Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9845
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0155
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9650
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9715
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0285
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9700
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0300
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9740
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0260
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9740
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0260
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9840
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0160
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9840
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0160
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9870
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0130
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9885
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 843.00, Sell volume: 348.00, Average price: 0.4017, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9750

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9885
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9885
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9885
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9885
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9885
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9885
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9870
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0130
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2423.15, Sell volume: 790.50, Average price: 0.5993, Price range: 0.0051 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9875
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0125
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9875
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0125
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9875
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0125
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9865
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9865
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9865
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9865
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9870
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9870
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9870
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9870
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9870
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9870
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9920, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9870
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9855
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0145
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9860
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9860
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9860
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9860
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9860
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9865
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9855
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0145
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9855
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9860
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9860
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9860
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9890, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9895
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0105
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9895
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9895
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0105
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9860
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9860
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9865
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0135
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 51.00, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 67.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9875
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0125
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9875
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.9850, Price range: 0.9850 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9875
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0125
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9875
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0125
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9875
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0125
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9870
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9870
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9870
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0150, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.0150

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9900
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0100
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9910
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0090
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9910
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0090
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9915
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 72.00, Sell volume: 106.00, Average price: 0.8232, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9915
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0085
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9920
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0080
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9930
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9910
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0090
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9890
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9885
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0115
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9890
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9880
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0120
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 88.37, Sell volume: 83.50, Average price: 0.2548, Price range: 0.0072 - 0.9920

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9900
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0100
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9890
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9900
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0100
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9890
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9865
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0135
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9880
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0120
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9870
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0130
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9890
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9910
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.01, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0051 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9910
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0090
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9920
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0080
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9910
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0090
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9920
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9920
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9895
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9900
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0100
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9900
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0100
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9910
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0090
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9905
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0095
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9920
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 763.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8004, Price range: 0.0131 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9920
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9920
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9940
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 220.00, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.9947, Price range: 0.9850 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9845
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0155
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9650
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0350
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9715
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0285
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9700
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0300
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9740
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0260
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9740
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0260
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9840
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0160
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9840
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0160
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9870
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0130
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9885
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 843.00, Sell volume: 348.00, Average price: 0.4017, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9885
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9885
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9885
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9885
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9885
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9885
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0115
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9870
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0130
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0125
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9875
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 2423.15, Sell volume: 790.50, Average price: 0.5993, Price range: 0.0051 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9875
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0125
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9875
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0125
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9875
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0125
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9865
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9865
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9865
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9865
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9870
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9870
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9870
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9870
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9870
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9870
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9920, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9870
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0130
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9855
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0145
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9860
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9860
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9860
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9860
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9860
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0140
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9865
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0135
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9855
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0145
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9855
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9860
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9860
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9860
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9890, Price range: 0.9890 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9895
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0105
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9895
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0105
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9895
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0105
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9860
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9860
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9865
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0135
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 51.00, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0130
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 67.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9875
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0125
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9875
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.9850, Price range: 0.9850 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9875
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0125
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9875
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0125
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9875
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0125
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9870
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9870
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9870
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0130
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0150, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.0150
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9860
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0140
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9900
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0100
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9910
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0090
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9910
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0090
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9905
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0095
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9915
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 72.00, Sell volume: 106.00, Average price: 0.8232, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9915
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0085
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9920
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0080
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9930
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9910
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0090
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9890
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9885
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0115
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9890
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9880
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0120
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0085
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9915
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 88.37, Sell volume: 83.50, Average price: 0.2548, Price range: 0.0072 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9900
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0100
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9890
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9895
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0105
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9900
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0100
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9890
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9865
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0135
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9880
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0120
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9870
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0130
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9890
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9905
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0095
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9910
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.01, Sell volume: 152.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0051 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9910
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0090
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9920
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0080
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9910
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0090
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9920
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9920
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9895
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9900
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0100
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9900
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0100
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9910
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0090
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9905
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0095
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9920
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 763.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8004, Price range: 0.0131 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547800
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeonnam State (전라남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 3213.654273
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9920
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9920
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9925
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9940
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 220.00, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.9947, Price range: 0.9850 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0260
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9740
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0360
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9640
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0400
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9600
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0420
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9580
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0425
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9575
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0425
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9575
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9625
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9625
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9625
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0365
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9635
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0370
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9630
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0370
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9630
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 157.15, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9740

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0380
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9620
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0380
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9620
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0380
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9620
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9625
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9625
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9625
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0365
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9635
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0365
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9635
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0360
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9640
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0360
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9640
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0360
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9640
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0355
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9645
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 22012.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7390, Price range: 0.0370 - 0.9818

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0290
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9710
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0280
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9720
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0260
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9740
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0295
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9705
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0205
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9795
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0210
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9790
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0210
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9790
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9800
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9800
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9800
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0185
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9815
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0105
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9895
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0090
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 36.07, Sell volume: 776.90, Average price: 0.5667, Price range: 0.0172 - 0.9820

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9940
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9945
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9940
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9940
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9940
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9945
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9945
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9945
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9945
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9945
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9945
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9945
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 38045.82, Sell volume: 2689.52, Average price: 0.5095, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9980
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9970
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 38045.82, Sell volume: 2689.52, Average price: 0.5095, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 333.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 38045.82, Sell volume: 2689.52, Average price: 0.5095, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0020
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9980
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9980
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9980
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9980
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9975
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9975
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9975
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 842.00, Sell volume: 1005.00, Average price: 0.5995, Price range: 0.0019 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.00, Sell volume: 55.00, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 4000.00, Sell volume: 792.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0010
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9990
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0010
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9990
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0010
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9990
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0010
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9990
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0010
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9990
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5829.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0017, Price range: 0.0017 - 0.0017

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 3104.79, Sell volume: 9.55, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0023 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0010
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9990
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1699.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0260
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9740
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0360
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9640
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0400
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9600
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0420
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9580
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0425
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9575
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0425
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9575
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9625
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9625
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9625
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0365
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9635
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0370
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9630
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0370
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9630
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 157.15, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9740
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0380
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9620
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0380
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9620
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0380
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9620
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9625
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9625
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0375
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9625
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0365
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9635
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0365
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9635
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0360
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9640
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0360
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9640
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0360
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9640
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0355
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9645
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 22012.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7390, Price range: 0.0370 - 0.9818
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0290
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9710
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0280
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9720
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0260
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9740
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0295
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9705
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0205
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9795
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0210
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9790
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0210
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9790
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9800
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9800
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0200
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9800
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0185
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9815
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0105
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9895
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0090
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 36.07, Sell volume: 776.90, Average price: 0.5667, Price range: 0.0172 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9940
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9945
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9940
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9940
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0060
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9940
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9945
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9945
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9945
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9945
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9945
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9945
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9945
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0055
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 38045.82, Sell volume: 2689.52, Average price: 0.5095, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0020
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9980
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0030
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9970
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 38045.82, Sell volume: 2689.52, Average price: 0.5095, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0025
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 333.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0030, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0030
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 38045.82, Sell volume: 2689.52, Average price: 0.5095, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0020
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9980
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9980
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0020
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9980
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0020
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9980
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0025
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9975
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9975
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0025
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9975
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0025
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9975
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 842.00, Sell volume: 1005.00, Average price: 0.5995, Price range: 0.0019 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 11.00, Sell volume: 55.00, Average price: 0.6663, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 4000.00, Sell volume: 792.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0010
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9990
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0010
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9990
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0010
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9990
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0010
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9990
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0010
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9990
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5829.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0017, Price range: 0.0017 - 0.0017
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9985
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0020
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 3104.79, Sell volume: 9.55, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0023 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547801
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongbuk State (경상북도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 40735.335608
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0020
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9980
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0010
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9990
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 1699.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.4950
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.5050
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.4950
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.5050
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1600, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.1600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.5050
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.8700
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.1300
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.4850
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.5150
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.5150
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.4850
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.5150
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 7372.58, Sell volume: 3070.95, Average price: 0.6689, Price range: 0.0018 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.5150
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.4850
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.5150
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.4850
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.4550
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.5450
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.4750
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.5250
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.4650
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.5350
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.4500
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.5500
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.4300
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.5700
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.4200
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.5800
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.4450
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.5550
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.4350
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.5650
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 335.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6129, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.7050
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.1600
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.8400
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.2550
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.7450
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.1550
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.8450
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.1150
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.8850
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0850
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9150
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0850
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9150
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9000
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.1050
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.8950
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.1050
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 718.88, Sell volume: 66.30, Average price: 0.6575, Price range: 0.0570 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.8950
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.1400
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.8600
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.8550
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.1200
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.8800
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.1200
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.8800
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.1500
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.8500
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.1500
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.8500
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.1500
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.8500
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.1550
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.8450
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.8550
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.1650
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.8350
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 286.40, Sell volume: 155.14, Average price: 0.3833, Price range: 0.1253 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.1550
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.8450
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.8550
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.1300
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.8700
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.1200
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.8800
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.1300
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.8700
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.1250
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.1250
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.1300
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 318.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8795, Price range: 0.8739 - 0.8835

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9100
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9100
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9100
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9100
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9100
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9100
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9200
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0700
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9300
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0700
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9300
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0700
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9300
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0700
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9300
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0700
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9300
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0700
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9300
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0700
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9300
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.2300
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.7700
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.2200
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.7800
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.2100
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 250.00, Sell volume: 935.12, Average price: 0.6474, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9114

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.2300
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.7700
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.2400
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.7600
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.2350
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.7650
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.2350
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.7650
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.2350
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.7650
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.2250
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.7750
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.2300
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.7700
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.2700
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.7300
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.2650
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.7350
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.2250
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.7750
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.2550
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.7450
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.2400
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.7600
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.2550
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 45.08, Average price: 0.5699, Price range: 0.5098 - 0.6300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.2450
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.7550
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.2400
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.7600
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.1450
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.8550
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.1700
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.8300
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.8650
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.8650
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0500
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9500
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0750
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9250
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9250
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9250
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 495.21, Sell volume: 376.00, Average price: 0.8187, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0700
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9300
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0700
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9300
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0700
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9300
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0700
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9300
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0650
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9350
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0650
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9350
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0650
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9350
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0650
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9350
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 739.98, Sell volume: 643.47, Average price: 0.9415, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9450
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0500
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9500
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0500
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9500
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0500
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9500
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0550
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9450
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0550
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9450
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0550
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9450
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0550
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9450
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.3450
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.6550
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0165
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9835
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0100
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2659.14, Sell volume: 678.68, Average price: 0.5553, Price range: 0.0018 - 0.9978

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 582.80, Sell volume: 41.16, Average price: 0.8316, Price range: 0.0137 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.4950
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.5050
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.4950
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.5050
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.5200
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.4800
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 6.30, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1600, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.1600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.5000
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.4950
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.5050
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.8700
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.1300
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.4850
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.5150
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.5100
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.4900
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.5150
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.4850
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.5150
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 7372.58, Sell volume: 3070.95, Average price: 0.6689, Price range: 0.0018 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.5150
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.4850
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.5150
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.4850
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.4550
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.5450
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.4750
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.5250
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.4650
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.5350
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.4500
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.5500
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.4300
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.5700
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.4200
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.5800
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.4450
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.5550
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.4350
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.5650
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.2250
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 335.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6129, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0450
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9550
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.7050
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.1600
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.8400
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.2550
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.7450
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.1550
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.8450
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.1750
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.8250
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.1150
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.8850
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0850
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9150
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0850
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9150
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0850
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9150
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9000
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.1050
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.8950
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.1050
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 718.88, Sell volume: 66.30, Average price: 0.6575, Price range: 0.0570 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.8950
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.1400
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.8600
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.8550
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.1200
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.8800
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.1200
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.8800
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.1500
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.8500
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.1500
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.8500
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.1500
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.8500
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.1550
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.8450
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.8550
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.1650
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.8350
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 286.40, Sell volume: 155.14, Average price: 0.3833, Price range: 0.1253 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.1550
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.8450
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.1450
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.8550
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.1300
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.8700
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.1200
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.8800
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.8750
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.1250
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.8750
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.1300
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.8700
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.1250
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.8750
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.1250
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.8750
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.1300
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 318.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8795, Price range: 0.8739 - 0.8835
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9100
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9100
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9100
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9100
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9100
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9100
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0900
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9100
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 130.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9200
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0700
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9300
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0700
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9300
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0700
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9300
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0700
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9300
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0700
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9300
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0700
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9300
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0700
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9300
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.2300
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.7700
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.2200
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.7800
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.2100
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 250.00, Sell volume: 935.12, Average price: 0.6474, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9114
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.2300
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.7700
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.2400
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.7600
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.2350
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.7650
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.2350
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.7650
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.2350
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.7650
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.2250
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.7750
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.2300
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.7700
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.2700
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.7300
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.2650
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.7350
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.2250
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.7750
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.2550
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.7450
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.2400
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.7600
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.2550
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 45.08, Average price: 0.5699, Price range: 0.5098 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.2450
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.7550
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.2400
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.7600
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.1450
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.8550
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.1550
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.8450
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.1700
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.8300
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.8650
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.1350
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.8650
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0500
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9500
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0750
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9250
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9250
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9250
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 495.21, Sell volume: 376.00, Average price: 0.8187, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0700
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9300
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0700
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9300
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0700
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9300
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0700
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9300
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0650
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9350
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0650
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9350
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0650
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9350
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0650
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9350
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 739.98, Sell volume: 643.47, Average price: 0.9415, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9450
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0500
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9500
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0500
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9500
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0500
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9500
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0550
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9450
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0550
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9450
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0550
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9450
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0550
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9450
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.3450
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.6550
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0165
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9835
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0100
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 2659.14, Sell volume: 678.68, Average price: 0.5553, Price range: 0.0018 - 0.9978
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547802
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Gyeongnam State (경상남도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 10443.527451
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0035
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9965
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9970
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9915
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0045
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9955
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0050
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9950
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 582.80, Sell volume: 41.16, Average price: 0.8316, Price range: 0.0137 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9815
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0185
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9580
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0420
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9565
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0435
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9570
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0430
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9565
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0435
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9570
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0430
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9590
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9595
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0405
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9590
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9590
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9595
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0405
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9605
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0395
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9595
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 190.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.6462, Price range: 0.0373 - 0.9514

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9595
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0405
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9585
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0415
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9575
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0425
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9570
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0430
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9595
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0405
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9595
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0405
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9585
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0415
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9595
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0405
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9600
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0400
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9605
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0395
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9580
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0420
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9590
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9580
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1354.31, Sell volume: 328.23, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9600
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0400
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9600
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0400
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9600
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0400
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1354.31, Sell volume: 328.23, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.9590
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0410
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9580
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0420
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9575
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0425
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9570
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0430
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9580
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.0420
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9695
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.0305
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9735
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0265
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9720
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.0280
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9660
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0340
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9675
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 140.00, Average price: 0.0337, Price range: 0.0337 - 0.0337

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9675
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0325
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9670
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9675
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0325
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9695
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0305
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9675
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0325
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9680
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0320
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9730
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0270
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9720
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0280
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9725
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0275
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9850
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0150
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9860
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0140
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9850
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0150
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9840
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1354.31, Sell volume: 328.23, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9760
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0240
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9795
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0205
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9770
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0230
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9765
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0235
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9780
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0220
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9785
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0215
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9795
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0205
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9825
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0175
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9815
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0185
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0130
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9865
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9845
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9870
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.02, Sell volume: 5.02, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9905
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0095
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9900
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0100
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9880
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0120
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9815
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0185
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9810
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0190
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9855
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0145
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9865
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0135
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9890
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0110
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9890
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0110
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9890
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0110
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9850
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0150
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9850
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1354.31, Sell volume: 328.23, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9830
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0170
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9835
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0165
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9830
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0170
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9800
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0200
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9790
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0210
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9795
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0205
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9780
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0220
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9720
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0280
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9720
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0280
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9720
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0280
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9720
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0280
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9720
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0280
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0240, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.0240

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9700
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0300
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0360
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9635
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0365
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9635
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0365
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9630
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0370
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0360
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0415, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.0480

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9645
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0355
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9680
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0320
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9660
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0340
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9640
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0360
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9650
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0350
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9645
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0355
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9705
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0295
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9725
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0275
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9735
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0265
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9710
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 50.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6679, Price range: 0.0397 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9715
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0285
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9740
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0260
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9740
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0260
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9790
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0210
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9750
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0250
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9760
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0240
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9765
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0235
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9755
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0245
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9775
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0225
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9775
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0225
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9800
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.9760 - 0.9760

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9790
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0210
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9785
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0215
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9780
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9770
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0230
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0220
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9785
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0215
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9785
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0215
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9830
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0170
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9795
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 852.95, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8017, Price range: 0.0374 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9795
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9795
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9795
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9795
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9795
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9800
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0200
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9810
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0190
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9810
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0190
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9810
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0190
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9820
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0180
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9920
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0080
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 33.21, Average price: 0.9795, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9815
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0185
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9580
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0420
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9565
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0435
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9570
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0430
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9565
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0435
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9570
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0430
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9590
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9595
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0405
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9590
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9590
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9595
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0405
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9605
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0395
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9595
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 190.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.6462, Price range: 0.0373 - 0.9514
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547803
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win Jeju Province (제주도) in the 2025 Korean Presidential election?
Volume: 1682.535975
Price History:
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9595
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0405
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9585
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0415
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9575
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0425
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9570
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0430
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9595
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0405
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9595
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0405
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9585
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0415
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9595
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0405
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9600
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0400
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9605
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0395
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9580
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0420
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9590
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0410
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9580
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 1354.31, Sell volume: 328.23, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes