Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-12-02 03:00: 0.0020
2024-12-02 06:00: 0.0020
2024-12-02 09:00: 0.0020
2024-12-02 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-02 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-02 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-02 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-03 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-03 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-03 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-03 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-03 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-03 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-03 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-03 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-04 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-04 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-04 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-04 09:00: 0.0020
2024-12-04 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-04 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-04 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-04 21:00: 0.0020
2024-12-05 00:00: 0.0020
2024-12-05 03:00: 0.0025
2024-12-05 06:00: 0.0025
2024-12-05 09:00: 0.0025
2024-12-05 12:00: 0.0020
2024-12-05 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-05 18:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1679088794.97, Sell volume: 5909186.82, Average price: 0.2976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-12-06 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-06 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-06 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-06 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-06 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-06 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-06 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-07 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-07 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-07 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-08 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-08 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 02:00: 0.0020
2024-12-09 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-09 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-09 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-09 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-09 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-09 20:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1679088794.97, Sell volume: 5909186.82, Average price: 0.2976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-12-10 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-10 10:00: 0.0015
2024-12-10 13:00: 0.0015
2024-12-10 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-10 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-10 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-11 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-11 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 10:00: 0.0020
2024-12-11 13:00: 0.0020
2024-12-11 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-11 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-11 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 01:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-12 07:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 10:00: 0.0025
2024-12-12 13:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 19:00: 0.0020
2024-12-12 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-13 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-13 04:00: 0.0015
2024-12-13 07:00: 0.0020
2024-12-13 10:00: 0.0025
2024-12-13 13:00: 0.0025
2024-12-13 16:00: 0.0025
2024-12-13 19:00: 0.0025
2024-12-13 22:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1000000, Buy volume: 1679088794.97, Sell volume: 5909186.82, Average price: 0.2976, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-12-14 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 12:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 15:00: 0.0010
2024-12-14 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-14 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-15 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-16 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-17 12:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 15:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-17 21:00: 0.0020
2024-12-18 00:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 57942, Buy volume: 5426568.00, Sell volume: 193806.00, Average price: 0.9980, Price range: 0.9970 - 0.9980
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-12-18 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-18 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-18 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-18 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-18 23:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 02:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-19 23:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 02:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-20 23:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-21 05:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 08:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 11:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 14:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 17:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-21 23:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 02:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 233766, Buy volume: 13792546.98, Sell volume: 4756258.98, Average price: 0.8960, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-12-22 13:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 19:00: 0.0020
2024-12-22 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 07:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 10:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 13:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 19:00: 0.0020
2024-12-23 22:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 07:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 10:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 13:00: 0.0020
2024-12-24 16:00: 0.0015
2024-12-24 19:00: 0.0015
2024-12-24 22:00: 0.0015
2024-12-25 01:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 04:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 07:00: 0.0015
2024-12-25 10:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 13:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 16:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 19:00: 0.0020
2024-12-25 22:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 01:00: 0.0025
2024-12-26 04:00: 0.0020
Trade Summary: Total trades: 705416, Buy volume: 1658416395.34, Sell volume: 711297.09, Average price: 0.0396, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-12-26 15:00: 0.0020
2024-12-26 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-26 21:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 00:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 03:00: 0.0030
2024-12-27 06:00: 0.0020
2024-12-27 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-27 12:00: 0.0025
2024-12-27 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-27 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-27 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-28 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-28 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-28 06:00: 0.0020
2024-12-28 09:00: 0.0020
2024-12-28 12:00: 0.0020
2024-12-28 15:00: 0.0020
2024-12-28 18:00: 0.0020
2024-12-28 21:00: 0.0020
2024-12-29 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 06:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 09:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 12:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 15:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 18:00: 0.0015
2024-12-29 21:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 00:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 03:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 06:00: 0.0015
Trade Summary: Total trades: 548, Buy volume: 735354.01, Sell volume: 9471.01, Average price: 0.2352, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 512782
Question: Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Volume: 3005846.94015
Price History:
2024-12-30 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 20:00: 0.0015
2024-12-30 23:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 02:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 05:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 08:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 11:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 14:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 17:00: 0.0015
2024-12-31 20:00: 0.0020
2024-12-31 23:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 02:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 05:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 08:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 11:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 14:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 17:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 20:00: 0.0020
2025-01-01 23:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 02:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 05:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 08:00: 0.0020
2025-01-02 11:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 14:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 17:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 20:00: 0.0015
2025-01-02 23:00: 0.0015
2025-01-03 02:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 05:00: 0.0005
2025-01-03 08:00: 0.0005
Trade Summary: Total trades: 330, Buy volume: 717930.64, Sell volume: 44547.74, Average price: 0.8955, Price range: 0.0010 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6500
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.2000
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8000
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.9350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 3037.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7187, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.8850
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.1150
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.8850
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.1150
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.1050
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.8950
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.8950
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.1050
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.8950
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.1050
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.1050
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.8950
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.9000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2942.68, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.8323, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.1000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1191.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7569, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9200

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9400
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0450
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0500
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.9500
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.0500
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.9500
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.0500
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.9500
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.0500
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.9400
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.0600
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2495.05, Sell volume: 20.70, Average price: 0.8060, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9544

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9645
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0355
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9645
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0355
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9645
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0355
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0355
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9645
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0355
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9645
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0355
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9645
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0355
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9645
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0355
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9645
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0355
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9645
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0355
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9645
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0355
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9645
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0230
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9770
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0195
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9805
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 2176.60, Sell volume: 105.89, Average price: 0.9340, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9890

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9755
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0245
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9755
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0245
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9755
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0245
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9690
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0310
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9685
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0315
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9685
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0315
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9680
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0320
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9730
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0270
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9740
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9740
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9730
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0270
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9730
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0270
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9780
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0220
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9780
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0220
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9785
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0215
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9780
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0220
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9795
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0205
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9835
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0165
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9840
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0160
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0170
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9830
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0155
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9845
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 827.16, Sell volume: 639.68, Average price: 0.5966, Price range: 0.0139 - 0.9860

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9855
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0145
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9825
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9620
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0380
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9580
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0420
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9465
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0535
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9475
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0525
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9465
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0535
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0390
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9610
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9625
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0375
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0380
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9620
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9610
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9620
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0380
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9640
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0360
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9615
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0385
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9600
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0400
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9620
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0380
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9615
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0385
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9620
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0380
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9700
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0305
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9695
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9700
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0285
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9715
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0300
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9700
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0295
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1908.54, Sell volume: 1776.60, Average price: 0.8050, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0380
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9620
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0395
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9605
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0400
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9600
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9615
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0385
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0385
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9615
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0385
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9615
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0380
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9620
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0385
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9615
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9610
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0375
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9625
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9620
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0380
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0395
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9605
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9630
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0370
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0410
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9590
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9600
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.0415
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.9585
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.9590
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.0410
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.9565
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.0435
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.9485
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.0515
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9505
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0495
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0455
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9545
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0440
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9560
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9575
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0425
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9570
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0430
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9550
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0450
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1336.44, Sell volume: 1.19, Average price: 0.8965, Price range: 0.0672 - 0.9780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9570
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0430
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9580
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0420
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9580
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0420
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0420
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9580
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9580
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0420
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9580
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0420
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0420
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9580
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0420
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9580
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9575
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0425
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9580
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0420
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0425
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9575
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9575
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0425
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9565
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0435
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9570
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0430
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9555
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0445
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9595
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0405
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9615
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0385
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9565
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0435
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9615
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0385
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9625
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0375
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9625
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0375
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9645
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0355
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9625
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0375
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9630
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0370
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9645
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 273.20, Sell volume: 244.87, Average price: 0.8729, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9650
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0350
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9565
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0435
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9565
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0435
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9560
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0440
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9560
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0440
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9555
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0445
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9565
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0435
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0400
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9600
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9630
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0370
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9630
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0370
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9625
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0375
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9615
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0385
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9615
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0385
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9620
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0380
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9620
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0380
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9620
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0380
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9630
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0370
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9640
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0360
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9665
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0335
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9625
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0375
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9630
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0370
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0365
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9635
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.9630
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0370
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9635
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0365
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9635
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0365
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 361.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9321, Price range: 0.0596 - 0.9780

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9630
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0370
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9630
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0370
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.9650
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0350
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9670
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0330
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9670
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0330
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0330
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9670
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9695
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0305
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9700
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0300
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0270
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9730
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0255
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9745
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0255
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9745
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0255
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9760
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0240
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 514.74, Sell volume: 174.48, Average price: 0.9564, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9770

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9810
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0190
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9815
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0185
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9820
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0180
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9820
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0180
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9810
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0190
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9810
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0190
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9810
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0190
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9810
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0190
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9815
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0185
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9835
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0165
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0195
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9805
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0645
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9355
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9355
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0645
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9355
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0645
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0645
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9355
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.9355
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.0645
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.0670
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.9330
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.0670
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.9330
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.9395
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.0605
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.0605
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.9395
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.9430
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.0570
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.9415
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.0585
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.9740
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.0260
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.9800
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.0200
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.9340
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.0660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 2588.80, Sell volume: 364.13, Average price: 0.7413, Price range: 0.0123 - 0.9900

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.7240
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.2760
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.7000
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.3000
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.2900
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.7100
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.7100
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.2900
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.7205
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.2795
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.7215
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.2785
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.7265
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2735
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8235
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.1765
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.1415
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.8585
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1590
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.8410
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.1590
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.8410
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.8410
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.1590
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.8410
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.1590
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.2005
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.7995
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.2005
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.7995
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.2010
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.7990
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.8595
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.1405
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.2410
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.7590
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.7690
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.2310
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.2250
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.7750
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.6050
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.3955
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.4340
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.5660
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 6750.07, Sell volume: 2924.71, Average price: 0.5609, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9340

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.3500
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.6500
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.3600
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.6400
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.2000
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.8000
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 3037.84, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7187, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.9500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.8850
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.1150
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.8850
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.1150
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.1050
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.8950
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.1050
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.1050
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.8950
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.8950
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.1050
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.9050
Trade Summary: Total trades: 43, Buy volume: 2942.68, Sell volume: 100.00, Average price: 0.8323, Price range: 0.1000 - 0.9100
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.9000
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.9050
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.0950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 1191.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.7569, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.9000
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.1000
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.1000
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.9000
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.0850
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.9150
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.0600
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.9400
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.9550
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.0450
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.9500
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 2495.05, Sell volume: 20.70, Average price: 0.8060, Price range: 0.0500 - 0.9544
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9400
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.0600
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0550
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9450
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9645
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0355
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0350
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9650
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9645
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0355
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9645
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 63, Buy volume: 2176.60, Sell volume: 105.89, Average price: 0.9340, Price range: 0.0400 - 0.9890
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9755
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0245
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9755
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0245
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9755
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0245
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9690
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0310
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9685
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0315
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9685
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0315
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9680
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0320
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9730
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0270
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9740
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9740
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0260
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9730
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0270
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9730
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0270
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9700
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0300
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 20, Buy volume: 827.16, Sell volume: 639.68, Average price: 0.5966, Price range: 0.0139 - 0.9860
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9855
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0145
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9860
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0140
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9825
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0175
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9620
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0380
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9580
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0420
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9465
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0535
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9475
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0525
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9465
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0535
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0390
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9610
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9625
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0375
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0380
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9620
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9610
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0390
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9620
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0380
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9640
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0360
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9615
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0385
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 1908.54, Sell volume: 1776.60, Average price: 0.8050, Price range: 0.0200 - 0.9800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.0380
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.9620
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.0395
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.9605
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.0400
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.9600
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.9615
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.0385
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.0385
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.9615
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.0385
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.9615
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.0380
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.9620
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.0385
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.9615
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.9610
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.0390
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.0375
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.9625
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.9620
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.0380
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.0395
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.9605
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.9630
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.0370
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.0410
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.9590
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.0400
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.9600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 1336.44, Sell volume: 1.19, Average price: 0.8965, Price range: 0.0672 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9570
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0430
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9580
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0420
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9580
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0420
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0420
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9580
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9580
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0420
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9580
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0420
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0420
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9580
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0420
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9580
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9575
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0425
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9580
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0420
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0425
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9575
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9575
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0425
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9565
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0435
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9570
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0430
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9555
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0445
Trade Summary: Total trades: 10, Buy volume: 273.20, Sell volume: 244.87, Average price: 0.8729, Price range: 0.0300 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9650
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0350
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9565
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0435
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9565
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0435
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9560
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0440
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9560
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0440
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9555
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0445
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9565
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0435
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0400
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9600
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9630
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0370
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9630
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0370
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9625
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0375
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9615
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0385
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9615
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0385
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9620
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0380
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9620
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0380
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 361.90, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9321, Price range: 0.0596 - 0.9780
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9630
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0370
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9630
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0370
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.9650
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0350
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9670
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0330
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9670
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0330
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0330
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9670
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9695
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0305
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9700
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0300
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0270
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9730
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9745
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0255
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9745
Trade Summary: Total trades: 49, Buy volume: 514.74, Sell volume: 174.48, Average price: 0.9564, Price range: 0.0240 - 0.9770
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9810
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0190
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9815
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0185
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9820
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0180
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9820
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0180
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9810
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0190
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9810
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0190
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9810
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0190
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9810
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0190
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9815
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0185
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9835
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0165
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0195
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9805
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.0645
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9355
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.9355
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.0645
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.9355
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.0645
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.0645
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.9355
Trade Summary: Total trades: 52, Buy volume: 2588.80, Sell volume: 364.13, Average price: 0.7413, Price range: 0.0123 - 0.9900
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619108
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Volume: 66327.992096
Price History:
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.7250
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.2750
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.7240
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.2760
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.7000
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.3000
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.2900
2025-10-15 13:00: 0.7100
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.7100
2025-10-15 14:00: 0.2900
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.7205
2025-10-15 15:00: 0.2795
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.7215
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.2785
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.2850
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.7150
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.7150
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.2850
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.7265
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.2735
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.8235
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.1765
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.1415
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.8585
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.1590
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.8410
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.1590
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.8410
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.8410
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.1590
Trade Summary: Total trades: 74, Buy volume: 6750.07, Sell volume: 2924.71, Average price: 0.5609, Price range: 0.1100 - 0.9340
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.4750
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.5250
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.5250
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.4750
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.4700
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.5300
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.5500
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.4500
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.7500
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.2500
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.4700
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.5300
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.4300
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.5700
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.5500
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.4500
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.4550
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.4800
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.5200
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.5300
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.4700
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.5250
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.4700
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.5300
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.5300
2025-10-02 01:00: 0.4700
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.5300
2025-10-02 02:00: 0.4700
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.5150
2025-10-02 03:00: 0.4850
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.5600
2025-10-02 04:00: 0.4400
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.5650
2025-10-02 05:00: 0.4350
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.6150
2025-10-02 06:00: 0.3850
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.6150
2025-10-02 07:00: 0.3850
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.6150
2025-10-02 08:00: 0.3850
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.6150
2025-10-02 09:00: 0.3850
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.5400
2025-10-02 10:00: 0.4600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1713.95, Sell volume: 836.73, Average price: 0.4696, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.5400
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.5400
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.5400
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.5500
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.4500
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.5500
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.4500
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.5600
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.4400
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.4400
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.5600
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.4350
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.4350
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.5650
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.4350
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.5650
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.4350
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.4350
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.5650
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.5650
2025-10-03 06:00: 0.4350
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.4350
2025-10-03 07:00: 0.5650
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.4350
2025-10-03 08:00: 0.5650
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.4350
2025-10-03 09:00: 0.5650
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.5750
2025-10-03 10:00: 0.4250
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.4000
2025-10-03 11:00: 0.6000
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.6000
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.4000
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.4050
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.5950
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.4550
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.5450
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.4550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 4185.27, Sell volume: 606.27, Average price: 0.5382, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6000

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.4500
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.5500
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.4500
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.5500
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.4500
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.5500
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.4500
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.5500
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.5500
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.4500
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.5500
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.4500
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.5500
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.4500
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.5500
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.4500
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.4500
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.5500
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.4500
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.5500
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 543.97, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.5640, Price range: 0.5400 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.5550
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.4450
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.4450
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.5550
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.4450
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.5550
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.5550
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.4450
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.4450
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.5550
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.4800
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.5200
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.5150
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.4850
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.4850
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.5150
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.4850
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.5150
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.4850
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.5150
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.4850
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.5150
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.5150
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.4850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2211.39, Sell volume: 24.39, Average price: 0.5015, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5700

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.5250
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.4750
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.4800
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.5200
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 69.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 798.83, Sell volume: 161.80, Average price: 0.5036, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5300

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.4900
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.4900
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.5100
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.5100
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.4900
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.5100
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.4900
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.4900
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.5100
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.4900
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.5100
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.4900
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.5100
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.5100
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.4900
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.5050
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.4950
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.3250
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.6750
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.3600
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.6400
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.6550
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.3450
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.5150
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.4400
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.5600
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.5300
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.4700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2760.58, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.6339, Price range: 0.4920 - 0.7940

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.4950
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.5150
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.4850
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.5100
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.4850
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.5150
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.5150
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.4850
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.5150
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.4850
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.5050
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.5150
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.4850
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.5250
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.4750
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.5050
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.4950
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.4900
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.5100
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.5050
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.4950
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.4950
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.5050
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.4200
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.5800
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.6150
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.4150
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.5850
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.5900
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.4100
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.5950
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.4050
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.6150
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.6150
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.6150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 874.02, Sell volume: 873.20, Average price: 0.5509, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6800

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.6150
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.6200
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.3800
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.2700
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.7250
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.2700
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.7050
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.3000
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.7000
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.7850
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.7900
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.7550
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.2600
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.7400
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.3150
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.6850
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.3150
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.6850
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.6800
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.3200
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.6800
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.3250
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.6750
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.3250
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.6750
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.6700
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.3300
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.3350
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.6650
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.3350
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.6650
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.3300
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.6700
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.3350
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.6650
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1502.87, Sell volume: 1076.14, Average price: 0.6057, Price range: 0.2629 - 0.8200

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.3350
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.6650
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.3350
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.6650
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.6650
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.3350
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.3450
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.6550
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.3450
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.6550
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.3450
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.6550
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.3400
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.6600
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.6600
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.3400
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.6600
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.3400
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.6650
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.3350
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.6650
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.3350
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.3400
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.6600
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.6800
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.6850
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.3150
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.3150
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.6850
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.6900
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.3100
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.6900
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.3100
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.6700
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.3300
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.3550
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.6450
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.6950
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.3050
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.3050
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.6950
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.6850
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.3150
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.6850
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.3150
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.6850
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.3150
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1630.52, Sell volume: 255.21, Average price: 0.5516, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.5800
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.4200
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.3100
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.6900
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.6850
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.3150
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.6850
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.3150
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.3150
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.6850
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.3000
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.7000
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.3000
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.6950
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.3050
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.6850
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.3150
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.2900
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.7100
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.2900
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.7100
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.2900
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.7100
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.2900
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.7100
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.2900
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.7100
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.2900
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.2900
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.7100
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.2700
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.7300
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.7250
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.2750
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.7150
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.2850
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.7150
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.2850
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.3050
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.6950
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.4000
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.6000
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.6000
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.4000
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 743.36, Sell volume: 796.26, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.5600
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.4250
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.5750
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.5600
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.4850
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.5150
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.4750
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.5250
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.6100
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.3900
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.4050
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.5950
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.4100
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.5900
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5450
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.5250
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.4750
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.5250
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.4750
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.5250
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.4750
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.4550
2025-10-15 03:00: 0.5450
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.4400
2025-10-15 04:00: 0.5600
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.6450
2025-10-15 05:00: 0.3550
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.6550
2025-10-15 06:00: 0.3450
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 07:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.7600
2025-10-15 08:00: 0.2400
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.8350
2025-10-15 09:00: 0.1650
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.8300
2025-10-15 10:00: 0.1700
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.8750
2025-10-15 11:00: 0.1250
2025-10-15 12:00: 0.8950
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 3789.64, Sell volume: 2183.26, Average price: 0.5297, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9279

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1150
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0500
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.0105
2025-10-16 07:00: 0.9895
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.0115
2025-10-16 08:00: 0.9885
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.0120
2025-10-16 09:00: 0.9880
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.9875
2025-10-16 10:00: 0.0125
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.0105
2025-10-16 11:00: 0.9895
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.0090
2025-10-16 12:00: 0.9910
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.0070
2025-10-16 13:00: 0.9930
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.0040
2025-10-16 14:00: 0.9960
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.0095
2025-10-16 15:00: 0.9905
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.0085
2025-10-16 16:00: 0.9915
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 27106.16, Sell volume: 3811.63, Average price: 0.7883, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.9990

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.4750
2025-10-01 10:00: 0.5250
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.5250
2025-10-01 11:00: 0.4750
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.4700
2025-10-01 13:00: 0.5300
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.5500
2025-10-01 14:00: 0.4500
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.7500
2025-10-01 15:00: 0.2500
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-01 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.4700
2025-10-01 17:00: 0.5300
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.4300
2025-10-01 18:00: 0.5700
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.5500
2025-10-01 19:00: 0.4500
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.5450
2025-10-01 20:00: 0.4550
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.4800
2025-10-01 21:00: 0.5200
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.5300
2025-10-01 22:00: 0.4700
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.5250
2025-10-01 23:00: 0.4750
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.4700
2025-10-02 00:00: 0.5300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 30, Buy volume: 1713.95, Sell volume: 836.73, Average price: 0.4696, Price range: 0.0600 - 0.9200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-02 14:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.5400
2025-10-02 15:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.5400
2025-10-02 16:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.5400
2025-10-02 17:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.5400
2025-10-02 18:00: 0.4600
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.5450
2025-10-02 19:00: 0.4550
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.5500
2025-10-02 20:00: 0.4500
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.5500
2025-10-02 21:00: 0.4500
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.5600
2025-10-02 22:00: 0.4400
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.4400
2025-10-02 23:00: 0.5600
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.5650
2025-10-03 00:00: 0.4350
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.5650
2025-10-03 01:00: 0.4350
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.5650
2025-10-03 02:00: 0.4350
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.5650
2025-10-03 03:00: 0.4350
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.5650
2025-10-03 04:00: 0.4350
2025-10-03 05:00: 0.4350
Trade Summary: Total trades: 28, Buy volume: 4185.27, Sell volume: 606.27, Average price: 0.5382, Price range: 0.4100 - 0.6000
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.4500
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.5500
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.4500
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.5500
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.4500
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.5500
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.4500
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.5500
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.5500
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.4500
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.5500
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.4500
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.5500
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.4500
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.5500
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.4500
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.4500
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.5500
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.4500
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.5500
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.5550
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.4450
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.5550
Trade Summary: Total trades: 9, Buy volume: 543.97, Sell volume: 200.00, Average price: 0.5640, Price range: 0.5400 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.5550
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.5550
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.4450
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.4450
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.5550
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.5550
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.4450
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.4450
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.5550
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.5550
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.4450
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.5600
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.4400
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.5600
Trade Summary: Total trades: 12, Buy volume: 2211.39, Sell volume: 24.39, Average price: 0.5015, Price range: 0.4300 - 0.5700
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.5250
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.4750
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.5150
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.4850
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.4800
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.5200
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.4800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 69.49, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5100, Price range: 0.4900 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.5150
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.4850
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.5100
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 14, Buy volume: 798.83, Sell volume: 161.80, Average price: 0.5036, Price range: 0.4800 - 0.5300
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.4900
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.5100
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.4900
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.4900
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.5100
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.5100
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.4900
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.5100
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.4900
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.4900
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.5100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 51, Buy volume: 2760.58, Sell volume: 110.00, Average price: 0.6339, Price range: 0.4920 - 0.7940
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.4950
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.5150
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.4850
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.5100
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.4900
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.5150
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.4850
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.5000
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.4850
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.5150
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.5150
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.4850
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.5150
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.4850
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.5000
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.4950
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.5050
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.4950
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.5050
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.5150
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.4850
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.5250
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.4750
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.5050
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.4950
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.5000
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.4900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 23, Buy volume: 874.02, Sell volume: 873.20, Average price: 0.5509, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.6800
Manipulation Indicators Detected: wash_trading

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.3850
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.6150
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.6200
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.3800
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.2700
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.7250
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.2750
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.2700
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.7300
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.2950
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.7050
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.3000
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.7000
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.2150
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.7850
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.7950
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.2050
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.7850
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.2150
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.7900
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.7550
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.2450
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.2600
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.7400
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.7350
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.2650
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.3150
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.6850
Trade Summary: Total trades: 26, Buy volume: 1502.87, Sell volume: 1076.14, Average price: 0.6057, Price range: 0.2629 - 0.8200
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.3350
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.3350
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.6650
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.3350
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.6650
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.6650
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.3350
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.3450
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.6550
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.3450
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.6550
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.3450
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.6550
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.3400
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.6600
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.6600
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.3400
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.6600
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.3400
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.6650
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.3350
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.6650
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.3350
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.3400
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.6600
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.6800
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.3200
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.6850
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.3150
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.3150
Trade Summary: Total trades: 17, Buy volume: 1630.52, Sell volume: 255.21, Average price: 0.5516, Price range: 0.2500 - 0.7500
Manipulation Indicators Detected: None

Output: No


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.5800
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.4200
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.4200
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.5800
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.3100
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.6900
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.6850
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.3150
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.6850
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.3150
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.3150
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.6850
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.7050
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.2950
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.3000
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.7000
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.7000
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.3000
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.6950
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.3050
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.6850
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.3150
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.2900
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.7100
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.7100
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.2900
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.7100
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.2900
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.7100
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.2900
Trade Summary: Total trades: 21, Buy volume: 743.36, Sell volume: 796.26, Average price: 0.5488, Price range: 0.2400 - 0.7600
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.5600
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.5800
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.4200
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.4250
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.5750
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.5600
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.4400
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.5750
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.4250
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.4850
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.5150
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.4750
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.5250
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.6100
2025-10-14 18:00: 0.3900
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.4050
2025-10-14 19:00: 0.5950
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.4100
2025-10-14 20:00: 0.5900
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 21:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.5450
2025-10-14 22:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.4550
2025-10-14 23:00: 0.5450
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.5250
2025-10-15 00:00: 0.4750
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.5250
2025-10-15 01:00: 0.4750
2025-10-15 02:00: 0.5250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 54, Buy volume: 3789.64, Sell volume: 2183.26, Average price: 0.5297, Price range: 0.0700 - 0.9279
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Detect if the following market experienced manipulation (Yes or No).

Input:
Market ID: 619109
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Volume: 59806.927209
Price History:
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.8850
2025-10-15 16:00: 0.1150
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 17:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 18:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.8950
2025-10-15 19:00: 0.1050
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.9050
2025-10-15 20:00: 0.0950
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.0850
2025-10-15 21:00: 0.9150
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-15 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-15 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-16 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.0600
2025-10-16 04:00: 0.9400
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-16 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.9500
2025-10-16 06:00: 0.0500
Trade Summary: Total trades: 77, Buy volume: 27106.16, Sell volume: 3811.63, Average price: 0.7883, Price range: 0.0013 - 0.9990
Manipulation Indicators Detected: high_volatility, price_spike, wash_trading

Output: Yes


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 620683
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7112.147704
Price History:
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-03 12:00: 0.5000
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-03 13:00: 0.5000
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.2550
2025-10-03 14:00: 0.7450
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.2550
2025-10-03 15:00: 0.7450
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.2550
2025-10-03 16:00: 0.7450
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.2550
2025-10-03 17:00: 0.7450
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.2550
2025-10-03 18:00: 0.7450
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.2550
2025-10-03 19:00: 0.7450
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.2550
2025-10-03 20:00: 0.7450
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.2550
2025-10-03 21:00: 0.7450
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.2550
2025-10-03 22:00: 0.7450
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.2550
2025-10-03 23:00: 0.7450
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.2600
2025-10-04 00:00: 0.7400
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.2350
2025-10-04 01:00: 0.7650
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.2300
2025-10-04 02:00: 0.7700
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.2250
2025-10-04 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.2250
2025-10-04 04:00: 0.7750
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.7900
2025-10-04 05:00: 0.2100
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.7900
2025-10-04 06:00: 0.2100
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.2100
2025-10-04 07:00: 0.7900
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.2100
2025-10-04 08:00: 0.7900
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.7900
2025-10-04 09:00: 0.2100
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.2100
2025-10-04 10:00: 0.7900
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.7900
2025-10-04 11:00: 0.2100
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.2100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 199.00, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5000, Price range: 0.5000 - 0.5000

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 620683
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7112.147704
Price History:
2025-10-04 12:00: 0.7900
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.2050
2025-10-04 13:00: 0.7950
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.8000
2025-10-04 14:00: 0.2000
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.8000
2025-10-04 15:00: 0.2000
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.2050
2025-10-04 16:00: 0.7950
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.2250
2025-10-04 17:00: 0.7750
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.2250
2025-10-04 18:00: 0.7750
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.2250
2025-10-04 19:00: 0.7750
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.2250
2025-10-04 20:00: 0.7750
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.2250
2025-10-04 21:00: 0.7750
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.2250
2025-10-04 22:00: 0.7750
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.2250
2025-10-04 23:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 00:00: 0.2250
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.2250
2025-10-05 01:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.2250
2025-10-05 02:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.2250
2025-10-05 03:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.7750
2025-10-05 04:00: 0.2250
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.2700
2025-10-05 05:00: 0.7300
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.2700
2025-10-05 06:00: 0.7300
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.2750
2025-10-05 07:00: 0.7250
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.2700
2025-10-05 08:00: 0.7300
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.2700
2025-10-05 09:00: 0.7300
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.2700
2025-10-05 10:00: 0.7300
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.2200
2025-10-05 11:00: 0.7800
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.2200
2025-10-05 12:00: 0.7800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 213.22, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.6655, Price range: 0.3800 - 0.9029

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 620683
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7112.147704
Price History:
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.2200
2025-10-05 13:00: 0.7800
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.2050
2025-10-05 14:00: 0.7950
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.1950
2025-10-05 15:00: 0.8050
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.1450
2025-10-05 16:00: 0.8550
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.1550
2025-10-05 17:00: 0.8450
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.1500
2025-10-05 18:00: 0.8500
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.1500
2025-10-05 19:00: 0.8500
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.1450
2025-10-05 20:00: 0.8550
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.1450
2025-10-05 21:00: 0.8550
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.1450
2025-10-05 22:00: 0.8550
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.1450
2025-10-05 23:00: 0.8550
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.1450
2025-10-06 00:00: 0.8550
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.1450
2025-10-06 01:00: 0.8550
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.1450
2025-10-06 02:00: 0.8550
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.1450
2025-10-06 03:00: 0.8550
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.1450
2025-10-06 04:00: 0.8550
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.1350
2025-10-06 05:00: 0.8650
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-06 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.1000
2025-10-06 07:00: 0.9000
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.0950
2025-10-06 08:00: 0.9050
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.0850
2025-10-06 09:00: 0.9150
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.0750
2025-10-06 12:00: 0.9250
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 7, Buy volume: 444.51, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5919, Price range: 0.1300 - 0.9216

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 620683
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7112.147704
Price History:
2025-10-06 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 14:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 15:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 16:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 17:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 18:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 19:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 20:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 21:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.9350
2025-10-06 22:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.0650
2025-10-06 23:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 01:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 03:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 04:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 05:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-07 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.0750
2025-10-07 10:00: 0.9250
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 13:00: 0.9300
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 96.47, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.0816, Price range: 0.0800 - 0.0848

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 620683
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7112.147704
Price History:
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 14:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-07 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-07 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-08 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 06:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 07:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 08:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 09:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 10:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 11:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 12:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 13:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.0700
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 37.88, Sell volume: 31.00, Average price: 0.9400, Price range: 0.9100 - 0.9500

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 620683
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7112.147704
Price History:
2025-10-08 14:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 15:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 16:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 17:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 18:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 19:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 20:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 21:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 22:00: 0.9300
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.0700
2025-10-08 23:00: 0.9300
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.0700
2025-10-09 00:00: 0.9300
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.0700
2025-10-09 01:00: 0.9300
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.0700
2025-10-09 02:00: 0.9300
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.9300
2025-10-09 03:00: 0.0700
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.0700
2025-10-09 04:00: 0.9300
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.9300
2025-10-09 05:00: 0.0700
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 06:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 07:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 08:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 09:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 10:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 11:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.9350
2025-10-09 12:00: 0.0650
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.7950
2025-10-09 13:00: 0.2050
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.8200
2025-10-09 14:00: 0.1800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 3, Buy volume: 1592.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.3938, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9183

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 620683
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7112.147704
Price History:
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.8200
2025-10-09 15:00: 0.1800
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.8150
2025-10-09 16:00: 0.1850
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 17:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 18:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 19:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 20:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 21:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 22:00: 0.1750
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.8250
2025-10-09 23:00: 0.1750
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.8700
2025-10-10 00:00: 0.1300
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.8800
2025-10-10 01:00: 0.1200
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.8850
2025-10-10 02:00: 0.1150
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.8850
2025-10-10 03:00: 0.1150
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.8850
2025-10-10 04:00: 0.1150
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.1150
2025-10-10 05:00: 0.8850
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.1100
2025-10-10 06:00: 0.8900
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.1100
2025-10-10 07:00: 0.8900
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.1100
2025-10-10 08:00: 0.8900
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.0850
2025-10-10 10:00: 0.9150
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 11:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.0850
2025-10-10 12:00: 0.9150
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.0850
2025-10-10 14:00: 0.9150
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.9250
Trade Summary: Total trades: 1, Buy volume: 214.13, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9340, Price range: 0.9340 - 0.9340

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 620683
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7112.147704
Price History:
2025-10-10 15:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 16:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 18:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-10 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 21:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-10 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-11 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.0850
2025-10-11 01:00: 0.9150
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.9150
2025-10-11 02:00: 0.0850
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.9150
2025-10-11 03:00: 0.0850
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.9150
2025-10-11 04:00: 0.0850
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-11 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.0950
2025-10-11 06:00: 0.9050
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.0950
2025-10-11 07:00: 0.9050
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-11 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-11 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-11 10:00: 0.9100
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.0900
2025-10-11 11:00: 0.9100
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-11 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-11 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.0900
2025-10-11 14:00: 0.9100
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.0900
2025-10-11 15:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 68, Buy volume: 6244.35, Sell volume: 867.80, Average price: 0.7532, Price range: 0.0017 - 0.9990

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 620683
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7112.147704
Price History:
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-11 16:00: 0.9100
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.9100
2025-10-11 17:00: 0.0900
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-11 18:00: 0.9100
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-11 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-11 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-11 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-11 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-11 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 00:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 02:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 03:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 04:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 05:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 06:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 07:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 08:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 09:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 10:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 11:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 12:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 13:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 14:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 15:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.9100
Trade Summary: Total trades: 4, Buy volume: 19.40, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9300, Price range: 0.9300 - 0.9300

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 620683
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7112.147704
Price History:
2025-10-12 16:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 17:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 18:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 19:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 20:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 21:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.9100
2025-10-12 22:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.0900
2025-10-12 23:00: 0.9100
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.9100
2025-10-13 00:00: 0.0900
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.0900
2025-10-13 01:00: 0.9100
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.9100
2025-10-13 02:00: 0.0900
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.9100
2025-10-13 03:00: 0.0900
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 04:00: 0.0800
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.9250
2025-10-13 05:00: 0.0750
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.9250
2025-10-13 06:00: 0.0750
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.9250
2025-10-13 07:00: 0.0750
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.9250
2025-10-13 08:00: 0.0750
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 09:00: 0.0800
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.0800
2025-10-13 10:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 11:00: 0.0800
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 12:00: 0.0800
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.0800
2025-10-13 13:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 14:00: 0.0800
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 15:00: 0.0800
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 16:00: 0.0800
Trade Summary: Total trades: 8, Buy volume: 260.45, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.5180, Price range: 0.0900 - 0.9342

Output: No


Instruction: Predict the market outcome given the historical data.

Input:
Market ID: 620683
Question: Yieldbasis FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Outcomes: ["Yes", "No"]
Volume: 7112.147704
Price History:
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 17:00: 0.0800
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 18:00: 0.0800
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 19:00: 0.0800
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 20:00: 0.0800
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.0800
2025-10-13 21:00: 0.9200
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.0750
2025-10-13 22:00: 0.9250
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.9250
2025-10-13 23:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 00:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.9250
2025-10-14 01:00: 0.0750
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.9350
2025-10-14 02:00: 0.0650
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.9400
2025-10-14 03:00: 0.0600
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.0450
2025-10-14 04:00: 0.9550
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.9500
2025-10-14 05:00: 0.0500
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.9450
2025-10-14 06:00: 0.0550
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.9500
2025-10-14 07:00: 0.0500
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.9500
2025-10-14 08:00: 0.0500
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.9500
2025-10-14 09:00: 0.0500
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.0500
2025-10-14 10:00: 0.9500
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.9500
2025-10-14 11:00: 0.0500
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.9700
2025-10-14 12:00: 0.0300
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.9700
2025-10-14 13:00: 0.0300
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.0300
2025-10-14 14:00: 0.9700
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.9700
2025-10-14 15:00: 0.0300
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.0295
2025-10-14 16:00: 0.9705
2025-10-14 17:00: 0.9705
Trade Summary: Total trades: 6, Buy volume: 808.25, Sell volume: 0.00, Average price: 0.9571, Price range: 0.9375 - 0.9677

Output: No