Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Outcomes: ["Gaza", "Ukraine"]
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.6400
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.6450
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.6450
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.6550
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.6550
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.6750
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.6750
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.3250
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.3250
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.6800
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.6800
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.3200
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.3200
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.3200
2025-09-08 23:00: 0.6800
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.3200
2025-09-09 03:00: 0.3200
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.3200
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.3250
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.3250
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.3350
2025-09-09 17:00: 0.6600
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.6550
2025-09-09 21:00: 0.6550
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.6550
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.3700
2025-09-10 03:00: 0.6350
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.6350
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.6500
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.6500
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.6450
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.6500
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.6500
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.3550
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.6400
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.6550
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.6550
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.3450
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.6350
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.6350
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.6350
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.3650
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2928.69, Sell volume: 548.20, Average price: 0.4836, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Outcomes: ["Gaza", "Ukraine"]
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.6550
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.6550
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.6550
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.6600
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.3400
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.6600
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.3400
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.3400
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.3350
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.3350
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.3350
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.6650
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.6650
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.3350
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.6600
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.3350
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.3350
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.3350
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.6650
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.6650
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.6650
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.6650
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.6400
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.6300
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 322.00, Sell volume: 309.34, Average price: 0.5487, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Outcomes: ["Gaza", "Ukraine"]
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.6300
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.3650
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.6350
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.6400
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.6400
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.6450
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3600
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.6400
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.6400
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.3600
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.3600
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.6400
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.3600
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.3600
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.3600
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.3600
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.3600
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.3600
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.6450
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.3550
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.3600
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.3600
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.3600
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.6400
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.6400
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.6400
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.6400
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.6400
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.6400
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.6400
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.6400
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.6400
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.3600
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.3600
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.6450
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.6400
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.3550
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.3550
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.3550
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.6450
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 08:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 187.68, Sell volume: 75.76, Average price: 0.5027, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6540

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Outcomes: ["Gaza", "Ukraine"]
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 18:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 12:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.3550
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.6450
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.6450
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.6500
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.6550
2025-09-23 06:00: 0.6550
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.6550
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.6550
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.6550
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.6550
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.6600
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.3400
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.6600
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.6600
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.6600
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.6600
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.6600
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.6600
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.6600
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.6600
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.3400
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.3400
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.3400
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.6600
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.6600
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.6600
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 571.35, Sell volume: 210.89, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Outcomes: ["Gaza", "Ukraine"]
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.6600
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.3400
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.3400
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.3400
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.6600
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 08:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.3350
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.3100
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 12:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.7050
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.7100
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.7150
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.7350
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.7250
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.2700
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2650
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.2100
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.2250
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.7650
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.2150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 3784.70, Sell volume: 1652.54, Average price: 0.6773, Price range: 0.2240 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Outcomes: ["Gaza", "Ukraine"]
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.7750
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.7750
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.8050
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.7950
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.7200
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.7050
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.2650
2025-09-30 22:00: 0.2650
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.2400
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.2200
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7800
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.2350
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.7350
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.7400
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.2750
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.2700
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.2600
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.7200
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.7200
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.7250
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.7250
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.7350
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.2650
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.7250
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.7300
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.7300
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.7300
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.7300
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.7300
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.7300
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.7350
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.7300
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.7300
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.2750
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.7150
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.2900
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.7400
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.7550
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.7900
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.8450
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.8550
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.8350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 9330.69, Sell volume: 2058.20, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Outcomes: ["Gaza", "Ukraine"]
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.8350
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.8350
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.8350
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.8500
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.8500
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.8550
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.8500
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.8750
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.8750
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.8750
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.8750
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.8750
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.8650
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.8100
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.8050
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.8200
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.1600
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.1700
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.1250
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.1300
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.1300
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.1300
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.1300
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.1550
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.8450
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.8150
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.1800
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.8300
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.8000
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.2150
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.7850
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.8000
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.8250
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.8350
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.8350
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 24814.71, Sell volume: 7937.50, Average price: 0.7342, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.4150
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.5600
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.5650
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.5650
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.4350
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.4350
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.4300
2025-08-12 12:00: 0.4250
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.5650
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.4350
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.5650
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.5650
2025-08-13 06:00: 0.4350
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.4350
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.5650
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.4350
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.5650
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.4350
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.5650
2025-08-14 06:00: 0.4350
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.4350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.4300
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.5700
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.4300
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.5700
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.4300
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.5700
2025-08-15 10:00: 0.5700
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.4250
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.4150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87, Buy volume: 5435.07, Sell volume: 1730.43, Average price: 0.4925, Price range: 0.3717 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.4250
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.5750
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.4200
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.5750
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.4250
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.5800
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.4250
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.5800
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.4100
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.5950
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.4250
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.4700
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.4650
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.4650
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.4650
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.5450
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.4550
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.5600
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.5000
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.5950
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.6400
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.3600
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.5750
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.5800
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.3750
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.6250
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.6300
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.3700
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.6350
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 82, Buy volume: 7560.46, Sell volume: 2987.90, Average price: 0.5164, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.6300
2025-08-20 15:00: 0.3550
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.3600
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.3600
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.6400
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.6350
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.3600
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.6400
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.6450
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.6400
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.3500
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.6550
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.3500
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.6650
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.3350
2025-08-22 23:00: 0.6700
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.3300
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.3300
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.6650
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.3400
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.6600
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.3400
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.6550
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.6550
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.6550
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.3400
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 34, Buy volume: 1886.18, Sell volume: 884.96, Average price: 0.5208, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.6600
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.6600
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.6600
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.3400
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.3400
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.3400
2025-08-25 21:00: 0.6550
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.3450
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 06:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.6550
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.3450
2025-08-26 20:00: 0.3450
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.3400
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.3400
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.6600
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.6650
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.6650
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.3350
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.6650
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.3200
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.6850
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.3200
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.6800
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.3250
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 2705.50, Sell volume: 1378.46, Average price: 0.5262, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6799
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.3250
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.6750
2025-08-30 04:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.6750
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.6750
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.6750
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.6700
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.3300
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.6700
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.6750
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 05:00: 0.6750
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.6650
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.6650
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.3350
2025-09-01 19:00: 0.3350
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.3350
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.3350
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.3350
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.6650
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 409.45, Sell volume: 534.63, Average price: 0.4437, Price range: 0.3200 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.6650
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.3350
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.6600
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.3400
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.6600
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.3400
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.6600
2025-09-03 23:00: 0.3400
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.6550
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.6550
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.6550
2025-09-04 17:00: 0.3450
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.6550
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.3450
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.3450
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.6550
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.4150
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.5900
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.4150
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.5950
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.4050
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.6100
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.3900
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.4000
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.3900
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1232.13, Sell volume: 729.69, Average price: 0.4408, Price range: 0.3242 - 0.6696
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-09-07 11:00: 0.6400
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.3550
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.3450
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.6750
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.6650
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.6750
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.3250
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.3200
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.6800
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.3200
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.3200
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.6800
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.6800
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.3200
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.3300
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.6650
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.6550
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.6550
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.6350
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.3650
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.6500
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.6500
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.6500
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.3600
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.6550
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.3450
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.3750
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.3650
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2928.69, Sell volume: 548.20, Average price: 0.4836, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.6550
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.3450
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.6600
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.3400
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.6600
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.6600
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.6650
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.6650
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.6650
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.6650
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.6600
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.3350
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.3350
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.3350
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.3350
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.6650
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.6650
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.3350
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.6650
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.3350
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.6650
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.3600
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.3700
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 322.00, Sell volume: 309.34, Average price: 0.5487, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.3650
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.6350
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.3600
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3600
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.6400
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.3600
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.3600
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.3600
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.6400
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.6400
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.3550
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.3550
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.6400
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.6400
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.3600
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.6400
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.3600
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.6400
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.3600
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.3600
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.6400
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.3550
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.6450
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.6450
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.6450
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.3550
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 187.68, Sell volume: 75.76, Average price: 0.5027, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6540
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.6450
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.3550
2025-09-21 21:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 00:00: 0.3550
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.3550
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.3550
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.3550
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.6450
2025-09-22 21:00: 0.3550
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.3500
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.3450
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.6550
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.3450
2025-09-23 15:00: 0.6550
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.6600
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.6600
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.3400
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.6600
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.3400
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.3400
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.3400
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.6600
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.3400
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.6600
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.3400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 571.35, Sell volume: 210.89, Average price: 0.5360, Price range: 0.3300 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.6600
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.6600
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.3400
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.6600
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 05:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.3400
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.6650
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.3200
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.6950
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.3000
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.3050
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.2950
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.7050
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.2950
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.7100
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.2850
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.7300
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.2750
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.2650
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.2300
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.2050
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.7850
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.2150
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 3784.70, Sell volume: 1652.54, Average price: 0.6773, Price range: 0.2240 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.7750
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.7300
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.2650
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.7600
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.7800
2025-10-01 07:00: 0.2800
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.7300
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.7400
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.7200
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.2750
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.7350
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.7300
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.2700
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.7300
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.2700
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.7250
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.2900
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.7800
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.1550
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.8350
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.1750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 85, Buy volume: 9330.69, Sell volume: 2058.20, Average price: 0.5912, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 573699
Question: Gaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?
Volume: 86201.685614
Price History:
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.8350
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.1650
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.8500
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.1450
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.8750
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.1250
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.8750
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.1350
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.8650
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.1350
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.8650
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.1950
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.1600
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.1650
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.8750
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.8700
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.1550
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.8300
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.1700
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.8250
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.1850
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.8150
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.8200
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.8000
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.2150
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.8000
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.1650
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.8550
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 133, Buy volume: 24814.71, Sell volume: 7937.50, Average price: 0.7342, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.3950
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.9600
2024-12-31 00:00: 0.0450
2024-12-31 06:00: 0.9550
2024-12-31 13:00: 0.0450
2024-12-31 19:00: 0.9500
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.0500
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.9500
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.0450
2025-01-01 21:00: 0.9600
2025-01-02 04:00: 0.0305
2025-01-02 10:00: 0.9700
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.0310
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.9695
2025-01-03 06:00: 0.0300
2025-01-03 12:00: 0.9700
2025-01-03 19:00: 0.0300
2025-01-04 01:00: 0.9690
2025-01-04 08:00: 0.0295
2025-01-04 14:00: 0.9695
2025-01-04 21:00: 0.0295
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.9700
2025-01-05 10:00: 0.0300
2025-01-05 16:00: 0.9700
2025-01-05 23:00: 0.0300
2025-01-06 05:00: 0.9700
2025-01-06 12:00: 0.0295
2025-01-06 18:00: 0.9705
2025-01-07 01:00: 0.0295
2025-01-07 07:00: 0.9705
2025-01-07 14:00: 0.0295
2025-01-07 20:00: 0.9705
2025-01-08 03:00: 0.0295
2025-01-08 09:00: 0.9705
2025-01-08 16:00: 0.0295
2025-01-08 22:00: 0.9705
2025-01-09 05:00: 0.0295
2025-01-09 11:00: 0.9705
2025-01-09 18:00: 0.0135
2025-01-10 00:00: 0.9880
2025-01-10 07:00: 0.0115
2025-01-10 13:00: 0.9880
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0125
2025-01-11 02:00: 0.9875
2025-01-11 09:00: 0.0125
2025-01-11 15:00: 0.9880
2025-01-11 22:00: 0.0120
2025-01-12 04:00: 0.9885
2025-01-12 11:00: 0.0120
2025-01-12 17:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.0120
2025-01-13 07:00: 0.9885
2025-01-13 14:00: 0.0115
2025-01-13 20:00: 0.9880
2025-01-14 03:00: 0.0120
2025-01-14 09:00: 0.9875
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.0125
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.9875
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.0125
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.9875
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.0120
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.9880
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0120
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9865
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0135
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.9870
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0130
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.9860
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0140
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.9860
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0135
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9865
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0135
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9865
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0135
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9865
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0135
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0120
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.9875
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0120
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.9860
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0145
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.9855
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0140
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.9860
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0135
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.9865
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.0140
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.9860
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0140
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9855
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0140
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9845
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.0160
2025-01-25 05:00: 0.9835
2025-01-25 12:00: 0.0160
2025-01-25 18:00: 0.9840
2025-01-26 01:00: 0.0160
2025-01-26 07:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0160
2025-01-26 21:00: 0.9840
2025-01-27 04:00: 0.0160
2025-01-27 10:00: 0.9840
2025-01-27 17:00: 0.0160
2025-01-27 23:00: 0.9840
2025-01-28 06:00: 0.0160
2025-01-28 12:00: 0.9840
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.0160
2025-01-29 01:00: 0.9840
2025-01-29 08:00: 0.0160
2025-01-29 14:00: 0.9855
2025-01-29 21:00: 0.0075
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.9925
2025-01-30 10:00: 0.0075
2025-01-30 16:00: 0.9925
2025-01-30 23:00: 0.0075
2025-01-31 05:00: 0.9925
2025-01-31 12:00: 0.0110
2025-01-31 18:00: 0.9885
2025-02-01 01:00: 0.0115
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9885
2025-02-01 14:00: 0.0135
2025-02-01 20:00: 0.9865
2025-02-02 03:00: 0.0135
2025-02-02 09:00: 0.9885
2025-02-02 16:00: 0.0115
2025-02-02 22:00: 0.9885
2025-02-03 05:00: 0.0085
2025-02-03 11:00: 0.9920
2025-02-03 18:00: 0.0075
2025-02-04 00:00: 0.9935
2025-02-04 07:00: 0.0065
2025-02-04 13:00: 0.9940
2025-02-04 20:00: 0.0055
2025-02-05 02:00: 0.9945
2025-02-05 09:00: 0.0055
2025-02-05 15:00: 0.9945
2025-02-05 22:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 04:00: 0.9930
2025-02-06 11:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 17:00: 0.9930
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0070
2025-02-07 06:00: 0.9930
2025-02-07 13:00: 0.0070
2025-02-07 19:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 02:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 08:00: 0.9930
2025-02-08 15:00: 0.0045
2025-02-08 21:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0050
2025-02-09 11:00: 0.9950
2025-02-09 18:00: 0.0050
2025-02-10 00:00: 0.9950
2025-02-10 07:00: 0.0050
2025-02-10 13:00: 0.9950
2025-02-10 20:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 02:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 15:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 22:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 04:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 11:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.9950
2025-02-13 00:00: 0.0045
2025-02-13 06:00: 0.9955
2025-02-13 13:00: 0.0045
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.9955
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.0045
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.9955
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.0045
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9955
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.0045
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.9785
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.0120
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.9895
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.0135
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.9905
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.0160
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9850
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0145
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.9865
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.0150
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.9870
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.0170
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.9870
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.0135
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.9845
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.0165
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.9830
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.0135
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.9810
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0210
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.9795
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.0215
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.9825
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.0180
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.9795
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.0150
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0200
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.9805
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.0190
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.9810
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.0195
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.9810
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.0200
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.9800
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.0200
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.9805
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.0200
2025-02-25 18:00: 0.9835
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.0195
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.9845
2025-02-26 14:00: 0.0165
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.9835
2025-02-27 03:00: 0.0155
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9835
2025-02-27 16:00: 0.0175
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.9830
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.0160
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9830
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.0160
2025-03-01 00:00: 0.9840
2025-03-01 07:00: 0.0140
2025-03-01 13:00: 0.9890
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.0120
2025-03-02 02:00: 0.9880
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.0120
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.9880
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.0075
2025-03-03 04:00: 0.9915
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 00:00: 0.0080
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.0090
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.9880
2025-03-05 02:00: 0.0135
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.9875
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.0115
2025-03-05 21:00: 0.9875
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0125
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.9885
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.0115
2025-03-06 23:00: 0.9885
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.0130
2025-03-07 12:00: 0.9895
2025-03-07 19:00: 0.0125
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.9890
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0110
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.9920
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.0125
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.9880
2025-03-09 12:00: 0.0110
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.9880
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.0125
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.9875
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0105
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.9900
2025-03-11 03:00: 0.0100
2025-03-11 09:00: 0.9900
2025-03-11 16:00: 0.0105
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9900
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.0120
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.9895
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0110
2025-03-13 00:00: 0.9885
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.0115
2025-03-13 13:00: 0.9900
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.0115
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9880
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.0200
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9800
2025-03-14 22:00: 0.0130
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9840
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.0170
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.9845
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0155
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.9840
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.0160
2025-03-16 19:00: 0.9855
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.0165
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9850
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0135
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.9865
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.0135
2025-03-18 10:00: 0.9870
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.0135
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9880
2025-03-19 06:00: 0.0110
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.9865
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0140
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9855
2025-03-20 08:00: 0.0115
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.9850
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.0130
2025-03-21 03:00: 0.9865
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0150
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.9850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0145
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.9915
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.0095
2025-03-22 19:00: 0.9905
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0095
2025-03-23 08:00: 0.9915
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0090
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.9910
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.0120
2025-03-24 10:00: 0.9875
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.0125
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.9880
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.0125
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.9880
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0060
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9940
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 14:00: 0.9950
2025-03-26 21:00: 0.0050
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9955
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.0195
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9860
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.0125
2025-03-28 05:00: 0.9855
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0140
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.9855
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.0145
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.9870
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.0120
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9830
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.0150
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.9885
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.0130
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9835
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0150
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.9865
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.0165
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.9840
2025-04-01 07:00: 0.0135
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9865
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.0150
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.9835
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0135
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9935
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0065
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-03 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-03 17:00: 0.9925
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.0075
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-04 20:00: 0.9925
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.0075
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.9940
2025-04-05 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9930
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.0065
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.9930
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.0070
2025-04-07 00:00: 0.9930
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0070
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.9930
2025-04-07 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0050
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9950
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.9950
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 17:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.9930
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.9935
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9930
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.0070
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.9920
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0080
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9925
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 05:00: 0.9925
2025-04-16 12:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9925
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.0070
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.9925
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-17 20:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9940
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.0075
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.9925
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0070
2025-04-19 12:00: 0.9955
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9955
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0045
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.9955
2025-04-20 21:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9955
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.0065
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.9950
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0035
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9975
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.9980
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0020
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-10 10:00: 0.0035
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.0035
2025-05-11 05:00: 0.9965
2025-05-11 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-11 18:00: 0.9965
2025-05-12 01:00: 0.0035
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.9965
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-12 20:00: 0.9965
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0030
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.9975
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0025
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 11:00: 0.9975
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 665334, Buy volume: 70941897.75, Sell volume: 127418334.12, Average price: 0.9259, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.9985
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-16 10:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.9985
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-17 05:00: 0.9985
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.0015
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0015
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.9985
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 16:00: 0.0015
2025-05-19 22:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9990
2025-05-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.9985
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0015
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.9985
2025-05-23 11:00: 0.0010
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.9990
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0010
2025-05-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 23:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 06:00: 0.0005
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9995
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 318597, Buy volume: 20903668.09, Sell volume: 14968261.93, Average price: 0.9860, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 103800.00, Sell volume: 3.42, Average price: 0.1028, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 06:00: 0.9995
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 19:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 79470.00, Sell volume: 604.33, Average price: 0.1119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2024-12-30 11:00: 0.3950
2024-12-30 21:00: 0.9550
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0450
2024-12-31 18:00: 0.9500
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.0500
2025-01-01 15:00: 0.9550
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0305
2025-01-02 12:00: 0.9695
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.0305
2025-01-03 09:00: 0.9700
2025-01-03 20:00: 0.0300
2025-01-04 06:00: 0.9705
2025-01-04 17:00: 0.0295
2025-01-05 03:00: 0.9700
2025-01-05 14:00: 0.0300
2025-01-06 00:00: 0.9700
2025-01-06 11:00: 0.0295
2025-01-06 21:00: 0.9705
2025-01-07 08:00: 0.0295
2025-01-07 18:00: 0.9705
2025-01-08 05:00: 0.0295
2025-01-08 15:00: 0.9705
2025-01-09 02:00: 0.0295
2025-01-09 12:00: 0.9705
2025-01-09 23:00: 0.0120
2025-01-10 09:00: 0.9890
2025-01-10 20:00: 0.0125
2025-01-11 06:00: 0.9875
2025-01-11 17:00: 0.0120
2025-01-12 03:00: 0.9880
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-01-13 01:00: 0.0120
2025-01-13 11:00: 0.9880
2025-01-13 22:00: 0.0115
2025-01-14 08:00: 0.9875
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.0120
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.9875
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.0120
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.9875
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0135
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.9865
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0135
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.9865
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.0135
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9865
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0135
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.9865
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0135
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.9880
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0115
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9870
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.0145
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.9865
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0140
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.9860
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.0140
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9865
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0140
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9840
2025-01-25 07:00: 0.0160
2025-01-25 17:00: 0.9840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-01-26 15:00: 0.0160
2025-01-27 01:00: 0.9840
2025-01-27 12:00: 0.0160
2025-01-27 22:00: 0.9840
2025-01-28 09:00: 0.0160
2025-01-28 19:00: 0.9840
2025-01-29 06:00: 0.0160
2025-01-29 16:00: 0.9925
2025-01-30 03:00: 0.0075
2025-01-30 13:00: 0.9925
2025-01-31 00:00: 0.0075
2025-01-31 10:00: 0.9925
2025-01-31 21:00: 0.0115
2025-02-01 07:00: 0.9885
2025-02-01 18:00: 0.0135
2025-02-02 04:00: 0.9865
2025-02-02 15:00: 0.0115
2025-02-03 01:00: 0.9925
2025-02-03 12:00: 0.0075
2025-02-03 22:00: 0.9930
2025-02-04 09:00: 0.0065
2025-02-04 19:00: 0.9945
2025-02-05 06:00: 0.0055
2025-02-05 16:00: 0.9945
2025-02-06 03:00: 0.0070
2025-02-06 13:00: 0.9930
2025-02-07 00:00: 0.0070
2025-02-07 10:00: 0.9930
2025-02-07 21:00: 0.0070
2025-02-08 07:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-02-09 05:00: 0.0050
2025-02-09 15:00: 0.9950
2025-02-10 02:00: 0.0050
2025-02-10 12:00: 0.9950
2025-02-10 23:00: 0.0050
2025-02-11 09:00: 0.9950
2025-02-11 20:00: 0.0050
2025-02-12 06:00: 0.9950
2025-02-12 17:00: 0.0050
2025-02-13 03:00: 0.9955
2025-02-13 14:00: 0.0045
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.9955
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.0045
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.9955
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.0085
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.9890
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.0135
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.9850
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0150
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.9850
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.0145
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.9855
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.0150
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.9850
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.0160
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.9840
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.0210
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.9810
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.0215
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.0200
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.9805
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.0190
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.9810
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.0200
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.9800
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.0195
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.9800
2025-02-26 07:00: 0.0155
2025-02-26 17:00: 0.9865
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.0115
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9830
2025-02-28 01:00: 0.0180
2025-02-28 11:00: 0.9830
2025-02-28 22:00: 0.0160
2025-03-01 08:00: 0.9860
2025-03-01 19:00: 0.0120
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.9880
2025-03-02 16:00: 0.0120
2025-03-03 02:00: 0.9910
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.0080
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.9920
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.0070
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.9865
2025-03-05 07:00: 0.0120
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.9875
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.0125
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.9895
2025-03-07 01:00: 0.0115
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.9885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.0110
2025-03-08 19:00: 0.9880
2025-03-09 07:00: 0.0120
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.9875
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.0115
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.9895
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.0100
2025-03-11 11:00: 0.9905
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.0100
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9895
2025-03-12 19:00: 0.0120
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.9895
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.0100
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.9880
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.0160
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.9855
2025-03-15 10:00: 0.0165
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.9835
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.0165
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9855
2025-03-17 04:00: 0.0140
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9855
2025-03-18 01:00: 0.0135
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.9890
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.0115
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.9865
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0140
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.9865
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0115
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0145
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.9910
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0095
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.9910
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0090
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9880
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.0120
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9875
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0120
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.9940
2025-03-26 09:00: 0.0050
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9950
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0120
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.9860
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0135
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.9840
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.0180
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9845
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.0140
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.9855
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0155
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.9855
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0130
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9870
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.0160
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9845
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0135
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9935
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0075
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.9925
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.0065
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.9930
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.0070
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9930
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.9930
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9950
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9950
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9950
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0050
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9950
2025-04-11 14:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.0050
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.9940
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0065
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.9935
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-14 15:00: 0.9925
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.0075
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9925
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.0075
2025-04-16 09:00: 0.9925
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.0075
2025-04-17 06:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.0060
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9925
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.0075
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9945
2025-04-19 22:00: 0.0045
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.9955
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.0045
2025-04-21 05:00: 0.9935
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.0065
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9935
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0050
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9965
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9975
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9975
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0025
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0025
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9975
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0025
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9975
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0025
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9975
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9975
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0025
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9975
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0025
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 93450109.15, Sell volume: 142616833.94, Average price: 0.9462, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9975
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9975
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9975
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0025
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9975
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9975
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9975
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.9975
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0020
2025-05-10 01:00: 0.9980
2025-05-10 12:00: 0.0035
2025-05-10 22:00: 0.9965
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0035
2025-05-11 19:00: 0.9965
2025-05-12 06:00: 0.0035
2025-05-12 16:00: 0.9965
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0030
2025-05-13 13:00: 0.9975
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.0025
2025-05-14 10:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 665334, Buy volume: 70941897.75, Sell volume: 127418334.12, Average price: 0.9259, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-05-15 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9985
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0015
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9985
2025-05-17 23:00: 0.0015
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9985
2025-05-18 20:00: 0.0015
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9985
2025-05-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9990
2025-05-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-05-22 08:00: 0.0015
2025-05-22 18:00: 0.9985
2025-05-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-05-23 15:00: 0.9990
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0010
2025-05-24 12:00: 0.9995
2025-05-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.9995
2025-05-25 20:00: 0.0005
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.9995
2025-05-26 17:00: 0.0005
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.9995
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0005
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 318597, Buy volume: 20903668.09, Sell volume: 14968261.93, Average price: 0.9860, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0005
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.9995
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.0005
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9995
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0005
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 103800.00, Sell volume: 3.42, Average price: 0.1028, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 516796
Question: Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Volume: 1230926.498363
Price History:
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0005
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0005
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.9995
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.9995
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 79470.00, Sell volume: 604.33, Average price: 0.1119, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.2500
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.7850
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.1800
2025-02-24 21:00: 0.8300
2025-02-25 00:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 02:00: 0.7950
2025-02-25 05:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 07:00: 0.8050
2025-02-25 10:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.8050
2025-02-25 15:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.8000
2025-02-25 20:00: 0.2050
2025-02-25 22:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 01:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 03:00: 0.8050
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.1750
2025-02-26 08:00: 0.8300
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.1650
2025-02-26 13:00: 0.8350
2025-02-26 16:00: 0.1500
2025-02-26 18:00: 0.8550
2025-02-26 21:00: 0.1200
2025-02-26 23:00: 0.8800
2025-02-27 02:00: 0.0650
2025-02-27 04:00: 0.9200
2025-02-27 07:00: 0.0600
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9100
2025-02-27 12:00: 0.0900
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.9100
2025-02-27 17:00: 0.1000
2025-02-27 19:00: 0.9050
2025-02-27 22:00: 0.0900
2025-02-28 00:00: 0.9150
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.0900
2025-02-28 05:00: 0.9100
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 10:00: 0.9150
2025-02-28 13:00: 0.1000
2025-02-28 15:00: 0.8550
2025-02-28 18:00: 0.1350
2025-02-28 20:00: 0.8500
2025-02-28 23:00: 0.1350
2025-03-01 01:00: 0.7600
2025-03-01 04:00: 0.1900
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.8200
2025-03-01 09:00: 0.2650
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.7850
2025-03-01 14:00: 0.2050
2025-03-01 16:00: 0.7950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.2250
2025-03-02 07:00: 0.7750
2025-03-02 10:00: 0.2300
2025-03-02 12:00: 0.7700
2025-03-02 15:00: 0.2350
2025-03-02 17:00: 0.7700
2025-03-02 20:00: 0.2200
2025-03-02 22:00: 0.7850
2025-03-03 01:00: 0.2250
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.7950
2025-03-03 06:00: 0.2250
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.7950
2025-03-03 11:00: 0.2000
2025-03-03 13:00: 0.8100
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.2200
2025-03-03 18:00: 0.8050
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.1750
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.8250
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.1750
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.8250
2025-03-04 07:00: 0.1800
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.8200
2025-03-04 12:00: 0.1800
2025-03-04 14:00: 0.8200
2025-03-04 17:00: 0.1800
2025-03-04 19:00: 0.8200
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 08:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 15:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 01:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 06:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 09:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 11:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 19:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.8200
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.1750
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.8200
2025-03-07 05:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.8100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.8150
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.1800
2025-03-08 03:00: 0.8200
2025-03-08 06:00: 0.1800
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.8200
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.1800
2025-03-08 13:00: 0.8100
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.1850
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.8150
2025-03-08 21:00: 0.1500
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.8550
2025-03-09 03:00: 0.1400
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.8550
2025-03-09 08:00: 0.1400
2025-03-09 10:00: 0.8550
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.1450
2025-03-09 15:00: 0.8700
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.1100
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.8900
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.1100
2025-03-10 01:00: 0.8900
2025-03-10 04:00: 0.1100
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.8900
2025-03-10 09:00: 0.1100
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.9000
2025-03-10 14:00: 0.0850
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9200
2025-03-10 19:00: 0.0700
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.9400
2025-03-11 00:00: 0.0500
2025-03-11 02:00: 0.9705
2025-03-11 05:00: 0.0295
2025-03-11 07:00: 0.9705
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.0255
2025-03-11 12:00: 0.9740
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0295
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.9705
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.0255
2025-03-11 22:00: 0.9735
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.0235
2025-03-12 03:00: 0.9755
2025-03-12 06:00: 0.0270
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.9730
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.0255
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9730
2025-03-12 16:00: 0.0280
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.9740
2025-03-12 21:00: 0.0295
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0295
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.9680
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.0310
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.9695
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.0310
2025-03-14 00:00: 0.9685
2025-03-14 03:00: 0.0305
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.9690
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.0300
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9700
2025-03-14 13:00: 0.0300
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.9690
2025-03-14 18:00: 0.0400
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.9570
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.0415
2025-03-15 01:00: 0.9575
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.0460
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.9545
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0440
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.9585
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.0395
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.9595
2025-03-15 19:00: 0.0415
2025-03-15 21:00: 0.9650
2025-03-16 00:00: 0.0365
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.9635
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.0375
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9635
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.0370
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.9635
2025-03-16 15:00: 0.0385
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.9610
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.0395
2025-03-16 22:00: 0.9600
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.0425
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.9560
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0435
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.9575
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.0435
2025-03-17 13:00: 0.9580
2025-03-17 16:00: 0.0415
2025-03-17 18:00: 0.9575
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.0440
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.9565
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.0425
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9560
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.0435
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.9550
2025-03-18 12:00: 0.0445
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.9560
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0450
2025-03-19 05:00: 0.9550
2025-03-19 08:00: 0.0450
2025-03-19 10:00: 0.9545
2025-03-19 13:00: 0.0470
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9525
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.0485
2025-03-19 20:00: 0.9510
2025-03-19 23:00: 0.0460
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9540
2025-03-20 04:00: 0.0455
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.9560
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.0455
2025-03-20 11:00: 0.9525
2025-03-20 14:00: 0.0460
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.9540
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.0435
2025-03-20 21:00: 0.9530
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0475
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9550
2025-03-21 05:00: 0.0445
2025-03-21 07:00: 0.9545
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.0495
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.9505
2025-03-21 15:00: 0.0490
2025-03-21 17:00: 0.9545
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.0480
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9520
2025-03-22 01:00: 0.0465
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.9525
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.0480
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.9520
2025-03-22 11:00: 0.0480
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9525
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.0475
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.9525
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0465
2025-03-22 23:00: 0.9525
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.0475
2025-03-23 04:00: 0.9550
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.0440
2025-03-23 09:00: 0.9550
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0460
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.9535
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.0455
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9550
2025-03-23 22:00: 0.0450
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.9540
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.0455
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0440
2025-03-24 20:00: 0.9570
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.0430
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.9545
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.0445
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.9545
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.0440
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.9550
2025-03-25 14:00: 0.0440
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9545
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.0455
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.9560
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0440
2025-03-26 02:00: 0.9550
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.0445
2025-03-26 07:00: 0.9560
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.0445
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.9560
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0450
2025-03-26 17:00: 0.9545
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.0450
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.9560
2025-03-27 01:00: 0.0445
2025-03-27 03:00: 0.9545
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.0455
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.9555
2025-03-27 11:00: 0.0430
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9550
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.0450
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9565
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.0450
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.9550
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.0445
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.9550
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.0450
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.9550
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0455
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.9550
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.0455
2025-03-28 19:00: 0.9555
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.0445
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.9550
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.0450
2025-03-29 05:00: 0.9555
2025-03-29 08:00: 0.0430
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9550
2025-03-29 13:00: 0.0450
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.9555
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.0455
2025-03-29 20:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0435
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.9565
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.0430
2025-03-30 16:00: 0.9565
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.0440
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.9570
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.0460
2025-03-31 02:00: 0.9545
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.0440
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9550
2025-03-31 10:00: 0.0440
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.9545
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.0440
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.9545
2025-03-31 20:00: 0.0430
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.9560
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.0430
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.9570
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0430
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.9565
2025-04-01 11:00: 0.0440
2025-04-01 13:00: 0.9570
2025-04-01 16:00: 0.0430
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9560
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.0430
2025-04-01 23:00: 0.9560
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0455
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9570
2025-04-02 07:00: 0.0440
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9565
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.0445
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.9545
2025-04-02 17:00: 0.0440
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.9560
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.0460
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.9545
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0435
2025-04-03 05:00: 0.9565
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.0435
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.9565
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0430
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.9570
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.0435
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.9565
2025-04-03 23:00: 0.0430
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9565
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.0430
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.9570
2025-04-04 09:00: 0.0435
2025-04-04 11:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0435
2025-04-05 02:00: 0.9570
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.0435
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.9555
2025-04-05 10:00: 0.0435
2025-04-05 12:00: 0.9570
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.0435
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.9560
2025-04-05 20:00: 0.0445
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9535
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.0460
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.9540
2025-04-06 06:00: 0.0450
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.9535
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.0460
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.9540
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.0460
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9540
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0460
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.9540
2025-04-07 02:00: 0.0455
2025-04-07 04:00: 0.9540
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0460
2025-04-07 09:00: 0.9540
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.0450
2025-04-07 14:00: 0.9535
2025-04-07 17:00: 0.0460
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9535
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.0460
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.9540
2025-04-08 03:00: 0.0455
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.9540
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.0460
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.9545
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.0455
2025-04-08 15:00: 0.9545
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0465
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.9530
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0465
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.9535
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.0475
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.9525
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.0480
2025-04-09 11:00: 0.9545
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.0450
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9520
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.0480
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.9535
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.0480
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.9535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0465
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.9540
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.0465
2025-04-10 22:00: 0.9520
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0475
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9520
2025-04-11 06:00: 0.0475
2025-04-11 08:00: 0.9550
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.0470
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9545
2025-04-11 16:00: 0.0465
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.9525
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.0475
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.9515
2025-04-12 02:00: 0.0485
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9525
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.0475
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.9525
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0455
2025-04-12 14:00: 0.9540
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.0470
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9515
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0480
2025-04-13 00:00: 0.9520
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.0465
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.9525
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.0470
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9515
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.0485
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.9520
2025-04-13 18:00: 0.0480
2025-04-13 20:00: 0.9525
2025-04-13 23:00: 0.0485
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9515
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.0480
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.9530
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0475
2025-04-14 11:00: 0.9535
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.0485
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.9520
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.0460
2025-04-14 21:00: 0.9520
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.0480
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9555
2025-04-15 05:00: 0.0465
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9535
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.0460
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.9535
2025-04-15 15:00: 0.0460
2025-04-15 17:00: 0.9540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0465
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.9540
2025-04-16 11:00: 0.0460
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9540
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.0460
2025-04-16 18:00: 0.9540
2025-04-16 21:00: 0.0460
2025-04-16 23:00: 0.9545
2025-04-17 02:00: 0.0460
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9540
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.0460
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.9540
2025-04-17 12:00: 0.0465
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.9540
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.0460
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9545
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.0465
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.9545
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0455
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.9540
2025-04-18 08:00: 0.0455
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.9535
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.0465
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.9540
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0460
2025-04-18 20:00: 0.9540
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.0465
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9540
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.0465
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.9545
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.0465
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.9525
2025-04-19 14:00: 0.0460
2025-04-19 16:00: 0.9555
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.0460
2025-04-19 21:00: 0.9540
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0465
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.9540
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.0455
2025-04-20 07:00: 0.9545
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.0455
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9535
2025-04-20 15:00: 0.0460
2025-04-20 17:00: 0.9540
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0460
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9535
2025-04-21 01:00: 0.0465
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.9540
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.2785
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.6420
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.2405
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.7850
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.2380
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.7665
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.2305
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.7515
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.2280
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.7580
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.2470
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.7410
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.2535
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.7490
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.2460
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.7525
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.1930
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.8075
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.2115
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.7960
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.2080
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.7865
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.2095
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.7875
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.2295
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.7895
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.2215
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.7735
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.2310
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.7630
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.2275
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.7700
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.2225
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.7695
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.2385
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.7650
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.2445
2025-04-25 12:00: 0.7635
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.2230
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.7935
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.2145
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.7915
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2145
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7905
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.2070
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.8010
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.1905
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.8075
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.2010
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.8035
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1950
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.8010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2075
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.7895
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2065
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7995
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.2040
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.8050
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.1985
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.8035
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1985
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7975
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1965
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.8060
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1980
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.7980
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.2045
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8005
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.2025
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.7910
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.8060
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.1930
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.8075
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.1775
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.8225
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.1750
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.8125
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.1935
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7960
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2040
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.7950
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2090
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7865
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2205
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.7845
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2230
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7795
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1940
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.8080
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.1875
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.8055
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.1850
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.8075
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.2060
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.7910
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.1915
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.8135
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.1870
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.8080
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.1975
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.8115
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1825
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.8085
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.1865
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.8135
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.1785
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.8215
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.1750
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.8190
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.1705
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.8325
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.1690
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.8100
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.1900
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.8150
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.1770
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.8160
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.1880
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.8115
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1885
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.8125
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.1870
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.8085
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.1940
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.8110
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.1675
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.8220
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.1880
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.8095
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.1925
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.8040
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.1960
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.8095
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.2000
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.7840
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.2285
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.7735
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2190
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.7735
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.2255
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.7845
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.1890
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.8120
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.1950
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.8035
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.2020
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.8025
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.1985
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.7945
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.2090
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.7865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999992, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36553250.64, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.2500
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.8200
2025-02-24 23:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 03:00: 0.8050
2025-02-25 08:00: 0.1950
2025-02-25 12:00: 0.8050
2025-02-25 17:00: 0.2000
2025-02-25 21:00: 0.8000
2025-02-26 02:00: 0.2000
2025-02-26 06:00: 0.8250
2025-02-26 11:00: 0.1650
2025-02-26 15:00: 0.8500
2025-02-26 20:00: 0.1250
2025-02-27 00:00: 0.8800
2025-02-27 05:00: 0.0500
2025-02-27 09:00: 0.9100
2025-02-27 14:00: 0.0900
2025-02-27 18:00: 0.9050
2025-02-27 23:00: 0.0850
2025-02-28 03:00: 0.9100
2025-02-28 08:00: 0.0800
2025-02-28 12:00: 0.9000
2025-02-28 17:00: 0.1400
2025-02-28 21:00: 0.8500
2025-03-01 02:00: 0.2400
2025-03-01 06:00: 0.8200
2025-03-01 11:00: 0.2150
2025-03-01 15:00: 0.7950
2025-03-01 20:00: 0.2250
2025-03-02 00:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-03-02 05:00: 0.2250
2025-03-02 09:00: 0.7700
2025-03-02 14:00: 0.2300
2025-03-02 18:00: 0.7750
2025-03-02 23:00: 0.2200
2025-03-03 03:00: 0.7950
2025-03-03 08:00: 0.2050
2025-03-03 12:00: 0.8100
2025-03-03 17:00: 0.2200
2025-03-03 21:00: 0.8250
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.1750
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.8200
2025-03-04 11:00: 0.1750
2025-03-04 15:00: 0.8200
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 00:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 05:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 09:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 14:00: 0.1850
2025-03-05 18:00: 0.8150
2025-03-05 23:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 08:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 12:00: 0.8150
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.1850
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.8200
2025-03-07 02:00: 0.1800
2025-03-07 06:00: 0.8150
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.1850
2025-03-07 15:00: 0.8200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-03-07 20:00: 0.1850
2025-03-08 00:00: 0.8150
2025-03-08 05:00: 0.1800
2025-03-08 09:00: 0.8200
2025-03-08 14:00: 0.1850
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.8150
2025-03-08 23:00: 0.1450
2025-03-09 04:00: 0.8550
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.1450
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.8550
2025-03-09 18:00: 0.1100
2025-03-09 22:00: 0.8900
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.0950
2025-03-10 07:00: 0.8950
2025-03-10 12:00: 0.0550
2025-03-10 16:00: 0.9200
2025-03-10 21:00: 0.0600
2025-03-11 01:00: 0.9650
2025-03-11 06:00: 0.0295
2025-03-11 10:00: 0.9745
2025-03-11 15:00: 0.0295
2025-03-11 19:00: 0.9740
2025-03-12 00:00: 0.0250
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.9730
2025-03-12 09:00: 0.0270
2025-03-12 13:00: 0.9730
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.0260
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.9705
2025-03-13 03:00: 0.0300
2025-03-13 07:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.0295
2025-03-13 16:00: 0.9695
2025-03-13 21:00: 0.0325
2025-03-14 01:00: 0.9680
2025-03-14 06:00: 0.0300
2025-03-14 10:00: 0.9700
2025-03-14 15:00: 0.0310
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.9590
2025-03-15 00:00: 0.0395
2025-03-15 04:00: 0.9540
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.0440
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.9585
2025-03-15 18:00: 0.0415
2025-03-15 22:00: 0.9650
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.0370
2025-03-16 07:00: 0.9635
2025-03-16 12:00: 0.0365
2025-03-16 16:00: 0.9620
2025-03-16 21:00: 0.0405
2025-03-17 01:00: 0.9575
2025-03-17 06:00: 0.0435
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.9575
2025-03-17 15:00: 0.0425
2025-03-17 19:00: 0.9570
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.0435
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.9560
2025-03-18 09:00: 0.0450
2025-03-18 13:00: 0.9560
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0440
2025-03-18 22:00: 0.9565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-03-19 03:00: 0.0450
2025-03-19 07:00: 0.9550
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.0460
2025-03-19 16:00: 0.9520
2025-03-19 21:00: 0.0475
2025-03-20 01:00: 0.9540
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.0440
2025-03-20 10:00: 0.9545
2025-03-20 15:00: 0.0460
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9565
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0475
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.9540
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.0480
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.9505
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0450
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.9520
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0475
2025-03-22 07:00: 0.9520
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0480
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.9525
2025-03-22 21:00: 0.0465
2025-03-23 01:00: 0.9520
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.0450
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9550
2025-03-23 15:00: 0.0470
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.9550
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.0460
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.9550
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.0465
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0440
2025-03-24 22:00: 0.9570
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.0455
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.9550
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0440
2025-03-25 16:00: 0.9545
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.0440
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.9550
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0445
2025-03-26 10:00: 0.9555
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.0450
2025-03-26 19:00: 0.9555
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.0450
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.9550
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.0455
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.9550
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.0435
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.9550
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.0455
2025-03-28 07:00: 0.9550
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.0455
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.9550
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.0450
2025-03-29 01:00: 0.9550
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.0440
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.9550
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.0445
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.9540
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.0450
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.9545
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.0435
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.9555
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.0430
2025-03-30 22:00: 0.9560
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.0455
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.9550
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.0455
2025-03-31 16:00: 0.9560
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.0430
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.9570
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.0430
2025-04-01 10:00: 0.9565
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.0430
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.9570
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.0440
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.9570
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0435
2025-04-02 13:00: 0.9555
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.0435
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.9540
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.0435
2025-04-03 07:00: 0.9560
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.0435
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.9570
2025-04-03 21:00: 0.0435
2025-04-04 01:00: 0.9565
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.0430
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9570
2025-04-04 15:00: 0.0435
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.9570
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.0435
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.9570
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.0425
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.9575
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.0440
2025-04-05 22:00: 0.9535
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.0460
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.9535
2025-04-06 12:00: 0.0455
2025-04-06 16:00: 0.9540
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.0460
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9545
2025-04-07 06:00: 0.0455
2025-04-07 10:00: 0.9555
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.0460
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.9535
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.0460
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.9545
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0455
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.9545
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.0465
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.9525
2025-04-09 03:00: 0.0470
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.9535
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.0460
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9520
2025-04-09 21:00: 0.0465
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.9540
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.0470
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.9535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-04-10 15:00: 0.0465
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.9520
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0480
2025-04-11 04:00: 0.9535
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.0460
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.9545
2025-04-11 18:00: 0.0475
2025-04-11 22:00: 0.9520
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.0485
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.9525
2025-04-12 12:00: 0.0455
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9525
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.0475
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9540
2025-04-13 06:00: 0.0485
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9515
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.0480
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9520
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.0470
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.9520
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0475
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.9535
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.0485
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9525
2025-04-15 03:00: 0.0460
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.9535
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.0465
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9535
2025-04-15 21:00: 0.0460
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.0465
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9545
2025-04-16 15:00: 0.0460
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9540
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.0460
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.9540
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.0460
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9540
2025-04-17 18:00: 0.0460
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.9535
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.0455
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.9545
2025-04-18 12:00: 0.0460
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9535
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.0460
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.9540
2025-04-19 06:00: 0.0455
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9525
2025-04-19 15:00: 0.0460
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9540
2025-04-20 00:00: 0.0465
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.9535
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0455
2025-04-20 13:00: 0.9545
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.0460
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.9535
2025-04-21 03:00: 0.0460
2025-04-21 07:00: 0.5005
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.3005
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.2405
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.7695
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.2300
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.7655
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.2470
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.7410
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.2510
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.7520
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.2195
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.7885
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.2080
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.7950
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.2245
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.7990
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.2320
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.7630
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.2300
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.7785
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.2290
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.7555
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.2230
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.7860
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.2145
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.7940
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.1920
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.8075
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.1965
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.8020
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1955
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2075
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.7940
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.2010
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.7905
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.1970
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7975
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.1940
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.7990
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.2000
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.7975
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.2050
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.8150
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.1765
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.8275
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.1930
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7960
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2050
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.7870
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2160
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.7770
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.1940
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.8095
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.1920
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.7995
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.2095
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.8135
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.1920
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.8080
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.1860
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.8165
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36558437.43, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 524995
Question: Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Volume: 2273961.959719
Price History:
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.1825
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.8100
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.1840
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.8220
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.1795
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.8325
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.1900
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.8155
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.1855
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.8120
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.1885
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.8120
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.1900
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.8305
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.1775
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.8095
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.1960
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.8090
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.1985
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.7715
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.2190
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.7755
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.1915
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.8175
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.2040
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.8025
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.2055
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.7880
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.2325
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.7885
Trade Summary: Total trades: 999992, Buy volume: 57191417.33, Sell volume: 36553250.64, Average price: 0.4494, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes