Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.4495
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.4550
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.4550
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.4695
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.4655
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.4655
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4650
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.4650
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.4600
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.4815
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.4725
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.4390
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.4360
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.4360
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.4365
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.4365
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.4365
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.4350
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.4355
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.4355
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.4355
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.4350
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.4350
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.4345
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.4345
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.4345
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.4345
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.4345
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.4345
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.4345
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.4670
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.4655
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.4685
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.4525
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.4645
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.4520
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.4645
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.4515
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.4515
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.4515
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4525
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4570
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.4575
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.4655
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.4665
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.4615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4665
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.4630
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.4540
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.4535
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.4535
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.4535
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.4535
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4535
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.4625
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.4620
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.4605
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.4610
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.4640
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4640
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.4640
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.4640
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.4625
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.4640
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.4640
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.4640
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.4620
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.4620
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4620
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4620
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4615
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.4610
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.4635
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.4625
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.4625
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.4615
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.4615
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4630
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4635
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.4620
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.4620
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.4610
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.4625
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.4615
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.4610
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.4625
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4515
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.4520
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4555
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.4555
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.4815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 590, Buy volume: 5487.61, Sell volume: 199.03, Average price: 0.7347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.4550
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4545
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4545
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.4505
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.4485
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.4485
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.4485
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.4485
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.4470
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.4465
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.4465
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.4505
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.4500
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.4500
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.4500
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.4500
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.4655
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.4475
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4450
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.4345
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.6470
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4510
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.4470
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.4460
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.4400
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.3495
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.2460
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.1910
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.1900
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.1900
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.1900
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.1900
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.1880
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.2050
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.2050
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.2050
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.4565
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.4570
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.5775
Trade Summary: Total trades: 556, Buy volume: 5230.06, Sell volume: 53.48, Average price: 0.7461, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.2600
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.5050
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.5000
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.2000
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.2050
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.2050
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.2050
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.2050
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.2050
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.2050
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2050
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2050
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2050
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.2900
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 111.82, Sell volume: 97.81, Average price: 0.6967, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.2900
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.2900
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.2900
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2900
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.2900
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.2900
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.2900
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.2900
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.2900
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.2900
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2900
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.2900
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.2900
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.2900
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.2900
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.2900
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.2900
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.2900
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.2900
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.2900
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.2900
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.2900
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.2900
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.2900
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.2900
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.2900
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.2900
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.2900
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.2900
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.2050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 2.44, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.7467, Price range: 0.6000 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.2050
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.2050
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.2050
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.2050
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.7950
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.2050
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.7950
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.2050
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.7950
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.2050
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.7950
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.2050
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.7950
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.2050
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.7950
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.7950
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.3000
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.4500
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.5600
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.6400
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.3600
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.6400
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.3600
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.3600
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.3600
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 23.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.4617, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.4550
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.4050
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.4050
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.6050
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.5800
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.4100
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.4950
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.5750
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.3950
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.6150
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.5100
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.4950
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.5550
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.4900
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.4200
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.4150
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.4050
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.6100
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.3900
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.3750
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.3850
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.6150
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.6150
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.3900
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.6100
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.6150
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.3900
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.6100
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.6150
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 4.64, Sell volume: 30.69, Average price: 0.3636, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.7000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.6300
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.3650
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.3750
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.3750
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.6250
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.3750
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.6250
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.6250
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.3750
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.3750
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.3750
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.3750
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.3750
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.3750
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.6250
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.3750
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.3650
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.6300
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.6250
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.6250
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.6250
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.6100
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.3900
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.3900
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.5800
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.4200
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.5750
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.5750
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.5750
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 590, Buy volume: 5487.61, Sell volume: 199.03, Average price: 0.7347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.4300
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.4300
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.5700
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.5700
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.4300
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.4300
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.5700
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.5700
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.5700
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.4250
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.5750
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.5750
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.4250
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.5750
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.4250
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.5750
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.4250
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.4250
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.4250
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.4250
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.4250
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.4250
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.4250
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.4250
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.5750
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.4250
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.5750
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.5750
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.5750
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 590, Buy volume: 5487.61, Sell volume: 199.03, Average price: 0.7347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.6450
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.3550
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.3550
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.3550
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.6400
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.6450
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.6400
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.6400
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.3600
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.6400
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.6350
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.6350
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.3650
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.6300
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.3600
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.3650
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.3600
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.6400
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.3600
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.6350
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.6350
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.6350
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.3650
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.6350
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.6350
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.6350
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.3650
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 590, Buy volume: 5487.61, Sell volume: 199.03, Average price: 0.7347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.3650
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.6350
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.6350
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.6400
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.3650
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.3650
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.3600
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.6400
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.3650
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.3550
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.6400
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.3700
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.3800
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.3800
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.3800
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.3700
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.3550
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.3600
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.3650
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.6350
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.6250
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.6250
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.6250
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.6050
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.6000
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.6150
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.6050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 590, Buy volume: 5487.61, Sell volume: 199.03, Average price: 0.7347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4100
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.4200
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.5800
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.4200
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0055
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.6745
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.7515
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9965
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0045
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.4855
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.4890
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.4895
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.4865
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.4900
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.4985
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.4875
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.4780
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.4775
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.4775
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.4700
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.5270
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.4725
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.4735
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.4835
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.4845
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 106.76, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.6094, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.4860
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.4890
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.4580
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.5310
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.5110
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.5005
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.4915
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.4770
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.5015
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.4740
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.4695
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.4735
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.4650
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.4865
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.4925
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.4925
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.4940
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.4935
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.4935
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.4775
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.4685
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.4685
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.4685
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.4685
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.4655
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.4545
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.4830
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.4530
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4530
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 7.87, Sell volume: 1.05, Average price: 0.7390, Price range: 0.0410 - 0.9870
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.4495
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.4550
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.4695
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.4655
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.4900
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4710
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.4720
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.4385
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.4360
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.4365
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.4360
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.4355
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.4350
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4350
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.4350
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.4345
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.4345
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.4345
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.4345
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.4345
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.4560
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.4625
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.4645
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.4515
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.4510
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.4640
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.4565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.4665
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.4480
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.4535
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.4530
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.4535
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.4625
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.4615
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4620
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.4640
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.4635
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.4625
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.4640
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.4640
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.4620
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.4620
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.4615
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.4610
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.4625
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.4615
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.4630
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.4635
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.4635
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.4610
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.4615
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4630
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.4515
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.4555
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.4555
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 590, Buy volume: 5487.61, Sell volume: 199.03, Average price: 0.7347, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555485
Question: Will New Zealand win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5686.642478
Price History:
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.4550
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.4550
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.4545
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.4485
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.4485
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.4485
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.4465
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.4465
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.4505
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.4505
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.4500
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.4500
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.4655
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.4470
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.4340
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.4510
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.4460
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.4560
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.3240
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.1900
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.1900
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.1900
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.2045
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.2055
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 556, Buy volume: 5230.06, Sell volume: 53.48, Average price: 0.7461, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 02:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.2550
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 18:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 00:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 20:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 872, Buy volume: 5673.22, Sell volume: 162.39, Average price: 0.7538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 20:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 12:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 18:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 872, Buy volume: 5673.22, Sell volume: 162.39, Average price: 0.7538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.2150
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5075, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.8450
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.8750
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.0900
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.8600
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.4200
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.6750
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.5750
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.6600
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.7400
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.4450
2025-08-19 12:00: 0.2850
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.4300
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.2650
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.3750
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.2100
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.1050
2025-08-20 23:00: 0.9550
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.0960
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.8965
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.8800
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0915
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.4340
2025-08-22 05:00: 0.5685
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.4280
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.4265
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.5735
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.5760
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.4235
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.4735
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.4700
2025-08-23 21:00: 0.4720
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.4685
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.4735
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.4735
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.5420
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.4545
2025-08-25 03:00: 0.4705
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.4700
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.5265
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.4735
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.5375
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.4715
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.5310
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.5340
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3.12, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.2000, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.3200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.4630
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.4615
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.5415
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.4565
2025-08-27 18:00: 0.5465
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.5040
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.5080
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.5100
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.5130
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.5040
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4940
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.4905
2025-08-29 10:00: 0.5105
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.5035
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.4860
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.5135
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.5135
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.5135
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.4865
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.4865
2025-08-31 02:00: 0.4865
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.4865
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.4865
2025-08-31 17:00: 0.4860
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.4850
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.4825
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.5435
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.4550
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.5545
2025-09-01 23:00: 0.4525
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.5480
2025-09-02 09:00: 0.5480
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.5480
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.5480
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.5485
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.4515
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.4520
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.4520
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.4515
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.4515
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.4515
2025-09-04 11:00: 0.4515
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.5490
2025-09-04 21:00: 0.5490
2025-09-05 02:00: 0.4510
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.4510
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.4505
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.4505
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.4500
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.4505
Trade Summary: Total trades: 872, Buy volume: 5673.22, Sell volume: 162.39, Average price: 0.7538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.5495
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.4505
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.4505
2025-09-07 03:00: 0.4505
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.5495
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.5500
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.5490
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.5495
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.5495
2025-09-08 09:00: 0.3265
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.4415
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.4380
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.4350
2025-09-09 05:00: 0.4325
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.4355
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.4320
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.4290
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.4385
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.4385
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.4380
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.4380
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.5620
2025-09-11 02:00: 0.5620
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.4380
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.4380
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.4380
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.4380
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.4415
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.4380
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.4380
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.4380
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.4380
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.5620
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.4380
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.5620
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.5630
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.5650
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.5660
2025-09-14 10:00: 0.5665
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.5620
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.5620
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.5620
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.4380
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.4380
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.4380
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.4380
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.5620
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.4380
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.5080
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 872, Buy volume: 5673.22, Sell volume: 162.39, Average price: 0.7538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.4915
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.4910
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.5090
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.5085
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.4915
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.4975
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.5070
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.4920
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.5055
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.5055
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.5105
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.5100
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.5100
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.5100
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.5100
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.5095
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.4910
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.5095
2025-09-20 21:00: 0.4905
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.5095
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.5095
2025-09-21 12:00: 0.5095
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.5030
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.5035
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.5035
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.4960
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.4955
2025-09-22 18:00: 0.4955
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.4955
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.4960
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.5045
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.4955
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.5045
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.5055
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.5055
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.4945
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.4945
2025-09-24 20:00: 0.4945
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.5055
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.4960
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.5045
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.4955
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.5045
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.5045
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.5030
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.5030
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.5030
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.5030
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.4970
2025-09-27 08:00: 0.5030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 872, Buy volume: 5673.22, Sell volume: 162.39, Average price: 0.7538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4975
2025-09-27 22:00: 0.5030
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.5030
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.4960
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.4955
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5030
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.5035
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.5035
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4965
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.5035
2025-09-29 19:00: 0.5115
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5030
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5020
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5035
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.5120
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.4880
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.4880
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.5120
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.5125
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.4870
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.5130
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.4870
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.4870
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.5130
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.5130
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.5130
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.5130
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.4870
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.5130
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.4870
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.4870
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.4825
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.5250
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.4820
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.5225
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.4740
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.4790
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.4755
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.4740
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.4740
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.4740
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.6175
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.4740
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5260
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5260
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4740
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.4740
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5260
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.5260
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.5260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 81.97, Average price: 0.0034, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0090

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4740
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4740
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.4740
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.4740
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.4740
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.4735
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.4730
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.5330
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.5320
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.5320
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.5320
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.4680
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.4660
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.4660
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.5460
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.6665
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.6830
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.3150
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.6860
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.3140
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.3140
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.6860
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.8400
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.1480
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.1260
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.8740
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.1260
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.8740
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.8740
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.1140
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.1140
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.1120
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.8880
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.1120
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.1120
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.1120
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1110
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.1110
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.8890
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.8890
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.8890
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.8890
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.8890
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.8885
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.8880
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.1120
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.1125
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.8875
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1130
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.1135
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 18.10, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.1120, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.2210

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.1070
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.1070
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0960
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0960
2025-10-19 17:00: 0.0960
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.9045
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9030
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.0970
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0965
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0965
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0960
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.9045
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.9045
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9045
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9045
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.9045
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9045
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9045
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.9045
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9045
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.9045
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9045
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9045
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9085
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9085
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9085
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9085
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.9085
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9045
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9045
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.9045
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9045
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9045
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.9045
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9045
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9045
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.9045
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9045
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9045
2025-10-27 15:00: 0.9045
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9045
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9045
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9045
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9045
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.9045
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9045
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 8.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7210, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.9940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9045
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.9045
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9045
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.9045
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9045
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9045
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.9045
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9045
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9045
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9045
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.9090
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.8915
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.8915
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.8915
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.8915
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.8920
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8920
2025-11-02 03:00: 0.8920
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.5475
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.5400
2025-11-02 18:00: 0.5480
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.5480
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.5480
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.5480
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.5340
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.5370
2025-11-04 00:00: 0.5370
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.5435
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.5470
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.5470
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.5475
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.5480
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.5480
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.5480
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.5360
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.5480
2025-11-06 02:00: 0.5420
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.5475
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.5480
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.5480
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5485
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.5485
2025-11-07 08:00: 0.5485
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5485
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.5485
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.5485
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.5475
2025-11-08 09:00: 0.5600
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.5505
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 872, Buy volume: 5673.22, Sell volume: 162.39, Average price: 0.7538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5595
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.5600
2025-11-09 14:00: 0.5480
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.5485
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.5485
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.5480
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.5485
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.5480
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.5365
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.5365
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.5405
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.5415
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5440
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.5440
2025-11-12 02:00: 0.5440
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.5440
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5440
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.5440
2025-11-12 22:00: 0.5440
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.5440
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.5440
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5440
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.5345
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.5360
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5360
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.5360
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.5355
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.5370
2025-11-15 00:00: 0.5370
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.5370
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5370
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.5375
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5375
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.5375
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.5375
2025-11-16 11:00: 0.5375
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.5415
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.5705
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.5625
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5760
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5445
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5445
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.5445
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.5445
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.5445
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.5445
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.5445
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5435
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.5435
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.5180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 872, Buy volume: 5673.22, Sell volume: 162.39, Average price: 0.7538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5440
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.5440
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.4560
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.5495
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.5505
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.5505
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.5505
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.5505
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.5505
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.4500
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.5490
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.5490
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.5490
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.5490
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.5490
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.5490
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.5490
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.5485
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.4555
2025-11-24 03:00: 0.5490
2025-11-24 08:00: 0.5490
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.6515
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.5495
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.5525
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5530
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.5525
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.5715
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.5685
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.6160
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.6895
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.7490
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.6390
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.6750
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.6650
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.6790
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.6795
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.6810
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.7605
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.7605
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.7610
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.7640
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.7660
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.7640
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.6440
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.6750
2025-11-29 23:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 854, Buy volume: 5633.70, Sell volume: 41.42, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0046 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.2450
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.2550
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 872, Buy volume: 5673.22, Sell volume: 162.39, Average price: 0.7538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-04 21:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 872, Buy volume: 5673.22, Sell volume: 162.39, Average price: 0.7538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5075, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.8450
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.2550
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0750
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.6250
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.5850
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.2800
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.4150
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.4300
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.3900
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.3500
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.1350
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.1040
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.8965
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.9075
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.5665
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.5710
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.5730
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.5760
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.4230
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.4735
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.4695
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.4635
2025-08-24 17:00: 0.5420
2025-08-25 01:00: 0.4720
2025-08-25 09:00: 0.5305
2025-08-25 17:00: 0.5340
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.4735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3.12, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.2000, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.3200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.4630
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.5400
2025-08-27 14:00: 0.4555
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.5470
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.5085
2025-08-28 14:00: 0.5130
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.5050
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.5095
2025-08-29 14:00: 0.4875
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.4865
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.5135
2025-08-30 14:00: 0.4865
2025-08-30 22:00: 0.4865
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.4865
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.4865
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.4850
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.4570
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.4970
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.5475
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.4520
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.5480
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.5480
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.4520
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.4520
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.4515
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.4515
2025-09-04 14:00: 0.4510
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.4505
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.4510
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.4510
Trade Summary: Total trades: 872, Buy volume: 5673.22, Sell volume: 162.39, Average price: 0.7538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.5495
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.5495
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.4505
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.4500
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.5495
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.5495
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.5625
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.4375
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.4330
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.5660
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.4290
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.4385
2025-09-10 12:00: 0.4380
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.4380
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.4380
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.4380
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.4380
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.4380
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.4380
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.5620
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.5620
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.5620
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.5630
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.4340
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.5635
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.5620
2025-09-15 04:00: 0.5620
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.4380
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.4380
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.4380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 872, Buy volume: 5673.22, Sell volume: 162.39, Average price: 0.7538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.4915
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.5090
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.4915
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.4915
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.5025
2025-09-18 19:00: 0.5055
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.4900
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.5075
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.5100
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.4910
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.5095
2025-09-21 03:00: 0.5095
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.4905
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.5040
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.5035
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.5040
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.4950
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.4950
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.4955
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.5045
2025-09-24 03:00: 0.5055
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.4945
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.4945
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.4945
2025-09-25 11:00: 0.5045
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.5045
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.4955
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5030
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.5030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 872, Buy volume: 5673.22, Sell volume: 162.39, Average price: 0.7538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.4975
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.5030
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.5040
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.5030
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.4965
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.4965
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.5110
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.4970
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5035
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.5125
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.4880
2025-10-01 09:00: 0.5125
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.4870
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.4870
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.5130
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.5130
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.5130
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.5130
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.4870
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.5155
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.5250
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.4790
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.5205
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.4795
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.4740
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.4740
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.6175
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5260
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.4740
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 81.97, Average price: 0.0034, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0090
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4740
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.5260
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.4740
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.4735
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.5270
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.5320
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.5320
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.5320
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.5340
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.5845
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.6830
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.6860
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.6860
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.6860
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.1480
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.1260
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.1260
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.1260
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.1140
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.1140
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.8880
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.8880
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.1120
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.8890
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.8890
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.8890
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.8890
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.8885
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.8880
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.8875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 18.10, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.1120, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.2210
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.1070
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.8965
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.0960
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9045
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.0970
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0965
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.0960
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.9045
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9045
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9045
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.9045
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9045
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9045
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.9045
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9090
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9085
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.9085
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.9085
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9045
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9045
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.9045
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9045
2025-10-26 21:00: 0.9045
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9045
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9045
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.9045
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.9045
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 8.29, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7210, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9045
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.9045
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9045
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9045
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.9045
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9045
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.9045
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.8915
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.8915
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.8915
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.8920
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.5475
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.5410
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.5480
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.5480
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.5340
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.5370
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.5460
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5475
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5475
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.5480
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5485
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5485
2025-11-06 06:00: 0.5475
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.5480
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.5485
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.5485
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.5485
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5485
2025-11-08 06:00: 0.5535
Trade Summary: Total trades: 872, Buy volume: 5673.22, Sell volume: 162.39, Average price: 0.7538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.5595
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.5345
2025-11-09 20:00: 0.5485
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.5480
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.5480
2025-11-10 20:00: 0.5365
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.5370
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.5420
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.5440
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.5445
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.5440
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.5440
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5440
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.5440
2025-11-13 20:00: 0.5360
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.5360
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.5360
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.5370
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.5370
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.5375
2025-11-15 20:00: 0.5375
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.5375
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.5375
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.5645
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.5680
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.5445
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.5445
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.5445
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.5445
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 872, Buy volume: 5673.22, Sell volume: 162.39, Average price: 0.7538, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555486
Question: Will Great Britain win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 5835.60709
Price History:
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.5450
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.5440
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.5445
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.5490
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.5505
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.5505
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.5505
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.5490
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.4510
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.5490
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.5475
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.5485
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.4555
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.5490
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.5495
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.5500
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.5525
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.5525
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.5720
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.6160
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.7305
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.6770
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.7465
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.6790
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.6810
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.7600
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.6635
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.7660
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.6205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 854, Buy volume: 5633.70, Sell volume: 41.42, Average price: 0.7626, Price range: 0.0046 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.7500
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.7450
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.7400
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.7450
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.7500
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.7400
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.1250
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.8600
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.8700
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.8600
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.2300
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.9150
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.0800
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.4450
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.3100
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.4250
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.2900
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.4250
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.5950
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.1200
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.5900
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.2550
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.5600
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.3450
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.5900
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.4000
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.3650
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.6650
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.4450
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.8450
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.4350
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.4100
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.3750
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.6500
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.3200
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.5800
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.6100
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.6300
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.6600
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.3150
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.6150
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.3600
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.6750
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.4100
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.4100
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.6550
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.6250
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.5950
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.5250
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.4800
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.5200
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.4800
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.4800
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.5150
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.4800
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.5150
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.4750
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.5200
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.5250
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.4750
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.5200
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.5200
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4800
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.4750
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.5200
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.5250
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.5250
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.4800
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.4800
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.5200
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.4800
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.5200
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.4800
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.5200
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.5200
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.4800
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.5200
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.5250
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.4750
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.4600
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.5450
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.5250
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.4750
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.5250
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.5250
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.5350
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.4650
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.5350
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.4650
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.5350
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.4650
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.5350
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5400
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.4600
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.4750
2025-09-05 17:00: 0.4650
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.4650
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.5350
2025-09-06 07:00: 0.5350
2025-09-06 11:00: 0.4700
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.5350
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.5450
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.5300
2025-09-07 05:00: 0.4700
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.5300
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.5300
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.5250
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.4700
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.4550
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.5550
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.5200
2025-09-08 17:00: 0.5650
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.4650
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.5450
2025-09-09 07:00: 0.4800
2025-09-09 11:00: 0.5200
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.4750
2025-09-09 20:00: 0.5200
2025-09-10 01:00: 0.4800
2025-09-10 05:00: 0.5200
2025-09-10 10:00: 0.5200
2025-09-10 14:00: 0.4750
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.5300
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.5200
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.5200
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.4750
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.4650
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.4650
2025-09-11 22:00: 0.5350
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.5300
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.5350
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.4700
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.4600
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.5350
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.4500
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.4350
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.6500
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.5500
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.4550
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.5700
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.4250
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.5700
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.4850
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.5150
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.4850
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.5150
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.4850
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.5200
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.4800
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.5200
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.4800
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.5200
2025-09-17 14:00: 0.4800
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.5200
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.4800
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.5050
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.4950
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.5050
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.4950
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.5100
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.4900
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.5100
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.4900
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.5100
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.4900
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.4900
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.4900
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.5200
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.5150
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.5150
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.5150
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.5200
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.4850
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.5200
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.4850
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.5100
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.5100
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.5200
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.4850
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.5150
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.4900
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.5100
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.4900
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.5100
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.4800
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.5250
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.5300
2025-09-24 08:00: 0.4850
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5200
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.5150
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 09:00: 0.4800
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.5250
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.4900
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.4850
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.5200
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.4800
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.4800
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.5200
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.4750
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.4750
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.4850
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.5200
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.5100
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.5150
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.5350
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.4450
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.4400
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.5000
2025-10-01 03:00: 0.5100
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.4700
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3900
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.4800
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.4200
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.5150
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.5150
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.5200
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.4500
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.5350
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.4800
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.4750
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.5350
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.4850
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.4650
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.5250
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.5150
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.4800
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.5200
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.5200
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.5350
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4550
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.5300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5300
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.4700
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.4600
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.5800
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.5550
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.5550
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4350
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.4350
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.5650
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.5600
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.5650
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.5600
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.4400
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.5600
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.5600
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.5600
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.5600
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.4400
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.5700
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.5700
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.4300
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.4150
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.5850
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.5150
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.5400
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.4000
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.3950
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.3950
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.6050
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.4750
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.5250
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.4850
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.4850
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.5350
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.4500
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.5500
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.5500
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.4350
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.5800
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.5850
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.4150
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.5820
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.5820
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.5840
2025-10-17 08:00: 0.4160
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.5835
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.4865
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.5130
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.4850
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.5105
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.5150
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.4705
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.5680
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.4320
2025-10-19 05:00: 0.3925
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.6525
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.3850
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.6150
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.3850
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.6155
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.3820
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.6210
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.3795
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.3880
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.6550
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.6675
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.6665
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.6175
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.6125
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.3875
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.6125
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.3875
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.6125
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.3840
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.6360
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.4580
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.5770
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.4115
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.5970
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.4055
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.6080
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.4015
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.5985
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.4015
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.5985
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.4015
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.5985
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.4025
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.5975
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.4020
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.5980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.9610 - 0.9910

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.5955
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.4045
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.5955
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.4045
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.5955
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.4045
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.5955
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.4045
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.5955
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.4535
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.5465
2025-10-29 05:00: 0.4515
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.5485
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.4470
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.5485
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.4505
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.5495
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.4505
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.5495
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.4505
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.5495
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.4440
2025-10-31 10:00: 0.5570
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.4430
2025-10-31 19:00: 0.5560
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.4340
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.5840
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.4115
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.5885
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.4230
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.5780
2025-11-02 02:00: 0.4220
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.5825
2025-11-02 11:00: 0.4330
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.5765
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.4235
2025-11-03 00:00: 0.5765
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.4235
2025-11-03 09:00: 0.5765
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.4235
2025-11-03 18:00: 0.5735
2025-11-03 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.5755
2025-11-04 08:00: 0.4240
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.5760
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.4240
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.5760
2025-11-05 02:00: 0.4240
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.5760
2025-11-05 11:00: 0.4240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4260
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.5745
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.4255
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.5745
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.4255
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.5740
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.4250
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.5855
2025-11-08 12:00: 0.4135
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.5865
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.4135
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.5865
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.4130
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.5880
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.5900
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.4100
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.5900
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.4100
2025-11-10 13:00: 0.5900
2025-11-10 18:00: 0.4280
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.5805
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.4195
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.5805
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.4195
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.5805
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.4195
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.5805
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.4305
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.5705
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.4295
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.5705
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.4295
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.5715
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.4285
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.5715
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.4330
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.5695
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.4305
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.5695
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.4305
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.5695
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.4295
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.5705
2025-11-15 06:00: 0.4295
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.5705
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4280
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.5760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5940
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.4295
2025-11-17 08:00: 0.5925
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.4220
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.5780
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.4225
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.5765
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.4220
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.5780
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.4220
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.5780
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.4220
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.5780
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.4210
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.5775
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.4225
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5770
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.4220
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.5775
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.4150
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.5940
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.4160
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.5840
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.4160
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.5840
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.4155
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.5830
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.4170
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.5815
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.4185
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.5815
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.4185
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.5815
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.4185
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.5780
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.4200
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.5820
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.4180
2025-11-24 02:00: 0.5815
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.4185
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.7685
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.4180
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.5820
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.4180
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.5820
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.4205
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5850
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.4150
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5995
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.4265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 678.10, Sell volume: 7.55, Average price: 0.7152, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9941

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-16 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 08:00: 0.2550
2025-07-16 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.2600
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.2550
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 15:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 00:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.7400
2025-08-16 00:00: 0.8950
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.1850
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.7850
2025-08-18 00:00: 0.9200
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.4150
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.4250
2025-08-19 00:00: 0.7900
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.5850
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.5850
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.7450
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.6050
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.4300
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.3900
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.6700
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.8450
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.5850
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.6350
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.5550
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.3900
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.3450
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.3950
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.3450
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.3950
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.6550
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.4000
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.3800, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.6250
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.4800
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.4800
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.4800
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.4800
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.4850
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.5250
2025-08-28 08:00: 0.5200
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.4800
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4800
2025-08-29 08:00: 0.5250
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.5200
2025-08-30 00:00: 0.4800
2025-08-30 08:00: 0.4800
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.4800
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.4800
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.4800
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.4800
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.5350
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.5300
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.4750
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.4650
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.5350
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.5350
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.5350
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.5400
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.4600
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-09-05 08:00: 0.4600
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.5300
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.4650
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.5350
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.4650
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.5300
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.4700
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.5300
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.5300
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.5550
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.4450
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.5200
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.5250
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.5250
2025-09-10 08:00: 0.5250
2025-09-10 16:00: 0.5200
2025-09-11 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-11 08:00: 0.4750
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.4700
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.4650
2025-09-12 08:00: 0.4650
2025-09-12 16:00: 0.5400
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.5550
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.6200
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.4500
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.5700
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.5700
2025-09-14 16:00: 0.5300
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.4850
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.4850
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.5150
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.5200
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.5200
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.4800
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.5200
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.5050
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.5050
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.4900
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.5100
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.4900
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.5100
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.5100
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.5150
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.5150
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.5250
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.5200
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.5100
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.5100
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.4850
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.5100
2025-09-23 09:00: 0.5100
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.5150
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.5100
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.4800
2025-09-24 17:00: 0.5200
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.5300
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.4750
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.4850
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.4850
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.5200
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.5150
2025-09-27 18:00: 0.4750
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.5150
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.4850
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.5150
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.4750
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.5250
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.5200
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.4900
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.5350
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.5600
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.4900
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.5150
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.5300
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.4400
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.5400
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.4750
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.5150
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.4750
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.4850
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.5200
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.5200
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.5200
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.5350
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.4700
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4700
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.4450
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.5550
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.4350
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.4350
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.5700
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.5600
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.5600
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.4400
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.5600
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.4300
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.5700
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.4150
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.4850
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.4000
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.3950
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.4750
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.5250
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.5150
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.5500
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.4500
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.5650
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.5800
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.4150
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.6000
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.5820
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.4185
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.5840
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.5135
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.5150
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.4320
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.5680
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.6525
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.6150
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.6155
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.6185
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.6215
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.3255
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.3335
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.3875
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.3875
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.3875
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.3840
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.4935
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.4115
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.4030
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.4030
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.4015
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.4015
2025-10-25 03:00: 0.4015
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.4025
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.4020
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.4045
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.4045
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 2.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9760, Price range: 0.9610 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-10-27 03:00: 0.5955
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.5955
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.5955
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.5955
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.5955
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.5465
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.5465
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.5485
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.5485
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.5495
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.5495
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.5495
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.5560
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.5570
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.5640
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.5885
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.5885
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.5780
2025-11-02 06:00: 0.5825
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.5765
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.5765
2025-11-03 06:00: 0.5765
2025-11-03 14:00: 0.5765
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.5750
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.5760
2025-11-04 14:00: 0.5760
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.5760
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.5760
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.5660
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.5830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.4260
2025-11-06 23:00: 0.4255
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.4255
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.4260
2025-11-07 23:00: 0.4250
2025-11-08 07:00: 0.4145
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.4135
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.4135
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.4130
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-09 23:00: 0.4100
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.4100
2025-11-10 15:00: 0.4100
2025-11-10 23:00: 0.4195
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.4195
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.4195
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.4195
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.4305
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.4295
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.4295
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.4285
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.4285
2025-11-13 23:00: 0.4305
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.4305
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.4290
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.4295
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.4295
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.4280
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.4240
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.4230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 4862.87, Sell volume: 27.55, Average price: 0.7106, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 555487
Question: Will France win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Volume: 4890.420008
Price History:
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.5940
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.5925
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5780
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.5765
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.5780
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.5770
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.5780
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.5780
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.5775
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.5770
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.5780
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.5935
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.5840
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.5840
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.5820
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.5830
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.5815
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.5815
2025-11-22 23:00: 0.5815
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.5815
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.5810
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.5820
2025-11-24 07:00: 0.5815
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.5820
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5820
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.5795
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.5850
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.5995
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.6420
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.5620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 678.10, Sell volume: 7.55, Average price: 0.7152, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9941
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555488
Question: Will Canada win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4837.376333
Price History:
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.5000
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.7500
2025-07-16 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.7500
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.2500
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.7500
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.7450
2025-07-22 19:00: 0.2550
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.2550
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 06:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.7450
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.2550
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555488
Question: Will Canada win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4837.376333
Price History:
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.7450
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.7450
2025-07-27 16:00: 0.2550
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.7450
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.2550
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 08:00: 0.7450
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.7500
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.7500
2025-07-30 16:00: 0.2500
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 05:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 10:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.7500
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 13:00: 0.2500
2025-08-01 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 01:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-03 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123, Buy volume: 4806.73, Sell volume: 30.65, Average price: 0.6947, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555488
Question: Will Canada win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4837.376333
Price History:
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-07 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-08 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 05:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 09:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.7500
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.2500
2025-08-10 23:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 12:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.2500
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 18:00: 0.7500
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.2500
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.7500
2025-08-14 12:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123, Buy volume: 4806.73, Sell volume: 30.65, Average price: 0.6947, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555488
Question: Will Canada win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4837.376333
Price History:
2025-08-15 16:00: 0.7600
2025-08-15 21:00: 0.1250
2025-08-16 01:00: 0.1050
2025-08-16 06:00: 0.0450
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9550
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.0450
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.1200
2025-08-17 18:00: 0.7800
2025-08-17 22:00: 0.1000
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.9250
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.5500
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.6250
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.4150
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.7350
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.7850
2025-08-19 06:00: 0.4300
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.4250
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.1200
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.4400
2025-08-20 00:00: 0.2450
2025-08-20 04:00: 0.4600
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.6400
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.7250
2025-08-20 18:00: 0.7100
2025-08-20 22:00: 0.2850
2025-08-21 03:00: 0.7150
2025-08-21 07:00: 0.4450
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.4550
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.7000
2025-08-21 21:00: 0.5850
2025-08-22 01:00: 0.3950
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.3600
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.6650
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.5450
2025-08-22 19:00: 0.5650
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.5950
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.6100
2025-08-23 09:00: 0.3600
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.6200
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.3450
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.6800
2025-08-24 03:00: 0.3800
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.4000
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.4000
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.6050
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 22.00, Average price: 0.4643, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 555488
Question: Will Canada win the 2025 SailGP Championship Season 5?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4837.376333
Price History:
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.4000
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.6050
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.4650
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.4700
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.4700
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.5300
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.5300
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.5150
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.4750
2025-08-27 16:00: 0.5150
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.4750
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.4800
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.5250
2025-08-28 10:00: 0.5250
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.4800
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.5200
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.4800
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.5250
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.5200
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.4750
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.4750
2025-08-29 22:00: 0.5200
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.5200
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.5200
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.4800
2025-08-30 16:00: 0.5200
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.5200
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.5200
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.5200
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.4800
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.5200
2025-08-31 19:00: 0.4750
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.4750
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.4750
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.5400
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.4600
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.5250
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.4750
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.5250
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.5250
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.5250
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.4650
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.4650
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.4650
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.5350
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.4650
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.5350
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.4550
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.4500
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.4500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123, Buy volume: 4806.73, Sell volume: 30.65, Average price: 0.6947, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990

Output: No