Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512313
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 923171.606314
Price History:
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0065
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.9935
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.0065
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.9935
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.0065
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.9935
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.0065
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.9935
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0065
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.9935
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.0065
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.9935
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.0065
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.9935
2025-01-06 03:00: 0.0065
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.9935
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0060
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.9945
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.0055
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.9945
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0040
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.9955
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.0040
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.9960
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0040
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.9960
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.0050
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.9960
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0040
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.9960
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.0040
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.9960
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0040
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.9960
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0040
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.9940
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0055
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.9950
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.0425
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.9270
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0730
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.8975
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.0985
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.8965
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.1040
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.8985
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.1155
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.9110
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0765
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 8720.09, Sell volume: 1311.73, Average price: 0.8848, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512313
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 923171.606314
Price History:
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.0170
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.9835
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.0170
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.9825
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.0170
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.9330
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.1010
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.9040
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.1245
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.8655
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.1310
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.8790
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0755
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.9335
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0575
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.9240
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.0905
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.9185
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0765
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.9175
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.0875
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.9115
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0900
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.9090
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.0925
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.9065
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0900
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9095
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.0930
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9050
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0775
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.9210
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.0790
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.9100
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0825
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.9175
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0825
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.9180
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0870
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.9070
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.0665
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.9395
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.1940
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.8580
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.1500
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.8660
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.1870
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.6505
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.2030
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.7005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 51822.81, Sell volume: 5946.45, Average price: 0.5656, Price range: 0.0216 - 0.9870

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512313
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 923171.606314
Price History:
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.4430
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.6560
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.3685
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.6490
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.3005
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.7125
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.2860
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.7115
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.2945
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.7115
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.2980
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.7050
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.9965
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0040
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.9965
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0045
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.9950
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0050
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.9940
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0090
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.9910
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0095
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.9955
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0040
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.9955
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0045
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9965
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0055
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9945
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.0055
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9960
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0055
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.9960
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0040
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.9960
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0040
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.9960
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0035
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.9960
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0040
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.9950
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0025
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 401, Buy volume: 70355.17, Sell volume: 50712.24, Average price: 0.6066, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512313
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 923171.606314
Price History:
2024-11-07 18:00: 0.4500
2024-11-07 22:00: 0.8150
2024-11-08 03:00: 0.1600
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.8550
2024-11-08 12:00: 0.1900
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.8350
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.0850
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.8600
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.1400
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.8700
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.1550
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.8550
2024-11-10 00:00: 0.1450
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.8600
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.1350
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.8650
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.1350
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.8650
2024-11-11 03:00: 0.1150
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.8850
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0850
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.9100
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.0950
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.8600
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.1600
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.8400
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.2250
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.8550
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0105
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93862155.75, Sell volume: 58664.22, Average price: 0.9898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512313
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 923171.606314
Price History:
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0305
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.9705
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0205
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.9700
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0295
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.9705
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0295
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.9700
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0295
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.9695
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.0300
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.9705
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0290
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.9705
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0295
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.9700
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0285
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.9715
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.0290
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.9715
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0275
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.9745
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0280
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.9725
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.0290
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.9710
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0290
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.9715
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0285
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93862155.75, Sell volume: 58664.22, Average price: 0.9898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512313
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 923171.606314
Price History:
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0290
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.9710
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0295
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.9705
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0295
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.9705
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.0305
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.9690
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0305
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.9695
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0300
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.9690
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0305
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.9695
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0305
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.9695
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.0305
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.9690
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0305
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.9690
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0310
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.9695
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0305
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.9755
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0225
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9860
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0110
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.9890
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0110
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93862155.75, Sell volume: 58664.22, Average price: 0.9898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512313
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 923171.606314
Price History:
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.0155
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.9845
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0155
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.9845
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0155
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.9840
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.0160
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.9835
2024-11-26 15:00: 0.0160
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.9850
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.0150
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.9845
2024-11-27 09:00: 0.0155
2024-11-27 13:00: 0.9845
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.0185
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.9820
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.0175
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.9825
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.0150
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.9850
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.0150
2024-11-29 01:00: 0.9845
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.0150
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.9850
2024-11-29 15:00: 0.0150
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.9840
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.0150
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.9850
2024-11-30 09:00: 0.0150
2024-11-30 13:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93862155.75, Sell volume: 58664.22, Average price: 0.9898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512313
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 923171.606314
Price History:
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.0160
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.9835
2024-12-01 07:00: 0.0150
2024-12-01 11:00: 0.9845
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.0150
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.9855
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.0150
2024-12-02 05:00: 0.9850
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.0160
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.9850
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.0150
2024-12-02 23:00: 0.9845
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.0150
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.9850
2024-12-03 13:00: 0.0165
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.9845
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.0170
2024-12-04 02:00: 0.9845
2024-12-04 07:00: 0.0155
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.9830
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.0155
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.9845
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.0155
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.9840
2024-12-05 10:00: 0.0160
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.9845
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.0150
2024-12-05 23:00: 0.9815
2024-12-06 04:00: 0.0170
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93862155.75, Sell volume: 58664.22, Average price: 0.9898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512313
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 923171.606314
Price History:
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.0160
2024-12-06 21:00: 0.9820
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0180
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.9840
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.0170
2024-12-07 15:00: 0.9830
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0180
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.9810
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.0190
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.9830
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0170
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.9825
2024-12-08 23:00: 0.0190
2024-12-09 03:00: 0.9830
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0180
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.9830
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.0185
2024-12-09 21:00: 0.9815
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.0175
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.9820
2024-12-10 11:00: 0.0180
2024-12-10 15:00: 0.9820
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.0175
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.9825
2024-12-11 05:00: 0.0170
2024-12-11 09:00: 0.9830
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.0160
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.9820
2024-12-11 23:00: 0.0180
2024-12-12 03:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93862155.75, Sell volume: 58664.22, Average price: 0.9898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512313
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 923171.606314
Price History:
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.0180
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.9820
2024-12-12 21:00: 0.0185
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.9810
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.0180
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.9830
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.0185
2024-12-13 19:00: 0.9820
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.0185
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.9830
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.0170
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.9820
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.0175
2024-12-14 22:00: 0.9840
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.0120
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.9880
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0115
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.9885
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.0110
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.9890
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.0115
2024-12-16 10:00: 0.9890
2024-12-16 15:00: 0.0110
2024-12-16 19:00: 0.9885
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0115
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.9890
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.0115
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.9890
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.0115
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93862155.75, Sell volume: 58664.22, Average price: 0.9898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512313
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 923171.606314
Price History:
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.0115
2024-12-18 11:00: 0.9885
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.0170
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.9820
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.0170
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.9835
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.0185
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.9815
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.0165
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.9850
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.0150
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.9860
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.0150
2024-12-20 17:00: 0.9850
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.0150
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.9850
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.0150
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.9845
2024-12-21 16:00: 0.0125
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.9795
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.0205
2024-12-22 05:00: 0.9795
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.0205
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.9800
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.0195
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.9800
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0195
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.9805
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0190
2024-12-23 17:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93862155.75, Sell volume: 58664.22, Average price: 0.9898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512313
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 923171.606314
Price History:
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0190
2024-12-24 06:00: 0.9810
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.0195
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.9800
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.0200
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.9800
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.0185
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.9800
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.0200
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.9855
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.0125
2024-12-26 03:00: 0.9910
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.0080
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.9915
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.0080
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.9920
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.0070
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.9930
2024-12-27 11:00: 0.0070
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.9885
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0115
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.9885
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.0115
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.9885
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.0115
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.9885
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.0115
2024-12-29 03:00: 0.9875
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0120
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93862155.75, Sell volume: 58664.22, Average price: 0.9898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512313
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 923171.606314
Price History:
2024-12-29 21:00: 0.0110
2024-12-30 01:00: 0.9890
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0110
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.9890
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.0110
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.9890
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0110
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.9890
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.0110
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.9890
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0110
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.9890
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.0110
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.9890
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0110
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.9890
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.0110
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.9890
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0105
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.9920
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.0100
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.9900
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0100
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.9900
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.0100
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.9935
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.0065
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.9935
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.0065
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999434, Buy volume: 93731257.68, Sell volume: 656.41, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512313
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 923171.606314
Price History:
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0065
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.9935
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.0065
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.9935
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.0065
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.9935
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.0065
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.9935
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.0065
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.9940
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.0055
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.9960
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.0040
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.9960
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.0040
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.9960
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0040
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.9960
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.0045
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.9960
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0055
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.9480
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.0735
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.8995
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.1010
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.8985
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.0890
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.9260
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.0170
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 8720.09, Sell volume: 1311.73, Average price: 0.8848, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512313
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 923171.606314
Price History:
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.0170
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.9830
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0170
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.8985
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.0965
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.8655
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.1210
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.8815
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0555
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.9095
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0765
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.9120
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.0890
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.9080
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0940
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9095
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.0950
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.9210
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0790
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.9175
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0825
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9145
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.0810
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.9410
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.1455
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.8660
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.3495
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.8025
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.2310
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.6690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 113, Buy volume: 51822.81, Sell volume: 5946.45, Average price: 0.5656, Price range: 0.0216 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512313
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 923171.606314
Price History:
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.4430
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6695
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.3460
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.7140
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.3335
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.7115
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.2950
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.9965
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0035
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.9955
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0050
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.9910
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0090
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.9960
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0045
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9965
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0055
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.9960
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0040
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9960
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0040
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.9965
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.0040
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9950
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.9980
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 401, Buy volume: 70355.17, Sell volume: 50712.24, Average price: 0.6066, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-11-07 18:00: 0.3600
2024-11-07 20:00: 0.6700
2024-11-07 23:00: 0.1100
2024-11-08 01:00: 0.9400
2024-11-08 04:00: 0.0650
2024-11-08 06:00: 0.9300
2024-11-08 09:00: 0.0600
2024-11-08 11:00: 0.9450
2024-11-08 14:00: 0.0500
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.9600
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.0400
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.9600
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.0400
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.9600
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.0400
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.9750
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.0550
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.9400
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0600
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.9400
2024-11-09 20:00: 0.0550
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.9445
2024-11-10 01:00: 0.0380
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.9625
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.0380
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.9730
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.0270
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.9725
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.0270
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.9715
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.0290
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.9710
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.0285
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.9675
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.0385
2024-11-11 09:00: 0.9705
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0280
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.9750
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.0240
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.9765
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.0215
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.9795
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.0205
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.9790
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0200
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.9800
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.0200
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.9810
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.0175
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 789.35, Sell volume: 168.94, Average price: 0.7226, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0135
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9885
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0115
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9890
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.0115
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.9885
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.0170
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.9835
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.0195
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.9825
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.0210
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.9815
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.0190
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.9820
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.0170
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.9810
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.0210
2024-11-15 07:00: 0.9815
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.0165
2024-11-15 12:00: 0.9835
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.0160
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.9860
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.0150
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.9845
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.0170
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.9830
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.0135
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.9830
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.0125
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.9895
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.0165
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.9815
2024-11-16 21:00: 0.0120
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.9800
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.0145
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.9705
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0220
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.9800
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.0130
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.9880
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.0235
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.9865
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.0080
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.9920
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.0080
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.9915
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.0085
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.9930
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.0065
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 771.05, Sell volume: 46.00, Average price: 0.5875, Price range: 0.0082 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0365
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.9715
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.0300
2024-11-19 15:00: 0.9695
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.0330
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.9625
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.0405
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.9595
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.0555
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.9390
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.0600
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.9405
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.0580
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.9405
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.0605
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.9615
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.0360
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.9660
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0225
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.9905
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.0050
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.9970
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.0070
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.9940
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.0025
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.9975
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.9800
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.0135
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.9925
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.0045
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.9970
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.9985
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.0330
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.9685
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0240
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.9825
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.0070
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.9900
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.0155
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.9870
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.0055
2024-11-23 19:00: 0.9965
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.0030
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9795
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.0060
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.9945
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.9775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1405.52, Sell volume: 1699.17, Average price: 0.5056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.0210
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.9785
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.0220
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.9780
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.0220
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.9795
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.0260
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.9780
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.0260
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.4955
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.0165
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.9590
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.0410
2024-11-26 11:00: 0.7875
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.5050
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.4950
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.1530
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.8510
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.1400
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.7995
2024-11-27 05:00: 0.1945
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.7120
2024-11-27 10:00: 0.2140
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.7860
2024-11-27 15:00: 0.2095
2024-11-27 17:00: 0.8055
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.2090
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.7905
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.2095
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.7885
2024-11-28 06:00: 0.2150
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.7805
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.2085
2024-11-28 13:00: 0.8135
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.1800
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.8235
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.1730
2024-11-28 23:00: 0.8280
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.2845
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.7715
2024-11-29 07:00: 0.2915
2024-11-29 09:00: 0.7795
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.2200
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.7805
2024-11-29 17:00: 0.2265
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.7655
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.2385
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.7705
2024-11-30 03:00: 0.2300
2024-11-30 05:00: 0.7705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 829.40, Sell volume: 824.00, Average price: 0.3442, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.3725
2024-12-01 00:00: 0.6320
2024-12-01 03:00: 0.3720
2024-12-01 05:00: 0.6185
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.3910
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.6095
2024-12-01 13:00: 0.3950
2024-12-01 15:00: 0.6135
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.3615
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.6705
2024-12-01 23:00: 0.3195
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.6920
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.2995
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.7070
2024-12-02 09:00: 0.2825
2024-12-02 11:00: 0.7300
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.2650
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.7350
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.2655
2024-12-02 21:00: 0.7350
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.2655
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.7345
2024-12-03 05:00: 0.2650
2024-12-03 07:00: 0.7350
2024-12-03 10:00: 0.2785
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.7165
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.2815
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.7180
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.2785
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.7165
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.2780
2024-12-04 03:00: 0.7100
2024-12-04 06:00: 0.2755
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.7240
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.2875
2024-12-04 13:00: 0.7115
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.3060
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.6900
2024-12-04 21:00: 0.2675
2024-12-04 23:00: 0.7090
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.2700
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.7325
2024-12-05 07:00: 0.2675
2024-12-05 09:00: 0.7300
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.2675
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.7325
2024-12-05 17:00: 0.2765
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.7230
2024-12-05 22:00: 0.2770
2024-12-06 00:00: 0.7230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 645.38, Sell volume: 277.33, Average price: 0.4524, Price range: 0.2790 - 0.7450

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.2830
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.7180
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.2900
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.7060
2024-12-07 03:00: 0.3030
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.6895
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.3130
2024-12-07 10:00: 0.6875
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.3125
2024-12-07 15:00: 0.6880
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.2990
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.6880
2024-12-07 23:00: 0.3140
2024-12-08 01:00: 0.6870
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.3125
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.6850
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.3150
2024-12-08 11:00: 0.6950
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.3060
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.6940
2024-12-08 19:00: 0.3120
2024-12-08 21:00: 0.6905
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.3070
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.6935
2024-12-09 05:00: 0.2990
2024-12-09 07:00: 0.7005
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.2895
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.7105
2024-12-09 15:00: 0.2895
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.7105
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.2895
2024-12-09 22:00: 0.7105
2024-12-10 01:00: 0.2895
2024-12-10 03:00: 0.7105
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.2895
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.7040
2024-12-10 11:00: 0.3005
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.7000
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.3005
2024-12-10 18:00: 0.7000
2024-12-10 21:00: 0.2995
2024-12-10 23:00: 0.7000
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.3005
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.6995
2024-12-11 07:00: 0.3020
2024-12-11 09:00: 0.6980
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.3020
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.6980
2024-12-11 17:00: 0.3035
2024-12-11 19:00: 0.6980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3180, Price range: 0.3180 - 0.3180

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.2845
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.7165
2024-12-12 17:00: 0.2900
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.7065
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.2865
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.7040
2024-12-13 03:00: 0.2980
2024-12-13 05:00: 0.7035
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.2965
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.7050
2024-12-13 13:00: 0.2950
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.7050
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.2950
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.7050
2024-12-13 23:00: 0.2900
2024-12-14 01:00: 0.7165
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.2805
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.7145
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.2840
2024-12-14 11:00: 0.7150
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.2905
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.7095
2024-12-14 19:00: 0.2850
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.7150
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.2905
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.7115
2024-12-15 05:00: 0.2945
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.7040
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.2985
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.7080
2024-12-15 15:00: 0.2910
2024-12-15 17:00: 0.7080
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.2920
2024-12-15 22:00: 0.7085
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.2925
2024-12-16 03:00: 0.7075
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.2925
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.7090
2024-12-16 11:00: 0.2920
2024-12-16 13:00: 0.7080
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.2925
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.7090
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.2930
2024-12-16 23:00: 0.6965
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.2930
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.7065
2024-12-17 07:00: 0.2865
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.7085
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.2845
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.7160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7240, Price range: 0.7240 - 0.7240

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.2835
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.7180
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.2825
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.7180
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.2745
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.7255
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.2745
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.7255
2024-12-19 03:00: 0.2745
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.7255
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.2745
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.7255
2024-12-19 13:00: 0.2745
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.7190
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.2790
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.7220
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.2890
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.7255
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.2745
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.7255
2024-12-20 09:00: 0.2745
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.7250
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.2820
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.7255
2024-12-20 19:00: 0.2775
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.8505
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.1290
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.8750
2024-12-21 05:00: 0.1185
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.8865
2024-12-21 10:00: 0.1045
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.9005
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.0920
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.9145
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0790
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.8885
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.1120
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.8870
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.0965
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.8405
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.1355
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.8685
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.1345
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.8660
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.1180
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.8655
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.2265
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.8260
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.1730
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.8930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 462.66, Sell volume: 389.87, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0960 - 0.9498

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0885
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.9175
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.0710
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.8910
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.1265
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.8675
2024-12-24 17:00: 0.1455
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.8460
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.1665
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.8310
2024-12-25 03:00: 0.1550
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.8395
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.1615
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.8415
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.1595
2024-12-25 15:00: 0.8425
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.1620
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.8610
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.1585
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.8625
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.1745
2024-12-26 06:00: 0.8290
2024-12-26 09:00: 0.1375
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.8600
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.0805
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.8620
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.1135
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.9060
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0570
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.9060
2024-12-27 05:00: 0.0945
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.9060
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.0775
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.9325
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.0665
2024-12-27 17:00: 0.9330
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0675
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.8985
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.1040
2024-12-28 03:00: 0.8935
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.1060
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.8920
2024-12-28 11:00: 0.0905
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.9100
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0875
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.9135
2024-12-28 21:00: 0.0880
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.9185
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.0805
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.9195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 1286.83, Sell volume: 355.00, Average price: 0.3804, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9440

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-12-29 21:00: 0.0935
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.9065
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.0960
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.9025
2024-12-30 07:00: 0.0970
2024-12-30 09:00: 0.9030
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0850
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.9140
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.0865
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.9135
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.0850
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.9150
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.0820
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.9200
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0840
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.9160
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.0835
2024-12-31 15:00: 0.9165
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0645
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.9360
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.0590
2025-01-01 01:00: 0.9600
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0320
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.9735
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.0275
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.9800
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.0185
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.9820
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.0175
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.9825
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0175
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.9835
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.0170
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.9840
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.0545
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.9290
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.0570
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.9350
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0550
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.9490
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.0495
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.9525
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0495
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.9495
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.0195
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.9790
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.0220
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.9785
2025-01-03 21:00: 0.0210
2025-01-03 23:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 1600.50, Sell volume: 327.53, Average price: 0.5944, Price range: 0.0243 - 0.9730

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0265
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.9740
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.0185
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.9825
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.0105
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.9895
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.0115
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.9960
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0080
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.9875
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.0130
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.9870
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.0140
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.9875
2025-01-06 03:00: 0.0220
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.9780
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0195
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.9800
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.0205
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.9795
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0200
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.9785
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.0215
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.9795
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0200
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.9800
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.0195
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.9810
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0190
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.9815
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.0220
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.9775
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0225
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.9770
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0210
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.9800
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0195
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.9805
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.0195
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.9815
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0185
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.9825
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.0185
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.9815
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0055
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.9945
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.0055
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.9945
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0055
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 208.76, Sell volume: 276.16, Average price: 0.6626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.9945
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.9945
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.9945
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.0030
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.9970
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.0030
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.9970
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0030
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.9975
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.9975
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.9975
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.9975
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.9975
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.9975
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.9975
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.9975
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9975
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9975
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.9975
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.9975
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.9975
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.9970
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0030
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.9970
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.0030
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.9970
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0030
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.9970
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.0075
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9925
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0075
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.9910
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0090
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 992.58, Sell volume: 58.51, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.0090
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.9910
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0095
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9810
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0230
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.9750
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.0145
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.9865
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0090
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.9910
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0090
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.9910
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.9995
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9985
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.9975
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 221, Buy volume: 48712.16, Sell volume: 14810.82, Average price: 0.5497, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-11-07 18:00: 0.3600
2024-11-07 22:00: 0.7150
2024-11-08 03:00: 0.0650
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.9400
2024-11-08 12:00: 0.0500
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.9600
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.0400
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.9600
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.0400
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.9450
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.0600
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.9495
2024-11-10 00:00: 0.0540
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.9625
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.0300
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.9725
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.0285
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.9710
2024-11-11 03:00: 0.0320
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.9615
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.0280
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.9760
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.0230
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.9795
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0205
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.9800
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.0190
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.9825
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0165
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 789.35, Sell volume: 168.94, Average price: 0.7226, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0135
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.9885
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0115
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.9825
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.0160
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.9825
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.0185
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.9840
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.0170
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.9790
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.0165
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.9835
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.0160
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.9865
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.0145
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.9830
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.0105
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.9820
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.0080
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.9855
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.0220
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.9870
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.0305
