Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.7850
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.7850
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.8100
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.7950
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.7950
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.7950
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.7900
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.7700
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.7650
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.7850
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.7950
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.7800
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.7900
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.7750
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.7750
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.7750
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.7900
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.7900
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.7900
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.7900
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.7900
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.7900
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.7750
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.7750
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.7750
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.7750
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.8000
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.8200
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.8200
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.8200
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.8000
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.8250
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.8300
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.8400
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.8500
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.8500
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.8550
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.8550
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9000
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.8900
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.8650
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.8650
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.8750
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.8500
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.8500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 11154.67, Sell volume: 2948.89, Average price: 0.6009, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.8800
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.8850
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.8900
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.8900
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.8700
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.8800
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.8550
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.8550
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.8550
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.8550
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.8550
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.8800
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.8850
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9250
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9100
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9300
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.8750
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.8850
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8850
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.8850
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.8850
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9200
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9250
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9000
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.8850
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.8950
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.8700
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.8750
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.8700
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.8750
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.8700
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.8700
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.8750
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.8650
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.8650
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.8600
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 229, Buy volume: 25886.13, Sell volume: 10301.22, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.5700
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.5550
2025-03-20 20:00: 0.6000
2025-03-20 22:00: 0.6000
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.6000
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.6050
2025-03-21 04:00: 0.7600
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.6400
2025-03-21 08:00: 0.5900
2025-03-21 10:00: 0.5900
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.5950
2025-03-21 14:00: 0.5950
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.6350
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.6150
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.6350
2025-03-21 22:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 02:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 04:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 08:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 14:00: 0.6350
2025-03-22 16:00: 0.6400
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.6050
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.6150
2025-03-22 22:00: 0.6300
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.6350
2025-03-23 02:00: 0.6350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 554.73, Sell volume: 6.57, Average price: 0.5694, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.8100
2025-03-23 19:00: 0.7900
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.5950
2025-03-23 23:00: 0.5950
2025-03-24 01:00: 0.7500
2025-03-24 03:00: 0.6900
2025-03-24 05:00: 0.6900
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.6900
2025-03-24 09:00: 0.6300
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.6250
2025-03-24 13:00: 0.6400
2025-03-24 15:00: 0.6400
2025-03-24 17:00: 0.7250
2025-03-24 19:00: 0.7150
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.6900
2025-03-24 23:00: 0.6550
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.6850
2025-03-25 03:00: 0.7000
2025-03-25 05:00: 0.6550
2025-03-25 07:00: 0.6600
2025-03-25 09:00: 0.6600
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-25 13:00: 0.6700
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.6800
2025-03-25 17:00: 0.6800
2025-03-25 19:00: 0.6800
2025-03-25 21:00: 0.7150
2025-03-25 23:00: 0.7400
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.7350
2025-03-26 03:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2530.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5167, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 20:00: 0.7550
2025-03-26 22:00: 0.7550
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.7450
2025-03-27 02:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 04:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 06:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 08:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 10:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 12:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 14:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.7700
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.7650
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.7650
2025-03-27 22:00: 0.7950
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.7900
2025-03-28 02:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 04:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 08:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.7850
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 14:00: 0.7450
2025-03-28 16:00: 0.7350
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 22:00: 0.7550
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.7200
2025-03-29 02:00: 0.7250
2025-03-29 04:00: 0.7250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1930.08, Sell volume: 368.01, Average price: 0.4528, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-03-29 19:00: 0.7250
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.7250
2025-03-29 23:00: 0.7150
2025-03-30 01:00: 0.7150
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-30 05:00: 0.7100
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.7150
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.7250
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.7050
2025-03-30 13:00: 0.7000
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.7000
2025-03-30 17:00: 0.7100
2025-03-30 19:00: 0.7100
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.7150
2025-03-30 23:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 05:00: 0.7200
2025-03-31 07:00: 0.7200
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.7250
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-31 13:00: 0.7200
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.7200
2025-03-31 17:00: 0.7200
2025-03-31 19:00: 0.7050
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.7000
2025-03-31 23:00: 0.7000
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.7850
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.7500
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.8050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1488.77, Sell volume: 1043.38, Average price: 0.5664, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-01 20:00: 0.7800
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.7800
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.7450
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.7800
2025-04-02 04:00: 0.7800
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.7950
2025-04-02 08:00: 0.8050
2025-04-02 10:00: 0.7750
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.8100
2025-04-02 14:00: 0.7850
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.8500
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.8350
2025-04-02 20:00: 0.8350
2025-04-02 22:00: 0.8300
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.7750
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.7700
2025-04-03 04:00: 0.7550
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.7700
2025-04-03 08:00: 0.7650
2025-04-03 10:00: 0.7750
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.7650
2025-04-03 14:00: 0.7850
2025-04-03 16:00: 0.7800
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.7850
2025-04-03 20:00: 0.8000
2025-04-03 22:00: 0.8000
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.8000
2025-04-04 02:00: 0.7800
2025-04-04 04:00: 0.7850
2025-04-04 06:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1207.84, Sell volume: 591.48, Average price: 0.4574, Price range: 0.1815 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.8000
2025-04-04 23:00: 0.8000
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 03:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 05:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 09:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 15:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 17:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.8050
2025-04-05 23:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 03:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 05:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 09:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.8050
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.7950
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.8300
2025-04-06 17:00: 0.8250
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 21:00: 0.8400
2025-04-06 23:00: 0.8400
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.8400
2025-04-07 03:00: 0.8400
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.8550
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 1522.72, Sell volume: 72.17, Average price: 0.4151, Price range: 0.1400 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 00:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 04:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 06:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 08:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 10:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 14:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 18:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 20:00: 0.8550
2025-04-08 22:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 00:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 04:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 08:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 10:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 12:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 14:00: 0.8550
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.8500
2025-04-09 18:00: 0.8350
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.8350
2025-04-09 22:00: 0.8400
2025-04-10 00:00: 0.8400
2025-04-10 02:00: 0.8400
2025-04-10 04:00: 0.8400
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.8400
2025-04-10 08:00: 0.8400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 755.13, Sell volume: 252.05, Average price: 0.3779, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-10 23:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.8150
2025-04-11 05:00: 0.7750
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.7800
2025-04-11 09:00: 0.7900
2025-04-11 11:00: 0.7950
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 15:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 17:00: 0.8400
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 21:00: 0.8350
2025-04-11 23:00: 0.8350
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.8250
2025-04-12 03:00: 0.8250
2025-04-12 05:00: 0.8300
2025-04-12 07:00: 0.8250
2025-04-12 09:00: 0.8250
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.8350
2025-04-12 13:00: 0.8650
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.8650
2025-04-12 17:00: 0.8650
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.8900
2025-04-12 21:00: 0.8800
2025-04-12 23:00: 0.8650
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.8550
2025-04-13 03:00: 0.8550
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.8550
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.8550
2025-04-13 09:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 78, Buy volume: 5912.79, Sell volume: 1370.49, Average price: 0.3362, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8602
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-14 00:00: 0.8450
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.8150
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 06:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 08:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 14:00: 0.8100
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.7900
2025-04-14 18:00: 0.7900
2025-04-14 20:00: 0.7850
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.7900
2025-04-15 00:00: 0.7900
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.7900
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.7850
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.7900
2025-04-15 08:00: 0.7850
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.7900
2025-04-15 12:00: 0.7900
2025-04-15 14:00: 0.7750
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.7400
2025-04-15 18:00: 0.7350
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.7450
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.7550
2025-04-16 00:00: 0.7650
2025-04-16 02:00: 0.7850
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.7850
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.7850
2025-04-16 08:00: 0.7800
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.7850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 27, Buy volume: 719.95, Sell volume: 4793.56, Average price: 0.4095, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8236
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.7650
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.7700
2025-04-17 05:00: 0.7500
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.7550
2025-04-17 09:00: 0.7550
2025-04-17 11:00: 0.7550
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.7550
2025-04-17 15:00: 0.7600
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.7600
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.7650
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.7400
2025-04-17 23:00: 0.7400
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.7450
2025-04-18 03:00: 0.7400
2025-04-18 05:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.7350
2025-04-18 09:00: 0.7450
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.7450
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.7600
2025-04-18 15:00: 0.7500
2025-04-18 17:00: 0.7000
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.7100
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.6950
2025-04-18 23:00: 0.7550
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.7250
2025-04-19 03:00: 0.7400
2025-04-19 05:00: 0.7550
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.7600
2025-04-19 09:00: 0.7600
2025-04-19 11:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 191, Buy volume: 10380.82, Sell volume: 2043.00, Average price: 0.6594, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 04:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 06:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 10:00: 0.7250
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.7200
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.7350
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.7350
2025-04-20 18:00: 0.7350
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.7400
2025-04-20 22:00: 0.7400
2025-04-21 00:00: 0.7400
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 04:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 10:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 12:00: 0.7350
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.7350
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7350
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7250
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.6200
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.7050
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.7050
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.7150
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.7350
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.7350
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.7350
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.7350
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 5420.78, Sell volume: 1002.29, Average price: 0.6363, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.7850
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.8100
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.7950
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.7900
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.7650
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.7950
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.7900
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.7750
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.7900
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.7900
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.7900
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.7750
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.7750
2025-04-24 05:00: 0.8000
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.8050
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.8200
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.8000
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.8300
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.8500
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.8550
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9000
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.8750
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.8650
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.8500
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.8950
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.8600
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.8700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 11154.67, Sell volume: 2948.89, Average price: 0.6009, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 529271
Question: Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat?
Volume: 103893.956065
Price History:
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.8800
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.8900
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.8950
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.8700
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.8550
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.8550
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.8550
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.8850
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9250
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9300
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8850
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.8850
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9250
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.8850
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.8650
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.8750
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.8750
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.8700
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.8650
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.8600
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.8500
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.8600
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.8250
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9150
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 229, Buy volume: 25886.13, Sell volume: 10301.22, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.4800
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.5200
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.3300
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.6700
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.3150
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.6850
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.3050
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.6950
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.3050
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.6950
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.3050
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.6950
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.2850
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.7150
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.3500
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.6500
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.3500
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.6500
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.3500
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.6500
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.3550
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.6450
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.3550
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.6450
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.6450
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.6450
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.6450
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.6450
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.4000
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.6000
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.4350
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.5650
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 564.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4717, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8317

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.5600
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.3750
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.6250
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.6450
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.6450
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.6500
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.3950
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.6050
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.4000
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.6000
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.6500
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.6500
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.6500
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.6500
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.6500
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.6500
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 902.11, Sell volume: 2.63, Average price: 0.4808, Price range: 0.3498 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.2850
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.7150
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.2850
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.7150
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.2850
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.7150
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.2850
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.7150
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.2850
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.7150
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.2800
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.7200
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.3100
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.6900
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.3100
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.6900
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.3100
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.6900
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.3200
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.6800
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.3350
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.6650
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.6550
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 168.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3939, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.6550
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.6550
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 304, Buy volume: 93149.58, Sell volume: 10929.52, Average price: 0.4903, Price range: 0.0208 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.5550
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.4450
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.5600
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.4400
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.4500
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.5550
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.4450
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.5150
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.4850
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.4500
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.5500
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.4350
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.6350
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.3600
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.6400
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.3800
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.6200
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.4350
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.5150
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.4850
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.4750
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.5250
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.4450
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.5550
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 681.59, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.3859, Price range: 0.3668 - 0.4050

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.4850
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.5150
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.4850
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.4000
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.6000
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.4400
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.5600
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.4550
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.5450
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.4650
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.5350
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.4050
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.5950
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.4150
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.4350
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.4550
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.5450
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.4850
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.5150
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.4450
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.5550
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.4550
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.5450
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.4650
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.5350
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.4350
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.4700, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.4700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.4500
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.5500
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.5450
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.4550
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.5400
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.4600
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.5300
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.4700
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.3650
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.6350
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.4500
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.5500
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.4250
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.5750
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.4400
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.5600
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.4000
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.4150
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.5850
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.4150
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.5850
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.4200
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.5800
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.4000
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.6000
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.4250
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.5750
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 68.02, Sell volume: 400.00, Average price: 0.5093, Price range: 0.3920 - 0.6400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.2950
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.7050
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.3000
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.7000
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.2700
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.7300
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.3550
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.6450
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.3850
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.6150
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.3700
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.6300
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.3700
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.6300
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.3400
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.6600
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.3500
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.6500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 542.05, Sell volume: 98.00, Average price: 0.3216, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.3600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.3800
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.6200
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.3900
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.6100
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.3850
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.6150
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.3850
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.6150
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.3900
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.6100
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.3950
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.6050
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.3850
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.6150
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.3850
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.6150
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.5900
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.3850
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.6150
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.4150
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.5850
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.4150
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.5850
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.3800
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.6200
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.3600
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.6400
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.4200
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.5800
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.4200
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.5800
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.4150
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.5850
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.4050
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.5950
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.3900
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.6100
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 228.00, Sell volume: 65.00, Average price: 0.4875, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.6100
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.3950
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.6050
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.3950
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.6050
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.4650
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.5350
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.4950
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.5050
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.4700
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.5300
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.4650
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.5200
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.5200
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.5200
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.6450
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.3550
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.5750
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.4250
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.5200
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.4500
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.5100
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.4900
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.5150
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.4850
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.5450
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.4550
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.5600
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.4400
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.5600
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 11786.44, Sell volume: 424.99, Average price: 0.4883, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6442

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.4600
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.5300
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.4700
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.4600
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.5200
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.5050
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.4950
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.4050
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.5950
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.5250
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.4850
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.5150
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.5200
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.5350
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.4600
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.5400
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.4550
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.5450
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.4300
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.5700
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.4700
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.5300
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.4400
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.5600
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.4400
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.5600
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.4750
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.5250
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.4750
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.5250
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.4750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 7955.77, Sell volume: 570.86, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.5250
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.4800
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.5200
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.5200
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.4800
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.4300
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.5700
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.3850
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.6150
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.3800
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.6200
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.1250
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.8750
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0750
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9250
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0800
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9200
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.0750
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9250
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0800
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9200
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0850
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9150
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0750
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9250
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0850
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9150
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0650
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9350
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0650
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 29187.41, Sell volume: 6474.56, Average price: 0.5091, Price range: 0.0697 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0650
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9350
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0650
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9350
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.0700
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9300
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9350
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.0300
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9700
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0530
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9470
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0285
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9715
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0305
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9695
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0295
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9705
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9845
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.0235
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9765
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.0255
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.9745
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.9995
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 40910.14, Sell volume: 2853.49, Average price: 0.4878, Price range: 0.0208 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.4800
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.5200
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.3300
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.6700
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.3150
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.6850
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.3050
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.6950
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.3050
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.6950
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.3050
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.6950
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.2850
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.7150
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.3500
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.6500
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.3500
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.6500
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.3500
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.6500
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.3550
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.6450
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.3550
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.6450
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.6450
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.6450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 564.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4717, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.8317
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.5600
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.3750
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.6250
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.6450
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.3550
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.6450
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.6500
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.3950
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.6050
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.4000
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.6000
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.6500
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.6500
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.6500
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.6500
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.6500
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.3500
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.6500
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 902.11, Sell volume: 2.63, Average price: 0.4808, Price range: 0.3498 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.2850
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.7150
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.2850
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.7150
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.2850
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.7150
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.2850
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.7150
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.2850
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.7150
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.2800
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.7200
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.3050
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.6950
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.3100
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.6900
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.3100
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.6900
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.3100
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.6900
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.6850
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.3150
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 168.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3939, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.6550
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.6550
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.3450
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 304, Buy volume: 93149.58, Sell volume: 10929.52, Average price: 0.4903, Price range: 0.0208 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.3450
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.6550
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.5550
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.4450
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.5600
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.4400
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.5500
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.4500
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.5550
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.4450
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.5150
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.4850
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.4500
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.5500
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.4350
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.3650
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.6350
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.3750
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.6250
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.3700
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.6300
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.3600
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.6400
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.3800
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 681.59, Sell volume: 20.00, Average price: 0.3859, Price range: 0.3668 - 0.4050
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.4850
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.5150
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.4850
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.4000
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.6000
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.4400
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.5600
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.4550
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.5450
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.4650
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.5350
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.4050
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.5950
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.4150
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.5850
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.4350
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.5650
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.5100
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.4550
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.5450
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.4900
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.4850
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.5150
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.4450
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.5550
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 9.99, Average price: 0.4700, Price range: 0.4700 - 0.4700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.4500
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.5500
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.5050
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.4950
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.5450
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.4550
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.5400
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.4600
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.5300
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.4700
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.3650
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.6350
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.4900
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.5100
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.4500
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.5500
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.4250
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.5750
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.4400
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.5600
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.4000
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.6000
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.4150
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.5850
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.4050
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.5950
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.4150
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.5850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 68.02, Sell volume: 400.00, Average price: 0.5093, Price range: 0.3920 - 0.6400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.2950
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.7050
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.3000
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.7000
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.2700
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.7300
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.3550
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.6450
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.3850
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.6150
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.3700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 542.05, Sell volume: 98.00, Average price: 0.3216, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.3600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.3800
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.6200
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.3900
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.6100
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.3850
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.6150
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.3850
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.6150
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.3900
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.6100
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.3950
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.6050
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.3850
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.6150
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.3850
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.6150
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.4100
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.5900
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.3850
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.6150
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.4150
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.5850
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.4150
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.5850
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.3800
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.6200
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.3600
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.6400
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.4200
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.5800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 228.00, Sell volume: 65.00, Average price: 0.4875, Price range: 0.3500 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.6100
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.3950
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.6050
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.3950
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.6050
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.4650
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.5350
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.4950
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.5050
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.4700
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.5300
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.4650
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.5350
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.5200
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.5200
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.5200
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.6450
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.3550
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.5750
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.4250
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.5200
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.5500
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.4500
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 11786.44, Sell volume: 424.99, Average price: 0.4883, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6442
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.4600
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.5300
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.4700
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.5400
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.4600
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.5200
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.5050
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.4950
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.4050
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.5950
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.4200
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.5800
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.4750
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.5250
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.4850
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.5150
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.4800
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.5200
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.4650
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.5350
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.4600
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.5400
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.4550
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.5450
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.4300
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.5700
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.4700
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 37, Buy volume: 7955.77, Sell volume: 570.86, Average price: 0.5104, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.6200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.5250
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.4800
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.5200
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.5200
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.4800
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.4300
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.5700
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.3850
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.6150
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.3800
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.6200
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.1250
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.8750
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0650
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9350
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0750
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9250
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0800
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9200
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.0750
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9250
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0800
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9200
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0850
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9150
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0750
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9250
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0850
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9150
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 29187.41, Sell volume: 6474.56, Average price: 0.5091, Price range: 0.0697 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518487
Question: Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 104079.100115
Price History:
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0650
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9350
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0650
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9350
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0650
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9350
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0750
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9250
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.0700
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9300
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.0650
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9350
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0600
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9400
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.0300
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9700
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0530
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9470
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0285
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9715
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0305
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9695
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0295
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9705
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 40910.14, Sell volume: 2853.49, Average price: 0.4878, Price range: 0.0208 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.5100
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.6900
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.3100
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.6950
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.3050
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.6950
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.3050
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.6950
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.3050
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.6950
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.3050
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.6950
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.3050
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.3050
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.3050
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.6850
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.3150
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.6850
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.3150
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.6850
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.3150
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.6800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7200, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.3050
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.6900
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.3100
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.6900
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.3100
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.6900
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.3100
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.6900
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.3100
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.8800
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.1200
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.8800
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.1200
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.9800
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.0200
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.9800
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.9800
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.9800
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.0200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3080.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8459, Price range: 0.7196 - 0.9722

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.9800
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.9800
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.9800
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.9800
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.9800
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.9800
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.9840
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.0160
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.9840
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.0160
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.9790
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.0210
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.9800
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.9805
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.0195
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9815
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0185
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.9850
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.0150
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.9870
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.0130
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.9890
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0110
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.9890
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.0110
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.9910
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.0090
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.9910
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.0090
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.9910
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.0090
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 113.98, Sell volume: 82.00, Average price: 0.5553, Price range: 0.0021 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.0090
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.9920
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.0080
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.9920
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0080
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.9930
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0070
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.9930
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.0070
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.9940
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0060
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.9940
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.0060
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.9940
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0060
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.9945
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.0055
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.9945
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0055
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.9950
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0050
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.9950
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0050
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.9950
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0050
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.9950
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0050
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.9950
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.0050
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.9960
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.0040
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.9960
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.0040
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.9960
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.0040
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.9960
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.0040
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 503.04, Sell volume: 489.04, Average price: 0.2037, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.9960
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.0040
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0054, Price range: 0.0054 - 0.0054

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.9960
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.0040
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.9955
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.0045
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.9955
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9950
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.0050
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.9950
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0050
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.9950
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.0050
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.9950
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.9945
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.9945
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.0055
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.9945
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0055
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.9945
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0055
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9945
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0055
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.9945
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.0055
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.9950
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.0050
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.9950
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.0050
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.9950
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.0050
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.9910
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.0090
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.9905
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.0095
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 20.04, Sell volume: 3177.19, Average price: 0.9947, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.9905
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0095
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.9905
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.0095
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.9915
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.0085
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9915
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0085
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.9915
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0085
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.9915
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0085
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.9900
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0100
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.9845
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0155
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.9855
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0145
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.9855
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0145
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.9855
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.0145
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9855
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0145
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.9855
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0145
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.9855
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0145
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.9855
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0145
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.9855
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.0145
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.9855
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.0145
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.9855
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.0145
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.9855
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.0145
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1.00, Sell volume: 238.43, Average price: 0.7395, Price range: 0.0031 - 0.9960

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.0145
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.9860
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0140
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.9865
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0135
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.9860
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.0140
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.9860
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0140
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.9860
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0140
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.9860
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.0140
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.9865
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0135
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.9865
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.0135
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.9865
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0135
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9865
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0135
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.9875
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.0125
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.9890
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.0110
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 18.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.9870
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.9870
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.9875
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.0125
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.9865
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0135
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.9870
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.9875
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.0125
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.9875
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.0125
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.9865
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.0135
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9870
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.9875
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.0125
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.9870
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.9885
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.0115
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.9890
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0110
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.9900
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.0100
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.9870
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.9875
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.0125
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.9860
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.0140
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.9860
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.0140
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 6608.84, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5278, Price range: 0.0267 - 0.9780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.1100
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.8500
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.1500
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.8550
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.1450
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.8605
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.1395
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.8800
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.1200
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.9700
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0300
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.9645
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.0355
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.9670
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.0330
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.9650
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.0350
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.9850
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.0150
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.9850
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.0150
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.9855
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0145
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.9865
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0135
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.9870
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.0130
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.9875
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.0125
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.9820
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.0180
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.9835
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.0165
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.9830
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.0170
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.9820
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.0180
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.9825
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1939.00, Sell volume: 907.45, Average price: 0.8341, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.9805
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.0195
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.9800
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.0200
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.9805
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0195
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.9800
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.0200
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.9795
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.0205
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.9800
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0200
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.9800
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.0200
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.9805
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.0195
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.9800
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.0200
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.9795
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.0205
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.9725
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.0275
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.9690
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.0310
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.9700
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.0300
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.9700
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.0300
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.9700
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.0300
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.9705
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.0295
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.9695
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.0305
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.9700
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.0300
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.9700
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.0300
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1050.32, Sell volume: 732.00, Average price: 0.7378, Price range: 0.0271 - 0.9780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.0285
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.9710
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.0290
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.9705
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.0295
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.9705
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.0295
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.9710
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.0290
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.9710
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.0290
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9715
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0285
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9790
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0210
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9785
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0215
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9780
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0220
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9800
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.0200
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9800
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0200
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9800
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0200
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9800
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0200
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9800
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0200
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9800
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.0200
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.9800
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.0200
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.9835
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.0165
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.9845
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.9845
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 7101.55, Average price: 0.2493, Price range: 0.0033 - 0.9620

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9845
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9845
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9845
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9855
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0145
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9850
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0150
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9850
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0150
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9850
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.0150
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9850
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.0150
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9845
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9845
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9845
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9850
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0150
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9850
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0150
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9870
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0130
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9880
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.0120
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.9880
2025-01-24 20:00: 0.0120
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.9880
2025-01-24 21:00: 0.0120
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.9995
2025-01-24 22:00: 0.0005
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.9995
2025-01-24 23:00: 0.0005
2025-01-25 00:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 4386.44, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.9934, Price range: 0.9730 - 0.9985

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.5100
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.5000
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.6900
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.3100
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.6950
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.3050
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.6950
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.3050
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.6950
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.3050
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.6950
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.3050
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.6950
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.3050
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.3050
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 200.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7200, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.6800
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.3200
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.6950
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.3050
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.6900
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.3100
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.6900
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.3100
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.6900
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.3100
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.6900
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.3100
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.8800
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.1200
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3080.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8459, Price range: 0.7196 - 0.9722
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.9800
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.9800
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.9800
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.9800
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.9800
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.9800
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.9840
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.0160
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.9840
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.0160
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.9790
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.0210
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.9800
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.0200
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.9805
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.0195
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.9815
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.0185
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.9850
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.0150
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.9870
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.0130
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.9890
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 113.98, Sell volume: 82.00, Average price: 0.5553, Price range: 0.0021 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.0090
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.9920
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.0080
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.9920
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.0080
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.9930
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.0070
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.9930
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.0070
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.9940
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.0060
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.9940
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.0060
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.9940
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.0060
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.9945
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.0055
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.9945
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.0055
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.9950
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.0050
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.9950
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.0050
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.9950
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.0050
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.9950
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.0050
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.9950
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.0050
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 503.04, Sell volume: 489.04, Average price: 0.2037, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.0025
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.9975
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.9960
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0054, Price range: 0.0054 - 0.0054
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.9975
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.0025
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.9960
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.0040
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.9955
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.0045
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.9955
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.0045
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.9950
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.0050
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.9950
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.0050
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.9950
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.0050
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.9950
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.0050
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.9945
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.0055
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.9945
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.0055
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.9945
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.0055
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.9945
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.0055
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.9945
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.0055
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.9945
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.0055
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 20.04, Sell volume: 3177.19, Average price: 0.9947, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.9905
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.0095
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.9905
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.0095
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.9915
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.0085
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.9915
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.0085
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.9915
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.0085
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.9915
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.0085
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.9900
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.0100
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.9845
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.0155
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.9855
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.0145
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.9855
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.0145
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.9855
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.0145
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.9855
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.0145
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.9855
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.0145
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.9855
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.0145
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.9855
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1.00, Sell volume: 238.43, Average price: 0.7395, Price range: 0.0031 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.0145
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.9860
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.0140
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.9865
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.0135
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.9860
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.0140
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.9860
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.0140
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.9860
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.0140
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.9860
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.0140
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.9865
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.0135
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.9865
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.0135
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.9865
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.0135
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.0130
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.9865
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.0135
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.9875
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 18.00, Average price: 0.0020, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.0020
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.9870
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.9870
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.9870
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.9875
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.0125
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.9865
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.0135
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.9870
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.9875
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.0125
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.9875
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.0125
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.9865
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.0135
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9870
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.9875
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.0125
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.9870
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.0130
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.9885
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.0115
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.9890
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.0110
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.9900
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 6608.84, Sell volume: 10.00, Average price: 0.5278, Price range: 0.0267 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.1100
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.8500
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.1500
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.8550
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.1450
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.8605
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.1395
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.8800
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.1200
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.9700
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.0300
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.9645
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.0355
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.9670
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.0330
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.9650
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.0350
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.9850
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.0150
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.9850
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.0150
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.9855
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.0145
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.9865
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.0135
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.9870
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.0130
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.9875
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.0125
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1939.00, Sell volume: 907.45, Average price: 0.8341, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.9805
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.0195
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.9800
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.0200
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.9805
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.0195
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.9800
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.0200
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.9795
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.0205
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.9800
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.0200
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.9800
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.0200
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.9805
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.0195
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.9800
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.0200
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.9795
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.0205
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.9725
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.0275
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.9690
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.0310
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.9700
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.0300
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.9700
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.0300
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.9700
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1050.32, Sell volume: 732.00, Average price: 0.7378, Price range: 0.0271 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.0285
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.9710
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.0290
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.9705
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.0295
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.9705
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.0295
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.9710
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.0290
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.9710
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.0290
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.9715
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.0285
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.9790
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.0210
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.9785
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.0215
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9780
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0220
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.9800
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.0200
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9800
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.0200
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.9800
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.0200
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9800
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.0200
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.9800
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.0200
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 7101.55, Average price: 0.2493, Price range: 0.0033 - 0.9620
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 518484
Question: Will John Curtis vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Volume: 31859.335431
Price History:
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.9845
2025-01-24 05:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.9845
2025-01-24 06:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.9845
2025-01-24 07:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.9855
2025-01-24 08:00: 0.0145
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.9850
2025-01-24 09:00: 0.0150
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.9850
2025-01-24 10:00: 0.0150
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.9850
2025-01-24 11:00: 0.0150
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.9850
2025-01-24 12:00: 0.0150
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.9845
2025-01-24 13:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.9845
2025-01-24 14:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.9845
2025-01-24 15:00: 0.0155
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.9850
2025-01-24 16:00: 0.0150
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.9850
2025-01-24 17:00: 0.0150
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.9870
2025-01-24 18:00: 0.0130
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.9880
2025-01-24 19:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 4386.44, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.9934, Price range: 0.9730 - 0.9985
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 11:00: 0.5100
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.5100
2025-01-14 12:00: 0.4900
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.7750
2025-01-14 13:00: 0.2250
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.7650
2025-01-14 14:00: 0.2350
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.4950
2025-01-14 15:00: 0.5050
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.8500
2025-01-14 16:00: 0.1500
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.8200
2025-01-14 17:00: 0.1800
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.8150
2025-01-14 18:00: 0.1850
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.8150
2025-01-14 19:00: 0.1850
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.8150
2025-01-14 20:00: 0.1850
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.8150
2025-01-14 21:00: 0.1850
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.8150
2025-01-14 22:00: 0.1850
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.8150
2025-01-14 23:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 00:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 01:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 02:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 03:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 04:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 05:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.8150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 42.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8356, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-15 06:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 07:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 08:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 09:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 10:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 11:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 12:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 13:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 14:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 15:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 16:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 17:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 18:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 19:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.8150
2025-01-15 20:00: 0.1850
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.8500
2025-01-15 21:00: 0.1500
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.8500
2025-01-15 22:00: 0.1500
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.8750
2025-01-15 23:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 00:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 01:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 64.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8550, Price range: 0.8200 - 0.8900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 02:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 03:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 04:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 05:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 06:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 07:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 08:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 09:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 10:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 11:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 12:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.8750
2025-01-16 13:00: 0.1250
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.5250
2025-01-16 14:00: 0.4750
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.5250
2025-01-16 15:00: 0.4750
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.5250
2025-01-16 16:00: 0.4750
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.5250
2025-01-16 17:00: 0.4750
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.5250
2025-01-16 18:00: 0.4750
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.5400
2025-01-16 19:00: 0.4600
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.6000
2025-01-16 20:00: 0.4000
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 102.00, Sell volume: 2.28, Average price: 0.1679, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.2337

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-16 21:00: 0.4750
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.5650
2025-01-16 22:00: 0.4350
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.5100
2025-01-16 23:00: 0.4900
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.6000
2025-01-17 00:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.6700
2025-01-17 01:00: 0.3300
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.5450
2025-01-17 02:00: 0.4550
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.5800
2025-01-17 03:00: 0.4200
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.5000
2025-01-17 04:00: 0.5000
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.4650
2025-01-17 05:00: 0.5350
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.4150
2025-01-17 06:00: 0.5850
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.4050
2025-01-17 07:00: 0.5950
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.4450
2025-01-17 08:00: 0.5550
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.6000
2025-01-17 09:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.6000
2025-01-17 10:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.6000
2025-01-17 11:00: 0.4000
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.6400
2025-01-17 12:00: 0.3600
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.6400
2025-01-17 13:00: 0.3600
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.6400
2025-01-17 14:00: 0.3600
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.6400
2025-01-17 15:00: 0.3600
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.6400
2025-01-17 16:00: 0.3600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 87.72, Sell volume: 2.57, Average price: 0.3470, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.5600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.7200
2025-01-17 17:00: 0.2800
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.7150
2025-01-17 18:00: 0.2850
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.7200
2025-01-17 19:00: 0.2800
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.7200
2025-01-17 20:00: 0.2800
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.7050
2025-01-17 21:00: 0.2950
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.6800
2025-01-17 22:00: 0.3200
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.7150
2025-01-17 23:00: 0.2850
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.6800
2025-01-18 00:00: 0.3200
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.6550
2025-01-18 01:00: 0.3450
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.6850
2025-01-18 02:00: 0.3150
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.7050
2025-01-18 03:00: 0.2950
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.7400
2025-01-18 04:00: 0.2600
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.6850
2025-01-18 05:00: 0.3150
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.6950
2025-01-18 06:00: 0.3050
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.6850
2025-01-18 07:00: 0.3150
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.7050
2025-01-18 08:00: 0.2950
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.7500
2025-01-18 09:00: 0.2500
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.6150
2025-01-18 10:00: 0.3850
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.6350
2025-01-18 11:00: 0.3650
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 166.74, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6517, Price range: 0.6200 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-18 12:00: 0.2850
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.6150
2025-01-18 13:00: 0.3850
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.6750
2025-01-18 14:00: 0.3250
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.7150
2025-01-18 15:00: 0.2850
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.7600
2025-01-18 16:00: 0.2400
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.7450
2025-01-18 17:00: 0.2550
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.7550
2025-01-18 18:00: 0.2450
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.7300
2025-01-18 19:00: 0.2700
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.8050
2025-01-18 20:00: 0.1950
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.7750
2025-01-18 21:00: 0.2250
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.7700
2025-01-18 22:00: 0.2300
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.7650
2025-01-18 23:00: 0.2350
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.6750
2025-01-19 00:00: 0.3250
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.7850
2025-01-19 01:00: 0.2150
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.6900
2025-01-19 02:00: 0.3100
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.6850
2025-01-19 03:00: 0.3150
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 04:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 05:00: 0.3450
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.6350
2025-01-19 06:00: 0.3650
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.6500
2025-01-19 07:00: 0.3500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 65.05, Sell volume: 5.58, Average price: 0.3825, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.7000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 08:00: 0.3450
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 09:00: 0.3450
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 10:00: 0.3450
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 11:00: 0.3450
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.6550
2025-01-19 12:00: 0.3450
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.6500
2025-01-19 13:00: 0.3500
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.6750
2025-01-19 14:00: 0.3250
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.7850
2025-01-19 15:00: 0.2150
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 16:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 17:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 18:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 19:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 20:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 21:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 22:00: 0.3350
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.6650
2025-01-19 23:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 00:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 01:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 02:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 18.16, Sell volume: 50.69, Average price: 0.4725, Price range: 0.2100 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-20 03:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 04:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 05:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 06:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 07:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 08:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 09:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 10:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.6650
2025-01-20 11:00: 0.3350
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.8000
2025-01-20 12:00: 0.2000
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.6850
2025-01-20 13:00: 0.3150
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 14:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 15:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.6900
2025-01-20 16:00: 0.3100
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.8600
2025-01-20 17:00: 0.1400
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.8750
2025-01-20 18:00: 0.1250
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.8850
2025-01-20 19:00: 0.1150
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.8850
2025-01-20 20:00: 0.1150
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.8850
2025-01-20 21:00: 0.1150
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.8850
2025-01-20 22:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 27.46, Sell volume: 145.00, Average price: 0.7733, Price range: 0.6700 - 0.8400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.8900
2025-01-20 23:00: 0.1100
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.8950
2025-01-21 00:00: 0.1050
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 01:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 02:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 03:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.8950
2025-01-21 04:00: 0.1050
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.8950
2025-01-21 05:00: 0.1050
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 06:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.8950
2025-01-21 07:00: 0.1050
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 08:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 09:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 10:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.9050
2025-01-21 11:00: 0.0950
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 12:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 13:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 14:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.9000
2025-01-21 15:00: 0.1000
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.8900
2025-01-21 16:00: 0.1100
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.8900
2025-01-21 17:00: 0.1100
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 41.42, Average price: 0.2925, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.8701

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-21 18:00: 0.1100
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.8900
2025-01-21 19:00: 0.1100
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.8900
2025-01-21 20:00: 0.1100
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.8900
2025-01-21 21:00: 0.1100
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.8900
2025-01-21 22:00: 0.1100
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.8900
2025-01-21 23:00: 0.1100
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.8900
2025-01-22 00:00: 0.1100
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.8900
2025-01-22 01:00: 0.1100
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 02:00: 0.1050
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 03:00: 0.1050
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 04:00: 0.1050
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 05:00: 0.1050
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 06:00: 0.1050
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.9000
2025-01-22 07:00: 0.1000
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.9000
2025-01-22 08:00: 0.1000
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.9050
2025-01-22 09:00: 0.0950
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 10:00: 0.1050
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 11:00: 0.1050
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 12:00: 0.1050
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 13:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9100, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 14:00: 0.1050
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.8950
2025-01-22 15:00: 0.1050
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.7350
2025-01-22 16:00: 0.2650
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.6500
2025-01-22 17:00: 0.3500
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 18:00: 0.6100
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.6000
2025-01-22 19:00: 0.4000
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.6100
2025-01-22 20:00: 0.3900
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.6450
2025-01-22 21:00: 0.3550
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.5600
2025-01-22 22:00: 0.4400
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.5550
2025-01-22 23:00: 0.4450
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.5550
2025-01-23 00:00: 0.4450
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.5550
2025-01-23 01:00: 0.4450
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.4550
2025-01-23 02:00: 0.5450
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.4500
2025-01-23 03:00: 0.5500
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.4400
2025-01-23 04:00: 0.5600
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.4450
2025-01-23 05:00: 0.5550
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.4400
2025-01-23 06:00: 0.5600
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.4350
2025-01-23 07:00: 0.5650
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.4450
2025-01-23 08:00: 0.5550
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 1962.09, Sell volume: 245.73, Average price: 0.4868, Price range: 0.1276 - 0.8100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 518485
Question: Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 118735.239311
Price History:
2025-01-23 09:00: 0.5450
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.5300
2025-01-23 10:00: 0.4700
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.5400
2025-01-23 11:00: 0.4600
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.5200
2025-01-23 12:00: 0.4800
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.5350
2025-01-23 13:00: 0.4650
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.6400
2025-01-23 14:00: 0.3600
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.7850
2025-01-23 15:00: 0.2150
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.8700
2025-01-23 16:00: 0.1300
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.8750
2025-01-23 17:00: 0.1250
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.9150
2025-01-23 18:00: 0.0850
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.8850
2025-01-23 19:00: 0.1150
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.9000
2025-01-23 20:00: 0.1000
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.8950
2025-01-23 21:00: 0.1050
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.9000
2025-01-23 22:00: 0.1000
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.8950
2025-01-23 23:00: 0.1050
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.8650
2025-01-24 00:00: 0.1350
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.8650
2025-01-24 01:00: 0.1350
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.8650
2025-01-24 02:00: 0.1350
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.8500
2025-01-24 03:00: 0.1500
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.8500
2025-01-24 04:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 73, Buy volume: 8396.01, Sell volume: 1438.86, Average price: 0.4884, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9200

Output: Yes