Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657260
Question: Will Airbnb reach $150 in November?
Volume: 5298.855954
Price History:
2025-11-04 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 10:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 12:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 13:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 15:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 18:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 19:00: 0.0950
2025-11-04 21:00: 0.9050
2025-11-04 22:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 00:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 03:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.9050
2025-11-05 07:00: 0.0950
2025-11-05 09:00: 0.9000
2025-11-05 10:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 12:00: 0.9000
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 15:00: 0.9000
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 18:00: 0.9000
2025-11-05 19:00: 0.1000
2025-11-05 21:00: 0.9000
2025-11-05 22:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 300.00, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.0925, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.1000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657260
Question: Will Airbnb reach $150 in November?
Volume: 5298.855954
Price History:
2025-11-06 09:00: 0.9150
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-06 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-06 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 09:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 10:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 12:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 13:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 18:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 19:00: 0.0750
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.9250
2025-11-07 22:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 00:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 01:00: 0.0750
2025-11-08 03:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.31, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9400 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657260
Question: Will Airbnb reach $150 in November?
Volume: 5298.855954
Price History:
2025-11-08 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 19:00: 0.0700
2025-11-08 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-08 22:00: 0.0700
2025-11-09 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 12:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-09 21:00: 0.9350
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 00:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 01:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 06:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-10 09:00: 0.9350
2025-11-10 10:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 54.23, Sell volume: 150.00, Average price: 0.5860, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657260
Question: Will Airbnb reach $150 in November?
Volume: 5298.855954
Price History:
2025-11-10 21:00: 0.9400
2025-11-10 22:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 00:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 01:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 03:00: 0.9400
2025-11-11 04:00: 0.0600
2025-11-11 06:00: 0.9550
2025-11-11 07:00: 0.0450
2025-11-11 09:00: 0.9550
2025-11-11 10:00: 0.0450
2025-11-11 12:00: 0.9600
2025-11-11 13:00: 0.0400
2025-11-11 15:00: 0.9600
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0400
2025-11-11 18:00: 0.9600
2025-11-11 19:00: 0.0355
2025-11-11 21:00: 0.9645
2025-11-11 22:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 01:00: 0.0355
2025-11-12 03:00: 0.9645
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.9650
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0350
2025-11-12 09:00: 0.9650
2025-11-12 10:00: 0.0350
2025-11-12 12:00: 0.9650
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0350
2025-11-12 15:00: 0.9730
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 423.00, Sell volume: 50.00, Average price: 0.4775, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657260
Question: Will Airbnb reach $150 in November?
Volume: 5298.855954
Price History:
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.9760
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0240
2025-11-13 06:00: 0.9760
2025-11-13 07:00: 0.0235
2025-11-13 09:00: 0.9790
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0270
2025-11-13 12:00: 0.9755
2025-11-13 13:00: 0.0245
2025-11-13 15:00: 0.9810
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0190
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.9765
2025-11-13 19:00: 0.0235
2025-11-13 21:00: 0.9765
2025-11-13 22:00: 0.0235
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.9765
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0235
2025-11-14 03:00: 0.9765
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0235
2025-11-14 06:00: 0.9820
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0195
2025-11-14 09:00: 0.9780
2025-11-14 10:00: 0.0220
2025-11-14 12:00: 0.9780
2025-11-14 13:00: 0.0215
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.9785
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0215
2025-11-14 18:00: 0.9780
2025-11-14 19:00: 0.0180
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.9870
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 4331.18, Sell volume: 967.68, Average price: 0.6104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657260
Question: Will Airbnb reach $150 in November?
Volume: 5298.855954
Price History:
2025-11-15 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-15 10:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.9865
2025-11-15 13:00: 0.0135
2025-11-15 15:00: 0.9865
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0140
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.9860
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0140
2025-11-15 21:00: 0.9860
2025-11-15 22:00: 0.0140
2025-11-16 00:00: 0.9860
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0140
2025-11-16 03:00: 0.9860
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0140
2025-11-16 06:00: 0.9860
2025-11-16 07:00: 0.0140
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.9860
2025-11-16 10:00: 0.0140
2025-11-16 12:00: 0.9860
2025-11-16 13:00: 0.0140
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.9860
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0140
2025-11-16 18:00: 0.9860
2025-11-16 19:00: 0.0140
2025-11-16 21:00: 0.9860
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0140
2025-11-17 00:00: 0.9860
2025-11-17 01:00: 0.0140
2025-11-17 03:00: 0.9860
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 8.46, Average price: 0.0080, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.0080
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657260
Question: Will Airbnb reach $150 in November?
Volume: 5298.855954
Price History:
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.9860
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0140
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.9855
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0140
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.9860
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.0145
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.9860
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.0140
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.9860
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0140
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9920
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.0080
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.9920
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0140
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.9860
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.0140
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.9865
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0140
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.9860
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.0140
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.9860
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.0140
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.9860
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0140
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9860
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0140
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9860
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0140
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9860
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 56, Buy volume: 4331.18, Sell volume: 967.68, Average price: 0.6104, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657260
Question: Will Airbnb reach $150 in November?
Volume: 5298.855954
Price History:
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9880
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0120
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9880
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0080
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9920
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0105
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9885
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0115
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9925
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9930
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9905
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0095
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9910
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0075
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9910
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0080
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9920
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0080
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9925
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0075
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 163.26, Sell volume: 172.42, Average price: 0.4459, Price range: 0.0063 - 0.9932
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657260
Question: Will Airbnb reach $150 in November?
Volume: 5298.855954
Price History:
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0100
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9915
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0090
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0100
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0100
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9905
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0095
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9905
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-22 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-22 22:00: 0.0070
2025-11-23 00:00: 0.9930
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0070
2025-11-23 03:00: 0.9930
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0070
2025-11-23 06:00: 0.9930
2025-11-23 07:00: 0.0070
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-23 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-23 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-23 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-23 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-23 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-23 21:00: 0.9930
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.11, Sell volume: 4.30, Average price: 0.9930, Price range: 0.9920 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657260
Question: Will Airbnb reach $150 in November?
Volume: 5298.855954
Price History:
2025-11-24 09:00: 0.9930
2025-11-24 10:00: 0.0070
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.9930
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0070
2025-11-24 15:00: 0.9930
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0070
2025-11-24 18:00: 0.9930
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0070
2025-11-24 23:00: 0.5045
2025-11-25 00:00: 0.0265
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.9790
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0255
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.9410
2025-11-25 06:00: 0.0295
2025-11-25 08:00: 0.9490
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0920
2025-11-25 11:00: 0.9080
2025-11-25 12:00: 0.0930
2025-11-25 14:00: 0.5455
2025-11-25 15:00: 0.4510
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.9845
2025-11-25 18:00: 0.0090
2025-11-25 20:00: 0.9945
2025-11-25 21:00: 0.0055
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.9945
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0055
2025-11-26 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-26 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.9940
2025-11-26 06:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 18, Buy volume: 148.05, Sell volume: 8.46, Average price: 0.9381, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 657260
Question: Will Airbnb reach $150 in November?
Volume: 5298.855954
Price History:
2025-11-26 17:00: 0.9940
2025-11-26 18:00: 0.0060
2025-11-26 20:00: 0.9940
2025-11-26 21:00: 0.0060
2025-11-26 23:00: 0.9940
2025-11-27 00:00: 0.0060
2025-11-27 02:00: 0.9945
2025-11-27 03:00: 0.0055
2025-11-27 05:00: 0.9950
2025-11-27 06:00: 0.0050
2025-11-27 08:00: 0.9950
2025-11-27 09:00: 0.0050
2025-11-27 11:00: 0.9950
2025-11-27 12:00: 0.0050
2025-11-27 14:00: 0.9950
2025-11-27 15:00: 0.0050
2025-11-27 17:00: 0.9950
2025-11-27 18:00: 0.0050
2025-11-27 20:00: 0.9950
2025-11-27 21:00: 0.0050
2025-11-27 23:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 00:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 06:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-28 09:00: 0.0035
2025-11-28 11:00: 0.9970
2025-11-28 12:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 3186.21, Sell volume: 459.81, Average price: 0.4990, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Outcomes: ["$2500", "$3000"]
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.8050
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.1950
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.6600
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.3400
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.6600
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.3400
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.6600
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.3400
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.5950
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.4050
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.5350
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.4650
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.5500
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.4500
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.4950
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.4950
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.4950
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.5500
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.4500
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.5250
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.4750
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.5500
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.4500
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.5500
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.4500
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.6150
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.3850
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.5950
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.4050
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.5450
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.4550
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.5250
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.4750
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.5150
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.4850
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.4750
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.5250
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 5932.46, Sell volume: 3253.00, Average price: 0.5271, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Outcomes: ["$2500", "$3000"]
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.5350
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.4950
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.5200
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.4800
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.4950
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.5150
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.4850
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.5100
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.4900
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.5350
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.4650
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.5200
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.4800
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.5150
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.4850
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.5200
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.4800
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.5300
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.5300
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.5350
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.4650
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.5300
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.5300
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.5350
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.4650
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.5200
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.4800
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.5200
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.4800
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.5250
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.4750
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.5250
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.4750
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.5450
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 5708.16, Sell volume: 817.50, Average price: 0.5063, Price range: 0.4560 - 0.5500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Outcomes: ["$2500", "$3000"]
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.5400
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.4600
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.5400
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.4600
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.5700
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.4300
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.5350
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.4650
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.5350
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.4650
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.5500
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.4500
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.5400
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.4600
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.5450
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.4550
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.5450
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.4550
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.5450
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.4550
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.5450
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.4550
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.5550
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.4450
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.5500
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.4500
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.5350
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.4650
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.5350
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.4650
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.5200
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.4800
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.5200
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.4800
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.6050
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.3950
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.5700
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.4300
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.5950
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.4050
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 4571.91, Sell volume: 4631.69, Average price: 0.5216, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5931

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Outcomes: ["$2500", "$3000"]
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.4350
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.5650
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.4350
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.5950
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.4050
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.5900
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.4100
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.5850
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.4150
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.5850
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.4150
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.5850
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.4150
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.6000
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.4000
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.6150
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.3850
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.6200
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.3800
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.6100
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.3900
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.6050
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.3950
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.6450
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.3550
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.6400
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.3600
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.6100
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.3900
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.6200
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.3800
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.6400
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.3600
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.6450
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.3550
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.6400
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.3600
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.6100
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.3900
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.6100
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.3900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2090.44, Sell volume: 588.31, Average price: 0.5618, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Outcomes: ["$2500", "$3000"]
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.5450
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.4550
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.5150
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.4850
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.4900
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.5100
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.4600
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.5400
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.4500
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.5500
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.4400
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.5600
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.3200
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.6800
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.4650
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.5350
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.5300
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.4700
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.5000
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.5000
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.5700
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.4300
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.5350
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.4650
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.5100
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.4900
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.4300
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.5700
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.5050
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.4950
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.4950
2025-02-17 19:00: 0.5050
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.5250
2025-02-17 20:00: 0.4750
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.5050
2025-02-17 21:00: 0.4950
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.5400
2025-02-17 22:00: 0.4600
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.5400
2025-02-17 23:00: 0.4600
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.5750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 5448.10, Sell volume: 1228.28, Average price: 0.4972, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Outcomes: ["$2500", "$3000"]
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.4250
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.6200
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.6450
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.3550
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.6300
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.3700
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.6400
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.3600
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.5850
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.4150
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.5800
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.4200
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.6050
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.3950
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.5650
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.4350
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.5700
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.4300
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.5900
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.4100
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.6100
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.3900
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.6800
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.7450
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.2550
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.7050
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.2950
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.7200
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.2800
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.7100
2025-02-18 16:00: 0.2900
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.6900
2025-02-18 17:00: 0.3100
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.6800
2025-02-18 18:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.6500
2025-02-18 19:00: 0.3500
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.6250
2025-02-18 20:00: 0.3750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 14145.26, Sell volume: 8469.24, Average price: 0.5788, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Outcomes: ["$2500", "$3000"]
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.6350
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.3650
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.5850
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.4150
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.5850
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.4150
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.6350
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.3650
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.6050
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.3950
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.5700
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.4300
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.5550
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.4450
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.5550
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.5350
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.4650
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.5250
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.4750
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.5250
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.4750
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.5550
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.4450
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.5350
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.4650
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.5850
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.4150
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.5550
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.4450
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.5450
2025-02-19 12:00: 0.4550
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.5400
2025-02-19 13:00: 0.4600
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.5450
2025-02-19 14:00: 0.4550
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.5350
2025-02-19 15:00: 0.4650
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.5250
2025-02-19 16:00: 0.4750
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 5093.38, Sell volume: 1252.82, Average price: 0.5318, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Outcomes: ["$2500", "$3000"]
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.4650
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.5100
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.4900
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.5300
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.4700
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.5150
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.4850
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.5300
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.4700
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.4700
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.5300
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.4750
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.5250
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.4650
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.5350
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.5250
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.4700
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.5300
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.4700
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.5300
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.5250
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.5250
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.4550
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.5450
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.4600
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.5400
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.4550
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.5450
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.4550
2025-02-20 09:00: 0.5450
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.5000
2025-02-20 10:00: 0.5000
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.5200
2025-02-20 11:00: 0.4800
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.5100
2025-02-20 12:00: 0.4900
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.4850
2025-02-20 13:00: 0.5150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 13653.12, Sell volume: 598.85, Average price: 0.4972, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6046

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Outcomes: ["$2500", "$3000"]
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.5250
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.4350
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.5650
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.4500
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.5500
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.4900
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.5100
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.4850
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.5150
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.4650
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.5350
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.5250
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.4600
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.5400
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.5250
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.4600
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.5400
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.4450
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.5550
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.4350
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.5650
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.4250
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.5750
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.4400
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.5600
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.5550
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.3700
2025-02-21 05:00: 0.6300
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.3450
2025-02-21 06:00: 0.6550
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.3700
2025-02-21 07:00: 0.6300
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.3450
2025-02-21 08:00: 0.6550
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.2850
2025-02-21 09:00: 0.7150
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 3429.69, Sell volume: 4525.14, Average price: 0.4278, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Outcomes: ["$2500", "$3000"]
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.6450
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.5150
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.4950
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.6100
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.3900
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5950
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.4050
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.7100
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.2900
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.7150
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.2850
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.6850
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.3150
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.6800
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.3200
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.6450
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.3550
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.6000
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.4000
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.6050
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.3950
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.6150
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.3850
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.5900
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.4100
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.6050
2025-02-22 02:00: 0.3950
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.6000
2025-02-22 03:00: 0.4000
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 04:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.5400
2025-02-22 05:00: 0.4600
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.5050
2025-02-22 06:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 10497.39, Sell volume: 6129.14, Average price: 0.5120, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Outcomes: ["$2500", "$3000"]
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.5050
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.4900
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.5100
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5000
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5000
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.4400
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.5600
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.4350
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.5650
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.4350
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.5650
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.4350
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.5650
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.4350
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.5650
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.4350
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.5650
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.4650
2025-02-22 22:00: 0.5350
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.4550
2025-02-22 23:00: 0.5450
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.4500
2025-02-23 00:00: 0.5500
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.4150
2025-02-23 01:00: 0.5850
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 02:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 5899.17, Sell volume: 2615.78, Average price: 0.5161, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Outcomes: ["$2500", "$3000"]
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.6800
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.3650
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.6350
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.3600
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.6400
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.3750
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.6250
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.3850
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.6150
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.4000
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.6000
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.3650
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.6350
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.3650
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.6350
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.3650
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.6350
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.3600
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.6400
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.3650
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.6350
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.3350
2025-02-23 19:00: 0.6650
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 20:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.3800
2025-02-23 21:00: 0.6200
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.4100
2025-02-23 22:00: 0.5900
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.5200
2025-02-23 23:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 3441.99, Sell volume: 6768.69, Average price: 0.4715, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Outcomes: ["$2500", "$3000"]
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.4850
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.5150
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.4950
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.5050
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.5150
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.4850
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.5850
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.4150
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.5650
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.5950
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.4050
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.5850
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.4150
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.5950
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.4050
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.6300
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.3700
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.6450
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.3550
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.6700
2025-02-24 15:00: 0.3300
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.6750
2025-02-24 16:00: 0.3250
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.6950
2025-02-24 17:00: 0.3050
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.9950
2025-02-24 18:00: 0.0050
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.9995
2025-02-24 19:00: 0.0005
2025-02-24 20:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 249, Buy volume: 39773.67, Sell volume: 19800.28, Average price: 0.5459, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.8050
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.1950
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.6600
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.3400
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.6600
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.3400
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.6600
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.3400
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.5950
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.4050
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.5350
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.4650
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.5500
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.4500
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.4950
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.4950
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.4950
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.5500
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.4500
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.5250
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.4750
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.5500
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.4500
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.5500
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.4500
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.6150
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.3850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 5932.46, Sell volume: 3253.00, Average price: 0.5271, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.5350
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.4950
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.5200
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.4800
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.4950
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.5050
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.5150
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.4850
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.5100
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.4900
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.5350
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.4650
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.5200
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.4800
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.5150
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.4850
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.5200
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.4800
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.5300
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.5300
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.5350
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.4650
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.5300
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.5300
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.4700
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.5350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 5708.16, Sell volume: 817.50, Average price: 0.5063, Price range: 0.4560 - 0.5500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.5400
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.4600
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.5400
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.4600
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.5700
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.4300
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.5350
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.4650
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.5350
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.4650
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.5500
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.4500
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.5400
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.4600
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.5450
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.4550
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.5450
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.4550
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.5450
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.4550
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.5450
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.4550
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.5550
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.4450
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.5500
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.4500
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.5350
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.4650
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.5350
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.4650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 65, Buy volume: 4571.91, Sell volume: 4631.69, Average price: 0.5216, Price range: 0.4000 - 0.5931
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.4350
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.5650
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.4350
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.5950
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.4050
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.5900
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.4100
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.5850
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.4150
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.5850
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.4150
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.5850
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.4150
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.6000
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.4000
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.6150
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.3850
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.6200
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.3800
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.6100
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.3900
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.6050
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.3950
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.6450
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.3550
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.6400
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.3600
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.6100
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.3900
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.6200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2090.44, Sell volume: 588.31, Average price: 0.5618, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.6700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.5450
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.4550
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.5150
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.4850
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.4900
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.5100
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.4600
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.5400
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.4500
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.5500
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.4400
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.5600
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.3200
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.6800
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.4650
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.5350
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.5300
2025-02-17 12:00: 0.4700
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.5000
2025-02-17 13:00: 0.5000
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.5700
2025-02-17 14:00: 0.4300
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.5350
2025-02-17 15:00: 0.4650
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.5100
2025-02-17 16:00: 0.4900
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.4300
2025-02-17 17:00: 0.5700
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.5050
2025-02-17 18:00: 0.4950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 42, Buy volume: 5448.10, Sell volume: 1228.28, Average price: 0.4972, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-18 00:00: 0.4250
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.6200
2025-02-18 01:00: 0.3800
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.6450
2025-02-18 02:00: 0.3550
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.6300
2025-02-18 03:00: 0.3700
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.6400
2025-02-18 04:00: 0.3600
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.5850
2025-02-18 05:00: 0.4150
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.5800
2025-02-18 06:00: 0.4200
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.6050
2025-02-18 07:00: 0.3950
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.5650
2025-02-18 08:00: 0.4350
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.5700
2025-02-18 09:00: 0.4300
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.5900
2025-02-18 10:00: 0.4100
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.6100
2025-02-18 11:00: 0.3900
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.6800
2025-02-18 12:00: 0.3200
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.7450
2025-02-18 13:00: 0.2550
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.7050
2025-02-18 14:00: 0.2950
2025-02-18 15:00: 0.7200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 14145.26, Sell volume: 8469.24, Average price: 0.5788, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.6350
2025-02-18 21:00: 0.3650
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.5850
2025-02-18 22:00: 0.4150
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.5850
2025-02-18 23:00: 0.4150
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.6350
2025-02-19 00:00: 0.3650
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.6050
2025-02-19 01:00: 0.3950
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.5700
2025-02-19 02:00: 0.4300
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.5550
2025-02-19 03:00: 0.4450
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.5550
2025-02-19 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.5350
2025-02-19 05:00: 0.4650
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.5250
2025-02-19 06:00: 0.4750
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.5250
2025-02-19 07:00: 0.4750
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.5550
2025-02-19 08:00: 0.4450
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.5350
2025-02-19 09:00: 0.4650
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.5850
2025-02-19 10:00: 0.4150
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.5550
2025-02-19 11:00: 0.4450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 5093.38, Sell volume: 1252.82, Average price: 0.5318, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-19 17:00: 0.4650
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.5100
2025-02-19 18:00: 0.4900
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.5300
2025-02-19 19:00: 0.4700
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.5150
2025-02-19 20:00: 0.4850
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.5300
2025-02-19 21:00: 0.4700
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.4700
2025-02-19 22:00: 0.5300
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.4750
2025-02-19 23:00: 0.5250
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.4650
2025-02-20 00:00: 0.5350
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 01:00: 0.5250
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.4700
2025-02-20 02:00: 0.5300
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.4700
2025-02-20 03:00: 0.5300
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 04:00: 0.5250
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 05:00: 0.5250
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.4550
2025-02-20 06:00: 0.5450
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.4600
2025-02-20 07:00: 0.5400
2025-02-20 08:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 13653.12, Sell volume: 598.85, Average price: 0.4972, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.6046
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 14:00: 0.5250
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.4350
2025-02-20 15:00: 0.5650
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.4500
2025-02-20 16:00: 0.5500
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.4900
2025-02-20 17:00: 0.5100
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.4850
2025-02-20 18:00: 0.5150
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.4650
2025-02-20 19:00: 0.5350
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 20:00: 0.5250
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.4600
2025-02-20 21:00: 0.5400
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.4750
2025-02-20 22:00: 0.5250
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.4600
2025-02-20 23:00: 0.5400
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.4450
2025-02-21 00:00: 0.5550
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.4350
2025-02-21 01:00: 0.5650
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.4250
2025-02-21 02:00: 0.5750
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.4400
2025-02-21 03:00: 0.5600
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.4450
2025-02-21 04:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 3429.69, Sell volume: 4525.14, Average price: 0.4278, Price range: 0.2800 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-21 10:00: 0.6450
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.5150
2025-02-21 11:00: 0.4850
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.4950
2025-02-21 12:00: 0.5050
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.6100
2025-02-21 13:00: 0.3900
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.5950
2025-02-21 14:00: 0.4050
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.7100
2025-02-21 15:00: 0.2900
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.7150
2025-02-21 16:00: 0.2850
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.6850
2025-02-21 17:00: 0.3150
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.6800
2025-02-21 18:00: 0.3200
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.6450
2025-02-21 19:00: 0.3550
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.6100
2025-02-21 20:00: 0.3900
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.6000
2025-02-21 21:00: 0.4000
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.6050
2025-02-21 22:00: 0.3950
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.6150
2025-02-21 23:00: 0.3850
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 00:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 01:00: 0.5900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 10497.39, Sell volume: 6129.14, Average price: 0.5120, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.7400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.4950
2025-02-22 07:00: 0.5050
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.4900
2025-02-22 08:00: 0.5100
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.5150
2025-02-22 09:00: 0.4850
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5000
2025-02-22 10:00: 0.5000
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 11:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.4150
2025-02-22 12:00: 0.5850
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.3900
2025-02-22 13:00: 0.6100
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.4400
2025-02-22 14:00: 0.5600
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.4250
2025-02-22 15:00: 0.5750
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.4350
2025-02-22 16:00: 0.5650
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.4350
2025-02-22 17:00: 0.5650
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.4350
2025-02-22 18:00: 0.5650
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.4450
2025-02-22 19:00: 0.5550
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.4350
2025-02-22 20:00: 0.5650
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.4350
2025-02-22 21:00: 0.5650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 5899.17, Sell volume: 2615.78, Average price: 0.5161, Price range: 0.3400 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-23 03:00: 0.6800
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.3650
2025-02-23 04:00: 0.6350
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.3600
2025-02-23 05:00: 0.6400
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 06:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.3750
2025-02-23 07:00: 0.6250
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.3950
2025-02-23 08:00: 0.6050
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 09:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.3850
2025-02-23 10:00: 0.6150
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.4000
2025-02-23 11:00: 0.6000
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.3650
2025-02-23 12:00: 0.6350
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 13:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.3650
2025-02-23 14:00: 0.6350
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.3550
2025-02-23 15:00: 0.6450
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.3650
2025-02-23 16:00: 0.6350
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.3600
2025-02-23 17:00: 0.6400
2025-02-23 18:00: 0.3650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 3441.99, Sell volume: 6768.69, Average price: 0.4715, Price range: 0.3100 - 0.6900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523146
Question: Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first?
Volume: 185737.31787
Price History:
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.5550
2025-02-24 00:00: 0.4450
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.4850
2025-02-24 01:00: 0.5150
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.4950
2025-02-24 02:00: 0.5050
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.5150
2025-02-24 03:00: 0.4850
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.5850
2025-02-24 04:00: 0.4150
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.5650
2025-02-24 05:00: 0.4350
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.5950
2025-02-24 06:00: 0.4050
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.5850
2025-02-24 07:00: 0.4150
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.5950
2025-02-24 08:00: 0.4050
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.6100
2025-02-24 09:00: 0.3900
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.6550
2025-02-24 10:00: 0.3450
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.6500
2025-02-24 11:00: 0.3500
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.6300
2025-02-24 12:00: 0.3700
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.6200
2025-02-24 13:00: 0.3800
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.6450
2025-02-24 14:00: 0.3550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 249, Buy volume: 39773.67, Sell volume: 19800.28, Average price: 0.5459, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Outcomes: ["$180", "$250"]
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.7750
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.2250
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.6800
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.3200
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.7750
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.2250
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.7700
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.2300
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.7700
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.2300
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.7450
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.2550
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.7350
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 514.43, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.4730, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Outcomes: ["$180", "$250"]
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.7450
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.2550
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.7500
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.2500
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.7400
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.2600
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.7400
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.2600
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.7300
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.2700
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.7100
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.2900
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.6900
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 36.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7520, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Outcomes: ["$180", "$250"]
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.6900
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.3100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.7250
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.2750
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.7200
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.2800
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.7200
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.2800
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.7050
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.2950
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.6900
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.3100
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.6550
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 960.31, Sell volume: 47.77, Average price: 0.4023, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Outcomes: ["$180", "$250"]
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.6500
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.3500
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.6700
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.3300
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.6750
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.3250
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.6750
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.3250
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.7050
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.2950
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.6950
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.3050
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.7050
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1008.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6640, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.7200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Outcomes: ["$180", "$250"]
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.6950
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.3050
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 800.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5733, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Outcomes: ["$180", "$250"]
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.7200
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.2800
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.7250
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.2750
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.7400
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.2600
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.7350
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.2650
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.7400
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.2600
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.7600
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 667.02, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7741, Price range: 0.7210 - 0.7900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Outcomes: ["$180", "$250"]
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.7850
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.2150
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.7650
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.2350
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.7650
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.2350
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.8050
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.1950
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.7600
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 153.61, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Outcomes: ["$180", "$250"]
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.7650
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.2350
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.7650
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.2350
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.7600
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.2400
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.7550
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.2450
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.7550
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 420.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Outcomes: ["$180", "$250"]
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 570.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.7800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Outcomes: ["$180", "$250"]
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.8000
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.1850
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.1850
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.1850
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.8200
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.1800
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.8300
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 779.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8150, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.8300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Outcomes: ["$180", "$250"]
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.8350
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.1650
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.8400
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.1600
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.8400
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.1600
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.8400
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.1600
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.8500
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.1500
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.8450
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.1550
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.8350
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 330.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8580, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Outcomes: ["$180", "$250"]
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.8650
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.8750
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.9300
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0700
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9300
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0700
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9745
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0255
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9485
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 11015.99, Sell volume: 1440.56, Average price: 0.6361, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Outcomes: ["$180", "$250"]
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9365
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0635
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9430
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0570
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.9285
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0715
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9060
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0940
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9210
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0790
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9340
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0660
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 76300.92, Sell volume: 651.12, Average price: 0.4988, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.7750
2025-02-13 17:00: 0.2250
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.6800
2025-02-13 18:00: 0.3200
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.7750
2025-02-13 19:00: 0.2250
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.7700
2025-02-13 20:00: 0.2300
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.7700
2025-02-13 21:00: 0.2300
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.7450
2025-02-13 22:00: 0.2550
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.7350
2025-02-13 23:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 514.43, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.4730, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.7450
2025-02-14 00:00: 0.2550
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.7500
2025-02-14 01:00: 0.2500
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.7400
2025-02-14 02:00: 0.2600
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.7400
2025-02-14 03:00: 0.2600
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.7300
2025-02-14 04:00: 0.2700
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.7100
2025-02-14 05:00: 0.2900
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.6900
2025-02-14 06:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 36.58, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7520, Price range: 0.7200 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.6900
2025-02-14 07:00: 0.3100
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.7250
2025-02-14 08:00: 0.2750
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.7200
2025-02-14 09:00: 0.2800
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.7200
2025-02-14 10:00: 0.2800
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.7050
2025-02-14 11:00: 0.2950
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.6900
2025-02-14 12:00: 0.3100
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.6550
2025-02-14 13:00: 0.3450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 960.31, Sell volume: 47.77, Average price: 0.4023, Price range: 0.2900 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.6500
2025-02-14 14:00: 0.3500
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.6700
2025-02-14 15:00: 0.3300
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.6750
2025-02-14 16:00: 0.3250
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.6750
2025-02-14 17:00: 0.3250
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.7050
2025-02-14 18:00: 0.2950
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.6950
2025-02-14 19:00: 0.3050
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.7050
2025-02-14 20:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1008.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6640, Price range: 0.3600 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.7050
2025-02-14 21:00: 0.2950
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.6950
2025-02-14 22:00: 0.3050
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.7000
2025-02-14 23:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 00:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.7000
2025-02-15 01:00: 0.3000
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 02:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 03:00: 0.2950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 800.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5733, Price range: 0.3000 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.7050
2025-02-15 04:00: 0.2950
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.7200
2025-02-15 05:00: 0.2800
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.7250
2025-02-15 06:00: 0.2750
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.7400
2025-02-15 07:00: 0.2600
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.7350
2025-02-15 08:00: 0.2650
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.7400
2025-02-15 09:00: 0.2600
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.7600
2025-02-15 10:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 667.02, Sell volume: 80.00, Average price: 0.7741, Price range: 0.7210 - 0.7900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 11:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 12:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.7850
2025-02-15 13:00: 0.2150
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.7650
2025-02-15 14:00: 0.2350
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.7650
2025-02-15 15:00: 0.2350
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.8050
2025-02-15 16:00: 0.1950
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.7600
2025-02-15 17:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 153.61, Sell volume: 40.00, Average price: 0.7114, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.7650
2025-02-15 18:00: 0.2350
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.7650
2025-02-15 19:00: 0.2350
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.7600
2025-02-15 20:00: 0.2400
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.7550
2025-02-15 21:00: 0.2450
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.7700
2025-02-15 22:00: 0.2300
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.7550
2025-02-15 23:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 00:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 420.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5900, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 01:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.7550
2025-02-16 02:00: 0.2450
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 03:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 04:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 05:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 06:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 07:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 570.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7800, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.7750
2025-02-16 08:00: 0.2250
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.8000
2025-02-16 09:00: 0.2000
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 10:00: 0.1850
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 11:00: 0.1850
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.8150
2025-02-16 12:00: 0.1850
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.8200
2025-02-16 13:00: 0.1800
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.8300
2025-02-16 14:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 779.33, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8150, Price range: 0.7800 - 0.8300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.8350
2025-02-16 15:00: 0.1650
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.8400
2025-02-16 16:00: 0.1600
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.8400
2025-02-16 17:00: 0.1600
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.8400
2025-02-16 18:00: 0.1600
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.8500
2025-02-16 19:00: 0.1500
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.8450
2025-02-16 20:00: 0.1550
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.8350
2025-02-16 21:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 330.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8580, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.8650
2025-02-16 22:00: 0.1350
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.8750
2025-02-16 23:00: 0.1250
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.9300
2025-02-17 00:00: 0.0700
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.9300
2025-02-17 01:00: 0.0700
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.9400
2025-02-17 02:00: 0.0600
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.9745
2025-02-17 03:00: 0.0255
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.9485
2025-02-17 04:00: 0.0515
Trade Summary: Total trades: 33, Buy volume: 11015.99, Sell volume: 1440.56, Average price: 0.6361, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 523149
Question: Will Solana hit $180 or $250 first?
Volume: 99421.594309
Price History:
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.9365
2025-02-17 05:00: 0.0635
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.9430
2025-02-17 06:00: 0.0570
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.9285
2025-02-17 07:00: 0.0715
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.9060
2025-02-17 08:00: 0.0940
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.9210
2025-02-17 09:00: 0.0790
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.9340
2025-02-17 10:00: 0.0660
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.9995
2025-02-17 11:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 76300.92, Sell volume: 651.12, Average price: 0.4988, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-01-12 21:00: 0.5000
2024-01-13 03:00: 0.9500
2024-01-13 10:00: 0.0200
2024-01-13 16:00: 0.9845
2024-01-13 23:00: 0.0150
2024-01-14 05:00: 0.9850
2024-01-14 12:00: 0.0150
2024-01-14 18:00: 0.9850
2024-01-15 01:00: 0.0150
2024-01-15 07:00: 0.9850
2024-01-15 14:00: 0.0155
2024-01-15 20:00: 0.9845
2024-01-16 03:00: 0.0150
2024-01-16 09:00: 0.9845
2024-01-16 16:00: 0.0155
2024-01-16 22:00: 0.9845
2024-01-17 05:00: 0.0155
2024-01-17 11:00: 0.9850
2024-01-17 18:00: 0.0150
2024-01-18 00:00: 0.9850
2024-01-18 07:00: 0.0150
2024-01-18 13:00: 0.9850
2024-01-18 20:00: 0.0145
2024-01-19 02:00: 0.9855
2024-01-19 09:00: 0.0145
2024-01-19 15:00: 0.9855
2024-01-19 22:00: 0.0155
2024-01-20 04:00: 0.9845
2024-01-20 11:00: 0.0150
2024-01-20 17:00: 0.9850
2024-01-21 00:00: 0.0125
2024-01-21 06:00: 0.9875
2024-01-21 13:00: 0.0145
2024-01-21 19:00: 0.9855
2024-01-22 02:00: 0.0135
2024-01-22 08:00: 0.9865
2024-01-22 15:00: 0.0135
2024-01-22 21:00: 0.9865
2024-01-23 04:00: 0.0135
2024-01-23 10:00: 0.9865
2024-01-23 17:00: 0.0135
2024-01-23 23:00: 0.9855
2024-01-24 06:00: 0.0130
2024-01-24 12:00: 0.9885
2024-01-24 19:00: 0.0115
2024-01-25 01:00: 0.9885
2024-01-25 08:00: 0.0115
2024-01-25 14:00: 0.9875
2024-01-25 21:00: 0.0135
2024-01-26 03:00: 0.9860
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-01-27 02:00: 0.9805
2024-01-27 09:00: 0.0190
2024-01-27 15:00: 0.9810
2024-01-27 22:00: 0.0190
2024-01-28 04:00: 0.9810
2024-01-28 11:00: 0.0195
2024-01-28 17:00: 0.9805
2024-01-29 00:00: 0.0190
2024-01-29 06:00: 0.9810
2024-01-29 13:00: 0.0190
2024-01-29 19:00: 0.9810
2024-01-30 02:00: 0.0195
2024-01-30 08:00: 0.9805
2024-01-30 15:00: 0.0190
2024-01-30 21:00: 0.9810
2024-01-31 04:00: 0.0190
2024-01-31 10:00: 0.9810
2024-01-31 17:00: 0.0190
2024-01-31 23:00: 0.9810
2024-02-01 06:00: 0.0190
2024-02-01 12:00: 0.9810
2024-02-01 19:00: 0.0190
2024-02-02 01:00: 0.9810
2024-02-02 08:00: 0.0190
2024-02-02 14:00: 0.9810
2024-02-02 21:00: 0.0180
2024-02-03 03:00: 0.9835
2024-02-03 10:00: 0.0165
2024-02-03 16:00: 0.9835
2024-02-03 23:00: 0.0185
2024-02-04 05:00: 0.9815
2024-02-04 12:00: 0.0185
2024-02-04 18:00: 0.9815
2024-02-05 01:00: 0.0185
2024-02-05 07:00: 0.9815
2024-02-05 14:00: 0.0185
2024-02-05 20:00: 0.9815
2024-02-06 03:00: 0.0185
2024-02-06 09:00: 0.9815
2024-02-06 16:00: 0.0185
2024-02-06 22:00: 0.9810
2024-02-07 05:00: 0.0190
2024-02-07 11:00: 0.9815
2024-02-07 18:00: 0.0185
2024-02-08 00:00: 0.9815
2024-02-08 07:00: 0.0185
2024-02-08 13:00: 0.9815
2024-02-08 20:00: 0.0185
2024-02-09 02:00: 0.9820
2024-02-09 09:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-02-10 08:00: 0.0190
2024-02-10 14:00: 0.9810
2024-02-10 21:00: 0.0190
2024-02-11 03:00: 0.9810
2024-02-11 10:00: 0.0190
2024-02-11 16:00: 0.9810
2024-02-11 23:00: 0.0190
2024-02-12 05:00: 0.9810
2024-02-12 12:00: 0.0190
2024-02-12 18:00: 0.9810
2024-02-13 01:00: 0.0190
2024-02-13 07:00: 0.9810
2024-02-13 14:00: 0.0190
2024-02-13 20:00: 0.9810
2024-02-14 03:00: 0.0190
2024-02-14 09:00: 0.9810
2024-02-14 16:00: 0.0190
2024-02-14 22:00: 0.9810
2024-02-15 05:00: 0.0190
2024-02-15 11:00: 0.9810
2024-02-15 18:00: 0.0190
2024-02-16 00:00: 0.9810
2024-02-16 07:00: 0.0190
2024-02-16 13:00: 0.9810
2024-02-16 20:00: 0.0190
2024-02-17 02:00: 0.9810
2024-02-17 09:00: 0.0190
2024-02-17 15:00: 0.9810
2024-02-17 22:00: 0.0190
2024-02-18 04:00: 0.9810
2024-02-18 11:00: 0.0190
2024-02-18 17:00: 0.9810
2024-02-19 00:00: 0.0190
2024-02-19 06:00: 0.9810
2024-02-19 13:00: 0.0190
2024-02-19 19:00: 0.9810
2024-02-20 02:00: 0.0190
2024-02-20 08:00: 0.9810
2024-02-20 15:00: 0.0190
2024-02-20 21:00: 0.9810
2024-02-21 04:00: 0.0190
2024-02-21 10:00: 0.9810
2024-02-21 17:00: 0.0190
2024-02-21 23:00: 0.9810
2024-02-22 06:00: 0.0190
2024-02-22 12:00: 0.9810
2024-02-22 19:00: 0.0190
2024-02-23 01:00: 0.9810
2024-02-23 08:00: 0.0190
2024-02-23 14:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-02-24 13:00: 0.9810
2024-02-24 20:00: 0.0190
2024-02-25 02:00: 0.9810
2024-02-25 09:00: 0.0190
2024-02-25 15:00: 0.9805
2024-02-25 22:00: 0.0195
2024-02-26 04:00: 0.9805
2024-02-26 11:00: 0.0195
2024-02-26 17:00: 0.9805
2024-02-27 00:00: 0.0195
2024-02-27 06:00: 0.9805
2024-02-27 13:00: 0.0195
2024-02-27 19:00: 0.9805
2024-02-28 02:00: 0.0195
2024-02-28 08:00: 0.9805
2024-02-28 15:00: 0.0195
2024-02-28 21:00: 0.9805
2024-02-29 04:00: 0.0195
2024-02-29 10:00: 0.9805
2024-02-29 17:00: 0.0195
2024-02-29 23:00: 0.9805
2024-03-01 06:00: 0.0195
2024-03-01 12:00: 0.9805
2024-03-01 19:00: 0.0195
2024-03-02 01:00: 0.9795
2024-03-02 08:00: 0.0205
2024-03-02 14:00: 0.9795
2024-03-02 21:00: 0.0205
2024-03-03 03:00: 0.9795
2024-03-03 10:00: 0.0205
2024-03-03 16:00: 0.9795
2024-03-03 23:00: 0.0205
2024-03-04 05:00: 0.9795
2024-03-04 12:00: 0.0205
2024-03-04 18:00: 0.9795
2024-03-05 01:00: 0.0205
2024-03-05 07:00: 0.9795
2024-03-05 14:00: 0.0205
2024-03-05 20:00: 0.9795
2024-03-06 03:00: 0.0205
2024-03-06 09:00: 0.9810
2024-03-06 16:00: 0.0190
2024-03-06 22:00: 0.9810
2024-03-07 05:00: 0.0195
2024-03-07 11:00: 0.9805
2024-03-07 18:00: 0.0185
2024-03-08 00:00: 0.9815
2024-03-08 07:00: 0.0185
2024-03-08 13:00: 0.9815
2024-03-08 20:00: 0.0185
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-03-09 19:00: 0.0180
2024-03-10 01:00: 0.9820
2024-03-10 09:00: 0.0180
2024-03-10 15:00: 0.9820
2024-03-10 22:00: 0.0180
2024-03-11 04:00: 0.9820
2024-03-11 11:00: 0.0180
2024-03-11 17:00: 0.9815
2024-03-12 00:00: 0.0185
2024-03-12 06:00: 0.9815
2024-03-12 13:00: 0.0185
2024-03-12 19:00: 0.9790
2024-03-13 02:00: 0.0195
2024-03-13 08:00: 0.9810
2024-03-13 15:00: 0.0185
2024-03-13 21:00: 0.9815
2024-03-14 04:00: 0.0185
2024-03-14 10:00: 0.9815
2024-03-14 17:00: 0.0185
2024-03-14 23:00: 0.9815
2024-03-15 06:00: 0.0185
2024-03-15 12:00: 0.9815
2024-03-15 19:00: 0.0185
2024-03-16 01:00: 0.9815
2024-03-16 08:00: 0.0185
2024-03-16 14:00: 0.9815
2024-03-16 21:00: 0.0185
2024-03-17 03:00: 0.9810
2024-03-17 10:00: 0.0190
2024-03-17 16:00: 0.9810
2024-03-17 23:00: 0.0190
2024-03-18 05:00: 0.9810
2024-03-18 12:00: 0.0190
2024-03-18 18:00: 0.9810
2024-03-19 01:00: 0.0190
2024-03-19 07:00: 0.9810
2024-03-19 14:00: 0.0190
2024-03-19 20:00: 0.9810
2024-03-20 03:00: 0.0190
2024-03-20 09:00: 0.9810
2024-03-20 16:00: 0.0190
2024-03-20 22:00: 0.9810
2024-03-21 05:00: 0.0190
2024-03-21 11:00: 0.9810
2024-03-21 18:00: 0.0190
2024-03-22 00:00: 0.9810
2024-03-22 07:00: 0.0190
2024-03-22 13:00: 0.9815
2024-03-22 20:00: 0.0185
2024-03-23 02:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-03-24 01:00: 0.9790
2024-03-24 08:00: 0.0205
2024-03-24 14:00: 0.9800
2024-03-24 21:00: 0.0200
2024-03-25 03:00: 0.9800
2024-03-25 10:00: 0.0200
2024-03-25 16:00: 0.9800
2024-03-25 23:00: 0.0200
2024-03-26 05:00: 0.9800
2024-03-26 12:00: 0.0200
2024-03-26 18:00: 0.9800
2024-03-27 01:00: 0.0200
2024-03-27 07:00: 0.9800
2024-03-27 14:00: 0.0200
2024-03-27 20:00: 0.9800
2024-03-28 03:00: 0.0195
2024-03-28 09:00: 0.9805
2024-03-28 16:00: 0.0195
2024-03-28 22:00: 0.9805
2024-03-29 05:00: 0.0195
2024-03-29 11:00: 0.9805
2024-03-29 18:00: 0.0190
2024-03-30 00:00: 0.9810
2024-03-30 07:00: 0.0190
2024-03-30 13:00: 0.9805
2024-03-30 20:00: 0.0195
2024-03-31 02:00: 0.9805
2024-03-31 09:00: 0.0195
2024-03-31 15:00: 0.9805
2024-03-31 22:00: 0.0195
2024-04-01 04:00: 0.9805
2024-04-01 11:00: 0.0195
2024-04-01 17:00: 0.9805
2024-04-02 00:00: 0.0195
2024-04-02 06:00: 0.9805
2024-04-02 13:00: 0.0195
2024-04-02 19:00: 0.9805
2024-04-03 02:00: 0.0195
2024-04-03 08:00: 0.9805
2024-04-03 15:00: 0.0195
2024-04-03 21:00: 0.9805
2024-04-04 04:00: 0.0195
2024-04-04 10:00: 0.9805
2024-04-04 17:00: 0.0195
2024-04-04 23:00: 0.9805
2024-04-05 06:00: 0.0195
2024-04-05 12:00: 0.9805
2024-04-05 19:00: 0.0190
2024-04-06 01:00: 0.9810
2024-04-06 08:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-04-07 07:00: 0.0190
2024-04-07 13:00: 0.9810
2024-04-07 20:00: 0.0190
2024-04-08 02:00: 0.9810
2024-04-08 09:00: 0.0190
2024-04-08 15:00: 0.9810
2024-04-08 22:00: 0.0190
2024-04-09 04:00: 0.9810
2024-04-09 11:00: 0.0190
2024-04-09 17:00: 0.9810
2024-04-10 00:00: 0.0190
2024-04-10 06:00: 0.9810
2024-04-10 13:00: 0.0185
2024-04-10 19:00: 0.9815
2024-04-11 02:00: 0.0185
2024-04-11 08:00: 0.9815
2024-04-11 15:00: 0.0180
2024-04-11 21:00: 0.9820
2024-04-12 04:00: 0.0180
2024-04-12 10:00: 0.9820
2024-04-12 17:00: 0.0180
2024-04-12 23:00: 0.9820
2024-04-13 06:00: 0.0180
2024-04-13 12:00: 0.9820
2024-04-13 19:00: 0.0180
2024-04-14 01:00: 0.9820
2024-04-14 08:00: 0.0180
2024-04-14 14:00: 0.9820
2024-04-14 21:00: 0.0180
2024-04-15 03:00: 0.9820
2024-04-15 10:00: 0.0180
2024-04-15 16:00: 0.9820
2024-04-15 23:00: 0.0180
2024-04-16 05:00: 0.9820
2024-04-16 12:00: 0.0180
2024-04-16 18:00: 0.9820
2024-04-17 01:00: 0.0180
2024-04-17 07:00: 0.9820
2024-04-17 14:00: 0.0180
2024-04-17 20:00: 0.9820
2024-04-18 03:00: 0.0180
2024-04-18 09:00: 0.9820
2024-04-18 16:00: 0.0180
2024-04-18 22:00: 0.9820
2024-04-19 05:00: 0.0180
2024-04-19 11:00: 0.9820
2024-04-19 18:00: 0.0180
2024-04-20 00:00: 0.9820
2024-04-20 07:00: 0.0180
2024-04-20 13:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-04-21 12:00: 0.9820
2024-04-21 19:00: 0.0180
2024-04-22 01:00: 0.9820
2024-04-22 08:00: 0.0180
2024-04-22 14:00: 0.9820
2024-04-22 21:00: 0.0180
2024-04-23 03:00: 0.9820
2024-04-23 10:00: 0.0180
2024-04-23 16:00: 0.9820
2024-04-23 23:00: 0.0180
2024-04-24 05:00: 0.9820
2024-04-24 12:00: 0.0180
2024-04-24 18:00: 0.9820
2024-04-25 01:00: 0.0180
2024-04-25 07:00: 0.9820
2024-04-25 14:00: 0.0180
2024-04-25 20:00: 0.9820
2024-04-26 03:00: 0.0180
2024-04-26 09:00: 0.9820
2024-04-26 16:00: 0.0180
2024-04-26 22:00: 0.9820
2024-04-27 05:00: 0.0180
2024-04-27 11:00: 0.9820
2024-04-27 18:00: 0.0180
2024-04-28 00:00: 0.9820
2024-04-28 07:00: 0.0180
2024-04-28 13:00: 0.9820
2024-04-28 20:00: 0.0175
2024-04-29 02:00: 0.9825
2024-04-29 09:00: 0.0175
2024-04-29 15:00: 0.9825
2024-04-29 22:00: 0.0175
2024-04-30 04:00: 0.9825
2024-04-30 11:00: 0.0175
2024-04-30 17:00: 0.9825
2024-05-01 00:00: 0.0175
2024-05-01 06:00: 0.9825
2024-05-01 13:00: 0.0175
2024-05-01 20:00: 0.9825
2024-05-02 03:00: 0.0175
2024-05-02 09:00: 0.9825
2024-05-02 16:00: 0.0175
2024-05-02 22:00: 0.9825
2024-05-03 05:00: 0.0175
2024-05-03 11:00: 0.9825
2024-05-03 18:00: 0.0175
2024-05-04 00:00: 0.9825
2024-05-04 07:00: 0.0175
2024-05-04 13:00: 0.9825
2024-05-04 20:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-05-05 19:00: 0.0150
2024-05-06 01:00: 0.9850
2024-05-06 08:00: 0.0150
2024-05-06 14:00: 0.9850
2024-05-06 21:00: 0.0150
2024-05-07 03:00: 0.9850
2024-05-07 10:00: 0.0150
2024-05-07 16:00: 0.9850
2024-05-07 23:00: 0.0150
2024-05-08 05:00: 0.9850
2024-05-08 12:00: 0.0150
2024-05-08 18:00: 0.9850
2024-05-09 01:00: 0.0150
2024-05-09 07:00: 0.9850
2024-05-09 14:00: 0.0150
2024-05-09 20:00: 0.9850
2024-05-10 03:00: 0.0150
2024-05-10 09:00: 0.9850
2024-05-10 16:00: 0.0150
2024-05-10 22:00: 0.9850
2024-05-11 05:00: 0.0150
2024-05-11 11:00: 0.9850
2024-05-11 18:00: 0.0150
2024-05-12 00:00: 0.9850
2024-05-12 07:00: 0.0150
2024-05-12 13:00: 0.9850
2024-05-12 20:00: 0.0150
2024-05-13 02:00: 0.9850
2024-05-13 09:00: 0.0150
2024-05-13 15:00: 0.9855
2024-05-13 22:00: 0.0145
2024-05-14 04:00: 0.9855
2024-05-14 11:00: 0.0145
2024-05-14 17:00: 0.9855
2024-05-15 00:00: 0.0145
2024-05-15 06:00: 0.9855
2024-05-15 13:00: 0.0145
2024-05-15 19:00: 0.9855
2024-05-16 02:00: 0.0145
2024-05-16 08:00: 0.9855
2024-05-16 15:00: 0.0145
2024-05-16 21:00: 0.9855
2024-05-17 04:00: 0.0145
2024-05-17 10:00: 0.9855
2024-05-17 17:00: 0.0145
2024-05-17 23:00: 0.9855
2024-05-18 06:00: 0.0145
2024-05-18 12:00: 0.9855
2024-05-18 19:00: 0.0145
2024-05-19 01:00: 0.9855
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-05-20 00:00: 0.9875
2024-05-20 07:00: 0.0125
2024-05-20 13:00: 0.9875
2024-05-20 20:00: 0.0125
2024-05-21 02:00: 0.9875
2024-05-21 09:00: 0.0125
2024-05-21 15:00: 0.9875
2024-05-21 22:00: 0.0125
2024-05-22 04:00: 0.9875
2024-05-22 11:00: 0.0125
2024-05-22 17:00: 0.9875
2024-05-23 00:00: 0.0125
2024-05-23 06:00: 0.9875
2024-05-23 13:00: 0.0125
2024-05-23 19:00: 0.9875
2024-05-24 02:00: 0.0125
2024-05-24 08:00: 0.9875
2024-05-24 15:00: 0.0125
2024-05-24 21:00: 0.9875
2024-05-25 04:00: 0.0125
2024-05-25 10:00: 0.9875
2024-05-25 17:00: 0.0125
2024-05-25 23:00: 0.9875
2024-05-26 06:00: 0.0125
2024-05-26 12:00: 0.9880
2024-05-26 19:00: 0.0120
2024-05-27 01:00: 0.9880
2024-05-27 08:00: 0.0135
2024-05-27 14:00: 0.9865
2024-05-27 21:00: 0.0135
2024-05-28 03:00: 0.9865
2024-05-28 10:00: 0.0135
2024-05-28 16:00: 0.9865
2024-05-28 23:00: 0.0135
2024-05-29 05:00: 0.9865
2024-05-29 12:00: 0.0135
2024-05-29 18:00: 0.9865
2024-05-30 01:00: 0.0135
2024-05-30 07:00: 0.9865
2024-05-30 14:00: 0.0080
2024-05-30 20:00: 0.9920
2024-05-31 03:00: 0.0080
2024-05-31 09:00: 0.9920
2024-05-31 16:00: 0.0080
2024-05-31 22:00: 0.9920
2024-06-01 05:00: 0.0080
2024-06-01 11:00: 0.9920
2024-06-01 18:00: 0.0080
2024-06-02 00:00: 0.9920
2024-06-02 07:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-06-03 06:00: 0.0080
2024-06-03 12:00: 0.9920
2024-06-03 19:00: 0.0080
2024-06-04 01:00: 0.9925
2024-06-04 08:00: 0.0075
2024-06-04 14:00: 0.9925
2024-06-04 21:00: 0.0075
2024-06-05 03:00: 0.9925
2024-06-05 10:00: 0.0075
2024-06-05 16:00: 0.9925
2024-06-05 23:00: 0.0075
2024-06-06 05:00: 0.9925
2024-06-06 12:00: 0.0075
2024-06-06 18:00: 0.9925
2024-06-07 01:00: 0.0075
2024-06-07 07:00: 0.9925
2024-06-07 14:00: 0.0070
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.9930
2024-06-08 03:00: 0.0070
2024-06-08 09:00: 0.9930
2024-06-08 16:00: 0.0070
2024-06-08 22:00: 0.9930
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.0070
2024-06-09 11:00: 0.9930
2024-06-09 18:00: 0.0070
2024-06-10 00:00: 0.9925
2024-06-10 07:00: 0.0075
2024-06-10 13:00: 0.9925
2024-06-10 20:00: 0.0075
2024-06-11 02:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 09:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 15:00: 0.9930
2024-06-11 22:00: 0.0070
2024-06-12 04:00: 0.9935
2024-06-12 11:00: 0.0075
2024-06-12 17:00: 0.9930
2024-06-13 00:00: 0.0070
2024-06-13 06:00: 0.9920
2024-06-13 13:00: 0.0080
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.9920
2024-06-14 02:00: 0.0080
2024-06-14 08:00: 0.9920
2024-06-14 15:00: 0.0080
2024-06-14 21:00: 0.9925
2024-06-15 04:00: 0.0075
2024-06-15 10:00: 0.9925
2024-06-15 17:00: 0.0075
2024-06-15 23:00: 0.9925
2024-06-16 06:00: 0.0070
2024-06-16 12:00: 0.9930
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.9925
2024-06-17 18:00: 0.0075
2024-06-18 00:00: 0.9925
2024-06-18 07:00: 0.0075
2024-06-18 13:00: 0.9925
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.0075
2024-06-19 02:00: 0.9925
2024-06-19 09:00: 0.0075
2024-06-19 15:00: 0.9925
2024-06-19 22:00: 0.0075
2024-06-20 04:00: 0.9925
2024-06-20 11:00: 0.0075
2024-06-20 17:00: 0.9925
2024-06-21 00:00: 0.0075
2024-06-21 06:00: 0.9925
2024-06-21 13:00: 0.0075
2024-06-21 19:00: 0.9925
2024-06-22 02:00: 0.0075
2024-06-22 08:00: 0.9925
2024-06-22 15:00: 0.0075
2024-06-22 21:00: 0.9925
2024-06-23 04:00: 0.0090
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.9890
2024-06-23 17:00: 0.0115
2024-06-23 23:00: 0.9885
2024-06-24 06:00: 0.0115
2024-06-24 12:00: 0.9885
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.0115
2024-06-25 01:00: 0.9885
2024-06-25 08:00: 0.0115
2024-06-25 14:00: 0.9885
2024-06-25 21:00: 0.0115
2024-06-26 03:00: 0.9960
2024-06-26 10:00: 0.0035
2024-06-26 16:00: 0.9965
2024-06-26 23:00: 0.0035
2024-06-27 05:00: 0.9965
2024-06-27 12:00: 0.0030
2024-06-27 18:00: 0.9970
2024-06-28 01:00: 0.0030
2024-06-28 07:00: 0.9965
2024-06-28 14:00: 0.0035
2024-06-28 20:00: 0.9965
2024-06-29 03:00: 0.0030
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.9965
2024-06-29 16:00: 0.0035
2024-06-29 22:00: 0.9960
2024-06-30 05:00: 0.0040
2024-06-30 11:00: 0.9970
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.0035
2024-07-01 23:00: 0.9970
2024-07-02 06:00: 0.0030
2024-07-02 12:00: 0.9975
2024-07-02 19:00: 0.0025
2024-07-03 01:00: 0.9975
2024-07-03 08:00: 0.0025
2024-07-03 14:00: 0.9975
2024-07-03 21:00: 0.0030
2024-07-04 03:00: 0.9970
2024-07-04 10:00: 0.0035
2024-07-04 16:00: 0.9965
2024-07-04 23:00: 0.0030
2024-07-05 05:00: 0.9975
2024-07-05 12:00: 0.0025
2024-07-05 18:00: 0.9975
2024-07-06 01:00: 0.0025
2024-07-06 07:00: 0.9975
2024-07-06 14:00: 0.0025
2024-07-06 20:00: 0.9975
2024-07-07 03:00: 0.0025
2024-07-07 09:00: 0.9980
2024-07-07 16:00: 0.0020
2024-07-07 22:00: 0.9980
2024-07-08 05:00: 0.0020
2024-07-08 11:00: 0.9980
2024-07-08 18:00: 0.0020
2024-07-09 00:00: 0.9980
2024-07-09 07:00: 0.0015
2024-07-09 13:00: 0.9985
2024-07-09 20:00: 0.0015
2024-07-10 02:00: 0.9985
2024-07-10 09:00: 0.0015
2024-07-10 15:00: 0.9985
2024-07-10 22:00: 0.0015
2024-07-11 04:00: 0.9980
2024-07-11 11:00: 0.0025
2024-07-11 17:00: 0.9975
2024-07-12 00:00: 0.0025
2024-07-12 06:00: 0.9975
2024-07-12 13:00: 0.0025
2024-07-12 19:00: 0.9975
2024-07-13 02:00: 0.0025
2024-07-13 08:00: 0.9975
2024-07-13 15:00: 0.0025
2024-07-13 21:00: 0.9950
2024-07-14 04:00: 0.0030
2024-07-14 10:00: 0.9960
2024-07-14 17:00: 0.0030
2024-07-14 23:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-01-12 21:00: 0.5000
2024-01-13 08:00: 0.0500
2024-01-13 19:00: 0.0150
2024-01-14 06:00: 0.0150
2024-01-14 17:00: 0.0150
2024-01-15 04:00: 0.0150
2024-01-15 15:00: 0.0155
2024-01-16 02:00: 0.0150
2024-01-16 13:00: 0.0155
2024-01-17 00:00: 0.0155
2024-01-17 11:00: 0.0150
2024-01-17 22:00: 0.0150
2024-01-18 09:00: 0.0150
2024-01-18 20:00: 0.0145
2024-01-19 07:00: 0.0145
2024-01-19 18:00: 0.0155
2024-01-20 05:00: 0.0155
2024-01-20 16:00: 0.0150
2024-01-21 03:00: 0.0125
2024-01-21 14:00: 0.0145
2024-01-22 01:00: 0.0140
2024-01-22 12:00: 0.0135
2024-01-22 23:00: 0.0135
2024-01-23 10:00: 0.0135
2024-01-23 21:00: 0.0135
2024-01-24 08:00: 0.0130
2024-01-24 19:00: 0.0115
2024-01-25 06:00: 0.0115
2024-01-25 17:00: 0.0135
2024-01-26 04:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-01-27 02:00: 0.9805
2024-01-27 13:00: 0.9810
2024-01-28 00:00: 0.9810
2024-01-28 11:00: 0.9805
2024-01-28 22:00: 0.9810
2024-01-29 09:00: 0.9810
2024-01-29 20:00: 0.9810
2024-01-30 07:00: 0.9805
2024-01-30 18:00: 0.9810
2024-01-31 05:00: 0.9810
2024-01-31 16:00: 0.9810
2024-02-01 03:00: 0.9810
2024-02-01 14:00: 0.9810
2024-02-02 01:00: 0.9810
2024-02-02 12:00: 0.9810
2024-02-02 23:00: 0.9835
2024-02-03 10:00: 0.9835
2024-02-03 21:00: 0.9815
2024-02-04 08:00: 0.9815
2024-02-04 19:00: 0.9815
2024-02-05 06:00: 0.9815
2024-02-05 17:00: 0.9815
2024-02-06 04:00: 0.9815
2024-02-06 15:00: 0.9815
2024-02-07 02:00: 0.9810
2024-02-07 13:00: 0.9815
2024-02-08 00:00: 0.9815
2024-02-08 11:00: 0.9815
2024-02-08 22:00: 0.9815
2024-02-09 09:00: 0.9820
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-02-10 08:00: 0.0190
2024-02-10 19:00: 0.0190
2024-02-11 06:00: 0.0190
2024-02-11 17:00: 0.0190
2024-02-12 04:00: 0.0190
2024-02-12 15:00: 0.0190
2024-02-13 02:00: 0.0190
2024-02-13 13:00: 0.0190
2024-02-14 00:00: 0.0190
2024-02-14 11:00: 0.0190
2024-02-14 22:00: 0.0190
2024-02-15 09:00: 0.0190
2024-02-15 20:00: 0.0190
2024-02-16 07:00: 0.0190
2024-02-16 18:00: 0.0190
2024-02-17 05:00: 0.0190
2024-02-17 16:00: 0.0190
2024-02-18 03:00: 0.0190
2024-02-18 14:00: 0.0190
2024-02-19 01:00: 0.0190
2024-02-19 12:00: 0.0190
2024-02-19 23:00: 0.0190
2024-02-20 10:00: 0.0190
2024-02-20 21:00: 0.0190
2024-02-21 08:00: 0.0190
2024-02-21 19:00: 0.0190
2024-02-22 06:00: 0.0190
2024-02-22 17:00: 0.0190
2024-02-23 04:00: 0.0190
2024-02-23 15:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-02-24 13:00: 0.9810
2024-02-25 00:00: 0.9810
2024-02-25 11:00: 0.9810
2024-02-25 22:00: 0.9805
2024-02-26 09:00: 0.9805
2024-02-26 20:00: 0.9805
2024-02-27 07:00: 0.9805
2024-02-27 18:00: 0.9805
2024-02-28 05:00: 0.9805
2024-02-28 16:00: 0.9805
2024-02-29 03:00: 0.9805
2024-02-29 14:00: 0.9805
2024-03-01 01:00: 0.9805
2024-03-01 12:00: 0.9805
2024-03-01 23:00: 0.9795
2024-03-02 10:00: 0.9795
2024-03-02 21:00: 0.9795
2024-03-03 08:00: 0.9795
2024-03-03 19:00: 0.9795
2024-03-04 06:00: 0.9795
2024-03-04 17:00: 0.9795
2024-03-05 04:00: 0.9795
2024-03-05 15:00: 0.9795
2024-03-06 02:00: 0.9795
2024-03-06 13:00: 0.9810
2024-03-07 00:00: 0.9810
2024-03-07 11:00: 0.9805
2024-03-07 22:00: 0.9815
2024-03-08 09:00: 0.9815
2024-03-08 20:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-03-09 19:00: 0.0180
2024-03-10 07:00: 0.0180
2024-03-10 18:00: 0.0180
2024-03-11 05:00: 0.0180
2024-03-11 16:00: 0.0185
2024-03-12 03:00: 0.0185
2024-03-12 14:00: 0.0210
2024-03-13 01:00: 0.0195
2024-03-13 12:00: 0.0185
2024-03-13 23:00: 0.0185
2024-03-14 10:00: 0.0185
2024-03-14 21:00: 0.0185
2024-03-15 08:00: 0.0185
2024-03-15 19:00: 0.0185
2024-03-16 06:00: 0.0185
2024-03-16 17:00: 0.0185
2024-03-17 04:00: 0.0190
2024-03-17 15:00: 0.0190
2024-03-18 02:00: 0.0190
2024-03-18 13:00: 0.0190
2024-03-19 00:00: 0.0190
2024-03-19 11:00: 0.0190
2024-03-19 22:00: 0.0190
2024-03-20 09:00: 0.0190
2024-03-20 20:00: 0.0190
2024-03-21 07:00: 0.0190
2024-03-21 18:00: 0.0190
2024-03-22 05:00: 0.0190
2024-03-22 16:00: 0.0185
2024-03-23 03:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-03-24 01:00: 0.9790
2024-03-24 12:00: 0.9795
2024-03-24 23:00: 0.9800
2024-03-25 10:00: 0.9800
2024-03-25 21:00: 0.9800
2024-03-26 08:00: 0.9800
2024-03-26 19:00: 0.9800
2024-03-27 06:00: 0.9800
2024-03-27 17:00: 0.9800
2024-03-28 04:00: 0.9805
2024-03-28 15:00: 0.9805
2024-03-29 02:00: 0.9805
2024-03-29 13:00: 0.9805
2024-03-30 00:00: 0.9810
2024-03-30 11:00: 0.9810
2024-03-30 22:00: 0.9805
2024-03-31 09:00: 0.9805
2024-03-31 20:00: 0.9805
2024-04-01 07:00: 0.9805
2024-04-01 18:00: 0.9805
2024-04-02 05:00: 0.9805
2024-04-02 16:00: 0.9805
2024-04-03 03:00: 0.9805
2024-04-03 14:00: 0.9805
2024-04-04 01:00: 0.9805
2024-04-04 12:00: 0.9805
2024-04-04 23:00: 0.9805
2024-04-05 10:00: 0.9805
2024-04-05 21:00: 0.9810
2024-04-06 08:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-04-07 07:00: 0.0190
2024-04-07 18:00: 0.0190
2024-04-08 05:00: 0.0190
2024-04-08 16:00: 0.0190
2024-04-09 03:00: 0.0190
2024-04-09 14:00: 0.0190
2024-04-10 01:00: 0.0190
2024-04-10 12:00: 0.0185
2024-04-10 23:00: 0.0185
2024-04-11 10:00: 0.0185
2024-04-11 21:00: 0.0180
2024-04-12 08:00: 0.0180
2024-04-12 19:00: 0.0180
2024-04-13 06:00: 0.0180
2024-04-13 17:00: 0.0180
2024-04-14 04:00: 0.0180
2024-04-14 15:00: 0.0180
2024-04-15 02:00: 0.0180
2024-04-15 13:00: 0.0180
2024-04-16 00:00: 0.0180
2024-04-16 11:00: 0.0180
2024-04-16 22:00: 0.0180
2024-04-17 09:00: 0.0180
2024-04-17 20:00: 0.0180
2024-04-18 07:00: 0.0180
2024-04-18 18:00: 0.0180
2024-04-19 05:00: 0.0180
2024-04-19 16:00: 0.0180
2024-04-20 03:00: 0.0180
2024-04-20 14:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-04-21 12:00: 0.9820
2024-04-21 23:00: 0.9820
2024-04-22 10:00: 0.9820
2024-04-22 21:00: 0.9820
2024-04-23 08:00: 0.9820
2024-04-23 19:00: 0.9820
2024-04-24 06:00: 0.9820
2024-04-24 17:00: 0.9820
2024-04-25 04:00: 0.9820
2024-04-25 15:00: 0.9820
2024-04-26 02:00: 0.9820
2024-04-26 13:00: 0.9820
2024-04-27 00:00: 0.9820
2024-04-27 11:00: 0.9820
2024-04-27 22:00: 0.9820
2024-04-28 09:00: 0.9820
2024-04-28 20:00: 0.9825
2024-04-29 07:00: 0.9825
2024-04-29 18:00: 0.9825
2024-04-30 05:00: 0.9825
2024-04-30 16:00: 0.9825
2024-05-01 03:00: 0.9825
2024-05-01 14:00: 0.9825
2024-05-02 02:00: 0.9825
2024-05-02 13:00: 0.9825
2024-05-03 00:00: 0.9825
2024-05-03 11:00: 0.9825
2024-05-03 22:00: 0.9825
2024-05-04 09:00: 0.9825
2024-05-04 20:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-05-05 19:00: 0.0150
2024-05-06 06:00: 0.0150
2024-05-06 17:00: 0.0150
2024-05-07 04:00: 0.0150
2024-05-07 15:00: 0.0150
2024-05-08 02:00: 0.0150
2024-05-08 13:00: 0.0150
2024-05-09 00:00: 0.0150
2024-05-09 11:00: 0.0150
2024-05-09 22:00: 0.0150
2024-05-10 09:00: 0.0150
2024-05-10 20:00: 0.0150
2024-05-11 07:00: 0.0150
2024-05-11 18:00: 0.0150
2024-05-12 05:00: 0.0150
2024-05-12 16:00: 0.0150
2024-05-13 03:00: 0.0150
2024-05-13 14:00: 0.0145
2024-05-14 01:00: 0.0145
2024-05-14 12:00: 0.0145
2024-05-14 23:00: 0.0145
2024-05-15 10:00: 0.0145
2024-05-15 21:00: 0.0145
2024-05-16 08:00: 0.0145
2024-05-16 19:00: 0.0145
2024-05-17 06:00: 0.0145
2024-05-17 17:00: 0.0145
2024-05-18 04:00: 0.0145
2024-05-18 15:00: 0.0145
2024-05-19 02:00: 0.0145
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-05-20 00:00: 0.9875
2024-05-20 11:00: 0.9875
2024-05-20 22:00: 0.9875
2024-05-21 09:00: 0.9875
2024-05-21 20:00: 0.9875
2024-05-22 07:00: 0.9875
2024-05-22 18:00: 0.9875
2024-05-23 05:00: 0.9875
2024-05-23 16:00: 0.9875
2024-05-24 03:00: 0.9875
2024-05-24 14:00: 0.9875
2024-05-25 01:00: 0.9875
2024-05-25 12:00: 0.9875
2024-05-25 23:00: 0.9875
2024-05-26 10:00: 0.9875
2024-05-26 21:00: 0.9880
2024-05-27 08:00: 0.9865
2024-05-27 19:00: 0.9865
2024-05-28 06:00: 0.9875
2024-05-28 17:00: 0.9865
2024-05-29 04:00: 0.9865
2024-05-29 15:00: 0.9865
2024-05-30 02:00: 0.9865
2024-05-30 13:00: 0.9920
2024-05-31 00:00: 0.9920
2024-05-31 11:00: 0.9920
2024-05-31 22:00: 0.9920
2024-06-01 09:00: 0.9920
2024-06-01 20:00: 0.9920
2024-06-02 07:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-06-03 06:00: 0.0080
2024-06-03 17:00: 0.0080
2024-06-04 04:00: 0.0075
2024-06-04 15:00: 0.0075
2024-06-05 02:00: 0.0075
2024-06-05 13:00: 0.0075
2024-06-06 00:00: 0.0075
2024-06-06 11:00: 0.0075
2024-06-06 22:00: 0.0080
2024-06-07 09:00: 0.0075
2024-06-07 20:00: 0.0070
2024-06-08 07:00: 0.0070
2024-06-08 18:00: 0.0070
2024-06-09 05:00: 0.0070
2024-06-09 16:00: 0.0070
2024-06-10 03:00: 0.0075
2024-06-10 14:00: 0.0075
2024-06-11 01:00: 0.0075
2024-06-11 12:00: 0.0070
2024-06-11 23:00: 0.0065
2024-06-12 10:00: 0.0075
2024-06-12 21:00: 0.0070
2024-06-13 08:00: 0.0080
2024-06-13 19:00: 0.0080
2024-06-14 06:00: 0.0080
2024-06-14 17:00: 0.0080
2024-06-15 04:00: 0.0075
2024-06-15 15:00: 0.0075
2024-06-16 02:00: 0.0070
2024-06-16 13:00: 0.0070
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-06-17 11:00: 0.9925
2024-06-17 22:00: 0.9925
2024-06-18 09:00: 0.9925
2024-06-18 20:00: 0.9925
2024-06-19 07:00: 0.9925
2024-06-19 18:00: 0.9925
2024-06-20 05:00: 0.9925
2024-06-20 16:00: 0.9925
2024-06-21 03:00: 0.9925
2024-06-21 14:00: 0.9925
2024-06-22 01:00: 0.9925
2024-06-22 12:00: 0.9925
2024-06-22 23:00: 0.9925
2024-06-23 10:00: 0.9890
2024-06-23 21:00: 0.9885
2024-06-24 08:00: 0.9885
2024-06-24 19:00: 0.9885
2024-06-25 06:00: 0.9885
2024-06-25 17:00: 0.9885
2024-06-26 04:00: 0.9960
2024-06-26 15:00: 0.9965
2024-06-27 02:00: 0.9965
2024-06-27 13:00: 0.9970
2024-06-28 00:00: 0.9970
2024-06-28 11:00: 0.9965
2024-06-28 22:00: 0.9965
2024-06-29 09:00: 0.9965
2024-06-29 20:00: 0.9960
2024-06-30 07:00: 0.9965
2024-06-30 18:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 253855
Question: Will someone else win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Volume: 771652.863812
Price History:
2024-07-01 17:00: 0.0035
2024-07-02 04:00: 0.0030
2024-07-02 15:00: 0.0025
2024-07-03 02:00: 0.0025
2024-07-03 13:00: 0.0025
2024-07-04 00:00: 0.0025
2024-07-04 11:00: 0.0035
2024-07-04 22:00: 0.0035
2024-07-05 09:00: 0.0025
2024-07-05 20:00: 0.0025
2024-07-06 07:00: 0.0025
2024-07-06 18:00: 0.0025
2024-07-07 05:00: 0.0025
2024-07-07 16:00: 0.0020
2024-07-08 03:00: 0.0020
2024-07-08 14:00: 0.0020
2024-07-09 01:00: 0.0020
2024-07-09 12:00: 0.0015
2024-07-09 23:00: 0.0015
2024-07-10 10:00: 0.0015
2024-07-10 21:00: 0.0015
2024-07-11 08:00: 0.0030
2024-07-11 19:00: 0.0025
2024-07-12 06:00: 0.0025
2024-07-12 17:00: 0.0025
2024-07-13 04:00: 0.0025
2024-07-13 15:00: 0.0025
2024-07-14 02:00: 0.0025
2024-07-14 13:00: 0.0035
2024-07-15 00:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: No trades available
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 253693
Question: Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 452582.181605
Price History:
2024-01-12 21:00: 0.0500
2024-01-13 03:00: 0.9500
2024-01-13 10:00: 0.0295
2024-01-13 16:00: 0.9805
2024-01-13 23:00: 0.0190
2024-01-14 05:00: 0.9810
2024-01-14 12:00: 0.0190
2024-01-14 18:00: 0.9810
2024-01-15 01:00: 0.0165
2024-01-15 07:00: 0.9860
2024-01-15 14:00: 0.0180
2024-01-15 20:00: 0.9810
2024-01-16 03:00: 0.0040
2024-01-16 09:00: 0.9960
2024-01-16 16:00: 0.0025
2024-01-16 22:00: 0.9975
2024-01-17 05:00: 0.0025
2024-01-17 11:00: 0.9975
2024-01-17 18:00: 0.0035
2024-01-18 00:00: 0.9965
2024-01-18 07:00: 0.0035
2024-01-18 13:00: 0.9965
2024-01-18 20:00: 0.0035
2024-01-19 02:00: 0.9965
2024-01-19 09:00: 0.0035
2024-01-19 15:00: 0.9965
2024-01-19 22:00: 0.0040
2024-01-20 04:00: 0.9960
2024-01-20 11:00: 0.0040
2024-01-20 17:00: 0.9960
2024-01-21 00:00: 0.0040
2024-01-21 06:00: 0.9960
2024-01-21 13:00: 0.0040
2024-01-21 19:00: 0.9960
2024-01-22 02:00: 0.0035
2024-01-22 08:00: 0.9965
2024-01-22 15:00: 0.0035
2024-01-22 21:00: 0.9965
2024-01-23 04:00: 0.0035
2024-01-23 10:00: 0.9965
2024-01-23 17:00: 0.0035
2024-01-23 23:00: 0.9965
2024-01-24 06:00: 0.0035
2024-01-24 12:00: 0.9965
2024-01-24 19:00: 0.0035
2024-01-25 01:00: 0.9965
2024-01-25 08:00: 0.0045
2024-01-25 14:00: 0.9955
2024-01-25 21:00: 0.0045
2024-01-26 03:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: No trades available

Output: Yes