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.9890
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.0090
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.9915
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.0070
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.9930
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.0095
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 771.05, Sell volume: 46.00, Average price: 0.5875, Price range: 0.0082 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.0365
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.9705
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.0305
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.9645
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.0400
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.9390
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.0595
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.9415
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.0390
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.9640
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.0225
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.9930
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.0080
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.9955
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.0025
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.9800
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.0075
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.9955
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.9670
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.0240
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.9865
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.0095
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.9935
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.0030
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.9795
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.0055
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.9935
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.0235
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1405.52, Sell volume: 1699.17, Average price: 0.5056, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.0210
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.9790
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.0220
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.9765
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.0280
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.4955
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.0410
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.9825
2024-11-26 15:00: 0.5050
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.8470
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.1400
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.7185
2024-11-27 09:00: 0.1935
2024-11-27 13:00: 0.7910
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.1950
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.7905
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.2115
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.7840
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.1865
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.8200
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.1730
2024-11-29 01:00: 0.8125
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.2290
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.7665
2024-11-29 15:00: 0.2190
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.7655
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.2295
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.7710
2024-11-30 09:00: 0.2300
2024-11-30 13:00: 0.7070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 829.40, Sell volume: 824.00, Average price: 0.3442, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.3725
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.6300
2024-12-01 07:00: 0.3875
2024-12-01 11:00: 0.6080
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.3875
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.6705
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.3080
2024-12-02 05:00: 0.7050
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.2815
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.7350
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.2655
2024-12-02 23:00: 0.7350
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.2650
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.7350
2024-12-03 13:00: 0.2785
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.7180
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.2835
2024-12-04 02:00: 0.7130
2024-12-04 07:00: 0.2820
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.7125
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.3060
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.6995
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.2925
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.7325
2024-12-05 10:00: 0.2675
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.7325
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.2770
2024-12-05 23:00: 0.7230
2024-12-06 04:00: 0.2770
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.7025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 645.38, Sell volume: 277.33, Average price: 0.4524, Price range: 0.2790 - 0.7450
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.2830
2024-12-06 21:00: 0.7070
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.3090
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.6895
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.3125
2024-12-07 15:00: 0.6880
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.3120
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.6895
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.3150
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.6850
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.3060
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.6935
2024-12-08 23:00: 0.3065
2024-12-09 03:00: 0.6930
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.2995
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.7105
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.2895
2024-12-09 21:00: 0.7105
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.2895
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.7105
2024-12-10 11:00: 0.3005
2024-12-10 15:00: 0.6995
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.2995
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.7000
2024-12-11 05:00: 0.3005
2024-12-11 09:00: 0.6980
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.3020
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.6995
2024-12-11 23:00: 0.3005
2024-12-12 03:00: 0.6990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3180, Price range: 0.3180 - 0.3180
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.2845
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.7185
2024-12-12 21:00: 0.2940
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.7020
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.2965
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.7050
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.2950
2024-12-13 19:00: 0.7050
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.2970
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.7195
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.2840
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.7120
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.2855
2024-12-14 22:00: 0.7125
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.2905
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.7040
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.2920
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.7090
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.2915
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.7075
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.2925
2024-12-16 10:00: 0.7090
2024-12-16 15:00: 0.2925
2024-12-16 19:00: 0.7090
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.2935
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.7065
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.2915
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.7150
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.2840
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.7170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7240, Price range: 0.7240 - 0.7240
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.2835
2024-12-18 11:00: 0.7165
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.2745
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.7255
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.2745
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.7255
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.2745
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.7110
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.2765
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.7110
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.2745
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.7255
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.2745
2024-12-20 17:00: 0.7255
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.1360
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.8750
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.1135
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.8970
2024-12-21 16:00: 0.0895
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.9210
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.1120
2024-12-22 05:00: 0.8865
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.1335
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.8705
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.1210
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.8655
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.1740
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.8905
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.1020
2024-12-23 17:00: 0.9055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 462.66, Sell volume: 389.87, Average price: 0.4477, Price range: 0.0960 - 0.9498
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0885
2024-12-24 06:00: 0.9255
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.1230
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.8605
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.1645
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.8310
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.1605
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.8415
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.1605
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.8380
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.1585
2024-12-26 03:00: 0.8250
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.1405
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.8610
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.1115
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.9060
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.0940
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.9055
2024-12-27 11:00: 0.0740
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.9335
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0675
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.8990
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.1055
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.9085
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.0895
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.9135
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.0815
2024-12-29 03:00: 0.9195
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0885
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.9125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 1286.83, Sell volume: 355.00, Average price: 0.3804, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9440
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2024-12-29 21:00: 0.0935
2024-12-30 01:00: 0.9040
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0970
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.9055
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.0865
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.9135
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0850
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.9210
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.0845
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.9165
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0645
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.9410
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.0345
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.9720
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0190
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.9820
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.0175
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.9825
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0165
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.9455
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.0570
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.9310
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0465
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.9500
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.0505
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.9790
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.0215
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.9740
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.0280
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 1600.50, Sell volume: 327.53, Average price: 0.5944, Price range: 0.0243 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0265
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.9780
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.0105
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.9845
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.0080
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.9875
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.0130
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.9875
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.0220
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.9805
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.0205
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.9800
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.0210
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.9795
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.0195
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.9810
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0185
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.9775
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.0220
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.9790
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0195
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.9805
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.0185
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.9825
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0185
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.9945
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.0055
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.9945
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 208.76, Sell volume: 276.16, Average price: 0.6626, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.0055
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.9945
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0055
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.9970
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.0030
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.9970
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0025
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.9975
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.9975
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.9975
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.9975
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9975
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.0025
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.9975
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.9975
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9970
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.0030
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.9970
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.0030
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9925
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0090
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.9905
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0095
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 992.58, Sell volume: 58.51, Average price: 0.6356, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512314
Question: Will Frank LaRose be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 77219.531769
Price History:
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.0090
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.9910
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.0195
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.9765
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0125
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.9910
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0090
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.9995
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9985
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.9980
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0020
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 221, Buy volume: 48712.16, Sell volume: 14810.82, Average price: 0.5497, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-11-07 18:00: 0.4600
2024-11-07 20:00: 0.5750
2024-11-07 23:00: 0.2150
2024-11-08 01:00: 0.7550
2024-11-08 04:00: 0.2550
2024-11-08 06:00: 0.6600
2024-11-08 09:00: 0.2800
2024-11-08 11:00: 0.7200
2024-11-08 14:00: 0.3050
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.6800
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.4900
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.5700
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.3750
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.6150
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.3700
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.5800
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.4150
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.6150
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.3700
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.6150
2024-11-09 20:00: 0.4000
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.5800
2024-11-10 01:00: 0.4200
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.5850
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.4150
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.5800
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.4200
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.5800
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.4250
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.5750
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.4300
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.5900
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.4100
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.5900
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.4100
2024-11-11 09:00: 0.5800
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.4200
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.6050
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.3700
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.6350
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.3500
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.6850
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.3100
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.6900
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.2750
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.7200
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.2650
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.7500
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.2650
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.7100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 3712.79, Sell volume: 1652.54, Average price: 0.4753, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8492

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.3050
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.7150
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.3050
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.7150
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.2850
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.6800
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.3150
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.6750
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.3200
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.6900
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.3100
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.6900
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.3100
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.6900
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.3100
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.6900
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.3100
2024-11-15 07:00: 0.6400
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.2850
2024-11-15 12:00: 0.7150
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.2850
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.6750
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.3250
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.6800
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.3250
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.6800
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.2800
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.7200
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.3250
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.6800
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.3250
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.7000
2024-11-16 21:00: 0.2950
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.7200
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.2800
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.7200
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.2800
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.7200
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.2800
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.7300
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.2800
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.7200
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.2800
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.7200
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.2800
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.7200
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.2800
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.7150
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.2950
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 781.96, Sell volume: 396.45, Average price: 0.5428, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.2650
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.7250
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.2650
2024-11-19 15:00: 0.7250
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.2700
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.7250
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.2850
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.7250
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.2850
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.7150
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.2700
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.7300
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.2700
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.7250
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.2700
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.7300
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.2750
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.7250
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.2750
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.7250
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.2750
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.7250
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.2750
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.7200
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.2800
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.7200
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.2850
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.7250
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.2750
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.7250
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.2750
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.7250
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.2750
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.7250
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.2750
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.7250
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.2800
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.7200
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.2800
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.7200
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.2800
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.7350
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.2550
2024-11-23 19:00: 0.7450
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.2550
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.7450
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.2550
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.7450
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.2550
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 559.18, Sell volume: 865.34, Average price: 0.5574, Price range: 0.2253 - 0.7464

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.2200
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.7800
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.2200
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.8000
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.2100
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.8100
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.1700
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.8100
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.1950
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.7900
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.1950
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.7900
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.1850
2024-11-26 11:00: 0.8000
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.1700
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.8300
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.1250
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.8750
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.2050
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.7850
2024-11-27 05:00: 0.2100
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.7850
2024-11-27 10:00: 0.1850
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.8150
2024-11-27 15:00: 0.1950
2024-11-27 17:00: 0.8100
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.1950
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.8000
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.1900
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.8150
2024-11-28 06:00: 0.1900
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.8000
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.2100
2024-11-28 13:00: 0.8200
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.1800
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.8200
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.1800
2024-11-28 23:00: 0.8200
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.1750
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.8250
2024-11-29 07:00: 0.1900
2024-11-29 09:00: 0.8100
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.1900
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.8100
2024-11-29 17:00: 0.1650
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.8000
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.2000
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.8000
2024-11-30 03:00: 0.2000
2024-11-30 05:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 410.04, Sell volume: 285.49, Average price: 0.1589, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.1850
2024-12-01 00:00: 0.8450
2024-12-01 03:00: 0.1550
2024-12-01 05:00: 0.8450
2024-12-01 08:00: 0.1550
2024-12-01 10:00: 0.8450
2024-12-01 13:00: 0.1550
2024-12-01 15:00: 0.8450
2024-12-01 18:00: 0.1650
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.8450
2024-12-01 23:00: 0.1550
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.8450
2024-12-02 04:00: 0.1550
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.8400
2024-12-02 09:00: 0.1600
2024-12-02 11:00: 0.8400
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.1600
2024-12-02 16:00: 0.8350
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.1350
2024-12-02 21:00: 0.8700
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.1300
2024-12-03 02:00: 0.8550
2024-12-03 05:00: 0.1500
2024-12-03 07:00: 0.8500
2024-12-03 10:00: 0.1350
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.8650
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.1350
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.8650
2024-12-03 20:00: 0.1350
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.8650
2024-12-04 01:00: 0.1450
2024-12-04 03:00: 0.8600
2024-12-04 06:00: 0.1400
2024-12-04 08:00: 0.8600
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.1200
2024-12-04 13:00: 0.8800
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.1200
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.8800
2024-12-04 21:00: 0.1200
2024-12-04 23:00: 0.8800
2024-12-05 02:00: 0.1200
2024-12-05 04:00: 0.8800
2024-12-05 07:00: 0.1200
2024-12-05 09:00: 0.8800
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.1200
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.8800
2024-12-05 17:00: 0.1400
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.8600
2024-12-05 22:00: 0.1400
2024-12-06 00:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 614.34, Sell volume: 969.89, Average price: 0.2848, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.1450
2024-12-06 19:00: 0.8550
2024-12-06 22:00: 0.1400
2024-12-07 00:00: 0.8600
2024-12-07 03:00: 0.1400
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.8600
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.1400
2024-12-07 10:00: 0.8600
2024-12-07 13:00: 0.1450
2024-12-07 15:00: 0.8550
2024-12-07 18:00: 0.1450
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.8550
2024-12-07 23:00: 0.1450
2024-12-08 01:00: 0.8550
2024-12-08 04:00: 0.1400
2024-12-08 06:00: 0.8600
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.1400
2024-12-08 11:00: 0.8600
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.1400
2024-12-08 16:00: 0.8600
2024-12-08 19:00: 0.1400
2024-12-08 21:00: 0.8600
2024-12-09 00:00: 0.1400
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.8600
2024-12-09 05:00: 0.1400
2024-12-09 07:00: 0.8600
2024-12-09 10:00: 0.1400
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.8600
2024-12-09 15:00: 0.1400
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.8600
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.1400
2024-12-09 22:00: 0.8600
2024-12-10 01:00: 0.1400
2024-12-10 03:00: 0.8600
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.1400
2024-12-10 08:00: 0.8600
2024-12-10 11:00: 0.1400
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.8600
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.1400
2024-12-10 18:00: 0.8600
2024-12-10 21:00: 0.1400
2024-12-10 23:00: 0.8600
2024-12-11 02:00: 0.1400
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.8600
2024-12-11 07:00: 0.1400
2024-12-11 09:00: 0.8600
2024-12-11 12:00: 0.1450
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.8550
2024-12-11 17:00: 0.1500
2024-12-11 19:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 63.00, Average price: 0.4750, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.1600
2024-12-12 14:00: 0.8400
2024-12-12 17:00: 0.1550
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.8450
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.1550
2024-12-13 00:00: 0.8450
2024-12-13 03:00: 0.1500
2024-12-13 05:00: 0.8500
2024-12-13 08:00: 0.1500
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.8500
2024-12-13 13:00: 0.1500
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.8500
2024-12-13 18:00: 0.1500
2024-12-13 20:00: 0.8500
2024-12-13 23:00: 0.1500
2024-12-14 01:00: 0.8500
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.1500
2024-12-14 06:00: 0.8500
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.1500
2024-12-14 11:00: 0.8500
2024-12-14 14:00: 0.1500
2024-12-14 16:00: 0.8500
2024-12-14 19:00: 0.1500
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.8500
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.1500
2024-12-15 02:00: 0.8500
2024-12-15 05:00: 0.1500
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.8500
2024-12-15 10:00: 0.1500
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.8500
2024-12-15 15:00: 0.1500
2024-12-15 17:00: 0.8500
2024-12-15 20:00: 0.1550
2024-12-15 22:00: 0.8450
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.1550
2024-12-16 03:00: 0.8450
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.1550
2024-12-16 08:00: 0.8450
2024-12-16 11:00: 0.1550
2024-12-16 13:00: 0.8450
2024-12-16 16:00: 0.1550
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.8450
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.1550
2024-12-16 23:00: 0.8450
2024-12-17 02:00: 0.1550
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.8450
2024-12-17 07:00: 0.1550
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.8450
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.1550
2024-12-17 14:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 0.76, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.1550
2024-12-18 09:00: 0.8450
2024-12-18 12:00: 0.1600
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.8350
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.1650
2024-12-18 19:00: 0.8350
2024-12-18 22:00: 0.1650
2024-12-19 00:00: 0.8350
2024-12-19 03:00: 0.1650
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.8350
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.1650
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.8350
2024-12-19 13:00: 0.1650
2024-12-19 15:00: 0.8350
2024-12-19 18:00: 0.1650
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.8350
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.1650
2024-12-20 01:00: 0.8350
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.1650
2024-12-20 06:00: 0.8350
2024-12-20 09:00: 0.1650
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.8350
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.1650
2024-12-20 16:00: 0.8350
2024-12-20 19:00: 0.1650
2024-12-20 21:00: 0.8300
2024-12-21 00:00: 0.1500
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.8550
2024-12-21 05:00: 0.1450
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.8550
2024-12-21 10:00: 0.1500
2024-12-21 12:00: 0.8550
2024-12-21 15:00: 0.1400
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.8550
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.1350
2024-12-21 22:00: 0.8650
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.1350
2024-12-22 03:00: 0.8650
2024-12-22 06:00: 0.1350
2024-12-22 08:00: 0.8650
2024-12-22 11:00: 0.1350
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.8650
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.1350
2024-12-22 18:00: 0.8650
2024-12-22 21:00: 0.1350
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.8700
2024-12-23 02:00: 0.0550
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.9000
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.1250
2024-12-23 09:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 274.66, Sell volume: 550.21, Average price: 0.2244, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0550
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.9550
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.0700
2024-12-24 09:00: 0.8850
2024-12-24 12:00: 0.1150
2024-12-24 14:00: 0.8850
2024-12-24 17:00: 0.1150
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.8950
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.1050
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.8850
2024-12-25 03:00: 0.1150
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.8850
2024-12-25 08:00: 0.1150
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.8800
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.1200
2024-12-25 15:00: 0.8850
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.1150
2024-12-25 20:00: 0.8850
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.1250
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.8700
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.0600
2024-12-26 06:00: 0.9500
2024-12-26 09:00: 0.1000
2024-12-26 11:00: 0.9050
2024-12-26 14:00: 0.0500
2024-12-26 16:00: 0.9300
2024-12-26 19:00: 0.0750
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.9050
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0750
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.8950
2024-12-27 05:00: 0.0450
2024-12-27 07:00: 0.8900
2024-12-27 10:00: 0.1000
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.9000
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.0800
2024-12-27 17:00: 0.9350
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0350
2024-12-27 22:00: 0.8890
2024-12-28 01:00: 0.1005
2024-12-28 03:00: 0.9045
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.0940
2024-12-28 08:00: 0.9095
2024-12-28 11:00: 0.0900
2024-12-28 13:00: 0.9105
2024-12-28 16:00: 0.0900
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.9105
2024-12-28 21:00: 0.0815
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.9185
2024-12-29 02:00: 0.0815
2024-12-29 04:00: 0.9185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 1029.52, Sell volume: 1280.31, Average price: 0.3872, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-12-29 21:00: 0.0850
2024-12-29 23:00: 0.9150
2024-12-30 02:00: 0.0845
2024-12-30 04:00: 0.9155
2024-12-30 07:00: 0.0865
2024-12-30 09:00: 0.9125
2024-12-30 12:00: 0.0735
2024-12-30 14:00: 0.9260
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.0845
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.9170
2024-12-30 22:00: 0.0795
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.9215
2024-12-31 03:00: 0.0820
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.9180
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0810
2024-12-31 10:00: 0.9270
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.0725
2024-12-31 15:00: 0.9320
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0485
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.9515
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.0485
2025-01-01 01:00: 0.9515
2025-01-01 04:00: 0.0485
2025-01-01 06:00: 0.9515
2025-01-01 09:00: 0.0485
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.9515
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.0485
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.9515
2025-01-01 19:00: 0.0380
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.9615
2025-01-02 00:00: 0.0485
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.9515
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.0590
2025-01-02 07:00: 0.9445
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.0490
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.9545
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.0450
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.9565
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0405
2025-01-02 22:00: 0.9595
2025-01-03 01:00: 0.0400
2025-01-03 03:00: 0.9610
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0390
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.9610
2025-01-03 11:00: 0.0400
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.9645
2025-01-03 16:00: 0.0355
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.9670
2025-01-03 21:00: 0.0360
2025-01-03 23:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1472.08, Sell volume: 222.10, Average price: 0.6568, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0360
2025-01-04 18:00: 0.9665
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.0360
2025-01-04 23:00: 0.9640
2025-01-05 02:00: 0.0340
2025-01-05 04:00: 0.9675
2025-01-05 07:00: 0.0315
2025-01-05 09:00: 0.9690
2025-01-05 12:00: 0.0315
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.9685
2025-01-05 17:00: 0.0315
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.9685
2025-01-05 22:00: 0.0190
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.9800
2025-01-06 03:00: 0.0200
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.9805
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.0200
2025-01-06 10:00: 0.9815
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.0180
2025-01-06 15:00: 0.9825
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.0145
2025-01-06 20:00: 0.9845
2025-01-06 23:00: 0.0110
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.9905
2025-01-07 04:00: 0.0095
2025-01-07 06:00: 0.9905
2025-01-07 09:00: 0.0125
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.9895
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0095
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.9890
2025-01-07 19:00: 0.0150
2025-01-07 21:00: 0.9860
2025-01-08 00:00: 0.0130
2025-01-08 02:00: 0.9890
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0120
2025-01-08 07:00: 0.9875
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0130
2025-01-08 12:00: 0.9875
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.0125
2025-01-08 17:00: 0.9850
2025-01-08 20:00: 0.0130
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.9860
2025-01-09 01:00: 0.0100
2025-01-09 03:00: 0.9870
2025-01-09 06:00: 0.0185
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.9770
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.0195
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.9795
2025-01-09 16:00: 0.0200
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2466.66, Sell volume: 1517.91, Average price: 0.4763, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.0215
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.9785
2025-01-10 16:00: 0.0200
2025-01-10 18:00: 0.9775
2025-01-10 21:00: 0.0200
2025-01-10 23:00: 0.9815
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.0190
2025-01-11 04:00: 0.9860
2025-01-11 07:00: 0.0195
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.9860
2025-01-11 12:00: 0.0110
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.9880
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0105
2025-01-11 19:00: 0.9860
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0105
2025-01-12 00:00: 0.9890
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.0120
2025-01-12 05:00: 0.9890
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0120
2025-01-12 10:00: 0.9815
2025-01-12 13:00: 0.0175
2025-01-12 15:00: 0.9815
2025-01-12 18:00: 0.0135
2025-01-12 20:00: 0.9805
2025-01-12 23:00: 0.0115
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.9885
2025-01-13 04:00: 0.0095
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9820
2025-01-13 09:00: 0.0150
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9860
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0185
2025-01-13 16:00: 0.9810
2025-01-13 19:00: 0.0135
2025-01-13 21:00: 0.9870
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.0110
2025-01-14 02:00: 0.9830
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0140
2025-01-14 07:00: 0.9795
2025-01-14 10:00: 0.0215
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.9790
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.0205
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.9785
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.0205
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.9795
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.0210
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9780
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.0205
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.9875
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.0180
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 236.18, Sell volume: 134.00, Average price: 0.6001, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.0030
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.9970
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0025
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9975
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0125
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.9885
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.9945
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0045
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.9955
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0045
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.9880
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.9985
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.9980
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.9980
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0005
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.9985
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 238, Buy volume: 40124.41, Sell volume: 20475.14, Average price: 0.5790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-11-07 18:00: 0.4600
2024-11-07 22:00: 0.6250
2024-11-08 03:00: 0.2550
2024-11-08 07:00: 0.6550
2024-11-08 12:00: 0.2800
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.6800
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.4300
2024-11-09 01:00: 0.6250
2024-11-09 06:00: 0.4250
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.5850
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.3700
2024-11-09 19:00: 0.5850
2024-11-10 00:00: 0.4300
2024-11-10 04:00: 0.5850
2024-11-10 09:00: 0.4200
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.5800
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.4250
2024-11-10 22:00: 0.5750
2024-11-11 03:00: 0.4100
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.5900
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.4200
2024-11-11 16:00: 0.6350
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.3450
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.6900
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.3100
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.7200
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.2500
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.7300
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.3050
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 3712.79, Sell volume: 1652.54, Average price: 0.4753, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8492
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.3050
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.6950
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.2850
2024-11-14 02:00: 0.6800
2024-11-14 07:00: 0.3250
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.6900
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.3100
2024-11-14 20:00: 0.6900
2024-11-15 01:00: 0.3100
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.6900
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.2850
2024-11-15 14:00: 0.7150
2024-11-15 19:00: 0.3250
2024-11-15 23:00: 0.6800
2024-11-16 04:00: 0.3000
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.7200
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.3200
2024-11-16 17:00: 0.6750
2024-11-16 22:00: 0.2800
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.7200
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.2800
2024-11-17 11:00: 0.7250
2024-11-17 16:00: 0.2800
2024-11-17 20:00: 0.7200
2024-11-18 01:00: 0.2800
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.7200
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.2850
2024-11-18 14:00: 0.6950
2024-11-18 19:00: 0.2800
2024-11-18 23:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 781.96, Sell volume: 396.45, Average price: 0.5428, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.2650
2024-11-19 12:00: 0.7250
2024-11-19 17:00: 0.2750
2024-11-19 21:00: 0.7250
2024-11-20 02:00: 0.2850
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.7150
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.2700
2024-11-20 15:00: 0.7250
2024-11-20 20:00: 0.2700
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.7250
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.2750
2024-11-21 09:00: 0.7250
2024-11-21 14:00: 0.2750
2024-11-21 18:00: 0.7200
2024-11-21 23:00: 0.2800
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.7250
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.2750
2024-11-22 12:00: 0.7250
2024-11-22 17:00: 0.2750
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.7250
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.2800
2024-11-23 06:00: 0.7200
2024-11-23 11:00: 0.2800
2024-11-23 15:00: 0.7450
2024-11-23 20:00: 0.2550
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.7450
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.2550
2024-11-24 09:00: 0.7450
2024-11-24 14:00: 0.2550
2024-11-24 18:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 559.18, Sell volume: 865.34, Average price: 0.5574, Price range: 0.2253 - 0.7464
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.2200
2024-11-25 07:00: 0.7800
2024-11-25 12:00: 0.2250
2024-11-25 16:00: 0.8150
2024-11-25 21:00: 0.2350
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.7900
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.2100
2024-11-26 10:00: 0.8250
2024-11-26 15:00: 0.1700
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.8750
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.2050
2024-11-27 04:00: 0.7700
2024-11-27 09:00: 0.2000
2024-11-27 13:00: 0.7950
2024-11-27 18:00: 0.2000
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.8000
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.1850
2024-11-28 07:00: 0.8100
2024-11-28 12:00: 0.1750
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.8200
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.1800
2024-11-29 01:00: 0.8250
2024-11-29 06:00: 0.1900
2024-11-29 10:00: 0.8100
2024-11-29 15:00: 0.1900
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.8000
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.2000
2024-11-30 04:00: 0.8000
2024-11-30 09:00: 0.2000
2024-11-30 13:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 410.04, Sell volume: 285.49, Average price: 0.1589, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-11-30 22:00: 0.1850
2024-12-01 02:00: 0.8450
2024-12-01 07:00: 0.1550
2024-12-01 11:00: 0.8450
2024-12-01 16:00: 0.1550
2024-12-01 20:00: 0.8450
2024-12-02 01:00: 0.1550
2024-12-02 05:00: 0.8450
2024-12-02 10:00: 0.1600
2024-12-02 14:00: 0.8400
2024-12-02 19:00: 0.1350
2024-12-02 23:00: 0.8700
2024-12-03 04:00: 0.1500
2024-12-03 08:00: 0.8500
2024-12-03 13:00: 0.1350
2024-12-03 17:00: 0.8650
2024-12-03 22:00: 0.1350
2024-12-04 02:00: 0.8550
2024-12-04 07:00: 0.1400
2024-12-04 11:00: 0.8800
2024-12-04 16:00: 0.1200
2024-12-04 20:00: 0.8800
2024-12-05 01:00: 0.1200
2024-12-05 05:00: 0.8800
2024-12-05 10:00: 0.1200
2024-12-05 14:00: 0.8800
2024-12-05 19:00: 0.1400
2024-12-05 23:00: 0.8600
2024-12-06 04:00: 0.1400
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 614.34, Sell volume: 969.89, Average price: 0.2848, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.1450
2024-12-06 21:00: 0.8600
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.1400
2024-12-07 06:00: 0.8600
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.1400
2024-12-07 15:00: 0.8550
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.1450
2024-12-08 00:00: 0.8550
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.1400
2024-12-08 09:00: 0.8600
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.1400
2024-12-08 18:00: 0.8600
2024-12-08 23:00: 0.1400
2024-12-09 03:00: 0.8600
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.1400
2024-12-09 12:00: 0.8600
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.1400
2024-12-09 21:00: 0.8600
2024-12-10 02:00: 0.1400
2024-12-10 06:00: 0.8600
2024-12-10 11:00: 0.1400
2024-12-10 15:00: 0.8600
2024-12-10 20:00: 0.1400
2024-12-11 00:00: 0.8600
2024-12-11 05:00: 0.1400
2024-12-11 09:00: 0.8600
2024-12-11 14:00: 0.1450
2024-12-11 18:00: 0.8500
2024-12-11 23:00: 0.1500
2024-12-12 03:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 63.00, Average price: 0.4750, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-12-12 12:00: 0.1600
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.8450
2024-12-12 21:00: 0.1550
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.8450
2024-12-13 06:00: 0.1500
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.8500
2024-12-13 15:00: 0.1500
2024-12-13 19:00: 0.8500
2024-12-14 00:00: 0.1500
2024-12-14 04:00: 0.8500
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.1500
2024-12-14 13:00: 0.8500
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.1500
2024-12-14 22:00: 0.8500
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.1500
2024-12-15 07:00: 0.8500
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.1500
2024-12-15 16:00: 0.8500
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.1550
2024-12-16 01:00: 0.8450
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.1550
2024-12-16 10:00: 0.8450
2024-12-16 15:00: 0.1550
2024-12-16 19:00: 0.8450
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.1550
2024-12-17 04:00: 0.8450
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.1550
2024-12-17 13:00: 0.8450
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.1550
2024-12-17 22:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 0.76, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-12-18 07:00: 0.1550
2024-12-18 11:00: 0.8400
2024-12-18 16:00: 0.1650
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.8350
2024-12-19 01:00: 0.1650
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.8350
2024-12-19 10:00: 0.1650
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.8350
2024-12-19 19:00: 0.1650
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.8350
2024-12-20 04:00: 0.1650
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.8350
2024-12-20 13:00: 0.1650
2024-12-20 17:00: 0.8350
2024-12-20 22:00: 0.1550
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.8550
2024-12-21 07:00: 0.1450
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.8500
2024-12-21 16:00: 0.1400
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.8650
2024-12-22 01:00: 0.1350
2024-12-22 05:00: 0.8650
2024-12-22 10:00: 0.1350
2024-12-22 14:00: 0.8650
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.1400
2024-12-22 23:00: 0.8700
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.1000
2024-12-23 08:00: 0.9300
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0500
2024-12-23 17:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 46, Buy volume: 274.66, Sell volume: 550.21, Average price: 0.2244, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-12-24 02:00: 0.0550
2024-12-24 06:00: 0.9400
2024-12-24 11:00: 0.1150
2024-12-24 15:00: 0.8850
2024-12-24 20:00: 0.1150
2024-12-25 00:00: 0.8850
2024-12-25 05:00: 0.1150
2024-12-25 09:00: 0.8850
2024-12-25 14:00: 0.1150
2024-12-25 18:00: 0.8850
2024-12-25 23:00: 0.1250
2024-12-26 03:00: 0.9450
2024-12-26 08:00: 0.0950
2024-12-26 12:00: 0.9050
2024-12-26 17:00: 0.0700
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.9050
2024-12-27 02:00: 0.1050
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.9400
2024-12-27 11:00: 0.1000
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.9200
2024-12-27 20:00: 0.0350
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.8995
2024-12-28 05:00: 0.0950
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.9090
2024-12-28 14:00: 0.0900
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.9105
2024-12-28 23:00: 0.0815
2024-12-29 03:00: 0.9185
2024-12-29 08:00: 0.0850
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 1029.52, Sell volume: 1280.31, Average price: 0.3872, Price range: 0.0595 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2024-12-29 21:00: 0.0850
2024-12-30 01:00: 0.9155
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0850
2024-12-30 10:00: 0.9230
2024-12-30 15:00: 0.0845
2024-12-30 19:00: 0.9170
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0785
2024-12-31 04:00: 0.9185
2024-12-31 09:00: 0.0735
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.9275
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.0485
2024-12-31 22:00: 0.9515
2025-01-01 03:00: 0.0485
2025-01-01 07:00: 0.9515
2025-01-01 12:00: 0.0485
2025-01-01 16:00: 0.9515
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.0385
2025-01-02 01:00: 0.9515
2025-01-02 06:00: 0.0590
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.9510
2025-01-02 15:00: 0.0450
2025-01-02 19:00: 0.9580
2025-01-03 00:00: 0.0405
2025-01-03 04:00: 0.9610
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.0445
2025-01-03 13:00: 0.9645
2025-01-03 18:00: 0.0330
2025-01-03 22:00: 0.9640
2025-01-04 03:00: 0.0340
2025-01-04 07:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 1472.08, Sell volume: 222.10, Average price: 0.6568, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2025-01-04 16:00: 0.0360
2025-01-04 20:00: 0.9645
2025-01-05 01:00: 0.0340
2025-01-05 05:00: 0.9675
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.0310
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.9685
2025-01-05 19:00: 0.0315
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.9800
2025-01-06 04:00: 0.0200
2025-01-06 08:00: 0.9800
2025-01-06 13:00: 0.0180
2025-01-06 17:00: 0.9820
2025-01-06 22:00: 0.0140
2025-01-07 02:00: 0.9905
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.0095
2025-01-07 11:00: 0.9895
2025-01-07 16:00: 0.0110
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.9875
2025-01-08 01:00: 0.0115
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.9880
2025-01-08 10:00: 0.0130
2025-01-08 14:00: 0.9875
2025-01-08 19:00: 0.0135
2025-01-08 23:00: 0.9890
2025-01-09 04:00: 0.0120
2025-01-09 08:00: 0.9770
2025-01-09 13:00: 0.0205
2025-01-09 17:00: 0.9835
2025-01-09 22:00: 0.0205
2025-01-10 02:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2466.66, Sell volume: 1517.91, Average price: 0.4763, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2025-01-10 11:00: 0.0215
2025-01-10 15:00: 0.9800
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0205
2025-01-11 00:00: 0.9810
2025-01-11 05:00: 0.0150
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.9860
2025-01-11 14:00: 0.0120
2025-01-11 18:00: 0.9850
2025-01-11 23:00: 0.0105
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.9880
2025-01-12 08:00: 0.0120
2025-01-12 12:00: 0.9865
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.0135
2025-01-12 21:00: 0.9845
2025-01-13 02:00: 0.0100
2025-01-13 06:00: 0.9820
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.0140
2025-01-13 15:00: 0.9785
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.0130
2025-01-14 00:00: 0.9890
2025-01-14 05:00: 0.0140
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9785
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.0205
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.9785
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.0220
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.9780
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.0125
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.9870
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.0100
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 236.18, Sell volume: 134.00, Average price: 0.6001, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512315
Question: Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Volume: 80106.322621
Price History:
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.0030
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.9975
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.0135
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.9910
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0045
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.9955
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0120
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0020
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.9980
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0020
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.9980
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.9985
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.0020
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9995
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.9985
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 238, Buy volume: 40124.41, Sell volume: 20475.14, Average price: 0.5790, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-11-07 18:00: 0.4450
2024-11-07 20:00: 0.5450
2024-11-07 23:00: 0.2800
2024-11-08 01:00: 0.6550
2024-11-08 04:00: 0.3500
2024-11-08 06:00: 0.6500
2024-11-08 09:00: 0.2850
2024-11-08 11:00: 0.7150
2024-11-08 14:00: 0.2900
2024-11-08 16:00: 0.7100
2024-11-08 19:00: 0.2850
2024-11-08 21:00: 0.7450
2024-11-09 00:00: 0.2600
2024-11-09 02:00: 0.7550
2024-11-09 05:00: 0.2600
2024-11-09 07:00: 0.7650
2024-11-09 10:00: 0.2350
2024-11-09 12:00: 0.7600
2024-11-09 15:00: 0.2250
2024-11-09 17:00: 0.7750
2024-11-09 20:00: 0.2250
2024-11-09 22:00: 0.7750
2024-11-10 01:00: 0.2200
2024-11-10 03:00: 0.7800
2024-11-10 06:00: 0.2150
2024-11-10 08:00: 0.8050
2024-11-10 11:00: 0.1950
2024-11-10 13:00: 0.8050
2024-11-10 16:00: 0.1950
2024-11-10 18:00: 0.8050
2024-11-10 21:00: 0.1950
2024-11-10 23:00: 0.7450
2024-11-11 02:00: 0.2750
2024-11-11 04:00: 0.7300
2024-11-11 07:00: 0.2550
2024-11-11 09:00: 0.7450
2024-11-11 12:00: 0.2750
2024-11-11 14:00: 0.6950
2024-11-11 17:00: 0.3400
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.6700
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.3400
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.6200
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.3200
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.6800
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.3200
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.6800
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.3150
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.6750
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.3200
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 88, Buy volume: 3485.84, Sell volume: 832.89, Average price: 0.4754, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.3950
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.6300
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.3450
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.6400
2024-11-13 23:00: 0.3950
2024-11-14 01:00: 0.6500
2024-11-14 04:00: 0.4000
2024-11-14 06:00: 0.6600
2024-11-14 09:00: 0.3500
2024-11-14 11:00: 0.6500
2024-11-14 14:00: 0.3150
2024-11-14 16:00: 0.6600
2024-11-14 19:00: 0.3500
2024-11-14 21:00: 0.6350
2024-11-15 00:00: 0.3650
2024-11-15 02:00: 0.6250
2024-11-15 05:00: 0.3750
2024-11-15 07:00: 0.6300
2024-11-15 10:00: 0.4150
2024-11-15 12:00: 0.6250
2024-11-15 15:00: 0.4050
2024-11-15 17:00: 0.5600
2024-11-15 20:00: 0.4100
2024-11-15 22:00: 0.5950
2024-11-16 01:00: 0.3950
2024-11-16 03:00: 0.6200
2024-11-16 06:00: 0.3200
2024-11-16 08:00: 0.6600
2024-11-16 11:00: 0.3650
2024-11-16 13:00: 0.6450
2024-11-16 16:00: 0.3550
2024-11-16 18:00: 0.5300
2024-11-16 21:00: 0.4100
2024-11-16 23:00: 0.5550
2024-11-17 02:00: 0.4050
2024-11-17 04:00: 0.5950
2024-11-17 07:00: 0.4300
2024-11-17 09:00: 0.5750
2024-11-17 12:00: 0.4050
2024-11-17 14:00: 0.5950
2024-11-17 17:00: 0.3650
2024-11-17 19:00: 0.6800
2024-11-17 22:00: 0.3150
2024-11-18 00:00: 0.6850
2024-11-18 03:00: 0.3000
2024-11-18 05:00: 0.7050
2024-11-18 08:00: 0.2950
2024-11-18 10:00: 0.6650
2024-11-18 13:00: 0.3300
2024-11-18 15:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 573.47, Sell volume: 198.77, Average price: 0.4310, Price range: 0.2508 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-11-19 08:00: 0.4000
2024-11-19 10:00: 0.6750
2024-11-19 13:00: 0.3150
2024-11-19 15:00: 0.6700
2024-11-19 18:00: 0.3250
2024-11-19 20:00: 0.6700
2024-11-19 23:00: 0.3250
2024-11-20 01:00: 0.6550
2024-11-20 04:00: 0.2700
2024-11-20 06:00: 0.7300
2024-11-20 09:00: 0.4200
2024-11-20 11:00: 0.6900
2024-11-20 14:00: 0.3300
2024-11-20 16:00: 0.6850
2024-11-20 19:00: 0.3200
2024-11-20 21:00: 0.6700
2024-11-21 00:00: 0.3250
2024-11-21 02:00: 0.6750
2024-11-21 05:00: 0.3200
2024-11-21 07:00: 0.6900
2024-11-21 10:00: 0.3300
2024-11-21 12:00: 0.6400
2024-11-21 15:00: 0.3500
2024-11-21 17:00: 0.6500
2024-11-21 20:00: 0.3600
2024-11-21 22:00: 0.6300
2024-11-22 01:00: 0.3650
2024-11-22 03:00: 0.6500
2024-11-22 06:00: 0.3550
2024-11-22 08:00: 0.6300
2024-11-22 11:00: 0.3650
2024-11-22 13:00: 0.6800
2024-11-22 16:00: 0.3200
2024-11-22 18:00: 0.6800
2024-11-22 21:00: 0.3200
2024-11-22 23:00: 0.6850
2024-11-23 02:00: 0.3450
2024-11-23 04:00: 0.6550
2024-11-23 07:00: 0.3450
2024-11-23 09:00: 0.6550
2024-11-23 12:00: 0.3450
2024-11-23 14:00: 0.7050
2024-11-23 17:00: 0.3000
2024-11-23 19:00: 0.7050
2024-11-23 22:00: 0.3000
2024-11-24 00:00: 0.7150
2024-11-24 03:00: 0.2950
2024-11-24 05:00: 0.7050
2024-11-24 08:00: 0.3150
2024-11-24 10:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1269.97, Sell volume: 800.48, Average price: 0.4438, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512316
Question: Will Jane Timken be appointed as the next Ohio senator?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 75474.127869
Price History:
2024-11-25 03:00: 0.3450
2024-11-25 05:00: 0.6550
2024-11-25 08:00: 0.3000
2024-11-25 10:00: 0.7000
2024-11-25 13:00: 0.3000
2024-11-25 15:00: 0.7050
2024-11-25 18:00: 0.2250
2024-11-25 20:00: 0.6800
2024-11-25 23:00: 0.3250
2024-11-26 01:00: 0.7050
2024-11-26 04:00: 0.3200
2024-11-26 06:00: 0.6900
2024-11-26 09:00: 0.3150
2024-11-26 11:00: 0.6800
2024-11-26 14:00: 0.3150
2024-11-26 16:00: 0.7000
2024-11-26 19:00: 0.2350
2024-11-26 21:00: 0.7500
2024-11-27 00:00: 0.2500
2024-11-27 02:00: 0.7500
2024-11-27 05:00: 0.2500
2024-11-27 07:00: 0.7550
2024-11-27 10:00: 0.3550
2024-11-27 12:00: 0.6600
2024-11-27 15:00: 0.4550
2024-11-27 17:00: 0.6450
2024-11-27 20:00: 0.2900
2024-11-27 22:00: 0.7100
2024-11-28 01:00: 0.2900
2024-11-28 03:00: 0.7100
2024-11-28 06:00: 0.2900
2024-11-28 08:00: 0.7000
2024-11-28 11:00: 0.2900
2024-11-28 13:00: 0.6850
2024-11-28 16:00: 0.3150
2024-11-28 18:00: 0.7100
2024-11-28 21:00: 0.2950
2024-11-28 23:00: 0.7050
2024-11-29 02:00: 0.3000
2024-11-29 04:00: 0.7000
2024-11-29 07:00: 0.3000
2024-11-29 09:00: 0.7250
2024-11-29 12:00: 0.2750
2024-11-29 14:00: 0.7100
2024-11-29 17:00: 0.3050
2024-11-29 19:00: 0.6950
2024-11-29 22:00: 0.3050
2024-11-30 00:00: 0.7100
2024-11-30 03:00: 0.3000
2024-11-30 05:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1153.39, Sell volume: 97.26, Average price: 0.3353, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7600

Output: Yes