Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5600
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.4150
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3400
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.6600
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.3050
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.6800
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.7300
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.7100
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.7150
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7500
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.7650
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.7500
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.1250
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.1400
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.1400
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.1400
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.1500
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.8500
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.8550
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.1100
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.8650
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 325674, Buy volume: 35881218.28, Sell volume: 53540166.24, Average price: 0.5549, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.1900
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.2150
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.2050
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.2150
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.1600
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1700
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.2100
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.2000
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.7400
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.2200
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.7650
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.7750
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8100
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.4400
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.6050
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.5750
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.4450
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.3900
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.4250
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.4450
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.5050
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.5700
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.4250
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.5850
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.4200
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.5800
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 171947, Buy volume: 25076699.08, Sell volume: 9146218.42, Average price: 0.5391, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.5550
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.5100
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.5150
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.4750
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.5500
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.5400
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.4700
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.4500
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.3950
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.6200
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.6200
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7700
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.7300
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.2900
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.6700
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.6800
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.3150
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.6800
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.3250
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.3250
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.6550
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.3300
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.6700
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.5750
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.5800
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.5850
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.5900
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 304, Buy volume: 25466.53, Sell volume: 8346.12, Average price: 0.5155, Price range: 0.2029 - 0.8232
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.4750
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.5450
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.3550
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.6750
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.3200
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.6600
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.3250
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.6400
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.3950
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.5950
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.4000
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.5850
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.4150
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.5450
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.4450
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.4450
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.5350
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.4900
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.5500
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.4100
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.5600
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.3850
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.5550
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 232, Buy volume: 21211.15, Sell volume: 8882.18, Average price: 0.5160, Price range: 0.2888 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 572399
Question: Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
Volume: 395568.542663
Price History:
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.5900
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.4600
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.4450
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.5450
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.4600
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.5500
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.3450
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.7000
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.3950
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.6400
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.3800
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.6200
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.3850
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.5950
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.4000
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.6100
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.4150
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.6150
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.3850
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.6250
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.3350
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.6650
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 275, Buy volume: 23829.47, Sell volume: 15548.01, Average price: 0.5559, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 746197
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Galle Marvels (Game 1)
Outcomes: ["Kandy Falcons", "Galle Marvels"]
Volume: nan
Price History:
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 746197
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Galle Marvels (Game 1)
Volume: nan
Price History:
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.3850
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.3700
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.3700
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.3700
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.3900
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.3850
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.3800
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.6200
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.7300
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.7300
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.7250
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.7500
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2400
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.7600
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.7750
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.8000
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.1850
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.1800
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.8500
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.8850
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9400
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.2150
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.1400
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 8722.87, Sell volume: 2423.01, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9400
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2209.95, Sell volume: 895.59, Average price: 0.5356, Price range: 0.0539 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1060.31, Sell volume: 171.00, Average price: 0.5031, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 103.00, Sell volume: 504.19, Average price: 0.4286, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 204.59, Sell volume: 82.70, Average price: 0.5083, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1192.58, Sell volume: 142.61, Average price: 0.4925, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.2750
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.2750
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.2250
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.1500
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.1250
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.1250
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.1400
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.1400
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.1400
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.1250
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.1200
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.1150
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1150
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.1150
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1150
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.1150
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.1150
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 511.68, Sell volume: 901.85, Average price: 0.7366, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 549.41, Sell volume: 56.62, Average price: 0.6334, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9101

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 23.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6433, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 3137.67, Sell volume: 869.65, Average price: 0.6861, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0245
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0220
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0215
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0210
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0210
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0210
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 9710.09, Sell volume: 4494.19, Average price: 0.5334, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0205
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0210
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0220
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0220
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0220
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0220
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0220
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0220
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0175
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0205
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0205
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0205
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0205
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0205
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0205
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0300
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0295
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0295
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0300
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0300
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0285
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0285
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0280
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0280
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0280
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0280
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0280
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0285
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0280
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0280
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.0280
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0305
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.0305
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0305
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0305
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0305
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2095.86, Sell volume: 389.75, Average price: 0.5324, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0090
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0085
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0085
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 183, Buy volume: 16309.37, Sell volume: 28534.28, Average price: 0.1530, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.3750
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.3700
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.3900
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.3800
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.7300
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.7250
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.2400
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.2100
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.2000
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.8200
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0600
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.1400
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1250
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.8700
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.8650
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1300
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 83, Buy volume: 8722.87, Sell volume: 2423.01, Average price: 0.4400, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9400
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9500
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9500
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.9450
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 2209.95, Sell volume: 895.59, Average price: 0.5356, Price range: 0.0539 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1060.31, Sell volume: 171.00, Average price: 0.5031, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 103.00, Sell volume: 504.19, Average price: 0.4286, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0750
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 204.59, Sell volume: 82.70, Average price: 0.5083, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0800
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.3000
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.2900
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.1900
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1192.58, Sell volume: 142.61, Average price: 0.4925, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.2750
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.2600
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.1950
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.1250
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0950
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.1450
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.1400
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.1250
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.1200
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.1150
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.1150
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.1150
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.1000
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 511.68, Sell volume: 901.85, Average price: 0.7366, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0850
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 549.41, Sell volume: 56.62, Average price: 0.6334, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9101
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 23.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6433, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0850
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0850
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 3137.67, Sell volume: 869.65, Average price: 0.6861, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0450
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0400
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0220
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0210
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0210
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0210
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0210
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0210
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0210
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 9710.09, Sell volume: 4494.19, Average price: 0.5334, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0205
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0205
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0220
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0220
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0220
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0220
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0205
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0205
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0205
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0300
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0295
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0300
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0285
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0280
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0280
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0285
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.0280
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0305
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0305
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0305
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0300
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0305
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0305
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0225
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0185
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 2095.86, Sell volume: 389.75, Average price: 0.5324, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 621058
Question: Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?
Volume: 97843.630572
Price History:
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0095
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0085
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0085
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0080
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 183, Buy volume: 16309.37, Sell volume: 28534.28, Average price: 0.1530, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 380, Buy volume: 22549.28, Sell volume: 1700.80, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 380, Buy volume: 22549.28, Sell volume: 1700.80, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 380, Buy volume: 22549.28, Sell volume: 1700.80, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 380, Buy volume: 22549.28, Sell volume: 1700.80, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 380, Buy volume: 22549.28, Sell volume: 1700.80, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 380, Buy volume: 22549.28, Sell volume: 1700.80, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 380, Buy volume: 22549.28, Sell volume: 1700.80, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 380, Buy volume: 22549.28, Sell volume: 1700.80, Average price: 0.6555, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 756499
Question: Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Volume: 9343.143809
Price History:
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.4550
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 3349.52, Sell volume: 248.43, Average price: 0.5011, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 16975.93, Sell volume: 453.48, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 16975.93, Sell volume: 453.48, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.2500
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.7500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 16975.93, Sell volume: 453.48, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 16975.93, Sell volume: 453.48, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0380
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9620
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 16232.67, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.9084, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 100.48, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 16975.93, Sell volume: 453.48, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 16975.93, Sell volume: 453.48, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 16975.93, Sell volume: 453.48, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 16975.93, Sell volume: 453.48, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 501.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0040, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.0040

