Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.2550
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.2550
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.3250
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.6900
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.3450
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.6650
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.3500
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.3400
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.3500
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.6700
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.6900
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.7050
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.6250
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.3300
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.6950
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.6750
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.6900
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.6950
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.7050
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.7200
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.6800
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.6950
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.6850
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.6850
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.7250
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.2700
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.3050
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.6900
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.3000
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.7050
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.6850
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.6750
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.6750
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.3200
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.3250
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.7050
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.2700
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.2750
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.3150
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.3100
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.3250
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.6800
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.6750
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.6850
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.3150
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.6850
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.3250
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.6750
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.6750
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.6750
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.6750
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.6750
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.3250
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.6750
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.6750
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.6750
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.6900
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.6750
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.3250
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.6750
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.6750
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.3250
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.6750
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.6800
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.6750
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.3250
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.3250
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.3250
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.3250
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.3200
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.3250
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.3250
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.6750
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.3150
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.3250
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.6950
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.3200
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.3200
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.3250
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.3250
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.3250
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.3250
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.3250
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.6800
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.3250
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.3150
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.3250
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.3250
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.3250
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.3250
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 1913.65, Sell volume: 341.28, Average price: 0.6137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.6750
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.6750
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.3150
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.6800
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.3100
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.3250
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.3100
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.6750
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.6900
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.3150
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.3150
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.3250
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.3250
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.3250
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 1913.65, Sell volume: 341.28, Average price: 0.6137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.6750
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.6900
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.6750
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.6750
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.6750
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.6750
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.3100
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.3100
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.3100
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.3100
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.6900
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.6900
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.6900
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.6900
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.3100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 1913.65, Sell volume: 341.28, Average price: 0.6137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.6950
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.6950
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.3050
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.3050
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.7000
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.7000
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.7000
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.3000
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.7000
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.3000
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.7000
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.7000
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.3000
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.3000
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.3000
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 1913.65, Sell volume: 341.28, Average price: 0.6137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.3000
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.7050
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.3000
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.3000
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.3000
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.3000
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.7050
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.7000
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.3000
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.7000
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.7000
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.3000
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.3000
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 1913.65, Sell volume: 341.28, Average price: 0.6137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.7000
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.3000
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.3000
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.3000
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.7000
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.3600
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.4100
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.4050
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.4050
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.5300
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.5700
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.5850
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.6000
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.6000
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.5250
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.5900
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.5950
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.5950
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.5950
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.3750
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.3750
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.3750
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.3950
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.3950
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.6050
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.3950
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.3950
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.4200
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.3950
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.3950
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.4250
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.4250
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.5750
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.4050
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1011.10, Sell volume: 119.00, Average price: 0.7583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.5100
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.5150
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.4600
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.3800
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2700
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.2750
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.2800
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.2150
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.2300
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.2300
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.2300
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.2300
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.2300
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.2350
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.2300
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.2300
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.2300
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.2450
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.2450
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.2450
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.2450
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.2450
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.2450
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.2450
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.2450
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 122.26, Sell volume: 10.25, Average price: 0.7580, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.7550
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.6900
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.6650
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.7250
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.7200
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.6800
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.6300
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.6350
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.6550
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.6550
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.6550
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.6550
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.6150
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.6550
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.6350
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.6350
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.6900
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.7700
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.7950
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.8050
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.8050
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.8000
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.8000
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.8050
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.8050
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.8000
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.8050
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.8000
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.8000
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 191.00, Sell volume: 56.51, Average price: 0.5873, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.2000
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.2000
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.1900
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.1800
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2050
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.1950
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.1500
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.0800
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.1450
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.1400
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.1250
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.1500
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.1550
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.1500
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.1650
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.1900
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.1850
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.2000
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.1750
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.1650
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.1650
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.2050
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.1750
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.2050
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.2200
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.3000
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 118.30, Sell volume: 66.46, Average price: 0.4117, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.6600
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.6500
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.5850
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.6600
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.6600
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.6700
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.6700
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.6850
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.6850
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.6900
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.6900
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.6900
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.6850
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.7000
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.6750
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.6750
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.6750
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.6750
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.6750
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.6750
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.6800
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.6750
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.6650
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.6650
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.6650
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.6650
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.6650
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.6650
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.6650
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.6550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 15, Buy volume: 61.00, Sell volume: 68.06, Average price: 0.4669, Price range: 0.1800 - 0.7100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.3450
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.3450
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.2650
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.2400
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.2450
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2350
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7650
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.2350
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.2600
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.3550
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.3500
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.3500
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.6550
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.6400
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.3100
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.6550
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.3600
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.3600
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.3600
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.6600
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.3450
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.6900
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.6600
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.6950
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.3000
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.6950
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.3050
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.6950
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.6950
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 120.00, Sell volume: 16.00, Average price: 0.5880, Price range: 0.2200 - 0.7800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.7150
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.7150
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.7000
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.6550
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.6550
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.6400
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.3450
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.6400
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.6400
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.3600
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.3600
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.3600
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.6450
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.6400
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.6400
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.6400
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.6400
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.3200
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.6850
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.3150
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.3150
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.6850
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.6900
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.3400
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.6800
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.6500
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.2800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 285.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5997, Price range: 0.2300 - 0.6600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.7450
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.2550
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.2950
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.3450
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.3500
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.3500
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.6900
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.6250
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.6950
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.6900
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.7050
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.6800
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.6850
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.7250
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.3050
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.3000
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.6850
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.6750
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.3200
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.7050
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.2700
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.2950
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.2950
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.3150
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.3250
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.3250
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.6800
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.6950
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.3050
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 5.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6500, Price range: 0.6500 - 0.6500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.6800
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.6850
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.6850
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.6750
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.6750
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.6750
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.6750
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.6750
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.6750
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.6750
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.3250
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.6800
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.3250
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.3250
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.3200
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.3250
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.3150
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.6950
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.3200
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.3250
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.3250
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.6800
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.3150
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.3250
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.3250
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.6750
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.3250
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.6750
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.3250
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.6750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 1913.65, Sell volume: 341.28, Average price: 0.6137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.6750
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.3150
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.3100
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.3100
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.6900
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.6750
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.3250
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.3150
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.6750
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.3250
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.3250
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.6750
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.3250
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.3250
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.3250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 1913.65, Sell volume: 341.28, Average price: 0.6137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.3250
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.6750
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.3200
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.3250
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.3100
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.3100
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.3100
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.3100
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.6900
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.6900
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.6900
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.6900
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.6900
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.6950
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.3050
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.6950
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 1913.65, Sell volume: 341.28, Average price: 0.6137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.6950
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.6950
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.3050
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.3050
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.3050
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.7000
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.3000
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.7000
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.7000
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.7000
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.3000
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.3000
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.3000
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.3000
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.3000
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.2950
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.3000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 1913.65, Sell volume: 341.28, Average price: 0.6137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.3000
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.3000
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.3000
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.3000
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.3000
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.7000
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.7000
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.7000
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.6950
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.3000
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.7000
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.7000
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.3000
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.7000
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.7000
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.7000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 102, Buy volume: 1913.65, Sell volume: 341.28, Average price: 0.6137, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564436
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 2254.931549
Price History:
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.7000
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.3000
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.3000
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.3000
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.7000
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.7000
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.3250
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.3250
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.4100
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.4050
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.5300
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.5850
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.6000
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.5900
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.4050
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.5950
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.3750
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.3950
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.3950
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.3950
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.4200
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.3950
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.4250
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.4050
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.9500
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0050
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 22, Buy volume: 1011.10, Sell volume: 119.00, Average price: 0.7583, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 724701
Question: Lanka Premier League: Dambulla Sixers vs Galle Marvels (Game 1)
Outcomes: ["Dambulla Sixers", "Galle Marvels"]
Volume: 3.326665
Price History:
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.67, Sell volume: 1.66, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.6000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.5100
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.5200
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.5050
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.4500
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.4550
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.2250
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.2250
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0600
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 790.31, Sell volume: 37.42, Average price: 0.5129, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9300
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.8600
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.8600
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.8100
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.7950
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.8600
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.9150
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.9150
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.9100
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.9100
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.9100
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.9150
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.9100
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.9100
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.9100
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.9100
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.9100
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.9100
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.9100
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.9150
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.9100
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.8400
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.8750
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.8550
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.8550
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.8550
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.8650
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.8700
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.8850
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.8850
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.8900
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.8900
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.8900
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.8950
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.8900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 340.48, Sell volume: 48.96, Average price: 0.5402, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0950
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.0900
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0950
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.0950
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.2600
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2900
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.2900
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.2900
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.2900
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.2850
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.2800
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.2800
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2850
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.2700
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.2650
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.2700
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.2450
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.2400
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2250
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.2550
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.2400
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.2050
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.2450
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.2550
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.2350
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.2250
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.2100
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.2150
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.2250
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.2250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 41.68, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.8700
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.8700
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.8700
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.8700
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.8700
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.8700
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.8800
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.8350
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.8400
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.8400
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.8250
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.8250
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.8450
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.8450
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.8450
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.8450
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.8450
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.8000
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.8050
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.8050
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.8050
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.8050
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.8050
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.8450
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.8450
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.8450
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.8450
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.7950
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.7950
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.7700
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.8000
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.8000
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 3816.74, Sell volume: 383.06, Average price: 0.6478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.2200
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.2200
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.1700
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.1700
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.1600
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.1400
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.8000
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2150
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.7850
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7850
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.2150
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.2450
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.2600
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.2700
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.2700
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.7250
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.2800
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.2700
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.7300
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.2650
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.7300
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.2700
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.7600
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.2500
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.2700
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.2700
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.7350
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 90.00, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.4703, Price range: 0.1250 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.2700
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.2600
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.7450
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.7800
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.7550
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.7350
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.2550
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.2550
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.7500
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.7400
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.7300
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.2800
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.2850
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.2850
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.7150
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.7250
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.2700
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.7300
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.7300
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.7300
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.2800
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.7300
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.7800
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.2600
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.7450
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.7200
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7200
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.7050
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.7050
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.7000
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.3000
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.7350
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.2700
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2700
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.2100
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2600
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.7100
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.2950
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.6900
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.6850
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.3100
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.3100
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 34.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.8600

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.8150
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.8150
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.8050
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.1700
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.8400
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7950
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.2000
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.7600
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.7900
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.2200
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.7600
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.7350
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.7700
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.8050
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.1600
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.8350
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.2050
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.8200
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.1550
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.1850
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.8550
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.8550
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.7650
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.7750
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.8400
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.8350
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.1900
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.8000
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.1900
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.8250
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.8250
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.8250
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.7750
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.7850
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.7850
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.7850
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.7850
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.7900
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.8050
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.2200
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.7950
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.7750
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.2450
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.7600
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1100, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.1100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.1900
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.1900
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.1900
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.7850
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.2150
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.2350
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.2450
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.2450
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.2600
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.2700
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.2700
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.2700
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.7300
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.2700
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.7300
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.2700
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.2700
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.2700
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.7300
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.2650
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.2700
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.2700
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.7350
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.7300
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.2700
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.2650
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.2700
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.2700
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.2700
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.7300
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.7300
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.7300
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.2700
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.7250
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.7250
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.7300
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.7300
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.2700
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.7300
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.7300
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.7250
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.2700
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.2650
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.2700
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.7350
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.2700
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.5400 - 0.5400

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.2700
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.2700
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.2700
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.7300
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.2650
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.2650
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.7350
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.2700
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.7300
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.2700
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.2700
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.2700
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.7350
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.2650
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.7350
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7400
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.2650
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.7400
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.2600
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.2600
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.2600
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2600
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 3816.74, Sell volume: 383.06, Average price: 0.6478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.7300
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.2700
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.7300
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.2600
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.7450
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.2650
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.7400
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.7400
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.2550
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.2550
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.2600
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.2600
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.2600
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.2600
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.2550
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.2550
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.2550
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.2550
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.2550
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.2600
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.7450
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.7450
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.7450
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.2550
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.2550
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.2550
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.2550
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.2550
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.2550
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.2600
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.2600
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.7400
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.2600
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.7400
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.7400
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.7400
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 3816.74, Sell volume: 383.06, Average price: 0.6478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.7450
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.2550
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.2550
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.7450
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.7450
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.7450
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.2550
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.7400
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.7400
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.7400
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.7400
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.7400
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.7450
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.7450
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.7450
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.7450
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.7450
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.2600
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.7400
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.7400
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.2600
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.2600
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.7400
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.7450
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.7400
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.2600
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.2550
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.2550
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.2500
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.2500
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.2500
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.2500
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.7300
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.2700
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.2700
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.7300
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.7300
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.2700
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.2700
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.2700
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.2700
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.2700
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 3816.74, Sell volume: 383.06, Average price: 0.6478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.7300
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.7350
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.7350
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.7300
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.2700
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.7250
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.7250
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.2650
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.7300
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.2650
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.7500
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.2650
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.7300
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.2700
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.2750
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.2700
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.2700
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.2600
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.2350
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.2300
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.2500
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.2450
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.7350
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.7450
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.2350
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.7650
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.2350
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.2450
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.2350
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.2600
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.2400
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.2550
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.2550
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.2300
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.2350
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.7500
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 3816.74, Sell volume: 383.06, Average price: 0.6478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.2400
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.2400
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.2350
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.7650
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.2300
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.2300
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.7650
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.2350
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.7650
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.7700
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.7400
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.7550
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.2400
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.2450
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.7450
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.2500
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.2400
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.7500
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.2600
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.7400
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.7400
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.7550
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.7600
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.7600
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.7400
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.2700
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.2600
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.2550
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.2550
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.7400
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.7550
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.7600
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.7600
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.2400
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.2600
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.7400
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.2600
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.2600
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.7400
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.7350
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.7400
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.2650
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.7400
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.2700
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.2700
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.2600
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.8600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1258.96, Sell volume: 167.51, Average price: 0.6940, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 724701
Question: Lanka Premier League: Dambulla Sixers vs Galle Marvels (Game 1)
Volume: 3.326665
Price History:
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 01:00: 0.5000
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.4950
2025-11-28 02:00: 0.5050
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.5200
2025-11-28 03:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 1.67, Sell volume: 1.66, Average price: 0.5200, Price range: 0.4400 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.5100
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.5050
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.4550
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.3700
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.2250
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0600
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0600
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0600
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0600
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0600
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0600
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 790.31, Sell volume: 37.42, Average price: 0.5129, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9300
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.8600
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.7950
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.9150
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.9100
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.9100
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.9100
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.9100
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.9100
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.9100
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.9100
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.8750
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.8550
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.8650
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.8850
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.8900
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.8900
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.8900
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.8900
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.9000
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.9000
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.9000
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 340.48, Sell volume: 48.96, Average price: 0.5402, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.0950
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.0950
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.1150
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.1150
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2900
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.2900
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.2850
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.2800
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.2700
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.2500
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.2450
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.2250
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.2400
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.2450
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.2350
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.2100
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.2250
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.2250
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.2150
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.2300
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.1750
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.1600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 41.68, Average price: 0.8500, Price range: 0.8500 - 0.8500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.8700
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.8700
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.8700
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.8800
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.8400
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.8250
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.8250
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.8450
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.8450
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.8200
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.8050
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.8050
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.8050
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.8450
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.8450
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.7950
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.8000
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.8000
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.8000
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.8000
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.8000
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.8000
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.8000
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.8000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 3816.74, Sell volume: 383.06, Average price: 0.6478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.2200
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.1700
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.1600
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.7900
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.2150
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7850
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.2600
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2550
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.2700
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.2800
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.7300
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.2750
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.7600
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.2500
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.7500
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.2550
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.7450
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.2700
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.7350
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.7350
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.7350
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.7400
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.7450
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 90.00, Sell volume: 11.00, Average price: 0.4703, Price range: 0.1250 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.2700
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.7450
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.7500
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.7550
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.2550
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.7400
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.7300
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.2850
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.7150
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.2700
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.7300
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.7300
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.7300
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.2600
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.2500
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.7200
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.7050
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.3000
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.2700
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.2100
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.7100
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.6900
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.6750
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.3100
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.7500
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.7550
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.8450
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.2800
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 34.00, Sell volume: 25.00, Average price: 0.5030, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.8600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.8150
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.8050
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7950
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.7600
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.2200
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.7700
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.1600
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.2050
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.1550
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.8550
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.7650
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.8400
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.8350
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.8000
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.8250
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.8250
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.7750
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.7850
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.7850
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.2200
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.7750
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.7600
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.7700
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.2300
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.8400
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.1250
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.1100, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.1100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.1900
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.1900
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.2150
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.2450
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.2600
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.2700
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.7300
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.7300
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.2700
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.7300
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.2700
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.7350
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.2700
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.2700
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.7350
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.7300
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.7300
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.7250
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.7300
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.2700
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.7300
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.2700
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.7350
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.2700
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.2700
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.7300
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.2700
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.5400, Price range: 0.5400 - 0.5400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.7300
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.2700
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.2700
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.2700
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.2650
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.7350
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.7300
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.2700
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.2700
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.7300
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.2700
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.7300
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.2650
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7400
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.7400
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.2600
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.2600
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.2700
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.2650
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.2700
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.2650
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 3816.74, Sell volume: 383.06, Average price: 0.6478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.7300
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.7300
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.7450
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.2550
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.2600
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.2550
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.2600
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.2550
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.2550
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.2550
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.7450
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.7450
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.2550
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.2550
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.2550
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.2600
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.2600
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.7400
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.7400
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.7400
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.7450
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.2550
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.7400
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.2600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 3816.74, Sell volume: 383.06, Average price: 0.6478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.7450
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.2550
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.7450
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.7400
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.7400
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.7400
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.7450
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.7450
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.2600
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.7400
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.2600
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.7400
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.7450
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.7400
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.2600
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.2550
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.2500
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.2500
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.2700
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.7300
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.2700
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.2700
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.2700
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.7300
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.2700
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.7300
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.7350
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 3816.74, Sell volume: 383.06, Average price: 0.6478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.7300
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.7300
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.7300
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.2650
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.7350
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.2650
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.2700
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.2700
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.2650
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.2350
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.2500
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.2650
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.2350
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.2350
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.2350
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.2400
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.2550
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.2300
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.7500
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.7600
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.7700
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.7550
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.7600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 69, Buy volume: 3816.74, Sell volume: 383.06, Average price: 0.6478, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564437
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 4199.804998
Price History:
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.2400
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.2350
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.2300
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.7650
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.7650
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.7400
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.2400
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.7450
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.2400
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.7400
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.7550
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.7600
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.7350
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.2600
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.2550
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.7550
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.7600
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.2600
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.2600
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.2600
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.7350
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.2650
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.2700
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.2600
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.9350
2025-09-19 22:00: 0.0050
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.0500
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.9975
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.0025
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 1258.96, Sell volume: 167.51, Average price: 0.6940, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.5100
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.5200
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.5200
2025-07-17 03:00: 0.4800
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.4500
2025-07-17 07:00: 0.3750
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.3750
2025-07-17 11:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.2250
2025-07-17 19:00: 0.2250
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0600
2025-07-17 23:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 03:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 07:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 15:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 23:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 03:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 07:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.0650
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0650
2025-07-19 15:00: 0.0650
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0650
2025-07-19 19:00: 0.0650
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0650
2025-07-19 23:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 03:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 07:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 11:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 15:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 23:00: 0.0650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1061.06, Sell volume: 302.84, Average price: 0.4546, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9350
2025-07-22 00:00: 0.8600
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.8600
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.8600
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 08:00: 0.8750
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.8700
2025-07-22 12:00: 0.8750
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.8700
2025-07-22 16:00: 0.8600
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.8350
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 00:00: 0.8250
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.7400
2025-07-23 03:00: 0.8300
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.7800
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.8600
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.8650
2025-07-23 11:00: 0.7850
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.8350
2025-07-23 15:00: 0.7600
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.7900
2025-07-23 19:00: 0.8550
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.8000
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.7950
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.8550
2025-07-24 03:00: 0.8700
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 07:00: 0.8300
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.8650
2025-07-24 11:00: 0.8650
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.7550
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.7550
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.7700
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.7700
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.7700
2025-07-24 23:00: 0.7250
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.7250
2025-07-25 03:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 07:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 11:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 15:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.7400
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 23:00: 0.7300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 262.96, Sell volume: 149.89, Average price: 0.4306, Price range: 0.0773 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 05:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 13:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 17:00: 0.2350
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2350
2025-07-27 21:00: 0.2300
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 01:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 05:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 09:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 17:00: 0.2350
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.2350
2025-07-28 21:00: 0.2350
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2400
2025-07-29 01:00: 0.2400
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.2350
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.2350
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.2300
2025-07-29 09:00: 0.2300
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.2300
2025-07-29 13:00: 0.2300
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.2300
2025-07-29 17:00: 0.2300
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.2100
2025-07-29 21:00: 0.2300
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.1850
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.1800
2025-07-30 05:00: 0.1700
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.1850
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.1850
2025-07-30 13:00: 0.1850
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.1850
2025-07-30 17:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.1800
2025-07-30 21:00: 0.1800
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.1800
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 3081.01, Sell volume: 687.73, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9983

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.7750
2025-08-01 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.7700
2025-08-01 06:00: 0.7750
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7800
2025-08-01 10:00: 0.7650
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.7650
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.7650
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.7650
2025-08-01 18:00: 0.7650
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.7800
2025-08-01 22:00: 0.7800
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.7800
2025-08-02 02:00: 0.7800
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.7950
2025-08-02 06:00: 0.7950
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.7950
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.7750
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.8000
2025-08-02 14:00: 0.8000
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.8000
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.8000
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.8000
2025-08-02 22:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.7950
2025-08-03 02:00: 0.8500
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.8500
2025-08-03 06:00: 0.8500
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.7750
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.7750
2025-08-03 14:00: 0.7800
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.7850
2025-08-03 18:00: 0.7800
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.7850
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.7850
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.7850
2025-08-04 02:00: 0.7850
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.7850
2025-08-04 06:00: 0.7900
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.7900
2025-08-04 10:00: 0.7900
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.7750
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.7750
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.7750
2025-08-04 18:00: 0.7700
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.7700
2025-08-04 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.7700
2025-08-05 02:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 3081.01, Sell volume: 687.73, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9983

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 08:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 12:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.2200
2025-08-06 16:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 20:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-07 00:00: 0.7700
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-07 04:00: 0.2300
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.2300
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7700
2025-08-07 12:00: 0.2300
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.2200
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.2250
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2250
2025-08-07 20:00: 0.2300
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.2250
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.2200
2025-08-08 04:00: 0.2250
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 08:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 12:00: 0.7950
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 16:00: 0.7700
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 20:00: 0.7750
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-09 00:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.7700
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.2250
2025-08-09 08:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.7700
2025-08-09 12:00: 0.2250
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 16:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.2300
2025-08-10 00:00: 0.7700
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-10 04:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 21.00, Average price: 0.6350, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.1900
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.8100
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.8100
2025-08-11 09:00: 0.8050
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.7800
2025-08-11 13:00: 0.7800
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.7700
2025-08-11 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.7700
2025-08-11 21:00: 0.7700
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-12 01:00: 0.7700
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-12 05:00: 0.7700
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.2300
2025-08-12 09:00: 0.2300
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.7700
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.7700
2025-08-12 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.2300
2025-08-12 21:00: 0.7700
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 01:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 09:00: 0.2050
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 13:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.2350
2025-08-13 21:00: 0.2250
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.2300
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-14 05:00: 0.7700
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.7700
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2300
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.2350
2025-08-14 13:00: 0.2300
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.2300
2025-08-14 17:00: 0.2300
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.2300
2025-08-14 21:00: 0.7700
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.2250
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.8050
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.8050
2025-08-15 05:00: 0.1950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.7450
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.7450
2025-08-16 11:00: 0.7700
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 15:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-16 19:00: 0.7700
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.7700
2025-08-16 23:00: 0.2050
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.7700
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.2300
2025-08-17 07:00: 0.2300
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.2150
2025-08-17 11:00: 0.2200
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.2200
2025-08-17 15:00: 0.2200
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.2200
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.2100
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.1750
2025-08-17 23:00: 0.2050
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.1500
2025-08-18 03:00: 0.1800
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.7750
2025-08-18 07:00: 0.7750
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.8050
2025-08-18 11:00: 0.2250
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.2250
2025-08-18 15:00: 0.7750
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.2000
2025-08-18 19:00: 0.7800
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.2250
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.2300
2025-08-19 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.2300
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.2300
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.7700
2025-08-19 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.2300
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.7700
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-19 19:00: 0.2300
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.7800
2025-08-19 23:00: 0.2200
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.7800
2025-08-20 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.7700
2025-08-20 07:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 3081.01, Sell volume: 687.73, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9983

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.1500
2025-08-21 08:00: 0.8500
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.8200
2025-08-21 12:00: 0.1800
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.1850
2025-08-21 16:00: 0.2200
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.2200
2025-08-21 20:00: 0.2200
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-22 00:00: 0.7700
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.2300
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.2300
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-22 08:00: 0.2300
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.2300
2025-08-22 12:00: 0.2300
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.2300
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.7700
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.2300
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.2300
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-23 00:00: 0.2300
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.2300
2025-08-23 04:00: 0.2300
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.7700
2025-08-23 08:00: 0.7700
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.7700
2025-08-23 12:00: 0.7700
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.7700
2025-08-23 16:00: 0.7700
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.7700
2025-08-23 20:00: 0.7700
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-24 00:00: 0.7700
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.7700
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.7700
2025-08-24 08:00: 0.7700
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.2300
2025-08-24 12:00: 0.7700
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.7700
2025-08-24 16:00: 0.2300
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.2300
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.2300
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-25 00:00: 0.2300
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-25 04:00: 0.2300
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-25 08:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 31.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 13:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.2300
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-27 01:00: 0.2300
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-27 05:00: 0.2300
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.2300
2025-08-27 09:00: 0.2300
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.2300
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.2300
2025-08-27 17:00: 0.2300
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.7700
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.7700
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-28 01:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-28 05:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.7700
2025-08-28 09:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 13:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 21:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-29 01:00: 0.2300
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-29 05:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.2300
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-29 13:00: 0.2300
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 21:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 01:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 05:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 09:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 3081.01, Sell volume: 687.73, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9983

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.7700
2025-08-31 10:00: 0.7700
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.7700
2025-08-31 14:00: 0.7650
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.7650
2025-08-31 18:00: 0.7650
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.7650
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.7650
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-01 02:00: 0.7650
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.7650
2025-09-01 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.7650
2025-09-01 10:00: 0.2350
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.7650
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.2350
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.7650
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.7650
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.2350
2025-09-01 22:00: 0.7650
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.7700
2025-09-02 02:00: 0.2300
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.7700
2025-09-02 06:00: 0.2300
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.7700
2025-09-02 10:00: 0.7700
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.7700
2025-09-02 14:00: 0.7700
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.7700
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.2300
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.2300
2025-09-02 22:00: 0.7700
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 02:00: 0.7700
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.7700
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.7700
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 14:00: 0.7700
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 18:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.7700
2025-09-03 22:00: 0.2300
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.7700
2025-09-04 02:00: 0.2300
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.2300
2025-09-04 06:00: 0.2300
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.7700
2025-09-04 10:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 3081.01, Sell volume: 687.73, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9983

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.2350
2025-09-05 20:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.2350
2025-09-06 04:00: 0.2350
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.2350
2025-09-06 12:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 16:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 20:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 04:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 08:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 16:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 20:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 00:00: 0.2350
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 08:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.7750
2025-09-08 16:00: 0.2250
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.7750
2025-09-08 20:00: 0.7750
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 00:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 04:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 12:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 3081.01, Sell volume: 687.73, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9983

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 13:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.2250
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 21:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.7750
2025-09-11 01:00: 0.7750
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.7750
2025-09-11 05:00: 0.7750
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.2250
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.7750
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.2250
2025-09-11 13:00: 0.2250
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.7750
2025-09-11 17:00: 0.7750
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.7750
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.7750
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-12 01:00: 0.2250
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.2250
2025-09-12 05:00: 0.7750
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.2250
2025-09-12 09:00: 0.2250
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.7750
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.7550
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.7550
2025-09-12 17:00: 0.2450
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.7550
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.7550
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-13 01:00: 0.7550
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.7550
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.7550
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.2450
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.7550
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.2450
2025-09-13 13:00: 0.7550
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.2450
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.2450
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.2450
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.2450
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-14 01:00: 0.2450
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.7550
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.7550
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.2450
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.2450
2025-09-14 13:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 3081.01, Sell volume: 687.73, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9983

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-09-15 13:00: 0.7550
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.2450
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.2450
2025-09-15 19:00: 0.2450
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.7550
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-16 01:00: 0.7550
2025-09-16 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.2450
2025-09-16 07:00: 0.2450
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.2450
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.2450
2025-09-16 13:00: 0.7500
2025-09-16 15:00: 0.7500
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.2500
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.2500
2025-09-16 21:00: 0.7500
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.2500
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.7500
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.2500
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.2500
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.2500
2025-09-17 09:00: 0.2500
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.2500
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.2500
2025-09-17 16:00: 0.7500
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.7500
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.7500
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.7500
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.2500
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.2500
2025-09-18 04:00: 0.7500
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.7500
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.2500
2025-09-18 10:00: 0.2500
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.7500
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.2400
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.2400
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.7600
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.2400
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.7600
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.2400
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.2400
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.2400
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.7600
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.2300
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.2300
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.7700
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.7850
2025-09-19 16:00: 0.1700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 1686.99, Sell volume: 178.00, Average price: 0.7981, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9983

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-07-16 21:00: 0.5100
2025-07-17 01:00: 0.5200
2025-07-17 05:00: 0.4500
2025-07-17 09:00: 0.3750
2025-07-17 13:00: 0.2650
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.2250
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 01:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 05:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 09:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 17:00: 0.0600
2025-07-18 21:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 01:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 09:00: 0.0600
2025-07-19 13:00: 0.0650
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.0650
2025-07-19 21:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 01:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 05:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 09:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.0650
2025-07-20 21:00: 0.0650
2025-07-21 01:00: 0.0650
2025-07-21 05:00: 0.0650
2025-07-21 09:00: 0.0700
2025-07-21 13:00: 0.0700
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 16, Buy volume: 1061.06, Sell volume: 302.84, Average price: 0.4546, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.9350
2025-07-22 02:00: 0.8600
2025-07-22 06:00: 0.7500
2025-07-22 10:00: 0.8700
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.8700
2025-07-22 18:00: 0.8350
2025-07-22 22:00: 0.7450
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.7400
2025-07-23 05:00: 0.7800
2025-07-23 09:00: 0.8650
2025-07-23 13:00: 0.8350
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.7900
2025-07-23 21:00: 0.8000
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.8550
2025-07-24 05:00: 0.8500
2025-07-24 09:00: 0.8650
2025-07-24 13:00: 0.7550
2025-07-24 17:00: 0.7700
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.7700
2025-07-25 01:00: 0.7250
2025-07-25 05:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 09:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.7300
2025-07-25 17:00: 0.7400
2025-07-25 21:00: 0.7300
2025-07-26 01:00: 0.7400
2025-07-26 05:00: 0.7300
2025-07-26 09:00: 0.7300
2025-07-26 13:00: 0.7400
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 262.96, Sell volume: 149.89, Average price: 0.4306, Price range: 0.0773 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-07-26 23:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 03:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 07:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 11:00: 0.2700
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.2450
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.2350
2025-07-27 23:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 03:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 11:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 15:00: 0.2300
2025-07-28 19:00: 0.2350
2025-07-28 23:00: 0.2400
2025-07-29 03:00: 0.2350
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.2300
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.2300
2025-07-29 15:00: 0.2300
2025-07-29 19:00: 0.2100
2025-07-29 23:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.1800
2025-07-30 07:00: 0.1900
2025-07-30 11:00: 0.1850
2025-07-30 15:00: 0.1850
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.1800
2025-07-30 23:00: 0.1800
2025-07-31 03:00: 0.1800
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.2000
2025-07-31 11:00: 0.2250
2025-07-31 15:00: 0.2200
2025-07-31 19:00: 0.2000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 3081.01, Sell volume: 687.73, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9983
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-08-01 00:00: 0.7750
2025-08-01 04:00: 0.7700
2025-08-01 08:00: 0.7800
2025-08-01 12:00: 0.7650
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.7650
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.7800
2025-08-02 00:00: 0.7800
2025-08-02 04:00: 0.7950
2025-08-02 08:00: 0.7950
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.8000
2025-08-02 16:00: 0.8000
2025-08-02 20:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 00:00: 0.7950
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.8500
2025-08-03 08:00: 0.8000
2025-08-03 12:00: 0.7750
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.7850
2025-08-03 20:00: 0.7850
2025-08-04 00:00: 0.7850
2025-08-04 04:00: 0.7850
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.7900
2025-08-04 12:00: 0.7750
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.7750
2025-08-04 20:00: 0.7700
2025-08-05 00:00: 0.7700
2025-08-05 04:00: 0.7700
2025-08-05 08:00: 0.7700
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.7750
2025-08-05 16:00: 0.7750
2025-08-05 20:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 3081.01, Sell volume: 687.73, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9983
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-08-06 02:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 06:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 14:00: 0.2200
2025-08-06 18:00: 0.2250
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-07 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-07 10:00: 0.7700
2025-08-07 14:00: 0.2200
2025-08-07 18:00: 0.2250
2025-08-07 22:00: 0.2250
2025-08-08 02:00: 0.2200
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 14:00: 0.2300
2025-08-08 18:00: 0.7800
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-09 02:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 06:00: 0.2250
2025-08-09 10:00: 0.7700
2025-08-09 14:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 18:00: 0.2300
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.2300
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-10 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-10 10:00: 0.7700
2025-08-10 14:00: 0.2300
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.2300
2025-08-10 22:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 70.00, Sell volume: 21.00, Average price: 0.6350, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-08-11 03:00: 0.1900
2025-08-11 07:00: 0.8100
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.7800
2025-08-11 15:00: 0.7700
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.7700
2025-08-11 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-12 07:00: 0.2300
2025-08-12 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-12 15:00: 0.7700
2025-08-12 19:00: 0.2300
2025-08-12 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 15:00: 0.2300
2025-08-13 19:00: 0.2350
2025-08-13 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-14 07:00: 0.7700
2025-08-14 11:00: 0.2350
2025-08-14 15:00: 0.2300
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.2300
2025-08-14 23:00: 0.2250
2025-08-15 03:00: 0.8050
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.8100
2025-08-15 11:00: 0.8050
2025-08-15 15:00: 0.7750
2025-08-15 19:00: 0.2500
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 5.00, Average price: 0.0900, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.0900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.2550
2025-08-16 09:00: 0.7450
2025-08-16 13:00: 0.7750
2025-08-16 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.7700
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.7700
2025-08-17 05:00: 0.2300
2025-08-17 09:00: 0.2150
2025-08-17 13:00: 0.2200
2025-08-17 17:00: 0.2200
2025-08-17 21:00: 0.1750
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.1500
2025-08-18 05:00: 0.7750
2025-08-18 09:00: 0.8050
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.2250
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.2000
2025-08-18 21:00: 0.2250
2025-08-19 01:00: 0.2300
2025-08-19 05:00: 0.2300
2025-08-19 09:00: 0.7700
2025-08-19 13:00: 0.2300
2025-08-19 17:00: 0.7700
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.7800
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.7800
2025-08-20 05:00: 0.7700
2025-08-20 09:00: 0.7750
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.2250
2025-08-20 17:00: 0.8250
2025-08-20 21:00: 0.1500
2025-08-21 01:00: 0.1500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 3081.01, Sell volume: 687.73, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9983
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.1500
2025-08-21 10:00: 0.8200
2025-08-21 14:00: 0.1850
2025-08-21 18:00: 0.2200
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-22 02:00: 0.2300
2025-08-22 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-22 10:00: 0.2300
2025-08-22 14:00: 0.2300
2025-08-22 18:00: 0.2300
2025-08-22 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.2300
2025-08-23 06:00: 0.7700
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.7700
2025-08-23 14:00: 0.7700
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.7700
2025-08-23 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-24 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-24 06:00: 0.7700
2025-08-24 10:00: 0.2300
2025-08-24 14:00: 0.7700
2025-08-24 18:00: 0.2300
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.7700
2025-08-25 06:00: 0.2300
2025-08-25 10:00: 0.2300
2025-08-25 14:00: 0.7700
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.7700
2025-08-25 22:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 01:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 31.00, Average price: 0.0800, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-08-26 07:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 11:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 19:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-27 07:00: 0.2300
2025-08-27 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-27 15:00: 0.2300
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.7700
2025-08-27 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-28 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-28 07:00: 0.7700
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 19:00: 0.2300
2025-08-28 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-29 03:00: 0.2300
2025-08-29 07:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 11:00: 0.2300
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 19:00: 0.7700
2025-08-29 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 11:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 15:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 19:00: 0.7700
2025-08-30 23:00: 0.7700
2025-08-31 03:00: 0.7700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 3081.01, Sell volume: 687.73, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9983
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-08-31 08:00: 0.7700
2025-08-31 12:00: 0.7700
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.7650
2025-08-31 20:00: 0.7650
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-01 04:00: 0.7650
2025-09-01 08:00: 0.7650
2025-09-01 12:00: 0.7650
2025-09-01 16:00: 0.7650
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.2350
2025-09-02 00:00: 0.7700
2025-09-02 04:00: 0.7700
2025-09-02 08:00: 0.7700
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.7700
2025-09-02 16:00: 0.7700
2025-09-02 20:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 00:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 04:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 08:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 12:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.2300
2025-09-03 20:00: 0.7700
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.7700
2025-09-04 04:00: 0.2300
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.7700
2025-09-04 12:00: 0.2350
2025-09-04 16:00: 0.7650
2025-09-04 20:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 00:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 04:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 3081.01, Sell volume: 687.73, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9983
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 14:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 18:00: 0.2350
2025-09-05 22:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 02:00: 0.2350
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-06 10:00: 0.2350
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 18:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 22:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 02:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 10:00: 0.7650
2025-09-07 14:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.2350
2025-09-07 22:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 02:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 06:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.7650
2025-09-08 14:00: 0.7750
2025-09-08 18:00: 0.7750
2025-09-08 22:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 10:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 14:00: 0.2250
2025-09-09 18:00: 0.7750
2025-09-09 22:00: 0.2250
2025-09-10 02:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.7750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 3081.01, Sell volume: 687.73, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9983
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 564438
Question: Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?
Volume: 3768.741854
Price History:
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 15:00: 0.2250
2025-09-10 19:00: 0.7750
2025-09-10 23:00: 0.7750
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.7750
2025-09-11 07:00: 0.2250
2025-09-11 11:00: 0.2250
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.7750
2025-09-11 19:00: 0.7750
2025-09-11 23:00: 0.2250
2025-09-12 03:00: 0.2250
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.2250
2025-09-12 11:00: 0.7750
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.7550
2025-09-12 19:00: 0.7550
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.7550
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.7550
2025-09-13 07:00: 0.2450
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.2450
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.2450
2025-09-13 19:00: 0.2450
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-14 07:00: 0.7550
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.2450
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.2450
2025-09-14 19:00: 0.2450
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.2450
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.2450
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.7550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 86, Buy volume: 3081.01, Sell volume: 687.73, Average price: 0.6588, Price range: 0.0020 - 0.9983
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes