Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531394
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 279563.991351
Price History:
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531394
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 279563.991351
Price History:
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9955
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9940
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.9940
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9940
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.9945
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531394
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 279563.991351
Price History:
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0040
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0040
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0055
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0040
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0040
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0040
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0055
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0060
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0060
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0040
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531394
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
Volume: 279563.991351
Price History:
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.3200
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.3200
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.3200
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.4600
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.4550
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.4200
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.4250
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.4100
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.3850
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.3800
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.3800
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.3800
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.3800
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.3800
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.3800
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.3800
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.3800
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.3800
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.3700
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.3700
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.3650
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.3700
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.3700
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.3550
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.2400
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.3200
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.2750
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.2900
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.2850
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531394
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
Volume: 279563.991351
Price History:
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.6750
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.6650
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.6700
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.6750
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.6550
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.6550
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.6600
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.6550
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.6800
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.6450
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.6500
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.6500
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.6500
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.6500
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.6400
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.6400
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.6400
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.6400
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.6450
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.6450
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.6450
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.6450
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.6450
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.6500
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.6650
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.6550
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.6750
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.6700
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.6600
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531394
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
Volume: 279563.991351
Price History:
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.2600
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.2650
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.2450
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.2400
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.2350
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.2350
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.2350
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.2350
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.2200
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.3150
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.3350
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.3450
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.3950
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.3450
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.3650
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.3500
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.3300
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.3100
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.2900
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.3100
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.3000
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.3000
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.2950
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.2950
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.2950
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531394
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
Volume: 279563.991351
Price History:
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.6650
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.6600
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.6550
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.6900
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.7000
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.6850
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.7450
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.7500
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.7350
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.7600
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.7750
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.7800
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.7650
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.7750
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.7800
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.7950
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.7950
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.7850
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.7850
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.7850
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.7650
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.5150
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.5800
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.5700
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.5750
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.7400
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.6600
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.6550
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.6250
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531394
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
Volume: 279563.991351
Price History:
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.9940
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.9310
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.9660
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9725
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9765
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9635
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.9645
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.9730
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.9565
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9540
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.9530
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.9440
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9570
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.9530
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9590
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9505
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.9630
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.9650
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.9610
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9605
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.9605
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.9610
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.9605
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.9620
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531394
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
Volume: 279563.991351
Price History:
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.0375
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.0315
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0380
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.0380
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0305
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0330
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0310
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.0305
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.0195
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0165
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.0110
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0255
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.0215
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0295
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0265
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.0160
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.0195
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0250
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.0170
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0250
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0305
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0295
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.0215
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0175
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.0175
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.0210
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.0200
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.0185
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.0155
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531394
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
Volume: 279563.991351
Price History:
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.9895
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.9900
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.9900
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9905
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.9905
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.9895
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.9895
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9895
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.9895
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.9900
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.9895
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9900
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.9895
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.9895
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.9895
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.9920
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531394
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
Volume: 279563.991351
Price History:
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.0075
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0075
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.0085
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0110
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0105
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0105
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.0110
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0115
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0110
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0110
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.0110
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.0110
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0110
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0110
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.0110
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0110
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.0110
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0110
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0110
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.0110
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531394
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
Volume: 279563.991351
Price History:
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9890
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.9920
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.9905
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9910
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.9905
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9905
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.9905
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9905
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9915
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9905
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.9905
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9905
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9905
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.9910
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9915
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9925
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9920
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.9920
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531394
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
Volume: 279563.991351
Price History:
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0055
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531394
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
Volume: 279563.991351
Price History:
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.9945
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531394
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
Volume: 279563.991351
Price History:
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0055
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0055
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0055
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.0055
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.0055
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531394
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?
Volume: 279563.991351
Price History:
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9960
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.9940
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.9960
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.9970
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9970
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.4100
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.5900
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.6200
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.3450
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.6550
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.0445
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9555
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.0445
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.9555
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0450
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.9550
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0445
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.9555
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.0595
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.9405
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0450
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9550
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.0445
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.9555
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.0440
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.9560
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0445
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.9555
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.0410
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.9590
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.0415
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.9585
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0430
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.9570
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0390
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.9610
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0380
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.9620
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0375
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.9625
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0375
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9625
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.0375
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.9625
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.0370
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.9630
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0325
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9675
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.0325
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.9675
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0325
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9675
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0150
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.9940
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.0055
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.9945
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.0055
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.9945
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0060
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.9940
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.0060
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.9940
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.0065
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9935
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0055
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.0050
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.9950
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.0045
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.9955
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0045
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.9955
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0050
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9950
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.0060
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.9940
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0065
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.9935
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.0060
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.9940
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.0045
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.9955
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0045
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.9955
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.0045
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9955
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.0045
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.9955
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.0045
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.9955
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.0045
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.9955
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.0040
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.9960
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0040
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.9960
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.0040
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.9960
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.9970
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.9970
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.9970
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.9970
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.9970
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0025
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.9975
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.0025
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9975
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.9975
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.9975
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9975
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.0025
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.9975
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.9980
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0020
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.9980
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.0020
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.9980
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.9980
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.0020
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9980
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.0020
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.9980
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.9985
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0015
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.9985
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0015
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9985
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.0015
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9985
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.9980
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.0015
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9985
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0020
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.9980
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.9980
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.0020
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.9980
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.0020
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.9980
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.9980
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.0020
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.9980
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.0035
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.0040
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0040
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0035
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0040
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0035
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.9915
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.0140
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9860
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.0125
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.9875
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9955
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.9955
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.9940
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.9970
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9970
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9970
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9970
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.9970
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9970
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.9970
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.9970
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.9970
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9970
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9970
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9970
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.9980
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.9980
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.9980
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.9980
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9980
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9980
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0020
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.9980
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.4100
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.3800
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.3450
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.0445
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.0445
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0450
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0445
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.0595
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0450
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.0445
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.0440
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0445
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.0410
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.0415
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0430
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0390
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0380
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0375
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0375
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.0375
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.0370
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0325
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.0325
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0325
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0150
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.0150
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0070
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.0070
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.9940
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.9945
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.9945
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.9940
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.9940
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9935
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.9950
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.9955
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.9955
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9950
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.9940
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.9935
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.9940
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.9955
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.9955
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9955
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.9955
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.9955
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.9955
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.9960
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.9960
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.9960
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9965
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.9975
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.9975
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.9975
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0025
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.0025
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.0025
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0020
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0020
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.0020
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0020
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.0020
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.0020
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0015
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.0015
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.0020
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.0015
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.0015
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.9985
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.9985
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9985
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9985
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.9980
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9985
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.9980
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.9980
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.9980
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.9980
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.9980
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.9980
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9965
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.9960
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.9960
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.9965
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9960
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.9965
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.9915
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9860
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.9875
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.9695
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.9695
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.9515
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9715
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0060
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.0030
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9970
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9970
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9970
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9980
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.9980
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.9980
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.9980
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.9980
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9980
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9980
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.9980
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531397
Question: Will Randy Fine win by more than 25%?
Volume: 62797.508634
Price History:
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.7050
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.1250
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.8750
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.1250
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.8750
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.1100
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.8900
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.1100
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.8900
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.1100
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.8900
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0850
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9150
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.0900
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.9100
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.0850
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.9150
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0800
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.9200
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.0800
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.9200
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.9450
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.9450
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.9450
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.9450
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.9450
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9450
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.9450
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.0400
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.9600
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0395
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9605
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.0455
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.9545
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0450
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9550
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0365
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.0065
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.9935
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.0055
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.9945
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.0050
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.9950
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0055
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.9945
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.0060
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.9940
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.0040
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9960
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.9955
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.0060
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.9940
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.0065
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.9935
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0055
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.9945
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0115
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9885
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.0110
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.9890
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0080
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.9920
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.0110
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.9890
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.0090
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.9910
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0090
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.9910
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.0045
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9955
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.0070
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.9930
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.0070
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.9930
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.0070
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.9930
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.0070
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.9930
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0065
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.9935
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.0070
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.9930
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0060
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.9940
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.0065
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.0100
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.9900
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0100
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.9900
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.0110
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.9890
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.0085
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.9915
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0085
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.9915
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.0090
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.9910
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.0075
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.9925
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.9955
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.9955
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.9955
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.9955
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.9955
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.9955
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.9970
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9970
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.9970
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.9965
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.9900
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0095
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.9905
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.0085
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.9915
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.9955
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9955
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.0055
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.9945
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.0055
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.9945
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0080
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.9920
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0085
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9915
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.0050
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9950
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0065
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.9935
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.0055
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9945
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0050
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.9950
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0050
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.9950
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.0055
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.9945
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.0055
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0215
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.9785
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0145
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9855
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.0110
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.9890
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9910
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.9910
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.9925
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.9960
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9940
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.9925
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0285
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.9715
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.1100
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.8900
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.0905
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9095
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.0010
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9990
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.0010
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9990
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0010
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.9990
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.0010
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.9990
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0010
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.9990
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.0010
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9990
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.9985
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.9985
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0010
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9990
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.0010
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.9990
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9985
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.0010
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.9990
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.9940
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0125
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.9875
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0110
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.9890
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.9910
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.9980
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.9985
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.9985
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.9985
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.9985
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.9985
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9985
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.9985
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.9985
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.9985
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.9985
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9985
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.9985
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.9985
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.9985
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.9985
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9985
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.9985
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.0010
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.9990
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9985
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.9985
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.9985
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.9985
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9985
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.9985
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.9985
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9985
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.9985
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9985
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9985
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.9985
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9985
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.9985
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0010
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9990
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0010
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9990
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0010
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9990
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0010
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9990
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0010
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9990
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0010
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9990
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9990
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9990
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9990
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9990
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9990
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9990
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9990
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9990
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9990
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9990
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9990
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.9990
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.9990
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.9990
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9990
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0010
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9990
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0010
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9990
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0010
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.9990
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0010
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.9990
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0010
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.9990
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9985
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9985
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9975
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9975
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.2950
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.1250
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.1250
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.1100
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.1100
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.1100
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.0850
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.0900
2025-03-27 05:00: 0.0850
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0800
2025-03-27 07:00: 0.0800
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.0550
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.0400
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0395
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.0455
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0450
2025-03-27 19:00: 0.0365
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.0360
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0365
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.0360
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.0170
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.0065
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.0055
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.0050
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0055
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.0060
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.0040
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.0045
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.0060
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.0065
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0055
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.0115
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.0110
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0080
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.0110
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.0090
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0090
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.0045
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.0070
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.0070
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.0070
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.0070
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0065
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.0070
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0060
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.0065
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.0070
2025-03-29 11:00: 0.0185
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.0120
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.0120
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.0100
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0100
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.0110
2025-03-30 02:00: 0.0085
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0085
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.0090
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.0075
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 08:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 10:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0030
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.0035
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0095
2025-03-30 20:00: 0.0085
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.0045
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.0045
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0045
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.0050
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.0050
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.0050
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.0055
2025-03-31 14:00: 0.0055
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0080
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.0085
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.0050
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0065
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.0055
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0050
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0050
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.0055
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.0215
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0145
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.0110
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-01 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0040
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.0075
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0285
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.1100
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.0905
2025-04-01 14:00: 0.0770
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.1140
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.1120
2025-04-01 17:00: 0.1260
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.1260
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.0010
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.0010
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.0010
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.0010
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0010
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.0010
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0010
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.0010
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0015
2025-04-03 01:00: 0.0010
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.0010
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0010
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.0010
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.0060
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0125
2025-04-03 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0110
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.0090
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 05:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 08:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 12:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 16:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.0020
2025-04-04 22:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 11:00: 0.0010
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 21:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0015
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0010
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0010
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0010
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0010
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0010
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.0010
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0010
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0010
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0010
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0010
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0010
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 531396
Question: Will Randy Fine win by 20-25%?
Volume: 104507.998854
Price History:
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0025
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535381
Question: Klarna IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93695.708565
Price History:
2025-04-08 17:00: 0.4900
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.7600
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.2400
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.2500
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.7500
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.2500
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.7500
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.2600
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.7400
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.2600
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.7400
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.2550
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.7450
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.7450
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.2600
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.7400
2025-04-12 20:00: 0.5850
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.5500
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.4500
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.5500
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.4500
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.5500
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.4500
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.5500
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.5100
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.5100
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.4900
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.5100
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.4900
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.5550
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.4450
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.5550
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.4450
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.5550
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.4450
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.5550
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.4450
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.5600
2025-04-18 02:00: 0.4150
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.5900
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.4100
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.5900
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.4100
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.5900
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.4050
2025-04-19 17:00: 0.5900
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 136, Buy volume: 34479.18, Sell volume: 33286.43, Average price: 0.4912, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535381
Question: Klarna IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93695.708565
Price History:
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.5900
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.4100
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.5900
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.4100
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.5900
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.4100
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.5800
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.4250
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.5850
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.4200
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.5750
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.4350
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.5750
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.4300
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.5700
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.4300
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.5750
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.4250
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.5700
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.4300
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.5700
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.4300
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.5700
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4350
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5700
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.7150
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.2400
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.7250
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2700
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.7800
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7800
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.2000
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.6900
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3000
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6950
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3000
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.7100
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.3150
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6150
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3600
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.5100
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3900
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3800
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 703.18, Sell volume: 423.58, Average price: 0.4010, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535381
Question: Klarna IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93695.708565
Price History:
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6700
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3550
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.7400
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.6900
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3400
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.6550
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.3600
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.7400
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.6700
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.3550
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.7300
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.6950
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.3350
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.7650
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.3800
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7400
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2950
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.7000
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.3300
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.6500
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.2550
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.7250
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.3150
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.6650
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.7150
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.3250
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.6600
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.3900
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.5950
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.4000
2025-05-10 08:00: 0.5950
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.3950
2025-05-10 19:00: 0.6050
2025-05-11 00:00: 0.4000
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.6150
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.4000
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.6050
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.4000
2025-05-12 04:00: 0.6200
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.3900
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.5650
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.5300
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.5100
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.4300
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.5600
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 14.01, Sell volume: 17.85, Average price: 0.3861, Price range: 0.3083 - 0.4300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535381
Question: Klarna IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93695.708565
Price History:
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.5800
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.5150
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.5500
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.5300
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.5400
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.4000
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.4850
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.4500
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.5800
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.5400
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.4000
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.5000
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.4450
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.6000
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.4850
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.5650
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.5350
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.5050
2025-05-18 19:00: 0.4400
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.5800
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.4950
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.5200
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.4200
2025-05-19 23:00: 0.4900
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.4550
2025-05-20 10:00: 0.4200
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.5850
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.4100
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.5900
2025-05-21 08:00: 0.4750
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.5200
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.4800
2025-05-22 00:00: 0.5150
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.4800
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.5250
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.4800
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.5200
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.4800
2025-05-23 09:00: 0.5200
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.5400
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.4600
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.5400
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.4650
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.5350
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.5450
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.4300
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.6000
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.3950
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.6250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 125.20, Sell volume: 7.46, Average price: 0.5904, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535381
Question: Klarna IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93695.708565
Price History:
2025-05-26 09:00: 0.3750
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.4400
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.6000
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.3800
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.6300
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.3400
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.5900
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.4050
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.3950
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.5700
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.4300
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.5600
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.4150
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.5700
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.4250
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.5950
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.4050
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.5900
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.4050
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.6000
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.4100
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.5300
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.3750
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.5550
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.4600
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.5900
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.4700
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.5800
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.3300
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.6700
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.3400
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.6700
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.3300
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.6800
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.5300
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.6250
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.3700
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.6250
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.3700
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.6050
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.3900
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.6550
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.3450
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.6350
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.3850
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.6500
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.3700
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 80.93, Sell volume: 194.44, Average price: 0.5349, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535381
Question: Klarna IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93695.708565
Price History:
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.3550
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.5650
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.4400
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.5450
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.4250
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.6200
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.3700
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.6150
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.4000
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.6000
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.3650
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.6100
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.3900
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.6050
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.4150
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.5800
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.4150
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.5850
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.4050
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.5950
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.3850
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.5850
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.3950
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.5950
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.4150
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.6050
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.3950
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.5900
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.4100
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.5950
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.4100
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.6150
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.3950
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.5950
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.4050
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.6000
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.4100
2025-06-15 19:00: 0.5900
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.3950
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.6000
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.3850
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.6050
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.4050
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.5950
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.4050
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.6150
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.4000
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.6000
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.5250
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 181.94, Sell volume: 101.00, Average price: 0.5718, Price range: 0.4449 - 0.6943

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535381
Question: Klarna IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93695.708565
Price History:
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.5250
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.4750
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.5250
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.4750
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.5250
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.4650
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.4200
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.5950
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.4100
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.5900
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.4150
2025-06-21 18:00: 0.5800
2025-06-22 00:00: 0.4200
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.5850
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.3950
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.5700
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.4300
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.5750
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.4250
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.5750
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.4250
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.5750
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.4250
2025-06-24 12:00: 0.5750
2025-06-24 18:00: 0.4250
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.5700
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.4300
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.5700
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.4350
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.5700
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.4300
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.5500
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.4250
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.5700
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.4300
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.5700
2025-06-27 12:00: 0.4300
2025-06-27 17:00: 0.5700
2025-06-27 23:00: 0.4300
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.5700
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.4300
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.5700
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.4300
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.5700
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.4450
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.5050
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.4800
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.5250
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.4750
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 79.40, Sell volume: 35.03, Average price: 0.5333, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535381
Question: Klarna IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93695.708565
Price History:
2025-07-01 04:00: 0.4400
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.5600
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.4400
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.4950
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.5500
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.4450
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.7600
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.3600
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.6250
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.2600
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.7700
2025-07-03 16:00: 0.2700
2025-07-03 22:00: 0.7150
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.1850
2025-07-04 09:00: 0.8200
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.1750
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.8250
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.1750
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.8200
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.2150
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.8250
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.2000
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.8050
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.8250
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.1650
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.8050
2025-07-07 08:00: 0.1650
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.8300
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.2150
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.7950
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.2250
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.7750
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.2200
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.7600
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.2400
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.7700
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.2300
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.7800
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.2000
2025-07-10 08:00: 0.7900
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.2300
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.7900
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.2100
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.7700
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.2400
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.7600
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.2050
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.8100
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1632.64, Sell volume: 253.64, Average price: 0.6540, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535381
Question: Klarna IPO in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 93695.708565
Price History:
2025-07-13 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.7500
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.2400
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.7600
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.2150
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.7950
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.1900
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.8200
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.2050
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.7950
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.1900
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.7950
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.2050
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.7950
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.2000
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.8050
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.1950
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.8250
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.1750
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.8200
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.1800
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.8200
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.2550
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.7400
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.2450
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.7700
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.7650
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.2350
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.7650
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.2350
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.7400
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.2350
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.7600
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.2650
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.7300
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.2650
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.7450
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.7450
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.7550
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.2050
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.7550
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 200.99, Sell volume: 139.50, Average price: 0.3835, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8419

Output: No