Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9910
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 52050.49, Sell volume: 5070.53, Average price: 0.4660, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 7444.28, Sell volume: 16523.03, Average price: 0.2117, Price range: 0.0054 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9920
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 5495.68, Sell volume: 7327.81, Average price: 0.4771, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 5824.61, Sell volume: 3456.57, Average price: 0.1461, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9986

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 14818.09, Sell volume: 16188.94, Average price: 0.1473, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6796.50, Sell volume: 5897.75, Average price: 0.5435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 15743.47, Sell volume: 7509.21, Average price: 0.7572, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.1050
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.8950
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0795
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9205
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0440
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9560
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0380
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9620
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0360
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0360
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0530
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9470
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0530
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9470
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 5742.97, Sell volume: 3571.60, Average price: 0.7088, Price range: 0.0260 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9570
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0390
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9610
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0135
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0125
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9875
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0400
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9600
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0155
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9845
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0235
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9765
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0200
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9800
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0180
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9820
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 23826.83, Sell volume: 201.65, Average price: 0.6104, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9918
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0165
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9835
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0185
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9815
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0200
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9800
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0185
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9815
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0180
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9820
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0210
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 26440.25, Sell volume: 8452.88, Average price: 0.3862, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9849
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9790
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0185
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9815
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0185
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9815
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0185
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9815
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0185
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9815
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0080
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9920
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0135
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9865
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0125
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9875
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0190
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 10531.35, Sell volume: 113.66, Average price: 0.4996, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9913
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0230
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9770
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0230
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9770
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0160
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9840
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0165
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9835
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0240
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9760
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0245
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9755
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0240
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9760
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0235
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9765
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0225
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9775
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 9830.16, Sell volume: 3496.18, Average price: 0.8761, Price range: 0.0235 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9760
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0240
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9760
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0230
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9770
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0230
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9770
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0210
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9790
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0185
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9815
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0190
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9810
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0225
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9775
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0225
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9775
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0155
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 22689.24, Sell volume: 11.25, Average price: 0.7407, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0140
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9860
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0135
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0125
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9875
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9910
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 52050.49, Sell volume: 5070.53, Average price: 0.4660, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0065
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9935
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 29, Buy volume: 7444.28, Sell volume: 16523.03, Average price: 0.2117, Price range: 0.0054 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9915
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0080
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9920
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9925
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9925
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 5495.68, Sell volume: 7327.81, Average price: 0.4771, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 5824.61, Sell volume: 3456.57, Average price: 0.1461, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9986
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 14818.09, Sell volume: 16188.94, Average price: 0.1473, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 6796.50, Sell volume: 5897.75, Average price: 0.5435, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 687983
Question: Over $1.6B committed to the Monad public sale?
Volume: 295180.434192
Price History:
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 15743.47, Sell volume: 7509.21, Average price: 0.7572, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-21 12:00: 0.5000
2024-06-21 12:00: 0.5000
2024-06-21 13:00: 0.3000
2024-06-21 13:00: 0.7000
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.9000
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3485.94, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 20:00: 0.1000
2024-06-22 20:00: 0.9000
2024-06-22 21:00: 0.1000
2024-06-22 21:00: 0.9000
2024-06-22 22:00: 0.1000
2024-06-22 22:00: 0.9000
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.1000
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.9000
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.1000
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.9000
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.1000
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.9000
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.1000
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.9000
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.1000
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.9000
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.1000
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.9000
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.1000
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.9000
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.1000
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.9000
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.1000
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.9000
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1055.49, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.6333, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.8900
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.1100
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.8900
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.1100
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.8900
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.1100
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.8900
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 07:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 07:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3485.94, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 13:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 13:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 14:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 14:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 15:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 15:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 16:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 16:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3485.94, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3485.94, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.8850
2024-06-27 00:00: 0.1150
2024-06-27 00:00: 0.8850
2024-06-27 01:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 01:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.1150
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.8850
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.1150
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.8850
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.1150
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.8850
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.1150
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.8850
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.1150
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.8850
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.1150
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.8850
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.1150
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.8850
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.1150
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.8850
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.1150
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.8850
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.1150
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.8850
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.1150
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1029.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.1200
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.8800
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 09:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 09:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 10:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 10:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.1200
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.8800
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.1200
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.8800
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.1200
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.8800
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.1200
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.8800
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.1200
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.8800
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.1200
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.8800
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.1200
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.8800
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.1200
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.8800
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.1200
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 579.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 17:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 17:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 18:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 18:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 19:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 19:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 212.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 21:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 21:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 02:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 02:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 04:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 04:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3485.94, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3485.94, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 13:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 13:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3485.94, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1300, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.1300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.5500
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.4500
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.5500
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.4500
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.5500
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.4500
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.5500
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.4500
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.5500
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.4500
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.5500
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.4500
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.5500
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.4500
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.5500
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.4500
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.4950
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.5050
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.4950
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.5050
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.4900
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.5100
2024-07-05 04:00: 0.4900
2024-07-05 04:00: 0.5100
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.4900
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.5100
2024-07-05 06:00: 0.4900
2024-07-05 06:00: 0.5100
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.4850
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.5150
2024-07-05 08:00: 0.4850
2024-07-05 08:00: 0.5150
2024-07-05 09:00: 0.4850
2024-07-05 09:00: 0.5150
2024-07-05 10:00: 0.4850
2024-07-05 10:00: 0.5150
2024-07-05 11:00: 0.4850
2024-07-05 11:00: 0.5150
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.4850
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 509.75, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7429, Price range: 0.1325 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-21 12:00: 0.5000
2024-06-21 12:00: 0.5000
2024-06-21 13:00: 0.3000
2024-06-21 13:00: 0.7000
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.9000
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.1000
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.9000
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3485.94, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.0950
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.9050
2024-06-22 20:00: 0.1000
2024-06-22 20:00: 0.9000
2024-06-22 21:00: 0.1000
2024-06-22 21:00: 0.9000
2024-06-22 22:00: 0.1000
2024-06-22 22:00: 0.9000
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.1000
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.9000
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.1000
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.9000
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.1000
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.9000
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.1000
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.9000
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.1000
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.9000
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.1000
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1055.49, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.6333, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.8900
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.1100
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.8900
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.1100
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.8900
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.1100
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.8900
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.1100
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.8900
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3485.94, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.8850
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.1150
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3485.94, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.8850
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.1150
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3485.94, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.8850
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.1150
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.8850
2024-06-27 00:00: 0.1150
2024-06-27 00:00: 0.8850
2024-06-27 01:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 01:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.1200
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.8800
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.1150
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1029.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.1200
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.8800
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 09:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 09:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 10:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 10:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.8850
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.1150
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 579.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.8800
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.1200
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 212.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8900, Price range: 0.8900 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.8800
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.1200
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3485.94, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.8800
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.1200
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3485.94, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 13:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 13:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.8800
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.1200
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 3485.94, Sell volume: 500.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.8800
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.1200
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1300, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.1300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502687
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win 76-90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 3985.940024
Price History:
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.1200
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.8800
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.5500
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.4500
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.5500
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.4500
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.5500
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.4500
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.5500
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.4500
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.5500
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.4500
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.5500
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.4500
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.5500
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.4500
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.5500
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.4500
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.4950
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.5050
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.4950
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 509.75, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7429, Price range: 0.1325 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-21 12:00: 0.5000
2024-06-21 12:00: 0.5000
2024-06-21 13:00: 0.5000
2024-06-21 13:00: 0.5000
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.0400
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.9600
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.0400
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.9600
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.0400
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.9600
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.0350
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.9650
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.0350
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.9650
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.0350
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.9650
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.0350
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.9650
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.0350
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.9650
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.0350
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.9650
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.0350
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 03:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 04:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 05:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 06:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 07:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 09:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 10:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 11:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1846.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7645, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 20:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 20:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 21:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 21:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 22:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 22:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.9650
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.0350
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.9650
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 05:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 06:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 07:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 08:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 09:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 11:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 12:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 13:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 14:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1010.42, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.0445
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.9555
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.0445
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 07:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 07:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 09:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 10:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 11:00: 0.9550
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.9550
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 13:00: 0.9550
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.0450
2024-06-24 14:00: 0.9550
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.0455
2024-06-24 15:00: 0.9545
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.0455
2024-06-24 16:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 55.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.0455
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.9545
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0455
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.9545
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.0455
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.9545
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.0455
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.9545
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.0455
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.9545
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.0455
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 09:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 10:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 11:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 12:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 13:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 13:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 14:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 14:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 15:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 15:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 16:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 16:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 18:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 8.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9580, Price range: 0.9580 - 0.9580

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 11:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 12:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 13:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 14:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 17:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 18:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 19:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 20:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 7.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9580, Price range: 0.9580 - 0.9580

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 00:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 00:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 01:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 01:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 14:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 15:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 16:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 17:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 19:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 20:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 21:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 22:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 11.65, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9580, Price range: 0.9580 - 0.9580

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 09:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 09:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 10:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 10:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 15:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 16:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 17:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 18:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 19:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 21:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 23:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 00:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 575.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9580, Price range: 0.9580 - 0.9580

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 17:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 17:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 18:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 18:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 19:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 19:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 21:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 23:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 00:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 01:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 02:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1846.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7645, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 19:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 20:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 21:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 21:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 22:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 23:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 00:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 01:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 02:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 02:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 03:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 04:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 04:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1846.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7645, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.0505
2024-07-01 21:00: 0.9495
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.0505
2024-07-01 22:00: 0.9495
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.0505
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.9495
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.0505
2024-07-02 00:00: 0.9495
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.0505
2024-07-02 01:00: 0.9495
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.0505
2024-07-02 02:00: 0.9495
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.0505
2024-07-02 03:00: 0.9495
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 05:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.9485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 55.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0490, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.0490

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 13:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 13:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 23:00: 0.9485
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.0515
2024-07-03 00:00: 0.9485
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.0515
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.9485
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.0515
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.9485
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.0515
2024-07-03 03:00: 0.9485
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.0515
2024-07-03 04:00: 0.9485
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.0515
2024-07-03 05:00: 0.9485
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.0515
2024-07-03 06:00: 0.9485
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.0515
2024-07-03 07:00: 0.9485
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.0515
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.9485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1846.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7645, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.9495
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.0505
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.9495
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.0505
2024-07-04 01:00: 0.9495
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.0505
2024-07-04 02:00: 0.9495
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.0505
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.9495
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.0505
2024-07-04 04:00: 0.9495
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.0505
2024-07-04 05:00: 0.9495
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.0505
2024-07-04 06:00: 0.9495
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.0520
2024-07-04 07:00: 0.9480
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.0520
2024-07-04 08:00: 0.9480
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.0520
2024-07-04 09:00: 0.9480
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.0520
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.9480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 67.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0595, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.0595

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.0515
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.9485
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.0515
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.9485
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.0515
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.9485
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.0515
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.9485
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.0515
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.9485
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.5200
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.4800
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.3955
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.6045
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.3955
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.6045
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.3955
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.6045
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.3955
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.6045
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.3955
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.6045
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.3955
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.6045
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.3955
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.6045
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.4895
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.5105
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.5000
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.5000
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.4850
2024-07-05 03:00: 0.5150
2024-07-05 04:00: 0.4850
2024-07-05 04:00: 0.5150
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.4850
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.5150
2024-07-05 06:00: 0.4850
2024-07-05 06:00: 0.5150
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.4850
2024-07-05 07:00: 0.5150
2024-07-05 08:00: 0.4850
2024-07-05 08:00: 0.5150
2024-07-05 09:00: 0.4850
2024-07-05 09:00: 0.5150
2024-07-05 10:00: 0.4850
2024-07-05 10:00: 0.5150
2024-07-05 11:00: 0.4850
2024-07-05 11:00: 0.5150
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.4850
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 55.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9590, Price range: 0.9590 - 0.9590

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-21 12:00: 0.5000
2024-06-21 12:00: 0.5000
2024-06-21 13:00: 0.5000
2024-06-21 13:00: 0.5000
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.0400
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.9600
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.0400
2024-06-21 15:00: 0.9600
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.0400
2024-06-21 16:00: 0.9600
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.0350
2024-06-21 17:00: 0.9650
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.0350
2024-06-21 18:00: 0.9650
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.0350
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.9650
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.0350
2024-06-21 20:00: 0.9650
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.0350
2024-06-21 21:00: 0.9650
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.0350
2024-06-21 22:00: 0.9650
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.0350
2024-06-21 23:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 00:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1846.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7645, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 14:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 16:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 17:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 18:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 19:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 20:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 20:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 21:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 21:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 22:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 22:00: 0.9650
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.0350
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.9650
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.0350
2024-06-23 00:00: 0.9650
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 01:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 02:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 03:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1010.42, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5050, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 16:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 18:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 19:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 20:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.0450
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.9550
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.0445
2024-06-23 22:00: 0.9555
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.0445
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 00:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 01:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 02:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 03:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 04:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 05:00: 0.9555
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.0445
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.9555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 55.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.0455
2024-06-24 18:00: 0.9545
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0455
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.9545
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.0455
2024-06-24 20:00: 0.9545
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.0455
2024-06-24 21:00: 0.9545
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.0455
2024-06-24 22:00: 0.9545
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.0455
2024-06-24 23:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 00:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 02:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 03:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 04:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 05:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 07:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 8.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9580, Price range: 0.9580 - 0.9580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 20:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 22:00: 0.9545
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.0455
2024-06-25 23:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 00:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 01:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 02:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 05:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 06:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 07:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 08:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 09:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 7.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9580, Price range: 0.9580 - 0.9580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 22:00: 0.9545
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.0455
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 00:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 00:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 01:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 01:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 03:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 04:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 06:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 07:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 08:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 09:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 10:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 11:00: 0.9545
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.0455
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 11.65, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9580, Price range: 0.9580 - 0.9580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 02:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 03:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 04:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 05:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 06:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 08:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 09:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 09:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 10:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 10:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 12:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 13:00: 0.9545
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.0455
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 575.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9580, Price range: 0.9580 - 0.9580
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 02:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 04:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 05:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 06:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 07:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 08:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 10:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 11:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 12:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 13:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 14:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 15:00: 0.9545
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.0455
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1846.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7645, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 04:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 06:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 08:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 09:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 10:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 12:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 13:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 14:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 15:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 16:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 17:00: 0.9545
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.0455
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1846.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7645, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 06:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 07:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 08:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 09:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 10:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 11:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 12:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 13:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 14:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 15:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 16:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 18:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 19:00: 0.9545
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.0455
2024-07-01 20:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 55.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0490, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.0490
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 08:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 09:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 10:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 11:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 13:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 13:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 14:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 16:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 17:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 18:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 20:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 21:00: 0.9485
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.0515
2024-07-02 22:00: 0.9485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1846.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7645, Price range: 0.0490 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 10:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 11:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 12:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 15:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 16:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 17:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 18:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 19:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 20:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 22:00: 0.9495
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.0505
2024-07-03 23:00: 0.9495
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.0505
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 67.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0595, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.0595
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 502688
Question: Will the Liberal Democrats win more than 90 seats in the next UK Election?
Volume: 1846.39608
Price History:
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.0515
2024-07-04 12:00: 0.9485
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.0515
2024-07-04 13:00: 0.9485
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.0515
2024-07-04 14:00: 0.9485
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.0515
2024-07-04 15:00: 0.9485
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.0515
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.9485
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.5200
2024-07-04 17:00: 0.4800
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.3955
2024-07-04 18:00: 0.6045
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.3955
2024-07-04 19:00: 0.6045
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.3955
2024-07-04 20:00: 0.6045
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.3955
2024-07-04 21:00: 0.6045
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.3955
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.6045
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.3955
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.6045
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.3955
2024-07-05 00:00: 0.6045
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.4895
2024-07-05 01:00: 0.5105
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.5000
2024-07-05 02:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 55.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9590, Price range: 0.9590 - 0.9590
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Outcomes: ["Gaza", "Ukraine"]
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.4150
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.5500
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.5000
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.4450
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.5650
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.4350
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.5650
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.4350
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.5650
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.4350
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.4300
2025-08-12 10:00: 0.4300
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.5750
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.4350
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.5650
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.4350
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.4350
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.4350
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.5650
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.4350
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.5650
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.4350
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.5650
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.5650
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.5600
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.5650
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.5650
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.5650
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.5650
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.5650
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.5650
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.5650
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.5650
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.5650
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.4350
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.4350
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.5700
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.5650
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.5700
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.5700
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.5700
2025-08-14 22:00: 0.5700
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.5700
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.4300
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.5700
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.5700
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.4300
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.4300
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.5750
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 5435.07, Sell volume: 1730.43, Average price: 0.4925, Price range: 0.3717 - 0.6200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Outcomes: ["Gaza", "Ukraine"]
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.4250
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.4250
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.4200
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.4200
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.4200
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.4250
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.5750
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.4250
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.5800
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.4200
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.4200
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.4150
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.4200
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.5700
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.4100
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.5950
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.5950
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.5750
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.5750
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.5300
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.4700
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.4650
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.5350
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.4650
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.5350
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.5450
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.4550
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.5450
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.4550
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.5450
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.6500
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.6900
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.4050
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.6300
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.6400
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.6500
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.5700
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.5750
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.4250
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.4200
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.6150
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.3750
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.3750
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.6250
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.3750
2025-08-19 20:00: 0.6300
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.6300
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.6350
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 7560.46, Sell volume: 2987.90, Average price: 0.5164, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Outcomes: ["Gaza", "Ukraine"]
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.6300
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.6500
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.3550
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.6400
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.6400
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.6400
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.3600
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.3600
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.3600
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.3550
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.6450
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.3600
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.3500
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.3450
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.3500
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.3500
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.3350
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.3350
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.3350
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.3350
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.3300
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.3300
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.3300
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.3300
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.6700
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.6650
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.6650
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.6650
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.6600
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.6600
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.6600
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.6600
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.6550
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.6550
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.6550
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.6550
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.3450
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.3450
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.6550
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.3450
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1886.18, Sell volume: 884.96, Average price: 0.5208, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Outcomes: ["Gaza", "Ukraine"]
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.6600
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.6600
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.3400
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.6600
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.3400
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.6600
2025-08-25 12:00: 0.6600
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.3400
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.6600
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.3400
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.3450
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.3450
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.3450
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.3450
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.3450
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.3450
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.3450
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.3400
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.3400
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.3350
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.6650
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.6650
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.6650
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.3350
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.3350
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.3350
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.6800
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.3150
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.6800
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.6800
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2705.50, Sell volume: 1378.46, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6799

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Outcomes: ["Gaza", "Ukraine"]
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.3250
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.3250
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.6750
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.6750
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.3300
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.3300
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.3300
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.3300
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.3300
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.3300
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.6750
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.6650
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.6650
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.6650
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.3350
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.3350
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 409.45, Sell volume: 534.63, Average price: 0.4437, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Outcomes: ["Gaza", "Ukraine"]
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.3350
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.6600
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.6600
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.6600
2025-09-03 11:00: 0.3400
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.6600
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.6600
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.3400
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.6600
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.6600
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.6550
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.6550
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.6550
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.6550
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.3450
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.6550
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.6550
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.6550
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.6550
2025-09-05 09:00: 0.5800
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.5800
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.5800
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.5800
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.5850
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.5850
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-06 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.6000
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.6050
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.6000
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.6000
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1232.13, Sell volume: 729.69, Average price: 0.4408, Price range: 0.3242 - 0.6696

Output: No