Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9690
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9770
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0230
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9860
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0140
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9860
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0140
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9865
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0135
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9865
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0135
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9865
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0135
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9890
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 404.89, Sell volume: 385.47, Average price: 0.6354, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9917

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0110
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9890
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0135
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9865
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9865
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0135
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0145
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9855
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0145
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9855
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0150
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9845
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0155
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1182.13, Sell volume: 3.33, Average price: 0.1906, Price range: 0.0195 - 0.9770

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0785
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0740
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9260
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9260
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0740
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0755
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9245
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0595
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9405
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9410
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0590
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9110
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0890
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9015
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2605.88, Sell volume: 80.51, Average price: 0.3208, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.1665
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.8335
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.8675
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.1325
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.1135
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.8865
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.8895
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.1105
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0555
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9445
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.8810
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.1190
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9415
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0585
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1049.44, Sell volume: 1932.10, Average price: 0.3946, Price range: 0.0163 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9535
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9580
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0420
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0435
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9565
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9530
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0470
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9495
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0505
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9330
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0670
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9710
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0290
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9730
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 172.91, Sell volume: 625.49, Average price: 0.6737, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0275
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9725
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0275
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9725
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9715
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0285
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9725
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0275
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0275
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9725
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0225
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9775
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9550
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 770.64, Sell volume: 52.48, Average price: 0.7141, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9770

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9470
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0335
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9665
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0290
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9710
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9700
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9645
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0355
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0370
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9630
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0630
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9370
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0605
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 634.72, Sell volume: 611.74, Average price: 0.6140, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9130
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0870
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0620
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9380
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0805
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9195
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0795
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9205
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0785
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9215
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9170
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0830
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0795
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9205
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 375.47, Sell volume: 156.07, Average price: 0.1912, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.8330

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0845
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9190
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0810
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1270
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.8730
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0955
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9045
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.7700
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.2300
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8000
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1854.94, Sell volume: 510.72, Average price: 0.5635, Price range: 0.0510 - 0.9390

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.1510
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8490
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.1580
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.8420
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.1200
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8800
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.1330
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.8670
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.8415
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.1585
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2195
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.7805
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 6948.84, Sell volume: 1056.35, Average price: 0.5907, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4450
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5550
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.7950
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.2050
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 437.57, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.9428, Price range: 0.1355 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0600
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9400
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 64.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7958, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0450
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9550
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0400
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9600
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0350
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9650
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0350
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9650
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9545
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0455
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0380
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9620
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0375
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9625
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1254.31, Sell volume: 566.64, Average price: 0.6315, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9690
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9770
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0230
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9860
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0140
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9860
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0140
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9865
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0135
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9865
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0135
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9865
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0135
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9890
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 404.89, Sell volume: 385.47, Average price: 0.6354, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9917
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0110
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9890
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0135
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9865
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9865
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0135
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0145
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9855
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0145
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9855
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0150
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9845
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0155
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1182.13, Sell volume: 3.33, Average price: 0.1906, Price range: 0.0195 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0785
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0740
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9260
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9260
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0740
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0755
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9245
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0595
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9405
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9410
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0590
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9110
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0890
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9015
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2605.88, Sell volume: 80.51, Average price: 0.3208, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.1665
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.8335
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.8675
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.1325
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.1135
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.8865
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.8895
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.1105
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0555
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9445
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.8810
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.1190
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9415
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0585
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1049.44, Sell volume: 1932.10, Average price: 0.3946, Price range: 0.0163 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9535
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9580
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0420
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0435
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9565
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9530
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0470
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9495
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0505
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9330
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0670
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9710
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0290
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9730
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 172.91, Sell volume: 625.49, Average price: 0.6737, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0275
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9725
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0275
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9725
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9715
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0285
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9725
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0275
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0275
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9725
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0225
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9775
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9550
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 770.64, Sell volume: 52.48, Average price: 0.7141, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9470
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0335
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9665
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0290
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9710
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9700
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9645
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0355
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0370
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9630
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0630
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9370
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0605
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 634.72, Sell volume: 611.74, Average price: 0.6140, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9130
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0870
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0620
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9380
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0805
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9195
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0795
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9205
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0785
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9215
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9170
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0830
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0795
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9205
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 375.47, Sell volume: 156.07, Average price: 0.1912, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.8330
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0845
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9190
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0810
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1270
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.8730
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0955
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9045
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.7700
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.2300
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8000
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1854.94, Sell volume: 510.72, Average price: 0.5635, Price range: 0.0510 - 0.9390
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623537
Question: Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 272234.744592
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.1510
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8490
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.1580
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.8420
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.1200
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8800
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.1330
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.8670
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.8415
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.1585
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.2195
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.7805
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.8555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 6948.84, Sell volume: 1056.35, Average price: 0.5907, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4750
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5250
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.6300
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5450
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4550
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 9.94, Average price: 0.6333, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0295
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0295
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9730
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0270
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9785
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.91, Sell volume: 13.84, Average price: 0.8264, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9905

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 251.17, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 821.48, Sell volume: 474.17, Average price: 0.6778, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 291.24, Sell volume: 291.24, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1561.49, Sell volume: 1533.49, Average price: 0.7985, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1111.55, Sell volume: 890.12, Average price: 0.9266, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1427.54, Sell volume: 1264.46, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 622.59, Sell volume: 9.49, Average price: 0.8448, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0110
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0110
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9895
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0105
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9895
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0105
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 677.43, Sell volume: 141.41, Average price: 0.6207, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 247.68, Sell volume: 283.75, Average price: 0.5550, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 645.28, Sell volume: 55.96, Average price: 0.8380, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9880
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0120
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9880
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0120
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 3738.39, Sell volume: 1949.83, Average price: 0.6835, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4750
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5250
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.3700
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.6300
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5450
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4550
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.6800
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 9.94, Average price: 0.6333, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9695
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0305
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0300
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0295
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9705
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0295
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9730
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0270
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9785
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 43.91, Sell volume: 13.84, Average price: 0.8264, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9905
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9950
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0050
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0045
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 251.17, Sell volume: 52.04, Average price: 0.7075, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 821.48, Sell volume: 474.17, Average price: 0.6778, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 291.24, Sell volume: 291.24, Average price: 0.9975, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1561.49, Sell volume: 1533.49, Average price: 0.7985, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1111.55, Sell volume: 890.12, Average price: 0.9266, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1427.54, Sell volume: 1264.46, Average price: 0.8620, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 622.59, Sell volume: 9.49, Average price: 0.8448, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0110
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9890
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0110
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9895
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0105
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9895
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0105
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 677.43, Sell volume: 141.41, Average price: 0.6207, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0030
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 247.68, Sell volume: 283.75, Average price: 0.5550, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0025
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 645.28, Sell volume: 55.96, Average price: 0.8380, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623539
Question: Will Laurent Wauquiez be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 31553.852045
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9880
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0120
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0070
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9880
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0120
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 3738.39, Sell volume: 1949.83, Average price: 0.6835, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.8500
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.1500
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.8500
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.1500
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9000
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 227.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7681, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0205
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 118.90, Sell volume: 27.66, Average price: 0.7660, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0190
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9810
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0150
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9850
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0255
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9745
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0255
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9745
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0230
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9770
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0380
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9620
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 842.39, Sell volume: 192.83, Average price: 0.5936, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9645
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1093.59, Sell volume: 102.80, Average price: 0.6625, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 153.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0130, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.0130

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 46.79, Sell volume: 17.79, Average price: 0.6244, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.8760
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.1240
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9445
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0555
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0150
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2041.76, Sell volume: 67.19, Average price: 0.5295, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0150
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0150
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9845
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0155
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9825
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9825
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0165
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9835
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9480
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 393.84, Sell volume: 12.97, Average price: 0.7209, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9485
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0515
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9480
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0520
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9480
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0520
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1715.96, Sell volume: 2132.00, Average price: 0.6802, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9845
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0155
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9860
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0140
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0455
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9545
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9660
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0340
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9725
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1900.43, Sell volume: 101.87, Average price: 0.6906, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9795
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0205
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0165
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9835
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9840
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9835
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0165
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 158.96, Average price: 0.0117, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.0250

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9845
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0185
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9815
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9795
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0205
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0230
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9730
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0270
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0450
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9550
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9435
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 465.78, Sell volume: 501.49, Average price: 0.7853, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9495
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0505
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.8730
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.1270
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9820
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0180
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9880
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0120
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9755
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0245
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.8710
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.1290
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.1160
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.8840
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 1159.52, Sell volume: 237.20, Average price: 0.6628, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.8500
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.1500
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.8500
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.1500
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.8900
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.1100
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9000
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 227.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7681, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0205
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 118.90, Sell volume: 27.66, Average price: 0.7660, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0200
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9800
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0190
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9810
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0150
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9850
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0255
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9745
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0255
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9745
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0230
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9770
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0380
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9620
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 842.39, Sell volume: 192.83, Average price: 0.5936, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9645
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9925
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0075
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9945
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1093.59, Sell volume: 102.80, Average price: 0.6625, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9920
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 153.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0130, Price range: 0.0130 - 0.0130
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0080
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9920
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 46.79, Sell volume: 17.79, Average price: 0.6244, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9910
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0090
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.8760
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.1240
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9445
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0555
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0150
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 2041.76, Sell volume: 67.19, Average price: 0.5295, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0150
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9850
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0150
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9845
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0155
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9825
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9825
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0170
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0165
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9835
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9480
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0520
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 393.84, Sell volume: 12.97, Average price: 0.7209, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9485
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0515
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9480
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0520
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9480
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0520
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0070
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9930
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1715.96, Sell volume: 2132.00, Average price: 0.6802, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0035
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9845
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0155
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9860
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0140
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0120
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9880
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0455
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9545
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9660
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0340
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9725
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 1900.43, Sell volume: 101.87, Average price: 0.6906, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9795
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0205
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9865
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0135
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0165
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9835
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9840
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0160
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9835
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0165
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9875
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9875
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 40.00, Sell volume: 158.96, Average price: 0.0117, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.0250
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9845
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0185
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9815
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9795
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0205
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0230
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9770
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9730
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0270
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0450
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9550
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9435
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 465.78, Sell volume: 501.49, Average price: 0.7853, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 623541
Question: Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?
Volume: 16699.432979
Price History:
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9495
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0505
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.8730
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.1270
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9820
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0180
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9880
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0120
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9755
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0245
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.8710
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.1290
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.1160
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.8840
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 62, Buy volume: 1159.52, Sell volume: 237.20, Average price: 0.6628, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.3550
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.6450
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.5300
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.4700
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.5400
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.4600
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.5800
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.5800
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.4200
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.5550
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.4450
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.5550
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.4450
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.5950
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.5950
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.6150
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.3850
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.6250
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.3750
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.5950
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.5950
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.5450
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.4550
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.5650
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.4350
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.5650
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.4350
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.5750
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.4250
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.5750
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.4250
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.5950
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.5800
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.4200
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.5950
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.6500
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.3500
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.6500
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.3500
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.6050
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.3950
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.5600
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.5850
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.4150
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.5950
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.6100
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.3900
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.6050
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.6050
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.6000
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.4000
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.6000
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.4000
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.6150
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.3850
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.6200
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.3800
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.6200
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.3800
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.6200
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.3800
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.6200
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.3800
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.6250
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.3750
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.6200
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.3800
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.6200
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.3800
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.6200
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.3800
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.5350
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.4650
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.5750
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.4250
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.5750
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.4250
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.5800
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.4200
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.5800
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.4200
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.5750
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.4250
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.5100
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.4900
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.4800
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.5200
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.5350
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.4650
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.4900
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.5100
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.4700
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.5300
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.4750
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.5250
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.5050
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.4950
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.5050
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.4950
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.5150
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.4850
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.5700
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.4300
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.5700
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.4300
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.5750
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.4250
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.5650
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.4350
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.5800
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.4200
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.5800
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.4200
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.5800
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.4200
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.6000
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.4000
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.5900
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.4100
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.5900
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.4100
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.5900
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.4100
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.5950
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.4050
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.5950
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.4050
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.5650
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.5600
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.4250
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.5550
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.4450
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.5550
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.4450
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.5550
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.4450
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.5800
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.4200
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.5800
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.4200
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.5800
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.4200
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.5700
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.4300
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.5750
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.4250
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.5800
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.4200
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.5850
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.4150
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.5850
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.4150
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.5850
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.4150
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.5750
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.4250
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.5750
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.4250
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.5750
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.4250
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.5750
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.4250
