Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559685
Question: Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 14804512.064443
Price History:
2025-09-07 15:00: 0.9955
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9955
2025-09-08 05:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 19:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 23:00: 0.0045
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9955
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9955
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9955
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9955
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9955
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9955
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9955
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9955
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.0045
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0045
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9955
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0045
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0045
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.9955
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0045
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.9955
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559685
Question: Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 14804512.064443
Price History:
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.9955
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0045
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.0045
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.0035
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.9965
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.9965
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 09:00: 0.9965
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.0035
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 06:00: 0.9965
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0035
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.9965
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.0035
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 00:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.0035
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9955
2025-09-23 21:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-24 11:00: 0.9955
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.0045
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.9955
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559685
Question: Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 14804512.064443
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0045
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.9955
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0045
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0045
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0045
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0045
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0045
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0045
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9955
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9955
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0045
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0045
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0055
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9945
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.0065
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0065
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0065
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0065
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9935
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9935
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9935
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559685
Question: Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 14804512.064443
Price History:
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0065
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9935
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0065
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0065
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0065
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0065
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0065
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9935
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0065
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0065
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9935
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9935
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0065
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9935
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9935
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0065
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9925
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9925
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9925
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9890
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9900
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.9885
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9905
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559685
Question: Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 14804512.064443
Price History:
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0085
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0085
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0085
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0075
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0075
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0075
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0075
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9925
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9925
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9915
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9915
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9915
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9915
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.9915
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.9915
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9915
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9915
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0085
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0085
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0085
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559685
Question: Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 14804512.064443
Price History:
2025-10-23 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-24 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-25 18:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 12:00: 0.0075
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0075
2025-10-28 23:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.0075
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.0075
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.0075
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0075
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0075
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0065
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559685
Question: Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 14804512.064443
Price History:
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0065
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0065
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0065
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0065
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0065
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0075
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0075
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0075
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0075
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0075
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559685
Question: Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 14804512.064443
Price History:
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.0075
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0065
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.0065
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0055
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0050
2025-11-13 00:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 14:00: 0.0045
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.0045
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 08:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.0045
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 09:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0045
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0045
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0045
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9100
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 370.26, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.9584, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 370.26, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.9584, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 370.26, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.9584, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 370.26, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.9584, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.1950
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.8050
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.1400
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.8600
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.3600
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.6400
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.3250
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.1400
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.8600
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0200
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9800
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0205
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9795
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0235
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9765
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 11.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9567, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.4995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 370.26, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.9584, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 71.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 61.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 59.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.0405
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.9595
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.4985
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5015
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.4985
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5015
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.2185
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.7815
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.2155
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.7845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 110.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0900
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9100
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0900
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9100
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 370.26, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.9584, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9600
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0400
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 370.26, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.9584, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 370.26, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.9584, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0400
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9100
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0900
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 370.26, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.9584, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.1950
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.8050
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.1400
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.8600
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.0750
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.3600
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.6400
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.3250
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.6750
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.2100
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.7900
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.1400
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.8600
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.8900
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.1100
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9200, Price range: 0.9200 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0900
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9100
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0850
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9150
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0850
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9150
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9350
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.0200
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9800
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0205
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.9795
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.0235
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.9765
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 11.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9567, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.4995, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9985
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 370.26, Sell volume: 11.36, Average price: 0.9584, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 71.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9985
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 61.60, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 59.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700154
Question: Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 381.618023
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.9985
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.0005
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.9995
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.0405
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.9595
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.4985
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5015
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.4985
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5015
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.2185
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.7815
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.2155
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.7845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 110.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9990, Price range: 0.9990 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.4950
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0730
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9305
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0675
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9340
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0655
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9345
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9345
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0655
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9350
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0655
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9340
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0660
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9340
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0645
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9355
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0615
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9385
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0615
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9365
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0635
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.9365
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0635
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9365
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.0635
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.9365
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0655
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9365
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0635
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.9365
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0640
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.9355
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0625
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.9375
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0625
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.9375
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.0625
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.9375
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0625
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.9375
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.0620
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.9380
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0620
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9380
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0620
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.9380
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0625
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9380
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0620
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9380
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0620
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9380
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0620
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9380
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0620
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.9380
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0610
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9375
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0610
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.9390
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0610
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.9395
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.0605
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9395
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0605
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.9395
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0605
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.9395
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0610
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.9390
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.0610
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.9390
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.0610
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9390
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0610
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.9390
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0610
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.9390
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0610
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.9390
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.0610
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.9390
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.0610
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.9390
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0610
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.9390
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.0610
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.9390
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0610
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9390
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0610
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9390
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0610
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9390
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.0610
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9390
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.0605
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.9385
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0610
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.0610
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.9390
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9390
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0615
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9390
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9390
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0610
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9385
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0610
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0610
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9390
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.9390
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.0610
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0610
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9390
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0610
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9390
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0605
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.9395
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9430
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0535
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9465
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0535
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9465
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0535
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.9465
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.0530
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.9480
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.0515
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9485
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9485
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0515
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.9485
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9495
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0505
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9495
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0505
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9540
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0455
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0455
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9545
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.0455
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.9545
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9555
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0445
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.0440
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9560
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0380
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0320
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9685
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.9685
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.0315
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9685
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.9685
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9685
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9685
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9685
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0320
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.9685
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0305
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.9695
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.0285
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.9715
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0295
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9700
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.0300
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0305
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0305
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0310
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0305
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0295
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9695
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.9680
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.9560
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.9565
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.9580
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.9580
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.0420
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.9580
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0420
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.9580
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0415
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.9595
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9570
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0430
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.9570
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.0425
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.0425
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.0420
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9580
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.0420
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.9580
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.9585
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.0425
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9590
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.0410
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.0405
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.9595
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9590
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9595
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.9590
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9590
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.0410
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0410
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.0410
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.0410
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0410
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.9585
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0420
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0420
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9580
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0420
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9580
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0420
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.9580
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.0415
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0415
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0410
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0405
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9595
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.0405
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0405
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0405
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0405
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.9590
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9590
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.9590
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9590
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9590
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9590
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.0395
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.9605
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.9600
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0400
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0400
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9605
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0390
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9610
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9605
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9605
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9605
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0395
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.9610
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9610
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.0390
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9600
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0400
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0400
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0395
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9605
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.0395
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.9605
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.9600
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9600
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9605
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0395
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9605
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0385
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0385
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9605
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0395
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0395
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9615
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9615
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0375
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9625
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.0375
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.9620
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.0385
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9620
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.0370
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9630
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9635
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.9635
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0365
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.0365
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.0365
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.0365
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.9635
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9620
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9625
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9625
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.9625
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0375
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9630
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0375
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9645
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0355
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0375
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9625
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9625
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0375
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.0370
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0370
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0375
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.0375
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0375
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.0375
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9620
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.0435
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.0455
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0425
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0420
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0430
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9575
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.9580
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.0420
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9580
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0420
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.0420
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0420
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0420
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.9580
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0420
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.9580
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9580
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9580
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9580
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0420
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9580
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.9580
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0425
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.0415
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0415
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9585
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0415
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.9585
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0415
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9580
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0415
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9585
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.0415
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0415
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0415
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0415
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9585
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0415
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.0415
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9585
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9585
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0415
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0395
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9615
2025-09-23 20:00: 0.9615
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.9615
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.9615
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.0385
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0385
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.0385
2025-09-24 23:00: 0.9615
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.0375
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.9625
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0390
2025-09-25 17:00: 0.9605
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.0395
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9605
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.9605
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0395
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0395
2025-09-26 20:00: 0.0395
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.9605
2025-09-27 05:00: 0.0395
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0395
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.9625
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.9615
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9615
2025-09-28 04:00: 0.9625
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9625
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.9625
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9625
2025-09-28 22:00: 0.0380
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9620
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0375
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.9625
2025-09-29 16:00: 0.0375
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9625
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.9630
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0370
2025-09-30 10:00: 0.9625
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.9625
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.9630
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.0365
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9630
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9630
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.9605
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0415
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0410
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0400
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9600
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0400
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9600
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.0400
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9605
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9605
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9625
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0365
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0365
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0365
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.0365
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.0360
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9640
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9640
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9610
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9610
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0390
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0380
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0385
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9620
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0375
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0365
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9630
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0365
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9635
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0380
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9620
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0375
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0375
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9615
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0385
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9610
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0390
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0390
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9610
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0390
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9610
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0390
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0390
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0390
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0375
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0385
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9620
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0390
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9610
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9610
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9620
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9620
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0385
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0380
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0380
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9635
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0365
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0370
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0370
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9630
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0365
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9635
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0365
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0365
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0365
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0370
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9630
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0365
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9625
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9630
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9625
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9635
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9630
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.9625
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9625
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.0370
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0370
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0370
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0370
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.0370
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.0365
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.0365
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0370
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.9625
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0375
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0365
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.0365
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9625
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.0360
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.0360
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.9640
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.0360
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9625
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0380
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.0360
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9635
2025-10-21 04:00: 0.0365
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9630
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9635
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0385
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.0385
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0385
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9610
2025-10-22 22:00: 0.0395
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9605
2025-10-23 07:00: 0.0395
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9610
2025-10-23 16:00: 0.0385
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.9610
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.9615
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.9610
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9610
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9610
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.9610
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.0395
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.9610
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.9615
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.9610
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.0395
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9610
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.0380
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.9620
2025-10-27 19:00: 0.0380
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.9620
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0380
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.9625
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0380
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.9630
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0375
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9620
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0380
2025-10-29 15:00: 0.9620
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0375
2025-10-30 00:00: 0.9625
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0375
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.9630
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0370
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.9630
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0370
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9630
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0370
2025-10-31 12:00: 0.9630
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0370
2025-10-31 21:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0370
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.9630
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0370
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.9635
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0370
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9630
2025-11-02 10:00: 0.0370
2025-11-02 14:00: 0.9635
2025-11-02 19:00: 0.0370
2025-11-02 23:00: 0.9630
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0365
2025-11-03 08:00: 0.9635
2025-11-03 13:00: 0.0365
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.9625
2025-11-03 22:00: 0.0375
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9630
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0370
2025-11-04 11:00: 0.9635
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0355
2025-11-04 20:00: 0.9645
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0360
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.9635
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.0360
2025-11-05 14:00: 0.9630
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.0360
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9640
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0355
2025-11-06 08:00: 0.9640
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0365
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9635
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0370
2025-11-07 02:00: 0.9625
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0360
2025-11-07 11:00: 0.9645
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0365
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9630
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0375
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.9630
2025-11-08 10:00: 0.0365
2025-11-08 14:00: 0.9635
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0365
2025-11-08 23:00: 0.9630
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0370
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.9635
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0365
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9635
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0365
2025-11-10 02:00: 0.9635
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0360
2025-11-10 11:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0365
2025-11-11 02:00: 0.9640
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0370
2025-11-11 11:00: 0.9640
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0360
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9625
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0365
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.9635
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0360
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.9630
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0365
2025-11-12 23:00: 0.9635
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0370
2025-11-13 08:00: 0.9630
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0365
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9635
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0370
2025-11-14 02:00: 0.9630
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0365
2025-11-14 11:00: 0.9635
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0365
2025-11-14 20:00: 0.9635
2025-11-15 01:00: 0.0370
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.9635
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0365
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9630
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0355
2025-11-15 23:00: 0.9640
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0360
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.9630
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0360
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.9635
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0360
2025-11-17 02:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 07:00: 0.0360
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0395
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.9615
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0380
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9615
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0380
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.9620
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0390
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.9610
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0385
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9600
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0385
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9610
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0390
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.4100
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5900
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.3100
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.1200
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.8800
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0600
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.2100
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.7900
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.1650
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.8350
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.8800
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0900
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.0330
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.9670
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.0430
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.9570
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.0295
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.9705
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.0390
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.9610
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.0385
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.9615
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.0405
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.9595
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.4990
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5010
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.4990
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5010
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.4940
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5060
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.4910
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 5.98, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.4002, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9325
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0685
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9340
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.0655
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9345
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0655
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9350
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0660
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9340
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0645
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9385
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0615
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.9365
2025-07-22 17:00: 0.0630
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9365
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.0635
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.9345
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0635
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.9365
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.0645
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.9375
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.0625
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.9375
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0625
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.9380
2025-07-26 10:00: 0.0620
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9380
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0620
2025-07-27 08:00: 0.9380
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0620
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.9380
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.0620
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9380
2025-07-29 04:00: 0.0620
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.9390
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0610
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.9390
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.0605
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9395
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0605
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.9395
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0610
2025-07-31 23:00: 0.9390
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.0610
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9390
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.0610
2025-08-02 05:00: 0.9390
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0610
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.9390
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.0610
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.9390
2025-08-03 19:00: 0.0610
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.9390
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0610
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.9390
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.0610
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9390
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.0610
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.9390
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0610
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.0610
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.0605
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9390
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.9390
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0610
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0610
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.9390
2025-08-09 01:00: 0.0610
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9390
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.0610
2025-08-09 23:00: 0.0605
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9430
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0535
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.9465
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.0535
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.0530
2025-08-11 20:00: 0.0515
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.9485
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.0515
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.0515
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0505
2025-08-13 10:00: 0.9495
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.9545
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0455
2025-08-14 08:00: 0.0455
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.0455
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0445
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.9565
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.9685
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.9685
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.0315
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.9685
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.0315
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.9680
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0305
2025-08-18 08:00: 0.9695
2025-08-18 16:00: 0.0285
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9700
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.9700
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9665
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0305
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.9705
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.9570
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.9565
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.9580
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.9580
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0420
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.9595
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.9595
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0430
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.9570
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.0425
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.9580
2025-08-23 23:00: 0.0420
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0425
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9590
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.0410
2025-08-25 05:00: 0.0405
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.9590
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9590
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.0410
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.0410
2025-08-27 00:00: 0.9590
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.9585
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.0420
2025-08-27 22:00: 0.0415
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.0420
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0420
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.0420
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.9585
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0405
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.9595
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9595
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0405
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.9590
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0410
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9590
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.0400
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.9605
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0400
2025-09-01 15:00: 0.0400
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.9610
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.9605
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.0395
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.9605
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.9610
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.9600
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0395
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.0395
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.0390
2025-09-05 15:00: 0.9610
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.0400
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9605
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0395
2025-09-06 21:00: 0.9615
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.9605
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.0395
2025-09-07 19:00: 0.9615
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.0375
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.9625
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9620
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9620
2025-09-09 09:00: 0.9630
2025-09-09 16:00: 0.9635
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0365
2025-09-10 07:00: 0.9635
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.9635
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9620
2025-09-11 06:00: 0.0375
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9625
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.9630
2025-09-12 04:00: 0.0360
2025-09-12 12:00: 0.0365
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9625
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.0375
2025-09-13 10:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0370
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.0375
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0375
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9620
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.9545
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9575
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.0430
2025-09-16 04:00: 0.0420
2025-09-16 12:00: 0.0420
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.0420
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.0420
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.0420
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.0420
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9580
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.9580
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0420
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0420
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9580
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0415
2025-09-19 23:00: 0.9585
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.0415
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9580
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0415
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.0415
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0415
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.0415
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.0415
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9585
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.9585
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9605
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.9615
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.0385
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0385
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.0385
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.0385
2025-09-25 05:00: 0.9625
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.0390
2025-09-25 20:00: 0.9605
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.0395
2025-09-26 11:00: 0.0395
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.9605
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0395
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.0395
2025-09-27 17:00: 0.9615
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.0385
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.9625
2025-09-28 16:00: 0.9620
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0380
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.0375
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0375
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.0375
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.0370
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.9625
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0370
2025-10-01 04:00: 0.9630
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.9630
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0405
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0410
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0400
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9600
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0400
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.0370
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0365
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9635
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0365
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9640
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9640
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0385
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0390
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0385
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9625
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0365
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9635
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0375
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9620
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9625
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0385
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9610
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9610
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.0390
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9610
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0390
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9610
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0375
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0380
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0390
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9610
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0385
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0380
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0385
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9620
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0365
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0370
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0370
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9630
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0365
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9635
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9630
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0365
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0370
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0365
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9630
2025-10-16 23:00: 0.0375
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9630
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0370
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.0375
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.0365
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0370
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.9625
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0365
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9625
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9640
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0360
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.9625
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.9625
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0365
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9630
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.9615
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9615
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.0385
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9610
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.0395
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9610
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.9615
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0390
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.9610
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.0395
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.9610
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.9605
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.0390
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.9615
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.9610
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.0380
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.9620
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0380
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.9620
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0375
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9620
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0380
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.9625
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0375
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.9630
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0370
2025-10-31 03:00: 0.9630
2025-10-31 11:00: 0.0370
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.0370
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.9625
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.0365
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.9630
2025-11-02 13:00: 0.0365
2025-11-02 20:00: 0.9630
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0365
2025-11-03 11:00: 0.9635
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0370
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.9630
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0365
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.9645
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0360
2025-11-05 08:00: 0.9640
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0365
2025-11-05 23:00: 0.9640
2025-11-06 07:00: 0.0360
2025-11-06 14:00: 0.9635
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0370
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.9635
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0355
2025-11-07 20:00: 0.9630
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0365
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.9640
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0365
2025-11-09 02:00: 0.9630
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0370
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.9635
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0365
2025-11-10 08:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 559655
Question: Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Volume: 1497277.921568
Price History:
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0365
2025-11-11 05:00: 0.9635
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0360
2025-11-11 20:00: 0.9625
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0375
2025-11-12 11:00: 0.9635
2025-11-12 19:00: 0.0365
2025-11-13 02:00: 0.9630
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0370
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.9635
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0370
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.9635
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0365
2025-11-14 23:00: 0.9630
2025-11-15 07:00: 0.0365
2025-11-15 14:00: 0.9630
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0360
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.9640
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0360
2025-11-16 20:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0360
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.9640
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0395
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.9620
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0380
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.9610
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0380
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9600
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0390
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9610
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.4950
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.5050
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.2450
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.7550
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-24 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0700
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0700
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.9300
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 14:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0500
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.9500
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 21:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 22:00: 0.9550
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 01:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0450
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.9500
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 13:00: 0.9500
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.0500
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.9500
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 19:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 22:00: 0.9300
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0700
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0700
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.9300
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.2350
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.7650
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.1750
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.8250
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.1250
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.8750
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 07:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 08:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-26 10:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.88, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.4100
2025-11-26 11:00: 0.5900
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.3100
2025-11-26 12:00: 0.6900
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.2750
2025-11-26 13:00: 0.7250
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.2450
2025-11-26 14:00: 0.7550
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.1350
2025-11-26 15:00: 0.8650
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.1150
2025-11-26 16:00: 0.8850
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.1300
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.8700
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.1150
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.8850
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.1200
2025-11-26 19:00: 0.8800
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.0550
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9900, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0550
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.9450
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-26 22:00: 0.9400
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.0600
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 01:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.3100
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.6900
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.2100
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.7900
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-27 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.2450
2025-11-27 07:00: 0.7550
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.1800
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.8200
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.1650
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.8350
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.1300
2025-11-27 10:00: 0.8700
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.1250
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.8750
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.1200
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.8800
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.1100
2025-11-27 13:00: 0.8900
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.1100
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.8900
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.1050
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.8950
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.0900
2025-11-27 16:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.0850
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9150
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-27 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.0800
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9200
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0600
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.0500
2025-11-27 22:00: 0.9500
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.0450
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9550
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0450
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.9550
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 04:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 10:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.9200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 13:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 14:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 15:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 16:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 17:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.0800
2025-11-28 18:00: 0.9200
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 19:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 20:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 22:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.0750
2025-11-28 23:00: 0.9250
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.0750
2025-11-29 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.0800
2025-11-29 01:00: 0.9200
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.0800
2025-11-29 02:00: 0.9200
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.0450
2025-11-29 03:00: 0.9550
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.0850
2025-11-29 04:00: 0.9150
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.0450
2025-11-29 05:00: 0.9550
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.0450
2025-11-29 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-29 07:00: 0.9550
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.1050
2025-11-29 08:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 15.85, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.5687, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 700156
Question: Will Alexander Albon get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?
Volume: 23.8637
Price History:
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.0330
2025-11-29 09:00: 0.9670
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.0430
2025-11-29 10:00: 0.9570
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.0295
2025-11-29 11:00: 0.9705
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.0390
2025-11-29 12:00: 0.9610
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.0385
2025-11-29 13:00: 0.9615
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.0405
2025-11-29 14:00: 0.9595
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.4990
2025-11-29 15:00: 0.5010
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.4990
2025-11-29 16:00: 0.5010
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.4940
2025-11-29 17:00: 0.5060
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.4910
2025-11-29 18:00: 0.5090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 5.98, Sell volume: 8.01, Average price: 0.4002, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559672
Question: Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8889516.300366
Price History:
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.5000
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.4965
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0170
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9915
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0095
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.9900
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0100
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.9900
2025-07-19 20:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9900
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9895
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0100
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9900
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0100
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9900
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0095
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9905
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0095
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9905
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.0095
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.9905
2025-07-22 11:00: 0.0095
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.9905
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.0090
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9910
2025-07-23 04:00: 0.0090
2025-07-23 08:00: 0.9910
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.0095
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.9910
2025-07-23 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.9915
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0085
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.9915
2025-07-24 16:00: 0.0085
2025-07-24 20:00: 0.9915
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.0075
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.9920
2025-07-25 10:00: 0.0080
2025-07-25 14:00: 0.9920
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.0080
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.9920
2025-07-26 04:00: 0.0080
2025-07-26 08:00: 0.9920
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.0085
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9920
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.0080
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.9920
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.0080
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559672
Question: Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8889516.300366
Price History:
2025-07-27 22:00: 0.0080
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.9920
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0080
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.9920
2025-07-28 16:00: 0.0085
2025-07-28 20:00: 0.9910
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.0085
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.9915
2025-07-29 10:00: 0.0075
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.9920
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.0090
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.9915
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0090
2025-07-30 08:00: 0.9910
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.0090
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.9910
2025-07-30 22:00: 0.0085
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.9905
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.0090
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.9910
2025-07-31 16:00: 0.0095
2025-07-31 20:00: 0.9910
2025-08-01 01:00: 0.0090
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.9910
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.0090
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.9910
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0090
2025-08-01 23:00: 0.9910
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.0090
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.9910
2025-08-02 13:00: 0.0090
2025-08-02 17:00: 0.9910
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.0090
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.9910
2025-08-03 07:00: 0.0085
2025-08-03 11:00: 0.9915
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.0085
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.9915
2025-08-04 01:00: 0.0085
2025-08-04 05:00: 0.9915
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0085
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.9915
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.0085
2025-08-04 23:00: 0.9915
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.0085
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.9915
2025-08-05 13:00: 0.0085
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.9915
2025-08-05 22:00: 0.0085
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559672
Question: Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8889516.300366
Price History:
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.0085
2025-08-06 17:00: 0.9915
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.0085
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0085
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.0085
2025-08-07 11:00: 0.9915
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.9915
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.0085
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.9915
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9915
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.0085
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9915
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0095
2025-08-08 23:00: 0.9910
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.0095
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.9905
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.0090
2025-08-09 17:00: 0.9910
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.0085
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.0085
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.9915
2025-08-10 11:00: 0.0085
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.9915
2025-08-10 20:00: 0.0085
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.9915
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.9915
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.0085
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9915
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.0085
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.9915
2025-08-12 04:00: 0.0085
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9915
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.0085
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.0085
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.9915
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0085
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.9915
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.0075
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.9935
2025-08-13 20:00: 0.0065
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.0065
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.9935
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.9935
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.9935
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0065
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.9935
2025-08-15 08:00: 0.9945
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.0055
2025-08-15 17:00: 0.0045
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559672
Question: Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8889516.300366
Price History:
2025-08-16 04:00: 0.0045
2025-08-16 08:00: 0.0045
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.9955
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.0045
2025-08-16 22:00: 0.0045
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0045
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9955
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.9955
2025-08-17 16:00: 0.0045
2025-08-17 20:00: 0.0045
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.0045
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.9955
2025-08-18 10:00: 0.0045
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.0045
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.0065
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.9935
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.9935
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0065
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.0065
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.0065
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0065
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.9935
2025-08-20 11:00: 0.9935
2025-08-20 16:00: 0.0065
2025-08-20 20:00: 0.9935
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.0075
2025-08-21 05:00: 0.0075
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.9925
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.0075
2025-08-21 19:00: 0.0075
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.9925
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.0075
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.0065
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.0065
2025-08-22 17:00: 0.0075
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.9925
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9925
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.9930
2025-08-23 11:00: 0.9935
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.0065
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.0065
2025-08-24 01:00: 0.0065
2025-08-24 05:00: 0.0065
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.9935
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0065
2025-08-24 19:00: 0.9935
2025-08-24 23:00: 0.9925
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.0075
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.9925
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559672
Question: Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8889516.300366
Price History:
2025-08-25 19:00: 0.0065
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.9935
2025-08-26 03:00: 0.9930
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.9935
2025-08-26 12:00: 0.9925
2025-08-26 16:00: 0.9935
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.9935
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9935
2025-08-27 06:00: 0.0065
2025-08-27 10:00: 0.0070
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.9935
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0065
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.9935
2025-08-28 04:00: 0.0065
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.9935
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.0065
2025-08-28 18:00: 0.0065
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.9935
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.0065
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 12:00: 0.0055
2025-08-29 16:00: 0.9945
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.9945
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0055
2025-08-30 06:00: 0.0055
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.9945
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.0055
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 04:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 09:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.0065
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.9935
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 07:00: 0.0065
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.0070
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.9925
2025-09-01 21:00: 0.0065
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0060
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.0055
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.9945
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.0045
2025-09-02 19:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.0050
2025-09-03 09:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.9950
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.0055
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559672
Question: Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8889516.300366
Price History:
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.9945
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.0055
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.9945
2025-09-04 22:00: 0.0055
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.9945
2025-09-05 07:00: 0.9945
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.0055
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.9945
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.0055
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9945
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.9945
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0055
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.9945
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.9945
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.0055
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.9955
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.9955
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.9955
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.9955
2025-09-08 07:00: 0.9955
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.9955
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.0045
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0045
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.9955
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.0045
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.0045
2025-09-10 04:00: 0.9955
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.9955
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9955
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.0045
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.9955
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0045
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.9955
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.0045
2025-09-11 16:00: 0.0045
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.0045
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9955
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.9940
2025-09-12 10:00: 0.0060
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.0060
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.9935
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 559672
Question: Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8889516.300366
Price History:
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.0065
2025-09-14 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.9935
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.9935
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.9935
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.9935
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0065
2025-09-15 16:00: 0.0065
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.9935
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9935
2025-09-16 06:00: 0.0065
2025-09-16 10:00: 0.9935
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.9935
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-17 00:00: 0.9935
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.0065
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.0060
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0065
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.9935
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.0065
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9940
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.9940
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.9940
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.0060
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.9940
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0060
2025-09-19 07:00: 0.0055
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.9945
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.0055
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.9945
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.0065
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.9940
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0060
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9945
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.0055
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9945
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.0055
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.9945
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.0045
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.0045
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9945
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.9945
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.9950
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.9955
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.0045
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.0055
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: No