Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.4650
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.7300
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.2800
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.7200
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.3000
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.7000
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.4500
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.5500
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.4500
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.5500
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.4050
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.5950
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.4050
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.4900
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.5150
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.4850
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.4850
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.7100
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.4650
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.4950
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.4950
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.5050
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.4950
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.5050
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.4950
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.4750
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.5250
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.4700
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.5600
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.4400
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.5850
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.4150
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.5850
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.5850
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.4150
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.6000
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.3650
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.6350
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.5300
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.6350
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.3650
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.6250
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.3100
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.6400
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.3600
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.6250
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.3600
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.6600
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.3400
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 391.13, Sell volume: 62.00, Average price: 0.5771, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.3500
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.6700
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.3300
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.6700
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.3250
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.6750
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.3250
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.6750
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.3250
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.6750
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.6750
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.6750
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.6750
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.6750
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.6750
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.6750
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.3200
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.6950
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.3050
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.6950
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.3050
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.6950
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.3050
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.6950
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.3000
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.7000
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.3000
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.6950
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.3050
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.6950
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.3050
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.6900
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.3100
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.6950
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.3100
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.6950
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.3050
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.6950
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.3050
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.7150
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.2800
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.7200
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.3000
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 82.63, Sell volume: 207.79, Average price: 0.3318, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2100
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.7650
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.2350
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.7850
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.2150
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.7850
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2150
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.7850
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.2150
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.7850
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.2200
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.7800
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.2200
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.7800
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.7800
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.7800
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.7800
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.7800
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.7800
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.7800
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.7800
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.7800
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2200
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.7850
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.2200
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.7850
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.2200
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.7800
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.2200
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.7800
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.2200
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.7800
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.2100
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.7400
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.2450
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.7400
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.2600
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.7400
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.2650
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.7350
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.2700
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 230.90, Sell volume: 44.73, Average price: 0.5706, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2400
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.7550
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.1500
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.8500
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.1500
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.8500
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.1450
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.8550
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.1450
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.8550
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.1450
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.8600
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.1350
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.8650
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.1350
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.8650
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.1250
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.1100
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.8850
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.8850
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.1050
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.8950
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.1000
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.8550
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.1250
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.8750
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.1250
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.8750
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.8800
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.8800
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.8850
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 84.85, Average price: 0.5632, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.1250
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.8750
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.1250
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.8750
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.1200
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.8750
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.1250
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.8800
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.1200
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.8750
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9000
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0850
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9550
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0450
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.8800
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.9200
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0800
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.9200
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.9650
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0510
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.9485
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0565
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.9420
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0560
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.9440
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0555
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9440
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0530
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.9540
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0470
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.9585
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0405
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.9580
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0420
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.9585
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0415
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.9580
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0415
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.9585
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0410
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.9585
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0415
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9595
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0415
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9590
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0415
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.9585
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 67.40, Sell volume: 138.26, Average price: 0.5609, Price range: 0.0533 - 0.9520

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0475
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.9525
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.0475
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.9525
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0475
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.9525
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0475
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.9525
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0475
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.9525
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0480
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.9520
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.0480
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.9520
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.0480
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.9520
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0480
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.9520
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0480
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.9520
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0480
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9520
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.0480
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.9520
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.9520
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9520
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.9520
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.9520
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.9520
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.9520
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.9520
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.9520
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0480
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9520
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0480
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9520
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.0480
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.9520
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0480
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.9520
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0480
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.9520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.9510, Price range: 0.9510 - 0.9510

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9520
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0480
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9520
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.0480
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9520
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.0480
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9520
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0480
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0480
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0480
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9520
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.9520
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9520
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.9520
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0480
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9520
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.0480
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.9520
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9520
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9520
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.0480
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9520
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9515
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9515
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0485
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0485
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0485
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9515
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9515
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9515
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9515
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0485
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.9515
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9515
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9180
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.9180
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0820
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.9180
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9180
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9180
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0820
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0820
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0820
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0820
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9180
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0820
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0820
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.0820
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0820
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.9180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 144.08, Sell volume: 4.00, Average price: 0.5027, Price range: 0.0544 - 0.9510

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0825
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.0825
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9180
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0820
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9175
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0825
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9175
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.0820
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9180
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0815
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9180
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0820
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9180
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0815
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.0815
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.0815
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9180
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.0815
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0815
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.0815
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0815
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.9185
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0815
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9185
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9185
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9185
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0815
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9185
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0815
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0815
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0815
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9185
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0815
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9185
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9185
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0815
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9185
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.9185
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9185
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0815
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9185
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.0815
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9185
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.0815
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.9185
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.9185
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9185
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0815
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0815
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.0815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 9929.07, Sell volume: 1228.20, Average price: 0.6199, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.0965
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.0965
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0965
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.9035
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9035
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9035
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9035
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9035
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0970
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9030
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0970
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9030
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0950
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.9045
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9180
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.9170
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0825
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0825
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9170
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.0825
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0830
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9175
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.0825
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0825
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9175
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9175
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.0810
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0815
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0815
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.9190
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.9190
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.9190
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9190
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9190
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0810
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0810
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0810
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.0810
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0810
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0810
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9190
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0810
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.9190
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.9190
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9190
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0810
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0810
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0810
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0810
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.0810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0810, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.1150

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0810
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9190
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9190
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.0810
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0810
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9190
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9190
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.0810
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0810
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0810
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9190
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9190
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9190
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.0810
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9190
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.0810
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9190
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0810
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.9190
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.0815
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9185
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.0815
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9185
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0815
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9190
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.9190
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0810
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.9190
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0810
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0810
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0810
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9190
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0810
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0810
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0810
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.9190
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9190
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.0810
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0810
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9190
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9190
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.9190
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9190
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.9190
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0810
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9190
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0810
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9190
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0810
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 9929.07, Sell volume: 1228.20, Average price: 0.6199, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.9180
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.9180
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0820
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9180
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0820
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.0820
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0820
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9180
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0820
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9180
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9180
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0820
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.9180
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0820
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0820
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0820
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0820
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9180
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.0820
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.9180
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0820
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.0820
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.0820
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.9175
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0825
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9175
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0825
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.9175
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.9175
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9175
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0825
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0825
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.0825
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0825
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9175
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.9175
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.0825
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9175
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9175
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9175
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0825
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.9175
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.0825
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9175
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.0825
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0825
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.0825
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0825
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.9175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 9929.07, Sell volume: 1228.20, Average price: 0.6199, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.0825
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9175
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.0825
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.9175
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.0825
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9175
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.0825
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9175
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.9175
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.0825
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9175
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9175
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0825
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.0825
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0825
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9175
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9175
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0825
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9180
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.0820
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0825
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9175
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0825
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9175
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0825
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.9175
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9180
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9175
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0825
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9175
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0825
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9175
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9175
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0825
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0825
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0825
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0825
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0825
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0820
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.0820
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0815
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0820
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0820
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9025
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0975
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0975
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9025
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0975
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0975
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0975
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9025
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0975
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0975
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0975
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0975
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9025
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9025
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9025
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9025
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0975
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.9025
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0975
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0975
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0975
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9025
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.9025
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9025
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.9025
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9025
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9025
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9025
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9025
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9025
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9025
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9025
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9025
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0975
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9025
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0975
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9025
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0825
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0810
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9280
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0060
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0060
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0060
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 8927.92, Sell volume: 674.57, Average price: 0.7523, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.4650
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.2800
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.3000
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.4500
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.4500
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.4050
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.4050
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.5150
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.4850
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.4650
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.4950
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.4950
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.4950
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.5250
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.5600
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.5850
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.5850
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.4150
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.3650
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.5300
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.3650
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.3100
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.3600
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.3600
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.3400
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.3450
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.3450
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.3500
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.3500
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 391.13, Sell volume: 62.00, Average price: 0.5771, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.3500
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.3300
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.3250
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.3250
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.3250
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.3200
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.3050
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.3050
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.3050
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.3000
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.3000
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.3050
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.3050
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.3100
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.3100
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.3050
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.3050
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.2800
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.3000
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.2750
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.2800
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.1900
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2100
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 82.63, Sell volume: 207.79, Average price: 0.3318, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2100
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.2350
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.2150
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2150
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.2150
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.2200
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.2200
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2200
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2200
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.2200
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.2200
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.2200
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.2200
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.2100
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.2450
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.2600
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.2650
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.2700
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.2700
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.2650
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2450
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 230.90, Sell volume: 44.73, Average price: 0.5706, Price range: 0.1900 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2400
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.1500
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.1500
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.1450
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.1450
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.1450
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.1350
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.1350
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.1250
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.1100
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.1150
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.1050
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.1000
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.1250
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.1250
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.1200
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.1200
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.1250
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.1250
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.1250
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.1250
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 84.85, Average price: 0.5632, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.1250
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.1250
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.1200
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.1250
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.1200
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0950
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0850
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0450
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0800
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0800
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0800
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0510
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0565
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0560
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0555
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0530
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0470
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0405
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0420
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0415
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0415
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0410
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0415
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0415
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0415
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0415
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0455
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0475
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0480
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 67.40, Sell volume: 138.26, Average price: 0.5609, Price range: 0.0533 - 0.9520
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0475
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.0475
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.0475
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0475
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0475
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0480
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.0480
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.0480
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0480
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0480
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0480
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0480
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0480
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0480
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0480
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.0480
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0480
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0480
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.0480
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9520
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.9520
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.0480
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.00, Average price: 0.9510, Price range: 0.9510 - 0.9510
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9520
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9520
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9520
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9520
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0480
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9520
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9520
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0480
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.0480
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9520
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.0480
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9515
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0485
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0485
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.9515
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9515
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.9515
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.9180
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0820
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.9180
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.0820
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0820
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.9180
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.0820
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0820
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.9180
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9180
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9180
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9175
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 144.08, Sell volume: 4.00, Average price: 0.5027, Price range: 0.0544 - 0.9510
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0825
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9180
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9175
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9175
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9180
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9180
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9180
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.0815
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9180
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0815
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0815
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0815
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9185
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0815
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.0815
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.0815
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0815
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9185
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9185
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9185
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9185
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9185
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.9185
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9185
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0815
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.0815
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0815
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.0815
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9180
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 9929.07, Sell volume: 1228.20, Average price: 0.6199, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.0965
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.0965
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9035
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9035
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0970
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0970
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.0950
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.9180
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.0825
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9170
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0830
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.0825
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.9175
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.0810
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0815
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.9190
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9190
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0810
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0810
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.0810
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9190
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.9190
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9190
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.0810
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0810
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.0810
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.0810
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.9190
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.9190
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0810, Price range: 0.0470 - 0.1150
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0810
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.9190
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0810
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9190
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0810
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9190
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.9190
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9190
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.9190
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.9190
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9185
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.9185
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.9190
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0810
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0810
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0810
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0810
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0810
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9190
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0810
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9190
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.9190
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0810
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0810
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0810
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0810
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0810
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9185
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9185
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.9185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 9929.07, Sell volume: 1228.20, Average price: 0.6199, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.9180
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0820
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0820
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0820
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.0820
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9180
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0820
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0820
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9180
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.9180
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.0820
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.9175
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9175
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.9175
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9175
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.0825
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0825
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.9175
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9175
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9175
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.9175
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9175
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.0825
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.0825
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.9175
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.9175
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.0825
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9175
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 9929.07, Sell volume: 1228.20, Average price: 0.6199, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.0825
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.0825
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.0825
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.0825
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.9175
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9175
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.0825
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0825
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9175
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9180
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.0825
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0825
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0825
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.9180
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0825
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.0825
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9175
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0825
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.0825
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0820
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0815
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.0820
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0975
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.9025
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.0975
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0975
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.9025
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.9025
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0975
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9500, Price range: 0.9500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563380
Question: Will Chioma Nnadi be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 11157.265711
Price History:
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0975
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0975
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0975
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9025
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9025
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0975
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.0975
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0975
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0975
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9025
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9025
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9025
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9025
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.9025
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0810
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0060
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0060
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9970
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0035
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 8927.92, Sell volume: 674.57, Average price: 0.7523, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.7500
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9450
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0550
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9445
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0555
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9445
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0555
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9445
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0555
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9445
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0555
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9445
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0555
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9445
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0555
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 150, Buy volume: 16139.00, Sell volume: 3860.60, Average price: 0.2640, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 150, Buy volume: 16139.00, Sell volume: 3860.60, Average price: 0.2640, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9445
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0555
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9445
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0555
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9445
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0555
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 150, Buy volume: 16139.00, Sell volume: 3860.60, Average price: 0.2640, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9445
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0555
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9445
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0555
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9445
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0555
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9445
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0555
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 150, Buy volume: 16139.00, Sell volume: 3860.60, Average price: 0.2640, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0300
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0300
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0300
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0300
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0300
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9695
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0305
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 150, Buy volume: 16139.00, Sell volume: 3860.60, Average price: 0.2640, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 150, Buy volume: 16139.00, Sell volume: 3860.60, Average price: 0.2640, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 150, Buy volume: 16139.00, Sell volume: 3860.60, Average price: 0.2640, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1952.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 69.68, Sell volume: 107.13, Average price: 0.5998, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9605
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0395
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9610
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 1452.53, Sell volume: 126.70, Average price: 0.1022, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9675
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0325
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9790
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0210
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.9000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.1000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.9060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 12586.42, Sell volume: 3592.48, Average price: 0.7646, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.7500
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.2500
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9450
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0550
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9450
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0550
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9445
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0555
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9445
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0555
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9445
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0555
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9445
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0555
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9445
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0555
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9445
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0555
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 150, Buy volume: 16139.00, Sell volume: 3860.60, Average price: 0.2640, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 150, Buy volume: 16139.00, Sell volume: 3860.60, Average price: 0.2640, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9445
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0555
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9445
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0555
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9445
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0555
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 150, Buy volume: 16139.00, Sell volume: 3860.60, Average price: 0.2640, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9445
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0555
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9445
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0555
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9445
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0555
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9445
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0555
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 150, Buy volume: 16139.00, Sell volume: 3860.60, Average price: 0.2640, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9700
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0300
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0300
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0300
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0300
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9700
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0300
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9695
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0305
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 150, Buy volume: 16139.00, Sell volume: 3860.60, Average price: 0.2640, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 150, Buy volume: 16139.00, Sell volume: 3860.60, Average price: 0.2640, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 150, Buy volume: 16139.00, Sell volume: 3860.60, Average price: 0.2640, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1952.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 69.68, Sell volume: 107.13, Average price: 0.5998, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9605
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0395
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9610
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 1452.53, Sell volume: 126.70, Average price: 0.1022, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700302
Question: Will Jack Doohan win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 19999.602016
Price History:
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9675
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0325
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9790
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0210
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9955
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.9955
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.9000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.1000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.9060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 12586.42, Sell volume: 3592.48, Average price: 0.7646, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.4500
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.7500
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.7550
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.7550
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.7550
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.7550
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.7550
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 09:00: 0.9940
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0065
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.9915
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0130
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.9825
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0185
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.9870
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0100
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9900
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9900
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9900
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0095
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9895
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9900
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9885
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0120
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9880
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0105
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9895
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0110
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9900
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9900
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1786.99, Sell volume: 1796.54, Average price: 0.3494, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0130
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.9870
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0130
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.9870
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0130
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.9870
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0130
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9870
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0130
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9870
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0130
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9870
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0130
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9870
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0130
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9870
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0130
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9870
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0130
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9870
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0130
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9870
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0130
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.9870
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0155
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.9845
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0155
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.9845
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.9845
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9845
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0155
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.9845
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0155
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9845
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0155
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.9845
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0155
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.9845
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0155
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9845
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.9845
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.9845
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.9845
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0160, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.0160

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.9845
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.9845
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.0155
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9845
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0155
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.9845
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0155
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.9845
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0155
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.9845
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0155
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.9845
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.9845
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.9845
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9845
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.9845
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.9845
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.9845
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9845
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.9845
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.9845
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.9845
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.9845
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9845
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.9845
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.9845
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.9845
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.9845
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9845
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.03, Average price: 0.0150, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.0150

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.9845
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.9845
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.9845
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9845
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9845
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.9845
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.9845
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.9845
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.9845
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.0155
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9845
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0155
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.9845
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0155
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.9845
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0155
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9845
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0155
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.9845
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0155
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.9855
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0150
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9855
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0145
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.9855
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0145
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.9850
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0150
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.9850
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0145
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.9855
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0145
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9850
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.0150
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9850
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0150
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.9850
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0150
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.9850
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0150
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 112.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3387, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0150
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.9850
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0150
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.9850
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0150
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.9850
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0150
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.9850
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0150
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.9850
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0150
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.9850
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0150
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9850
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0150
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.9850
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0150
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.9850
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0150
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.9850
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0150
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.9865
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0140
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.9860
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0150
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.9850
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0150
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.9850
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0150
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.9850
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0150
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.9850
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0150
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.9850
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0150
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.9850
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0150
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.9850
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0150
2025-08-02 03:00: 0.9850
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0150
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.9850
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0150
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.9850
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0150
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9850
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0150
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9850
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0150
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 123.25, Sell volume: 12.60, Average price: 0.5549, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0160
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.9840
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.1190
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.8850
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0665
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.9335
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0665
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.9335
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0665
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.9335
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.0665
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.9335
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.0665
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.9330
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0670
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.9345
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0665
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.9345
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0660
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9345
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.0660
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.9335
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0660
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.9340
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0660
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9340
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0660
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.9340
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0690
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.9300
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0740
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.9300
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0715
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.9305
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0690
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.9310
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0705
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.9290
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0705
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9295
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0725
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9275
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.0735
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.9270
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0730
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.9270
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0720
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.9275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1009.87, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.7171, Price range: 0.0251 - 0.9050

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9270
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.9270
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9265
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9265
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0740
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9260
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0740
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.0740
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0735
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.9260
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9260
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0740
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9260
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0745
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0745
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9265
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.0690
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.9310
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9315
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9315
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.0690
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9310
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9325
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9325
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0675
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0650
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0650
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9320
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0660
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9325
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9330
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.9330
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.0670
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.0680
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0675
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0675
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.9320
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0650
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0650
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0660
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.9350
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9350
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.9350
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.9340
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0680
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.9325
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.9325
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.0675
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9320
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.0680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 10359.59, Sell volume: 2851.66, Average price: 0.5976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9330
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9320
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9325
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.0665
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9320
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.0665
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9330
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.9340
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9330
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0675
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9320
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0665
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9325
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9340
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.9325
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.9335
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0680
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9330
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0675
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9320
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0675
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.9335
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0680
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.9320
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0680
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0675
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9320
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.0680
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9350
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0670
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9325
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.0670
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0680
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.9320
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9350
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9350
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0635
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9365
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.9365
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9365
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.0635
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.0635
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9340
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.0635
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9365
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 10359.59, Sell volume: 2851.66, Average price: 0.5976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9315
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.0685
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9315
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0685
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9315
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9315
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0685
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9315
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0690
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.9310
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0685
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0690
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.9335
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0680
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0695
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.0705
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9300
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0700
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0705
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.9300
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9295
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0700
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.0700
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.9300
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0700
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9300
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.9320
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9325
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.9325
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0660
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.0635
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.0635
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0615
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9385
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0630
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.9380
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9380
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.9375
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.9375
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0650
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9360
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0625
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.9375
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.0655
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9355
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0635
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9365
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0635
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9375
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.0625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 10359.59, Sell volume: 2851.66, Average price: 0.5976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0640
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.9355
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0645
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.9355
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0645
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0645
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0645
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.9370
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0635
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.9365
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0635
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9370
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0635
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.9365
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0635
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9365
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0635
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.9365
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0635
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.9355
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0645
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.9355
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0645
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9355
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.0645
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.0645
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0645
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0645
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0635
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.0635
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9365
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.0635
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0635
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.0620
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0635
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.0630
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0620
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9380
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.9380
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9375
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0620
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.0620
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0620
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.0620
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9370
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.0620
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0625
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9375
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0625
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 10359.59, Sell volume: 2851.66, Average price: 0.5976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.0630
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.9370
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9370
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9370
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0630
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.9370
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0630
2025-08-22 21:00: 0.9370
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9370
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.9370
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0630
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9370
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9370
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.9370
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0630
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0630
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0630
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.9370
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9370
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.0515
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.9485
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0515
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.9485
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.0515
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0515
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9485
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9485
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.0510
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.9490
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.9490
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9490
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.0510
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9490
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.0510
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9490
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9490
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.9490
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.9490
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9490
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.0510
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0510
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.9490
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.9490
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.0510
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9490
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.0510
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9490
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.9490
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9490
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.0510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 45.50, Sell volume: 166.50, Average price: 0.5007, Price range: 0.0417 - 0.9608

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9570
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9570
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9575
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0405
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.9600
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.0400
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.9600
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0395
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.9605
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.0400
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9615
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0385
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9615
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9620
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0380
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.0385
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9620
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0385
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9625
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.0375
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.9620
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0380
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0380
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9615
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0385
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.9620
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0380
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.9615
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0385
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.0380
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9615
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.9615
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9615
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0385
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0375
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0370
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9625
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0370
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0370
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9625
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9630
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9635
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9635
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9635
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0365
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.9635
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0360
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.9635
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9640
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9720, Price range: 0.9720 - 0.9720

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0375
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9625
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0375
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.9625
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9625
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0370
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9630
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0375
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9625
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.0370
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9630
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0375
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9625
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9635
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0365
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9635
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.0370
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9640
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9645
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0355
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.0360
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0360
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0355
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9640
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9640
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9640
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.9645
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9645
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0360
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0360
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0360
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0360
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.0360
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9640
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0355
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9640
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.0360
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0360
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.0355
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0320
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9685
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 7201.49, Sell volume: 864.99, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.4500
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0065
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0130
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.0185
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0100
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0100
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0095
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0115
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0120
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0105
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0110
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0100
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0110
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0130
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0130
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1786.99, Sell volume: 1796.54, Average price: 0.3494, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0130
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.0130
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0130
2025-07-19 18:00: 0.0130
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0130
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0130
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0130
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0130
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0130
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0130
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0130
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0130
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0155
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0155
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0155
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0155
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0155
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0155
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0155
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0155
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0160, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.0160
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.0155
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0155
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0155
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.0155
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.0155
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.03, Average price: 0.0150, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.0150
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0155
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0155
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.0155
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0155
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0155
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0155
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0155
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0155
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.0150
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0145
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0145
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0150
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0145
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0145
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.0150
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0150
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0150
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0150
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0150
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0150
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0150
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0150
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 112.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3387, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.0150
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0150
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.0150
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0150
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.0150
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0150
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0150
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0150
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.0150
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.0150
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.0150
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0140
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0150
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.0150
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.0150
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0150
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.0150
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0150
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.0150
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0150
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.0150
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.0150
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.0150
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0150
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.0150
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.0150
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0155
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0155
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0160
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 123.25, Sell volume: 12.60, Average price: 0.5549, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.0160
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.1190
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0665
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.0665
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0665
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.0665
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.0665
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.0670
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.0665
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0660
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.0660
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0660
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.0660
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.0660
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.0690
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0740
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0715
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.0690
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0705
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.0705
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.0725
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.0735
2025-08-06 09:00: 0.0730
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0720
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.0725
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.0725
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.0725
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.9275
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.9275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1009.87, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.7171, Price range: 0.0251 - 0.9050
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.9270
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9265
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.0740
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0740
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0735
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.9260
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9260
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.0745
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.0690
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.9315
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.0690
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9325
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0675
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.0650
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0660
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.9330
2025-08-09 07:00: 0.0670
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0675
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.9320
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0650
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.9350
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.9350
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0680
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.9325
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9320
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0675
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0665
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9340
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.9320
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.0680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 10359.59, Sell volume: 2851.66, Average price: 0.5976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9330
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9325
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9320
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9330
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9330
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9320
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.9325
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.9325
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0680
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.0675
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0675
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0680
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0680
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9320
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9350
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.9325
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0680
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9350
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.9350
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9365
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9365
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0650
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9340
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9365
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9365
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0635
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.0635
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0675
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.0685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 10359.59, Sell volume: 2851.66, Average price: 0.5976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9315
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.9315
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.9315
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0685
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.0690
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0685
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.9335
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0695
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.9300
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0705
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9295
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.0700
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0700
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.9320
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.9325
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.0635
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.0615
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0630
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9380
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.9375
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.9360
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.9375
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.9355
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9365
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9375
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9370
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9370
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.0630
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0630
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.9370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 10359.59, Sell volume: 2851.66, Average price: 0.5976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0640
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0645
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0645
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0645
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0635
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0635
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0635
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0635
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0635
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0635
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0645
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0645
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.0645
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0645
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.0635
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9365
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0635
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0635
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0620
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.9380
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0620
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.0620
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9370
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0625
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0625
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0620
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9380
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.0620
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9380
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.0625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 110, Buy volume: 10359.59, Sell volume: 2851.66, Average price: 0.5976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.0630
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9370
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0630
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0630
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.9370
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0630
2025-08-23 05:00: 0.9370
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0630
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0630
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9370
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.9485
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.9485
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0515
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9485
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.9490
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.9490
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.9490
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9490
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.9490
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.9490
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0510
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.9490
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.9490
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9490
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.9490
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.0510
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.9490
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.9490
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9505
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 45.50, Sell volume: 166.50, Average price: 0.5007, Price range: 0.0417 - 0.9608
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9570
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9575
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.9600
2025-08-26 14:00: 0.9600
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.9605
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.9615
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.9615
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0380
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9620
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.9625
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.9620
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.0380
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.0385
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.0380
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.0385
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9615
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9615
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.0375
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9625
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.0370
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.9630
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9635
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0365
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.0360
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.9640
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.0365
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.0380
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.0375
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0380
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9720, Price range: 0.9720 - 0.9720
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 563382
Question: Will Chloe Schama be named the next editor-in-chief of Vogue?
Volume: 13211.252311
Price History:
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0375
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0375
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.9625
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.9630
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9625
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9630
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9625
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.0365
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9630
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9635
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.9640
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.0355
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0360
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.9640
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9640
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9645
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.0360
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0360
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.9640
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9640
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0360
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0320
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.0030
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 7201.49, Sell volume: 864.99, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700303
Question: Will Pierre Gasly win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7602.71
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.9250
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9250
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0750
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9245
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0755
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9245
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0755
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9245
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0755
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9245
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0755
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9245
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0755
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9245
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0755
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 7501.82, Sell volume: 100.89, Average price: 0.7415, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700303
Question: Will Pierre Gasly win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7602.71
Price History:
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0255
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9745
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 7501.82, Sell volume: 100.89, Average price: 0.7415, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700303
Question: Will Pierre Gasly win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7602.71
Price History:
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9745
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9245
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0755
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9245
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0755
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9245
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0755
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 7501.82, Sell volume: 100.89, Average price: 0.7415, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700303
Question: Will Pierre Gasly win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7602.71
Price History:
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9695
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0305
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9245
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0755
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9245
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0755
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9260
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0740
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9260
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0740
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9260
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0740
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9285
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0715
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9290
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 7501.82, Sell volume: 100.89, Average price: 0.7415, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700303
Question: Will Pierre Gasly win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7602.71
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9290
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0710
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9290
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0710
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9290
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0710
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9310
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0690
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9380
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0620
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9420
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0580
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 7501.82, Sell volume: 100.89, Average price: 0.7415, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No