Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 501.92, Sell volume: 3760.38, Average price: 0.8522, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641857
Question: Will Joey Moose win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 11501.757333
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 193.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9800
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0200
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0095
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0195
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0195
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0195
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0140
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 164.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0085
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0095
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9920
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0080
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0070
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0055
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0050
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0050
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1.50, Sell volume: 315.23, Average price: 0.5968, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0030
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0030
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 324, Buy volume: 12331.27, Sell volume: 11833.27, Average price: 0.8290, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 78.00, Sell volume: 271.77, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1050.41, Sell volume: 93.05, Average price: 0.8793, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 460.87, Sell volume: 369.00, Average price: 0.8328, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 212.46, Sell volume: 176.76, Average price: 0.6867, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 111.78, Sell volume: 59.00, Average price: 0.7497, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 1809.53, Sell volume: 43.76, Average price: 0.9710, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 500.00, Sell volume: 246.23, Average price: 0.0013, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 638.53, Sell volume: 152.69, Average price: 0.5716, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0030
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0035
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5445
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4555
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6070
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.3930
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.8100
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.1900
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7310
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.2690
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7630
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.2370
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0055
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0060
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 3929.41, Sell volume: 3594.82, Average price: 0.7745, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0035
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0040
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0040
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0070
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 3385.77, Sell volume: 6346.96, Average price: 0.7878, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9800
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9905
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9880
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9900
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 164.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9915
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9905
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9920
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9935
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9945
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9950
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1.50, Sell volume: 315.23, Average price: 0.5968, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9970
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9970
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 324, Buy volume: 12331.27, Sell volume: 11833.27, Average price: 0.8290, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 78.00, Sell volume: 271.77, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 50, Buy volume: 1050.41, Sell volume: 93.05, Average price: 0.8793, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 460.87, Sell volume: 369.00, Average price: 0.8328, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 212.46, Sell volume: 176.76, Average price: 0.6867, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 111.78, Sell volume: 59.00, Average price: 0.7497, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 1809.53, Sell volume: 43.76, Average price: 0.9710, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 500.00, Sell volume: 246.23, Average price: 0.0013, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 638.53, Sell volume: 152.69, Average price: 0.5716, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9970
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5445
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.6070
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.8100
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.7310
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.7630
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9945
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9935
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9935
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9720
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 3929.41, Sell volume: 3594.82, Average price: 0.7745, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641859
Question: Will DaiDaiBTC win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 24164.535981
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9965
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9960
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9960
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 3385.77, Sell volume: 6346.96, Average price: 0.7878, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9850
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0150
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0050
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0045
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0095
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0090
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 164.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0040
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0035
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0035
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0040
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 5282.03, Sell volume: 7077.45, Average price: 0.8619, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 178.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0040
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0030
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 5282.03, Sell volume: 7077.45, Average price: 0.8619, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 1686.42, Sell volume: 582.82, Average price: 0.8484, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 386.38, Sell volume: 447.34, Average price: 0.8327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 489.97, Sell volume: 623.39, Average price: 0.6108, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 111.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 2381.47, Sell volume: 30.69, Average price: 0.9898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 887.21, Average price: 0.3333, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 195.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 4164.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 5282.03, Sell volume: 7077.45, Average price: 0.8619, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9850
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9955
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9905
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9920
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9930
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9960
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 164.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9960
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9965
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9960
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9960
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 5282.03, Sell volume: 7077.45, Average price: 0.8619, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9960
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 178.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9955
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9960
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9970
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9980
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 5282.03, Sell volume: 7077.45, Average price: 0.8619, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 1686.42, Sell volume: 582.82, Average price: 0.8484, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 386.38, Sell volume: 447.34, Average price: 0.8327, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 14:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.9975
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 489.97, Sell volume: 623.39, Average price: 0.6108, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 08:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 111.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9980
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 2381.47, Sell volume: 30.69, Average price: 0.9898, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 887.21, Average price: 0.3333, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 10:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 195.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 4164.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641861
Question: Will EthBoi win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 12359.477
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9990
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9990
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9990
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211, Buy volume: 5282.03, Sell volume: 7077.45, Average price: 0.8619, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641863
Question: Will IcedKnife  win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13907.756832
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0250
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9800
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0200
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0145
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0195
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0195
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.0195
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.0195
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.0145
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.0140
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 477.73, Average price: 0.0126, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0190

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641863
Question: Will IcedKnife  win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13907.756832
Price History:
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0170
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.0170
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0170
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.0170
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.0170
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.0170
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0170
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0170
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.0170
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.0170
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9780
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0220
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9780
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0220
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9845
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9845
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9845
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9845
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9845
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.0155
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9845
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0155
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.0155
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0155
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0155
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0155
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.0220
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0220
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 83.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0250, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.0300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641863
Question: Will IcedKnife  win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13907.756832
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8710
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.1290
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8710
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.1290
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8710
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.1290
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8710
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.1290
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8715
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.1285
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8725
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.1275
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8525
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.1475
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8525
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.1475
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8525
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.1475
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8525
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.1475
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8525
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.1475
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8540
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.1460
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8550
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.1450
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8575
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.1425
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8575
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.1425
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8550
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.1450
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0260
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.0260
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.0260
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0260
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0260
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.0260
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0260
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.0260
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.0260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 499.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6010, Price range: 0.2450 - 0.9570

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641863
Question: Will IcedKnife  win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13907.756832
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9755
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0245
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9760
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.0240
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9760
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.0240
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9755
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0245
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9760
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0240
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9755
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.0245
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9755
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0245
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9755
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.0245
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9755
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.0245
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9755
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0245
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9755
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0245
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9890
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.0110
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.0105
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 78.00, Sell volume: 31.00, Average price: 0.6660, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641863
Question: Will IcedKnife  win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13907.756832
Price History:
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.9915
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0085
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.0050
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9975
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.9920
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9925
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.9920
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0080
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9920
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0080
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.0070
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.9940
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0060
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.9955
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.9955
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9920
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 819.98, Sell volume: 58.33, Average price: 0.9589, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641863
Question: Will IcedKnife  win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13907.756832
Price History:
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.9975
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.9950
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0050
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.9955
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0045
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9970
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0030
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 387.42, Sell volume: 399.96, Average price: 0.9155, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641863
Question: Will IcedKnife  win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13907.756832
Price History:
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.9970
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.0030
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.0020
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 248.13, Sell volume: 303.16, Average price: 0.6468, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641863
Question: Will IcedKnife  win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13907.756832
Price History:
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 111.78, Sell volume: 751.53, Average price: 0.4287, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641863
Question: Will IcedKnife  win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13907.756832
Price History:
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 1822.60, Sell volume: 30.69, Average price: 0.9897, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641863
Question: Will IcedKnife  win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13907.756832
Price History:
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 60.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641863
Question: Will IcedKnife  win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13907.756832
Price History:
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 652.51, Sell volume: 497.48, Average price: 0.9987, Price range: 0.9980 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641863
Question: Will IcedKnife  win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13907.756832
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9990
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0010
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 4350.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 641863
Question: Will IcedKnife  win the Synthetix trading competition?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13907.756832
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0005
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641863
Question: Will IcedKnife  win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 13907.756832
Price History:
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.5000
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9800
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9855
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9805
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.9805
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9860
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9855
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9870
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.9880
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9900
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9910
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 477.73, Average price: 0.0126, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0190
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641863
Question: Will IcedKnife  win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 13907.756832
Price History:
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9830
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.9780
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9780
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.9845
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9845
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.9845
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9845
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.9845
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9845
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 07:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.9780
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.9780
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 83.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0250, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.0300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641863
Question: Will IcedKnife  win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 13907.756832
Price History:
2025-11-02 21:00: 0.8710
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.8710
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.8710
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.8710
2025-11-03 01:00: 0.8715
2025-11-03 02:00: 0.8725
2025-11-03 03:00: 0.8525
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.8525
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.8525
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.8525
2025-11-03 07:00: 0.8525
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.8540
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.8550
2025-11-03 10:00: 0.8575
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.8575
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.8550
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 15:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 20:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 21:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.9740
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.9745
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.9745
2025-11-04 01:00: 0.9750
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 499.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6010, Price range: 0.2450 - 0.9570
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 641863
Question: Will IcedKnife  win the Synthetix trading competition?
Volume: 13907.756832
Price History:
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.9755
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.9760
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9760
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.9755
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9760
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9755
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.9755
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9755
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9755
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.9755
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.9755
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9890
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9895
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9895
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 78.00, Sell volume: 31.00, Average price: 0.6660, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes