Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9705
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0285
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9690
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0290
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9715
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0295
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9715
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0285
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9710
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0305
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9735
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0265
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9735
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0265
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9735
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0260
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9830
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0170
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9830
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0155
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9845
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9840
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9830
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0140
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9850
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0150
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.9855
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0125
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9890
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.0100
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.9895
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.0110
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.9895
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.0105
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9875
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0110
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9885
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0115
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.9885
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.0130
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.9890
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.0125
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.9890
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.0110
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.9890
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0110
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.9880
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0110
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 891.61, Sell volume: 97.24, Average price: 0.1314, Price range: 0.0046 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0140
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9855
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0135
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.9865
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0160
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9840
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9835
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0165
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.9840
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0165
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9840
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0175
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.9825
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0170
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9835
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0160
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9840
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0160
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.9840
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0175
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.9825
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0170
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9840
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0160
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.9840
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0165
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9835
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0170
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.9830
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0165
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.9840
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0100
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9845
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0195
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9805
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0205
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.9535
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0995
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.8785
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.1375
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.8655
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.1380
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.8640
2025-06-14 10:00: 0.1415
2025-06-14 13:00: 0.8570
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0685
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.8705
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.1310
2025-06-15 03:00: 0.8705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 931, Buy volume: 229470.75, Sell volume: 25582.33, Average price: 0.4466, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.2650
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.1800
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.3900
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.2650
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.2000
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2250
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2250
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.2300
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.1800
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.2500
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.2500
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.1950
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.1800
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.2950
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.2950
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.3100
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.2850
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2550
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.2650
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.2950
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.3900
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.2850
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 958, Buy volume: 230856.17, Sell volume: 25681.77, Average price: 0.4479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-03-11 17:00: 0.7050
2025-03-11 23:00: 0.7050
2025-03-12 05:00: 0.7050
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.7150
2025-03-12 17:00: 0.7100
2025-03-12 23:00: 0.5950
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.5050
2025-03-13 11:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 17:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 23:00: 0.5700
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-14 11:00: 0.6630
2025-03-14 17:00: 0.9610
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.5970
2025-03-15 05:00: 0.5755
2025-03-15 11:00: 0.5995
2025-03-15 17:00: 0.5670
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.5660
2025-03-16 05:00: 0.5465
2025-03-16 11:00: 0.6450
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.7725
2025-03-16 23:00: 0.6570
2025-03-17 05:00: 0.9660
2025-03-17 11:00: 0.7550
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.6270
2025-03-17 23:00: 0.5335
2025-03-18 05:00: 0.5335
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.5615
2025-03-18 17:00: 0.9505
2025-03-18 23:00: 0.9540
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 395.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.8927, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.0340
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0300
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.4070
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.0350
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0350
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0400
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.4585
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.3380
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0335
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.4995
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.4530
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0335
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0345
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.0390
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.4620
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0430
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0400
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.4545
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.4310
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.0420
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0375
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.0335
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.4500
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.0405
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.0425
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0475
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.0650
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.0370
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.0405
2025-03-27 00:00: 0.4980
Trade Summary: Total trades: 958, Buy volume: 230856.17, Sell volume: 25681.77, Average price: 0.4479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-03-27 18:00: 0.9460
2025-03-28 00:00: 0.9575
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.7500
2025-03-28 12:00: 0.7520
2025-03-28 18:00: 0.7505
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.7505
2025-03-29 06:00: 0.7500
2025-03-29 12:00: 0.9600
2025-03-29 18:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 06:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 12:00: 0.9610
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.9650
2025-03-31 00:00: 0.7505
2025-03-31 06:00: 0.9625
2025-03-31 12:00: 0.9610
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.9600
2025-04-01 00:00: 0.9620
2025-04-01 06:00: 0.7505
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.9610
2025-04-01 18:00: 0.9625
2025-04-02 00:00: 0.9670
2025-04-02 06:00: 0.9640
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.9670
2025-04-02 18:00: 0.9630
2025-04-03 00:00: 0.7535
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.7920
2025-04-03 12:00: 0.9690
2025-04-03 18:00: 0.9700
2025-04-04 00:00: 0.9695
Trade Summary: Total trades: 958, Buy volume: 230856.17, Sell volume: 25681.77, Average price: 0.4479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2515
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.2175
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.1560
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.1550
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.4175
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.3935
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.3765
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.3560
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.0375
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.0315
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0340
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.0315
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.0330
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.0330
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.0320
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0320
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0290
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0340
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0350
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.0315
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0535
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0300
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0305
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0330
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0295
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.0340
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0320
2025-04-11 19:00: 0.0335
2025-04-12 01:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 958, Buy volume: 230856.17, Sell volume: 25681.77, Average price: 0.4479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-04-12 19:00: 0.9460
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9205
2025-04-13 07:00: 0.5315
2025-04-13 13:00: 0.9255
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.9555
2025-04-14 01:00: 0.9640
2025-04-14 07:00: 0.5040
2025-04-14 13:00: 0.9690
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.9665
2025-04-15 01:00: 0.9620
2025-04-15 07:00: 0.5010
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.9560
2025-04-15 19:00: 0.9575
2025-04-16 01:00: 0.9660
2025-04-16 07:00: 0.9660
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9660
2025-04-16 19:00: 0.9505
2025-04-17 01:00: 0.9650
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.5015
2025-04-17 13:00: 0.9525
2025-04-17 19:00: 0.9555
2025-04-18 01:00: 0.9505
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.5020
2025-04-18 13:00: 0.9475
2025-04-18 19:00: 0.9615
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.8450
2025-04-19 07:00: 0.5010
2025-04-19 13:00: 0.9725
2025-04-19 19:00: 0.9695
2025-04-20 01:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 26.99, Sell volume: 2.20, Average price: 0.0296, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0493
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.3700
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0340
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0380
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0385
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.2130
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0320
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0340
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0365
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0330
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0420
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0315
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0765
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0700
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0825
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0355
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0785
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.1935
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0635
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0335
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0335
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0335
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0335
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0330
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0330
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0325
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0500
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0340
2025-04-27 14:00: 0.0340
2025-04-27 20:00: 0.0300
2025-04-28 02:00: 0.0330
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 19.46, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6957, Price range: 0.1230 - 0.9840
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9665
2025-04-29 02:00: 0.9540
2025-04-29 08:00: 0.9265
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.9530
2025-04-29 20:00: 0.9685
2025-04-30 02:00: 0.9695
2025-04-30 08:00: 0.9760
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9735
2025-04-30 20:00: 0.9735
2025-05-01 02:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.9660
2025-05-01 14:00: 0.9600
2025-05-01 20:00: 0.9600
2025-05-02 02:00: 0.9670
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9665
2025-05-02 14:00: 0.9685
2025-05-02 20:00: 0.9705
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.9670
2025-05-03 08:00: 0.9680
2025-05-03 14:00: 0.9685
2025-05-03 20:00: 0.9685
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9550
2025-05-04 08:00: 0.9695
2025-05-04 14:00: 0.9665
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.9675
2025-05-05 02:00: 0.9670
2025-05-05 08:00: 0.9690
2025-05-05 14:00: 0.9570
2025-05-05 20:00: 0.9690
2025-05-06 02:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 958, Buy volume: 230856.17, Sell volume: 25681.77, Average price: 0.4479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0300
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0330
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0305
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0675
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0305
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0315
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0315
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0335
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0330
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0330
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0330
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0310
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0315
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0300
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0330
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.0290
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0300
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0325
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0315
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0305
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.0300
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0275
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0335
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0310
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0310
2025-05-13 09:00: 0.0305
2025-05-13 15:00: 0.0305
2025-05-13 21:00: 0.0360
2025-05-14 03:00: 0.0300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 958, Buy volume: 230856.17, Sell volume: 25681.77, Average price: 0.4479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-05-14 21:00: 0.9600
2025-05-15 03:00: 0.9610
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.9700
2025-05-15 15:00: 0.9340
2025-05-15 21:00: 0.9680
2025-05-16 03:00: 0.9335
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.9340
2025-05-16 15:00: 0.9330
2025-05-16 21:00: 0.9340
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.9340
2025-05-17 09:00: 0.9335
2025-05-17 15:00: 0.9335
2025-05-17 21:00: 0.9330
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9340
2025-05-18 09:00: 0.9335
2025-05-18 15:00: 0.9315
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.9615
2025-05-19 03:00: 0.9665
2025-05-19 09:00: 0.9665
2025-05-19 15:00: 0.9670
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9680
2025-05-20 03:00: 0.9670
2025-05-20 09:00: 0.9625
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.9745
2025-05-20 21:00: 0.9695
2025-05-21 03:00: 0.9770
2025-05-21 09:00: 0.9695
2025-05-21 15:00: 0.9740
2025-05-21 21:00: 0.9740
2025-05-22 03:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 2, Buy volume: 52.37, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0895, Price range: 0.0590 - 0.1200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0305
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0305
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0285
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0265
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0305
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0305
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0255
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0260
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0290
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0250
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0305
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0350
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0355
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0305
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0305
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0350
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0355
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0305
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0275
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0265
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0305
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0305
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0300
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0310
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0275
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0305
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0300
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.0275
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0310
Trade Summary: Total trades: 958, Buy volume: 230856.17, Sell volume: 25681.77, Average price: 0.4479, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9705
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9690
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9725
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9705
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9710
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9695
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9735
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9735
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9735
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9695
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9830
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9845
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9840
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9840
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9830
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9845
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9855
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.9875
2025-06-04 10:00: 0.9880
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9900
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9890
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.9875
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.9885
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.9890
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.9870
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.9890
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.9875
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.9890
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.9880
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.9870
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 891.61, Sell volume: 97.24, Average price: 0.1314, Price range: 0.0046 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525575
Question: Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 256537.940463
Price History:
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0140
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0135
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0135
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0165
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0165
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0160
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0160
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0175
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0165
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0165
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0165
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0160
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0175
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0165
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0160
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0155
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0175
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0160
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0160
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0185
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0195
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0205
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.1175
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.1330
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.1380
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.1360
2025-06-14 12:00: 0.1430
2025-06-14 18:00: 0.1675
2025-06-15 00:00: 0.1310
2025-06-15 06:00: 0.1260
Trade Summary: Total trades: 931, Buy volume: 229470.75, Sell volume: 25582.33, Average price: 0.4466, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.4500
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.5500
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.3650
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.6350
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.4550
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.5450
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.4000
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.6000
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.4250
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.5750
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.3400
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.6600
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.2800
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.7200
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.3900
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.6100
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.3350
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.6650
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.2650
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.7350
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.2100
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.7900
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.2100
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.7900
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.3700
2025-06-05 05:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140, Buy volume: 138095.34, Sell volume: 2374.78, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9989

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.4985
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.5015
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.4980
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.5020
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.4950
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.5050
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.4910
2025-06-05 21:00: 0.5090
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.4890
2025-06-05 22:00: 0.5110
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.4840
2025-06-05 23:00: 0.5160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.20, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.4795
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.5205
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.4755
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.5245
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.4710
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.5290
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.4630
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.5370
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.4580
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.5420
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.4540
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.5460
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.4505
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.5495
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.4485
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.5515
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.4460
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.5540
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.4460
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.5540
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.4460
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.5540
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.4460
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.5540
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.4460
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.5540
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.4440
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.5560
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.4445
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.5555
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.4420
2025-06-06 15:00: 0.5580
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.4335
2025-06-06 16:00: 0.5665
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.4310
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.5690
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140, Buy volume: 138095.34, Sell volume: 2374.78, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9989

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9745
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.9745
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9745
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9745
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.9745
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 09:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 10:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140, Buy volume: 138095.34, Sell volume: 2374.78, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9989

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 04:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0300, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.0300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0245
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9755
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0245
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9755
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0245
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9755
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0245
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9755
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0245
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.9755
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0245
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.9755
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0245
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9755
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.0245
2025-06-08 21:00: 0.9755
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.0245
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.9755
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0245
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 7.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0300, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.0300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0250
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.9750
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0250
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9750
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0250
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.9750
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0250
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9750
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0255
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9745
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0255
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.9745
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.0260
2025-06-09 15:00: 0.9740
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0260
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.9740
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0260
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.9740
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 38.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0300, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.0300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0260
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.9740
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0260
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9740
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0260
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.9740
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0320
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.9680
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0305
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9695
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0305
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.9695
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0305
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.9695
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0305
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9695
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0300
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9700
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0300
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9700
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0305
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9695
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0325
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.9675
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0320
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.9680
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0320
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9680
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0320
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.9680
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.0320
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.9680
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.0320
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.9680
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0320
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 256.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3453, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9730

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0325
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.9675
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0355
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9645
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0360
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.9640
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0350
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.9650
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0345
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9655
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0345
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.9655
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0355
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.9645
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0355
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9645
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0350
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.9650
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0350
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9650
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0350
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9650
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0350
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 04:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3151.01, Sell volume: 3.09, Average price: 0.2689, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9680

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0360
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.9640
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0360
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9640
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0370
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.9630
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0375
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.9625
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0375
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9625
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0375
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.9625
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0365
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.9635
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.0365
2025-06-11 21:00: 0.9635
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.0365
2025-06-11 22:00: 0.9635
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0365
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 5495.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3867, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9660

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0390
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9610
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0390
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.9610
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0390
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.9610
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0390
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9610
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0375
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.9625
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0375
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.9625
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0365
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9635
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0365
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.9635
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0365
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.9635
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0360
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.9640
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0355
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.9645
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0355
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.9645
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0360
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9640
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0360
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.9640
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0365
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.9635
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.0360
2025-06-12 15:00: 0.9640
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.0385
2025-06-12 16:00: 0.9615
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0135
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.9865
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 74708.56, Sell volume: 1480.49, Average price: 0.8021, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9810

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0150
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9850
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0125
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9875
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.9920
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9915
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.9920
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0090
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.9910
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0090
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9910
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9935
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0065
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.9935
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9930
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.9930
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9940
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0055
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9945
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.9955
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.9950
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.0075
2025-06-13 10:00: 0.9925
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0055
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.9945
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0045
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.9955
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1332.02, Sell volume: 702.00, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.9955
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.9965
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.9975
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9990
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9990
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 04:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 05:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 06:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2381.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.9989 - 0.9989

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 12:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 14:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 15:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.5000
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.4500
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.5500
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.3650
2025-06-04 18:00: 0.6350
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.4550
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.5450
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.4000
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.6000
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.4250
2025-06-04 21:00: 0.5750
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.3400
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.6600
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.2800
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.7200
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.3900
2025-06-05 00:00: 0.6100
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.3350
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.6650
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.2650
2025-06-05 02:00: 0.7350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140, Buy volume: 138095.34, Sell volume: 2374.78, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9989
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 08:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 11:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 12:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 14:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0205
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.9795
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.4985
2025-06-05 18:00: 0.5015
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.4980
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.5020
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.4950
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.5050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.20, Average price: 0.0010, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.0010
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.4795
2025-06-06 00:00: 0.5205
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.4755
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.5245
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.4710
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.5290
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.4630
2025-06-06 03:00: 0.5370
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.4580
2025-06-06 04:00: 0.5420
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.4540
2025-06-06 05:00: 0.5460
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.4505
2025-06-06 06:00: 0.5495
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.4485
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.5515
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.4460
2025-06-06 08:00: 0.5540
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.4460
2025-06-06 09:00: 0.5540
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.4460
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.5540
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.4460
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.5540
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.4460
2025-06-06 12:00: 0.5540
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.4440
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.5560
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.4445
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.5555
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140, Buy volume: 138095.34, Sell volume: 2374.78, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9989
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9745
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.9745
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 20:00: 0.9745
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9745
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 22:00: 0.9745
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0255
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 02:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 03:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 06:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 07:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 140, Buy volume: 138095.34, Sell volume: 2374.78, Average price: 0.6818, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9989
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 12:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0255
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.9745
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 14:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 19:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 20:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 21:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.9845
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0155
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 00:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 02:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 10.78, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0300, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.0300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 06:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 10:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.0155
2025-06-08 13:00: 0.9845
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.0245
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9755
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.0245
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9755
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0245
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.9755
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0245
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.9755
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.0245
2025-06-08 18:00: 0.9755
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0245
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.9755
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0245
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 7.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0300, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.0300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 00:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 03:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 04:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 06:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.0245
2025-06-09 08:00: 0.9755
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0250
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.9750
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0250
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.9750
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0250
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.9750
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.0250
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9750
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.0255
2025-06-09 13:00: 0.9745
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.0255
2025-06-09 14:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 38.53, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0300, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.0300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.0260
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.9740
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.0260
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9740
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.0260
2025-06-09 20:00: 0.9740
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.0320
2025-06-09 21:00: 0.9680
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.0305
2025-06-09 22:00: 0.9695
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0305
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.9695
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.0305
2025-06-10 00:00: 0.9695
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.0305
2025-06-10 01:00: 0.9695
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.0300
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9700
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.0300
2025-06-10 03:00: 0.9700
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.0305
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.9695
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0325
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.9675
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0320
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.9680
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.0320
2025-06-10 07:00: 0.9680
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.0320
2025-06-10 08:00: 0.9680
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 256.28, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3453, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9730
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.0325
2025-06-10 12:00: 0.9675
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0355
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.9645
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.0360
2025-06-10 14:00: 0.9640
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.0350
2025-06-10 15:00: 0.9650
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0345
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9655
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0345
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.9655
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.0355
2025-06-10 18:00: 0.9645
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.0355
2025-06-10 19:00: 0.9645
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0350
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.9650
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.0350
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9650
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0350
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.9650
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0350
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 00:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 01:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 02:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 3151.01, Sell volume: 3.09, Average price: 0.2689, Price range: 0.0340 - 0.9680
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 09:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 12:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.0350
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.9650
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0360
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.9640
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.0360
2025-06-11 15:00: 0.9640
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.0370
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.9630
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0375
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.9625
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.0375
2025-06-11 18:00: 0.9625
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.0375
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.9625
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.0365
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 5495.09, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3867, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9660
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0390
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.9610
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0390
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.9610
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.0390
2025-06-12 02:00: 0.9610
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.0390
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9610
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.0375
2025-06-12 04:00: 0.9625
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0375
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.9625
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.0365
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9635
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0365
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.9635
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.0365
2025-06-12 08:00: 0.9635
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.0360
2025-06-12 09:00: 0.9640
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.0355
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.9645
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0355
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.9645
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.0360
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.9640
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.0360
2025-06-12 13:00: 0.9640
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0365
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.9635
Trade Summary: Total trades: 80, Buy volume: 74708.56, Sell volume: 1480.49, Average price: 0.8021, Price range: 0.0360 - 0.9810
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.0150
2025-06-12 18:00: 0.9850
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.0125
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.9875
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 20:00: 0.9920
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0085
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.9915
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.0080
2025-06-12 22:00: 0.9920
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0090
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.9910
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.0090
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9910
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.0065
2025-06-13 01:00: 0.9935
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.0065
2025-06-13 02:00: 0.9935
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 04:00: 0.9930
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0070
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.9930
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0060
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.9940
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.0055
2025-06-13 07:00: 0.9945
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.0045
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.9955
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 09:00: 0.9950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1332.02, Sell volume: 702.00, Average price: 0.8207, Price range: 0.0050 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525592
Question: Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 140470.124772
Price History:
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.0045
2025-06-13 13:00: 0.9955
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0035
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.9965
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.0025
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.9975
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9990
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.0010
2025-06-13 17:00: 0.9990
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 00:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 01:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 02:00: 0.9995
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.0005
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 2381.80, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9989, Price range: 0.9989 - 0.9989
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 19:00: 0.5450
2025-03-03 23:00: 0.2800
2025-03-04 02:00: 0.8050
2025-03-04 06:00: 0.3750
2025-03-04 09:00: 0.7350
2025-03-04 13:00: 0.2300
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.6850
2025-03-04 20:00: 0.2150
2025-03-04 23:00: 0.8100
2025-03-05 03:00: 0.3600
2025-03-05 06:00: 0.7050
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2400
2025-03-05 13:00: 0.6750
2025-03-05 17:00: 0.3250
2025-03-05 20:00: 0.6600
2025-03-06 00:00: 0.2550
2025-03-06 03:00: 0.7050
2025-03-06 07:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.7550
2025-03-06 14:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 17:00: 0.7550
2025-03-06 21:00: 0.3100
2025-03-07 00:00: 0.7800
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.1400
2025-03-07 07:00: 0.6900
2025-03-07 11:00: 0.2800
2025-03-07 14:00: 0.7200
2025-03-07 18:00: 0.2800
2025-03-07 21:00: 0.7150
2025-03-08 01:00: 0.3200
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.7350
2025-03-08 08:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 11:00: 0.7650
2025-03-08 15:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 18:00: 0.7650
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2600
2025-03-09 01:00: 0.8050
2025-03-09 06:00: 0.2750
2025-03-09 09:00: 0.7150
2025-03-09 13:00: 0.2700
2025-03-09 16:00: 0.6800
2025-03-09 20:00: 0.4950
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 03:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 06:00: 0.5050
2025-03-10 10:00: 0.4000
2025-03-10 13:00: 0.6850
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.2600
2025-03-10 20:00: 0.7400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.6350
2025-03-11 18:00: 0.3600
2025-03-11 21:00: 0.5250
2025-03-12 01:00: 0.4850
2025-03-12 04:00: 0.5050
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.4900
2025-03-12 11:00: 0.5400
2025-03-12 15:00: 0.4200
2025-03-12 18:00: 0.5500
2025-03-12 22:00: 0.3950
2025-03-13 01:00: 0.6200
2025-03-13 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 12:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 15:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 19:00: 0.1250
2025-03-13 22:00: 0.5800
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.3450
2025-03-14 05:00: 0.5150
2025-03-14 09:00: 0.3015
2025-03-14 12:00: 0.9685
2025-03-14 16:00: 0.0330
2025-03-14 19:00: 0.9660
2025-03-14 23:00: 0.3970
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.6560
2025-03-15 06:00: 0.4315
2025-03-15 09:00: 0.7085
2025-03-15 13:00: 0.3865
2025-03-15 16:00: 0.5830
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.1345
2025-03-15 23:00: 0.9655
2025-03-16 03:00: 0.4530
2025-03-16 06:00: 0.5440
2025-03-16 10:00: 0.4455
2025-03-16 13:00: 0.6340
2025-03-16 17:00: 0.2935
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.6000
2025-03-17 00:00: 0.3440
2025-03-17 03:00: 0.9400
2025-03-17 07:00: 0.4765
2025-03-17 10:00: 0.9395
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.0385
2025-03-17 17:00: 0.6310
2025-03-17 21:00: 0.3155
2025-03-18 00:00: 0.8150
2025-03-18 04:00: 0.4610
2025-03-18 07:00: 0.5610
2025-03-18 11:00: 0.4365
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.7100
2025-03-18 18:00: 0.0350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 511.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9829, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.3945
2025-03-19 15:00: 0.9650
2025-03-19 19:00: 0.0245
2025-03-19 22:00: 0.9770
2025-03-20 02:00: 0.0350
2025-03-20 05:00: 0.5045
2025-03-20 09:00: 0.0275
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.9740
2025-03-20 16:00: 0.0350
2025-03-20 19:00: 0.9635
2025-03-20 23:00: 0.0350
2025-03-21 02:00: 0.9640
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.4535
2025-03-21 09:00: 0.5695
2025-03-21 13:00: 0.0350
2025-03-21 16:00: 0.7195
2025-03-21 20:00: 0.3610
2025-03-21 23:00: 0.9650
2025-03-22 03:00: 0.0255
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.5475
2025-03-22 10:00: 0.0280
2025-03-22 13:00: 0.9375
2025-03-22 17:00: 0.0285
2025-03-22 20:00: 0.6745
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.4980
2025-03-23 03:00: 0.9705
2025-03-23 07:00: 0.4510
2025-03-23 10:00: 0.9660
2025-03-23 14:00: 0.0395
2025-03-23 17:00: 0.5330
2025-03-23 21:00: 0.0275
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.5140
2025-03-24 04:00: 0.4415
2025-03-24 07:00: 0.5050
2025-03-24 11:00: 0.3850
2025-03-24 14:00: 0.7710
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0305
2025-03-24 21:00: 0.9670
2025-03-25 01:00: 0.4795
2025-03-25 04:00: 0.5500
2025-03-25 08:00: 0.4520
2025-03-25 11:00: 0.6780
2025-03-25 15:00: 0.2410
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.5800
2025-03-25 22:00: 0.3755
2025-03-26 01:00: 0.5195
2025-03-26 05:00: 0.3795
2025-03-26 08:00: 0.4945
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.2255
2025-03-26 15:00: 0.7500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.8745
2025-03-27 13:00: 0.1210
2025-03-27 16:00: 0.8395
2025-03-27 20:00: 0.2450
2025-03-27 23:00: 0.9685
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.2445
2025-03-28 06:00: 0.7545
2025-03-28 10:00: 0.1655
2025-03-28 13:00: 0.8050
2025-03-28 17:00: 0.2490
2025-03-28 20:00: 0.7755
2025-03-29 00:00: 0.2495
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.7555
2025-03-29 07:00: 0.2435
2025-03-29 10:00: 0.7560
2025-03-29 14:00: 0.0350
2025-03-29 17:00: 0.8865
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.2495
2025-03-30 00:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 04:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 07:00: 0.7515
2025-03-30 11:00: 0.2500
2025-03-30 14:00: 0.8050
2025-03-30 18:00: 0.2005
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.7800
2025-03-31 01:00: 0.2200
2025-03-31 04:00: 0.8005
2025-03-31 08:00: 0.2320
2025-03-31 11:00: 0.7750
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.2255
2025-03-31 18:00: 0.7695
2025-03-31 22:00: 0.2300
2025-04-01 01:00: 0.7950
2025-04-01 05:00: 0.2485
2025-04-01 08:00: 0.7500
2025-04-01 12:00: 0.2250
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.8450
2025-04-01 19:00: 0.2405
2025-04-01 22:00: 0.9740
2025-04-02 02:00: 0.0285
2025-04-02 05:00: 0.9650
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.0300
2025-04-02 12:00: 0.9710
2025-04-02 16:00: 0.2250
2025-04-02 19:00: 0.7550
2025-04-02 23:00: 0.2290
2025-04-03 02:00: 0.7645
2025-04-03 06:00: 0.2245
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.7850
2025-04-03 13:00: 0.0375
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.0305
2025-04-04 10:00: 0.9705
2025-04-04 14:00: 0.0285
2025-04-04 17:00: 0.9705
2025-04-04 21:00: 0.2275
2025-04-05 00:00: 0.7825
2025-04-05 04:00: 0.1865
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.8425
2025-04-05 11:00: 0.1620
2025-04-05 14:00: 0.5010
2025-04-05 18:00: 0.4250
2025-04-05 21:00: 0.5870
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.3890
2025-04-06 04:00: 0.6160
2025-04-06 08:00: 0.3710
2025-04-06 11:00: 0.6340
2025-04-06 15:00: 0.3570
2025-04-06 18:00: 0.9600
2025-04-06 22:00: 0.0270
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.9705
2025-04-07 05:00: 0.0260
2025-04-07 08:00: 0.9720
2025-04-07 12:00: 0.4335
2025-04-07 15:00: 0.9700
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.0340
2025-04-07 22:00: 0.9670
2025-04-08 02:00: 0.0285
2025-04-08 05:00: 0.9725
2025-04-08 09:00: 0.0320
2025-04-08 12:00: 0.9700
2025-04-08 16:00: 0.0255
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.9740
2025-04-08 23:00: 0.0255
2025-04-09 02:00: 0.9710
2025-04-09 06:00: 0.0370
2025-04-09 09:00: 0.9670
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0280
2025-04-09 16:00: 0.9690
2025-04-09 20:00: 0.0585
2025-04-09 23:00: 0.9655
2025-04-10 03:00: 0.0315
2025-04-10 06:00: 0.9690
2025-04-10 10:00: 0.0280
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.9695
2025-04-10 17:00: 0.0310
2025-04-10 20:00: 0.9680
2025-04-11 00:00: 0.0260
2025-04-11 03:00: 0.9690
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.0280
2025-04-11 10:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9725
2025-04-12 08:00: 0.0265
2025-04-12 11:00: 0.9710
2025-04-12 15:00: 0.0325
2025-04-12 18:00: 0.9555
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.0440
2025-04-13 01:00: 0.9295
2025-04-13 05:00: 0.4000
2025-04-13 08:00: 0.5930
2025-04-13 12:00: 0.4260
2025-04-13 15:00: 0.8945
2025-04-13 19:00: 0.0405
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.7590
2025-04-14 02:00: 0.0330
2025-04-14 05:00: 0.5875
2025-04-14 09:00: 0.0290
2025-04-14 12:00: 0.9710
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.0260
2025-04-14 19:00: 0.9715
2025-04-14 23:00: 0.0290
2025-04-15 02:00: 0.9670
2025-04-15 06:00: 0.4920
2025-04-15 09:00: 0.5500
2025-04-15 13:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9655
2025-04-15 20:00: 0.0345
2025-04-15 23:00: 0.9685
2025-04-16 03:00: 0.0305
2025-04-16 06:00: 0.9660
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.0315
2025-04-16 13:00: 0.9680
2025-04-16 17:00: 0.0350
2025-04-16 20:00: 0.9650
2025-04-17 00:00: 0.4980
2025-04-17 03:00: 0.9545
2025-04-17 07:00: 0.4990
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9605
2025-04-17 14:00: 0.0395
2025-04-17 17:00: 0.8350
2025-04-17 21:00: 0.0395
2025-04-18 00:00: 0.5050
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.4985
2025-04-18 07:00: 0.5020
2025-04-18 11:00: 0.0545
2025-04-18 14:00: 0.9665
2025-04-18 18:00: 0.0305
2025-04-18 21:00: 0.9695
2025-04-19 01:00: 0.1550
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.5065
2025-04-19 08:00: 0.4985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.20, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0320
2025-04-20 05:00: 0.9680
2025-04-20 09:00: 0.0320
2025-04-20 12:00: 0.9680
2025-04-20 16:00: 0.0320
2025-04-20 19:00: 0.9680
2025-04-20 23:00: 0.0305
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.9680
2025-04-21 06:00: 0.0310
2025-04-21 09:00: 0.9690
2025-04-21 13:00: 0.0290
2025-04-21 16:00: 0.9710
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0310
2025-04-21 23:00: 0.9680
2025-04-22 03:00: 0.0270
2025-04-22 06:00: 0.9675
2025-04-22 10:00: 0.0315
2025-04-22 13:00: 0.9665
2025-04-22 17:00: 0.0285
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.9680
2025-04-23 00:00: 0.0330
2025-04-23 03:00: 0.9690
2025-04-23 07:00: 0.0310
2025-04-23 10:00: 0.9690
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0320
2025-04-23 17:00: 0.9660
2025-04-23 21:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 00:00: 0.9670
2025-04-24 04:00: 0.0310
2025-04-24 07:00: 0.9675
2025-04-24 11:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.9685
2025-04-24 18:00: 0.0320
2025-04-24 21:00: 0.9700
2025-04-25 01:00: 0.0330
2025-04-25 04:00: 0.9680
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0310
2025-04-25 11:00: 0.9710
2025-04-25 15:00: 0.0310
2025-04-25 18:00: 0.9680
2025-04-25 22:00: 0.0315
2025-04-26 01:00: 0.9680
2025-04-26 05:00: 0.0320
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.9675
2025-04-26 12:00: 0.0325
2025-04-26 15:00: 0.9680
2025-04-26 19:00: 0.0325
2025-04-26 22:00: 0.9675
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0310
2025-04-27 05:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9690
2025-04-28 03:00: 0.0330
2025-04-28 06:00: 0.9670
2025-04-28 10:00: 0.0290
2025-04-28 13:00: 0.9685
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.0310
2025-04-28 20:00: 0.9700
2025-04-29 00:00: 0.0305
2025-04-29 03:00: 0.9750
2025-04-29 07:00: 0.0260
2025-04-29 10:00: 0.9745
2025-04-29 14:00: 0.0225
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9750
2025-04-29 21:00: 0.0240
2025-04-30 00:00: 0.9750
2025-04-30 04:00: 0.0260
2025-04-30 07:00: 0.9735
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.0270
2025-04-30 14:00: 0.9730
2025-04-30 18:00: 0.0265
2025-04-30 21:00: 0.9755
2025-05-01 01:00: 0.0270
2025-05-01 04:00: 0.9740
2025-05-01 08:00: 0.0265
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9740
2025-05-01 15:00: 0.0265
2025-05-01 18:00: 0.9740
2025-05-01 22:00: 0.0260
2025-05-02 01:00: 0.9740
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.0260
2025-05-02 08:00: 0.9735
2025-05-02 12:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 15:00: 0.9740
2025-05-02 19:00: 0.0270
2025-05-02 22:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 02:00: 0.0260
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9735
2025-05-03 09:00: 0.0260
2025-05-03 12:00: 0.9740
2025-05-03 16:00: 0.0260
2025-05-03 19:00: 0.9735
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.0260
2025-05-04 02:00: 0.9740
2025-05-04 06:00: 0.0250
2025-05-04 09:00: 0.9740
2025-05-04 13:00: 0.0270
2025-05-04 16:00: 0.9730
2025-05-04 20:00: 0.0245
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9750
2025-05-05 03:00: 0.0250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0250
2025-05-06 00:00: 0.9755
2025-05-06 04:00: 0.0260
2025-05-06 07:00: 0.9735
2025-05-06 11:00: 0.0265
2025-05-06 14:00: 0.9735
2025-05-06 18:00: 0.0260
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.9735
2025-05-07 01:00: 0.0270
2025-05-07 04:00: 0.9735
2025-05-07 08:00: 0.0270
2025-05-07 11:00: 0.9730
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0265
2025-05-07 18:00: 0.9760
2025-05-07 22:00: 0.0235
2025-05-08 01:00: 0.9765
2025-05-08 05:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 08:00: 0.9680
2025-05-08 12:00: 0.0320
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.9685
2025-05-08 19:00: 0.0290
2025-05-08 22:00: 0.9685
2025-05-09 02:00: 0.0305
2025-05-09 05:00: 0.9685
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0310
2025-05-09 12:00: 0.9700
2025-05-09 16:00: 0.0320
2025-05-09 19:00: 0.9675
2025-05-09 23:00: 0.0310
2025-05-10 02:00: 0.9690
2025-05-10 06:00: 0.0300
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.9690
2025-05-10 13:00: 0.0290
2025-05-10 16:00: 0.9695
2025-05-10 20:00: 0.0310
2025-05-10 23:00: 0.9700
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0300
2025-05-11 06:00: 0.9685
2025-05-11 10:00: 0.0295
2025-05-11 13:00: 0.9705
2025-05-11 17:00: 0.0275
2025-05-11 20:00: 0.9690
2025-05-12 00:00: 0.0310
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.9690
2025-05-12 07:00: 0.0305
2025-05-12 10:00: 0.9690
2025-05-12 14:00: 0.0310
2025-05-12 17:00: 0.9695
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0325
2025-05-13 00:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.9695
2025-05-13 22:00: 0.0310
2025-05-14 01:00: 0.9690
2025-05-14 05:00: 0.0310
2025-05-14 08:00: 0.9690
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.0315
2025-05-14 15:00: 0.9685
2025-05-14 19:00: 0.0305
2025-05-14 22:00: 0.9690
2025-05-15 02:00: 0.0315
2025-05-15 05:00: 0.9690
2025-05-15 09:00: 0.0295
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.9690
2025-05-15 16:00: 0.0295
2025-05-15 19:00: 0.9695
2025-05-15 23:00: 0.0305
2025-05-16 02:00: 0.9710
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.0285
2025-05-16 09:00: 0.9685
2025-05-16 13:00: 0.0315
2025-05-16 16:00: 0.9720
2025-05-16 20:00: 0.0280
2025-05-16 23:00: 0.9700
2025-05-17 03:00: 0.0310
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9690
2025-05-17 10:00: 0.0305
2025-05-17 13:00: 0.9720
2025-05-17 17:00: 0.0315
2025-05-17 20:00: 0.9695
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.0305
2025-05-18 03:00: 0.9695
2025-05-18 07:00: 0.0300
2025-05-18 10:00: 0.9690
2025-05-18 14:00: 0.0310
2025-05-18 17:00: 0.9690
2025-05-18 21:00: 0.0300
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9690
2025-05-19 04:00: 0.0300
2025-05-19 07:00: 0.9690
2025-05-19 11:00: 0.0300
2025-05-19 14:00: 0.9700
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.0300
2025-05-19 21:00: 0.9700
2025-05-20 01:00: 0.0290
2025-05-20 04:00: 0.9735
2025-05-20 08:00: 0.0305
2025-05-20 11:00: 0.9675
2025-05-20 15:00: 0.0315
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9690
2025-05-20 22:00: 0.0315
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0305
2025-05-21 19:00: 0.9690
2025-05-21 23:00: 0.0335
2025-05-22 02:00: 0.9680
2025-05-22 06:00: 0.0315
2025-05-22 09:00: 0.9680
2025-05-22 13:00: 0.0320
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.9720
2025-05-22 20:00: 0.0315
2025-05-22 23:00: 0.9700
2025-05-23 03:00: 0.0320
2025-05-23 06:00: 0.9765
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0270
2025-05-23 13:00: 0.9705
2025-05-23 17:00: 0.0310
2025-05-23 20:00: 0.9720
2025-05-24 00:00: 0.0250
2025-05-24 03:00: 0.9730
2025-05-24 07:00: 0.0280
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.9720
2025-05-24 14:00: 0.0300
2025-05-24 17:00: 0.9675
2025-05-24 21:00: 0.0320
2025-05-25 00:00: 0.9710
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0285
2025-05-25 07:00: 0.9735
2025-05-25 11:00: 0.0310
2025-05-25 14:00: 0.9685
2025-05-25 18:00: 0.0325
2025-05-25 21:00: 0.9675
2025-05-26 01:00: 0.0310
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.9730
2025-05-26 08:00: 0.0270
2025-05-26 11:00: 0.9685
2025-05-26 15:00: 0.0330
2025-05-26 18:00: 0.9670
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0320
2025-05-27 01:00: 0.9675
2025-05-27 05:00: 0.0270
2025-05-27 08:00: 0.9755
2025-05-27 12:00: 0.0250
2025-05-27 15:00: 0.9670
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.0325
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9670
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0290
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9725
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0275
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9700
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9730
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9730
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.0265
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.9735
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0330
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.9745
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0285
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9735
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0270
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9730
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0270
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9690
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0275
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9730
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0320
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9740
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0320
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9775
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0270
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9700
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0300
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9700
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0245
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9755
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0275
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9725
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0250
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9750
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0210
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9750
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0215
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0250
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9740
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0205
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9755
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0250
2025-06-04 02:00: 0.9745
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0220
2025-06-04 09:00: 0.9750
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0250
2025-06-04 16:00: 0.9750
2025-06-04 20:00: 0.0250
2025-06-04 23:00: 0.9780
2025-06-05 03:00: 0.0250
2025-06-05 06:00: 0.9785
2025-06-05 10:00: 0.0250
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.9740
2025-06-05 17:00: 0.0285
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 986.03, Sell volume: 393.20, Average price: 0.0331, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0470

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0275
2025-06-06 14:00: 0.9775
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.0275
2025-06-06 21:00: 0.9705
2025-06-07 01:00: 0.0225
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.9775
2025-06-07 08:00: 0.0230
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.9775
2025-06-07 15:00: 0.0220
2025-06-07 18:00: 0.9780
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0290
2025-06-08 01:00: 0.9710
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0280
2025-06-08 08:00: 0.9720
2025-06-08 12:00: 0.0285
2025-06-08 15:00: 0.9715
2025-06-08 19:00: 0.0285
2025-06-08 22:00: 0.9735
2025-06-09 02:00: 0.0265
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.9740
2025-06-09 09:00: 0.0265
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9825
2025-06-09 16:00: 0.0175
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.9825
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0165
2025-06-10 02:00: 0.9785
2025-06-10 06:00: 0.0215
2025-06-10 09:00: 0.9765
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.0240
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.9775
2025-06-10 20:00: 0.0220
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.9785
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0215
2025-06-11 06:00: 0.9790
2025-06-11 10:00: 0.0210
2025-06-11 13:00: 0.9785
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0205
2025-06-11 20:00: 0.9790
2025-06-12 00:00: 0.0210
2025-06-12 03:00: 0.9785
2025-06-12 07:00: 0.0190
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.9810
2025-06-12 14:00: 0.0190
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.9980
2025-06-12 21:00: 0.0030
2025-06-13 00:00: 0.9950
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.0030
2025-06-13 08:00: 0.9960
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 15:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 21556.68, Sell volume: 4254.47, Average price: 0.5422, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-03-03 16:00: 0.5000
2025-03-03 22:00: 0.3000
2025-03-04 04:00: 0.1950
2025-03-04 10:00: 0.3800
2025-03-04 16:00: 0.3150
2025-03-04 22:00: 0.2050
2025-03-05 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-05 10:00: 0.2400
2025-03-05 16:00: 0.3250
2025-03-05 22:00: 0.2700
2025-03-06 04:00: 0.2900
2025-03-06 10:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 16:00: 0.2450
2025-03-06 22:00: 0.2500
2025-03-07 04:00: 0.1400
2025-03-07 10:00: 0.2800
2025-03-07 16:00: 0.2800
2025-03-07 22:00: 0.2800
2025-03-08 04:00: 0.2650
2025-03-08 10:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 16:00: 0.2350
2025-03-08 22:00: 0.2600
2025-03-09 05:00: 0.1950
2025-03-09 11:00: 0.3200
2025-03-09 17:00: 0.3200
2025-03-09 23:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 05:00: 0.4950
2025-03-10 11:00: 0.3900
2025-03-10 17:00: 0.2600
2025-03-10 23:00: 0.2400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-03-11 14:00: 0.6350
2025-03-11 20:00: 0.6400
2025-03-12 02:00: 0.5150
2025-03-12 08:00: 0.5100
2025-03-12 14:00: 0.5700
2025-03-12 20:00: 0.5650
2025-03-13 02:00: 0.6300
2025-03-13 08:00: 0.5100
2025-03-13 14:00: 0.8750
2025-03-13 20:00: 0.8750
2025-03-14 02:00: 0.6550
2025-03-14 08:00: 0.6500
2025-03-14 14:00: 0.9645
2025-03-14 20:00: 0.9670
2025-03-15 02:00: 0.6560
2025-03-15 08:00: 0.6395
2025-03-15 14:00: 0.5450
2025-03-15 20:00: 0.8655
2025-03-16 02:00: 0.5015
2025-03-16 08:00: 0.5545
2025-03-16 14:00: 0.6620
2025-03-16 20:00: 0.6000
2025-03-17 02:00: 0.9625
2025-03-17 08:00: 0.5335
2025-03-17 14:00: 0.9615
2025-03-17 20:00: 0.9695
2025-03-18 02:00: 0.9610
2025-03-18 08:00: 0.5555
2025-03-18 14:00: 0.7100
2025-03-18 20:00: 0.9755
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 511.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9829, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-03-19 12:00: 0.3945
2025-03-19 18:00: 0.0230
2025-03-20 00:00: 0.0245
2025-03-20 06:00: 0.3805
2025-03-20 12:00: 0.0260
2025-03-20 18:00: 0.0360
2025-03-21 00:00: 0.0400
2025-03-21 06:00: 0.4535
2025-03-21 12:00: 0.3330
2025-03-21 18:00: 0.0330
2025-03-22 00:00: 0.0330
2025-03-22 06:00: 0.4525
2025-03-22 12:00: 0.0285
2025-03-22 18:00: 0.0295
2025-03-23 00:00: 0.4980
2025-03-23 06:00: 0.4560
2025-03-23 12:00: 0.0340
2025-03-23 18:00: 0.0300
2025-03-24 00:00: 0.4860
2025-03-24 06:00: 0.4365
2025-03-24 12:00: 0.4380
2025-03-24 18:00: 0.0305
2025-03-25 00:00: 0.0320
2025-03-25 06:00: 0.4755
2025-03-25 12:00: 0.3505
2025-03-25 18:00: 0.4200
2025-03-26 00:00: 0.0445
2025-03-26 06:00: 0.3795
2025-03-26 12:00: 0.2255
2025-03-26 18:00: 0.3160
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-03-27 09:00: 0.8745
2025-03-27 15:00: 0.8150
2025-03-27 21:00: 0.9710
2025-03-28 03:00: 0.7555
2025-03-28 09:00: 0.7550
2025-03-28 15:00: 0.7855
2025-03-28 21:00: 0.7600
2025-03-29 03:00: 0.7555
2025-03-29 09:00: 0.7800
2025-03-29 15:00: 0.8860
2025-03-29 21:00: 0.7505
2025-03-30 03:00: 0.7500
2025-03-30 09:00: 0.7510
2025-03-30 15:00: 0.8145
2025-03-30 21:00: 0.7800
2025-03-31 03:00: 0.8050
2025-03-31 09:00: 0.7850
2025-03-31 15:00: 0.7745
2025-03-31 21:00: 0.7700
2025-04-01 03:00: 0.8000
2025-04-01 09:00: 0.8050
2025-04-01 15:00: 0.8450
2025-04-01 21:00: 0.9710
2025-04-02 03:00: 0.9735
2025-04-02 09:00: 0.9700
2025-04-02 15:00: 0.9720
2025-04-02 21:00: 0.7575
2025-04-03 03:00: 0.7690
2025-04-03 09:00: 0.7850
2025-04-03 15:00: 0.9650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-04-04 07:00: 0.0305
2025-04-04 13:00: 0.0300
2025-04-04 19:00: 0.2440
2025-04-05 01:00: 0.2140
2025-04-05 07:00: 0.1575
2025-04-05 13:00: 0.1595
2025-04-05 19:00: 0.4215
2025-04-06 01:00: 0.3890
2025-04-06 07:00: 0.3755
2025-04-06 13:00: 0.3620
2025-04-06 19:00: 0.0410
2025-04-07 01:00: 0.0295
2025-04-07 07:00: 0.0275
2025-04-07 13:00: 0.4240
2025-04-07 19:00: 0.0340
2025-04-08 01:00: 0.0260
2025-04-08 07:00: 0.0290
2025-04-08 13:00: 0.0265
2025-04-08 19:00: 0.0260
2025-04-09 01:00: 0.0330
2025-04-09 07:00: 0.0315
2025-04-09 13:00: 0.0280
2025-04-09 19:00: 0.0305
2025-04-10 01:00: 0.0355
2025-04-10 07:00: 0.0310
2025-04-10 13:00: 0.0305
2025-04-10 19:00: 0.0335
2025-04-11 01:00: 0.0315
2025-04-11 07:00: 0.0280
2025-04-11 13:00: 0.0275
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-04-12 04:00: 0.9725
2025-04-12 10:00: 0.9675
2025-04-12 16:00: 0.9670
2025-04-12 22:00: 0.9560
2025-04-13 04:00: 0.5345
2025-04-13 10:00: 0.9385
2025-04-13 16:00: 0.8915
2025-04-13 22:00: 0.7590
2025-04-14 04:00: 0.5025
2025-04-14 10:00: 0.6200
2025-04-14 16:00: 0.9740
2025-04-14 22:00: 0.9705
2025-04-15 04:00: 0.5035
2025-04-15 10:00: 0.9670
2025-04-15 16:00: 0.9655
2025-04-15 22:00: 0.9645
2025-04-16 04:00: 0.9685
2025-04-16 10:00: 0.9685
2025-04-16 16:00: 0.7055
2025-04-16 22:00: 0.9720
2025-04-17 04:00: 0.5065
2025-04-17 10:00: 0.9605
2025-04-17 16:00: 0.9555
2025-04-17 22:00: 0.5010
2025-04-18 04:00: 0.5015
2025-04-18 10:00: 0.7500
2025-04-18 16:00: 0.9630
2025-04-18 22:00: 0.5010
2025-04-19 04:00: 0.5065
2025-04-19 10:00: 0.9675
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 0.00, Sell volume: 2.20, Average price: 0.0100, Price range: 0.0100 - 0.0100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-04-20 02:00: 0.0320
2025-04-20 08:00: 0.0320
2025-04-20 14:00: 0.0320
2025-04-20 20:00: 0.0320
2025-04-21 02:00: 0.0320
2025-04-21 08:00: 0.0245
2025-04-21 14:00: 0.0290
2025-04-21 20:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 02:00: 0.0315
2025-04-22 08:00: 0.0310
2025-04-22 14:00: 0.0330
2025-04-22 20:00: 0.0320
2025-04-23 02:00: 0.0320
2025-04-23 08:00: 0.0310
2025-04-23 14:00: 0.0320
2025-04-23 20:00: 0.0330
2025-04-24 02:00: 0.0325
2025-04-24 08:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 14:00: 0.0315
2025-04-24 20:00: 0.0330
2025-04-25 02:00: 0.0320
2025-04-25 08:00: 0.0310
2025-04-25 14:00: 0.0315
2025-04-25 20:00: 0.0325
2025-04-26 02:00: 0.0325
2025-04-26 08:00: 0.0325
2025-04-26 14:00: 0.0325
2025-04-26 20:00: 0.0320
2025-04-27 02:00: 0.0310
2025-04-27 08:00: 0.0320
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-04-27 23:00: 0.9690
2025-04-28 05:00: 0.9670
2025-04-28 11:00: 0.9695
2025-04-28 17:00: 0.9690
2025-04-28 23:00: 0.9695
2025-04-29 05:00: 0.9750
2025-04-29 11:00: 0.9750
2025-04-29 17:00: 0.9750
2025-04-29 23:00: 0.9750
2025-04-30 05:00: 0.9735
2025-04-30 11:00: 0.9730
2025-04-30 17:00: 0.9735
2025-04-30 23:00: 0.9730
2025-05-01 05:00: 0.9735
2025-05-01 11:00: 0.9740
2025-05-01 17:00: 0.9740
2025-05-01 23:00: 0.9740
2025-05-02 05:00: 0.9740
2025-05-02 11:00: 0.9740
2025-05-02 17:00: 0.9740
2025-05-02 23:00: 0.9735
2025-05-03 05:00: 0.9735
2025-05-03 11:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 17:00: 0.9730
2025-05-03 23:00: 0.9740
2025-05-04 05:00: 0.9730
2025-05-04 11:00: 0.9730
2025-05-04 17:00: 0.9735
2025-05-04 23:00: 0.9750
2025-05-05 05:00: 0.9735
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-05-05 21:00: 0.0250
2025-05-06 03:00: 0.0240
2025-05-06 09:00: 0.0265
2025-05-06 15:00: 0.0255
2025-05-06 21:00: 0.0265
2025-05-07 03:00: 0.0270
2025-05-07 09:00: 0.0260
2025-05-07 15:00: 0.0265
2025-05-07 21:00: 0.0235
2025-05-08 03:00: 0.0275
2025-05-08 09:00: 0.0295
2025-05-08 15:00: 0.0315
2025-05-08 21:00: 0.0300
2025-05-09 03:00: 0.0290
2025-05-09 09:00: 0.0310
2025-05-09 15:00: 0.0300
2025-05-09 21:00: 0.0295
2025-05-10 03:00: 0.0280
2025-05-10 09:00: 0.0310
2025-05-10 15:00: 0.0275
2025-05-10 21:00: 0.0315
2025-05-11 03:00: 0.0300
2025-05-11 09:00: 0.0300
2025-05-11 15:00: 0.0275
2025-05-11 21:00: 0.0325
2025-05-12 03:00: 0.0310
2025-05-12 09:00: 0.0330
2025-05-12 15:00: 0.0320
2025-05-12 21:00: 0.0325
2025-05-13 03:00: 0.0305
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-05-13 18:00: 0.9695
2025-05-14 00:00: 0.9690
2025-05-14 06:00: 0.9685
2025-05-14 12:00: 0.9685
2025-05-14 18:00: 0.9700
2025-05-15 00:00: 0.9685
2025-05-15 06:00: 0.9690
2025-05-15 12:00: 0.9690
2025-05-15 18:00: 0.9695
2025-05-16 00:00: 0.9690
2025-05-16 06:00: 0.9715
2025-05-16 12:00: 0.9685
2025-05-16 18:00: 0.9705
2025-05-17 00:00: 0.9710
2025-05-17 06:00: 0.9690
2025-05-17 12:00: 0.9715
2025-05-17 18:00: 0.9710
2025-05-18 00:00: 0.9695
2025-05-18 06:00: 0.9680
2025-05-18 12:00: 0.9700
2025-05-18 18:00: 0.9690
2025-05-19 00:00: 0.9690
2025-05-19 06:00: 0.9690
2025-05-19 12:00: 0.9700
2025-05-19 18:00: 0.9700
2025-05-20 00:00: 0.9705
2025-05-20 06:00: 0.9740
2025-05-20 12:00: 0.9680
2025-05-20 18:00: 0.9690
2025-05-21 00:00: 0.9660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-05-21 16:00: 0.0305
2025-05-21 22:00: 0.0330
2025-05-22 04:00: 0.0330
2025-05-22 10:00: 0.0320
2025-05-22 16:00: 0.0280
2025-05-22 22:00: 0.0290
2025-05-23 04:00: 0.0275
2025-05-23 10:00: 0.0270
2025-05-23 16:00: 0.0295
2025-05-23 22:00: 0.0310
2025-05-24 04:00: 0.0280
2025-05-24 10:00: 0.0280
2025-05-24 16:00: 0.0320
2025-05-24 22:00: 0.0290
2025-05-25 04:00: 0.0285
2025-05-25 10:00: 0.0310
2025-05-25 16:00: 0.0325
2025-05-25 22:00: 0.0330
2025-05-26 04:00: 0.0270
2025-05-26 10:00: 0.0310
2025-05-26 16:00: 0.0325
2025-05-26 22:00: 0.0320
2025-05-27 04:00: 0.0280
2025-05-27 10:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.0330
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0330
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0205
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0255
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0315
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0225
Trade Summary: Total trades: 127, Buy volume: 23053.72, Sell volume: 4649.87, Average price: 0.5305, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9730
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9730
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9745
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9715
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9735
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9730
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9735
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9750
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9725
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9680
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9680
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9730
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9700
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9755
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9755
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9720
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9750
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9790
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9780
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9750
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9755
2025-06-04 01:00: 0.9745
2025-06-04 07:00: 0.9740
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.9750
2025-06-04 19:00: 0.9780
2025-06-05 01:00: 0.9750
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.9785
2025-06-05 13:00: 0.9740
2025-06-05 19:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 986.03, Sell volume: 393.20, Average price: 0.0331, Price range: 0.0030 - 0.0470
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 525578
Question: Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 U.S. Open?
Volume: 27703.586355
Price History:
2025-06-06 11:00: 0.0275
2025-06-06 17:00: 0.0275
2025-06-06 23:00: 0.0285
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.0225
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0225
2025-06-07 17:00: 0.0225
2025-06-07 23:00: 0.0290
2025-06-08 05:00: 0.0280
2025-06-08 11:00: 0.0285
2025-06-08 17:00: 0.0265
2025-06-08 23:00: 0.0265
2025-06-09 05:00: 0.0260
2025-06-09 11:00: 0.0170
2025-06-09 17:00: 0.0180
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.0165
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.0215
2025-06-10 11:00: 0.0245
2025-06-10 17:00: 0.0230
2025-06-10 23:00: 0.0215
2025-06-11 05:00: 0.0215
2025-06-11 11:00: 0.0210
2025-06-11 17:00: 0.0205
2025-06-11 23:00: 0.0210
2025-06-12 05:00: 0.0200
2025-06-12 11:00: 0.0155
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.0020
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.0050
2025-06-13 06:00: 0.0030
2025-06-13 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-13 18:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 98, Buy volume: 21556.68, Sell volume: 4254.47, Average price: 0.5422, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.4800
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.5200
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.4750
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.5250
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.5100
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.4500
2025-10-17 23:00: 0.5500
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.2800
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.7200
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.4200
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.5800
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 02:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.5450
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.4550
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.4550
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.5450
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.4600
2025-10-18 05:00: 0.5400
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.4600
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.5400
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.4600
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.5400
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.4650
2025-10-18 08:00: 0.5350
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.4650
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.5350
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.4650
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.5350
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.4600
2025-10-18 11:00: 0.5400
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.4600
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.5400
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.4500
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.5500
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.5500
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.4500
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.4500
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.5500
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 17:00: 0.5550
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.4450
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.4450
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.4500
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.5500
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.4500
2025-10-19 20:00: 0.5500
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.4500
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.5500
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.4500
2025-10-19 22:00: 0.5500
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.5500
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.4500
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.4500
2025-10-20 00:00: 0.5500
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.4500
2025-10-20 01:00: 0.5500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.4500
2025-10-20 02:00: 0.5500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.5500
2025-10-20 03:00: 0.4500
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.4500
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.5500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.4500
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.5500
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.4450
2025-10-20 06:00: 0.5550
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.5500
2025-10-20 07:00: 0.4500
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.5450
2025-10-20 08:00: 0.4550
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.5650
2025-10-20 09:00: 0.4350
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.7800
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.2200
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.7500
2025-10-20 11:00: 0.2500
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.2850
2025-10-20 12:00: 0.7150
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.7000
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.3000
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.3050
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.6950
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.2900
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.7100
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.7300
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.2700
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.7350
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.2650
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.2600
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.7400
2025-10-20 19:00: 0.2650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.3900
2025-10-21 19:00: 0.6100
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.3850
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.6150
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.3600
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.6400
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.3850
2025-10-21 22:00: 0.6150
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.3800
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.3850
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.6150
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.3850
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.6150
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.3750
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.3750
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.3750
2025-10-22 04:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 07:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.3750
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.4000
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.6000
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.3950
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.6050
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.3750
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.3800
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.6200
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.3950
2025-10-22 13:00: 0.6050
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.3850
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.6150
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.3750
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.3750
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.6250
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.3700
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.6300
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.3700
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.6300
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.3700
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.6300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.5800
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 20:00: 0.5650
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.4350
2025-10-23 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.4500
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.5500
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.4550
2025-10-24 02:00: 0.5450
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.4550
2025-10-24 03:00: 0.5450
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.4500
2025-10-24 04:00: 0.5500
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-24 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.4500
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.5500
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.4450
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.4450
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.5550
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.4450
2025-10-24 09:00: 0.5550
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.4450
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.5550
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.4400
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.5600
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.4400
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.5600
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.4500
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.5500
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.4550
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.5450
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.4550
2025-10-24 15:00: 0.5450
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.4550
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.5450
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.4500
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.5500
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 18:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.4350
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.5650
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.4650
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.5350
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.4650
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.5350
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.4650
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.5350
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.5250
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.4750
2025-10-26 00:00: 0.5250
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.4700
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.5300
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.4700
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.5300
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.4750
2025-10-26 03:00: 0.5250
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.4750
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.5250
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.4700
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.5300
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.4800
2025-10-26 06:00: 0.5200
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.4600
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.5400
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.4550
2025-10-26 09:00: 0.5450
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.4600
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.5400
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.4600
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.5400
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.4650
2025-10-26 12:00: 0.5350
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.4750
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.5250
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.4750
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.5250
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.4800
2025-10-26 15:00: 0.5200
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.5150
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.4850
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.5150
2025-10-26 18:00: 0.4850
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.5150
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.4850
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-10-27 20:00: 0.5550
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.4350
2025-10-27 21:00: 0.5650
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.4350
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.5650
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.4350
2025-10-27 23:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 05:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 08:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.4300
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.5700
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.4150
2025-10-28 11:00: 0.5850
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.4150
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.5850
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.4150
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.5850
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 14:00: 0.5800
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.5800
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.5800
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 17:00: 0.5800
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.5800
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.4200
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.5800
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.4350
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.5650
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.3450
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.6550
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.3450
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.6550
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.3850
2025-10-30 03:00: 0.6150
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.3850
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.6150
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.3850
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.6150
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.3850
2025-10-30 06:00: 0.6150
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.3700
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.6300
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.3800
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.6200
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.3800
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.6200
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.3600
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.6400
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.3550
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.6450
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.3500
2025-10-30 12:00: 0.6500
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.3400
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.6600
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.3600
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.6400
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.3600
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.6400
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.3600
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.6400
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.3650
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.6350
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.3450
2025-10-30 18:00: 0.6550
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.3600
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.6400
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.3600
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.6400
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.3700
2025-10-30 21:00: 0.6300
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.3700
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.6300
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.3600
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.6400
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.3600
2025-10-31 00:00: 0.6400
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.3600
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.6400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 638734
Question: Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 4194774.675777
Price History:
2025-11-01 01:00: 0.5700
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.4400
2025-11-01 02:00: 0.5600
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.4450
2025-11-01 03:00: 0.5550
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.4450
2025-11-01 04:00: 0.5550
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.4450
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.5550
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.4450
2025-11-01 06:00: 0.5550
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.4450
2025-11-01 07:00: 0.5550
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.4600
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.5400
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.4600
2025-11-01 09:00: 0.5400
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.4650
2025-11-01 10:00: 0.5350
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.4600
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.5400
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 12:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 13:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.4600
2025-11-01 14:00: 0.5400
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.4600
2025-11-01 15:00: 0.5400
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.4650
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.5350
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.4650
2025-11-01 17:00: 0.5350
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.4750
2025-11-01 18:00: 0.5250
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.4550
2025-11-01 19:00: 0.5450
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.4650
2025-11-01 20:00: 0.5350
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.4650
2025-11-01 21:00: 0.5350
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.4650
2025-11-01 22:00: 0.5350
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.4650
2025-11-01 23:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.4650
2025-11-02 00:00: 0.5350
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4600
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.5400
2025-11-02 01:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 501389379.01, Sell volume: 96665985.70, Average price: 0.5432, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes