Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2525
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.2525
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.7475
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.7580
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.4975
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.3170
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.5170
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.4825
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.5000
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.5165
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.5165
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.5025
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.4860
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.5140
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.4335
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.4810
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.5190
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.5190
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.5190
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.5185
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.4815
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.4815
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.4815
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.4715
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.5400
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.5415
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.5445
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.4450
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.4425
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.4400
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.5615
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.4360
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.4320
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.5705
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.4090
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.5755
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.3980
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.6045
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.6075
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.3895
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.6135
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.6160
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.3815
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.6215
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.6245
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.6275
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.3700
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.6330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.4940, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.3540
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.3515
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.6515
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.6540
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.6570
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.6595
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.3375
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.6650
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.6680
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.6705
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.3270
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.3240
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.3215
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.6810
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.6835
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.3140
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.3115
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.6910
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.6935
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.6960
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.6980
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.7005
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.7005
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.2995
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2995
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.2995
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.2995
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.2995
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.7005
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.2995
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.2995
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.2995
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.2990
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.7035
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.2940
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.7085
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.2885
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.2860
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.7165
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.7190
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.7205
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.2795
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.2795
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.2795
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.2795
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.2795
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.2795
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.2795
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.2795
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.2795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 2460.34, Sell volume: 123.78, Average price: 0.8673, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.7205
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.7205
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.7205
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.7205
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.2795
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.7205
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.2795
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.2795
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.2795
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.7205
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.2795
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.2795
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.2795
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.2795
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.7205
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.2795
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.7205
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.7205
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.2795
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.2795
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.2795
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.2795
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.7205
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.2795
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.7210
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.2790
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.2790
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.7215
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.2785
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.2785
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.2785
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.7215
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.2780
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.7215
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.7220
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.7220
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.7220
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.7225
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.7220
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.7225
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.7220
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.7225
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.2780
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.2775
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.2780
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.2775
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.2780
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.2775
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.7220
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.7220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 2460.34, Sell volume: 123.78, Average price: 0.8673, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.7225
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.7220
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.7225
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.7230
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.7225
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.7230
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.7225
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.7225
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.7225
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.7225
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.7225
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.7225
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.7225
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.2775
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.7225
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.7225
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.2775
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.2775
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.7225
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.7225
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.7225
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.7225
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.7225
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.2775
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.7225
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.2775
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.2775
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.7225
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.7225
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.2775
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.7225
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.7225
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.2775
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.2775
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.2775
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.2775
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.7225
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.2775
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.2775
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.2775
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.7225
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.2775
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.7225
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.7225
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.7230
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.7225
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.2775
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.2775
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.7225
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 2460.34, Sell volume: 123.78, Average price: 0.8673, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7225
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.7230
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.2770
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2770
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7230
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.7230
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.2770
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.2770
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.2770
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.2770
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.7230
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.7225
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2770
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.2775
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.2780
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.2780
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7225
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.2775
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.2780
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.2780
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2775
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.2775
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.7225
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.7225
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.2775
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.7225
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.2780
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2775
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2780
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2780
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7225
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.7225
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.7220
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7220
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.7225
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7225
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.2780
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7220
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.2780
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2775
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7225
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.2775
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2780
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.2780
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.2780
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.2775
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2775
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.7220
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.2775
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 7.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2775
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.2770
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0985
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0985
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0985
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.99, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9680
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.0390
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9610
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9610
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9610
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0390
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.0390
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0390
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.9610
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9610
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0390
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9610
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.0390
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0483, Price range: 0.0483 - 0.0483

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9610
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9610
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9610
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9610
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.9610
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.85, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.9610
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9610
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9610
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9610
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9610
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9565
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9565
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.8045
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.8010
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.8015
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.8100
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9395
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9395
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9395
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9395
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.8295
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.8250
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.8400
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8420
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.8435
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.8455
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.8420
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.8205
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.8400
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.8425
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.7610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1585
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.1510
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.1400
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.1275
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.4615
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.4395
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.4100
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.3790
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.3490
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.3225
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.3165
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.2425
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.1480
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.1420
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1400
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.1400
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.1305
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.1260
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.1245
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.3370
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.3090
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2970
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.1920
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.1480
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.1420
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.1380
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.1345
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0870
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.0090
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0140
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0120
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0155
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2378.59, Sell volume: 75.94, Average price: 0.9289, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 2460.34, Sell volume: 123.78, Average price: 0.8673, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.7550
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6900, Price range: 0.6900 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2350
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.7650
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.7650
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.2350
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.2350
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.2350
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.7650
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.7700
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.2350
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.2350
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.2350
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.2350
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.7700
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.7650
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.7650
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.2350
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.7650
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.7650
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.2350
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.2350
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2350
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.7650
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.7650
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.7650
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7650
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.1750
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9050
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9660
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.2360
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.7480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5025, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2525
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.7490
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.4975
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.6830
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.4825
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.5000
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.5005
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.5195
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.4335
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.5190
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.5190
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.5000
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.4815
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.5000
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.4705
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.5400
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.5445
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.4430
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.5680
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.5660
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.5705
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.4040
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.6035
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.3915
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.6135
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.6180
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.3770
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.3720
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.6330
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.6380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.4940, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.3540
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.3495
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.6555
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.3395
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.6650
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.3300
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.3255
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.3210
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.6835
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.3125
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.6925
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.6965
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.7005
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.2995
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.2995
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.2995
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.7005
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.2995
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.2995
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.2960
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.7085
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.7130
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.2825
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.7205
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.2795
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.2795
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.2795
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.2795
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.2795
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.2795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 2460.34, Sell volume: 123.78, Average price: 0.8673, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.7205
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.7205
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.7205
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.2795
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.2795
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.2795
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.2795
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.2795
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.7205
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.2795
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.7205
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.2795
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.2795
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.7205
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.7205
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.7210
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.2785
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.7220
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.7215
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.2785
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.7220
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.7220
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.7225
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.7225
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.2780
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.2775
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.7220
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.2780
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.7220
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.7220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 2460.34, Sell volume: 123.78, Average price: 0.8673, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.7225
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.7225
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.7225
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.7225
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.7225
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.7225
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.7225
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.7225
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.7225
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.7225
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.2775
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.7225
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.7225
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.7225
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.7225
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.7225
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.7225
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.7225
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.7225
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.7225
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.2775
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.2775
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.2775
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.7225
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.7225
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.7230
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.7225
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.2775
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2775
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.7230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 2460.34, Sell volume: 123.78, Average price: 0.8673, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.7225
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.7230
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.7225
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.7225
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.2770
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.2775
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.7230
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2780
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.2780
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.2775
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.2780
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.2780
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.2775
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.7225
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2775
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.2775
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2780
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.7225
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.7220
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7225
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7225
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2775
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2780
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7220
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2780
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7225
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.2775
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.7225
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7230
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.2770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 7.01, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.2775
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0985
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0985
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.99, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0015
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.9680
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9610
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.9610
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0390
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0390
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9610
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0390
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9610
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0483, Price range: 0.0483 - 0.0483
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9610
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.0390
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0390
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9610
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0390
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9610
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0390
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9610
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.0390
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.85, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9610
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.9610
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9610
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9610
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9610
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9610
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9610
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9610
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9565
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.5115
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.8050
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9395
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9395
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9395
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.6400
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.8420
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.8455
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.8430
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.8405
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.7610
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.8260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565780
Question: Will Sketch win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 2584.11592
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.1585
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.1390
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4795
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.4325
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.3790
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.3295
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.2790
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.1465
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.1400
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.1320
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.1255
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.3265
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.2970
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.1585
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.1395
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.1330
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0175
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.0155
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0110
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0125
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0150
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 72, Buy volume: 2378.59, Sell volume: 75.94, Average price: 0.9289, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2514.08, Sell volume: 768.84, Average price: 0.7634, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.7550
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.7550
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7550
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2450
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.2450
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0155
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.7790
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.7790
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.7790
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.7795
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.7795
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.7790
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.2205
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.7795
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.2205
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.7795
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.7795
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.7795
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.2205
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.2205
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.7795
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.7795
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.7790
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.7495
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.7495
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.7495
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.2505
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.7495
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.7485
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.7485
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.7485
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.7485
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.2515
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.7485
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.2515
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.2515
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2515
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7485
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.2515
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.2515
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.7485
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.7490
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.7490
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7490
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.7800
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.7925
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.1955
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.1845
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.8260
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.7545
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7490
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9950

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2480
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.2515
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.7545
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.7710
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.5015
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.7100
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.5200
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.5205
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.5265
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.5255
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.5280
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.4965
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.4850
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.4770
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.4675
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.4620
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.5430
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.4505
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.4480
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.4450
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.4430
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.5590
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.5610
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.5635
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.4125
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.5045
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.3960
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.4905
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.4360
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.5760
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.5820
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.5875
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.5910
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.5085
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.5775
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.4175
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.4020
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.4785
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.6200
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.3795
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.3745
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.5465
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.5050
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.4925
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.6200
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.4945
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.3790
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.6210
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.6200
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.6230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4845, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9620

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.3795
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.3765
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.3790
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.4230
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.1340
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.5730
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.4045
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.5425
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5800
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.4140
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.5905
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.4905
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.4845
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.4540
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.6630
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.4905
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.5150
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.5210
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.4635
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.4915
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.4945
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.4000
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.5055
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.4945
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.4945
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.5055
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.4945
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.4945
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.5055
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.5055
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.5055
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.5055
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.5080
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.5125
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.5045
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.4815
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.5245
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.5430
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.4535
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.5500
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.5570
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.4430
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.4430
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.4430
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.4430
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.4430
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.4430
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.5570
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.4430
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.1570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2514.08, Sell volume: 768.84, Average price: 0.7634, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.4430
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.1570
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.5570
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.5570
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.4430
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.8430
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.8430
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.5570
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.8430
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.8430
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.4430
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.5570
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.4430
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.5570
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.5570
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.5570
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.5570
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.3870
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.6130
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.5570
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.6130
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.6130
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.3870
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.5570
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.4145
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.6150
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.7940
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.2055
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.7995
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.2040
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.2045
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.7945
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.4955
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.2000
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.2040
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.5050
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.7960
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.7960
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.5200
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.7955
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.5120
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.7945
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.7960
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.7945
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.7945
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.5255
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.4755
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.7955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2514.08, Sell volume: 768.84, Average price: 0.7634, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.2045
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.4795
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.7955
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.1980
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.2040
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.5045
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.5045
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.5045
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.5045
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.5045
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.5045
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.5045
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.5045
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.5045
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.4955
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.4955
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.4955
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.4955
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.4955
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.5045
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.5045
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.5045
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.4955
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.5045
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.4955
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.5350
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.4955
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.5045
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.5045
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.4650
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.5350
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.5045
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.4955
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.4955
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.4905
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.4855
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.5145
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.5145
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.4815
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.4755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2514.08, Sell volume: 768.84, Average price: 0.7634, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.5055
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.5060
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.5060
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.4935
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.4925
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.5055
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.5075
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.5085
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.5050
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.5095
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.5245
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.4690
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.5390
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.5115
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.5225
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5240
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.5395
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.5480
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.4935
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.4830
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.4740
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.4615
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4540
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4880
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4745
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4690
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4630
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4945
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4880
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4805
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.4565
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5065
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5145
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5260
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4685
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4610
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4945
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5135
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4740
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.4630
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5425
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4895
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5005
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4780
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4730
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5095
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4730
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.5215
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.5210
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.5190
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.5180
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.5350
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.5500
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.5110
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.5265
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.5390
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.5080
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.5245
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.5365
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.5560
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.5150
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.4675
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.5440
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.4870
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.4690
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.4910
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.4765
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.4630
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.4895
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.5280
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.4560
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.4440
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.5185
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.5295
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.4665
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.5300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5300
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.5300
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.4700
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.4700
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.4700
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.5300
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.4700
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.4700
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.5320
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.4690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3.37, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.6473, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.4640
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.5050
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.5065
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.5080
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.4890
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.5080
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.4895
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.5155
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.5180
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.4820
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.5180
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.4795
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.4765
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.4725
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.4720
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.4750
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.5225
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.5185
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.4805
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.5400
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.5810
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.4110
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.6565
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.3410
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.6625
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.3375
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.6625
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.3375
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.3375
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.3130
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.6625
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.6640
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.3355
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.6640
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.6640
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.6640
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.6640
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.3360
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.4485
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.4410
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.4395
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.4795
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.5220
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.5220
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.4645
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.5330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2514.08, Sell volume: 768.84, Average price: 0.7634, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.5090
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.5205
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.5295
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.5200
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.5045
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.4795
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.5225
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.5230
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.4635
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.5725
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.5945
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.3955
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.3845
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9945
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9945
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0055
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.4695
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.5315
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.5320
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.5320
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.5320
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.5320
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.5300
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.5205
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.5245
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.5305
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.5320
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.5360
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.5360
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.5360
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.5360
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.5365
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.5365
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.5510
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.5615
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.5615
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.5615
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.5615
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.5615
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.5615
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.5360
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.5360
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.5360
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.5360
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.5360
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.5360
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.5365
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.5365
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.5365
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.5365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.85, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.4635
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4635
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.4635
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.4635
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.4635
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.3895
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.4670
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.4640
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.4325
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.3600
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.3600
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.4960
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.4870
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.3595
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.3585
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.2645
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.2640
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.2650
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.2615
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.2540
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.2660
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.2655
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.2650
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.2655
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.4485
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.4435
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.2655
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.2655
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.2685
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.2625
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.2530
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.2530
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.2380
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.2275
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.2195
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.2125
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.2105
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.2115
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.2195
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.2185
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.1205
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1245
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.1235
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.1235
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.1240
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.1210
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.1190
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.1130
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9385
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9370
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9500
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9610
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9690
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9780
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9700
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9785
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9700
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.9780
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.9850
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.6880
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.8785
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9130
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9265
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9405
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9570
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9695
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9790
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.9850
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9850
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9850
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.9880
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9860
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9885
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 2451.66, Sell volume: 723.99, Average price: 0.7848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2514.08, Sell volume: 768.84, Average price: 0.7634, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.7550
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.7550
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.2450
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.2450
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0155
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.7790
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.7790
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.7795
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.7795
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.2205
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.7795
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.7795
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.7795
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.2205
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.7790
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.7495
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.2505
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.7495
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.7485
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.7485
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7485
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.7485
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2515
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.7485
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.2515
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.7490
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7490
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.7895
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.1895
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.1715
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7490
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.2515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9945, Price range: 0.9940 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2480
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.7510
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.4985
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.7100
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.5205
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.5045
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.4610
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.4785
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.4675
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.4580
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.5505
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.4445
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.5590
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.4205
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.5900
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.4940
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.4360
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.5805
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.5970
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.5725
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.4175
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.4945
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.4950
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.6275
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.5050
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.4550
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.6210
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.6200
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.6230
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.3790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4845, Price range: 0.0070 - 0.9620
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.3795
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.3800
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.3790
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.4210
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.5425
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.5845
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.4935
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.5170
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.6630
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4865
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.5240
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.4275
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.4000
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.5055
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.4945
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.5055
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.5055
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.5055
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.5055
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.5110
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.4815
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.4595
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.5475
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.5570
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.4430
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.1570
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.1570
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.1570
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.1570
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.1575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2514.08, Sell volume: 768.84, Average price: 0.7634, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.4430
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.1570
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.5570
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.1570
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.5570
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.4430
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.8430
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.4430
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.5570
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.5570
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.6130
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.6130
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.6130
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.5570
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.3850
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.3835
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.7995
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.2045
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.2050
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.2055
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.2000
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.7970
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.7955
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.5120
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.2040
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.5210
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.7955
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.7960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2514.08, Sell volume: 768.84, Average price: 0.7634, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.2045
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.4950
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.2030
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.5045
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.5045
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.4955
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.5045
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.4955
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.5045
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.4955
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.4955
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.5045
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.5045
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.4955
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.5350
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.4955
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.5045
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.4800
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.5200
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.5200
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.5350
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.4955
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.5085
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.4855
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.5145
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.4755
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2514.08, Sell volume: 768.84, Average price: 0.7634, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.5055
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.4935
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.5045
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.5075
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.5085
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.5075
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.4715
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.5045
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.5225
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.5375
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.5560
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.4805
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.4615
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4495
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4795
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4670
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4945
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4820
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5375
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4910
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5260
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4625
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4955
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4705
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5425
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.5200
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4740
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5155
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5225
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.5215
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.5140
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.5265
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.4470
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.5265
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.4520
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.5295
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.5060
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.4675
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.4905
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.4625
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.4730
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.4895
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.5405
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.4885
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.5300
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.4700
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.5300
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.4690
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5300
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.5310
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.4690
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.4700
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.4700
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.5300
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.4690
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.5310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3.37, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.6473, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.4640
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.5130
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.4920
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.5080
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.5080
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.4865
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.4820
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.4815
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.4765
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.5275
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.5225
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.4795
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.5400
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.4570
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.4215
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.3415
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.6625
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.3375
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.3375
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.3375
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.6640
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.6640
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.6645
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.6645
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.4485
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.4410
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.5220
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.5220
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.5330
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.5105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 2514.08, Sell volume: 768.84, Average price: 0.7634, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.5090
2025-10-19 08:00: 0.5255
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.5085
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.5060
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.5230
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.4355
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.4005
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.3815
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.9945
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.4700
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.5320
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.5320
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.5320
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.5200
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.5305
2025-10-23 10:00: 0.5320
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.5360
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.5360
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.5365
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.5560
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.5615
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.5615
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.5615
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.5360
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.5360
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.5360
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.5365
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.5365
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.5365
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.5365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 14.85, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.4635
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.4635
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4635
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.4690
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.4650
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.4325
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.3600
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.4940
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.3595
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.2640
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.2600
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.2660
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.2650
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.4570
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.2655
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.2655
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.2645
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.2560
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.2335
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.2195
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.2105
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2235
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.2200
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.1245
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.1235
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.1190
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.1165
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.1180
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 34.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565781
Question: Will Mac Boucher win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 3282.916152
Price History:
2025-11-06 01:00: 0.9385
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9495
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9655
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9805
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9785
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9760
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.5835
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.8895
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9265
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9545
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9750
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9850
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9850
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9850
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9935
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9890
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9955
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 84, Buy volume: 2451.66, Sell volume: 723.99, Average price: 0.7848, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.2450
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 00:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.2450
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 3825.71, Sell volume: 630.78, Average price: 0.8366, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.9100
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.9150
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.9200
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.9200
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.9200
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.9200
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.9200
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9200
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.9150
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.9150
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.9150
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.9150
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9100
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.9100
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.9100
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.9100
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.9100
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.9100
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.9100
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9100
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.9100
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.9100
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9100
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.9100
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.9100
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.9100
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.9100
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.9100
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.9100
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.9100
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.9050
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.9100
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.9100
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.9100
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9100
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9050
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0950
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.0900
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.9100
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9050
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.2500, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.0450
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.0450
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.9895
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0105
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.0105
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.9100
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.9100
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0900
2025-08-09 21:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 01:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.0905
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0905
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0905
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.0905
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9095
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.9100
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.0900
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0910
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0905
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.9095
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.9095
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9090
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0910
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.0910
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.7490
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.2510
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.7490
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.2510
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2510
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.7490
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.2510
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.2510
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.2510
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.7495
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.2505
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7495
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.2405
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.7720
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.7840
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.2040
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.1935
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.2480
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.2505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9955, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2475
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0620
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.0620
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.0485
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9655
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.9805
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.9975
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.9975
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.4805
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.4805
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.5195
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.5285
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.4645
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.4955
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.5070
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.5095
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.5120
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.4855
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.5165
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.4810
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.5405
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.5230
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.5000
2025-08-23 15:00: 0.5030
2025-08-23 19:00: 0.4945
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.4590
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.4565
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.4260
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.4505
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.4635
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.4450
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.5000
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.4200
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.5830
2025-08-25 11:00: 0.4370
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.4345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 232.75, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6118, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.4485
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.4280
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.4820
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.5725
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.5235
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.5260
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.5890
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.5070
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.5940
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.4035
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.4010
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.3980
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.4440
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.4415
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.4390
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.5345
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.4630
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.5395
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.4620
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.5445
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.3915
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.3530
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.6100
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3900
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.3900
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.3900
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.3900
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.4980
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.4900
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.4970
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.4960
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.5070
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.5050
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.4980
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.5040
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.5055
2025-09-02 05:00: 0.4945
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.5055
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.4945
2025-09-02 17:00: 0.4945
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.4945
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.5055
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.5055
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.5055
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.5055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 3825.71, Sell volume: 630.78, Average price: 0.8366, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.4945
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.5140
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.5055
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.5055
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.5055
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.5140
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.4860
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.4945
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.5140
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.4860
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.4945
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.5055
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.4945
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.4945
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.4945
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.4945
2025-09-06 23:00: 0.5055
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.4945
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.5055
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.4945
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.4860
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.4860
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.4860
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.4945
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.4185
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.4160
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.5195
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.5205
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.4805
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.4740
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.4805
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.5225
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.4790
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.5220
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.5225
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.5250
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.5005
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.4690
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.4995
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.4635
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.5005
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.5205
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.5005
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.5200
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.5195
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.5255
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.5000
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.5230
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.4780
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 3825.71, Sell volume: 630.78, Average price: 0.8366, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.4710
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.4800
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.4800
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.4995
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.5195
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.5195
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.4790
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.4995
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.5000
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0255
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0255
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0255
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0255
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0255
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0255
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0255
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0255
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.0255
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0255
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0255
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0255
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0255
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.9745
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.9745
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9745
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9745
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.9745
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9745
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9745
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.0255
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0255
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.0255
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9745
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0255
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9745
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9745
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9745
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0255
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9745
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9745
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9745
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.9750
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0255
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9745
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9745
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0255
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0255
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9745
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.9750
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0250
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0245
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0230
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.9750
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0245
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0245
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0245
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0255
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0245
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9745
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9755
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0250
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0250
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9745
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0260
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.0260
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0255
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.9755
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9760
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0245
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0245
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9765
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0240
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0235
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0245
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.0245
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0245
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0225
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9755
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9770
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9760
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 27.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5235, Price range: 0.0480 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0240
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9765
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9765
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0230
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9760
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 24.80, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.4250
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.5860
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.4130
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.5770
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.5775
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.5840
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.5845
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.4155
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.5850
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.5870
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.5870
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.5870
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.5875
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.5875
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.5875
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.4010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 19.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0522, Price range: 0.0522 - 0.0522

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.5995
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.6000
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.6000
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.4000
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.4000
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.6000
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.6000
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.6000
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.4000
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.4000
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.4000
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.4000
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.4805
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.4900
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.4890
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.5635
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.4370
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.4225
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4370
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.4910
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4910
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.4220
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.4910
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.3415
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.3415
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.3415
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.3410
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.3415
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.3415
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.3415
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.3415
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.3415
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.3415
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.3415
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.3415
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.3415
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.3415
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.3415
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.3415
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.3415
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.3415
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.3415
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.3415
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.3415
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.3415
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.3415
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.3415
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.3415
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.3415
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 14.85, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.0852, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.1604

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.6585
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.6585
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.6580
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.6700
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.6700
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.6580
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.5685
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.5685
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.4315
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.4315
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.4970
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.4890
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.4850
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.4615
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.4525
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.4805
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.5085
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4785
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.3270
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.3215
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.3060
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.3255
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.3255
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.3265
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.3270
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.3245
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.2070
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.4430
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.2070
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.1955
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.1925
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.1910
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.1940
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.1850
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.0555
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0555
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0555
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0555
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0555
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0555
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.4030
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0555
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.0555
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.4030
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0555
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0555
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.3990
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 34.02, Sell volume: 5.87, Average price: 0.7262, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.9480
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.9405
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9450
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.8740
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.7970
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.8055
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.8055
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.8190
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.8705
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.8690
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.8695
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.8805
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.8815
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9030
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9030
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9535
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9695
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9695
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.9695
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9405
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9445
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9445
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9445
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9445
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9725
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9720
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9740
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9880
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.9890
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9850
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 92, Buy volume: 3372.09, Sell volume: 475.11, Average price: 0.9335, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.2450
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.2400
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2450
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 3825.71, Sell volume: 630.78, Average price: 0.8366, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.9100
2025-07-31 18:00: 0.9200
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.9200
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.9200
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.9150
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9150
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.9150
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.9100
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.9100
2025-08-03 09:00: 0.9100
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.9100
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.9100
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.9100
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.9100
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9100
2025-08-05 03:00: 0.9100
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.9100
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9100
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.9050
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.9100
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.9100
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.0950
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.0950
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9100
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.9200
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 15.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.2500, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-08-08 13:00: 0.0450
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.9895
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.0105
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.0900
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9100
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0900
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0905
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0900
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9100
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9100
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9095
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0900
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9090
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9095
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.9090
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0910
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.2510
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.2510
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2510
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.2510
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.2510
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.2505
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7495
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.2310
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.7900
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.8090
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.2505
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9955, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2475
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9380
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0415
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.0135
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.0025
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.0025
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.9975
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.9975
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0025
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.4805
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.5000
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.5295
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.4970
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.5070
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.5115
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.5440
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.5390
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.5230
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.5000
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.4245
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.4555
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.4505
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.4460
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.4410
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.5000
2025-08-25 15:00: 0.4345
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.4295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 232.75, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.6118, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.4485
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.4825
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.5220
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.5255
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.5070
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.5960
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.3995
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.4435
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.4390
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4635
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.5410
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.4550
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.3530
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.6100
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.3900
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3900
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.3900
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.3900
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.3865
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.4960
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.4955
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.5030
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.5055
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.5055
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.4945
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.4860
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.5140
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.5055
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.5140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 3825.71, Sell volume: 630.78, Average price: 0.8366, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.4945
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.5055
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.5055
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.4860
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.4945
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.4945
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.4860
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.4945
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.4945
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.4945
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.5055
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.4860
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.4860
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.5055
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.5825
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.5200
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.4805
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.5210
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.5195
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.4785
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.5250
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.5300
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.4650
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.4600
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.5005
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.4780
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.5195
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.5195
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.5000
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 118, Buy volume: 3825.71, Sell volume: 630.78, Average price: 0.8366, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.4710
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.4805
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.5005
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.4805
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.4995
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.5000
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0255
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0255
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0255
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0255
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.0255
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0255
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9745
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9745
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.9745
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9745
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.9745
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9745
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.0255
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.9745
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.9745
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.9745
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9745
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.9745
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9745
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.0255
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0255
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9745
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0250
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0255
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0245
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.0250
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0245
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9760
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9745
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9745
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9750
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.0250
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.0255
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.9750
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9745
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.0255
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.9760
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0240
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.0250
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0240
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.0245
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.0235
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.0240
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9780
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.9760
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 27.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5235, Price range: 0.0480 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0240
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9775
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0235
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0010
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0010
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9990
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0010
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0010
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 24.80, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 565782
Question: Will Mason Nutt win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
Volume: 4456.491066
Price History:
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9990
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.4930
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.5860
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.4235
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.5780
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.5850
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.5850
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.4130
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.5875
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.5875
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.4010
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.4010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 19.16, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0522, Price range: 0.0522 - 0.0522
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes