Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-02-02 00:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 01:00: 0.5550
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.4500
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.5250
2025-02-02 06:00: 0.4750
2025-02-02 07:00: 0.5150
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.4750
2025-02-02 10:00: 0.5250
2025-02-02 12:00: 0.4800
2025-02-02 13:00: 0.5200
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.5350
2025-02-02 18:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 19:00: 0.5350
2025-02-02 21:00: 0.4650
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.5650
2025-02-03 00:00: 0.4300
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.5800
2025-02-03 03:00: 0.4000
2025-02-03 04:00: 0.5950
2025-02-03 06:00: 0.4200
2025-02-03 07:00: 0.5600
2025-02-03 09:00: 0.4400
2025-02-03 10:00: 0.5600
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.4400
2025-02-03 13:00: 0.7000
2025-02-03 15:00: 0.3450
2025-02-03 16:00: 0.6350
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.3900
2025-02-03 19:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 9231.95, Sell volume: 1850.03, Average price: 0.4736, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.7000
2025-02-04 08:00: 0.4350
2025-02-04 10:00: 0.5650
2025-02-04 11:00: 0.4400
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 14:00: 0.3600
2025-02-04 16:00: 0.6000
2025-02-04 17:00: 0.4000
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.7450
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.3700
2025-02-04 22:00: 0.8300
2025-02-04 23:00: 0.2800
2025-02-05 01:00: 0.7250
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.2550
2025-02-05 04:00: 0.7450
2025-02-05 05:00: 0.2550
2025-02-05 07:00: 0.6700
2025-02-05 08:00: 0.3100
2025-02-05 10:00: 0.7250
2025-02-05 11:00: 0.2600
2025-02-05 13:00: 0.7550
2025-02-05 14:00: 0.2400
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.7550
2025-02-05 17:00: 0.2850
2025-02-05 19:00: 0.7300
2025-02-05 20:00: 0.2900
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.7150
2025-02-05 23:00: 0.2850
2025-02-06 01:00: 0.7150
2025-02-06 02:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 124, Buy volume: 3662.48, Sell volume: 3117.71, Average price: 0.6294, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.8022
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-02-06 14:00: 0.7050
2025-02-06 15:00: 0.2950
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.6900
2025-02-06 18:00: 0.3100
2025-02-06 20:00: 0.6850
2025-02-06 21:00: 0.3050
2025-02-06 23:00: 0.7450
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.2800
2025-02-07 02:00: 0.7150
2025-02-07 03:00: 0.2850
2025-02-07 05:00: 0.7150
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.2850
2025-02-07 08:00: 0.7150
2025-02-07 09:00: 0.2850
2025-02-07 11:00: 0.7200
2025-02-07 12:00: 0.2800
2025-02-07 14:00: 0.7200
2025-02-07 15:00: 0.2800
2025-02-07 17:00: 0.7200
2025-02-07 18:00: 0.2800
2025-02-07 20:00: 0.7200
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.2800
2025-02-07 23:00: 0.7550
2025-02-08 00:00: 0.2350
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.7350
2025-02-08 03:00: 0.2700
2025-02-08 05:00: 0.7300
2025-02-08 06:00: 0.2650
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.7350
2025-02-08 09:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 1357.21, Sell volume: 1961.87, Average price: 0.6136, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.7300
2025-02-08 22:00: 0.2700
2025-02-09 00:00: 0.7300
2025-02-09 01:00: 0.2700
2025-02-09 03:00: 0.7100
2025-02-09 04:00: 0.2950
2025-02-09 06:00: 0.7050
2025-02-09 07:00: 0.2950
2025-02-09 09:00: 0.7100
2025-02-09 10:00: 0.2900
2025-02-09 12:00: 0.7100
2025-02-09 13:00: 0.2950
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.5800
2025-02-09 16:00: 0.3900
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.6050
2025-02-09 19:00: 0.3950
2025-02-09 21:00: 0.6050
2025-02-09 22:00: 0.3950
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.6050
2025-02-10 01:00: 0.3600
2025-02-10 03:00: 0.6350
2025-02-10 04:00: 0.3600
2025-02-10 06:00: 0.6400
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.3550
2025-02-10 09:00: 0.6450
2025-02-10 10:00: 0.3550
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.6450
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.3550
2025-02-10 15:00: 0.6900
2025-02-10 16:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 979.47, Sell volume: 2497.92, Average price: 0.6177, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518536
Question: Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
Volume: 73901.60681
Price History:
2025-02-11 04:00: 0.7950
2025-02-11 05:00: 0.1950
2025-02-11 07:00: 0.8150
2025-02-11 08:00: 0.1850
2025-02-11 10:00: 0.8250
2025-02-11 11:00: 0.1750
2025-02-11 13:00: 0.8350
2025-02-11 14:00: 0.1800
2025-02-11 16:00: 0.8250
2025-02-11 17:00: 0.1750
2025-02-11 19:00: 0.8150
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.1850
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.8050
2025-02-11 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-12 01:00: 0.8050
2025-02-12 02:00: 0.2050
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.7950
2025-02-12 05:00: 0.2050
2025-02-12 07:00: 0.7950
2025-02-12 08:00: 0.2050
2025-02-12 10:00: 0.7950
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-12 13:00: 0.9935
2025-02-12 14:00: 0.0080
2025-02-12 16:00: 0.9930
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0065
2025-02-12 19:00: 0.9935
2025-02-12 20:00: 0.0065
2025-02-12 22:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 23:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 270, Buy volume: 26296.59, Sell volume: 9363.22, Average price: 0.8839, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 2675.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 2675.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 2675.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 2675.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1116.23, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.6278, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1721.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1721.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1721.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1721.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1721.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1721.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1721.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Outcomes: ["Up", "Down"]
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1721.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 2675.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 2675.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 2675.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 03:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 04:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 2675.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.7508, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 06:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1116.23, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.6278, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1721.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1721.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1721.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1721.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1721.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1721.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1721.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 754340
Question: Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Volume: 2697.92552
Price History:
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 08:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.1550
2025-11-30 09:00: 0.8450
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-11-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-30 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1721.99, Sell volume: 21.94, Average price: 0.8403, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9898
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.2450
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.7550
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.2550
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.7450
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.1450
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.8550
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0700
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.9300
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0400
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9600
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9600
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0400
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9600
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0605
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9395
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0445
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9555
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0465
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9535
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 802.38, Sell volume: 366.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9440
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0440
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9560
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0435
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9565
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0520
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9480
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0540
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9460
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0680
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9320
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0715
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9285
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0710
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9290
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0695
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9305
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0640
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9360
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0615
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9385
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9300
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0720
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9280
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0715
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 1288.70, Sell volume: 589.53, Average price: 0.4449, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.9670

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0720
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9280
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0725
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9275
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0725
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9275
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0725
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9275
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0720
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9280
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0720
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9280
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0720
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9280
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0720
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9280
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0745
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9255
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0775
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9225
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0785
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9215
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0655
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9345
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1197.23, Sell volume: 1094.73, Average price: 0.5223, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9355
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0615
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9385
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0625
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9375
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0625
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9375
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0620
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9380
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0530
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9470
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0515
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9485
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0510
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0520
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9480
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0565
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9435
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0565
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9435
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0555
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9445
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 4054.23, Sell volume: 1497.80, Average price: 0.7291, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.9510

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0575
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9425
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0545
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9455
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0565
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9435
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0580
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9420
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0710
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9290
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0755
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9245
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0740
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9260
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0725
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9275
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0715
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9285
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0700
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9300
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0680
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9320
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 2543.37, Sell volume: 549.60, Average price: 0.6829, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.9470

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9280
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0685
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9315
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0670
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9330
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0670
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9330
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0670
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9330
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0670
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9330
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0670
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9330
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0670
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9330
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0670
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9330
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0670
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9330
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0675
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9325
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0675
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9325
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0635
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9365
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0640
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1088.81, Sell volume: 265.53, Average price: 0.7238, Price range: 0.0660 - 0.9370

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0620
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9380
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0610
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9390
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0605
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9395
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0565
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9435
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0555
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9445
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0555
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9445
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0555
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9445
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0555
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9445
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0555
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9445
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0555
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9445
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0560
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9440
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0565
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9435
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0570
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9430
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 1191.82, Sell volume: 339.30, Average price: 0.7392, Price range: 0.0540 - 0.9470

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9435
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0595
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9405
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0605
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9395
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0590
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9410
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0590
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9410
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9400
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0585
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9415
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0585
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9415
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0535
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9465
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0555
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9445
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0560
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9440
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 2493.19, Sell volume: 781.86, Average price: 0.6694, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.9470

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0555
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9445
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0555
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9445
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0555
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9445
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0545
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9455
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0540
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9460
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0540
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9460
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0535
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9465
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0535
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9465
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0535
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9465
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 1761.71, Sell volume: 627.49, Average price: 0.7949, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.9470

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9465
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0730
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9270
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0715
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9285
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0730
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9270
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0745
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9255
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0690
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9310
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0670
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9330
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0660
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9340
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0630
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9370
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0565
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9435
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0565
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9435
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0570
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9430
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0705
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9295
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0590
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 5081.25, Sell volume: 2094.92, Average price: 0.5542, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.9470

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0570
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9430
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0580
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9420
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0555
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9445
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0535
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9465
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0590
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9410
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0590
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9410
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0680
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9320
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0875
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9125
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.1190
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.8810
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.1090
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.8910
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0935
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9065
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0635
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9365
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0615
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9385
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 194, Buy volume: 7085.15, Sell volume: 2838.06, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0515
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9485
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0515
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9485
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0540
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9460
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0555
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9445
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0570
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9430
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0590
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9410
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0515
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9485
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0505
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9495
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0495
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9505
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0365
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9635
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0410
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9590
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0090
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 363, Buy volume: 24243.25, Sell volume: 7219.72, Average price: 0.6239, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9930
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9920
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 194, Buy volume: 41850.60, Sell volume: 6535.58, Average price: 0.4951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.2450
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.7550
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.2550
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.7450
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.1450
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.8550
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.0700
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.9300
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0400
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9600
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0400
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9600
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0400
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9600
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0600
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9400
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0605
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9395
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0445
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9555
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0465
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9535
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 802.38, Sell volume: 366.00, Average price: 0.5308, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9440
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0440
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9560
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0435
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9565
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0520
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9480
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0540
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9460
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0680
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9320
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0715
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9285
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0710
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9290
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0695
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9305
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0640
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9360
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0615
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9385
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9300
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0720
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9280
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0715
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 39, Buy volume: 1288.70, Sell volume: 589.53, Average price: 0.4449, Price range: 0.0380 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0720
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9280
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0725
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9275
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0725
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9275
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0725
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9275
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0720
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9280
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0720
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9280
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0720
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9280
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0720
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9280
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0745
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9255
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0775
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9225
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0785
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9215
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0650
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9350
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0655
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9345
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 1197.23, Sell volume: 1094.73, Average price: 0.5223, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9355
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0615
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9385
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0625
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9375
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0625
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9375
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0620
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9380
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0530
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9470
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0515
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9485
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0510
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9490
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0520
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9480
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0565
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9435
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0565
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9435
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0555
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9445
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0550
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 79, Buy volume: 4054.23, Sell volume: 1497.80, Average price: 0.7291, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.9510
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0575
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9425
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0545
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9455
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0565
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9435
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0580
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9420
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0710
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9290
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0755
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9245
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0740
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9260
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0725
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9275
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0715
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9285
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0700
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9300
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0680
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9320
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 2543.37, Sell volume: 549.60, Average price: 0.6829, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.9470
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9280
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0685
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9315
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0670
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9330
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0670
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9330
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0670
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9330
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0670
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9330
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0670
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9330
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0670
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9330
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0670
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9330
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0670
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9330
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0675
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9325
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0675
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9325
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0635
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9365
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0640
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9360
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 1088.81, Sell volume: 265.53, Average price: 0.7238, Price range: 0.0660 - 0.9370
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0620
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9380
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0610
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9390
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0605
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9395
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0565
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9435
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0555
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9445
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0555
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9445
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0555
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9445
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0555
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9445
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0555
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9445
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0555
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9445
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0560
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9440
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0565
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9435
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0570
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9430
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 1191.82, Sell volume: 339.30, Average price: 0.7392, Price range: 0.0540 - 0.9470
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9435
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0595
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9405
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0605
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9395
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0590
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9410
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0590
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9410
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0600
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9400
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0585
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9415
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0585
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9415
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0535
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9465
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0555
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9445
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0560
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9440
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 58, Buy volume: 2493.19, Sell volume: 781.86, Average price: 0.6694, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.9470
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0555
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9445
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0555
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9445
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0555
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9445
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0545
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9455
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0540
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9460
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0540
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9460
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0535
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9465
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0535
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9465
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0535
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9465
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 1761.71, Sell volume: 627.49, Average price: 0.7949, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.9470
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9465
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0730
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9270
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0715
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9285
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0730
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9270
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0745
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9255
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0690
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9310
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0670
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9330
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0660
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9340
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0630
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9370
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0565
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9435
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0565
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9435
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0570
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9430
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0705
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9295
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0590
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 5081.25, Sell volume: 2094.92, Average price: 0.5542, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.9470
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0570
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9430
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0580
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9420
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0555
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9445
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0535
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9465
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0590
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9410
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0590
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9410
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0680
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9320
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0875
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9125
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.1190
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.8810
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.1090
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.8910
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0935
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9065
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0635
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9365
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0615
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9385
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 194, Buy volume: 7085.15, Sell volume: 2838.06, Average price: 0.5236, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0515
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9485
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0515
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9485
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0540
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9460
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0555
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9445
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0570
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9430
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0590
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9410
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0515
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9485
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0505
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9495
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0495
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9505
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0365
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9635
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0410
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9590
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0090
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 363, Buy volume: 24243.25, Sell volume: 7219.72, Average price: 0.6239, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547674
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 130983.991149
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9930
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9920
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 194, Buy volume: 41850.60, Sell volume: 6535.58, Average price: 0.4951, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.9915
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9990
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0010
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.9990
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.0010
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9990
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9990
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9990
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9990
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.9990
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9990
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9990
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.9990
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.9980
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9985
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.9985
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.9985
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.9985
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.9985
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9985
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.9985
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.9985
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.9975
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0025
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.9805
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.0115
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9865
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.0090
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.0130
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.0130
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.0130
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9900
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0135
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.9900
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.0090
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.9900
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0100
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0100
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0100
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.9895
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.0100
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.0100
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.0075
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0080
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.0075
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9925
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.0080
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9925
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.0080
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9920
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.0085
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0080
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9920
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.0080
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.0085
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.9960
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9960
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9960
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.9960
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.9960
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.0040
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.9960
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.0040
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.0040
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9960
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9960
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.0040
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.9960
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0055
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9945
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.0080
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9940
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9945
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0060
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.9950
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.0055
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.9950
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9950
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0050
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.0040
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.0040
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0060
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0060
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0060
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9940
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.0055
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0050
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0055
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.9945
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9945
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9945
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.9945
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.9945
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.0040
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9970
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0020
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9980
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9980
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999363, Buy volume: 352705185.86, Sell volume: 222255321.73, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 636, Buy volume: 263470.73, Sell volume: 195267.18, Average price: 0.8482, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0025
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0010
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0010
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0015
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0015
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9975
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9965
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9850
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9910
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.0130
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.0100
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.0135
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.0095
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0100
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.9900
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0105
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.0100
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.9925
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0085
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.0075
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.0075
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.9920
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0070
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0085
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.0080
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.9915
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.0040
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.0040
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.0040
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9960
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.9960
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.9960
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.9960
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0040
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.9945
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.9920
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.0080
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0060
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0060
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.0050
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0050
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.9940
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.0040
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9940
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.9940
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.9950
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.0055
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.9945
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9960
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0040
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9960
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9970
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9965
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0025
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 352968656.59, Sell volume: 222452349.77, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999363, Buy volume: 352705185.86, Sell volume: 222255321.73, Average price: 0.9348, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549626
Question: Will the Farmer–Citizen Movement win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 1914608.241015
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 636, Buy volume: 263470.73, Sell volume: 195267.18, Average price: 0.8482, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.1000
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.0400
2025-03-12 10:00: 0.0160
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0150
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.0125
2025-03-13 10:00: 0.0130
2025-03-13 18:00: 0.0065
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.0075
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.0060
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.0110
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.0105
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.0095
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.0080
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.0085
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.0085
2025-03-16 18:00: 0.0085
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0085
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.0080
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.0080
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.0100
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.0105
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0105
2025-03-19 02:00: 0.0100
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.0105
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.0100
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.0120
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0110
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.0125
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0115
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0120
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.0120
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.0130
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0120
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0110
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.0125
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0130
2025-03-24 02:00: 0.0130
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.0105
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0115
2025-03-25 02:00: 0.0120
2025-03-25 10:00: 0.0105
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.0105
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0110
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.0100
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0110
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0100
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-03-28 23:00: 0.0100
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.0105
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0095
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.0100
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.0090
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.0105
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.0095
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.0095
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0095
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.0095
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0095
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0095
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.0095
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0095
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.0100
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.0105
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.0080
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0090
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.0090
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.0095
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.0095
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0095
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-07 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.0100
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.0100
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0095
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0100
2025-04-09 15:00: 0.0095
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0105
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.0105
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0105
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0105
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.0105
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0105
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0185
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0185
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0185
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0285
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0280
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.0280
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0280
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0280
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0280
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0265
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.0280
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0280
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0280
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.0280
2025-04-19 20:00: 0.0275
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0280
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0275
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0280
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0280
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.0275
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0280
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0280
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0270
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0275
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0285
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0275
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0270
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0270
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0275
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0285
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0280
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0280
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0280
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0275
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0290
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0285
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0285
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0285
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0255
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0275
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0270
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0270
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0270
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0265
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0270
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0270
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0265
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0260
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0270
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0275
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0275
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0260
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0270
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0270
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0240
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0240
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0240
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0240
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0240
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0210
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0210
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0135
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0170
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0170
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0170
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0195
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.0165
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0170
2025-05-09 17:00: 0.0190
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.0155
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-10 17:00: 0.0150
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0170
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0170
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0130
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0115
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-13 01:00: 0.0090
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0090
2025-05-13 17:00: 0.0095
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.0095
2025-05-14 09:00: 0.0105
2025-05-14 17:00: 0.0110
2025-05-15 01:00: 0.0110
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0110
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0110
2025-05-16 01:00: 0.0110
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.0110
2025-05-16 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-17 01:00: 0.0110
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.0105
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0110
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0110
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.0110
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0115
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.0105
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0095
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0095
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0090
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0090
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0085
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0085
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0080
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0080
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.0085
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0080
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0080
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0080
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0080
2025-05-25 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0080
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0080
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0080
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0080
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0090
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0090
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0095
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0090
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0080
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0080
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0080
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0080
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0080
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0080
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0080
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0085
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0070
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0055
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0070
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0075
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 527806
Question: Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 781297.909827
Price History:
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0070
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0075
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0080
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0075
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0075
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0075
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0075
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0065
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0065
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0055
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0050
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0055
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-15 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0055
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0055
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0065
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0055
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-18 04:00: 0.0030
2025-06-18 12:00: 0.0025
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.0025
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0045
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0035
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0060
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0040
2025-06-21 12:00: 0.0040
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0030
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 472278557.48, Sell volume: 20769130.68, Average price: 0.6919, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes