Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0190
2025-11-11 23:00: 0.0190
2025-11-12 06:00: 0.0190
2025-11-12 13:00: 0.0190
2025-11-12 20:00: 0.0190
2025-11-13 03:00: 0.0250
2025-11-13 10:00: 0.0250
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0250
2025-11-14 00:00: 0.0250
2025-11-14 07:00: 0.0285
2025-11-14 14:00: 0.0280
2025-11-14 21:00: 0.0285
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0280
2025-11-15 11:00: 0.0285
2025-11-15 18:00: 0.0280
2025-11-16 01:00: 0.0280
2025-11-16 08:00: 0.0230
2025-11-16 15:00: 0.0230
2025-11-16 22:00: 0.0230
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0230
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.0225
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.0185
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.0185
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0170
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0075
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0185
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0210
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0220
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0195
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0190
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0190
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0190
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0190
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 01:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 08:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 15:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 22:00: 0.0175
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0155
2025-11-24 12:00: 0.0155
2025-11-24 19:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 02:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 09:00: 0.0150
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0080
2025-11-25 23:00: 0.0080
Trade Summary: Total trades: 760, Buy volume: 39112.24, Sell volume: 136079.15, Average price: 0.1521, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.6650
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.1500
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.1700
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.1700
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.2600
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.2400
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0650
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.1150
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0850
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0950
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0900
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0600
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0550
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0410
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0600
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.2195
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0760
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.2210
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.1670
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.2165
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.1260
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.1945
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.2155
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.2125
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 32008395.36, Sell volume: 23578276.44, Average price: 0.4049, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.1960
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.1850
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.2190
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.1205
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0560
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0960
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.1140
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.1560
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0955
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.1375
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.1550
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.1440
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.1195
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.1030
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.1575
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.1905
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.1595
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.1170
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0875
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.1125
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.1440
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.1015
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.1615
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.1690
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.1150
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0850
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0890
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0665
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0720
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0760
Trade Summary: Total trades: 25974, Buy volume: 991654.02, Sell volume: 323136.54, Average price: 0.2726, Price range: 0.0675 - 0.9130
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0895
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0895
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0945
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0905
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0965
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0995
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0990
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0985
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0965
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.1200
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.1210
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.1395
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.2010
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.1780
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.1835
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.1875
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.1645
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.1690
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.1905
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.2070
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.2080
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.1850
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.1885
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.1930
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.2045
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.2070
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.1910
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.2045
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.2110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 137862, Buy volume: 4771306.14, Sell volume: 2384533.08, Average price: 0.2490, Price range: 0.0864 - 0.9120
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.2090
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.2075
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.2070
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.1845
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.1405
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.1415
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.1435
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.1325
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.1380
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.1340
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.1000
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.1260
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.1215
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.1185
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.1230
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.1115
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.1125
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.1105
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.1085
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.1055
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.1235
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.1275
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.1310
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.1315
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.1300
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.1180
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.1180
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.1180
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.1165
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.1020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 247752, Buy volume: 5212657.64, Sell volume: 3964191.84, Average price: 0.4995, Price range: 0.0980 - 0.9018
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.1045
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.1030
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.1030
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.1020
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.1015
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.1020
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.1015
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0975
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0775
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0785
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0790
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0860
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.1430
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.1185
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.1310
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.1385
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.1275
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.1260
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.1415
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.1425
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.1400
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.1370
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.1400
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.1365
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.1385
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.1110
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.1110
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.1130
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.1120
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.1110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 101898, Buy volume: 4382833.75, Sell volume: 3183872.94, Average price: 0.4638, Price range: 0.0741 - 0.9410
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.1085
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.1085
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.1095
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.1095
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.1100
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.1095
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.1100
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.1105
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.1125
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.1125
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.1125
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.1140
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.1145
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.1150
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.1170
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.1385
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.1405
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.1315
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.1350
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.1390
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.1355
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.1355
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.1390
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.1395
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.8610
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.8620
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.1375
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.8620
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.1380
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.1410
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57942, Buy volume: 2742044.78, Sell volume: 754744.50, Average price: 0.3065, Price range: 0.1060 - 0.8820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.1375
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.1385
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.1430
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.1430
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.1575
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.8455
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.1545
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.1550
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.1515
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.8490
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.8490
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.8175
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.8325
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.1655
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.8330
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.8310
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.1665
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.8240
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.8130
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.8210
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.6485
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.3245
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.2700
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.4215
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.5505
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.5650
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.6390
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.6310
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.6120
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.3790
Trade Summary: Total trades: 217782, Buy volume: 7397100.03, Sell volume: 3802473.72, Average price: 0.4079, Price range: 0.1250 - 0.8510
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.6200
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.4490
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.4680
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.5540
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.6220
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.3945
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.3585
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.6485
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.6585
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.3545
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.3070
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.6785
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.3355
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.6650
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.3260
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.6705
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.3105
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.6905
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.3025
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.6745
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.3125
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.6880
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.2765
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.2865
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.3220
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.6810
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.6905
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.6945
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.7070
Trade Summary: Total trades: 87912, Buy volume: 1604637.71, Sell volume: 3304871.82, Average price: 0.4091, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7230
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.6865
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.3135
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.6865
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.3260
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.3275
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.6740
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.6760
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.6750
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.3240
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.6815
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.3310
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.6675
2025-09-18 01:00: 0.6615
2025-09-18 13:00: 0.3385
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.6725
2025-09-19 13:00: 0.6705
2025-09-20 01:00: 0.3120
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.6605
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.3380
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.3315
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.3300
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.6580
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.3365
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.6640
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.6690
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.3270
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67932, Buy volume: 2380473.04, Sell volume: 3932863.20, Average price: 0.4181, Price range: 0.0831 - 0.7880
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.1250
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.8640
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.1405
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.8585
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.1390
2025-09-28 13:00: 0.1380
2025-09-29 01:00: 0.1315
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.8615
2025-09-30 01:00: 0.1240
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.8835
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.8670
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.1280
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.8680
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.8640
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.1585
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.1630
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.1575
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.1585
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.2050
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.1905
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.2270
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.2225
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.7785
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9680
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9600
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0250
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9845
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.9395
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9575
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9770
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49976, Buy volume: 2429003.18, Sell volume: 1785914.78, Average price: 0.3985, Price range: 0.0081 - 0.9910
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9675
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9745
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0260
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9615
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0225
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9750
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9750
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9750
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.9760
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0375
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0365
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9635
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.0350
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9705
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.9700
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9700
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9650
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0345
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.9655
2025-10-21 01:00: 0.0340
2025-10-21 13:00: 0.9655
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9675
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.9685
2025-10-23 01:00: 0.9690
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9690
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9695
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9660
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9670
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9700
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 45, Buy volume: 1228.25, Sell volume: 659.45, Average price: 0.4510, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9700
2025-10-27 13:00: 0.9680
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9670
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.9670
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.9670
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0340
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0340
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0335
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0335
2025-10-31 17:00: 0.0345
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0345
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.0335
2025-11-02 04:00: 0.0350
2025-11-02 16:00: 0.0375
2025-11-03 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-03 16:00: 0.0395
2025-11-04 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0395
2025-11-05 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-05 16:00: 0.0395
2025-11-06 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-06 16:00: 0.0395
2025-11-07 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-07 16:00: 0.0395
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0395
2025-11-08 16:00: 0.0395
2025-11-09 04:00: 0.0135
2025-11-09 16:00: 0.0135
2025-11-10 04:00: 0.0135
2025-11-10 16:00: 0.0190
Trade Summary: Total trades: 168, Buy volume: 6821.72, Sell volume: 4935.42, Average price: 0.2176, Price range: 0.0090 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543211
Question: Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
Volume: 254998.503216
Price History:
2025-11-11 16:00: 0.0190
2025-11-12 04:00: 0.0190
2025-11-12 16:00: 0.0190
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0250
2025-11-13 16:00: 0.0250
2025-11-14 04:00: 0.0250
2025-11-14 16:00: 0.0285
2025-11-15 04:00: 0.0280
2025-11-15 16:00: 0.0280
2025-11-16 04:00: 0.0280
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0230
2025-11-17 04:00: 0.0230
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.0225
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.0185
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0170
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0075
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0295
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0215
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0190
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0190
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 04:00: 0.0190
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0190
2025-11-24 04:00: 0.0155
2025-11-24 16:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 04:00: 0.0155
2025-11-25 16:00: 0.0080
2025-11-26 04:00: 0.0060
Trade Summary: Total trades: 760, Buy volume: 39112.24, Sell volume: 136079.15, Average price: 0.1521, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.2650
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.1050
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.0950
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0850
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0900
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0950
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0900
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0900
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.0900
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0850
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0305
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.0155
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0145
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0130
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0130
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0220
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0225
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0205
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0185
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0220
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0215
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0255
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0225
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0225
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0190
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0150
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0140
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0145
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0160
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0140
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0155
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0200
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0195
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0200
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0260
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0270
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0890
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0720
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0555
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0550
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0555
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0550
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0555
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0560
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0550
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0555
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0600
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0580
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0610
Trade Summary: Total trades: 598, Buy volume: 24772.37, Sell volume: 10840.95, Average price: 0.5110, Price range: 0.0098 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0655
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0655
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0655
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0655
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0655
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0610
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0590
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0585
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0580
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0580
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0580
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0575
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0580
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0580
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0585
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0590
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0575
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0575
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0575
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0575
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0580
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0585
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0620
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0615
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0605
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0620
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0620
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0630
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0620
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0555
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0630
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0630
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0600
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0595
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0575
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0610
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0605
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0610
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0605
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0600
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0625
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0620
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0620
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0630
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0635
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0635
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0600
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0610
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0590
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0620
Trade Summary: Total trades: 160, Buy volume: 2204.34, Sell volume: 1192.34, Average price: 0.3686, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.9470

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0535
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0565
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0560
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0560
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0560
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0560
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0570
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0590
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0560
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0555
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0555
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0540
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0540
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0540
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0560
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0555
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0535
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0550
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0535
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0540
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0600
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0600
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0540
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0530
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0530
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0540
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0540
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0540
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0535
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0540
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0540
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0540
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0415
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0430
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0395
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0395
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0410
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0390
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0365
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0400
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0375
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0405
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0380
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0375
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0395
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0385
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0400
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0380
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0430
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0425
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 567.52, Sell volume: 1202.10, Average price: 0.5023, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9660

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0460
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0375
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0385
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0160
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0155
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0325
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0490
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0490
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0615
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0560
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0560
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0520
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0570
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0530
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0555
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0510
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0540
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0505
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0495
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0500
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0540
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0505
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0500
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0510
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0520
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0540
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0470
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0500
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0505
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0505
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0480
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0505
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0550
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0560
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0560
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0560
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0515
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0505
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0505
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0505
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0495
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0540
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0495
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0495
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0495
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0490
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0525
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0520
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0510
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0465
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 3957.30, Sell volume: 827.14, Average price: 0.6031, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0455
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0455
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0455
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0455
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0455
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0455
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0455
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0455
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0455
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0455
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0455
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0470
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0460
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0460
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0460
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0455
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0455
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0470
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0460
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0455
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0455
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0460
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0460
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0455
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0470
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0470
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0465
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0465
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0475
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0480
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0305
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0330
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0220
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0300
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0315
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0335
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0310
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0400
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0470
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0475
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0465
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0395
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0850
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0470
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0410
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0425
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0515
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0585
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0575
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 5149.51, Sell volume: 516.19, Average price: 0.5061, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9790

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0590
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0645
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0655
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0655
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0680
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0680
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0665
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0655
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0655
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0655
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0655
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0655
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0600
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.0635
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0635
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0635
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.0670
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0680
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0680
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0680
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0685
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0700
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.0670
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0695
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0700
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0700
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0700
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0715
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0715
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0750
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0740
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0730
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.0755
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0765
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0755
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0740
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0755
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9240
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.0755
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0755
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9250
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.0750
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.9265
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.9250
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0735
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9240
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 433.48, Sell volume: 986.27, Average price: 0.5587, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.9330

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0765
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0765
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.9235
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9270
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.0755
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.9245
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.9245
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.0745
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0745
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0745
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.0750
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9260
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9255
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0735
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9250
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.9265
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.9250
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9255
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.0750
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9245
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.0755
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9240
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.0755
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.0760
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0755
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0755
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.0765
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.9240
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.9235
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.9240
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.0760
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.0755
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.9250
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.9320
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.9425
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.0320
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9670
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0280
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0290
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.0135
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.9900
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9945
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9895
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9920
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.9915
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.9900
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.9905
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.9900
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9910
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9910
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 1998.62, Sell volume: 327.24, Average price: 0.7057, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9915
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.0085
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.0110
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.9915
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.0085
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9915
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0380
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9610
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0330
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.9665
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.0310
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.0310
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9665
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9670
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.9675
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0270
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0285
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0230
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9835
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0130
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9795
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9800
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.9790
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.9840
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9860
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9800
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.9595
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0405
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.0400
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0400
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9600
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9600
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9600
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9600
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9600
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.0400
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0405
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0405
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0320
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9705
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0235
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0235
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.0235
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9765
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9770
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0230
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.0230
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1218.92, Sell volume: 1318.66, Average price: 0.4361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9890

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9775
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.9765
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.9650
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.9645
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.9625
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.9620
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.0395
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9615
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.9615
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9605
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9610
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.9610
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9605
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.9550
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0450
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.0400
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0400
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.0405
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0405
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.9595
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.0410
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.9660
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.0335
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0310
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0325
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.0305
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.9700
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.0335
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.0325
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.0325
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9675
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.9725
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9715
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0250
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.9755
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9755
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9755
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.9755
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.9755
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9745
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.0255
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0260
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9740
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0285
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9735
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9695
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9745
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0255
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 421.48, Sell volume: 130.43, Average price: 0.6206, Price range: 0.0181 - 0.9820

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9760
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.0230
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.0220
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0225
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0225
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0225
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.0220
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0220
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.9795
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9795
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9795
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9795
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0205
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9795
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0205
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0205
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9800
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.0125
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9880
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9880
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0120
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0115
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.0115
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0115
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9845
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.9850
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.9840
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0160
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9845
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0155
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0155
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0265
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9735
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9735
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9745
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9760
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0240
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9760
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9955
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0035
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9965
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9960
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9960
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0040
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0040
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1082.16, Sell volume: 1117.99, Average price: 0.6443, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 172.98, Sell volume: 4327.52, Average price: 0.5379, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1234.71, Sell volume: 1228.96, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0020
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0020
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0020
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0020
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0020
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 7820.24, Sell volume: 4208.75, Average price: 0.7416, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.2650
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0900
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.0850
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0950
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0900
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0900
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0240
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0145
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0140
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0340
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0215
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0180
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0210
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0255
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0225
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0150
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0160
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0155
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0180
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0220
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0270
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0825
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0565
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0580
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0555
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0575
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0550
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0580
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0605
Trade Summary: Total trades: 598, Buy volume: 24772.37, Sell volume: 10840.95, Average price: 0.5110, Price range: 0.0098 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0655
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0655
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0640
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0595
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0585
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0580
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0580
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0580
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0580
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0585
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0575
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0575
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0580
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0620
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0605
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0625
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0625
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0565
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0625
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0570
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0585
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0605
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0610
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0610
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0620
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0615
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0635
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0590
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0590
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 160, Buy volume: 2204.34, Sell volume: 1192.34, Average price: 0.3686, Price range: 0.0530 - 0.9470
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0535
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0565
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0565
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0555
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0570
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0570
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0540
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0540
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0565
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0545
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0535
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0530
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0600
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0540
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0530
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0535
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0535
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0540
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0540
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0435
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0405
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0410
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0365
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0370
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0375
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0395
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0400
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0400
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0430
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 40, Buy volume: 567.52, Sell volume: 1202.10, Average price: 0.5023, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9660
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0460
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0370
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0210
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0455
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0495
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0515
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0565
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0570
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0565
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0540
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0500
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0505
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0505
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0500
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0520
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0460
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0485
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0495
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0500
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0550
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0560
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0515
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0505
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0490
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0495
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0495
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0495
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0515
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0510
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0455
Trade Summary: Total trades: 108, Buy volume: 3957.30, Sell volume: 827.14, Average price: 0.6031, Price range: 0.0230 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0455
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0455
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0455
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0455
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0455
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0455
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0480
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0460
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0480
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0455
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0460
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0455
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0450
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0445
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0470
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0475
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0485
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0305
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0300
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0400
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0400
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0310
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0395
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0460
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0370
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.1025
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0415
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0530
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0575
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.0675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 47, Buy volume: 5149.51, Sell volume: 516.19, Average price: 0.5061, Price range: 0.0350 - 0.9790
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0590
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0680
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0645
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0680
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0655
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0655
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0665
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0600
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0635
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0680
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0680
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0670
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0685
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0685
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0700
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0700
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0715
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0750
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0750
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.0730
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0765
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0750
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0750
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.9265
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9240
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0740
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.9250
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.9240
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0765
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 433.48, Sell volume: 986.27, Average price: 0.5587, Price range: 0.0630 - 0.9330
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0765
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.0765
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9245
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.9245
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9240
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.0745
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.0750
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.9255
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0755
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.9255
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.0750
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.9255
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9240
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0760
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.0755
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.0765
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.9235
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.9240
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9245
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.0680
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9420
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9670
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.0270
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.0100
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9910
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9925
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.9905
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.9910
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.9905
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 1998.62, Sell volume: 327.24, Average price: 0.7057, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9915
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.9895
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9915
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9915
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.9605
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9675
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9645
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.9665
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.0290
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9725
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0210
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9870
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9800
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9825
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.9855
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9860
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.9600
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0405
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0400
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9600
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9600
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9600
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9600
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0400
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0320
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0235
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9765
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9770
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.0230
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1218.92, Sell volume: 1318.66, Average price: 0.4361, Price range: 0.0080 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9775
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.9650
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9635
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.0380
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9615
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.9605
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.9610
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.9605
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0450
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0400
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.0405
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9595
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.0315
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9695
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0325
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.0335
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9690
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0325
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.9715
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.9750
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.9755
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.9755
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0245
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0255
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.0265
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9730
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.9705
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.9745
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9750
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 421.48, Sell volume: 130.43, Average price: 0.6206, Price range: 0.0181 - 0.9820
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9760
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0230
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.0220
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0225
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0220
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9795
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9795
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0205
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9795
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0205
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0125
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9875
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0120
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0115
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9845
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9840
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0155
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0155
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9735
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0255
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9760
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0240
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9960
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1082.16, Sell volume: 1117.99, Average price: 0.6443, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9960
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0025
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0025
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9975
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9980
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 13, Buy volume: 172.98, Sell volume: 4327.52, Average price: 0.5379, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 1234.71, Sell volume: 1228.96, Average price: 0.6656, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543201
Question: Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
Volume: 79289.126879
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0025
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0030
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 128, Buy volume: 7820.24, Sell volume: 4208.75, Average price: 0.7416, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0445
2025-05-10 04:00: 0.0335
2025-05-10 11:00: 0.0240
2025-05-10 18:00: 0.0170
2025-05-11 01:00: 0.0170
2025-05-11 08:00: 0.0170
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0115
2025-05-11 22:00: 0.0165
2025-05-12 05:00: 0.0155
2025-05-12 12:00: 0.0085
2025-05-12 19:00: 0.0050
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0065
2025-05-13 16:00: 0.0065
2025-05-13 23:00: 0.0100
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.0065
2025-05-14 13:00: 0.0060
2025-05-14 20:00: 0.0060
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.0060
2025-05-15 10:00: 0.0065
2025-05-15 17:00: 0.0050
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.0070
2025-05-16 07:00: 0.0050
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 04:00: 0.0040
2025-05-17 11:00: 0.0035
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.0035
2025-05-18 01:00: 0.0035
2025-05-18 08:00: 0.0035
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.0040
2025-05-18 22:00: 0.0040
2025-05-19 05:00: 0.0035
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.0040
2025-05-19 19:00: 0.0095
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0090
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.0090
2025-05-20 16:00: 0.0090
2025-05-20 23:00: 0.0090
2025-05-21 06:00: 0.0090
2025-05-21 13:00: 0.0105
2025-05-21 20:00: 0.0210
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.0305
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0245
2025-05-22 17:00: 0.0230
2025-05-23 00:00: 0.0255
2025-05-23 07:00: 0.0285
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0255
2025-05-23 21:00: 0.0245
Trade Summary: Total trades: 489, Buy volume: 15481.47, Sell volume: 5091.89, Average price: 0.6414, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0150
2025-05-25 09:00: 0.0145
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0140
2025-05-25 23:00: 0.0220
2025-05-26 06:00: 0.0140
2025-05-26 13:00: 0.0080
2025-05-26 20:00: 0.0080
2025-05-27 03:00: 0.0045
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0045
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0055
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0065
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0080
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0095
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0075
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0065
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0070
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0075
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0075
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0080
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0110
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0165
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0160
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0060
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0070
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0070
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0070
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0070
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.0130
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.0110
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0130
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.0070
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0070
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0070
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0100
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.0090
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0115
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0115
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0085
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0110
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0090
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 167, Buy volume: 2711.19, Sell volume: 3388.90, Average price: 0.4746, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0070
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0110
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0110
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0075
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0100
2025-06-14 07:00: 0.0080
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.0070
2025-06-14 21:00: 0.0075
2025-06-15 04:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0085
2025-06-15 18:00: 0.0080
2025-06-16 01:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 08:00: 0.0060
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-16 22:00: 0.0090
2025-06-17 05:00: 0.0085
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.0125
2025-06-17 19:00: 0.0090
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.0120
2025-06-18 09:00: 0.0110
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.0110
2025-06-18 23:00: 0.0055
2025-06-19 06:00: 0.0055
2025-06-19 13:00: 0.0085
2025-06-19 20:00: 0.0090
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0100
2025-06-20 10:00: 0.0110
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.0085
2025-06-21 00:00: 0.0115
2025-06-21 07:00: 0.0110
2025-06-21 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-22 04:00: 0.0110
2025-06-22 11:00: 0.0120
2025-06-22 18:00: 0.0105
2025-06-23 01:00: 0.0115
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.0105
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0130
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 854.79, Sell volume: 482.23, Average price: 0.5009, Price range: 0.0044 - 0.9950

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0070
2025-06-25 10:00: 0.0060
2025-06-25 17:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 07:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 14:00: 0.0090
2025-06-26 21:00: 0.0095
2025-06-27 04:00: 0.0075
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.0080
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.0075
2025-06-28 01:00: 0.0090
2025-06-28 08:00: 0.0055
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 05:00: 0.0090
2025-06-29 12:00: 0.0090
2025-06-29 19:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.0055
2025-06-30 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-30 16:00: 0.0050
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 06:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 13:00: 0.0030
2025-07-01 20:00: 0.0030
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-02 10:00: 0.0070
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-03 00:00: 0.0040
2025-07-03 07:00: 0.0040
2025-07-03 14:00: 0.0040
2025-07-03 21:00: 0.0040
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.0040
2025-07-04 11:00: 0.0040
2025-07-04 18:00: 0.0040
2025-07-05 01:00: 0.0040
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.0040
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-05 22:00: 0.0040
2025-07-06 05:00: 0.0040
2025-07-06 12:00: 0.0040
2025-07-06 19:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 02:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.0045
2025-07-07 16:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 06:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 13:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 20:00: 0.0045
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-09 10:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 3126.53, Sell volume: 1733.43, Average price: 0.6655, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-10 22:00: 0.0035
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.0035
2025-07-11 12:00: 0.0035
2025-07-11 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-12 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-12 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-13 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-13 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-13 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.0040
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.0040
2025-07-15 00:00: 0.0070
2025-07-15 07:00: 0.0105
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.0125
2025-07-15 21:00: 0.0115
2025-07-16 04:00: 0.0100
2025-07-16 11:00: 0.0045
2025-07-16 18:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 22:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 12:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 02:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 16:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 06:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 20:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 10:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0125
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.0120
2025-07-22 07:00: 0.0120
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.0125
2025-07-22 21:00: 0.0050
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.0050
2025-07-23 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-24 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.0050
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1471.85, Sell volume: 614.84, Average price: 0.8408, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.0050
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.0050
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0050
2025-07-27 06:00: 0.0050
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.0050
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.0050
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.0050
2025-07-28 10:00: 0.0050
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.0050
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.0050
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.0050
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.0050
2025-07-30 04:00: 0.0050
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.0050
2025-07-30 18:00: 0.0050
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.0050
2025-07-31 08:00: 0.0050
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.0050
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.0050
2025-08-01 05:00: 0.0050
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.0050
2025-08-01 19:00: 0.0050
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-02 09:00: 0.0050
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.0055
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.0050
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.0050
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.0050
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.0050
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 17:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 07:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 21:00: 0.0055
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-06 11:00: 0.0055
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.9945
2025-08-07 01:00: 0.9945
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.0055
2025-08-07 15:00: 0.9945
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-08 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.9945
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.0055
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 37.84, Sell volume: 1.69, Average price: 0.9943, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9970

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-10 21:00: 0.0055
2025-08-11 04:00: 0.0055
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.9945
2025-08-11 18:00: 0.9945
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.0055
2025-08-12 08:00: 0.0055
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.9945
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.0055
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.0055
2025-08-13 12:00: 0.9945
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.9945
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.0055
2025-08-14 16:00: 0.9945
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.0055
2025-08-15 06:00: 0.0055
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.9945
2025-08-15 20:00: 0.0050
2025-08-16 03:00: 0.9950
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.9950
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.9950
2025-08-17 00:00: 0.9950
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.9950
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.0065
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.9930
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.0065
2025-08-18 18:00: 0.0070
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.0065
2025-08-19 08:00: 0.9935
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.9935
2025-08-19 22:00: 0.0070
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.9965
2025-08-20 12:00: 0.9970
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 09:00: 0.0030
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.0030
2025-08-21 23:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.9970
2025-08-22 13:00: 0.9985
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-08-23 03:00: 0.9985
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.0015
2025-08-23 17:00: 0.9975
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.0025
2025-08-24 07:00: 0.0025
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0025
2025-08-24 21:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 3023.78, Sell volume: 1549.56, Average price: 0.8408, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-26 08:00: 0.9980
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.9980
2025-08-26 22:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.9980
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.9980
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.0020
2025-08-28 02:00: 0.9980
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.0020
2025-08-28 16:00: 0.0020
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.9980
2025-08-29 06:00: 0.9980
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0020
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.9980
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.0020
2025-08-30 10:00: 0.0020
2025-08-30 17:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 07:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 21:00: 0.9975
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-01 11:00: 0.0025
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 15:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 19:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 09:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.9975
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-06 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1860.00, Sell volume: 32.13, Average price: 0.8928, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-10 20:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 10:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 00:00: 0.0025
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 14:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 04:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.0020
2025-09-14 22:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.9980
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.0020
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.0010
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.9990
2025-09-17 06:00: 0.0020
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.9990
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.0020
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.9985
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.9990
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 05:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 12:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 09:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0015
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 06:00: 0.9985
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 03:00: 0.0015
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1534.89, Sell volume: 1737.73, Average price: 0.8490, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 20:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.9985
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 07:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 04:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.0015
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.9985
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 12:00: 0.9990
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0010
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.9980
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9985
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9985
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0020
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 5863.28, Sell volume: 4154.57, Average price: 0.9209, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9905
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9905
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9910
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9910
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9910
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9910
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9910
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0095
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9910
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0100
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.0100
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0100
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9900
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9900
2025-10-16 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0060
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.0060
2025-10-17 17:00: 0.9940
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0060
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0060
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.0060
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.9940
2025-10-19 11:00: 0.9940
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.9905
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.0095
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.9905
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0075
2025-10-20 22:00: 0.0045
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9950
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.0025
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.0025
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.9980
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 00:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 193.03, Sell volume: 37.11, Average price: 0.6657, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 09:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-29 21:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 15:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 22:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.9980
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 08:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-02 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 00:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 12:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 467.69, Sell volume: 2385.58, Average price: 0.7134, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 14:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 02:00: 0.9985
2025-11-16 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 02:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 09:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 16:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 23:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 06:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 13:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 20:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 03:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 10:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 00:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 3199.48, Sell volume: 2828.13, Average price: 0.6164, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-05-09 14:00: 0.2500
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.0355
2025-05-10 14:00: 0.0240
2025-05-11 02:00: 0.0175
2025-05-11 14:00: 0.0120
2025-05-12 02:00: 0.0155
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-13 02:00: 0.0050
2025-05-13 14:00: 0.0065
2025-05-14 02:00: 0.0100
2025-05-14 14:00: 0.0060
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0060
2025-05-15 14:00: 0.0065
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.0070
2025-05-16 14:00: 0.0050
2025-05-17 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-17 14:00: 0.0035
2025-05-18 02:00: 0.0035
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0040
2025-05-19 02:00: 0.0040
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-20 02:00: 0.0090
2025-05-20 14:00: 0.0080
2025-05-21 02:00: 0.0090
2025-05-21 14:00: 0.0195
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.0250
2025-05-22 14:00: 0.0255
2025-05-23 02:00: 0.0240
2025-05-23 14:00: 0.0255
2025-05-24 02:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 489, Buy volume: 15481.47, Sell volume: 5091.89, Average price: 0.6414, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-05-25 02:00: 0.0150
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.0150
2025-05-26 02:00: 0.0160
2025-05-26 14:00: 0.0080
2025-05-27 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-27 14:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0045
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0055
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.0080
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0070
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0075
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0105
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0125
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0110
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0070
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0070
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.0140
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.0130
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.0070
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0070
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0090
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.0115
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0125
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0110
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0090
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0090
Trade Summary: Total trades: 167, Buy volume: 2711.19, Sell volume: 3388.90, Average price: 0.4746, Price range: 0.0040 - 0.9960
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0060
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0110
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-14 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.0075
2025-06-15 15:00: 0.0075
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.0055
2025-06-16 15:00: 0.0070
2025-06-17 03:00: 0.0120
2025-06-17 15:00: 0.0105
2025-06-18 03:00: 0.0095
2025-06-18 15:00: 0.0125
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.0055
2025-06-19 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-20 03:00: 0.0100
2025-06-20 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-21 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-22 03:00: 0.0105
2025-06-22 15:00: 0.0125
2025-06-23 03:00: 0.0095
2025-06-23 15:00: 0.0130
2025-06-24 03:00: 0.0100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 854.79, Sell volume: 482.23, Average price: 0.5009, Price range: 0.0044 - 0.9950
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-06-25 03:00: 0.0070
2025-06-25 15:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 03:00: 0.0060
2025-06-26 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-27 03:00: 0.0080
2025-06-27 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-28 03:00: 0.0090
2025-06-28 15:00: 0.0080
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.0085
2025-06-29 15:00: 0.0085
2025-06-30 03:00: 0.0055
2025-06-30 15:00: 0.0055
2025-07-01 03:00: 0.0050
2025-07-01 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-02 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-03 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-03 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-04 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-05 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-05 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-06 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-06 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 03:00: 0.0040
2025-07-08 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-09 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 90, Buy volume: 3126.53, Sell volume: 1733.43, Average price: 0.6655, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-07-10 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-11 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-11 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-12 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-13 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-13 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-14 15:00: 0.0040
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.0075
2025-07-15 15:00: 0.0110
2025-07-16 03:00: 0.0075
2025-07-16 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0045
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0045
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 03:00: 0.0035
2025-07-21 15:00: 0.0115
2025-07-22 03:00: 0.0105
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.0105
2025-07-23 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-23 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-24 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-24 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 32, Buy volume: 1471.85, Sell volume: 614.84, Average price: 0.8408, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-07-26 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-26 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-27 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-27 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-28 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-29 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-29 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-30 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.0050
2025-07-31 02:00: 0.0050
2025-07-31 14:00: 0.0050
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.0050
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.0050
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.0050
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-05 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.0055
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 37.84, Sell volume: 1.69, Average price: 0.9943, Price range: 0.9930 - 0.9970
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-11 02:00: 0.9945
2025-08-11 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-12 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-12 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-13 02:00: 0.9945
2025-08-13 14:00: 0.9945
2025-08-14 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.0055
2025-08-15 02:00: 0.0055
2025-08-15 14:00: 0.0050
2025-08-16 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-16 14:00: 0.9950
2025-08-17 02:00: 0.0050
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.9940
2025-08-18 02:00: 0.9930
2025-08-18 14:00: 0.9930
2025-08-19 02:00: 0.0065
2025-08-19 14:00: 0.9940
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.9955
2025-08-20 14:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 02:00: 0.9970
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.0030
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.9985
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.9975
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.0025
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.0025
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 3023.78, Sell volume: 1549.56, Average price: 0.8408, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.0020
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.9980
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.0020
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.9980
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.0020
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.9980
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.9980
2025-08-31 01:00: 0.0020
2025-08-31 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-01 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-01 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-02 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-03 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-03 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-04 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-05 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-06 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-07 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-08 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-08 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.9975
Trade Summary: Total trades: 19, Buy volume: 1860.00, Sell volume: 32.13, Average price: 0.8928, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.9975
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.9975
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.0025
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.0020
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.9985
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.9980
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.0010
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.9980
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0010
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-23 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-24 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-25 02:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 1534.89, Sell volume: 1737.73, Average price: 0.8490, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-09-26 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-26 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-27 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-27 14:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.0015
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9985
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.9985
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9990
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0010
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0010
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0015
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9980
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 5863.28, Sell volume: 4154.57, Average price: 0.9209, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0090
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9910
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9905
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0095
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0100
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0100
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9900
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0100
2025-10-17 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-17 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.9940
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.0060
2025-10-19 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-19 14:00: 0.9940
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.0095
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.9925
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9950
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9975
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 193.03, Sell volume: 37.11, Average price: 0.6657, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-27 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.0020
2025-10-29 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 06:00: 0.0020
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.0020
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 05:00: 0.0020
2025-11-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-03 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-03 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-04 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-04 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-05 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-06 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-06 17:00: 0.9985
2025-11-07 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-07 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-08 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-09 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-10 17:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 467.69, Sell volume: 2385.58, Average price: 0.7134, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 543202
Question: Will Pope Leo visit Germany first?
Volume: 63883.59632
Price History:
2025-11-11 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-12 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-13 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-14 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-15 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-16 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9985
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-23 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-24 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 05:00: 0.0015
2025-11-25 17:00: 0.0015
2025-11-26 05:00: 0.0010
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 3199.48, Sell volume: 2828.13, Average price: 0.6164, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.3800
2025-11-17 11:00: 0.6200
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.2300
2025-11-17 12:00: 0.7700
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-11-17 13:00: 0.7500
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.3150
2025-11-17 14:00: 0.6850
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.4050
2025-11-17 15:00: 0.5950
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.5650
2025-11-17 16:00: 0.4350
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.6150
2025-11-17 17:00: 0.3850
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.6800
2025-11-17 18:00: 0.3200
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.7150
2025-11-17 19:00: 0.2850
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.7150
2025-11-17 20:00: 0.2850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 287712, Buy volume: 152586378.39, Sell volume: 57007935.00, Average price: 0.5361, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.7150
2025-11-17 21:00: 0.2850
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.7250
2025-11-17 22:00: 0.2750
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.7650
2025-11-17 23:00: 0.2350
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.8200
2025-11-18 00:00: 0.1800
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 01:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.8300
2025-11-18 02:00: 0.1700
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.8650
2025-11-18 03:00: 0.1350
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.8850
2025-11-18 04:00: 0.1150
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.9050
2025-11-18 05:00: 0.0950
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 06:00: 0.0900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 211788, Buy volume: 81459474.00, Sell volume: 35534290.14, Average price: 0.5537, Price range: 0.1020 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.8800
2025-11-18 07:00: 0.1200
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.8850
2025-11-18 08:00: 0.1150
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.8700
2025-11-18 09:00: 0.1300
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 10:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.9100
2025-11-18 11:00: 0.0900
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 12:00: 0.1250
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.8650
2025-11-18 13:00: 0.1350
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.8050
2025-11-18 14:00: 0.1950
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.8250
2025-11-18 15:00: 0.1750
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 16:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 261738, Buy volume: 149378361.91, Sell volume: 23946509.52, Average price: 0.5074, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9378

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.8350
2025-11-18 17:00: 0.1650
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.8400
2025-11-18 18:00: 0.1600
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.8500
2025-11-18 19:00: 0.1500
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.8500
2025-11-18 20:00: 0.1500
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.8450
2025-11-18 21:00: 0.1550
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.8550
2025-11-18 22:00: 0.1450
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.8750
2025-11-18 23:00: 0.1250
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.8750
2025-11-19 00:00: 0.1250
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.9050
2025-11-19 01:00: 0.0950
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 02:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 155852, Buy volume: 115633557.72, Sell volume: 46506964.26, Average price: 0.6793, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.9150
2025-11-19 03:00: 0.0850
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.9050
2025-11-19 04:00: 0.0950
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 06:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 07:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 08:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.9450
2025-11-19 09:00: 0.0550
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 10:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 11:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.9300
2025-11-19 12:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 161, Buy volume: 103024.80, Sell volume: 82268.55, Average price: 0.5671, Price range: 0.0540 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 13:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 14:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.9250
2025-11-19 15:00: 0.0750
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 16:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.9400
2025-11-19 17:00: 0.0600
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 18:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 19:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 20:00: 0.0650
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.9300
2025-11-19 21:00: 0.0700
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 22:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 61519.04, Sell volume: 6545.35, Average price: 0.5404, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.9350
2025-11-19 23:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.9300
2025-11-20 00:00: 0.0700
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.9300
2025-11-20 01:00: 0.0700
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.9300
2025-11-20 02:00: 0.0700
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 03:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.9300
2025-11-20 04:00: 0.0700
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.9250
2025-11-20 05:00: 0.0750
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.9300
2025-11-20 06:00: 0.0700
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 07:00: 0.0650
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.9350
2025-11-20 08:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 28158.97, Sell volume: 20428.56, Average price: 0.5820, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 09:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 10:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 11:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.9400
2025-11-20 12:00: 0.0600
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.9550
2025-11-20 13:00: 0.0450
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.9645
2025-11-20 14:00: 0.0355
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.9755
2025-11-20 15:00: 0.0245
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.9815
2025-11-20 16:00: 0.0185
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.9750
2025-11-20 17:00: 0.0250
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.9700
2025-11-20 18:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 132, Buy volume: 195229.05, Sell volume: 34777.73, Average price: 0.4968, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.9725
2025-11-20 19:00: 0.0275
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.9750
2025-11-20 20:00: 0.0250
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.9700
2025-11-20 21:00: 0.0300
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.9740
2025-11-20 22:00: 0.0260
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.9745
2025-11-20 23:00: 0.0255
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.9700
2025-11-21 00:00: 0.0300
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.9755
2025-11-21 01:00: 0.0245
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.9790
2025-11-21 02:00: 0.0210
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.9820
2025-11-21 03:00: 0.0180
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.9805
2025-11-21 04:00: 0.0195
Trade Summary: Total trades: 107, Buy volume: 27611.19, Sell volume: 22673.29, Average price: 0.7812, Price range: 0.0120 - 0.9880

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 05:00: 0.0145
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.9815
2025-11-21 06:00: 0.0185
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.9865
2025-11-21 07:00: 0.0135
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.9875
2025-11-21 08:00: 0.0125
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.9885
2025-11-21 09:00: 0.0115
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.9810
2025-11-21 10:00: 0.0190
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.9765
2025-11-21 11:00: 0.0235
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.9810
2025-11-21 12:00: 0.0190
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.9875
2025-11-21 13:00: 0.0125
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.9870
2025-11-21 14:00: 0.0130
Trade Summary: Total trades: 91, Buy volume: 48126.49, Sell volume: 71279.47, Average price: 0.6548, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.9845
2025-11-21 15:00: 0.0155
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 16:00: 0.0145
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.9890
2025-11-21 17:00: 0.0110
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.9875
2025-11-21 18:00: 0.0125
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.9855
2025-11-21 19:00: 0.0145
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.9810
2025-11-21 20:00: 0.0190
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.9895
2025-11-21 21:00: 0.0105
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.9905
2025-11-21 22:00: 0.0095
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.9890
2025-11-21 23:00: 0.0110
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.9895
2025-11-22 00:00: 0.0105
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 21724.98, Sell volume: 28152.79, Average price: 0.8467, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.9940

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.9910
2025-11-22 01:00: 0.0090
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.9910
2025-11-22 02:00: 0.0090
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 03:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.9945
2025-11-22 04:00: 0.0055
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 05:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.9945
2025-11-22 06:00: 0.0055
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.9940
2025-11-22 07:00: 0.0060
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 08:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 09:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 10:00: 0.0035
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 59720.00, Sell volume: 34016.93, Average price: 0.6165, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9980

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 687002
Question: Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 1677224.643795
Price History:
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 11:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.9955
2025-11-22 12:00: 0.0045
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.9840
2025-11-22 13:00: 0.0160
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.9970
2025-11-22 14:00: 0.0030
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.9965
2025-11-22 15:00: 0.0035
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 16:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.9980
2025-11-22 17:00: 0.0020
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.9995
2025-11-22 19:00: 0.0005
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.9985
2025-11-22 20:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 67, Buy volume: 250574.06, Sell volume: 59730.65, Average price: 0.4930, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No