Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4218.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3298.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0013

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 97.58, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 721, Buy volume: 74172.51, Sell volume: 42485.61, Average price: 0.5925, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.2450
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.1950
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.1950
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.1950
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1700
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.1750
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.1750
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.1750
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.1750
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.1650
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1600
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.1350
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.1250
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0850
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0800
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0650
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0650
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0650
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0700
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0750
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1572.13, Sell volume: 544.93, Average price: 0.6773, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0700
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0600
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0600
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0500
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0550
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0550
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0400
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0400
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0400
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0450
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0450
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 6448.17, Sell volume: 768.37, Average price: 0.8552, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0450
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0500
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0700
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0800
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0700
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0900
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0850
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0850
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0850
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 3215.24, Sell volume: 1200.17, Average price: 0.5600, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0900
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.1000
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.1000
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.1000
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0950
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0750
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0900
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.1000
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.1250
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.1200
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.1550
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.1050
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0950
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.2800
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.1700
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.2400
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.1650
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.1600
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.1600
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.1750
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.1750
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.2000
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.2000
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.2000
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.2000
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.2000
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.2250
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.1900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 438, Buy volume: 36336.68, Sell volume: 19471.53, Average price: 0.5560, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0120
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.0080
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0095
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0075
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0120
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.0130
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0065
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.0065
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0020
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0025
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 123, Buy volume: 10345.52, Sell volume: 16953.26, Average price: 0.5449, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0035
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0025
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0030
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0030
Trade Summary: Total trades: 36, Buy volume: 2603.52, Sell volume: 3449.77, Average price: 0.8598, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 721, Buy volume: 74172.51, Sell volume: 42485.61, Average price: 0.5925, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 1000.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 4218.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 4218.54, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 3298.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0011, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0013
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0020
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0020
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 97.58, Average price: 0.9960, Price range: 0.9960 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552053
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 116658.124845
Price History:
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 721, Buy volume: 74172.51, Sell volume: 42485.61, Average price: 0.5925, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.2300
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.1450
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1100
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.1100
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.1100
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0950
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0950
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0900
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0950
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1961.01, Sell volume: 131.00, Average price: 0.6911, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.0800
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0450
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0450
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0450
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0450
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 6634.85, Sell volume: 1252.41, Average price: 0.8162, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0480
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0480
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0480
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0480
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0455
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0375
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0390
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0385
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0385
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0395
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0395
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0405
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0395
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0395
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0400
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0435
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0455
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0435
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0435
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0415
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0415
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0425
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0425
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0420
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0430
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0430
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0425
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0435
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0440
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0430
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0420
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0405
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0485
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0485
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0430
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0420
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0380
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0430
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0215
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0205
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0175
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0130
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0135
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0180
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0195
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0195
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0195
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0195
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0195
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 42196.98, Sell volume: 6527.92, Average price: 0.4239, Price range: 0.0145 - 0.9850

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0155
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0140
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0130
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0130
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0130
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0130
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0130
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0120
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0130
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0130
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0130
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0150
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0150
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0255
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0250
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0265
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0265
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0265
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0355
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0335
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0340
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0330
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0330
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0350
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0545
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0750
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0975
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0770
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0760
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0755
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0760
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0750
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0730
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0760
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0755
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0765
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0755
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0755
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0740
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0810
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0900
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0875
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0885
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0775
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0875
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 510, Buy volume: 54015.47, Sell volume: 49346.54, Average price: 0.5374, Price range: 0.0073 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0395
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.0200
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0470
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.1085
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.1060
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0770
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0625
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.0790
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0835
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.1345
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.1545
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.1405
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.1600
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.1345
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.1075
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.0330
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0405
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.0350
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0385
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0390
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0345
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.0330
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0335
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.0330
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0330
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.0320
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0320
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.0320
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0385
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.0435
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0425
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.0410
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0440
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0575
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0575
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.0580
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0580
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.0580
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0585
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.0605
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0635
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.0585
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0665
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.0670
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0620
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.0615
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0615
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0640
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0645
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.0680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 189, Buy volume: 19686.30, Sell volume: 15296.42, Average price: 0.3502, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9770

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0370
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0460
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0430
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.0440
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0420
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.0490
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0420
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.0415
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0340
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.0395
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0400
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.0365
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0425
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.0440
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0440
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0440
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0435
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.0440
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0440
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.0440
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0435
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.0445
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.0445
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0435
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.0425
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0420
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.0450
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0430
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0430
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0425
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.0420
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0405
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.0395
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0280
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.0285
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0280
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.0275
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0275
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.0315
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0310
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.0320
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0320
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0355
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0350
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.0310
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0290
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.0250
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0275
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.0265
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 2685.44, Sell volume: 1962.88, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.0225 - 0.9833

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0230
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.0120
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0125
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.0170
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1842.64, Sell volume: 1053.93, Average price: 0.6190, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0025
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.0020
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 4654.10, Average price: 0.8724, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 944, Buy volume: 151983.41, Sell volume: 80435.27, Average price: 0.5230, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 16340.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 944, Buy volume: 151983.41, Sell volume: 80435.27, Average price: 0.5230, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 4980.77, Sell volume: 26.07, Average price: 0.2505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1177.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5006, Price range: 0.0021 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.2300
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1100
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1050
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0950
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0950
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0750
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.0750
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 1961.01, Sell volume: 131.00, Average price: 0.6911, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.0750
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.0650
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0550
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0450
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0500
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0450
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0450
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0400
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0400
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0400
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0355
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0390
Trade Summary: Total trades: 59, Buy volume: 6634.85, Sell volume: 1252.41, Average price: 0.8162, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0480
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0480
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0455
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0390
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0385
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0395
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0395
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0400
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0455
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0435
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0415
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0425
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0430
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0425
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0440
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0420
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0485
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0430
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0380
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0215
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0175
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0135
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0195
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0195
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0195
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0195
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0165
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0150
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0155
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0155
Trade Summary: Total trades: 64, Buy volume: 42196.98, Sell volume: 6527.92, Average price: 0.4239, Price range: 0.0145 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0155
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0130
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0130
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0130
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0130
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0130
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0150
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0250
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0265
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0355
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0340
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0330
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0545
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.0975
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0760
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0760
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0730
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0755
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0755
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0740
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0900
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0885
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0875
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0855
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.0830
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0840
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0905
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 510, Buy volume: 54015.47, Sell volume: 49346.54, Average price: 0.5374, Price range: 0.0073 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.0395
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.0470
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.1060
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.0625
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.0835
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.1545
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.1600
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.1075
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.0405
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.0385
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.0345
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0335
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.0330
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0320
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.0385
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.0425
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.0440
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0575
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.0580
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.0585
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0635
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.0665
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.0620
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0615
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.0645
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.0685
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.0635
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0635
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.0635
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 189, Buy volume: 19686.30, Sell volume: 15296.42, Average price: 0.3502, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.0370
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.0430
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.0420
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.0420
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0340
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.0400
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.0425
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.0440
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.0435
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.0440
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0435
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0450
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.0435
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.0420
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.0430
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.0425
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0405
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.0280
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0280
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.0275
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.0310
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.0320
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0350
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.0290
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.0275
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0245
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.0235
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.0260
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0250
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 55, Buy volume: 2685.44, Sell volume: 1962.88, Average price: 0.6794, Price range: 0.0225 - 0.9833
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.0230
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.0125
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 1842.64, Sell volume: 1053.93, Average price: 0.6190, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.0015
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0025
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.0035
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 4654.10, Average price: 0.8724, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 944, Buy volume: 151983.41, Sell volume: 80435.27, Average price: 0.5230, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 16340.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 944, Buy volume: 151983.41, Sell volume: 80435.27, Average price: 0.5230, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0005
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0005
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 4980.77, Sell volume: 26.07, Average price: 0.2505, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552054
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 232418.676204
Price History:
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0015
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.0010
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.0010
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1177.67, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5006, Price range: 0.0021 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.2350
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.2450
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0300
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0255
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0255
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0315
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0455
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.2360
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1910
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.1905
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.1310
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.1305
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.1315
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.1280
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.1275
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.1285
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.1205
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.1065
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.1670
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.1655
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1665
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.1645
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.1220
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.1150
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.1145
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.1125
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1130
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.1035
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.1050
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.1040
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.1040
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.1030
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1070
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.1040
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.1065
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.1060
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.1055
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.1085
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.1080
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.1110
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.1085
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.1095
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.1085
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.1085
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.1100
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.1040
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.1055
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.1045
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.1045
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 177352088.06, Sell volume: 38723477.01, Average price: 0.6423, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.1175
2025-06-16 00:00: 0.1150
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.1125
2025-06-16 02:00: 0.1165
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.1145
2025-06-16 04:00: 0.1230
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.1230
2025-06-16 06:00: 0.1235
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.1220
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.1220
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.1215
2025-06-16 10:00: 0.1055
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.1035
2025-06-16 12:00: 0.1070
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0965
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.0970
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0965
2025-06-16 16:00: 0.0970
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0950
2025-06-16 18:00: 0.0920
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0845
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.0840
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0880
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0895
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0895
2025-06-17 00:00: 0.0885
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0890
2025-06-17 02:00: 0.0875
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0885
2025-06-17 04:00: 0.0870
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0870
2025-06-17 06:00: 0.0865
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0865
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.0885
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0885
2025-06-17 10:00: 0.0890
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0875
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0750
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0790
2025-06-17 14:00: 0.0785
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0820
2025-06-17 16:00: 0.0795
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0785
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.0760
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0750
2025-06-17 20:00: 0.0745
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0735
2025-06-17 22:00: 0.0735
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0745
2025-06-18 00:00: 0.0740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 155844, Buy volume: 22916923.40, Sell volume: 3937998.06, Average price: 0.6566, Price range: 0.0219 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0380
2025-06-19 02:00: 0.0380
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0380
2025-06-19 04:00: 0.0375
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0340
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0340
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0335
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.0330
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0330
2025-06-19 10:00: 0.0330
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0345
2025-06-19 12:00: 0.0340
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0340
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.0335
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0340
2025-06-19 16:00: 0.0400
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0410
2025-06-19 18:00: 0.0415
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0445
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0445
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0455
2025-06-19 22:00: 0.0445
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0460
2025-06-20 00:00: 0.0460
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0460
2025-06-20 02:00: 0.0480
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0480
2025-06-20 04:00: 0.0475
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0475
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.0480
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0470
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.0460
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0480
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0415
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.0415
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0360
2025-06-20 14:00: 0.0360
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0325
2025-06-20 16:00: 0.0395
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0320
2025-06-20 18:00: 0.0320
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0320
2025-06-20 20:00: 0.0305
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0320
2025-06-20 22:00: 0.0305
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0300
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0300
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0305
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127872, Buy volume: 59848596.37, Sell volume: 2356820.82, Average price: 0.5890, Price range: 0.0216 - 0.9840

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0185
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0185
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0190
2025-06-22 06:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 10:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 12:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0180
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.0205
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0205
2025-06-22 16:00: 0.0225
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0225
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0225
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0225
2025-06-22 20:00: 0.0255
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0255
2025-06-22 22:00: 0.0255
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0255
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.0255
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0255
2025-06-23 02:00: 0.0335
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0335
2025-06-23 04:00: 0.0310
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0320
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.0320
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0495
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.1245
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.1385
2025-06-23 10:00: 0.0950
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0615
2025-06-23 12:00: 0.0505
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0565
2025-06-23 14:00: 0.0470
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0390
2025-06-23 16:00: 0.0370
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0370
2025-06-23 18:00: 0.0445
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0635
2025-06-23 20:00: 0.0685
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0690
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0940
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0965
2025-06-24 00:00: 0.0965
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0965
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.0665
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0770
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.0860
Trade Summary: Total trades: 715498, Buy volume: 94530333.07, Sell volume: 32399620.76, Average price: 0.6486, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9850

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.9260
2025-06-25 06:00: 0.9555
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9285
2025-06-25 08:00: 0.8625
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.8665
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.8910
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.9165
2025-06-25 12:00: 0.9150
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.9150
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.8675
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.8340
2025-06-25 16:00: 0.8285
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.8280
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.8540
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.8560
2025-06-25 20:00: 0.9380
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9505
2025-06-25 22:00: 0.9480
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.9480
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.9495
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.9480
2025-06-26 02:00: 0.9500
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.9515
2025-06-26 04:00: 0.9525
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9545
2025-06-26 06:00: 0.9510
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.9560
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.9540
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.9530
2025-06-26 10:00: 0.9500
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.9480
2025-06-26 12:00: 0.9460
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.9460
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.9375
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9330
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.9365
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9335
2025-06-26 18:00: 0.9350
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.9335
2025-06-26 20:00: 0.9345
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.9320
2025-06-26 22:00: 0.9345
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.9265
2025-06-27 00:00: 0.9280
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.9315
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.9305
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.9285
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.9265
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.9260
2025-06-27 06:00: 0.9260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 230, Buy volume: 27984.63, Sell volume: 10104.62, Average price: 0.4739, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9572

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.9340
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.9340
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9350
2025-06-28 10:00: 0.9350
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9350
2025-06-28 12:00: 0.9345
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.9475
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.9510
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9630
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.9495
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9565
2025-06-28 18:00: 0.9465
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.9470
2025-06-28 20:00: 0.9475
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.9470
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.9475
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9470
2025-06-29 00:00: 0.9470
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.9445
2025-06-29 02:00: 0.9465
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9470
2025-06-29 04:00: 0.9485
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9470
2025-06-29 06:00: 0.9475
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.9445
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.9475
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.9480
2025-06-29 10:00: 0.9480
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9475
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.9510
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.9570
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.9560
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9570
2025-06-29 16:00: 0.9535
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.9585
2025-06-29 18:00: 0.9590
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.9550
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.9550
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.9555
2025-06-29 22:00: 0.9555
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9555
2025-06-30 00:00: 0.9520
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9450
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.9455
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.9505
2025-06-30 04:00: 0.9500
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9480
2025-06-30 06:00: 0.9475
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.9515
2025-06-30 08:00: 0.9465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 3094.92, Sell volume: 3591.25, Average price: 0.7475, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9670

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.9505
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.9515
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9575
2025-07-01 12:00: 0.9590
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.9880
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.9910
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9895
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.9860
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9880
2025-07-01 18:00: 0.9920
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.9955
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.9965
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-01 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-02 00:00: 0.9975
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-07-02 02:00: 0.9975
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-07-02 04:00: 0.9975
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-02 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.9970
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9965
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.9960
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9945
2025-07-02 12:00: 0.9945
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9965
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.9965
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9955
2025-07-02 16:00: 0.9955
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-02 18:00: 0.9955
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9955
2025-07-02 20:00: 0.9955
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-02 22:00: 0.9960
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9960
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.9960
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 04:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 08:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 10:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 3939.17, Sell volume: 3674.15, Average price: 0.8394, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 12:00: 0.9950
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 16:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 20:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 22:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 00:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 04:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 06:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 10:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 12:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 14:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 16:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 18:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 20:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 04:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 08:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 10:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 4063.22, Sell volume: 3277.72, Average price: 0.8496, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.9940
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.9940
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.9940
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.9915
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9920
2025-07-07 18:00: 0.9885
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.9910
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.9880
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.9960
2025-07-07 22:00: 0.9955
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.9935
2025-07-08 00:00: 0.9905
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.9930
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9940
2025-07-08 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9955
2025-07-08 08:00: 0.9955
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 10:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 12:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 14:00: 0.9940
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9955
2025-07-08 16:00: 0.9955
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 18:00: 0.9955
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 00:00: 0.9965
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 06:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 08:00: 0.9905
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9960
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 12:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 14:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 3725.93, Sell volume: 4100.38, Average price: 0.9304, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.9970
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 02:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 06:00: 0.9940
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9950
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.9955
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-11 10:00: 0.9980
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9980
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.9980
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-12 08:00: 0.9970
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-12 10:00: 0.9980
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.9980
2025-07-12 12:00: 0.9980
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.9980
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.9980
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.9965
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.9970
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 3630.98, Sell volume: 1908.33, Average price: 0.9679, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9960
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.9955
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9965
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 22:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 00:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 20:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 22:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.9990
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9975
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.9975
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-15 06:00: 0.9975
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 10:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 12:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 16:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 18:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 3464.19, Sell volume: 1499.81, Average price: 0.9832, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9970
2025-07-16 20:00: 0.9970
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9970
2025-07-16 22:00: 0.9970
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 02:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 14:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 16:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 18:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 20:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 00:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 04:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 06:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 10:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 14:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 16:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 18:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1549.37, Sell volume: 422.34, Average price: 0.9616, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 00:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 02:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 04:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 10:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 12:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 14:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 16:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 18:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 22:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 04:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 08:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 12:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 14:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 16:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 18:00: 0.9985
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.9985
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 4771.03, Sell volume: 458.77, Average price: 0.9662, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.2350
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0300
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0255
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0455
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1910
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.1310
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.1315
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.1275
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.1205
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.1670
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.1665
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.1220
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.1145
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.1130
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.1050
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.1040
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.1070
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.1065
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.1055
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.1080
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.1085
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.1085
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.1100
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.1055
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.1045
2025-06-14 23:00: 0.1060
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.1045
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.1060
2025-06-15 05:00: 0.1055
2025-06-15 07:00: 0.1055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 177352088.06, Sell volume: 38723477.01, Average price: 0.6423, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-06-15 23:00: 0.1175
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.1125
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.1145
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.1230
2025-06-16 07:00: 0.1220
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.1215
2025-06-16 11:00: 0.1035
2025-06-16 13:00: 0.0965
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0965
2025-06-16 17:00: 0.0950
2025-06-16 19:00: 0.0845
2025-06-16 21:00: 0.0880
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.0895
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.0890
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0885
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0870
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.0865
2025-06-17 09:00: 0.0885
2025-06-17 11:00: 0.0875
2025-06-17 13:00: 0.0790
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0820
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.0785
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0750
2025-06-17 21:00: 0.0735
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.0745
2025-06-18 01:00: 0.0740
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0525
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.0535
2025-06-18 07:00: 0.0200
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0175
Trade Summary: Total trades: 155844, Buy volume: 22916923.40, Sell volume: 3937998.06, Average price: 0.6566, Price range: 0.0219 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-06-19 01:00: 0.0380
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0380
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.0340
2025-06-19 07:00: 0.0335
2025-06-19 09:00: 0.0330
2025-06-19 11:00: 0.0345
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0340
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0340
2025-06-19 17:00: 0.0410
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.0445
2025-06-19 21:00: 0.0455
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.0460
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.0460
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0480
2025-06-20 05:00: 0.0475
2025-06-20 07:00: 0.0470
2025-06-20 09:00: 0.0450
2025-06-20 11:00: 0.0415
2025-06-20 13:00: 0.0360
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0325
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0320
2025-06-20 19:00: 0.0320
2025-06-20 21:00: 0.0320
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.0300
2025-06-21 01:00: 0.0305
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0295
2025-06-21 05:00: 0.0215
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0215
2025-06-21 09:00: 0.0215
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127872, Buy volume: 59848596.37, Sell volume: 2356820.82, Average price: 0.5890, Price range: 0.0216 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0185
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.0190
2025-06-22 07:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 09:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0160
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.0180
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0205
2025-06-22 17:00: 0.0225
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.0225
2025-06-22 21:00: 0.0255
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.0255
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0255
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0335
2025-06-23 05:00: 0.0320
2025-06-23 07:00: 0.0495
2025-06-23 09:00: 0.1385
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.0615
2025-06-23 13:00: 0.0565
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0390
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.0370
2025-06-23 19:00: 0.0635
2025-06-23 21:00: 0.0690
2025-06-23 23:00: 0.0965
2025-06-24 01:00: 0.0965
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0770
2025-06-24 05:00: 0.0855
2025-06-24 07:00: 0.0845
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.0780
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.0775
2025-06-24 13:00: 0.0840
Trade Summary: Total trades: 715498, Buy volume: 94530333.07, Sell volume: 32399620.76, Average price: 0.6486, Price range: 0.0170 - 0.9850
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.9260
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.9285
2025-06-25 09:00: 0.8665
2025-06-25 11:00: 0.9165
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.9150
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.8340
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.8280
2025-06-25 19:00: 0.8560
2025-06-25 21:00: 0.9505
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.9480
2025-06-26 01:00: 0.9480
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.9515
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.9545
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.9560
2025-06-26 09:00: 0.9530
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.9480
2025-06-26 13:00: 0.9460
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.9330
2025-06-26 17:00: 0.9335
2025-06-26 19:00: 0.9335
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.9320
2025-06-26 23:00: 0.9265
2025-06-27 01:00: 0.9315
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.9285
2025-06-27 05:00: 0.9260
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.9250
2025-06-27 09:00: 0.9290
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.9285
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.9285
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.9285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 230, Buy volume: 27984.63, Sell volume: 10104.62, Average price: 0.4739, Price range: 0.0420 - 0.9572
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-06-28 07:00: 0.9340
2025-06-28 09:00: 0.9350
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.9350
2025-06-28 13:00: 0.9475
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.9630
2025-06-28 17:00: 0.9565
2025-06-28 19:00: 0.9470
2025-06-28 21:00: 0.9470
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.9470
2025-06-29 01:00: 0.9445
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.9470
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.9470
2025-06-29 07:00: 0.9445
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.9480
2025-06-29 11:00: 0.9475
2025-06-29 13:00: 0.9570
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.9570
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.9585
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.9550
2025-06-29 21:00: 0.9555
2025-06-29 23:00: 0.9555
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.9450
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.9505
2025-06-30 05:00: 0.9480
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.9515
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.9490
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.9480
2025-06-30 13:00: 0.9525
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.9430
2025-06-30 17:00: 0.9460
Trade Summary: Total trades: 70, Buy volume: 3094.92, Sell volume: 3591.25, Average price: 0.7475, Price range: 0.0320 - 0.9670
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-07-01 09:00: 0.9505
2025-07-01 11:00: 0.9575
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.9880
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.9895
2025-07-01 17:00: 0.9880
2025-07-01 19:00: 0.9955
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-02 01:00: 0.9975
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.9975
2025-07-02 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-02 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-02 09:00: 0.9965
2025-07-02 11:00: 0.9945
2025-07-02 13:00: 0.9965
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.9955
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.9955
2025-07-02 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-02 23:00: 0.9960
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 05:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 09:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 13:00: 0.9965
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.9950
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.9950
2025-07-03 19:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 3939.17, Sell volume: 3674.15, Average price: 0.8394, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 13:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 19:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.9955
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 05:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 07:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 09:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 11:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 21:00: 0.9955
2025-07-05 23:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 01:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 07:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 09:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.9960
2025-07-06 13:00: 0.9955
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.9945
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.9945
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.9945
2025-07-06 21:00: 0.9945
Trade Summary: Total trades: 95, Buy volume: 4063.22, Sell volume: 3277.72, Average price: 0.8496, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-07-07 13:00: 0.9940
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.9940
2025-07-07 17:00: 0.9920
2025-07-07 19:00: 0.9910
2025-07-07 21:00: 0.9960
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.9935
2025-07-08 01:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.9940
2025-07-08 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.9955
2025-07-08 09:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 11:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.9955
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 19:00: 0.9950
2025-07-08 21:00: 0.9945
2025-07-08 23:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 01:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 05:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 07:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.9960
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 13:00: 0.9950
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.9960
2025-07-09 17:00: 0.9955
2025-07-09 19:00: 0.9965
2025-07-09 21:00: 0.9965
2025-07-09 23:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 3725.93, Sell volume: 4100.38, Average price: 0.9304, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 01:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-11 07:00: 0.9950
2025-07-11 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.9980
2025-07-11 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-11 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-12 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.9980
2025-07-12 13:00: 0.9980
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.9965
2025-07-12 17:00: 0.9970
2025-07-12 19:00: 0.9970
2025-07-12 21:00: 0.9970
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 3630.98, Sell volume: 1908.33, Average price: 0.9679, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-07-13 17:00: 0.9960
2025-07-13 19:00: 0.9965
2025-07-13 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.9985
2025-07-14 19:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.9990
2025-07-14 23:00: 0.9990
2025-07-15 01:00: 0.9975
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 05:00: 0.9975
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 09:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.9965
2025-07-15 13:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 17:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.9970
2025-07-15 23:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.9965
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.9965
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 3464.19, Sell volume: 1499.81, Average price: 0.9832, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-07-16 19:00: 0.9970
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.9970
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.9970
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.9970
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1549.37, Sell volume: 422.34, Average price: 0.9616, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 552055
Question: Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Volume: 269703.877206
Price History:
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.9975
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.9975
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.9985
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.9980
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 07:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.9980
2025-07-21 19:00: 0.9985
2025-07-21 21:00: 0.9985
2025-07-21 23:00: 0.9985
2025-07-22 01:00: 0.9985
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.9985
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.9985
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 4771.03, Sell volume: 458.77, Average price: 0.9662, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 552056
Question: Will a candidate other than Andrew Cuomo or Zohran Mamdani win the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 35838.180999
Price History:
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0500
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0155
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0160
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0160
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0155
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0155
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0155
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0135
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0135
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0135
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0135
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0140
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0145
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0150
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0150
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0150
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0150
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0150
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0150
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0150
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0150
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0150
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0145
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0145
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0145
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0145
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0150
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0150
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0155
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.0155
2025-06-14 11:00: 0.0155
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.0130
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.0130
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0130
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0130
2025-06-14 16:00: 0.0130
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0130
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-14 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0105
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0105
2025-06-14 22:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 182.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3403, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9930

Output: Yes