Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561624
Question: Will Kosovo win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7107.94133
Price History:
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0940
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.0940
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9060
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9060
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9060
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.0940
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9060
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0940
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0940
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9060
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9060
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.0940
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0940
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0940
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.9060
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9060
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.0940
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.9060
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9395
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.9440
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9440
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.0560
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0560
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9440
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9060
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.9070
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.0940
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.9060
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9060
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 3894.07, Sell volume: 3213.87, Average price: 0.6295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561624
Question: Will Kosovo win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7107.94133
Price History:
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9060
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0940
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9060
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.0940
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.9060
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.9055
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0945
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0945
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9055
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0945
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0945
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9055
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9055
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9055
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0945
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9055
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9055
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9055
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0945
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0945
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0945
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0945
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0945
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561624
Question: Will Kosovo win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7107.94133
Price History:
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9055
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0945
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0945
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9055
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0945
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0460
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9540
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9540
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9540
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0460
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0460
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0460
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0460
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0460
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9540
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0460
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9540
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0460
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9530
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0470
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.9530
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0470
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9525
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0475
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0475
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0470
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 11.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561624
Question: Will Kosovo win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7107.94133
Price History:
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9530
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9525
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9535
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9535
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9530
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9540
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9535
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9535
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9515
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9515
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9460
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9460
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9460
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9460
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9460
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9460
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9460
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9460
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9460
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9495
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9495
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9495
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.9485
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9505
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9505
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9505
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 3894.07, Sell volume: 3213.87, Average price: 0.6295, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561624
Question: Will Kosovo win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7107.94133
Price History:
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0505
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0505
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0505
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0505
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0505
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0505
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0495
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0495
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0495
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0505
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0505
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0505
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0505
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0505
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0505
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0505
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0505
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0505
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0505
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0505
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0505
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0505
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0495
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0500
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0490
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0505
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0505
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0505
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0860, Price range: 0.0860 - 0.0860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561624
Question: Will Kosovo win UEFA Group B for 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Volume: 7107.94133
Price History:
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9585
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9570
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9595
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9575
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9575
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9575
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9655
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9660
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9660
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9575
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9510
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9520
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9355
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9365
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9865
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9530
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9750
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9135
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9925
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9925
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9925
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 3708.28, Sell volume: 409.43, Average price: 0.5844, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.9500
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.0340
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.9675
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.0155
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9775
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.0225
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9805
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.0185
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.9815
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0190
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.9835
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.0145
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.9855
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.0140
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9865
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0140
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.9855
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.0140
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.9865
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0155
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.9870
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.0130
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.9870
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.0130
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9870
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0130
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.9870
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.0125
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.9875
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0135
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9870
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0130
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9870
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0125
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.9875
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0125
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.9875
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.0125
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.9875
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0125
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.9875
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.0125
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.9875
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0125
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9875
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.0130
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.9870
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0105
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0105
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9905
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0085
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.9915
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0085
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9915
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0105
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9900
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9925
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9920
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0080
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9925
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0080
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.0075
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9925
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0060
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.9940
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0060
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.9930
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.0060
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9940
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.0120
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.9910
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0075
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.9920
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.0085
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9935
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0055
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.9955
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.9945
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.0055
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9945
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0055
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.9945
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0055
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.9945
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0055
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9945
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.0055
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.9945
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.0055
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.9945
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.0055
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9945
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.0055
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0055
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9945
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0065
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.9915
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0070
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9925
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0070
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9925
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.0075
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.9925
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0075
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.9930
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0080
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.9920
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.0080
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0080
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.9925
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.0060
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9945
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.0055
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0090
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.9915
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.0085
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9915
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.9915
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.9900
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.9905
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0090
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.9905
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.9915
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.0085
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9930
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.9925
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9920
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9920
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9920
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9925
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9925
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9920
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9925
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9915
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0085
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0085
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9920
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0075
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9925
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0075
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9925
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.0080
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.9915
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.9920
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0080
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.9925
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0080
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.9920
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.9915
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0080
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.9920
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0090
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.9910
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0090
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.9910
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0095
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.9905
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0090
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9910
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.9905
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0105
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.9890
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0100
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9900
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0090
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.9905
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0105
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9890
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.9905
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0090
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.9930
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0070
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.9925
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9925
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.9925
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9925
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0075
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9925
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0075
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9925
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0075
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9925
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0075
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9925
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9925
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9925
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.9925
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.9935
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0065
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.9935
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0065
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9935
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0065
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9935
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0065
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9935
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9935
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0055
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.9945
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0055
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9945
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9940
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.9940
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.9940
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9940
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9940
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.9940
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.9940
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.9940
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9940
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.9940
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0060
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.9940
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.9940
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9940
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9935
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.9935
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9935
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0065
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9925
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0075
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9935
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0065
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9935
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9940
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0060
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9935
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9940
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0060
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9940
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.9940
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0075
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9925
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0060
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.9935
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0065
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.9935
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0065
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9935
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0065
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9935
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.0055
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9935
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0065
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0065
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9935
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.0065
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9935
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0065
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9935
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0065
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9930
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0070
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.9930
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9940
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0060
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9940
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0060
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9940
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9940
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0060
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9940
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9940
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0060
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.9940
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0060
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9940
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0060
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.9940
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.9940
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9940
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.0060
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.9940
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.9940
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0060
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.9940
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.0060
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.9940
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0060
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.9940
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.0060
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.9940
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.0060
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.9940
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.0060
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9940
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.0060
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0060
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.9940
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.0060
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.9940
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.0060
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9940
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.0055
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9935
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.9935
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0065
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0065
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.9935
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9935
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.9935
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.9935
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0065
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.9945
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.9945
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0055
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9945
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0055
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.0055
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0055
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.9945
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9945
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9945
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0055
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0055
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9945
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9945
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0055
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9950
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.0045
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.0045
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0045
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9955
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0045
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.0055
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.9955
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0045
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.0045
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.9955
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.0045
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.0045
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0045
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0050
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9950
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0050
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9950
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9950
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.9970
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.9970
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9965
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.0025
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9975
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.9950
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.9950
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.9970
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.0050
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9960
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.0045
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.9970
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9975
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 347652, Buy volume: 119230661.64, Sell volume: 91617231.06, Average price: 0.7406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9975
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0025
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 647918, Buy volume: 134209905.02, Sell volume: 130686240.94, Average price: 0.9117, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 322, Buy volume: 80247.80, Sell volume: 35621.63, Average price: 0.8623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9770
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0160
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 9444.34, Sell volume: 5716.87, Average price: 0.8807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9665
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.0285
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.9775
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.0190
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9815
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.0190
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.9840
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.0140
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.9865
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.0155
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.9860
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.0155
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.9865
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.0130
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.9870
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.0130
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.9870
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0135
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9870
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0125
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.9875
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0125
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.9875
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0125
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.9875
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0125
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.9875
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0130
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0105
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9915
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0085
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9915
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.0095
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9930
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0080
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9925
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0075
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9925
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0070
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9940
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.0060
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9940
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.0065
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.9910
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0085
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.9930
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.0055
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9945
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.0055
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9945
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0055
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.9945
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0055
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.9945
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.0055
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.9945
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0055
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.0055
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9930
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0075
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.9925
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.0075
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.9930
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0075
2025-03-27 17:00: 0.9920
2025-03-28 11:00: 0.0080
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.9920
2025-03-29 22:00: 0.0080
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.9940
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.0055
2025-04-01 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0085
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9915
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.0085
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.9910
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.9910
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.9915
2025-04-07 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 17:00: 0.9920
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0080
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9920
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.9920
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0080
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9920
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9920
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9920
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9920
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9920
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0080
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9920
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9925
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0080
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9920
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0075
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9925
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0085
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0085
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9920
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0075
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9925
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0080
2025-05-10 00:00: 0.9925
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0080
2025-05-11 11:00: 0.9925
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0080
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.9915
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0080
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.9910
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0090
2025-05-15 20:00: 0.9905
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0090
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.9910
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0095
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9900
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0100
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.9905
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.9890
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0105
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.9925
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0070
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.9925
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.0075
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.9925
2025-05-26 19:00: 0.0075
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9925
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0075
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9925
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0075
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9925
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9925
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0075
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9925
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.9935
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0065
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9935
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0065
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9935
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.9935
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0055
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9945
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.9940
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.9940
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.9940
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-18 22:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.9940
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.9940
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.9940
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9940
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9935
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-28 04:00: 0.9935
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0065
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9925
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0065
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.9935
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0060
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9935
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-04 00:00: 0.9940
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.9940
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0075
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9940
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0065
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9935
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0065
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9935
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0070
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0065
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.9935
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0065
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9935
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0070
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.9930
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0060
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9940
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0060
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.9940
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0060
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9940
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0060
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.9940
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.0060
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9940
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.0060
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.9940
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.0060
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.9940
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0060
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.9940
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0060
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.9940
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.0060
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9940
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.0060
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.9940
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.0060
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.0060
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9940
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.0060
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.9940
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.9935
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.0065
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0065
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9935
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0065
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.0065
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9945
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9945
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0055
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.9945
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9945
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.0055
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9945
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9950
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.0045
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0045
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9955
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.9945
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.9955
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.0045
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.0045
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.0045
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9950
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 254052436.11, Sell volume: 222867007.80, Average price: 0.8525, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.9950
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0050
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0035
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.0025
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9950
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9950
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.0040
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9950
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9955
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 347652, Buy volume: 119230661.64, Sell volume: 91617231.06, Average price: 0.7406, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9975
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9975
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 647918, Buy volume: 134209905.02, Sell volume: 130686240.94, Average price: 0.9117, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9990
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0025
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9990
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0005
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9995
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9930
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 322, Buy volume: 80247.80, Sell volume: 35621.63, Average price: 0.8623, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521934
Question: Will PRO win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1015196.099991
Price History:
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0235
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 111, Buy volume: 9444.34, Sell volume: 5716.87, Average price: 0.8807, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.5050
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.3100
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.7250
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.2750
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.7550
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.2750
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.7200
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.2800
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.7150
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.2850
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.7150
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.7250
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.2750
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.7250
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.2750
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.7300
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.2700
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.7300
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.2700
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.2650
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.7350
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.2650
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.7350
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.2650
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.7300
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.2650
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.7500
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.2350
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.7600
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.2500
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.7200
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.2950
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.7100
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.4200
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.6350
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.3500
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.6750
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.3300
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.3350
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.6950
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.2850
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.7050
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.2800
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.7100
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.2850
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.7400
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.2600
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.7200
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.3000
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.6800
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.3150
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.6900
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.2900
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.1950
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.8100
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.2000
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.7750
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2250
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.7750
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2250
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.2250
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.7750
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.7700
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.7950
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.2450
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.7550
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.2450
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.7850
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.2200
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.7550
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.2250
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.7800
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.2250
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.7750
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.2250
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.7750
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.2250
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.7700
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.2350
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.7650
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.2350
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.7650
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.2350
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.7650
2025-03-19 11:00: 0.2350
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.7650
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.7550
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.2450
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.7550
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.2450
2025-03-23 11:00: 0.7550
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.2450
2025-03-24 08:00: 0.7550
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.7550
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.2450
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.2450
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.7550
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.7550
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.7550
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.2550
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.7450
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.2550
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.7450
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.2550
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.7550
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.2550
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.7450
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.2550
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.7450
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.7450
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.2450
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.7550
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.2450
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.7600
2025-04-06 00:00: 0.2400
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.7600
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.2400
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.7600
2025-04-07 18:00: 0.2400
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.7600
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.2400
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.7600
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.2550
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.7450
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.2550
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.7450
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.2550
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.7450
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.2400
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.2450
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.7450
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.2350
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.7600
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.2300
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.7600
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.2300
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.7600
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.2300
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.7650
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.2300
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.7700
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.2300
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.7700
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.2300
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.7650
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.2350
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.7650
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2400
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.7550
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.7550
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.2450
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.7600
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.2450
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.7550
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.3800
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.6850
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2800
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.7400
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.7250
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.2850
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.2900
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.7250
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.7200
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2800
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.7200
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2800
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7200
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2800
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7200
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.2800
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.7200
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.2800
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.7300
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.2750
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.7250
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.2750
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.7400
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.2600
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.7400
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.2650
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.7250
2025-05-10 05:00: 0.2750
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.7250
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.2750
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.7250
2025-05-11 23:00: 0.2750
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.7250
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.2750
2025-05-13 07:00: 0.7250
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.2750
2025-05-14 04:00: 0.7350
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.2750
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.7250
2025-05-15 11:00: 0.2750
2025-05-15 22:00: 0.7250
2025-05-16 08:00: 0.2750
2025-05-16 19:00: 0.7250
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.2700
2025-05-17 16:00: 0.7300
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.2700
2025-05-18 13:00: 0.7300
2025-05-18 23:00: 0.2700
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.7300
2025-05-19 20:00: 0.2600
2025-05-20 07:00: 0.7450
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.2550
2025-05-21 04:00: 0.7400
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.2650
2025-05-22 01:00: 0.7350
2025-05-22 11:00: 0.2550
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.7550
2025-05-23 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.7450
2025-05-24 05:00: 0.2550
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 13:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.7500
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.2500
2025-05-27 07:00: 0.7500
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.2550
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.7550
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.2450
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.7600
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.2400
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.7600
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.2350
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.7900
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.2200
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.8000
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.2100
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.7850
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.2200
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.7800
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.2200
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.7750
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.2250
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.7750
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.2250
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.7750
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.2250
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.7700
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.2250
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.7850
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.2200
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.2200
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.2150
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.7800
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.2100
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.7950
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.2100
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.8000
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.2150
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.7850
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.2200
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.7850
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.2150
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.7800
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.2200
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.7800
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.2200
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.7800
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.2200
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.7800
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.2200
2025-06-18 06:00: 0.7800
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.2200
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.8000
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.2100
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.7700
2025-06-21 08:00: 0.2300
2025-06-21 19:00: 0.7650
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.2300
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.7700
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.2300
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.7750
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.2200
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.7800
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.2200
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.7800
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.2150
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.7850
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.2150
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.7900
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.2050
2025-06-27 22:00: 0.7950
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.2000
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.8050
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.1950
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.8000
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.2000
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.7950
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.1900
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.8250
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.1750
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.8250
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.1800
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.8250
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.1750
2025-07-04 01:00: 0.8350
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.1650
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.8250
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.1750
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.8250
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 16:00: 0.8300
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.1700
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.8300
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.1650
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.8350
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.1600
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.8400
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.1600
2025-07-10 04:00: 0.8400
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.1650
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.8450
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.1550
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.8450
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.1550
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.8450
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.1550
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.8450
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.1650
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.8350
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.1650
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.8350
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.1650
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.8350
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.1650
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.8350
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.1650
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.8350
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.1650
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.8350
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.1650
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.8350
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.1650
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.8350
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.1650
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.8350
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.1650
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.8350
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.1650
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.8350
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.1650
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.8350
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.1650
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.8350
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.1650
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.8600
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.1500
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.8550
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.1450
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.8550
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.8500
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.1450
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.8550
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.1450
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.8550
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.8550
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.1550
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.8500
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.1500
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.8500
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.1500
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.8450
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.1550
2025-08-05 11:00: 0.8500
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.1550
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.8500
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.1500
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.8450
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.1550
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.1450
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.8550
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.8600
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.1400
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.1300
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.1400
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.1250
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.8700
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.8700
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.1150
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.1150
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.8950
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.8950
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.1050
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.1050
2025-08-17 06:00: 0.1050
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.8950
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.1050
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.8950
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.1100
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.1250
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.8750
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.8750
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.8750
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.1250
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.8750
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.1250
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.8750
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.8750
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.1250
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.1250
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.1300
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.8550
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.1750
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.1850
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.8450
2025-08-29 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.1450
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.1550
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.1600
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.8450
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.1450
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.8450
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.8450
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.8250
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.1750
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.1750
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.1750
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.7100
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.7850
2025-09-04 05:00: 0.7800
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.7550
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.7850
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.2000
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.2000
2025-09-06 09:00: 0.2250
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.7800
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.1850
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.4400
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.6350
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.6600
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.3400
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.6700
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.3300
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.6600
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.3700
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.6600
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.6550
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.3450
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.6550
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.3500
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.6350
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.3950
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.5850
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.5650
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.5750
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.5650
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.4000
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.6050
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.5950
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.5950
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.4000
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.3950
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.6000
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.3950
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.5650
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.4050
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.5750
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.5750
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4450
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4700
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4450
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.6450
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.6900
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.3400
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.5800
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.5950
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.5950
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.5700
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5450
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4350
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.5750
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.5750
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.3300
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.6600
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.3550
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.6450
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.6350
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.3300
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.6550
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.6300
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.6450
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.3550
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.6400
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.3400
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.3300
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.6700
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.3350
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.3350
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.3250
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.3150
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.6950
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.3650
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.6900
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.2950
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.7050
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.7250
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2650
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2450
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.2550
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.7350
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.2050
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.7150
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.3150
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9835
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9825
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0130
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0100
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 845154, Buy volume: 37556075.07, Sell volume: 82826410.68, Average price: 0.9008, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9840
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0110
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9865
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9910
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0105
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9885
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0185
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9850
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0340
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9865
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0085
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9870
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9870
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0115
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9900
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0090
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9910
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0090
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9905
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9895
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9885
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0105
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9925
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9900
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0110
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9890
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0085
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9900
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9850
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0210
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9880
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140847, Buy volume: 2402979.97, Sell volume: 2412066.52, Average price: 0.9302, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.5050
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.2950
2025-02-07 07:00: 0.7550
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.2750
2025-02-08 18:00: 0.7200
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.2850
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.7150
2025-02-10 22:00: 0.2700
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.7250
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.2750
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.7300
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.2700
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.2700
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.7350
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.2650
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.7300
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.2500
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.7600
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.2800
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.6800
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.4200
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.6750
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.3400
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.3550
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.7100
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.2800
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.7100
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.2600
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.7050
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.3200
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.6900
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.2900
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.8000
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.2000
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.7750
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.2150
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.7550
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.7650
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.7850
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.2350
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.7750
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.2250
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.7750
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.2250
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.7700
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.2350
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.7650
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.2350
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.7650
2025-03-19 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.7650
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.2450
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.7550
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.2450
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.7550
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.2450
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-26 23:00: 0.7550
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.2450
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.7550
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.2450
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.7550
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.2550
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.7450
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.7500
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.2550
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.7550
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.7550
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.2550
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.7600
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.2400
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.7600
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.2400
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.7600
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.2550
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.7450
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.2550
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.7450
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.2450
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.7550
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.2300
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.7600
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.2300
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.7700
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.2300
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.7600
2025-04-19 18:00: 0.2300
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.7650
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.2350
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.7550
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.2400
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.7550
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.2450
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.7550
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.2850
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7200
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7200
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2850
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.7100
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7200
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2800
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7200
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2800
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7200
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2800
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.7300
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.2750
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.7300
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.2600
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.7350
2025-05-09 22:00: 0.2750
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.7250
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.2750
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.7250
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.2750
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.7250
2025-05-14 07:00: 0.2650
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.7250
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.2750
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.7250
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.2700
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.7300
2025-05-18 16:00: 0.2700
2025-05-19 10:00: 0.7300
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.2550
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.7400
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.2650
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.7350
2025-05-23 01:00: 0.2500
2025-05-23 19:00: 0.7450
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.2550
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.7450
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.2500
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.7500
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.2550
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.7550
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.2400
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.7600
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.2150
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.7950
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.2100
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.7800
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.2200
2025-06-04 05:00: 0.7750
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.2250
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.7750
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.2250
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.7750
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.2200
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.7800
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.2150
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.7800
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.2100
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.7900
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.2050
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.7850
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.2150
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.7850
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.2200
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.7800
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.2200
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.7800
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.2200
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.8000
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.2250
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.7700
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.2300
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.7700
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.2300
2025-06-24 10:00: 0.7800
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.2200
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.7850
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.2150
2025-06-27 08:00: 0.7950
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.2000
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.8050
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.1950
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.8000
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.1900
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.8250
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.1800
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.8250
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.1750
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.8350
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.1750
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.8250
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.1700
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.8300
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.1650
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.8400
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.1600
2025-07-10 11:00: 0.8350
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.1550
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.8450
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.8450
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.1650
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.8350
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.1650
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.8350
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.1650
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.8350
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.1650
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.8350
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.1650
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.8350
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.1650
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.8350
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.1650
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.8350
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.1650
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.8300
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.1450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.8550
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.1450
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.8450
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.1450
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.8550
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.1450
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.8550
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.1550
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.8500
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.1550
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.8500
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.1550
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.8500
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.1550
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.8550
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.1450
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.8550
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.8600
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.8600
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.8600
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.8700
2025-08-13 04:00: 0.1150
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.1050
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.1050
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.1050
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.8950
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.1050
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.1250
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.8750
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.1250
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.8750
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.8750
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.1350
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.1300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.8650
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.8250
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.8400
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.8600
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.1450
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.8500
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.1600
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.8550
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.1550
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.8250
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.8250
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.7550
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.7850
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.2250
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.7850
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.2000
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.7950
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.1700
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.4400
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.3500
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.3300
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.3300
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.6750
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.6600
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.6550
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.3650
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.3950
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.5700
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.5800
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.4000
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.4050
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.6000
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.3950
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.6050
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.4000
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5050
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4450
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5600
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6050
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.5950
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3700
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.6750
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.6850
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.6700
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.4200
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.5950
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.5800
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.4450
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4350
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4200
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 40160761.29, Sell volume: 85653068.65, Average price: 0.9003, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.3300
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.6500
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.3500
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.3300
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.3450
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.3550
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.6400
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.6700
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.3750
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.3350
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.6750
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.3100
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.6950
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.3050
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.7050
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.2950
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2450
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.7450
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.2700
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.7150
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.3250
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.4800
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0035
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9825
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0135
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 845154, Buy volume: 37556075.07, Sell volume: 82826410.68, Average price: 0.9008, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 521932
Question: Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Volume: 1602204.389616
Price History:
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9840
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0125
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9915
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0105
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9815
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0125
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9895
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0120
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9885
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9905
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0090
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9910
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0105
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9885
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0105
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9925
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9900
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0090
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9900
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9900
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0105
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9840
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140847, Buy volume: 2402979.97, Sell volume: 2412066.52, Average price: 0.9302, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521933
Question: Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1257273.861156
Price History:
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.5000
2025-02-06 06:00: 0.7750
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.2300
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.7650
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.2250
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.7750
2025-02-08 11:00: 0.2250
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.7750
2025-02-09 08:00: 0.2250
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.7750
2025-02-10 05:00: 0.2250
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.7750
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.2250
2025-02-11 12:00: 0.7900
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.2100
2025-02-12 09:00: 0.7900
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.2100
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.7900
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.2100
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.7900
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.2050
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.8000
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.2000
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.8050
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.8000
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.1950
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.8000
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.1950
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.8050
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.8050
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.2000
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.8050
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.2300
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.6800
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.3050
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.7100
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.2700
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.7300
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.2650
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.7350
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.2300
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.7750
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.2250
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.7750
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.2250
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.7750
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.2050
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 124740205.40, Sell volume: 104873128.27, Average price: 0.2689, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521933
Question: Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1257273.861156
Price History:
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.2050
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.7950
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.2050
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.7950
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.2050
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.7950
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.2050
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.7950
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.1700
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.8550
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.1350
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.8650
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.1350
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.8650
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.1350
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.8550
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.1450
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.8550
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.1350
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.8450
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.1550
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.8600
2025-03-09 21:00: 0.1550
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.8450
2025-03-10 18:00: 0.1550
2025-03-11 04:00: 0.8550
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.1450
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.8550
2025-03-12 12:00: 0.1450
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.8550
2025-03-13 09:00: 0.1450
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.8550
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.1450
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.8550
2025-03-15 03:00: 0.1450
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.8550
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.1450
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.8550
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.1450
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.8550
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.1450
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.8550
2025-03-18 15:00: 0.1450
2025-03-19 01:00: 0.8550
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.1450
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.8550
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.1450
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.8550
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.1450
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 124740205.40, Sell volume: 104873128.27, Average price: 0.2689, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521933
Question: Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1257273.861156
Price History:
2025-03-22 15:00: 0.1450
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.8550
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.1450
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.8550
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.1450
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.8550
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.1450
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.8550
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.1450
2025-03-26 13:00: 0.8550
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.1450
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.8550
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.1450
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.8550
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.1450
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.8550
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.1450
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.8550
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.1450
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.8550
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.1450
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.8550
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.1450
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.8550
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.1450
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.8550
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.1450
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.8500
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.1450
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.8550
2025-04-04 18:00: 0.1450
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.8500
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.1450
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.8450
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.1550
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.8450
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.1500
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.8450
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.1550
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.8450
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.1550
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.8450
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.1550
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.8450
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.1550
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.8450
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.8450
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.1650
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 124740205.40, Sell volume: 104873128.27, Average price: 0.2689, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521933
Question: Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1257273.861156
Price History:
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.1550
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.8450
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.1650
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.8450
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.1650
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.8350
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.1550
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.8400
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.1550
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.8450
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.1550
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.8450
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.1550
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.8450
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.1600
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.8400
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.1550
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.8400
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1600
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.8350
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.1600
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.8350
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.1650
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.8350
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.1850
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.8150
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.2150
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.7800
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.2150
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.8000
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2050
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.7700
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.2350
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7650
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.2350
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7650
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.2350
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7650
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.7650
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2350
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.7600
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2400
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.7650
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2350
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.7650
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.2350
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.7650
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.2350
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 124740205.40, Sell volume: 104873128.27, Average price: 0.2689, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521933
Question: Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1257273.861156
Price History:
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.7650
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.2350
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.7650
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2300
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.7700
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2250
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.7700
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.2300
2025-05-10 07:00: 0.7750
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.2250
2025-05-11 04:00: 0.7750
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.7750
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-12 22:00: 0.7750
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.2000
2025-05-13 19:00: 0.7850
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.2150
2025-05-14 16:00: 0.7850
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.2150
2025-05-15 13:00: 0.7850
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.2150
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.7850
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-17 07:00: 0.7850
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-18 04:00: 0.7850
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.2150
2025-05-19 01:00: 0.7850
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.2150
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.7850
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.2050
2025-05-20 19:00: 0.7950
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.2050
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.7850
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.2100
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.7850
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.2050
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.7900
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.2150
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.7900
2025-05-24 18:00: 0.2150
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.7900
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.2100
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.7900
2025-05-26 12:00: 0.2050
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.7950
2025-05-27 09:00: 0.2050
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 124740205.40, Sell volume: 104873128.27, Average price: 0.2689, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521933
Question: Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1257273.861156
Price History:
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.1950
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.8100
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.1900
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.8150
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.1950
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.8050
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.1800
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.8150
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.1750
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.8300
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.1700
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.8150
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.1900
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.8100
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.1950
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.8100
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.1900
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.8150
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.1900
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.8050
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.1850
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.8150
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.1900
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.8150
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.1850
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.8150
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.1850
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.8150
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.1850
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.8100
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.1850
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.8200
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.2050
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.8100
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.1900
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.8150
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.1900
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.8100
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.1900
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.8100
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.1850
2025-06-15 17:00: 0.8100
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.1850
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.8100
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.1900
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.8150
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.1850
2025-06-18 08:00: 0.8150
2025-06-18 19:00: 0.1850
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 124740205.40, Sell volume: 104873128.27, Average price: 0.2689, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521933
Question: Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1257273.861156
Price History:
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.1800
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.8150
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.1850
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.8000
2025-06-21 22:00: 0.2000
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.8000
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.2000
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.7900
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.2100
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.8050
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.2000
2025-06-24 23:00: 0.8050
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.1950
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.8100
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.1950
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.8050
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.1850
2025-06-27 14:00: 0.8150
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.1800
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.8250
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.1750
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.8250
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.1800
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.8200
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.1750
2025-07-01 02:00: 0.8300
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.1550
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.8450
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.1600
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.8400
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.1550
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.8450
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.1450
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.8550
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.1500
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.8500
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.1500
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.8500
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.1500
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.8500
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.1500
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.8550
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.1400
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.8600
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.1400
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.8600
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.1250
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.8700
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.1250
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 124740205.40, Sell volume: 104873128.27, Average price: 0.2689, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521933
Question: Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1257273.861156
Price History:
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.1250
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.8750
2025-07-13 10:00: 0.1300
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.8700
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.1300
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.8700
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.1300
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.8650
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.1350
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.8650
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.1350
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.8650
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.1350
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.8650
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.1350
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.8600
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.1400
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.8600
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.1400
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.8600
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.1400
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.8600
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.1400
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.8600
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1400
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.8650
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.1350
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.8650
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.1350
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.8650
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.1300
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.8750
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.1200
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.8800
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.8800
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.8850
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.1150
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.8750
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.1300
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.8750
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.1250
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.8750
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.1200
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.8750
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.1250
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.8750
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.1250
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 124740205.40, Sell volume: 104873128.27, Average price: 0.2689, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521933
Question: Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1257273.861156
Price History:
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.1250
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.8750
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.1250
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.8750
2025-08-05 15:00: 0.1200
2025-08-06 01:00: 0.8850
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.1150
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.8850
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.1150
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.8850
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.8850
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.8800
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.1200
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.8800
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.1200
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.1200
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.8800
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.1100
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.8850
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.8850
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.1100
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.8900
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0900
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0850
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.0950
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0850
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.0850
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.0850
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0850
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0850
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.9150
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0850
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9150
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.1050
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.8950
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.8950
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.1050
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.8900
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.1100
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.8900
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.1100
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.1100
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.8900
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.8850
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 124740205.40, Sell volume: 104873128.27, Average price: 0.2689, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 521933
Question: Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1257273.861156
Price History:
2025-08-26 05:00: 0.1150
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.8850
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.1350
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.8650
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.1150
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.1450
2025-08-28 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.1350
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.8650
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.8650
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.1450
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.1350
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.1400
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.8500
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.1550
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.1600
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.8400
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.7900
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.2150
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.8050
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.1950
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.8150
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.1850
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.8150
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.2100
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.8150
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.1600
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.1450
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.2500
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.3900
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6850
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.6600
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.6600
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.3350
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.2950
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.6600
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.3500
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.6750
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.6800
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.3350
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.3400
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.3700
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 124740205.40, Sell volume: 104873128.27, Average price: 0.2689, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No