Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512803
Question: Will Anna Paulina Luna be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30314.365756
Price History:
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8831.99, Sell volume: 223.01, Average price: 0.5713, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512803
Question: Will Anna Paulina Luna be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30314.365756
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.32, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512803
Question: Will Anna Paulina Luna be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30314.365756
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.32, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512803
Question: Will Anna Paulina Luna be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30314.365756
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.32, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512803
Question: Will Anna Paulina Luna be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 30314.365756
Price History:
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.2500
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.7500
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.3600
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.6400
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.3550
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.6450
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.3100
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.6900
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.2050
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 21502.18, Sell volume: 8812.19, Average price: 0.7761, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512803
Question: Will Anna Paulina Luna be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 30314.365756
Price History:
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.2050
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.7950
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.2050
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.7950
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.1600
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.8400
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.1600
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.8400
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.1600
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 400.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512803
Question: Will Anna Paulina Luna be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 30314.365756
Price History:
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.1750
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.8250
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.1750
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.8250
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.0900
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.9100
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.1100
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.8900
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.1150
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 3462.32, Sell volume: 3000.00, Average price: 0.6480, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512803
Question: Will Anna Paulina Luna be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 30314.365756
Price History:
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0850
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.9150
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0850
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.9150
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.0165
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.9835
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.0145
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.9855
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.0080
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 7425.00, Sell volume: 5355.00, Average price: 0.7295, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512803
Question: Will Anna Paulina Luna be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 30314.365756
Price History:
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.0080
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.9920
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.0080
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.9920
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.0050
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.9950
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.0080
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.9920
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.0080
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512803
Question: Will Anna Paulina Luna be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 30314.365756
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0065
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.9935
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.0075
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.9925
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0075
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.9925
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0075
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.9925
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0055
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 185.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512803
Question: Will Anna Paulina Luna be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 30314.365756
Price History:
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0075
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.9925
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0065
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.9935
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0075
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.9925
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0065
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3.16, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.7490, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512803
Question: Will Anna Paulina Luna be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 30314.365756
Price History:
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0075
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.9925
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0055
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.9945
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0060
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.9940
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0075
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.9925
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0065
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 733.58, Sell volume: 94.87, Average price: 0.8448, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512803
Question: Will Anna Paulina Luna be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 30314.365756
Price History:
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0060
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.9940
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0055
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.9945
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0045
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.9955
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 116.03, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.9963, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512803
Question: Will Anna Paulina Luna be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 30314.365756
Price History:
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0015
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.9985
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 8831.99, Sell volume: 223.01, Average price: 0.5713, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512803
Question: Will Anna Paulina Luna be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 30314.365756
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.32, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512803
Question: Will Anna Paulina Luna be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 30314.365756
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.32, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512803
Question: Will Anna Paulina Luna be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 30314.365756
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 6.32, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0200
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0200
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0200
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0200
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0205
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0170
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 408.77, Sell volume: 331.42, Average price: 0.7643, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9865
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.9880
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9870
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9870
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9865
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 12:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9910
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.9910
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 390.91, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6910, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0100
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 301.08, Sell volume: 240.77, Average price: 0.8665, Price range: 0.0035 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9930
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9930
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9930
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 209.99, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 89.27, Sell volume: 89.26, Average price: 0.9937, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9950
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 1358.65, Sell volume: 460.49, Average price: 0.9191, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 286.24, Sell volume: 217.15, Average price: 0.9473, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116, Buy volume: 2072.13, Sell volume: 530.69, Average price: 0.9814, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 399.97, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 696.93, Sell volume: 3288.38, Average price: 0.8939, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 319, Buy volume: 5819.26, Sell volume: 5799.12, Average price: 0.9014, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.2950
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.7050
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.1850
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.8150
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.1700
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.8300
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.1850
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.8150
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.1150
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 540.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8548, Price range: 0.8396 - 0.8700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.1150
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.8850
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.1150
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.8850
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.1150
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.8850
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.1000
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.9000
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0950
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 9034.29, Sell volume: 9511.69, Average price: 0.5698, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0950
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.9050
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0900
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.9100
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.0850
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.9150
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0850
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.9150
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.0850
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1508.09, Sell volume: 1500.00, Average price: 0.5017, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0105
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.9895
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0125
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.9875
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.0090
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.9910
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.0090
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.9910
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.0090
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.03, Sell volume: 59.96, Average price: 0.3350, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.0085
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.9915
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.0085
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.9915
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.0085
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.9915
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.0085
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.9915
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.0075
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0070
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.9930
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.0070
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.9930
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0070
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.9930
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0070
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 185.78, Sell volume: 14.38, Average price: 0.8303, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.51, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.6660, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 693.58, Sell volume: 134.87, Average price: 0.7490, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 105.00, Sell volume: 11.03, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 9539.13, Sell volume: 193.01, Average price: 0.7491, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9988

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 26178.00, Sell volume: 13448.13, Average price: 0.6670, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9988

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 26178.00, Sell volume: 13448.13, Average price: 0.6670, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9988

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 26178.00, Sell volume: 13448.13, Average price: 0.6670, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9988

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.5000
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9750
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0250
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9750
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9805
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9805
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9800
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0200
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9800
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9800
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 408.77, Sell volume: 331.42, Average price: 0.7643, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9865
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9870
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0135
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9910
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0090
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0095
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 390.91, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.6910, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9910
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9910
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9910
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9910
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9910
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0090
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9910
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9910
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0090
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9915
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9925
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.9925
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.0065
2025-10-27 18:00: 0.9935
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 301.08, Sell volume: 240.77, Average price: 0.8665, Price range: 0.0035 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9930
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0070
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9930
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0065
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0065
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9935
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0065
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.9935
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9940
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 209.99, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9950
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9950
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 89.27, Sell volume: 89.26, Average price: 0.9937, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9945
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9945
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 205.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9960
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 1358.65, Sell volume: 460.49, Average price: 0.9191, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9935
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9930
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 286.24, Sell volume: 217.15, Average price: 0.9473, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9935
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 116, Buy volume: 2072.13, Sell volume: 530.69, Average price: 0.9814, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 399.97, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0040
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9965
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 696.93, Sell volume: 3288.38, Average price: 0.8939, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641854
Question: Will Scottie Pippen win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11618.382166
Price History:
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 319, Buy volume: 5819.26, Sell volume: 5799.12, Average price: 0.9014, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.2950
2024-11-11 19:00: 0.7050
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.1850
2024-11-11 20:00: 0.8150
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.1700
2024-11-11 21:00: 0.8300
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.1850
2024-11-11 22:00: 0.8150
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.1150
2024-11-11 23:00: 0.8850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 540.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8548, Price range: 0.8396 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.1150
2024-11-12 00:00: 0.8850
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.1150
2024-11-12 01:00: 0.8850
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.1150
2024-11-12 02:00: 0.8850
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.1000
2024-11-12 03:00: 0.9000
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.0950
2024-11-12 04:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 9034.29, Sell volume: 9511.69, Average price: 0.5698, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.0950
2024-11-12 05:00: 0.9050
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.0900
2024-11-12 06:00: 0.9100
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.0850
2024-11-12 07:00: 0.9150
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.0850
2024-11-12 08:00: 0.9150
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.0850
2024-11-12 09:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1508.09, Sell volume: 1500.00, Average price: 0.5017, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.0105
2024-11-12 10:00: 0.9895
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.0125
2024-11-12 11:00: 0.9875
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.0090
2024-11-12 12:00: 0.9910
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.0090
2024-11-12 13:00: 0.9910
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.0090
2024-11-12 14:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.03, Sell volume: 59.96, Average price: 0.3350, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.0085
2024-11-12 15:00: 0.9915
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.0085
2024-11-12 16:00: 0.9915
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.0085
2024-11-12 17:00: 0.9915
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.0085
2024-11-12 18:00: 0.9915
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.0075
2024-11-12 19:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9970, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.0070
2024-11-12 20:00: 0.9930
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.0070
2024-11-12 21:00: 0.9930
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.0070
2024-11-12 22:00: 0.9930
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.0070
2024-11-12 23:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 00:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 185.78, Sell volume: 14.38, Average price: 0.8303, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 01:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 02:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 03:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 04:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 05:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.51, Sell volume: 8.00, Average price: 0.6660, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 06:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 07:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 08:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 09:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 10:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 693.58, Sell volume: 134.87, Average price: 0.7490, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 11:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 12:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 13:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 14:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 15:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 105.00, Sell volume: 11.03, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 16:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.0070
2024-11-13 17:00: 0.9930
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 9539.13, Sell volume: 193.01, Average price: 0.7491, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9988
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 26178.00, Sell volume: 13448.13, Average price: 0.6670, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9988
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 26178.00, Sell volume: 13448.13, Average price: 0.6670, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9988
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512804
Question: Will Blake Moore be announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair?
Volume: 39626.132522
Price History:
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 18:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 19:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 20:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 21:00: 0.9995
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.0005
2024-11-13 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 26178.00, Sell volume: 13448.13, Average price: 0.6670, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9988
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.9550
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.0345
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9700
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0295
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0290
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0280
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.0275
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0225
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.9815
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.9845
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.0165
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9845
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0155
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9865
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9870
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0135
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9870
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9870
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9870
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0130
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0130
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.0130
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0130
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0130
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0140
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0140
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0100
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0100
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 18:00: 0.0110
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0100
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0110
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0125
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.0120
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0120
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0125
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.0125
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0125
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0125
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.0125
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0125
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0125
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0125
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 1143.33, Sell volume: 540.51, Average price: 0.7874, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.0125
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0125
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0125
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.0120
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.0120
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0120
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.0120
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0120
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0120
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.0120
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0120
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.0120
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.0105
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0105
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0105
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.0100
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.0100
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0100
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.0100
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.0100
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0100
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 300.08, Sell volume: 232.77, Average price: 0.8981, Price range: 0.0076 - 0.9920

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.0065
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0050
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 420.11, Average price: 0.4987, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 260.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 23.83, Sell volume: 23.82, Average price: 0.9940, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 293.50, Sell volume: 88.21, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1203.31, Sell volume: 37.80, Average price: 0.9474, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 178.06, Sell volume: 600.18, Average price: 0.5294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 1067.68, Sell volume: 351.93, Average price: 0.8539, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 125.22, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 696.93, Sell volume: 2878.93, Average price: 0.9181, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 260, Buy volume: 4969.35, Sell volume: 5569.48, Average price: 0.8400, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9600
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9700
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9705
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0300
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9720
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0225
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0185
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0155
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0160
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.0155
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9865
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0130
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9870
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0130
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0130
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9870
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0130
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9870
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0140
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0110
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9890
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9895
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0105
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4955, Price range: 0.0110 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0080
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9900
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9895
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.0105
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9890
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9895
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0100
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.9900
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0125
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0120
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.0125
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9875
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0125
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.9875
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.0125
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 1143.33, Sell volume: 540.51, Average price: 0.7874, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0125
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9875
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0125
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.9875
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0125
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.9880
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0120
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.9880
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0120
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0120
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.9880
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0110
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9895
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9895
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0105
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.9900
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0100
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9900
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 300.08, Sell volume: 232.77, Average price: 0.8981, Price range: 0.0076 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9905
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0095
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9950
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.0065
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.0050
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9945
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0055
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 420.11, Average price: 0.4987, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0055
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0060
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0060
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9945
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 260.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0055
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9935
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9940
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9935
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0070
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9940
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0060
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 23.83, Sell volume: 23.82, Average price: 0.9940, Price range: 0.9910 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.0060
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9940
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.9930
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0070
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 293.50, Sell volume: 88.21, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9965
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0035
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0035
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9945
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 1203.31, Sell volume: 37.80, Average price: 0.9474, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 178.06, Sell volume: 600.18, Average price: 0.5294, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9950
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 1067.68, Sell volume: 351.93, Average price: 0.8539, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 125.22, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641804
Question: Will Kain Warwick win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 10538.831999
Price History:
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 696.93, Sell volume: 2878.93, Average price: 0.9181, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes