Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3250
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6750
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3250
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6750
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3300
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6700
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3250
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6750
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6750
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3250
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6750
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.3250
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.6750
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.3250
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.6750
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.2700
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.7300
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.2700
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.7300
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.2750
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.7250
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.2800
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.7200
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.2750
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.7250
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.2750
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.7250
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1282.73, Sell volume: 17.42, Average price: 0.6482, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.2900
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.7100
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1282.73, Sell volume: 17.42, Average price: 0.6482, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3200
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6800
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3200
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6800
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3350
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6650
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3350
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6650
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.3350
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.6650
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.3350
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.6650
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.3450
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.6550
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.3400
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.3400
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.3400
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.3400
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.6600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 24.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4983, Price range: 0.4950 - 0.5000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.6550
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.3450
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.6550
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3450
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.6550
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3450
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.6550
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3450
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.3400
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.3350
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.5650
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.4350
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1282.73, Sell volume: 17.42, Average price: 0.6482, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.6650
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3350
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6650
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3350
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.6650
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3350
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.6650
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3350
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.6650
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.3350
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.6650
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.3350
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.6650
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.3350
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.6650
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.3350
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.6650
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.3350
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.6650
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.3350
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.6650
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.3350
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.6650
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.3350
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.6650
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.3350
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.6650
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.3350
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.71, Average price: 0.0400, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.0400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.6800
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.3200
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.6800
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.3200
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.6800
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.3200
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.6800
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.3200
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.6900
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.3100
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.6900
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.3100
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.6900
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.3100
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.6450
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.3550
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.5250
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.4750
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 370.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6004, Price range: 0.6004 - 0.6004

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.5150
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.4150
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.5850
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.5150
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.4800
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.5200
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5750
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4050
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.3850
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.6150
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.3650
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.71, Average price: 0.3400, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.3400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.3700
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.6300
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5150
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4850
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4950
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5050
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4600
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5400
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4200
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5800
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4000
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.5400
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.4600
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.5400
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.4600
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.5400
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.4600
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.5400
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.4600
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.5400
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.4600
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.5400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.6600 - 0.6600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5400
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4600
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5400
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4600
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5350
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4650
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5350
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4650
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5350
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4650
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5350
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4650
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4800
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5200
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4600
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5400
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4450
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5550
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.4000
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.6000
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.3800
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.6200
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.3600
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.6400
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.3450
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.6550
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.3350
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.6650
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.3150
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.6850
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.3400
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.6600
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.3200
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.6800
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.3050
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.6950
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.3250
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.6750
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.3050
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.6950
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.3250
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.6750
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.2800
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.7200
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.4650
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 838.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7580, Price range: 0.3398 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5600
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4400
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5600
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4400
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5600
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4400
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5100
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4900
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5100
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5100
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4900
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.3350
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.6650
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.3350
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.6650
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.3350
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.6650
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.3350
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.6650
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.3350
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.6650
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 10.98, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6950, Price range: 0.5400 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.6550
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.3450
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.3450
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.6550
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1282.73, Sell volume: 17.42, Average price: 0.6482, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.6750
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.3250
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.6750
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.3250
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.6750
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.3250
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.6750
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.3250
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.6750
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.3400
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.6600
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.3400
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.6600
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.3400
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.6600
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.3300
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.6700
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.3250
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.6750
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.5600
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.4400
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.4900
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.5100
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.4900
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.5100
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.4900
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 24.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8558, Price range: 0.8558 - 0.8558
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.3250
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.6750
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.3250
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.6750
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.3300
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.6700
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.3250
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.6750
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.3250
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.6750
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.3250
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.6750
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.3200
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.6800
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1282.73, Sell volume: 17.42, Average price: 0.6482, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.7200
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.2850
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.7150
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.2800
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1282.73, Sell volume: 17.42, Average price: 0.6482, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.2850
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.7150
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.2900
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.7100
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3200
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6800
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3200
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6800
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3350
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6650
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3350
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6650
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 24.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.4983, Price range: 0.4950 - 0.5000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.6550
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.3450
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.6550
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.3450
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.6550
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.3450
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.6550
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.3450
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.6600
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.3400
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.3350
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.6650
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.3350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1282.73, Sell volume: 17.42, Average price: 0.6482, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.5600
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.4400
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.6650
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.3350
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.6650
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.3350
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.6650
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.3350
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.6650
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.3350
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.71, Average price: 0.0400, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.0400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.6250
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.3750
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.6800
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.3200
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.6800
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.3200
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.6800
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 3.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.6900
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.3100
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 370.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6004, Price range: 0.6004 - 0.6004
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.5150
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.4150
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.5850
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.3950
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.6050
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.5150
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.4850
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.5000
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.4800
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.5200
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.4600
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.5400
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4250
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5750
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4050
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5950
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.3850
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.6150
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.3650
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.6350
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 1.71, Average price: 0.3400, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.3400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.3700
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.6300
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5150
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4850
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4950
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5050
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4750
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5250
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4600
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5400
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4200
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5800
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4000
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.6000
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4700
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.5300
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5300
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4700
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 12.12, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6600, Price range: 0.6600 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539784
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Elon" or "Musk" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 1300.146685
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.5400
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.4600
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.5400
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.4600
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.5350
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.4650
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.5350
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.4650
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.5350
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.4650
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5350
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4650
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.5150
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.4850
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.5000
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.4800
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.5200
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.4600
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.5400
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.4450
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.5550
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.4000
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.6000
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.3800
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.6200
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.3600
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.6400
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.3450
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 838.03, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7580, Price range: 0.3398 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4250
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5750
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4250
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5750
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4250
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5750
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4250
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5750
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4250
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2600
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.7400
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.2500
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.7500
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.2500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.2450
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7550
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.2450
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.2450
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.2450
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.2350
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.7650
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.2350
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.7650
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.2350
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.7650
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2350
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.7650
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.7700
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.2250
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7750
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1900
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.8100
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8150
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.2100
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.2100
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2100
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.1650
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.8350
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5000
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.4250
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.5750
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.4150
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.5850
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.4100
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.5900
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.5100
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.4900
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.4750
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.5250
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.4700
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.5300
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.4650
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.5350
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4650
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5350
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4600
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5400
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.4550
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.5450
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.4550
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5450
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.4600
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.5400
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.4600
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5400
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.4550
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.5450
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.5600
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.4250
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.5750
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.3450
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.6550
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.3350
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.6650
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.3300
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.6700
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.3300
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.6700
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.3300
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.6700
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.3300
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.6700
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.3300
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.6700
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.3300
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.3300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.2950
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.7050
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.2950
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.7050
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.2950
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.3000
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.7000
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.7050
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.3000
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 182.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.5488 - 0.5488

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.4200
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.5800
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.4350
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.5650
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.5500
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.4400
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4150
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5850
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4150
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5850
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4150
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5850
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4150
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5850
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4150
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5850
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.6050
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.6050
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.6050
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.6050
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.6050
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.6050
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.3700
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.3500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.6500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.3300
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.6700
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.3200
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.6800
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2900
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.7100
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.2750
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.7250
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.7450
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2350
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.7650
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.2150
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.7850
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.1950
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.8050
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.7050
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.2750
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.7250
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.7450
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.2400
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.7600
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.2200
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.7800
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.2050
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.7950
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.1450
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.8550
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.4650
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 35.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.4250
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.5750
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.4250
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.5750
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.4250
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.5750
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.4250
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.5750
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.4250
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.4250
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.5750
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.2600
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.7400
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.7450
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.2550
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.2600
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.7400
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.2550
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.7450
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.2450
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.7550
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.2450
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.2450
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.2450
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.7550
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.2350
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.7650
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.2350
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.7650
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.2350
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.7650
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.2350
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.7650
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.2300
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.7700
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.2250
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.7750
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.1900
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.8100
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.1850
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.8150
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.2100
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.2100
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.7900
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.2100
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.7900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.5350
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.4650
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.5350
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.4600
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.5400
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.4550
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.5450
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.4550
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.5450
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.4600
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.5400
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.4600
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.5400
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.4550
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.5450
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.4400
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.5600
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.4300
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.5700
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.4300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.6700
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.3300
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.6700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.3300
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.6700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.3700
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.6300
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.3650
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.6350
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.2900
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.7100
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.7050
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.2950
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.7050
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.2900
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.7100
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.2900
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.7100
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.3000
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.7000
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.7050
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.2950
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.7050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 182.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.5488 - 0.5488
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.4400
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.5600
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.4350
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.5650
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.4500
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.5500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.4450
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.5550
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.4400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.4200
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.5800
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.4350
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.5650
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.4450
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.5550
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.4300
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.5700
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.5600
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.4400
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.5600
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.4500
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.5500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.4450
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.5550
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.4150
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.5850
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.4150
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.5850
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.4150
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.5850
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.4150
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.5850
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.4150
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.5850
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.5750
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.4250
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.4250
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.5750
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.4250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 239.20, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539785
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "TikTok" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 239.195646
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.6050
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.6050
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.6050
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.6050
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.6050
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.3950
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.6050
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.3900
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.6100
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.3700
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.6300
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.3500
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.6500
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.3300
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.6700
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.3200
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.6800
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.2900
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.7100
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.2750
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.7250
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.2550
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.7450
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.2350
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 35.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.9000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.1500
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.8500
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.1200
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.8800
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.1200
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.8800
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.1200
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.8800
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.1300
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.8700
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 66.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1867, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.2000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.1200
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.8800
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1200
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.8800
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9650
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0400
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9600
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 433.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2850, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0395
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9605
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0395
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9605
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0215
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9785
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.2500
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.7500
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.4950
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.5050
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.2955
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.7045
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.1060
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.8940
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.1110
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.8890
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.1105
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.8895
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.1105
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.8895
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.1130
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.8870
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.1145
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.8855
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 100.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0693, Price range: 0.0690 - 0.0699

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.8855
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1145
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.8855
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1145
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8855
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1145
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8855
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.1145
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8855
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1145
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8855
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.1145
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.8855
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1145
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8855
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.1150
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.8850
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1155
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.8845
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.1155
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.8845
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.1060
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.8940
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.1035
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.8965
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1000
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9000
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0960
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9040
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0605
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9395
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0605
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9395
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0605
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9395
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0605
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9395
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0610
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9390
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0610
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9390
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0610
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9390
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0610
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9390
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0610
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9390
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0610
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9390
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0615
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 43.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3602, Price range: 0.0990 - 0.9780

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0620
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9380
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0620
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9380
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0620
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9380
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0620
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9380
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0620
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9380
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0620
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9380
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0565
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9435
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0565
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.9435
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0565
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9435
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0565
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.9435
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.0565
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9435
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0565
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9435
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0565
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9435
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0565
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9435
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0565
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9435
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0565
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9435
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0565
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0615
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0615
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0615
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0615
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0615
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0615
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0560
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9440
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0560
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9440
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0560
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9440
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0560
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9440
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0560
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9440
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0560
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9440
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0560
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9440
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0560
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9440
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0565
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9435
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0565
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9435
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0565
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9435
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0600
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9400
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9400
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9400
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0750, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.1000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 140.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0495
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9505
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0495
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9505
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0495
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9505
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0485
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9515
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0485
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9515
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0485
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9515
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0485
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9515
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0485
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9515
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0485
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9515
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0485
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9515
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0485
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9515
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0485
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9515
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0485
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9515
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0350
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9650
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0350
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9650
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0705
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9295
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 2783.34, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.4363, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9530

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0800
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9200
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9205
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0795
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9205
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 304.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0970, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.1000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9400
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9400
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9400
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9400
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9400
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0600
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9400
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0605
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9395
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9450
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0550
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9450
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0550
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.9450
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0500
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9500
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0500
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.9500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0500
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.9500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0500
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.9500
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.0500
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9500
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.0500
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9500
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0500
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9500
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0625
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9375
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0625
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9375
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0625
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9375
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0625
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9375
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0625
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9375
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0625
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9375
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0625
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 16.42, Sell volume: 27.47, Average price: 0.3541, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9423

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0625
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9375
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0630
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9370
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0630
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9370
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0630
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9370
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0630
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9370
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0550
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9450
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0550
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9450
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0575
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9425
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0575
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9425
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0605
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9395
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9400
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0645
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9355
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0645
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9355
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0695
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9305
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0695
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9305
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.0695
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9305
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.0700
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9300
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.0750
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9250
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 07:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0900
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.9100
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0895
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9105
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0895
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 1236.11, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0922, Price range: 0.0888 - 0.1000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9110
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0890
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9110
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0890
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9110
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0745
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9255
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0745
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9255
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0745
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9255
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0745
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9255
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0745
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9255
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0745
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9255
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0745
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9255
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0770
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9230
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0770
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9230
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0795
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9205
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0795
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9205
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0805
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9195
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0805
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9195
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0805
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9195
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0805
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9195
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0805
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9195
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0805
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9195
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0805
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9195
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0810
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9190
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0810
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9190
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0800
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.9200
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0945
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.9055
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 111.16, Sell volume: 534.60, Average price: 0.0846, Price range: 0.0503 - 0.0990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0805
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.9195
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0805
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.9195
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0805
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9195
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.0800
2025-05-08 16:00: 0.9200
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-08 17:00: 0.9200
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.4155
2025-05-08 18:00: 0.5845
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.1110
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.8890
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.1105
2025-05-08 20:00: 0.8895
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.1105
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.8895
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.1105
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.8895
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.1110
2025-05-08 23:00: 0.8890
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.1120
2025-05-09 00:00: 0.8880
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.1125
2025-05-09 01:00: 0.8875
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.1140
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.8860
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.1140
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.8860
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.1195
2025-05-09 04:00: 0.8805
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.0910
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.9090
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.0825
2025-05-09 06:00: 0.9175
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.0830
2025-05-09 07:00: 0.9170
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.0830
2025-05-09 08:00: 0.9170
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0830
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.9170
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.0735
2025-05-09 10:00: 0.9265
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.0735
2025-05-09 11:00: 0.9265
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.0580
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.9420
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.0675
2025-05-09 13:00: 0.9325
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 6056.91, Sell volume: 1244.69, Average price: 0.5365, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.7300
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.2700
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.2700
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.7300
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.1500
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.8500
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.1200
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.8800
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.1200
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 66.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1867, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.2000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.1250
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.8750
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.1200
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.8800
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.1200
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.8800
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.1100
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.8900
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 433.57, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.2850, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0395
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.9605
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0395
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9605
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9650
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0345
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9655
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 100.50, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0693, Price range: 0.0690 - 0.0699
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.8855
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.1145
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.8855
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.1145
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.8855
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.1145
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.8855
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.1145
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.8855
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.1145
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.8855
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.1145
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.8855
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.1145
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.8855
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.1150
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.8850
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.1155
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.8845
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.1155
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.8845
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.1060
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.8940
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.1035
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.8965
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.1000
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9000
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0960
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9040
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 43.97, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3602, Price range: 0.0990 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0620
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9380
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0620
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9380
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0620
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9380
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0620
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9380
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0620
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9380
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0620
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9380
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0615
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9385
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0565
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.9435
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 20.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1000, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.1000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0615
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0615
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0615
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0615
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0615
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0615
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9385
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0560
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9440
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0560
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9440
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0560
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9440
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0560
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9440
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0560
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9440
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0560
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9440
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0560
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9440
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0560
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9440
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0565
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0750, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.1000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0350
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9650
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9645
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0355
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9645
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 140.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0500, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.0500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0355
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9645
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0495
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9505
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0495
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9505
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0495
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9505
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0485
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9515
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0485
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9515
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0485
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9515
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0485
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9515
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0485
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 2783.34, Sell volume: 16.66, Average price: 0.4363, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9530
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 539786
Question: Will Karoline Leavitt say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during next White House press briefing?
Volume: 13532.721275
Price History:
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9250
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0800
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9200
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9205
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0795
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 304.21, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0970, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.1000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes