Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.2950
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.7050
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.2950
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.7050
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.2950
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.7050
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.2950
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.7050
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.3000
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.7000
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.3000
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.7000
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.3000
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.7000
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.2950
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.7050
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.2700
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.7300
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.2700
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.7300
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.2700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 60, Buy volume: 2670.91, Sell volume: 2603.16, Average price: 0.5489, Price range: 0.2600 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.7300
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.2750
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.7250
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.2750
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.7250
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.2800
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.7200
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.2800
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.7200
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.7150
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.2500
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.7500
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.2850
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.7150
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.2850
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.7150
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.2850
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.7150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 61, Buy volume: 4845.85, Sell volume: 1130.42, Average price: 0.5387, Price range: 0.1600 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.2950
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.7050
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.2950
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.7050
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.2950
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.7050
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.2800
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.7200
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.3050
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.6950
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.3100
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.6900
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.3100
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.6900
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.3050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 41, Buy volume: 3744.25, Sell volume: 914.26, Average price: 0.4783, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.6950
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.2900
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.7100
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.2550
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.7450
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.2600
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.7400
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.2650
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.7350
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.7250
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.2750
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.7250
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.2750
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.7250
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.2800
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.7200
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.2750
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.7250
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.2850
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.7150
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.2850
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.7150
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.2950
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.7050
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.3100
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.6900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 99, Buy volume: 4636.36, Sell volume: 4324.93, Average price: 0.4878, Price range: 0.2700 - 0.7320
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.3050
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.6950
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.3050
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.6950
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.3050
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.6950
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.3000
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.7000
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.3050
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.6950
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.2950
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.7050
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.2450
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.7550
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.2300
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.7700
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.2050
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.7950
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.2050
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.7950
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.2050
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.7950
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.2150
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.7850
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.1950
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.8050
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 129, Buy volume: 6707.83, Sell volume: 1375.63, Average price: 0.5427, Price range: 0.2000 - 0.8100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.7900
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.1700
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.8300
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.1750
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.8250
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.1750
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.8250
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.1900
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.8100
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.2000
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.8000
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.1900
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.8100
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.2550
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.7450
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.2350
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.7650
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.3200
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.6800
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.3000
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.7000
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.5000
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.7900
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.2100
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.7900
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 283, Buy volume: 32632.54, Sell volume: 8476.69, Average price: 0.5801, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9393
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547677
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win between 51% and 53% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 214013.71055
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.7800
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.2200
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.8200
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.1800
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0600
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9400
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 361, Buy volume: 64049.78, Sell volume: 49756.62, Average price: 0.4913, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.3500
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.6500
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.3500
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.6500
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.7050
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.1000
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9000
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.1000
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9000
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.1000
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.9000
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 495.55, Sell volume: 311.00, Average price: 0.5910, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 418.43, Sell volume: 501.00, Average price: 0.5448, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9300
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9300
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9300
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9200
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0800
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9200
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.1400
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.8600
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0850
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9150
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 4314.85, Sell volume: 2407.41, Average price: 0.4675, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.1150
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.8850
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9000
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9000
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 4970.77, Sell volume: 973.70, Average price: 0.6971, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9000
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.1150
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.8850
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0850
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9150
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0700
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9300
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0650
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9350
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0700
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9300
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9350
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9450
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 3137.72, Sell volume: 1405.03, Average price: 0.6604, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9450
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9350
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9250
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9200
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1821.23, Sell volume: 592.67, Average price: 0.5958, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9350
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0700
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9300
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9200
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9200
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9200
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2165.69, Sell volume: 359.01, Average price: 0.6549, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9200
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9200
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9200
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9400
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0600
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9400
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0600
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9400
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0700
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9300
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0850
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 5417.04, Sell volume: 1003.19, Average price: 0.6457, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0900
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9100
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0900
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9100
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0900
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9100
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0900
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9100
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0850
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9150
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0800
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9200
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0800
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9200
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0800
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9200
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0800
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9200
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9250
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9250
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9250
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9250
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1817.75, Sell volume: 2945.02, Average price: 0.8295, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9250
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9250
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9150
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0800
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9200
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0800
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9200
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9500
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0500
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 6127.32, Sell volume: 6248.44, Average price: 0.5852, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0365
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9635
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0365
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9635
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9600
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0360
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0350
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9650
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0165
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9835
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0265
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9735
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0210
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9790
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0175
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9825
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 193, Buy volume: 9492.88, Sell volume: 6350.39, Average price: 0.5252, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9900

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9820
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0180
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9820
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9655
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0200
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9800
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0180
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9820
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0165
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9835
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0180
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9820
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9840
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0175
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9825
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0200
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9800
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0255
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9745
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9990
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 236, Buy volume: 14728.26, Sell volume: 20748.49, Average price: 0.5913, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 130, Buy volume: 5975.04, Sell volume: 3265.43, Average price: 0.5997, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.3500
2025-05-27 16:00: 0.6500
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.3500
2025-05-27 17:00: 0.6500
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.2950
2025-05-27 18:00: 0.7050
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.1000
2025-05-27 19:00: 0.9000
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.1000
2025-05-27 20:00: 0.9000
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.1000
2025-05-27 21:00: 0.9000
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 22:00: 0.9450
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.0550
2025-05-27 23:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 00:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 01:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 02:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 03:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 04:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 495.55, Sell volume: 311.00, Average price: 0.5910, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-05-28 05:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 06:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 07:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 08:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 09:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 10:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 11:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 12:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 13:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.0500
2025-05-28 14:00: 0.9500
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 15:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 16:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 17:00: 0.9550
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.0450
2025-05-28 18:00: 0.9550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 418.43, Sell volume: 501.00, Average price: 0.5448, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.0550
2025-05-28 19:00: 0.9450
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 20:00: 0.9300
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 21:00: 0.9300
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.0700
2025-05-28 22:00: 0.9300
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.0750
2025-05-28 23:00: 0.9250
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-29 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-29 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-29 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.0800
2025-05-29 03:00: 0.9200
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.0800
2025-05-29 04:00: 0.9200
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.0800
2025-05-29 05:00: 0.9200
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.1400
2025-05-29 06:00: 0.8600
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.0850
2025-05-29 07:00: 0.9150
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 4314.85, Sell volume: 2407.41, Average price: 0.4675, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-05-29 08:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.1150
2025-05-29 09:00: 0.8850
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 10:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 11:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.0850
2025-05-29 12:00: 0.9150
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 13:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 14:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 15:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 16:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 17:00: 0.9000
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 18:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 19:00: 0.9000
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.1050
2025-05-29 20:00: 0.8950
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 21:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 81, Buy volume: 4970.77, Sell volume: 973.70, Average price: 0.6971, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.0950
2025-05-29 22:00: 0.9050
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.1000
2025-05-29 23:00: 0.9000
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 00:00: 0.9250
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 02:00: 0.9250
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.1150
2025-05-30 03:00: 0.8850
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.0850
2025-05-30 04:00: 0.9150
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 05:00: 0.9250
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.0700
2025-05-30 06:00: 0.9300
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.0650
2025-05-30 07:00: 0.9350
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.0700
2025-05-30 08:00: 0.9300
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.0650
2025-05-30 09:00: 0.9350
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.0550
2025-05-30 10:00: 0.9450
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.0550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 3137.72, Sell volume: 1405.03, Average price: 0.6604, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-05-30 11:00: 0.9450
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.0650
2025-05-30 12:00: 0.9350
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 13:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 14:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 15:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 16:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 17:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 18:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 19:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 20:00: 0.9200
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.0750
2025-05-30 22:00: 0.9250
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.0800
2025-05-30 23:00: 0.9200
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 00:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 31, Buy volume: 1821.23, Sell volume: 592.67, Average price: 0.5958, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 01:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.0650
2025-05-31 02:00: 0.9350
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.0650
2025-05-31 03:00: 0.9350
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.0700
2025-05-31 04:00: 0.9300
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 05:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 06:00: 0.9200
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 07:00: 0.9200
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 08:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 09:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 10:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 11:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 12:00: 0.9200
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 13:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.0850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2165.69, Sell volume: 359.01, Average price: 0.6549, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9400
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-05-31 14:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 15:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.0850
2025-05-31 16:00: 0.9150
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 17:00: 0.9200
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 18:00: 0.9200
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.0800
2025-05-31 19:00: 0.9200
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 20:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.0750
2025-05-31 21:00: 0.9250
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.0600
2025-05-31 22:00: 0.9400
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.0600
2025-05-31 23:00: 0.9400
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.0600
2025-06-01 00:00: 0.9400
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.0600
2025-06-01 01:00: 0.9400
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.0700
2025-06-01 02:00: 0.9300
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.0850
2025-06-01 03:00: 0.9150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57, Buy volume: 5417.04, Sell volume: 1003.19, Average price: 0.6457, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.0900
2025-06-01 04:00: 0.9100
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.0900
2025-06-01 05:00: 0.9100
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.0900
2025-06-01 06:00: 0.9100
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.0900
2025-06-01 07:00: 0.9100
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.0850
2025-06-01 08:00: 0.9150
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.0800
2025-06-01 09:00: 0.9200
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.0800
2025-06-01 10:00: 0.9200
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.0800
2025-06-01 11:00: 0.9200
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.0800
2025-06-01 12:00: 0.9200
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 13:00: 0.9250
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 14:00: 0.9250
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 15:00: 0.9250
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 16:00: 0.9250
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.0750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 1817.75, Sell volume: 2945.02, Average price: 0.8295, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-06-01 17:00: 0.9250
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.0750
2025-06-01 18:00: 0.9250
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.0850
2025-06-01 19:00: 0.9150
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.0800
2025-06-01 20:00: 0.9200
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.0800
2025-06-01 21:00: 0.9200
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.0550
2025-06-01 22:00: 0.9450
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.0500
2025-06-01 23:00: 0.9500
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 00:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 01:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 02:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 03:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 04:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.0600
2025-06-02 05:00: 0.9400
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.0500
2025-06-02 06:00: 0.9500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 93, Buy volume: 6127.32, Sell volume: 6248.44, Average price: 0.5852, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.0550
2025-06-02 07:00: 0.9450
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.0365
2025-06-02 08:00: 0.9635
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.0365
2025-06-02 09:00: 0.9635
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.0400
2025-06-02 10:00: 0.9600
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.0360
2025-06-02 11:00: 0.9640
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.0350
2025-06-02 12:00: 0.9650
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.0165
2025-06-02 13:00: 0.9835
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 14:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 15:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.0265
2025-06-02 16:00: 0.9735
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.0270
2025-06-02 17:00: 0.9730
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.0210
2025-06-02 18:00: 0.9790
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.0175
2025-06-02 19:00: 0.9825
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.0180
Trade Summary: Total trades: 193, Buy volume: 9492.88, Sell volume: 6350.39, Average price: 0.5252, Price range: 0.0140 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-06-02 20:00: 0.9820
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.0180
2025-06-02 21:00: 0.9820
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.0345
2025-06-02 22:00: 0.9655
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.0200
2025-06-02 23:00: 0.9800
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.0180
2025-06-03 00:00: 0.9820
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.0165
2025-06-03 01:00: 0.9835
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.0180
2025-06-03 02:00: 0.9820
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.0160
2025-06-03 03:00: 0.9840
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.0175
2025-06-03 04:00: 0.9825
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.0200
2025-06-03 05:00: 0.9800
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.0255
2025-06-03 06:00: 0.9745
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.0225
2025-06-03 07:00: 0.9775
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.0010
2025-06-03 08:00: 0.9990
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.0015
2025-06-03 09:00: 0.9985
Trade Summary: Total trades: 236, Buy volume: 14728.26, Sell volume: 20748.49, Average price: 0.5913, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 547679
Question: Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Volume: 113347.842859
Price History:
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 10:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.0025
2025-06-03 11:00: 0.9975
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 12:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 13:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 14:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 15:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 16:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 17:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 18:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 20:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 21:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.0005
2025-06-03 22:00: 0.9995
2025-06-03 23:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 130, Buy volume: 5975.04, Sell volume: 3265.43, Average price: 0.5997, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0800
2025-06-04 00:00: 0.9350
2025-06-04 06:00: 0.0950
2025-06-04 11:00: 0.9150
2025-06-04 17:00: 0.0650
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.9100
2025-06-05 04:00: 0.0850
2025-06-05 09:00: 0.9350
2025-06-05 15:00: 0.0750
2025-06-05 20:00: 0.9300
2025-06-06 02:00: 0.0700
2025-06-06 07:00: 0.9250
2025-06-06 13:00: 0.0550
2025-06-06 18:00: 0.9450
2025-06-07 00:00: 0.0550
2025-06-07 05:00: 0.9450
2025-06-07 11:00: 0.0650
2025-06-07 16:00: 0.9150
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0800
2025-06-08 03:00: 0.9250
2025-06-08 09:00: 0.0800
2025-06-08 14:00: 0.9200
2025-06-08 20:00: 0.0750
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.9250
2025-06-09 07:00: 0.0800
2025-06-09 12:00: 0.9250
2025-06-09 18:00: 0.1100
2025-06-09 23:00: 0.8900
2025-06-10 05:00: 0.1050
2025-06-10 10:00: 0.8950
2025-06-10 16:00: 0.0950
2025-06-10 21:00: 0.9100
2025-06-11 03:00: 0.0900
2025-06-11 08:00: 0.9050
2025-06-11 14:00: 0.0950
2025-06-11 19:00: 0.9050
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0950
2025-06-12 06:00: 0.9000
2025-06-12 12:00: 0.1050
2025-06-12 17:00: 0.9000
2025-06-12 23:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.9000
2025-06-13 11:00: 0.0950
2025-06-13 16:00: 0.9050
2025-06-13 22:00: 0.0950
2025-06-14 03:00: 0.9050
2025-06-14 09:00: 0.0950
2025-06-14 14:00: 0.9050
2025-06-14 20:00: 0.0950
2025-06-15 01:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0950
2025-06-15 16:00: 0.9050
2025-06-15 22:00: 0.1050
2025-06-16 03:00: 0.8950
2025-06-16 09:00: 0.1050
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.8950
2025-06-16 20:00: 0.1100
2025-06-17 01:00: 0.8950
2025-06-17 07:00: 0.1100
2025-06-17 12:00: 0.8850
2025-06-17 18:00: 0.1150
2025-06-17 23:00: 0.8850
2025-06-18 05:00: 0.1150
2025-06-18 10:00: 0.8850
2025-06-18 16:00: 0.1200
2025-06-18 21:00: 0.8800
2025-06-19 03:00: 0.1400
2025-06-19 08:00: 0.8650
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.1350
2025-06-19 19:00: 0.8650
2025-06-20 01:00: 0.1350
2025-06-20 06:00: 0.8600
2025-06-20 12:00: 0.1450
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.8550
2025-06-20 23:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 04:00: 0.8550
2025-06-21 10:00: 0.1550
2025-06-21 15:00: 0.8500
2025-06-21 21:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 02:00: 0.8550
2025-06-22 08:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 13:00: 0.8550
2025-06-22 19:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 00:00: 0.8550
2025-06-23 06:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 11:00: 0.8550
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 22:00: 0.8550
2025-06-24 04:00: 0.1450
2025-06-24 09:00: 0.8550
2025-06-24 15:00: 0.1700
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.8350
2025-06-25 02:00: 0.1600
2025-06-25 07:00: 0.8400
2025-06-25 13:00: 0.1550
2025-06-25 18:00: 0.8450
2025-06-26 00:00: 0.1550
2025-06-26 05:00: 0.8500
2025-06-26 11:00: 0.1550
2025-06-26 16:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.1550
2025-06-27 07:00: 0.8550
2025-06-27 13:00: 0.1450
2025-06-27 18:00: 0.8550
2025-06-28 00:00: 0.1450
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.8550
2025-06-28 11:00: 0.1450
2025-06-28 16:00: 0.8550
2025-06-28 22:00: 0.1450
2025-06-29 03:00: 0.8550
2025-06-29 09:00: 0.1450
2025-06-29 14:00: 0.8550
2025-06-29 20:00: 0.1450
2025-06-30 01:00: 0.8550
2025-06-30 07:00: 0.1450
2025-06-30 12:00: 0.8550
2025-06-30 18:00: 0.1600
2025-06-30 23:00: 0.8350
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.1550
2025-07-01 10:00: 0.8450
2025-07-01 16:00: 0.1550
2025-07-01 21:00: 0.8450
2025-07-02 03:00: 0.1600
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.8450
2025-07-02 14:00: 0.1600
2025-07-02 19:00: 0.8450
2025-07-03 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-03 06:00: 0.8450
2025-07-03 12:00: 0.1550
2025-07-03 17:00: 0.8500
2025-07-03 23:00: 0.1500
2025-07-04 04:00: 0.8500
2025-07-04 10:00: 0.1550
2025-07-04 15:00: 0.8450
2025-07-04 21:00: 0.1550
2025-07-05 02:00: 0.8450
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.1550
2025-07-05 13:00: 0.8450
2025-07-05 19:00: 0.1550
2025-07-06 00:00: 0.8450
2025-07-06 06:00: 0.1550
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.8400
2025-07-06 17:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 22:00: 0.8400
2025-07-07 04:00: 0.1600
2025-07-07 09:00: 0.8400
2025-07-07 15:00: 0.1600
2025-07-07 20:00: 0.8450
2025-07-08 02:00: 0.1550
2025-07-08 07:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-08 22:00: 0.8450
2025-07-09 04:00: 0.1550
2025-07-09 09:00: 0.8450
2025-07-09 15:00: 0.1550
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.8500
2025-07-10 02:00: 0.1500
2025-07-10 07:00: 0.8500
2025-07-10 13:00: 0.1450
2025-07-10 18:00: 0.8500
2025-07-11 00:00: 0.1500
2025-07-11 05:00: 0.8550
2025-07-11 11:00: 0.1450
2025-07-11 16:00: 0.8500
2025-07-11 22:00: 0.1450
2025-07-12 03:00: 0.8500
2025-07-12 09:00: 0.1350
2025-07-12 14:00: 0.8650
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.1450
2025-07-13 01:00: 0.8550
2025-07-13 07:00: 0.1450
2025-07-13 12:00: 0.8550
2025-07-13 18:00: 0.1450
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.8550
2025-07-14 05:00: 0.1450
2025-07-14 10:00: 0.8550
2025-07-14 16:00: 0.1450
2025-07-14 21:00: 0.8550
2025-07-15 03:00: 0.1450
2025-07-15 08:00: 0.8550
2025-07-15 14:00: 0.1500
2025-07-15 19:00: 0.8500
2025-07-16 01:00: 0.1550
2025-07-16 06:00: 0.8450
2025-07-16 12:00: 0.1550
2025-07-16 17:00: 0.8450
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-17 04:00: 0.8450
2025-07-17 10:00: 0.1550
2025-07-17 15:00: 0.8450
2025-07-17 21:00: 0.1550
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.8450
2025-07-18 08:00: 0.1550
2025-07-18 13:00: 0.8450
2025-07-18 19:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 00:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 06:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 11:00: 0.8450
2025-07-19 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 22:00: 0.8450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.1550
2025-07-20 13:00: 0.8450
2025-07-20 19:00: 0.1550
2025-07-21 00:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 06:00: 0.1550
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.8450
2025-07-21 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-21 22:00: 0.8450
2025-07-22 04:00: 0.1450
2025-07-22 09:00: 0.8550
2025-07-22 15:00: 0.1450
2025-07-22 20:00: 0.8550
2025-07-23 01:00: 0.1450
2025-07-23 06:00: 0.8550
2025-07-23 12:00: 0.1450
2025-07-23 17:00: 0.8550
2025-07-23 23:00: 0.1450
2025-07-24 04:00: 0.8550
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.1450
2025-07-24 15:00: 0.8550
2025-07-24 21:00: 0.1450
2025-07-25 02:00: 0.8550
2025-07-25 08:00: 0.1450
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.8550
2025-07-25 19:00: 0.1450
2025-07-26 00:00: 0.8550
2025-07-26 06:00: 0.1450
2025-07-26 11:00: 0.8550
2025-07-26 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-26 22:00: 0.8500
2025-07-27 04:00: 0.1500
2025-07-27 09:00: 0.8450
2025-07-27 15:00: 0.1550
2025-07-27 20:00: 0.8450
2025-07-28 02:00: 0.1550
2025-07-28 07:00: 0.8450
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.1550
2025-07-28 18:00: 0.8450
2025-07-29 00:00: 0.1500
2025-07-29 05:00: 0.8450
2025-07-29 11:00: 0.1650
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.8050
2025-07-29 22:00: 0.1850
2025-07-30 03:00: 0.8050
2025-07-30 09:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 14:00: 0.7750
2025-07-30 20:00: 0.2350
2025-07-31 01:00: 0.7650
2025-07-31 07:00: 0.2400
2025-07-31 12:00: 0.7650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.2600
2025-08-01 03:00: 0.7400
2025-08-01 09:00: 0.2650
2025-08-01 14:00: 0.7250
2025-08-01 20:00: 0.2350
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-02 12:00: 0.7550
2025-08-02 18:00: 0.2400
2025-08-02 23:00: 0.7600
2025-08-03 05:00: 0.2400
2025-08-03 10:00: 0.7600
2025-08-03 16:00: 0.2400
2025-08-03 21:00: 0.7550
2025-08-04 03:00: 0.2450
2025-08-04 08:00: 0.7600
2025-08-04 14:00: 0.2400
2025-08-04 19:00: 0.7600
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-05 06:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 12:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 17:00: 0.7550
2025-08-05 23:00: 0.2450
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.7550
2025-08-06 10:00: 0.2650
2025-08-06 15:00: 0.7250
2025-08-06 21:00: 0.2750
2025-08-07 02:00: 0.7250
2025-08-07 08:00: 0.7150
2025-08-07 13:00: 0.2800
2025-08-07 19:00: 0.2800
2025-08-08 00:00: 0.2800
2025-08-08 06:00: 0.7200
2025-08-08 11:00: 0.7200
2025-08-08 17:00: 0.2800
2025-08-08 22:00: 0.2850
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.2800
2025-08-09 09:00: 0.7150
2025-08-09 15:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 20:00: 0.6850
2025-08-10 02:00: 0.3050
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.6900
2025-08-10 13:00: 0.3200
2025-08-10 18:00: 0.3150
2025-08-11 00:00: 0.3150
2025-08-11 05:00: 0.6850
2025-08-11 11:00: 0.3150
2025-08-11 16:00: 0.3200
2025-08-11 22:00: 0.6800
2025-08-12 03:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.3050
2025-08-12 18:00: 0.6950
2025-08-13 00:00: 0.3050
2025-08-13 05:00: 0.3050
2025-08-13 11:00: 0.7000
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.3000
2025-08-13 22:00: 0.7050
2025-08-14 03:00: 0.2950
2025-08-14 09:00: 0.2950
2025-08-14 14:00: 0.7050
2025-08-14 20:00: 0.7050
2025-08-15 01:00: 0.2750
2025-08-15 07:00: 0.2850
2025-08-15 12:00: 0.7350
2025-08-15 18:00: 0.2650
2025-08-15 23:00: 0.7350
2025-08-16 05:00: 0.2650
2025-08-16 10:00: 0.2650
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.2650
2025-08-16 21:00: 0.2650
2025-08-17 03:00: 0.2650
2025-08-17 08:00: 0.7350
2025-08-17 14:00: 0.2650
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.7350
2025-08-18 01:00: 0.2650
2025-08-18 06:00: 0.7350
2025-08-18 12:00: 0.7350
2025-08-18 17:00: 0.2650
2025-08-18 23:00: 0.7350
2025-08-19 04:00: 0.2650
2025-08-19 10:00: 0.7350
2025-08-19 15:00: 0.2650
2025-08-19 21:00: 0.2650
2025-08-20 02:00: 0.7350
2025-08-20 08:00: 0.7350
2025-08-20 13:00: 0.2650
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.2650
2025-08-21 00:00: 0.7350
2025-08-21 06:00: 0.7350
2025-08-21 11:00: 0.2650
2025-08-21 17:00: 0.2650
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.2650
2025-08-22 04:00: 0.2550
2025-08-22 09:00: 0.2600
2025-08-22 15:00: 0.2500
2025-08-22 20:00: 0.7450
2025-08-23 02:00: 0.2550
2025-08-23 07:00: 0.2450
2025-08-23 13:00: 0.2450
2025-08-23 18:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-24 09:00: 0.7450
2025-08-24 15:00: 0.2550
2025-08-24 20:00: 0.7400
2025-08-25 02:00: 0.2600
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.2650
2025-08-25 13:00: 0.7550
2025-08-25 18:00: 0.2250
2025-08-25 23:00: 0.2300
2025-08-26 04:00: 0.7700
2025-08-26 10:00: 0.7850
2025-08-26 15:00: 0.2050
2025-08-26 21:00: 0.2050
2025-08-27 02:00: 0.7950
2025-08-27 08:00: 0.2050
2025-08-27 13:00: 0.8050
2025-08-27 19:00: 0.2000
2025-08-28 00:00: 0.8000
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.2000
2025-08-28 11:00: 0.2000
2025-08-28 17:00: 0.8000
2025-08-28 22:00: 0.2000
2025-08-29 04:00: 0.8000
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.2000
2025-08-29 15:00: 0.2000
2025-08-29 20:00: 0.1950
2025-08-30 02:00: 0.8000
2025-08-30 07:00: 0.8000
2025-08-30 13:00: 0.1950
2025-08-30 18:00: 0.8050
2025-08-31 00:00: 0.2050
2025-08-31 05:00: 0.2050
2025-08-31 11:00: 0.7950
2025-08-31 16:00: 0.7950
2025-08-31 22:00: 0.7950
2025-09-01 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.7950
2025-09-01 14:00: 0.2050
2025-09-01 20:00: 0.7950
2025-09-02 01:00: 0.2050
2025-09-02 07:00: 0.2050
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-02 18:00: 0.2050
2025-09-02 23:00: 0.7950
2025-09-03 05:00: 0.7950
2025-09-03 10:00: 0.2050
2025-09-03 16:00: 0.2050
2025-09-03 21:00: 0.2300
2025-09-04 03:00: 0.2250
2025-09-04 08:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.2350
2025-09-04 23:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 05:00: 0.2350
2025-09-05 10:00: 0.7650
2025-09-05 16:00: 0.2350
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 03:00: 0.2350
2025-09-06 08:00: 0.7650
2025-09-06 14:00: 0.2700
2025-09-06 19:00: 0.7250
2025-09-07 01:00: 0.2750
2025-09-07 06:00: 0.7200
2025-09-07 12:00: 0.7500
2025-09-07 17:00: 0.2500
2025-09-07 23:00: 0.7500
2025-09-08 04:00: 0.2500
2025-09-08 10:00: 0.2600
2025-09-08 15:00: 0.2650
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.2600
2025-09-09 02:00: 0.7400
2025-09-09 08:00: 0.2650
2025-09-09 13:00: 0.7350
2025-09-09 19:00: 0.7400
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.2600
2025-09-10 06:00: 0.2400
2025-09-10 11:00: 0.2450
2025-09-10 17:00: 0.2500
2025-09-10 22:00: 0.2500
2025-09-11 04:00: 0.7450
2025-09-11 09:00: 0.7450
2025-09-11 15:00: 0.7450
2025-09-11 20:00: 0.2550
2025-09-12 02:00: 0.7450
2025-09-12 07:00: 0.7450
2025-09-12 13:00: 0.2550
2025-09-12 18:00: 0.7450
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.7450
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.7450
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.7450
2025-09-13 16:00: 0.7450
2025-09-13 22:00: 0.2550
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.7450
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.7450
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.7450
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.7450
2025-09-15 01:00: 0.2550
2025-09-15 07:00: 0.2550
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.7450
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.2550
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.7450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.2950
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.7250
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.7250
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.7250
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 19:00: 0.2650
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.7450
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.7450
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.7450
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.2550
2025-09-18 22:00: 0.7450
2025-09-19 04:00: 0.2550
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.7450
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.2550
2025-09-19 20:00: 0.7600
2025-09-20 02:00: 0.2050
2025-09-20 07:00: 0.7850
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 18:00: 0.2000
2025-09-21 00:00: 0.2000
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.2000
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.1950
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.1950
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.1950
2025-09-22 03:00: 0.1950
2025-09-22 09:00: 0.1900
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.8050
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.1900
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.8100
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.1900
2025-09-23 12:00: 0.8100
2025-09-23 18:00: 0.1700
2025-09-23 23:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 05:00: 0.1650
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.8300
2025-09-25 08:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 14:00: 0.1750
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.8250
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.8300
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.8350
2025-09-26 17:00: 0.8350
2025-09-26 23:00: 0.1650
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.8350
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.1750
2025-09-27 15:00: 0.1650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.1650
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.1550
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.1650
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.1650
2025-09-29 10:00: 0.8200
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.8150
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.7850
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.1950
2025-09-30 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-30 19:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 06:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.8450
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.1550
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.8450
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.1550
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.8400
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.8450
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.1600
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.8400
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.1550
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.8450
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.1450
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.8550
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.1550
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.8350
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.8250
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.1650
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.8550
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.1400
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.8650
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.8700
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.1250
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.1300
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.8700
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.8650
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.8750
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.1350
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.8700
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.8750
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.8650
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1250
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.1350
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.1600
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.8800
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.8600
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.8600
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.1250
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9200
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0850
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0850
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-16 18:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.1350
2025-10-17 05:00: 0.8550
2025-10-17 11:00: 0.1400
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.1550
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.8450
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.1650
2025-10-18 14:00: 0.8450
2025-10-18 20:00: 0.1550
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.8450
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.8450
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.1550
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.8450
2025-10-19 23:00: 0.1550
2025-10-20 05:00: 0.1550
2025-10-20 10:00: 0.1450
2025-10-20 16:00: 0.8550
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.1450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.0850
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-22 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9250
2025-10-23 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-24 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-24 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.9450
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.0550
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-25 15:00: 0.0490
2025-10-25 21:00: 0.9525
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0560
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.9470
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9525
2025-10-27 00:00: 0.0425
2025-10-27 06:00: 0.9520
2025-10-27 11:00: 0.0330
2025-10-27 17:00: 0.9720
2025-10-27 22:00: 0.0325
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.9685
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.0285
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9750
2025-10-28 20:00: 0.0305
2025-10-29 02:00: 0.9690
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0165
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 09:00: 0.0005
2025-10-30 15:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.0005
2025-10-31 13:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 18:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 00:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 05:00: 0.0005
2025-11-01 11:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 16:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-06-03 19:00: 0.0800
2025-06-04 04:00: 0.0850
2025-06-04 13:00: 0.0900
2025-06-04 22:00: 0.0900
2025-06-05 07:00: 0.0750
2025-06-05 16:00: 0.0700
2025-06-06 01:00: 0.0700
2025-06-06 10:00: 0.0650
2025-06-06 19:00: 0.0550
2025-06-07 04:00: 0.0550
2025-06-07 13:00: 0.0650
2025-06-07 22:00: 0.0800
2025-06-08 07:00: 0.0800
2025-06-08 16:00: 0.0750
2025-06-09 01:00: 0.0750
2025-06-09 10:00: 0.0800
2025-06-09 19:00: 0.1100
2025-06-10 04:00: 0.1050
2025-06-10 13:00: 0.1000
2025-06-10 22:00: 0.0900
2025-06-11 07:00: 0.0900
2025-06-11 16:00: 0.1000
2025-06-12 01:00: 0.0950
2025-06-12 10:00: 0.1050
2025-06-12 19:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 05:00: 0.1000
2025-06-13 14:00: 0.0950
2025-06-13 23:00: 0.0950
2025-06-14 08:00: 0.0950
2025-06-14 17:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-06-15 11:00: 0.0950
2025-06-15 20:00: 0.0950
2025-06-16 05:00: 0.1050
2025-06-16 14:00: 0.1050
2025-06-16 23:00: 0.1050
2025-06-17 08:00: 0.1050
2025-06-17 17:00: 0.1150
2025-06-18 02:00: 0.1150
2025-06-18 11:00: 0.1150
2025-06-18 20:00: 0.1200
2025-06-19 05:00: 0.1350
2025-06-19 14:00: 0.1350
2025-06-19 23:00: 0.1350
2025-06-20 08:00: 0.1450
2025-06-20 17:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 02:00: 0.1450
2025-06-21 11:00: 0.1550
2025-06-21 20:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 05:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 14:00: 0.1450
2025-06-22 23:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 08:00: 0.1450
2025-06-23 17:00: 0.1450
2025-06-24 02:00: 0.1450
2025-06-24 11:00: 0.1450
2025-06-24 20:00: 0.1650
2025-06-25 05:00: 0.1600
2025-06-25 14:00: 0.1550
2025-06-25 23:00: 0.1550
2025-06-26 08:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-06-27 02:00: 0.1550
2025-06-27 11:00: 0.1450
2025-06-27 20:00: 0.1450
2025-06-28 05:00: 0.1450
2025-06-28 14:00: 0.1450
2025-06-28 23:00: 0.1450
2025-06-29 08:00: 0.1450
2025-06-29 17:00: 0.1450
2025-06-30 02:00: 0.1450
2025-06-30 11:00: 0.1450
2025-06-30 20:00: 0.1600
2025-07-01 05:00: 0.1550
2025-07-01 14:00: 0.1550
2025-07-01 23:00: 0.1600
2025-07-02 08:00: 0.1550
2025-07-02 17:00: 0.1600
2025-07-03 02:00: 0.1550
2025-07-03 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-03 20:00: 0.1500
2025-07-04 05:00: 0.1500
2025-07-04 14:00: 0.1550
2025-07-04 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-05 08:00: 0.1550
2025-07-05 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-06 02:00: 0.1550
2025-07-06 11:00: 0.1600
2025-07-06 20:00: 0.1600
2025-07-07 05:00: 0.1600
2025-07-07 14:00: 0.1600
2025-07-07 23:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-07-08 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-09 02:00: 0.1550
2025-07-09 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-09 20:00: 0.1500
2025-07-10 05:00: 0.1450
2025-07-10 14:00: 0.1450
2025-07-10 23:00: 0.1500
2025-07-11 08:00: 0.1450
2025-07-11 17:00: 0.1500
2025-07-12 02:00: 0.1500
2025-07-12 11:00: 0.1350
2025-07-12 20:00: 0.1450
2025-07-13 05:00: 0.1450
2025-07-13 14:00: 0.1450
2025-07-13 23:00: 0.1450
2025-07-14 08:00: 0.1450
2025-07-14 17:00: 0.1450
2025-07-15 02:00: 0.1450
2025-07-15 11:00: 0.1500
2025-07-15 20:00: 0.1500
2025-07-16 05:00: 0.1550
2025-07-16 14:00: 0.1550
2025-07-16 23:00: 0.1550
2025-07-17 08:00: 0.1550
2025-07-17 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-18 02:00: 0.1550
2025-07-18 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-18 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 05:00: 0.1550
2025-07-19 14:00: 0.1550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-07-20 08:00: 0.1550
2025-07-20 17:00: 0.1550
2025-07-21 02:00: 0.1550
2025-07-21 11:00: 0.1550
2025-07-21 20:00: 0.1550
2025-07-22 05:00: 0.1450
2025-07-22 14:00: 0.1450
2025-07-22 23:00: 0.1450
2025-07-23 07:00: 0.1450
2025-07-23 16:00: 0.1450
2025-07-24 01:00: 0.1450
2025-07-24 10:00: 0.1450
2025-07-24 19:00: 0.1450
2025-07-25 04:00: 0.1450
2025-07-25 13:00: 0.1450
2025-07-25 22:00: 0.1450
2025-07-26 07:00: 0.1450
2025-07-26 16:00: 0.1550
2025-07-27 01:00: 0.1500
2025-07-27 10:00: 0.1550
2025-07-27 19:00: 0.1550
2025-07-28 04:00: 0.1550
2025-07-28 13:00: 0.1550
2025-07-28 22:00: 0.1550
2025-07-29 07:00: 0.1550
2025-07-29 16:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 01:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 10:00: 0.1950
2025-07-30 19:00: 0.2250
2025-07-31 04:00: 0.2350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-07-31 22:00: 0.2600
2025-08-01 07:00: 0.2600
2025-08-01 16:00: 0.2750
2025-08-02 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-02 10:00: 0.2400
2025-08-02 19:00: 0.2400
2025-08-03 04:00: 0.2400
2025-08-03 13:00: 0.2400
2025-08-03 22:00: 0.2450
2025-08-04 07:00: 0.2400
2025-08-04 16:00: 0.2400
2025-08-05 01:00: 0.2450
2025-08-05 10:00: 0.2500
2025-08-05 19:00: 0.2450
2025-08-06 04:00: 0.2450
2025-08-06 13:00: 0.2750
2025-08-06 22:00: 0.7250
2025-08-07 07:00: 0.7150
2025-08-07 16:00: 0.2800
2025-08-08 01:00: 0.7200
2025-08-08 10:00: 0.7200
2025-08-08 19:00: 0.7200
2025-08-09 04:00: 0.2800
2025-08-09 13:00: 0.7050
2025-08-09 22:00: 0.6950
2025-08-10 07:00: 0.3100
2025-08-10 16:00: 0.3200
2025-08-11 01:00: 0.3150
2025-08-11 10:00: 0.6850
2025-08-11 19:00: 0.3200
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-08-12 13:00: 0.3050
2025-08-12 22:00: 0.3050
2025-08-13 07:00: 0.7000
2025-08-13 16:00: 0.7000
2025-08-14 01:00: 0.7050
2025-08-14 10:00: 0.7050
2025-08-14 19:00: 0.7050
2025-08-15 04:00: 0.2750
2025-08-15 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-15 22:00: 0.2650
2025-08-16 07:00: 0.7350
2025-08-16 16:00: 0.2650
2025-08-17 01:00: 0.7350
2025-08-17 10:00: 0.2650
2025-08-17 19:00: 0.2650
2025-08-18 04:00: 0.2650
2025-08-18 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-18 22:00: 0.7350
2025-08-19 07:00: 0.7350
2025-08-19 16:00: 0.2650
2025-08-20 01:00: 0.2650
2025-08-20 10:00: 0.7350
2025-08-20 19:00: 0.2650
2025-08-21 04:00: 0.7350
2025-08-21 13:00: 0.7350
2025-08-21 22:00: 0.7350
2025-08-22 07:00: 0.2600
2025-08-22 16:00: 0.2500
2025-08-23 01:00: 0.7450
2025-08-23 10:00: 0.2450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-08-24 04:00: 0.7450
2025-08-24 13:00: 0.2550
2025-08-24 22:00: 0.2600
2025-08-25 07:00: 0.7350
2025-08-25 16:00: 0.7750
2025-08-26 00:00: 0.2300
2025-08-26 09:00: 0.2150
2025-08-26 18:00: 0.2000
2025-08-27 03:00: 0.2050
2025-08-27 12:00: 0.2050
2025-08-27 21:00: 0.8000
2025-08-28 06:00: 0.2000
2025-08-28 15:00: 0.2000
2025-08-29 00:00: 0.2000
2025-08-29 09:00: 0.8000
2025-08-29 18:00: 0.8050
2025-08-30 03:00: 0.8050
2025-08-30 12:00: 0.1950
2025-08-30 21:00: 0.2000
2025-08-31 06:00: 0.7950
2025-08-31 15:00: 0.7950
2025-09-01 00:00: 0.2050
2025-09-01 09:00: 0.7950
2025-09-01 18:00: 0.7950
2025-09-02 03:00: 0.7950
2025-09-02 12:00: 0.2050
2025-09-02 21:00: 0.2050
2025-09-03 06:00: 0.7950
2025-09-03 15:00: 0.7950
2025-09-04 00:00: 0.2300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-09-04 18:00: 0.2350
2025-09-05 03:00: 0.2350
2025-09-05 12:00: 0.2350
2025-09-05 21:00: 0.2350
2025-09-06 06:00: 0.2350
2025-09-06 15:00: 0.2650
2025-09-07 00:00: 0.2750
2025-09-07 09:00: 0.7550
2025-09-07 18:00: 0.7500
2025-09-08 03:00: 0.2500
2025-09-08 12:00: 0.2600
2025-09-08 21:00: 0.2600
2025-09-09 06:00: 0.2600
2025-09-09 15:00: 0.2600
2025-09-10 00:00: 0.7400
2025-09-10 09:00: 0.2450
2025-09-10 18:00: 0.7500
2025-09-11 03:00: 0.7450
2025-09-11 12:00: 0.7450
2025-09-11 21:00: 0.2550
2025-09-12 06:00: 0.2550
2025-09-12 15:00: 0.2550
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.7450
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.2550
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.2550
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.2550
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.2550
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.7450
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.2550
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.2550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-09-16 09:00: 0.2950
2025-09-16 18:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 03:00: 0.2750
2025-09-17 12:00: 0.7250
2025-09-17 22:00: 0.7350
2025-09-18 07:00: 0.7450
2025-09-18 16:00: 0.2550
2025-09-19 01:00: 0.2550
2025-09-19 10:00: 0.2550
2025-09-19 19:00: 0.2450
2025-09-20 04:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.7950
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.8000
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.8000
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.8050
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.8050
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.1900
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.1900
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.1900
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.1850
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.8300
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.1700
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.8300
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.1750
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.1700
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.1650
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.1650
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.8250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-09-28 01:00: 0.1650
2025-09-28 10:00: 0.8350
2025-09-28 19:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 04:00: 0.8350
2025-09-29 13:00: 0.1800
2025-09-29 22:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 07:00: 0.2150
2025-09-30 16:00: 0.1550
2025-10-01 01:00: 0.8450
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.1550
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.8450
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.1550
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.8450
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.1600
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.8400
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.8450
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.8450
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.8550
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.8300
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.1750
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.8250
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.1450
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.8750
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.1300
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.1300
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.1300
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.1250
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.8650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1350
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.8850
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.8650
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.1200
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.1400
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.1200
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9200
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9150
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9100
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9000
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.8750
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.1400
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.1250
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.1550
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.1650
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.1550
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.1550
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.8450
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.1550
2025-10-20 04:00: 0.1550
2025-10-20 13:00: 0.8550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 549627
Question: Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Volume: 2037728.292084
Price History:
2025-10-21 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-21 16:00: 0.0950
2025-10-22 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-22 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 13:00: 0.9350
2025-10-23 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9150
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9450
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9450
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9495
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9500
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9550
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9600
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9605
2025-10-27 16:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 01:00: 0.9670
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.9650
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.9670
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.9635
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.9995
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 14:00: 0.9995
2025-10-31 23:00: 0.9995
2025-11-01 08:00: 0.9995
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 173473945.41, Sell volume: 68497859.99, Average price: 0.6903, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.5650
2025-09-12 21:00: 0.5550
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.4500
2025-09-13 00:00: 0.4450
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.5650
2025-09-13 03:00: 0.5600
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-13 06:00: 0.2750
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.7900
2025-09-13 09:00: 0.2100
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-13 12:00: 0.7950
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-13 15:00: 0.1350
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.8550
2025-09-13 18:00: 0.1450
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.1600
2025-09-13 21:00: 0.8350
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.1600
2025-09-14 00:00: 0.8400
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.1850
2025-09-14 03:00: 0.1800
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.1850
2025-09-14 06:00: 0.8150
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.1850
2025-09-14 09:00: 0.8250
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.1700
2025-09-14 12:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-14 15:00: 0.8300
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.1700
2025-09-14 18:00: 0.1650
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.1500
2025-09-14 21:00: 0.8500
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.1500
2025-09-15 00:00: 0.8500
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.1500
2025-09-15 03:00: 0.8500
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.8500
2025-09-15 06:00: 0.1450
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.8550
2025-09-15 09:00: 0.8550
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.8650
2025-09-15 12:00: 0.8600
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.8600
2025-09-15 15:00: 0.1400
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.8600
2025-09-15 18:00: 0.1400
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.8600
2025-09-15 21:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1439.31, Sell volume: 214.00, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.8600
2025-09-16 16:00: 0.1400
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.8600
2025-09-16 19:00: 0.1400
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.8600
2025-09-16 22:00: 0.1400
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.1400
2025-09-17 01:00: 0.1400
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.8600
2025-09-17 04:00: 0.1400
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.1400
2025-09-17 07:00: 0.8600
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.1400
2025-09-17 10:00: 0.8600
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.1400
2025-09-17 13:00: 0.8500
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.8500
2025-09-17 17:00: 0.8500
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.1500
2025-09-17 20:00: 0.8500
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.1500
2025-09-17 23:00: 0.1500
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.1500
2025-09-18 02:00: 0.1500
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 05:00: 0.8550
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 08:00: 0.8550
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.8550
2025-09-18 11:00: 0.8550
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 14:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 17:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.8550
2025-09-18 20:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-18 23:00: 0.8550
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.1450
2025-09-19 02:00: 0.8550
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.8550
2025-09-19 05:00: 0.1450
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.8600
2025-09-19 08:00: 0.1400
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.1400
2025-09-19 11:00: 0.1150
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.1200
2025-09-19 14:00: 0.1250
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.1250
2025-09-19 17:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 285.63, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6300, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.1150
2025-09-20 11:00: 0.1150
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.8850
2025-09-20 14:00: 0.8850
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-20 17:00: 0.0950
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9100
2025-09-20 20:00: 0.9100
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-20 23:00: 0.9150
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.0850
2025-09-21 02:00: 0.0850
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9150
2025-09-21 05:00: 0.9050
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0950
2025-09-21 08:00: 0.9050
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0950
2025-09-21 11:00: 0.0950
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0900
2025-09-21 14:00: 0.9100
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0950
2025-09-21 17:00: 0.9050
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.1000
2025-09-21 20:00: 0.9000
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9000
2025-09-21 23:00: 0.9000
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 02:00: 0.9000
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 05:00: 0.9000
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 08:00: 0.9000
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 11:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-22 14:00: 0.8950
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.1050
2025-09-22 17:00: 0.8950
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.1050
2025-09-22 20:00: 0.8950
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.1050
2025-09-22 23:00: 0.8950
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.1050
2025-09-23 02:00: 0.8950
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.1050
2025-09-23 05:00: 0.8950
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.1050
2025-09-23 08:00: 0.8950
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 11:00: 0.1150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 387.44, Sell volume: 641.21, Average price: 0.4002, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 06:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 09:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 12:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 15:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 18:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 21:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.8950
2025-09-25 00:00: 0.8950
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.8950
2025-09-25 03:00: 0.1050
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-25 06:00: 0.1050
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.8950
2025-09-25 09:00: 0.1050
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-25 12:00: 0.1150
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.8850
2025-09-25 15:00: 0.1150
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.1150
2025-09-25 18:00: 0.1150
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.8850
2025-09-25 21:00: 0.1150
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.1150
2025-09-26 00:00: 0.8850
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.8850
2025-09-26 03:00: 0.1150
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.8800
2025-09-26 06:00: 0.1200
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.8800
2025-09-26 09:00: 0.1150
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.8850
2025-09-26 12:00: 0.1150
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.8850
2025-09-26 15:00: 0.1150
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.8850
2025-09-26 18:00: 0.1150
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.8800
2025-09-26 21:00: 0.1200
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.1200
2025-09-27 00:00: 0.1200
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.8800
2025-09-27 03:00: 0.1200
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.8800
2025-09-27 06:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1.12, Sell volume: 1419.37, Average price: 0.4136, Price range: 0.0790 - 0.8900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-09-27 23:00: 0.9050
2025-09-28 00:00: 0.9050
2025-09-28 02:00: 0.9050
2025-09-28 03:00: 0.0950
2025-09-28 05:00: 0.0950
2025-09-28 06:00: 0.9100
2025-09-28 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-28 09:00: 0.9150
2025-09-28 11:00: 0.0850
2025-09-28 12:00: 0.0750
2025-09-28 14:00: 0.9150
2025-09-28 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-28 17:00: 0.0850
2025-09-28 18:00: 0.0850
2025-09-28 20:00: 0.9150
2025-09-28 21:00: 0.9150
2025-09-28 23:00: 0.0850
2025-09-29 00:00: 0.9150
2025-09-29 02:00: 0.0850
2025-09-29 03:00: 0.0850
2025-09-29 05:00: 0.9150
2025-09-29 06:00: 0.0850
2025-09-29 08:00: 0.0850
2025-09-29 09:00: 0.9150
2025-09-29 11:00: 0.0850
2025-09-29 12:00: 0.9150
2025-09-29 14:00: 0.0850
2025-09-29 15:00: 0.9150
2025-09-29 17:00: 0.0850
2025-09-29 18:00: 0.9150
2025-09-29 20:00: 0.9200
2025-09-29 21:00: 0.0800
2025-09-29 23:00: 0.0800
2025-09-30 00:00: 0.9200
2025-09-30 02:00: 0.9200
2025-09-30 03:00: 0.9200
2025-09-30 05:00: 0.9250
2025-09-30 06:00: 0.0750
2025-09-30 08:00: 0.9250
2025-09-30 09:00: 0.0750
2025-09-30 11:00: 0.9250
2025-09-30 12:00: 0.0750
2025-09-30 14:00: 0.0400
2025-09-30 15:00: 0.9600
2025-09-30 17:00: 0.9600
2025-09-30 18:00: 0.0500
2025-09-30 20:00: 0.0500
2025-09-30 21:00: 0.0500
2025-09-30 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-01 00:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 877.58, Sell volume: 238.49, Average price: 0.5123, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9700

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0450
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0450
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9550
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9550
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0450
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9550
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0450
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9550
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0450
2025-10-02 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-02 13:00: 0.0450
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.0450
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.0450
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.0450
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.0400
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.9600
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.0400
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.0400
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.9500
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.9500
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.0500
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9550
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9550
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9550
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.9595
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 154.14, Sell volume: 348.52, Average price: 0.5033, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0355
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9640
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0345
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0375
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0375
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0375
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0375
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0375
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.0380
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.0365
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0355
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9645
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0315
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9680
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9685
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9680
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0320
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0310
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0310
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9685
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0315
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0315
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9685
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0315
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9685
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0315
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9685
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0315
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9685
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0310
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9685
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0315
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0315
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0310
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9735
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9745
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0255
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9745
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0255
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0255
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0255
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9720
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9720
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0290
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9715
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0290
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9715
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0280
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9720
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 123.35, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7146, Price range: 0.0426 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0305
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9695
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0305
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9695
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0305
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9600
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0405
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9455
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0545
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9455
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0545
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9460
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0545
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9460
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0545
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0545
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9305
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0660
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9400
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0595
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0595
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9345
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0655
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0655
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0660
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9390
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9390
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9420
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0605
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9375
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0615
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9380
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0620
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9445
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0550
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0305
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9695
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9665
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9670
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.0350
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9650
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0350
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0350
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0350
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9650
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9665
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0335
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9665
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 4304.71, Sell volume: 111.09, Average price: 0.3307, Price range: 0.0430 - 0.9760

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0295
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0295
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0305
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9695
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0300
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9740
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0250
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9750
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0250
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0245
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9750
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9745
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0255
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0255
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9710
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0315
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9685
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0330
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9670
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0330
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9670
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9670
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9655
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0345
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9655
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0330
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9665
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9660
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0340
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0340
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0340
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9660
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.9645
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.0350
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.9650
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.0345
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.0345
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.0345
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.0345
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.0345
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.9655
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0345
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0345
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0345
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0345
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0345
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 787.37, Sell volume: 555.37, Average price: 0.7016, Price range: 0.0290 - 0.9830

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-10-16 19:00: 0.0345
2025-10-16 21:00: 0.0340
2025-10-16 22:00: 0.9660
2025-10-17 00:00: 0.0340
2025-10-17 01:00: 0.9655
2025-10-17 03:00: 0.0345
2025-10-17 04:00: 0.9655
2025-10-17 06:00: 0.0345
2025-10-17 07:00: 0.9685
2025-10-17 09:00: 0.0315
2025-10-17 10:00: 0.9685
2025-10-17 12:00: 0.0315
2025-10-17 13:00: 0.9690
2025-10-17 15:00: 0.0315
2025-10-17 16:00: 0.9685
2025-10-17 18:00: 0.9685
2025-10-17 19:00: 0.0310
2025-10-17 21:00: 0.0310
2025-10-17 22:00: 0.9685
2025-10-18 00:00: 0.0315
2025-10-18 01:00: 0.9690
2025-10-18 03:00: 0.0315
2025-10-18 04:00: 0.9690
2025-10-18 06:00: 0.9685
2025-10-18 07:00: 0.0310
2025-10-18 09:00: 0.9685
2025-10-18 10:00: 0.0315
2025-10-18 12:00: 0.0315
2025-10-18 13:00: 0.0315
2025-10-18 15:00: 0.0315
2025-10-18 16:00: 0.0315
2025-10-18 18:00: 0.9710
2025-10-18 19:00: 0.0290
2025-10-18 21:00: 0.9710
2025-10-18 22:00: 0.0285
2025-10-19 00:00: 0.0290
2025-10-19 01:00: 0.9710
2025-10-19 03:00: 0.9715
2025-10-19 04:00: 0.0290
2025-10-19 06:00: 0.0280
2025-10-19 07:00: 0.9725
2025-10-19 09:00: 0.0275
2025-10-19 10:00: 0.9720
2025-10-19 12:00: 0.0265
2025-10-19 13:00: 0.9725
2025-10-19 15:00: 0.0275
2025-10-19 16:00: 0.9735
2025-10-19 18:00: 0.0265
2025-10-19 19:00: 0.9750
2025-10-19 21:00: 0.9715
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 308.87, Sell volume: 2035.96, Average price: 0.7523, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-10-20 14:00: 0.0215
2025-10-20 15:00: 0.0215
2025-10-20 17:00: 0.0215
2025-10-20 18:00: 0.9785
2025-10-20 20:00: 0.9785
2025-10-20 21:00: 0.9785
2025-10-20 23:00: 0.9785
2025-10-21 00:00: 0.0215
2025-10-21 02:00: 0.9785
2025-10-21 03:00: 0.9785
2025-10-21 05:00: 0.9785
2025-10-21 06:00: 0.0215
2025-10-21 08:00: 0.9805
2025-10-21 09:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 11:00: 0.9800
2025-10-21 12:00: 0.9810
2025-10-21 14:00: 0.9810
2025-10-21 15:00: 0.9810
2025-10-21 17:00: 0.0200
2025-10-21 18:00: 0.9805
2025-10-21 20:00: 0.9805
2025-10-21 21:00: 0.0195
2025-10-21 23:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 00:00: 0.0195
2025-10-22 02:00: 0.9805
2025-10-22 03:00: 0.0190
2025-10-22 05:00: 0.9810
2025-10-22 06:00: 0.0190
2025-10-22 08:00: 0.9810
2025-10-22 09:00: 0.0190
2025-10-22 11:00: 0.9810
2025-10-22 12:00: 0.0190
2025-10-22 14:00: 0.9810
2025-10-22 15:00: 0.0190
2025-10-22 17:00: 0.9810
2025-10-22 18:00: 0.0190
2025-10-22 20:00: 0.9815
2025-10-22 21:00: 0.0185
2025-10-22 23:00: 0.9815
2025-10-23 00:00: 0.0190
2025-10-23 02:00: 0.9810
2025-10-23 03:00: 0.0200
2025-10-23 05:00: 0.9805
2025-10-23 06:00: 0.0265
2025-10-23 08:00: 0.9740
2025-10-23 09:00: 0.0310
2025-10-23 11:00: 0.9465
2025-10-23 12:00: 0.0480
2025-10-23 14:00: 0.9520
2025-10-23 15:00: 0.0475
Trade Summary: Total trades: 24, Buy volume: 3767.71, Sell volume: 753.95, Average price: 0.6226, Price range: 0.0150 - 0.9840

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-10-24 08:00: 0.0450
2025-10-24 10:00: 0.9565
2025-10-24 11:00: 0.0410
2025-10-24 13:00: 0.9605
2025-10-24 14:00: 0.0410
2025-10-24 16:00: 0.9630
2025-10-24 17:00: 0.0360
2025-10-24 19:00: 0.9605
2025-10-24 20:00: 0.0360
2025-10-24 22:00: 0.9640
2025-10-24 23:00: 0.0380
2025-10-25 01:00: 0.9625
2025-10-25 02:00: 0.0370
2025-10-25 04:00: 0.9630
2025-10-25 05:00: 0.0370
2025-10-25 07:00: 0.9660
2025-10-25 08:00: 0.0370
2025-10-25 10:00: 0.9610
2025-10-25 11:00: 0.0390
2025-10-25 13:00: 0.9615
2025-10-25 14:00: 0.0385
2025-10-25 16:00: 0.9645
2025-10-25 17:00: 0.0395
2025-10-25 19:00: 0.9610
2025-10-25 20:00: 0.0365
2025-10-25 22:00: 0.9605
2025-10-25 23:00: 0.0375
2025-10-26 01:00: 0.9595
2025-10-26 02:00: 0.0365
2025-10-26 04:00: 0.9625
2025-10-26 05:00: 0.0380
2025-10-26 07:00: 0.9600
2025-10-26 08:00: 0.0385
2025-10-26 10:00: 0.9635
2025-10-26 11:00: 0.0365
2025-10-26 13:00: 0.9635
2025-10-26 14:00: 0.0370
2025-10-26 16:00: 0.9805
2025-10-26 17:00: 0.0185
2025-10-26 19:00: 0.9815
2025-10-26 20:00: 0.0185
2025-10-26 22:00: 0.9815
2025-10-26 23:00: 0.0350
2025-10-27 01:00: 0.9660
2025-10-27 02:00: 0.0340
2025-10-27 04:00: 0.9660
2025-10-27 05:00: 0.0325
2025-10-27 07:00: 0.9675
2025-10-27 08:00: 0.0325
2025-10-27 10:00: 0.9670
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 985.25, Sell volume: 189.00, Average price: 0.5671, Price range: 0.0314 - 0.9830

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-10-28 03:00: 0.9710
2025-10-28 04:00: 0.0290
2025-10-28 06:00: 0.9710
2025-10-28 07:00: 0.0290
2025-10-28 09:00: 0.9710
2025-10-28 10:00: 0.0285
2025-10-28 12:00: 0.9715
2025-10-28 13:00: 0.0280
2025-10-28 15:00: 0.9710
2025-10-28 16:00: 0.0280
2025-10-28 18:00: 0.9765
2025-10-28 19:00: 0.0205
2025-10-28 21:00: 0.9795
2025-10-28 22:00: 0.0210
2025-10-29 00:00: 0.9815
2025-10-29 01:00: 0.0210
2025-10-29 03:00: 0.9880
2025-10-29 04:00: 0.0150
2025-10-29 10:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 11:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 13:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 16:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 17:00: 0.0085
2025-10-29 19:00: 0.9915
2025-10-29 20:00: 0.0080
2025-10-29 22:00: 0.9920
2025-10-29 23:00: 0.0080
2025-10-30 01:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 02:00: 0.0060
2025-10-30 04:00: 0.9960
2025-10-30 05:00: 0.0040
2025-10-30 07:00: 0.9960
2025-10-30 08:00: 0.0040
2025-10-30 10:00: 0.9895
2025-10-30 11:00: 0.0100
2025-10-30 13:00: 0.9920
2025-10-30 14:00: 0.0085
2025-10-30 16:00: 0.9910
2025-10-30 17:00: 0.0075
2025-10-30 19:00: 0.9925
2025-10-30 20:00: 0.0070
2025-10-30 22:00: 0.9940
2025-10-30 23:00: 0.0065
2025-10-31 01:00: 0.9935
2025-10-31 02:00: 0.0055
2025-10-31 04:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 05:00: 0.0035
2025-10-31 07:00: 0.9950
2025-10-31 08:00: 0.0050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 48, Buy volume: 7346.80, Sell volume: 2074.87, Average price: 0.8501, Price range: 0.0034 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-09-12 20:00: 0.5650
2025-09-12 23:00: 0.4500
2025-09-13 02:00: 0.5650
2025-09-13 05:00: 0.6650
2025-09-13 08:00: 0.7900
2025-09-13 11:00: 0.7950
2025-09-13 14:00: 0.7950
2025-09-13 17:00: 0.8550
2025-09-13 20:00: 0.1600
2025-09-13 23:00: 0.1600
2025-09-14 02:00: 0.1850
2025-09-14 05:00: 0.1850
2025-09-14 08:00: 0.1850
2025-09-14 11:00: 0.1700
2025-09-14 14:00: 0.1700
2025-09-14 17:00: 0.1700
2025-09-14 20:00: 0.1500
2025-09-14 23:00: 0.1500
2025-09-15 02:00: 0.1500
2025-09-15 05:00: 0.8500
2025-09-15 08:00: 0.8550
2025-09-15 11:00: 0.8650
2025-09-15 14:00: 0.8600
2025-09-15 17:00: 0.8600
2025-09-15 20:00: 0.8600
2025-09-15 23:00: 0.1400
2025-09-16 02:00: 0.1400
2025-09-16 05:00: 0.1400
2025-09-16 08:00: 0.1400
2025-09-16 11:00: 0.1400
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1439.31, Sell volume: 214.00, Average price: 0.6391, Price range: 0.1700 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-09-16 14:00: 0.8600
2025-09-16 17:00: 0.8600
2025-09-16 20:00: 0.8600
2025-09-16 23:00: 0.1400
2025-09-17 02:00: 0.8600
2025-09-17 05:00: 0.1400
2025-09-17 08:00: 0.1400
2025-09-17 11:00: 0.1400
2025-09-17 15:00: 0.8500
2025-09-17 18:00: 0.1500
2025-09-17 21:00: 0.1500
2025-09-18 00:00: 0.1500
2025-09-18 03:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 06:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 09:00: 0.8550
2025-09-18 12:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 15:00: 0.1450
2025-09-18 18:00: 0.8550
2025-09-18 21:00: 0.8550
2025-09-19 00:00: 0.1450
2025-09-19 03:00: 0.8550
2025-09-19 06:00: 0.8600
2025-09-19 09:00: 0.1400
2025-09-19 12:00: 0.1200
2025-09-19 15:00: 0.1250
2025-09-19 18:00: 0.8750
2025-09-19 21:00: 0.8750
2025-09-20 00:00: 0.8750
2025-09-20 03:00: 0.1250
2025-09-20 06:00: 0.1250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 285.63, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6300, Price range: 0.1500 - 0.8700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-09-20 10:00: 0.1150
2025-09-20 13:00: 0.8850
2025-09-20 16:00: 0.9150
2025-09-20 19:00: 0.9100
2025-09-20 22:00: 0.0850
2025-09-21 01:00: 0.0850
2025-09-21 04:00: 0.9150
2025-09-21 07:00: 0.0950
2025-09-21 10:00: 0.0950
2025-09-21 13:00: 0.0900
2025-09-21 16:00: 0.0950
2025-09-21 19:00: 0.1000
2025-09-21 22:00: 0.9000
2025-09-22 01:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 04:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 07:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 10:00: 0.1000
2025-09-22 13:00: 0.1050
2025-09-22 16:00: 0.1050
2025-09-22 19:00: 0.1050
2025-09-22 22:00: 0.1050
2025-09-23 01:00: 0.1050
2025-09-23 04:00: 0.1050
2025-09-23 07:00: 0.1050
2025-09-23 10:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 13:00: 0.1150
2025-09-23 16:00: 0.1050
2025-09-23 19:00: 0.1050
2025-09-23 22:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 01:00: 0.1050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 11, Buy volume: 387.44, Sell volume: 641.21, Average price: 0.4002, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 595944
Question: Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by October 31?
Volume: 30251.111723
Price History:
2025-09-24 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 07:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 13:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 16:00: 0.1050
2025-09-24 19:00: 0.8950
2025-09-24 22:00: 0.8950
2025-09-25 01:00: 0.8950
2025-09-25 04:00: 0.8950
2025-09-25 07:00: 0.8950
2025-09-25 10:00: 0.8950
2025-09-25 13:00: 0.8850
2025-09-25 16:00: 0.1150
2025-09-25 19:00: 0.8850
2025-09-25 22:00: 0.1150
2025-09-26 01:00: 0.8850
2025-09-26 04:00: 0.8800
2025-09-26 07:00: 0.8800
2025-09-26 10:00: 0.8850
2025-09-26 13:00: 0.8850
2025-09-26 16:00: 0.8850
2025-09-26 19:00: 0.8800
2025-09-26 22:00: 0.1200
2025-09-27 01:00: 0.8800
2025-09-27 04:00: 0.8800
2025-09-27 07:00: 0.8800
2025-09-27 10:00: 0.1200
2025-09-27 13:00: 0.1200
2025-09-27 16:00: 0.8800
2025-09-27 19:00: 0.8800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 5, Buy volume: 1.12, Sell volume: 1419.37, Average price: 0.4136, Price range: 0.0790 - 0.8900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes