Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5400
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4600
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4600
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5400
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.4600
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5400
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4600
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5400
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5400
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4600
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4550
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4600
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 29865.20, Sell volume: 9857.62, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5400
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4600
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5400
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4600
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5450
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4550
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4550
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5450
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4550
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5450
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 31.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4200
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5800
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4200
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 29865.20, Sell volume: 9857.62, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4200
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 29865.20, Sell volume: 9857.62, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 29865.20, Sell volume: 9857.62, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6000
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4000
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4000
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6000
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 62.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5601, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6103

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6000, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6000
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.4000
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.5950
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.4050
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.4050
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.5950
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6050
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3950
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6050
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 382.82, Sell volume: 102.00, Average price: 0.5450, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.6100
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.6100
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6100
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6150
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.7600
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7600
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7000
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.5400
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.4600
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1138.73, Sell volume: 70.32, Average price: 0.6010, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4100
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5900
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5900
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4100
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5900
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4100
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5950
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5950
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 29865.20, Sell volume: 9857.62, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 29865.20, Sell volume: 9857.62, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5650
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4350
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 13.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7200, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5500
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5300
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4700
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 48.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5300, Price range: 0.5300 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5400
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4600
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4600
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5400
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.4600
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5400
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4600
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5400
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5400
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4600
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4550
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4600
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 29865.20, Sell volume: 9857.62, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5400
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4600
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5400
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4600
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5450
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4550
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4550
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5450
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4550
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5450
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 31.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6400, Price range: 0.6400 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.5500
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.4200
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5800
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.4200
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 29865.20, Sell volume: 9857.62, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.4200
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 29865.20, Sell volume: 9857.62, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4250
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.5750
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 109, Buy volume: 29865.20, Sell volume: 9857.62, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.5850
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.5850
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6000
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.4000
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.4000
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6000
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.4100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 62.64, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5601, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6103
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6000, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5950
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6000
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.4000
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.5900
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4100
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.5950
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.4050
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.4050
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.5950
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3950
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6050
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3950
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6050
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 382.82, Sell volume: 102.00, Average price: 0.5450, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612858
Question: Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 39722.822628
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.6100
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.6100
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6100
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6150
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.7200
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.7600
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7600
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3000
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7000
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.5400
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.4600
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9885
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1138.73, Sell volume: 70.32, Average price: 0.6010, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5250
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4850
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8416, Price range: 0.8416 - 0.8416

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 6421.10, Sell volume: 436.35, Average price: 0.7015, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4600
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4600
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 116.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6079, Price range: 0.5853 - 0.6309

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5300
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4700
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5300
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4700
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.6600 - 0.6600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5300
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4700
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5300
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.4700
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5300
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4700
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5400
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4600
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.51, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5800
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4200
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2250
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7750
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.2250
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.7750
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.2250
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 148.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6808, Price range: 0.6808 - 0.6808

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2250
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7750
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.7750
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.2250
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7500
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 6421.10, Sell volume: 436.35, Average price: 0.7015, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.2000
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2000
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.2000
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2000
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.2000
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 6421.10, Sell volume: 436.35, Average price: 0.7015, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.1950
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.8050
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.1950
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.8050
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.1900
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.8100
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1900
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.8100
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1950
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.8050
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.2000
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.2000
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3650, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.3700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6300
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6300
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 62.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3767, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.3800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.4200
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.4200
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 224.19, Sell volume: 7.38, Average price: 0.5103, Price range: 0.3504 - 0.6400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4200
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.4200
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.4300
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.5700
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4300
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.5700
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.4300
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.5700
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.5250
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.4750
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 286.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5405, Price range: 0.4715 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.4800
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.5200
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.4700
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.5300
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.3700
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6300
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3250
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6750
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2500
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7500
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1500
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8500
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1400
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 3861.07, Sell volume: 381.06, Average price: 0.7347, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5000
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5250
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4850
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.94, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8416, Price range: 0.8416 - 0.8416
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5000
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.5050
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4950
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 6421.10, Sell volume: 436.35, Average price: 0.7015, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4600
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4600
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5400
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5350
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 116.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6079, Price range: 0.5853 - 0.6309
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5300
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4700
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5300
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4700
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.52, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.6600 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5300
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4700
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5300
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.4700
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5300
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4700
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5350
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4650
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5400
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4600
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.51, Average price: 0.3500, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.3500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.4250
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.5750
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.5700
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.5800
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.4200
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2250
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7750
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.2250
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.7750
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.2250
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 148.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6808, Price range: 0.6808 - 0.6808
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2250
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7750
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.7750
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.2250
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2200
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7800
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7500
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 6421.10, Sell volume: 436.35, Average price: 0.7015, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.2000
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2000
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.2000
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2000
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7950
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.2000
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 6421.10, Sell volume: 436.35, Average price: 0.7015, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.1950
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.8050
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.1950
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.8050
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.1900
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.8100
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1900
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.8100
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1950
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.8050
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.2000
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.8000
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.2000
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6550
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 30.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3650, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.3700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6350
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.6300
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6300
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.3700
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.6350
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 62.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3767, Price range: 0.3700 - 0.3800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.6250
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.3750
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.4200
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.4200
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.4200
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.4200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 224.19, Sell volume: 7.38, Average price: 0.5103, Price range: 0.3504 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.4350
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.5650
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4200
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.4200
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.5800
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.4250
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.5750
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.4300
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.5700
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.4300
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.5700
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.4300
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.5700
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.5250
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.4750
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.4950
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 286.41, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5405, Price range: 0.4715 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612859
Question: Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 6857.451521
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.4800
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.5200
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.4700
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.5300
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.3700
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6300
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3250
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6750
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3100
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6900
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2500
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.7500
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2550
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.7450
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1500
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8500
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.1400
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 3861.07, Sell volume: 381.06, Average price: 0.7347, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4800
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4550
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 435.84, Sell volume: 34.47, Average price: 0.7938, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.2650
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6700
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3300
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 18.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4256, Price range: 0.4256 - 0.4256

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 435.84, Sell volume: 34.47, Average price: 0.7938, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 435.84, Sell volume: 34.47, Average price: 0.7938, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 435.84, Sell volume: 34.47, Average price: 0.7938, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 435.84, Sell volume: 34.47, Average price: 0.7938, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 435.84, Sell volume: 34.47, Average price: 0.7938, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8200
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 76.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5542, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.7585

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1800
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.8200
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 435.84, Sell volume: 34.47, Average price: 0.7938, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3100, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.3100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.1900
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.8100
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.1900
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8100
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.2050
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.7950
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1200
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.8740, Price range: 0.8680 - 0.8800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8750
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.8750
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.8750
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1400
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8600
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.8600
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1400
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8400
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 305.98, Sell volume: 6.56, Average price: 0.8589, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4950
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5050
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5100
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4900
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4800
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5250
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4900
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4550
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.05, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5200
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4800
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3850
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6150
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6100
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.3900
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 435.84, Sell volume: 34.47, Average price: 0.7938, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.7350
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.2650
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6700
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3300
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 18.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4256, Price range: 0.4256 - 0.4256
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3100
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 435.84, Sell volume: 34.47, Average price: 0.7938, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 435.84, Sell volume: 34.47, Average price: 0.7938, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 435.84, Sell volume: 34.47, Average price: 0.7938, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.3050
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 435.84, Sell volume: 34.47, Average price: 0.7938, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.6950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 435.84, Sell volume: 34.47, Average price: 0.7938, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.2950
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.7050
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.8200
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 76.43, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5542, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.7585
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1750
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.8250
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.1800
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.8200
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.1850
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 435.84, Sell volume: 34.47, Average price: 0.7938, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.23, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3100, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.3100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.8200
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.1800
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.1850
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.8150
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.1900
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.8100
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.1900
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8100
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.2050
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.7950
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.8950
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.8950
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.8950
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.1050
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.1200
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 25.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.8740, Price range: 0.8680 - 0.8800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612860
Question: Will Leavitt say "Jimmy" or "Kimmel" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 470.308903
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8750
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.8750
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.8750
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.1250
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8650
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.1350
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.1400
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.8600
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.8600
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1400
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.8400
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.1600
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9950
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0050
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9900
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 305.98, Sell volume: 6.56, Average price: 0.8589, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4500
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5500
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5600
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4400
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4400
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5600
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4550
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5450
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4550
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4350
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 12191.94, Sell volume: 11.77, Average price: 0.7271, Price range: 0.2575 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4300
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5700
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4350
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5650
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4450
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4450
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 12191.94, Sell volume: 11.77, Average price: 0.7271, Price range: 0.2575 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4450
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4450
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4450
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 121.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.6543 - 0.6703

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6300
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3700
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6300
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3700
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6400
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3600
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6400
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3600
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6400
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 54.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5528, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.6856

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.7500
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 55.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.6800 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.7500
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7500
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7500
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7500
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 12191.94, Sell volume: 11.77, Average price: 0.7271, Price range: 0.2575 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.2300
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.7700
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7700
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2300
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.2300
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 12191.94, Sell volume: 11.77, Average price: 0.7271, Price range: 0.2575 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.2250
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.7750
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.2250
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.7750
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.7750
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.2250
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.7750
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.2250
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 12191.94, Sell volume: 11.77, Average price: 0.7271, Price range: 0.2575 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.2100
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.7900
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.7900
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.2100
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.2500
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.7500
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.2500
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.7450
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.7450
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.7450
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 54.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4269, Price range: 0.2575 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.2800
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7200
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2800
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6800
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6750
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3250
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6750
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.3250
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 162.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3200, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.3200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.6550
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.3400
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.6600
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6500
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6550
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6550
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.4250
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.5750
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.5700
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.4300
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.5700
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.6300
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.3700
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9600
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0400
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9600
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 509.79, Sell volume: 11.77, Average price: 0.6559, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4500
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5500
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5600
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4400
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4400
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5600
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4550
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5450
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4550
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.5450
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4550
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4500
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5500
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5300
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4700
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.4350
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 12191.94, Sell volume: 11.77, Average price: 0.7271, Price range: 0.2575 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4300
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5700
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4350
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5650
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4400
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5600
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4450
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.5550
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4450
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4450
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 12191.94, Sell volume: 11.77, Average price: 0.7271, Price range: 0.2575 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4450
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4450
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5550
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4450
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5600
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4400
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5450
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4550
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5850
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4150
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5900
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4100
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 121.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6623, Price range: 0.6543 - 0.6703
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.6300
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.3700
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.6300
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3700
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.6400
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3600
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.6350
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3650
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.6400
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.3600
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6400
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3600
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 54.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5528, Price range: 0.4200 - 0.6856
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.6450
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.3550
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2650
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.7500
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 55.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6800, Price range: 0.6800 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.2550
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7450
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.7500
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7500
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.7500
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.2500
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7500
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2450
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7550
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.2400
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 12191.94, Sell volume: 11.77, Average price: 0.7271, Price range: 0.2575 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.7600
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.2300
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.7700
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.7700
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2300
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.2300
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 12191.94, Sell volume: 11.77, Average price: 0.7271, Price range: 0.2575 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.2250
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.7750
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.2250
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.7750
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.7750
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.2250
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.7750
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.2250
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.18, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.2200
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.7800
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.2200
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.7800
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.2200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 12191.94, Sell volume: 11.77, Average price: 0.7271, Price range: 0.2575 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.2100
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.7900
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.7900
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.2100
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.2500
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.7500
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.7500
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.2500
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.7450
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.7450
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.7450
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 54.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4269, Price range: 0.2575 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.2800
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.7200
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.2800
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.7200
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7200
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.7200
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2800
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.6800
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.3200
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6750
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3250
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.6750
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.3250
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.6700
2025-10-01 05:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 162.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3200, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.3200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 612861
Question: Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 12203.714604
Price History:
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.6550
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.3400
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.6600
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.6500
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.6550
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6550
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3450
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.4250
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.5750
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.5700
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.4300
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.4300
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.5700
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.6300
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.3700
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9600
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0400
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9600
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 509.79, Sell volume: 11.77, Average price: 0.6559, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.4300
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5700
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.4200
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.5800
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.4150
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3950
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2058.95, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.7298, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.4100
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.5900
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.5850
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.4150
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.4250
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5750
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.4250
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.5750
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.4200
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.5800
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.2750
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2058.95, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.7298, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.6300
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3700
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4050
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.6000
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.4000
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4000
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.6000
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 29.99, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4427, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.4454

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4050
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.5950
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2058.95, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.7298, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 612862
Question: Will Leavitt say "Brazil" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2070.310651
Price History:
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4350
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5650
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.5700
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.5700
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.5700
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5700
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.4300
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.5700
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.4300
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.5700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 2058.95, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.7298, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.9990

Output: No