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.5750
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.4250
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.5800
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.4200
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.5800
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.4200
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.5750
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.4250
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.5750
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.4250
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.5750
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.4250
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.5850
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.4150
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.5850
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.4150
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.6600
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.3400
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.6300
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.3700
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.6300
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.3700
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.6350
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.3650
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.6750
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.3250
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.6650
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.3350
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.6650
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.3350
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.6500
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.3500
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.6450
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.3550
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.6750
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.3250
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.6100
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.3900
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.6250
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.6250
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.3750
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.6650
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.3350
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.6650
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.3350
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.6650
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.3350
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.6650
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.3250
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.6700
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.3300
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.6750
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.3250
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.6550
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.3450
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.7200
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.2800
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.7000
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.3000
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.6700
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.3300
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.8850
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.1150
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.8950
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.1050
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9150
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9150
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.8750
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.1250
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9050
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9200
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0800
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9200
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.0800
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.9150
2025-02-04 02:00: 0.0850
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.9150
2025-02-04 03:00: 0.0850
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.9150
2025-02-04 04:00: 0.0850
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 05:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.9300
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0700
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.9250
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9745
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0255
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9720
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0280
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9735
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0265
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9735
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0265
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9735
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0265
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9740
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0260
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9740
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0260
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9740
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0260
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9735
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0265
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9760
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0240
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9765
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0235
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9770
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9770
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9775
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0225
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.9780
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.0220
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.9775
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0225
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.9775
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.0225
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.9780
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.0220
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.9785
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0215
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.9785
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.0215
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.9785
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.0215
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.9785
2025-02-05 12:00: 0.0215
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.9785
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.0215
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.9785
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0185
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9820
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0180
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9845
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0155
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9845
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0155
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9825
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0175
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9830
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0170
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9830
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0170
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9830
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0170
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9835
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0165
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.9830
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0170
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9830
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0170
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9830
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0170
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9825
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0175
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9825
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0175
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9825
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0175
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.9825
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.0175
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.9825
2025-02-06 09:00: 0.0175
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.9825
2025-02-06 10:00: 0.0175
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.9825
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0175
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.9825
2025-02-06 12:00: 0.0175
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9825
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.0175
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.9835
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.0165
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.9815
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.0185
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.9815
2025-02-06 16:00: 0.0185
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.9820
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0180
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9790
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0210
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9785
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0215
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9795
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0205
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9795
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0205
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9790
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0210
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9790
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0210
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9785
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0215
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9795
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0205
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.9795
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0205
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9795
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0205
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9800
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0200
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9830
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0170
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9830
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0170
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9820
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0180
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9825
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0175
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.9820
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.0180
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.9820
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0180
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.9820
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0180
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.9820
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.0180
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.9820
2025-02-07 16:00: 0.0180
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.9820
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.0180
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.9820
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.0180
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9815
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.0185
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.9830
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.0170
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.9830
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9830
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0170
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9830
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0170
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9830
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0170
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9830
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0170
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9810
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0190
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9830
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0170
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9835
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0165
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9840
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0160
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 16:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 17:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 19:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 20:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 23:00: 0.0175
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.9825
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.0175
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9825
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0175
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9825
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0175
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9845
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0155
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9845
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0155
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9845
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0155
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9845
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0155
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9830
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0170
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9885
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0115
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9880
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0120
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9875
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0125
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9875
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0125
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9865
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0135
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9865
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0135
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9865
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0135
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9865
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0135
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.9860
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.0140
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.9860
2025-02-09 20:00: 0.0140
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.9860
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.0140
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.9860
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.0140
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.9860
2025-02-09 23:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.9850
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0145
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9855
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0145
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9855
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0145
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9885
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0115
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9885
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0115
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9870
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0130
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9870
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0130
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9880
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0120
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9920
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0080
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9940
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0060
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9950
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0050
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9945
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.0055
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.9940
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 00:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 01:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.9940
2025-02-11 03:00: 0.0060
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.9935
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.0065
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 06:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9975
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9980
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9980
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.9980
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.9980
2025-02-12 03:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9980
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9980
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.9980
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9975
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.9980
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.9985
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.3550
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.6450
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.5300
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.4700
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.5400
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.4600
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.5800
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.5800
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.4200
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.5550
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.4450
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.5550
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.4450
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.5950
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.5950
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.6150
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.3850
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.6250
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.3750
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.5950
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.5950
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.5450
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.4550
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.5650
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.5850
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.4150
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.5950
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.4050
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.6100
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.3900
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.6050
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.6050
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.3950
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.6000
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.4000
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.6000
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.4000
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.6150
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.3850
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.6200
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.3800
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.6200
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.3800
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.6200
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.3800
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.6200
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.3800
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.6250
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.3750
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.6200
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.3800
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.5000
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.5350
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.4650
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.4900
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.5100
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.4700
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.5300
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.4750
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.5250
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.5000
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.5050
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.4950
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.5050
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.4950
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.5000
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.5150
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.4850
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.5700
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.4300
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.5700
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.4300
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.5750
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.4250
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.5650
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.4350
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.5800
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.4250
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.5550
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.4450
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.5550
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.4450
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.5550
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.4450
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.5800
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.4200
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.5800
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.4200
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.5800
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.4200
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.5700
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.4300
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.5750
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.4250
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.5650
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.4350
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.5750
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.4250
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.5800
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.4200
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.5800
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.4200
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.5750
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.4250
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.5750
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.4250
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.5750
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.4250
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.5850
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.4150
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.5850
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.4150
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.6600
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.3400
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.6300
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.3700
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.6300
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.3700
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.6350
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.3650
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.6750
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.3250
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.6650
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.3350
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.6650
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.3250
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.6700
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.3300
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.6750
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.3250
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.6550
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.3450
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.7200
2025-02-03 14:00: 0.2800
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.7000
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.3000
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.6700
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.3300
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.8850
2025-02-03 17:00: 0.1150
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.8950
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.1050
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.9150
2025-02-03 20:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.9150
2025-02-03 21:00: 0.0850
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.8750
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.1250
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.9050
2025-02-03 23:00: 0.0950
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9200
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.0800
2025-02-04 01:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.9745
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.0255
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.9720
2025-02-04 15:00: 0.0280
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.9735
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.0265
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.9730
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.0270
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.9735
2025-02-04 18:00: 0.0265
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9735
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.0265
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.9740
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0260
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.9740
2025-02-04 21:00: 0.0260
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.9740
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.0260
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.9735
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.0265
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.9760
2025-02-05 00:00: 0.0240
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.9765
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.0235
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9770
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.9770
2025-02-05 03:00: 0.0230
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.9775
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.0185
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.9820
2025-02-05 18:00: 0.0180
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.9845
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.0155
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.9845
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.0155
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.9825
2025-02-05 21:00: 0.0175
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.9830
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0170
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.9830
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.0170
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.9830
2025-02-06 00:00: 0.0170
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.9835
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.0165
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.9830
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.0170
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.9830
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0170
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9830
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.0170
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.9825
2025-02-06 05:00: 0.0175
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9825
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.0175
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.9825
2025-02-06 07:00: 0.0175
2025-02-06 08:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.9790
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.0210
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.9785
2025-02-06 22:00: 0.0215
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.9795
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.0205
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.9795
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0205
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.9790
2025-02-07 01:00: 0.0210
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.9790
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.0210
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9785
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.0215
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.9795
2025-02-07 04:00: 0.0205
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.9795
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.0205
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9795
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.0205
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.9800
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0200
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.9830
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.0170
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.9830
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.0170
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9820
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.0180
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.9825
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.9830
2025-02-08 01:00: 0.0170
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.9830
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.0170
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 04:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9830
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.0170
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.9830
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.0170
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.9810
2025-02-08 10:00: 0.0190
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.9830
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0170
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.9835
2025-02-08 12:00: 0.0165
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.9840
2025-02-08 13:00: 0.0160
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.9825
2025-02-08 14:00: 0.0175
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.9825
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.0175
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.9825
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0175
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.9845
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.0155
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.9845
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.0155
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.9845
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0155
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.9845
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.0155
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.9830
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.0170
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9885
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.0115
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.9880
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.0120
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.9875
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.0125
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.9875
2025-02-09 14:00: 0.0125
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9865
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.0135
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.9865
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.0135
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.9865
2025-02-09 17:00: 0.0135
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9865
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0135
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0145
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.9855
2025-02-10 08:00: 0.0145
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.9855
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.0145
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 11:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9885
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.0115
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.9885
2025-02-10 14:00: 0.0115
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9870
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.0130
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.9870
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.0130
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.9860
2025-02-10 17:00: 0.0140
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.9880
2025-02-10 18:00: 0.0120
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.9920
2025-02-10 19:00: 0.0080
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.9940
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0060
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.9950
2025-02-10 21:00: 0.0050
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 520725
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Volume: 392729.575511
Price History:
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.9955
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.0045
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.9945
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.0055
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.9965
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.0035
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 18:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 21:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.9970
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0030
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.9975
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0025
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.9980
2025-02-12 00:00: 0.0020
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.9980
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520729
Question: Will Douglas Macgregor be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19771.4705
Price History:
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.2450
2025-01-28 18:00: 0.7550
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0255
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9745
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.0255
2025-01-28 20:00: 0.9745
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.0255
2025-01-28 21:00: 0.9745
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.0250
2025-01-28 22:00: 0.9750
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.0250
2025-01-28 23:00: 0.9750
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.0250
2025-01-29 00:00: 0.9750
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.0250
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9750
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.0250
2025-01-29 02:00: 0.9750
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.0250
2025-01-29 03:00: 0.9750
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.0245
2025-01-29 04:00: 0.9755
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.0245
2025-01-29 05:00: 0.9755
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0245
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.9755
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.0245
2025-01-29 07:00: 0.9755
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0245
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.9755
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.0245
2025-01-29 09:00: 0.9755
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.0280
2025-01-29 10:00: 0.9720
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.0285
2025-01-29 11:00: 0.9715
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.0285
2025-01-29 12:00: 0.9715
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.0285
2025-01-29 13:00: 0.9715
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.0285
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9715
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.0285
2025-01-29 15:00: 0.9715
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.0285
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.9715
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.0285
2025-01-29 17:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520729
Question: Will Douglas Macgregor be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19771.4705
Price History:
2025-01-29 20:00: 0.9715
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0285
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.9715
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.0285
2025-01-29 22:00: 0.9715
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.0285
2025-01-29 23:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 00:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 01:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 02:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 04:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 05:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 06:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 07:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 08:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 09:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 11:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 12:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 14:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 15:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 17:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 18:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 19:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.0285
2025-01-30 20:00: 0.9715
2025-01-30 21:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520729
Question: Will Douglas Macgregor be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19771.4705
Price History:
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0345
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.9655
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.0315
2025-01-31 01:00: 0.9685
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.0315
2025-01-31 02:00: 0.9685
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.0325
2025-01-31 03:00: 0.9675
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.0350
2025-01-31 04:00: 0.9650
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.0325
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.9675
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 06:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 07:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.0340
2025-01-31 08:00: 0.9660
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.0345
2025-01-31 09:00: 0.9655
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.0345
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9655
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.0345
2025-01-31 11:00: 0.9655
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0315
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.9685
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.0315
2025-01-31 13:00: 0.9685
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.0330
2025-01-31 14:00: 0.9670
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.0305
2025-01-31 15:00: 0.9695
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.0290
2025-01-31 16:00: 0.9710
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.0290
2025-01-31 17:00: 0.9710
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.0335
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.9665
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.0295
2025-01-31 19:00: 0.9705
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.0295
2025-01-31 20:00: 0.9705
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0240
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.9760
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.0290
2025-01-31 22:00: 0.9710
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.0245
2025-01-31 23:00: 0.9755
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.0300
2025-02-01 00:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520729
Question: Will Douglas Macgregor be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19771.4705
Price History:
2025-02-01 03:00: 0.9765
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.0215
2025-02-01 04:00: 0.9785
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.0205
2025-02-01 05:00: 0.9795
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.0225
2025-02-01 06:00: 0.9775
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.0220
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9780
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.0155
2025-02-01 08:00: 0.9845
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.0205
2025-02-01 09:00: 0.9795
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.0170
2025-02-01 10:00: 0.9830
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.0170
2025-02-01 11:00: 0.9830
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.0125
2025-02-01 12:00: 0.9875
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.0130
2025-02-01 13:00: 0.9870
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0130
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.9870
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.0130
2025-02-01 15:00: 0.9870
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.0145
2025-02-01 16:00: 0.9855
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.0135
2025-02-01 17:00: 0.9865
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0130
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.9870
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.0150
2025-02-01 19:00: 0.9850
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.0150
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.9850
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.0145
2025-02-01 21:00: 0.9855
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.0140
2025-02-01 22:00: 0.9860
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.0150
2025-02-01 23:00: 0.9850
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.0140
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.9860
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.0130
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.9870
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.0145
2025-02-02 02:00: 0.9855
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0145
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.9855
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 520729
Question: Will Douglas Macgregor be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 19771.4705
Price History:
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.0140
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.9860
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.0140
2025-02-02 08:00: 0.9860
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.0145
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9855
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.0145
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.9855
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 11:00: 0.9880
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.0125
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.9875
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.0120
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.9880
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.0125
2025-02-02 14:00: 0.9875
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0110
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.9890
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0080
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.9920
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.0075
2025-02-02 17:00: 0.9925
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.0080
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.9920
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.0080
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.9920
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.0075
2025-02-02 20:00: 0.9925
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.0070
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.9930
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.0080
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.9920
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.0075
2025-02-02 23:00: 0.9925
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.0075
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.9925
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.0075
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.9925
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.0075
2025-02-03 02:00: 0.9925
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.0075
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.9925
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.0070
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.9930
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0070
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.9930
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.0075
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.9925
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.0075
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes