Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527793
Question: Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1645702.005711
Price History:
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.1100
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.8950
2025-05-20 17:00: 0.0950
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.9050
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0950
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9050
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.1050
2025-05-23 12:00: 0.8950
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.1050
2025-05-24 15:00: 0.8950
2025-05-25 05:00: 0.1050
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.9000
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.1000
2025-05-26 21:00: 0.9000
2025-05-27 11:00: 0.1000
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9000
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0900
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9100
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.1050
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9000
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.1000
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9000
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.1000
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9000
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0850
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9250
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0600
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9350
2025-06-04 08:00: 0.0600
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295773115.48, Sell volume: 144667076.62, Average price: 0.8911, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527793
Question: Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1645702.005711
Price History:
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0500
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9350
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0500
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9450
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0550
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9500
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0450
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.9500
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.9550
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0450
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.9500
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0500
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.9590
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0445
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9550
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0425
2025-06-15 09:00: 0.9595
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0370
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.9670
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0340
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.9665
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0370
2025-06-18 18:00: 0.9615
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0370
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.9625
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0355
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9640
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0440
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.9575
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295773115.48, Sell volume: 144667076.62, Average price: 0.8911, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527793
Question: Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1645702.005711
Price History:
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0450
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.9565
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.1240
2025-06-24 17:00: 0.9410
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0590
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9515
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0455
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.9545
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0425
2025-06-28 02:00: 0.9575
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0375
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9600
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0400
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.9600
2025-06-30 22:00: 0.0395
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9615
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0625
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9625
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0375
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9590
2025-07-04 07:00: 0.0375
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9585
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0390
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.9505
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0445
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.9555
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0425
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9595
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0425
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295773115.48, Sell volume: 144667076.62, Average price: 0.8911, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527793
Question: Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1645702.005711
Price History:
2025-07-10 06:00: 0.0435
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9605
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0385
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9575
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0435
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9555
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0370
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.9625
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0405
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9575
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0460
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.9555
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0440
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9625
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0410
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9595
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.0405
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.9560
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0380
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.9595
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0535
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.9585
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0405
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.9745
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0550
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.9560
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.0515
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.9380
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.0605
2025-07-26 12:00: 0.9435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295773115.48, Sell volume: 144667076.62, Average price: 0.8911, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527793
Question: Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1645702.005711
Price History:
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.0595
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.9420
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0580
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.9310
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.0690
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.9305
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.0660
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9340
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0655
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.9335
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.0700
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.9305
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0720
2025-08-03 17:00: 0.9280
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.0825
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.9190
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.0860
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9320
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.1360
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.8875
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.0875
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.1335
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0860
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9340
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0645
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.9335
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.0805
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0750
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.1445
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.8860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295773115.48, Sell volume: 144667076.62, Average price: 0.8911, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527793
Question: Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1645702.005711
Price History:
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.0930
2025-08-14 04:00: 0.8945
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.1030
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.8995
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.1065
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.8945
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.8955
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.0995
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9305
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0830
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.0810
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.9295
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.0600
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.9370
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.9465
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.9460
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.9335
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.0515
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.9475
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0510
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9565
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.9580
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.0420
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.0365
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.9630
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0385
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.9630
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9615
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.9600
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295773115.48, Sell volume: 144667076.62, Average price: 0.8911, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527793
Question: Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1645702.005711
Price History:
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.0415
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.0420
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9615
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0375
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9665
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9785
2025-09-03 17:00: 0.9785
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.0210
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9770
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.9760
2025-09-05 23:00: 0.9710
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0185
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9775
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.9995
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.9985
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9965
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0035
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9965
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9950
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.9960
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295773115.48, Sell volume: 144667076.62, Average price: 0.8911, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527793
Question: Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1645702.005711
Price History:
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.9970
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0025
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9970
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0030
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9970
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0025
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9995
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0015
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9980
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.0015
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 295773115.48, Sell volume: 144667076.62, Average price: 0.8911, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 527793
Question: Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
Volume: 1645702.005711
Price History:
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0005
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9995
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9995
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0005
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9990
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0010
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9990
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0015
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9985
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9985
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999997, Buy volume: 295764115.48, Sell volume: 144667076.62, Average price: 0.8911, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.4550
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.4550
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.6500
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.5500
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.4650
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.3650
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.3750
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.3650
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.6250
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.6150
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.6150
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.6200
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.6150
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.5850
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.5900
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.5950
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.5900
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.7350
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.7350
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.2650
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.6750
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.4200
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.3800
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.4200
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.3650
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.6350
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.6350
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.3650
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.3600
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2377.20, Sell volume: 66.00, Average price: 0.4761, Price range: 0.1425 - 0.6500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.3800
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.6300
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.6000
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4050
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.5950
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.5950
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.5950
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.5950
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.5800
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.5800
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.5800
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.5800
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.5800
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.5800
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.5800
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.4200
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.4200
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.4200
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.4150
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.5850
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.5950
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.5850
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.5850
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.5850
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.5950
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.5950
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.5900
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.5950
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.4050
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.4050
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.4050
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.4050
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.4050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 286.81, Sell volume: 335.18, Average price: 0.4614, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.4150
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.5850
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.5850
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.4150
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.6200
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.6200
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.3800
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.6200
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.3800
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.3800
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.6200
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.6200
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.6200
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.3800
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.3800
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.3800
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.6250
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.3650
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.3900
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.3800
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.6100
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.3650
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.6200
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.6250
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.3650
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.3750
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.3850
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.3850
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.3750
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.3900
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.3900
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.3900
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.3900
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.6050
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.3950
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.3900
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.3950
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.3900
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.6050
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.6050
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.3950
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.6050
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.3950
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.3900
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.3900
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.3900
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.3900
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 181.78, Sell volume: 100.10, Average price: 0.4475, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.6400
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.6250
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.6250
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.6300
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.6400
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.6250
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.7000
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.2900
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.3150
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.6750
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.6600
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.6600
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.6400
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.6450
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.3650
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.6400
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.3650
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.6300
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.6300
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.3650
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.3700
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.3700
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.3700
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.3700
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.3650
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.3650
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.6400
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.6400
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 455.80, Sell volume: 363.64, Average price: 0.5613, Price range: 0.3570 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.6550
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.6600
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.3400
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.6600
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.6600
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.3400
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.3400
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.3400
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.3400
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.6600
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.6600
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.6650
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.6600
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.3400
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.3400
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.3300
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.3050
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.6900
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.6850
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.6850
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.3100
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.6850
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 68.29, Sell volume: 64.39, Average price: 0.4200, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.3150
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.3150
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6800
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.2950
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 921.31, Sell volume: 446.76, Average price: 0.4352, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.6650
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.7250
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.2900
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.3300
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7100
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.7100
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.7100
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.2900
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.6750
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.6200
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.6300
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.3600
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.6400
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.3600
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.3600
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.3600
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.3600
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.3650
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.3650
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.6500
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.3700
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.6400
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.3600
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.6400
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.3600
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.3650
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.6350
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.3400
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.3400
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.3100
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.3050
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 860.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4976, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.3300
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.3250
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.3250
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.6750
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.6750
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.6750
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.7200
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.2800
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.2850
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.2850
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.7150
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.7150
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.7200
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.7300
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.2700
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.7300
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.7300
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.7350
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.2650
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.2650
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.7350
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.7400
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.7400
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.7400
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.7400
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.7450
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.7500
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.7450
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.7400
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.7400
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.7400
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 153.48, Sell volume: 42.42, Average price: 0.3237, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.2800
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.2800
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.2800
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.2800
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.7200
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.7200
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.7200
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.2800
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.2800
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.2650
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.2650
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.7350
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.2650
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.2650
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.2650
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.2650
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.2650
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.2650
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.2650
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.2850
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.2800
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.2800
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.2800
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.2800
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.7150
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.7150
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.2850
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.2850
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.2850
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 345.94, Sell volume: 342.46, Average price: 0.4864, Price range: 0.2332 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.2650
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.7050
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.2750
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2800
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.7400
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.2650
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.2600
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.2600
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.2600
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.2600
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.7400
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.7500
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.2400
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.2150
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.7800
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.2200
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.7850
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.7900
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.2350
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.7700
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.2300
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.7700
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.7700
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.2300
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.7700
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.7700
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.2300
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.2250
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.7700
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.7550
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.2350
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.2350
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.7700
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.2150
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.7850
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.7950
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.2050
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.7950
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.7950
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 651.48, Sell volume: 300.04, Average price: 0.4558, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8153

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.7950
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.7950
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.7950
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.7900
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.7900
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.7900
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.7900
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7700
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.7800
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.2150
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.7800
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.7700
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.7700
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.7600
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.7550
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.7300
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.7300
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.7300
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1764.62, Sell volume: 1142.61, Average price: 0.4127, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.7350
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.7350
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.6250
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.5900
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.6150
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.6150
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.6150
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.6350
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.6400
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.7350
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.7200
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.7250
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.7350
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.7300
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.7350
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.7250
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.7050
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.7200
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.7150
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.7300
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.6950
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.6900
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.7050
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.7300
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.7400
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.7500
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.7500
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.7600
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.7700
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.8000
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.7900
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.8000
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.8000
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.8000
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.7700
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.7650
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.7700
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.7650
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 4624.52, Sell volume: 1285.84, Average price: 0.4172, Price range: 0.1981 - 0.8000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.6950
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.7200
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.7150
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.7150
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9850
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9835
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.8850
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9990
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9990
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9990
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 16750.12, Sell volume: 11552.83, Average price: 0.4025, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.4550
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.3500
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.6250
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.3700
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.3750
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.3850
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.6150
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.3800
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.3850
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.5900
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.6150
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.4100
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.7350
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.3000
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.6200
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.4200
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.6400
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.3650
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.6350
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.3600
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 2377.20, Sell volume: 66.00, Average price: 0.4761, Price range: 0.1425 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.3800
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.4000
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.4150
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.5950
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.4100
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.5850
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.5800
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.5800
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.5800
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.5800
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.4200
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.5800
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.4200
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.4200
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.5850
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.4050
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.5850
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.4150
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.5950
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.4050
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.5950
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.5900
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.4150
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.5950
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.4050
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 286.81, Sell volume: 335.18, Average price: 0.4614, Price range: 0.3900 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.4150
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.5850
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.3900
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.3800
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.6200
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.3800
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.6200
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.3800
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.3800
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.3900
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.3800
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.6200
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.3650
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.3650
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.3850
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.6250
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.3850
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.6100
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.6100
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.6100
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.3900
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.3950
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.3950
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.3950
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.3850
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.3950
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.6100
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.3850
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 181.78, Sell volume: 100.10, Average price: 0.4475, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.6400
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.3700
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.6250
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.3750
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.2900
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.3250
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.6550
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.6350
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.6450
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.3550
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.6350
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.3700
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.3700
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.6300
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.3600
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.6350
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 455.80, Sell volume: 363.64, Average price: 0.5613, Price range: 0.3570 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.3550
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.6500
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.6600
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.6600
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.3400
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.6600
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.6600
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.6600
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.3350
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.3400
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.6600
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.3100
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.6850
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.6850
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.6850
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.3000
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.6900
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.3150
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.3150
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.6850
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 68.29, Sell volume: 64.39, Average price: 0.4200, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.6850
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.6800
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.6800
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.3200
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.3200
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6800
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.6800
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.6850
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.3100
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.3050
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.6900
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.3000
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.6500
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25, Buy volume: 921.31, Sell volume: 446.76, Average price: 0.4352, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3300
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.6850
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.7100
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7100
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.2900
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.6650
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.3350
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.6750
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.3450
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.6400
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.3600
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.3600
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.6400
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.3650
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.3700
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.6400
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.3600
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.6400
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.6350
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.3650
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.6350
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.3650
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.6350
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.3400
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.6950
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.3300
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 860.44, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4976, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.3300
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.3250
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.6750
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.3250
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.3200
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.7200
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.2800
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.2850
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.7150
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.7150
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.2850
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.2850
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.7200
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.2700
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.2650
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.2650
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.2600
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.7400
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.7450
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.7450
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.2600
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 153.48, Sell volume: 42.42, Average price: 0.3237, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.2800
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.2800
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.2800
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.7200
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.2800
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.2800
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.2800
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.7200
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.7200
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.7350
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.2650
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.7350
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.2650
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.2650
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.7150
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.2800
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.7200
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.7150
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.7150
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.7350
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 345.94, Sell volume: 342.46, Average price: 0.4864, Price range: 0.2332 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.2650
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.7150
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.7150
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.2800
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.7350
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7400
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.2600
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.2600
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.2500
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.7850
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.2200
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.7900
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.2300
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.7700
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.7700
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.2300
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.2300
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.7700
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.2450
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.2300
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.7850
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.2050
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.7950
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.2050
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.8000
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 651.48, Sell volume: 300.04, Average price: 0.4558, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8153
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.7950
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.7950
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.7900
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.2100
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.7900
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.7750
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2250
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.2100
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.7850
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.7750
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.2250
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.2250
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.7750
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.7650
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.2350
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.7700
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.2300
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.7700
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.2500
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.2500
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.7500
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.2700
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.7350
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1764.62, Sell volume: 1142.61, Average price: 0.4127, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.2650
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.6200
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.3850
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.6150
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.3650
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.6400
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.3050
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.2750
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.7300
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.2700
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.7250
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.2800
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.7050
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.3050
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.7250
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.2600
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.7500
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.2500
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.8000
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.2100
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.8000
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.2150
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.7650
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.2300
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.7300
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 100, Buy volume: 4624.52, Sell volume: 1285.84, Average price: 0.4172, Price range: 0.1981 - 0.8000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587279
Question: Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 47744.87138
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.6950
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.3050
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.7200
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.2850
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9835
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0810
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.0395
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0025
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9980
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 16750.12, Sell volume: 11552.83, Average price: 0.4025, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.3400
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.3400
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.9000
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.9000
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.9000
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.9000
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9050
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9500
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9500
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.9500
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9550
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9550
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.0450
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0450
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9550
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.0450
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.0450
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9550
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.0450
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0400
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0400
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.0400
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0400
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.0350
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.0350
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.0350
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9650
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9650
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.9650
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.9600
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.9600
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.9600
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.9600
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.9600
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9600
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9605
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.9600
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9605
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.0985
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.8800
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.8800
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.8810
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.1055
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.8945
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1055
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.1055
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.8945
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.1055
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.1055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 762.00, Sell volume: 138.82, Average price: 0.5004, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.8945
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.1055
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.8945
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.8995
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.8995
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.1005
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.8995
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0980
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0970
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0960
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.0965
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.0965
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0965
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0910
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0910
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0910
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0910
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0910
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9090
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0910
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9090
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0910
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9090
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.0910
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.0910
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0960
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0955
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0960
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0955
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.0955
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.0955
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.0955
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9050
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.9100
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9100
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9105
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.9080
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.9090
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.9160
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9185
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.9190
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9190
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9185
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.9185
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.0815
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.9195
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0810
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.9190
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.0830
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 39.00, Average price: 0.8810, Price range: 0.8810 - 0.8810

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0770
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.0830
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.9170
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9170
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.0865
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.0860
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.0855
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0855
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.9145
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.9145
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0855
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.0855
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.9145
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.0855
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0855
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.9145
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.0855
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.0855
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.0855
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0855
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.9145
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0910
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.0865
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.0830
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.0815
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.0810
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.0800
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.0800
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0805
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.0805
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.9190
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.0805
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.9195
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.9190
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.9195
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9195
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0810
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9190
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0790
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.0805
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.0805
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.0805
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0805
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.0805
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.9195
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.3663, Price range: 0.0990 - 0.9000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0995
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0995
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0995
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.0995
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.0995
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.0995
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.0800
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9295
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0705
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.9295
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.0705
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9295
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9295
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.0705
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.0710
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0660
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.9320
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0595
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0600
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.0600
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.0600
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0600
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0600
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.0600
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 714.00, Sell volume: 21.00, Average price: 0.5927, Price range: 0.0620 - 0.9600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0815
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.0995
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.9175
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.9060
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.8980
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9020
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.0995
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9160
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0925
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0965
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9035
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.9100
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.9085
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.9100
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0940
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.0940
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.0890
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.9070
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.0960
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0945
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.0930
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9110
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.0890
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.1355
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.1355
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.1355
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.0985
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.1045
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.1285
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.1000
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.1000
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.0990
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.0985
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.0940
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.0990
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.8965
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.1035
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.9005
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0995
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.1005
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.1005
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.9000
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0995
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 431.00, Sell volume: 91.99, Average price: 0.5017, Price range: 0.0850 - 0.9530

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9005
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9005
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.9005
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.1000
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.9000
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.8885
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.1565
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.8775
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9060
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.8990
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.8760
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.8735
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.8795
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.8595
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.1370
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.1260
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.0525
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0520
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.0555
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9445
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0555
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.0555
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.0555
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0555
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.0555
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.1295
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.1315
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.1300
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1060
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8950
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.1165
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.8685
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1310
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.8765
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.8765
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.1235
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.8765
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.8765
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1075
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9365
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9370
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.0640
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.0715
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9410
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.9410
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0580
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 487.99, Sell volume: 151.01, Average price: 0.4932, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9323

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0590
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0595
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0605
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0545
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0575
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0560
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0575
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0575
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9420
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0580
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0580
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.0580
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0575
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.0570
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0575
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0575
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.0575
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0585
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9455
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.0580
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9430
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0570
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0575
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.0575
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9430
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9445
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9455
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9445
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9455
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9440
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0580
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9390
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0580
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0590
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9455
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.0595
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0585
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.0530
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0530
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0530
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0525
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9470
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0525
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0535
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9445
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 210.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0610 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0545
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9460
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0545
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0540
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0565
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9445
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9435
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9440
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9430
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0555
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9435
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9435
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9430
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0565
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0560
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0560
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9460
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0540
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9465
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0530
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0540
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0535
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0530
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9465
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0530
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9470
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9485
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0515
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9495
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0505
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9495
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0505
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0510
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9490
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0510
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0505
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0505
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0505
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0505
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0505
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0505
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0505
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0505
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0505
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0505
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0505
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 117.91, Sell volume: 839.19, Average price: 0.5640, Price range: 0.0469 - 0.9520

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0565
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0545
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9450
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9460
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0540
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0540
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0540
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0550
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9455
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9455
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0535
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9455
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0545
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9455
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0545
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9445
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0555
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0555
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9445
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9440
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0560
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9440
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0560
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0560
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9440
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9440
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0560
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9440
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9440
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0560
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0560
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0560
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0560
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0555
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0565
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9435
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9425
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0565
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0565
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 308.92, Sell volume: 94.63, Average price: 0.6837, Price range: 0.0570 - 0.9530

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0610
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9390
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0610
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.9390
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9385
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0615
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9385
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9395
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9395
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0605
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9395
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9330
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9330
2025-10-16 17:00: 0.9330
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.9375
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0640
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0640
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0625
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0620
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0615
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.0625
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0630
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.0635
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0630
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0620
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0620
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0635
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0630
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0625
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.0630
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0625
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0640
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.0595
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.0630
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0630
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0630
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.0630
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0640
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0630
2025-10-18 23:00: 0.0635
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.0630
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.0640
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.0635
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9355
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 498.08, Sell volume: 363.00, Average price: 0.6979, Price range: 0.0580 - 0.9430

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0630
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.0630
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0630
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.0630
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0630
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.9370
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.0630
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0630
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9370
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0525
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9470
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0550
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9455
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0545
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0545
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9455
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9455
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9455
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9455
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.9455
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9455
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.9455
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9455
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9455
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9455
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9470
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9470
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9495
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9495
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9495
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9495
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9495
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9495
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.9495
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.9495
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.9495
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9495
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9495
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 338.46, Sell volume: 212.65, Average price: 0.6506, Price range: 0.0460 - 0.9540

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9515
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9515
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.9515
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9445
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.8515
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.8320
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.8335
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.8350
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.8350
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.8340
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.8530
2025-10-25 09:00: 0.8565
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.9425
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.8605
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.7955
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.7990
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.8050
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.7975
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.8000
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.7970
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.7985
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.8170
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.7930
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.7795
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.7820
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.7880
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.7885
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.7870
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.7940
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.7935
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.8230
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.8345
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.8245
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.7725
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.7655
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.7400
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.7360
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.7550
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.7435
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.7100
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.7085
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.7205
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.7185
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.7230
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.7230
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.7210
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.7070
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.7310
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.7130
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.6040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 5954.64, Sell volume: 2396.69, Average price: 0.4770, Price range: 0.0460 - 0.9540

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.6670
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.6820
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.7140
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.6835
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.6795
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.6865
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.8175
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.8485
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.7010
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.8945
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9295
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.9270
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.9735
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9410
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.6575
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.8700
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.8620
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9975
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.9985
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 260, Buy volume: 43442.81, Sell volume: 14192.34, Average price: 0.4505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.3400
2025-09-04 07:00: 0.9000
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.1000
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.9050
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.9500
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.9500
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.0450
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.0450
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9550
2025-09-05 11:00: 0.0450
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.9550
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.0400
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9600
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9650
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.9650
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.9650
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.0350
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9600
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.0400
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.9600
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0400
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.8800
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.1200
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.8810
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.1055
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.8945
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.1055
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.1055
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.1055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 762.00, Sell volume: 138.82, Average price: 0.5004, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.8945
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.1055
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.1005
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.8995
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.0980
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.9045
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.0965
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.9035
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.0910
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.0910
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.0910
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9090
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0910
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.9090
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.0960
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9045
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.0955
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9045
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.9045
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.0900
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9105
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.0890
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.9185
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.0810
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9185
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.0815
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.0815
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0810
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.0835
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.0810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 39.00, Average price: 0.8810, Price range: 0.8810 - 0.8810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0770
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.9170
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9135
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.9140
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0855
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.9145
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0855
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0855
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0855
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.9145
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0855
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9145
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0910
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.9170
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9185
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.9200
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0805
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.9195
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9190
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.0810
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9195
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.9190
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9210
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.9210
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9200
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9195
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0805
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.9195
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0805
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.9195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 100.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.3663, Price range: 0.0990 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0995
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.9005
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0995
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.9005
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.0700
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.0705
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.0705
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.9295
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0705
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.9295
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.0680
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.9400
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.0600
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.0600
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.9400
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.0600
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0600
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9400
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.9450
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 714.00, Sell volume: 21.00, Average price: 0.5927, Price range: 0.0620 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.0815
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.0900
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.8940
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.0980
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.9160
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.0985
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.9115
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.0915
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.0940
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9090
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9060
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.9055
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.9110
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.9110
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.1355
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.9015
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.1285
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.9000
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.0895
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.9060
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.8965
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.9005
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.1000
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.8995
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.0995
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.9000
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 431.00, Sell volume: 91.99, Average price: 0.5017, Price range: 0.0850 - 0.9530
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9005
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0995
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.9000
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.1000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.1565
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.1100
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.8970
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.1265
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.8595
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.8685
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0520
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9445
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0555
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9445
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0555
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.8700
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.1315
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.8685
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.1060
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.8835
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.1310
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.8770
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.1235
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.1235
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9365
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9355
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0610
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0590
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0590
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9395
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 487.99, Sell volume: 151.01, Average price: 0.4932, Price range: 0.0330 - 0.9323
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0590
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0575
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9440
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0575
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9415
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0570
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.9425
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0575
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.0580
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.0545
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0575
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9420
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.0570
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9450
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9455
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9420
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0580
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9450
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9425
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.9470
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.0530
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0525
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0530
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0540
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 210.00, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.6493, Price range: 0.0610 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0545
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0545
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9455
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9435
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9435
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9445
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9445
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0565
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0565
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0540
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9460
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9465
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9465
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0535
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0535
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9470
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9485
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0505
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0505
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0510
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0510
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0505
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9495
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0505
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9495
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9495
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9495
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0505
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9480
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 117.91, Sell volume: 839.19, Average price: 0.5640, Price range: 0.0469 - 0.9520
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0565
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0545
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9460
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9460
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9450
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9450
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0545
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9455
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9455
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9455
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9445
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9445
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0560
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0560
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9440
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9440
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9440
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9440
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9440
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0560
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0565
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0560
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9435
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9400
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 308.92, Sell volume: 94.63, Average price: 0.6837, Price range: 0.0570 - 0.9530
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0620
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0610
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0615
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0605
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0605
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0605
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0670
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.9335
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.9360
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.0625
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.0615
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.0625
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.9365
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0620
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9360
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0635
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9370
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0640
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.9425
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0630
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.9370
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0640
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.9370
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0630
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.9365
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0635
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 498.08, Sell volume: 363.00, Average price: 0.6979, Price range: 0.0580 - 0.9430
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.0630
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.9370
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.0630
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.0630
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.0630
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9470
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.0545
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9450
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.0545
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0545
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.9455
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.0545
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9455
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.0545
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.9455
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0530
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9495
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0505
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9495
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0505
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9495
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0505
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.9495
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 338.46, Sell volume: 212.65, Average price: 0.6506, Price range: 0.0460 - 0.9540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.9515
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0485
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.8530
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.1680
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.8350
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.1650
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.8590
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0575
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.7955
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.2005
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.8000
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.2030
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.8170
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.2085
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.7925
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.2115
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.7940
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.2155
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.8275
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.2275
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.7400
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.2605
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.7325
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.2915
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.7185
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.2770
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.7105
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.2690
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.6040
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.3370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 153, Buy volume: 5954.64, Sell volume: 2396.69, Average price: 0.4770, Price range: 0.0460 - 0.9540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 587281
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 73544.67451
Price History:
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.6670
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.3090
2025-10-29 12:00: 0.6820
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.3135
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.8485
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.1110
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.8855
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0265
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.6575
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.4795
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9970
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9970
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0030
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.9975
2025-10-31 09:00: 0.0015
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 16:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.9975
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.9980
2025-11-02 09:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 260, Buy volume: 43442.81, Sell volume: 14192.34, Average price: 0.4505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.5000
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.2600
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.1800
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.1550
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.1250
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.1250
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.1250
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.1250
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.8750
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.8750
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.8750
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.1250
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.1250
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.8700
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.1350
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.1350
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.8650
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.1350
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.1350
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.1350
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.1250
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.1350
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.1350
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.8650
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.1350
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.8650
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.8650
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.1250
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.8700
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.8750
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.1250
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.1250
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.8750
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.8750
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.1050
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.1100
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.1050
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.9000
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 211.29, Sell volume: 90.00, Average price: 0.5131, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.1000
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.1050
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.0550
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.0650
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.9300
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.9250
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0700
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.9350
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.0650
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.0650
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.9100
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.0900
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.9150
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.9100
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.0900
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9050
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0950
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9100
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.8950
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.9000
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.1050
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.9000
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.8900
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9000
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.8950
2025-09-11 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.9000
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.1100
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.8900
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.9000
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.8900
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.8950
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 427.73, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4296, Price range: 0.0778 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9000
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.1050
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.1050
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.1050
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.1050
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.1000
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.1100
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.1050
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.1000
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.1000
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.1000
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.8950
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.1100
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.1000
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.1050
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.1050
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.1050
2025-09-15 10:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.8950
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.1050
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.1050
2025-09-15 22:00: 0.1100
2025-09-16 00:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.8950
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.8950
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.1100
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.1050
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.8900
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.1000
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.1100
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.1100
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.1050
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1484.39, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1320, Price range: 0.1240 - 0.1400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.1500
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.1400
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.1400
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.1400
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.1400
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.1700
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.8250
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.1900
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.2450
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.7850
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.7750
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.2200
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.7800
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.7750
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.2150
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.7800
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.8000
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.2000
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.8000
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.1950
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.7950
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.2000
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.7950
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.2000
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 15:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.2150
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.2150
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.7900
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.2150
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.2100
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.2100
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.2100
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 15:00: 0.7900
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.7850
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.7850
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 419.19, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.5794, Price range: 0.1561 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.2250
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.2250
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.2250
2025-09-22 15:00: 0.2250
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.7750
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.7750
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.2250
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.7750
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.7750
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.7750
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.7750
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.2250
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.7750
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.7750
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.2250
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.2100
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.2100
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.2150
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.7000
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.7200
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.2400
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.2500
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.7500
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.2300
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.7500
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.7600
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.2400
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.7600
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.8000
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.1750
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.8250
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.1600
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.8400
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.8200
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.8000
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.2000
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.8000
2025-09-25 23:00: 0.2000
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.8000
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.2200
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.8000
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.2000
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.2250
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 105.71, Sell volume: 499.28, Average price: 0.4593, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.1450
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.8550
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.1450
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.1900
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.8150
2025-09-27 11:00: 0.8200
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.8200
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.8650
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.8650
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.8650
2025-09-27 21:00: 0.8650
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.1400
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.8550
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.1150
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.8750
2025-09-28 07:00: 0.1600
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.8850
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.1150
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.8800
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.8800
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.1200
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.8600
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.8950
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.1100
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.8900
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.1050
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.1050
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.8950
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.8950
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.1050
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.1100
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.1950
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.2800
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.2650
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.2600
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.2550
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.2300
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.1900
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.1750
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.7850
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 2514.48, Sell volume: 588.36, Average price: 0.3492, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.2100
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.7900
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.2450
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.7500
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.2550
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.2500
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.7500
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.2500
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.7450
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.2550
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.7500
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.7500
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.2500
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.2500
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.2550
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.7350
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.2500
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.2500
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.2500
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.2500
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.2500
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.2500
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.2500
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.2500
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.2750
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.2750
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.2750
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.2750
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.7250
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.7300
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.7300
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.7300
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.7300
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7600
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.2500
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.2500
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.2500
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.7500
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.2500
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.2450
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.2350
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.2750
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.2750
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.2750
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 380.57, Sell volume: 185.65, Average price: 0.4154, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 587283
Question: Will the Democrats 66 win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 58579.296922
Price History:
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.2150
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.7850
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.7850
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.2200
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.7800
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.2200
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.7800
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.2200
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.7800
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.7800
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.7800
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.7800
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.2200
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.2200
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.2200
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.2200
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.7800
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.2200
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.7800
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.7150
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.7250
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.7150
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.7050
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.7000
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.7200
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.7200
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.7050
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.7050
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.6950
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.6900
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.2900
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.6950
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.6900
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.6700
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.3100
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.7200
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.6800
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.6950
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 817.81, Sell volume: 157.44, Average price: 0.4797, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7600

Output: No