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 192.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 16975.93, Sell volume: 453.48, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 16975.93, Sell volume: 453.48, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.2500
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.7500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.1150
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 16975.93, Sell volume: 453.48, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9050
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 16975.93, Sell volume: 453.48, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0380
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9620
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 16232.67, Sell volume: 295.00, Average price: 0.9084, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 100.48, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 16975.93, Sell volume: 453.48, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 16975.93, Sell volume: 453.48, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 16975.93, Sell volume: 453.48, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 16975.93, Sell volume: 453.48, Average price: 0.8805, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 501.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0040, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.0040
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702077
Question: Will Microsoft reach $480 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 17429.414
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 192.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 7470.31, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.7381, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.7500
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.2500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 7470.31, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.7381, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 7470.31, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.7381, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 7470.31, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.7381, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 7470.31, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.7381, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 7470.31, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.7381, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6200, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6200, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.6250
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4600, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.4600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.6350
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.3650
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.6300
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.3700
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.6300
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.3700
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.6250
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 33.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6213, Price range: 0.5227 - 0.7200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.5550
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.4450
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.4300
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.5700
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.4550
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.4000
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 7470.31, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.7381, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.3650
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.3650
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.6350
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.3650
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 601.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4999, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9899

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0605
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9395
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1013.31, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.8586, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4850
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5150
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 7470.31, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.7381, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.7500
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.2500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.7500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 7470.31, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.7381, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 7470.31, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.7381, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 7470.31, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.7381, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 7470.31, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.7381, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4200
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5800
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.4200
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5800
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.4200
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5800
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4200
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5800
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.4200
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 7470.31, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.7381, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.4200
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.61, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6200, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6200, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.4150
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.5850
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.4200
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.5800
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.6200
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.3800
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.6250
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4600, Price range: 0.4600 - 0.4600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.6350
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.3650
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.6150
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.3850
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.6300
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.3700
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.6300
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.3700
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.6300
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.3700
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.6250
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 33.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6213, Price range: 0.5227 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.5550
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.4450
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.4800
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5200
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.4300
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.5700
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.4550
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.5450
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.4000
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.6000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 7470.31, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.7381, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.3650
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.6350
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.3650
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.6350
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.3650
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.3650
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.6350
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 601.27, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4999, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9899
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 702081
Question: Will Microsoft reach $490 in Nov 25-28?
Volume: 7675.313287
Price History:
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0605
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9395
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9945
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 1013.31, Sell volume: 205.00, Average price: 0.8586, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702080
Question: Will Microsoft reach $485 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8574.234
Price History:
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 8436.23, Sell volume: 138.00, Average price: 0.8603, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702080
Question: Will Microsoft reach $485 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8574.234
Price History:
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 8436.23, Sell volume: 138.00, Average price: 0.8603, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702080
Question: Will Microsoft reach $485 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8574.234
Price History:
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.4950
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.4800
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 8436.23, Sell volume: 138.00, Average price: 0.8603, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702080
Question: Will Microsoft reach $485 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8574.234
Price History:
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.2610
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.7390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 225.65, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9700, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702080
Question: Will Microsoft reach $485 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8574.234
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0345
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9655
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2556.65, Sell volume: 38.00, Average price: 0.6660, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702080
Question: Will Microsoft reach $485 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8574.234
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 8436.23, Sell volume: 138.00, Average price: 0.8603, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702080
Question: Will Microsoft reach $485 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8574.234
Price History:
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 8436.23, Sell volume: 138.00, Average price: 0.8603, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 702080
Question: Will Microsoft reach $485 in Nov 25-28?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8574.234
Price History:
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 8436.23, Sell volume: 138.00, Average price: 0.8603, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes