0.0030
2024-12-27 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 18:00: 0.0025
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0030
2024-12-28 02:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 04:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.0035
2024-12-28 10:00: 0.0035
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0030
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.0030
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0030
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.0025
2024-12-28 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-28 22:00: 0.0030
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 20:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999926, Buy volume: 92599786.02, Sell volume: 309216.87, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-12-30 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.0025
2024-12-30 23:00: 0.0025
2024-12-31 01:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 07:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 11:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 15:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 21:00: 0.0030
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 01:00: 0.0030
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 09:00: 0.0030
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 13:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-01-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 07:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 22650.36, Sell volume: 13761.20, Average price: 0.6889, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-11-06 17:00: 0.4850
2024-11-06 20:00: 0.8900
2024-11-07 00:00: 0.1100
2024-11-07 03:00: 0.8900
2024-11-07 07:00: 0.0600
2024-11-07 10:00: 0.9450
2024-11-07 14:00: 0.0500
2024-11-07 17:00: 0.9500
2024-11-07 21:00: 0.0500
2024-11-08 00:00: 0.9450
2024-11-08 04:00: 0.0500
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.9750
2024-11-08 11:00: 0.0250
2024-11-08 14:00: 0.9880
2024-11-08 18:00: 0.0120
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.9930
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.0070
2024-11-09 04:00: 0.9930
2024-11-09 08:00: 0.0125
2024-11-09 11:00: 0.9875
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0125
2024-11-09 18:00: 0.9915
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.0055
2024-11-10 01:00: 0.9960
2024-11-10 05:00: 0.0035
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.9960
2024-11-10 12:00: 0.0035
2024-11-10 15:00: 0.9965
2024-11-10 19:00: 0.0015
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512218
Question: Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3216833.301365
Price History:
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.0005
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.9990
2024-11-11 11:00: 0.0080
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.9605
2024-11-11 18:00: 0.0100
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.9940
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.0050
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.9955
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0035
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.9975
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.0020
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.9975
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.9980
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0025
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.9975
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 05:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 12:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0005
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-14 23:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.9995
2024-11-15 06:00: 0.0005
2024-11-15 09:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 92622436.38, Sell volume: 322978.07, Average price: 0.9973, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes