Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0190
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9810
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0190
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9810
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0185
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9815
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0185
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9815
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0180
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9820
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9810
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0190
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9810
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9815
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0185
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9815
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0170
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9830
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0160
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9840
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9855
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0130
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9870
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0125
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9875
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0125
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9875
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0125
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9875
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9880
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1073.52, Sell volume: 610.00, Average price: 0.8230, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 264.25, Sell volume: 146.00, Average price: 0.9349, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9945
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2981.14, Sell volume: 1270.00, Average price: 0.0047, Price range: 0.0036 - 0.0060

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9955
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 255, Buy volume: 21005.61, Sell volume: 6847.56, Average price: 0.7874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9955
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 255, Buy volume: 21005.61, Sell volume: 6847.56, Average price: 0.7874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9955
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9955
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 15162.39, Sell volume: 4761.99, Average price: 0.8584, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.2500
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.2500
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.2500
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.2500
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.2500
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.2500
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0650
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 137.57, Sell volume: 49.71, Average price: 0.7362, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0265
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0260
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0260
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0255
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0255
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0255
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0255
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0255
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0255
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0255
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0260
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0260
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0260
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0305
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0285
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0270
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0275
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0270
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0310
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0270
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0275
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0270
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0265
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0305
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0310
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0280
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0280
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0305
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0285
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.20, Average price: 0.9590, Price range: 0.9590 - 0.9590
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0270
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0270
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0270
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0270
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0265
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0265
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0265
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0260
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0265
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0260
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0265
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0255
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0260
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0260
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0260
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0265
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0265
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0265
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0265
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0265
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0265
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 255, Buy volume: 21005.61, Sell volume: 6847.56, Average price: 0.7874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0165
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0160
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0190
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0170
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0170
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0165
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0190
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0165
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0160
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0165
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0200
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0190
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0195
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0210
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0200
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0185
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0190
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0190
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0215
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0215
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0210
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0220
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0215
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0215
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 255, Buy volume: 21005.61, Sell volume: 6847.56, Average price: 0.7874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0185
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0185
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0195
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0180
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0160
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0165
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0165
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0205
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0175
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0175
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0175
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0190
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0180
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0170
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0170
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0175
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0195
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0165
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0175
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0170
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0155
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0155
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0155
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0165
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0165
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0155
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0155
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0155
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 8.66, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0180
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0180
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0180
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0175
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0170
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0170
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0170
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0170
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0170
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0170
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0170
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0160
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0155
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0150
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0150
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0150
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0150
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 279.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8499, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0190
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0190
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0185
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0185
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0180
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0190
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0185
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0185
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0170
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0160
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0130
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0125
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0125
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0125
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0120
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0120
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0125
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0125
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0125
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0125
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 1073.52, Sell volume: 610.00, Average price: 0.8230, Price range: 0.0015 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 264.25, Sell volume: 146.00, Average price: 0.9349, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0055
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2981.14, Sell volume: 1270.00, Average price: 0.0047, Price range: 0.0036 - 0.0060
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 255, Buy volume: 21005.61, Sell volume: 6847.56, Average price: 0.7874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 255, Buy volume: 21005.61, Sell volume: 6847.56, Average price: 0.7874, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535730
Question: Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 27853.171076
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0045
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 157, Buy volume: 15162.39, Sell volume: 4761.99, Average price: 0.8584, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.3550
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.6450
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.3600
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.6400
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.3550
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.6450
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.3550
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.6450
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.3550
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.6450
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.3550
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.6450
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.3600
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.6400
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.3500
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.6500
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.3100
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.6900
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9400
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.9550
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.9600
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.9600
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9600
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9600
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.9550
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.9550
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9600
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9600
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9600
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9600
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9450
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 931.46, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7331, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9500
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9500
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 275, Buy volume: 53520.55, Sell volume: 4812.23, Average price: 0.5865, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 275, Buy volume: 53520.55, Sell volume: 4812.23, Average price: 0.5865, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9500
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 275, Buy volume: 53520.55, Sell volume: 4812.23, Average price: 0.5865, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9500
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9500
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9500
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9550
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 151.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9500
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.1200
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.8800
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.1200
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.8800
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.1200
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.8800
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.1200
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.8800
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.1200
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.8800
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.1200
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 7094.71, Sell volume: 815.46, Average price: 0.2765, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2300
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7700
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2300
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7700
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.3600
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.6400
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.6500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.2950
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.7050
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.2750
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.2800
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.7200
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3300
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3450
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.6550
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.3500
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.6500
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3500
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.6500
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3100
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.6900
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3200
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.6800
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3750
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.6250
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.6300
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.6450
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.3400
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.6600
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.6700
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.3350
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.6650
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.3350
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.6650
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.3350
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.6650
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.3350
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.6650
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.3350
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.6650
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.3250
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 1920.89, Sell volume: 369.91, Average price: 0.3984, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.7200
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.2750
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.7250
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.7200
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.7200
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.7200
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.7350
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.7400
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.7400
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.7400
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.7400
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.7400
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.7400
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.7400
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.7400
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.7400
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.7400
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.7400
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.7400
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.7350
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.7400
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.7600
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.2350
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1155.04, Average price: 0.2441, Price range: 0.2140 - 0.2607

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.7750
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.7750
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.7750
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.7750
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 8.70, Sell volume: 553.09, Average price: 0.4067, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.7750
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.7750
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.7750
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.7750
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.7750
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2250
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.7750
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2250
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.7750
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7700
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.7700
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.7700
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.7700
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.7700
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7700
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.7700
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.7700
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.7700
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.7700
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.7700
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.7700
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.7700
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.7700
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.7700
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.7700
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.7700
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 423.97, Sell volume: 119.85, Average price: 0.4643, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.7700
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.7700
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.7700
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.7700
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.7700
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.7700
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.7700
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7700
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.7700
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.7700
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.7700
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.7700
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 157.82, Average price: 0.2200, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.2200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.7700
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.7700
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.7700
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.7700
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7700
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 39879.64, Sell volume: 1586.44, Average price: 0.7593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.3550
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.3600
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.3550
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.3550
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.3550
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.3550
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.3600
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.3500
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.3100
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0600
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0450
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0550
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 931.46, Sell volume: 1.07, Average price: 0.7331, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 275, Buy volume: 53520.55, Sell volume: 4812.23, Average price: 0.5865, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 275, Buy volume: 53520.55, Sell volume: 4812.23, Average price: 0.5865, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 275, Buy volume: 53520.55, Sell volume: 4812.23, Average price: 0.5865, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0500
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0450
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 151.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9600, Price range: 0.9600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0500
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.1200
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.1200
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.1200
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.1200
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.1200
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.1200
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.1200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 7094.71, Sell volume: 815.46, Average price: 0.2765, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2300
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2300
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.3600
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.3500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.2950
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.2750
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.2800
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.3450
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.3500
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.3500
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.3100
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.3200
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.3750
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.3700
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.3400
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.3300
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.3350
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.3350
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.3350
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.3350
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.3350
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.3250
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.2750
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.2800
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.2700
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.2850
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 38, Buy volume: 1920.89, Sell volume: 369.91, Average price: 0.3984, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.2750
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.2800
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.2650
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.2600
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.2650
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.2600
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.2400
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.2350
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.2350
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.2250
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2250
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.2250
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1155.04, Average price: 0.2441, Price range: 0.2140 - 0.2607
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.2250
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 8.70, Sell volume: 553.09, Average price: 0.4067, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.2250
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.2250
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2250
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2250
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.2300
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 423.97, Sell volume: 119.85, Average price: 0.4643, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.2300
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 157.82, Average price: 0.2200, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.2200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535731
Question: Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 58332.781553
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.2300
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137, Buy volume: 39879.64, Sell volume: 1586.44, Average price: 0.7593, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.2000
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.8000
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.2050
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.7950
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.2050
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.7950
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.2050
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.7950
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.2050
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.7950
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.2050
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.7950
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.2050
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.7950
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.7950
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9500
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9600
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.9600
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0350
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.9650
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0350
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.9650
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0345
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9655
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0345
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.9655
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0345
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.9655
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0340
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.9660
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0330
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9670
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0315
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.9685
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0315
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.9685
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0315
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9685
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0320
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.9680
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0315
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.9685
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0315
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.9685
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0315
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9685
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 156.37, Sell volume: 57.21, Average price: 0.7233, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0275
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.9725
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0260
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.9740
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0250
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.9750
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0285
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9715
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0270
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.9730
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0275
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.9725
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0270
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.9730
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0270
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.9730
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0310
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9690
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0310
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.9690
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0325
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.9675
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0320
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9680
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0330
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9670
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0320
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9680
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0320
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9680
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0315
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.9685
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0315
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.9685
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0315
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.9685
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0315
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9685
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0305
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.9695
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0295
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.9705
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0305
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9695
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0300
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.9700
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0300
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9700
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0300
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 243.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0324, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.0348

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.9700
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.9700
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9700
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.9700
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0305
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.9695
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.9700
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.9700
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9700
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.9700
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0305
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9695
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.9700
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.9700
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9700
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.9700
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.9700
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9700
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9700
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9700
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0290
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.9710
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0295
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.9705
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0295
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.9705
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9700
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0300
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.9700
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0300
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9750, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0245
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.9755
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0200
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9800
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0275
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9725
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0270
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.9730
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0275
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.9725
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0270
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9730
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0235
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9765
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9745
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0285
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.9715
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0205
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.9795
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0225
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.9775
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9840
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.9805
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0215
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.9785
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0235
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9765
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0230
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.9770
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0230
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9770
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0235
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9765
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0260
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.9740
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0245
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.9755
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0245
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9755
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9745
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.9745
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9745
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 240, Buy volume: 34482.99, Sell volume: 895.21, Average price: 0.8721, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9700
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9700
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.9700
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.9700
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9700
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.9700
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9705
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9705
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.9705
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9705
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9705
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.9705
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.9705
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 11.69, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.9700
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9700
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.9700
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.9700
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9700
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.9700
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.9700
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9700
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9700
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9700
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9700
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0305
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.9695
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0305
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.9695
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0305
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9695
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0305
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9695
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0305
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9695
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.9700
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9700
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9700
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.9700
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.9700
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.9700
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0265
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.9735
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0265
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 301.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8237, Price range: 0.0339 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0315
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.9685
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0305
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.9695
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9700
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0320
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9680
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0315
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.9685
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0320
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9680
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0315
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9685
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0320
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.9680
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0300
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9700
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9715
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0265
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.9735
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0245
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.9755
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0155
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.9845
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0200
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9800
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9840
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9855
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0175
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.9825
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0145
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.9855
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9885
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9965
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.9965
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.9965
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9965
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 990.11, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.7717, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9960
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.9960
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9955
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1040.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9354, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9955
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9955
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 337.76, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0089, Price range: 0.0089 - 0.0089

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9925
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9920
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9920
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9920
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 240, Buy volume: 34482.99, Sell volume: 895.21, Average price: 0.8721, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9915
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9915
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9915
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9930

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9915
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9920
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9920
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9920
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9925
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 240, Buy volume: 34482.99, Sell volume: 895.21, Average price: 0.8721, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9925
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9925
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9925
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9925
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9925
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9925
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9925
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9920
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9920
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9920
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9920
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9920
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9920
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9920
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 163, Buy volume: 30312.48, Sell volume: 656.31, Average price: 0.9239, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.2000
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.2050
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.2050
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.2050
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.2050
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.2050
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.2050
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0500
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0400
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.0350
2025-04-10 05:00: 0.0350
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0345
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0345
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.0345
2025-04-10 09:00: 0.0340
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0330
2025-04-10 11:00: 0.0315
2025-04-10 12:00: 0.0315
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0315
2025-04-10 14:00: 0.0320
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0315
2025-04-10 16:00: 0.0315
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0315
2025-04-10 18:00: 0.0320
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0315
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0320
2025-04-10 21:00: 0.0310
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 156.37, Sell volume: 57.21, Average price: 0.7233, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.0275
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0260
2025-04-11 12:00: 0.0250
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0285
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0270
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0275
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0270
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.0270
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0310
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0310
2025-04-11 20:00: 0.0325
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0320
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.0330
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.0320
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.0320
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0315
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0315
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0315
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0315
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.0305
2025-04-12 06:00: 0.0295
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0305
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0300
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.0300
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.0300
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0295
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0300
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.0300
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 243.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0324, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.0348
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.0305
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 11:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.0305
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 14:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 17:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.0300
2025-04-13 21:00: 0.0290
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.0295
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0295
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0300
2025-04-14 03:00: 0.0300
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0300
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.0300
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.0295
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9750, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.0245
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0200
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.0275
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0270
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0275
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.0270
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0235
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.0285
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0205
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.0225
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.0160
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.0215
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0235
2025-04-15 11:00: 0.0230
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0230
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0235
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.0260
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0245
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.0245
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0255
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0260
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.0260
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0260
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.0260
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.0270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 240, Buy volume: 34482.99, Sell volume: 895.21, Average price: 0.8721, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 14:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.0300
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 08:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0295
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 11.69, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0250 - 0.9750
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-18 06:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0305
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0305
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.0305
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.0305
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0305
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.0300
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 02:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0300
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.0265
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0265
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.0120
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.0140
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0175
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.0125
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.0150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 301.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8237, Price range: 0.0339 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-19 23:00: 0.0315
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0305
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0320
2025-04-20 03:00: 0.0315
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.0320
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0315
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.0320
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.0300
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0285
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0265
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0245
2025-04-20 11:00: 0.0155
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.0200
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0145
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0175
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0145
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.0115
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0065
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.0035
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0035
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 990.11, Sell volume: 170.00, Average price: 0.7717, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.0040
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 21:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1040.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9354, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0045
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0045
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 337.76, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0089, Price range: 0.0089 - 0.0089
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 240, Buy volume: 34482.99, Sell volume: 895.21, Average price: 0.8721, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0085
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0085
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0085
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 80.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0085
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0080
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0070
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0080
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 240, Buy volume: 34482.99, Sell volume: 895.21, Average price: 0.8721, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 535732
Question: Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration first?
Volume: 35378.201621
Price History:
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0070
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0075
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0080
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0080
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 163, Buy volume: 30312.48, Sell volume: 656.31, Average price: 0.9239, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes