Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Outcomes: ["Kandy Falcons", "Dambulla Sixers"]
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.3100
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.6900
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.3100
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 317.61, Sell volume: 3.06, Average price: 0.4325, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Outcomes: ["Kandy Falcons", "Dambulla Sixers"]
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.6800
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.3200
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6000, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Outcomes: ["Kandy Falcons", "Dambulla Sixers"]
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 13.54, Sell volume: 3.06, Average price: 0.4940, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Outcomes: ["Kandy Falcons", "Dambulla Sixers"]
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.4500
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 6.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6167, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.6500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Outcomes: ["Kandy Falcons", "Dambulla Sixers"]
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 27.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.5900 - 0.5900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.4950
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.4950
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.5050
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.4800
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.5200
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.4950
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.5050
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.4700
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.5300
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.4700
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.5300
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.4600
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.5400
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.4750
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.5250
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 317.61, Sell volume: 3.06, Average price: 0.4325, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.4700
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.5300
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.4700
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.5300
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.4650
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.5350
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.4700
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.5300
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.4900
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 317.61, Sell volume: 3.06, Average price: 0.4325, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.3650
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.6350
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.3450
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.6550
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.4800
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.5200
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.4800
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.5200
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.5000
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.5250
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.4750
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 317.61, Sell volume: 3.06, Average price: 0.4325, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.4700
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.5300
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.4700
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.5400
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.4600
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.5400
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.4600
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.5400
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.4600
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.5400
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.4600
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.5400
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.4600
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.5400
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.4600
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.5400
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.4600
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.5400
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.4600
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.5400
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.4600
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.5400
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.4600
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.5400
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.4600
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.5400
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 317.61, Sell volume: 3.06, Average price: 0.4325, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.5400
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.4600
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.5400
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.4600
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.4900
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.5100
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.5050
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.4950
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.4950
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.5050
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 317.61, Sell volume: 3.06, Average price: 0.4325, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.4900
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.5100
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.5000
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 11:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.5050
2025-11-23 14:00: 0.4950
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.7550
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 260.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2350, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.6900
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.3100
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.6950
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.3050
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.6950
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.3050
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.6900
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.3100
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.6950
2025-11-23 20:00: 0.3050
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.6950
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.3050
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.6950
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.3050
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.6950
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.3050
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.6950
2025-11-24 00:00: 0.3050
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.6950
2025-11-24 01:00: 0.3050
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.6900
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.6900
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.3100
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.6900
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.3100
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 317.61, Sell volume: 3.06, Average price: 0.4325, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.6850
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.6900
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.3100
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.6900
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.3100
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.6950
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.3050
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.6950
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.3050
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.6850
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.3150
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.6850
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.6900
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.3100
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.6850
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.3150
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.6850
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.3150
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.6900
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 317.61, Sell volume: 3.06, Average price: 0.4325, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.6900
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.3100
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.6900
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.3100
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.6900
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 317.61, Sell volume: 3.06, Average price: 0.4325, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.6800
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.3200
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.6850
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.3150
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.6900
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.3100
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.4900
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5100
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6000, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.5150
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.4850
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.5100
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.4900
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 13.54, Sell volume: 3.06, Average price: 0.4940, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.5500
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.4500
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.5500
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.4500
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.5500
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 6.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6167, Price range: 0.5500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 692705
Question: Lanka Premier League: Kandy Falcons vs Dambulla Sixers (Game 1)
Volume: 320.673652
Price History:
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.4750
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.5250
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.4950
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.5050
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.4950
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.5050
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.4950
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.5050
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.4950
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.5050
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.4950
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.5050
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.5000
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 27.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.5900 - 0.5900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.1900
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.7600
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.2650
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.7350
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.2650
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.7350
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.2650
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.7350
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.2650
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.7350
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.2650
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.7350
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.2650
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.7350
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.2650
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.7350
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.2750
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.7250
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.2750
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.7250
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.2750
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.7250
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.2750
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.7250
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.2750
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.7250
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.2750
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.7250
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.2750
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.7250
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2750
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.7250
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.2750
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.7250
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.2750
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.7250
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.2750
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.7250
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.2750
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.7250
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2750
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.7250
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.2750
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.7250
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.2750
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.7250
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.2750
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.7250
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.2750
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.2750
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.7250
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.2750
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.7250
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.2750
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.7250
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.2750
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.7250
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.2750
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.7250
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2750
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.7250
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.2750
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.7250
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.2750
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.7250
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.2750
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.7250
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.2750
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.7250
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.2750
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.2750
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.7250
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.2750
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.7250
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.2750
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.7250
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.2750
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.2750
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.7250
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.2750
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.2750
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.7250
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.2750
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.7250
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.2750
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.7250
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.2750
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.2750
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.2750
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.2750
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.2750
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.2750
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.7250
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.2650
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.7350
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.2650
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.2650
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.2650
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.7350
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.7350
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.7350
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.7350
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.2650
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.7350
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.2650
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.7350
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.7350
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.7350
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.2650
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.2650
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.2650
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.7250
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.2750
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.2750
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.2750
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.2750
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.7250
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.7250
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.2700
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.7300
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.7350
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.2650
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.7250
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.7250
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.2750
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.7250
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.2750
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.7250
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.2750
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.7250
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.2750
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.7250
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.2750
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.7250
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.7250
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.2750
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.7250
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.2750
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.7250
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.7250
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.7250
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.2750
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.7350
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.7350
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.7350
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.2650
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.7350
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.7350
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.2650
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.2650
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.2650
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.7350
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.7350
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.2650
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.7350
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.2650
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.2650
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.2650
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.7350
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.2650
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.7350
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.2650
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.7350
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.2650
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.2650
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.7350
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.7250
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.7250
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.2750
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.7250
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.2750
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.7250
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.7250
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.2750
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.7250
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.2750
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.7250
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.7250
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.7250
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.2750
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.7250
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.7250
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.2750
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.2750
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.2750
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.2750
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.7250
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.2750
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.2750
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.2750
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.2750
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.2750
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.7250
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.2750
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.2750
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.7250
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.2750
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.7250
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.2750
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.2750
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.2750
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.2750
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.2750
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.7250
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.7250
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.2650
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.7350
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.7350
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.7350
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.2650
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.7350
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.2650
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.2650
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.2650
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.7350
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.2650
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.2650
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.2650
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.7350
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.7350
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.2650
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.7350
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.7350
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.2650
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.2650
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.2650
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.2650
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.2650
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.7350
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.7350
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.7350
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.7350
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.7350
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.7350
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.2650
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.2650
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.7350
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.2650
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.7350
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.7350
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.7350
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.2650
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.2650
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.2650
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.7350
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.2650
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2650
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.2650
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.7350
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.2650
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.7350
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.7350
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2650
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.2650
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2650
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.7350
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.7350
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.2650
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.2650
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7250
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.2750
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.2750
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.2750
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.7250
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7250
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.7250
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2750
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.7250
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.7250
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7250
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.7200
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.7200
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.2800
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.7250
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.7250
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.7250
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.2800
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.2850
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.7200
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.7250
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.2750
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.2750
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.2850
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.7150
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.2850
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.7150
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.7150
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.7150
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.2850
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.2950
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.7050
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.7050
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.2900
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.7150
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.2900
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.7100
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.2800
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.7250
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.7150
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.7150
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.7150
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.2850
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.7250
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.7250
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.2850
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.7150
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.7150
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.7050
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2850
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.2850
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.7150
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.7100
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.7050
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.7150
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.2900
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.2850
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2850
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.1900
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.7350
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.2650
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.7350
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.2650
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.7350
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.2650
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.7350
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.2650
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.7350
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.2750
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.7250
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.2750
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.7250
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.2750
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.7250
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2750
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.7250
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2750
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.7250
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2750
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.7250
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.2750
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.7250
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2750
2025-07-26 03:00: 0.7250
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.2750
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.7250
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.2750
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.2750
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.7250
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.2750
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.7250
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.2750
2025-07-29 12:00: 0.7250
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.2750
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.7250
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.2750
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.7250
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.2750
2025-07-31 09:00: 0.7250
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.2750
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.7250
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.2750
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.7250
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.2750
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.2750
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.7250
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.2750
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.2750
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.7250
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.2750
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.2750
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.7250
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.2750
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.2750
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.2750
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.7350
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.7350
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.7350
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.7350
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.2650
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.2650
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.7350
2025-08-10 15:00: 0.7350
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.7350
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.2650
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.2750
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.7250
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.7250
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.7250
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.7250
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.7250
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.2700
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.7300
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.2650
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.7250
2025-08-16 12:00: 0.2750
2025-08-16 20:00: 0.2750
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.7250
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.2750
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.7250
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.2750
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.7250
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.7250
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.2750
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.7250
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.7250
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.2750
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.7250
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.2750
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.2750
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.7350
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.2650
2025-08-22 11:00: 0.2650
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.7350
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.7350
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.7350
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.7350
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.7350
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.7350
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.2650
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.7350
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.2650
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.2650
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.2650
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.7350
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.7250
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.2750
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.2750
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.7250
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.7250
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.7250
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2750
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.2750
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.7250
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.2750
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.2750
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.7250
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.2750
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.7250
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.2750
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.7250
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.7250
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.2750
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.7250
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.2750
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.7250
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.2750
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.2750
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.2750
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.7250
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.7250
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.7250
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.2750
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.2750
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.2750
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.2750
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.2750
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.2750
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.2750
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.7350
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.2650
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.7350
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.2650
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.7350
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.2650
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.7350
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.2650
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.2650
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.7350
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.7350
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.2650
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.7350
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.2650
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.7350
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.7350
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.7350
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.7350
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.2650
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.7350
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.2650
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.7350
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.7350
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.2650
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.2650
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.7350
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.2650
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.7350
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.7350
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.2650
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.2650
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.2650
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.2650
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.2650
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.2650
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.2700
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2750
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7250
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2750
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.2750
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7250
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.7250
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.2850
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.7200
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.7250
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.2750
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.2800
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.7150
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.7200
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.2750
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.7250
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.7150
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.2800
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.2850
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.7200
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.2850
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.7150
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.2850
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.7150
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.7150
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.7050
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.2950
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.7050
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.7150
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.2900
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.2850
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.7250
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.7150
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.2850
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.7150
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.2750
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.7250
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.2750
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.7250
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.2850
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.7150
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.7150
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.2850
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.2850
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-06 00:00: 0.2850
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.7050
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.7050
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.2950
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.7050
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.2950
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.7050
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561229
Question: Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 2578808.617036
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.7150
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.2850
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.2850
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.2850
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.7150
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.2850
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.2850
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.7150
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.7150
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2850
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.2850
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.7150
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.7150
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.2850
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.7150
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.5000
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.9850
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0150
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9860
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0150
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9880
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0165
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9835
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0180
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9815
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0165
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.9835
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0165
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.9860
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.0125
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.9880
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.0135
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.9875
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.0125
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.9870
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.9845
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.0155
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.9835
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0165
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.9835
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.0165
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.9860
2025-07-24 18:00: 0.0150
2025-07-24 22:00: 0.9845
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.9845
2025-07-25 12:00: 0.0165
2025-07-25 16:00: 0.9835
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.0165
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9835
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.0170
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.9850
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.0140
2025-07-26 19:00: 0.9860
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.0140
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.9860
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.0140
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.9855
2025-07-27 18:00: 0.0160
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.9860
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0140
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.9860
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.0140
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0145
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.9850
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0160
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9840
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0160
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.9840
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0155
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.9840
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.0165
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9800
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0230
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.9770
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0285
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.9715
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0285
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.9715
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.0285
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.9715
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.0285
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9715
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0290
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.9705
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0305
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.9695
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0305
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.9695
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.0305
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.9705
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.0295
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.9710
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0290
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.9710
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.0290
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.9710
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0290
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9710
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0290
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9710
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0290
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9710
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.0290
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9715
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.0285
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.9715
2025-08-06 07:00: 0.0145
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.9785
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.0265
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.9755
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.9750
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9760
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.0245
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.0245
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.9750
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.9760
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.9760
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9785
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.9785
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9785
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.0205
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0205
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.9805
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.9810
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.9825
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.0180
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.9820
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0180
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.9820
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.0180
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.9830
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9835
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.0170
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.9825
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.9825
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9820
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9825
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0175
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9830
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.9830
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.9830
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0170
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.0170
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9825
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.0175
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.9825
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9825
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.9825
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.9825
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.9835
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.9835
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9835
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9835
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.0165
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.9840
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.0160
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9840
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.9845
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.0155
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9830
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9825
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0175
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.9830
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0170
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0170
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0170
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.0165
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.9830
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.9830
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0170
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0170
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0170
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.0170
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.9835
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.0165
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9835
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.9835
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.0165
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.9835
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0155
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0155
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.9845
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.0155
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9845
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.9845
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0155
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.0155
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.9845
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.9850
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0150
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.9850
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.0150
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9850
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9855
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.0145
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9865
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.9865
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0135
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.0135
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0135
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9865
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9865
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.0135
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.0135
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.9865
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9865
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.9870
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.0130
2025-08-26 02:00: 0.0130
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9875
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.0125
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9875
2025-08-27 04:00: 0.0125
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.0125
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9875
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.0125
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.9875
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.0130
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.9870
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0125
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9875
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.9875
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.0120
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0125
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0125
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.9875
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.0125
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.0125
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.0125
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0125
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9875
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9875
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.0125
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.9875
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9875
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.0125
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.9875
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.0125
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9875
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0125
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.9875
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0125
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.9875
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.0125
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9875
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.9875
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0125
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.9875
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.0125
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9875
2025-09-03 07:00: 0.9875
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0125
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.0125
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9875
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 15:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0125
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0120
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.0120
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.0120
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0120
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.9880
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0120
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.0120
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.0120
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9880
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.9895
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9915
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.0085
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0075
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.0060
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9940
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0060
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.9935
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9935
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9935
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0065
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.0065
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9935
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.0065
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0055
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.9945
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0055
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.9945
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9935
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9935
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.0065
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0065
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0065
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0065
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9935
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9935
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0065
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0065
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.9935
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.9935
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0075
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.9925
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9925
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.9925
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.0075
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.0075
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.9925
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.9925
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.0075
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.0075
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9925
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.0075
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.9925
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.9925
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.9925
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.0075
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0075
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9925
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.9925
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9925
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.9925
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.9925
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9925
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9925
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0075
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.9915
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0085
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0085
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9915
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9915
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9905
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9905
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0095
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9905
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0100
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9900
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0095
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0100
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0115
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0095
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0095
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0095
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0095
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9905
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.9905
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9905
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9895
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9895
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9895
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0105
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0105
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9895
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0105
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9895
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0105
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0105
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0105
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.0105
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0105
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.0115
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.9885
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9885
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9885
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0115
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0115
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9890
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.9890
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.9890
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0105
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0105
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0105
2025-10-21 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9885
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0115
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0115
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0115
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0115
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9885
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0115
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0115
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.9885
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.9885
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9885
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0115
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0115
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9885
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0115
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9885
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9885
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.0115
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9885
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9885
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9885
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.9885
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0115
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0115
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9885
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0115
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9885
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.0115
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9885
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0115
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9885
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0115
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9885
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.9895
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0105
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9895
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0105
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.0105
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.9895
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.0105
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0105
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0105
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9895
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9895
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.0105
2025-11-09 11:00: 0.9895
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0105
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0105
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9895
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9895
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0105
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0105
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9895
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0105
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9905
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9905
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0095
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9905
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.5000
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.9850
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0145
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9880
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0165
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9820
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0165
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9835
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0125
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.9880
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.0130
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.9875
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.0155
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.9845
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.0165
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.9835
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.0155
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.9845
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.0135
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.9850
2025-07-25 18:00: 0.0165
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.9835
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0155
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.9860
2025-07-27 00:00: 0.0140
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.9860
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.0160
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.9860
2025-07-28 06:00: 0.0140
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0145
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.9845
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0160
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.9840
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.0160
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.9835
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0230
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.9725
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.0285
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.9715
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.0285
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.9715
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0290
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.9710
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.0305
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.9695
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.0295
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.9705
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0290
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.9710
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0290
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9710
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.0290
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.9710
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.0290
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.9715
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0255
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.9785
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.0245
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9760
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.0245
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9755
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.9760
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.0215
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.9785
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.0205
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.0190
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.9825
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.9820
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.0180
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.9820
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.9835
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.0170
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.9825
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.9825
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.0170
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.0170
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0170
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0175
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0175
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.9825
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.9825
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.9835
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9835
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.9835
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.9840
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.9840
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.9845
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.9825
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0170
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.9830
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0170
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.0170
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0170
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.0170
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9830
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0165
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9835
2025-08-20 06:00: 0.9835
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.0160
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.0155
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9845
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.9845
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0155
2025-08-22 03:00: 0.0155
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.0150
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.9850
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.0150
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.0145
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9865
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0135
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9865
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.9865
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.9865
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.0135
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.9865
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.0130
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9875
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0125
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0125
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9875
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.0125
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.9870
2025-08-28 12:00: 0.0125
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.9875
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0120
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.0125
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.0125
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0125
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.0125
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.0125
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9875
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9875
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.0125
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9875
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.0125
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9875
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.9875
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.9875
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.0125
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0125
2025-09-03 03:00: 0.9875
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.9875
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.9875
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0125
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9875
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0125
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.9880
2025-09-05 19:00: 0.0120
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.9880
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9880
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.9880
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.9880
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.9885
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.0105
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.9915
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.0075
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.9925
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9940
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.0060
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9935
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9935
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0065
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.0065
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0055
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.0055
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9945
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9935
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.0065
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.0065
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.0065
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9935
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.9935
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0075
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0075
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.0075
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0075
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0075
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.0075
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0075
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0075
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.9925
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.0075
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.9925
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0075
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.9925
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9925
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0075
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9925
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.0075
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0075
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0075
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9925
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0075
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9925
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.0075
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.9925
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0075
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9925
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0075
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.9925
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9925
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9925
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0075
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.0085
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9915
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.0085
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9915
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0085
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9915
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0085
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9915
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0095
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0095
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0100
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0120
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0120
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0095
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0095
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9895
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9895
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0105
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0105
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9895
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0105
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0105
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9895
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9895
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.9885
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0115
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9885
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9885
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9885
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0115
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.9885
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.0115
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.9890
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9890
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0105
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0105
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9885
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0115
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0115
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9885
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0115
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9885
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9885
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0115
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9885
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0115
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.9885
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9885
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0115
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.0115
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9885
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0115
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.9885
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0115
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9885
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9885
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9885
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9885
2025-11-02 12:00: 0.0115
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9885
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0115
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9885
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0115
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9885
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0115
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9885
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0115
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9895
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0105
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9895
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.0105
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9895
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0105
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9895
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0105
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9895
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.0105
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9895
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0105
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 561250
Question: Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Volume: 7966787.762784
Price History:
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0105
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9895
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0105
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9895
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0100
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9905
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0095
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9905
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0095
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9905
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9905
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561230
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1912058.993345
Price History:
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.1000
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9100
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.1450
2025-07-18 22:00: 0.8650
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.1350
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.8650
2025-07-19 12:00: 0.1350
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.8650
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.1350
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.8650
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.1350
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.8650
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.1350
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.8650
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.1350
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.8650
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.1350
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.8650
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.1350
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.8650
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.1350
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.8650
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.1350
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.8650
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.1350
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.8650
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.1350
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.8650
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.1350
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.8750
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.1250
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.8650
2025-07-24 08:00: 0.1350
2025-07-24 12:00: 0.8650
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.1350
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.8650
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.1350
2025-07-25 06:00: 0.8650
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.1350
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.8650
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.8650
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.8650
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.1350
2025-07-26 18:00: 0.8650
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.1350
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.8650
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.1350
2025-07-27 12:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561230
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1912058.993345
Price History:
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.1350
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.8650
2025-07-28 08:00: 0.1350
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.8700
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.1250
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.8750
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.1250
2025-07-29 06:00: 0.8750
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.1350
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.8700
2025-07-29 20:00: 0.1300
2025-07-30 00:00: 0.8650
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.1350
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.8650
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.1350
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.8650
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.1350
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.8650
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.1350
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.8750
2025-07-31 17:00: 0.1300
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.8450
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.1500
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.1450
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.8750
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.1350
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.8750
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.1350
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.8650
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.1250
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.8750
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.1350
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.8750
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.1350
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.8650
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.1350
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.8650
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.1350
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.8650
2025-08-04 11:00: 0.1350
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.8650
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.1350
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.8750
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.1250
2025-08-05 09:00: 0.8750
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.1250
2025-08-05 18:00: 0.8750
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.1250
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561230
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1912058.993345
Price History:
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.1250
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.1250
2025-08-06 23:00: 0.1250
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.1250
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.8750
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.1250
2025-08-07 17:00: 0.8750
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.1250
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.1250
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.1250
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.8750
2025-08-08 15:00: 0.1250
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 05:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.8750
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.1250
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.8750
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.8750
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 12:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 17:00: 0.1250
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.1250
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.1350
2025-08-11 06:00: 0.1350
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.8750
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.1250
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.1250
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.8750
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.8700
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.1250
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.8750
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.1250
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.1250
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.8750
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.8650
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.8650
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.8650
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.1350
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.8650
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.1350
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.1300
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.8650
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.8650
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.1350
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.1350
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.1350
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.8650
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.1350
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561230
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1912058.993345
Price History:
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.8650
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.8650
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.1350
2025-08-16 18:00: 0.8650
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.1350
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.1450
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.8550
2025-08-17 12:00: 0.1450
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.8550
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.1450
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.8500
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.8550
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.1550
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.8450
2025-08-18 20:00: 0.1550
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.1550
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.1550
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.8450
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.1550
2025-08-19 18:00: 0.8450
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.1750
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.1750
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.1800
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.8250
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.1750
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.1750
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.8250
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.8250
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.1750
2025-08-21 15:00: 0.8250
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.8250
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.8250
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.8250
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.8250
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.8150
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.1850
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.8150
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.8150
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.8150
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.1850
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.8150
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.8150
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.8150
2025-08-24 11:00: 0.1850
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.8150
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.8150
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.8150
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.8150
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561230
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1912058.993345
Price History:
2025-08-25 20:00: 0.1850
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.1850
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.8150
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.8150
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.8150
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.8150
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.1850
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.8150
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.1850
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.8150
2025-08-27 20:00: 0.8150
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.8150
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.8150
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.8150
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.1850
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.8150
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.8150
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.1850
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.8150
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.8150
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.8150
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.1850
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.1850
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.8150
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.1850
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.8150
2025-08-30 20:00: 0.1850
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.8150
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.8150
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.1850
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.8150
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.1850
2025-08-31 23:00: 0.8150
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.1850
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.1850
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.8150
2025-09-01 17:00: 0.1850
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.8150
2025-09-02 11:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.1850
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.1850
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.1850
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.8150
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.1850
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.8150
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.1850
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561230
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1912058.993345
Price History:
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.1850
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.1850
2025-09-04 19:00: 0.1850
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.1850
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.8150
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.1850
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.1850
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.1850
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.7850
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.7850
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.2150
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.2100
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.2150
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.2150
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.7850
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.2150
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.7750
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.7750
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.2250
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.7850
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.7850
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.2150
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.7850
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.2150
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.7850
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.2150
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.7850
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.2150
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.7850
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.2150
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.7850
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.2150
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.7850
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.2150
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.2150
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.7850
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.7850
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.2150
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.7850
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.2150
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.2150
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.7850
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.2150
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.7850
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.7850
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561230
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1912058.993345
Price History:
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.2150
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.7850
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.2150
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.7850
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.2150
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.7850
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.2150
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.2150
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.7850
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.2150
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.2150
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.2150
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.7750
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.7850
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.7850
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.7850
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.7850
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.2150
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.2150
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.7850
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.2150
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.2150
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.7850
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.2150
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.7850
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.2150
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.2050
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.7950
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.7950
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.2050
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.2050
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 561230
Question: Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1912058.993345
Price History:
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.7950
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.2050
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.7950
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.7850
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.2150
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.2150
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7850
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.7850
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.7850
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.7850
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2100
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7950
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2150
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7850
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7850
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7850
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.2150
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.2150
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.7850
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No