Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0335
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0355
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0345
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0340
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0345
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0340
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0280
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0310
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0260
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0335
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0235
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0290
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0225
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0360
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0350
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0355
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0235
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0350
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0335
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.70, Average price: 0.9620, Price range: 0.9620 - 0.9620
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9660
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9655
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9640
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9635
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9630
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9630
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9625
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9630
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9610
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9595
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9640
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9640
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9640
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9640
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9640
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.99, Average price: 0.9590, Price range: 0.9590 - 0.9590
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0325
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0280
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0320
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0325
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0325
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0275
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0305
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0330
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0275
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0310
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0320
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0320
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0325
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0335
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0315
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0240
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0275
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0270
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0275
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0275
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0225
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0235
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0265
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0220
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0240
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0265
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 156.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9777, Price range: 0.9708 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9730
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9735
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9800
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9805
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9815
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9815
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9815
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9810
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9815
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9815
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9820
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 33.93, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9835, Price range: 0.9780 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0185
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0185
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0185
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0185
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0175
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0175
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0180
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0180
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0175
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0170
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0180
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0180
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0180
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0180
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 4131.25, Sell volume: 277.62, Average price: 0.8182, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9820
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9820
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9825
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9825
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9840
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9840
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9825
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9820
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9835
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9830
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9840
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9820
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9825
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 407.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0272, Price range: 0.0270 - 0.0274
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0180
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0165
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0205
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0190
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0170
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0195
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0160
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0145
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0170
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0195
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0225
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0160
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0160
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0140
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0160
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0155
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0145
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0155
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0130
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0150
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0135
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0145
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0125
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0140
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 256.43, Sell volume: 3.93, Average price: 0.7950, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9920
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9865
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9840
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9845
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9850
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9865
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9845
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9840
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9860
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9855
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9805
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9770
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9770
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9715
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9695
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 579.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7526, Price range: 0.0283 - 0.9940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538714
Question: Will the next Pope be named Urban?
Volume: 4408.871759
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0360
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0350
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0265
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0270
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0275
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0230
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0260
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0245
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0255
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0255
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0180
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0240
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0200
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0175
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0165
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 35, Buy volume: 919.13, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.9610, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4950
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5050
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7450
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7450
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.9400
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.9500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.9550
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.9550
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9600
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9600
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9600
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0395
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9605
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0395
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9605
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0395
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9605
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0395
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9605
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0395
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9605
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0395
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9605
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9705
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9705
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0285
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 188.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8873, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9760
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0245
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0255
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0265
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9735
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0270
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0240
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9760
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0245
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0260
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0230
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9770
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 120.00, Average price: 0.5948, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9780

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0265
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9735
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9770
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9770
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9770
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9770
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9775
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9775
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9775
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9775
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9770
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9770
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9770
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9775
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9770
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0180
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9820
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0190
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9810
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9790
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0220
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9780
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0225
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9775
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0225
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9775
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9825
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9825
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 740.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7188, Price range: 0.0252 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9790
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9805
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9805
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9810
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9805
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9790
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9790
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0200
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0200
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0190
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9810
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0210
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9790
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0195
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9805
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0160
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0170
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0175
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9825
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0190
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9810
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0180
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9820
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0170
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0195
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9805
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0210
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9790
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 10208.51, Sell volume: 2491.64, Average price: 0.8035, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0170
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0210
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9790
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9795
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9795
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9810
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0195
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9805
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9795
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0210
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9790
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0210
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9790
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9800
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0180
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9820
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9820
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9790
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0180
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9820
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9810
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9800
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0210
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9790
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0185
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9815
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9810
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0180
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9820
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9810
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9810
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0215
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9785
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0215
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9785
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 10208.51, Sell volume: 2491.64, Average price: 0.8035, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0205
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0175
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9825
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0205
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0205
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0170
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9830
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0195
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0175
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9825
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0195
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0195
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0195
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0195
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9800
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0200
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9800
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0175
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9825
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0190
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9810
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9810
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0205
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 10208.51, Sell volume: 2491.64, Average price: 0.8035, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9805
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0180
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9820
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0215
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9785
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9805
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0170
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9830
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0175
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9825
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0180
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9820
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9800
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0180
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9820
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0190
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9810
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0175
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9825
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0190
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9810
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9790
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0175
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9825
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9795
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0175
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9825
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0180
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9820
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0165
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9835
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0175
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 42.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9847, Price range: 0.9830 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9825
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9800
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9795
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9800
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0200
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0200
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0165
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9835
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0165
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9835
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0165
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9835
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0180
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0210
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 78.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6629, Price range: 0.0226 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9820
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0255
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9745
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0265
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9735
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0265
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9735
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0265
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9735
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0265
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9735
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9730
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9730
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9720
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9715
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9715
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0265
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9735
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9720
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9720
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9720
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0290
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9710
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0275
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9725
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9715
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0275
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9725
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0275
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9725
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0285
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0285
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0290
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9710
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0275
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9725
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 282.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0237, Price range: 0.0237 - 0.0237

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0270
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0270
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0270
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0295
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9705
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0270
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0290
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9710
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0275
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9725
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0285
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0290
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9710
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0275
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9725
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9720
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0275
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9725
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0280
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9720
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0280
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9720
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0275
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9725
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0280
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9720
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0280
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9720
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0270
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9730
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0265
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9735
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0290
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9710
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0300
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9700
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0300
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9700
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 62.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0322, Price range: 0.0322 - 0.0322

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0270
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9730
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0290
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9710
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9690
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0280
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9720
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0295
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9705
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0305
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9695
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0275
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9725
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0280
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9720
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0290
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9710
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9780
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0285
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9715
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0290
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9710
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9705
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0290
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9710
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9705
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9705
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9705
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0300
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9700
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9705
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9790
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0240
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9760
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9825
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0205
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9795
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0200
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9800
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0215
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9785
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 190.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9060, Price range: 0.0346 - 0.9830

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9825
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0200
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9800
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0195
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9805
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0200
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9800
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0190
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9810
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0180
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9820
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0185
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0180
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9820
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0175
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9825
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0170
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0180
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9820
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9840
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0165
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9835
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0165
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9835
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9830
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 735.23, Sell volume: 131.61, Average price: 0.5066, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0240
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9760
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0260
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9740
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0245
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9755
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0225
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9775
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0220
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9780
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9830
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9830
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9790
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9795
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0240
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9760
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0240
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9760
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9840
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9840
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9840
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9845
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9845
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9850
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0135
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9865
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9870
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9880
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 7827.20, Sell volume: 2240.03, Average price: 0.8536, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4950
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.0600
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0500
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.0450
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0395
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0395
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0395
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0395
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0395
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0395
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0285
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0335
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0345
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 188.68, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8873, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9760
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9735
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9760
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9740
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9770
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9775
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9770
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9710
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 120.00, Average price: 0.5948, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0265
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0225
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0180
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0220
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0225
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0225
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0175
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0220
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0230
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0180
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 740.77, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7188, Price range: 0.0252 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9790
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9805
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9805
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9810
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9805
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9790
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9790
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9810
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9790
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9805
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9840
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9825
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9810
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9820
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9805
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9790
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9805
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9790
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9830
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 10208.51, Sell volume: 2491.64, Average price: 0.8035, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0170
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0210
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0195
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0210
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0210
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0180
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0180
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0180
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0210
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0185
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0180
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0215
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0215
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0215
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0215
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0215
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0190
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 10208.51, Sell volume: 2491.64, Average price: 0.8035, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9825
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9830
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9825
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9800
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9800
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9825
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9810
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9810
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9810
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9810
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 121, Buy volume: 10208.51, Sell volume: 2491.64, Average price: 0.8035, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0180
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0215
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0195
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0170
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0175
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0180
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0180
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0190
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0175
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0190
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0210
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0175
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0175
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0180
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0165
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0175
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0165
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0175
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 42.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9847, Price range: 0.9830 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9825
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9800
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9795
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9800
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9800
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9835
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9835
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9835
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9820
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9790
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9790
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 78.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6629, Price range: 0.0226 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0210
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0180
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0255
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0265
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0265
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0265
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0265
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0265
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0290
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0275
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0275
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0275
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0285
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0285
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0290
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0275
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0280
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0265
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0290
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0290
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0295
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 282.55, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0237, Price range: 0.0237 - 0.0237
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9705
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9710
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9725
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9715
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9710
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9725
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9720
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9720
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9725
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9720
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9720
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9725
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9720
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9720
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9730
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9735
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9710
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9700
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9700
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9700
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9755
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9725
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9710
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 62.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0322, Price range: 0.0322 - 0.0322
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0270
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0290
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0310
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0280
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0295
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0305
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0275
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0280
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0290
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0285
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0290
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0290
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0300
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0240
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0205
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0200
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0215
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0205
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0190
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0175
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0215
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 190.71, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9060, Price range: 0.0346 - 0.9830
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9825
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9800
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9805
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9800
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9810
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9820
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9815
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9820
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9825
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9830
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9820
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9840
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9835
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9835
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9835
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9830
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9825
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9895
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9865
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9845
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 735.23, Sell volume: 131.61, Average price: 0.5066, Price range: 0.0160 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538715
Question: Will the next Pope be named Alexander?
Volume: 12700.148343
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0240
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0260
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0245
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0225
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0220
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0170
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0205
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0240
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0240
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0160
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0160
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0155
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0135
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0105
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0215
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 7827.20, Sell volume: 2240.03, Average price: 0.8536, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4750
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5250
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7450
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2400
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.7600
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1900
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.8100
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1950
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.8050
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1950
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8050
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1950
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8050
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1900
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8100
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1850
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.8150
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9650
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9705
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0320
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9680
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0320
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9680
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0315
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9685
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9690
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9690
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0315
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9685
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9690
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0305
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9695
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 163.69, Sell volume: 2.95, Average price: 0.8935, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9750
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0275
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0305
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0305
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0300
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0295
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0305
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0255
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0305
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0275
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0270
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0275
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0235
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9765
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0245
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0270
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0310
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9690
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0305
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0310
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9690
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0230
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9770
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.7392, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9790

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0270
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9730
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9790
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9845
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9845
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9845
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9900
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9895
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9905
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9905
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9910
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9910
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9910
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9910
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9910
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9940
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9940
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1053.36, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.7378, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9810
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9790
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0210
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9790
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0220
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9780
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0195
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9805
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0190
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9810
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0205
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0200
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0210
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9790
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0210
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9790
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0215
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0175
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9825
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0200
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0215
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0220
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0190
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9810
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0215
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9785
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0210
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9790
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9795
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9830
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9810
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0155
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9845
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0180
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9820
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9830
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9835
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9840
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9840
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9840
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9840
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9840
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9835
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9835
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9835
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9840
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9795
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9830
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9800
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0175
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9825
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.02, Sell volume: 3.01, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0215
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9785
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0205
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0220
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9780
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0215
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9785
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0195
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0180
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9820
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0160
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9840
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0185
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0185
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0185
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0185
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0185
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0185
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0185
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0185
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0185
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9815
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0185
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9815
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0205
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0215
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9785
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 188.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9964, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9969

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9865
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9915
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9910
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9925
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9930
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9945
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9955
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9960
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9950
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9895
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9900
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9915
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9895
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9910
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9905
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9845
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9830
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 284.33, Sell volume: 25.55, Average price: 0.5547, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9830
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9830
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9830
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9830
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0175
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0175
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0175
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0170
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0220
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 491.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7437, Price range: 0.0199 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0250
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9750
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0250
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9750
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9730
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9730
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0265
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9735
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0265
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9735
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9715
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9720
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9715
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0290
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9710
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9730
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9730
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9715
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9715
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9715
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9715
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9720
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9705
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0290
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9710
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9705
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9705
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0305
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9695
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0300
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9700
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0300
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9700
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0290
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9710
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 9079.50, Sell volume: 149.31, Average price: 0.8603, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9780
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0225
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0225
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0220
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9780
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0225
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0225
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0225
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9780
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0230
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9770
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0225
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0240
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9760
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0255
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9745
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0260
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9740
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0255
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9745
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0260
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9740
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0265
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9735
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0260
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9740
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0250
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9750
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0255
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9745
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0250
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9750
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0250
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9750
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0245
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9755
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0245
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9755
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0250
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9750
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0250
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9750
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 61.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0327, Price range: 0.0327 - 0.0327

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0290
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9710
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0300
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9700
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0300
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9700
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0295
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9705
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0275
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9725
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0300
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9700
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9705
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9705
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9705
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0290
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9710
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0290
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9710
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9705
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9705
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0290
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9710
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0290
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9710
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9705
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9705
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9705
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9705
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9705
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9755
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9790
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9790
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9780
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 161.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9794, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.0220
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9780
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0225
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9775
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0215
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9785
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.0215
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9785
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.0230
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.0215
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9785
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.0225
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9775
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0225
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9775
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.0225
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9775
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0225
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9775
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.0215
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9785
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.0210
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0215
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9785
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.0225
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9775
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.0235
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.0230
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9770
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0215
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9785
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 155.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9840, Price range: 0.9840 - 0.9840

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.9855
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0165
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.9835
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9855
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.9825
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.9825
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.9825
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.9825
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0130
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.9870
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.9890
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9825
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0220
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.9780
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.9855
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.9855
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.9850
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.9860
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.9855
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.9850
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.9850
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9860
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0165
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.9835
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 6463.25, Sell volume: 16.80, Average price: 0.9384, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4750
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.2400
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1900
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1950
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1950
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1950
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1900
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1850
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0350
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0320
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0320
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0315
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0315
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0305
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 16:00: 0.0305
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 18:00: 0.0305
2025-04-22 19:00: 0.0305
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 163.69, Sell volume: 2.95, Average price: 0.8935, Price range: 0.0220 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9750
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9700
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9765
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9690
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9695
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9690
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9770
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 01:00: 0.9760
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.9725
2025-04-24 03:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.7392, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0270
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0240
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0210
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0155
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0100
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0105
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0060
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 07:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 09:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 10:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.0215
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1053.36, Sell volume: 1.00, Average price: 0.7378, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9810
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9790
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9790
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9780
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9805
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9810
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9800
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9795
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9790
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9790
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9825
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9800
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9785
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.9775
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9775
2025-04-26 16:00: 0.9780
2025-04-26 17:00: 0.9795
2025-04-26 18:00: 0.9795
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4.02, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9950, Price range: 0.9950 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0205
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0215
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0210
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0190
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0155
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0180
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0165
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0160
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0205
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0170
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0200
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0175
2025-04-27 22:00: 0.0220
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.0210
2025-04-28 00:00: 0.0215
2025-04-28 01:00: 0.0200
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0210
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 3.02, Sell volume: 3.01, Average price: 0.5005, Price range: 0.0060 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9785
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9795
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9780
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9790
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9785
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9800
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9805
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9820
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9840
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9815
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9815
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9815
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9795
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9785
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 06:00: 0.9805
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.9780
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 09:00: 0.9810
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 188.07, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9964, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9969
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0135
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0085
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0090
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0075
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0070
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0055
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0045
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0040
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0050
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0105
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0100
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0085
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0105
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0090
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0095
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 13:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 15:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 16:00: 0.0170
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.0170
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 284.33, Sell volume: 25.55, Average price: 0.5547, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9830
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9830
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9830
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9830
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9825
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9830
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9780
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9695
2025-05-01 21:00: 0.9700
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.9705
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9700
2025-05-02 00:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 491.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7437, Price range: 0.0199 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0250
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0250
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0265
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0265
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0290
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0285
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0280
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0290
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0295
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0295
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0305
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0300
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0300
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0290
2025-05-03 04:00: 0.0220
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.0220
2025-05-03 06:00: 0.0215
2025-05-03 07:00: 0.0215
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 114, Buy volume: 9079.50, Sell volume: 149.31, Average price: 0.8603, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9780
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9780
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9780
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9770
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9775
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9760
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9745
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9740
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9745
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9740
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9735
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9740
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9750
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9745
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9750
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9750
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9755
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9755
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9750
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9750
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9750
2025-05-04 12:00: 0.9750
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.9715
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9705
2025-05-04 15:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 61.24, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0327, Price range: 0.0327 - 0.0327
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0290
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0300
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0300
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0295
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0275
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0300
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0290
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0290
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0290
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0290
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0295
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0245
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 19:00: 0.0220
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0230
2025-05-05 22:00: 0.0210
2025-05-05 23:00: 0.0220
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 161.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9794, Price range: 0.9750 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-05-06 01:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9780
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.9775
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.9785
2025-05-06 05:00: 0.9785
2025-05-06 06:00: 0.9770
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9785
2025-05-06 08:00: 0.9775
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.9775
2025-05-06 10:00: 0.9775
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.9775
2025-05-06 12:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 13:00: 0.9785
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 16:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 17:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 19:00: 0.9790
2025-05-06 20:00: 0.9765
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9785
2025-05-06 22:00: 0.9775
2025-05-06 23:00: 0.9765
2025-05-07 00:00: 0.9770
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.9785
2025-05-07 02:00: 0.9775
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.9855
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9840
2025-05-07 05:00: 0.9820
2025-05-07 06:00: 0.9830
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 155.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9840, Price range: 0.9840 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 538716
Question: Will the next Pope be named Stephen?
Volume: 9228.812927
Price History:
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 10:00: 0.0165
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 12:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 13:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 14:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 16:00: 0.0130
2025-05-07 17:00: 0.0110
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.0175
2025-05-07 19:00: 0.0220
2025-05-07 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0145
2025-05-07 23:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 00:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 02:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 04:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 06:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 07:00: 0.0150
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.0140
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0165
2025-05-08 10:00: 0.0130
2025-05-08 11:00: 0.0120
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0145
2025-05-08 13:00: 0.0125
2025-05-08 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 53, Buy volume: 6463.25, Sell volume: 16.80, Average price: 0.9384, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.4800
2025-04-21 15:00: 0.5200
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.2500
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.7500
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.2550
2025-04-21 17:00: 0.7450
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.1950
2025-04-21 18:00: 0.8050
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 19:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.1800
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.8200
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 21:00: 0.8150
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 22:00: 0.8150
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.1850
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.8150
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.1850
2025-04-22 00:00: 0.8150
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.1750
2025-04-22 01:00: 0.8250
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0450
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.9550
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.0395
2025-04-22 04:00: 0.9605
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 05:00: 0.9600
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.0400
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9600
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 07:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0300
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.9700
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 09:00: 0.9710
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.9705
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 11:00: 0.9705
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 12:00: 0.9705
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9710
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0290
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.9710
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.0285
2025-04-22 15:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 163.68, Sell volume: 80.11, Average price: 0.8182, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-04-22 22:00: 0.9760
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.0295
2025-04-22 23:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 01:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0295
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.0295
2025-04-23 04:00: 0.9705
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 05:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 06:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0290
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.9710
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0275
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.0255
2025-04-23 09:00: 0.9745
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.0280
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9720
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.0275
2025-04-23 11:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.0270
2025-04-23 12:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 13:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0275
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.9725
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.0235
2025-04-23 15:00: 0.9765
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.0245
2025-04-23 16:00: 0.9755
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.0270
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9730
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 18:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 19:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0285
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.9715
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.0230
2025-04-23 22:00: 0.9770
2025-04-23 23:00: 0.0235
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 50.00, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.7380, Price range: 0.0210 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 06:00: 0.9770
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.0235
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9765
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0230
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.9770
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.0205
2025-04-24 09:00: 0.9795
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 10:00: 0.9855
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.9850
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 12:00: 0.9850
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 13:00: 0.9850
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0150
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9850
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.0145
2025-04-24 15:00: 0.9855
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.0140
2025-04-24 16:00: 0.9860
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 17:00: 0.9910
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.9905
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 19:00: 0.9905
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0095
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.9905
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.0090
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9910
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.0055
2025-04-24 22:00: 0.9945
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.0050
2025-04-24 23:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 00:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0055
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.9945
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0050
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.9950
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.0060
2025-04-25 03:00: 0.9940
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9935
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.0070
2025-04-25 05:00: 0.9930
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.0065
2025-04-25 06:00: 0.9935
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1259.08, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7859, Price range: 0.0086 - 0.9800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-04-25 13:00: 0.9770
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0220
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.9780
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0225
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.9775
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.0255
2025-04-25 16:00: 0.9745
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.0265
2025-04-25 17:00: 0.9735
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.0265
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9735
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.0265
2025-04-25 19:00: 0.9735
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0265
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.9735
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.0285
2025-04-25 21:00: 0.9715
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0285
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.9715
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.0285
2025-04-25 23:00: 0.9715
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-26 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.0295
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9705
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0290
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.9710
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.0295
2025-04-26 03:00: 0.9705
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.0300
2025-04-26 04:00: 0.9700
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0305
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.9695
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.0290
2025-04-26 06:00: 0.9710
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.0295
2025-04-26 07:00: 0.9705
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0290
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9710
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.0290
2025-04-26 09:00: 0.9710
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.0300
2025-04-26 10:00: 0.9700
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.0365
2025-04-26 11:00: 0.9635
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0365
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.9635
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.0370
2025-04-26 13:00: 0.9630
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0370
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 42.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0360, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.0360

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.0370
2025-04-26 21:00: 0.9630
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.0370
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9630
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.0370
2025-04-26 23:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 00:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 01:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 03:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 04:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 06:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 07:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 09:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 10:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 11:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 12:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 13:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 15:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 16:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 17:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 18:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 19:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.9630
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.0370
2025-04-27 21:00: 0.9630
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 8455.64, Sell volume: 271.09, Average price: 0.8985, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-04-28 04:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 07:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 08:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 09:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 12:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 14:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 15:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 16:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 18:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 19:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 21:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 22:00: 0.9630
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.0370
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9630
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0370
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.9630
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.0370
2025-04-29 01:00: 0.9630
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.0370
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9630
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.0375
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9625
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.0375
2025-04-29 04:00: 0.9625
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 20.99, Average price: 0.9620, Price range: 0.9620 - 0.9620

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.0210
2025-04-29 12:00: 0.9790
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.0265
2025-04-29 13:00: 0.9735
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0290
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9710
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.0285
2025-04-29 15:00: 0.9715
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.0290
2025-04-29 16:00: 0.9710
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9705
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.0285
2025-04-29 18:00: 0.9715
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 19:00: 0.9705
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.0290
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9710
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.9705
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.0305
2025-04-29 22:00: 0.9695
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.0295
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9705
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.0300
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9700
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.0300
2025-04-30 01:00: 0.9700
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.0305
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9695
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.0240
2025-04-30 03:00: 0.9760
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0245
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.9755
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.0285
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9715
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.0205
2025-04-30 06:00: 0.9795
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9800
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.0195
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9805
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.0195
2025-04-30 09:00: 0.9805
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.0200
2025-04-30 10:00: 0.9800
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0185
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9815
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.0185
2025-04-30 12:00: 0.9815
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 142.85, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9827, Price range: 0.9768 - 0.9860

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-04-30 19:00: 0.9835
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.0165
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9835
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.0185
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9815
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 22:00: 0.9845
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.0155
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9845
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.0150
2025-05-01 00:00: 0.9850
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.9855
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.0135
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9865
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.0140
2025-05-01 03:00: 0.9860
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.0140
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9860
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9860
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.0125
2025-05-01 06:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.0130
2025-05-01 07:00: 0.9870
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0125
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.0135
2025-05-01 09:00: 0.9865
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.0125
2025-05-01 10:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.0120
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9880
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.0125
2025-05-01 12:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 13:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.0120
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9880
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0140
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.9860
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.0125
2025-05-01 16:00: 0.9875
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.0115
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9885
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.0110
2025-05-01 19:00: 0.9890
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.0120
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 33.92, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9870, Price range: 0.9860 - 0.9880

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 03:00: 0.9875
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-02 04:00: 0.9880
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9885
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 06:00: 0.9885
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 07:00: 0.9875
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9875
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-02 09:00: 0.9870
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.0130
2025-05-02 10:00: 0.9870
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.0155
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9845
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0145
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.9855
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 13:00: 0.9875
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9875
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.0130
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9870
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.0135
2025-05-02 16:00: 0.9865
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9875
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 18:00: 0.9875
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0125
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.9875
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9885
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.0110
2025-05-02 21:00: 0.9890
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.0110
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9890
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.0115
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9885
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.0100
2025-05-03 00:00: 0.9900
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.0100
2025-05-03 01:00: 0.9900
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0100
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9900
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.0095
2025-05-03 03:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 96, Buy volume: 8455.64, Sell volume: 271.09, Average price: 0.8985, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-05-03 10:00: 0.9880
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.0120
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9880
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.0120
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9880
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 13:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.0120
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9880
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 15:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.0125
2025-05-03 18:00: 0.9875
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.0120
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9880
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9890
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 21:00: 0.9890
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.0105
2025-05-03 22:00: 0.9895
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0110
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9890
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.0110
2025-05-04 00:00: 0.9890
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.0105
2025-05-04 01:00: 0.9895
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.0105
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9895
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 03:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 04:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.0105
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9895
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0090
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.9910
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.0080
2025-05-04 07:00: 0.9920
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.0070
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9930
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.0095
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9905
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.0085
2025-05-04 10:00: 0.9915
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 63.06, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5073, Price range: 0.0167 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 538718
Question: Will the next Pope be named Adrian?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 8726.729074
Price History:
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.0130
2025-05-04 18:00: 0.9870
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.0130
2025-05-04 19:00: 0.9870
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0150
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9850
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 21:00: 0.9860
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 22:00: 0.9860
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.0140
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9860
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.0135
2025-05-05 00:00: 0.9865
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.0145
2025-05-05 01:00: 0.9855
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.0125
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9875
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0085
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.9915
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.0120
2025-05-05 04:00: 0.9880
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.0140
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9860
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.0130
2025-05-05 06:00: 0.9870
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.0095
2025-05-05 07:00: 0.9905
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.0140
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9860
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.0135
2025-05-05 09:00: 0.9865
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 10:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.0090
2025-05-05 11:00: 0.9910
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-05 12:00: 0.9915
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.0080
2025-05-05 13:00: 0.9920
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9930
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.0065
2025-05-05 15:00: 0.9935
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.0055
2025-05-05 16:00: 0.9945
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.0085
2025-05-05 17:00: 0.9915
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.0080
2025-05-05 18:00: 0.9920
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 148.10, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9956, Price range: 0.9900 - 0.9990

Output: Yes