Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524057
Question: Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 101954.820699
Price History:
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.2650
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.2600
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.2650
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.2650
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.2650
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.2600
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.2600
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.2600
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.2600
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.2650
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.2600
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.2600
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.2600
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.2600
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.2650
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 382, Buy volume: 76894.97, Sell volume: 25059.85, Average price: 0.4581, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524057
Question: Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 101954.820699
Price History:
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.2650
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.2650
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.2650
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.2650
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.2750
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.3250
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.3200
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 609.72, Sell volume: 276.82, Average price: 0.3895, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524057
Question: Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 101954.820699
Price History:
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.2550
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.2550
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.2550
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.2550
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.2550
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.2550
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.2550
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.2550
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.2550
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 53.85, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.2567, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.2600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524057
Question: Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 101954.820699
Price History:
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.2550
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.2550
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.2550
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.2550
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.2550
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.2550
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.2550
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.2550
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.2550
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.2450
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.2450
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.2450
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.2450
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 105.00, Average price: 0.2500, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.2500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524057
Question: Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 101954.820699
Price History:
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.2200
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.2200
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.2200
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.2350
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.2300
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.2450
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.2500
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.2500
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.2500
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.2500
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.2500
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.2400
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.2450
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.2450
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.2450
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.2400
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.2350
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.2400
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.2400
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.2400
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.2400
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.2400
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.2400
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 225.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2550, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.2600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524057
Question: Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 101954.820699
Price History:
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.2350
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 382, Buy volume: 76894.97, Sell volume: 25059.85, Average price: 0.4581, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524057
Question: Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 101954.820699
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.2350
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.2350
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.2300
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.2300
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.2300
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 382, Buy volume: 76894.97, Sell volume: 25059.85, Average price: 0.4581, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524057
Question: Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 101954.820699
Price History:
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.2300
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.2350
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2350
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.2350
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.2350
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.2350
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.2350
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.2350
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.2350
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.2350
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.2350
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.2200, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.2200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524057
Question: Is there more than 147341858 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 101954.820699
Price History:
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.2350
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 237, Buy volume: 39567.24, Sell volume: 4629.70, Average price: 0.3519, Price range: 0.0480 - 0.9646
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.1100
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.1200
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.8800
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.8850
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.1150
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 94.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7171, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 608.10, Sell volume: 9.98, Average price: 0.3257, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 49.00, Sell volume: 206.91, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0400
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9600
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 734.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7782, Price range: 0.0599 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 544, Buy volume: 96120.48, Sell volume: 74172.55, Average price: 0.5772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.06, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 17.82, Sell volume: 34.67, Average price: 0.3600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 544.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0879, Price range: 0.0848 - 0.0930

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 544, Buy volume: 96120.48, Sell volume: 74172.55, Average price: 0.5772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.1650
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.8350
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 18811.83, Sell volume: 4778.53, Average price: 0.5392, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.8850
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.1150
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0350
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9650
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0200
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9800
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.0175
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9825
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9920
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0130
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9870
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9900
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0100
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0125
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 196, Buy volume: 39912.08, Sell volume: 24721.79, Average price: 0.6987, Price range: 0.0032 - 0.9978

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 23155.44, Sell volume: 10097.94, Average price: 0.2230, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9000
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.8900
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.1100
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.1200
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.8800
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.1100
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.8900
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.8850
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.1150
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9150
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 94.19, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7171, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0850
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 608.10, Sell volume: 9.98, Average price: 0.3257, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 49.00, Sell volume: 206.91, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 15.00, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0400
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9600
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 734.26, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7782, Price range: 0.0599 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 544, Buy volume: 96120.48, Sell volume: 74172.55, Average price: 0.5772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.06, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 17.82, Sell volume: 34.67, Average price: 0.3600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 544.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0879, Price range: 0.0848 - 0.0930
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0800
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9200
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 544, Buy volume: 96120.48, Sell volume: 74172.55, Average price: 0.5772, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.1650
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.8350
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.1100
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 206, Buy volume: 18811.83, Sell volume: 4778.53, Average price: 0.5392, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.8850
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.1150
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0350
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9650
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0200
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9800
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.0175
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9825
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0095
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0080
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9920
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0130
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9870
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9900
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0100
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0125
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 196, Buy volume: 39912.08, Sell volume: 24721.79, Average price: 0.6987, Price range: 0.0032 - 0.9978
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 626679
Question: Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Volume: 170293.029333
Price History:
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9995
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 23155.44, Sell volume: 10097.94, Average price: 0.2230, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.8200
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.1850
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.8150
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.1400
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.8600
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.1350
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.8650
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.1300
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.8700
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.1300
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.8700
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1200
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.8800
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.1150
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.8850
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0600
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.9400
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0750
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9250
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9250
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0750
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.9250
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.9250
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0650
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.9350
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.9350
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0550
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.9450
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0550
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.9450
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0550
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.9450
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0500
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.9500
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0500
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.9500
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0500
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.9500
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0450
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9550
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0450
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.9550
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0450
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 5627.18, Sell volume: 542.13, Average price: 0.8178, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.9350
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.9350
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9400
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.9450
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0550
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.9450
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.9450
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.9350
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.9350
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.9350
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.9350
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.9350
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.9350
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0600
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.9400
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.0600
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.9400
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0600
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.9400
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.9400
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.9400
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.9400
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0550
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.9450
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0550
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.9450
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.0550
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.9450
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.0550
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1044.68, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.9350
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.9350
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.9350
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.9350
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.9350
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.9350
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.9350
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.9350
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.9350
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.9350
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.9350
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.9350
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.9350
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.9350
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.9350
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.9350
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.9350
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.9350
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.9350
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 390.19, Sell volume: 23.12, Average price: 0.2460, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.0700
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.9300
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.0700
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.0700
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.9300
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0700
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.9300
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0700
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.9300
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.9350
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0700
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0650
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.9350
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0650
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.9350
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.9350
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.9350
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.9250
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9250
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.9250
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9250
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.9250
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.9250
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.9250
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 406.52, Sell volume: 551.47, Average price: 0.2825, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.9250
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.9250
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 264.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9327, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9382

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0700
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.9300
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.0700
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.9300
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0700
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.9300
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0700
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.9300
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9350
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0700
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.9300
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.0700
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0700
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9300
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0700
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.9300
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.9350
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0700
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.9350
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.9350
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.9350
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.9350
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.9350
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.9350
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.9350
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.9350
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.9300
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 284, Buy volume: 28621.27, Sell volume: 1987.78, Average price: 0.8876, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.9350
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.9350
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.9350
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.9350
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 0.04, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.9350
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9350
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.9350
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.9350
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.9350
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.9350
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.9350
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.63, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.9350
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.9350
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.9350
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.9350
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.9350
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9350
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9350
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.9350
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.9350
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.9350
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 284, Buy volume: 28621.27, Sell volume: 1987.78, Average price: 0.8876, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.9350
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 284, Buy volume: 28621.27, Sell volume: 1987.78, Average price: 0.8876, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.9350
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.9350
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.9350
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9350
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9350
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.9350
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.9350
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.9350
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.9350
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.9350
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.9350
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.9350
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.9350
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.9350
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.9350
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.9350
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.9350
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9350
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.9350
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.9350
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.9350
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.9350
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.9350
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.9350
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 196, Buy volume: 20516.73, Sell volume: 838.39, Average price: 0.9466, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.1800
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.1850
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.1400
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.1350
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.1300
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.1300
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.1200
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.1150
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.0600
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.0750
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.0750
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.0650
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0550
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.0550
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.0550
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.0500
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.0500
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0500
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.0450
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.0450
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.0450
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.0450
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.0450
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.0500
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 5627.18, Sell volume: 542.13, Average price: 0.8178, Price range: 0.0450 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.0550
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.0550
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.0600
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.0600
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.0600
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.0600
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.0600
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.0600
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.0550
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0550
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.0550
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.0550
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.0550
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.0550
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.0550
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.0550
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 1044.68, Sell volume: 30.00, Average price: 0.7009, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.0650
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 390.19, Sell volume: 23.12, Average price: 0.2460, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.0700
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.0700
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.0700
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.0700
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0700
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.0700
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.0650
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.0650
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.0650
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.0700
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.0650
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.0650
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 406.52, Sell volume: 551.47, Average price: 0.2825, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.0750
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.0750
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.0700
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.0700
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 264.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9327, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9382
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0700
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.0700
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.0700
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.0700
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0700
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.0700
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0700
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.0700
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0700
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.0700
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.0700
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.0700
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0650
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.0700
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 284, Buy volume: 28621.27, Sell volume: 1987.78, Average price: 0.8876, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 21:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 0.04, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.63, Average price: 0.0600, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.0600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.0650
2025-03-05 19:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 284, Buy volume: 28621.27, Sell volume: 1987.78, Average price: 0.8876, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 03:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 284, Buy volume: 28621.27, Sell volume: 1987.78, Average price: 0.8876, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524060
Question: Is there between 140000000 and 10000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 30609.047836
Price History:
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.0650
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 12:00: 0.0650
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 196, Buy volume: 20516.73, Sell volume: 838.39, Average price: 0.9466, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.4950
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.5050
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.4700
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.5300
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.4450
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.5550
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.4000
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.6000
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.4000
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.6000
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.4200
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.5800
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.4200
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.5800
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.4000
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.6000
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.3400
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.6600
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.3500
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.6500
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.3400
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.6600
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.3450
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.6550
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.3450
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.6550
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.3450
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.6550
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.3450
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.6550
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.3350
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.6650
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.6700
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.6800
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.6800
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.6800
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.3150
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.6850
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.3050
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.6950
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 3213.37, Sell volume: 137.83, Average price: 0.6022, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.3600
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.6400
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.3600
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.6400
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.3600
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.6400
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.3350
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.6650
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.3150
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.6850
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.3150
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.6850
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.3150
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.6850
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.3100
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.6900
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.3000
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.7000
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.2650
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.2650
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.7350
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.2750
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.7250
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.2700
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.7300
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.2700
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.7300
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.2700
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.7300
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.2900
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.7100
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.3000
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.7000
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.2950
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.7050
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.2700
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.7300
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.2650
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.7350
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.2650
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.7350
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.2650
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.7350
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.2600
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.7400
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.2600
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.7400
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.2600
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 845.85, Sell volume: 534.21, Average price: 0.5534, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7542

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.1850
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.8150
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.1850
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.8150
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.1850
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.8150
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.1850
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.8150
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.1750
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.8250
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.1750
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.8250
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.8250
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.8050
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.1800
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.8200
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.1800
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.8200
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.1900
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.8100
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.2100
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.7900
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.8050
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.1850
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.8150
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.8000
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.1900
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.8100
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.2050
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 190.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2100, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.2100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.8050
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.2150
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.7850
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.8000
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.1950
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.8050
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.8150
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.1800
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.8200
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.1750
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.8250
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.1950
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.8050
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.1850
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.8150
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.1850
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.8150
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.1850
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.8150
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.1850
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.8150
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.1800
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.8200
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.1850
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.8150
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.1950
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.8050
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.8100
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 79.52, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.1967, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.2100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.8050
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.8050
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.8050
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.8050
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.8050
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.8050
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.8050
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.8050
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.8000
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.8050
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.8050
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.8050
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.8050
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.7950
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 100.86, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.7950
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.7950
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.7950
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.7950
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.7950
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.7950
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.7950
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 264.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.8100
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.1850
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.8150
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.1850
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.8150
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.1850
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.8150
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.1850
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.8150
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.1850
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.8150
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.1850
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.8150
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.1950
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.8050
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.1950
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.8050
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.1950
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 359, Buy volume: 36661.15, Sell volume: 10027.80, Average price: 0.8095, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.1850
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.8150
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.1850
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.8150
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.1850
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.8150
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.1850
2025-02-28 14:00: 0.8150
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.1850
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.8150
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.1850
2025-02-28 16:00: 0.8150
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.1850
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.8150
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.1850
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.8150
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.1850
2025-02-28 19:00: 0.8150
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.1900
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.8100
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.1900
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.8100
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.1900
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.8100
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.8050
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.1950
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.8050
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.1950
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.8050
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.1950
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.8050
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.1950
2025-03-01 03:00: 0.8050
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.8050
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.1900
2025-03-01 05:00: 0.8100
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.1900
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.8100
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.8050
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.1900
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.8100
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.1900
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.8100
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.1950
2025-03-01 10:00: 0.8050
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.1950
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 359, Buy volume: 36661.15, Sell volume: 10027.80, Average price: 0.8095, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.1950
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.8050
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.1950
2025-03-01 21:00: 0.8050
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.1950
2025-03-01 22:00: 0.8050
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.1950
2025-03-01 23:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 01:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 03:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 04:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 06:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 08:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.1900
2025-03-02 11:00: 0.8100
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.1900
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.8100
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.1900
2025-03-02 13:00: 0.8100
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 19:00: 0.8050
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.1950
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 764.86, Average price: 0.4885, Price range: 0.1771 - 0.8000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.1850
2025-03-03 05:00: 0.8150
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.1850
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.8150
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.1850
2025-03-03 07:00: 0.8150
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.1850
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.8150
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.1850
2025-03-03 09:00: 0.8150
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.1850
2025-03-03 10:00: 0.8150
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.1850
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.8150
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.1850
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.8150
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.1850
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.8150
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.1850
2025-03-03 14:00: 0.8150
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.1850
2025-03-03 15:00: 0.8150
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.1850
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.8150
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.1850
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.8150
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.1900
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.8100
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.1900
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.8100
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.1900
2025-03-03 20:00: 0.8100
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.1900
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.8100
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.1900
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.8100
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.1900
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.8100
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.1850
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.8150
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.1850
2025-03-04 01:00: 0.8150
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.1850
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.8150
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.1850
2025-03-04 03:00: 0.8150
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.1850
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.8150
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.1850
2025-03-04 05:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 359, Buy volume: 36661.15, Sell volume: 10027.80, Average price: 0.8095, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.1850
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.8150
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.1850
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.8150
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.1850
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.8150
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.1850
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.8150
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.1850
2025-03-04 18:00: 0.8150
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.1850
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.8150
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.1850
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.8150
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.1850
2025-03-04 21:00: 0.8150
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.1850
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.8150
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.1850
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 01:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 11:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 12:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 359, Buy volume: 36661.15, Sell volume: 10027.80, Average price: 0.8095, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 02:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 05:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 13:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 15:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 18:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 20:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 359, Buy volume: 36661.15, Sell volume: 10027.80, Average price: 0.8095, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 08:00: 0.8150
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 09:00: 0.8150
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.8150
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.8150
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.8150
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 13:00: 0.8150
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.8150
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.8150
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.8150
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 17:00: 0.8150
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.8150
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.8150
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.8150
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.8150
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.8150
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 23:00: 0.8150
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.1850
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.8150
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.1850
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.8150
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.1850
2025-03-08 02:00: 0.8150
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.1850
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.8150
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.1850
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.8150
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.1850
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.8150
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.1850
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.8150
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.1850
2025-03-08 07:00: 0.8150
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.1850
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 243, Buy volume: 18810.85, Sell volume: 4579.14, Average price: 0.8806, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.4950
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.4700
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.4450
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.4000
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.4000
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.4200
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.4200
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.4000
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.3400
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.3500
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.3400
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.3450
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.3450
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.3450
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.3450
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.3350
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.3300
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.3150
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.3050
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.3200
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.3150
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.3750
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.3650
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 3213.37, Sell volume: 137.83, Average price: 0.6022, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.3600
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.3600
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.3600
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.3350
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.3150
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.3150
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.3150
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.3100
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.3000
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.2650
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.2650
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.2750
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.2700
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.2700
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.2700
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.2900
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.3000
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.2950
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.2700
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.2650
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.2650
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.2650
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.2600
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.2600
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.2600
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.2600
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.2600
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.2600
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.2600
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 845.85, Sell volume: 534.21, Average price: 0.5534, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7542
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.1850
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.1850
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.1850
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.1850
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.1750
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.1750
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.1750
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.1950
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.2000
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.1800
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.1800
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.1900
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.2100
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.1850
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.2000
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.1900
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.2050
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.1950
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 190.48, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2100, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.2100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.2150
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.1950
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.1800
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.1750
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.1950
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.1850
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.1850
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.1850
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.1850
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.1800
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.1850
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.1950
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.1900
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 79.52, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.1967, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.2100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-24 22:00: 0.1950
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 04:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 06:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 09:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 11:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 13:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 100.86, Average price: 0.4800, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 19:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 23:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 00:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 04:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 05:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 09:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 10:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 12:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.2050
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 19:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 22:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 264.89, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8200, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524058
Question: Is there between 147341858 and 146000000 Troy Ounces of Gold in Fort Knox?
Volume: 46688.948895
Price History:
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 06:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 08:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 10:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 11:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 13:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 15:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.1900
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.1850
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.1850
2025-02-27 20:00: 0.1850
2025-02-27 21:00: 0.1850
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.1850
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.1850
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.1950
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.1950
2025-02-28 02:00: 0.1950
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.1950
2025-02-28 04:00: 0.1950
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.1900
2025-02-28 06:00: 0.1850
2025-02-28 07:00: 0.1850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 359, Buy volume: 36661.15, Sell volume: 10027.80, Average price: 0.8095, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes