Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.7345
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.2655
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.7440
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.2560
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.7445
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2555
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.7590
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.2410
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.7645
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.2355
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.7790
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2210
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.7790
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.2210
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.7790
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.2210
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.7790
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2210
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.7790
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.2210
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.7780
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.2220
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.7780
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2220
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.7780
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.2220
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.7780
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.2220
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.7785
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2215
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.7790
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.2210
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.7800
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.2200
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.7805
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.2195
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.7805
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.2195
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.7805
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.2195
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.7805
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.2195
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.7805
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.2195
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.7815
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.2185
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.7850
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.2150
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.7865
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.2135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 11957.66, Sell volume: 140.81, Average price: 0.7313, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9989

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.8400
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.1600
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.8500
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.1500
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.8500
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.1500
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.8500
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.1500
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.8500
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.1500
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.8500
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.1500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.8500
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.1500
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.8450
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.1550
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.8700
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.1300
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.8250
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.1750
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.8250
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.1750
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.8350
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.1650
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.8400
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.8500
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.1500
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.8150
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 901.70, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3870, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8932
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.1550
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.8450
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1550
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.8400
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.1600
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.8300
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1700
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.8350
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.8350
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.8350
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.8400
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.8400
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.8400
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8400
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.8350
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.8350
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.8400
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1600
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.8350
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.1650
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1102.32, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.4916, Price range: 0.2353 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5300
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.4700
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5350
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.4650
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3150
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.6850
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.5950
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.6000
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.4000
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.4600
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5400
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.3350
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.6650
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0650
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9350
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0655
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9345
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0655
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 2848.18, Sell volume: 1671.24, Average price: 0.4913, Price range: 0.1276 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2690
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.7345
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2655
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.7310
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.2690
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.7345
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.2655
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.7345
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.2655
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7415
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.2585
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.7430
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.2570
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.7430
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.2570
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.7765
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.2235
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.7745
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.2255
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.7745
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2255
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.7420
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.2580
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.7420
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.2580
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.7420
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.2580
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.7420
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.2580
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.7420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 590.99, Sell volume: 368.76, Average price: 0.5544, Price range: 0.1810 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7700
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2300
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.7830
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2170
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.7825
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2175
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7825
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2175
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.7770
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2230
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.7795
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2205
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7820
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2180
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.7815
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2185
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.7860
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2140
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.7860
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2140
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.7860
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2140
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.7860
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2140
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.7865
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2135
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.7730
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2270
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7795
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 11.46, Average price: 0.4567, Price range: 0.1735 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.2185
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7815
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2185
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7815
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2185
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.7915
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.2085
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.8305
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.1695
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.8305
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1695
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.8305
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1695
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.8305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 9.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8415, Price range: 0.8330 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.8205
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.1795
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.8205
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.1795
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.8005
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1995
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.8000
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2000
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.7900
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2100
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7900
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2390, Price range: 0.2390 - 0.2390
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.2095
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7905
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2095
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.7905
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2095
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.7905
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2095
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.7905
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2095
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.7905
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.2095
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.7900
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2100
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.7140
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.2860
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.7815
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.2185
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.7815
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2185
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7945
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.2055
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.7840
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.2160
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.7840
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2160
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.7840
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.2160
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.7840
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.2160
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.7840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1676.84, Sell volume: 818.15, Average price: 0.6633, Price range: 0.4675 - 0.7980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.7680
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.2320
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.7680
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2320
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.7820
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.2180
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.7820
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2180
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.7820
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2180
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.7205
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2795
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.7210
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2790
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7215
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2785
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.7395
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2605
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.7405
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.2595
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7400
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.2600
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.7410
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.2590
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.7125
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.2875
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.7135
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.2865
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.7135
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.2865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 65.13, Sell volume: 878.30, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.1837 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.2635
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.7405
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.2595
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.7410
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.2590
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.7410
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.2590
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.7320
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.2680
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.7605
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.2395
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.7610
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.2390
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.8280
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.1720
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.7905
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.2095
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.7540
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.2460
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.7540
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.2460
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.7540
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.2460
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.7540
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.2460
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.7540
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.2460
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.7540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 54.81, Sell volume: 20.99, Average price: 0.6341, Price range: 0.1282 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7665
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2335
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7665
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2335
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.7660
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2340
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7665
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2335
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7465
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2535
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.7465
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.2535
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7465
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2535
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.7465
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.2535
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7475
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.2525
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.7545
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.2455
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.7550
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.2450
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.7650
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.7650
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.2350
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7650
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.2350
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.7955
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.2045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 389.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7001, Price range: 0.2480 - 0.8400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.2455
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.8195
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.1805
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.7910
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2090
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7995
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.2005
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.8145
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.1855
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.8150
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.1850
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.8205
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.1795
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.8215
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.1785
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.8215
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.1785
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.8020
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1980
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.8020
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.1980
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.8020
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.1980
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.8020
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.1980
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.8020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 1533.69, Sell volume: 3.37, Average price: 0.3543, Price range: 0.1520 - 0.7889
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539770
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 25323.70932
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.7345
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.2655
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.7440
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.2560
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.7445
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2555
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.7590
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.2410
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.7645
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.2355
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.7790
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2210
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.7790
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.2210
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.7790
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.2210
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.7790
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2210
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.7790
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.2210
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.7780
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.2220
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.7780
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2220
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.7780
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.2220
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.7780
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.2220
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.7785
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 11957.66, Sell volume: 140.81, Average price: 0.7313, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9989
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.7050
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2950
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7050
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.2950
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.7050
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.2950
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.7000
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.7000
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.3000
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.7000
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.3000
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.7000
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.3000
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.7000
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.3000
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7200
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.2800
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6950
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3050
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4150
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5900
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4100
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5950
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.4050
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.5950
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.4050
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.6050
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.3950
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.6050
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.3950
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.6050
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.3950
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.6050
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.3950
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.6050
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.3950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 203.01, Sell volume: 3.77, Average price: 0.5099, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.3950
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6050
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3950
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6050
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3950
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6050
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 385.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5767, Price range: 0.4836 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.4550
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5450
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5350
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.4650
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5350
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.4600
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.5400
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4500
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.5500
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.4400
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.5600
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.4600
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.5400
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.3050
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6950
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.2800
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7200
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0450
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9550
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9600
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0450
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9550
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.4840
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5160
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.3600
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.6400
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.5005
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.4995
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.5100
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.4900
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.5100
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.4900
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.5655
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.4345
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.5655
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.4345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 392.57, Sell volume: 427.45, Average price: 0.5514, Price range: 0.0549 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.4345
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5655
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4345
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5655
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4345
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.5655
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.4345
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5655
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.4345
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.5560
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.4440
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5560
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.4440
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.5560
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.4440
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.5565
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.4435
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.5570
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.4430
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5570
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.4430
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.5570
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.4430
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.5570
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.4430
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.5570
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.4430
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.5570
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.4430
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.5570
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.4430
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.5570
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.4430
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.5570
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.4430
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.5570
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.4430
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6170
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.3830
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.6170
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.3830
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.6575
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.3425
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.6570
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.3430
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.6570
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.3430
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.6570
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.3430
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.6525
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 218.17, Average price: 0.3347, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.5650

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6525
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3475
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6525
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3475
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.6525
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3475
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6525
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3475
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.6515
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3485
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6515
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3485
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6495
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3505
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6495
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3505
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6495
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3505
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.6495
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3505
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6495
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3505
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6495
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3505
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.6495
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3505
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6570
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3430
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.6570
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.3430
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.6570
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.3430
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.6575
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.3425
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.6575
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.3425
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.6575
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.3425
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.6575
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.3425
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.6575
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.3425
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.6575
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.3425
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.6575
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.3425
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.6575
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.3425
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.6575
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.3425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 18.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5490, Price range: 0.5490 - 0.5490

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.3425
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.6575
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3425
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.6575
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3425
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6580
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3420
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.6580
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3420
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6580
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3420
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6580
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3420
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6585
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3415
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6585
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3415
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6595
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3405
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6595
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3405
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6595
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3405
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6595
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3405
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6595
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3405
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6595
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3405
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.6595
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.3405
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.6595
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.3405
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.6595
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.3405
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.5770
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.4230
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.5775
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.4225
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.4200
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.5800
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.4200
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.5800
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.4200
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.5800
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.4200
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.5800
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.4200
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2454.41, Sell volume: 1248.65, Average price: 0.5264, Price range: 0.0549 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.5800
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.4200
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.5550
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.4450
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.5550
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.4450
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.5600
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.4400
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.5605
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.4395
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.5510
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.4490
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.5650
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.4350
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.5650
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.4350
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.5905
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.4095
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.5905
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.4095
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.5905
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.4095
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.5905
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.4095
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.5905
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.4095
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.5905
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.4095
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.5905
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.4095
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.5905
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.4095
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.5905
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.4095
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.5905
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.4095
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.5905
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.4095
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.5905
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.4095
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.5905
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.4095
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5905
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.4095
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.5905
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.4095
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.5905
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.4095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 23.21, Average price: 0.3069, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.3137

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.4095
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.5905
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.4095
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.5905
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4095
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.5905
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4095
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.5905
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4095
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.5905
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.4095
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.5900
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.4100
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.4700
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.5300
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.5205
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.4795
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.6145
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.3855
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5795
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4205
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.5790
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.4210
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.5790
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.4210
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.5790
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.4210
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.5790
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.4210
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.5790
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.4210
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.5790
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.4210
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.5790
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.4210
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.5790
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.4210
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.5790
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.4210
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.5790
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.4210
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.5790
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.4210
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.5790
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.4210
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.5735
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.4265
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.5680
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.4320
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.5680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 622.56, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.5131, Price range: 0.5010 - 0.5320

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.5680
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.4320
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.5680
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.4320
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.5680
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.4320
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.5680
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.4320
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.5680
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.4320
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.5005
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.4995
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.5005
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.4995
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.4995
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.5005
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4995
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.5005
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.4995
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.5005
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.5005
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4995
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.5005
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4995
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.4995
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.5005
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.4990
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.5005
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.4995
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.4995
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.5005
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.4995
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.5005
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.4995
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.5005
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2454.41, Sell volume: 1248.65, Average price: 0.5264, Price range: 0.0549 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.4985
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.5015
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.4985
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.5015
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4985
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.5015
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.4985
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.5015
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.4335
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.5665
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.4325
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.5675
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.4325
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.5675
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.4325
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.5675
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.4325
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.5675
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.4325
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.5675
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.4325
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.5675
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.4325
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.5675
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.4325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2454.41, Sell volume: 1248.65, Average price: 0.5264, Price range: 0.0549 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2550
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7450
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2665
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7335
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2775
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.7225
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2885
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7115
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2995
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7005
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.3155
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6845
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3265
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.6735
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3325
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6675
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.4995
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.5005
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4995
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5005
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4995
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5005
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4995
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5005
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4995
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.5005
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.4995
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5005
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4995
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5005
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.4995
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.5005
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.4995
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.5005
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.4995
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.5005
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.4995
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.5005
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.4995
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.5005
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.4995
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.5005
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.4995
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.5005
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.4000
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.5995
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.4005
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.5995
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.4005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 75.71, Sell volume: 124.03, Average price: 0.5171, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5833

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.4005
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5990
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.4010
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.5990
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4010
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5980
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4020
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5980
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4020
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5980
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4020
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5980
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4020
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5980
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4020
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5985
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4015
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5985
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4015
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5985
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4015
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5985
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4015
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.5985
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4015
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5980
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4020
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5970
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4030
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5970
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.4030
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.5970
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.4030
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.5970
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.4030
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.5970
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.4030
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.5970
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.4030
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.5740
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.4260
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.5745
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.4255
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.5745
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.4255
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.5985
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.4015
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.5985
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.4015
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.5940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 32.96, Sell volume: 18.22, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.4990 - 0.5010

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5945
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4055
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5945
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4055
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5950
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5950
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5950
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5950
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5950
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5950
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5950
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5950
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5945
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4055
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.5945
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.4055
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5885
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.4115
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.5885
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4115
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.5935
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.4065
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.5935
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.4065
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.5935
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.4065
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.5935
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.4065
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.5940
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.4060
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.5890
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.4110
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.5890
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.4110
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.5890
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.4110
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.5890
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.4110
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.5940
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.4060
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.5995
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.4005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 361.99, Sell volume: 215.00, Average price: 0.6489, Price range: 0.4990 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.7050
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2950
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7050
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.2950
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.7050
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.2950
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.7000
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.7000
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.3000
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.7000
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.3000
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.7000
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.3000
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.7000
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.3000
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7200
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.2800
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6950
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3050
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5800
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4200
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5850
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4150
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5900
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 203.01, Sell volume: 3.77, Average price: 0.5099, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.3950
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6050
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3950
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6050
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3950
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6050
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6050
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3950
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.5600
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.4400
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 385.81, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5767, Price range: 0.4836 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.4550
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5450
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.4650
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5350
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.4650
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5350
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.4600
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.5400
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4500
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.5500
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.4400
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.5600
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.4600
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.5400
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.3050
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6950
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.2900
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7100
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.2800
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.7200
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0050
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0450
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9550
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0400
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 392.57, Sell volume: 427.45, Average price: 0.5514, Price range: 0.0549 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.4345
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5655
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4345
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5655
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4345
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.5655
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.4345
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5655
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.4345
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.5560
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.4440
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5560
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.4440
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.5560
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.4440
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.5565
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.4435
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.5570
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.4430
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5570
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.4430
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.5570
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.4430
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.5570
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.4430
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.5570
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.4430
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.5570
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.4430
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.5570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 218.17, Average price: 0.3347, Price range: 0.1200 - 0.5650
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6525
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3475
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6525
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3475
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.6525
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3475
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6525
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3475
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.6515
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3485
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6515
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3485
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6495
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3505
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6495
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3505
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6495
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3505
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.6495
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3505
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6495
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3505
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6495
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3505
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.6495
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3505
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6570
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3430
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.6570
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.3430
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 18.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5490, Price range: 0.5490 - 0.5490
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.3425
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.6575
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3425
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.6575
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3425
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6580
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3420
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.6580
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3420
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6580
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3420
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6580
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3420
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6585
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3415
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6585
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3415
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6595
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3405
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6595
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3405
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6595
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3405
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6595
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3405
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6595
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3405
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6595
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3405
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.6595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2454.41, Sell volume: 1248.65, Average price: 0.5264, Price range: 0.0549 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.5800
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.4200
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.5550
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.4450
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.5550
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.4450
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.5600
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.4400
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.5605
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.4395
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.5510
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.4490
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.5650
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.4350
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.5650
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.4350
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.5900
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.4100
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.5905
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.4095
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.5905
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.4095
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.5905
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.4095
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.5905
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.4095
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.5905
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.4095
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.5905
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.4095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 23.21, Average price: 0.3069, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.3137
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.4095
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.5905
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.4095
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.5905
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4095
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.5905
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4095
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.5905
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4095
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.5905
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.4095
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.5900
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.4100
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.4700
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.5300
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.5205
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.4795
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.6145
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.3855
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5795
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4205
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.5790
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.4210
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.5790
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.4210
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.5790
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.4210
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.5790
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.4210
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.5790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 622.56, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.5131, Price range: 0.5010 - 0.5320
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.5680
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.4320
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.5680
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.4320
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.5680
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.4320
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.5680
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.4320
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.5680
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.4320
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.5005
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.4995
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.5005
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.4995
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.4995
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.5005
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.4995
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.5005
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.4995
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.5005
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.5005
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.4995
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.5005
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.4995
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5000
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.5000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2454.41, Sell volume: 1248.65, Average price: 0.5264, Price range: 0.0549 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5000
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.4990
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.5010
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.4985
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.5015
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.4985
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.5015
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2454.41, Sell volume: 1248.65, Average price: 0.5264, Price range: 0.0549 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.2550
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.7450
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2665
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.7335
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.2775
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.7225
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.2885
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7115
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.2995
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.7005
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.3155
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.6845
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.3265
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.6735
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.3325
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.6675
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.4995
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.5005
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4995
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5005
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4995
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5005
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4995
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5005
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4995
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.5005
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.4995
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5005
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4995
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 75.71, Sell volume: 124.03, Average price: 0.5171, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5833
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.4005
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5990
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.4010
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.5990
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4010
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5980
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4020
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5980
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4020
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5980
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4020
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5980
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4020
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5980
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4020
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5985
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4015
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5985
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4015
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5985
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4015
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5985
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4015
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.5985
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4015
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5980
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4020
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5970
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4030
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 32.96, Sell volume: 18.22, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.4990 - 0.5010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539771
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 3703.061348
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5945
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4055
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5945
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4055
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5950
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5950
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5950
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5950
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5950
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5950
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5950
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5950
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4050
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5945
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4055
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.5945
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.4055
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.5885
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.4115
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.5885
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.4115
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.5935
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.4065
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 361.99, Sell volume: 215.00, Average price: 0.6489, Price range: 0.4990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5050
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5050
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4950
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4600
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5400
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4600
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4600
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4500
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5500
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4600
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4600
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.4000
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.6000
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 32.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.3900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.2950
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.7050
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.8150
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.8150
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.1800
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.8200
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.2000
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.8000
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.8000
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.8400
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.1450
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.8550
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1400
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.8600
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1250
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8750
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1250
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.8750
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.4060
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5940
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.3075
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.6925
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.1455
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.8545
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1555
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.8445
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1555
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.8445
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.1560
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8440
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1560
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.8440
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.1565
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.8435
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1565
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.8435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 966.25, Sell volume: 180.00, Average price: 0.5662, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.8435
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1565
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.8435
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1565
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8435
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1565
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8435
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.1565
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8435
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.1795
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.8205
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.2385
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.7615
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.2360
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.7640
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.2400
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.7600
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2400
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.7600
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.2400
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.7600
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.1980
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.8020
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.1980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 382.92, Sell volume: 3.33, Average price: 0.6262, Price range: 0.2395 - 0.8790

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.1980
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.8020
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1980
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.8020
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.1975
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.8025
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1990
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.8010
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1995
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.8005
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2005
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.7995
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1995
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.8005
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1990
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.8010
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1995
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.8005
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1990
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.8010
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.1995
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.8005
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.1740
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.8260
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.1695
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.8305
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.1700
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.8300
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.1700
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.8300
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.1700
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.8300
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.1700
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.8300
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.1700
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.8300
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.1705
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.8295
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.1705
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.8295
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.1710
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.8290
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.1710
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.8290
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.1710
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.8290
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3490, Price range: 0.3490 - 0.3490

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.8285
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.1710
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.8290
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.1705
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.8295
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1705
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.8295
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.1710
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.8290
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.1705
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.8295
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.1705
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8295
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1695
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.8305
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1690
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.8310
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.1690
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.8310
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.1690
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8310
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.1695
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.8305
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.1695
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.8305
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.1705
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.8295
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.1705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 13305.39, Sell volume: 302.86, Average price: 0.5836, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1820
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.8180
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.1705
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.8295
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.1705
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.8295
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.1705
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.8295
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.1705
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.8295
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.1835
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.8165
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.1835
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.8165
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.1835
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.8165
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.1835
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.8165
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.1835
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.8165
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.1840
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.8160
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.1835
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.8165
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.1835
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.8165
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.1835
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.8165
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.1835
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.8165
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.1835
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.8165
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1835
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.8165
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.1835
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.8165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 13305.39, Sell volume: 302.86, Average price: 0.5836, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.8160
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.1835
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.8165
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.1840
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.8160
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.1835
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.8165
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.1840
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.8160
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.1835
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.8165
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.1830
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.8170
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.1830
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.8170
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.1815
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.8185
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.1645
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.8355
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.1645
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.8355
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.1645
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.8355
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.1650
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.8350
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.1645
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.8355
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.1650
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.1645
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.8355
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.1645
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.8355
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.1645
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.8355
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.1525
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.8475
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.1475
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.8525
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.1475
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.8525
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.1480
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.8520
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.1495
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.8505
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.1500
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.8500
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.1500
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.8500
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.1515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 63.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5870, Price range: 0.2392 - 0.9398

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.1525
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.8475
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.1525
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.8475
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.1530
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.8470
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.1520
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.8480
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.1525
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.8475
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.1525
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.8475
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.1530
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.8470
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.1535
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.8465
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1525
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.8475
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.1520
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.8480
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.1530
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.8470
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.1535
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.8465
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.1545
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.8455
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.1530
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.8470
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.1535
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.8465
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.1535
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.8465
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.1495
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.8505
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1490
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.8510
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.1495
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.8505
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.1490
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.8510
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.1485
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.8515
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.1485
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.8515
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1485
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.8515
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.1490
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.8510
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.1495
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.8505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 13305.39, Sell volume: 302.86, Average price: 0.5836, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.8500
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1490
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.8510
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1490
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.8510
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.1635
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.8365
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.1635
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.8365
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.1635
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.8365
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.1640
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.8360
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.1635
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.8365
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.1640
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.8360
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.1605
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.8395
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.1605
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.8395
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.1600
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.8400
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.1600
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.8400
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.1600
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.8400
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.1605
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.8395
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 13305.39, Sell volume: 302.86, Average price: 0.5836, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.1600
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.8400
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.1605
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.8395
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.1640
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.8360
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.1485
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.8515
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.1480
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.8520
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.1480
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.8520
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.1480
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.8520
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.1485
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.8515
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.1490
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.8510
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.1495
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.8505
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.1490
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.8510
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.1490
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.8510
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.1490
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.8510
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.1490
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.8510
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.1490
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.8510
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.1465
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.8535
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.1460
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.8540
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.1465
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.8535
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.1460
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.8540
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.1450
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.8550
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1445
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.8555
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.1445
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.8555
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.1445
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.8555
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.1765
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.8235
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.1765
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.8235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 19.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2434, Price range: 0.2434 - 0.2434

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.8240
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.1950
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.8050
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2015
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.7985
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.2045
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7955
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.2040
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.7960
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2045
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.7955
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.2040
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7960
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.2040
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.7960
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.2040
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.7960
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.2040
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.7960
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.2045
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.7955
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.2040
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.7960
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2045
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7955
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2040
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.7960
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2040
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.7960
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2040
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.7960
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2040
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.7960
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.2040
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.7960
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.2040
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.7960
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.2045
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.7955
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.2040
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.7960
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.2040
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.7960
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2035
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.7965
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.2035
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.7965
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.2035
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.7965
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.2080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2760, Price range: 0.2760 - 0.2760

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.2080
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.7920
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.2085
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.7915
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2080
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.7920
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.2080
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.7920
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.2080
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.7920
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2080
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.7920
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.2080
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.7920
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.2085
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.7915
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2080
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.7920
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.2085
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.7915
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.2080
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.7920
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2085
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.7915
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.2080
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.7920
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.2080
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.7920
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2080
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.7920
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.2085
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.7915
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.2085
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.7915
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.2085
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.7915
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.2080
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.7920
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.2080
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.7920
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.2080
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.7920
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.2080
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.7920
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.2080
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.7920
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.2085
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.7915
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.2150
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 242.86, Sell volume: 71.73, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.2760 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5050
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4950
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5050
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4950
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5050
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4950
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4600
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5400
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4600
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4600
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4500
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5500
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4600
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4600
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5400
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 32.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6300
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3700
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3700
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.6300
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3200
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6800
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.56, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3900, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.3900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3000
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.2950
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.7050
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.8150
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.8150
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.1800
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.8200
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.2000
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.8000
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.2000
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.8000
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.1600
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.8400
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.1500
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.1450
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.8550
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1400
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.8600
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1250
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8750
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 966.25, Sell volume: 180.00, Average price: 0.5662, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.8435
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1565
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.8435
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1565
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8435
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1565
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8435
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.1565
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8435
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1750
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8250
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.1795
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.8205
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.1800
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.8200
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 382.92, Sell volume: 3.33, Average price: 0.6262, Price range: 0.2395 - 0.8790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.1980
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.8020
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.1980
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.8020
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.1975
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.8025
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.1990
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.8010
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1995
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.8005
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2000
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.8000
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2005
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.7995
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.1995
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.8005
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.1990
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.8010
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.1995
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.8005
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.1990
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.8010
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.1995
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.8005
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.1740
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.8260
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.1695
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.8305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3490, Price range: 0.3490 - 0.3490
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.8285
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.1710
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.8290
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.1705
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.8295
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1705
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.8295
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.1710
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.8290
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.1705
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.8295
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.1705
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8295
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.1700
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.8300
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1695
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.8305
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1690
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.8310
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.1690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 13305.39, Sell volume: 302.86, Average price: 0.5836, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1820
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.8180
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.1705
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.8295
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.1705
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.8295
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.1705
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.8295
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.1700
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.8300
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.1705
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.8295
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.1835
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.8165
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.1835
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.8165
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.1835
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.8165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 13305.39, Sell volume: 302.86, Average price: 0.5836, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.8160
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.1835
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.8165
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.1840
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.8160
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.1835
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.8165
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.1840
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.8160
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.1835
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.8165
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.1830
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.8170
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.1830
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.8170
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.1815
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.8185
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.1645
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.8355
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.1645
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.8355
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.1645
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.8355
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.1650
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.8350
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.1645
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.8355
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.1650
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.8350
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.1645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 63.96, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5870, Price range: 0.2392 - 0.9398
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.1525
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.8475
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.1525
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.8475
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.1530
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.8470
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.1520
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.8480
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.1525
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.8475
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.1525
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.8475
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.1530
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.8470
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.1535
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.8465
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1525
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.8475
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.1520
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.8480
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.1530
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.8470
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.1535
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.8465
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.1545
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.8455
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.1530
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.8470
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.1535
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.8465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 13305.39, Sell volume: 302.86, Average price: 0.5836, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.8500
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1490
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.8510
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1490
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.8510
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.1635
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.8365
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.1640
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.8360
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.1635
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.8365
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.1635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 13305.39, Sell volume: 302.86, Average price: 0.5836, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.1600
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.8400
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.1605
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.8395
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.1640
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.8360
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.1485
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.8515
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.1480
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.8520
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.1480
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.8520
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.1480
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.8520
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.1485
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.8515
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.1490
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.8510
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.1495
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.8505
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.1490
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.8510
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.1490
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.8510
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.1490
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.8510
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.1490
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.8510
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.1490
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.8510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 19.36, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2434, Price range: 0.2434 - 0.2434
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.8240
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.1950
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.8050
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.2015
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.7985
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.2045
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.7955
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.2040
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.7960
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.2045
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.7955
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.2040
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.7960
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.2040
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.7960
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.2040
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.7960
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.2040
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.7960
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.2045
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.7955
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.2040
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.7960
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.2045
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.7955
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2040
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.7960
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.2040
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.7960
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.2040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.62, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2760, Price range: 0.2760 - 0.2760
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539772
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 70+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13608.254819
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.2080
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.7920
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.2085
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.7915
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.2080
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.7920
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.2080
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.7920
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.2080
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.7920
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.2080
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.7920
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.2080
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.7920
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.2085
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.7915
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.2080
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.7920
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.2085
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.7915
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.2080
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.7920
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2085
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.7915
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.2080
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.7920
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.2080
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.7920
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2080
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.7920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 242.86, Sell volume: 71.73, Average price: 0.6174, Price range: 0.2760 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5200
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4800
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4800
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5200
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.5550
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.4450
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.5450
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.4550
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.5150
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.4850
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.5250
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.4750
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.4700
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.4700
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.5300
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.4700
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.6400
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 67.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3650
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6350
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3650
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.5500
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.4500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.5500
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.4500
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.6400
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.3600
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.5850
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.4150
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 40.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.5800 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.4550
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.5450
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.4500
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.5500
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.4500
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.5500
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.4850
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.5150
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.4450
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.5550
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.4350
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.5650
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.4200
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.5800
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4050
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.5950
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.4100
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.5900
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0750
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9250
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0750
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9250
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0750
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9250
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0650
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9350
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.4850
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5150
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.4900
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5100
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.4450
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5550
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.4550
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5450
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.4450
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.5550
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.4350
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.5650
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.4350
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.5650
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.4300
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.5700
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.5750
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4050
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5950
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4050
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5950
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3500
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6500
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3450
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6550
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3550
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6450
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.3650
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.6350
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.5100
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.4900
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.5100
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.4900
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6100, Price range: 0.6100 - 0.6100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539773
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1279.274142
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.5100
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.4900
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.5100
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.4900
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.5100
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.4900
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.5100
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.4900
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.5150
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.4850
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.5100
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.4900
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.5200
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.4800
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.5100
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.4900
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.3650
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.6350
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.3800
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.6200
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.3950
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.6050
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.4150
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.5850
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.4350
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.5650
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.4500
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.5500
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.4650
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 67.50, Average price: 0.4000, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.4000

Output: Yes